text:
Michael Meany
Work Phone | (02) 4985 4525 |
Fax | (02) 4921 5896 |
firstname.lastname@example.com | |
Position |
Senior Lecturer
School of Design Communication and IT
Office | ICT3-62, Ict Building |
My background includes work as a freelance writer, photographer, a typesetter and publication designer, and as a playwright. This diverse media background allows me to bring an eclectic mix of skills to my teaching and research. I was initially employed at the University of Newcastle as a lecturer in professional writing partly on the basis of my freelance experience. However, as media technologies changed so to did my teaching role - desktop publishing evolved into web-design; film-based photography gave way to digital photography; audio and video on the web became multimedia. Mirroring this media and technological convergence I now teach audio, video and web-based multimedia.
My research interests, like my teaching, evolved with the changes in the media landscape. My research interests include: narrative and interactive design (particularly in online media), script writing and character development; virtual environments and immersion; and, the relationship between creativity and humour. As an early-career academic the majority of my research outputs have been related to undertaking Research Higher Degrees. In 2006 I graduated with a Master of Creative Arts from the University of Newcastle. In 2008 I enrolled in a PhD program at Victoria University, Melbourne. During my candidature in both of these degree I have generated journal and conference publications.
My career has been punctuated with periods of where I have undertaken administrative duties. I have undertaken the Program Convenor role on several occasions for the Bachelor of Communication and the combined Bachelor of Communication/Laws, as well as, the Master of Multimedia. Mostly recently, my service to the School has been as Deputy Head of School. Evidence for my effectiveness in this role will be based on my engagement with the Singapore delivery of School courses, and the development of initiative to address quality assurance and student recruitment/retention.
- Master of Creative Arts, University of Newcastle, 2006
- Bachelor of Arts (Honours), University of Newcastle, 1997
- Bachelor of Arts (Communication Studies), University of Newcastle, 1991
Research keywords
- Computers and Theatre
- Humour
- Interactive media
Research expertise
In 2006 I graduated from the University of Newcastle with a Master of Creative Arts degree. The title of this work is: A Playwright's Toolkit : The Instruments, Tools and Agency of a Playwright in the Creative Writing Process. The project included a creative work and an exegesis. The Things We Do is the title of a triptych of plays that comprises: His Story, a ten minute multimedia presentation; The Things, a longish one-act play of forty minutes in a more traditional theatrical form; and, Her Story, a ten minute multimedia presentation. The play has three human characters and three computer characters. Using an interface similar to a web browser, the characters interact with one another: human-to-computer and computer-to-computer. The computer characters are represented on stage as data projections of the interface. Their voices, audible from a loudspeaker, were developed using Apple Script to modify the standard Apple text-to-speech computer voices, and then incorporated into the interface using Adobe Flash.
The willing suspension of disbelief, a phrase coined by Samuel Taylor Coleridge, describes the poetic faith that an audience needs to have in the ontology of the fictional world presented to them in the theatre (Coleridge 1906). Suspension of disbelief has long been considered a requisite for development of dramatic closure, that satisfactory end promised by the beginning. In the writing of the triptych of plays a primary research objective was to examine the proposition that it is belief, not disbelief, that is automatic (Reeves and Nass 1996, p.27). The purpose of the exegesis was to illuminate the instruments, tools, and agency of the playwright employed to support belief and, in doing so, examine the nature of the creative writing process. To examine this research objective, consideration is given to the development of the computer voices, action and character, humour, narrative structure and the effect of cognitive load.
This work, and the associated conference and journal publications, caught the public imagination and received considerable media coverage.
In 2008 I enrolled in a PhD through Victoria University, Melbourne, under the supervision of Dr Tom Clark. This work extends my previous investigations of the integration of computers and new media into the performance of humour. This project is composed of two parts: a creative project; and, an exegesis. The creative project will develop a pair of online chatbots that will interact as comedian and straight man when a human user delivers a topic. A chatbot (chatter-robot, talk-bot, or simply, bot) is a computer-based conversational agent that simulates natural language conversation.
Several publications have resulted from this work.
My primary research interests revolve around the combined domains of humour studies, creativity research, and the use of artificial intelligence agents as comic performers.
My PhD topic - Development of humour in artificial intelligence agents - is a project composed of two parts: a creative project; and, an exegesis. A chatbot (chatter-robot, talk-bot, or simply, bot) is a computer-based conversational agent that simulates natural language conversation. The creative project will develop a pair of online chatbots that will interact as 'comedian' and 'straight man' when a human user delivers a topic.
The project is uniquely positioned to offer an examination of the unstable frontier between the human and non-human. Henri Bergson in his seminal essay on laughter stated a new law of humour, We laugh every time a person gives us the impression of being a thing (Bergson 2005, p.28, Original Publication 1911).
This project integrates human agency (the scriptwriter and the scriptwriting process) with the non-human agency of the artificial intelligence of chatbots (the interface and the scripted processes). As such, it tests if Bergsons law will stand if it is inverted; will we laugh every time a thing gives the impression of being a person? Further, and importantly, it examines the unstable frontier between the human and the non-human to offer an insight into the boundary negotiation at the frontier.
This then frames the primary research question: What processes does the new media scriptwriter need to employ when developing a singular assemblage that exists at the unstable frontier between the human and non-human.
- English
Fields of Research
Code | Description | Percentage |
190205 | Interactive Media | 50 |
190199 | Art Theory And Criticism Not Elsewhere Classified | 25 |
200102 | Communication Technology And Digital Media Studies | 25 |
Learned Academy.
- Member (International Society of Humor Studies)
- Member (Australasian Humour Studies Network)
Keep Laughing... This is Serious
Northern Sydney Region Primary Principals Conference, Australia (Invited Presenter) |
2013 |
Michael Meany
Assumption University, Bangkok, , Thailand (Invited Presenter) |
2006 |
Administrative expertise
The following section will describe my major service contributions to the discipline of Communication and to the School of Design, Communication and IT. My career has been punctuated with periods of where I have undertaken duties usually reserved for more senior academics. For example, as a Level A academic, I undertook my first term as a Program Convenor (Program Coordinator as it was known then) for the Bachelor of Arts (Communication Studies). Since being promoted to Level B I have undertaken the Program Convenor role on several occasions for the Bachelor of Communication and the combined Bachelor of Communication/Laws, as well as, the Master of Multimedia. Mostly recently, my service to the School has been as Deputy Head of School. Evidence for my effectiveness in this role will be based on my engagement with the Singapore delivery of School courses, and the development of initiative to address quality assurance and student recruitment/retention.
2010 (1 year) - Member of the Faculty Community & Marketing Working Group
Maintaining the communication flow between the Working Group and the School of DCIT.
2008 - 2009 (2 years) - Deputy Head of School; MFP Supervisor; Complaints Officer
2008 (Occasional) - Acting Head of School
2007 (Sem 1) - Acting Program Convenor for Bachelor of Communication and Bachelor of Communication/Laws. Submission of Degree Review documentation
2006 (1 year) - Program Convenor Bachelor of Communication and Bachelor of Communication/Laws. Development of Degree Review documentation
2004 (1 year) - Program Convenor - Master of Multimedia
2001 (1 month) - Acting Head of Department
2000 - 2001 (2 years) - Program Convenor Bachelor of Arts (Communication Studies)
Contribution to developing Degree Review documentation
Teaching keywords
- Audio and Video Editing
- New Media Production
- Print Editing
- Professional Writing
Teaching expertise
My teaching philosophy can be summarised through these main points.
- As an over-arching pedagogical position, problem-based learning satisfies the needs defined above.
- Skills development should take a constructivist approach formative assessments leading to a summative project.
- Knowledge development should require the student to reflect on their work and the work of others.
- Assessment should aid learning and clearly articulate desired learning outcomes.
- Learning should be 'hard fun' - cognitive pleasure should be the reward for achievement.
- Teaching is a performance art - I firmly believe in the importance of humour and performance in teaching.
This section provides a rationale for the assessment strategy that I employ in my curriculum design and teaching. Assessment events can be defined as either formative or summative. Formative events are design to build skills, knowledge, abilities and attitudes in a particular content area of the course. Summative events are those that allow the student to display the combined effect of what was learnt in the formative stages. My courses employ a collaborative learning approach where students and staff are expected to share their knowledge, skills and abilities. To further this teaching and learning strategy, students are allowed to resubmit assessment events where they feel they can demonstrate enhanced learning outcomes from assessment feedback. This strategy seeks to deal with the following issues:
1. Students undertaking technology-based courses, and on-line courses, tend to have 'penny-drop' moments of understanding that may not occur in time for an assessment event.
2. Students may not fully understand the assessment criteria until they see the quality of work produced by others in the class or until they receive specific feedback on their work.
3. These courses require students to develop their visual, written and oral communication skills and to be not only competent but also literate across a range of media forms.
4. The 'one attempt only' approach to assessment discourages students from taking creative leaps and academic risks.
This strategy is intended to allow students to fully engage with the course material and to develop for themselves the best learning outcomes. The course resubmission policy only applies to selected formative assessment events with comparatively low marks value (less than 20%). There is no penalty for resubmitting an assignment. It is not, however, intended for students wishing to engage in a petty 'marks chase'. Assessment descriptions, criteria and fully developed marking guides are supplied for each assignment on the Blackboard site. For these formative assessment tasks, the marking guides are quite prescriptive - the student must undertake the required skills development in accordance with the outcomes made explicit in the course outline. Students resubmitting an assignment need to take into account the assessment criteria as well as the specific feedback provided by their lecturer. This strategy also encourages rigorous assessment and grading. In other words, resubmission does not create a soft option. Students are completely responsible for their results; they cannot blame the course or the lecturer for their results. The only way to do well in the course is to behave professionally, stay engaged, learn from feedback, and develop critical self-reflection skills. Students are told that it is possible to do worse on an assessment event after resubmission. Where a student has thoughtlessly created new errors in their work in a poor attempt at 'fixing' the original submission, their grade can be reduced. This again reminds students that they are responsible for their grade and for the approach they take to their studies.
The application of these strategies leads to a high level of student satisfaction, evidenced through formal survey results and informal communication. In 2006 I won the Faculty Teaching and Learning Award.


text: Be BriefIn a blog and twitter infected world, you would think that we've all learned to be brief. A never-ending parade of 50 slide ppt decks, run-on emails, and hour-plus lectures reminds me that we haven't. It's hard to get to the point. If you're guilty of long emails or verbose marketing copy, remember the famous line from philosopher Blaise Pascal: Most people think this quote was from Mark Twain. Did you? (more…) |

subset: commoncrawl


text:
Ubuntu 6.06 Dapper Drake Reaches End of Life
Ubuntu 6.06 LTS server release is nearing the end of its support life; Mark Shuttleworth, Founder of Ubuntu, and Jono Bacon, Ubuntu Community Manager, summarize what this milestone release meant to the Ubuntu project and community.
According the Ubuntu-announce mailing list announcement, Ubuntu Security Notices will no longer include information or updated packages for Ubuntu 6.06 (Dapper Drake) after May 31. The supported upgrade path from Ubuntu 6.06 LTS Server is via Ubuntu 8.04 LTS Server.
"Ubuntu Server Edition 6.06 was the first release of Ubuntu that formally supported server workloads. Since then, Ubuntu Server has gone on to become the workhorse platform of organisations large and small, and the best way to get going with cloud computing on Amazon or Rackspace or your own private cloud," said Mark Shuttleworth, Founder of Ubuntu. "The community that helps us shape Ubuntu Server wants to bring the ease of use, clarity, precision and reliability that characterises Ubuntu to the system administrator and devops world. As the world becomes increasingly data-driven, Ubuntu Server will help people build out large-scale efficient infrastructures. I'd like to thank all of those who contributed to the maintenance of Ubuntu 6.06, as they established a track record of security and high quality updates to the platform which continues to serve us well, most recently with the release of Ubuntu Server Edition 10.04 LTS."
Jono Bacon, Ubuntu Community Manager, said, "Dapper Drake was a big milestone for Ubuntu back when it was released in 2006, and five years later we are still proud of it and how it served our users. Five years on we are more committed than ever to the widespread success and adoption of Free Software and we are excited about taking Ubuntu to more and more people around the world."
Tag Cloud
Google and NASA Partner in Quantum Computing Project
Vendor D-Wave scores big with a sale to NASA's Quantum Intelligence Lab.
Mageia Project Announces Mageia 3 Linux
Many package updates and Steam integration highlight the latest from the Mandriva-based community Linux.
FSF Outs the World Wide Web Consortium over DRM Proposal
Richard Stallman calls for the W3C to remain independent of vendor interests.
Debian 7.0 Debuts
The new release supports nine architectures, 73 human languages, and zero non-Free components.
Alpha Version of Fedora 19 Released
Fedora developers release the first alpha version of Fedora 19, known as Schrödinger's Cat, for general testing. The final release is expected in July 2013.
ack 2.0 Released
ack is a grep-like, command-line tool that has been optimized for programmers to search large trees of source code.
SUSE Studio 1.3 Released
New features in SUSE Studio 1.3 include enhanced cloud integration, VM platform support, and lifecycle management.
Xen To Become Linux Foundation Collaborative Project
The Linux Foundation recently announced that the Xen Project is becoming a Linux Foundation Collaborative Project.
RunRev Releases Open Source Version of LiveCode
Open source version of LiveCode is now available for developing apps, games, and utilities for all major platforms.
OpenDaylight Project Formed
OpenDaylight is an open source software-defined networking project committed to furthering adoption of SDN and accelerating innovation in a vendor-neutral and open environment.


text:
national champs baby
Raiding the B1G-er Big Ten: Recruiting Prospects in Maryland and Rutgers Territory
With the addition of Maryland and Rutgers the conversation has centered around WHY, WHY, WHY, TV sets and whether or not this was just a cover for Delaney to ditch Leaders and Legends. MGoUser trppwlbrnID asked the question that should always be asked, what about recruiting?
With the addition of the two schools, I dug into their recruiting bases and how much opportunity there might be for Michigan to jump into some new territories.
Home state of Maryland recruits (2009-2013 classes) weighted by consensus rating
Nearly half of Maryland's last five classes have come from Maryland and Washington, DC. These two regions would have the most likely opportunity for Michigan. Pennsylvania, Georgia and Florida are regions that aren't going to give any advantage because Maryland has joined the Big Ten.
Home state of Rutgers recruits (2009-2013 classes) weighted by consensus rating
Over half of Rutgers' recruits came from the home state of New Jersey. Like Maryland, Rutgers has looked to Pennsylvania and Florida as key secondary regions. So that leaves just the home regions of New Jersey, Maryland and DC as areas that Maryland and Rutgers have had success that seem viable for Michigan to make new inroads into.
Over the last five years, there have been 73 players from New Jersey, Maryland and DC that have garnered a consensus 4 star level rating. Five schools have signed at least four of these players. Penn St has signed 9 of these players while the new members of the Big Ten have signed 7 each. Florida and Michigan have each signed four. When you look at the totals by conference (excluding Maryland and Rutgers from any conference) the Big Ten is already the leading team in recruiting these key regions.
Conference/Team | Recruits |
Pac-12 | 9 |
Big 12 | 3 |
Notre Dame | 3 |
The Big Ten is already getting about a third of the players not going to the new members. Adding Maryland and Rutgers into the Big Ten count gives them 45% of the top recruits from the region. In terms of quantity, there doesn't seem to be much upside for Michigan in the newly acquired regions on a quantity basis. Some of the ACC signees may end up going B1G but even taking a third of these players is still just one extra recruit for the conference per year.
The Elite Opportunity
During the same five year period, the Maryland/Rutgers region has produced 15 players who were consensus Top 100 level players only one signed with a Big Ten team (Eli Apple, OSU) and Maryland (Stefon Diggs) and Rutgers (Darius Hamilton, Savon Huggins) were each only able to sign three of the fifteen. Of the other 11, four went to other ACC schools, 3 to the SEC, 3 to the Pac-12 (one of which was the embattled Yuri Wright) and one to Notre Dame.
Overall, the Big 10 and Michigan already have a solid presence in the local areas where Maryland and Rutgers have the most success. The area that seems the most likely for Michigan to gain a new advantage will be the elite level recruits that have been avoiding the Big Ten presently.
The Michigan Opportunity
As noted above, Michigan is already doing better than most at signing 4 star talent from the region. There is certainly an opportunity to do more, but this shouldn't be a major change for Michigan. The biggest windows of opportunity are probably in some of the Top 100 type players. Recent names such as Stefon Diggs and Kendall Fuller are players who Michigan might have had a better shot at with the new footprint (although Fuller's recruiting did overlap with the news). This isn't a massively talent rich region but it has enough to produce a couple elite prospects annually. Michigan and Ohio should be most poised to step in and take advantage, especially with Penn State buried for the next several recruiting cycles.
The more difficult to quantify opportunity is probably Virginia. Maryland isn't a major player in the state, but with the Derrick Green commitment and the recruitment of Da'Shawn Hand the opportunity to play two games in neighboring Maryland should definitely help solidify Michigan's position as a major player in Virginia recruiting.
A Cynical Take on Why Expansion May be Dead for the Forseeable Future
As a true confession, the addition of Nebraska to the conference in 2010 was finally what got me really into college sports, and football in particular; before I was just a casual fan, but the machinations of expansion just got me hooked. Anyway, like many of you, I was fairly disappointed by the recent move to pick up Maryland and Rutgers, and don't really see it ending well. At any rate, after spending way too much time thinking about this, I think expansion has died off for the forseeable future, though not for the reasons I have seen elsewhere (ACC grant of rights, etc.)
It seems to me that every conference has a "utility" that it wants to maximixe, and will add schools accordingly. The SEC wants to maximize football success, so A&M was a good choice, even if they thought it was largely a move to pick up Texas recruiting at the time. The ACC wants to maximize basketball success, which is really the main reason to pick up Pitt and Syracuse. Our precious B1G wants to maximize money, and to a lesser extent power (if it wanted to maximize power purely, it would go the SEC route of picking up football schools, and focus less on academics). Nebraska was to get a historic football brand which was available, and Rutgers and Maryland were demographic cashgrabs, which were likely shortsighted.
So, given all that, why is expansion dead for now, at least for the B1G? Well, in the interest of being provocative, the best way to put my point is that there are actually too many schools left to choose from to make any of them practical. A rule I have seen with expansion so far is that schools central to the existence of a conference do not leave for other conferences (Nebraska was not the be all end all of the Big 12 like UT or OU are, Maryland was expendable to the ACC in a way that UNC and Duke are not, etc.) For the purposes of this comparison, the most comparable conference to the B1G in terms of its goals is probably the PAC-12. If you recall, when the PAC-12 tried to expand last time, it went with the Texas and Oklahoma schools at first, and was willing to take all of them to get UT and OU. That fell through, so it was left with the Rutgers and Maryland-like demographic grabs of Utah and Colorado, which have contributed nothing so far in terms of football, and, tellingly, its options seem to be gone, unless it wants to reach down for a Nevada school.
So, where does that leave us? Well, effectively, the B1G would have to pick up an even number of schools that fit its criteria to make expansion feasible. For the sake of argument, we can throw out any SEC (except maybe Mizzou) or PAC-12 school for obvious reasons. That leaves us with maybe Kansas, maybe Mizzou, a couple ACC schools that fit the criteria of not being central to the conference like Pitt, and the crown jewels of UNC, UVA, UT, OU etc. as pipe dreams. Now, assuming we are probably only looking to add two more schools (no major conference has gone to 16 yet, presumably for the reason that no one wants to be the first to try and fail at it), let's see what the options are.
So, let's talk about the smaller, more doable, options of Mizzou and Kansas. Neither have historic football, and don't add new demographics as the previous moves have. Same with Pitt. Syracuse doesn't either, and isn't in the AAU. The problem is that even if one of those schools seemed OK if the goal was to help get another school, the schools that really bring in the bucks and prestige are all in larger groups. UT and OU go nowhere without each other, and both of them have their own baggage of the other schools in their states that they are likely yoked to. Similar with the ACC schools. UNC and UVA are probably together, and both have schools in their state that are not appealing options for other conferences to pick up, and would be left homeless if the ACC broke up - not to mention the power they lose by going to conferences where they are one of many, not the stars. Similarly, now that the ACC has 15 schools, it becomes an issue of where all those schools go. The upper half (Clemson, FSU, Miami, Duke, etc.) is appealing enough to get picked up by other conferences like the SEC, but the problem is that the SEC only has two spots left as well, so some school is left out, and the Big 12 might be reluctant to spread its geography further. Basically, the stronger members have no incentive to leave, and the weaker members will do anything they can to keep the conference together.
So, if the B1G is looking to add schools that are contiguous, academically acceptable, and bring demographics or money or football, the problem is that some schools that are singly available really don't do it, and the ones that do do it are in groups such that the conference would have to be willing to go over 16 members (which is not impossible, but dangerous). Now, if some other conference is the first to move, and other options are on the table, then all bets are off, but as it stands, there is little incentive to be the first to move, and we may very well have reached a stalemate for the forseeable future.
Yes. I realize that it is still May.
Yes. May is still somewhat far from September.
Yes. I am a bit psychotic for working on wallpapers for the upcoming season so...early.
Yes. I'm expecting my second child in July and will most likely lose all free-time and sleep I currently enjoy.
That being said, I am really excited about this year's Under the Lights game and all the wonderful wallpaper ideas I have for this year's edition. Because of "Yes" #4, I am trying to get as much work done early as I can. Naturally, I will have to do some work DURING the season, but I'm hopeful I'll be AT the ND game this year, and thus will not have time for my normal insomniac-like last-minute wallpaper post. So there you have it - my full justification for posting this wallpaper now.
Actually, this wallpaper was intended as more of a "poster" feel. You could slide an Adidas logo quite nicely onto it, IMHO, and it could pass for part of their promotional material. I liked the idea, even if it is predictable, and I think it turned out pretty well. Let me know what you think. The next UTL2 wallpaper I work on will most likely feature a chicken. Just sayin'.
Anyway, I hope you enjoy it. As always, a mobile version will follow within the next few days.
EDIT: Fixed the blocky font. Man, I really need to proof my work more closely.
EDIT 2: Added two mobile designs.
Light It Up, Again. (Desktop - 16:9)
Light It Up, Again (iPhone 5 - Mobile)
Light It Up, Again [Broken Edition] (iPhone 5 - Mobile)
- JonValk
Using Rivals' Star Ratings To Look At Big Ten Football Recruiting: 2002-2013
I decided to take a look at Rivals.com and the star ratings that they give recruits to come up with an approximation of relative recruiting success over twelve classes (2002-2013) in the Big Ten. To see where Nebraska may have fit in (we can't really know how different it would be if they'd been in the conference for the whole period studied), I included them as well.
So, including Nebraska, Rivals had ratings on 3,160 recruits from the period 2002 to 2013. Here is what the relative distribution looks like:
So, as you will note, 5-stars and to a lesser extent 4-stars are something of a rare commodity in the Big Ten historically, accounting for only about 1/5thof all recruits by their data. One thing that is interesting, and you can see this in more detail later, is just how far above the conference norm Michigan and Ohio State tend to sit.
13 |
17 |
20 |
60.00% |
125 |
130 |
344 |
42.57% |
116 |
96 |
1370 |
13.40% |
11 |
11 |
907 |
2.37% |
The one thing that should jump out here is the percentage of five and four-star recruits that go to the traditional "Big Two", if you will. In fact, about 44% of all players ranked four and higher end up at either Michigan or Ohio State. You can also see how sparse those same rosters tend to be when it comes to two-star recruits – by Rivals' system, Big Ten teams not in Ann Arbor or Columbus attract nearly 98% of the two-star talent.
For all 3,160 players whose ratings I dumped from Rivals' database, the grand mean star rating is 2.93, but individual teams obviously have had varied success. Here are the team means for the period from 2002 to 2013.
Including Nebraska as a point of some comparison, they would have been quite competitive in Big Ten recruiting circles regardless, so it seems. Here, they are in possession of the third-highest average. In fact, four teams have managed to recruit at or above a "three-star" in those twelve classes. Five teams have managed to stay above the grand mean of 2.93 – Ohio State, Michigan, Nebraska (had they been part of the Big Ten for the whole period), Penn State and Michigan State. Michigan State's numbers spike with the Dantonio years, as you might expect, or otherwise this doesn't happen, I think.
Here is the conference mean for each year as well:
2002 |
2.84 |
2003 |
2.88 |
2004 |
2.70 |
2005 |
2.91 |
2006 |
2.89 |
2007 |
2.99 |
2008 |
2.89 |
2009 |
3.01 |
2010 |
2.98 |
2011 |
3.01 |
2012 |
3.03 |
2013 |
3.05 |
So, the trend is actually upwards, ever so slightly. The net increase in the average star rating over this period is about 7%, which doesn't seem like much. It would be interesting to compare this to other conferences in a further diary. I suspect some of this – as it is subjective – has to do with perhaps a steady-state perception of the Big Ten. I really don't know – that's speculation on my part.
A more meaningful comparison between each team and the conference mean for a given year will appear shortly, but this now allows us to look at another intriguing phenomenon.
3.60 |
12 |
0 |
7 |
5 |
3.54 |
12 |
0 |
8 |
4 |
3.20 |
12 |
0 |
7 |
5 |
3.16 |
9 |
3 |
4 |
8 |
2.95 |
7 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
2.86 |
3 |
9 |
7 |
5 |
2.79 |
1 |
11 |
6 |
6 |
2.79 |
2 |
10 |
5 |
7 |
2.69 |
2 |
10 |
6 |
6 |
2.65 |
2 |
10 |
7 |
5 |
2.57 |
0 |
12 |
6 |
6 |
2.42 |
0 |
12 |
5 |
7 |
So, here again we see the relative inequities in where the talent tends to go in the Big Ten, with two schools having never experienced a year above the conference mean rating, one school having managed this feat only once and three schools having achieved this only twice. Of course, on-the-field success is a different story from year to year with some of these teams too, but it seems to illustrate that several teams in the conference do indeed get along with less, if these ratings are any indication. Obviously, there is overlooked or underrated talent, so it is ultimately subjective and not 100% accurate by any means.
So, how did each team fare against the conference mean each year? Here's what that looks like for each team:
Here's the whole conference on a rather non-descriptive but somewhat telling chart. You can see Michigan and Ohio State flying comfortably above the rest of the conference for the most part:
Here are some comparisons with select teams. Why Indiana? I was inspired somehow:
Like many of these diaries that I do, the driver is for the reader to draw their own conclusion about what they see. Rivals' data was the easiest to categorize, which is why I used it here, but they aren't the only ranking service, nor are stars the sole measure of who is in fact the better overall player. What was intriguing to me is how these ratings make the Big Ten appear when you dig into them a little, and the trends seem reasonably accurate to me.
UMich NFL draft history, Part III
I've twice posted spreadsheets with information on UM and the NFL draft. I decided to do it at least once more this year.
In 2012 I looked at four-year intervals; this year I extended them to five years. My thinking: In any year the team could have players from five classes playing ... true freshmen up through 5th-year seniors. Here are the extremes that are captured in the most recent five-year interval:
* 2004 recruits who played a fifth year, like Morgan Trent ('09 draft)
* 2009 recruits who did not redshirt, like Denard ('13 draft)
So, part of the '04 class, part of the '09 class, and everything between them ...
In the most recent ('09 to '13) five-year interval, UM had twelve picks. That's the lowest number since '83 to '87 (also twelve). No other interval was worse in the modern era.
Taking a closer look at the high (rounds one to three) end, there were three such picks from '09 to '13. This has never happened in the modern era. In all other five-year intervals there were at least _twice_ that many. The '07 and '06 drafts (four apiece) had more high-end picks in single years.
Details: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AkEbjH02DNzxdFlsWW4zWEZxSU9...
At least by one measure (a decent one, I think), the "program" has clearly been lacking NFL talent (especially at the upper end). It will be interesting to see what happens in '14 and beyond. Needless to say, a couple of lean recruiting years ('10 and '11) might not bring high numbers. '09 looks a little better.
- Data is from CBS Sportsline.
- Next to the first draftee for each year you'll see four columns: * Total number of picks for that year. * Total number of picks for that year and the five prior years. * Total number of "high" picks for that year. * Total number of "high" picks for that year and the five prior years.
- Because the draft is currently seven rounds, I ignored all picks past that round in old drafts.
- I did not account for expansion (Bucs and Seahawks in the mid-'70s, Panthers and Jags sometime after that), so the numbers from (say) the early '70s, which are already impressive, should be considered in that light. (Being drafted in the first round with fewer teams is a rarer achievement.)
- For obvious reasons, I didn't count Ryan Mallett (a "high" pick), Toney Clemons (7th-rounder), or Mike Cox (ditto) in the recent years.
More Milford Men Than Michigan Men: Comparing the 11-12 and 12-13 Hockey Teams
Michigan men represent excellence academically and athletically. At least that's what they represent if you believe the two statues above the doors to the Union. Milford men, on the other hand, are adept at being neither seen nor heard. Buster Bluth was a Milford man. The 2012-13 Michigan hockey team played like one.
The 2012-13 Michigan Wolverines took the ice in October ranked #3 in the country by USCHO.com and USA Today/USA Hockey Magazine. That preseason poll was the highlight of the season. Things went downhill quickly, and if you've been reading this blog for a while you'll remember that this team didn't do much to endear itself to the Michigan faithful. Now that we've had time to let the healing power of the basketball team's run to the title game and football recruiting goodness to soak in I think it's time to go back and try to figure out what went wrong for the team that broke The Streak™.
For comparison, let's look at the stats of the 2011-12 Wolverines versus those of the 2012-13 squad. This idea was inspired by Ron Utah's excellent post comparing the 2011 and 2012 football teams. The 11-12 hockey team lost in the first round, so we aren't exactly starting with high expectations for success here. Shawn Hunwick, Luke Glendening and David Wohlberg were the most significant departures from the 11-12 team.
2011-12 Michigan Hockey: 24-13-4 overall. 15-9-4 conference
Home: 15-5-1, Away: 4-6-3. Neutral: 5-2-0
Team Statistics | MICH | OPP |
Goals-Shot attempts | 132-1376 | 89-1242 |
Shot Pct. | .096 | .072 |
Goals/Game | 3.2 | 2.2 |
Shots/Game | 33.6 | 30.3 |
Assists | 233 | 147 |
Goals-Powerplays | 23-156 | 27-171 |
Conversion Percent | .147 | .158 |
Shot Attempts | 189 | 232 |
Shot Percent | .122 | .116 |
Total Goals | 132 | 89 |
Power Play | 23 | 27 |
Short-handed | 4 | 1 |
Empty Net | 7 | 2 |
Penalty | 0 | 0 |
Unassisted | 4 | 5 |
Overtime | 6 | 1 |
Shootout | 0 | 0 |
Delayed Penalty | 0 | 0 |
Number | 219 | 210 |
Minutes | 521 | 549 |
Penalties/Game | 5.3 | 5.1 |
Pen minutes/Game | 12.7 | 13.4 |
Minor | 203 | 187 |
Major | 9 | 11 |
10-minute Misconduct | 2 | 1 |
Game Minsconduct | 3 | 7 |
Gross Misconduct | 0 | 0 |
Match | 2 | 4 |
Faceoff W-L Pct. | .497 | .503 |
SHOOTOUTS (Made-Att) | 2-14 | 4-12 |
2012-13 Michigan Hockey: 18-19-3 overall, 10-15-3 conference
Home: 10-8-1. Away: 5-8-2, Neutral: 3-3-0
Team Statistics | MICH | OPP |
Goals-Shot attempts | 129-1344 | 130-1126 |
Shot pct. | .096 | .115 |
Goals/Game | 3.2 | 3.2 |
Shots/Game | 33.6 | 28.1 |
Assists | 209 | 198 |
Goals-Powerplays | 31-164 | 24-162 |
Conversion Percent | .189 | .148 |
Shot Attempts | 244 | 183 |
Shot Percent | .127 | .131 |
Total Goals | 129 | 130 |
Power Play | 31 | 24 |
Short-handed | 7 | 6 |
Empty Net | 4 | 3 |
Penalty | 1 | 1 |
Unassisted | 10 | 11 |
Overtime | 0 | 1 |
Shootout | - | - |
Delayed Penalty | - | - |
Number | 209 | 212 |
Minutes | 470 | 451 |
Penalties/Game | 5.2 | 5.3 |
Pen minutes/Game | 11.8 | 11.3 |
Minor | 200 | 208 |
Major | 4 | 1 |
10-minute Misconduct | 1 | 2 |
Game Misconduct | 3 | 1 |
Gross Misconduct | 0 | 0 |
Match | 1 | 0 |
Faceoff W-L Pct. | .514 | .486 |
SHOOTOUTS (Made-Att) | - | - |
What happened?
I highlighted the things that really stood out to me. Everything is open for interpretation, but let's start with the basics. The 11-12 team scored 43 more goals than they allowed, while the 12-13 team scored one fewer goal than they allowed. Ouch. If you're wondering how shot volume impacted things, it doesn't get any prettier. Michigan had very similar offensive output in 11-12 and 12-13; their total shots were about the same and their scoring percentage was an identical 9.6%. The real fluctuation from year-to-year occurs when you look at the opponent's shots; 1242 allowed in 11-12 versus 1126 in 12-13. Even though the 11-12 team allowed more shots opponents only scored on 7.2% of them, compared with 11.5% in 12-13.
Special teams can't be used to explain away the year-to-year differences. Michigan actually scored more power play goals in 12-13 (31) than they did in 11-12 (23). Looking at it from the perspective of the penatly kill, MIchigan allowed fewer power play goals in 12-13 (24) than they did in 11-12 (27). Michigan spent less time on the penalty kill in 12-13, but they also spent almost two minutes less per game on the power play that season. It appears as though Michigan was outmatched at even strength throughout the 12-13 season, so much so that they missed the tournament and won six fewer games.
What does it mean for next season?
I wish I knew. Steven Racine established himself as the starter going into 2013-14, and that's more than you can say for the 12-13 team. There are some good prospects coming in (highlighted by former US NTDP forward JT Compher), but is that enough to replace the mass exodus of point scoring that Michigan will suffer this offseason? It doesn't seem likely. Michigan loses AJ Treais' 31 points, Jacob Trouba's 29 points, and Kevin Lynch's 27 points. Those were three of Michigan's top six pointgetters in 12-13. On the other hand, Michigan's problem in 12-13 was clearly one of defense and not offense so anything is possible. All it takes are guys who are willing and able to forecheck and backcheck, and as a sport hockey still lacks the sophisticated statistics that are able to capture the more esoteric elements of the game.


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Home » Products » Akro_Mils » ShelfMax Bins Offer Greater Options For Storage Capacity, Space Utilization
ShelfMax Bins Offer Greater Options For Storage Capacity, Space Utilization
Akro-Mils, a North American manufacturer of storage, organization and transport products, introduces three new sizes in the 6-inch high ShelfMax product line. New sizes include:- 11-5/8 inches L x 8-3/8-inch W x 6inches H
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Less than a month after he was sworn into office as House Speaker, the long-rumored extramarital affairs of John Boehner have landed him on the cover of the National Enquirer.
Boehner is featured on the bottom-right corner of the cover of the issue that's on sale nationwide Thursday. A photo of Boehner's face is featured next to the headline, "Speaker of the House John Boehner Accused in Sex Probe! (Details inside)."
Not that anyone really gives a [expletive] what Hank Williams, Jr., thinks about politics, but the country singer has gotten himself canned from Monday Night Football for saying insensitive things about subjects he doesn't know that much about. Williams yesterday told Fox & Friends that John Boehner's golf game with President Obama was "one of the biggest political mistakes ever," comparing it to "Hitler playing golf with (Israeli leader) Benjamin Netanyahu," and then explaining that Obama and Joe Biden are "the enemy."
Now that the U.S. House of Representatives approved a health care reform bill by a 219-212 vote and the Senate appears likely to follow suit, the political wagons are circling in what's sure to be some nasty congressional races this fall.
Republicans, however, shouldn't expect to cruise to victory, and here's why.
A group of Ohio House Democrats wants Congress to move quickly and grant statehood to Puerto Rico, which has been a U.S. possession since the Spanish-American War ended in 1898. The Ohioans do not say where the star should go on a redesigned American flag, but they said statehood would "respect the rights of self-governance through consent of the governed of our fellow United States citizens residing in Puerto Rico."
The chief sponsor of the resolution, H.C.R. 57, is State Rep. Dan Ramos of Lorain, a northern Ohio city where about 25 percent of the 64,000 residents are Hispanic. Lorain is considered the most Hispanic city in Ohio, and nearly 20 percent of its population claims Puerto Rican descent. The resolution urging statehood was introduced this week in the Ohio House where it likely faces an uncertain future. The current term of the legislature is scheduled to end in December, and it has no Republican co-sponsors. The GOP controls the House, which means that Democratic proposals often get bottled up or receive short shrift.
Earlier this month, a slight majority of Puerto Ricans voted in favor of statehood for the Caribbean Island. It was the first time a statehood referendum has won there, and the non-binding vote was seen as signaling that many Puerto Ricans appear ready to end the island's status as a U.S. commonwealth. The move by the Ohio House Democrats also appears aimed at cementing the party's support among Hispanic voters. Some 70 percent of Hispanics backed the Democrats and President Obama on Election Day, and Hispanics are emerging as a key bloc with increasing power at the ballot box.
With the exception of State Rep. Alicia Reece, a Cincinnati Democrat, all of the other House Democrats backing the statehood resolution are from Columbus or further north in Ohio. The resolution urges Congress to take swift action "towards admitting the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico to the Union as a State." Statehood decisions are up to Congress. The Ohio resolution points out that Puerto Ricans are already U.S. citizens (although they cannot vote in presidential elections), and that many serve in the U.S. military. A 1917 law granted residents U.S. citizenship.
There is a historical footnote involving Cincinnati in Puerto Rico's fate. Former
GOP President William Howard Taft, a Cincinnatian who went on to serve
as Chief Justice of the Supreme Court in the 1920s, delivered a major
legal decision in 1922 that helped keep Puerto Rico separate. Taft
said the congressional act that conferred citizenship on the islanders
did not contemplate that they would be incorporated into the Union. He ruled the U.S. possession had never been designated for statehood. Taft gave the island a unique status that has been described as a commonwealth, or as it is said in Spanish, "Estado Libre Asociado de Puerto Rico."
Congressman Steve Chabot could give Olympic gymnast Nadia Comaneci a few pointers about doing quick backflips.
Less than three days after Chabot prohibited the use of cameras at a supposed "town hall" meeting in North Avondale and used the services of a Cincinnati police officer to stop offenders, the congressman is rescinding the rule for future sessions.
Republican Brad Wenstrup, a podiatrist and U.S. Army veteran who unsuccessfully ran for Cincinnati mayor in 2009, announced today that he will challenge incumbent Jean Schmidt next year in the GOP primary to run for Ohio's 2nd Congressional District seat.
Wenstrup ran against incumbent Mayor Mark Mallory, a Democrat, two years ago. Wenstrup lost 54-46 percent, but many local Republican leaders were impressed by the showing of the first-time political candidate.
A group affiliated with the Heritage Foundation has bombarded voters in Ohio's 1st Congressional District with a glossy flier that tries to paint Rep. Steve Chabot as someone akin to an Old West hero.
The fliers, which began showing up in mailboxes during the past few days, feature a large photograph of a smiling Steve Chabot next to a headline that states, "Steve Chabot fights for our families." The direct-mail campaign piece was paid for and distributed by Heritage Action for America, a 501(c)(4) tax-exempt group founded last year by the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank.
A conservative organization that advocates for immigration reform will begin running TV and radio commercials in Southwest Ohio next week that attempt to pressure House Speaker John Boehner (R-West Chester) to allow a vote on the "E-Verify" bill.
The group, Numbers USA, said Boehner is letting the bill languish in the House Ways and Means Committee so Republicans don't anger Latino voters in an election year. The House Judiciary Committee approved the bill last year.
The commercials include a 30-second TV ad and a one-minute radio ad.
Next to an image of Boehner, the TV spot states, "Meet House Republican Speaker John Boehner. He won't let Congress vote on E-Verify. Thanks to Speaker Boehner, illegal aliens can keep American jobs. Now Americans, meet the telephone … tell him to bring E-Verify for a vote or he may not like your vote in November."
Under the bill, the federal government's voluntary E-Verify system that is used to check the immigration status of employees would become mandatory nationwide.
Currently seven states require E-Verify checks and 12 others require state agencies and contractors to use it. The federal government has operated its system for the past 15 years.
About 300,000 of the 2.2 million U.S. employers with five or more employees were enrolled in E-Verify as of autumn 2011, according to workforce.com.
The Internet-based system checks any employee's personal information against the Social Security database and several Homeland Security databases.
If the employee is confirmed, that person is authorized to work. If the person isn't confirmed, he or she has eight working days to contest the finding with the Social Security Administration or the Department of Homeland Security.
"Speaker Boehner has supported legislation with E-Verify in the past, and the issue is currently working its way through the committee process," Michael Steel, a Boehner spokesman, told The Washington Times earlier this month.
But Numbers USA isn't convinced, and has launched the ad blitz in response.
Numbers USA said the bill would crack down on the hiring of undocumented immigrants and free up jobs that could be taken by unemployed U.S. citizens.
Critics, however, said the electronic monitoring system proposed by the E-Verify bill would be fraught with errors due to it reliance on incomplete or outdated databases. They cite the number of people who have mistakenly been placed on Homeland Security's terrorist watch list as an example.
Further, opponents believe the bill would lead to more under-the-table hiring, while some Libertarians have worried that it's a backdoor method for implementing a national I.D. card system.
The bill has caused some unlikely political alliances.
Supporters of the bill include President Barack Obama, GOP presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, U.S. Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Texas) and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
Opponents include the American Civil Liberties Union and several labor unions.
Based in Virginia, Numbers USA was founded in 1997 by Roy Beck, an author and ex-journalist who worked for anti-immigration activist John Tanton. Tanton also helped form two other groups, the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR) and the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS).
Numbers USA wants to reduce U.S. immigration levels to pre-1965 levels. The group's website states, "The 1990s saw the biggest population boom in U.S. history … this population boom was almost entirely engineered by federal forced-growth policies that are still in place. The Census Bureau states that Americans will suffer this kind of rapid congestion every decade into the future unless Congress changes these policies."
The Southern Poverty Law Center, a civil rights organization that monitors extremist groups, has said Numbers USA, FAIR and CIS have connections to white supremacist and neo-Nazi leaders.
A 2009 report by the center states, "FAIR, CIS and Numbers USA are all part of a network of restrictionist organizations conceived and created by John Tanton, the 'puppeteer' of the nativist movement and a man with deep racist roots."
The report added, "As the first article in this report shows, Tanton has for decades been at the heart of the white nationalist scene. He has met with leading white supremacists, promoted anti-Semitic ideas, and associated closely with the leaders of a eugenicist foundation once described by a leading newspaper as a 'neo-Nazi organization.' He has made a series of racist statements about Latinos and worried that they were outbreeding whites."
With Congress preparing for a long-awaited vote on a healthcare reform bill Sunday, some Democrats are calling the concerns of U.S. Rep. Steve Driehaus (D-Price Hill) about abortion-related wording misplaced and just plain wrong.


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White Barn
14.5 oz. 3-Wick Candle
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In stock - Leaves warehouse in 1-2 full business days Details
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text: 1st Japan reactor goes online since nuclear crisis Share this story email Share this story «Previous 1 of 11 Photos Next » Read the story «Previous Next » « » APTOPIX Japan Nuclear A participant holds a slogan and a photo of Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda during a rally protesting the restart of Ohi nuclear power plant, in Tokyo, Sunday, July 1, 2012. Noda ordered the restarts of the plant's two reactors last month, saying people's living standards can't be maintained without nuclear energy. Protesters were against a return to nuclear power because of safety fears after the Fukushima accident and demanded the resignation of Noda. (AP Photo/Shizuo Kambayashi)


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What's this? People who purchased Livecube - Educational Package also purchased the puzzles above.
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Livecube - Educational Package
Object: Put the pieces together to form different shapesBrand: LivecubeType: Livecube
Price: $159.99 Canadian Dollars Your credit card company or PayPal will automatically convert* the Canadian Dollar amount into your local currency.
Currency Converter: U.S. dollar - approx. 156.71Argentine peso - approx. 836.76Australian dollar - approx. 165.09Bahamian dollar - approx. 156.71Brazilian real - approx. 339.10CFA franc - approx. 76,660CFP franc - approx. 13,949Chilean peso - approx. 78,273Chinese renminbi - approx. 960.32Colombian peso - approx. 297,933Croatian kuna - approx. 875.23Czech Republic koruna - approx. 2,994Danish krone - approx. 871.88East Caribbean dollar - approx. 418.39European Euro - approx. 116.89Fiji dollar - approx. 287.55Ghanaian cedi - approx. 314.64Guatemalan quetzal - approx. 1,240.23Honduran lempira - approx. 3,178Hong Kong dollar - approx. 1,215.91Hungarian forint - approx. 34,318Icelandic krona - approx. 18,761Indian rupee - approx. 9,221Indonesian rupiah - approx. 1,553,301Israeli new shekel - approx. 563.55Jamaican dollar - approx. 15,747Japanese yen - approx. 14,924Malaysian ringgit - approx. 494.40Mexican peso - approx. 2,020Moroccan dirham - approx. 1,307.10Myanmar kyat - approx. 148,139Neth. Antilles florin - approx. 274.24New Zealand dollar - approx. 195.88Norwegian krone - approx. 898.31Pakistan rupee - approx. 15,458Panamanian balboa - approx. 156.71Peruvian new sol - approx. 431.01Philippine peso - approx. 6,779Polish zloty - approx. 497.79Romanian new leu - approx. 525.07Russian rouble - approx. 5,020Serbian dinar - approx. 13,310Singapore dollar - approx. 197.73South African rand - approx. 1,563.93South Korean won - approx. 177,767Sri Lanka rupee - approx. 20,145Swedish krona - approx. 1,010.03Swiss franc - approx. 143.99Taiwanese new dollar - approx. 4,684Thai baht - approx. 4,844Trinidad and Tobago dollar - approx. 1,006.23Tunisian dinar - approx. 253.47Turkish new lira - approx. 295.25U.A.E. dirham - approx. 575.50U.K. pound sterling - approx. 100.31Venezuelan bolivar fuerte - approx. 987.59Vietnamese dong - approx. 3,265,102Prices here are estimates provided for your convenience only, and may vary slightly from actual rates.
Livecube is the first replayable and personalized three dimensional interactive puzzle that challenges the mind while it entertains. Each package contains: - 12 solid color puzzle sets (12 color assortment) - 90 classic game cards - 30 kids & parents cards - 30 advanced cards - 1 supplemental teacher's CD - teacher's instruction - 12 game play pads - 12 carrying bags
Livecube is the first replayable and personalized three dimensional interactive puzzle that challenges the mind while it entertains.
Each package contains: - 12 solid color puzzle sets (12 color assortment) - 90 classic game cards - 30 kids & parents cards - 30 advanced cards - 1 supplemental teacher's CD - teacher's instruction - 12 game play pads - 12 carrying bags
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Age-Defying Skin Action Plan
Skin is the largest organ of the body. It is not only the outer protective layer of the body, it also reflects what's going on inside. Adequately nourishing and hydrating skin, protecting it from sun exposure and environmental toxins and providing proper care through good nutrition and exercise are essential to maintaining health and beauty - both inside and out.
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With everything you do to feel your best, you deserve to look your best, too. With proper nutrition, exercise, plenty of water and good hygiene, your skin will reflect beauty and good health for many years to come.
Research has confirmed the benefits of Omega fatty acids, including Omega-7 palmitoleic acid. Omega-7Plus supplies these important nutrients with an Age-Defying Skin Complex including Liquid Silica, Biotin, Hyaluronic Acid and CoQ10 and Combines them in a special 100% vegetarian liquid delivery system, Licaps.
Omega-7 is a monounsaturated fatty acid that is present in all tissues and is a natural component of skin, playing an important role in skin physiology. Omega-7 has been shown to help nourish skin and help skin maintain its normal cell structure. Delicate body tissues, like skin and membranes that line the digestive and urogenital tracts, have the greatest affinity for Omega-7 fatty acids. Gevuina, Macadamia and Sea Buckthorn oils are all-natural, rich sources of rare Omega-7.
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Moisturizing Hyaluronic Acid plus super antioxidant CoQ10 and Biotin optimize essential skin, hair and nail nourishment. Hyaluronic Acid serves as an important structural component of skin and is essential for maintaining skin hydration. CoQ10 is a powerful antioxidant that helps protect skin from daily exposure to the environment.
Employing a unique, patented manufacturing process, Licaps utilizes a vegetarian capsule that quickly releases nutrients to help facilitate effective absorption.
Omega-7Plus is potency-enhanced with Futurebiotics BioAccelerators. Clinically-proven Bioperine (Piper nigrum extract) improves nutrient bioavailability, while our proprietary natural compound of Ginger extract, Trikatu and super-potent Digezyme boosts digestion and absorption.
As a dietary supplement for adults, take 1 capsule daily, preferably with a meal.
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Product Information | |
Size | 30 Capsule |


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On March 9th of this year we were on Bloomberg TV discussing why we thought the stock market could rise anywhere from 20-25% because it was more oversold that it had ever been since the Great Depression, and the sentiment was at record bearish levels. The S&P 500 at 670 was 35% below the 200 Day Moving Average --showing an extreme oversold condition, and the American Association of Individual Investors showed a record of 70% bearishness (as well as other bullish sentiment indicators). The very next day the market started up into what we would consider to be a counter-trend rally that has just yesterday taken the S&P 500 up 20% to the "old" support and now resistance level of 804. If this counter trend rally (or secular bear market rally) were to rise 25% that would take the market to 838 and our worst case (for the bears anyway), in our opinion, would take the market as high as the "old" resistance area of 878 on January 28th of this year. That would be a rise of about 30%.
We are astounded to see how many stock market pundits are absolutely SURE that this is the start of a new bull market with the low made at 670 in the first week in March. The reason we are so surprised that everyone is jumping on the bull market bandwagon is that this was the same reaction they had in every counter trend rally since the S&P 500 peak of 1576 on October 12th 2007. They thought the market bottomed at 1200 on July 15th 2008 on the way to 1313 on August 11th. Then they thought the market bottomed at 840 on October 10th 2008 on the way to 1007 in November. Then they thought the market bottomed at 741 in November of 2008 on the way to 944 in January. And now, after all those misguided judgments about the market making a firm low, and without any reservations, they have now also just recently jumped head first, with their matador outfits blazing, onto the bull bandwagon. And this recent bear market leg down took-out a clear trendline at 825 on the way down, then the strong support of 804 as well as the major support of 741 reached on November 21st of 2008.
Maybe the reason it was so easy to get aboard the bandwagon was not technical in nature but more fundamentally based. For example, we did get relatively stronger retail numbers, housing affordability continues to reach new historic highs, housing starts rose unexpectedly this week, industrial production was not as bad as the estimates, and the PPI and CPI rose enough to take the deflation risk "off the table" for many people. In addition, we have a promising new administration in Washington with hopes of rectifying the debt buildup of the previous eight years and an incredibly accommodative Federal Reserve Board.
We will give you our slant on each one of these fundamental arguments. The latest retail sales, which were better than expected, were largely due to consumers responding to discounting as retail stores lowered prices to get rid of excess inventories. In order to have a sustained increase in personal consumption, wealth has to increase, and over the past 7 months consumers have lost over $11 trillion of wealth (or 23% of net worth).
Housing affordability is a reflection of interest rates declining, but if the buyer can't come up with the 20% down payment and/or can't qualify for a loan, there is no sale. The fact that housing starts rose last month is not positive for the housing market, but in fact, it is bad for the housing problem since it adds to an already bloated inventory. Housing prices went through a financial mania that was comparable to the dot com bubble of the late 1990s and, in our opinion, will not stop going down until it reaches the norm of 2.75 times family median income or lower, (chart attached).
If industrial production was not as bad as expected, it was still down 1.4% and has been down for 5 of the last 6 months and down 11.2 % over the past year. The CPI and PPI rose more than expected which caused everyone that was worried about deflation relax. However, over the past 12 months the PPI is down 1.3%, the largest annual decline since 2002, and the raw and intermediate segment of the PPI fell 4.5% and 0.9% respectively. These negative numbers of raw and intermediate goods will eventually work their way into the headline numbers of both the PPI and CPI in the future.
The new administration has been much more transparent than the last, but as we stated in a couple of earlier comments, once Obama sees the problems he has inherited, he may ask for a recount on the presidential vote. The bailouts and stimulus programs continue to add to the public debt while the private debt should continue declining. We will not work our way out of the powerful forces of deflation until the enormous total debt of $52 trillion ($26 trillion was generated over the past 8 years) continues to unwind (see attached Cycle of Deflation). The fact that over $30 trillion of wealth has been wiped out worldwide has made our national problem even worse.
The Fed is doing its best to "paper over" the problems but there are unintended consequences to this strategy. Most investors think that the unbelievable printing of money will lead to major inflationary consequences. We believe that could come eventually, but presently, we still believe the major battle is deflation and until a substantial portion of the debt is liquidated it will continue to be the problem. Right now the Fed is attempting to generate more borrowing and spending by the U.S. consumer. But the reason we are in this mess in the first place is borrowing and spending, so doing more of the same is not the solution. Yesterday, the Fed announcements were taken as a positive for our economy and we sure hope and pray that it will work. However, we believe that this "money printing" is more of a stealth protectionist move of currency devaluation. We expect our trading partners to follow in our footsteps after watching the U.S. dollar collapse. In fact, they have to keep their currencies competitive with ours in order to export to us. Because the global economic problems rank right up there with ours and the fact that they are so dependent upon exports to the U.S. consumer, they will not be able to grow if the U.S. dollar continues declining.
To summarize, we believe the market has not made its bear market low on either a technical basis or fundamental basis.
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Francois Haddad
Publication Details
The efficacy of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators in heart transplant recipients: results from a multicenter registry.
Circ Heart Fail. 2009; (3): 197-201
Sudden cardiac death among orthotopic heart transplant recipients is an important mechanism of death after cardiac transplantation. The role for implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) in this population is not well established. This study sought to determine whether ICDs are effective in preventing sudden cardiac death in high-risk heart transplant recipients.


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Many Royal City residents and business people are mourning the death of a local businessman whose family has served the community for years.
Doug Pavan, owner of Pavan's Superior Optical on Sixth Street, died suddenly on Aug. 3 after suffering a massive heart attack. He was 58.
"He was a great man," said Harold Engman, a notary public whose office is also located on Sixth Street. "We are all going to miss him something fierce."
Engman and Pavan became fast friends after meeting at the Royal City Rotary Club about 15 years ago. Pavan, an honorary member of the Rotary Club, also served as president of the Dispensing Opticians Association of B.C.
Engman said Pavan had gout, so he was very aware of his health, he exercised two to three times a week, and he saw his doctor regularly.
"He was definitely into exercise. He exercised regularly over at Canada Games Pool," Engman said. "It makes it all that much more surprising."
Michael Sporer, a lawyer whose office is located near Pavan's Superior Optical, said Pavan will be missed.
"Doug was a well-known and well-loved merchant in New Westminster, particularly in uptown where his store is located and has been located for many, many years," he said "He was known by many, many locals and the business has served generations of New West families."
In 1955, Dan Pavan opened Prescription Optical on Columbia Street. In 1991, Doug joined his father in the family business known then as Pavan's Superior Optical and continued to operate the eye wear store after his father passed away.
Pavan's Superior Optical has been the recipient of numerous Readers' Choice awards, as selected by readers of The Record.
Pavan is survived by his wife Jane, 12-year-old son Conner, sisters and many friends and family. A celebration of life will take place on Tuesday, Aug. 21 at 1: 30 p.m. at Eaglequest Coyote Creek, 7778152 St., Surrey.
In lieu of flowers, the family asks that donations be made to the Heart and Stroke Foundation.


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oops... meant to send a PM...
I was referred to you by another member, I am going to start teaching CCW classes and would like to incorporate some type of handgun retention tactics into the class due to the open carry law being enacted, I am looking for some training from LEO's or others in that area, Just wondering if that would be something you would be willing to help me with? And what would you charge me to do it? If so please contact me at 918-695-3808. Thanks, D.Alan aka hipshot
That would be great. It looks like we're a go for those dates. I'll pm you or give you a call as the date gets closer. Thanks again and hope all is well. Mike
Yo brother. Hope all is well with you. I noticed a date for the next cqt240 on the ussa website. I would love to offer my services for assisting in any way possible. Thanks, Bobby "oddjob" Ellis


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Arizona House Non-Prayer Sparks Christian Re-Do
posted on May 24, 2013
Bob Christie of the Associated Press reports, "An atheist lawmaker's decision to give the daily prayer at the Arizona House of Representatives triggered a do-over from a Christian lawmaker who said the previous day's prayer didn't pass muster."
Group: Ball State Science Prof Teaches Christianity
posted on May 24, 2013
USA Today's Seth Slabaugh reports that, "Ball State University is investigating a complaint that one of its assistant professors in the department of physics and astronomy is preaching rather than teaching." The professor has allegedly been teaching creationism and intelligent design based upon Christian belief.
Courts To Hear Birth Control Mandate Lawsuits
posted on May 23, 2013
Kathryn Smith and Jennifer Haberkorn of Politico report, "Obamacare's birth control mandate will go before four different appeals courts over the next three weeks as private businesses that object to the policy on religious liberty grounds bring a barrage of lawsuits that opponents hope to get before the U.S. Supreme Court as soon as this fall." Kyle Duncan, general counsel for The Becket Fund for Religious Liberty, says the for-profit companies' arguments will circulate around the key question: "Does the mere fact that they're a profit-making business … negate their right to freedom of exercise of religion?"
Fishermen Found Guilty, Although Court Agrees Subsistence Salmon Fishing Is Religious
posted on May 23, 2013
Last June, almost 50 fishermen were cited for illegal salmon fishing, reports Angela Denning-Barnes of Alaska Public Media. "The fishermen were challenging the state based on a free exercise clause of the Alaska constitution, arguing that subsistence fishing is a religious practice and that when they fished last summer during closures, they were practicing their religion," she writes. The judge in the case found that "the state's need to restrict King salmon supersedes the fishermen's right to religious practice."
Church Whistle-Blowers Join Forces On Abuse
posted on May 23, 2013
Laurie Goodstein reports for the New York Times on a newly formed group called Catholic Whistleblowers, a "cadre of priests and nuns who say the Roman Catholic Church is still protecting sexual predators." Goodstein writes, "Although they know they could face repercussions, they have banded together to push the new pope to clean house and the American bishops to enforce the zero-tolerance policies they adopted more than a decade ago."
Religious Groups Throw Lobbying Cash At Immigration Reform
posted on May 23, 2013
Elizabeth Flock of US News & World Report writes that religious groups are increasing spending on lobbying for immigration reform: "Once among the smallest lobbyists, the Catholic Health Association last quarter spent $130,000 lobbying on immigration reform, while the American Jewish Committee spent $40,000 — double what it spent the previous quarter." She continues, "Many religious groups say immigration reform has a lot to with their shared values of family, justice and community."
Group Wants Atheist Books Placed With Bibles In Georgia State Parks
posted on May 23, 2013
After the governor of Georgia ordered Bibles put back into state parks, David Beasley of Reuters reports the group American Atheists "said it plans to donate enough books on its views to be placed in all Georgia state park cabins." Beasley writes they "would donate popular atheist books, including 'Why I Am An Atheist' by Madalyn Murray O'Hair, 'god is not Great' by Christopher Hitchens, and 'The God Delusion' by Richard Dawkins."
Leahy Withdraws Gay Couples Amendment In Immigration Bill
posted on May 22, 2013
Alan Gomez of USA Today reports that Senator Patrick Leahy withdrew his "amendment that would have allowed gay and lesbian U.S. citizens to use the nation's immigration system to petition for their partners they married in other countries." Senator Dick Durbin said of Leahy, "I believe in my heart of hearts that what you're doing is the right and just thing. … But I believe this is the wrong moment, this is the wrong bill."
Writers tell us stories about where they discovered religion and politics in their states.
South Carolina
A Reporter Trails Nikki Haley and Mark Sanford.
A setting to debate the issues of the day.


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Club competitions
National team competitions
Nationality: CROBorn : 05.08.1985Place of birth: Sibenik (CRO) Height: 1.79mPosition: F
Neda Lokas made a nice cameo during the Qualifying Round to help get her team to EuroBasket Women 2011. She is happy to play either the small forward or power forward spot, and is able to mix things up on offence. She can go inside and be aggressive in the paint but also use her silky shooting touch from outside which is where she found particular success last summer. At club level she has only ever played for her hometown club since making her debut as a 16-year-old and it has been a fruitful career to date. Lokas has won titles and put up some impressive numbers in the Croatian and Adriatic League, while also impressing in European club competition. She can rebound well and is versatile enough to offer some real options for Coach Bralic.


text: CC is putting the real back in PARANORMAL. Her shows are 100% real action paranormal. Live or Docu-formatted CC Carole is a refreshingly stylish and classy woman. CC will blow away with where she goes, the ghosts she communicates with. CC travels the globe to bring you the best in paranormal experiences. CC brings you something different than most ghost shows on TV She hunts for ghosts alone! Anything could happen!


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IHS SalesAnalyst™ is a solution designed to help you save time. Displaying land sales and postings for Western Canada pertaining to mineral rights, the database is updated with new land sales and postings and sent to you every week.
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Web Design Degrees and Programs Offered in Pennsylvania (PA)
As the largest private university in North America, University of Phoenix has locations nationwide, and is available online in most countries around the world. Whether you're seeking a college degree at an associate's, bachelor's, master's, or doctoral level, we can help you reach your academic goal and sooner than you might think.
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Supplier & Manufacturer of 3 Pin Plug Top. Our product range also comprises of Electrical Switches, Switches Viyona and Kemp Electrical Switches. |
3 Pin Plug Top |
Vinayak Electricals Mr. Pravin L. Bambhaniya / Mr. Babu Bhai (Manager) K - 14, K. B. M. Compound, Near Ashok Nagar, Marol Maroshi Road, Marol Andheri East, Mumbai - 400 059, Maharashtra, India |
Contact via E-mail | Contact via SMS |
© Vinayak Electricals. All Rights Reserved (Terms of Use)
Developed and Managed by IndiaMART InterMESH Limited


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Four Eyes
Brooklyn 1930. America struggles in the grip of the Great Depression, and ten-year-old Enrico is willing to make any sacrifice to take care of his mother. Even if it means taking a job in the one place he's forbidden to go…the ring of fire where dragons are trained and fought for cash and glory.
A new ongoing series from the writer of AMAZING SPIDER-MAN, ACTION COMICS and SUPERGIRL!
Four Eyes Vol. 1: Forged In Flames TP
By: Joe Kelly, Max Fiumara
- Price:
- $9.99
- Diamond ID:
- 9781607062929
- On Sale:
- July 28, 2010
- Series:
- Four Eyes
Act one of the epic saga of Enrico, a boy living in an alternate 1930s New York where dragon fighting is the city's number one underground sport, and the cause of his father's untimely death. Enrico's literal trial by fire begins here!


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My Account (sign in)
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Strasse des 17 Juni 106-108
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Availability: Call 1-800-CALUMET for availability
Check Store Availability
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Tweet Lap-by-Lap Driver Chart
NASCAR Sprint Cup race number 12 of 36 Sunday, May 27, 2012 at Charlotte Motor Speedway, Concord, NC 400 laps on a 1.500 mile paved track (600.0 miles)
Glossary 2012 NASCAR Sprint Cup results / 2012 standings
All times are shown in seconds. * - includes time spent in garage.
Active Drivers' Career Stats Sprint Cup Nationwide Series Camping World Truck Series Canadian Tire Series IZOD IndyCar Series ARCA Re/Max Series


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Welcome International Customers
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Item#: 790288
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Marlboro Hadassah Collection for Hurricane Sandy Victims
The Marlboro Chapter of Hadassah will be collecting personal hygiene items for people affected by Hurricane Sandy who are living in the Tent at Monmouth Park (the racetrack).
There is a tent housing 2,000 people on the premises. The collection will include razors, shaving cream, adult diapers, baby diapers, women's products, shampoo, wipes. Essentially, any toiletries will be accepted. The collection will be starting immediately, and ending on Tuesday, Nov. 20.
Arrangements can be made for a pick up or items can be dropped off at member's houses. Please write to firstname.lastname@example.com to make arrangements for pick up or drop off.
4:27 pm on Tuesday, November 13, 2012
WHERE CAN i DONATE SOME LARGE SIZE WOMENS CLOTHING (GENTLY USED)?
Kaitlyn Anness
4:35 pm on Tuesday, November 13, 2012
Phoebe--I don't of any locations still accepting clothing, but maybe a helpful reader can comment here with some help?
Christina Johnson
5:15 pm on Tuesday, November 13, 2012
St. Mark's in Keansburg said on Nov. 7 they are specifically looking for XXXL clothing for men and women, as well as boots and coats in all sizes. Contact Rev. Ed Chinery at firstname.lastname@example.com or 732-787-1075.


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Lynch Wins 8th Congressional District Seat
Stephen Lynch elected Congressman of the new 8th District.
Stephen Lynch was elected the Congressman of the 8th District, defeating challenger Joseph Selvaggi Tuesday night by a landslide.
Lynch was a popular choice across the district's 24 cities and towns. The South Boston Democrat received 75 percent of the District's vote compared to Selvaggi who received 25 percent, according to election results from CBS news.
Lynch said he believes his campaign efforts of going door to door paid off in the election.
"I did extremely well in all the new towns," Lynch said. " I worked really hard and I'm really honored to represent the new 8th District."
Lynch, a former ironworker and lawyer who has represented the 9th District since 2001, will now represent the new 8th District which runs from Bridgewater to Quincy to Boston and includes eight new cities and towns.
Lynch called Selvaggi after the race to congratulate him on running a strong and clean campaign.
2:58 am on Friday, November 9, 2012
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Annual Report of the National Federation of Independent Businesses showed that small business owners have lost confidence. XSM can help bring these businesses back on track at http://www.connecttotheworld.com/.
Denver, CO (PRWEB) February 02, 2013
The past recession has left its mark on the economy in terms of uncertainty and loss of confidence. But perhaps the small businesses are the ones that have suffered the most. The National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB) recently released its annual report which showed where small businesses stand right now. Almost 70% of small business owners are skeptical about any growth or expansion plans due to the instability and risk factor. This could be credited to the poor sales that small businesses are generally facing these days as well as the taxes that eat up any profits that come in. The news was published at http://bit.ly/Ufir1N on the 19th of January and it stated that hiring isn't being done as it should be to revive the economy and capital investments are not being made either.
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When it comes to web development and design, many small and medium businesses would vouch for XSM. XSM is an online business that has provided its expert services to many business owners and helped get them back on track again. It provides web packages that are easily customizable. Even company set packages like Starter, Executive and Platinum can be chosen from if clients are not sure of how to customize. Expert advice can be taken from XSM in terms of Business Coaching and Link Building. Companies are also taught how to manage their site through SEO integration techniques. The Facebook page can be followed for regular news and updates at https://www.facebook.com/xsmmarketing. XSM's own website can be visited at http://www.connecttotheworld.com/ for more information.
For the original version on PRWeb visit: http://www.prweb.com/releases/prweb2013/2/prweb10384501.htm


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Open for business report on Open Source Software
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