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- Mitch Skiles
- Landisville, PA
- United States
Owner/Contributor, LuxPerci.com
This conversation is closed.
Can we look at the past when looking for future solutions to modern problems?
I read a book called "The Black Swan" by Nassim Taleb which proposes the idea that the world is incredibly unpredictable. These "Black Swan" events control integral moments in the history of our species; whether that be a stock market crash or 9/11. In hindsight we may see a trend, but at any given moment the future of a new black swan event is impossible to predict. I am wondering that if this is the case, can we still look into the past to find solutions to problems. I did an analysis of Israel while looking for a solution to the Arab-Israeli Conflict and found an interesting economic trend when compared to cooperation. (If you would like to read my study visit http://luxperci.com/solution-arab-israeli-conflict/ ) Is this a fair assumption?
na YAN
Aug 21 2012: I think we definitely could look back for the solutions to solve the problems of the future,but the history will not give us the answers directly. We live in a multi-connected world , the past, the present,and the future , you、me and others,we need to analyze base on the facts and our knowledge!
- +3
Barry Palmer
Aug 22 2012: As I mentioned in my previous post, I am a big fan of history and its lessons.
- +2
A few months ago I read about a small corporation that used cell phones with GPS and tablet computers to run their business. The business had no central location. The address for tax purposes was the office of its accounting firm. The mail address was a PO Box. When they, rarely, needed a meeting space they rented it for an hour or two. The description of how the business used technology, with both off-the-shelf and custom applications, was unlike anything I had ever encountered.
It would be easy to dismiss this as just a technological advance. But it goes beyond just the technology. These people were thinking very differently from the way I learned to solve problems. They completely ignored all past concepts about organizing a business and started from scratch. The relationships between the people are not hierarchical. They were completely open to change, the only criteria was to do what works today. Any businesses trying to compete with these people had better be extremely adaptable. It made me wonder how much of the MBA curricula in our universities is still applicable.
I was designing business systems just ten years ago. I realized that everything I knew about business systems was obsolete. And so are the business systems of many of our big corporations. This is a rate of change that is new in history.
I read about another group of people that completely rebuild their business every six months. This has nothing to do with technology and has much to do with the changing values of society, as in marketing.
The rate of change is accelerating. Some people are adapting to this fact, and it seems that part of that adaptation is the willingness to discard the past along with its lessons. I have no doubt that discarding the lessons of the past will involve a cost, but these people seem to be thinking that the benefits outweigh the cost.
Aug 22 2012: Hi Barry,
This sounds GREAT from a business stand point. Do you think the same would apply (discarding the past along with its lessons) when dealing with human relations, violation of human rights, etc.?
I believe we are intelligent enough to choose what lessons we want to discard or not, and I think/feel we need to find the balance.
Aug 22 2012: Colleen, I just don't know.
I am not sure that these people are taking the right path, long term. The first business I described said that so far most of their meetings were for celebrations, so they are enjoying success so far.
I am not really trying to make a case here, just trying to explain why I very much fear this accelerating pace of change. We are creating a culture in which adaptability will be extremely highly valued, and traditional concepts of knowledge (lessons learned) may be obsolete. Animals, and especially humans, are not built to function that way. We try something and if it produces good results, we try it again; if it produces bad results we will not try it again. This is the way we are built, and it may not work in an environment where the time scale for this cycle is approaching zero.
I have read about the hookup culture in our colleges, and I think that is another aspect of this. Young people are free to explore sex without fear of pregnancy, and with condoms, little fear of disease. And explore they do, causing themselves a great deal of confusion and emotional trauma. They desperately need guidance, but our old ideas do not work
I never would have believed that the USA would condone torture, but it has. I think part of the reason is that our leaders thought the old ideas did not fit the modern world. I think they were wrong, but many of them still believe they made the right choice, justified by their observations that the current world has little similarity to the past.
Maybe my fears are just a reflection of growing older. But it seems that we are building a culture that is not suitable for humans. If so, some kind of crash is the usual result.
Aug 23 2012: Barry,
I honestly do not think/feel that lessons learned will ever be obsolete. Nobody can erase the information we have, and I believe it will always be relevant. I DO agree that we are moving at a fast paced change, and adaptability is, and will be valuable.
As evolving humans, the thinking process is expanding all the time, and the exploration of life still requires trial and error. However, I believe our trial and error may be getting more advanced, so it is exactly as you say....we need to adjust and adapt maybe faster than we have in the past?
Perhaps it is as you say....we are building a culture not suitable....
However, it is humans who are creating it, so you are saying that we may be destroying ourselves? Crashing? I don't honestly think so, but there are no guarentees in life, and that I am pretty sure of....fortunately, or unfortunately, depending on one's perception:>)Aug 22 2012: This ia exactly the approach that was taken by one of the very successful micro breweries in the USA. They ended up producing more than Coors did and were far more profitable in a declining market. We studied it extensively in my MBA. It appears to be the way of the future.
edward long
Aug 22 2012: The past is our repository of available knowledge and experience. To ignore it would be lunacy.
- +2
Aug 23 2012: Hi Edward,
I actually agree with you. Unfortunately, my logic seems to be telling me that we are approaching a point in history in which lunacy is the effective approach to progress. I comfort myself with the thought that I am probably wrong.
Aug 23 2012: Disdain for the past and a giddy delight for all things new is, sadly, not an uncommon behavior in our post-modern world. I join you Barry in doubting that lunacy will ever be the effective approach to progress, although it may become the popular approach.Aug 21 2012: Albert Einstein said "We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them." And then there is, of course, Santayana saying, "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." Much in the world is unpredictable. Much of it is not. The past illustrates many times over the struggle between the powerful and the masses of humanity. And that, it has been suggested many times over, is the fundamental problem facing humankind.Aug 21 2012: I think past experiences does play a pivotal role in making right decisions which provide solutions to the problems that you face in the present and which there by provides you a vigilant behaviour.Often people say you make wise decisions only when you have made unwise decisions in the past.
Aug 21 2012: I agree Chetan, that it's important to evaluate the past, and use the information to improve our present and future. If we do not look at the past, and understand why certain things worked, or why they did not work, we may continue with behaviors that do not benefit the whole of humanity. We learn from the past, as you insightfully say:>)
Mitch Skiles
Aug 21 2012: What about the random factors (ie Luck) that caused things to work or not work. Couldn't that time be better spent focusing on making a robust plan to protect from future uncertainty rather than try to force your way through it with plans from the past?
- +1
Aug 22 2012: Hi Mitch,
Life is full of "random factors", is it not? I believe the more information we have as individuals, or as a whole, the better choices we can make for ourselves and the good of humankind.
I think/feel that we create our lives, and it is information that contributes to how we orchestrate our lives....both as individuals and a global community.
What is luck in your perception? Many people tell me I am "lucky" my life is how it is...content....with opportunity and diverse experiences. OH....and by the way, I had cancer, a near fatal head/brain injury, have degenerative disc dis-ease in the spine, and a few other challenges. Lucky? I don't think so. I think I made lemonade with lemons, and we can do that as a global community.
I look at the past for the purpose of learning, and I truly believe it is important to look at the past in the global community for the purpose of learning as well. What causes things to work or not work many times, is the decisions that humans make.
I am not advocating forcing our way through anything with plans from the past. I am suggesting to look carefully at the past, and formulate plans for the present and future that improve conditions in our global community, rather than cause more chaos.
For example, consider slavery, or abuse and violation of human rights in other forms. I venture to say that the majority of people in our world believe that these conditions should not exist? But they do.
If we look at the past for information, we find that one important factor which contributes to abuse and violation of rights is isolation. With the communication systems we now have, it is more difficult to isolate people, and that could be a factor toward changing that challenge.
I say that if we don't know where we've been, we don't know where we are going. I'm not sure if we have any "modern problems". History repeats itself and the problems may manifest in a different form, but based on the same underlying challenges.Aug 22 2012: I really enjoyed reading what you had to say! Thanks so much! Just to further present the other side of this: If we focus on learning from the past to prevent it from repeating itself (this has been the case for a long number of years) than why does it continue to repeat itself? Do you think perhaps people are missing something in their studies? Are we not focusing on the right areas in the past which could ameliorate problems which might manifest themselves in the future. I just find it hard to believe that the past holds the answers when thousands of years of history have been written and analyzed and relatively very little has changed when it comes to the core problems of humanity. Maybe its because modern people are too lazy to actually utilize the lessons learned from the past, or maybe its because the past doesn't hold all the answers and we are too lazy or short-sighted to look elsewhere. Just some thoughts
Aug 22 2012: Well thanks Mitch:>)
You ask the billion dollar question...why does it continue to repeat itself? Do I think we are missing something? Not focusing? Lazy? Fail to utilize lessons? Short-sighted? Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.....yes.
I believe we (humans) are not paying attention. We have been gathering information for many years....when will it be time to act/react? I believe we have begun, and I really think TED is a valuable part of that process....people around the world connecting, sharing ideas with the same or similar focus.
One of my favorite quotes because I believe it to be true:
"One of the great difficulties in the new order of thought is that we are likely to indulge in too much theory and too little practice".
"The Science of Mind" - Ernest Holmes
We have a lot of the information we need to change our world, and now we need to impliment it don't you think? We are not as isolated any more, and when many people get together, sharing the same vision, it is very powerful:>)Aug 22 2012: Mitch, thanks for a great conversation.
Sometimes we ignore the past out of Hubris. When the USA was considering war with Iraq someone in the government tried to point out to the bigwigs that historically this was not a good idea. His reply was that we are now smarter than history.
Such folks are hopeless.
Gail .
Aug 26 2012: In my opinion, you have skipped the essential part of the story in your web site. "The Versailles Treaty".
- +1
The Versailles Treaty is the single, underlying reason for the rise of Hitler. It placed such severe sanctions on the German people that the German economy was destroyed. Inflation was so severe that it took a wheelbarrow of money to buy a single loaf of bread. Starvation and homeless was so great (in a land with harsh winters) that it was not uncomon to get up in the morning to find another corpse on the doorstep. The best of the farm lands were given to France. Denmark took its share as well. New national borders were artificially created in the middle east - bringing incompatible groups together (Sunis and Shias for example).
If you take a group of people and do that to them, at some point, you can be assured that a leader will rise and put an end to the horrors. Hitler was Germany's choice. Iran and Iraq had theirs.
Antisemitism was GREAT throughout Europe. What's the name of the boat that traveled the world asking for asylum for the Jews on it? It was sent back to Germany where the military met the Jews at the docks.
When the war ended, rather than giving Germany to the Jews, Europe didn't want Jews on their own doorstep, so they were encouraged to go to Palestine.
England had promised to cede control of "Palestine" to the "Palestinians" if they joined England in its war against the Turks. For the 1400 years or so before that, the Jewish and Arab inhabitants lived mostly in peace with one another. Their religions and values were so much in common that there wasn't much to fight about. England reneged out of a desire to rid themselves of Jews. Sunis and Shias were not at war with selves or Jews.
Now compare the core problems with the Versailles Treaty ($$$$$$$ - greed & thievery & hate) with what is happening in the Middle East, and it's obvious that we have learned nothing, because we let emotions get in the way of truth.
Art Suneel
Aug 23 2012: Past is foundation of Future. We can always get solutions from past experiences. Why do we pay more to experienced people?
- +1
Mats K
Aug 23 2012: Interesting question. You could certainly look at the past in terms of performance. What worked and what didn't work in relation to our current problem(s) and future solutions. The scientific method comes to mind here. One might also revert back to a previous state of being that is more apt to a transition of a new state of being, if the current state of being was found undesirable and not sustainable. You could also look at the past in terms of values that dominated a society finding solutions of tomorrow within those same value, but with different and updated approaches that one has available in the current society. The keyword here is of course 'evolving', with yesterdays values.
- +1
Barry Palmer
Aug 22 2012: Throughout my life I have believed that we must study history and look to the past for its lessons. . For me, this idea is being challenged by a new aspect of modern life, the accelerating rate of change.
- +1
I am not well read in this area, so please understand that I am posing these ideas from the very humble position of a student hoping to find answers.
It seems to me that modern western civilization might be developing a trap for itself.
The success of the human species, especially since the invention of the printing press, has largely been due to our ability to pass knowledge to the next generation. We are succeeding so well that the pace of change is accelerating exponentially.
This pace of change might soon be pushing the limits of human adaptability.
I fear that when the key to survival depends on rapid adaptability to new situations, then the lessons passed down from the older generations could be fatal. We might be approaching something like a tipping point, when relying on what is still our best source of solutions could prove to be exactly the wrong thing to do. Should we be looking for this point and be prepared to radically change our methods?Aug 21 2012: Yes as so called 'modern problems' are just a repeat of the past. We never seem to learn.Aug 21 2012: Mitch, Yes, with caution. Often we see only cause and effect. There are so many factors that go into success and failure that are often overlooked. Social, environmental, and economic conditions at the time of the event, global events that impacted the success / failure, models in place, political influence, etc ...
The second major point I would like to present: History is written by the victor and from the political standpoint that was prevelent at the time.
Caution should be taken as much of History is being revisited and some re-written that disregard documents that are available written at the time of the event. History revisionists present a danger to basing any model on revised history.
We often use apples to oranges when a apples to apples requirement exists.
What is in place today that was not available to the historical event. What is the impact. What are the advantages / dis-advantages. Probabilities of success.
Yep, I include the past in planning for the future but I try to be sure I am using apples to apples and the whole picture of the past model and the current projected model when measuring the probalities of success.
P.S. I like LuxPerci and the arguments presented there.
All the best. Bob.
Aug 21 2012: I like your perspective. Don't you think that sometimes people wrongly compare apples to apples as well though. I understand what you are referring to above and I totally agree, but there are some instances where the actual connection is made between two seemingly unrelated things. If your are familiar with freakanomics than I assume you are also familiar with their linking of legalized abortion to crime prevention. They seem unrelated, apples to oranges, but it turns out that perhaps there is a connection between the two. If abortion is legal, parents who wouldnt be able to spend time caring and supporting their children in rough neighborhoods wouldnt create the kids that would grow up with nowhere else to go but the streets.
Also thanks for the compliment on my site! I presented more of my views on this topic in another article if you or anyone else is interested: http://luxperci.com/certainly-uncertain/
Aug 21 2012: Absolutely. You may get a red delicious when a granny smith is desired. Freakanomics tells us to not be hasty in disregarding input. I try to recall there is a sublime and a rediculious in all things.
There is always someone who wants to shove 10 pounds of stuff into the five pound bag.
When I was in charge I had a simple trick that served me well. I compose a letter / answer etc .... and put in in my left hand drawer. I pulled it out again the next day and if it still met the needs, made sense, etc ... I posted it. I did this because many time new info, poor wording, bad composure, or events that overcome the issue became evident and I wished I had waited. This practice resolved that problem. I was no wiser but looked dumb less often. They were still my errors if they happened but I owned them and made every effort to make a informed decision based on information at hand.
All the best. Bob.
Aug 21 2012: "You may get a red delicious when a granny smith is desired." - I really like this and will probably quote you on it! Thanks, great inputAug 21 2012: I AM in heaven, TWO men who read and liked that part of Freakencomics! OMG!
Aug 21 2012: Heaven is where angels belong ..... Bob
Aug 21 2012: YOU do my heart so much good.
Thank you.Aug 22 2012: It was fascinating, especially with most of my family in law enforcement!
Aug 22 2012: YIKES! I Was married to a cop for 28 years!Aug 20 2012: To me Taleb was talking about probability, routines, and truly unexpected occurances. Some of the heroes in his books are the mathematician Mendelbrot and the physicist Ed Thorp. Plus, I may be throwing in material from his book fooled by radomness. This is a business prof MBA Wharton and PhD University of Paris. Last time I checked the intermet he teaches at NYU I believe. Remember this guy is like Joseph Conrad lot's of languages and what I've read was in English. Me only poor English. There may be some confusion in reading these outstanding books. It's like reading Keynes or Deming. He is widely quatred by several Nobel Prize winners in Economics- Not because they want to do so it's unavoidable. He is also a character in the book Quants. However, Doesn't The Tipping Point make you uncomfortable enough. Also, in 1841 Charles Mckay wrote a book called Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. Maybe we don't want to know. Look at the AMerican Real estate Market. Waybe you are suggesting through this all together in some sort of phenomonology. Not a bad idea. Ed Thorpe and others have made alot of money doing what he feels uncomfortable about. So has he.
Aug 20 2012: Just in case anyone wants to follow up on your leads, George, I think the mathematician you want is named Mandelbrot. He is most celebrated for his work related to fractals and chaos theory, both of which involve working out processes (including predicting) in situations often combining something systematic and something random.
Aug 21 2012: Thanks for that addition Fritzie! If you start thinking about complexity theory from the perspective of fractals you can really learn a lot about this world. It's very neatAug 21 2012: I think he did a TED talk, did you see it, Fritzie? I will try and paste it here.
here it is:
http://www.ted.com/talks/benoit_mandelbrot_fractals_the_art_of_roughness.htmlAug 20 2012: Here is a recently posted talk by Hannah Fry that demonstrates how even within complexity, models can be used to predict: http://www.ted.com/talks/hannah_fry_is_life_really_that_complex.html
Mitch Skiles
Aug 20 2012: Thanks I'll take a look at thatAug 30 2012: I think that political and economical structures should evolve and adapt to contemporary problems.
- +1
The problem is that on modern days the world share a common destiny.Aug 28 2012: Yes, we can look at the past to understand how future problems can be solved.Aug 28 2012: Absolutely. Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it. The past repeats itself. Look at Rome for example. Over-extended miiltary, government corruption, utilizing illegal immigrants for agricultural work, decreased birth rates due to abortion, contraception and prostitution, obsession with sports and entertainment, redistribution of wealth to gain political votes (i.e. bread and circus events), exporting their culture (i.e. for us McDonalds, Nike, etc.), decrease in morality, inflation. Sound familiar?
Gail .
Aug 26 2012: In re-reading your offered post ( http://luxperci.com/solution-arab-israeli-conflict/ ), it seems that you are SUGGESTING that we repeat the past to fix the present.
- 0
You suggest taking people who have been turned into enemies and forcing them to share a government, AND you are suggesting a national bank that represents the fundamental breach that causes today's distress. That's what the Versailles Treaty that started this whole mess did. It was all about money and power.
Aug 26 2012: Thank you. I did indeed look to the past to formulate a solution to the problem which is why I posed the question (and have been playing devil's advocate) However through doing that research I found many examples and studies of the moderates opinions of each other (which constitutes the majority) and found that in reality the "enemies" you talk about are actually a small minority that consume much of the media's attention. So it isn't necessarily accurate to say that a shared state would be impossible (if the extremists were not in control). I do however agree that money and power played an integral part of creating this mess (as they both play parts in the majority of the world's problems) however money can also be used for good when you take power and greed out of the equation. And there are many instances in the past and present that indicate this. Whether or not it is fair to assume such a generalization however is quite controversial (as seen in this discussion)Aug 24 2012: There is a lot of information in the past; that is why nations and individuals are usually considered foolish when they do not learn from experience.
Gadgets and technology may change; but human nature will remain the same(just as fishes will always live in water).
Considering the human factor, there is basically nothing new, and there is a lot to know by looking into the past. When the human aspect is right, then there is no problem.Aug 21 2012: Fritzie Of course, you are right. Of on a tangent but those are such neat books. I was running around reading stuff trying to figure out what happened to the American economy and generation screwed. Really the initial question before the commjents which so intgerested me Yes, I foujnd it tgo myt satisfaction in Ricardo and also Econ101 and History 102. There are slways people who manipulate others for their own ends. the psychologist Robert Cialdini has written at least two (2) books showing how things are sold. Read this and you can use it defensively. So were being robbed and if one paid attention in the eolementary courses and were not impressed with great credentials and welath We might be aable to identify some real crooks. So Mitch is right, and I did lose a nice amount of money in my business to a salesman who did a take-away. But to ruin a whole generation -now that's bad.Aug 21 2012: I guess the bigger question to ask here is "What is the job of the historian?" Are they looking at the past to keep us from repeating it, or are they merely a form of artist trying to piece together and appreciate The Human?
Aug 21 2012: I realize that perfect objectivity is not possible, but I would hope that most historians are just trying their best to record what actually happened, and do it in a way that is interesting. It is the job of the problem solvers to use the output from the historians to improve their solutions. It is the job of the artist to use the output of the historians as inspiration.
I suppose some people could combine these roles, but I sure hope someone is just trying to give us the truth of our past. We need it, for many purposes.
Aug 22 2012: We need it, for many purposes
Seconded.Aug 22 2012: Condoleezza Rice has been quoted saying this: "Today's headlines and history's judgment are rarely the same."
your thoughts?
Aug 22 2012: I just pointed out that historians should write the truth. If you want more of my obvious thoughts, here they are:
-- Headlines must grab attention to sell.
-- Journalists are not historians, and should not try to write as historians write.
-- I do not know the context of her statement, but I strongly suspect that Condoleezza Rice's statement was self serving.
-- Historians enjoy the perspective of distance (through time), can frame events in the context more extensively, and they enjoy the luxury of doing extensive research. Also, historians do not have a daily deadline.
Thats about it. Real profound thoughts will cost you.Aug 22 2012: Mitch Darling - you quote a NeoCon to me?Aug 22 2012: When you asked whether we should or should not take into account the past as we approach modern problems, I understood you to mean experience rather than the work of historians.
Did I misunderstand?
Aug 22 2012: Either perspective is appreciated, I meant both, because I think each has its own valueAug 21 2012: I think if we are looking at the past to have a solution in the future problems, i think it's not good because past is always a memories and present is what we are going to focus because looking at the past cannot solve the problem.
Aug 21 2012: It is interesting that you point that out. Anyone who studies psychology or neuroscience knows how vulnerable memories are and how easily they become changed from what actually happened.
Aug 22 2012: These are my own ballywicks and still I believe that one does not rely on merely their own memory, although it shapes all incoming information but we are astute enough to realize the depth of need and use our smarts to comb through literature and other people's thinking to arrive at novel solutions for pressing problems. This is what EVERY field must be based upon.Aug 20 2012: Politicians have failed. They don't work, they don't solve problems. They create them or make them worse.
Government has failed. It doesn't work and is only intrusive and becoming Fascist. Money has failed. Ooops. It is going to completely fail and soon, or are most thinking this insanity will just go on and on? What kind of lies do you tell yourself? Voting doesn't work. Who do you vote for? Rather, now, who do they allow you to vote for and for what? Most things are passed without your knowledge or consent.
How much longer do people have to look "backward" to see this?
How far back do they have to look before they see a pattern that shows them, "this is no good. It's a lie. It doesn't, oops, it isn't working, still!"
Yet you wish to discuss how to solve problems by allowing those in power, who stand between people and the solution, to go on not solving them!
As the next 10 years pass, fewer and fewer humans will have their problems solved at all.
They will perish because of them, while only a few will benefit and tighten their control so that they don't have to squirm around in the muck that everyone else is in. But, they will continue planning how they are going to solve what is broken, with broken tools, and the same old circular, going-nowhere thinking that is evident in and descriptive of, insane behavior.
You don't have to look back, You already know what should have been done. You already know what doesn't, didn't and won't work. You already can remember the past well enough to repeat it again, and again and again, and again, and again..........................................
Aug 21 2012: So you appear to be suggesting that we all give up and that is NOT viable. If you know what should be done why have YOU not done it? We could all use the help but it seems to me that helping others in not a major priority of those who hold his viewpoint.
Aug 21 2012: How does that translate into giving up?
I never said that. That is your take on first admitting the truth, me thinks.
The truth is what is and it means and demands taking action, not giving up.
I believe that is why so many people get angry when the truth is mentioned. They don't want to hear it.
Hearing it means one has to do something. Actually, it makes it easier to find what to do, or rather what each individual can surmise they can do, as we are all different, in different circumstances and in different places, but all in the same boat.
And you assume I am not doing anything without even checking first.
All I said was we continue to repeat what we have proven doesn't work and yet we refuse to let go of what doesn't work in order to keep the mess alive. There is something very wrong there and it is global, collective, mental illness bordering on insanity.
So, at least trying to say, or get people to truly recognize the insane behavior they practice is an attempt to see if it is possible for the global, collective, mentally ill, to have a real moment of sanity.
They are insane! What is wrong with trying to do that?
"it seems to me that helping others in not a major priority of those who hold his viewpoint."
Just who are these people you are referring to and what viewpoint is that?
To me, those in power are perfectly unwilling to do anything that will solve human suffering, inequality, poverty, slavery, and stop their investments in war and death and dying.
So, they have to go. What does it take to accomplish that?
That needs to come first in my opinion. And trying to wake people up is another thing I do.
It is very hard working with people who are asleep and only want to be gently awakened. It is going to be their world, not mine. I won't be around.
Example: To repeat something I've said, that I believe is true rather than what most believe or accept..
Those who forget the past are condemned to repeat it.
You cannot repeat what you cannot remember.Aug 20 2012: I still believe we can look to the past to find ideas for solving problems and for promising components out of which to build solutions . Circumstances tend not to be the same twice, but we can learn about the conditions under which certain types of strategies tend to work to some degree and the situations under which they tend to fail.
We look to build solutions that seem they would have a decent chance of working, but recognize whether they will work is uncertain. In view of the uncertainty, it is often wise to take into account the reversability of the actions we take or to assemble a strategy that allows for midstream adjustments and mid-course corrections.
Aug 20 2012: But don't you think that perhaps in focusing on finding a solution which will be robust to past circumstances you end up "wasting" time that could have been used to develop a new system to actually account for the uncertainty of the future. Let's look at the field of economics and finances for example. We have had hundreds of years of study devoted to understanding human and market behavior. It just doesn't seem right to me that in the year 2009 the United States economy could all but totally collapse. If it truly were possible to study the past to develop strong policies than you would think that after a few hundred years of this (or even thousands) that an event like that just would not occur. Yet, if the focus would have been to understand that the future is understand and then develop policies to decrease liability when taking risk, there wouldnt have been such a great problem with the banking industry and housing market.
Aug 20 2012: The reason that I do not think any time is wasted in the traditional sense, is that people who are inclined by nature and interest to solve societal problems are all working in parrallel. We seldom really bring committees together or if we do, they are extraneous to the actual solutions. I think they often come from one independent thinker who, when connected to another who is fascinated by the same thing -makes progress. The job of society to my mind is to uncover and to support these thinkers to help us all.
Oh, and to the overarchiing question, I think the solutions come from past situations, combined with new ways of conceptualizing the problem but all of the ingredients are like elements, they are already here but they might take a new form as new components from other thinkers take shape.
Aug 21 2012: That is, in fact, how I understood your meaning, Debra.
My reference to the error in attitude toward experiments in the past was not to your statement but rather to the problem as it was posed in the thread. Just because circumstances have throughout history continuously changed and because circumstances are different in different locations does not mean our history in the successful and unsuccessful application of policies and strategies is irrelevant to other times and places. On the contrary, how things have played out in practice provides essential insights into the conditions in the environment to which the effectiveness of the strategy is sensitive.Aug 20 2012: Debra wrote, "I think the solutions come from past situations, combined with new ways of conceptualizing the problem but all of the ingredients are like elements, they are already here but they might take a new form as new components from other thinkers take shape. "
I think what Debra responded is often valid and i would say the more so if one allows also for throwing in a twist that is newly available.
The error would only be in assuming an option robust to past circumstances would necessarily be robust in new circumstances. The same issue arises in a short time frame in trying to to transfer a policy approach to a new location.
Sometimes this consideration is called "external validity." That is, does the policy or policy component likely transfer to the new environment.
Aug 21 2012: Not quite, Fritzie, but perhaps I did not express it well. Previous solutions in their circumstances plus accomodation to new circumstance with the input of other thinkers who bring in their components of new thought using the sum total of new advancements should eventually produce new solutions which are well suited for today's dilemmas. The - elements are there - they just need to be synthesised through new thinking.Aug 21 2012: Fritzie, language is often inaccurate and I always welcome the chance to be more clear. Thank you for your consistently clear and concise use of language. I aspire to be better. Thank you too for your kind response.

subset: commoncrawl


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Home > Outdoor Living > Outdoor Clothing & Gear > Swiss Army Knives > Victorinox Explorer Swiss Army Knife
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Scene Info - Kara Novak, Scene #01
- Bonus Sites8
- Models2060
- Scenes3943
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Santa\'s naughty elf decided to drop by for an early Christmas present. Kara Novak slid down our chimney wearing nothing but her red lingerie and a pair of jingle bells. She was full of eggnog and good cheer, so she was in the mood to give -- a BLOWJOB. Around here, that\'s the perfect present! Our guy relaxed and let her go to work on his cock like a candy cane -- licking and sucking and taking him deep. Hear those slurping sounds? It\'s like the pitter-patter of reindeer hooves on the roof. All Kara wants for Christmas is your sweet cream on her face!
Happy ho-lidays!


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The Dr. Susan Love Research Foundation and the Beck Research Institute at City of Hope created an online cohort study, called the Health of Women (HOW) Study, in order to examine potential risk factors for and causes of breast cancer, with implications for future prevention.
Researchers seek women ages 18 and older – both those who have been diagnosed with breast cancer and those who have not – to participate in the HOW Study, as well as men who have been diagnosed with, or have a high risk of developing, breast cancer.
What does the study involve?
HOW is a cohort study, meaning researchers will follow the group of female and male participants over time collecting and analyzing data to find common factors or characteristics that potentially cause an individual to develop, or that increase her or his risk of developing, breast cancer.
If you participate in the HOW Study, researchers will collect information from you through online questionnaires, completed when you first sign up and then periodically thereafter. Your responses to the online questions will help the investigators collect data on and examine lifestyle, environmental exposures and other factors that may cause or promote the growth of breast cancer.
After completing the initial online questionnaire, you will be notified of new questionnaires via a "Call to Action" email every few months. Each questionnaire focuses on a different health or exposure topic.
You can drop out of the HOW Study at any time by logging into your account and following the withdrawal instructions.
How do I participate, or find out more about the study?
The HOW Study is recruiting women ages 18 and older of all races, ethnicities, and sexual orientations, regardless of whether you are newly diagnosed, in treatment, post-treatment, living with metastatic disease or have never been diagnosed with breast cancer. Men are also eligible to participate in HOW if they have been diagnosed with or have a high risk of developing breast cancer.
To participate, create an account on the HOW Study website.
Download this PDF to learn more about the HOW collaboration between DSLRF and the Beckman Research Institute.


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Nb: infants must be under the age of 2 and
children must be under the age of 12 at the time of
Winter Park Mountain Lodge is the perfect choice for those who like to be based close to the ski area and town centre. It is perfectly located across the road from the ski area and lifts. The shops, dining and nightlife of Winter Park are only a short ride away on the complimentary shuttle.The Lodge also houses its own traditional microbrewery called the Moffat Station Brewery. This is a popular attraction along with the N-House restaurant with Western memorabilia adorning the walls.Guests facilities include an indoor heated pool, 2 hot tubs, a sauna and fitness room. ComplimentaryWiFi is available in the lobby along with an on-site ski and storage shop.Snow mobile tours are also available and depart from the back of the hotel (bookable in resort).
All the rooms at the Winter Park Mountain Lodge have been built to incorporate views of the ski area and the surrounding Arapahoe National Forest. Rooms feature TV, telephone and a tea and coffee maker. Rooms range from standard lodge rooms which sleep up to 4 people, to deluxe rooms which are larger in size and have a fireplace and Jacuzzi bath as well as kitchen facilities.All the rooms have various configurations to suit most travellers.
Room only.
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of which will be made available at the time of booking. Your holiday contract will
be bound by the tour operators terms and conditions.
Prices are shown for a basic room or unit, can be subject to change and are indicative
until time of booking. Please call on 020 8544 7114 for prices for other travel
and room options for this property.
Prices shown are per person per week based on maximum occupancy. Descriptions and
quality ratings are provided by the Tour Operator (or one of the Tour Operators
where similar holidays are offered by more than one supplier). We reserve the right
to make minor adjustments to the description or rating based on staff and customer
feedback. For payments by credit card, a 2.5% credit card charge (4% for AMEX) will
be added to your invoice. If you pay by a UK issued debit card, there is no charge.
All bookings are subject to a £5 per person Passenger Admin Fee charged by Iglu.com.


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Saturday, November 12, 2005
The Bucs were led by sophomore Jordan Ladd (Lyn, Ontario), who finished the 10k course in 32:15.62, good for a 48th place finish. Michael Deren (
Senior Peter Dalton (
Three members from the Lady Bucs squad competed in the women's side of the competition with Heather Adkins (
The Bucs cross country season is now complete, but the track and field squad will open the indoor season December 2 at the Clemson Indoor Opener.
|Copyright ©2015 East Tennessee State Athletics. All Rights Reserved.


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Matthias Mayer is already the Olympic Downhill Champion and now a World Cup winner after his victory in the final Downhill of the season. With Ted Ligety taking joint second in the race, Aksel Lund Svindal retook the lead in the Overall and collected the Downhill Globe with fifth place.
"It really means a lot of me to win today. I've had some good races in the last few weeks and its nice to get another downhill victory today," Mayer said of his win. "It was difficult, we only had one training run yesterday and everyone made some mistakes there so it was wide open for today's race. Today I had good skiing in the bottom section which I think made the difference."
The conditions were perfect fro the race after the temperature dropped overnight yet the hard conditions caused a number of racers problems: Georg Streitberger was one of a number of racers to crash; Streitberger almost completed a full sideways flip but recovered to ski down to the finish.
With the race for the Overall tight, Svindal was looking to score big points but a small mistake at the top cost him and although he was just two tenths off the win, he was down in fifth spot. This was enough to retake the lead in the Overall with three racers left of the World Cup season. "For a downhill skier this globe is one of the big globes. Getting it here in front of a nice crowd like this feels really, really good," said Svindal after the race.
In taking second place, Ligety scored his best downhill result on the World Cup. The course with its long sweeping turns and technical requirements suited the HEAD World Cup Rebel and he was the first of the small field for the final race to really take it to the limit. Second place keeps him in the hunt for the Overall. "To be on the podium in every single event now in my career is a pretty cool accomplishment," said Ligety. Lenzerheide, he added, is one of the downhill courses he will always enter.
With victory in the Downhill World Cup, this was Aksel Lund Svindal's ninth small Globe and eleventh in all.
1. Matthias Mayer (AUT) HEAD
2. Ted Ligety (USA) HEAD
Christof Innerhofer (ITA)
5. Aksel Lund Svindal (NOR) HEAD
8. Bode Miller (USA) HEAD
12. Kjetil Jansrud (NOR) HEAD


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For once, I want the Phins to be that team that gets a A draft rating. I want us to be that team that somehow ends up grabbing the best player available in all situations. I'm tired of having to look up a player who was drafted in the first 3 rounds' name and highlights so i can justify a pick. Give me the names that EVERYONE in the NCAA knows and let the chips fall where they may. This has to be the first year that I don't really care about trading back. Just stay in your position or move up for a stud.
If we are gonna swing and miss on a player, i want that guy to be PROVEN in college. If he sucks it up in the league, oh well. I'm seeing us go for the "value pick" or the "diamond in the rough" and missing. Keep it simple stupid!
If they take an offensive lineman of any kind in the first round I will challenge Ireland to a fist fight.
Sign a free agent WR ( Jennings, Bowe, Wallace)
1. Dee Milliner
2. Tyler Eifert
2. Justin Hunter
3. Stedmen Bailey/Tavon Austin
There is logic to going BPA, even if it is a new OT. Long is due a ton of money and wants even more. The team can franchise him, but that is only a 1-yr stopgap. WalterFootball's new mock basically says the same since he has Moore, Milliner and Werner already gone.
These comparisons are so dumb, all wideouts come out of the draft. Look at Julio the year before. STUDS.
As much as I'd like to keep it safe with guys like Bowe and Wallace, im not sure we should dedicate so much of the cap there, plus Bowe is old, if anyone its wallace.


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Seven-time Formula One World Champion Michael Schumacher has today helped to launch a new scholarship to help advance the careers of women in motor sport.
The new scholarship offers a lucky young female racer the opportunity to undertake a comprehensive program designed to assist with career development in all aspects of being a top competitor in motor sport.
The scholarship will run for one year and will include a test in a car from a category further up the ladder, setting up networking opportunities, fitness coaching, sports psychology, media training and driver coaching.
Women of Australian Motor Sport was founded by CAMS in 2010 to help promote and encourage participation among women and girls in the sport.
Michael Schumacher says if more girls can be encouraged to participate in junior motor sport, the chances of successful drivers at the senior level will increase significantly.
"There is no reason why women should not be competitive in any of those fields that we have available in motor sport because physical limits - even in F1 - they're not so high that women couldn't do it," said Mr Schumacher.
"I mean if you look at the athletics I'm pretty sure there are a few women who are fitter than I am.
"The main issue, why we don't see so many, is in the early days when you start to prepare to become a racing driver, it's a very small percentage of women doing it.
"That's why in the end, developing to the final stage, there is a left over chance of very little and I think this is the principal issue."
The recipient of the scholarship will be selected by a committee consisting of Steven Richards, and Women of Australian Motor Sport committee members Leanne Tander and Sue Evans.
Nominations will be judged on previous results, commitment to a career in motor sport, presentation, and potential as a representative of Women of Australian Motor Sport.
Leanne Tander, Chairperson of Women of Australian Motor Sport, and Australia's delegate to the FIA's Women and Motor Sport Commission, says the scholarship is about giving young racers access to the tools required to be successful.
"The committee is made up of women who have had varying experiences in motor sport," said Mrs Tander.
"Myself, Sue Evans, Samantha Reid... We've all made mistakes, and have a lot of experience trying to get to the top in the sport - this scholarship is about passing on that experience, mentoring a young racer and helping to develop their career.
"We want to be able to offer the kind of guidance that would have been incredibly helpful to us as we made our way in the sport."
Nominations are welcomed from any female racer between the ages of 15 and 25 currently competing in a CAMS sanctioned event - they close on 31st May, 2012.
Visit www.wams.org.au <http://www.wams.org.au/> for more details.
Caption: Michael Schumacher and up-and-coming go-kart racer Caitlin Wood at the Australian Grand Prix.


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I must have a 55 ?? I dont know anything about plasmas but doubt the welding supply has all the parts ojn hand.m This was less than ideal, so was the one from my old linc. On this the protector and some kind of washer fell off, will have to get a pic today but what are options to improve/change it? Different head, same lead etc?
Results 1 to 3 of 3
Thread: 2050 torch.
05-18-2013, 06:51 AM #1Senior Member
- Join Date
- Sep 2005
- Location
- 16919 Pole Rd. Brethren, MI 49619
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2050 torch.
05-18-2013, 06:54 AM #2Senior Member
- Join Date
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I never fully understood the gouge fittings, at Miller I asked and theyh didnt have the stuff there at the time.
But its like all these mig guns, models, dont know one from another. I just use what comes on the machine.
"Some kind of washer" sounds like a swirl ring. If it is a Miller, they ought to have a parts list available.


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- Genevieve Tran
- Tokyo
- Japan
This conversation is closed.
What about doing away with politicians and voting online for all issues?
With ubiquitous Internet connectivity, isn't it possible by now to represent our own votes on issues online? Do we even need elected officials anymore to represent our voice? These "representatives" aren't even guaranteed to show up to vote and our true vote may get diluted or aggregated once it is brought to the floor of a House of "Representatives" by mechanisms none of us understand.
What if there was a public site that had multiple translations of municipal to national issues on the table.
- Advocates / critics have ONE page each to describe their sides & risk lack of support if too jargon-y.
- People log in & vote. (There is a window of 2 months to vote).
- Registered voters can only vote once on each issue.
- There's a mediated forum of debate in a related link. Each registered voter has a total of 500 characters to spend in the debate forum--forcing them to be succinct.
- Activists on the street are busy encouraging people to get online and vote in that window and to inform the public of their side.
- There is a quorum, or minimum number of total voters needed to validate a vote (voting periods can be extended until quorum is met)
- Politicians are only needed to enact the passing of the laws after they are validated.
- If people are unhappy with the results of a vote, then they go through a process of applying for a new referendum--which would require 30% of registered voters agreeing to a re-vote.
- Anyone can apply for a new law to happen provided that 30% of the registered voters elect for it to be put up for vote.
Basically, a referendum on everything. And each registered voter can pursue the issues that he/she is interested in. Thus, a whole country of voters looking into all issues, I'm certain, is more effective in producing democratic results than an elected official who cannot possibly be an expert on everything.
Perhaps this can be tried with a neighborhood, condo community, company or small town to see how it would play out. :)
Apr 19 2011: The doing away with Politicians idea is good.Apr 19 2011: I'm thinking that this would definitely get people to participate in politics. If a law is enacted that they didn't log in and vote for, individuals can clearly see their relationship to the outcome of a vote. It would get people to read up on and discuss fervently issues of the day.
Apr 22 2011: Unfortunately, since politicians would be involved in the decision to get rid of 'politicians', it just isn't going to happen. We really do have to eliminate partisan party politics though, and in Canada, an electoral system (first past the post), that generally misrepresents the way the electorate actually votes. And we need a proportional voting system so that we don't have a minority government that actually only garners less than 38% of the popular vote. We have two mainstream political parties (as they do in the USA), one marginal party, one mainly provincial party in Quebec that simply wants to separate from Canada, and one party that has no elected members of parliament. In the 2008 federal election Harper's conservatives formed a minority government with only 37.6% of the vote and that gave them 143 out of 308 seats. The lowly Green Party garnered close to a million votes but elected nobody. The separatist Bloc Quebecois received 1.4 million votes taking 49 seats, while the New Democrats got 1.1 million votes more than the BQ but won only 37 seats. This is wrong, unfair and absurd from every approach. And the results? -- low voter turnouts, apathy and cynicism, and a disfunctional system of governance. Oops, forgot to mention another result -- our fourth federal election in seven years at about $300 million a pop.But there is hope -- Switzerland. Google it, I urge you. They also have five political parties but they have a system of participatory democracy. Their political structure allows and encourages citizens to actively participate in government, and even in the creation of legislation. The Swiss federation and their idea of direct democracy reflects the importance the country attaches to freedom of choice and self determination. A decentralized division of power and attempts to solve issues at their lowest level, called the subsidiarity principle, are the cornerstones of the Swiss confederation. They use a lot of referendums.
Jul 20 2011: While your arguments in favour of proportional representation (PR) are valid, PR would not solve the democratic deficit in Canada.
What is being proposed here, by Genevieve Tran and others on TED, is a true model of e-democracy, one which would be far more efficient than the traditional direct democracy model (e.g. Referendum, Initiative, Recall) used in Switzerland, British Columbia and many States in the US (most famously, California).
And fortunately, this statement could not be further from the truth: "since politicians would be involved in the decision to get rid of 'politicians', it just isn't going to happen."
In fact, ONLY citizens would be involved in that decision via Elections!
Let me explain.
We are starting a new political party called the Online Party of Canada (http://www.onlineparty.ca/ ) founded on the principles of electronic direct democracy. Through this website, every eligible Canadian citizen may to vote directly on legislation and even propose new Bills which could then be tabled in the House of Commons.
At this point, you might say: "But you haven't done away with politicians, which was the main topic of this TED Conversation!"
Not quite, but let's see how it would work in practice.
Members of the Online Party of Canada (OPC) may only become Candidates to run in elections after signing a Promissory Letter of Resignation -- implicitly stating that IF they are elected as Members of Parliament (MP), they must always vote according to the Will of the People, no matter their personal agenda or belief. If they don't, members can automatically withdraw their support and ask them to step down, making way for their successor.
So you see, we don't even need to change the Constitution or even ask politicians to introduce e-Democracy in Canada... all we need is to win seats via free elections and enter the legislature with a virtual Trojan Horse filled with ALL citizens (even members of other parties!). Now THAT would be true democracy!Jun 16 2011: The more I mull this over, the more I like the idea.
At first glance I thought 'no way this would fly with the government'. But, while reading Genevieve's post, I realized we dont need permission. Sure enough, a website exists that is gathering votes. Here's the thing: If we can use a four digit PIN via the web to authorize borrowing six figures worth of student loans why would establishing a secure voting system online pose a problem? I mean, there has got to be issues, but it genuinely seems do-able. I'd like to see how much difference there is in the outcomes of votes online versus votes via representatives. Somehow I feel that if this were widely used practice we'd all have health care.Apr 29 2011: There is a project that started in January 2010 called Cyber Democracy which really is all about what you say: doing away with politicians and voting on-line on all issues, and even going further, voting on-line wherever you are, through your smartphone. Here's the website: http://cyberdem.wordpress.com/
Apr 30 2011: Hey, that's you!! Why not translate it---I think it would spread like wildfire in English!
Apr 30 2011: Hey there! All the documents are translated in english, and there is also a small promotional video in english as well. Where you suggesting translating the presentation itself?
May 4 2011: Yes, subtitling it!May 9 2011: Hey again! Just to let you know the video presentation is translated, if you're still interested! Here's the link:
May 10 2011: Great job! I want to know the test results of it--how does it play out in real life? Was it used successfully at a condo meeting? Or small company? I'll stick on reddit, unless it's already there....:)
This idea is important to test out--many people are doubtful that votes would be counted fairly...I believe it must be the future and eliminate the unnecessary time, lag, effort and errors of current voting systems.
Test it out, and document feedback, results like a scientist. There will be many in your future who will want to read / understand your pioneering model. Go to or email Political Science professors at universities. Tell them. Offer to test it on schools, classrooms, condos or small businesses with up to 50 employees. Then, take it to a neighborhood; town; city. I hope to see you at a future Ted conference as the speaker who democratized democracy! I'm so excited for you!! :)Apr 24 2011: I think someone ought to make a tutorial that teaches TED commentators how to format their comments...
Make your ideas more easily digestible for us ADD sufferers by using paragraphs PLEASE... :)Apr 21 2011: Love the idea, it's something I've been wondering about. The issue I arrive at is how to ensure that there are no cases of hacking into an account, voting on behalf of someone else, etc.
This idea would also require that a lot more people have access to the internet. Which isn't a bad standard in my opinion!Apr 20 2011: It would be marvelous. But say that for your senator, Obama, etc... They will laugh and this will never happen just because they don't want.
Doing away with politicians is harder than deal with them.Apr 20 2011: Genevieve..when I first saw your title.."doing away with politicians" I was locked into the idea that of course we needed a legislature....but now, after all these months of thinking and talking about modernising democracy and envsioining what a modern democracy for a new world would look like I am questioning whether a legislature of fixed elected reps serving multi year terms and a handful of judges serving for life makes sense in a complex modern pluralistic democracy..in a world where nations are really states in a global world. We need to have an operating system that establishes how the leadership is formed but maybe the right leadership issue by issue is different..and that who that leadership should be would emerge and be clear. I think we see a little bit of how that would work here within the TED conversation structure..Looking across the range of issues and conversations, there are clear communities of interest-- and within those communities of interest there are voices which allow some kind of common wisdom to surface. So thank you Genvieve for creating an opportunity for us here at TED who have been interested in modernizing democracy to now consider the very radical idea of whether we really need strcutures of fixed indivuiduals or whether we should be looking to structures which are not composed of fixed inidviduals for fixed terms but systems which allow wisdom to emerge, which allow expertise(the technology, science, history, state of the art) to be avaialble to all, and which allow leadership to surface naturally.I think each of us tends to react to an idea like "do away with politicians" from a weddedness to what is, and always has been, and that when we albel it off handedly as "impossible" we miss an opportunity to really visit deeply what is possible and what would work best.Apr 19 2011: http://www.ted.com/conversations/1213/why_don_t_we_use_technology_to.html (This idea comes out here too, and may I note Julian Blanco's made great progress into the consideration of technology used for politics in his summary.)
My big question here is how do you acquire transparency while using the technology? How do the masses still know 100 percent that their votes are being processed correctly? I still like the idea but wouldn't this also require an education that involves classes and/or lessons for understanding what it takes to be a citizen instead (like in America) of assuming every average hard worker can understand politics to it's full extent and potential?
Apr 20 2011: This may sound incredibly naive, but I think once politics is packaged much more accessibly, it would be self-explanatory. Like, once the first announcement goes out that the issue of whether or not to build a new stadium in the city is to be voted online, people will get it.
There could be 100 independent techies behind the scenes, constantly reporting anomalies and abuse. If a majority of them weigh in that the system is compromised, we suspend operations until it's fixed.
Apr 20 2011: Still need an education of politics, civil laws, and the nations constitution and/or constitutional-like document. Or else people could still be manipulated for there votes ultimately. What would stop webpages from popping up saying "Don't know where to vote? Let us help!" and that site could be totally left or right winged.
Problem-solving doesn't come from technology, it comes from education. Education involving technology, Dam, skies the limits.
Apr 21 2011: you are right about that nicholas..happens to everyone in america approaching their 65th birthday..as I am..I have just been inundated with very misleading information exactly as you say in the guise of help or sometimes iintentionally suggesting it is from the social secuity administration.. Isn't it though just one of the hazards of life on the internet? It is just a question of time as to when political ads will start appearing in pop ups..but usesr do have some control through spam filters and of course on an official legsilative web site such outside influence would be prohbited.Apr 19 2011: I tend to lean more towards liquid democratic voting system that would allow groups of users to place trust in individuals users or groups to accomplish those tasks. Additionally I think that would allow for speedier functioning and greater efficiency. It would be a terrible pit fall if now letting the system get bogged down by a lack of users willing to attend to a specific issue. I think there are allot of other systems that could be incorporated online as well such as municipal knowledge bases and various other social media could systems like task prioritization could be implemented. Though I can agree the conventional politician is no longer optimally serving the peoples interests.Apr 19 2011: While this sounds good on its face, the problem is that not everyone has equal access to the very technology we would use to vote. Someone like me, with a computer at home, at work, on my phone, could vote more easily than someone living out somewhere without that luxury/ability. So it would serve to tilt the power slightly to those (very many, I agree) who happen to have the economic means and infrastructure to access the Internet, while disenfranchising those who do not.
Apr 21 2011: I agree with you Frank that uniform access is a problem..voting electronically wouldn't require uniform access or literacy..polling places or town halls or librabries could offer terminals and of course paper ballots could still be used. Particptaion in the process of law making..participation in public comment is another matter..I think the kind of involvement that requires, the level of computer literacy that requires can't be achieved through free access terminals..also at the moment rural areas don't have universal wi-fi or broad band yet which limits the possibilities of full participation in an internet based involvement beyond voting. That would be a good TED topic on its own..how we create the universal "one lap top per household" that would need to exist? How do we facilitate/expedite universal wi-fi hi speed access? When my Mom was 80 she took a class at her local library called "Cyber-Savy Seniors"..we fixed her up with a PC and off she went..active e-mail with friends around the world, masters level competitive bridge on line, researching the drugs she was perscribed,.researching alternate treatments for her diseases. So I know for sure 100% computer literacy is possible..it's really, for many who are truly struggling, an issue of affordability and a little bit of initial training. And of uniiversal hi speed wireless access.Apr 19 2011: While getting rid of Politicians may seem a good idea, especially with the current crop in power today. There would definitely be some issues of major concern to deal with, besides, it is we the people in Democratic societies who elect these folks and therefore it is our responsibility to hold them to some standard, our standard. This is one obligation we must not abdicate to some online entity.
Some issues require rigorous debate and the flushing out of detail that an online medium could not satisfactorily present. There would be many other issues around fairness and the framing of issues in such a medium as well.
Then there are issues that require leadership, where majority consensus is not sufficient to make the best decisions. An internet vote on Slavery or Womens right to vote at the time would have yielded much different results than that of history's record.
We can hardly get folks out to the poles in most Democratic countries to vote, could you imagine getting individuals to spend a few hours online to become informed on the issues and then to vote?
No, our political systems in the West are not broken at the top it is fractured at the bottom, citizens need to get involved with the issues and elect people who share their values and will, once elected keep their promises.
But I believe the most significant impediment to good Governance is the media, and they have become so corrupt that citizens can hardly be expected to make good judgments on an issue when the media roots for a side rather than report the facts as they are. If we can get back to good journalism and media reporting, we may still be able to reclaim our Democracies.
And with unrest in much of the Arab world an example of good Democratic Governance would be an excellent gift and image to send.
BMG - http://brians-say.blogspot.com/


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Health and Medical Reference Committee
Health and medical questions take place in all libraries, encompassing all ages and cultures. The purpose of the Health and Medical Reference Committee is to develop guidelines and provide training and educational opportunities for health and medical reference encompassing the role of the librarian, legal and ethical issues, resource evaluation, health literacy, cultural differences, library programming, and improving librarians' reference skills in a variety of circumstances.
Displaying active committee roster as of 09/05/2015. Last retrieved on 09/05/2015. Members can log in to view full contact information for committee members.
Public Posts from ALA Connect
- HMRC Roster 2015-16
- Get to Know the New RUSA Guidelines for Health and Medical Reference Services
- RUSA RSS Health and Medical Reference Committee Meeting
- Goals Update April 2014
- Minutes for Virtual Mid-Winter HMRC Meeting, Teleconference 2/3/15
- Virtual Mid-Winter HMRC Meeting: Teleconference Tuesday, February 3, from 11-12 CENTRAL TIME
- Goals Update November 2014
- HMRC Meeting Minutes 10/6/14
- Teleconference Meeting scheduled for October 6, 2014 from 11am-12pm Central Time
- Summary of Current Activites, September 2014
See RUSA or Section Bylaws.
See Committee Charge.
Get Involved
ALA values committed and active committee members. Qualified members are welcome to volunteer to serve on the committee. Committee members must have an interest in the work of the committee; be able to attend Annual Conferences and Midwinter Meetings to participate in the meetings and activities of the committee; and be able to work between conferences via e-mail and ALA Connect. Express your interest in serving on this or other committees by filling out an application form. Appointments take place once a year, during the spring. Committee service usually begins following Annual Conference, about July 1.
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3:01 pm
Fri May 16, 2014
To Pay For Hepatitis C Drugs, Medicare Might Face A Steep Bill
Originally published on Fri May 16, 2014 7:00 pm
The federal Medicare program for the elderly and disabled will cover two new drugs that can cure hepatitis C, a liver disease that can cause cancer and lead to death. The drugs are very expensive, but they cure hepatitis C in most cases. The government and insurers are concerned about these costs; three million Americans have hepatitis C, most of whom don't know they have it.


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Discontinued Product
So Smart, It's Simple
Portable LED Projector with Smart TV and Magic Remote
- LG Smart TV
- Magic Remote
- On Now
- Built-In Wi-Fi®
Portable LED Projector with Smart TV and Magic Remote
SHOW HIDE Projection
- System
- Native Resolution
- Aspect Ratio
- Brightness (ANSI-Lumens)
- Contrast Ratio (FOFO)
- Digital Keystone Correction
- Lamp (Type)
- Lamp Life
- 3D Type
- 2D to 3D Conversion
- WXGA (1280x800)
- 4:3 and 16:9
- Up to 700 lumens
- 15,000:1
- Auto Keystone (Vertical)
- Up to 30,000 hrs
- DLP 3D Ready
- Yes
SHOW HIDE LG Smart TV
- Home Dashboard
- Premium Content Providers
- Web Browser
- Smart Share™
- 3.0
- Yes
- Yes
- Yes
SHOW HIDE Connectivity
- DTV Tuner
- Wi-Fi®
- Intel® Wireless Display (WiDi)
- USB Host (DivX®, MP3, Photo)
- DLNA Certified®
- Yes
- Built-in
- Yes
- Yes
- Yes
SHOW HIDE Audio
- Built-in Speakers
- 3W + 3W Stereo
SHOW HIDE Input / Output Terminals
- Component (Y,Pb,Pr)
- Audio Out
- USB (Service)
- RF In
- 1 (RGB Component in)
- 1 (3.5mm)
- 1
- 1 (Type A)
- 1
SHOW HIDE Power
- Power Supply
- Power Consumption
- Standby Mode
- Adapter
SHOW HIDE Included Accessories
- Carrying Pouch
- Ceiling Mount
- Lens Cap
- D-sub 15
- Phone to AV (Composite)
- DTV Antenna w/Cable
- 1
- Ready (not included)
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 1
SHOW HIDE Dimensions/Weights
- Dimensions (WxHxD)
- Shipping Dimensions (WxHxD)
- Weight
- Shipping Weight
- 9.05" x 1.73" x 6.69"
- 12.18" x 8.43" x 10.0"
- 3.1 lbs
- 8.6 lbs
SHOW HIDE WarrantyBack to Top
- Limited Warranty
- 2 Years Parts and Labor
Rated 4.6 out of 5 by 52 reviewers.
Rated 5 out of 5 by Michellelee89 Great projector! Its picture quality is amazing and the sound, especially for its size, is excellent. April 28, 2014
Rated 5 out of 5 by 2195lent Portable TV I bought this for my son who is in the Army. I thought it would be good for him instead of carrying around a monitor. He says that he loves it and everyone wants to watch movies at his place! February 28, 2014
Rated 3 out of 5 by Iverr6 It's just ok. Not a bad little projector when in a really dark room, turn the lights on and it all falls apart. Lack of any kind of manual adjustment except focus is a little frustrating. I would recommend this for light use on the road, but not for the price tag it currently holds, no way. February 25, 2014
Rated 5 out of 5 by romicat PA75U - The next generation of Projectors PA75U is probably ahead of its time.I have owned projectors namely, OPTOMA HD66, ACER H5360 and EPSON 3010 lcd projector. The HD66 nad H5360 in my opinion are lemons. Both did not last 2 years because of dead white pixels that look like cancer (multiplied fast). Aside from the fact that the bulbs of these so called DLP projectors only last 3000 compared to 30000 for PA75U, both as I've said lasted less than two years. While the specs of PA75U says it is only 700 lumens compared to 2500 FOR optoma and 2200 for H5360 the picture quality is just about the same and perhaps the PA75U slightly better. The 30000 hours is the decision point and hopefully PA75U will last at least 5 years. Technology advances and this might be obsolete after 3 years but at least consumers myself included are grateful to manufacturers that make their products and give the consumers more than their money's worth. I cannot say about HD66 and H5360. I hope LG continues to improve this product by increasing the lumens and make it 1080p so everyone can use this even in a very bright setting (living room with a lot of windows open and therefore very bright). The projector however is perfect for bedrooms with minimal lighting and the picture quality is almost comparable to those 1080p projectors. I am pleased with this product and again hopefully last more than 3 years at the very least. Salute! February 1, 2014
Rated 5 out of 5 by engin678 Small unit but has about all features I read all reviews about this projector before I ordered. It has the most feature offered than other products on the market. I am hoping that LG will offer the firmware update soon which will include more features like bluetooth function, youtube viewer, netflix, etc. I hve not tried ceiling mount yet, and not sure it works or not. Also, one more HDMI port would be better. January 30, 2014
Rated 5 out of 5 Better than expected! I have been looking at projectors for quite awhile before finding this one.I did not have a limited budget but did want a smaller,more portable unit. Setting up was easy and within ten minutes I was projecting a 100 inch picture on a blank wall. Even with a light on ,I find the picture more than acceptable.The built in tuner works well and the magic remote is great.Not having to change the lamp was a real selling point for me.For the price,this projectors features and quality make it an excellent choice. January 17, 2014
Rated 4 out of 5 by Sree Over All Projecter is Great except LG Smart TV As a Projector it is really a master piece. Easy setup, ultimate LED picture quality. Love watching movie/sports on this tiny product. Improvement required : Wireless doesn't seems to work well, it hangs or buffers when i play youtube. No access to All the LG Apps, Netflix, Hulu etc. I am using a Blueray/Media player separately. So Smart TV is real waste for me. January 16, 2014
Rated 4 out of 5 by juan Overall Features This product have all the things needed on a projector smarttv , tv tuner, and 2 HDMI. I review many products and nothing comes close to this projector. And LG's warranty and Quality is insuperable. January 11, 2014
The LG PA75U LED projector with Smart TV lets you see the best of the Internet like YouTube™, Facebook, Twitter. And, with the magic remote, it's easy and fun to navigate your options with a scroll, gesture or click. Plus, with a built-in digital tuner you can watch TV content without an external HDTV receiver box, the Antenna is even included. Disclaimer: *Internet connection & certain subscriptions required and sold separately. Content and services vary by product and are subject to change without notice.
Design, features and specifications subject to change without notice. Screen images simulated and/or dramatized. Some features in videos may not be available on all models. Please refer to the TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS tab for a complete list of features by model.
Design, features and specifications subject to change without notice.


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Tuesday June 5th is Election Day in California and you do not want to miss out on voting for your representative. Candidates have walked neighborhoods, phoned voters, mailed material to your homes, placed ads in the newspapers, held meet and greet coffees, printed yard signs all with the objective to listen and educate you, the voter before you vote.
If you have already voted that is great but if you are one that likes to go to the polls, please do not forget to vote on Tuesday. Now if you are one of those people who think your vote will not matter, remember Gigi Hanna's recent win by 4 votes for San Bernardino City Clerk. So you can see your vote counts.
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TORINO: ALPINE: COMPETITION VENUESAlpine skiing
Total events: 10
Approximate number of athletes: 270
Venue 1 – Sestriere Colle
Spectator information
Expected number of spectators: 9,250
The facility is located at Sestriere (altitude 2,035 m) on a pass of the same name that connects the Alta Val Chisone with the Alta Valle di Susa. The SS 23 and 24 roads connect Sestriere to the Valle di Susa and the Val Chisone.
Description of the facilities
Sises – giant slalom
The 'Sises' giant slalom course is one of the most technical courses in the world. The men's start is located on the top of Mount Sises, while the women's start is located halfway down the first section. The upper part of the course is fairy steep, with wide spaces and changes in slope height that guarantee spectacular performances. After a brief 'false' flat stretch, the course becomes unexpectedly steep and difficult as it winds its way through a wooded area. The degree of steepness continues to vary through the finish.
Giovanni A. Agnelli – slalom
The 'Giovanni A. Agnelli' slope where the slaloms will take place runs parallel to the giant slalom course. The first stage of the course is very steep and demanding; this is followed by a slightly easier stretch that then drops steeply again.
Training venues
Several slopes are available in the proximity of the competition courses to give athletes similar characteristic and condition for training and equipment testing.
Field of play
(Competition/start/finish/vertical drop/course length)
Men's giant slalom 2,480 m 2,030 m 450 m 1,434 m
Women's giant slalom 2,430 m 2,030 m 400 m 1,337 m
Men's slalom 2,240 m 2,030 m 210 m 660 m
Women's slalom 2,210 m 2,030 m 180 m 616 m
Women's combined (slalom) 2,210 m 2,030 m 180 m 616 m
Women's combined (slalom) 2,170 m 2,030 m 140 m 530 m
Venue 2 – Sestriere Borgata
Spectator information
Expected number of spectators: 8,560
Borgata is part of Sestriere. The town is about 5 km from Sestriere and is connected to Sestriere Colle by a ski lift and to Col Basset (Sauze d'Oulx) by a cable car.
Description of the facilities
Kandahar Banchetta (G. Nasi)
The men's downhill, downhill combined and super G are contested on the 'Kandahar Banchetta (G. Nasi)' slope. The first part of each course alternates brief flat stretches with very technical bends. The course then enters into a wooded area, where it becomes steeper and faster with a mixture of alternating turns and 'schuss' that continues until the finish area.
Field of play
(Competition/start/finish/vertical drop/course length)
Men's downhill 2,800 m 1,886 m 914 m 3,299 m
Men's combined downhill 2,686 m 1,886 m 800 m 2,965 m
Men's super G 2,536 m 1,886 m 650 m 2,325 m
Weather data for last 10 years
Average maximum temperature in February 3.9 °C
Average minimum temperature in February -4.8 °C
Average snow depth in February 87 cm
Venue 3 – San Sicario Fraiteve
Spectator Information
Expected number of spectators: 6,160
The slope for the women's downhill is located in San Sicario, a district of Cesana (1,690 m). It stretches from the Fraiteve peak (2,702 m) to Roccia Rotonda (2,392 m).
A new ski lift will connect Sestriere to San Sicario. Cesana can also be reached by road on the SS 24.
Description of the facilities
The slope, a part of the highest point of Monte Fraiteve, crosses half of the versant of the Soleil Boeuf region to then finish in correspondence of San Sicario. The first section of the course is a fairly steep wall, which allows the skiers to reach a high speed very quickly. They then enter a wooded area where the course levels out slightly before becoming very steep and fast again. The last portion of the course consists of a misleading flat section and ends with a very steep wall and a jump just before the finish line. The course is accessed by the Roccia Rotonda quad lift and by the Soleil Boeuf, Rio Inverso and Fraiteve T-bars.
Training venues
Several slopes are available in the proximity of the competition courses to give athletes similar characteristics and conditions for training and equipment testing.
Post-Olympic use
All courses will return to normal use by the ski resort.
Field of play
(Competition/start/finish/vertical drop/course length)
Women's downhill 2,538 m 1,738 m 800 m 3,202 m
Women's combined downhill 2,400 m 1,738 m 662 m 2,822 m
Women's super G 2,286 m 1,738 m 548 m 2,358 m
Weather data for last 10 years
Average maximum temperature in February 2.5 °C
Average minimum temperature in February -9.2 °C
Average snow depth in February 90 cm


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A great interface design for a herbal products e-shop. The use of colour and natural design elements is great! I like the simple and intuitive menus and log-in page.Posted in Interface → Web App
A fascinating concept for an interactive wallpaper by Bang & Olufsen. I love the clean lines and gorgeous use of chrome elements. The monochrome scheme works brilliantly in conjunction with the physical imagery.Posted in Interface → Mac App
An interesting concept for a Playstation 3 Mini Video player. I like the consistency of the design and use of futuristic design elements. The user interface is intuitive and clean, allowing for a good user experience.Posted in Interface → Other
A simple but effective logo for a bike share project based in St Louis. I love the colour choice, it really makes a statement and helps the logo to stick in your mind. The bike element of the logo works well to aid memorability, as does the typesetting of the text.Posted in Branding → Logo
Here we have an interestingly stylised site for a hairdressers. I like the consistent use of certain design elements, such as the borders. Overall, the site makes a strong statement.Posted in Web Design → Misc
A brilliant site for a book on design! Admittedly it would look bad if the site for a book by a web designer was shoddy, but this is a delight. I love the static header and consistent use of colours and design elements.Posted in Web Design → Design
A beautiful example of physical print design for the latest contemporary dance festival hosted at the CCVF Guimarães. I love the vibrant use of colour and attention paid to typeface. The layout and key design elements can significantly alter the way we interact with magazines and journals.Posted in Interface → Other
A great concept for a logo that's based on the Chicago cityscape. I love the abstract design elements here and how the buildings appear to be springing forth from the 'V'. I particularly like the colour palette and use of colour differentiation to break up the logo.Posted in Branding → Logo
A sleek and brilliant interface for an iPhone game that's essentially a circular game of Tetris. The use of subtle background elements works beautifully in contrast with the brightly coloured blocks. I particularly like the simplicity of the gaming interface itself, it allows you to focus solely on the task at hand.Posted in Interface → iPhone App
Tef is an incredibly simple music iPhone application that allows user to play their iPhone like a tambourine. What really sets it apart is its stunning interface! The gorgeous mix of ethnic and modern style in combination with great custom UI elements makes this App a joy to behold.Posted in Interface → iPhone App
An assembly kit for an interactive tyre calendar that was made for Dalnoboy, a large truck tyre service network. Once built you simply use the tyre markers to keep track of the days and a month marker to keep track of the month. I really like the interactive element and commitment to the concept, the pack even comes with warranty and repair details for the calendar!Posted in Interface → Other
An elegant solution for using Dribbble on your iPad. I love that it gives over almost 100% of the space to design work and keeps the interface elements out of the way! The gallery looks awesome in simple grey shades and really allows the designs to take centre stage.Posted in Interface → iPad App
The colour fade used here is brilliantly eye catching, I particularly like how it\'s positioned off centre. The logo itself is made by the custom typeface and interesting geometric shapes created within. The text confusion in the centre works really well and adds an element of abstraction to the overall design.Posted in Branding → Logo
A brilliantly simple yet effortlessly effective logo for a cleaning company! I particularly like the straightforward typeface and how the focal design element has been incorporated.Posted in Branding → Logo
Tea Round is Russian roulette for those wanting to sort out who fetches the tea at the office for the day. The design elements used in the app are gorgeous and subtle detail like the steam make it a real winner! I love how effortlessly simple Tea Round is, in premise and design!Posted in Interface → iPhone App
A simple design for a business card. I like the light blue colour used and the use of white for the text and design elements. It\'s interesting to note the integration of well known symbols.Posted in Branding → Business Cards
A stylish card for a hotel business. The colour palette is great, while the incorporation of natural design elements makes an immediate impression. I particularly like how the colours have been inverted on the back of the card.Posted in Branding → Business Cards
Here we have a design that is about as creative and artistic as a business card can get! The central design elements are excellent and the sheer uniqueness of this card allows me to forgive the slightly awkward typeface.Posted in Branding → Business Cards
A great looking post card site. The images have a delightful hand-drawn feel and really grab your attention. One design element that really appeals to me is the use of custom drawn Facebook and Twitter badges.Posted in Web Design → Design
This furniture site is minimal but extremely effective. The custom typeface is perfectly fitting for the company while the dark background adds an element of class to the whole site. I particularly like the high quality photographs of the sofas.Posted in Web Design → Misc


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What do you think? Give us your opinion. Anonymous comments allowed.
Reply-2#124 - itmanh (11/24/2012) [-]
just before I saw the paycheck which was of $4999, I accept ...that...my mom in-law was actually making money part time on their laptop.. there sisters neighbour had bean doing this for only twenty months and as of now took care of the mortgage on there home and purchased a gorgeous Lotus Elan. I went here, ))==== FLY38.ℂOM ====((


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Hartmann Reserve Zip Top Briefcase
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Lifetime warranty.
Dimensions: 15.5" L x 3.25" W x 11" H; 3 lbs.
Hartmann Reserve Zip Top Briefcase
Hartmann Reserve Zip Top Briefcase
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