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|Team: Melbourne
W: 237 lbs
Bday: 11/21/1984
(32 Years Old)
Current: C
Possible: PF/C
|Agent: Keith Kreiter
High School: West Nottingham Academy
Hometown: Mount Airy, MD
Drafted: Pick 23 in 2006 by Nets
Best Case: Jeff Foster
Worst Case: Etan Thomas
Overview: Hustle player with the tools to make an impact off the bench from the center position. Big wingspan makes up for the fact that he is slightly undersized. Possesses good mobility, leaping ability, and overall physical strength. Had a solid college career at UConn, although he was deemed somewhat of an underachiever by the time he left. Was a freshman when the Huskies won the NCAA Championship in 2004. Named Big East Conference Defensive Player of the Year as a sophomore, and then regressed a bit as a junior. Still landed in the first round when he declared. Stepped in and saw minutes immediately for the Nets. Offers good energy, rebounding, and athleticism, but hasnt developed the skills to be more than a roleplayer. Seems to lack some passion for the game. Has shown some improvements in his fundamentals and defense, which have helped him function more effectively as a backup. Not going to post consistent offensive numbers due to his role and limited skill-set. Saw his minutes nearly cut in half between his second and third year due to roster movement around him.
Offense: Offers catch and finish ability, which makes him efficient as hes learned not to try and do too much. Uses his mobility and athleticism to earn most of his shot opportunities. Gets most of his touches off of cuts, offensive boards, and rolling to the basket. Moves well without the ball and has learned how to fill the lane very effectively both in transition and in half court settings. Gets essentially no opportunities to create his own shot, allowing him to do what he does best. Doesnt show any polish in the post or the ability to hit a jumper with any range. Most of his mental errors occur when hes wide open from the midrange and he pulls the trigger, since his sub-50% free throw percentage is an accurate representation of his jump shooting on the whole. Excellent offensive rebounder who plays his part in the offense. Takes advantage of his touches at the rim by using his explosiveness and strength to finish or get to the line. Shows questionable touch when he is forced to take shots when off balance.
Defense: Decent defensive player who isnt able to make as big of an impact as he did on the college level. Doesnt show a lot of intensity guarding the perimeter not getting in much of a stance or using his quickness well at all. A little more aggressive on the interior, showing a bit more focus when defending the post or coming over to help a beaten teammate. Shows nice explosiveness when defending short range shots going away from the rim, which he attempt by staunchly defending penetration directly to the rim. Will get beaten off the dribble when he has to keep up with two or three dribbles when closing out on the perimeter. Doesnt look terribly comfortable when he has to move away from the basket, though he gets a hand in the face of shooters when he can. Able to contest shots, but doesnt often go straight up on the shot. Uses his muscle to fight for rebounds, but could stand to show a more consistent energy level on the defensive end to better use his quickness.
Boone is an athletic big man who runs the floor extremely well and possesses very good quickness and footspeed. He moves well for a player his size in all directions, especially laterally. He is a very good leaper off one foot, but is just average off two feet. Physically, he has an excellent frame that will carry about as much weight as needed, with broad shoulders, strong legs and an excellent wingspan. His wide body and low base allows him to establish position deep in the post for rebounds or occasional garbage points around the hoop. He is not a soft player and does not seem to have too much of a problem throwing his body around. He has solid fundamentals and is generally a very intelligent player with a good court demeanor when things are going well.
Offensively, he is limited, but his length, strength and hands allows him to score some points on occasion inside the paint, and especially in transition with how hard he runs the floor. From baseline to baseline, there are few big men who are quicker than Boone in this draft, and it wasnt rare at all to see him get out in the open floor and beat guards down the court. He is also a solid interior passer who knows how to make the simple pass to give his teammate the easy bucket. All in all, he is an unselfish player who doesnt mind living on scraps and doesnt need to be a focal point of his teams offense to be effective.
As a rebounder is where he is likely most attractive initially. He has all the physical tools to become a factor here, including an above average wingspan, outstanding hands, quickness, timing, and an excellent knack for anticipating where the ball will end up next. The offensive glass is where he shines the most; as almost 50% of his rebounds over his three year college career have come from there.
Boone is also an excellent defender, featuring terrific footwork, a fundamentally sound defensive stance and imposing positioning immediately when his man gets the ball. He will bump his chest right into him and glide quickly laterally from left to right. He has a good understanding of the game here, showing very well on the pick and roll and knowing when to rotate on help defense inside the paint. His quick hands and feet along with his length make him a threat to disrupt the post entry pass and come up with the steal on any given possession.
In terms of intangibles, Boone is intelligent both on and off the court, being both an excellent student and a solid citizen. He will do the little things in order to win, and does not have much of an ego like some top NCAA players from large programs too. In terms of his resume, its hard to argue with his credentials. Hes won about as many games as any junior in this draft, was a three year starter at arguably the best college basketball program in America, played under an outstanding coach, and has numerous accolades under his belt.
As a 6-10 center, Boone is a bit undersized for the position. Despite being a terrific NCAA defender, does he have what it takes to defend much taller NBA Centers than him? Also how will he fare on the offensive end where he is limited as it is already?
Developing something that resembles a face up game could put those fears to rest, because at the moment, Boone doesn't have it at all. He refuses to put the ball on the floor or take shots outside the paint. He is very limited offensively as it is, with fairly average touch around the basket that makes him blow easy baskets at time off offensive rebounds, although this might have to do more with his lack of focus than anything. While he is a good leaper off one foot (which helps him block shots from the weak-side), he is not nearly as explosive off two feet. When attempting to finish seemingly easy baskets, he doesnt always go up strong enough, which means that hell have his shot blocked. This also has to do with the fact that Boone can be very tentative at times in almost everything he does when things arent going extremely well for him or his team, not really having that killer attitude youd like to see from a projected role-playing hustling type.
Most of his baskets are of the garbage type variety, off put-backs and offensive rebounds against smaller and weaker NCAA players. Working on developing more post moves, better footwork, establishing deeper position in the paint like he does when rebounding and finishing in a wider variety of ways would benefit him immensely.
The most concerning thing about Boone has to be his mental approach to the game. Watching him play, following him throughout his career, and speaking to people that have been around him over that time, there are major question marks about just how much he enjoys playing basketball. He shows very little passion and enthusiasm out on the courtdisplaying especially concerning body languageand you have to wonder just how hard he is going to want to improve over the next few years, as some question whether he is lazy. His heartbeat has been questioned repeatedly and UConn Coach Jim Calhoun tried every trick in the book to get him to fulfill his potential, without success for the most part. He regressed significantly from last year in every major statistical category except fouls, while only playing 2 minutes less per game. Off the court, he is an excellent kid, but on the court he might just be too nice for his own good. In addition, hes been wildly inconsistent throughout his college career, ranging from terrific performances to absolutely being a non-factor on the court and in the stat-sheet.
Boone can be considered a late bloomer. He wasn't heavily recruited out of high school by the top schools and decided to go to prep school (West Nottingham Academy) for a year to polish his game before college. In his first NCAA season, he started in 37 out of 38 games next to Emeka Okafor and had a very solid year, averaging 6 points, 6 rebounds and almost 2 blocks per game. Boone played extremely well in the postseason for UConn, especially in the Big East tournament when Okafor went down, and was rewarded for his efforts with a National Championship ring that he had a big part in.
As a sophomore, Boone exploded onto the national scene early on with a terrific showing in UConns out of conference schedule. He had terrific chemistry with Charlie Villanueva, but slight injuries made him fade significantly down the stretch. He still ended up averaging 12.4 points, 8.4 rebounds and 2.9 blocks per game, on an outstanding 61% shooting from the field and 66% from the free throw line. Boone was named the BIG EAST Defensive Player of the Year and was an All-BIG EAST Second Team selection.
As a junior, things were much tougher with the emergence of Hilton Armstrong, Rudy Gays development into a college star and talented freshman Jeff Adrien breathing down his neck. His numbers dropped across the board, to 10.3 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 2.0 blocks on 56% shooting from the field and 55% from the free throw line.
Boone looked on his way to establishing himself as a lottery pick last summer after Charlie Villanueva left for the NBA and he was primed to stepped into a much bigger role on the offensive end. That never really happened, as Boone was incredibly inconsistent throughout the season and regressed in almost every facet of the game. After UConn lost in the Elite Eight, Boone may have felt like he was going to be the last man standing at UConn his senior year due to the graduation of Hilton Armstrong, Rashad Anderson and Denham Brown, and sophomore Rudy Gay and fellow junior Marcus Williams leaving early for a likely spot in the lottery. Boone has never been comfortable as a go-to guy and could have felt that another poor season would completely eliminate him from first round consideration in 2007. He entered the draft, later hired an agent, and decided to skip the NBA pre-draft camp. Some think he has a promise from the New York Knicks at 29, but if he doesnt get drafted there, there is a definite chance that he will slip to the 2nd round.
Boone has all the physical tools in the world to be a contributor in the NBA, its mostly the mental part of the game that people question. It could very well be that a change of scenery is what he needs to motivate him, but no one can say that for sure.
Though Boone didnt really get a chance to establish himself on the offensive end of the floor, he continued to struggle at the free throw line, something that has hurt him all season. On the two field goals he missed, he displayed little body control or touch around the rim, and when given the ball he wasnt able to create anything in the post. Boone also ended up in foul trouble against the much smaller front court of George Mason. He picked up his third foul early in the first half, and had to sit for a long period of time. For an NBA prospect like Boone, you expect him to look dominant at least during stretches in big games, and he was nowhere to be found in the final game of his junior year. He will probably decide to at least test his stock and enter the draft, but one more year of learning from Calhoun would really benefit Josh Boone.[Read Full Article]
It's unclear at this point whether Josh Boone will decide to stay at UConn another year or test the waters to see where his draft stock lies at the moment, and the way he plays here in the tournament could very well likely be the deciding factor in that. Boone has been extremely inconsistent this year once again, ranging from being uninvolved and extremely passive on the offensive end to an unstoppable force on the glass that is willing and able to put up double figures on any given night thanks to his excellent size, length and willingness to run the floor and finish in traffic.
Boone's ability to control the boards and intimidate rivals inside the paint with his shot-blocking skills is the type of advantage that few teams in this tournament possess. NBA teams will want to see a bit more than that, though, which is why they would probably like to see him have at least 1 or 2 big games, showing that he is able as well as willing to take advantage of the type of physical attributes that few players in this draft have.
All in all a very disappointing effort for UConn's hustling big man. Offensively he was a complete non-factor despite being matched up with players that he had the ability to dominate inside with his size, length and athleticism. Boone looked extremely content for the most part doing his work on defensively and on the glass and letting UConn's other talented cogs shoulder the offensive load. It's unclear how much his summer injuries have hampered him, but the Huskies will surely need him to do a better job accross the board once they enter conference play in the revamped Big East. The Huskies would be well served to make sure their big man gets the ball inside more as well. Right now Boone is still living off the hype he created for himself with outstanding performances in the first half of the season last year, but has looked nothing like a top 10 or lottery pick since then. Both Boone and UConn's coaching staff contend that he could very well stay in Storrs another year, because that's just the kind of guy he is.[Read Full Article]


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subset: commoncrawl


text:
By PATSY STODDARDEditor
The Emery County Public Lands Council began their new year with a discussion on river otters with the Utah Division of Wildlife Resources. Tony Wright is a native wildlife species biologist with the DWR. Rick Larsen, DWR regional director, introduced him to the council. Larsen said the Northern River Otter Management Plan was approved in 2005 by the Wildlife Board. As an ammendment to that plan, three sites are being considered around the area to introduce otters.
The Wildlife Board is hearing the proposal at its Jan. 8 meeting as a matter of information. Further discussion needs to take place among interested parties before any decisions on the reintroduction can be made. Larsen said they are also contacting the Farm Bureau for their input on the matter. The reintroduction is still several months in the future. The animals for transplant usually come from nuisance animals in other areas.
The DWR is trying to introduce the otters along their historic range. They will also look at the feasibility of a short trapping season. Wright reported otters are mainly fish eaters and will also eat small mammals and birds. In this area, Huntington Creek was considered, but eliminated because of the whirling disease of some of the fish in Huntington Creek. It is not known if otters could spread whirling disease.
Scofield and Straight Canyon were also considered. The DWR concluded that Straight Canyon could be a good fit for the otter. The Joe's Valley Reservoir is filled with chubs, which the otter could feed upon. The DWR didn't see any conflicts to the introduction of the otter, but is now seeking public input. Otters traditionally feed upon slower fish. They do not have a negative impact on fisheries. Otters travel in small groups and do not burrow so they are no threat to dikes.
One potential area of concern is with trapping regulations. Some areas where otters have been released don't restrict trapping. Otters can be caught in beaver traps, but those traps can be adapted so they won't trap otters. Beaver trapping can continue in an area where otters are introduced.
The legal status of otters is a tier 3 which is an every day species and not sensitive.
Public lands director, Ray Petersen wondered if there is any impact on the irrigation systems of areas with otters. Wright said there are numerous otters in the Uintah Basin and no reports of problems with their irrigation systems. The otters stick to the main bodies of water as the smaller canals don't have enough fish to keep the otters well fed.
Wright said they would like to give the otter a try and if they aren't suitable to this area, then that's the otter's decision.
Priscilla Burton, council member wondered if the otters compete with any animals already here. Wright said they really don't have a competitor. They focus on different foods than weasels or minks. They possibly could compete with fish eating birds, but that is not likely.
Larsen said the otters are quite popular with the locals when the otters have been spotted on the Green River; the locals have enjoyed seeing them.
Wright said the only place the otters have been a problem is when they got into the White Rocks hatchery, those otters were moved.
Jay Mark Humphrey, director of the Emery Water Conservancy District expressed concern the DWR hadn't gone to the water users about the selection of Straight Canyon to release otters. He said are we going to sacrifice the fish in Straight Canyon for the otter? The water coming out of Joe's Valley is extremely cold. Is cold water a good habitat for the otters, he questioned. Straight Canyon doesn't have a guaranteed flow of water. Sometimes Joe's Valley Reservoir is drawn down. Humphrey wondered if these things have been considered. There isn't a beaver dam in Straight Canyon. The irrigation systems in the county are connected and any otter released in Straight Canyon could make its way to the Huntington River also.
Larsen suggested a meeting be planned where the concerned parties can discuss Humphrey's concerns. The meeting is tentatively set for six weeks.
Craig Johansen, president of Cottonwood Creek irrigation company said initially they wondered if the otter was a protected specie and if they would manage the habitat for the otter. He is glad that isn't the case. He reminded the DWR that Straight Canyon has no conservation flows and that flow can be shut-off entirely if the need arises.
Currently two towns get their water from there. There's not much water coming down Straight Canyon, enough for the towns and livestock watering. A lot of the water is iced over at this time.
Larsen said the otter is not a sensitive specie and the otter would adapt to the management of Joe's Valley and not the other way around.
Johansen said he is opposed to the release of otter until an agreement could be worked out which states the otter will not affect the water management of Joe's Valley Reservoir and downstream.
Larsen said such an agreement can be worked on.
It was also stated Straight Canyon doesn't have that much of a fish supply and the otters will eventually end up in Joe's Valley.


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Insurgent (Divergent #2) by Veronica Roth
In this case a mini review definitely doesn't mean I liked the book less. I just feel like it's not one that really needs any more reviews and there's just not that much to say.
I was a little afraid to read this because the hype and promotions leading up just had me burnt out on it before I even got the book. But I knew it was going to be great, it was just getting past that fear and actually picking it up. Fortunately I was pulled in right away and didn't have any problem getting through the book. Although it's a fat one I read it in a little over a day.
I've heard others say that the characters got to them a little because they are a bit angsty. And I think I agree that they were and it was a little annoying but I 'got it'. You know? It fit okay for me. AND they grew and found themselves, stronger selves, from all they went through.
I really enjoyed this book and give it the full five stars.
Pandemonium (Delirium #2) by Lauren Oliver
Okay, so I was a little afraid of Insurgent, but that was nothing next to the fear I had for Pandemonium. This book has been out for months and I've still been terrified to pick it up. I'm pretty sure that I almost picked it up every single day, but the fear of what was going to happen was really getting to me. Anyone who read Delirium knows how it ended. Well, there is no other book in the world that had an ending that affected me so strongly! Seriously, it's haunted me ever since.
So I finally sat down with this book and no surprise, I was sucked right in. I really loved the alternate chapters. The 'now' and the 'then'. The 'then' being when she first came into the wilds and the 'now' being when she's in the city. This technique worked well and it was like reading two stories. And each chapter would end in an intense spot and then you have to read another chapter which was just as intense to get to the other chapters… okay, I'm just confused now. But it was crazy, just know that.
This was a very different read from the first one but I enjoyed it nearly as much. And everyone told me, it's a cliffhanger, but it's nothing like the cliffhanger in Delirium. Just wait… you'll see. So, I was afraid. Fortunately I started getting an idea of what was going to happen but when it did and I was right I still felt just as shocked! I don't know why, I felt it coming! But it was still a surprise. It was crazy, and intense and totally had me thinking for days. Heck, I'm still thinking about it!
This mini review has turned out to be not quite so mini. But this book definitely inspired some crazy thinking and intense feelings, so at least I got to share with you guys!
Disclosure: Both books were purchased and all opinions expressed were my own, I was not paid or influenced in any way.


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Epistle Reading
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Acts of the Apostles 18:22-28
IN THOSE DAYS, when Paul had landed at Caesarea, he went up and greeted the church, and then went down to Antioch. After spending some time there he departed and went from place to place through the region of Galatia and Phrygia, strengthening all the disciples. Now a Jew named Apollos, a native of Alexandria, came to Ephesos. He was an eloquent man, well versed in the scriptures. He had been instructed in the way of the Lord; and being fervent in the spirit, he spoke and taught accurately the things concerning Jesus, though he knew only the baptism of John. He began to speak boldly in the synagogue; but when Priscilla and Aquila heard him, they took him and expounded to him the way of God more accurately. And when he wished to cross to Achaia, the brethren encouraged him, and wrote to the disciples to receive him. When he arrived, he greatly helped those who through grace had believed, for he powerfully confuted the Jews in public, showing by the scriptures that the Christ was Jesus.
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The English text of the Acts of the Apostles and Epistles is based on the Revised Standard Version from "The Apostolos" by Holy Cross Press, Brookline, MA.
The Revised Standard Version of the Bible is copyrighted 1946, 1952, 1971, and 1973 by the Division of Christian Education of the National Council of the Churches of Christ in the U.S.A. and used by permission.


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Leinster fly-half Ian Madigan kicked 16 points to guide the Irish side past Cardiff Blues in a 26-11 victory on Friday.
Leinster fly-half Ian Madigan kicked 16 points to guide the Irish side past Cardiff Blues in a 26-11 victory on Friday.
The Blues had been enjoying something of a revival at home, with three successive wins in three different competitions, but were outmuscled up front and out-thought at the back in a disastrous first half meaning even a gallant fightback after the break was never going to be enough.
Although both sides were depleted by international calls, they showed plenty of enthusiasm in a lively opening before Leinster took the lead with a straightforward Madigan penalty.
The Blues were the first to threaten the try line, fly-half Rhys Patchell looping around centre Dafydd Hewitt before firing a long pass to Owen Williams. The winger took it at pace and kicked ahead, only for the ball to bounce too high for him to gather.
Patchell, again released by Wales Under-20s, equalised with a 40-yard penalty, but was off target with a similarly long-range effort, before Leinster lock Tom Denton was sent to the sin bin following an off-the-ball incident.
The Irish province were still a man short when Madigan put them back in front with a penalty that struck a post and the bar before dribbling over. The fly-half added another three points – taking his season's tally to 100 – when the Blues infringed as they tried to recover from a goal-line fumble by Jason Tovey.
The European champions emphasised their superiority with a try by scrum-half Isaac Boss, who squeezed over from a ruck leaving Madigan an easy conversion.
Irish referee Peter Fitzgibbon angered the crowd when he ruled that Blues wing Harry Robinson had taken the ball back over his line before touching down and their mood was not improved when the Leinster pack drove at the resultant five-metre scrum and number eight Jordi Murphy dived over. Madigan gave his team a 20-point interval lead.
Patchell was short with a penalty to open the second period, but a gallop by number eight Robin Copeland took the Blues into the opposition 22 where Leinster's blitz defence kept the home backs at bay.
The Blues would not be denied, however, and a good handling move saw Tovey sneak in at the corner. Patchell's conversion attempt never left the ground, the kicker staring ruefully at the Arms Park mud.
Williams burst past two tacklers on the right touchline, but the Blues had to settle for a Patchell penalty for offside. Patchell raised Blues hopes when he danced through to the line, but referee Fitzgibbon called play back for an earlier infringement.
The disappointment was heightened when Madigan stroked over a penalty on a rare Irish visit to home territory, although he was wide with an attempted drop goal.
Leinster re-established control as the game petered out with then usual flood of replacements, but never seriously threatened to claim a bonus point.
The scorers:
For Cardiff Blues:
Try: Tovey
Pen: Patchell 2
For Leinster:
Tries: Boss, Murphy
Con:: Madigan 2
Pens: Madigan 4
Cardiff Blues: 15 Jason Tovey, 14 Owen Williams, 13 Gavin Evans (capt), 12 Dafydd Hewitt, 11 Harry Robinson, 10 Rhys Patchell, 9 Lewis Jones, 8 Robin Copeland, 7 Rory Watts-Jones, 6 Michael Paterson, 5 James Down, 4 Macauley Cook, 3 Taufa'ao Filise, 2 Rhys Williams, 1 Sam Hobbs.
Replacements: 16 Marc Breeze, 17 Nathan Trevett, 18 Scott Andrews, 19 Luke Hamilton, 20 Josh Navidi, 21 Alex Walker, 22 Ceri Sweeney, 23 Richard Smith.
Leinster: 15 Dave Kearney, 14 Andrew Conway, 13 Brendan Macken, 12 Andrew Goodman, 11 Darren Hudson, 10 Ian Madigan, 9 Isaac Boss, 8 Jordi Murphy, 7 Shane Jennings, 6 Dominic Ryan, 5 Tom Denton, 4 Leo Cullen, 3 Michael Bent, 2 Aaron Dundon, 1 Jack McGrath.
Replacements: 16 Thomas Sexton, 17 Heinke Van Der Merwe, 18 Jamie Hagan, 19 Ben Marshall, 20 Rhys Ruddock, 21 John Cooney, 22 Noel Reid, 23 Fionn Carr.


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Johnny O'Connor will start in the Connacht number seven jersey for one last time when the team runs out to face Glasgow on Friday.
Johnny O'Connor will start in the Connacht number seven jersey for one last time when they run out to tackle Glasgow in Galway on Friday.
The 33-year-old flanker will retire from rugby after the game, which is his 146th for the province.
O'Connor represents the only personnel change to the forwards from the team who drew to Treviso last weekend. He is joined in the back-row by Andrew Browne and Eoin McKeon, who is at eight.
On his return from injury, 22-year-old Eoin Griffin is named at outside centre for the last game of the 2012/13 season. This change sees the season's record try scorer, Danie Poolman, move on to the right wing.
On the bench, Adrian Flavin is named at replacement hooker and is in line to make his 142nd and final appearance for Connacht – his team for the last seven years.
Connacht currently occupy eighth place in the RaboDirect PRO12 table, and while a win would equal the best ever finish achieved last year, it would also mean a record number of wins in the league to go with a best away record so far.
Meanwhile, Glasgow enter the game knowing that if they win and other results go their way they could become the first Scottish side to secure a home play-off in the RaboDirect PRO12.
Gregor Townsend has made nine personnel changes to the team that beat the Ospreys 35-17 at Scotstoun last month, for the final game of the regular season.
There are also two positional switches from the team that secured their play-off place against the defending champions, with only Sean Lamont, Pat MacArthur, Moray Low, Tim Swinson, Rob Harley and John Barclay remaining in the starting XV.
British and Irish Lions pair Stuart Hogg and Sean Maitland drop to the bench, along with Glasgow's player of the season Niko Matawalu, Ryan Grant and Josh Strauss.
Alex Dunbar, Graeme Morrison, Duncan Weir and Al Kellock drop out of the squad altogether for the trip to Galway.
"We were delighted with our performance against the Ospreys which secured our play-off spot, but we know we'll face a big challenge tomorrow night at a ground we've not won at since 2007," said Townsend.
"Connacht are enjoying a great run of form at the moment, having lost just twice in their last seven games, so it will be an extremely tough game for us, but one we're all looking forward to."
Peter Murchie comes in at full-back in place of Hogg, Tommy Seymour replaces Maitland on the right wing and the club's equal all-time top try scorer DTH van der Merwe comes in on the opposite side, with Sean Lamont moving to outside centre in place of Alex Dunbar.
Peter Horne replaces Morrison at inside centre, Ruaridh Jackson comes in for the injured Weir at fly-half and Henry Pyrgos replaces Matawalu at scrum-half.
In the pack Moray Low moves from tighthead to loosehead in place of Grant, with Jon Welsh coming in at tighthead and Pat MacArthur continuing at hooker.
Club captain Al Kellock drops out of the squad for the trip to Ireland as his wife has just given birth, so Tim Swinson and Tom Ryder combine in the second-row.
Ryan Wilson is given the captaincy and comes in at number eight, with Rob Harley continuing at blind-side and John Barclay keeping his place at open-side.
Form: Connacht currently occupy eighth place in the RaboDirect PRO12 table, and are aiming to equal their best ever finish which they achieved last year. The Irishmen have won just one of their last four games, whilst their 23-24 loss to Edinburgh at the Sportsground in December ended a six game unbeaten run against Scottish opponents in Galway. Glasgow Warriors have already qualified for the Play-Offs, but will probably need to win to give themselves any chance of gaining home advantage. The Warriors last six fixtures have all been won by the home side on the day, and they have not tasted victory on the road since beating the Dragons 60-3 at Rodney Parade in February. Glasgow's only win in Ireland since 2009 came against Leinster at RDS in September 2011. The Warriors are unbeaten in their last three contests with Connacht, whilst they have not been victorious at the Sportsground since April 2007.
The teams:
Connacht: 15 Gavin Duffy (capt), 14 Danie Poolman, 13 Eoin Griffin, 12 Brian Murphy, 11 Fetu'u Vainikolo, 10 Dan Parks, 9 Kieran Marmion, 8 Eoin McKeon, 7 Johnny O'Connor, 6 Andrew Browne, 5 Mike McCarthy, 4 Michael Swift, 3 Ronan Loughney, 2 Ethienne Reynecke, 1 Brett Wilkinson.
Replacements (from): Adrian Flavin, Rodney Ah You, JP Cooney, Mick Kearney, John Muldoon, Mata Fifita, Paul O'Donohoe, Miah Nikora.
Glasgow: 15 Peter Murchie, 14 Tommy Seymour, 13 Sean Lamont, 12 Peter Horne, 11 DTH Van der Merwe, 10 Ruaridh Jackson, 9 Henry Pyrgos, 8 Ryan Wilson (c), 7 John Barclay, 6 Rob Harley, 5 Tom Ryder, 4 Tim Swinson, 3 Jon Welsh, 2 Pat MacArthur, 1 Moray Low.
Replacements: 16 Doug Hall, 17 Ryan Grant, 18 Ed Kalman, 19 James Eddie, 20 Josh Strauss, 21 Niko Matawalu, 22 Sean Maitland, 23 Stuart Hogg.
Date: Friday, May 3
Kick-off: 19:45 BST
Venue: The Sportsground
Referee: George Clancy (Ireland)
Assistant referees: Paul Haycock (Ireland), John Carvill (Ireland)
Television match official: Seamus Flannery (Ireland)
Citing Commissioner: John Cole (Ireland)


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Crown Vintage Newavian Bootie
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Crown Vintage Newavian Bootie
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text:
By PHIL FAUVERGuest Writer
On Aug. 26 the Emery County Historical Society and Castle Valley Outdoors presented an evening of entertainment of music and singing from the Val Jensen band consisting of Jim Hill, Val Jensen, Kay Jensen and Ronald Jones.
The weather was warm with no breeze. The sun was setting behind the Western hills, painting the hills and cliffs East of the ranch house a golden reddish color. The east hills were reflected in the Castle Valley Outdoors large pond beside the Muddy Creek. The lawn was of a dark green shade and had been recently watered. A perfect place to sit and watch the sun go down and be entertained. Hearers agreed the cowboy poetry from Kent Petersen and Tyler Jeffs was outstanding.
Castle Valley Outdoors is a part of Castle Valley Ranch located a few miles north of Emery. Most of the 150 plus people brought chairs of one variety or another to be seated on the lawn in the shade of the main lodge. The band was placed on the patio beside the main lodge. This provided very good acoustics for those sitting on the lawn chairs. The place where the chairs were positioned was a slight rise in the ground. This allowed the guests to look down upon the Val Jensen band. This was the best location yet for this event.
Dottie Grimes, the curator of the Emery County archives introduced the Emery County Historical Society program for the evening. Kent Petersen was to be the master of ceremonies. Grimes read a short history of cowboys in America. Cowboys still dress and do many of the same things they did before this country was settled by pioneers.
One of the first stories Peterson told was about his history as a cowboy. The Val Jensen Band played Stuck In Folsom Prison as their first song followed by a song A Good Hearted Woman and a Two Timing Man. They played an old favorite Under The Double Eagle.
Jeffs, with his small son Will standing by his side, told a joke about how to train a dragon. He also told a story about a Cowboy Poultry gathering. It is not poultry but Cowboy Poetry. Then the story "If my nose was running money I would blow it all on you."
Jeffs played several songs on his harmonica, such as Home On The Range, You Are My Sunshine and Come Come Ye Saints.
Petersen followed up with a story about learning the pronunciation of Nacogdoches, Texas. He also told about riding a bucking horse that gave him some bruises, aches and pains from the fall.
When there was a pause in the Val Jensen musical entertainment. Evelyn Huntsman came forward with her family to sing a few songs. Huntsman, Jackie Allred, Kaden Allred, and Arilyn Allred, sang, I'm My Own Grandpa and a couple of other songs for the group.
When the evening was over and before leaving the ranch nearly everyone took advantage of the dessert of Dutch oven cobbler and ice cream being served by the Emery County Historical Society. Everyone said they had a wonderful evening and are looking forward to another year of the same.
The lyrics to I Am My Own Grandpa as sung by the Allreds.
Many many years ago when I was 23,
I got married to a widow who was pretty as could be.
This widow had a grown-up daughter who had hair of red.
My father fell in love with her, and soon the two were wed.
This made my dad my son-in-law, and changed my very life.
My daughter was my mother, for she was my father's wife.
To complicate the matters worse, although it brought me joy,
I soon became the father
of a bouncing baby boy.
My little baby then became a brother-in-law to dad.
And so became my uncle,
Though it made me very sad.
For if he was my uncle,
Then that also made him brother
To the widow's grown-up daughter
Who, of course, was my step-mother.
Father's wife then had a son, Who kept them on the run.
And he became my grandson,
For he was my daughter's son.
My wife is now my mother's mother
And it makes me blue.
Because, although she is my wife,
She's my grandmother, too.
If my wife is my grandmother,
Then I am her grandchild.
And every time I think of it,
It simply drives me wild.
For now I have become
The strangest case you ever saw.
As the husband of my grandmother,
I am my own grandpa!


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The Complete Guide to Cory Schneider's Upcoming Restricted Free Agency
Thomas Drance
March 13 2012 12:15PM
Stud goaltender Cory Schneider is having another standout campaign backing up Roberto Luongo in Vancouver. This season, Schneider has appeared in 26 games, he's sporting the third best save percentage of any NHL goalie with more than 20 starts, and in terms of his quality-start percentage: he's been more reliable between the pipes than Luongo. Schneider is young, he's smart, he's articulate, and his goaltending mechanics are impeccable. At this point, it's not a stretch to list Cory Schneider among the league's best young goaltenders, and with his contract expiring this summer the notion of adding Schneider to the roster has opposing teams and fan-bases salivating.
Take Tyler Dellow and Jonathan Willis, two of the smartest Oilers fans out there, who have actively fantasized about the Oilers signing Cory Schneider to an Offer Sheet. If you're a team that needs to address your starting goaltending, you're not going to do better than Cory Schneider this offseason. Yes, there's a chance that Cory Schneider could take up the starters mantle in the postseason for the Canucks; but with Roberto Luongo's immovable contract on the books through the return of Christ, it remains very likely that Schneider will begin next season wearing colours other than Canucks blue.
But how will that process unfold? Will any teams sign Cory Schneider to an offer-sheet? Will he be taken to arbitration? Will he be dealt at the draft? Read past the jump for your complete guide on Cory Schneider's impending restricted free agency.
Before we begin, I need to mention that in writing this blog-post I am deeply indebted to the guidance of BeantownCanuck. I'm reluctant to list him as a co-author (in case he hates the blog post) but that's how important his contributions were. Needless to say: I couldn't have navigated the CBA legalese without him.
The Draft and the Market
Most observers expect that Cory Schneider will be dealt at this year's NHL entry draft which takes place on June 22nd and 23rd in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Generally speaking, teams are flush with cap-space at the draft and are looking to build their roster long-term. For teams looking to address a need in net, Cory Schneider will be the most coveted asset.
Mike Gillis isn't a stranger to making draft day deals. In 2010 he completed probably his worst trade as General Manager of the Canucks, when he acquired Keith Ballard and Victor Oreskovich from Florida while sending a conditional first round pick (Quinton Howdon), Michael Grabner and Steve Bernier to the Panthers. That deal is among the few blemishes on Gillis' record as Canucks GM (I'd also include the Luongo contract, and the Mathieu Schneider experiment), so he'll look to do better this time around.
Realistically, there are five major teams that meet the criteria of being a) desperately in need of addressing their goaltending situation long-term and b) a team that the Canucks would likely trade with. Those five teams are the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Tampa Bay Lightning, the New York Islanders, the Columbus Bluejackets and the New Jersey Devils. The Bluejackets are in the West but will need more than a goaltender to seriously trouble the Canucks, and they'll likely be in a different conference soon enough as a result of realignment. I'd put three other teams (Winnipeg, Washington and Phoenix) as possible long-shots who could conceivably make a bid.
The Canucks will likely be looking for some combination of a high first round pick, and a young roster player (preferably a right-side Defenseman). Gillis will hold an auction of sorts, and almost assuredly, he'll deal Cory Schneider (or in a less likely but still feasible scenario: Roberto Luongo) on the 22nd of June to the highest bidder.
Qualifying Offer
If the Canucks don't move Cory Schneider at the draft, they'll need to send him a qualifying offer by 5:00 PM EST on June 25th, per section 10.2 (a)(ii)(B) of the CBA. Assuming Gillis doesn't "pull a Tallon," the Canucks will absolutely do this. Because Cory Schneider's base salary (900,000 this season) is between 600,000 and 1 million dollars, his qualifying offer must include a 5% bump to his current salary, which means the value of the qualifying offer will be at least $945,000. Schneider will, of course, not accept the team's qualifying offer meaning he'll become a Restricted Free Agent at 12:00 AM EST, on July 1st.
The Window
This is the most interesting part of Schneider's RFA status. The Canucks will have a 24 hour window between 5:00 PM EST on July 5th and 5:00 PM EST on July 6th in which they can elect to take Cory Schneider to binding salary arbitration (see: Secs 12.1(b) and 12.4(b) of the 2005 CBA). If the Canucks exercise their right to take Schneider to arbitration, he is then forbidden from negotiating with any other teams according to section 10.2 (a)(i)(B) of the CBA, and he cannot be signed to an offer-sheet.
Here's the rub though, in the intervening five days between July 1st and July 5th - Cory Schneider will be a standard group two restricted free-agent and opposing General Managers will be free to negotiate with him and ink him to an offer-sheet, which, the Canucks would then have a week to match.
Worst Case Scenario: The Offer Sheet
Now, Cory Schneider being signed to an offer-sheet is the worst possible outcome for the Canucks for several reasons. First of all, matching any offer-sheet extended to Cory Schneider would be unappealing from a spending efficiency perspective. The Canucks already have Luongo's 5.33 million dollar cap-hit on the books and, frankly, spending 8-9 million dollars, (or well over 10% of next season's expected cap) on the club's goaltending tandem is totally unjustifiable.
Also, persuant to sections 10.3 (a) and 10.3 (b) of the CBA, once the Offer Sheet is signed, the Canucks would be unable to move Cory Schneider for one year from the day they matched the deal. In other words, they couldn't match a Cory Schneider Offer Sheet and then turn around and trade him for a dream package from Tampa Bay: they'd have to swallow the bitter pill for at least the entirety of the 2012-13 season. In too many ways, the Canucks would be handcuffed if Schneider was signed to an offer-sheet, and would be very unlikely to exercise their right to first refusal.
To make matters worse, any draft pick compensation coming back the Canucks way from a Cory Schneider Offer Sheet would be only moderately attractive. Here's how draft pick compensation for restricted free-agents worked last summer (these parameters are set by average salary, so we won't know what this summer's draft pick compensation numbers will look like yet):
$1,034,249 annual cap hit or less: No compensation
$1,034,249 — $1,567,043: Third-round pick
$1,567,043 — $3,134,088: Second-round pick
$3,134,088 — $4,701,131: First and third-round pick
$4,701,131 — $6,268,175: First, second and third-round pick
$6,268,175 — $7,835,219: Two first-round picks, a second and third
$7,835,219 and higher: Four first-round picks
Cory Schneider is a valuable trade chip, but with only fifty career starts under his belt and one career playoff start - how much is he worth as a restricted free-agent? Bearing in mind that an opposing general manager would need to make the offer "toxic" to discourage the Canucks from matching the deal, and we can expect that Schneider would garner an offer-sheet worth more than 3.13 million dollars. This means the Canucks would probably receive a first and a third round pick in 2013 if Schneider were to be poached by an offer-sheet. That's hardly the game-changing return the Canucks brain-trust has in mind for a blue-chip asset like Cory Schneider.
If a team signs Cory Schneider to an Offer Sheet, the Canucks would find their options severely limited. If Vancouver chooses not to match the deal, the return is pretty meagre. If the team does match the Offer Sheet, then they'll find themselves restricted in terms of their available cap-space, and in terms of what assets they're permitted to trade next season. While the team's resident capologist, Laurence Gilman, can probably navigate around these seemingly insurmountable restraints, a Cory Schneider offer-sheet remains a functional disaster scenario for the team.
Much of the material you'll find below is paraphrased from Dirk Hoag's handy-take on the arbitration process. Dirk Hoag's "On the Forecheck" blog covers the Nashville Predators, and is perhaps the gold-standard for team blogs. Follow Dirk on Twitter.
If, by some act of the god, Cory Schneider made it to July 5th without being signed to an Offer Sheet then the Canucks would surely exercise their right to take him to binding arbitration. Because it would be team elected arbitration, Schneider would have the right to decide between a one or two year award, and the young goaltender would surely choose a one year award since he's eager to be a full-time starter in the NHL (section 12.9 c). The Canucks would not have the right to "walk away" from the award (like the Blackhawks did with Antii Niemi) since they would have been the ones who requested the hearing (12.10 e).
In arbitration, both sides present evidence in support of their preferred salary figure. Admissible evidence includes statistics, history of durability, length of service to the team, the players "contributions" to the "success or failure" of the club in question, public appeal and the salary and success of comparable players (who also signed their deals as group 2 free-agents). Niemi's arbitration award, James Reimer and Corey Crawford are the most obvious comps.
Cory Schneider has a lot going for him: he's posted great numbers, he's had success at every level and he has oodles of charisma and public appeal. His durability would probably come under some fire during an arbitration hearing (remember when he left game six against Chicago because of cramps?), but I doubt that drawback would carry too much water. If Schneider ends up going to arbitration, his award will likely hinge on whether or not he gets a few starts (and performs well) in the postseason. If he does, then Schneider's side will easily win the "contributions" to the "success or failure" of the club argument. I'd expect Schneider to receive an award in excess of 2.5 million, and probably in the range of 2.8-3.25 million dollars in arbitration, but if took over the starters mantle and led the team on a deep playoff run, I could see him being awarded as much as $4 million.
Full Circle
Having gone through these scenarios, it becomes plain that the only appealing option for the Canucks is to trade a goaltender at the draft. In all likelihood, it will be Cory Schneider who gets dealt - he's younger, he doesn't have a contract to weigh down his value and he'll the net the team a considerably more valuable return than Roberto Luongo.
Is there a chance that Cory Schneider ends up taking Luongo's job in the postseason, and distinguishes himself to the extent that Gillis scrambles at the draft and spruces up a Roberto Luongo package with extra assets to incentivize the likes of Steve Yzerman to swallow Luu's contract? Sure, it's possible, but needless to say: it's a long-shot.
Either way, this much is crystal, sparkling clear: Mike Gillis is going to hold an auction and trade one of his goaltenders at the draft. We know this for sure because in the history of the current CBA, only one restricted free-agent has been signed to an offer-sheet in the five day window before that free agent's team could exercise their arbitration rights. That free-agent was David Backes, and the offer-sheet he signed (and that St. Louis matched) was offered to him by Canucks General Manager Mike Gillis. If there's an existing loop-hole in the CBA, you can bet that Mike Gillis has already exploited it, and the "little known five day window before arbitration" loop-hole is no exception.
Mike Gillis knows what the stakes are headed into this June's draft. He knows that he can make a good hockey trade and acquire valuable assets in exchange for Cory Schneider, and he also understands the risk that he assumes if he fails to move a goaltender in Pittsburgh. For the next three months, the Canucks boast the best goaltending tandem in the NHL, but we know that on June 22nd one of those goaltenders - probably the one named Cory Schneider - is going to be moved.
Come onnnn Burke.
March 13 2012, 12:28PM
Good stuff. I think a lot of this hinges on how good Eddie Lack is, I honestly have no idea -- never seen him play.
The Blues have a better goalie tandem, really.
March 13 2012, 01:05PM
Is there any chance that Gillis signs Schneider to a contract thereby negating the risk of an offer sheet?
Also would it not return more in a trade if there was cost certainty involved for the other side?
On a related note, the Canucks look like they'll be signing Joe Cannata in the near future.
"We're very high on him and we are in the process right now of trying to sign him," Canucks assistant general manager Lorne Henning told the paper on Monday. "We love him and have been watching him all year. Dave Gagner (director of player development) was actually just in there to watch him and he is very high on our list."
So, if Schneider moves on, Lack moves up, and Cannata slides into the starter role in the AHL.
I liked this piece a lot too, but I'd put Boston's tandem ahead of Vancouver's also.
@Thomas Drance
Elliott and Halak have both stole numerous games for the Blues this season and the numbers are hugely supporting this. as we're talkin about tandems here and yes i would take the tandem of Halak/Elliott over Schneider/Luongo this season.
If he does get to July 1st, I don't think he'll be getting an offer for much more than $3.1 mil/season (2nd round pick).
He's only got 60 NHL games under his belt and while they are a very good 60 games, teams haven't been willing to use the offer sheet route in the past.
The exceptions of course are Gillis and Lowe. Lowe has already "learned his lesson" from it and Gillis isn't going to do it to himself.
I honestly think that there is a good chance that the Canucks keep both goalies for at least next year.
Is there any chance that Gillis signs Schneider to a contract thereby negating the risk of an offer sheet?
Also would it not return more in a trade if there was cost certainty involved for the other side?
Schneider would be foolish to accept a contract right now.
He'll be a valuable commodity for the Canucks, which means he should be able to pull in decent money from a team he is dealt to.
In any case, the Canucks won't give him more now than he could get in arbitration if it got to that point.
no there is almost no chance of thise because cory wants a number one position and there is almost no way that is going to happen with luongo in vancouver, especially with a 5.3 million dollar cap hit, they can't justify putting cory as the starter with a 5 million dollar goalie on the bench. So i see no way the canucks resign cory to a deal. I see where u are going tho, sign him to a deal couple years or whatever to make certain the team who gets him will have him for a while. I just dont see that happening though. It would be more beneficial for gillis to trade him for another asset at the draft. It also makes more sense for cory to wait see what unfolds, see what teams offer him(if he gets to RFA), rather than anything else really. regardless cory is not gonna be in vancouver after the summer it's almost 100 percent certain. I highly doubt some crazy team is gonna pick up luongo's contract. Only teams i could see would be ones in complete rebuilding mode looking for a player to build their team around and there are very few teams like that right now .
@Godd Till
ya i think he was a bit quick to say that it's the best tandem in the nhl.. st louis's is by far the best with boston in second i would say for sure...
you really think they are gonna keep both? Cory has expressed that he wants to be number one, he has played second fiddle to louie for a long time now, you think he'll just bite the bullet and stay one more year? i dont think so. i think that is he isn't dealt he is gonna put himself out there when he hits UFA....there are a few teams looking for a young goalie with potential to be their long term netminder. and to grab him while he does have so few games under his belt would be beneficial cost wise.. So although i respect your opinion i completely disagree. i think schieds is gone .although i do agree with your price assessment. i think the article writer was bit generous with his value assessment.
March 13 2012, 03:23PM
Bring him up to Edmonton with our AHL second tier defensive corps and see how long that Save% and GAA hold up...
The other variable is Ballard's contract; if there's an amnesty clause in the new CBA he could leave that way, he could be sent down to the AHL (although Gillis seems reluctant to do this), or he could be packaged with prospects and dealt to a salary floor team. Any of those options would likely let the Canucks keep Schneider if he's signed to an offer sheet.
Also, I'm curious, what contract do you think Luongo should have been signed to?
you really think they are gonna keep both? Cory has expressed that he wants to be number one, he has played second fiddle to louie for a long time now, you think he'll just bite the bullet and stay one more year? i dont think so. i think that is he isn't dealt he is gonna put himself out there when he hits UFA....there are a few teams looking for a young goalie with potential to be their long term netminder. and to grab him while he does have so few games under his belt would be beneficial cost wise.. So although i respect your opinion i completely disagree. i think schieds is gone .although i do agree with your price assessment. i think the article writer was bit generous with his value assessment.
He may not really have a choice.
If he's not traded by July 1st, I'm not 100% sure there will be a GM out there willing to do an offer sheet.
Not because he isn't worth it, but because GM's don't seem to be willing to do it.
If he gets to July 5th, he might not have much choice but to return to the Canucks.
Ultimately, I think he will be traded so it's all moot.
I agree with your assessment that Gillis will try and auction Schneider at the draft. The problem is that no GM is going to trade to Vancouver assets that are worth more than the draft picks they have to give up if they sign Schneider to an offer sheet. This limits the top end of offers to a 1st and a 3rd.
It's the exact same wall Maloney came up against with Turris, except far more GMs will actually want Schneider and sign him for the money he wants. Turris couldn't get an offer sheet that Maloney wouldn't match (and he wanted out of Phoenix).
Also, while you note there has only been the one offer sheet signed in the pre-team elected arbitration window, I would be curious how many RFAs have gone through that window that would be cobsidered desirable. Can't be that many.


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Nation Radio - March 31, 2012
April 01 2012 11:12AM
Because even Lowetide needs a break now and then, we decided to go with a bit of a "best of" clip show this week. Past segments featuring Sean Brown, Todd Nelson and Skip Krake are included. Fret not folks, LT will be back soon to talk about the MPS recall fiasco (amongst other things)...
This is Nation Radio.
We start things off former Oiler Sean Brown. He dropped by the Nation last fall to talk about his time as an Oiler, his experiences in Europe and what he's been up to recently.
From an interview in January, OKC Barons coach Todd Nelson discusses the Oilers farmhands and how they've been doing this season.
Famous Vancouver blogger Tom Benjamin appeared on the show back in November. He talked to Allan about Mark Howe, the impact of fighting and the trap.
Former NHLer Skip Krake and Lowetide recall Ace Bailey, the WHA and early expansion.
Right after the draft and during the early days of free agency last summer, Michael Spiedel dropped by to talk about the Oilers improvement.
From October, Jeff Krushell talked about the impact of hockey at Mile High, injuries to the Oilers and recovery time for athletes.
Whole thing.
Finally, we just want to remind everyone we still have a few advertising spots left on Nation Radio. If interested, please contact Kent (firstname.lastname@example.com) for more details.
Best of...? But now how am I going to put off the spring backyard cleaning?
April 01 2012, 11:59AM
Yaaaayyyy! Oilersnation podcast is up. But what's this? Not on iTunes yet? Booooooo! Who's to blame? WHO'S TO BLAME!!!!!
April 01 2012, 12:09PM
April 01 2012, 12:12PM
Worry not, it should be there shortly.
April 01 2012, 01:53PM
Indeed it is. KW you magnificent something something!


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Full profile →'">
The author is a Forbes contributor. The opinions expressed are those of the writer.
Thirty-one and a half months after the Affordable Care Act was signed into law by President Obama, we finally have our answer. The President's re-election, and the Democrats' gains in the Senate, mean that Obamacare is here to stay. The conservative movement to repeal the law has been defeated. But we know something else: that America's unsustainable fiscal situation means that Obamacare is destined to be the last major entitlement enacted by the United States. Indeed, Obamacare's victory sets off a stiff competition for taxpayer dollars between Obamacare, Medicaid, and Medicare. It's a battle that the elderly, in particular, are likely to lose.
According to the Congressional Budget Office, there is only one category of federal spending that is increasing as a share of the economy: health care. Today, government spending on health care is dominated by two programs: Medicare, for the elderly, and Medicaid, for the poor. In 2012, federal and state governments will spend $1 trillion on these two programs, a figure that will nearly double over the next eight years.
Today, new spending on Obamacare-related programs—primarily the expansion of Medicaid and the new subsidized insurance exchanges—is negligible. By 2017, the federal government will be spending an addition $206 billion a year on Obamacare programs, on top of the $1.1 trillion it spends elsewhere. And these figures don't count the hundreds of billions of dollars that state and local governments spend on health care, Medicaid in particular.
It's likely that Obamacare's subsidized insurance exchanges grow at a faster rate than the CBO currently projects. For one thing, tens of millions of employed individuals are likely to lose employer-sponsored coverage, and instead seek coverage on the exchanges. For another, state governments are likely to maximize the number of residents that they place on the federally-subsidized exchanges, so as to minimize the number of residents that are in partly-state-funded Medicaid.
The government expects that there will be approximately 62 million Americans on Medicare by 2020. The CBO assumes that 25 million Americans will enroll in the exchanges that year. But the CBO assumes minimal employer dumping, and no state-based arbitrage between Medicaid and the exchanges. If, say, 20 million workers are dumped into the exchanges, and 5 million Medicaid enrollees are transferred to them, exchanges could have 50 million enrollees in 2020.
If that were to happen, America would be faced with a titanic battle between two large, subsidized constituencies: those on the Obamacare exchanges, and those on Medicare. While elderly voters are famously active at the ballot box, it's those on the exchanges who would have much more money at stake. After all, the average retiree is on Medicare for about 14 years; a low-income high-school graduate could stay on Obamacare for 47 years.
Politicians will fear younger voters more than older ones
Who will win that fight? If history is any guide, the Obamacare beneficiaries will win, because they will have more money at stake, and comparable numbers to seniors' at election time. Obamacare will destroy the old individual insurance market, leaving the uninsured with no recourse other than the subsidized exchanges. Simple Medicare reforms, such as raising the retirement age, will be used to fund the growing number of people on the exchanges.
If Obamacare's exchanges do end up conquering Medicare, there will be no shortage of ironies. The Obamacare exchanges use a means-tested premium-support system that is to the right of the one proposed by Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, and Ron Wyden for Medicare. Obamacare's premium-support payments grow at a specified rate, one that may not keep up with health-care inflation: the precise criticism that Democrats leveled against Paul Ryan's old Medicare plan. And similarly, it might be Obamacare—the bane of Republicans' existence—that ends up replacing Medicare with a system much like the one favored by…these very same Republicans.
Or, we could just keep spending infinite amounts of money on both programs until we go bust.
Follow Avik on Facebook and on Twitter at @avik.
Related on Forbes...


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Elder Kash Jed Behling has recently returned from serving in the Jamaica Kingston Mission for the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. He will speak in sacrament meeting on June 26 at 9 a.m. in the Ferron Creek Ward, 555 South 400 West, Ferron.
Elder Behling is the son of Jed and Karrie Behling of Ferron. He is the grandson of Mervin Duncan.


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We study a variety of topics related to the evolution of reptiles including comparative morphology, development, and systematics. Both living and extinct species, and both phenotypic and genetic data, are important in this work. Below is a sample of three specific projects currently under investigation:
Evolution of worm lizards (amphisbaenians)
Amphisbaenians are a poorly known group of fossorial squamate reptiles, nearly all of which are limbless, and many of which exhibit dramatic modifications of the cranium related to their highly derived, head-first burrowing behavior. The evolutionary relationships of worm lizards have long been controversial for several reasons: rarity of museum specimens available for study, highly derived morphological conditions that can confound comparative studies, and difficulty of obtaining tissues for molecular phylogenetic studies due to their secretive habits in the wild. A morphology-based phylogenetic study inferred that the only amphisbaenian to retain limbs (Bipes) was the sister-group to all other amphisbaenians, implying that limb loss occurred once during the evolution of the group (Kearney, 2003). This analysis also grouped taxa with similar cranial morphotypes into monophyletic groups. A DNA-based phylogenetic analysis (Kearney and Stuart, 2004), however, indicates widespread morphological convergence within the group, including three independent incidences of limb loss, and substantial convergence in skull shapes. In collaboration with colleagues at The University of Texas at Austin, new comprehensive anatomical studies of the amphisbaenian skull are being pursued using High-Resolution X-ray Computed Tomography (Kearney, Maisano, and Rowe, 2005; Maisano, Kearney, and Rowe, in press). Future phylogenetic studies of the group will integrate the wealth of new anatomical data being generated through the CT-scanning work with more DNA data; incorporate fossil and living taxa; and attempt to achieve denser taxonomic sampling. Results are certain to have interesting implications for the evolution of worm lizards and the homology of major features such as limblessness and cranial modifications.
Snake Origins
The evolutionary origin of snakes within squamate reptiles is a longstanding, unresolved problem. Two main hypotheses are at the heart of current debate on snake origins: a marine origin of snakes from the extinct, aquatic mosasaurs or a burrowing/terrestrial origin of snakes from fossorial or terrestrial lizards such as the burrowing dibamids or amphisbaenians, or the terrestrial monitor lizards. This debate has recently been fueled by the description of fossil (Upper Cretaceous) snakes that surprisingly combine a derived skull structure typical of evolutionarily advanced snakes with the presence of well-developed hind limbs (a presumably primitive feature). For this research project, the problem of snake origins is broken down into the following questions: What group of squamates is most closely related to snakes? What are the relationships among the major groups of snakes? What do the answers to these questions tell us about the ecology of snake origins (aquatic vs. terrestrial) and about the morphological evolution of the snake body plan? Research addressing these questions focuses on understudied and/or controversial character systems (such as the development of the snake dentition and the development of the vertebral column), as well as features that are essential for understanding the evolution of the snake body plan (such as patterns of change in the axial musculature and vertebral column that are correlated with the elongation of the body and the reduction or loss of limbs). My collaborator on this project is Field Museum paleontologist Olivier Rieppel, and postdoctoral researcher Takanobu Tsuijihi is focusing on the homology of the cervical musculature in snakes, limbless lizards, and tetrapodal lizards. (Project funded by NSF DEB-0235628 to M. Kearney and O. Rieppel.)
Deep Scaly Project
Assembling the Tree of Life — Resolving Squamate Phylogeny Using Genomic and Morphological Approaches. I am collaborating with numerous researchers on a project to resolve the higher-level relationships of squamate reptiles (lizards, snakes, and amphisbaenians). Squamates are the subject of many phylogeny-based research programs in ecology and evolution, yet the relationships among major lineages of squamates remain remarkably uncertain. The project is an integrative one, making use of genomics, morphological imaging techniques, comparative anatomy, and intensive sampling of both fossil and extant representatives of all recognized squamate subfamilies. The results of the research will provide a rigorous phylogenetic framework for comparative and systematic studies within and between squamate families. Collaborators on this project include Jacques Gauthier, Mike Lee, Jessie Maisano, Tod Reeder, Olivier Rieppel, Jack Sites, and John Wiens. Undergraduate students Angela Marion and Beth Bastiaans are research assistants on this project. Seehttp://www.fieldmuseum.org/deepscaly for more information. (Project funded by NSF EF-0334961 to M. Kearney, T. Reeder, O. Rieppel, J. Sites, and J. Wiens.)


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No-Spill™ Convert-a-cup
6+ Months
8oz / 240ml
Your little one will find the transitions through various cup stages easier with this 4-in-1 Convert-a-cup by Nûby™! The first step includes use of handles with our soft, silicone No-Spill™ Spout. For your additional convenience, the spout and lid are all one piece! Once your child is ready, the handles can be easily removed- or re-attached when needed. Finally, the one piece spout and lid can be removed when your child is ready for open cup drinking. Since this cup was designed specially for this, it does not have the screw ring grooves, making it ideal for your child to drink from easier! The contoured shape of the cup, with or without handles, makes it easier for you child's small hands to hold.
Colors may vary
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Prevents spills and reduces leaks
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Makes it easier for a child to hold


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Leafs in Wonderland
Steve Dangle
September 30 2012 10:21PM
It's been a long time coming, but it's finally here: The Toronto Maple Leafs are the 2013 Stanley Cup Champions!
The Leafs completed their four-game sweep of the Seattle Oilers in the Stanley Cup Final to take home hockey's ultimate prize. Leafs GM Brian Burke had this to say about finally ending Toronto's drought:
"I owe it all to the internet," Burke said. "I began searching through things like blogs and Twitter and they all had some really great ideas for how to make the team better. I looked at the trade proposals from the fans and trade rumor websites and thought "Gee, those are some swell ideas!' and I just went out, made some moves, and we won. Easy as that."
Here is a look at Toronto's Stanley Cup-winning roster.
Bobby Ryan Steven Stamkos Phil Kessel
Rick Nash Brad Richards Dustin Brown
Ryan Clowe John Tavares David Clarkson
Nazem Kadri Jordan Staal Cody Hodgson
Luke Schenn Jeff Carter
Shea Weber Dion Phaneuf
Jake Gardiner Ryan Ellis
Josh Harding
Roberto Luongo
"You've really gotta appreciate all the hard work Burkie put into this team," said Conn Smythe-winning goaltender Josh Harding. "I couldn't believe Minnesota would trade me for just a third round pick. I mean, my potential rating in NHL 12 was pretty sick, and I think I really became the goaltender fans hoped I would be."
"I always knew I would win the Cup in blue and white, I just thought it would be with Tampa Bay, "explained Steven Stamkos, who signed a 27-year offer sheet with the Leafs last summer. "Full credit to Twitter for really putting the pressure on management to get a deal done."
"This team's so sick they've got me playing on the first defensive pairing for shits and gigs!" yelled an already kind of drunk Jeff Carter.
"Thank you Boston!" screamed Phil Kessel while dumping a full cannister of gasoline on a Tyler Seguin jersey.
Even before Burke's bold offseason transactions, the Leafs made a key leadership decision when they decided to make Luke Schenn captain.
"Well people always said he'd be the future captain of the team," said Leafs head coach Dallas Eakins. "Well we finally decided he was ready to take on that role, and surprisingly Dion was totally cool with giving up the C to him with no fuss whatsoever. What a gem, eh?"
"I'm gonna get the fattest championship ring ever! Get it? Fat?!" laughed a beaming Nazem Kadri while flipping off the media and eating a footlong sub.
This Cup victory did not come without adversity. Down 3-2 with under a minute to play in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Final, Bobby Ryan scored to tie up with just 6.7 seconds left. Then in overtime, Shea Weber blasted the series-winning goal literally through the goalie's chest and in to defeat Quebec City.
The Leafs' victory was also a special moment for Brendan Shannahan, who got to hand out the Stanley Cup for the first time as NHL Commissioner after fan pressure forced the NHL owners to fire Gary Bettman.
"They wrote some pretty scathing stuff," said one NHL owner. "A lot of people signed that online petition thingy so we had to act. I'm very happy for Brendan. So happy in fact that I'm giving everyone on my staff a 300% raise!"
Party it up, Toronto! You earned it!
Be sure to catch our coverage of the NHL draft where the Leafs have the first six picks somehow.
October 01 2012, 12:46AM
The funny thing about this isn't how at the start of the article they swept the Seattle Oilers in the finals to win the cup but at the end of the article they beat Quebec City in game 7 OT to win the cup. Oh no, the funny thing about this article is that the Leafs won the cup at all.
@Kevin Read the actual article, it says they played Quebec City in the Eastern Conference Finals and played Seattle in the finals. Don't just go around looking for "mistakes" to correct
That should read @Ken not @Kevin
Always find a way to make me laugh Steve, love it!
Haha, 27 year offer sheet? For what $300 million?
LOL this is too funny.


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Atlas of Maine 2010
The Atlas of Maine 2010: Belgrade Lakes Editionwas developed by students in Introduction to GIS and Remote Sensing, an interdisciplinary course in the Environmental Studies Program at Colby College. The goal of this project was to develop a series of maps highlighting the unique human and natural resources of the Belgrade Lakes Region of central Maine. The Atlas maps on this page emphasize "visual" GIS. To view student research proejcts that emphasize "analytical" GIS click here. To view the Atlas of Maine 2005 click here. To view the Atlas of Maine 2006 click here. To view the Atlas of Maine 2008 click here. To view the Atlas of Maine 2009 click here.
The maps were originally created in ArcGIS 9.3x and exported to the web using ArcIMS, an internet map server from ESRI. To view the maps using ArcIMS, click on one of the the links below. To view a map as a PDF document, click the PDF link next to the map description. The paper maps were originally created as 36 x 42 inch posters and reduced to 8.5 x 11 inches to faciliate download by PDF. Please note: The IMS and PDF maps are large files so it may take a few minutes to load unless you are using a high-speed internet connection. ArcIMS works well with Windows operating systems running Internet Explorer. MacIntosh OS X users may need Mozilla Firefox to open and view the dynamic ArcIMS maps.
To view the complete Atlas of Maine 2010 as a single PDF document click here.
Quick Links
College | Colby
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