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Hey, what do you know? We had a winning week. After a few weeks of living under the .500 mark we finally broke through. In Week 9 the favorites went 10-4 and the Vegas sports books got crushed (the public loves betting the favorites), so it's no surprise that we managed to have a good week.
Week 9 picks went 8-5 (62%) and it moves our season percentage to 53%. Pretty good record considering we are picking every game. Let's just hope we can keep it up. Went with an even mix of favorites and dogs this week, some big spreads with three favorites laying over 10 points. And five home dogs. Usually home dogs were a decent bet early in the season, but they have gone 6-10 the last 4 weeks (after starting the season 18-12 ATS).
Stay in the loop. I usually tweet out some picks on Sunday morning, so follow me on Twitter (@Fantasource) to get the latest.
Are you ready for another week of winners? Let's do it…
Last Week: 8-5
Season Record: 56-48-2
Sunday, Nov. 11th
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-11, O/U 52)
For the second week in a row the Bills are double-digit underdogs on the road. Last week they went down to Houston as 10-point dogs and lost by 12 (21-9). This week they go up to Foxboro to play the Patriots, who are coming off of a bye week after a 45-7 shellacking of the Rams in London two weeks ago.
Both defenses are bad. The Over/Under is 52 points, but I think the Patriots will be able to slow down the Bills. The Bills will probably go to the run game this week, but the Patriots rush defense isn't too bad. Expect the Pats to use Stevan Ridley more and more and I expect him to get some yards this week against a porous Bills rush defense. And that should be the difference.
Buffalo has lost 4 of their last 5 and now they are on the road for the second straight week against a division opponent coming off of a bye week.
This is called "Belichick shows everyone who owns the AFC East." The Pats should cruise and cover the 11.
Pick: Patriots -11
New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals (+4, O/U 48 1/2)
The Giants defense is good. The Bengals defense is not. The Giants offense is good. The Bengals offense, while pretty potent, is not as statistically good as you might think. And the Giants are coming off of a loss at home to the Steelers and they're only laying 4 points? I'll go with Eli in this one.
The Bengals have lost two in a row at home, by 8 to the Broncos last week and by 7 to the Steelers in Week 7. They have lost 4 in a row straight up and against the spread. They are falling apart after a promising 3-1 start.
I'll lay the points and say the Giants off of a tough home loss come into Cincy and win by 7+.
Pick: Giants -4
San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, O/U 47 1/2)
Yup, I'm doing it again. I'm going with the Chargers. I know, I never learn. Phil Rivers repeatedly blows games for me when I pick San Diego, but I'm doing it again.
I'm playing the odds here. First, everyone and their mother will be betting the Bucs this week. They blew the doors off the Raiders last week on the road, they are 6-3 with a very good defense, and they are playing at home. Second, I'm not really going out on a limb here when I say that Doug Martin will not rush for 800 yards and 6 touchdowns again, or whatever he put up last week. He is due to come back to earth.
The Chargers can score. They have put up 22 points or more in 6 of 8 games this season. I know the Bucs defense is good but they gave up 32 to the Raiders last week, and 35 to the Saints two weeks ago. So they can be scored upon.
I think the Chargers will get the road win and move to 5-4. And for one more week, Norv Turner saves his job.
Pick: Chargers +3
Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers (+3 1/2, O/U 47)
This game gets the "Fishy line of the Week" award. Denver is only laying 3 1/2? I know it is on the road but the Broncos are clearly the better team.
The only way the Panthers can hang in this game is with their pass defense, which isn't half bad. They'll need to slow down Peyton Manning, because if he can throw 3 touchdown passes (like he has done in Denver's last 5 games) then the Broncos will win and cover.
I see another angle here. Broncos coach John Fox coached the Panthers for nine seasons, so this one is special for him. Not just another game. I think that could come into play as the Broncos players try to give their coach a nice homecoming win against his former employer.
I like Peyton to keep throwing TD's and the Broncos to move to 6-3.
Pick: Broncos -3 1/2
Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (-6, O/U 44)
In four road games this season the Titans are 1-3 and have surrendered 34,30, 38 and 38 points. That's not going to win you many games. And last week? No big deal. They just played the Bears at home and they gave up 51 points. Ouch.
Yeah, I'm going with the Dolphins in this one. Miami's defense is very good all around, and it has the #3 rush defense, so they should be able to shut down Titans RB Chris Johnson. I just don't see the Titans hanging in this one. Reggie Bush should have a nice game against a pretty weak Titans rush defense that gives up 141 yards per game on the ground.
Miami should be able to cover this line. Laying anything under a touchdown and I'm all over the Dolphins.
Pick: Dolphins -6
Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens (-7 1/2, O/U 46)
I kinda like the Raiders in this one. West coast teams coming east for an early game is never a good spot to be in, but I think that Oakland should be able to move the ball on the Ravens. Both teams are pretty even, so when the line is that high I have to take the points.
The Ravens have only won by 8 points or more twice this season, last week at Cleveland and week 1 against the Bengals. I expect the Raiders to give them a game here and keep it close.
You're giving me the Raiders getting more than a touchdown? Ok, I'll take it. This should be a high scoring game and I'll take the points.
Pick: Raiders +7 1/2
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (+2, O/U 535)
Um, what? Atlanta is the underdog? The undefeated Falcons are going into New Orleans to play the Saints, who have the worst defense in the league. The Saints give up 471 yards of total offense per game this season, worst in the league, and more than 50 yards per game higher than the second worst team. And how many passing yards per game do they give up? How about 294? I expect a big game from Matt Ryan this week.
Atlanta's strength on defense is against the pass, and that is the bread and butter of Drew Brees and the Saints. So, all that being said, I like the Falcons to cover. I'm sure the public will be all over Atlanta this week, but I can't see a reason to take the Saints. I'll take the points and say thank you.
Pick: Falcons +2
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (+2, O/U 47)
The big question in this game is whether Vikings WR Percy Harvin will play, and if he does play, can he contribute? Harvin suffered a sprained ankle last week against Seattle and may not play on Sunday. That is a big deal for the Vikings. Harvin is the main weapon in their passing game, and is a top special teams player.
With Harvin not playing at 100% the Lions will be able to key on RB Adrian Petersen more so than usual, and their 14th ranked rush defense should be up to the task.
The Lions lost to the Vikings 20-13 in Week 4, and this week they get their revenge. This could be the week that Calvin Johnson actually finds the endzone. I'll take the Lions -2.
Pick: Lions -2
New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks (-6, O/U 38 1/2)
I'm going to do it. I'm going to pick against the Seahawks at home. Shocker! Everyone knows that the Seahawks are money at home, 4-0 straight up and against the spread this season. They covered at home last week as five point favorites against the Vikings.
But I say this is the week that the Seahawks get beat, or at least win a close game and not cover. I don't know, I think the Jets defense is good, and I'm getting 6? I'll take the points. I know the Seahawks are going to give it to Marshawn Lynch all day, and if the Jets can contain him then they can keep it close and cover the spread.
Pick: Jets +6
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (+1 1/2, O/U 441/2)
I am an Eagles fan and I can tell you this, the team is a mess. They're 3-5, have lost 5 of their last 6, and the games have gotten more sloppy with each successive week. Yet, every week I pick them to cover. Hometown bias? Maybe, but I know they have the talent. They just can't seem to get their heads out of their butts.
Now Dallas comes to town, also 3-5, also struggling, losing 4 of their last 5, also with a coach on the hot seat.
These teams are so similar that I am just going to make it easy on myself and pick the home team getting points. Yes, another week on the Eagles. And I promise if they break my heart this week I'm never picking them again. Maybe.
Pick: Eagles +1 1/2
St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-11, O/U 38 1/2)
Everything in my bones says to take the 49ers. But I am hesitant to lay that many points against a division rival that has a good defense.
I know the 49ers are one of the best teams in the league, and have only given up more than 6 points in a game once in their past 5 games. And the Rams went over to London and got crushed by the Patriots, but I'll say in this one they can keep it close. The game should be low scoring and I'll take the points. I'm not saying the Rams can win, but they should be able to stay within 11.
Pick: Rams +11
Houston Texans at Chicago Bears (-1, O/U 41)
This is the game of the week. Two of the top teams in the NFL. The Bears come into this game with the best defense in the league. The defense alone has scored 7 touchdowns and has 17 interceptions on the season. Wow. But if you look at the Bears schedule, they really have played only one good team this season. Week 2 at Green Bay, and they got beat 23-10. Their other games were against Carolina, Tennessee, Jacksonville, Dallas, Detroit, St Louis. Not a very tough lineup there.
The Texans defense is also very strong, second in the league (behind Chicago) and should be able to shut down Jay Cutler.
I like the Texans, on the road, to win this game. I think the Texans offense should be able to move the ball against the Bears and score points. The Bears offense is ranked 25th, so even though they put up 51 points at Tennessee last week, it was an anomaly. And the defense scored 2 of those touchdowns, and it was against a bad team.
Unless the Bears defense forces turnovers and gives Jay Cutler good field position all game long, I think the Texans can win this. I'll take Houston.
Pick: Texans +1
Monday, Nov. 12th
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (-12, O/U 42)
Give me one reason why I should take the Chiefs?…… Ok, I'm waiting….. Yeah, I can't think of a reason either. Two things I know are 1) the Chiefs are a mess, and 2) everyone is going to bet the Steelers this week. And I'm going with the public.
The Chiefs offense vs. the Steelers defense is a shutout waiting to happen. The only thing working in the Chiefs favor is that the Steelers play the Ravens next week, and maybe they will be looking ahead to that divisional matchup. But even in that case I don't see how they hang with the Steelers.
Oh, and Chiefs HC Romeo Crennel fired his defensive coordinator this week. The old defensive coordinator was… Romeo Crennel. Yup, Rac fired himself. That's so Chiefs. And that's not going to help.
This is a 31-10 type game. I'll end the week taking the big favorite at home on Monday Night.
Pick: Steelers -12


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2011-10-19 / Obituaries
Harriet Morrel, art therapist, Brunswick Hospital
An accomplished artist in her own right, Harriet Morrel was proud to follow the careers of her former students whom she stayed in touch with over the years. After she retired from teaching, she continued to share her love of art as a therapist and as a teacher in her local library. She died Sept. 22, 2011 at the age of 87.
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subset: commoncrawl


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March 31, 2008
MACON, Ga. - Lipscomb's Brandon McClurg tossed the first no-hitter in the Atlantic Sun in almost two years to win his second Pitcher of the Week award in three weeks.
On Saturday, McClurg, a junior from Hendersonville, Tenn., turned in the Atlantic Sun's first no-hitter since Florida Atlantic's Mickey Storey no-hit Campbell two years ago today. In the second game of the three-game set with the Owls, McClurg needed 113 pitches in his masterpiece. He struck out 10, a season high for the mechanical engineering major.
His no- hitter extended a three-start span in which McClurg has posted a 0.78 ERA over 23.0 innings while recording three wins and 28 strikeouts. On the season, his 1.59 ERA ranks third in the Atlantic Sun and he leads the conference in opponent's batting average, holding opposing hitters to just a .179 clip.
The Atlantic Sun Conference is a 12-member league committed to Building Winners for Life, with a focus on academic and athletic integrity and a balance between the two for the student-athlete, and maintaining a high level of sportsmanship. Headquartered in Macon, Ga., the A-Sun encompasses six of the top eight media markets in the Southeast. The A-Sun consists of some of the most dynamic private and public institutions in the region: Belmont University, Campbell University, East Tennessee State University, Florida Gulf Coast University, Gardner-Webb University, Jacksonville University, Kennesaw State University, Lipscomb University, Mercer University, University of North Florida, University of South Carolina Upstate and Stetson University.


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Issue 9.3, August 1994
Essay Excerpt
The Ethnography of Natural Selection in the 1990s
by Emily Martin
My interest in the topic of the immune system began a couple of summers ago on the beach reading a summer book by William Martin, called Cape Cod.
There were perhaps two thousand Indians living on Cape Cod when the Pilgrims arrived. No one knew for certain. But white diseases had already begun their work on the naïve immune systems of the native American. Within a century and a half, there were only five hundred adult Indians on Cape Cod. Their ancestors had sold most of their lands for kettles and English hoes, then moved to reservations, known as plantations, or to Praying Towns where well-meaning ministers taught of the white god who sent diseases in his wrath and took them away in his mercy. [Martin 1991:156]
I wondered, reading this, are contemporary conceptions of the body's health becoming involved in a new version of social Darwinism that allows people of different "quality" to be distinguished from each other? In this paper, I want to unravel some strands of this disturbing development. But first, some remarks on the research that I had been doing. (383)
Martin, Emily. "The Ethnography of Natural Selection in the 1990s." Cultural Anthropology 9, no. 3 (1994): 383-397


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Anyway here's some pictures that I'll like to share...."贺寿蛋糕" for my FIL.
A combination of the lemon butter cake and my favourite chocolate cake into a 12x16" rectangle tin.*phew*!
Side border...............
Wah... So nice the cake! I bet Ben is very proud and your FIL is super happy! So happy that it was successful and everything went well. Great job my friend! Kudos!!ReplyDelete
Wow, love it.
Even the pipings look like peaches.
~Thanks, dear Bee Bee...;) Luckily my inlaws really enjoying the cake...*relief*..heehee..;p
~Hi Wendy, thanks! Infect I painted one by one of those tiny pipings..*stress*!!
Your FIL must be very happy to have this lovely cake specially made from you, well done friend.ReplyDelete
oooh wow, you are really terror. The icing is very smooth and the peaches are beautifully done. What a beautiful cake. Your FIL in law must be really happy with the cake. Are you taking orders yet?ReplyDelete
~ Thanks Sonia....;)
~ Gert, thanks! Did take some orders from close friends but not really into business la..;p
It's such a nice gift to receive on a 70th birthday! I'm sure your FIL must've been damned proud of you! And so will your spouse! All those decoration courses really paid off well for you! Good work Reese. Wish I could produce the same standard as you! :PReplyDelete
Thanks Jane! Wish could have my standard? Oh come on, you must be joking!! Your skills are so good, we already can seen them from your posts! Btw, I did learn alot from those course..:)ReplyDelete
happy birthday..ReplyDelete
wow!! You made the cake?!! It looks amazing!! Very well done!ReplyDelete
Nice job Reese.. did you use fondant to cover the cake or cream?ReplyDelete
Reese, your FIL must be very happy to recd such beautiful birthday cake.ReplyDelete
Thanks Friends..:)
~ Hi Swee San, its fondant. Its still messy right..;p
That's such a beautiful birthday cake for your FIL. You are so sweet to make this for him. I'm sure he is very happy :D Thanks very much for sharing. MaryMoh at http://www.keeplearningkeepsmiling.comReplyDelete


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BALTIMORE, Md. – The York College track and field team traveled to Johns Hopkins University on Saturday afternoon to compete in the Hopkins Loyola Invitational.
On the men's side, Craig Eppler (Bethlehem, Pa./Northampton) started things off for the Spartans in the 5,000-meter run. Eppler was the top finisher for the Green and White with a time of 16:10.56 and in 16th place. Following close behind was teammate Matt Smith (Bel Air, Md./C. Milton Wright) in 20th place with a time of 16:30.09.
Michael Stetson (Old Bridge, N.J./Old Bridge) continued to run strong in the 1,500. Stetson finished in 13th place with a time of 4:09.18. Aaron Robertson (Mohnton, Pa./Governor Mifflin) came in 25th with a time of 4:14.42.
The men's 1600-meter relay earned second place. The team of Sebastian Hall (Mount Joy, Pa./Donegal), Darnell Tillman (Enola, Pa./East Pennsboro), John Follety (New Milford, N.J./New Milford) and Okera Beidleman (Germantown, Md./Northwest) ran a 3:45.58.
In the sprints, Tillman recorded a 17th place finish in the 100-meter sprint with a time of 11.73. Beidleman finished the 400-meter dash in 54.46 for 13th place. The 200-meter dash saw Phillip Cavaluchi (Port Carbon, Pa./Pottsville) run a 23.76 for 16th. Follety and Beidlemen ran times of 24.51 and 24.86, respectively.
The Spartans had two runners compete in the 3,000-meter steeplechase. Wil Murray (Cape May Court House, N.J./Middle Township) was the top finisher in fifth with a time of 10:28.73. Joseph Corrigan (Northport, N.Y/Northport) came in eighth with a time of 10:49.68.
Alexander Palescandolo (Derwood, Md./Magruder) was the top finisher in throws. Palescandolo earned fifth place in the shot put with a heave of 12.67 meters. Eddie Kraft (Brick, N.J./Brick Memorial) finished in sixth with a throw of 12.58 meters. In ninth place was Abraham Alonzo (Severn, Md./Meade) with a distance of 12.29 meters.
Palescandolo also finished in 13th in the discus with a toss of 35.60. Abraham finished in 10th with a throw of 36.78 meters and Terez Beauford (Parkville, Md./Loch Raven) came in 11th throwing 35.65 meters.
Kraft and Beauford finished in 10th and 12th during the hammer throw with heaves of 34.45 meters and 24.12 meters, respectively. Alex Aponte (Delran, N.J./Delran) came in ninth in the Javelin, recording a distance of 42.77 meters.
On the women's side, Bria Jones (Medford, N.Y./Patchogue-Medford) was the Spartans top sprinter. Jones finished the 100-meter dash in 13.35 for a seventh place finish.
Jenna Roberts (Stewartstown, Pa./Kennard-Dale) was the lone Spartan in the 3,000-meter steeplechase. Roberts finished in seventh place with a time of 12:57.01.
In throws, Katie Shinn (Orange, Conn./Amity Regional) took home a seventh place finish in the hammer throw with a distance of 42.77 meters. Olivia Rehman (York, Pa./Central York) looked strong in the javelin with a heave of 34.29 meters for fourth place. She also had a ninth place finish in the discus with a toss of 31.01 meters. Kayleigh Dumas (East Granby, Conn./East Grandby) finished in the javelin in eighth with a distance of 29.99 meters. Abbey Rhodes (Hanover, Pa./Hanover) had a strong day in shot put. Rhodes finished in fifth with a throw of 10.85 meters.
In the field, Laura Rowlands (Dover, Pa./Dover) finished strong for the Spartans. Rowlands came in second in the high jump with a distance of 1.60 meters. She also finished in sixth place in the long jump with a recorded distance of 5.02 meters.
Dana Mangano (Westminister, Md./Westminister) finished the day with a fourth place finish in the triple jump and ninth in the long jump. In the triple jump, Mangano recorded a distance of 10.49 meters and she jumped to 4.94 meters in the long jump.
Pole vaulters, Bethany Miller (York, Pa./York Suburban) and Ashley Razzano (Wawa, Pa./Garnet Valley) finished the day in fourth and 10th place, respectively. Miller jumped to a height of 3.04 meters and Razzano jumped to 2.75 meters.
The Spartans return to action on Saturday at the Moravian Greyhound Invitational that begins at 9:00 am.


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Mike D, KC needed a new logo design and created a contest on 99designs.
A winner was selected from 97 designs submitted by 33 freelance designers.
Kintbury Consulting Limited
Kintbury Consulting is a small consultancy which needs to present a professional image to clients and potential clients. It is named after Kintbury, a small village in Berkshire (UK). The company works on IT projects for big corporate clients.
Much of the work is technical, involving lots of computer programming. However, the aim of the company is to excel at the human interaction with clients. The consultants are knowledgeable but also sociable and easy to talk to.
Senior business managers in large companies based in the UK. Most will be in their 30s and 40s.
I want a simple, smart logo that we can use on business cards, as a letterhead and possibly also on the website. The logo doesn't need to have the 'limited' suffix. The main text should be 'Kintbury Consulting'. I also like the idea of using the letters 'KC' as a part of the logo, as I think they go together quite well.
I want to make two-sided business cards, with one side containing just the logo image. The other side will contain text only. Therefore the image should scale easily to 1062 x 615 pixels.
My favourite colour is blue. I will need to have the hex codes of the colours so I can match colours on the other side of the business card and also on the website. I would like the text to be in a relatively common font too so that I can match it.
Apart from the name there is nothing that must feature in the logo. The most important thing is to keep it clean and simple, without too much fuss.
Find out how a design contest works or learn more about our logo design services.


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Apostol Vassilev, Research Lead–STVM, Computer Security Division, NIST
Crypto is going smaller and light weight, lightweight protocols, apis, etc.
In modern cryptography, the algorithms are known. Key generation and management govern the strength of the keys. If this isn't right, the keys are not actually strong.
In 2013, researchers could find keys from a smart card, due to use of low-quality hardware RNG, which was stuck in a short cycle. Why was this design used? Didn't want to pay for a higher quality piece of hardware or licensing of patents.
Look at the famous "Mining your Ps and Qs: Detection of Widespread Weak Keys in Network Devices", which found that 0.75% of TLS certificates share keys, due to insufficient entropy during key generation.
One of the problems is that there is a lot of demand for entropy when a system boots... when the least amount of entropy is available.
Estimating randomness is hard. Take a well-known irrational number, e.g. Pi, and test the output bit sequence for randomness - it will be reported as random (NIST has verified this is true).
Check out the presentation by Viktor Fischer, Univ Lyon, UJM-Saint-Etienne, Laboratoire, Hubert Curien: NIST DRBG Workshop 2016.
He noted that using the statistical test approach of SP 800-90B makes it hard to automte the estimation of entropy. But automation is critically important for the new CMVP!
The solutions - an entropy service! NOT a key generation service (would you trust the government on this!?). Not similar to the NIST beacon.
Entropy as a Service (EaaS). Followed by cool pictures :-)
Key generation still happens locally. You have to be careful how you mix data from a remote entropy server.
While analyzing Linux, they discovered the process scheduling algorithm was collecting 128 bits of entropy every few seconds. Why? Who knows.
EaaS needs to worry about standard attacks on web service and protocol, like message replay, man in the middle an dns poisoning. But, other attack vectors - like dishonest EaaS instances. You will need to rely on multiple servers.
EaaS servers themselves will have to protect against malicious clients, too.
Project page: http://csrc.nist.gov/projects/eaas
Literally Just That - Jill ordered a birthday cake for her daughter Hope, then told the bakery she'd be in around 1pm to pick it up. Now, I've seen it all, minions, but even I...


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Follow RFF News on your cell phone. Text follow rff to 40404 you will receive txt messages with RFF News
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is this Romania?
Amanda and Kris look like they're screwed, but it'll be such a pity! Perhaps the reason they become the unexpected early boot. Sigh, I wouldn't be happy with either an Amanda and Kris or Christie and Jodi boot! *pray*
at least they didn't lose their fanny packs in a real gypsy village
The Sound of Music Pavillon: can be found at Hellbrunn Palace today, in the movie it was still located at Leopoldskron Palace. One of the most famous and romantic scenes was filmed here: 'I am 16 going on 17'
Is that a clock on the olympic wall?
Quote from: puddin on February 23, 2009, 02:32:29 PM Is that a clock on the olympic wall?Yes! But this would normally be a clock used to time routines, not a time clock...but 2:408 could be??
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If you've never played Octopus Tag, now is the time to try this fun outdoor game. It can be played by all ages and even the adults can have fun. A great family game for all ages. It's a great game for family get togethers or for a party game.
For additional fun, especially for a party, make a hat with streamers for the Octopus player to wear. You could also give the fish some type of "fin to wear and make foam pincers for the crabs.
Items needed:
Sharon Pierce McCullough
All images and text copyright ZiggityZoom..


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What would you give for a crystal ball that distills the trends, tastes, and desires of your customers? That ability has long been the holy grail for designers, marketers, and retailers, and a new company with deep VC backing, Krush, is working with Agenda to make this dream a reality using crowd sourcing and social media to connect brands with passionate consumers and predict what styles, colors, and SKU's will hit in the seasons to come.
Krush is rolling out its new web-based, action sports-targeted technology by partnering with Agenda to provide its exhibitors and attendees with predictive data about Spring 2012 product trends before orders are even written, giving brands and retailers the holiest of holy in an uncertain market.
What It Is
Krush works like this: brands submit products from upcoming lines for "SneakPeeks" which run for a limited amount of time on its site. Krush's members vote specific products up and down, push items to their friends, and leverage their social networks to get further feedback on products that they chose from a SneakPeek or post themselves. At the end of the week, the person who gets the most feedback on a SneakPeek (or a product they post themselves as the Top KRUSHed) wins the "Krush of the Week," and Krush purchases the product for them. Through registration, Facebook, and traffic behavior, Krush gathers demographic info about its users, primarily youth aged 16-24, who averaged 50,000 sessions a month during the site's first month live. Kids get a behind the scenes look at product that isn't out yet and feel like insiders with a brand—the ultimate goal of most marketers.
"We're entering the first generation of kids that grew up on the internet and communicate almost entirely through social media," explains CEO Gina Ashe, whose background includes working as a Wall Street trader and analyst, as well as helping found Sermo, an online physician community, where she raised $40 million. "I love the concept of crowd sourcing and wanted to bottle this on a larger scale…and connect kids with brands."
Liking and disliking products online is nothing new-the interesting part of Krush's model comes on its backend. Ashe's two partners, Alan Osman and Alexis Kopikis, are analytic specialists, with deep roots in the tech sector, and they are backed by $2 million raised in funding from 16 angel investors during a Series A round of financing registered in December 2010. Using this capital, the team built the ability to run reports on product feedback that can be sliced and diced in more ways than a Ginsu Knife can carve a steel can to provide data to brands and the market.
Brands that participate in SneakPeek's receive a free report about what Krush's audience is betting for or against before the brand sinks capital in producing a full line.
What It Looks Like
Rolling Out
Krush lead its hard launch today, July 6, 2011, by inviting Agenda's 300 exhibitors to showcase their Spring 2012 lines before the upcoming August AGENDA show, and providing a market-wide report called the KRUSH AGENDA Report for Spring 2012, highlighting crowd-sourced aggregate demand numbers across brands, after the trade show ends.
"This new technology is a game changer for the whole retail industry," says Agenda President Aaron Levant. "It will save brands time and money by allowing them to rapidly eliminate unpopular items and capture more sales from the most popular items. Historically, action sports and lifestyle brands have been the trend setters in the industry, so it made sense for us to be the first to introduce this technology to the brands who exhibit at Agenda…Technology is definitely affecting trade shows, and we'd be stupid not to look to adapt and use technology to supplement the benefits to our exhibitors."
Brands such as Quiksilver, DC, C1RCA, Arbor, Lifetime, Chaos, Elm Company, Frends, and Fallen, to name just a few, are already on board and Levant envisions that most major exhibitors will join the program as the show comes closer. "The people that get it jump right in," he says.
Shay Childress, who handles US sales for Lifetime Collective, says he is excited about the possibilities of the reports: "I think it will be a great addition to our knowledge. I'd like to be able to mix it with reports from buyers and firsthand feedback from trade shows, that mix will be very helpful."
When asked about his concerns of providing in-depth information about product lines well in advance of shipment, a prime window for knock offs, Childress says: "I hope it doesn't backfire on brands, especially with the verticals being able to see designs so far in advance."
Levant agrees that he sees some brands being reluctant to show all their cards, but adds that there are many ways to use Krush's tools and he sees it being tailored to specific brand's strategies in the future. "Our current program is about trend forecasting, but depending on what you show you can use it for group pre buying, the design process, or pre-lining as far as three seasons out."
Turning Likes Into Dollars – Krush's Business Model
Krush obviously isn't throwing its hat in the ring as a free service. Its business plan includes a two-pronged means of generating funds. The first method, which Ashe assures will play a minimal role, is pre-selling product directly from brands to Krush members before the lines have even been released, from which Krush receives a portion as an affiliate or vendor.
Ashe says Krush is not structured to compete with retailers, in fact she sees her product as playing a role in helping them better structure their buys. "We're not based on selling volume," says Ashe. "We want to help the industry make the stuff that people want and make the whole pie bigger."
This leads to the second prong of its business model, the heart of its strategy-providing "special cuts of data to brands about their product," states Ashe, who says these custom reports detailing demographics, geography, and drilled-down specifics will be available to brands for "modest fees" in the neighborhood of a few hundred to $1,000.
"Not only can they get demographic info about their fans," says Ashe, "they can find out what other products and brands they like." She sees this as a great tool for reps to work with retail buyers to take some of the guess work out of their jobs-in an uncertain world, something we could all use a little more of.
"Krush offers a way for a brand to identify their passionate fans, the people who wear their styles and buy their gear because it's a reflection of who they are," Ashe. "When fans see a new product they like and then move it out across their own online networks, it's the best PR a brand could ever have. And on Krush, the brand can make those consumers feel like the VIPs they are. It's a win-win for the brand, their retailers and the consumer."


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Jon Niese stopper?
That's the way it's going to have to be tonight at San Francisco as Niese (6-3, 3.61) tries to pull the Mets out of their July funk.
After a boom in June that saw the Mets go 11 games over .500 and pull within a game of Braves, they are 4-7 for July to find themselves five games behind during a very precarious part of their schedule as this is the second game of a season-high 11-game road trip.


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Murmansk (Му́рманск) is a city in the extreme northwest of Russia and the world's largest city north of the Arctic Circle.
With a population of over 300,000, Murmansk is the largest city in the Arctic and an important Russian naval base and commercial port. In World War II (known to Russias as the Great Patriotic War), Murmansk served as a port for the arctic convoys, and after the war became the Soviet Union's most important submarine base.
Get in
By plane
Murmansk Airport [5] (IATA: MMK) has multiple daily flights to Moscow and Saint Petersburg, and limited services to other Russian cities including Sochi and Rostov-on-the-Don. There are also several flights per week to Tromsø and Helsinki. Flights to Kirkenes are however discontinued.
The airport is located about 40km south of Murmansk, near the town of Murmashi. Taxis to the city center cost R500-600 and make the trip in about 40 minutes. Cathing a taxi waiting outside the airport is more expensive, expect to pay up to R1000. For cheaper (and official) taxiservice, you have to order a taxi, expect to wait up to 30-40 minutes for it to arrive, though. Bus 106 goes to the train station, stopping at Detsky Mir near the Poliarnie Zori Hotel on it's way, is less expensive but much more sluggish than a taxi.
By boat
There are also occasional boats to and from Barentsburg, Svalbard.
By train
Murmansk can be reached from most places in north-west Russia by train. Moscow is 35-40 hours away and Saint Petersburg 27-30 hours, depending on the train. The trains make stop-overs in cities such as Kandalaksha and Petrozavodsk on their way. Other night trains reach Murmansk from cities as far east as Arkhangelsk or from Minsk and Brest in the west. There is also a local night train from Nikel close to the Norwegian border. Trains from Saint Petersburg and Moscow are daily, most others 2-3 times a week. The train station is located in the city center, one block downhill from Five Corners Square.
By bus
There are bus connections from Finland (Rovaniemi and Ivalo) and Norway (Kirkenes).
Get around
Although Murmansk is long and thin, most sites of interest to visitors are within a fairly compact area in the city center. Buses and taxis are available on the major streets, and Prospekt Lenina is the main north-south thoroughfare through the city center. Avid walkers could cover the entire stretch of the central area from the Poliarnie Zori Hotel (on the south end of the city center) to the Alyosha Statue (on a plateau on the north side of the city) in less than two hours.
Get out


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Saturday, September 26, 2009
"The M.S. Conspiracy"
A HoseMaster of Wine Pulp Fiction Classic
Chapter 1 Strange Path
I'm a dick. A private dick, but a dick nonetheless. I make a living as a dick, if you call digging through people's trash for private information about them living. You should see what people put in their garbage. It's disgusting. You can tell a lot about a person sifting through their garbage. You see everything that fills their rotten insides, all the filth and refuse they fill their lives with. In fact, life is like a garbage pail, you fill it with useless and stomach-turning stuff and then pay people to haul it away. But not before the putrefying smell of it sickens everyone. I'm the dick who gets paid to sift through life's disgusting garbage. Which is how I got involved in the worst case of my career, a case that nearly got me killed, a case that led me to depths of inhumanity I didn't know existed, which is like Sean Hannity discovering a whole new level of stupid. I thought I knew about garbage, about conspiracy, about evil. But then I got involved with a group that changed me, that filled me with a loathing for people I'd never felt before. Where do I begin?
I don't know how these people find me. I've got a rundown shithole of an office in the sleepy little wine country town of Healdsburg, a town so dull the main hobby is going down to the local hospital to watch folks having contractions. And those are at the proctology ward. Healdsburg is a tourist town now. Once upon a time it served the farmers in the community, now it serves expensive wines and fancy meals. Healdsburg has more tasting rooms than Dick Cheney has condos in Hell, but I like it here. The landscape is beautiful, and when the urge hits me it's the easiest thing in the world to find a drunken tourist in a see-through cotton dress to come home with me and learn how to spit. I see it as a public service.
I'd just wrapped up my recent case involving the Illuminatti, the Freemasons and the Osmond Family, having successfully foiled their plans to prove Michael Jackson was married and had fathered several children and primates and that the titles to his greatest hits were actually an anagram of "Diana Ross is Mary Magdalene's daughter with Thomas Jefferson," when she walked into my Healdsburg office. She smelled dangerous with a pinch of crazy, but I like that smell. It's like Ann Coulter farted on Lou Dobbs--you get the same smell in a good vintage of Silver Oak. But she was gorgeous--blonde and busty with the kind of legs you get in Tokaji Essensia--long and oily. I've seen puttonyos before, and she was way more than five.
"Are you the HoseMaster?" she asked.
"Sure," I said, "how can I help you?"
"I'm told that you know people in the wine business, important people." I was having trouble looking her in the eye. I hadn't seen jugs stacked that high since I bought my wine at a gas station.
"Yeah, I know some important people. Who is it you're looking to meet? And don't say James Laube. I killed him two weeks ago. It was self-defense. He threw his 100 point scale at me--it was banged up, utterly useless, but it damn near killed me. So I plugged him. Just heard they're giving me a James Beard Award for it."
"No, you misunderstand." She sat down across from me and when she crossed those legs I'm pretty sure I got a glimpse of the Sacramento Delta and most of its tributaries, but it was hot enough to be Lodi. "I want to hire you to help me join the secret society of M.S."
I'd heard those evil bastards were going to be in Healdsburg. Recruiting. Their rituals, their "tests," were secret, and they were very careful about who they allowed to pass, who they allowed to join their putrid ranks. But I'd heard stories, horrifying stories, stories that revolved around ritual disemboweling, waterboarding, and Evan Goldstein lectures. Why would this babe want to be an M.S.?
"From what I know, Ma'am..."
"Call me Veronica."
"From what I know, Veronica, the Master Sommeliers don't like women, don't really want women in their ranks, make the whole thing a nightmare for a woman to join. And that's if I can even get you in the door. Do you have the faintest idea what it's like to be an M.S.? Do you really know what evil those people are capable of?"
"I know more about it than you can even imagine, HoseMaster. I have no fear of them, I know exactly who they are and what they stand for. Now, can you help me or not?"
"Oh, I can help you alright, but it comes with a price."
"My friends and I are willing to pay any price to penetrate the M.S. society. Name it."
I paused, took another sip of my Merry Edwards Sauvignon Blanc, noting the lovely Musque fragrance. Or was that Veronica? "Let's just say I want to dredge the Sacramento Delta when all this is through."
"You're a strange one, HoseMaster," Veronica said, leaning over my desk and giving me a view of the Cote Blonde and Cote Brune, making me think of Guigal and his Bodacious La-La's, "but I like you."
To Be Continued
Or Not.
7 comments:
- Marcia said...
OMG. HMW, you've done Dashell Hammett proud! My fav line: She sat down across from me and when she crossed those legs I'm pretty sure I got a glimpse of the Sacramento Delta and most of its tributaries, but it was hot enough to be Lodi.
- September 26, 2009 at 4:02 PM
- Charlie Olken said...
OK, this is brilliant stuff.
Now, the question that has been bugging me since I read it a few hours ago is where does it go from here.
I have a couple of answers, and you are not going to like them.
Option A. Keeping up the satirization of the Maltese Falcon is going to be impossible so let it lie as is unless you are able to satisfy Option B. below.
Option B. Walk away from it for a couple of days and see if your brain responds with a way to actually turn this into something longer and a real work of art.
As you and I discussed a while back, comedy is hard work.
Short spoofs can work out, it seems to me. Longer spoofs get harder and harder, and I have never been able to pull them off with my own little fun and games.
Part of my inability is that I have not ever had a start as brilliant as this one. Can you keep it going without it getting silly? Can you find a plot line that is at least somewhat plausible underneath the satire? If yes, please, please go for it.
Parts of this had me rolling around in laughter. Now you have my sympathy. You have started something, and you know how hard it is going to be to keep it up.
Good luck. And if we never see another chapter, this was a great read on its own.
- September 26, 2009 at 6:47 PM
- Ron Washam, HMW said...
My Marcia,
Thank you. I was kind of aiming more for Raymond Chandler, but I'll take Hammett.
I have no idea where it's going. My twisted brain has been pleading with me to do this sort of serial "killing" ever since I saw that the new Dan Brown piece of crap was being released. That combined with the wine business and my alter ego as HoseMaster and this popped out.
I have learned over the many years I've been writing comedy to trust my subconscious with the material, to simply be the Comedy Channel and put the words to paper, follow the process. If I'm having fun with it, it works. Otherwise it gets dreary and forced and reads like Vinography.
I'll just add a chapter every so often, whenever the spirit moves me. I honestly didn't have "The Maltese Falcon" in mind when I wrote it, but Hammett keeps coming up so it's in there somewhere.
I certainly was not aiming for "brilliant," nor can I live up to that. Luckily, I do this for free so I don't have to worry about it. HoseMaster of Wine is worth what you pay for it.
- September 27, 2009 at 7:59 AM
- Marcia said...
Perhaps Charlie and I came up with Hammett's work first merely due to a) proximity (San Fran-to-North Bay-Hammett vs. Chandler's association with L.A.), and/or b) your classic intro of the femme fatale walking into HMW's office: "I'd just wrapped up my recent case involving the Illuminatti, the Freemasons and the Osmond Family… when she walked into my Healdsburg office. She smelled dangerous with a pinch of crazy, but I like that smell." Made me think of Sam Spade instead of Philip Marlowe. …Or maybe the mind just blends together Bogie playing both roles. Sorry. My bad. Of course, Chandler! He was Hammett's successor in the genre, after all.
Waiting for Chapter 2 when the inspiration strikes….
- September 27, 2009 at 3:02 PM
- Ron Washam, HMW said...
I was really doing nothing more than parodying the whole convention of detective novels from Hammett to Chandler to Spillane. I had no one in particular in mind when I sat down to write this, what I had in mind was to do something odd for a wine blog and have some fun doing it. Honestly, when I finished it I nearly didn't publish it because I hated it, but, then, that's nothing new, so I published it anyway.
I'm thinking I'll try to make it sort of a Saturday serial. Seems appropriate.
It's also a great forum for taking cheap shots at whatever wine targets I want, which is really the entire point for me.
Thanks for the encouragement. Hey, at least you and Charlie liked it! Even if I'm no Steve Heimoff...
- September 27, 2009 at 6:24 PM
- Marcia said...
There's plenty of room in the bloggesphere for you AND Steve and Charlie and Samantha and Tom, etc. I read all of you for different reasons and to hear different voices. Thx.
- September 28, 2009 at 10:31 AM
- Ron Washam, HMW said...
I couldn't agree more. There's lots and lots of room in the blogosphere for unique voices. And all the not-so-unique voices too. I hope you didn't think I believe otherwise.
And thank you so much for reading my nonsense. It's nice to hear from you always.
- September 28, 2009 at 10:53 AM


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(c) Pocumtuck Valley Memorial Association, Deerfield MA. All rights reserved.
Contact us for information about using this image.
This stereoscope picture of the Turners Falls Dam was taken in the late 1860s. The dam was built across the Connecticut River between Greenfield and Turners Falls, Massachusetts. It was first built in 1794 as a part of a canal project that was completed on the east side of the river in 1798 (to the right of this picture; the canal is not visible). The dam allowed water power to be diverted to the factories on the Greenfield side of the river, and a number of major manufacturers operated plants there, including the John Russell Cutlery company. In 1869, a consortium led by John Alvah Crocker decided to built a new manufacturing city on the east side of the river. They refurbished the canal on that bank and built the town of Turners Falls, Massachusetts. The canal became the heart of the new town, providing water power for a number of factories.
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BOSTON (AP) -- Federal regulators on Tuesday ordered a discount bus service operating between Boston and New York City's Chinatown to pull its entire fleet off the road for inspections over problems including cracked vehicle frames.
The announcement by the U.S. Department of Transportation's Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration came after Massachusetts officials found serious problems on eight buses operated by the Fung Wah discount bus service.
The company had already agreed to take 21 buses off the road but the order removed all 28 from service "for thorough and detailed safety inspections."
By late Tuesday afternoon, three Fung Wah buses had returned to service after passing inspections in Massachusetts, said Mary-Leah Assad, a spokeswoman for the Department of Public Utilities, which regulates the company. Additional inspections were ongoing in New York, she said.
Officials said the company had also chartered other buses to continue operations. Attempts to get comment from Fung Wah on Tuesday were not successful.
At the South Station bus terminal in Boston, the Fung Wah ticket booth had almost no activity late Tuesday afternoon, but a few of its customers were unfazed by the company's problems.
Andrew Wohlsen, an artist from New York, said he's found the service reliable and wasn't particularly concerned about the vehicles' safety.
"I guess because my own experience has been good," said Wohlsen, 32, although he allowed he "might think twice now."
Fung Wah has had a variety of problems, including a $31,000 fine in 2006 for safety violations after a rollover accident in Massachusetts injured dozens of passengers. In 2005, flames engulfed a Fung Wah bus moments after the passengers were evacuated in Meriden, Conn.
In safety measurements by the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration, Fung Wah is in the bottom 3 percent nationwide for driver fitness, which evaluates training and experience. Four of their seven driver violations since 2011 came because the drivers didn't speak English. The company also rated poorly in the unsafe driving category, with nine speeding violations since September 2011, according to the online data.
In a letter to federal regulators, Department of Public Utilities Chairwoman Ann Berwick said the company attempted to repair its latest problem, but in some cases made them worse. She wrote that Fung Wah "is currently incapable of maintaining a fleet of motor coaches."
Dan Ronan of the American Bus Association said Tuesday that Fung Wah's spotty safety record puts the public at risk and makes responsible bus companies look bad.
"This is not a good company," he said. "Every time there's an accident, the industry gets tarred and feathered in a way that's unfair."
But Fung Wah customer Meldrick Fernandez, 19, of New York said he's used the service four times in the last month to visit his girlfriend in Boston and had no problems. The $15 ticket for most rides between Boston and New York is unbeatable, he said.
Fernandez added he wasn't worried about his trip home because the damaged buses had been replaced.
"It makes me wonder if the flaw wasn't pointed out, would they keep using those same buses?" he said. "But they're using different buses, so I can't worry about that."


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Esther Hicks
From Quotes
You never enjoy the world aright, till the sea itself floweth in your veins, till you are clothed with the heavens and crowned with the stars.Thomas Traherne
(Redirected from Abraham hicks)
Esther Hicks is an American spirit channeler, inspirational speaker, and author. She has co-authored four major books with husband Jerry Hicks and presents seminars for Abraham-Hicks Publications. Esther Hicks is the channel for a group of spiritual teachers who call themselves "Abraham". Most commonly, this work is referred to under the name Abraham-Hicks.
Quotations from Abraham Hicks
- The basis of life is absolute freedom. The objective of life is absolute joy. The result of life is absolute growth.
- Law of Attraction says, "That which is like unto itself is drawn." Vibrations are always matched. It is the basis of our Universe: When it is asked, it is always given.
- Consciousness does not need physical form. But physical form needs Consciousness. And Consciousness enjoys physical form, because physical form is the leading edge of thought. So, Consciousness expands through the physical form. It's not one or the other.
- You are a physical extension of pure positive energy. Therefore, there is nothing more important than that you feel good.
- We want to speak about freedom: This is a Vibrational Universe. The only Source that flows is the Source of Well-Being. And, physical and Non-physical, we are all free to allow that Well-Being to flow to us and through us, or we can pinch it off. It is our call—every time…
- Every emotion, from despair all of the way up to ecstasy; from complete Connection to who-you-really-are, all the way to pinching yourself off pretty severely, all of those emotions are about your perception of freedom, or your perception of bondage—every one of them.
- All is well. You did not come here to fix a broken world. The world is not broken. You came here to live a wonderful life. And if you can learn to relax a little and let it all in, you will begin to see the universe present you with all that you have asked for.
- Everything is valid and everything is truthful, because Law of Attraction lets everything be. The question is not whether it's right or wrong, whether their approach is right or wrong, or whether my approach is right or wrong. The question is: Does their approach feel good to me? And if it doesn't, then I choose a different approach.
- Creation isn't forcing or commanding something into existence. It's more of a rolling over, a good stretch, blissing out, lying on the grass watching the flowers blowing in the breeze or the clouds floating by.
- If you have the ability to desire it, the Universe has the ability to deliver it. You've just got to line up with what you want, which means— be as happy as you can be as often as you can be there, and let everything else take care of itself.
- You have the ability to control the power of your thoughts. You have the ability to control the power of your mind. You have the ability to make a vibration dominant that matches your desire. You do. And that's all it takes. And that's all any successful person ever has done. It's all anyone who has ever achieved anything that they wanted has ever done. They just wanted it, and talked themselves into believing it.
- Let your alignment (with Well-Being) be first and foremost, and let everything else be secondary. And not only will you have an eternally joyous journey, but everything you have ever imagined will flow effortlessly into your experience. There is nothing you cannot be or do or have—but your dominant intent is to be joyful. The doing and the having will come into alignment once you get that one down.
- Do I have a responsibility to make the whole world beat to my drum?" No, nor could you. You beat your drum, and the Universe will respond to the drum that you are beating… There are as many different worlds being lived by as many different perceivers of the world as there are.
- What is the purpose of life? It is Joy.
What is the reason for life? It is Joy What is the basis of life? It is Freedom What is the result of life? It is Expansion
- What is the reason that you came forth into this physical experience? You wanted more. You wanted more exposure, to more opportunity, to have more feelings. So the meaning of life, it sounds strange to say it, but the meaning of life is LIFE! Its to feel life pouring through you, to feel the exhilaration of a new idea coming to fruition. To feel yourself not right on it and then work yourself until you are on it. To have a new idea occur to you and to recognize you are not a vibrational match to it, and then to deliberately become a vibrational match to it. All of that is fun and all of that is life. So the meaning of life and the reason for life is for the thrill.
- That would be like saying "Why does someone ride the wave on their surfboard?", What is the practical purpose for it. Well we do it because we are trying to smoothe out the ocean. Well we are doing it because we are trying to teach the fish how to swim on top of the water. Why are we doing it? because it gives us a thrill while we are doing it. Life is LIFE.


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The Palermo is a great 4 bedroom link detached home consisting of 2 double shower en suits to bedroom 1 & 2. Bedroom one is the perfect hideaway with your own dressing room. Bedroom 2 has a Juliet balcony. and a spacious ,bright open plan Kitchen/diner/living area with bi fold doors out into the garden, this home come with a carport with space for 2 cars.
Use this tool to compare two floorplans of available properties on this development
Use this tool to compare two floorplans of available properties on this development
Use this tool to compare two floorplans of available properties on this development
Symphony contemporary Linear range encompassing both function and form with many utilities tall units to allow eye level double oven, soft close doors and drawers
A+ rated Bosch fully integrated appliances including fridge freezer, dishwasher, oven and gas hob
Low energy lighting to the underside of the units
Hansgrohe mixer taps
A contemporary finish of white painted walls and ceilings
White satin skirting boards and door frames
In the master bedroom sliding wardrobe with a choice of door finish subject to stage of build
White sanitary ware by Roca
Full height stylish Saloni tiling around the bath plus half height to walls with appliances
Chrome towel rail
Shaver socket
Recessed low energy spotlights
Turf or planting to the front of your home – plot specific please speak to your Sales Advisor
Rotovated and top soiled rear gardens
Outside tap
Low energy downlighters to the cloakroom, kitchen, bathroom and ensuite
BT and Sky+ points fitted to the living room and master bedroom – Sky+ subject to subscription
Mains operated smoke, heat and carbon detectors
Gas fired A rated condensing boiler providing heating and hot water
Call us 01793 279125
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It's getting close now...The Pledge comes out in just 34 days!!! So I thought I'd commemorate by sharing my own Tuesday Teaser:
Brooklynn's voice drew my attention. "What kind of evidence did they find?" she asked Aron, her voice tight. News of Cheyenne's imprisonment was making everyone edgy.
Unfortunately, however, Cheyenne wasn't alone. Whispers of disloyalty to the crown had begun to take root, starting like a virus and spreading like a plague. It infected and corrupted ordinary citizens, as rewards were being offered to those willing to report anyone they suspected of subversion. People turned against one another, seeking information against friends, neighbors, even family members, in order to gain favor with the queen. Trust had become a commodity few could afford.
And real evidence—the kind that could be substantiated beyond petty gossip—was deadly.
"They found maps in her possession. Maps belonging to the resistance."
Brook's lips tightened and her head dropped. "Damn."
But I wasn't convinced. "How can they be certain they're rebel maps? Who told you this?"
He looked up, and his sorrowful gold-flecked eyes stared back at me. "Her brother told me. It was her father who turned her in."
Tuesday, October 11, 2011
The Pledge Countdown and a Teaser...
3 comments:
- Shelli (srjohannes) said...
yay - i finally get to read it in person (not on my pdf) and hld it in my grubby littel hands (since I didnt get a REAL ARC - (curse you S&S boo hiss!) :)
- October 11, 2011 at 5:02 PM
wow sounds like an amazing book
- October 15, 2011 at 5:52 AM
- Kimberly Derting said...
Sorry, Shelli, I wish I was in control of the ARCs...EVERYONE would have them!
Thanks Anon :)
- October 16, 2011 at 9:52 AM
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text:
Consumer confidence sank last week to the lowest level in eight months as Americans grew more concerned the budget standoff in Washington hurt the world's largest economy.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index declined to minus 36.1 in the period ended Oct. 20, the lowest since February, from minus 34.1. The report also showed more households were pessimistic about the economy than at any time in the past year even as lawmakers approved a deal that ended the partial shutdown of federal agencies.
The agreement to fund the government into early 2014 will probably temporarily help sentiment improve going into the holiday-shopping season. At the same time, data showing hiring has slowed and more Americans have applied for unemployment benefits in recent weeks indicate the job market has lost momentum, which may thwart a pickup in household spending.
"We will probably see some bounce in confidence after these settlements, even though they're temporary and imperfect," said Sam Coffin, an economist at UBS Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. "Consumption really is being driven by those labor-market developments, and it looks like they've been a little bit softer in the last three months."
Other reports today showed more Americans than forecast applied for unemployment benefits last week, the trade deficit was little changed in August and jobs openings increased that month.
Shares Climb
Stocks rose as earnings from companies such as homebuilder PulteGroup Inc. surpassed estimates. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbed 0.3% to 1,751.34 at 1:50 p.m. in New York.
Shares also got a boost from a report showing manufacturing in China, the world's second-biggest economy, strengthened more than forecast in October in a sign the recovery is gaining momentum. Similar reports out of Europe showed euro-area services and manufacturing output unexpectedly slowed, while the U.S. index issued by Markit Economics decreased.
Last week's decline in the U.S. consumer comfort index marked the gauge's fourth consecutive drop. It's now fallen almost 13 points since reaching a more than five-year high of minus 23.5 in August.
All three of the index's components receded last week. The gauge of Americans' current views on the economy deteriorated to minus 68.2, the lowest since October 2012, from minus 65.3 the week before.
Copyright 2014 Bloomberg. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.


text:
Quote by Carl Ketcherside in "Deep Roots", 1966:
"...nothing which we do when we assemble on the Lord's Day is ever referred to as "worship" in the new covenant scriptures."
Ketcherside's point in the article was that to the earliest Christians all of their life was to be lived as worship and there was no distinction made between the sacred and the spiritual. Worship does not happen only in assembly. When Jesus fed the 5,000 He worshipping God as much as when he gave the bread and wine in instituting the Lord's supper. We worship God when we are a good employee, when we help our neighbor, when we pray, when we study the scriptures alone or together, etc.


text:
This blog discusses current weather, weather prediction, climate issues, and other topics
Sunday, January 4, 2009
Clear Mountains
59 comments:
- JewelyaZ said...
They are beautiful from here, thanks for pointing them out, Cliff. :-)
- January 4, 2009 at 12:37 PM
Thanks for pointing it out. I noticed it too this morning.
- January 4, 2009 at 12:45 PM
- SWSDuvall said...
I live near Duvall (King-48, KWADUVAL5) and I've been watching the dew point dropping.
At 9am the temp was 34, with the dew point 24.9.
Now, its 36 degrees with a dew point of 23. Again, our professor is right - the air is drying. All the more better for snow :)
- January 4, 2009 at 1:58 PM
- SWSDuvall said...
For those interested, a very nicely presented Java/Flash weather radar summary. It is zoomable in goggle maps format.
- January 4, 2009 at 2:02 PM
Sitting here in Coupeville, overlooking Admiralty Inlet. My wife and I were talking this morning how clear, close, and cold the Olympics look. The peaks are now in the clouds; looks like snowing on the peaks.
- January 4, 2009 at 3:02 PM
Argggggh! The cursed white flakes are falling in Alki--lightly for now, though radar suggests more is coming. Air temp is holding at 36 deg. F.
Fortunately they are doomed and should melt by the morning's commute...
- January 4, 2009 at 3:12 PM
Moclips, WA - 15 miles north of Ocean Shores. Snowing steadily and 33F. Approximately 2 inches have fallen in the last 60 minutes and the roads are covered. Wind from the East 8mph. 29.79 Barometer is falling its 3:27pm
Davis Vantage Pro2 weather instruments
- January 4, 2009 at 3:20 PM
Moclips, WA 33F and snowing steadily. Wind from the East 8mph. Approx 2 inches on the roadway in the last 60 minutes. The Ocean beaches are white with snow. Bar 29.78 and falling. 3:30pm 1/4
- January 4, 2009 at 3:21 PM
- Diane said...
It is snowing in Shelton like someone just opened a trap door in the clouds.
Any idea when the switch to rain will begin?
- January 4, 2009 at 3:31 PM
The snowy revelation has begun...it is not with irony that snow and salt are both white.
- January 4, 2009 at 3:42 PM
Flurries ... Hwy 9 / Maltby Rd
- January 4, 2009 at 3:46 PM
sticking yukon harbor kitsap
- January 4, 2009 at 3:50 PM
- christopher said...
31 and near blizzard near Bangor/Poulsbo. I am glad to see it with no where to go today and gladder still that it will be gone by morning.
- January 4, 2009 at 4:01 PM
snowing steadily in Winslow on Bainbridge Island.
- January 4, 2009 at 4:04 PM
Rain/snow shadow on Useless Bay on Whidbey....I think it's snowing less than a mile away in Langley though, and the Ronald Bog Blog has it snowing in Shoreline...We have big winds here and a dark,looming sky...
- January 4, 2009 at 4:08 PM
It started snowing in East Bremerton about 3:30pm, lightly at first, but then picking up steadily, with occasional bursts of wind. Right now it's still coming down at a pretty good clip, and blowing in sideways at times. Everything is dusted white and it's beautiful.
- January 4, 2009 at 4:16 PM
Updates on my last post, pasted in here:
B[ob] said...
Another posting re Anonymous'
"Thanks for the blog, Cliff! However, I must agree with a previous commenter (earlier this week), that the formatting of pictures plays havoc with the text flow.
If you post the pix sans alignment tags, it'll look a lot better."
I (Bob) agree that the pix (maps, charts, etc) make the text hard to read when they are so big that we get a narrow string of half-words on the left!
But, I just discovered that, at least with this posting, if you click on a pic, it enlarges to "Full Screen," so I'd suggest as a better alternative:
(1) shrink each pic to less than half a screen-width, even if that makes it virtually unintelligible (since we can still see if it's a map, chart, satellite photo or local camera shot), then
(2) add as a caption below each
"Click on to Enlarge," so folks who aren't web/blog junkies can learn how to view the full-screen copy.
Check this out with this posting: it's really useful in the bottom two snow-depth forecast maps for Monday and Tuesday.
But, the snowflakes I'm seeing out the window NOW at 3:30 in SE Lake Forest Park above the lake are suggesting that we need a similar map for Sunday! (However, we're still seeing temps above 32F, so it probably won't stick until the temp drops...)
What's coming TODAY, Cliff?
January 4, 2009 3:34 PM"
First, I now realize that I'd left Cliff's blog open on my computer at 9:45 AM (after opening it at 7:30), and it was still open when I started checking the computer today at about 2:00, with no sign of a Sunday posting from Cliff, even when I did may last posting above.
But, my wife suggested that the text-pic problem discussed above is probably browser-dependent, so I just surfed into the blog with (3-year-old?) Netscape and Internet Explorer and SAW today's 2 postings from Cliff, so I went and closed/re-opened my Mozilla Firefox link to the blog, and ALSO found today's 2 postings!
So, the first lesson is that, at least with Mozilla Firefox running in Windows XP, new postings by Cliff on the blog will NOT OPEN in an ongoing blog session, so we can't "monitor the blog for new postings" by staying connected while doing email or drafting docs or watching TV or singing along with folkie stuff on KBCS 91.3 with the Firefox window closed, and periodically opening the Firefox window to look for new postings! I'll have to look now to see if Comments by others have been updated, as my new ones were, or whether I/we Firefoxers need to close and re-open the blog link to update those too.
This posting is long, so I'll post it and continue in the next one...
- January 4, 2009 at 4:23 PM
- nocurling said...
light snow - no accumulation. temp has been rising slowly all day - was 31 @ 10am, now 35 with winds light and gusting to 10mph. at 200' in east olympia.
- January 4, 2009 at 4:24 PM
Fairly heavy snow in Silverdale since about 3:45. Starting to accumulate.
- January 4, 2009 at 4:37 PM
Next re snow and temps in SE Lake Forest Park:
(1) we're still getting what looks like 2/3 snowflakes and 1/3 drizzle;
(2) our garden shed thermometer's radio reports to our indoor display are toggling between 33 and 32 F;
(3) our Subaru (driven home at about 2:00, parked outside in the snow but with little breeze) was reporting 36F 15 minutes ago but the engine is probably still warm, as is the passenger compartment;
(4) our solar water heater panel is still reporting 60F, but even with clouds and light snow, that's not unusual;
(5) I just remembered that we have an old indoor-outdoor thermometer with north-side outdoor temp detector in my old basement faculty/calculator/software-beta office, so I checked it to see 5 C or maybe 36F -- a surprising disagreement with the shed!
But then, I noticed steam blowing by the window through which the outdoor temp-detector tube enters, and realized that we have a clothes dryer running and venting out of that wall only 8 ft E from the temp detector, with a mild E--> W breeze blowing the hot moist air past the temp-detector, so I'll have to wait until half an hour after the dryer finishes its gig, before I can get a reliable reading of outdoor temps from that thermometer.
Tentative conclusion: since the temp seems to be dropping slowly, and the shed isn't vented (also not insulated, but the radio temp-detector has 4 ft of air above it and 6 ft below) the shed temp is likely to be 2-3 degrees F above outside temps under these conditions, so snow should be able to stick soon.
- January 4, 2009 at 4:46 PM
- Leeroy said...
Medium size wet snowflakes falling in South Tacoma since 4:15 PM. Temp is 34.7
Sticking to grass....
- January 4, 2009 at 5:04 PM
- camco said...
Cliff, Nice observation, and explanation. Too bad the view is short-lived.
Snowing heavy wet flakes here in Lynnwood/Edmonds, but feeling like it's going to rain.
- January 4, 2009 at 5:15 PM
- nocurling said...
east olympia again. temp has dropped 2* in the past hour, and the wind gusts have increased. light snow going mostly sideways.
anyone know whether olympia is considered 'lowlands'? if not, what are we (be polite ;-)).
- January 4, 2009 at 5:26 PM
Snowing ice crystal type snow in Edmonds @ about 280'. Streets covered with about 1/8". 33.1 F.
- January 4, 2009 at 5:27 PM
Lakewood, Steilacoom, back side of N Ft Lewis
Snow for about the past 1/2 hour; enough to stick (maybe an inch??)
Everything stopped for now, calm, no winds.
- January 4, 2009 at 5:33 PM
Re Mozilla Firefox vs Netscape vs Windows IE:
There is definitely a difference!
The most dramatic example is in yesterday's Wet Warm-Up Late Tomorrow Mon 05 snow map.
(1) In Internet Explorer, there is skinny text down the left margin of the map:"
ps the
ski resort
s can
up on
s for
with the questionnaire..."
and Netscape has the same look, but
if I'm recalling correctly, Firefox has no text down the left side (I can't re-check until I post this).
Also I/we think that Firefox is displaying the cloud-globes differently on our Windows XP desktop and Windows Vista laptop, where yesterday's globe is on the right of text (at least on Netscape and IE under XP) and today's is on the left of blank space, while this is reversed under Vista. I'll recheck and correct after I post this so I can scroll back to the XP Firefox.
Also, I first tried to post this comment from Netscape, but it locked up, with some report of Firefox/Netscape collision, and I had to do CTRL/ALT/DEL to END Netscape. I did have Comments open in Firefox, but no Comment in process.
I'll try Commenting from IE next after I post this and check the Firefox globe and map-text stuff.
- January 4, 2009 at 5:35 PM
Came out of the movies in Poulsbo at 4:30 and heavy snow was falling. Headed home by way of Central Market and just got in at 5:30. Snow is sticking everywhere, except where shadowed. 1/2" already. Was 36 when we got out, now 33 here at home. Barely made it up the hill - had to spin the tires down to the gravel still on the road surface before we got traction but we made it. Be interesting to see how much accumulates before the rains begin. Glad to be home!
Casey Burns
- January 4, 2009 at 5:38 PM
(1) The text-map report is correct: Netscape and IE have the almost-unreadable hyphenated-word text, while Firefox with both XP and Vista have mostly blank space to the left and most of the text above the map; but
(2) All of Netscape, IE, and both Firefoxes have the same globe positions yesterday and today, so in particular we don't yet have an XP/Vista difference.
I'll try posting from "No Longer Supported" Netscape {it just warned me} and from IE next.
- January 4, 2009 at 5:49 PM
- Dude Diligence said...
Getting close to a half inch on the ground in north Edmonds (elevation 380 feet). Started about 3:30 pm.
- January 4, 2009 at 5:52 PM
33 degrees, 1.5 inches of snow at 350' elevation, Vashon.
- January 4, 2009 at 5:56 PM
Testing Internet Explorer, which warns about "protections" which I had to "cancel" to see JewelaZ's photo: Why??? Is she on somebody's "Illegal aliens" list, or maybe the CIA's spyin' on her?
Maybe all of us Mass-blog addicts are on somebody's list?
Doesn't "freedom of speech" include blogs? If not yet, Obama will fix it ASAP! Yes, We Can!
When I tried to post this, I got the same warning, and SWSDuvall was hidden too (twice) so I scanned down and found Camco also hidden/forbidden (no other pix this time) Does IE think pix are obscene?
- January 4, 2009 at 6:01 PM
Heavy snow falling on Mercer Island with 3/4 inch of accumulation on streets and lawns and everywhere! 6 PM
- January 4, 2009 at 6:02 PM
It's looking pretty white outside in Mountlake Terrace. It's been snowing nonstop for a couple hours now and it's sticking on the streets and grass. Only a good dusting right now. The temperatures are falling as well. I show 32 degrees now and it was at 35 when the snow started.
- January 4, 2009 at 6:05 PM
Duvall 31F 6:05pm
We've got .5 inch of snow now - tiny steady flakes falling. NOAA's forecast for Duvall says 3-5 inches tonight. I wonder if there's any chance this new stuff will stick around and we'll miss out on the rain?
- January 4, 2009 at 6:06 PM
Mod-heavy snow Cap hill about 1 inch on ground.. 31.6 degrees. Big flat flakes and loving it!
- January 4, 2009 at 6:07 PM
OK, IE forced obsolete Netscape to lock up too, but it will show me Blogger JewelyaZ, Blogger SWSDuvall, and Blogger camco ..., so I/we now see that IE thinks Bloggers are the "enemies" or "obscene", and the rest of us are "off the list.."
I'll have to Google/GoodSearch Netscape to see if I'm correctly recalling that somebody bought it and may be issuing an update under another name (the Warning is hyping "Flock" as the replacement after March 08 -- have any of you Mass-blog fans tried it? if so, please email me at firstname.lastname@example.com!
- January 4, 2009 at 6:15 PM
- AJ said...
Snowing in downtown Tacoma. Streets are a slushy mess, grass and rooftops are covered. It's the heavy, wet "cement" type snow we're accustomed to around here.
OK, well I'm ready for summer.
- January 4, 2009 at 6:20 PM
- Paul said...
We left Copalis Beach at 12:45 PM based on Cliff's prognosis for snow. Arrived in Silverdale at 3 PM just as the first flakes started falling. I noted with interest the report from Moclips. Sounds like another observer on the North Beach with a Vantage Pro system.
I upload from Copalis to Weather Underground (KACOPAL3) and CWOP (DW1622). I would encourage anonymous from Moclips to join the fun.
- January 4, 2009 at 6:22 PM
- AJ said...
BTW Cliff, excellent book! I received mine in the mail yesterday. I stayed home last night and read about Pacific Northwest weather. It takes something, or someone, awfully intriguing to keep me home on a Saturday night!
- January 4, 2009 at 6:24 PM
- nocurling said...
another hour later in east olympia. the winds are increasing, but there's not a lot of snow - barely covering the ground.
@bob. try google chrome. i've never had a problem with it on this blog. WAY better than IE or firefox.
- January 4, 2009 at 6:30 PM
- Radish King said...
Big white wet flakes sticking out here in the south part of Shorline/ north Seattle. 6:37 PM
- January 4, 2009 at 6:37 PM
1/4" or more snow on the top of Crown Hill/Blue Ridge, and still falling. So far it's sticking. :)
- January 4, 2009 at 6:38 PM
HEAVY snow in Bellevue, about 750 ft. I'm a teacher and had 3 extra days of winter break, maybe I'll have another. :)
- January 4, 2009 at 6:43 PM
- Lauren said...
We easily have 1.5 inches in Ravenna at the moment. My kids are tormenting me with the idea of another snow day. I sure hope you're right this turns to rain over night...
- January 4, 2009 at 6:43 PM
Reporting from Ballard- it's coming down hard. Seems like we're closing in on 1.5 inches.
- January 4, 2009 at 6:45 PM
- christopher said...
29/30 and still snowing hard. 3 inches on the ground, fluffy, light flakes. Bangor/Poulsbo.
- January 4, 2009 at 6:46 PM
At 6:45pm still big fat flakes in Port Madison on Bainbridge Island, which is usually last to start and first to stop in Kitsap. Surface temp is below freezing, but the snow is very sloppy, totally dissimilar to last week's dry flakes with temps nearer 20.
- January 4, 2009 at 6:50 PM
Olalla: Snow showed up on schedule, 3:30-ish. It's snowed steadily since then, now (1855) the flakes are small and falling fast - about to change to rain? I'd say 3 inches on the ground. Of course my thermometer still thinks it's 34...and it may be; some snow has slid off the side of the car.
- Pete
- January 4, 2009 at 6:57 PM
I forgot to mention that I have had no readability problems at all with the blog, using Safari on a G4 Mac.
- Pete
- January 4, 2009 at 6:58 PM
33 in Mt Baker neighborhood (SE Seattle) at 7:00 pm. The ground is covered with snow and so help me if school is cancelled!
- January 4, 2009 at 7:01 PM
1-3/4-inches of wet stuff on the west side of Green Lake in north Seattle. I will be monitoring the rest of this evening's snow event from the K&K.
- January 4, 2009 at 7:06 PM
Only getting a trace east of North Bend so far. Which is fine with me since we still have 2 feet of the old stuff on the ground!
- January 4, 2009 at 7:09 PM
At least 2 inches of snow in Silverdale and still coming down pretty hard.
- January 4, 2009 at 7:09 PM
Big, wet flakes and 2.75 inches currently on Crown Hill. Just had a great snowball fight with the kids. Count me among the 'let it snow' crowd!
- January 4, 2009 at 7:15 PM
Edmonds ridge above the bowl: now 32.9 with a fat falling snow. Depth a fluffy 2 inches.
- January 4, 2009 at 7:16 PM
- Tiki said...
Here in Seattle, it's snowing!
- January 4, 2009 at 7:22 PM
The mountain closeness phenomenon is called "Foehn" in Switzerland. Saw it many times in my years living there. I can't recall it being so vivid here before.
- January 4, 2009 at 8:07 PM
- Michael said...
Normandy Park el 80 ft. - 1 to 1 and 1/2 inches of snow and still snowing at 8 PM
- January 4, 2009 at 8:08 PM
5" drifts in open areas atop Capitol Hill in Seattle.
- January 4, 2009 at 10:27 PM


text:
Opinion: Obama's Most Famous Promise
Editorial board member Joe Rago on the secret footnote in the President's promise that you can keep your plan if you like it. Photo credit: Getty Images.
This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.
... I ... I ... thus while most most famous promises to what your help there you can keep it ... while the world is figuring out this winter rig or editoral page of ... contributor ... or writer issued save that for whatever you are the reason you're here ... you're reading this on top of it ... you know ... so the southern Indian city turned out that this promise was ... when I galvanize some call it the hollow promise ... on ... this is this is pretty big into the Obama presidency I'm and I'm thinking of the grace the George Bush God for that mission accomplished banner ... I don't think you never actually said that four is an ... antibody ... drug or think it's the ... George H W Bush ... my legs and taxes ... this is ... this is a aam ... a similar situation ... except that ... I mean we knew all along ... that what they were doing would not allow ... everyone ... to keep their health care plan ... is not some sort of reversal it central to the entire project and when you're passing a law that says certain health care benefits will no longer be allowed ... and that they will that those plans will be outlawed ... and then you make you say everyone will be allowed to keep their health care plan if they like it there's there's really a at this junction between what you're doing and what percentage of what existed on this because I think they the media is tired product you frankly in figuring out that this promise was never meant to be captain has been kind of systematically being broken for years ... but dove but I think what why is still love ... confusing to some people ... why is it that this individual market ... I cannot be tolerated why does he have to work so hard to get people out of that market despite his promise ... into some other plan white and there are a few reasons here one I mean they they think ... in the name of equity that everyone should have the same health care benefits so if you look at the end of it to market today ... there's a lot of variation there's a there's a lot of different types of coverage of many different price points everything from a ... gold plated Cadillac plan that that does everything the shoes every you know every time the tennis year DoubleClick's Tennessee go to the doctor words can pay for that to much more ... catastrophic coverage that protects you against their serious illnesses and very large expenses ... they don't like that kind of diversity they want ... their there will be a ... a healthy landed in the uni of of of of ... individual being able to choose a product that meets their needs and I'm in it so much and while it's all the customization writing giving them ... the consumer exactly what they want and trying to ... to meet their specific needs but why was it so that that ... each team as well as ... it is is this is an ideological project as much and it is about extending coverage to the uninsured this is all about ... standardization government controlled political control in dictating choices that I mean ... this is the technocratic conceit that they know better they know ... how how much it costs which of the finance what it should do how would I mean the people it recover ... and that is why they're doing so if you're in the individual are given me your choices they've review them and they found them wanting some nine year theme ... of promoting what they call better coverage but it may not be better coverage from from your perspective in terms of ... the value that provides the costs and benefits it's only the administration is obviously taking a beating right now of civilian Summit Hill love of the websites not working people are getting their plans canceled ... aam ... what happens next in terms of do you think ... that they that the White House will will accept the punishment for them to get the full so to the team keep your coverage and then move on ... I mean are they unable to get all these people but have got that covered cancel end of the exchanges or ... a ... word is this good ... looking was going to do with the White House would think is can it be that in the present Obama put it this way in Boston yesterday said we're not grind it out ... I think I can say stop is many people's possible and to the exchanges try to ... offset some the damage was subsidies and and so forth and what this program to sort of ... gaining critical mass and Annabelle become the no permanent feature of the entitlement state in America ... that's going to be much harder to do it if people remember all you know I e I had a policy analyst ... fifty dollars a month non paying ... three hundred dollars a month early form whatever every shot they might they might be experiencing so ... that there's a it ... really depends I mean is is this going to be a political liability going forward ... it does create a lot of losers in the constituency this overpaying for ... health insurance and they don't need right ... so so I think this is been delineated for very long time ... the depressing future but on the ladder they fail more quickly than some people expected to press for joining us are present