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Washington Redskins Prediction 2013
Gambling911.com has your Washington Redskins 2013 prediction as we attempt to figure out the outcome of each week's regular season games.
Odds to win Super Bowl (2014) – 27/1
Odds to win NFC Championship – 15/1
Odds to win NFC East – 2/1
Regular Season Wins Total OVER 8.5 at Even
Regular Season Wins Total UNDER 8.5 at -120
2013 schedule
Sept. 9 Philadelphia Eagles, (Mon) 7:10 p.m.
Sept. 15 at Green Bay Packers, 1:00 p.m.
Sept. 22 Detroit Lions, 1:00 p.m.
Sept. 29 at Oakland Raiders, 4:25 p.m.
Bye Week
Oct. 13 at Dallas Cowboys, 8:30 p.m.
Oct. 20 Chicago Bears, 1:00 p.m.
Oct. 27 at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m
Nov. 3 San Diego Chargers, 1:00 p.m.
Nov. 7 at Minnesota Vikings, (Thurs) 8:25 p.m.
Nov. 17 at Philadelphia Eagles, 1:00 p.m.
Nov. 25 San Francisco 49ers, (Mon) 8:40 p.m.
Dec. 1 New York Giants, 8:30 p.m.
Dec. 8 Kansas City Chiefs, 1:00 p.m.
Dec. 15 at Atlanta Falcons, 1:00 p.m.
Dec. 22 Dallas Cowboys, 1:00 p.m.
Dec. 29 at New York Giants, 1:00 p.m.
Experts unanimously believe the Redskins will lose against Green Bay in Week 2, Dallas in Week 6, Denver in Week 8, San Francisco in Week 12, Atlanta in Week 15 and New York (Giants) in Week 17.
This still gives us 10 wins for the regular season with the price at EVEN.
Kevin Ewold of AthlonSports.com:
With RGIII coming back from major knee surgery and the Redskins facing all first-place opponents in the NFC East, common logic one would think it'd be hard for the Redskins to repeat their 10-win season. However, here are some key points: Of the Redskins' 22 starters from last season, 21 are returning. The lone player that left per the Redskins' decision was free safety Madieu Williams, who could not get the job done. The Redskins drafted a lot of defenders so it's hard to imagine the defense regresses any, especially with the return of Brian Orakpo, who essentially missed all of last season. On the offensive side, Pierre Garcon is 100 percent healthy again and the Redskins were 9-1 with him in the lineup last year. Playmaker Fred Davis also returns. Finally, Kirk Cousins has looked phenomenal this year so far, so barring any setbacks with RGIII, the offense should be able to still get the job done. 11-5.
There is some speculation – and mind you, this is only speculation – that Robert Griffin III could be held out until after the Week 5 bye week. Kirk Cousins is capable of holding this team together those first four weeks with a soft schedule outside of Green Bay. It is practical to think this squad can go 2-2 without RGIII over that period, thus bringing us down to 9 regular season wins on the regular season. But we still have an OVER going. Therefore we are still high on the OVER, with or without RGIII in the mix early on.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

subset: commoncrawl


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Reaper Scans
Chapter 436: Mont Crane
[TL: Asuka]
[PR: Ash]
The witchers stayed in the lab for two days. Lytta took a lot of blood samples from Letho, almost draining him dry. After rechecks and rechecks, Letho was confirmed to be fine. The mutation went perfectly.
Everyone heaved a sigh of relief. Lytta then deactivated the portal in the lake's depths and rebuilt one that would lead to Novigrad. She was a clean freak, so the witchers had to clean the laboratory for her. They cleared the trash and redesigned the layout. Books, experiment tools, and necessities were separated, and the place looked brand new.
At this point, the secret chamber finally looked like something that belonged to the brotherhood, but the group didn't stay for long. They went on with their search for Jerome Moreau, and thus it led them to the second waypoint in Toussaint—Mont Crane.
Mont Crane. A place located between Basane and Fort Ussar. The sun had climbed to the zenith of the skies, shining on the beauclair oaks and a circle of ancient stone walls that reflected the light.
These walls were created by order of Roger the Reveler. They were supposed to stop the invasion of the barbarians. But there were no barbarians around Mont Crane, nay, the whole of Toussaint. In the end, Roger built a castle in the center of the walls and had as much fun as he wanted.
The history of these walls spanned a long stretch of time. Mont Crane had seen multiple rulers throughout its days, from nobles to bandits. In the end, it became nothing but a deserted place. Most of the buildings remained intact, however.
The group emerged from the portal and found themselves standing before the castle's gates. Silence surrounded them. The whispers of the autumn breeze and the rustles of rhododendrons, roses, and grape vines were present. Besides that, only the chirps of birds hung in the air.
"Sheesh, this looks bad. Even Kaer Morhen is better than this place." Eskel trekked down the sandy path and entered the fort. He looked around only to be greeted by disappointments of towers and turrets. Kaer Morhen's buildings were more impressive than this.
"You can't expect much. This isn't the lab. We don't have to take it over." Kiyan waved his hand and followed Roy into the castle. The young witcher went into the center tower and descended the stairs. "We just have to loot this place."
Roy descended the dusty stairs that led to a dark underground chamber. He found nothing on his way down. The bandits had taken everything of value. Eventually, he reached the basement and came face to face with a shut door. The switch was small, but Roy easily found it. He flicked it, and the underground chamber rumbled as a stone door slowly slid into the sides of the walls.
It had been a while since anyone opened this door. Dust and debris fell upon the group like rain. Lytta's makeup was ruined right away. She scrunched her nose up and snapped her fingers. A gust of wind blew the dust off her and Roy. Once again, they looked clean.
"Hey, you can't just help Roy, Lytta. Give me some wind too."
"Either you shut up, or I'm tossing a fireball." A smirk curled Lytta's lips and she held Roy's arm as they entered the dark passage.
"A word of advice. Don't get on her nerves." Eskel patted Auckes' shoulder like he had seen this many times. "Don't you get it? Lytta loves to show her love. It's her… hobby."
"As far as I know, couples who keep showing off their relationship always break up." The light of wisdom glinted within Kiyan's eyes. And then a quiet harrumph sent a chill down his spine.
"I see you don't need my treatment anymore."
Roy darted down the dark tunnel and found a crate of ancient books in the corner. They were all about witchers and golems. Roy glimpsed some titles and saw books like 'Golems: Humans' Most Loyal Servants', and 'Witchers: Not As Evil As You Thought'.
Lytta happily tucked them away in her ring. And now I have more tools to recreate that gargoyle.
Aside from that, Roy also found a book titled 'The Journal of Tomas Moreau'.
Coen huddled closer, worried that this book might contain news of Jerome's death.
'Year 1121, twelfth day of the ninth month. I am certain Jerome has taken the bait and is now in Fort Ussar…'
The entry spoke of Tomas' conspiracy. He posted a request that promised a bountiful reward as bait. He wanted his son to travel here. He posed it as a negotiation when it was in fact a trap to paralyze Jerome and lock him up in the prison. Jerome was then transported to the lab under the lake, and Tomas forced him to undergo the reversal experiment.
"That old fucker. He'd even trick his own son." Roy sighed.
Obviously, Jerome had no plans of returning to a normal life, but his father insisted. For Jerome's own good, he said.
Not long after they found the crate, they saw a crystal sleeping within a wreath. Roy activated it with Aard and summoned a portal that led to the place where Tomas first locked his son.
Lytta, Roy, Coen, and Letho went to investigate. No one else could take the nauseating feeling that came from portal traveling anymore. They were adamant about standing sentry.
The moment they landed, they received a warm welcome. A golem stood up in the corner and swung its thick arms down at the intruders' heads.
Winds howled as the golem clumsily swung its arms down. If the witchers didn't escape, then only death awaited them.
A grin curled Letho's lips, his eyes glinting icily. He covered himself in Quen and unsheathed his blade. To everyone's surprise, he didn't dodge. Instead, he charged at the golem head-on.
Metal and stone clashed, and sparks flew. The whole chamber rattled, and yet Letho remained firm and steadfast. He held his blades up in a cross, protecting him from the arms of the golem.
Coen cast Aard and shoved it at the golem's right flank. It was pushed to the side from the impact, even when it weighed tons. At the same time, Lytta's pendant started shining, and the patch of ground where the golem was standing was covered in a layer of grease.
It was the perfect strategy against big, clumsy enemies. The golem slipped and fell with a great thud. Clouds of dust stirred in the air, and the ground shook. And then magical lights illuminated the dark chamber.
Lytta tossed icicles at the golem, slowing it down. Coen kept the golem on the ground with a barrage of Aards, while Roy numbed it with his lightning bolts and kept sending crossbow bolts at it.
Letho was in the vanguard, performing a dance of destruction. He spun his blades, carving off the golem's stone skin. No matter how much the golem tried, it could not reach Letho.
And then the golem fell.
'Golem killed. EXP +50.'
Roy pouted. Yeah, soulless enemies are worthless.
Lytta waved her hand, tucking all the loot into her bag. Once she extracted everything she could from the golem's core and elemental shards, the brotherhood would have themselves a gargoyle and a golem.
The group ascended a flight of stairs and entered a room far more dilapidated than the one they found in the chamber under the lake.
Aside from a few rotten crates and racks, there were no accessories or alchemical tools anywhere. The only rest spot was a brown, rotten mattress topper.
The carcasses of critters like mice and lizards were piled in the corner. Anyone who was imprisoned here would either die of starvation or madness.
The group exchanged a look and scoured the whole place. Eventually, they found the diagrams for the Griffin armor, pants, and silver sword. They were different from the diagrams Geralt and Kiyan collected in Velen, however.
"This is top-tier stuff." Letho's eyes glinted with surprise. "An upgraded version of the diagrams we found. More complex designs. If someone could make a whole set, we'd be looking at something better than anything we're wearing. Vesemir will go crazy for this."
"This isn't just a diagram." Roy turned the diagram around, revealing written text behind it.
'The paralyzing spell is gone. I have undergone the terrifying reversal experiment, and yet the portal remains closed. The old git set me up. Most of my gear is still in Fort Ussar. Without my gear, I can never escape this place. This will be the spot where I meet my end.
You took my weapons and my lingering love for you. I don't even have proper paper to write this letter on. Before I die, here's a message…'
The writing was wobbly, and it almost pierced the diagram. Roy could imagine how furious the writer must have been.
'You are an obsessed madman who never listens to what anyone has to say. You are a cold-blooded killer who has brought harm upon countless innocents. I feel nothing for you. Nothing but hatred. I hope one day you'll pay for the crimes you have committed.'
And the letter came to an end. The witchers and Lytta fell into a pensive silence.
"Even his son despises him." Letho shook his head. "Kiyan's right. This man is arrogant, and I don't mean it lightly."
"He claims these experiments were done in order to revert Jerome back to normal, but the truth is, it's just his obsession. An obsession he wishes to unravel." Roy nodded.
"Okay, so where is Jerome?" Coen looked around in unease. He didn't see Jerome's body in the lab, and there were no signs of him in this dingy room either. Not even his medallion was around. "Tomas said he returned to someone called Lydia. That's probably his wife, but there's no word about his son. And all Jerome left was this letter."
"We obviously came through a one-way passage. The portal can only be opened from the outside." Lytta rubbed her chin, her eyes glinting. "Any regular human would never escape this place once they were locked inside."
"You forgot something," Roy said. "Most Griffins are born Sources. They're different from most witchers. And Jerome's father is a mage, making it possible that he's a born Source as well. Perhaps he knows how to cast a portal, and that's probably how he escaped."
"If Jerome does have that kind of power, then why did he write this suicide note? And he didn't take the diagrams with him either," Letho said. And then they found themselves at another dead end.
Nobody could answer that question.
It was then Roy remembered his meeting with Grimm back in Cintra. He mentioned something bizarre back then.
"I encountered something off in a place called Mont Crane Castle. I was on my way to clear the place of bandits. A man in tattered clothes darted out of the castle's basement. He had wild amber eyes and a griffin medallion. The man ran as fast as a stallion, but he seemed crazed. Gone into the wilderness before I could even stop him. I scoured the whole castle, but the guy was gone. Like he disappeared into thin air.""
Could that madman be Jerome? The one who escaped this chamber? Another Griffin?
"We need to find Jerome if we want more answers." Roy circled the room and said, "If we want to find out where he is, first we must make an assumption. If we were Jerome, what would we do after we broke out of this prison? The first thing we'd do. The one thing we want to do most."
"Seek Tomas out and take his life," Letho said.
"No. Jerome's letter said he wishes for Jerome to pay the price for his crimes," Lytta said softly but firmly, and she drew circles on Roy's arm. "Instead of vengeance, I say he would leave Toussaint and stay far, far away from his demon of a father. Destiny will punish him, like you always say."
"And aside from the Bears and Cats, the people all witchers care about are their mentors, not their families. They'd want to return to their fortress. I say he'd have gone to Kaer Seren to see Erland," Coen whispered, and a frown furrowed his brows. "But Keldar never mentioned his name. Didn't see his name on any of the gravestones either."
Roy and Letho were equally silent. If they were locked up and managed to escape, the first thing they would do was to return home and see their friends and mentors, but Coen's story removed that possibility.
"Kaer Seren is in ruins now. We can't do anything about it." Roy paused for a moment. "We can only assume Jerome did return to Toussaint and seek his father out. So our next step would be to seek out Tomas. He's in Beauclair of Toussaint."
"You know where he is?" Coen asked, and then he smacked his face.
Roy smiled. "Time to go." He knew where Tomas' final resting place was, just like how he knew where Valley of the Nine and the underground prison of Mont Crane Castle were.
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Fallen Fruit of Puerto Vallarta!
Estas Como Mango! by Fallen Fruit
help fund our new project here: KICKSTARTER
¡Estas Como Mango! means that "You are like a Mango" or "you are sweet, perfect and ripe!" It's a term of affection and adoration in Mexico. Of course, we believe everyone is perfect and everyone is ripe. This exhibition of contemporary art and public practice will open at Oficina de Proyectos Culturales (OPC) in Puerto Vallarta in May 2015 and will be the first exhibition by the Fallen Fruit collective in Mexico. Cultural exchange and contemporary art making is important to the vibrancy of a 21st-century transnational community. We recognize that California was once Mexico and that Latin-American heritage is part of West-coast culture. The artists want to create meaning from the nuances of these histories. This art installation will re-contextualize local narratives using fruit and images of Puerto Vallarta as a subject, object and symbol.
The artworks will respond to people and place and use local fruit as a connector. Fruit is a part of the history of a place. In the case of Puerto Vallarta, we found that the mango is paramount to local culture. Mangos were imported to this tropical beach town and part of its foundation in terms of urban planning, infrastructure, and culture. This area was a place to harvest salt for the mines, then a plantation, a village, and now a town—where the culture of the plantation was replaced by a culture of tourism. From this context, we will create new artworks that celebrate the history of place and fruit as a connector of cultural meaning.
Oficina de Proyectos Culturales is an independent non-profit arts organization dedicated to fostering dialogue through exhibitions, round table discussions, public art and arts education programs. OPC works with artists, architects, curators, academics, and writers who explore ideas that shape our city and to develop cultural programming that is firmly rooted in Puerto Vallarta, yet international in scope.


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Over at NAG Online, I've written one or two pieces that concern themselves with game modding and the like. I'll be the first to admit that modding isn't my strongest point — or an aspect of game development which I have a particularly vested interest in — but I do believe that any self-respecting developer who wants to approach their craft with a well-rounded knowledge base will keep general tabs on the mod scene.
It's for this reason that I'm particularly interested in this GameCareerGuide feature entitled "Is Modding Useful?" Not only does it soberly and thoroughly explore the mod scene as it stands today, but it gives realistic advice about how to use your modding experience to attract game recruiters and gain valuable skills. Think of it as a "crash course" guide to mod-making, right down to how you get started with it in the first place.
It's nice to see a piece like this, particularly when some people still view modding as a "childish" or "wasteful" pursuit (unless, of course, my impression of the general populace is totally screwy). I can't say that I'm really a fan of Counterstrike and the like, but there have been some fascinating mods recently which demonstrate that this field isn't restricted to the likes of mere amateurs and wannabes.


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The concept of self-discovery fascinates me.
Imagine from childhood that you have been using a certain magical or diabolical mirror that portrays you as a chimpanzee living in a hideous jungle. When you look into the mirror that's what you see. When you look into a pool of water that's what you see. When you look at any surface that can reflect images, that's what you see. To crown it all, that's what everybody around you tell you that you look like. Maybe you're now twenty-five years old. And this grotesque picture is what you have of yourself.
Now, imagine that suddenly, after 25 years, someone shows you another mirror; and what you see is a lovely, beautiful, glamorously dressed and ornamented person standing in the world's most beautiful garden.
What do you think your first reaction will be? You might run! Scream! Faint!
It's not always easy to deal with your true self. The first time you behold yourself, it's hard to accept because it's so glorious. When you discover yourself, it is so amazing that your first instinct is to say, "I can't be that."
Your true self is breathtaking!
God looks at a man hiding behind the closet and calls him a king. And the man says "What are you talking about?" Because we are all used to defining ourselves based on how other people relate to us. We estimate our worth based on how other people respond to us.
So Jesus Christ actually came into this world to break that spell that the devil has placed over our lives. Satan has lied to us; people have lied to us through the years. And Jesus has come with the original mirror. He is the original mirror to now show you and myself who we really are.
Discover yourself!


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Shopping for parents or parental figures is considered tricky by most; "don't worry about getting me anything" and "Just spending some time with you would be enough" are typical quotes when discussing the day of celebration with parents. Nonetheless, children of all ages often want to give a gift to their parent as a token of appreciation.
Where did Father's Day come from?
As far as traditions go, Father's Day is hardly beyond infancy. The first true Father's Day, as we now know it, was founded in the United States – celebrated for the first time in 1910. There had, however, been celebrations of fatherhood and paternal influence in alignment with Saint Joseph's Day. This was largely centred throughout Europe, thought to have been celebrated way back in the middle ages.
Father's Day Themes
When looking for gifts or cards for Father's Day, you'll find four recurring themes: beer, BBQ, golf & cars. What if your Dad doesn't like these things? If you can't rely on generic themes, or find them considerably lacklustre, you may find yourself scouring the web for Father's Day gift ideas – many of which cost a fortune.
Lots of booze, lots of food, and not much else… This popular online gift retailer offer little variety even in their menu images for Father's Day Gifts. For a site which offers gift inspiration, there isn't much advertised here which isn't already present everywhere else.
Where do I start?
Realistically, shopping for a Father figure should be no different to shopping for a Mother Figure. Yet, searches for Mother's Day are ranking higher than Father's Day on Google year on year. Is this because there are seemingly less gift ideas for dad?
- Consider your budget. If there's one thing a father will want, it'll be for you to not spend all of your money on them.
- Think about their hobbies. What do they really like – like, really truly like?
- Consider the power of personal. Sure, you could always buy something quick off the shelf. Instead, consider how you can bring your connection and shared interests into the ideal gift.
- Be prepared. You don't want a last-minute dash to get the gift. If you leave it late, you'll likely struggle more.
Add value
Whether you're both fans of funny or if Dad has a soft spot for sentimental, you want to opt for something which is emotionally valuable. If you're buying a gift for someone who has everything, there's even more reason to get something which is unique to you both. An upgrade of their most commonly used items is a great start, as you know that it is something which they would genuinely enjoy using. Upgrades don't need to cost the earth though, having a better product and paying designer prices don't need to go hand in hand.
Consider what is used daily, and think about how you can get a better version of this. Do they drink a lot of coffee? A new mug may be in the running. Gifting any old mug would be cliche, but you don't have to give them any old mug. A personalised mug with a photo of your last trip together or your graduation photo will remind them of great times shared while they're going about their daily routine.
Practical doesn't need to be boring when it comes to gifts. If the person you are buying for is always forgetting their appointments, invest in a personalised calendar to gently add a little more organisation into their life. Extra points if you choose a close-up of your own face for your birthday month as a (slightly jarring) reminder! Calendars don't need to be seasonal gifts. With personalised photo calendars, you can choose which month to start with. After all, it wouldn't make sense to give a calendar which is already half-redundant.
Don't forget the card
The humble greeting card: such a cornerstone in occasions that sometimes they can slip the mind. What's so important about a single folded piece of card, anyway? The thought is the importance. Often, we find it difficult to communicate our love and appreciation for somebody. Cards give you space to let Dad know that he is loved and appreciated without needing to awkwardly force it into a conversation.
Creating your own message inside a card will provide the recipient with something that they can go back and read for a little lift whenever they like. Creating your own design for the front is another way to deviate from cliché imagery and show how much you understand them. Cards which don't rely on heavy Father's Day messaging, and instead opt for something personal, are a timeless token of your own sentiment which can be read again and again and again. Once the card is received, the recipient can keep it displayed for however long they like, rather than limiting it to a single weekend.
Consider flowers – yes, really!
For mother's day, the sale of flowers absolutely skyrockets, yet the same can't be said for father's day. Flowers are a gesture of love which also look beautiful – who wouldn't want that? According to the Society of American Florists, 60% of men would like to receive flowers. Had you considered this?
If you think that giving a floral arrangement for father's day may be a little controversial, try to have a think about what kind of flower would be the best received gesture. The official flower for Father's Day is a rose!
Try to opt for something a little hardier than a delicate pastel arrangement; bold shapes, textures and colours will help to leave a positive impression. Something impactful like Sunflowers or Birds of Paradise are sure to compliment any interior decor. If you think that a bouquet may be pushing it a little far, there's always the reliable houseplant to consider. Succulents, orchids and peace lilies are timeless home accents which require varying degrees of care – so be sure to check this out before making your selection.
Did you know…
That it is easy to build a business which offers personalised photo products? You don't need to be a professional printer – source your printing elsewhere and reap the benefits of personal print. If you're interested in creating a photo personalisation business, or considering adding it as a profitable sidearm to your current business, get in touch to discuss how we could benefit you. We're experts in the field.


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PCG Haiti
In 2017, the Premier Choice Group extended its global reach to the Caribbean by establishing a presence in Haiti. Shanae Hill and Shantae Gilmer partnered with Lucien Francouer and Laury Georges-Lane for PCG Haiti. Francouer has served as an educator and a leader in Haiti's public affairs for over 30 years. Georges-Lane is a human resources executive with expertise in people and culture, executive coaching and foreign and domestic labor law consulting.
Tapping into the island's rich history, Premier Choice Group has expanded its presence to brands and partners providing services to amplify the needs of Haiti's tourism and hospitality.


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Overseas Network, November 23. On the 22nd, U.S. Political News quoted people familiar with the matter as reporting that the World Health Organization plans to rename monkeypox (monkeypox) as "MPOX". The reason may be to avoid "stigma".
According to reports, this decision may be announced as early as the 23rd local time. It follows a tentative agreement reached this summer by WHO to consider proposals for a new name for monkeypox. People familiar with the matter said that some U.S. officials believe that the original name may affect people's enthusiasm for vaccination. Other public health experts believe that the original name may contribute to stereotypes of people of color.


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Jordan Davis will make his return to the field against the Titans for the first time since he was placed on Injured Reserve with a high-ankle sprain after the team's game against the Steelers.
Linebacker Christian Elliss was elevated from the practice squad for the first time this season, while C.J. Gardner-Johnson was placed on Injured Reserve due to a lacerated kidney. Undrafted rookie safety Reed Blankenship is projected to start in his place.
Here are the Eagles inactives:
Ian Book| QB
Josh Jobe | CB
Sua Opeta | G
Robert Quinn | DE
Trey Sermon | RB
Josh Sills | G
Here's the projected starting lineup:
OL: LT Jordan Mailata, LG Landon Dickerson, C Jason Kelce, RG Isaac Seumalo, RT Lane Johnson
WR: A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Quez Watkins
TE: Jack Stoll
RB: Miles Sanders
QB: Jalen Hurts
DL: Brandon Graham, Fletcher Cox, Javon Hargrave, Josh Sweat
LB: Haason Reddick, T.J. Edwards, Kyzir White
CB: James Bradberry, Slay
S: Marcus Epps, Reed Blankenship


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Sunday Mailbag
Web 1.0
J.T. in Greensboro, NC, writes: Count me as among those who have come to love and appreciate the weekend Q & A and Comments features. I feel like they provide a level of entertaining, erudite, and civil level of discourse and access to a broad spectrum of thoughtful political and historical thought severely lacking pretty much anywhere else on the Internet.
It also reminds me, as a person who grew up in the age of Web 1.0, that it had a lot of things to commend it in comparison to the unfettered largely unmoderated discourse of Web 2.0 and the social media age. I mean this in the best way possible, but I teach writing and communication at a major university and I use your Website in my discussions of source assessment as an example of the principle that design can be very misleading. The lesson being that your low-tech site provides much more reliable information than any number of flashy high-tech sites. I feel like electoral-vote could easily become a headache inducing cesspool (like, for example, the 538 comments section) if you ever went the Web 2.0 route.
Keep up the good work.
T.O. in Minneapolis, MN, writes : Allow me to add my support for the weekend Q & A and letters. It's a nice diversion from the wonderful weekday material. I look forward to the peek into the queries and opinions of my otherwise invisible league of electoral-vote followers.
E.K. in Bignoles, France, writes: I don't necessarily write this in order to be published. I've just finished your today's post, and I must confess: what literally keeps me awake at night is that people like this E.W. from CA have the right to vote. You can think I'm an arrogant guy, but this "comment" is just beyond my comprehension. How an illiterate crook who's been bankrupted several times, has a fascist behavior, and wants to ruin everything from your institutions, your beautiful environment to your USPS can generate such an admiration? I don't understand, really. Those are the dumbest people, really.
Besides, you really make a really great job. You have my full support. However, just because we enter in the "money time" before Nov. 3, I'd really like to see you run usual items on Saturdays, and keep the Q & A (which is very useful) for the Sunday. It's just a suggestion, and, as Sideshow Bob would say it: "by the way, I'm aware of the irony of writing a comment in order to decry it." So don't bother pointing that out. I know (Z) will recognize the episode, and I'm just suggesting a pause until November, nothing more.
Thank you both, and keep going!
D.R. in Thousand Oaks, CA writes: I want to add my voice to those who appreciate the weekend questions and comments sections which I believe provide all of us with a broader perspective, something sorely needed in these politically polarized times.
So, taking a cue from (Z) and his frequent use of pop culture and movie references, I offer an update to a famous scene from Casablanca, one of my favorite movies, to characterize the comment from D.K. in Iowa City, IA last Sunday regarding the weekend questions and comments:
D.K.: "I'm shocked, shocked to find that questions are being answered here!"
V & Z (handing a piece of paper to D.K.): "The answer to your question, sir."
D.K.: "Oh, thank you very much."
F.C. (no location given), writes: I have to say it's interesting getting the other voices. I may not agree, but it's still interesting to see how others view your posts. Please keep it going.
I'd also like to comment about your suggestion for a conservative counterpart to your site. While he does also play with the polls, etc., what he doesn't do is the analysis you do. I find his site dull, and not one I care to read on a daily basis. (Unlike yours.)
Do you have any site recommendations for an alternative analysis that isn't made up of wack jobs? I may not agree with your conclusions, but they are at least (generally) rationally derived.
V & Z respond: electionprojection.com is a roughly comparable site to ours, with polls and a map. It is run by Scott Elliott, who says about himself: "I am a Christian. Jesus is my life and my purpose." He is very conservative, but his numbers appear to be honest. He has a different map algorithm so we are not always in sync, but he's not making it up. His commentary and links come from a different perspective. Also, Jesus apparently likes ads because the site is full of them.
P.M. in Currituck, NC writes: You wrote the following: "The big question, though, is how many Latinos will vote. The poll showed that 20% of them say they have a 50-50 chance of voting. It's hard to imagine that so many members of a group that Trump has demonized so much and for so long don't care who is president, but that is what the poll showed."
I believe the last sentence of this shows your bias; and, indeed, the bias that many in both academia and the media have regarding politics. The reality is -- as much as certain segments rave about and analyze political matters to death—most Americans (of any race or ethnicity) simply don't care. Most people get up, pay their bills, take care of their kids, and live life. They don't obsess incessantly about political matters. People who discuss this stuff constantly live inside their own little bubble, and think everyone else is like them. They aren't.
I have followed your site since 2004, and enjoy it every day. Your postings are concise, thoughtful, and contain a dose of deadpan humor. But comments like this prove you are living in that reflective bubble—and, I would posit, the same is true of most readers here. It might serve you well to keep that in mind, and to not assume that something which you see as blatantly obvious is true for everyone.
V & Z respond: We have no doubt that most people don't follow politics like readers of this site. But we lament the fact that they don't realize that politics has real consequences for them. How much tax do I pay and where does the money go? What difference does it make? Private health insurance or government health insurance? What's the difference? If there is a pandemic or an economic crisis, maybe the government will deal with it, maybe it won't. No skin off my back. If the government wants to increase defense spending or education spending, who cares? Maybe we'll keep Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Maybe we'll abolish them. I could care less either way. Who cares if the minimum wage is $7.25/hr or $15/hr? The list goes on. I guess our view is, if you don't vote, then don't whine later.
The Election
B.S. in Berlin, Germany, writes: It seems that there are two things that every presidential election that has taken place during my lifetime have in common: First, every presidential election is labeled the "most important election in American history" by both major parties. If that were true, then one could only imagine by how many orders of magnitude the Election of 1992 (Clinton vs. Dole) must have been compared to the Election of 1988 (Bush Sr. vs. Dukakis).
I am not, of course, denying that the Election of 2020 is important, but does anybody seriously think it is MORE important than, say, the Election of 1860 (Lincoln vs. Breckenridge), whose result led to the American Civil War? Or the Election of 1800 (Jefferson vs. Adams Sr.), which resulted in the first peaceful transfer of power to the opposition in U.S. History?
The second thing I have noticed is that if a member of the Democratic presidential ticket is also a member of Congress (which is often the case), that person is immediately ranked as the "most liberal" member of that chamber. Al Gore was supposedly the most liberal Senator in 1992, John Kerry and John Edwards were supposedly two of the most liberal Senators in 2004, and now, predictably, Kamala Harris was awarded that honor the moment she was chosen to be Biden's running-mate. Does anybody seriously believe Kamala Harris is somehow more liberal than Bernie Sanders?
C.K. in Union City, CA, writes: For the states where voters can get absentee ballots only for specific reasons detailed in state law and COVID-19 isn't among them, why does no one see the simplest of all possible workarounds? Every voter can plan a vacation over election day, get an absentee ballot, return it, and decide to cancel the vacation. Maybe it's illegal in those states to choose absentee voting because of the virus, but it can't be illegal to cancel a vacation because of COVID-19 or taking steps to prevent it.
D.G. in Silver Spring, MD, writes: In Canada, a large country not too far away, their federal parliamentary elections, by law, must run between 36 and 50 days. Quite a difference from the country just to its south. Here's my suggestion on how to shorten our presidential campaigns to less than a year. It would probably require a Constitutional amendment to make it work:
- Forbid any candidate to declare their candidacy before January 1 of the election year. Prohibit political advertising before that date.
- Hold the primaries (possibly by region) in March through May, during which time the candidates could hold a series of debates.
- Hold the party conventions in July and August.
- Hold the general campaign in September through November.
- Schedule the presidential and vice-presidential debates at that time.
- Hold the election on the first Saturday or Sunday in November.
Get rid of big money contributions to candidates. Have public financing of elections. There are plenty of other reforms that we could make, but the main point here is to reduce the length of presidential campaigns to one calendar year.
F.G. in Salt Lake City, UT, writes: K.M. used Virginia as a bellwhether state in 2016 and felt that, although Clinton won Virginia, the fact that Trump led there at first indicated a Democratic weakness. The statement was even made that Virginia is a red state. This does not reflect the current state of affairs in VA. Virginia has a number of small counties with about 5K to 50K total votes. These get counted early and give any Republican a lead.
By contrast, Fairfax county has about 500K votes, goes heavily Democratic, and takes a while to get counted. While VA was a red state, it now is a blue state. Do not regard any count in VA as indicative of anything until at least half the Fairfax county vote and the other northern VA counties have been counted. In the last 3 presidential elections, the pattern has been for the Republican to get an early lead but for the Democrat to win by about 5% and I expect that pattern to continue (although it wouldn't surprise me if the final margin is greater than 5%). By contrast North Carolina looks to be very close and is a much better choice to see how the election is going. Another state to look at (as always) is Florida.
Personally, I intend to watch Pennsylvania and Michigan. If Biden wins both of these or one of NC and FL, I'll break out the champagne. Actually, I'll open the champagne no matter what—either to celebrate or to get drunk.
H.S. in Agoura Hills, CA, writes: In each state if voters show up at the polls, in person, their votes will become provisional. That means that those votes will be counted after the mail in ballots to make sure that there are no duplicate votes. That thwarts Trump's entire scheme of declaring victory when initial in person tallies come in. He thinks that the initial votes will show him in the lead because more Republicans plan to vote in person. He can then declare victory and say mail in votes are fraudulent. That's not happening because the in person voting will be counted after the mail in tally. So, we will have to wait a week or so to finally get the mail in votes totals, then another week to match up the provisional ballots. That's why the GOP lawyers are trying so hard to thwart mail in voting.
K.P. in Resort Twp., MI, writes: So on election night, Republican voters will show up in person in the central and mountain time zones and get counted relatively quickly. If people go to bed before California closes polls and other states count up mail in and absentee ballots, DJT is likely to have a lead in popular and electoral votes "on election night". Then if the Biden vote creeps in slowly over the hours and days to gradually overtake the Trump vote it may feel like a conspiracy. It will feel like a conspiracy.
J.L.C. in Longview, TX, writes: I noticed that one of the objections you stated to the use of sports venues as voting locations, was that it would be difficult to find your specific precinct. I can't speak for all states but here in Texas, we have "county wide" voting which means that on Election Day, you can vote at any official polling place. No more driving all over the county to go to your assigned place. It's proved popular with voters, election administrators, and poll workers.
J.L. in Paterson, NJ, writes: You're right that noncitizen X.S. in Paris can't legally buy stamps to aid a campaign for federal office. Foreigners may, however, help nonpartisan organizations like vote.org, a 501(c)(3) that therefore can't endorse candidates. Astute selection of recipients can accomplish partisan goals. For example, Northeast Ohio Voter Advocates is also a nonpartisan c3, but it operates in Cuyahoga County (including Cleveland). As a practical matter, most of the people whose votes it facilitates will be Democrats.
J.E. in NY, NY writes: From your Monday write-up: "Our guess is that he simply doesn't think about the consequences of his actions. He just does things that feel good right now and the future be damned." When an elected official behaves as though they won't have to face the voters, or in ways that are demonstrably counter to public opinion, here are a few simple explanations:
- The official is showing leadership, doing the unpopular thing even though it is right (e.g. LBJ and civil rights)
- The official is a lame duck, who isn't facing re-election and can thus do what he is she pleases, within reason
- They don't have to face re-election because there won't be one, or re-election is so safe that it doesn't matter
To me, the only reasonable explanation for not only Trump's behavior, but the Republican party, is option number 3. The Republicans in the Senate have repeatedly behaved as though they will be in power forever—you have noted often that they wouldn't the results if Democrats did the things they did, such as like running out the clock a supreme court appointee were they in the minority. McConnell isn't stupid, so the only logical reason to behave as he has, destroying norms and traditions of the Senate, is he does not believe the Republicans will ever be out of power. Similarly, Trump's counterproductive behavior is premised on his not accepting the results of an election, or of never having one in the first place. Trump has openly stated his goal is to suppress voting, and that he may not accept the election results in any case, and he has attempted to poison the well to delegitimize results that do come in. Trump is behaving as though he will be in power forever. I am sure your resident historian can come up with numerous examples of counterproductive behavior on the part of despots.
Given that, we should all be very, very frightened, because if one party is behaving as though elections will not affect their prospects, they either know something the rest of us don't or don't plan to allow election results to affect them one way or the other. In that situation, it seems to me that we are dealing with a party and a president that has every intention of ending democracy in the United States as we know it, or at the very least returning to the days when only white men could vote (or get them counted) and of attacking people of color and sexual minorities at every opportunity. Trump's behavior in particular with respect to the coronavirus is instructive; he knows it kills brown and black people in higher numbers because of health disparities and has made it clear he does not care. The elderly who are vulnerable have served their purpose already by voting for him once; as far as he is concerned they aren't needed anymore if there will be no further elections that matter.
The GOP Senate hasn't stopped Trump because they simply do not believe in democracy—at least not for anyone but white men.
J.T. in Marietta, GA, writes: Regarding your Wednesday bewilderment at the polling of the Georgia-B Senate race: the two Republicans are not viewed by the Republican electorate as "fraught" with problems; both are well within the requisite conservative wheelhouse. Like Texas, Georgia is still basically a red state. The problem is that their Democratic opponents are virtually unknown to the state as a whole. Even if Lieberman (or Warnock) were to leave the race, it would still be unsettled. It's unfortunate for Democrats that Ossoff chose the Georgia-A race, which already had excellent candidates. Those two were overwhelmed by his name recognition in the primary, and it was too late to switch to Georgia-B.
M.M. in Atlanta, GA, writes: One explanation for the difference in polling between the Special Election and the regular Senate race in Georgia is that Ossoff is much more well-known and well-funded than Warnock or Lieberman. Ossoff is already known and fairly popular in the Atlanta metro area, and he is advertising quite a bit. His run for Congress against Karen Handel was extremely publicized and locally is considered a bellwether for the 2018 blue wave. Warnock and Lieberman are virtually unknown and are not—at least as far as I can tell—advertising much. (I have seen one Lieberman ad on social media and zero ads for either candidate on TV.) Meanwhile you literally cannot watch TV without seeing Kelly Loeffler touting her Trumpism and demeaning Doug Collins as a "liberal" who likes to vote for tax increases.
M.D. in PA writes: Trump's voter suppression is at least working in the county where I live in Pennsylvania. I brought up adding ballot drop off locations for the election at our County Election Board meeting and was told that nothing can be done until Trump's lawsuit against all 67 Pennsylvania counties is completed. They won't even plan for locations. These as well as additional election offices throughout the county are all within the law the Republican run legislature negotiated with our Democratic Governor last year. And we have a Democratic majority of Commissioners and Monroe barely went for Hillary in 2016, despite having a 47% plurality of registered Democrats to about 35% of registered Republican voters in the county. Trump's bullied people his entire life so that's all he knows. Sad that so many people won't stand up to this evil sociopathic idiot so his tactics work.
P.D. in Memphis, TN, writes: It does appear to me that Trump has very likely shot himself and the entire Republican Party in the foot with his mail mishandling schemes. This is the most heavy handed bit of attempting to tamper with the votes since at least WWII. I can think of no time in the past century when such an obvious and overt attempt to damage the vote was made across the entire country.
And everyone who is either a Democrat or a thinking Independent knows about it. Certainly the younger voters know about it, and they are seething, if my daughters are any indication.
I strongly believe that three quarters or more of the Biden vote will be locked in by the 18th of October, whether through absentee ballot or early voting. Republicans are being constantly soothed by Fox News and other sources that nobody is tampering with the mails, the election will be fine, coronavirus is just a Democratic Party conspiracy to dethrone Trump, and so forth. They aren't feeling any pressure to get their ballots in the mail early, or to go to the polls early.
This is much more likely to tip close states to Biden and Democratic Party control than to tip the election to Trump.
As for the persons from other countries who are concerned about what they can do, I will point out that quite a few, about a million Canadians for example, hold dual citizenship in the US. Most of them can vote. Many seem to think they cannot.
R.H. in Macungie, PA, writes: With all the concerns about the Post Office (the only sorting machine in the Lehigh Valley was removed), I thought your readers might find this interesting. Here is my Timeline for Mail-In Ballot: Lehigh County, PA:
- July 7: Applied online for mail-in ballot
- Aug. 10: I found a link where status of mail-in application could be found. Nothing there for me
- Aug. 14: Called elections office. Cheerful young lady informed me they had just staffed up
- Aug. 18: Received email confirmation that my applicaton was approved
- Aug. 20: No ballot yet
R.G.N. in Seattle, WA, writes: On Sunday a writer to your Website ventured an opinion that the majority of Asian Americans tend to lean conservative. Having a third generation (Sansei) Japanese American wife, my own kneejerk reaction was that Asians have a strong liberal bias. I checked the 2018 Asian American Voter Survey and found that Japanese Americans have the strongest record of voting for Democrats of any group of Asian Americans. That explains my bias. In the 2018 survey, with two exceptions, Asian American groups tended to vote for Democrats. Filipino American votes were pretty much evenly split between the Republican and Democratic parties and Vietnamese Americans tended to vote for Republicans. Sixty-two percent of East Indian American voters voted for Democratic Party candidates for the Senate and sixty-six percent voted for Democrats in the House races.
In a USA Today 2018 exit poll, seventy-seven percent of Asian American voters reported voting for a Democratic party candidate. It would seem that the local demographics of Asian Americans tends to influence an individual's opinion of the political views of Asian Americans. In regions where Vietnamese Americans are the dominant Asian American group, Asian Americans may appear to tend to the conservative side, but nationwide, the majority of Asian Americans tend to vote for Democrats.
R.F. in Waukegan, IL, writes: I saw your comment that Trump's campaign is suing Iowa counties for prefilling PINs necessary to get a vote by mail ballot. I have a better idea. The Republican Secretary of State said they can't pre-fill that form on the application. There's nothing stopping the county election boards from sending a blank application with a cover sheet that says "In box such and such, your PIN is WXYZ. Please make sure to fill in this PIN number" very prominently. If they start now then by the time it gets to court, it may be dismissed as moot since they aren't pre-filling it anymore.
D.S. in Silver Spring, MD, writes: On Friday, you wrote about how important state legislative races are to the post-2020 Census redistricting process, and that many donors are "pouring millions into high-profile races... while bypassing candidates for state legislatures, where $100,000 could flip a state Senate seat. There are probably half a dozen state chambers that could flip in November if enough money were directed to the right candidates." Those of your readers who would like to influence next year's redistricting likely wondered, "who are the 'right' candidates?"
Fortunately, Sam Wang and his crew at the Princeton Election Consortium have produced "Redistricting Information: 'Moneyball,'" which reports on their model designed to identify "the races where voters have the most leverage to prevent partisan gerrymandering in 2021." The page is here. Anyone interested in maximizing the impact of their donations on redistricting could use that resource to identify key state-level races (Wang, et al, give their readers the benefit of the doubt, assuming they favor more fair, less partisan redistricting).
S.L. in Monrovia, writes: I suggest that in lieu of holding rallies in swing states, the presidential candidates should visit these and travel around to iconic local destinations to film televised speeches (as ads). These visits could be coupled with (socially isolated) interviews and meetings with important individuals or small groups (5-10). Appearing at a local site where a black man was killed, a hurricane struck, immigrants were deported, or needed medicine went undelivered, etc. could be poignant.
The Convention
B.M. in Birmingham, AL, writes: Biden delivered a very good speech. If Democrats are honest with themselves, the bar was very low and much of the accolades for the speech come from the fact he didn't go off script and make another huge blunder or worse fall over during the delivery. I am glad, however, that he was able to come through. It should give him and the party confidence that he can now actually have a campaign where he answers non-prescreened questions from all wings of the media. He did so well, we may actually get a Trump/Biden debate; something the country needs to see before this decision is made.
C.K. in Albuquerque, NM, writes: Having just watched the Democratic National Convention, I could not be more impressed with what I saw. Joe Biden was not my first choice for President, nor was Kamala Harris my first choice for his running mate. I was a Warren supporter, which, fitting perfectly with the profile you suggested on your site, means that I am a pragmatic progressive who would have preferred something to the left of Sanders but am perfectly happy to settle for literally anyone but Trump, even without needing Warren on the ticket to win my support (though I did love her convention appearances!). Biden and Harris did not need to try very hard to earn my vote, is what I am saying here, but they blew me away regardless.
What I found the most striking, and the reason I am writing to you now, is the way the convention accentuated Biden's empathy and compassion. I felt something stirring, something that I haven't felt in a long time, since before 2016. Is this what it's like to have a Presidential candidate who is warm and open, one who wants to serve all Americans (not just the ones who voted for him), one who even (my God) appears to love his wife and family?? I had forgotten this feeling, and experiencing it again was like a gentle rain in a parched desert.
At this point, the only thing that can stop me is disenfranchisement. Which, to that end, I found out recently that my voter registration has in fact been deactivated, and my attempts to reregister are in limbo due to some alleged confirmation letter that I never received (thanks, USPS!). I caught this early enough that hopefully there is still time to fight it and make everything right before the election. I'd be in trouble if this had happened a week out. Moral of the story: If you're reading this, check your registration RIGHT NOW, and tell everyone you know to do the same. Take it from me: It happened to me, and I live in a fairly solid blue state. Don't let it happen to you! Don't assume everything is fine. Check now!
D.C. in Hartford, CT, writes: The format of the DNC this year was absolutely fantastic. And, it was even better when watching it cleanly online without the TV pundits talking over the content. The compressed schedule, the smooth and instant transitions between segments, the tour around the country (particularly during roll call) was all so much more preferable than watching screaming delegates partying on the floor of a big room. The speeches were much more dense in terms of content and avoided the campy applause lines, the editing was crisp and the tone struck a perfect balance of urgency, policy, personality and entertainment. There were cheesy parts as well, but that actually added to the charm. It would be great to see them stick with this format in the future, except maybe spread it out over four consecutive Mondays to maximize the impact and anticipation.
N.A. in Hopkinton, MA, writes: Your Website has been my go-to for all things political since I spent October of 2004 in Florida trying to get Betty Castor elected to the Senate and John Kerry POTUS. I base my opinions on the numbers and you supply them like nobody else.
But I am both puzzled and dismayed at the snarky tone you have been using to describe the Democratic "Unconvention." To me it has been mostly pitch-perfect, exactly what is needed on every level. I suspect Aaron Sorkin designed it, but that's a good thing.
The cumulative effect of all those different faces of America is stunning. A desperately needed reminder of who we really are and what we can be. There is even the right amount of slickness and the right amount of kitsch. The crossroads location for Kasich should have been cliché, but, instead, was just right. A great deal of the language used by political pros and just plain people is elegant.
The contrasts are beautiful: picture perfect presenters, down-right odd-looking presenters, fat and slim, dressed for TV and without a clue of what "works" on television. Strong opinions, strong leaders, heartfelt opinions, innocence, sophistication, north, south, east, west, well-established, newly arrived. I think it's wonderful. Reminds me of why I'm a Democrat, what American exceptionalism really is, what is still possible in spite of the devastation wrought by Trump—and deliberate Republican policy over the past 3-4 decades. Please watch it all again and rethink. This Unconvention is a beautiful thing.
L.S. in Greensboro, NC, writes: I found it interesting that Trump had such a low key response to Biden's speech. I wonder if Trump lives in such a fantasy world that he actually believes the drivel that pours out of his lips. So, he probably really believed that Biden was barely competent and unable to put two words together without stumbling. When Biden actually gave an excellent speech, far beyond Trump's own capabilities, I suspect Trump was so flabbergasted that he didn't know how to respond.
Speaking of speeches, I've read several articles lately stating that Trump's advisors are holding up his Mount Rushmore speech as a paragon to use as a model for his convention speech. Are these people really that clueless? That speech was a disaster. It did nothing to convince Americans that their president has any comprehension of what's going on in this country. It didn't even help us to believe in his sanity. His approval ratings dropped after the speech. I think his advisors are guilty of malpractice if that's what they're urging him to reprise.
Finally, a note on Brayden Harrington's incredibly moving speech. I'm sure everyone is affected differently, but for me that moment when he held up his speech to show us that he followed Biden's advice just hit me right in the heart. Then to see the later released video of when the two first met would bring tears to a stone. The thought that we might actually have a decent human being as president next year is enough to give me a sliver of hope in these dark days.
Other Topics
A.H. in Newberg, OR, writes: Biden is actually more in line with the values of the GOP. That's actually probably true, if we're talking about the Republican Party of George H.W. Bush, Ronald Reagan, and Richard Nixon. My father landed in France and shook hands with the Russians at Torgau, two Purple Hearts, one Bronze Star, battlefield commission. He would have walked over broken glass and through a blazing fire to vote for Ike. He probably voted for Tricky Dick, and Saint Ronnie reluctantly. He was a Minnesota farm boy, die-hard Republican when being a Republican meant something. It would not have surprised me if I had been able to look over his shoulder to see him "X" Hubert Humphrey or Fritz Mondale. By the time Bush 41 came on the scene he was no longer with us. I seriously believe that Joe Biden has more in common with Eisenhower than any of the ones you mention and most certainly with the error of our ways currently residing in OUR house.
A.M. in Los Angeles, CA, writes: Perhaps you were trying to be pithy when you described China as a "smart business partner and a tough negotiator" on Friday. I think that is a shameful way for educated, humane people to characterize a country whose human rights abuses have grown exponentially. China is imprisoning and torturing a million Uyghurs. The world is overdue in confronting China about this, and the next secretary of state cannot remain blind to cultural genocide.
A.B. in Wendell, NC, writes: OK, guys ... not sure where you get the notion that Lloyd is Progressive. He's not. He's progressive for Texas, certainly ... but totally what we would call a blue dog Democrat. I can say this with some insight, since I was proudly represented by Lloyd for five years when I lived in Texas, and worked on two of his campaigns. In fact, it was Lloyd who worked on my behalf with the State Department to get me a passport so that I could go to Thailand to get my gender-confirming surgery in 2002 ... nearly ten years before Hillary did what she did at State to make this process easier for those of us who choose medical tourism.
I like and respect Lloyd. He always talked frankly with me. I fondly remember him telling me, on more than one occasion, "I am with you ... but that dog won't hunt in the House." So, you could say Lloyd was an idealist with Progressive views, but with a ton of pragmatism about what is and is not possible in a given political climate.
I do not know much about Rep. Neal, but if Doggett can be considered more Progressive than Neal, I would say that Morse has a good chance of offing him, seeing as Neal is from MA. To be a MA Dem, and thought of as less Progressive than a TX Dem....can't be good!!
Anyway, I am rooting for Lloyd here, because I like and respect him, and I will never forget that he always treated me with courtesy, dignity and respect. I can say, to be trans in the early 2000's—and in Texas—you did not expect to be treated with courtesy, dignity or respect, but Lloyd always treated me that way. His constituent service has always been fabulous. He and his staff were always eager to help, and thorough in their assistance.
A.N.P. in Holland, MI, writes: I'm very glad you published the comment by A. F. expressing distaste for the use of the term "Rust Belt." I've been intending to write you about this for weeks, but never got around to it. Originally from California, I came to the Midwest for my schooling and have spent more than forty-five years here. Still, as a non-native Midwesterner who hasn't heard a lot of native complaints about the term, I wondered whether I was entitled to take issue with what seems to me to be a demeaning identifier. But it really is clearly pejorative. Do political scientists commonly pick out other geographical regions using equally insulting language? I suppose the "Bible Belt" might count for some, but I don't see it used very often any more, and certainly not in the context of political discussions that otherwise seem uninterested in causing gratuitous offense. When I was considering writing earlier, I was going to suggest "Great Lakes States," but you've nixed that. You describe the intended region as the industrial states of the lower Midwest and Mid-Atlantic; I'm betting a shorthand version of this such as "the Industrial Midwest" would be pretty effective in conjuring up in most people's minds the intended region. Better a slightly imperfect moniker than an outright insulting one, but that's just a California transplant talking.
V & Z respond: Like Bill Clinton, we feel your pain. We just can't find a better term. "Great Lakes states" would include Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and New York. Philadelphia is not in the Midwest. MIWIPA maybe. We're open to a better term. Maybe "the three former blue wall states," but it is kind of long.
K.S. in the Great Lakes region writes: Two comments concerning your response about using "Great Lakes Region" term rather than the derogatory "Rust Belt"
1. You said "Great Lakes Region" would not include Pennsylvania. The citizens of Erie County, PA would disagree. The Erie Triangle has been part of the commonwealth ever since PA bought it from the Feds in 1792 and even without it, PA would have still had a very small shoreline along Lake Erie at the Ohio border.
2. Not being able to think of a less derogatory term is not an acceptable excuse for continuing racial slurs so why should it be for regional slurs. Every region has good and bad attributes. Why must you continue a descriptor that slurs millions of citizens for a tough part of their history, but ignores the many wonderful facets of life here?
B.W. in New York, NY, writes: In your item called "Three Polls tell Two Stories" (18 August), you described a CNN poll that showed a closer race than some others. You were critical of its top-line numbers, saying that "for whatever reason, CNN's poll looks much more like a partisan poll than it does a neutral poll." You editorialized that you're "not buying that CNN poll" and suggested that they willfully "ran with shaky numbers," speculating on their motives for doing so.
For the record, I'm hoping that Trump suffers a landslide defeat this year.
V & Z respond: We didn't mean to suggest CNN or SSRS did anything improper, just that this result was a statistical fluke and shouldn't be taken too seriously.
B.B. in Bangor, ME, writes: You have repeatedly, and most recently in "Biden is Doing Better Than Clinton Was Preconvention", described the libertarian movement and Libertarian Party as "conservative", or at least strongly implied that this is the case (saying that people who are more conservative than Trump would vote Libertarian). (The most memorable example to me is when you said this as part of an analogy used to explain Israel's problems forming a government.) The Libertarians would not call themselves "conservative," and it is not an accurate description of their philosophy or identity. Although their views on economic freedom and the role of government are more historically associated with those of conservatives, they also do not believe in forms of government intrusion that conservatives have and do strongly support: the Libertarians support free access to abortion, support legalization of all or almost all drugs, want to legalize prostitution, oppose the death penalty, want to abolish state-sanctioned marriage, and call for greatly increased if not unlimited immigration (the Libertarian Party platform states all of this). These are not positions that anyone would describe as "conservative." (There is an actual ultra-conservative party: the Constitution Party.)
This inaccurate portrayal of the Libertarian Party and movement in general is not conducive to your readers' understanding of them or their effects on elections. I ask that you refrain from describing them this way in the future.
C.R. in Canton, OH, writes: I read a wide variety of political news articles daily, including all of what's published on this Website. I feel it's important to have diverse viewpoints, so I type "political news" into Google and read most of what comes up except the paywalls (NYT and Wash. Post in particular).
What's striking to me is the sheer difference in headlines. For all but Fox News, there generally is balanced coverage, although at times there does seem to be more negative articles about the GOP/Trump. Even those negative articles though usually are fact based and don't read as editorials.
Then we come to Fox News, who literally seems to be in a different country. On average, 80-90% of their headlines are what I'd consider "exclusive" (in this case not a major story for any other news Website), and a lot of it is written like oppo research for the GOP/Trump, and most of the rest is a definite conservative bias. They rarely have more than 1 or 2 articles that are similar to the other news Websites. As an example, their five takeaways from the second night of the Democratic convention were clearly written with a conservative audience in mind, and far different viewpoints than the six found in a CNN takeaway article.
I've been reading news this way for a couple years now, but only in the last couple months have I noticed such a severe difference, which gets worse as time goes on. I can say I fully understand why (V) and (Z) mention the Fox/OANN bubble a lot, because to me at least, it's true.
D.E. (location not given) writes: While reading the letter yesterday by R.M. from Pensacola, Florida about his family's experience with being infected by COVID-19, it occurred to me that any enemy of the United States that has watched how Trump's response to the disease resulted in the largest per capita infection rates in the world is surely taking notes. I don't believe that COVID-19 is a bioweapon, but there are extremely deadly biological weapons out there in the hands of Russia, China, and others; weapons that have a far higher fatality rate than COVID-19. They've now been given valuable intel on where and how such an infection could be spread and used to take down a country's population without all the nasty side effects a nuclear strike leaves behind. I'm certain one and all of them are thanking Donald Trump right now for his staggering incompetence in this regard.
G.A. in Berkeley, CA, writes: News more important than the political conventions, the post office, or even the latest report about the Kardashians has received almost no coverage. A scientific study has concluded that, due to climate change, the Greenland ice sheet can no longer be fully replenished and, over time, will melt off. This means that the seas everywhere will rise about 18 feet. Of course, the Arctic and Antarctic, as well as other ice sheets are also melting. At one point in Earth's history, there was no ice. The seas then were 250 feet higher than they are now. Totter out to any shoreline and look up 250 feet. This is where we are (slowly) heading. Yet catastrophic, human-caused climate phenomena do not seem to concern most voters.
J.K. in Germany writes: Sunday's mail bag was heavy again, but I liked some pieces.
1. Thanks for mentioning Thalidomide in connection with proper drug testing procedures. Here in Germany people still remember what happened in the early 1960s with thousands of babies that were born without legs or arms. Around 1980 I had a schoolmate who was a victim of this scandal (he had no arms but still was a quick soccer player). It was instructive to read why the U.S. was left almost unharmed. At the FDA there was an individual who would be called a "whistleblower" today.
2. I liked your reference to the United States Holocaust Museum ("Early Warning Signs of Fascism"). This reminded me of a quote: "When fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross." Unfortunately, the source of this quote seems a bit dubious, but I still like it.
R.M. in Lincoln City, OR, writes: I agree with your comment: Clearly, one of the agenda items a potential Biden presidency needs to tackle is appointments. I have some other items to add.
- Reverse the DOJ policy that says presidents cannot be indicted.
- Strengthen the Inspector General position. A president should not be able to fire an IG except for cause and unless Congress approves
- Strengthen the emoluments language. This can be done by statute. Define emoluments.
- Ensure that Presidents and Vice Presidents are subject to the same conflict of interest rules as anyone else.
Trump has done such damage to the Rule of Law that it is imperative for new administration to take immediate steps to assure the American people that such a travesty cannot happen again. Put this another way. American citizens have a right to expect a certain type of behavior from their president. What we need is a Bill of Citizens' Rights.
S.E.Z. in New Haven, CT, writes: On Tuesday, regarding the new House bill to increase funding for the Post Office, you listed 6 options the GOP might do to thwart the plan to save the USPS. You seem to have neglected the move that I consider most likely. Why wouldn't the Senate pass the bill, the President sign the bill, and the President respond to the current critical emergency by redirecting the $25 billion to building the wall to save us from the Hispanic invasion? How can you possibly think the Don of the GOP Family would stop at merely impounding the funds?
V.P. in New York, NY, writes: For the last several days I've invariably had a Trump ad at the top of my YouTube homepage as well as popups in the middle of videos. I've seen other commenters on the your Website in the past express annoyance over this, but as a Google shareholder (albeit one whose ownership fraction is best expressed in scientific notation) I wholeheartedly support this transfer of wealth from the idiots who donate to the Trump campaign. What's that old proverb about fools and their money...?
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---The Votemaster and Zenger
Aug22 Today's Presidential Polls
Aug22 Today's Senate Polls
Aug21 That's a Wrap
Aug21 Biden is Doing Better than Clinton Was Preconvention
Aug21 Biden Leads with 2016 Nonvoters and Third-Party Voters
Aug21 Trump Must Give His Tax Returns to Manhattan D.A. Cyrus Vance
Aug21 Not All Republicans Are against Mail-in Voting
Aug21 Stephen Bannon Has Been Indicted for Fraud and Money Laundering
Aug21 In a Biden Administration, It Will Be America First
Aug21 Howard Could Help Biden
Aug21 Downballot Democrats Are Seeing Green
Aug20 Unconventional, Night Three
Aug20 Democrats Are Rethinking Their Absentee-Ballot Strategy
Aug20 Trump Sues Iowa Counties for Helping Voters
Aug20 Latinos Haven't Heard from Either Campaign
Aug20 Biden's Agenda Could Depend on an Obscure House Primary
Aug20 COVID-19 Deaths in Florida Pass 10,000
Aug20 The Republican Convention Is the Start of the 2024 GOP Primary
Aug20 Sports Teams Are Getting Involved in Politics
Aug20 Harris Is Famous All the Way to India
Aug20 States Differ Greatly on Voting by Mail
Aug19 Unconventional, Night Two
Aug19 Trump's Goat Is Officially Gotten
Aug19 More Voters Head to the Polls
Aug19 Bipartisan Senate Committee Issues Damning Report on Trump Campaign and Russia
Aug19 DeJoy Backs Down
Aug19 House Democrats Want More Stimulus Votes
Aug19 Many Businesses Won't Participate in Trump's Payroll Tax Plan
Aug19 Today's Senate Polls
Aug18 Unconventional
Aug18 Three Polls Tell Two Stories
Aug18 Biden Gets One or Two High-Profile Anti-Trump Endorsements
Aug18 Democrats Will Push the Envelope
Aug18 Trump Goes 0-for-2 in Court on Monday
Aug18 UNC Pushes the 'Eject' Button
Aug18 COVID-19 Diaries: The Land Down Under
Aug18 Today's Presidential Polls
Aug18 Today's Senate Polls
Aug17 Democratic National Convention Begins Tonight
Aug17 National Poll: Biden 50%, Trump 41%
Aug17 Are There Shy Trump Voters?
Aug17 How Harris Can Help Biden
Aug17 Absentee Voting Is Still a Hot Topic
Aug17 Democratic Super PACs Will Coordinate--with Each Other
Aug17 Three States Will Hold Primaries Tomorrow
Aug17 Acting DHS Secretary Chad Wolf Is Not Really the Acting Secretary
Aug17 Trump Has a New Medical Adviser
Aug17 Today's Presidential Polls
Aug17 Today's Senate Polls


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Today is Valentine's day. So, do you know what are the top searches for Valentine related keywords? Yahoo! has listed down top 5 of them.
In The Search of Love: Singapore's Top Searches For Valentine's
SINGAPORE, 11 FEBRUARY, 2011 – Love is in the air and Yahoo! Search Trends reveals that Singaporeans are true romantics at heart. Fully geared to celebrate the romantic day, Singaporeans are looking out for gifts, cosy hang outs for dinner and mushy e-cards to celebrate the day with their loved ones.
Findings from Yahoo! Search Trends reveals that Singaporeans got on to the web mostly in search of love ideas. Be it for gifts or dinner, innovative Valentine's ideas were what they explored. The focus was on recipes, menu and dinner party ideas highlighting the want for a personal touch, as much as finding an easy romantic venue for dinner.
Yahoo! Search Trends top Valentine's searches are:
- Gifts
- Valentine?s Day meaning
- Dinner promotions
- Valentine e-cards
- Poems
While pampering their loved ones with gifts and candle light dinners are the call of the season, it was remarkable to note some fascinating trends for Valentine's this year. Apart from Singaporeans being curious to find out the origins of Valentine's Day, they sought love in various ways- both for fun and seriously! There were a lot of searches on dating sites, crafty love SMSes and fun online applications like love calculators to fulfill their young Valentine mood for love.
"Searches on Valentine's gift ideas and dinners started as early as the beginning of January. This season we've seen a lot of searches for gift ideas and Yahoo! Search is showing results for gift ideas for husbands, girlfriends and teens. Contrary to obvious expectations, searches on shopping sites for men outnumbered searches for the women. Another interesting observation was that though it is the season of love, Yahoo! Search Trends data revealed that Singaporeans are not only searching for the obvious romantic poems but also sad poems on lost love and heartbreak," said Zul Rejab, Editorial Manager, Search Content Analysis.
As expected Valentine's day wouldn't be complete without searches on flowers, chocolates, love quotes and cards. However, last year Valentine?s searches were more quirky than this year as searches on funny verses and movies ranked amongst the top searches. Interestingly, ranking among the top Yahoo! searches in 2010 was 'my boyfriend doesn't know what to buy for me on Valentine's Day'.


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Vickey Hartzler, running alongside 21 other Republican candidates, hopes voters will choose her to fill a U.S. Senate seat held by outgoing Sen. Roy Blunt. But it's almost a three-way tie between Hartzler, former Gov. Eric Greitens, and current Attorney General Eric Schmitt.
Despite lacking an endorsement from former President Donald Trump, Hartzler believes her time in the U.S. House of Representatives gives her the necessary experience for the job. KCUR's Brian Ellison spoke with Hartzler on Up To Date about what makes her stand out from the other candidates on the ballot.
"They may share my ideas that we need to quit spending money, but I've been there, and as a small business owner, I know how to create jobs," Hartzler said. "So that gives me an advantage there. They're both attorneys. I've signed the front of a paycheck, and not just the back, and that matters."
Contact the show at email@example.com. Follow KCUR onTwitter andFacebook for the latest news.
Kansas City Today is hosted by Nomin Ujiyediin. It is produced by Byron Love, Trevor Grandin, and KCUR Studios and edited by Gabe Rosenberg and Lisa Rodriguez.
You can support Kansas City Today by becoming a KCUR member: kcur.org/donate


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Accounting Advisory News | 2018/01
Accounting Advisory News | 2018/01
Amendments to the Accounting Procedures for Entrepreneurs and Decrees on Financial Statements of Entrepreneurs as of 1 January 2018
Amendments to several accounting regulations for entrepreneurs – the Accounting Procedures for Entrepreneurs and decrees on financial statements of entrepreneurs – were adopted in December 2017. Most of these changes follow up on amendments to the Commercial Code concerning a capital fund from contributions from shareholders/partners (accounting legislation refers to the term "other capital funds") introduced by Act No. 264/2017 Coll. of 12 October 2017 amending Act No. 513/1991 Coll. Commercial Code as amended, as well as some other laws.
- Information on amendments to the Commercial Code and related changes to Act No. 431/2002 Coll. on Accounting as amended (hereafter referred to as the "Act on Accounting") was provided in News 2017/01.
- Afterwards, the Act on Accounting was changed on the basis of a separate amendment; we informed you thereof in News 2017/02.
- Consequently, we updated our original News in News 2017/03 concerning deadlines for preparation, presentation, audit, review, approval, filing and publication of financial statements and an annual report.
© 2024 KPMG Slovensko spol. s r.o., a Slovak limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG global organization of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Limited, a private English company limited by guarantee. All rights reserved.
For more detail about the structure of the KPMG global organization please visit https://kpmg.com/governance.


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Return To Your Natural Colours Paperback &e-books Sold Out. New e-book editions coming April 1 (or sooner)!
Fabrics for Seasons
While True Summer wears soft pastels beautifully, some darkness helps to refine the facial shape, intensify the eye colour, and avoid a pale or powdery look. This blush is a darker blue-violet that creates a beautiful orchid pink when used with a light hand over a powdered cheek (or mixed with translucent powder to soften the colour). It may also be blended with Angel Wings or Watered Silk from the True Summer collection to create a variety of watercolour effects.
For True Winter, Blue Fuchsia is exactly as the name suggests. This may be the ultimate cool blue-pink in a medium dark formulation with a matte finish in a gorgeous creamy powder consistency. By comparison, Fast Track is not as blue, in a colour that is better describes as cool pink-red, with the same great pigment deposit and matte finish.
Season: True Summer, True Winter.
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Prices are displayed in Canadian dollars. Your bank performs the conversion at checkout. Ships to Canada and the USA. EU clients, click Shipping below.


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In the name of GOD, Most Gracious, Most Merciful
There is no other god beside GOD
Home> | Conference | Search |
Some of the conference talks are available online. Please write to [email protected] if you have any questions.
God willing, start making your plans to meet the family of submitters. For More information, please email [email protected]
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