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About Jeff Masters
Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 16:14 GMT le 30 novembre 2011
On August 24, 2011, I had good reason to fear New York City's worst-case storm surge disaster might be named Irene. As Category 3 Hurricane Irene ripped through the Bahamas on its way to North Carolina and New England, our most reliable hurricane forecasting model--the European (ECMWF) model--predicted that Irene would intensify to Category 4 strength with a 912 mb central pressure as it grazed the Outer Banks of North Carolina, then slowly weaken to a Category 3 hurricane before hitting southern New Jersey. Just a small perturbation from this scenario would bring Irene over New York City as a Category 2 hurricane. Since Irene was an exceptionally large storm with winds that covered a huge stretch of ocean, the storm had a much larger storm surge than it peak winds would suggest, and could have easily brought a storm surge of 15 - 20 feet to New York City. The storm would arrive during the new moon, when tides were at their highest levels of the month, compounding the storm surge risk.
Thankfully, the ECMWF model was wrong, and Irene's eyewall collapsed before the hurricane reached North Carolina. Irene made a direct hit on New York City as a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. Irene's storm surge reached 4.3 feet at the Battery on the south shore of Manhattan, which was high enough to top the city's seawall and flood low-lying park lands and roads near the shore. Fortunately, the water was not high enough to flood New York City's subway system, which could have easily occurred had Irene's winds been just 5 - 10 mph stronger.
Figure 1. Wind forecast for August 28, 2011 made on August 24, 2011 by the ECMWF model for Hurricane Irene. The model predicted that Irene would be a Category 3 or 4 hurricane with a 936 mb central pressure four days later, just south of New Jersey.
New York City: my number one storm surge disaster concern
I met last year with the head of the National hurricane Center's storm surge unit, Jaime Rhome, and asked him what his number one concern was for a future storm surge disaster. Without hesitation, he replied, "New York City." I agreed with him. Strong hurricanes don't make it to New York City very often, since storms must hit the city from the south or southeast in order to stay over water, and most hurricanes are moving northeast or north-northeast when they strike New England. New York also lies far to the north, where cold water and wind shear can tear up any hurricane that might approach. But if you throw the weather dice enough times, your number will eventually come up. New York City's number came up on September 3, 1821, when what was probably a Category 2 hurricane with 110 mph winds struck the city. The water rose 13 feet in just one hour at the Battery, and flooded lower Manhattan as far north as Canal Street--an area that now houses the nation's financial center. The maximum storm surge from this greatest New York City hurricane is unknown, but could have been 15 - 20 feet, which is what NOAA's SLOSH model predicts could occur for a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100-mph winds.
Figure 2. The height above ground that a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds would would create in New York City in a worst-case scenario. The image was generated using the primary computer model used by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to forecast storm surge--the Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model. The accuracy of the SLOSH model is advertised as plus or minus 20%. This "Maximum Water Depth" image shows the water depth at each grid cell of the SLOSH domain. Thus, if you are inland at an elevation of ten feet above mean sea level, and the combined storm surge and tide (the "storm tide") is fifteen feet at your location, the water depth image will show five feet of inundation. This Maximum of the "Maximum Envelope of Waters" (MOM) image was generated for high tide and is a composite of the maximum storm surge found for dozens of individual runs of different Category 2 storms with different tracks. Thus, no single storm will be able to cause the level of flooding depicted in this SLOSH storm surge image. Consult our Storm Surge Inundation Maps for the U.S. coast for more imagery.
New York City's storm surge history
During the December 12, 1992 Nor'easter, powerful winds from the 990 mb storm drove an 8.5-foot storm surge into the Battery Park on the south end of Manhattan. The ocean poured over the city's seawall for several hours, flooding the NYC subway, knocking out power to the entire system. One train had to be backed out of a tunnel that was filling with water, and hundreds of passengers were rescued from stranded trains. Portions of the Port Authority Trans-Hudson Corporation (PATH) train systems in New Jersey were shut down for ten days, after low points in the rail tunnels flooded and major damage occurred to the control signals. Passengers had to be rescued from a train stalled in the PATH tunnel. Surges only one to two feet higher may have caused massive flooding of the PATH train tunnels. La Guardia Airport was closed due to flooded runways. Roadway flooding was also widespread—FDR Drive in lower Manhattan flooded with 4 feet of water, which stranded more than 50 cars and required scuba divers to rescue some of the drivers. Battery Park Tunnel held six feet of water. Major parkways were flooded in Nassau County, Westchester County, and New Jersey. Mass transit between New Jersey and New York was down for ten days, and the storm did hundreds of millions in damage to the city. The situation was similar in September 1960 during Hurricane Donna, which brought a storm surge of 8.36 feet to the Battery, and flooded lower Manhattan to West and Cortland Streets. The November 25, 1950 Nor'easter brought sustained easterly winds of up to 62 mph to LaGuardia Airport, and pushed a large storm surge up Long Island Sound that breached the dikes guarding the airport, flooding the runways.
Figure 3. Water pours into the Hoboken, New Jersey underground PATH mass transit station during the December 12, 1992 Nor'easter. Image credit: Metro New York Hurricane Transport Study, 1995.
Figure 4. Flooded runways at New York's La Guardia Airport after the November 25, 1950 Nor'easter breached the dikes guarding the airport. Sustained easterly winds of up to 62 mph hit the airport, pushing a large storm surge up Long Island Sound. The storm's central pressure bottomed out at 978 mb. Image credit: Queens Borough Public Library, Long Island Division.
Sea level rise and New York City
According to tide gauge data, sea level at the Battery at the south end of Manhattan has risen about 1 foot since 1900. This is higher than the mean global sea level rise of 7 inches (18 cm) that occurred in the 20th century. Global sea level rise occurs because the oceans are expanding as they heat up, and due to melt water from glaciers. The higher sea level rise in New York is due to the fact the land is sinking along the coast. These processes will continue during the coming century.
The U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), predicted in 2007 a 0.6 - 1.9 foot global average sea level rise by 2100. However, they did not include melting from Greenland and Antarctica in this estimate, due to the large uncertainties involved. A paper published by Pfeffer et al. (2008) in Science concluded that the "most likely" range of sea level rise by 2100 is 2.6 - 6.6 feet. Three major sea level papers published since the IPCC report was issued in 2007 all agree that the IPCC significantly underestimated the potential sea level rise by 2100. In a 2009 interview with New Scientist magazine, sea level expert/ glaciologist Robert Bindschadler of the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, commented, "most of my community is comfortable expecting at least a meter (3.28') by the end of this century." Sea level expert Stephan Rahmstorf added, "I sense that now a majority of sea level experts would agree with me that the IPCC projections are much too low." However, he cautioned that the popular media tend to focus on the upper limits of these newer projections (1. 5 - 2.0 meters), and "reaching the upper limits is, by definition, extremely unlikely.""
The sea level rise situation will be worse in areas where ocean currents have a large impact on the local sea level. This is the case along the Northeast U.S. coast, where the balance of forces required to maintain the very strong and narrow Gulf Stream Current means that sea water is sucked away from the coast, lowering the relative sea level from North Carolina northwards. During the coming century, the addition of large amounts of heat and fresh water into the North Atlantic due to higher precipitation, river runoff, and increased melting of glaciers is expected to weaken the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) (also referred to as the thermohaline circulation), a global network of density-driven ocean currents. Weakening the thermohaline circulation will allow the Gulf Stream to spread out, resulting in sea level rise along the Northeast U.S. coast. Hu et al. (2009) found that a slow-down of the Meridional Overturning Circulation by 48% may occur by 2100, resulting in a 0.1 - 0.3 meter (0.25 - 1.0 ft) rise in sea level along the U.S. Northeast coast and Canadian Atlantic coast. This rise would be in addition to global sea level rise from melting glaciers and thermal expansion of the waters. A similar study by Yin et al. (2009) found a slow-down of the Meridional Overturning Circulation of 41% by 2100. New York City was in the region with the highest expected sea level rise from this ocean current effect--a rise of about 0.2 meters (0.75 feet) by the year 2100. If the Atlantic thermohaline circulation were to totally collapse, the authors predict a 4 ft (1.2 meter) rise in sea level along the U.S. Northeast coast solely due to the change in ocean currents. The IPCC predicts that such an abrupt climate change event (rather ridiculously depicted in the movie The Day After Tomorrow) will not occur in the coming century, though.
The future: Stronger hurricanes for New York City?
According to a summary statement endorsed by 125 of the world's top hurricane scientists at the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Sixth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones, in San Jose Costa Rica, in November 2006. "it is likely that some increase in tropical cyclone intensity will occur if the climate continues to warm." This makes intuitive sense, since hurricanes are heat engines that convert the heat of the ocean waters into the mechanical energy of wind. Turn up the thermostat, and you increase the energy available to make the strongest storms stronger. One major reason hurricanes weaken quickly when they approach New England is that the coastal waters cool dramatically north of North Carolina. As ocean waters warm during the coming century, hurricanes will be more able to maintain their strength farther to the north. One of the reasons the ECMWF model was simulating a 936 mb Hurricane Irene hitting New Jersey was because ocean temperatures off the mid-Atlantic coast were 1°C (1.8°F) above average during August 2011--the 7th warmest in recorded history. These high ocean temperature were due to the exceptional heat wave that gripped much of the mid-Atlantic during the summer of 2011--every state along the coast from Florida to New Jersey had a summer that ranked in the top four warmest summers since 1895. Such heat waves and warm ocean temperature are expected to become the new normal by mid-century, resulting in increased chances for strong hurricanes to make it to New England.
Figure 5. Summer temperatures along the U.S. Atlantic coast during 2011 ranked as 2nd - 4th warmest on record from Florida to New Jersey, resulting in exceptionally warm waters along the coast for Hurricane Irene to feed off of in late August. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center.
The other major reason that strong hurricanes have trouble making it to New England is that wind shear generally increases as one gets closer to the pole, due to the presence of the powerful winds of the polar jet stream. However, climate change theory predicts that the jet stream should migrate poleward during the coming decades, potentially reducing the amount of wind shear hurricanes arriving in New England will experience. A 2008 study by Archer and Caldeira found that the jet stream moved northwards 125 miles per decade during the 22-year period 1979 - 2001, in agreement with climate change theory. However, the migration of the jet stream northwards may also mean that hurricanes will be less likely to be caught up in a trough of low pressure embedded in the jet stream, resulting in fewer hurricanes swinging northwards to impact New England. At this point, it is hard to say whether or not changes to the jet stream due to climate change will alter the frequency of strong hurricanes reaching New England.
New York City's inadequate sea wall
The floodwalls protecting Manhattan are only five feet above mean sea level. At high tide, the water is only 3.5 feet below the top of the seawall, so clearly Manhattan is going to have a serious storm surge problem by the end of the century if sea level rise reaches the 3-foot plus figure many sea level rise scientists are predicting. As Ben Straus of Climate Central pointed out in a blog post on Irene, "sea level rise will amplify the impact of future hurricanes and Nor'easters. If we replay the 20th century but add an extra foot of sea level at the start (the extra foot we indeed started with in 2000, compared to 1900), about six events would produce higher water levels than the Nor'easter of 1992." Remember, the 1992 Nor'easter crippled the city's transportation system for ten days and caused hundreds of millions in damage. A Category 2 hurricane like the 1821 hurricane would be far worse, and could result in severe global economic consequences. A 15-foot storm surge from such a hurricane would swamp JFK and La Guardia airports. Manhattan would flood north to Canal Street, shutting down Wall Street and New York City's Financial District. The Holland Tunnel, much of the NYC subway system, and the New Jersey PATH mass transit systems would all flood. Many of the power plants that supply the city with electricity might be knocked out, or their docks to supply them with fuel could be destroyed. Nearly half a million people and almost 300,000 jobs lie within the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) 0.2-percent-annual-chance flood zones that would be inundated. As New York Times columnist Nate Silver wrote, such a disaster would likely cost near $100 billion. Furthermore, he makes the point, "Keep in mind that New York City's annual gross domestic product is about $1.4 trillion, one-tenth of the nation's gross domestic product, so if much of the city were to become dysfunctional for months or more, the damage to the global and domestic economies would be almost incalculable."
Figure 6. The seawall protecting Manhattan at Battery Park is only 5 feet above mean sea level. Tidal range at the Battery is plus or minus 1.5 feet, so at high tide a storm surge of just 3.5 feet is needed to send water over the seawall and into Manhattan.
Flooding of the NYC subway system
The U.S. Federal Transit Administration released a report in October 2011 called, "Flooded Bus Barns and Buckled Rails: Public Transportation and Climate Change Adaptation". The report says that with three feet of sea-level rise, the flooding produced by a 100-year storm at current sea levels will require only a 10-year storm, in other words, a tenfold increase in the frequency of flooding. Even without sea-level rise, a 100-year flood (an 8-foot storm surge) would inundate substantial portions of the subway system, whose tunnels generally lie twenty feet below street level. With sea-level rise though, the flooding occurs more rapidly and is more severe. A 100-year flood with a four foot rise in sea level would flood a large fraction of Manhattan subways, including virtually all of the tunnels crossing into the Bronx beneath the Harlem River and the tunnels under the East River. Flood waters enter the subway tunnels mostly vertically via ventilation grates and entrances as the streets flood, but also via inclined rail and road tunnels. Hydraulic computations show complete flooding takes only 40 minutes. Recovery would require obtaining huge quantities of pumps and hoses, awaiting restoration of power to the electrical grid, pumping out the flood waters, cleaning out miles of muddy and debris-filled platforms, stairs, tunnels and trackway, assessing the damage, and repairing problems. Much of the signal equipment and controls in the tunnels would be damged by salt or brackish water and would need to be disassembled, cleaned, and repaired or replaced to avoid corrosion and irreparable long-term damage. This specialized equipment, some of it 100 years old, is difficult to obtain and in many cases no longer manufactured. Researchers estimate a minimum recovery time of three to four weeks to reach 90 percent capacity, although when engineers were presented with the question, they believed that it could take one to two years to recover fully. This also assumes trains were moved to portions of the system with elevations above flood levels, in anticipation of the storm and were thus not damaged. Additional problems could result if the flood waters were contaminated with toxins. Combined economic and physical damage losses from subway tunnel flooding under a 100-year storm surge were estimated at $58 billion at current sea levels and $84 billion with four feet of sea-level rise, assuming a linear recovery and an estimated subway outage time of three to four weeks.
Figure 7. New York City Subway vulnerability to a 100-year flood of 8 feet, with a 4-foot sea level rise. Blue lines are flooded subway tunnels. Orange areas have elevation less than 30 feet at present. Subway tracks are typically 20 feet below street level. Image credit: New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA), ClimAID: Responding to Climate Change in New York State, Draft Version, 2010.
What to do? Build a storm surge barrier
As I discussed in Part One of this series on U.S. storm surge risk, three cities in New England--Stamford, Providence, and New Bedford--have already built hurricane storm surge barriers that have more than paid for the cost of their construction in damages saved. Many coastal cities will need to substantially improve their flood defenses in coming decades due to rising sea levels. For New York, the best solution is to place three barriers at strategic "choke points"—the Verrazano Narrows, Throgs Neck, and the Arthur Kill, argues Douglas Hill of Stony Brook University's Storm Surge Research Group. I'll present his arguments in a guest post in Part Three of this series on storm surge risk in the U.S., coming up sometime in the next week.
Resources and references
Storm surge barriers: the New England experience: Part One of this series on U.S. storm surge risk.
The National Hurricane Center's Interactive Storm Surge Risk Map, which allows one to pick a particular Category hurricane and zoom in to see the height above ground level a worst-case storm surge may go.
Wunderground's Storm Surge Inundation Maps for the U.S. coast.
Climate Change Adaptation in New York City: Building a Risk Management Response: New York City Panel on Climate Change 2010 Report
Climate change information resources for NYC from Columbia University.
Landstrike is an entertaining fictional account of a Category 4 hurricane hitting New York City.
Colle, B.A., et al., 2008, New York City's vulnerability to coastal flooding: storm surge modeling of past cyclones, Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 89, 829–841 (2008).
Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. Han, and J. Yin (2009), "Transient response of the MOC and climate to potential melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the 21st century", Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L10707, doi:10.1029/2009GL037998 29 May 2009
Rignot, E., and P. Kanagaratnam (2006), Changes in the velocity structure of the Greenland Ice Sheet, Science, 311, 986. 990.
Yin, J., M.E. Schlesinger, and R.J. Stouffer, 2009, "Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States", Nature Geoscience 2, 262 - 266 (2009).
Lady Liberty not at risk from a storm surge
As a side note, the Statue of Liberty is not vulnerable to a storm surge, since the good lady stands atop a 65-foot high foundation and 89-foot high granite pedestal. However, the 305' height of the lady's torch above the foundation means the statue will experience winds a full Saffir-Simpson category higher than winds at the surface. The statue is rated to survive a wind load of 58 psf, which is roughly equivalent to 120 mph winds (Category 3 hurricane). However, a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 105 mph winds will be able to generate 120 mph winds at a height of 300 feet, and would theoretically be capable of toppling the Statue of Liberty.
Jeff Masters
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.
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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather
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Elevating The Peak of the Pyramid
By Bill Starr
After my article 'Lock and Load' appeared in the August '04 IRON MAN, I received a number of letters from readers. They all contained the same message'that I hadn't elaborated enough on the subject of expanding the workload. One man coached youngsters and wanted to know how to build a solid base from the very first workout. Another was an experienced Olympic weightlifter who was preparing for the Masters Nationals. He was interested in learning how to increase his workload and how he could improve his numbers on the two contested lifts, the snatch and clean and jerk.
I wrote to them and told them it was all Uncle Buddy's fault. He didn't let me put in my two cents' worth when he was giving his lecture on workload at the gym. Here's what I'd have said, if I'd had the chance, about widening the base and elevating the peak of your strength pyramid.
I use the symbol of a pyramid to help explain the process of strength development'a pyramid in which the two sides and base are of equal length. Simply put, in order to raise the top of the pyramid, you must expand the base. You accomplish that by increasing the total amount of work you do in a given week and month and also by doing quality work. So gaining strength takes time and lots of effort. There are no shortcuts, not in the long run. Sure, using steroids will bring faster gains, but only for a limited time. Eventually, even those using the juice have to put in the extra work in order to move to a higher level of strength.
I have a brief comment on quick fixes for those who plan to continue lifting into their 40s, 50s and beyond. While that bottle of Winstrol will elevate the numbers on all of your lifts, once you stop taking the drug, most likely because of the $140 price tag, those top-end numbers will start falling at an alarming rate. I watched a young athlete move his bench from 295 to 365 in a matter of months. He made no secret of the fact that he was on steroids. When he ran out, his bench slipped back to less than 300 in three weeks. To say that was devastating to his ego would be an understatement. It was so devastating, he quit coming to the gym. All he got out of the experience was a thinner wallet and most likely some sore joints.
One of the problems of using any form of anabolic steroid to enhance strength is that the gains come too quickly. To someone wanting to get stronger that may sound contradictory, but it isn't. Quick gains don't give your joints sufficient time to adapt to the new stress. Some joints, like the elbows and shoulders, are rather delicate and break down under undue strain. In addition, any drug, even something as innocent as aspirin, affects your internal organs, particularly your liver and kidneys. Long-term anabolic use can cause damage that will have traumatic health consequences somewhere down the line.
If athletes would put forth the necessary effort in the gym and pay strict attention to nutrition and rest, they could reach the same level of strength they get with drugs'with no risk to their health. It would take longer, but so what? Most athletes don't believe that's possible. I know it is because I've seen it happen (see 'A Natural Alternative' below).
The procedure for getting stronger is really the same for everyone. Whether you're rehabbing from surgery or trying to qualify for a major weightlifting contest, it starts with a routine that you can recover from, then slowly increases the workload and improves your top-end numbers.
To be successful in the quest for greater strength, at any level, you must keep accurate records. Otherwise, there's no way for you to know for certain that you're doing more than you did previously. Most people aren't able to recall what they did at their workouts a week ago, so it's impossible to remember the numbers from a month ago. I encourage all of my serious strength athletes to keep a workout book. Over the years I've noticed that those who took my advice and kept a detailed record of their workouts made greater improvements than those who didn't.
These records are valuable, not only for your immediate needs but also for future reference. Trust me, the workout logs you keep while you're just getting started can be most helpful when you climb to a higher strength stratum. You can look back and recall the auxiliary exercises you used when you achieved that 350 bench or the sequence of lifts that you were doing during the time you made your greatest progress. Or what supplements you were taking. I urge you to write down everything that might have an influence on your training: the weather, the amount of rest you got the night before, your diet, supplements, bodyweight, biorhythms, plus any other factors such as injuries or unusual worries. Anxiety has a direct bearing on athletic performance. The act of writing down what you did in the gym each day is helpful in itself. It enables you to review how you performed and then look forward to the numbers you want to hit at the next session. That makes you much better prepared. Whenever I start athletes on a strength program'or restart them after an extended layoff'I restrict the amount of work at the first session to three sets of three core lifts. Typically, I use the big three: the bench press, squat and power clean. I keep the reps at five to six on the power clean so the athletes' form isn't adversely affected, but I run the reps up to 10 on the other two lifts. If they've used a strength program in the past, they invariably complain about the meager workout, though not for long. At the second session they're grateful that I didn't have them do more. They'd forgotten how sore they could get.
Everyone starts out in that fashion. Even if you've handled some big weights in the past, you have to approach the situation as a rank beginner. The body loses strength at a surprisingly fast rate. I've always thought it as totally unfair that you can train diligently for six consecutive months, acquire an impressive degree of strength fitness and then lay off for a month and be forced to begin again from scratch. Well, not completely from scratch: Experience counts. Seasoned lifters have mastered the technique on the selected exercises and have handled the numbers on the way up to their best lifts. They also have muscle memory, understand how their body responds to certain movements and have a confidence that gives them a huge advantage over someone who's starting a strength program for the first time.
In my fantasy world having strength would be like having money in the bank. Once you acquired it, it would be there whenever you needed it, regardless of whether you trained. Sadly, life isn't that simple. So it doesn't matter if you're embarking on your first strength program or starting back after an injury or layoff, you need to proceed with common sense sprinkled with a dose of caution.
In addition to limiting the number of sets and reps at the initial session, I keep the weights light. For beginners that's easy. I merely observe them and determine how much is enough. Weight selection for seasoned strength athletes is a tad harder. A football player who tested out with a 400-pound squat at the end of the off-season program in the spring will use 135, 225 and 275. In the event that I see him struggling with 225, that's as high as he goes. When in doubt, do less rather than more at that first workout.
From there it's just a matter of moving forward in a systematic fashion, adding more work and running up the top-end weights on the final sets. At the second workout move to four sets, and at the third use five. During the second week do all the lifts for five sets of five, and by Friday you should be ready to add back-off sets on the squat and bench, not the power clean. I don't recommend doing back-off sets on any back exercise at any phase of the program.
In the third week start including auxiliary exercises for the smaller groups as well as for any bodypart that needs extra work. There's plenty to choose from: Dumbbell presses, incline dumbbell presses, lat pulldowns, triceps pushdowns, straight-arm pullovers, dips, various curls, leg curls, leg extensions, leg adductor work and machine calf raises. Do no more than two per workout, and do them for high reps, 15s or 20s for two sets. As you become more advanced, you can include more than two exercises per session, but not in the early going. In the formative stages it's often the extra effort spent on upper arms and chest that pushes lifters into overtraining, not the five sets of five on the core exercises.
At the end of the month you'll be ready to begin building more variety into your program. Instead of doing power cleans three times a week, do them only on Mondays and introduce good mornings on Wednesdays and high pulls or shrugs on Fridays. For your upper body, bench presses, incline presses, dips and overhead presses will fill the bill. Stay with squats for all three workouts. Vary the sets and reps and use the heavy, light and medium system.
Everyone progresses at his or her own rate; however, everyone eventually arrives at a plateau, where progress comes to a halt. That's when you need to make some changes to further increase your workload and at the same time keep punching your top-end numbers up. There are many ways to accomplish that. You could do extra work sets or add a second exercise for a certain bodypart. For example, I've had several athletes who greatly improved their workload and max singles by doing inclines and weighted dips at the same session. Follow up power cleans with high pulls and overhead presses with push presses or jerks.
At some point you might find that you're staying at the gym too long. An hour and a half will be plenty. If you're stretching that to two hours or more, you aren't getting much productivity out of those final exercises, and the overwork will most likely have an adverse effect on your next session. The solution'add another day. It can be a very light day, where you're in and out in a half hour to 40 minutes. A short workout is the perfect opportunity to get in those exercises that you can't find time for in your regular workouts. Even though it's short and you keep the weights relatively light, it will greatly increase your weekly workload.
If you have weights at home, you can do a short session with dumbbells or light weights on a barbell on the days when you don't go to the gym. Of course, if your situation permits it, doing a double session a couple of times a week really bumps up the overall tonnage. We were able to do that when I worked at York Barbell, since lifting was part of our jobs. We would do a 45-minute session at noon, then come back at four for a longer workout. I realize that not everyone is in such an advantageous position.
I should mention that while I build lots of variety into my athletes' programs, it's not absolutely necessary. You can make gains without doing that. A large number of lifters at the York Barbell Club only did the three Olympic lifts'the press, snatch and clean and jerk'and squats. They never did any auxiliary movements whatsoever. Great athletes such as Bob Bednarski, Bill March, Homer Brannun and others followed that regimen with much success. It was what they now call sport-specific training, and many powerlifters follow that concept as well.
Merely adding to the work you do in a week or a month is, in itself, not enough to help you set a personal record on a particular lift. Let's say you've been doing 225 for three sets of five on the bench. Over time you add three more sets of five, doubling your workload. The problem is, you haven't pushed the peak of the pyramid any higher.
In order to do that, you have to include lower reps with heavier weights in your program. You need triples, doubles and singles because they involve the attachments much more than performing higher reps does, and the tendons and ligaments are the sources of strength. An effective method of expanding the workload systematically is to change the reps each time you do an exercise. The sequence I like for nearly every lift is; eight, five, three, two or one. That way you max out on a primary lift every month. For example, I use four core exercises for upper body: bench presses, inclines, overhead presses and weighted dips. You rotate the suggested reps sequence for the various lifts so that you do a max single or double on one of them each week. That's highly motivational, as it gives you a goal to shoot for every week.
Keep in mind that you must move your triple to within roughly 20 pounds of your target single and your double to within 10 pounds before you have a good chance of succeeding with it. In other words, you need to double 290 or triple 280 if you want to make that magical 300 single. Some people can do better than that, but it's a good rule of thumb.
It's not at all uncommon for athletes to double their workloads and increase the top-end numbers on their primary lifts by 50 percent in the first six weeks of training. Naturally, the rate of progress slows down, which brings me to the obvious question: What's the most you can expand your weekly workload without running the risk of becoming overtrained? Once you've reached a fairly high level, around 75,000 pounds a week, you should increase your workload by no more than 10 percent the following month.
I adopted that percentage from the way long-distance runners train. Distance is to the runner what workload is to the lifter. Runners know that they must run X miles a week in order to be competitive in a race. They also understand that if they try to add mileage faster than that, they'll become overtrained. While 10 percent a month may not sound like much of an increase, it definitely is. Take the above example, in which you're handling 75,000 pounds a week. If you increase your workload by the prescribed percentage for the next four months, you'll find yourself with a weekly workload of 110,000 pounds.
A method I've found useful for nudging the workload ever higher without getting stale is to follow a very heavy week with a less demanding one. A simple way to achieve that is with exercise selection. During the really heavy week, do deadlifts instead of power cleans and high pulls, almost straight-legged deadlifts in place of good mornings, and push presses or jerks instead of overhead presses. That will bump all the numbers up a notch. The following, less heavy week, won't be easier because you'll still push to limit, but the lower total poundage will be less stressful, so you'll be able to recover better.
Some trainees find they do even better if they include only one really heavy week in a month, and I've had a few advanced athletes who benefited from following a heavy, light, medium, medium sequence of weeks each month.
I can't emphasize too much the importance of getting the rest you need and supplying your body with all the necessary nutrients when you're attempting to expand your workload and increase your top-end numbers. It's absolutely critical for success. In many instances athletes becomes overtrained, not because of the amount of work they're doing in the weight room but, rather, because of a lack of rest and/or poor nutrition.
Keep accurate, detailed records, gradually extend the base of your strength pyramid, and jack up the peak. In no time at all you'll have the tallest pyramid in the gym'maybe the entire state.
A Natural Alternative
An athlete whom I got started in Olympic weightlifting became good enough to earn a spot on an international team. A surprise drug test caught him off guard, and he tested positive for anabolic steroids. He was bumped from the team and given a two-year suspension. Should he be caught using again, the suspension would be for life. It so happened that I was living only an hour away from him when all this happened. He contacted me, wanting to know if I could help him get back to his former strength level without taking illegal substances.
Knowing that he had the resources to purchase the supplements he'd need and had ample time in which to train, I told him that I believed he could do it, although it might take six months or longer. Not having a lot of options'all his lifts had fallen drastically after he quit using'he agreed to give my program a try.
Part of the deal was that he had to keep accurate records of every workout, calculate his daily and weekly workloads, note the supplements he took and the amounts and keep track of other factors such as rest and bodyweight. The supplements he used were the basics: B-complex vitamins, vitamins E, C, A and D, a multimineral tablet, a magnesium-and-calcium combo, amino acid tablets and protein powder for milkshakes. I stayed away from anything exotic, even avoiding creatine, in the event that it suddenly made the blacklist. He would be taking megadoses of everything, and it would cost him a bundle, although not nearly as much as he'd been spending on several types of steroids.
Once a week I drove over to where he trained and checked out his form. Then we'd go to his apartment, eat and look over his workout book. Together, we decided on any adjustments to increase workload, bring up a weak lift, add some new exercises or alter the quantity of some supplement.
To make a long story short, seven months after he stopped using steroids, he equaled his best snatch and bettered his clean and jerk by five pounds. After he was reinstated, he remained in the top half dozen in his weight class for two years before a knee injury put him out of the sport.
Keep in mind that he was already an advanced lifter when he embarked on this program, was able to afford the huge quantities of supplements he ingested daily and had the luxury of time to train, sometimes twice a day. Yet it proves once again that the natural route can be successful'with the only side effect being a better state of health.
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An old article I had saved from years ago, which I haven't seen published too much but explores a concept which becomes increasingly more important as you progress.
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Nice article Fazc. Thanks for posting it up.
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The crowd at AAMI Park in Melbourne were treated to ten tries as the Bulls edged a determined Rebels outfit 41-35 on Friday.
The crowd at AAMI Park in Melbourne were treated to ten tries as the Bulls edged a determined Rebels outfit 41-35 on Friday.
It was a valiant effort from the home side, who pushed the Bulls from start to finish and will be left reeling after suffering their seventh defeat of the season that could so nearly have ended with a win.
They matched the Bulls in all facets of play, however two penalties by Morne Steyn ultimately proved to be the only difference between the two sides at the final whistle.
Kurtley Beale's switch from full-back to fly-half proved to be a masterstroke by the Rebels, with the Wallabies star causing all sorts of trouble from the pivotal position while his goal-kicking was flawless.
However, his opposite number was equally up to the task with ball in hand and from the tee to finish a gripping encounter with a personal haul of 21 points.
The result takes the Bulls top of the South African conference and overall standings on 42 points, albeit temporarily with the Chiefs (39) still to play the toothless Lions on Saturday.
The Bulls started favourites and it looked like the hosts were in for a long day at the office after wing Akona Ndungane raced in for the opening try of the match after five minutes played.
Steyn slotted the touchline conversion and the Bulls had an early seven-point lead in their debut match in Melbourne.
But the men in pink were then forced to play catch-up when Rodney Blake and then Cooper Vuna scored in the space of five minutes to give the Rebels a 14-7 lead after Beale – who played a hand in both – added an extra four points from in front.
The Bulls hit back through a converted try to Bjorn Basson soon after the restart that drew the scores level, but were then a player short when lock Flip van der Merwe was sent to the sin-bin.
Rebels flank Luke Jones joined the Bok lock a few minutes later thanks to his tip-tackle on Basson, that may come back to haunt him if cited.
So with the scores locked at 14-all and fourteen players on each side, it was an even contest at this stage of the match until Steyn slotted over his first penalty of the game.
Steyn extended his side's lead even further courtesy of a simple converted solo score that was cancelled out by the impressive Nick Phipps five minutes from the break.
The Rebels weren't done there, however, after captain Gareth Delve was rewarded for turning down a penalty kick on offer to score under the posts in injury time to cut the Bulls lead to just three points (28-31) at half-time.
Only some strong defence from the Bulls kept the Rebels at bay early in the second half as the hosts enjoyed plenty of possession, but ultimately they were unable to turn that into points.
It proved to be costly after Steyn put in a clever chip-kick to set up centre JJ Engelbrecht for a try as the Bulls restored their 10-point buffer with 20 minutes remaining.
The Rebels needed to score at least twice to pinch the victory and were given a glimmer of hope when Vuna got his second of the evening in the 65th minute to set up a thrilling finish.
Trailing by just three points, the Rebels once again had all the momentum, only for Steyn to punish another bout of ill-discipline from the hosts. The Bok pivot's second penalty left the Rebels six points behind (41-35) with seven minutes left on the clock.
And that's where it stayed after the Rebels tried in vain to exploit a gap in the Bulls' stubborn defence.
The scorers:
For Rebels:
Tries: Blake, Vuna 2, Phipps, Delve
Cons: Beale 5
For Bulls:
Tries: Ndungane, Basson, Steyn, Stander, Engelbrecht
Cons: Steyn 5
Pens: Steyn 2
Melbourne Rebels: 15 Julian Huxley, 14 Mark Gerrard, 13 Mitch Inman, 12 Lachlan Mitchell, 11 Cooper Vuna, 10 Kurtley Beale, 9 Nick Phipps, 8 Gareth Delve, 7 Tim Davidson, 6 Luke Jones, 5 Hugh Pyle, 4 Cadeyrn Neville, 3 Rod Blake, 2 Ged Robinson, 1 Nic Henderson.
Replacements: 16 Adam Freier, 17 Jono Owen, 18 Al Campbell, 19 Ryan Hodson, 20 Richard Kingi, 21 James Hilgendorf, 22 Stirling Mortlock.
Bulls: 15 Zane Kirchner, 14 Akona Ndungane, 13 JJ Engelbrecht, 12 Wynand Olivier, 11 Bjorn Basson, 10 Morne Steyn, 9 Francois Hougaard, 8 Pierre Spies (c), 7 Jacques Potgieter, 6 CJ Stander, 5 Flip van der Merwe, 4 Juandre Kruger, 3 Werner Kruger, 2 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1 Dean Greyling.
Replacements: 16 Willie Wepener, 17 Frik Kirsten, 18 Wilhelm Steenkamp, 19 Arno Botha, 20 Jano Vermaak, 21 Louis Fouche, 22 Johann Sadie.
By Dave Morris


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Icecat: syndicator of product information via global open catalog with more than 3863504 data-sheets 14607 brands – register (free)
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Laser printers and copiers not only need toner (ink powder) for printing, but also a drum (comparable with the print head of an inkjet printer). The drum puts the toner in the right place, and afterwards the paper is heated so the toner melts and is attached permanently to the paper. Drums, like all components of a printer, wear and will have to be replaced at some time, although they are fairly durable.printer drums
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created/standardized by Icecat: the data-sheet is created or standardized by an Icecat editor.
only logistic data imported: we have only basic data imported from a supplier, a data-sheet is not yet created by an editor.
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This statistic is based on the 66830 using ecommerce sites (eshops, distributors, comparison sites, ecommerce ASPs, purchase systems, etc) downloading this Icecat data-sheet since 15-07-05 Only sponsoring brands are included in the free Open Icecat content distribution as used by 65095 free Open Icecat users .
Long product name Xerox Drum Cartridge 15000pages:
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Average Yield 15000 per carton, based on 5% coverage area
FaxCentre F12
WorkCentre M15
WorkCentre M15i
WorkCentre Pro 412
Short summary description Xerox Drum Cartridge 15000pages:
This short summary of the Xerox Drum Cartridge 15000pages data-sheet is auto-generated and uses the product title and the first six key specs.Xerox Drum Cartridge, Black
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This is an auto-generated long summary of Xerox Drum Cartridge 15000pages based on the first three specs of the first five spec groups.Xerox Drum Cartridge. Colour of product: Black
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Yeah please do. I haven't touched Anime Studio. So anything you could contribute would be greatly appreciated. I'd probably just put it in the first post per your credit just to keep everything organized.
Yeah please do. I haven't touched Anime Studio. So anything you could contribute would be greatly appreciated. I'd probably just put it in the first post per your credit just to keep everything organized.
Out of curiosity, were you planning on covering the animation principles, like timing (slow-ins, slow-outs), the wave principle and squash-and-stretch? I know this is in the Tutorial section and the principles are more something for the Tips and Tricks board.
I'm mostly asking because I'm tempted to make a thread of my own to cover such a topic.
If you want, you could just put it in this thread. There's few animators on this forum, and fewer that actually produce a consistent series.
So it'd probably make sense to have one animation thread where all the animators just share their own tutorials one thread. Update the first post with each one, etc.
Alrighty. Honestly, I'd start now but I just got really tired. Heh.
But yeah, I'll use this thread if and when I get around to it.
EDIT: Alright, time for my first little lesson. I've recreated the first assignment I was ever given in my program because it's both very simple and very effective in teaching the most basic set of animation principles: A ball bounce. Animating a ball bouncing across a surface and eventually coming to a stop, and doing it properly, teaches you the following basics:
1. Timing - To space your drawings in such a way that you can show acceleration and deceleration. Just about any animator will tell you this is the most important animation principle.
2. Squash and Stretch - To alter the shape, while retaining the volume, of the animated object or character based on its motion. This makes your animation more fluid and shows velocity and impact.
3. Keys and In-Betweens - To draw the most important drawings first and fill in the spaces in between. Doing this, you can see if the timing of your animation is working long before it's even fully animated.
4. Planning - To draw out the path of action the animated object or character will follow and decide where each drawing needs to go on that path (which intertwines with 'Timing'). Having a visible plan before you even start animating anything makes it so you'll never be lost, you'll always know what came before and what comes next.
For this tutorial, I've created animations that are shot on 2's; a term that usually refers to having the video set at 24-frames-per-second, but the drawings are exposed for 2 frames each. This means that the animation itself is effectively running at 12-frames-per-second (and effects like camera-moves would still go at 24fps). This is the standard for most television frame-by-frame animation because it's a time (and money) saver and still effective in showing the principles. Animated feature films are almost always shot on 1's though, meaning a drawing on every frame.
Much of this tutorial is based on doing frame-by-frame animation but it can all be adapted to Flash or 3D animation. The method may be different but the principles are always the same.
So basically the exercise is to show a ball coming in from the left of the screen, bouncing to the right and eventually coming to a stop. Every consecutive bounce needs to be shorter (in height, width and time) than its predecessor until the ball finally stops bouncing. After it stops bouncing, it won't immediately stop moving since the final landing will still carry some velocity, so the ball needs to roll a bit before stopping.
For timing, when the ball is speeding up, the spacing between consecutive drawings needs to consistently get larger. And, of course, when slowing, the space between consecutive drawings gets smaller. Since each bounce needs to be shorter than the one before it, each one needs less drawings than the previous one and, obviously, won't go as high or as far. The ball will move its fastest when leaving the peak of a bounce as gravity accelerates it. It will also leave the ground with a good pop of speed that will slow down as it reaches the next peak.
Keeping all of this in mind, you can draw out a plan that looks something like this:
Obviously this looks a little sloppy but I can see the important stuff. I can see the height, distance and arc of every bounce and I can mark off where every drawing goes on them. The last couple bounces only have 2 and 1 drawings which will give the ball a couple of nice small jitters of a bounce just before it totally stops leaving the ground. Note that the drawings get closer and closer together at the end as the ball slows down as it's rolling.
Now that we have a plan, we can pick out the Keys, which are the drawings most important for conveying the action. So basically, thinking about the action, we ask what specifically shows people that a ball is bouncing. The answer would be that it hits the ground and comes back up. So that in mind, our keys will be the very peak and very bottom of every bounce. Since one of the bounces doesn't actually have a drawing marked off for the center/peak of the bounce, we'll just totally fill it in by putting a drawing on both of the indicated spots. We also need to convey that the ball has rolled to a stop at the end, so we'll need one final key on the very last spot. Take note that when the ball hits the ground, we also need to show impact by squashing the ball; since each consecutive bounce has less to it, there will also be less of an impact meaning the ball won't squash quite as much as it did before.
With the keys filled in, we can temporarily extend them to fill up the frames that will later be in-betweens and see what's called an Animatic...or Leica Reel depending on who you ask (seriously, I've gotten very conflicting info on whether there's a difference between these terms or not). Here is my Leica Reel for this animation:
And here it is with the plan showing behind it. As you can see, every drawing falls on a spot indicated by the plan.
Note: In the leica reel, each key-frame should take up it's own spot and all the in-betweens that come after it before the next key. Don't meet the keys half-way in-between or you won't be able to see the timing correctly.
This is the best time in your animation process to decide if you need to change anything. If you go any further, it's a huge pain to have to adjust just about anything; though that's admittedly more true with more complex animation as ball bounces don't take much effort to adjust.
Since I'm happy with the timing, let's move on. Now we fill in the in-betweens. While it's not going to be terribly important for something as simple as a ball-bounce, the common professional method is to find the next-most important drawings on the path of action and do those before finally filling in the rest. These are referred to as 'breakdowns' and are very important in just about any animation with the slightest bit of complexity. If I were to show an updated Leica Reel with breakdowns added in (which I admittedly did not think to prepare for this tutorial), it would contain the in-betweens that would help to show the arcs that the ball moves in.
The last thing to keep in mind as you finish your animation by filling in the left-over drawings is that, while we've shown impact with the ball squashing, we have yet to show speed with the ball stretching. As the ball leaves the peak of an arc, it will stretch out more and more before hitting the ground. It might seem strange to have a drawing where the ball is totally stretched out and then the very next drawing it's totally squashed but it's actually very powerful at conveying the impact and extremely common in professional animation; Looney Tunes is a particularly good example of this with how often characters will fly through the air only to crash into a wall.
One other breakdown you would do before totally filling in the animation would be a drawing somewhere between the end of the last bounce and the last key. Pick one of the spots that favours the end of the animation so you can tell that the ball is slowing down in the updated Leica Reel.
After that, it's simple fill-in-the-blanks work and we get something like this:
And, once more, here it is with the plan behind it:
It's a little harder to see here since all the drawings go by in a twelfth of a second, but again every drawing rests on top of one of the indicated spots on the path of action.
When I first did this assignment, we spent two full classes on it. I don't remember whether it was a 2 or 3 hour class but needless to say, your first go at animation can take a while. In time, all of these principles become second nature and re-doing the assignment for the sake of this tutorial took approximately 25 minutes. A very small bit of that difference can be attributed to the fact that I did not draw every frame this time. I merely created a circle in ToonBoom and moved and transformed it as needed.
Incidentally, this is actually around the 10th time I've done this animation or something very similar to it. Ball bounces, among some others that I'll get to another time, are often considered animation exercises, in that they're something a prepared animator should be able to do at any given time just to warm themselves up. So I encourage aspiring animators to practice this tutorial every so often.
In closing: I hope this helped. I know it's very lengthy and wordy for something that seems really simple but I wanted to be as thorough as possible. Thanks for reading.
Last edited by ErBoi; 01-30-2011 at 09:15 PM.
It did freak me out a lil bit how everyone was psychicThe reason you get very little responses to your threads isnt because no one likes you because you have leprosy.
Thanx for the toturial Adam, you rule.
I've always been a windows movie maker gal, because I never have any money to obtain better software. And because I've only ever put together very short 2D animations, working more with stop. I was wondering if you were planning on discussing lip sync sometime soon, if at all. Would you recommend making a scratch tape first?
Thank you!
But I really don't know how that would work with WMM since I've never used it for animation and don't really know the features open to you.
Oh jeez, that's right, I just started a fresh YouTube account and had to close my other one. Looks like I'll have to re-upload those examples.
On another note, Movie Maker can be used for animation though it's hard to recommend it even free as it is. The shortest amount of time you can expose an image for in Movie Maker is 1/15th of a second. It's just a very awkward framerate to figure things out with. There are some free animation programs out there though. A good place to start is here: http://alternativeto.net/software/toon-boom-studio/
That's a website I discovered recently dedicated to listing alternatives to software. That link will bring you right to the list of alternatives to Toon Boom.
I may be doing some other tutorials soon. I'm finished college now so, in-between job hunting and housework, I've got some free time.
Oooh, thanks for the free alternatives link. I've just downloaded a program called "Synfig" and going through the User Manual right now. Let's see how it agrees with me! XD
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Debates of June 2nd, 2006
House of Commons Hansard #32 of the 39th Parliament, 1st Session. (The original version is on Parliament's site.) The word of the day was sentence.
- Question Period
- Criminal Code
- Hockeyville
- Canadian Forces
- Rights and Democracy Network
- Workplace Health and Safety
- Human Rights
- Grant Forest Products
- Quebec City
- Sainte-Julie Golf Tournament
- Proud to be Canadian
- EnerGuide
- Firearms Registry
- Trade
- Airports
- École polyvalente Nicolas-Gatineau
- Millennium Scholarships
- Liberal Party of Canada
- Seniors Week
- Aboriginal Affairs
- Kyoto Protocol
- Foreign Workers
- Aboriginal Affairs
- Employment Insurance
- Mirabel Airport Property
- Aboriginal Affairs
- Darfur
- Housing
- Justice
- Public Works and Government Services
- National Revenue
- Marine Industry
- Fisheries
- Veterans
- Federal Accountability Act
- Fisheries
- Agriculture
- Canada Elections Act
- Health
- Presence in Gallery
- Business of the House
- Committees of the House
- Petitions
- Questions on the Order paper
- Criminal Code
- Points of Order
- Criminal Code
- Kelowna Accord Implementation Act
Proud to be Canadian
Statements By Members
11:05 a.m.
Guy Lauzon Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry, ON
Mr. Speaker, last week I kicked off a non-partisan Proud to be Canadian campaign to encourage everyone in my riding of Stormont--Dundas--South Glengarry to show how proud they are to live in the greatest part of the greatest country in the world.
The Proud to be Canadian campaign is co-chaired by Sultan Jessa and Jake Lamoureux, both of whom are Order of Canada recipients from my riding.
Our goal is to have at least 25,000 Canadian flags displayed in homes and businesses throughout Stormont--Dundas--South Glengarry on Canada Day. An army of over 500 patriotic volunteers has already started to distribute Canadian flag posters and information about our national flag.
I urge all Canadians to proudly fly our national flag on July 1 and all year round. I challenge all the other members of this House and their constituents to compete with Stormont--Dundas--South Glengarry for the title of the most patriotic riding in this wonderful country called Canada.
Statements By Members
11:05 a.m.
Roy Cullen Etobicoke North, ON
Mr. Speaker, the recent cancellation of the popular and effective EnerGuide for houses programs has taken many by surprise and has left experts and ordinary Canadians alike scratching their heads.
Clifford Maynes, executive director of Green Communities Canada, has said that the cancellation of the EnerGuide program "has the potential to set back the cause of residential energy efficiency in this country by a decade or more".
Geoff Lorentz, a councillor on Kitchener's environmental advisory committee, agrees that the EnerGuide program achieves energy savings of up to 30% and asks, "Why would you cut a program like that? This is a valued program. It is great for the community and great for the country".
We know that the EnerGuide programs were working. The experts know it. Everyday Canadians know it. I guess the only people who don't get it are in the Conservative Party.
Firearms Registry
Statements By Members
11:05 a.m.
Leon Benoit Vegreville—Wainwright, AB
Mr. Speaker, the Liberal member for Beaches--East York had the gall to stand in the House yesterday to try to defend her government's atrocious record on the long gun registry.
Then, still without shame, she accused my colleague, the excellent member for Yorkton--Melville, of presenting inaccurate information to the House. That Liberal member chose to completely ignore the Auditor General's report which confirmed that the Liberals were the ones who misinformed this House about the cost of this ineffective program.
The Auditor General's report stated that the Department of Justice failed to record costs incurred, the centre's decision to not record $21.8 million was contrary to the government's policy, Parliament was misinformed about the costs the centre had incurred, and there was a serious lack of documentary evidence. The Liberals tried to hide it.
Members of the former Liberal government should just hang their heads in shame and apologize to Canadians for their corrupt government.
Statements By Members
11:05 a.m.
Irene Mathyssen London—Fanshawe, ON
Mr. Speaker, the federal government has initiated free trade negotiations with South Korea. These negotiations are very concerning to many of my constituents in London--Fanshawe. They feel that their jobs, as well as other Canadian auto sector jobs, will be placed at further risk with a new deal.
Canada imported 130,000 vehicles from Korea, but exported only 400 vehicles back to Korea. For every dollar of automotive product we export to Korea, we import $150. This is not balanced trade.
NAFTA style trade agreements have not been beneficial to Canadian businesses. Recently, we saw Canada get the short end of the stick in the softwood lumber deal. We do not want the Conservative government to put our auto industry at risk as it did softwood.
Canada needs a new automotive trade policy, one that protects auto workers and the Canadian auto industry by ensuring equal access to offshore markets that import into Canada.
Statements By Members
11:10 a.m.
Mark Holland Ajax—Pickering, ON
Mr. Speaker, for more than three decades the residents of Ajax--Pickering have been living with a dark cloud over their heads, a proposed international airport in Pickering. This cloud grew darker in November 2004 when the Greater Toronto Airport Authority, or GTAA, released a plan to break ground on an airport by 2014.
The deeply flawed GTAA proposal was heavily criticized by the community, transportation experts and myself. It led the former Liberal transport minister to announce a due diligence peer review. The announcement was welcome news to our community which is anxious to avoid another Mirabel and wishes to ensure that the existing infrastructure is fully utilized.
The current transport minister has agreed to continue this review, but there is concern over the terms of reference. If we do not ask the right questions, we will not get the right answers. I have urged that the community be consulted both on the terms of reference and during the review itself. It now appears this will not happen. That is simply unacceptable.
I urge the minister to stand by the commitments of the former minister, conduct a full and fair review, and engage our community fully in the process.
École polyvalente Nicolas-Gatineau
Statements By Members
June 2nd, 2006 / 11:10 a.m.
Richard Nadeau Gatineau, QC
Mr. Speaker, I am pleased to congratulate the organizers of the École polyvalente Nicolas-Gatineau 30-hour cycling challenge.
This was the 16th edition of the challenge. Thirteen young women and eight young men in Secondary V pedalled from 5:30 a.m. on May 25 to 11:30 a.m. on May 26.
As the honorary chairman, I too cycled in the morning of May 25 and for two hours on the night of May 26. Believe me, these young people have courage!
This physical feat is made possible by eight months of rigorous training. I would be remiss if I did not mention the excellent work by teacher François Allard and his colleagues who give freely of their time when it comes to getting involved in their students' activities.
I am very proud of these young people. This Gatineau event is not to be missed and I wish it many more years of success.
Liberal Party of Canada
Statements By Members
11:10 a.m.
Larry Miller Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound, ON
Mr. Speaker, allow me to present my top 10 list of Liberal hypocrisies:
Number one, naming an environment critic and two Liberal leadership candidates who oppose Kyoto.
Number two, having an agricultural critic demanding more aid for farmers when he repeatedly voted against more aid.
Number three, saying the party supports improved accountability and transparency while opposing the federal accountability act.
Number four, naming an associate critic of immigration who compared Canada's immigration system to Nazi Germany.
Number five, the member for Malpeque claiming he wants more done for farmers after having done nothing for 13 years.
Number six, criticizing MPs who change parties while that party has six defectors in its caucus.
Number seven, many Liberal MPs who sent troops to Afghanistan, then voted against the mission.
Number eight, demanding that the gun registry be kept when many of their own MPs want it scrapped.
Number nine, criticizing rising gas prices after again doing nothing for 13 years.
And number 10, attacking the idea of Senate reform despite promising to reform the Senate when they were in power.
Talk about hypocrisy.
Seniors Week
Statements By Members
11:10 a.m.
Nicole Demers Laval, QC
Mr. Speaker, last week was Seniors Week in Quebec. This initiative began in 1969 following the Government of Quebec's designation of a Seniors Day. Over the years, that day became a week.
During Seniors Week, we recognize how much seniors contribute to our society. This year, the theme was "Celebrating seniors' involvement in society". We highlighted their contribution to all parts of our society through volunteer work.
Seniors have not retired from life. They can be found anywhere there is a need. Social agencies, hospitals, schools and soup kitchens are but a few examples of the extent of their involvement.
Seniors are indispensable to our economy. Every year, they contribute more than $60 million worth of volunteer hours.
The Bloc Québécois salutes seniors and their involvement in and dedication to our community.
Aboriginal Affairs
Oral Questions
11:15 a.m.
Ralph Goodale Wascana, SK
Mr. Speaker, all Canadians are deeply troubled by the ongoing conflict about land related issues in the Caledonia district of Ontario.
Yesterday, the Ontario Superior Court judge seized with this matter, Justice Marshall, took the extraordinary step of convening a hearing on his own and specifically asked for the presence and participation of the Government of Canada within two weeks.
I understand that the Minister of Indian Affairs said he will cooperate with the court. Could I ask the minister, does that explicitly mean that he will comply with Justice Marshall's invitation, and who will be representing the Government of Canada in court on June 16?
Aboriginal Affairs
Oral Questions
11:15 a.m.
Calgary Centre-North
Jim Prentice Minister of Indian Affairs and Northern Development and Federal Interlocutor for Métis and Non-Status Indians
Mr. Speaker, Mr. Justice Marshall yesterday requested the attendance of a number of parties at his chambers. The federal government was not one of the parties that was asked to attend.
I indicated yesterday that the government will be fully cooperative with Mr. Justice Marshall and as the hon. member well knows, the Government of Canada has been a participant at the tables discussing a resolution of the claims process.
The Government of Canada is being well represented by a former foreign affairs minister and I have full confidence in her ability to deal with the situation.
Aboriginal Affairs
Oral Questions
11:15 a.m.
Ralph Goodale Wascana, SK
Mr. Speaker, the Ontario judge, Justice Marshall, is obviously deeply concerned about Caledonia. He obviously believes the involvement of the Government of Canada is indispensable and that the government's involvement so far has been inadequate. It is also clear that Justice Marshall thinks the situation is urgent.
Within the two week timeframe now identified by the Ontario Superior Court, what specific ideas or initiatives will the Government of Canada bring forward and, failing that detail today, what is the process by which the federal input will be developed and exactly when?
Aboriginal Affairs
Oral Questions
11:15 a.m.
Calgary Centre-North
Jim Prentice Minister of Indian Affairs and Northern Development and Federal Interlocutor for Métis and Non-Status Indians
Mr. Speaker, the hon. member has dealt with similar situations, so he understands the sensitivity and gravity of a situation such as this.
In terms of the process, let me be clear. The Government of Canada has been represented at the table by Barbara McDougall, a former foreign affairs minister, and Ron Dearing, a former chief of staff to a Minister of Indian Affairs.
Mr. Dearing, in particular, has spent the last 48 hours negotiating and Ms. McDougall would be at the table today for another negotiating session. The process is, frankly, working. We are committed to it and we will continue to pursue it.
Aboriginal Affairs
Oral Questions
11:15 a.m.
Ralph Goodale Wascana, SK
Mr. Speaker, in dealing with public policy issues, issues which touch people's lives in very intimate ways, the building of ongoing effective relationships is crucial. Relationships between aboriginal and non-aboriginal peoples are often particularly delicate and also particularly essential.
By appearing to walk away from such an initiatives as the Kelowna accord, the federal government's relationships with aboriginal Canadians have been damaged.
When the court hearings resume on June 16 with respect to Caledonia, what will the Government of Canada specifically propose to begin rebuilding the relationships in this dispute, which have obviously been so badly damaged?
Aboriginal Affairs
Oral Questions
11:15 a.m.
Calgary Centre-North
Jim Prentice Minister of Indian Affairs and Northern Development and Federal Interlocutor for Métis and Non-Status Indians
Mr. Speaker, I would like to point out that I do not accept the premise of the question relative to either Kelowna or the relationships between the government and aboriginal Canadians. Aboriginal Canadians are working well with the government. They are pleased by the budget.
We have solid working relationships with the Assembly of First Nations and all of the other aboriginal organizations with whom the Government of Canada deals. They have said that they wish to continue to work in a respectful way with the government. We are pleased with that.
In terms of Caledonia, we are at the table. We are negotiating in concert with the Government of Ontario, which has important responsibilities in this area. We will continue to make progress.


text:
GDB #1: Down with the haters
Jason Gregor
October 03 2009 05:25PM
(Editors note: Author is Jason Gregor. We'll attribute to him properly when he gets on the system)
Finally the Oilers will play a meaningful game for the first time in almost six months. That's right Oiler fans six freaking months since a game really mattered in this city, and now Brownlee is already ensuring you will only have six months of hockey before another long off season.
With all due respect: Screw you Brownlee.
How the hell am I supposed to respect your picks when you changed your mind in a matter of three days? On Wednesday you had a man crush on Marc Crawford and his Dallas Stars. You had them in the playoffs, now they are out.
The Oilers PK dropped 22 spots last year. In 2008 they were 5th, and last year 27th. Is moving up ten spots this year that hard?
So Khabibulin wasn't great in preseason. Who cares? Any idea what his pre-season record was in previous stops? Me neither.
The Oilers need players to overachieve for once, and this year they actually have guys who will be put in a position to do so. You question Deslaurier's ability to play well, fine. But has he shown you he can't? It's a question mark either way.
When you lined up at the goal line three years ago against Stauffer, no one gave you a chance, but I said you could win. Little did I know you'd had 87 knee surgeries, and had sucked back your daily dose of 16 colts prior to the race. But I still gave you a shot. And I'd do it again this year, because I don't think you'd be any slower, but Stauff would.
Sometimes you have to believe the unexpected will happen. I ran out of gas on a date earlier this week, yet the girl thought it was funny. The fact I knew how to pour gas through the carburetor made me look good in her eyes. Who the hell who have expected that?
I want the playoffs in Edmonton, because the fans deserve them.
Wives will have the game on when their man comes home from work and they won't complain if you watch it; in fact, they'll watch it with their hubby. They'll invite the neighbours over to watch the game. You'll get tipsy and if the Oil win, the hubby's chances of scoring increase immensely. Are you saying you don't want that for all the guys in town?
Single guys and girls will cram the bars and many of them will lose their inhibitions during a playoff run. If a guy strolls in wearing a Souray jersey, the ladies will take a run at him, just because they want a Souray jersey lying on their floor later. If Wanye wants any action in 2010 he needs the playoffs.
Damn you Brownlee for trying to ruin that.
Don't give us your logic on a day like today, especially when it differs from Wednesday.
No one picked the Blues and Blue Jackets to make it last year, so it is possible that the Kings and Oilers can make it this year.
After today though, the pressure is off of you. Whether you picked them to miss or I picked them to make it, starting tonight at 8:07 it's all on Quinn and the players.
Hemsky: become a point-a-game player. Don't tell me it is hard. I know it is, but you are damn talented so produce.
Horcoff: Don't whiff on one-timers. You're the hardest worker on the team, so put that effort into your one-timers and you'll be a 28 goal scorer.
Jacques: Don't be the hot girl at the bar. The one that lets you buy her drinks, laughs at your jokes and then goes to the washroom never to return. (Wanye told me this happened to him at the Pint last night). Don't be a tease. You've shown you can be physical and add some offensive punch. Keep doing it.
O'Sullivan: You can score more than 53 points. Is 60 points too much to ask for?
Comrie: Oiler fans haven't had a feel good story since Pisani in 2006. They won't expect you to continue your two-point-a-game preseason pace, but I bet they'd all buy Hillary's next album if you score 30 goals.
Stone: I'm not sure half the fans even know what you look like yet, and while 32 is the worst forward number ever, you can change all of that by staying gritty. Run with your opportunity.
Penner: Somehow the faithful have stopped ripping you during every article, don't start coasting and giving them the ammo. Just skate, if you skate hard your 245 pound frame will get you 25 goals. Oiler fans just want to see an effort out of you. Don't let them down.
Cogliano: Back-to-back 18 goal campaigns was pretty impressive, but it is time to take the next step. Force Quinn to put you on the top two lines, or at least some PP time. You are back on the PK and your speed should get you some breakaways. Bury them.
Brule: Win faceoffs, be a pest, and live up to being a top-ten pick. You've been out of the Blue Jackets organization for two years now; it is time to regain your offensive instincts. Piss off the opposition and you'll be revered by the fans.
Moreau: Play on the edge, and the fans will be okay with a few aggressive penalties, but not one every second game. Be a leader amongst the youngsters, run the other team's star players and chip in with your usual 15 goals. Do that and no one will question why you are the Captain.
Gagner: The coach has challenged you by starting you on the fourth line. The organization and the fans want you to be a star, so play with a chip on your shoulder and prove it. Move your feet, don't be too fancy in the defensive zone and your ice time will increase.
Stortini: Just keep fighting and causing havoc in the offensive zone, and don't ever play with a clean shaven face. Your character demands a missing-tooth, scruffy look and a constant yapping towards the other team. The fans are starting to warm up to you, play and fight the way you did the final 40 games last year and every time you go in on the forecheck the Rexall faithful will cheer.
Nilsson: When you get in the lineup, stop trying behind-the-back passes in the defensive zone. Use that in the offensive zone. You are probably the second-most skilled player on the team, so when you get in, showcase that. If not, it's probably your last chance in Oilerville.
MacIntyre: Keep working your bag off in practice, so when you do get on the ice Quinn will play you some. Oiler fans have always loved the heavyweight, and if you can chip in two goals like you did last year, you should be fine.
Pisani: Try to get healthy.
Pouliot: Prove me wrong that you aren't the goat.
Souray: Have a repeat performance from last year, including tossing one of your teammates out of the way to fight a guy. Fans love that stuff. And be prepared for the women of Edmonton to swoon even more when you ESPN half nude photo shoot comes out. Don't get mad if they follow you all over town. Just get 100 copies and auction them off for charity. You'll be even more of a stud.
Staios: Show that you are steady Steve. Make the simple play. Keep blocking shots, but cut down on the turnovers. The blue collar fans in Edmonton appreciate hard work, just make sure it is the effective work and they'll support you.
Gilbert: You are 6'3", use your size a bit more. The fans won't expect you to be a crusher, but rub some guys out now and then. A third straight 40-point season will be good in their eyes.
Grebeshkov: Just because Wanye picked you as a goat two years running doesn't mean you don't have supporters. You cut down on the fire drills in your own zone and the horrendous turnovers last year, so continue that and please SHOOT the puck a bit more.
Visnovsky: Just stay healthy.
Smid: Keep battling, but keep your head up and don't get concussed, and if you score a goal this year the fans expect one hell of a celebration afterwards. Two full seasons without a goal isn't right. (Another crazy prediction from me, says the Smid scores a goal before Dec 1st.)
Strudwick: A repeat of last year would be fine in the eyes of Oiler fans. A few goals, some spirited scraps and if you can be an even player they will be pumped.
Khabibulin: You'll need to win at least seven games by yourself, if you can do that you should be fine. Stay rested, mentor Deslauriers and be six games over .500 and the fans will chant "Khabby" very quickly.
Deslauriers: The orange pads will make you stand out, but your overall play needs to stand out as well. You showed since of greatness in NJ and NYR, were average and below average in your other appearances last year. The good news is you'll get to play more frequently this year, now it is up to you to prove you are a legit back up.
Quinn: Keep the players accountable, and stay consistent with your message. And keep the funny quotes coming, because in the dog-days of the season they are a welcome change.
Who knows if the Oilers will make the playoffs, but I picked them because the city needs it. Beer prices went up, the rink is too small, and it's been three long years since you fans have anything to really cheer about.
If I can get a second date after running out of gas, then the Oilers can make the playoffs.
Checking out the Islanders/Penguins game on Center Ice. No Schremp.
Nice write-up, Jason. Time to begin the pregame party!
October 03 2009, 05:51PM
Holy crap you just got me Jacked up Gregor! I'm going to start getting my drink on and cheer my ass off hard. Go Oilers.
Gregor what are you driving man?? A carburetor??
Awesome GDB, hope all you guys have a time a the Nation party tonite, I'll have a beer in your name here in Halifax..
Justice League, assemble!!
Oh Don and Ron, how I've missed you...Where's my remote?
October 03 2009, 06:14PM
Great article Jason, Let's see if someone can somehow get it posted where the boys can see it.
Less than 2 hours til gametime baby!
October 03 2009, 07:37PM
Great article Gregor, and the new site looks great, Bingofuel!
Are you guy's seeing this intro. Crazy
Holy sh*t!! Souray is pimpin' in that purple suit!
October 03 2009, 07:59PM
Amen brother u have to keep! The faith. Nut still brownlees article left a little Pitt of doubt in my gut that I'll have to fight all year.
but still, Go OIL!!!
These bagpipes are friggin' awesome.
October 03 2009, 08:13PM
The captain cant even stop anymore, yikes.
MC gets a very nice cheer. Good on you, RX1 fans.
Glencross BABAY!
October 03 2009, 08:23PM
Glencross just keeps haunting us
Lines 3 and 4 with good shifts.
Stortini out. Nilsson in.
Could this be the beginning?
What team is this? PDP crashing the net? Hemmer taking punishment in the crease?
October 03 2009, 08:37PM
and down go the comments. i think i found a bug
October 03 2009, 08:38PM
and down go the comments. i think i found a bug
Oh. My bad.
Ya, looks like it only goes 20 comments to a page now. Tript me out earlier too.
October 03 2009, 08:41PM
20 comments per page? Bingofuel you might want to tweak that to 50 unless you want 15 page articles.
October 03 2009, 08:46PM
Nice new look.
Lowetide already has 230 comments. Did we really have that many rogue posters here?
@David S
There's 2 sets of comments for this article. I have 1 set on my computer (these) and another set with 43 different comments when I check my cel (still set up under old look)
Dustin Penner's comedy routine continues.
Let's hope for better outcomes for the second!
October 03 2009, 09:18PM
Hey everyone. Sorry for the two-site mess up. Yours truly fails at DNS. It should be sorted out now with everyone being funneled to the new site. Live 'n learn, I guess.
AWSOME looking sight!!!!
October 03 2009, 09:42PM
Ah, thanks for all the hard work, Citizen Alpha. How's everyone doing? Nice to see you all.
If anyone has any bug issues or suggestions for things to improve, please email me at bingofuel [at] oilersnation [dot] com.
And enjoy the rest of the first Battle of Alberta!
October 03 2009, 09:44PM
Ah, thanks for all the hard work, Citizen Alpha. How's everyone doing? Nice to see you all.
If anyone has any bug issues or suggestions for things to improve, please email me at bingofuel [at] oilersnation [dot] com.
And enjoy the rest of the first Battle of Alberta!
I tried to email you and it bounced back to me. I'm sure it's in the works, but right now there is no RRS.
October 03 2009, 09:46PM
Gags plays the the 4th line role to a tee. Take that Conroy.
October 03 2009, 09:47PM
I tried to email you and it bounced back to me. I'm sure it's in the works, but right now there is no RRS.
That's right... We're planning to roll out RSS and a pile of other features in the coming weeks. We really want to get the new site look and some of the functionality launched for the new season.
Wanye and I will be making a variety of announcements about features over the next little while. So keep your eyes glued to the Nation, and keep checking our Twitter feed as well.
has the wall made a save yet? if seems like its all defence and no offence
October 03 2009, 09:48PM
Are you planning on putting back the links to the other oiler blogs?
Brule is a keeper
October 03 2009, 09:52PM
Are you planning on putting back the links to the other oiler blogs?
Absolutely. A blogroll will definitely be up soon.
Where's the Brule haters now?
October 03 2009, 09:58PM
Welcome back to another season everyone! I would have posted this earlier but I had to the re-logging in business. My brain hurts.
Man loving the site. The only thing that is scaring me is that, can we keep up this pace through the whole season and playoffs, but I am loving all the hitting. Go Oilers GO
October 03 2009, 10:04PM
thank god, otherwise i might have had to use ny computer for work in the morning
October 03 2009, 10:08PM
Lovin' the changes!!! GOILERSNATION!
October 03 2009, 10:10PM
Gooilers and since when is Dawes a sniper last I heard he was a grinder Flameouts suck A$$$$$$$$$
Gagner won a fight, now only an assist and a goal for a Gordie Howe Hat Trick.
October 03 2009, 10:16PM
not liking it.
October 03 2009, 10:25PM
not liking it.
Patience young grasshopper patience
Hey Bingofuel if you guys could somehow add a refresh button for my iPhone that would rock. Would like to see that before a edit button. It would help me out a ton more
October 03 2009, 10:36PM
love the Gagner chest bumb


text:
The next level of networking cable for home and office users, Cat6 Ethernet patch cables connect computers with devices such as cable modems, routers, patch panels, hubs, and switches. Cat6 is backwards compatible with Cat5e, so a Cat6 cable can be used in place of any standard Cat5e networking cable. The standard boot is a molded bubble design that protects the connector from being damaged during installation. The flat cable design is not only more aesthetically attractive, but can also provide for greater air flow and ventilation in enclosed spaces. ShowMeCables' Ethernet patch cables are UL-listed and tested to 550 MHz to ensure distribution with low return loss.
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Q: What are Cat6 Ethernet Cables? A: Cat6 Ethernet cables are a higher-bandwidth version of Cat5e Ethernet Cables, which are the most commonly used networking cables.
Q: Does this hook up my computer to my modem? A: Yes! You can use these cables to connect your computer, modem, or router. Most household networks and internet connection devices use Cat5e.
Q: What does Cat6 mean? A: Cat6 is short for Category 6. Cat6 is the next level up from Cat5e. See below.
Q: What is the difference between Cat5e & Cat6? A: Cat6 is faster and is used for top of the line networks. While Cat6 will work just as well as Cat5e, the cables alone will not improve the speed of your network.
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Q: Why do these cables cost so much less than cables at other stores? A: There are two main reasons. We only sell our cables on the Web so we do not have the expenses and overhead required to run a brick-and-mortar store. The second reason is that we manufacture our own cables. Brand-name cables are well-known for being overpriced, while our cables have the exact same technical specifications.
Q: How are you patch cables measured? A: Our patch cables are measured from tip-to-tip. There is, however, a tolerance to be aware of. This tolerance is listed as (+ or –) in inches on the spec sheet for each product. For this cable the tolerance is between 5 - 7 inches.
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