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Thursday, May 15, 2014
Ipsos shows sustained Ontario PC lead
The projection has returned to putting the Tories firmly in control, with 40% support (or between 38% and 44%) against 33.1% for the Liberals (or between 32% and 36%). The New Democrats remain in third at 22%, or between 20% and 24%.
In terms of seats, the PCs are just short of a majority with 53, with the Liberals projected to take 35 seats and the New Democrats 19. The seat ranges for the PCs and Liberals just about overlap, with 44 to 59 seats for the PCs and 28 to 45 seats for the Liberals being the most likely outcome at this stage. The NDP range is from 16 to 22 seats.
It has been some time since the projection has put the Liberals ahead in voting intentions, and I think this is an important point to make. The polls have been in stark disagreement - this is undeniable. But even in this cloud of noise there is a faint signal. In the polls that have put the Liberals ahead, their margin was smaller than the one enjoyed by the Tories in the polls where they were ahead. Over the seven polls conducted in this campaign so far, the Liberals have averaged a 2.4-point lead in the four polls in which they have led. In the three polls in which the Tories have led, that margin has averaged 8.6 points. This means that a completely unweighted average of all the polls conducted in the campaign so far lean PC by just over two points.
between May 6-9. Since that poll, the PCs have picked up two points to lead with 39%, while the Liberals dropped one point to 30%. The NDP was down four points to 24%, while support for other parties (including the Greens) was up three points to 7%.
The number of undecideds increased by four points to 20%.
Aside from that jump in undecideds, none of these shifts appear statistically significant. But they are part of some wider trends.
The Progressive Conservatives have been either holding or gaining support over the last four Ipsos polls, stretching to November 2013 when the party was at just 31%. That grew to 34% in February, held at 37% in April and early May, and is now at 39%. The Liberals, meanwhile, have dropped from 32% in April to 31% earlier this month and 30% this week.
However, it is a different story among likely voters (the tally used by the projection model). Here, the PCs gained one point to 43%, while the Liberals were up three points to 31% and the NDP down five points to 22%. None of these shifts were outside of the margin of error of a probabilistic sample of comparable size, but the Liberals have been making gains among likely voters: 27% in April to 28% earlier this month and 31% this week.
This could potentially be a trend that is aligning with the one recorded by Forum, which does apply a sort of turnout model to its numbers. It could be that the Liberals are falling among the total population, but among those who are actually going to vote they are improving their position.
Regionally, the Tories led in central Ontario with 55%, followed by the NDP at 19% and the Liberals at 15% (down 16 points). They were also ahead in the 905 region of the GTA with 48% to 34% for the Liberals and 16% for the NDP. In eastern Ontario, the PCs led with 44% to 30% for the Liberals and 23% for the NDP.
The New Democrats were narrowly in front in southwestern Ontario with 33% to 30% for the PCs and 27% for the Liberals, while they were more comfortably ahead in northern Ontario with 40% to 29% for the Liberals and 28% for the PCs.
The Liberals only led in Toronto, with 37% to 34% for the PCs and 21% for the NDP. But something unusual may be happening in this supposed Liberal fortress. Take a look at the projection tracker for the city:
That is a rather sustained gain for the PCs at the expense of both the Liberals and the NDP. Could Tim Hudak really be making inroads in Toronto?
This is one area where the polls are in actual agreement. Unlike the other regions of the province, Toronto is defined in the same way by both Forum and Ipsos. So we can compare the trends they are recording.
Forum had the Liberals up over the PCs in Toronto with 44% to 27% on April 7 and 44% to 28% on May 2-3. In their last poll, on May 12, the margin decreased to just seven points, with the Liberals at 39% and the PCs at 32%.
Ipsos, meanwhile, has also been recording Tory gains in the provincial capital. The margin was 40% to 24% for the Liberals in its April 15-17 poll, and then 45% to 26% on May 6-9. The PCs have since bounded eight points to 34%, against just 37% for the Liberals.
It could be a fluke, but it is odd that both firms are recording similar gains for the PCs in Toronto - something would normally be unexpected. This could be a developing trend to keep an eye on.
For the rest of it, we still don't have much of an idea of where things stand in Ontario. But the evidence seems to point to a PC advantage of some sort, with the Liberals possibly making gains. This is as good as it gets in terms of discerning what is going on in this campaign right now.
51 comments:
Ok, so let's get a projection-galore going on! Using the reported numbres, it gives me:ReplyDelete
Using the likely-voters, I get:
And using the average numbers from the site, I get:
I have a feeling people may just be plain lying to the polls right now, either by being fed up with an other election or by wishing to outright confuse the undecideds. Such disparities can't make any sense from poll to poll, even with different methodologies.
I will repeat what I said yesterday, I think come election night, there will be a major surge for one party and the result will end up being a majority, one which would have been hard to predict just looking at the polls.
Thanks for the run down, Eric. I wonder if you might comment on any enduring bias issues for the various polling companies. Can one make the claim that certain companies are more Liberal friendly? Or even that the media outlet sponsor (CP24, Toronto Star (!)...) is the more determining bias factor. I know in the US Rasmussen polling has had a small but significant Republican bias in the last couple of election cycles.ReplyDelete
And the drums just roll onReplyDelete
The continual swinging of these polls is leading me to believe that people are only beginning to tune in to the election. It's hard for me to see Hudak winning when he's running what is an indefensible platform that pisses off absolutely everyone (except the corporate world, I guess). I think that when the first leader debate rolls around, his support is going to crumble to the benefit of Wynne. Instead of capitalizing on the gas plant scandal, debate is focused on his platform, and the election is now firmly a referendum on his leadership and not Wynne's.ReplyDelete
I would like to add, however, that the PC gains in Toronto are definitely real. Take a drive anywhere in the suburbs (Etobicoke, Scarborough, York) and you'll be shocked by the number of PC lawn signs, something unimaginable three years ago. They definitely have a decent chance in some of those ridings, especially in holding Etobicoke Lakeshore and gaining Etobicoke CentreReplies
No one here is qualified to state that Hudak's platform pisses 'everyone' off. These most recent polling numbers and even your admission about the inroads in Toronto would indicate that there is a bit of partisan hyperbole in that statement.Delete
so far the Tory strategy is to keep the spotlight on them and their policies---this looks like a 5 week plan--wait for the last 2 weeks when it moves to flattening the Libs on all their misdeeds--Hudak has yet to bring any of this up---I see a landslide myself if they are this strong and have basically rolled out their bad newsDelete
Were it not for his disastrous performance in 2011 I'd consider this a foregone conclusion. We'll have to wait and see. I will admit that my gut feeling is the same as yours, Tony.Delete
I could be totally wrong (I'm an American who simply follows Canadian politics), but my perception is that the electorate is pretty evenly divided between PC and Liberal, and the deciding factors to the voters will not be the overall provincial issues. It will come down to local, riding-centric issues, and who performs best in the leaders' debates (excuse my ignorance, I'm not sure if they happened yet). June 12 will be a night to get the popcorn for sure.ReplyDeleteReplies
This comment has been removed by the author.Delete
... and then Hudak will reply that he makes no apologies for being part of a government that lead job creation in North America, which is what he already said when someone brought up that exact same question. There are still a *lot* of people out there who admire Mike Harris' government. Always remember Peter that one person's devil is another person's hero before you make blanket statements about what people want or what could be devastating.Delete
I really don't think that line of attack will work Peter. Ontario's economy grew 1.2% last year-less than the rate of inflation. That is anemic.Delete
If Liberasls and NDPers continue to use Mike Harris as a scare tactics voters may remember the economy did well under the Tories the last time then, stuttered, stalled and went into deep recession under the Liberals!
As Tip O'Neill once pointed out - all politics is local.
Well, Tip's comment is so simplistic and - at best - only partially true. But I guess it makes for a bon mot.Delete
I get the perception that the electorate is rather evenly divided between Hudak and Wynne, and it won't be the provincial issues that decide this election. It will come down to whoever comes out strongest from the leader's debates, and local issues as to where the pendulum will swing.ReplyDelete
To what extent has polling methodology evolved to include voters (mainly younger) who use only mobile devices?ReplyDelete
What these polls seem to show is that polls are rather poor indicators at this stage in the game. I think there is a palpable feeling of exhaustion at the repeated Liberal problems in the last years of McGuinty, which the PCs did a good job of hammering away at even a year after McGuinty left. But it's hard to square that with a renewed love for Tim Hudak based either on his performance or announced policies. It's especially hard to see this playing well in the GTA.ReplyDelete
I guess what it points to is that different methodologies have seemingly resulted in very different samples. The other thing it might point to is that expectations of Tim Hudak were so low to begin with that the fact he has not spectacularly imploded is regarded as beating expectations.Replies
The Liberals demonstrated they can not be trusted except to further the cause of the Liberal party. People have not started to "love" Hudak they have lost faith in the Liberals and Hudak is the most reasonable and competent alternative.Delete
The GTA is the business centre of Canada. Reducing corporate taxes give many hope that they will keep their job in a tight and under-performing economy. You may think corporate tax cuts only appeal to stock holders but, they appeal to everyone who works in the business world from the CEO to the secretary and gardeners-what is good for the goose is good for the gander.
Fun with numbersReplyDelete
I went back to the 2011 Ontario election to find out how Biased IR and Forum were. I got quite of a surprise
Both firms published 2 polls in the campaign period.
Forum polls averaged Liberal 36, PC 35.5, NDP 25, Green 4
They had the PC vote pretty well bang on and under-estimated the Liberal vote by 1.65. The had the Green vote 1.08 ... they were basically right on with part of the Green vote voting Liberal.
On the other hand IR, who I thought might be biased towards the PC had these averages:
Lib 39.5, CP 34, NDP 24.5 and Green 2
They had the Liberals and the NDP over estimated by just shy of 2% and the PC under estimated by 1.5%.
maybe both firms are over compensating in their methodology to try to get closer to the actual results??Replies
In 2011 Ipsos was still doing all its election polling by phone...this time they are using an online panel - and online panels can be and often are heavily skewed.Delete
and phone lists have become self-selecting by the enormous amount of refusals to participate.Delete
The sample is messed up by the fact that someone will actually do a poll....
Same applies for IVR. What sort of person will give their time to an IVR survey (and if they do how much do they mess with it)
Éric, is there any way a pollster historical accuracy can be combined into the model? This site ranks them:ReplyDelete
and you can see that companies like Forum, Angus Reid and Léger do well, Compas, Innovative are bunk and Ipsos-Reid, Harris/Decima are very mediocre. With this, shouldn't the Forum result rank higher in a projection model than Ipsos? Does the range capture this?Replies
Historical accuracy is included in the model. I'll quote from my methodology page:Delete
An analysis of a polling firm's past experience in a province or at the federal level has suggested that polling firms that were not active in a jurisdiction's previous election have a total error 1.27 times that of firms that were active in the previous election. Accordingly, polling firms with prior experience in a jurisdiction are weighted more heavily than those that have none.
Polling firms are also weighted by their track record of accuracy over the last 10 years. Their accuracy rating is determined by three factors: 1) the last poll the firm released in an election campaign, 2) their average error for all parties that earned 3% or more of the popular vote, and 3) the amount of time that has passed since the election. In order to take into account changes of methodology or improvements made over time, the performance of a polling firm in a recent election is weighted more heavily than their performance in an older election. The difficulty of each election is also taken into account: elections where the average error was lower are weighted more heavily than elections in which the error was higher. This is meant to take into consideration elections in which there were particular factors contributing to pollster error that were outside of the pollster's control. Conversely, in elections where the consensus was close to the mark a pollster has fewer excuses for higher error levels.
The accuracy rating is determined by comparing the average error, weighted by how recent the election is, of the best performing polling firm to others. For example, if the best performing firm had an average error of 1.5 points per party, a firm with an average error of three points per party would be given half the weight.
"The difficulty of each election is also taken into account: elections where the average error was lower are weighted more heavily than elections in which the error was higher."Delete
This would seem to penalize Forum though, as they are most notable for coming closest in BC and Alberta when other pollsters were wrong. I think Forum was the only pollster to actually project a Liberal victory in BC.
Forum had the BC NDP two points in the lead six days before the election. That was their last poll. With their unexplained seat projection model, they did give the Liberals a handful of more seats, but pollsters are graded on their polls because they are pollsters.Delete
My thought process is the following: if an election is polled well, a pollster has no excuse for a mistake because others were able to do it. If an election is polled badly, there is no way to know that the one pollster who got it right was doing something right or merely lucky.
My thought process is the following: if an election is polled well, a pollster has no excuse for a mistake because others were able to do it."
What about the reverse - if the pollster has a track record of being right when everyone else is wrong, we should pay extra attention to that pollster.
Except Forum was statistical wrong on the BC electionDelete
They had the Liberals under by 3.1% and the NDP over by 3.3%.
On the relese of their last poll.... THAT WAS WRONG they stated:
"Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3 %, 19 times out
of 20."
They were the 1 poll out of 20 that was the abberation yet again.
They were not flirting with the edges of having a outlier they were beyond the statistical range that their poll should have been.
So if a pollster is wrong when everyone else is wrong we should give them more credence?
"Except Forum was statistical wrong on the BC election"Delete
Yes BCVOR. Ipsos was more wrong though.
Statistically, all the pollsters were wrong federally (though Nanos was pretty close).
"So if a pollster is wrong when everyone else is wrong we should give them more credence?"
By your standard all the polls are wrong all the time, and we should ignore all polls. Which frankly, I don't entirely disagree with.
Aren't the online panels basically self-selected? (i.e. a bunch of self selected people join the panel and receive polls on various issues every so often). This would mean that the online polls are a lot less accurate than telephone polls. It seems that it is mostly the online polls which are giving the PCs large wins, the telephone polls tend to favour the Liberals more often.ReplyDeleteReplies
IPSOS use Bayesian statistics to validate their results. Considering that telephone samples face their own sets of biases they seem to have developed a methodology that should yield pretty good results. One of their white papers summarizes part of the approach: "conditional ignorability can be achieved by combining multiple opt-in online panel and non-panel sources, which we refer to as blended online samples. In essence, by combining multiple sample sources, the "holes" in any one sample source can theoretically be filled out by any one of the others"Delete
It seems this survey was online only, but I'm assuming IPSOS have enough previous experience with blended survey's they can use Bayesian approaches to come up with a credible result now using only online panels.
Ugh at this point I hope the polls keep showing what they're showing and that on election night the NDP wins a landslide majority just to make things more hilarious.ReplyDelete
It sure is interesting when the PCs can are projected to take 7 seats in Toronto and still come short of a majority. Liberals are really holding steady in some parts of the 905.ReplyDelete
Ridings such as Oakville, Oak Ridges Markham, Brampton West and Ajax-Pickering are going Liberal, while the likes of Eglinton-Lawrence, Willowdale, Scarborough Agincourt and Scarborough Guildwood are going PC. Bizarre.
The increase in PC support in the GTA is noteworthy. People are hurting even whilst unemployment remains relatively low.ReplyDelete
I don't see how the Liberals will be able to hang-on. Although the polls don't quite show it yet I predict a PC majority. I expect NDP numbers to decline further as this becomes more evident.Replies
The GTA results are certainly telling, when Liberals lose "Fortress Toronto" they tend to have very bad elections. We see this in the polls, the only region where the Liberals lead is the GTA but only by 3 points, so really they are tied with the Tories in Toronto.Delete
I don't think there much doubt we'll see a Conservative majority. It is clear from the Tim Hudak=Mike Harris scare tactics-Liberals themselves know they are on course to lose this election!
The oscillation in the polls is odd.ReplyDelete
The Ipsos polls refers to their on-line panel.
Hang on ... how different is the membership of this panel, to the one from the previous poll. They don't keep polling a lot of the same people do they?
As for pollsters calling mobiles. I can't recall a pollster EVER calling my mobile. And yet pollsters calling my Bell land-line are a weekly occurrence. It was pushing daily during the end of the last municipal election in Toronto.
Pollsters routinely call mobile phones nowadays when its a national or provincial survey. They cannot include mobile numbers when doing a riding poll because while you can get lists of cell numbers that are in Ontario or even in Toronto (e.g. starts with 416 or 647) you cannot geolocate them to specific ridingReplyDelete
After re-reading the comments on this article it really indicates to me that the polling science in Canada (at least) has broken down.ReplyDelete
Pollsters have basically no way of getting a representative sample and what sample they do get has to have major adjustments to account for over/under sampling a demographic group. Then they have to run various algorithms to account for incumbency and try to factor in common sense.
In the for media publication polls there does not seem to be any BS filters in the questions or internal validation of the answers given. I have seen no polls with simple civic questions to establish the validity of the opinion.
When is the next federal election? Who is the Leader of the Official opposition?
There are far too many 1 out of 20 results of polls taken near to the measurable event. The "people changed their vote on election day" excuse is wearing very thin. It is calling into question the political fickleness of the actual voters.
There is no publication of how many attempts were made to get the sample, how many people quit the poll before it was done.
Once the pollsters and media paying for the polls and publishing them recognize that their product is no longer scientifically valid it is a small step to just making the polls results and headlines come out to whatever the best result is for them.
I personally have a high degree of skepticism that public polls have become tools for political parties the same as mailers and rallies and platforms to influence the voter rather than the unbiased measurement of current voter intent that they are advertised to be.
I'm calling for a PC majority government right now. Hudak has dominated the news for the first two weeks of the campaign. Wynne has been nowhere to be seen other than pooping up in Walkerton to make some good points. Horwath refuses to release her platform.ReplyDelete
Hudak is winning the campaign. Maybe things change next week when political advertising begins, but at this point Hudak is clobbering his opponents.
What the polls and the comments in these threads show beyond a doubt is that the polling has become a major player in the campaign, right or wrong, for good or bad. As a partisan, this may be terrific news, but as a pollster, this should be the last thing one wants.ReplyDeleteReplies
It's more than just the polling. Whether one likes it or not, Tim Hudak has been squarely in control of the message and has been forcing Wynne and Horwarth to respond to his platform rather than the other way around, which in turn draws attention away from their own policies and instead focuses it on that of Hudak and the Progressive Conservatives. That in of itself has a big impact on campaign momentum and public response.Delete
Horse race trumps content every time.Delete
Should for the media, but not the pollster. It would render Eric's work meaningless. @Nick, stop drinking the kool-aid and try to analyze things a little more objectively. If the polls are wrong (and some MUST be at this point), then your description of how Hudak is driving the media messaging is equally wrong. Of course, you could be right, but just anecdotally there are a lot of counterfactuals out there.Delete
Another poll is now out showing a 7 point lead for the Liberals. It seems quite literally a swinging pendulum back and forth as each poll is released. Is there any sense to be made out of any of this? If there is, lord knows I can't see it.ReplyDelete
New poll from Ekos:ReplyDelete
I don't trust Ekos as a pollster but I sure hope Ekos is right!
New EKSOS poll conducted May 13-15 gives the Liberals 7 point lead.ReplyDelete
The polls are weird this time. I cannot recall another case where we'd see one party with the lead, then another, then back again and so on for this long. I think the leaders debate will be very, very big as will the media's perception on who wins/loses it. If Hudak does well then the NDP could see support plummet as fears about a PC win cause many to shift due to the Liberals giving an NDP budget and a desire to keep the PC's out (fears of it being like Harper or ..brr.. Rob Ford). If Wynne does well and climbs in the polls then things could be good for the NDP, strangely enough, as they'd feel safer voting NDP.ReplyDelete
Turnout will be a big factor this time too. If both Wynne and Hudak flop (or just are 'ok') then we could see both parties supporters lose interest to some degree (or get a 'pox on both houses'). Then the NDP has a really, really big opportunity.
A reminder, I am a candidate for the Greens (in Thunder Bay-Atikokan) just as full disclosure. I obviously want to see Mike Schreiner win in Guelph and maybe a 2nd or 3rd Green make it (there are a few ridings we are competitive in) but being shut out of the debates, as always, means it is a steep uphill battle.
Bonjour Eric: le nouveau sondage de EKOS renverse la tendance à la hausse des conservateurs à Toronto. J'imagine qu'avec 52% (et le NPD à 15%), les libéraux remporteront 21/22 sieges à la capitale provinciale.ReplyDelete
CBC WebsiteReplyDelete
"The leaders of Ontario's three main political parties will square off in one 90-minute televised debate on Tuesday, June 3.
NDP Leader Andrea Horwarth, Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Hudak and Liberal Leader Kathleen Wynne will participate in the live debate hosted by TVO's Steve Paikin at the CBC Broadcast Centre in Toronto."Replies
The debate will get underway at 6:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast live on CBC, CTV, CHCH, CPAC, Global, Sun News Network and TVO. Viewers are advised to consult local listing for specific broadcast details.Delete
More details on the format of the debate are expected to be released in the coming days.
And the link:
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A: Imagine Festival is a rain or shine event. No refunds will be issued should inclement weather occur. Weather can be unpredictable. Please keep an eye on the weather and plan accordingly. As always, please be sure to listen to any updates from Imagine staff regarding your safety.
Q: Will there be a lost and found?
A: Yes, Lost & Found will operate during festival hours and will be marked on your festival map. Following the event, lost items will be held 30 days for your convenience. A form will be posted on our website to report and describe your lost items, if found we will contact you. There might be a charge to ship your items back to you.
Q: I'm under 18. Can I attend with a legal guardian?
A: Imagine is an 18+ event. No one under the age of 18 will be permitted, with or without a guardian.
Q: What are acceptable forms of Identification?
A: The following are acceptable forms of identification for access to and the purchasing of alcohol at Imagine:
Q: Will lockers be available?
A: Yes! Lockers are available for purchase at the festival to to safely store your stuff and keep your cell phone powered up all weekend long. Lockers can also be purchased prior to the festival. Click Here for more information.
Q: Can I pass out flyers at Imagine? ?
A: No, there is no unauthorized vending or solicitations anywhere on Atlanta Motor Speedway property, including parking lots. .
Q: Will Medical / First Aid be available?
A: We will have medical staff on-site for the entire duration of Imagine. Upon arrival, please take note of the location of our clearly-marked medical tents should you need to stop by during the event. If you need medical assistance, contact the nearest security guard, staff member, volunteer, or medic, or go to one of the on-site medical tents. If you're not sure whether it's an emergency or not, assume it is and get help immediately. All of our safety and medical staff are here to help you enjoy the festival and make it home safely – no judgements.
Q: Can I Bring My Medication?
A: Yes, medications are allowed into the festival and campgrounds as long as they comply with the following:
Q: Will there be FREE water?
A: Yes, Imagine has implemented even more FREE water stations for 2017, available both inside the festival grounds and in camping. Check your festival map for locations. There will also be water available for purchase at the bar.
Q: Are pets allowed?
A: Imagine has a strict no-pet policy, with exceptions only for service animals as specified by federal and state law. Due to large-scale service animal fraud and for the safety of our patrons, staff, and other service animals, all animals which do not meet the legal standards will not be allowed into the festival grounds. All service animals must be registered at the entrance gates. Please note, dogs whose sole function is to provide comfort or emotional support are not considered service animals by the ADA and and will not be allowed into Imagine. For more info, visit www.ada.gov.
Q: Will there be an official afterparty?
A: Yes, the official afterparty will be located in the campground at the silent disco. You must have a camping pass to gain admission to the silent disco.
Q: The information on my ticket is wrong, how do I fix this?
A: To update the information on your ticket and/or change shipping address, click here for instructions
Q: Where should I buy my imagine Festival Ticket?
A: Eventbrite is the only authorized ticket vendor for Imagine Festival.
There are No refunds or Exchanges, all Sales are final.
Do not buy passes from scalpers, we do not service, authenticate, or support passes from scalpers. We do not assist in any 3rd party transactions.
Q: Are JusCollege Tickets Valid?
A: Yes, JusCollege is an authorized third party ticket seller for College packages. You must have a valid student ID and email address to qualify for this ticket option. Camping offered in these packages is Tent-Only camping in a separate lot from our GA campgrounds. However, JusCollege ticket holders will have access to the GA Campgrounds and Silent Disco. If you purchase a Jus College ticket and are not a college student, you will not be able to pick up your wristband.
Q: Are GetStreetTeam Tickets Valid
A: Yes, GetStreetTeam is an authorized third party ticket seller and represent our Brand Ambassadors. These brand ambassadors are selling Imagine Festival tickets at a discounted price (no fees) to earn a free ticket for themselves. Our Brand Ambassadors are not ticket scalpers, if someone is offering you a different deal and selling you tickets directly not using the Get Street Team platform, that sale is unauthorized.
Q: I can no longer attend, Can I get a refund?
A: Unfortunately, no; we have a very strict no refund policy.
Q: Is my camera allowed into the festival?
A: Small point and shoot cameras, GoPros, and other cameras without detachable lenses are allowed into the festival.
Q: I have a media related question, who do I contact?
A: For those interested in press passes and any other media inquiries,please email us at email@example.com.
Q: I am interested in performing at Imagine Festival, who do I contact?
A: For all performance injuries please email us at email@example.com
Q: How do I become a vendor at Imagine Festival?
A: Potential vendors must sign up and be approved prior to the festival. Upon approval you will be able to sell merchandise. Click here to apply to be a vendor.
Q: Will there be water bottle refill stations?
A: Yes! Imagine has implemented even more FREE water stations for 2017, are available both inside the festival grounds and in camping. Any reusable water bottle or camelback can be filled for FREE. Check your festival map for locations.
Q: Does Imagine offer Merchandise?
A: Yes! We will be offering official Imagine apparel and merchandise along with a wide variety of other vendors as well!
Q: I would like to camp on site, what options are available?
A: Currently there is car camping, tent only camping, VIP camping, and RV camping! We also feature Glamping options and Easy Tents . Make sure and buy your ticket as soon as possible before any of these options sell out.
Q: Am I allowed to bring my own alcohol?
A: Alcohol is allowed into the camp grounds but not into the festival grounds. There is a limit to how much each person can bring in, please see allowed/not allowed items for specifics.
Q: What is the difference between car camping and tent camping?
A: With general car camping you will be able to camp right next to your car. With tent only camping you will be in a separate lot where there are no cars. If you arrive on site without a vehicle and have purchased camping, you will be directed to the tent only lot. There is not a seperate ticket for Tent-Only Camping.
Q: What size is my car camping spot?
A: Car campers will have a 20'x20' campsite. Camping plots are first come, first serve and provide enough space to fit one vehicle and two tents. VIP Camping lots are approximately 50% larger than the GA Campsites and can accommodate 1 vehicle and up to 3 tents depending on the size of your tents.
Q: Am I able to camp at Imagine without a festival pass?
A: Everyone camping will need a festival pass to accompany their camping pass before entering the camping area.
Health and Safety
Sell Eight Tickets and Get ONE FREEGet Started


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rn, registered nurse, nurse, nurse rn, nursing, rn nurse, new grad rn,Registered Nurse / RN, RN, R.N., Registered Nurse, Med Surg, Med Surge, Medical Surgical, Medical/Surgical, Med/Surg, Med/Surge, ICU, ICU RN, ICU Nurse RN, CC, CCU, Critical Care, Critical Care RN, telemetry, acute care, intensive care unit, post-acute, emergency room, E.R., ER, step down, transitional care, transitional care hospitals, long term acute care, nurse, nursing, Clinical Nurse, Critical Care Nurse, Hospital, Healthcare, ACLS, ANA, Acute care, Admissions Nurse, Admission Nurse, BLS, BSN, cardio nurse, cardio RN, cardio registered nurse, cardiac nurse, cardiac RN, cardiac registered nurse, case management, case manager, critical care, ER, Emergency Room, Healthcare, health care, Homecare, home care, home health, homehealth, hospital, ICU, intensive care unit, MSN, medical, medical care, med surg, med-surg, medicare, Nurse, Nurse Care Manager, Nurse Job, Nurse Jobs, oncology RN, oncology nurse, oncology registered nurse, palliative care nurse, ortho nurse, ortho RN, ortho registered nurse, palliative care RN, palliative care registered nurse, registered nurse, RN Job, RN Jobs, Registered Nurse Job, Registered Nurse Jobs, Nursing, Oasis, PRN, PDM, progressive care nurse, rehab RN, rehab registered nurse, rehab nurse, Registered Nurse, Registered Nurse Case Manager, RN, R.N., RN Case Manager, skilled visit, staff RN, staff nurse, staff registered nurse, step down unit, step-down unit, step down unit RN, tele, telemetry, telemetry nurse, telemetry RN, travel nurse, travel RN, travel registered nurse, visit nurse
|RN - Night Shift
|Mercy Iowa City Rehabilitation Hospital, Iowa
|Kindred Healthcare
|Registered Nurse RN - FT Day Shfit - Texas Rehab Arlington
|Texas Rehab Arlington, Texas
|Kindred Healthcare
|RN - Days - Community Rehabilitation North - $10,000 sign on bonus
|Community North Rehab Hosp, Indiana
|Kindred Healthcare
|2 Days Ago
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Sahara Pot
These colourful storage pots are handwoven by Berber tribes in the Sahara Desert, each one completely unique! Originally made to store Khobz bread & made from natural raffia stalks and dyed wool.
We think these pots are the up-most stylish way to keep all your bits and bobs tidy and organised, as well as bringing a feel of well-travelled chic to your home. All you have to do now is to pick your favourite one or two or three... !
- One-of-a-kind
- Handwoven in the Sahara Desert
- Natural raffia stalks and wool
- Approx size 23 x 16 cm
Note: Due to their traditionally handmade nature some slight imperfections may occur in the pattern and as a vintage item some slight signs of age - however we check to keep this to a minimum.
We aim to dispatch all our orders within 1-2 working days, although this may be longer during particularly busy periods.
United Kingdom: 2-3 working days after dispatch (excludes weekends and bank holidays)
International: 5-10 working days (excludes weekends and bank holidays)
We offer Free Shipping on all UK and selected EU* orders over £200
United Kingdom: £3.95
Selected EU*: £8-£12.00
Rest of the world: £25
*For full Delivery details click here.


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Caminos are no doubt cooler than 98% of other cars. However, Jeremy Clarkson hates them. Why? Because some thug in a hoodie will knick his fire-lighters out of the bed. Not that anyone who has ever owned a Camino would know what a fire-lighter is. Still, Jezzo's point stands. Caminos: your stuff ain't safe. However, we've found a solution, muscle car station wagons! Davey will no doubt never speak to me again, but the fact is a 1977 Pontiac Firebird shooting brake with a screaming chicken on the hood trumps an Isettamino, even if the roly poly German has a Hayabusa mill. I still love Davey, though — Mr. G. Johnson should click the link to see a very cherry Mustangamino.
Muscle Car Station Wagon [Motorpasion]
What Were They Smoking in Detroit: 1978 Firebird Kammback Concept; More shooting brakes [Internal]


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14 November, 2011
Something was missingI don't know if it was because the rain or because the public in Barcelona is not so hot as the Madrid but that night wasn't great. I mean, it was a good concert but there was not that link between the band and the public. Also the fact that the boo Edge when he was singing Macarena didn't help. No reason to boo that song, at the end of the day, the karaoke part was just for fun.


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Here is a description from the official site:
Hannibal's merciless attacks on Roman soil dealt a near fatal blow to the soon-to-be Empire. Sworn by his father to a blood oath against the Romans, Hannibal of Carthage does the unthinkable... he marches 40 war elephants and a massive army over the Alps to gain an element of surprise. In three key battles--Hannibal uses terrain, intimidation and his iron will to annihilate the Roman Legions, killing every Roman soldier that he possibly can.
The show has flashy background and sound track which reminded me of 300. I am sure this was done intentionally. It also offered commentary from four interesting experts whose words were blended smoothly together by the editing.
The bulk of the episode deals with Hannibal's early life, the beginning of the Second Punic War, Hannibal crossing the Alps, and his early battles in Italy. Several battles which Hannibal won in convincing fashion are described and analyzed in detail. However, the episode basically ends with the Roman disaster at Cannae.
I wish the episode had put the battles covered in the larger context of the Second Punic War. Better coverage of the later years of the war, including his defeat in North Africa at the Battle of Zama, would have left viewers with a better understanding of Hannibal's life and legacy. Nonetheless, the show was entertaining and educational. I will plan on watching future episodes.


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John Stickel necesitaba un nuevo diseño de logotipo y lanzó un concurso de diseño en 99designs.
Un ganador ha sido elegido entre 125 diseños de 25 diseñadores freelance.
John Stickel Photography
A boutique wedding and portrait photography business based in Philadelphia looking for a simple, clean, and timeless logo design that communicates a sense of joy, peace, and harmony and will appeal to an affluent clientele.
This logo will be used on my website, business cards, letterhead, marketing materials, and as a watermark on images, and will also significantly influence the color and design of these other items. I view this logo as an integral part of my overall branding.
Thanks in advance! I'm looking forward to some unique and wonderful designs.
Affluent women primarily between the age of 25 and 35 who appreciate fine art and photography and are willing to invest in an experience.
This logo will play a significant role in how my clients and potential clients view my photography business, and will be used on virtually all materials that clients view online or in print. Please help me make a wonderful and memorable impression.
• A simple, clean and visually pleasing design
• Evokes a sense of joy, peace and harmony
• Conveys present moment awareness or enlightenment
• Timeless design that appeals to an affluent clientele
• Fonts that are clean and simple – probably a serif or sans serif
• Color palette that is calming: perhaps with light blues and greens or blue/green pastels that appeal to women but are not overly feminine. No more than 2 colors. The logo should look good on a light/white web and print background. Please provide color codes if selected.
• Two Versions: The primary logo should include "John Stickel Photography" with the emphasis on my name and this will be used on my website, business card, letterhead, etc. The secondary "watermark" logo will have a similar design that only incorporates either my initials "JS" or my last name "Stickel" for use as a watermark on images (with potential for opacity adjustment).
• I would love to see some designs utilizing just my brand name and others using my brand name along with an icon. However, any graphical elements or designs should be subtle and clean. Please do not use clip art, photography related art, wedding related art, or floral patterns.
• Logo to be made available in the following formats: Layered Photoshop PSD, JPG format, PNG format, PDF format, Vector Graphic in EPS (all in both RGB and CMYK formats where applicable)
Descubre cómo funciona un concurso de diseño u obtén más información sobre nuestros servicios de diseño de logo.


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Controversial MU Candidate Hosts Public Forum
COLUMBIA - A former U.S. Army psychologist and candidate for the position of division executive director at the MU College of Education answered questions Tuesday during a public forum on the MU campus.
Currently the dean of psychology at Wright State University in Dayton, Ohio, Larry James is one of two candidates being considered for the position.
Faculty and students from the College of Education along with community members gathered to hear James' prepared statements and ask questions about his qualifications for the job.
James spoke for a half hour, then took questions from faculty before answering questions from community members. Those questions centered around James' work at Guantanamo Bay while he was enlisted in the U.S. Army.
James led a team of psychologists there in 2003 and in 2007-2008 at Guantanamo. He also worked with interrogations at Abu Ghraib detention facility in Irag in 2004.
Education dean Daniel Clay addressed a group of protesters Friday on MU's campus, saying he was taking the publics concerns very seriously.
Clay said he will hand down a hiring decision by the beginning of March.


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Posts Tagged 'Orange'
The Mobile App Store Landscape 5 years Ai (After the iPhone)
[This is a repost of my guest article at Vision Mobile's blog]
2009 was the year of the app store wannabes. Following the remarkable success of the Apple App Store, OEMs, mobile platform vendors, mobile operators, and traditional aggregators either created new app stores or repositioned their existing offerings as app stores. There are now between 24 to 32 app stores depending on who is counting (see Distimo's app store report and the WIP App Store Wiki for reference), and more stores are surely to follow. However, key questions remain about how the app store landscape will emerge after the current period of hysteria subsides and the dust settles.
– Are we going to see many app stores on each handset?
– Will app malls emerge to host multiple app stores within?
– Will operator stores gain critical mass?
[Or will we see a "no app store" future as proposed by Matt Millar via the comment thread?]
Andreas Constantinou wrote an excellent article that defines the app store building blocks and predicts a "dime-a-dozen" app store future. I will build on this post, but will offer an alternative view of how the landscape will evolve.
It's a Winner-Take-All Contest


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Who's calling you? Put in a phone number, and we'll tell you who they are, their address, and other details on the phone number.
Enter the phone number:
How much do you really know about the people in your life? Yes, we know what they tell us, but how much more is there that we are not aware of, and would that information be useful to us? That is why it is crucial to find out the background of the people you are dealing with.
A background check can quickly help you find out more information about new people in your life, such as someone you or a loved one are considering marriage to or facts about the new neighbors, who just moved in. Learn if an individual has a bankruptcy or a criminal past and then use this information to help you make life decisions.
The same principles can be applied to your business. Can you trust a potential employee with sensitive information? Find out with a comprehensive background check through PrivateEye.com. Make sure you are able to fully trust the people you deal with on a daily basis. It is more than just the reputation of your company which is on the line.
There are billions of public records out there, and searching by yourself can be an arduous task and very time consuming. Let us help you find the information that people are trying to hide, with one of our comprehensive background checks.
At PrivateEye.com, we are able to help you find out the specifics about someone, such as:
PrivateEye.com makes finding accurate, up-to-date information on people easy and affordable.


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The prestigious Global Medical Discovery website has selected to feature a cutting edge PTR-MS application in biotechnology. Ionimed is conducting research to develop novel solutions for the monitoring of fermentation processes in biotechnology based on PTR-MS. This is done under the auspices of the Austrian center of industrial biotechnology (ACIB), with academic partners (BOKU, Vienna) as [...]
After filling the first position we're looking for a second young scientist as "ESR" within the FP7 ITN project "PIMMS". The ITN network's purpose is to train ESRs to become world-class researchers. Training elements delivered within this ITN target to improve practical skills and complementary skills. Local training will be complemented with secondments and visits [...]
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While many people wrapped up and gave home decor as presents this holiday season, singer and actress Jennifer Hudson surprised her longtime assistant, Walter Williams, by gifting him a house for Christmas.
Not only is her generousity heart-warming, but his delighted reaction is appropriately enthused. We wish both Williams all the best in decorating his new home.
Tell us in the comments: How would you react if your boss bought you a house?


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About ETTV
ETTV Website (.be version)
https://www.ettv.tv is the only official website of ETTV Project. This is the official https://www.ettv.be/ mirror site.
We've seen a lot of fake sites with _ettv_ in the title, ever since we launched www.ettv.be, and we advise against using those sites as the content is not ours or moderated by us.
Make sure the domain is www.ettv.be to be safe you're downloading high quality content from DDR, FGT, DTOne, ETTV, ETHD, EtMovies, and others affiliated with us.
Disclaimer: None of the files shown here are actually hosted or transmitted by this server. The links are provided solely by this site's users. The site moderation is also a service provided by the site's users. The administrator of this site (ettv.be) cannot be held responsible for what its users post, or any other actions of its users. You may not use this site to distribute or download any material when you do not have the legal rights to do so. It is your own responsibility to adhere to these terms.


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Take online degrees
View course schedules
Find scholarships
No ----------. No book ----------. No surprises. Coming Fall 2018. Get details
Psychology is the science that endeavors to achieve the goals of observation, description, understanding, prediction and control of behavior and psychological processes. Topical areas of inquiry include: human development, personality theory, neuroscience, learning, memory and cognition, emotion, sensation and perception, interpersonal relationships, personal adjustment, abnormal behavior and psychotherapy. Theoretical perspectives most emphasized over the course of studies include: Neuroscience, cognitive science, behavioral and social learning theories, humanist-existential, poststructural and psychodynamic theories.
Because scientific knowledge of behavior and psychological processes are important to all fields of study, persons majoring in areas other than psychology should enroll in selected courses of interest. An applied program is designed to prepare those who plan to seek employment in community agencies in either the private or public sector immediately following graduation with the bachelor degree. The academic studies program prepares students to pursue studies in psychology at the graduate school level in either practical (i.e., clinical, school, counseling) or experimental (i.e., neuroscience, developmental, social, cognitive) specializations. Psychology majors are expected to understand scientific methods, conduct research, write scholarly research reports in APA style, and present their research findings to peers.
Psychology and Sociology Department
The Columbia College Catalog outlines the courses you will need to take to complete your degree program. This includes required courses in your major and general education requirements, as well as elective classes you will select.
See requirements
You have selected
Apply now


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$67.95 $85.00
The Vans Old Skool is a classic skateboard sneaker that is often imitated but never duplicated. Crafted in canvas or leather, this California original... was the first to debut the Vans stripe. They are feature a padded collar, cushioned footbed, and a durable rubber outsole with waffle pattern. Read More
Sneakerhead.com will issue you a FREE return label if you are not completely satisfied with your purchase. Learn more
Create an account today and start earning points you can redeem for discounts, goods & more.
Get the sneakers & goods you want, shipped to your part of the globe. Int'l Shipping details.


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OCEAN CITY – Joy Snyder of Re/Max Premier Properties in
Ocean City was awarded the highest level of service achievement in the real
estate industry, Quality Service Certified® Platinum. The award is in recognition of earning 100 percent client
service satisfaction in 2006, as measured by Leading Research Corporation
Quality Service Certified (QSC) status is the only award
in the real estate industry based on independently validated, measurable
service results. Clients of QSC agents receive a customer satisfaction survey
at the end of each transaction. The surveys are administered and the results
are compiled by LRC.
Client feedback from the surveys becomes part of the
agent's credentials. An overall satisfaction rating is displayed on a consumer
website (QualityService.org) where sellers and buyers have the ability to
select a real estate professional based upon each agent's validated record of
service satisfaction.
is more important to a prospective client in selecting a professional than the
service results achieved with past clients," said Larry D. Romito, President
and CEO of QSC. "Consumers have greater confidence in service reliability,
results and satisfaction with a Quality Service Certified real estate
professional because they know that the agent's service record has been
validated by an independent third party. 100-percent service satisfaction on
record like Joy has achieved is just awesome."


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Agricultural Literacy Curriculum Matrix
Browse the Matrix
The Agricultural Literacy Curriculum Matrix is an online, searchable, and standards-based curriculum map for K-12 teachers. The Matrix contextualizes national education standards in science, social studies, and nutrition education with relevant instructional resources linked to Common Core Standards.
Search our instructional, classroom-ready resources now! After you find what you need, consider storing them in your personal binder — MyBinder! Create a MyBinder profile now, or login. MyBinder users will also receive monthly updates about what's new in the Matrix.
Keyword Search Lesson Plans & Companion Resources
Search Lesson Plans
Quick Search — Lesson Plans
Search by National Standards
Close-to-Home Search
Search Companion Resources
Quick Search — Companion Resources


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These games teach valuable skills and have a high fun and educational rating.
Your child develops letter recognition and fine motor skills by helping Hoho collect coins that have the same letter as given by Kai-lan.
Your child learns about different types of transportation and how to spell them by watching this video.
Your child improves community and cultural knowledge by following Mister Rodgers as he visits a sneaker factory.
Your child develops an understanding of having a birthday in this light and cheerful video in which his/her personalized entries come to fruition.
Zoodles 11.8.7 Copyright (c) 2014 Inquisitive Minds, Inc. All rights reserved.


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NOTE: As of OS X 10.5 (Leopard) X11 is installed by default. Unless you went out of your way not to install it during the Leopard installation, you'll find it in /usr/X11
In preparation for a series of tutorials on The Gimp, this tutorial will guide you in installing X11, a required system for the Gimp to run in OS X.
This tutorial is for OS X 10.4 (Tiger). If you're a 10.3 (Panther) user, visit this page to download X11 if it's not on your OS X install CD.
- Insert your OS X Tiger Install Disc (#1). Scroll down to locate the Optional Installs icon (it's embarrassing how long it took me to figure that out) and double-click it
- Click Continue on the first screen
- Read the Software License Agreement and then click Continue
- Click Agree
- Select a location and (you guessed it) click Continue
- Click the small triangle directly next to Applications and then place a check in the box labeled X11. When you're ready, click Upgrade.
- Enter your password when prompted, and then click OK
- The installation won't take too long
- After X11 has successfully installed, click Close
- X11 can now be found in Applications > Utilities > X11


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NetApp Cloud Manager (for NetApp Cloud Volumes ONTAP)
Product Overview
Start Your Free Trial of Cloud Volumes ONTAP Here! NetApp Cloud Manager is the required installation and deployment software for NetApp Cloud Volumes ONTAP storage software service. Cloud Manager provides management for your NetApp cloud and hybrid cloud storage environment including Cloud Volumes ONTAP, Cloud Volumes ONTAP High Availability, NetApp AFF and NetApp FAS storage systems.
Cloud Manager eases the day-to-day requirements of your ONTAP software environment including configuring, provisioning, and monitoring each of your active virtual and hardware storage nodes. It offers a point-and-click installation that automatically selects and assigns cloud resources to each instance. When deploying Cloud Volumes ONTAP, Cloud Manager will use your AWS credentials to select the EC2 virtual machine and the EBS or S3 storage necessary to run the instance of your choice. When deploying Cloud Manager, you can provide your IAM profile.
Find out more in the Usage Instructions below.
IMPORTANT: Be sure to subscribe to the necessary Cloud Volumes ONTAP instances prior to deployment. You can find the single instance, high availability instances or the BYOL versions on the AWS Marketplace by searching for "NetApp Cloud Volumes ONTAP".
ByNetApp, Inc.
Operating System
Linux/Unix, Red Hat Enterprise Linux Red Hat Linux
Delivery Methods


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Health Savings Accounts are designed to help individuals save for qualified medical and retiree health expenses on a tax-advantaged basis.
Any adult who is covered by a high-deductible health plan (and has no other first-dollar coverage) may establish an HSA.
Beacon offers HSA programs for companies who wish to provide an additional benefit to employees, as well as a program for individuals who wish to maintain their own HSA.
Learn more about:
HSAs for Individuals
HSAs for Employers
Insurance Agents


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Gas Well Drilling & Production in Grand PrairieOn September 20, 2005, the City Council adopted the first Gas Drilling and Production Ordinance regulating gas wells within the City limits and its extraterritorial jurisdiction (ETJ). Since then, the City has adopted nine updated gas drilling and production ordinances in an effort to ensure the health and wellbeing of Grand Prairie residents.
The Barnett ShaleGrand Prairie lies atop a natural gas reserve known as the Barnett Shale formation. The Barnett Shale is a natural gas rich geological formation in Texas that spans 5,000 square miles across at least 20 counties. Some experts have suggested the Barnett Shale may be the largest onshore natural gas field in the United States. The field is proven to have 2.5 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, and is widely estimated to contain as much as 40 trillion cubic feet of natural gas resources.
Although the discovery of the Barnett Shale is not new, technology now makes it possible to bring this natural resource to the surface. Historically, gas wells were drilled vertically into formations that had heavy pooling in one area. Now, gas drillers are able to drill horizontally, making 90 degree turns in a few hundred feet. Horizontal drilling allows drillers to capture gas without drilling multiple wells.
Types of Permits in Grand PrairiePer the January 2011 Ordinance, the following gas well permit classifications are allowed in Grand Prairie:
Class 1 gas permit means a permit is required if the edge of the pad site boundary for the proposed well is to be located within seven hundred (700) feet of a residence, religious institution, public building, hospital/medical building, nursing home, school or public park, but no closer than five hundred (500) feet. A Class 1 gas permit may require City Council approval.
Class 2 gas permit means a permit is required if the edge of the pad site boundary for the proposed well is to be located greater than seven hundred (700) feet of a residence, religious institution, public building, hospital/medical building, nursing home, school or public park.
Environmental Concerns with Gas Well DrillingGas well operations can have many environmental concerns. Among them are, water consumption, wastewater disposal, use of toxic chemicals, truck traffic, air pollution, noise from the operations, potential groundwater and well water contamination, deforestation, road-building and surface water runoff.
Horizontal drilling reduces the affects to the land surface as fewer wells need to be drilled. In addition, the City requires that applicants use a closed loop system for the spoils of drilling – an oily mud mixture – is used. A closed loop system means that all the "mud" will be stored in tanks rather than on the ground. This system dramatically reduces environmental impacts.
The Gas Well Drilling and Production Ordinance also mandates that the applicant: 1) meet noise level requirements by conducting a Noise Abatement Study prior to the drilling, 2) have secondary containment around all tanks, 3) submit quarterly air monitoring, and 4) clean up all spills immediately.
City Review and Inspections
Prior to permitting a pad site, City Staff from Environmental Services, Legal, Fire, Building Inspections, Transportation, Planning, and Engineering Departments thoroughly review the application submitted by the operator to ensure compliance with local and state regulations. On occasion, an application must go to City Council before being approved.
Once an application is approved and operations have commenced, Environmental Services Staff inspects the pad site quarterly, in response to citizens' complaints/concerns, and during drilling and completion activities. Environmental Staff also performs air monitoring at each pad site.
In addition, a third party Gas Inspector inspects the site during the initial drilling, fracturing, completion activities, and annually.
Drilling for Natural Gas
All gas wells are permitted by the City of Grand Prairie, Environmental Services Department to ensure that all local, state, and federal regulations are met by the applicant. After a well has been permitted, the site will be prepared by bulldozers and other equipment and a drill rig will be set up. During the drilling operations, expected to last from weeks to several months per well, the drilling crew and security will be on-site 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. The drill rig will be used to drill through solid rock to get to the natural gas reserves about 1.5 miles below the surface.
To improve gas production, a mixture of chemicals, sand and water is forced into the well to fracture the rock and allow natural gas to flow to the well bore. This process, called "fracturing" takes several days per well.
After the well is drilled, storage tanks, meters, pumps, and other equipment are brought onto the site and the area is cleaned up and fenced. These wells are expected to be productive from 30 to 50 years. Occasional "refracturing" may be needed to maintain the flow of gas from the well.
Once the well stops producing, the well is capped and the operator returns the site to its original condition as much as practicable.


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Uses of Waves
A series of summaries on uses of waves for the UK GCSE level. Covers topics such as sound waves and electromagnetic spectrum.
BBC revision guide to waves for UK GCSE level. A useful introduction to all the basics and to different types of waves.
Seismic waves
Tutorial about earthquake waves cover ing p and s waves, seismometers and shadow zones.
The Electromagnetic Spectrum
NASA page about electromagnetic waves with descriptions of such waves and their uses.Covers radio waves, microwaves, infrared, visible light, ultraviolet (UV), x-rays and gamma rays.
Transverse and longitudinal waves.
Gives definitions of transverse and longitudinal waves with animation consisting of words moving to show how waves move in a medium.
Travelling waves
Introductory page linking to more information on various aspects of traveling waves
Waves and wave motion
An introduction to longitudinal and transverse waves, and period and frequency.
What are solar waves?
Read how waves rippling across the sun reveal what's happening underneath.
Sinusoidal Waves
Information on sine waves and links to related topics.
Electromagnetic waves applet
View and rotate different 3D waves including linear, circular and gaussian


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HAYDN Bernstein: Complete Recordings 4749192
Whether the mood is jovial, tragic or tender, Bernstein makes the music seem immense. When "Lenny" was alive, I was a bit dismissive of his conducting; hearing these CDs makes me think again.
The remasterings are clean, the packaging handsome, and there is a lot of essential interpretations nicely gathered together. The "Americans" box is particularly interesting . . . more than just another compilation.


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Mykel Hawke Knives
Mykel Hawke knives are the ultimate survival knives. Hawke has designed these knives specifically for maximum function and efficiency for the survivor.
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Hawke began his career in 1982. He first served on Active Duty, then in Army Reserves and in the National Guard. Hawke was a Sergeant First Class (SFC) as a Special Forces Medic (18D), Special Forces Communicator (18E) and Special Forces Operations and Intelligence Sergeant (18F). He recently retired from the U.S. Army Reserves as a Special Forces Captain (18A), also known as a Green Beret Officer. He was assigned in a billet for Major, to U.S. Army Special Forces Command (USASFC) located at Fort Bragg, NC, home of the Green Berets to support 3rd SFGA before he retired in 2010).
As a Sergeant, Hawke was a Jump Master, earned numerous foreign jump wings and, for a short period, he was a Recruiter for Special Operations (Psyops and Civil Affairs) in the Reserves. As an SFC, he had attended Infantry (11B) Advance Sergeant School (ANCOC). Hawke was also certified as a Paramedic (NR-EMT-PM), Scuba Diver (Cape Fear PADI), and attended training in Skydiving (Green Beret Sport Parachute Club).
As an Officer, Hawke attended Medical Officer School (70B), Infantry Advanced Officer School (11A), and Civil Affairs Advanced Officer School (38A). He also completed the Advanced Officer School and Combined Arms Support Service School (CAS3). While he was a young officer, 2LT, he briefly recruited specialty officers such as Doctors, Lawyers, and Chaplains for the Army Guard.
After 9/11, Hawke was a single parent living with his two teen sons and working in L.A. as a Segment Producer for ABC when he was called back to active duty. He spent 2 years serving in the Global War On Terror (GWOT). During this time, he went back through the Special Forces course, sixteen years after the first time, to earn his S.F. Officer Qualification and go on to serve as Commander of the Afghan Militia Forces and later as a Team Commander. He also served as the Executive Officer (XO) for the 18A Committee at the Special Warfare School (SWC) and as an Assistant Operations Officer (S-3a) at 4th Training Battalion (4th BN, SWC.)
During his career as an Officer, Hawke also attended some select Special Forces training such as: Anti-Terrorism and Force Protection Instructor (AT/FP Level II), Peace time Government and Hostage Detention (SERE 245, PG-HD), Personnel Recovery (JPRA 102), Survival, Escape, Resistance and Evasion (SERE, Level-C).
As a Reservist, Captain Hawke was assigned to support the Active Duty Special Forces unit, 3rd SFGA. Hawke is proud to continue to support his S.F. Brethren and sends prayers out for his fallen comrades, their families, and those still serving in harm's way. Mykel Hawke supports the Special Forces Association and in a member of his local New Orleans Chapter.
Hawke runs an adventure training company (www.specops.com) that uses survival for a variety of teaching purposes such as: Corporate Leadership, Family Counseling, Couples Bonding, Singles Mingling, Troubled Teens, Professional Level Safety, Remote Medicine, Elite Military Prep, TV and Film Crew training, Cast and Talent skill provision and advising, Production Company support and development.
Hawke began his TV career quite by accident. He started a Medical company to work in War Zones after Desert Storm. The work was intense, so he began a tourism company for his team to get down time working in Costa Rica running children's programs. That's how MTV's Road Rules Central America found SpecOps and asked Mykel to help develop the program for their season finale. Hawke ended up representing SpecOps in a dual role as a bad guy and the good guy on MTV Road Rules in 1998. He then did some consulting for Danish TV in 1999, Boot Camp in 2000, and Fear Factor in 2001. After his first TV appearance, he worked on numerous productions as set medic, security, translator, and producer. He was mobilized for two years after 9/11.
Once Hawke completed his tour of duty, with the raised profile of Special Forces in the media, he was asked to do a number of other shows as on screen talent. Between 2004-2005 he appeared as a subject matter expert in survival, warfare, leadership, medicine, and special operations for TV shows such as Tactical to Practical, Healthcops, Britain's Worst Boss, and Forever Eden. He appeared in the 2006 movie Dirty Sanchez as himself. In 2006, he also filmed an episode of the Discovery Channel's I Shouldn't Be Alive: Science of Survival in which he taught survival in the Amazon jungle.
In 2007, he appeared as the Resident Expert on survival for the BBC's series about community survival,Castaway Exposed, and was featured as a survival camp instructor on The Simple Life Goes to Camp. He appeared as an interrogator and fitness trainer for Kimberly Stewart in Living with Kimberly. In 2008, Hawke was a fitness trainer for Kyle's Academy in the U.K. and appeared on Fox's Reality Revealed, Behind the Scenes of Paradise Hotel 2 as the set Medic and Security, which aired in the U.S. A now-frequent guest on Channel 5's The Gadget Show, Hawke appeared in 2008, demonstrating new survival technologies, and on the show Fifth Gear, where he was test driving old and new military jeeps. Both shows aired in the U.K.
In 2009, Hawke was involved with a new reality series about survival for the Discovery Channel released that spring. He was on the Travel Channel's Bizarre Foods with Andrew Zimmer in June, in which Andrew learned to survive and hunt for his own food in the Mexican jungle. During the summer, he helped out on Kourtney & Khloe take Miami on E! and was a recurring guest on Big Brother's Little Brother in the U.K. Hawke was also on ABC's Good Morning America with Chris Cuomo discussing Family Preparedness in August.
Mykel Hawke is the creator and star of two hit survival series for the Discovery Channel, Man, Woman, Wild and One Man Army. The popular show was not canceled, rather discontinued at Hawke's option. He continues to appear on many channels and networks in the US such as the Conan O'Brien show and Extreme Chef and The Gadget Show, Tool Academy and Big Brother's Little Brother in the U.K. Hawke's latest production with the Outdoor Channel, Elite Tactical Unit, is airing on Wednesday's at 9 PM (EST) and his newest show with TRAVEL channel is set to air in JUNE 2013, as well as a few commercials; Mykel has a few films in the works, so keep an eye out for those.
Hawke was born in Fort Knox, Kentucky and, as an "Army brat," grew up mostly in the southeast in places like: Fort Monroe, VA; Fort Bragg, NC; Fort Benning, GA; Fort Hood; Fort Carson, CO.
He is a 3rd Degree Blackbelt in Aikido and a 1st Degree in Judo. He has also studied Wu Shu and Wing Chun Kung Fu, Karate and Special Forces Combatives. Hawke enjoys hiking, camping, shooting, fishing, and all types of outdoor activities as well as teaching, reading, writing, and music. He is an enthusiast in all forms of primitive hunting methods (only for survival food ) as well as having an interest in Native American Knife and Tomahawk fighting techniques.
Hawke grew up very poor and survived on the streets as a teen, which is why he is into survival. He was kicked out of junior high school for fighting against bullies, which is why he joined Special Forces to help others. He never attended high school because, as the eldest, he had to take a job to help his mother support his siblings, which is why he is keen on education. He uses his Master's Degree, education, and experience to help others and is pursuing his PhD in order to one day run a full-time camp for kids—his dream job when he retires. If he ever grows up!
Hawke is married to TV Presenter Ruth England. They have a son and reside in New Orleans, Louisiana. Hawke is also proud to have two grown sons and a grandson and grand daughter living in the U.S. as well.


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3 tips to beat the post-holiday slump
You'd think with all of the stress that the holiday season often brings with it, we'd be happy to see it go. But somehow, after the perfect meals are cooked, you (and Santa) managed to get every must-have gift, and your in-laws have gone home, we feel sentimental as we crash land into January.
With freezing temperatures and grey skies, your favorite TV shows on winter hiatus (a personal struggle), and returning to work after vacation, it's easy to catch a case of the new year blues. But there's a cure! Consider these tips to help you come out of winter hibernation with a smile on your face.
Step 1- Take on something new
New Year's resolutions have gotten a bad rap, but even if you don't exactly keep up with your mission to go to the gym six days a week, you can still do something with the intention behind that idea. Have you always wanted to see what the fuss was about Zumba? Lots of gyms have guest and trial passes at the start of the year, so you can grab a friend and try it out. Latin tribal dancing not your thing? Even committing to walking around the neighborhood once a day or finally digging out that cross stitch kit you never got around to re-gifting can be considered steps in the right direction or help get you out of a rut. This doesn't just work for adults — get kids in on the fun, too. Sign them up for a new activity or set a reading challenge for the winter months. Taking chances and indulging whims are great ways to surge your endorphins. Who knows, something could stick and become a worthwhile habit.
Step 2- Get your mind right
Yes, it's cold. Yes, you have to go to work or do chores around the house. No, you can't stay in your sweat pants all day. Instead of growling at passersby until you get your coffee, try to approach each day differently. Think what you want about the hokiness of positive affirmations, but there is something great about stopping yourself mid-complaint and changing your viewpoint. We might not have control over morning traffic or grumpy cashiers, but we do have control over our reactions and perspective. Instead of carrying over old stressors and attitudes from last year, think of the new year as a clean slate. Take the extra time you'll be spending indoors to get organized, quit the stinking thinking, and muster up some energy. April will be here before you know it.
Step 3- Treat yourself
When reading this step, your mind might have immediately jumped to a shopping spree or eating an entire cheesecake, but treating yourself comes in less elaborate forms, too. Shape your days so that at some point you can have a few "me" moments, be it reading your favorite blog (or magazine), talking on the phone (or texting), catching up on a show on the DVR, or going for a run. Sure, a full uninterrupted day at the spa is a fantasy for most of us, but carving out even 15 minutes to do something you like can make winter an easier pill to swallow.
Getting back into the swing of things isn't always fun, but reshaping your approach, adding a few new activities, and taking some time for yourself could make the next few months fly by. However, if you feel like the blues are here to stay, seek help where you feel most comfortable, whether it's talking with friends or family or a counselor.
How are you battling the post-holiday blues?
Posted by Maranatha Bivens, Communications Editor at the National Military Family Association
0 CommentsAdd yours
I've been trying to plan fun projects to do at home to 'brighten' my day. (Things I don't normally do) I always complain about how dreary everything looks once the beautiful decorations come down so This year I've decided to decorate for 'winter' (snowmen, fresh greens, and white candles) and hopefully conquer the post holiday blues I suffer from each year.
Annie – I do the same thing. I like to decorate for winter to keep the house festive. Plus, if it takes me a little bit longer to put away the decorations, I say they are part of my winter design.


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When you know yourself, you can plan your career and education based on what's important to you: your interests, abilities, values and experiences.
Mechanical Engineering Technology Manufacturing
Northern Alberta Institute of Technologywww.nait.ca
The Northern Alberta Institute of Technology (NAIT) is a leading Canadian polytechnic, delivering education in science, technology and the environment; business; health and trades. With nearly 60,000 credit and non-credit students and a 95 per cent employer satisfaction rate, NAIT grads are essential to Alberta's prosperity. Known for hands-on, technology-based learning, NAIT engages with business and industry in applied research and innovation and provides corporate training around the world. Recognized as one of Alberta's top employers, NAIT provides outstanding returns on investment for its graduates, partners, the provincial government and the people of Alberta.!span>!span>!span>
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If you do not qualify for transfer credit or credential recognition, Prior Learning Assessment and Recognition (PLAR) may be an option.
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Good heavens, I haven't blogged in months! But that doesn't mean I haven't been working on projects and blogging about them in my head!
This is going to be a major blog brain dump post - everything you didn't want to know about our family life and activities at Brown Wren Acres.
Let's see. . .
It was Charlotte's first birthday and I made her a Charlotte doll with hazel/brown eyes and pig tails just like the real Charlotte.
Pure sweetness, I tell ya.
Our veggie garden was pretty good this year. I planted 4 different kinds of tomatoes (40 plants in all) and they all did very well. Also planted were cucumbers, 3 kinds of peppers, 2 kinds of green beans, cantaloupe, and squash. I grew everything from seed too!
I can't forget about the herbs that rounded out the menu. Basil, parsley, mint, tarragon, thyme, rosemary, oregano, lemon balm, pineapple sage, and sage.
I was able to can tomatoes, tomato sauce, green tomato relish, pickles, and salsa.
I also invested in a pressure cooker so I can process cans of chicken stock, beef stock, and soups.
In Grandlittle news there was chicken wrangling,
Chicken chasing. . .
Trips to the aquarium. . .
and muddy visits to the park!
(Between our house and the park, a sudden rainstorm left several inches of rainwater awaiting our arrival. Instead of going home, we just stayed and played.)
September. . .
We got to cheer at football games. . .
Enjoy some beautiful, cooler mornings at The Wren. . .
and pick a ton of green beans. . .
And in October. . .
we (I mean Hubs and Son) worked on fixing up Cubbie (the tractor). . .
snuggling with books. . .
and taking a road trip (rode bikes on part of the Virginia Creeper Trail despite the government shutdown canceling our reservations to camp). . .
Yes, there was also organizing jobs and staging jobs and teaching preschool and serving at church. There was sewing and cleaning and organizing. There was making meals for needy families. I'm so thankful to have a full and active life (thanks, Cathy).


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The Speed of Light communicates that light travels and that it is the fastest thing in the Universe.
The book compares the speed of light to other extremely fast things, such as a jet, a rocket ship, and sound.
Data about these comparisons are presented in tables, as well as through descriptive examples that suggest what would happen if light were in a race with such competitors as the fastest human, the fastest animal, and the fastest car on earth.
Through examples like these, The Speed of Light helps students understand how fast light travels—something that is impossible for them to observe firsthand.
Grade 3-4
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#11 Race report a little late
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Team Squid Racing
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 1,111
#11 Race report a little late
After a couple of months of frantically ordering and installing parts our new 2004 F&S Suzuki GSXR 600 it was finally time to head to Nelson Ledges. With only 36 "parking lot" and dyno miles on the odometer the number #11 bike was ready to rock when it hit the track Saturday morning. Factory was the first one out on the new GSXR. He was sent out in the cold with the plan of just running up some quasi aggressive miles. After about 15 minutes he brought it back in with a big smile. This thing has incredible motor. I will not even mention the guy on the 750 who thought it was a 1000.
Anyway Dean (thanks) lent us a hand trying to do a little suspension work to get the bike started. We got the Penske rear in place but we are still on stock front forks so suspension still isn't right but good enough for now. Fast forward a 150 miles of practice and it is time for the riders meeting.
All day long people asked what time was the race going to start? My answer "When it starts raining." Guess I should have used my psychic powers for the lottery. Bob called for the riders meeting and the rain started falling. Kind of a bummer after a beautiful afternoon of practice. O'well. Factory got to start on a very wet track. Lucky him. He ran good times for someone on a radically different bike from anything else he had ridden. He had lots of baby slides and wiggles but made it back to the pits after 45 minutes with the bike intact. We made a decent pit stop and I was off and running. The track was drying out with every lap and I was enjoying the new bike. About an hour into my run I was still dropping lap times with every pass. The weather looked threatening again but the track was in good shape. I was trucking along and found out the hard way that it was raining half way through the carousel. Well next thing I know with no warning I tuck the front. Guess that new pretty asphalt was a little slick. I pick the bike up and immediately try to restart it. It fires but I have no brakes. I tinker and still nothing. O'well ride back to the pits with no brakes in the rain. We can figure it out there. By this time it is pouring. I slowly make my way back to the pits and immediately yell BRAKES!. After a minute we realize the obvious problem. I had snapped the heads off of both brake lines. This is a new Suzuki feature I guess. Well after borrowing a bolt from camcool (thanks guys) and a master cylinder from the 29 bike (thanks guys) Buff from holeshot (thanks buff) is able to get us up and running with 1 front brake. LOL. Factory some how managed to finish out the race with only one brake passing many riders and running some of his best lap times. Very impressive for no brakes. We are debating putting the other one back on. Seems Greg runs better with 1.
3 hours the checker drops and we are still in 4th. Just couldn't make up the laps we lost because I bounced the #`11 F&S Suzuki off the ground. We gave it hell though. Lots of good racing this year in the middleweight class. Should be a great season. I would like to thank F&S Suzuki. They (Jeff, Tim, Ron, Bill, Doug, and company) have been critical in getting this 04 GSXR 600 up and running in time. Thanks to Vortex for helping out with lots of the hardware to convert a street bike to a race bike. (If you need anything Vortex let me know. I bet I can save you a few dollars.
) Thanks to all Localriders.com members. Your support really helps more than you will ever know. Thanks Jeff (sherpadude) for taking some great photos. Thanks to Bill and Holeshot Motorsports for their continued support and help in the pits. Thanks to our crazy painter (FlyingTurtle1) poor guy has to do it again because I can't ride.
And whomever I am forgetting thanks to you to.
Now if we can just avoid flying chickens at Grattan life will be good.
Team Squid Racing
2004 F&S Suzuki GSXR 600
Thanks to our Sponsors!
and OF COURSE Localriders.com
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