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How do we explain our belief in the story of Yonah living in a Fish, the Splitting of a sea, and all the other fantastic Miracles described in the Torah to a person who was not brought up religious; and maybe in fact does not believe in religion because of these parts of the Torah? also is saying the story of Jonah Allegorical heresy?
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I think it is fruitless to try to prove torah to non-believers, though people try (e.g. the "torah codes" folks looking for hidden messages in the text). Faith is not science.
As for explaining our belief in the truth of torah, one can ask: Is there anything that Ha-Kadosh Baruch Hu cannot do? The torah describes miracles, which were either performed on the spot by God (the pshat) or programmed into the creation of the world (Rambam, Introduction to Pirkei Avos, Ch. 8). God can act in the world; this doesn't obligate Him to do so in the future ("why don't we see giant fish swallowing people nowadays?"), but it also does not preclude it (e.g. resurrection).
As I understand it, Maimonides in his Guide to the Perplexed mentioned that some Jewish philosophers had gone so far as to say the very existence of Biblical characters such as Abraham was allegorical -- that's going too far. Maimonides himself interprets certain episodes of angelic interaction in the Torah as dreams, allegories, or the like, which (unsurprisingly) ruffles some traditionalist feathers.
My understanding is that the standard, normative understanding of Jewish faith would be that the Jonah story actually occurred. I think, and I could be wrong here, that if someone chose to understand it as allegory or a dream or the like, however, Jewish Law would not treat him/her as a heretic (koifer in your question), as their belief would not be in violation of the Thirteen Principles of Faith (while "I believe that all the words of the prophet are true"; a dream or allegory could be "truth", I presume); just as the rabbis of the Talmud themselves debated whether Ezekiel's vision of the Dry Bones was a physical reality, or just something seen in a prophetic trance. (Though Ezekiel opens the story with a prophetic-vision experience...)
To agree with Monica, I don't think there is going to be the a-ha, gotcha! that's going to do it for an atheist, certainly with regards to a story like this. We believe that G-d can do anything, including bending the laws of nature as needed.
A more interesting question is to transcend the how and ask why (as Lord Sacks likes to say, science is the how, religion is the why): why the whale (or "great fish", whatever it was)? As I read it, Jonah's job was a prophet, and he had to go warn Nineveh. Now he had all sorts of reasons why he didn't want to do his job -- Nineveh was the capital of Assyria, which would go on to attack Israel, not to mention make us look awfully bad that we ignored all our prophets' calls to repent). But that's not our place. G-d is G-d, and we are humans. Once Jonah started by breaking that order, he starts to see the laws of physics go topsy-turvy around him. This explains the epilogue to the book that the Midrash fills in, where Jonah bows down and says, "Okay G-d now I get it; the world is Yours and You do with it as You wish."
As to your question of explaining miracles: You don't. It is quite logical that if an omnipotent G-d wanted our people to know of His interaction with humanity, He would have to display this clearly at least once, subsequently being passed down to future generations. (Yonah was a private miracle, only publicized later. I don't know the purpose of the miracle, buy perhaps it is for the remez that can be learned.)
This person has a fundamental issue with an Omnipotent G-d.
A kofer? It would seem not. The Seforno Breishis 3:1 learns that there was no Nachash in Gan Eden, but that "nachash" is the Yetzer Harah and the verbal conversation never took place.
How to explain to an atheist? Don't look to Johnny:
We don't change the Torah or our religion in order to make it more palatable to atheists. If they don't believe it because of miracle X, and they do not believe in miracles, then that is fine. If you deliberately strip out all the miracles, such that Moses builds a pontoon bridge to cross the Red Sea, then you are left without religion or belief in God's intervention in the world anyway.
That is not to say that other concerns should not lead to a naturalistic explanation of Biblical miracles. Various Rishonim were led by their philosophic beliefs to believe that miracles which violated the natural order would reflect a flaw in the original plan of creation, and thus tended to explain miracles in natural fashion. (See e.g. Ibn Ezra.)
And there is a rather strong basis in the Biblical verses to say that God manipulated nature. For instance, see how the wind dried up the waters in the Reed Sea. Or how the wind carried the locust plague in Egypt, where we know from observation nowadays that locusts regularly migrate along that path.
And I would be extremely willing to say that Yonah is metaphor. Not because of the big fish part. But because as a student of literature, Yonah reads to me like a morality play and a lesson about the importance and nature of repentance, and theologically why God allows it. The prophet delivering the message, the sailors, the city of Ninveh, and even the animals all repent. I think Chazal possibly saw it as metaphor as well.
But don't water it down just to make it palatable for an atheist.
Although belief in miracles is an important belief in Judaism, I do not think it is kefirah to believe that the laws of nature are never broken, even if it is not the traditional Jewish view. If a person believes God created absolute rules that He never breaks, its probably OK, as long as he accepts that there is some form of Divine Guidance in this world.
There were some scholars who tried to give rational explanations for many miracles. For example, the Ralbag often tries to explain how certain miracles didn't violate the laws of nature (Although he's not exactly a fully traditional source).
There were no physical laws necessary for the sea to split, just very large unlikelihoods. Similarly, many miracles can be just explained as statistically unlikely quantum events. This is acceptable, for clearly God is behind the events. Some may wish to go further and say the splitting of the sea was just a very low tide or something. That is probably not heretical either. Those who do not accept Judaism may find such that explanation more reasonable.
As for the story of Yonah, there were those (possibly the Vilna Gaon) who explained it allegorically.
I think you need to first reconcile science with judaism first to the person, before you explain the question of miracles, as this is the underlying question.
In Michtav M'Eliyahu (Vol.2 pg 264), Rabbi Dessler discusses the miraculous account in the book of Yehoshua, whereby, the Jews were instructed to blow shofars and the huge walls of Jericho came crumbling down. He says the following: "see the Ralbag commentary who pointed out that there is grounds for mistakenly thinking that the blowing of the shofar is what brought down the walls, since the loud noise could produce air movements which in turn cause vibrations in the wall. In truth, whoever wants to deny can explain away every miracle with remote explanations, and crookedly and stubbornly claim that it was an accident. And we have already explained that when G-d performs a miracle, He leaves open an escape to allow for erroneous explanations. This he does for the stubborn person in order to not diminish the possibility of free will." (another example of this: After Samson lost his miraculous strength, the verse says: "the hair of his head began to grow again after he was shaven" (Shoftim 16:22) which the stubborn person can use to mistakenly attribute his strength not to a miracle of G-d but rather to his hair, despite that a few verses later he prayed to G-d saying (ibid verse 28): "strengthen me, I pray You, only this once more, O G-d, that I may be this once avenged of the Philistines for my two eyes".
The Ramban commentary on the torah (Exodus 12:16) says: "...for man has no portion in the Torah of Moshe Rabbeinu unless he believes that all our matters and happenings are completely miraculous, there is no nature or ways of the world.."
The universe around us, and especially life is miraculous. Only that G-d instituted a natural order so that there would be room for free will, namely that the stubborn person who wants to shirk his religious duties can find an escape by attributing everything to "mother nature". If we could find even one phenomena that could not be explained scientifically but could only be attributed to an open miracle of G-d, and this phenomena could be reproduced and demonstrated to everyone on demand, then free will would be null and void, since nobody could deny the existence of G-d and everything this entails (morality, religious service, etc.). This is why G-d created the world in such a way that everything in it can be explained through science. Life has the capability of being attributed to evolution. The brain can be experimented with and studied with the same physical laws which explain the motion of electrons in a copper wire. Astronomers who study the universe, will find they can attribute its existence to a Big Bang billions of years ago and study that event with natural laws. Physicists can probe the atom and find ever more exotic particles and explain their behavior through scientific theories. All phenomena has the ability to be attributed to the "non-miraculous". This is a necessary side to creation in order to preserve man's free will.
However, the thinking person will see that there are big holes in the scientific perspective. The Big Bang has the big question of "what caused it?". Life has the great question of "how can something so complex occur by mere trial and error"? The true truth-seeker will be bothered by such things. And even the inanimate world reflects an infinite wisdom as the nobel prize winning physicist Richard Feynman, considered one of the most profound physicists of all time, wondered:
"It always bothers me that according to the laws of physics as we understand them today, it takes a computing machine an infinite number of logical operations to figure out what goes on in no matter how tiny a region of space, and no matter how tiny a region of time. How can all that be going on in that tiny space? Why should it take an infinite amount of logic to figure out what one tiny piece of space/time is going to do? So I have often made the hypothesis ultimately physics will not require a mathematical statement, that in the end the machinery will be revealed and the laws will turn out to be simple, like the chequer board with all its apparent complexities. But this is just speculation." (from his book: The Character of Physical Law - Chapter 2 - the relation of mathematics to physics)"
So really there is no contradiction between the torah and science. There must be free will, and in order to preserve free will, G-d must have a way of allowing the stubborn person to attribute everything in the universe to the non-miraculous, i.e. science. The more we discover, the more we will find scientific explanations for everything. In earlier days, when people thought the world was flat, the ambiguity was "what's beyond the earth?" and that was enough ambiguity to balance free will. Now as technology discovers more and more, so too G-d must reveal deeper reasons for phenomena such as the ever more exotic laws of quantum mechanics or the mind boggling complexity of biological phenomena, so that no "open miracles" can be found which would nullify free will. )
(now to answer the question:) This is not to say that open miracles never happen. The Tov Halevanon commentary in Chovos Halevavos gate 4 ch.4 says: "G-d does not do public miracles without great necessity". Sometimes, G-d will come out from behind the mask of nature and perform miracles, but only if there is a great necessity since this interferes with His plan of giving man free will. For example, the ten plagues in Egypt were necessary because they were the prelude to the giving of the torah, and there had to be no doubt that the torah was of Divine origin (Drashas HaRan). Or, Avraham's being thrown into a blazing furnace and surviving was necessary since he would be the father of the Jewish people.
I agree very much with Monica; in my experience it is generally not a great idea to discuss beliefs with people in general and particularly not in this situation.
I was raised in a Christian home to a very religious family (missionary relatives, church every Sunday, etc.) and am now an atheist. I left my parent's religion because I have spent most of my adult life studying science and the logic of science is more appealing to me than the illogic of religion. Nonetheless, and I expect I'll get a lot of flack for saying so, I am converting to Judaism.
It is true that I don't "believe" literally the stories told in the Torah, but that actually does very little to my impression of Judaism as a whole. It seems to me that people who are raised and stay in a religion their whole life see it as a set of beliefs where people outside of the group see it as a set of practices. This would explain why, when violence is committed in the name of (any) religion, people of that religion say "They aren't really (insert religion of choice here), they just say they are." whereas people outside of that religion say "Wow, look how violent (insert same religion here) is!"
In a situation in which an atheist raises your beliefs, they are likely trying to get you to evaluate them from an outside perspective. If you are comfortable with doing this, the best policy is to be honest. On the other hand, if you happen to be talking to an atheist and no one mentions beliefs, don't bring it up; instead, try to focus on what the practices of the religion mean to you.
I will try to answer the beginning of your question: "Answering Atheist". For the second part "about Torah miracles" there are already dozens of good answers. I will only try my 2 cents.
In this answer I will assume you care very much about the person you are talking to and you both care genuinely about finding the truth. If this is so you two can try to find the truth together, search books, argue, and so on... From this type of discussion you can gain very much. If this is not so, maybe it is pointless to argue, as Monica said.
I think, first of all, you should seek your answer to those questions. What do you think constitutes a miracle? Do you believe those miracles are true? And why? If you feel you are unsure about your own positions think deeply about them. You should not think in defensive ways, you should strive for the truth. If he is right, he is right, but before you act consequently (maybe the Torah is not right, after all), you should be sure that he is right.
A good idea is to go to a Rav that can handle this type of questions (Torah vs Science) and to bring your friend with you. Then ask the Rav what is the answer to the atheist's claims. If he cares about the truth, he can gain from speaking with the Rav, and you, too, can learn very much.
A Rav is only one of the resources you can find and it has not to be a Rav, it can be someone with enough familiarity with the topic. You can search proofs on your own (many are provided as answers to this question) that help you to defend and strengthen your position.
I feel somewhat obliged to share my position about the topic. I believe in spirituality and I feel a connection with Hashem. I know that he answers my prayers, for example. So spirituality can influence reality. I cannot explain how, but I know for sure that if Hashem wants something, he obtains the result. From a religious perspective it doesn't matter very much how. I happen to have a degree in Physics, and from what I learned, I know that there are "principles" or "fundamental theories" that are universally believed to be true because no experiment ever contradicted them in a fundamental way (e.g. conservation of mass/energy, uncertainty principle, the fact that a "theory of everything" should have a flavor of QFT and involve many fundamental symmetries thus implicating conservation of many quantities by Noether's theorem but I am really digressing now...). My position is that: (1) it can well be that a miracle produces something that contradicts these natural laws (2) there are many ways that almost all of these natural laws can remain true. I can myself come with some (what if we take quantum perturbations of slim probability into account? or, more simply, some geological or biological curiosity? there are so many thing that are possible but don't usually happen!). You can also find that the Torah itself, when interpreted through a Midrash or just a small insightful consideration, can change its face (maybe the "taninim" in the Genesis are dinosaurs, or Adam had relationships with hominids...). It doesn't make much sense to stick with one "natural theory" and one interpretation of the Torah and make them collide!


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In an academic paper I'm using thus to indicate the conclusion of an argument. Today my professor said that thus should not be used in the beginning of a subordinate clause and suggested to use whence instead. Here's some examples to show how I use thus:
The substance did not freeze at normal pressure when the temperature dropped below 0 °C, thus it's not water.
Lisa's evidence does not satisfy the epistemic standard, thus she doesn't know that p.
Joel's utterance was offending, thus it was inappropriate.
Is it okay to start a subordinate clause with thus? Would using another word, e.g. whence, be more appropriate?

subset: commoncrawl


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The Multicultural Alumni Committee promotes greater multicultural alumni participation in University affairs and multicultural community initiatives and works to enhance the active engagement of multicultural alumni as members of the NYU Alumni Association. Furthermore, the Multicultural Committee seeks the assistance and support of diverse alumni in the major diversity departments and initiatives of NYU, including the Office of the Assistant Vice President for Student Diversity, The Center for Multicultural Education and Programs, Martin Luther King, Jr. Week, and the Multicultural Alumni Reception during Alumni Reunion Weekend.
The Multicultural Committee also identifies methods for fundraising that would increase the participation of multicultural alumni in university events and activities and can provide financial support for the multicultural students at NYU.
For more information about the Multicultural Alumni Committee and to find out about more ways to get involved, please visit the group's facebook page and also join the The Center for Multicultural Education and Programs alumni listserve.
Past Event:
OASIS to The Center: Commemorating 20 Years of Advancing Diversity at NYU
Friday, May 15, 2009 6:00 - 9:00 PM
The Kimmel Center for University Life
Eisner & Lubin Auditorium
60 Washington Square South


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This question already has an answer here:
A bucket is filled with water and a handful of sand. The water is then spun. Why and what forces are in play which cause the sand particles to congregate in the centre of the bucket?
This question already has an answer here:
A bucket is filled with water and a handful of sand. The water is then spun. Why and what forces are in play which cause the sand particles to congregate in the centre of the bucket?
marked as duplicate by Chris White, Waffle's Crazy Peanut, Manishearth♦ Jul 3 '13 at 6:32
This question has been asked before and already has an answer. If those answers do not fully address your question, please ask a new question.
The problem was solved by a certain Albert Einstein, who is probably not unknown to users of this web site. Actually he also calculated the viscosity of particle dispersions (Einstein (1906). A. Ann. Phys. 19: 289 - not on the net!). Presumably he only did special relativity after getting bored with fluid dynamics.
Anyhow, it's because the motion of the liquid around the cup causes a flow along the bottom of the cup towards the centre and then upwards. The sand is carried by this current so it collects at the centre. If you swirl the container rapidly you should be able to see the sand being carried upwards a short distance before its weight pulls it back down.
In the body of the fluid there is a pressure gradient along the line from the centre to the edge of the cup. This gradient is maintained by the variation is speed of the fluid flow from the centre to the edge i.e. high flow rate at the edge and low in the centre. However at the bottom of the cup the friction with the base of the cup slows the film of water close to the base. Because the flow rate is reduced by the friction it cannot balance the pressure gradient, and the result is a flow towards the centre at the base of the cup. As the flowing fluid reaches the centre it flows upwards then out towards the edge of the cup again. This is what causes the circulation shown in the picture.
As far as I know:
The sand only piles up at the center when the spinning is slowing down.
As the spinning slows down, water flows from the edge areas to the center to gradually restore the horizontal surface, adding circular motion of water to this it will result in a spiral motion of water inwards, which steers the dust towards the center.
There might other factors too, eg. the Bernoulli effect: the water may move faster at the center as it's slowed down at the edges due to friction. So the particles are sucked in by the faster current.


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I just thought I would share photos of Reggie in his gear for the Mutt Walk.
I just thought I would share photos of Reggie in his gear for the Mutt Walk.
Reggie, Honey & Missy
Coloma, Michigan USA
Cute! The last one is hilarious!!
Jen, Abbey (Tri Cavalier) & Gus (White Min. Schnauzer)
that's one cool dog.
He looks pretty relaxed with those sunglasses on, too -- mine would have eaten them in seconds I fear!
Cavaliers: Jaspar Tansy Libby Mindy Connie
In memory: Lucy Leo Lily
Cavalier SM Information site:www.smcavaliers.com
He actually did very well with his costume... I was amazed ,
I will load the photos from the walk..he was sitting at the sidewalk cafe...having a cresant ..it was to cute !!
Reggie, Honey & Missy
Coloma, Michigan USA
Here's the photos I promised... We had a blast.
Reggie and I raised over a hundred dollars for Animal Aid.
The street was lined with booths from local stores that offered free toys and products for your animals.
It was a great experience.
Reggie and I enjoying breakfast before the walk
Reggie showing off his shades!
Reggie, Honey & Missy
Coloma, Michigan USA
Oh he's a real babemagnet Kimmisue
Dig those groovy glasses
AND Really well done for raisong all that money icon_thumbsup
Yes he believes he is the top dog on the block
Haven't heard the total for the walk yet ..but there were at least a thousand dogs there..
And One other Cavalier Of course we exchanged notes.
Reggie, Honey & Missy
Coloma, Michigan USA
Of course ...
I have NEVER known owners of any other breed to love anyone elses dogs as much as us Cav owners or to be as friendly


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How can we migrate the report jobs in BI Publisher from one system to other ?
By VarunMisra-Oracle on Dec 19, 2013
Que ) On migrating from one system to other the user can be migrated and allocated to catalog groups but the report jobs won't show up. How can we migrate the report jobs?
Ans) There is no method available to move or migrate the existing reports
jobs to another BI Publisher instance.The BI Publisher document doesn't
provide any such option.We have a catalog utility that can be
used to move the catalog objects like reports, data models etc but not
jobs or job history.


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For example, I take differentiability, analyticity, and algebraicity(of a function). All(more or less) imply continuity. So when we define a differentiable function on $\mathbb R^n$ or an analytic function on $\mathbb C^n$, or a regular map on an affine space, we do not explicitly require that the functions are continuous. It follows automatically from the stronger condition.
But, when I look at the definitions in books of a global structure using sheaf theory, for a global definition of a morphism, ie on a differentiable manifold or an analytic space, or an abstract algebraic variety, the definition of a morphism requires a priori that the map be continuous, and then one requires that there is additionally a morphism of sheaves of algebras(of the suitable type of structure sheaves, depending on the local model used).
Why is this so? Is it something done for fancy, or is there a real need for the extra continuity assumption? I mean could things go wrong if this assumption is dropped?


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Chandler, Arizona
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We at Classy Closets understand that Chandler is more than just a beautiful city - it is your home. We recognize the importance of a home that is harmonized with both beauty and efficiency. Classy Closets offers a variety of custom cabinetry, closets, and much more. Each of our home storage solutions is designed especially for you. We desire to help you create the home you want and deserve.
Come in today and let our staff of friendly experts help you make your home as beautiful as the city in which you live!
Home Offices


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Information Technology Services
Access to Kansas State University's electronic resources is restricted to employees, students, or individuals authorized by the University or its affiliates. Use of this system constitutes agreement to abide by all relevant K-State policies. Unauthorized or inappropriate use may result in limitation or revocation of use privileges and/or administrative, civil, or criminal penalties.
Faculty & Staff: By using this system, you agree that you will comply with federal law (FERPA 1974) regarding the privacy of student information. Your responsibilities are defined in K-State's Student Records Policy. Failure to comply with FERPA will result in your removal from access and could result in further administrative and legal actions as allowed by law.


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Program Fee: $850 Online and Onsite Class (includes extensive Program materials, teaching assistants and lab experience). This course is designed to provide the professional nurse, nurse practitioner or nurse midwife who wishes to practice as a sexual assault examiner (SANE) or the physician who wishes to refine skills, with a comprehensive educational program. Course content includes how to do the assessment, evaluation and treatment of an adult or adolescent sexual assault survivor. In addition to covering psychosocial aspects of sexual assault, topics will include mechanics and identification of sexual assault injury, forensic concepts, documentation, evidence collection, legal aspects and the role of the provider from initial interventions to courtroom responsibilities. Methods include didactic sessions as well as clinical practice with teaching assistants. A Rutgers certificate will be awarded upon successful completion of the program. Selected days are open to social workers, rape crisis personnel, law enforcement and other interested professionals.
Links:[1] https://nursing.rutgers.edu/courses/assessment-and-evaluation-adult-sexual-assault-survivor-course-april-2013
[2] http://www.nsvrc.org/states-territories/new-jersey
[3] http://www.nsvrc.org/event-type/trainings


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Custom Seats & Center Console Build - Get ShortyWritten by on November 1, 2009 Part 17: Interior Motifs
Back when show rods and wild custom cars and trucks were at their height, circa late '50s to early '60s, builders spared no expense in creativity. Their art, expression of one's self, vision, or whatever you want to call it, began with the exterior of the vehicle and flowed into the interior. Long story short, onlookers got to see a wide array of designs and techniques being applied, for better or worse, being at the forefront.
In today's world of custom classic trucks, builders are still running the gamut with creative exteriors searching for new ways to distinguish their rides from the pack. However, continuing that creative mindset into the interior has dwindled in popularity. The never-ending search to escape the norm by looking for new ideas and ways to set one's interior off has seen a significant drop.
When I embarked on building Project Get Shorty I wanted to be sure to try and carry the theme of the truck, which is being built in the vein of an old-school custom, throughout the build, whether anyone agrees with me or not; that's why Baskin Robbins serves up 31 flavors. Therefore, when it came time to create the interior of Project Get Shorty I left my mind wide open. I began by placing an Auburn-style dash insert housed with my own custom-designed gauges smack dab in the middle of the dash, but that was just the beginning. I still had the seats to worry about. However, I wasn't satisfied with transplanting an oddball seat from some random vehicle in the cab of Shorty, which meant the only way to achieve my one-off custom look was to dig down and pull out some ancient Kansas kustomizing secrets to create my own seat and center console.
One might think building their own seat is a monumental task, however, it's really quite simple. All it takes is some 1/2-inch conduit mixed in with a little 18-gauge expanded metal and creativity and you're off. By bending and forming the conduit to your liking one can create any style of seat imaginable. Whether it's bucket seats, a bench seat, lawn chairs, or a chaise lounge it's all doable! For Shorty, my mind kept coming back to a hybrid between two bucket seats and a bench seat surrounding a custom center console. (Somewhat hard to picture in thin air, but the ensuing pictures are sure to help.) Oh yeah, here's the best part. Between the conduit, expanded metal, and sheetmetal I dropped just a bit over 80 bucks! Now of course that's not including upholstery, but that's something that will have to be done no matter what option one takes. For now, follow along as Star Kustom Shop whips up a batch of custom seats.
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Fast-forwarding ahead a few steps, I fabricated these custom seat mounts that use the stock seat bosses out of 1x1/4-inch steel strips.The plan is to build the seats around the center console; therefore I started by building the center console, which is going to be shaped like a torpedo cut in half. I began by creating the base of the console and tacking it to the floor of the truck.From there I created the upper half by bending some 1/2-inch conduit into the shape I was after and welded the console together.It was then onto forming the seat. I wanted a sleek, flowing seat; therefore I created this rolling design for the perimeter of the seat. (Any shape to your liking would do.) I then created five more pieces just like this. All of these pieces of conduit can be bent using your knee, a vise, workbench, and so on, and then they can be cut to the desired length.Before the perimeter could be set, I had to create the upper perimeter of the seat, which lies just below the rear window, hugging the cab. I tacked the upper perimeter in place, and then concentrated on tacking the outer perimeter in place. To do so I used a six-inch block to set the height of the seat, and added a few temporary braces. (Remember, padding will be two to three inches, and when added to the six inches of seat height, that will be right on target.)Before the rest of the seat could take shape, the center of the seat needed to be formed. The seat is going to hover above the rear of the console; therefore I created the U-shape above the console, and then ran a piece of conduit up to the top of the seat.Next, I grabbed one of the duplicate outer perimeters and set it in place, which is running alongside the center console.With the perimeter of the seat in place, the front perimeter of the seat could be shaped and welded in place.Now that the shape of the seat has been squared away, the inner structure is all that is left. Once again, one of the duplicate outer perimeter pieces made earlier is used. This time it runs down the center of the seat. By the way, I also placed this piece down 1 1/2 inches below the outer perimeter of the seat to create some shape to the seat.
The last step is to link the outer perimeter of the seat with the inner vertical brace. Now that one side is finished all that's left to do is duplicate that process on the passenger side.Next, I used 1 1/2-inch conduit for the legs of the seat. The legs were brought down to the seat brackets built earlier. I also built a bracket with a conduit leg that supports the inner perimeter of the seat.Now that the seat is finished, I can remove the center console and skin it. The console is going to have to be skinned in three pieces; I started by covering the cylinder portion of the console with 20-gauge sheetmetal.Skinning the bullet shape of the nose is going to be a little bit different; it will have to be done in two pieces. I began by using my Eastwood beater bag and mallets to shape the nose. I pounded on the piece of metal until it began to take the form of a bullet tip.Because I'm using mallets to form the bullet shape, the metal is going to look a little crude and banged up. Therefore, I took my piece over to the planishing hammer (a dolly nestled in the vice; oh yeah, can you believe this sucker gets 60 beats per minute!) to finesse the metal by working out the divots and creases.In order to get the sheetmetal to form such a sharp bullet nose I shrunk the outer edge of the piece using my Eastwood shrinker. Doing so will allow the piece to hug the conduit skeleton.Here's a close-up look of how things are shaping up. All that's left to do here is a little bit of trimming.Here's how the finished product turned out. Not bad for banging that nose out with a set of hammers-more or less.
And that's all there is to making a custom one-off interior that you can be sure is exclusive to your truck. Actually, at this point all that's left is to do is lay the expanded metal in the seats and weld them in place. That way the upholstery shop can lay the foam atop the metal and do their thing.


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House Speaker John Boehner: a dealmaker and a survivor in tight spot
Associated Press
WASHINGTON — It's been just a month on the calendar but seemingly a lifetime in politics since House Speaker John Boehner got a pricey bottle of red wine from President Barack Obama as a birthday present, a feel-good image that the speaker's aides tweeted far and wide.
The 63-year-old Ohio Republican has been caught up ever since in a monumental struggle over taxes and spending aimed at keeping the country from taking a year-end dive over the "fiscal cliff." Obama is tugging Boehner one way in pursuit of a budget deal, while conservatives yank the other way, some howling that he's already going wobbly on them and turning vindictive against those in his party who dare disagree.
Altogether, it's been more bar-room brawl than friendly wine-tasting for Boehner, whose job as speaker is at stake right along with the nation's economic future.
With Obama's re-election giving Democrats more leverage over Republicans, and far-right critics pushing a (hash)FireBoehner hashtag on Twitter, Boehner is in an incredibly tight spot.
To which the undaunted speaker responds: "I remain the most optimistic person in this town."
In truth, there aren't too many Democrats lining up to buy Boehner wine, or too many Republicans advocating his dismissal.
The baritone-voiced Boehner has a reputation as a deal-maker and a survivor. At least within his own party, he may be in a better place now than he was during a rough first two years as speaker that produced few solid accomplishments, pushed big budget decisions down the road and saw already-low congressional approval ratings sink even further.
The election that felled presidential nominee Mitt Romney, thrashed Senate Republicans and narrowed the GOP majority in the House also rid some of the loudest tea party voices in Boehner's fractious caucus and gave pause to other Republican legislators who felt their speaker had been too accommodating of Democrats in 2011 debt negotiations. Those talks collapsed at the 11th hour.
Now Obama and Boehner are right back at it, negotiating in person, by phone and by intermediaries, as they trade offers and counteroffers over huge questions about tax rates and spending. Obama wants more tax revenue, Boehner more spending cuts.
Questions about how far Boehner can be pushed, and at what personal price, are swirling everywhere from the Oval Office and the Capitol rotunda to late-night television.
"Saturday Night Live" played Boehner for laughs in a recent skit showing Obama defending a despondent speaker with a perpetual tan against Republican bullies who made him sit alone in the House cafeteria and threw his milk in the garbage. "You leave this poor orange man alone!" the stand-in president said.
Boehner may well be known for his tan, and for tearing up easily, but he's no pushover, says Alan Simpson, a Republican who was co-chairman of the president's deficit commission.
"He's strong and he's used to taking a lot of crap," says Simpson. "Once you're in that situation, you're going to work your way through."
Ron Peters, a University of Oklahoma professor who's written extensively about House speakers, said the fate of the talks may come down to Boehner asking himself, "as all speakers do: What do I want to be remembered for?"
"He's in a position to do something historic," says Peters. "And so what he needs to do is lead the Republicans through the process to get the deal that will become a legacy."
It's a huge moment for a speaker who grew up as one of 12 children in a working-class family in suburban Cincinnati, helping out in his father's bar. That upbringing taught Boehner important skills for managing his raucous Republican fold, including an often under-rated ability simply to let people vent.
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Robert Earle has held senior positions in the U.S. foreign affairs and intelligence communities for 25 years, including serving as Ambassador John Negroponte's senior adviser in Iraq and later as his counselor when Mr. Negroponte was appointed deputy secretary of state. The recipient of the Christian A. Herter Award for outstanding contributions to American diplomacy, Mr. Earle is author of the Naval Institute Press book, Nights in the Pink Motel: An American Strategist's Pursuit of Peace in Iraq.
- Binding: Hardcover & eBook
- Era: Iraq War
- Number of Pages: 288
- Subject: History
- Date Available: September 2008
Clear The Decks Price*


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Western Kentucky University's Faculty Senate expressed concern and anxiety over forthcoming budget cuts at their meeting Thursday afternoon.
WKU President Dr. Gary Ransdell reassured faculty members that he and a group of 30 financial advisors representing every college will not cut any funding that directly affects the classroom environment, but did not rule out cuts to research and grant dollars.
Ransdell told the Faculty Senate he is looking towards policy changes as a major push to come up with the additional $2.3 million in one-time funding the university must refund to the state by the end of June.
Professors are upset because the majority of budget cuts/refunds in the last 3 years have come from the extra tuition money brought in by the unexpected and unprojected growth in enrollment. Faculty members are also concerned about where the refund will come from since $2.3 million of the total $5.6 million in cuts will come from this year's budget, which is already seven months into its fiscal year.
Dr. Ransdell told the Faculty Senate he hopes to have a final outline for the cuts within two to three weeks.


text:
What would Americans do if they won the lottery?
POSTED: 9:08 AM Nov 28 2012 UPDATED: 7:04 AM Jul 25 2014
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A family of 17 is splitting a $20 million lottery jackpot they won in New Jersey. How would most Americans spend their winnings if they hit it big? Click through to find out.
The views expressed are not those of this site, this station or its affiliated companies. By posting your comments you agree to accept our terms of use.


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The original Matan Torah — meaning, when we celebrate Shavuos — is the time when we mistakenly thereafter served the Golden Calf. Why would we celebrate that day? It is equivalent to celebrating after marrying one's spouse on a different day — the day the couple broke their first engagement.
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The Golden Calf was made on the 16th of Tammuz, forty (actually, 39) days after the Giving of the Torah. But that was not yet in evidence on Shavuos, or for the next 38 days afterwards. During that time, rather, we were able to rejoice with the Torah we had received and with the tremendous spiritual benefits we obtained along with it. So, "at a time of rejoicing we rejoice, and at a time of mourning we mourn" (Bereishis Rabbah 27:4).
It is true that in a sense, Moshe's shattering the Tablets on the 17th of Tammuz was like the breakup of a marriage (Shemos Rabbah 46:1). But with the reconciliation between us and Hashem on Yom Kippur, we regained much of what we had lost (plus, as a bonus, the entire Oral Torah - ibid.)
And after all, Shavuos commemorates, among other things:


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When packages are already installed and I run an
apt-get install <package-name>, sometimes it will print a line
<package-name> is set to manually installed.
What does that mean?
When packages are already installed and I run an
What does that mean?
If you install a package, all packages that that package depends upon are also installed. For example if you install the package vlc, it will automatically install vlc-nox. The automatically installed packages (in this case, vlc-nox) are set as "automatically installed" -- if you remove vlc, the package manager will suggest to remove vlc-nox as well (aptitude will do this automatically, if you use apt-get you can remove all automatically installed packages with
Now, if you do
This does not affect updates in any way.
You can use
Automatically installed packages can be removed using
It means that a package was manually selected and not automatically by another packages or a meta-packages. The difference it, that the latter can be auto-removed, when the package that triggered this install is not anymore present (after an upgrade, or because it was removed). A manually selected package should not be removed in this way.
This has no impact on the ability to upgrade package when such upgrades are available or the notifications thereof.


text:
This question already has an answer here:
I am still getting used to dual running Ubuntu on my Windows 7 machine using Wubi. I currently have Ubuntu 12.01 and want to upgrade to 13.04. According to the instructions here :http://www.ubuntu.com/download/desktop/upgrade
I first need to launch the dash and search for an "Upgrade Manager". I do that but the only option I get is a software updater.
Any help?
PS, I am still getting used to using a terminal so I would really appreciate not using the terminal quite yet till I am more familiar with it (if at all possible).


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A train with infinitely many seats, one for each rational number, stops in countably many villages, one for each positive integer, in increasing order, and then finally arrives at the city. At the first village, two women board the train. At the second village, one woman leaves the train to go visit her cousin, and two other women board the train. At the third village, one woman leaves the train to go visit her cousin, and two other women board the train. At the fourth village, and in fact at every later village, the same thing keeps happening: one woman off to visit her cousin, two new women on board the train. How many women arrive at the city?
There is not enough information to uniquely determine the answer.
Here is a situation in which $0$ women get to the city: we place the women in order according to when they boarded the train, and every time a new village is reached the woman who boarded the train farthest back in time leaves. This procedure ensures that every woman eventually leaves the train.
Here is a situation in which countably many women get to the city: every time a new village is reached one of the women who boarded at the previous village leaves. This procedure ensures that the number of women who eventually reach the city increases by $1$ at each village.
One can in fact get any finite number of women to the city.
The problem is not well posed, since you don't specify which woman leaves the train at each station. See Ross–Littlewood paradox.
This problem isn't well defined as it relies on infinity to actually exist. There are two ways of viewing this.
If we want the limit of the number of people on the train as we approach the infinitith stop, this series is +2-1+2-1..., so a number of people with the same cardinality as the integers.
The second and seemingly more correct interpretation is: "How many women stay on the train throughout the whole journey?". If we make women leave the train in the same order they board, the answer is 0, as no-one remains on the train through the whole journey. If we make the last women to board leave, then the answer is infinite.
This behaviour is not strange if you have seen the behaviour of infinite series. For example, while +2-1+2-1... approached infinity, +2-1-1+2-1-1 will always be almost 0.


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Breastfeeding 101
7 of 8
Support Groups
If you are having trouble breastfeeding, a support group may be helpful. Most support groups are free or inexpensive. To find a support group in your area, try the following:
- Contact La Leche League, a national support organization for nursing mothers. The League sponsors groups in many cities, which meet regularly to discuss breastfeeding problems.
- Ask the hospital where you gave birth for suggestions. Many hospitals or birthing facilities offer free support groups that meet weekly or bi-monthly.
- Ask your obstetrician, gynecologist, general practitioner, pediatrician, midwife, or childbirth educator about local support groups.
- Contact a lactician (lactation consultant).
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Your hunt for a sturdy, smart and reasonably priced tripod ends here. Integrated with a robust design and capable of delivering high quality, sharp images, the Velbon DF-40 camera trivet offers numerous photographic benefits. This compact-sized camera tripod is built under the DF series of tripods from Velbon.
Made of Aluminium, the Velbon DF-40 has the capacity to withstand the varying climatic conditions, thereby enabling you to use it anywhere and at any time without any difficulty. Weighing 1009 g, the Velbon DF-40 is lightweight in nature and can carry a load capacity of up to 1000 g.
On folding the Velbon DF-40 tripod, it measures a length of 540 mm, making it all the more convenient to carry, especially during long distance, outdoor shoots. Furthermore, this tripod comes with a maximum operating height of 1440 mm and can also be elevated to a mid-level of up to 1300 mm, providing enhanced flexibility for framing compositions from different angles. To shoot images from the lowest possible angle, you could minimize the height of the trivet to a minimum operating height level of up to 510 mm.
The sturdy three legged section of the Velbon DF-40 camera trivet provides a secure support to the mounted equipment. In addition to this, the leg tips of this trivet are fused with rubber which easily grip onto even the rough and slippery terrains. This feature facilitates a safe and easy-mount of both the trivet and the equipment. The diameter of the first upper leg is 20 mm. Besides all these advantages, the tripod also comes with an ergonomic pan handle for simple and effortless panning while shooting.
The Velbon DF-40 is embedded with a 2-way PH-446 Pan head which makes provision for a smooth and easy panning while shooting. Adding to the comfort, this trivet consists of a QB-4LC Spare Quick Release Plate. The purpose of this plate is to help you attach or remove your equipment from the trivet without any hassle. Created with simplicity, The Velbon DF-40 is packed with a remarkable operating performance.
In order to ensure that you freeze the best shots, the leg portion of the Velbon DF-40 consists of radial braces. These braces are built to further stabilize the camera trivet while usage and prevents the legs from twisting while panning. Helping you freeze breath-taking shots, the Velbon DF-40 is user-friendly and an apt camera essential for both amateur and professional photographers.
|General Specifications
|Load Capacity
|1000 g
|Model Name
|1300 mm
|Leg Tip
|Quick Release
|Plate Type
|Maximum Height
|1440 mm
|1009 g
|Minimum Height
|510 mm
|Folded Length
|540 mm
|Warranty Summary
|2 Years
|Head Features
|Pan Head
|Leg Features
|Leg Tip
|Additional Features
|Special Features
|20 mm Leg Diameter, All Black Finish, 1000 g Ideal Load Capacity
|Technical Details
|3 Leg Section, 2-way PH-446 Panhead, Radial Braces, Rubber Feet, QB-4LC Spare Quick Release Plate, Aluminium Material
Please Note: All products sold on Flipkart are brand new and 100% genuine
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text:
Top Definition
Food that has been partially eaten or nibbled on. For example, if you eat the chocolate half of a black and white cookie, that cookie is now "Lagerstrom", or has been "Lagerstromed".
Nicole: "Want half of my bologna sandwich?"
Bridget: "Hell naw, that thing's Lagerstrom!"
Bridget: "Hell naw, that thing's Lagerstrom!"
door ScramblesTheDeathDealer 2 september 2008
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text:
I am trying to take backup of one DB Which is showing Continuosly I/O Error 21 (The device is not ready) deteceted during read at offset 0x000000000000000040 in file e:\test.ndf Error 823. The Step Failed.
The backup was running smoothly for last 2 years.
Database Configuration is Test.mdf--->d:\ Test.ldf----> D: Test.Ndf----> E:\ USB Drive
Database is running smoothly.


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Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport
6040 28th Avenue South, Minneapolis, Minnesota 55450, USA
Telefon: (612) 726 5555
Website: www.mspairport.com
Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport is located 16km (10 miles) south of Minneapolis and 19km (12 miles) south of St Paul.
How to get there
Both terminals are bordered by Highway 62, Interstate 494, Highway 77 and Highway 5. Follow the exit signs on Interstate 494 and Highway 5 to reach the terminals.
Information about parking possibilities at the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport
Access by public transport
City buses, operated by Metro Transit (tel: (612) 373 3333; www.metrotransit.org), provide transportation throughout the Minneapolis/St Paul area; they pick-up from the airport's Transit Centre on the east side of the Blue and Red car parks at Terminal 1-Lindbergh. Fares are the same as on the light rail service. Shuttle: Shared ride shuttle services, operated by SuperShuttle (tel: (612) 827 7777; www.supershuttle.com), run to and from Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport.
Taxis are available from the cab starter booth one level up from the Tram Level at Terminal 1-Lindbergh and from the Humphrey Ground Transportation Center at Terminal 2-Humphrey. The fare to downtown Minneapolis is around $45.
A light rail service operates from Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport (tel: (612) 373 3333; www.metrotransit.org). Trains stop at both terminals and connect passengers to 15 other destinations, including downtown Minneapolis to the north and the Mall of America in Bloomington to the south. Trains run between the terminals every seven or eight minutes during peak hours and every 10 to 15 minutes at other times of the day. A single fare is $2.25 in peak hours and $1.75 at other times
Information desk
There are information desks in the terminals, and general airport information is also available (tel: (612) 726 5555). Volunteers provide a Travelers Assistance service (tel: (612) 726 5500).
Further travel information
- Back to the overview


text: Forest Falls, CA, May 10, 2011, 9:00am - The vegetation fire near Forest Falls is now 40% contained after burning roughly 150 acres. The Momyer Fire was reported at about 10:45am Sunday, May 8, and is located a few miles north of the Forest Falls area in steep terrain west of Alger Creek and north of Momyer Trail. It has not threatened any homes. … [Read more...]


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An experienced shooter firing off a round during target practice is something that takes years to become truly comfortable with, and these women are just beginning their training. They're getting practice for their conceal carry deadly weapons license test, something more and more women are choosing to have as a means of self defense.
"I think there's a huge increase in number of women across the country, and we have seen a steady increase of women in Bowling Green and Warren County," said Certified Conceal Carry Instructor Deborah Williams.
They're doing it to be prepared for the worst situations.
"I know instances of friends who have had friends who have been approached and had a gun, and they didn't fire it or anything. They just let them know they had a gun, and they ran away," said Conceal Carry Class Student Dottie Holland.
"As a woman, I am very conscious of the fact that most people... men... probably are bigger than me and able to over power me, and I do feel that carrying a weapon would put me on a more level playing ground," said prospective Conceal Carry student Kori Beck.
Phil Kimbel has been a certified Conceal Carry instructor for 11 years, but he says taking a conceal carry class doesn't make you an experienced shooter.
"That will not automatically make you a competent shooter. You will only get that ability by significant time spent in practice," said Certified Conceal Carry Instructor Phil Kimbel.
Before you can get the license, you have to take and pass a Conceal Carry class.
One thing the class emphasizes is that the Castle Law allows you to protect your life and your family's life on your property when they pose a threat to those lives. You cannot pursue someone who has taken your property once they've fled.
"The use of deadly force is for self-defense purposes only," said Kimbel.
32 states now have some form of Conceal Carry, and Kentucky has an agreement with them, but not all of their laws are the same.
"The law to permit you to have it in the glove compartment does not apply in other states. So if you have the weapon in your glove compartment in Kentucky, you could be legally doing that, but if you go into Tennessee, especially without your conceal carry permit, then you would be violating their law," said Phil Kimbel.
Kimbel says statistics show those states with some form of Conceal Carry Licenses tend to have less violent crimes.
"Apparently it is working, and that's the whole idea. One of the main reasons I teach it is I don't want to see my family or friends be a victim, and I think this could help avoid that," said Kimbel.
Kimbel says there are about 200 thousand people with their Conceal Carries in Kentucky, but the state doesn't just give away these licenses. Other than passing the class, you have to pass a background check and have no prior felonies to get and keep your license. These women hope by arming themselves... they won't be victims.
"I travel a little bit on the road, and I think it's going to make a huge difference just having it in the car with me, because it's different times of the day and night that I travel. And I really think I'm going to talk to my adult daughters about doing this. I think this would be something good for them to do also," said Conceal Carry Class Student Dottie Holland.
These women say they'd never want to be in the position to use a gun on another person, but when it means life or death they say they will be prepared.
Kentucky State Police say in 2011 alone about 25.5 thousand Kentuckians were issued a Conceal Carry license, while 460 were denied.


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In a festive room full of Java luminaries and fine food at JavaOne 2011, the 9th annual JCP Program Awards were handed out Tuesday night at the Anzu Restaurant of the Nikko Hotel. The award categories were: JCP Member/Participant of the Year; Most Innovative JSR; and Outstanding Spec Lead.
The nominees in their respective categories were:
JCP Member/Participant of the Year
--Mike DeNicola, of Fujitsu, for his role as JCP.next Working Group Lead: While not officially Spec Lead of JSR 348, Mike has contributed a lot in getting the JCP reform plans where they are at a great pace, compared to earlier efforts. Helping the JCP to be fit for the next decades of Java following the Oracle-Sun merger.
--SouJava: For tirelessly promoting the JCP, JSRs, openness, transparency and our community at large (to say nothing of Bruno Souza's marvelous cape!).
--IBM: For their participation in the OpenJDK project, which has significantly increased the momentum of Java SE.
--London Java Community: For their efforts to involve the developer community in the activities of the JCP.
--Doug Lea: After a long and distinguished tenure on the JCP EC, Doug Lea (along with Tim Peierls and The Apache Software Foundation) felt he had no choice but to resign at the end of 2010. In doing so, he demonstrated integrity, independence, and courage that truly sets him apart. If the JCP is to retain any shred of legitimacy and relevance in the future, it will be through the actions other members who display the traits exemplified by Doug: integrity, independence, and courage, coupled with unparalleled technical expertise and a genuine love for the Java ecosystem.
Most Innovative JSR
--JSR 321: Trusted Computing API for Java. Beside a picture book example for Agile and Transparent Expert Group work, JSR 321 also anticipated another vision of JCP.next, by being the first JSR with a known implementation in a language other than Java, called Hybrid JSR by JCP.next (Part 2 and beyond). Apart from all that, Trusted Java holds the key to a safer more reliable and trusted usage of PaaS/Cloud or other Pervasive Technologies like Social Networking and Mobile.
--JSR 334: Small Enhancements to the Java Programming Language (Project Coin): Due to the process it was run under and the requirement of participants to 'put some skin in the game'.
--JSR 292: Supporting Dynamically Typed Languages on the Java Platform: As the first JSR specifically designed to support languages other than Java, JSR 292 will ensure the long-term success of the Java VM.
Outstanding Spec Lead
--John Rose: (JSR 292 Supporting Dynamically Typed Languages on the Java Platform) Due to his excellence in ensuring consensus across the community -- both EG members and the wider JVM language community.
--Alex Buckley: (JSR 901, Java Language Specification and JSR 924: Java Virtual Machine Specification.) For his leadership.
--Mark Reinhold: For his leadership and promotion of the first Java SE platform JSR in several years.
The Winners
JCP Member/Participant of the Year: Mike DeNicola of Fujitsu
Most Innovative JSR: JSR 292, John Rose, Oracle, spec lead for JSR 292
Outstanding Spec Lead: John Rose, Oracle: JSR 292 Supporting Dynamically Typed Languages on the Java Platform
Community Leadership Award
Finally, the JCP Executive Committee gave a special Community Leadership Award to Patrick Curran, Chair, Java Community Process, Oracle, who was recognized for the fabulous job he has done coping with a period of substantial change and conflict in the JCP over the past 18 months.
Obviously, the work of John Rose and his team was singularly honored. But as Rose himself graciously emphasized, it was itself a great honor to be counted among his fellow nominees.
Congratulations to all involved!


text:
Reviewed By: Patrick Clark on 12/25/06
I have done 4 sections of the Northern Tier using Adventure Cycling Maps. They are great and the GPS Waypoints make them outstanding. I do appreciate the amount of research that goes into them. They are well worth the cost, especially adding the GPS Waypoints to the equation.


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March 20, 2014
The NYU Clive Davis Institute for Recorded Music will host a one-day festival April 10 designed to inspire and educate students who wish to become entrepreneurs and innovators in the music industry. The festival, known as RECESS, is sponsored by WIN Music and backed by a roster of noteworthy investors that include Mark Cuban and Stephanie LaFera. The NYU RECESS festival will include a full schedule of innovative events aimed at giving young entrepreneurs the tools and direction they need to realize their dream of launching a business.
"In addition to artistic excellence, The Clive Davis Institute of Recorded Music (NYU) puts heavy emphasis on entrepreneurship, which we believe is a critical component to success in today's music world," said Jeff Rabhan, Chair of the NYU Tisch Clive Davis Institute of Recorded Music. "RECESS is the perfect tie-in, since it brings the same philosophies and ideals we teach in the classroom to life, and it gives our students access to the top start ups and entrepreneurs in the industry."
The event is part of RECESS's nationwide campus tour, which brings together successful entrepreneurs, new startups, and a musical performance for a full day of entertainment, learning, and career building. Speakers and panelists will include ONE Co-Founder Cory Levy, Chair of the Clive Davis Institute of Recorded Music Jeff Rabhan, renowned music laywer Ed Shapiro, and Miki Agrawal, #1 best selling author and Co-Founder of THINX.
"RECESS curates the best day of college by bringing together successful entrepreneurs, the coolest new startups and the hottest acts in music to campuses across the country," said RECESS Co-Founder Jack Shannon. "Our mission is to inspire the next generation of entrepreneurs that will change the landscape of tomorrow's businesses."
While at NYU, RECESS will present the following day of events:
RECESS is open to the entire NYU community and is free of charge with an RSVP at https://www.eventfarm.com/RecessNYU.
For more information on the Idea Pitch Competition & to submit your pitch, visit: http://bit.ly/RecessPitch.
To purchase tickets for the concert, visit: http://bit.ly/RecessNYU_Tix.
About the NYU Tisch Clive Davis Institute
The Clive Davis Institute of Recorded Music provides professional business and artistic training toward a Bachelor of Fine Arts degree for students who aspire to succeed as creative entrepreneurs in the music industry. The program bears the name of its chief patron and advisor, Clive Davis. For more information, visit www.clivedavisinst.tisch.nyu.edu. Follow us on twitter at @clivedavisinst.
Type: Press Release
Press Contact: Shonna Keogan | (212) 998-6796


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For benchmark, I used a dual core computer. Kdenlive profile: ATSC 30fps. Video footage shot in 30fps shows that software decoding is not fast enought to display all frames in real time. Also, there seem to be seek problems, which make the image sometimes garbage. This may not change with a quad-core computer. So I added "unsupported" to avoid any misinterpretation.
If you have a direct URL to some additional footage, please let me know answering this post. Please don't use Rapidshare, rather a direct link to your web space.
Thu, 08/20/2009 - 14:34
I'm using 0.7.5 on Ubuntu 9.04 Jaunty x64 on a Sony Vaio VGN-FE41Z which has Intel Core 2 Duo T7200 @ 2.00GHz.
With Playback preferences set to "Drop B frames on H.264 clips" I'm finding it is quite workable to directly edit complex projects with the Canon HF11's 24mbps AVCHD 1920x1080 60i files.
There are video artefacts and some seek skipping but that is to do with ffmpeg and if you are able to build and install ffmpeg from the developer repository these are being progressively fixed.
Sun, 11/08/2009 - 23:34
Is this still actual?
Using 0.7.6 (Jaunty package), it seems that the preview as well as the render are working well - without artefacts and sounds problems.
I don't consider the computing time as it is a hardware feature and it does not influence the ability to render .MTS videos.
I would say that the camcorder is supported now (as well as the sisters HF100 and HF10).
Waiting for confirmation...
Fri, 01/22/2010 - 23:37


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Box Score | Game Notes
CHARLOTTE (February 9, 2013) – The San Antonio Rampage (21-22-0-4) tallied two goals in the third period to break a tie and secure a 3-2 victory over the Charlotte Checkers (27-16-2-3) Saturday night at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Rampage have now won three-straight games and are a perfect 2-for-2 on their Rodeo Road Trip.
Goaltender Jacob Markstrom made 29 saves off 31 shots to earn Third Star of the Game honors in his 100th career AHL start. The Swedish netminder continued his stellar play and has allowed two or fewer goals in 11 of his last 14 games.
The two goals recorded in the third period came against an unlikely opponent, as the Checkers entered the contest outscoring their opponents 58-33 in the final frame.
Former Rampage forward Jared Staal opened the scoring for Charlotte at 8:53 of the first period after creating a turnover in San Antonio's zone. He walked in and sent a shot high on Markstrom to make it 1-0.
San Antonio would strike back while shorthanded at 13:19 of the frame. Scott Timmins and Greg Rallo combined to light the lamp, marking the second-straight game in which the Rampage have recorded a shorthanded goal.
Timmins caught the puck in the neutral zone and came down the left wing side. With Rallo heading towards the net, Timmins sent him the puck and he poked it past Charlotte goaltender Justin Peters for his 15th goal of the season.
Timmins received the only assist on the goal in his first game back after missing seven games with an injury.
The second period went scoreless thanks to the efforts of Markstrom and the Rampage penalty kill. San Antonio took three consecutive minor penalties near the midway point of the period, forcing the club to kill off two straight 5-on-3s. After nearly six minutes of shorthanded time, San Antonio escaped unscathed.
Markstrom also contributed a spectacular save to stop Checkers' forward Zac Dalpe on a shorthanded breakaway in the second period. Dalpe picked off a pass in the neutral zone allowing him to walk in alone. However, Markstrom got a piece of his backhand shot to send it wide keeping the game tied, 1-1.
The second period was quiet offensively, as the Rampage only had three shots on goal due to their lengthy penalty kills. The third period was the opposite for the Rampage, who came out with an increased sense of urgency.
Andre Devauex gave San Antonio their first lead of the night at 7:14 of the frame when he found the rebound of a shot from defenseman Brendon Nash and banged it home.
Rookie Garrett Wilson added another at 10:30 of the third period thanks to a nice centering pass from rookie forward Jonathan Hazen to make it 3-1. The goal was Wilson's first of the season and his second in the AHL, while Hazen collected his tenth point of the season with the assist.
Charlotte would make it one-goal game at 12:29 of the third period when Dalpe found a loose puck in front of the net and sent it high to make it 3-2.
The Checkers would pull Peters for the extra forward with a little over a minute left, but Markstrom and the Rampage stood tall to earn his second-straight win.
Brothers Brendon and Riley Nash each recorded an assist in their first game playing against each other. The Checkers outshot San Antonio, 31-21, on the night, but were held to 0-for-5 on the power play. The Rampage ended the night 0-for-3 on the man advantage.
The Rampage and Checkers will be right back at it tomorrow (Sunday) afternoon with a 2 p.m. start at Time Warner Cable Arena to wrap up the weekend series.
The Silver and Black will return to AT&T Center on Saturday, March 2 at 7:00 p.m. to host their annual Military Appreciation Night. Individual and season tickets can be purchased at the AT&T Center Southeast Box Office, by calling a Rampage representative at 210-444-5554 or online at sarampage.com.


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20 Images You Won't Believe Aren't Photoshopped (Part 11)
#10. Our Poor Son Has Stallone Disease
So ... a couple of tourists with a cardboard cutout of Sylvester Stallone? Two guys at a 75-percent-scale wax museum? A pair of brothers badly Photoshopping movie stars into their vacation photos to impress their Facebook friends?
Because that's just ... cartoonish. We mean, it's pretty common to find out that actors aren't all they're cracked up to be on the big screen, but Sylvester Stallone is 5-foot-9 or so in reality -- not exactly a munchkin.
But the monsters surrounding him there are the Klitschko brothers, heavyweight boxers in the 6-foot-7 range. Oh, and if you're trying to figure out what the backdrop behind them says, don't worry -- they're just advertising the live musical production of Rocky. We're not kidding.
#9. No, It Isn't a Globe, Either
Here's yet another one that would have been far, far easier to just Photoshop than to stage a complicated scene that merely results in something that still looks like Photoshop. This "globe" is a high-speed trick photograph taken by German photographer Markus Reugels, capturing a drop of water in mid-air, just as it passes in front of a map.
And we're guessing it takes a shitload of attempts to get this just right.
#8. That Double Rainbow Guy Would Shit if He Saw This
Justin Lee/Caters News Agency
Presenting God's urinal.
It looks like somebody wasn't satisfied with this waterfall being a perfectly beautiful piece of scenery in its completely unaltered state and decided to add some "flair" in the form of rainbow colors in the mist.
But it really happened -- it's a perfectly timed photograph taken at Yosemite National Park. The rainbow is just the result of lucky positioning of the sun in relation to the mist of the falls, as opposed to, say, an explosion at the Skittles factory.
#7. Gruesome Explosion, or Giant Sideshow Bob Wig?
Regrettably, this isn't a dude who discovered how to explode his own torso on demand. It's a picture of someone being hit in the face with a bunch of colored powder at an event in Berlin where they do this sort of thing. We're not sure what part the skateboard plays in the ceremony or who has to clean up afterward, but we can say that turning humans into color explosions is so popular worldwide that they have a whole holiday dedicated to it in India.
It looks like fun but we're betting that stuff tastes like shit.
#6. A Scene More "Pixar" Than a Pixar Movie
Suzanne Beard/National Geographic
"Crap, you two are going to try to play "We Didn't Start The Fire" again, aren't you?"
Sadly, these pelicans aren't making a break for the Caribbean on a stolen piano with dreams of starting a band. It's just a photo from National Geographic.
The piano was found on a sandbar near Miami and was too heavy for the authorities to move away (it weighs 650 pounds). If you're wondering how it got out there (and we're surprised we haven't gotten a Facebook forward insisting it was carried by a tsunami), well, so was everyone else -- it just turned up one day. It was a mystery until some teenagers fessed up to dragging it out there to make some kind of artistic statement or other. Don't you guys have some video games you should be playing?
#5. Ball Goes out of Bounds, You Have to Go Fish It from the Ocean
The aircraft carrier looming back there makes this scene look like somebody inserted it by hacking the background graphics for a basketball video game. Even the sky looks fake.
But what you're looking at is the Carrier Classic, a college basketball game played on board an aircraft carrier. This one was between the University of North Carolina and Michigan State a couple years back.
They actually had to cancel a game last year because the court got wet. Not, as we were hoping, because somebody landed an F-18 on there at halftime.
#4. Hint: This Isn't a Tree, or a Drawing of a Tree
A painting? A close-up of a winter scene postcard?
Nope, it's an aerial photograph of a dried-out river bed in Mexico from National Geographic.
Water runoff, as it turns out, produces the same type of fractal patterns as plants do when they grow new branches. And snowflakes. And human blood vessels and neurons. And so many other natural phenomena that we're starting to wonder if the whole universe isn't fractals. For instance, can you guess what this is?
Bert Hickman
It's what happens when you run electricity through a block of Plexiglas.
#3. He's a Vampire, the Sun is Out, What Did He Think Would Happen?
Mark Henle/Associated Press
"Anyone else smell barbecue?'
A ghost being possessed by the body of a shirtless man? A guy seconds away from spontaneous combustion? A liar whose pants actually did catch fire?
According to this Boston.com photo, it's what happens when you get out of the pool after a swim and the freezing cold air starts rapidly evaporating the water off your skin. Also we're pretty sure his hair has frozen like that.
#2. Either It's More Clone Tool Abuse, or a Boring Game of SimCity
Yann Arthus-Bertrand/Altitudephoto
Hey, it turns out if you look at the suburbs from a helicopter, you see a swirling mass of roads and houses that will make you dizzy if you stare too long.
This unbelievably ordered subdivision is a suburb called Henderson, outside Las Vegas. A Google image search turns up dozens of similarly Stepford-esque shots. It's almost like someone just showed up one day and unrolled the whole development in strips, like sod. So in places like this, are people just constantly accidentally walking into the wrong house?
China Daily/Reuters, HAP/Quirky China News/Rex Features
We suppose you could think this is just a stone monument to giant, angry horses with a little snow piled at the base. But, in fact, everything you're looking at is snow.
China Daily/Reuters, HAP/Quirky China News/Rex Features
These giant snow sculptures are the sort of thing they do at China's winter festivals, and we're assuming they all get destroyed when tourists get drunk and try to ride them. What these artists are able to create with just shovels, ladders, and snow is often downright stunning.
ZUMA/Rex Features
But not always.
Here's 19 MORE images you won't believe aren't Photoshopped...
For more images that are so obviously fake (but so really aren't), check out 18 Old-Timey Photos You Won't Believe Aren't Photoshopped and 13 Old War Photographs You Won't Believe Aren't Photoshopped.
If you're pressed for time and just looking for a quick fix, then check out The True Story of Every Crappy Ad You See on TV.
And stop by LinkSTORM to learn why screaming FAKE at your computer screen isn't very healthy.
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I get so upset over obesity. I was in a hospital today and I saw a old lady, maybe 70 or possibly 80's moping the floors. And while I could have gone off on many tangents the thing that popped up in my mind, is that all over this country, there are men and women who didn't take care of their body's, who indulged in their "right" to eat whatever they wanted. And now that they are older and not able to carry around all that weight like they could have when they were younger, they are sitting at home living their life off of other peoples money because they are on disability. Those people aggravate the hell out of me.
Being grossly overweight shouldn't be a right. Getting spaces closer to the store because you are to fat to park further away is ridiculous. Stop eating. Stop ruining my country. You liberals want health care for everyone?!? Do you know how much cheaper health care insurance would be if people stop being morons and stopped smoking and eating? Stopped flooding their body's with alcohol? I hate that you kids grow up thinking you can do whatever the hell you want because your parents will fund you and if all else fails the government will bail you out.
Oh and parents who have overweight children. You are pathetic. Its one thing if you yourself are overweight. I have sympathy for you all. Sure Im annoyed that you dont take care of you body but I'm always hopeful you will change. But parents who let their kids get grossly overweight… you adults are pathetic and should never have been allowed to have children. Why is it a right to have children anyways? Okay that is all.


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The Ministry of Finance on Monday released a report on the highlights of the State Budget for Fiscal Year 1433/1434 (FY2012), the outcome of Fiscal Year 1432/33 (FY2011) and recent economic developments.
Actual Outcome of Fiscal Year 1432/1433 (FY 2011)
Total revenues are projected to be SR1,110 billion ($296 billion) in 2011 and expenditure to be SR804 billion ($214.4 billion). The increase of actual over budgeted expenditures of SR224 billion reflects the implementation of the royal orders to pay two months' salary bonus to all government employees including higher education students, government pension recipients, and social welfare beneficiaries, raising monthly minimum wage to SR 3000, adding the cost of living allowance to the basic salary, increasing capital of the Real Estate Development Fund and the Saudi Credit & Saving Bank, additional expenditures on projects in the Two Holy Mosques, and the cost of increased admission to the abroad scholarship program.
Preliminary estimates indicate that the value of public debt will decline from SR167 billion ($44.5 billion) at the end of 2010 to SR135.5 billion ($36.1 billion) at the end of 2011, which represents 6.3 percent of projected GDP for 2011. The stock of debt is totally domestic.
Total number of government projects signed with the private sector in 2011 were 2,600 valued at more than SR148.3 billion ($39.5 billion).
The National Budget for FY 1433/1434 (FY 2012)
The followings are the main highlights of the budget:
1. Total revenues are projected at SR702 billion ($187.2 billion).
2. Government expenditures are budgeted at SR690 billion ($184 billion).
3. Fiscal surplus is projected at SR12 billion ($3.2 billion).
The national budget will continue to focus on enhancing the development process and ensure that the investment programs remain conducive to strong and sustainable economic growth. The budget puts emphasis on optimizing the use of available resources and giving priority to projects that ensure balanced development as well as more employment opportunities and job creation. Specifically, focus will be on education, health, social services, security services, municipal services, water and sewage services, and roads and highways. Moreover, the budget attaches particular attention to science and technology projects and e-government.
The budget includes financing for new and on-going projects with a total value of SR265 billion ($70. 7 billion).
Appropriations for the main development and public service sectors are as follows:
Education and Training:
a) Total expenditure amounts to SR168.6 billion ($45 billion), representing 24 percent of FY 2012
appropriations and an increase of 13 percent over FY 2011 appropriation.
b) Continued implementation of King Abdullah Bin Abdulaziz Public Education Development Project (Tatweer)
amounting to SR9 billion ($2.4 billion) through the Education Development Holding Company owned by the
Public Investment Fund (PIF).
c) New projects include 742 new schools (in addition to 2,900 schools currently under construction and
more than 900 schools were completed in FY 2011 and rehabilitation of 2,000 existing school buildings.
d) For higher education, the new budget includes appropriations for the electronic university, opening of forty
new colleges, and completion of construction of campuses for the newly created universities including
housing of faculty. Furthermore, the scholarship program (first and second phase) will continue next year.
The total number of students studying abroad reached over 120,000 students.
Health and Social Affairs:
a) Total expenditure amounts to SR86.5 billion ($23.1 billion), an increase of 26 percent over FY 2011 appropriation.
b) Projects include new primary care centers throughout the Kingdom, 17 new hospitals. At the present, there are
more than 130 hospitals under construction with a capacity of 28,470 beds and 22) hospitals were completed
in 2011 with a capacity of more than 3,200 bed.
c) For social services, the new budget includes appropriation to build sport clubs, social centers, social welfare and
labor offices. In addition, it includes further support for poverty reduction programs that will shorten the time frame
required to eradicate poverty.
Municipality Services:
a) Total expenditure amounts to SR29.2 billion ($7.8 billion), an increase of 19 percent over FY 2011 appropriation.
b) New project include inter-city roads, bridges, and road lights, which should help ease traffic bottlenecks.
It also includes other environment-related projects.
Transportation and Telecommunication:
a) Total expenditure amounts to SR35.2 billion ($9.4 billion), an increase of 40 percent over FY 2011 appropriation as a
result of the progress in the new King Abdulaziz Airport in Jeddah.
b) New projects include roads totaling 4,200 km (2,610 miles) to be added to 28,100 km (17,460 miles) of roads
currently under construction. Also, the budget includes appropriations to expand King Khalid International Airport,
build King Abdullah Airport in Jazan, and expanding four regional airports. In addition, the budget includes projects
to build additional berths.
Water, Agriculture, and Infrastructure Sector:
a) Total expenditure amounts to SR57.5 billion ($15.3 billion), an increase of 13 percent over FY 2011 appropriation.
b) Appropriations for new projects include increasing water resources, dams and wells, as well as expanding and
improving water and water treatment networks. There are also allocations for new water desalination plants and
upgrading existing plants. In addition, new projects include building and expanding grain silos. New projects will
be undertaken in the industrial cities of Jubail, Yanbu, and Ras Alkhair to accommodate new investment projects.
Specialized Credit Development Institutions and Government Financing Programs:
Specialized credit institutions (Real Estate Development Fund, Saudi Industrial Development Fund, Saudi Credit and Saving Bank, Agriculture Development Fund, Public Investment Fund, and Government Lending Program) will continue to provide loans which will support job creation and enhancing growth prospect.
It is estimated that SR86.1 billion ($23 billion) will be disbursed in 2012 by these Institutions. The total value of loans provided by these institutions since their inceptions amounts to SR440 billion ($117.3 billion).
Economic Developments:
1) Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
According to Central Department of Statistics and information, GDP is estimated to reach SR2.163 billion ($576.8 billion) in current prices in 2011, reflecting a growth of 28 percent compared to 2010. Private sector is estimated to grow by 14.3 percent in current prices in 2011.
In real terms, Overall GDP is estimated to grow by 6.8 percent, with government sector growing by 6.7 percent and private sector by 8.3 percent in 2011 and its contribution to GDP is expected to be 48.8 percent. All components of the GDP recorded positive growth in 2011. In particular, the non-oil industrial sector is estimated to grow by 15 percent; construction sector by 11.6 percent; electricity, gas, and water sector by 4.2 percent; transport and communication sector by 10.1 percent; wholesale, retail, restaurants, and hotels by 6.4 percent; and finance, insurance and real estate by 2.7 in constant prices.
3) General Price Level
Inflation, as measured by the cost of living index, is estimated at 4.7 percent in 2011, while the non-oil GDP deflator showed an increase of 6.1 percent.
3) Foreign Trade and balance of payment
According to Saudi Arabia Monetary Agency (SAMA) preliminary data, total exports of goods are estimated to be SR1.287 billion ($343.2 billion) in 2011, representing an increase of 37 percent over 2010. Non-oil exports of goods are estimated at SR153 billion ($40.8 billion), reflecting an increase of about 14.0 percent and representing 12 percent of total goods exported.
Total imports of goods are estimated at SR370 billion ($98.7 billion) in 2011, representing a growth of 2 percent compared to 2010.
According to SAMA preliminary data, trade balance is estimated to record a surplus of SR915 billion ($244 billion) in 2011, an increase of 59 percent compared to last year, as a result of the increase in oil and non-oil exports and the low growth in imports.
Current account is estimated to record a surplus amounting to SR598 billion ($159.5 billion) in 2011 compared to SR250 billion ($66.7 billion) in 2010, an increase of 139 percent.
4) Money and Banking
The broad money supply during the first ten months of fiscal year 2011 grew by 10.2 percent compared to 1.2 percent for the same period of pervious year. With regard to banking sector, bank deposits recorded a growth rate of 8.4 percent during the first ten months of 2011, total banks claims on public and private sectors increased by 10.1 percent; also, their capital and reserves increased by 7.2 percent reaching SR191 billion ($50.9 billion).
5) Other Developments
A number of initiatives and government actions that should enhance the confidence of the private sector leading to its robust growth have taken place during this fiscal year, these include:
a) Fitch confirmed Saudi Arabia AA- sovereign rating.
b) International Finance Corporation of the World Bank Group has ranked Saudi Arabia 13th among 183 countries
in terms of ease of doing business.
c) New entities and fiscal, institutional, and structural reforms have been introduced in 2011 such as the
Ministry of Housing, the Statute of the National Anti-Corruption Commission, the law of the Saudi Red
Crescent Authority, the law of government revenues, and the law of civil affairs.


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I need to estimate cumulative earnings over the next Y years and I'd like to find a solution that is theoretically sound and relatively simple. Can anyone recommend an approach?
I have 30 years of historical monthly earnings.
I need to estimate cumulative earnings over the next Y years and I'd like to find a solution that is theoretically sound and relatively simple. Can anyone recommend an approach?
I have 30 years of historical monthly earnings.
If you want a generic mechanical approach, try to build a time-series model. A log-linear trend model or building an auto-regressive model such as ARMA (on a stationary) series would probably work. As a start point I would plot the data to see what features you notice (seasonality? exponential growth? mean-reversion? trend? one-off shocks?)
Note that securities analysts forecasts are better than these time-series models. Also these time-series models would have limited ability to extrapolate beyond a couple k-step ahead periods. So if you need cumulative out-of-sample earnings in years and your training data is in months, you will have low confidence in your prediction.
There is a rich academic history of using such models used to forecast quarterly earnings although that doesn't mean it's a great trading strategy.
Most of these models would be very industry specific, but there is never going to be a default way to estimate earnings. Banks are very descriptive of these earnings models. I would start with an industry report and go from there.
This is a serious task to do for one company. Much more so than I think you realize.
The most common model is...."Next year's earnings will be this year's earnings plus some percentage (an exponential trend)". Why?
Look closely at the process that generates an earnings number.
Let's start off by assuming that you can estimate
So, it turns out that you'll be lucky if you can estimate an
One other thing to keep in mind. The smaller the company, the more ridiculous the
If you want to try some schemes on various companies, here's some data:
Here's some S&P500 data:
From your question, to get cumulative
I agree with @Quant Guy's answer. His approach should definitely be the first thing you try, and you should also heed his warning regarding the low confidence when forecasting out many years.
I would only add that if you have data for more companies available, even if your goal is to only estimate the earnings for one company, you can improve your estimate further with a vector auto-regression (VAR). Better yet, you can estimate relationships between this firm and its industry average earnings and add a term for convergence of this firm's growth rate to the industry average. ARMA estimates will also probably be better on aggregates such as industries/sectors.