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Well, THAT didn't go as planned…
The Bear can feel every last spring in the rusty old cot they provided her as she tosses and turns, trying to figure out what to do next. She goes over the events of the night in her mind to pinpoint where, exactly, it all went wrong. She HAD to do it she tells herself, there was no choice! But even she doesn't believe that. If she had just done what she was told, she wouldn't be in this mess.
The floorboards creak on the other side of the locked door as her captors pace back and forth.
They're trying to figure out what to do with me, Bear thinks to herself.
She hears the key jingle as someone fumbles with the lock. They're coming to question her again! And in that moment, the Bear knows what she has to do. She's going to have to make a deal with the enemy.
The mission was simple: Go to the Elk's garage, steal computer files, and get out. They wouldn't even know she was there. To the Bear's credit, things ALMOST went as planned.
The Bear found and decrypted the files relatively quickly. The Financiers- a shadow operation financing the syndicate that submitted "job requests" and demanded discretion - had been leaning on The Green Lizard. They wanted info that they knew The Elk had and The Green Lizard had sent her to get it. She knew not to ask too many questions beyond that.
As she was waiting for the data to finish uploading onto her key, she glanced at some of the data she was copying. Just a peek. Later, while she sat captive on a rusty-springed cot, she'd pinpoint THIS moment as the moment where it all went wrong…
A folder had caught her eye, the one named "BEAR". Was she really NOT supposed to look at it? She opened the file and her rage took over. How dare the Elk have info on her, images from a past she thought she had destroyed long ago except for the few memories that still rattle in her head. She saw her tentative grasp on control slipping. This was supposed to be a fun job–see Rabbit, Fox and Elk squirm. But now… Were the Financiers coming for her? The Elk? Was The Green Lizard trading her secrets?
Before she knew it, she was drenching the garage in gasoline. She picked up a handful of cigars she had noticed on the Elk's desk earlier. As she walked out of the garage she lit a cigar, took a couple of puffs and dropped it in the trail of gas. She stood outside watching it all go up in flames, including the key with the copied files.
She stood outside watching the garage burn and for the first time, in a long time, a smile crept over her face. She hopped in her car and drove to meet Green Lizard at their predetermined meeting spot to hand him the data she collected. Of course now, she would have nothing to give him… well, that wasn't entirely true, she thought, as she drove off with the Elk cursing her out from the trunk.
The incessant drip of a leaky pipe echoed through the nearly empty parking garage. Only the smell of fresh gasoline and cigar smoke would alert you to the imposing figure patiently waiting against her car in the night.
The Bear took a large puff from her cigar, and began to feel her temper cool as she watched the smoke rise. She didn't normally smoke cigars, but it was sitting on The Elk's desk while she was copying the files. A Queen of Finland, customized luxury brand. She had been around enough pompous wealth now to recognize it and decided to take it. Why not? It was going to burn either way… Now, it was the only thing helping to remove the stench of burnt gasoline and plastic that still lingered in her nostrils. She looked down and noticed the ruin this night had made of her favorite sneakers. Limited edition…she cursed under her breath at the sight of them. She hadn't dressed for arson. The Bear wonders if the Green Lizard had heard about the fire yet, or if she would have to tell him.
"YOU IDIOT!!" A shrill cry broke the silence, as a short figure erupted onto the parking floor, "YOU ABSOLUTE BUFFOON! WHAT WERE YOU THINKING???" shrieked the Green Lizard.
That answers that question, she thought with a smile - the second of the night.
"Are you smiling?!" The Green Lizard was shocked, "Is there something about this that you find amusing? Or are you just too stupid to realize what you've done?"
She's sick of how he saw her, just this dumb bear. But she tried to keep her temper to a minimum.
"At least," he wheezed on, "At least tell me you got the data."
Bear took another puff of the cigar before she dropped it to the ground. She stared the Green Lizard dead in the eye and said, "Nope. But there is something in the trunk for you."
She listened in silence as the Lizard laid into her. Of course Bear knew not to tell the Lizard the real reason she set the garage on fire, the rage she felt when she found those files on herself. Not until she finds out WHY the Elk had the data on her and IF the Financiers knew about it. Instead, she decides to play dumb, a role that is all too easy for her especially when it comes to the Green Lizard.
"What's your problem?" she growled at him, "The data is destroyed. Now no one has it, isn't that what we wantedl?"
"I wanted you to STEAL the data!" He spat back. "And burning it doesn't mean it's gone! They probably have copies!"
Copies...She literally did a face palm. Which means more files on HER out there…
"I have to go get the other copies!" She snarled.
"Ya think?" he responded mockingly. "And you need to do it fast, before the financiers realize that we don't have anything to give them."
Now she was off to hit The Blue Rabbit's territory before The Elk's people could warn him. So much for simple jobs.
"I'll deal with The Elk if YOU can actually get the job done. WITHOUT more fire."
Bear arrived at the Blue Rabbit's in record time. The garage was dark and quiet. Looks like they haven't heard about the Elk… yet. Bear snuck in and turned on the Rabbit's computer and ran a decryption script to gain access to the files. She put the data key in her pocket, but didn't leave just yet. She needed to know if the Rabbit had any files on her so she kept digging.... When she couldn't find anything, she knew it was time to shake down a bunny.
The Blue Rabbit sat tied to a chair, the hulking figure of the Bear over him.
"It's all there," the Rabbit pleaded, "The list of potentials, locations, hideouts, It's everything I got! I don't understand what else you're looking for."
Ug, Bear hated his squeaky voice, big talk until he's under the gun, "I know Elk had more files…"
"I'm not The Elk's boss. They do their thing, I do mine. Control is death! If you've got questions for the Elk, go to The Elk..."
I should've grilled Elk while they were in my trunk, Bear thought rubbing her face. But now…There was NO WAY Bear could let Lizard know that she was on a rogue mission or the real reason she rage-burned Elk's garage.
"We have the Elk! And if you want to see them again, you're going to show me where the other files are!"
"Can't give you what I don't have, Bear. You think I'm afraid? I eat chaos for breakfast!"
The Bear gagged him, happy for the quiet. So now she was heading to Osaka to get to The Red Fox. She should've known it would come to this.
"Don't worry," the Bear called over her shoulder, "Someone will come for you sooner or later.
Osaka was a mess, her crew in trouble, and The Bear had cursed this whole mission, right before everything had gone black…
She woke up in this "prison cell". Technically, it was just a battered room in an old, run-down apartment block somewhere in Osaka. One of the last standing safe houses left for the Elk's crew after all that had gone down.
The Bear stretched her sore back and arms and she laid on the cheap cot, her mind trying to spin a plan to get herself out of this mess.
She knew that she needed to get out of there and back to the Green Lizard BEFORE he realized that she was captured. If he finds out that she's been compromised, there's no telling what he'd do. She needed to rescue her crew and she needed to have a talk with The Elk. So she'd have to make an offer that the Red Fox couldn't refuse.
She heard the keys unlock the door from the other side, and slowly lifted herself in the sitting position. This is it, she thinks.
"Hey, Red." the Bear greeted the Red Fox as she entered the room.
"Hello Bear." replied the Red Fox in a much drier tone.
"Guess you're not here to sweet talk me, huh?"
"Not today, I'm afraid." The Red Fox was clearly not in a mood for games, but was always the polite one and impossible to read.
"Then let me cut to the chase. But first," the Bear paused while holding up her cigar, "You got a light. I heard these are the Elk's favorite.?"
The Red Fox took a step forward in rage.
"How dare you."
The Bear raised an eyebrow in surprise. It was a rare show of emotion cutting through the Fox's strategic and calculating facade. Fox's voice was raw and full of protectiveness and passion. It made The Bear like her more.
"Whoa," the Bear replied with a calm but defiant smile, "I've got a proposition for you."
Fox laughed, "This'll be good,"
"The way I see it," the Bear began her pitch, "Is that we both have things the other wants. You want the Elk and Rabbit home safe and sound, I need to deliver that data drive to my contact. Our mutual friends, the Financiers. Give me the data, and the Elk will be safe."
"Look," The Fox responded, "I don't know why you, the Green Lizard, or the financiers want this info - or what's so special about it, but I'm sure as hell NOT giving it to you. If for no other reason than because of how much you want it."
"What about the ELK?!" The Bear was beginning to lose control here.
"The Elk would tell me to do the same thing."
Bear couldn't tell if she was bluffing. Fortunately, she has something else to offer.
"What if I can offer you something more eye opening. A little peek inside the financiers? Would that be worth something?"
"And how would you propose we do that?" Fox looks at her sceptically
"I can create a virus within the data we hand over to the Financiers," Bear couldn't help but revel in the look of surprise on the Fox's face as she continues, "Sure, they get some info on you, but you get to into their files and get even more info on them. Would THAT be worth something to you?"
Fox always thought of the Bear as the muscle, the Green Lizard's dimwitted sidekick but it looks like there's more to her than that. Her plan was risky and possibly devised by an insane woman but it was also truly ingenious. It was a literal Trojan Horse. The virus would finally give her crew a back door into this mysterious organization to glean information…for profit and for leverage. But what would The Bear gain?
"You want to work together? Now? After leaving a trail of mayhem and fire? What's in it for you?" Fox questioned.
"I want two things," the Bear tells her, "One, the Elk has some information that I need."
"What kind of information?"
"THIS IS BETWEEN ME AND THE ELK!" Bear growls, "I need to arrange a meeting."
The Fox ponders the Bear's odd request. "I'll tell him about the deal, Keep your end of the bargain and I'll appeal to The Elk's honor. That's all I can promise."
"Fine. Second, I need my crew's safety guaranteed. Don't come after us for the little… mishap at the Elk's garage."
"Mishap?! You mean when you burnt it all TO THE GROUND?"
"Hey! I'm giving you a chance to spy on the financiers. I think you can forget about a couple of burnt cars.
Fox stood there, it would be tough to convince her crew not to retaliate, but for what the Bear was willing to give her, it would be worth it.
"And the Lizard?"
The Bear shrugged, "You got me before I got your data to him. I'll have to deal with him. But maybe it's time he paid a price for his attitude problem."
Fox considered if Bear had been pushed hard enough to want to turn on The Green Lizard. "Fine." Fox she finally said through her teeth, "You've got yourself a deal"
"Great, now, hand me the data so I can put the virus on it. Once I'm done with that I'll be ready to go. Give me a bit of a head start before calling the cops."
"Why involve the cops?"
"You've been holding me for long enough for the Green Lizard to know something is off. This will at least give me a convincing alibi."
"This better not be a trick," The Fox says as she reaches into her pocket and hands the data key to the Bear,
"Relax," said the Bear smiling. "Only an idiot would do that." She parted ways from The Red Fox, and tucked her cigar into a cigar case that had The Elk's mark on it.
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The Victory Of Love With Heung Jin Nim (Moon) |
To the Staff of the Thirteenth ICC at the Won Jun
May 24, 1987
Brothers and sisters, the spirit of Heung Jin Nim is very much here... and I want to work through this person. He sometimes struggles, so I know he feels very bad that I can't just come immediately. But I want to speak to you today because you've made the effort to come out here to this place.
This is a very holy place. I know you can feel it already. This place is sanctified. Not by me, but by my Father and Mother, by my True Parents. They're the ones who laid the foundation for this place. They're the ones who built it for me. All I did was try to be a loyal son, try to be a son who could bring them honor, and be as good a boy as I could be. And I go on that way. But because of the foundation of my Father, I gave my life for him so happily, so happily. It was an easy thing for me to do. But as I could give that, then this place could be sanctified. So, please understand, it is really the True Parents that you face today, not merely your elder brother or your Lord Heung Jin Nim. Yes, I've been given a position in the spiritual realm which is very special, which is the highest, but I'm standing on the shoulders of my Papa, my Aboji.
He's the greatest man who ever lived. Whatever name they call him, Christ or Messiah, it doesn't matter, he's the Father. He's the father of all mankind and all of history. And my mother is right with him. They stand together. And so you've come here to meet them, truly. And all I want to do is help you meet my parents. Because many of our brothers and sisters have not met their parents yet. They haven't met their father and mother and that's why their lives are still dry. I'm so sorry for this.
I'm living. I'm living with you for this very purpose and I will do this eternally until each and every one can come into the complete merging with my Father's heart. Our movement is planted around the world, throughout all the countries of the world, even behind the Iron Curtain, as you know. There are brothers and sisters who have given their lives, but I tell you especially these providential countries of America, Japan, Korea you have come from America many of you, most of you. You've gone through Japan you're now in Korea. These three providential countries really truly need to unite with my Parents' heart now.
This is the time. This is the key time and the very mission that I've got to do is to help you one by one, yes, one by one. I know it's hard for you to understand how I can reach out to you. Some of you don't feel worthy. I know. Some of you don't trust yourselves. Some of you don't really trust me yet. You don't really think this is me, do you? Somebody here thinks this is this medium. It is not. It is not. Wipe out the last percent of doubt from your mind. If you feel one little trickle of doubt, put it aside. It is me. And you need to move into a new realm of belief in your deepest heart. Please understand. Belief is in the heart. Your heart needs to open so deeply. It is something far beyond the letter of the law, far beyond the word. It is a part of you which many of you have not yet discovered.
You're still struggling to open those doors. That's exactly why I've come down. That's exactly why I'm with you. That's why it was such a joy to build a bridge with my True Parents from the spiritual world to each one of your hearts. This bridge is not just to the physical world, it's right into each of your hearts. Understand that. My bridge is right into your heart. And I can work with you. You want to know how? Don't even ask me. It's something too deep, too much. But I can work with you. I'm not like a physical man running around here and there trying to help this and that person singly. Not at all. No, I've been given a special power by the position that has been given me, truly, by God and by my True Parents. Understand that.
And please open your minds to that because, when we think of reality, when we really understand what reality is, we realize that we never began to even touch reality in our former lives. And even just now there are so many doors to be opened, so many doors that need to be opened.
It's like a long hall, and in that hall there are many doorways. And now you are just turning the knob on one little door. And you go down and see another door and another door. And that hall opens up on the most beautiful thing you have ever seen. It is a realm you cannot imagine. But please keep opening those doors.
Some of our brothers and sisters are trapped in little closets, locked up. And I really want to unlock those doors for them. And I'm trying so hard. I've grabbed the knob from the other side, but many of them, they don't even realize there is a door knob or that I'm on the other side trying to turn that knob and help them out. I'd rip the door off the hinges, but it involves also your five percent.
You know the Principle. I can't force my way in. The highest realms of spirit do not deal in domination. They do not deal in taking over. The highest realm of spirit deals in loving and harmonious cooperation. I need your cooperation, brothers and sisters. I need it so desperately. Because each of us is to unite with so many others and to ignite fires wherever we go. It is so important as you go back to America that America can be revived. But before we talk about reviving the nation or even before we talk about reviving the Christian ministers, and before we talk about reviving our movement, each one of us needs to be revived in the spirit of God and in the spirit of our True Parents and in my spirit of victory. Please understand that. It begins with each one, with each one of you.
I stand on my Father's shoulders, but by his effort alone. No, not by his effort alone. I made effort too. Something I did also. I'm not bragging. I'm humbly offering myself. I want you to understand and learn whatever I could do. Please understand, your life is in your own hands, and so there is no miracle. The greatest miracle is the one that you can do. And that's the one miracle that stands between us and the Kingdom of God.
God is all powerful. He's almighty. He's the Master of miracles. The Bible is full of them. History is full of them. Miracles are happening every day all over this world. Miracles you don't even know about. Our True Parents have been doing miracles all of their lives. And now I'm able to do miracles, too, in my own way. Yes, Jesus it goes without saying. But there is a miracle that only you can do. And yet, it involves a deeper search into your own heart. So many of our brothers and sisters are struggling with resentment, with feelings of frustration, with inner conflicts, with sexual problems, with so many blockages. They don't understand. And it's like that little closet. It is such a hell of a place. The door needs to be opened, brothers and sisters.
I'm asking you to please seek more deeply, because each of us has our own little closets inside. Some of us are more liberated. Some of us are a little less liberated. We go through many things. But I'm here to help you. I want to help you. I cannot dominate you, as I said. But I can take your hand as you reach out. As you reach out in belief, in heartistic belief, I can help you. Please understand that. That's my whole life's purpose. If you don't give me that open hand and that arm reaching out to me... What do I have to do?
I tell you, the heart of God is to reach out to every person who struggles to each and every one. The heart of God is with each and every one. Wherever there is the slightest struggle, God is there. He wants to alleviate it and He wants to liberate it. God is in those places. So God is on the other side of that closet door, too. It is not just me, but it is God with me. It is God with our True Parents. And we are crying and just screaming for your victory day by day.
Know that the love of Heaven is with you, that you need merely believe. Don't think you believe just because you believe the concepts of Divine Principle. The Divine Principle is in your heart, in each and every heart. And it needs to be open. That's the real truth of God. That's the real truth of God the truth within you. The truth of what you are is son and daughter of God. Satan would love to keep you from that truth. He knows he can't keep you from reading books. He knows he can't keep you from reading pamphlets and hearing lectures, but he knows that he can lock up the door to your heart and write all kinds of evil phrases on it and keep you away from it, make you afraid, make you lose your hope.
Brothers and sisters, don't be frustrated because this is the day of victory. Satan has nothing to stand against, now. Truly he can be defeated. Truly he can be overcome. Satan is a liar. He's the master of lies. How can anyone believe those lies with the truth of God among us? Satan has been lying to individuals about themselves. He knows he can't lie about God to those of us who have accepted Divine Principle in our deepest hearts.
He knows he can't lie that way any more. But he still tells a lot of lies to us about ourselves. But what we must do is believe in God believe in our True Parents believe in me. And also don't believe in Satan. Just become an atheist in relation to Satan. You understand what I mean? Please understand. Please understand and open yourself to that. I know it's not easy but it's just a step in the right direction. It's the real issue. I love you, brothers and sisters. I love you deeply. Someone take hands. Everybody.
This is a special day. I don't want you to ever forget it. Some of you will come here again. Some of you may go home and not be able to come back again, but even if this is just one afternoon we have together, then let it be the guiding signal for your life.
This is your opportunity. Please understand. This is your opportunity to make big steps ahead. As you go back to America, there is nothing stopping you from being the greatest evangelist, the greatest testimony, the greatest man or woman. God knows how great you are. That's why He brought you to our True Parents. That's why He brought you to this very place today. You're chosen. You're chosen. You may not fully believe that, but you are. I chose you here. I know who you are. I know your lives. I'm with you more than you know. I'm with you day by day many times you don't know I'm there, but I'm with you because I love you deeply. And God's given me the gift to be with you. Reach out.
Just as you grabbed the hand of that brother and sister who's next to you. Grab my hand. It may not be fleshy and bony and have hair on the back, but I want to tell you it's a substantial and a more substantial hand than the one you're holding on to right now. Substantial in spirit, substantial in victory. Take that hand and believe in it and go forward. God bless you, brothers and sisters.
I love you. I love you. I love you. Help each other, please. Remember this love only has true value as it's spread. The spirit world is not going to save the earth. The spirit world will not save our movement or America. It's you who will do it. The spirit world is ready to sacrifice everything to help you do that. And I am the leader of the spirit world. So I'll say that with responsibility. It's you who can do it. You just don't know the power at your command. We are ready to help you completely. But it's you who will do it. God bless you. Brothers and sisters, honor my parents. Come to know them. Come to know them. Because it's they to whom I testify day and night. Without them, what would I be? What would I be?
My brother Jesus, in his life 2,000 years ago, he was already great. It's a mistake to ever think Jesus failed or to irresponsibly pass those words around. Jesus was truly the Son of God. But he is more the Son of God now since our True Parents have come. He stands also on their shoulders. I love him very deeply. We are one. So if I help you, he helps you, especially to reach out to his flock. Yes, it's that flock that really came from him. He feels so deeply committed to them.
Jesus Speaks
Feed my sheep. They are so hungry. But they are so desperate. They don't even know what they want in many cases. They don't know what they want. Many of them even in the week that they are here in Korea are wandering around the city looking for something. They don't know that it's right in their own hearts. It's not in Itaewon.
Please take care of them. Please love them. The words alone are not enough to change them because they have loved me deeply all their lives. To the extent that they can, they've poured out their hearts. But they don't know how much I've loved them. They have felt some of my love like little children. But they want something more and they don't know what it is. And sometimes seeking that desperately, they get into trouble just like little kids. But it's me they want. And I want to show them that love the deepest love of all. Love that will take them far beyond themselves. Far beyond the level they stand at now.
It's up to you. Ultimately, the only place I want to bring them is to our True Parents. They're my True Parents, too. I am so grateful for your coming here. So I'm so grateful to my Lord Heung Jin Nim because he gave me a chance to pour my heart out in a way that I never could before, to be liberated, and to be able to come to this earth in a capacity I never could. Understand, that as he came to the spirit world in very much a similar way as I did, I could unite with him so deeply. What a joyous moment to find my True Brother, someone who's almost like a parent to me!
Brothers and sisters, I can't tell you how much I'm ready to support you as you reach out to the ministers in your areas. This coming week as you reach out to them, I'm right with them. I'm with you. I want to bring the two of you together.
Thank you so much again for coming here.

subset: commoncrawl


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Has How Not to Be Wrong by Jordan Ellenberg been sitting on your reading list? Pick up the key ideas in the book with this quick summary.
Do you find mathematics challenging, or perhaps irrelevant to what you do every day? Many people think math is best left in a classroom, but in reality, it touches our daily lives in profound ways.
That's because mathematics is really the science of common sense, a reflection of things we already know intuitively.
Mathematicians speak in a specialized language so they can convey complex ideas quickly and precisely. To some, this may make mathematics seem complicated or beyond comprehension.
The mental work involved in complex mathematics, however, isn't that different from the thinking we do in many common situations. In this book summary, you'll learn how to uncover the "hidden math" in your life, use it to make sense of problems and importantly, learn not to be wrong.
In this summary of How Not to Be Wrong by Jordan Ellenberg, you'll also discover:
- why so many research findings published in journals are actually wrong;
- why a debut novelist's second book is usually worse than his best-selling first; and
- why the concept of "public opinion" doesn't actually exist.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #1: Mathematics is the science of not being wrong, and it's based on common sense.
Convoluted mathematical formulas you encountered in school might have made your head spin. At the time, you might have asked yourself, "Will I ever use this in real life?"
The short answer is yes. Math is a key tool in solving common problems. We all use math every day, but we don't always call it "math."
In essence, mathematics is the science of not being wrong.
Consider this example: During World War II, American planes returned from tours in Europe covered in bullet holes. Curiously, a plane's fuselage always had more bullet holes than did the engine.
To better protect the planes, military advisors suggested outfitting the fuselage with better armor. One young mathematician suggested instead improving the armor for the engine.
Why? He suspected that those planes that took shots to the engine were actually those that didn't make it back. If the engines were reinforced with better armor, more planes might survive.
There's a mathematical phenomenon known as survivorship bias underlying this situation. Survivorship bias is the logical error of concentrating on the things that "survived" some process. In this example, advisors concentrated incorrectly on the state of the planes that survived, overlooking the planes that didn't.
This example may not seem like a math problem, but it is. Math is about using reason to not be wrong about things.
Math is also based on common sense. Can you explain why adding seven stones to five stones is the same as adding five stones to seven stones? It's so obvious that it's difficult to actually explain.
Math is the reflection of things we already know intuitively. In this case, math reflects our intuition by defining addition as commutative: for any choice of a and b, a + b = b + a.
Even though we can't solve entire equations with our intuition, mathematics is derived from our common sense.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #2: Linearity allows us to simplify mathematical problems.
A basic rule of mathematics is thus: if you have a difficult problem, try to make it easier and solve the easier problem instead. Then hope the simpler version is close enough to the difficult version.
We can break down hard problems into easier ones by assuming they have linearity. In geometry, we assume things have linearity when we consider straight lines. Curves represent nonlinearity.
Imagine an ant walking around a big circle. From the ant's perspective, it would feel like it was walking in a straight line. In fact, if we zoomed in closely enough on a part of the circle's curve, it would look like a straight line to us, too.
From this, we can infer that a circle's curve is similar to many straight lines bent at very slight angles.
Suppose you want to measure the circle's area. You can do that by putting a square in the center, so that each of the square's corners just touches the circle. The square's area is easy to calculate.
From there, we can insert more polygons with more corners into the remaining spaces and measure their areas until we can approximate the circle's area, using only straight lines.
This idea of linearity is widely used in statistics. Think of any mathematical relationship you might encounter in a news article. For example, that countries with more Burger Kings have looser morals, or that every extra $10,000 you earn makes you 3 percent more likely to vote Republican. These are examples of linear regression.
Linear regression is based on linearity. In statistics, it's widely used for measuring how certain observations are related (like salary level and voting preference).
Again, the idea is to simplify the problem. Our research into the relationship of salary level and voting preference will give us many different data points, which we can then plot on a graph. What linear regression does is not find a way to connect every single dot or data point, but offer instead an approximation, represented as a straight line, of the trend of the data taken as a whole.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #3: Drawing conclusions from observational data is questionable, but probability theory can help.
Scientists collect data through observation then use it to build theories. However, observational data can come about by chance, so drawing conclusions from it can be quite precarious.
Consider this example: In 2009, a neuroscientist showed photos of people to a dead fish and measured the fish's brain activity. Interestingly, the fish responded accurately to the emotions of people in the pictures.
This experiment was, of course, a gag. The scientist's real aim was to show how easily research findings can come about by chance.
Neuroscientists perform brain scans by dividing the scans into thousands of small pieces called voxels, which correspond to regions in the brain. When a brain is scanned (even a dead fish's brain), there's always some random "noise" in each voxel. As there are thousands of voxels, the odds of one producing data that corresponds to the stimulus given are actually quite high.
In more serious studies, however, it's not always clear if observational data arises by chance. Scientists thus use probability theory to address this issue.
Let's say you are a scientist, testing a new drug to see if it cures a certain illness. A mathematical tool for problems like this is called the null hypothesis significance test.
First, you start with your null hypothesis, which is an assumption of what will happen in your test. In this case, your null hypothesis is that the new drug does nothing at all.
Next, you take a look at the deviation of the data you observed in the experiment. You need to consider the probability that your data came about by chance – this is called the p-value. If the probability is less than a certain p-value (usually p = 0.05), the data is considered statistically significant.
And if your data is statistically significant, that means you know with 95 percent certainty that the new drug has the proposed effect.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #4: Probability theory tells us what to expect from a bet, but we still have to consider the risks.
In any situation where we're uncertain about an outcome, probability can help us. Probability can't tell us exactly what will happen in the future, but it can tell us what we should expect.
For example, probability theory can tell us what's likely to happen if we place a bet on something. We can use probability to know what might happen when we buy a lottery ticket, by determining the ticket's expected value.
To calculate the expected value of a lottery ticket, we have to consider each possible outcome of the situation. We multiply the chance of each outcome by the ticket's value given that outcome. Then we add up the results.
Let's look at an example. Imagine a lottery with only two possible outcomes, losing or winning. A ticket costs $1; there are 10 million tickets; the winning ticket is worth $6 million. Here, the expected value of the ticket is 60 cents. That means that on average, we should expect a loss of 40 cents every time we play the lottery.
The same logic of expected value also applies when pricing stock options or life insurance.
However, expected value doesn't reflect the risk in a given bet. Consider this question: Would you rather receive $50,000 or take part in a 50/50 bet, between losing $100,000 and gaining $200,000?
The expected value is the same in both cases, but if you lose the bet in the second option, it's much worse than doing nothing at all. The expected value hides the fact that the bet is a big risk if you can't easily spare $100,000.
In the same way, a risky investment is only a good idea if you have enough money to cover the possible losses. It's very important to be aware of the risk in any bet.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #5: The regression effect can be found everywhere, but often it isn't recognized.
Why is a novelist's second book usually not as good as his first breakout success? Artistic success is subject to a mathematical phenomenon called regression to the mean, or the regression effect.
The regression effect states that if a variable produces an unlikely outcome, the next outcome will tend to be closer to the mean.
Anything that involves randomness can be subject to the regression effect. For example, short people tend to have short children, and tall people tend to have tall children. But the children of very short and very tall parents aren't likely to be as short or as tall as their parents. Instead, their height is closer to the average.
This is because height is not completely determined by genes. It's affected by many other factors, such as eating habits, health and mere chance. There's no reason then that such external factors would line up precisely again as they did for those very tall or very short parents.
Regression, however, is often not recognized. For example, the British Medical Journal in 1976 published a research paper reporting that bran could regulate human digestion. If participants reported a fast digestion rate one day, eating bran slowed their digestion the next time it was measured, and vice versa.
These results are exactly what the regression effect predicts. If a person reports a fast digestion rate one day, they'll likely have a slower digestion rate the next. Thus the effect of bran might not be as remarkable after all.
Researchers have to be careful in situations like this as they could mistake the regression effect for a biological phenomenon, as did researchers measuring the effects of bran on digestion.
The same thing happens when a famous writer's second book isn't as well-crafted as his first, and literary critics often chalk it up to "exhaustion." More than anything, it's just mathematics.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #6: Linear regression is useful, but assuming linearity when it isn't there can lead to false conclusions.
As we've seen, linear regression is an important statistical tool that helps us understand how variables relate to each other. However, linear regression can't be used for every set of data; if used incorrectly, it produces misleading results.
You can find the linear regression of a data set by plotting all its points on a graph, then finding the line that comes closest to passing through all of them. This is only meaningful, however, if the data points are already in a generally linear shape.
For example, think of the curve-shaped path a missile follows when you fire it. If you zoom in on a short segment of it, the curve looks like a line. Thus, linear regression is very good for predicting where the missile will be a few seconds after a certain point.
But linear regression will fail to predict a missile's location after a longer time interval, because it doesn't take the curved path into account. As we zoom out on the missile's path, it stops being linear – that is, the whole path can't be described by just one line.
When linear regression is applied to a nonlinear phenomenon such as a missile's path, it produces incorrect results. This happened in 2008, when the journal Obesity published a paper claiming that all Americans would be overweight or obese by 2048.
The authors of the study determined this by plotting a graph of the percentage of obesity against time, then applied a linear regression. The graph's line crossed 100 percent at 2048.
But trends like obesity tend to produce curved graphs over a long period of time. In fact, obesity can't be plotted linearly, because if it could, 109 percent of Americans would be obese by 2060!
So although linear regression is a critical tool, we must be careful to use it correctly.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #7: Many research findings are wrong because of misused data or incorrect probability calculations.
In 2005, a professor named John Ioannidis published a paper called, "Why Most Published Research Findings are False." That might seem like a radical claim, but his points were sound.
He first stated that insignificant observations can sometimes pass a statistical significance test by chance.
Consider the influence of a person's genetics on their probability of developing schizophrenia. It's almost certain that some genes are associated with schizophrenia, but it's unclear which genes.
Scientists thus might have to examine about 100,000 genes, while it's possible that only 10 are truly related to schizophrenia. However, with the most commonly used significance test of 95 percent, 5 percent of the genes will pass the test by chance. In this case, 5 percent means 5,000 genes. This isn't a specific enough result to really mean anything.
Ioannidis's second point was that studies that don't find successful test results often go unpublished, so those that do receive disproportionate attention.
Imagine that 20 labs test green jelly beans to see if they cause acne. Of the labs, 19 don't find a significant effect as part of their testing, so they don't write up the results. The one lab that does find a statistically significant result is much more likely to write a report and get published.
This isn't uncommon: experiments that go well by chance are often published while others that don't measure the same phenomenon remain obscure.
Ioannidis also argued that scientists sometimes tweak their results to make them statistically significant.
Imagine you run an experiment and get a result with a 94-percent certainty. It needs to have a minimum of 95-percent certainty to be considered statistically significant, so your results would be insignificant.
Since your significance test is so close, it would be possible to tweak the data to achieve a 95-percent certainty. Researchers often do this – not because they have bad intentions but because they truly believe their own hypotheses.
How Not to Be Wrong Key Idea #8: Polls and elections that make statements about "public opinion" are often incorrect.
How can you measure "public opinion"? It's a rather vague term, so we should be critical when presented with polls that claim to express it.
First, people can have very contradictory opinions, and they can even contradict themselves.
For example, in January 2011, a CBS News poll reported that 77 percent of respondents thought cutting spending was the best way to address the federal budget deficit.
Only a month later, Pew Research conducted a poll where they asked about 13 different categories of government spending. In 11 of those categories, more people wanted to increase spending rather than to cut it.
Speaking of the "majority" can also be misleading.
A "majority rules" approach might seem fair, but it only really works when there are just two options. Any more than two and the groups can probably be divided in different ways, which can completely change the story.
For example, in an October 2010 poll, 52 percent of respondents said they opposed the U.S. Affordable Care Act, while only 41 percent supported it.
But breaking down the numbers differently made the story quite different. Only 37 percent of people wanted to repeal the health care reform bill. Another 10 percent said the law should be weakened, and 15 percent prefered to leave it as it was. Finally, 36 percent said the law should be expanded to change the health care system even more.
Thus many of the law's "opponents" actually supported its main idea.
This also happens in elections, and the 2000 U.S. presidential election is a good example. George Bush won 48.85 percent of the Florida vote, Al Gore 48.84 percent and Ralph Nader 1.6 percent; so Bush was the winner.
However, it's safe to say that nearly every person who voted for Nader would've prefered Gore over Bush. That means that a 51% majority probably preferred Gore over Bush, but those who voted for Nader had no way to express that.
In Review: How Not to Be Wrong Book Summary
The key message in this book:
Mathematics is derived from common sense and it can teach us how to not be wrong. We can use mathematical ideas to explain things we see and draw accurate conclusions from them. Uncovering the hidden math in our lives can help us in a range of situations, from understanding the newspaper better to knowing whether to buy life insurance.
Actionable advice:
Don't buy that lottery ticket.
Lotteries make their money by convincing people to pay for a ticket that's very unlikely to give them back any reward. Playing once might be fun, but don't expect it to be worth it if you play for an extended period of time. Calculating the expected value shows us that for most lotteries, you lose more money than you win.
Suggested further reading: Naked Statistics by Charles Wheelan
Naked Statistics offers an insightful introduction to statistics and explains the power of statistical analysis all while revealing its common pitfalls. It shows us how important a solid understanding of statistics is for good decision-making and gives the reader the tools to critically examine descriptive statistics.


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As the world's largest freshwater ecosystem, the Great Lakes benefit from massive financial investment in restoration and protection activities each year. Yet one unique entity acts as a force multiplier, not by contributing the most dollars, but by targeting funds to emerging and innovative ideas that can yield exponential returns and transformative impacts. That's the approach of the Great Lakes Protection Fund, as discussed in this episode with David Rankin, it's Executive Director. David explains how the governors of the Great Lakes states launched the Fund in 1989 as the first private endowment dedicated to an ecosystem. He also talks about notable accomplishments including reducing the influx of invasive species, developing standards for sustainable forestry, and reestablishing natural flows after dam removals.
waterloop is made possible in part by grants from the Walton Family Foundation and Spring Point Partners.
waterloop is sponsored by High Sierra Showerheads, the smart and stylish way to save water, energy, and money while enjoying a powerful shower. Use promo code Loop20 for 20 percent off at highsierrashowerheads.com


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I Need Your Body added to Spotify's Fresh Finds
More News
Karen Harding - Take Me Somewhere RSD exclusive
Karen Harding will release her debut album Take Me Somewhere as part of Record Store Day '24.
A true labour of love that's been a decade in the making, the album includes the MNEK-produced Top 10 smash "Say Something".
• CD out 19th April
• LP out 20th April (Record Store Day) -
Front of House tracks on Love Island 2024
5 Front of House tracks were played in the new series of Love Island: All Stars which aired in February.
This includes Selda x Godwyn's "What's Luv" from our #Ibiza 2023 CD, plus Dee Panch's house heater "I Need Your Body"! -
Knockdown added to Apple Music's New in Dance
Alesha Dixon's "Knockdown (Charming Horses Remix)" is firing up on streaming
The single has been added to Apple Music's New in Dance playlist! -
#Ibiza 2023 Album out now!
Your summer soundtrack has landed! #Ibiza 2023 includes tracks and remixes from the likes of Bonobo, Claptone and Idris Elba.
Grab your copy of the album in-store at HMV or online!


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Alachua County has purchased a 605-acre tract adjacent to its Phifer Flatwoods Preserve off County Road 2082, just west of Hawthorne, for $1.5 million, according to a release on Tuesday.
Bought on Friday through the Alachua County Forever program, the new purchase will run along two miles of the Lochloosa Creek as it heads toward Lochloosa Lake. The land came from the Carrie C. Brown family, and the purchase happened on what would have been Brown's 107th birthday.
The Wild Spaces Public Places program (WSPP), a half-cent surtax in Alachua County, funded the acquisition. Since WSPP began in 2016, the county has bought 13,405 acres of land with the funds. The Alachua County Forever program has protected, though purchases and easements, 32,506 acres since 2000.
This group of libbers is very engaged in buying swampland! Another day, another swamp purchased! How many worn out, beyond useful life, roads in Alachua County have they repaired? How many new roads, and traffic lights have they added due to all the new subdivision construction they continue to add? ZERO!!! It will be more of the same if they are not voted out and replaced with taxpayers who have to drive on these dilapidated, unsafe, roads daily! Vote them all out in November! Remind your friends to vote against all incumbents running!
Vote against all incumbents running? Great, I can't wait to kick DeSantis out.
LoL! Because you don't understand, perhaps due to your age impairment (are you 21 yet?); vote all AC incumbents who are so focused on buying swampland but not doing anything for the actual taxpayers! Speaking of taxpayers, that probably doesn't include you Joe! Regardless, if their last name begins with C, W, P, vote them OUT and of course, don't vote back in the other returning candidate who falsified their property tax homestead claim, Ms. A, (just like W)! Hopefully, W and A will be able to make an extended visit to one of Governor DeSantis' state penitentiaries for their property tax crimes!
The funds discussed in this article cannot be used for road improvements, as this was a voter approved initiative. On November 8, 2016, Alachua County voters passed the Wild Spaces Public Places surtax, an eight-year, half-cent sales tax to acquire and improve conservation lands and create, improve and maintain parks and recreational facilities within Alachua County. Among its provisions was a requirement for citizen's oversight of the expenditures. On March 28, 2017, the County Commission adopted Resolution 17-36 establishing the Wild Spaces Public Places Citizens Oversight Board. The Oversight Board has met since 2018 to review funding receipts and expenditures by all the sales tax recipients and has handled several issues that arose during their tenure. You can still vote out the commissioners regarding the lack of road improvements, but it will not have an effect on the Wild Spaces purchases.


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At age 19, Samantha met the love of her life in Paris, but although he sent her wonderful romantic letters, she never answered him; that is until …
Samantha's marriage to Chris has failed, as have the many ventures he started over the years. Broke and in huge debt, she is packing to move home to her parents when she finds the seven letters of the title.
Encouraged by Tracey, her best friend and travelling companion from 20 years earlier, Samantha decides to find Jean-Luc, which she duly does via that modern reconnection method, Facebook. Simply she apologises for her past bad manners.
What follows next could come from the pen of one of the best romance writers; it is, however, a memoir, or as it says on the cover "Love – a true story".
Can you take up where you left off in a relationship? After 20 years, is it possible to rekindle love? Should you even try? At what point has too much water flowed under the bridge?
Samantha was not very confident at 19 when she met Jean-Luc; one of the reasons she didn't answer his letter was her belief that she wasn't worthy of what he was offering. Her confidence has taken a beating over the last 20 years and when Jean-Luc turns out to be the man of her dreams, she still questions him. He on the other hand, despite two children from a long-term relationship and a disastrous marriage, is more than willing to still her fears.
There are a number of likeable people in Samantha's world; I particularly like her mother, father (not the birth one the real one) and her best friend Tracey.
As a graphic designer Samantha has an eye for detail and her descriptions of the French countryside, the beach walks with her dogs and her snooty dog walking clients are delightful.
Seven Letter from Paris is an enjoyable light read, a book without pretensions worth the investment of your time.
Available via Booktopia for $27.95
This Starts at Sixty review is part of a blog tour for Seven Letters from Paris, so if you would like to read more see:
Saturday 8th November
Write Note Reviews – Guest Blog
A self-proclaimed Princess and her frog
Samantha Vérant is a travel addict, a self-professed oenophile, and a determined, if occasionally unconventional, French chef. Over the years, she's visited many different countries, lived in many places, and worked many jobs— always on the search for the one thing that truly excited her.
Then, one day, she found everything she's been looking for: a passion for the written word and true love. Writing not only enabled her to open her heart, it led her to south western France, where she's now married to a sexy French rocket scientist she met over twenty years ago, a stepmom to two incredible kids, and the adoptive mother to one ridiculously expensive Bengal cat.
When she's not trekking from Provence to the Pyrénées, tasting wine in American-sized glasses, or embracing her inner Julia Child while deliberating what constitutes the perfect boeuf bourguignon, Samantha is making her best effort to relearn those dreaded conjugations.


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Sun, Sep 10 9:30am
1601 Clay St. Oakland, CA 94612
This weekend marks the 13th annual Oakland Pride Celebration and the very first year our school community will march in the parade. ALL FAMILIES are welcome to come out, parade, and show support for and with our LGBTQ students and families.
We will meet up for the parade at the parade contingent entrance on Clay and 16th on Sunday, September 10 at 9:30am and walk together to our parade lineup location. We'll meet outside of Cape & Cowl Comics (1601 Clay St. Oakland, CA 94612).
Wear your RHS Pride swag, RHS swag, rainbow-themed clothes, or solid colors to parade with us!
After the parade join us for FREE at the Oakland Pride Family Garden at Fairyland
You can register for the Family Garden/Fairyland here.


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WEST ORANGE – Senator John H. Adler, a prime sponsor of S-1926/A-3424, made the following comments about the landmark legislation which was signed into law today by Governor Richard J. Codey.
"This is the most important bill I will ever sponsor. It will save thousands of lives every year.
"When the smoke clears over this bill, people will know their children are breathing healthier air.
"The struggle for smoke-free air spans several generations of habits and addictions. Powerful forces challenged my bill several years ago to provide smoke-free child care centers. I took what I could get then on the grounds that incremental change was better than no change at all.
"This is an important day for change in the face of strong opposition. But it will protect children and enhance the quality of life for all New Jerseyans."


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Implement Some Groundwork
Clinton Anderson from Downunder Horsemanship has a tried and true method for training horses. It's training the owners that poses a real problem. Join him as he tackles some of the most challenging situations with problem horses and with problem owners. This week, Clinton will show us what to do when a horse paws while tied up.
Clinton starts the episode by reminding us the importance of tying your horse up at the end of each training session. This gives them a chance to sit and reflect on their training for the day. Unfortunately, horses sometimes start to paw the ground and dig big holes while they're tied up. This can be dangerous because horses can dig through railway ties and cause a nuisance around your ranch or home. While he mentions that you could essentially put a rubber mat down to avoid any problems, it's not going to correct the behavior. Instead, you should focus on implementing some groundwork to get your horse to use the thinking side of their brain.
The main thing to keep in mind here is consistency. Every time you see your horse pawing the ground, go over and do more groundwork. Do Sending Exercise, Lunging for Respect Stage One and Two, and just work your horse so they have a reason that they want to stand still and relax when it's done.
If your horse is pawing at the ground because they want to get back to the barn, try untying them and taking them back to the barn. Once there, proceed to put their feet to work. This eliminates that connection of a place with laziness and strengthens the thinking side of the brain. When you do this repeatedly over time, eventually they'll learn to relax wherever you put them. Your horse needs to learn patience and obedience and they're not going to accomplish that if they don't respect you. If you submit to your horse's bad behavior, the bad behavior will only get worse. Figure out why your horse is pawing and then work from there. It's going to take some time to understand, but it'll help your training in the long run. The best way to get an idea of where your horse wants to go if they're pawing is to just untie the horse mid-paw. Your horse will run to wherever it is they're trying to go, and you just need to follow them and then put them to work. Just make sure that you're on your own property and all of the gates are shut before doing this. By creating a safe environment for your training sessions, you'll strengthen correct behavior without risking any problems.
As with all of Clinton's training methods, you're going to need to focus on repetitive practices and have the patience it takes for these methods to work their magic.
You can now access all of the training material through three different levels by joining our No Worries Club. When you become a No Worries Club member for $19.99 a month, you get up to a 50% discount on any of your purchases. Plus, you get eight digital videos and four digital journals a year, and access to the No Worries Club website, the largest collection of Method material and resources in the world. Become part of our social network, and chat with thousands of other folks just like you. If you want the ultimate experience, the premium membership is for you. You get all the benefits of the No Worries Club, a printed copy of our No Worries Club quarterly journal, and access to all of the Method and the professional series kit training videos. Altogether, that's thousands of dollars of horse training, and 20 years of horsemanship delivered right to your fingertips. Our new mobile method is the easiest and most effective way to deliver the maximum amount of knowledge at a minimal cost and time commitment. And with the new No Worries Club, you can be assured you're going to get exactly what you need at a price that's right for you. It's a free download. So, what are you waiting for, mate? Get started today.
To learn more about the Clinton Anderson training method, become a member of the No Worries Club, or to get information on any of the products seen on our show, head over to our homepage and download the Downunder Horsemanship app today!
Want To Learn More? SIGN UP FOR OUR LOYALTY PROGRAM
Master your horsemanship training through Clinton's step-by-step method videos by joining the No Worries Club today. Becoming a club member ensures you get VIP pricing on all of Clinton's must-have training tools and resources. Plus, you'll enjoy all the phenomenal benefits that come with club membership!


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September 16, 2022
Markham, Ontario, September 16, 2022 – PYXiS Software Group ("PYXiS"), a division of Jonas Software, is pleased to announce the acquisition of Brainbase. Brainbase provides brand licensing management software to global licensing businesses worldwide.
"This is PYXiS' second acquisition in the licensing management vertical, after acquiring MyMediaBox in 2012", said Arthur Morris, Group CEO. "Brainbase is a modern platform with a strong product set and we look forward to achieving similar growth and success with Brainbase as we achieved with MyMediaBox."
"The goal of Brainbase was to provide the best platform for brands that own and license their IP. With PYXiS' support and expertise in the licensing management space, we believe we can continue to improve the products and services we offer to our customers" said Nate Cavanaugh, CEO and Co-Founder. "We are excited to work with the team at PYXiS to help owners of IP assets capture more value while saving time and effort."
About Brainbase
Brainbase is a modern technology platform for all your intellectual property needs. From filing your very first trademark to protecting and monetizing your IP, we make it simple every step of the way. The company is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
About PYXiS Software Group
PYXiS Software Group, a division of Jonas Software, is a buy-and-hold forever acquirer of vertical market software businesses. PYXiS operates independently managed software brands around the world, providing them with the strategic guidance and financial security required to be leaders in their respective markets.
About Jonas Software
Jonas Software operates over 120+ independently managed software brands around the world, providing them with the strategic guidance and financial security required to be leaders in their respective markets. From its roots formed in the construction and club management markets, Jonas Software's reach has grown extensively within the fitness, membership, hospitality, and industrial verticals. Today, Jonas Software is proud to supply industry-leading enterprise management software and related services to more than 80,000 customers in over 40+ vertical markets.


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Schulze Schwering D., Bergmann L., Isabel Sonntag W. (2022). How to encourage farmers to digitize? A study on user typologies and motivations of farm management information systems. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 01/08/2022, vol. 199, p. 1-10.
Titre : | How to encourage farmers to digitize? A study on user typologies and motivations of farm management information systems (2022) |
Auteurs : | D. Schulze Schwering ; L. Bergmann ; W. Isabel Sonntag |
Type de document : | Article |
Dans : | Computers and Electronics in Agriculture (vol. 199, August 2022) |
Article en page(s) : | p. 1-10 |
Langues : | Anglais |
Langues du résumé : | Anglais |
Catégories : |
Catégories principales 06 - AGRICULTURE. FORÊTS. PÊCHES ; 6.4 - Production Agricole. Système de Production ; 6.5 - Gestion des ExploitationsThésaurus IAMM AGRICULTURE NUMERIQUE ; SYSTEME D'INFORMATION DE GESTION ; AGRICULTEUR ; COMPORTEMENT DES AGRICULTEURS ; ENQUETE ; QUESTIONNAIRE |
Résumé : | Farm Management Information Systems (FMIS) have undergone tremendous development in the recent past. With the sharp increase in documentation requirements for agricultural businesses, the potential of FMIS to become widely used comprehensive management tools is high but not yet fully exploited in practice. Consequently, there is a need to improve and adjust these systems. However, there is little research about how to optimize FMIS in order to meet the needs of the users. To answer this question, a deeper understanding of how users differ from other groups regarding their intensity of use and their perceptions of FMIS is needed but has hardly been explored so far. By means of a standardized online questionnaire in the summer of 2019, the skills and attitudes of 280 German farmers regarding the use of FMIS were surveyed. By means of a cluster analysis, different user segments were analyzed to gain deeper insights into which characteristics FMIS users and non-users have. Four clusters were identified including two non-user groups and two user groups with varying potential for FMIS providers and marketers. The results show that the lack of persuasiveness of the existing systems by not (yet) offering solutions to farmers? problems and needs is a major barrier. One main driver for the use of FMIS is to manage the increasing political and social requirements with the help of a professional documentation of farm activities. On the one hand, the results accompany the ongoing digital transformation in agribusiness and contribute on the other hand to the digitization process on farms by increasing new knowledge about farmers? requirements regarding FMIS. The results also provide relevant insights for software development companies to adjust their products according to the farmers? needs. |
Cote : | Réservé lecteur CIHEAM |
URL / DOI : | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2022.107133 |


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Through funding from the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), the first FabLab of the SOCCSKSARGEN region was built in the University of Southern Mindanao Kidapawan City Campus (USM KCC). In a FabLab, designs and ideas can be immediately transformed to solid prototypes through digital fabrication. The USM-KCC FabLab aims to support community partners, students, and small and medium enterprises by providing them the means to solidify their ideas in as short a time as possible. The FabLab is also a venue for mentoring students and entrepreneurs on the use of innovative machines for product development.
The USM-KCC houses the following equipment:
– Computer Numerical Control (CNC) milling machine
– Heat press and mug heat press
– Xena 3D printer
– Megatron 3D printer
– Optimus 3D printer
– Commercial large format color digital printer
– Vinyl cutter machine
– Arduino starter kit, activity robot kit, DC power supply
– Embroidery machine
For more information, you may contact Marlowe E. Llorito via messenger.


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Southern falls to State in back to back matches
February 21, 2022
Georgia Southern lost their second match up against Georgia State in a 9 point loss Saturday night.
Southern had a slow start early in the game but were able to put up a 12 point lead after going on a 13-4 run making the score 28-21 at halftime.
The Eagles led for 26 minutes of the contest and created a 39-27 cushion on a triple from Cam Bryant just under four minutes into the second period.
This would be the third consecutive 3-pointer for Southern as Andrei Savrasov and Gedi Juozapaitis also scored from the 3-point line. Savrasov led the Eagles with 21 points.
With a little over 5 minutes left in the game, State went on a 18-4 run and took the lead making the score 50-46. Both teams exchanged free throws but the Eagles committed multiple turnovers that inevitably cost them the match.
With the final score being 58-49 the Eagles record goes to 11-14 (4-10 in SBC).
Georgia Southern will host two more regular season games at home, starting with the Ragin Cajuns on February 23 and ending with App State on February 26 and 27.


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How To Look At A House
McGarry and Madsen's home inspection blog for buyers of
site-built, mobile/manufactured and modular homes
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) about House Wall Cracks
Thursday, October 17, 2019
Cracks are scary omens. They might be caused by harmless flexing due to seasonal temperature and moisture changes or could be the first signal of big structural problems building in a wall. It doesn't take an expert to recognize that the house shown above has foundation failure, due in this case to sinkhole activity, but the early symptoms are usually subtle and easy to miss unless you know how to look for them.
We suggest you start with the first two articles about recognizing structural problems and places to look for cracks, then choose the more specific articles about the types of cracks you have found.
• How do I recognize serious structural problems in a house?
• Where are the places to look to find structural cracks in a house?
• What causes vertical cracks in fiber cement siding planks?
• What causes raised white lines of residue on a block wall that are crusty and crumbling?
• What causes stair-step cracks in a block or brick wall?
• Why is the concrete window sill cracking?
• What causes a horizontal crack in a block or brick wall?
• There's cracks running along the home's concrete tie beam. What's wrong?
• What would cause long horizontal lines of brick mortar to fall out?
• How do I recognize structural problems in a retaining wall?
• Why did so many concrete block homes collapse in Mexico Beach during Hurricane Michael?
• What causes a vertical crack in an exterior concrete block or brick wall?
• What causes a vertical crack in drywall?
• What causes drywall cracks in the ceilings and walls of a house?
• How can I tell if a crack in a stucco wall is a structural problem and what is causing it?
• What causes cracks to open along the line between the ceiling and walls?
Click Below
for Links
to Collections
of Blog Posts
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SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — Two fully vaccinated members of the 80-member California Assembly are quarantining after testing positive for the coronavirus.
A third lawmaker plans to miss portions of the last two weeks of the legislative session as she prepares for surgery.
Republican Assemblywoman Janet Nguyen recently tested positive but has no symptoms.
She plans to return to the Legislature as soon as possible.
Democratic Assemblyman Kevin McCarty hopes to be back Monday after mild symptoms.
Democratic Assemblywoman Lorena Gonzalez will miss four days including the last day of the session as she prepares for breast cancer surgery.
Lawmakers will consider hundreds of bills before adjourning for the year on September 10.


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PHS Counselor Connection
September 2022: Senior Edition
In this Newsletter:
- Important Dates
- Future Ready: Senior Specific Info, Tutoring resource, ACT Prep & College Considerations (research, financing, athletes etc.)
- Helpful Resources for Families and Students (Including our student job "Board")
Important Dates
Mount Mary School Day WEF Fair Sign Up Link
Wisconsin Education Fair Info Link
Christian College Fair Link (October 10th New Berllin)
Considering WCTC? Join them for an in-person Open House on October 27th!
Full List of College Rep. Visits at PHS
Service Academy Day
High school and middle school students interested in attending any of the military service academies are encouraged to attend this event to learn about the process of receiving the required congressional nomination. Congressional staff will be present to explain the nomination process. Family members are welcome ot attend. The details are as follows:
9:00 AM – 12:30 PM on Saturday September 17, 2022
EAA Aviation Center
3000 Poberezny Road, Oshkosh, WI 54902
flyer with details
Learn about ROTC
West Point / ROTC Outreach Briefings are a great way to find out more about the Academy and ROTC - both Cadet Life and the Admissions Process as well as what it means to be an Army Officer.
Information for the Milwaukee Area Event:
- Who - West Point and local ROTC representatives and you!
- What - Informational presentation about West Point / ROTC / Army opportunities for high school students and guidance/career counselors.
- When - Monday, 19 September 2022, 6PM – 8PM.
- Where – Emory Clark Hall (Building 31), Room 111, Marquette University Campus.
- Why - Promote interest in and awareness of college/career opportunities available through West Point, ROTC, and the U.S. Army.
For applying candidates, these briefings are also a great time to have your questions answered and meet the Field Force liaisons who will help you through the process as well.
West Point and Army ROTC are an individual choice - we are all here to help you make the right choice for your college and career. Please RSVP Here: https://forms.microsoft.com/r/nRDbZxksPZ (corrected link)
Senior Credit Checks
Financial Aid and budgeting seminars from UW HELP
Financial Aid Basics - Wednesday, September 29th at 4:00 PM: Join the UW HELP team as they introduce the basics of financial aid, what financial aid is, and the different types of financial aid available: Register Here
Budgeting and Financial Aid - Thursday, October 13th at 4:00 PM: UW HELP, along with panelists from UW-Eau Claire, UW-Stevens Point, and UW-Whitewater, will discuss budgeting, the financial aid process, how to compare financial aid offers, and more: Register Here
Registration is required for both presentations.
The Humane Animal Welfare Society (HAWS) club for high school students
ACE – Animal Career Exploration
Ages: 9th-12th Grade
HAWS Animal Career Exploration (HAWS ACE) is a program for teens to learn about the variety of careers available in animal care. Members will get a chance to hear from speakers working in different animal-related jobs and learn what skills and training are needed to do those jobs. Veterinarian is usually the first career that comes to mind when thinking about jobs with animals. But how much do you really know about becoming a vet and did you know there are TONS of other animal related careers? Are you creative? Maybe you'd enjoy a job as a groomer. Good problem solver? Perhaps you could become a great dog trainer. Interested in law enforcement? What about a job as a Humane Officer? Participants will also learn more about HAWS and our mission, and get some hands on experience working with animals. Join HAWS ACE today! Meetings are held on one Wednesday a month per semester. To register go to https://hawspets.givecloud.co/product/HAWSACEFALL22/haws-animal-career-exploration-ace
UW Campus Panels
Attend these webinars to hear from UW campus representatives about admission, campus updates, upcoming special campus events and more. Campus representatives will be available to answer any questions students may have regarding admission to these campuses. Students and families are encouraged to attend. https://wisconsin-edu.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_-ZgcSoOfTymtDaN9U2HVkQ https://wisconsin-edu.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_qV5OD0FJS8anDxNne-clKw
UW-Eau Claire, UW-La Crosse, UW-Madison, and UW-Superior Panel:
UW-Green Bay, UW Oshkosh, UW-Stevens Point, and UW-Stout Panel:
UW Application One-on-One Sessions
UW HELP is offering one-on-one sessions for students wanting assistance completing the online application for admissions. Students can go online and schedule a 15-minute session with one of UW HELP's Outreach Specialists.
To schedule a one-on-one session, please use the link below:
Accessibility/Disability Services
UW HELP is offering an online presentation featuring a panel of representatives from UW-Green Bay and UW-La Crosse to discuss accessibility/disability services as students transition from high school to college. This is a great opportunity to learn about available services, understand the similarities and differences of services in a college setting, policies and procedures, and more. Students, families, school counselors, and other academic professionals are encouraged to attend.
- Thursday, October 6th at 4:00 PM - Register Here
PHS Fall Future Ready Days!
Morning of the 12th:
- Freshmen will take the Pre-ACT
- Sophomores will take the Pre-ACT
- Juniors have the option to take a full-length practice ACT, the PSAT or the ASVAB
- Seniors will choose from a menu of options from college application work time to paying for college, to information from WCTC along with many others.
All students will participate in our 11th annual Career Speaker Day
More details to come!
We get it! Planning for your life after high school can be STRESSFULL- We're here for you every step of the way. Just stop by or reach out via email or g-chat for a meeting if you need help with anything along the way! We also offer a college application help session during resource. Mrs. Sorkness/Mrs. Williams will email with future dates.
UW System application presentation
Scholarships & Resources
Now is the time to start looking for and applying to scholarships. They are starting to come out and that will continue throughout the spring. HERE is a link to the PHS list of scholarships that come through our office. HERE is a flyer with some of the popular scholarship databases. Going Merry is particularly nice as it is like a common app for scholarships; apply for multiple scholarships with only one application.
Remember to use your Future Ready planning document and Resource Guide to help with some basic information. Counselors are here to help with every step of the way!
What? Apply to College for Free?!?
**If you qualify for free and reduced lunch, you should still indicate such on the application and complete the fee waiver paperwork even though applying is free. Completing that paperwork will then also waive the enrollment deposit. If you do not do the application fee waiver, you will have to pay the enrollment deposit.
College Application Deadlines
Want some help completing the Free Application for Financial Aid (FAFSA)?
College Goal Wisconsin provides free information and assistance to families completing the FAFSA. This year, College Goal Wisconsin is offering both in-person and virtual FAFSA Completion Events.
To register for a FAFSA Completion Event or to request additional information, please refer to collegegoalwi.org.
If you need help completing the FAFSA- check out the great opportunities through College Goal WI. There are in person and virtual events where you can receive 1:1 assistance completing your application for federal college aid. College Goal Wisconsin provides free information and assistance to all families completing the FAFSA.
To register for a FAFSA Completion Event or to request additional information, please refer to collegegoalwi.org.Finding Your Fit with UW Journey
UW Journey is designed to easily help all students find their fit within the UW System. Join UW HELP as they walk through the UW Journey app. https://wisconsin-edu.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_3PbKec9DSS-9c7J-OVY_Qg
Still doing your research? The College and Military Reps are coming!
It's never too early to start researching colleges! All grade levels are welcome to participate in these visits.
Link to List of Current College and Military Scheduled Visits. Register at this link then get a pass from the guidance office on the day of the meeting.
College Representatives are calling regularly to schedule times so make sure to check this list regularly!
You do NOT need to register to speak with the lunchtime military reps.
Other Opportunities to Learn about Colleges
Wisconsin Education Fair Info Link
Taking the ACT again? Here are some options for prep!
Waukesha County Technical College (WCTC) is offering the ACT Exam Preparation course in October/November through a hybrid format. The course is designed for high school students preparing to take the ACT. Students will learn strategies and aspects of the ACT in the areas of Math, Reading, Writing, Science Reasoning, and English Grammar to prepare them for success on their exam.
ACT Prep: Don't forget- all juniors have access to the online ACT prep course through Method Test Prep. This is true wether they are enrolled in the ACT prep class through PHS or not. Students can find the program in their Xello accounts on the menu on the right. This can be used at any time.
Most students take their first ACT with the high school in February/March and then take the April, June or July tests if they wish to retest. Some juniors will take the December test. Some seniors will take the September or October tests if they are still trying for a certain score. Scores are reported in time for admissions deadlines at most schools.
Looking for a JOB?
Applying to WCTC?
Financial Aid
The FAFSA opens on October 1st. Each college can set their own priority deadline- be sure to complete the FAFSA prior to the first priority deadline. If you need help completing the FAFSA- check out the opportunities for College Goal WI Or the presentations shared above with virtual live sessions or on demand YouTube videos.
Ordering Transcripts
Everything UW System!
Additionally, this information booklet is very helpful on a number of topics including important dates to know about throughout the process.
Thinking about the UW System?
Paying for College Resource
And don't forget to join us for the in-person Financial Aid seminar on September 20th where a representative from a college will be here to give you information on completing the FAFSA and to answer your questions about the process or unique situations. See information in the Important Dates table above.
Test Optional/Test Flexible
Get Schooled Test Optional Page
College Essay Guy Resources
Considering a Gap Year?
Gap year guide (and they offer programs)
US News article- Tips and resources
Global Citizen Website with lots of articles and information
Gap Year Association- Gap year definition, advice, list of options etc.
goabroad.com article on what they consider the 11 best gap year volunteer programs
Volunteerhq list of best volunteer gap experiences for 20-21
Considering College Athletics?
NCAA Guide for the College Bound Student Athlete
Looking for volunteer opportunities?
District Community Resources List
(use the links on the left to navigate resources for various topics)
Children's Hospital Craig Yabuki Mental Health Walk-In Clinic- Open 3:00-9:30pm 7 days a week
In School Community Based Therapy Options
Pewaukee School District works with three local agencies to provide in bulding Mental Health services. Various insurance companies are accepted. Families should reach out to the contacts indicated on the form to connect your student with a therpist.
Your Choice Parent Webinars- Sessions on various topics that parents may find useful. Topics include resiliency, drugs, alcohol, vaping and screen addiction
College Goal WI- Assistance with completing the FAFSA (seniors) All virtual event this year
Healing Hearts- For over a decade Healing Hearts has delivered compassion, care, and connection for children and families grieving a loss from death, divorce, abandonment, overdose, incarceration, military deployment, and deportation.
Healing Hearts expanded its Children's Grief Group programs to provide greater access for families in Southeast Wisconsin.
- Waukesha (12-week program): Mondays, Sept 26-Dec 19
- Menomonee Falls (6-week program): Thursdays, Sept 22-Oct 27
- Oconomowoc (6-week program): Thursdays, Nov 10 – Dec 22
Visit www.healingheartswisconsin.org to select a group and submit an inquiry to participate.
Resources from the Pewaukee Library- Help Now (Live online tutoring)
Student Job "Board"- Often times, local employers will let us know of positions that they are hiring for. This document will be updated each time we learn of a new opportunity so check back often!