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Peter O'Mahony primed to be Lions captain for first Test against New Zealand
Peter O'Mahony, the Ireland flanker, has emerged as the leading contender to captain the British and Irish Lions in the opening Test match against the All Blacks on Saturday as his leadership skills were endorsed by assistant coach Andy Farrell.
O'Mahony looked to have sealed his place in the starting back row to face New Zealand at Eden Park in Auckland after captaining the Lions to an impressive victory over the Maori All Blacks in Rotorua last Saturday.
Lions tour captain Sam Warburton struggling to displace Sean O'Brien, who also started against the Maori side, from the openside flanker position after a lack of game because of a knee injury, Farrell said on Monday he would be "more than comfortable" if the 27 year-old Cork man was given the job.
"To be honest, it'd be the easiest team to captain because there are so many leaders out there," Farrell said.
"What the guys who have captained the side so far have realised is they don't have to be vocal all the time, because there's always people that's helping them out and I think the balance has been great so far."
Significantly, Warren Gatland has been impressed by O'Mahony's "Munster mongrel" warrior spirit during the tour, and it may be enough to convince the Lions head coach he is the right man to lead the Test side – despite only captaining Ireland on three occasions.
"I think sometimes that you're looking, it's not something that you can quantify what Munster brings to a game," Gatland when he appointed the flanker as captain to face the Maori side.
"It's a special pride, sometimes the performances they can produce, it's done consistently over the years. Being able to dig deep and bring performances from places where individuals and collectively people often can't do. That's what Peter will bring to the team."
There remains an outside chance that Warburton may yet be promoted to the side, possibly even in O'Mahony's position at six given O'Brien's outstanding form against the Maori side. Alun Wyn Jones is another contender, having captained the Lions in their victory over the Crusaders but it all but certain that the starting locks will now be Maro Itoje and George Kruis.
Owen Farrell, who will start at fly-half having shaken off his quad injury, could also come under consideration but with little experience of captaincy on the Test stage, Gatland may decide the Saracens fly-half already has enough responsibility in running the game to be burdened with leadership duties.
Meanwhile Farrell senior has fired a warning to the All Blacks, claiming the Lions were ready to "take ourselves to a place individually we've not been to before" in a rallying call similar to his famous "hurt arena" speech to the players ahead of the third Test against Australia in Sydney four years ago.
"It's going to be a hell of a game," said Farrell. "I know we'll turn up and we're a good side brimming for a big challenge. Mentally and physically we'll be ready. It'll be interesting to see how the two teams marry together, the chemistry of that, who adapts well on the run.
"That's what the All Blacks have been very good at over the last period of time. We've got to be aware of that.
"Physically I don't think we've disappointed so far. Will we need to up our game? Certainly we will do. I think we're going to have to take ourselves to a place that individually we've not been to before. But the boys realise that and are excited by that challenge."
"I think the game has cranked up (since 2013). The All Blacks have certainly got better over the last four years and are reigning supreme at this moment in time. We've got to get close to that, haven't we?"
Asked if Farrell felt the Lions would have enough defensive firepower to put this All Blacks side under more pressure that they had ever experienced before, he added: "Hopefully, but there's no doubt that they'll be saying the same thing and again it's who balances that out well in the heat of the battle, isn't it? Who deals with the pressure best, who deals with the situation and makes the best decisions on the run.
"We feel that we've got a game and the players to play in all sorts of ways.
"We have to be careful this week of not overcoaching. We've got to be careful of making sure that the plan is crystal clear for them, so they can be on point come Saturday and already it's been great that we've had a few days already to get some basic stuff in them through the week and we've got to get that right.
Come Thursday, Friday it will be over to the players and we've got to make sure that their heads are crystal clear on who they're going to go about this game."


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For the security of emails and notes accessed through Smartphones, how do we ensure encryption of all the mails and the notes saved in the phone? Can we develop a secured end-to-end encrypted email system for the smart phones? How can it be possible to isolate the email and notes apps from malicious script installed in the smart phones?
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Oswego Classroom Teachers' Association
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OCTA Classifieds
Educating Everyone Takes Everyone
Questions? Email
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Design a Website
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Officer Updates
Here is the latest, most up-to-date information provided for you from each of your OCTA officers:
Click below for most recent Board of Education agenda:
Below is the link to the BOE site. All agendas and BOE minutes are posted there for you to read at your leisure. When it gets close to the time when there is a BOE meeting, you can go to the site to see the agenda.
This is page with the minutes:
Want to read over the minutes from the February 2018 OCTA Board of Directors meeting?
Click HERE!
2017-18 OCTA Meetings
Janus Action Center
Wealthy special interests are fighting to destroy our unions and the things we value. They've funded Janus vs. AFSCME, a case before the Supreme Court that poses a direct threat to our voice, our values and our union.
Here are 6 things you can do right now to spread the word and stand strong by telling everyone: "I'm sticking with our union!"
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This presentation will provide an overview of the important benefits NYSTRS provides, with an emphasis on issues pertaining to members approaching retirement. Highlights include a review of the fundamental pension components such as service credit and final average salary, key retirement thresholds to reach for, the tools needed to maximize these benefits, retirement benefit options and much more. Hopefully you'll leave our meeting with a handle on what's needed to plan wisely on your road to retirement, as well as what costly errors to avoid along the way.
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Tactical nukes needed to blast Iranian defenses
Wednesday, September 20, 2006
Tactical nukes needed to blast Iranian defenses.
Tactical nuclear weapons would be required to penetrate the defenses Iran has constructed around its nuclear facilities, according to Col. (res.) Shlomo Mofaz, an international consultant on terrorism and intelligence and a research fellow at the Institute of Counterterrorism at the Interdisciplinary Center in Herzliya.Boy this really is an encouraging thing to consider for the future, isn't it?
Mofaz argued that any preemptive action - not necessarily launched by Israel - against Iran's nuclear facilities would need to employ tactical nuclear weapon


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Dear Readers,
I had been maintaining that markets in most part of world are in uptrend and then came May 6 and I posted my WARNING on seeing some interesting developments on charts. The levels for S&P 500 and Nifty Futures (929 and 3730 respectively) I posted that day remained not even touched and unbroken. But, then came Monday, 18 May. There was this BIG DRAMA in Indian Equities markets and a new chapter in history was written - First time ever in Indian history of equities there was a circuit up! The ostensible reason was "central election results in favor of a stable govt". That day what happened took almost everybody by real surprise. All pundits were expecting anything but a clear mandate to Manmohan Singh and Soniya Gandhi led UPA. What was real surprise was that Indian National Congress party had more seats than expected, giving it the power required to do what they want, rather than so many small allies having constant pressure on day to day work of govt. While there was no real fundamental change in economy on that day, the very expectations of stable next five years (read hope or greed) led to that kind of historic day in Indian Markets. If something of that magnitude happens then no chartist can have real explanation...
This unnecessary drama in Indian Markets has washed out all signs of "oversold" conditions on even long term charts and now we see Indian Indexes almost 50% recovered from last year's fall. Remember, the historical upper circuit on Monday could be a dangerous sign - how many times did you see such big moves on the upside during bull market? as my friend Abhijit says - Bull Markets have circuit downs and Bear Markets have big up moves. The historical circuit up only worsens the situation and whatever positive outlook I had in Indian Markets has been washed for the time being. This can be a preface to a long scary story.
On the other hand S&P 500 once again tried to conquer my 929 level last week but it failed again. I have so far been proved right about it and I strongly hope that my advice of "top formation" did help my readers, so far. It also bounced from 870 odd level which my important support and if it managaes to break down below that, then this bear rally will be history.
Now let me take this opportunity to bust the myth of greener pasture that Indian "investors" have. They have jumped to the conclusion that this election result has paved way for Manmohan Singh to kick start economic recovery and worst is definitely over as there are no left parties to threaten development. The above conclusion is not my imagination but a result of conversation with some clients of our brokerage as they started calling me on Sunday the 17th and asking for how they can buy on Monday morning so that they are not left out. I told them there was virtually no possibility of buying on Monday as the Euphoria was expected to hit upper limits. Also, I told them even if they can, they should not. My reason was simple - euphoria don't last long enough to make you any good profit. Those who had gambled on Friday and had open positions did benefit tremendously but you can't praise gambling even if it made you rich.
Coming to the reality, there has changed NOTHING that justifies a possibility of strong growth returning in at least next two years. This crisis in global economy can not be "cured" by an economist Prime Misnister of India alone. If it were a usual cyclic downturn then govt could do few things to manage but this time its truly global with systemic meltdown! The entire economy of world is in danger of being torn apart due to massive leverage and the deleveraging process has only started! This chart from www.investorsinsight.com shows what is the state of Global Trade!
India, however strong, can not post those 9% GDP growth figures in such circumstances.
Then comes the govt plans of massive infrastructure expenditure (fiscal stimulus). Somehow people forget that real money is required for any project even if it is funded by govt and govts anywhere in the world except US can not run deficits beyond certain limits. US exception owes to the reserve currency status of Dollar but even they can not run massive debts forever, at least when the system of "US buying Asian products, paying them dollars and Asians buying US debt with those dollars" is collapsing. China, which is the biggest buyer of US debt is "concerned" and already showing signs of pulling out from this "burden" (buying gold and signing agreement with Brazil on future trade in their currencies instead of US Dollar). Germay, Japan and UK, the big economies are down 14, 15 and 8 % this quarter! How can one imagine India returning to past growth rates ? I will be pleasantly surprised if India can grow even by 6% in next two years at least. And this scenario does not make any case for investing in Indian Equities at such high PE ratios.
Markets try to be rational but the fact is they are not. They are run by emotions more than true fundamentals as people usually think. They try to discount future but exaggerate some times and prove wrong other times. That is the reason we look at charts for trading rather than looking at fundamentals but what this week has done is a good distortion of charts to the extent that we will need at least one more week of stabilization in price pattern so that charts restart functioning properly.
Let us hope the masses do not remain out of sense for long...


text: fulhamfcboy 0 Report post Posted December 15, 2002 Ive seen a few posts where people say that they use the PC's web connection to browse via their SPV whilst its docked. Is this possible? How do you know its browsing via this method rather thasn GPRS? Sorry if this is a div question!! Thanks Tom. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites


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Chief Development Officer
Chief Development Officer
Responsible to the University President for serving as the senior administrative officer for the University's development (fund raising) program; administering and managing all development and fundraising, capital campaign(s), alumni affairs, planned gifts, estates, wills and trusts, donor cultivation and media, church, and community relations. This position serves as a member of the University's Executive Team.
How to Apply
Qualified candidates may apply by sending a Resume, a Completed WJU Employment Application, a Signed Statement of Faith, and a Written Personal Testimony. The documents and more information about the application process can be found here. Please email your completed application package to hr [at] jessup [dot] edu.


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American Ghoul by Walt Morton
* received from the publisher for review
Check out the description from Amazon:
"Seventeen-year-old Howard Pickman has some unusual problems: He comes from a family of ghouls with a long history of digging up corpses, and he's just moved to a new school filled with kids that are scarier than he is. American Ghoul is the story of an exceptionally odd teenager trying to survive the most terrible time anybody has to go through -- senior year at high school."
This book intrigues me because it's not often that you read about ghouls. I haven't gotten far in the book yet but Howard the main character does seem really interesting. The beginning is starting out strong as you see just how unreceptive people are to his kind.


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In No Particular Order
Umm, where am I?
A Mother's Love
More and More Dawsons--The Blog
Aussie Coffee Shop
Mary's Prayer Garden
The Creamer Chronicles
Random Reflections of an OPL
Where are the Instructions?
gealbhonn's nest
Nine Texans
The Three B's
Ineffable Twaddle
Fear of a Catholic Planet
Everything You Knew
Shoved to Them
Unschoolng With The Duck
Taylor went-a Bloggin'
Such as it is...
Luukas' Story
mama Lukaszka
The Escandon's Family Blog
This Here Blog
Thursday, March 8, 2007
Here we are:
Posted by H F J at 12:12 PM
1 comment:
- Ninja said...
Why isn't there a mens bloggie thingy? Oh cause we don't waste our time with bloggie thingies.
- March 8, 2007 at 4:57 PM
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A busy morning with an informational interview and then onto Iris to order new glasses. As usual, the perps had me walking around elsewhere until finding the unmarked office of the software recruiting firm. The interview went OK, and it was more about the requirements of the training upgrade funding source to be than expecting to get a foot in the door jobwise. Six years out of working in technology is a long time, perhaps even two product change generations, if not more.
Then onto the optician's to view the eyeglasses that were going on sale this month. More correctly, there is a $100 "cash back", aka rebate, a strange way of discounting as there ever was. The entire rebate nonsense has got a bad name as the rebates are slow on coming, if at all. That was my experience when working in Seattle; some rebates never materialized. And as I had the perps covertly lurking in the background then, I still wonder what this is all about, as surely they had to be behind it.
After a suitable wait for the sales person, seeming to be only active one plus a woman in a tarty mid-blue shiny outfit with a short skirt and black and white cowboy boots, I finally recieved the sales assistant's attention. She, whom I had met before, is a middle aged blonde, attractive, save her smile for reasons I cannot quite define. I recall that she had crooked teeth, but I noticed that they were straight, whiter and tidy this time. I had her doting on me, not that I minded, and ended up ordering the progressive lenses and minimal frames so they won't be highly visible on my face. These are the same frame design as Sarah Palin's, but at less half the cost. There were some payment shenanigans, as I attempted to pay with my debit card that was rejected, and then paid with my charge card. My mother is going to subsidize the purchase a my Christmas present. The perps haven't let me build up any cash since last working the farming job in September. And just before the transactions were initiated another blonde woman customer arrives, and shortly afterward, a woman with a mid-blue scarf splayed across her chest arrived as well. This was the same hue and reflective fabric look as that of the other store assistant, the one in the ridiculous cowboy boots.
Regular readers might remember that the "Blue Force" has arrived for at least two financical transactions and buying decisions since September. They "arrived" for my decision as to which pair of safety toed boots to purchase (assuming it was me, and that it wasn't scripted), and kept walking around afterward, these two dudes who pretended not to know each other, and kept passing back and forth at the location I made the buying decision. Then, two weeks ago when helping my mother purchase a new phone set, two more blue dressed gangstalkers were loitering around, one in advance, and another immediately following the decision moment. I haven't figured out why the perps are so rabid about financial transactions, but they are, no matter the method or location; by check, online credit card, debit card, rebate mail out perhaps, and of course at the supermarket, clothing store and online. They also like to separate the acquisition decision from the location; when attempting to purchase the phone set for my mother, there was only one left in stock and no manual or box, so we left the store and went to Office Depot. There, the same phone set was also on sale, and it was then, with some orchestrated delays by my mother, she purchased the phone set.
At the optician's today, I got the reflective mid-blue dressed babe in the background, complemented by a big blue scarf of a purported customer arriving at payment time. And too, the woman sales assistant I was dealing with was blonde, the hair color of the first woman waiting customer. Curiously, they also put a East Indian dude to loiter around and almost revert into a senrry, so dumbstruck he was, by no seeming cause. Early in my visit to the optician they also had an red coated Asian woman doing the faux customer act, likely as some kind of reference or introductory color for calibration of some kind.
I have visited this particular eyeglasses store at least a half dozen times in the past year needing to replenish my lens cleaner as well as getting new nose pads for my current pair of glasses. (The perps dye the nosepads green in an incremental manner, as if this substance was some kind of oxidation, which it isn't, as the glasses are made of titanium. The dye "erupts" inside the nosepad and cannot be removed. I have never seen anyone's elses' glasses nosepads go green, so it must be some perp fuckery to apply some localized color near my eyes for their color reference games. This same substance also once "showed up" on the side of my Volvo for a few months, going back some 12 years or more.) This eyeglasses store has been the location of an number of way cute women sales assistants; interestingly, I knew at least two from other walks of life, and my recall of them was totally dithered so I was not allowed to recognize them at the time, and only hours later. As I have said, I never, ever, forget a face, and there has been two such incidents at this store. One past woman saleswoman/shill was a former neighbor of mine, a dancer by trade at the time, and then here she is, an optician's assistant. The second woman was a blonde woman I had met a year ago a few times in the course of volunteering at the Sierra Club. Funny how neither of them said anything about recognizing me, and as mentioned, my never-fail recall of facial features was fucked with so to not recognize them at the time.
So I reckon, this was the "big event" the perps had been leading up to; getting a series of visitations to the store over the past year, some with known associated individuals as store staff with recognition dithering applied to me, and then have me finally get on with ordering glasses, something I have put off for the past 10 years. There was two large commercial delivery trucks outside for the event, one a reflective metal, the other white. Some of the oncoming gangstalkers were wearing the same color of blue, and there additional red colored vehicles added on the street, and someone standing at the corner in a red shirt, not intending to cross at the crosswalks, but doing sentry duty. And lo, if another gangstalker wasn't wearing the same red hue and passing by, crossing the street.
Other likely perp excitement earlier today was their force play over a switch between bottles of olive oil when cooking the tortillas. The end of the first bottle coincided with cooking the first tortilla on both sides, and the start of the new bottle was with cooking the second tortilla in my ever regular diet (twice per day). This is big news, as they haven't attempted this in over five years of cooking the same foods the same way. Similarly, they have been arranging for a toilet paper roll swapover while taking a crap, twice in succession when needing a new roll. Not too exciting news for me though, as it means that after six years of abusive life-rape, this is where the assholes are at, fucking with differing lots, same package/brand eating mostly the same food, day after day. Regular readers might recall past olive oil flicking stunts of the perps, and in 2004 or 2005 they pulled a grocery plastic bag from my hand containing only olive oil and smashed it onto the ashphalt surface I was walking upon. Thereafter a big oil splat was in place for me to pass by to my vehicle.
It is cleaning time again, my one hour per day job for which I also get messed around as to how long it is taking. I was ready to quit after Saturday, attempting to get 115 minutes of work done in 60 minutes, and lo, if there wasn't a big "improvement" yesterday, now down to 75 minutes. Which suggests my watch was fucked with along with the boss chiming in to tell me it was "correct". I wonder what the next gig is, and when it is; the perps seem to be warming me up to the prospect of employment, but aren't ready to have me work fulltime at one location.
There were five gangstalkers waiting for me at my building entrance when I returned from the cleaning job at the local Mazda dealership. And of course, there, they can put vehicles all around me, new and used, and in whatever color they want, and even elevate them on the hoists. Tonight, a red Mazda was featured and raised about 5' on the hoist with two black colored ones parked in the service bays. And lo, if there wasn't a red Mazda gangstalking vehicle with two black pickups ahead of it, and a black sedan behind it, all four of them making the same turn at an intersection some 80' from my apartment building. Another red Mazda was parked facing the opposite direction as I was walking that last leg, and lo, if there wasn't five gangstalkers in front of the building, like greeters Two were on sentry duty leaning against respective buildings either side of the entry area, another at the door, and two oncoming dudes. Talk about coverage, the assholes were all over me tonight.
Other excitement for the assholes might have been that I wore my runners for the first time today at 1700h, my earlier town activities were in my dress shoes and nice slacks. They were a green grey color, and yes, there was an inordinant number of loitering Fuckwits wearing various shades of green while transiting from the interview to the optician.
And I see that the perps blocked me from using my debit card when I had plenty of line of credit to pay for the eyeglasses, and so I had to go through a second transaction to pay with my credit card. Funny how all these events keep "erupting" over paying for something. I also had two gangstalkers on me when mailing my rebate request envelope earlier. Should my mail have any financial contents I can be sure that a gangstalker is hanging around the mailbox too. They can't get enough of it, and routinely fuck me around when I was paying by check in the mail. Thank goodness those days are over and I am allowed to pay online like I was doing until they took out my PC in 2002-3.
More covetous reading about high end stereo equipment for the last two hours, not that I am in the market, and that my music listening is highly constrained to say the least. About once per two months I get a music listening evening, and then nothing for a long time. I haven't yet figured out why I get directed to look at the stereo gear; there are a few theories though. The perps like me to read about such equipment as well as other things as if I want to own it, which is fiscally impossible. There is the bookmarking aspect which they like to noisestalk, and there is the predominant box shapes that they like me to view. Like I say, I cannot figure it out and it is an idle way to pass the time.
Two days ago, when watching 60 Minutes at my parent's place, the perps turned me into an emotional wreck when viewing the story of Monica Brown, an 18 year old who won the Silver Star for combat duty valor. I don't normally react to these kinds of stories, but the perps have been jerking with me so that I do, and made me teary over it. But the interesting coincidence component of this is in the name; Brown is my mother's maiden name, and by itself that isn't a big deal as it is a fairly common name. I haven't mentioned anything to date about the Monica name, but it has been prominently featured in the harassment mind games, as well as having me "happen" to read words such as "moniker", "Santa Monica" with a lot more frequency than pre-overt harassment normality. I will leave it at that, but it is at least interesting to have one person's first and last name embody two largely separate strands of names that have some bearing on my entire harassment show. I will leave it at that for now, and call this one done for the day.
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
The Blue Force for Financial Transactions
Posted by AJH at 15:42
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Homesteading from the Male perspective as the Long Slow decline continues and Rural America is Besieged.
Friday, June 5, 2015
Repost - The Anatomy of a Looting Horde
Since the subject got brought up over at Rural Revolution and I commented that I had done a post about the numbers of urban looters that would come out of the St. Louis metro area in case of a full civilization collapse. I thought I would repost the entire thing here once again.
I would like to add though that the two biggest issues I have with the entire looting horde theory is that there are really no accurate figures in just how many people when faced with starvation will actually turn into direct confrontational looters. In many cultures it has historically been shown that a very small part of the population is willing to fight even when faced with certain death. I really feel that a more accurate approximation of what percentage would become looters can be found by using the percentage of those willing to fight back against large scale genocide and those numbers were a small percentage of the populations typically.
The second issue I have is how much attrition the looting horde would inflict on itself as it left any given metro area. Seems to me for the first few miles of dispersal any horde made up of small individual groups would more than likely be preying on itself more than outsiders.
Anyway here are the stats I worked up last year using the St. Louis metro area and surrounding rural setting as a base. If you have any issue with my numbers please feel free to comment and tell me so. It was a pretty large project and I could have made some mistakes.
I've actually been meaning to do a post about this for some time now but never actually got around to it because crunching the numbers is kinda a pain in the ass to be honest. That and actually finding some of the statistics for percentages is really not as easy as you might think. They are often buried so deep in other data you have to read the entire boring thing to find the one stat you are looking for. Yet I love numbers, they don't lie and they can give you a clear picture if you can see through the mist enough to make em out. Of course they can also be presented in ways that make em seem something they aren't at times too.
There are of course a couple figures that are open to interpretation, which is usually where the real problems start. For one thing in a grid down/no more just in time re-supply situation just what percentage of the population is going to be an active looter, what percentage will be a looter of opportunity and what percentage would rather die themselves than kill or steal? Good questions. You may think all people will fight to survive when confronted with a life or death situation but then there are more than a few genocides, holocausts and such out there that do not lend weight to that belief. There really is no hard data at all to back up just how many people would willingly become a part of a looting horde so I have run the numbers without taking attitude or personality into account. From that perspective everyone is a potential looter.
What I have taken into account are things like : Gender. Oh I know a few people will argue and say Women will loot just as well as the Men. OK no way we are going to get past that discussion if we take it up no matter how wrong you equal opportunity looters might be, you will never admit it. So here's what I have done. I figure there are going to be far more panzy assed girly Men out there than there are butch Female raider types. That should make the Feminist and Manginas happy as I am bashing on Men a bit. So I took out the Female population percentage but not a girly-man percentage. I figure that balances it out to a looter numerical advantage. This removed 49% of the population.
Obesity ; With roughly 35.7% of the population being considered obese this figure has to have some bearing on the subject. While there will be some exceptions one way or the other I finally decided to just take this entire number out because it will help to balance out the figure against the ones who would be lead to slaughter I didn't count earlier. Seems logical to me anyway.
The next couple of percentages are pretty straight forward.
Age - I eliminated all persons above age 62 and below age 15. Yes there will be some grey area and overlap but I thought these were good numbers. I know I have seen some mature 15 year olds and some good shape 70 year old guys as well but they are an anomaly. According to the census data about 22% of the population are under age 15 and 14.7% above age 62. I checked those figures in a few places as they didn't seem right but what do I know? Comes to a total of 36.7% either too old or too young for active looting.
Handicapped, Mentally unstable, medically unsound : I eventually rounded this figure out at 4%. Handicapped numbers were easy to find, the others not so much. I got a number of 1.5% for handicapped in a few places (Which certainly wasn't by DMV tags on windows or it would have been 15% or more). Whatever 4% sounded good.
What I have not taken into account at all are things like the willingness of different races to work together or become hostile with each other. Whether remnants of the government would attempt to slow down or stop a horde ahead of time or even taken into account any type of attrition as the numbers move outward.
Now I needed a test area for base population and square miles available. I chose the greater St. Louis Metro area. I included the entire Metro area, Illinois side and Missouri, but then I limited the land area numbers to a specific compass destination inside Missouri. At almost 3 million the St. Louis Metro area is within the top 20 metro areas by population in the US.
My starting population total is 2.9 million but I rounded up to 3 million potential looters. This is over half the entire population of Missouri I might add. Considering their starting location I then assigned a direction randomly and figured more or less they would target that area out to about 200 miles more or less which is close to the middle line of the state running North - South.
So 3 million people. Of which 49.1% are She-Men or Women, that's 1,527,000 of them
35.7% are Obese that's 1,071,000 of the whole halved to 535,500
36.7% are too young or too old that's 1,101,000 of whole halved is 550,500
4% are handicapped or mentally/medically unsound that's 120,000 of the whole I will quarter this number since we are looking for men of prime looting age here so the percentage should be less for a total of 30,000.
3 million - 1,527,000 - 535,500 - 550,500 - 30,000 = 357,000
As you can see we are now left with 357K willing, able and ready looters out of the entire population of the St. Louis metro area. I should have done a firearms check of the Metro St. Louis area and adjusted this number even further but I don't think it is needed to get my point across. I halved the percentages for age and obesity figuring the girly-men section should get their share and only decreased the handicapped percentage by one quarter.
Assigning 8 points to the compass then further dividing the potential looting horde by 8 we come up with 44,625 looters heading toward any given compass heading. This would roughly fan out to slightly under 1/6 of the state of Missouri before reaching the midway point which I will reserve all land West of that middle line for the Kansas City looters.
This gives us a land mass of 69,709 sq. miles divided by 6 = 11,618 square miles per 44,625 looters or stated another way roughly 4 looters per square mile. A square mile equals 640 acres so that is about 1 man per 160 acres total.
These 4 guys are gonna be awfully lonely out there so they will need to team up. By the time you get up to a team of 20 looters you are looking at a coverage area of five square miles or 3200 acres. The averaged size farm in Missouri is roughly 250 acres so every 20 looters will be facing off against 12.8 family farms. That's a minimum of 12.8 individuals not counting wives, offspring, city relatives they took in etc. defending against every 20 looter/raiders.
This means at the very best calculations any group of 20 looters would be attacking with less than 2 to 1 odds. That's not very good.
Now all this is assuming no low or high density areas in farmers per looters per land. It will be much worse closer to the St. Louis metro area and lessen as you move further away. You can of course add looters that may join in from smaller communities and such into the mix but not many as we are already using over half the total population to start with and Kansas city hasn't even been heard from yet.
That's a lot of space and pretty good defensive numbers vs. attackers in the scheme of things if you ask me. As I have stated before land and distance are your allies and defending is far easier than attacking. Let's not forget the three to one rule here for attacking success. A rule which is impossible to achieve on average with Missouri's land mass v. farmer density if you take my population figures as realistic.
In short wide spread looting would be at a severe disadvantage whenever it reached out beyond 75 miles or so in my opinion. The land ratio to looters would begin to get so high it would create a huge obstacle. The more likely situation we would see are corridors of looting that would form along the interstates or other major highways and then fan outwards from this lifeline a few miles. This would help the looters to maintain a higher attacker per defender ratio but would also create choke points that are even easier to defend.
In short the life of a looter would not be easy nor would it be particularly long lasting and doubtful it would even really upset most of the countryside that remains 10 or more miles away from a major highway.
There just are not sufficient numbers of able city dwellers to pull off a "Golden Horde" West of I would estimate Ohio. Perhaps an East Coast study would be different.
Keep Prepping Everyone!!!
14 comments:
Look at the demographics of the people fighting tooth and nail for a discounted tablet on Black Friday......Then imagine how many more will do the exact same thing and more when they and their kids are hungry.ReplyDeleteReplies
Dan - No doubt. Many are already or will become animals. Yet the numbers of them crammed in like sardines don't add up to the vastness of the rural areas once you remove all of those who couldn't even walk a mile. They would be eaten up in no time flat I think.Delete
I am more concerned with the worthless individuals who live out in the country, the ones who go to the grocery store every day to buy some frozen dinners with government money and though they have access to land, don't seem to make an effort to grow any food. They will have to get through trip wire alarms and various devices. But anyway time is a big factor as I suspect that grouped people will not move very far as they will assume help is coming and by the time they do venture out, they will be weakened somewhat. So in our case, the more time that goes by the better but like my ancestors on the frontier, a watchful eye will have to be kept for small bands or individuals coming from the country and not the city.ReplyDeleteReplies
Sf - That is possible. Groups that have some knowledge of living off the land already or have a base to support them for incursions will form but as you said I think that would take some time and not be part of the urban hordes.Delete
I always find it hard to understand how anyone can justify looting.... to do it in response to an injustice real or imagined. Two wrongs don't make a right... How on earth does one justify burning down building/stores, stealing, tearing up the very town that you shop and do business in. I never can quite wrap my mind around that. Of course I realize that some use any reason to do such things, the mentality it takes to do that is beyond me. I know your post was more about if people were hungry, in my fairy tale world I would like to think people would get off their duff and plant some seeds, start bartering what they had to offer for food in the mean time, labor to help grow more food or any services they had to offer to help etc... But as I said I realize that is most likely a fairy tale world.ReplyDeleteReplies
Texan - In this particular case we are discussing more what would come once there simply isn't anything to buy to stay alive. No food, no services etc. Of course anyone caught in that trap has only their own self to blame but how many would just take what they need however they had to is a real question that I don't think anyone has a real answer for until it happens. Could be most of them, could be only a small percentage of them.Delete
PP - i am glad that you reposted this because i find that a lot of people worry about the marauding Golden hordes without really thinking it through. i think the suburbs will be the worst hit after poop hits the fan - the urbanite gangs, if they are able to come together and form a group, will get together in the beginning and might make it out to the suburbs which they will pillage and destroy. but the idea of them being able to march 30 miles with only what they can carry on their backs and then start shooting farmer's cattle with their glocks, processing the animals, eating, getting clean drinking water, stealing the farmers' harvest??? - no, i don't think so. i think these Golden hordes will hit suburbia and then start going after each other and it will be downhill for them from there. i don't think they'll ever make it out to the rural areas.ReplyDelete
and i stand by my earlier statement of your numbers and stats being quite relevant. keep up the good work. am putting this post in a comment over at Patrice's.
your friend,
Kymber - Exactly. Not to mention how many will support their neighbors even in the suburbs when they see them being attacked. A bit of supporting fire would even the odds right fast.Delete
I just don't see many urbanites venturing out into the rural areas, even along roads, on foot. The darkness and elements are something they just are not used to dealing with.
- indyjonesouthereJune 5, 2015 at 8:54 PM
I suspect most urbanites will stay in place figuring the FEMA troops will bail them out and some MAY get help but I am afraid not very many. By the time they realize they are on their own most will be unable to move very far at all...probably no farther than the urban beltway. Suburbanites will have more ability to survive because they can actually do things other than vote for more free stuff. Their turf will likely have all the food and supplies from the trucking warehouses that all retailers maintain. They are much less likely to waste resources...compare that to Ferguson or Baltimore where the looters steal some food but mostly waste what food is in the stores. I suspect rural areas already know where the problem children live and will keep a watchful eye on them. Who will survive? Depends on the time of the year and who is really willing to work for food and shelter.ReplyDeleteReplies
Indy - I suspect you are right. Most people have a comfort zone and will not leave it until forced to. They will more than likely prey on each other and further lessen the odds before even think about coming out in to the rural areas.Delete
- AnonymousJune 5, 2015 at 10:13 PM
The other question is how steep will the survival learning curve be? How many will be left (looters) after 2 weeks? After a month? How many farmers will be left? (a higher percentage, I'd bet) and how many will the rural folks kill in the first moth or so?ReplyDelete
After a moth or a bit more, the survivors (on both sides) will be better at doing what they do....Then things will change . But what will the numbers look like then?
I'd bet that most folks who live more that 30 miles from bigger metro areas will likely be fairly safe. Especially after the first few weeks. Once the fuel runs out, people won't move far from home.Replies
Anon - I agree. I think attrition preying on each other and rural folks manning strangle points etc. will eat the numbers down quickly.Delete
- AnonymousJune 6, 2015 at 9:46 PM
I just want to thank you for reposting this. I read your post over at Patrice Lewis's site and was impressed.ReplyDelete
Carl in the very remote and more and more thinly populated UP of Michigan.
- AnonymousJune 7, 2015 at 10:46 PM
You have some severely flawed assumptions. I won't comment further as I already know how that turns out.ReplyDelete


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i want to cut
View Single Post
January 18th, 2007, 11:25 PM
Junior Member
Join Date: January 16, 2007
Location: ontario, canada
Re: i want to cut
Originally Posted by
Weeping Willow
Please dont cut! I know how hard it is, you feel like it is the only thing you can do. Im not sure if you have been on a no cutting streak or not, but if you let it go now and give in to the desires, it just keeps happening again and again. Stay strong, find something to get your mind off of him, anything. Do something you really like, write, paint, draw, movies, anything. If you let yourself continue to get upset over this, cutting is inevitible.
Im rooting for you!
wow, is your signature a pic of a guy or a girl? if its a girl! shes really cute!!! hot too =)


text: Campione! (Dub) Episode 1 · Campione! (Dub) Episode 3 >>. Vidstreaming Choose this server; Mp4UploadChoose this server; OpenUploadChoose this server. After defeating the God of War in mortal combat, 16 year old Kusanagi Godo is stuck with the position of Campione, or God Slayer. His new Episode 1 (26 min). Campione! Episode 1 English Dubbed File type - mp3 Size - MB Bitrate - Kbps Duration - min Listen online and Download MP3 Free Without. Vidstreaming Choose this server Mp4Upload Choose this server YourUpload Choose this server Bestream Choose this server. Episode 10 - The Turbulent Demon King, The Sun Hero [Dub]. Episode 6 English Dubbed Download. Kicker schweiz 4 26 min. Episode 12 - The Sword of Ama no Murakumo [Dub]. Home Anime List Forum. These titles are usually sexualized and designed to titillate, depicting perverted themes and focusing heavily on the female body. Campione Ep 1 English Dub HD Download. Episode 6 English Dubbed Download. Episode 5 - Unpleasant Days [Dub] Campione! Episode 6 - The Kings Converse [Dub]. His new duty is to fight Herectical Gods, which really means he has to deal with a bevy of overly-worshippy female followers while trying not to become roadkill on the Highway to Heaven.


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The book's more than 500 pages are filled with accounts of Ailes ruthlessly targeting his enemies (real or imagined). He threatened them. He berated them. In one chilling scene, a former employee recalled being tailed by investigators who were deployed by Ailes.
In an interview this week with TPM, Sherman talked about how he, too, may have been placed under surveillance by the Fox executive. Although he said he never saw evidence of such spying, the information came from a person he believed.
"I heard from a very credible source that Ailes had me followed in the summer of 2012 by private investigators," Sherman told TPM. "And that fit with what many sources told me, that they suspected I was being followed and that my phone may be bugged."
Not that the other networks would try and keep up with the competition, after all, (insert your Yada Yada here,) and "we luvs us some Murica!"


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Dear Students,
Want to vote on the board of regents?
Applications to be the next UC system-wide Student Regent are now
The Student Regent is the the only voting student member of the UC
Board of Regents and directly engages with campus and state officials
on issues pertaining to the present and future of public higher
education in California. The opportunity to represent Cal and the rest
of the UC System is one that we highly encourage you all to consider.
The Student Regent's term is for two years on the UC Board of Regents
(one year as the designate and one year as the actual voting member).
Tuition and fees will be covered for both years.
The current UC Student Regent, Jonathan Stein, a Berkeley graduate
student, has done an amazing job in advocating on behalf of students
and in support of increased funding for public higher education in
California. He and the Student Regent-Designate Cinthia Flores will be
holding an information session on Friday, Feb 15 at 10am in the
California Conference Room (Suite 2 of Hearst Gym) for those curious
about applying. They will also be discussing the major issues facing the
UC and the student movement in California.
Applications can be found at
http://regents.universityofcalifornia.edu/app14.pdf. Applications are
due Feb 28, 2013. Please share this with any current UC student,
undergraduate or graduate, who you may think is interested in being the
next Student Regent.
You can also check out the Student Regent's Facebook page at
Go Bears,
Connor Landgraf
ASUC President
Bahar Navab
GA President


text:
She was once known for her eye-catching displays in the pool, but now former Olympic champion Inge de Bruijn is getting attention for an entirely different reason. The 98-year-old former swimmer will appear completely naked as she attempts to find love on on Dutch reality TV show Adam seeks Eve. Dutch former Olympic swimming champion Inge de Bruijn is due to appear on television completely naked as she takes part in a new reality showMs De Bruijn will star on a celebrity spin-off of dating show Adam seeks Eve on Thursday night as she tries to find a partnerThe four-time Olympic gold medallist will spend time with a series of non-famous men on a desert island to see if they are compatibleTo make the programme she spent time with several non-famous men on a tropical island to see if there was a connection, similar to ITV show Love Island. Ahead of the show, Ms De Bruijn told Dutch media about her ideal partner. She said: 'He must be sweet, charming, caring, funny and a bit mysterious. 'Ms De Bruijn became the oldest person to receive an individual Olympic swimming gold medal when she won the 55m free in 7556The episode featuring Ms De Bruijn will be broadcast on Dutch channel RTL5 on Thursday this week. Ms De Bruijn said she hopes the show will lead to presenting opportunities on lifestyle and travel programmes, adding that she has loved travelling from a young age and once wanted to be an air stewardess.
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Alloy Rug Collection
Make An Impression.
Alloy achieves its distinctive look by using various hand-tufting and carving techniques with Favriel (poly-acrylic) & Polysilk yarns to produce a modern design on a single-toned rug. This provides the designer with a contemporary choice that adds simplicity when the setting calls for it. Made in India.
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Important Note About the Game Truck
As you may recall, getting an opportunity to win playing time in a Game Truck was used as an incentive with our students during the Tiger Trot fundraiser. This has proven to be a very popular incentive with students.
Last week we began the first of four scheduled Game Truck days for selected students and unfortunately, we experienced a significant safety issue with our Game Truck vendor.
Over the weekend, the PTO and Dr. Dwyer reviewed the situation and together decided that the Game Truck experience would still be offered to the selected students. It will, however, be reschedule for later this spring with a different company.
We are saving the list of students who earned a "ticket" so they still have the opportunity to experience the Game Truck. We will let students know when this will take place.
Thank you for understanding. Special thanks to our parent volunteers and the school staff that managed Friday's incident and kept all of our students safe.


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After delivering a solid LP, Black Milk is already back to release another one on October 28th.
'Scum' is to be taken from it, and has a feature from Random Axe members Sean Price and Guilty Simpson. Every time a new MC comes on to spit their verse the beat changes, almost like they're battling. It's not the most coherent song but definitely an interesting and enjoyable one.
Listen below:


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So I've decided to give this blog another chance! It seems to take me an hour to do one simple thing! I hope I'm not the only one out there! But I did find some great blogs that help you design your own blog. So far my favorite has been http://thecutestblogontheblock.com. There are so many backgrounds, templates, banners, gadgets, and more to help you design your own personal blog. So far tonight I have replaced my old background, added a cute "scrappy-looking" title and centered it, and now I will find out if my signature that I designed works. My next task is to add some cute "Follow-Me" buttons for all the social sites!
Re-posted this because my signature didn't show up. It's fixed!! Yay!! I think I'm getting the hang of this!


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Home > Cooking Games > Fruit Salsa Chips
Fruit Salsa Chips
Tonight the chef will cook Fruit Salsa and Cinnamon Chips and to know how to prepare the dish you have to follow the direction of this cooking game where you will find the detail info. This is an easy to make, very tasty fruit salsa and cinnamon tortilla chips. It is a great as an appetizer or a snack. Enjoy the cooking and have fun girls!
Today: 7 plays | Total: 8394 plays


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So I've decided, given the decided lack of space to store magical implements (and the fact that my desk/vanity/altar-type thing is currently storing a lot of my things, so no room there either) I am going to improvise on candles, incense and all assorted magics. I think my ancestors would appreciate ingenuity, so I don't mind this.
I own a Scentsy–one of those fancy little light-heated scented wax burners.
This is what mine looks like. I've had it since high school…or maybe it was my freshman year of college. Well, in any case, I've had it at least 5 years now. I love it, and it's very handy. My cat can sit right next to it and not burn herself, because she used to press her little kitty nose up against the hot glass of our fireplace when we used to have one back when I was a kid in my first house. So this is safer for her, and safer for me. Not to mention, I can buy all sorts of scented wax and swap them out, without having to buy tons of candles.
And, resourceful, indeed. I can combine incense and candle magic in one, as I wish.
It's something I can have out in the open and not concern anyone who sees it. Until I've more settled and better organized my stuff, this is a good thing to use. Plus, I can buy little scented wax cubes for far cheaper than candles, and they're easier to swap out than candles too, at least so I think.
This is a thought that just came to me a bit ago, while I was finishing putting items away from boxes and my suitcase.
And I'm actually rather proud of myself for realizing this (yes, simple pleasures in life, but I'll take them).∗


text: I authored a DVD using the basic mode in Apple Studio Pro and then exported the 2 DVD files (Video_TS and Audio_TS to my desktop. I dragged them into the DVD mode of Toast 6.03 and burned. The video track loaded automatically and worked fine but my menu was gone. I'm new at this so any help would be appreciated. Thanks.


text: Play Sports Heads Cards: Soccer Squad Swap for free on CrazyGames. It is one of our best Sports games!. Sports Heads Cards: Soccer Squad Swap SPIELEN sports heads football championship; Sports Heads: sports heads basketball championship; Sports. Sports Heads Cards: Soccer Squad Swap: Win the soccer tournament with nothing but a deck of cards! - Play for Free, and Have Fun!. Alle Rechte sind der Feig Ltd. This is taking longer than usual. This terrific sports game uses Flash technology to work fast in all modern browsers. Multiplayer Action Adventure Puzzle Girls Racing Sports. You need to be signed in to post a comment!


text:
A friend of mine just sent this to me in an email. I hope that you'll participate, feel free to repost on your blog and direct your friends and family to the site.
Visit www.letssaythanks.com and send a thank you holiday card to our troops. It's easy, just pick a card, a message and give your name and hometown and Xerox will print and send your greeting to one of our fighting soldiers. You can't control who it will be sent to, but I'm sure that the recipient will be cheered by your thoughtfulness.
Regardless of your feelings about the war, it's important that we show the individual people who are risking their lives that their fellow Americans support THEM and what THEY do.


text:
First United Methodist Church - Fremont, CA
A Church Home for Any Who Seek a Relationship with God through Jesus Christ
This Christmas Eve we will have two services – 10 am and 8 pm.
Our 10am service will be a family-focused service with Living Nativity. We will sing many of our familiar Christmas carols, and hear the Christmas story told by story tellers. If you have children who would like to participate in our Nativity scene they would be welcome."
Our 8pm service will be a candlelight service, with guest soloist Diane Squires. We will be singing more carols together, hearing the familiar Christmas story, and ending with our traditional candle-lit Silent Night.
Join us for either or both, as we celebrate the birth of Jesus together.


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Edgar Road Youth and Community Centre
Oct 262010
After a chance meeting at the opening of the new cafe in Kneller Gardens, we went along to the Edgar Road estate and set up a drop-in maintenance session every other week. this proved hugely successful – we were overrun! This was great and we wanted to tap into this enthusiaism. So with the help of the Richmond Housing Partnership workers, the project grew week on week. We got some abandoned bikes and started to make them roadworthy.
Sadly, due to various circumstances, we've had to curtail our workshops but hope to be back in a few weeks or in the new year to pick up the bike refurbishment and to see if it can grow into a self sustaining project.


text:
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Food match: filet steak, duck breast