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Another Approach To Projecting Andrew Cogliano
Jonathan Willis
April 29 2009 07:19PM
I read an article on Irreverent Oiler Fans the other day that started me wondering on the offensive potential of Andrew Cogliano. That post worked backwards; looking at NHL impact players and identifying what percentage of them had similar seasons at the same age. What I'm about to do is the opposite; I'll look at players who had similar offensive seasons to Andrew Cogliano and attempt to establish what range of offense he's likely to produce as an NHL'er.
To do this, I'm going to use the "power play" function at Hockey Reference, which allows searches based on certain criteria. Let's take a quick look at Cogliano's season before we decide on our criteria.
Cogliano: 82GP – 18G – 20A – 38PTS, -6 (.46 PTS/GM)
I've decided to do a search of seasons by 21-year olds with the following requirements:
- Must have occurred within the past ten years
- Must have recorded between .37 and .55 PTS/GM (20% variance in either direction)
- Must have appeared in a minimum of 50 games
- Must have been the player's second NHL season
I got back a field of sixteen possible seasons (including Cogliano). Three of those occurred this season – Martin Hanzal and Sergei Kostitsyn, so those were eliminated. I also eliminated Milan Michalek, Brandon Dubinsky and David Krejci, since their first NHL seasons consisted of less than ten games. Here's the remaining field:
- Corey Perry: 0.54 PTS/GM (2007)
- Mike Richards: 0.54 PTS/GM (2007)
- Steve Bernier: 0.50 PTS/GM (2007)
- Maxim Afinogenov: 0.46 PTS/GM (2001)
- Radim Vrbata: 0.46 PTS/GM (2003)
- Henrik Sedin: 0.44 PTS/GM (2002)
- Daniel Sedin: 0.41 PTS/GM (2002)
- Rostislav Olesz: 0.40 PTS/GM (2007)
- Josef Vasicek: 0.40 PTS/GM (2002)
That gives us nine possible comparables. We should also look at how those players performed in their first and third seasons. The first season is to compare to Cogliano's for closeness, and the third to show the range of production we should expect from Cogliano next year. First, here's Cogliano's rookie year:
Cogliano: 82GP – 18G – 27A – 45PTS, +1 (.55 PTS/GM)
Here's how the list stacks up:
- Name | First Season | Third Season |
- Mike Richards | .43 PTS/GM | 1.03 PTS/GM
- Corey Perry | .45 PTS/GM | .77 PTS/GM
- Josef Vasicek | .40 PTS/GM | .55 PTS/GM
- Henrik Sedin | .35 PTS/GM | .50 PTS/GM
- Maxim Afinogenov | .52 PTS/GM | .49 PTS/GM
- Rostislav Olesz | .36 PTS/GM | .46 PTS/GM
- Steve Bernier | .69 PTS/GM | .42 PTS/GM
- Daniel Sedin | .45 PTS/GM | .39 PTS/GM
- Radim Vrbata | .58 PTS/GM | .31 PTS/GM
Two players took massive steps forward in their third season (Richards, Perry) while one took a massive step back (Vrbata). That direction has so far shown which way their careers have gone – the players taking big steps forward are now legitimate first-liners, while Vrbata has had one good season since but is not currently playing in the NHL. The other six fluctuated slightly up or down. Of that group of six, three (Vasicek, Olesz, Bernier) are either complementary players or look to be heading in that direction, while the other three (Sedin, Afinogenov, Sedin) have been or are first-line players.
One thing that I find particularly surprising is the way this group clusters – a player is either at one end of it or the other. So what does this mean for Andrew Cogliano? I'd suggest that while we can't draw many definite conclusions, there is one in particular that is important: Cogliano's performance to date does not preclude him from becoming an offensive difference maker.
While I have repeatedly suggested that Andrew Cogliano may be useful trade bait given that he is a quality player with attributes (small size, youth, offensive ability) the Oilers have in plenty, this list makes me a little more hesitant to trade him. I've been projecting Cogliano all along as topping out as a second-tier offensive talent, and the fact that multiple players (better than half the sample: Richards, Perry, Sedin, Sedin, Afinogenov) went on to have a high-end offensive game makes me reconsider that projection. It may very well be that Andrew Cogliano has greater offensive talent than he's been given credit for to date.
He should be on the first line, and see what him and hemsky can do together, and then get a big center to play with them, and this can even be a 1b line and horcoff can be your one 1a or 1b first line if you want it that way. If that makes sense?
thanks JW great post
I dunno. I'd be hard pressed to write off Cogs based on this season with him playing with minimal talents for a good part of the year. Still, despite that he showed moments of brilliance that had me wondering what he was doing back there on the third line. I wonder though if he is a hard guy to place as his game relies so much on break-out speed, which we used woefully seldom this year. He seems to be the guy born for the stretch pass or lob. And when he's on it, his drives to the net are plain awesome. I'd hate for us to drop him just when he's coming on, especially since we so dearly need difference makers.
What this post makes me wonder is: does he have a twin brother?
April 29 2009, 08:27PM
Out of the successful I would also remove the Sedins as their value lies too much on each other. If one Sedin gets hot so does the other as they are so intertwined. I would also like to see a contrast as to which line each of those players played on and their level of team mates. Cogs played on a 3rd line with no offensive stars and received very minimal pp time. In my eyes way too many factors to make a judgement on Cogs future.
One more reason why Omark spending some time in Russia might be for the best. Moving Cogliano to make room for another little guy would be tragic.
April 29 2009, 09:08PM
Interesting, but . . . -- What was the average ice time of the players you're using as comparisons in the seasons you cite? -- What about the strength of the teams the players were with in the seasons you cite? -- Were they protected third-liners? Kids who got some time in the top six? How much time?
Cogliano, as many have said, would be useful trade bait, but he's under-valued right now. My best guess is he's going to develop into a guy who will produce results right around the 25-30-55 mark over the next three seasons. If I'm Tanbellini, I'm not moving him unless I get a return based on those projections.
April 29 2009, 09:10PM
Willis, I think adding to the intrigue behind Cogliano is his shooting percentage. It is ridiculously high and has been in both his seasons. Plus, we know that Cogs wasnt playing with high quality players or given much PP time. I wouldnt move the kid unless it was one heck of deal.
April 29 2009, 09:29PM
@ Robin Brownlee:
Those are all really good questions for a full workup, which I may do later this summer. Right now I was hoping to get a range that Cogliano would fit into; I had no idea the range would be so wide.
I've been picturing a 55/60 point player, but it may be that his potential ceiling is higher than that.
@ Archaeologuy: Like Brent Seabrook? (LOL)
Jonathan: great post. i think this is one of the central questions surrounding this team. As you put it, there is alot to be said for dealing Cogliano to address other areas, but I'm always scared to see him leave and become an impact player somewhere else. One thing in Cogliano's favour has to be his lack of PP and PK time this year, and not to mention his lack of quality linemates. his speed and goal scoring make him an interesting prospect, and hard to gauge. One thing about everyone else from your list was they all have some size (except maybe Afinogenov), whereas Cogs has none. I think if he could learn the position his speed to the outside would ideally suit him for a 1st or 2nd line spot on the wing. hell, play him with Horcoff and hemsky and see what happens. pretty much everyone else on the team had a shot with those 2 except Cogliano. Would like to see what he could do with those two.
April 29 2009, 09:44PM
@ RossCreek: LOL, not quite.
OUT: Dwayne Roloson Ales Kotalik Robert Nilsson Ethan Moreau Marc Pouliot Rob Schremp Tom Gilbert Steve Staios
@ Archaeologuy: You're still wrong ;-)
Anyone like Kari Lehtonen?
April 29 2009, 09:59PM
@ RossCreek: I doubt it
Colby Armstrong or Garnet Exelby?
JW: Of the comparables you've listed (Richards, Perry, etc), I don't particularly see any as having comparable player types. While generally player type comparisons don't enter into a more statistical approach, I think it can be important in conjunction with them. Excepting Afinogenov, all of those players have an attribute which Cogliano lacks: size. And I think that can be important in whether a player continues to improve season over season in their offensive contributions.
I see Cogliano's top end as similar to your previous projection, a second-tier offensive talent. I would be greatly surprised if he ever surpasses 65 points or 30 goals.
Every team needs players like that though and Cogliano's speed can be a useful asset against certain match-ups (slower, less talented defensemen).
April 29 2009, 10:23PM
RossCreek wrote:
Anyone like Kari Lehtonen?
If I were runnin the Oil, I think I'd like a 3rd line that looked something like this: Moen-Pahlsson-Armstrong
@ Jonathan Willis: Maybe the Oil could cook something up with the Thrash. Aside from the obvious (Kovalchuk), I'd have interest in the above players I mentioned (Armstrong, Exelby & Lehtonen). All could fill big needs IMO.
April 29 2009, 10:31PM
@ Jon K:
I agree that none of the players listed are a close comparison to Cogliano stylisticly; most are bigger and slower players.
I'm not making any sweeping statements based on this little study, but I am walking away with one key point: Andrew Cogliano's numbers to date may indicate a player with a high-end offensive potential. I don't see any reason to limit his projection to the sixty point mark; I haven't seen anything resembling solid proof that he will surpass it, but I now suspect it's entirely possible.
April 29 2009, 10:32PM
RossCreek wrote:
If I were runnin the Oil, I think I'd like a 3rd line that looked something like this: Moen-Pahlsson-Armstrong
Even Moreau - Pahlsson - Pisani would be miles better than what was employed this year.
Two things led to the demise of Craig MacTavish, the overuse of Shawn Horcoff and the underuse of Andrew Cogliano. I wouldn't want to trade Cogliano until I see what Cogliano could do with consistant top 6 minutes and consistant playing time.
The biggest problem with Oilers other than size itself is too many players who don't play well away from the puck. It's like when they don't have the puck they are totally lost.
Great post as usual, JW.
You haven't been alone in mentioning Cogliano as tradebait, but I've never been able to understand this. I think he is tailor-made for the 'new' NHL, and could be almost as big a piece of the Oilers puzzle going forward as Gagner.
Keep up the good work!
April 29 2009, 11:13PM
The desire to add bigger players should not come at the expense of the skill on this team. Just because a guy is small does not mean he wont be productive. There is no reason to get rid of all the smallish guys on the club. There are plenty of unproductive players to move on from in order to make room for the size. The Oilers' problem isnt that they have small skilled guys, its that they have no skilled big guys to accompany them. @ RossCreek: The Seabrook trade you proposed was killed in my mind the second Cogs' name was included. This article only reinforces that feeling.
Moving Cogliano now just seems like such poor asset management. He just finished his sophomore season on a bad team run by now fired coach. He was kept away from good opportunities and played with bad players. His trade value and potential couldnt be any worse unless his name was Horcoff. He's young, fast, and can score. Let him play out until he's an RFA at least.
@ Archaeologuy: For the record, I never proposed the deal. Just said I'd make it if it were there.
@ Jonathan Willis:
I'd agree that it's certainly too early to close the book on Cogliano. Many things are certainly possible in hockey. Parise is a prime example of that.
The issue I have is that Cogliano doesn't have the offensive creativity, vision, or size to sustain possession in the offensive zone. His game is fairly one dimensional in that his offense comes on the rush where his speed is an asset, or when other players on his line can sustain possesion.
His offensive numbers prior to the NHL support the conclusion that he lacks a higher offensive level as well. Looking to players like Perry and Richards, they all had elite offensive numbers in at least one season prior to the NHL. Cogliano cannot say that.
The closest he came to that was 50 points in 38 games as a 19 year old in NCAA, which on its face is not great. It is even less impressive when noting that he played on an absolute powerhouse that season and he was only the team's third highest scorer.
Just because Im bored and wanted to take a look at the plausibility of cogs getting better at faceoffs. I believe its likely but thought id take a look at it from a really basic oiler statistical perspective
horcoff.. a similar sized dude stoll..... gags cogs
So here it is
Horc 00/01 took 122 draws won 41.8% 01/02 took 454 won 46.2% 02/03 took 301 won 42.8 Stoll 02/03 took 30 won 63.3 Horc 03/04 took 1378 won 50.6% stoll took 1019 won 54.1 Horc 05/06 took 1421 won 52.7 Peca year Stoll took 1348 won 56.8 Peca year Horc 06/07 took 1422 won 50.6 Stoll took 901 won 55.6
07/08 horc took 963 won 50.6 stoll took 1229 won 55.1 Cogs took 542 won 39.5 Gags took 299 won 41.8
08/09 horc took 1756 won 53.9% Cogs took 702 won 37.2 Gags took 690 won 42.0
@ Jon K: you hit the nail on the head. Cogs to me is a slightly more skilled verion of Todd Marchant.....Million dollar legs, Ten cent hands....I think his trade value is highest right now because he's young and the perception around the league is that he has a bright offensive future. Trade him now before he kills our hopes* and dreams.
*Hope- it is the quintessential human delusion, simultaneously the source of your greatest strength, and your greatest weakness. (stolen from the matrix)
@ Phil:
Quit ruining my good name, I'd never be positive about another stats motivated p0ast by JW.
Just kidding. Nice read-up as usual, although the bottom line is I still think Cogs is tradebait #1 along with 77.
Nice group of names he's associated with though.
April 30 2009, 07:56AM
@ Robin Brownlee: or anyone really.
Whats the chances of us resigning Kotalik?
I think he can pull a reverse Satan, leave Buffalo for Edmonton and turn into a higher tier player. He can play point on PP and allow us to move an offensive D man easier. He shouldn't command more than the 2.5 - 3 range I believe. More offense than Pisser but less D. I know having softer Big guy here is not a goal but after other player moves we may have the space. Only problem I see is he is not a 3rd or 4th line type player, and not a top 6 FW you would hitch a season too - I would LOVE a bonafide over .7-.8 PPG game guy, but as a plan C I wouldnt mind Ales
@ Hemmertime: According to Tambo's interview with Tencer, it sounds like Kotalik is very much an option to come back, but I think he's waiting to see if he can hit a home run first. I believe Kotalik is the fall back plan.
April 30 2009, 08:20AM
Eli Cash wrote:
Todd Marchant…..Million dollar legs, Ten cent hands
Ten Cent Hands? He out scored our 1st line Centre this past season! Did you watch any of the games?
April 30 2009, 08:22AM
@ RossCreek: Right, forgot it wasnt you who proposed that one, my bad.
Richards and Perry had really good players to play with.
If Cogliano had Simon Gagne, or Ryan Getzlaf to play with. He's likely to have Moreau and Pisani, because Gagner is likely to get the better wingers.
April 30 2009, 08:29AM
Archaeologuy wrote:
Todd Marchant…..Million dollar legs, Ten cent hands Ten Cent Hands? He out scored our 1st line Centre this past season! Did you watch any of the games?
You must mean in season series, Horc had as many pts this year as Marchants last 3 years combined. Speaking of Toddy tho, he was 7th in the NHL for faceoff percent and is a FA this year... :)
April 30 2009, 08:30AM
Eli Cash wrote:
Ten cent hands
You don't put up the shooting percentages that Cogliano has throughout his career (including college, I've discovered) without being able to score on shots most guys can't.
I think Cogliano's hands are just fine.
April 30 2009, 08:31AM
^ Correction, had wrong stat page, 7th in Playoffs, but still had 50.2% in season
April 30 2009, 08:39AM
@ RossCreek: you have to be realistic man, you just cant get rid of players like that,,plus Dwayne Roloson and Ales Kotalik are already out ( UFA)
April 30 2009, 08:45AM
@ Hemmertime: no, Eli Cash was saying that Cogs had Marchant's hands. I was saying that Cogs scored more goals than Horc.
Jonathan Willis wrote:
I've been picturing a 55/60 point player, but it may be that his potential ceiling is higher than that.
This isn't exactly the boldest statement EVER Willis. Of course at 21 Coglino's fullest potential is unknown. You can say that about any NHL/player or prospect.
Jon K wrote:
Looking to players like Perry and Richards, they all had elite offensive numbers in at least one season prior to the NHL. Cogliano cannot say that
I agree with Jon K. Coglino lacks not only the size, grit, and dimension of these two players; but the pedigree as well. Oiler fans, Let's not get too far ahead of ourselves here.
Coglino's first two seasons have been a pleasant surprise. Let's take it for what it is and be happy. It's neither realistic, nor fair to start spinning Coglino as a real bet to become a star player...
April 30 2009, 09:43AM
Chris wrote:
I agree with Jon K. Coglino lacks not only the size, grit, and dimension of these two players; but the pedigree as well.
So averaging about 2 points a game in junior and more than 1 a game in his sophomore College year isnt good enough pedigree at all? Being a 1st round Pick doesnt add to the pedigree?
Some of you guys are really reaching here. Tambi says he wants to get bigger so now everyone is saying small isnt good enough. Parise, Datsyuk, St. Louis, Marc Savard, Backstrom, Cammalleri are all roughly Cogs' size. Small is just fine, but the team cant be ALL small. Its been 3 bad years and everyone is ready to say blow it all up. The club ALREADY did that. The Oilers cant get rid of all its young players every 3-4 years and expect to get better.
@ Archaeologuy: What Jr. league did he play in again? Riiiiiiiiiiite.
Jonathan Willis wrote:
Eli Cash wrote: Ten cent hands You don't put up the shooting percentages that Cogliano has throughout his career (including college, I've discovered) without being able to score on shots most guys can't. I think Cogliano's hands are just fine.
It's kind of splitting hairs but his shooting percentage may be less about what kind of shots he scores on and more about getting to the areas of the ice that help maximize his chances.
The reason I point this out is that I don't actually recall Cogliano scoring the sniper type goals. More importantly though, if you can flush out the type of goals he scores (getting to right spot vs shooting to the right spot) it could help narrow down who he projects to be more similar to.
The kind of play each player capitalizes on could be the difference between him projecting to be a Bernier or a Sedin.
@ Archaeologuy: Speaking of reaches, Datsyuk's gotta have a couple inches and 20 lbs. on Cogliano. I'm not saying Pavel's big cause he's not. I think Cogliano will be decent, but to place him in the Richards/Perry category is a undoubtedly a stretch. Both of those players have a very realistic shot at being on Team Canada. Even if Cogliano is a decent 2nd tier player, why is he untouchable. People seem to think that if you trade him, you're giving up on him - no, you're filling a more prominent need, otherwise you're not moving him. You're not moving him just to move him. He is without a doubt one of the best bargaining chips the Oil have to potentially make a splash (gotta think Hemsky & Gagner are unlikely to be moved). If he's moved for another young player that fills a more pressing need, then why not move him?
April 30 2009, 10:02AM
RossCreek wrote:
Speaking of reaches, Datsyuk's gotta have a couple inches and 20 lbs. on Cogliano. I'm not saying Pavel's big cause he's not.
Datsyuk is 1 inch and 10 pounds heavier and 8 years older.
Archaeologuy wrote:
Some of you guys are really reaching here.
Yes. The "GUYS" who are trying to compare Coglino to Perry, and Richards.
Richards is a center whose shooting percentage increased from 6.55% his second year to above 12% this season; hence the increase in offence. Coglino's shooting percentage is already ridiculously high at over 15%... Are you seriously trying to tell me he can double that to above 30% to see a similar increase in offence the next three to four seasons?
Perry, on the other hand is a 6'3" tough as nails winger who can dominate the boards, retrieve the puck and score by launching more than TWICE as many shots at the net as Coglino. Even with the biggest set of Oilergoggles in the universe, it is laughable to me to even try to compare Coglino's growth potential to that of Perry.
With Willis generating content like this; it is easy for me to see why so many Oiler fans overvalue thier assets.
April 30 2009, 10:14AM
RossCreek wrote:
If he's moved for another young player that fills a more pressing need, then why not move him?
What need are you filling? it isnt scoring because there arent too many young guys with offensive potential that other teams are willing to move for another young offensive guy in return.
So are you really planning on using a young offensive player to get you a 3rd liner that can be had via free agency or in other deals? Its trading down, not up.
Youth is at a premium in the NHL now because of the Cap, so any trade that involves a guy who still has 2 contracts before he hits UFA status better be good.
My stats sheet says 5-11 to 5-9, 197 to 179. I know there's always lies within these stats, but thats my info.


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Sue Brunning, curator, British Museum
Several weeks ago I broke a green glass tumbler when emptying the dishwasher. The vessel wasn't rare or expensive; in fact, it was a free gift that I'd received when buying a meal at a fast food restaurant. But that restaurant happened to be on a stretch of the autobahn in Bavaria, Germany, to where I'd driven from London to attend a friend's wedding. To me, the glass embodied cherished memories of a very special holiday; putting it into the recycling bin with ordinary rubbish made me pretty sad!
This idea, that the objects we own, use and wear become infused with meaning through our interactions with them, is one of the things I find most fascinating about archaeology. Some of my favourite objects in the British Museum's collections are those which show clear evidence of human use: patches of wear, repairs, or modifications to their original form. I see these as the fingerprints of real people in the past: their choices, their very hands brought about these changes. This brings those people back to life in my imagination.
A group of objects under my curatorial care illustrate this particularly well: hand-bells from early medieval Ireland. Made around the AD 500s–900s, hand-bells were used to call monks to prayer in Irish (and north and west British) monasteries. Clues indicate that their significance exceeded this simple function. The earliest bells were made from wrought iron sheets that were folded and riveted into shape, then brazed with copper alloy (as recent discoveries in Clonfad, County Westmeath confirm).
Experiments have shown that this process was incredibly labour-intensive, requiring plenty of time, raw materials and technological skill: in other words, the type of effort afforded to very special artefacts. Contemporary carvings show figures with croziers – the symbolic hooked staffs of holy office – also carrying hand-bells, suggesting that the latter too were symbols of high standing in the Irish church.
The special nature of some hand-bells became, quite literally, enshrined. Tradition has linked a number of bells, including several in the British Museum's collections, with early Irish saints. Some became relics and were embellished with ornate mounts or glittering shrines centuries after the bells themselves were made. Two such bells are now displayed in Room 41, the Sir Paul and Lady Ruddock Gallery of Sutton Hoo and Europe AD 300–1100, which reopened last month after a major refurbishment. One, associated with Saint Cuileáin of Glankeen, County Tipperary (subject of a recent post), was fitted with a lavish 'crest' writhing with interlaced designs and human faces. The other, said to have belonged to Saint Conall Cael of Inishkeel, County Donegal, was later fitted with a brass plate engraved with Irish and Viking ornament.
In the 1400s a gem-encrusted shrine (displayed in Room 40) was made to house it. These were not just objects of veneration: they were also thought capable of miraculous actions, such as healing the sick or bringing success in battle. As late as the 1600s Saint Cuileáin's bell was being used as a lie-detector in the local community, its life-history already a millennium long and counting.
Each object displayed in Room 41 is infused with history, of course; but the hand-bells of Saints Cuileáin and Conall Cael wear it on their sleeves more than most. Objects like these set my imagination off and running, and perhaps I'm not the only one. Since I joined the Museum, I've found that hand-bells are second only to the Sutton Hoo ship burial in terms of the number of public enquiries that I receive. The colourful histories, sacred associations and local connections acquired over their long lives must be partly responsible for their popularity. Now newly installed in Room 41, the bells have just begun the next chapter of their extraordinary biographies.
Filed under: Room 41, Sutton Hoo and Europe, AD 300-1100, archaeology, Christianity, Ireland, medieval, saints

subset: commoncrawl


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By Brendan Conway
In 2013, exchange-traded fund investors were gold's bugaboo. The more ETF sellers, the lower the price of gold.
But what if gold's biggest threat now isn't hot-money ETF traders, but the very countries touted for their demand, such as India and other emerging markets?
Suppose investors are counting on India to buy lots of gold, but the Indian Rupee drops. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthens. Indian consumers, whose demand has already disappointed forecasts, become even less potent in the gold market.
China looks safer with its managed currency, but how about second- and third-order emerging markets such as Indonesia, Thailand, Turkey and Vietnam?
That's the caution over at RBC Capital Markets, where analysts Jonathan Guy and Ioannis Masvoulas argue that weakness in emerging-markets currencies is a potent and underappreciated risk, and "the biggest threat to prices":
In our view, the biggest threat to gold over the short term would be a significant weakening of the Asian physical market undermining its ability to absorb metal from the ETFs in addition to primary production. The Indian Rupee is key currency from this perspective, as the Renminbi has a managed float, with other significant currencies being the Indonesian Rupiah, Thai Baht and Turkish Lira.
The duo see some precedent for the idea in the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s:
In our view, the main risk to the gold is the risk posed by a significant strengthening of the US$ and higher US Treasury yields, especially if it is accompanied by low inflation and a significant weakening of a number of the currencies of a number of emerging market economies that are major consumers of the metal. The risks of this were demonstrated in 1998 when the Asian Tiger Currency Crisis resulted in a significant increase in scrap supply from these nations, and a pull back in gold prices.
The most obvious currency at risk from this perspective is the Indian Rupee; however, the Indonesian Rupiah, Thai Baht, Turkish Lira and Vietnamese Dong are also significant from this perspective. Indonesia and Turkey are major consumers of gold jewellery and Thailand is a key market for bar investment and Turkey for jewellery. The political unrest in Thailand and Turkey over recent weeks has resulted in a significant weakening of the Thai Baht and the Turkish Lira, which could have a negative impact on gold demand.
Friday's session is another strong one for gold ETFs, with SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) ahead by 1.3%. Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is gaining 3.1%. Leveraged mining ETFs Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X Shares (DUST) and Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X Shares (NUGT) are moving by about 9% apiece and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is gaining 2.8%.


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Skip to comments.'Lincoln' Screenwriter: Obama Win a Rejection of 'Psychotic' Reagan Era Ideology
Posted on 02/15/2013 9:16:01 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Tony Kushner, the screenwriter behind the Oscar nominated movie 'Lincoln,' compared Barack Obama to the 16th president and called the defeat of Mitt Romney a "rejection" of the "Reagan era ideology" that leads to a "frightening" path of "psychotic individualism."
Appearing on Thursday's edition of PBS's Charlie Rose show the openly gay playwright called Obama's evolution on same-sex marriage "Lincolnian" and roasted Ronald Reagan, Romney and the Tea Party:
TONY KUSHNER: So you have people like these Tea Party people protesting government and then asked if they really want to give up their Social Security payments. And they don't seem to know that, that is actually part of what government is. There's a rejection of the sort of basic idea of human community behind the Reagan, behind Reagan era ideology that is really frightening. And it leads us to terrible, terrible places.
And now that we're facing challenges like climate change that absolutely demand a global collective response, an organized global collective response. We have no hope for survival as a species if we continue down the path of this kind of psychotic individualism...I think we're beginning to see, in the last election we saw, I think, a real rejection. I mean what Romney basically had to offer was the same old trickle-down nonsense and people said I don't believe it any more.
After that rant, Kushner told Rose he was able to sing Obama's praises to his face, when he screened the movie for him: "I also got to say to him at the White House, I thought the way he handled same sex marriage was Lincolnian."
Kushner then continued the historic parallels when he revealed he and his Upper West Side friends woke up terrified on Election Day...
(Excerpt) Read more at newsbusters.org ...
Kushner talks like someone who has trouble with too many recreational drugs.
More convoluted thinking.
I wouldn't go to see it if it was free. And what is it with these idiots thinking we live in a democracy? The Founding Fathers equated democracy with mob rule and wanted none of it.
Funny how liberals can only imagine "basic human community" in terms of government.
And I'm not surprised the screenwriter is a gay Obama fanboy. When I watched the movie it felt like one giant shout out to Obama.
Lincoln: Lincoln defended his suspension of the writ of habeas corpus:
should everything fail because that one law "made in such extreme tenderness of the citizens' liberty that practically it relieves more of the guilty than of the innocent . . . [cannot] to a very limited extent be violated?" You want "the government itself go to pieces?"
Obama: the Constitution has to be ignored to save the Government.
I heard Kushner's comments and felt that "Lincoln" probably is just another example of the "nonpartisan" media that is used to influence apolitical voters.
Heard a clip of this clown on Rush today at lunch.
What a freaking spaz!
Conscience seared with a hot iron spastic.... Confused, bedeviled and nearly incoherent babble.
Whatta surprise—another Hollyweirdo spaz crawls out from under a rock.
The liberal mind..anyone who believes in limited Govt is a "Psycho" thats the way Liberals think, unless you love Communism they think your nuts..funny how these commie loves love Communism so much yet refuse to live in a Communist country..I hear Venezuela is beautiful this time of year, perhaps this schmuck should move there
I guess this Moonbat relishes the Carter era of Ideology.
Keep in mind that all writings are not worthy of FR.
Anyone remember the Lincoln biography that ABC ran on the eve of the '96 elections?
screenwriter = dolt
The media is the originator of the "trickle down nonsense." Tax cuts that generate economic growth started with JFK in the modern era.
Rush covered this today.
The Marxist nancy was pissing all over Individualism.
Not sure why Rush mentioned the punk's alleged 140/"Mensa" IQ. That's farm league.
Without concentrations of wealth there would be no funding to produce the idiot's screenplays.
Those who live in a state of individual freedom and those who demand collective control cannot and will never be able to "coexist". They must live in separate realms. And, no amount of alarmism regarding environmental or other global threat can bring justification for the demands of collectivists. Collectivists are a deadly threat to hope, freedom, and the very safety of mankind. I have come to believe that Lincoln's vision of a unified nation cannot be sustained as long as collectivists continue to inflict their tyrannical acts on Americans. They must renounce the American system and set up their own collectivist state. Americans have suffered too much due to collectivists. The economic, social, and human damage the collectivists have caused cannot be repaired until they are no longer actively attacking America.
Lol....as a southerner i was never tempted anyhow
Speilberg is largely a propagandist
Even does it a bit in Saving Private Ryan
Its his movie..but its bullshit
He's a rich Trotskyite....one of many
One Mamet..a division of Speilbergs....Stones....Lees and De Palmas
You see, the "progressives" seem to think that if they just simply CALL something what they WANT it to be (for example: democracy) and WISH really, really hard; it will eventually "evolve" into what they want.
I think it helps when assessing Lincoln's policy to put it in the context of what he was up against. A comparison of Lincoln's treatment of suspected bridge burners in Maryland and Confederate treatment of suspected bridge burners in East Tennessee is very much in Lincoln's favor.
A lot of people have mad a lot of money perpetuating the ridiculous Lincoln mythology.
"Americans" like Tony Kushner are the reasons that sometimes I'd like to see a split.
A certain group proved quite effectively that if you repeat a lie often enough, it effectively becomes the Truth when a sufficient majority live by it.
There was a time when the spigot was free to gush forth, but, once the hand of government grabbed hold of the handle, the economic flow was reduced to a stream...then a trickle...and now a drip.
If the libs/socialists desire to understand the historic rise to power of this country (economically and otherwise), they would realize that it happened sans the liberal/socialist agenda. They are the ones responsible for the strangulation of the American economy (including the continued use of such things as social security).
Get the libs/socialists out of the way, watch a country grow and blossom. Put libs in charge of "watering the garden" and you have...well, not enough water to make anything grow (trickle...trickle...trickle)
I'd rather deal with "psychotic individualism" than "bloodthirsty tyrannical governmental collectivism".
Most liberals prefer the "bloodthirsty tyrannical governmental collectivism" because they think they are too smart to let it become that. They always think they are the smart ones who will reach Utopia with their idiot collectivist notions.
Flipping radio stations during breakfast today, happened upon some NPR show.
It's a real circle-(blank) of mythologizing. Everything from a black discussion panel (with Cornel West) to a magazine piece on fact- checking.
To whit - they are developing an app into which you can stream a live speech, and they will decode it and send you their own version of whether it's "true" or not (based on their own database).
So they will take any info outside their belief system, and automatically realign it for you.
Bread-and-circuses-give-me-your-money socialist. No thanks flim-flam films.
Socialism Is Legal Plunder - Bastiat
An individual didn't cause this financial destruction. It was a socialist/collectivist caused calamity.
Kushner is a red-diaper baby and radical leftist fag. He hates everything good and decent and fair and honest and worthwhile. If I had known he wrote the screenplay I would never have seen the movie. From now on, I will vow never to see anything he "playwrites." He's disgusting, an embarrassment to humanity, a dung heap, and foul-mouth liar and the spawn of Satan.
Won't ever see it. After Munich, I refuse to watch anything associated with Kushner.
That's a good point and I agree.. and what we today are up against is Obama's drug-addled brain. :)
Lincoln's view of a unified nation, 'the Union', was driven by knowledge of foreign intentions.
Great Britain had 11,000 troops stationed on our northern border shortly after the War Between The States began. They were there because the Empire intended to invade when 'the Union" disintergrated.
France moved on Mexico. Napoleon III conspired with Mexican Monarchists to install a King along with thousands of French troops. (See: Napoleon III entry, in Wikipedia.)
Great Britain's and France's military actions were both financed by the large private banks in those two countries, which had an interest in seeing that a central national bank, privately owned by themselves, was chartered again in the U.S.
By taking advantage of the war in the U.S.A., the Europeans hoped to move in, seize the tattered remains of the exhausted states, and set up colonies.
Their purpose was to enrich themselves at the expense of the general populations, not just of the U.S. but of Mexico, too.
That is exactly what today's Globalists seek. International banking interests and international corporatists, they're using radical left-wingers, "collectivists" if you will, in order to sunder the rights of free men and women here, in this country, and set up a One World Government with themselves in charge. These people, who presently own and control the privately held Federal Reserve Bank of the United States as well as the IMF, the International Bank of Settlements, and in addition have control of the United Nations, are hoping for success this time around.
It is the U.S.Constitution which stands in their way. Our Bill of Rights is a bulwark against serfdom, and they know it. Don't fall for the talk about secession.
Those proposing succession are falling for the trap. As a Union we have greater strength than apart. Lincoln knew that and we should follow his lead.
Psychotic individualism =. Free
Not only that, but he is probably the only person in the world that watches the Today Show and says, "I wish they'd talk about New Your City more."
I greatly appreciated your informed and historically illuminating post. I have been trying to see a way to unify the nation but without shared values and interests, and with the acrimonious attacks on traditional values, it has been difficult to see America as one again. I reject flatly the idea of secession but it seems the Dem socialists have already seceded and have no more interest in the US system than to loot it. If the US were not history's greatest golden goose, the left would have no interest in it whatsoever. I believe that is the primary reason the leftists remain Americans—but in name only.
Yes, Yankees Were "Far Too Ruthless"
Old Virginia Blog | 2/16/2013 | Richard Williams
Posted on 02/16/2013 9:48:32 AM PST by Davy Buck
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.


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I was reading and most of the priests in the 25man healing guilds are reforging for a Haste/Crit build, instead of mastery. They are procing DA's almost 50% more and increasing their HPS. I was wondering if this is transferable into Heroic 10 man DS. We currently 2 heal most heroic fights and its me, A Disc Priest and a Resto druid.
Thanks for your help,


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Dabney Carr (1743–1773)
From Thomas Jefferson Encyclopedia
Dabney Carr (1743-1773) was one of Jefferson's closest friends. Carr was born at Bear Castle, a thousand acre farm in Louisa County, Virginia. His childhood is unknown. However, he met Jefferson at the Maury school in Albemarle county. Both men went to the College of William & Mary and studied law. In July 1765, Carr married Martha Jefferson, Jefferson's sister, on July 20, 1765.
The Carrs moved to Goochland county and Dabney focused on politics. He won a seat to the House of Burgesses in 1771 and in 1772. By 1773, relations with the colonists and royal authority were becoming strained with the Stamp Act, the Townshend Act, the burning of the British revenue schooner Gaspee in Rhode Island, and the creation of a special court that could sent colonists to England for trial. Virginia Governor Lord Dunmore held a special session and patriots such as Patrick Henry, Richard Henry Lee, and Jefferson, took the opportunity to develop a resolution to create an inter-colony correspondence committee. Carr delivered the resolution on March 12 and it would create a standing committee to maintain correspondence with other colonies and obtain intelligence on Parliament's actions regarding the colonies. It passed and it began work the next day.
This resolution helped create a Continental Congress by 1774. However, Carr did not live to see its consequences as his health failed and he died on May 16, 1773. Jefferson buried his friend in the Monticello Graveyard.
See Also
Further Sources
- Simpson, Jr. William S. "Dabney Carr: Portrait of a Colonial Patriot," Virginia Cavalcade. 23 (Winter 1974): 5-13.


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|Pro Guard Hockey Slide Board
Free Shipping!
Lowest Price Guarantee
The Pro Guard Hockey Slide Board is a great off-ice training device to improve your skating stride's quickness, power and stamina. The Slide Board takes less than a minute to set up; simply remove and unroll the board from the carrying bag, slip on the included slide booties over your shoes and you're ready to start improving your stride.
Unlike jogging or cycling, the Slide Board targets the hard-to-work muscles that move a player from side to side. The core muscles are also consistently targeted because they are trying to keep the player stabilized throughout the entire process. This side to side motion is considered a low-impact exercise since the foot never loses contact with the board, meaning a lot less stress is put on joints compared to jumping and landing exercises.
The board is 6' by 20" and features a non-slip material on the backside that helps to keep it in place on any flat surface (concrete, tile, carpet, etc.). To work on stickhandling and your stride at the same time, pick up an EZ Puck Shooting Board to place in front of the Slide Board for the ultimate off-ice workout.
- Includes:
- 1 - 6' L x 20" W Slide Board with a non-slip material on the backside for stability
- Rolls up for convenient storage
- 2 - Slide Booties to go over any size shoe
- Does NOT include shoes
- 1 - Carry bag for mobility and storage
Comments: Paul, I used some similar one in the past. You need to apply either one of those: liquid floor wax, Pledge furniture polish or silicon lubricant spray.
From: Patrick, Petaluma, CA
Comments: I was excited to get this product as I was looking for something to help work on lateral movement and balance. After the first two uses (approximately 15 minutes each) I thought the slide board was living up to everything I had hoped for and more. However, during the third use sliding became far more difficult and I started sticking near the end of my movement. Upon investigating the surface the slide board has already worn down to the point where the middle, main slide area was dull and virtually impossible to slide on. I feel incredibly disappointed having paid for a product that I literally got 45 minutes (three uses) out of. I don't blame Inline & Ice Warehouse as they're a great business, but I am beyond unhappy with the product. If anyone has any tips on how to make it "slick" again, please help me out.
From: Paul, Wisconsin Rapids, WI


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Songbird  0.6 Beta
* We have implemented jemalloc as our memory allocator for XULRunner on windows and linux. On these platforms we've been noticing Songbird's memory footprint has reduced between 15-20%.
* There is a new metadata editor! To check it out select a track and choose cmd/ctrl+e.
* We now write metadata back to the file.
* For Windows, the latest MTP add-on has been revved and we're supporting more devices.
* For all OS platforms, the iPod add-on has been completely rewritten to support our new device API
* Major performance improvements in the library when scrolling, filtering and importing (we now support much larger libraries too.)
* For Mac, the latest Quicktime add-ons for ppc and intel greatly improve playback performance for local MP3 and M4A files (no more latency issues before playback begins.)
* We have added a survey to Help Make Songbird Better in this release. We will use your feedback to improve future versions of the Bird!


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MARLINA - T2D : Efficacy, Safety & Modification of Albuminuria in Type 2 Diabetes Subjects With Renal Disease With LINAgliptin
This study has been completed.
Boehringer Ingelheim
Eli Lilly and Company
Information provided by (Responsible Party):
Boehringer Ingelheim
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:
First received: February 14, 2013
Last updated: January 6, 2016
Last verified: January 2016
- Full Text View
- Tabular View
- No Study Results Posted
- Disclaimer
- How to Read a Study Record
No Study Results Posted on ClinicalTrials.gov for this Study
|Study Status:
|This study has been completed.
|Study Completion Date:
|December 2015
|Primary Completion Date:
|November 2015 (Final data collection date for primary outcome measure)
Publications automatically indexed to this study by ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier (NCT Number):
Groop PH, Cooper ME, Perkovic V, Sharma K, Schernthaner G, Haneda M, Hocher B, Gordat M, Cescutti J, Woerle HJ, von Eynatten M. Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibition with linagliptin and effects on hyperglycaemia and albuminuria in patients with type 2 diabetes and renal dysfunction: Rationale and design of the MARLINA-T2D™ trial. Diab Vasc Dis Res. 2015 Nov;12(6):455-62. doi: 10.1177/1479164115579002.


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You say you want a revolution? The American Idol Top 9 -- Lazaro Arbos, Janelle Arthur, Candice Glover, Kree Harrison, Amber Holcomb, Paul Jolley, Angie Milller, Burnell Taylor and Devin Velez -- hope you'll see it their way as they get back to the songs of The Beatles. Which ones get all your loving and which should get a ticket to ride home? Share your thoughts in tonight's live blog. -- Brian Mansfield
Beatles Week is a double-edged sword, says record executive Jimmy Iovine. "There's no gimmicks needed," he says. "If you sing these songs well, they'll deliver for you. On the other hand, if you don't sing them well, the whole world is going to know."
But first, some results. Who gets the 11th spot on the summer tour, Charlie Askew or Aubrey Cleland? (Had you forgotten?)
It's Cleland. Askew gets booted from the show a second time.
We've got one more Beatles ballad to go tonight, and it'll be coming from Janelle Arthur.
Jimmy Iovine says Arthur has chosen a very, very subtle song in I Will. Subtlety, of course, not being a common trait among American Idol singers. And if she breathes correctly, she just might pull it off, Iovine thinks.
Arthur manages to do something none of the other ballad singers tonight have done -- take the Beatles song out of the realm of Beatle-dom. It's a lesser-known song from the catalog, which makes it easier. But she turns it into this lovely, lilting, almost countrypolitan confection and never succumbs to the temptation to over-sing.
If this isn't Keith Urban's favorite Beatles song, it ought to be now. "You know who you are. You're pure, you're true, and I thought that was really beautiful."
"Can we renew our vows tonight?" Nicki Minaj asks.
"I'm ready," Arthur replies. "I'm your marshmallow, remember?"
'You are great, little girl! You are great! You are everything, because you don't have to yell and scream."
"I think that's one of the best performances of the night," says Randy Jackson, who believes the subtlety spoke louder than the big voices.
"I feel like you really have been listening to what we've been saying," Mariah Carey says, calling Arthur's performance beautiful and elegant.
Grade: A+
Jimmy Iovine wonders who Devin Velez has in his head when he sings The Long and Winding Road. Brian McKnight, Velez replies. "Great, then put yourself in that situation," Iovine tells him. The closer he gets to that place, Iovine believes, the better he is.
Excellent performance of another ballad. He sings it beautifully, in that R&B style he has. But, c'mon, enough already.
"You never cease to amaze me," says Mariah Carey. She doesn't have words to describe how good she thinks it was.
Keith Urban reminds Velez that he has championed the young singer all along. And he'd like to see Velez be less laid back and connect more emotionally.
Nicki Minaj thinks he is connecting emotionally.
Randy Jackson loves that he brought swagger back but shouldn't feel like he has to use it all the time.
Mariah gives a shout-out to all her lambs.
Grade: A
In her high-school class, Angie Miller was voted "Next American Idol." Guess this has been in the works for a while, then.
Jimmy Iovine says Angie Miller has a tendency to over-sing Yesterday, her choice for tonight. But she can show more emotion with her restraint.
She doesn't quite dial it back enough in performance -- she just can't resist going for the glory notes when they're just within reach, like low-hanging fruit. Mostly, though, it's simple and lovely.
"You're one of my favorites in this whole competition," Randy Jackson says. He thinks she did hold back, though she showed a little firepower at the end. He compares Miller to Evanescence's Amy Lee or Paramore's Hayley Williams.
Mariah Carey thinks Miller did a very respectful version of Yesterday, "yet you really showed your voice."
"I felt like there were moments when you were trying desperately to stop thinking about all the things people were telling you to sing like," Keith Urban says, and sometimes she would stop thinking and just sing. But, either way, Miller always shines through for him.
"Amazing, first and foremost," Nicki Minaj. She likes the high key in which Miller started the song, because it showed just what she could do up there. "You could do anything with your voice. You are amazing."
Grade: B+
Jimmy Iovine is enjoying watching Paul Jolley develop and learn the difference between screaming and singing subtly but intensely. "There's a fine line you walk when you're a singer like Paul, and he's starting to understand it."
Eleanor Rigby is as risky a song for Jolley as In My Life was for Lazaro Arbos. The verses are some of the nicest things Jolley has done on the show. But this song will be won or lost on the "all the lonely people" refrain. And that's pretty intense, too. It may not be the best performance of the night, but it's the most improved.
Nicki Minaj likes everything about Jolley but the performance. "Very, very safe, very bland and very forgettable."
Randy Jackson thought he was disconnected from the song and never got into it.
Mariah Carey thought Jolley made a great song choice. However, "you have to be able to give as much emotion when you're singing softly as when you're at the top of your range. ... Pretend like you wrote it and it's coming from you and give that to us." She'd like to see him do an uptempo, dance-oriented pop song. She doesn't get him as a country singer.
Eleanor Rigby is Keith Urban's second-favorite Beatles song behind She's Leaving Home. He also likes the pop-rock side of Jolley's voice and hopes he gets to hear more of it.
Grade: B
I figured Candice Glover might do Come Together. What I didn't expect was for her arrangement to be more Aerosmith than Tina Turner. After a couple of weeks of vocal master classes, tonight she just lets it belt. Then she throws in a couple of ad libs that take it into her own territory.
"Now we're cooking!" exclaims Keith Urban. "I love seeing you in this whole other vibe tonight. ... I thought that was absolutely killer."
Nicki Minaj loves her crazy, insane, out-of-this-world vocal, but she wants her to always have the same attitude in her face.
"I don't know what's going on in your face, but the voice is crazy," says Randy Jackson. He's glad to hear her go uptempo, because sometimes people think singers with big voices can't do uptempo material. Dang right.
"It was like a prizefighter, darling," Mariah Carey says. "The only thing that's ever missing for me from you is when you decide to get even more creative and jazzy and go places that nobody else can go." She asks Glover to please not stop doing that.
Grade: A+
Lazaro Arbos has chosen a song from Rubber Soul, Ryan Seacrest teases. Guess it won't be If I Needed Someone. What a shame.
Rehearsing In My Life in the studio, he appears to be having trouble staying in time on pitch. By the time he takes the stage, the tempo problems seem to have been solved. But not the pitch troubles. He's flatter than the bike tires in my garage. And following three excellent performances makes it sound even worse.
Mariah Carey's up first: "It's so difficult to perform a song written by Lennon and McCartney," she says. "I really have to commend you on your bravery." Translation: Boy, did that suck.
"Choosing the key of a song is really important," says Keith Urban, knowing that Arbos could have picked from many. He wishes Arbos had started in the key he modulated to, because it sounded better there.
"I still feel like you are not back to the Lazaro that I remember," Nicki Minaj says. "Your confidence is different now." He wishes she could get Iovine out of the room. "Something is bothering you, babe. I need you back."
Randy Jackson: "Honestly, for me, that was your worst performance ever. ... I'm just starting to wonder: Where did the vocals go?"
By the time the judges have had their say, Arbos is in tears.
Grade: D
Amber Holcomb has made a provocative choice -- She's Leaving Home.
"She's not going to be leaving this show -- she murders this song," Iovine says. "Amber? Her voice? This song? A winner."
Holcomb doesn't sound quite as natural in her song as Harrison and Taylor did in theirs, but she gets of style points -- for the harp-and-strings arrangement, for the way she takes the melody up at the end of the verses, for just having the good sense to choose this song in the first place. It showcases a different part of her singing style than her last two choices did, and its melody keeps her from going to melismatic.
"It started a little slow and unsure for me," Randy Jackson says, but he knows she had it by the time she got to the middle. Also, it turns out that Holcomb didn't know this song any better than Taylor knew Let It Be.
But that's OK -- Mariah Carey didn't know it, either. She felt Holcomb recovered from any problems she might have had.
Keith Urban knows the song -- it's his favorite Beatles song. "You came out and made it sound as fresh as if it was just written this week," he says.
"Your vocal is unmatched," Nicki Minaj says. "But I definitely saw that you was in your brain, like, 'Why did he give me that song?' ... I don't want to see that."
Burnell Taylor has chosen Let It Be, but he's at a disadvantage -- he doesn't know the song. (Not even Aretha Franklin's version? Really?) Still, you know he can sing it great -- if he's learned it well.
Though it's yet another gospel-infused ballad, Burnell brings a beautiful, raspy delivery to the song, playfully reinterpreting the melody. And we've got a gospel choir walking out for the second time in two songs -- a gimmick that's going to get old tonight real fast if it keeps up. Still, excellent take on the song, though I'm ready for him to mix it up stylistically.
"You didn't even sing the song, you caressed it," Nicki Minaj says. "You treated it like it was a newborn baby. ... I felt like I was in church."
"Do you know The Beatles?" Randy Jackson says.
"I know of them," Burnell admits.
"This is the mark of a great singer and a great artist," Randy says. "You made it your own."
Mariah Carey was concerned when Iovine said Taylor didn't know the song. However, after hearing him sing, "I was so proud of you. I was so happy for you."
"You are the most instantly recognizable tone, vocally, out of everybody in this competition," Keith Urban says. He's glad America is responding to Taylor, as well.
Grade: A
Up first tonight, it's Kree Harrison, who lost her father when she was 12 and her mother seven years later. "I'm very lucky to have had amazing parents for as long as I did," she says, "and now I have guardian angels."
Harrison has never performed a Beatles song before, but her dad loved the group. Iovine doesn't think she's going to have much trouble with With a Little Help From My Friends.
Harrison uses the Joe Cocker arrangement as her template. And, true to Iovine's prediction, she just lays back and sings in that smoky, bluesy voice of hers, and everything's just fine. It's hardly an original take on the song, but she sings the fire out of it.
Keith Urban loves that no matter what song she does, she's Kree. "All the cool things about country is what you are," he says. He doesn't think she'll have any trouble getting by tonight.
Nicki Minaj likes the "Kreedom" she puts on it. And she's impressed that Harrison could sing it in five-inch heels. "You have just started to become this superstar in front of our eyes," she says.
Randy Jackson wants to make sure he heard them right: "You think it was the bomb performance?" he asks. "I think it was the bomb performance, too."
"I didn't think it was good," says Mariah Carey. "I thought it was fan-freakin'-tastic."
Grade: A


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2 Lips Too Unfold Girls Toddler & Youth Boot
Sorry, this item is sold out!
Looks like you've got more shoe shopping to do - have fun!
Looks like you've got more shoe shopping to do - have fun!
Item # 253143
The sweet Unfold boot from 2 Lips Too just screams style and attitude. What a terrific boot to start off the season with!
- Faux distressed leather upper
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- 10" shaft height; 1¼" block heel
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- Imported
- View more Girls 2 Lips Too Kids Shoes
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By: diddygirl
Location: Syracuse NY
October 12, 2012
Great Boot for Adults too!
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Location: Baltimore
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Awesome girls boot!
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Click anywhere to close this.


text:
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New Uke to a Bright Star
- April 6th, 2010
We're so happy to send a 2nd custom Compass Rose Ukulele to our friend, Ingrid Michaelson, this week.
Ingrid is a fine singer-songwriter from the Indy New York scene, and she is a uniquely talented artist. She has moved from piano and guitar to ukulele as a primary voicing [...]


text:
Main Content
Cheer on your team in this MLS All-Star snapback adjustable hat from adidas! Top off your game day look and show the other MLS fans how to represent in style with this hat. It features quality embroidery as well as authentic MLS colors and logos!
- High Crown
- Flat bill
- 80% Acrylic/20% Wool
- Color-contrast details
- Embroidered graphics
- Eyelets for ventilation
- Six panels
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- Officially licensed
- Imported
- Brand: adidas
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Brain Game: Math Square #169
Like us on Facebook
Good luck with today's mentalfloss.com Brain Game, a brand new Monday Math Square.
Place the digits 1 through 9 in the white blanks so that the mathematical equations work both across and down. Each digit 1 through 9 should appear only once in the main grid (the red square).
Here is the SOLUTION.


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Earworms Language Courses£5 (from Earworms) for an award-winning musical brain training language course, £9 for 2
1 LANGUAGE: An award-winning musical brain training language course from Earworms MTB OR redeem towards another Wowcher deal.
2 LANGUAGES: An award-winning musical brain training language course from Earworms MTB OR redeem towards another Wowcher deal.
Promotion ends on
15 / 04 / 2014
- UKTI International Trade Award-winning language course.
- Choose from 16 languages inc. Spanish, French, Mandarin & more.
- Uses music, rhythm and memory hooks to teach a new language.
- Features over 70 minutes of audio.
- Includes PDF phrasebook.
- MP3 download compatible with iPods, Android smartphones & more.
The Fine Print
- May buy multiples.
- Voucher valid until 18th Apr 2014.
- Valid for Volume 1 titles only.
- Cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer.
- Subject to availability.
Full Details
If speaking a foreign language to you is saying everything in English but a lot slower and at three times the volume, then perhaps you should have a look at today's deal - comprende?
Today we're offering you one beginners' musical brain training language course in your choice of 16 languages for just £5 or two courses for £9!
With courses in French, both European and Latin American dialects of Spanish, Italian, German, Mandarin, Japanese, Russian, Arabic, Cantonese, Polish, Greek, Dutch, Turkish and both European and Brazilian dialects of Portuguese, Earworms have got you covered, whatever the corner of the globe you're planning on visiting! The fun and accessible beginners' musical brain training language course features over 70 minutes of audio material. Through the use of music, rhythmic repetition and memory hooks, you'll memorise the essential words and phrases needed when travelling abroad. The Volume 1 language courses are perfect for listening to while you're driving, on the bus, doing the washing up (or anything else when you'd like to imagine you're in a far-off place!). With today's deal, you'll not only receive the course as an MP3 audio download that's compatible with MP3 players including iPods and Android smartphones, but you'll also get a handy PDF phrasebook to help you along with your learning. Wunderbar!
How to Redeem
- When you've bought we'll send you your unique wowcher code.
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i rarely read seinen unless is urasawa naoki works but this is really an outstanding comic...........Thus far the art has been realistic, the characters very strong and the dialogue is full of killer lines. In my opinion one good example is this scene from the first volume:
This manga rules.
let`s discuss it.


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why we cut Hoyer makes no sense to me...should of kept him and signed him.
why we cut Hoyer makes no sense to me...should of kept him and signed him.
I'm perfectly okay with this signing!
Round 1, Pick 25 (25): Artie Burns, CB; Miami
Round 2, Pick 27 (58 ): Sean Davis, S; Maryland
Round 3, Pick 26 (89): Javon Hargrave, DT; South Carolina State
Round 4, Pick 25 (123): Jerald Hawkins, OT; LSU
Round 6, Pick 45 (220) (Compensatory Selection): Travis Feeney, OLB; Washington
Round 7, Pick 8 (229) (From Giants): DeMarcus Ayers, WR; Houston
Round 7, Pick 25 (246): Tyler Matakevich, OLB; Temple
I would have rather kept Hoyer around. Jason Campbell IMO is better than Gradkowski also.
Our whole attitude now seems to be hire every out of work Pittsburgher.
Charity begins at home people.
Haluski, Halupki, Keilbasa and Gradkowski seem to fit.....its all good people
I have a feeling that Gradkowski is viewed as a #2.........Only until the draft choice comes around.
Still need to draft a QB with some upside, not an UDFA. Someone with potential.
He won't get to play against our 4th quarter defense if we are paying him.
I like this move. This is an upgrade over what we had, and a step in the right direction at the position. I hope they draft a mid round QB to groom as the #3.


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Stress-related genes may be preferentially and rhythmically expressed as part of the circadian rhythms of older fruit flies, researchers report.
Speaking of Science
May 1, 2013|
May 2013's selection of notable quotes
May 1, 2013|
May 2013's selection of notable quotes
May 1, 2013|
American naturalist Louis Agassiz had a zeal for collecting that encouraged a nation to engage with nature.
April 25, 2013|
Better health care in Gambian villages lead to flip-flopping selection pressures on height and weight.
April 22, 2013|
One of the surviving UK homes of pioneering but long-overlooked evolutionary theorist Alfred Russel Wallace is on the market.
April 22, 2013|
A new study suggests that in the Spanish Habsburg royal family, natural selection may have diminished the most harmful effects of inbreeding.
April 15, 2013|
Today's tulip trees carry similar mitochondrial DNA as those that grew in the time of the dinosaurs.
April 11, 2013|
Fossilized skeletal remains of the hominid Australopithecus sediba add to the puzzle of human evolution.
April 5, 2013|
Living fossils not so fossilized; Canadian gov't threatens scientists' freedom to speak and publish; gene therapy for sensory disorders; an unusual theory of cancer; clues for an HIV vaccine
April 2, 2013|
New studies of tadpole shrimp and other organisms show that the term "living fossil" is inaccurate and misleading.
April 2, 2013|
Intrepid Norwegian explorers discovered the Antarctic icefish, a marvel of evolution, while venturing to an island at the bottom of the Earth in 1927.


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Haldir's Sword & Wizardy PBP
Posted 07 June 2011 - 02:41 PM
"I got my brother and his six year old hooked last week. They were soon back at the friendly local for more. Starts with a cute lil unicorn, next thing you're onto griffins and purple worms." ~ Carnacki the Ghost Finder
Posted 07 June 2011 - 07:26 PM
Hopefully the activity of this thread will make people curious. TofEE recommends a rep from each class but I figure if we can get a fighter, thief, cleric & magic-user. Well be good to go.
Spike, you know of any S&W forum sites to ask if people might be interested in playing?
Oh what the hell--
ReaperCon goer since 2005!
"The Road Goes Ever On......
"Lop that mutt's nards off spike! " orcsoul
Posted 07 June 2011 - 07:44 PM
Posted 07 June 2011 - 11:03 PM
One more thing which of the three versions of S&W formal are you planning on using. By formal I mean the ones that Matt is producing.
Thank you for your time.
The End!
Posted 08 June 2011 - 09:47 AM
Questions: How often are we expected to post?
Do you want a background for characters?
Are you wanting a rounded group? ie Fighter, cleric, wizard, thief? Am am willing to take on any role needed.
Oh I found out about this game from the like on the swords and wizardry forums. :)
Posted 08 June 2011 - 12:09 PM
no worries on when you guys can get a post in, as long as it is a consistent posting, your good.
You can do a back story, but if you say Bob here is young fighter setting out in the world for his fame & adventure. Hell that is fine with me.
Temple of Elemental Evil says a well rounded group so I guess that is what I'm lookin at or at least it'll help you guys out but if anyone doesn't want to be the magic user then by all means make something else.
Ok, we got 4. Which for me is a good to start, if we get 1 or 2 more before we really get going, then that will be fine with me.
As far as rules. Go with the latest pdf printing, the one off of rpgnow.com is what I'll be using (4th printing, just released last month).
Also note, I'll be using the druid, ranger, monk & bard using this site's rules for them:
Again, make the character 2nd level, roll 4d6, drop the lowest & max gold & your good to go!
You also have a riding horse, but as I said it not the greatest horse in the world.
So far we have a half-orc fighter
thanks for the interest
Oh what the hell--
ReaperCon goer since 2005!
"The Road Goes Ever On......
"Lop that mutt's nards off spike! " orcsoul
Posted 08 June 2011 - 01:59 PM
Ok characters will be 1st level. Hmmm, I didn't think they started off at 1st in that adventure, but more or less we will run through T1 Village of Hommlet first then the Temple part.Also roll 4d6 & remove the lowest die for stats. Max gold starting. Also max hps as well.Also Spike, can you send me your house rules for half-orcs? As I'll let them buggers in as player characters.Other then that normal S&W rules for character creation.RM
You stated we are to use max hps as well. This is when we were creating first level characters. Are we using full hit points for the 2nd level characters also?
Also are you allowing clerics to use slings and oil as range weapons?
Posted 08 June 2011 - 05:53 PM
MAX 1st level
Every level afterwards up to level where you stop getting HD rolls:
Either take half of your HD + Con bonus/minus if any (example You have 1d8 HD roll, take the 4, 1d6 + 2 Con bonus: take the 5, etc etc)
Roll your HD + Con bonus/minus. If you roll a 1 discard & roll again.
Always hated playing a Fighter & getting a whopping 1 on my HD roll.
Clerics: Yes, I have no problem with those 2.
If your considering a cleric, the setting will be using the Greyhawk gods with St Cuthbert being a prominent religion in the game.
Oh what the hell--
ReaperCon goer since 2005!
"The Road Goes Ever On......
"Lop that mutt's nards off spike! " orcsoul
Posted 08 June 2011 - 08:52 PM
The gods LOVE me!
*closes quick-edit window*
Posted 08 June 2011 - 09:57 PM
Ok I'll try & get up a preview post in the playing section tomorrow (yeah for days off) describing the history & opening stuff for the game. I know I have the module in pdf form but I'm not sure if it's on this computer or my older system.
Oh what the hell--
ReaperCon goer since 2005!
"The Road Goes Ever On......
"Lop that mutt's nards off spike! " orcsoul
Posted 08 June 2011 - 11:07 PM
Now by 4.0 do you mean core, complete, or White Box. I think you mean core.
In core there are no Half Orcs in that particular mechanic. Which leads to this question do you have a set of house rules you are using other than http://swcompanion.w...t.com/resources and or how much of his particular house rules are you using other than class.
Where will we be playing and is there something I need to sign up for to play there. I know online, just looking for link.
I will play what ever class you would like me to play. Basically what ever is left over.If it is the Cleric I will need a pointer to Grey Hawks religion, because I have not read enough of Grew Hawk to really know anything about it.
I am a Drizzt fanboy lol. I do know a little bit about forgotten realms. Sorry folks I am a novice I hope this does not cause any issues.
Posted 08 June 2011 - 11:39 PM
Haldir can probably answer most questions for you better than I, but as far as where the game will be played, it will take place on this forum in the section below this one called "The Playing". This game's topic isn't there yet, but there's another game in progress as well as a few backlogged games that have kind of fizzled out if you would like to read through. (In order to see topics and posts that are older than the default 30 days, you have to click the "Change Filter Options" link down in the red bar below the last topic on a page.)
Posted 09 June 2011 - 09:33 AM
"I got my brother and his six year old hooked last week. They were soon back at the friendly local for more. Starts with a cute lil unicorn, next thing you're onto griffins and purple worms." ~ Carnacki the Ghost Finder
Posted 09 June 2011 - 10:01 AM
Rules set is this printing here:
S&W at rpgnow.com
As far as house rules. Other then what I've done so far with character creation, not really that different then what you'll find in the rulebook. I do like the classic races & classes so that is the reason for the additional classes & the half-orc. If you want to have a half-elf or gnome, feel free to ask me about those. I'm still working on those 2 classes but if you really want them, I'll come up with something.
The human classes are pretty much what has been posted so far. I've debated a barbarian but held off on that one.
Archers may fire two arrows per Round only if they do not move.
Crossbows can not, in general, be reloaded on the run. Only very light crossbows can be spanned with one hand.
You die when you reach your Con bonus in -10 + your Con bonus/minus (ie -11 or -9, etc etc)
Other then that, everything else is by the book.
Also this section will be used for off topic stuff during game or other info during game that you feel needs more explanation.
Oh what the hell--
ReaperCon goer since 2005!
"The Road Goes Ever On......
"Lop that mutt's nards off spike! " orcsoul
Posted 09 June 2011 - 11:51 AM
Name: Coriander Waterspout (Cory)
Race: Human
Class: Cleric
Deity: St. Cuthbert (Billets Sect)
Level: 2
XP bonus: 10%
Saving Throw: 14
Hit Dice: 2 (1d6/level)
___Club 1d4 10 lbs
___Sling 1d4 1 lbs
___Mace, heavy 1d6 10 lbs
AC: 5 (base 9 minus 3 ringmail + -1 shield.)
___Armor, Ring -3[ +3] 40 lbs
___Shield -1 [+1] 10
STR: 11 1-2 open doors, +5 encumbrance
INT: 12 3 max additional languages
WIS: 17 10% XP bonus
CON: 12 75% raise-dead survival
CHA: 12 4 max hirelings
Gold (from 180 gp) 0 gp 7 sp 5 cp (9 lbs) [edit: Bought 1 holy water and map.]
Dress Robes
Backpack 5gp
Bedroll 2gp
Chalk .05gp
Flask, leather .03gp
Ink 1gp
Holy symbol, wooden 1gp (a small wooden club)
Mirror, small steel 20gp
10 Oil, lamp 1 pint .1gp
Parchment 3 sheets .2gp x 3
Pole (10 foot) .2gp
10 Rations, Trail .5gp
Rope Hemp (50 ft) 1gp
2 Sack (15 pounds) 1gp
Shovel 2gp
5 Torch .01gp
Waterskin .1gp
Horse 20gp
dagger 2gp For food preparations.
sling and stones .2gp
Stones, sling (20) 1d4 By weapon By weapon 5
0 gp
Mace, heavy 1d6 10 10
Ring -3 [+3] 40 30 gp
Shield -1 [+1] 10 15 gp
1 flask holy water
1 map of old moathouse area.
Total encumbrance: 85 lbs
Base Movement: 9
2 Heal Light Wounds
Edited by Razberry Ranid, 19 August 2011 - 11:05 PM.
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