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2018 : Simulating the Finals Series After Round 22/
Time to update our views on how, according to MoSHBODS, this year's finals might play out.
Firstly, let's look at the relationship between teams' ladder finishes and ultimate finals performance, applying the methodology described here to the 50,000 final ladders produced by our original simulations for this week.
Note that, here too we are no longer perturbing the team ratings since we're so close to the Finals. This will have the effect, relative to previous weeks, of favouring stronger teams because the absence of additional variation makes upsets less likely. The optimal perturbation of team ratings for use in simulations - both for home and away, and for finals simulations - is something I plan to revisit in the off-season. I think the solution will be to add variability in increasing amounts the more distant is the simulated game.
And, speaking of favouring stronger teams, we see that the latest simulations have Richmond as about 47% chances for the Flag. Had we used the same methodology as we did last week, the estimate would have been 34%. In all likelihood, the most accurate estimate lies somewhere between those two figures, and is likely closer to 47% than to 34%.
In the new simulations, West Coast look pretty good for a Preliminary Final berth, as do Collingwood. Hawthorn are about 40% chances of progressing that far, and Sydney about 33%.
In this next chart we look at teams' chances for various Finals finishes, ignoring their home and away ladder positions (ie we focus solely on the heights of the bars in the previous chart). The numbers shown inside a cell are the percentage of simulation replicates (multiplied by 100) in which the specified team went out in the specified week of the Finals (or achieved the specified result).
(Note that 0 entries reflect estimated probabilities greater than 0% but under 0.05%).
Here, firstly, is the view when we don't perturb the ratings.
Richmond, as noted, are assessed as about 47% chances for the Flag and about 67% chances of playing in the Grand Final. Collingwood are about 19% chances, West Coast 10% chances, Melbourne 8%, and Hawthorn 6%.
For comparative purposes, here's the view if we perturb the ratings as per the previous weeks' methodology. In terms of Flag chances, West Coast, Hawthorn and Sydney are the main beneficiaries, largely at Richmond's expense.
In this final chart we look at all of the Grand Final pairings that occurred in at least one of the simulation replicates. The numbers shown inside a cell are the percentage of simulation replicates (multiplied by 100) in which the team named in the row defeated the team named in the column in the Grand Final.
(Note that 0 entries reflect estimated probabilities greater than 0% but under 0.05%).
We see that the Grand Final pairing of Richmond v Collingwood is most common, and appears in about 20% of replicates. Next is Richmond v West Coast, which appeared in roughly 15% of replicates, and then Richmond v Melbourne (9%).
The most-likely Grand Final not involving Richmond is a West Coast v Collingwood one, which occurred in about 8.5% of replicates.


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subset: commoncrawl


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Connie Bolton
Connie Bolton (nee Casselman) of Winchester passed away peacefully at Winchester District Memorial Hospital on Sat., Nov. 25, 2017. She was 70.
She was the beloved wife of the late Lavern Bolton. Connie was the dear sister of Peter Casselman (Mavis) of Finch, Randy Casselman and Jeffrey Lyle Casselman, both of Winchester, and Debbie Smith (Dwayne) of Finch. She was the dear step-daughter of Patricia Casselman of Winchester. She will be sadly missed by several nieces and nephews. She was predeceased by her parents, Lorne and Doris (nee Brown) Casselman.
To honour Connie's wishes, cremation has taken place. A graveside service in celebration of Connie's life will be held at Maple Ridge Cemetery in Chesterville on Fri., Dec. 1 at 11 am with Rev. Lois Gaudet officiating.
As expressions of sympathy, memorial donations to the Kidney Foundation or the Diabetes Association would be appreciated by the family.
Online condolences may be made at www.brownleefuneralhomes.com.


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We look back at some of the Challenge Highlights our contestants submitted for Making The Squad. Each participant had to submit three videos, completing a challenge set by our jury members. What's your favourite? Let us know below!
Together with paysafecard, the market leader in online prepaid payment methods, we are proud to announce that we are inviting Fortnite influencers from around the world to enter the newest talent show. The show, further backed by Logitech G and Esport-Management, will have Fortnite enthusiasts and influencers compete in a series of interactive online challenges, for a chance to secure one of four full-time streaming contracts with G2 Esports.
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Vehicle 2016 Conference is an automotive engineering expo which is comprised of 12 scientific sessions and one hundred sub-classes which have designed to supply comprehensive evaluation and discussion on the present matters and issues of automotive engineering and auto business. Particularly, the Department of Automotive Engineering was taken as an unbiased department from the existing Department of Automotive Engineering in the Engineering College; thus, it is expected to construct up the status for more specialized car schooling.
Specialising in areas equivalent to aerodynamics, different fuels, chassis, electronics, emissions, ergonomics, manufacturing, materials, motorsport, powertrain, speedy prototyping, car and pedestrian safety or supply chain management – they use both traditional methods and state-of-the-art know-how to engineer automobiles to excessive requirements of efficiency, safety & reliability.
Yr two You will begin to specialise with modules in: Mechanical & Structural Programs, Powertrain & Chassis Systems, Fluid Programs, Engineering Administration & Economics, Manufacturing Know-how & Programs, and Drive Cycles & Vehicle Performance Modelling.
Department of Automotive Engineering has been persevering with its training in the new Engineering School building which is about 7700 m2 and fully air-conditioned for the comforts of the scholars as well as academic and administrative employees.
If you full an IMechE accredited degree you will be deemed to have met half or all of the tutorial requirements for registration as a Chartered or Included Engineer, placing you in a powerful position to maneuver on to achieve professional engineering status after a interval of initial professional development in business.


text: Man Gets up to 15 Years After Stealing $1 and a Houseplant Maico Rosado Jr. thought he was taking marijuana By Newser Editors and Wire Services Posted Oct 29, 2017 9:30 AM CDT 59 comments (AP Photo/Lee Reich) (Newser) – A Pennsylvania man who stole $1 and a houseplant he thought was marijuana during a series of break-ins in March has been sentenced to up to 15 years in prison. AP reports 21-year-old Maico Rosado Jr. was sentenced Wednesday to 7½ to 15 years after pleading guilty in August to robbery and three counts of burglary. Police say Rosado broke into Jabber Jaws Bar & Grille in Allentown. The manager confronted Rosado but backed off when Rosado pointed a gun at him. Rosado then made off with a keepsake dollar. From there, police say Rosado broke into a house and left with a plant. Officers say he then threatened a woman with his gun before taking her purse. He was arrested shortly afterward. (Read more Pennsylvania stories.) My Take on This Story Report a story error Show results | 32% Hilarious 5% Intriguing 8% Depressing 23% Brilliant 6% Scary 27% Ridiculous


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Natural Remedies To Lose Weight
No one wants to be overweight. It is really a matter of concern when we start to become overweight. Obesity does not only gear up other diseases, it also spoils the natural beauty of people and hampers their over-all appearance. It makes people look ugly and aged.
For these reason depression is another side effects of obesity. You should take urgent and proper steps to lose weight before it goes out of hand. There are various medicines available in the market by which you can easily lose weight very quickly.
Remedies To Loose Weight
Without any effort you will be able to lose weight and that too very quickly. But the effect of these medicines is not long lasting. Moreover, these medicines have side effects. It has been found that people, who are using weight reducing pills for long time, often suffer from depression. So it is a wise decision to lose weight naturally through calorie control diet and exercises.
Natural Remedies To Lose Weight
If you want to lose weight, stay away from calorie. Reduce carbohydrate intake as little as possible because if you do not burn it, it may turn to fat. If you are hungry, eat lots of fresh fruits and vegetables. Reduce intake of animal protein.
Diet To Loose Weight
To lose weight naturally in a few days, switch on to vegetarian diet. It really works. Drink plenty of water because it helps to remove toxins from your body and keep your body well functioning. Say completely no to junk foods – cake, pastries, artificial drinks, etc. because they contain a high amount of sugar and fat.
Our metabolism slows down at the day's end. So eat light food after evening because slow metabolic rate increases the chances of storing food inside the body. So do not go to sleep immediately after taking food at night.
Folk Remedies
There are various folk remedies to lose weight. Increase your metabolic rate consuming ginger and guggulu. Take a teaspoon of ginger and guggulu. Mix honey with it and eat it accompanied with warm water.
Lemon and honey combination is good natural medicine to lose weight. Squeeze one lemon in half cup warm water. Mix a teaspoon of honey in it. Mix well and eat it at empty stomach.
Folk Remedies Loose Weight
It will help to melt down fat. Chew 7-8 fresh basil paste in the morning before taking breakfast. Practice this regularly and you will get benefit very soon. Garlic is another wonderful natural medicine to reduce fat. Take 3-4 cloves (small) of garlic.
Peel them and crush them. Heat a teaspoon mustard oil. Fry the garlic in the oil till golden brown. Eat this daily. Garlic oil has capacity to reduce fat. Drink 3-4 cups of green tea everyday. Green tea helps to reduce fat.
Regular exercise is very effective to reduce fat. Moreover, exercise helps to reduce fat and enhance metabolic rate. Thus helps in digestion and full absorption of the food in our body.
Walking for at least 30 minutes daily helps to melt the fat. Swimming and dancing help to reduce fat naturally and very quickly. Moreover, these two things help to uplift your mood. Remain joyful for the sake of a beautiful figure because depression makes a person overweight in the long run.
Exercise To Loose Weight
Practice these methods religiously for at least 2-3 months and you surely you will loose few pounds naturally. Continue these methods and you will gradually lose all those extra pounds with time.


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New keepers. Who led CEC
Tatyana Slipachuk is the new head of the CEC According to the results of ballot by the Chairman of the Central election Commission elected Tatyana Slipachuk. Her deputies are Oleg Gonopolskiy and Yevhen Radchenko, and the Secretary of the CEC – Natalia Bernatsky. In Ukraine finally ended the Saga with the update of the Central election Commission. The new lineup started to work and even chose a leader


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Here we seek to understand the structure-based design rules that govern the lymph node targeting at the molecular level to design vaccines against autoimmune diseases. Vaccine approaches to restore antigen- specific immune tolerance to pancreatic beta-cell antigens without global immune suppression are potential therapeutic interventions for Type 1 diabetes (T1D). However, a method for realizing both efficacy and safety is yet to be developed. A major challenge in the development of effective vaccines is efficient delivery of vaccine components to antigen presenting cells (APCs) in lymphoid organs, where the orchestrations of immune cells are initiated. We propose to translate a novel """"""""albumin-hitchhiking"""""""" approach to target lymph node to molecular T1D vaccines, via the synthesis of amphiphiles that comprised of an antigen and immunosuppressant linked to lipophilic albumin-binding tail by a solubility-promoting polar polymer chain. Structurally optimized molecular vaccines will be engineered with a lipophilic albumin-binding tail and follow subcutaneous injection, can accumulate in LN via in situ complexation and transport with endogenous albumin. Albumin-hitchhiking approach can simultaneously enhance the efficacy and safety of molecular vaccines via localized vaccine delivery and modulate the antigen presenting cells within lymph node microenvironments, and can be readily translate to clinic.
A significant barrier to autoimmune therapies, particularly novel approaches such as vaccines and immunotherapy, is lack of method to delivery therapeutics to lymph nodes. In this proposal we present a structure-based albumin-hitchhiking approach for local, sustained delivery of autoantigen and tolerogenic adjuvant to lymph node, where they are efficiently filtered by phagocytes and accumulate, promoting peripheral tolerance. This strategy integrates engineering principles in biomaterials and the targeting of immunomodulatory pathways with a novel role in autoimmunity. The results of these studies will have the potential to catalyze the development of next generation of vaccines against autoimmune diseases.
|Yu, Chunsong; Xi, Jingchao; Li, Meng et al. (2018) Bioconjugate Strategies for the Induction of Antigen-Specific Tolerance in Autoimmune Diseases. Bioconjug Chem 29:719-732
|Zhang, Weidong; An, Myunggi; Xi, Jingchao et al. (2017) Targeting CpG Adjuvant to Lymph Node via Dextran Conjugate Enhances Antitumor Immunotherapy. Bioconjug Chem 28:1993-2000
|Liu, Haipeng; Irvine, Darrell J (2015) Guiding principles in the design of molecular bioconjugates for vaccine applications. Bioconjug Chem 26:791-801


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segunda-feira, 28 de agosto de 2017
Europa '51 (1952)
3 comentários:
Thank you for the insightful review. I loved ingrid in Stromboli, and Journey to Italy. I haven't seen this film yet but your review makes me want to. That line about the pain seen in her eyes-that's so beautiful. And you did your post in two languages-incredible!
Best regards,
- 28 de agosto de 2017 21:21
- Virginie Pronovost disse...
Wow so I didn't know much about this film, but your review really convinced me to see it asap! It sounds like a very special film and so far I enjoyed the Rossellini's films I saw. Thanks so much for your excellent review and for participating to the blogathon! :)
- 28 de agosto de 2017 23:29
- Caftan Woman disse...
It is sad and frustrating to constantly rediscover how little people change over the years. It seems each generation must learn the lessons of their elders for themselves. We seem to take one step forward and two steps back.
I agree that only an actress like Ms. Bergman, and her life at the time, could so beautifully convey all those conflicting emotions. A most excellent article. One of your best.
- 2 de setembro de 2017 08:43


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Tadah Pattern - Paper Dolls
Tadah Sewing
Do you remember playing with paper dolls as a child?
The joy of creating your own outfits and experimenting with style.
It is such a fabulous way to introduce your kidlets to fashion and promote individuality in an age appropriate way. PLUS they can design some Tadah outfits for you to recreate on the machine!
Each set includes:
• The dolls (printed on strong gloss 420gsm board)
• One set of Tadah clothing (2 pages of girls clothes/accessories + 2 pages of boys clothes/accessories) printed on regular paper. Simply photocopy extras to hours of enjoyment!


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R&C: In what ways has credit scoring changed in recent years? What factors now drive the decision-management processes of lending organisations?
Siddiqi: Over the last 15 to 20 years, credit scoring has become more analytical and mathematical. There used to be many business analysts building models, but now it has become more specialised, with decision scientists taking on this responsibility. This has partly been driven by a high demand for credit scoring and modellers globally. Of course, there has also been the Basel Accords (BASEL II) and the IFRS 9 International Financial Reporting Standard, as well as various other regulations that prompted many banks, even smaller ones, to develop their own models internally.
Filipenkov: Credit scoring has dramatically changed in recent years. The availability of new data sources significantly increased the capabilities of the machine learning (ML) techniques that financial institutions can use in the lending process. The decision process is on the one hand becoming much more complex, involving more models, and on the other has become much faster due to market demand and the increasing accuracy of automated decisions. In addition, decision management and model risk management has become more complex, requiring an agile approach. New risk or marketing models are being introduced and modified every day. There may be thousands of different decision paths depending on customer segmentation to deliver customer-focused offers. This means that the model and decision management infrastructure should support this complex environment, and allow rapid changes, testing and deployment of new models and decision logic.
Jan-Mar 2019 Issue
SAS Institute Inc.


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Tiff Stevenson: Mad Man
Note: This review is from 2015
With the gender pay gap and music videos still pandering to male fantasies of lipstick lesbians, this remains very much a man's world, as if conceived by some Madison Avenue exec from the 1960s. That's the premise of Tiff Stevenson's show and it's difficult to find fault as she rails against it, putting herself forward as a sexually confident, assertive woman in her thirties, challenging the existing order.
The shining apex of misogyny for her is not Hollywood sexism, noxious though it is, but Dubai, mixing the worst oppression of the Middle East with the superficial materialism of the West. The latter is a temptation she's not immune to, a working-class comic with a Dickensian insecurity about her wealth, sporting it in glittering bling on her fingers.
As much a slave to the hedonic treadmill as the rest of us, whereby an ongoing desire for objects is only temporarily sated by their acquisition, she's invested in the women's magazines that promote a desire to look good over reflecting your true self and real passions, critiquing from within the system. Similarly, she's an act who's appeared on panel shows and is amusingly sardonic about the BBC's quota approach to booking women.
Less personally, she's as subject to Jack Daniels' homespun, sepia-tinted commercial nostalgia as anyone. Although it's shooting redneck fish in a bourbon barrel, this is the most effective routine in her hour, the brand's straining efforts not to seem racist deliciously conveyed through her characterisation of more-or-less on-message good ole boy Fat Bob.
However, when she then appropriates black American and gay rights as her fight too, she's less trenchant. Although informed and a reasonable cultural commentator, she has a habit of pitching herself against the most extreme and regressive opposition, even in her examples of sexism, ensuring attacks against the likes of Donald Trump, conservative bigots or the US police are indistinct from those of countless other comics.
Arguments delivered with pretensions to profundity rarely seem that ground-breaking. And while, within the context of this show, no one can object to a closing celebration of periods that champions women and mocks men's incomprehension, the familiar feeling of lecture in Stevenson's delivery undermines her message, when a more subtle, less oppositional discourse might have more impact.
Review date: 24 Aug 2015
Reviewed by: Jay Richardson
Reviewed at: Stand 5 and 6


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The York Wedding Singers
The York Wedding Singers are one of Yorkshire's leading liturgical chamber choirs. They bring high-quality music to churches and cathedrals in Yorkshire, and provide a specialised choral music service for church weddings. None of them makes any profit from what they do -- charges simply cover expenses throughout the year.
Many couples ask The York Wedding Singers for advice on what music to choose for their wedding ceremony. So they have put together a list of music they know really well and would be happy to perform. But if you're booking in plenty of time, they don't expect you to choose exclusively from this list. Except in very busy periods, The York Wedding Singers are generally happy to learn new music at your request — in fact, it's something they particularly enjoy!
- The Blue Bird (Charles Stanford): an impressionistic setting of a poem by Mary Coleridge, describing a bird flying over a lake. Features a soprano soloist. The words aren't religious, and so can be used in secular ceremonies.
- O Taste and See (Ralph Vaughan Williams): a short, pretty motet originally composed for the coronation of Elizabeth II. Features a soprano soloist. Words: O taste and see how gracious the Lord is: blessed is the man that trusteth in him. Great for the entrance of the bride.
- Beati Quorum Via (Charles Stanford): a beautiful six-part motet whose words translate roughly as Blessed is he who walks in the way of the Lord.
- Ubi Caritas (Maurice Duruflé): a well-known motet based on plainsong themes. The words translate as Where love is, there will God be also. Short and sweet.
- I Was Glad (Henry Purcell): a very celebratory setting of a well-known psalm, composed by one of England's greatest musicians. The piece is about 5 minutes long.
- I Was Glad (C H H Parry): another, even more famous setting of the same psalm, this time from the coronation of Elizabeth II. There's an organ part and it's quite challenging, so if you're not using The York Wedding Singers organist, you should check your organist is happy to play it.
- Jesu, Joy of Man's Desiring (Bach): a popular choice for church weddings. Requires an organ.
- Ave Verum Corpus (Mozart): a very famous motet on a religious theme. Requires accompaniment, but this works equally well on piano, organ or strings. Particularly appropriate if you're having a nuptial mass (i.e. communion during your service).
- The Heavens are Telling the Glory of God (Haydn): a chorus from Haydn's famous work The Creation. Energetic and celebratory in tone. Requires a piano or organ (or indeed a full orchestra, if you have one lying around!).
- Sing Unto God (Handel): another celebratory chorus, very well suited to weddings. The text is Sing unto God, and high affections raise: to crown this conquest with unmeasur'd praise. Also requires an organ – doesn't work so well on piano.


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Thermoforming is the controlled heating of a thermoplastic material to a particular processing temperature so that when force is applied, it replicates the shape of the mold. The force can be vacuum pressure, air pressure or direct mechanical force to the pliable thermoplastic.
Vacuum Forming requires the heating of a thermoplastic until it reaches its forming temperature then applying a vacuum to form it into or around a mold.
Drape Forming requires the heating of a thermoplastic until it reaches its forming temperature then applying a mechanical force to form it into or around a mold.
Pressure Forming is a sophisticated version of the vacuum forming process that uses air pressure as a forming aid to increase the detail on the mold side. Resulting is a product with the appearance of an injection molded part for a vacuum formed price.
Open Mold is the most commonly used method of manufacturing fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) composites. In open molding, a one-sided mold is used where the cosmetic surface is directly against the mold, the gel coat, is typically first applied to the mold and the structural FRP is built up behind the cosmetic surface (the gel coat).
Hand lay-up (HLU) is the simplest and oldest open mold method of the composite fabrication processes. It is a low volume, labor intensive method. Typically glass mat or other reinforcing mat or woven fabric or roving is positioned manually in the open mold, and resin is poured, brushed, or sprayed over the reinforcement. Air is removed manually with squeegees or rollers to complete the laminate structure.
Spray-Up (SU) is an open mold method that can produce parts more economically than hand lay-up. Chopped fiberglass reinforcement and catalyzed resin, and in some cases, filler materials, are deposited on the mold surface from a combination chopper/spray gun. Rollers or squeegees are used to manually remove entrapped air and work the resin into the reinforcements.
Light Resin Transfer Molding (LRTM) is a closed mold system that consists of an "A" side mold and a semi-rigid "B" side mold or counter tool. A laminate structure is created from fiber reinforcements that are placed on the, typically gel coated, "A" side mold which is then covered with the "B" side counter tool, the mold halves are sealed using vacuum and then catalyzed resin is drawn or pumped into the mold through ports generally incorporated in the counter tool. When the resin is cured, the counter tool is removed and the part is de-molded.
Bag Molding is a closed mold system that consists of an "A" side mold and a flexible, reuseable "B" side mold or counter tool made from silicone, latex or other flexible-like products. Like other closed mold processes, the "A" side mold is layered with fiberglass, the flexible counter mold is placed on top and a vacuum is applied to seal the tools together. Catalyzed resin is drawn or pumped in to the tool cavity until filled. The resin is allowed to cure and the bag is removed.
Vacuum Infusion Process (VIP) is a closed mold system that consists of an "A" side mold and a disposable this bagging as its "B" side mold or counter tool. Specialty reinforcements are used to build the laminate, with bleeder cloth and bagging film used to sealed onto the "A" side mold. A vacuum is pulled through ports in the bagging film and catalyzed resin is pulled into the mold cavity based on the level of vacuum pressure.


text: ACL Resources Sports Medicine and Fitness -A   +A ACL ResourcesThe number of anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries reported in athletes younger than 18 years has increased over the past 2 decades. Reasons for the increasing ACL injury rate include the growing number of children and adolescents participating in organized sports, intensive sports training at an earlier age, and greater rate of diagnosis because of increased awareness and greater use of advanced medical imaging. Below are resources that will assist in conducting examination tests, prevention of ACL tears and ACL Injury Awareness. ACL injuries - Information on ACL injuries on the AAP's HealthyChildren.org website. Preventing ACL Injuries in Young Athletes Video - This video provides an overview to preventing ACL injuries in young athletes and is a companion to the AAP clinical report, "Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injuries: Diagnosis, Treatment, and Prevention," published in the May 2014 issue of Pediatrics. Advertising Disclaimer Preventing ACL Injuries in Young Athletes Video (Extended Interview) - Pediatric sports medicine physician Cynthia LaBella, MD, FAAP, provides information for clinicians on treating and preventing ACL tears in young athletes. Dr LaBella is the lead author of the AAP clinical report, "Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injuries: Diagnosis, Treatment, and Prevention".Expert Sports Medicine Care in Support of Young Athletes - Pediatric sports medicine program at Cincinnati Children's Hospital.Knee Injury Prevention Program (KIPP) for Coaches - Instructional PowerPoint, along with videos demonstrating each of the exercises is available online for free.Lachman Test and Anatomy of the Knee - Shane Miller, MD, FAAP, a member of the AAP Council on Sports Medicine and Fitness, demonstrates how to correctly do the Lachman Test and provides an overview of the knee anatomy.P4 ACL Injury Prevention Program - This six week, one-on-one program is $395 per person. It is available in and around Columbus, OH.PEP Program: Prevent injury and Enhance Performance - PEP exercise descriptions can be downloaded for free. A video demonstrating the PEP exercises can be ordered for a $35 donation to the Santa Monica Sports Medicine Foundation.Sportsmetrics: Warm-up for Injury Prevention and Performance (WIPP) - The Sportsmetrics™ WIPP Instructional DVD and Manual are available for $45. Sportsmetrics™ WIPP is also available on DVD with Vols. 1&2 Techniques and Training for $90.The Micheli Center - The Micheli Center conducts world-class medical and scientific research focused on the prevention of sports injuries and the effects of exercise on health and wellness. Return to the Council on Sports Medicine and Fitness print email share


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Change is hard. Change is especially hard when you don't feel good, when you are in an anxious state and struggling to focus and to sort out thoughts. Making any change to feel better can feel overwhelming, that's why I like to encourage focusing on small changes over time. The idea is that by choosing one small goal or one small change to make, this change can be sustainable. Once that change is in place, you choose another one to make and over time all of these little changes add up to a big change in how you are feeling. Curious about what some of those changes might be? Stay tuned as I will be sharing some of those in upcoming blog posts.
When things get hard it can be easy to stop working on making changes to improve how you are feeling. To keep focused on your goal of feeling less anxious I've made a list of 5 great things that can happen to you when you start to work on your anxiety.
You sleep better - learning sleep hygiene and how to silence those anxious thoughts and worry at bedtime are a big part of what you work on in therapy when you seek help for anxiety. Many client's report that once they start sleeping better they experience less anxiety. Client's report feeling rested, better able to handle stress, better able to meet the demands of their job, improved relationships with their partner and co-workers, and they attribute a lot of those positive changes to sleeping better and learning how to manage their anxious thoughts at night time.
You get more done because you can actually focus on what's in front of you. People who struggle with anxiety are often thinking about what might happen in the future. They are consumed with thoughts of "what if I can't pick the kids up on time", "what if I get fired", "I gave Jenny and mean look when we were walking in, what if she says something to me later about it". Or they're living in the past, thinking thoughts like "I'm a bad mom. I can't believe I snapped at the kids this morning before I left". These thoughts make it hard to focus on completing the task in front of you, whatever it may be.
You start to learn to identify the things that are within your control and you start learning how to let go of the stuff that's out of your control. This is another thing you learn in therapy. Your therapist will help you to see how you are worrying about and taking responsibility for things that are either not in your control or are not yours to take responsibility for. You learn how to catch yourself worrying about those things and you start using coping skills to accept what you can't control. Overtime you begin to start letting go of things that are not in your control. The other benefit of this skill is that you start to focus your energy on the things you can control. You start to identify solutions and create plans that actually start to help move you towards your goal of feeling better.
You start to take better care of yourself. You learn skills to cope with anxiety, you start to practice things like yoga and meditation, and you realize that these things actually care for you in more ways than one. You start to gain real experience with self care and realize that true self care is more than a fancy bubble bath every once in awhile.
You spend more time with friends and you enjoy that time because you are present, not worried, and you have given yourself permission to be with your friends. You stop worrying about the kids being home with their dad, you stop worrying about making lunches and if your partner will make the right lunch for the kids, you stop thinking about what a good mom is and isn't and you start to become yourself, the woman and mom who is actually perfect just the way she is.
Remember, change doesn't happen overnight. It takes consistent effort, practice, and patience with yourself as you learn how to handle your anxiety in new ways.
If you notice that you are struggling with anxiety or are feeling higher levels of stress than are normal, talk to a therapist. You can learn to manage anxiety and you can learn skills to help you work through anxiety when it does come up.
If you are struggling with anxiety, I would love to help you. I am located on the border of Hillcrest and University Heights, down the street from the Sprouts Market and have a couple of openings for new client's. Contact me today for a free 15 minute phone consultation or to schedule an appointment. I look forward to talking with you.


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The Parducci Garden grows fresh produce for the winery staff and the community at large
by Holly Madrigal
You could be forgiven if you only gain a glimpse of the garden at Parducci Wineries as you drive past on Highway 101 near Lake Mendocino. The fifteen acre garden pasture, located just off the road holds a vast permaculture system that intertwines and produces benefits for wildlife, vegetable production, employees and of course excellent Parducci Wine. Parducci is the oldest, continually operating winery in Mendocino County. Development of this garden and livestock operation was launched in 2012 when new owners, the Thornhill Family hired Jess Arnsteen to turn this little used patch into an organic garden.
The garden now produces vegetables, eggs, lamb and pork for the sixty Parducci Employees and their families. Mendocino County's temperate climate allows for year round growing and when I visited they were harvesting asparagus, cilantro, lettuce, brussel sprouts, broccoli, beets and winter squashes. Insect and pests are kept in check by a roving band of two hundred chickens. During peak laying time the hens provide a dozen eggs a week to each of the Parducci employee families.
The garden crew is up early on harvest day to gather the best produce. The tasting room patio holds a display table for the days offerings. Employees stop by and fill brown paper sacks with their bounty. "Everything here is just so much better than the store." Says Betsy Wildberger "It really cuts down on our grocery bill." Philipo Rivero loves the broccoli and tomatoes. His wife has started making tea with the fresh lemon grass that Jess grows in a greenhouse on-site. A few times a year the employees get farm harvested pork and lamb. Jess's wife, Erin, now shares recipes for the less common produce. She often makes a small snack to share using seasonal ingredients. Mint chocolate cookies and frittata muffins were recent offerings. "We have more eggs than we know what to do with at the moment." Jess laughs.
Arnstee is continually learning new management techniques to improve and enhance the garden. The resident sheep graze and fertilize the meadows as pigs twice their size root out invasive blackberry vines. Natural predators like blue birds and owls are encouraged to make a home amongst the Parducci vineyards. These birds keep rodents and other pests to a minimum. The pomace from the vineyards is composted and spread as fertilizer amongst the crops and below the olive and fruit trees.
Large hedgerows line the planting areas of both garden and vineyard. Arnsteen has filled these hedgerows with plants that encourage pollinators and create habitat for beneficial species. To promote butterflies Jess added milkweed to these hedgerows. One morning as he nestled the new milkweed plants into the soil a Monarch butterfly alit on a leaf and began to lay her eggs. "That was a special moment," Jess says.
Parducci produces over 600,000 tons of grapes a year to be used in their winemaking. The process utilizes a great deal of water. The Thornhill's turned the usual paradigm on its head by extensively treating their wastewater with natural means as opposed to chemical methods. The sugar-laden water is piped to "trickle towers" that oxygenate the flow as it passes through plant roots. Plants and natural bacteria filter out unwanted components. The water continues on its path of multiple filtrations, which end in a lower pond. The pond teems with wildlife, hosting birds, turtles, frogs and dragonflies. An ecosystem has evolved around this water system. Arnsteen has planted the area with complementary water grasses and reeds that provide further water "finishing". A fountain made of an old farm cement mixer pours the cleaned water into a meandering stream. The effect is one of peaceful serenity.
Parducci sees the production of their award winning wine not just as a skill but as part of an interconnected natural system. So next time you drive by on highway 101 consider stopping to visit this sustainable oasis.


text: Analyses and Publications State of the Future 2015-2016 New State of the Future report has been published! The report is a result of the work of The Millennium Project - global futures research think-tank, represented in Poland by 4CF. The report's executive summary is available in English here and in Polish here. FollowFollow ← Older Newer → 4CF Portal: Events Case Studies Analyses and Publications Surf the Future


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The only downer for the parade was that the only way to get there (without driving 20 miles out of our way) was to go down the same road where we usually meet Grafton. Gimme got more and more excited, thinking that was where we were headed. When I actually passed the last possible turn, she shrieked in her highest teenage girl voice to let me know I'd missed the turn. She was certain I was just dazed and needed a reminder to turn.
Gimme has always liked Andrew Barkis; he's running for county commissioner. Andrew is one of those people she is perfectly content to sit beside and have her picture taken - no holding her, no bribes... just hanging with her buddy Andrew. They say dogs are good judges of character and I agree. Clearly she has good taste; I like him too.
This is our whole group, getting ready for the parade to start. Gimme thought this parade was especially nice because there was a lot more candy being thrown than there were children to snatch it up. Much as I tried to stop her - she was able to gobble on the fly and got a number of tootsie rolls and such. I thought she might end the day with a bellyache because of the dietary indiscretions.
This last picture is Gimme with state Senator Randi Becker. We support Randi wholeheartedly. She's a very nice lady and a great senator.
I've been promising a video of Gimme and Grafton playing. Here's a short clip I discovered on my computer. Young love is such a joy to behold (especially to us two doting Moms).


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A Houston company and a former Columbia, South Carolina, school district official are among the latest to be involved in two separate instances of abusing the eRate, according to the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ). The eRate is the $2.25 billion-a-year federal program that provides telecommunications discounts to eligible schools and libraries.
Houston-based networking company NextiraOne LLC was sentenced April 20 to pay more than $4.5 million to the U.S. government and American Indian schools in South Dakota. According to DoJ, NextiraOne pleaded guilty to defrauding the eRate and member schools of the Oglala Nation Educational Coalition on the Pine Ridge Reservation, part of the Sioux Tribe.
DoJ said the company was charged with inflating equipment prices, submitting fraudulent invoices for payment, and failing to install and deliver certain equipment and services originally billed to the eRate program.
NextiraOne has agreed to cooperate in an ongoing investigation, the department said, and it has been ordered to pay a $1.9 million criminal fine. In addition, a civil settlement filed April 20 requires the company to forfeit more than $2.6 million in reimbursement for work it has performed at other school districts.
The sentencing took place before U.S. District Judge Lawrence Piersol in Sioux Falls, S.D.
"These fraudulent schemes rob funds used to assist the neediest schools and libraries across the country," said Assistant Attorney General Thomas O. Barnett, who oversees DoJ's antitrust division.
In a separate instance, DoJ also announced that a federal grand jury in Columbia, S.C., returned a 12-count indictment alleging that a former South Carolina school district official committed mail and wire fraud in a scheme to defraud the eRate. DoJ said the charges stem from allegedly fraudulent applications for eRate funding that former technology director Cynthia K. Ayer submitted on behalf of Bamberg County School District One in Bamberg, S.C.
According to the indictment, from April 1, 1999, until Feb. 1, 2003, Ayer allegedly used her position as the technology director of the school district to award contracts to her company, Go Between Communications, by submitting fraudulent applications for more than $3.5 million in eRate funding to the Federal Communications Commission's Universal Service Administrative Co. (USAC) without a competitive-bidding process.
The indictment further charges that, as a result of her actions, Ayer fraudulently obtained $468,496 in payments from USAC. The charges in the indictment include 10 counts of mail fraud and two counts of wire fraud.
Including the two April 20 announcements, 11 individuals and 10 companies have been charged as part of the Antitrust Division's ongoing investigation into fraud and anti-competitive conduct in the eRate program. Six companies and three individuals have pleaded guilty, agreed to plead guilty, or entered civil settlements, DoJ said.
The defendants in these cases have agreed to pay criminal fines and restitution totaling more than $40 million, according to DoJ. Two of the individuals have reportedly been sentenced to serve six years in prison.
U.S. Department of Justice
eRate program
NextiraOne LLC
Bamberg County School District One
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Who We Are
Black Wings Effects is a full-service VFX studio that creates content that tells the full story. Using state of the art technology and techniques we make the impossible possible.
We have experience and expertise in the commercials as well as television productions, video games and motion graphics. Our collaborative approach enables clients to be part of the creative process producing content that brings your ideas to life. Black Wings Effects creates visuals that stimulate our senses, excite viewers and inspire us to believe that what may seem impossible is possible.
Black Wings Effects is a brand born out of MRA Studio Sdn. Bhd. Its CEO and founder, Masoud Reza Azimi has 23 years Graphic Design and VFX experience. Masoud pushes himself to produce more challenging art both technically and creatively. With a presence in Vancouver, Black Wings Effects collaborates with their clients around the globe to create and experiment until the project is complete and brings what was once an idea to life.


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This is our blog
This is our blog
Changes to Basecamp (Summary included)
- Idea point values will be reduced by 2/3 and extra points assigned to labels provided by moderators
- Labels and high point values are assigned to business model components
- Labels and high point values are assigned to experiments
- Labels and high point values are assigned to proposed projects and proposed operational improvements
- Labels and low point values are assigned to work updates and the lowest to banter
- Posts may be removed/sent back to those who posted for fixing/improvement
- All points will be reset to zero
- More moderators have been added to the system
Basecamp has evolved at PEV since it was implemented over 12 months ago. It's purpose is to provide a transparent repository for project information and to, in time, harness the PEV community and external collaborators to achieve the companies purpose.
To enable this we have developed the next round of changes in how Basecamp is to be utilised:
1. Idea point values: upon posting an idea on basecamp a user will be immediately given 5 points versus the current 15. Once a moderator has assigned a status label the post will be given additional points in line with it's value.
2. Project Repository: to provide information about projects so that community members can immediately get an in-depth understanding of the proposed business model and current activities.
To support this: moderators will assign the following post status in line with the lean canvas and the BMC: customer segment, problem, revenue stream, cost structure, customer relationships, channels, value proposition, Solution, key metrics, unfair advantage, key partners, key activities, key resources. These status labels are coloured black and it is envisaged that there will be one of each label for each project. As an improved post is created for that label it will replace the existing.
These types of labels are valued at 15 points each.
3. Outline experimentation (proposed/adopted/results): experimentation is a key component of Lean and PEV methodology. Quality posts shall outline what is to be learned from conducting the experiment and what assumption in the business model is to be validated. It will then describe how the learning is to be measured and finally how the experiment is to be built to enable the measurement and learning.
Moderators will assign the following status labels: proposed experiment, experiment adopted, experiment results.
4. Proposed projects and operational improvements: we value the input of the community to proposed projects and these ideas are reviewed and then put forward to R&D and Commercialisation. Should they be adopted they earn significant point values. In the same manner improvements to operations are valued and receive high point loadings. For an example of a quality "proposed operational improvement" post see: https://projecteverest.crowdicity.com/post/565110
5. Work updates: are valued significantly less than core validated learning through the prescribed methodology. Work updates include 'weekly updates' and 'goals for the month'. By comparison they are assigned approx 12% of the value of posts on validated learning. They are also likely to be moved by moderators to knowledge hub or removed if they do not add value.
Posts with community value but little project value may have the 'Banter' label applied with the lowest number of points and may be removed or placed in knowledge hub.
6. Removal/editing of posts: moderators have the ability to edit posts or remove them entirely for which they may request that the post be re-constructed in a different format or for a specific purpose. User's can then re-post post changes or check with the moderator before reposting.
7. Points reset: in line with the changes and the commencement of a new focus of Basecamp. This is to occur at the start of July projects.
8. Increased moderators: each SL for July, core staff and those involved in R&D/Commercialisation are moderators which has increased the overall number of moderators 4 fold. This is to increase response in the system.
Comments (6)
Further to the recent changes we have altered the point system to reward good posts, good discussion and to discourage meaningless point collection through idea subscription, following other users and unnecessary up-votes.
The weighting of meaningful comments against posts and the value attributed to up-votes has also been changed. Comments that do not add value may also be deleted.
A 'fair play' understanding is expected of the community and to reinforce it should members be asking those around them to up-vote their ideas unnecessarily, make worthless comments or consistently make irrelevant posts then after 3 strikes (a warning for each one will be given) then all your points will be removed.
The Golden rule of the Basecamp platform...."no tears!" Or it's lame cousin "no tears, only ideas!"
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Steamboat Willie teased on social mediaPosted by Huw,
The next LEGO Ideas set, 21317 Steamboat Willie, has been teased on social media by LEGO this afternoon.
As usual though, the video -- which you can view after the break -- does not give anything away but its publication does suggest that the set will be revealed imminently.
The original submission was a sound idea but the model itself was, in my opinion, poorly executed, so it will be interesting to see how LEGO's designers have interpreted and improved it.
Are you looking forward to seeing and buying it?
Hello Folks! Let's celebrate Disney Mickey Mouse's first appearance with the new LEGO Ideas set "Steamboat Willie". #MickeyTrueOriginal #Mickey90 pic.twitter.com/30oJpQwHLC— LEGO (@LEGO_Group) March 14, 2019
48 comments on this article
Didn't they just announce it as a winner just a few weeks ago? I'm personally not looking forward to it - at all. I agree that the proposal was poorly executed. I'd much rather they announced the release of the Treehouse TBH.
Edit: yep: 18 Feb 2019, less than a month ago.
This must be a record turnaround from acceptance to model surely?
I actually quite liked the model. It's nice to get an ideas set that is in the impulse buy desk ornament category again, like Women of Nasa.
Let's not forget that a lot goes on behind the scenes before the announcement. I suspect they are trying to keep the time between it and release short so that people don't forget about it.
Be retired with in a year due to poor sales
any guess on price???
it's under 170 parts. so what?
£14.99 oh wait. DISNEY!... so that be £24.99 (this "Lego Group" is a joke price it at this level and i Will bocot this set.)
Nope not interested. Where's my SpaceX Falcom rocket!!
Saw the headline & thought it would be about cyber-bullying :-D
I'm super excited for this set for a few reasons: 1. It's going to be black/white or greyscale, which is definitely not the norm for LEGO, 2. It's from popular culture, but from a bygone era, which is novel, 3. It's small.
And I don't even care about Mickey Mouse or Disney. But those reasons above make it interesting to me.
I'm an animation fan, but not much of a Disney fan, so I might give this a shot but I'm not sure.
@Huw: I appreciate your candor in the evaluation of the quality of the submission. I am not saying that I agree or disagree with you, I am just thanking you for an honest opinion. Every once in a while some Brickset member seems to seek to challenge the objectivity of you and your fellow administrators. While one example does not totally disprove such an allegation, it does go a long way to remind us of the Brickset team's independence from TLG. Thanks for everything that you and the others do to make this site so interesting.
I was not overly high on this set when I first saw it on LEGO Ideas, but as time has gone on I've reevaluated and I will definitely buy this set and be happy with the purchase. When you look through Lego ideas the vast amount of them are banking on being "really cool" MOCs, but MOCs that most people can create on their own if they really wanted to OR banking on pop-culture support for things like current TV shows(Dr. Who/Big Bang/Friends). This item is a great mesh point between unique MOC(I haven't seen many steamboats), pop-culturally relevant(Disney/Mickey Mouse), Historically relevant(First depiction of Mickey), and visually different(Black & White). I can see why people would prefer for other LEGO Ideas to be put into production, but I dont understand the hate for this being produced. This isnt a zero-sum game, you can support this Ideas set and others. Hating on this set doesnt improve your chances of getting "your" set.
I loved the ideas and execution of this set. Can't wait to see the finished product. Man, if I were a ideas designer, I would go into a pit of depression after reading some of these comments. Yikes!
Not on my buy list
Holy cow, that was quick. I guess it's because it's a small set? I wonder if this will be our smallest Ideas set yet...
Rumor says that it will be 751 pcs set. So I hope that final version is a huge redesign of Ideas entry. Or maybe rather - new design.
There are a lot of hardcore Disney fans out there. I wonder if that could boost sales enough for it not to matter how enthusiastic LEGO fans are about it.
As basic as the initial proposal might have been, I appreciate a project creator who is conscientious about not proposing something to supporters that LEGO would be unable to deliver at any reasonable cost. Some of the projects on there (licensed and non-licensed alike) can be a little ludicrously ambitious in terms of their size, use of recolors or retired molds, and number of new minifigures, and that inevitably puts LEGO in a tough spot trying to figure out how much of the project's support was contingent on features they can't possibly deliver at a price people will be willing to pay.
As much as the LEGO Ideas program's capability to produce larger sets has grown with stuff like the Saturn V, Old Fishing Store, and Voltron, people have to be willing to recognize that giving their set a bigger footprint than Assembly Square or Ninjago City Docks while maintaining a similar level of detail is just asking for trouble.
I think that teaser image itself would be cooler as a mosaic than the actual LEGO set will be.
The tag line from Lego is wrong this was the first sound cartoon with Mickey Mouse. The first appearance was Plane Crazy. Unless this is a really big tease and we end up with an airplane.
Really looking forward to seeing the (hopefully) much improved finished model! Regardless, I'm definitely getting this set.
@boneheadhh1, while that's technically true, the plane short and one other short (I forget the name) were test screenings and weren't actually released to the public. As such, Steamboat Willie is credited as the first Mickey cartoon and is what made his character famous.
I won't make any assumptions until we see LEGO's official design of the set.
@monkeyby87 It was shown to theater audiences just not picked up for general distribution so it was viewed by the public just not widespread
Yay! I love Disney so am looking forward to this!
Wow so much hate, personally I'm excited about this set but then again I love Disney. Though I will say if the price is ridiculusly high though the piece count is low I will be quite angered but I hope the set will be good.
@boneheadhh1, again this is technically true, but it was still a test showing, and it wasn't picked up by anyone for distribution. So Steamboat Willie is still considered the first cartoon with Mickey, and it was complete with sound.
No thanks. And I love everything else Disney.
It doesn't quite break the record for Ideas turnaround (yet), Lego Birds was 2 weeks 5 days between selection announcement and reveal/teaser, whereas this set was 3 weeks 4 days. Birds took 8 weeks 2 days from announcement to being on shelves so lets so if Steamboat Willie beats that record!
Just read that it's rumoured to be released (to VIPS) on 23 March so looks like it will break the record for quickest announcement to being in stores.
If they keep it small I will be very interested. Its small size made it appealing to me in the first place and is a big reason I voted for it.
This will sell because it comes with a sheep or a goat.
I would not be surprised if the set is large, even for 170 pieces. Most sets that are 170 pieces consist mostly of small parts like studs and 1x2 plates. This set is built mostly of larger blocks, which are bigger and more expensive. Even at only 170 pieces, this set could easily be the size of a typical 300-500 piece set, and come with a higher price tag as a result
I like this Ideas set. I grew up with Disney shorts. I was expecting B&W minifigures in a CMF series though. None the less, as some people posted here, this is a great novelty item to show on your desk.
Looking forward to seeing the actual finalized model, but if it's anything like the original idea, it's an easy pass for me :)
It all depends on the size and price of the set for me. I would love to have it as I just love animation and it would be a nice tribute, but I have very limited space and if it is too big I would have no place to have it ;///
There is a picture of the box out there, the set is not comparable to the original version any more.
My local lego store (Croatia) announced/teased this set couple of days ago. They said it has piece count of 582 and price tag of 100EUR. Do note that prices usually are about 5-10% higher that EU prices, but this is still an overpriced set how ever you put it. Yes, there is possibility they made wrong announcement, it wouldn't be first time.
It looks that it comes with moving functions! Probably there are wheels hidden in the hull, and when you push it forward paddle wheel is rotating, and funnels are going up and down.
I keep hearing rumours of a $90USD price tag, if that's the case LEGO has lost their mind. It's the size of the other $70 sets. $20 Disney tax would be outrageous.
Hey people, let's don't forget that the model which was on LEGO Ideas will be reworked.. ;)
I hate all this Disney 'culture' to sell all around the world !
their so much other models to sell …
Hey TLG, S T O P to sponsor Disney
@jen-brik, Disney sets are popular and sell pretty well for Lego. There's no reason to stop making sets based on Disney properties. Lego does have other themes and sets available that aren't Disney...
Plus, us fans voted to have this one made. Lego is making this because customers wanted it.
The finished model looks quite different from the submission (which was the first Ideas submission to be accepted that I felt was a weak build). The minifigs look great. I'm concerned with the price as well and this is before we hear anything official. I too saw the 23rd of March as the launch date.
My son is an avid fan of the mouse and I'd like a copy of this set for myself as well so I'm hoping the price is closer to $50 than $100.
@Captain Mutant:
There are a few critical criteria to making the jump from 10k to actual set. One of the biggest is you have to be able to secure the license, which in this case should fall under the same license that allowed them to do the Disney CMF line and the Disney Castle set. Second is the project has to fall in line with LEGO ideals, which seems like a non-issue given that they did have a compatible license in place already. This is size, where these kitchen-table-sized projects are sure to be rejected because they simply can't put out $1000 Ideas sets, but this is comparable in size to much of the Ideas lineup. And fourth is there has to be a designer on the Ideas team who is willing to step up and design the final model. Exo-Suit almost failed to launch for this very reason. There was no license needed, it fit quite nicely within the Classic Space theme without challenging LEGO values, it was small enough that they were able to expand the release version by adding one of Pete's turtles, but the project model was incredibly complex and fragile and would have never passed the Design Team approval stage. For Steamboat Willie, it was really just a matter of coming up with a design that would clear the approval process and work with their production schedule. It's entirely possible that even before that project hit the 10k mark there was someone on the Ideas team toiling away on a design, figuring it would be a shoe-in for the other criteria.
Plane Crazy was the first to be produced and previewed, Gallopin' Gauchos was second on both counts, but Steamboat Willie (third to be produced) was the first to get picked up by a distributor for wide release. The previous two were also previewed in silent form, but had sound recorded before they were officially released. Gallopin' Gauchos was second behind Steamboat Willie, and Plane Crazy actually ended up being fourth behind Barn Dance.
As for price, it's unlikely to be a $50 set. Just one paddle wheel clocks in at 44pcs, minimum, so the paddle wheel system is going to account for over 100ps or $10 of MSRP. The hull and smokestacks look beefier than the original project. The thing I'm most curious about, though, is the ban on creation of new molds. It looks like there are at least two parts that are going to be unique to this set. They're pretty distinctive, of very limited use, and unlikely to have been generated for another theme. And yet, there they are, as obvious as the hair on your head. They're also pretty critical to getting the look of the set right, which will be obvious once you realize what parts they are.
I remain cautiously optimistic. I reserve judgment until I see at least pictures of the actual set, but if it looks good I'd definitely want it.
@Purple Dave: I'm no Classic Space fan, but as someone who strongly prioritizes durability and ease of building over the use of flimsy or even dubious techniques in my MOCs, I'd love to read more about the development of the Exo-Suit! Do you know of any articles or resources? The instructions don't say much about the design process at all.
Everything you desired is here:
@Edemontes: Thanks, once again NE saves the day! :)


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How Do I Get Pregnant Fast
There is nothing powerful in this world to a woman than carrying her own baby. The feeling I am babbling about is when you touch and stroking those little chicks, how exiting to bathe that little baby boy. I still remember those months when I walked on the street watching other women holding their little babies. I used to crave to have my own.
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Wow, it has been a very long time since I posted on this series, hasn't it? If you would like a refresher, you can find the Root Chakra here and the Sacral Chakra here. Today,Continue reading
Category: Self Care
Deep Tissue Massage: Pain is Not Gain
For every request I get of "I want deep pressure, as deep as you can. If it hurts, all the better!" I get at least two of "Well, I want to work out theContinue reading
Caring for Your Sick Self
Last week my husband came down with a low-grade cold. Mainly a sore throat, headache, and an overall run-down feeling. As he seldom gets sick I didn't really think anything of it. He almostContinue reading
What Challenges You?
In December of 2016, I signed up for classes at a dojo 10 minutes away from me. Previously, the only martial arts experience I had was a couple weeks in my high school gym class.Continue reading
You Don't Have to if You Don't Want to
I have a history of saying "yes" just because I can't think of a good reason to say no. I may not particularly want to do it, but my schedule is free and IContinue reading
Welcome Spring!
We're well into the year now, and hopefully you've finally started writing 2018 whenever you date something. I've been busy the first quarter of the year, not only seeing my wonderful clients but alsoContinue reading
Chakra Series Part Three: The Sweetest Water
Now we come to the second Chakra. Known as Svadisthana Chakra in Sanskrit and the Sacral Chakra in English. Svadisthana means "sweetness" and its element is water. This Chakra is located in the lower abdomen andContinue reading
If It Doesn't Feel Good… Sometimes Do It Anyway
Over the past few months, I have been trading bi-weekly Pilates classes for massage with one of my colleagues. The private sessions on the Pilates Reformer machine have been helping me in multiple ways, includingContinue reading
Chakra Series Part Two: The Root of It All
With the Chakras, the best place to start is at the bottom and to work our way up. The Root Chakra, known as Muladhara Chakra in Sanskrit, is located at the base of the spine aroundContinue reading
Part One: An Introduction to the Chakras
The word chakra means "wheel" in Sanskrit. Ancient Indian philosophers used the term to describe the spinning vortexes of energy found within the body. The idea of this energy system is over 4,000 years oldContinue reading


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Hi, Will i be able to connect a HDMI cable from the ASRock Z77 Extreme4 Motherboard to my Onkyo receiver for sound while at the same time have video via a Display port connected from my GTX 670 to the Samsung S27A950D Monitor for video?
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Nulo - Dog Trainers, Duck
Nulo - Dog Trainers, Duck
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Gill Wing Jewellery
exhibition dates: Oct 4- Nov 6
182 Upper Street,
London, N1 1RQ,
United Kingdom
Gill Wing Jewellery
exhibition dates: Oct 4- Nov 6
182 Upper Street,
London, N1 1RQ,
United Kingdom
So excited to share a collection of vitreous enameled earrings in this show!
The Smithery 1306 Grandview Avenue Columbus Ohio 43212 United States
The Smithery is an independent, women-owned, working jewelry studio and artist-made shop founded in 2014 by metalsmiths Anne Holman and Jen Townsend.
So honored to have a piece in this great book; thank you to Hoss Haley for including my automaton as one of your juror's picks!
Coming up soon!
It's an honor for me to share 3 pieces in this wide-ranging show, taking place in the state where I grew up : my East of Hercules bracelet, Mysterium ring and Talisman box. A catalogue of this exhibition can be purchased here:
A visit to France was a trip my husband and I had intended to do for years now, as we have close friends in Anglet. With the arrival of 3 of my automata to Robert Mazlo's extraordinary Paris gallery for the exhibition le genie des images, curated by the passionate and thoughtful Celine Robin, my husband decided that now was the perfect time. I highly recommend a visit to this gallery if you are ever in Paris, as it encourages an opening of vision and an exposure to carefully curated wearable art jewelry.
Here is the printed leaflet for the exhibition:
Organized by gallery LA Joaillerie par Mazlo and ARKETIP association, le génie des images brings together the works of contemporary art jewelers and the protean universe of artist Coco Fronsac. All of them do share a common practice of assemblage to support their essentially figurative and narrative artistic approach. In this respect, they place the use of photographs or elements borrowed from ancient imagery at the center of their experiments.
Curated by Celine Robin
artist list:
Zoe Arnold, Anne Dinan, Coco Fronsac, Carla Garcia Durlan, Robin Kranitzky, Claire Lavendhomme, Natalia Lubienecka, Peter Machata, Jana Machatova, Iris Nieuwenburg, Kimberly Nogueira, Kim Overstreet, Barbara Paganin, Ramon Puig Cuyas, Katherine Richmond, Chiara Scarpitti, Bettina Speckner, Fatima Tocornal, Silvia Walz
In Japan, there is a love of the characteristic aesthetic beauty of small objects. Within this area is the mame-sara: a bean-plate that fits snugly into the palm of one's hand. For Japanese people, this charming small dish is an art form that can be appreciated and enjoyed using in daily life. In the mame-sara there exists an artform which expresses the magnificence of the world. The Ima-kara Mame-sara metalworks exhibition is an opportunity to touch upon the worlds of the artists involved in the creation of the metal mame-sara.
At Seikado, we invite both young artists studying metalwork and professionals actively engaged at the forefront of the field, regardless of nationality, status, achievements, and technique, to exhibit their work under one roof in the Ima-kara Mame-sara metalworks exhibition (running annually from 2012). Furthermore, it is hoped that the experience will deepen connections with society and be beneficial to those with aspirations of making a living as artists through the sale and valuation of their work.
The 9th annual 10x10x10xTieton juried exhibition invites artists from all over the world to create work no larger than 10 inches in any dimension, no media restrictions. The result? A wide-ranging exhibition that includes sculpture, painting, photography, book art, 3D printed objects, found objects, collage, jewelry, and everything in between.
Jurors Sean Elwood, former Director of Programs & Initiatives at the Creative Capital Foundation in New York, and Monica Miller, Executive Director of Gallery One Visual Arts Center in Ellensburg, looked at 914 total submissions. Paring down to just 167 pieces for the show was not an easy process for the jurors, "as there were inevitably some very good things not included," says Sean. "It's a subjective process. But despite the challenges, picking a show like this can be extremely rewarding. I looked for artworks that were well realized, that embodied beauty and/or intelligence, that were distinctly of this time or embodied a sense of timelessness."
This beautiful wild bird was my teacher for almost a month, coming to me at death's door, inviting me to remember a long-forgotten language buried deep within my body. He flew across the entire room for the first time on the day of the eclipse, showing me that he was ready to go back to the shore and sea. After releasing him, I became a student of the wind so I would always be able to feel and hear the healing of his wings.
Exhibition times at the Urban Institute for Contemporary Art in Grand Rapids MI for the show Here + Now, where three of my brooches are part of Janet Bond's Abandoned Margins exhibition, have been extended until May 14, so there is still time to see this extensive collection.
From the exhibition website:
"Here + Now, a series of solo exhibitions, performances and community events curated by UICA Exhibitions Curator, Heather Duffy, extends the opportunity presented by US IS THEM to emerging and mid-career African American visual artists, spoken word artists, curators, and performance artists. Here + Now includes newly created solo shows and a guest-curated group exhibition, as well as community events and educational programs.
Guest Curator, Janice Bond
Abandoned Margins: Policing the Black Female Body
Jan 27, 2017 – May 14, 2017
Janice Bond is a curator, interdisciplinary artist, and cultural producer specializing in arts and culture. As a visual/multimedia artist, her original paintings, installations, and collective soundscapes focus on multidimensional human perspectives and identity, sacred geometry, sound frequencies, and indigenous fractal patterns found in various cultures and urban landscapes. In 2014, Bond opened Gallery ONI, a contemporary art gallery and cultural space located in Chicago, Illinois dedicated to promoting the work of women artists of color. As featured guest curator for Here + Now, Bond will present a new iteration of Abandoned Margins: Policing the Black Female Body, which debuted at Chicago's Woman Made Gallery in early 2016."
My work won third place in this dynamic exhibiton :)
See the exhibition finalists here:


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A new book, Billy's Bruny Island Garden/
Starting to piece together the storyboard for a local story about Billy and his experience setting up a garden on Bruny Island. Billy gets so much pleasure from being outdoors and establishing his vegetable garden amongst the wallabies, bandicoots and quolls. This will be published by Bruny visitor Neil Wherret. A big chance for me to draw realistic characters with Billy being 8 years old. Book designer is Julie Hawkins who loves children's books too!
Following the work of Quentin Blake means I just had to buy 'How Tom Beat Captain Najork and His Hired Sportsmen'. Wonderful! and the Quentin Blake biography, 'In the Theatre of the Imagination - an Artist at Work' is a delight. When he is tackled about the fact he is rather quiet and unassuming he states, 'all the Wow goes into my drawings' How true.


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LINGAYEN, June 2, 2013 – How can Kids for Christ become good examples? KFC International Coordinator Nic Escalona said every kid can remember how—through a boogie.
KFC full time worker Gretchen Yaoyao taught the kids the dance called the 10-commandment Boogie, which every kid should remember and follow.
The 10-Commandment Boogie:
1 - No other God but the One who is true.
2 - Don't worship any other God.
3 - Use the name of God only with respect.
"We make God our number 1," Nic said through the commandments 1 to 3. He reminded kids to pray first thing in the morning, before sleeping and before eating. We could also pray after to thank God for the food we have received.
4 - On Sunday, rest.
"May mga pamilya kahit sa CFC na hindi na sabay-sabay magsimba (There are families, even in CFC, that don't go to mass together anymore)," Kuya Nic said, reminding everyone how important the family Mass is.
5 - Listen to your mom and dad 'cause what they say you gotta do.
"Kailangan makinig sa ating magulang. Ang sabi ni God 'pag nakinig ka sa mga magulang mo, makakarating ka sa heaven (We need to listen to our parents. God said, if you obey your parents, you will go to heaven)," Nic explained to the kids.
6 - Don't ever take somebody's life.
Nic reminded that this commandment is about treating others well, especially through our words. "Kung walang masabing mabuti, wag nalang magsalita, (If you don't have anything good to say, better not to say anything," he explained.
7 - Feels like heaven, but only with your husband or wife.
Kuya Nic said, twenty years from now, the kids could get married too just like their parents. But even now, we value being faithful in marriage. "Sasabihin niyo sa parents n`yo (Tell your parents) later, thank you for being faithful," he said.
8 - Is great with number 9 don't steal from others and don't ever lie.
Nic cautioned kids that they should not steal money, even if it's just a small amount and even if they want some ice cream!
10 - and if your friends has something that you think is cool don't ever wish that it was yours and that's the final rule.


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Planning / Sketches / Hand Drawings / Preliminary Design
Most often, a simple pen and a sheet of paper are our tools of choice in creating our initial designs. Believing that almost nothing compares to a well-done, hand-drawn sketch, Reinhard uses this efficient technique as a conduit for transforming his ideas into a first representation of the client's wishes and notions.
Photoshop / Sketch-up / 3D & Animation / Media & Show
When a realistic view is required, we are able to manipulate and merge the present-day image with the design ideas. For the projects that necessitate extremely detailed planning from the onset, we utilize specialized graphic programs. Handmade models of Styrofoam or clay work very well in bringing design concepts to life and even creating animation or movie clips is appropriate in some instances to provide our client a realistic preview of his ideas.
Master Plan / Conceptual Design / Management Support / Idea Development
In order for a large-scale project to be successful, it must evolve with a focus on every detail. Aside from the natural expectations of beauty, the aspects of practicality, cost efficiency, ease of maintenance and ecological sustainability must also be taken into account.
Thus, the correct questions are asked and the responses executed with a sense not only of the customer's needs, but also those of the end-user, such as visitors or tenants.
This interpretation is vital and best brought into reality through our early involvement in the conceptual process.
Auto Cad / Execution Design / Detail Drawings / Design Development
Once the client has approved the conceptual designs, they are translated into technical drawings that can be followed precisely by a contractor. The transition from hand drawings to digital versions is done through the use of 'Auto CAD' programs, which are widely used among surveyors and technicians. Objective data is easily applied using the computer, whereas more artistic and subjective touches such as the shapes of natural landscapes, aquascapes, desertscapes or rockscapes as well as certain planting arrangements should always be sketched in by hand and carefully supervised during execution.
Bill of Quantities / Quotations / Estimates / Tendering
An important aspect of our project management is in ensuring that our client receives the most value for his investment in terms of materials, workmanship and the end product. Our support includes the preparation of a scope of work, list of deliverables or BoQ (Bill of Quantity), the evaluation of all tenders and assistance with selecting supplies prior to sign-off.
Review / Documentation / Report / Advise
At many points throughout the phases of design and execution, it is imperative to connect with the client. This may be during the initial interview through an exchange of ideas, with the continual re-assessment of an existing project or even by providing a review of an independent design. Comprehensive documentation is an essential tool in maintaining consistency, ensuring transparency and establishing accountability.
Supervision / Project Coordination / Checking & Testing / Handing Over
Consistent surveillance of the project from creation to realization is a guarantee that your landscape design will be executed and maintained as specified. Along with site supervision, we can coordinate all aspects of the project in terms of timing, works-pace and materials and ensure that the craftsmanship on all levels meets our approval.
When nearing completion, we can assist in checking and testing as well as commissioning and handing over.
Construction / Building / Maintenance / Gardening
Reinhard and his team have been formally trained as landscape gardeners and are therefore fully capable of hands-on work such as paving, fence construction, and structural works like stairs and walls. The ability to collaborate with, supervise and mentor collateral workers as required is an important factor in ensuring the quality of the project. As well, participating in practical garden work and maintenance is essential in order to avoid the analogy of an 'ivory tower' in regard to design.
Fact Finding / Research / Analysis / Diagnosis / Internet Research
Every project bears new challenges. We continuously strive to expand our knowledge by browsing through technical literature, researching the market or conducting other fact finding missions. In this internet-era, a lot of information is delivered right to our doorstep, but when needed, we also go out in the field and analyze the facts in the traditional way.
Teaching / Training / Education / Events
We offer a wide range of mentoring solutions which include workshops, instructional sessions or schedules and manuals for maintenance. Where appropriate, we offer educational internships or travel events to young people in a variety of settings. These can be combined with participating in charitable projects. In kindergartens and schools we co-ordinate and conduct 'do-it-yourself' workshops for kids, parents and teachers, which allow a wonderful hands-on experience. All events are managed by us with skill, experience and determination.
Preparation / Travel / Arrangements / Site & Equipment Setup
"If you fail to prepare you prepare to fail."
Our preparatory arrangements form the foundation of every project we undertake, and we provide a complete and chronological accounting of all time spent on your behalf.


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Let's Talk Forwards
Lionel Messi. Cristiano Ronaldo. Neither of them are available? Fine, let's take a look at the next best options.
We've finally hit a purple patch, and have found a gear in which we play very comfortably. We're watching a different Chelsea to what we're used to seeing. And it's working. What we are missing though, is a big name centre-forward. Someone who can finish off our beautiful midfield moves. Someone who pushes us onto a level playing field with Manchester United, Manchester City, Real Madrid, Barcelona e.t.c. It seems the issue will be resolved with chief-executive, Ron Gourlay, confirming that we'll be bringing in 2-3 new players in the summer. So let's take a look at the kind of players our new striker will be around.
Eden Hazard has found exceptional form since "kicking" the Ball-'Man'. He's very effective cutting in from that left side, and I've personally likened his play to Cristiano Ronaldo's, when he played for Manchester United. He's going from strength to strength, and he's a centre-forward's dream to play with.
Then we have Juan Mata. Let alone Chelsea fans, I'm sure most football fans would have endless amount of praise for the little man. He's so comfortable interchanging with Hazard and either Oscar or Moses on the right, and it's best we keep it that way. His vision is exquisite, however I do think he could work on releasing the ball quicker.
Super Victor Moses. He has it all – Pace, change of pace, skill, great delivery, great shot – And overall, he provides a rawness which doesn't exist amongst our technically gifted players, who prefer playing the perfect way.
Marko Marin is a player I believe will need till next season to prove his worth, and it's no coincidence that he was scouted by several top clubs over of the past two years. His best position is on the left-wing, however, he'd work best in a 4-3-3 formation, as he likes to glide between the right-back and centre-back, with the ball.
I don't want to get into what Oscar provides us in the front 3, as I strongly believe he's built for the midfield role. His quick feet, change of pace and the way he dictates a game is most effective when he's in the central/attacking midfield role. We've seen this regularly when he plays for Brazil. He also makes the odd contribution in the front 3.
One thing in common among these guys is that they love providing, and working for the team. They're a centre-forward's dream to work with, and bringing in a top centre-forward will only enhance the high-level of football players like Hazard and Mata are currently displaying.
Before I go through them, I'd like to say my preferred centre-forward team for next season would be Radamel Falcao, Demba Ba and possibly Romelu Lukaku. Reasons listed below.
Centre forwards, let's go through them:
Radamel Falcao
I can confirm he's the one the board want. All £38m of him. Many see him as the perfect centre-forward. What he lacks in height he makes up for with a spectacular jump, he can be raw, he can be technical, he's quick, sniffs out defensive frailties, and to me, he is the perfect centre-forward. Without a shadow of a doubt, he will fill the hole Drogba left when he made his Stamford Bridge exit. He has 'class' stamped all over him, is a liked person off the field, and he's a nightmare for oppositions on the field. I can see him working very well with our attacking midfielders, and expect him to be a Chelsea player come Summer.
Edinson Cavani
He's always been the type of centre-forward you don't want your team's defence to face. Cavani's an absolute nuisance and extremely difficult to deal with. My only problem with Cavani is that against top defences, he does tend to look a bit ordinary, which was the case at the Olympics, and on a few occasions last year. He also can be a pretty frustrating player at times, he's not the best at passing around, and tends to switch off. That aside, he is a great centre-forward, one of the best on his day, but knowing how we play, I'd rather we went for Falcao, in all honesty, who would give us that bit of inspiration knowing he can create something from nothing. I also believe he's Real Madrid or Manchester City bound, as both clubs are lacking a number in the centre-forward department, and given that every rumour circulating about Falcao is pointing in Chelsea's direction, I'd definitely have my money on Cavani being a Real or City player in the Summer.
He's interesting, Neymar. We know what he's capable of as a winger, but he has played as a centre-forward a few times for Santos and for Brazil, and I can tell you, he's brilliant. He's not the strongest but he makes up for that with excellent vision, pace and extraordinary skill. I feel out of the 3, Neymar would suit our attacking players, like Hazard and Mata, the most. We've become a passing team, and this is something Neymar would absolutely love being a part of, being the centre of all our midfield moves. The problem with Neymar, though, is that he has some sort of agreement with Sandro Rossell, Barcelona official. However, should a move fall through, Chelsea directors should pounce at the opportunity of bringing in a player like Neymar. It's hard to accept how much of a difference he'd be to us now, but from what I've seen of him, he'd be the perfect 'nueve falso' or 'false 9' in that formation.
What We Have:
Romelu Lukaku
Yes, every Chelsea fan has seen what he's capable of. He's got great feet, pace and a great eye for goal. He's a player that has a lot in his locker, and it just so happens that his mother fed him the right stuff, because his physique for a 19 year old is scary. Built like a tank, he came to Chelsea a bulky, good bulky, teen hungry for opportunities to play for the club he supported as a kid. Ever since he was at Anderlecht, he's been compared to the great Didier Drogba. However, the only similarity between them is strength. Immaculate strength. Other than that, he's hardly like Drogba. He's a pure centre-forward, while Drogba is a pure, raw opportunist. Drogba would hit it at first sight, while Lukaku likes holding the ball at his feet and passing it around before powering his way through a defence.
At 19, he still has a lot to learn, and it's a tough call whether to bring him in next season or the season after. Personal opinion, I feel a kid with the amount of talent he possesses needs regular football, and bringing in another CF in the summer will simply not give him that. It looks as though the board want to bring him back, based on what Steve Clarke said last weekend. Either way, we have a fantastic striker signed to Chelsea, and he definitely has a bright future ahead of him.
Fernando Torres
His career at Chelsea can be summed up in one word – Hope. We've hoped to see the Torres that we were used to seeing before he signed for Chelsea, we hoped he'd score more goals, we hoped he'd enjoy a great time at Chelsea, and the exact same goes for him. It just simply hasn't worked out. Rumoured to be on £170,000 a week, I feel Torres has run out of fuel, and needs to be re-fuelled back in Spain. Whether a loan deal to Atletico would be enough to convince them to lower Falcao's price, who knows. Maybe a permanent deal will be the best for all concerned, but one thing's for sure, Torres can't go on like this. Like Shevchenko, it was only by chance, and the fact that he had Drogba to battle against, that things haven't worked out. It's always nice to see him score, when he does, and it's obviously because we put so much hope and faith in him that we get repaid very slowly but in large amounts. He's one of the best centre-forwards this league has seen, and while it is a shame things haven't gone to plan, he can hold his head high and boast proudly about his achievements in English, European and International football.
Demba Ba
Essential. We desperately needed a centre-forward like Ba, one that is effective, not quite world-class, but good enough to handle most defences in the league. I'll make this short and sweet, the guy is an integral part of our squad, and he's the sort of player you would want either starting or coming off the bench as an impact sub or as a player that will hold the ball to hold on to a lead.
Islam Feruz
Wonderful player, still young and he does need a few seasons out on loan. He needs to play higher quality football for regular amounts of time, and in the end, I think he'll come through shining from nowhere. I personally have big hopes for this kid and I believe he'll be good enough to break into Chelsea's first team someday, very soon.
So I've listed what centre-forward team I'd like at Chelsea, and there are several other young prospects I've left to talk about in another article, but I want to know if you think there are better options in that position, and more importantly, why you think they'd suit us better.
Leave your comments below or @DrogBOSS
~ Brian Clough – "I wouldn't say I'm the best manager, but I'm in the top one." ~


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AWS provides secure scalable services to build, test, and monitor mobile apps.
AWS Mobile Hub is an entry-level platform that lets you easily add and configure backend features for apps, including user authentication, storage, APIs, serverless logic, notifications, and analytics. It automatically provisions the AWS services that power these features, and generates working apps for iOS and Android that use your provisioned services.
You can then test on the same devices your customers use and run tests across a large selection of physical devices. Unlike emulators, physical devices provide a more accurate understanding of how users interact with your app by taking into account factors such as memory, CPU usage, location, and modifications done by manufactures and carriers to the firmware and software.
In this session, we will will walk you through feature selection, configuration, and provisioning the AWS services to demonstrate how to create and operate a mobile app that runs on AWS. We'll generate a working app for iOS and Android that uses AWS to provide a secure scalable serverless backend.


text: I had my mother print out and give my coloring pages to Piper. At first she thought they were mean because I love to tease her, but she really likes attention so she came around. She asked why I only gave her a few pages and not a whole book. I'm definitely going to continue my project and keep drawing Piper's stories.


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Fully furnished apartment in Dasma, Kuwait – 2 master bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, living room, small open plan kitchen with large dining area.
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