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Global Equity Markets Commentary
Markets in a Bind: Evaluating tail risks in a shifting world… Growth or rates?
The strength of global equities in January reflects a market looking well into the future. Investors appear to have moved ahead of the inflation and interest rate story and are now focused on the prospects for growth. The extent to which investors are right in so doing will dictate the path for equities in the coming months.
Headline inflation is certainly moderating. The US Consumer Price Index fell to 6.5% in December, and data are similarly cooling in the UK and Europe. This is partly the outcome of tighter monetary policy: liquidity is reducing, with US M2 money supply contracting rapidly, falling 0.7% in December. At the same time, supply chain issues have eased, and energy prices are significantly lower.
While Russian energy is no longer reaching Europe, it has been rerouted. At the same time, a warmer winter has coincided with European industries and consumers tightening their belts. European gas consumption is down 15% relative to a seasonal average, despite no meaningful loss of industrial output. Oil and gas prices are now down around a third and a half, respectively, from where they were one year ago.
However, with the latest US jobs data showing that unemployment is at 3.4%, its lowest in 53 years, core inflation may yet remain resilient. And while M2 money supply is contracting, it is estimated that there are still 3.7 trillion USD over their pre covid levels, supporting the economy with much liquidity. What's more, there has been a clear shift from rising goods prices (which are now on a downward trend) to rising services prices, of which the greater part is wages. The picture is similar in Europe, where core inflation remains at 5.2%.
To some extent, this continues to be an overhang of the pandemic. Goods manufacturers have lapped the benefits of tighter supply and (in some cases) higher levels of discretionary income. Service companies, by contrast, continue to benefit from pent-up demand. Yet US labour force participation is still 2.6m below pre-covid levels, with the over 55s accounting for 37% of the working age population. This raises questions about the role labour will play in sustaining higher inflation longer-term: are wages structurally rising? What role will "smart robots" as opposed to plain automation play a role in the evaluation of labour participation equilibrium? How will companies adjust?
Alternatively, the job market's ability to withstand higher interest rates may reflect a so-called "soft landing" of the global economy. A combination of lower energy costs, higher wages and softening inflation has seen the International Monetary Fund upgrade its global economic growth forecasts for 2023 from 2.7% to 2.9%. While this is still a reduction from 2022's 3.4%, China's swift reversal of its "zero-Covid" policy has rapidly boosted optimism in this regard. After months of contraction, January saw China's composite Purchasing Manager Index move from 42.6 to 52.9.
As the engine of global growth, China's decision will have far-reaching consequences. Despite early attempts to re-shore manufacturing, Europe in particular remains highly dependent on China: in 2021, China was the third largest partner for EU goods exports (10.2%) and its largest partner for EU goods imports (22.4%)1. While Europe may stand more to benefit from China's reopening, the outlook in the US also shows some favourable traits versus expectations as they stood 3 months ago. Despite an inverted yield curve, US equity markets have gone from pricing in an 80% chance of a recession in October, to just a 10% chance2.
After the sharp multiple compressions of 2022, earnings results will be key to understanding how these macro contradictions will play out. Since June 2022, EPS expectations for the S&P 500 have been cut by 10%, around twice the historical average. Yet against this negative backdrop, and with around 70% of the market having reported, 47% of companies have beaten Wall Street estimates by over one standard deviation, in line with historical averages.
Equally, while EPS beats are not being rewarded, misses are also not being overly punished. Typically, the latter have been due to the asymmetrical impact of inflation on net revenues and costs with higher labour and costs, increased marketing spend, as well as unwinding inventories. With market consensus still at +1% for the year, this suggests that while a meaningful level of pessimism has already been baked into expectations the adjustment may not be complete. Substantial earnings disappointments later in the year, as well as consistently softer outlooks could paint a gloomier economic picture. CEO surveys (below) suggest that further downward adjustments may be required. Expectations may need to fall still further before central banks consider their monetary policy objective complete.
In a world where money once again has a cost, growth can no longer be funded with limitless debt. In turn, the threshold for the return on capital employed must rise. Ultimately, this development is healthy and may promote a survival of the fittest approach amongst companies. Markets also need to re-evaluate the potential tail risk of energy prices in 2023. With Chinese demand sure to rebound, the current delicate pricing balance will also be affected by the degree of slowdowns in Europe and the US. Geopolitics may also still play a role, as Russia's invasion of Ukraine continues to unfold and marginal suppliers such as Saudi Arabia decide their course.
In this environment, where volatility will remain, we continue to favour a carefully constructed portfolio of high conviction positions. First, anchoring portfolios around low-volatility multi-factor strategies offers a possible bedrock of stability on which to build. Second, the current environment has created favourable opportunities for stock pickers in quality value and growth names, as well as income. Finally, we retain high conviction around long-term thematics built upon key pillars such as national security (e.g., food, energy, water, cyber security), climate resilience, innovation (e.g., AI) and sustainability.
Figure 1: US CEO Confidence Survey
Note: shaded areas indicate periods of recession. Source: CEO Confidence (conference-board.org) as of 9 February 2023.
Investing involves risk. The value of an investment and the income from it will fluctuate and investors may not get back the principal invested. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. This is a marketing communication. It is for informational purposes only. This document does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security and shall not be deemed an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
The views and opinions expressed herein, which are subject to change without notice, are those of the issuer or its affiliated companies at the time of publication. Certain data used are derived from various sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy or completeness of the data is not guaranteed and no liability is assumed for any direct or consequential losses arising from their use. The duplication, publication, extraction or transmission of the contents, irrespective of the form, is not permitted.
This material has not been reviewed by any regulatory authorities. In mainland China, it is for Qualified Domestic Institutional Investors scheme pursuant to applicable rules and regulations and is for information purpose only. This document does not constitute a public offer by virtue of Act Number 26.831 of the Argentine Republic and General Resolution No. 622/2013 of the NSC. This communication's sole purpose is to inform and does not under any circumstance constitute promotion or publicity of Allianz Global Investors products and/or services in Colombia or to Colombian residents pursuant to part 4 of Decree 2555 of 2010. This communication does not in any way aim to directly or indirectly initiate the purchase of a product or the provision of a service offered by Allianz Global Investors. Via reception of his document, each resident in Colombia acknowledges and accepts to have contacted Allianz Global Investors via their own initiative and that the communication under no circumstances does not arise from any promotional or marketing activities carried out by Allianz Global Investors. Colombian residents accept that accessing any type of social network page of Allianz Global Investors is done under their own responsibility and initiative and are aware that they may access specific information on the products and services of Allianz Global Investors. This communication is strictly private and confidential and may not be reproduced. This communication does not constitute a public offer of securities in Colombia pursuant to the public offer regulation set forth in Decree 2555 of 2010. This communication and the information provided herein should not be considered a solicitation or an offer by Allianz Global Investors or its affiliates to provide any financial products in Brazil, Panama, Peru, and Uruguay. In Australia, this material is presented by Allianz Global Investors Asia Pacific Limited ("AllianzGI AP") and is intended for the use of investment consultants and other institutional/professional investors only, and is not directed to the public or individual retail investors. AllianzGI AP is not licensed to provide financial services to retail clients in Australia. AllianzGI AP is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian Foreign Financial Service License under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) pursuant to ASIC Class Order (CO 03/1103) with respect to the provision of financial services to wholesale clients only. AllianzGI AP is licensed and regulated by Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission under Hong Kong laws, which differ from Australian laws.
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Events & Group Rides
Duck Lake XC - Island Cup
When: May 19th 2024
Where: Duck Lake, Powell River
Registration: https://islandcupseries.com/cross-country/
Welcome to the qathet Regional District!
We would like to acknowledge that we are holding this event on the traditional territory of the Tla'amin Nation. We are extremely excited to bring Island Cup racing to our amazing trails. Like other communities, we have seen growth in our mountain bike community. This race, and these trails are the result of an amazing community of volunteers. Some are cyclists, some are not, but they are all hard-working people who give hours upon hours of time to maintain these trails. Thank you to everyone who has helped to get this event off the ground. To those of you who have come from out of town, we all know the effort that it takes to come to our community. The ferries are a huge hurdle for all of us. Thank you for making the effort to come to our race.
The route is fun, very fun! A tricky climb will reward you with a ton of fast rolling singletrack!
The rest of this document will give you info on race package pick up, the race course, maps and ferry logistics. If you have any questions, please to not hesitate to contact us.
Thanks again for coming to the Duck Lake XC!
Justin Bailey
Schedule of Events
Saturday April 29th
The course will be marked. Feel free to go pre ride. Note that our trails are multi use trails. We have done everything to notify trail users in our community that there is a race on April 29th, If you're out riding and come across trail users, stop and say 'hi'!
Package pick up - 17:00 - 19:00 @ TAWS Bike Garage/Monks on Marine
Race numbers can also be picked up morning of at the race.
Swing by the bike shop and Monks on Marine to pick up your race package the evening before!
Sunday April 30th
BC Ferries/ Downtown Powell River Shuttle - 08:15-08:30
If you are planning on doing a day trip, or you've walked on the ferry, we can shuttle you to the race. We'll also shuttle you back after! Please contact us to arrange your shuttle - firstname.lastname@example.com
Race Sign In - 08:00
If you didn't get your package at on Saturday at TAWS Bike Garage, Race Sign in will be open at 08:00.
Race Start - 10:00
We decided to get at it a bit earlier than the rest of the events so that people could catch the ferry back at a reasonable hour. Racing starts at 10:00 for experts, 10:02 for intermediate,
10:04 for beginner.
Race Finish - 13:00
We expect all riders to be finished on the course around 1pm
Awards and prizes to begin after all racers finish.
Back to Powell River - 14:00
Shuttle back to downtown Powell River. Bike parking available at TAWS Bike Garage. Monks on
Marine is booked for us to refuel the engines!
Ferry to Comox - 17:15
Ferry departs back to Comox.
Getting to Powell River
If you are coming from Vancouver Island, just for race day, we have scheduled the race so that people can catch the 17:15 return ferry and be home at a reasonable hour on Sunday. This will require those who are coming for the day to catch the first ferry out of Comox - 6:15am.
Coming for the weekend will make your trip much more enjoyable!
Getting to Duck Lake & Parking
Marshalls will be on hand to get people dropped off and parked, we will need to keep the road open and clear to allow thru traffic.
Race Course
We will have a quick road start, and then send you straight into singletrack. Get to the front of the line, if you want to be first up the trail. After the climb, the course is fast, real fast. We expect to see the fastest riders complete a lap in under 30 minutes.
We'll send you up Sweetwater, down Death Rattle, W8 & 4it, Cable, Papa Bear, Curmudgeon, Across Taylor way and back up a short section of road to the lap checkpoint.
Group Rides
The Qathet Regional Cycling Association has group mountain bike rides on Monday and Thursday nights, as well as trail maintenance days throughout the year. Check out Qathet Regional Cycling Association Facebook.
Be sure to become a member before you attend a ride or event!
Powell River has a very extensive network of trails, download the TrailForks app to check it all out. Want some advice? Pop in the shop and we'll help you out with some awesome routes.

subset: commoncrawl


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Buy This Book
Other books by Amar'e Stoudemire
Other books you may enjoy
"Being a sore loser is one thing, but being a bad winner? That's just low," Amar'e –Home Court
Home Court
STAT: Standing Tall and Talented #1
by Amar'e Stoudemire
AR Test, Diverse Characters
Eleven-year-old Amar'e Stoudemire has a lot going on. He loves to go skateboarding in the park. He takes his school work very seriously. He helps out with his dad's landscaping company. He also likes to play basketball with his best friends – but just for fun.
When a group of older kids starts disrespecting his boys on their neighborhood basketball court, there is only one solution. Amar'e must step in and use his athletic ability and intelligence to save the day. This experience leads Amar'e to realize that basketball is his true passion. This story is based on the life of All-Star NBA sensation Amar'e Stoudemire who overcame many obstacles to become one of the most popular figures in sports today.
Like many readers, Amar'e is interested in a wide range of activities—skateboarding, basketball, and hanging out with his friends. When his friends need him, Amar'e isn't afraid to take on some trash-talking older kids. Anyone who has been mistreated will relate to Amar'e's difficulties. Amar'e's struggles are illustrated with simple black and white drawings which are scattered throughout the book. Amar'e tells his story using easy vocabulary and short paragraphs to create an easy-to-read, entertaining story.
Sports fans will enjoy the play-by-play basketball action. However, the story doesn't just focus on sports. Amar'e also enjoys learning tricks on his skateboard, helping his father, and doing well in school. Amar'e worries about his history writing assignment on Dr. King. In the end, Amar'e is able to connect Dr. King's message to his life. He writes, "One person could do a lot, but the more people you have behind you, the more you could accomplish."
Amar'e's diverse interests give additional intrigue to the story, but also make the story choppy. One positive aspect of the story is Amar'e's strong connection with his family and friends. Because the story is written from Amar'e's point of view, readers will understand why Amar'e believes it's important to be a good student, a good friend, and a hard worker. Younger sports fans will enjoy Home Court because of the positive message that is delivered by a relatable character. Readers who are looking for similar books should try the Zayd Saleem Chasing the Dream Series by Hena Khan.
Sexual Content
- While playing a basketball game, Amar'e and his friends huddle up. An older boy tells them to hurry up "unless y'all are making out in there."
- While playing basketball with some older kids, Carlos intentionally tripped Amar'e. "My eyes were on the ball, so I didn't see Carlos stick out his leg. I sure felt it, though. His shin banged into mine just above my ankle and I tumbled hard onto the pavement."
- While playing basketball with some older kids, "Yeti clobbered Duece on a moving pick. It was the bigger player on the court taking out the smallest, and it was hard to miss the foul."
- While playing basketball, an older boy "jammed his elbow hard into his lower back. Mike grimaced in pain and lost his dribble."
Drugs and Alcohol
- None
- Some older kids trash-talk Amar'e and his friends. Afterward, one of Amar'e's friends calls the boys "jerks." Later Amar'e thinks, "Yeti was hanging on the rim again like a jerk."
- When an older boy throws trash on the ground, Amar'e asks, "Shouldn't you go back to the garbage dump you came from?"
- An older boy calls Amar'e and his friends "losers."
- "What the—" is used once.
- None
Spiritual Content
- None


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The NSW government has accelerated the approval of a rezoning application that would see the development of a suburb straddling the ACT and NSW border.
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The approval would pave the way for 5000 homes for about 13,000 residents in Parkwood, which would be on the NSW side of Ginninderry - a cross-border development with the ACT.
It came after the Yass Valley Council recommended the 600-hectare parcel of land for rezoning last year. This followed 11 years of consultation. The council put forward the application to the NSW government.
The $1.89 billion development was approved through a NSW government program designed to speed up planning assessments in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
The first development applications for the project would be submitted in the next six months, as required by the NSW government's program.
Work is expected to start next year and it would take about 25 to 30 years for the development to be completed.
It was originally estimated work would not start on the NSW side of the project until at least 2034.
NSW Deputy Premier John Barilaro said the project would bring an employment boost to the region. He said there would be about 3800 jobs during the construction phase.
"During the pandemic people have realised the perks a regional lifestyle can provide and projects like the Parkwood urban release make a tree change possible," he said.
"Parkwood is a fantastic example of what's possible when you think big in regional NSW."
Ginninderry is a joint venture between the ACT government and Riverview Developments, a subsidiary of the Corkhill Brothers group.
The Corkhill Brothers own the land in NSW but as part of the joint venture this would be surrendered to the territory government. The group previously owned the ACT land but this was purchased by the territory government for $4.5 million in 2016.
There would be about 30,000 residents and 11,500 homes across four suburbs in Ginninderry.
The development would span across 1600 hectares of land across the ACT and NSW with homes to be built on about 800 hectares.
An agreement between the Yass Valley Council and the ACT and NSW governments has been signed called the Parkwood protocol.
This protocol would help to enable discussions around services and infrastructure. This would help to determine factors for the "borderless community" such as whether and ACT or NSW authority was responsible for the delivery of services.
Criticisms of the project have previously been raised on the preservation of Indigenous heritage near the site, along with the potential of an increased bushfire risk.
Development of Ginninderry on the ACT side is well under way. The first residents of suburb Strathnairn moved in earlier this year.


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LETTER: A salute to gentleman farmer Andrew Bennett
Dear editor,
Andrew Bennett has guts for submitting an opinion piece on our local government that was harsh and critical.
Yes his article was unforgiving, but his article was based on factual events that happened while our current mayor was the leader of our community.
The truth may rub us the wrong way and make us uncomfortable, but sometimes the truth hurts and we don't like to be reminded of it. Andrew took a lashing for his article and in my opinion, he took one for the team.
It's hard to be publicly critical of people especially when they are your neighbour, golf partner, or someone that we pass at the Post Office. I have no doubt in my mind that Mr. Granstrom is a good guy and I certainly respect the time that he has dedicated to serving this community. However, casting your ballot is not a popularity contest and should be subject to "pseudo-intellectual dinner party conversation banter." That's politics and democracy!
Andrew's 'facts' are not farce. He was the reporter on council matters for almost two years where he sat through council meetings and recorded each one. He then listened to those recordings over and over. His journalistic rigour kept our community informed about our local government. Would we rather rely on the Rossland News (Blackwell Press) to cherry pick our information?
The reason I salute Andrew for his article is that he put himself out there and put in the effort to write something. I can assure you, this man has no 'free time.'
Most of us don't publicly express our political opinions (municipal, provincial or federal) and our culture of complacency allows leaders to sweep facts and history under the rug.
I'm not saying that we all need to write 'harsh' letters, but Andrew wrote a political opinion piece (the first of this election), and that's what prompts informed political debate!
Rachael Roussin


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1959-1966 Netherlands 2 1/2 Gulden Silver Coins (.3472 oz of Silver)
Buy 1959-1966 Netherlands 2 1/2 Gulden Silver Coins (.3472 oz of Silver)
The Netherlands 2 1/2 Gulden Silver Coins were minted from .7199 fine silver. Each coin contains .3472 oz of pure silver. These coins were minted between 1959 and 1966. The coins are legal tender carrying a face value of 2 1/2 Guldens. The coins have a diameter of 33mm and feature a unique lettered edge.
The reverse of the Netherlands 2 1/2 gulden silver coin features a right-facing portrait of Queen Juliana, who ruled the Netherlands from 1948 to 1980. Surrounding the portrait is the legend, "Juliana Koningin Der Nederlanden," or, "Juliana Queen of Netherland," in English. On the reverse is a simplified version of the Coat of Arms of the Netherlands. The date is split across the top of the crown and will vary between 1959 and 1966. On the very bottom of the rim, the country of issue, "Nederland," is struck.
Those looking to buy European low premium silver coins which a rich history behind them, consider these random date Netherlands 2 1/2 Gulden silver coins.
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Handmade Decorative Wooden Jewelry Box - Floral Carvings & Brass Inlays-Trinket Chest, Keepsake Box & Home Decor Gift
- Vendor: Store Indya
- Category: BED AND BATH, Christmas Sale, Featured Products
- Antique And Vintage Appearance: Handcrafted from durable Rosewood, which is prized for its unique natural grains and rich, luster finish. designed with beautiful floral carvings and further inlaid with floral patterns in both white and black resin.
- perfectly Sized : (LxWxH) - 6.5" x 4"x 2.5", this multipurpose box fits properly on your dresser without using up too much room. The velvet inside of the box protects the goods housed inside from damage and scratches. It offers
- Beautiful keepsake jewelry box holds bracelets, necklaces, rings, earrings, watches, cufflinks, brooches, hairpins, ear studs, and other jewelry. It can also be used to store precious stones, pearls, herbs, and large tarot cards.
- Classy Gift: A uniquely crafted wooden jewelry box is great for a timeless present. It can be gifted on the occasion of Mother's Day, Father's Day, Housewarming, Birthday, Christmas & New Year. It is one of the most thoughtful gifts you can give to someone you care about.
This Wooden Jewelry Box Trinket Chest is a handmade decorative storage box that is perfect for organizing jewelry, trinkets, and other small items. It is made of beautiful rosewood and features intricate floral carvings and brass inlays. It is the perfect home décor accessory and makes a great gift for any special occasion. Keep your precious items safe and organized with this elegant and timeless storage box. This box makes a great gift for special occasions and is the perfect way to organize your home. It makes a wonderful gift for any occasion and is sure to be treasured for years to come. This decorative storage box makes a great gift for birthdays, weddings, anniversaries, or other special occasions. Keep your jewelry safe and secure with this stunning jewelry box from STORE INDYA.
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So, you've been in the dating game for a while now, and let's face it, rejection is no stranger to you. It's like trying to navigate a maze blindfolded, isn't it? Well, fear not, because we've got the ultimate guide to understanding women's rejection in dating right here.
Picture this: you're at a party, trying to strike up a conversation with that attractive woman across the room. You muster up the courage, approach her, and start talking. But before you know it, she politely brushes you off and walks away. What went wrong?
In this guide, we'll delve into the reasons why women may reject men and how you can improve your chances of success. Lack of confidence, poor timing, and even something as simple as bad grooming can all play a role. But don't worry, we'll show you how to overcome these obstacles.
We'll also explore the art of dealing with rejection because let's face it, it's bound to happen. Whether it's not being someone's type or just bad timing, rejection is a part of the dating process. But by understanding the reasons behind it and working on your approach, you can increase your chances of finding that special someone.
So, buckle up and get ready to navigate the world of women's rejection in dating. With our ultimate guide, you'll be equipped with the knowledge and skills to make the dating game a little less daunting. After all, understanding is the first step toward success.
Key Takeaways
- Confidence is a crucial trait that women find attractive, while lack of confidence can lead to rejection.
- Making a move in a timely manner is important, as waiting too long can cause interest to wane.
- Trying to be friends first often results in being stuck in the friend zone.
- Pretending to not be interested in sex is disingenuous and unattractive, while being honest about one's desires is important.
Reasons for Rejection
You already know that there are many reasons why a woman might reject a guy, and this video aims to discuss 10 of those reasons in order to give you better odds in the dating game.
One key factor is building confidence, as lack of confidence can often lead to rejection. Women are attracted to men who are self-assured and believe in themselves.
Another important aspect to consider is avoiding the friend zone. While it's great to establish a friendship, trying to be friends first can often result in staying in the friend zone and not progressing towards a romantic relationship.
It's important to make your intentions clear and not be afraid to make a move when the time feels right. By working on building your confidence and being direct with your intentions, you can increase your chances of success in the dating world.
Improving Chances
To improve your chances in the dating game, focus on enhancing your confidence. Making your intentions clear and maintaining positive body language are also important factors.
Overcoming insecurities and building self-confidence are crucial steps in attracting women. Remember, confidence is an attractive trait that can make a significant difference in how women perceive you. Work on identifying and addressing your insecurities, whether it's through therapy, self-reflection, or seeking support from friends.
Additionally, make sure your intentions are clear from the start. Be direct and honest about your interest in getting to know someone romantically.
Lastly, pay attention to your body language. Stand tall, maintain eye contact, and show genuine interest through your posture and gestures.
By working on these areas, you can improve your chances of success in the dating world.
Dealing with Rejection
Navigating through the challenges of dating can be tough, but it's important to remember that rejection is a natural part of the process. It's completely normal to feel a range of emotions when faced with rejection, such as disappointment, frustration, or even a blow to your self-esteem. However, it's crucial to handle these emotions in a healthy way and not let them define your worth.
Here are some practical tips for handling rejection and moving forward:
Allow yourself to feel the emotions: It's okay to feel upset or disappointed, but try not to dwell on negative thoughts for too long. Give yourself permission to grieve the loss and then focus on moving forward.
Learn from the experience: Use rejection as an opportunity for growth. Reflect on the situation and think about what you could have done differently. This can help you improve your dating approach in the future.
Surround yourself with support: Reach out to friends or loved ones who can offer a listening ear and provide comfort. Talking about your feelings can be cathartic and help you gain perspective.
Remember, rejection is not a reflection of your worth as a person. Keep a positive mindset, stay true to yourself, and have faith that the right person will come along when the time is right.
Frequently Asked Questions
How can I tell if a woman is interested in me before making a move?
To tell if a woman is interested in you before making a move, pay attention to her body language and if she engages in conversation with you. Be aware of mixed messages and her fear of rejection.
What are some common signs that a woman is not interested in pursuing a romantic relationship?
Common signs of disinterest in women include lack of eye contact, minimal engagement in conversation, avoiding physical touch, and making excuses to spend time together. When feeling rejected, focus on self-improvement, maintaining confidence, and exploring other potential connections.
Are there any specific behaviors or traits that women find universally unattractive?
Sure, you're probably wondering what traits women universally find unattractive. Well, here's the deal: arrogance, lack of confidence, talking too much about yourself, and poor hygiene are definite no-nos. So, avoid those and remember the dos and don'ts when approaching women.
How can I effectively communicate my interest in a woman without coming across as too forward or pushy?
When expressing interest in a woman, it's important to find the right balance between showing attraction and being pushy. Be genuine, respectful, and attentive to her boundaries. Communication and active listening are key.
Is there a way to bounce back from rejection and maintain a friendship with the person who rejected me?
Bouncing back from rejection and maintaining a friendship with the person who rejected you is like mending a broken bridge. It requires maintaining boundaries, dealing with rejection in a healthy way, and understanding that friendship may not always be possible.


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Shown with another choker I made from a nifty coin pendant.
I found some fabulous turquoise beads the other day and this is the result. Odds are they will be loved to death within a month, but, I have more string. =D
You Will Need
reverse mermaid posted this project as a creation without steps
Here are some similar tutorials to help you make this one!


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Wednesday 04/12/17
Message – Foundational Truths in Genesis Pt. 2
Series: Thru the Bible – Genesis 8-11
Podcast: Download (87.4MB)
Subscribe: Google Podcasts | Spotify | RSS
Foundational Truths
Chapters 8-11
(Outline of high points)
- God regards His creation ( "The Lord remembered (thought about) Moses & EVERY LIVING thing with him on the ark" )*
- The chambers of the deep were closed. (Indicating there was still more water which could have been released – or at least there was water in them when they were sealed)*
- Specific times and locations reveal a literal historical narrative
- "…150 days the waters were abated"
- "The ark rested in the 7th month on top of the mountains of Ararat.
- 1st thing Noah does upon leaving the ark was build an altar and offer sacrifice.
- Noah's heart of worship and devotion in the offering of the sacrifice effected the heart of God.
- The Lord said IN HIS HEART "I will not again curse the ground any more for man's sake – even though the imagination of his heart is evil from youth to old age – I will never again strike down every living thing as I have done. As long as the earth endures seedtime – harvest, cold/heat, summer/winter and day/night will not cease."
- God's purposes never change…He again blesses His man – now, Noah and sons, with initial charter "Be fruitful and multiply and fill the earth".
- God pronounces animals as food and fear in our reign over them.
- Whoever sheds man's blood – will die.
- God makes and confirms a foundational promise to Noah, his sons and all life
- Symbolizes promise with sign of His bow in the clouds
- God promises to remember upon seeing His bow in the clouds
- God is watching earth.
- Animals and man become carnivorous
- Oceans now exist
- Huge mountain ranges now exist and begin to form due to tectonic shift
- The beginnings of all the families of the earth are mentioned as descending through Ham, Shem and Japheth.
- Ham sins against God and Noah his father
- God again judges
- Noah prophecies foundational pathway of the future of his sons.
- Noah is the last of the very long lived lineage of man – 950 years (350 yrs. following flood)
- God again shows one of His purposes in writing the Bible – to reveal the Godly lineage (bloodline) by offering ages and births for the godly line.
- Man rebels against God's established plan and order at Babel.
- We once again see God revealed as more than one entity yet fully unified in purpose.
- God IS sovereign over all His creation – including man.
- God's purpose for man is to fill the earth – to seek Him and find Him (Act 17).
- God forces His purpose by tinkering with mankind's mind to create languages.
- "The Lord God scattered them abroad" – shew!
- Up until now all mankind spoke one language and one dialect of that language.*
- Mankind begins to spread over the face of the earth in language groups.
- We see can determine where the descendants settled by some of their names.
- Immediate rise of complex societies in the fertile crescent
- Man's intelligence is displayed in his ingenuity
- Man's common progeny is seen in similar architecture cropping up all over the world simultaneously.
- In steps Abraham!
There is much more information in the audio/video of the actual message. I hope you listen, learn and enjoy!
We will begin with Abram next week…Blessings!
I hope this teaching will challenge you and encourage you to place your trust in the Lord Jesus Christ as Savior and Lord.
You have a special place in God's family & kingdom. If you do not know Him, please use our 'Contact Us' page and reach out so we may have the privilege of introducing you to the Lord. Neither money nor attendance at our church will be mentioned.
If you have been spiritually fed by this ministry and wish to give, we truly appreciate that and you may do so here, but all outreaches of this ministry are FREE for you and anyone to enjoy at no cost.


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Azerbaijan, Baku, Dec. 22 / Trend E. Kosolapova /
The Kazakh government allocated 3 billion tenge (about $ 20 million) to eliminate the consequences of riots in Zhanaozen and to restore the city, the Kazakh presidential press-service said today.
Mass riots occurred in Zhanaozen on Dec. 16. About 15 people died and about 100 were injured.
The buildings and cars were burned. The property of physical and legal entities was destroyed.
Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev announced a state of emergency on December 17.
According to the Kazakh President's order, the governmental commission on Zhanaozen was created.
The commission must determine the amount of damage and take prompt actions to resolve the socio-economic, humanitarian and other problems that have arisen in connection with the riots in the city of Zhanaozen.


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Since the Kia Telluride came onto the automotive scene in 2019, we have reviewed it numerous times and we all agree it is a spectacular SUV.
2023 Kia Telluride
Nothing has changed mechanically or structurally since the earlier reviews. It still has the tried-and-true 3.8 V6 and 8-speed regular automatic transmission putting out 291-horses and 262-pound feet of torque.
So instead of the normal review format, I thought it might be fun to look at some of the cool features that have made the Telluride one of the most sought-after SUVs on the market, still to this day. It is very unusual for a vehicle to stay hot this long, and I think one of the reasons is the incredible features.
The Line-Up
Here are the 10 different trim levels of the 2023 Telluride. From bottom to top, including the base price:
- EX X-Line $45,685
- SX X-Line $49,085
- SX X-Pro $50,085
- SX Prestige $50,590
- SX Prestige X-Line $51,985 (pictured below)
- SX Prestige X-Pro $52,985
To try to clear up this somewhat confusing lineup, here is what you should know:
- X-Pro features increased towing capacity with heavy-duty cooling and 18-inch all-terrain tires deliver capability. (Available as SX and SX Prestige trims).
- X-Line comes with torque vectoring all-wheel drive, 20-inch alloy wheels, and self-leveling rear suspension. (Available as EX, SX and SX Prestige trims).
- Prestige trim is the top-of-the-line and features premium interior features, Nappa Leather seat trim, and heated and ventilated 1st- and 2nd-row seats,
- The SX seems to be the most popular and features dual sunroofs, power liftgate, 20" wheels, 12-way power adjustable driver's seat, navigation, and a 10-speaker Harmon Karden sound system.
2023 Kia Telluride SX Prestige X-Line seats and dashboard:
Cool Features Of The Kia Telluride
As mentioned earlier, Telluride has cool and sometimes unique features. I will outline some of those for you, but remember that not every trim level offers some of these:
- 12.3-inch Dual Panoramic Displays with navigation offers over 24-inches of touchscreen for gauges, entertainment, convenience, settings, and more.
- Enjoy a panoramic view of the skyline with Open Skies Dual Power Sunroofs that create an open and airy driving sensation.
- A Quiet Zone enhanced interior helps keep outside noise from entering the cabin for a more serene driving experience.
- The available Blind-Spot View Monitor can display a live feed of your rear blind spots in your dashboard gauge cluster, temporarily replacing the speedometer and tachometer so you can keep your eyes on the road ahead.
- The available 10" Head-Up Display lets you get a clearer view of your driving performance and certain key vehicle information, including speed and turn-by-turn directions, without taking your eyes off the road. It will also show you if there are vehicles in your blind-spot.
- At the flip of a switch, the available Full Display Digital Rear-View Mirror helps to provide an unobstructed view of the road behind you, even if the vehicle is full of passengers or large objects.
- The Digital Key lets you share your keys virtually with family & friends through the Kia Connect app.
- Remote Start with Climate Control starts your vehicle remotely and sets the cabin temperature before you even step inside.
- Passenger Talk will project the front occupant's voices to the 3rd-row seat passengers through the radio speakers.
- Quiet Mode mutes all the speakers except those in front in the event passengers in the rear are sleeping.
- Use the Valet mode to protect your personal information and view the vehicle information. Valet mode protects your personal information by disabling control using the screen or buttons. Vehicle information created during valet mode can be viewed from the Kia Access App.
- Safe Exit Assist-After the vehicle stops, when an approaching vehicle from the rear area is detected as soon as a passenger opens a door, Safe Exit Assist will warn the driver with a warning message and an audible warning to help prevent a collision. In addition, when the electronic child safety lock button is in the LOCK position and an approaching vehicle from the rear area is detected, the electronic child safety lock button will not unlock even if the driver presses the button to prevent the rear doors from opening.
- The Rear Occupant Alert system uses ultrasonic sensors to detect motion in the back seats. The ultrasonic sensors can detect movement in a parked car for up to 24 hours after the car has been parked. In addition, when the electronic child safety lock button is in the LOCK position and an approaching vehicle from the rear area is detected, the electronic child safety lock button will not unlock even if the driver presses the button to prevent the rear doors from opening.
2023 Kia Telluride SX Prestige X-Line driver display.
- Leading Vehicle Departure Warning (shown above) is one of my favorite features. If you aren't paying attention at a light or stop sigh (checking your phone, for example) if the vehicle in front of you takes off, the Telluride will chime and an alert will pop up to tell you the leading vehicle is moving. Probably cuts down on a lot of road rage and horn blowing behind you.
- Lumbar Stabilization has been added for the driver with seat support customization to turn on the seat massager every 30 or 60 minutes to reduce back stress. It can be disabled if you prefer.
Review Vehicle
The Telluride I am reviewing this week (2/26/2023) is the 2023 SX Prestige X-Line with all-wheel drive in Wolf Gray on the exterior and it is very well equipped with an MSRP of $54,120.
On the safety front, it has forward collision avoidance, blind-spot collision avoidance, cross-traffic alert, parking sensors, rear park collision assist, and adaptive cruise control.
As outlined above, it has 20" wheels, the dual power sunroofs, power liftgate, wireless phone charger, head-up display, heated and cooled front and second-row seats, LED headlights, and a heated steering wheel.
My one regret is unlike its sister the Hyundai Palisade, it does not have a power third-row seat. I will say that although manual, the operation is fast and easy.
The Telluride drives and handles great, it is super quiet inside, and extremely friendly and comfortable to all the occupants. Of course, you also get the 10-year/100,000-mile power train warranty.
It is easy to see why this 7 or 8-passenger SUV remains such a strong seller.
>>>Read More: Top-Selling SUVs Year-To-Date Through April 2023<<<
- What I liked most: Value, overall quality and impressive looks.
- What I would change: Supercharge it for those of us with a heavy foot.
- MSRP: $51,875 base price; $54,120 as equipped with transportation.
- Fuel Economy: 18 city/24 highway/21 combined.
- Odometer reading when tested: 1,900 miles.
- Weight: 4,524 pounds, 5,900 pounds GVWR.
- Spare Tire: Temporary Spare.
- Length-Width-Height: 196.9" long/ 78.3" wide/ 70.5" high.
- Fuel Tank Capacity: 18.8 gallons with the filler on the driver's side.
- Official Color: Wolf Gray.
- Towing Capacity: 5,500 pounds.
2023 Telluride in a few words: An incredible SUV and even more incredible value.
- Warranty: 5-year/60,000 mile bumper to bumper with roadside assistance, and 10-years/100,000 miles of powertrain coverage.
- Final Assembly Location: West Point, Georgia.
- Manufacturer's Website: Kia


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Tantra Sacred Dance for Women
January 20, 2023 @ 6:30 pm - 8:30 pm UTC+7
|Recurring Event (See all)
One event on January 20, 2023 at 6:30 pm
One event on February 3, 2023 at 6:30 pm
Tantra Sacred Dance for Women
'When the dancer disappears in her dance she is divine.
You are showered with blessings.
For the first time you come to know your grandeur,
the splendor of your being.'
~ Osho
Welcome Dear Sisters ~
This event offers you a portal into the Mysteries of the Sacred Feminine ~ introducing you to Tantra and Tantra Sacred Dance. The Dance is one of the most powerful practices for the awakening of your feminine power, inner beauty, and capacity for ecstasy. It is not a performance but a revelation of your essence. Through the alchemy of Tantra the practices expand and activate your divine essence ~ your Inner Goddess.
You are welcome to come and be held in a safe and healing heart circle of women that supports the flowering of your beautiful potential and the Return of the Sacred Feminine to our world!
No previous dance experience is necessary.
Ma Deva Vibha has been teaching Tantra internationally since 1990. She was initiated by the Enlightened Mystic, Osho in India in 1979. Living there, she immersed herself totally in the world of meditation, dance and inner transformation for 25 years. She has extensively trained in Tantra and Sacred Dance with many teachers. Most notably Mahasattvaa Ma Ananda Sarita from Tantra Essence through which Vibha was a teacher for many years. Her offerings are in support of women honoring themselves and awakening to their true inner beauty and potential.
January 13th, January 20th at February 3rd at 5:30 pm
*This workshop should be booked at least 1 day in advance.


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Thompson et al (2013) reported that lbs regain or not enough loss after RYGB is typical
This is exactly partly owing to dilatation of your gastro-jejunostomy, and therefore diminishes the new limiting capabilities off RYGB
Endoluminal interventions for GJ reduction are being explored as alternatives to revision surgery. These researchers performed a randomized, blinded, sham-controlled trial to evaluate weight loss after sutured transoral outlet reduction (TORe). Patients with weight regain or inadequate loss after RYGB and GJ diameter greater than 2 cm were assigned randomly to groups that underwent TORe (n = 50) or a sham procedure (controls, n = 27). Intra-operative performance, safety, weight loss, and clinical outcomes were assessed. Subjects who received TORe had a significantly greater mean percentage weight loss from baseline (3.5 %; 95 % CI: 1.8 % to 5.3 %) than controls (0.4 %; 95 % CI: 2.3 % weight gain to 3.0 % weight loss) (p = 0.021), using a last observation carried forward intent-to-treat analysis. As-treated analysis also showed greater mean percentage weight loss in the TORe group than controls (3.9 % and 0.2 %, respectively; p = 0.014). Weight loss or stabilization was achieved in 96 % subjects receiving TORe and 78 % of controls (p = 0.019). The TORe group had reduced systolic and diastolic blood pressure (p < 0.001) and a trend toward improved metabolic indices. In addition, 85 % of the TORe group reported compliance with the healthy lifestyle eating program, compared with 53.8 % of controls; 83 % of TORe subjects said they would undergo the procedure again, and 78 % said they would recommend the procedure to a friend. The groups had similar frequencies of adverse events. The authors concluded that a multi-center randomized trial provided Level I evidence that TORe reduces weight regain after RYGB. These results were achieved using a superficial suction-based device; greater levels of weight loss could be achieved with newer, full-thickness suturing devices. These researchers stated that TORe is one approach to avoid weight regain; moreover, they noted that a longitudinal multi-disciplinary approach with dietary counseling and behavioral changes are needed for long-term results.
This was a beneficial retrospective studies out of 25 consecutive people whom underwent TORe to own dilated GJA and you may weight win back. A keen endoscopic suturing unit was used to get surgical stitches during the margin of the GJA to dump its aperture. With the chart opinion, scientific analysis was indeed offered at step 3, 6, and you may 12 months. People had regained an indicate of twenty-four kilogram from their weight losings nadir along with a hateful Bmi out-of 43 kilogram/m2 during the time of endoscopic change. Average anastomosis diameter is twenty six.cuatro mm. Technical triumph is actually achieved in all patients (a hundred %) which have an indicate lack of anastomosis diameter to help you six mm (selection of 3 to 10), symbolizing an effective 77.3 % reduction. The newest mean diet into the profitable instances is eleven.5 kg, 11.7 kg, and you will ten.8 kg within step 3, six, and you will 12 months, respectively. There had been zero major issue. This new people concluded that this situation collection displayed the new technical feasibility, safeguards, and you can abilities of performing GJ reduction using ardent a commercially ready endoscopic suturing product. They stated that this process may depict an excellent and you will minimally invasive choice for the treating pounds win back in the patients which have RYGB.
Jirapinyo mais aussi al (2013) analyzed the latest technology feasibility, safeguards, and you can very early aftereffects of a process having fun with a commercially ready endoscopic suturing unit to minimize the fresh new diameter of GJA
Dakin and acquaintances (2013) indexed one lbs recidivism immediately following RYGB are a challenging problem to possess patients and you can bariatric doctors alike. Conventional medical ways to handle weight regain is actually commercially problematic and you can with the a premier morbidity speed. Endoluminal interventions are therefore an attractive choice that can provide a a beneficial mixture of abilities coupled with lower peri-procedure exposure which could one-day offer an approach to this all the more commonplace problem. These types of investigators systematically reviewed the fresh new offered literary works with the endoluminal procedures made use of to address pounds win back immediately following RYGB, which have certain awareness of the safety reputation, capabilities, cost, and you can current availability. It retrospective remark concentrated only on endoluminal strategies that have been did having lbs regain immediately following RYGB, unlike number 1 endoluminal being obese measures. Numerous types of endoluminal intervention having pounds win back have been examined, between treatment off inert compounds so you're able to suturing and you can clipping products. The newest literary works opinion shown new measures on the whole are well-accepted having restricted features. Almost all of the books is actually restricted to quick instance-series. Most of the reviewed devices had been no further commercially ready. The latest people concluded that endoluminal cures represents an interesting technique for weight regain shortly after RYGB. Yet not, the modern and upcoming technology need to be carefully learnt and you will enhanced in a way that they give you durable, repeatable, cost-energetic choices.


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DONALD Trump's message for supporters to stop demonstrating outside the US Capitol has been placed under restrictions by Twitter.
The social media site has blocked any replies or shares by new flag – with the message coming as chaos ensues outside the Capitol building.
Followers can still quote retweet the video, which is where you retweet it with a comment.
The social media flag said: "This claim of election fraud is disputed, and this Tweet can't be replied to, Retweeted, or liked due to a risk of violence."
Trump's video was released just minutes after Biden demanded that he goes on live TV and denounces his supporters.
During the video, the president said: "I know your pain. I know you're hurt. We had an election that was stolen from us.
"It was a landslide election and everyone knows it – especially the other side.
"But you have to go home now. We have to have peace. We have to have Law and Order. We have to respect our great people in Law and Order."
The outgoing president told his fans insisted "we don't want anybody hurt."
Before telling his supporters they are "very special" and "we love you," Trump acknowledged this is a "tough" time.
He added: "There's never been a period of time like this where such a thing happened where they could take it away from all of us.
"This was a fraudulent election, but we can't play in to the hands of these people. We have to have peace."
More to follow…
For the latest news on this story keep checking back at Sun Online.
The Sun is your go to destination for the best celebrity news, football news, real-life stories, jaw-dropping pictures and must-see video.
Download our fantastic, new and improved free App for the best ever Sun Online experience. For iPhone click here, for Android click here.
Like us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/TheSunUS and follow us from our main Twitter account at @TheSunUS.
Source: Read Full Article


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Exploring Leaf Blower Types
In this video and blog post, exploring leaf blower types, I want to explain the types of leaf blowers available. So, let's look into the various different types of leaf blowers and collectors available. There is a range of different types of leaf blowers to choose from, each with its own unique features and benefits. In this post, we'll explore these various types to help you make an informed decision for your garden care needs.
Petrol Leaf Blowers
Petrol leaf blowers are highly versatile due to their lack of limitations from cables or batteries. They run on two-stroke fuel, which is readily available. The price range can vary, with the cheapest models starting at £119. While budget constraints are a factor, investing in a quality product can be cost-effective in the long run. For example, the Stihl BG86 is a well-balanced, durable blower often used by professionals.
I use a Stihl BG86 leaf blower regularly, I have been using the same blower for around ten years, and it still works perfectly. I appreciate the price is considerably more than some models, but I still believe it works out cheaper in the long run. The cost of the Stihl BG 86 leaf blower is £360, considerably more than the cheapest budget model. However, I believe that you have a quality product that is long-lasting, and pleasant to use. In other words, it has minimal vibrations and good blowing power and is very easy to use.
I would say that this Stihl BG 86 leaf blower is the most popular leaf blower that is used by professionals, by a long way. I don't know the exact figures, but being a professional user and working with professional users, it is certainly a very popular leaf blower.
Some of the petrol models have a bag for collecting small amounts of material. Personally, I find these types of applications much more efficient for blowing rather than vacuuming. They may be okay for vacuuming a patio, but I wouldn't recommend it for cleaning up a garden. It's often easier to blow leaves and debris into a heap and barrow the debris away.
Electric Leaf Blowers
Electric leaf blowers certainly offer value for money; you can create a lot of wind without it breaking your wallet! However, the downside is that you have a trailing electricity cable, which is likely to be caught up on every conceivable object! You're also limited in the fact that you need a power supply nearby unless you have plenty of extension leads.
Corded models are cost-effective and provide instant power. Prices start at £45, and some come with collector bags. If you have a small garden and are not too concerned about the trailing cable, then an electric blower can be a good option. Electric leaf blowers are also available with collection bags; however, these are only really suitable for perhaps vacuuming a patio or something similar. You wouldn't want to use a collection bag for clearing the whole garden of leaves.
Backpack Petrol Blowers
If you have a lot of leaves to clear up or you are a contractor who needs a leaf blower that can clear areas quickly. Then a petrol backpack blower is ideal. The only thing that is really against them is that they are quite bulky to cart around. Whereas, the handheld petrol blowers take up far less space but obviously have less power.
Hyundai make a budget leaf blower that comes with a three-year warranty for domestic use or a year warranty for commercial use. The Hyundai HYB 5200 is available for just £149, which does offer fantastic value for money. However, I'm sure a machine of this cost does not have the finesse of many of the more expensive backpack blowers. I'm also guessing there would probably be quite a lot of vibration.
The backpack blower that I have been using for the past seven years is a Stihl BR 600 leaf blower. If I were replacing this blower, I would go for the larger Stihl BR800 leaf blower model. When I purchased my Stihl BR 600 leaf blower, it was the largest model available. However, literally the next day, the Stihl BR 700 model came out and then the larger Stihl BR 800 model.
The great thing is with backpack blowers, they generally have plenty of power and the weight is on your back rather than your arms. The downside is that they are rather bulky to carry around, hence why I would go for the most powerful Stihl model. As they still take up the same amount of space. The Stihl BR 600 backpack blower is available for £696.60. It's not cheap, but you do have a quality piece of engineering which should give you many years of good service.
Battery Leaf Blowers
Battery leaf blowers appear to be very popular at the moment. The cheapest model on the website is just £24.95. However, you need to purchase the battery and charger separately, although, some models have the same battery.
You need to take a huge amount of care when purchasing battery products, as many of the domestic products can have a very short battery life between charges. The budget Ozito does not tell me the battery life in the specification, which suggests it would be very low.
Recently, I was speaking to a customer who had purchased a battery mower. I asked them if their mother had broken down as they had only cut one-third of their lawn. It was only a small lawn; however, the battery mower they had purchased could not cope with even a small lawn. They were on to the third charge and not even halfway through cutting their lawn! This could be very frustrating, hence my caution regarding battery products, especially with domestic products.
Makita have always made good products and they also make a garden leaf blower, which is available for £234.95. I have a few Makita rechargeable tools, they are very good, but under load, a battery can soon drain.
My advice would be to take extreme care when purchasing battery items. Some manufacturers have batteries that fit various machines and makes. This is definitely worth checking out if you are thinking of purchasing a leaf blower, it could save you money if you can use the same batteries.
Leaf Sweepers
Leaf sweepers are a traditional way to pick up leaves, with tow-behind and push-behind options. They work well, even on wet leaves, but the bags can fill up quickly as the leaves aren't particularly compressed in the bag or carrier.
The cheapest 26 inch Cobra lawn sweeper at £119.99 does offer good value for money. It's not a huge outlay. On the other end of the scale, I would say something like a handheld petrol blower offers much more versatility.
Wheeled Garden Vacuums
Wheeled garden vacuums come in different types, including wheel-driven and bag-equipped models. They are excellent for picking up leaves on driveways or lawns, with the added advantage of attachments for getting into tight spaces.
Popular models are the range of Billy Goat wheeled vacuums. Prices for a Billy Goat garden vacuum start at £1099 and go up to £5930.40 for the top of the range model.
The cheaper models are push models and larger models have powered driving wheels and come complete with a large vacuum hose. The hose is like having a giant vacuum cleaner, which enables you to get between shrubs and plants and into awkward places.
Walk-Behind Blowers
Walk-behind blowers are powerful tools for professionals or large garden owners. They can quickly clear leaves and debris but come with varying price tags.
The smallest Billy Goat F1302H petrol wheeled blower is powered by a 13 hp Honda engine and is priced at £1969.99. Our largest model is the Billy Goat F1802 SPV self-propelled force blower. It's powered by a Briggs & Stratton Vanguard commercial engine, which develops 18 hp.
To Conclude
In conclusion, the choice of the right leaf blower type depends on your specific needs and budget. While handheld petrol leaf blowers are a versatile and straightforward choice, backpack petrol models offer a balance between power and price. Electric and battery-powered options are convenient but come with their own limitations. Leaf sweepers and wheeled garden vacuums are simpler alternatives for specific needs. The wheeled blowers are great for large-scale gardens and professional use. They really can move a lot of leaves quickly.
My personal preference is for petrol handheld leaf blowers due to their versatility and ease of use. Backpack petrol models are also great if you need more power. Battery-powered blowers can be convenient, but be cautious about battery life.
If you have any questions or need more information, please feel free to leave a comment on the YouTube video. I'll do my best to respond to your questions and comments. Thank you for watching!


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A better cloud with Storj and VALDI.
Seamlessly integrate cloud storage and compute that's built for generative AI and compatible with most AI models including LLMs for training and inference.
Erasure coding eliminates latency and parallel uploads and downloads make Storj extremely fast from any location.
Data is segmented and stored across thousands of storage nodes. The fastest segments are used to rebuild the file.
Storj is zero trust and zero knowledge. End-to-end encryption is standard and only you can see and access your data.
Around 80% less than AWS. No contracts, no lock-ins, no hidden fees, and no replication needed.


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14k Yellow Gold Dazzling Two-Tone Religious Cross Pendant with Cuban Curb Chain Necklace
14k Yellow Gold Dazzling Two-Tone Religious Cross Pendant with Cuban Curb Chain Necklace
This unique handcrafted 14k gold well-detailed Christian cross pendant with high polished sparkle-cut texture finish comes with a 2.5mm wide concave curb Cuban chain necklace. Perfect for business-gifts, birthdays, anniversary or any other occasions. Order this today or browse our unique, trendsetting, & affordable fine gold jewelry.
- Compelling handmade solid gold well-detailed fancy textured religious Christian cross pendant with solid gold curb concave chain necklace
- Finely Handcrafted Genuine 14 Karat Gold in Stunning High Polished Texture Finish
- Pendant Height: 1.38 in (with bail) Pendant Width: 0.80 in Pendant Depth: 0.05 in Chain Width: 2.50mm
- Made in USA
- Includes Free Gift Box
Jewelry Information
Brand: Jewelry America
Metal stamp: 14k
Metal: Yellow Gold
Gem Type: not-applicable
Height: 1.38 inches
Width: 0.8 inches
Chain: Curb
Clasp: Lobster
Length: 16 inchesTotal metal weight: 5.6 Grams
Model number: Ar00322ttPNCU-CU16
Length: 18 inchesTotal metal weight: 5.9 Grams
Model number: Ar00322ttPNCU-CU18
Length: 20 inchesTotal metal weight: 6.2 Grams
Model number: Ar00322ttPNCU-CU20
Length: 22 inchesTotal metal weight: 6.6 Grams
Model number: Ar00322ttPNCU-CU22
Length: 24 inchesTotal metal weight: 6.9 Grams
Model number: Ar00322ttPNCU-CU24


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Key verse: 1John 3:2-3
2 Beloved, now are we the sons of God, and it doth not yet appear what we shall be: but we know that, when he shall appear, we shall be like him; for we shall see him as he is.
3 And every man that hath this hope in him purifieth himself, even as he is pure.
Matthew 25:1-13
Being baptized into the death and resurrection of Christ as confirmation of our believing in the finished work on the cross and confessing Christ as Lord and Savior translates us into being children of the Most-High. Submitting ourselves to learning obedience through hardship takes us a step further. Power is with the Holy Spirit in this dispensation. By Christ giving us power to become the sons of God is He giving us the Holy Spirit to guide us unto a point where we are obedient to the leading of the Holy Spirit. When we attain that level, we are no longer ordinary children but sons for which it is written that as many as are led by the Spirit of God, they are the sons of God. To attain sonship is to have learnt the essence of purity and keep in it. We cannot be sons of the pure One without striving to be pure. It is the sons of God that have the hope that very soon, their Lord will appear to take them home.
We need however to be vigilant as there is a devourer out there who does not want anyone to enter into the glory that is prepared by the Lord for those who love Him. He makes more effort to prevent the sons for whom the glory is particularly prepared and is never relenting. Those who are yet to attain sonship are often considered easy prey for a fall. But for them that have all their lives been striving, the battle for their souls is fiercer. Consider the ten virgins for a moment, particularly the five foolish ones. Their being described as virgins suggest purity, and that they were invited or had knowledge of the impending arrival of the bridegroom which shows they were ordinarily qualified by their walks and works. Unfortunately, they did not meet the bridegroom and the glory for which they had all their lives prepared slipped off their hands. No wonder the Bible cautions that he who thinks he stands should take heed lest he falls.
Beloved, it is only he who is pure to the end that shall see the Lord as He is and be like Him. We shall shed the body of sin for His kind of glorious body. What a great occurrence that would be. Will you be counted among the number?
Pray: Father, please help to keep Oil in my lamp till the crucial day that I may see you in glory and receive your commendation and glory in the name of Jesus Christ.


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Novel Zika virus vaccine shows success in pre-clinical trials
Posted: 6 April 2021 | Victoria Rees (Drug Target Review) | No comments yet
A new VLP-based Zika virus vaccine is able to protect mice completely from infection, researchers have found.
Researchers at the University of Connecticut, US, have shown that a new vaccine against the Zika virus is successful in pre-clinical trials.
Using the genetic sequence of Zika virus, the team developed and tested multiple vaccine candidates that would create virus-like particles (VLPs). According to the researchers, VLPs are an appealing vaccine approach because they resemble native virus particles to the immune system and therefore trigger the immune system to mount a defence comparable to a natural infection. Critically, VLPs lack genetic material and are unable to replicate.
The vaccine the researchers developed is based on a viral vector, vaccinia virus, which they modified to express a portion of Zika virus' genetic sequence to produce Zika VLPs. Their vaccine has an added safety feature that it is replication-defective when given as a vaccine but replicates normally in cell culture in the lab.
"Essentially, we have included an on/off switch," said one of the researcher Brittany Jasperse. "We can turn the viral vector on in the lab when we are producing it by simply adding a chemical inducer and we can turn it off when it is being delivered as a vaccine to enhance safety."
The team developed five vaccine candidates in the lab with different mutations in a genetic sequence that acts as a signal to secrete proteins. They evaluated how these mutations affected the expression and formation of Zika VLPs and then selected the vaccine candidate that had the highest expression of VLPs to test in a mouse model of Zika virus pathogenesis.
The team found that mice who received just a single dose of the vaccine mounted a strong immune response and were completely protected from Zika virus infection. They did not find any evidence of Zika virus in the blood of challenged mice who were exposed to the virus after vaccination.
"Emerging viruses are not going to stop popping up any time soon, so we need to be prepared," said lead researcher Associate Professor Paulo Verardi. "Part of being prepared is to continue the development of these platforms."
Verardi has filed provisional patent for the novel vaccine platform technology used to generate the vaccine, as well as genetic modifications made to the vaccine that significantly enhance expression of the vaccine antigen.
The findings are published in Scientific Reports.
Related topics
Drug Development, Immunology, In Vivo, Vaccine
Related conditions
Zika virus
Related organisations
University of Connecticut
Related people
Associate Professor Paulo Verardi, Brittany Jasperse


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Cayuga Community College has received a new grant supporting the implementation of three workforce-related credentials offering dynamic training opportunities in manufacturing and health care.
Through the credential programs, members of the workforce can capitalize on short-term training pathways to enhance skills needed to succeed in today's manufacturing and health care industries. The new credentials are under the SUNY Reimagine Workforce Preparation Training Program, which funds tuition, fees and the cost of instructional materials for a specific number of students enrolled in the programs.
SUNY Reimagine Workforce Preparation Training Program is administered by SUNY and the New York State Department of Labor, and is fully funded by the United States Department of Education as part of an award totaling $18,067,845.02, with 0 percent financed from state or non-governmental sources.
Dr. Keiko Kimura, Cayuga's Vice President of Workforce Development and Partnerships, thanked SUNY and the State Department of Labor for their support and said she was looking forward to seeing members of the local workforce excel in the programs.
"This is a proud moment for Cayuga and an exciting opportunity for our workforce. These programs will feature robust instruction and hands-on learning designed to support students eager to join the workforce and those who have already started their careers," said Dr. Kimura. "I would like to thank SUNY and the State Department of Labor for awarding us this opportunity. Their support for our workforce and their confidence in Cayuga's innovative training is inspiring."
Cayuga received the grant as it completes one workforce capital project and is in the midst of a second. Construction of the College's Advanced Manufacturing Institute at the Fulton Campus is near completion, and Cayuga has started construction on a Workforce Development Center in Auburn. Both projects drew significant support from public and private partners in their respective communities.
With the support of the SUNY Reimagine Workforce Preparation Training Program, Cayuga will launch credential programs focusing on medical coding and entry-level training for manufacturing and health care. Regional employers were significant supporters of the programs, which are designed to prepare students for immediate, in-demand entry level positions. The programs offer short-term training in 15 weeks or fewer.
Implementation of the workforce programs started this spring with Cayuga's Electro-Mechanical System Fundamentals micro-credential. Available only at Cayuga's Fulton Campus, the program offers entry-level training in fields including hydraulics and pneumatics. Individual courses can be completed in two or three weeks, and will prepare students for entry-level positions while doubling as steps to more advanced career training.
The medical coding program is specifically designed for individuals already working in the medical industry, and will pair health care experience with learning advanced technical skills. The health care credential will combine current and new courses in anatomy and physiology, psychology, medical terminology and introduction to health care. Students can also enroll in the health care credential as part of a degree program.
Start dates for the medical coding and health care programs will be announced at a later date.
To have the grant fund their tuition and other expenses, students must complete the credential program in which they are enrolled and earn a WorkKeys National Career Readiness Certificate.
Questions about the credential programs can be directed to Emily Cameron, Cayuga's Assistant Director of Community Education and Workforce Development, at 315-294-8527 or by email at [email protected].
FingerLakes1.com is the region's leading all-digital news publication. The company was founded in 1998 and has been keeping residents informed for more than two decades. Have a lead? Send it to [email protected].


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GSA preps launch of OASIS replacement
GSA plans a program of customer and industry events and interactions in the early part of 2021 to help shape its OASIS replacement contract.
The General Services Administration's replacement for its Acquisition Solution for Integrated Services (OASIS) multiple award vehicle is in the starting blocks, according to the contract's development manager.
In the coming weeks, the agency will convene focus groups, listening sessions, and industry days on its OASIS successor professional services contract, according to Tiffany Hixson, assistant commissioner, in GSA's Office of Professional Services and Human Capital Categories.
Ordering under OASIS and its companion OASIS Small Business concludes in 2024.
Federal customer and industry input will steer how the contract is developed, said Hixson in a Dec. 15 blog post. Details on how to get involved with the contract development will be published on the Professional Services Interact site and GSA.gov but she didn't give a specific timeline for the process.
Hixon said OASIS successor, dubbed Best-in-Class Multi-Agency Contract (BIC MAC), is a critical part of the agency's marketplace strategy to align and expand its multiple acquisition contracts, improve data reporting and expand federal buyers' acquisition tools.
BIC MAC, along with 8(a) Streamlined Technology Acquisition Resource for Services III (STARS III) and the Polaris small business governmentwide acquisition contract are primary parts of the Services Marketplace strategy, according to Hixon.
While Polaris and STARS III have been steered by GSA's Federal Acquisition Service's Information Technology Category, the Office of Professional Services and Human Capital Categories will oversee the more services-oriented BIC MAC, she said.
With BIC MAC, procurement analyst Larry Allen told FCW, GSA is looking to try new acquisition techniques in the services category, such as non-pricing-based buying, and lower barriers of entry for new industry participants, including an "open season" for bidders to get on to the contract.
NEXT STORY: GAO calls out agencies for IT supply chain risks


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What Is The Definition Of Interior Design. The dictionary definition of interior design is 'the art or process of designing the interior decoration of a room or building'. Interior architecture is the design of a building or shelter from inside out, or the design of a new interior for a type of home that can be fixed.
The definition of eclectic interior design. Essentially, it's what you choose to do with the inside. It should fit the needs, cultures and lifestyle of those that.
Interior Design Refers To The Art Of Designing Homes And Rooms.
The most interesting thing about this interior. The art of planning the decoration of the inside of a building such as a house or office 2. Modern interior design can be thought of as a spectrum, rather than as a single, defining style.
The Council For Interior Design Qualification (Cidq) Is The Premier Certifying Organization For Interior Design Professionals.
Interior design is the art or profession of designing the decoration for the inside of a. Interior design definition, the design and coordination of the decorative elements of the interior of a house, apartment, office, or other structural space, including color schemes, fittings,. Interior design is a branch of environmental design that is closely connected to architecture.
Interior Designers Are Expected To Have Working Knowledge Of:.
The contemporary interior style brings out the atmosphere of a neat and clean space. What does interior design mean? It is the art, science, and business planning of a creative, technical, sustainable, and functional interior solution that corresponds to the architecture of a space, while.
"Interior Design Is The Skilled Art Of Creating Functional, Inspiring And Structurally Sound Spaces For Businesses, Individuals And The Public To.
The national centre for education statistics states that the definition of a degree program in interior architecture is: Interior decorating is simply outfitting a space with items you like. It should fit the needs, cultures and lifestyle of those that.
From The Council Of Interior Design Qualification They State That The Definition Of Interior Design Is As Follows:
Interior architecture is a practice that incorporates the art of design and the science of architecture, and it focuses on the technical aspects of planning and building a room. Interior designers work in a wide range of settings,. A design style that can be said to represent the present.


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Lawn Fawn
Celebration Scripty Sentiments
Find the perfect sentiment for lots of occasions with this collection of stamps!
Coordinating set ideas: The sentiment "Happy Mother's Day" looks great with the butterflies from Simply Celebrate Spring!
approximate sizes:
"happy valentine's day": 3 1/2" x 1/2"
"happy easter": 3 1/2" x 3/4"


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Nobody Can Be Forced To Get Jabbed: SC
May 2, 2022 | Pratirodh BureauThe Supreme Court on Monday said that no person can be forced to get vaccinated against Covid and asked the Centre to make public the effect of such an immunisation.
A bench of Justices L Nageswara Rao and BR Gavai said bodily autonomy and integrity are protected under Article 21 of the Constitution. The top court said the current Covid vaccine policy cannot be said to be manifestly arbitrary and unreasonable. "Till numbers are low, we suggest that relevant orders are followed and no restriction is imposed on unvaccinated individuals on access to public areas or recall the same if already not done," the bench said.
Regarding segregation of vaccine trial data, subject to privacy of individuals, in all trials conducted and to be subsequently conducted, all data must be made available to the public without further delay, it said.
The apex court also directed the Union of India to publish reports on adverse events of vaccines from the public and doctors on a publicly accessible system without compromising the data of individuals.
The court delivered the judgment on a plea filed by Jacob Puliyel, seeking directions for disclosure of data on clinical trials of Covid vaccines and post-jab cases.
Earlier in March, the Centre had clarified in the Supreme Court that it had not made COVID-19 vaccines mandatory and had only said that the vaccination should be 100 per cent.
The clarification from Solicitor General Tushar Mehta, appearing for the Centre, came after Additional Advocate General for Tamil Nadu Amit Anand Tiwari told a bench of Justices L Nageswara Rao and B R Gavai that the Union government had "issued a mandate to us that 100 per cent people should be vaccinated."
The petition by Jacob Puliyel, a former member of the National Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation (NTAGI), had argued that states mandating vaccination for accessing benefits or services is a violation of citizens' rights, and therefore, unconstitutional. Many states, said the petition, had made vaccines necessary for state government employees, for travel in public transport and to access subsidised food grains.
The petition called for clinical trial data of Covid vaccines to be made public and alleged that vaccines being administered had not been adequately tested for safety or efficacy and were licensed under emergency use authorisation without trial data being disclosed to the public.
The Centre had argued in court that the petition was "against national interest" and would create vaccine hesitancy. It had also said vaccination is voluntary but states had enforced mandates "based on potential hazards".


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COLOR: washed denim
SIZING: true to size (Michelle is wearing a small) *boyfriend style
FIT: true to size
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Have you ever been told that water can spice up your sex life?
We know its usual benefits, but can it improve your sex drive?
Let us find out quickly.
Benefits of Water Before Sex
1. Helps in Pre Ejaculation:
Precum or Pre ejaculation is a transparent fluid that appears at the tip of the penis when you foreplay with your partner.
It occurs when you are sexually aroused and helps in frictionless sexual intercourse.
Drinking water before sex does help in producing natural lubrication for men.
2. Ramp up Your Libido:
Libido is a term that is commonly used to describe sexual drive or a desire for sexual activity.
If you do not drink enough water, it will affect your sex hormones and libido, leaving you less eager for sex.
Drink at least 8-10 glasses of water regularly.
3. It will Cleanse Your System:
Peeing after sex is one of the most important steps to follow to maintain your sexual health.
During sexual intercourse, we often contract harmful bacteria which appears in the urethra that might cause UTIs.
Drinking water will help flush them out of the system.
4. Keeps You In The Mood:
If you feel dehydrated, it might affect your mental state and lower your sex drive. Staying hydrated helps in reducing performance anxiety and keeps your libido up.
5. Helps In Increasing Sperm Count:
As with all your body fluids, semen production depends on water intake.
Insufficient fluid intake or dehydration will reduce semen production in the body. Therefore, it is essential to drink plenty of water during the day.
6. Beats Fatigue:
According to the latest study, 25 to 30 minutes of sexual activity is comparable to a 3-mile run.
Well, you cannot sustain for that long without water. It acts as a natural supplement to help energise your body and increase performance in bed.
Does Dehydration Link to Erectile Dysfunction?
Numerous studies have linked dehydration to Erectile Dysfunction.
One particular study has shown that if fluid levels in the body fall, it leads to an adverse release of angiotensin.
These hormones trigger your body to tighten the vessels and thus limit blood flow to the penis.
This restricts the blood flow to the penis, making it difficult to get an erection and thus leading to ED.
Thank you so much.


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Furthermore, frozen objects pooled with other elementary objects have been the instantaneous food merchandise being offered within the major days of lockdown owing to their elongated shelf life. The EU's natural brand on food merchandise ensures that EU rules on natural production have been revered. In the case of processed food, it means that at least 95% of the ingredients of agricultural origin are organic. Super markets and other retailers can label their products with the time period natural only if they adjust to the foundations.
- The lockdown had a optimistic impact on us we have been extraordinarily busy with a lot of our clients having elevated demand due to experiencing their very own workers shortages.
- Enjoy locally sourced produce and beautiful views at Alexandra Palace Farmers' Market, set atop a hill with an exquisite lookout over London. [newline]Buy fruits and vegetables or ready-made treats to enjoy right there on


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DIY Rope Bags
My boat needs some new rope bags. The old Ronstad ones have held up incredibly well, but they just werent sticking to the back of the cockpit anymore. Lured in by the appeal of trying SNAD fasteners and having some leftover Sunbrella material from a sail cover I made, I decided to see if I could make them myself.
It should be noted that Sailrite does have a howto on making sheet bags but I was looking for something with a bit more structure. I really like the way the Ronstan ones used shock cord and hollow tubes to make it easy to get things into the bags while still allowing you to cinch it down and have it out of the way.
You will need Sunbrella material for the back panel, mesh material for the front, and binding for the seams. I'd say a yard of Sunbrella and a yard of mesh could probably make four bags, but check the pattern. Likewise, I worked out about 6' of binding per bag. I used white UV resistant polyester thread.
Finally for the hardware you'll need two SNADs, two studs, and two buttons. You'll also need four non-load bearing grommets for the sides. I used cheap brass ones I had laying around.
Here's my pattern for the cuts:
Panel Binding and Pockets
Add binding around each of the top corners of the back panel:
Fold the top down even with the binding line and run a stitch as close to the edge as you can. This forms the pocket for the shock cord tubes.
Add a tiny strip of binding to each of the sides of the front panel:
The fold down the top to make a pocket for the shock cord tubes like we did on the front panel:
Finally we'll attach the mesh panel to the bottom part of the front panel. Line up the 13" side (not the 13.5" side):
Pinch the sides together (with the rough side of the pocket facing the same way so they will all be hidden) and sew the binding on. I like to double stitch it as I found this part wasn't holding on my first version:
Going 3D
Now this is easily the toughest part and I don't want this to be a "draw the rest of the owl" moment so I'll do my best to detail it. Basically we're going to sew binding around all the remaining edges to make an inside out version of the bag. Keep the rough side of the pockets out as we'll be flipping this bag once we're done putting it together.
I like to use a single piece of binding all around but sew each edge separately, doubling back to keep the thread from pulling out. I use copious amounts of basting tape to keep everything in place. One piece to hold the edges together and a piece on each side to hold the binding in place.
Here's a picture of me lining up the edges I start on. I'm pointing to a seam that you will want to put down so that it doesn't catch on things people put in the bag. Right now it's up under my finger but I'll fix that when I tape it up:
For these bindings I like to do a double stitch, stopping at each corner to line the next set of edges up:
Now you can flip it right-side out.
Hardware and Assembly
In a previous version, I placed the studs and buttons right on the back panel. For this one I added some leather reinforcements and placed the studs and buttons two inches from the top and the bottom:
Finally an inch and a half from the top and two inches in from each corner I placed two grommets on each side. I am a little worried about the Sunbrella unraveling at these punch holes (you can see a bit in the picture), but they don't really support any weight so I'm hoping for the best:
Insert the two rods from the old old rope bags into the pockets (or source new ones) and insert the shock cord through the rods and grommets. Tie it off for how much you want the bag to hang open and you're done!
To attach it to the boat attach the SNADs, clean the adhesion surface with isopropyl alcohol, and press them into place. Carefully detach the bag and give them 36 hours to set. Now you can attach and detach the bag as needed: