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Look closely at just about any successful enterprise and you'll see gambits they made along the way — small bets on an unclear future that, however unlikely, would produce outsized gains if they paid off.
Gambit comes from the Italian gambetto, "tripping up." It's a device, action or opening remark, usually with some risk, that's calculated to gain a future advantage. When you make an opening move, offer something, or start a conversation with something that seems self-sacrificing but is really a ploy for a later advantage — that's a gambit.
In chess it's when you sacrifice a pawn in your opening move to put yourself in a position for a future move.
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When a gambit doesn't work (which is usually the case), you end up losing a pawn and moving on. When a "gambit" results in losing your queen or king — that's not a gambit. So it's important to be able to tell what initiatives are gambits and follow rules to ensure you don't sink the ship in pursuit of them.
Fundamental asymmetry
In my favorite of Nassim Taleb's books, Antifragile, he writes about "fundamental asymmetry," which happens when risks and rewards are out of balance. He offers the example of a dinner party invitation: If you go, the worst-case scenario is that the food and company are lousy and you waste a few hours; and the best-case scenario is that you meet your future wife.
When you go to the dinner party to expand the boundaries of what you know to be possible (in this case, in your love life) — that's a gambit.
Bullet, bullet, cannonball
In his follow-up to Good to Great, author Jim Collins advises companies to "fire bullets, then cannonballs." Bullets are like gambits: low-cost, low-risk, low-distraction experiments to figure out what will work. According to Collins, companies gain a line of sight by taking small shots. Once they have a calibrated line of sight (empirical validation of their test), they fire the cannonball: They concentrate resources into one big bet.
Collins uses Apple as an example: There was iTunes for Mac, then the iPod, then the iTunes music store. Bullet, bullet, bullet. Then came the cannonball: the iPhone.
That's not quite right, though. I see them all as bullets: Apple achieved an improved position with the iPod and iTunes and fired more bullets in that direction, producing the iPhone. We just happen to remember the bullets that worked — and forget about the other 50+ products Apple launched between the iPod (2001) and iPhone (2007). We forget about Xserve.
Infinite game
In The Infinite Game, Simon Sinek writes about approaching business like there are no boundaries. Whatever map you're holding is far too limited, because things are changing and expanding in ways that you don't understand.
You've got to continually explore the boundaries of what's possible. If you aren't constantly looking around to see where those edges are, you'll find yourself stuck in a very small space that you've imagined. Meanwhile, people around you will be operating in a different world without the artificial constraints you place on yourself.
Gambits, by definition, are unlikely to succeed. But they will improve your map of the territory and help you get oriented.
Gambit - Feedback - Iterate
Successful companies take gambits to get a basic map of the territory. Once they have the map, then they iterate. For example, Apple produced 24 versions of the iPod; so far they've built 25 versions of the iPhone.
The gambit is for invention and understanding. Iteration happens once you figure out how to capture the value of the market. It requires organizational discipline. It's tinkering, making something better within a roughly known context.
At Royalty Exchange, we don't really know what our product or marketplace will look like in the long term, but we know much more than we did four years ago because of the gambits we've taken. We've tested ideas knowing they'll likely fail. Even when they "fail," we learn something. When they work, they change the trajectory of our business. I think of every one of our hires as a gambit — each time we're not fully sure where it will go.
Growth hacking vs. gambits
Gambits and growth hacking can look alike because they are similar in some ways. But they are different.
Look for new ways to grow.
Put out ideas or products, get feedback, and adjust.
Growth hacking is mostly direct response marketing — it's about optimization.
Gambits are non-linear bets designed to discover what might be possible.
Growth hacking answers: How do we sell this?
A gambit invents the future.
Explore — but don't overreach
The key is making gambits work is twofold:
1) Gambits are exploratory. They should expand the overton window, to shed light on what's possible. When they work, gambits provide a set of keys that might unlock that future.
2) Never overreach. Never bet the farm.
You build great companies by taking smart gambits and creating the environment for success. You're not putting the company on the line with moonshot attempts. Rather, find the smallest step you can take to start exploring some new areas.
When calculating the cost of the undertaking, remember it's the actual dollar cost and the time and energy it takes you. If you can move fast on a low-risk gambit, often it's worth it.
Create a hypothesis about the future — then test it
Create a hypothesis about the way the future might be, and then test it. Ask yourself: "What is the smallest thing I can do to test my hypothesis?"
A gambit can be a small advertising campaign to see what customers respond to, or a new hire in an area your company hasn't explored before. Try something small and then look for a signal.
One of the best features of a gambit is that you get feedback very quickly. You put something small out and then you essentially look for any type of positive validation you can find.
If you put out a small advertising campaign, are people talking about your company? If you made a new hire, are they changing the dynamic of your team in any noticeable way? If there's no signal coming back, then the lack of signal is in itself negative feedback.
Either the idea was bad or the execution was bad. In either case, it's time to readjust and make your next move.
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Lauren hasn't completed their profile yet.
Aboard since 2017
From Charleston, SC
Lauren and her crew were once again an absolute blast to have aboard! Can't wait to see them again!
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Dive Brief:
In its second quarter earnings call Monday, meat corporation Tyson Foods said it expects the pandemic to disrupt business for several months, greatly reducing its production output. However, while COVID-19 "has been disruptive," CEO Noel White does not believe it "changes the outlook for a strong future for Tyson Foods."
Tyson's overall profit fell 15% in the first quarter. But in the second quarter, sales rose over 4%, to nearly $10.9 billion, with a 4.6% return on sales. "Our balance sheet is sound, and our liquidity position was strong going into the crisis," CFO Stewart Glendinning said.
The top U.S. meat supplier has struggled to fulfill orders after the coronavirus forced the closure of some of its plants, executives said on the call. Additionally, it must reroute "millions of pounds of meat each week," as demand moves from restaurants to grocery stores.
Dive Insight:
COVID-19 outbreaks among workers at meatpacking plants have forced closures at Tyson and other meat plants. Last week, Tyson confirmed to Food Dive that two people had died who worked at its Columbus Junction, Iowa, plant, and four at its Camilla, Georgia, factory.
"We're deeply saddened by the loss of team members at our plants. Their families are in our thoughts and prayers," Hector Gonzalez, senior vice president of human resources at Tyson Foods, told Food Dive in an email. "The COVID-19 pandemic has devastated communities in both states and throughout the world."
President Trump enacted a Korean War-era law last week, allowing meat plants to continue operating under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, shielding meatpackers from pressure to close, The Wall Street Journal reported.
Due to the uncertainty of the COVID-19 impacts, the degree of absenteeism and the facility closures, Tyson is currently unable to provide segment operating margin guidance, Glendinning said.
"The slowdowns and temporary closures drive higher production costs, and we expect to see those until we resume under more normal conditions," Glendinning said. "Also, our COVID-19 risk mitigation activities have added costs on the broad range of safety measures we have implemented and continued to support."
Despite this, Glendinning says Tyson continues to focus on financial fitness, which has partially offset some of the impact.
"We will continue to seek out opportunities to remove unnecessary costs from our business," Glendinning said. "We expect to deliver profit in the back half of the year, assuming that we can continue to operate and supply our plants."
Stay-at-home mandates across the country abruptly upturned Tyson's business model, with supermarkets suddenly comprising two-thirds of its sales, compared with 45% in normal times. Restaurants, on the other hand, usually comprise around 40% of Tyson's sales, but the pandemic has gutted that business, too.
The surge of supermarket shopping won't be enough to make up for Tyson's lost restaurant profits, and executives expect continued losses throughout the second quarter. Indeed, "the volume shift from foodservice to retail is likely to be a net negative," Glendinning said. "The major challenge facing us currently is the degree to which our plants are able to operate."
In response to the steep drop in restaurant business, the Journal wrote, Tyson has decided to curtail production, slowing their bird-raising process, and sometimes breaking eggs rather than hatching them.
"Our long-term outlook remains positive," Glendinning concluded. "Our diversified business model allows us to react to [...] major events like COVID-19. Our balance sheet, liquidity, scale, and diversified portfolio of businesses remain strong, and should provide some level of protection as we move through the year."


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text:
Jane Bryant Quinn's Quotes
Born: 1939-02-04
Profession: Journalist
Nation: American
Biography of Jane Bryant Quinn
The shortest period of time lies between the minute you put some money away for a rainy day and the unexpected arrival of rain.Tags: Money, Rain, Time
Lawyers (are) operators of the toll bridge across which anyone in search of justice has to pass.Tags: Anyone, Justice, Pass
Even more than the Pill, what has liberated women is that they no longer need to depend on men economically.Tags: Longer, Men, Women
Everyone can get a little sloppy with cash and it's smart to notice. But what's squeezing you is the big stuff you ladle onto your credit cards.Tags: Big, Everyone, Smart
The best real-estate investments with the highest yields are in working-class neighborhoods, because fancy properties are overpriced.Tags: Best, Fancy, Highest
The rule on staying alive as a forecaster is to give 'em a number or give 'em a date, but never give 'em both at once.Tags: Alive, Give, Once
Certainly not every reader has liked every one of my books, but I think that's a good thing because it means I'm not repeating myself.Tags: Books, Good, Means
I keep trying to write a bad boy and they always come out nice. I don't see the appeal of someone who is going to demean me in some way.Tags: Bad, Nice, Someone
I keep waiting for the day in which everyone who loves 'Downton Abbey' will realize they were actually watching a historical romance novel.Tags: Everyone, Keep, Waiting
The biggest challenge of my career, which is something that authors of genre fiction face all the time, is writing something fresh and new and at the same time meeting reader expectations.Tags: Career, Time, Writing


text:
and code samples
We have prepared a client that makes it really easy and quick to get started.
Start off by cloning the repo:
git clone https://github.com/cygni/texas-holdem-client-javascript
The poker server runs as a docker process. The clients communicates with the server via sockets on port 4711 and there is a web interface on port 80 (and it is mapped to localhost on port 8080).
Start the server via docker-compose:
docker-compose up poker-server
Now you can browse the admin interface on http://localhost:8080.
Next up, getting the client started. Open a new terminal and start the development shell by executing this:
docker-compose run --rm poker-shell
This starts a terminal where the project root folder is mapped as a volume. In this shell you have all the tools needed to run the client. Start off by installing all libs:
yarn install
Then start the client against your local poker-server:
yarn play:local:training JohnnyPuma
The `JohnnyPuma`-part may look a bit odd but it is simply the name of the poker player.
The code for your bot is placed in the folder named `my-bot`.
So, there are three rooms â `training`, `freeplay`, and finally the `tournament` room. The `training` room is where you typically play when you develop your bot. The `tournament` is the where you meet other bots in a real tournament. In the `freeplay` room you can practice against other bots in a tournament-like style.
There are two servers configured for the client. The local version that is mentioned above and the online version that is hosted on [http://poker.cygni.se](http://poker.cygni.se).
The following start commands are available:
yarn play:local:training yarn play:local:freeplay yarn play:local:tournament yarn play:online:training yarn play:online:freeplay yarn play:online:tournament
Note that the player name must be provided as an argument after the `yarn`-command.
To start creating your own bot get hacking on the file index.mjs in the subdirectory /my-bot!
Read more at: https://github.com/cygni/texas-holdem-client-javascript
You only need three things to get started!
Note that to install Docker for Windows or MacOS you need to create/have an account at dockerhub. It's free and quick to setup.
A good JavaScipt editor is nice to have! Visual Studio Code is great.


text:
"You will never completely be at home again because part of your heart will always be elsewhere. That is the price you pay for the richness of knowing and loving people in more than one place."
you just know that some of those had to have been set up
The mouse one would have freaked me out tho!
Rissa*Rawr is my Wifey as of 1/24/2012
my question is why do you still put money in a broken vending machine!
I've totally seen one where the chips were all backed up at the bottom. It was pretty awesome though... all you had to do was reach up & grab one
"Thank you so much. No matter what, nothing is possible without you behind the scenes bustin heads and takin names. Thank you again. Everything you have done for me means a lot and nothing has gone unnoticed. I love you so much and thank you for saying 'I do.'"
Did anybody see the video with the most ridiculous vending machines? That totally reminds me of the "holy vending machine" I saw in a church in Spain..lemme see if i can find the picture I took


text:
"Enq: We have magnificent Greek and Latin, Sanskrit and Hebrew scholars. How is it that we find nothing in their translations that would afford us a clue to what you say?
Theo: Because your translators, their great learning notwithstanding, have made of the philosophers, the Greeks especially, misty instead of mystic writers. Take as an instance Plutarch, and read what he says of "the principles" of man. That which he describes was accepted literally and attributed to metaphysical superstition and ignorance.
Let me give you an illustration in point: "Man", says Plutarch, "is compound; and they are mistaken who think him to be compounded of two parts only. For they imagine that the understanding (brain intellect) is a part of the soul (the Upper Triad), but they err in this no less than those who make the soul to be a part of the body, i.e. those who make of the Triad part of the corruptible mortal quaternary. For the understanding (nous) as far exceeds the soul, as the soul is better and diviner than the body.
Now this composition of the soul with the understanding makes reason; and with the body (or thumos, the animal soul) passion; of which the one is the beginning or principle of pleasure and pain, and the other of virtue and vice.
Of these three parts conjoined and compacted together, the earth has given the body, the moon the soul, and the sun the understanding to the generation of man."
This last sentence is purely allegorical, and will be comprehended only by those who are versed in the esoteric science of correspondences and know which planet is related to every principle."
H. P. Blavatsky


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Due to increasing pupil numbers within the City of York and the subsequent demand on school places especially within the Fulford School catchment area, we would advise parents/carers making in year school applications for Fulford School to request more than one preference school on their application. In recent months, Fulford School have been unable to accept in year school applications, including those made for pupils living within the catchment area, due to pupil numbers already being over the published admission numbers.
Some pupils, including some in the school catchment area, have been refused a place at Fulford School on the grounds that the admission of an additional pupil over those already admitted would prejudice the provision of efficient education or the efficient use of resources. Any school's resources, such as teachers and classrooms, have to be used carefully to ensure the best possible standards for education and a safe environment. If no limit were set on the number of pupils that can go to a school each year these standards could not be maintained. Any further admissions would have an adverse impact on the delivery of effective education for all pupils.
South York Multi Academy Trust and City of York Council are continuing to discuss various options available to Fulford School in order to increase the published admission number for admissions to Fulford School and ease the pupil pressures within the school catchment area.
How do I apply for a place at Fulford School for my child?
The South York Multi-Academy Trust is the admissions authority for Fulford School and applications are processed by the admissions team at the City of York Council. Details of the admissions policies that apply for all York schools can be found here and you can find out more about secondary school applications in York on the City of York Website. Fulford School's full Admissions Policy for the current year can be found on our Policies Page.
If your child is moving schools either during the school year or for the start of a new school year, then you will need to make an in-year application. Examples of this include when moving house or requesting to move your child from one school to another within York.
Applications for Year 12 or 13, also known as sixth form, should be made directly to the school – click here to find out more about applying to the sixth form at Fulford School.
Applying for a place in Year 7 for September 2020?
Parents and carers can make an application for a secondary school place from 12 September 2019 and the national application deadline is 31 October 2019.
Guide for Parents/School Catchment Areas
Please read the Guide for Parents before applying for a school place, it contains key information on school admissions for parents/carers.
You can also find the Guide to School Catchment Areas online.
Key Dates
12th September 2019 – Applications can be made online
31st October 2019 – Deadline for applications
2nd March 2020 – National Offer Day
31st March 2020 – Appeal forms to be returned
May-July 2020 – Admission appeals heard


text:
Thora Birch
Thora Birch is an American actress. She got her first role at the age of 6 in the short-lived sitcom Day by Day, before she starred in Purple People Eater, for which she received a Young Artist Award for \"Best Young Actress Under Nine Years of Age\". Her profile was raised significantly with major parts in films, such as All I Want for Christmas, Patriot Games, Hocus Pocus, Monkey Trouble, Now and Then and Alaska.\nHer breakthrough role came in 1999 with the Academy Award winning film, American Beauty. Her performance was well received by both critics and audiences and brought Birch to international recognition. She later played the lead role in Ghost World for which she received a Golden Globe Award nomination for Best Actress – Motion Picture Musical or Comedy. She has since appeared in independent films such as Dark Corners, Train and Winter of Frozen Dreams.WIKIPEDIA


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With a lot of moving locations and parts the wedding was picture perfect! We had a gorgeous Pacific Northwest day on the roof of Bell Harbor and an awesome group of people to enjoy the evening with. Here are some random … Continue reading
Tag Archives: Wedding Photography
To Timeline or Time Frame, that is the question.
Summer is approaching and I thought I would give my pat. pending guide to figuring your photo timeline. Years ago we had a very "minute by minute" detailed form we would send to couples. I found out very quickly that things … Continue reading


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EV Blog
All You Need to Know About 2018 Ford Focus Electric
Revolutions are happening every day in the field of technology, and when talking about cars then it occurs after every minute. Soon we are about to move to the complete transformation in the industry of vehicles with the introduction of self-drive cars, driver-less cars or free cars, whatever you call it. But for now, all the significant tech aces are trying to find new ways to…Read More »
Audi PHEV
2017 Audi A3 Sportback e-tron
This 2017 Audi A3 Sportback e-tron is uncommon amongst A3s. Not just it is a plug-in hybrid electronic vehicle, it is additionally the only A3 irregularity that's a hatchback. Being plug-in, an A3 e-tron enables you to drives small distances essentially on the electric power, while more extended trips are clearly established by a special gasoline engine. Also now that Audi's diesel donations have occurred withdrawn,…Read More »
OTHER EV's
EV Blog
Importance and Benefits of the Electric Power Steering Pump
Being a driver and a car enthusiast everyone wants to keep their vehicle managed and in good condition. They spend lots of money on buying beneficial electric and other accessories for their cars. They keep it upgraded, beautiful, stylish and comfortable as much as possible. When we care for our cars so much then why not consider the most critical part of the vehicle first 'power…Read More »
Car Reviews
Bollinger B1 Sports Utility Truck
Bollinger motors revealed the B1 SUT (Sports Utility Truck) during an event at Manhattan's Classic Car Club. It is the worlds first fully working all-electric sports utility truck. DESIGN: It is crafted from a clean sheet of lightweight aluminum, with a special paint scheme called "Gunhouse Grey". The wheels have a black satin finish to complete the exterior looks of the vehicle. The vehicle carries a…Read More »
Electric Pickup Truck Right at Your Service
Americans never again face a nonappearance of choice while picking an electric vehicle – aside from if, that is, they need a pickup truck. In spite of how that offers of electric vehicles are taking off, with 100,000 module vehicles sold by August this year – a 35 percent extension on a comparable period in 2016 – vehicle makers still can't put an electric truck out…
Gas VS Tesla – Price Comparison
The discourse exhaust on about paying little identity to because of driving an electric vehicle is unimaginably a cost-saving measure worth verifies. Tesla charging requirements have passed on electric cars into the standard, yet they raised new issues, for instance, which battery to pick, where to charge your vehicle, what the time charge time is (irrefutably not an issue for gas vehicles), and, clearly, the entire…
Electric Vehicle Batteries utilize best of chemical energy
The vehicle is something that is a spectacular thing for people. It offers luxury in roaming here and there. The existent drawback is that they are expensive and not everyone can manage to pay for it. Also, it costs a lot to uphold your vehicles. Other than this, there is also a serious drawback of using a car as it plays a vibrant role in increasing…
The Ultimate Guide to Electronic Vehicles
Technological advancement has brought us to a new phase of life, a new perspective about technology and transport. The age of streamlined vehicles is over, decades back Toyota introduced the first hybrid vehicle which consisted of fuel consumption based on gasoline and water combined. As the veins of technology grew so did new ideas came into the flow, and that is how the Electronic Vehicle came…
World's Best Car Manufacturers All Are Around!!!
An electric car is a plug-in automobile that is boosted by one or more electrical batteries, consuming energy which is stockpiled in rechargeable batteries. Electric cars are considered a serious investment. They are not as ordinary as a gasoline-powered car. Due to this, it is supposed to be taken dangerous, and electric vehicles are considered to be respected in the car industry. There are many different…
How do electric vehicles work: Modern Technology in The World
These are those vehicles that work with the help of Electricity, not with the fuel. These have large batteries fitted inside the vehicle that helps the vehicle to work properly. The battery needs to charge properly from time to time. These vehicles are eco-friendly as they do not produce pollution particles and are very eco-friendly. It can use one or more Electric motors or traction motion…


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Quote:The Gardeners are very aware of the temporary nature of the gardens and have no wish to slow down any progress on the re-development. Our aim is that over the next 15 years, as demolition and redevelopment moves around the site, the gardeners should also move around the site taking advantage areas not being worked on to continue fruit and veg production.
The Mapmaker wrote:Sophie, they are somewhere in the middle of Deacon Way, I suggest going for a wander. They've an amazing crop of Japanese Knotweed.
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