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Not every shop has the ability to work on all of the different Volvo models, but you can count on Nerger's Auto Express's auto mechanics to care for whichever one you drive. Our team of highly-trained technicians has worked on many Volvo models like the S60, S80, V60, XC60, XC70, XC90, C30, C70 and more!
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The reboot of Patrick McGoohan's celebrated psy-fi series closed shop last night on AMC. But will it live on as long as its original copy? I pondered The Prisoner's lasting legacy for Wired.
Patrick McGoohan's stunning spy-fi series The Prisoner only lasted 17 episodes before sadly disappearing in 1969. But its revolutionary mix of geopolitics, sci-fi and psychedelia has influenced not just television, but also music, comics, film and more.
It even made a deep impression on the most influential band of all time.
"Before Magical Mystery Tour, the Beatles were going to do another full movie like Help, and it was all going to be based on The Prisoner," Dhani Harrison, son of Beatles guitarist George Harrison, told Wired.com in October, before his own Prisoner-inspired band thenewno2 kicked off its inaugural North American tour. "They were going to be in a movie written and directed by Patrick McGoohan in the same vein as The Prisoner, because they thought it was one of the best series ever. They were so into his psychedelic weirdness."
Unfortunately, the Beatles project ultimately fell through. But not before McGoohan inspired the Fab Four to do something that they never did again. "What came of it was the [Prisoner] episode 'Fall Out' featuring 'All You Need Is Love,'" Harrison said. It was the only time a Beatles song was licensed to a TV show.
The aborted Beatles collaboration was just one strand of The Prisoner's sonic reach. Shortly after it appeared, the classic series encouraged Roy Harper's 18-minute epic "McGoohan's Blues." The show has also been mashed quite brilliantly with The Rolling Stones' "2000 Light Years From Home," which Mick Jagger reportedly wrote while in prison.
Meanwhile, the new six-episode The Prisoner miniseries, which airs Sunday through Tuesday on AMC, samples the Beach Boys' 1966 single "I Know There's an Answer" for its finale. That Pet Sounds song's cryptic lyrics — "I know so many people who think they can do it alone; They isolate their heads and stay in their safety zones" — mind-meld perfectly with The Prisoner's analysis of power and paranoia.
McGoohan's show has deeply influenced contemporary music as well. Artists as different as XTC, Luke Vibert, The Clash, Supergrass and more have borrowed its themes and iconography to make their musical cases. Legendary metal band Iron Maiden even obtained McGoohan's permission to sample the show for its The Number of the Beast anthem "The Prisoner," a healthy bit of fandom that was continued when it recorded the banger "Back in the Village" for Powerslave.
The '60s TV series made an impression on other metalheads as well.
"I loved The Prisoner when I was a kid," said Corey Taylor, vocalist for shock-rock group Slipknot, whose members, like the human experiments trapped in McGoohan's spy-fi series, are known not by their names but their numbers. "Patrick McGoohan was a badass. He was like Richard Burton without the messy delivery."
The late, great McGoohan, who died in January, possessed a singular delivery, shot through with impassioned enunciation that puts most of today's actors to shame. His character, Number Six, offered many opportunities for McGoohan to show it off; in fact, each episode began with his legendary battle cry shouted at the top of his powerful lungs: "I am not a number, I am a free man!"
The new Number Six, Jim Caviezel, is a much more understated thespian in AMC's Prisoner reboot. And while he initially learned of McGoohan's gravitational pull from another all-star fan, Mel Gibson, Caviezel's Prisoner co-star Sir Ian McKellen is well-versed in the series' multitalented creator.
"He was a charismatic actor," McKellen told me. "With Patrick, it was all on his face."
McGoohan was also a determined idealist, who abhorred the creep of mass-marketing and surveillance technology so resolutely dissected in The Prisoner. His popular spy series Danger Man found him early success, yet he would turn down the plum role of James Bond after Ian Fleming's franchise caught fire in the early '60s. McGoohan disliked Bond's misogyny, and openly mocked the theatrics and violence of popular espionage, preferring instead to survive by his wits and creativity during Danger Man's run, which in the mid-'60s made him one of Britain's highest-paid actors.
Rather than wear out his secret agent welcome, McGoohan went metafictional, resigning from the show to go on holiday, in the form of a show about a secret agent who resigns to go on holiday, but is instead imprisoned in a panopticon disguised as a resort. That narrative innovation helped set the standard for the hyper-real television of today, and set about influencing the next generation of filmmakers, writers and thinkers.
"McGoohan was one of the great heroes of my childhood and adolescence, as well as a continuing influence, via The Prisoner, on all of my thinking," brainiac comics writer Grant Morrison told Wired.com in March. "The Prisoner was probably the first example I ever encountered of the ergodic storytelling method I've aspired to perfect ever since."
Ergodic storytelling's narrative and visual hypertexting, which has revolutionized new media, is what helped The Prisoner stand out from the sci-fi of its time, which included Star Trek. It commanded a devotion to study the show not as passive entertainment, but as nontrivial programming to be decoded.
From its subversive mind-wiping to the knotted allegory of "Fall Out," where Number One is perhaps unmasked as yet another cerebral phantom, The Prisoner presaged recent sci-fi standouts as different as The Matrix and Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind.
Those films arguably would not be the same without The Prisoner's influence. According to AMC's timeline of the show's pop-culture impact, neither would David Lynch and Mark Frost's Twin Peaks, J.J. Abrams' Alias and Lost, the remake of Battlestar Galactica and many more. The same goes for comics: All-stars like Alan Moore, Jack Kirby and others have joined Morrison in inserting The Prisoner's spirit into their respective works like Watchmen, The Fantastic Four and The Invisibles.
Yet for all its brains, McGoohan's Prisoner also had plenty of humor, which is amazing considering the social and political tumult of its time — the height of the confused, conflicted Cold War.
"What I liked about the original was its style," McKellen said. "It was witty, it had its tongue in its cheek. There was a lot of black comedy in it. And that curious location" — Portmeirion, Wales — "fitted with the oddity of the stories."
The 2009 remake, rebooted during a more self-referential age, has no comparative style or humor to speak of. Which perhaps says more about our self-importance than it does about our true terrors. Given the technological and sociopolitical strides of the four decades since McGoohan's series ended, you'd think we'd be in a much better mood. But you'd be wrong, and McGoohan knew it before most: After pointing the guilty finger back at his viewers in the controversial finale "Fall Out," he was summarily hounded out of England and became a relative hermit in California, venturing out only sporadically to appear on television and in film (including David Cronenberg's brilliant Scanners). McGoohan raged against the machine the entire way.
This insurmountable rebellion against commodification is what helped both McGoohan and his visionary series make cultural history. And while rebellion and dissent has been since commodified itself, the actor's impassioned protestations still find sympathetic creative minds.
"I only knew him from the TV screen, where Number Six can never die," Morrison said. "His influence lives on as long as light spreads."
This article appeared at WIRED

subset: commoncrawl


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Mixers are an excellent way to build your business network by meeting other Chamber members, making valuable connections, and learning more about the New Braunfels business community. These events are held exclusively for Chamber members. Not only is it a great networking opportunity but it's a lot of fun! Each mixer offers food, beverages, door prizes, a cash drawing, and more. Be sure to bring your membership card for the registration table and plenty of business cards to hand out to your new contacts.
401 Main Plaza
New Braunfels, TX 78130


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Back Pain
Social Security Disability claims based on back pain
Social Security receives more disability claims based on back pain than any other condition. People with back pain find their situations among the most challenging to prove and win.
Frequently, "objective medical findings" may not fully support a patient's reported experience of pain and movement limitations. Winning Social Security disability claims based on back pain can be tricky. Evidence from multiple sources is key.
In cases of disability based on back problems, there is sometimes clear evidence – such as a CT scan of a ruptured disk. In other situations, surgery has failed to improve the condition. A case may also fall into the category of "other vertebrogenic disorders," in the words of the regulation. In either scenario, in order to win disability based on back pain, a claimant's records must show:
Pain, muscle spasm, and significant limitation of motion in spine, and
Documented pain distribution and significant motor loss with muscle weakness, sensory and reflex loss.
These factors must have persisted for at least three months despite prescribed therapy, and last or be expected to last at least 12 months.
Social Security wants your pain symptoms to be supported by "objective" findings of physical abnormalities. Findings can be supplied by x-rays, CT scans, MRI's, lumbar myelograms or bone scans. Nerve conduction studies may be helpful. Keep in mind that soft tissue damage such as a bulging disc or muscle damage will not show up in an x-ray.
Depression is a common component of back pain syndromes, and this should be documented and considered. Also important: are side effects of pain medications like drowsiness, confusion, lethargy.
Ideally, a treating physician will supply medical records or a report that describes these elements in detail, along with:
Any surgical operative and discharge notes
The character, location, and radiation of the patient's pain
Activities that increase or relieve pain
Prescribed treatment, including frequency of medication
The patient's typical daily activities
Description of problems with gait, limitation of movement of the spine, and any numbness or muscle spasm. Medical reports must be based on objective observations during the patient's examination, not simply from patient's statements.
You may have pain, muscle spasms, and limitation of motion preventing performance of past work. Social Security applies a complex set of guidelines to these cases, evaluating other work for which you may be suited. This is done by taking into consideration age.
Further Resources:
Spine-Health – Site has detailed information about a huge variety of causes and types of back pain.
American College of Rheumatology – Provides education, treatment and research in a comprehensive website.
Disability Evaluation Under Social Security – SSA's listings for back pain.


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Six questions and six answers this week. Remember to use the Submit A Tip in the sidebar to send us whatever, whenever.
Several people asked: What about Jeff Niemann?
Niemann, 30, elected free agency earlier this week after the Rays outrighted him off their 40-man roster. He did not pitch at all this year and has been limited to one game since May 2012 due to a series of shoulder problems, most notably surgery to repair damage to his labrum and rotator cuff. Niemann's had a lot of injury problems over the years, most dealing with his shoulder. That's always scary.
Before the injury, the 6-foot-9, 285 lb. right-hander managed a 3.08 ERA (3.09 FIP) in 38 innings last season. He put up a 4.06 ERA (4.13 FIP) in 135.1 innings in 2011 while missing time with a back problem. Niemann never lived up to hype associated with being the fourth overall pick in the country (2004), but he was a rock solid mid-rotation guy who showed steady improvement — particularly when it came to getting strikeouts and ground balls — before this last round of injury problems.
Niemann had his surgery in April and it came with a 9-12 month recovery time. He recently told Bill Chastain that things are going well but a second half return is the most likely scenario while adding that he might not sign until he can get back on a mound and clubs can see him throw. I definitely have interest in Niemann since he's reasonably young and has AL East/pennant race experience, but obviously the medicals need to check out. If he's willing to take a minor league contract, absolutely. Go for it. If he wants something guaranteed right away … eh, that might be pushing it. Some team could cave and given him that 40-man spot, I suppose.
Dustin asks: Two recently DFA'd players to pick up on waivers if they fall to the Yanks: Tony Sipp and Felipe Paulino. Thoughts?
The 30-year-old Sipp was taken off the roster by the Diamondbacks earlier this week and he has the right to elect free agency, but he hasn't done so yet. He pitched to a 4.78 ERA (4.88 FIP) in 37.2 innings in 2013 overall but we're talking about a lefty specialist, overall numbers don't tell the whole story. Sipp was hit hard by same-side hitters this past season (.378 wOBA and 6.05 FIP) but was much more effective from 2011-2012 (.288 wOBA and 4.16 FIP). If he wants to take a minor league deal and compete for a bullpen spot with Cesar Cabral and David Huff in camp, sure.
Paulino, 30, is in the same boat as Niemann. He already elected free agency but hasn't pitched since June 2012 due to Tommy John and shoulder surgery, the latter of which is expected to sideline him until the second half of next year. Before that he was showing steady improvement, with a 1.67 ERA (3.25 FIP) in 37.2 innings in 2012 and a 4.46 ERA (3.69 FIP) in 139.1 innings in 2011. Niemann has a longer track record of success but I think these two are in the same exact situation. If the medicals check out and Paulino is willing to take a minor league contract, then let's do it. If he wants something guaranteed, let someone else give him the 40-man spot.
Travis asks: Would a swap of Dellin Betances and Conor Gillaspie of the White Sox make sense for both sides? They love their large-framed pitchers and the Yankees have a need for a left-handed 3B/1B.
I think that's fair value. Both Betances and Gillespie are former top prospects who are out of minor league options and have yet to really establish themselves at the big league level. The 26-year-old Gillaspie did play fairly regularly for the ChiSox this past season, hitting .245/.305/.390 (85 wRC+) with 13 homers in 452 plate appearances. His defense at the hot corner was a tick below-average. The Yankees would be banking on Yankee Stadium's short right field porch boosting his numbers. I do think that trade makes sense for both teams and it's worth noting the White Sox have shown interest in Betances before. Do they still like him? That's the question.
Dave asks: Let's say A-Rod gets suspended for all of 2014 and prior to the 2015 season, the Yankees buyout his remaining contract in a single $61M lump sum. How does that amount affect the luxury tax?
From what I have read, the Collective Bargaining Agreement does not address buyouts for a situation like this. I think it would be treated as a new contract, however. Essentially a one-year, $61M contract. If that's the case, I think the Yankees would simply release him and pay the $61M over the next three years instead. I think a more likely buyout scenario is paying that $61M over six years (with interest) instead of three, doubling the term. The luxury tax hit would be recalculated in that situation but it's not as simple as average annual value because the Yankees have already paid some amount of tax on that contract. The tax hit would be lowered, I'm just not sure how much. The most important thing to remember is A-Rod has no reason to take a penny less than what's owed to him, it's extremely unlikely he'll agree to a buyout that makes all or part of that $61M disappear. He'll make the Yankees release him before agreeing to take less money. That's what I would do.
Nick asks: Nick Cafardo recently reported that Grady Sizemore was getting a lot of attention and that he should be ready for Spring Training. Now I know he shouldn't be counted on for anything but don't you think he'd be a good buy low candidate?
Did you know that Sizemore is 31 years old already? He's not all that young anymore. That really snuck up on me. He hasn't played in a game since September 2011 and when he did play, he kinda stunk (94 wRC+ in 2011, 81 wRC+ from 2010-2011). His list of injuries is so very long — left elbow inflammation and debridement (2009), sports hernia (2009), left knee microfracture surgery (2010), another sports hernia (2011), arthroscopic right knee surgery (2011), lower back surgery (2012), right knee microfracture surgery (2012) — that he's basically the Eric Chavez of outfielders. If Sizemore is cool with taking a minor league deal and showing what he can do in Spring Training, by all means, bring him in. Maybe he has a 2012 Chavez year in him. My expectations are zero though.
Niq asks: Can you remind me what happens if the Yankees sign multiple free agents who received and turned down qualifying offers? Do they lose multiple picks? If not, doesn't that make it easier to sign multiple top free agents? Thanks.
Oh yes, you will absolutely lose multiple picks for signing multiple qualified free agents. Under the current Collective Bargaining Agreement, teams can forfeit the picks they receive as compensation for losing their own qualified free agents as well. It didn't used to work like that. So if the Yankees get a supplemental first round pick for Curtis Granderson signing elsewhere but sign two qualified free agents, they would lose their first rounder and the compensation pick for Granderson. If it's feasible, I think you're better off doing all your shopping in one offseason and losing two or three picks at once (like the Yankees did during the 2008-2009 offseason) than signing one big free agent each winter and forfeiting your first rounder every summer.


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Schedule Your GI Procedure Before Year-End for Savings
Elective GI procedures could be much more affordable if you schedule them at the end of the year after you have met your deductible. Your annual healthcare deductible is the amount you must pay out-of-pocket each year for covered medical procedures before your insurance will begin paying. Most deductibles reset on January 1 each year, so this is the time to evaluate whether you should schedule that GI procedure or wait until next year.
You may think you do not have time to call your insurance company about your deductible, but a few minutes of research could save you thousands of dollars, particularly if you have a high-deductible health plan (HDHP) or a Flexible Spending Account (FSA).
Here are four scenarios you may be facing as you approach the end of the year:
You have already met your deductible, or you are close to meeting it.
You should consider scheduling that upper endoscopy or other diagnostic test as soon as possible. If you have already met your deductible, you will pay less now than if you wait until next year. If you are approaching your deductible, call your insurance company to ask for an estimate of costs so you can prioritize things like outpatient surgery, diagnostic testing, lab work and prescription refills.
You will not meet your deductible.
If you are not close to meeting your deductible, you may choose to delay procedures and appointments so your expenses can count toward next year's deductible.
However, there is no reason to delay preventative screenings like colonoscopies. Under the Affordable Care Act, screening colonoscopies (and related anesthesia and sedation) are covered at 100 percent for private insurance and Medicare.
You have a surplus in your Flexible Spending Account (FSA).
If you have an FSA through your employment, check your balance regularly and use all funds before the end of the year. FSA money does not roll into next year, and you will lose all unused funds. You may opt to schedule a GERD treatment like an esophageal dilation. Click here to get a comprehensive list of qualified medical expenses for which you can use your FSA dollars.
You have additional funds in your Health Savings Account (HSA).
HSA funds can be rolled over into next year, so you do not need to rush to use that money right away. You may want to accumulate money in your HSA for a more expensive elective digestive procedure in the future.
Call Your GI Doctor
Understanding your health plan is the first step in making it work for you. Call your insurance provider, and then contact your GI doctor to schedule your elective digestive procedure. Quality healthcare can be more affordable when you pay attention to your deductible.


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The Beatles' remastered catalogue arrives on 9/9/09, but MusicRadar got the whole set early and now we're giving you a sneak peak at what's in store.
The collection comprises all 14 Beatles albums (Past Masters I and II are included, but as one disc) in stereo, with tracklistings and artwork as originally released in the UK.
With each CD's new packaging, there are added photographs and booklets with detailed historical and recording notes. For a limited time, each CD will be embedded with a mini documentary film about that album. (Or, if you buy the boxed set, it's a separate DVD.)
And that's not all: There's a second collection, The Beatles In Mono, which gathers 10 of the albums with their original mono mixes (plus two further discs covering similar ground to the stereo mixes on Past Masters).
It's all quite grand, as you can see in the video. Giddy are we? Just a little. So keep it locked on MusicRadar for our upcoming review of The Beatles remasters. A splendid time is guaranteed for all!


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The crisp, cool morning treats visitors to the natural beauty of Juanita Bay Park in Kirkland as rays of sunshine break through the trees and fog. Red-winged blackbirds, great blue herons and swans are some of the wildlife at Juanita Bay Park in January. (Mike Siegel/The Seattle Times)
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During 2013, Intermap has announced initial phase contracts involving Orion Platform installations in two countries, totaling approximately $16 million . The Intermap Orion Platform becomes officially available today.
Governments have long utilized the benefits of geospatial data. For many countries, however, cost and complexity of geospatial information - and the infrastructure to manage it - has kept it out of reach for most countries. Now, Intermap's Orion Platform solves this problem by enabling customers to choose the products and services that are right for them based on their scope, budget, and timeline. Intermap manages and delivers a multitude of fused geospatial datasets and their associated analytics in a simplified standard format.
Two years in the making, Intermap's Orion Platform is unique in several ways:
- Immediate delivery of 3D business Intelligence (3DBI) applications using NEXTMap® World 30™ data anywhere in the world
- Converts and presents all types of geospatial data in a common format for a consistent and easy management
- Provides a common programming interface so that software applications have a standard approach to access and manipulate the geospatial data to quickly derive answers
"Intermap's Orion Platform is now the fastest "on-ramp" to the geospatial superhighway for governments around the world," said Todd Oseth, Intermap president and CEO. "Orion has been two years in the making and represents the sum of Intermap's strategic plans driven by the convergence of our proprietary data fusion techniques, web-based applications, and rising government mandates for on-demand analytics."
Intermap's Orion Platform has five integrated layers:
- Geospatial Services: Auditing and custom data collection
- Foundation Data: Seamless, off-the-shelf, high-resolution elevation data
- Data Fusion: Robust integration of multiple datasets into one homogeneous data specification
- 3DBI: Web-based applications for both GIS and non-GIS professionals
- Platform Delivery Services: Array of SaaS-based and LAN-based delivery methods
Oseth continued, "For instance, some customers need immediate access to terrain data for their area of interest, and for that we offer NEXTMap World 30. Other customers require a custom data collection of their country's water drainage basins including rivers, lakes, and coastlines for weather related risk management and for that we offer our custom geospatial services. And still other customers require the integration of multiple elevation datasets with high-resolution imagery and weather data, and for that we offer a combination of geospatial auditing, data fusion, web-based applications, and cloud-based or LAN-based hosting. The Orion Platform does it all quickly and at the industry's best price points."
With today's Orion Platform™ announcement, Intermap has created the industry's first integrated "Big Data" spatial data platform. Customers can see the Orion Platform in action at the 12th Southeast Asian Survey Congress, June 18-20, 2013 in Manila, Philippines at the Philippine Convention Center.
About Intermap Technologies
Headquartered in Denver , Colorado - Intermap (www.intermap.com) is an industry leader in geospatial solutions on demand. Through its powerful suite of 3DBI applications and proprietary development of contiguous databases that fuse volumes of GIS data into a single source, Intermap is able to provide location based solutions for customers in diverse markets around the world that solve today's complex geospatial challenges.
Intermap Reader Advisory
Certain information provided in this news release constitutes forward-looking statements. The words "anticipate", "expect", "project", "estimate", "forecast" and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. Although Intermap believes that these statements are based on information and assumptions which are current, reasonable and complete, these statements are necessarily subject to a variety of known and unknown risks and uncertainties. You can find a discussion of such risks and uncertainties in our Annual Information Form and other securities filings. While the Company makes these forward-looking statements in good faith, should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary significantly from those expected. Accordingly, no assurances can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits that the Company will derive therefrom. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to Intermap or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this news release are made as at the date of this news release and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the forward-looking statements made herein, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities law.


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If I must say so myself this show came together perfectly and I have an absolute pile of tech news and information for you along with some mini rants as always. Check out the BarCamp Info
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Bias or Cognitive Bias is a systematic deviation from rationality committed by our cognition. They are specific, predictable error patterns in the human mind [1]. The heuristics and biases program in cognitive psychology has documented hundreds of reproducible errors - often big errors. This continues to be a highly active area of investigation in cognitive psychology.
In our evolutionary past, in order that a cognitive algorithm turned out into a satisfactory solution to a given problem, it wasn't enough to solve it properly. It was necessary that the solution accounted for a large number of restrictions, such as time and energetic costs. This algorithm didn't need to be perfect, only good enough to guarantee the survival and reproduction of the individual: "What selective pressures impact on decision mechanisms? Foremost is selection for making an appropriate decision in the given domain. This domain-specific pressure does not imply the need to make the best possible decision, but rather one that is good enough (a satisficing choice, as Herbert Simon, 1955, put it) and, on average, better than those of an individual's competitors, given the costs and benefits involved." [2]
Therefore, the human brain make operations which solve cognitive tasks through 'shortcuts', that work well on some cases but fail in others. Since the cognitive modules that make those tasks are universals in the human species, how and where those shortcuts lead to mistakes are also regular. The study of why, how and where such errors arise is the field of cognitive bias. Understanding cognitive biases and trying to defend against their effects has been a basic theme of Less Wrong since the days it was part of Overcoming Bias.
Starting points
- Daniel Kahneman's Nobel prize acceptance speech, where he summarizes the work for which he won the prize;
- Wikipedia:List of cognitive biases;
- Kahneman et al's three edited volumes of research on heuristics and biases (this is the best solid source, but requires obtaining hard-copy books, and is slower reading);
- Eliezer's introductory book chapter Cognitive biases affecting judgment of existential risks (available online).
- Cialdini's book Influence: Science and Practice (at once contentful and full of engaging anecdotes and cartoons, but, again, requires actually obtaining a book);
- Psychology Wiki's list of Cognitive Biases
Blog posts on the concept of "bias"
- What exactly is bias? by Nick Bostrom
- To the barricades! Against ... what exactly? by Robin Hanson
- ...What's a bias, again? by Eliezer Yudkowsky
- Are The Big Four Econ Errors Biases? by Robin Hanson
- In cautious defense of bias by Paul Gowder
- Seen vs. Unseen Biases by Robin Hanson
- Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People by Eliezer Yudkowsky - Knowing about common biases doesn't help you obtain truth if you only use this knowledge to attack beliefs you don't like.
Blog posts about known cognitive biases
- Scope Insensitivity - The human brain can't represent large quantities: an environmental measure that will save 200,000 birds doesn't conjure anywhere near a hundred times the emotional impact and willingness-to-pay of a measure that would save 2,000 birds.
- Correspondence Bias, also known as the fundamental attribution error, refers to the tendency to attribute the behavior of others to intrinsic dispositions, while excusing one's own behavior as the result of circumstance.
- Confirmation bias, or Positive Bias is the tendency to look for evidence that confirms a hypothesis, rather than disconfirming evidence.
- Hindsight Bias describes the tendency to seem much more likely in hindsight than could have been predicted beforehand.
- Planning Fallacy - We tend to plan envisioning that everything will go as expected. Even assuming that such an estimate is accurate conditional on everything going as expected, things will not go as expected. As a result, we routinely see outcomes worse than the ex ante worst case scenario.
- Conjunction Fallacy - Elementary probability theory tells us that the probability of one thing (we write P(A)) is necessarily greater than or equal to the conjunction of that thing and another thing (write P(A&B)). However, in the psychology lab, subjects' judgments do not conform to this rule. This is not an isolated artifact of a particular study design. Debiasing won't be as simple as practicing specific questions, it requires certain general habits of thought.
- We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think - we all change our minds occasionally, but we don't constantly, honestly reevaluate every decision and course of action. Once you think you believe something, the chances are good that you already do, for better or worse.
- Priming and Contamination - Even slight exposure to a stimulus is enough to change the outcome of a decision or estimate. See also Never Leave Your Room by Yvain, and Cached Selves by Salamon and Rayhawk.
- Do We Believe Everything We're Told? - Some experiments on priming suggest that mere exposure to a view is enough to get one to passively accept it, at least until it is specifically rejected.
- Illusion of Transparency - Everyone knows what their own words mean, but experiments have confirmed that we systematically overestimate how much sense we are making to others.
- Self-Anchoring - Related to contamination and the illusion of transparancy, we "anchor" on our own experience and underadjust when trying to understand others.
- Affect Heuristic - Positive and negative emotional impressions exert a greater effect on many decisions than does rational analysis.
- Evaluability - It's difficult for humans to evaluate an option except in comparison to other options. Poor decisions result when a poor category for comparison is used. Includes an application for cheap gift-shopping.
- Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, and Futurism - Without a metric for comparison, estimates of, e.g., what sorts of punative damages should be awarded, or when some future advance will happen, vary widely simply due to the lack of a scale.
- The Halo Effect - Positive qualities seem to correlate with each other, whether or not they actually do.
- Asch's Conformity Experiment - The unanimous agreement of surrounding others can make subjects disbelieve (or at least, fail to report) what's right before their eyes. The addition of just one dissenter is enough to dramatically reduce the rates of improper conformity.
- The Allais Paradox (and subsequent followups) - Offered choices between gambles, people make decision-theoretically inconsistent decisions.


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You know those big, dysfunctional but lovable white families you used to see in television and film? They were all about siblings being super shitty to each other. Yet when one member of the family was threatened, the family closed ranks and fended off the attacker.
I grew up in a huge, white, broken, dysfunctional family.
I thought those stories were bullshit. Continue reading When the Cavalry Sucks (#181)


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"Winning is not a sometime thing; it's an all the time thing. You don't win once in a while; you don't do things right once in a while; you do them right all of the time. Winning is a habit. Unfortunately, so is losing.
There is no room for second place. There is only one place in my game, and that's first place. I have finished second twice in my time at Green Bay, and I don't ever want to finish second again. There is a second place bowl game, but it is a game for losers played by losers. It is and always has been an American zeal to be first in anything we do, and to win, and to win, and to win.
Every time a football player goes to ply his trade he's got to play from the ground up – from the soles of his feet right up to his head. Every inch of him has to play. Some guys play with their heads. That's O.K. You've got to be smart to be number one in any business. But more importantly, you've got to play with your heart, with every fiber of your body. If you're lucky enough to find a guy with a lot of head and a lot of heart, he's never going to come off the field second.
Running a football team is no different than running any other kind of organization – an army, a political party or a business. The principles are the same. The object is to win – to beat the other guy. Maybe that sounds hard or cruel. I don't think it is.
It is a reality of life that men are competitive and the most competitive games draw the most competitive men. That's why they are there – to compete. The object is to win fairly, squarely, by the rules – but to win.
And in truth, I've never known a man worth his salt who in the long run, deep down in his heart, didn't appreciate the grind, the discipline. There is something in good men that really yearns for discipline and the harsh reality of head to head combat.
I don't say these things because I believe in the 'brute' nature of men or that men must be brutalized to be combative. I believe in God, and I believe in human decency. But I firmly believe that any man's finest hour — his greatest fulfillment to all he holds dear — is that moment when he has worked his heart out in a good cause and lies exhausted on the field of battle – victorious." – Coach Vince Lombardi


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Jivin Scientists - Thirsty MP3 Download
Jivin' Scientists (Tucson, AZ) have signed to SFdigi!
Get familiar with the crew by checking out their 10th studio album, "Thirsty".
The latest video from JS is "Push & Pull":
Jivin Scientists on Jivin Scientists:
"Jivin Scientists is not just music. It's a philosophy. An idea. As scientists, we research the fundamental building blocks and framework of the art we produce. With that understanding, we apply pieces of ourselves in a creative way to Jive it. We believe that with hard work and honesty we can take the music we love to a new level. We are selflessly committed to producing something new and different while forever respecting the foundation on which it was built." - JS (MC Runt, Phen, Soundsmith, DJ Deeko, Dr Nope)
"Welcome to the world of Tucson underground hip-hop, flying mostly below the radar and unjustly ignored by the majority of music fans… What sets Jivin' Scientists apart are their brutally confessional and introspective lyrics." – Joshua Levine, Tucson Weekly
01 Salt Water
02 Thirsty
03 Sunswallow
04 Twenty On The Chiefs
05 Push & Pull
06 Last of the Americans
07 Invisible
08 Crazy
09 Million Man Army
10 Far Between
11 I'm Gone
12 Breathe
13 Coming From
14 Watermelon Sunshine
15 State of Decay
16 Made My Bed
17 The Road
18 This Old World


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The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is a nationalist conflict between two peoples living in the Land of Israel: the Jewish people and the Palestinian people. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is more than 100 years old and has been given worldwide prominence. The roots of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict go back to the 19th century, when nationalist movements gained momentum around the world, among them the Zionist movement and the call to emigrate to the Land of Israel to build a national home for the Jewish People. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict took a nationalist turn and grew after the First World War.
The issues at the heart of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict include the permanent borders, security arrangements, Israel's demand for Palestinian recognition of the existence of the Jewish People, the status of the Palestinian refugees, the control of Jerusalem, the Israeli settlements in Judea and Samaria, the distribution of water resources and the distribution of additional resources in Judea and Samaria.
A prominent feature of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the severe manifestations of violence and terrorism in the Gaza Strip and Judea and Samaria that have accompanied it throughout the years of its existence. The fighting is carried out by terror squads and individuals. These manifestations of violence have led to many losses and property damage on both sides.
Over the years, many attempts have been made to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Most of the proposals attempted to promote a permanent solution that would involve the creation of Palestinian autonomy or an independent Palestinian state to be established alongside the State of Israel. This is known as the "two-state solution." Another proposed solution for resolving the conflict is a "one-state solution" whereby all of the western Land of Israel, including the Gaza Strip and Judea and Samaria, would become a binational state. The attempts were unsuccessful due to disagreements over the nature of the solution and due to a basic lack of trust between the sides.


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Article Highlights:
Income Limit
Credit Amount
Previously Owned Clean Vehicle
Qualified Sale
Qualified Buyer
Dealer Report
Transfer of Credit to the Dealer
Vehicle Identification Number
Non-refundable Credit
2023 brings with it a whole new set of rules related to qualifying for a tax credit for purchasing a used electric vehicle. This is the first time that used electric vehicles have qualified for a tax credit, and although considerably less than the credit for purchasing a new electric vehicle, it does provide an incentive for lower income taxpayers to acquire an electric vehicle. However, this new credit – officially termed the Previously-Owned Clean Vehicle Credit in the tax code – also comes with some rules that limit the vehicles that qualify, and essentially bars the credit to higher income taxpayers. Here are the details.
Income Limit – Congress chose to limit this credit to lower income individuals. Thus, no credit is allowed for any tax year if the lesser of the individual's modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) for the:
Current tax year, or
The preceding tax year
exceeds the threshold amount as indicated below. There is no phaseout and just one dollar over the limit means no credit will be allowed. Thus, Congress has essentially eliminated the credit for higher income taxpayers.
Married Filing Joint or Surviving Spouse - $150,000
Head of Household - $112,500
Others $75,000
MAGI is the buyer's adjusted gross income increased by any foreign earned income and housing exclusions and excluded income from Guam, American Samoa, the Northern Mariana Islands, and Puerto Rico.
Credit Amount - A qualified buyer who acquires and places in service a previously owned clean vehicle after 2022 and before 2033 is allowed an income tax credit equal to the lesser of:
$4,000 or
30% of the vehicle's sale price.
The credit applies to the year that the taxpayer takes delivery (referred to in tax lingo as the year the "vehicle is placed in service").
Previously Owned Clean Vehicle - A previously owned clean vehicle is a motor vehicle:
The model year of which is at least two years earlier than the calendar year in which the taxpayer acquires it,
Original use of which starts with a person other than the taxpayer,
Is acquired in a qualified sale, and
Generally meets the requirements applicable to vehicles eligible for the clean vehicle credit for new vehicles (must be made by a qualified manufacturer, be treated as a motor vehicle under the Clean Air Act, have a GVWR of less than 14,000 pounds, and have a rechargeable battery with a capacity of at least seven kilowatt hours) or is a clean fuel-cell vehicle with a gross weight rating of less than 14,000 pounds.
The IRS provides a list of qualifying vehicles.
Note that a qualified used clean vehicle isn't required to satisfy the domestic assembly and mineral content of batteries requirements that apply to a new clean vehicle.
Qualified Sale - A qualified sale is a sale of a previously owned motor vehicle:
By a dealer,
For a price of $25,000 or less, and
Which is the first transfer after August 16, 2022 to a qualified buyer other than the original buyer of the vehicle.
Qualified Buyer - A qualified buyer is an individual who:
Purchases the vehicle for use and not for resale,
Meets the MAGI limits previously discussed,
Is not a dependent of another taxpayer*, and
Has not been allowed a credit for a previously owned clean vehicle during the three-year period ending on the sale date.
* Makes no difference if the buyer chooses not to claim the dependent, since the dependency deduction is still "allowable" to the buyer.
Dealer Report - A dealer must provide the following information on a report to the taxpayer and to the IRS:
Name and taxpayer identification number of the dealer,
Name and taxpayer identification number of the taxpayer,
Vehicle identification number of the vehicle,
Battery capacity of the vehicle,
The date of the sale and the sales price of the vehicle,
Maximum credit allowable for the vehicle being sold,
For sales after December 31, 2023, the amount of any transfer credit applied to the purchase, and
A declaration under penalties of perjury from the dealer.
Transfer of Credit to the Dealer – After 2023, the taxpayer purchasing the vehicle, on or before the purchase date, can elect to transfer the previously-owned clean vehicle credit to the dealer from whom the vehicle is being purchased in return for a reduction in purchase price equal to the credit amount.
A buyer who has elected to transfer the credit for a used clean vehicle to the dealer and has received a payment from the dealer in return, but whose MAGI exceeds the applicable limit, is required to recapture the amount of the payment on their tax return for the year the vehicle was placed in service.
The vehicle identification number of the previously owned clean vehicle is required to be included on Form 8936 (the form the buyer uses to claim the credit).
Be aware the credit is nonrefundable and can only be used to the extent of an individual's tax liability for the year of the credit and any excess credit will be lost.
If you have questions about these new rules of the used clean vehicle credit, please give this office a call.
Sign up for our newsletter.


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Thomas à Kempis. (b. 1379 or 1380, d. 1471). The Imitation of Christ.
The Harvard Classics. 1909–14.
Book I: Admonitions Profitable for the Spiritual Life
HAPPY is the man whom Truth by itself doth teach, not by figures and transient words, but as it is in itself. 1 Our own judgment and feelings often deceive us, and we discern but little of the truth. What doth it profit to argue about hidden and dark things, concerning which we shall not be even reproved in the judgment, because we knew them not? Oh, grievous folly, to neglect the things which are profitable and necessary, and to give our minds to things which are curious and hurtful! Having eyes, we see not. | 1 |
2. And what have we to do with talk about genus and species! He to whom the Eternal Word speaketh is free from multiplied questionings. From this One World are all things, and all things speak of Him; and this is the Beginning which also speaketh unto us. 2 No man without Him understandeth or rightly judgeth. The man to whom all things are one, who bringeth all things to one, who seeth all things in one, he is able to remain steadfast of spirit, and at rest in God. O God, who art the Truth, make me one with Thee in everlasting love. It wearieth me oftentimes to read and listen to many things; in Thee is all that I wish for and desire. Let all the doctors hold their peace; let all creation keep silence before Thee: speak Thou alone to me. | 2 |
3. The more a man hath unity and simplicity in himself, the more things and the deeper things he understandeth; and that without labour, because he receiveth the light of understanding from above. The spirit which is pure, sincere, and steadfast, is not distracted though it hath many works to do, because it doth all things to the honour of God, and striveth to be free from all thoughts of self-seeking. Who is so full of hindrance and annoyance to thee as thine own undisciplined heart? A man who is good and devout arrangeth beforehand within his own heart the works which he hath to do abroad; and so is not drawn away by the desires of his evil will, but subjecteth everything to the judgment of right reason. Who hath a harder battle to fight than he who striveth for self-mastery? And this should be our endeavour, even to master self, and thus daily to grow stronger than self, and go on unto perfection. | 3 |
4. All perfection hath some imperfection joined to it in this life, and all our power of sight is not without some darkness. A lowly knowledge of thyself is a surer way to God than the deep searchings of man's learning. Not that learning is to be blamed, nor the taking account of anything that is good; but a good conscience and a holy life is better than all. And because many seek knowledge rather than good living, therefore they go astray, and bear little or no fruit. | 4 |
5. O if they would give that diligence to the rooting out of vice and the planting of virtue which they give unto vain questionings: there had not been so many evil doings and stumbling-blocks among the laity, nor such ill living among houses of religion. Of a surety, at the Day of Judgment it will be demanded of us, not what we have read, but what we have done; not how well we have spoken, but how holily we have lived. Tell me, where now are all those masters and teachers, whom thou knewest well, whilst they were yet with you, and flourished in learning? Their stalls are now filled by others, who perhaps never have one thought concerning them. Whilst they lived they seemed to be somewhat, but now no one speaks of them. | 5 |
6. Oh how quickly passeth the glory of the world away! Would that their life and knowledge had agreed together! For then would they have read and inquired unto good purpose. How many perish through empty learning in this world, who care little for serving God. And because they love to be great more than to be humble, therefore they "have become vain in their imaginations." He only is truly great, who hath great charity. He is truly great who deemeth himself small, and counteth all height of honour as nothing. He is the truly wise man, who counteth all earthly things as dung that he may win Christ. And he is the truly learned man, who doeth the will of God, and forsaketh his own will. | 6 |
Note 1. Psalm xciv. 12; Numbers xii. 8. [back] |
Note 2. John viii. 25 (Vulg.). [back] |


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- January 29, 2013, 7:04 p.m. ET
The Doctor's Office as Union Shop
As new health-care laws turn physicians into service workers, why wouldn't they organize?
As the country moves toward the effective start date of the Affordable Care Act in 2014, the operational and economic elements of this vast legislation are becoming clearer. Yet one likely outcome of the act that will directly affect the quality of patient care, and could affect its cost, has gone virtually unnoticed and unreported: the increasing trend for physicians to become employees, rather than self-employed. This development represents a potentially radical factor in the transformation of health care—the doctor as union worker.
Physicians have historically practiced either in small groups or alone. Unlike hospitals, which operate under the rubric of large regulatory agencies, physicians have been much more difficult to regulate and monitor. For cost control to be effective, the professional autonomy and independent clinical judgment of the physician and other providers must in some measure be sacrificed to standardization. This can't be accomplished by overseeing thousands of doctors in thousands of offices and medical complexes, each conducting its own symphony.
The Obama administration, by intent or accident, has effectively driven a major change in the status of physicians. By reducing the reimbursement for certain office-based specialists while enhancing related payment to hospitals, the administration is compelling more and more physicians—many of them with an any-port-in-a-storm fatalism—to seek employment with health systems or large physician groups.
Another factor lubricating the path to physician employment is generational: Doctors now in training appear willing to forsake income for a better quality of life and are less interested in the entrepreneurship required to run a private practice. They prefer regular hours and don't necessarily want to be responsible for patients after hours. The net effect is that in 2012 approximately half of physicians already were employed by large health-care entities. Some industry observers estimate that, over the next few years, health systems will employ close to 80% of all doctors.
The shift will be important for many reasons. The migration of physicians into large, regulated entities is essential if the practice of medicine is going to be transformed into the corporatist-government model that is the only way health-care costs can be controlled. The number of failed cost-control experiments in this country—remember the HMO experiment?—is dizzying. None has worked.
The change in the nature of physician employment will have effects never before experienced in America. As the effects of the Affordable Care Act come into focus, it becomes clear that when the majority of physicians are no longer self-employed—and barring any legislation to the contrary—their new employed status will provide doctors with the right to collective bargaining.
Leaders of the organized-labor movement already view service workers with nonexportable jobs as the last best hope of labor unions whose membership is at an all-time low. The truth is that physicians are now becoming service workers. They are well-educated and expensive to train, and their decisions have substantial significance in the lives of others. But doctors essentially provide a service, one that cannot be outsourced to India or China.
If doctors unionize, that raises an immediate question about their right to strike—the key lever in collective bargaining. That's a question for another day. For now, it's enough to contemplate what will occur when the practice of medicine becomes detached from its past as a profession—when doctors may in time come to see themselves not solely as healers but as workers, units of labor, in a system that is committed to delivering care to the greatest number.
When doctors occupy a service niche like the chambermaid in Las Vegas or the school teacher in Chicago, the expectations and compensation of the physician-worker will be defined in ways that may make the benefits of collective bargaining appear very attractive.
Americans don't expect the quality of their care or access to it to decline as health-care costs drop. But quality of care and access will require significant attention in a reformed medical system. As has happened in other countries that have charted the course we are now on, a new reason for lack of access may at times be: "Office closed, doctors on strike."
Dr. Leffell, a practicing physician, is the former CEO of the Yale Medical Group and a professor at the Yale School of Medicine.
A version of this article appeared January 30, 2013, on page A11 in the U.S. edition of The Wall Street Journal, with the headline: The Doctor's Office as Union Shop.
Copyright 2012 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved


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Iran has secretly stocked enriched uranium for four nuclear bombs !
The Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control, American's scientific watchdog on world nuclear weapons production, estimates that by Dec. 2008, Iran had accumulated enough U-235 to fuel one nuclear bomb; by 2009, enough for a second, by August 2010 material for a third bomb and by April 2011, enough enriched uranium for a fourth bomb.
These estimates presuppose an Iranian decision to further process low-enriched material to weapons grade – a process taking no more than a couple of months. Iran, says the Wisconsin Project, is consolidating its status as a "virtual" nuclear weapon state – meaning it can set about building a bomb whenever its rulers so decide. In its twice-annual report published Thursday, June 2, Wisconsin revealed three further developments in Iran's nuclear drive:
- Since November 2010, when Iran stopped enriching uranium in all cascades at the Natanz plant for about a week (the report does not give the reason for the stoppage – possibly a Stuxnet virus invasion of its computer control system), the enrichment rate has increased. The 5,000 centrifuges spinning in February 2011 increased to nearly 6,000 in May 2011. Debkafile's Iranian sources add: Prof. Ferei-doon Abbasi Davani has taken over as director of the enrichment complex at Natanz. He was formerly in charge of combating the Stuxflex worm. Last November, Prof. Abbasi Dayani escaped with light injuries from an attack by a pair of motorcyclists who attached a sticky bomb to his car. It occurred near the Imam Hossein University in Tehran where most of Iran's secret nuclear labs are located.
- Wisconsin quotes the International Atomic Energy Agency's May 2011 report that one of its seals was broken in the "feed and withdrawal area" of the Natanz enrichment plant. This means that Iran took action to conceal the real amount of is enriched uranium stockpile from the nuclear watchdog and the fact, as Wisconsin reports, that it has accumulated enough material for building four nuclear bombs. Its steady progress will go undetected until the next IAEA inventory in October or November. Debkafile's intelligence sources point out that Tehran has won a period of six to seven months for keeping its nuclear activities hidden from oversight with no one in the West or in Israel able to find out what is going on at the Natanz enrichment plant.
- Wisconsin goes on to state: "Uncertainties about the number of centrifuges operated by Iran make it difficult to draw a conclusion about the performance of individual machines." More machines may be switched on when IAEA inspectors are not present while less, more advanced centrifuges, may take over after the inspection is over. Our sources stress that these revelations are highly pertinent to the controversy taking place in Israel over the surprising comments by ex-Mossad Director Meir Dagan. Dubbed "Mister Stop the Bomb" for reputedly directing covert operations that held off Iran's nuclear threat for five or six years – though this may an exaggeration – Dagan suddenly began speaking out strongly against any Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear program. Wednesday, June 1, he implicitly warned that such an attack would precipitate a regional war in which Israel would fare badly.
Israel's political and defense establishments have always had their doves but Dagan is sounding one like for the first time. The controversy around his comments reflects a similar argument afoot in US political and defense circles over whether the time has come to smash Iran's nuclear capability or stand by and let the Islamic Republic becomes a "virtual nuclear weapon state."
In the last three years, the two schools of thought for and against military action against Iran have been joined by a third, which affirms that the US and Israel can live with an Iran armed with one or two nuclear bombs because this number would be dwarfed even by Israel's reputed stock let alone the American arsenal. Therefore, until Iran stockpiles a serous arsenal of weapons, it does not constitute an existential threat to Israel. Read the full article at Debka !
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declared that the "war on hegemony" is approaching its end !
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declared on Friday that the "war on hegemony" was approaching its end, predicting the imminent collapse and subsequent disappearance of the United States and Israel, Iranian Press TV reported. Ahmadinjead was speaking on the 22nd anniversary of the passing of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the imam who took over the US-backed Shah's Iran and established the current Islamic Republic.
Amhmadinejad declared that hegemony is the "last impediment to the monotheism front," and that with its demise the "monotheistic movement" would achieve lasting "prosperity." He explained that the predominant goal of the "war on hegemony" is to deal with "US domination and Israel's existence."
The Iranian president kept an optimistic tone during his speech at Khomeini's shrine, saying "I am certain that the region will soon witness the collapse of Israel and the US," DPA reported.
Iran already is a nuclear power since 2010 !


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Sit & Stretch
October 21, 2022 @ 9:15 am - 9:45 am
|Recurring Event (See all)
An event every week that begins at 9:15 am on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, repeating indefinitely
Stretching offers you the ability to improve your health through an amazing form of adaptive exercise. You are supported by a chair so you can receive healing and restorative benefits. Stretching relaxes your body and improves your musculoskeletal fitness and flexibility, and elevates health and well-being.


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To be the stage of realizing dreams of our employees! To build a happier, more united and more professional team! To reach a mutual benefit of our customers, suppliers, the society and ourselves for Strainers (see Valves)
,we are now looking forward to even greater cooperation with overseas customers based on mutual benefits. If you are interested in any of our products, please feel free to contact us for more details.


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Chelsea | Alabama | 35043 | Church of God
Chelsea | Alabama | 35043 | Church of God
CHELSEA CHURCH OF GOD is located at 2020 HWY 39 in the city of Chelsea. Chelsea is located in the beautiful state of Alabama. According to our database, there are approximately 12 churches in Chelsea, with 0 Catholic churches, 4 Baptist churches, 0 Pentecostal churches, 1 Methodist churches, and 7 other denomination churches. If you are looking for a new church or just visiting Chelsea, please browse through our church directory to find a church that meets your needs.
"The Church of God, with international headquarters in Cleveland, Tennessee, traces its roots to 1886 in a meeting house located at Barney Creek in the mountains of eastern Tennessee. The Christian Union was organized with eight members. Since that inauspicious start, the Church of God has become an international church with a membership approaching 4 million. The Church of God is a grassroots organization with an appeal to and a concern for the common man and his needs." There are many Church of God churches and if you are looking for one near you be sure to search through our directory to find a church that aligns with your beliefs.


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Today was one of those bad food-blogger days where you wake up with absolutely no idea what you're going to post.
Generally, what I do requires a lot of preparation. Planning, shopping and prep work, all taken care of on the weekends. Then I can assemble, finish or bake during the week quickly and with minimal effort. It tends to work well.
Well the key words here are "tends to".
Sometimes though, things don't go according to plan... recipes turn out to be a little "meh" or worse "bleh". Occasionally I will get all persnickety over the visual appearance of an otherwise fine dessert. Like my creme caramel: "they would look more impressive if they were baked in a smaller ramekin and were taller". My baking OCD can work against me in times like this and I end up refusing to post it.
Things like the above end up leaving holes in my schedule, holes I feel compelled to fill with something...
So before I've even showered or had breakfast, I start digging around in cookbooks looking for inspiration. (See how glamorous the life of a food blogger is?) I was leaning towards a cake today because I was hungry and two of the blogs I follow posted some seriously nom-worthy cakes recently (Chocolate Overload and the Magnolia Bakery Vanilla Cake ). These are not things you want to look at or think about before breakfast. They can make you do impulsive things...
Like bake a layer cake on a Thursday morning.
Luckily, this cake wasn't too fussy--well relatively, we are talking about a layer cake here--and it came together quickly and easily. Layers of raspberry preserves and lemon buttercream decorated simply with a little coconut. No piping tips needed.
The one thing I hate about layer cakes is cutting them.
It always squishes the back of the cake a bit, making my once perfect layers look messy. Bah!
Yes, that is my food-blogger/baker OCD talking.
It always squishes the back of the cake a bit, making my once perfect layers look messy. Bah!
Yes, that is my food-blogger/baker OCD talking.
When frosting this cake I had to go back and make another half batch of buttercream to get the coverage I wanted for the four 8" layers. So if you're a frosting fiend like myself, or baking in 9" pans, plan ahead and make extra buttercream.
Raspberry Lemon Coconut Cake
from Baking
2 1/4 cups (244g) cake flour
1 tablespoon (12g) baking powder
1/2 teaspoon salt
1 1/4 cup (295ml) whole milk or buttermilk, room temperature
4 large egg whites, room temperature
1 1/2 cup (302g) granulated sugar
2 teaspoons fine lemon zest
1 stick (8 tablespoons 113g) unsalted butter, room temperature
1/2 teaspoon pure lemon extract
Lemon Buttercream
1 cup (201g) sugar
4 large egg whites
3 sticks (339g) unsalted butter at room temperature
1/4 cup (59ml) fresh lemon juice
1 teaspoon pure vanilla extract
2/3 cup raspberry preserves (strained for seeds, if desired)
1 1/2 cups sweetened shredded or desiccated coconut (I'm using desiccated for this cake)
Pre-heat your oven to 350°F and place a rack in the lower third of your oven. Coat two 8" or 9" pans with butter or nonstick spray and line the bottoms with a circle of parchment. Place the pans on a baking sheet and set aside.
In a medium bowl, sift together the cake flour, baking powder and salt and set aside.
In a second small bowl, combine the milk and egg whites and set aside.
In the bowl of your stand mixer, combine the sugar and lemon zest and mix for a minute on medium speed until fragrant. Add the butter and cream together on medium speed for 4-5 minutes until the mixture is light and fluffy. Beat in the lemon extract and then grab your bowl of flour and milk.
Reduce the mixer's speed to slow and add 1/3rd of the flour. Once moistened, increase the speed to medium and mix until incorporated. Then add 1/2 the milk mixture and beat until the mixture is uniform. Repeat with the remaining flour and milk, alternating until you've finished with the last 1/3rd of the flour. Mix the batter for a further 2 minutes to ensure it is lump free and well aerated.
Divide the batter between your baking pans (I think it was a bit over 500g for each pan) and bake for 30 to 35 minutes until the centers of the cake springs back when touched lightly.
Place the cakes on wire racks to cool. After a few minutes, run a knife around the outside of the pan to release the cake and remove from the pans. Allow to cool right side up until room temperature.
To make the buttercream:
Combine the sugar and egg whites in a bowl over simmering water. Whisking constantly, beat until the mixture is warm to the touch and the sugar is no longer gritty. Remove from heat and continue to beat until you have a thick, glossy meringue.
Transfer the meringue to the bowl of your stand mixer with the paddle attachment and beat for several minutes on medium speed. Once the bowl of the mixer feels cool to the touch you can add your butter, one stick at a time beating on medium high. Once the butter is all in, continue to beat for 6-10 minutes.
The mixture may seem to curdle at some point but don't worry, continue to beat and it will come together into a velvety buttercream.
Once well beaten, you can add the lemon juice a little at a time, beat until absorbed and then adding more. Then add the vanilla and you're ready to frost.
To assemble the cake:
For a four layer cake, level and divide the layers with a serrated knife. Place the bottom layer onto a cake round (or onto a cake plate with tuck strips of wax paper under the cake to protect the plate while frosting).
Spread a third of the raspberry preserves onto the bottom layer of the cake and then a layer of buttercream. The trick to layering buttercream on top of a slippery layer of preserves is to put your buttercream into a disposable piping bag (or ziplock bag) and cut off a 1/3" diameter opening. Starting in the center of the layer, pipe a coil of buttercream. Continue to coil tightly, round and round until you have an even layer of icing on top. No need to spread the frosting with a spatula using this method. Top with a second layer of cake and repeat two more times. Place the last layer on top and then crumb coat the cake with a thin layer of icing. Chill the cake until the icing is firm and then frost the cake with the remaining butter cream. Smooth the remaining buttercream over the cake with an offset spatula until it is level and smooth.
Sprinkle the coconut over the top of the cake and coat the sides by gently pouring the coconut between your hand and the cake.
The cake is best eaten the day it is made. If you need to store it, refrigerate it covered for up to two days, allowing plenty of time to bring it back to room temperature before serving.


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Dutch court grants Greenpeace right to stage peaceful protests against
Amsterdam, October 5, 2012 -- Royal Dutch Shell has failed in its bid to
win a sweeping injunction against two offices of Greenpeace, a setback to the
company's attempt to end protests by the environmental group over Arctic oil
In a ruling issued today, Shell's proposed injunction was rebuffed by the
President of the Amsterdam court, Han Jongeneel, who said the protests
Greenpeace Netherlands has already taken in the Netherlands at Shell's
headquarters and petrol stations were both proportionate and appropriate in
light of Greenpeace's earlier efforts to end Shell's Arctic oil drilling through
other means.
"A company like Shell, that is taking actions or plans to take actions that
are controversial in society and which many people will object to, can and
should expect that actions will be taken to try to change its mind. Such actions
– in order to be effective – will have to be capable of disadvantaging Shell,"
Jongeneel wrote.
"The principle of proportionality entails that actions should not go beyond
what is necessary to reach the intended goal. To date, Greenpeace has respected
this requirement by not taking action at all Shell fuel stations (about 600),
but at approximately 70. Therefore, there is no need to grant an injunction on
this point; although Greenpeace will have to continue taking this requirement
into account in future," the judge said.
The ruling, which is in place for the next six months, allows activists to
stage protests at Shell properties in the Netherlands for a maximum of two hours
and to disrupt fuel sales for up to an hour.
Greenpeace is pursuing a major international campaign against the oil giant
over its plans to drill in the melting Arctic, and Greenpeace offices across the
globe have staged a series of peaceful direct actions at fuel stations, on
icebreaking ships and at company offices over the past year.
Responding to the news, Greenpeace International Executive Director Kumi
Naidoo said:
"Shell's latest attempt to silence its critics has failed. The judge
rejected the majority of this injunction and has reminded the company that civil
disobedience is a right in democracies, even when its business is impacted. Over
two million people have joined our campaign to protect the Arctic and they will
not be deterred by unwarranted legal bullying.
"We must ask ourselves which party in this case presents a greater threat
to the public interest – a peaceful environmental group or a desperate oil
company determined to send rigs into the freezing Arctic ocean. Shell has no
credible response plan in the event of an oil spill, which would be a financial
and environmental disaster.
"This injunction will not prevent us from opposing Arctic drilling
passionately and peacefully both in the Netherlands and across the world. We
can't match Shell's enormous financial muscle, but we have creativity and
millions of people behind us. This is the defining environmental battle of our
time and we have only just begun."
Shell initially demanded an injunction that would have prevented Greenpeace
activists or sympathisers anywhere in the world from protesting legally within
500 meters of any Shell property – even on public land at the risk of fines of
more than 1 million euros.
The company was forced to narrow its request after the judge cautioned that
he could throw the case out if he considered the claim excessive. The judge
granted a limited injunction, which left two offices – Greenpeace Netherlands
and Greenpeace International – facing penalties of 25,000 euros for every hour
that they are in breach of the injunction.
This year Shell has pursued a highly aggressive legal strategy against
Greenpeace and a range of other environmental groups:
• In the United States, Greenpeace US is subject to an injunction
preventing staff or supporters from coming within 500 metres of any Shell
drilling or support vessel.
• Separately, Greenpeace US and 12 other US environmental and Indigenous
groups are being sued to preempt challenges to the company's oil spill response
• In New Zealand, police are pursuing an inflated NZD 725,000 (€467,000)
damage claim on behalf of Shell against activists, including actress Lucy
Lawless, who occupied one of its two Arctic drilling rigs.
Shell's final request contained a clause which demands that Greenpeace
International "instruct other Greenpeace offices around the world to refrain
from any action that would interfere with Shell's business in the
The injunction granted today is limited to Greenpeace International and
Greenpeace Netherlands. National and regional Greenpeace offices around the
world operate independently in contributing to the implementation of global
campaign strategies decided by Greenpeace International.


text:
The Boston Celtics have officially suspended head coach Ime Udoka for the entirety of the upcoming 2022-23 NBA season "for violations of team policies."
"A decision about his future with the Celtics beyond this season will be made at a later date," the team said in a news release. "The suspension takes effect immediately."
Assistant coach Joe Mazzulla is reportedly expected to take over in Udoka's absence, according to ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski, who initially reported that Udoka was "facing possible disciplinary action," which included "a significant suspension" in relation to what was, at the time, described as "an unspecified violation of organizational guidelines," on Wednesday (September 21) night.
The Athletic's Shams Charania later reported that Udoka "had an improper intimate and consensual relationship with a female member of the team staff," which led to the franchise looking into potential disciplinary action.
The Celtics were reportedly discussing "a final determination" just days ahead of training camp, but the coach's "job isn't believed to be in jeopardy," Wojnarowski said at the time of the initial report.
Udoka was hired as the Celtics' head coach last offseason, replacing Brad Stevens, who was promoted to president of basketball operations following longtime team team president Danny Ainge's retirement.
Boston went 51-31 during the 2021-22 regular season and defeated the Brooklyn Nets, Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat to win the Eastern Conference title before being eliminated by the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 of the NBA Finals.
Udoka, a former NBA player, had previously worked as an assistant with the Nets prior to the 2021-22 season, as well as the Philadelphia 76ers in 2019-20 and the San Antonio Spurs from 2012-19.
The Celtics coach has been in a relationship with actress Nia Long since 2010 and the couple became engaged in 2015.


text:
Iturria: Science Daily
Fossils of First Feathered Dinosaurs from North America Discovered: Clues On Early Wing Uses
ScienceDaily (Oct. 25, 2012) — The ostrich-like dinosaurs in the original Jurassic Park movie were portrayed as a herd of scaly, fleet-footed animals being chased by a ferocious Tyrannosaurus rex. New research published in the journal Science reveals this depiction of these bird-mimic dinosaurs is not entirely accurate -- the ornithomimids, as they are scientifically known, should have had feathers and wings.
The new study, led by paleontologists Darla Zelenitsky from the University of Calgary and François Therrien from the Royal Tyrrell Museum of Palaeontology, describes the first ornithomimid specimens preserved with feathers, recovered from 75 million-year-old rocks in the badlands of Alberta, Canada."This is a really exciting discovery as it represents the first feathered dinosaur specimens found in the Western Hemisphere," says Zelenitsky, assistant professor at the University of Calgary and lead author of the study. "Furthermore, despite the many ornithomimid skeletons known, these specimens are also the first to reveal that ornithomimids were covered in feathers, like several other groups of theropod dinosaurs."
The researchers found evidence of feathers preserved with a juvenile and two adults skeletons of Ornithomimus, a dinosaur that belongs to the group known as ornithomimids. This discovery suggests that all ornithomimid dinosaurs would have had feathers.
The specimens reveal an interesting pattern of change in feathery plumage during the life of Ornithomimus. "This dinosaur was covered in down-like feathers throughout life, but only older individuals developed larger feathers on the arms, forming wing-like structures," says Zelenitsky. "This pattern differs from that seen in birds, where the wings generally develop very young, soon after hatching."
This discovery of early wings in dinosaurs too big to fly indicates the initial use of these structures was not for flight.
"The fact that wing-like forelimbs developed in more mature individuals suggests they were used only later in life, perhaps associated with reproductive behaviors like display or egg brooding," says Therrien, curator at the Royal Tyrrell Museum and co-author of the study.
Until now feathered dinosaur skeletons had been recovered almost exclusively from fine-grained rocks in China and Germany. "It was previously thought that feathered dinosaurs could only fossilize in muddy sediment deposited in quiet waters, such as the bottom of lakes and lagoons," says Therrien. "But the discovery of these ornithomimids in sandstone shows that feathered dinosaurs can also be preserved in rocks deposited by ancient flowing rivers."
Because sandstone is the type of rock that most commonly preserves dinosaur skeletons, the Canadian discoveries reveal great new potential for the recovery of feathered dinosaurs worldwide.
The fossils will be on display this fall at the Royal Tyrrell Museum in Drumheller, Alberta.


text:
Here is one of the only times I saw it in the air....and old shot!Quote:
Originally Posted by fk6065
Printable View
Here is one of the only times I saw it in the air....and old shot!Quote:
Originally Posted by fk6065
Did you think of asking someone what they are doing? Or afraid the MIB might make a visit to your house? :lol:Quote:
Originally Posted by lijk604
Usually if the owner owes lots of money, an airport may tow the aircraft to an area that can not be accessedQuote:
Originally Posted by Gerard
to limit severely the possibility that the pilot may fly off without paying the tab. So there she sits with a story... death in the family, financial difficulty, Neglect, or just plane forgot..... The story of this unknown aircraft.
It could be worse, at least they did not slash the tires like this one!
Here is one from the other day
Originally Posted by Derf
Thanks for the flying shot Fred, what don't you have shots of?
And here I was thinking that the Cessna was some kind of "full-size" weathervane! Maybe if they mount it on a turntable, it'll point into the wind! :lol:
I noticed that airplane actually last summer for sure when I was going around the patch in an LF bird. I have asked some souls of longer history to FRG about it than I and they said the same thing Fred did.
OK, I just got buzzed by an F-18 here in Melville! I'm busy getting stuff done at the office when I heard a very unique noise that I don't hear too often. I could tell by the sound that it was a military jet. I was told there were 5 overhead all told. I ran out of the office just in time to see the last one fly by, circling for an approach to 14. I'm guessing Navy jets (not the Blue Angels) based on light gray paint.
Anyone know why they are here?
Weekend off maybe??? Sheltair is a stop on the way home tonight!Quote:
Originally Posted by Speedbagel_001
I checked with AirportMonitor and I think I found evidence of the last jet. They ID'd it as an A320!
Three Pilots pull into Shelt air...All flying F-18 superhornets!!!!
Are they still there? Am I able to go into sheltair with the construction going on?Quote:
Originally Posted by Derf
i'm in melville too and heard the same thing. can't wait to head down to republic. if anyone finds out when they're leaving tonight or tmo please post it.
Hi everyone! I am still around! Friend of my passed and I kind of been avoiding the airport, annoy Chris S. every so often lol. For those who don't know me just look for the blonde that never shuts up and is usually dragging a kid or 3 around. I saw Fred way in the distance. Hi Fred, he didn't see me. Well I talked to one of the workers at shelter air and they said the jets will be leaving sunday at 1-1:30. No clue why they are there. Sure Fred will know everything. Ill take a ride by in the morning after tee-ball. I have an altima now. So if you see me wave lol. Oh the jets are way behind shelter air so not the greatest place to get off a shot. I didn't even try


text:
Today's consumers don't often follow a simple path of "search for what I want, find it, buy it." They search at home, at work and on-the-go to find the products and services they need.
New research from YP, the leading local marketing solutions provider and publisher of yp.com and The Real Yellow Pages®, reveals the factors that influence a consumer's fragmented shopping patterns and their decision to make – or not make – a purchase.
"Consumers today zigzag between devices, platforms and locations to discover products and services, and we wanted to find out why," said Allison Checchi, chief marketing officer at YP. "Our goal was to get a deeper understanding of what influences consumers to make a decision to go with one business over another."
Basics and Then Some
Consumers use nearly three sources of information, on average, during the search process, so it takes more than a simple business profile listing to truly stand out from the competition. It takes having a strong online presence and rich content.
According to the study, consumers value two kinds of information when looking for businesses: primary information, such as price, location and availability of products and services; and secondary information, such as offers, testimonials, ratings, recommendations, photos or videos.
While nearly 52 percent of consumers make their decisions based on primary information, about 48 percent make their buying decisions based on secondary information. Consumers who said their decision was based mostly on secondary factors spend an average of two times as much money as those using only primary information.
Accuracy Counts
Just as there are key factors consumers consider before making a purchase, there are factors that influence a consumer's decision to not consider a business. Consumers voiced their dissatisfaction loud and clear when it comes to businesses with an online presence that is inaccurate, inconsistent or incomplete. Not only did these shoppers say they would take their money elsewhere, they wouldn't even consider the business, leaving no chance for the business owner to change the customer's decision.
Reasons to Use Mobile
The majority of consumers (64 percent) are device hopping, with smartphones playing a role at some point in the search process. Aside from convenience and speed, some of the top reasons for using a mobile device are the ability to find a location "near me" and to "click-to-call" a business directly from the phone.
"A strong digital presence is critical to connecting local businesses with consumers wherever they are, on whatever device they're using," Checchi said. "This research shows that consumers won't even consider a business that has an inaccurate or incomplete online presence and that businesses are missing out on opportunities if they don't have basic information and contextual content."
For more information about the factors that influence consumers' buying decisions, visit whybeforethebuy.com and follow the conversation using #WhyTheBuy.
10 Ways You May be Deterring Customers
Part of understanding what makes a consumer decide to make a purchase is understanding the opposite – what makes them turn away from one business and toward another?
Although high prices top the reasons consumers won't consider a business, YP's "The Why Before the Buy" survey found there are a number of other factors that can deter them from considering a business. The common thread in nearly all the following factors: online presence.
- High prices (62 percent of consumers)
- Negative ratings and reviews (55 percent)
- Inconsistent information (37 percent)
- Website has inaccurate information (37 percent)
- Wrong contact information listed online (32 percent)
- No website (30 percent)
- No testimonials, ratings and reviews (27 percent)
- Website is hard to navigate (26 percent)
- Not familiar with the business (21 percent)
- No photos or videos of the business (17 percent)
Stand Out Online
Technology has revolutionized the consumer journey. Today, a huge portion of that journey takes place online. That means if a business doesn't have an online presence, consumers won't find it and will take their business elsewhere.
A webcast series moderated by Jeff Biesman, vice president of customer acquisition and retention marketing at YP, will share findings from a new research study that explains why consumers make the purchase decisions they do and how small business owners can influence today's consumers. Sessions include:
Improving Your Online Presence – This session focuses on the importance of mobile-friendly websites, business profiles, video content and social media.
Winning Customers with Search Engine Marketing – This session explores topics such as the role mobile devices play in the search process, the importance of delivering a personalized consumer experience and how social media factors into the equation.
Building Your Brand with Mobile Ads – This session discusses strategies including location intelligence, audience segments, defining the goal of your ad and best practices.
For more information on "The Why Before the Buy" webcast series, visit whybeforethebuy.com.
Photo courtesy of Getty Images


text:
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