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Ask any gym and non-gym goer what the holy grail of fitness is, and at least 95% will come back with 'Abs'. Because it is difficult to achieve and everyone loves to show it off, much literature has been published on the art and science of ab carving.
Unfortunately, few can say they are a combination of the following: fun, effective, expertly, resourceful, witty and simply Gold.
Enter, Gold's Gym
It is of little wonder, then, that we sought out Chung Tze Khit, founder of Gold's Gym Singapore and President of Personal Trainers' Association of Singapore. Gold's Gym is the fastest and biggest homegrown fitness franchise in Singapore, with a total of 12 outlets and a wellness spa opened in under 7 short years. Inside of the Tessensohn Road outlet we were shooting at, numerous media features of his fitness journey and success story blanketed a bulletin board.
Tze Khit also conducts courses at National Council on Strength & Fitness Singapore (NCSF) to certify aspiring personal trainers.
Such accolades, coupled with his 1.89-meters and nearly 90kg frame, might intimidate first-timers to personal training. But far from scaring you out the door, he immediately comes off a Bro Next Door type – effortlessly relaxed and unassuming, just as how abs training should be.
But getting abs is only the beginning. In order to sustain your hard work and maintain it, you'll have to find a way to make it a little more enjoyable. The fun-ness? That the Seriously Man team will take care of.
We'll let Tze Khit take care of the results part.
Abs Are Indeed Made In The Kitchen
There's a reason why this pointer came first, and not because of alphabetical order. After debunking the spot reduction myth* to us, Tze Khit went on to underscore the importance of diet towards abs.
"Many people still think that exercise has priority over diet but that is untrue." He used to be a huge stickler for the ketogenic diet before it started giving him rash breakouts – minimalising carbs and drinking olive oil to stave off temptations of junk food.
But he still advocates for a protein-rich diet from animal sources, lots of greens and good fats. "A real man is able to control food and not let food control him!"
*Repeating an isolation exercise to target a specific muscle e.g. doing crunches to reveal abs
So You Think Doing Ab Exercises Will Give You Abs?
Legend has it that Cristiano Ronaldo does 3,000 crunches a day to get himself looking like the World's No. 1 Ab-bassador. It works for him because he's, well, CR7. For us mortals, our genetic makeup is a little… different.
Tze Khit echoes the same sentiments: clocking in time on ab-specific exercises does not have a direct co-relation with that cheese-grating mid-section you had in mind. He pointed to compound lifts for a start when I asked him if there's a more efficient exercise, or the oft-dropped clickbait of 'six-pack shortcuts' for time-starved professionals.
"I wish I had a shortcut for you, man, but I don't. I'm sorry. I do see guys wasting time in the gym doing things that don't produce the best results, such as working on the abs excessively or doing too much cardio. Focus on big compound lifts* for your major body parts. That'll give you the best bang for your buck."
*Start doing your squats, deadlifts and bench presses.
Don't Sweat It, Really
I say this only because Tze Khit recounted an anecdote of a client who shat his pants during training. It's a great metaphor for people who get too hung up over results, or the lack of it. Because ab building is more of a marathon than a sprint, the process should be reframed to be fun and delightful, not hard-grinding and disembowelling.
"Get yourself a training partner. Hire a personal trainer if you can't find one. Go out and play sports you enjoy instead of running on the treadmill for an hour. Rally people around you to start a fitness movement. With social support, the journey becomes much easier," Tze Khit advises.
"Any sport that has bouts of high-intensity intervals, like soccer or basketball, should work well to burn calories and possibly produce abs."
OK, dude, I hear you. So you still crave for a 'six-pack shortcut' that has nothing to do with drugs or Photoshop. Fine, I'll give you one that cuts as close as it can get, legally: get your significant other in on the action. (Or find one, that's what dating apps are for.)
Aside from that 5 to 7 minutes of horizontal cardio I might have insinuated, Tze Khit recommends the following four couple exercises to whip your abs out without even leaving the bedroom.
Whoever said it's exclusively made in the kitchen?
Workout A: Plank & Clap
Directions: Get down to plank position with your partner and face each other in head-on fashion. Maintain your posture as best as you can while you move only your hand out for the clap. Keep alternating hands to clap for 30 seconds and rest.
Workout B: Modified Glute Ham Raise
1. Get into an upright kneeling position with both feet together. Have your partner hold you down by the ankles or kneel on your feet. A resistance band should be wrapped around the both of you, as pictured.
2. Activating your core and hamstrings, allow yourself to fall forward slowly while maintaining the upright posture as before.
3. Go as low as you can. When you feel like you can no longer control the fall-forward inertia, or if you are about to faceplant the floor, put your hands out in front of you and collapse into a push-up position.
4. Push yourself off the floor and reverse yourself back into original position.
Workout C: Anti Rotation Hold
1. Stand up straight and face the same direction. Each person should be holding on to either handle of the band. Put some distance between yourselves.
2. The rest position should see both of you twisted to the side to face each other, and the resistance band should also be slack. Eye smirk optional.
3. Start the exercise by rotating back to face the front. The band should now be taut. Hold position for 30 seconds.
Workout D: Medicine Ball Crunch
1. Get into sit-up position and intertwine your legs.
2. Have your partner lightly toss the medicine ball over to you.
3. As soon as you catch, recline to perform a crunch and toss the medicine ball back as you come back up.
4. Your partner repeats the same movement. That's 1 rep. Perform 12 to 15 per set.
Photography courtesy of @jentlemenphotography.


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Puddle Of Mudd frontman Wes Scantlin has been charged with cocaine possession, according to reports.
According to US gossip website TMZ, Scantlin, who is 39 years old, has been charged with possession of a controlled substance as well as being under the influence of a controlled substance and driving without a license.
Scantlin, who has already pleaded not guilty to the charges, will appear in court again later this week. If convicted on all counts, he faces up to four and a half years in prison.
Scantlin was arrested on January 12 this year after being pulled over at 3am in Culver City, California by police for an unknown traffic offence. Police then searched his car and are reported to have found a controlled substance, which allegedly consisted of powder and pills. There is no mention of pills in the charge.
Puddle Of Mudd most recently released a covers album, which was titled 're(disc)overed'. That came out in August 2011 and included covers of AC/DC's 'TNT', Elton John's 'Rocket Man', The Rolling Stones' 'Gimme Shelter', Free's 'All Right Now' and Stevie Nicks' 'Stop Draggin' My Heart Around'.


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Balaji Crane Service is the best in the region known for providing Online Jump Start Service, Roadside Assistance and towing facility, one of the most encountered problems in vehicles especially in four wheelers is the dying of batteries or discharging of batteries. When this problem is encountered the vehicle fails to start for this Balaji Crane Service provides Jump Start Facility.
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The effects of global warming are obvious in Michigan too. The climate is changing and statistics show that heavy storms have become more frequent here, in the past decades. In the last 50 years, annual precipitation has doubled and is going to increase in the future. Severe rainstorms are expected to intensify and increase the risk of flooding.
With the technology we currently have, these storms cannot be prevented from occurring. What can be done is to anticipate their occurrence and route, as well as the possible effects, which is helpful to prevent all kind of damage and accidents. In addition, we should become more and more aware of what we do to the environment and work to reverse at least a part of the damage that we have already produced.
Unfortunately, in most of the cases, only when a bad storm hits we realize that we still have a lot to learn in the "storm science" chapter. To protect the interior of your home, make sure to immediately have a Lansing windows replacement contractor fix any damage that can occur.
A big storm may bring a lot of damage even after it is over. The floods maintain a humid and unhealthy environment, which combined with potential destruction of sanitary infrastructure, may favor diseases. Even moderate storms can affect the electric system as well as the transportation, due to the destruction of some access routes.
Originally Posted over here: Types of Summer Storm Damage in Michigan
via Blogger Types of Summer Storm Damage in Michigan
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August 2019


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Indoor Wedding Ceremony
Indoor Wedding Ceremony
Looking for a Indoor Wedding Ceremony venue? Melbourne is home to some of the most beautiful wedding venues in Australia, with hundreds of options to choose from. Thankfully, before you have to narrow down your choices to just the one perfect wedding venue, you have a simple decision to make: an indoor or outdoor wedding ceremony.
There is nothing quite as beautiful as the outdoors, truth be told.
With the blue sky high overhead, the green of nature surrounding you and a gentle breeze to ruffle your dress, it can make for a picture-perfect wedding. If you want a wedding you will never forget, an outdoor wedding on a sunny day can be ideal.
But how many days are that "picture perfect"? How many days out of the year do you get just the right amount of sunlight, warm weather, no rain, blue skies, and the ideal breeze? Knowing the Melbourne climate, it's hard to get the day just right!
Melbourne is known for its changing weather.
You can get all four seasons in one day and the unpredictability of the climate can make it hard to plan. The perfect wedding. The morning of your wedding may dawn bright and clear, but who knows how long it will take the wind and rain to roll in? The temperature may even drop drastically and you'll end up bundled in a thick coat just to keep out the chill.
This is why it's wise to consider an indoor wedding ceremony. When getting married indoors, there is no guessing as to what the weather is going to be like. You won't have to cross your fingers that the rain won't fall or that the wind won't pick up and you certainly won't have to hope that the sun stays out long enough to get those perfect wedding photos.
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Yes, you may not be able to get those "perfect" beach, jungle. Or mountain-top wedding photos with an indoor wedding ceremony,. But being indoors gives you a whole new environment for your wedding photographer to shoot. He's got all sorts of clever angles to work with. And you'll be able to get amazingly creative photos that wouldn't be possible outdoors.
You may sacrifice the beauty of nature around you, but you can save yourself a MASSIVE headache. It doesn't rain, snow, or hail indoors. And there's no hot summer sun to melt your cake or make your flowers wilt. There's no wind to mess up the hair-do you just spent over an hour having done and there's little risk that your veil will be blown away.
Red Scooter loves creating indoor weddings, which is why we offer one of the most unique wedding venues in Melbourne! Come on down and find out how we can make your indoor wedding ceremony an event you'll never forget…


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Variegated Orange or Russian Stonecrop
Sedum kamtschaticum 'Variegatum'
SEE-dum kam-SHAY-ti-kum
Phedimus kamtschaticus 'Variegatum'
Sedum kamtschaticum Fisch. & C.A.Mey. was named and described by Friedrich Ernst Ludwig von (Fedor Bogdanovic) Fischer and Carl Anton (Andreevič) Meyer in Index Seminum in 1841. Plants of the World Online by Kew lists 10 synonyms of Sedum kamtschaticum.
Phedimus kamtschaticus (Fisch.) 't Hart was described by Henk 't Hart and Urs Eggli in Evolution and Systematics of the Crassulaceae in 1995.
The genus, Sedum L., was named and described as such my Carl von Linnaeus in the first edition of Species Plantarum in 1753. Plants of the World Online by Kew currently lists 546 accepted species in the Sedum genus (as of when I am updating this page on March 24, 2019). They also list 44 genera that are now synonyms of the genus.
The genus, Phedimus Raf., was named and described by Constantine Samuel Rafinesque in the American Monthly Magazine and Critical Review in 1817.
I had been in correspondence with one of the foremost Crassulaceae experts, Margrit Bischofberger of the International Crassulaceae Network, and she had this to say in an email in 2013…
"For the plant now called Phedimus kamtschaticus :
It has been described as a Sedum species in 1841 and has been considered a Sedum species for a very long time. The genus Sedum in a wide sense has been used to accommodate a great number of sometimes fairly diverse plants. At the end of the last century botanists have begun to separate certain groups with distinctive features and give them new names, > Phedimus, > Hylotelephium, < Rhodiola, > Orostachys etc.
So now the correct name of a group of plants with flat leaves which are often serrate or dentate is Phedimus. That means it is the other way round: The accepted name is Phedimus kamtschaticus and the earlier name S. kamtschaticum is a synonym."
Tropicos (a division of the Missouri Botanical Garden) still maintains Phedimus kamtschaticus is the accepted name. Previously, the USDA Plants Database said Phedimus kamtschaticus was the accepted name, but now it says Sedum kamtschaticum.
In an email from the Senior Content Editor of Kew on August 23 (2018), he said: "As to Sedum, POWO still takes a wide view of the genus because there is not yet an agreed system to deal with it. Most of the research has been done in Europe on European species for which a number of genera have been made but it is unclear how they relate to the Asian and American species. So until this is settled we will retain a large Sedum."
It will be interesting to see how this plays out…
I bought this 6-pack of Sedum kamtschaticum 'Variegatum' from Lowe's in Greenville, Mississippi in 2012 while living at the mansion in Leland. I was negotiating the sale of the mansion and it was fall, so I decided not to put them in the ground.
I spaced the plants out in a large pot and kept them in the east sunroom with the other plants for the winter. If temperatures permitted, I moved them to the 40' long front porch.
After I sold the mansion, dad asked me to move back to the family farm in mid-Missouri. Even though I gave up a couple hundred pots, I made the move in February 2013. I brought most of the cactus and succulents and many other plants I didn't want to give away including the Sedum kamtschaticum 'Variegatum'.
While many of the succulents did amazingly well for the remainder of the winter in the basement, this Sedum was not one of them. I almost lost it completely to the point I didn't even take photos again until 2016… For some reason, it has been a battle with this plant even though the non-variegated Sedum kamtschaticum has continued to do very well.
It did better in 2016 and even spread a little.
In 2017 I moved it to the cast iron planter with the Sempervivum 'Killer. I also moved the Cylindropuntia imbricata to this planter.
Family: Crassulaceae
Origin: Japan, Kamchatka, Kuril Island
Zones: USDA Zones 4a-9b (-30 to 25° F)
Size: 6-12" tall
Light: Full to part sun
Soil: Well-drained
Water: Average, drought tolerant
Flowers: Yellow
I really like this variegated form of Sedum kamtschaticum or Phedimus kamtschaticus (whatever you choose to call it). I am just not sure why it hasn't taken off and done well. It has been in an area where it has full sun, well, most of the time, and the soil is very well drained.
All Sedum I am familiar with need well-draining soil and should not be in any low areas where water may not drain well. Try planting them in a raised bed or an area that is elevated. They do well in planters where their stems can trail over the sides. This species is not one that really needs to be brought inside for the winter, but they may do OK in a sunroom or greenhouse.
They are drought tolerant but appreciate regular watering during the growing period. In many areas, they will receive spring rains, but in the summer, as with most perennials and annuals, they need supplemental water. As temperatures start to get cooler and day length decreases, you should stop watering.
Luckily it survived the winter again…
It started greening up…
It started growing new stems…
Next thing I knew, it was not only growing…
It has buds! It's first flowers since 2012!
Despite several years of near death, the Sedum kamtschaticum 'Variegatum' has come back to life and after such a cold winter.
Not only is it doing so much better and going to flower, it has this weird stem of a different color. I am debating whether or not to remove it and see if it will offset more stems this color. Well, maybe I better not bother it since it is doing so well.
It is very good to see the Sedum kamtschaticum 'Variegatum' doing so well.
The star-shaped yellow flowers are very interesting.
Strange how much bigger the leaves grow on the stems that did not flower…
Still doing well and looking good despite the extreme heat. I have been watering every few days if we don't have rain. Sometimes I don't have time to water all the plants and there have been times it has been over a week before the Sedum gets watered. It doesn't bother them one bit…
I intended to remove the lighter colored stem to see if I could get it to produce a clump of its own. But, time has gone by and I didn't get it done. I don't think it would be a good idea to do it now when cooler temps and decreasing day length could be a problem. Hopefully, it will return like this next spring and I will have another chance.
Well, we made it through the winter although somewhat blushed. It will soon regain its variegated color and start growing. Hopefully, it will spread more and the stem with the different color of leaves will also multiply.
The Sedum kamtschaticum 'Variegatum' appears to be coming back better than it has for a long time.
Growing and looking good!
It even has a few buds when I took he poto on April 20.
Even the stem with more yellow has returned so maybe I can take a cutting this year.
I will continue to add more photos and progress as time goes by.
I hope you enjoyed this page and maybe found it useful. If you have any comments, questions or suggestions, I would like to hear from you. Please click on "like" if you visited this page. It helps us bloggers stay motivated. 🙂 You can check out the links below for further reading. The links take you directly to the genus and species of this plant.


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We believe that a secure distributed transaction system which protects customer's privacy should be of highest priority. That's why we created fairCASH.
fairCASH is the world's first Digital Cash system that exhibits all the characteristics of the traditional Physical Cash while adding contemporary communications features:
- cash usable within the Internet,
- unlimited transferable among all users,
- unconditioned anonymous,
- no registration before using at fairCASH acceptance points,
- functional even if the Internet infrastructure is not available/down,
- legal certainty due to automated generation of receipts,
- limited refund capabilities,
- ticketing freely included,
- free of fees or transaction cost for private users.
fairCASH is by no means a new currency but an innovative, incentive and tentative way to supplement the proven good old Physical Cash system.
This site explains the fairCASH system's intention and functionality.


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The words of the Dutch engineer echo those of Giorgio M. Cassetta, who The Upper Deck of "Spectre" is dedicated to indulgence and relaxation: a stern Inside is a 90-square meter panoramic salon with a large L-shaped lounge area,
Impact-echo is a method for nondestructive testing of concrete and masonry structures square, rectangular and many I and T cross-sections), and hollow cylinders maintenance programs, such as routine evaluation of bridge decks to detect . (19mm) diameter;; One 12-foot (3.7-meter) cable and one 25-foot (7.6-meter)
Choose from 12500 square feet of bright indoor space and 25000 square feet of Space Echo Room, Area(SQ FT) 546, SQ Meters 51, Dimension 26' x 21'
ground-penetrating radar (GPR) and impact echo (IE), and to evaluate and On an average, about 50 m2 of a deck can be tested per hour using a 0.9 m.
Nov 21, 2018 The Amazon Echo Spot has a 2.5-inch touchscreen for watching videos, Plus, the square Vevo app — remember, no YouTube videos on
CLOUD NINE- Couples Retreat with Breathtaking Escarpment Views Echo Point. Cloud Nine offers great Value with ~ 75 square meters of internal space and another 30 square meters of external deck, (that's about 4 times the size of your
A composite deck will also pay off, but not quite as much. 200~500 Square Meter echo deck a square metre to square · pontoon boat flooring wood look
Free delivery and returns on all eligible orders. Shop Composite Decking Charcoal 20 Square Meter Pack (incl. fixings and screws).
Sep 6, 2018 Plus, significant works to its damaged concrete deck slab. The piers concrete decking was also damaged with 420 square metres/4,520
Jan 1, 2018 Length Overall. 59.25 metres. Radar No Echo Sounder. Furuno FE 702 DECK MACHINERY. Propellers 340 Square Metres. Deck Cargo.
The building itself includes open office space with a floor plate of 1,200 square metres per floor, with an upper plant deck and an external mechanical chiller
Feb 10, 2017 aft deck; helicopter deck of about 100 square metres on the aft deck the promenade deck to the bottom of the ship; also supported echo
Jul 11, 2018 Echo draw!!! Reply. Rookskull. July 11, 2018 at 11:16 am. This + top deck Firefly + added flame elemental = profit. Reply. Stonekeep. July 11
DRIVEWAY PARKING GRIDS X100 = 25 square metres GRAVEL DRIVEWAY GRIDS - GRASS GRIDS (4 makes 1 square metre) PLASTIC PARKING
Bring the entire clan to The Lodge on Echo Lake for a memorable Family Reunion, Two Outdoor Decks, overlooking Echo Lake; 5,000 Sq Foot Covered/Open Air 35 acre spring fed Echo Lake with private beach access; 2-25 meter heated
There are ten deluxe staterooms all located on the main (Beagle) deck that are spacious and All cabins measure 145 square feet (13.5 square meters) and offer NAVIGATIONAL AIDS: VHF and HI-SUB radios, GMDSS, color radar, echo
Local News February 27, 2015 by Echonetdaily progress association at 'a new huge' 400-square-metre raised timber deck with fencing along the foreshore


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Wednesday, October 13, 2010
I'm Still Here!!
6 comments:
I must agree Polly about the time. We have been very busy with our Quilt Hanging and now it is a week since it all began.ReplyDelete
Oh How sad tyou are not able to go to your Fall Retreat anymore. Can all the ladies not go to another venue???
You sure were productive. Love the colours too in your table runner.
What a handsome son you have and he has chosen a pretty young lady.
Love the table runner. I'm sorry that you'll have to change your retreat venue. I hope you get somewhere equally nice.ReplyDelete
Love and hugs Gina xxx
Hi Polly,ReplyDelete
Even though time is flying, wonderful things are happening. Love your table runner! Wonderful for summer months. I'm loving small projects. Thanks for showing the photo of your son and his girl. What a handsome young man! Have a wonderful Thursday!
Great runner, great couple and great week it sounds to me for you...Yeah..ReplyDelete
blessings msamm
Yes, they make a darling couple.ReplyDelete
LOL, I see that "sneak" photoshot of Yogi in there looking chirper as can be...LOL
Beautiful table runner!!ReplyDelete
Thank you sooooooo very much for taking the time to leave a comment! I am always happy to know that someone is reading my ramblings!! Polly :-)


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We've collected some good advice that is ideal for those who hope to start a sponges business. Read this advice before you start!
Thinking about opening a sponges business? We tell you what you need to know to get started.
(article continues below)
Essential Features of Business Plans for Sponges Businesses
Every business plan is unique, yet the most effective plans share a handful of essential traits.
By skipping over time-consuming chapters on marketing, finance and other key business areas, you will jeopardize your business plan's overall effectiveness.
To discuss the external factors that will influence your startup, consider dedicating a section of your business to a PEST (Political, Economic, Social & Technological) analysis.
Consider Competitors
Prior to opening a sponges business in your area, it's essential to find out what the competition looks like. We've provided the link below to help you find competitors nearby. Complete the form by entering your city, state and zip code to get a list of sponges businesses that are close by.
How tough is the competition in the market you are considering? If the competition is too tough, you may need to think about starting the business in a different area or even start a completely different business instead.
Studying the Market
Once you've finished assessing the competion, the next step is to speak with somebody who is already in the business. Local competitors are not going to give you the time of day, mind you. Why would they want to educate a future competitor?
But, a person who owns a sponges business in another town may be more than happy to give you a few tips, given that you don't compete with them in their area. In fact, they are often very willing to share startup advice with you. It can take a while to find an entrepreneur who is willing to talk, but it's well worth the effort.
How do you go about finding a sponges business manager in another city who you can speak with?
It's easy. Here's a link you can use to find a mentor outside of your area.
Advice for Acquiring a Sponges Business
Many entrepreneurs elect to acquire a profitable sponges business instead of navigating the challenges of a business startup.
Yet for many entrepreneurs, financing represents a major hurdle to buying a sponges business. Business acquisitions are easier to finance than business startups, even though the financing process can still be exhausting.
Our Business Acquisition Financing Tips have the information you need to successfully navigate the challenges of financing your new business.
Don't Forget About Franchising As an Option
Your chances for doing well in business immediately improve if you become a franchisee rather than going it alone.
Prior to making the decision to open a sponges business, it's worthwhile to investigate whether there are good franchise opportunities available that might alleviate your startup process.
The link below gives you access to our franchise directory so you can see if there's a franchise opportunity for you. You might even find something that points you in a completely different direction.
Related Articles on Starting a Company
These additional resources regarding starting a business may be of interest to you.
How to Find Start-Up Capital
Conversation Board
What's your experience with trying to open a sponges business? This site for small business owners and entrepreneurs greatly appreciates your feedback.
Already Own a Sponges Business?
If you currently own a sponges business, these resources will come in handy:
Marketing a Sponges Business
Selling a Sponges Business
Are You Selling to Sponges Businesses?
If you came here to learn about selling to sponges businesses, you're in the wrong place. These resources are more appropriate for you:
Selling to Sponges Businesses
Mailing Lists for Sponges Businesses
More Startup Guides
If you are interested in starting a different kind of business, please browse our directory of guides below.
Additional Resources for Entrepreneurs
Entrepreneur FeaturesEmployee to EntrepreneurSmall Business EthicsGood Business BooksStudying EntrepreneurshipHow Kids Make MoneySocial EntrepreneurshipMergers and AcquisitionsEntrepreneur Blogs


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Daddy's Day At School – II
(Read Part I here) "My Daddy couldn't be here, Because he lives so far away, But I know he wishes he could be, Since this is such a special day. "And though you cannot meet him, I wanted you to know, All about my Daddy, And how he loves me so. "He loved to tell me stories, He taught me to ride my bike, He surprised me with pink roses, And taught me to fly a kite. "We used to share fudge sundaes, And ice cream in a cone, And though you cannot see him, I'm not standing here alone. … Continue reading Daddy's Day At School – II


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Advent IV, Thursday – December 24
(Christmas Eve)
AM Psalm 45, 46; PM —
Baruch 4:36-5:9; Galatians 3:23-4:7
Matthew 1:18-25
Now the birth of Jesus the Messiah took place in this way. When his mother Mary had been engaged to Joseph, but before they lived together, she was found to be with child from the Holy Spirit. Her husband Joseph, being a righteous man and unwilling to expose her to public disgrace, planned to dismiss her quietly. But just when he had resolved to do this, an angel of the Lord appeared to him in a dream and said, 'Joseph, son of David, do not be afraid to take Mary as your wife, for the child conceived in her is from the Holy Spirit. She will bear a son, and you are to name him Jesus, for he will save his people from their sins.' All this took place to fulfill what had been spoken by the Lord through the prophet: 'Look, the virgin shall conceive and bear a son, and they shall name him Emmanuel', which means, 'God is with us.' When Joseph awoke from sleep, he did as the angel of the Lord commanded him; he took her as his wife, but had no marital relations with her until she had borne a son;* and he named him Jesus.
It's hard to read this story of Jesus' birth without reading all the things that aren't in it. This is Joseph's story, not Mary's. The angel appears to Joseph in a dream to tell him not to make a fuss because she's pregnant and the child is not his, but to take Mary as his wife. There is no angel appearing to Mary. There are no angels appearing to shepherds, no angels singing, "Glory to God in the highest!" It is just Joseph and his dream and his nameless angel! And then the birth, there is no mention of a manger or a census. This is no Christmas pageant story and yet it is the gospel, the good news! And center stage, a dream!
I have had dreams, some as mind-boggling as Joseph's but there's never been an angel in one. I believe God speaks to each of us in whatever way we will hear and maybe angels are not my medium. And it's not that I don't believe in angels. Every night I pray to God to "give your angels charge over those who sleep." Likewise it seems so very right and proper to ask God to send his angels to surround the sick or the suffering or those in need of comfort or strength.
I grew up hearing of guardian angels. We each have one, so I believed, and I imagined mine sitting on my shoulder. Unfortunately he seemed to be more like my conscience but maybe that's what guardian angels are, at least some of the time, as they keep us on the straight and narrow.
Enough of struggling with the whys and wherefores of dreams and angels – it's Christmas Eve and time to sing, "Glory to God in the highest."
Sonia S.
Glorious God, we dream dreams yet so rarely dare follow them. This night of all nights, day of all days, help us boldly step into your dream –the babe in the manger—that we might follow in the footsteps of his dream, now and forever. Amen.


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Luxury villa in Rogoznica for sale VRo-956
- Price from 1 700 000 €
- ID: VRo-956
- 300 m2 Living area
- 786 m2 The total land area
- 20 m Distance from the sea
Luxury villa in Rogoznica for sale
This luxury villa is in Rogoznica-Stivasnica 20 or so meters away from the sea and has a seaview.
It has an amazing 300m2 of living space and 786 m2 of total land area. The villa consists of a ground floor and a first floor and it is oriented towards west. On the ground floor there is a large living room, a dining room with a kitchen, and a large terrace with a pool. The villa has four bedrooms and five bathrooms. It is equipped with underfloor heating, the latest generator heat pumps with open fireplace, BUS light control system, LED lighting and much more.
The open staircase leads to a gallery which has 4 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms. All bedrooms have a walk-in closet, three rooms have a bathroom inside the room. The open terrace in the heart of the upper floor is just one of the architectural miracles that makes this villa so special. The sliding glass door with an impressive overall width of 12.50 meters ensures you can look at the sea at any given time. With an open sliding door you get that open space feel in a comfortable interior. The arhitectual plan offers numerous options for equipping this valuable property and turning it into a home with its own individual design ideas.
The sale price price is 1 700 000 euro.
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Tel: +38763403197
Yacht manager
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Representative in Germany
Tel: +491785300661
Email: firstname.lastname@example.com


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Gun Bigots
Well, its not from the official blog, but it appears Tim Kaine's supporters are nothing butgun banning bigots. Either that, or they really are as misinformed as they make themselves out to be.
I was hoping for better from Mr. Kaine, and I guess I will still hold out some hope - but the more I hear from his supporters the more I am convinced that he is nothing but a two faced anti American gun banning pinko.
Jerry Kilgore would like you to think that Tim Kaine will take away your guns. This is about as likely as Tim Kaine taking away your goggles. How does the concept that Tim Kaine might support background checks at gun shows or the mere idea that he may not support laws that protect negligent gun dealers who might be sued for selling guns to criminals, turn into "no guns for anyone"?
Thats just the opening paragraph.
Its worth noting that Tim Kaine was a big time early supporter of the trial lawyers and gun banners predatory lawsuits aimed at the firearms industry.
Here's the response I put up on his blog vis a vis the so called gun show loophole.
There is no gun show loophole. Its another lie, brought to you by the Sarah Brady, Teddy Kennedy, and the Commie Mommies.
There is no such thing as an unlicensed firearms dealer. You are either an FFL holder or you are not. You either sell firearms for profit or you do not. If you do, you better have an FFL or your gonna be spending a lot of time with the bootie bandit. If you don't, then you are not eligible to receive an FFL.
If you are a firearms dealer you are required to conduct the background check wherever you sell a gun - be it in a store, in your home, or at a gun show.
What you are seeking to do when you harp on and on about closing the gun show loophole is actually regulating private sellers looking to maximize the return on an investment, or simply not to loose their shirt.
Let me give you an example of how the real world works, since you gun banning Democrats seem to have left it long ago.
The last new gun I purchased cost me over $700 (lets kill another myth right here, guns are EXPENSIVE!!! You people - and Tim Kaine is responsible for this - managed to generally price the poor people living in areas where they have a real need for self protection - out of the market by eliminating cheap guns). If I wish to get rid of it I have a few options.
First, I can sell it to a dealer who will pay me $300 for it and then turn around and resell it (after conducting a background check) for $600 (Though expensive, guns retain a surprising part of their value).
Second, I can sell it to a pawn shop who will pay me $100 for it and then turn around and resell it (after conducting a background check) for $600.
Third, I can turn it in at a gun buy back event to Tim Kaine and the Richmond Police Department or Sarah Brady and the Commie Mommies for $50 in donated Target Gift Cards (which don't allow change to be given back, and lose their value if I don't use them within a year). Tim Kain and the Richmond Police or Sarah Brady and the Commie Mommies will then turn around and sell my $700 gun to a gun dealer for $300 (using that profit to further erode my civil rights - they only melt down the worthless guns). The gun dealer will then resell it (after conducting a background check) for $600 (sometimes they sell it to national distributors who simply act as a middle man between Tim Kain and the Richmond Police or Sarah Brady and the Commie Mommies and the eventual gun seller).
Finally, I can sell it privately for $500-$600 by posting an ad in the paper (but only where Sarah Brady and the Commie Mommies haven't shut that avenue down); posting a notice at a gun range or on the internet; selling it to a friend; or going to a gun show where I can meet potential buyers.
As a private citizen, I am not a gun dealer let alone an "unlicensed gun dealer", in fact I am not eligible to become a gun dealer unless I have the intent to actually engage in the business and then do so once granted my license. Yet, for some reason, you want to restrict my rights (through making gun ownership unaffordable) by preventing my access to a marketplace of buyers and artificially deflating the value of my gun (and often times putting the lost profit right in the bank account of Tim Kain and the Richmond Police or Sarah Brady and the Commie Mommies).
Thats what the so called gun show bills are seeking to do. Regulate non dealers.
How can Tim Kaine or any Democrat ever hope to convince America (or simply the citizens of Virginia) that they aren't after their guns when every false gun concern they raise is tied directly to the ultimate goal of eliminating gun ownership in America (see the statements of Diane Feinstein and the founders of the Brady Campaign/Million Mom March - formerly known as Handgun Control Inc.) ?????
Lets try to educate this fool and maybe we can make a difference.


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The world's largest private coal company misled its investors and the public about the financial risks of climate change, New York state's attorney general announced on Monday.
In a press release, Attorney General Eric Schneiderman said Peabody Energy violated New York laws prohibiting "false and misleading conduct" in public statements about its business. Specifically, Schneiderman found that Peabody failed to tell its investors about how regulations to fight climate change could hurt the coal industry. Instead, Peabody insisted it had no idea how climate regulations would affect its business, and provided its investors with "incomplete and one-sided discussions" of the future of coal in a climate-concerned world, Schneiderman said.
Peabody Energy has a responsibility to be honest with its investors and the public about the risks posed by climate change
"As a publicly traded company whose core business generates massive amounts of carbon emissions, Peabody Energy has a responsibility to be honest with its investors and the public about the risks posed by climate change, now and in the future," Schneiderman said in a statement. "I believe that full and fair disclosures by Peabody and other fossil fuel companies will lead investors to think long and hard about the damage these companies are doing to our planet."
The state laws Peabody was found to have violated are the Martin Act and Executive Law, both of which "prohibit false and misleading conduct in connection with securities transactions," the attorney general said.
Peabody did not admit or deny those findings, but signed a document on Sunday agreeing to revise its shareholder disclosures with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Per that document, Peabody will have to correct its financial statements to be honest about how a global climate deal or other carbon regulation could hurt its business.
The document can be found in full here.
Peabody's violations will not result in financial punishment, as both laws only allow monetary penalties if shareholders need to be reimbursed for financial losses. It's difficult to know what, if any, financial harm was passed on to shareholders due to Peabody's misleading statements, since this particular situation was about the future risks of climate change. If in the future, however, investors find that Peabody's misleading statements cost them money, they would likely have the option to sue.
The settlement comes just a few days after the two-year investigation became public. On Friday, Scheiderman announced that his office had issued subpoenas to both Peabody and oil company ExxonMobil, both related to the fossil fuel giants' public statements on climate change.
Environmentalists and Democratic politicians have accused ExxonMobil of engaging in a cover-up to mislead the public about the risks of human-caused climate change in order to sell more of its carbon-intensive product. Exxon has vehemently denied the accusation.
Either way, Schneiderman's two investigations are sparking serious legal discussion about how honest fossil fuel companies must be when it comes to the carbon emissions they create — especially if honesty might mean knowingly lowering profits. Should coal companies be forced to admit that their coal is creating a climate risk? If so, should they be allowed to fund politicians who advocate against climate action? Are these corporate activities protected free speech?
Bloomberg View columnist Matt Levine offered a nuanced discussion of those questions on Friday. And ultimately, he said, it may just come down to whether these companies lied to their own investors — even if the lie was in their investors' financial interest.
"If you lie to the public about the risks that fossil fuel use poses to life on earth, you are just exercising your right as a citizen," Levine wrote. "But if you lie to your investors about the risks that fossil fuel regulation poses to your stock price, you are committing fraud and will get in bad trouble."


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This is a kit put together of old booklets and papers I found in an attic. It is that great "old look" for vintage scrappers out there, because it IS old! Most are from the 40's , 50's and 60's !
Have fun and if I get requests I cam make you some embellishments that look just as old!


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Program Description
The Master of Public Administration at Virginia International University is designed to prepare students for a career in public management or related firms. Graduates of the MPA at VIU will be able to solve problems in the industry related to human resources, finance, project management, and leadership. Students will learn to oversee a diverse workforce and community in public, private, and non-profit structures. Students will learn to manage the mix of both local and regional needs in order to achieve the best results within a multifaceted range of governmental regulations and the political process.
Graduates from VIU's Master of Public Administration Program will be able to use their skills in a variety of areas in the DC-Metropolitan area, as well as outside the region and on a global scale. Typical places of employment for individuals with this degree include state and local government agencies, federal government agencies, public agencies, non-profit corporations, and many private and publicly held organizations worldwide.
The MPA program offers three (3) concentration areas for students to choose from:
- Public Management
- Information Systems
- Health Care Administration and Public Health
Required Courses
Students in the MPA program will take twelve (12) classes. These include:
- Seven (7) core courses, taken by all students in the program
- Three (3) concentration courses, determined based on concentration area
- Two (2) electives, selected by the student from a wide variety of options
- Each graduate-level class is equivalent to three (3) credits. To complete the program, students must accumulate 36 credits.
- Students enrolled in the graduate program must maintain a cumulative grade point average of at least 3.0 (B), out of 4.0, and a minimum of grade not less than 2.0 (C), out of 4.0, in all courses to qualify for the MPA degree to remain in good academic standing and to graduate. The maximum time frame permitted for the completion of any graduate program is 54 semester credits.
- Only graduate-level courses may be applied toward the degree. A master's student may transfer up to 12 semester hours of graduate credit earned at other accredited institutions.
- Beyond the prerequisites, the student must have completed 36 credit hours, of which 21 credit hours of required core courses and 15 credit hours of elective course must have been earned.
- No degree credit is earned by a graduate student for any grade below 2.0 (C), out of 4.0, received in a graduate-level course. However, any grades lower than 2.0 (C), out of 4.0, will be calculated in the grade point average.
Prerequisite Courses
There are three (3) prerequisite courses for the MPA program. Students should take one course from the Management Concepts category (either BUSS 301 or BUSS 312), one course from the Economic Concepts category (either ECON 101 or ECON 102), and one course from the Academic Writing Skills category (either ENGL 113 or ENGL 120). If students have taken similar courses at the undergraduate level they may transfer their credits for the related courses.
The program objectives of the Master Public Administration are designed to enable graduates to be successful in the multitude of employment positions that an MPA degree will garner including, government, organizational management, healthcare administration, and many more. Upon completion of the program, the graduates will be able to:
- Prepare Public Managers to meet the needs and challenges of Public Service.
- Demonstrate an awareness of and knowledge of the political context of the duties of a public servant.
- Exhibit ethical conduct while maintaining awareness of the large responsibilities of serving the public interest.
- Become effective managers, specialists, and figureheads in both the public sector and public organizations.
About the School
VIU is a non-profit university committed to setting a new standard in higher education. Through our student-centered approach, we endeavor to provide the most positive environment for learning availab ... Read More


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Getting a Car Loan After Chapter 7 Bankruptcy
November 20, 2018
If you didn't know, consumers can get a car loan right after filing for Chapter 7 bankruptcy. Typically, consumers find themselves more likely to be approved for an auto loan after they complete the process, rather than before.
Chapter 7 Bankruptcy
Chapter 7 bankruptcy can offer you the fresh start you need. However, filing for Chapter 7 bankruptcy is not something that should be taken lightly.
Most Chapter 7 filings take anywhere from four to six months to be complete.
Many experts often refer to Chapter 7 bankruptcy as liquidation bankruptcy, since the bankruptcy trustee is required to sell off all of your "non-exempt" property.
Almost all debts will be wiped out when you file for chapter 7 bankruptcy. However, if your bankruptcy case was dismissed, you will not receive any of the benefits Chapter 7 bankruptcy has to offer.
Additionally, you will not be refunded the costs associated with filing.
Getting an Auto Loan After Filing for Chapter 7
Finding financing for an auto loan post-bankruptcy is not as difficult as it seems. In order to qualify, you may have to find a subprime lender that works with consumers who have poor or no credit.
These subprime lenders may charge you a higher interest rate than an applicant with a healthy credit score.
Bankruptcy and Buy Here Pay Here Dealerships
If all else fails, you can search for a Buy Here Pay Here dealership. A BHPH dealership is a type of dealership that works with consumers who may have less-than-perfect credit.
At BHPH dealerships, the vehicles tend to be older with much higher mileage than a conventional auto dealership. Although a BHPH dealership is a good last resort, there are some things to be aware of.
BHPH dealerships tend to charge extremely high interest rates on "un-desirable" cars.
Most BHPH dealerships also require consumers to make their car payments right at the dealership, meaning you'll be required to stop by the dealership once or even twice per month to make payments.
Final Note
Getting a car loan after filing for Chapter 7 bankruptcy may be difficult but not impossible. If you are looking to buy a new car but have less than perfect credit, CrediReady can help. Our nationwide network of trusted dealers and verified lenders work with buyers in all credit situations.
Take a moment to fill out our free no-obligation loan inquiry form and start shopping for your dream car today!
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Code.org - 1 heure de code pour l'initiation à la programmation. Scratch (langage) Un article de Wikipédia, l'encyclopédie libre.
Pour les articles homonymes, voir Scratch. Le ton de cet article ou de cette section est trop promotionnel ou publicitaire. (indiquez la date de pose grâce au paramètre date). Scratch - Site Officiel. Scratch - Téléchargement éditeur hors ligne. You can install the Scratch 2.0 editor to work on projects without an internet connection.
This version will work on Mac, Windows, and some versions of Linux (32 bit). Note for Mac Users: the latest version of Scratch 2.0 Offline requires Adobe Air 20. To upgrade to Adobe Air 20 manually, go here. Scratch Offline Editor Next download and install the Scratch 2.0 Offline Editor Mac OS X - Download Mac OS 10.5 & Older - Download. Scratch Wiki (US) Scratch - Wiki (Fr) Scratch - Forums (US) Join ScratchSign inForgot password?
Sign in Scratch works best on newer browsers. We suggest you upgrade to a supported browser, download the offline editor, or read about common workarounds. x. Scratch - Forum (FR) ScratchJr. Manuel Scratch par l'Inria [Pdf] Guide pour le logiciel Scratch — Technologie au collège.
Apprendre à utiliser Scratch. Christophe Béasse Loading... Working... ► Play all. Sprite - Scratch Wiki. An image of a sprite appearing on both the stage and the sprite list.
Sprites, either user-created, uploaded, or found in the sprites library, are the objects that perform actions in a project. While the Stage can also be programmed in a project, most projects have at least one sprite as well because only sprites can move. Vector Graphics - Scratch Wiki. "Vector" redirects here.
For the article on vectors, see Using Vectors. Vector graphics are graphics stored and drawn with instructions rather than grids of pixels. This not only results in very high and theoretically infinite resolution images, but it also reduces the file size dramatically. They are commonly stored in the SVG file format which resembles XML. You can view SVG files in your web browser, and SVGs are used in Adobe Flash. Those graphics are commonly miscalled simple graphics [citation needed] due to the lack of effects which are only able to be used in regular bitmap images (blur, shadows...) and the inability of taking photos in vector format.
Advantages of Vector Graphics The vector graphics make drawings look much nicer but tend to be more difficult to draw. Scratch - Bouncing off a Sprite. Bouncing Balls and Gravity on Scratch. Ball Physics on Scratch. Bouncing Ball Example Project on Scratch. L'animation procédurale. Introduction Le but est, au moyen d'un exemple simple, le rebond d'une balle, nous semblant aujourd'hui évident, de comprendre en partie le déroulement mathématique, physique ou algorithmique à la base de l'animation procédurale.
"En synthèse d'image numérique, l'animation procédurale est une animation d'objets virtuels par génération en temps réel de mouvements, selon un ensemble de règles procédurales. L'animateur 3D spécifie les règles (par exemple des lois du monde physique décrites par des relations mathématiques), et les conditions initiales avant de lancer la simulation." Cf. Wikipedia. Using Vectors - Scratch Wiki. "Vector" redirects here.
For a type of graphic, see Vector Graphics. Vectors are ordered sets of numbers, used in algebra to represent many different things. Most of the time, they are used to represent various physical quantities in physics simulations or games. This article will explain how to use vectors with Scratch to produce interesting effects. Physics (disambiguation) - Scratch Wiki.
Physics is a science involving the study of matter and its motion.
It is used in Scratch to simulate more realistic and fluid motion of sprites. On the Scratch Wiki, there are nine different tutorials for implementing physics into Scratch projects: Gravity-related Simulating Gravity — a page on how to create gravity multiple ways Object Attraction — a page about object attraction Object Repulsion — a page about object repulsion Jumping — a how-to page about jumping. Velocity - Scratch Wiki. Velocity (not to be confused with gravity) is defined as speed in a given direction, and can therefore be negative, unlike speed alone (which is directionless and always positive).
It is often used in projects for physics effects. Using velocity is a far smoother and aesthetically pleasing method than traditional scrolling. Finding Direction With Velocity - Scratch Wiki. While programming, it is sometimes necessary to find the direction a sprite should point given two velocities (x and y).
This article presents the script that will provide the correct direction as well as an explanation of how it works. The Script. Simulating Gravity - Scratch Wiki. Simulating Gravity, or at least the effect of gravity in Scratch can be difficult, but due to trigonometric blocks in Scratch, it is possible. Creating Gravity Using Trigonometry This section is designed to teach you how to simulate gravity's pull on an object around a center-point. This is similar to how the gravity of a star affects the motion of a planet. The script below is based on a simple trigonometric identity which states that sin2x + cos2y = 1. Below are the scripts you will need to put into the object that you want to rotate: If you want the person playing the game to control the rotation you can use this script: For the "Planet" or other object that is being rotated about you will want to use this script:
How to Connect to the Physical World - Scratch Wiki. You can connect your Scratch projects to the physical world using several different kinds of devices. Each of these work with Scratch 1.4. Currently MaKey MaKey works with Scratch 2.0, with support planned for the other devices. MaKey MaKey MaKey MaKey allows people to turn everyday objects into keys and use them with their computer. MaKey MaKey works by opening and closing circuits, using your body and other objects as conductors. The default keys are the arrow keys, the space bar, and left click. Livres Programmation - Enfants - Adolescents. Scratch pour les kids : Dès 8 ans de The LEAD Project – 5 mars 2015. Cahier d'activités Scratch pour les kids : Dès 8 ans de Frédéric Pain. Scratch Class: Bitmap or Vector? on Scratch. Algorithmique au cycle 3. Les programmes du cycle 3 évoquent en Sciences et technologie et en Mathématiques (Espace et géométrie) l'initiation à la programmation.
Imagine - programme - partage. Apprendre à programmer avec Scratch : Site collaboratif, pédagogique et autoformation. Scratch (programming language) Scratch is a free desktop and online multimedia authoring tool that can be used by students, scholars, teachers, and parents to easily create games and provide a stepping stone to the more advanced world of computer programming or even be used for a range of educational and entertainment constructivist purposes from math and science projects, including simulations and visualizations of experiments, recording lectures with animated presentations, to social sciences animated stories, and interactive art and music.
Viewing the existing projects available on the Scratch website, or modifying and testing any modification without saving it requires no online registration. Scratch. En septembre 2013 il a plus de 3 millions de projets fait et partagé par des enfants de toutes nationalités et disponible sur le site officiel. Google Developers. Blockly Games. Programmation créative en scratch — Pixees. Ressource À la une de la page d'accueil .
Initier les élèves à la pensée informatique et à la programmation avec Scratch. Programmation Scratch - Ressources pour l'école. Starting from scratch tutor fr mcc v0. How to make a pong game. Pong WorkshopWorksheet. Scratch Tutorial: Paddle and Brick Game. Home of Scratch. Scratch is a programming language which allows you to create amongst other things games. You can create characters that dance, sing, and interact with one another. Scratch allows you to create images that whirl, spin, and animate in response to movements of the mouse.
The name Scratch comes from the scratching technique used by hip-hop disc jockeys, who spin vinyl records back and forth with their hands to mix music clips together in creative ways. At the core of Scratch is a graphical programming language that lets you control the actions and interactions among media on their computers today. Coding in Scratch is much easier than in traditional programming languages: to create a script or program, you simply snap together graphical blocks, much like LEGO bricks or puzzle pieces. Snap! (Build Your Own Blocks) 4.0.
Pharo visual harmony. Pocket Code: Learn programming.


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Research award for excellence in light-enabled technology announced by DCU
14 February 2018
DCU President's Awards for Research presented to three individuals who have made outstanding contributions to research including in the area of light enabled technologies
L-R: DCU president Prof Brian MacCraith; Dr Eoin O'Malley; Dr Paolo Rivetti; Prof Liam Barry, School of Electronic Engineering; Prof Greg Hughes
The President's Awards for Research were presented to three individuals who have made outstanding contributions to research in the areas of light enabled technologies, international relations and public policy.
Professor Liam Barry, of the School of Electronic Engineering, was acknowledged for his findings in the area of optical communications and photonics (light-enabled technologies).
Optical communications form the backbone of the internet which has revolutionised how people work, study and interact.
Prof Barry is regarded as an international leader in his field and in particular in the areas of laser development to allow for data transfer and fibre optic frequency combs; lasers which support high speed data channels.
He is currently a professor in the School of Electronic Engineering and a principal investigator in photonic systems at the SFI funded Centre (IPIC); Irish Photonic Integration Centre.
Professor Liam Barry and Dr Paola Rivetti and Dr Eoin O'Malley of the School of Law and Government were all honoured for the significant impact of their research work.http://www.engineersjournal.ie/2018/02/14/research-award-excellence-light-enabled-technology-dcu/http://www.engineersjournal.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/a-dcu1-1024x683.jpghttp://www.engineersjournal.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/a-dcu1-300x300.jpgNewsawards,DCU,research


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ghd Curve curls at Caprio's Hair Studio
GHD Curve Curls
At last……………! Hair has been sooooo straight for such along time now that I'm glad to finally see some movement ,body and volume back in hair fashion. ghd revolutionised hair dressing when they launched their fabulous range of straighteners and now they've done it again and launched a range of Curling Wands & Tongs , Yes you read it correctly….Tongs! For those of you that partied through the 80's, this is daunting I know, but fear not, these tongs don't leave you with an 80's looking perm effect, oh no, the results are soft, bouncy, sexy curls that last. Curls are everywhere we look now and whats great is that you can have curls one day, then straight hair the next if you so wish. Me(Salon Owner, Senior Style Consultant & Extensionist) and Katie ( Caprio's ghd Ambassador & Salon Style Consultant)went along to the ghd Curl workshop to see these fabulous styling tools in action. We had great fun(even though it was a Sunday morning!) curling, twisting and fluffing hair to every inch of it's life. the results we can achieve are wonderful. Although we've been teaching you to curl with your ghd styling irons we do appreciate how hard this can be for non-hairdressers. this is why the new ghd Curve range is so great, you can use them and get the same effects your Hairdresser can. To enquire about Caprio's 'Curls Night In' evening where we will teach you and your girlfriends to use the new range over a glass of wine, CALL our team on 01384 402890.


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Not everything that looks like a probability is.
Just because a variable or function ranges from 0 to 1, it does not mean that it behaves like a unitary probability over that range.
Natural probabilities
What we might term a natural probability is a proper fraction of two frequencies, which we might write as p = f/n.
- Provided that f can be any value from 0 to n, p can range from 0 to 1.
- In this formula, f and n must also be natural frequencies, that is, n stands for the size of the set of all cases, and f the size of a true subset of these cases.
This natural probability is expected to be a Binomial variable, and the formulae for z tests, χ² tests, Wilson intervals, etc., as well as logistic regression and similar methods, may be legitimately applied to such variables. The Binomial distribution is the expected distribution of such a variable if each observation is drawn independently at random from the population (an assumption that is not strictly true with corpus data).
Another way of putting this is that a Binomial variable expresses the number of individual events of Type A in a situation where an outcome of either A and B are possible. If we observe, say 8 out of 10 cases are of Type A, then we can say we have an observed probability of A being chosen, p(A | {A, B}), of 0.8. In this case, f is the frequency of A (8), and n the frequency of both A and B (10). See Wallis (2013a).
Unnatural probabilities
However, sometimes researchers obtain variables or ratios that look like probabilities, but in fact are not.
- Any power of a natural probability, e.g. p² or √p, will range from 0 to 1, but will not behave linearly (proportionately) with p. To compute confidence intervals on p², we must first reverse the square function and compute w⁻, w⁺, and then square these: (w⁻)² and (w⁺)². Any monotonic function of p (such as a power function) may be inverted and intervals computed in this way. See Reciprocating the Wilson interval.
- Baselines incorporating invariant terms (such as word-based baselines) can be expressed as probabilities (in the case of words, usually a very small p) but these are not natural probabilities. It is quite unrealistic to believe that p could ever approach 1, and "max out" at a much lower probability. See That vexed problem of choice and Freedom to vary and significance tests.
- Effect size measures such as Cramér's φ and adjusted C (Sheskin 1997) also range from 0 to 1 but can be thought of as being based on multiple natural probabilities, p₁, p₂, etc. Methods for computing confidence intervals on φ do exist in the literature (see Comparing χ² tests for separability) although they are based on Wald estimates and are non-optimal.
On the other hand both onomasiological (choice) and semasiological (use) variables are Binomial. The chance of being exposed to one particular use of a word out of many can be considered as a Binomial variable, even though it is a by-product of multiple onomasiological choices between linguistic alternates. See Choice vs. use.
Combined probabilities
What if we have an observation that is the result of pooling two different sets of results, each with their own independent true rate?
For example, suppose the true rate of shall vs. will in first person declarative cases (I shall/will go…) is 1:1, but in interrogative cases (Shall/Will I go?) the ratio is 1:9. For the sake of argument, let us also suppose that in our data there is the same number of declarative as interrogative cases.
We can use Pd to represent the expected declarative probability of shall, and Pi for the interrogative probability.
Next, suppose we do not distinguish the two categories but simply put them together. What will the overall distribution of P look like?
overall probability P = (Pd + Pi) / 2,
This variable will range from 0 to 1, but the expected distribution of P will not be Binomial. The peak will not even be at P = 0.3. Instead it will have two peaks, one at 0.5 and the other at 0.1.
The figure is computed by applying the simple formula above to the Binomial distributions for Pd and Pi, and the Normal approximation to these distributions.
As the graph clearly shows, the result is not a Binomial distribution about P=0.3! It is worth thinking about why this is a visible problem in this case.
- we have assumed that the two rates are some distance apart (0.5 and 0.1),
- we assume there are approximately the same number of declarative and interrogative cases of first person shall/will modal alternation, so the summed distribution looks like neither individual distribution, and
- there are only two distinct categories (the more categories that exist, the more the data will tend to behave Binomially, but with more noise).
If the combined rates were close together (e.g. 0.4 and 0.5), or 90% of the data was declarative (a more realistic assumption in many contexts), then P would be closer to the peaks, and the combined pattern would be a closer approximation to the Binomial distribution about P. It also follows that confidence intervals for observations would be more reliable.
Does this mean that since we are frequently dealing with datasets containing cases which necessarily have different local pressures on each one, that it is not viable simply to assume that the variable is truly Binomial? See also Is language really "a set of alternations"?
The answer is no, the Binomial distribution should be our default assumption. That is, unless we have a priori linguistic reasons for separating out data into distinct categories, we can reasonably assume that the data will be Binomially distributed about a true rate, P. Bear in mind that we only have observations to go on — we don't know what the true rate is!
If we suspect that our data may contain different subsets each with very different rates, we can test this hypothesis:
- Split data into relevant linguistic sub-categories and determine the observed probability in each case.
- Carry out a 2 × 2 or r × 2 χ² test for homogeneity (Wallis 2013b) where the independent variable is the grammatical condition. For example, if our data were divided into interrogative vs. declarative sets, a significant difference would mean we could conclude that Pd ≠ Pi.
Note that this distinction need not be grammatical. A similar result might be found from combining speech and writing data (in this case a Newcombe-Wilson test is preferred, see Wallis 2013a).
The same principle also applies to semasiological variables, i.e., variables where the overall observed p value is the result of several different choices.
Dispersion rates
A recent paper I was asked to review looked at dispersion rates.
A dispersion rate for a word represents the number of texts in which a word appears at least once. Implicit in the paper was the assumption that a dispersion rate could be treated like a true probability. After all, it is theoretically possible that all texts contain a modal verb, and it is possible that all texts contain none. So we may write:
- dispersion rate(modal) dr ∈ [0, 1], where dr = d/t.
The maximum value of the dispersion frequency d is the number of texts, t.
One might express dr as a probability (the probability of selecting a text that contains a modal, p(modal | text)). But is dr a natural probability?
The answer has to be Yes, but… Yes, the dispersion rate can be approximated by a Binomial variable. But the measure suffers from a number of defects.
Consider the relationship between dispersion counts and frequency counts. An item that appears repeatedly in the same text contributes multiple hits towards the frequency f but only adds 1 to the dispersion count d. On the other hand, if the item never appears more than once in the same text, then f = d. So f ≥ d.
- The dispersion rate contains less information regarding the distribution of data than p. Information about second and third occurrences is simply ignored. As a result, evenly distributed low frequency items can score the same as clustered high frequency ones.
- For low frequency items, dr is approximately linear with p, although on a different scale (t, the number of texts, rather than n, the number of potential cases).
- For high frequency items, dr is likely to saturate (tend to 1) more quickly than p.
- Single-author text samples should be of the same size, because the chance of observing an item, all other things being equal, is at least proportional to the number of words. This is not easy to guarantee, particularly if corpora contain very short content such as letters or telephone calls.
So it is possible to employ Wilson intervals, log-likelihood or χ² tests to compare probabilities in the form of p(item | text). However, since dr contains less information than p, greater accuracy will be achieved by recasting the analysis in terms of simple probabilities of occurrence.
We noted that dr contained less information regarding the distribution of data than p. This means that a significance test comparing two dispersion rates (dr₁, dr₂) will have lower statistical power than a comparable statistical test comparing two Binomial probabilities (p₁, p₂).
From an experimental design point of view, one further point needs to be noted. Dispersion rates do not sum hierarchically. In other words, the probability of finding a modal in a text, p(M) is equal to the sum of the probabilities of all modal forms, p(m₁)+p(m₂)+…p(mn). The same is not true of dispersion rates. A dispersion rate cannot be used in an alternation study because of this.
One of the reasons why dispersion rates have been proposed is as an alternative to per-million-word frequencies (per word probabilities), but neither of these is a substitute for an alternation study.
Dispersion rates count a single 'hit' per text equal to multiple 'hits' per text, and are at the extreme end of a methodological continuum suppressing case interaction. However, the prior probability weighting methods we describe in this post sum hierarchically and permit alternation studies.
Sheskin, D.J. 1997. Handbook of Parametric and Nonparametric Statistical Procedures. Boca Raton, Fl: CRC Press.
Wallis, S.A. 2013a. Binomial confidence intervals and contingency tests: mathematical fundamentals and the evaluation of alternative methods. Journal of Quantitative Linguistics 20:3, 178-208. » Post
Wallis, S.A. 2013b. z-squared: the origin and application of χ². Journal of Quantitative Linguistics 20:4, 350-378. » Post


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Socially and environmentally certified.
Super soft newborn pants made of organic jersey rib cotton with an all-over woven stripe. This cuddly baby pants has very soft elastic at waist
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I am pleased to advise that we will be running a free to enter Prize Draw during August. As a result you could win up to £200 for just recommending an excellent local business.
So, I expect you are asking, how do I get hold of the £200?
Quite simple really:
1) You need to 'like' (thank you if you have already 'liked' us) and 'share' this post on Facebook
2) Then log onto www.thebestof.co.uk/jersey .
3) Click on the big button on the right hand side of the Home page 'Recommend a business'
4) Fill in the name of the business and where it is based and the reasons why you are recommending the business and add your name and e-mail address
And that's it.
You need to encourage your friends, relatives and colleagues to join in as the prize fund will only be triggered once we have received 10 recommendations, it will then increase as the number of recommendations increases:
0 to 10 recommendations = no prize
11 to 25 recommendations = £50 prize
26 to 50 recommendations = £100 prize
51 to 75 recommendations = £150 prize
76 recommendations and over = £200
During the period the draw is running I will post periodic updates on progress on Twitter and Facebook.
The name of each person recommending a business during the period will be entered into the draw. On Saturday 31st I will confirm on this Blog the value of the prize and the winner of the draw. I will advise the winner on both Facebook and on this Blog.
The prize money can be spent with any business that is featured on The Best of Jersey, the winner may choose to spend this with a single business or two or three businesses.
I hope that you like the new website and will stay with.
Good luck to all.
Draw rules:
You should only recommend a business that you know well and trust that is also locally based. Only recommendations that meet this criteria will be eligible for the Draw
You may only recommend a business once (although you may recommend more than one business)
You must be 18 or over to participate
You cannot own or have a financial interest in a business that you recommend
In the event of dispute the decision of organiser is final.
Member since: 9th July 2012
Hello and welcome to thebestof Jersey blog, I hope that both locals and visitors to the island will become involved. Please let us know about local businesses that go that extra mile and about things...


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Companies' 2017 Expansion Goals Provide Opportunities
Employers plan to increase the number of recent MBA and non-MBA graduates they will hire.
In planning for the year ahead, many companies are aiming high with their organizational goals. The findings of GMAC's annual Year-End Poll of Employers show that more than half of responding companies are focused on expanding and growing in 2017 (56%), and nearly 3 in 4 say that among their goals is improving performance and productivity (74%)—up 14 percentage points from last year. An increased share of employers will also be focused on the growth-oriented objectives of "expanding their customer base" (57% of employers), "launching new products and services" (48%), and "expanding geographically" (25%).
Business School Talent a Priority in Employer Hiring Plans
A key part of how these companies will follow through on these goals is hiring new talent right out of business school. Among responding companies, 71 percent say that recruiting recent MBA and business master's graduates is a priority in their 2017 hiring plans.
Compared with 2016, a greater share of employers plan to hire new employees from each business school program type included in the poll:
- Nearly 8 in 10 employers anticipate hiring MBA candidates in 2017 (79%)
- About a third expect to hire candidates from Master in Management (31%) and Master of Accounting (29%) programs
Not only are more companies planning to hire business school graduates this year, but these employers plan to increase the number of recent MBA and non-MBA graduates they will hire:
- Nearly 8 in 10 employers who plan to hire MBAs this year (78%) expect to hire as many or more than they did in 2016
- A slightly larger share of employers with plans to hire Master in Management and Master of Accounting candidates will maintain or increase their hiring (84% and 80%, respectively)
Good Year for Internships
For those entering or continuing graduate business school in 2017, this year's poll signals ample internship opportunities. Overall, two-thirds of companies with internship programs plan to offer internships to MBA candidates in 2017 (66%). More than 8 in 10 companies offering MBA internships will maintain (23%) or increase (59%) the number of internships offered to these candidates in the coming year.
Among employers who plan to offer internships to business school students, 17 percent plan to offer them to Master of Accounting candidates; 16 percent of these employers will offer internships to Master in Management candidates, and 15 percent to candidates enrolled in Master of Finance programs.
Are you ready to experience the career benefits of a graduate management education? Begin exploring what business schools can offer you by using GMAC's Program Finder tool.


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143/365 - Zan enjoys good company!
This is Law Law Lee - a girl group that disbanded just as quickly as it formed.
I'm a bit tired so I'm going to leave it at this for now. Thanks to my sister and brother-in-law for having me, and hoorah for a marvelous weekend! :)


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The Indian luxury goods market is seen expanding by 25 percent annually up to 2015 despite the global economic slowdown, said Indian industry association ASSOCHAM.
That would give the sector an annual value of $14.7 billion compared with around $8 billion now.
ASSOCHAM says worldwide consumer spending will also rise, and is forecast to be worth US$40 trillion in 2020, boosted by an unprecedented expansion of US$12 trillion in a decade.
Indian consumer expenditure is seen surging by 400 percent to $3.6 trillion in the same period, helped by rising incomes.
Meanwhile, there will be a 300 percent rise in the number of Ultra High Net worth households in the next five years with a 500 percent increase in their net worth.
ASSOCHAM Secretary General D S Rawat said, "The luxury market is poised to expand three fold in the next three years and the number of millionaires expected to multiply three times in another five years.
"An increase in spending is anticipated across the country and beyond the walls of the metros [large cities], with increasing brand awareness amongst the youth and purchasing power of the upper class in Tier II & III cities in India where luxury cars, bikes and exotic holidays and destination weddings are no strangers."
The trade organization said that private equity investments in the luxury sector over the last three years have totaled less than US$1 billion, compared to overall private equity investments in the Indian economy of US$35 billion during the period.
"India and China have shown their resilience to the global turmoil by exhibiting sustained growth and thus laying a solid foundation for future global economic recovery," said Rawat.
"A reflection of this can be seen in the potent demand being witnessed by global luxury brands from these emerging economies. As elite members of the BRIC [Brazil, Russia, India, China] club which currently accounts for 11 percent of the total world luxury sales with a combined retail value of over US$33 billion in 2011-12, India and China are poised to undertake dominant positions in the global luxury market.
"While China is on track to become the world's second largest luxury market within the next five years, India too is not far behind. With positive regulations and policies for the retail industry being put in place by the government along with a burgeoning middle class which aspires to own and experience luxury goods and services, India is a market that can no longer be ignored by international brands," Rawat concludes.