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Kevin Grandia | November 10, 2009
By Kevin Grandia • Tuesday, November 10, 2009 - 16:48
Isn't Halloween over? Then why is Friends of Science (FOS) rising from the dead with a new radio campaign.
Or maybe its April Fool's because the FOS ads are so inaccurate or misguided that they must be taken as a joke - or must be playing us all for fools.
The ads, currently running on radio stations across the country, make the claim that there, "Hasn't been global warming for over 10 years."
I put this to a couple of top climate scientists and both said, unreservedly, that this is an outright false statement. Both pointed to temperature data on NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) that very clearly shows that temperatures over the last 10 years have been some of the hottest on record.
According to NASA, the five hottest years on record have been:
1) 2005
2) 1998
3) 2002
4) 2003
5) 2006
Then, there's this graph of temperature measurements since 1880 that also clearly show it isn't getting any cooler.
And if for some reason you don't think NASA know what they're talking about, there's always the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) which also measures global temperatue. Their measurements similarly debunk the claims made by the Friends of Science.
I know that media are hard up for ad revenue, but the Friends of Science ads are irresponsible; they should be pulled immediately.
There are two ways this can be done.
The first (and the most effective) is to call or email the radio station when you hear the ad and demand that the ad be pulled AND that the station run a correction.
In fact one media personality is pretty much calling for this on his own station already.
Then, send a complaint to the Canadian Radio-Television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC), which is in charge of regulating such things. Here's the information you need to make such a complaint.
Now, before the trolls start complaining at the foot of this post, let's deal with the complaints.
First, this is not an attack on "free speech." This is "paid speech" and it's wrong. If a company was advertising items for sale at a price they wouldn't honor, their ad would be pulled. FOS are advertising a world that doesn't exist, and recommending that we act on their erroneous counsel. It's wrong, it's dangerous and it should be stopped.
Second, there are surely some out there who will point to 1998 as the year that the Hadley Centre in the UK identifies as the hottest on record. Well, go slam your head against the evidence. "Statistics" and "damn statistics" should be left to people who are competent to deal with them. "Lies," on the other hand, should be tracked down, rooted out and dismissed.
Duae Quartunciae replied on Permalink
The UK HadCRUT dataset
You say above: "Second, there are surely some out there who will point to 1998 as the year that the Hadley Centre in the UK identifies as the hottest on record. Well, go slam your head against the evidence."
The response to "slam your head against the evidence" is inappropriate here, because the evidence you cite doesn't refer to the HadCRUT dataset. It would surely be better to point out simply that trends are not determined by looking at the hottest year only. Different datasets may have slightly different values for various years, but all the datasets show that warming is still continuing.
There are good answers to this available at the UK met office, Hadley Center. In particular, they supply a FAQ at http://hadobs.metoffice.com/indicators/index.html, which has a good answer for the question "What are the differences between HadCRUT3, GISS and NCDC global temperature analyses?", explaining the reason for the very small differences that exist. It's largely to do with different techniques for handling regions with poor coverage, especially the Arctic.
They also answer "Q. Have global temperatures been falling since 1998?" with a plain NO. See http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2008/pr20080923c.html
PS. What markup can we use in comments?
""Q. Have global temperatures been falling since 1998?"
A plain NO?
It is unequivocally true that linear regression over the period January 1998 to September 2009 does not show a warming trend. So while there may be no significant cooling, the HADCRUv3 data show no evidence of recent warming.
Duae Quartunciae replied on Permalink
If you look at that period
If you look at that period only, using HadCRUT3, you get 0.000 degrees per year from the regression line. So yes, the answer to the question "Have global temperatures been falling since 1998?" is certainly no, any way you like to cut it.
The paper also points out that "Global warming has not stopped", and "Natural climate variations temporarily enhance or reduce observed warming".
That is, if you actually LOOK at the data, what you see is a warming trend, with short term variations up and down around the overall trend. This pattern is seen in all the datasets that have been mentioned. Statistically there's no basis in this data set or any of the others for the notion that global warming has "stopped".
Picking a trend line from the high point in 1998 is a way to get regression gradients that are less than the trend, because you are starting from a localized peak in the data; and you'd have to be pretty dashed clueless to use that as a basis for saying that global warming has stopped.
What you're saying is: the last 12 years don't count
I guess that's because, although linear regression shows no warming (your slope of 0.000 shows this), it's because some skeptics "cherry-pick" an El Nino year to start etc.
Fine, I actually agree with you hence my original arguments above that 2002 is a better starting year and has a scientifically valid reason based on the Swanson and Tsonis hypothesis that there was a climate regime change 2001/2002.
And if linear regression starting in 2002 gains statistical validity, then we do have evidence for saying that warming has stopped.
bad link
Kevin, the "temp measurements since 1880" link to NASA/GISS is broken.
Noticed a few times in the last few days some older links I have to NASA/GISS read as "broken".
Re: the radio ads…. hardly surprising, all things considered. I'll pass that along to a couple of site's I post on.
Thanks for that!
schorschi replied on Permalink
Friends of Science Funding
More importantly, who is presently funding these guys and their ads? They are like ticks. Do they have to disclose their sources? What can be done that funding of a cult like this is no more tax deductible. Well, I guess a donation to the Jehovahs witnesses is also tax deductible.
In the Calgary oil patch, there is quite a lot of ignorance concerning this. All economists, most petro engineers and some geologists I talked about global warming actually share the opinion of the Friends of Science - whereas alone their name is already suspicious to me. In the case of engineers, it does not surprise me as their thinking is strongly one-dimensional and linear. Most geologists and engineers in the oil patch have batchelor degrees - and this also accounts for most of the Friends of Science. And hence these people have never performed independent, rigorous scientific research published in peer-reviewed magazines. On top of that opportunism appears to be part of the local culture, paired with Texas-style ultra-right wing attitudes. Alberta is the only place in Canada, where even the Conservatives are not right wing enough for the general public. And there is all sorts of wild religious belief going around, too. Now add all this up. Scary!
climate criminal replied on Permalink
FoS Roll of Dishonour - A Subset of the Usual suspects
FoS SCIENTIFIC ADVISORY BOARD
Sallie Baliunas
Chris de Freitas
Madhav Khandekar
Tim Patterson
Tim Ball
Also see: http://www.desmogblog.com/climate-change-denier-research
Scott Mandia replied on Permalink
Global Cooling? Hmmm....
Despite numerous claims that global warming ended in 1998, 2001, or 2003, etc., the data shows these claims are groundless.
1) 19 of the warmest years on record have occurred in the past 25 years. The warmest years globally have been 1998 and 2005 with the years 2002, 2007, and 2003 close behind. The warmest decade has been the last ten years and the warming has been widespread globally.
2) If one "cherry-picks" a small subset of data, it may appear on the surface to show global cooling. However, if one looks at the long-term trends it is quite obvious that global temperatures have been increasing since 1880 and at a faster rate in the past two decades.
3) A change in the heat stored in the ocean is a better indicator of climate change than changes in atmospheric heat. The oceans have warmed significantly in recent decades and the trend is 50% greater than that reported by the IPCC in 2007. There is certainly no global cooling in the oceans!
4) Surface temperatures north of latitude 60 degrees are warming at an accelerated rate in the past few decades.
5) The Arctic was experiencing long-term cooling in the past 2000 years according to Milankovitch cycles until very recently. The cooling trend was reversed during the 20th century, with four of the five warmest decades of the 2000-year-long reconstruction occurring between 1950 and 2000.
6) Sea ice extent has been dramatically reduced since 1979.
7) Since measurements began in 2004, there has been a dramatic decrease in sea ice thickness.
8) The average mass balance of the glaciers with available long-term observation series around the world continues to decrease.
9) 90% of worldwide glaciers are retreating.
Sources for this data: http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/global_warming/works_cited.html
shooshmon replied on Permalink
these numbers are useless
All of these dates you give are pretty recent and do not really matter because we have only been taking accurate temperature measurements for a short period. The fact is, the temperature has been higher than it is now and there has been more CO2 in the air. Sorry.
And you feel qualified to make this pronouncement because . . .?
Let's see, Shooshman: you have revealed your age to be 23, and you work in packaging. I am guessing that you haven't got much background in science. Have you got ANY IDEA how much work has been carried out in this field by professional scientists for decades? You really, really need to do some reading. I have suggested it before, but I'll try again – go to RealClimate.org, click on "Start Here", and learn a thing or two.
Fern Mackenzie
shooshmon replied on Permalink
issue has nothing to do with qualification
I don't have to be qualified to point out a known fact which is that there has been more co2 in the atmosphere and the temperature has been warmer. You keep telling me to go to realclimate. Let me guess, climate depot is horrible and nothing they say is true. Femack, didn't I tell you nothing would happen in copenhagen? Oh and how about the auto company bailout? Chrysler scrapped their entire electric car line and Ford, the only company not bailed out, turned a profit. With a year's notice, the U.S. government couldn't get enough swine flu shots for the country. And you people want a global government to set emission rates and think that we should blindly support a public option for universal healthcare. Looking at these examples of government failure, can you honestly say I shouldnt be very afraid of what they are trying to do?
Here's an exercise for you
At Climate Depot, you will see at the upper right "A project of CFACT". Click on it, and have a look at the staff list and the advisors list. Precious little background in climate science in evidence there. Now go to RealClimate and scroll down the panel on the right to "Contributors". Click on it and check out the qualifications of the people who write the RealClimate content. These guys know what they are talking about. The folks at RealClimate are real climate scientists. The folks at Climate Depot are not.
As for "world government", it just makes sense for the world to co-operate when dealing with an issue that affects the whole world. That doesn't translate to "world government" – it means countries working together when they have a common goal.
Never mind. When I was 23 (32 years ago) I knew everything, too.
Fern Mackenzie
mascereye replied on Permalink
Real Climate's Schmidt 'anti-science exposed' 'Using an image of Lake Powell to indicate anything about climate change is perverse' - June 4, 2009 - Excerpt: As with so many other products generated by the AGW industry, Schmidt's book Climate Change: Picturing the Science is part of an ongoing effort to frighten the credulous. Its messages include: weather will kill you; our moment on Earth is unique; and climate did not used to change. Had you wanted to fulfill the responsibilities of an objective and hard-hitting journalist, you might have asked Schmidt about the image of Lake Powell on his book's cover. […] Were you aware, may I ask, of the controversial nature of the damming of the Colorado River that led to Lake Powell? Environmentalists were and are appalled by this particular dam. It has changed an important piece of the American natural landscape. […] Group-think has affected many societies negatively, and it has not disappeared during our own time. The fact that neither Mr. Schmidt's editor, nor his publisher, nor you, nor the photographer, nor Mr. Schmidt himself would stop to reflect on the oddity of this cover is enough to give one pause.
Schmidt issues 'Correction and apology' for incorrectly claiming permafrost melt was cause of collapse - June 2, 2009 - Excerpt: the cause of the collapse was the 1964 Earthquake rather than permafrost melt. We take complete responsibility for the mix-up in captioning and the erroneous attribution and we'd like to fully apologize.
AP reporter Borenstein calls out 'Real Climate' activists' Mann and Schmidt for 'misrepresenting interviews he did with each of them'- June 15, 2009
Real Climate touted Steig et al 'Antarctica is warming' study 'falsified' - May 29, 2009
Excerpt: After reading this latest statistical analysis, I think it is fair to conclude that the paper's premise has been falsified. […] It is my view that all Steig and Michael Mann have done with their application of RegEm to the station data is to smear the temperature around much like an artist would smear red and white paint on a pallete board to get a new color "pink" and then paint the entire continent with it. It is a lot like "spin art" you see at the county fair.
Scientists, Data Challenge Real Climate Touted Antarctic 'Warming' Study - 'It is hard to make data where none exist' - January 21, 2009
The Truth about RealClimate.org - July 6, 2009
Excerpt: Essentially the site exists to promote global warming alarm-ism and attack anyone who does not agree with their declaration of doomsday (proven of course by their own computer climate models) and the need for government intervention against the life supporting, atmospheric trace gas, carbon dioxide. Standard operating procedure is to post "rebuttals" to everything they disagree with and then declare victory, making sure to censor comments challenging their position. It doesn't matter if they actual rebutted any of the science or facts just so long as they provide the existence of a criticism. This gives their fanboys "ammunition" to further promote alarmist propaganda across the Internet (and of course declare victory). Their resident propagandist William Connolley's job is to edit dissent and smear skeptical scientists on Wikipedia. In the world of global warming alarmist "science" pretending you win is apparently all that matters because in real debates they lose. The truth is that RealClimate.org is an environmentalist shill site directly connected to an eco-activist group, Environmental Media Services and Al Gore but they don't want you to know that.
Schmidt Admits Defeat in Climate Debate! Tough New York City crowd reverses view on man-made warming and converts to skepticism following debate featuring RealClimate.org's Schmidt– March 2007
RealClimate.org's Michael Mann incorrectly Cites Mt. Kilimanjaro as evidence of man-made global warming - Providence Journal - September 25, 2008
Reality Check: Mann's using years old Mt. Kilimanjaro talking points. Mann's "facts" on Kilimanjaro are outdated.
2008: Studies and scientists debunk Mann's 'new hockey stick' - Comprehensive report exposing Mann's research
UK Spectator: 'Hysterical' Real Climate's Michael Mann's Hockey Stick 'most discredited study in history of Science – February 7, 2009 – By Melanie Phillips
Pielke Jr.: Details RealClimate.org's & Others Engage in 'Character Assassination' of Skeptical Scientists'
Real Climate 'has clearly aligned itself squarely with one political position on climate change' - January 14, 2005 - Excerpt: The site's focus has been exclusively on attacking those who invoke science as the basis for their opposition to action on climate change, folks such as George Will, Senator James Inhofe, Michael Crichton, McIntyre and McKitrick, Fox News, and Myron Ebell. Whether intended or not, the site has clearly aligned itself squarely with one political position on climate change.
Real Climate's Schmidt attempts to 'explain why skeptics are simplistic' - June 1, 2009
Not again! Antarctic 'warming' author Steig claims Steve McIntyre has accused him of 'thinly-veiled accusations of scientific fraud' - June 3, 2009
History of Real Cilmate's activism and funding - Newsbusters.org - June 28, 2008
UN IPCC Scientist Richard Courtney Rips Real Climate Touted Antarctic Study - January 29, 2009
Excerpt: I am not surprised at Steig's behaviour that attempts to deflect attention from his paper and its content. I have written a letter to Nature complaining that Steig's paper contains a flaw so severe that Steig's paper should not have been published, and I suspect that others have written complaints to Nature concerning other errors in that paper, too.
excercise on that. there is plenty more.
and this is ONLY about a one world government
mascereye replied on Permalink
"more fraudulent censorship at realclimate
RealClimate.org is assumed by those who do not know any better to be an "objective" source on climate change. It features activist scientists with degrees in Geology, Geosciences, Mathematics, Oceanography and Physics who are all self proclaimed "climatologists". Yet skeptical scientists with equivalent credentials are not (probably because they have not proclaimed it). Essentially the site exists to promote global warming alarm-ism and attack anyone who does not agree with their declaration of doomsday (proven of course by their own computer climate models) and the need for government intervention against the life supporting, atmospheric trace gas, carbon dioxide. Standard operating procedure is to post "rebuttals" to everything they disagree with and then declare victory, making sure to censor comments challenging their position. It doesn't matter if they actual rebutted any of the science or facts just so long as they provide the existence of a criticism. This gives their fanboys "ammunition" to further promote alarmist propaganda across the Internet (and of course declare victory). Their resident propagandist William Connolley's job is to edit dissent and smear skeptical scientists on Wikipedia. In the world of global warming alarmist "science" pretending you win is apparently all that matters because in real debates they lose. The truth is that RealClimate.org is an environmentalist shill site directly connected to an eco-activist group, Environmental Media Services and Al Gore but they don't want you to know that.
from popular technology article. really want to see the connection to a one world gov check out fenton communications (directly related to EMS).
mascereye replied on Permalink
lots of exercise
Real Climate Suffers from Foggy Perception by Henk Tennekes
By Henk Tennekes on Climate Science
Roger Pielke Sr. has graciously invited me to add my perspective to his discussion with Gavin Schmidt at RealClimate. If this were not such a serious matter, I would have been amused by Gavin's lack of knowledge of the differences between weather models and climate models. As it stands, I am appalled. Back to graduate school, Gavin!
A weather model deals with the atmosphere. Slow processes in the oceans, the
this is really too easy. sorry, i'll stop now.
Let's just take one example
"UN IPCC scientist Richard Courtney". Richard Courtney isn't a scientist, and his 'contribution' to the IPCC was to act as an essentially self-invited reviewer of the report.
There you go, the fraudulent lies of certain climate skeptics.
Oh, and since when is 'censorship' "fraudulent"? (Short answer: it never is, unless you claim you do not censor, or that the censored message contained something different).
Scott Mandia replied on Permalink
Shooshmon writes: "more co2 in the atmosphere and the temperature has been warmer"
Did you mean more CO2 and the temperature has been cooler? Of course more CO2 would cause a warmer temperature all other factors being equal.
If indeed you did have a typo and meant to say more CO2 and it was cooler millions of years ago, then, yes, you are correct. Of course, the sun was much less bright many millions of years ago so much higher CO2 values were required to reach today's temps.
I suggest you read:
In fact, you should spend some time at Skeptical Science. John Cook does a wonderful job of pointing out the flaws in many of the skeptics' arguments.
shooshmon replied on Permalink
No you just missed the point entirely
Scott, I think everybody knows that a molecule of co2 gives of infrared. I'm saying that based on the fact that there may have been 5 times as much co2 during the time of the dinosaurs and the temperature was warmer, we can can conclude that we have a lot of time before we have to change energies. And I don't know if there is a relation or not but a lot of people throw this 450ppm number like its such a sure thing, yet the earth has tolerated a higher ppm.
Scott Mandia replied on Permalink
The Concern is not Temperature - It is Impact
It does not take more than few degrees C change to cause catastrophic impacts. Most estimates are that there will be a 2 to 4.5 C increase by 2100 with 3 C being the most likely. An increase of 3 C would cause devastating impacts, especially on coastal communities and the poorest people.
You should read the IPCC WGII Reports and the Synthesis Report from the Climate Congress to learn about the impact of a slightly warmer world.
Scott A. Mandia http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/global_warming/
shooshmon replied on Permalink
richard lindzen is the top climatologist
Ok well the countries of the world are not going to cooperate with each other. There is no point in doing anything if China isn't going to do anything. Half the world's steel is now made in China and they produce more emissions than any other country. All I can tell you is that I don't see why I should worry about global warming until atmospheric levels approach the levels they were at in the time of the dinosaurs. And I basically get my climate info from 2 people, Roy Spencer and Richard Lindzen who are both honest men. In fact, Roy Spencer recently critiqued a Lindzen study and found some questions.
Sorry, pal
If you are relying on Lindzen and Spencer, you are taking an extremely narrow view of the issue.
As for the level of CO2 in the atmsophere during the time of the dinosaurs, conditions during that era are irrelevant. There was no human infrastructure to be affected, no 6+ billion mouths to feed, no need to adapt abruptly to desertification.
It's happening fast, we're to blame, and it's going to get much, much worse. We have painted ourselves into a very small corner, no wiggle-room. True, Copenhagen is looking grim, but that's not the end of the story. Do you really think everyone will just give up and walk away? Try reading the British newspapers online, particularly the Guardian or the Times. Check out the global picture, look beyond the U.S. The rest of the world is 'way out ahead of the United States on this issue.
… except Canada, of course! (Thanks Steve)
Top climatologist?
And Spencer found "some questions"? If Lindzen was on the other side of the spectrum, Spencer would have crucified him for making so many fundamental mistakes and his failure to explain why his results were so different from prior analyses. But anyone who understands sciencespeak immediately recognises Spencer essentially burning Lindzen's analysis to the ground: outright faulty methodology and very questionable assumptions.
What a top climatologist…even his fellow 'skeptics' feel the need to make it clear he is wrong! VERY wrong!
Warm doesn't mean warming
I would say even the warmest global dataset (GISS) doesn't show any warming since 2002, if you apply linear regression. Using the monthly anomalies from January 2002 to September 2009 (93 data points), the regression line is basically flat, no warming or cooling (-.0015). The start of 2002 is significant since it coincides with the climate regime shift postulated by Swanson and Tsonis (Swanson K. L., A. A. Tsonis (2009), Has the climate recently shifted?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L06711, doi:10.1029/2008GL037022). If the alleged radio ads changed the wording to "no warming since the start of 2002" I would have to agree with them.
Jim Eager replied on Permalink
Move goal posts often, do you?
The FOS assertion was that there "hasn't been global warming for over 10 years."
Oh really?
GISSTemp last 120 months (ten years):
You morph that into the last seven years and ten months (since 2002) in order to show a flat or negative slope:
In any case, the fact is neither show anything at all about any underlying climate trend, positive or negative, because neither time series is long enough to differentiate an underlying climate trend from annual or decadal natural variability.
Both FOS and you are trying to distract people with hand waving about weather variability, not climate.
Nearly 8 years is more than "weather variability"
I'm thinking the FOS radio ads should have said: "for the last 12 years (144 monthly data points) most global atmospheric temperature anomaly datasets show a slight cooling via linear regression analysis". That would have not addressed the climate vs. "weather" issue, and it would have cluttered the ad with needless technical information, but it would have been unequivocally true and thus not subject to any calls for retraction on the basis they are factually wrong.
shooshmon replied on Permalink
how come a giant co2 cloud didnt swallow the dinosaurs?
The point I'm trying to make is that the earth didn't fall apart and it was habitable to dinosaurs, which need much more food than us. Your point about dessertification is idiotic, the Sahara Dessert is shrinking. You keep talking about the rest of the world being so far ahead of America, let's see what happens at Copenhagen. I'm betting nobody signs onto anything because nobody cares.
Ho hum
Well, I tried. If you refuse to look at the bigger picture and the real science, nothing and nobody will get through to your narrow little world.
Jim Eager replied on Permalink
The point you are trying to make
is just an irrelevant distraction.
There were no Humans around when dinosaurs were. Neither were any of the plants or animals that humans presently eat.
What is relevant is that atmospheric CO2 levels are presently higher than they have been at any time during the last 2.6 miilion years or more, which covers the entire span of the current ice age AND the entire span of Human evolution from late Australopithecus though Homo habilis, Homo erectus, Homo neanerthalensis to Homo sapiens
And as for your assertion that "the Sahara Dessert is shrinking," it is in fact not shrinking, but moving northward as Hadley cell circulation shifts northward, as predicted by the greenhouse theory.
shooshmon replied on Permalink
we can't be sure over a 2.6 million year time period though
Jim, I don't think anyone can be certain that co2 levels weren't higher in such a large time frame of millions of years. But I appreciate the fact that you address this because I think it is worth discussing. I just don't see why if the dinosaurs lived in a hotter, co2eier environment we cannot do the same.
What would we eat?
What would we eat?
"...Both FOS and you are trying to distract people..."
I clearly gave my agreement to a statement different than FOS. See my last sentence above. My contention is a simple statement of the fact no empirical evidence shows any atmospheric warming since the start of 2002. You can argue that nearly 8 years of monthly data does not represent climate, only weather variability, but obviously not everyone thinks so as I've noted in my reference to the Swanson and Tsonis paper.
Jim Eager replied on Permalink
It doesn't matter what anyone *thinks*,
the length of time needed to differentiate an underlying trend in climate from natural variability is a property of the data itself:
See: Results on deciding trends
Which is why the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and just about every other meteorological and climatological agency defines that length of time as around 30 years.
What's so special about "around 30 years"?
The real answer is nothing. Thirty years might be the recent frequency of recent PDO shifts but other than that there's no statistical magic quality in the number 30. A stronger trend would be discernable in a shorter period of time. However since the current warming appears easily overwhelmed, it "disappears into the noise" and I'll guess that's why scientists have hung their hat on the magic 30 year number.
There IS a statistical quality in the 30 years...
30 years has been statistically determined to be a more appropriate period for climate research, such that it includes several cycles of known natural variability, in particular solar cycles, but also ENSO cycles (not very regular).
Jim Eager replied on Permalink
You didn't read
Robert Grumbine's statistical analysis showing how 30 years is determined by the data itself, did you klapper?
"...how 30 years is determined by the data itself..."
In one sense I agree with you Jim. The signal is very weak relative to the noise, hence the need for 30 years to see it reliably. However, if that is true, and if Swanson and Tsonis are right we won't know about the alleged climate regime change of 2001/2002 until 2032. I think actually long before that we'll know if there was a regime change in 2002.
schorschi replied on Permalink
The big picture
From Swanson and Tsonis (2007):
"Moreover, we caution that the shifts described here are presumably superimposed upon a long term warming trend due to anthropogenic forcing."
That's the problem with the FoS: they don't want to see the big picture - for which the 2002-2009 trend is essentially irrelevant (as much as the, let's say, 70s trend is irrelevant).
The 2002-2009 trend will be interesting. As it stands, the T increase for 2009 will be 0.1C and the current El Ninjo will continue with more T increase for 2010. The FoS will have even more pain finding cooling in the 2002-2010 short term trend, their last lifeboat on the ocean of cherry trends.
You have a short memory
Remember January of 2007, and how Phil Jones of the CRU said 2007 was going to be the warmest year ever (thanks to the El Nino that started in late '06)? It didn't happen, did it?
Phlogiston replied on Permalink
Warmest since records began!
Wow. That's all of 1.5% of the time since the end of the last Ice Age.
Taking this period as a whole temperatures have been warmer than the present almost throughout (e.g. Houghton, J.T., et al (Eds.). 1990. Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK., Esper, J. and Schweingruber, F.H. 2004. Large-scale treeline changes recorded in Siberia. Geophysical Research Letters 31: 10.1029).
And while the Earth was simmering in this preindustrial heat, deserts shrank and civiisations flourished. Much like they do today in fact.
Yes the Sahara IS shrinking (Nicholson,S.E. 2001. Climatic and environmental change in Africa during the last two centuries. Climate Research 17: 123-144.) and global primary productivity (photosynthesis) is increasing (Young, S.S. and Harris, R. 2005. Changing patterns of global-scale vegetation photosynthesis, 1982-1999. International Journal of Remote Sensing 26: 4537-4563).
You demand references, Dennis, I can provide them!
mascereye replied on Permalink
Reclaiming the World of Real Science: Heartland Institute Vs Real Climate
By Lubos Motl, The Reference Frame on SPPI
The Heartland Institute organizes a climate conference in March that is, unlike the conferences that you usually hear about in the media, open to climate skeptics and experts regardless of their political opinions or overall sentiments about the relationship between Nature and human civilization. The organizers have sent invitations to many kinds of climate experts, including some of the well-known champions of the climate alarm. These invitations have provoked a hysterical reaction from RealClimate.org. The profoundly concerned scientists describe all the scientists who will attend - before they actually know who they are - as being corrupt by the "evil" oil industry, not being scientists at all, as people being paid concrete amounts of money to fabricate papers and talks, and so on. Their talks are described as "tobacco science". The RealClimate "group" explains that the participants are not scientists at all - before they actually know who is attending - and they encourage the participants to skip the talks and enjoy a nice hotel in New York instead. They wouldn't hear any science at all, so it is important that the participants can't hear the talks…
Their smear job is so blatant, hostile, and inconsistent with any kind of a reasonable, balanced, open-minded, or scientific analysis of a question that I can't really believe that there exist people who are intelligent enough to learn how to read but antediluvian enough to be influenced by this incredibly transparent propaganda.
mascereye replied on Permalink
i can't help it
Over at Real Climate, AP reporter Seth Borenstein calls out Michael Mann and Gavin Schmidt for misrepresenting interviews he did with each of them. Blogs are useful for holding the media accountable, but the directionality can work the other way as well.
One group of workers in the field of climate change has managed to make global warming appear worse than we originally thought. This group includes Michael Mann, Eric Steig, Caspar Ammann and Steven Stefan Rahmstorf. They are all also contributors to the Real Climate weblog, a compendium of global warming information that strongly supports the theory that humans are endangering the planet by emitting CO2 and warming the planet. thomas fuller
schorschi replied on Permalink
champions of the climate alarm?
Who do you refer the term "champions of the climate alarm" to? Scientists? Sorry, you disqualify yourself. Heartland institute, not my kind of beer.
the Heartland conference...
…has run in the past with the explicit subtitle "disproving anthropogenic global warming" and included talks in which it was claimed AGW was a socialist conspiracy to create a communist world government. In fact, the Heartland institute endorses a presentation by Christopher Monckton in which he claims something similar.
No self-respecting scientist would go even close to such a conference organised by such an organisation.
mascereye replied on Permalink
these responses were supposed to be part of an answer to fern's response about realclimate further down the column. there are many others. google realclimate BS haha and the list keeps on giving. wake up marco. its not a hidden agenda any longer. you dont have to hide anymore. this is about control. wake the f up.
Can't handle the truth about the Heartland institute, and thus attack Realclimate. What is it with deniers and their inability to react on-topic and not admit their heroes being part of an immensely questionable organisation?
mascereye replied on Permalink
i was on topic. ferny decided to give someone an assignment to find out the truth about this bs and read realclimate. i did a search about them and came up with about three pages of dishonest stuff they produce. i was relaying this info to the "new student" . maybe ferny would read it as well. none of these were my quotes. what is it with alarmists and their inability to see the light. green-agenda.org will let you read about your heroes. i'll keep reading about mine.
Prove it.
How about you link to one of those pages and point out exactly what you consider to be dishonest.
Or are you just making a baseless smear?
mascereye replied on Permalink
scroll baby scroll
just scroll down PAL. after ferny remark. i list many.maybe you can go thru them and remark on the points. start with steig and his conclusion on the antarctic which might not be listed. of course mann and his hockey stick is still in play with you bats so to convince you will be difficult.


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The healthcare industry is evolving rapidly, and that is good news for all involved. It has become increasingly apparent that the norms, approaches, and standards of the past can no longer suffice in light of steadily mounting healthcare challenges.
Healthcare industry leaders are even now seeking out and making use of new techniques and approaches that will allow them to face the future with more confidence. At one upcoming healthcare conference predictive analytics, for example, is set to be a subject of particular focus.
Analyzing Data to Draw Conclusions About the Future
Many healthcare organizations have become dedicated to amassing and analyzing as much data as possible. While this can be difficult work, it can also yield conclusions and insights that could not be obtained by any other means.
In the average case, organizations focus mostly on discovering what their data tells them about how things stand at the moment. From looking at how particular types of spending pay off to highlighting current patients who need more attention, such work can be some of the most important and valuable of all.
On the other hand, it is also frequently possible to use data to start making informed predictions about the future. Success in this area can enable benefits of almost inconceivable value.
Since someone who comes down with diabetes or congestive pulmonary disorder might thereafter need more healthcare for life, identifying those who are at most at risk of developing such chronic conditions can pay off more than almost any other accomplishment. Some healthcare organizations are now discovering that effective usage of predictive analytics can allow such breakthroughs and others.
Improved Access to an Evolving Set of Best Practices and Approaches
Even so, predictive analytics as applied to the healthcare industry remains a relatively youthful discipline. Although there have been plenty of success stories and impressively productive initiatives already, it is fair to say that the average organization will not yet be positioned, by default, to participate productively.
Because of this, a recent focus on the dissemination of related findings throughout the industry deserves plenty of attention and praise. With the top healthcare industry conferences and summits increasingly including sessions that center on predictive analytics, this powerful tool is becoming much more accessible.


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BACKGROUND IMAGE: iSTOCK/GETTY IMAGES
iSTOCK/GETTY IMAGES
Veritas' StorageCentral formidable storage resource management application
Veritas' StorageCentral may be Windows-only, but it's still a formidable storage resource management application.
|Product snapshot
This realization has renewed interest in SRM applications, such as Veritas Software Corp.'s StorageCentral 5.2, which is one of a new crop of SRM programs, such as AppIQ Inc.'s StorageAuthority Suite and Northern Parklife Inc.'s Storage Suite, among others. These products demonstrate that a significant ROI is possible when applying software to a storage management problem.
Veritas StorageCentral Standard Edition supports Windows environments including XP, NT, 2000, Server 2003 and Storage Server 2003. Minimum system requirements vary, depending on the functionality of the agent being installed, but typically a supported operating system with 512MB of main memory, 50MB of disk space for the agent and some additional disk space for the database will be sufficient.
Installing the agents and options require varying levels of administrative access. StorageCentral Standard Edition requires only local administrative access, while the Active Directory (AD) and Network Appliance Inc. (NetApp) editions require local and domain administrative access. During installation, two additional groups are created to read and modify the AD: SCRead and SCWrite. StorageCentral also requests an administration account name to manage its services. If you use the system account to manage these services, you're likely to run into an identification error when launching the application. This is a known problem and the workaround is available and documented on Veritas' Web site.
For mass installations, StorageCentral can be installed on a Microsoft Systems Management Server (SMS), and then propagated to networked clients.
Client agents are installed on each of the managed application servers and are responsible for sending raw information about storage resources to the database. During installation, you can choose whether the database is local to each instance of StorageCentral or centralized to the "managing" instance. By default, the database of choice is Access, but you can use SQL Server to tap its richer feature set.
Veritas offers an AD edition of StorageCentral that lets you normalize your storage resource policies across the enterprise by writing into the AD. To enable this functionality, AD's schema must be modified during the installation to add attributes and classes to the layout. This happens automatically during installation of the AD option, as does the population of the AD with registry data.
The NetApp filer option allows the network-attached storage (NAS) resources to be managed in the same way that direct-attached storage (DAS) or a storage area network (SAN) is managed through the connected application server. For this option, the minimum supported filer OS version is Ontap 6.4, and the common Internet file system (CIFS) and the simple network management protocol (SNMP) must be enabled and configured. Because Ontap 6.4 is not a full-blown operation system, a general-purpose Windows server running a remote agent and Microsoft Management Console (MMC) must be in the same domain as the filer(s) it will manage. In addition, a share named "Veritas" must be configured on each filer you want to register and monitor with the remote agent. A single remote agent can manage multiple filers.
Installation of StorageCentral 5.2 Standard Edition and the options requires a reboot of the Windows server and NetApp filer. This is disruptive, and could be a serious impediment to implementation for application users responsible for managing 24x7 applications. Perhaps SRM applications should be offered as network-based applications, so the service could be turned on at the port, and the associated resources discovered and reported on.
|Pricing for Veritas StorageCentral
These are typical prices; volume discounts are also available.
Usability and interface
StorageCentral's user interface is built around MMC, which offers a consistent view when interacting with other Windows-based administrative applications. Managed objects appear on the left, and the details of those objects can be manipulated in the right pane. Depending on whether you use Active Directory to manage your resources, the managed objects pane will either outline the local computer and your Microsoft network with their associated subheadings (managed objects, policies and reports) or outline your organizational units being managed by AD. However, the manageability and navigation of resources are consistent regardless of the approach you choose.
Administrators also can use the StorageCentral Explorer snap-in tool to access and manage storage resources from anywhere using Internet Explorer 5.5 or later.
One of the problems associated with SRM solutions is that they need to deal directly with storage users to request that they do something about their space utilization. StorageCentral e-mails report directly to users asking them to review a list of files that have not been accessed for a long time.
With StorageCentral, users can delete dormant files directly from the e-mailed report. This is important because in order for SRM solutions to be successful, user involvement has to be straightforward, easy and not disruptive. Allowing users to remedy problems without many additional mouse clicks should improve the likelihood of effective user participation in resource management.
StorageCentral 5.2 comes bundled with predefined policies and alarms that make it easy to start using the product quickly. The predefined elements can be modified to suit specific processing needs. And administration is simplified because Windows and Ontap commands can be executed within StorageCentral.
The product isn't intended as a discovery tool to tell you what physical resources--arrays, tape libraries and so forth--you have in your storage environment. Rather, it determines the amount of disk usage that an individual server or application is using. It does this by interrogating the NTFS to obtain meta data regarding the configured volumes on the server.
StorageCentral allows you to set soft limits with "overdraft" protection in your policies. For example, you can define a user quota at 100MB and an additional 10MB of on-the-fly storage. If the overdraft storage is used, the user is notified with a report that says the quota was exceeded. StorageCentral also can be configured to allow all open files to be saved, even if the save would put the user over the preset quota. The user is notified of the violation, but isn't in jeopardy of losing data.
That's as far as StorageCentral goes with provisioning storage. I'd like to have seen more in the way of actually provisioning or extending volumes on-the-fly to satisfy user appetites. SRM solutions should be more than quota management; they should address all of the tasks associated with monitoring (discovery), managing (policies) and provisioning storage resources end-to-end, on an application basis. Some form of hierarchical storage management (HSM) also should be included to provision the correct type of storage.
StorageCentral filters files by extension or by signature content. Because of the latter, simply changing the extension of a file will not circumvent a policy. File groups--which can be seen as a text file with a pattern-matching list of absolute pathnames--are used to determine which files will be prevented from being saved on the managed node's disks.
Policies can also be applied on a server basis. For example, if you deployed a large number of servers, applying a predefined computer policy would result in the target servers' devices and folders inheriting the standardized management policy.
StorageCentral adds support for Unicode characters. Unicode provides a unique number for every character regardless of platform, program or language. Widespread adoption of Unicode will allow applications to be ported anywhere and across computing platforms without reengineering. It's important to note, however, that there may be some compatibility issues with earlier versions of StorageCentral consoles, agents and collectors. Check with Veritas to ensure compatibility.
StorageCentral's reporting is rich, allowing you to modify bundled reports, e-mail reports and have users act on violations directly from mailed reports. When you receive a report, you can further distill it by applying additional filters and sorting. This means that you don't have to generate as many reports to satisfy each application owner. For example, one predefined report displays a list of files not being backed up. Instead of producing a report for each application server that comes online, you can distribute a generic report and let users filter and sort to view only the server and files they're interested in.
Other reports--such as the Duplicate Files and Show MP3 Files reports--can help reclaim storage space if duplicate files or prohibited media files are being improperly stored on the server or network-attached storage (NAS) device.
Environment and performance
StorageCentral is ideally suited for large Windows-based server environments with standardized AD administration and an abundance of NetApp NAS filers. As the product is currently offered, these environments will yield the greatest ROI.
But this configuration is not representative of the majority of IT server environments. In most IT shops, the majority of SAN and NAS solutions are still servicing Unix servers. A Unix version of the product would likely boost its chances of acceptance.
StorageCentral scales at the domain level with collectors and remote agents for NetApp filers. Multiple collectors and NetApp remote agents can exist in a single domain, but they can't manage storage resources across domains because domain-level privileges are necessary for the installation of AD and NetApp editions of StorageCentral. This approach makes sense because most Windows-based security policies start at the domain level.
SNMP plays an important role when supporting NetApp filers. It is used to send management data between the filer and the StorageCentral remote agent configured in the same domain. Therefore, SNMP must be enabled on both the filer and the server hosting the remote agent. Network managers should be pleased that StorageCentral has its own registered object identifier for enhanced management in Hewlett-Packard's OpenView and other similar applications.
Performance scales well with the number of managed hosts because rather than touching every file on the managed host, agents scan the meta data in the NTFS master file table to derive statistical information. This also helps to expedite the creation of reports. A single collector agent can service large domains. Any scaling limitation is likely to arise from the fact that report generation is memory intensive, so a large number of managed nodes may require an increase in the memory on the collector.
I didn't find it necessary to use Veritas' support line during the course of testing. The product manuals, a best practices white paper and even a trial copy of the StorageCentral V5.2 software are all available as downloads from the Veritas Web site. I also took advantage of a live demonstration session that was being offered on a regular basis. The downloads and demonstration make it easy to test StorageCentral before considering a purchase.
Overall, StorageCentral is a good economic and administrative solution for large Windows-based environments that are standardized on AD and NetApp filers. It reaches into these entities and extends your management arm to eliminate waste on your SAN and NAS infrastructures. Veritas suggests that by using StorageCentral, as much as 30% of current storage can be reclaimed and procurement can be cut by up to 25%. Its simple design and interface let you locate and group storage resources, apply extensive corporate policies and then manage those policies through a solid set of reporting features.
Still, enterprise SRM solutions must include the entire enterprise and do more in the way of provisioning. Because StorageCentral currently only supports Windows environments and lacks provisioning, a large part of an enterprise's resource management problem is likely to continue, making it necessary to deploy another solution to address those issues.
Related Resources
- Storage Optimization Analytics: An Overview –Accenture


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Had your breakfast yet? Might be best not to watch this man assemble his head on an empty stomach. Still, however disgusting, it's one of the cooler effects I've seen in a while.
Of course, how they expect something this stomach-churning to sell "juicy spring water" is beyond me. [OHYST]


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Dual-line metering devices
The durable, galvanized steel VSL metering devices are designed for dual-line systems with pressures of up to 400 bar (5 800 psi). These metering devices are available with up to eight outlets, and each pair of outlets is equipped with an indicator pin for visual monitoring.
Also, the VSL metering devices are available with low-wear proximity switches, or piston detectors, for electrical monitoring. Additional features include rust-resistant material.
Features and benefits:
- Easy cross-porting with external screw to combine
- Solid-block construction for durability and error-free exchange
- Operates effectively in a wide range of temperatures
Easy to monitor
The VSL metering devices can be used in dual-line lubrication systems in:
- Steel plants
- Cement plants
- Mining excavators
Discover more:
Technical features
Related downloads
Configure the product according your needs, download the CAD file


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Considering a symmetric cipher (i.e : AES in counter mode), is it possible for any given key to be randomly decomposed into other keys without knowing the message or the ciphertext, such as :
100 = 45+55 (or) 30+70 (or) 25*4 (or)...
Key1 = Key2|Key3 (or) Key4|Key5 (or)...
For any message, applying
Key1 or
Key2|Key3 would have the same encryption/decryption result.
One-time pad would be an option but it is not very practical because it would take the same length as the message. I am open to all suggestion. Thanks !


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I have a couple of friends who send out hundreds Tweets or Facebook updates every day. You probably know the type, the ones who think you really want to know every time they're crossing the road, or taking the dog out for a walk. What if there was a way for them to send all of those updates automatically, without having to wear out their thumbs?
That's the thinking behind Ping, a proposed line of tech enabled clothing from designer Jennifer Darmour. Ping has embedded electronics that can sense what your doing, then send updates automatically using an interface that runs Lilypad and Lilypad Xbee software. When somebody responds it can let you know with a gentle tap on the shoulder, and you can even assign different tapping patterns to different people. That way you'll know when the creepy guy from high school is excited that you've just unbuttoned your coat.
I'm all for social networking, but I think Ping takes keeping in touch with your friends to new levels of absurdity. It seems like this would be great for stalker types, but hopefully you haven't friended them, have you?
GET MORE at Born Rich


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Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses that includes viruses that may cause a range of illnesses in humans, from the common cold to SARS. Viruses of this family also cause a number of animal diseases.
Novel coronavirus is a particular strain of coronavirus that has not been previously identified in humans. There is very limited information on transmission, severity and clinical impact with only a small number of cases reported thus far.


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Buy 2 Get 1 Free Cinzano Gran Dolce - Spumante Sweet
Retail Price ¥330
51% Off
Save : ¥170
Awards & Ratings
Boutique Winery
Tasting Note
- Amber
- Golden
- Pale Green
- Rose
- Straw
- Fruity
- Toasted
- Flower
- Mineral
- Spices
- Vegetal
- Woody
- Others
- Fruity
- Toasted
- Flower
- Mineral
- Spices
- Vegetal
- Woody
- Others
Food Pairing
Moon Cake, Beijing Rolling Donkey
Lemon Tart, Apple Pie
This country has about as many wines as its had governments. With 20 different regions, hundreds of DOCs and even more indigenous varieties, the amount of wine made in Italy is mind-boggling. Most of the juice, however, remains in the country for thirsty Italians. Wine is food in Italy and its rare that a meal is consumed without a glass of vino. That said, it's not common to find many folks drinking wine without food either. In turn, it's a match, and a mighty good one at that. In fact, it's safe to say that Italian wine is a foodie wine – one that goes on the table for a myraid of meals.
For regions, the most popular are Tuscany (home of Chianti), Piedmont and the Tre-Venezie, which includes Veneto, Trentino Alto-Adige and Friuli. Other communes of note are in Southern Italy, and a few good wines are made elsewhere in the country. The islands of Sardinia and Sicily are members of the Italian winemaking community as well. Presently, there are 120 IGT zones, 311 DOC plus 32 DOCG appellations. It has four classes of wine:
- Vino da Tavola - The appellation indicates either an inferior quaffing wine. Some quality wines do carry this appellation.
- Indicazione Geografica Tipica (IGT) - Denotes wine from a more specific region within Italy.
- Denominazione di Origine Controllata (DOC) – The zone is more specific than in IGT, and the permitted grapes are also better defined.
- Denominazione di Origine Controllata e Garantita (DOCG) - The wine must pass a blind taste test for quality in addition to conforming to the strict legal requirements of the area.


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Amid the slew of year-end appointments to judicial nominating commissions across the state was one for the seven-county 13th Judicial District.
Gov. John Hickenlooper announced the appointment of Edward Zorn of Fort Morgan to serve as an attorney and Republican member of the commission, which selects nominees for district and county judicial vacancies. Zorn will serve from Jan. 1, 2014 to Dec. 31, 2019.
According to the release making the announcement, each district nominating commission is chaired by a justice of the Supreme Court, who is a non-voting member of the commission. Commission members serve six-year terms. Non-lawyers, who are the majority of every nominating commission, are appointed by the governor. Lawyer members are appointed by joint action of the governor, attorney general and chief justice.
The beginning of Zorn's term will be marked by selecting nominees for a Sedgwick County judge. The nominating committee will meet Jan. 21, 2014, at the Logan County Justice Center to interview candidates. Applications for the vacancy are due by 4 p.m. Jan. 6 to Thirteenth Judicial District Nominating Commission, Justice Allison H. Eid, Ex Officio Chair, 2 E. 14th Avenue, Clerk's Office, Denver, CO 80203.
Also serving on the 13th District nominating commission are Jeffrey Cure, Burlington; Kerri Hansen, Yuma; Thomas Ward, Sterling; David Garnas, Julesburg; and Jerold Brandt, Holyoke. The commission, which serves Kit Carson, Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington and Yuma counties, has one non-attorney vacancy.
Contact Journal-Advocate managing editor Sara Waite at 970-526-9310 or email@example.com


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Anywhere-access to Office documents in Office 365
Posted by on 05 June 2018 02:22 PM
Documents stored in your Office 365 libraries are available on a wide variety of devices, including tablets, phones, and computers where Office is not installed. Sign in to Office 365, go to your OneDrive library or team site, and then click (or tap) the name of a Word, Excel, PowerPoint, OneNote, or PDF document. The document opens in your browser, in Office Online.
Office Online also opens Word, Excel, PowerPoint, and PDF attachments in Outlook Web App. Just use the Preview command, below the document tile in the message.
In Lync Web App, you can view and edit OneNote notes in a meeting (Point to Share, click OneNote, and then click the notebook to open it).
Cell phone access
On a cell phone, browse to a library or follow a link to a document in Office 365. The document opens (for viewing only) in the phone's browser. On Windows Phone 7 and later, which includes Office Mobile applications, you can edit as well as view documents.
Note: There is no phone-based web app for OneNote. Instead, install the OneNote app for your iPhone or your Android phone. OneNote Mobile is included on Windows Phone 7 and later.
For details, see Use Office Online on your Android, iPhone, or Windows Phone. If your phone is some other type (such as BlackBerry or Symbian), see Use Office Online on your cell phone.


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Community: Lake Lure in Rutherford County
5.43 Commercial Acres Parcel ID#'s 1612484 2.27 Acres & 1612485 3.16 Acres --Only 6 miles from Lake Lure Beach-- Commercial building lot for Industry, Office, Diner/Restaurant, Personal Residence, Rental Cabins, Eco Cottages, Mountain Retreat Lodge, Hotel, Permanent Foundation Tiny Home Subdivision, Etc... --General Rutherford County Zoning Standards Apply. **Buyer to Confirm Commercial Septic Tank & Drain-field Design/Placement & Commercial Well Pump Placement** Small Private Cemetery middle of highest point where the 2 lots meet. Current Contract w/Retail Customer May Add Additional Commercial Restrictions inquire with Listing Agent --Some Flood Plain at Rivers edge -see attachments. ... see more property features
The data relating to real estate on this Web site derive in part from the Carolina Multiple Listing Services, Inc. IDX program. Brokers make an effort to deliver accurate information, but buyers should independently verify any information on which they will rely in a transaction. All properties are subject to prior sale, change or withdrawal. Neither nor any listing broker shall be responsible for any typographical errors, misinformation, or misprints, and they shall be held totally harmless from any damages arising from reliance upon this data. This data is provided exclusively for consumer -- personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties they may be interested in purchasing. © 2020 Carolina Multiple Listing Services, Inc. Data updated Apr 06, 2020.
Copyright © 2020. All rights reserved.
Directions: From Hendersonville: US-64 E/Chimney Rock Rd 19.7 Miles; Slight left onto US-64 E/US-74 ALT E 2.7 Miles; Sign Located on the Corner of Lot#2 -- Across from Office for Sale 110 Bills Creek Road on US-64 E/US-74 ALT E
Disclaimer: The map service includes search results such as listings and related information provided by third parties. Beverly-Hanks makes no representations or warranties regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided by these third parties.
Listed by Exit Realty Vistas
Waterfront mountain real estate is something that is rare indeed. What's more, there is a unique variety of homes in Lake Lure ranging from the historic to the modern, from the somewhat rustic to the state of the art. Here at Beverly-Hanks, we pride ourselves on our deep relationship with the area, as well as our vast knowledge of Lake Lure property, land, and its unique, storied history.
Quick Link: Lake Lure Homes and Land for Sale
Nestled at the southern end of Lake Lure is the Read More
Waterfront mountain real estate is something that is rare indeed. What's more, there is a unique variety of homes in Lake Lure ranging from the historic to the modern, from the somewhat rustic to the state of the art. Here at Beverly-Hanks, we pride ourselves on our deep relationship with the area, as well as our vast knowledge of Lake Lure property, land, and its unique, storied history.
Quick Link: Lake Lure Homes and Land for Sale
Nestled at the southern end of Lake Lure is the Rumbling Bald Resort, whose residents make up approximately half of the town's population. The resort's residents and guests have access to a marina and a recreation center featuring a host of outdoor amusements and sports, food and drink, and swimming areas—both in the lake and shoreside pools. Homes sold within Rumbling Bald account for a sizable portion of the homes sold on and near the lake.
Quick Link: Find a Lake Lure Real Estate Professional
Beverly-Hanks has an office conveniently located in the Rumbling Bald Resort on Lake Lure. If you're searching for homes and land in Lake Lure, our expert real estate agents are available to help. Your Beverly-Hanks & Associates REALTOR® is backed by an outstanding support staff and committed to the highest standards of customer service.
Find the homes in Lake Lure that allow you to Live the Life You Choose. Click below to search Lake Lure real estate for your ideal listings.
Quick Link: Lake Lure Market Information
For home mortgage services through Beverly-Hanks & Associates, visit our Mortgage Services office in downtown Asheville, NC.
Lake Lure is located about half an hour southeast of Asheville, NC on Highway Alt 74, just a few miles from Chimney Rock. The town is equidistant from Rutherford Regional Medical Center and Pardee Hospital, which is managed by UNC Health Care and is the first and only hospital in North Carolina to be accredited with the International Organization for Standardization for quality health care standards. Nearby are Rutherford County schools (elementary, middle, and high school). Chimney Rock State Park is located nearby, which offers hiking, outreach, and gorgeous mountain views.
Chimney Rock: 7 minutes
Rutherfordton: 25 minutes
Fairview: 28 minutes
Tryon: 28 minutes
Black Mountain: 38 minutes
Fletcher: 38 minutes
Asheville Regional Airport: 40 minutes
Downtown Asheville: 45 minutes
Downtown Hendersonville: 50 minutes
Rutherford County, NC is a mostly rural county of about 64,000 residents that is becoming a popular spot for those looking to retire or invest in a second home. At the base of the Blue Ridge Mountains, the landscape includes rolling rivers and dramatic vistas. Many of the county's small towns, such as Lake Lure and Chimney Rock are seeing increased development as luxury communities and resorts are built, contributing to the area's economy.
Lake Lure is in Rutherford County, NC. Lake Lure residents pay both city and Rutherford County property taxes, as totaled below. Tax rates are per $100 of assessed valuation.
Rutherford County: $ 0.607
Lake Lure: $ 0.796
Lake Lure Municipal Fire: $ 0.694
Lake Lure is a vibrant and active community. Read about recent news, events, and real estate market updates for the area on the Beverly-Hanks blog.


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View upcoming events & register
Osteoarthritis causes the cartilage that covers the ends of the bones in a joint to deteriorate. The result is painful. As bone begins to rub against bone, pain increases, and loss of movement accelerates. Many people experience this discomfort for years, mistakenly believing that they are "too young" to suffer from joint problems or that "nothing can be done" to help.
Joint replacement is a surgical procedure in which a worn out or injured joint is replaced with a new, artificial joint. Depending on the patient's medical situation, lifestyle, age, and other factors, the type of surgery and materials used will vary. Valley Medical Center's surgeons carefully assess the procedure and materials most appropriate to each patient's unique needs.
More than 1 million Americans have a hip or knee replaced each year.1 The Joint Center at Valley Medical Center performed nearly 1,000 surgeries last year alone.
An acclaimed model for best practices and recently celebrating our 10th anniversary, The Joint Center is led by nationally recognized surgeons in procedures, implant design and research, along with our team of specialized joint replacement nurses and therapists.
State-of-the-art surgical techniques and implant selection, brand new facilities on a dedicated floor in our South Tower, attentive care and personalized therapy, private rooms and the success of more than 5,000 surgeries since it was opened make The Joint Center your top choice for joint replacement.
"It all felt better after I had it done."
David, a lifelong athlete, has had four joint replacements at Valley—two knees, a hip and a shoulder. He's getting back into shape again now that he's able to be active and pain-free. Read Full Story
Copyright 2012 - 2020 Valley Medical Center. All rights reserved.


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Make every birthday special no matter where you are.
You're strong, but military life can be challenging. Here are ways to talk, listen, and connect.
Your work helps military families stay strong. Here are ways to watch, ask, and share
Make every birthday special no matter where you are.
Empower your family to make healthy choices.
Prepare your family for reunions.
Transition out of the military, navigate change, and start your new adventure.
Maintain a sense of comfort through military changes.
Encourage your child to let out his feelings.
Make moving a positive experience for your military children.
Develop strategies for coping with pre-deployments and deployments.
Note: the following topics deal with sensitive subjects. We recommend that you preview this content before using it with your child.
Establish a "new normal" after physical or mental injuries.
Help your military family cope after the death of a loved one.
Access our Little Children, Big Challenges family support services, kids learning sites, and other resources for military children, which help all families of military service build the skills they need to be resilient.


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"Dancing With the Stars" co-host Brooke Burke and actor David Charvet have put their Malibu house up for sale at $12.5 million.
Designed to evoke the south of France, where Charvet was born, the chateau-style home is in the Serra Retreat neighborhood. An 18th century fountain and sculpture courtyard sit outside the 6,769-square-foot house, which is reached from a gated stone driveway. More than three-quarters of an acre includes extensive lawns, a 200-bush rose garden, an orchard, a pool and a cabana.
Hand-plastered walls, hand-carved limestone and walnut flooring, imported French fireplaces and sculpted doors are among the details in the five-bedroom, 41/2-bathroom house. A hidden screening room, a 4,000-bottle wine cellar, a wood-paneled office and lower-level bonus room complete the residence.
Burke, 39, was the dance show's Season 7 champion and started hosting the competition in 2010. Charvet, 39, played Matt Brody on "Baywatch" from 1992 to '95 and starred last year in the TV movie "The Perfect Teacher."
He bought the property in 1998 for $1,275,000 as a tear down and built the house from the ground up.
Susan Monus of Coldwell Banker, Malibu West, is the listing agent.
Host your own follies in Holmby Hills
A Holmby Hills estate once owned by Ziegfeld Follies headliner and radio star Fanny Brice has come on the market at $65 million. The owners are Richard King of King World Productions and his interior designer wife, Lauren.
Originally constructed in 1938, the Hollywood Regency-style mansion was rebuilt and expanded over more than five years. The 2-acre property also has a guesthouse, a swimming pool, a pool house/gym and a lighted tennis court. The 17,000-square-foot house has eight bedrooms and 14 bathrooms.
Brice owned the home from the year it was built until her death in 1951 at 59. She was played by Barbra Streisand in the Broadway musical and 1968 film "Funny Girl."
King World, a television syndication company that is now part of CBS, brought "Our Gang" and Merv Griffin's "Wheel of Fortune" to new generations of TV viewers.
The Kings bought the house in 2001 for $15 million, according to Times archives.
Loren Judd of Coldwell Banker, Beverly Hills North, is the listing agent.
Laker moves forward in house deal
Update: Los Angeles Lakers forward Lamar Odom has sold his Manhattan Beach bachelor pad for $2.1 million.
The house was listed for $2,399,000 in 2009, a couple of months after Odom married Khloe Kardashian. It came back on the market in May at $2,199,999.
The custom Mediterranean, built in 2002, has a two-story foyer, a hand-carved wet bar, three stone fireplaces, an office and a three-car garage. The 4,181-square-foot house has five bedrooms — some used by Odom as closet space — and five bathrooms.
A stepped terrace off the back of the house leads to a built-in barbecue area, a gas fire pit and a swimming pool and spa.
The two-time NBA champion, 31, bought the house in 2006 for $2.7 million, public records show. The east Manhattan Beach location is near the Lakers' practice center and the airport.
Odom, who started his NBA career with the Clippers in 1999, came to the Lakers in 2004 after a year with the Miami Heat.
Kardashian, 27, stars on "Keeping Up With the Kardashians" (2007-present), on which Odom has also appeared. They also star on "Khloe & Lamar" (2011).
Edward Kaminsky of Shorewood Realtors, Manhattan Beach, had the listing, according to the Multiple Listing Service, while Paul Cooney of Shorewood, Redondo Beach, represented the buyer.
Turning some heads in Bel-Air
The onetime Bel-Air home of silent film star and early "it girl" Clara Bow is listed at $6,995,000.
Built in 1928, the Spanish-style house includes a ballroom, a rooftop deck and enclosed sleeping porches. The 8,900-square-foot main house has six bedrooms and 71/2 bathrooms.
A newly built guesthouse with a bedroom and bathroom sits above the three-car garage. At nearly three-quarters of an acre, the lot has a swimming pool and a motor court.
Bow, who died in 1965 at 60, epitomized the Roaring Twenties as a flapper and sex symbol. Among her nearly five dozen film appearances: starring roles in the 1927 hits "Wings" and "It," earning the nickname "The It Girl" and popularizing the expression.
The property last sold in 1991 for $2,475,000, public records show.
Scott Tamkin of the Nest Real Estate Group at Keller Williams, Brentwood, is the listing agent.
An opening in the Beverly Hills area
Jay McGraw, an executive producer of several of his father's "Dr. Phil" specials, and his wife, former model Erica Dahm, have put their Beverly Hills Post Office-area home on the market at $6.25 million.
The contemporary Mediterranean, completed in 2006, is a 6,980-square-foot house with a two-story entry, sweeping staircase, five bedrooms and six bathrooms. The nearly half-acre property includes a swimming pool with spa and a cabana-covered outdoor living and dining room.
McGraw, 31, is the creator and executive producer of the Daytime Emmy-winning series "The Doctors" (2008-11). He is chief executive of L.A.-based Stage 29 Productions, which he founded with his dad.
Dahm, 33, is one of identical triplets featured in the December 1998 issue of Playboy. They have appeared together on TV shows including "Family Feud" (2008) and "Renovate My Family" (2004-06).
The couple bought the property in 2007 for $4,995,000, according to the MLS.
Bill Dolan of Hilton & Hyland, Beverly Hills, is the listing agent.
Legal grounds in Los Feliz
A Los Feliz house built for civil rights attorney Ben Margolis, who defended the blacklisted "Hollywood 10" in the McCarthy era, has come on the market at $1,999,951.
Designed by Gregory Ain to emphasize indoor-outdoor living and constructed in 1952, the main house features clerestory windows and sliding walls of glass. The 2,883 square feet of living space include four bedrooms and four bathrooms.
Ain is known for his Mar Vista Modernique development of homes built in the late '40s.
Case Study House architect Pierre Koenig was commissioned in 2004 to design the property's glass and steel pool house.
The property last changed hands in 1995, when Margolis sold it for $420,000. He died in 1999 at 88.
Karen Medved of Team Medved, Studio City, is the listing agent.


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MWC 15 Special
In the U.S. and around for a decent Android 4.0/Ice Cream Sandwich smartphone but you don't want to deal with AT&T or T-Mobile? Well, from today, Google is providing you an alternative. Google started shipping Nexus phones more than two years ago, to give users a pure Google experience. And therefore, Google is continuing with this strategy and started today to sell the Galaxy Nexus (HSPA+) from a new Devices section in the Google Play web store; which allows users to quickly and easily purchase an unlocked version of the phone. The Galaxy Nexus by Samsung runs the latest Android software and comes with all Google mobile services, Google Play and new features like Android Beam and Google+ mobile hangouts.
First available in the U.S., the Galaxy Nexus costs US$ 399 and arrives at your door unlocked, without a carrier commitment or contract. It can be used on the GSM network of choice, including T-Mobile and AT&T. It also comes pre-installed with the Google Wallet app which allows to easily make purchases and redeem offers with a tap of the phone. And to give you a head-start, Google gives you a US$ 10 credit to get you started with your new mobile wallet.
From my recent trip to the U.S. I can say the HSPA+ Galaxy Nexus worked quite well with both networks, AT&T and T-Mobile since it's one of the few smartphones featuring pentaband UMTS/HSDPA/HSUPA which makes it a virtual world traveler.
Cheers ~ Arne
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Home heating quiz: How much heat could your Colorado house leak?
Here are some fun facts to contemplate as colder weather looms this week (forecasts are always a moving target, but some call for a possible rain/snow mix in the wee hours this Friday for Colorado's Front Range).
Guess the answers to all three questions correctly, or even close, and you'll know that at least you're not going uninformed into the heating season.
How much of the air leakage in your home can come from small openings: leaks in doors, windows, fireplaces?


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Announcements & Events from Local Businesses in Todt Hill, NY
NearSay has local news and offers from businesses in Todt Hill, NY. Learn more about Todt Hill businesses.
Most Recent from Todt Hill, NY
FasTracKids provides a variety of academic enrichment courses to young learners throughout New York City. Their offerings include after-school programs, preschool, gifted and talented test prep classes, and reading and math tutoring. Wit...read more
As a parent, you want to do everything possible to give your child a leg up in their academic pursuits. Fortunately, there are some tasks you can do to support their studies and help them realize their full potential. Below, the reading ...read more
Todt Hill, NY
1461 Hylan Blvd
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FasTracKids / Eye Level Learning Center is a New York-based comprehensive academic enrichment center for young children. The learning center runs daytime preschool, after-school, tutoring, test prep, summer camp, and enrichment programs ...
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Enrolling a child in an after school program provides a golden opportunity for additional learning and skill development, but the benefits go far beyond academic growth. Young learne...read more
Preschool introduces children to the joys of learning, providing a solid springboard for all their future academic adventures. But the benefits of preschool go beyond just being a pr...read more
A gifted child possesses some remarkable talents that need to be supported and celebrated. At the same time, there are special considerations that parents must consider to ...read more
For some students, math is full of challenges, strange concepts, and intimidating rules. Fortunately, there are ways to support your child's learning in this subject at home. Here, t...read more
A gifted child will face some unique challenges on their journey of discovery and education. There are many tasks a parent should do—and not do—to better help their child along this ...read more
Although it's important for kids to excel academically, learning to socialize with others is also a critical aspect of their education. According to the staff at FasTracKids / E...read more
If you have a child in preschool, you surely want them to do their best and make efficient use of all the new skills they're learning. One easy way to accomplish these tasks is to br...read more
Working with a tutor will provide your child with the extra support and guidance they need to excel in their studies. However, to get the most out of the time your child spends with ...read more
Most kids look forward to giving their brains a chance to rest over summer break. But "the summer slide" is a very real thing, and it's not uncommon for young learners to lose some o...read more
Eye Level Learning is an educational system that supplements students' academic pursuits with additional help, guidance, and learning opportunities, such as tutoring and after-s...read more
It's a common enough scenario to which most parents can relate. Your child can remember verbatim dialogue from their favorite television show, the lyrics to the latest Top 40 hit, or...read more
Dr. Maria Montessori blazed exciting new trails in education when she theorized that students, not teachers, should direct their own educations. Dr. Montessori's approach revolutioni...read more
Reading is the foundation of one's learning experiences. If a child struggles with reading, it's not uncommon for them to encounter challenges in other academic subjects as well. For...read more
Teaching good organizational skills to your child will serve them well their whole life through. Preschool is an ideal time to introduce your child to organization: what it entails, ...read more
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Politicians and Election, Vote in Freedom, Actively Participate in Democracy, Vote for Change, Online referendum
Rajendra Prasad
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President of india rajendra prasad, dr.rajendra prasad, rajendra prasad president of india, information of dr. rajendra prasad in hindi, about dr rajendra prasad first president of india, dr.rajendra prasad bharat ratna award in hindi, rajendra prasad quotes, भारतीय संस्कृति by rajendra prasad, pics of dr. rajendra prasad the first president of india and more...
Related polls > Sonia Gandhi, Atal Bihari Vajpayee, Narendra Modi, Manmohan Singh, Jawaharlal Nehru, Rajiv Gandhi, Pratibha Patil, Sharad Pawar, Indira Gandhi, Anna Hazare, A. P. J. Abdul Kalam, Jayalalithaa Jayaram, Abhishek Singhvi, Aruna Roy, Lalu Prasad Yadav, Nara Chandrababu Naidu, Y. S. Rajasekhara Reddy, Mayawati Kumari, Rajnath Singh, Mamata Banerjee, (Rajendra Prasad) and more...


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Can you tell us what are the pali words for "meditators" and "Dhamma-experts" in the sutta provided? TksDavid N. Snyder wrote:There are Dhamma-experts who praise only monks who are also Dhamma-experts but not
those who are meditators. And there are meditators who praise only those monks who are also
meditators but not those who are Dhamma-experts. Thereby neither of them will be pleased, and
they will not be practicing for the welfare and happiness of the multitude, for the good of the
multitude, for the welfare and happiness of devas and humans.
Anguttara Nikaya 4.46


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The Heart of the Enterprise in the Digital Era
Digital business transformation has the world abuzz. New models! New threats! New opportunities! We are obsessed with every exciting new-fangled thing that will skyrocket our organizations to unfathomable heights…or leave us a broken heap on the side of the launch pad. Time is moving faster and faster as we speak.


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CARSON, Calif. – When David Beckham tore his Achilles tendon in March, any hopes of seeing him in a Galaxy uniform in 2010 seemed bleak.
A few days short of five months after his fateful injury, however, Beckham returned to the training grounds of the Home Depot Center on Wednesday and re-joined the Galaxy in the first step towards a full recovery.
His first practice session with the team this year was spent performing some light drills on the sidelines and stretching, while the Galaxy ran through an 11-on-11 scrimmage.
[inline_node:315677]Returning to the squad, even if not training for a match on the weekend, is a boost for his morale.
"I've never had to do it before," Beckham said. "It's tough. It's tough not being out at training fields. It's tough not being out playing in games. But these things happen in life. It's about getting over it and getting back out there and I'm ready for that now."
And while the earliest he is eligible to play this season is the Galaxy's Sept. 4 match in Chicago, being back with the team is a major step forward.
Having not been able to participate in the World Cup or any of the Galaxy's games this year, Beckham said he is now ready to concentrate on his task at hand.
"The focus is the team and repairing my tendon. That's the biggest thing to me," he said. "I've been hitting it so hard the last two years, every month, all year round is obviously tough on my body. It's about getting back this season as soon as possible, playing the rest of the season and then taking the time to get the rest in and repair my body and being ready for next season."
Achilles injuries can knock athletes out for six months or more, but Beckham is back ahead of schedule.
[inline_node:315678]"A few people are [surprised], but I'm not. I expected to push myself to the limit and I have," he said. "In my own head I could have been back a month ago. The doctors said Oct. 1, but hopefully it will be a few weeks before that."
However, rushing to come back from the injury could cause long-term damage that might not be easily overcome. Thus, Beckham said, he would have to balance his desire to return along with his future health and fitness.
It's something he has been dealing with essentially from the start of his rehabilitation process. The only difference now is that he's able to run, and playing games is seemingly within reach, which might make the balancing act a bit more challenging.
"Talking to surgeons, talking to doctors I kind of knew what to expect," he said. "The people I spoke to really were kind of saying, 'You have to realize how serious this injury is. You have to take your time, don't rush coming back because if you re-tear it you won't play again.' That kind of stuck in my mind and I kind of listened to the advice of doctors and physios and just did it myself."
As far as returning this season, it seems it is a matter of "when" and not "if." The Galaxy will play four games apiece in September and October, and six of those will be at home.
It's possible, then, that Beckham can still log some meaningful minutes down the stretch. But when he steps onto the field and alongside his teammates for the first time will ultimately come down to him.
"I never feel as if I can push myself enough," he said. "I will know personally when I am ready. Obviously I have to listen to the advice of the doctors, but in the end, it will be me knowing whether I'm ready or not."


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Blogcat's Take, 8/12
Anyway, we've traded the 38th pick of this year's draft, G Kyle Weaver, to Oklahoma City for a 2nd round pick in next year's draft. This transaction signifies either a) nothing of consequence or yet another scouting failure; I'm not sure which. Weaver was supposed be a selfless, solid defender—traits that usually transcend a player's college-to-pro transition. But they didn't—at least in the Summer League—so we've cut Weaver loose. The potential upside of this deal is if OKC continues Seattle's futility and therefore the eventual pick we get next year will be higher up in the second round than this year's 38 (and the pool of talent is also deeper). I'd rather analyze the trade that way, because the alternative conclusion is that we simply guessed wrong on yet another pick.
One other item on this non-news generating week: in a comment to one of my earlier posts, Nate pointed out that our uniforms are ugly—not just ugly, 1980s Houston Astros ugly. However, unlike just about every other aspect of this team, I'm actually not eager to flog the Bobcats on their uniforms. True, the orange is ghastly. It looks like the old Denver Broncos jersey on crack. And yet, I have to give the look points for uniqueness, especially when those alternate blue jerseys are just so generic; they're just like the Knicks/Suns/Wizards (that is, when they're in non-C3PO mode).
But at the same time, I don't think they're transcendently ugly. Nate mentions the Astros, but before we leave our sport for comparisons, I'd ask him to look no further than Houston's basketball team. Those mid-90s Rockets pinstripes were the uniform equivalent of New Coke. Other jerseys that I think are worse than ours (in no particular order):
1. The Philadelphia 76ers. Like the Rockets, their current look is especially unforgivable, because they also had a perfectly decent color scheme that they inexplicably ruined. Throughout the 80s, they had a simple red/blue format with a clean "Sixers" across the chest, and they desecrated it with that Vegas-style font and Viet Cong-black look. Spider-Man did this same switch back in the mid-80s, and the results were so disastrous, the hate mail so abundant (I actually wrote one myself to Marvel Comics at the time and turned it in as a 2nd grade writing assignment—and I got an "A") that they eventually made the black uniform its own villain, Venom.
2. The Wizards. Need I say more? In fact, they're the only team to pull off a double-double of sorts by killing both a cool name (Bullets) and a cool color scheme. And come to think of it, Michael Jordan was in the front office for these guys too! At this rate, let's hope MJ never joins Boston's front-office, otherwise the Celtics might adopt some sort of teal look.
3. The Bucks. Terrible name, terrible color scheme. I've said it before: their emblem is a literal deer-in-the-headlights.
4. The Warriors. I'm one of the few people who doesn't like those retro outfits with the trolley on them—too "hand-drawn" looking.
5. This deserves special mention here: The 2008 US Men's Team uniforms. Cluttered imprints, non-matching patterns, white-on-white lettering and background. Really, if you want to desecrate the flag, it's a lot cheaper to just burn the damned thing. Not since Vanilla Ice's flag-inspired Zubaz have I seen red-white-and-blue butchered so badly. I can't believe Mamba blessed off on those digs.
On the flip side, I love just about everything the Nuggets have ever done. Whether it's the current powder blues, the no-frills orange "Denver" ones, or the incomparably spectacular Alex Englishes with the Atari font and cityscape picture straight out of Missile Command, they simply cannot go wrong in my book.
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