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Framed by the vivid greens of the outdoors, Maika undresses her tanned body and exposes her full breasts and thick pubic hair! Exploring her body by the river she spreads her labia to expose her pink wetness. Pushing her fingers deep inside, her body tenses as she pleasures herself in her favorite outdoor spot. Taking a drink directly from the clean river waters she then has to stop for a pee before she leaves. "I am so glad that I brought you here today, it makes my little river spot that much more special."
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Our high-protein recipe collection includes plenty of lean protein options—salmon, tuna, chicken, ground turkey, and shrimp—plus some indulgent recipes too, like our Asian Pot Roast or rustic Coq au Vin.
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Robust flank steak is marinated in balsamic vinegar and served with garlic and chive butter.
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subset: commoncrawl


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Fixed-Price - Est. Budget: $5 - Posted
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Skills: Biology Human Sciences Scientific Research


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Cartoon Bigfoot character is holding a butterfly net. There is a plane in the background. Bigfoot is saying: "Bigfoot try to catch noisy bird thing with net. Bigfoot not succeed. Bigfoot try again."
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Nandroid file location on CWM 126.96.36.199 on Nexus 4 (self.AndroidQuestions)
submitted 2 years ago by breakerfallN6
I know the nandroid files are now stored in some protected memory space, but I'd like to be able to copy them off my device (to a flash drive via OTG Y cable). I also know that there's web-enabled download built in to Rom Manager, but it's darn slow for a 2GB file. I'm unlocked and rooted, etc. Any ideas?
[–]yotzVarious ROMs: volantis, hammerhead, mako, grouper 1 point2 points3 points 2 years ago* (1 child)
I'm only running 126.96.36.199 (thanks for letting me know 220.127.116.11 is out; will update tonight), but I'm pretty sure backups are still stored in /data/media/clockworkmod/
The normal /sdcard/ directory links to /data/media/0/, so you should be able to use a file manager app (solid explorer, CM file manager, etc) to just copy the /clockworkmod directory to your USB drive. Alternatively, you could use that file manager app to move the /clockworkmod directory to /data/media/0/ and then transfer it to your PC via the normal USB/MTP connection.
EDIT: Fun fact: I don't know if you're using ADB, but
adb pull /data/media/clockworkmod/
wasn't working for me. Searching around XDA led me to the following path that (for some reason) works over ADB:
adb pull /mnt/shell/emulated/clockworkmod/
[–]breakerfallN6[S] 0 points1 point2 points 2 years ago (0 children)
Thanks so much. I hadn't thought to look there.
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Articles tagged veronica lake
9 Jul 2014 // 12:50 PM
Andre De Toth's noir-ish western, Ramrod, is notable for its examination of doubles; almost every character has someone else who matches their identity.READ more
//Mixed media
The Singles "Sweet Tooth" (audio) (premiere) // Music
A Fragile Tomorrow 'Make Me Over' (album stream) (premiere) // Music
Disclosure "Magnets" ft. Lorde (Singles Going Steady) // Music
Bloc Party "The Love Within" (Singles Going Steady) // Music
//Pm Picks
// Notes from the Road
"There's a preciousness to McCarter and the rest of the mostly young band. You want to freeze the moment, to make sure they are taking it all in too. Because it's going to change.READ the article


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Plant Nursery
Fern Cottage is situated in Steeton within the Aire Valley, West Yorkshire. All our plants are grown on site to ensure they are fully hardy.
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We aim to balance your ambitions for your garden with the reality of your skills and available time for any new developments or ongoing maintenance. We also offer ideas and assistance with your own re-designs to enable you to develop your own spaces without the expense of a designer.


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About The Show
MMA Fight Radio: Thursdays 6PM – 8PM
MMA Fight Radio is Arizona's best MMA show. NBC Sports Radio AM 1060 airs every Thursday from 6 PM to 8 PM.
MMA Fight Radio is hosted by former WEC Lightweight Champion and UFC Star, Jamie "C4" Varner.
MMA Fight Radio is presented by Arizona Event Center, the east valley's largest indoor venue, Nationwide Auto Warranties, any make, model or mileage vehicles, and Dave & Busters, Eat. Play. Sports.
Tune in or stream us online at: NBCSports1060.com/listen-live/. Jamie talks about everything in the world of Mixed Martial Arts, including fight promotions such as UFC, Bellator, The Ultimate Fighter Show and Duel for Domination. Expect great interviews with MMA stars, insight and analysis of upcoming and past events, MMA news, Giveaways and much more.
For sponsor / advertising opportunities on MMA FIGHT RADIO SHOW contact Syringa Ortega email@example.com
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As a twenty-five year business veteran, I am an operations and management professional who has demonstrated the ability to work in fast-paced environments and on special organizational projects. I am skilled in gathering details to structure and present workflow processes, including documentation and training, as well as adept in leveraging standard software to enhance efficiencies within an organization. My expertise has been accumulated through employment with a well known and reputable commercial real estate company and self-employment.
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7 years of performance focused experience at PPC, CPA, CPM, behavioral targeting, remarketing, programmatic, social, and SEM buying. Working experience of Google Analytics, Adobe Ominuture, Lotome Audience management, Integral brand safety management, Google AdWords, Google Doubleclick, Appnexus Ad Exchange, and various other RTB/DSP/SSP platforms. Team management experience in managing traffickers, report and data producers, performance optimizers, and programmatic media buyers.
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Expert in Business process engineering and SDLC including analysis, design, development, testing, and implementation of software applications. Excellent problem solving skills. Excellent communication, analytical, interpersonal and presentation skills.
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you are viewing a single comment's thread.
most positioned in 2.50-2.70. Why buy 2.71, we're just waiting for the spike to sell higher than that. You cannot just test the market with an average mind and theory then conclude. Some investors maybe 10 steps ahead of your thoughts.
I'm glad they were 10 steps ahead, 1k @$2.71, I sold 5k shares at @$2.86 the rest 29k shares @$2.85. I slept like a baby : )I just bought a few shares back at $2.78 the re-position just saved me about 3k,and it made me about 3k in profit, Thats good enough for me, I'll take it! it will save me Even more if it continues down from here. I do expect new lows, "If" the merger is not done by Monday. It may spike up during earnings "if" they a decent. Then Down hill from there. Will it set a new 52 week low? How low will it go? "if" it hits new lows I will be buying back in!Best of luck to all


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Mild Coffee
Mild Coffee | Not just your "every day" blend
At Mild Coffee, we take pride in being able to offer a great variety of mild blend coffees. Mild coffee as a blend references the amount of time that the coffee bean has been roasted. You will find that coffee is put into one of three categories: mild, medium and strong (or bold). Here at Mild Coffee, we can offer a great selection of brand names including Folgers, Maxwell House, Starbucks and more. Mild Coffee also proudly carries Miss Ellie's Realcup™ product line (Compatible with Keurig® K-Cup® Brewers).
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10/8/2015Callahan 2Q 2015 Quarterly Performance Summary
10/6/2015Kansas and Missouri Leagues Vote Yes to Creating a New, Consolidated Organization
10/6/2015CUnext Day of Service Helped Lawrence Meals on Wheels
10/13/2015The New Flood Rules, Including the Mandatory Escrow Rule Effective January 1, 2016 Webinar
10/14/2015Ten Steps to Relentless Loan Growth QuickBite
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Overview:The last major revision to UCC Article 9 occurred over a decade ago. At long last, the Uniform Law Commission has recommended new changes to UCC Article 9 that become effective July 1, 2013. Most of the changes relate to properly completing and filing UCC financing statements, including a change in the required information listed on the financing statement. In addition, there are new procedures regarding determining the proper legal name of the debtor and the security interest in after-acquired property when the debtor moves to another state. This session will cover the Article 9 changes and thoroughly explain how to complete each section of the new UCC-1 financing statement together with the proper filing requirements.
Although it is anticipated that every state will adopt the new UCC changes by July 1, at press time, these states hadn't: California, Delaware, Georgia, Maine, New Jersey, New York, and Vermont. Visit http://www.uniformlaws.org/Act.aspx?title=UCC Article 9 Amendments (2010) Article 9 Amendments (2010) to check on the current adoption status.
Who Should Attend?This informative session is useful for any credit union employees involved in the credit process, including loan operations personnel, loan officers, compliance staff, attorneys, and managers. Attendance verification for CE credits provided upon request.
About the Presenter – Elizabeth Fast, JD, CPA, Spencer Fane Britt & Browne, LLPElizabeth Fast is a partner with Spencer Fane Britt & Browne LLP where she specializes in the representation of financial institutions. Elizabeth is the head of the firm's training division. She received her law degree from the University of Kansas and her undergraduate degree from Pittsburg State University. In addition, she has a Master of Business Administration degree and she is a Certified Public Accountant. Before joining Spencer Fane, she was General Counsel, Senior Vice President, and Corporate Secretary of a $9 billion bank with more than 130 branches, where she managed all legal, regulatory, and compliance functions. She is a member of the Missouri State Banking Board by appointment of the Governor.
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Cancellation Policy: Sorry, no cancellations are allowed after connecting instructions and handout materials are distributed to registrants. Substitutions are welcomed and encouraged.Please note: The live webinar option allows you to have one telephone connection for the audio portion and one Internet connection (from a single computer terminal) to view online visuals as the presentation is delivered. You may have as many people as you like listen from your office speaker phone.


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So sorry, but only 4 items are allowed for comparison. I blame the gnomes and so should you.
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Articles tagged seven-layered arsenic cakes
30 Jun 2010 // 10:00 PM
- //Columns
Crime Classics, a 1953 CBS 'true crime' radio series, seems to be something of a slap in the face to audiences' sense of identification and notions of self-importance, presenting a vision of a callous and petty world where the individual matters little, and their thoughts and feelings matter less.READ more
//Mixed media
The Singles "Sweet Tooth" (audio) (premiere) // Music
A Fragile Tomorrow 'Make Me Over' (album stream) (premiere) // Music
Disclosure "Magnets" ft. Lorde (Singles Going Steady) // Music
Bloc Party "The Love Within" (Singles Going Steady) // Music
//Pm Picks
// Notes from the Road
"There's a preciousness to McCarter and the rest of the mostly young band. You want to freeze the moment, to make sure they are taking it all in too. Because it's going to change.READ the article


text:
Category: Online Marketing
Online Marketing News
Friday, 03 August 2012
Not only is London is the first city to have hosted the Games three times, and the first to include women's boxing; it's also the host of the firs... See More
Friday, 18 May 2012
I recently attended the Search Marketing Expo in London which is one of the most highly regarded search marketing conferences. It's held around the ... See More
Tuesday, 13 March 2012
Do you like Facebook? If you have a business, personal preference shouldn't matter – the fact is that if you ignore the world's biggest soci... See More
Tuesday, 21 February 2012
Last month, Pinterest.com received 11 million unique visitors, becoming the fastest site ever to break the 10-million-visitors-a-month threshold. If y... See More
Wednesday, 15 February 2012
2012 is the year of the online video – fact. Businesses worth their salt are rapidly jumping on the video bandwagon, as it becomes increasingly ... See More
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Video and social media are a match made in heaven. Video has the power to provoke long lasting emotional reactions with viewers, and social media has ... See More
Thursday, 01 December 2011
Here at Zeta we're pleased to see more and more of our clients optimising their websites for mobile and tabletdevices. In fact our clients are a pre... See More
Monday, 28 November 2011
Zeta has just created a brand new iPad app for Electropages, and with over 1000 downloads in its first week it's set to be a big hit with industry p... See More
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Over the past few weeks Twitter has been gathering news reports like birds sitting on a wire. Whether it is overpowering super injunctions, launching ... See More
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Mobile apps were almost non-existent in 2008, yet this year they have earned apps stores nearly $4 billion in revenue, a figure that is expected to do... See More
Wednesday, 20 April 2011
In February 2011 Google launched Panda, an algorithm update that was designed to streamline search results within the US. The aim of this update is to... See More
Friday, 08 April 2011
As traditional (TV, print, etc) marketing budgets continue to be transferred online Facebook has a fantastic opportunity to become the TV of the futur... See More


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Beta Feedback Tab Added to Top Menu
Special tab for easy access to beta feedback created.
The Beta Feedback tab is intended for novice users and beta testers to ease the process of accessing beta feedback forums, issue tracker & information.
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For more information on UAN's participation in the HCAN rally and the nurse-doctor town hall meeting or to set up interviews with UAN leaders, please contact Suzanne Martin at UAN.
The United American Nurses, AFL-CIO, represents nurses across the country in state nurses associations, collective bargaining programs and independent unions, uniting to work for change on issues important to RNs.
|SOURCE United American Nurses, AFL-CIO
Copyright©2009 PR Newswire.
All rights reserved


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Obituary & Guest Book Preview for William H. Ticen
William H. Ticen Obituary
Published in Bellingham Herald on Dec. 28, 2012
24 of 24 words
: William H. Ticen William H. Ticen, age 80 passed away in Bellingham on December 26. Arrangements are pending with Moles Farewell Tributes Greenacres
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After Ratan Tata, Tony Fernandes gets S. Ramadorai aboard AirAsia India, vows Nano fares
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- Bihar polls: Jitan Ram Manjhi announces alliance with BJP
- NSCN-K plans revenge attack; high alert sounded across Northeast
- Pak Senate slams Modi's remarks, passes resolution
- Parrikar says those who 'fear India's new posture' have started reacting
- Airtel calls it 'standard solution', but experts say 'spy code' is illegal
Within a day of getting a 'reluctant' Ratan Tata aboard AirAsia India, Tony Fernandes effected another triumph today by appointing erstwhile TCS chief S. Ramadorai as its Chairman, ending months-long suspense and having in place the entire top management team.
Tata Group patriarch Ratan Tata's appointment as chief advisor was announced yesterday. AirAsia Group chief executive officer Tony Fernandes today announced the name of Tata Consultancy Services vice-chairman S. Ramadorai as the chairman of his proposed low-cost airline venture here.
Subramanian Ramadorai was also formerly the chief executive of the country's largest software exporter.
"I would like to confirm Ramadorai as chairman of AirAsia India, a giant of Indian industry, and a man from the South," Fernandes tweeted.
"That completes our team. Advisor, chairman, CEO and the board. Quite a heavyweight team for super exciting AirAsia India," Fernandes posted on micro-blogging site Twitter.
Ramadorai is the fourth person from the Tata group to hold a position in airline joint venture after Ratan Tata as chief advisor, and R Venkataraman (former executive assistant to Ratan Tata) and Bharat Vasani (chief legal counsel of the Tata Group), who are directors on the board.
AirAsia India is a joint venture of Air Asia, Tata Sons and Arun Bhatia of Telestra Tradeplace with 49:30:21 holding.
Yesterday, Fernandes had announced the name of Tata as the chief advisor to the board and promised 'Nano' airfares once it begins operating flights in the country which is likely by the fourth quarter of 2013.
... contd.


text:
These days, nothing short of a changing breeze in Europe is likely to shake the U.S. markets. At times like these, it's important to keep track of what events are going to move the markets besides rumors; you can get so caught up in whether or not Greece and Italy are playing nice in the latest EU summit that you lose sight of U.S. economic factors quietly chugging away in the background. Here is a list to help you of top events coming up that investors should monitor closely and be aware of. Make sure you don't fall asleep before Thanksgiving Day, look at how important Wednesday could be!
TUTORIAL: Economic Indicators
Gross Domestic Product
GDP growth is considered one of the most extensive numbers we have on the economy. A healthy GDP equals a happy economy, and lately a number above 2% is what people look for. GDP is an indicator of whether or not the US economy is currently recovering or headed towards a double-dip recession. The last GDP report, the advanced third-quarter assessment, came out quite positive at 2.5%, which sparked a rally. The latest report, set to be released Nov. 22, will take a look back at those numbers and reassess.
Jobless Claims
A weekly report on first-time unemployment filings is being released Nov. 23 that includes a four week moving average and measures the strength of the job market. For quite some time now the four-week moving average has centered on the 400,000 level, which has become a barometer for economic progress in the United States. Recently it has been flirting with that level and gotten very close, but has failed to push through. Look for a lot of optimism if the number falls below 400,000, and of course pessimistic outlooks if it slips above 410,000.
Durable Goods Orders
This report includes new orders for U.S. manufacturers for items such as cars, refrigerators and mobile phones is being released Nov. 23. In other words, goods that don't wear out and are utilized. The report is considered to be a very solid indicator of industrial production and progress. Investors care about this outcome because it tells them how busy factories are going to be in the coming months, which can be an indicator of economic prosperity or decline, jobs to come or jobs to vanish, etc. The headline report has been sluggish as of late, with the October report coming out at -0.8% (though that number is not quite as bad as some expected). Watch for investors to react positively to more expansionary numbers.
Personal Income and Outlays
This is an effective measuring tool of consumer economic strength which measures all income subtracted by personal consumption expenditures. A new report, being released on Nov. 23, will tell us how much money Americans are getting in their coffers, which is used to determine whether or not people have money to spend. The better the number in this report, the more hopeful investors become that the United States can bounce back out of its sluggishness and get shopping, thereby driving the economy up. Last month personal income increased a mere 0.1% and consumer spending 0.6%, while Core PCE (personal consumption expenditure) was flat.
Consumer Sentiment
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (MCSI) measures the expectations and attitude consumers have about the U.S. economy. Final numbers are being released Nov. 23. Many economists see this as crucial due to the theory that consumer psychology can drive the economy up or down. Patterns in consumer confidence can easily sway a market if the survey comes out strongly positive or negative.
The Bottom Line
These reports, which are all set to come out the week of Nov. 21, will have a pretty big impact on the market. If you can predict - or guess - correctly what these reports will show, then you could position your stocks to profit from these events.
Justin Smith is a licensed series 3 broker with Cannon Trading Company. In addition to brokering accounts and writing feature articles for Investopedia's Financial Edge, Justin writes for the Cannon Trading 'Man vs. Markets' commodities trading commentary blog. Justin primarily watches Index futures, precious metals and energy futures.
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text: I found LIO, but I'm really hesitant just by looking at their website. I can't find anything, not even the download for it. It has a crazy link that says 'random page' that I had to just keep clicking to read more about it because there weren't actual links to all the pages in the site. I've previously looked into Nexenta because of interest in the dedup, but I discovered their free iSCSI was too limiting. Every client gets to see every target. If it was all VMware no big deal, but I don't want Hyper-V and VMware seeing each other's LUNs. SCST and STGT look like possible options, but STGT doesn't support a config file natively only a hacked one. Unfortunately I just completed my lease replacement of my old IET server to latest and greatest IET and I can't switch to another solution without doing some proper testing. That testing will take me some time and hopefully, I'll keep my fingers crossed, IET will add SCSI3 reservation before I'm ready to switch. If anything I will probably just have a small solution in parallel to IET to bide me some time until IET is ready. Ross, if I were a C programmer I'd help you all I can. You've been impressively dedicated to this project for a long time. All too often open source developers abandon their projects. You do a great job and you're greatly appreciated. -----Original Message----- From: Ross S. W. Walker [mailto:RWalker@...] Sent: Tuesday, August 24, 2010 10:01 PM To: James LeRoy; Iscsitarget-devel@... Subject: RE: [Iscsitarget-devel] Windows Server 2008 Clustering Well we hope to put SCSI3 into play, but probably not by the time you need it. If you really plan on Hyper-V clustering then you could give LIO a try it supposedly supports SCSI3 right now. There is also CIFS and/or NFS for datastores, then pump iSCSI into the VMs. You can look at Nexenta as an option, iSCSI, FCoE, NFS and CIFS in one box. -Ross


text:
I ate at Primi while my flight was delayed Primi was fast, but that side of the airport doesn't have any air conditioning - it was crazy hot!
Vintage airport, looks like a piece of '70! :)
Very small, nothing to do if you have a long wait.
Wimpy is best bet; twinned with neighbouring bar, so drinks are brought across. Primi downstairs not great. To just sit, there's decent seating beyond arrivals. Nothing to do after security.
Travelling. Boarding gate's side could do with a better restaurant or a bigger variety at the current one
Car rental fees are really low. I recommend renting a good car instead of using public transportation, besides, here is everything nearby to the airport.
The Mugg and Bean inside the departures hall can be very slow
Always carry a jacket for sudden weather changes.
Flying today? Receive real-time flight information to your Twitter account. Tweet @FlightStatus with your flight number. Please like this tip if you find it useful, thanks :)
Flying today? Receive real-time flight information to your Twitter account. Tweet @FlightStatus with your flight number. Please like this tip if you find it beneficial :)
Never use Budget car rental!! At the airport!! This is the second time in a row that I experience problems with this company..Not friendly at all!!Just use some one else ex Avis or Europ car
Great coffee after check-in!
Best to view sit at window
Serious Cuppacinno from M&B a must, caffeine flows thru my blood - hahahaha
Don't travel from here if there is rain expected. Every man for himself getting to a plane in the pouring rain, no attempt made to supply umbrellas etc. Staff all USELESS.
Get your shoes shined on the other side, friendly and I can see my face in my shoes! R20 only!
Better to eat at the Wimpy on your way out, has great view of runway. Restaurant facilities once checked in are limited.
Eat prior to going through security ~ only a mugg & Bean... And its limited!
Watch out guys steal anything
They will not let you check in more than two hours before your flight - not ONE minute before!
Home of the Ironman!!!
If going to JHB, WRAP your luggage!
Primi is halaal.... brilliant
Checked in 40 min before our flight. No hassle.
Don't use Hertz car hire if you're... Gonna wanna leave the car in east london...
The food at the little restaurant is good.
Book a taxi before u land.
This place needs an upgrade asap!


text:
Since the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees stadium is being renovated during the 2012 season and they will play all of their home games in other stadiums, mainly in the state of New York, the team will be known as the Empire State Yankees in 2012. It does make sense to change the name for the season since they aren't playing in their normal home, but I think a bigger reason is to sell additional merchandise. Someone in Rochester who is going to see AAA Yankee games is more likely to buy something that says Empire State than Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. It will be for one season only since the team will be returning to Pennsylvania in 2013.
minorleaguesource.com blog
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- Savannah/Columbia PDC with Mets Through 2018
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- Savannah Sand Gnats moving to Columbia, SC in 2016
- Binghamton Mets extend PDC to 2020
- Louisville Bats extend PDC with Reds to 2018
- West Michigan Whitecaps extend PDC with Tigers to 2020


text:
AC Milan are tracking Flamengo goalkeeper Bruno.
Brazilian sources say Milan have had scouts check on the keeper in games against Cruzeiro and Goias.
Any move for Bruno will depend on fellow Brazilian keeper Nelson Dida being sold.
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tvgratis.tv worth $ 133,200.00
The domain tvgratis.tv was registered 9 years 3 months ago. Currently, the domain holds the number 62,466 rank in global traffic. The domain have .tv as extension. This site possesses the Google Page Rank of 5 out of 10. The domain is estimated value of $ 133,200.00 and have a daily earning of $ 185.00. While, no active threats were reported recently by users, tvgratis.tv is SAFE to browse.
Traffic Report
|Daily Unique Visitors:
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Estimated Valuation
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|$ 185.00
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|$ 133,200.00
Search Engine Indexes
|Google Indexed Pages:
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Search Engine Backlinks
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Safety Information
|Google Safe Browsing:
|No Risk Issues
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|Very Poor
Website Ranks & Scores
Web Server Information
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How To Start A Successful eBay Business
Everything you need to know to build a successful eBay business. There is information for people trying eBay for the first time as well as for exerienced people starting a...
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text:
03 Oct 2013:
Top Climate Scientists Assess
Latest Report from U.N. Panel
Yale Environment 360 asked some leading climate scientists to discuss what they consider to be the most noteworthy or surprising findings in the recently released report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's working group on the physical science of a warming world.
Jennifer Francis
, research professor at the Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences at Rutgers University in New Jersey.
The just-released IPCC report summarizing progress in climate science over the past six years reaffirms the messages delivered in previous reports, but with more certainty, more urgency, more clarity, and more specificity. Bottom line: the Earth is warming and changing, and humans are causing it. In my view, the most noteworthy aspect of the report is the consistency of the trends — not only in the ever-mounting evidence of changes in the climate system, but also in the increasing confidence of the statements about human contributions to those changes. The report should evaporate any remaining doubt about the reality, causality, and severity of the issue. This consensus of the world's most esteemed scientists should part the clouds of disinformation perpetrated by those who stand to lose as we shift away from our fossil fuel-based energy infrastructure, and help the public see clearly through the smoke screen.
Michael Mann
, distinguished professor of meteorology and director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University.
In many respects the panel has been overly conservative in its assessment of the science. The new report, for example, slightly reduces the lower end of the estimated uncertainty range for the amount of warming scientists expect in response to a doubling of CO2 concentrations compared to preindustrial levels. The lowering is based on one narrow line of evidence: the slowing of atmospheric warming during the past decade. Yet there are numerous explanations for this — including natural variability in the amount of heat absorbed by the ocean — that do not imply a lower sensitivity of the climate to greenhouse gases. The working group's approach to global sea level rise is similarly conservative. The report gives an upper limit of roughly 1 meter of sea-level rise by the end of the century under business-as-usual carbon emissions, but credible, peer-reviewed research forecasts nearly twice that amount. As for the "hockey stick" graph that my colleagues and I devised — showing a sharp spike in warming in recent decades — the physical sciences working group report has actually strengthened its conclusions regarding the exceptional nature of modern warmth. The new report shows that there is now a veritable hockey
of reconstructions that not only confirms, but extends, the original hockey stick conclusions. The message of the latest IPCC report is clear: Climate change is real and caused by humans, and we will see far more dangerous and potentially irreversible impacts if we do not reduce global carbon emissions. There has never been a greater urgency to act than there is now.
Jane C.S. Long
, chairman, California's Energy Future Study, The California Council on Science and Technology.
The recent IPCC report sounds an incrementally more strident alarm about the dangers of increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The current policy response to this information does not reflect the dangers, urgency, or the quality of the information. At the same time, this IPCC report did not produce a more precise understanding of the impact of CO2 doubling. The range of probable outcomes was actually increased. It is ironic to think we could pick an emissions cap that will control the temperature increase to precisely 2 degrees C when years of study have resulted in
the precision of the estimation of future temperature. The world is dithering over incremental emission caps that offer no guarantee of producing the result they have agreed on. Both policy and the IPCC should change course: More of the same is not likely to improve the response to climate change. More strategic approaches might help. The focus should change from bulky, comprehensive studies to deeper, more facile efforts targeted at phenomena and impacts that are poorly understood and could become critical. Feedback mechanisms, the role of aerosols and clouds, sea level rise, droughts, floods, and heat waves, etc., all deserve focused attention and the most up-to-date assessment. Such studies can shine a light on what keeps climate scientists up at night and hopefully keep the politicians awake as well. Second, the currently failing strategy of negotiating incremental emission caps should be replaced with a strategy for reinventing the energy system without emissions as fast as possible. Every region should create strategic plans for eliminating emissions as fast as they can. The IPCC can support this with alternative regional strategies for eliminating emissions.
Mark Pagani
, professor and director of the Yale Climate and Energy Institute.
Details of the working group summary are not surprising, but two notable items come to mind. Equilibrium climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO2 has returned to the range cited in the IPCC Third Assessment Report, which is the same as in the first assessment of CO2 and climate chaired by Jules Charney in 1979. The "new" lower limit of 1.5 degrees C per CO2 doubling (from roughly 2 degrees C in the fourth assessment) apparently gives some folks ammunition to call it a "retreat." But 1.5 degrees C is not compatible with actual Earth climate history for the recent past. If the globe has warmed 0.85 degrees C with a 40 percent increase in CO2 since preindustrial times, we have already experienced a sensitivity of a 1.65 C temperature increase for a doubling scenario. I recognize that this is more of a transient sensitivity estimate conflated with anthropogenic variables like black carbon, but given that anthropogenic aerosols likely mask the true warming extent and that the full expression of warming will occur over many more decades, the climate sensitivity we will need to actually wrestle with is certainly higher and I would not bet all the farms in the world on the veracity of the lower model limit. I also see that some extreme events are now becoming statistically relevant, with an assessment that CO2 rise has likely (66 to 100 percent probability) more than doubled the probability of heat waves in some places. While more temperature and precipitation events are anticipated under a warmer world, more accounting is necessary to say with statistical certainty that higher frequencies are clearly linked with global warming. Few of us will be surprised when the relationship firms up.
Kevin Trenberth
, Distinguished Senior Scientist in the Climate Analysis Section at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in the U.S.
Many of the findings in the new report are increments over the previous reports. Of most note that is new, compared with previous reports, is the material found in the last part of the summary for policymakers. It states that to stand a good chance (a probability of 66 percent or more) of limiting warming to less than 2°C since the mid-19th century will require cumulative CO2 emissions from all anthropogenic sources to stay under 800 gigatons of carbon. As of 2011, 531 gigatons had already been emitted. The report also says that a large amount of the human-caused climate change from CO2 emissions is irreversible on a time scale of centuries or millennia. The report projects that surface air temperatures will remain at elevated levels for many centuries even after humans stop emitting carbon dioxide. In addition, the report says that because of the long time scales over which heat is transferred from the ocean surface to depth, ocean warming, sea level rise, and ice melt will continue for centuries. That may make the loss of Greenland's ice sheet irreversible, which would contribute to 7 meters of sea level rise over the course of 1,000 years or so. One worry I have about the latest report is that the risks from changes in hurricanes, tornadoes, and droughts are understated. Literature published or submitted since the working group's acceptance date of March 15, 2013 adds information on all of these topics and highlights the conservative nature of the IPCC report.
Gavin Schmidt
, climatologist and climate modeler at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies.
In every IPCC report there is a graph showing the different contributions to radiative forcing since the pre-industrial era. Each one has been slightly more comprehensive than the last as new forcings were better quantified, but with the Fifth Assessment Report there is something quite different: Instead of showing the forcing associated with each change of concentration in the atmosphere, the forcings are attributed to changes in emissions. It makes the non-CO2 contributions much clearer: Methane now has a more dominant role via its impact on atmospheric chemistry, and other, more traditional pollutants are included that show clearly the connections between air quality and climate. But perhaps more importantly, this is an indication that IPCC Working Group 1 is taking its mandate to be policy-relevant more seriously. It is much more useful to summarize the causes of warming in terms that policymakers already monitor and control, than it is to repeat attributions that are cleaner for scientists to calculate. If you want to communicate to policymakers, you are better off answering their questions, rather than answering questions you think they'd ask if they were scientists.
Anders Levermann
, Potsdam Institute for Climate Change Research, lead author of the sea level chapter for the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report.
The IPCC working group did not mean to provide a risk assessment of future climate change impacts and so it did not. It provided the most likely future evolution of the global mean temperature under different socio-economic scenarios and that of other quantities like regional precipitation changes. For some quantities this is a more useful approach than it is for others. In the case of sea level, society might want to know what is science's best guess for the future rise, but for any practical purposes of coastal protection it is the worst case that is relevant. What is the upper limit of sea-level rise? An upper limit is different from a best guess and has at least two peculiar properties that are trivial but important. First, for all practical purposes, the upper limit cannot be exceeded. That means that if you build costal protection with respect to this upper limit, then you are safe, independent of scientific uncertainty or socio-economic scenarios. Second, an estimate of an upper limit is getting lower the more information is available — i.e., the more our scientific insight deepens. You start with the highest number available and then seek scientific evidence that allows dismissing this value and pushing the number down until you find no further reason to decrease it. Then you have your upper limit and you are safe.
In the latest assessment report of the IPCC we did not provide such an upper limit, but we allow the creative reader to construct it. The likely range of sea level rise in 2100 for the highest climate change scenario is 52 to 98 centimeters (20 to 38 inches.). However, the report notes that should sectors of the marine-based ice sheets of Antarctic collapse, sea level could rise by an additional several tenths of a meter during the 21st century. Thus, looking at the upper value of the likely range, you end up with an estimate for the upper limit between 1.2 meters and, say, 1.5 meters. That is the upper limit of global mean sea-level that costal protection might need for the coming century.
POSTED ON 03 Oct 2013 IN
Business & Innovation
Policy & Politics
Policy & Politics
Pollution & Health
Science & Technology
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Professor Mark Pagani wrote, "If the globe has warmed 0.85 degrees C with a 40 percent increase in CO2 since preindustrial times, we have already experienced a sensitivity of a 1.65 C temperature increase for a doubling scenario." I would like to know how he arrived at 1.65 C. Using a proportion, I came up with 2.13 C. Are accounting for absorptive and reflective aerosols what causes my error?
Posted by Wyman Edward Hack on 03 Oct 2013
Wyman Edward Hack, you should consider that the effect of CO2 is logarithmic, as first found by Arrhenius. An increase by 40 percent represents "half a doubling", as sqrt(2) = 1.4 = 140 percent. Thus "a whole doubling" would produce 2x0.85C = 1.65C. (Well, actually 1.7C. Perhaps Professor Pagani isn't good at calculating in his head :))
Posted by Martin Vermeer on 05 Oct 2013
Only one action will save the futures of our children — we have to make the sun our sole energy source! Otherwise we end up cooking their futures. I have posted many comments with details on how to do this, so you can google my name J.(ames) Singmaster for details.
Posted by James Singmaster, III, Ph>d. on 14 Oct 2013
It's time to start discussing reducing the human population as an important way to reduce energy use. But of course no American politician has the guts to raise the issue.
Posted by Joseph Zorzin on 16 Oct 2013
I value the blog. Thanks Again. Keep writing.
Posted by Greta Eleazer on 17 Jun 2015
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Rallying Hip Hop Culture For
A More Inclusive Climate Fight
In an interview with Yale Environment 360, the Rev. Lennox Yearwood — a social and environmental activist and the head of the Hip Hop Caucus — explains why it's vital that the climate and environmental movements become far more diverse.
How China and U.S. Became
Unlikely Partners on Climate
Amid tensions between the U.S. and China, one issue has emerged on which the two nations are finding common ground: climate change. Their recent commitments on controlling emissions have created momentum that could help international climate talks in Paris in December.
A New Global Tinderbox:
The World's Northern Forests
Rapidly rising temperatures, changes in precipitation, and increased lightning strikes are leading to ever-larger wildfires in the northern forests of Alaska, Canada, and Siberia, with potentially severe ecological consequences.
One Scientist's Hopeful View
On How to Repair the Planet
Ecological crises may be piling up in a seemingly hopeless cascade, but Swedish scientist Johan Rockström says the next few decades offer an unparalleled opportunity to undo the damage.
What Pope Francis Should Say
In His Upcoming UN Address
Pope Francis will speak to the United Nations General Assembly on Sept. 25 about poverty, the environment, and sustainable development. In a Yale Environment 360 forum, seven leading thinkers on the environment and religion describe what they would like to hear the pope say.
MORE IN Forum
What Pope Francis Should Say
In His Upcoming UN Address
Pope Francis will speak to the United Nations General Assembly on Sept. 25 about poverty, the environment, and sustainable development. In a Yale Environment 360 forum, seven leading thinkers on the environment and religion describe what they would like to hear the pope say.
Forum: How Daring is
Obama's New Climate Plan?
President Obama has unveiled a proposal to combat global warming that would, for the first time, regulate carbon dioxide emissions from all U.S. coal-fired power plants. Yale Environment 360 asked a group of experts to assess the president's climate strategy.
Forum: Assessing Obama's
Record on the Environment
When Barack Obama won the presidency in 2008, environmentalists were optimistic that their issues would finally become a priority at the White House. So how is Obama doing?
Yale Environment 360
asked a group of environmentalists and energy experts for their verdicts on the president's performance.
Forum: Just How Safe
Is 'Fracking' of Natural Gas?
New technologies for freeing natural gas from underground shale formations have led to a hydraulic fracturing boom across the U.S. that is now spreading to other countries. In a
Yale Environment 360
forum, eight experts discuss whether "fracking" can be done without serious harm to water and air quality and what environmental safeguards may be needed.
Forum: Is Extreme Weather
Linked to Global Warming?
In the past year, the world has seen a large number of extreme weather events, from the Russian heat wave last summer, to the severe flooding in Pakistan, to the recent tornadoes in the U.S. In a
Yale Environment 360
forum, a panel of experts weighs in on whether the wild weather may be tied to increasing global temperatures.
As Copenhagen Talks Near,
What Are Prospects for Success?
For months, hopes that a climate treaty would be signed at the upcoming Copenhagen conference have been raised, then dashed, then raised again. Now, with prospects waning that a binding accord on reducing greenhouse gas emissions can be reached this year, ten environmental leaders and climate experts outline for Yale Environment 360 what they believe can still be accomplished at Copenhagen.
The Waxman-Markey Bill:
A Good Start or a Non-Starter?
As carbon cap-and-trade legislation works it way through Congress, the environmental community is intensely debating whether the Waxman-Markey bill is the best possible compromise or a fatally flawed initiative. Yale Environment 360 asked 11 prominent people in the environmental and energy fields for their views on this controversial legislation.
Putting a Price on Carbon:
An Emissions Cap or a Tax?
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Fax: 309.556.7775
My goal is to help patients enjoy life in optimal health for as long as possible. I want to provide compassionate and highest quality of comprehensive medical care.
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My goal is to help patients enjoy life in optimal health for as long as possible. I want to provide compassionate and highest quality of comprehensive medical care.
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text:
On the heels of their last-place finish, the Red Sox announced yesterday they will keep ticket pr
It's not just another pitchers' duel in a postseason that's sure to be full of
It's the Red Sox' biggest strength as an organization, and it might be baseball&rsquo
KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Houston Astros manager A.J.
The initial shock still hadn't worn off when, out of the daze and confusion of a sudden cha
PITTSBURGH — Maybe it's time to stop treating the Chicago Cubs like they're too young to be here
(Part 2 of a five-part series breaking down the Red Sox' roster.)
MADRID — The Celtics are taking this NBA ambassador thing to heart as they barnstorm throug
Fewer years on player contracts, more money and team chemistry; the story of the 2013 Red Sox.
KANSAS CITY, Mo.
Yovani Gallardo grew up watching the Texas Rangers, often going to their ballpark and dreaming of
LOS ANGELES — No one epitomizes the Los Angeles Dodgers' recent playoff failures more t
NEW YORK — With a gaggle of watchful reporters waiting outside the Mets dugout and a row of
TORONTO — A big day by the bottom of Texas' batting order helped the Rangers overcome an injury
On the heels of their last-place finish, the Red Sox announced today that they will keep 2016 tic
By the end, the Red Sox played a respectable brand of baseball.
(Part 1 of a five-part series breaking down the Red Sox' roster.)


text:
Do You Need Extra Cash in Finland?
If you are out of money and you need some cash advance to make it through the month, you can try taking out a payday loan. Payday loans are perfect for anyone who needs a small amount of cash in advance of payday. These loans are usually issued for a smaller period of time, ranging from 10 to 30 days. Borrower is usually expected to repay on payday, the reason these loans are called payday loans.
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text:
Registration takes less than 1 minute.
U.S. lawmakers and industry advocates need to do more to address a "critical" shortage of skilled truck technicians and mechanics, according to Bill Graves, CEO of American Trucking Associations.
The inability to agree on a long-term highway bill led Congress in July to pass a six-month extension of Transportation Department programs that will expire at the end of the month.
Dry bulk and container shipping sectors are those most likely at risk of damage from the economic slowdown in China, while the tanker industry should prove to be resilient, according to a new report from Fitch Ratings.
The fund will be held and administered by the Seamen's Church Institute, North America's largest mariners' service agency, following the structure put in place by TOTE.
The entire investigation into the loss of TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico ship will take 12-18 months, but the NTSB will release findings on an "as needed" basis in advance of its final report.
The national mail carrier of Singapore and aspiring global logistics provider has agreed to purchase a 71.1 percent share in Jagged Peak, Inc. for $15.8 million.


text:
Chris Wong: Multithreading and the Java Memory Model
Chris Wong's Multithreading and the Java Memory Model is available at JavaLobby:
At the New England Software Symposium, I attended Brian Goetz's session called "The Java Memory Model". When I saw the phrase "memory model" in the title I thought it would be about garbage collection, memory allocation and memory types. Instead, it is really about multithreading. The difference is that this presentation focuses on visibility, not locking or atomicity. This is my attempt to summarize his talk...
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- 1649 reads


text:
16318 Players currently online!
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Everyone please answer!I would like a higher rating!
A million dollars!!!
He's bringing me the '59 Zagreb set from house of Staunton...not much of a surprise but I can deal with it :)
Nothing. Santa doesn't exist :-P
BorgQueen wrote:
Nothing. Santa doesn't exist :-P
But my wife does :)
Epic fail, Borg! Let us have some fun here!
A new puppy.
Curious species... it excels at self delusion.
BorgQueen wrote:
natural product wrote: But my wife does :)
9xave wrote: lol... Nice, very nice...
More Beer! ...and peace on earth for all mankind.....
Total immunity to STD's. And a lower chess rating, something 3 digits maybe.
Does it hurt to pee?
Here is a link to the history of chrismas
note: You don't have to believe in a religion to find this intresting: keep an open mind
I would want for chrismas is the power to time travel...So I could keep coming to the same day to get another gift!
Christmas seems to only bring out selfishness in people these days...
It also makes people lose their humor
A Red Ryder 200 shot range model air rifle with a compass in the stock and a thing that tells time.
I don't think a football is a very good Christmas present.
Well said BQ! I want my whole family to be happy..By the way BQ,have you assimilated santa..Love the hat!
Blitz and standard rating
by PossibleOatmeal 3 minutes ago
London System
by ylblai2 5 minutes ago
French, advance, Euwe variation Nh6
by yeres30 8 minutes ago
10/4/2015 - Forced Mate
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White's First-Move Advantage
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Was this good play from white?
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Unable to play tournament
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Which side do you prefer here?
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Knight vs Rook with pawns majority
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Sanity check for my opening repertoire.
by hicetnunc 21 minutes ago
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text:
Maybe people were busy anticipating the Thanksgiving holiday or saw fewer partisan heels being dug in. Or maybe they were just plain tired of the whole topic, but the threat of a government shutdown on Nov. 18 and the by now routine last-minute compromise that avoided it drew hardly any of the angst or attention of the year's earlier congressional budget stare-downs.
"Boring!" wrote one reader in response to a post on the FCW.com "Management Watch" blog by Camille Tuutti asking if another potential shutdown mattered.
"Shutdown threat — yawn," another reader commented. "The public has seen the pony go over the stick many times, and it no longer is drawing a crowd."
And yet here we go again. The funding for many agencies' operations is tied to a continuing resolution that is set to expire Dec. 16, which means that a fifth potential, if only partial, shutdown looms.
What will happen Dec. 16 is still uncertain, but much like the lead-up to the Nov. 18 deadline and eventual compromise, legislators are showing little inclination to actually halt government operations just to make a point.
"There is a concerted effort by members of Congress to get these bills done so they aren't fighting battles over this year's budget well into the next calendar year and as the election season heats up," writes the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget on its blog "The Bottom Line."
Even so, the next round of negotiations has the potential for controversy. The "minibus" bill that averted the Nov. 18 shutdown provides about $130 billion for fiscal 2012 for the departments of Agriculture, Transportation, Commerce, Justice, and Housing and Urban Development. The bill also provides budgets for smaller agencies such as NASA, the Food and Drug Administration, and the National Science Foundation.
The bill funds the rest of the government with a continuing resolution only through Dec. 16. Lawmakers have left themselves with nine fiscal 2012 appropriations bills to hammer out in December.
In particular, the Labor, Health and Human Services, and Education bill and the Financial Services bill could attract controversial policy riders linked to the funding of the health care and Wall Street reform acts.
But the fear and anger that previous shutdown threats stirred are remarkably absent now. Part of the reason for the apathy might be the return to normalcy — Capitol Hill-style — of the mid-November minibus approval, in which "once again, Congress hits the snooze button," wrote Tad DeHaven on the Cato Institute's "Downsizing the Federal Government" blog. That continuing resolution is largely devoid of anything that would rein in the size and scope of the federal government. "The bill is largely business as usual," he wrote.
The lack of shutdown-related alarm might also be a result of agency officials feeling comfortable with the plans they have made to deal with such an event, which has been threatened on April 8, Sept. 30, Oct. 4, Nov. 18 and now Dec. 16.
"There are plans in place that have made this more routine" compared to the shutdowns of 1995 and 1996, said Stan Collender, a budget expert at Qorvis Communications, in an FCW story by Tuutti and Alice Lipowicz.
The fear of furloughs hasn't seemed to distress federal rank-and-file employees in significant ways either. Overall job satisfaction and commitment among government employees declined by only 1.5 percent compared to last year — from a score of 65 to 64 out of 100 — according to a Partnership for Public Service survey released last month.
Survey authors were surprised by the negligible size of that decline in the midst of possible pay freezes and furloughs, Tuutti reported in FCW.
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who cares. empty threats and the same old flapping at the gums from capitol hill. The leadership is lacking, no wonder we dont have a budget. Just another circus act there. Its time to get rid of the clowns and get some real workers in office who care about America as a whole instead of there individual possee. Shut us down, then and only then will America will stop crying about the federal worker because they wont be able to get the services they have come to leach off of.
With almost a year to prepare (and with each deadline, a new sense of urgency to plan on a furlough), I would think that most federal employee's who would be affected by a shutdown have probably paid down their debt, increased their savings, if possible - downtraded vehicles and sold unecessaries like boats, unused expensive tools, etc. and, thus, are prepared to weather a furlough, should one occur. Preparation goes a long way to allaying fears.
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text: Featured comments + Add comment Comments (5) Featured grifter024 "I agree. It seems like almost no hype went into the game compared to past Halo games but I think it's a very godo game. The story was well done albeit I will say at the end a few of the fights did drag on but nothing as bad as some people claim. Will..." 1063d ago Knight_Crawler "Well said...H4 has surpassed my expectations and I do not see my self putting this game down for a very long time. " 1063d ago spicelicka "most underrated game of the year! fact! i'm not saying underhyped or underanticipated, but definately underrated. Thus far it has exceeded all my expectations so unless it goes into my mind to undo what i've experienced already i can't understand..." 1063d ago


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