text:
"This course will provide a generally non-technical introduction to learning analytics and how they are being deployed in various contexts in the education field. Additionally, the tools and methods, ethics and privacy, and systemic impact of analytics will be explored, presenting a broad overview of the current state and possible future directions of the field.
Capturing and analyzing data has changed how decisions are made and resources are allocated in the fields of business, journalism, government, military, and intelligence. Through better use of data, leaders are able to plan and enact strategies with greater clarity and confidence. Data is a value point that drives increased organizational efficiency and a competitive advantage. Analytics provide new insight and actionable intelligence. Companies such as Microsoft, IBM, Google, and Amazon are investing heavily in technologies and techniques to help individuals and organizations make sense of and unlock the value within big data..."
Via Jenny Pesina


text:
MAX-BUD Building & Refurbishment Service183 Feedback reviews, 99% positive
MAX-BUD/ Specialist for Domectic Renovation & Refurbishment.Main Projects:Kitchens & Bathrooms installation, Architectural changes,Electrics & Central Heating,Plasterwork & Floor Installation, Tiling, Complete Painting & Decorating.Architect & Engineer Support.Fully... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By fros83373 on 18th Feb, 2019
Richard Wilson Joinery18 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
I'm Richard Wilson. I have 14 years experience in joinery. I pride myself on producing quality work and being a very reliable, professional tradesman. After years of working for others, I have recently taken the step to go self employed and now want to build a good... read more
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By emms42 on 4th Jun, 2016
Pentland Interiors Limited10 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
The Pentland Kitchen Company was formed by Aaron Mundin and Leon Rousseau and draws from their 20 years experience to ensure complete customer satisfaction from the initial survey, through the design consultation process and to final installation. We are able to cater for... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By cjw_34 on 16th May, 2018
FMSP5 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
We design, supply and install fitted Kitchens, bedrooms, bathrooms and studies. If you require an installation team we can accommodate including electrics and plumbing etc. read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By mhant on 9th May, 2018
RJM Joinery24 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
RJM Joinery is looking to build his business further with the help of customers who want honest hardworking tradesman that they can trust and rely on, getting the work done to customers' needs and on time. I can take on all types of work with electrical and gas engineers... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By kelly1_94 on 19th Apr, 2017
Allsorts Contracts Ltd13 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
Allsorts Contracts Ltd is mainly a Joinery and Building company but we have all trades back up. Stevie and the team are all highly skilled and certified in their respective trades with over 13 years experience in the construction industry. We tend to undertake all kinds... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By keith_h_46 on 20th Dec, 2017
Alex walkingshaw joinery6 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
With over 20 YEARS EXPERIENCE and full trades back up all works undertaken will be dealt with efficiently and to the highest standards from start to completion. read more
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By damla_k on 9th Apr, 2018
Alan Kinghorn Plumbing & Heating54 Feedback reviews, 98% positive
We are a family business established for over 20 years, We are approved contractors for age concern / care and repair Edinburgh. We specialise in boiler replacements, heating systems, bathroom suites,lead removal/replacement and all renovations small or large. Our priority... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By moira_haswell on 26th Apr, 2016
Morningside Joinery7 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
Small family business with 40+ years experience in the trade. All jobs big or small from locks, doors, windows, timber floors, renovations, attic conversions, small repairs. All timber related works. Can also provide other trades if necessary. read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By ruthazz on 17th Nov, 2018
Aaa joinery ltd4 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
20 years experience in the industry and 6 years trading as AAA JOINERY LTD. We provide all joinery work including full refurbishments, kitchen and bathroom fittings, attic and basement conversions, extensions and more. ALL TRADES PROVIDED. read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By ppd_home_solutions on 23rd Jan, 2019
GB Joiners26 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
GB Joiners▪I have 15 years Joinery/Building experience with a broad range of skills and knowledge enabling me to carry out all your home improvement/renovation jobs. My clients 100% satisfaction with my workmanship and my attention to detail is the corner stone off my... read more
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By fern_97 on 1st Nov, 2017
ROSS BARR JOINERY SERVICES LTD19 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
Over the past 18 months we have been identifying a team of highly qualified and professional tradesmen. We now believe that we are in a position to offer a superior all trade service to all types of clients from private individuals to property developers owning a portfolio... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting client reference:
Reference taken by MyBuilder on 27th Oct, 2014
Gycarpentry&joinery19 Feedback reviews, 95% positive
Gycarpentryandjoinery do it all from 1st fix to 2nd fix carpentryandjoinery.Have 25years in building Trade,cscs gold card ,we fit kitchens,floors all types of doors,locks,extensions,full refurbs,staircases,fitted bedrooms,Tiling,Garden offices,making... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By gail_327 on 18th Mar, 2018
Martin Rowse Heating and Plumbing Ltd12 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
We are a well established company with 30 years of being in the heating and building trade. All staff are well versed with all aspects of the building trade which comes with their age and experience. We are members of Gas Safe, Guild of Master Craftsmen, MyBuilder, Yell,... read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By joyce_254 on 7th Nov, 2016
AT Project20 Feedback reviews, 100% positive
At Project, based in Edinburgh, highly experienced company specialised in bathrooms, kitchens and general refurbishment. Will provide a personalised solutions. High quality of work at affordable prices. Friendly service guaranteed. read more
Latest Kitchen Fitting feedback review:
By sarah_h_34 on 19th Jun, 2015
Need a tradesman?
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1. Post a job
First, create a job listing for your kitchen fitting project. It's quick, easy and free - the first step to finding recommended kitchen fitters in Gorebridge.
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Having met our recommended kitchen fitters in Gorebridge and read customer reviews, you're ready to decide which kitchen fitters to hire.
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subset: commoncrawl


text:
You read about it and said "Yuck; how could they do such a thing? Poor horses." Ikea, the world's largest furniture retailer, made the headlines for putting horse meat meat in their Swedish meatballs a couple of months ago.
You read about it and said "Yuck; how could they do such a thing? Poor horses." Ikea, the world's largest furniture retailer, made the headlines for putting horse meat meat in their Swedish meatballs a couple of months ago.
Well, shucks, what do you expect from meatballs made by a furniture company: sawdust?
"What's wrong with horse meat?" questioned a few skeptics. "We eat cow meat without any qualms, and pig meat and lamb meat?"
There are those of us, however, who do draw the line at eating the flesh of animals who are supposed to be our friends, the ones we keep as pets and the ones who work hard for us, such as dogs and cats and yes, horses.
Ikea apologized politely and pulled the questionable product from its shelves, but still, a few folks worried about poor old Flicka and Trigger and Silver.
Another badly maligned food is the all-American hot dog, purported to be concocted with leftover animal parts nobody wants to eat, like pig snouts and cow ears. Not so, say the wiener producers of the world. They are made from carefully selected, pure beef, pork, chicken and turkey, fat, a filler such as bread crumbs or oatmeal, egg whites and seasonings. Oh, I almost forgot; add "variety meats" to that list and you and I can speculate at will as to what they consist of.
Have you heard the one about baby carrots, those cute little wee orange tidbits we like to dip into our ranch dressing? They've been rumored to be shaped from big, ugly, gnarled grown-up carrots nobody wants, then dipped in water and chlorine (same as in swimming pools), which causes the whitish looking residue they develop. It's true that some baby carrots are manufactured; wonder what they do with the rest of the carrot? Maybe put it in a hot dog.
Our pop/food culture is full of urban legends about what we consume, and most of them are just that, stories conjured up from less than a trace of fact.
We all know the famous ones: Mikey of the Life Cereal commercial was rumored to have died in the early 1980's when he gulped down Pop Rocks and Coca-Cola. The Neiman-Marcus Cookie Hoax still makes the rounds, the one where a customer had lunch in the famous store and asked for the recipe for the delicious cookies she had for dessert. "It will cos you two-fifty," said the waiter. She later received a bill for $285 dollars--$250 for the recipe and $35 for shipping and handling.
MacDonald's has suffered mightily at the hand of rumor. Their burgers are really kangaroo meat, one claimed. MacWormer was the name given to the burger made from ground up earth and mealy worms, it was aired about. Lately, your friendly Mac people are rumored to be the country's biggest customer of cow eyeballs. Want fries with that?
Sounds better than the pink slime burgers we've been told about recently.
Here's a good one. Procter and Gamble is coming out with a new Scope bacon-flavored mouthwash, The advertising slogan is "for breath that sizzles." I'll have to see it to believe it.
Here are a few legends that made the circuit recently.
A lady in Newport News claimed she found a deep fat fried chicken head nestled among the wings she purchased at KFC, eyeballs, beak and all.
In San Jose, another lady found a human finger in her bowl of chili at Wendy's. It was the truth; the only problem was it had belonged to a co-worker of her husband and she, herself, dropped it into the chili.
A customer of a fast food joint e-mailed his acquaintances to watch out for soda straws; his Sprite tasted not quite right, he averred. He checked it out his straw and, lo and behold, it was infested with cockroach eggs.
Bananas from Costa Rica have been accused of carrying necrotizing fascitis, otherwise known as flesh-eating bacteria. I'll take my banana split with chocolate syrup and whipped cream.
You can cook an egg with your cell phone. Hey, wait a minute. It takes an hour to get done and who can live for a whole hour without their connection? Besides, you can cook an egg on the stove in five minutes.
That reminds me of the old "you can cook a foil-wrapped beef roast on the radiator of your car while you drive to the beach" rumor. It'll be done to a turn when you get there. Wonder if it tastes like motor oil?
None of these legends have been proven true, so don't go blaming your Mac place, Wendy's. Puerto Rica or KFC. Ikea? Well, I wasn't going to buy my meatballs from a furniture store anyway.
Page Onorato is a retired teacher.


text:
Facebook Inc. reports fourth-quarter results after the market closes on Wednesday. MarketWatch technology reporter Benjamin Pimentel and technology columnist Therese Poletti will live blog the earnings call from San Francisco. (Photo: Getty)
Also read: Facebook earnings top forecast
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- 3:56 pm
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Facebook shares down 3% ahead of its quarterly report. Earnings call is at 5 p.m. Eastern.
- 4:01 pm
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Team Zuckerberg rattled investors in October when Facebook said it was seeing slower teen user growth in the U.S.
That's likely to be a focus of the call.
Stock down 3%, closing at $53.53.
- 4:04 pm
- Add a Comment
Facebook also has been testing video ads on the News Feed. That will also probably come up on the call as analysts see video ads as another key revenue driver.
Stock up 1% after hours. Stand by for results.
- 4:08 pm
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Facebook /quotes/zigman/9962609/delayed /quotes/nls/fb FB accounted for about 6% of the worldwide digital ad revenue last year, up 4% from 2012, according to eMarketer. Google /quotes/zigman/93888/delayed /quotes/nls/goog GOOG had 32.4%, up from 31.5%.
- 4:09 pm
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Facebook results just came out. Stock up 4%. Stand by.
- 4:18 pm
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Facebook reported a surge in profit, beating Wall Street estimates. Stock now rallying 7%.
- 4:21 pm
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Facebook now has 1.23 billion monthly active users. That's a gain of 16% year-over-year.
The company reported an 18% year-over-year gain in the third quarter, and a 21% gain in the second quarter.
- 4:23 pm
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Facebook's mobile ad business now represents 53% of the company's overall advertising business.
- 4:27 pm
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Facebook is turning 10 this year.
CEO Mark Zuckerberg says in a prepared statement, "It was a great end to the year for Facebook. We're looking forward to our next decade and to helping connect the rest of the world."
- 4:34 pm
- Add a Comment
Stock now up more than 7%. Call starts in about 20 minutes.
- 4:46 pm
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"A great quarter," is how two analysts reached by MarketWatch described Facebook's quarter. Facebook blew past Wall Street estimates.
But then again, they still remember what happened the last time.
"We'll see what they say on the call," Wedbush analyst Shyam Patil told MarketWatch.
Facebook spooked investors with comments on the call in October about slowing teen user growth and a plan to not ramp ads on News Feeds.
"Now we must await commentary on teen usage and operating expense growth for the year," Topeka Capital's Victor Anthony told MarketWatch.
Call starts in 15 minutes. Stock is now up 10%.
- 4:57 pm
- by l
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Facebook clearly gaining on the mobile front. The company said it now has 945 monthly active mobile users, up 39% from the year-earlier period.
- 4:59 pm
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While we're waiting for the Facebook call to start, we've got breaking news about a Facebook rival.
Google apparently is selling its Motorola unit to Lenovo, according to Reuters.
- 5:03 pm
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Call starting. Stock up 9%.
- 5:07 pm
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Zuckerberg: "If 2012 was the year were we turned our core products into a mobile product, than 2013 was the year where we turned our business into a mobile business."
- 5:08 pm
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No more than 500 million people using Facebook groups a month, says Zuckerberg.
- 5:09 pm
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Zuckerberg says Facebook saw "improvement in sentiment a to as on mobile even as volume grew during that period."
- 5:10 pm
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Zuckerberg notes that Facebook turns 10 next week.
- 5:11 pm
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COO Sheryl Sandberg reviews financials. Stock is now up more than 9%.
- 5:11 pm
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Sandberg cites "strong mobile engagement" as key revenue driver for Facebook, especially during the holiday shopping season.
- 5:12 pm
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Sandberg also cites "continued growth of marketers using Facebook."
- 5:14 pm
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Sandberg also points to gains in brand marketing and small and medium-sized businesses.
- 5:16 pm
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Sandberg says Facebook is "building the world first global platform that lets marketers personalize their messages at unprecedented scale."
- 5:17 pm
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CFO David Ebersman now speaking.
- 5:18 pm
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CFO Ebersman says the fourth-quarter results "strengthen our conviction that we're in the early days of capitalizing on a significant opportunity."
- 5:19 pm
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Ebersman said the main driver of Facebook's ad revenue growth was the "strong performance of News Feed ads on mobile and desktop which helped us attract more advertiser demand."
- 5:25 pm
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Ebersman said "efficiency investments" in its data center infrastructure "enabled us to significantly increase the amount of data and the number of users we can support with each server we by and these investments have saved us over $1 billion over the past or years."
- 5:28 pm
- Add a Comment
No mention of any problems related to teen users in the main presentations. Q& A has started.
- 5:34 pm
- Add a Comment
Ebersnman said Facebook expects adjusted expenses to "grow in the neighborhood of 40% to 45%."
"We plan to invest with a continued emphasis on technical headcount and product development to take advantage of the opportunities we see to create new experiences and more value for our users marketers and developers," he said.
Analysts have been watching Facebook's expenses closely.
"The expense growth was slightly above our estimate and the capex guidance was within our expectations so we are comfortable with the guidance," Topeka Capital's Victor Anthony told MarketWatch.
Stock has risen in the last few minutes, now up 11%.
- 5:37 pm
- Add a Comment
Sandberg talks about video ads saying Facebook has "a video ads product that works very well as part of what's driving our growth."
- 5:40 pm
- Add a Comment
Question on ad loads.
Recall that Facebook also rattled investors by announcing that it was not going to be too aggressive when it comes to running ads on News Feeds.
Zuckerberg says "investing in quality is really actually the most important thing because it's what improves the experience for the people who use the product. It drives greater returns for advertisers and over time, it increases the potential size of our business."
- 5:41 pm
- Add a Comment
Now, a question on teen engagement.
Ebersman says no new data to report on that. Last quarter, Facebook said it was seeing signs of declining teen user growth in the U.S., which also spooked investors.
- 5:45 pm
- Add a Comment
Sheryl Sandberg says Facebook is working on making ads more relevant to users.
- 5:51 pm
- Add a Comment
Analyst asks about any new products this year and Instagram update. Zuck says that $FB will start building new experiences, but they will start small. "It will come from the core Facebook experience," he says. "It will take awhile before any of these things turn into huge things." Facebook Groups, which has about 500 million users, is an example of a type of audience that Facebook could target for new products.
- 6:01 pm
- Add a Comment
Analyst asks about FB's high gross margins, how long can they be sustained? CFO says in Q4 gross margins tend to be seasonally strong. Going forward, Facebook is going to increase its investments in its compute heavy infrastructure.
- 6:03 pm
- Add a Comment
Sandberg says improving targeting of ads, to make them more relevant and social, is one of its biggest opportunties ahead. And with that, the call is over.


text:
Julio aka Namond From The Wire Can't Get A Job! "I Dont Have Anything Else. Im Educated But Not Well Enough To Be A Lawyer Or A Doctor" (Speaks To Tyra Banks)
Namond From The Wire talks To Tyra Banks
Please click the "Report" button below if the video on this page is not working properly.
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text:
Second-Line Therapies for HIV: Two Studies Whose Impact Will Last Well Beyond CROI 2013
March 14, 2013
Several studies provided important advances in how to approach the treatment of individuals experiencing failure of first-line NNRTI-based treatment.
The SECOND LINE study (for which the poster presentation is available online) suggested that NRTIs might not be needed for second-line treatment. The study randomized 541 individuals failing NNRTI first-line treatment from 15 countries to receive either lopinavir/ritonavir (Kaletra) + two to three N(t)RTIs or the NRTI-sparing regimen of lopinavir/ritonavir + raltegravir (RAL, Isentress). The baseline CD4+ cell count of the participants was 190 cells/mm3 and 20% had a viral load greater than 100,000 copies/mL.
After 48 weeks, approximately 77% of the participants had virologic suppression below 50 copies/mL: 77.8% in the RAL arm vs. 76.8% in the 2/3 N(t)RTI arm (treatment difference 1.03% [95%CI: -6.04, +8.29]), therefore demonstrating the noninferiority of the nuke-sparing regimen. RAL recipients had significantly greater increases in CD4+ cell count (167 vs. 132 cells/mm3, P < .01).
Meanwhile, a phase 2 study showed superiority of the investigational integrase inhibitor dolutegravir (DTG) to RAL in second line treatment. The SAILING study (for which the poster is also available online) gave ART-experienced, integrase inhibitor-naive participants an optimized background regimen; participants were randomized to receive either RAL or DTG. Fifty percent of participants had three or more class drug resistance.
At a planned 24-week interim analysis performed after all participants reached week 48 of treatment, DTG was statistically superior to RAL, with 79% vs. 70% of participants achieving an undetectable viral load (treatment difference +9.7% [95%CI: 3.1, 15.9]). This difference (RAL vs. DTG) was driven by differences in adverse events (3% vs. 1%) and lack of efficacy (7% vs. 4%). There were fewer virologic failures and less detected drug resistance mutation in the DTG arm of the study. Actually, no participants developed phenotypic DTG resistance, while nine out of 10 participants failing RAL with genotypic data showed complete RAL resistance.
Which other studies presented at CROI 2013 will have lasting impact long after memories of the conference itself have faded? Read more of Dr. Llibre and Dr. Young's top picks.
Copyright © 2013 Remedy Health Media, LLC. All rights reserved.
This article was provided by TheBodyPRO. It is a part of the publication The 20th Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI 2013).
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text:
Study backs flexi-scope for bowel screening
Using an internal camera called a flexi-scope to screen for signs of bowel cancer can greatly reduce deaths from the disease, according to a review of previous evidence.
The authors say the results, published in PLoS Medicine, "provide grade A evidence" for the inclusion of the technique in national bowel screening programmes.
The UK government has committed to introduce the technique by 2016, after a landmark UK trial funded by Cancer Research UK showed it could reduce deaths by 43 per cent.
Flexible sigmoidoscopy - also known as flexi-sig or flexi-scope - involves using a flexible tube with a camera and light at the end to look into the lower part of the large bowel. It can spot both early-stage cancers and pre-cancerous polyps.
Led by Dr Joseph Elmunzer from the University of Michigan Medical Center, the review analysed the combined results of five randomised controlled trials, including the UK trial.
It found that, overall, the number of new cancers among those who were screened using flexible sigmoidoscopy was reduced by almost a third (32 per cent), while deaths from bowel cancer were halved.
"These findings provide grade A evidence for the inclusion of flexible sigmoidoscopy in colorectal cancer screening guidelines, akin to the justification afforded to fecal occult blood testing by prior randomized controlled trials," the report's authors said.
"A flexible sigmoidoscopy-based strategy appears highly effective in reducing the incidence and mortality of this malignancy in average-risk patients."
Cancer Research UK welcomed the results, and called for more information on how the roll-out of flexi-scope screening was progressing.
"The results of this overall analysis are similar to our 2010 findings," said Sarah Williams, the charity's health information officer.
"The government has earmarked £60 million to incorporate this test into the national bowel screening programme in England by 2016, and we want to see the new test rolled out without delay.
"We also call on the health services in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland to commit to introducing this technique as soon as feasible.
"Flexible sigmoidoscopy saves lives - the sooner it's available on the NHS, the better."
Copyright Press Association 2012
- Elmunzer B.J. et al. (2012) Effect of Flexible Sigmoidoscopy-Based Screening on Incidence and Mortality of Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials. PLoS Med 9(12): e1001352. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001352


text:
RWH-144 Natural Straight (New HRF - Cream Blond)
* Heat resistant fiber is very thin so headcap may be visible for bright colored wigs.
* Head cap may be visible for certain style of wigs.
* Curls may not be cemetrical.
* As the wig gets smaller, it may not look alike the picture more.
* Please check the points above before making order :)
This Product will take 2-3 days to prepare for shipping.
The colors of the product's pictured on our website can differ slightly on different computer monitors.
Some of the items pictured are used for photo purposes only. The only items included with your product are the ones listed on the page. No other items are included in the set.


text:
Charlie F. Kane
Charlie F. Kane (14/1/1989 / Solihull, Birmingham)
» Click to list general statistics » OR, select a date :
I Dreamed A Dream
I dreamed a dream
That we were together
And it made me happy.
read more >>
- Hits: Number of visitors who read the poem on the given date.
- Posts: Number of visitors who posted the poem to a friend (via e-mail) on the given date.
- Dates that have "0" hits may not be shown on the list.
- Dates, poems and poets that have "0" hits may not be shown on the list. Statistics are generated daily.


text:
LA Online Media needed a new logo design and created a contest on 99designs.
A winner was selected from 138 designs submitted by 29 freelance designers.
LA Online Media
we are social media consultants and new media video producers for clients that run campaigns (non-profit, political, marketing, etc) and want to reach out to the masses.
This logo is for clients who have no idea or patience how to get wired into new media
Make sure it can apply to a business card and as the banner for a website.
Be creative - most people are taking the easy way concentrating on the 'o' in online...I suggest doing something creative with the theme of connecting people. My original thought was a laptop and cord spelling the name in cursive...be creative
Avoid the LA/Hollywood thing and focus on the online media angle.
I am not a big fan of different words in the logo being different fonts - I prefer a consistency in the design.
If you have any questions email firstname.lastname@example.com
Find out how a design contest works or learn more about our logo design services.


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text:
Friday, July 20, 2012
Federal Liberals gain in Quebec?
May 26-31 and since then the Conservatives have hardly budged, picking up a tenth of a percentage point to sit atop the table with 33.6% support. The New Democrats dropped 3.3 points to 30.3%, while the Liberals were up 1.6 points to 26.5%.
That is a very high number for the Liberals, one that puts ThreeHundredEight's aggregate outside of Nanos's margin of error.
The Greens were up two points to 4.4%, a statistically significant increase (though still quite a bit lower than the aggregate, due in large part to EKOS's recent numbers), while the Bloc Québécois was up 0.8 points to 4.2%. These numbers left 1% off the board, which we can assume is support for other parties.
For the Conservatives and New Democrats these levels of support are not unusual. They have been circling the low-30s for some time now, but the Liberal number is quite high. It is not the first time that Nanos pegs Liberal support higher than the norm.
The Conservatives held the lead in the Prairies, which in Nanos's polling includes Alberta. They had 44.5% support, down 5.7 points, and were trailed by the Liberals, who slipped 3.5 points to 24.8%. The New Democrats were up 0.7 points to 21.2% while the Greens were up a statistically significant 6.3 points to 7%. Of course, considering that the party was at 0.7% in the Prairies in Nanos's last poll, this is likely just a correction.
The New Democrats led in Quebec with 38.8%, down 2.7 points. The Liberals increased their support by 7.7 points, just outside the margin of error, to place second with 25%. It's quite possible that this Liberal surge is real, but at the same time it looks like an outlier result. Even with Nanos's numbers added to the aggregation, the Liberals don't score better than 18.4% in the province.
The Bloc was up 3.3 points to 17.2% and the Conservatives down 1.2 points to 16.8%, while the Greens were down 0.2 points to 2.3%. That is a low number for them in the province.
The Conservatives managed 36.8% in Ontario, an increase of 1.2 points, while the Liberals were up 1.3 points to 31.3%. The New Democrats were down a big 5.9 points to 25.6%, while the Greens were up 2.9 points to 4.6%. Save the Green increase, none of these shifts were statistically significant.
In British Columbia, the Conservatives were up 6.4 points to 40.4% and followed by the New Democrats, down 2.7 points to 34.3%. The Liberals were down 3.5 points to 19.5%. This sort of Conservative lead in B.C. has only been recorded in two polls since April, one of them by Nanos.
And in Atlantic Canada, the region is split three ways: NDP at 34.8% (+0.4), the Conservatives at 33% (+3.9), and the Liberals at 30.1% (-2.9). The Green result, at 2.1%, is on the low side.
The results in Alberta may be somewhat surprising, and it could be that part of the problem is how Nanos combines the province with Saskatchewan and Manitoba.
But the Conservatives managed 62% support across those three provinces in the 2011 election. Having that drop to 45% is quite extraordinary, and with the Liberals jumping from 11% to 25% in the region it should come as no surprise that they can actually win a few seats. If Alberta has not seen this kind of negative swing for the Conservatives, however, that would have to mean they have taken a big hit in Saskatchewan and/or Manitoba, which would mean more seats falling into the hands of the New Democrats and Liberals there - more than enough to make up for the two Liberal seats in Alberta.
In Nanos's Leadership Index, which combines the scores the leaders manage on questions of trust, competence, and vision, Stephen Harper and Thomas Mulcair have hardly moved at 72.7 points and 46.8 points, respectively. Bob Rae has jumped 9.3 points to 41.5.
If we change the Leadership Index point total into point share, we get Harper at 39.6%, Mulcair at 25.5%, Rae at 22.6%, Elizabeth May at 8.4%, and Daniel Paillé at 3.8%. That does not look unlike some of the "Best Prime Minister" results we've recently seen. Compared to the share of points from Nanos's May poll, Harper and Mulcair are each down a point while Rae is up five. Try not to get crushed in the stampede to Draft Rae again.
42 comments:
- Anonymous20 July, 2012 09:39
What is it with Nanos' Liberal numbers? Without fail, they consistently register the highest levels of Liberal support among all pollsters, not uncommonly by a considerable margin. See the complete list of polls conducted since last election at:ReplyDelete
Every time a Nanos poll is released it creates an anomalous spike in Liberal support in the graph. They are the only pollster that ever found the Liberals ahead of the NDP since last election (4 times in total, including once by 4.5 points!). I'm not dismissing the possibility that they've gained some support since EKOS had them at 19.5% just a week earlier (which is in line with what almost all the other pollsters had been finding), but when it comes to Nanos' Liberal numbers, I've learned to wait for other pollsters before judging whether the trend is genuine.
Keep in mind, Nanos is the only major pollster who uses live callers who don't offer prompts. The other pollsters either offer prompts (through callers or IVR), or online panels (which obviously have to ask multiple choice questions to produce useful data).Delete
This is why Nanos consistently shows extremely low Green support, and possibly why it continues to see Liberal support. Many voters voted Liberal all their lives, and Liberal is their stock answer. Only when presented with alternatives do they realise that they now support someone else.
I like that we have pollsters asking questions so many different ways. I expect it gives us better data in the aggregate.
Not surprisingly, that is my view as well.Delete
- Anonymous20 July, 2012 13:18
Good points, Ira. I guess I was just dying to share my repeated observations regarding Nanos' Liberal numbers. In addition to low Green support, I've noticed they also tend to find particularly low BQ support. In this case, I have trouble seeing how the same argument could apply as I really can't see many Quebeckers "forgetting" about the BQ's existence unless prompted. Therefore, I still wonder... :PDelete
Agreed Ira. Perhaps a good indication that there are a lot of "soft Liberals" out there that could be swung in different directions depending on the circumstances.Delete
One thing worth noting was that Nanos was the only pollster to correctly peg the Liberal number in 2006. Everyone else underestimated the Liberals, though the margin was more in the ~3% range.Delete
Nanos was very accurate in 2008 and 2011 as well, but because of their use of live callers their sample size and precision is lower than their peers. My suspicion is that that's what's going on here - that the Liberals are doing better than EKOS and some of the pollsters show, but that at the same time the high MOE is doing the Liberals some favours here. So perhaps 23%.
- Anonymous20 July, 2012 14:41
Ok, I think I've got it all figured out. The reasons Ira gave nicely explain why Nanos tends to find high support for the well-known Liberals and lower support for lesser-known parties like the Greens. But what about their low numbers for the BQ, who are certainly very well-known in Quebec? Well, I believe Nanos only calls landlines, which means they may reach a disproportionately small number of younger adults, and according to age-demographic breakdowns in recent polls (specifically glancing over the last few Forum reports), it appears as though BQ support is indeed highest among young people these days. This may also explain Nanos' tendency to find below-average NDP support and also to some degree their low Green support. So there you have it: Nanos tends to find above-average support for well-known parties and below-average support for lesser-known parties because they don't prompt the respondents with all the possible options, and they also tend to find below-average support for parties most supported by young people because they don't call cell phones. EKOS, on the other hand, prompts respondents with all the options AND calls cell phones, which probably explains their astronomical Green numbers.Delete
Nanos does call cell phones.Delete
- Anonymous20 July, 2012 15:27
Darn, there goes my wonderful theory! Back to square one. Ok, I'll quit cluttering your comment section for today, Éric. ;)Delete
- Jonny Quest20 July, 2012 21:10
Yeah, Nanos utilizes a mix of landlines, cell phones as well as VoIp phones (Voice over Internet Protocol).Delete
- Jonny Quest20 July, 2012 21:17
Looking at the Nanos leadership index numbers for BC, I notice that Mulcair has dropped into 3rd place (after Harper and Rae) in all three categories, which is highly unusual for a federal NDP leader in BC.Delete
Perhaps the Conservative's massive television advertising blitz in BC - "the anti-Mulcair ads" - are having an impact.
We haven't had a federal poll out of any of the Quebec pollsters lately, which is a shame. I'd be quite interested to see what CROP and Leger have to say about the state of Liberal support. Unfortunately, we may not see federal polling from them for a while, since the Quebec election will be consuming all of the polling oxygen for a couple months.ReplyDelete
Can we say another instance of Charest Teflon ??ReplyDelete
With regard to the Quebec numbers - let's also keep in mind that the Liberal "brand" is the only political brand in Quebec that exists both federally AND provincially - so when 99% of political news in Quebec is about the provincial scene, the word "Liberal" is still there. The NDP and Tories do not exist in Quebec provincial politics and the CAQ and QS do not exist federally and the Bloc Quebecois is now seen as a defunct step-sister of the PQ.ReplyDeleteReplies
If anything I'd think that would benefit the Conservatives and the NDP though. Neither the Liberals nor the PQ have particularly popular brands or leaders in Quebec these days.Delete
Eric, which Alberta ridings are you having flipping Liberal?Delete
Edmonton Centre and Calgary Northeast.Delete
True but the floor of Quebec Liberal support is still a lot higher than the low teens levels we have seen lately for the federal LiberalsDelete
Fair enough.Delete
- Derek Andrew21 July, 2012 02:24
Can we really say Quebec Liberal support is higher than the low teens? They got 14.3% in the lasy election. A portion of the Liberal vote was/is a defacto federalist vote. If the NDP is viewed as the federalist alternative the traditional base of the Liberal party may decline.Delete
- James21 July, 2012 09:31
What bugs me about this and other federal polls is that when there is a provincial election campaign on or pending it messes with the federal results. Charest may have lost a lot of support since the last election, but the provincial Liberals are still over 30% in the polls. Since a lot of people wouldn't be distinguishing federal vs. provincial, this will be what is pulling the federal Liberal numbers up in Quebec (and nationally). Once the Quebec election is over, they will settle back down. If not then we really do have a case of Trudeaumania II.Delete
That contamination can still be there come election time though. The BC and federal Liberals run into this issue all the time.Delete
Eric, I was looking over the projection for Quebec, and I was wondering at what level you think QS would have be in Montreal for them to gain the 10% or so they would need for a chance to win in Hochelaga, Laurier-Doiron and Sainte Marie-Saint Jacques. Those three seem to be QS's next tier of target ridings after re-electing Khadir in Mercier and electing Davide in Gouin.ReplyDeleteReplies
- Anonymous20 July, 2012 17:54
Looks like you are starting to agree that there may be an east-west split developing in the prairies with the CPC being concentrated in the western portion(Alb/Sask) & the NDP/LIB taking more in eastern region.
Also somewhere I saw that some of the riding distribution changes may be taking some of the older "pie" shaped segments around urban centers & separating them into distinct urban and rural. That would favour the left wing parties by allowing them to pick up the more urban seats!
- Anonymous21 July, 2012 00:00
^Yes and no, as most of the the new growth/ridings are in the suburbs which tend to be more conservative. It's kind of a trade off.ReplyDelete
- Derek Andrew21 July, 2012 02:09
These numbers must be very encouraging for the Liberals. For the first time in a long time they are up in every region of the country. Is the imminent departure of Bob Rae the catalyst? The NDP numbers in Ontario must be particularly gratifyng.ReplyDelete
What is going on with the BQ? Is Paille on the political radar screen or is the party in a death spiral?
- Anonymous21 July, 2012 12:53
Based on your projections, do you think this poll is accurate at all? I am not one to believe the Liberals will take any Alberta seats and get 6 in the praries. Which seats are the conservatives losing in the Praries and in Ontario? (to the Liberals)
The Nanos poll seems at odds with every other poll in the last few months. I think it vindicates using the weighted running averages used on this blog as the most accurate measure of current public opinion.ReplyDelete
Is there a spike in the undecided/did not answer category here? This is a summer poll, after all, and many people lose interest in politics. A monumental sudden shift in public opinion is very unlikely; a monumental shift in people who don't care is likely.
- Anonymous22 July, 2012 13:35
"The Conservatives would be able to pull out a plurality of seats with these numbers, winning 128 to the New Democrats' 104, but with the Liberals winning 75 their days in government would be numbered."ReplyDelete
Really?And who would pull the plug? Only a party that thought they could win. Unless the voters significantly change their mind, any arty that pulled the plug would be severely punished at the polls. Canadians don't like multiple elections. They tend to make someone the majority after that kind of stunt, and it's not the party that pulls the plug.
Place bets on the PM deciding when to go again and it being at least 3 years later.Replies
- Anonymous22 July, 2012 14:36
Agreed. With 75 seats and presumably on the upswing the Grits would see little need to jump into bed with the Dippers. Over the most recent minority governments Liberals have more often than not staved off an election to side with the Government.Delete
It makes little sense for Liberals to join forces with their main competition and diminish their own position as the alternative government. They'll sit in the Commons for a year or two until the polls look ripe then pull the plug.
In that scenario, no one would have to pull any plug and the would be no new election. The NDP and Liberals would simply announce they had an accord or coalition and Harper would either resign or he would lose a vote on his Throne speech and the NDP would take power with Liberal support. See what happened in Ontario in 1985 for a precedentDelete
- Anonymous23 July, 2012 22:23
I think that unlikely for the very reason you state. Bob Rae propped up David Peterson and look what happened; Peterson got a majority government 2 years later. Nick Clegg is another good example, his party's support has halved since the election and although he claims he would consider a coalition with Miliband after the next election the reality is the LibDems with their current numbers would not have enough seats to do so. Even in Australia where the National party and Liberal party have been partners for generations the results are similar. Over the last 30 years the smaller National party has declined whereas the Liberal party has gained. It appears to me that the junior partner is the one that gets the least credit and the most blame. Not an attractive situation in this scenario.
The other main obstacles are philosophoical and political. Liberals are closer to the Tories on both these fronts than the NDP. The Grits are at heart a small "c" conservative party. friends of Bay St. not the 99%, a status quo Senate not abolition, constitutional monarchists not republicans, lower personal income taxes not increased taxes, strong supporters of Israel not Hezzbolah and Hamas. Their commonalities appear limited to Defence procurement policy and robocalls.
Could a deal be worked out? When there's a will there's a way but, history would suggest the third party has little to benefit from such a result.
PS: Given that the Liberal membership and base is largely motivated by an almost pathological personal hatred of Stephen Harper - I think that if we had a seat breakdown like Eric's projection from the Nanos poll in 2015 and the Liberals under their new leader opted to "pull a Nick Clegg" and prop up Harper as PM - it would lead to an internal revolt in the Liberal Party the likes of which no one has ever seen before.ReplyDeleteReplies
- South Parkdale Jack23 July, 2012 12:29
What an identity crisis that would be!!Delete
They won't. Harper burned that bridge and it may well bite him in the butt hard.Delete
- Anonymous23 July, 2012 13:51
Also, the Liberals' post-2015 stance is likely to be influenced by a powerful practical consideration...money. I expect one of the first items of business for a NDP-Liberal coalition government would be restoring the public funding of political parties. Coming off a costly election campaign in 2015, and facing the prospect of having to fight another in the near term, this will give the Liberals a very good reason to play ball with the NDP.Delete
Liberal fundraising has actually been improving. The Bloc, Greens and NDP now benefit the most from public funding, with the Conservatives and Liberals benefiting least.Delete
That being said, I doubt that would change the Liberals' stance on public funding for elections. It was brought in because it was thought to be the right thing to do. At the time it benefited the Liberals' opponents most.
- Anonymous23 July, 2012 22:32
I think it ridiculous to say Liberals have a "pathoilogical personal hatred of Stephen Harper". If that is the case then why did so many Liberals (especially Ontario Liberals) switch their vote to the Tories last election? I would be very surprised if most Canadians hate anybody.
I have to say an internal revolt is very unlikely. The party whip and leader's role in signing nomination papers are two strong reasons to remain on side. If Liberalism and Liberals are so vehemently oppossed to Stephen Harper and the Tories why did they prop two minority Tory governments from 2006-2011 without so much as a peep of internal revolt?
First of all I am not talking about Liberal voters, I am talking about Liberal members and activists and staff and MPs. Those people tend to be viscerally anti-Harper. It's true that the Liberals propped up Harper from 2006 to 2011 but sine that caused them to drop from 103 seats to 34, perhaps they have learned their lesson, if not THEY DIE!ReplyDeleteReplies
- Anonymous24 July, 2012 20:54
Do you really think most Liberal caucus members, staffers et al. "hate" Harper? Most people are mature enough to disagree without becoming spiteful. Why wouldn't Liberals "hate" Mulcair and the NDP? They are the ones who have usurped the Grits not the Tories.Delete
Liberals need Conservative and NDP voters to re-gain their position, it makes little sense to alienate potential voters.
By your own logic you demonstrate why the Liberals would be unwise to prop up a NDP government. If supporting the Tories was a bad idea what makes supporting the NDP key to survivability? If one knows voting Liberal is a vote for the NDP or the Tories there is little point voting Liberal. Voters will simply skip the middleman and vote for the Tories or Dippers.
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Oscar and Academy Awards are registered trademark and service marks of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. All other trademarks contained herein are the property of their respective owners.


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Featured News - Current News - Archived News - News Categories
State Sen. George Maziarz, R-C-Newfane, announced Wednesday that legislation he sponsors in the Senate that would pre-empt the Public Service Commission from regulating electric car charging stations passed through the Senate.
Recently, the Legislature approved the Charge NY Program as part of the 2013-14 budget. By its passage, Charge NY will install 360 electric vehicle and plug-in hybrid charging stations across New York. The first of these stations was recently opened in Colonie, with the goal that there will be a statewide network of up to 3,000 stations over the next several years, putting up to 40,000 plug-in vehicles on the road.
Upon passage of similar legislation in California in 2010-11, controversy erupted when the state's Public Utility Commission considered regulating charging stations under its authority in order to have oversight of corporations involved in these stations. New York's PSC similarly commenced a proceeding and is considering enacting regulations over companies that want to expand the availability of electric car charging stations. This legislation will ensure that companies who want to partner with the state in constructing, maintaining and operating electric vehicle charging stations can implement their innovative technologies with a sense of regulatory surety.
"The Charge NY Program is an innovative idea, and it is up to the state to guarantee its success," said Maziarz, chairman of the Senate Energy and Telecommunications Committee. "By adopting this legislation, New York will provide companies the surety that they can committee to this program and implement their designs without the overreaching regulatory arm of the PSC. The growth of energy-efficient and energy-alternative technologies is a driving force for the future of this state, and passage of this legislation goes one step further in assuring that future."
"This legislation ensures that private industry in New York state will fund and build the charging infrastructure needed to support electric vehicle adoption," said Pat Romano, president and CEO at ChargePoint. "New York is set to become the state with the largest number of EV drivers on the East Coast, and the passage of this bill is a critical step to make that happen."
This legislation puts into statute clear directives from the Legislature that electric car charging stations shall not be subject to PSC jurisdiction as electric utility corporations. It has been sent to the Assembly, where a bill is expected to be introduced by Assemblywoman Amy Paulin, who chairs the Assembly Energy Committee.


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Tagged: Hiroki Kuroda
The bad blood starts to brew (Game 3 NLCS), Game 3 ALCS preview
Jamie Moyer became the oldest pitcher in history (45) to start a LCS game, but he only lasted 1 1/3 innings; his shortest start in 10 years. He gave up 5 runs in the first inning to an explosive Dodgers team. Hiroki Kuroda pitched seven strong innings for the Dodgers to cut their deficit to just a game. The only other run that the Dodgers scored was on an RBI single by Nomar Garciaparra. There was some bad blood between the Phillies and Dodgers thad had been brewing since the beginning of August when a pitch was thrown behind Manny Ramirez's head. A couple of pitches were thrown tonight, Martin was hit in the knees, and Manny was hit in the helmet, so the Dodgers decided to retaliate by having Kuroda throwing a ball over Shane Victorino's head. After he grounded out, they both exchanged some words, enough to clear the benches. Although no punches were thrown, Manny came charging in from left field and was restrained by Joe Torre and some of his other teammates. It wasn't even about him. There's a big difference between 3-0 and 2-1. The Dodgers came through in a must win situation.


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Re: boba vs. dengar
while the fetts are techinacally sound fighters, we know they arent much when they enter the fray. for examples of this see the sarlacc or the arena. dengar is like that burly ogre- you definitely want this guy on ur side in a bar fight, yep he's bloated and probably lost a step but im thinking he can take a punch. so this seems like it would hinge on too many variables.
fett always seemed like the smartest guy in the room, not the toughest.
They're ok when they enter the fray.
I think that the battle may last one second, at the most. In Tales of the Bounty Hunters, Dengar, with his emotions still removed, attacked the half-dead Fett, and Boba bested him in maybe four seconds. Boba had no armor or weapons, other than a blaster that I think he took from Dengar in mid-battle.
For once, I agree with you


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Dates and times are subject to change. Please check back for complete up-to-date listings.


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Eastern Monroe Regional Park Commission holds its first of its monthly meetings that run from March through November at 7 p.m. on Monday at the Middle Smithfield Municipal Building
Eastern Monroe Regional Park Commission holds its first of its monthly meetings that run from March through November at 7 p.m. on Monday at the Middle Smithfield Municipal Building.
The committee oversees the three parks in the area, and this meeting is important for local residents to attend.
The main topic will be the proposed bike park for a 2.2-acre parcel at River's Edge Park off River Road in Smithfield Township. Jim Dellavalle, a local impassioned advocate for recreational bicycling, will be there along with municipal leaders from the four municipalities served by the park commission: Middle Smithfield, Smithfield and Price townships as well as Delaware Water Gap Borough.
The committee also needs to reorganize and have the municipalities agree on passage of a resolution authorizing the committee. In the past, the committee met without the backing of the resolution and members expect that at least three of the municipalities will approve it.
"We're looking to finalize the bike park idea, and I know Smithfield and Middle Smithfield are on board," said John Ferro, park commission chairman. "The only question is maintenance for it."
Online survey
The commission at the meeting also is expected to remind residents there that an online survey on the website surveymonkey.com is being conducted through late spring asking residents' input on open space and how they want it handled recreationally. Ferro said the committee has received approximately 600 responses with some good suggestions and support of ideas, but more is needed. He said they're looking for ways to promote the survey.
"So far, it looks like people are in favor of more open space by two-thirds," said Ferro, which includes the bike park idea.
Mount Nebo, one of the commission's parks, is getting five adjacent acres donated by the landowner, provided it remains open space, Ferro said.
Ferro also is a member of Monroe County's Open Space board, which is redoing its open space recreational plan and how much more open space would be needed. Landscape architect Simone Collins from Norristown is handling the designs and held the first of four public meetings in January that was packed at the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources office in Tanersville.
Creating more trails
Along with the bike park is an impetus to create more trails and link existing trails and route into the bike park.
Dellavalle, who is on the Stroud Township open space commission, has consulted on a number of bike parks in the tri-state region. He has run the Pocono Flow chapter of the national Trips for Kids initiative of bicycling for recreation and education with supervised bicycle trips through parkland with a naturalist to explain to kids and their families the different natural resources they spot.
It comes at an important time with funding cut for environmental education programs in the East Stroudsburg and Pocono Mountain school districts, although Sanofi Pasteur has underwritten field trips for fourth-graders in both districts.
It also is an ideal opportunity for youngsters to get active in a less structured way than in team sports that operates under a timetable and gives families a chance to gather for outdoor fun at little or no cost.
"It was amazing to hear Simone Collins (representative) talk about the billions of dollars generated in revenue for open space recreation," Ferro said.
"We should have a different view of economic development (than we've had)," said Don Miller, a retired biology teacher from the Stroudsburg school district who also has taught environmental studies and visual arts in the Pocono Mountain district. Miller is a leading participant in open space initiatives in Monroe County, including Land Trust.
"A bike park system and a trails system are an incredible economic stimulator in itself. That's the struggle going on in the county level with the comprehensive plan and the open space plan updates. There are still people who believe open space depresses the tax base in the area and that building homes builds the tax base. It doesn't."
Miller said that he also has heard from people in the East Stroudsburg Area School District about setting up environmental programs on their own because field trips they took as kids are an experience that they always remember.
Grant-driven project
The River's Edge bike park is totally grant driven with a $60,000 cost. Dellavalle said he has seven other locations around Monroe County in mind.
He is awaiting a Memorandum of Understanding for a national Bike Belong grant request being written by East Stroudsburg University professor Scott Dietrich, who teaches athletic training and is an ardent bicycling advocate.
There also are reports that the county commissioners, who received money from the natural gas state impact fees will dedicate some of that funding toward open space and the hope is that it will cover the balance to begin the project.


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Write a News Story
Meet a Pioneer Pilot
Amelia Earhart Home
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The disapearance of Ameila Earhart
By: Victoria N.
Michigan, Age 10
Ameila is ready to fly around the world after months of preparation.But a crash occurs during takeoff in Hawii in March,Electra 10E plane is damaged it forced Ameilas crew to give up.Two months later,Fred Noonan navigator,and Ameila try again,but this time it worked ,and flying to Florida to California.On June 1st June they depart.Ameila,and Fred Noonan flying from Miami to the Atlantic Ocean.When they had crashed and dissapered the only person who heard from her was on a radio station.Ameilas husband G.P. had moved on and married other women.Some people belive that Japense had kidnapped her.But Fred Noonan was never heard from again or seen Fred Noonan ever again.Nobody really knows what the true story was except Ameila Earhart,and Fred Noonan.But they are no longer here.
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Servants of the Lord
Scripture places a high premium on our love for other believers. Simply put, loving other Christians and treating them with respect is not optional. If we do not treat them well and love them, then we do not know God ...Read More
Belief and Suffering
If we are surprised when persecution comes, then we will find it more difficult to endure it and experience the grace of God in our suffering. Yet as we remember that both belief and suffering are granted to us by ...Read More
A Sign of Destruction and Salvation
We do not earn our place in heaven through the consistent endurance of persecution and harassment. Rather, such endurance proves that we have the faith that can alone lay hold of the benefits of salvation, for "the one who endures ...Read More
A Life Worthy of the Gospel
We can by no means overestimate our need of the Christian community for our own faithfulness to our Savior in this world. All of the greatest leaders in church history had the support of fellow believers, and they were thereby ...Read More
A Cause to Glory in Christ Jesus
In saving us from sin, death, and His holy wrath, our God has placed us in a community that, according to His sovereign determination, needs our gifts and talents. To refuse to serve the body of Christ is tantamount to ...Read More
The Christian's Conflicting Desires
One commentator has wondered what it would mean for the church if we really acted on the reality that "to live is Christ, and to die is gain." What if we more consistently conducted ourselves as if true life meant ...Read More
Paul's Chief End
One evidence that we are truly in Christ is that we make His glory, and therefore the glory of the triune God, our chief end in life. As we pursue His glory and seek to lovingly obey Him in all ...Read More
Paul's Confidence in the Gospel
Paul had such confidence in the gospel because he knew it belonged to God and is far greater than any one person's ministry. When we understand this truth, we are free from bondage to the latest fads that seek ...Read More
Motives for Preaching
We must never discount the importance of preaching the truth. At the same time, we must never ignore the importance of having our hearts in the right place when we do so. God looks on both our outward behavior and ...Read More
The Church in Rome Arises
Seeing the truth of God's Word confirmed can make us more bold in the proclamation of His gospel. As our doubts are assuaged, we see that we have given our lives to One who is absolutely trustworthy, and we ...Read More
The Advance of the Gospel
Our suffering for the sake of Jesus is actually an occasion for great joy, not for the pain in itself but because it is at our weakest points that God decides to show Himself the strongest. As we consider those ...Read More
Abounding Love
Only by faith do we lay hold of Christ's righteousness, which alone gets us into heaven. Yet we can also get additional rewards in heaven if we serve God faithfully. These rewards, however, are still grounded in faith because ...Read More
Paul's Love for the Philippians
In many ways, it is easier to pray or to give to various churches and ministries instead of doing both. How often do we pray for other believers and gospel defenders without responding to their need for financial support? How ...Read More
The God Who Finishes What He Starts
Perseverance of the saints and the doctrine of unconditional election go hand in hand. The comfort we find in the security we possess in Christ is also an inherent part of the biblical view of God's sovereign, electing grace ...Read More
Paul's Gratitude for the Philippians
God does not save us to be lone ranger Christians, but He expects us to partner with other believers in order to send forth the gospel. There are a multitude of ways in which we can support our churches, parachurch ...Read More


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Lawrence Edward necesitaba un nuevo diseño de impreso o envases y lanzó un concurso de diseño en 99designs.
Un ganador ha sido elegido entre 12 diseños de 9 diseñadores freelance.
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Our Target markets are people ages 18-45 who are local to our locations. Our facilities are open to both males and females.
This is a flyer design project. We are looking for a double sided flyer that is 6'x11' in size.
I will attach two existing flier designs for reference. We would like to use the same vector background to keep our design consistence. Please pull the vector off the attached file.
Also, please see the last design contest for a gym flyer that we held here at 99designs:
As far as wording goes, we would like to emphasize:
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We like having pictures on the flyer but will leave that to the designers.
We have attached our logo and past flyer.
Our colors are light blue (Pantone 2935) and gray (Pantone 425)
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8680 W Warm Springs Road, Suite 140
Las Vegas, NV 89148
Website is: http://www.lifestylefitness247.com
Telephone number is: (702) 256-2424
We require PDF or Illustrator CS3 source files. Thank you!!


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It's Cake Slice Baker time again, and our cake comes from the book that is being cooked from for this year (October 2010 to September 2011) Cake Keeper Cakes by Lauren Chattman published by The Taunton Press 2009.
The cake calls for cake flour which we don't have in the UK. A substitution here is either ¾ cup plain flour and ¼ cup cornflour or 1 cup plain flour less 2 tablespoons, and replace the 2 tablespoons with cornflour. I made this cake twice (see below) and I thought measuring out one cup, taking out 2 tablespoons, and replacing them 2 tablespoons with cornflour worked best. This gives a substitution for one cup of cake flour.
In the making
This months cake is a cold oven cream cheese pound cake, unusual because you don't pre-heat the oven. The purpose of this is to give a good crust, but still a tender crumb. I've certainly got a good crust, I was a bit alarmed by how dark is was when it came out of the oven, but it tasted fine and had a definite crust with a very tender, moist crumbed cake inside.Cake and its silicone mould
I had to make this cake twice, the first one I made was resolutely stuck to the tin, and the cake came out tasting well, but looking a real shambles! I couldn't have greased it well enough, but I've never had any issues with turning out cakes before, oh well, sigh. It didn't go to waste though, as I put it out for the birds, and they along with three of my neighbours cats were seen tucking into it. Cats eat cake?! I hope it didn't upset their tummies! Still I managed to bake a second one yesterday, I only made a half quantity and used a smaller silicone bundt cake mould. I'm very happy to say this second cake turned out of the mould with no problems.
The flavour in the cake was some grated ginger, lemon zest and vanilla extract, this gives an unusual but very pleasant flavour. I served mine for dessert tonight with raspberries and whipped cream. Mmm.
Do have a look at some of my fellow cake bakers cakes on the Cake Slice Bakers blog roll.
Next up: Gran's Kitchen


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Oct. 18, 2006
With only two Atlantic Sun games remaining on the regular season schedule, the Lipscomb Bisons soccer team is facing a "must win" situation Thursday night when Gardner-Webb visits.
Game time is 7 p.m.
The Bisons are coming off a disappointing weekend with a 1-0 loss at North Florida and a 4-0 loss at Jacksonville. Six teams earn berths in the Atlantic Sun Tournament. The Bisons, 1-3-1 in the conference are tied with Mercer in a scramble for the sixth spot. Gardner-Webb, 3-1-1 in the conference, is tied with Belmont for second place.
The final A-Sun regular season game for the Bisons is Saturday at Campbell.
"For us to be in control of whether we go on and play in the tournament we need to win both games this weekend," said Lipscomb coach Charles Morrow. "We have dug ourselves a bit of a hole. This weekend is a great opportunity for us.
"Our guys believe they can play with any team in the conference. Gardner-Webb and Campbell are two of the top teams in the conference."
Morrow called the 1-0 loss to North Florida the most disappointing loss of the season.
:"The guys were upset, and I was upset as well," said Morrow. "We had so many chances against them. The Jacksonville game was a goofy one. They capitalized on everything that we did wrong. Right now, we have to focus on what is ahead of us. We have to try to address some issues."
With ?? newcomers on the team, including >?? Freshmen, the challenges of college life away from the soccer field have been as tough, or tougher, to deal with than playing the games.
"There are so many outside forces pulling at us," said Morrow. "We have to keep from screwing up our priorities. We beat Gardner-Webb last season so they will be looking for revenge."


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The following people were arrested on felony charges by law enforcement agencies in Davidson County, and, unless noted otherwise, were either placed in the Davidson County Detention Center or released from custody and are scheduled to appear in Lexington District Court on the date given:
• Megan Lea Urdahl, 26, of 532 Shore Drive, was charged with possession of drug paraphernalia and felony possession of a schedule II controlled substance, $10,000 secured bond, March 27, Thomasville.
• Codi Allen Fields, 19, of 203 Arthur Drive, Apt. L, Thomasville, was charged with felony possession with intent to manufacture, sell and deliver marijuana, possession of marijuana up to one-half ounce, possession of drug paraphernalia and felony maintaining a vehicle/dwelling/place for controlled substance, $10,000 secured bond, Feb. 27, Thomasville.
• Sakeam Lam, 31, of 179 Tall Oak Lane, was charged with felony possession of a schedule II controlled substance and driving while license revoked, $50,000 unsecured bond, March 14.
• Lawrence Alexander Cannon, 17, of 217 Sable Lane, Thomasville, was charged with felony assault by strangulation, $3,000 secured bond, March 26.
The following larcenies more than $1,000 were reported to the Davidson County Sheriff's Office and the Lexington Police Department:
• A television valued at $2,000 was reported stolen from a home on Reid Road in Thomasville between 11:20 and 11:52 p.m. Monday.


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The Bond
A fascinating exploration of humanity's eternal bond with animals, and an urgent call to answer the needs of millions of at-risk creatures.
A landmark work, The Bond is the passionate, insightful, and comprehensive examination of our special connection to all creatures, written by one of America's most important champions of animal welfare. Wayne Pacelle, the president of the Humane Society of the United States, unveils the deep links of the human-animal bond, as well as the conflicting impulses that have led us to betray this bond through widespread and systemic cruelty to animals.
During his 17 years with the Humane Society of the United States (HSUS), including seven years as president and CEO, Wayne Pacelle has played a leading role in making HSUS, the nation's largest animal protection charity, into a dynamic public force and voice for animals.
The HSUS family of organizations is supported by over 11 million people nationwide. Learn more at www.humanesociety.org and join the humane movement!
The Humane Society of the United States receives a portion of the advances paid by the publisher and possible future royalties.
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An inspiring must read for all animal lovers
The Bond is a must read for all animal lovers and stewards of the environment. The beautifully written book serves to educate the reader on the vast array of domestic and wild animal welfare issues that exist in the world, and the implications of that abuse and neglect not only on those creatures, but on our public health and the environment as well. I was surprised to learn that the Humane Society campaigns for just about every animal welfare concern out there; everything from agriculture farm animal welfare, to ethical hunting practices. This book inspired me to begin taking a much more Active role in helping animals live the lives they deserve. A wonderful read!
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Fine Art Landscape Photography
Eruption of Color
When shooting sunrises you never know what you are going to get, that's part of the excitement of it! Every sunrise I have ever captured has been completely different. "Eruption of Color" is by far the best sunrise I have ever seen.
Sunrise Surprise
You wouldn't understand the title of this shot if I didn't explain, so let me explain! This shot was taken in Jupiter, FL. It's about a 4-hour drive, so in order to photograph it's beaches for sunrise, I ended up staying the night in a hotel. All through the night it rained and poured. The thunder and lightning woke me up several times through the night. I remember waking up a couple of hours before my alarm and thinking, "Well, there probably won't be much of a sunrise." Assuming the sun and colors would be blocked by clouds, rain, and haze, I almost didn't go. But, boy was I wrong! This was one of the best sunrises I have ever seen!
Florida's River Rapids
As the sun gets closer to the horizon signifying the end of another day, the sky catches fire of brilliant light and color. As the sun submerges below the horizon, I wait in anticipation. While it may seem the show has ended, every now and then the colors of the sky burn even more intensely for a little while longer. This shot was taken on one of those nights.
Spooky Cypress
This photo represents peace and tranquility. If you stare at it long enough, you can almost hear the water trickling off the rocks.
The Last Sunrise
There is something special about watching a sunrise on the beach and being a Florida native, I have had that privilege many times.
Hence its name, this was the last sunrise of 2016. I remember walking onto the beach to set up for my shot; the world was quiet and still apart from the ocean stirring and its waves crashing against the shore. As I watched the sun rise into the sky, colors of pink, purple, yellow, and orange glowing radiantly, the world started to wake up one last time for the year 2016.
The Enchanted Swamp
A photograph of one of my favorite parks in Florida (Highland Hammocks State Park in Sebring). My first visit left me thinking "What a magical place!" I have made the trip back several times now, and love seeing the changes through the seasons. This particular image was taken in fall; during the rainy season, the bottoms of these cypress trees would be under water.
Pure Reflections
Soul of the Sea
Smooth Edges
Smooth like butter!
Antelope Canyon
The first time I was going to visit Antelope Canyon was back in 2009; my family went, but I didn't because I was sick. The second attempt was a fail because it was closed due to rain. Finally, the 3rd attempt was a success!
© 2016-2019 Kristen Ruel. All rights reserved.
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