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Century Gets a Makeoverby Kuki, CruiseMates Cruise Director | June 16, 2005
As Celebrity's Century approaches her 10th birthday, we take a look back at her inaugural year, her present state, and the company's newly announced plans for a major overhaul to the ship next year.
It's December 1995, and I am about to set out on my second cruise aboard the new 70,600-ton Celebrity Century, on her second sailing. I had convinced a group of 11 friends and family that cruising was the best vacation value for the dollar, and that a new ship would be ideal for our mini-group.
As we approached the pier, seeing Century in her berth in Ft. Lauderdale left me somewhat under-whelmed. She didn't stand out as the most beautiful ship, but her abundant beauty became obvious as we crossed the gangway to her strikingly impressive interior.
As we entered the Grand Restaurant, the ship's main dining room, I felt it was indeed one of the grandest rooms I'd ever dined in. It is at the stern, with enormous two-story windows providing a magnificent view of where the ship has been. One of the earliest modern ships to feature a grand staircase from the upper level of the dining room to the lower, Century provided us with a thrill as we made our "entrance" to the dining room down that staircase each evening, past large columns and rich cherry woodwork.
At the time, Century was the most modern showpiece for Chandris Line. And at 70,606 tons, it was at the forefront of the coming trend to build more elaborate and larger ships, with increased passenger capacities. In 1995, she was on the cutting edge of the new style of vessels being referred to as mega-ships. The mass-market cruise lines were just beginning to take the economic "theory of scale" to heart as a business model. The industry was entering an unprecedented boom in consumer demand and in the number of new ships.
As much as we loved the Century, we found the officers and crew to be aloof, distant, and reserved. It was the second sailing of the ship, and we encountered some "new ship glitches" that we felt weren't handled well by the staff when we tried to solve problems.
After the horrendous events of 9-11, and in the midst of a boom of cruise line shipbuilding, the industry experienced a general slowdown in bookings, accompanied by fare discounting, and a result the cruise passenger market broadened even more.
In December of 2005, Century will celebrate her 10th anniversary. The road (sea) she's traveled has been interesting. As newer ships with more modern amenities and design were introduced, Century continued to have a loyal following of repeat passengers and satisfied new customers.
Some general maintenance issues are dealt with on the ship during her day-to-day sailings, but over her 10-year lifespan Century has also had several dry docks for refurbishment of public area carpeting, furnishings, fixtures, etc. However, her original design features were left intact -- a "classic liner" feel.
Returning to the Century now, in most public areas she looked and felt remarkably similar to when we first sailed her 10 years earlier. The public areas shine brightly as a result of a decade of excellent maintenance.
Admittedly, as we spent more time on the ship, we saw some furnishings beginning to show age. The cabins - particularly the bathrooms in some - are in need of replacement and/or refurbishment. The once-fashionable overstuffed sofas in the Rendezvous Square have lost much of their stuffing, so sitting on them can be uncomfortable.
The Islands Café, which serves the buffet, is the area most visibly in need of attention. The upholstery, though clean, appears and worn and dated.
Despite these shortcomings, the overall cruise experience, in my view, is better today than when the ship first sailed. The staff and crew members are now a happy, friendly bunch, and their good training shines through. Everyone we encountered was eager to please, and to take an extra step to make their guests happy. The fabulous attitude and service leads one to overlook the minor aging issues of the ship itself.
One thing the 10-year-old Century is missing compared with many ships that came after her is an abundance of cabins with private balconies. When she was built, the private balcony hadn't yet become the rage, and Century only featured them in her top 61 suites.
After sailing her recently, I am convinced that with some upgrading in a few areas, she'll provide as good a cruise experience as the modern new-builds.
In April 2006, during a five-week dry dock, Celebrity is going to add 314 balconies to outside staterooms. These balconies will be built onto the outside of the ship, and with changes necessary to cabin layouts, will make the interior cabin space slightly larger. The new balconies will be slightly larger than those on the existing balcony cabins.
On the present Sports Deck (Deck 12 aft), the cruise line will add 14 new Sky Suites, as well as several larger, family-style ocean-view cabins, and a few more inside cabins. This plan for additional cabins will require the removal of the Sky Bar on Deck 12. Some of these balcony cabins will have not only adjoining doors, but adjoining balconies to enlarge the areas for families or friends traveling together. A fully equipped sports deck with basketball and paddleball courts will be added above on Deck 13.
While construction takes place, changes will also be made to the interiors of some public rooms. The casual buffet, Islands Café, will be updated with the ambience of a Mediterranean café, and a permanent sushi bar will be added. Outside of Islands Café, on the stern on Deck 11, a new area for outdoor dining, complete with a new bar, will be added.
The popular Cova Café on Deck 6 will get a new look as well, to more closely resemble the atmosphere of a sidewalk café in Italy.
Good news for families sailing with Celebrity: A dedicated teen club will be carved out from part of the underutilized Crystal Lounge, on Deck 7 aft. Improvements are also planned for the "Fun Factory" for younger kids. Wireless Internet access will be made available throughout the ship if engineering limitations permit.
During the upgrade, Celebrity is not going to forget its dedicated employees, with plans to update the leisure areas for crew. They will also add new crew cabins forward on Decks 4 and 5 to accommodate the extra crew required by the additional passenger cabins.
The engineering required to bring this design plan together will necessitate adding some steel to the bow and stern of the ship. A 200 ton "ducktail" will be added at the stern, under the water line, to ensure greater stability. The marvel of all of this work is that it will reduce the ship's top speed by only 0.1 knot.
These ambitious plans should bring a beautiful ship into a position to provide Celebrity's passengers a 21st Century cruise experience, with all the amenities that implies. Yet I believe it will do so without altering the "heart" of Celebrity's original design theme.
|Copyright © 2009, Cruisemates. All rights reserved.


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Yes, a London winter sounds lovely when we envision evenings cozying up beside a fire, sipping a Hot Toddy, but in reality, we find ourselves slipping and sliding our way around the city from work to play to social obligations we'd rather be skipping, instead of enjoying the cold from the comfort of our own homes.
Fortunately for all of us, though, we've found some brand-new reasons to get excited about the next few chilly months: cute and cozy winter accessories. So, don't let all the gray out there get you blue. Check out the the new, anti-chill wardrobe musts that make bundling up a cheery affair. And then go ahead, heat yourself up with a cocktail. You deserve it.

subset: commoncrawl


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Winston18 necesitaba un nuevo diseño de logotipo y lanzó un concurso de diseño en 99designs.
Un ganador ha sido elegido entre 262 diseños de 64 diseñadores freelance.
We need a hip, modern logo that kids would want to wear and own to guide the design of a website and products for a youth-driven, renewable energy initiative.
Logo: No. 2. Company Name: SecondProject
We are starting an initiative to engage the youth in building renewable energy across the U.S. Our organization is called SecondProject and we will be designing an ad campaign based around the tagline "I am No. 2." The logo will play a huge part in the design of the website and this ad campaign, therefore it should be something a kid would want to wear or plaster on their car or bag.
The logo must have "No. 2" as the focus of the design. It should also include the name of the organization: "SecondProject." It can or cannot include the tagline: "A Community for Alternative Energy"The design should evoke a sense of grassroots action and "screw the man" revolution. We want it to have a raw, industrial, street flier, sort of feel to it. We are particularly attracted to 50s and 60s pop art, and artists such as Edward Ruscha, Corita Kent, and Peter Blake, but the design is by no means limited to this look. http://www.flickr.com/photos/360126…734329140/
We don't want typical "green" imagery. No blue skies and green grass and clean air.
Descubre cómo funciona un concurso de diseño u obtén más información sobre nuestros servicios de diseño de logo.


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A MAN has been taken to hospital with burns after his car caught fire in the car park of a town centre supermarket.
The 65-year-old's blue Rover 75 car caught fire in Sainsbury's car park.
He managed to escape before it went up in flames - but did suffer some burns on his arms as well as inhaling smoke.
He was driving and had seen smoke coming from the passenger area.
Firefighters were called to the scene at 12.10pm and took just ten minutes to extinguish the fire.
It is thought that the fire started in the passenger foot well area of the car.
Witnesses said the man did not look badly injured after the incident, but looked like he was in shock and was unsteady on his feet.
The fire service confirmed that the man was smoking while inside the car but could not confirm whether this was the cause of the blaze.
Firefighter Marc Murphy said: "This was an accident and not a deliberate ignition.
"The fire definitely started inside the passenger compartment rather than in the engine area.
"The driver was smoking at the time of the fire but we don't know if this is linked to the cause of the fire."
The man was taken to the Royal Bolton Hospital but his injuries are not thought to be serious.


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Chris Brown Says Gay Slur, World Lurches On
Hey guys, I have a secret for you: Chris Brown is an awful person. Crazy, right? The singer's latest faux pas took the form of a gay slur.
While being surrounded by paparazzi in Los Angeles yesterday, Brown said to the photogs "Y'all niggas is gay" as an insult or something. Ohhhhh brother. I guess this was better than "dick in da booty ass little boy" at least?
But still, you know what, Chris Brown? Why don't you crawl inside this cardboard box I've set up here and then I'll shut the lid on top of you and then I will mail you to Antarctica where you can rant at the snowy heavens all by yourself for the rest of time, thus leaving the rest of us free from having to deal with all of your dopey nonsense. If you get really lonely, maybe I'll airmail Katy Perry there too, and you two can harmonize on "Ur So Gay" until the penguins come to enact their penguin vengeance. Does that sound like a fair proposal to you? [TMZ, photo via Getty]


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Everyone's favourite second-rate princess saver, Luigi, will be playable in Super Mario Galaxy 2, a major selling point for the Wii owner who detests blue overalls worn with red.
Luigi, it appears, can do everything his brother Mario can do, whether that involves strapping on the Bee Suit again, riding Yoshi or wearing that new Cloud Suit. He just does it without the recognition of his more famous brother and with a leaned back running style.
Super Mario Galaxy 2 makes its way to the Wii on May 23 in North America, then to Europe and Australia the second week of June.


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More than 200,000 trout will be stocked in select waters throughout the state this season
PRATT – Outside temperatures may be cooling down, but for trout anglers, fishing season is about to heat up. From Nov. 1, 2013-April 15, 2014, anglers can enjoy some of the best fishing opportunities in the state as nearly 30 public fishing areas will be stocked periodically with this special species. Throughout a five-month period beginning Nov. 1 and endingMarch 31, over 202,000 trout will be stocked in select waters.
In Kansas, there are two types of trout waters: On Type 1 waters all anglers age 16 and older fishing during the trout season are required to have a trout permit, and on Type 2 waters anglers 16 and older who are fishing for or in possession of trout are required to have a trout permit. Anglers 15 and younger can fish for trout without a trout permit, but they may only keep two trout per day. The daily creel limit for anglers with a trout permit is five per day unless posted otherwise. All anglers age 16-74 must also have a Kansas fishing license. New for 2014, anglers fishing for trout in Meade State Fishing Lake will be required to purchase a trout permit.
Anglers fishing in ponds and lakes after April 15 may catch trout without a trout permit, but the limit of 5 trout a day and 15 in possession is still enforced. This does not include the waters that are stocked year-round, such as the Mined Land Wildlife Area Unit #30 (Cherokee County), which requires a trout permit year-round.
Some local governments in areas such as Topeka and Kansas City have their own trout stocking programs, which may require a fee, but the state permit is not required. Local city and county recreation departments should have details.
Trout waters and the total number of trout stocked at each throughout the season are listed below. To view a complete stocking schedule for a specific location, visit ksoutdoors.com and click "Fishing / Special Fishing Programs for You / Trout Fishing Program."
Region 1
Webster Reservoir Stilling Basin: 10,500
Bellville City Lake (Rocky Pond): 7,500
Glen Elder State Park Pond: 3,300
Kanopolis Seep Stream: 8,500
Cedar Bluff Stilling Basin: 4,250
Salina - Lakewood Lake: 6,000
*At this time Smoky Gardens (Sherman County) has water and will be stocked as water quality improves.
*At this time the Solomon River above Webster is dry and will not be stocked.
Region 2
Ft. Riley - Moon Lake: 9,000
Ft. Riley - Cameron Springs: 12,000
Topeka - Auburndale Park Stream: 1,505
Tuttle Creek - Willow Lake: 12,900
Clinton State Park - Lake Henry: 5,075
Holton - Elkhorn Lake: 3,000
Atchison City Lake #1: 3,000
Shawnee Co. - Lake Shawnee: 14,000
Region 3
Scott State Fishing Lake: 8,860
Cimarron Grassland Pits: 5,800
Pratt - Centennial Pond: 4,000
Great Bend - Stone Lake: 6,650
Dodge City - Lake Charles: 5,080
Syracuse - Sam's Pond: 2,500
*At this time Sandsage Bison Range and Wildlife Area is dry and will not be stocked.
Region 4
El Dorado State Park - River Area: 6,350
Sedgwick Co. - Vic's Lake: 14,076
Sedgwick Co. - Slough Creek: 10,944
Hutchinson - Dillon Nature Center: 5,785
Wichita - KDOT East Lake: 8,172
Region 5
Mined Land Wildlife Area - Unit #30: 15,895
Ft. Scott - Gunn Park East Lake: 4,725
Garnett - Crystal Lake: 3,000


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socialtraffic necesitaba un nuevo diseño de banner publicitario y lanzó un concurso de diseño en 99designs.
Un ganador ha sido elegido entre 117 diseños de 23 diseñadores freelance.
My company is SocialTraffic.biz
I am managing a large Insurance companies Google search and display network ad campaign.
We are currently testing display ads. We are pointing our ads to a test site built for testing Quick-Quote-Coverage.com once ads are optimized for performance we will use them to advertise the clients main site.
It's a large, well known luxury brand auto insurance company in the USA.
These banner ad will be used in the start of our display advertising campaign.
Our Ideal suspect earns more than $90,000 per year. They have been using the Internet weekly for a period greater than 13 years. They are a member of at least one social networking site that they visit at least once per week. The research they do on the Internet influences most of their important buying decisions. They regularly do their banking and shopping online.
They value superior client services and are happy to pay for it. They own a reliable and safe motor vehicle that they value greatly. The car is used to transport invaluable family members. They take out full and comprehensive cover including the 24/7 roadside emergency services cover.
Auto Insurance is something that our audience has to do regardless of how difficult the experience is. Most people make their purchasing decisions to avoid pain, alleviate frustration or experience some gain. Our auto insurance suspects common need is that insurance is compulsory by law. They must insure against 3rd party damage in the event of a motoring accident. Likewise all of our prospects must protect one of their most valuable assets (their car) against theft or damage. Our challenge is that the gain from being insured is not realized until after a loss has been endured, this gain only occurs in the event of loss.
Our suspects harbor a natural resistance to insurance sales people.
The idea's and copy in the attached document have already been approved by our client.
Take your pick from a list of image story boards on the attached word document. Present as many 300X250 & 336X280 banner ad designs as you choose, for the money on offer (for this contest).
There are over 15 good ad idea's laid out on the document attached. We don't expect you to submit a design for all 15 concepts, just the ad concepts you think you can create a winner for.
In saying that, there's nothing to stop you submitting an ad for all 15 idea's.
The winner of the contest however will be the designer who submits the best value for money on offer, in terms of the volume of ads they submit, but most importantly the quality of their banner ads.
The better our ads, the more Google present them. Priority is quality, however if it does come down to two designers being as good as each other, if one submits 5 ads, the other 4 ads....you get the idea.
Note: If you design an ad that we like but you don't win the contest. Don't sweat because we will offer to buy individual ads that we like, from any designer who designs one. Only after we've paid a winner for their set.
Lots more of these to come for designers we like.
Thanks and good luck.....
P.S. When submitting designs please use the numbers on our brief. Also where it says (flashing buttons), that means flash design.


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Since the 1960s, the mountains of southern Colombia have been home to a war between the government and a leftist guerrilla movement known as the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, or FARC. The conflict has simmered for decades. Sometimes it flares up in battles with government forces, a terror bombing, or a particularly high-profile kidnapping. Sometimes it fades into the background as cease-fires or negotiations quiet the hostilities. FARC has been fighting for so long that the war has become almost like background noise, says Neil Johnson, a University of Miami physicist who travels to Colombia every year to visit his wife's family. Even locals have become numb to the conflict. "There's this war going on, but I didn't think too much of it. You hear numbers of dead every day, like football results," Johnson says. "It took me 10 years to realize that maybe there was important information hidden in those numbers."
Johnson, who specializes in the study of complexity, is one of a new breed of physicists turning their analytical acumen away from subatomic particles and toward a bewildering array of more immediate human problems, from traffic management to urban planning. It turns out that subatomic particles and people are not that different, he explains. "The properties of individual electrons have been known for many years, but when they get together as a group they do bizarre things"—much like stock traders, who have more in common with quarks and gluons than you might think. So profound is the connection that quants (quantitative analysts, often with backgrounds in physics or engineering) have flocked to Wall Street, creating elaborate models based on the way markets have moved in the past. ArXiv, a clearinghouse for physics research papers, includes an entire section on "quantitative finance."
Still, it was not until a chance 2001 meeting in Bogotá with Mike Spagat, an economist at Royal Holloway College, University of London, that Johnson considered modeling something as human as warfare. Spagat had a Colombian Ph.D. student named Jorge Restrepo who was gathering data on attacks and death tolls, provided by the nonprofit Center for Investigation and Popular Education, so he could look for patterns in the conflict. Johnson hoped the numbers could tell them something about how the individual particles—in this case, insurgents rather than electrons—functioned when put together in large groups.
Soon the new team had a database that included more than 20,000 separate incidents from two and a half decades of FARC attacks. Johnson and Spagat expected that the success of the attacks, measured in the number of people killed, would cluster around a certain figure: There would be a few small attacks and a few large ones as outliers on either end, but most attacks would pile up in the middle. Visually, that distribution forms a bell curve, a shape that represents everything from height (some very short people, some very tall, most American men about 5'10") to rolls of the dice (the occasional 2 or 12, but a lot of 6s, 7s, and 8s). Bell curves are called normal distribution curves because this is how we expect the world to work much of the time. But the Colombia graph looked completely different. When the researchers plotted the number of attacks along the y (vertical) axis and people killed along the x (horizontal) axis, the result was a line that plunged down and then levelled off. At the top were lots of tiny attacks; at the bottom were a handful of huge ones.
That pattern, known as a power law curve, is an extremely common one in math. It describes a progression in which the value of a variable (in this case, the number of casualties) is always ramped up or down by the same exponent, or power, as in: two to the power of two (2 x 2) equals four, three to the power of two (3 x 3) equals nine, four to the power of two (4 x 4) equals 16, and so on. If the height of Americans were distributed according to a power law curve rather than a bell curve, there would be 180 million people 7 inches tall, 60,000 people towering at 8'11", and a solitary giant as tall as the Empire State Building. Although power laws clearly do not apply to human height, they show up often in everyday situations, from income distribution (billions of people living on a few dollars a day, a handful of multibillionaires) to the weather (lots of small storms, just a few hurricane Katrinas).
In Colombia's case, decades of news reports confirmed that the number of attacks formed a line that sloped down from left to right. In general, an attack that causes 10 deaths is 316 times as likely as one that kills 100. The larger the event, the rarer it is.
At first the pattern seemed too clear and simple to be true. "Immediately I thought, 'We need to look at another war,'" Johnson says. With the U.S. invasion of Iraq in full swing, he and his collaborators had an obvious second test. In 2005, using data gleaned from sources like the Iraq Body Count project and iCasualties, a Web site that tracks U.S. military deaths, they crunched the numbers on the size and frequency of attacks by Iraqi insurgents. Not only did the data fit a power curve, but the shape of that curve was nearly identical to the one describing the Colombian conflict.
Around that time, a Santa Fe Institute computer scientist named Aaron Clauset was applying the same approach to what seemed like a distinctly different problem. Rather than looking at specific guerrilla movements, Clauset was examining total deaths caused by global terrorist attacks since 1968. When he plotted nearly 30,000 incidents on a graph, they formed a curve to the power of –2.38. (The power number is negative because it reflects a decrease rather than an increase in the number of events as death tolls rise.) With its characteristic downward slope, the curve was eerily similar to those generated by Johnson and Spagat for Colombia and Iraq.
To rule out coincidence, Johnson, Spagat, and University of Oxford physicist Sean Gourley gathered data on nine other insurgencies. One after another, the curves clicked into place: Peru's Shining Path guerrilla movement: a curve with a power of –2.4. The Indonesian campaign against rebels in East Timor from 1996 to 2001: –2.5. The Palestinian second intifada: –2.55. Fighting against Afghanistan's Taliban from 2001 to 2005: –2.44. By contrast, traditional conflicts in which two armies squared off against each other (such as the Spanish and American civil wars) yielded graphs that looked a lot more like bell curves than power curves. Although the politics, religion, funding, motives, and strategies of the insurgencies varied, the power trends did not.
In an age of biological weapons and dirty nukes, the implications are chilling. Although truly massive power-law events—like the Great Depression or killer storms—are drastically less common than smaller disruptions, they still occur. In the normal distribution of a bell curve, you never get such extremes, but the pattern underlying the power curve enables a few rare events of extraordinary magnitude. One might use the math to argue that the 9/11 attack that killed more than 2,700 people in New York City was bound to happen. And there is ample reason to believe that an even bigger one is on the way, sooner or later.
For Johnson, a Cambridge- and Harvard-educated physicist who has studied stock markets and other apparently unpredictable systems, the power law was familiar territory. Whether in New York, Tokyo, or London, markets tend to follow the same boom-bust cycles, with little daily upticks and downticks punctuated every few decades by a big crash or boom. "Markets move every day, but some days they move a lot," Johnson says. "There are different people, different stocks, but that just seems to be the way people get together and trade."
If physics-based models can predict the behavior of stock markets, Johnson reasoned, why couldn't they foresee the behavior of insurgents so that attacks could be prevented? "Prediction is the holy grail everyone is in pursuit of," says Brian Tivnan, a modeling expert at a U.S. Department of Defense–funded think tank called the Mitre Corp. Tivnan brought Johnson's work to the attention of Pentagon officials. "We were very encouraged to see physicists and mathematicians looking at the data from an apolitical, analytic perspective," he says.
But if they were going to develop a predictive model, Johnson and his team would have to figure out what it was about the behavior of insurgents and terrorists that made their bloody fingerprints so similar all around the world. They started by tossing the traditional take on insurgencies out the window.
Conventional counterinsurgency thinking tries to get into the heads of rebels by understanding their motivations and methods. Political scientists and sociologists studying the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan have emphasized tribal affiliations, nationalism, religion, social networks, and other cultural concerns. Using lessons learned (or perhaps mislearned?) in Vietnam, meanwhile, Pentagon planners approached these conflicts as if they were facing smaller armies with worse equipment, hoping that if they could knock out the enemy's leadership they would decapitate and demoralize the insurgency.
But these assumptions were off. Guerrilla fighters in Vietnam, like U.S. troops, answered to a central command; insurgents in Iraq did not. And from a physics point of view, getting inside an insurgent's head was irrelevant. "In political science literature, human rationality is primary. They assume groups are rational actors, have access to all the information, and make the right decisions," Clauset says. "A physicist's natural approach is to assume people are like particles, and their behavior the result of constraints beyond their control."
Basing their computer models on programs written to predict all sorts of fluctuating phenomena, from traffic flow to stock prices, Johnson's team tried to create equations that reflected the behavior of the individual insurgents seen in the data. The equations that came closest "involved a soup of conflict groups of varying strengths, in a constant process of coalescing and dissolving," Spagat says.
Johnson likens the insurgent groups in his computer model to a pane of glass that shatters into smaller and smaller splinters with each hit. The bigger shards are capable of delivering the deepest, nastiest cuts, but they are also the easiest to target. The smallest slivers of glass, on the other hand, might deliver the casualty equivalent of a pinprick, but there are so many of them, and they are so hard to spot, that the total amount of damage they cause stays high.
If the model is correct, then insurgents conduct "asymmetrical warfare," battling a larger and better-equipped enemy with a loose network of fighters lacking central command. However obvious this seems today, it was a concept that escaped American military planners when the fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan began nearly a decade ago. "The insurgents kept the most powerful military the world has ever seen at bay for four years," says John Robb, a former Special Operations pilot and author of Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization. "You're not going to defeat them by killing groups or killing people. You have to change the entire dynamic. It's a tough lesson for a lot of military folks to absorb." Indeed, the harder the U.S. forces hit, the more the insurgency shattered into near-invisible shards. By the time Johnson's paper was published in Nature last year, the military had learned, through bitter experience, the futility of fighting insurgents with traditional tactics. (The military has never published on the issue, but Johnson says that strategists have recently heard about his ideas.)
The splintered, disorganized nature of insurgencies became still clearer when Johnson and his colleagues looked at the timing of attacks. The numbers in Iraq, Colombia, Peru, and Afghanistan followed similar patterns, with "sudden bursts of activity, then quiet periods," Spagat says. "If it were random, you would have far fewer busy days and far fewer quiet days than are captured in the data." Without a centralized command to issue orders, there must be something else behind the clustered timing of attacks.
Spagat and Johnson argue that the missing element is the role played by media and other sources of information. For an insurgent group, a successful strike is not one that does the most damage, but one that draws the most attention. "Media and publicity are the oxygen of terrorism," says anthropologist Scott Atran, an expert on terrorism at the National Center for Scientific Research in Paris. "Without them, it would die."
Spagat likens the relationship between the dozens of groups in Iraq and the media to drivers at rush hour. Much as drivers try to outguess other drivers to pick the least-traveled route home, the data suggest that terrorists and insurgents aim to stage their attacks when they will have the media's undivided attention. "Instead of competition for road space, there's competition for media space," he says. "You want to be the only person making an attack on a given day. If there are more than a few attacks on a given day, your story tends to get lost in the system."
But since there is no one to coordinate attacks, the resulting patterns are "bursty," a term used to describe many real-world events that unfold in short, intense fits. Think of the traffic jams that seem to come out of nowhere and disappear just as quickly. They are the product of thousands of drivers with incomplete information trying to outguess thousands of other drivers trying to pick the best route home. Sometimes enough people will guess wrong and spend two hours sitting on the freeway.
As fascinating as their mathematical patterns are, Johnson and Spagat remain far from their goal: anticipating attacks and being able to stop them. Atran says the researchers' findings bear out what he has seen during his fieldwork on the psychology of suicide bombers and the importance of media attention. But that level of understanding is not good enough. In the end, the math may not explain it all, he contends. "Insurgencies are sui generis; each takes place within its own social, cultural, and political milieu. Trying to create a unified model is a fool's errand. I don't think there is enough cultural awareness of what moves people to do what they do."
Cultural context is not something Johnson pays much attention to. Accustomed to analyzing particles, which are not known for their reasoning capabilities or complex inner lives, physicists tend to ignore the why and go straight to the how. "All those questions of 'why' show a lack of understanding," Johnson insists. "Whatever the reasons are, this is how they operate." He has explained this to British and American military officers, Iraqi officials, and even security officials at the London Olympics. "Insurgents may be doing it for all sorts of reasons, but the mechanics are what matters."
That kind of talk makes many counterinsurgency analysts bristle. Andrew Exum, a fellow at the Center for a New American Security who led a platoon of Army Rangers in Iraq and Afghanistan, says that quantitative analysis is a useful tool, but only when it is sensitive to the complexities of real-life situations and is coupled with the expertise of someone well versed in the specific political and religious contexts at hand, as well as in military strategy. "I'm turned off by the confidence with which these scholars presented their model," he says. "A little more humility might have been in order."
The complaint has definite resonance in the wake of the recent financial crisis, which saw Wall Street quants creating ostensibly rational models that drove the financial markets to the brink of disaster. While academic physicists like Johnson try to account for the behavior of the traders in their models, the standard quant approach is based on markets moving at random. It is an approach that Johnson is eager to distance himself from. "If you account for human collective behavior, you get results that are different from the standard quant models," he says. "We started looking at financial models precisely because we thought crashes were not properly taken into account." From a distance the difference can seem academic; to most people, a computer model is a computer model. Johnson admits he has had as little luck selling his power law approach to firms on Wall Street as to traditionalists in the military.
Former Special Operations pilot Robb, an advocate of the mathematical approach, says the cool reaction to the quantitative analysis of terrorism is par for the course. During the Vietnam War, soldiers blamed the number crunchers—those informing decisions in the Pentagon based on body counts and kill ratios—for the war's bad turn. As a result, "a lot of people think counterinsurgency is very qualitative, very mushy, and should stay that way. It's almost a mystical thing," Robb says.
"Nothing we've done suggests we can predict there will be an attack in, say, the next two weeks," Spagat freely concedes. "Rather, a physics-inspired insurgency model can help guide more general decisions. If the data show that attacks happen in a bursty pattern, it makes sense to have emergency medical teams able to react to several attacks at once. And the data offer a rough guide to how big those attacks might be, based on how they've looked in the past." Moreover, he says, if the model is right about modern insurgencies' being a constantly shifting collection of small, unconnected groups, it would be a useful tool for military planners trying to find the most effective tactics. Notable military research groups such as Mitre and the Pentagon's IED Defeat Organization have met with Johnson and Spagat to talk about their work. During the course of such meetings, Johnson must counter the ingrained notion that human behavior is uniquely complex and unpredictable.
Never before have researchers had ready access to decades' worth of social data that could be analyzed, and never before has it been so easy to find patterns amid the complex streams of numbers. As the world learned after the Wall Street crash, finding patterns is not the same as understanding which ones are meaningful and acting on them in a responsible way. But given the rush of numbers, the analytical approach of physicists and economists—on Wall Street and now in war—will inevitably keep spreading, Clauset says, "We are entering an era in which social sciences have access to a wealth of data beyond their wildest dreams."
Discover Magazine


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Annual Ehlers-Danlos Awareness Month obligatory post
It's May, so I'm going to do what I do every May–remind you of a rare disorder that I suffer from–Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome (EDS). May is Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome Awareness Month. May is also, incidentally, National Blood Pressure Month, National Hamburger Month, and National Salad Month (just ruminate on that for a moment until your head explodes).
You can read my posts from previous years (2009, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015) for details on what EDS is and how it has affected my life.
Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome is a connective tissue disorder. My body makes bad collagen–super stretchy, slow to bounce back, slow to heal. I was diagnosed in my late twenties. Diagnosis can take many forms–ultimately I had genetic testing. But the first tier of diagnosis is the Beighton Test. If you score 4-10, it's likely that you have EDS. I scored a 9.
There is no cure for EDS. The first center for Ehlers-Danlos research has opened at Towson Hospital's Genetics Program in Baltimore. Stem cell research holds the most promise for treating the disorder at the DNA level.
Like most EDS patients, I hurt every day but I personally made the choice years ago to not take any pain medication beyond the occasional ibuprofen.
To learn more about Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome, check out the Ehlers-Danlos National Foundation and the Ehlers-Danlos Network. Or just ask me!


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Pilates Health Equipment provide two styles of Ladder Barrel models; our Classic Timber Ladder Barrel and our Steel Ladder Barrel. Develop core strength and flexibility. Designed to provide easy mounting [via lower frame platforms], durability for long period use, with nicely textured surfaces for encouraging safe grip, and comfortable surfaces for the longest exercise sessions. Distance between the ARC and the ladder can be adjusted to suit the individual's requirements. Although extremely stable, these units can be easily moved. Available for delivery Australia-wide.
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8.5 x 11
A transfer monotype is where a fully inked metal plate is delicately placed beneath a piece of print paper. Without touching the paper with one's hands(as any spot that is touched will transfer ink to the paper), the artist draws in pencil. Wherever one wants tones on the piece one can rub the area, or even scribble with the pencil. When finished, pull the paper from the plate. On the reverse side of the paper is the final print. The ink has transferred to the paper.
These are fun to do and always a surprise to see when lifting the paper. There is only one (1) "print". It is the original. On the reverse side of the print one has the original pencil drawing as well, unless two pieces of paper were used—one for the pencil drawing and one for the inked piece.
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Fagbenle turned in her fourth double-double of the year at Penn (Gil Talbot).
Philadelphia, Pa. – The Harvard women's basketball team used a 14-0 run to eliminate at 15-point deficit but came up just short in its comeback bid, falling at Penn Friday night, 77-72.
Temi Fagbenle had a big day to lead Harvard (13-7, 4-2 Ivy League) as she scored a career-best 26 points while pulling down 13 rebounds. Fagbenle connected on 11-of-14 attempts from the floor and scored 16 points after the intermission. The London, England, native has now turned in four double-doubles this season and has six double-digit rebounding performances.
Victoria Lippert moved into a tie with Christine Matera '10 for second place on Harvard's career three-pointers list as she finished her night with 13 points on 4-of-6 shooting from deep. Elle Hagedorn chipped in seven points, eight rebounds and four assists in 27 minutes off the bench while Miriam Rutzen dished out a career-high seven assists to go along with six points.
The Crimson shot 46.7 percent (28-60) for the game after going 17-of-31 from the field in the second half. Penn (11-9, 4-2 Ivy League), meanwhile, shot 43.3 percent (26-60) but outscored Harvard 17-9 at the line. Keiera Ray led all scorers with 31 points while going 14-of-20 from the charity stripe.
Harvard found itself playing from behind for a good portion of the first half as Penn opened a 6-2 lead out of the gates. A reverse layup from Fagbenle and three-pointer from Erin McDonnell gave the Crimson a brief lead, 7-6, before the Quakers answered back with a pair of baskets in the paint for a 10-7 advantage. Victoria Lippert evened the score at 10 with Harvard's second make from beyond the arc but Penn responded with a 7-2 stretch to take a five-point margin, 17-12.
Harvard was able to retie the score off a pair of Fagbenle free throws and an Hagedorn triple and went back on top as Fagbenle drove to the hoop uncontested, 21-19. Three-pointers from Keiera Ray and Brianna Bradford, however, put the lead back in the Quakers hands, 25-22, and a fastbreak layup from Ray made it a 27-22 game. Another three from Ray pushed the deficit to eight points, 30-22.
The Crimson came alive late and closed out the half on a 7-2 run to go into the locker room trailing by only three, 34-31. Emma Golen opened the stretch with a short jumper which was followed by Lippert's second trey of the frame and a putback by Fagbenle. The sophomore led all scorers at the break with 10 points on 4-of-5 from the floor as Harvard combining to shoot just 37.9 percent (11-29) against a 45.2 percent (14-31) performance by the Quakers.
Despite its strong finish to the first half, Harvard opened the second half slowly and fell behind by as many as 10 points, 43-33. The Crimson began chipping away at the lead with yet another three from Lippert, and trailed by five following a layup from Hagedorn, 45-40. A three from Fagbenle made it a two-point game, 45-43, but Penn scored nine unanswered points to open a 54-43 margin. A basket by Ray and two buckets by Alyssa Baron gave the Quakers their largest lead of the night, 60-45, with 9:25 remaining.
With 8:30 to play and Penn holding onto the same margin, Harvard embarked on a 14-0 run to cut its deficit to one, 63-62, with 3:39 on the clock. Fagbenle scored seven points during the stretch, including each of the last two baskets, as the Crimson shot 6-of-8 from the floor while holding Penn to 0-of-7 shooting and forcing two turnovers.
A pair of Ray free throws ended the Quakers drought and Kathleen Roche pushed Penn's lead out to 68-62 with a shot from deep. Lippert responded with her fourth three-pointer to again make it a three-point game, 68-65, and a putback by Fagbenle brought the Crimson to within two, 72-70. Penn, however, hit 5-of-6 free throws in the final 0:31 to hold on for a 77-72 victory.
Game Notes: Victoria Lippert moved into a tie with Christine Matera '10 for second place on Harvard's career three-point list … Temi Fagbenle's 26 points were the most for a member of the Crimson since Brogan Berry '12 scored 26 at Hofstra in the first round of last year's WNIT … Harvard's loss snaps a 17-game win streak for the Crimson over Penn and is its first defeat at the Palestra since 2001.


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Why Take This Course
When a dive accident occurs, multiple things happen. Separate small problems can compound to create a larger problem. DAN's Diving Emergency Management Provider (DEMP) program prepares you to handle the kinds of multifaceted accidents that may occur. It's an easy and fast way to take four of DAN's core first-aid courses in one program.
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This past weekend was the 48th annual Ravens Roost convention in Ocean City, Maryland (yes, 48. It was the Colts Corral Convention previously), and for about the eighth consecutive year, Goob and I were in attendance. This year, we re-wrote the lyrics to Toby Keith's "Red Solo Cup" to better suit the occasion, and Goob sang it (several times). If you weren't there, first off I'm sorry. But secondly, here is the video evidence. Lyrics within the video and below:
Now a purple solo cup is the best receptacle
for barbecues, tailgates, and Ravens festivals
and you sir, do not have a pair of testicles
if you prefer drinking from glass
A purple solo cup is cheap and disposable
and if the Browns ever win something, they'll be decomposable
and unlike a Pittsburgh fan, my house is not forecloseable
Steeler Nation kiss my ass
Purple Solo Cup, I fill you up
It's a Ravens Party! It's a Ravens party!
I love you, Purple Solo Cup
I lift you up, proceed to party! Proceed to party!
Now I love to hold you up and cheers for a sack
Even better when it's Big Ben on his back
Because when he gets hit and his nose goes "crack"
well that my friends is kinda…funny
But I have to admit the fans get smitten
Admiring how sharply "Goob" is written
On you with a sharpie when I get to hittin'
the tailgate lots to get drunk!
Purple Solo Cup, Steelers really suck
It's a Ravens party! It's a Ravens party!
Purple Solo Cup, Steelers really suck
proceed to party! Proceed to party!
Now I've seen you in blue and I've seen you in red
but "give me purple" is what I said
'cuz you're the Ray-Ray to my Ed
and we're all just Wacko for Flacco!
Purple Solo Cup, you're more than just plastic
You're more than amazing, you're more than fantastic
and believe that I'm not the least bit sarcastic
when I drunkenly look at you and say…
Purple Solo Cup, you're not just a cup
You're my…you're my friend.
Thank you, for holding all my beer.
Purple Solo Cup, I fill you up
It's a Ravens Party! It's a Ravens Party!
Solo Cup!
Steelers Suck!


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Ga. Gwinnett College food court fails health inspection
LAWRENCEVILLE, Ga. -- Health officials say a food court at Georgia Gwinnett College has failed a recent inspection.
Authorities say the Feb. 21 report gave the site a score of 64 out of a possible 100, resulting in an unsatisfactory report.
GGC spokeswoman Sally Ramey says the school uses a food management service firm for its food services. She told the Gwinnett Daily Post that GGC contracts with that company, "so this is their issue."
Violations found include equipment collecting dust and debris, parasite destruction documentation for raw sushi was inadequate, and vegetables were stored below raw chicken in a walk-in cooler.
Before the Feb. 21 inspection, the location scored a 100 on Nov. 28, 2012, and a 90 on Apr. 20, 2012.


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Jennifer Margulis thinks birth should be a private party — no doctors or midwives invited. So when her daughter Leone Francesca was born at home last month, only Margulis and her husband, James, were in attendance.
"My husband and I were the only ones there when she was conceived," says the 40-year-old writer from Ashland, Ore. "I thought we should be the only ones there when she was born."
Margulis is part of a very small but growing number of women who are choosing to deliver their babies at home without the presence of health professionals. Some choose to have a husband or another family member help, while others opt to deliver their babies completely on their own.
The number of home births unattended by either a doctor or a midwife jumped by nearly 10 percent between 2004 and 2006, climbing from 7,607 unassisted births to 8,347 births, according to most recent figures from the National Center for Health Statistics. About 60 percent of the nearly 25,000 home births logged in 2006 were attended by midwives, a figure that experts expect will also rise.
While do-it-yourself deliveries are still uncommon, many doctors and midwives consider them dangerous. Risks can range from hemorrhage in the mother to problems with the baby's oxygen supply during delivery.
"Most births are not complicated but when something goes wrong, everything happens very quickly and things can go downhill very fast," says Donna Strobino, a professor and deputy chair in the department of maternal and child health at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health in Baltimore.
"If you look at data from developing countries where unattended births are more common, you see a higher rate of infant and maternal mortality with unattended births than with hospital births."
Even among healthy women with no clear risk factors, life-threatening complications can arise suddenly, says Dr. Hyagriv Simhan, an associate professor of obstetrics and gynecology and chief of maternal-fetal medicine at the Magee-Womens Hospital of the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center. "There are lots of women who experience unpredictable bad events," Simhan says.
Shauna Schoenborn, a stay-at-home mom from Imperial, Mo., and other advocates of unassisted birth aren't swayed by doctors' warnings. To them, pregnancy and delivery are natural processes that the medical establishment has turned into disease that must be managed.
After giving birth to her first baby in the hospital, Schoenborn, 31, chose to have her next four children at home — by herself. Although her husband was in the house during the births, he didn't help with the deliveries.
"My hospital births were very managed," says Schoenborn. "I wanted privacy and to be free of internal exams. I wanted to give birth in an upright position and they want you to lie down. I feel birth is an instinctive process and in the hospital they treat women like they're broken and birth like an illness."
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Rates of women who are opting for preventive mastectomies, such as Angeline Jolie, have increased by an estimated 50 percent in recent years, experts say. But many doctors are puzzled because the operation doesn't carry a 100 percent guarantee, it's major surgery -- and women have other options, from a once-a-day pill to careful monitoring.
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'I know my body'
Schoenborn also chose not to have prenatal care from a medical professional. That meant no internal exams and no ultrasounds to check for twins and fetal development. "I would know if I was carrying twins," Schoenborn says. "I know my body."
Video: The perils of home births For Margulis, the biggest problem in the hospital — and even at home with a midwife — was interference with "normal" labor. When a pregnant woman enters the hospital, Margulis says, she's signing on for a host of unnecessary interventions, including multiple internal exams, a greatly increased likelihood of receiving the drug oxytocin to speed delivery and also of a Caesarean section.
Margulis' first baby was born in a hospital and the next two were at home with a midwife. Margulis wasn't happy with either experience and decided she wanted more control over the process.
After researching the do-it-yourself option, she felt assured the birth process is "safer than taking a shower."
Margulis cited a recent Canadian study that found giving birth at home with a midwife was about as safe for babies and moms as in a hospital, with the rate of newborn deaths about two per 1,000 for planned home births. The rate of C-sections was a few percentage points higher in hospitals.
However, the women in the studies were very healthy, had no risk factors, and had small-sized babies, says Dr. Harish M. Sehdev, an assistant professor of clinical obstetrics and gynecology and director of labor and delivery at Pennsylvania Hospital in Philadelphia. Hospitals generally have much higher C-section rates because they treat a variety of new moms, including those who are overweight, have big babies and have lots of risk factors like diabetes and high blood pressure.
In addition, one in 20 women who had chosen to give birth at home ended up delivering in the hospital. "And those were the low-risk women," Sehdev adds.
More important, says midwife Pamela Kane, Margulis is "comparing apples and oranges." The studies cited by Margulis are looking at home births with midwives present, not unattended births, which are more risky because you don't have a trained professional nearby who can spot the early warning signs of a serious problem, says Kane, a certified nurse midwife at Pennsylvania Hospital.
And while women like Margulis and Schoenborn may not like being put on a birthing schedule, experts say there are reasons doctors choose to intervene with oxytocin or a C-section if the labor isn't progressing fast enough. Among them is the risk of damage to the musculature of the pelvic floor if women strain too long, says Sehdev.
When those muscles are damaged, it weakens the moorings that hold the uterus, the bladder and the bowels in place. The impact of that may not be seen till women hit their 50s and 60s, when the organs can unexpectedly drop down into the vaginal canal.
The choices women make might change if they saw the catastrophes that nobody likes to talk about, says Sehdev. "I've known women who lost their babies because the baby got stuck and they couldn't get to the hospital fast enough," he explains.
Those realities have affected the way Augustine Colebrook looks at unattended births. Colebrook had three children on her own before going back to school to become a midwife so that she could help with births herself.
"I struggle with myself wondering if I would have another kid unattended, after being a midwife for almost 10 years," says the 33-year-old from Ashland, Ore., who consulted with Margulis during pregnancy. "I think I probably would — it was a life-changing experience. But I'm not sure."
Margulis, however, says she finally experienced the kind of birth she wanted.
"It was absolutely incredible, a totally empowering experience," she said. "When you give birth by yourself, you realize how powerful and strong your body is."
Linda Carroll is a health and science writer living in New Jersey. Her work has appeared in The New York Times, Newsday, Health magazine and SmartMoney.
© 2013 msnbc.com. Reprints


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Alacare Hospice of Dothan Alacare Hospice of Dothan
Here's a sample of our volunteer opportunities:VIEW AS
Mission Statement
The mission of Alacare Home Health & Hospice is to strive to consistently exceed our customers' expectations by maintaining an ethical, positive, efficient and financially sound workplace environment that allows our organization's caring, multi-skilled and empowered employees to provide high quality home based services through a system of clinically superior programs.
Our volunteers are vitally important to our hospice program. Volunteers provide emotional support to our patients and families during the very important last chapter of our patients' lives. Some volunteers continue their support to the bereaved following the death of a patient. Volunteer Services are delivered directly to the patient in the home or in the office by supporting our hospice program administratively. Some volunteers even serve in a capacity from their own homes! Volunteer interaction is so very valuable to our patients and families, but is just as rewarding to our volunteers, who consider it an honor to work with them.


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Unresolved Karl contract issue about to go prime time
On a weekend when the Nuggets organization should be popping champagne to celebrate having a large footprint in the All-Star game, and weekend as a whole, there's going to be a fair amount of nail-biting when coach George Karl's contract officially becomes a national issue.
And while there is very real skepticism among many hardcore Nuggets fans, who foolishly or not wonder if Karl is the right coach to take the team to a title, the rest of the nation is simply going to wonder why he hasn't been locked into a new deal.
They'll wonder why the seventh all-time winningest coach in NBA history, a four-time All-Star coach, second-winningest coach in franchise history, a coach whose team is currently second in the Western Conference with the fourth-best record in all of basketball, a coach who has not had a losing season in 17 years, a coach whose team was in the Western Conference Finals a year ago after taking it over with a 17-25 record in 2005, is being made to twist in the wind?
Usually, that's the kind of coach that pretty much gets what he wants. In this case, that's not the case. At least not yet. The decision Nuggets' owner Stan Kroenke has to make balances the worth of the weight of Karl's credentials vs. where he feels Karl can take the team in the future, given budget constraints. That's not an easy contract term and money to find common ground on.
While he's mulling the options, the organization could be put through a national meat grinder.
All-Star Weekend is the NBA's Super Bowl. Media from all over the country attend, and while there are many other intriguing storylines, the All-Star Coach Who Has No Contract story will be near the top of the list.
The organization can ask/order Karl not to say anything when the questions flood in. Karl could elect to clam up on his own. But just the mere presence of that elephant in the room could turn the dimmer switch down a bit on an organization that has shined in the past few years because of savvy front office decisions.
As of now, Karl is in the last year of a six-year contract that is paying him $3 million plus incentives. The team picked up a three-year option on the deal in 2006.
According to Forbes magazine, it puts him well behind other coaches, based on last season's figures. Some have won titles in their careers such as the Lakers' Phil Jackson ($10 million salary), Celtics Doc Rivers ($5.5 million) and Charlotte's Larry Brown ($7 million); and others still look to reach the mountaintop such as the Knicks' Mike D'Antoni ($6 million) and Golden State's Don Nelson ($6 million).
As a whole, NBA coaches are the highest paid of any professional sport at an average around $4 million. It means Karl is being paid below-average for above-average work.
This is what Kroenke said in 2006 when he picked up Karl's option: "As we've said all along, we're committed to building a championship-caliber team. The cornerstone of all championship teams is excellent coaches and players, and a passionate fan base."
In 2003, Detroit fired Rick Carlisle, who won 100 games in two seasons, in favor of Brown because that organization felt the new guy could expedite the process of getting the Pistons a championship. We'll never know if Carlisle could have done it, but the Brown gamble paid off in an NBA title the first season after he was hired.
Do the Nuggets take a similar path by letting Karl walk because they can't come to an agreement? It assumes there's a coach out there capable of finishing off what Karl started at a cheaper price. That's a big assumption.
There are roster expenditures to think about. Carmelo Anthony is a max contract player. His negotiations are coming up next season as he can terminate his contract and become an unrestricted free agent in 2011. Nene can do the same thing next season. J.R. Smith will be in the last year of his contract next season, so a decision has to be made there. Kenyon Martin will be in the last year of his contract. Chauncey Billups will be in the last guaranteed year under his current contract.
The only Nuggets with guaranteed contracts beyond the 2011-12 season are Chris Andersen, Renaldo Balkman, and most likely Ty Lawson, but the team has to pick up the rookie's option next season to make it official. All of this with a shrinking NBA salary cap, and a collective-bargaining agreement decision looming in December that could result in a lockout in 2011-12.
Karl isn't the only front office decision Kroenke has on his plate. The Nuggets' vice president of basketball operations, Mark Warkentien, a man who just won the NBA's Executive of the Year in 2009, does not have a contract beyond this year. There is no doubt he'll be coveted if he hits the market with others willing to pay more than he's making with the Nuggets.
Where all of this ends up remains to be seen, but one thing is for certain – the basketball world's attention will shine a bright light on the Karl issue beginning in just three short days. Kroenke is going to have to ride out the storm.
Chris Dempsey: email@example.com


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OWINGS MILLS (MD) – Delaware Valley College sophomore quarterback Aaron Wilmer threw three touchdown passes while junior tailback Kyle Schuberth scored three times as the Aggies notched a 34-10 victory at Stevenson University in a Middle Atlantic Conference (MAC) game.
Delaware Valley, the four-time defending MAC champions, improved to 1-2 overall and 1-1 in the conference. It was also the 52nd win for seventh-year head coach Jim Clements (52-19) as he surpassed the late Al Wilson (51-53-1 in 11 seasons) as the Aggies' all-time victory leader (official records start with 1948 when it became a four-year institution). The Mustangs saw their record fall to 0-3 and 0-2.
Wilmer finished the day 17-for-25 for 212 yards and the three scores, and he also rushed for 50 yards on eight carries. Schuberth carried the ball 15 times for 51 and two touchdowns and also caught four passes for 29 yards and one trip to the end zone. The tandem were the lone returning offensive players at the skilled positions that were all-conference honorees last season.
Delaware Valley forced a turnover on the first drive of the game as a pass was tipped at the line and intercepted by linebacker Jim DiLisio. The Aggie offense took over at the Stevenson 48-yard line. An 11-yard keeper by Wilmer was followed by a 36-yard screen pass from Wilmer to tailback Alquann Jones. Schuberth found the end zone from a yard out to cap the quick scoring drive that took just 28 seconds. Brandon Snyder added the extra-point for a 7-0 lead with 12:52 left in the opening quarter.
The Aggie defense set up the team again as linebacker Chad Wisniewski picked off an Anthony Reid pass and returned it four yards to the Mustang 44. They drove the ball to the nine-yard line and faced a third-and-four when Wilmer hit Chris Ruiz in the middle of the end zone. Snyder added the point-after to up the advantage to 14-0 with 6:51 left on the clock.
Delaware Valley's offense continued its strong play as it used a 10-play, 65-yard scoring drive that took nearly five minutes off the clock. Schuberth ended the drive with a three-yard scamper into the end zone and a 21-0 lead with 11:24 remaining in the first half.
Later in the half, a fumble on a Delaware Valley punt attempt gave Stevenson the ball at the Aggie 17-yard line. The Mustangs managed just one yard on three plays and settled for a Charlie Cornell 33-yard field goal and a 21-3 score with 5:10 to go before the intermission.
Delaware Valley responded on its ensuing drive and took the ball down to the Stevenson 21-yard line where it faced a third-and-10. Wilmer scrambled for seven yards to bring up a fourth-and-three, and he followed it up with a seven-yard keeper to move the sticks. On second down, Wilmer hit Schuberth out of the backfield and Schuberth went untouched into the end zone for his third score of the day. It capped a 15-play, 84-yard drive and Snyder added the extra-point for a 28-3 Delaware Valley lead with just 28 seconds left in the half. It was a half that saw the Aggies outgain the Mustangs, 248-59.
Delaware Valley increased its lead on the second drive of the second half as, on fourth-and-three from the Stevenson 41, Wilmer hit Ruiz around the 20-yard line and Ruiz took care of the rest for the touchdown. A bad snap took place on the extra-point attempt, leaving it a 34-3 ballgame with 5:27 left in the third.
The Aggies ran most of the clock out in the fourth quarter with an 18-play, 86-yard drive. They reached the one-yard line but fumbled into the end zone on the next play and Stevenson recovered for the touchback. The Mustangs drove and put the last points on the board with 10 seconds to go as John Gasparovic completed a six-yard touchdown pass to Anthony Smith on a fourth-and-goal.
Delaware Valley finished with 432 yards of total offense while allowing just 213 (four passing). Ruiz had a career day as the senior caught eight passes for 111 yards and the two trips to the end zone. Jones, a freshman, nearly eclipsed the 100-yard mark as he finished with 92 yards on 16 carries. Defensively, John Robinson had nine tackles while Bernard Avery and Dwayne Shaw finished with seven apiece.
Stevenson running back K.K. Smith set school record with 32 carries for 170 yards. Reid was just 3-for-8 for four yards while Gasparovic was 2-for-2 for 10 yards and a score. Antonio Lyle notched 19 tackles in the losing effort.


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Michael Kiely
Posted on August, 12 2019 by Blueway Limited
Thanks for everything and I'll be recommending you to everyone .
Thanks again
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The sugar bowl Cha (Japanese for tea), designed by Naoto Fukasawa, has refined and linear forms, typical of the designer's expressive approach. The sugar bowl has apparently simple forms that conceal a painstaking eye for every single detail and is designed to be practical and easy to handle thanks to the flared lines that make it easier to hold. The half moon designed along the perimeter of the latter can be used to accommodate a teaspoon.
Naoto Fukasawa was born in Yamanashi prefecture, Japan, in 1956. He graduated from Tama Art University's product design department in art and 3D design in 1980. Until 1988, Fukasawa worked as a designer at Seiko-Epson corp. In 1989, he left Japan for the United States. In San Francisco he joined a small office - 'ID two', the predecessor to 'IDEO' and after eight years Fukasawa returned home. In 1996, he helped set up 'IDEO' in Japan - a team of eight designers working mainly for the Japanese market. He stayed with it until december 2002. Naoto Fukasawa he went independent and in January 2003 he established 'Naoto Fukasawa design in Tokyo. Fukasawa joined the advisory board of the Japanese company 'MUJI'. In December 2003 he set up a new product brand '±0'. 'plusminuszero' designs and produces domestic objects, from umbrellas to electronics. Naoto Fukasawa is a lecturer in the product design department Musashino art university and Tama art university in Tokyo. Naoto Fukasawa's designs have won more than 50 design awards in Europe and America. Other than japanese projects, there is a range of projects with Italian, German and other European companies.


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Thousands of tourists come here every year to swim with dolphins, expecting mystical encounters or unmatched educational experiences. Whether at water parks or even at a mall, the price for an hour's swim is about $100 -- not counting the videos, photographs, T-shirts or dolls to commemorate fleeting moments riding atop the snouts of two sleek creatures.
But the real cost is much higher, according to a growing international protest movement of environmentalists and animal rights advocates who say there is nothing educational about turning wild animals into lucrative rides and who are outraged over the recent deaths of two captive dolphins at an amusement park.
Their past protests led the Mexican government to ban the capture of local dolphins, and the legislature is considering prohibiting imports as well. Now the protesters have turned the tourist-rich Yucatán Peninsula, where there are now nine swim programs, into the front lines of the dolphin wars.
Yolanda Alaniz, a former congressional aide who heads a conservation group, said a dolphin could bring in as much as $7,500 a day. ''But it is a cruel business,'' she said. ''That is why we are going step by step to stop them.''
Ms. Alaniz said the first of the 240 dolphins in Mexican parks were caught by local fishermen, who were paid several hundred dollars a dolphin; 81 dolphins also came from Cuba, which sold many for around $50,000 each.
Lately, opponents of the swim programs have enlisted United States officials, alleging that American citizens at Dolphin Discovery in Isla Mujeres have bought dolphins from Cuba in violation of the trade embargo. Mike Wood, a senior official at the company, denied the allegations. Taylor Griffin, a spokesman for the United States Treasury Department, confirmed that Dolphin Discovery was being investigated for possible violations.
Mexican parks in turn do a brisk business selling trained dolphins for as much as $90,000 each, particularly to an eager market in the Caribbean. The Mexican programs are rivaled only in the Caribbean, where the industry is facing similar opposition, sometimes in a frightening way.
[The police in St. Lucia are investigating the killing on Sept. 17 of Jane Tipson, a British animal rights advocate who led opposition to the spread of swim programs. Neither suspect nor motive has been identified.]
International rules limit the sale of dolphins to numbers that do not affect local populations. With Cuba limited to 10 a year and the Mexican ban on local capture, parks are looking elsewhere.
In late July, 28 dolphins arrived at Parque Nizuc here from the Solomon Islands. Opponents of the dolphin parks say these were part of a mass capture of 200 dolphins that flouted the international regulations. Executives at the Wet 'n' Wild park here said they had permits from the Solomon Islands, and Mexican officials said the animals were imported with the proper documentation and veterinary tests.
Legal papers filed by Ms. Alaniz's group cite an e-mail from the British high commissioner for the Solomon Islands, in which he said the country's civil war had left the government in such chaos that the official who authorizes dolphin exports was unaware of the sale to Mexico.
One of the dolphins died days after its arrival, while a local dolphin perished three weeks later. [Mexican environmental officials said on Sept. 29 that two dolphins at an aquatic park in La Paz in Baja California had died recently, one from a blocked esophagus and the other from an infection, according to The Associated Press.]
Mauricio Martínez, director general of the Wet 'n' Wild park, said the most recent death was caused by a stomach ulcer brought on by stress. He blamed the government and animal rights groups for ''provoking'' the death with unnecessary and burdensome requirements. He said 60,000 people swam with dolphins at the park last year without harm to animals or humans.
''We are convinced if you have contact with wild animals your knowledge and respect for wildlife will increase,'' he said. ''We have a program of high educational content and have trained people who are capable.''
Tourists who swam with the animals at various parks said that the educational component was minimal, but were excited about the experience nonetheless. ''I like it,'' said Paola Maraga, a tourist from Rome. ''It is always nice to see animals and human beings play together.''
But several trainers said tourists were unaware that sometimes the animals turned aggressive. Worse, they added, most trainers have only a basic knowledge about dolphins. One trainer recalled a park where the head trainer regularly used ''stick therapy'' to discipline animals by repeatedly beating the surface of the water until the dolphin retreated to a holding pen. People like Ric O'Barry, a former trainer on the ''Flipper'' television show, are particularly infuriated by the parks, and the poor training. ''It's always sad when a dolphin dies,'' said Mr. Barry, who is now a consultant to the World Society for the Protection of Animals, which has taken a lead role in the fight here. ''There is something obscene about a magnificent creature dying in an amusement park.''
The sight of six dolphins at the Interactive Aquarium in Cancún -- a pool nestled among the T-shirt shops and restaurants at a mall -- visibly angers him. ''The reality is they are all going to die there if you stick around long enough,'' he said.


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Google Maps isn't really gone from iPhones in iOS 6. You can still get it through the vastly inferior mobile version of its browser-based web app. Tim Cook even suggested you try it if you're dissatisfied with Apple Maps. In a recent video about Google Maps, Señor Walt Mossberg notes that the company will be adding Street View to this mobile version of the app starting tomorrow.
This more or less confirms earlier reports that the feature was coming soon. Huzzah! [WSJ via 9To5Mac]


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Have you got a case of The Tuesdays? You know, The Tuesdays — you're not even halfway through the work week and already you're dreading every day until Friday.
You spent 15 minutes staring at your keyboard trying to remember the word "clairvoyant" before finally giving up and asking a high school friend on Facebook chat. You stared into the refrigerator for an unknown quantity of time before remembering that you actually got up to get something from the printer — The Tuesdays.
These "derped" out animals will make you feel better. They won't cure your case of the Tuesdays, but at least you aren't a cat stuck in a hamster ball, amirite?
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Kerry Tries Reviving Israeli-Palestinian Talks
(JERUSALEM) -- The U.S. and Great Britain are making a new push to restart peace talks between the Israelis and Palestinians that have gone nowhere for the past five years.
Secretary of State John Kerry and his British counterpart, Foreign Secretary William Hague, held talks Thursday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Jerusalem and President Mahmoud Abbas in Ramallah.
Kerry acknowledged the daunting task that lies ahead in getting the two sides to bend after so much intransigence, telling reporters, "I know this region well enough to know that there is skepticism. In some quarters there is cynicism and there are reasons for it. There have been bitter years of disappointment."
Still, the top U.S. envoy is holding out hope that the Israelis and Palestinians will head back to the bargaining table to work out a deal guaranteeing a separate Palestinian state and more security for Israel.
The major obstacle remains the building of Jewish settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. Abbas wants them stopped before he'll resume talks with Netanyahu while the prime minister says he'll only consider halting construction once peace discussions get underway.
In spite of the long odds, Netanyahu expressed confidence that talks can happen, adding, "Where there is a will, we will find a way."
Copyright 2013 ABC News Radio


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Lisa began her career as a producer at News 8 in 1997. She left for a year to work in public relations at Winona State University, and returned to News 8 in 2005 as the co-anchor for the 5 p.m. and 6 p.m. news broadcasts and education reporter. Lisa grew up in Racine, WI, and received her Bachelor of Arts degree from the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse.
Lisa is honored to have won multiple awards from organizations including the Associated Press, Wisconsin Broadcasters Association and Northwest Broadcast News Association.
Favorite song? "It's a Beautiful Day" - U2
Favorite band? Dave Mathews Band
My best day at News 8 was the day? I rejoined the News 8 team in August of 2005. I love, and truly missed, journalism.
Favorite way to spend a day off? Playing outside with my kids. And ice cream HAS to be involved.
What are you bad at and wish you could do better? I am terrible at remembering names, and I get so frustrated with myself. Someone can introduce themselves to me and within seconds I've forgotten their name. How embarrassing!
Do you have a hobby or collect anything special to you? I love gardening. It's in my blood.
What do you like about your job? I love being able to share information with our viewers that impact their lives. I enjoy opportunities when I get to spotlight a new program at an area school district or when I can introduce our viewers to a stand-out student that is making a difference in our community.
Family? I married my high school sweetheart in 2003. We have two wonderful little girls.