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|good writeup
very interesting. thank you. I was bullish on uranium back in 2010 (see writeup) and did fairly well with it, but had I not sold 3/4 of my position by the time Fukushima happened it would have been a different story. I took another look recently when spot prices hit $18/lb and concluded that the outlook was bleak. the elimination of Japanese demand, kazakh low-cost supply (in no small part due to depreciation of the Tenge vs USD), and the plummeting cost of solar power have dramatically changed the dynamics of this market.
some thoughts:
cash costs >$30/lb?!? wow. five years ago, cash costs at McArthur were sub-$20 and Cigar Lake was still not in production due to the previous flooding. Is Cigar Lake production the reason costs have risen so much?
60% of contracted pricing lined to spot? yikes! back in 2007 I'm sure a tilt to more spot-based pricing sounded like a good idea, but if they're signing deals today with 60/40 spot/fixed pricing that just seems reckless to me.
I know the Russians sell reactors bundled with supply agreements and the Russians have their own supply. But the other countries active in building new reactors (mainly China and South Korea) don't really have much domestic supply. So even if these guys also sell bundled supply agreements, don't they have to look to folks like Cameco for supply?
Be careful in comparing uranium inventories today to those of other commodities today. Better to compare to uranium inventories today to those of the past. Uranium stocks-to-use rations are naturally among the highest of any commodity due to the long-lives of reactors, the fact that fuel cost of nuclear power is a small % of total, and the fact that many countries reliant on nuclear energy must source fuel from somewhere else. all that said, inventories are indeed high vs history right now. Japan has historically had the highest levels of stocks-to-use, and to the extent its reactors don't come back on line, I suppose that's another supply overhang on the market.
by the way, I would respectfully disagree with your statement that uranium is one of the most forecastable industries, but I'm not sure it hurts your thesis as so many of the surprises tend to be negative for pricing. consider:
-- demand shocks - e.g. Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima. also, back in the late 1990s, many smart observers predicted - quite logically - that a jump in the uranium price was imminent due to years of underinvestment in supply, cash burn at producers, low inventories, etc. but then a wave of utility mergers in the U.S. lowered the required inventory levels for nuclear plant owners and kept prices depressed for another 3-4 years.
-- supply shocks - e.g. Cigar Lake Flooding (great for miners unless it's their own mine that goes off-line). note that the top 10 or so mines make up a very large % of supply, so problems at just one mine can be significant for the market as a whole.
-- cost overruns on new reactors (endemic in the Western world, while Asian countries somehow keep costs under control ... I've never figured out how or why)
-- threat of substitutes - e.g. the plummeting cost of natural gas in North America has killed the nuclear renaissance there more than any other factor
|Re: good writeup
Hi mpk
Thank you for your kind comments and great questions.
I also used to be a uranium investor, when the sector offered unusually sweet rewards.
Agree on Japan. they used to have 53 reactors before Fukushima, now they have 10 compliant with the tighter safety regulations, of which only 3 are operational. To provide some context, there are 58 plants currently under construction world wide. Tim Gitzel, CEO of Cameco, estimates that roughly half of the original Japanese fleet will eventually return to service. Japan's hiatus is a problem for the mines and enrichment plants, not only as a significantly absent customer, but also because the Japanese were/are accepting delivery of fuel post the general 2012 shutdown, so adding to their already vast reserves of material throughout the supply chain stretching from yellowcake to fuel bundles. With 13 of the original reactors officially shut down and a further 12 or more unlikely to return (Gitzel), it might be possible that they are in the market as sellers of fuel and enrichment services in an already over-supplied market. If they entered the crisis with 5 years of fuel, they would now probably have 10 years, except with the fleet halving the stocks equal 20 years of use for the remaining (smaller) fleet. I must stress that I have no proof for this view.
On Solar. The recent bids to supply solar in Abu Dhabi and Chile for less than $30/MWh (no subsidies), will result in more peak shaving, as well as more frequent downward spikes into negative pricing in the large OECD power markets. This wreaks havoc with the economics of nuclear and the only ray of hope is for nuclear to get paid more for capacity.
On Cash Costs. It depends how one defines Cash Cost. They talk about a figure as including D&A and Royalties. So I couldn't square the circle as to why the pre-tax IRR on Cigar Lake is only 9.5%, using a U3O8 price of US$58.69/lb and exchange rate of C$1.16/USD (43-101 dated March 2016). I ran the numbers, using their Gross Profit for the Uranium Division, using the realized price and deducting the Hedge Profit (C$557m). I also allocated their pro-rata share of Head Office costs (C$157m). Finally, to arrive at the Canadian figure, I assumed the Inkai operating cost as $15/lb, yielding the final figure of US$32.57/lb.
On Reactor bundles. The Chinese now have the 15m lb p.a. Husab mine in Namibia, plus the massive stockpiles that they bought so aggressively in the past 15 years. (Gitzel mentioned on the Q4 call how the Chinese bought a year of global demand in a single afternoon in 2010). On South Korea, you're 100% correct. The Koreans have no in-house supplies. However, the likes of Kepco offer an all-in deal, meaning they "own" their clients and will increasingly be able to square off against the miners. In the past the utilities were the prey and the likes of Cameco could dictate rules. It used to not only be a case of price, but also of scarcity of supply. Looking forwards, the demise of Westinghouse means an increasingly concentrated industry wherein the Kepco's will potentially be able to demand very generous floors and ceilings and other bells and whistles to their long-term contracts.
On stocks-to-use. Fully agree. Uranium has a history of very large stockpiles, such as in the 1990's. (Saw mention of 2bln lbs at the peak, not sure if accurate). The exploration boom of the mid-2000's has, however, removed any notion of scarcity with 94 years of sub-US$50/lb mineable Resources available ("Uranium 2016" : NEA). Also several mines in mothballs can be reactivated at short notice and low cost, with several known shovel-ready projects waiting in the wings at sub-$40 costs. With the quality of post-Bre X disclosure, buyers of fuel can easily compile their own realistic assessments of the likely Supply and Demand patterns.
Thank you once again for the great questions and comments.
|Re: forecasting
Hi mpk
I agree that nuclear is not immune from demand and supply shocks. However, one must unpack the picture a bit. Any demand shocks are per definition price negative so supportive to a short seller. Supply shocks used to be much more of a reality, when production was lower in absolute terms and a single mine like Cigar Lake constituted 15% of global supply. There also wasn't the number of new/modern, yet mothballed mines around that could be restarted in a short time frame.
On new reactor cost overruns. It's really a case of the regulators approving one set of blue prints at the original licensing application and then revising their demands during construction, based on redrafted safety regulations after say Fukushima or just a general tightening in regulatory oversight. The industry accuses the NRC and other regulators of being pedantic in their oversight, such as causing a 6 month delay (at Vogtle?) for a dispute on how a tiny section of concrete should have been poured. Such changes clearly mess with the time lines and costs, but yes I agree it's a mystery why the cost overruns are as dramatic as they are.
Fully agree on Natural Gas. Those turbine plants have all but eliminated the valuable price peaks that underpinned the nuclear (and coal) business model. Likewise the Combined Cycle Gas plants challenge the nucler plants head-on in the capacity auctions.
|Re: Re: good writeup
sorry I didn't catch that part about the Chinese buying Husab the first time around. anyway, just one more big picture musing and hopefully later I'll have more company specfic questions.
was there ever really any concern about scarcity of resources in the ground? certainly there were concerns about medium-term supply given underinvestment and long lead-times for new mines, and the price spike of the mid-2000s kick-started much development. but my observation back in 2010 was that - of all the deposits likely to become producing mines by 2016 - Husab seemed to be the only one discovered in the recent exploration cycle. seemed like all the others had been discovered in the previous cycle.
... which is not to say there haven't been any surprises to the upside on supply. The world has long known of the resources in Kazakhstan, but I know of noone who ever suggested that Kazakh production would grow to be as large or low-cost as it has become. Forex has had a major impact, but maybe ISL technology has gotten better at the same time? And as you note, the enrichment biz is now a bigger factor as well.
|Re: Re: Re: good writeup
Hi mpk
You're right about Husab being the only notable mine to have gone into production based on a discovery in the 2000's exploration cycle. Even Husab ought to have been a mere brownfields expansion of Rossing, but Rio Tinto's geologists simply overlooked this zone - within sight of the mine - during 50 years of regional exploration.
What the 2000's exploration boom did succeed in doing is to almost double the quantified resource base of economically extractable uranium. Using the NEA's 2015 survey, the Identified Resources with an extraction cost below $50/lb (2015 money), now stands at 14.9bn lbs, which can be roughly compared to the figure of 8bn lbs of their 1997 survey, based on an extraction cost at the time of $30.77/lb. Applying the Minneapolis Fed's US CPI deflator of 1.477, the 1997 cost figure rises to $45.43/lb in 2015 money terms, so just 9.8% below the 2015 figure. The 2015 Resources are also stated after depletion from 18 years of mining, so I think the small gap of 10% between the 2 cost bases is reasonable - the more so given the superior quality of the mined ore vs. the resource ore being quoted.
So yes, while the exploration boom yielded few large, greenfields discoveries that entered production, the quality of information and consistency with which the resources are calculated has improved immeasurably. The boom also provided cheap risk capital to existing operators (such as Kazatomprom), without which the production base would not have grown as it has.
The nearly doubled resource base of 14.9bn lbs provides the industry with 94 years of notional production visibility at the current run rate. Realistically that's probably closer to 40 years of quality, minable ore, though I'm impressed with the conservatism with which the NEA figures are compiled.
On Kazakhstan. Agree, the Kazakh phenomenon stumped every single expert. My guess is that nobody appreciated the power of incremental innovation in ISL - somewhat similar to what we've seen in the fracking. Sulphuric Acid has also become much cheaper.
Thank you once again for your excellent questions and observations.
|Re: awesome call
Thank you. The new all-time low of $40 in the SWU price suggests U3O8 could drop to $15/lb.
|great call - any update to the thesis?
Hi Veritas - this was a great thesis and call. I was wondering if you had any update on the global supply/demand situation and how that affects Cameco. I am still quite confused as to why spot prices have remained stubbornly so high in the face of the global over-capacity, coming supply (from Olympic Dam, etc) and worsening picture for nuclear's future by the day (as renewable costs go ever lower).
|Re: great call - any update to the thesis?
Hi puppyeh
Thank you for the kind comments and question. The price would have been lower if it wasn't for the significant closure of mines by Cameco and curtailment of production by Kazatomprom. Cameco has also been buying uranium from the Japanese utilitites to deliver into their contractual commitments, rather than running down their 30m lbs inventory.
But the real issue is that the pricing formula of most long-term contracts is structured with say 40% fixed and 60% the spot price ruling at the time of delivery. Producers are therefore heavily incentivised to ensure that the spot price of uranium remains above $20/lb, almost regardless of the underlying supply/demand trends (potential for a LIBOR-type game).
Kazatomprom has likely also been stockpiling, judging from their massive shift in marketing away from a purely spot sale policy to a sophisticated marketing channel, resembling that of Cameco. Either way, the listing of Kazatomprom in the next 12 months will provide a fascinating insight into the market and how much they've stockpiled as well as how much they've been able to build their long-term sales book.
For me the new threat in the uranium market that all the bullish punters don't get, is the relentless building of new enrichment capacity based on technology that is vastly more efficient than before. (See UIEP's Generation 10). The impact of this can be seen in the price of SWU's (Separative Work Units). This price has dropped to the lowest on record ($36/SWU) and has not had a single up-month in 2 years. (The price can be followed on a monthly basis on UXC's website).
In short, there is an ocean of canisters filled with Uranium hexafluoride gas all over the world, grading ~0.30% U235. These can be easily "re-mined" by these new, super efficient enrichment plants to ~0.10% U235, thus creating fresh supply. This is a potential supply of 6 - 8 years of uranium demand. It's a basic mathematical formula whereby the break-even price of reprocessing these tails keeps dropping and based on the SWU price, suggests a "correct" Uranium spot price of less than $15/lb. This formula excludes the benefit from the reduced environmental obligations of the depleted uranium (as much as $5/lb).
This tension between the SWU price and the spot price of uranium cannot be sustained and it seems likely that uranium will drop below $15/lb, rather than the SWU price going back above $50/SWU.
Just on Olympic Dam. This is the largest single resource of uranium in the world, mined as a by-product of copper, gold, silver etc. Based on BHP's expansion plans, the copper output could rise from sub 200kt p.a. to 500kt p.a. over the next 12 years. The interesting bit is that they forecast their implied cost of uranium at the halfway mark of this trajectory at $0.10/lb. They also say that the orebody lends itself to selective mining, whereby they can prioritise lenses of higher grade uranium ore, to compensate for any weakness in the spot price. This appears to be what they did in the March quarter, when the Uranium grade jumped to over 1.4 lb/ton. Taken to its conclusion, this could see Olympic Dam producing well in excess of 20m lbs p.a. - regardless of price.
|Re: Re: great call - any update to the thesis?
thank you very much for the comprehensive update. Just on the Olympic dam extra volumes - where do these end up going, actually? As it seems that since most of the market trades on long-term contracts (for both uranium concentrates, hexafluoride, and SWUs), that the spot price is less driven by annual supply/demand dynamics (and the desire to game it as you mentioned).
I am just wondering where BHP ends up dumping the additional volumes in a market that is already so over-supplied.
As an aside - do you think Urenco gets sold? I am surprised they haven't tried to sell it yet, given the longer-term picture and that earnings remain healthy for now due to back-book legacy pricing that they are still enjoying.
|Re: Re: Re: great call - any update to the thesis?
BHP sells all material in the spot market and appears committed to this approach. It will therefore be the most visible player in the spot market going forward, as;
1. Rio Tinto sells forward, but ERA and Rossing are closing down in the next 4 - 8 years and Roughrider has been written off
2. The Chinese are a closed loop : what gets produced inside their assets stay there, with the exception that they will market NPP's to other countries with fuel included
3. Rosatom operates across the spectrum, but are modest players in the U3O8 spot market.
4. Cameco hates selling in the spot market unless it can clinch a large deal at a hefty premium. It's now buying in this fashion for hefty discounts (providing liquidity at a price). Its subsidiary - Nukem - is an active trader in the spot market, but is a market maker rather than a net buyer/seller. It previously took on chunky positions, but seemingly burnt its fingers and pulled back. (see Goldman/Deutsche below)
5. Orano (Areva) are vertically integrated from yellowcake to fuel assemblies (broadly a closed loop)
6. Kazatomprom are now embarking on a process to emulate Orano and piece by piece achieve vertical integration all the way to fuel assemblies, interestingly with the help of Orano, the Chinese and others.
Over time that will leave the spot market in U3O8, conversion and enrichment bereft of several of the traditional players. Which may explain why Goldman and Deutsche took the significant write downs and simply walked away from what they must have deduced to be a sub-functional market, with limited scope for improvement.
Which brings us to Urenco.
This industry had its birth in the quest for a military solution and then evolved to fulfill the promise of Eisenhower's "Atoms for Peace".
Urenco may be a commercial enterprise, but I doubt it would ever be for sale to outside parties. The contracts and treaties are too complex and rationality dictates that short-term commercial considerations feature pretty low on the agenda when one starts to talk about a change of control of such a strategic enterprise. The environmental liabilities are almost impossible to accurately quantify, implying that you could soon end up in the circular corporate processes that BNFL / BNF PLC went through from the Thatcher era to today.
|Re: Re: Re: Re: great call - any update to the thesis?
thanks again for such a comprehensive response. I have done some preliminary work on Olympic Dam and the initial read seems to be production growth could be a fair bit tougher than perhaps you imagine. the issue is that they cant ship uranium ore along with the copper, so it needs to be all processed on site; clearly this is more costly and will require significant investment to ramp up. I am trying to figure out what the latest plans are, but my impression was this would be incremental, rather than gargantuan, supply growth in the medium term (beyond the 3k t or so of material they produce already). I will update more once i have completed the work.
thanks for the comments on Urenco - makes total sense. In general, how do you get to the ~45mm lbs of secondary supply number from your cost curve below? is this simply from third party consultants? i imagine you build into this number from calculating the implied cost based on SWU cost, tail grade assumptions, etc, that you mentioned, but do you know exactly how much secondary 'installed capacity' there is worldwide?
the final question I guess is, is there any way to work out with any degree of precision what the global inventory position is? Should we simply add up the global production, less annual consumption, for each of the last 20yrs and make some assumption for secondary supply in the market?
sorry to keep going back to the well on this, uranium is a bit of a niche commodity and new to me.
|uranium in the news
paladin shut in last week.... grants feature over the weekend... and fin times today...
|Re: uranium in the news
grants is wrong (it blatantly ignores the issue of stockpiles and enrichment improvements in global supply, and it gets basic facts about things like Japanese nuclear usage wrong). So is this new IPO (yellow cake) based around stockpiling uranium that the FT wrote up- they are buying a huge stash from Kazatomprom, the world's largest producer, which is selling 25% of their annual production at a 7% discount to spot - how is that a good sign for the market?
cnm - it is only below the marginal cost if you think newly-mined uranium is the marginal source of nuclear fuel. the whole point is that this is clearly not the case, and will not be the case for a long, long time, because of the stockpiling issue primarily but also because of enrichment. A lot of the comment thread discussion was making the point that a) a decent amount of Uranium is mined at negative implied cost (as a by product); or that enriched tails effective cash cost is much, much lower than the lowest cash cost miners (maybe $30/t today).
On the other hand it is true that a lot of mine supply has come out of the market - but since the market is over-supplied in inventories i am not sure this matters.
i am willing to concede uranium may simply stop going down, or drift back up to cash costs for Tier 1 producers (maybe shut ins of mines ultimately have an effect in a couple of years when stockpiles run down). but literally every other day either an existing plant (in the US, primarily) or a planned project seems to be being cancelled or pulled for cost overruns (the FT did a huge feature on it). Forget the rest of the world, just think about the US. there are 99 reactors in the US (out of 450 globally, so ~25% of global demand). The average age of the fleet is 38yrs - when original design capacity for many reactors was something like 40-50yrs. Many of these plants are uneconomic today and are becoming more and more so (due to ubiquity of gas, and spiralling maintenance/remedation costs for nuclear). Japan has another 45 reactors or so but many of these will never restart (let alone the 17 new fictitious reactors Grant's somehow thinks get built).
I would be shocked if more than a handful of reactors ever get rebuilt in the developed world (think Europe, the US, and Japan). That's about half the global fleet right there that needs to be replaced by China/Russia/India, which - even if it happens - likely takes multiple decades and will be les uranium intensive (due to more enirchment, and more efficient reactor designs).
I want to be short more Uranium names but outside of Cameco there aren't many; on the other hand I want to be long enrichment (the cheapest producer) and also long maintenance names - although there aren't any good plays here really.
|Re: Re: uranium in the news
How much excess uranium do you believe is stockpiled at utilities and in government reserves?
Also, you mentioned enrichment as the marginal source of nuclear fuel. could you elaborate on the economics of that and the magnitude of the potential impact?
|Re: Re: Re: uranium in the news
UXc regularly publish their estimates for stockpiled uranium.
The gist of the uranium story is that most observers are either not intelligent enough to comprehend what is a very complex subject, or don't have the patience to read through the vast body of knowledge to form their own informed views.
That explains why the same factually inaccurate arguments appear again and again ad nauseam.
The industry lobby groups are well funded and keep producing a heavily skewed to grossly inaccurate narrative, which is then copied and pasted by the TLDR unintelligentsia.
A single questions for the uranium bulls;
1. Why is a producer of reference, with access to a sovereign balance sheet such as Kazatomprom, willing to sell 25% of their annual production at an 8% discount to spot, when in theory they can sell the same material at a 28% premium by selling it at the published UXc / Tradetech contract forward price? https://www.cameco.com/invest/markets/uranium-price
|Re: Re: Uranium Update?
How do I contact you directly? Happy to chat.
I agree that many uranium miners are far out of the money here. I was thinking of this more as a play on uranium participation where I'm buying uranium at ~$25/lb and have a 1% negative carry while I wait for the top of the range hopefully with a $4 handle. Maybe even get lucky and there's some catalyst like last time where major mines had issues.
I HATE owning miners.
Thanks again for all your help on this forum
|Re: Re: Re: Re: uranium in the news
Your question about KZAP selling production at a discount to spot intrigued me. Is part of the answer simply that KZAP also received a call option from Yellow Cake? From the 2018 annual report:
"The Group has an option to purchase from Yellow Cake plc quantities of U3O8 at a discount to market price when the uranium spot price exceeds a certain threshold (above USD 37.5 per pound of U3O8)."
KZAP accounts for the options as a derivative asset, Yellow Cake as a derivative liability. But perhaps even accounting for the value of the derivative, you think KZAP's body language is weird?
A general question for anyone who knows the answer: why did ISR arrive on the scene when and how it did? Was there a technological breakthrough? Or was the tech understood, but amenable deposits had to be found? One of my fears is that ISR was a cost revolution akin to horizontal drilling in oil and gas, and that ISR has not fully diffused through the industry. I understand that the Athabasca stuff may be hard or impossible to permit, and that ISR amenable deposits don't exist everywhere. Still, if one is valuing this space on a long term normalized basis (rather than on the hopes of a temporary squeeze), isn't there a real threat that the stuff above $40 gets pushed off the cost curve by new ISR projects?
|Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: uranium in the news
I've looked at the ISR stuff and think it's very much akin to shale in that you can turn it on and off (with a 1-2 year lag). Every asset is different, but if uranium spikes to say 50 on an asset that breaks even at 40, they turn the ISR on and cap the price at 40 (though spot can overshoot). This is a lot like how oil has worked in its $40-60 range with overshoot to the upside/downside. Over $60 they turn more on, under $40 they turn less on (though E&Ps are so focused on setting money on fire that the math isn't as precise per individual company). Shale put offshore permanently out of the money.
ISR puts a lot of large cap-ex mines out of the money b/c you cannot really turn Macarthur River on and off without huge start-up costs and incur a lot of care and maintenance when it's turned off. Whereas an existing ISR field just needs water flooding to be turned on.
As a result, I think a lot of athabasca is permanently out of the money.
Then again, my opinions are worth what you pay for them...
|Threat from NexGen's Arrow project and from other basement-ingress deposits?
Does anyone have a view on the timing and viability of NexGen's Arrow project, and on the advent of this basement-ingress stoping stuff generally? At 25m lb/yr, Arrow would be a significant, low cost addition to the cost curve. And the fact that folks thought these deposits didn't exist until recently makes me worry that more such projects are waiting in the wings.
Competitors say Arrow will take 10 years to permit. NexGen says a year, and their narrative is compelling (though I'm not equipped to judge its merits). I'm accustomed to each competitor in an industry talking his own book, but a 90% variance in opinions means someone here is lying.
|Re: Threat from NexGen's Arrow project and from other basement-ingress deposits?
You're grossly overthinking this.
See my note #29. NXE CN may or may not come online. PDN/Mac River/Cigar Lake/US ISL/etc. all come online first and combined, they're more supply than the world needs. KAZ is playing long game here, will they let prices go up enough to bring on more supply?? They want prices at $40 where no one else comes online and they can grow production and market share.
Uranium may overshoot to the upside and allow these guys to turn on. Who is going to fund NXE knowing that by the time it comes back online, there will be a glut and uranium will be back in the $40s or worse (bottom part of the range)?
If you want uranium exposure, buy U CN and play the overshoot. Its a low risk double or triple from here if we overshoot. Does NXE go from $600m MC + $2b build cost (they always overshoot cost) to a $8b EV (equivalent of uranium going to $75 with U CN as your exposure)? It's not like the equity is all that leveraged either as the mine will be 1/2-2/3 equity funded so EV is the right metric. This isn't shale where you can debt fund b/c the cycle time to cash flow is so long.
Maybe the move on PDN from 13c to 50c is worth playing for. I'd rather own that than NXE. At least PDN is the swing producer that turns on and off during the cycle. U CN seems 100% easier though.
|Re: Re: Threat from NexGen's Arrow project and from other basement-ingress deposits?
Agree overall w kuppy except playing it through PDN. Cap structure at PDN is still all wrong (bonds too short dated) and seems likely equity gets diluted again before uranium turns. Equity could even get wiped as well in my view of market doesn't turn properly (meaning to $40+) by end of 2021.
Simplest trade is the best here. Either invest in the low cost player who pulls all the strings (Kazatomprom) is that is in your mandate; or just use a physical uranium owner (like Yellow cake or something).
|Re: Re: Re: Threat from NexGen's Arrow project and from other basement-ingress deposits?
For the record, not saying anyone should own PDN. Just saying in a death-match between NXE, I'd take the PDN.
I own U CN and sleep well at night knowing that spot should converge with term and it's a pretty low risk double at some point in the next year or 3.
FWIW-I wrote up uranium on my blog. Happy to do a more formal write-up for VIC if there's interest. Happy to discuss it on this board though.
I tend to think U CN (UPC) is a pretty low risk double or better in the next 1-3 years. You don't find too many of those in the market--especially as your only real risk is that it takes longer than you think. I don't think spot goes much below the low $20's and even then, it's transitory as it's in a structural deficit now. Just a question of when it happens.
|Re: Uranium
Your blog is outsanding. I vote for a write-up. I am sure anybody else reading your views will vote the same way. Thanks
|Re: Re: Uranium
Glad you enjoy my blog.
Rather than re-hash the whole thesis, maybe it would be better to see what questions people have. Especially as the thesis is so simple (AISC is ~$40-60, marginal producer's AISC is $50+ depending on how you think of the cost curve, big deficit as % of demand and demand is growing—this isnt nat gas where people fund them to produce at a loss...). You can buy UPC at $25 and only question is when you get paid as above ground stockpiles get worked lower...
|Re: Re: Re: Re: Uranium
The Japanese mostly have processed fuel rods. If they sell, they need to sell it as unprocessed product, which means undoing a lot of the spent capital to create the rods. This makes little sense as it also costs money to get it into a format that is sellable.
Supply will slowly leak out of Japan, but it doesn't change the thesis beyond possibly forestalling it a bit.
|Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Uranium
All good points Veritas.
In some ways, the Japanese are in the same spot as Kaz and CCJ. They have super low financing costs and are incentivized to see prices lift before dumping product on the market (they would have already dumped size if they were sellers at $25 or lower). Western utilities have 6-18 months to make some serious decisions on where to secure supply from or they risk running inventories down below acceptable levels. I tend to think the Japanese play ball and let prices lift. Would be dumb for them to dump supply now when Kaz and CCJ are trying to force prices higher.
I don't own any producers as I worry that pricing doesn't ever get high enough for long-term sustainable mining economics (happy to be proved wrong) and besides, mining is an awful business. However, I think a short-term spike over $50 is very much possible in the near-term. Then I can re-evaluate if I want to hold on or not.
|Re: Uranium
General question: Are companies like U CN nice to trade when equity markets correct? I'm no uranium expert though noticed U CN stock was down during Q4 2018 while uranium spot was price stable.
So, given that it tracks a non-correlated commodity but its still listed equity would you think U CN might make a nice trade when markets crash?
|Re: Re: Uranium
The corporate presentation has a chart of premium/discount to NAV. Should answer your question. I generally think it's non-correlated to the overall stock market.
|Two Questions
1) Any (rough) idea how much inventory is still out there in the market? It's pretty clear massive supply-side responses have done basically nothing (sustainable) to the spot price yet - implying there is still plenty of inventory out there being offered for sale & keeping a lid on prices - so I guess the million $ question is how far away are we from that surplus clearing out?
2) What do you think the marginal/incentive prices are for Kazatomprom? From my read of their prospectus, they are way way lower than I was expecting, which really dampened my enthusiasm for the trade back then.
|Re: Two Questions
1- Supply side didn't really kick in until 2018 on any scale. At the same time, SWU prices meant that there was massive underfeeding. Supply side is finally having an impact and SWU prices keep ramping. For inventory, I've seen estimates of as low as 50m lbs to as much as 250m lbs that can come free. Really depends on what the Japanese and various govt entities do. Total aboveground supply is closer to 1m lbs but reactors need 400-800m lbs to have a 2-4 year inventory and then a bunch of inventory is in govt hands or financial investor hands like UPC or yellowcake.
2-I suspect that Kaz wants a price in the high 40's/low 50s so that it's too low for anyone to earn a sufficient return to start mines. Say your mine AINC is $40 break even, add in corporate SGA/interest expense/other/etc. you need $45 to really break even, so no one is going to fund your mine re-start until prices are well over $50. I assume Kaz caps it around there, but it overshoots a bit as financial buyers go in there while the mkt is tight.


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Sorry, the content you were looking for was not found. We choose interesting posts for you, hope you like it.
Advanced Dungeons & Dragons Advanced Dungeons & Dragons Eye Of The Beholder Maps 1990 1994 TSR Inc. Strategic Simulations Inc. CAPCOM Co. Ltd.This trope doesnt necessarily involve an Anthropomorphic Shift but can sometimes be applied after a shift has occurred to remind us that the character is still as much an animal as he was before.Adaptational Personality ChangeAdaptational Jerkass Hes a heroic laidback character in the games and at the time of Sonic the Comic was written in western canon
170 Million Years Ago The Yamato Tribe the leaders of the five tribes who lived with the dinosaurs adopt the younger of The Black Knights two sons the Black Knight rebelled against his clan only to Home Email INFINITE JEST INDEX. Last modified 22NOV12. This index is based on Tim Wares Infinite Jest index [pregnant pause] wellin fact it IS Wares index (except for a few ads Ive added) and I post it here because the old url at ironhorse.com (indeed ironhorse.com itself) has gone to a better place.The Thousand Sons are one of the Traitor Legions of Chaos Space Marines who are sworn solely to the service of Tzeentch the Chaos God of Change Intrigue and Sorcery though they were once the Imperium of Mans XV Legion of Space Marines.
The most recent SEP entry on logical empiricism really reinforces how much America benefited from WWII and the diaspora of logicians mathematicians philosophers and geniuses of every stripe from Europe (something Ive remarked on while reading academic biographies).is and in to a was not you i of it the be he his but for are this that by on at they with which she or from had we will have an what been one if would who has her
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subset: commoncrawl


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Rentingat Homecrest House
Edwards Community: Additional Requirements
Those living in the Edwards Personal Care Community must meet a few additional requirements:
- all residents must be able to live independently with assistance provided.
- all residents must self-manage incontinence if present.
- all residents will receive services from staff as determined by our assessment.
Those eligible for rent subsidies pay a rental fee not to exceed a specified percentage of their income as established by HUD (rate is currently 30%). Residents of the Edwards Personal Care community who are eligible may receive subsidies from the State of Maryland Department of Aging and the Montgomery County Senior Nutrition Program as determined by their financial circumstances and Homecrest House management.
All of our residents, those in the Stein and Moskowitz Senior Living Communities and the Edwards Personal Care Community, are required to meet certain criteria prior to being accepted for residence. Here are some of the most important tenant criteria that apply to all occupants of all Homecrest House buildings:
- A one-year lease is required and monthly rental fees include all utilities except telephone and cable television.
- For those moving in by themselves - or as part of a couple - at least one of the residents must be 62 years old.
- To be eligible for a rental subsidy, your annual income must not exceed the income amount as set by HUD.
- Some of the Homecrest House apartments are designed for handicapped residents. A handicapped individual has to be 18 or older, and require the accessible features provided in the apartment.
Qualifying residents may receive subsidies for rent in the Stein and Moskowitz Buildings - and for both rent & services in the Edwards Building.


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Before we leave this fascinating subject, we should look in more detail at an official organisation which has been of central importance to the Spanish language for the last 300 years. This is the Real Academia Española (Spanish Royal Academy) usually referred to as the RAE. This body was founded in 1713 by the 8th Marquis of Villena, during the reign of the first Borbon King of Spain, Felipe V. It was created with the express purpose of establishing the norms of the Spanish language in order to preserve the purity, elegance and splendour that it had attained over the previous two centuries. However, unlike its counterparts in France, Italy and Portugal which were started more as literary and academic institutions, the Spanish academy had an official mission to establish national linguistic unity. At the time of its creation there were already French, Italian and Portuguese dictionaries whereas the first Spanish dictionary was published by the RAE in 1726. By way of contrast, it is interesting to note that the first English dictionary was published by a single writer, Samuel Johnson, in 1775.
As the Spanish colonies gained their independence from Spain they established their own language academies, with the encouragement of the RAE, and in 1951 an association of Spanish language academies was founded with 21 member organisations. The first woman was admitted to the academy in 1784, however further female candidates were rejected over the intervening 300 years until the acceptance of Carmen Conde en 1978. Since then a grand total of ten other woman have been accepted into the RAE. Posts are referred to as "sillas" (chairs) and are given for life. Each chair corresponds to a letter of the alphabet with separate posts for capital and small letters. Members meet on a weekly basis to propose, debate and vote for changes to the language. These may be the introduction of new words, the elimination of obsolete words or changes to spelling, punctuation and accents. These alterations are then published on a regular basis and incorporated into the next edition of the RAE dictionary.
In 1993 the definition of the RAE's mission was changed: "to safeguard the changes which the Spanish language may undergo with its constant adaptation to the needs of its speakers so that they do not break the essential unity which exists in the Spanish speaking world". As well as seeking the unity of Spanish worldwide, one of their greatest modern challenges is the incorporation of new words, usually derived from English, related to technology and the internet.
The RAE published its most recent grammar book in 2011 and the 23rd edition of its dictionary in 2014. Unlike English where differences of opinion occur and there is no single official standard, these publications set down the rules of right and wrong of the Spanish language.


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Lake Tahoe weather: Rain likely this week, snow possible Saturday
The new year could get off to a soggy start at Lake Tahoe.
After a somewhat sunny day Tuesday, scattered showers are expected to move into South Lake Tahoe later in the day Wednesday, according to the National Weather Service. There will be a 32-percent chance of precipitation.
The snow level for the Lake Tahoe region on Wednesday will range from 8,000 to 8,500 feet.
Wednesday night and early Thursday morning, the chance of precipitation will increase to 80 percent before dropping to 40 percent later in the morning Thursday.
Snow level in the region on Thursday will range from 7,500 to 8,000 feet.
High temperatures through Friday are expected to range from the low 50s to mid 40s. Forecasters don't expect the low temperatures to dip below 33 degrees during that time.
On Saturday, there will be a chance of rain and snow showers in South Lake Tahoe, according to NWS. Conditions will be mostly cloudy, with a high near 42 degrees and a low near 27 degrees in South Lake Tahoe.


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Ibuprofen linked to male infertility
- Author: Ismael Montgomery Jan 10, 2018,
Jan 10, 2018, 0:25
Ibuprofen is good for a headache, but for male fertility not so much, a new study found.
Ibuprofen has always been a drug of choice for chronic pain and arthritis.
"The effects were very mild even after six weeks of regular consumption of ibuprofen, which is longer than is usually recommended in practice, so this data should not concern men who occasionally take ibuprofen for pain relief", added Imperial College London senior clinical lecturer in endocrinology Ali Abbara.
When the researchers measured the testosterone/luteinizing hormone (LH) ratio in the participants, they found that the ibuprofen group experienced an 18 percent ratio decrease after 14 days.
When struggling to get pregnant, couples will immediately try to find the source of the issue, but a small new study has revealed that ibuprofen could be a potential sperm killer, and it's something all trying couples should read.
Unruly man with guns, ammunition arrested at downtown Houston hotel
The officer called for what's been described as urgent backup around 1:30 a.m. when his attempts to subdue the man failed. That's where they found an AR-15, a shotgun and a handgun, as well as "many rounds of ammunition", the paper reported.
This led, they said, to compensated hypogonadism, a condition linked to reproductive and other health problems normally found in elderly men. The painkiller users could potentially face prolonged low testosterone levels after the body loses its ability to compensate, leading to a host of health conditions including muscle weakness and loss, low fertility, and other issues. Ibuprofen, also known as an non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug, has a negative impact on the testicles of young men, according to CNN. Each dose was 600mg, equivalent to three over-the-counter pills.
This resulted in hypogonadism, which is associated with infertility and increased risk of cardiovascular diseases like stroke and heart failure. It's an important finding to keep in mind-but also comes with some caveats, and isn't exactly a clarion call to ditch painkillers like ibuprofen (sold under brand names like Advil and Motrin) altogether. This amount was used to represent the dose taken by athletes to manage pain. The remaining 17 volunteers were given a placebo.
The safety and efficacy of active ingredients in these products has been well documented and supported by decades of scientific study and real-world use.
The detrimental effects of daily ibuprofen were almost immediate.
It's also not clear whether the same hormonal effects would be seen in men taking lower doses of ibuprofen, or whether the effects are reversible, particularly in men who take ibuprofen for long periods, study co-author Bernard Jégou, director of the National Institute for Research on Environmental and Occupational Health in France, told CNN.


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Product Description
A rollercoaster ride of psychobilly and rockabilly anthems featuring songs of the heart and zombies! Rise of The Undead by The Rocketz features track after track of fun, high energy sing along tunes for your guilty pleasure!
Here's the video for KILLING, one of the best tracks on this album:


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The MIG 2018 would not be possible without the generous support of sponsors. Contributions from MIG 2018 sponsors will assist in delivering the inaugural Masters Indigenous Games, in addition to building a legacy for the wellness of Indigenous peoples throughout their lives.
Platinum Partners
Gold Level Partners
Community Partners
Volunteer Partners


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Service Corporation International Announces Senior Notes Offering
This press release does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any state. The notes will be offered only by means of a prospectus, including the prospectus supplement relating to the notes, meeting the requirements of Section 10 of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
Forward-Looking Statements
Information set forth in this release contains forward-looking statements, which involve a number of risks and uncertainties. SCI cautions readers that any forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance and that actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking information. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the benefits of the business combination transaction involving SCI and Keystone, including future financial and operating results, the anticipated timing of the closing of the transaction, the combined company's plans, objectives, expectations and intentions and other statements that are not historical facts.
The following factors, among others, could cause actual results to differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements: the ability to obtain regulatory approvals of the transaction on the proposed terms and schedule; the failure to achieve the minimum tender condition in the tender offer; the risk that the businesses will not be integrated successfully; the risk that the cost savings and any other synergies from the transaction may not be fully realized or may take longer to realize than expected; disruption from the transaction making it more difficult to maintain relationships with customers, employees or suppliers. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in SCI's filings with the
For additional information contact: Investors:
Investors, Debbie Young - Director / Investor Relations, +1-713-525-9088, or Media, Lisa Marshall - Managing Director / Corporate Communications, +1-713-525-3066, both of Service Corporation International


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Olympic hero Kelly Holmes is about to tackle another historic double in the two-day IAAF World Athletics final, which began in Monaco today.
Holmes plans to race over both 800 and 1,500 metres at the WAF final, less than a month after triumphing over both distances in Athens.
Winners in a full programme of track and field events will receive #16,750, with top money also offered for minor placings.
Holmes refuted suggestions she would again double up after finishing second to Tatyana Tomashova in last weekend's Berlin Golden League meeting.
But after a good week's training Holmes will definitely run over 1,500m today before deciding whether she has enough strength to undertake the two-lap contest 24 hours later.
Holmes said: "I'll do the 1,500m on Saturday in what I think is going to be a very tough race for me.
"Then, if I think I'm all right, on Sunday I might just turn up for the 800m."
It is nine years since Holmes achieved her UK 800m record of one minute 56.21 seconds at the Monaco venue.
But she is adamant winning is the only thing on her mind in her final track competition of the season. Holmes said: "I haven't thought about times, the most important thing is to do my best.
"It's been less than a week now since Berlin. The tiredness isn't just because of the things which happened post-Olympics.
"Physically and psychologically I am quite tired. I had six races in nine days and I had to remain focused, very, very focused for that whole time."
Then followed a spate of `welcome home' parties. She said: "Obviously I had that tiredness along with everything that was happening at home.
"So probably my body has not really recovered from everything that's happened."
Holmes, with only the BUPA Great North Run mile to come next Saturday before a holiday, said: "But here I am, I'm enjoying it and I'll do the best I possibly can."
Michael East (1500m), Chris Rawlinson (400m hurdles), Jo Pavey (3,000m), Kathy Butler (5,000m) and long jumpers Chris Tomlinson and Jade Johnson have all earned places in the showpiece meeting.


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We asked our readers to give us feedback into how much they knew about GLP-1 Analogs and a broad cross-section replied. Take a look at 5 of the questions and how your colleagues answered….
It appears that most of you knew that a large amount of GLP-1 production is lost by the time diabetes develops and that this contributes heavily to difficulties controlling glucose.
See more GLP-1 Agonist Resources.
The use of GLP-1 agonists are not currently indicated with insulin and it was interesting to see that over 50% of all nurses, nurse practitioners, and pharmacists as well as 45% of dietitians thought it was indicated with insulin. Only physicians were well versed in the indications.
Even though many more prescriptions were written for DPP-4 inhibitors than GLP-1 agonists in 2009 most of you knew that there is more A1c lowering power in GLP-1 agonists.
The use of a DPP-4 Inhibitor rather than a GLP-1 agonist is even more puzzling when you consider that most everyone knew that there cardiovascular benefits associated with GLP-1 agonists as well.
I was surprised to see that some professionals felt that GLP-1 Agonists are available orally and can only assume that some feel that DPP-4 inhibitors and GLP-1 Agonists are the same.
Click below to access other articles in this series:
GLP-1 Knowledge Survey Part II
GLP-1 Knowledge Survey Part III
GLP-1 Knowledge Survey Part IV
GLP-1 Knowledge Survey, Part VI
Copyright © 2011 Diabetes In Control, Inc.


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I have posted this question on other forums, but I thought I may get some more information here as well.
My wife and I are celebrating our 1 year anniversary at Panama City Beach in Mid-January. Not the best time of year to visit the beach, I know, but we just wanted a nice place to get away for a week, and get away from the cold KY weather.
My question is, what can I expect to catch from the beaches of Panama City Beach in January? I am big on surf fishing, but I have never tried it that time of year.
What types of rigs should I use? I usually do pretty good with fish-finder rigs, but should I try pompano rigs for pompano that time of year?
I have heard that blues, redfish, whiting, flounder, and pompano are the main species of fish cursing the beach that time of year. Which one of those species should I target that would be the most abundant?
Thanks for any replies!


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Len Finkle, CEOWith the rapid proliferation of data in the market, Len Finkle, CEO of Profisee, a groundbreaking master data management (MDM) company, remarks that "good-enough" data and rear-view information are no longer sufficient for companies to tackle today's business problems and enhance throughput. Massive amounts of data originating from numerous disparate sources such as IoT, cloud, and social media, has led to data disconnection and inconsistency—one of the biggest perils for any enterprise. Consequently, most companies are looking for intuitive data management solutions that can present them coherent and accurate information to make decisions faster. Recognizing the need to unravel complex data interactions, Profisee's intuitive next-generation data management platform allows enterprises to "connect the dots" in real time providing an easy-to-use, personalized user experience.
The Profisee platform is a proven, full-featured multi-domain, enterprise master data management solution designed to provide the lowest total cost of ownership, without sacrificing functionality across the major components of an MDM platform. "We did not want to complicate our fee structure and limit customers from utilizing certain types of data services or technology," asserts Finkle. Profisee's simple and transparent pricing is just one of the reasons for their soaring acceptance among enterprises.
Considering the present business dynamics, Finkle mentions that migrating on-premise applications to the cloud has obviously become a widespread practice. However, there are two major aspects that continue to daunt CIOs when they choose to shift to the cloud. First, understanding the right approach of moving to the cloud, and second is deciding how to synchronize all the information that would move to diverse applications after the migration. "Companies are frightened of losing the visibility, efficiency, and control that comes from a single, end-to-end application," states Finkle. Profisee firmly believes that there is a need for organizations to have a platform to serve as a data intelligence hub and clearing house for all the information assets. Profisee's LightSwitchTM technology tackles this problem.
Companies are frightened of losing the visibility, efficiency, and control that comes from a single, end-to-end application
The company's suite of packaged data management applications is specifically built to support migration and synchronization of information simultaneously. Using the platform's golden record management engine, an enterprise receives out-of-the-box cleansing, verification, matching, and a single view of the master data. For organizations wanting a more custom integration approach, Profisee offers a state of the art software development kit which provides another method to integrate the siloed cloud data together. Lastly, the platform continues to evolve based on market demand including the recent addition of Profisee Analytics for business friendly data analysis. "At Profisee, user experience without functional compromise is our delivery strategy," says Finkle. "Traditional MDM platforms are complicated and technical." Profisee intends to simplify the entire process via user experience and uncompromising performance allowing clients agility and access to drive necessary data governance and analytics, without having to write code. The platform's interface is designed to provide users with drag and drop features, empowering them to perform the actions & analytics faster and more affordably. Profisee takes advantage of technologies to set completely new standards for the MDM market that legacy systems are unable to provide.
Delivering utmost value to customers has been the "secret sauce" behind Profisee's significant growth over the years. Finkle mentions, "Word of mouth is, and continues, to be our greatest and most powerful marketing tool to gain new clients." Looking ahead, Profisee views its single, comprehensive solution and unparalleled customer service as key differentiators to overcome the historically "not good enough" approach of legacy MDM vendors and create a new wave in the data management market.
Alpharetta, GA
Len Finkle, CEO
Offers full-featured enterprise master data management platform with the lowest total cost of ownership, without sacrificing on functionality


text: Generally, NCD is non-transferrable to another person. Your NCD can be transferred from one insurer to another and from one car to another. However in some cases, insurers may allow NCD to be transferred only to the policyholder's spouse (a one-time transfer that is non-reversible). The above stated is at the discretion of each individual insurer. For details, please check with the relevant insurer, agent or broker.0 Upvote • Downvote • Reply over 3 years ago


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Monday, August 29, 2011
Jack of All Trades / Master of None
This phrase encapsulates the myriad ways people have described me. From old friends to total strangers, exes to groupies, family to peers, classmates, The Girlfriend, and yes even crazy homeless people.
And it's fortunate because this is how I would most describe myself. I like to think of myself as a "renaissance man" of some sort, kinda all over the place. But in reality I'm more breadth than depth.
Since I'm involved in quite a variety of activities, let me just list them for you:
The Arts & Sciences
Martial -- practitioner of Aikido, Judo, Hung-Gar Kung-Fu, Aikijutsu, and some MMA.
Musical instruments -- player of the saxophone, piano, left-handed guitar, clarinet, bass-clarinet, harmonica, djembe, and cajon.
Reading -- sci-fi, biographies, trashy fantasy, literature, graphic novels, comics, fact books, post-Modernism, historical treatises, post-apocalyptic fiction, Dying Earth fantasy, second-person literature, High Fantasy, fratire, the New Sincerity, poetic collections, and noir.
Tunes -- Jazz like Charlie Parker, Dexter Gordon, Vince Guaraldi, Thelonious Monk, Karen Souza, Art Tatum, Stan Getz, The Duke, Gaucho, Django, Art Blakey, and Charles Mingus; Blues like Elmore James, Junior Kimbrough, Ry Rooder, and R.L. Burnside; rock like The Whigs, Gomez, Cat Power, Arctic Monkeys, and The Strokes; Hip-Hop like Aesop Rock, Busta, Digable Planets, Lupe Fiasco, Ice Cube, Nas, RZA, GZA, and the Ghostface Killah!
Books -- shelves filled with Jim Butcher, Douglas Coupland, Shakespeare, Orson Scott Card, Koushun Takami, Chiua Achebe, Jomo Kenyatta, J.R.R. Tolkien, Salman Rushdie, Chaim Potok, Jonathan Safran Foer, Herodotus, Anthro textbooks, writing anthologies, fact books, trivia books, graffiti art books, and a collection of famous photographs.
Visual -- Jamie Hewlett, Frank Miller, Golden Age comic-style, graffiti, gothic, Eastern Orthodox Religious, doodles, severe sculpture, SPRFKR, Pieter Bruegel the Elder, Gustave Dore, Norman Rockwell, Francisco de Goya, Hokusai, El Greco, Picasso, Salvador Dali, Melanie Matranga, Banksy, Shepard Fairey, Miss Van, and others.
Technology -- savvy with computers, printers, faxes, Windows, MS-DOS, cracking software, phone-jacking, scanners, scramblers, PAs, logitech, pro-tools, recording equipment, wireless microphones, household appliances, Segways, electric bikes, handyman work, faucets, basic wiring, toilets, shower-heads, breakers, smart-phones, most software for PCs, and of course the occasional genuine video-game system.
Writing -- fiction, non-fiction, poetry, essays, creative non-fiction, genre fiction, flash-fiction, haiku, sonnets, blogs, journals, news articles, one-act plays, political plays, comedy scripts, stand-up material, educational posts, creative content for websites, freelance etc.
Culinary -- sushi, Mexican, Italian, Chinese, pizza, fast-food connoisseur, Peruvian, Korean BBQ, Jewish, French, Bangers & Mash, instant-artery-cloggers, diner food, seafood, Chicken City, garlic eggs, Thai, craft steak, and even pickles with sour-cream.
In summation
I'm a writer, a musician, an inventor, a fighter, a scrapper, a gamer, a builder, a fixer, a lover, a sucker, a scientist, an anthropologist, a story-teller, a hopeful romantic, an academic, a saboteur, a doodler, a conversationalist, a collector of keychains, quotes, stories, and sometimes I am flaneur on the weekends.
I've tried my hand in the careers of session-musician, independent recording studio head, clothing retail, law clerk, entrepreneur, explorer, anthropologist, freelancer, ghostwriter, office administrator, and even a model! I am engaged in at least three intensely time-consuming activities at a time: university education for two Bachelor's Degrees (whilst being the the Dean's List), work at a prominent tour-company, and volunteering as the open-mic host for the second-most popular open-mic in The City.
My life is rather busy, to say the least. Hectic, insane even, would be better descriptions. Yet still I maintain a fledgling social life, and a rather wonderful relationship with The Girlfriend. And indeed, I somehow manage to juggle all these identities: jammer, student, boyfriend, revolutionary, employee, and nerd.
It's difficult, but being a Jack of All Trades & Master of None is my shtick, and has been for some time.
Which is why I'll never be as good as a True Master. I'm too filled with the periphery of knowledge that creeps in that distracting way from complete focus upon the Single Most Important Discipline that by virtue of being only that Thing which you/I achieve greatness.
Miyamoto Musashi did not become the greatest swordsmen in history by dividing his attention among ten hundred different activities. No, he focused himself utterly on the way of the blade, and in doing so became a Kensei, revered throughout the world for his great skill & knowledge.
But sure, Mozart was a polymath, and so was da Vinci. However, I am no da Vinci. I am not even Benjamin Franklin. Maybe I could be Robert Anton Wilson, but only if I manage to start a new religion.
Nonetheless, a Jack is what I am, not a Master. And that's fine. I'll never be as great as those other guys, but I'll be pretty good at a lot of things and maybe that's how I'll become great someday... By being pretty good at so many things it'll just seem like I'm great.
Or something like that.
7 footnotes:
- Mira said...
Well, here's the thing: as much as being the Master is a great thing, being familiar with many things and possessing some knowledge in different areas can be quite beneficial.
exes to groupies
Huh? You have groupies?
PS-What's the Dean's List?
- August 29, 2011 at 3:05 PM
- Zek J Evets said...
Yeah, I have groupies! (Not counting the girlfriend, haha, kidding!)
But yeah, I have/had some. But then Jasmin scared them all away...
Dean's List is a list of students who were in the top 30th (I think) percentile of the school for their GPA.
- August 29, 2011 at 3:32 PM
- Mira said...
We don't have the Dean's List or anything like that here. :(
As for the groupies, if you're referring to the music ones, we all know there are individuals who are just crazy about musicians, and there's nothing you can do about that. (But maybe Jasmin can? :D)
- August 29, 2011 at 4:17 PM
- Zek J Evets said...
Oh but I also have blog groupies. Or at least I did. Can't tell where they went...
- August 29, 2011 at 4:52 PM
- Mira said...
Are you talking about HBDers?
- August 29, 2011 at 4:53 PM
- Zek J Evets said...
Haha, actually I wasn't... but now that you mention it, they probably count too ; )
- August 29, 2011 at 6:06 PM
- foosrock! said...
Be careful, you might end up in IB. That's where all the jack-of-all-trades end up. It is(was) the only way they could eventually make tons of money!.
Huge fan of Chaim Potok. His books helped me through my divorce....
- September 3, 2011 at 2:51 PM


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I jump on LJ and start "randoming" all over the place. About 3/4 of the journals I see are from high school and college kids, but once in a while I'll run into someone in the 20-35 age range. I'll read their last few journal entries, check out their profile, and occasionally add them to my friends list.
I must've been really bored this week. I've added 10 friends to my list!


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text: Survival is what we fight for each day; money is one of the most important in human's life. Don't be a hypocrite and told me that it wasn't, it's the least of all things. A lot of people died of illness, starvation, homeless, etc. because they don't have enough to care for themselves. I do believe that money is one of the greatest forms of survival in this world, it's not wrong to dream of it as long as you know your limitations in life. There is nothing wrong of having it more as long as you can share it. a lot of people suffers from poverty, they are unfortunate enough to finance their daily needs. Some people invests their money while they are earning, it's a strategic form to make money at the future. Many people engage in buying expensive stuffs that would change its rate as years passed by. I also think that it's very great idea of investing stuff if you still have cash on hand, especially to those things that increases its price as year goes on. Being an escort in London I am proud of selling our home stuff that is not needed at this time of struggle. I never thought that I will come to this point in my life where I will be selling our own items for our daily needs, especially now that my mom is hospitalized and I have to save enough money for her medication. My work as escorts in London helps me to sell our home products easily; I have a lot of clients who bought it with higher price. Those people are my regular clients being escorts in London; they have been loyal to me that during the crisis in my life, they help me by buying our old stuff in the house. There is no embarrassment of selling home items because it is your own property and you really needed it. Its more embarrassing to maintain an image when you know that you are having financial crisis. As an escorts in London I am the type of woman who is practical in life, I don't want to ask money or have a huge loan, and end with big debts. Instead, I used my career as escorts in London to help me in selling more items as much as possible. My standing in my career is really stable; I am one of the top escorts in London who has a lot of clients. Maybe I reap all my good deeds towards my clients for helping me towards my problems. I believe that selling my unused items is a great way to earn money, it helps you financially and of course, you can think for another investment in your life that is more higher returns for you. It's not what you have in the house that matters now, if you have a sick mother like me, you don't have to think about it anymore, as much as possible, you will sell all the stuff that's worth the penny. I am proud of being an escorts in London because I got to meet a lot of people in my life that I didn't know will uplift me in life. These people mean so much to me, they have called their family and friends to buy my items. That money I earned was big that I had enough for my mom medications and hospitalizations, and have extra money for a new beginning. I am thankful that my dad invested a worthy stuff in our house that is very usable in times of crisis. He is a good businessman, and for that, I don't want to waste the money I get from those things. The extra money I got, I put it into an investment that gives me more return. I put my money to an investment that keeps growing from time to time. if I earned a lot of money again, I still buy another home items that has a worth so that in trouble situation I have money to used. This is a great year for me to start, DE cluttering old stuff at the house and making money out of it. Cheers to a successful garage sale.


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Today, AT&T is beefing up their tablet offerings. By adding the Samsung Galaxy Tab 4 as well as the Galaxy Note PRO 12.2 to it's lineup. Now they are also adding the much awaited ASUS Padfone X. Which is part tablet and part phone. It is basically both. The phone is a 5-inch semi-high end device, which can slide into the back of the tablet. Now the tablet only has a big battery and a screen in there. All the processing power, RAM, etc., all comes from the phone part of the unit. AT&T is offering this one for $199 on a new two-year contract or $29.80/month if you'd rather use AT&T Next. However, if you want to buy it outright it'll cost you $595.
Onto the Galaxy Tab 4. I actually have one of these right now that I'm working on reviewing. This one is the 10.1-inch model and is a pretty decent mid-range tablet. From the few days I've been using the WiFi model, I haven't noticed any issues at all, and it's surprisingly very speedy for the specs that it has. AT&T is offering it for $479 outright, which is about a $130 jump over the price of the WiFi version, or $379 with a new two-year contract. However, if you want to use AT&T Next, it'll cost you $24/month for about 20 months.
Finally the Galaxy Note PRO 12.2. This is a big tablet. A really big tablet. It's basically the Galaxy Note 10.1 2014 Edition stretched out to 12.2 inches. It features a Snapdragon 800, 3GB of RAM and the famous S Pen. It's definitely a great tablet. You can buy it outright for $899 or $799 on a new two-year contract. While the installment plan is $45/month for 20 months. It's kind of steep, but this is a top-of-the-line tablet that's bigger than most tablets as well.
So we've got a few new tablets from AT&T to choose from. Which one would you choose? I'd probably go for the ASUS Padfone X, since it would cover both tablet and smartphone. Let us know which one you've got your eyes on in the comments below.


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2:28pm PT by Lindsay Powers
Woman With Two Vaginas on 'Strange Sex' (Video)
The second season of Strange Sex premieres Sunday at 10 p.m. ET on TLC.
Watch a video of Kelly, above, who learned she had two vaginas at age 15. "I didn't understand: is this a bad thing, is this an OK thing?" she says. "I was really scared to find out what else is different."
Her doctor compares her anatomy to a "double-barreled shotgun" and also explains that she has a "dominate vagina." Her second one is "about the size of a No. 2 pencil."
Lindsay email@example.com @thr


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United States of America
- The Basics
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Nashville Nightlife
The home of country music, Nashville is big on entertainment, with a music industry that keeps on churning out headlining acts, visitors are sure to have a good time when they hit the Nashville streets for a night out.
Don't be fooled by the charming southern drawl, Nashville is not just about country music. Visitors will find enough rock, jazz, bluegrass, country, and gospel to meet their musical needs. First stop has to be the District. A historic neighbourhood, the District contains beautiful architecture and great southern mansions, with trolley rides or a horse-drawn buggy both good options for taking in the area's sights and sounds. Crammed with nightclubs, bars, and restaurants where country music reigns supreme, the District is the heart of Nashville's nightlife, particularly Second Avenue's clubs and restaurants. Also a good spot for a night on the town, is Printer's Avenue, one of the oldest areas in the District, as is Lower Broadway, home of the legendary Tootsie's Orchid Lounge, where many an unknown artist has been discovered.
For a more relaxed night out, look no further than Music Valley where you'll find the long-running country music radio broadcast known as the Grand Ole Opry as well as Nashville Palace and the Opryland Hotel. These bars feature live music while Five Points neighbourhood contains some great bars and cafés for a mellow night out.
Become our Nashville Travel Expert
We are looking for contributors for our Nashville travel guide. If you are a local, a regular traveller to Nashville or a travel professional with time to contribute and answer occasional forum questions, please contact us.


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EVEN as the Asean (Association of South-east Asian Nations) environment ministers gathered in Riau to discuss the haze situation, the Workers' Party (WP) has urged for more concrete measures to tackle the problem.
In a press release issued on Friday, WP chairman Sylvia Lim said Singapore should push for a commitment from the Indonesian government to enhance its domestic laws and prosecute fire starters.
It should draw up a schedule and implementation plan on the "prevention, detection and putting out of fires, including action at the provincial and local levels", she said.
On Wednesday, Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono apologised to Singapore and Malaysia over the haze. On Thursday he said his country would ratify the Asean Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution signed four years ago. Under this, members agree to act to prevent and control burning that may cause pollution in neighbouring countries.
Saying the ratification would have to be pushed through the Indonesian legislature, Ms Lim told Today that Asean should help the Indonesia government set a timeline to do so.
While recognising Indonesia's sovereignty, the Singapore Government "owes it to Singaporeans" to alleviate the haze situation quickly, said Ms Lim, a Non-Constituency Member of Parliament.
Said Ms Lim: "We have been talking about (the haze problem) since 1992 … but there seems to be no progress."
She added: "We also recognise that the enforcement for these cross-border problems is always very challenging. If there is a timeline for Indonesia to work to, at least there are some milestones for us to look at, and see if there's any progress." – LOH CHEE KONG


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Elected officials whom we thought we knew pretty well seem to change when there is metaphorical 'blood in the water'. If you have even had your television on for an hour each day, you have likely seen the testiness and the nastiness that goes for proper political speech and good manners at this juncture.
People whom you thought you had a pretty decent understanding of, how they talk, how they work and so on, are off the reservation. What would've been thought too nasty to mention a month ago is now the order of the day. Politicos who were decent last week are smarmy, nasty creatures this week.
Some very likely point to President Trump and blame it all on him, but, even though that is the easy route, he is simply not the cause, maybe a participant but not the cause. The hearings have created their own weather systems in the District. Political friends seem on edge and do not act at all like they acted just a couple of weeks earlier. Maybe they have cause for concern.
The blood in the water has scared the bejeebers out of some of the old dogs. I expect better from Sen. McCain for one. The behind-the-scenes maneuvering is sucking all the air from the room. I suspect that everyone, with very few exceptions, sees this as a time when a misstep might cost them the office they hold today be they Republican or Democrat.
Some very old political bridges are being threatened today and, if those are burned, there will be a cost to be paid for a long, long time. When I hear some of the comments attributed to this person or that person, I am reminded of a person who is fearful he or she is next on the chopping block.
I'd like to see President Trump act the parent at this point and simply make a brief speech for the nation BUT obviously keyed to the behavior we're witnessing in our nation's capitol. Our elected officials are, too often, letting us down simply through their frightened hurry-scurrying. They seem to see that someone or several someones might well lose their jobs, and they apparently see themselves as being in the crosshairs. Maybe there is just cause for their concern but the foolishness going on today is far beneath the dignity we expect, rightfully, from our elected officials.
Go back to your state or district, take a deep breath, meet with your constituents and then come back to the District and start anew to be part of the well-oiled machine we expect to see in the District of Columbia.
There is frankly more than enough reason to be painting with such a broad brush. People whom I have respected for some time are either no longer respected or very near that point. I know I am but a lonely voice in the woods, but I cannot believe I am the only person who has seen this degradation in the quality of our governance.


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Triad Community Table fundraiser showcases local culinary talent
By: Nik Snacks
Imagine an immaculate pastoral scene with a barn on a hill in the distance; Round bales of hay dot the countryside as tall blades of grass wave in a light breeze. The setting sun beams on your face. The air is soft and smells sweet. Soft rolls of laughter and hurried chatter pierce the air. The path leading to the main event in the barn is tree-lined with stringed lights ready to shine and dusk to make its presence known.
On Oct. 1, local chefs gathered for one night to celebrate, commemorate and raise money for Greensboro-based nonprofit, Triad Local First. This year marks the seventh annual Community Table fundraiser, formed in part to celebrate local entrepreneurs and business owners. But most importantly, this event was held to fundraise for the upcoming fiscal year.
Triad Community Table is a plated dinner featuring local chefs, restaurateurs, distilleries, breweries, restaurants, farmers and artisans providing food, spirits and entertainment. Each year, the chefs are handpicked by board member, Mary Lacklen, to create a menu. The chef is in part charged with recruiting and creating their back-of-the-house team by asking a community of chefs and culinary colleagues to join in the communal fun. Part of Triad Local First's mission is to build a strong local economy and a vibrant, unique community.
When asked about the importance of events like Community Table, Lacklen said, "Competitors standing shoulder to shoulder is an amazing thing to see. Food is about family and community. When you build something great, the people will come."
While ticket holders were able to enjoy the evening dining by candlelight and being serenaded by local band, The Ends, the real main event was behind the barn where dozens of chefs and volunteers set up a temporary outdoor kitchen to feed over 100 guests. Community Table Chef Jay Pierce of Traveled Farmer in Greensboro was tapped last year. He played sous chef to Chef Travis Myers of Willow's Bistro in Winston-Salem in 2016. Next year's Community Table chef-elect, James Patterson of Sedgefield Country Club was on hand to be sous chef and community leader alongside Pierce.
Myers commented to the crowd, "Not only are these people, my competitors, they're my best friends." Autumn Meachum, assistant general manager Traveled Farmer plans for this single night began less than a year ago.
Meachum also coordinated the front-of-the-house volunteers, servers and food runners and they were all dressed in sleek denim aprons donated by VF Corporation.
Starlight Meadow Farm near Burlington set the scene for the night's festivity. A cocktail hour featuring family-style plates from participating chefs included bruschetta, charcuterie platters, deviled eggs, spring rolls and mini crab cakes. On the table, to greet all of the guests were jarred items such as pickled radishes and kimchi from Niki's Pickles, made in Pilot Mountain alongside spreads of white pimiento cheese, potted meat (aka rillettes in certain culinary circles) and toasted bread rounds from The Fresh Market, both partners for the event.
The first course was a "Down East" fish muddle, featuring Farlow Farms tomatoes, Smith Farms field peas, potatoes, fresh thyme and a poached Massey Creek Farm egg. Servers circled around each table armed with ceramic teapots, pouring a fish broth into the waiting bowls of accouterments.
The second course was a palate cleanser of an Autumnal salad featuring Fair Share Farms mixed greens, Goat Lady Dairy chèvre, candied pecans, pickled ramp vinaigrette and roasted mushrooms that tasted like smoked bacon bits.
The third course was equally light with a twist of ingenuity: Hickory smoked red drum fish from LOCALS Seafood in Raleigh finished with a Piedmont-style barbecue sauce alongside family style tureens of Old Mill of Guilford grits and smothered greens that were smoked and rife with coins of sliced carrots and a rich, smoky potlikker. Chef Jay Pierce said he took a risk by preparing the fish this way.
"I had to wait until the proverbial last minute to fire the fish," he said. "All of the other chefs bought into the concept and agreed to the gamble."
The denouement of the evening meal was a Carolina tiramisu served in small glass jars. Handmade ladyfingers soaked in organic espresso from Fortuna Coffee in Greensboro, Oak 8 Whiskey from Topo distillery in Chapel Hill, Marscarpone cheese, fresh whipped cream and dusted with cocoa powder.
All in all, the symphony of volunteers would not work without collaboration and friendship. As dessert came to a close, local business owners were recognized with awards and accolades. Triad Local First presented its Small Business Award to Scuppernong Books in Greensboro and Vibrancy Award to Mary Haglund of Mary's Gourmet Diner in Winston-Salem. Both businesses celebrate unique and vibrant community strides within the Triad community.
When it comes to events like these, there's enough chicken skin for everyone to dig into and get a taste of the camaraderie. To make your own contribution to Triad Local First or to learn about other events in our area, visit www.triadlocalfirst.com.


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Entry requirements
For entry requirements, please see our website
Months of entry
Course content
The MSc in Wound Healing and Tissue Repair is a three-year, inter-disciplinary, part-time, distance learning course.
The course attracts healthcare professionals from fields such as nursing, medicine, pharmacy, podiatry and the pharmaceutical industry, and offers the opportunity to study at a distance alongside an international group of professionals from countries around the world.
It aims to enable you to explore and analyse existing and developing theories and concepts that underpin wound healing and tissue repair so facilitating professional and personal growth, building upon your educational and vocational experience and developing your ability to become a life-long learner.
Students are required to attend a five-day study block in year one and year two, otherwise no further attendance is required.
The on-campus study blocks will consist of: introduction to e-learning on the Internet and using your individual home page; introduction to study skills, library resources and tutorial support; introduction to course work and assignment briefs; lead lectures – introduction to module content and theory; group interactive sessions - via workshop, discussions, case presentation; private and group tutorials; course committee meetings - providing an on-going evaluation of the course.
Between the annual study blocks, students are supported by online personal and group tutorials, and personal tutorials by email or telephone. In addition, there are dedicated distance learning library support staff to help ensure you can access necessary databases and full-text journals. The online information and resources are constantly updated for students to access through a virtual learning environment.
Qualification, course duration and attendance options
- MSc
- part time36 months
- Distance learningis available for this qualification
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