text:
A River Ran Through It
I wandered down to the ballpark yesterday. Nothing better to do.
Two years ago at about this point of the season Iowa and Memphis hooked up with a division title and playoff spot on the line. Yesterday they took the field a combined 64 games below .500.
Standing out in the center field picnic concourse I gazed across the street at what remains of the Des Moines River after a severe drought. Kids were using the middle of it for a sandbox. Hard to believe this puddle flooded Sec Taylor Field more than once in recent years. Yesterday it struck me as the perfect metaphor for the 2012 Chicago/Iowa Cubs.
A decent crowd shuffled in on a comfortable day as the club again inches toward the 500,000 mark for season attendance in this the final home stand of the year. But nobody's heart was in it. I could plainly hear a peanut vendor working the GA section in the left field corner. We could have had a conversation, no cell phones required. A group in that bank of otherwise empty seats clad in yellow t-shirts resembled the last kernels on a mostly eaten cob of corn.
Rizzo, Jackson and Vitters are gone, leaving behind a rotting carcass of I-Cubs. Not that the team was flying high with them on the roster, but it's more interesting to watch a bunch of up-and-comers than a patchwork of refugees from the independent leagues, many of whom aren't even on first name bases with one another. They come and they go. Only the uniforms remain the same.
In the bottom of the 1st with two aboard Greg Rohan got down a couple of quick strikes and started fouling off pitch after pitch. The PA blared a couple bars of "Stayin' Alive" and then abruptly shut it off. Nobody gave a damn. Then, sudden as a siren in church, Rohan reached out and banged one the other way, a three-run homer that rattled off the metal bleachers to my left and beneath the right-field scoreboard. There was a ballgame going on.
I didn't stay long, just long enough to be reminded of what I'll be missing all winter, starting a week from today.
Re: Giolito
not to be all told you so...but it bears mentioning
Nationals prospect Lucas Giolito reinjured his elbow and is headed to see Dr. Yocum: klaw.me/NXzmiV
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What did you tell us so?
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there were a few comments (and it may have all been from one person for all I remember) that the Cubs should draft Giolito at #6
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I don't know if it was only one person, but I certainly was a proponent of drafting Giolito. You definitely were right on that point.
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oh, I've got plenty of wrongs on other points...
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nationals prospect + injures elbow = cy young candidate 1-2 years later.
boo hiss.
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I'm sorry but neither Geiger nor Soler are the star of this pic:
RT @D_Geiger: Me and Jorge Soler during yesterdays game!
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Is there a hot babe in the background or what?
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that's where I went too...
I'm thinking the mascot maybe.
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"Carl Crawford will undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery on his left elbow on left elbow on Thursday."
this was a very preventable injury.
he could have kept his wallet in his right pocket.
...also, roger clemens just signed an indie ball contract...50 years old, 87mph fastball.
here comes another roider to take yet another record from someone...sorry, moyer....and sorry the astros probably have a place for him once he gets his pitching stamina up.
at least we'll always have minnie minoso.
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Why would Clemens want to play pro ball again? He retired of his own free will, didn't he? Hard to see him working hard to join a terrible, terrible Astros team.
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clemens is one of those hyper-motivated types...which is probably why he was able to take good skills and turn them into a great career.
this is a guy who threw a young mussina...a visiting player...into a locker when he ran him down to tell him how he wasn't taking his talents seriously enough...and clemens was barely 30 years old, himself.
he's also got a reputation for being social/friendly.
he probably just wants to see if he can still compete. he's about to be pitching for the hell of it in a low indie-league (not a "retirement league" like the Golden League).
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OR he loves to be in the news and hasn't been in a while and so now he gets attention again.
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Uhhhh i am pretty sure Clemens was found not guilty. The governments key witness was a guy who lied and even admitted on the stand that his so called evidence was tainted with other peoples DNA and kept in a beer can.
McNamee repeatedly changed his story in order to fit the prosecutions case and admitted on the stand his stories changed.
You probably have a clear cut case of someone using the steroids era to blackmail and take down a player when he was more than likely never a roid user. The governments case proved Clemens was more of a "never was" user than a user.
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yeah, i'm pretty sure clemens was found not guilty too.
i'm also pretty sure ryan braun didn't get banned for roids.
i'm also pretty sure OJ Simpson was found not guilty.
i don't share your belief that he was not a roider.
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Uh....I'd be willing to say that I think Clemens was a roider....but hey...he was found "not guilty" so meh..whatevs.
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well, let's talk about someone who we all know is a roider...jose canseco and how awesome he is.
seriously...he's just...awesome.
time traveler...religious philosopher...indie ball hanger-on.
for those that don't read his twitter...and i recommend it at least once every few weeks, minimum...
it's been like this for years. he crazy.
"Jose Canseco @JoseCanseco
My life sucks but it's better than yours"
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MMA fighter
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I think the "Not Guilty" verdict was a "failed to prove guilt beyond a reasonable doubt", which is a pretty high standard in legal circles. It is not a "more likely than not" standard, i.e., 50.1% proof guilt vs. 49.9% proof of innocence standard. "Beyond a reasonable doubt" is more like a 90% proof of guilt vs. 10% proof of innocence standard.
To prove someone guilty of criminal charges, you gotta have overwhelming evidence of guilt, otherwise the prosecution has not carried its burden of proof.
The fact that some doubt remains doesn't mean that I believe you -- it just means I won't be able to send you to jail. For what it's worth (which isn't much), I don't believe Clemens was clean. And that's just my opinion. That's all it is.
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didn't help petite basically recanted his testimony
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Well my problem with the steroids era is what happens if your innocent and your accused? The court of public opinion will crucify you and there is nothing, i mean nothing, you can ever do to erase that damage.
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what happens if you're innocent in court/procedure, but have a pile of crap against you?
sammy sosa can't even be linked...at all...to anything. you're not going to find many people at all that think he was clean, though.
roger has more going against him than just some dna/needles a guy saved.
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I suspect most of the players were using some form of roidishness. Rather than seeing the players come clean, I'd rather see the people who oversaw their activities come clean. I don't believe for a minute that guys like LaRussa and Dusty didn't see guys injecting shit into their ass.
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everyone knew...front offices knew.
it's about time it's mostly over. it'll never be fully over, but the days of wild-west PED/speed use is finally over...except for the larger-than-expected "for some reason" anxiety/mental-health exemptions so players can keep pumping adderall.
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Why do the Cubs keep hitting Josh Vitters second? Getting more at bats?
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Almost definitely. Dude has had a learning curve at every level, and there's no reason to think he won't have the largest learning curve at the highest level. He's probably not going to do much this year, but this is the best time to keep getting him ABs in games that don't really matter. Then, assuming the job is still his in April, you put him 7th or 8th and hope he's ready to start producing.
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he's not contact, he's not speed, and he's not ob%...it pretty much has to be to get him some ABs.
...or we got a really weird manager.
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It'd be better if he batted seventh, but was in the lineup every game.
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"Why do the Cubs keep hitting Josh Vitters second?"
a) Not to have three lefty hitters in a row, which would make it too easy for a loogie in the 7th or 8th innings.
b) Not to have Barney hitting second. Vitters is a better hitter.
c) Not to have Castro hitting second. Vitters is a better on-base guy.
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Uh..Vitters is a better hitter or on-base guy.
So far, not so much.
Let's wait and see his major league numbers....eh?
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"Let's wait and see his major league numbers"
Sure, but meanwhile you have to look past his current numbers and look at what he did recently at Iowa, and what you expect of him, and slot him in the lineup accordingly. Otherwise you bench him and there's nothing to "wait and see."
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I'm not saying bench Vitters. I think he should be playing every day.
But hitting him second this year? I don't agree with....he's not patient enough at the plate. The PCL is as notorious for inflating hitting stats as the Florida State League is for depressing stats.
Vitters should play every day. but hit him 6th or 7th is all I'm sayin'.
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"But hitting him second this year?"
It is not like the games this year mean anything.
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So let's play him at catcher, since games don't mean anything too.
Or we can bat him in a spot in the order where he might play if he sticks?
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i still wanna see casey weathers stretched out and starting for the cubs in Sept.
fill up the clown car with gas and tear ass all over the national league.
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Sorry when you said that you didn't want Vitters hitting second this year, I assumed that you were open to the posibility of him hitting second during his career. Clearly you are not.
As for playing catcher. I don't see the point as he needs work at third base.
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when you throw 5 changeups in a row...at what point does it no longer matter than it's a changeup?
that was a weird pitching sequence to aram...fly out to LF on a 3-1 count, fwiw.
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Hahaha. After two I think it is just a slow pitch.
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woo...brett jackson brought his glove tonight.
not bad for a guy that's barely seen the warning track @miller.
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vitters hits hit 1st HR...nice/legit shot...slider down the middle.
Boom Time!
Vitters crushes a hanging breaking ball...shows some swagger for a guy hitting under .100.
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link to video in the twitter box, didn't hang as much in real-time as it did in slo-mo when I first saw it.
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tie game in the 5th...meh. 3-3.
...make that a 6 run MIL lead in the 5th...sigh. ...this is getting silly.
Boom Time Brewers
8-3 or something at this point...that's what I get for turning the game on.
Rockies winning 3-1 in the 9th, Cubs would move into the #2 spot of the draft.
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Moved into #2...is it Cubbery when we are this bad and we still can't get the number 1 draft pick? Houston might be the worst team I have in my 35 years of watching baseball.
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before anyone makes the comp, the Astros traded away B. Myers, Wandy, C. Lee and JA Happ during the season, leading to their current run of ineptitude.
The Tigers were so bad, they didn't even have anyone to trade away...although I'm surprised no one took a run at Dmitri Young that year.
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Eh, the 2003 Tigers were really just one Joe Mather away from contending.
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S. Drew to A's for Sean Jameison
Roster Moves a Coming
Left-hander Alex Hinshaw, who was claimed off waivers from the Padres on Sunday, is expected to be activated, as is lefty Chris Rusin, who will start the night game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The likely candidates to be sent down in order to make roster space are left-handed reliever Jeff Beliveau and left-handed hitting infielder Adrian Cardenas.
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Cardenas has just 10 at-bats since he was called up on July 31. He's actually 4 for 10 but I think Dale just forgot about him. He should be sent back down if he is not going to play.
Joe Mather is 2 for 23 during that same period. I just don't get him at this point. He is hitting .208 for the year and brings no power, speed, or good defense. I guess its the fact that he can play 3B and OF, but now with Vitters and Valbuena, 3B is covered. I would have released Mather long ago and given Cardenas or Campana those at-bats to get a better sense if they have any long term value.
Speaking of Valbuena, he has raised his average almost 40 points in the last 2 weeks, going 12-32 - .375 / .487 / .625. I am sure it won't last, but he walks a lot has some doubles pop (he has 14 in just 184 PAs, a rate that would be over 40 for a full season) and can play all 3 infield positions. He could end up being a good super utility infield guy next year perhaps.
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I like what you are saying about Mather. Totally agree, wtf is he doing on this team?
I want to go on record of sayin I REALLY LIKE Valbuena as a long term Cub. To me he passes the eye-test and looks like a ballplayer, he is definitely batting better than his numbers . . . I think he is a keeper. I think the Cubs do too, based on his playing time and the general way he's been handled. Lefty batting infielder, patient, better fielder than advertised, some pop, and Cubs had him at cleanup in the game Rizzo rested. I'd say get used to him. Personally I can watch him play any day.
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Yeah, I always feel like in lost seasons like this your goal is to gain as much information as possible about as many players as possible, figuring out which 2-3 might be worth keeping.
C - Castillo needs more at-bats, he has an .813 OPS so far, but in limited action. But he is seemingly showing that he is at least a #2 catcher. Clevenger started hot and was still hitting . 280 on July 2nd, but since then he has hit just .121 and his season line is all the way down to .222/.276/.304. We probably found out that he can't cut it. He generally has decent at-bats and walks a bit though, so he could be good AAA depth going forward, but probably nothing more.
1B - Since June 6 LaHair is hitting just .191 and appears to have no long term major league value. So the organization found that out. Rizzo is doing well and is going to get a half season of experience.
2B - Barney's defense is great and now with over a 1,000 at bats we can see that he is probably a .270 hitter with a an OPS in the high 600s. He is what he is, probably a fantastic middle infield bench player, or a dependable starting second basemen if the rest of the lineup is full of solid hitters.
SS - Castro is struggling a bit this year, but still doing well, making adjustments, and is now signed long term.
3B - Stewart was a turd. Perhaps if he heals he will rebound, but no one will be holding their breath. Vitters is now getting his first major league at bats in an absolutely 0 pressure situation. Valbuena is showing that he can be a major league bench player I think.
IF - Cardenas has not done particularly well, but has only had limited at-bats and this was his first taste of major league pitching, and he is doing well still at AAA (.891 OPS), so at age 24 I expect him to be kept and get another shot to do well off the bench next year and/or remain as AAA depth.
OF - Soriano is having a solid year all around, and I don't think they will pay him to play somewhere else unless they can save a good chunk of salary somehow. He is healthy, productive, and not blocking anyone. Dejesus is pretty much what we thought he would be. He has a career OPS of .776 and is at .770 right now. He is not particularly good at anything, but is an acceptable starter. Mather has no value at all and should be discarded, we found that out. Jackson is getting his first taste of the big leauges. Campana showed that he is an awesome pinch runner but probably cannot hit enough to justify significant playing time. A great 25th man on a contending team, but probably not much more.
SP - Samardzija impressed and has shown that he can be a legit major league starter. Garza's rate states have been pretty consistent over the last 6 years as a starter, and so it is pretty easy to guess what he will produce going forward. Wood seems capable of being an OK #5 lefty starter, and is only 25 and could improve. Volstad really sucks, but will get more time to turn it around given that he is 25 and has a wealth of big league experience already, but no one has high opes. Wells was inconsistent and then had surgery and it seems like his window of opportunity is almost shut. Germano is 30 and seems no more than AAA depth, but better depth than Coleman who has shown nothing. Raley has done well at AAA and is getting his first look.
RP - Marmol has the stuff but is inconsistent. He has a 0.90 ERA over the last month and 13 strikeouts in those 10 innings and can be a dominant closer. We knew that already. Russell now has 180 games pitched over the last 3 years and has improved each year. He has shown that he can be a nice bullpen piece; a good discovery this season.
Camp was a good pick up and while he won't be a dominant set-up man, he seems capable of serving as a middle-inning reliever for a couple of more years in the bigs. Corpas was also a good snag off the scrap heap, and has about the same ceiling going forward. While Maine has struggled a bit this year, he has had good success at AAA and is a lefty so he will likely get another shot to prove he can stick in the bigs. Similarly, Bowden has not shown much in the bigs, but is just 25 and done well at AAA and struck out more than a batter an inning there so he will get more looks. Asencio walked too many guys and is 28, but might remain as AAA depth.
4 guys in the bullpen made their major league debuts this year. Dolis got his first look and will continue to have an opportunity to show he can stick over the next year or two. Beliveau is doing well in his first chance in the bigs (3.18 ERA over 11 innings). Cabrera has struggled, but is just 23 and has struck out 74 in 55 minor league innings this year, so he will be given a shot over the next couple of years. Parker also got his first look, did OK before getting injured, but has done well at AAA on his rehab and will get more of an opportunity.
All in all, a ton of young guys getting and opportunity to show what they can do all across the roster and any information the front office can gather on their potential will aid them in making roster decisions going forward.
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Nice little assessment there. I know it's crazy, but I still have some hopes for Volstad. Just keep throwing him out there. If he keeps getting pounded, it helps us in the reverse standings. If he figures it out, we have possibly a back end rotation guy, maybe even mid rotation guy.
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I agree with you about Clevenger: tried and found wanting. They're just using him now to prod Castillo into studying harder and calling a better game. Castillo is the guy. In addition to having a gun, he's a real hitting prospect, better than people realize.
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"Totally agree, wtf is [Mather] doing on this team?"
Trading Reed Johnson left the Cubs with only one righty-hitting OF besides Soriano--Mather. And don't forget, the Cubs are trying to trade Soriano before 9/1.
I know this is the same answer I gave to why Vitters bats second, but you can't ignore handedness. You can't have a lineup of lefty hitters, or the Cubs will find themselves facing only lefty pitchers, many of them temporary callups from AAA or AA.
I certainly agree that Mather stinks. I expect Greg Rohan--the only righty slugger right now at Iowa--to be the first callup in September.
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Rohan is not even on the 40-man, so I suspect he won't be called up.
And handedness is fine to be aware of, but Mather can't hit lefties or righties so it doesn't really matter, it's not like the other team will bring in a different pitcher to face him.
"Oh no, I have my lefty reliever in to face Rizzo and I would like to keep him in to face Valbuena, but SHIT, what if they pinch hit JOE FUCKING MATHER, we'd lose this game."
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Mather may hit lefties and righties the same (which is highly unusual), but the lefty hitter he would be replacing doesn't.
I'm not defending Mather, just saying that Hoyer will not construct a roster with only one righty-hitting OF.
Mather can give his 40-man roster spot to Rohan on his way out.
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Nice job. I agree with most of your comments. The only I disagree with is Campana. I don't think we still know exactly what he can be. We know he is excellant at stealing bases, but do we know for sure if he can get on consistenly? I would have like to see him get a longer look at lead off. My gut feeling is he is only a 4th or 5th OF, but I don't know for sure. It would be great to have a lead-off man that can steal 60 -70 bases. Let's find out!
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His body of work and the eye test so far combine to paint a dismal projection, but I don't really see why we shouldn't give him a shot. Problem is, he'd have to displace one of two free agent outfielders. So it's not gonna happen. At this point, it may be better to just get him some at bats down in the minors.
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You're right that is probably isn't going to happen. I was commenting more on what we should have learned this year, but didn't. The perfect time was after Byrd was gone and before Rizzo came up, or even before Byrd was gone and he was playing poorly. I'm sure some one can give exact dates, etc, but my memory is that Campana was playing enough to lead the league in steals and was batting about .270 or so and suddenly he wasn't playing any more at the expense of Johnson and Baker. My only point is we should have found out if Campana could be anything worthwhile and we didn't. A really good lead-off man is something we rarely had in my years as a Cubs fan.
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Byrd was traded on April 21 and Campana was recalled from Iowa that day to take his roster spot.
Starting then Campana played in 50 of 55 of the next Cubs games, with 34 of those being starts. He hit .275/.313/.310 and was 24 for 27 in stolen bases. This was through June 20th.
On June 18th LaHair played his first game in right field, and Rizzo was recalled on June 26. LaHair got most of the starts in RF for the next month, with Dejesus sliding to center. Reed Johnson also got 40 PAs in July prior to the deadline (hitting .342 in them).
So from late June until early August Campana received only 17 plate appearances, went just 2 for 16 and stole 2 bases and then was sent down to Iowa.
From the Cubs perspective, it was difficult. Soriano and Dejesus were going to play. And LaHair had a .960 OPS still at the time he moved to RF. It was difficult to justify sitting the All-Star (though after a month of tanking they eventually did). AND they wanted to increase Johnson's trade value. And while Campana did hit .270 and prove that he can steal bases with the best of them, he had essentially a 1/4 of a season's worth of at-bats and put up an OPS of .623. Only five qualified players in the majors are worse than that right now, it's really just tough to put that line out there, especially at the top of the lineup. He has absolutely no power at all (career .296 slugging) and so simply has to get on base at a high clip to be valuable, higher than his career .301 OBP.
The thing is, Campana's career BABIP is .333 because he hits everything on the ground and is so fast, but he walks in just 5% of his PAs and strikes out in 20% of his PAs. So if he could walk more, and cut down on the Ks, and put the ball in play, he could get his OBP up and be serviceable, but time is running out for him to do that.
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Thanks for the facts. I guess he had some opportunity, but other factors came into play. I still feel I would have liked to see more. I believe he did walk more in the minors, so if he had more of an opportunity it may have translated to the majors.
Different topic. When Jackson was thrown out stealing third last week, Sveum seemed to imply he went on his own. Do I understand this correctly? Frankly, I'm surprised that a player with about 10 games of major league experinece could steal on his own. He made a bad decision given the circumstances, but I couldn't believe that a player at his level could make that decision on his own. Is this a case of the coaching staff not telling him he could only go when they told him, or do they really have a perpetual green light?
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Seinfeld: Damn you Rizzo!
delusions of grandeur
According to Jon Heyman of CBS Sports, Nick Swisher may seek a contract similar to Jayson Werth's seven-year, $126 million deal when he hits free agency this winter.
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I might seek a similar contract. With just about as much luck as Swisher is going to have.
I'll predict 3/36 to 4/52 absolute tops.
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WSCR Cubs in negotiations to move Peoria affiliation to Kane County.
Sorry Peoria.
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What about Harry's old friend Pete Vanockin (sic). Is his still the owner/alive?
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The Major League rules, which govern the business of baseball, stipulate a $500,000 fine for major league teams and a $100,000 fine for minor league teams that publicly discuss future re-affiliation agreements.
If the report is correct that the Cubs and Cougars are close to an agreement, however, the two organizations still would have violated Rule 56 of the rules.
Either the parent club or affiliate must present written notification either to the office of the commissioner or the president of Minor League Baseball at the conclusion of the season. Negotiations outside of the existing relationship cannot begin until Sept. 16.
AZ PHIL: You have seen Belliveau in your neck of the woods. It seems like he is the typical player that does really well in the minors, but just clearly gets the Profound Yips in the MLB and pees in his pants. We have had many of these great players on the Cubs.
In Iowa, the dude had almost a 3:1 K-BB ratio and seemed to have several pitches.
He is 25 right now, and while not an "old-timer" yet (half the age of Jamie Moyer, right?), did he show you anything in AZ? What's his status, anyway? Will HoyStein give the kid the boot anytime soon?
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roid check on ninja...his voice has dropped very deeply.
short/funny MLB Network interview...oddly, or not, mostly talking about the footsballs.
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M's are 23-13 since the break...wtf?
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garza confrimed done for the season according to mr manager and ms beat writer.
Two of these guys will be on Cubs Roster opening day of ST 2013
Erik Bedard (34)
Kevin Correia (32)
Jeremy Guthrie (34)
Francisco Liriano (29)
Shaun Marcum (31)
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Add Anabel Sanchez (28) to the list.
Odd as it seems, the list might also include Dempster (65, give or take), without a no trade this time.
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These are the guys I figured the Cubs may go after.
E. Jackson
F. Liriano
S. Baker
C. Lewis
S. Marcum
B. McCarthy
We'll see how expensive Anibal gets, but I don't see the Cubs going over 4 years on anyone. I'd throw Dempster in that mix as well. There wlll be some trade options as well.
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I will eat my pillow without any water if Dempster re-signs with the Cubs. There is NO WAY, after that mess AND after the Kerry Wood fuzzy-goodness signing that Theo let's Dempster back in that uniform. No way in hell.
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i doubt things got toxic. dude was in the room seeing how the process worked (much to the horror of other front offices) with theo as he was being dealt.
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Perhaps, I obviously have no idea what transpired except for news stories. It's just not gonna happen. Dempster needs to move on and keep on moving. Nothing in Theo/Jed's bag of tricks indicates wanting any reminders of the old ballclub. Wood was the last of that and it was a flop. There have been reports in recent days about changing the culture of comfort, they don't need a 36 year old reminde either, from an entertainment point of view he has no intrigue, and to many has worn out his welcome - to the rest he feeds the warm fuzzy contingent which is not what the FO wants for the Cubs. I just really think anyone who thinks they would bring him back is barking up the wrong tree big time. I would also hope Dempster wouldn't want back into this ratrap as well. But theo: NO WAY! (why the caps? I have no idea...)
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dumpster will most likely be looking a 2+ year deal anyway...dunno if the cubs would want a piece of that at his age even with a decent deal.
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yah know...he's not going to carry the team, but how about wellington castillo finally...finally...getting his shot. he's quietly been playing some awesome ball since his callup. seems like 2013 is his to lose as far as getting the most time at C.
he needs some polishing on the D everywhere but his throwing arm, but meh...i like the dude....when he's healthy.
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Looks formidable at the plate, and in control behind the plate. Love him, even with the occasional jogging etc. I think he's a keeper.
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never played more than 100 games in 6 pro seasons, doesn't walk much, makes me want to watch Michael Barrett catch a game.
I like him as as long as he's under $1M...he's the Ryan Theriot/D. Barney of catching, useful only while he's cheap.
He does have decent power and the right age to put up a few good seasons, hope TheJedi trade high on him at some point.
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Castillo has a 1.079 OPS at all levels against LHP this year. Slammin.
Clevenger can't hit lefties at all, but he's not so hot against northpaws either. It'd be nice to see a catcher splitting the duties who could kill it against righties. I wonder what John Jaso might cost in a trade. Or even, if he can't get a starting job anywhere this winter, AJ Pierzynski. God help us.
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oh Castillo should play everyday, Clevenger is AAA material imo.
Just don't expect a long, illustrious career from Castillo...the next 2-3 years he might be an average hitting catcher though, maybe even slightly above. Hopefully he can learn how to frame a pitch or at least just catch the damn ball.
I just don't see a long term solution there, but that's not necessarily a bad thing....few of those around.
for a split second, I thought the Cubs should see how badly the Twins want to dump Mauer's contract, but it goes all the way through 2018 and age 35. Since there's no DH and Rizzo should be playing 1b for awhile, that's a bad idea that didn't last long in my head. I also presume the Twins are going to want more than just salary relief.
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i think welington is capable of a 15hr, 30+ double season without embarrassing himself on avg/ob%...even on a 130-140 game "catcher's schedule" with rest. if he can deliver the pop with a .260/.330 avg/ob% i'll take it.
his receiving skills and game calling is debated, most on the side of "needs work." he's got a +arm, though.
i feel a lot better about him than soto.
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the next time he plays 100 games in a season, will be the first...
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And he's gimpy right now . . .
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His absolute ceiling does involve a long career. Illustrious ... not.
Heh, Chris Rusin
triples in first AB...throwing a shutout through 2
retire now, it'll only get worse.
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Vitters strikes out after 3 balls on strikes 2 and 3 looking, both fastballs down the middle. Not sure exactly what he was looking for there with Rizzo on deck.
I still believe, but he might need 700 PAs before he's on equal footing. Will he get it with the Cubs?
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he seems to suck a lot at guessing pitch sequences so far.
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I want to slap Jackson and Vitters . . . Both watching strike 3 with runners on 3rd to end innings. Hey guys? Really? Grow a pair . . . Remember watching all those games as kids when real major leaguers would protect the plate with two out and two strikes and runner on 3rd. Now quit being so damned nervous and act like those guys. It's baseball assh%les... Play like you've seen a game or two at least.
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Knarly Carlito!
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Haha! Looking particularly bad now that we haven't crossed the plate! Get the bats off your shoulders in that situation boys! Close your eyes and swing! Ugh . . .
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"Protecting the plate" is too often a euphemism for hacking away with two strikes. I saw enough of that when Colvin was around. It's not a good way to go deep into counts, since the count doesn't change when you foul off what would have been a ball.
To me, the secret of hitting is getting to three balls after you've been behind in the count. Called strike three is just a chance you have to take, especially when umps expand the strike zone for inexperienced hitters.
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Your point is well taken, but I think the key to hitting is knowing and controling the strike zone.
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Dale Sveum in yesterday's Trib / Sullivan article:
"We're super young right now. That's part of the gig and we knew it. … But if you are going to struggle, I'd much rather see you have (a) plan and not go down looking so much in key situations."
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The question is what is the "plan" Sveum is referring to: "I'd much rather see you have [a] plan and not go down looking so much . . ."
Vitters took a couple of third strikes against Estrada on Tuesday. In the third inning, Vitters took four pitches to arrive at 3-1. Next he took a fastball down the middle. On 3-2, he took a fastball at the knees.
Six pitches, zero swings. Vitters took a 3-1 fastball and a 3-2 fastball in the strike zone, with a runner on third and two out. If he was looking for a walk, that's not a good plan. But maybe he didn't have a plan.
In the sixth, Vitters swung at two low sliders and then took a slider strike. Why swing at that first pitch? Are you looking for a breaking ball on 0-0?
So there was more going on--or less going on coherently in Vitters' brain--than just taking a couple of third strikes.
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It's curious you cut off the Sveum quote with ellipses at exactly the point that matters to me. "...in key situations."
I do not have a problem with these guys practicing patience and working the count. My issue is with guys continuously watching the final strike hit the outside corner in tight games with two outs, two strikes and a man on third. A professional cannot be guessing a zone in that situation.
I am happy to agree to disagree with you. I appreciate what you are saying, but a pro must have the ability to cover the strike zone with the bat in that situation.
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"a pro must have the ability to cover the strike zone," etc.
When Jaramillo was let go, apparently for focusing on mechanics instead of teaching his hitters an approach (or a "plan"), Sveum was asked how he coached hitters. He said:
You'll get your walks if you don't swing at pitches that you can't hit out of the ballpark -- that's my philosophy.
It's also Adam Dunn's philosophy, and that of many sluggers who amass a lot of walks, strikeouts and home runs. They tend to lay off of offspeed pitches on the corners, even with two strikes.
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Two posts in a row where you quote my posts and delete the word 'situation'.
Is this a performance art piece?
You are cracking me up!
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Situation is a vague word. What we're mainly arguing about here is how to describe the situation.
E.g., a 1-2 count and a 3-2 count are very different situations to me, but I gather to you they're the same: a professional hitter has to protect the plate.
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No I was very specifically talking about man on 3rd, two outs, and guys watching a third strike consistently. But no need to address it now. I call:
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No, no, you win.
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8 HBP in AAA for rusin...
3 in 4ip (so far) tonight.
2 hit batters and a walk with 1 out in the 4th...how about getting someone up in the pen?
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woo...gets out of it with only 1 run damage...which is good, imo...cuz that was ugly.
The Laugh Riot
if you look at the twitter box, Giants are trying Theriot in the outfield again...for those that remember 2007, he had some issues out there.
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"VogyVog24 Getting a txt from dad before every game never gets old!!"
vogelbomb via twitter.
btw, do modern cell phones still actually make phone calls?
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Soler 3-4, RBI in a 4-2 Peoria win.
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Rockies win again...Cubs gonna lose again.
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Yessssssss! We're #2, we're #2!
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billy hamilton has broken coleman's record...and counting (second game of a double-header in progress)
4sb tonight...147sb/33cs
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As CRUNCH says: "He's just a leg injury away from being useless."
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no use worrying until it's time to pay him $10m+...or if he sticks at SS, $15m+
but yeah, his game...including his ob%...is highly dependent upon his legs.
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lulz...MLB Network with Smoltz outting Maddux's rep for picking up Gold Golves.
he was going on about how maddux was willing to bet Smoltz (and others) he was going to win the GG the season he made 7 errors...amongst other years he probably shouldn't have won one (btw, he won).
he never said "maddux" until the ragging and laughter of his co-anchors dragged it out of him...but that made it a bit more funny.
also, to be fair...maddux (and smoltz pointed this out, too) averaged a lot more chances than most pitchers because of how he pitches and his aggressiveness in fielding.
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The Cubs' second-best starting pitcher currently in the rotation is 4-9 with a 4.83 ERA and has peripherals suggesting that he's been extremely lucky this year (.245 BABIP, 5.59 FIP).
Is this rock bottom?
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On the bright side, we got one of the better minor league TMJ patients.
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I'm predicting that EVERY player in Peoria will be playing in Chicago next year.
Okay, maybe not Chicago, but close. Harry is rolling in his grave.
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Maybe if DeJesus stays on his homerun tear, the Cubs can trade him in the offseason for a half-decent pitching prospect.
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Cubs let go of six scouts today, pro and amateur sides
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@BruceMiles2112: #Cubs amateur scouts fired: Charlie Aliano and Rick Schroeder. Pro: Richie Zisk, Joe Housey, Tom Shafer, Tom Bourque
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good luck finding work with that resume
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Ouch! :D
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Ricky Schroeder is already busy acting. Or, I guess he was acting as a scout too?
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Research for a new role?
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richie zisk?
that's cold. he's getting old, though...and it's not like S.Florida has produced for the cubs.
BA Prspect Chat
Who gets your nod as the Cubbies' top prospect at present - Baez or Soler?
Jim Callis: Baez. Big offensive upside and may just stay at shortstop for a while. I'd take Almora over Soler, too.
Most of the Cubs top prospects either seem to be at 3B (Vitters, Villanueva, Baez) or OF (Jackson, Szczur, Soler, Almora). Who do you see as the keepers and what would you do with the rest?
Jim Callis: A lot of those guys will have to move anyway. I think Baez winds up at third base (though reviews of his shortstop defense have been positive) and Almora winds up in center field. Chicago's future outfield will be Soler in left, Almora in center, Jackson in right.
Brooks Raley, Chris Rusin, Erik Jokisch, Austin Kirk. Which soft-tossing lefty starter has the best stuff/future with the Cubs? Can any of them stick around long term as maybe a #4 starter?
Jim Callis: I ask myself that question every year when I do the Cubs Top 30 list. I'll say Raley, and he has a chance to be a No. 4 at best. I'm not in love with any of those guys. They're all similar, finesse lefthanders who can pitch a little bit.
Which of the young pitchers the Cubs drafted early are you most excited about? Blackburn, Underwood, or McNeil?
Jim Callis: Underwood has the most sheer upside.
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Padres put Edinson Volquez on waivers. I know, it means nothing.
Back in the day he was a straight up trade for Josh Hamilton.
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it took long enough for someone to be hacky-as-shit and write a "oh no, johan santana threw 134 pitches and now he's ruined!" piece.
it says a lot of nothing except to bring up that hot button again.
i'd like to see him write an article on justin verlander (2 130+, 6 120+ in 2012...not unusual for him).
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So your argument is Justin Verlander vs. everyone else?
Seems fair.
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i forgot baseball history started in 1990.
i just find the link applied careless in many cases.
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Not everyone who smokes gets cancer
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that's kinda the point...just because johan threw 15ish-too-many pitches...just because WAS brought S.Straw along slowly only to see him rip his elbow up on a baby'ing schedule...
there's less micro-managing-panic of guys throwing 10-20 "too many pitches" compared to years past...i was just waiting on the santana one...every failed start up'd the ante. someone had to "break."
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No the point is when you pay your pitchers a lot, if you're smart you're going to play the odds in terms of keeping them healthy. If, overall, throwing 20 more pitches leads to more injuries, it'd be dumb to chance it unless you desperately need those pitches.
Just because things used to be done a certain way that doesn't mean it's the right way.
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and we come full circle to and alternate reality where justin verlander never provides his full potential because he was allowed to do it to begin with.
i do appreciate how writers aren't throwing it around for everyone these days...and "something" may have happened when he pushed it for those extra pitches that night...but it was one of those oldschool "well, he threw a lot of pitches and well...you do the math -wink-" articles.
Re: A River Ran Through It
Jim Hendry: Hey Andrew, what do you. want for Garza?
Andrew Friedman: How about four of your top guys. I like Archer or McNutt, Your pick. Plus we want Sam Fuld. He needs a shot anyway.
Hendry: You can't have McNutt.
Friedman: Garza has never been on the DL.
Hendry: Yeah. It's one reason why we like him.
Friedman: Ok Jim.Let me give thus some thought.
Hendry: Ok. Sounds good. I wanna check if Garza has an NTC.
To Randy Bush: Ha Randy! We'll give him Archer!! Our scouts tell us that McNutt is a CAN'T MISS PROSPECT! Haha! It still takes two to play poker!
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i saw the archer game tonight on tv (in progress)...it wasn't THAT good, though he's had his best results in a while.
he's not giving up as many walks, but the counts ran deep...similar to last game.
i'd rather have garza...
unless garza's arm is toast i'd be willing to bet you could easily replace what was lost in talent to obtain him.
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How could we replace Sam Fuld, or Robinson Chirinos???
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hj lee is still waiting on the power that came with his growth spurt. he's supposedly playing a decent SS for a guy who's 6'3" though.
he had a nice 30-ish (maybe more/less) hitting streak going earlier in the summer, but it was built on a lot of 1-4 type appearances. he's still waaaaay too young developmentally and physically to say what he's capable of as a 21 year old in AA, though he didn't live up to expectations this season.
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he's still waaaaay too young developmentally and physically to say what he's capable of as a 21 year old in AA
I don't see why it isn't too early to give up on him if some folks are giving up on the ceiling of a shortstop who is one year older currently playing in the majors who will end the season with 500+ career hits.
Recent comments
No idea what will happen. The Cards are the Cards and they have come back from 2-1 holes twice in the last 4 years, so I don't see them in panic mode at all. If anything, I expect the Cubs to be pressing more than the Cards today.
I want the Cubs to win because it would be great for the City, and great for the fans. But more than anything, I want the Cubs to win so I can see this team play for at least one more week this year. Never enjoyed watching a team more than this year.
Just to remember how far we have come: last year's opening day lineup was Bonifacio, Lake, Castro, Rizzo, Olt, Castillo, Schierholz, Barney, and Samardzija. It's been a fun ride this year!
BRADSBEARD: I haven't noticed any new rule or a change in the interpretation of an existing rule happening in Advanced Instructs, I don't know what rules will be tested in the AFL, although almost all recent rule changes and new interpretations of existing rules (the home plate collision rule, replay, time clock between innings, et al) do get their start in the AFL.
AZ Phil: I've heard that the AFL will be testing out a new force out rule that would affect break-up plays (like the Utley play). Have you heard anything about this new rule and any details about it? Are they testing it out at the advanced instructs as well?
Pretty sure I already know the answer to this, but since I will be in NYC next week I want to confirm... If the Cubs were to advance to the NLCS, the winner of LAD/NYM would have home field based on being a division winner (as opposed to Cubs by virtue of better record), correct?
CUBSTER: This "hammy" is on the other leg I heard last night. See you at the ballyard today young man!
Oh what do you know, Cubster? Go back to your day job.
--- Ducks, puts on Cardinals cap, runs.
Russell had a severe hamstring last year while with the A's system, forcing him to miss the first half of 2014. I've even wondered if his injury last year was a component of Billy Beane putting him on the trade market. He was quoted saying that last year's injury was a 10 out of 10 when it happened. Last night he said his hamstring soreness was a 1/1.5 out of 10. Hamstring injuries are tricky though, so I'd expect the medical team to be overly cautious here.
...I want to reinforce the observation that there was no sea of red in the crowd. The usual Cardinal fans roaming the stadium were few and far between.
Also, almost every 2 strike pitch brought the fans to their feet. Good for those in knee rehab.
"1st team hit hit 6HR in a game in the postseason." rises above obvious...i checked it with the official fact-finding commission of Douche, Douche, and Douchestein. they agreed with you, but they're a bunch of f'n douches so who cares?
btw, the cubs are 2-1 in the post-season series.
I should be able to watch the game on the NFL replay app, whatever that thing is called. I've got it on my iPad. This is the first year I haven't forced myself to somehow watch every game - no I take that back, last year was - in quite some time. Last year was so unbearable, no pun intended.
You make some good points about Cutler, and I was a holdout defender of Cutler for a long time. I gave up on him a bit after one too many dumb interceptions, but last year doesn't count. Trestman was the worst coach in Bears history.
Nice little reportage there!. I think you're older than me. Considerably older. Maybe several generations. Working out is so essential, especially as age kicks in, isn't it? I still lift weights, and so I'm confident that when I get to be at the hip breaking age, mine won't be a statistic. But I have a ways to go for that to be a concern.
What was impressive to me is that the Cubs won despite poor base running, several defensive miscues, Russell leaving due to injury, Arrieta having an off game and getting knocked out early, and Rondon giving up 2 runs in the 9th. If they can win a game like that...
I was there too. The crowd was absolutely electric. People were standing for every big and semi-big moment, from the first inning on. It felt incredibly strange and exhilarating to see the Cubs (the Chicago bleepin' Cubs!) score playoff insurance runs on the Cardinals. What a game. One to remember.


text:
One last word.
Since this sort of details might, particularly at the present moment, and to use an expression now in fashion, give to the Bishop of D—— a certain "pantheistical" physiognomy, and induce the belief, either to his credit or discredit, that he entertained one of those personal philosophies which are peculiar to our century, which sometimes spring up in solitary spirits, and there take on a form and grow until they usurp the place of religion, we insist upon it, that not one of those persons who knew Monseigneur Welcome would have thought himself authorized to think anything of the sort. That which enlightened this man was his heart. His wisdom was made of the light which comes from there.
No systems; many works. Abstruse speculations contain vertigo; no, there is nothing to indicate that he risked his mind in apocalypses. The apostle may be daring, but the bishop must be timid. He would probably have felt a scruple at sounding too far in advance certain problems which are, in a manner, reserved for terrible great minds. There is a sacred horror beneath the porches of the enigma; those gloomy openings stand yawning there, but something tells you, you, a passer-by in life, that you must not enter. Woe to him who penetrates thither!
Geniuses in the impenetrable depths of abstraction and pure speculation, situated, so to speak, above all dogmas, propose their ideas to God. Their prayer audaciously offers discussion. Their adoration interrogates. This is direct religion, which is full of anxiety and responsibility for him who attempts its steep cliffs.
Human meditation has no limits. At his own risk and peril, it analyzes and digs deep into its own bedazzlement. One might almost say, that by a sort of splendid reaction, it with it dazzles nature; the mysterious world which surrounds us renders back what it has received; it is probable that the contemplators are contemplated. However that may be, there are on earth men who—are they men?—perceive distinctly at the verge of the horizons of revery the heights of the absolute, and who have the terrible vision of the infinite mountain. Monseigneur Welcome was one of these men; Monseigneur Welcome was not a genius. He would have feared those sublimities whence some very great men even, like Swedenborg and Pascal, have slipped into insanity. Certainly, these powerful reveries have their moral utility, and by these arduous paths one approaches to ideal perfection. As for him, he took the path which shortens,—the Gospel's.
He did not attempt to impart to his chasuble the folds of Elijah's mantle; he projected no ray of future upon the dark groundswell of events; he did not see to condense in flame the light of things; he had nothing of the prophet and nothing of the magician about him. This humble soul loved, and that was all.
That he carried prayer to the pitch of a superhuman aspiration is probable: but one can no more pray too much than one can love too much; and if it is a heresy to pray beyond the texts, Saint Theresa and Saint Jerome would be heretics.
He inclined towards all that groans and all that expiates. The universe appeared to him like an immense malady; everywhere he felt fever, everywhere he heard the sound of suffering, and, without seeking to solve the enigma, he strove to dress the wound. The terrible spectacle of created things developed tenderness in him; he was occupied only in finding for himself, and in inspiring others with the best way to compassionate and relieve. That which exists was for this good and rare priest a permanent subject of sadness which sought consolation.
There are men who toil at extracting gold; he toiled at the extraction of pity. Universal misery was his mine. The sadness which reigned everywhere was but an excuse for unfailing kindness. Love each other; he declared this to be complete, desired nothing further, and that was the whole of his doctrine. One day, that man who believed himself to be a "philosopher," the senator who has already been alluded to, said to the Bishop: "Just survey the spectacle of the world: all war against all; the strongest has the most wit. Your love each other is nonsense."—"Well," replied Monseigneur Welcome, without contesting the point, "if it is nonsense, the soul should shut itself up in it, as the pearl in the oyster." Thus he shut himself up, he lived there, he was absolutely satisfied with it, leaving on one side the prodigious questions which attract and terrify, the fathomless perspectives of abstraction, the precipices of metaphysics—all those profundities which converge, for the apostle in God, for the atheist in nothingness; destiny, good and evil, the way of being against being, the conscience of man, the thoughtful somnambulism of the animal, the transformation in death, the recapitulation of existences which the tomb contains, the incomprehensible grafting of successive loves on the persistent I, the essence, the substance, the Nile, and the Ens, the soul, nature, liberty, necessity; perpendicular problems, sinister obscurities, where lean the gigantic archangels of the human mind; formidable abysses, which Lucretius, Manou, Saint Paul, Dante, contemplate with eyes flashing lightning, which seems by its steady gaze on the infinite to cause stars to blaze forth there.
Monseigneur Bienvenu was simply a man who took note of the exterior of mysterious questions without scrutinizing them, and without troubling his own mind with them, and who cherished in his own soul a grave respect for darkness.
- 1. "M. Myriel"
- 2. "M. Myriel Becomes M. Welcome"
- 3. "A Hard Bishopric for a Good Bishop"
- 4. "Works Corresponding to Words"
- 5. "Monseigneur Bienvenu Made his Cassocks Last Too Long"
- 6. "Who Guarded His House for Him"
- 7. "Cravatte"
- 8. "Philosophy After Drinking"
- 9. "The Brother as Depicted by the Sister"
- 10. "The Bishop in the Presence of an Unknown Light"
- 11. "A Restriction"
- 12. "The Solitude of Monseigneur Welcome"
- 13. "What He Believed"
- 14. "What He Thought"
- 15. "The Evening of a Day of Walking"
- 16. "Prudence Counseled to Wisdom"
- 17. "The Heroism of Passive Obedience"
- 18. "Details Concerning the Cheese-Dairies of Pontarlier"
- 19. "Tranquility"
- 20. "Jean Valjean"
- 21. "The Interior of Despair"
- 22. "Billows and Shadows"
- 23. "New Troubles"
- 24. "The Man Aroused"
- 25. "What He Does"
- 26. "The Bishop Works"
- 27. "Little Gervais"
- 28. "The Year 1817"
- 29. "A Double Quartette"
- 30. "Four and Four"
- 31. "Tholomyes is So Merry That He Sings a Spanish Ditty"
- 32. "At Bombarda's"
- 33. "A Chapter In Which They Adore Each Other"
- 34. "The Wisdom of Tholomyes"
- 35. "The Death of a Horse"
- 36. "A Merry End to Mirth"
- 37. "One Mother Meets Another Mother"
- 38. "First Sketch of Two Unpreposessing Figures"
- 39. "The Lark"
- 40. "The History of A Progress in Black Glass Trinkets"
- 41. "Madeleine"
- 42. "Sums Deposited With Laffitte"
- 43. "M. Madeleine in Mourning"
- 44. "Vague Flashes on the Horizon"
- 45. "Father Fauchelevent"
- 46. "Fauchelevent Becomes a Gardener in Paris"
- 47. "Madame Victurnien Expends Thirty Francs on Morality"
- 48. "Madame Victurnien's Success"
- 49. "Result of the Success"
- 50. "Christus Nos Liberavit"
- 51. "M. Bamatabois's Inactivity"
- 52. "The Solution of Some Questions Connected with the Municipal Police"
- 53. "The Beginning of Repose"
- 54. "How Jean May Become Champ"

subset: commoncrawl


text: EQRM users, There are quite a few recent changes to EQRM that may or may not affect you, so I thought I'd detail them here so you're not caught out after doing an svn update and encounter issues. File-based arrays A major architectural change allows for reduced memory usage to enable large simulations to be run (I've tested with 24,000,000 events with 24,000 sites successfully). The change shifts some large arrays to file-based arrays that are saved to numpy native binaries and loaded as memory-mapped objects. This change also improves performance for large simulations, but for smaller data sets you may see a decrease in performance due to an increase in IO. If you are seeing this you can turn off file based array handling using the parameter file_array in your setdata file: file_array = False Note that this setting is currently unsupported for parallel operation using mpirun. This is due to the default behaviour for saving and loading event sets (see below). Due to the increase in IO load, it is recommended that you use a fast file system for storage of output data files (see next section below) and temporary data files. These can be controlled by the following parameters data_dir - location of output data files - defaults to output_dir data_array_storage - temporary data directory - defaults to output_dir Saving and loading event sets One benefit of using file based arrays allows for storage of the generated event set for future use. This enables you to skip the event set generation step for previously generated event sets, which can be a slow operation. It also allows you to ensure that a probabilistic event set is the same across simulations. This can be controlled with the following parameters: event_set_handler - values are 'generate' - default value - replicates existing behaviour except for parallel processing - the first node generates the event set while the other nodes wait; once this step is complete the other nodes load the event set from file 'load' - loads an existing event set from file 'save' - generate a new event set, save to file and exit event_set_name - a name given to the generated event set that is saved, or used to identify event sets to load. Event sets are saved to and loaded from <data_dir>/<event_set_name>. Default value is 'current_event_set'. Log level control This allows you to control the level of verbosity of both the file and console log from the setdata file. This can be used, for example, to ensure that the console verbosity is quiet. The parameters are: file_log_level - default 'debug' - log level for the main EQRM log console_log_level - default 'info' - log level for console output The possible values are (in order of increasing verbosity): 'critical' 'error' 'warning' 'info' 'debug' New ground motion models Two new ground motion models are available for use 'Sadigh_Original_97' - Implementation of Sadigh et al. (1997). This is due to the 'Sadigh_97' implementation using Campbell (2003) convention. 'Allen_2012' - Implementation of Trevor Allen's yet to be released ground motion model. Distance calculation fixes Verification of EQRM against the results of PEER 2010/106 by David Burbidge had revealed some issues with the Rrup and Rjb distance calculations for sites close to the rupture plane. The Joyner-Boore distance implementation has been corrected, and the Rupture distance has been reimplemented using the methodology described in Kaklamanos et al. (2011). This has meant that the distance limit has now been changed from 1km to 0.000001km so you should expect changes to distance results for sites close to the rupture plane. Removal of unnecessary attributes from Event Set An internal change used to improve memory usage has two flow-on effects: - event_num in the event output file is now unique. Previously these ids were unique per source file, so if you had both zone and fault sources as inputs the event_num field in the output file was not unique. - If you have used EQRM since the introduction of file-based arrays, please ensure that the following files are removed if running in generate mode in parallel or load mode (if they don't exist then don't worry) <data_dir>/<event_set_name>/event_set/ area.npy event_id.npy fault_width.npy source_zone_id.npy trace_end_lat.npy trace_end_lon.npy Max width The parameter max_width is only applicable when running scenarios. It has been renamed to scenario_max_width to avoid confusion. If you're using this parameter untouched then you'll see a message like this logged to the console: WARNING: max_width term in EQRM control file is deprecated. Replaced with scenario_max_width=15. Fault and zone source file handling fault_source_tag and zone_source_tag currently allow the user to set non-default filenames for zone source and fault source files. If not set or the derived filename does not exist, the default is used or if that does not exist it will be ignored. event_control_tag is also used in the same manner. EQRM now treats this behaviour differently. A default file is no longer used and these parameters must be set if the source file is to be used. If the file does not exist, an error is thrown and the application quits. This affects these parameters: fault_source_tag zone_source_tag event_control_tag To replicate existing behaviour to use the default file, set these to an empty string. e.g. fault_source_tag = "" Please let me know if you have any questions. There are more changes coming and I'll mail this list as required. Cheers, Ben Cooper Software Developer | Earth Monitoring and Hazards Minerals and Natural Hazards Division | GEOSCIENCE AUSTRALIA ____________________________________________________________ Phone: +61 2 6249 9247 Fax: +61 2 6249 9999 Email: Ben.Cooper@...<mailto:Ben.Cooper@...> Web: http://www.ga.gov.au<http://www.ga.gov.au/> Cnr Jerrabomberra Avenue and Hindmarsh Drive Symonston ACT GPO Box 378 Canberra ACT 2601 Australia Applying geoscience to Australia's most important challenges


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The color pros at Pantone would approve of these must-have shades—and we couldn't agree more. Universally flattering on all skin tones, each hue is daring, but not so out-there that we can't wear it in the office or to dinner with Grandma.
I am a nail polish addict and was so happy to see a unique, emerald green shade (Wild Cactus) in my February Birchbox. I'm never afraid to do a wacky color on my nails so I immediately applied this polish. Over top, I used a top coat that I swear by. By the end of the night, my nails had already started to chip! Cool color, bad staying power.3
Great color payoff, long lasting. Emerald is a totally *in* color right now, so I was very pleased to receive this as a sample last month! Can't wait for summer to use this gem for a pedi! I'd repurchase, but I think one bottle will be more than sufficient for me! Thanks!!!4


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Sway adds OneDrive for Business integration, Sway for iPhone and iPad updates
The project manager's guide to planning a perfect project
The evolution of Microsoft FastTrack—the customer success service
Over the last year, we've helped thousands of customers with varying degrees of IT complexity onboard to Office 365 while reducing their implementation costs, accelerating their time to value and delivering a great customer experience. Today we're excited to announce the evolution of FastTrack from an onboarding service to our customer success service designed to help you realize business value faster with the Microsoft Cloud.
Expanding the preview of Skype for Business services in Office 365
In July, we announced a preview of new Skype for Business voice and meetings capabilities in Office 365. More than 4,000 companies are currently previewing the new services, with usage growing at an average of 20 percent every week. Today we're excited to announce that we are expanding the preview to provide support for additional countries, as well as adding several new features.
One-click forecasting in Excel 2016
Master "The Art of Stage Presence" with James Whittaker
Every hour of every day in every country where business is conducted, the same scene plays out: dozens of well-paid people sit in a conference room being bored senseless. Death by a thousand slides. This mind-numbing, soul-crushing, grotesquely expensive experience ends here. James Whittaker reveals the secrets to conceiving, building and delivering a great presentation.
Share with the click of a button in Office 2016
What's new: September 2015
Office 2016 is here! September also brought a new screen capture tool, the Office 365 Admin Center Preview, a preview of the new OneDrive for Business, two new mobile apps for business and new Office 365 services and experiences, including the Office 365 Import Service, Office 365 Planner and the Office 365 Service Trust Portal. —Read more to see what else is new in Office 365.
Tips & Tricks for the Modern Workplace webcast series
Top teacher-requested features added to OneNote Class Notebooks
Office 365 news roundup
The worldwide release of Office 2016 for Windows on September 22 was another milestone in pursuit of Microsoft's company ambition to reinvent productivity and business processes. Read on to find out even more reasons to make Office 2016 and Office 365 an integral part of your life and your business.


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970Forward from Shire of Ravenslake
Expand Messages
- Apr 30, 2007I have a co-worker who takes belly dancing lessons. However her
teacher is moving to another state. Does anyone know if there are any
classes for this in the area? She lives in Crystal Lake. Any help
would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.
Ahhh...imagining that irresistible "new car" smell?
Check out new cars at Yahoo! Autos.
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Chicago's very own red-headed Violindustrial screamer.
gothic metal saw emilie autumn emily violin muffins plague rats bloody crumpets icon goth industrial music fiddle singer fashion cover aprella
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Editorial: What's taking so long?
The Florida Department of Transportation says the six-laning of the final part of U.S. 41 in Southwest Florida, in Estero, is proceeding on schedule.
That means, the FDOT says, the work will be done next summer.
We wonder if there is anything the FDOT and contractors can do to speed that up.
This roadwork seems to be taking forever.
We base that on eyewitness accounts of the work, or lack of it, day in and day out, and comments from affected business owners — though at least one storefront reports a boost from people struck in traffic having more time to spot his canoe and kayak outpost.
Perhaps we have been spoiled. Perhaps we have seen efficiency in action on the widening of Interstate 75, Imperial/Three Oaks Parkway and the southern extension of Santa Barbara Boulevard.
Those important projects seemed to rock right along.
This Estero widening, so many years in the making, seems agonizingly tedious and complicated.
Summer 2013? Why not Spring 2013?
Surprise us.
Subscribe to the Naples Daily News
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Search the Collection
Artist of 1 portrait
by John Voos
John Voos, Photographer
Artist of 1 portrait
Alexander Patrick Greysteil Hore-Ruthven, 2nd Earl of Gowrie
by John Voos
black and white digital print, 1993
NPG x126920
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Reviews - The Valley of Rocks Hotel3
Lee Road, Lynton, EX35 6AB
Price FromView Rooms
Customer Reviews
Our reviews are from genuine LateRooms.com customers. We verify that the customer has stayed before leaving a review.
Very Good
82% would recommend it to a friend
Customer service
Food quality
Room quality
One night stay booking with laterooms
Staff were excellent, rooms were clean, breakfast was good.
Room was past the need to be refurbished and I would be embarrassed to have a guest stay here. Example was the bathroom tiles put up using staples, rusty fittings and corroded mirror. TV was also very poor. Yes we only paid £59.99 with laterooms but you would expect the same quality rooms that a full paying guest had that had booked in advance. Also we were not able to eat in for a evening meal. I feel we were treated as second class and would not want to book with laterooms or stay in this hotel again
I will finish to say the staff were more than helpful, friendly and kind.
Read More Less
Excellent location
Excellent location and very good value for money.
Friendly staff and more than adequate breakfast.
Read More Less
Fantastic view
The view from our room was great, the hotel could do with a bit of updating but given its age and position is more than worth visiting, room was clean staff were friendly the breakfast could be improved but I am fussy (Beans/Hash browns are for Americans.Mushrooms/Black pudding for us Brits).All in all Great Value.
Read More Less
The on duty receptionist was very friendly and helpful although he did forget to tell us about the arrangement for checking if everyone was in and the doors would then be locked.
Fortunately read about it in another review. Agree with other reviewers that the hotel is jaded and in need of rejuvenation. Bedding and towels clean. The biggest shock and disappointment was the lack of a shower in both the single rooms I booked. If I had booked for more than one night and paid the full rate I would have been livid. Got a good price and the weather was brilliant so I thought of it as a Fawlty Towers experience and laughed it off.
Read More Less
Great stay
great historic hotel in beautiful location
very nice hotel good position staff very helpful we all three loved it
Lovely place to stay.
Nice hotel. Close to shops and church next door. Good area.
Read More Less
Short stay
Had a short B&B stay.
Considering the price it was good value and reasonable accommodation.
Read More Less
Charming Victorian hotel, a bit tired but full of character
We booked this 2 hours before arriving via Late Rooms at £29 for 2 including breakfast.
The location was great in the centre of the village, as our stay was out of season the parking in the street was free so we didn't have to pay the £5 the hotel charge for their private car park.
On arrival the receptionist was most helpful as we had 2 mountain bikes on the car so she allowed us to store these in the hotel, it was no trouble at all.
The foyer and the lounge area are very impressive and when we arrived there was a quiz and some music being played, the corridors to the rooms are like a rabbit warren and in need of some TLC.
Our bedroom was huge, a strange shape but very big. Pleasantly decorated in keeping with the age of the hotel, it was clean and warm and i think it had a kingsize bed.
We ventured into the local pub for a drink and didn't leave our key at reception so the front doors were locked when came home, the security guard was OK with us (it was our mistake at the end of the day).
Good nights sleep, very peaceful. Opened the curtains to discover a sea view.
Breakfast was 8am to 9am a bit early for us but lots of tea/coffee and toast and an average full English, the restaurant has a sea view too.
Overall very pleasant stay, don't be put off by the reviews of the corridors. Shearings use this for their coach holidays so it can't be that bad and for £29 for 2 including breaksfast this was the bargain of the week for us, to bookl via the hotel would have cost more than £70 for the same stay.
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DJ Jordan Sanchez • Saturday, October 3rd • 10:30PM – 3AM
NFL Kick Off • Thursday, October 8th
Cervantes • Friday, October 9th • 8PM – Midnight
Cervantes Band is South Florida's Hottest Cover Band, bringing you live music and entertainment. They cover all the Tops 40s pop songs you hear on the radio and in the clubs while also bringing in Miami's latin flavor. They also perform all the great top 80s hits and classic rock & roll back. Cervantes Band consists of a full 6 pc band with live bass,guitar, piano, drums and two sisters that rock the stage with their power house vocals. They sing both english and spanish.
DJ TONE ROCK • Friday, October 9th • 10:30PM – 3AM
Carlos Oliva & The Judges Nephews • SATURDAY, October 10th • 9pm -11pm
Those who have not danced to and enjoyed the music of CARLOS OLIVA and The Judge's Nephews DO NOT KNOW WHAT THEY HAVE MISSED!
Live performances are a mixture of rhythm and flavor (SABOR Y RITMO!), the best music to dance to and enjoy listening!
DJ Ben • Saturday, October 10th • 11PM –3AM
DJ RJ • Sunday, October 11th • 3PM – 7PM
CHER TRIBUTE • Sunday, October 11th • 7PM
BILLY JOEL TRIBUTE • Sunday, October 11th • 9PM
NFL Kick Off • Thursday, October 15th
PANGEA BAND • Friday, October 16th • 8PM – Midnight
Miami's most exciting musical entertainment group has performed at the hottest scenes in South Florida, from small underground clubs to the Super Bowl. They mix top 40 cover tunes with a soulful mix of the Caribbean's best grooves. The band is composed of professional musicians, producers, and entertainers with over 20 years of experience working with artists like Joss Stone, Enrique Iglesias, Jon Secada, Julio Iglesias, David Lee Roth, Shakira, and KC and the Sunshine Band, just to name a few. Pangea's band leader, Dorian Reyes, is Co-Owner of Red Rock Studios, a cutting edge music production facility with Clay Ostwald, Award winning producer and Miami Sound Machine keyboardist. Red Rock Studios has the following staff credits to name a few: Carlos Santana, Gloria Estefan, Madonna, Shakira, Ricky Martin, Julio Iglesias, Jon Secada, Chayanne, Univisiòn, and Walt Disney Entertainment.
DJ TONE ROCK • Friday, October 16th • 10:30PM – 3AM
LA LINEA BAND • Saturday, October 17th • 8PM – Midnight
La Linea is one of Miami's premier bands that are experts at live music. They focus their efforts on Miami's lifestyle, modern, and bringing excitement to all crowds. They have skyrocketed to the forefront of the Miami scene in very short time, accelerated by their high-energy performances and popular song selections. They deliver a sing-out-loud brand of music that is intended to captivate the crowd and keep them partying all night long. La Linea entertainers are from Cuba, Puerto Rico, Italy, Colombia, Venezuela, Chile, and off course, the USA. Most of them have shared the stage with famous artist such as Sting, Pitbull, Ricky Martin, Ricardo Arjona, Fanny Lu, Willy Chirino and many others.
DJ Ben • Saturday, October 17th • 10:30PM – 3AM
DJ Duni • Sunday, October 18th • 3PM – 7PM
Duniel Deya "DJ Duni" has been a DJ for over 15 years. He has worked with artists such as Oscar D Leon, Issac Delgado, Manolin, Carlos Manuel, and many other Rock, Latin Rock, Salsa & Timba bands. He has a wealth of experience in night clubs, salsa congresses, casinos, weddings, a variety of parties and many other events. He has hosted an online radio show and enjoys been an MC. He is an all-around DJ with the ability to play an open format such as international sounds, 80′s, disco, house, Timba, Salsa and much more.
DJ Ben • Sunday, October 18th • 7PM – 11PM
NFL Kick Off • Thursday, October 22nd
TRIP MACHINE • Friday, October 23rd • 8PM – Midnight
Trip Machine is considered one of the most popular cover/rock/latin bands in the South Florida area. The group was founded in 2010 in Miami, Florida and has performed in numerous venues from Tampa to Key West, in addition to tours around the US and Latin America. Alexis Peña lead vocals, is considered one of the most talented cover music singers in Miami. Santos Massabie, guitar, has been performing professionally since he was 16 years old. Other members of the group include, Gus G guitar, Manuel Saez keyboards, Tony Morelli, bass, and Gerardo Ubieda drums. Take a Musical Trip and dance the night away.
DJ Jordan Sanchez • Friday, October 23rd • 10:30PM – 3AM
Roberto Torres • Saturday, October 24th • 9PM – 11:00PM
Roberto Torres is a Cuban musician from Güines most famous for his interpretation of Simón Díaz's Caballo Viejo. He is considered to be one of the highest authorities in the history of the Cuban music.
DJ Jordan Sanchez • Saturday, October 24th • 11PM – 3AM
DJ Alex Gutierrez • Sunday, October 25th • 3PM – 7PM
DJ Jordan Sanchez • Sunday, October 25th • 7PM – 11PM
NFL Kick Off • Thursday, October 29th
WWE FIGHT • Friday, October 30th
TOMASITO CRUZ BAND • Friday, October 30th • 8PM – Midnight
This world renowned musician began his musical career over 25 years ago before forming his own and touring the world. As a percussionist, Tomasito has performed with a large number of artists that propelled him to the forefront of the South Florida musical scene. His large following will attest to his ability to keep the dance floor full and entertained the entire night. Tomasito and his Band have been performed with three world famous artists that have won Grammy awards including Alejandro Sanz, Willy Chirino and Arturo Sandoval.
DJ TONE ROCK • Friday, October 30th • 10:30pm – 3am
MANTRAP • Saturday, October 31st • 8PM – Midnight
DJ Jordan Sanchez • Saturday, October 31st • 10:30PM – 3AM


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As part of unified Information Security training and awareness program "Waay" which has been launched in 2012 with the aim of initiate a standard and unified information security program ...
ITU Arab Regional Cybersecurity Center (ARCC) and the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR) are organizing International Law and State Behavior in Cyberspace Meeting ...
Oman National CERT is particpating in COMEX 2015, which is going to be held in Oman International Exhibition Centre from 27th April to 1 May 2015.
ITU Arab Regional Cybersecurity Center (ITU-ARCC), International Telecommunication Union (ITU), and International Multilateral Partnership Against Cyber Threats (IMPACT) are organizing regional Cyber drill ALERT (Applied Learning for Emergency Response Teams) third edition for Arab region...
ITU Arab Regional Cyber Security Center is organizing the forth Regional Cyber Security Summit in cooperation with Bluekaizen. The summit is hosted by the Information Technology Authority through Oman National CERT (OCERT) on March 29th – 30th at Muscat, Oman.
20/04/2014 - 22/04/2014
Event Location: Al Bustan Palace
Information Technology Authority represented by Oman National CERT (OCERT) is hosting the Regional Cyber Security Summit, in cooperation with the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), IMPACT and Naseba on April 20th – 21st at Al Bustan Palace, Oman.
The Regional Cyber security Summit in 2014 focuses on the Critical National Information Infrastructure protection and aims at connecting public, private and academic sectors with the main purpose of providing an appropriate platform for up to 200 senior ICT and cyber security officials from the MENA region to discuss, formulate strategic directions and plans to tackle emerging threats to the global and regional CNI sector.
For more details please visit the Summit website: www.regionalcybersecuritysummit.com


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Get a First Bet Bonus up to $100 (excludes VIC, NSW, WA, SA)
Get a 20% bonus on winning 4+ leg Match Betting NFL multis!* (Match Betting market only. Max $200 bonus)
Place a 4+ leg Multi on the top Euro leagues, EPL or A-League & if 1 leg fails, CASH BACK up to $100!* (win-draw-win market only)
If your horse finishes 2nd, 3rd OR 4th in R1 to R4 on Caulfield Cup Day, CASH BACK up to $100!* (1st fixed odds bet on race)
In any Rugby World Cup Finals match if your team leads at half time but lose, CASH BACK up to $100!* (Head-to-Head market only)


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/NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO U.S. NEWSWIRE SERVICES OR DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED STATES./ TSX:GWO WINNIPEG, Dec. 6, 2012 /CNW/ - Great-West Lifeco Inc. announced today that a normal course issuer bid has been accepted by the Toronto Stock Exchange. The Corporation intends to purchase for cancellation, during the course of the bid, up to but not more than 6,000,000 of its Common Shares ("Common Shares"), representing 0.63% of the outstanding Common Shares on November 30, 2012. As of November 30, 2012, the total number of issued and outstanding Common Shares was 950,514,440. The average daily trading volume for the six months ending on November 30, 2012 was 437,178 Common Shares. Daily purchases will be limited to 109,294 Common Shares, other than block purchase exceptions. Any Common Shares purchased by the Corporation under the bid will be cancelled. The bid will commence on December 9, 2012 and will terminate on December 8, 2013. Purchases will be made through the facilities of the Toronto Stock Exchange at prevailing market prices. The Corporation will utilize the normal course issuer bid program to acquire Common Shares in order to mitigate the dilutive effect of issuing securities under the Corporation's Equity Incentive Plans. During the past year, the Corporation has not purchased any Common Shares pursuant to its previous normal course issuer bid. Great-West Lifeco Inc. (TSX:GWO) is an international financial services holding company with interests in life insurance, health insurance, retirement and investment services, asset management and reinsurance businesses. Great-West Lifeco has operations in Canada, the United States, Europe and Asia through The Great-West Life Assurance Company, London Life Insurance Company, The Canada Life Assurance Company, Great-West Life & Annuity Insurance Company and Putnam Investments, LLC. Great-West Lifeco and its companies have over $532 billion* in assets under administration, and are members of the Power Financial Corporation group of companies. *assets as of September 30, 2012 For more information contact: Marlene Klassen, APR Assistant Vice-President, Communication Services 204-946-7705 SOURCE: Great-West Lifeco Inc. To view this news release in HTML formatting, please use the following URL: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/December2012/06/c6107.html CO: Great-West Lifeco Inc. ST: Manitoba NI: INS FIN -0- Dec/06/2012 16:28 GMT
Great-West Lifeco announces Normal Course Issuer Bid
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Evaluation and Management of Fatigue in Oncology: A Multidimensional Approach
ABSTRACT Fatigue, one of the most common symptoms experienced by cancer patients, is multidimensional and is associated with significant impairment in functioning and overall quality of life. Although the precise pathophysiology of cancer-related fatigue (CRF) is not well understood, a number of metabolic, cytokine, neurophysiologic, and endocrine changes have been described in these patients. A better understanding of these abnormalities is likely to lead to novel therapeutic interventions. Clinically, all patients presenting with significant fatigue should be evaluated for treatable conditions that might contribute to this symptom. Exercise and treatment of anemia are the two most established interventions for CRF. Psychostimulants seem promising based on early studies. Several complementary medicine treatments that showed efficacy in preliminary studies merit further testing.
Article: An Exploratory Analysis of Levels of Evidence for Articles Published in Indian Journal of Palliative Care in the years 2010-2011[Show abstract] [Hide abstract]
ABSTRACT: Indian Journal of Palliative Care (IJPC) provides a comprehensive multidisciplinary evidence base for an evidence-informed clinical decision making. To analyze the levels of evidence of articles published in IJPC in the years 2010-2011. Systematic review of palliative care journals. Systematic review of articles was done and was scored according to Center for Evidence-Based Medicine levels of evidence into any of the five grades. The articles were categorized based upon article type, number of authors, study approach, age focus, population focus, disease focus, goals of care, domains of care, models of care, and year of publication. All descriptive analysis was done using frequencies and percentiles, and association between all categorical variables was done using Chi-square test at 95% confidence interval (CI) using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 16 for Windows (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL). There was a greater prevalence of low level evidence (level 4: n = 46, 51%; level 5: n = 35, 39%) among the 90 selected articles, and article type (original articles with higher level of evidence, P = 0.000), article approach (analytical studies with higher level of evidence, P = 0.000), domains of palliative care (practice-related studies with higher level of evidence, P = 0.000) and models of care (biological or psychosocial model with higher level of evidence, P = 0.044) had a significant association with the grade of levels of evidence. Association with other factors was not statistically significant (P < 0.05). The levels of research evidence for palliative care provided by articles published in IJPC were predominantly level 4 and level 5, and there is scope for more high quality evidence to inform palliative care decisions in the developing countries.Indian Journal of Palliative Care 02/2013; 19(3):170-179. DOI:10.4103/0973-1075.121535


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Click the image above to learn more about how you can contribute to the growth of the Alumni Tree.
Doors opened to the FIS Alumni Courtyard in February 2012 and the space has become a popular place for students to relax and socialize. As part of the FIS facilities master plan, the courtyard transformed a previously unusable space into a gathering place for students and faculty to enjoy.
Since 2012, more than 110 FIS alumni, friends and families have made contributions to the Annual Fund's "Senior Gift," which is represented in engraved leaves for a donor tree and stones around its base – both of which FIS students help make right here on campus.
See how the donor tree has come to life.
This courtyard is dedicated to our alumni community – past students, families, teachers and staff – who have shaped the school's history and development, and kindled the FIS spirit that thrives around the globe. The Alumni Courtyard is a home to the memories, experiences, achievements and friendships of all of our community members who have shared a special time in their life at Frankfurt International School.
We invite our alumni community and current or parting families, faculty, and staff to leave their legacy in the Alumni Courtyard through a donation to the Annual Fund. All gifts of €100 or more will be recognized with an engraved leaf on the Alumni Tree.
Please join us in making a gift – all donations are important, no matter what the size.
This is a tax deductible opportunity in Germany and the USA for our community to support student scholarships and innovative learning and teaching at FIS. It is also an opportunity to help create a lasting monument to the individuals who have shaped the school's history.


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Panasonic 70m Film Roll
Details http://shop.panasonic.com/home-and-office/home-and-office-accessories/computing-accessories/printer-fax-accessories/printer-fax-toner-drum-units/KX-FA93.html
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Panasonic 70m Film Roll
Panasonic 70m Film Roll
Works with the following models: KX-FHD331/351
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- Replacement Film 70m Roll
- Fits models KX-FHD331/351
Rated 5 out of 5 by 1 reviewer.
Rated 5 out of 5 by Nikki Easiest Fax I ever used I just want to say that when I purchased the Panasonic KX-FHD331 Fax machine 5 years ago I was afraid to use it. But after reading the instruction book on how to set up the Fax with my Logo, Date & Time and all the other features that came with it I couldn't believe how easy it was to set it up. I also can't believe that the first time my film roll was all used up and I purchased a replacement roll how easy it was to replace it. For some reason I was always afraid to use a computer, fax machine, digital camera, cell phone and all sorts of other electronic gadgets but I found out that there was nothing to be afraid of because if I couldn't use a feature on something I always had a help line to call and someone would always walk me through it. Like I said that was 5 years ago when I was 76 years old. Now I'm 81 and still going strong. September 13, 2010
1-1 of 1
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