text:
Skip to comments.Senate Pyromaniacs
Posted on 11/13/2003 5:56:58 AM PST by OESYEdited on 04/22/2004 11:50:20 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]
Terrible as it sounds, we're beginning to wonder if someone shouldn't spark another hundred-thousand-acre wildfire. That seems to be the only thing that will force Senate Democrats to take action on the rotting forests that cause the West's annual infernos.
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
Also searing.
The endpoint is that the healthy trees are removed, the fuel overburden is unabated, and fire still sweeps through the forest. This time, though, there's fewer healthy trees left to repopulate the forest, as the lumbering companies have removed them. Since the lumber companies only take certain species of trees, the balance of species in the resultant forest is out of whack and they are less likely to reforest properly and provide the same habitat as they once did. "Healthy Forests" is a rhetorical deception; it will in fact leave us with no such thing.
Now, if you want to see how a problem like this should actually be handled, go to the Superior National Forest web site. This is the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness, where a huge storm in 1999 blew over hundreds of thousands of acres of trees at once. Fearful that all that dead wood would burn up and totally destroy the entire area (heavily used by canoeists, fishermen, and others for recreation), numerous alternatives were considered. Logging the downed trees was considered but eventually found unattractive; conventional logging would require building roads thoughout the entire area, destroying the wilderness character, and helicopter logging was uneconomic. Instead, the area was divided up into sections, and the overburden is being burned off section by section in controlled fashion.
This would work fine for the forests in California, Arizona, etc., as well. But getting rid of the fuel overburden in those forests, which is what causes the fire risk, is not the priority of the Bush administration. Allowing lumbering companies to cherry-pick the best healthy trees, which does nothing to reduce the fire risk, is.
For example - in So. California, forests had perhaps 200 trees per acre, when a natural loading was 40 - 50 trees per acre before forest management and agressive fire-fighting was employed. Allowing lumber companies the rights to thin down to perhaps 80 - 100 trees per acre allows them to make a profit sufficient to require additional controls on the lumbering process.
It might even be beneficial to create zones where tree loading is thinned to 20 - 30 trees per acre as a more natural fire break to slow the spread of a massive fire from regions of high loading.
But dead wood on the ground is not the major fuel contributor that you suggest. After a few months with rain - the dead wood starts decaying. It quickly absorbs moisture and is far less significant to any fire than the live trees (or the diseased trees that are dying or dead, but still standing).
But Ecko-wackos would rather have a forest burn down "naturally" than allow any logging company from making a profit. (And when a logging company makes a profit, it means lumber for various projects - more jobs, more convenience for people ... good ol' capitalism, etc. ... and Ecko-wackos might be "Earth First" - but also "People Last".
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Besides we already let those greedy tomato growers get away with doing this.
Trees are a renewable resource, cut old ones, plant new ones. Of course we can just let them burn then plant new ones which is what you propose I guess.
I fully agree that the old policy of "no fires whatsoever" was harmful, and that its effects need some kind of action to be alleviated. I also agree that this necessarily includes the cutting and removal of trees. My question is whether the cutting and removal operation that the logging companies will execute is optimal for ending up with a healthy forest as well as a healthy profit. Digging up the forests with a bunch of logging roads, stripping out the healthiest of trees and leaving the most diseased ones standing, preferentially removing some species over another, leaving piles of logging waste, etc., is not the way to create a healthy forest.
But dead wood on the ground is not the major fuel contributor that you suggest.
The people in charge of cleaning up the Superior National Forest and the BWCAW after the 1999 blowdown seem to have a different opinion on this matter. So would the people who had to clean up the Boy Scout camp I take my Troop to after we let some loggers in to thin out the forest and they rewarded us by leaving piles and piles of branches around. We had to clean those out before they caught fire and started the whole camp up.
One of the areas that caught on fire in California was a forest where an infestation of beetles had killed off a large number of trees. The infestation had left the trees apparently uneconomic for harvest, so they were still standing, dead, when the fires came. No "tree huggers" were standing in the way of their removal, and they've been known to be a fire hazard to the local inhabitants for a few years. But there wsa no money for cleaning those up.
Conservationists don't stand in the way of making forests healthy, even when that involves tree cutting. What they stand in the way of is having the logging companies do it in ways that are at odds with maintaining the forests to the purposes for which they were set aside, which was not as tree farms for logging companies but as wilderness areas, game refuges, hunting and fishing recreational areas, watershed protection, etc.
You apparently don't know squat about reading posts and citations before you respond to them. I don't propose leaving diseased trees standing, nor do I propose leaving excessive numbers of logs laying around to form an excessive fuel overburden. What I'm pointing out is that logging companies want to cut living, healthy trees, which is the least of the problems in the forests, and whose removal does little to alleviate the fire problem. If they would remove diseased and dying trees and take out the excessive downed trees, and do so without digging a bunch of logging roads all over the place, I'd be glad to welcome them into the forests. But they're not going to do that, and I don't blame them. What the forests need is conservation, not logging, unless the loggers can and will incorporate conservation practices into their harvesting techniques.
The price of logs won't pay for your preferences. Until you confront that fact you won't realize that removing some larger trees (note I didn't say all) will be necessary to pay for the rest of the cleanup.
I'm glad we aren't as cynical. All those people lost their homes, and some lost their lives. And their blood is on the hands of the environmentalists and their enablers.
I thought that it was pretty obvious from my posting that I was aware of that.
Until you confront that fact you won't realize that removing some larger trees (note I didn't say all) will be necessary to pay for the rest of the cleanup.
That's if you believe that they only way to deal with the cleanup job is to have the logging companies do it and let them do what they otherwise need to do in order to make a profit at it. However, if you decide that the public good of performing the cleanup without the ancillary effects of having the lumber companies do it as a byproduct of logging the forests is worth public expense, then there's no need to involve the logging companies and suffer the bad consequences thereof.
Would you rather not pay anything for the cleanup, and suffer logging roads, erosion, destruction of certain kinds of habitat, logging waste, etc., etc., or would you rather pay for the cleanup with public funds and conserve the forests? In the BWCAW/Superior National Forest, the decision was made in favor of the latter. It gets back to, "What are the purposes of State and National Forests, and how much is it worth to meet those purposes?"
Nonsense. Environmentalists didn't stand in the way of managing those forests properly. They objected to managing them improperly, at cross-purposes to the reasons why they were established in the first place. But the politicians were too enamored of political contributions from logging interests to honor those reasons, instead of trying to turn the forests into tree farms. The local politicians were too enamored or afraid of the developers to zone fire hazard areas against residential development. The developers were too enamored of potential profit to worry about building homes in a fire-hazard zone. And the people who bought them were too enamored of living in those areas to look around themselves and wonder, "What would happen in case of fire?"
Or is personal responsibility no longer a conservative value?
All that was obvious is that you don't like logging.
That's if you believe that they only way to deal with the cleanup job is to have the logging companies do it and let them do what they otherwise need to do in order to make a profit at it. However, if you decide that the public good of performing the cleanup without the ancillary effects of having the lumber companies do it as a byproduct of logging the forests is worth public expense, then there's no need to involve the logging companies and suffer the bad consequences thereof.
First, do you know what it costs to do the kind of work you are asking for? The typical number I see is $1,400 per acre. There are 190 million acres at critical risk of conflagration. That's $266 billion dollars for a single treatment.
That's a lot of "public good" without taking some trees to pay for it. It's unaffordable.
Second, it takes logging equipment to do that kind of work and that isn't necessarily a bad thing. Typically, a forest in the Sierra, for example, has about 40 trees per acre over 24," where before humans intervened (according to forest archaeologist, Dr. Tom Bonnicksen of Texas A&M) there were but six larger trees per acre, albeit as much as six feet in diameter. When trees are stocked at 300 per acre, you often need a climber to take it apart without screwing up the keepers. So there is reason to take a fair number of larger trees if only to reduce water competition.
I do full blown habitat restoration work, so I do the kind of work you would like to see in done in forests. I conduct continuous process development in native plant reintroduction and pest plant control. Somebody has to get that fuel out of there and watch the jobsite carefully for several years thereafter. There's nothing like a landowner for that job.
Third, a good logging road is not the problem they used to be. The best among the industry have come a long way in the last 40 years in that respect. High-lead, or helicopter yarding is very expensive.
Fourth, I don't suppose you know that the forests have accelerated their growth far beyond anything we have ever experienced due to higher concentrations of carbon dioxide. Somebody is going to have to deal with all the resulting extra vegetation or we will watch this awful process of neglect and conflagration repeat itself until the weeds dry it out so badly a tree won't grow.
Finally, considering the urgency of this problem, this isn't necessarily about what is optimal from your perspective, but at least it is economically possible to get it done. In many cases, this is about making the better choice among bad options. The Apache seem to have done pretty well at that, once they fired the Forest Service.
You can have this (where the Apache log and graze the land rather aggressively):
or this (National Forest property):
Both photos were taken the same day, both were burned in the Rodeo/Chediski fire. It's really too bad the Apache didn't have time to undo more of the damage before it blew up. As it is, they got screwed by people who wanted the forest "preserved" their way.
In some cases, the worst of logging jobs is preferable to the kind of fires we have seen.
I think you have a bias against logging. Not all of them are bad you know. The best thing to do would be to get rid of National Forests entirely. It's really the only way to get the kind of attention to detail in consideration of overlapping demands humans put on a forest.
I'd bet you aren't ready for that. Methinks you want it for free.
There is little doubt that the phrase is correct.
But just where is the most important "conservative" mainstream newspaper helping expose those playing this rotten, fuel providing, little game?
So many important questions, and the most important serious newspaper in the country has no front page exposure, explosive or otherwise, of these unholy alliances? Or has Mr. Gigot somehow not gotten around to discussing his insinuations it with the newsroom?
Will somebody please remind me why the Wall Street Journal is a conservative icon? I would really like to know. They seem to be long on irritating us by telling us of the political shenanigans going on in the Senate but short on fingering the culprits (they imply they know who) pay the freight for the obvious obstruction. This all the while forests are placed off-limits, and decay and burn. And when deaths occur because the political class wants to make respective hay through delaying tactics, the deaths are tantamount to criminal manslaughter if not murder.
Look. He's of the hostile-to-us-non-elites TV medium.
By what magic do you suppose such a creature is about to be allowed to provide a different view of us?
Do you really think this man is one of a crew of new brooms who will clean up the seemingly-everyday-more-disreputable world of TV news and change it into even a fair minded medium, let alone a conservative ally?
How can you really think he's really your friend or capable of being our future friend if when even the WSJ can't or won't inform us with enough information that would provide us the means to demand that government financially ruin these miscreants and thereby defund their political stooges?
You have even claimed that Hugh Hewitt would be interested in Carry_okie's ideas. Yet that man has never referenced any of C_O's wonderful ideas, or hinted at even a single of his links between enviro-groups and their questionable government and business cronies and funders of those groups. Hewitt hasn't done it anymore than has Paul Gigot with extreme green groups, which is so typical of his cutsey little phrases that hint but don't reveal.
This is the kind of thing that makes me question the judgment of any person at FR who thinks any broadcast media, even that of "conxervative" talkshow hosts, are anywhere as really concerned as the average FReeper with the dirty dealings that go on at the higher, money-manipulating levels of our society.
That level, in case you haven't figured it out, includes those who pay talkshow hosts and TV media commentators and pundits who get multi-million dollar bookdeals.
And you know I have good reason for my skepticism when even the venerable WSJ can't be counted on to deliver all the facts we need to know.
Here's what I think is Avoiding_Sulla's important question:
Will somebody please remind me why the Wall Street Journal is a conservative icon?
There is a reason that much of corporate America is no longer conservative (what there is left is because of its remnant of entrepreneurs); it is because the unconstitutional regulatory power of government has become power for sale. It's play or die. I think this excerpt from my book explains the more visible mechanics:
The corporate winners can then use their profits to start a tax-exempt foundation with which to fund political advocacy without the annoyance of campaign contribution limits. They use the funding to lobby politicians and direct groups of NGO activists to gather data supporting specific action.
The regulatory system thus ends up as a troika of NGOs, industry oligopoly, and government regulators. The strategies take several forms. To provide an intuitive framework with which to understand some of the behavioral undercurrents, we will use those famous fables from Uncle Remus, respectfully and faithfully recovered from Afro-American Oral History by that noted (and unjustly maligned) anthropologist, Joel Chandler Harris. We will refer to this example as The Briar Patch Effect. The principles are as follows:
But dead wood on the ground is not the major fuel contributor that you suggest. After a few months with rain - the dead wood starts decaying. It quickly absorbs moisture and is far less significant to any fire than the live trees (or the diseased trees that are dying or dead, but still standing).
Decay mechanics are highly situational. In Southern California it is so dry that decay can be fairly slow unless insects get into the wood to break down the structure. Bark beetles aren't enough; it takes termites. Some organic material on the ground helps get a groudcover going because of moisture retention and shade, but a good many of those need fire to germinate as well as to clear pathogens and grasses.
I haven't done it in that area, so I can't call myself an expert, but I'd hazard a guess that (where it hasn't burned) they are better off pulling most of the logs after thinning (except for some needed to serve as trash dams and water breaks), chipping the slash, waiting a year while they nail every weed they can find, and then patch burning in late spring (after the surface has dried but before the vegetation moisture content has dropped). It's an intensive process and can take almost daily monitoring for weeds. Grazing might help in places both for weed control, soil structure, and plant nutrition.
Seriously, weeds are that important. If they get away from you it gets horribly expensive (and possibly futile) to try to stop them. Typically, what I have seen is that after a fire the enviros get all excited about the native plant bloom, they ignore the weeds and try to prevent anybody from using an herbicide, and then the weeds get going and take over. Then the greenies wail about the disaster, not seeing that it was their own failure to recognize the system as it is, as opposed to how they would wish it to be.
Excellent questions -- in need of answers. Unfortunately, the WSJ doesn't begin to get venerable until one gets to the editorial pages, so we'll never find the answers in the columns of their Washington bureau staff. However, John Fund of the opinionjournal.com often does a good, credible job. Bartley, Noonan and Morrison are favorites also.
We had a blowdown ourselves. I was in a crew that had to go into the camp on short notice and cut down hundreds of trees that were blocking roads, leaning over program areas ready to fall, etc. We cut down a bunch of these and dragged them out of the way. The lumber company said that they'd come pick up the logs.
Instead what happened was that they picked up the logs, cut down a bunch of other trees that were perfectly healthy and should have been left standing, left slash lying around to fill up with ticks and provide fire hazard, and basically scalp and abuse the camp.
I understand that unnatural forest management techniques have led to a problem that will require non-optimal techniques to resolve. Damage has been done, and damage will be necessary to alleviate it. I agree that removal of trees is both necessary and desirable. I agree that logging companies can have a role in this. But I don't trust the Bush administration to do this without compromising the recreational and conservationist purposes of the forests in the name of profit.
National forests have many roles. One of them is providing raw materials for the paper and lumber companies. But it is not the overriding interest; there are many others. Rhetoric about the fire disasters in California should not be used to mask or justify abuse of the National Forests for corporate interests.
Once again I come back to the model of what's being done in the Superior National Forest/BWCAW. Why can't that model be followed, or adapted, to the California situation?
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This is the first of three posts concerning the Russian director, Elizaveta Skvortsova. I'll commence with her thesis film of 2002, Wait, Be So Kind. The story is an age old one of a struggle with Death, personified here as a young woman whose dark presence is somewhat challenged by a lively girl cast down to Death's kingdom. The girl has been dispatched by her father, the king, angry at a defeat in battle and by the sight of his daughter embracing her lover. The spirited girl proceeds to argue with Death in order that she return to life if only for a minute. "Do you want me to tell you how beautiful it is to be alive?" Death relents - for one night only. Elizaveta frames the narrative as a slide projection show, as a girl (looking exactly like Death) presents a late night story, a scary one, using old fashioned equipment, complete with mechanical whirring sound. The music is at once melodic and repetitive, a wistful carousel ride, whilst the cut-out style has a simplicity about it that is both appealing and apt, particularly as emblems of life, in all their colour, are wheeled on towards the close. Viewed from the perspective of a child, one fleshes the details out oneself. Death is a lonely figure, strangely discomforted in the presence of Life. Elizaveta attended the State Institute of Filmmaking (VGIK). She was 24 when she made this most beautifully designed short. And yes, life is beautiful.
Thursday, 18 February 2010
Elizaveta Skvortsova "Wait, Be So Kind" (2002)
2 comments:
"Rain" an older short film of her's (1998) is also on You Tube.
She has made some wonderful shorts. Some of the best are her "Lullaby" series, lullabies from around the world.
All her "Lullady" shorts are on You Tube as well.
This You tube user has uploaded many...
- 19 February 2010 at 13:32
- Ian Lumsden said...
Hi Pavlovich,
You could be forming my agenda. In fact I am intending to look at a selection of her lullabies - I've yet to decide on the precise ones - and will follow with "Rain" posted by yourself, for which as always I am truly grateful. Probably Tuesday for the first post. In fact I'm so inundated with emails at the moment I'm a bit lost, particularly as I'm writing this durng a short winter break walking the coast.
- 19 February 2010 at 16:08


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By JASON BAILEYSun Advocate/Progress Webmaster
If you've heard anything about computer security, you have surely heard term "firewall". Security experts have warned, time and time again, "make sure your computer's firewall is turned on." So what is a firewall and why should you care what it is?
A firewall, from a computer context, is something that blocks communication. In computer terms, a firewall is used to block communication between computers on a network. So how can a firewall help you? The answer lies in the definition of a network.
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ELKHART, IND., August 26, 2016 – Thor Motor Coach continues to roll out excellent Class A motorhomes with the 2017 Miramar and Challenger brands. Consumers are sure to find a floor plan that is Made to Fit their needs in the Miramar. With six innovative floor plans, the Miramar is power...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach is seeing summer sales heat up with the 2017 line-up of Recreational Utility Vehicle (RUV) motorhomes. RUVs continue to draw new people to the RV lifestyle and eliminate the shortcomings of a traditional SUV by providing a fully-functional living enviro...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach's 2017 Outlaw motorized toy haulers feature valuable camper conveniences aimed to fit today's life on the road.Class A Outlaw motorhomes receive upgrades from top to bottom this year. Interior decors, faucets, matching stainless steel kitchen appliances, and floori...Read More »
Field & Stream and Outdoor Life magazines' Camp Country will return to this year's CMA Music Festival within the AT&T U-verse® Fan Fair X in Nashville, TN from June 9-12. The Camp Country Booth (#660) will host meet and greets with Josh Thompson (Thursday, 3-4 p.m.) Will...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach Class A diesel motorhomes received luxurious upgrades for the 2017 model year. For 2017, new interior decors, kitchen backsplash and stainless steel sink add a lavish feel to this year's Palazzo® motorhomes. As far as practicality, the Palazzo® has...Read More »
ELKHART, Ind. May 31, 2016 – Thor Motor Coach Class A motorhomes are Made to Fit today's motorhome buyers. The best-selling A.C.E. continues to evolve this model year with new interior upgrades. The 2017 A.C.E comes with a Brazilian Cherry wood option, which gets i...Read More »
Experience upscale living in Thor Motor Coach's new 2017 Quantum and Synergy motorhomes at dealerships across the United States and Canada. The Quantum, the most luxurious Class C on the market, features leatherette furniture, solid surface kitchen counters and hardwood cabinetry. Tho...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach 2017 motorhomes are arriving at dealerships across the United States and Canada. Thor Motor Coach's diverse product lineup is made to fit Class C motorhome buyers with a variety of unique styles, sizes and floor plans that feel custom-made – at a truly competitive ...Read More »
Elkhart, Ind., MAr. 28, 2016 – The excitement continues at Thor Motor Coach regarding their Gemini® and Compass® RUVs (Recreational Utility Vehicles). These new RUVs have been hugely successful with a surge of sales at RV shows in 2016. As the first Ford® Transit equipped...Read More »
Elkhart, Ind., MAR. 9, 2016 – Thor Motor Coach is redefining luxury in Class C motorhomes with the new Quantum® on the Ford E-450 chassis and the Super C line-up under Four Winds® and Chateau® which are produced on the Ford F-550 chassis. These models offer luxuries typically...Read More »
ELKHART, IND., JAN 13, 2016 – Thor Motor Coach will be on full display to the public at the Florida RV SuperShow beginning Wednesday, Jan. 13 through Sunday, Jan. 17. This mega RV event will be held at the Florida State Fairgrounds in Tampa. The Florida RV SuperShow provides a...Read More »
ELKHART, IND., JAN 7, 2015 – From coast to coast, Thor Motor Coach motorhomes are getting ready for an RV show near you. Consumers all over North America have been excited since September to get a look at the new Compass and Gemini motorhomes, the newest members o...Read More »
ELKHART, IND., Nov. 30, 2015 – Thor Motor Coach builds the world's most popular brands of Class A and Class C motorhomes. Many of these models have something new to show off at the RVIA's National RV Trade Show starting Dec. 1, in Louisville, Ky. New floorplan la...Read More »
ELKHART, IND., Nov. 24, 2015 – The Gemini is the newest member of the RUV (Recreational Utility Vehicle) line-up exclusively from Thor Motor Coach. As the first Ford® Transit equipped motorhome in North America, the Gemini shows Baby Boomer and Gen X'ers an alternative to frust...Read More »
ELKHART, IND., Nov. 19, 2015 – Thor Motor Coach's newest diesel motorhome, the Venetian, will introduce a third floorplan to its lineup at the RVIA National Trade Show in Louisville, Ky. The new T42 model provides a bigger platform for those consumers looking for the best combination...Read More »
Elkhart, Ind. – Thor Motor Coach's (TMC) diesel line-up is receiving high marks from consumers for their 2016 motorhomes. TMC redesigned the Tuscany from the ground up starting with a new basement structure and hydraulic slide-out rooms, which greatly increased exterior storage. Fiv...Read More »
Elkhart, IN – Thor Motor Coach (TMC) has released 2016 Axis and Vegas Recreational Utility Vehicle (RUV) Class A motorhomes to the market. The Axis and Vegas have been the talk of the RV industry since their debut in 2014. These motorhomes continue to draw new people to the RV lifestyle,...Read More »
Elkhart, IN – Thor Motor Coach (TMC) continues to impress customers across North America with new features available in 2016 A.C.E., Hurricane and Windsport Class A motorhomes. TMC builds a variety of unique styles, sizes and floor plans that feel custom-made – at a truly competitive...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach (TMC) 2016 motorhomes are arriving at dealerships across the United States and Canada. TMC's diverse product lineup is made to fit Class C motorhome buyers with a variety of unique styles, sizes and floor plans that feel custom-made – at a truly competitive pric...Read More »
Field & Stream and Outdoor Life magazines' Camp Country will return to this year's CMA Music Festival within the AT&T U-verse® Fan Fair X in Nashville, TN from June 11-14. The Camp Country Booth (#420) will host meet and greets with Josh Thompson (Thursday, 1-2 p.m...Read More »
According to Statistical Surveys, a revitalization in retail sales for Toy Haulers has created many new options for those searching for an RV with garage capabilities. Thor Motor Coach (TMC) continues to drive sales with its motorized toy hauler, the Outlaw. Expanding its claim as th...Read More »
Lippert Components, Inc. (LCI®) and Thor Motor Coach, Inc. announced today that it will present a new motorhome to Ark Project Now at 8:40 a.m., Wednesday, April 1, at the Northern Indiana Event Center located at the RV/MH Hall of Fame at 21565 Executive Pkwy, Elkhart, IN 46514. Press a...Read More »
(Tampa RV Show, Florida) Thor Motor Coach (TMC) is showcasing their 2015 floor plans at the Florida RV Trade Association's (FRVTA) Florida RV SuperShow in Tampa, Florida on Wednesday, January 14, 2015 through Saturday, January 18, 2015 with gates opening at 9 ...Read More »
The California RV show in Pomona hosted one of the best retailing shows for the Tuscany, Tuscany XTE and Palazzo lines of diesel motorhomes from Thor Motor Coach (TMC). "From every perspective, our diesel motorhomes were the buzz in Pomona. I think the retail public has really seen the ...Read More »
Elkhart, Ind. – In honor of Breast Cancer Awareness Month, Thor Motor Coach (TMC) raised more than $10,000 for United Cancer Services of Elkhart County. TMC partnered with Gina Lowe, owner of Gigi's Salon, and provided pink hair extensions to more than 500 employees at its motorhome ...Read More »
Pomona, California. – Thor Motor Coach (TMC) is showcasing their new Class A Diesel, Class A Gas, Class B+ and Class C motorhomes at the California RV Show at the L.A. Fairplex in Pomona, California. Gates open on Friday, October 10 and run to October 19, 2014 with the hours of 10 a.m. to ...Read More »
Hershey, Penn. – Thor Motor Coach (TMC) is showcasing new luxury diesel pushers, Class A, Class B+ and Class C motorhomes at America's Largest RV Show (Hershey RV Show) in Hershey, Pennsylvania. Gates open to the public Wednesday, September 10 through Sunday, September 14, 2014. &nb...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach (TMC), North America's No. 1 Motorhome Brand, builds the most diverse and dynamic line-up of motorhomes and continues its innovation with the introduction of Rapid Camp™ on select 2015 Class A and Class C Motorhomes. Rapid Camp™ is a wireless contro...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach (TMC) keeps the momentum going with their new 2015 gas Class A Motorhomes being produced for dealerships across North America. TMC, North America's No. 1 Motorhome Brand, builds the most diverse and dynamic line-up of Class A RVs. The 2015 models kick off w...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach's (TMC) bunkhouse models are a perfect fit with the rise of families enjoying the RV lifestyle. TMC, North America's No. 1 Motorhome Brand, offers a bunk bed in seven of its motorhomes which include Palazzo, Miramar, Windsport, Hurricane, and ACE Class A motorhomes i...Read More »
The retail customers have chosen, nearly 1 out of every 4 motorhomes sold in America are a Thor Motor Coach, making them the #1 brand of motorhomes in the United States for 2013*. Thor Motor Coach's motorhomes make up more than 23% of the US market share. The combination of retail sales f...Read More »
From coast to coast, Thor Motor Coach motorhomes are the hit of retail shows. "Every RV Show so far this year is getting positive feedback. Consumers are really enjoying the innovative product changes we are engineering into our gas-powered motorhomes," commented Joel Grimm,...Read More »
What's hot at the 2014 Tampa RV Show? The Axis and Vegas the RUV (Recreational Utility Vehicles). These new class of motorhomes have created the hottest new segment in the market. These new RUV's are compact, fun to drive and easy to maneuver, while permitting living and storag...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach has earned the prestigious Quality Circle Award for 2013 from the Recreation Vehicle Dealers Association (RVDA). "Without our valued dealers and retail customers, we cannot succeed," said Dana Simon, Vice President of Sales at Thor Motor Coach.  ...Read More »
Filling a void in the Class C Motorhome marketplace, the new Thor Motor Coach 35SK joins the ranks of "Super C Motorhomes" built to satisfy consumers' needs for heavy-duty Class C Motorhomes with a diesel engine. New 2014 Chateau Super C Diesel Motorhomes in ...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach, North America's best-selling motorhome brand has expanded their industry leading "SHIELD OF PROTECTION" customer service program. Thor Motor Coach's Shield of Protection support now includes "SINGLE SOURCE" warranty facilitation service.&nb...Read More »
The New Miramar Class A Motor Homes are heating up the market with a full basement design for the modern motor home market. New Miramar Class A Motor Homes: Video Review "It is exciting to bring to the market a new premium gas Class A Motor Home. Many consumers ...Read More »
The Tuscany XTE and Tuscany diesel motorhomes from leading motorhome manufacturer Thor Motor Coach have hit the market with a brand new look for 2014. Fresh front and rear caps, along with stunning new exterior pai...Read More »
It's almost Memorial Day and the kids will be getting out of school before we know it. Now is the perfect time to take a look at the new Windsport 34J Bunk House Class A motorhomes from Thor Motor Coach, North America's #1 Motorhome Brand. This ingenious bunk bed floorplan prov...Read More »
The Outlaw Toy Hauler is the best retail selling, dedicated Class A Toy Hauler Motorhome, in North America for 2012 according to Statistical Surveys. The Outlaw continues to be the best selling and most affordable Class A Toy Hauler RV on the market. The Outlaw is attracting buyer...Read More »
With large retail RV shows like Cleveland and Tampa now in the rearview mirror, Thor Motor Coach, North America's best selling motorhome brand is continuing to see a huge influx of new buyers for its products. "RV Shows have been really great, getting this year started on the right note...Read More »
The retail public gets it's first glimpse of the new Super C Motorhomes from Thor Motor Coach, with the introduction of the new 33SW. This new model will be available in the already best selling Four Winds and Chateau brands, filling the void in today's market for "p...Read More »
Super C Motorhomes are back at Thor Motor Coach, North America's most chosen motorhome brand, with the introduction of the new 33SW F550 Super C Motorhomes. These new "Heavy Duty" diesel powered Ford F-550 Super Duty class C motorhomes will be available in both the Four Wi...Read More »
North America's top selling motorhome manufacturer, Thor Motor Coach had unleashed a new redesigned and bolder Outlaw toy hauler motorhome with the introduction of the 37LS model earlier this year. Joining the Outlaw's posse is the all new 37MD, the new model provides even more...Read More »
North America's most chosen motorhome brand, Thor Motor Coach, announced today the addition of the travel-sized 34ST model to their Tuscany XTE brand of luxury diesel motorhomes. The new 34ST joins the 36MQ and 40EX as the most compact floor plan to date on the already popula...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach, North America's most trusted and chosen motorhome brand since 2010, reported record retail sales for units sold at the PRVCA Hershey RV Show in Hershey, PA on September 19-23, 2012. "The customer response for our motorhomes was amazing. We had people in t...Read More »
A brand new redesigned Windsport motorhome from Thor Motor Coach will be driving into dealer inventories with its debut at the 2012 Hershey RV Show in Pennsylvania, September 12-16. In addition, this year's show goers will be among the very first to experience Tho...Read More »
North America's top selling motorhome brand, Thor Motor Coach to unveil their newly redesigned Hurricane gas-powered Class A motorhomes at the 2012 Pennsylvania RV Show in Hershey, PA. "With the Hurricane we are building one of the most recognized nameplates in motorhom...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach, North America's best selling motorhome brand has appointed Nicole Short to the position of Director of Customer Service. Short's responsibilities will include the day-to-day activities of both their Customer Care and Parts Fulfillment Departments. Ron...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach announces the launch of the revolutionary 37GT to their Challenger line of premium gas-powered Class A Motorhomes. With the most innovative kitchen design ever for a motorhome, the 2013 Challenger 37GT model offers consumers a ground-breaking island kitchen with ...Read More »
The world's best selling motorhome brand, Thor Motor Coach has added the value driven 33.2 and 33.3 floorplans to the Palazzo line-up of diesel motorhomes. The new 33.2 is targeted to satisfy the first time diesel pusher buyer or the seasoned veteran looking for luxury in a smaller s...Read More »
Leading Motorhome Manufacturer, Thor Motor Coach, Inc. announced the hiring of George Grimm to the position of Southeast Regional Sales Manager for Class A gas and Class C motorhomes. George Grimm For the past 13 years George has gained valuable retail dealer...Read More »
Leading motorhome manufacturer Thor Motor Coach, Inc. has announced the promotion Joel Grimm to the position of National Sales Manager for the Gas Powered Class A Motorhomes and Class C and Class B Gas & Diesel Motorhomes divisions. Joel holds degrees in management and marketing f...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach has been recognized as 2011's top retailing brand of motorhomes in North America according to Statistical Surveys, Inc.. The company's Class C motorhomes captured the #1 market position in 2011 and accounted for nearly 24% of all Class C sales. These resul...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach showcased a host of new motorhomes and features at the 2012 Florida RV Super Show in Tampa, January 10-15, 2012. With heavy traffic and so many new products featured, both new and seasoned RVer's were impressed with the product offerings from Thor Motor Coa...Read More »
World's best selling motorhome brand, Thor Motor Coach announced the promotion of veteran sales executive Adam Gudger to the position of National Sales Manager for the diesel division. Gudger brings with him eleven years of diesel motorhome sales experience. A graduate of the Universi...Read More »
Running full-speed ahead and building on the success of the A.C.E., last year's RV Business "Best of Show" recipient, Thor Motor Coach shows off the new Palazzo motorhome at the Louisville National Trade Show on Tuesday, November 29, 2011. Palazzo, defined as "...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach, North America's best selling motorhome brand has named Ron Davidson the new Vice President of Quality Control and Customer Service. "Ron has been a valuable member of the Thor Motor Coach team. His attention to detail and his dedication to impr...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach announced plans to introduce several new floorplans for the 49th Annual National RV Trade Show which takes place Nov. 29 – Dec. 1 at the Kentucky Exposition Center (KEC) in Louisville, Kentucky. In an effort to further increase momentum, Thor Motor Coach will showcase the ...Read More »
Serrano Diesel Motorhomes in Top 10 and Growing The Thor Motor Coach Serrano has moved into the "Top 10" best selling diesel motorhomes as of August 2011, according to Statistical Surveys Inc. (SSI) of Grand Rapids, Mich. The diesel powered Serrano has increased by 20% in overall re...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach continues as the #1 retailing brand of motorhomes in North America with 22.93% share through June 2011 according to Statistical Surveys. The results also show Thor Motor Coach as the fastest growing motorhome brand among the top 8 major manufacturers with a 27.9% increase ...Read More »
Today Thor Motor Coach released the latest Gas Class A model rankings from Statistical Surveys that named the single floor plan EVO29.1 A.C.E. Motorhome as the 3rd best selling motorhome for the month of April 2011. This follows the "Best of Show" award it earned at its debut a few m...Read More »
The RV-MH Hall of Fame has been selected as venue for Thor Industries RV Dealer Open House, September 20, 21 and 22, 2011. This year's event will feature products from all Thor RV companies including Airstream, Breckenridge, CrossRoads, Dutchmen, Heartland, Keystone RV, Redwood and Thor...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach announced a substantial increase in year to date sales in comparison to the same time period last year. "Our goal is simple, to be the best, and the numbers will follow…" proudly touted Bill Fenech, President and CEO of Thor Motor Coach. "It has be...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach introduced a new 34SS Daybreak floor plan with an innovative exterior kitchen at the 45 annual Timonium RV show in Maryland. "We've seen an explosion of outside kitchens on towable products, but nothing from motorhome manufacturers. This new upscale exteri...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach recently released three new floorplans to its dealer network. The Tuscany 42FK, Challenger 37KT, and the Four Winds 28Z showcase the latest examples of the consumer driven development process at Thor Motor Coach. Increased exterior storage, expandable L-shaped sofas, a feeling o...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach rolled out their "Gold Star Inspection" program today. The new program requires every motorhome to pass a 200+ point Gold Star Inspection before it ships to the dealership. In addition, after the dealer accepts delivery of each coach they will be contacted by a Th...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach, manufacturer of Class A gas and diesel, Class C and Class B+ motorhomes has announced the addition of veteran motorized sales executive Adam Gudger to its staff. Gudger, now the US Southeastern Territory District Sales Manager for the diesel division of Thor Motor Coach, bring...Read More »
Bill Fenech, President and CEO of Thor Motor Coach, raved, "The Louisville show was a huge success. The dealer attitudes towards ALL OUR PRODUCTS and company were phenomenal. The new 'Best in Show' A.C.E and our diesel pushers stole the show!" He went on to say "...Read More »
The RV Business staff unanimous awarded Thor Motor Coach's A.C.E. the "2010 BEST OF SHOW" during the worlds largest RV trade show. "In our view, the A.C.E. – an acronym for "Class A & C Evolution" – is a prime example of a post-recessionary motorhome tha...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach's innovative A.C.E. motorhome drew crowds of enthusiastic dealers during the 48th Annual National RV Trade Show in Louisville, Ky., last week. "There was a non-stop flow of dealers and press from the start of the show until the end, waiting to hear the ful...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach announced today the "New Era Begins" at the 48th Annual National RV Trade Show which takes place Nov. 30 – Dec. 2 at the Kentucky Exposition Center (KEC) in Louisville, Kentucky (www.rvia.org). The introduction of new floor plans, upgraded standard features,...Read More »
Bill Fenech President and CEO and Matt Thompson Vice President of Diesel sales, along with several other Thor Motor Coach employees and a few friends and family, met with four Marines out on a training exercise at the Elkhart Municipal Airport. The mission was simple, break bread, give...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach, North America's #1 retail selling motorhome manufacturer, officially launched a new retail sales and dealer support site today. The retail site, https://thormotorcoach.com/, is designed to be an intuitive customer-focused website. The fully feature...Read More »
"The Thor Motor Coach emblem symbolizes the foundation on which the company is built. We developed the shield over several months to represent the strength, stability, backing and support we are committed to providing to our customers." announced Bill Fenech, President of T...Read More »
Thor Motor Coach reported record breaking sales during the 42nd annual Pennsylvania RV and Camping Show. Virtually all of the brands exceeded any previous sales records. This retail show is the largest RV show in America according to PRVCA and should set the stage for the upcoming show season. ...Read More »
Owners of Four Winds International, Damon Motor Coach, Mandalay Luxury Coach, and Thor Motor Coach diesel products are being welcomed into the newly formed Thor Diesel Club formerly known as Mandalay Travel Club. The club is extending an invitation to all owners of the following Class A diesel c...Read More »
Bill Fenech, President of Damon Motor Coach and Four Winds International, announced a strategic plan to consolidate the operations of Damon and Four Winds to form Thor Motor Coach. Today, Damon and Four Winds combined are the # 1 retail selling motorhome in the industry. (Statistical Sur...Read More »
Archive of News for Four Winds International and Damon Motor Coach up to 8/2010.Read More »


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FISHER, Fred, 1945
Artist Biography
Twisted, 2000
medium density fibreboard, synthetic polymer paint
135.0 cm x 49.0 cm x 49.0 cm
In my work practice I start with concept or form and generally produce a series of works. The works tend to feed off each other and I do not usually draw the objects. I resolve many of my conceptual problems by sketching on A4 paper sheets and the results often remind me of Tinguely's chaotic drawings. I also produce accurate, detailed, technical drawings when I need to resolve structural and geometric issues. I consider my work to be generally intuitive but recognise that this aspect of my practice is often obscured by process.
The impetus for the sculptures I am producing has come from the work and writing of Paul Klee. In The Thinking Eye, Klee deals at length with the 'orientation of pictorial space' and the journey from a point to a line, to a plane and then to form. These works are drawn specifically from what Klee calls 'orientation in space' and the relationship between an object and the pictorial plane. This relationship is addressed by the literal use of planar shapes in the construction of the objects. My objective is to produce sculptures that invite viewers to visually explore the various forms of perceptual structures associated with sculptural practice.
The titles, Twisted and Triple twist, are working titles and literal descriptions. The twisting of a damp cloth by the hand is reflected in the counter rotation of Twisted. The twisting of three strands of hemp to form a rope is reflected in the helical forms of Triple twist.
Twisted is an asymmetrical object where the form was established by the rotation of each disc a set distance around the circumference of the preceding disc. A template determined the size of each disc. The completed form has a figurative quality and displays two distinct characteristics when viewed. From a distance the horizontal planes dominate the form and the object appears to be almost white. As the object is approached the play between the alternating black and white faces of the discs becomes evident and produces an effect of movement.
Triple twist is an object where symmetry defines a form that has been constructed using the geometric principle of a helix. Two helical forms emerge from a solid base and a third joins them by piercing through the base. Circular discs painted alternately red and white were used in the construction of the object. The symmetry, the regularity of disc diameter and the rhythm of the helical forms do not provide the visual ambiguities evident in Twisted; the form dominates line and colour.
Fred Fisher, September 2001
|| Home | Artists | Director | Exhibition | Judges | Prize | Macquarie Bank | Credits


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Gangnam Style hit maker PSY had better watch out as it looks like he has got a rival in the form of Baauers Harlem Shake.
The track which according to aCharts.us has been number 1 in USA http://acharts.us/us_singles_top_100 , Australia http://acharts.us/australia_singles_top_50 and New Zealand http://acharts.us/nz_singles_top_40 has been performed by my legendary teacher Glen at Swindon college where I attend.
It is almost definitely gonna hit the big time now my teacher Glen has done it and it could be a real contender to PSY as the most viewed youtube video of all time.
Check out Glen and the peeps in IT Level 1 here http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpLD3Tv_wfE doing the Harlem Shake
Comments are enabled so feel free to leave 1.
Thanks, MCjakeqcool


text:
POLYWOOD Park Round 36" Picnic Table
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text: This beautiful, traditional range of unique lever handles and accessories perfectly reflects a rustic style and complements the high standard manufacturing quality. These would be perfect for a restoration project or for trying to recreate that authentic period feel. The Oxford matt antique brass lever on rose is a beautiful traditional designed handle with a smooth designer lever.Check stock and price


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Report Lynne Flat Sandal
Sorry, this item is sold out!
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Item # 268740
Weave your look together with this simple flat sandal from Report. The Lynne has cute strappy braids that will add stylish warm-weather flair.
- Braided faux leather upper
- Heel strap with adjustable buckle
- Synthetic sole
- Imported
- View more Women's Report Shoes
By: joann95
Location: Ohio
February 18, 2014
Great Sandal
"I got these sandals for a trip I took with my family. I could walk in these shoes all day without too much irritation. I bought them in tan, so they matched pretty much everything I had with me. I wore them with dresses, shorts and jeans, so they are very versatile. I can't wait to wear them again once the weather is nicer!"
By: mamamama
Location: miami
December 29, 2013
love this shoe but tight
"order half size up"
By: Arimi
Location: NY
November 29, 2013
"Loved these shoes so much that I had to get a second pair in another color. Was comfortable enough to wear all day and did not rub against my skin."
By: 4theluv
October 06, 2013
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Northwood Dominican Drug Dealers
Northwood Dominican Drug Dealers
Members of the Northwood Dominican Drug Dealers
The Lost and Damned
The Ballad of Gay Tony
|Northwood, Algonquin;
Presidents City, Algonquin;
East Holland, Algonquin;
Cerveza Heights, Dukes;
Fortside, Bohan;
Acter, Alderney;
Liberty City
|Willy Valerio
Teddy Benevidez (deceased)
|Dominican Drug Cartel
|Spanish Lords
Pegorino Family (formerly)
Tony Prince
Al Di Napoli
Micro Uzi
|Garage in Northwood
|Willy Valerio
Teddy Benevidez (deceased)
Oscar Gomez
Alonso Gomez
Armando Torres
Henrique Bardas
Luis Lopez (formerly)
Alonzo (can be killed)
The gang is said to be involved in underground streetfighting. Luis Lopez, the Dominican bodyguard of club owner and Ancelotti crime family associate "Gay" Tony Prince, formerly associated with the gang but mentions in The Ballad of Gay Tony that he hasn't worked or spoken with them in years, and the gang may in fact be defunct.
They appear in the mission A Long Way to Fall, where they try to defend Teddy Benevidez. They look similar to members of the Spanish Lords, but with slight differences. Actual members of the gang can be seen walking around Northwood only in the The Ballad of Gay Tony.
Members of NDDD, wear heavy coats varying in colors black, red, or yellow and wear baseball caps and bandanas. Unlike The Lost Brotherhood, if you shoot a member of NDDD they will shoot back with either 9mms or uzis. NDDD also use knives during hand-to-hand combat.
In the mission Corner Kids, Luis, Armando Torres and Henrique Bardas all talk about Willy, Oscar and Alonso and how the LCPD still think they're assosiated with Luis.
In The Ballad of Gay Tony, Armando and Henrique decide to attempt to turn their small time street corner drug dealing business into a new gang of Northwood based drug dealers. Luis helps them achieve this via the "Drug Wars" side missions.
- They seem to be loosely based on Hispanic gang 'Dominicans Don't Play', or 'DDP' for short.
|Gambetti Family • Pavano Family • Lupisella Family • Messina Family • Ancelotti Family • Pegorino Family • Petrovic Family • Faustin Family • Midtown Gangsters • Jaoming Family • Lee Family • Ming Family • Albanians • The Angels of Death • The Lost Brotherhood • Uptown Riders • North Holland Hustlers • Firefly Projects Gang • East Holland Drug Gang • Yardies • Irish • Jewish Mob • Spanish Lords • Northwood Dominican Drug Dealers
Gangs in GTA IV Era • Category:Gangs • Cosa Nostra • Grand Theft Auto IV • The Lost and Damned • The Ballad of Gay Tony • Chinatown Wars


text:
Converse Chuck Taylor All Star Sneaker - Womens
Sorry, this item is sold out!
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Item # 266273
The nostalgic retro styling of the low-top classic Converse® Chuck Taylor® All Star sneaker will never go out of style. Incorporate the vintage shoe into your casual wardrobe and make it your own, footwear for ladies in pink.
- Canvas upper with original Chuck Taylor® patch logo
- Accent foxing strip that ties back to the color of the shoe
- Vulcanized rubber outsole for increased traction and flexibility
- Imported
- More colors available
- View more Converse
By: bellab
Location: Atlanta, GA
June 05, 2013
Good shoe, but not for me.
"I really really wanted to love these shoes! I thought they would be like the Jack Purcell Collection which fit so comfortably. But these ran large, even when I went in the store to try on a smaller size they made my feet look HUGE. And I'm not a tall person so it makes me look like a clown. Hopefully Converse comes out with shoes similar to the way they used to make them. For now I will leave these shoes to the male customers."
By: FortWorthChick
Location: Fort Worth, TX
May 02, 2013
Love, Love, Love my Chucks!!
"Continuing to add to my collection, you can never go wrong with Chucks. They're obviously not as comfy as walking or running shoes would be if you're trying to walk, run or jog for excercise, but I wear mine all day with no problem whatsoever. They run big, so if you're between sizes, size down. Converse All Stars are a true classic and never go out of style. They're right up there with baseball and mom's apple pie... A true All American favorite past time."
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text:
Explaining the Grabovski-Bozak "Stats" Debate in Shinny Hockey Terms
Blake Murphy
July 06 2013 09:22AM
First thing's first: Mikhail Grabovski is an absolute gem. Whether or not you think it's appropriate, you have to laugh at the crazy rant Grabo went on to Jonas Siegel after he was bought out on Thursday. Can't say I blame him, or that he was wrong on any of those points.
There has been some discussion on Twitter and via articles as to whether Grabovski was a good player, a victim of circumstance and underappreciated or a guy blown up by #fancystats who just couldn't get the job done. It hasn't been a back and forth so much as people restating their opinion over and over again, with analytically minded people (or people who watch the games at both ends of the ice) thinking this move is asinine and some main stream media people and Bozak fanboys supporting it. There are people in between those poles but those extremes yell the loudest.
Cam's post sums the anti-buyout side nicely, while I think this picture sums up the other side:
But it really shouldn't be a debate of analytics against the #watchtehgamez crowd. In fact, while some of the "advanced statistics" that have been cited are "advanced" in terms of access, calculation and name, they're really based on very fundamental, practical and easy to understand ideas about the game of hockey. They're ideas that anyone who has played the game or watched closely inherently knows, but once it's quantified some people react negatively as a conditioned response to stats.
So I wanted to take the time to go through some of the stats cited around Grabo (and Bozak, Bolland and Clarkson) and explain them in more simple terms. This isn't meant to be a primer on the stats, and the analytically-inclined can probably gloss over this. This is an explanation for the people who think that numbers ≠ watching hockey and numbers ≠ the realities of the game.
Quality of Teammates
Here's what I want you to do: go to the next session of shinny hockey you can find. After a few minutes, identify the best and worst players on your team.
Spend half the game manipulating your line changes so you're only playing with the best player on your team. (As you'll see, this could be given the verb Bozaking.) At the halfway point of the session, change that strategy so you never play with him or her and instead play with some of the lesser players.
What do you think will happen? Well, if the teams are relatively even and not too subject to randomness, you'll probably do a lot better with the good linemates than the bad ones. Unless you're some sort of other-worldly player, the quality of your teammates will have an impact on how you perform.
This is the reason people measure Corsi QoT, or Quality of Teammates. Corsi QoT tells you what the average Corsi score (a measure of shot attempts for and against) of a player's linemates was. Since the Leafs were a negative-Corsi team and thus everyone is likely to have "negative" teammates, we can use Corsi Rel QoT, which shows this same stat relative to the team average.
The table below shows that, while Grabovski had better teammates over a three-year stretch, Bozak had BY FAR better teammates this season. Phil Kessel probably has something to do with that.
Corsi QoT
|2012-13 Rel QoT
Quality of Competition
Now imagine that same shinny game where you've evaluated all the players quickly at the beginning. Instead of focusing on teammates, this time identify the best player on the opposing team.
Spend the first half of the game matching up with him and trying to shadow him – your job is to shut him down. For the second half of the game, manipulate your shifts so you play against the other team's weakest line. Against the top line, you're focus is defensive and against the lesser line, you're free to gamble and play offensively because they are less likely to capitalize on mistakes or be able to stop you.
Like with the teammates example, you're very likely to see a change in your performance based on these situations. This is the reason people measure Corsi QoC, or Quality of Competition. Corsi QoC tells you what the average Corsi score of a player's opponents was. You can also use Corsi Rel QoC, which shows this same stat relative to the average player on opposing teams.
The table below shows that, while both players played against above-average competition overall, Grabovski has had a more difficult set of opponents.
Corsi QoC
|2012-13 Rel QoC
Shooting Percentage and Save Percentage
Let's go back to our shinny example, but forget about QoC and QoT for the time being. Now imagine you're out there and your team's goalie is just brutal. Muffins from the point, unscreened, are finding their way in. The rebound control is terrible, so even if you do a good job defensively, your goalie is giving the opposing team second and third chances.
At the other end, your line has had a few bad bounces – a great save here, some iron there, you feather a great pass that an open man in the slot whiffs on. Just some bad puck luck for your line.
Add those two elements together, and it's difficult to see your line coming out looking good. You didn't do anything wrong, though. You made the opposition's first shot a low-percentage one and you got good chances in the offensive zone. Would it really be fair to look at your negative plus-minus to evaluate you?
This is why people measure PDO, which adds together the team's save percentage when a player is on the ice and the team's shooting percentage when a player is on the ice. This has been shown to regress heavily over time (to a mark of 1000), such that few players can show a sustained impact on the shooting and save percentages of their team.
The table below shows that, while Grabovski was a bit luckier previously, Bozak was the benefactor of extremely positive variance this past year. The goalie's performance when Bozak was on the ice was much better than when Grabo was – even if Bozak is the chilliest of bros, I doubt very much James Reimer and Ben Scrivens tried to be worse when he left the ice. Bozak's plus-minus, if you want to look at that kind of thing, was also helped by a high shooting percentage by the team when he was on the ice (thanks, Phil!).
Zone Starts
This one is a little tougher to put into shinny terms because it's unrealistic, but assume rec league hockey instead this time around. Now, you sit on the bench until there's a defensive zone faceoff and then you're sent out. Because we're playing a league game now and not shinny, you can't really take three minute shifts, so once your minute is up, you're off. Your job, then, is to keep the puck out of the net and get the puck out of the zone and then get off the ice.
But for the second half of the game, the team decides you'll only start in the offensive zone. You have one goal, and that's to put the puck in the net. If the puck comes out of the zone in a safe way, hop off for a change.
It's pretty easy to imagine what your scoring numbers might be like in one situation versus the other. That's why people count Offensive Zone Starts and put it into percentage terms. A player who starts in the offensive zone 60% of the time with the goal of scoring is in a pretty good situation to put up points, while someone with a 40% mark has a tougher path to points and a greater defensive responsibility.
The table below shows that Mikhail Grabovski has been deployed in the offensive zone far less often than Tyler Bozak, giving Bozak an easier path to points. That said, Bozak was still below a 50% mark due to his faceoff "prowess," which, even if it means little in aggregate terms over the course of a game, makes him a good candidate for important defensive zone daws.
|Offensive Zone Start %
So, put all of these things together now. You're playing with some of your weaker teammates, you're playing against the other team's top line, you're starting in your own zone most of the time, and your goalie is pulling a Toskala.
Do you really expect to put up good offensive numbers? Of course not.
And what about your teammate, a guy at the same position but one you're pretty confident you're better than. He's playing with your best player against weaker competition and starting all his shifts in the offensive zone. The opposing goalie also lets in a pair of softies while he's on the ice.
Is this guy better than you? Would you be okay with this conclusion? Of course not, you'd think it'd ridiculous for this guy to claim he's played better when a good chunk of his success is based entirely on his situation and some variance.
Well that's exactly why Leafs fans are upset about Grabovski being bought out, especially since the end game turned out to be signing Bozak at a $4.2M cap hit (Grabo was at $5.5M with one year less).
This is not a matter of stats against non-stats – every single one of these "stats" cited to support Grabovski's play are ones that were developed to measure things we've all experienced on the ice or, if not, can at least understand the frustration of. This isn't reinventing the wheel, it's just measuring the wheel that's been in existence for some time in different vernacular.
So yes, as the table below shows, Bozak had a slightly better Relative Corsi and more points per 60 even strength minutes. But he did so with better teammates, easier competition, better puck luck, more offensive zone starts AND the benefit of passing to Phil Kessel (he actually scored less than Grabo). Grabovski is better than Bozak, and the Leafs made a mistake in waiving the former to sign the latter.
|Grabo vs Bozak - 2012-13 Summary
|Rel QoT
|Rel QoC
|Corsi Rel
Grabovski is a extremely talented forward you dont need advance stats to tell you that watch a hockey game. Grabovski being bought out had nothing to do with Bozak it had to do with how bad Leafs wanted Clarkson. Bozak could have signed for 3 mil right after Bolland was acquired and Grabovski would have been bought out for Clarkson. Does that mean oh they got Bolland to replace Grabovski no it means they basically traded Grabovski for Clarkson was this a mistake some will say yes others no I am still up in the air give me a few years of Clarkson then I will decide if the Leafs were smart to do it or not.
Here's an better debate rather then your stats.
Coach says "I want you do this." Bozak does is without question, Grabovski says coach is stupid doesn't use me properly, doesn't talk to me, has no trust in me damn defence system.
End result 3rd line and 4th line for Grabovski. Others shaking their head.
Then you got Kadri over there snickering at the sideboards kidding with Lupul saying didn't I do that last year.
July 06 2013, 09:47AM
That said, Bozak was still below a 50% mark due to his faceoff "prowess,"
Actually due to the Leafs being a terrible possession team and constantly being outshot and hemmed into their own zone far too often, only Orr and McLaren had an O-zone Start % greater than 49%.
First I'm going to say people complain too much and focus on the negative. I do find value in advanced stats for pointing out the leafs shot differentials was terrible and changes needed to be made. This was a repeated mantra all season.
But no one wrote or proposed a credible plan with rigorous analysis to address it. For example, people would make comments like they need to add a checking center, or a shutdown dman or stop playing Orr. But no one could provide analysis by how much the leaf shot differential would improve if they sat Orr. Or added a 3C etc.
Just lots of post- event analysis of why it was a terrible move but not forethought and analysis of what to do.
Now I don't like the changes that Nonis made. But he made radical change because there were "holes" in the leafs game. Can you prove or show the changes he made will make the team worse and if so by how much?
Until you can show that, this sounds like people whining about Carlyle as a coach.
"The goalie's performance when Bozak was on the ice was much better than when Grabo was – even if Bozak is the chilliest of bros, I doubt very much James Reimer and Ben Scrivens tried to be worse when he left the ice."
Hockey players are human beings, I mean, it's at least possible that Reimer feels more comfortable when he sees Bozak on the ice. If I was a goalie and one of my close friends say...gave me an approving nod after I made a nice save, it's certainly possible that I would feel more confident and play better.
I've started using and relying on #fancystats far more this offseason and I definitely agree with the main points of your article (screw Nonis for resigning Bozak and buying out Grabo), but in the end I side with Daniel Wagner's viewpoint on Corsi/Fenwick.
What I will really miss with Grabovski gone is his boyish good looks, my partner runs Hockey Inside Out site..Come visit.
LMAO Go Habs Go!!
leaferfan - are you serious?
This site and others like it have been chock full of analysis about this stuff all year long.
Lol, I see Habs fans are trolling under our names! It wasn't us, I swear!
Grabovski is a extremely talented forward you dont need advance stats to tell you that watch a hockey game. Grabovski being bought out had nothing to do with Bozak it had to do with how bad Leafs wanted Clarkson. Bozak could have signed for 3 mil right after Bolland was acquired and Grabovski would have been bought out for Clarkson. Does that mean oh they got Bolland to replace Grabovski no it means they basically traded Grabovski for Clarkson was this a mistake some will say yes others no I am still up in the air give me a few years of Clarkson then I will decide if the Leafs were smart to do it or not.
Your prose is atrocious. Try proofreading what you post if you want people to actually read it.
@Mironovs Nose
Answering a question with a question. Well, yes I've seen plenty of shoddy analysis and strawman narratives.
But simply said, how much up or down will leaf Fenwick close change with the roster changes Nonis made?
The only way for stats to work is if you put a person in another person's shoes. What would they have done with that person at that time in that moment. You cant you base stats on particular person in 1 split second of time with a particular group of people. If you could change that 1 person and say there is proof then sure.
This wont ever happen.. therefore noone really knows the difference, and outcome between 1 person and another they are only guesses, and speculation.
If Anyone thinks Grabovski is a good player, no wonder we havent won Anything since 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 When the Beatles were still young. He is Cute though
I think it's clear that Dave Nonis has shown he's willing to do whatever it takes to draft Connor McDavid next year. Things are looking up Leafs Nation!
Really enjoyed the article. Made me think of playing drop-in hockey with other old farts and having guys wait to sign in to be sure that: A. They'll be on the same team as a guy that actually knows how to play, or B. They won't be on the same team as a guy that's plain awful or a jerk, or the guy that invented the game and never tires of telling you all about it.... May I just reiterate my humble advice to all Leaf fans who are beyond stressed right now: "It's the summer time. Enjoy it. The games begin in the fall and that's when we'll find out what's what. You see, that's why they play the games." Go Leafs!
If Anyone thinks Grabovski is a good player, no wonder we havent won Anything since 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 When the Beatles were still young. He is Cute though
Well the post above illustrates why Grabo is a good player...
Also, would you happen to be James Tanner from PPP? You seem to show the same lack of intelligence he does?
Also worth noting...
I believe Grabo is a vastly superior player to Bozak, but Carlyle would not play Grabo in the role he should have (top six center) for a variety of reasons (ineptitude, lack of intelligence, just didn't like him).
That being said, in a vacuum Grabovski's buyout makes sense because he was useless in a system where Carlyle refused to play him properly. After the Bolland trade, Carlyle saw no need to keep Grabovski and thus he was traded. Now the best solution would be to get a coach that, you know, plays his players properly, but buying out Grabovski makes sense if only because Carlyle is dumb and wouldn't have been used properly.
The Bozak signing is inexcusable though. No way he should be signed to that term and length.
I think this makes sense, We Canadians spend money for our Hockey programs, different league, the kid gets good, maybe gets drafted by a Canadian based team, and is so good in free agency, he leaves for, of course An American team..Nice weather, less pressure and taxes, media not all ovwer you..No wonder they won the last 20 Stanley Cups.


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Returning to Their Roots with the Global Jewish Service Corps
When Karin Goitman of Cincinnati, Ohio, told her Ukrainian-born parents she would spend a year in Ukraine as a JDC Entwine Global Jewish Service Corps fellow, they were a bit surprised.
When Karin Goitman of Cincinnati, Ohio, told her Ukrainian-born parents she would spend a year in Ukraine as a JDC Entwine Global Jewish Service Corps fellow, they were a bit surprised.
For Asya Gelman, participating in the "Memory. Assistance. Generations." project isn't just about reclaiming the names of Holocaust victims nearly lost to history — it's about finding her own place in the story.
Twenty-five years ago, in the spring of 1990, JDC held public Seders in 24 cities across the Soviet Union that collectively attracted 10,000 Jews, and for many was their first Jewish experience in decades. We spoke to Amir Shaviv, who headed JDC's "Soviet Union desk" at the time, to learn more about the program, its impact, and its legacy.
Dressed in shimmering gowns and sparkling jewelry, the models proceeded down the runway to thumping beats and rapturous applause. But there was something slightly different about this fashion show: Half of the models had special needs, and their high-fashion designs were specially modified for their disabilities.
About 5,000 miles east of Moscow, in a remote part of Siberia once designated by Joseph Stalin as a new home for Russia's Jews, 29 young people celebrated their bar and bat mitzvahs last month during a JDC-supported family retreat.
After attending the four-day Freilehe Kinder camp and festival near the central Kazakhstan city of Karaganda, Viktoria Goldina has an important message about Jewish life in this Central Asian country of about 17 million people.
For the past two years, Masha Aryeva, 39, has been the Director of the Yesod Jewish Community Center (JCC)—the first-rate, central hub of Jewish life in the cosmopolitan city of St. Petersburg, Russia.
Olga grew up under communism, when religious practices were outlawed and Jewish life was hushed for decades. She never learned any Jewish history or traditions in her home as a child; when she became a mom, she had none to pass on to her daughters.
Mirroring a common reaction among fellow Jewish 10-year-olds in Minsk, Belarus, Pavel's eyes light up with excitement at the mere mention of "Shemesh" Camp at his local Jewish Community Center (JCC). That's because Pavel can't wait to join his friends for a 10-day session of fun and Jewish learning that will include trips to parks, museums, movies, and other attractions around Minsk.
In Kazakhstan, a country the size of Western Europe and where religious expression was suppressed for decades under Soviet rule, a huge spiritual resurgence is underway. And while the local population is almost evenly split between Russian Orthodoxy and Islam, the local Jewish community—50,000-strong, and by far the largest in the region—is undergoing a vibrant renaissance of its own, one Jew at a time.


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Elder Care
Caring for the elderly is a challenge and can be overwhelming if not given proper consideration. Factors to consider include the choice between professional and home care, as well as a number of financial and legal issues.
Long-Term Care
For those who can no longer take care of themselves, long-term care is a broad term for many different options including nursing homes and in-home care. Long-term care can be incredibly expensive - $40,000 per year or more. Prescription drugs, legal fees and other costs can creep up quickly as well.
People with low income and few assets may be eligible for long-term care through Medicaid or other government assistance programs. Others may wish to purchase long-term care insurance when they're younger to protect their assets later in life. However, this coverage can be very expensive – often several thousand dollars per year, depending on how old you are when you begin paying for coverage. Plus, those with preexisting conditions may be denied coverage.
Long-term care usually consists of some combination of skilled care, intermediate care and custodial care. Skilled care is the most expensive service involving round-the-clock care by a registered nurse under the close supervision of a physician. Intermediate care is less intense and includes occasional nursing and rehabilitative care under the supervision of medical personnel. Custodial care is home care. It provides for the basic, non-medical needs of a patient such as cooking, bathing and other day-to-day needs.
Selecting An Insurance Provider
Long-term care insurance is becoming increasingly popular as a way of easing the financial strain that long-term care can impose. Shopping around for long-term care insurance is important because all policies are different and you will need to find a policy that will fit your particular needs and budget.
With the wide variety of services that are available, choosing the right insurance provider can be difficult. There are a few questions, however, that will help you decide.
- How are the benefits paid? Are they sent directly to the provider or do you have to pay the charges and receive reimbursement?
- Who determines if the patient needs home health or nursing home care?
- What level of care does the policy provide?
- What is the waiting period from when the service begins to when benefits are paid?
- Does the policy cover Alzheimer's disease and related disorders?
The Legalities of Elder Care
When you assume care of an elderly relative, there are many legal documents and formalities that may need to be completed. These should be taken care of as soon as possible and, if the person you are taking into your care can help you, it will make the process go more smoothly. Keep in mind that when someone completes these documents, they are, in fact, giving up some control of their own lives. Only a very close friend or family member with no conflicting motives should be given these powers.
- Letter of Instruction A letter of instruction provides important information and instructions a caretaker may need. It includes the contact information for close family and friends, a list of assets and liabilities, a list of insurance policies and information on all financial accounts.
- Will A will designates who will receive major assets after a person dies. It also includes guardianship of any children under the age of 18. Smaller items such as heirlooms, furniture and other household goods, should be addressed in a separate testamentary letter. This letter should be referenced in the will.
- Powers of Attorney If the people under your care are unable to make decisions for themselves because they are somehow incapacitated, you will need to have power of attorney to make these decisions for them. Of course, they will need to create powers of attorney before they are actually needed. There are two main types of powers of attorney:
- A durable power of attorney gives a person, or people, authority to manage finances and other legal affairs if the person needing care is not capable of managing these. It can be long-term or short-term and allows the party that has power of attorney to use money to provide care, sign tax returns, handle investments and other important matters.
- A healthcare power of attorney allows the person designated to make healthcare decisions if the person being cared for is unable to make these himself or herself. For example, someone holding power of attorney may be able to decide against dangerous surgery if he or she feels that is in the patient's best interest.
- Living Will A living will is a clear statement about wishes regarding artificial life support. If a person's brain is dead yet the body remains functioning only with the help of life support, a living will directs attendants in what choice to make - to keep the machines functioning or turn them off.
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Steven Spielberg's historic epic nets 12 nominations, while Ang Lee's tiger tale earns 11.
Political stumping and stage singing were the order of the day as The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences handed down nominations for the 85th annual Oscars.
Steven Spielberg's Lincoln led all films with 12 nominations, including best picture, best director, best actor for Daniel Day-Lewis and best supporting actress for Sally Field.
Ang Lee's adaptation Life of Pi received 11 nominations, a surprise for some of the publicists and media in attendance at the pre-dawn ceremony in Beverly Hills. Pi earned nominations for best director for Lee and best picture.
BEST PICTURE: Films run the gamut
SURPRISES: Bigelow, Affleck among 2013 snubs
MORE: See the full list of nominees
Les Misérables saw a big morning and a surprising snub. The film earned eight nominations (tying it with Silver Linings Playbook), including best picture, actor for Hugh Jackman and supporting actress for Anne Hathaway. But director Tom Hooper didn't make the cut.
Among the other snubs: Ben Affleck, who was considered a front-runner for a best-director nomination, though his story of the Iran hostage crisis Argo did collect seven nominations, including best picture. Also snubbed in the directing category: Zero Dark Thirty's Kathryn Bigelow and Django Unchained's Quentin Tarantino, both of whom are former Oscar winners.
Surprise nominees included the elderly French love story Amour, which nabbed nominations for best picture, best director (Michael Haneke) and best actress (Emmanuelle Riva).
The low-budget bayou fairy tale Beasts of the Southern Wild collected surprise nominations as well, including best picture, best actress for Quvenzhané Wallis, best director for Benh Zeitlin and best adapted screenplay.
The 85th annual show is scheduled for Feb. 24 on ABC.
The nominations follow a strong year at the turnstiles for the industry, which hit a record $10.8 billion in ticket sales in 2012.
More importantly: Attendance at the cineplex spiked 5% over last year, increasing possible viewership.
Louis Giannetti, emeritus film professor at Case Western Reserve University and author of Understanding Movies, says the academy's selections represent a good-if-not-great year artistically for movies.
He says 2012 lacked "that one big film that everyone acknowledges is a masterpiece and is the overriding favorite."
Of the slate of movies, "I'd give it a B-plus," Giannetti says. "I'm not sure we had a movie this year that just knocked your socks off."
The flip side, he says, is that without a heavyweight, the match-ups could be riveting. Oscar hasn't seen an upset for best picture since 2006, when Crash upset Brokeback Mountain.
Although films like Lincoln, Les Misérables and Argo have been scoring well with smaller film circles, "there is really no front-runner for Oscar," he says. "Even the director's race is up for grabs."


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Michaela Binder, Durham University
In the cemeteries, our work will mainly focus on cemetery D this year, the cemetery area to the north-west of the town. Located on an escarpment, previous excavations in this cemetery by the Egypt Exploration Society (1938/39) and by us in 2010, revealed evidence suggesting that this area was used as a burial ground for the elite. As we've only excavated a small number of graves in this area so far, the additional graves excavated this season will allow us to confirm – or modify – this hypothesis.
We'll start with graves in the immediate vicinity of the elite Ramesside tombs excavated in 2010. On the surface, the tombs are visible as low circular mounds of schist blocks and rubble. The rubble might indicate that the underlying substructures are carved into the bedrock and therefore could be rather substantial. I can't wait until the team finally arrives to find out what is underneath.
Early on Tuesday, a beautiful but rather brisk morning, I and a small group of three workmen started removing the windblown sand from the shaft of grave G307, where excavation had begun in 2010. Presumably due to wind erosion of the surface, a large proportion of the grave's original height has disappeared over the centuries. How much is left of the burial chamber on the west side of the rectangular shaft will be seen over the next few days.
Filed under: Amara West, Archaeology, Ancient Egypt, Ancient Sudan, Cemeteries, excavation, grave


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Copeland, L. and Zhu, Y. (2010) Hedging effectiveness in the index futures market. In: Gregoriou, G. N. and Pascalau, R., eds. (2010) Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Forecasting Models, Computational and Bayesian Models. Palgrave-MacMillan, pp. 97-117. ISBN 9780230283657 Available from: http://eprints.uwe.ac.uk/13599
Copeland, L. and Zhu, Y. (2009) Credit risk premium in a disaster-prone world. In: European Monetary Forum in Leuven, Leveun, Belgium, Nov, 2008. Available from: http://eprints.uwe.ac.uk/13600
Copeland, L. and Zhu, Y. (2009) Rare disasters and the equity risk premium in a two-country world. In: 5th Conference of the Portuguese Finance Network in Coimbra , Coimbra, July 2008. Available from: http://eprints.uwe.ac.uk/13601
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