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UTD corrosion-resistant ball bearings
Zaion high-density carbon resin construction
T-Wing System allows line to exit with no angle
Magforce 3D system casts longer and smoother
Improved casting ability, lightness and revolution
Pushing the boundaries of the baitcaster design, the T3 series of reels features improved casting ability, lightness, and smoothness of revolution, to deliver more sensitivity, control, and power. T-Wing system and Zaion construction has vastly improved the body, giving the reel a low profile, designed to ergonomically fit the palm of your hand. Thumb position on top of the reel features a non-slip coated grip to avoid any power loss or control. Daiwa's swept handle design brings the reel's cranking handle closer to the reel's center of balance, allowing for increased balance, power, comfort, and control. Star drag has been swept in to bring the center of gravity closer, allowing for greater balance and easier adjustment.
Real Engine starts smoothly, minimizes loss of power transmission, and achieves smooth rotation. Real Control features a combination of T-Wing, Magforce 3D, and Swept Handle to deliver easy handling; minimal line trouble; and longer, more accurate casting. Real Endurance technology features CRBB, Tough Drive Gear, UTD corrosion-resistant ball bearings, an ultra powerful smooth UTD drag, and a super tough drive gear ensures durability over many years of use. Real Custom original parts are available to suit any fishing style.
Magforce 3D system casts longer, smoother, and more accurately. Spring-loaded inductor rotor shifts varies the strength of the magnetic field by shifting the magnets in the side plate. Zaion, composed of carbon resin and long carbon fibres, is light, strong, corrosion-resistant, and transmits vibration through the reel more efficiently than other materials. T-Wing System allows line to exit with no angle by eliminating the traditional line guide, resulting in smooth line discharge and elimination of friction, noise, or line wear.


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United States of America 1939
from an edition of 6
not signed, not dated
overall 259.0 (h) x 152.0 (w) x 112.0 (d) cm
Purchased 1973
National Gallery of Australia, Canberra
© Richard Serra. Licensed by ARS & VISCOPY, Australia
In his work of the late 1960s Richard Serra challenged the idea that a sculpture is the realisation of a preformed idea in the artist's mind. He achieved this by making the work's form a function of a specific physical process, type of material, and architectural context. In the series of works titled Prop, dating from 1968 to 1970, making was reduced to the most rudimentary and fundamental of processes, such as rolling or leaning.
In this way Serra plays down the expert, skilled manoeuvres normally expected from the trained artist―such as carving or modelling―and highlights the inherent properties of the material. Rather than building or placing the work so as to be self-supporting, in Prop Serra employs the force of gravity to which the materials are naturally subject, to keep the object in its place. In so doing he transparently reveals the means by which the sculpture remains upright―equilibrium between the rolled up sheet of lead and the resistance offered by the fixed architectural planes of the floor and wall―but also poses his work in a precarious balance.
Despite the heavy solidity of the material, the lead alloy is quite soft and pliable, as is evident in the creases which form around the plate where it contacts the roll, and the slightly crushed ends of the roll where it touches the floor.[1] Here strength and load-bearing are, unlike in conventional architecture, dependent on softness; without the give in the material the whole house of cards would slip and give way. Moreover, the effect of the work as a whole depends upon creating a sense of 'soft' vulnerability in the viewer―we wonder whether our own bodily safety isn't at risk from the work's unusual construction?[2]
Dr Anthony White
Lecturer in Art History
The University of Melbourne
[1]Anne Byrd, 'Richard Serra Sculpture: Forty Years', in Brooklyn Rail: Critical perspectives on arts politics, and culture, September 2007, np
[2] Ken Johnson, 'Richard Serra, Prop Sculptures: 1969–87', New York Times, 17 May 2002, p 35

subset: commoncrawl


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Einstein the robot has enchanting eyes, the color of honey in sunlight. They are fringed with drugstore-variety false eyelashes and framed by matted gray brows made from real human hair. "What is that, makeup?" a visiting engineer asks, and, indeed, on closer examination I can see black eyeliner smeared beneath Einstein's lower lids, à la David Bowie in 1971. The machine's gaze is expressive—soulful, almost.
From This Story
David Hanson, Einstein's creator, is visiting from Texas to help scientists here at the University of California at San Diego (UCSD) prepare the robot for an upcoming conference. Hanson switches the robot on—really just a head and neck—and runs it through some of its dozens of expressions. Its lips purse. Its brow furrows. Its eyes widen as though in horror, then scrunch mirthfully as it flashes a grin.The 27 motors in the face make a wretched grinding sound, and when the mouth opens, I see a tangle of wires where the prodigious brain should be. Einstein's white wig is missing and the skin of its neck hangs in flaps, because its shoulders, made of plastic, got shattered in shipping.
Still, the effect is so lifelike that even jaded graduate students have stopped by to stroke the robot's wrinkled cheek, which is encased in a substance called Frubber—"face rubber," Hanson explains—that feels buttery soft and cold as a cadaver. Engineers working at night have been so unnerved by Einstein's presence they asked that it be covered up.
That delights Javier Movellan, leader of the university group that recently spent $70,000 in research grants to buy the robotic head from Hanson. Einstein will eventually be able to track people's movements with cameras that twinkle behind its pupils and judge their gender, age (well, whether they're over or under 40), if they wear glasses or have facial hair and when they're smiling. The robot is also equipped with conversational software and can hold forth while staring deep into a person's eyes. "Do you know any jokes?" Hanson asks the machine.
Einstein: Why did the chicken cross the road?
Hanson: Tell me about artificial intelligence.
Einstein: I feel real, not artificial.
Hanson: I want to hear more about the future of robotics.
Einstein: Robots will become ever more like animals and people. Robots will continue to get more amazing and cool.
Einstein is the product of a remarkable collaboration. Hanson, a robot designer and the founder of the Dallas-based firm Hanson Robotics, has used classical sculpting techniques to animate robotic likenesses of Philip K. Dick, author of Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep? (the basis of the apocalyptic movie Blade Runner), his own wife (he had to use a male skull model, "which masculinized her a bit") and more than a dozen other people. Movellan, a psychologist and software pioneer who runs UCSD's Machine Perception Laboratory, develops technology that approximates human senses. Einstein is, at present, a research tool to explore how a machine can perceive and react to human facial expressions; that capacity could later have many practical applications in entertainment and education, alerting the robot teachers of the future, say, that their human pupils are daydreaming.


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I was at the same place in N Wis where I heard the gobbler when I got the double a couple of days earlier. I was early and was just hanging around the truck enjoying a cup of coffee, just sort of lollygagging around. A woodcock was calling for a mate just a few yards from me. As it got closer to gobbling time the woodcock stopped and other birds started to sing. I got my gun and vest out of the truck, laid it on the ground and closed the truck door quietly. I went to the edge of the logging road so I could hear well in both directions and got into the "listening" position.
I stood there a while just enjoying the peaceful morning. Then a gobble rang out so close I ducked as if someone had just fired a round over my head. He was straight west and roosted not far off the road. I figured 200 to 300 yards just down the road. It was an oak forest and no leaves were out. I had to laugh at myself because I went from walking around very relaxed to stealth mode in just a matter of minutes and from the same place. I didn't want to move much and I set up just 25 yards from the truck!
I faced the logging road with the gobbler to my right as the birds used this road frequently in the morning. As it got lighter I heard more than one gobbler, probably 3 and a jake. Then I heard yelping straight behind me, at least 2 hens. When I heard the hens I went right to calling to them. I used a mouth diaphragm and called a little on my box too. I wanted to get that boss hen to come to me. I tried to get her mad by calling over her and longer than her. It worked. By the time that boss hen was on the ground she was yelping and cutting hard at me and I was giving it right back to her. Neither one of us was giving an inch. Instead of coming to me though she went right to the gobbler, but calling to me all the way.
I kept yelping and cutting at her, and she at me, and finally she broke my way down the old logging road. This took a while as she went from her roost to the gobbler, stayed there a while, and then headed my way. I think we yelped and cutted 150 times EACH before it was all over. That old hen was making such a racket, her calls were echoing off the woods!
To borrow a line (with a little twist) from a Charlie Daniels song;
"I had her out there steppin' and bitchin' like her feet were on fire and her feathers were catchin' "
Oooooooooooooweeeeeeeeeee she was mad!
When she yelped at me from about 40 yards away on the old road I gave her one more series and figured it was time to shut up and concentrate on the gun. I could finally see her at about 30 yards and she walked right in front of where I was sitting. She was only about 7 yards from me and I squinted my eyes for fear she might see them.
After a minute or so the hen moved on and I could see another bird coming down the road…it was her girlfriend. The second hen paused in front of me and shortly moved on towards the first one. Then another bird was coming and this time a beard was swinging in front of it. He strutted for a few seconds, then decided he needed to catch up and started running down the road still all puffed up. He looked like humpty dumpty trying to beat out a bunt. He stopped again to strut at 25 yards and I ended the hunt. It would have been an exciting hunt even without that hen, but the conversation I had with her made it a very special memory.
The above is what really happened…but what I am tellin' everybody is my new pup (Tag Alder Tangle…call name Tag…a Pudelpointer) pointed and retrieved the bird.


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Celiac Disease Center
The prevalence of celiac disease in the United States has been estimated to be as high as one in 133 individuals. That equates to between 2.5 and 3 million Americans. Only 17 percent have been diagnosed, however.
Undiagnosed celiac patients are at greater risk of osteoporosis, anemia, infertility, type-1 diabetes and other serious illnesses, in addition to suffering ongoing health problems that can compromise quality of life.
Once diagnosed, people with celiac disease often receive no instruction on the only medical intervention to treat their condition: strict adherence to a gluten-free diet for life. As a result, the newly diagnosed celiac struggles to learn the diet on his/her own, often consuming gluten by mistake and delaying their recovery.
Our Mission
The mission of The University of Chicago Celiac Disease Center is to cure celiac disease. As we focus on research toward the cure, we also aim at raising awareness and diagnosis rates through education and advocacy.
Our Programs
Factsheets and Answer Bank on website provide accurate medical information to help people understand celiac disease, and counsel to physicians with questions about celiac disease. Free eBook assists the newly diagnosed in undertaking the gluten-free diet.
Gluten-Free Educational Essentials Kit Program
Basket of sample gluten-free foods and resource materials helps to instruct dietitians and newly diagnosed patients on the gluten-free diet.
Annual Celiac Blood Screening
Free antibody blood screening each fall draws participants from across the country. In addition to providing the free test, an expert panel offers answers and education.
Patient and Professional Education
A team of speakers works year-round to educate medical professionals, people with celiac disease, and the public about diagnosing and treating this condition.
Preceptorship Program
We offer a two-day training course about celiac disease for physicians and other medical professionals. The intensive course includes formal instruction as well as hands-on training.
Celiac Disease Research
We have one of two research teams in the world that is working to understand the nature of the immune system in the gut and the earliest response of the intestine to the presence of gluten. Research toward a cure is currently under way in our dedicated celiac disease laboratory, under the direction of Bana Jabri, MD, PhD, a world-renowned celiac researcher.
Clinical Care
The University of Chicago is internationally recognized as the most comprehensive celiac center in the world. In addition to stellar research and innovative programs and services, we offer expert clinical care for both adults and children.
Our Physicians
Stefano Guandalini, MD
Founder and Medical Director, University of Chicago Celiac Disease Center
To learn more about The University of Chicago Celiac Disease Center, please visit www.cureceliacdisease.org


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If you are considering transferring to Stevenson University, we offer an information session designed to fit your unique needs. Transfer Tuesdays are special sessions offered once a week to potential transfer students and their families.
Attend this informative session to learn about scholarship and grant programs, transfer of credits, admission requirements, and more. You'll also get a chance to tour both campuses and get a feel for what Stevenson is all about.
Transfer Tuesdays at SU are available at 10 a.m.


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Charlotte, NC Area - 5361 M'HOME MILES TO DATE!
Trip Start Jan 08, 2006
79Trip End Dec 31, 2006
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We arrived at one of our membership campgrounds in Salisbury, North Carolina the afternoon of Easter Sunday and got set up. Much of that week was spent visiting race shops in the area (the majority of the Nascar teams are based out of the Charlotte/Moorsville Area). We did meet some new friends, Mary Jane and Gordie, who are from Upstate New York, and they are also big race fans. We plan to meet up with them when we get to their area the end of May, probably to go to a dirt track race or two!


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Mt. Sopris is actually the tallest mountain in Colorado when measured from its base to its peak, but not the highest at 12995 feet. Tech note, this photo was taken from12 miles away using a 1100mm (35mm equiv) lens on a Nikon D200 mounted on an Orion Teletrack Telescope Mount robotically driven with Papywizard softw...


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would like to do it wirelessly
I am thinking of an application where I only need to send three states (fwd/stop/reverse)
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Cell Phone Sales Cheap Deals from $0.00 to $0.00
Did you know that you don't have to go to a cell phone store to get your next cell phone? Cellular Country has a huge stock of refurbished, used, and new phones and brand new accessories that you can order without ever leaving the house. All of our cell phones are sold without a contract for the carrier of your choice. Cellular Country has a huge stock of Cell Phone Sales Cheap ready to ship to you today. These basic cell phones start at $23.99 and can go all the way up to $129.99 for the latest and greatest smartphones. For replacement phones, Cellular Country is your only source. All you have to do is browse our enormous selection of accessories and refurbished phones and pick the phone that is right for you. We even offer discounted accessories, including bluetooth headsets, cases, screen protectors, and anything else you might want for your next cell phone. Our checkout is 100% secure so you don't have to worry about anything except how fast you want your next refurbished phone. Just pick your maufacturer, model, condition, and carrier and we'll take care of the rest. If there are any problems we are always here to help via phone or email.
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Depression ranges in seriousness from mild, temporary episodes of sadness to severe, persistent depression. Clinical depression is the more severe form of depression, also known as major depression or major depressive disorder. It isn't the same as depression caused by a loss, such as the death of a loved one, or a medical condition, such as a thyroid disorder.
To be diagnosed with clinical depression, you must meet the symptom criteria for major depressive disorder in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM), published by the American Psychiatric Association. This manual is used by mental health providers to diagnose mental conditions and by insurance companies to reimburse for treatment.
For clinical depression, you must have five or more of the following symptoms over a two-week period, most of the day, nearly every day. At least one of the symptoms must be either a depressed mood or a loss of interest or pleasure. Signs and symptoms may include:
Your symptoms must be severe enough to cause noticeable problems in relationships with others or in day-to-day activities, such as work, school or social activities. Symptoms may be based on your own feelings or on the observations of someone else.
Clinical depression can affect people of any age, including children. However, clinical depression symptoms, even if severe, usually improve with psychological counseling, antidepressant medications or a combination of the two.
Daniel K. Hall-Flavin, M.D.
Original article: http://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/depression/expert-answers/clinical-depression/faq-20057770
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Ernst Krenek: Music for Chamber Orchestra / Agata Zubel, soprano; Mathias Hausmann, baritone
1 CD / Toccata Classics / 2012-10-30Works: Ernst Krenek: Von Vorn Herein, for orchestra, Op. 219; Die Nachtigall, Op 68; Im Tal der Zeit, for orchestra, Op. 232; Static and Ecstatic, for orchestra, Op. 214; The Dissembler, for voice & orchest...
Performers: Hausmann, Mathias; Zubel, Agata
Conductors: Kovacic, Ernst
Ensemble: ; Leopoldinum Orchestra
5 works for chamber orchestra by Krenek were written between 1931 and 1979 - both before and long after Krenek abandoned Hitler's Austria for California....continue...
Recording information: Concert Hall of Radio Wroclaw, Poland....continue...
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Elmira/Corning Regional Airport
Hagel To Face GOP Critics
WASHINGTON (AP) - Republican Chuck Hagel is to be the lone witness today as the Senate Armed Services Committee holds a hearing on his nomination for defense secretary.
The former two-term senator from Nebraska will face critics in his party who have challenged his past comments on Israel, Iran and nuclear weapons. Hagel is a decorated Vietnam combat veteran and would be the first enlisted man to serve as defense secretary. President Barack Obama tapped Hagel to succeed Leon Panetta.
Crucial for Hagel will be the questioning by another Vietnam veteran, Arizona's Sen. John McCain. Hagel and McCain once hand a close relationship when the two were in the Senate, but politics and Hagel's opposition to a troop increase in Iraq divided them.


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Nowhere in your incoherent ramblings did you come anywhere close to the answer. Thanks to you, everyone in this room is now stupider having heard you. I award you no points and may God have mercy on your soul. -Billy Madison-
Fans should have voted "Kremzeek!" (spelling?) their No.1 pick for the Hall of Fame then.
I'd love to hear Hasbro host a panel totally dedicated to him and bring in the voice-actor who would sporadically yell out "Kremzeeek! Kremzeeek!" every once in a while.
A whole 3 people (on tranquilizers) might attend that panel at BotCon.
BAD Pts Need: R5-C7 lf leg (x2), , R4-P44 right leg BAD Pts Offered For Trade: PM me - I have lots of parts now including BG-J38!. New Kyle Katarn is also available.
I don't have trouble with the sword in vehicle mode but I suspect I know why you are, the instructions are woefully difficult to understand but the sword pegs into tabs on the underside of the helicopter landing legs in car mode, and aligns into a notch near the front underside, but if the sword pegs miss the landing legs' tabs then they push those legs down, or they push the nose of the car out of place.
The head doesn't need to come off, it needs to nod up or down to get clearance, the instructions are ok on this so you may need to try again looking them over - this is a fairly common thing with some Transformers over the last 20 years, heads that only pass through parts when angled a certain way. Also, on Springer, you have to watch out for the landing leg inside the bot chest/chopper nose. Hopefully it works out on your next pass, it's close but shouldn't need to be removed.
If your figure is floppy and having that many clearance issues, I'd suggest asking for a replacement or buying another one and returning this one.
Darth Vader is becoming the Mickey Mouse of Star Wars.
Kylo Ren - came from Space Brooklyn, although he moved to Space Williamsburg before it was trendy.
The use of a lightsaber does not make one a Jedi, it is the ability to not use it.
In car mode, I can only get one "arm" window to stay in. I've tried several times by reconstructing the arms but only the right one stays.
I think other than these small issues, it's a nice figure. I think the yellow portions looks plastic, and that was my big problem with Blitzwing. Springers head is a great sculpt. I had him standing under the light by my laptop last night and he was pretty impressive looking.
Nowhere in your incoherent ramblings did you come anywhere close to the answer. Thanks to you, everyone in this room is now stupider having heard you. I award you no points and may God have mercy on your soul. -Billy Madison-
This may be off-subject, but I'd kill to see some Hasbro-made or good customs of the zombies from RG1.
That's my jacket!
I also have that problem with the left window not staying in alignment, it's a minor clearance issue with the plastic somewhere but i haven't tracked it down, it bothers me too but doesn't bring down my enjoyment of the figure so it wasn't on my mind when you posted before.
Darth Vader is becoming the Mickey Mouse of Star Wars.
Kylo Ren - came from Space Brooklyn, although he moved to Space Williamsburg before it was trendy.
The use of a lightsaber does not make one a Jedi, it is the ability to not use it.
I suspect that, though the RG1 zombies weren't entirely unaffected by the trend in zombie fiction, but they provided a way for Megatron to have a loyal army to conquer Earth while Prime was paying no attention. The Transformers on Earth at the end of the original series were Fortress Maximus; Galvatron (frozen under ice); Megatron, Ratchet, Shockwave, and Starscream (who were fighting each other when the Ark re-crashed); and a lot of deactivated Decepticons (and a few Autobots) in the Ark's cold storage. Given that two of the Decepticons on the Ark were known traitors and another (Ratbat) was a former Decepticon commander who was more effective in the past than Megatron and might not be keen on following his orders unless he was brain-dead, it made sense in the context.
That's my jacket!
Oh wow! Those zombie Transformers are awesome!
I am missing out by not reading THAT comic series.
BAD Pts Need: R5-C7 lf leg (x2), , R4-P44 right leg BAD Pts Offered For Trade: PM me - I have lots of parts now including BG-J38!. New Kyle Katarn is also available.
It's one of the best out there. Trouble is, it's a continuation of the original series (that's partly why the first story arc was called "Loose Ends"), and starts at #80.5 (the Free Comic Book Day issue that sorta recaps the original series and sets up the violent end to the 21-year peace on Cybertron). It draws upon the previous 80 issues, and builds particularly heavily on the last 24, some of which had ridiculously low print runs and sell for more money than any of the comics people actually thought in 1991 would be worth anything. (And those issues won't be reprinted in full in paperback form until probably early next year.)
The guy who wrote #5-#55 (minus a couple of fill-ins) did a great job, but he left a lot of the loose ends, like several dozen Transformers who were killed when Starscream obtained a powerful artifact called the Underbase and went mad, killing Transformers right and left until he finally exploded. (Their whereabouts were never addressed, but the Autobots apparently cleaned up the Decepticons as well, and Grimlock wasn't too keen on bringing them back with Nucleon.) A few were resurrected by means of Pretender shells with advanced healing technology or Nucleon, but the rest wound up zombies.
That's my jacket!
With some help from the Wiki (and, yeah, this Jose Delbo cover sucks all kind of butt), as well as appearances in later issues as corpses, resurrected Transformers, or zombies, those killed by Starscream included:
- the Dinobots
- the Seacons
- the Aerialbots
- the Throttlebots
- the Predacons
- the Decepticon Triple-Changers
- the Terrorcons
- the Protectobots
- the Combaticons
- the three original Insecticons
- Hound
- Bluestreak
- Mirage
- Hoist
- Brawn
- Gears
- Jazz
- Jetfire
- Thundercracker
- Laserbeak
- Buzzsaw
- Doublecross
- Grotusque
- Repugnus
- Blaster
- Huffer
- Inferno
- Gold Bug
- Powerglide
- Beachcomber
- Perceptor
- Prowl
- Tracks
- Wheeljack
- Skids
- Ironhide
- possibly Seaspray (he shows up in the next issue, but is said later to have died, so it's a discrepancy)
Also among the dead is Ratbat, killed by Scorponok while both factions of Decepticons have teamed up with the Autobots to fight Starscream.
Megatron (or someone working for him) created a super-powered Pretender shell to resurrect Starscream (apparently with memories of this incident wiped from his memory), and Ratchet used the three prototype shells to revive Grimlock, Jazz, and Gold Bug (switching him back to his Bumblebee body in the process).
Grimlock deserted later to find a means to revive the Dinobots, and brought back a super-fuel (with unforeseen chaotic consequences) called Nucleon. He pumped at least one bay's worth of Autobots full of Nucleon (which included most of the Autobots listed above, as well as Sunstreaker, who'd been killed way back in issue #4 and basically forgotten), and it's been confirmed this included at least the Dinobots, Blaster, Skids, Inferno, Prowl, Huffer, Silverbolt (and presumably the other Aerialbots), and First Aid (also likely including the rest of the Protectobots).
It's likely that every Decepticon listed above became a zombie when Megatron cobbled them together, whether seen or not. Also, it's confirmed that the Monsterbots (Repugnus, Grotusque, and Doublecross) were zombified, so I guess Grimlock didn't recognize them as Autobots when he gave them a shot of Nucleon.
That's my jacket!


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Protests in Cairo, the capitol of Egypt, turned violent on Tuesday night. More than 300 people staged a sit-in protest against Egypt's President, Mohamed Morsi, outside the gates of the presidential palace.
Morsi claimed victory in a landmark presidential election on June 18. The vote took place 16 months after an uprising forced Hosni Mubarak to step down as Egypt's leader. The elections were part of a series of sweeping changes across the Middle East and North Africa. Morsi represents a group called the Muslim Brotherhood. At one time outlawed in Egypt, the group works to promote a form of political Islam. Although the group outlawed violence 40 years ago, it has supported others who promote violence.
A Country At Odds
The protest is part of a political crisis in a country that is divided over the rule of the President. In November, Morsi proposed changes to the country's constitution. His opponents believe he is trying to gain more power and will become a dictator.
His opponents took their protests to the streets. Tension came to a breaking point on Tuesday, as a vote on the constitution nears. Morsi's supporters chased the protestors and tore down their tents. The rival groups threw stones and sticks at each other.
Mohamed Elbaradei, a Nobel Peace Prize winner and an opponent of Morsi, accused the President's supporters of a "vicious and deliberate" attack against peaceful demonstrators. He believes that Egypt's bitter division is very damaging to the country. "After 23 months of struggling to bring democracy to Egypt, is this the best we can do?" he told the Financial Times. "[It is] opening the door for scenarios such as army intervention, a revolt of the poor, or even civil war."
Nearing a Vote
Despite the crisis, Morsi shows no sign of backing down. He believes his supporters have the numbers to win at the ballot box. Many Egyptians want an end to the political disorder that has scared off investors and tourists and hurt the economy.
Today, Morsi returned to work at his compound. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton weighed in on Egypt's political debate, urging the need to continue talks on the new constitution, which should "respect the rights of all citizens."
Egypt's Vice President Mahmoud Makki addressed the nation on Wednesday. He says the vote for the constitution will move forward as scheduled on December 15.


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Running Warehouse has over 80 men's and women's running shoes up to 40% off. Add to cart to see discounted price. Two-day shipping and returns are free. The pictured Nike Free 3.0 v4 Men's Running Shoes are $100 - $37 off in cart + $0 shipping = $63 shipped. They have a great selection of sizes and colors still in stock for this popular style that usually goes for $80 or more.
Up to 50% off Select Running Shoes (older styles) + Extra 15% off w/ code FB15D
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The True Maul
I Just came back from the store a little while ago and I just got The Unleashed Darth Vader. He came with a wizard of the Coast Preview from the New Hope Set it looks like Vader will be a very good card in the set. I will post details about the card tomorrow! :)


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It occurred to me that some of the people who read this blog might not know that I also have a food/craft/domesticity sort of blog over at oeconomist.infotrope.net. If you like that sort of thing, then you might, well, like it.
(People reading this via Dreamwidth will already know this, of course. This is for the rest of you.)
I'd include a shiny gallery of pictures of the tasty food I've been posting about lately, but WordPress is being a pain the arse. So just pretend there are mouth-watering food pix here, and that one of these days I'll actually get around to posting pics of my recent knitting projects, too.


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About Jeff Masters
Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:55 PM GMT on August 27, 2009
Tropical Storm Danny continues to look disorganized this morning. The low level circulation center is exposed to view, with the heaviest thunderstorms lying several hundred miles east of the center. The center has undergone several relocations over the past 12 hours, and may do so yet again this morning, in order to position itself nearer to the heaviest thunderstorm activity. Despite its disorganization, Danny continues to generate strong winds, with the Hurricane Hunters and QuikSCAT both reporting winds in the 55 - 60 mph range early this morning. There is plenty of dry air in Danny's vicinity interfering with development, thanks to an upper-level trough of low pressure.
Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Danny showing the exposed swirl of clouds where Danny's center is, well displaced from the heaviest thunderstorm activity to the east.
The intensity forecast for Danny
The upper-level low that has been keeping Danny disorganized has weakened and separated from the storm, leaving Danny in a region with moderate wind shear of 10 - 15 knots and a modest amount of dry air. These environmental conditions will remain roughly constant through Friday night. Slow to moderate strengthening of Danny to a Category 1 hurricane should result, and is called for by all of the reliable intensity models. By Friday night, a trough of low pressure will approach the U.S. East Coast and bring high wind shear of 20 - 35 knots through Saturday. Danny will be close enough to this trough that the trough may be able to feed energy to Danny as the trough converts Danny to an extratropical storm. As a result, Danny may not weaken as fast as one might ordinarily expect, given the high levels of wind shear expected on Saturday. A landfall in Cape Cod, eastern Maine, or Nova Scotia with 55 - 75 mph winds is a good bet.
Figure 2. Performance of the main models used to forecast Hurricane Bill. Forecasts for the time periods 24, 48, 72, 96, and 120 hours are shown, with the track errors for each models' forecasts in nautical miles (nm). The statistics are shown for the regular interpolated version of the models used by the NHC forecasters in real time to make their forecasts. The "Consensus" model is the NHC's TVCN consensus, which is the average of at least two of the other models shown here (but not including the Canadian model). The Canadian model had the best performance of any model for Bill, surpassing even the Official NHC forecast. The next best performing models were the GFDL and GFS. Last year's best performing model, the European Center model, was not available for this analysis. Image credit: Dr. Jim Goerss, Navy Research Lab, Monterey.
The track forecast for Danny
Wunderground provides a computer models plot showing the hurricane track forecasts of most of the major models used by NHC to formulate their official forecast (one notable exception: we can't show the European Center ECMWF model, since this model is not freely available). One of the most frequently asked questions I get is, "which model do you trust?" This morning we have several models like the NOGAPS and Canadian calling for Danny to pass very near Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, then over Cape Cod, Massachusetts. The rest of the models foresee Danny missing Cape Hatteras, and continuing on to an encounter with Nova Scotia instead of Cape Cod. According the 2008 NHC forecast verification report, the best performing model during the 2008 hurricane season was the European Model (ECMWF), by a wide margin. The ECMWF out-performed the official NHC forecast, and it is very rare for an individual model to do this. The next best models were the GFDL and HWRF, while the NOGAPS, UKMET, and GFDN did the worst of the major models. The Canadian model was not analyzed, but historically has been among the worst of the models for forecasting hurricanes.
So far this year, the ECMWF has also done well. Unfortunately, the European Center group does not make the output of their hurricane tracking module publicly available, so I cannot present any statistics of their model's performance. Somewhat surprisingly, the Canadian model has also done very well this year. The model received a major upgrade in its physics of the past year, and has performed extremely well in hurricane track forecasts for both the Eastern Pacific and the Atlantic so far this year. In fact, for Hurricane Bill, the Canadian model gave better track forecasts then the NHC did (Figure 2). Danny is a different storm than Bill, and it is possible that the Canadian model will do less well with a storm that is disorganized, like Danny is. Nevertheless, with the Canadian model consistently keeping a Danny's track close to Cape Hatteras and going over southeastern Massachusetts, residents of these areas need to be prepared for possible hurricane conditions from Danny. Given the recent reformation of Danny's center, and the possibility of yet another reformation later today, all of the track models must be viewed with more than the usual amount of doubt. Since the center reformations have been moving Danny's center to the north and east, it may be that the Canadian model's prediction lies too close to the U.S. coast.
For those of you wondering about specific probabilities of getting tropical storm force or hurricane force winds, consult the NHC Wind Probability Product. The 11 am EDT NHC forecast gave Cape Hatteras a 4% chance of seeing hurricane force winds from Danny, and Nantucket, MA, a 7% chance.
For more information on computer models used by NHC
Basics of hurricane forecast models (Dr. Jeff Masters, wunderground.com, updated 2007)
Description of computer models used for hurricane forecasts (NHC, updated 2009)
Description of computer models used for hurricane forecasts (NOAA/AOML)
Figure 3. Tropical wave 94L off the coast of Africa.
Invest 94L off the coast of Africa
A well-organized tropical wave lies a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verdes Islands, near the coast of Africa. This wave was designated 94L by NHC this morning. Shear is low, about 10 knots, and waters are warm enough to support development. The dry Saharan Air Layer is relatively limited in extent and intensity, so dry air may have only a small inhibiting effect on the wave. Expect some slow development of this wave as it moves westward over the next few days. NHC is giving this system a low (less than 30% chance) of developing into a tropical depression by Saturday. This system is moving rather slowly, 10 - 15 mph, and it will be at least a week before it approaches the Lesser Antilles Islands. The GFS model develops 94L into a tropical depression early next week.
Special note on using the Canadian model
While the Canadian model has been doing well with hurricane track forecasts this year, the model still does a poor job forecasting the genesis of new tropical cyclones. The Canadian model has a false alarm rate perhaps three times higher than any other model, so one should not believe the Canadian model's regular predictions of new tropical cyclones springing up. You can access output from the Canadian model at Environment Canada or at Florida State University or Penn State.
I'll have an update later today.
Jeff Masters
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.
Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather


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