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The toll from infectious diseases in the U.S. was huge not long ago. Vaccines and drugs have been profoundly successful in reducing this scourge. Yet we have been successful in eradicating only one disease, smallpox. Simple mathematical models explain why it is difficult to eradicate a disease and why some diseases are more difficult than others to eradicate.
Our society has had many scares recently from new infectious diseases:
o HIV
o Ebola
o SARS
o West Nile
o bird flu
There are two different bases to our fears. One is how likely we are to get it. The other is how bad it will be if we do get it. In the above list, only HIV and West Nile have become permanent (endemic) infections in the human population, but we are or have been worried that the others might invade and start spreading. All but West Nile have high mortality rates.
No matter how bad a disease is, if we can prevent it from spreading in the population, it will die out. And even if we can't make it die out, reducing its spread means that fewer people will be hurt by it. Some very simple math models underlie the principles used to control infectious diseases.
Basic reproductive number, R0
In epidemiology, the most fundamental property of a disease is its basic reproductive number R0, or the average number of new infections started by the first infection in a population. When an infection first enters the population, its spread is like a chain reaction: 1 infection becomes R0 new infections, those each start new infections to make R02, then those become R04, and so on. If R0 >1, the disease spreads in what is called an epidemic, and the larger the value of R0, the faster the spread. The table below gives some estimates of R0 for some common infectious diseases.
chicken pox
SARS (crowded)
SARS (community)
We can see that the estimates have a lot of variation. In part, this is because R0 is a limited model – it is not the same across all environments. This point was important in the SARS outbreak. SARS showed moderately good transmissions in high-density apartment buildings and hospitals, but (fortunately) it was poorly transmitted in normal community settings.
From this epidemiological perspective, the goal is to reduce R0 to be <1. When this happens, the infection will die out, perhaps gradually. Intuition suggests two ways we might reduce R0. One is to block transmission, as by cleaning up the environment, wearing masks or gloves, etc. The other is to use a vaccine to reduce the number of people who can get infected.
Epidemiological models
Some simple but elegant math underlies disease eradication. The main result uses an equation for the rate at which the number of infected individuals (I) changes over time:
change in number of infected individuals
= new infections – loss of old infections from death & recovery
delta-I = BSI – I(r+d)
I number of infected individuals
delta-I change in number of infected individuals
S number of susceptible individuals
B the infection rate parameter (disease-dependent)
r the rate at which infected individuals recover
d the rate at which infected individuals die
The goal is to make DI < 0, and with 2 steps of algebra, this condition becomes
R0 = BS/(r+d) <1
We haven't shown that BS/(r+d) is R0, but it is when all individuals are susceptible (I = 0).
Let's now consider how to use this result. The parameters b, r, and d are all properties of the infection. S is a property of the population (the number of susceptibles). If we wore masks and cleaned up the environment, we would reduce B. A drug that hastened recovery would increase r. Vaccination would reduce S, because as more people are vaccinated, there are fewer susceptibles about.
Suppose now that R0 was 3 in an unvaccinated population. This formula would say we needed to reduce S to 1/3 (or vaccinated 2/3) to cause extinction. But if R0 was 30, we would need to vaccinate 29/30 = 97% of the population. If a vaccine was only 90% effective (which is pretty good), we could never reduce S to the 3% and achieve the extinction threshold with just the vaccine.
Model strengths and weaknesses
Foremost, the mathematical model allows us to identify the properties of the infection and population that are important to control. No matter how much hands-on work we did with an epidemic and a vaccine, we might never understand why eradication did or did not work without some kind of model of the epidemic process. Furthermore, we can work through the model quickly, without having to watch thousands get sick and die year after year.
The model also gives us an idea of what to change to reduce infection rates: shorten the term of infection (increase r), reduce b, reduce S. The latter two are obvious, but the first is not necessarily. Nor would we have a quantitative appreciation for what to do without the model.
The model has many limitations. It does not fit sexually-transmitted diseases even approximately. It assumes a constant b, which clearly varies from place to place. It assumes "mass action" (by counting the number of new infections as bSI), which means that a susceptible person in New York has the same chance of getting the infection as a person in Langtry, TX, regardless of where most of the infections are found. We know this isn't right. Indeed, when smallpox was finally eliminated, it was achieved by tracking down the last few infected individuals and ensuring that their contacts were vaccinated. Poliovirus still exists in part of Africa and Asia despite high levels of vaccination in the rest of the world.
The model isn't just about eradication. When worked out in concert with equations for the numbers of susceptible and immune, it indicates the impact of vaccination levels even when those levels do not lead to complete loss of the infectious disease. One interesting result is that vaccination not only protects those vaccinated, but it helps protect susceptibles. When others get vaccinated, the rate at which susceptibles get infected goes down. We will use this point later in the semester.
The latest infectious disease to cause significant worry is bird flu. Bird flu is caused by a virus designated influenza A. Bird flu virus is the same general type of influenza virus that circulates in the human population every year, for which we have vaccines. Flu is generally a respiratory infection, causing fever and aches, but one rare type of flu infects the membranes of the eye. In typical years, influenza kills an average of 36,000 Americans, mostly old ones.
Influenza poses several types of problems.
· First, we have influenza vaccines, but we need to be re-vaccinated every year. Why? The reason is that influenza viruses keep evolving to escape our immune system, so that old immunity becomes progressively less effective. It's not that our immunity wanes, rather the viral targets of that immunity keep changing. But this change in the virus is slow and gradual. The situation is similar to a car manufacturer making slight changes to a model every year, to keep pace with changing consumer preferences. The newer vaccines keep pace with newly-evolved viral structures.
· There are several types of influenza strains. These have very different properties from each other with respect to our immune system (much greater than the differences that evolve within a type). They are designated with letters and numbers, such as H3N1. This system refers to 2 of the types of proteins in the virus (hemagglutinin and neuraminidase) that are important to immune recognition. Currently, the human population has H3N1 and H1N1 circulating. Birds have several types (up through H9) that are not found in humans. There are also influenza strains found in other animals (pigs, horses, ...) Occasionally, a strain from a species with another H-type or N-type successfully humans and starts an epidemic referred to as a "pandemic." Pandemics are problems because they kill more than the usual numbers of people. Three pandemics from the 1900s are recognized:
i) 1918 – the first H1N1 (Spanish flu), killing 20,000,000-40,000,000 people worldwide (500,000 in the U.S.)
ii) 1957 – the first H2N2 (Asian flu)
iii) 1968 – the first H3N2 (Hong Kong flu)
H1N1 died out but was re-introduced by a botched vaccine in Russia. H2N2 is gone now, and we have H1N1 and H3N1 in our population.
· The bird flu we hear lots about is H5N1. So far it spreads rapidly in birds, but dies out whenever it jumps into humans (thus R0<1 for humans so far). Our population has no prior exposure to it, which may explain why the mortality rate is about 50%, but lack of immunity is probably not the sole cause of this high death rate. The big worry is that, if we don't monitor it carefully, the virus will jump into humans, spread among a few people with close contact, and evolve to the point that R0 >1. When this happens, we are in trouble, unless there is a vaccine. Although we have known about H5 infecting humans for nearly a decade, making a vaccine has been difficult because other influenza viruses for vaccines are grown in chicken embryos. H5N1 kills the embryos, so we can't get enough virus for a vaccine. This problem has been overcome, but initial vaccine results have been discouraging because the vaccine did not elicit high antibody levels.
Copyright 1996-2000 Craig M. Pease & James J. Bull


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subset: commoncrawl


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Europe's biggest spaceship is going down in a ball of flames
Ratings troubles for SCC
Masters of SciFi
Kenneth Branaugh to direct Thor?
Mark R Kelly reviews the Fly Opera
SciFi / Apocalyptic play "Boom"
and the first 20 pages here
Metal Disorders that sound like scifi
Amanda Tapping has her own charcters' fanfic on her official site
Good news for Ghostbusters 3
So this is why Eureka was a little weird last week
Interactive zombie movies!
Five ways to save Heroes
Non-governmental rocketry for SpaceX
New future distopias! Americatown
We might live in an anomalous chunk of the universe
The coolest deaths in scifi
Snow on Mars!
A lovely discussion of demented family relationships in scifi; read the comments for more!
The future of ESA space exploration to be determined in Glasgow
What if everyone in Scifi really was related?
Sunday, October 5, 2008
Week 4 News
Posted by Samantha Holloway at 12:54 PM
Labels: news
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how is this accomplishedit's obviously not done using the factory method of pressing 2 layers togetheris it done by manipulating the laser and the media?does the new dual layer media mean that a full uncompressed/uncut DVD9 backup is possible?
In a nutshell, there are two layers underneath the disc which are accessed by different wavelength laser beams (from physics, a smaller wavelength beam will pass through more objects than a larger one).and yes you can do uncut dvd9 copies.
does this mean current DVD player will not be able to read these dual layered media?
It remains to be seen, but hopefully most players that can read single layer DVD+R will be able to read dual layer DVD+R (it's dual layer DVD+R that will launch first).
Dual layer is a standard part of the DVD specification. Many movies and some DVD-ROMs are dual layer. What's new is dual layer writeable DVD.


text: hey everyone! So great to hear how you all are doing! I had a great week and especially one funny day in particular. That was when me and elder B went on exchanges, we were both in the mtc together and so we're both relatively new missionaries to go on exchanges, but we figured we could handle it. First thing in the morning we get ready to leave and elder b locks his apartment and bike keys inside xD We had no idea what to do since his other companion with the only other set of keys was so far away. Luckily me and elder B are a creative couple of missionaries, we found the keys on the kitchen table, here in suriname all the windows have bars so people dont break in so it wasnt as easy as going through their window, we looked around and i found a broom to use to try to reach in, but it was so far in the middle of the room we couldn't reach it. We find ANOTHER broom, but have no idea how to stick them together until it dawned on me to use our ties, we roped them around and made a super broom with our ties, problem was, we still couldnt grab the keys... about after 5 minutes of brainstorming i found a dustpan with a really long handle by some trash out back, and using that we were able to stick both through the bars of the window and meticulously sweep the keys into the dustpan. An epic celebration followed, and we taught a bunch of great people that day. I also fulfilled a lifelong dream of mine to school foreign kids in basketball while serving a mission. Not going to lie i put some moves on these kids. And their friends videotaped it so you guys may or may not want to look for me starring in a famous youtube video. Other than that this week has been pretty good 'R' continues to progress and we met an awesome previous investigator named 'J', if she comes to church this sunday I think she has awesome potential. Another announcement is that theyre splitting our mission! Starting July our mission will include just trinidad, guyana, suriname, curasou, aruba, and the bahamas! since i speak dutch i was told that almost for 100% certainty i'll be sent to either curasou or aruba! so that was really exciting news! Our christmas plans aren't anything too crazy, they let you watch a movie with all the other missionaries, and im sure we'll have a big dinner at one of the members houses, so that'll be cool, anyways i love and miss you guys and love hearing from you! I hope everyone is enjoying their time as christmas is getting closer and closer! And happy birthday shoutout to my big sister tomorrow! I hope you have a great day Marley!


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Aw, cute pics! Congrats all!
You can view the page at http://www.englishbulldognews.com/fo...ntest-Winners!
Aw, cute pics! Congrats all!
Those pictures are precious. Too cute
Well Deserved! That Santa kills me!
Congratulations to both of you!
Congratulations!! great pictures both of you, just love love love them!!!!
Great picture! Love it!
Congrats!! Vegas is always such a great model!! Love both winners
Love both pics...well done guys x
Great pics as always so hard to choose!
Congrats to the winners! Well deserved!
Since all of the pictures couldn't win, these were perfect choices!!! Congratulations!
Zeus 2013
Congrats to you both! I voted for both pictures... just too darn cute!


text:
- Product Description
- Haynes Caravan Manual (4th Edition) Servicing, Maintenance & Improvements
- By:John Wickersham
- First published in 1993 and having sold over 75,000 copies, this fourth edition of the Caravan Manual contains completely revised text and many new illustrations. As well as guidance on maintaining older caravans, it includes details about the very latest models. There's new information on caravan weights, the use of public weighbridges, and related legal issues, along with electronic and computerised wiring systems in cars. There are major updates to the chapters on chassis, running gear, body construction, gas and all electrical details. This essential manual describes all the vital maintenance tasks and repair work that keeps a caravan in tip-top condition.
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'provides essential advice 'Caravan Magazine


text:
Dean Madison has not received any gifts yet
Posted on March 1, 2018 at 3:30pm 0 Comments 0 Likes
Talent recruitment has always been a problem for companies in the technology sphere, especially in expanding markets where business growth and technological innovation generate intense competition. Over the next couple of years, recruitment will get even harder. GDP growth is at about 3 percent and it's expected to remain at…Continue
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the secrets were really good this week. especially this one.
yesterday was the re-birth of {pandora} listening for me. i listened to christmas music, classical music, classic rock music, etc. one way i discover new music is by 'sharing' the songs i like on twitter. then, i go back later and make a mix including those shared songs.
i finished reading this particular book (for the third time) last night, and there was makeup all over my face from crying. obviously, i know what happens in this book, and i don't recall ever really crying this much during this particular read, but, for whatever reason, this time it really got me.
so of course, i can't wait for this:
.. but what am i supposed to read next?
bon iver is winter music.
i love this video, by {noreasterfilms}.
unfortunately, every video for 'roslyn' has something to do with 'new moon.' so i chose this simple one.
as i was driving down i20 last night, it was raining, and this song came on my old ipod. so of course i thought of ryan and marissa and the kickoff carnival.. you know, generally, just the OC. and i loved that moment.
'paint the silence' (south)


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Delete some programs on your computer and it should work
Delete some programs on your computer and it should work
Hmm what is life about anyways?
Random person: you know what you should go drop dead...
Me: so nice of you starting to like me more and more
Person: no what im trying to say is i hate you so much you should just kill your self...
Me: so all your doing is trying to act all badass around other people so they can like you more and more? well sir they only thing you have is PATHEICNESS:3
Person who hates me the most: Pfft i dont really know you tell me...
Yeah make sure you close all programs before you load combat arms. Also, can you please provide specs of your pc? Try gamebooster if this persists.
Mark as solved? No need to keep resurrecting this thread.
Edit for 10 self montages [x]
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Fig 1. Hawkesworth. J. Preston Bus Station. Untitled. 2014
London based photographer Jamie Hawkesworth practices photography depicting everyday life. Following his studies at the Preston University, Hawkesworth now creates his collections from his travels across the British Region in which he presents portraits of ordinary people he has encountered.
His series ' Preston Bus Station' is one collection which interestingly explores environment as well as the people within it as Hawkesworth also presents still life imagery of small corners and left objects alongside his portraits. Hawkesworth is laid back about his subjects and bring a sense of spontaneity, however at the same time, he captures simple moments of people having a moment to themselves or with others. Hawkesworth's images are quiet and subtle in which he creates depth in composition and contrast bringing a warm, toned down atmosphere. The individual characters he photographs are varied as some reveal their identity while others are captured from behind anonymously. This leaves question as to whether the individual is aware of the photographer/viewer. Hawkesworth photographs some of his subjects discreetly as for some characters, there is no acknowledgement of the viewer's presence and appears as if they have been followed. The way in which Hawkesworth captures objects also derives ideas of how long these objects have been there. For example, an image of a cleaning trolley left on a walkway could suggest that the cleaner has not long left and will return to his duties shortly. Also, much of the lighting in these images are low key which reveals the setting has been photographed during a quiet period.
In other works, Hawkesworth gives a similar atmosphere in which he explores places with down to earth characters that have a relationship with their surroundings. I admire how Hawkesworth brings the 'feeling' of a place within his work and gives a variety of portraits and supporting still life and landscape imagery that I find quite modest. I find this a strong influence towards my practice as Hawkesworth uses the environment to give some background to the place and he also brings a sense of vacancy in the scenes. The audience is made to feel as if we are also waiting for something to happen or appear in a way that suggests we are only give half the story.
Hawkesworth also presented a short film of the 'Preston Bus Station' series as a way to commemorate the last days of the station before its closing. The film features a High School Brass band playing as they walk though the station.
Jamie Hawkesworth (2016) Preston Bus Station [Online] Availbale from: www.jamiehawkesworth.com (Accessed 03/01/2016)
Dobedo All rights Reserved (2014) Preston Bus Station By Jamie Hawkesworth [Online] Available from: http://www.dobedo.co.uk (Accessed 10/09/2013)


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Balboa Island Living, April 2017
Please enjoy this April 2017 edition of Balboa Island Living. We hope you like the Museum's Bal Week article with darling photos from our archive.
Please enjoy this April 2017 edition of Balboa Island Living. We hope you like the Museum's Bal Week article with darling photos from our archive.
Please join us for a wonderful evening at the Newport Beach Public Library with Wing Lam and his parents, Lee Cheong Kwong & Lee So Ching. They will share the incredible story of their journey from Mainland China to Balboa Island. For more information, please call the Museum at 949-675-3952. You can RSVP to this [...]
In this March edition of Balboa Island Living, you will learn about how we have Kewpies on exhibit at the Museum. Stop by for a docent led tour of our 1947 historic house!
Tom and Cindy Houston are the featured family for the February 2017 edition of Balboa Island Living. They are great friends of the Balboa Island Museum. We so appreciate everything that have done for the community. Don't you love this picture of them installing the 1954 plaque on their historic home? Cindy is co-chairing the 2017 [...]
Love and Kewpies Are in the Air at the Balboa Island Museum Balboa Island – Kewpies were one of the first mass-produced toys in the world. These grinning baby dolls with the funny little tufts of hair and chubby cheeks were created by self-taught artist Rose O'Neill, and were initially conceptualized as a cartoon intended [...]
We hope you enjoy "Preserving the Past is a Present for the Future" article featured in the January edition of Balboa Island Living.
In this December edition of Balboa Island Living, Shirley Pepys' decorated house is featured on the cover. We encourage you to read the Marine Avenue article that features our board member, Cindy Houston. Thank you to our community for making us "one of the best main streets in America!"
Read this November 2016 edition of Local Color by clicking on the image. We have many exciting things taking place at the museum, including our five year anniversary at Marine Ave.!
Celebrate the holiday season at the Museum by making your own gingerbread house. Please RSVP online or call 949-675-3952 to secure your place today.


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Here's the second part of my chat with my former radio cohorts Victor and Geoff, or, to go by their early 90s radio nicknames, The Tor-Man and Jamming Geoff. Somehow I avoided having a nickname when we worked together at K-Rock.
To download through iTunes click here. To download the MP3, click here and then click on the MP3 button.
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
RT 20 Podcast 12: Victor Lisle & Geoff Storm, Part 2
Posted by Figgsrock2 at 10:47 AM
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Wow, I didn't blog at all Sunday. Lots has been going on, so let's recap some: Jessica and I went out for dinner Saturday night. Then we went to Target for a few minutes. That is quite the weekend activity. After that, decided to go by and see Matt's new house, so I called to see if it would be OK if we came by. Tim was over there and they were watching "Tears Of The Sun." So, we got the tour. Jessica noticed this framed cross-stitching that was hanging on his bedroom wall, that said, "Shalom." ROFL We all got a big laugh out of that. I have no idea why he had that, nor why any guy would have a cross-stitched anything on the wall of his bachelor pad, nor why it was Jewish. Matt's not Jewish. lol Oh well.
I really felt the effects of the lost hour Sunday. Add that to the fact that I didn't get in bed 'til at least 3 AM, and Sunday after church I pretty much came home and collapsed on the couch for about two hours. Watched some of the race. They had a close finish. But they had like 3 cautions back to back to back near the end. That wasn't good. After church last night, I decided just to come home. Went running. (Already LOVING the extra daylight!) Then I hit the hut (aka, ordered a pizza and breadsticks). lol They were out of pan pizzas. What's up with that? Then I was talking to Jessica and she said she went to KFC last night and they were out of chicken. Period. What the crap? Why even stay open? Might as well lock up and go home. What do they say at the drive-thru, "Welcome to KFC. We're completely out of chicken, but would you like to try a tasty side item or an icy cold Pepsi?" Watched some of the Orioles/Red Sox game last night. Nice to see Pedro get beat. Also watched the Fred Rogers special that was on PBS. Can you imagine touching that many people in your lifetime? Got in bed about 11:30, which is earlier than I've been to bed in a couple of weeks.
Today is one of the best days of the year, Opening Day in baseball! Sure, three games have already been played (which I don't completely understand), but still. ESPN and ESPN2 are showing games all day and all night. The Reds (my team... hey, at least I'm loyal) are on TV at 1:00, I think. Might leave work a bit early to go watch that. I usually get tired of baseball after a couple of months, but the first few weeks are great. I love going to games, minor league or major league, gettin' a hot dog and coke, and just being outside on a summer night. I need to get in a rotisserie league this year, but all the ones I have seen are not free. I'm not paying. I'll have to see if I can find me a free one.
NCAA basketball championship game is tonight, of course. UConn against Georgia Tech. Who do you like? I think it easily could go either way. Tech has been playing great, and UConn is probably the most talented team in the nation. I think UConn will pull it out. We'll see.
Oh, I forgot one bit of suckage from the weekend. After work Friday, there was just one lady here by herself. She couldn't figure something out, so she called me. I had to drive all the way back down here, and about five minutes before I got her, she got it figured out. Urrrgghh!!!
Recent funnies:
"Hyperthyroidism... or goiter."
"Goiter? Oh, you don't want that!"
"That girl looks just like Melody except with blonde hair."
"Oh, that's her sister." LOL
"I'm a woman, so it's only natural for me to confuse you."
Amen to that!
"Ah, we're just having a good time."
"I'm not sure that's gonna stand up in court. Well, your honor, we were just having a good time."
We watched some of the Friends video the other night. One of the many funny moments is when Michelle's hiney gets all up in the camera and Kyle is like, "Uhh. Michelle. Don't... uhhh. Well. Eh, you'll see that later." ROFL
Wow, that was a long entry. I guess all I can say is, shalom, my friends. Shalom :-)
"I'm sorry but I'm just thinkin' of the right words to say. I know they don't sound the way I planned them to be. But if you'll wait around awhile, I'll make you fall for me. I promise you. I promise you., I will..."


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Property News from Loveitts
Loveitts Leamington in partnership with Select Property Group.
29th October 2015
Loveitts, Leamington Spa are delighted to announce a new partnership with Select Property Group, o...Read More
New kit supplied for Southam Utd U10's
28th October 2015
Our Southam branch have supplied a brand new kit for Southam United U10s for the new season...Read More
Retirement homes available for sale in Leamington
27th October 2015
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New regulations on smoke detectors
14th October 2015
The government has announced new Regulations requiring private landlords in England to install and c...Read More
Coventry Sphinx gains support from Loveitts.
9th October 2015
Loveitts are pleased to announce their support of local amateur football team Coventry Sphinx FC fo...Read More


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The summer arrived in Brussels so any cold drink is really welcomed.
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Tags » No Soda
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The summer arrived in Brussels so any cold drink is really welcomed.
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Going to Health in a Hand Basket
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Another Day Down and I'm Still Standing
Happy Friday Everyone!
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The stuff, Day 72
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And today, as I embark on a health kick for me, Izzy, and Alisa, I gave up soda… But I'm trying to rededicate myself. 98 more words
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Pet Sitter in Maple
I have 2 dogs and I have had many pets in the past. I would like to get a job working with animals. I love animals! I have 2 dogs. A 13 year old maltees and a 11 year old yorkie. I have had them most of my life. I have had cates, hampsaters, birds in the past. I feed them walk them, play with them, give them haircuts. I love animals!
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Nice photo.
i hope u catch that slezeball who stole your picture.
Nice photo.
i hope u catch that slezeball who stole your picture.
that makes no logic
Unfortunately many photo links do not contain links back to the homepage, so this is not always possible.
In this case I was able to source the user of this photo. It is someone who I granted permission after I contacted him the first time I noticed it was re-posted with the file name changed. I wasn't contacted that time either, but the site owner did subsequently credit me per my request. Since the deed was done, there wasn't much I could do except show good grace.
I consider changing the file name to be in very poor form in any instances of re-posting, with or without permission granted.
I could "brand" my photos, but I don't like anything to interfere with the look of the photo, and I feel that this should not be required if a little common courtesy is shown.
Photos should never be reposted without permission! If you can't find the owner to seek permission, then don't re-post. It's as simple as that.
In this case, all is well (or as well as it can be). I would have preferred that my file headers remain unchanged, but like I said, the deed was done.
Incidently, I have never refused anyone use of my photos. I am not a stingy man, but I do take pride in my growing and photography. Imagine how I would feel if someone asked me why HIS photo was on MY website?
When I first visited the mentioned website, I thought that the owner had to be God judging from the quality and quantity of the plants he was growing. Then I found out it was just a "Best of Bob Z's Site". But there was no way of telling this, as the author did not mention the fact on his site.
If you want to show a photo like this to a friend, or to clear up an ID issue or whatnot, it would be better to post a link to the original photo. This is what Bob Z has done on his site, and that is acceptable: the file headers remain unchanged and all such links lead only to the original photo or website.
There have been instances where entire website photo contents have been lifted and reused without permission. Fernando could tell you about that little faracas! Whether is is one photo ot a hundred, it is not right. Just because there is nothing that anyone can do to stop such use still doesn't make it right~!
"Grow More, Share More"
alright whos the little rat who stole the picture
if i live for tommorow there will never be an eventfull day so go on break a leg
SInce I granted permission previously, nothing was stolen. Borrowed might be a better term. The author was both courteous and respectful once I contacted him. His intentions were good, he just put the hart before the corse.
"Grow More, Share More"


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full metal alchemist
i've been reading this books. one, Eragon. and the other two is comics. Death note and Full Metal Alchemist. all of them are GREAT THINGS!! the stories are cool and unforgettable. one of the un-puttable things. once u read it. u can't stop for more. haha ! i'm addicted to Dragons in ERAGON, FMA, DN and...NARUTO !!!
u really need to read all of them
u can find it in book stores. but if u wanna get it for free, just check these websites out:
FMA: www.readmanga.com
DN: www.mangaviewer.com
Naruto: www.narutokun.com
boy... i'm a psyco ! why ? because i'm such a huge fan of Kakashi. a character from naruto. who is REALLY DAMN HOT !!! haha. and i want him 2b real. that's crazy, huh ? wanting for something that's nt gonna happen.
yeah, whatever.


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|Wong, Shing-sing
|Modern technique in maintenance management of electrical equipment in Hong Kong power station
|Electric power-plants -- China -- Hong Kong -- Equipment and supplies -- Maintenance and repair
Plant maintenance -- China -- Hong Kong
Reliability (Engineering) -- China -- Hong Kong
Maintainability (Engineering) -- China -- Hong Kong
Hong Kong Polytechnic University -- Dissertations
|Multi-disciplinary Studies
Dept. of Electrical Engineering
|vi, 32 leaves : ill. ; 31 cm
|InnoPac Record:
|Maintenance efficiency is an important factor in many industries. It is because the direct cost of maintenance is now one of the highest components of operating costs. Therefore, to identify a suitable maintenance management system and to develop a cost effective maintenance strategy has become a high priority in many companies. This project attempts to introduce a modern technique in maintenance management used in the electrical equipment of the Hong Kong Power Station. By considering the safety & environmental factors, plant availability and maintenance efficiency of the implementation result, the advantages and disadvantages of applying such technique are being identified. During the study, different kinds of maintenance approach used by the management were reviewed through reference books, technical paper and comments from experienced engineers. After going through the maintenance history and the exiting maintenance approach in some large industries, a modern maintenance technique (Reliability Centred Maintenance) was being identified. Moreover, various techniques to be used to monitor the condition of electric power cable joints and terminations are also discussed in this dissertation. The effectiveness of the technique "Infrared thermal imaging cameras" using for the determination of cable terminal fault is being identified. By adopting such technique, the failure at the cable terminal can be prevented and the consequences can be avoided or reduced. In the discussion of this dissertation, one of the approach to revisit the RCM strategies is introduced, which is "TM Services RCM approach". It uses a reliability based approach considering the risk based and cost based factors as well as utilising computer to simplify and speed up the review of the RCM process. It is realised that the world is changing rapidly. If a company wants to survive in competitive environment, it should not only focus on their productivity and maintenance efficiency but also to meet customer expectations. Therefore the application case study of Total Quality Management concept in China Light & Power Company Limited is also discussed in the project.
|As a bona fide Library user, I declare that:
|By downloading any item(s) listed above, you acknowledge that you have read and understood the copyright undertaking as stated above, and agree to be bound by all of its terms.


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With the help of my buddy Tony I managed to close out one of my guitar building projects. I built an electric guitar last year but I put a pretty mediocre bridge on it. So sometime last year I bought a really nice one on Craigslist but I've been extremely slow at actually replacing it. TODAY I was finally able to get my act together and install the new bridge (a Gotoh-Wilkinson Tremolo if you're interested). Then I made a trip to REI, the Verizon store, Sarah's place, and finally back to my own place to crash after a weekend well-adventured.
It's kind of bizarre to think that this is the 2nd to last day of this month's challenge. I'm excited to wrap it up tomorrow and analyze my non-work lifestyle. I feel like it was a pretty accurate representation of my daily life; a good mix of outdoorsy stuff, physical fitness, taking public transit, and hanging out with friends on a daily basis. Tomorrow night should be relatively uneventful because I'll be trying to wrap up my blog posts for the month and also trying to get things cranking on my next month's challenge; The 100 Item Challenge.


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Is 20/20 perfect vision?
Vision World Wide, Inc. reports that a measurement of 20/20 vision does not equate to perfect vision. In addition, according to All About Vision, 20/20 only refers to the ability to read clearly at...
Read More »
How do you get perfect vision?
you go to the eye doctor and get glasses if you need them or she or magic!
Can someone get colored contacts even if they have perfect vision?
Yes of course you can. Go to www.eyescolored.com, they are perfect and cheap. They will not cause your eyes any harm, i've used them numberous times. The Moonlight colored contacts are very nice......
Read More »
Do you have to have perfect vision to fly a bomber plane in the air force?
Yes, pilots need to be glasses and contacts free for their own safety and for the safety of the crew flying with the pilot. They have to pass a distance and close up eye test.
Episode 12 Godsend When Peter experiences a second vision of himself exploding New York City which hero is now seen that was not in the original vision?
I believe it is Claude Raines (Invisibility)


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Forex market risk
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Video by theme:
Forex Risk Management
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text: Sacha Onslow U6 writes: To mark the 20th anniversary of the Rwandan genocide, the St Swithun's community was lucky to have a visit from Sir Edward Clay, the former British ambassador to Rwanda. After a special supper accompanied by members of the L6 politics class (and having praised the quality of the company as well as the food) Sir Edward gave a fascinating talk on his own experiences at the time, including the surprisingly informal nature of his appointment as ambassador. However, it was the reluctance of the international community to get involved in keeping the uprising peaceful that was really shocking. Providing, as a comparison to the Rwanda situation, the then contemporary unrest in Kosovo, and the almost-immediate reaction of governments worldwide to that insurgency, Sir Edward raised some interesting questions about responsibility on a global level.


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Beverly Hills, CA 90210
The ultimate lifestyle w/ exclusive concierge services, as well as the Forbes Five Star services & amenities of the Montage Beverly Hills hotel. The residence designed w/ Mediterranean-style fixtures & finishes includes grand living and dining rm, 3 en suite bedrooms all w/10' ft. ceilings, 4 bathrooms, office & gourmet kitchen. Residence offers private balconies w/ dramatic views of the surrounding cityscape. Two exclusive residential elevator, private & valet parking & state-of-the-art security system.
Soren Olsen with ORES Realty
2018 Michael Gardner. All rights reserved. © Collaborative Home Search by RealSavvy
"Based on information from the Association of REALTORS®/Multiple Listing Service as of [see date below]. All data, including all measurements and calculations of area, is obtained from various sources and has not been, and will not be, verified by the broker or MLS. All information should be independently reviewed and verified for accuracy. Properties may or may not be listed by the office/agent presenting the information. The information being provided is for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing."


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Responsible for making sure all assigned areas of the home are clean, neat, and tidy. This includes any indoor household cleaning and organizing tasks assigned by the employer and may regularly include cleaning "projects" (e.g., cleaning and organizing a messy closet). Typical responsibilities include vacuuming, dusting, laundry, mopping and waxing floors and changing and laundering linen. Some housekeeper/maid positions also require cooking or food preparation and heavy cleaning, like cleaning windows and furniture.
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The list is up. The participant list and their bib numbers for IMWI was recently posted. Check it out for people you know and jot down their bib numbers so you can track them on Race-Day, September 11. I got #1879.
Here's the IMWI site: click THIS.
If you don't want to drill thru that, click HERE for the participant list with bib numbers.
Click HERE so you can track people you know that are in the race. If that doesn't work come race-day, go to www.ironmanlive.com and you'll find the link. How the tracker works: Every time an athlete crosses a mat, their time for the section they just completed will be available on-line. There is a delay most of the time. For example, the race starts at 7am. Lets say you expect a friend of yours to be out of the water at about 8:15am so you check and track them at 8:30, but there's still nothing listed--be patient and check again in a few minutes. It will eventually post.
I'll put up a post on Friday, Sept 9 with much of the above information and my goal times for the race.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Ironman Wisconsin Bib Numbers Announced
2 comments:
- Brian said...
My Iowa buddy, William Jenks will also be there. He did Chisago with you so I think you two sort of met??
- August 25, 2011 at 10:35 AM
- Mario said...
I remember seeing him and we commented on each others blogs, but didn't meet. I saw his IM time from a previous IMWI-- just over 12 hours. If things go better than I anticipate, I might get a time like that.
- August 25, 2011 at 12:09 PM
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The Los Angeles Angels this offseason have made it a priority to improve their pitching staff that was ranked statistically among the worst in the league, and the addition of Eric O'Flaherty would be another step toward helping that cause.
The 28-year-old pitcher spent his first three years of his career with the Seattle Mariners where he had several stints between the majors and minors due to his inconsistent pitching. O'Flaherty was able to play in a full season with the Mariners in 2007 as posted he a 7-1 record with a 4.47 ERA, 37 strikeouts, 45 hits allowed and four holds in 52.1 innings pitched. In that year he became the first pitcher in Seattle's history to begin his major league career with seven consecutive wins.
O'Flaherty would struggle in the 2008 regular season as he only pitched in 6.2 innings with a 20.25 ERA and was sent down the minors. His major league career would again take off in 2009 as he would sign with the Atlanta Braves, where he has spent his last five seasons of his career. He would have his best season in 2011 as he became the first reliever in MLB history to have an early below 1.00 ERA to go along with making at least 70 appearances in one season. In his historic season, O'Flaherty had a 2-4 record with a 0.98 ERA, 67 strikeouts, 1.09 WHIP and 32 holds in 72.1 innings pitched.
He would follow up that season performance in the next season by posting 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 46 strikeouts and 28 holds in 57.1 innings pitched. But this last season the injury bug would hit O'Flaherty as he would only make 19 appearances where he pitched 18.0 innings with a 2.50 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 12 holds before his year was abruptly cut short due a torn UCL in his left elbow that required Tommy John surgery.
During his tenure with the Braves, the seven-year veteran demonstrated that he could be a reliable arm that the Angels would welcome on their pitching staff that had its fair share of struggles last season. The addition of O'Flaherty would be good addition to the bullpen, but questions about the right-hander's health may become an issue as he is coming off Tommy John surgery which typically takes a pitcher an entire year to recover from the procedure. If the Halos were to add O'Flaherty, who is only 28 years old, it would have to be a commitment past this upcoming season as it would give him time to fully recover from the surgery.
Nonetheless, if Los Angeles is looking to add another quality arm to their pitching staff, O'Flaherty would be a low-risk, high reward move. And if it works out he would be a great acquisition to their bullpen.
Bob Garcia is a sports writer for Rantsports.com. Follow him on Twitter @Bgarcia90. "Like" him on Facebook or add him to your network on Google.


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Wow, this is a GREAT deal on Trivial Pursuit Digital Choice over on Amazon right now.
This game is normally $50 and is right now only $10.99.
Plus shipping is FREE with Amazon Prime or Amazon Moms (which you can sign up for HERE if you haven't already - it's free!).


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Each bag is made by me in my Pacific Northwest home from start to finish. They are perfect for crafting on the go.
Bags are offered in three sizes:
Sock Size (holds 1-2 skeins)
Shawl Size (holds 2-3 skeins)
Sweater Size (holds 4-6 skeins)
Pick one to give as a birthday gift, a bridesmaid gift or even a just because gift. They are perfect for any occasion and anyone.
Choose from what is available on the website or contact me about having a custom, one-of-a-kind bag made just for you!
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It's been always my dream to make 3D models of my ideas and sketches as easy and fast as possible. and I am happy that I'm living in an era that every dream becomes true. Z Corp. suggests lots of solutions for 3D modeling, and it's great to see smaller and more compact modellers that could be used at home!(although prices are still the problem, but not for big companies). even you can have 3D figure of your imaginary character! along all these, again Stanford-ians, have converted 2D pictures into 3D models. all these achievements are speaking of second virtual life. What if I can have 3D model of . . . ?!
Watch Steve on Like/Unlike
2 days ago


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Slaves Of Technology is a piece of digital artwork by Larry Butterworth which was uploaded on January 1st, 2012.
Lately I have been thinking about my addiction to technology and thought I would check in for a few weeks of rehab, but they wouldn't let me take my... more
Slaves Of Technology
Larry Butterworth
Digital Art - Digital Art
Lately I have been thinking about my addiction to technology and thought I would check in for a few weeks of rehab, but they wouldn't let me take my laptop with me. This isn't too far from true for me, I am addicted to the internet and my laptop, what would I do without them?
I like my new telephone, my computer works just fine, my calculator is perfect, but Lord, I miss my mind! ~Author Unknown
The factory of the future will have only two employees, a man and a dog. The man will be there to feed the dog. The dog will be there to keep the man from touching the equipment. ~Warren G. Bennis
Do you realize if it weren't for Edison we'd be watching TV by candlelight? ~Al Boliska
What the country needs are a few labor-making inventions. ~Arnold Glasow
The real danger is not that computers will begin to think like men, but that men will begin to think like computers. ~Sydney J. Harris
January 1st, 2012
Viewed 138 Times - Last Visitor from Shenyang, 19 - China on 03/31/2018 at 10:53 AM
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For what I received I passed on to you as of first importance: that Christ died for our sins according to the Scriptures,that he was buried, that he was raised on the third day according to the Scriptures....
Welcome to this weeks:
Super Sketchy Sunday on 365 Cards
we are sponsored by
Robyn's Fetish Digital Stamps
this week
we are sponsored by
Robyn's Fetish Digital Stamps
this week
** made and sent my card to Pam early
as we were out of town for part of the week.
sorry i didn't have time to make another
with Robyn's awesome digis to show you.
paper: su soft swede, bg cappella
button: bg cappella
misc: pearls, edge distressing
punches: su round tab, ms swirling lace corner
sentiment: SRM Stickers Fancy Sentiments Thinking of You
i found THIS link on Pinterest showing how
to make medallions using corner punches!
have fun with this one!!
hop on over and see what the rest of the
Super Sketchy Sunday DT
has created to inspire you :)