text:
Tampa – A Tampa mother received a phone call a day before her son's funeral saying the service was cancelled after the pastor found out the deceased was gay.
Julie Atwood, Julion Evans' mother,was told she could not have the funeral services at New Hope Missionary Baptist Church because it be "blasphemous."
Pastor T.W. Jenkins for New Hope said he did not know Evans,42, was gay until he saw his obituary which listed a surviving "husband." After members of the congregation saw and called to complain, Jenkins said he did not think it was acceptable to hold the funeral services at New Hope.
Kendall Capers, Evans' husband and partner of 17 years, said their relationship was not a secret. The two were even married a year ago in Maryland.
"This is 2014, this is not the 60s or the 70s," Capers said to WFLA News Channel 8. "So at the end of the day I just want his wrong-doing to be exposed."
The funeral services were scheduled July 26. Due to the last-minute cancellation, Atwood and Capers tried to change the funeral location and to notify everyone who would attend of the new venue. Still, some mourners showed up at New Hope still and missed the funeral.
Capers said he wanted the funeral services at a church and would have understood the church's position if they didn't cancel it the day before, calling it a "disrespectful" and "wrong" decision.
From our media partner Watermark


text:
Snap: Ice race on Loch Leigh
Two youths and their canine friend prepare to race on the ice at Loch Leigh, a shallow lake in the West Leigh neighborhood.
More Snaps
5 comments
Not the brightest thing to do. I saw shallow but suppose the dog fell in and the boys went after him; now that would have been a sad story.
Adorable, I hope my new dog will be as well behaved and wait till I say go. So can dogs run on ice ?
Note it says shallow lake, so if someone fell in they could walk themselves out, but if you plan to venture onto a deeper pond or lake - here's a smart tip, and it never hurt to know what to do if you do fall in
" If you really want to be safe, you should carry a rope with you just in case one of your companions was to fall in. The worst thing that you can do when your friend falls in the water, is to go to the same spot he was in and try to grab him out. No, obviously that spot could not hold him so it will not be able to hold you. Grab your rope and throw it to him in the water. Now, if you are the person who fell in the freezing water, try to stay calm. Then point your body towards the shore. Now put your hands on the ice in front of you, make sure it is sturdy. If it is not sturdy it will fall in and then you just need to go all the way towards the shore until you do find a sturdy piece of ice. Then after you put your hands on the ice, you should kick your feet up and down to make yourself sort of float, and get in a better position to grab the rope so your friends can pull you out, or to better push yourself out. Now, when you do finally get out of the negative degree water, do not stand up. Your body is in shock and your body will be harmed. You need to just lay on that ice and roll yourself towards shore. It sounds a little awkward but it will keep you alive... You should never go ice skating in a frozen pond or lake by yourself or at night. Keep yourself safe, and follow these instructions.
Where they were is not even a foot deep.
I spent many wonderful hours skating on ponds as a child and this has been one of the coldest winters that I can remember since moving her in the 1970's.
By taking a few simple precautions pond skating can be safe and a great activity for young and old.
Reading Ice Conditions
" Temperature is not the only factor to consider when determining if the ice is actually safe. Recent precipitation, wind, the amount of sunshine and protruding objects can dramatically effect ice stability on an hourly basis. Inspecting, or reading the ice, each time before beginning your skating session, is necessary to ensure your and your skating party's safety.
Inspect the area where you intend to skate - about every 10 feet. As you walk around the ice, test its integrity by chipping at it to determine structure and thickness. If the ice comes off in chunks, this is evidence of high density and strength and it should be safe to proceed. When chipping results in flakes or thin layers, however, this is an indication that the ice is weak and deteriorating and it is unsafe to continue. There are four basic types of ice conditions: (1) frazil or old ice; (2) gray or black ice; (3) snow ice and (4) clear ice.
"Frazil" or "old" ice is the first to form. Its color ranges from oily to opaque and can form a solid sheet. It is very porous and weak, so stay off of this type of ice.
Gray or black ice is ice that is "rotting" and in an advanced stage of deterioration. It may appear light gray to dark black due to water saturation. This type of ice can bear no weight.
Snow ice is formed by wet layers of snow that have thawed and re-frozen. Its appearance may be white to opaque with visible air pockets. Snow ice is low in density and very porous and weak. Unless it has formed over clear ice, it should be not be considered safe.
Clear ice is the strongest and safest ice due to its thickness (more than four inches.) It is formed during extended periods of sub-zero temperatures and appears blue to clear. Clear ice that is located near the edge or the middle of the pond may not be suitable, so inspect carefully and proceed with caution. "

subset: commoncrawl


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Wednesday, April 4, 2012
Wildrose momentum continues
The polls are also tightening up, reducing the projected ranges of the two parties. Wildrose is now on track to win between 39.1% and 42.5% of the vote, compared to the 33.3% to 41.3% of 1 April. The Tories are now down to between 30.6% and 33.6% support.
The Liberals have also taken a step backwards, dropping 2.1 points to 12% of the vote. They could dip as low as 9.5%, or as high as 14.5%, based on the degree of volatility in their polling. The New Democrats are up 0.2 points to 11.3% of the vote. Both the Liberals and the New Democrats are unchanged at three and four seats, respectively.
The most consequential shift in support has taken place in Calgary, where Wildrose is up 1.7 points to 44.7% support. They are now projected to win 25 seats, up four from the last projection. The Tories have dropped 0.9 points to only 30.6% in the city, and are projected to hold on to only two seats (though they could win as many as eight). The Liberals dropped 2.2 points to 11.9%.
In Edmonton, Wildrose has stolen 2.4 points from the Tories, and now trails the PCs by a narrow margin: 29.3% to 32.1%. The Liberals are up 0.5 points to 18.7%, while the New Democrats are down 0.4 points in the provincial capital to 16.1%.
And in the rest of the province, Wildrose has picked up four points and three seats. They sit at 46.7% of the vote in this region and are projected to win 21 seats. The Tories are down one point to 33.2%, while the Liberals have fallen 3.5 points to only 6%. The New Democrats sit comfortably in third with 11.9% of the vote, a gain of 2.3 points.
The New Democrats are projected to win between two and seven seats, while the Liberal high range has dropped to six seats from 10. The NDP, then, has the inside track on becoming the third party in the legislature.
With Wildrose gaining so much support between now and the 2008 election, the projection model has a few quirks. As Wildrose took only a small portion of the vote in the last election, their gains are amplified in ridings where the party has done moderately well in that election and in by-elections since. Floor-crossers are also seeing their numbers inflated. As the model uses a manner of proportional swing, this is what can happen. That's why Wildrose can be projected to win 70.5% of the vote in Airdrie and 86.1% in Cardston-Rocky View. Will Wildrose actually get that high of the vote share in these two ridings? Probably not, but what can be taken from this is that the Wildrose candidates are very likely to win.
But anyone who says that huge increases of support from one election to the next make it impossible to accurately project a party's performance is wrong. Individual oddities can occur, however. In the 2011 federal election, and with the correct province-wide vote numbers in Quebec, the projection model would have pegged NDP support in Outremont at 76.4%, rather than the 56.4% that Thomas Mulcair actually got. This occurred because NDP support in Quebec grew by leaps and bounds since 2008 but Outremont was already a strong NDP riding. On the other hand, even these exceptional cases can be quite accurate. Gatineau was a good NDP riding in 2008, and so the party would have been projected to take 65.8% of the vote in 2011. That might have seemed high in what had previously been a close race, but in the end the NDP took 61.8% of the vote in the riding.
Province-wide, and again with the right vote numbers, the model would have given the NDP 60 seats in Quebec. They actually won 59. This shows that, even when a party goes from zero to 60 in one election, a proportional swing model can cope.
ThinkHQ is very welcome, as it confirms the findings of the three polls taken shortly after the election was called. Consistency is good, especially since ThinkHQ uses an online panel, as opposed to the IVR method used by the other three firms. That gives a mix of methodologies showing the same results.
Since ThinkHQ's last poll, Wildrose is up 10 points while the Tories are down six points, to 43% and 30%, respectively. After Abacus, this is the second consecutive poll putting the margin between the two parties at 13 points. The regional results also jive with everything else we've seen, namely a run-away lead by Wildrose in Calgary and outside the two main cities, and a very tight race in Edmonton.
The Wildrose balloon has not deflated yet, and if the campaign continues in the manner that it has so far it is unlikely to deflate before election day. Danielle Smith has terrific personal numbers, with an approval rating of 56% to only 32% disapproving, a far better result than Alison Redford's 48% to 43% spread. Redford's disapproval rating has been on a steady increase since she became leader, while Smith's approval rating has inched up slowly in every ThinkHQ poll since December. Leadership drives election results, and right now Smith has both hands on the wheel.
51 comments:
As the polls continue to come into alignment, this is looking more and more like one of those (very) occasional elections when Alberta decides it has had enough of its previous governing party and consigns it to the scrap-heap of history. Just like Social Credit, and the United Farmers before them, it looks like Alberta has finally decided to do away with the PCs.ReplyDelete
Regarding those extreme projections, look at the federal results in Alberta. 8 ridings (6 rural and 2 in Calgary) had CPC vote totals over 75%. Having a party win multiple seats with overwhelming dominance isn't unheard of, or even uncommon.ReplyDeleteReplies
The Tories had a much larger lead federally in Alberta than the Wild Rose do provincially though...Delete
Eric - This may be relevant to your interests (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multinomial_logit).
In university we used it for transportation planning models, and I've seen political science professors use it for this sort of thing in papers before...
It wouldn't make that that much of a difference if you're just trying to predict who wins a riding though. It deviates from the proportional swing mainly at the margins.
- Kensingtonian04 April, 2012 15:33
You have given the WAP 21 seats in the rest of Alberta. While their popular support (47.5%) would indicate this a likely outcome I wonder if you are being optomistic since, the effectiveness of the Wild Rose "ground game" is unknown? I spoke to someone who worked on the Alberta Alliance campaign in 2008 and they said this is where they fell short; identifying and getting thier vote to the polls, especially in rural Alberta.
Is there any realistic way to quantify a "ground game" or perhaps incumbency?
- Anonymous04 April, 2012 15:56
Ground game only matters when an election is close.Delete
When a party has this much momentum and positive intensity the ground game spontaneously creates itself in an organic way.
These things are actually being taken into account. Incumbency is one of the factors used in every riding, and the polls are adjusted according to this "ground game" factor - i.e., larger parties in the legislature have tended to out-perform the polls, likely because of fundraising and better organization.
In other words, if these factors weren't included I would have Wildrose winning even more seats.
I wouldn't discount Wildrose's resources...
The other point is that while WR may be a new party, it's not as if they're starting from scratch like, say, the NDP in Quebec. There no shortage of conservative (small-C) elements in Alberta which they can look to for volunteers, support, etc.. It's no coincidence, for example, that their campaign is being managed by Tom Flanagan.Delete
Kensigntonian, if the Orange Wave in Quebec proved anything, it is that in a wave election the ground game (or absence thereof) is a relatively minor limiting factor. It will only be a real factor if Wild Rose loses any seat by a small number of votes.Delete
- Kensingtonian04 April, 2012 18:07
Thank you very much for your reply. I will review your methodology to gain a better understanding.
- Anonymous04 April, 2012 15:49
I just don't see the numbers staying like this for a long time. The WR has peaked and this is the honeymoon period when many voters jumped over to the WR as an alternative to the PCs, without really knowing what they support. I just can't see Alberta going through with the WR in the longterm.ReplyDelete
It reminds me like how the CAQ dominated the polls in Quebec this summer before people really understood what they were about. Now that the WR is on top, they're getting a lot more critism from all parties, and I expect this to be reflected in the polling data next week.
Also, I'm interested to see how the leadership debate changes things.Replies
The election is in 2 and half weeks! There's really not much more to see.Delete
After the televised debates the PC's are going to decline further because Alison will have a former Tory hammering her about healthcare and Danielle Smith looking hotter and more confident in regards to everything else.
At this point the PC's will be lucky to be the official opposition.
Wildrose achillies heel: unvetted candidates. After D Smith and a few former PC MLAs, who do they have?Delete
Thanks Daveberta!
That's what we'll be talking about next week.
- David in Calgary04 April, 2012 17:09
The ground game as I see it in Calgary is quite striking. There are many more Wildrose signs on people's lawns than PC (a sign of committed voters). In public areas they are basically even (a sign of each parties' overall fundraising efforts). I haven't seen any NDP signs to date and very few Liberal signs.ReplyDeleteReplies
- Kensingtonian04 April, 2012 18:09
Lots of Liberal signs in Kensington. I went out walking the other day and I counted 9 Liberal signs 0 PC, 0 WR, 0 NDPDelete
- David in Calgary05 April, 2012 09:33
It's also worth noting the Liberals are polling around 12% vs. the 30% they received in the 2008 election.Delete
Got to 5 Ave and 37 Street NW. Head east along 5th or 6th Ave to 10 Street NW. For fun do some side trips into Westmount and Sunnyside, or up the hill to Crescent Heights along 12th or 13th Ave.ReplyDeleteReplies
I've been door knocking in this riding and the response is terrific.Delete
The atmosphere is different this time since real change is a possiblity.
Voting for David Swann because he's a nice guy who likes green issues isn't going to cut it.
After his failed leadership of the Liberals people will want someone capable.
In other words, old signs or not...I trust Eric's stats.
Hello Friendly G. Of course you're noticing a difference from last time. In 2008 WR got 6% - 2 dozen more votes than the Greens. You've tripled or quadrupled your numbers this time and are challenging the PCs for second place. Good job! Take out those PC voters! Knock yourself out. Thanks so much.Delete
PS. When you're on the doorstep do you explain to the folks what your "family friendly" agenda is all about?
It's David Swann I want to get rid of in Mountain View, not necessarily "the Liberals". I don't actually live in the riding, but that's where I do most of my volunteering, so I could be wrong, but in my opinion people are eager to vote for a real party that is capable of getting rid of the PC's. We have former Liberal voters working for us, who in the past voted Liberal simply because there was no one else.Delete
This would explain Eric's stats for Mountain View, especially in light of the 2008 results.
As for the family friendly agenda? Not sure what you mean. People are mostly concerned with finances and corruption.
- Anonymous04 April, 2012 19:26
Given the numbers, have you entertained the possibility (however remote) of Liberal and NDP voters switching allegiances and voting for the PCs in an effort to thwart the Wildrose? Centre-left voters in Alberta have been known at times to vote strategically for the candidate whom they consider to be the most progressive - particularly if they felt that splitting the vote could result in a candidate that they did not feel represented them. How would your projections look if you gave some weight (not too high of course since statistically the probability of this happening is low) to this factor in your model?ReplyDeleteReplies
- alvinfinkel05 April, 2012 04:39
The WRA are not much different from Tories. It makes no sense for Liberals and Tories, Alberta Party supporters, or Evergreens to switch to them. But for those interested in voting strategically for the progressive with the best chance of defeating both Tories and WRA, check out changealberta.caDelete
- Anonymous05 April, 2012 11:31
The reason I ask this is because Redford won the PC leadership on a policy oriented to progressives. Her victory has been largely attributed to her promises to fund education and healthcare - platforms which are both dear to progressives. Furthermore, the Wildrose, in my opinion, poses an existential threat to labour unions (the various provincial employees' unions being the biggest ones in the province) and labour regulations in general. While the Tories can hardly be considered to be labour-friendly, their current leader seems to be the most progressive leader that they've had since Peter Lougheed. Would it not be in the interests of progressives to preserve the status quo (at least for now) rather than allow a party that is even more toxic to progressive interests attain power?Delete
I know three left leaning voters that are voting PC this election. They don't really want to but they like the Wild Rose party less than they like the PCs. One actually has worked on federal and provincial campaigns for the NDP.Delete
- Anonymous05 April, 2012 16:03
That's what I am seeing take place. Any thoughts on this Eric? By the way, I'm a huge fan or yours (although intensely private as you can tell!). Please keep up the good work. Your insight and analysis are invaluable.
I'm not sure, we'll have to see what happens in the coming weeks. It might be too early to expect progressives to jump ship en masse.
signs on private lawns dont necessarily mean committed voters - some of my friends are having trouble this election with parties putting signs on their lawn without permission (heheh) and a sign on a private lawn could be 1,2,8 or 0 votes on election day at that home. Whos to know and whos to say???ReplyDelete
- Retired in BC05 April, 2012 10:09
How the surge of Wild Rose in Alberta, the Conservatives in BC and The Sask party in Sask, along with the CPC dominating Ontario can be misinterpretted as anything other than the Centre shifting to the right is beyond me.ReplyDelete
The big government, nanny state concept, big unions, huge no-discussable increases to medicare, public servcie jobs and education is not the centre anymore.
The centre will no longer put up with just throwing money at it and trusting the elite politburo to do the best job of looking their best interests.
The quick recovery from the recession in such a short time has re-established the bona-fides of capitalism.
Unemployment today (7.2%) is lower than the best than the socialist utopia under Trudeau and later Chretien could provide. The average Unemployment rate for the 12 year most recent Liberal rule (Chretien/Martin) was 8.1%Replies
It's easy to create low unemployment when you are sitting on a massive lake of oil and natural gas. You also give away your ideological blinders when you talk about a "socialist utopia".Delete
You are ignoring the fact that what is happening in Alberta is the periodic change of name of the governing right-wing party. Just as Social Credit gave way to the PCs, the PCs are now giving way to the WRP. In Saskatchewan, the NDP and its internal divisions have been the author of their own demise. In BC, the Conservatives are at best 20% back of the NDP, and are actually dividing the right-wing vote.
7.2% unemployment today isn't the average unemployment under Harper though, Retired. You're comparing apples to oranges.Delete
Chretien-Martin took unemployment from 11.4% in 1993 down to 6.3% in 2006. Harper's taken it from 6.3% to 7.2%. Obviously Harper didn't create the recession so I'm not going to pretend it's his fault that it increased, but I think a fair reading of the facts shows Harper as maintaining the status quo that was established under Chretien Martin.
Do you view the Saskatchewan Party is that far right? I personally view them as pretty much comparable to the BC Liberals - solidly centre right but hardly extreme. Don't get me wrong, I like the Saskatchewan Party a lot, I just don't see them as a seismic shift to the right. Same goes for the Wildrose - the PCs moved to the centre, and this is just a reversion to the Klein days.
I'm not saying there hasn't been a shift to the right, but I'd argue it happened moreso in the early-mid nineties, with the emergence of the Reform Party and the Liberal Party's shift to the right.
Saskatchewan had a stagnant economy for 40 years while sitting on an argubly even bigger pile of resource wealth. Clearly the two are not inexorably linked.Delete
Further to your point Ira, most of the job gains this month were in Quebec and Ontario. Hardly oil based economies there.Delete
I suspect in the long run those two provinces will struggle to maintain that sort of job growth though, given the size of their provincial debts...
- Derek Andrew05 April, 2012 15:40
Retired in BC:Delete
The rise of the BC Conservatives has little to do with ideology or a shifting of the political centre. It is a direct consequence of the HST and the communications failures of the Liberal party. Other than the elimination of the carbon tax there is little overly or obviously rightwing about the BCCP's platform.
Secondly, I think you are cherry picking your examples. Yes, the Saskatchewan party was re-elected with a larger majority but, Saskatchewan has failed to re-elect a government for multiple terms only once, that of James Anderson in 1934. So rather than a shift the 2011 election is an example of the continuity of the current paradigm in that province. You also fail to mention the re-election of the Liberal Government in Ontario in an election that saw a 6% jump for the NDP and a re-elected NDP government in Manitoba. So, I think further study and data is needed before one can conclude the political centre is shifting right in Canada.
Finally, we must examine unemployment; before the "Great Recession" Canada's unemployment rate was roughly 6% (Fall 2008). It peaked in late Spring-Summer 2009 at roughly 8.8%. Today it is 7.2%. So, after 2 and a half years we still have a higher unemployment rate than whent he recession began, hardly a quick recovery!
- retired in bc09 April, 2012 17:03
The above is the Canadian Unemployment rate under (Jobs, jobs, jobs) Chretien 1994 -2003. Average 8.4% Over the same time period the USA UE rate averaged 5.1%
Harper UE rate 6.9 % US UE over the Harper years 7.1%
Over the last 3 years is the only time in the last 50 years that the Canadian UE rate is lower than the American rate. Harper in Canada --- Obama in the US of A.
- pinkobme05 April, 2012 11:20
For all you Albetans, or those who know its voters well, could you speculate whether the news story I read this morning about Smith keeping mum on rumours she'll allow public officials to refuse to perform gay marriages or abortions will affect the WR. Will it hurt, help, or make no difference whatsoever.ReplyDelete
And Retired, just wait awhile, this is Canada. Things shift left, they shift right. The centre is always the same, they just tend to vote one side or the other depending how they feel that election. As for BC, the Conservatives aren't growing at all. They're just shifting parties, as they do every couple decades or so.Replies
- Anonymous05 April, 2012 14:38
Smith is a libertarian.Delete
Nobody fears that she will outlaw abortion or gay marriage.
Frankly i'm amazed anyone is opposed to a conscience clause.
So long as it doesn't interfere with people's services (ie. there's one judge in the town and he doesn't do gay marriage) then it shouldn't be a problem.
If somebody doesn't want to do it then one of their co-workers can handle it.
- Derek Andrew05 April, 2012 16:14
Firstly, the Charter of Rights applies to the federal and provincial governments. Legally a provincial employee, such as a JP, could not refuse to perform a gay marriage without being subject to discipline. What form that discipline would take would be up to the minister but, I think the unhappy couple would have a pretty good civil case against the Government.
As for abortions those oppossed to the procedure are unlikely to have received the training necessary to perform it. However, it is important to remember that Canada does not have an abortion law, the former law being struck on constitutional grounds due to its uneven application. The result being that Canada has no laws governing the subject. Failure by a province to provide abortions would be a violation of the Canada Health Act. A WildRose Government could very well allow doctors of conscience not to perform abortions so long as it allowed women access to the procedure so as not to violate the Canada Health Act.
As someone who has spent a considerable amount of time in Alberta I would say that this particular WR stance will make zero difference. It may strengthen the WildRose base, but I doubt it will attract votes. It has been my experience that social conservatives are a fringe group in Alberta (like everywhere else in Canada). The only exception being some (most rural) ridings include groupings of religious communities such as Mennonites. In these areas social conservatives may be a plurality even a majority of residents.
- Derek Andrew05 April, 2012 16:34
The reason the Courts are oppossed to a conscience clause is because discrimination is discrimination. A conscience clause surreptitously tries to distract and disguise that discrimination.Delete
Where does it end? Could a teacher under a conscience clause refuse to teach a black student because of conscience?
Secondly, in regards to your third paragraph you forget the emotional toll a refusal would bring regardless of the convenience or ability for another officer to perform the procedure.
Yeah from my understanding of things Smith is a social libertarian - that being said the religious right is definitely onside and an active part of the membership of the WA - so if they do win - it will be interesting to see how she will balance party interests on these issues with public opinionDelete
Klein mused openly about deregulating marraige entirely to end the debate over gay marriage.Delete
I'd love it if Smith would pick up Ralph's ball and actually do that. That would send a huge libertarian message to social authoritarians at both ends of the political spectrum: "Your petty squabbles are beneath the concern of government."
- Derek Andrew05 April, 2012 23:18
Marriage is governed under federal law. Provinces solemnise marriages. Basically, the feds write the law, and decide who may enter into marriage but, provinces determine who is allowed to perform the ceremony and how to register (ie. marriage licences).
From a federal perspective "deregulation" (striking the law from the statute books) would allow cousins to marry or brothers and sisters or perhaps inter-species marriage.
From a provincial perspective "deregulation" could allow for anybody to perform a marriage ceremony, not only liscenced officiants or celebrants. Or discard the need to obtain a marriage licence or change the allotted time needed for the publication of banns. Alternatively, deregulation could mean that marriages simply do not exist in Alberta, but, such an outcome would conflict with a number of provincial and federal acts, for instance the income tax act, and would likely be ultra vires (outside provincial jurisdiction).
- Barcs05 April, 2012 11:23
"In Saskatchewan, the NDP and its internal divisions have been the author of their own demise."ReplyDelete
The Sask NDP has shot itself in both feet to be sure,.... but you don't win 65% on E day, and have the highest approval rating in the country (70%) simply because (one) of your opponents made a couple missteps.
- Barcs05 April, 2012 12:05
"You are ignoring the fact that what is happening in Alberta is the periodic change of name of the governing right-wing party."ReplyDelete
The party might be a right wing one, but the leader is not.
Redford is the classic CINO. Conservative in name only. Elected to the leadership in part by a membership drive run through the "Bastion of conservatism" the teachers union. bought and paid for in the months that followed with a cool 100 million.
A few days ago she suggested that Smith's plan to give money back to the taxpayers (20% of any surplus) would just cause them to waste it. (luckily she stopped short of calling it beer and popcorn money).
Rolling in royalty money, one of the richest jurisdictions in the western world right now, Redford ( and stelmach) haven't produced a balanced budget since back before he was elected.
A week ago, She actually went so far as to suggest Alberta isn't good enough to bring elite's from east out here... good enough culturally. Would you win in Quebec or Ontario by suggesting that Alberta or the US was waaayyy better??
She is running a big city/metropolitan campaign from the left. There is dozens of missteps as far as Albertan's are concerned. And if she continues, she will be lucky if she forms the opposition with the default support from the brand she is trying to change.
- Anonymous05 April, 2012 13:36
Hey Eric,ReplyDelete
Quick question: yesterday Premier Redford made a remark when asked about the polls that I found interesting. She said that her party does its own polling, shared internally and that it revealed a much closer result. Furthermore, she noted that a significant number of people responding confirmed that they were "waiting for more info. before deciding."
Is this something that parties really do, or is the Premier simply deflecting this bad news? As someone "on the ground" I have noticed quite a few people saying that they've been "parking" votes for pollsters (out of anger for the incumbent), but won't actually vote WRP on election day on account of the party being an unknown commodity.
Thoughts on this? Is this simply wishful thinking?Replies
Yes, parties do their own polling. Their leaders often say that they are doing better in their internal polls when they are doing badly in the public polls, and they often say the race is closer when they are doing very well in the public polls. So, take Alison Redford's comments as you like.Delete
The undecideds seem to be around 20%, which is not unusual at this stage of the campaign.
My model takes incumbency into account, as well as abstractly taking into account the "ground game". It is unlikely that the gap between the Tories and Wildrose is significantly narrower than I have it.
- Anonymous05 April, 2012 15:23
I know number of PC members who will vote Wildrose.ReplyDelete
So why are they PC? Business, plain and simple. They are afraid to even talk publicly against them for fear of retribution. One is a PC board member in the local riding.
Sad that "democracy" is beholden to hints of corruption. If Wildrose wins, PC party will disintegrate as these silent supporters make themselves public.
The interesting thing is, none are available to work on the PC campaign. You know, they are out of town, on holidays, etc. etc.
I have family in Stelmach's riding that went to school w/him etc. My uncle & cousin are trying to actually "shame" me into voting PC yet again. Incredible. I'm even considering skipping an Easter tradition to avoid them over this. If a party stalwart like my uncle is resorting to this, it really doesn't bode well for the PCs at all, at all.ReplyDelete
- Kensingtonian05 April, 2012 17:31
Can low voter turnout affect polling numbers or seat projections?Replies
Possibly, but in unpredictable ways. One assumes that those who don't turnout also tend not to respond to polls, however.Delete
- Barcs05 April, 2012 21:06
Even worse on the predictability, it isn't just dropping out and not voting that is a problem for predicting.Delete
Turnout last time was only 46% ( I think). With the buzz around this year, it could go a long ways up.
- Kensingtonian05 April, 2012 22:49
Wikipedia (admittedly not the most reliable source) list turnout at 40.59% for the 2008 election.
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The city is 14.71 square miles.
41,290 as of January 1, 2019.
The Planning and Zoning Commission is a recommending body to the City Council on all zoning, platting, and development matters. They are the Site Plan approval authority and have been granted the right to approve Final Plats in some instances.
The Planning and Zoning Commission meets every third Thursday of each month at 6:30 p.m. in the Council Chambers.
Call the Planning Department at (972) 304-3678 and ask to speak with a planner on staff. The zoning cases are listed on the Planning and Zoning Commission and City Council agendas posted in City Hall at least 72 hours prior to the respective meetings, and are published in the Citizens' Advocate newspaper. Planning and Zoning Commission Agendas, Minutes and Packets are available in the Public Document Database. The Agenda/Packet is available the Friday before the scheduled meeting.
All property owners on the most recently approved tax roll located within 200 feet of the zoning change request are notified by mail at least 10 days prior to the Planning and Zoning Commission meeting. A zoning notification sign is also placed on the subject property 10 days prior to the hearing and remains on the property until the city takes action on the request.
Send in your written opposition to the Planning Department prior to the Planning and Zoning Commission meeting. The planning staff may be contacted to obtain detailed information on the case. A staff report is available the Monday before the Planning and Zoning Commission meeting. Encourage all surrounding property owners to attend the public hearing.
Yes. It would take an affirmative vote of at least three-fourths of all the members of City Council (6 out of 7) to overrule a recommendation of the Planning and Zoning Commission that a proposed zoning change be denied.
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The Comprehensive Plan is a long-range plan intended to direct growth and physical development of a community for decades. The plan includes policies relative to physical development, transportation, parks and open space and economic development. It provides for the distribution and relationship of various land uses. The plan also serves as a basis for future development recommendations. Whereas, the Zoning Ordinance regulates the use of land and site development. It controls size of land area, size of yards, building coverage, height of structures, amount of landscaping, among several other things. Any violation of the Zoning Ordinance carries a penalty of up to $2,000 dollars for each offense.


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IRONMAN 70.3® Virginia Training Plan (EXPERIENCED, 10 Weeks)
David Glover, MSE, MS, CSCSAll plans by this Coach
10 Weeks
Refund Policy
This plan is protected by our Refund Policy and may, with the author's approval, be exchanged for a plan of equal value from the same author.Still have questions about this plan?
Plan Description
Commit. Train. Perspire. Believe. Overcome. Achieve.
When you cross the finish line of an IRONMAN 70.3® triathlon, you've accomplished something very special.
Designed for EXPERIENCED triathletes who have completed multiple Half IRONMAN races, the primary goal of this training plan is to prepare you to EXCEL in your IRONMAN 70.3 Virginia RACE.
Crafted by USA Triathlon-certified coach and former pro triathlete David Glover, MSE, MS, CSCS, this plan encapsulates his passion for the sport, his experience from dozens of Half and Full IRONMAN distance finishes (5 overall wins, 8:51 PR at IRONMAN distance) and his success coaching hundreds of triathletes.
Starting 10 weeks before your goal race, this plan progresses through one base period and one build period (13.5 hrs max per week) prior to peaking and tapering. Following the prep period, each week typically contains 3x swims, 3x bikes and 3x runs plus 1 BRICK run. You will build up to: 3,000 yards (or meters) swimming, 3.5 hrs biking and 2 hrs running. Your long ride is Saturday, long run is Sunday and off day is Monday. Although not necessary, we recommend using a heart rate monitor in conjunction with perceived effort; you may use a power meter as well.
Prior to using this plan, you should be able to complete the following workouts:
• Swim: 750 meters or yards continuously
• Bike: 2 hours
• Run: 75 minutes
Purchase of this plan includes our comprehensive 40+ page Triathlon Training Guide, which explains how to use your training plan plus email access to David Glover at any time for questions that you may have about this plan.
For more information about this plan, please DOWNLOAD the Description Document.
Questions? Please visit us on the web at enduranceworks.com or email David directly at: firstname.lastname@example.com.
Please note:
• You can reuse this training plan for future races.
• IRONMAN®, IRONMAN 70.3® and IRONMAN Triathlon® are registered trademarks of World Triathlon Corporation (WTC).
Average Weekly Breakdown
|Weekly Average
|Longest Workout
|3:25 hrs
|2:00 hrs
|2:39 hrs
|1:00 hrs
|4:33 hrs
|3:30 hrs
|Workouts Per Week
|Weekly Average
|Longest Workout
|3:25 hrs
|2:00 hrs
|2:39 hrs
|1:00 hrs
|4:33 hrs
|3:30 hrs
Training Load By Week
This plan works best with the following fitness devices:
- Heart Rate Monitor
Sample Day 1
300 FR easy practice breathing both sides, r10s
2 x 100 Float Kick Drill, r10s
Main Set:
4 x 500 FR maintain same Z3 pace for all four (PADS #3), r30s
C/D: 300 easy CHOICE
View swim drill videos: http://www.enduranceworks.net/resources/swim-drill-videos/
Sample Day 1
Z2 w/ 3 x 2' Z4 - fast, hard efforts standing the first 1 min then seated. 90" easy spinning in between.
Sample Day 2
Field test to set your training zones for the run.
Download and follow either Running Field Test #1 or #2 protocol at http://www.enduranceworks.net/resources/ to calculate your run training zones using heart rate, pace or perceived effort.
Your training zones may shift over time as you become more fit.
Sample Day 3
100 easy CHOICE, r5s
2 x 100 Side Kicking Drill, r10s
4 x 25 Tarzan Drill, r10s
Main Set:
Pyramid (use pull buoy on odd intervals - e.g. 100, 300):
100, 200, 300, 400 FR steady, r15s
400, 300, 200, 100 FR Z3, r15s
C/D: 200 easy CHOICE
View swim drill videos: http://www.enduranceworks.net/resources/swim-drill-videos/
Sample Day 3
Field test to set your training zones for the bike.
Download and follow "Cycling Field Test" protocol at http://www.enduranceworks.net/resources/ to calculate your bike training zones using power, heart rate or perceived effort.
Your training zones may change over time.
Sample Day 4
300 easy CHOICE
4 x 50 FR (fast Z5, easy Z1), r15s
2 x 100 FR start easy and build to Z4, r20s
100 FR easy Z1, r60s
Main Set:
1 x 1000 FR time trial - as fast as you can but pace yourself, r60s
See "Swimming Field Test" at http://www.enduranceworks.net/resources/ to calculate your swim training zones.
C/D: 200 easy CHOICE
Sample Day 4
Warm up 10' easy with 6 x 30" strides mixed in (quick, fast accelerations but not sprints) - 30" easy jog in between.
Hill repeats on moderate hill or 4-6% on treadmill:
2 x 90" up Z4 fast, jog down easy + 15" rest
6 x 30" up Z5 very fast, jog down easy + 15" rest
Finish Z1/Z2


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Well not completely. But what a horrible showing the last couple games. They are being outcoached severely and it looks like that decision to place Bill Stewart into the head coach position is not paying off. I know its early in the season, but if anyone watched the game last night, you would agree that he went to "THE" University of Romeo Crennel Clock Management....or URCCM. Hey, URCCM might even be able to beat West V.
Hopefully they turn it around.


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Kanye West, Kim Kardashian & Kris Humphries' Love Triangle Revealed
Did Kanye just reveal an affair with Kim Kardashian and could it have continued throughout her marriage to Kris Humphries on his shocking new song 'Theraflu'? He also disses Kris Humphries, saying he could have ruined the basketball player's career — what a feud!
Kanye West and Kim Kardashian are often rumored to be hooking up, and now Kanye is admitting that he fell in love with Kim — and Kris Humphries got in the way!
Kanye, 34, released a new song with DJ Khaled called "Theraflu" on New York City radio station Hot 97 on April 4, and he waxes philosophical about his relationship with Kim, 31 — and how Kris, 27, ruined it!
"And I'll admit, I had fell in love with Kim / Around the time she had fell in love with him / Well that's cool, baby girl, do your thing / Lucky I ain't had Jay drop him from the team".
Kanye's BFF Jay-Z is a part-owner of the New Jersey Nets, which Kris plays for. What a huge threat!
While we're sure Kim is humbled that Kanye wrote a song about her, it comes at an inconvenient time: she's about to be tangled in a legal battle with Kris over their divorce, and this kind of publicity is not good for her. Furthermore, it seems to confirm reports that she was allegedly having an affair with Kanye DURING her marriage — which would sink her prospects in court!
Do YOU think Kanye and Kim would be a good couple, HollywoodLifers? Listen to Kanye's new song below and tell us:
— William Earl
More Kim:


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Canadian Club ("CC", not Creative Commons) has been running these really offensive & annoying ads aimed, apparently, at a very small demographic: straight white men with masculinity issues and daddy issues.
My partner pointed them out to me — plastered on bus stops in our ethnically diverse and progressive, queer-friendly community — and we enjoyed speculating on how enterprising billboard alteration-ers (certainly not us, I'd like to emphasize) might edit the ads to be more appropriate for our community. (Way to do stupid poorly-targeted advertising, jack-asses.)
For instance, the ad that showed a guy making out with a woman in a lounge, that implied "dad" was cheating on mom — that could easily be edited to make it appear that mom was picking up a stray businessman to fulfill those needs that dad wasn't capable of satisfying. Again, I repeat, we would never consider doing the alterations ourselves. Pure speculation.
Anyway, Rebecca Tushnet reports about another woman's response to the ad campaign. CC ran one of those cheesey "get involved and do it yourself" fake participation schemes so that straight white overcompensating men with daddy issues could put their own daddies into the ads. Michelle Koenig-Schwartz began Project: Canadian Club – Your Mom Had Groupies in response.
The pictures are awesome, and I have to note that these would go over a lot better in Jamaica Plain. Tushnet's post also contains great analysis, so read the whole thing.


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SOCHI, Russia, Feb. 21 (UPI) -- An International Olympic Committee spokesman said he laughed at Jimmy Kimmel's gag video of a wolf walking down a Sochi Olympics hotel hallway.
The late-night host created the hoax video -- which depicted a wolf walking down a hallway resembling those at the U.S. dorms of the Olympic Village in Sochi -- and it was taken by some as real when it was posted to U.S. luge star Kate Hansen's Twitter account prior to her appearance on "Jimmy Kimmel Live," the Los Angeles Times reported Friday.
Hansen, who appeared on Kimmel's show via satellite while still in Sochi, said not everyone was amused by the wolf hoax.
"Honestly, there was a little bit more backlash than I thought there would be, but it was all worth it in the end," she said.
"I started hearing people talk around the building and then security started freaking out 'cause technically it's a breach within athlete safety," Hansen said. "It kind of went a little crazy over here."
Mark Adams, a spokesman for the IOC, said he doesn't believe the prank did any real harm.
"It made me kind of laugh as an individual, not as an IOC spokesman," Adams said. "I don't think there's any harm done. I don't think it's anything serious."


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If we cannot fix initial issues with your PC on the day you sign up, we'll give you a full refund. After day one, customers of our installment plans may cancel before the next payment is due without incurring further charges.
Everything was done completely and professionally.
My specialists were very patient and respectful. They were great. I'm glad I found this site!! George G, MN
We cannot fix broken hardware devices which require physical intervention (including water damaged phones and cracked screens), and we cannot provide detailed product support for 3rd party software applications which lie outside Microsoft Windows, or the supported versions of Android, or teach you how to use them.


text:
Apparently reacting to pressure from the activist group, People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (PETA), McDonald's may require its processors to change their poultry harvest methods.
The St. Paul Pioneer Press reports the world's largest restaurant chain is looking at using "controlled atmosphere killing," where chickens are killed by replacing oxygen in the air with an inert gas such as nitrogen or argon. Currently, chickens are hung by the legs on a moving conveyor line that pulls them through an electrified vat of water, which stuns the chickens, after which they are bled.
McDonald's move follows a PETA announcement that it would submit a proposal on the issue to shareholders at McDonald's annual meeting.


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SARS-CoV-2. Don't let up. We'll help.
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© WWF / Michel GUNTHER
Marine species and habitats do not exist in isolation. They are part of an intricate web of ocean life where the health of one species is dependant on the health of the entire system. Therefore it makes sense to protect the system as a whole rather than looking solely at single species or one patch of reef.
Yet, of the small number of marine protected areas that have been established, most exist in isolation.
Worse, the vast majority suffer from little or no management at all. Fewer than 10% achieving their management goals and objectives, almost all are open to tourism and recreation, and 90% are open to fishing.
Conflicting priorites
Marine park managers - and the governments and non-profit organizations that support them - must often juggle conflicting national and local priorities coming from a variety of sectors, such as industry, artisanal fishers, commercial fishers, tour operators, local town councils, farmers, and scientific researchers.
In addition, park managers often have extremely limited budgets and staff, and frequently rely on community participation and volunteers to carry out much of the essential work.
This means that in most cases, park staff cannot adequately patrol marine reserves, carry out essential research, or implement effective conservation strategies.
Sensitive habitats at risk
Of particular concern is the current lack of protection for a number of sensitive habitats and areas. These include:
- coral reefs and mangrove forests
- deep seas
- the High Seas
- particularly sensitive areas at risk from shipping activities
- breeding grounds for commercially important fish
Why create MPAs?
Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) are an essential insurance policy for the future of both marine life and local people.
They safeguard the ocean's rich diversity of life and provide safe havens for endangered species, as well as commercial fish populations. They can offer alternative sources of income for local people, for example through tourism and park management. Well-designed networks of ecologically representative MPAs can also allow better security against environmental change, such as global warming.
The term Marine Protected Area applies to many different types of marine parks and reserves with different levels of protection and a wide range of activities allowed or prohibited within their boundaries. An MPA network should provide a balance between no-take zones (and other restricted use areas) and areas of multiple use.


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DWTS Season 12 – "Put ME on the Show" & Possible Contenders
Like Heidi, I've been running into some celebrities and people out there dying to be on DWTS next season. Here is one I really had to scratch my head on. I had no idea who "Ijustine" was until I was over at The ABC Dancing With The Stars "Pick the Cast" link with her and/or her fans flooding the link with their votes. If you don't know who she is, she's a You Tube sensation currently. Guess who she wants as a partner if this video is of any hint? 😮
Black Label Society's and Ozzy Osbourne's former front man, Zakk Wilde, has posted he wants to be on DWTS next season on his My Space page. He's also getting a lot of votes from his fan base currently.
Vote for Zakk to be on the next Dancing With The Stars! And yes we are serious! http://abc.go.com/shows/dancing-with-the-stars/cast-season12
Last week, I ran onto this scary possibilty. lol In this video Joan Rivers mentions how she'd do the show if asked.
TWNpNews is reporting former WWE diva Maria Kanellis has asked her fans to vote for her to be on the show. Here she is in case you've never seen her before.
And then there is Tom Bergeron's dream contestant. In case you missed it, last week, he tweeted Julie Benz that he wanted her on the show. Here's the transcript of their brief exchange:
Bergeron: Post-vacation, I'd love 2 see you pulling double duty. No Ordinary Family & DWTS. U should be able 2 do a REALLY fast quickstep!
Benz: I would love to!!!!!
Bergeron: Good to know! It has synergy written all over it. And spray tan. And teeny little costumes!
Benz: some do it for the dance… I would do it for the spray tan and teeny sparkle costumes!!!
Here is a take from Zap2it on this strong possibility which I agree with.
Whether or not Bergeron has any pull regarding casting choices, this sounds like an interesting proposal and certainly a smart one should ABC and the DWTS producers go for it.
Currently in its freshman season, No Ordinary Family has been having difficulty in the ratings during the last few weeks, despite its continually improving creative stride. What better way to pull in more viewers than to have one of your stars compete in one of the highest rated shows on your network?
As for what DWTS would get out of it, they'd have the opportunity to bring some class back to their ballroom by adding to their cast a current, relevant celebrity who has actually earned the "star" label, rather than continuing to turn their dance floor into the reality TV equivalent of a 10-car pileup by trolling the tabloids for pseudo-celebs without any star-quality whatsoever.
If Bergeron can pull some weight to make this happen, you can bet I'll be back amongst the throng of those frantically phoning in their votes on Tuesday nights.
Ok, so what do you think of these possibilities for DWTS Season 12? I think I like the Julie Benz idea the most and she would make the perfect partner for Derek, Tony, or Maks I think.


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NECA (The National Entertainment Collectibles Association) was founded in 1997 to manufacture high quality licensed collectibles. Over the past 5 years NECA has evolved into a major manufacturer with over 60 licenses from the worlds of sports, music, television, and film. Everything from retro style tin lunchboxes, resin bobbing heads, snow globes, and action figures.
NECA does it all and all Deluxed up!


text: After three fiery failed test launches of its Falcon 1 rocket (the last one carrying NASA's first solar sail craft and Scotty from Star Trek's ashes), Elon Musk's SpaceX is setting up shop at a new launch site-Cape Canaveral's Space Launch Complex 40, which is just south of SLC-39A/B, from which the Space Shuttle and Apollo moon missions have headed skyward for decades. There they hope to prepare the first test of their Falcon 9 vehicle, the bigger and badder version of the Falcon 1 rocket that just can't stop going BOOM. The Falcon 1 rockets have all been launched from Kwajalein, in the US Marshall islands in the Pacific. Moving to the Cape will allow SpaceX to work more closely with NASA, which is still planning to rely on private systems like Falcon 9 to carry the Space Shuttle's burden of ISS service and orbital insertions after it retires by 2010, and until Orion can take up the mantle in 2015 (which many see as an optimistic time frame). Honestly though, we admire SpaceX. They're pushing private-sector space operations further than most would ever dare-let's just hope they get a break soon. For Scotty. [Space Ref via /.]


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(CNN) - The spotlight will shine on the 2014 and 2016 elections as some 3,000 activists from the left gather in Detroit starting Thursday.
That's when the annual Netroots Nation conference, the largest gathering of progressive leaders and activists, kicks off. And two of the Democratic Party's biggest stars - Vice President Joe Biden and freshman Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts - will give keynote addresses.
Follow @politicalticker Follow @psteinhausercnn
While the 2016 race for the White House will be a topic of discussion in dozens of panel discussions, the more immediate concern is this November's midterm elections and Democrats trying to hold onto control of the Senate.
The smaller, typical midterm electorate traditionally favors the Republican Party because single women and younger and minority voters - big supporters of Democrats in presidential election years - tend to cast ballots in smaller numbers in the midterms.
Putting a strategy together to motivate those on the left to show up at the polls come November is on the to-do list at the Detroit gathering.
"A large number of people at our conference are the people that are going to be knocking on doors and making phone calls, and that's often is something that doesn't happen during midterms. Certainly some of the demographics here is exactly the demographics they want turning out: young and people of color and women," Raven Brooks, executive director of Netroots Foundation and Netroots Nation, told CNN.
"An even bigger part is the reach and influence that all of the people here have," Brooks added. "It's important to get them energized and activated so they can then go back to wherever they live and energize their local community."
Progressives are a key constituency in the Democratic Party, a major drawing card for Netroots Nation.
"The folks that are coming, such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Vice President Joe Biden, recognize the power of this community and they know this is an election that people have to turn out for if we're going to win," Brooks said.
Biden, Warren, and Clinton
Biden has been a tireless campaigner for his party, but he's also had to balance his own aspirations, which might include another bid for the White House. That makes his first-ever appearance at the annual gathering all the more intriguing.
Both Biden and Warren spoke Wednesday in Washington at the Make Progress National Summit, a gathering of young progressives.
"I'd like to think I did my part for marriage equality," the vice president said in his speech, touting his early support - even before President Barack Obama - for legalizing same sex marriage.
But Biden may have a tough time winning the support of some on the left if he does decide to launch a 2016 presidential campaign.
"There's a lot of good will towards Joe Biden and respect for his legacy," said Adam Green, the founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, a group that strongly supports Warren and boasts an email list of nearly a million people.
But Green went on to tell CNN that "Someone who's been in the Senate and White House for around 40 years probably is not best equipped to have their finger on the pulse of the rising economic populist tide in America. I think there's going to be a search for some fresher voices and people more looped into our movement."
Warren has been traveling the campaign trail the past couple of months, in support of fellow Democrats running in 2014. But she's said numerous times that she's not running for the White House in 2016. But that didn't stop a group titled "Ready for Warren" from launching a Facebook campaign and Twitter feed on the eve of the conference to try and convince Warren to change her mind.
The group plans to make a splash at the conference.
"At Netroots and beyond, we're going to show Warren what huge momentum she has if she were to jump into the race," Erica Sagrans, the group's campaign manager, told CNN.
And they'll find a very receptive crowd at Netroots.
"There's certainly a contingent that are hopeful and actively trying to do things to create the conditions to let her say yes to that," Brooks said.
Hillary Clinton, who is in the middle of a book tour for her new memoir "Hard Choices," isn't attending Netroots Nation. She was invited but Brooks said her team "declined is because she's not out on the political scene."
The former secretary of state's seriously considering another bid for the White House, and if she runs, as many expect she will, Clinton would instantly become the overwhelming front runner for the Democratic nomination. But she may not the overwhelming choice of many of those attending Netroots Nation.
"If you go back to the 2008 campaign, our group was pretty split between Clinton and Obama," Brooks said, referring to the historic battle between then-Sens. Clinton and Barack Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination.
Brooks added that when it comes to Clinton's standing among progressives, "I do feel like there is a lot of love, and detractors as well."
The PCCC's Green said that Clinton has a lot of questions to answer before those on the left will support her.
"Hillary Clinton has made her views on social policy and foreign policy well known, but hasn't yet addressed many core economic populism issues, such as Wall Street reform, expanding social security benefits, or reducing student debt. A lot of people want to assume good intentions when it comes her her, but have some very tough questions about whether she will stand with Elizabeth Warren on key economic populist issues," Green told CNN.
While Clinton won't be in Detroit, an outside group that's urging her to run in 2016 will be there in force. Several members of Ready for Hillary will be at the conference, holding a session on how grassroots activists have changed the political landscape, and hosting a party for Netroots Nation attendees.
I dunno, the GOP is tearing itself apart, spending wads of Koch money against each other, fielding ever more radical or stupid candidates (i.e McDaniel), failing to police their own fire (Palin, Akin, et al).
In Arizona its a laugh riot- re-appointing recalled crooks, screaming at buses of boy scouts, keeping criminals in office- and Governors candidate (what/ 6 from the Right), each crazier than the last making all sorts of border promises they can't keep (apparently, they've never read the State or U.S. Constitution). For a top-off- Joe Arpaio.
The Right is officially unhinged. It is simply waiting to put the gun to its head and finish itself off.
"O'Malley suggested the White House leaked word of his phone call with Munoz in retaliation for his remarks.
Another example of the vindictive, "you reward your friends and punish your enemies" way this administration conducts business. And this charge comes from a democrat (but he's white, so I guess he just can't stand blah blah blah, right sniffit?)."
You and your ad hominem can take a long Koch-brothers-worshipping belly crawl off a long pier. Besides, you want to talk about vindictive leaking? Plame. Plame Plame Plame Plame PLAME....and yet you consistently, unerringly and religiously side with the people who would do such a thing.
"The only people undermining these United States of America are the nutjobs of the Right!"
But, hey. Isn't that what true patriots DO ... undermine the United States of America? For example: I see their flags proudly waving. I see their love of Country in all that is red, white, and blue. I see their fanaticism where the word America is concerned. I hear them sing "America the Beautiful".
So, yeah. They LOVE their country. But its government and its people? Not so much.
Lynda/Minnesota says:
July 17, 2014 09:59 am at 9:59 am
Hey! Don't you know that "passive agressive grandmas" are not supposed to have a sense of humor?!
Good one my friend, and good morning…yes?!
Uh-oh. Coffee on the keyboard.
Yeah well. He's been trying to float that fodder for months now.
Uh oh let me guess who called you a passive aggressive grandma??? What did I miss??😳
Get those Central American 'children' registered as 'Democrat'!
We have seen the progressive change thing and it was a failure- Getting the welfare crowd to the polls is not a good thing but the above article is about nothing else!
Sure- vote Red- the worst education, worst pollution, shortest lifespans, lowest incomes (and the greatest percentage of those getting "welfare")- all in RED states. Vote Republican, and you vote against yourself.
"2016 hovers over Christie Iowa trip"
Hey now...be nice CNN....no need for veiled references to Governor Soprano's gravitational field...
"What did I miss??"
The usual temper tantrum, this time directed at me. Guess I'm going to have to drag out the rocking chair and knitting needles and do what grandmas did to entertain themselves 50 years ago.
More good News This Morning. Micro Soft is Laying off 18 thousand workers over the next year.
Its been awhile since I've heard a GOPer get excited about laying off thousands of workers. Thanks for the refresher.
rla – " We have seen the progressive change thing and it was a failure- Getting the welfare crowd to the polls is not a good thing but the above article is about nothing else! "
I ran a search on the above article and the first mention of the word 'welfare' was your comment.
Typical rightie; wouldn't know a fact if it hit you in the &ss.
Lynda/Minnesota says:
July 17, 2014 10:53 am at 10:53 am
"What did I miss??"
The usual temper tantrum, this time directed at me. Guess I'm going to have to drag out the rocking chair and knitting needles and do what grandmas did to entertain themselves 50 years ago.
I can't even imagine what he's called me but I completely ignore his long winded I know everything spiel. I don't even read his comments. I used to read the first few lines but his condescending crap is enough to make one throw up in their own mouth. I know a lady like him and I avoid her like the Ebola virus. 😊
The funny thing is... the REALLY funny thing... Joe Biden could beat the best candidate the republicants have to offer hands down and he isn't even being seen as a contender. The repulicants are sooo scared of Hillary and wetting their pants over her... yet they can't field a candidate worth a plug nickel and already so desparate they dusting off 3 time loser, deer in the headlights, romney.
Cracks me up.
Their polls are already showing he has beat Hillary by a landslide (HA!)
Lily – " Not a single DEM is going to repeat the mistake of 2010. The lesson was well learnt. Come November 2014, no one is going to sit home without going to the voting booth and exercise the POWER they hold. "
I don't know if you are dreaming or trying out for the cheerleading squad. When I voted in May in the Georgia primary, with a few significant choices to be made for the Dems, the polls were empty. I don"t expect a remarkable turnaround in November.
My area is heavily Dem and heavily black. I will be called a racist for saying so, but we need black leaders to come out in the South, where a large part of the Dem base IS black, and motivate the voters. Get Michelle Obama, Oprah, some of those rap 'stars'. My neighbors care nothing for Biden or Warren. They like Oprah, Rev. Al.
I'm sure some would rather we be 'politically correct' than win elections.
Dean says:
July 17, 2014 10:49 am at 10:49 am
Get those Central American 'children' registered as 'Democrat'!
When did "children" start voting??
More good News This Morning. Micro Soft is Laying off 18 thousand workers over the next year.
Its been awhile since I've heard a GOPer get excited about laying off thousands of workers. Thanks for the refresher.
Secretly I think conservatives get off on focusing in on "trouble" just like they were gleeful over causing the government shutdown. The downside of course is some folks out there take this fantasy violent take-over thing from the Tea Party seriously.
I would hope that everyone who is eligible to vote does so. If they don't, there is no right for them to complain. That is why I have voted in 85% of the elections I could which includes school board elections as well. Part of me believes that the reason why some of the people don't go out and vote during the "mid term elections" is because they didn't learn about the federal government when they were in school. I would certainly be running commercials from the non-profit that I would start after winning the lottery to encourage people to vote and tell them why. We need a more informed and educated electorate as the founding fathers would have wanted.
"What did I miss??"
The usual temper tantrum, this time directed at me. Guess I'm going to have to drag out the rocking chair and knitting needles and do what grandmas did to entertain themselves 50 years ago.
You just go right on ignoring them, okay? What they are doing is based upon false assumption that most people. The false assumption is that we tend to judge other people's words and deeds as if we were in that other person's shoes. As sensible as that might sound, it is exactly the wrong way to evaluate other people.
They're trying to get under your skin by doing to you what gets under their skin, and expecting you to react in kind.
Red State & Blue State bashing. Yeah, your bashing in most cases a whole lot of people who vote the same as you. (dumb, dumb, dumb).
"O'Malley suggested the White House leaked word of his phone call with Munoz in retaliation for his remarks.
Another example of the vindictive, "you reward your friends and punish your enemies" way this administration conducts business. And this charge comes from a democrat (but he's white, so I guess he just can't stand blah blah blah, right sniffit?)."
You and your ad hominem can take a long Koch-brothers-worshipping belly crawl off a long pier. Besides, you want to talk about vindictive leaking? Plame. Plame Plame Plame Plame PLAME….and yet you consistently, unerringly and religiously side with the people who would do such a thing.
Fair comment with regards to Valerie Plame. You are correct, this administration is very similar and just as vindictive as the Bush. But since Bush is no longer president, I'm not sure what your point is other than to try and deflect what you just acknowledged. As far as the ad hominem attack, not sure what your complaint is or maybe I'm wrong and not almost every one of your comments contains some form of "demographic Armageddon" or "they can't stand seeing a black man as president" or "the fear brown people".
"I can't even imagine what he's called me but I completely ignore his long winded I know everything spiel"
Thing is, if ALL we had to ever have to worry about in life was what some internet jock thinks of us, we'd be traveling the yellow brick road hand in hand singing Kumbayah at the top of our lungs while running over each other to pick up the golden nuggets the trickle downers throw our way.
More like Nutroots Nation!! It is pretty clear that communism is alive and well in the USA and controls the Democrat Party.
Uh oh let me guess who called you a passive aggressive grandma??? What did I miss??😳
The Usual Suspect doing his usual thing....nothing to see here!
"The Right is officially unhinged. It is simply waiting to put the gun to its head and finish itself off."
You can say that again. Unhinged might be too polite, though. What I find most disturbing is how they run around ranting and raving about hating government while wrapped up in the government's flag and calling themselves patriots.


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Navy scores only 32 points in loss to Boston
Mids fall to 6-8 on season
Maurice Watson Jr. scored 11 points, had six assists and six rebounds to lead Boston University past Navy 55-32 on Tuesday.
BU held Navy to its lowest point total since a 33-21 loss to Penn State on Feb. 6, 1943.
Watson entered the game tied for third nationally with 103 assists for BU (10-6, 3-0 Patriot). Cedric Hankerson had 11 off the bench and Nathan Dieudonne added 10 for the Terriers. Watson was 4 of 11 from the field and BU shot just 38.5 percent.
BU held a 25-13 advantage at halftime and went on an 8-0 run to start the second half to take a 20-point lead. Navy only scored six points through the first 10 minutes of the second half and trailed 37-19 after Malik Thomas' basket with 9:55 remaining.
Navy (6-8, 1-2) is 5-0 at home this season but fell to 1-8 on the road.


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What is your goal?
We will use the development process of this course as an example. In this course some sections are marked with this logo. They describe the process easygenerator used when we created this course.
Our problem: Many non e-Learning experts use easygenerator. However, the quality of their courses are not at the highest level. We wanted to fix this problem.
Why is this a problem? It is a problem because the courses will be less effective and therefore these authors may stop developing eLearning courses, and no longer use (or buy) easygenerator!
So it is our business problem to increase the quality of the courses to support non eLearning developers so they will continue to use and buy our product.
Our goal: The goal is the flip side of the problem. This means our goal is: Easygenerator authors should create instructionally sound eLearning in 50% of all created cases in January 2015 (instead of 30% now). Please note we made this goal measurable by setting the 50% target and a we added an end date.
We brainstormed ideas and came up with the following solutions to help fix the problem:
- Organize webinars
- Improve easygenerator
- Create a tool to help authors build good learning objectives
- Create an e-Learning course on the design and authoring process
- Write blogs about the topic
- Create a video on the didactical principles of easygenerator
All six elements are part of the solution. Not one of them is the whole solution.
E-Learning is a solution for a (business) problem. You need clarity on what the problem is before you can create a clear and measurable goal for an eLearning course. After you identify the problem you can find your goal by turning it around. The goal is the opposite of the problem. Here are some problem/goal examples:
|We don't have enough customers.
|We will increase the number of customers from 500 to 1000.
Our customer service staff don't know enough about
our product to answer customers' questions.
|Our customer service staff can answer 95% of all customer questions.
|The 6th grade students don't know the history of our country.
|All 6th grade students can write an essay on our nation's history scoring a passing grade.
Once you have defined your goal think about solutions to reach it. Most of the time multiple solutions are needed to achieve your goal. We will illustrate this in the example below.
Defining the e-Learning course
The course goal The course will have a specific goal. The goal of this course is: "Users can design and author an instructionally sound eLearning course". We shortened this goal into a clear course title: 'How to design and author a course'. The next step is to define learning objectives to help the learner reach the goal.
Learning objectives
Our defined learning objectives are:
- understand which steps to take when creating a course
- understand the why, the what and the how of learning objectives
- assess these objectives with questions and create the learning content
You can put these full objectives in easygenerator as learning objectives. But the learner doesn't always need that kind of detail. We decided to simplify them into:
- Identify the steps in creating a course
- The why, what and how of learning objectives
- Questions and content creation
Once you've identified the problem, goal and possible solutions, you can begin working on the solution part of the course. First we need to define the goal of the eLearning course and then add details of how we'll reach the goal. These details are captured in the 'learning objectives'.
After defining learning objectives you need to write questions and content that support the learning objectives and the goal of the course. Please restrict yourselves to two levels of objectives: The overall goal (in the title) and the learning objectives. As the course author you need to work out the details of the objectives for yourself, but the learner may not always need that detail. You can use a simplified version of the learning objectives in the course.
The steps in a course design
Time for a recap. We now have covered 5 steps in the design process of an eLearning course:
- Clarify the problem
- Define the goal
- Determine possible solutions
- Define the course goal
- Create learning objectives
Before creating any learning solutions you need clarity on the you're trying to solve. Once you've identified the problem you can define your . As a third step you need to identify possible that can help the learner reach the goal. The course will probably only be a part of the solution. Now you can define the and create that support the goal in more detail.
Which steps to take and in what order?
The entire process consists of seven steps. Creating assessments (questions) and creating content are steps 6 and 7. These last two steps form the third chapter of this course. But first we'll take a closer look at the why, what and how of learning objectives. As a final recap of this chapter: The seven steps in the design process of an eLearning course are:
- Clarify the problem
- Define the goal
- Determine possible solutions
- Determine the course goal
- Create learning objectives
- Create the assessments
- Write the content


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When a Child talks back
Learn more about handling the situation in this link:
Read more...
Learn more about handling the situation in this link:
Read more...
The belief of a Tooth fairy originated in the US. It is another example of American folklore mythology just like Santa Claus and Easter Bunny, accdg to Wikipedia. =D
There were several rituals that kids in the US do in belief of the existence of a Tooth fairy in exchange of their tooth that fell off, most are coins, banknote or a present. Typically, children hides the lost tooth under their pillow and the tooth fairy will come while they're asleep leaving them with presents in replacement of the tooth. Others, leaves the tooth in a glass of water finding a coin or a gift when they wake up in the morning.
I have blogged about Keanna's set of baby teeth before on her own account:
Then came February, Keanna lost her tooth for the first time while straw drinking a shake last January 25. That was after our DOI experience. There was no pain, and no blood too. She was all excited about it. Just look at this and you'll see....
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Glad to be of assistance Norma....try Home Depot for the timer. Hey...broasted chicken!? Haven't had that in over 25 yrs.; back home we had a little mom an pop country restaurant that was the only place in town to get that stuff...the chicken and the big broasted tater wedges. Thanks for the memory!
I tried making a few tomato pies last week. I have a lot to learn, notwithstanding, I don't see this ever being my favorite style.These are:KAAP (would have used KABF but didn't have any)64% water2% salt2% evoo1% sugar0.03% IDY24 hours in balls at 64F. Baked at 550F for about 8 minutes.The red peppers on the pie in the first picture are Anaheim peppers that turned red in the garden and I cured sott'olio. That was the best pie by far. I clearly used more pepperoni that I should have on the pepperoni pie, but that is a family demand that must be met.
Do you mind telling me what you did with the Anaheim peppers? I don't know what cured sott'olio is or how it is done.
This was a modified (for speed) approach that was really a proof-of-concept for a larger project, but the end product was quite tasty. Basically, I cut them in half, salted them, and let them sit until they had given up most of their water. I then washed them in vinegar, poured hot EVOO on them and let them sit overnight.
Umm UM! Those pies look good! dang it! now im hungry. good job!
Boy I wish I could kick somebody right square in the pants over there at Root's management. What a bunch of lazy asses....worse than a damn donkey! DANG!!
Yeah, they volunteer you to take care of their e-mails but, IMHO, when it comes to your important e-mails it's "so long sucker!" Bob don't like them people...they play dirty pool.
Bob,Often what people do or fail to do is not with malicious intent. It is incompetence. In this case, Norma may be able to tell the difference. Peter
Wow Paul! Thank you so much for converting what I used into bakers percentages. I just had my original print out sheet at market and would tweak a little each week. Then I got into trouble when I wanted to make a few more dough balls because I then didn't know what baker's percentages I used since I had changed stuff. Your the greatest for helping me! Norma
Norma,Can you advise how I would convert your current formula to make say, a 14 inch pizza? I'd like something I could use in the Blackstone.Thanks,Pete


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Archives for posts with tag: Sketchbook
I just successfully moved to NYC from California for the School of Visual Art's Illustration as Visual Essay MFA program! There should be more work as soon as I am fully settled. In the meantime here is a watercolor meant to be an interior illustration for Roald Dahl's novel James and the Giant Peach. There are two more of these that I may post at a later date.
A commission for a friend who wanted a painting from a sketch I put up a while back.
I have started using Instagram for my process/progress posts. Check it out at http://instagram.com/odoillustration. I will still be posting sketches and finished pieces on this blog too.
A personal project loosely based on a small watercolor I did some time back.