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Posts Tagged 'Bear Market Rally'
Has The Stock Market Reached Peak Optimism?
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
Optimism towards key stock indices is increasing each day. The U.S. stock market "seems" to be a safe place, and it's common to hear stock advisors suggesting we are going higher on key stock indices.
Key stock indices like the S&P 500 are making fresh highs. Google Inc. (NASDAQ/GOOG) has surged above the $1,000-per-share mark. Just take a look at the chart below.
Recently, we heard the "Godfather of Charts," Ralph Acampora, turn bullish on the key stock indices as well. Not too long ago, he held a very bearish view on them. In August, his stance was that key stock indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average would decline 20% to 12,000. (Source: Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2013.)
Hold on a second! This all looks too familiar!
Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com
Whatever happened to what Sir John Templeton said about the bull run stock markets? If I remember correctly, it went something like this: "They are born when investors are most pessimistic, rise when they are skeptical, mature once optimism builds up, and come crashing down once there's euphoria."
It's almost as if investors have forgotten everything that we saw with the stock market in 2007 and 2008—how it went crashing down after optimism surged.
And remember 1999? Investors were so bullish on the key stock indices that they were investing in companies that did not have any revenues or weren't going to make money in the long run. After that euphoria, we saw it all come crashing down. Investors forgot one basic principle: when stocks keep reaching new highs; fundamentals really matter when it comes to … Read More
What's Holding Me Back from Turning Positive on the Housing Market
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
House prices have gone up! Does this mean a recovery in the housing market is in? Don't jump in quite yet, dear reader.
The collapse of the housing market that started in 2006 has taken its toll on the U.S economy. Nationally, U.S. home prices are still down 31% from where they were in 2006. Home prices will need to go up almost 45% for home prices to get back to where they were six years ago.
Private equity firms are on a spree of buying foreclosure homes. A company backed by The Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE/BX), Colony Capital LLC, owns about 3,600 homes facing foreclosure. (Source: Wall Street Journal, September 11, 2012.).
Blackstone and other private equity firms such as Och-Ziff Capital Management and Oaktree Capital Group LLC have raised more than $8.0 billion to buy houses negatively affected by the housing market crash.
These private equity firms are buying foreclosure homes, because they can easily rent them—notice I didn't say sell them—and earn higher return compared to other investments.
For a healthy housing market recovery, there must be individuals buying houses and living in them, not investors buying to rent properties out. Money at private equity firms flows to places where it gets the highest return. Buying cheap, foreclosed homes and renting them at a return higher than the cost to buy home makes big sense for private equity firms.
The effects of the home buying spree: demand by investors for foreclosure homes in Phoenix and Los Angeles has driven up the prices of homes to a point where it is not feasible for private equity firms … Read More
Clinton's Speech Last Night & Food Stamps:
What They Have to Do with Each Other
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
The grim reality is that the U.S. economy will not be improving anytime soon. The statistics don't lie—there is no economic growth, but there is growing evidence the U.S. is experiencing an economic slowdown.
One important indicator of economic growth includes the standard of living. As I have written recently, the American middle class is in jeopardy of disappearing, just like it has in most of Europe.
In June of this year, there were 46.7 million people in the U.S. on some form of food stamps. (Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture, August 30, 2012.) The number of people using food stamps has increased 3.3% over the course of the year. This means that almost 15% of the U.S. population is on food stamps!
Why are there so many Americans on food stamps? It's simple. The unemployment rate is too high for economic growth to happen, food prices are going up, and millions of people can't afford to pay their expenses. How can we experience economic growth when so many people can't afford to fill the most basic needs?
Another reason for soaring food stamp usage: the majority of jobs created since the credit crisis hit are mainly in low-wage sectors—retail, food prep, laborers, freight workers, waiters and waitresses, office clerks, and customer service representatives. These jobs do not create economic growth; they just put food on the table.
There are still approximately 10 million jobs missing from the economy. (Source: NELP, August 31, 2012). What we are witnessing in the U.S. is a continued economic slowdown, as real economic growth would have resulted in across-the-board job creation.
While I … Read More
Add This to America's Recession Laundry List
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
There is calm before the storm looming in the U.S. that is called the "Fiscal Cliff"—a bigger issue than perceived by the majority of the American population.
A fiscal policy implemented during President Bush's period in office, which included cuts in taxes and increased government spending, is set to expire at the of this year. That means higher taxes, cuts in government spending, and a reduced budget deficit.
On the bright side, the Fiscal Cliff will cut $100 billion in government spending on the U.S. military and other government programs. These cuts would see the annual U.S. budget deficit fall from seven percent of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) to four percent of GDP. (Source: Wall Street Journal, August 22, 2012).
It's a perfect scenario, because it enables the U.S. government to finally lower its budget deficit. Unfortunately, in this case, it is actually bad news for the economy.
Yes, the budget deficit will be reduced, but on August 22, a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analysis showed that the Fiscal Cliff will cause a recession in the upcoming year, causing GDP to contract by 2.9% and unemployment to rise up to 9.1%.
Issue at hand: if government spending is cut and taxes go up, it will lower the budget deficit, but also march the economy right back into recession as the budget deficit decreases. (That's what many economists are now saying. This economist says we're headed back to recession, Fiscal Cliff or no Fiscal Cliff.)
The U.S. economy is already facing this long laundry list: recessions in Europe; a slowing economy in China; high domestic unemployment; record high … Read More
Beware: "Triple Top Reversal Pattern" Almost Complete
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
In spite of weak corporate earnings within the S&P 500 list companies, the market continues to grind its way higher. However, this chart shows the S&P 500 could be forming what is referred to in technical analysis jargon as a "Triple Top Reversal Pattern."
The below is a three-year chart of the S&P 500. Those blue circles to the right of the chart represent the rough equivalent high price points that the S&P 500 has reached since the beginning of the year; notice that the S&P 500 has reached this level three times.
According to technical analysis, a Triple Top Reversal forms over a period of three to six months. Any Triple Top Reversal that forms over a period of time greater than six months is said to be indicative of a major top.
Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com
As is evident by the above S&P 500 chart, this current Triple Top Reversal pattern has been forming for six months. In technical analysis terms, the other characteristics of a Triple Top Reversal pattern are that there must be a previous trend to reverse and overall average volume must be lower at the three tops.
From December 2011 to the first blue circle on the S&P 500 chart above, or March 2012, the S&P 500 has been in an uptrend or moving higher on a consistent basis. This satisfies the criteria of there being an uptrend to reverse, which means that if this Triple Top Reversal pattern plays out, a downtrend will follow.
The red line at the bottom of the chart running across the volume box indicates average volume. When volume … Read More
Inflation? Corn Prices Up 44%, Soybean
Prices Up 26% in Two Months!
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
The U.S. Midwest is in the midst of the most severe drought in 50 years. The brutal conditions are destroying corn, wheat, and soybean crops, sending the prices of many agricultural commodities rocketing higher—another knife cutting into consumer confidence and consumer spending.
Since June 1, corn prices are up 44% and soybean prices are up 26%. (Source: Wall Street Journal, July 25, 2012). Corn, soybeans and wheat go into many of the products that Americans buy every day and, as those prices rise, consumer confidence falls.
The other side effect of higher corn prices is due to the fact that ranchers use corn to feed their cattle, poultry and livestock. Since the cost of feeding their animals is increasing dramatically, farmers have begun slaughtering their livestock much earlier than usual. This will drive meat prices down temporarily, but, in a few months, less supply of livestock will eventually lead to higher meat prices, which will eventually dent consumer confidence.
Higher grain and meat prices will eventually "feed" into higher food prices at the grocery store and local restaurants in the coming months, which will again hurt consumer confidence and reduce consumer spending on other items.
Although difficult to gauge how much higher food prices will be next year, the Department of Agriculture is estimating that food prices will rise between three and four percent in 2013, at the very least, which will affect consumer confidence at least by that much.
Sure, food costs represent only 14% of the average American's living expenses, which will result in only a minor hit to consumer confidence. But for lower-income Americans who are … Read More
Revenue Growth Collapses at Big American Companies
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
As I have been warning in these pages, corporate revenue growth within the global economic slowdown is going to be very hard to come by for the remainder of 2012.
So far, about 25% of all S&P 500 companies have reported their corporate earnings for the second quarter. Sales have risen among these firms at the slowest rate since 2009. (Source: Financial Times, July 22, 2012.)
This has forced stock market analysts to now cut third-quarter revenue growth projections by 1.0%—1.5%, which is in the territory of recession! So how is it that the S&P 500 stock market index is able to remain steady despite the bad news?
One of the largest S&P 500 companies, International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE/IBM), better known as IBM, reported corporate earnings that beat expectations for the second quarter. IBM also raised its corporate earnings guidance for 2012.
IBM is a great company and its ability to transition to a software firm has proven to be the right strategy; rewarding shareholders many times over. But the way the company will be able to increase its corporate earnings in 2012 is by cutting jobs, not by revenue growth.
IBM warned that it sees technology spending by companies around the world slowing. Other S&P 500 companies have warned of the same global environment of slowing technology spending, including the likes of Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ/ORCL), Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ/CSCO), and Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE/HPQ).
When the statistics are finally compiled by Standard and Poor's (S&P) on second-quarter corporate earnings by S&P 500 companies, IBM will be counted as a success; as having beat corporate earnings estimates and having … Read More
13 States Now Considering Gold and Silver as Money
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
When the governor of Utah signed a bill that made gold bullion and silver bullion legal tender in the state last March, he had no idea of the groundswell he was going to start.
The Utah Sound Money Act outright flies in the face of the fiat money system, which is the printed money used today; backed by nothing but the promises of politicians. While U.S. states cannot create their own currency under the Constitution, they are allowed to use gold bullion and silver bullion as legal tender. More and more states are now exercising that right.
Lawmakers in Utah, when they studied history, found that every single instance of money printing and massive increases in a country's debt always led to the destruction of the currency and a depression among the citizens that lived through it.
They were concerned about the Fed's money printing and massive government debt accumulation and thus signed into law the Utah Sound Money Act, which recognized gold bullion and silver bullion as currency. They felt that the U.S. dollar would continue to lose its value, while gold bullion and silver bullion would continue to maintain their value, because they are sound currencies with no debts attached to them.
The Utah law states that the gold bullion and silver bullion coins issued by the U.S. Mint can be used as payment with any merchant in the State of Utah for the purchase of all goods and services.
It is not practical for people to carry around heavy gold bullion or silver bullion coins, so the Utah Gold & Silver Depository was created. People can … Read More
Madness in Pennsylvania and One
More Bankruptcy in California
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
San Bernardino, with a population of 209,000, has become the third California municipality to declare bankruptcy within the last few weeks.
The budget deficit that San Bernardino faced was $46.0 million and its money was gone, leaving the council little choice but to declare bankruptcy, especially in an economy that feels like a recession. The reason for the bankruptcy vote was that when the city council looked at its projected budget deficit in the next five years, it saw no way out. Besides that, they were staring at total government debt obligations of $243 million! (Source: L.A. Times, July 10, 2012.)
The City of San Bernardino reduced its government workforce by 20% and was able to cut wages marginally, which led to savings of $10.0 million for 2012. However, this was not enough to meet the gaping budget deficit.
In what has become a common theme—and what will most likely take down many more cities and states—the city council in San Bernardino noted the relentless rise in pension costs and high union government worker salaries as the main culprits for the ever-expanding budget deficit. This was combined with the fact that tax revenues have declined since the recession, with one of the main culprits being the falling value of home prices, which further exacerbated the budget deficit.
As the recession-type environment continues to claim more municipal and city victims, the mayor of Scranton, Pennsylvania, is attempting another approach. The city's budget deficit is so large that, in order to continue to make payments, the city needed a loan of $16.0 million.
The market refused to provide Scranton with … Read More
Deteriorating June U.S. Job Numbers Point to Recession
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
For June, the U.S. created 80,000 new jobs, well below economists' forecasts of 100,000. The unemployment rate remained steady at 8.2%. (Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, July 6, 2012.)
When looking within the U.S. job numbers for June, of the 80,000 new jobs created, 25,000 were in temporary work and 9,000 were in wholesale trade. This means at least 42% of the job numbers are in low-paying sectors of the economy.
The jobs numbers had no help from the government sector, which lost another 4,000 jobs in the month of June.
Many of the job numbers created over the last year were in low-paying sectors of the economy; year-over-year average hourly earnings were up only two percent. When inflation is taken into consideration, this two-percent gain is completely wiped out.
Here are some important facts you should be aware of, dear reader:
In the first quarter of 2012, the job numbers for the U.S. economy went up by an average of 226,000 per month.
For the second quarter of 2012, the job numbers gained an average of only 75,000 per month.
Today's job numbers report is proof that U.S. employment is on a downward trajectory, which points to an economic slowdown. This will eventually lead to a recession later this year or in early 2013, as pressure from the recession in Europe and the economic slowdown in China yields its full negative impact on the U.S. economy.
U6, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, is a broader measure of the unemployment rate, because it takes into account discouraged people who are still looking for work, as well … Read More
Largest U.S. City So Far to Declare Bankruptcy
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
Buried under a huge budget deficit with pension obligations it had no way of honoring, Stockton, California could not reach a deal with its creditors and so will be forced to declare bankruptcy within days.
The mayor of Stockton, Ann Johnston, felt she had no choice. Before reaching this point, the city cut all of its public services and employees by an average of 40%! Unfortunately, despite these cuts, the creditors and the city couldn't come to an agreement on the budget deficit shortfall.
Now a bankruptcy court must decide whose pension/health care/other benefits get cut in order for the city to meet its budget deficit. These proceedings will drag on for years and will cost the city millions of dollars. A much smaller city, Vallejo, California, took three years to emerge from bankruptcy.
Now it will be up to a bankruptcy judge to decide if retiree medical benefits will be cut, and to what extent, to meet the budget deficit. Will pensioners survive cuts as the city tries to meet the budget deficit?
The financial crisis of 2008 that caused housing prices to collapse left Stockton's tax revenue base decimated, leading to mounting budget deficits. The unemployment rate is currently 15.4% for the city and, according to RealtyTrac, one in 195 homes is in foreclosure, which ranks it fifth-highest among all cities in the U.S.
With this backdrop, it is no wonder that Stockton has an enormous budget deficit and is traveling down the bankruptcy road. Before the financial crisis, municipal bankruptcies were almost unheard of during the last four decades.
In 2010, there were six municipal bankruptcies; in … Read More
Stock Market's Current P/E Valuation a Fallacy
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
Some believe the stock market is trading at a low price/earnings (P/E) multiple, meaning stocks are historically cheap.
The P/E multiple takes the current market price per share of a company or index and divides it by the corporate earnings per share of that company/index.
Historically, P/E multiples between 0 and 10 are considered undervalued, indicating a good time to invest. When the range is 10-17, the companies/indices are considered fair value; 18-25 is overvalued; with anything above 25 considered a bubble (the S&P 500 was way above 25 during the tech bubble).
The one-year forward-looking P/E multiple for the S&P 500 is currently 12.75, which is clearly fairly valued, but bordering on the undervalued. (Source: Wall Street Journal, June 18, 2012.)
That may be so, but that means the "E" or corporate earnings part of the P/E equation must grow in a global economy that is slowing.
I've written in these pages about how corporations, once the financial crisis hit, reduced the number of employees that they had (their costs), which helped support corporate earnings and the stock market.
Now that American corporations have cut expenses to the bone, the only way corporate earnings can grow is if revenue grows. This is evidenced by U.S. productivity numbers: they continued to grow in 2009-2011 as corporations cut staff and so produced more with less—they were more productive. This translated into higher U.S. productivity numbers and higher corporate earnings.
But, in 2012, U.S. productivity has gone negative. This means corporations have reached their limit to how operationally efficient they can be (they can't cut expenses more without affecting their capability … Read More
Why the "Only Way Out" Offered Won't Work This Time
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
Since the financial crisis hit in 2008, central banks around the world have enacted unprecedented expansive monetary policy that has been extreme and unusual. (In simple terms, they've printed money like never before.)
The hope was that by lowering interest rates to record lows and printing money, economic growth would be kick-started and get back on track to the levels seen before the crisis.
Three years later, central banks are left with the same hope. But central banks now have fewer monetary policy options, since interest rates in many countries, including the U.S., are close to zero.
Last week, China cut interest rates for the first time in three years, as economic growth in that country has fallen to the point where talks of a hard landing are gaining momentum. The People's Bank of China is hoping this monetary policy response will stop the slide and move economic growth back to levels that recently made the country the envy of the world.
India just cut its interest rates for the first time in three years, as it used this same monetary policy (lowering interest rates) to counteract slowing economic growth. Last week, Australia also cut its interest rates.
Europe and the U.S. would attempt to follow this monetary policy of cutting interest rates, but their rates are almost zero.
As of late, the heads of two of the largest central banks in the world (the Fed and the ECB) have pointed to the fact that it is up to the politicians to enact policy to spur economic growth. The monetary policy of cutting interest rates is not working.
How have … Read More
May U.S. Jobs Numbers; Proof
Real Trouble Just Beginning
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
Economists (except for this one) were looking for 150,000 jobs to be created in the U.S. in May, which would have reflected moderate economic growth. Instead, only 69,000 jobs were created in the month of May (source: Bureau of Labor Statistics)—a huge job numbers miss
Worse still, April's original 115,000 new job numbers were revised lower to just 77,000 jobs created!
The unemployment rate moved up slightly from 8.1% to 8.2%. Many industries reported weak job numbers for May, including the government sector, which I've been warning will continue to drag the job numbers lower. Governments in the U.S. laid off another 13,000 employees in the month of May. (In these pages, I have written extensively about job losses at the state level; see: Deeper Cuts Are on Tap for U.S. Municipalities in Distress.)
A close look at the job numbers report for May paints a picture of more of the same; more low-paying jobs created, while higher-paying jobs disappear. For example, higher-paying specialty trade contractor jobs declined by 18,000, while civil engineers lost 11,000 jobs.
Not promising for wage growth and consumer spending when the job numbers are so weak.
U6, often referred to as the "underemployment rate," as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, is a broader measure of the unemployment rate, because it takes into account discouraged people who have given up looking for work, as well as those working part-time who want full-time work. The U6 unemployment rate rose to 14.8% in May from April's 14.5%.
An underemployment rate of 14.8% is very high and definitely not reflective of an … Read More
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Grilled Escarole with Extra-Virgin Olive Oil and Balsamic Vinegar
For this very simple recipe by cookbook author Bruce Aidells--great with his "Grilled Spareribs with Fennel Seeds and Herbs"--the balsamic vinegar needs to be better than your average mass-market stuff. Look for one with a syrupy consistency, like Cavalli brand (which runs from $20 for a 17-oz. bottle).
Yield: Serves 6
More From Sunset
Recipe Time
30 Minutes
Nutritional Information
Amount per serving
- Calories: 125
- Calories from fat: 86%
- Protein: 1.3g
- Fat: 13g
- Saturated fat: 1.8g
- Carbohydrate: 3.9g
- Fiber: 3.1g
- Sodium: 212mg
- Cholesterol: 0.0mg
- 2 large heads escarole (1 1/2 lbs. total)
- About 1/3 cup extra-virgin olive oil, divided
- About 3/4 tsp. kosher salt
- About 3/4 tsp. pepper
- About 1 tbsp. syrupy aged balsamic vinegar
- 1. Heat a grill to medium (350° to 450°). Quarter escarole through stems so leaves remain attached. Wrap each wedge with kitchen twine in a couple of places to form a tight bundle. Brush bundles generously with oil, using 1/4 cup, then sprinkle with 3/4 tsp. each salt and pepper.
- 2. Grill escarole, covered, turning a couple of times, until leaves are slightly charred and softened, 5 to 8 minutes total.
- 3. Remove strings, cut off stems, and cut wedges into long strips. Whisk remaining 1 tbsp. each oil and vinegar (or more of each if you like) in a large bowl and toss with escarole. Season to taste with more salt and pepper and serve warm.
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Grilled Escarole with Extra-Virgin Olive Oil and Balsamic Vinegar Recipe at a Glance
- COURSE: Side Dishes/Vegetables
- CONVENIENCE: Entertaining
- MAIN INGREDIENT: Vegetables
- DIETARY CONSIDERATION: Low Carbohydrate, Low Cholesterol
- COOKING METHOD: Grill
- PUBLICATION: Sunset
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Huge Second-Half Surge Sends Milwaukee Rolling Past Northern Iowa
Dec. 3, 2013
MILWAUKEE - Matt Tiby and Jordan Aaron scored 19 points apiece and the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee used a 30-5 run to turn the game around en route to an impressive 83-72 win over Northern Iowa Tuesday night at the U.S. Cellular Arena.
The Panthers (8-2) have now already equaled their win total from a season ago and have their second four-game winning streak of the season.
Milwaukee looked like it might be in trouble when it fell into a 42-31 hole early in the second half. But the Panthers responded with the next 17 points and eventually led 61-47 with 9:52 left before hanging on down the stretch.
Steve McWhorter added 16 points and six rebounds for Milwaukee, which also got 11 points from Austin Arians and nine points plus nine rebounds from Kyle Kelm.
As a team, UWM was solid across the board, shooting 45 percent overall, making 10 three-pointers, going 19-of-25 from the line, committing just 11 turnovers and outrebounding UNI, 42-33.
Deon Mitchell scored 19 points to lead Northern Iowa.
"I thought in that first 20 minutes, Northern Iowa looked more together and they looks more seasoned than us," Milwaukee head coach Rob Jeter said. "In the second half, I thought our guys showed a level of maturity also. They've grown up, we've been to some tough venues, we've been on the road, and we started to get back to our identity. It was good to see that, in front of our fans tonight, we were able to win over our style."
Milwaukee's final 18 minutes of basketball were stellar. UWM wound up outscoring UNI, 52-34, in the second half while recording a 26-13 edge on the backboards.
"We outrebounded them, I thought we shared the ball, and I thought in the second half we made a point to get the ball inside," Jeter said. "The guys stuck to that plan and I'm very proud of them."
Milwaukee struggled to find traction in the first 20 minutes. Northern Iowa jumped out to an early 13-5 lead and UWM wound up fighting uphill the rest of the way. Milwaukee pulled to within 13-10 on a McWhorter three with 14:05 left and then crawled within 21-20 on an Arians three.
The back and forth stretch continued for a while, with UNI rebuilding a seven-point lead before Milwaukee pulled to within 27-26 on a J.J. Panoske basket. Northern Iowa finally started to expand the gap in the final minutes of the half, with a single free throw from Mitchell making it 38-31 at the break.
UNI then scored the first four points of the second half to claim a 42-31 advantage. But the game turned completely around from there.
Panoske started the run with a three and moments later a three from Tiby had the contest tied at 42-apiece. Tiby added two layups after a layin from Aaron and the Milwaukee advantage was 48-42.
But the Panthers were far from done. Another three from Tiby pushed the lead to 54-45 and a runner from McWhorter made it 59-47. Arians added a jumper with 9:52 left, and all of a sudden the Panthers were up 61-47.
From there, Milwaukee had an answer every time UNI tried to mount a charge. A three from McWhorter restored a 70-62 lead with five minutes left before Arians scored on a runout 30 seconds later for a 72-62 advantage. UWM then made 9-of-12 from the line to close out the win.
"Down 11, to a team that is very disciplined and well-coached like Northern Iowa, things could get out of hand quickly," Jeter said. "This group really found a way to do it the tough way. There weren't a lot of jump shots, it was more inside, and I think that's our identity."
Milwaukee stays home but heads back to campus this weekend, welcoming Bradley to the Klotsche Center for a 3 p.m. contest.


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I have always loved JC Penney. I grew up shopping there, I have found some of the best deals there, and I've got a ton of pieces from Penney's that people always ask, "OMG Where did you get that?!" immediately upon spying my outfit. I have a theory, and I think the reason this happens is because a. a lot of people don't even bother going into Penney's b. they have a serious issue with rack appeal c. someone else should be dressing their mannequins. See what I scored in-store for the Labor Day Sale.
One thing that JC Penney has always been particularly surprising about when it comes to hey … I didn't expect to see you in here factor is their jewelry. Neon jewelry is definitely still a hot, hot trend, and JC Penney is serving it up. They're also serving up some very, very not hot jewelry … but that's the gift of Penney's.
You look past the not hot stuff and the hot stuff is right there next to it. You look past the gawdy, the bawdy, and the just plain good Lord no one would ever buy that, and somewhere mixed amongst it you find Holy Grail pieces that kick off your wardrobe for the rest of the season. Not to mention the prices are excellent, the quality is sometimes pretty high, they have a Sephora inside most locations, and they have some upscale designer partnerships going on. More about that in a minute.
These floral shorts are fantastic. You remember when I was telling your previously about how I envisioned wearing these silky printed pants that I found at Forever21? Well, I'm wearing these shorts in much the same manner until it gets too cold to wear them. In fact I'm wearing them right now! They're by I <3 Ronson … which I have found a lot of success wearing even though the line is not intended for plus sizes. That's another gift that Penney's gives. Some of their lines are, shall we say, generously cut, and then again, even the ones that aren't often have pieces that are made so that you could totally wear them even if they aren't *technically* for plus size. Then again, they have lines like Worthington that I hate with a passion because I don't think I'm ever going to be able to wear what they call an "18″ with a straight face again. The last time I wore their 18 I was a 14 in most stores. *Eye roll.* That's another blog post.
I would call this dress a "Sweater Maxi" because the material is sort of a mix between terry and sweater material. That's not entirely accurate, and I'm not sure if they meant this piece for summer, but it's certainly too heavy of a fabric to really work in most climates for summer. I'm seeing this A DOR A BELLS dress with a blazer this fall. And maybe some flats or boots who knows – you won't be able to see much of my feets anyway. And I love the belt that it came with. I can double it up, I can wear it how I have it here, I can wear it with other things, I can wrap it fashionably. Lots of options. Oh, and this dress has pockets. This is also by I <3 Ronson.
That's what I found for myself at Penney's. They're also having a Clearance Sale of magnanimous proportion for Labor Day. Get thee there and get to shopping ladies!
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Half chance for Arsenal: Watch
Great chance for Swansea: Watch
Swansea chance: Watch
Cazorla great shot: Watch
Giroud penalty shout: Watch
Swansea great play, good save by Chesney: Watch
Vermaelen chance: Watch
Michu 0-1: Watch
Michu 0-2: Watch
What are the fans at the emirates gonna sing the next time?
So how many of you now are going stand by the team (Wenger) We are screwed for this season ?
whats the excuse this time?
now sell Walcott. And probably Wilshere as well is developed enough to be sold. Then the great master plan of Wenger is complete!
Holy crap! No excuse, AW
The team is not good enough to compete for top four. This is the worst performance I have ever watched in the last twenty years of watching Arsenal. No pace, no running of the ball, no ability to hold the ball, no good passes, no craftiness or guile with the ball.
What a great and wonderful defeat…
Sorry ! we want our Arsenal back. Wenger has to go. He has been foolling us for more than 7 years. He may find else where a job that suits his minimalism thinking. We have now money to build a new team with a new manager.
Arsenal was on song …why on earth take off Wilshire and replace with Rosicky who gave away the ball so cheaply ! Swansea teaches Arsenal how to play the passing game ..Arsene has lost the plot ..and some fans still blame the results on Bad Luck!
Wenger has got to go Im sorry
This has to happen to wake up into reality.
anyone wanna buy an arsenal parachute?
The only reason the scoreline was 0-2 was because of Scezny or else its 0-4 or worst..Walcott making a wise decision to abandon ship, its a rudderless ship run by a deluded captain and owned by a group of very greedy owners ..
"Its the cold weather making the players go numb in the head" lamented Arsene in the after match press conference..
Only wish that "not making the champions league" brings wake up calls for those greedy owners. They will try harder not to sink the brand of Arsenal into the bottom. We'll see how they do it.
and Arsene is going for a Crystal Palace striker in the January transfer window !!
Game Over.
We are witnessing the beginning of the end of the Arsene era at Arsenal. The team against Swansea was supposed to be the strongest side and playing at home. Unbelievable ..
I've learnt that if things are not working out, you change the approach. So far Arshavin hasn't been allowed to play, despite him saving us blushes against QPR and then ManU (a move ending with a goal) and almost did it again against Fulham (earned a penalty).
If it's time for Wenger to go then surely a time for Arsenal to go to Championship. No manager can do what he has with so so limited resources. I'd be surprised if somebody can name one, Big Sam maybe?
It's time for board to be sacked!
The club must dramatically change trajectory…
Either Peter Hill-Wood resigns or…
Ivan Gazidis resigns or…
Arsene Wenger gets the sack.
The club must change trajectory immediately.
There should be no more buying of untested or B-list players. Its time to fight for and buy top of the range performers.
It's time when top players will think about joining Arsenal, or they sign short-term deals (1 or 2 years at max) and looking to revive their careers.
@ Sufian
His resources havent been that limited! We have the 4th highest wage bill in the premier league.
And we can afford that because we charge the highest tickets and I think have the highest matchday income in the premier league!
Yes wenger has done good things but he is not flawless and he has lost his touch it does happen all things come to an end.
The guy has never been great with tactics and i am fine with him staying as director/advisor of football and coaching.
No longer should he remain at the helm.
Who can man manage better? i would say managers like bergkamp, hiddink, moyes, even laudrup given the time have you seen the way he got swansea playing on a fraction of our budget?
Wenger cant even spot the bargain buys anymore. We buy gIROUD 12 MIL, Swansea buy Michu for 2MIL. cASE cLOSED
@Sufian smell the coffee ..Arshavin is on the way out in fact he's in the queue right in front of Walcott..
@Ken Marshall, wage bill is high because we are a feeder club. Who would buy players who are not good enough to have healthy pay at Arsenal?
I don't believe he's flawless. Not giving chances to players who can create something out of nothing is nothing less than craziness. Had there been Arshavin, he would have done something. Rosicky has just come back and doesn't look like himself and definitely needs time.
The signing fee issue is due to absence of David Dein, as many people have already pointed out on the internet.
@Mofaz, yes he better leave. He deserves to play for a title winning team and not us.
What is this fucking Sufian talking about? Instead of facing the reality that the whole building has cracks,he talks about one dirty room inside.
these are dark times at the emirates, but keep your heads up. At the end of the day, none of us can really do anything to influence the decisions of the board and Wenger, so stop freaking out. There's only two options and bitching isn't one of them: don't buy any paraphernalia, don't go the live matches.
I think it's healthy to be realistic about the situation but not to the point of making hyperbolic and sweeping generalizations regarding nuanced and complex issues wihtin the club.
Heads up, COYG
@enough now!, look kid, no place for manure fanboys.
@IcjGunner. probably right but it hurts. Why do some of the things not get fixed? If we hadn't been hopeful, we'd stopped watching the game.
i think wenger as run out of ideas, hes tried everything & it hasnt worked & we have been very patient waiting for the big pay off, but the policy of selling top players mostly to rivals has scuppered any chance to build a winning team. a lot has changed since he joined arsenal, he brought a fresh new philosophy & style of play & was shrewd in he transfer market, but there has been more turkeys than gems recently. david dein is gone too. but its a money game now and arsenal cant compete with the bigshots. we need mourihno, surely his wage demands cant be much more than wenger is getting, he would attract top players and might shake the board out of their slumber. the headless chicken syndrome is seeping from the top down. so waddya say madrid? wenger n djourou for jose, straight-ish swap
@Sufian to criticize Arsenal as a fan who loves the club and upset seeing what's happening on the field and the star players being sold one by one to highest bidder for profit does not make one turn into a Mannure fan..
@Mofaz, to insult is Manure.
@dubbledubs71, probably yes (Wenger running out of ideas) but no way this board will ever bring anyone else in place of Wenger (not that I am in favour of).
Arsene will bring back TH on loan just to keep the fans distracted like last season..January transfer window, Walcott, Arshavin and Chamakh will be off. Not If but when Carzola or Wilshire gets injured then Arsenal will be in deep trouble …
I don't think Arshavin can be Arsenal's messiah. I am a great fan of him and he has turned around many games for us this season. And I sincerely hope that he be given more chances at the club. But the fact is that he is not the same player that we signed in 2009. He has lost his touch. We need better, top top players and that would mean raising the wage cap, which I don't think will happen in the near future because of the greedy mindedness of the board.
I think Wenger will walk out the day the board asks him to take a pay cut or when he is not given a better deal.
Until then we have to live on with this. Frustrating.
Not surprised.
@a.k.a gunner, if you play any player out-of-position you can't judge him. He's not a winger and we played him there a lot and then he had to cover up for the shacky LBs last season and it probably took a lot of his energy which ended up him being not being the same player. If you don't believe then watch him play for Russia where he plays in his natural position. Moreover, when he was having a bad patch and Wenger put him as a support behind Young (Carling Cup last season) he did well. I'll be interested to see Messi play as a DM and then see what people say about his performance.
Remember last season there was a player that saved Arsenal and got Arsenal into 3rd..this season no RVP, no CL..
Remember when Arsenal was struggling in season 08/09, they bought Arshavin which saved them blushes? It might be a similar thing again. It's just sad.
i am dissapointed about the loss and the sight of the game made me worried BUT… what i'm reading here is like WTF? LOL
MOFAZ your a cunt seriously! your the only guy here with the most negativity!!! OMFG you keeping commenting on the downfalls like every fucking comment of yours is soo negative an unheard of.
ARE U A MANU FAN SERIOUSLY??? if not STFU and stop crying.
WE all panic and have negative comments and we're entitled to that but why are u commenting so much hate on the team you support. I am worried and dissapointed but your negativity is like off the charts of stupidity.
when arsenal do win I never see your dumb comments but once they go on a slop its like a hatefull chimp has been unleashed and cant stop commenting about soo much hate lol
BTW my point is you should chill out, everyones dissapointed about the loss if you truly support arsenal you wanna see immediate response the next game. but what your saying in every comment is soo STUPID.
I feel, this forum is about Arsenal not just individual players ambitions, if you think your player should leave for trophies fine w/e… but what we're supposed to believe and hope for is our team winning trophies and if you really think thats impossible and pointless to even try to believe in it, then why come to this forum, you can just follow the team on tv or something. why follow the team in the first place.
why comment your opinions if you don't regard the team important or highly. Aren't you just wasting your time because u don't care about the team. Not trying change or hate someone on this forum BUT saying some realistic sense here.
The idea of all of us being entitled to our opinions come to a certain extent on what isn't needed to be heard. Everyone gets angry when arsenal loses, that's being a fan. Immediate change is something every one desires if nothing is working, but how fast is immediate change?…transfer window is in JANUARY, we have one whole month. You gotta stick to the team no matter what.
I know everyone cares about this team because you comment here after every game to show how u feel. Not trying to point at anyone. Maybe we should really stick with this team. It can get even worse if you think even more negative.
I'm looking forward to Wenger knowing and learning from his mistakes than Arsenal making quick improvement. He said the team had a jaded performance and I'm surprised if he really thinks that way because the depth of current squad is much more than season 08/09.
Arteta is not given freedom to do what he does best and playing Santi so much is going to backfire I'm afraid. Player rotation, if any, is nearly missing.
Anyone who can't spot the crisis is deluded and gullible to the extreme. Sorry to hear anyone having a heart attack, but I guess it's another sign the board needs to be completely revamped.
hmm crisis?… when you lose the season and then don't qualify for champions league… that's a crisis.
not having your good performance consistently played isn't a crisis but period of time during the season where we need to work on our results.
I have always loved AW, but deeply sorry, I think it's time to move on. I haven't seen an Arsenal team as hapless as this one. In the past, we could still enjoy a brillinat football even if we lost. This team is an absolute disgrace, we lose and we're horrible. We deserve to lose and that's painful.
Why not changing the tactic when one is not working. Why not playing two center forward (4-4-2). Play a two-striker combination between Theo, Podolski and Giroud (that's all we have!). Is Gervinho a centreforward? He's not even good to play as a winger, he's totally useless. Oxo's talent's been watsed on the flanks. Why not playing him in the middle. Wilshere and Arteta are similiar players, what's the point of playing them together. Gibbs is always out of position, he's not Ashely Cole. His defending is so bad the team is always on the back foot. This team is so unbalanced. The player are good (some top talent) but the system of our play is to blame. Our defenders are not fighters. Look at first Swansea's goal. They all gave up no one bothered chasing Michu.
We have to get rid of deadwood (Ramsey, Rosicki, Chamakh, Denilson,Park,Gervinho, Djourou … Gee it's a long list!!!) and bring in some decent tested players and also fresh ideas. If AW can change, more than happy otherwise …
Have you ever played FIFA games? like the current one FIFA 13??
4-4-2 formation is weak!! a 4-3-3 can over take a normal 4-4-2 fomation easily in the middle of the park. 4-4-2 is only dominant on the wings not in the middle. Btw you don't get a lot out of your strikers in 4-4-2 instead in 4-3-3 you have 3 strikers in front while playing wing you can have them all in the middle and attack with the fullbacks.
4-3-3 benefits the midfield so much!! the only good 4-4-2 is a very defensive one. playing with ONE STRIKER only and a midfielder playing as a false number 9 and drifting back in the midfield also for defensive purposes.
the most boring way for a football game by clearly playing defensive until you get a minor chance from corners or crosses from you wings.4-3-3….
real Madrid, Barca, THE GERMAN NATIONAL TEAM!!
why do you think the best teams in the world play
Hi mate,
4-3-3 or 4-4-2 or whatever! My point is we need to change the way we play. It's AW's job to find out. I don't think I can be as good as him just by playing computer games. We have been undone by every single coach in the league. Now they know how to neutrelize us. It's a pity because we loved the way Arsenal played but the game has changed. This team does not have the same level of creativity or pace. Still good player but are not played properly. What happens if Theo leaves? Who else has got his pace and trickery? You can get best of Theo or Oxo if you play them centrally. We don't play direct, we are always playing outwide, useless lateral passes. We don't have specialist wingers, we are wasting our best talents on the flanks and Arsene does not seem to change this. I am no Arsene hater. I love the man. He was the reason I became an Arsenal fan and I still hope he can get this mess.
In such an extreme 'luck', Arsenal could suddenly put themselves in 3rd position in the next 2 mathces with their advantage in goals differences. Maybe sounds so unlikely, but halfway is still 4 matches away. I hope Arsenal could manage better games and will not give away such a what-should-be easy one to get a grip, at least, in top four on the half of season.
I do agree that Arsenal should change their playing style a little bit. We could really see that Everton read Arsenal's tactic very well last week. Defensive scheme must be improved, since opponents still could easily make a through ball to their middle forward. A possesive play would be better if it is an effective possesion. They gave away too many easy ball while did the pass while didn't get any chance to get a shot. Giroud and Chamakh actually ideal strikers. They just should left out from the passing scheme, since their task is to score more than setting up. That what Henry did, and their last striker after him did.
I know this team have potential and actually IS a contender for the title. They just need to get their confidence back and KEEP IT!
you made a good point there… that we are not a far away from 3rd/4th place. 2 or 3 wins can turn things around. But this is due to our rivals' incompetency and not because of our merit. So we are very much the same as West Brom/Spurs/Everton. It is a scramble out there and it will be interesting to see who finally makes the cut. 4th place is no longer a guarantee…
Regarding Arsenal being a title contender… No definitely not bro.. If things are going like this, I don't think we will be one in the near future.
If what we are seeing is not considered a "crisis" then god helps us if or when we actually in "crisis" …
Arsenal will be extremely lucky to finish top 6 ..hope next season will miss the European leagues all together so that the board will finally pull their head out of their asses and realized that other teams in the PL have improved while Arsenal is stagnant …
im starting to wonder if you really are some manure fan trolling on this forum lol… your comments are just really weird…
Which is worse for the team? Blind support or constant bashing?
All I know is, booing from the home and away fans didn't start just Sunday. Frustration is running high in lot of gooners, and the roars need to get responses. Responses not just from players, but the managers at all levels, too. Our goal is set to be the 4th place. Why? Because Arsene knows. He knows that's what we are getting with this squad. Can we do better? Maybe. Do we "deserve" the 4th? No! We have to fight for it.
Haven't they thought about getting a better sqaud, play for CL title and PL title for better profit? Have they become so short-sighted? For what they have eared from us fans, they owe us more than just explanation but action.
As long as Arsene and the Board achieve their usual target of top four finish..Arsenal will never win a single trophy, not even the league cup let alone CL or even FA cup .. forget about winning the league because the mind set of the management trickles down to every player ..top 4 is good enough. Finishing out side the top 4 or even missing european football all together maybe the wake-up call Arsenal needs ..
Worse of all this "top four our target" has completely brainwashed some fans as well ..as evident from the posts on this forum..
Yeah , bro ……you are right. We habe habe many dreamers on the board.
@Tieneich, can't agree more and that is what I have been thinking (and maybe said it here as well). But the plain fact is, these business people have no brain. They are greedy people and it's just difficult for them to think about tomorrow. Few years ago Arshavin said we need 2 or 3 top players to compete for title, today is still the same (or worse). Spend money wisely…but how can we spend? It just looks like governments that we had a change of face in silent Kroenke and now nothing changed (as in positive one).
This guuy has a love story with Arshavin. He has to follow him and suck his dick during the cold winter of Petersbourg. He should admit that Arshavin had no impact on the game yesterday. Such stupid supporters make it even worse. Support is due to a club and not individuals. Arshavin was alway complaining about London, taxes, the weather,…., never mind those are personal views, but he has been struggling since many years. I wished he could get his form again. Now it over, how long are going to wait for some players to recover, bounce back, or for a manager who has lost the plot ??
@Sufian..Lets look at Arshavin's situation ..he could have submitted a transfer request back to his old club, in fact his old club wanted him back, If his priority is to play football instead of sitting on the bench. He's not getting younger, his career as Russian player and captain is as good as over, but on the positive side he is on a good running contract with Arsenal, he was the record buy by Arsene and enjoy one of the highest wage at Arsenal. He is not getting a new contract at Arsenal so he just waits for the contract to run out and enjoy the wages..
@Mofaz, when he signed for Arsenal, Barca were interested in him. This alone blows your whole theory off.
@"enough now!", sorry dude, if you can't stand the truth you may just not comment. If I say RVP has class and you don't like, just don't act like ManU fans, okay? I hope I got my point across through your thick skull.
@Sufian, you seemed to be living in the past, Arshavin was a hot item back when Arsene signed him up and his goals against Liverpool proved it..but that was back then, we are talking about the present and the future..and Arsenal fans do have the right to criticize the team when they are playing badly..to criticize means we care and worry about the path the club is going and might finally end up ..
@Mofaz, quote me where I said criticism is completely wrong? Yes I did say that it should be done in a constructive way. Ever heard Ferguson say his ManU players are rubbish? Yet, he does criticize them time to time.
Secondly, Barca were even interested in him at the end of 2010/11 season, meaning if money was what his motives were he would have left it them. First team appearances may have suffered but his bank balance would have grown at twice the rate. Think about it.
As Tieneich was comparing 2 extremes (blind support or constant bashing), you should do it wisely. Summers are generally good for it, but sadly fans were too busy bashing RVP than the board or Wenger, because at the end of the day it's the club and management who takes decisions and not players.
Bashing RVP ? I don' t know what you are talking about. I saw his last game vs Köln. The fans booed him, because clearly he was not in the mood, nevertheless he went over to them and threw his shirt. In the last Emirates games no one booed him at all, so I wonder how you fancy these stories.
@Arschloch, the internet fans I meant. All Arsenal blogs were filled with such hateful comments. And even if some player didn't want to leave, he would have considered his options anyway. Not justifying his leaving the club, so hopefully aimless bashers won't have a problem with that. Not referring to you Arschloch
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Rachel Ray does good for some animals (still cooks others) »
Look, I'm going to be honest here—I really love Rachael Ray. When I have extra money, I buy her magazine; if I had cable, I'd watch 30 Minute Meals. Her recipes are SO EASY to veganize, and they are quick! I know you all want to make a fast dinner during the work week. Stop hating and start veganizing her simple, yet tasty and creative, recipes! Plus, she didn't go to culinary school and neither did I. No pretension here!
Anyway, on to something that has to do with animals. Rachael Ray has teamed up with Katherine Heigl to save some dogs! Let's not talk about how I feel about Katherine Heigl, okay? (Let's just say that I love Grey's Anatomy and cry to it every week.)
On her recent show, Rachael Ray donated $150,000 dollars to Katherine Heigl's animal charity, the Jason Debus Heigl Foundation. It's all about raising awareness about spaying and neutering dogs. Which reminds me of the only PETA poster I ever loved (and even owned, but sadly lost in some move between apartments in Chicago):
Not Rachel or Katherine, but instead: Chan Marshall, not wearing feather earrings! She also wants you to spay or neuter your pets.
[top image from Rachael Ray via the Jason Debus Heigl Foundation]
∞ posted at 14:59 by jennybradley


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People love hearing these stories about you mingling with normal people. Why do you think that is?
It's like seeing a bunny rabbit come into your house or something like that, or a bird fly into your house. It's like, "Hey, there's a bird in the house." It's just kind of a strange thing. It's like, "Well, that's kind of unusual, there's a bird in the house." Or even a bug, more like a big bug. But, like, if you see a bunny rabbit and you're close to it, and it's something you don't usually get close to, it's kind of amazing. You're like, "Hey, it's alive," you know? "Look at that thing. Even its eyes, it's really interesting. It's alive, it's a creature, look at that thing."
Two thin, careful girls would sit next to me. They were stenographers, and to type quickly in Chinese it took both of them simultaneously punching on a small red keyboard. One would type the pinyin and tone of the character – given a notation system on the board – and the other would click through to select the correct character out of the hundreds that appeared on a screen. Their lives seemed hard and dull, even in the glimmering sheen of the press room – a ballroom in a garish new hotel. On the other hand, D and I thought it was glamorous. There were rose petals in a bowl in the ladies room, lemons floated in a tureen of ice-water poured out by attendants in white gloves. We were at the center of the world. And the reporters who flooded in — taking notes on what we heard, funneling it back out to the world — looked over at us, here at the head of the room, where we sat at a long, slim, linen-covered table taking directions from a few men in tweed suits — censors, or information officers — who ran the show.
Here are things my mother's cat does that make us remark, "Oh, he's so smart!"
1. If you forget you're playing with him — dragging his favorite orange feather cluster by a long strand — and instead, you start paying attention to the movie you're watching, he doesn't meow. Instead, he reaches up to your hand — which is holding his string — and lightly claws it.
2. When he gets tired, he stops playing and watches television.
I wish magazines that regularly run long profiles would let readers browse the archives of those profiles by industry. Interested in the art world? Here is every art world profile ever published in the New Yorker. Etc.
I want them to also do it by region! (China!?) But more to the point — read "A Roomful of Hovings" — John McPhee's profile of Thomas Hoving!
"I also knew that if I stayed another semester they would hand me a diploma, and that diploma is going to open a whole lot of doors that I don't want to go through. And I know that I am not real strong, and if I have that key, at some point I'm going to be seduced and want to go through one of those doors. So by not having the diploma, I will remove the temptation. That actually worked out very well, because I was tempted, more than once."
— a Harvard drop out on why he left the semester before graduation. This might have been a really great idea, as I've been too tempted to go through doors.
When your windowshades are down and you begin to hear the faint trickle of rain but are sure you could be deluding yourself, WHY IS THERE NO WEBSITE TO TURN TO THAT HAS THE CURRENT WEATHER? This was the thought I just actually had.
In addition to my $160-for-$6 first edition Mysteries of Pittsburgh find, I found a first edition Arundhati Roy God of Small Things for $8 dollars — which is going for $55 on eBay! Whoot whoot! Interestingly enough — and I don't know what this means — my first edition Jonathan Lethem Fortress of Solitude, which I thought would be somewhat collectible, is completely worthless. That's only $6 dollars down the hole though… As is the true first edition of Paul Harding's Tinkers — which I thought would be more as it was such a storied small edition, but actually is just about $20 dollars. Anyway, I want to read it so it's no loss.
Finally: I think I'm going to start a small business where I just visit my parents in the obscure locations where they live going used book shopping, then return to New York and sell them.
ps: I also snagged an epic Stanley Elkin novel, The Magic Kingdom, whose comic plot consists of following a school trip of terminally ill children as they voyage to Disneyland. If I write an essay on The Book of Daniel, I think this will prove useful.
When Gulou was destroyed I realized I had to write about Beijing. When I was there, in 2008, everyone was mourning the neighborhoods that had been destroyed before I had gotten there; I saw the mourners but knew nothing of what they were mourning. The boy I was dating lived in a complex of dark towers that surrounded a lake that had swans in it. I assumed they cut the swans' wings because any other bird would have flown away from there. What happened in the winter to them, I didn't know.
I would wake up earlier than him — shaky, unsure of my life — and draw wide the cheap Ikea curtain to look out on his two views. On one side there was a big hot-shot architect building of housing towers joined by a walkway on their 20th floor; it looked like one of those marble games that children play with where the glass balls whoosh down planks toward some playtime sense of destruction. On the other view there was — when we first started dating — a cluster of half-destroyed hutongs, with no families in them. Sometimes there were little stray dogs there, eating the trash. On their walls, spraypainted, was the character for demolition. It reminded me of what I had seen in New Orleans after the storm — the spraypainted National Guard signs for when the house had been searched over the number of bodies that had been found there. The later dates were in the Black neighborhoods — of course, the government had searched there last — and N.O. activists let the spraypaint stand as a monument of the government mismanagement they were trying to prove. Returning homeowners were the first to whitewash over the marks of what had failed them.
Here, there was little threat of finding bodies in the rubble and I'd stare at the dollhouse-like insides of homes on my way to the big bus station at the corner. Later, the rubble was gone and there was astro-turf and a few trees. It was an awkward place for a park — punched up in a triangle of land in a Metropolitan area, near the curve of highway that marked the third ring road. We never saw anyone go into it. There were no picnics there, no kids playing. The trees looked awkward in the new grass.
But I didn't feel anything about it. I had never seen the area alive. And I didn't mind that my boyfriend's house was built on some older, deader hutong which I had never known. But with every phase of new destruction, I am now a person who has a memory about some other place. Beijing, to me, will never be better than it was in 2008 — when there were a couple of swans zooming around some dark ponds, and elsewhere in the city there were little lighted alleys among the belltowers.
pt. 2
The time I consciously remember going to Gulou — aside from the times we went there to drink, or I went there to meet with my Chinese tutor, Wei Ling, who liked a little cafe at their base — was when there was a murder.
I was hanging out with an NPR freelancer who was getting a lot of work coming up during the Olympics. She had strawberry blonde hair and a kind of Scandanavian face — with the upturned nose and the bright smile; but her demeanor was the opposite of all that physical nicety. She was hardboiled and hardworking, rough and punchy. It was something like the week before the Opening ceremonies and we did nothing but work from her living room's wifi — cleaning up drafts, e-mailing editors, check up on pitches… I had a lot of work around that time and I hadn't been to Gulou to hang out in a couple of weeks.
I was on GoogleReader and saw an alert on Reuters' wire, I think. It might have been AP. A volleyball coach of the American team had gone up on the Belltower as a tourist and had been stabbed. I read it out loud as I was reading it and J___ froze, her hand over her mouth. Without saying much about it we grabbed notebooks and her recording equipment and ran down the flight of stairs at her compound — a warren of pale blue apartment buildings with those dingy hallways, scraped up from years of sneaker rubber. We pedaled over as fast as we could on our big, beachcomber flying pigeons and parked the bikes near a small cluster of what were obviously foreign reporters. They were in black with big teams of translators and researchers; the new imports here just for the Olympics. Everyone was just trying to get a shot of the Belltower's now-closed gate, with a sign that read "Closed" and some police tape. The woman who worked the tower wasn't talking, the cops weren't talking, and the reporters were just wasting time on cigarettes and chatter. The story was it was just one crazy murderer, just out of an insane asylum of some sort. The coach had just been American — that was all.
J___ was more of a go-getter than me and her Chinese was far superior. She decided we should go around the neighborhood, seeing if anyone had seen anything. We talked to the woman on the corner, who sold film to tourists and the other barkeeps and food stall owners who worked right around the tower. They had all heard the sirens but not much else, and instead of giving J the quotes she needed would just ask her about what had happened and why. So there we were, two Americans explaining to these people who had never been able to leave the country in which they were born that some crazy man had stabbed one of our own. We walked down the back alleys, sure enough that no one here had heard or seen anything, but just doing it because it was beautiful. And it was 2:00 on a summer day, and what else did we have to do. I think we went for noodles, because what else would we have done. I tried to feel bad for the man who was stabbed but I didn't. I imagined him in his coaching windbreaker, touring the Belltower where they kept all those old time pieces and gongs. I had been there too, as an ignorant, when I first came to Beijing in December. I had shuffled as a tourist. I had said stupid things, loudly. Had worn an ugly snow jacket. Maybe I — the me eating noodles — would kill that version of myself, too. I liked not knowing which side I was on — which was a way of not feeling guilty about anything, not feeling guilty about being priveleged enough to leave this country and not feeling like America's rude ignorance was my fault. It was this kind of confusion of place that I loved about the hutongs. There are so few places where I can get lost in the world, where I can lose my sense of direction, my sense of space, my sense of time. And that was one of them — back there, in those spare, small alleys with their bustle and clamor and the noodle shops and the children and the bars and the crates of Tsingtao out on the corner for the recycling man and the coal man shouting and the jingling jangling sound of the place, which was the opposite of monolithic Beijing and its wide, quiet squares. And feeling lost and confused by commotion was the opposite of feeling alone in those big squares, where I knew where I was but wasn't sure why I was there.
Our friend Josh Farrar, author of Rules to Rock By, emailed me today and I thought you'd all enjoy his little story:
I'd been looking for a copy of Walker Percy's "The Last Gentleman" for quite a while now. It's kind of hard to find, but you guys had a nice copy of it (in fact it was the only Walker Percy book you had that day).
I'd read it in high school, but wanted to re-read it after reading in Flannery O'Connor's biography that the character Val, a nun, is based on O'Connor. A couple days ago, after reading about a hundred pages, I noticed a little script-handwritten note in the flap that said "Val = O'Connor."
Q. What compelled you, when you were still a newspaper journalist, to write your first novel?
A. The spur was a financial crisis. My car broke down, and I couldn't afford to get it fixed. And another journalist at the newspaper had written a thriller and the advance he got from the publisher was £200, which was pretty much exactly the amount of money I needed to get my car fixed. I did not figure that out until life began to show me I was a so-so newspaper reporter, and as a novelist I might have something special.
Gulou is basically one of those beautiful, windy-alleyway neighborhoods of Beijing that's so curvy it's difficult to navigate on bicycle. I would walk through here smelling baozi baking, watch kids playing, see old people peering out from their living rooms — on my way to those places we used to always go to together: that billiard club, that two story cafe, those bell towers.
Today in Northampton I was shopping for Used Books with my Dad. I found a first edition of Michael Chabon's first novel, Mysteries of Pittsburgh, for $6 dollars, but then I remembered what my mother said once. I had thought it was impressive that I had the first edition signed hardcover of Jonathan Safran Foer's first novel and she said that they make books like that in huge runs these days, and it wouldn't get any money at all.* And I remembered reading that Mysteries of Pittsburgh was you know, a huge success. So it probably had a huge run.
D'oh! It's worth $50 - 100 dollars! Why oh why did I buy the Raymond Chandler novel instead because "it seemed more fun and I'm on vacation."
*I just fact-checked. Turns out the Everything is Illuminated is going for $160! And the other gem in my collection — N + 1 volume 1 — which I stole from my friend's brother's room, is 182 dollars!
Keep buying those first editions, kids!
**The title is a reference to Patti Smith's autobiography, in which she basically lives off of finding first editions in trash heaps. I knew all of you knew this already. I should really stop gloating and start driving to Northampton.
My friend asked me to make her a starter-pack mix of music I like that's being made these days. There was enough for three CDs. I found I could neatly divide it between
1. For the City at Night
2. Muddy Boys
3. Lovesongs/Ladies
I don't think there are any questions about what falls into what.
Yeah, Holland won.
I was trying to explain to Ming the immensity of this last week, when they had only just beat Brazil —
"For years, my people have been known for cheese, wooden shoes, pointed hats, tulips. That's like — one thing per 3 centuries. Now, in this century, there is one more thing!" It's 1% about sports and 99% about broad, international statements. Soccer could be to Holland as Bjork is to Iceland — some symbol that elevates a regurgitated country out of the darkness of Viking pasts.
But if in the final they play Germany, we're screwed — everyone will probably still confuse the two countries' identities. That was the consensus at Tonic — where in the cheers and whoops it was the only audible negative.
Just for public information:
The first show July 11th is… DEER HOOF & XIU XIU PERFORMING JOY DIVISION'S UNKNOWN PLEASURES, WHY?, FANG ISLAND, & PICTUREPLANE!


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Amplidata 'Big Data' storage appliance reduces energy draw
Summary: Appliance for processing unstructured data is aimed at data centers seeking to make the most out of storage density despite power limitations.
Amplidata is sounding the energy efficiency theme with the release of a new storage module for its AmpliStor XT Storage System for Big Data.
The technology offers 30 terabytes of capacity in a 1U form factor, which is 50 percent larger than the capacity of Amplidata's previous offering.
But the biggest advantage could come in the form of power savings: Amplidata has designed the AS30 module so that it uses 2.2 watts per terabyte when idle and 3.3 watts per terabyte under load. That is roughly 30 percent less power than other comparable storage devices used for handling unstructured data in media and entertainment applications. To put it in terms that most people would understand: the appliance uses about the same power as a 60-watt light bulb, according to the compamy.
Amplidata figures that its AS30 system is about 70 percent more energy efficient than traditional RAID systems. Said Amplidata CEO Wim De Wispelaere:
"With the AmpliStor XT controllers, we are now able to provide near-linear scaling of throughput at multi-gigabytes per second -- speed that allows even Big Data payloads to be processed at blazing speed. And these low-power AS30 nodes enable data centers to deploy petabytes of storage capacity per rack given the power delivery limitations within the data center."
The AS30 module is priced starting at about 60 centers per gigabyte.
Kick off your day with ZDNet's daily email newsletter. It's the freshest tech news and opinion, served hot. Get it.


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Behold, the Tim Tebow sandwich at Carnegie Deli!
3.3 pounds!
Reblogged from The Village Voice
Behold, the Tim Tebow sandwich at Carnegie Deli!
3.3 pounds!
That a really good quarterback (or so I'm told) is also a devout evangelical Christian should concern no one, it seems to me. That he often displays his faith by kneeling in the middle of games strikes me as banal given the end-zone shenanigans that also go on. But it's worth noting that for Christians, it should be a problem. Prayer is not supposed to be a public event, designed to display your holiness in front of the maximum number of people.
Andrew Sullivan on Tim Tebow and Christianism


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There is always a new way to view an old story. We hear of a babe wrapped in swaddling clothes and lying in a manger. We hear of a King who came to reign, with feet bare, born of a teenage mother, and of a family heritage of prostitute and adulterer. He arrived perfect and left perfect, with genes fully human–with a family tree before him scarred with stories of jealousy and murder, deception and mistakes. He is my family and your family. He is my story and yours.
You have a story all your own, with ups and downs and things you regret, things you've done you wish you could change. Ask Me into those places. Let Me show you a new way to view these old stories. There is a fresh story I want to give you, a fresh perspective on every past thing you've done that you regret.
The old stories are hard to look at with clear eyes. Our memory clings to moments that sting–or our memory feels an empty room, quiet and still, lonely, neglected. Our Father holds it all so close, these memories of ours–whether we can bear to remember the painful details or not.
There is hope everywhere, child. There is hope in everything, in every moment, in every past, in every future. The hope for the future exists in Me—and I ask you to trust Me so I may show you how I look at your past. When I show you your past, I am asking you to trust Me in how I see you. And how I see you is not at all how you see yourself.
My friend can't remember much of her past from her childhood. It is too painful, too raw. Much has been blocked from her memory–and when moments flood back, she can barely stand the view. Her heart breaks for the girl she was that wasn't seen, wasn't loved, wasn't adored and delighted in. And to hear that God sees her, in those moments, holding her past and her present before Him, so lovingly, in His hands, is difficult to bear. What is she to do with all this mess, all this pain? What is she to do with the absence of happy memories? How is she to have courage and faith and hope when her heart aches for the little girl still within her that feels alone and helpless and lost?
Her past melts with her present, as the pain of the past never fully goes away.
Fair one, I come for you. I come for you again. I do not tire of being close to you. I do not tire of leaning in, listening to your words, your cries, your pleas, your songs. I strengthen you. I equip you. I restore you. I surround you with hope. I bring people around you to show you hope. You have brothers and sisters I want to show you, people whose names I know and whom I delight in bringing forth to you, whom I delight in you getting to know.
There may be a hint, now, of story within a different frame. The little girl in the room abandoned is watched with heart broken wide. Every tear held in hands safe and sure and strong. The pain remains, but the ache subsides–the ache to be loved, to be known, to be healed. This little-girl-grow-woman can look at that little girl alone and see her now, through the eyes of God. She can still cry for her; she can still mourn. But she can rejoice, too, for the story she tells is from the heart of a woman who knows she is loved.
I give you glimpses of beauty, glimpses of glory, glimpses of hope and light. But the light that shines all around you, the light that shines from within you, the Spirit I give you to lead you and be your friend and carry you through these hard days, is what makes you beyond beautiful, my daughter. You are beyond what you can imagine right now.
Sometimes, we just need to know this: we are more than what these hearts of ours can bear to see. For in His eyes, no matter what choice we made, no matter what horrible thing was done to us, we are not broken. Not one bit. We are whole.
Yes, we are frail and we fall. Yes, we are vulnerable and we get hurt. Yes, we are sinful and we mess up. But we are also amazing and beloved. We are also held and cherished.
You, my dear, even in your darkest moments, even in the parts of your story where you felt the very most alone, you have always been seen. You have never been forgotten. You have never been less than special. Surrender your heartaches to the Father who loves you. Let Him awaken hope in your heart. Let Him awaken you to see yourself, and the little-girl self of your past, with His true eyes. What God sees is the only sure thing we can ever see.
We need new eyes to see an old story. We need to stop standing on the edge of the nativity scene and, instead, jump full-on in. We need to see our Father's hand extended to us. We need to stir up the dust in the barn and push up next to the animals and hear the angels singing and smell the musty hay in our lungs. We are dying to live with hearts awake. We are dying to turnover these old broken stories of ours and let them be beautified, mended, restored.
We are not meant to forget our old stories only because they are too painful to remember. We are not meant to ignore them because it is too much work to let ourselves feel. We are not meant to sleep through a life that is not black and white but full of messy blurs of color mixing from one to the next.
Your story is amazing and messy–a crumpled piece of art God has found in a corner of the room, under the bed, collecting dust. A masterpiece He unrolls and presses to His heart and pins onto His favorite wall, where He can see it all the time. He loves your story. He loves you. He loves everything about you, and He is sorry for how you have been hurt.
I am praying for you, my dear sister, and I am so happy you are here. What beautiful story of yours do you most need to see Him rewrite and make new?
* All sentences in italics excerpted from "You have Something to Say", Loop. You can subscribe to these twice-a-week email devotionals here.
** Make sure you enter the giveaway for the fabulous Sarah Ha pendant! Giveaway ends Thursday, at midnight.
*This post linked up with stories at beautiful Jennifer Lee's place.


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At the end of last August, former State Senator Shirley Huntley called for a press conference in her home district of Jamaica, Queens. There, she informed her supporters that she would be arrested the following day for an extensive criminal investigation into her personal expenses. Turns out, betwe ... More >>
Just when you thought the New York City school system couldn't get any crazier, a judge has ruled that city taxpayers might be on the hook for one girl's $40,000 private school tuition. The 12-year-old girl, who attended PS 6 on the Upper East Side (one of the city's higher-rated schools), has a le ... More >>
If some can claim that Barack Obama violates religious freedom by forcing insurance companies to provide birth control, then what can we call the situation developing at Citi Field? Yesterday, Judge Jack Weinstein tossed out a lawsuit brought by Kosher Sports against the New York Mets for prohibiti ... More >>
The 26-year tenured Staten Island health teacher who allowed students to use slang sexual terms when she taught a lesson about AIDS filed a $1 million suit against the city for wrongfully suspending her, and has now agreed to settle the case for $45,000 -- an amount comparable to a first-year ... More >>
The News and the Post are both reporting the death of Burt Kaplan, the turncoat mob associate whose testimony convicted the two worst New York City detectives in history - the so-called Mafia cops. It sounds plausible. Kaplan, 75, had prostate cancer and was serving a no-exit prison term of 27 year ... More >>
Two detectives who gave New York a whole new definition of corrupt cops were sentenced to life in prison without the possibility of parole this afternoon. Before sentence was pronounced in Brooklyn Federal Court by Judge Jack Weinstein, Louis Eppolito, 60, and Stephen Caracappa, 67, both rose to ... More >>
Two years ago Louis Eppolito and Stephen Caracappa, two cops whose alleged extra-cirriculars for the Mob included murder, were found guilty by a jury of racketeering conspiracy, but Judge Jack Weinstein declined to impose the life sentences for which the verdict called because felt the statute of li ... More >>
The Georgia gun dealer who was sued by the city— and fell in love with us
The city's king distributor of bottled beverages likes the wiseguys
Beneath his black robes, what does Roberts reveal of his values as a human being?
Playing the Numbers Game for Kids' Futures
Tales of anguish fill a Brooklyn courtroom as the kin of shooting victims battle the firearms industry


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Hugh C.Tyler, Shimmering Sea, Papeete, Tahiti 1921
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All Items: Fine Art: Paintings: Oil: N. America: American: Pre 1930: item # 1062962
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|Hugh C. Tyler 1885 - 1976, Shimmering Sea, Port of Papeete, Tahiti, 1921, oil on canvas, 16 1/4" by 20 1/2", signed/dated/identified lower left, 24 1/4" by 28 1/4" housed in gilded toned French style frame with painted and linen liner, recently fully conserved with cleaning and minor inpaint, report available upon request. Artist studied Art Students League of New York. Traveled to Tahiti, making pilgrimage to Gauguin's grave, in the early 1920's, period from which this painting originates. Lived and worked in Knoxville, Tennesee, moved to Greenwich Village, New York City, and finally to Kent, Connecticut in 1947. Participated WPA, Federal Arts Project, painting murals for public buildings. Exhibited Pennsylvania Academy of Fine Arts, Salons of America, Society of Independent Artists.


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About Us
The Oates Institute is a lifelong learning community for caregivers seeking to connect faith, health, and healing. Lifelong learning opportunities are provided in both online and traditional formats; including over 40 online seminars each year, an online conference, at least two Forums, and the publication of the Oates Journal.
Our membership consists of professional and lay caregivers in the fields of religion, nursing, pastoral care and counseling, medicine, social work, and therapy. They represent 43 states and 15 countries.
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The Wayne E. Oates Institute was founded in 1993 as a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. Our mission is built on Wayne E. Oates' tradition of providing collaborative, compassionate, and integrative care for the whole person: body, mind, and spirit.


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A Class Limo's sleek luxury vehicles make for a classy, comfortable, and safe ride to nearby airports. They report to clients' doortsteps at any time, even before early-morning flights, and have enough space for luggage as well as invigorating yoga stretches.
At Clean Machine, pearls of water roll from newly gleaming fiberglass, and clean windows seem to sparkle in the sunshine. The crew there wields specialty waxes such as triple-foam polish, which restores surfaces to a mesmerizing luster, and sealer and clear guard help protect exteriors from the harmful UV rays emitted by the sun and most green vegetables. Vacuums purr in the shop's bay, and a steam-cleaning unit leaves carpets clean and fluffy.
Ray Lapointe stormed onto the auto industry scene in 1949 and was setting his own hours by 1965 when he founded Ray's Auto Service. Today, Ray's son and current owner, Mark, maintains and mends roadsters alongside a team of fellow ASE-certified technicians. Together, they perform restorative services, flushing sullied oil or transmission fluid and refreshing cooling systems with a draught of eco-friendly refrigerant, while shuttles or rental cars ferry patrons home or to the mall. When motors display disruptive behaviors, such as stalling or purring provocatively at semi trucks, the staff entrusts mechanical diagnoses to the computerized MODIS. The system poses a triple-pronged threat to vehicular maladies, using a lab ignition scope, digital volt ohm meter, and low- and high-amp current probes to record and analyze the electrical wavelengths that animate motors.