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New findings from an Insurance Research Council (IRC) study of no-fault auto injury insurance claims show that average claimed losses for medical expenses, lost wages, and other expenses related to injuries from auto accidents in Michigan grew 192 percent, or 13 percent per year, on average, between 2002 and 2011. Over the same period, the annual inflation rate for medical care averaged approximately 4 percent. Unlike any other state, Michigan requires drivers to purchase insurance providing unlimited lifetime medical coverage for auto crash-related injuries. The study found that a small number of very expensive claims have been a significant cost driver in the Michigan system. Among claims that have been closed with payment, just 1 percent involved losses greater than $250,000. These claims, however, accounted for 22 percent of total claimed losses among all claims closed with payment. These findings are consistent with other research indicating that all catastrophic claims, including open as well as closed claims, represent 1-2 percent of all claims but more than 45 percent of total injury-related claim losses.
The IRC study, No-Fault Auto Injury Claims in Michigan: A Study of Closed Claims and Open Catastrophic Claims, also shows that the share of total claimed losses attributable to medical expenses has risen considerably—to 83 percent, for closed claims, and 90 percent, for open catastrophic claims, in 2011. Much of this growth has been due to shifts in treatment patterns. For example, the percentage of (closed claim) claimants with expensive MRI procedures grew from 8 percent in 2002 to 16 percent in 2011. Similarly, the percentage of (closed claim) claimants with CT scans, over the same period, grew from 16 percent to 25 percent. The average charge for an MRI in 2011 was $4,453, while the average charge for a CT procedure was $2,720.
Another factor in the significant growth of medical costs in Michigan PIP claims has been a much higher than average hospital utilization rate. The study shows that approximately three-quarters (76 percent) of (closed claim) claimants in 2011 received some form of hospital treatment. In contrast, the average hospital utilization rate countrywide in 2007 (the latest year for which data are available) was 61 percent.
"This report provides further evidence of the role that a relatively small number of very large claims play in the increased costs to the entire Michigan no-fault system," said Elizabeth Sprinkel, Senior Vice President of the IRC. "Moreover, as other no-fault states move to crack down on PIP fraud, the availability of unlimited benefits in the Michigan system may prove a powerful lure to unscrupulous providers looking to shift their operations to new, more vulnerable markets."
The study included findings from a detailed analysis of catastrophic claims that were still active and open at the time of the study. Among these claims, all with an accident date of 2004 or later, only 40 percent of the estimated final payment had been made at the time of the survey. One of the most striking features of these open catastrophic claims was the use of attendant care, especially claims for care provided by family members, which is unique to the Michigan system. Nearly 60 percent of open catastrophic claims included expenses for family-provided attendant care.
The IRC study examines detailed claim information from nearly 640 claims closed with payment in 2011 and nearly 440 open claims with expected losses of $250,000 or more and an accident date of 2004 or later. Seven primary insurers, representing approximately 55 percent of the private passenger auto insurance market in Michigan, participated in the study and were the sole source of the claim data analyzed for the study. For more detailed information on the study's methodology and findings, contact David Corum, at (484) 831-9046, or by e-mail at irc(at)TheInstitutes(dot)org. Copies of the study are available for $125 for an electronic version, or $140 for a printed copy. Visit IRC's Web site at http://www.insurance-research.org for more information.


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Client Speak
I find in PeopleWiz, a dedicated partner, who spares no effort to understand my challenges and requirement. They are conscious about quality, open to feedback and flexible in their approach to work. In my year long association, I have found them always ready to support and work as one of our own. It has been a pleasure working with them
HR management in non-profit entities poses unique challenges and has many more dimensions than for-profit companies. In PeopleWiz, we found the HR partners who invested time and efforts in understanding our organization, its mission, our HR philosophy and strategy before coming out with recommendations that were not only practical, realistic and beneficial to both management and employees, but also were benchmarked to best practices followed in other professional organizations. Our continued engagement with PeopleWiz is a testimony of the value they have added to our organization
PeopleWiz team has displayed high level ownership and concern for Neologic's benefit throughout the design and deployment of the new structure. Our continued engagement with them is a testament to the confidence and trust that they have rightfully earned.
A great team to work with, PeopleWiz consultants show consistently high level of energy, inspiring and motivating the management and employees alike. It has been a pleasure to associate with them.
Displaying true team spirit, PeopleWiz consultants worked in tandem with the management team in our Systems Integration Business, to articulate the vision, build consensus on business goals and recommend an organization design that gets us ready for the future. The business appreciation, industry insight and concern for satisfying the customer with quality work makes PeopleWiz stand apart
A knowledgeable team of consultants, PeopleWiz produced deliverables that were well researched, realistic and easy to use. I found them to be methodical, flexible in their approach and open to ideas. They have created a meaningful repository of work that will be useful for our future developmental work

subset: commoncrawl


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As a parent, when you're faced with a suspicious child head injury, you may be hesitant or even reluctant to consider the possibility that someone has abused your child, particularly someone to whom you trusted your child's protection. A Texas personal injury lawyer who has experience in handling these cases can help you get justice for your child against negligent or abusive caretakers.
First Step in Child Injury Prevention
When you consider sending your child to a day care center, it's vital to your peace of mind and to the security of your child that you ask questions about how your child will be monitored, interacted with, and disciplined.
Questions for day care centers:
- Is the facility licensed? If not, why not?
- Are parents permitted to visit the facility and make surprise visits?
- What's the ratio of adults to children?
- Are children ever left alone with adults?
- Does the facility run background checks on all of its personnel?
- Are the children ever transported in vehicles? If so, what are the driver requirements and what safety protocol is followed? and
- How is discipline handled? Are the policies in writing and available to parents?
If the day care center is unable or unwilling to answer your questions to your satisfaction, review whether you think you should send your child to that facility.
Contacting a Texas Personal Injury Lawyer
If you discover a suspicious child head injury, before you take the important step of hiring an attorney, educate yourself about what you can expect from a Texas injury case. Order this free guide for Texas accident victims and learn:
- What to ask a lawyer before hiring them to take your case.
- The most common reasons a Texas personal injury claim will fail.
- What you can do to protect your injury claim.
Not every accident case requires the help of a Texas personal injury lawyer and we can help you to determine whether yours is one of those cases! If you are ready to get started with your case, we urge you to contact us today for a FREE case evaluation from one of our child injury lawyers - 512-472-7799.


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Rupiah's vulgarity has gone too far
by mazuba mwiinga
It makes me shade tears of shock, disgust, dismay, disgrace and scare to say the least. What has gone into President Rupiah's brains? He seems to be imagining things as excuses to pour out his derogatory breathe on his political opponents. What a shame my fellow Zambians.
If last week's Post story about Hichilema is to go by then Rupiah has gone too far in his desperation to win the hearts of the Zambians the wrong way. The Post quoted HH as having said, "If they go along on this line, Rupiah Banda will be chased like a dog in 2011."
According to my little knowledge I acquired in Phonetics and Phonology, the statement above is far from being interpreted as meaning 'Rupiah is a dog', as Rupiah alleges to have meant that as reported in The Post story of April 27, 2010.
Calling someone a son of a dog is no excuse just because someone is a president and as such has immunity from facing ligation in the court of law. It's totally immoral, decadent and wicked for a President of the nation, voted in by the people of the republic, to insult in broad day light without any remorse, even when he was insulted.
Rupiah is too old a man to expose himself in such a manner.
The level of this vulgarity is such a shame to our country and is denting the image of our nation abroad so badly; May God save our souls. Can we allow such kind of a leadership continue demolishing our well-built image just for the sake of wanting to gain political mirage?
If our grand fathers are failing to show cause why we the young ones should guard respect as a corner stone of our moral cradle, then what do you expect them to do? Devise their own formula of how to conduct themselves in public when the elders are un dressing themselves in public? Ba President mwa tusampuzya!
Copyright: April 27, 2010 mazuba mwiinga


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June 29, 2009 --A little give and take with your children could help speed language development. A new study finds, if you want to help children develop language and speech skills, researchers say listening to what they have to say is just as important as talking to them.
The study in the journal Pediatrics finds the effect of a conversation between a child and an adult is about six times as great as the effect of adult speech input alone.
Scientists say adults speaking to children helps language development, but what matters much more is the interaction; the more the child speaks, it reinforces their knowledge.


text: According to Bootsy Collins, they were so excited about "More Bounce" that he, Roger, and George Clinton spent most of the session airborne. I saw Zapp perform "Computer Love" twice—consecutively—at the Charlotte Coliseum, with RJ's Latest Arrival and Doug E. Fresh opening. Roger wore a suit made of Christmas lights. His brother Lester, the drummer, said the beginning of "Computer Love" was inspired by "Iron Man." I like the idea of Zapp practicing Talkbox versions of "Iron Man" in their garage in Hamilton, Ohio, while the deep freeze went on the fritz.


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Steps For Kitchen
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As noun
a movement made by lifting the foot and setting it down again in a new position, accompanied by a shifting of the weight of the body in the direction of the new position, as in walking, running, or dancing
such a movement followed by a movement of equal distance of the other foot:The soldier took one step forward and stood at attention
the space passed over or the distance measured by one such movement of the foot
the sound made by the foot in making such a movement
a mark or impression made by the foot on the ground; footprint
the manner of walking; gait; stride
pace in marching:double-quick step
a pace uniform with that of another or others, or in time with music
steps, movements or course in walking or running:to retrace one's steps
a move, act, or proceeding, as toward some end or in the general course of some action; stage, measure, or period:the five steps to success
rank, degree, or grade, as on a vertical scale
a support for the foot in ascending or descending:a step of a ladder; a stair of steps
a very short distance:She was never more than a step away from her children
a repeated pattern or unit of movement in a dance formed by a combination of foot and body motions
step aerobics
a degree of the staff or of the scale
the interval between two adjacent scale degrees; second
Compare semitone, whole step
steps, British
a stepladder
an offset part of anything
a socket, frame, or platform for supporting the lower end of a mast
a flat-topped ledge on the face of a quarry or a mine working
As verb (used without object), stepped, stepping
to move, go, etc
, by lifting the foot and setting it down again in a new position, or by using the feet alternately in this manner:to step forward
to walk, or go on foot, especially for a few strides or a short distance:Step over to the bar
to move with measured steps, as in a dance
to go briskly or fast, as a horse
to obtain, find, win, come upon, etc
, something easily and naturally, as if by a mere step of the foot:to step into a good business opportunity
to put the foot down; tread by intention or accident:to step on a cat's tail
to press with the foot, as on a lever, spring, or the like, in order to operate some mechanism
As verb (used with object), stepped, stepping
to take (a step, pace, stride, etc
to go through or perform the steps of (a dance)
to move or set (the foot) in taking a step
to measure (a distance, ground, etc
) by steps (sometimes followed by off or out)
to make or arrange in the manner of a series of steps
to fix (a mast) in its step
As Verb phrases
step down, to lower or decrease by degrees
to relinquish one's authority or control; resign: Although he was past retirement age, he refused to step down and let his son take over the business
step in, to become involved; intervene, as in a quarrel or fight:The brawl was well under way by the time the police stepped in
step out, to leave a place, especially for a brief period of time
to walk or march at a more rapid pace
to go out to a social gathering or on a date: We're stepping out tonight
step up, to raise or increase by degrees: to step up production
to be promoted; advance
to make progress; improve
As Idioms
break step, to interrupt or cease walking or marching in step:The marching units were allowed to break step after they had passed the reviewing stand
in step, moving in time to a rhythm or with the corresponding step of others
in harmony or conformity with: They are not in step with the times
keep step, to keep pace; stay in step:The construction of classrooms and the training of teachers have not kept step with population growth
out of step, not in time to a rhythm or corresponding to the step of others
not in harmony or conformity with: They are out of step with the others in their group
step by step, from one stage to the next in sequence
gradually and steadily: We were shown the steelmaking process step by step
step on it, Informal
to hasten one's activity or steps; hurry up:If we don't step on it, we'll miss the show
take steps, to set about putting something into operation; begin to act:I will take steps to see that your application is processed
watch one's step, to proceed with caution; behave prudently:If she doesn't watch her step, she will be fired from her job
As preposition
with the object or purpose of:to run for exercise
intended to belong to, or be used in connection with: equipment for the army;a closet for dishes
suiting the purposes or needs of:medicine for the aged
in order to obtain, gain, or acquire: a suit for alimony;to work for wages
(used to express a wish, as of something to be experienced or obtained):O, for a cold drink!
sensitive or responsive to:an eye for beauty
desirous of: a longing for something;a taste for fancy clothes
in consideration or payment of; in return for: three for a dollar;to be thanked for one's efforts
appropriate or adapted to: a subject for speculation;clothes for winter
with regard or respect to: pressed for time;too warm for April
during the continuance of:for a long time
in favor of; on the side of:to be for honest government
in place of; instead of:a substitute for butter
in the interest of; on behalf of:to act for a client
in exchange for; as an offset to: blow for blow;money for goods
in punishment of:payment for the crime
in honor of:to give a dinner for a person
with the purpose of reaching:to start for London
contributive to:for the advantage of everybody
in order to save:to flee for one's life
in order to become:to train recruits for soldiers
in assignment or attribution to: an appointment for the afternoon;That's for you to decide
such as to allow of or to require:too many for separate mention
such as results in:his reason for going
as affecting the interests or circumstances of:bad for one's health
in proportion or with reference to:He is tall for his age
in the character of; as being:to know a thing for a fact
by reason of; because of: to shout for joy;a city famed for its beauty
in spite of:He's a decent guy for all that
to the extent or amount of:to walk for a mile
(used to introduce a subject in an infinitive phrase):It's time for me to go
(used to indicate the number of successes out of a specified number of attempts):The batter was for in the game
As conjunction
seeing that; since
As Idioms
for it, British
in (def )
As noun
a room or place equipped for cooking
culinary department; cuisine:This restaurant has a fine Italian kitchen
the staff or equipment of a kitchen
As adjective
of, relating to, or designed for use in a kitchen:kitchen window; kitchen curtains
employed in or assigned to a kitchen:kitchen help
of or resembling a pidginized language, especially one used for communication between employers and servants or other employees who do not speak the same language
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Such A Perfect Day
Tuesday 31st January 2012 probably won't go down as any sort of momentous moment in the Everton history books but for me it was just one of those days when just about everything was spot on, and I'd like to thank all of the people who made it possible.
1. The Whole Team. Thank you for putting on the sort of performance that Evertonians love to watch. Most fans, myself included, would have looked at our line up, compared it to the Mancs, and feared the worst. The match started and once again we showed that with 100% commitment, and no fear of our opponents, Everton are a match for most teams and can beat the league leaders no matter how much their squad cost.
2. David Moyes. Thank you for selecting that team. So many times you've been criticised for selection and tactics this season that it's right and fair to acknowledge when you've got it exactly right. Last night you did. Much as I love Hibbo I feared for him at centre back against Dzeko and Aguero but he was superb and you deserve great credit for putting him in there.
3. The Imposter In The Number 11 Shirt. When we signed Denis I watched all of the Youtube clips and thought we might have a decent player on our hands. Then he appeared on the pitch and that all changed. I thought we'd been conned into buying Diego Maradona's nephew, a bit like Souness when he bought George Weah's cousin only to find he'd never played a match in his life. I realise that sometimes foreign players take time to acclimatize to the pace of the Premiership but I challenge anyone who saw his early games to tell me they knew Denis had a performance like that in him. He showed more commitment in the first five minutes than the dear departed King Louis had shown all season. Then he carried that on until eventually the fourth official took mercy on him and raised the board with his number on so that he could virtually stagger off to a well deserved standing ovation. Superb Stracquarlursi.
4. David Moyes (again) and Bill Kenwright. While other managers and chairmen have been constantly appearing on Sky Sports News or in the papers telling us all who they were going to buy there was silence from Goodison. Despite the moans from certain quarters that we weren't doing anything and we should be getting involved in all of the speculation I'd like to thank Moysie and Blue Bill for doing things the Everton way. Keep all of your dealings discreet until you've actually got the player(s) you want then shout about it from the rooftops. If nothing else at least it stops people like Harry Redknapp jumping in with a bid for every player our scouting system identifies. Without getting carried away I think the transfer window has been good for us, and the Deadline Day acquisitions of Jelavic and Peanuts could be just what we needed. Even without either of them kicking a ball for us yet you can sense a feeling of optimism amongst the fans, and that's been echoed by the tweets of Captain Phil and the rest of our squad. Special thanks to Bill for staying in London last night to make sure the Pienaar deal went through, and having to miss a great Goodison night, (and yes, before you start, I know it's his job but where would you have rather been ?).
5. Match Of The Day. Every week I have to put up with complaints from my mum that "Bastard Lineker" has put us on last again and only shown 1 minute and 50 seconds of our match just before the final credits roll. Unbelievably last night Big Ears and his mates put us on first. Not a great highlight of the season but at least it would stop my mum moaning. At least it did until that "Bastard Hansen" insisted that we were lucky not to have conceded at least 2 stonewall penalties. "Liverpudlian Bastard".
6. My Neighbours. This is a strange and personal one but I'd like to thank each and every one of them for not calling the police last night. Apparently a "slightly" overweight drunken 50 year old man was seen running around my garden, shirt pulled up over his head, doing the Cahill boxing celebration with an apple tree while singing "Manchester Is Full Of Shite". You would think someone of that age would have more respect for his neighbours and would spare them that sort of horror show, after all, it was only a 1 nil win in a league match. In his defence I will say that with so many low points already this season I believe that each and every success should be celebrated to the full. My neighbours are hoping we don't have a good cup run.
Tuesday 31st January 2012 - Thank You For The Day


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'The Voices' Trailer: Ryan Reynolds' Pets Make Him A Serial Killer – Watch
Not sure what to make out of 'The Voices?' Well, think 'Dr. Doolittle,' meets 'Lars & the Real Girl,' meets 'Amityville Horror. Confused? Just wait until you see the trailer.
Ryan Reynolds may be more likable than ever in this new film, The Voices but that doesn't mean he's not a killer. Or is he? The new trailer just premiered of the film, also starring our favorite girl, Anna Kendrick but it involves many very strange components — like talking animals. Props to Ryan, who supplies the human voices of the non-human speakers. Watch the trailer here!
'The Voices' Trailer
Well this is certainly a different kind of movie! Although the film was released last year in– of all places– Sweden, the first U.S. trailer for Ryan's upcoming film The Voices has just been released and it's kind of a trip!
In it, Ryan is super charming but also murdering women by the dozen and storing their heads in his fridge? Oh and he's also talking to cats…and dogs…and probably goldfish or something, too. Honestly, you need to watch the trailer to see what we're talking about!
Ryan Is Pulling Double Duty
Though the trailer for his new film was just released, that's hardly the biggest news in Ryan's life this week. It was revealed on Jan. 5 that Ryan and wife, Blake Lively, welcomed their first child, a little girl, into the world right around the holidays.
The absolutely stunning couple has reportedly named their precious bundle of joy, Violet. So adorable!
While we wait for those first (sure-to-be-gorgeous) photos of Violet, at least we have this trailer to watch and hold us over.
What do you guys think of the trailer? Are you excited for The Voices? Or is it just too odd for you? Let us know!
— Emily Longeretta


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Clio Art Fair took place in Chelsea from March 2 – 5, 2017. In its fourth year in succession, the Fair celebrates independent artists that are not represented by galleries and therefore the atmosphere is unique. The two galleries of the fair are curated as one, rather than separate galleries. …
March, 2017
October, 2016
5 October
5 Iconic Photographers Famous For Shooting Celebrities
by Reginald Amedee The art of photography is more than just making sure your white-balances match whatever photo you're taking, it is more than just calculating lightning and quantifying your shutter speeds for the best possible picture, it is more than any program that tweaks the fidelity of an image, …
July, 2015
22 July
Artists & Nude Models Take To The New York Streets For Bodypainting Day (NSFW)
New York, Wednesday, July 22, 2015 On Saturday Dag Hammarskjold Plaza on 47th Street and 2nd Avenue in Manhattan came alive with body paint, camera shutters, simulated camera shutters (on smart phones), and a literal ton of bare skin, for the second ever Bodypainting Day. King of the body painting world, Andy Golub …
January, 2015
20 January
Vera Kachouh's The Moon in My Kitchen – The Baking Artist
Photo Courtesy of Vera Kachouh, 10/25/2014 Tuesday, January 20, 2015 – San Francisco, CA During Open Studios at the Noonan Building, I experienced a unique element that you wouldn't easily find at any studio event – Vera Kachouh's pastry Pop-Up known as The Moon in My Kitchen. That is also the …
16 January
Open Studios at the Noonan Building
Monday, January 5, 2015 – San Francisco, CA At the end of October, Artiholics surveyed the captivating energy of the Noonan Building, an artist community on the verge of major community developments. Located in Pier 70 on the eastern waterfront in San Francisco, this historic neighborhood of 28 acres once harbored …


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We have faced a very intense summer that has culminated with two powerful Eclipses, whose energies are still bathing us, between other cosmic forces that has helped us to evaluate what no longer can coexist within this new cycle of Divine Love and authenticity and dissolve what no longer serves with gratitude and compassion. The New Moon at 19 degrees Libra on October 12/13th sets the proper foundations and balance for our physical lives after all the intense waves we have been integrating and also after spending some time with Mercury retrograde envisioning our new creations in the invisible, as well as evaluating our life experiences from a higher place of Divine wisdom and discerment. The Libra New Moon is going to help us create the harmony and stability that we also need into our tangible world, as both aspects, the divine and our human one, are equally important to co-create a steady and prosperous physical experience that not only satisfies our soul desires but also our earthly needs.
At this time, we are invited to keep manifesting with the balance that Libra offers us, the inner visions we hold for our new reality, but with the proper discernment and self-observation to realize if we are building strong pillars that support our earthly journey, in all aspects not only in the spiritual one, and if so, whether we are doing it with integrity and assistance to All things/beings or if we are just focused on the self, which is what Virgo and a lot of Planets in this same sign remind us at the moment. The Libra New Moon brings harmonizing energies to our relationships as well, specially after a time of examining and dissolving all that will no longer be a part of our new path during this Mercury retrograde phase, and that should be released as we do not hold the same frequency we have decided to embrace.
At the New Moon time, we have the Sun and the Moon opposing Uranus in Aries which is also squared by Pluto, and if it were not enough intense, we also have Venus direct again in Virgo, squaring Saturn in Sagittarius. Uranus, The Awakener, and even more squared by Pluto, the Planet of Power, triggers the necessary change that has to occur within ourselves, for us to take charge of our lives, evaluate what is in deep urge of being transformed, and modify what should be alter to create balance and harmony where chaos and separation used to reign. It is a heavy force that invites us to finally break free from old patterns, but it is only through challenging ourselves to move out of the familiar and embrace change that we can manifest new outcomes aligned with our highest will and start manifesting a new path filled with joy and authentic companions. Uranus, is going to act as the catalyst for us to see that the Truth of what is taking place in our lives is a reflection of what is within and that only by navigating into its depths is that we can awake to what is fragmented and unite it all.
Venus squaring Saturn, allows us to discover the aspects of our lives that need to be balanced by creating the proper foundations to obtain stability in our lives, remember that during this month, and even more at the end with a wonderful Full Moon in Taurus, we are called to use our power to also nurture our material world, as not only can we live by being centered on one single side of who we are but in the whole. As Venus also rules abundance and love in all it forms, we have here an opportunity to focus on the self: Are we loving all aspects of who we are as equal? Are expanding the love that we are and feel for our own selves to All? Are we assisting through our hearts from a place of integrity and detachment? Or are we still basing ourselves on obtaining something in return? If you are not yet where you would like to be, judgments are unnecessary, instead of it, inner work is pivotal to shift those old feelings from other past selves that are still whispering in your ear that you are not enough and that there is lack or separation in our lives.
The energy of Saturn acts as the healing link between our repetitive old patterns to heal and the power we have in our present moment to be aware of them and dismiss those egoic limitations that arise from the old. To me, Saturn is not acting as a karmic and punishing force, but instead, as a reminder of those old patterns that sometimes we tend to repeat and that are not helping us anymore. Saturn is a way out of the old, as it helps us to remembrance what we are not anymore, since we are shifting at every moment and we are not our past selves and the decisions they took yesterday, but renew and more conscious beings, making new choices at every now moment that are in resonance with our souls.
Another important aspect from this New Moon is fiery Mars in Virgo, which conjunct Jupiter, The Planet of Expansion, giving us the inner strength we need to achieve our soul desires without hesitation and by holding complete trust in the Divine and know that we are heading always into the right direction to create the necessary outcomes we truly need to evolve and expand ourselves within this unique journey we have chosen. The cosmic message is to create new beginnings instead of believing that a magical force will manifest all we desire for us. Now, we know that we are the creators and the magical beings that we used to seek outside and that we were programmed to believe, now we know that the only magicians and creators of all the magical miracles that appear in our tangible lives are our own selves and with this New Moon in Libra, the universe is once more reminding us to stop seeking outside what was always within to beign with.
On the other hand, harmonious Libra is not only going to rule this New Moon but also the loving one of Virgo during all this month as we have Mars and Jupiter together with the North Node in this same serviceable sign! This is a very fresh and warm energy to start anew and even more after having regained more clarity of what is going to be this new cycle in our lives, but remember that in order to see and obtain all the answers we may need, we just have to move inward and listen to our souls, which contains all the cosmic wisdom we seek outside ourselves to realize that this Libra-Virgo energy is asking us to integrate the balance we need for both, our inner being and for our physical lives, and more particularly for our relationships, the one we maintain with our own selves and the one we posses with other beings that are helping us to co-create our reality and experience what Divine love truly means.
During Mercury retrograde, we were able to envision from a higher perspective what was really taking place in our life experiences and Divine Reunions without the judgment of our egoic self and its limited view. Due to this self-evaluation process, we may have left behind some souls that accompanied us until this moment of or journey, but we already know we never leave anything behind as we are all One creating the illusion of separation. We also may have left behind old aspects of the self that were egoic and that impeded us to fully embrace our True Essence and Soul purpose, it is all happening for a highest purpose and it is essential that we empty our hearts from all the old, so we can prepare ourselves to receive the unknown in our lives, trusting that we are ready to face whatever new challenges will make us evolve into higher levels of Divine Love as well as to embody a higher level of consciousness.
Mercury direct again in Libra on October 9, together with Venus in Virgo will assist us to not separate ourselves from others, but instead to find the balance that establishes the basis of all relationships and recognizes that as Divine beings we are united by a thread of infinite light and that we are always worthy of the great love that we already are in Essence. Remember that we are always loved, appreciated and whole within Creation and there is nothing from the outside or anyone else that can really complete what the Divine already created unified within its pure love and light Essence. Once we are aware enough to not only see but to feel this Truth, abundance, love and everything we have been yearned for start coming into our life experience because we are finally allowing it to enter into our lives by leaving behind all illusion of not being a deserving being between other human old perceptions of what we are not.
Venus, the Planet of Abundance and Love, has also left fiery fiery Leo to enter into the sign of Virgo again and Mercury, the Winged Messenger, has also turn direct again in Libra. Venus in Virgo is all about sharing and expressing this love that we are into our human plane and by having Mercury direct again, we have the opportunity now after gained more clarity, to maintain balanced relationships without expectations or attachments if we still hold this old pattern. As Virgo is an Earth sign, it will help us to open our hearts and brings this Divine Love into ourselves and earthly plane. Venus in Virgo is very practical, and it increases our sense of community and service to others and makes us wonder if we are truly allowing the infinite influx of Divine Love to come into our lives or if we are in some way holding it back by our human sense of separation/lack and attachment. We are being invited to center more our attention into the things that bring us abundance and make our lives more comfortable, than into the ethereal aspect of who we are, as in the end, we came here to descend all this inner wisdom and soul expressions of the Divine into a physical world.
The Libra New Moon opens a portal of infinite harmony and love for us to embody, but it is essential that first we open ourselves to change. Change is only a transformation, an inner journey to re-discover the True Essence of who you are and what this higher aspect of you truly desires. Change may bring us what our human self perceives as chaos, this is only the unseen forces of the universe realigning what we have separated. When we stop fearing the unknown and welcome change, we are creating the magic that will allow us to fully live our lives from a total place of balance and authenticity.
Now, is the time to realize, as the Divine and wise beings of love and light that we are, that we also have to create the proper equilibrium to live in the physical and that now is the time to do so, as the earthly cyclical wheel reminds us. Once we harmonized all aspect of ourselves, our physical lives start changing and miracles start occurring, not because an outer force have decided to assist us by magic but because we, as Divine beings, and through inner alchemy, have taken charge and responsibility of our selves and lives, and created the transformation that once we thought has to come form the outside.
Many blessings and love for all the wonderful new beginnings that awaits you ascending Souls!
In love and light,
Natalia Alba


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We're 17 games into the Flames 2013 season and Calgary has just 17 points, good for 13th in the Western Conference. The Chicago Blackhawks are 18 points ahead of the Flames in the standings. The line between the contenders and pretenders seems to have already been permanently etched in stone.
In truth, we're still very much operating in the land of noise. The current standings and success rates offer only the merest hint of how good each team actually is in the broad scheme of things. In fact, we probably won't get to the true talent "signal" at any point this season given how short it is, but at 48-games we'll at least sort of have a better idea than we do now.
17-games seems like a lot, but it isn't. It's 17-poker hands, really, where the shuffle of the deck and luck of the draw have had as much influence over the proceedings as each player's ability. Calgary has alternated between great performances and bland ones so far, but in aggregate they haven't been as bad as their record implies given their shot rates and chance ratios. Certainly there are worse teams who have better success rates right now (*cough* Maple Leafs *cough*). In an alternate universe, where Kipper starts out the season like Craig Anderson rather than Vesa Toskala and Iginla scores on 20% of his shots rather than 4%, the Flames goal differential is +3 rather than -11 and the team is sitting comfortably in the middle of the playoff race.
None of this is to say Calgary is actually a contender or to excuse the obvious flaws in the line-up. We have years of data suggesting Calgary isn't all that competitive and the established criticisms about the make-up of the roster remain relevant. As a result, I think realistic expectations should again settle on the team actually being a 7-10 club in the West, as they have been for three seasons.
So What?
I'm noting all this because:
1.) The team isn't as bad as it seems and, in particular, their performance to date probably deserves better a better record than they have compiled. The Flames landed on the wrong tail-end of the distribution through the early going which is just the way it goes sometimes.
2.) Calgary will inevitably go on some sort of hot streak before the season ends, in part because their luck can't be this bad forever and in part because even terrible teams win a few in a row now and then. We'll hear a lot of stories about how the team is suddenly buying into what the new coaching staff is teaching, or how the roster has finally gelled, or some other such post hoc explanation, but in fact it will most likely be the natural up-and-downs of NHL hockey. I suggest everyone be as skeptical about those narratives as I hope you are about the tales of toughness and problems of leadership that are making the rounds right now.
This isn't merely a mathy conclusion or something born of staring at spreadsheets – it's a realization made from writing about the Flames and NHL hockey almost every day for 6+ years. If I've learned anything at all in that time it's that extrapolating a team's current performance and projecting it forward – particularly in times of extreme highs or lows – is never a good idea.
For now, we're swamped by randomness and issues of small sample size. We're starting to get a feel for Bob Hartley's coaching methods, how each player falls on the depth chart and just how successful they will be in those roles as time goes by, but we're not there on how good the team is overall. Although the first 17-games of this year will exert a certain amount of influence over if or how the Flames will compete for a playoff spot, it's not necessarily indicative of this roster's true talent level.
The Soft Schedule and other stuff
– One of the other "small sample" caveats right now is each team's strength of schedule. The great tragedy of Calgary's poor start (depending on your perspective I guess) is the Flames had probably one of the softest opening schedules in the league. Eleven of their first 17 games were at home (65%). They have only faced a handful of quality opponents as well, with just seven of those 17 games (41%) coming against clubs like Detroit, Los Angeles or Chicago. On top of all that, the Flames have had the benefit of a team playing on the second night of a back-to-back series five or six times already if memory serves.
Calgary's luck is bound to improve in terms SV% and SH%, but the road is bound to become a lot rockier as well.
– I was a guest on "Mic'd Up", a Calgary-focused sports podcast this weekend. For about an hour Chris and crew grilled me about my blogging past, how I came to be managing the Nations Network as well as stuff about the Flames and NHL hockey in general. Mic'd up can be found on itunes and the next episode should appear on their website pretty soon.
– We have a new Draftstreet freeroll for the week. I have had good feedback from some folks who have participated in a few of these, so give it a try if you haven't already. The prize money available for this week is again $300 and you'll need to have your roster set for Thursday nights games. LINK!
– Finally, if you missed it last Monday, Bruce Dowbiggen wrote about Manny Malhotra in the Globe and Mail and how major networks and MSM outlets didn't properly report his role and peculiar usage in Vancouver. Myself, Cam Charron and Thomas Drance get mentions.


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"Out & About" social sessions are about having fun with your companion dog in public. Every week we take our dogs to new places, where they train in and around the public. Sometimes we take them to dinner and dog friendly places, other times we visit a mall. This is a true test of how your dog behaves in public! It is also a great opportunity to show off your training to others. This is the "unofficial" Partners Demo Team, and also includes trainers and instructors.
Please read "Tips on Visiting and Travelling with your Dog"
Prerequisites for joining our Out & About group
Joining our Out & About group is a privilege. The members of the group work hard to be ambassadors for Partners Dog Training School, and for dogs in general. Dogs must be certified and handlers must agree to be respectful and courteous of others.
Please read our prerequisites for joining the Out & About group.
Special places we have been to
The following few places have been extremely welcoming of our "Out & About" Social group. Stop in and visit them, and tell them we sent you. Of course, we would love for you to support them as well. Us "dog people" need to help each other!
Lucy Store (Kierland)
Lucy Store is managed by Kerry. They have been awesome to us, and helped sponsor our dog-food drive to support homeless pets. They have also allowed us to train in their store, and put up with us buggin' them on a weekly basis. 15205 N Kierland Blvd., Scottsdale, AZ (480.948.5285)
Dog Friendly Places we have visited
▶ Lucy Store (Kierland)
Lucy is a great place to visit (See above)
▶ Biltmore Shopping Center
Biltmore Shopping Center in Phoenix is a great place to take your dog. Many of the stores allow dogs, but please maintain good control at all times.
▶ Westgate Shopping Center
Westgate over on the West side is a fun and entertaining place to train and hang out with your dogRead about Westgate
▶ Kierland Commons
Kierland just off Scottsdale Road is the place to be seen in Scottsdale. (With your dog of course)
▶ Old Town Scottsdale
Old Town Scottsdale, while famous for its clubs and nightlife, is also a great place to visit with your dogs.
Read about Old Town Scottsdale
▶ Tempe Town Lake
Tempe Town Lake is a great place to take your dog hiking or boating.
▶ Mill Avenue
We love Mill Avenue. It has some great places to eat, and most are dog friendly.
▶ Phoenix Zoo (NO PERSONAL PETS ALLOWED)
The Phoenix Zoo is an awesome place to go with the family. We love visiting the Phoenix Zoo with our working service dogs. It is an awesome place to see animals in natural habitats. (The Zoo also allows us to work with our dog in those conditions, but under very tight control.)
If you have the opportunity to see Zoo Lights, definitely do it!
The only dogs allowed at the zoo are SERVICE DOGS or SERVICE DOGS IN TRAINING
Per the Zoo: "The only animals allowed to accompany visitors are trained and vaccinated service animals. When a service animal does come to the Zoo, a Park Ranger escorts the guest and their party around grounds to ensure that the animal does not enter areas of the Zoo that our Chief Veterinarian has deemed sensitive to our animal collection or to the service animal."
▶ Downtown Phoenix
Downtown Phoenix is the home of the Diamondbacks and Suns. Lots of shops and places to visit. Not everyone is dog friendly so please be respectful.
▶ Scottsdale Quarter
We have had a mixed response to visiting here. Management is NOT happy about dogs, but we have been there on one occasion when we were in the area. We would love to have a better relationship with them, so if anyone knows who to reach, please let us know..... (Remember to keep it positive)
New Suggestions????
Do you have any suggestions on where you would like to visit?
Let us know, and we will contact them and inquire.
We love new things; new places and new people!
(Please note we always try and visit a new location before taking our entire group)
Can we visit your place????
Do you have a place we can visit?
Are you a business owner; and you would like us to visit, or you would let us visit, please email us and let us know. We are ALWAYS looking for NEW and EXCITING dog friendly places to hang out and train at.
Please read "Tips on Visiting and Travelling with your Dog"


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Separate names with a comma.
Discussion in 'GBAtemp & Scene News' started by T-hug, Jun 11, 2003.
1055 - Donkey Kong Country USA 64 Mbits (Evasion)
Save Type : EEPROM[/p]
Was wonderin when you'd post this, its a dupe though isnt it?
sweet, dk rules!
It's A Territorial Dupe Of The Menace EURO Release.
Bingo. Knew it, although I guess its time to download it, had enough fun when playing it on the snes.
I am keen on about this game,may be I prefer the SNES version
I don't get why they made this game. They released it on GBC already some years ago. Game Boy owners don't need it one more time.
I reckon they're running out of games to port, haha
Woopie donkey kong.....
finally DK Country came out.. i've been waiting for coupl months
hey its a U.S. version
God Bless the U.S.A
Maybe the owners of the GBA only would like to play it, the ones that didn't have a GBC. Like me


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After a mournful and lonely regret of the lost of the 5th Child whom we have no record of, Yumi-dono concieved the 6th Child and 3rd daughter of the Nakashima Clan. Prophesized by the Warlock as the Child of Great Fortune, she was lovingly named Nakashima Sachiko.
Taiki-sama, the king, has no idea that Sachiko is actually the 6th child, because the Queen never gave him that information. Sachiko, on the other hand, knows fully well who she really is, and uses it to her advantage.
Sachiko married at a young age after her lessons from the Great Magicians were finished. She's never worked a day in her life, a fact that the King is very proud of. It is very frustrating for the 7th Child for their Father to revere someone who does not work, rather than give recognition to the Child who works hard to keep her Family together.
This does not mean, however, that the 7th Child hates Sachiko.
Sachiko's husband if a fine young man whom the 7th Child fully accepts with open arms. She is grateful that her Onee-chan has found such a wonderful husband, but for the King to wish the 7th Child to do the same as her sister did is of annoyance to her.
For most of the 7th Child's life, she has been compared to Sachiko's ways and mannerisms… It's difficult for the 7th Child to live her life the way she thinks is right, but she refuses to cave in to her Father's ways.
Sachiko now lives in Rich Land of Kajou with her husband, and occassionally visits her sisters in Hamano.


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Recording Violin with ADK CS-47rackrecording | Aug 22, 2007 | 2,642 Views | Share
The signal was slightly compressed by an Empirical Labs Fatso on the way in. It was recorded through an Apogee AD16X converter into an RME Fireface 800 (through ADAT optical) and then into Samplitude V9 Pro at 24/96. There is absolutely no EQ, reverb, or other effects added. The project was converted to 16bit/44.1kHz WAV in Samplitude with POWr#3 dither.
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Groove Tubes Vipre, ADK CS-47Y Tube Microphone, Empirical Labs Fatso Jr. Compressor, Apogee AD16X Converters, RME Fireface 800 Interface, Samplitude Pro DAW
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::: ASDwebdesigns - September 2015 :::
This lesson has been written by Ann on March 6th 2009 in the Dutch version from PSP X2
Copyright©2009 - website: tdstudio - tube group: TubesBellisimo - guestbook
The script for Outlook Express can be downloaded here.
This script was made by Joke. You can visit her website here. Thank you Joke for this beautiful script.
::: Level 1 - items: 88 :::
Attention, if you use different colors, feel free to change the opacity and/or the blend mode of the layers


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On Monday afternoon our Under 15's Rugby team participated in a Rugby Sevens Tournament at Christ Hospital school.
St Wilfrid's students held their own and were very competitive throughout the tournament. The team were playing against students who have been called up to the U15 England Representative side but this did not deter them. With 4 try's in total coming from Matia and with Donnachadh successfully making 3 of his 4 kicks, St Wilfrid's left Christ Hospitals excellent facilities with their heads held high!
Congratulations to the squad:
Mitchell Bounds
Jay Everett Todd
Luca Stringer
Igor Lopatto
John Freitas
Matia Tamale
Archie Howe
Nathan Warren
Jamie Fletcher
Kaine Stephens
Cameron Hayward
Donnachadh Street
Adam Harris


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What we're eating this week:
the dough (he has changed his recipe slightly to incorporate whole wheat flour) and for toppings I did some grape seed oil, caramelized onions, sliced pear, thyme, and a little bit of mozzarella topped with a honey drizzle. Oh my goodness, it was fantastic.
the dough (he has changed his recipe slightly to incorporate whole wheat flour) and for toppings I did some grape seed oil, caramelized onions, sliced pear, thyme, and a little bit of mozzarella topped with a honey drizzle. Oh my goodness, it was fantastic.
I was supposed to be vegan this month but totally forgot and ate meat on Jan 1! I told Jon I'd start in February so a lot of my focus has been on meal planning for that.
these pickles in the past week and a half.
What I'm reminiscing about:
What I'm loving:
Elden is a total bookworm. He loves story books, but he also has a huge appreciation for non-fiction books and runs to check out books about sea creatures, mummies, volcanoes, etc. At our last library trip he discovered a bunch of children's science experiment books. Oh my goodness, he is obsessed. Honestly, this one is fantastic. The idea to use mini marshmallows and dried pasta to build is such an easy one with items we already had in our pantry! There is also an experiment using just food coloring, water and corn starch we plan on doing soon. This is the other one we checked out and it is great, too!
What we've been up to:
House projects galore. We had to have our basement waterproofed where we had a vertical crack in the foundation. We still have to finish up the kids' bathroom refresher (#slackers) and then we are starting on our master bath renovation.
What I'm dreading:
Our electric bill. We have the misfortune of living in an all-electric house. That means our heat and hot water tank run off electricity and not gas, which is much cheaper. We are fortunately on the payment plan (so we pay the same amount each month and it all balances out at the end of the year) but thanks to our colder than average November and December we currently have a $450 balance on our account. We had to run off aux heat instead of our more efficient heat pump while our basement was waterproofed (our heat pump was right where they needed to be so we had to disconnect it) so I suspect this balance will grow and lead to an increase in our monthly payment.
What I'm working on:
Swagbucks - I've been on a roll lately. So far I have cashed out for $350 in Disney gift cards in the past month. We also talked to our families who all expressed interest in going with us so we have made the decision to stay off site when the time comes (keep in mind we still have 2+ years until we go!) which will save us so much money!
What I'm excited about:
What I'm watching:
Modern Family, Superstore, The Goldbergs.
What I'm listening to:
What I'm wearing:
Nothing of note.
What I'm doing:
What I'm looking forward to next month:
Superbowl Sunday! Not because I actually care about the teams (although I genuinely hope the cheating Patriots lose) or even the commercials, but because our family tradition is to do appetizers for dinner. I already started making a list of vegan appetizer options and I am most excited about this dip and these zucchini fries.


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Applying data science to monitoring
Lately, in collaboration with Karan Shah, I've been focusing most of my efforts on operational monitoring. We need to know when bad things are happening, are about to happen, or have been happening for a long time.
Monitoring is a good example of a problem that's easier to state than it is to solve. In practice a lot goes wrong:
- Sometimes we fail to monitor things that we care about.
- Sometimes we monitor things we care about, but we route the alerts to the wrong audience.
- Sometimes we monitor things we care about, and we route alerts to the right audience, but we send too much to that same audience. Alerts can be too fine-grained or too repetitive. We can generate too many false positives. We might mix in too many alerts that we don't care about. And so forth. The signal-to-noise ratio drops in a way that undermines the monitoring system as a whole.
Some of the causes are organizational in nature. Many flowers bloom at Expedia, and monitoring isn't an exception. So we see a lot of ad hoc approaches to monitoring and a somewhat fragmented tools landscape. Also, we have a strong self-service culture, and so when we set up a shared, self-service tool, sometimes a tragedy of the commons ensues.
But there are some important technical causes too, and that's what I want to talk about today. In the rest of this post I'll share our work here, which I'd describe generally as applying data science (a.k.a. statistics) to monitoring.
Anatomy of an anomaly detection model
As a preliminary, let's look at how a typical anomaly detection model works.
The point series estimates the "midpoint", or expected value, of the metric at the time in question, and the band reflects the estimated dispersion of the values. If the observed value goes outside the band then we generate an alert.
Note that the time series here have periodicity, or seasonality as it's often called. A given time series can and often does have multiple seasonalities. For example, any Expedia time series driven by human traffic will generally have daily, weekly and annual seasonalities.
We're going to ignore the boring case where there's some static level beyond which we want warning or error alerts, since that kind of monitoring is trivial. An example would be alerting when your available disk space goes below 10 GB or whatever. There are plenty of cases where static thresholds make sense, but they aren't blog-worthy.
The problem of false positives
Anybody who receives monitoring alerts is familiar with the problem of false positives. There are different ways this can happen, but there are two that I see so often that I've come to expect them:
- Crummy point series estimates due to tiny samples
- Crummy bands due to neglecting heteroscedasticity
The technical approach for establishing good point estimates is different than the one for establishing good bands, so we'll treat those separately. Let's do the point estimates first.
Establishing the point series using STL
For time series with multiple seasonalities, the typical approach to establishing the point series is to capture a sample of the last n week-over-week values, where n is relatively small, and then use their mean as the estimate. For example, if the current time is 2016-05-28 1:05am, then on this approach we create a sample containing the corresponding values (i.e., 1:05am) on 2016-05-21, 2016-05-14, and 2016-05-07 (n = 3).
The major challenge with this approach is that it's sensitive to outliers in the historical sample, primarily because the sample is too small. In essence, when there is an outlier in the historical sample, it shows up in the current expectation:
There are some techniques to attempt to deal with this, such as increasing the number of weeks, increasing the number of points per week by capturing a weekly window instead of a single point, using the median instead of the mean (median is more robust against outliers), smoothing the time series, or some combination thereof.
But they don't work very well. We can't go back too far in time: what happened in February may have limited relevance for what to expect in July. For a similar reason there are limits to how wide a window we can use in a given week. Anyway, widening the window around an outlier often results in capturing a bunch of additional outliers, which doesn't really help anything.
The good news is there's an approach that allows us to increase the sample size in a way that avoids the problems above. It's called seasonal-trend decomposition using loess, or STL. The intuition is this: we should be able to look at the last (say) four weeks of data in their entirety, even if there are some outliers mixed in, and get a good sense for what the current expectation should be.
High-level, the algorithm takes a time series and decomposes it into three components: seasonal, trend and remainder. We generally take the seasonal component to be the highest frequency seasonality, where the trend will absorb lower frequency seasonalities along with general up/down movement. The remainder series is everything that's left over once you've isolated the seasonal and trend components. Here's an example for four weeks of bookings data:
The top panel is the original time series, the second is the daily pattern, the third is the weekly/general pattern, and the last is the remainder. We can further isolate the weekly seasonality from the general trend by simply rerunning STL on the trend component in the third panel.
We establish the point series essentially by discarding the remainder, which captures the statistical noise and outliers. This allows us to build a midpoint model, based on the entire four week sample, that's robust in the face of outliers.
With the point series in place, we need a way to establish the band around the point series.
Establishing bands using nonlinear models
Besides getting the point series right, we have to get the bands right as well. Again there's a most common approach, which is to define thresholds based on some fixed percentage of the midpoint. For example, we might say that the upper and lower bounds will be +/- 25% of the midpoint.
Once again the default approach doesn't work. The problem is a fancy-sounding word called heteroscedasticity, which just means that the dispersion (or variability) in the data isn't constant across the actual data values. For bookings, what happens is that the dispersion of counts varies (and specifically, grows) with the level. That's heteroscedasticity. Here's a scatterplot (courtesy of Danny Ng) illustrating this relationship, including overlays for IQR, MAD and standard deviation:
Moreover, though in absolute terms the residual grows with the level, in relative terms (relative to the level), it gets smaller. Here's a plot that shows this phenomenon:
That's why fixed percentages don't work. Here are a couple of charts that show what happens when you try to use fixed percentages:
The takeaway is that fixed percentages are too static. At low volumes we need relatively wider bands (percentage-wise) to avoid false positives, and at high volumes we need relatively tighter bands (again percentage-wise) to avoid false negatives. I wrote about this if you're interested in more details.
Our current approach to band modeling is to fit simple nonlinear models to ratio scatterplots of the sort given above. We do that offline using nonlinear regression. There's more work to do here around model selection; we selected the current model based on qualitative similarity to the dataset, and it would be nice to have a little theory behind it. Or at least to evaluate a range of candidate models.
Update: Big thanks to Danny Ng, who offered a useful simplification to the current band model, an improved visualization, and a theoretical motivation for the model. (TIL: inhomogeneous Poisson process.)
The preceding gives some idea as to the core approach we're taking toward anomaly detection modeling where seasonality is involved. In the next section I'll describe current work on building this out to handle monitoring at scale.
Scaling out using B-splines
I noted above that we build the point series by running STL and throwing away the remainder component. The naive way to do this is to rerun STL on four weeks of data with every monitoring poll (e.g., every five minutes). Keep in mind that we actually run STL twice because we want to isolate not only the daily but the weekly seasonality as well. Now imagine that we want to monitor many thousands of time series. (This happens for bookings because we want to monitor various combinations of product, location, and time, each at different levels of granularity. Similarly for funnel metrics and anything else–there's a combinatorial explosion of conditions we want to monitor.) Between all the data fetching and the decomposition itself, this quickly becomes an expensive proposition.
All the processing isn't necessary. The point series is based on seasonal components, and these evolve very slowly. For any given time series we want to monitor, we should be able to run STL to extract the daily and weekly components and simply cache those for some time period (maybe daily).
Caching solves the time problem, but now we need to pay attention to space. We don't want to cache the seasonality models as full-blown time series, since this gets expensive fast. Instead we want to cache compact representations of the models. There are a couple of techniques we can use here:
- For any given seasonal series, whether daily or weekly, we need cache only a single cycle. That's because the seasonal component evolves slowly.
- A seasonal cycle is a smooth curve. So we should be able to use curve fitting as a way to reduce (quite dramatically) the size of the model.
After some investigation, curve fitting by B-splines appears to be a promising approach. The idea is to partition the time series into a number of segments, curve fit the individual segments, and tie them together to achieve a smooth result with a good fit to the data. The points where we tie the segments together are called knots. This dramatically reduces the size of a given midpoint model, facilitating caching.
Here are some examples showing B-spline fits to a daily cycle. First, here's an awful fit based on a single knot:
The only reason I'm showing that is to offer visibility into the curve fitting process. If we have too few knots, then the models won't be good.
Here's another example, based on 11 knots:
The fit is very good, and we need to store only 14 model parameters instead of the original 288 data points we would have stored on the naive approach. The space savings for weekly series is even more extreme: about two orders of magnitude.
Note that we're using uniform knot placement here, but the more typical approach is to place knots at quantiles. We plan to do it that way, and that will probably reduce the number of knots and hence parameters required.
The B-spline modeling is work in progress. I'll post a follow-up once we've firmed up and proven the approach.


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Another cross country interval training day.
This time I made some changes by adding a weighed vest, some weighed shoes and pair of striking gloves.
The gloves were a great addition. It made it so much easier to be able to strike trees while wearing them. Last time, I ended with bloody knuckles. I guess tree bark is not the smoothest surface in the world. While wearing those gloves I could strike the trees with as much force as I could muster. And there is no better way to know if you're striking mechanics are correct then by striking a massive solid tree at full force. If you are not in proper alignment, you will get hurt. And my knuckles were thanking me in the process.
The weighed gear made for a challenging run. The hopping, jumping, sprinting, pull ups, pushups were much more intense. Getting back up was much more difficult. But I gradually got used to it. Pretty soon I did not feel the extra weight.
Like swinging with 2 bats and going back to one, once I removed all the gear I felt almost superhuman. I could jump higher, run faster and getting up off the ground was a piece of cake. I felt like I could fly.
We have discussed training under emotional stress as an important part of training. Experiencing physical stress should not be ignored. It is not something you do every time or something for beginners but it definitely should become one aspect of your training.
This was an awesome skill sharpening day and I highly recommend trying it.
Don't have weighted vest or shoes? No problem… fill a backpack with rocks… the results will be the same for a much cheaper price and you can adjust the weight to what you want.
Be smart, stay safe


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Rachel Breit, RYT 200
Class styles I teach: Vinyasa, Gentle, Power
My favorite yoga posture: Handstands. I love the flip in perspective it brings to the practice. They continue to teach me to be patient and to believe in myself, both on and off the mat. Plus I feel like I'm flying, which is always fun!
Fur babies: KJ is my cute little jungle cat and I'm quite obsessed her! She makes my heart melt. Sassy, my family's 21 year old cat, is really living life to the fullest. We also have two loving doggies, Milly and Lucky.
Best advice I ever received: "There are only two days in the year that nothing can be done. One is called yesterday and the other is called tomorrow, so today is the right day to love, believe, do and mostly live." - Dalai Lama
Why I yoga: It feels amazing!! Yoga taught me to fall in love with life and helps relieve my chronic back pain. It keeps my soul nurtured and connected, and my mind open, understanding, and creative.


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Community Group Week of February 21, 2016/
[vimeo 156080414 w=500 h=281]
Listen to the People You Lead
The first goal of groups is community: relationships are top priority. The second goal is to give people an opportunity to move from hearing about faith to talking about THEIR faith (or lack of it). You rob people of that opportunity if you "preach," dominate the conversation, or get on your soapbox about controversial issues. There may be times when you need to briefly teach in order to set up group discussion. But for the most part, your goal is to be a facilitator.
Announcements :
MOVE ON OVER to 9 or noon!
Thanks so much for all of you who are attending the 9am and 12pm service, we really appreciate all of you moving over to make room for our guests. If you are attending the 10:30am and you are serving at the 9am or noon, you're ok, Thank you for serving, but if you're attending the 10:30am and you aren't currently then do us a favor and MOVE ON OVER to 9 or noon!
Men's Ministry is back in session! We are diving into the book of Romans. This is a great opportunity to study God's Word, get to know other guys at West Pines, and be encouraged for the week ahead. We meet in the Fuge (our youth building directly across the parking lot from the main entrance to church) on Monday nights at 7pm. Contact Vince Harris or Steve Englund for more details.
Women's Ministry: Living Proof Live Tickets Join best-selling author Beth Moore at a Living Proof Live event and see how one weekend can change your life. Join us at Living Proof Live on April 1-2, 2016. And bring a friend. Our goal is to bring 100+ women, will you be one of them? Earlybird tickets are $59 until 2/15 after that the price is $69 per person. You can purchase your tickets during Women's Ministry on Wednesday's or email email@example.com for more information.
Our Easter weekend services are expected to be packed out! This means our Children's Ministry is going to be packed out. If you can help ot during any of the three services, please contact Sandy Hall or Jenna Mesa
Check out the Service Projects Tab for more opportunities
Sermon Title:
Shovels and Swords, Part 4: Wise and Bold
Main Text:
Nehemiah 2:1-10
TOPICS ( Not to be read or e-mailed to your group.. this is for the leader's review and recollection )
Nehemiah displays immense wisdom in how he handled the King of Persia. He patiently waits for his opportunity to speak to the king. He doesn't force an opportunity, he waits for God to open it up.
Secondly, Nehemiah's opening line to Artaxerxes is very strategic. To realize how planned it is, we need to know some background in the book of Ezra. From Ezra's account we learn that years earlier they had attempted to rebuild the walls in Jerusalem. But someone had told the king of Persia what was going on in Jerusalem. The king was told that Jerusalem intended to rebel. So the king commanded that the rebuilding stop. Which king of Persia made that command? Artaxerxes. Nehemiah has to be careful when asking if he can rebuild the wall, that he doesn't appear like a rebel. He has to make it sound like he is questioning the king's decision before. He was very strategic in how he worded his opening line.
In his second request, he stands on his past performance with the king. He modestly says, "if I have found favor in your sight." This is so instructive for the reader. Does our conduct and excellence create opportunities for us, for the kingdom of God?
Lastly, we see that he is wisely diplomatic and tactful with the other leaders through whose kingdoms he traveled. He respected their leadership. We never see Nehemiah acting presumptuously, arrogantly or insubordinately.
We learn the importance of being Wise AND Bold. Sometimes people use "wisdom" as an excuse to shy away from a risky situation. They hide behind wisdom, but in reality it is cowardice. On the other side, there is sometimes people want to be bold but they are reckless. They are brazen and rude and unstrategic. But God gave us brains to use for his glory. To have godly leadership, we are going to have to have both wisdom and boldness.
HIGH/LOW: What was the high point of your week and the low point?
ICEBREAKER: What do you consider to be one of the wisest decisions you've ever made ( Note: Other than becoming a Christian, and married people cannot say "marrying my spouse".... too easy ! )
READ: Nehemiah 2:1-10
Can someone get us caught up on what is going on in the story of Nehemiah?
What makes Nehemiah's response in verse 3, so strategic?
What else from this story shows the wisdom of Nehemiah?
What from this story shows the boldness of Nehemiah?
What would be an example of someone covering up their recklessness by calling in boldness?
What would be an example of someone covering up their cowardice by calling it wisdom?
Do you tend to struggle to be bold or struggle to be wise?
Is there an area of your life that God is calling you to be more bold?
Is there an area of your life that God is calling you to be more wise?
What are you going to do differently this week?


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|Property type
|Minimum Stay
|3 nights
Spacious accommodation with 2 lounges, 2 bathrooms and 4 bedrooms. Private pool (optional heating). South facing screened pool (overlooking lake). Games room with pool table and basketball. Free wifi connection. Wide choice of golf courses within easy reach. Very peaceful location ideal for chilling out between trips to the numerous attractions in the area.
Hi, we are Michael, Ruth and Jared and welcome to our holiday home. Orlando is a fabulous location for having fun whether it is the rides at the theme parks, the fabulous shopping malls, the quiet golf courses or the nature reserves. As a family we love them all and invite you to visit the area working from a tranquil base just a few minutes away from the magic that is Walt Disney World.
Michael Bennett purchased this villa in 2006
We have been Floridaholics for 20 years and our dream was to own a home like this. As we can't be there all the time we want to share this with people so that they can experience the magic and wonder that is Orlando. We really love visiting our home form home and hope that you will enjoy it as much as we do. If this is your first visit to the area, let us know and we'll give you some tips on the best places to go.
Having a holiday villa has significant advantages over staying in a hotel primarily because of the amount of space you can have. You can choose to eat in using the fully equipped kitchen, buy in a pizza or just use it as a place to rest your head at the end of each day. On much needed rest days (between visiting the theme parks) our home is perfect to just chill out around the pool and relax. At the end of the day, you can put the kids to bed and sit out by the pool enjoying a nice glass of wine. The location provides easy access to restaurants, shopping, entertainments and the theme parks as well as nature reserves, mini golf and a petting farm, so there is something for everyone to enjoy.
A really nice stayed. the house inside is more comfortable ( TVs and furniture upgrades) make this house better than how it looks in the website. Pool was maintenance during the time we stayed witch give us a piece of mind with the kids enjoy it.
Overall a nice stay for our family reunion, definitely better for the kids.
The pictures do not do justice to this property.
We have had a great time in great surroundings during our stay.
Tbh only bad point is that make sure you buy your basic cleaning and laundry products as there was nothing there. I know you shouldn't expect it but in other properties I have stayed in the previous occupants have left what they do not use bit not in thus case. But not a big problem.
The neighbours are great and the view over the lake is good too loads of fucks and other wildlife right on your door step.
Really quiet area and as I have already said the pics do not do it's justice as the property had had a little Make over with new furniture and TVs etc.
The property still needs a little but adding to it but it's still a GREAT place to stay.
A big thanks to Michael for the communication and although there was a slight issue it was sorted quickly with no intrusion on our holiday.
Location close to all the parks and only 1.45 hours away from Clearwater.
Stay off toll roads as it's quicker for some reason lol.
Thanks again and we would definitely would rent again. 👍
Upon entering this property, instead of fresh and clean, we were greeted by stale and smelly. The decorating style is cheapskate (poly sheets, old linens & many small repairs needed). No creature comforts here! That was not a deal breaker but the sheets on beds were smelly and hairy. When we went to change sheets, the dingy ones in the cupboard were B.O. scented. Since there were 3 children, I was assured by the owner that the pool safety fence worked. Nope! It was broken as was the lanai and the pool was dirty. Instead of setting the table with the dishes, it would have been nice if floors and corners received more attention. Rather than tubs/sinks being cleaned, they were 'wiped down'. And foam pillows too that ended on the floor. Since there were the said children & 2 women who did not want to clean on holiday, we left after 3 days, notifying the owner who seems to have no intention of returning money. Would we stay there again for £20 per night? No, we would need to be paid more to stay there! The management was phoned upon check in and promptly came over, repairing nothing. The wireless internet seemed to work but the password did not, which meant the smart tv's didn't either. Unless you like dirty bedding and a rental to match, stay elsewhere. There are 2,000+ properties in Orlando.
We really enjoyed our stay at this house. There was plenty of room and it was located close to numerous golf courses. Our flight was canceled due to weather at home and the owner was very accommodating. I looked at hundreds of houses and this was the most reasonable. I would definitely recommend this house and look forward to staying there again.
We had the pleasure of staying in this beautiful, cosy and very homely house in October.
It is a house with amazing space, enough bedrooms and a lovely pool overlooking the lake which holds alligators, turtles and other wildlife.
Location is ideal to a variety of shops (incl a Super Wallmart rather nearby), all the parks and just an hour away to the beaches.
Owner was very helpful and friendly and always replied really quick.
Had to call management once for a small issue with the house, management was brilliant and sorted the fault straight away.
The photos don't do this house justice and the price is amazing considering the size and location of the house.
Highly recommend this place.
Have just returned from this wonderful villa. It had everything we needed and was in a good location for us to visit the parks at Disney and Universal. Restaurants and Walmart were a short drive away.
The owner was very helpful when booking. I would definatley recommend this property.
The beautiful gulf coast beaches of Clearwater and St. Petes are approximately 75 mins by car. Daytona and Cocoa beaches are on the east coast and are about 1 hour drive away.
Orlando International Airport is approx 35 mins drive. Sanford Airport is a little further but less busy as an airport. (Sanford mainly used by charter flights). Tampa International Airport is approx 1 hours drive. Car hire is essential.
Walt Disney World is approximately 12 minutes away giving access to the Magic Kingdom, Epcot, MGM Studios, Animal Kingdom, Pleasure Island and Down Town Disney. Disney water parks - Typhoon Lagoon and Blizzard Beach are 15 mins. Sea World, Universal Studios and International Drive are approximately 20 mins. Bush Gardens (Tampa) 1hr. Kennedy Space Centre 1hr.
Further Details:
24/7 supermarkets are within 5 minutes drive. There are many good shops and restaurants on highway 192. For shopaholics there are the Florida Mall, the Mall at Millenia and several large outlet malls within 15-20 minutes. Also close to mini golf, air boat rides and a petting farm.
|Rental Period
|Minimum Price
|Additional Nights
|Weekend Night
|Event Price
My Standard Rate
3 night minimum stay
for 3 nights
|No additional mandatory fees
|Refundable Damage Deposit
Booking Notes:
A non-refundable deposit of 20% is required with your booking. Balance is due 8 weeks before your travel. Refundable security deposit of £200 is also required when you pay your balance. The security deposit will be refunded on your return to the UK after damage and loss inspection.
Changeover Day:
No set changeover day but arrivals not before 4pm and please vacate the property by 10am on the day of departure to give cleaners time to prepare the property for the next guests.
Notes on prices:
Prices are for the property per week in UK Pounds.
Should you want the pool heated, the additional cost is £100 per week. Discounts available for 3-4 weeks stay. A security deposit of £200 is required when booking, balance is due 8 weeks prior to departure. £200 security deposit will be refunded three weeks after your holiday ends provided there is no damage to the property.


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A project management tool helps you to manage the nitty gritty of every day work while keeping an eye on results and the overarching strategic goal. This tool in Excel makes is more manageable.
For those that don't like working with matrixes, a critical path is included. A critical path is simply making the work and its progress more visual. Download the Excel file.


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"This is a victory for so many. The first time in decades that the federal government has curtailed its oppressive prohibition of marijuana."
It's not all doom and gloom in the Federal Spending Bill. When the 2016 omnibus appropriations bill was signed by President Obama on Friday, a "cease fire" on state medical marijuana research began. The bill contains the Rohbrabacher-Farr Amendment which prevents the Department of Justice interfering with state medical cannabis laws.
SEC. 542. None of the funds made available in this Act to the Department of Justice may be used, with respect to any of the States of Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, or with respect to the District of Columbia, Guam, or Puerto Rico, to prevent any of them from implementing their own laws that authorize the use, distribution, possession, or cultivation of medical marijuana.
None of the funds made available by this Act may be used in contravention of section 7606 ("Legitimacy of Industrial Hemp Research") of the Agricultural Act of 2014 (Public Law 113–79) by the Department of Justice or the Drug Enforcement Administration.
The states not listed presumably have kept federal level bans in place to prevent medical or recreational marijuana laws from passing in their respective states..
Arkansas | Idaho | Indiana | Kansas | Nebraska | North Dakota | Ohio | Pennsylvania | South Dakota | West Virginia
Congressional support for medical marijuana has never been stronger. The Rohbrabacher-Farr Amendment passed in the house by a vote of 242-186 and the senate appropriations committee approved it 21-9. Even Diane Feinstein is on board to get serious about medical marijuana. This is a huge step forward for the federal government and medical marijuana patients around the country.
Harry Henderson
Latest posts by Harry Henderson (see all)
- Paid Patriotism: The Real Tragedy - Sep 19, 2016
- Email highlights from the Hillary Leaks - Jul 22, 2016
- Black Lives Matter Group Outlines "Campaign Zero" - Jul 12, 2016


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Matt Timms of The Takedown - Biography
New York, NY
Matt Timms is a man of many talents. The food community knows him best as creator, host, and producer of The Takedowns—the national home cook food competition tour that pits amateur against amateur in an ingredient- or dish-themed battle. And while the The Takedowns cult has taken hold across the country, with Timms visiting cities like San Francisco, Boston, and Chicago, Timms' body of work goes well beyond the realm of "which chili reigns supreme."
Timms also is an actor and filmmaker. Not only has he starred in several commercial campaigns, he shot a feature called "Up with Me" that earned a Special Jury Award at the 2008 SXSW festival. Less expected (maybe) is his nascent brand of Brooklyn-made hot sauce, "Facemelter," or his line of throw pillows ("Takedowners," or small monsters eating junk foods like ice cream, pizza, and hamburgers) available on TheTakeDowns.com.
In it's decade-long existence, The Takedowns have garnered plenty of press and national attention—not to mention inspired similar competitions all over the country. By embracing and encouraging non-professional cooks, The Takedowns have inspired more confident public engagement with the culture of food. And they've earned Timms scores of plaudits, including one of the first Chow.com "Chow 13" awards and a "Top 40 Big Thinkers Under 40" placement from Food & Wine. When he's not sampling the many incarnations of chili, bacon, fondue, etc., or catalyzing culinary competitiveness across the country, Timms can be found in Williamsburg, hosting a beloved trivia night at Soft Spot Bar.
Matt Timms
- The Takedown
New York, NY


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AIMEX is an internationally renowned platform which showcases the latest mining technology, equipment and services, offering a unique opportunity for leading suppliers and buyers to conduct face-to-face business, stay abreast of the latest trends and network in an interactive forum.
Make AIMEX a part of your marketing mix & attract the right customers.
Look at and review the visitor research undertaken at the AIMEX 2015.
Explore options that will increase exposure for your brand.
See what openings are available in 2017.
Discuss your exhibiting needs with our experienced staff.
Represent your country at AIMEX.
To find out more or to make a booking please contact us.
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Spectacular FREE game offered by Disney. TRON Tanks is only available for our Nokia N8 , do not know why for other Symbian ^ 3 is not available, is something that is becoming common, perhaps to get promo the N8 even more .
The management game is somewhat complicated at first, especially the shot, but then is perfectly controlled. We need to patrol our sectors tank and clean game of enemies. We can get special abilities, as general improvements and new weapons.
Some graphics much like the movie TRON, make the game very visually appealing. TRON Tanks is available free on the Ovi Store.


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Drew Cruises in First-Round Matchup, 5-0
May 14, 2010
FREDRICKSBURG, Va. - The Rangers only needed to complete their first five matches to move on to the second round of the NCAA Tournament as they shutout Western Connecticut State 5-0 this afternoon. Drew will move on to play Carnegie Mellon tomorrow at 2:00 PM.
The first ever appearance by the Drew University Women's Tennis Team was an overwhelming success. The Rangers swept doubles play for the seventh time this year and earned their third shutout of the 2010 season.
In number one singles Vivian Peng (Piscataway, N.J./Boca Raton Community) kept her undefeated season intact by beating WCSU's Lauran Post 6-1, 6-0. First-team all-conference selection, Michelle Gbelama (Trenton, N.J./Trenton Central), followed suit and sealed the victory with a 6-0, 6-1 win over Brittany Hoynack.
The doubles duo of Sarit Ashkenazi (Kingston, Jamaica/Immaculate Conception) and Hayley Downing (Cliffside Park, N.J./Immaculate Heart Academy) continued their dominance picking up an 8-6 win in number two doubles. Honored by the Landmark Conference earlier in the day, the two picked up their seventh consecutive win in doubles action.
Drew will remain in Fredricksburg, Va. tonight and prepare to take on the 13-7 Tartans of Carnegie Mellon tomorrow afternoon at the Battlegrounds Tennis Complex. Live stats will be available for the match which is slated for 2:00 PM.


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Vintage Finds
We are currently working to update our portfolio in anticipation of a busy spring. Here are a few sneak peeks of what we are working on.
A series of blog posts showing how to refurbish and incorporate vintage finds into your décor.
Vintage Wallpaper
Busy reading new books, scavenging 2nd-hand stores & working on art projects.
My latest obsession…vintage wallpaper! I recently purchased my first vintage roll at Value Village. The colour combination projects such a happy vibe. I look forward using it for a raft of new projects.
Lamps Lamps Lamps
I've been thinking about lighting for a while now, keeping my eye out for table lamps and fixtures to refinish. Just to keep the flame alive, when I'm not shopping, I spend my time looking for inspiration. I've found a few delightful before and after lamp projects.
Wonderful White or Painted Black?
When refinishing a piece of furniture it's important to consider the interior of the room and the style of the piece. Certain styles of furniture lend themselves to particular paint colours. We have attached a couple of pieces that are painted white, which we think would look great, painted black.
Cool Credenzas
I love the word credenza, it seems so grown up.
What exactly is a credenza? It's a piece of furniture used for serving, storage, and display of serving dishes and utensils. A credenza may also be referred to as a sideboard or buffet. Goodbye china cabinet, hello credenza. A credenza can be used for liquor serving, storage, and display too. Goodbye built-in bar, definitely loving the credenza.
Inspiring Painted Dresser Projects
I came home after a day of looking for furniture to paint… empty handed.
The Good, The Bad & The Ugly
The weekend is coming and I need some painting project inspiration, so I'm surfing the net, again. I found this beauty and was shocked to follow the link and see the before image. It's a perfect example of what not to do.
Finding Inspiration
We love looking for interior design and furniture refinishing inspiration.
We find it everywhere. Even in things we don't like or love. If there is a good idea we appreciate it. I'm posting a couple of images that have given me inspiration, despite the fact they are not my particular taste. I appreciate these ideas and will reinterpret them in future projects.
Alex: the 9 Drawer Unit
Ta Da my weekend project Alex. I bought 2 quarts of paint, Benjamin Moore 2048-50 Tropicana Cabana and 2146-10 Dark Celery, 9 label holders from Lee Valley, and new sanding disks for my power sander.
Trend Spotting
What do all my favourite designers have in common?
Ok yeah, they follow the trends (probably some of them start new trends). What impresses me most is their ability to take popular trends and reienvent them, creating their own style and expressing their creative genius.
One of the hottest trends right now is geometric patterens. You will find them in fabrics, rugs, wallpaper, and the following images I have collected from my favourite interior designers.
Recent Posts
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WB Releases Photos from "Whiteout"
Warner Bros. has released two photos from the upcoming big screen adaptation of Greg Rucka and Steve Lieber's "Whiteout."
"Whiteout" was originally released as a four issue limited series in 1998 by Oni Press. The story follows U.S. Marshall Carrie Stetko, based at McMurdo Station in Antarctica, as she investigates a murder that takes place there. The series received multiple Eisner Award nominations and the follow-up series, "Whiteout: Melt," won the Eisner Award for Best Finite/Limited Series. A third volume of the series is expected to be released by Oni Press in late Spring/early Summer, 2008.
"Whiteout," starring Kate Beckinsale and directed by Dominic Sena, is scheduled for release in 2008. No specific release date has been announced yet. Click the images below to enlarge.
Kate Beckinsale as Carrie Stetko.
Gabriel Macht as Pryce, Beckinsale as Carrie and Columbus Short in "Whiteout."
Warner Bros. Panel at CCI 2007
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A youtuber who has the channel Nick's Strength and Power announced that he was able to acquire one of Lee Priest's trophies for $1000 by bidding on it on Instagram.
Some of you might think that it sounds pretty expensive or crazy to pay a thousand dollars to own the trophy that someone else won on stage. But the true passionate bodybuilding fans know that it is a piece history as Lee Priest could have been one of the greatest of all time if he had competed longer in the IFBB.
In fact, the trophy that was sold by Lee Priest was the only one of his 4 pro wins at the Ironman show before he got banned in 2006.
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1. Build Up Your Social Media Sites
All web bloggers and owners should have an account with the most popular social networking sites. They should also use it to direct targeted traffic to their web site! It's easy and it's free. All you need are followers and friends. Take the time to know who your target audience is, and add them to your social media network accordingly. From there, you can send relevant content via status updates or tweets, all of which have your website's URL.
2. Create Useful Content
When your friends and followers click on that social media link, they should be greeted with relevant, useful content. All the major search engines such as Google, Yahoo! and Bing have an algorithm that sees how much relevant content you have on your site. These search engines will rank you higher for the niche you specialize in. Content is king when it comes to SEO.
3. Optimize For SEO
Speaking of which, it's important to clean up your website for Search Engine Optimization purposes. The SEO game is simple- if you rank high up on search engines, traffic will come from those who search for you online. All of these can be done without spending a single cent!
4. Attach Your URL
Do you frequent forums and groups? There could be traffic lurking in there if you're smart enough. Register for an account in the most popular forums and start posting relevant content. Remember that you can edit your signature- include your site's URL in as well. People will get curious as they like your post and as a result will see what is on your website.
5. Look For Free Site Promotions
There will always be free ways to promote your site, so keep an eye out for the latest ones on the web. Anything from being included in various listings, content submission in web directories and free classified ads are always good for generating traffic. Best of all, they are free and only take up a small portion of your time.
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Bedat & Co.
Save on Bedat & Co. products at AJS Clothing. Hurry! Limited time offers. Offers valid only while supplies last.
Bedat & Co No. 3 automatic-self-wind womens Watch 314.011.100 (Certified Pre-owned)
In Stock
mpn: A30K-NO1106NO. 3-LS-CPO,
BEDAT & CO 314.031.109 WOMENS AUTOMATIC WATCH STAINLESS STEEL AND EXTRA BANDBedat & Co No. 3 314.011.100 with 6.5 inches band, stainless-steel bezel and silver dial. Authenticated by WatchFacts. Grade Rating: 96 / Condition: Mint. No papers offered w...
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