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By TONI COLLINS
The Arts Center has lots to offer in December. All events are open to the public. Please join us for fun, comradeship, and creativity.
Six thousand years ago, Native Americans living in Cedar Key began piling up shells to form manmade islands.
The prices started at $10, but they went much higher for the desserts offered by Cedar Key's finest bakers.
Bobby McCallum, a veteran of Levy County law enforcement, announced his candidacy for sheriff, citing the need for positive change, fiscal responsibility and more effective leadership in the Sheriff's Office.
Levy County native and Sheriff's Maj. Evan Sullivan announced he is running for sheriff as a Republican in the 2012 election.
Levy County resident, Kathy Green Hudson, has filed the required paperwork to seek the office of Supervisor of Elections in 2012.
Copyright © 2019
The Cedar Key Beacon is your source for local news, sports, events, and information in Levy County and Cedar Key Florida, and the surrounding area.


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The Angry Beavers: DuBois proves to be too much for the Chucks
PUNXSUTAWNEY — "Friday the 13th" is one of the most legendary horror movies out there. If you ask the Chucks, they probably aren't a fan.
When Punxsutawney traveled to DuBois on Friday night, they were stuck in their own horror movie, losing to the Beavers 49-7.
DuBois came out on a mission, coming off a loss to Mifflin County.
For head coach Alan Nichol, all he could do was tip his cap.
"DuBois obviously played a very good game. We thought we had a gameplan coming in, but obviously our players weren't able to execute it," Nichol said. "We came into a hornet's nest. When you have a young team, you're going to have nights like this."
DuBois had its foot on the gas from the opening kickoff. On a four-play drive, with just one interception, the Beavers took the lead on 26-yard touchdown run by Devin Clark.
Sticking with the Friday the 13th theme, the touchdown score didn't come without any controversy.
As Clark was about to reach the goaline, Dakota Thomas attempted a tackle on Clark, causing a fumble. The play, however, was ruled as a touchdown.
"You don't see it well when you're on the sideline," Nichol said. "It probably didn't make a lot of difference."
The Chucks made a routine switch at quarterback, inserting Thomas in the game for Matt Burkett. After two straight plays that resulted in losses, Thomas looked down field for a potential third-down conversion, but once again, the superstitious day reared its head, as the Beavers picked off Thomas.
After turning the ball over on downs, the Beavers marched the ball downfield, putting together a nine-play scoring drive, capped off by another Clark touchdown.
"We made a lot of mistakes. We made some last week and they didn't hurt us," Nichol said. "This week, they hurt us. You can't do that against a really good football team."
Trailing 14-0 with the Beavers looking to capitalize once again, the ball finally bounced the Chucks' way. On first down, Clark attempted a run between the tackles, but coughed up the rock. Josh Schuckers for the Chucks was able jump on the pigskin to give Punxsy the ball.
Punxsy took the ball and running back Christian Falgout gave the Punxsy fans that made the trek on 119 a reason to cheer. Falgout broke his first long run of the day for 35 yards into Beavers' territory.
As the Chucks are known to do, they kept feeding the ball to Falgout on the drive.
After converting a fourth down, Falgout took the Chucks down to the one-yard line.
Coach Nichol could just tip his cap to the Beavers as they held the Chucks to no points after a tremendous goaline stand.
"Not getting into the end zone down there really kind of swung things," Nichol said. "I didn't see us getting deflated, but I think they got more confident and used that to their advantage. You tend to get the momentum going one way, and it's hard to get it to stop."
With 99 yards to go, the Beavers orchestrated a drive for the ages, which was highlighted by a 40-yard pass from Gabe French to Cole Kriner.
Giving Clark a break, Chad O'Donnell extended the lead to 21-0.
Showing that the Chucks weren't only a victim to Friday the 13th, but also to Murphy's Law, Falgout fumbled the ball on the first play
following the score.
DuBois continued the trend, as Kriner scored from seven yards out.
On DuBois next possession, French connected on a 19-yard touchdown pass to Bryson Paulinellie.
Before halftime, the Chucks were driving down the field and looked impressive at times.
Burkett connected with Clayton Dale on an impressive 35-yard diving catch.
With the Chucks in the red zone, the effort was all-for-naught as
Burkett threw an interception.
The Beavers took a 35-0 lead heading into halftime.
"We told them you can only win your next play. Our goal at halftime was to come out and win the second half," Nichol said. "It doesn't matter what the score is; we always have
that conversation."
Falgout came out in the second half and got his 100 yards, but with a running clock, both coaches decided to rest their starters.
After another score by Clark to push the score to 42-0, the Chucks broke through on the scoreboard, as Perry Arrington ran the ball in from 12 yards out.
The Beavers would score once more before the clock hit zero.
Leading the way for the Beavers on the day were Falgout with 100 yards and Arrington with 71 yards and a score.
Burkett led the passing attack with 48 yards, while Dale hauled in three receptions for 53 yards.
For Nichol, it's just one of those games where you tip your cap and move on.
"We have to go back to the drawing board and keep working. We have to look at the tape," Nichol said. "We really had high expectations going into the game. We had no intentions of not winning this game."
The Chucks will travel to A.C. Valley next Friday.
In order to succeed Friday night, the Chucks need to put this loss behind them.
"We have to get back to the drawing board and get better. That's what a young team has to do," Nichol said. "We'll just keep working."

subset: commoncrawl


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----- Original Message ----- From: "Andi Snow-Weaver" <firstname.lastname@example.com> To: <firstname.lastname@example.com> Sent: Thursday, May 06, 2004 11:42 AM Subject: [SEC508] IBM Systems Journal Special Issue on Accessibility - Call for Papers Call for Papers IBM Systems Journal Special Issue on Accessibility Sara Basson, Vicki Hanson, Michael Strack, guest editors IBM T.J. Watson Research Center The IBM Systems Journal is planning a special issue on Accessibility. People with disabilities number nearly 1 billion worldwide, representing a formidable force of employees and customers. The technology required for achieving accessibility dovetails with technology required for pervasive computing, as non-disabled customers need increasingly flexible, multi-modal interfaces to accommodate IT access under varying environments and with numerous devices. The objective of this special issue is to document significant contributions to the area of accessibility by IBM authors and other leaders in the field. Topics of interest include: Architectural considerations in achieving accessibility Applications designed for people with disabilities Business considerations in providing an accessible infrastructure Universal access and design Aging populations and accessibility requirements Models of accessibility management Surveys of recent work in accessibility In order to help us plan this issue, prospective authors should notify the guest editors of their intent to submit a paper by submitting a title and short abstract to Sara Basson (firstname.lastname@example.com) by May 15. The papers are due on October 15. Papers will be published on the Internet beginning in 2Q05 and the complete issue will be printed in August 2005. IBM Systems Journal strives to be a premier technical forum for software and systems aspects of computer science and engineering. The Journal's Internet site is visited by 1.6 million readers per year, and 30,000 printed copies are distributed to IBM customers, employees, and paid subscribers. Here is an excerpt from the information for authors: "A paper may describe original work, discuss a new technique or application, present a survey of recent work in a given field, or provide tutorial information. Concepts and underlying principles should be emphasized, with enough background information to orient the reader who is not a specialist in the subject. The desired focus is on new technology or science, rather than simple descriptions of products. It is important to describe the value of specific work within the broader framework to which it pertains." More author information is available at http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/sjauth.html. Important dates: May 15, 2004: title and short abstract due to Sara Basson (firstname.lastname@example.com) October 15, 2004: deadline for full paper Andi Snow-Weaver email@example.com IBM Accessibility Center (512) 838-9903, http://www.ibm.com/able Internal Tie Line 678-9903, http://w3.austin.ibm.com/~snsinfo _______________________________________________ SEC508 mailing list email@example.com http://trace.wisc.edu:8080/mailman/listinfo/sec508Received on Thursday, 6 May 2004 12:02:58 UTC
This archive was generated by hypermail 2.3.1 : Tuesday, 13 October 2015 16:21:28 UTC


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Green $1.00 Ticket RollItem: 427-054
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I am now in the process of sewing on these black 12mm dome sequins in the center of each square.
I only have a couple of hundred left to sew on.
Your quilt is amazingly beautiful! Your work inspires me. ~Kelly
unDeniably Domestic
The Heart in Hand Project
A beautiful quilt for a beautiful cat :)ReplyDelete
It's lovely! Your cat is gorgeous, too.ReplyDelete
Wow! Those domed sequins!
Only a couple of hundred to go *sigh*. Just think of it as a 'Zen' activity, and hope your thread doesn't snarl to disturb your peaceful thoughts.....
My Jasper is like that - he keeps away while I'm embroidering in my corner of my couch but if I get up for a second .... he's in that corner in a trice. He sleeps there at night sometimes, so we have to manage a 'share' arrangement.
I also have to get the carer to vacuum that cushion all the time, coz it's solid cat hair (from his sleeping) and of course it all ends up on my embroidery! :-)
Absolutely sensational, Shirlee....!!ReplyDelete


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I am looking for an e-book reader capable to display scanned books (with each page being a scanned image) like those availabe at Archive.org. I already own an ordinary Kindle (i.e. not the DX-version, the display of which is too small for this purpose, however. I abhor reading longer texts sitting at the computer and instead have them printed and bound, but that is fairly expensive and not really what I want If I am merely interested in "testdriving" a scanned book.
What about e-book readers like the PocketBook 902 or PocketBook 912? These have a 9.7" (24.63 cm) display (measured diagonally). For comparison, my Kindle's display's diagonal measures only 15 cm (about 5.9").
Does anyone of you have any experience with this sort of "large" e-book reader in connection with image-pdf files? I'm especially interested in two things:
- Is the reader able to display image-pdfs well so that they can be read without a strain for the eyes (both as far as display size and resolution is concerned)?
- Is the reader capable to deal with large file sizes (starting with 50 MB but sometimes well above 100 MB)?
Carolus Raeticus


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Dark Ages in the British Isles were a fascinating, dismal time of constant wars, in which people fought for survival. A dark age with a deep blend of cultures. The 6th and 7th centuries were a time when invaders (Saxons, Angles and Jutes) tried hard to forge their destiny in a new world with the steel of their swords, shields and spears. The ancient peoples tried to resist, while they saw their kingdoms defeated and conquered by the "barbarians", and sorrowfully saw how their beloved world slowly disappeared off the face of the earth. But other people must not be left unmentioned, like the Picts, who have always inspired great interest. Or to the west, another island as complex as Britain: Ireland in which many people were fighting for a piece of land, their clans, livestock and supremacy. In short, it is a world we know little about, yet a magnet for history lovers: a time of war and great deeds, where few kings (almost none) died in their beds.
Only registered members can share their thoughts. So come on! Join the community today (totally free - or sign in with your social account on the right) and join in the conversation.


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aaamaretto needed a new stationery design and created a contest on 99designs.
A winner was selected from 85 designs submitted by 20 freelance designers.
Ours is a professional consulting firm.
Our audience consists mainly of CFOs, CEOs and other administrators from large companies.
We need help with a design that is compatible with our website (http://www.dcbainc.com). We like the purple color of the letters DCBA in our logo, but the blue is too bright and doesn't look professional on letterhead.
We would like a clean and professional design for our stationary, business cards and RFP (Request for Proposal). We need the stationary and RFP to be in Word format. We would also like all designs in PSD and AI formats.


text: Could you imagine this scenario? You order a replacement motherboard for your PowerEdge R310, R410, R510 or T410 server, and it comes with a virus. That only occurred in less than 1% of these models that were repaired by Dell, but it doesn't exactly help one sleep well at night. Dell blamed the issue on "human error." [WSJ]


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Berkeley County
Bunker Hill Graded and High School. Circa 1913
Bunker Hill Graded and High School. Circa 1924
Edgewood One-Room School. Exterior view. Darkesville.
Edgewood School. Darkesville.
Gerrardstown Public School. Circa 1910
Hedgesville African-American School. Exterior of African-American school on Canaanville Road at Locust Knob, Hedgesville.
John Street School. Martinsburg, circa 1911
Martinsburg High School. Built 1883
Martinsburg High School.
Martinsburg High School. High school class portrait in front of old high school, southwest corner of Queen and Stephen, Martinsburg.
Martinsburg High School.
Martinsburg High School.
Martinsburg Junior High School.
Martinsburg School. School group, Martinsburg.
Old St. John School.
St. Joseph's School.
Second Ward School.
Unidentified School. Kindergarten class with teacher Carrie Barnhart. Boy with airplane, Dick Lowman; John Nadenboush at far left. Martinsburg, n.d.
Welltown One-Room School. Themela Kathleen Johnson standing in front of Welltown one-room school.
Photographs of Schools in West Virginia


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KunoStrasser needed a new logo design and created a contest on 99designs.
A winner was selected from 379 designs submitted by 101 freelance designers.
KXS Architektur AG
I am a young architect. I'm mainly involved in the planning and execution of buildings. I also create reports and studies. My goal is to build a large network of architecture offices.
My clients are investors who want to realize large construction projects, as well as families who dream of their own house.
Basically I am open to all suggestions. It just should be a simple logo with a strong recognition value and a WOW effect, but It also could look like a graffiti. I like the idea of a sign additional to the text but I would also like to get some "only text" examples.
My preferred colours are a strong green with a dark background (black or brown).The logo of MGA Architects I find perfect. just for comparison
Find out how a design contest works or learn more about our logo design services.


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- The term SCUBA is actually an acronym. It stands for, Self, Contained, Underwater, Breathing Apparatus. This is a term used to describe a system that allowed divers to go underwater without being connected to a surface air supply.
- There was an unsuccessful attempt at a"rebreathing" device in the 1770's when Sieur Freminet, a Frenchman, invented the first self-contained air device that recycled the exhaled air from inside a barrel. Unfortunately, the device worked poorly and Freminet died from lack of oxygen. He had been in his device for twenty minutes. Another death of an inventor trying to make a rebreather was that of Englishman, Henry Fleuss who invented a closed circuit oxygen rebreather in 1876. He used it in a 30 foot dive and died from the pure oxygen.
- Scuba diving as we know it today really got started in the 1500's when the first diving bell was invented.
- The term SCUBA was originally used during WW II and referred to the Navy's oxygen rebreathers used by frogmen. The rebreathers were used during underwater attacks and for under water demolition projects. The rebreather for the US Navy was developed by Dr. Christian Lambertsen in the 1940's. The rebreather is closed-curcuit, which means no air is expelled outside of the system.
- The open circuit breathing system in use today was invented by Jacques Cousteau and Emile Gagnan. It allows divers to breathe from a tank of air on their back and exhale it into the water.
- Some of the most important SCUBA gears includes: wet suit, diving mask, fins, snorkel, buoyancy compensator vest, regulator and octopus, depth gauge, tank pressure gauge, underwater timer, compass, underwater light, diving knife, dive logbook and underwater slate, whistle or air horn, anti-fog solution, Scuba Diving Computer, weight belt, and diving watch.
- All dive computers tell 4 basic things; 1) current depth, 2)maximum depth during the dive 3) length of time underwater, 4) how much longer someone can stay safely underwater at any particular depth.
- The maximum limit for recreational scuba divers is going to a 130 feet depth. Beginner divers are probably best advised to stay at 60 feet or above until they become more comfortable and gain more experience.
- Eight important rules of SCUBA diving are:
1.Get proper training, 2. Never dive alone, 3. Be in good physical shape, 4. Come to the surface slowly and with control, 5. Don't hold your breath, 6. Check your equipment, 7. Relax, 8. Plan your dive and dive your plan
- Some consider this list the best places to SCUBA dive:
The Yongala, Australia – Blue Corner Wall, Palau, Micronesia – Barracuda Point, Sipadan Island -Thistlegorm, Egyptian Red Sea – Shark and Yolanda Reef, Egyptian Red Sea – Navy Pier, Western Australia – Manta Ray Night Dive, Kailua Kona, Hawaii – Big Brother, Egyptian Red Sea – Great Blue Hole, Belize – Richelieu Rock, Thailand.
Link/cite this page
If you reference any of the content on this page on your own website, please use the code below to cite this page as the original source.
Link will appear as SCUBA Facts: https://kidskonnect.com - KidsKonnect, January 27, 2010


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How do you hit hard? This is such a simple question, but one that every student will ask himself many times during his Karate career. The answer will differ for a beginner, intermediate and expert student. The answer will also differ depending on the style you are learning, who you are learning from, and a host of other factors.
It almost seems too obvious a question -- how to hit hard?
First, it isn't always necessary to hit hard. There are many ways to transfer power. Hitting is just one -- and there are many different ways to hit. How much power is needed to poke an eye? How much power is needed punch someone in the center of his chest? How much power is needed depends on what you are hitting and how you are hitting it (or gouging, poking, ripping, twisting, pulling, pushing).
We usually think about hitting with our fist/knuckles by punching. This is not my favorite way to hit, but for purposes of discussion, how can we punch harder?
There are many factors: (1) minimizing the striking surface to concentrate the hit; (2) bracing when we hit so as not to lose power; (3) hitting as fast as possible; (4) accelerating into the target; (5) secondary penetration, etc.
But one factor that isn't always discussed is the idea of crashing the lines. The idea is not to stand in front of the attacker and punch him with our fist. The idea is to almost crash into his vertical centerline with our vertical centerline. We are going to crash into him -- and through him. In the process, we will strike him with something (our fist, elbow, foot, knee, shoulder, etc.).
Our vertical centerline is called the seichusen. It is also the center of our weight, usually.
When we strike with our centerline, we are striking with all our weight, multiplied by the speed and acceleration of our body. Thus, the idea is not only to punch very fast but to move our bodies very fast as well -- to move very fast into the target.
My brother-in-law used to try to teach me how to play chess. One of the strategies he often mentioned was to occupy the center -- we should try to position our chess pieces to control the center of the board.
I believe that the same strategy applies in Karate -- we should try to control the center. By this I mean that we should protect our centerline, and maneuver to the most advantageous position from which to attack the opponent's centerline. And then we should try to unsettle his centerline -- generally to tilt it back so that the opponent will be off balance in unable to attack or counterattack strongly.
When we hit the attacker, we are not aiming for the surface of his body. We are literally targeting behind him (or possibly inside of him). By the time our centerline reaches the point where his centerline was, he will likely have been pushed back somewhat. Thus, we might even be moving through (beyond) the initial location of his centerline.
In any event, the moment of contact is like a controlled crash. We are crashing into him, and focusing all of our weight and power into our desired striking implement (fist, foot, etc.).
This may sound out of control . Ironically, we gain stability by crashing into the attacker. We are actually more out of control when we hit the air (as in kata practice).
Crashing into the attacker is a lot like ukemi (breakfalls). If you know how to fall well, you start to view the ground, and walls, as allies.
Of course, there is usually more to a successful technique than a single punch. With the crashing momentum, the punch could be followed by an elbow, shoulder, hip, knee, throw, etc. The punch might just be the initial point of contact for a sequence of movements powered by the momentum of your body.
The next time you are wondering about how to hit harder, think about crashing the centerlines.
Charles C. Goodin
Crashing the Lines
How do you hit hard? This is such a simple question, but one that every student will ask himself many times during his Karate career. The answer will differ for a beginner, intermediate and expert student. The answer will also differ depending on the style you are learning, who you are learning from, and a host of other factors.
Posted by Charles C. Goodin on Wednesday, November 22, 2006


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John Mansfield spends a great deal of his time serving as an Abraham Lincoln presenter, making public appearances across the country as the 16th president of the United States. He provides a first-person living history experience for those in attendance. He has received a great deal of publicity in his role as Lincoln. He spent a few minutes with LipscombSports.com to talk about his time at Lipscomb as well as his life after school.
What sport(s) did you play at Lipscomb and when?
Basketball from 1958-1960
Who was your coach?
Charlie Morris
What is your fondest athletic memory at Lipscomb?
The first thing that came to mind was those goal high passes from Bryant Matthews that made my job of laying the ball in the goal so easy.
Who had the biggest influence on you during your athletic career at Lipscomb? How?
This is a difficult one because I consider all of my teammates as a major and good influence from my days at Lipscomb. They were such great guys to work/play with. I do not remember a discouraging word from any of them.
What is your fondest non-athletic memory from your time at Lipscomb?
That is an easy one. It would be meeting and dating my future wife, Betty Sue Sparkman.
What is the most valuable thing you gained or learned from your time at Lipscomb?
I learned the value of thinking of others, putting others first and being part of the team, even in things off the court. The most important thing was that Lipscomb students and faculty showed me a Christian love that helped point me in a direction of deeper love and appreciation for God and what He had done for me and what He expected of me.
Who was your favorite professor?
Axel Swang. The personal attention and care he showed to me and I now know to others as well. He was a man that taught not only a subject he loved but demonstrated love and concern for each student as he taught and as he lived.
Where do you live now?
About one half a block from the campus.
What is your occupation? What does your position entail?
I am a Abraham Lincoln Presenter. I portray Lincoln at reenactments, churches, schools, business meetings or anywhere "his-story" needs to be told.
Tell us about your family:
Son Brian, wife Nancy, four children, Nick, Zach, Gracelyn, Annalise. Daughter Sonya Mansfield Ross and husband Russell, no children. All live in the Nashville area and Nick is a Senior at Lipscomb High School. Betty is still putting up with me after almost 49 years.


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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Slovenia
Posts: 428
Setting limits for magic powers?
Hey everyone, I need your help. I'm currently writing a story that involves people with swords fighting eachother, but they also have access to magic powers (this sums it up really really short).
I'm worried that if I make the powers too op the whole swordfight thing won't matter anymore and it'll all revolve around the powers. But if I make the powers too underpowered they'll become boring and useless.
How would you set the limits/rules for powers like, controling an element - i.e. fire? How to make it balanced? Should I make them more like passive skills, or actuall fire based attacks, ect. Please post your oppinion/ideas.
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FORCE's Advisor
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Canada
Posts: 3,898
In my opinion there are quite a few ways to make this work.
1) The magic is generally Enchantment based. (Similar to passive skills, I.e. Capable of putting sword on fire).
2) Have them require some sort of "drainable" ressourse, that can also be replenished through fighting with a sword. Something like Mana. So the Magic can be as strong as you want, however the sword fighting is still essential in order to keep casting spells. Depending on the clash or the way the sword hit, you'd be able to cast more, lower-level spells or a few big ones. Cutting flesh = more gain, ect.
"Even if we forget the faces of our friends we will never forget the bonds that were carved into our souls"
Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Slovenia
Posts: 428
Thanks for the ideas Isaac0 ^,^ I like the first one (was thinking about that myself). But I'm afraid it's gonna' play too small of a role, so I'm thinking lots of passive skills, with some active attacks/abilities. Now i have to think about the active abilites' limits, since in a swordfight throwing a fireball at someone could be considered very op :D
I'm not really a fan of the whole drainable ressource thing tho, since once you put a measure on how much mana someone has left, the fights soon become all about how much mana someone has and who runs out faster).
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Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: The Moon.
Posts: 3,669
Just like Izzy said, enchanting is a way to go.
Passives are another method, something like bonus magical effects after performing a combo or something.
It can also be magic to disable stuff from the enemy or lower his strengths.
Or simply rare releases of magic powers where the universe is turned into ashes.
One other method would be an eye power, something that could be magic if you set the rules to make it activated by spell or drain magic resources. Eyes that further enlarge the ways and methods of fighting.
I do not know if you've read my "Warlord's Quests", but my main character has such an eye power that allows her to stop/nullify/interrupt magic by severing connections between the user and the spell. She relies on pure strength/sword fighting mostly, and if you even dare use magic against her, she'll just slice through any spell. An Anti-Mage type of sword fighter.
Let's see, another type of magic used by sword fighters could be something to put them in a strategical advantage, such as, create an entity of magic to scout for you in a small area or do something else entirely that doesn't affect the enemy directly, but gives you an advantage.
I also mentioned bursts of energy. Magic release for a powerful blow, you know, that kind of stuff.
Other magic used by sword fighters could be healing magic.
The most op type of magic would be altering the battlefield in your advantage.
You can visit the Fate franchise on this and read about reality marbles.
Elemental magic is the most basic, but often most effective. Fire for example.
It can be fire based magic, fire enchanting on the sword, fire shield of magic etc. Many ways to go around it.
Limiting can be done by making the magic require some kind of the users energy, like as a downside, after using it too much you get tired/ bleed/ puke rainbows/ become hideyoshi etc.
There are many, many things I am missing ATM, but hope that helps.
Last edited by XeroMaano; 08-12-2014 at 08:35 PM.
Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Slovenia
Posts: 428
Hahaha xero you're a boss :D The limiting part had me rofling :D I think I'll take the last two and mash 'em together :D
I definitely have to read your stories, since the concept sounds really awesome.
Thanks for all the ideas. I think I'll make the powers strong, but also make fitting penalties like you said, the passives and enchantments are just there and don't ''cost'' you anything, but to use something stronger (acitve) takes a lot of your energy, ect.
Maybe I simplyfied it too much when I said the story is just about people with swords and magic powers :D It's basically any kinds of weapons fitting the middle ages (swords, bows, crossbows, axes, throwing knives, ect.).
It's a world that used to be filled with magic, people were born with it, they were called Mages and it allowed them to bend the laws of nature, but for over a century there hasn't been any new mages and the world forgot about magic. But after a cultist unleashes an evil force, that has been sealed away for ages (the queen of serpents) the magic slowly starts returning into the world - a young blacksmith who's friends, family and village get destroyed by the monster and it's minions, awakens the ancient force (he went kyuubi mode on them :D) and had a badass ice aura, but was still fighting with a longsword, against one of the liutenants who had mild mind control and time slowing powers but only one arm XD so she was nerfed). These are the only powers I revealed so far, so nothing is decided yet. But before the story can progress further and I add any new characters I need to get this whole issue sorted out :D
BTW: Yes the both of you helped me quite a bit ty :D
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Last edited by TheBlackFlash; 08-12-2014 at 08:02 PM. Reason: HODOR!
Force Leader
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Ecchiverse
Posts: 6,319
Well i'll post here instead of posting a PM.
Magic works in several ways IMO.
First of all you gotta think what type of energy it uses.
Does the energy come from the user or something else? Like the surroundings or an enchanted item.
Or if it uses energy at all (harry potter for instance).
Then there are multiple types of magic.
The most common being offensive magic where you put into attacks.
eg Elemental magic or making into an attack of sorts
Environmental magic where it alters your surroundings (That's what your char mainly used in my chapters Flash)
eg, making it colder so your opponents feel colder and cannot fight as effectively
Buffing, where your magic enhances the abilitys of yourself or allies. or 'Nuking' which is decreasing the abilitys of others.
Eg, increase your own speed to superhuman levels whilst lowering the enemies so they move more sluggishly.
If you're going to be using elemental powers i would make it so it takes a heavy toll on the users stamina, thus the more they use it the more fatigued they would become.
The bigger the spell the more energy used, simple as.
If you are going to be using elemental powers, what elements are there going to be?
Are you going to use the same ones as in naruto, or use different ones. Less or more of them as well.
Some people class Light and Dark as elements. And whilst Wood magic is a combo magic in Naruto, it can easily be a base one as some cultures class wood as an element.
:3 sorry i didn't reply to the PM straight away, i was busy :3
Oh yeah if you read my first attempt of writing (Darts' Conquest) you'll see that magic users have a 'tattoo' which holds a certain amount of energy within it.
Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Slovenia
Posts: 428
Ok after all of you have given me advice, this is what I came up with:
Each character doesn't have the magic powers, but those who do have it (mages) can use some minor spells, like minor healing or enchantments, but every one of them is born with a natural prefference for a specific type of magic, as in time manipulating powers in the case of one of the Liutenants, or ice magic in the case of my main character.
The minor spells will cost them nothing, but the bigger the spell the more energy/stamina it will take for the character to use and or maintain it. Also their emotions play a role in how strong the spell becomes (i.e. if the char. is really mad then it will be harder to controll their spell, but it would become stronger than normally).
The powers will vary from elemental powers, to powers like shapeshifting or self-augmentation, controlling shadows, fear, ect. so not just limited to elements, since there really aren't that many elements :D
So yeah this is basically what i decided it to be :D thank you all for contributing and helping :D
And drag0n, don't worry about it being late, better late than never ^,^
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Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Slovenia
Posts: 428
I don't know if anyone's still alive on this forum, but I just stumbled upon this after almost 3 years and am loving it.
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Selecting your vehicle's make, model, and year allows us to display only parts and items specific to your car's model and year.
Part# C210358
Mfg# 2398
4 Reviews
OPGI Price: $89.99
Part Type: (A) Aftermarket product, usually an enhancement product
Years: 1938-1993
Sold As: SET
2018 Fleetwood Catalog Page: 189
Each gauge trio includes oil pressure, voltmeter and water temperature gauges. Available in your choice of black or chrome gauge panel. Gauges are black with white numbers and white needles and include red and green light bulb covers. Each gauge is a mechanical, sweeper-style gauge.


text:
The University of Colorado regents today voted to approve contracts for head football coach Jon Embree and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy — both with base annual salary offers of $250,000 and the potential to earn hundreds of thousands of dollars in compensation and bonuses.
The resolution passed without any dissent during today's meeting on the Boulder campus. The measure spells out multi-year employment agreements for both coaches spanning March 1 to Jan. 11, 2016.
Embree's new contract does not call for him to be paid out anything if he's fired in his fourth or fifth seasons with the Buffs. When CU fired Dan Hawkins last year, after going 19-39 in five seasons, the coach was paid $2.1 million under his contract.
Following Hawkins' mid-season firing, the university hired former Buffs standout Embree as the new head coach. Embree, a former tight end in the NFL, had been serving as tight ends coach for the Washington Redskins. Embree has previous coaching experience with CU, the University of California at Los Angeles and the Kansas City Chiefs.
Bieniemy, also a former Buff, had been the Minnesota Vikings' running backs coach.
Here are the stipulations of Embree's offer:
— $250,000 base salary
— $200,000 annual supplemental compensation for radio, television and public appearances
— $200,000 for sponsorship support
— $75,000 for conducting summer football camps
— $6,000 for country club membership
— $10,000 in Nike sports apparel
— Up to $20,000 in moving expenses plus 30 days of lodging
— A courtesy car or up to $800 a month in lieu of a courtesy car
— Ten season tickets for a suite in Folsom Field for home football games
— Ten season tickets to home games for both men's and women's basketball
Embree also is eligible for bonuses, including up to $75,000 for academic progress towards graduation of football players; up to $75,000 for the welfare and development of football players; and up to $50,000 for development of the football program's reputation on campus.
Furthermore, Embree is eligible for several bonuses based on the team's record: a $750,000 bonus if the Buffs bring home a national championship; $50,000 if the football team wins seven games in the regular season; and $200,000 if the the team plays in a non-Bowl Championship Series bowl game.
If CU fires Embree in 2011, he will be paid $750,000; $500,000 if terminated in 2012; and $250,000 if terminated in 2013. CU will give no money if he's fired in 2014 or 2015.
Here are the stipulations of Bieniemy's offer:
— $250,000 base salary
— $100,000 for sponsorship support
— $125,000 for community outreach
— $6,000 for country club membership
— $5,000 in Nike sports apparel
— Up to $20,000 in moving expenses plus 30 days of lodging
— A courtesy car or up to $700 a month in lieu of a courtesy car
— $150,000 for a one-time payment to be made within 30 days of the contract agreement
Bieniemy is eligible to earn annual incentive pay of up to $50,000 for meeting goals that include academic performance of football players; the welfare and development of football players and the football program's reputation on campus and community support of the football program.
If CU fires Bieniemy in 2011, he will be paid $325,000; $250,000 if terminated in 2012; and $250,000 if terminated in 2013; $125,000 in 2014.


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|The Score Artists @ Work Member Directory Premier Partners Seminar Downloads SCL Videos NY Home Forum Ambassador Program Mentor Program Hall of Fame In Memoriam Lifetime Achievement Emerging Composer
The SCL Ambassador Program was created to recognize and acknowledge a select group of composers and lyricists without whose valuable contributions our profession would be less than it is, without whose creativity our artistic community would be lacking and without whose gift our society would be deprived of wonderful music and song expressed by their genius. Their achievements will be used as the ultimate standard for future generations of film composers and songwriters.
Carter Burwell (NY honoree)
George S. Clinton (NY honoree)
Elliot Goldenthal
Robert Lopez & Kristen Anderson Lopez (NY honorees)
Mark Snow (NY honoree)
Maury Yeston (NY honoree)


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The potential of large studies for building genetic risk prediction models
- Posted: March 4, 2013
NCI scientists have developed a new paradigm to assess hereditary risk prediction in common diseases, such as prostate cancer. This genetic risk prediction concept is based on polygenic analysis—the study of a group of common DNA sequences, known as single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), each of which contributes a very small amount to overall disease risk, but has a strong effect when grouped together. Nilanjan Chatterjee, Ph.D., Biostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, NCI, and colleagues, assessed the potential of using very large, genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to develop polygenic models that can compute risk scores for hereditary diseases for individuals in the general population. The results of their work appeared in the March 3, 2013, Nature Genetics.
The investigators estimate that there are likely to be thousands of SNPs responsible for common health outcomes ranging from type 2 diabetes to cancer. They project how the predictive accuracy of risk models may improve as the sample size for GWAS could increase in the future. For example, it is estimated that a polygenic model built for prostate cancer (based on the largest current GWAS available) would categorize seven percent of the population as a high-risk group, which is at least twice the risk for prostate cancer compared to men at average risk. The investigators project that tripling GWAS sample sizes in the future could improve the risk-stratification of the model such that 12 percent of the population would be categorized in the high-risk group. If polygenic models could be built using very large sample sizes, they could be a useful tool for identifying a significant number of high-risk individuals in the population. However, the authors note that any strategy for early diagnosis and prevention that only targets genetically high-risk individuals would be incomplete. The analysis suggests information about other risk factors, including family medical history, would be needed to enhance the broader utility of these models.


text:
ASPEN, Colo.—Officials are worried that Frontier Airlines will stop flying to Aspen.
Local airline liaison Bill Tomcich says the future of Frontier Airlines is tenuous after parent company Republic Airways reported a $15 million loss in the second quarter of this year.
According to the Aspen Daily News ( http://bit.ly/okRmBF), officials are worried after the company said it is trying to sell its four-plane fleet of Bombardier turboprop planes, the only aircraft in Frontier's fleet equipped to fly into Aspen's small airport. .
A Frontier spokesman could not be reached for comment.
Information from: Aspen Daily News, http://www.aspendailynews.com


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it seems, that it is not possible to repeat the currently playing song in the queue again and again and again.
if I'm to dumb to get it, please help me, how to activate it.
If it is truly missing, please add it.
Return to Feature Requests 6.x
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Here's the official press release on the Manchester records that FindmyPast (www.findmypast.co.uk) placed online a few days ago.
Manchester prison and workhouse records included
Charges include: indecent relations with a pig, and driving a contagious cow along a highway
Victorian law and order likely to have punished today's rioters more severely
First execution listed at New Bailey and Strangeways prisons
Fascinating Victorian prison and workhouse records for Manchester have gone online for the first time ever at leading UK family history website findmypast.co.uk. 'The Manchester Collection' is a rich series of records provided by Manchester City Council's Libraries, Information and Archives, highlighting criminals whose crimes number murder, stealing, and even bestiality. Scanned images of the original copperplate handwritten registers can now be viewed and searched online by the public.
The Manchester Collection consists of eight record sets with nearly 1,300,000 records that cover Manchester and some parts of Lancashire, due to boundary changes over the centuries. The full series on the site comprises prison registers spanning 1847-1881, industrial school admission and discharge registers, c1866-1912, school admission registers c1870-1916, apprentice records ranging from 1700-1849, baptism and birth registers covering 1734-1920, cemetery and death records for 1750-1968, marriage registers covering 1734-1808 and finally, workhouse registers, which include admission registers, creed registers and discharge registers. Today's rioters and criminals get away lightly compared to many of the characters in the industrial schools and prison records.
The Prison Registers
The prison register records are some of the most fascinating within the collection giving details of the crimes committed and full particulars of the prisoners, including a description of what they looked like. This index contains 247,765 records for the period 1847-1881. The records cover Belle Vue Prison, New Bailey Prison and Strangeways.
A number of crimes can be found within the records, including murder, stealing as little as a lump of coal, being drunk and riotous and casually knowing (a Victorian euphemism for rape). The oldest felon discovered in the records was 91 years old and the youngest just seven. Repeat offenders were common and it is possible to trace their criminal careers. One woman was recorded 20 times over 14 years - she was blind in her left eye and had a pockmarked face, making her easily identifiable in the records.
Casually knowing a pig
In the prison records one Mr John Alty, aged 21 was charged on 6th March 1866 that he 'having on the 30th January 1866 feloniously wickedly + against the order of nature did casually know a certain pig + then feloniously did perpetrate an unnatural crime at Manchester'. He was sentenced to 15 months' hard labour. The record, as many do, includes details of his height, complexion, hair, weight and eyes and describes his occupation as a labourer. Also provided are his last known address, religion, education, marital status, distinguishing marks, nationality, previous committals and release date.
First execution at HMP New Bailey
James Burrows on May 31st 1866 was accused and charged that he 'wilfully + malice aforethought killed + murdered one' John Brennan at Hopwood on the 21st May 1866. He was sentenced to death and executed on August 25th 1866, aged 18. This case was widely covered in the newspapers at the time as James Burrows was the first person to be executed at the New Bailey Prison.
Moooove your 'contagious' cow!
In June 1870, Joshua Lomas, aged 36, was charged with driving a cow along the highway with a highly contagious lung disease. He was sentenced to one month in prison or the fine of £2. Joshua appears in the records again in 1877 charged with being drunk; he was sentenced to one day's hard labour. Many of these criminals can be found more than once in the records.
Industrial Schools Indexes
Industrial schools were set up in the middle of the 19th century to provide lodging for destitute children. They were intended to prevent vulnerable children from falling into criminality; children would be educated and taught a trade and could be there for a set period or throughout their education. They were also 'youth detention centres,' where Victorian children were sent following anti-social acts for rehabilitation.
Five years detention for truancy
On October 3 1901, Joseph Marsh aged 10 was convicted for associating with bad companions and truancy. He was sentenced to a period of five years and four months detention in one of Manchester's Industrial schools, Ardwick Green. In his record he is described as being 4'5" tall, 65lbs, with a fair complexion, broad nose, having very light hair with blue eyes. He had five vaccination pits on his left arm. Previously, he had been given three or four years schooling and could read, write and calculate to grade III standard. His mental capacity was said to be good. Like many boys, upon completing his time at the school he enlisted in the army. The records show he joined the 2nd West Yorkshire Regiment, which was then based in Palace Barracks, Holywood, Belfast and went on to have a successful army career. His strict discipline at the school clearly helped him stay on the straight and narrow and he went on to have a very successful army career.
Debra Chatfield, marketing manager at findmypast.co.uk commented: "These records are a fascinating insight into the crimes of the Victorian era and provide so much more detail than census records. Many of the crimes carried out and their subsequent punishments are quite shocking, and are far removed from what we are familiar with today. For example, stealing one lump of coal could get you seven days hard labour. Imagine what the recent rioters would have faced if they had been under Victorian law and order. Even if you do not live in Manchester now, you may have had ancestors there 100 or more years ago and these records will prove to be an essential resource in tracing your family history. Manchester is one of the largest cities in the UK, and by making these records available online people will be able to discover even more about the lives of their Mancunian ancestors."
The records have been published online by findmypast.co.uk following a two year project to scan and transcribe the original records after the website was awarded a contract by Manchester City Council Libraries, Information and Archives.
Councillor Mike Amesbury, Manchester City Council's executive member for culture and leisure said: "We are continually developing our library and archive services to make them much more accessible and easy to use. We're really excited to be working with findmypast.co.uk to digitise these records so that they are easily available to everyone at the simple click of a button."
You can search the Manchester Collection now at www.findmypast.co.uk/search/manchester-collection
(With thanks to Amy at FindmyPast)


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Long-time reader Anita (you may recognize her posting under the name Anitacska–try typing that ten times fast!) shared this fun, bold look she created with Dior's Tropical Quint. She said she's never done such a bright look before!
- Eyes: She began by laying down Guerlain Eyeshadow Primer as her eyeshadow base. For eyeshadow, she primarily used Dior's Tropical (#940) Eyeshadow Quint. On the inner corner, she applied a turquoise eyeshadow and then applied the light purple to the middle of the lid, above the crease, and on the lower lash line. She used a darker purple on the outer corner and crease with a lighter pink above the creas. Anita used Laura Geller's Blush 'n Brighten in Boysenberry/Amaretti to highlight the brow bone. To line her waterline, she used Urban Decay Covet 24/7 Eyeliner and finished lashes with Boots No. 7 Extreme Length Mascara in black.
- Cheeks: Anita applied MAC Two Virtues Mineralize Blush on her cheeks with Laura Geller's Blush 'n Brighten in Boysenberry/Amaretti to highlight the top of her cheeks.
- Lips: She kept it simple and applied MAC Bubblegum lipstick to her lips for some color.


text:
Equipment Maintenance for Home and Auto
Get Your Motor Running
This Summer!
Here's your opportunity to keep your
lawn machinery and automobiles in top shape in WPCC's Engine Maintenance Repair courses.
Learn the basics of automobile engine, residential gas-powered home and lawn equipment. Many of the fundamentals covered apply to all automobiles, motorcycles, ATVs, mini bikes and go karts. Major topics include safety, gas engine fundamentals, batteries, fuel, oil, grease, blades, fasteners, tools, various adjustments, regular maintenance (including oil, air and fuel filter changing), tire pressure and proposed storage of equipment.
Your Instructor
Michael Daniels has designed, built and maintained equipment ranging from lawn mowers to race cars. He has achieved 20 years of service from lawn equipment through proper maintenance and service. A self-proclaimed gear head, he loves all things mechanical.
About The Class(es)
Basics of Lawn Equipment Maintenance for the Novice
- Cost $20
- Dates 3/21 – 3/30, T & TH
- Time: 6:00 pm- 8:00 pm
- Location: WPCC Main Campus, J Building [ map ]
- Class Section Number: 50967
Basics of Car Maintenance for the Novice
- Cost $20
- Dates 4/25, 4/27, 5/2 & 5/9 T & TH (no 5/4 meeting)
- Time: 6:00 pm- 8:00 pm
- Location: WPCC Main Campus, J Building [ map ]
- Class Section Number: 50968
Register For The Class(es)
Events in February 2019–January 2020
- There are no events scheduled during this period.
Contact Michael Daniels at (828) 448-3564 or at firstname.lastname@example.com.


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When Hurricane Florence made landfall and stalled over the Carolinas in September 2018, the storm dropped an incredible eight trillion gallons of rain on North Carolina alone. The deluge produced catastrophic flash flooding and river flooding leaving many homes, roads,…
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Before I continue, let's do a little Q&A to provide some
insight as to why schedule analysis is a good thing:
Q: How many times this decade a
RB from the current AFC North has finished among the top five
fantasy RBs this decade in traditional, non-PPR scoring?
A: Twice. Once during Jamal
Lewis' 2,000-yard season when he logged nearly 400 carries and
once when Willie Parker exploded for 16 TDs in 2006.
Q: What is the most likely reason
for the current AFC North's lack of success in that time?
A: How about the fact that the
Bengals and Browns face the Steelers and Ravens four times every
season while Baltimore and Pittsburgh face each other twice.
Q: How often has a RB from the
current AFC or NFC West finished among the top five since 2000?
A: Twenty-one times!
Taken one step further, 35 of the 45 top-five RB spots since 2000
have gone to backs whose teams went up against the AFC and/or
the NFC West that season. Even more impressive, the top-scoring
RB in fantasy football each season played at least four games
against the AFC and/or NFC West.
In short, nearly half of the top five backs this decade could
be found in two divisions and the reasons for their success are
simple: 1) most of the "West RBs" (Marshall Faulk, LaDainian
Tomlinson, Priest Holmes, etc.) were gifted three-down backs in
very good offensive systems and 2) outside of San Diego and Seattle
sporting good defenses for a few years here and there, when is
the last time a team in the AFC/NFC West had a defense that could
shut down an elite RB?
If I do nothing else this offseason
(or get credit for nothing else in my fantasy writing career),
I want to drive home the point that the schedule will quite often
tell you what players to target and avoid on draft day.
I use RBs in the above example because they are so important in
fantasy football, but the truth of the matter is that fantasy
owners need to realize the schedule is one of the more important
reasons why a player at just about any position exploded onto
the scene, had a career year or busted. Don't get me wrong, most
of the factors mentioned above (player talent and age, team offensive
philosophy and supporting cast) need to be in a player's favor
to truly have a special season but, most of the time, players
perform well because they consistently win their individual matchup,
not because they were "due" or just entering their athletic
prime. Once again, it takes a perfect storm of a number of factors
for a player to enjoy a career year, but let it be known the quality
of the opponent week in and week out is one of the more important
ones to consider.
Over the next four weeks, I will be posting my game-by-game predictions,
two divisions at a time. Bear in mind that while the final numbers
are important, they are 15-game totals because most fantasy seasons
have a Week 16 title game. For those unfamiliar with the way I
project player stats and individual week-to-week consistency (or
for those who need a refresher), please give my PSA:
RB article a read for an introductory course in Preseason
Schedule Analysis.
Much like any system that projects future performance, each year
gives me the opportunity to tweak and hopefully improve the product.
The biggest emphasis this season was to personalize each matchup.
Before we begin, I feel it necessary to state that my projections
are subject to change, but I will release my final projections
and rankings in late August. However, the next few weeks should
give all interested parties a pretty good idea of just how strongly
I feel about a player's prospects for the upcoming season.
Perhaps more important than the final numbers for each player,
though, are the highlighted matchups. Note that I have applied
the green highlights (good matchups) to the players who I feel
should take advantage of that matchup and the red highlights (bad
matchups) to the ones that will be difficult - but not impossible
- for that player. Only a handful of defenses merit bad matchups
all over the board (the Steelers, Ravens, Bears, Jets and Patriots
all qualify), however, just because a player's box is "red"
one week doesn't mean the player won't put up his usual numbers
just as a "green" doesn't necessarily mean he will.
Furthermore, one WR can have a "red" matchup but the
rest of his team could be neutral or green. For instance, if the
Raiders decide to put CB Nnamdi Asomugha on the opponent's #1
WR at all times as they have stated they may, it will qualify
as a bad matchup only for the #1 WR, no the rest of the passing
game. (In previous years, a matchup vs. Oakland meant each QB
and WR was a "red" matchup.) Going forward, a QB, WR
or TE player will only be considered positive or negative if I
don't think he can win his individual matchup.
Note: The grey
highlight in each team's schedule reflects a road game.
The Bills don't figure to get off to the greatest of starts by
facing what should once again be one of the tougher defenses in
the league in the Patriots, especially since they won't have Marshawn
Lynch. However, after New England, Trent
Edwards & Co. should have some opportunity to put up some
numbers as I don't expect the Bucs, Browns and Texans to be much
better than average on defense before the bye, which may be a
good time to sell high on Edwards as the schedule gets a bit more
trying later in the year. Buffalo's biggest problem would appear
to be its own division, which won't give it much of a break as
the Jets, Pats and Dolphins should easily finish in the top half
of the league in total defense.
A typical Bills' offense would show a lot more red than I have
above, but there aren't a lot of teams in the league that will
be able to go toe-to-toe with Terrell
Owens, Lee
Evans, Josh
Reed, Fred
Jackson and Lynch. Since Buffalo will be spending much of
December in the elements, it's hard to pronounce this offense
as an all-around fantasy power. The upside, though, is that most
of this offense will be drafted as a #2 at their positions (as
in QB2, RB2, WR2) rather than a #1. As long as Edwards steps up
to the challenge - which he should - the Bills should be a fairly
consistent offensive force this season.
It's safe to say fantasy owners probably won't fall all over
themselves to get anybody attached to the Dolphins' passing game.
Chad Pennington's
value will be sapped for a multitude of reasons, including the
"Wildcat", the possibility of Chad
Henne taking over at some point of the season and Miami's
conservative offensive philosophy. Furthermore, when Cover 2 teams
like Indy and Buffalo aren't limiting the passing numbers, the
Dolphins will be faced with some of the more aggressive blitzing
teams in the league like the Chargers and Jets (twice). Unfortunately,
there just are not a lot of plus-matchups in which players like
Ted Ginn can take advantage of this season. I've still predicted
a modest increase in Ginn's numbers as he is the one true playmaker
in the receiving corps, but his true coming-of-age season may
not come until next season.
As for the running game, this will be one of several cases over
the next four weeks where offensive philosophy, player talent
and supporting cast (in this case, the run blocking) will outweigh
the schedule to some degree. Ronnie
Brown should finally assume the lead-back role in this offense,
which should mean he will eclipse his previous career high of
242 carries (and 275 touches). Given the difficulty of his schedule,
he could be in line for more down weeks than I have him down for,
but I believe at age 27 and in the best shape of his career, this
will be the year that he stays healthy and be the true focal point
of this offense.
For someone who is coming off knee surgery, Tom
Brady won't have the benefit of a lot of easy matchups early
on to regain the trust in his knee that he'll need to be successful
once again this season. In fact, for a normal offense, easily
half the schedule could be adorned in red. But as we know, very
little is normal about the Patriots' offense, from their four-headed
monster at RB to their relentless passing game. As such, I expect
Brady to have his second-best season as a pro even though he may
not settle in entirely until after the first month and even after
considering that his pre-bye games aren't exactly pushovers. However,
the schedule will lighten up in the second half and I expect Brady
will regain full trust in his knee by midseason. Unlike most teams,
the Patriots don't need to consider the intermediate passing game
if they don't want to; they have a deep threat that requires a
constant double team and a short-game threat that is essentially
an extension of the running game. Even in his 12th season in the
league, there are very few defensive backs or schemes that Moss
can't outrun. Like Moss, Welker also has very few schemes that
can contain him, but for a very different reason - his quickness
and fearlessness over the middle.
Despite their top 10 finishes in fantasy points scored by the
RB position in each of the past three seasons, the Patriots� approach
to spreading the wealth at RB is a fantasy nightmare. In my early
projections, I have all four backs scoring 100+ points in PPR
leagues, but none of them scoring more than 131. What's worse
is there is no kind of predictable consistency, outside of Kevin
Faulk possibly posting good receiving totals in games vs.
the Ravens, Jets and Titans. I have a feeling HC Bill Belichick
still wants Maroney to pull away from the pack and establish himself
in the same fashion Corey Dillon and Antowain Smith have done
in the past. But as we have seen lately, we can't count on that
happening anymore as fantasy owners.
According to my YPC projections
from last week, the Jets will have the easiest schedule vs.
the run of any AFC East team. However, that number is a bit skewed
from the fact that New York will not face its own run defense,
which I have projected as the best in the division. Either way,
the Jets picked a fairly good year to decide to run the ball 37
times a game because the Patriots appear to be the only team stout
enough to withstand that kind of onslaught on the ground. Much
like HC Rex Ryan's old team - Baltimore - the best fantasy RB
each week could be a revolving door as long as everyone stays
healthy, although an injury to Thomas
Jones or Shonn
Greene will blow the door open for the other bruiser to have
a potentially better year than the one Jones turned in last season.
The Jets' final four games appear to be especially juicy matchups
for the RBs, as only Indy in Week 16 could be a team that really
clamp down on the run (and that would be assuming S Bob
Sanders is healthy and the big rookie defensive linemen the
Colts brought in are playing well).
As for the passing game, it wouldn't be overly surprising to
me if Keller gives Jerricho
Cotchery a run for his money to lead the team in receiving.
Because most of the Jets' toughest competition this season vs.
the pass will be from zone-based teams that will focus on keeping
Cotchery out of the game, New York may find itself in zone-busting
mode a lot with the swift-footed Dustin
Keller. The key, as it usually is in the passing game, will
be if the QB can take advantage of the attention the running game
will attract. Sanchez will have to be money on third down - because
the Jets will have a lot of them - and make teams pay for not
doubling Cotchery or Keller. The big unknown is who the #2 WR
will be on this team, but it's highly unlikely that player � Chansi
Stuckey or David
Clowney - makes a significant impact in this run-heavy offense.
If the run works as well as it should, there will likely be no
more than 15-18 completions to go around, with 75% of those catches
going to Cotchery or Keller.
It's just as well that Baltimore will use three RBs to carry
the ground game this season because, quite frankly, I'm not sure
I want any of them starting for me after Week 11. In Weeks 12-16,
only Detroit offers any kind of respite from opponents I expect
to be among the league leaders in rush defense. Two games against
the Steelers (including fantasy championship week) in that time
is frightening enough, but add in what should be a much-improved
Packers defense in Week 13 at Lambeau Field and the Bears in Week
15 and I've seen enough. Up until that point, Baltimore has a
fairly advantageous slate in which Le�Ron McClain and Ray Rice
should be able to alternate fantasy RB2-type of games. Just let
it be known that the schedule says that it would be smart to deal
Baltimore players at some point shortly after Week 10 vs. Cleveland.
Unlike 2008 draft classmate Matt Ryan, I don't see Joe
Flacco trending upward this season. The offense wasn't exactly
fantasy-friendly to begin with and that was before Derrick
Mason decided to retire. Even if Mason does return, the only
player impacted from a fantasy perspective will be Mark
Clayton and I don't see either player coming close to matching
Mason's 80-1,037-5 line from last season. Combine that with the
dreadful late-season schedule which suggests points and yards
will be hard to come by - just as it will be the Ravens' RBs -
and I find it hard to highly recommend any Baltimore offensive
player with any confidence in 2009.
With every key offensive player happy, healthy and focused for
the first time in years, Cincinnati should challenge even the
best of defenses in 2009. Even better, for the first time in what
seems like ages, the Bengals' schedule plays out about as well
as it could have, outside of the obvious four combined meetings
with the Ravens and Steelers. Their Week 8 bye breaks up three
games that rival the toughest three-game stretch any team will
play this season (home games vs. Chicago and Baltimore in Weeks
7&9 before a Week 10 road affair in Pittsburgh.) While that mid-season
stretch is brutal, the good news is that the early and late part
of the schedule plays out pretty nicely. Denver, by all accounts,
will struggle mightily on defense this season and should allow
Cincinnati to gain some much-needed early confidence in what the
Bengals hope will be the most balanced offense they have presented
in years. Green Bay will still be transitioning to Dom Capers'
zone-blitz schemes in Week 2, the same kind Cincy will see in
Week 3 at home vs. Pittsburgh.
After the second Steeler meeting in Week 10, the Bengals should
be set up for a great final six-week flurry, especially in the
passing game. Only the Chargers in Week 15 have the personnel
necessary to capably match up with the Bengals' top three WRs,
but given their struggles against the TE in 2008, perhaps that
will be one game in which the addition of rookie TE Chase
Coffman will prove helpful. Carson
Palmer & Co. should be a joy to own all season long, but especially
in the final third of the campaign. A six-pack of games against
the Ravens (twice), Steelers (twice), Vikings and Bears figure
to diffuse any shot of a Bengal running back making a charge toward
a league rushing crown or top-ten finish among fantasy backs,
but a renewed emphasis on the running game should make Cedric
Benson a pretty serviceable fantasy RB2. If last season was
any indication, he'll contribute more than people expect in the
passing game and a Week 16 home matchup vs. the Chiefs sure looks
promising against a defense that shouldn't be much better against
the run than it was last season.
It's a shame when good fantasy playoff matchups are wasted on
bad teams. The Browns face the Chiefs and Raiders in Weeks 15-16,
but this offense is enough of a mess right now that it may not
be able to give fantasy owners enough production to take advantage.
First off, this season is probably Jamal
Lewis' swan song in terms of being any kind of fantasy asset;
the main question will be if his career workload will finally
catch up to him in Week 1 or Week 10. Then there is the case of
Jerome Harrison,
who may sap just about any kind of remaining value Lewis has left.
The only breaks Lewis and Harrison may catch early in the season
are that Minnesota may be without the "Williams Wall" in Week
1 and that Cincinnati may not meet my expectations as an above-average
defense this fall. If the Bengals do meet that expectation, however,
all six division games will be difficult for the Browns to get
anything going on the ground. Throw in the Bears, Packers and
Chargers and, all of the sudden, 60% of Cleveland's "running schedule"
is against stout run defenses.
The news for the passing game isn't much better. I don't believe
Cleveland has a matchup all season long which, on the surface,
is one its passing game can feast on. Games against Denver and
Detroit look appealing at first, but each game is on the road
and both the Broncos (Champ Bailey) and the Lions (new HC Jim
Schwartz has better personnel and won't stand for the number of
blown coverages that Rod Marinelli did) have compelling reasons
as to why the Browns could struggle in those games as well. Braylon
Edwards is bound to have a productive game or two, but since this
offense will be a grind-it-out offense to begin with, that may
be his ceiling. Brian
Robiskie should be as productive as any rookie receiver this
season because he is already the most reliable receiver the team
has, so even though his YPC won't be all that high, he�ll be a
decent play in PPR leagues. Perhaps if Martin
Rucker proves he is a carbon-copy of Kellen
Winslow, this passing game will flourish more than I am letting
on in this article. But I'm not holding my breath on that happening.
Let 2008 be a reminder to each of us: a team needs only one dominant
unit to make a Super Bowl run. There was nothing particularly
special about the Steelers' running game for most of last season
and the passing game wasn't much better than average in terms
of total yards or efficiency. Heck, Ben
Roethlisberger finished a mere 24th in QB rating in 2008!
But when one team turns in the best total defense effort (3,795
yards) since the 1991 Philadelphia Eagles (3,549), the rest of
the team doesn't need to play at an All-Pro level. With that said,
Pittsburgh's offense greatly benefits from the fact it doesn't
have to face its own defense twice a year and, as such, has a
slate that it could be moderately productive against in 2009.
Considering that four of the five starters on the offensive line
were in their first seasons at the positions in 2008, the Steelers'
ground game should get a fair boost in productivity this season.
Also, trading in four NFC East games for four AFC West opponents
also figures to help in that regard as well. As a result, the
main question for fantasy owners with Pittsburgh's ground game
shouldn't be whether or not it will be productive, but who will
be the one producing? Willie
Parker believes he has the speed and acceleration back that
made him such a great back a few seasons ago while Rashard
Mendenhall will be primed to prove he is ready to be the next
great Steeler RB. Barring injury, I think Parker gets the better
end of a 60-40 split and gives his owners one more 1,000-yard
season before Mendenhall evens things out in 2010 and claims the
job for himself in 2011.
As for the passing game, Roethlisberger's fantasy effectiveness
will be determined as much by the running game as it will be by
his ability to absorb another 40-plus sacks. At some point, Big
Ben's size will not be enough to save the day after the defense
reaches him 5-6 times and knocks him down 10-15 more times. Much
like the running game, the passing game only has a handful of
below-average matchups. Unfortunately, as long as the Steelers
defense continues to hold opponents to around 14-15 points per
game, the urgency to turn Hines
Ward and Santonio
Holmes into the 2009 version of Stallworth and Swann won't
be all that high. In short, Ward and Holmes will once again be
solid WR2 options, but should not be counted on for WR1 production.
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quote: The mortgage has 13 years left at 2.875%. Can you elaborate why I'd want to refi with such a low rate. Fimally if paying off the mortgage now and using the additional cash over time to invest isnt the way to go would now be a bad time to drop such a lump sum into the S&P? Other recommendations? Thanks again.
quote: Some people will say, well I should keep my mortgage to get a tax deduction right?
quote: Originally posted by oldguy
quote: So.. What else should I be looking at for investment? I don't own rentals (I have been a landlord, don't want to do it again). Should I be talking to financial managers? And if I were to plan an early retirement (2029 - 50 yr old) would that change your advice?
quote: Originally posted by Anymouse123
I guess I should have known that financially it makes sense to put the 250k into an S&P fund although I would like the emotional win of retiring the mortgage. I was hoping someone would say that the market is high so go for it or I have too much in the market so go for it.
quote: Originally posted by SCEngineerjust to argue with littleroc a bit, 250,000 invested in a taxable account with the very conservative 4% withdrawl rate for retirement should net about $8,500 per year or $708.33/month. Compare this to your mortgage payment. If it's less you could litterally invest the 250k and let it pay your mortgage off for you.
You can worry about the market being too high, but I've found analysis paralysis is more likely to set in.
Though do weight the emotional benefits of a paid off house. It's only a bad decision if you stop paying yourself and investing. As long as you keep building your nest egg and don't increase your lifestlye you won't go wrong with either choice.
quote: now you have to take out money from your investment and it's taxed at 15% Capital gains tax rate and it lowers the value of your investment account even more. The problem is that people who don't calculate risk properly, could lose substantially. Most people only calculate for the upside.