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Results tagged ' Johnny Cueto '
Inspecting the Prospects – The Cueto Deal
#Royals officially acquire RHP Johnny Cueto from the Cincinnati Reds! #ForeverRoyal pic.twitter.com/BCFqbfpRKx
— Royals (@Royals) July 26, 2015
If you haven't noticed, I've been keeping an eye on Johnny Cueto and the Cincinnati Reds deadline for quite some time, but you can't blame a Cincinnati native and long-time Reds fan for being a homer. The deal that finally happened on Sunday, which resulted in the Cincinnati ace landing in Kansas City to anchor the Royals' rotation in their push towards the playoffs, was something that was anticipated for months. Unfortunately, my prediction from this offseason, which had him landing in Boston, flopped about as much as the Red Sox have this season. Still, Cincinnati is left with a lot of question marks, especially since management isn't done making moves. If you're like me, you understand that this deal needed to happen so that the Reds could regroup and be competitive in a couple of years. If you're pissed off because the Reds just traded their ace and have no one readily available to take on that role – you may want to take a step back from the ledge.
IT IS OFFICIAL!!! Reds receive Brandon Finnegan, Cody Reed, & John Lamb all left handed pitchers! pic.twitter.com/lkG28hkWUV — Reds Problems (@redsproblems) July 26, 2015
The Reds are headed towards a new era, and likely one with several years of trying to figure things out, resulting in 90 or more losses per season; however, Sunday's deal was a tremendous start in showing that they are capable of righting the ship quickly. Here is some reaction from the experts:
About Finnegan:
"…Coming to the Reds, there is no reason he shouldn't be given another chance to lengthen out into a starting role. Finnegan has the arsenal of a starting pitcher and while he is short, he has some present strength. If Finnegan moves back into a starting role, he needs to work on regaining the feel for his changeup. As a reliever, he's largely junked the pitch but it was above-average at times when he was pitching as a starter in college. This year Finnegan has largely focused on using his 92-95 mph fastball and his slider which flashes above-average." – J.J. Cooper, Baseball America
"…Finnegan's changeup is obviously going to be the separator there, as far as any hope of starting goes. It's a genuinely strong pitch, able to generate whiffs and ground balls against right-handers in its limited exposure to date. He has an excellent sinker/slider combination, although neither have yet passed the MLB test in more than a single trip through the order. If he can wield that change as a weapon against righties in larger samples, he's a starter, and probably a good one." – Baseball Prospectus
About Lamb:
"…He now sits 88-93 mph, but he'll touch 95 occasionally. More importantly he's added a cutter that has quickly become a pitch that compensates for his still fringy curveball. His changeup isn't as good as it was pre-injury but it's an average offering as well." – J.J. Cooper, Baseball America
"…Though Lamb still can hit 96 mph on occasion, he has lost a couple of ticks off his fastball and usually works from 89-93. His changeup isn't the weapon it once was, so he has come up with a low-80s cutter to keep right-handers at bay. He also has a soft curveball that wasn't much of a factor before he got hurt.After battling his control and command in his first two Triple-A stints, Lamb has thrown more strikes and was doing a better job of keeping the ball down in the zone in 2015. He won't be the frontline starter he once projected to be, but he could help the Reds in the near future." – Jonathan Mayo, MLB.com
"…He works with a 90-92 mph fastball, and he still possesses a plus change that has excellent deception from arm speed with some downward movement to it as well. The curve will never be much more than a 45 offering—and he'll likely need to add some velocity to it. The key is the development of his cutter, which many scouts attribute his 2015 step forward to. If it can continue to be another weapon for him, he stands a good chance to be a competent back-end starter." – Baseball Prospectus
About Reed:
"…With a better finish to his delivery, he developed the ability to locate more consistently down in the zone, allowing his 92-95 mph fastball (which touches 97 mph at its best) to play better down in the zone. It has late life when he elevates it as well. Reed flashes an above-average slider that he can now throw for strikes as well as using as a chase pitch. And his once fringy changeup has improved to become an average offering." – J.J. Cooper, Baseball America
"…Reed works with a 90-94 mph fastball that peaks at 96 and has some sinking and cutting action. He has greatly improved his changeup this season, and at times it's his second-best offering. Reed always had the athleticism to repeat his delivery but struggled to do so before 2015. Now he's more aggressive and filling the strike zone with ease, showing the potential to become a mid-rotation starter with three solid-or-better pitches." – Jonathan Mayo, MLB.com
"…The improved control gives him a chance to start, but of the three arms acquired, this is the one who is the most likely to end up in the bullpen." – Baseball Prospectus
In Cueto, Kansas City is getting a dynamic starter who has managed to go 60-31 with a 2.51 ERA (3.33 FIP), 1.05 WHIP, and 7.7 K:9 since the start of the 2011 season, covering 808 innings over 121 starts (6.7 IP/start). He'll likely take Yordano Ventura's rotation spot, as he was just shipped to Triple-A prior to the injury to Jason Vargas, and he'll be exactly what the team needs, an ace, while the Royals' defense will only make him look better than he did in Cincinnati.
Being left-handed and breathing is an excellent way to score an opportunity in baseball. The fact that the Reds were able to get three left-handed pitchers who can touch the mid-90's with their fastballs for three months of Cueto is a coup. This deal was very even, and even though Cincinnati will need to wait and see what happens with these young arms, the Reds did just as well to get the pieces that they needed as what the Royals did in getting the ace that they needed.
Cincinnati fans need to understand that this is just the beginning of several changes. If Jay Bruce, Aroldis Chapman, Brandon Phillips, and Marlon Byrd are still with the team on August 1st, Walt Jocketty is doing it wrong. This team hasn't won a World Series since 1990, and those players aren't going to bring another to Cincinnati. Scrap it and start over. While it is painful to go through a process, just remember that things could be worse, even if we may not be able to say it much longer – Thanks, Cubs!
What Kind of Prospects Can Cueto Bring Cincinnati?
Johnny Cueto will not be a Cincinnati Reds' pitcher come August 1st. The question is no longer if but when the right-handed ace gets traded by Cincinnati, and, just what is he going to be worth?
Cueto, a free agent after the season, will be owed less than $5 million over the rest of the season. He will not net the team that receives him a draft pick if he leaves in free agency, so does that mean the Reds won't receive a generous package for him?
For comparisons sake, there have been a few free agency bound starters who were traded over the last several years:
Jon Lester was dealt by the Boston Red Sox to the Oakland Athletics, along with Jonny Gomes, last season for Yoenis Cespedes and a competitive balance (Round B) pick. Cespedes, an All-Star last season, was under team-control for 2015 ($10.5 million), but he was dealt to Detroit over the winter for RHP Rick Porcello, who was under control for 2015 before signing a four-year extension. Lester, 30 at the time of the trade, was a year older than Cueto, yet, he had six seasons with 190 or more innings pitched in his career, while Cueto only has two. Lester would leave Oakland for a six-year, $155 million deal with the Chicago Cubs after the 2014 season.
Zack Greinke was traded from the Milwaukee Brewers to the Los Angeles Angels in 2012 for Jean Segura, Johnny Hellweg, and Ariel Pena. Segura headlined the deal, ranking No.55 overall (by both MLB.com and Baseball America) prior to the 2012 season. He earned an All-Star appearance in 2013 and was a fixture at shortstop for the Brewers by August after the deal. Greinke was 29 at the time of the deal, the same age as Cueto, and had reached 200 innings in three seasons during his career at the time of the deal. Greinke signed a six-year, $147 million deal with the crosstown Los Angeles Dodgers after the 2012 season.
CC Sabathia was traded from the Cleveland Indians to the Milwaukee Brewers in 2008 for Matt LaPorta, Zach Jackson, Rob Bryson, and a player to be named, who became Michael Brantley. LaPorta was the supposed prize of the package, as he ranked the No.23 prospect in baseball by Baseball America prior to the 2008 season. Sabathia would go on to sign his eight-year, $182 million deal with the New York Yankees after having shown himself as a dynamic workhorse with seven seasons with at least 180 innings pitched and a Cy Young award by the age of 27, when he was traded. The Indians have benefited most from Brantley, who was an All-Star for the first time in 2014, but LaPorta hasn't been in the majors since 2012 and is now out of organized baseball after compiling a .238/.301/.393 line over 1,068 career plate appearances in MLB.
It is anyone's guess as to what Cueto is actually worth; however, these deals provide a sort of blueprint for what the Reds could be seeking. Below are the names of some teams who are rumored to be interested in trading for the Reds' ace, and some prospects who may interest Cincinnati.
Kansas City Royals
Raul Mondesi – ranked 27th by Baseball Prospectus, he has moved quickly through the minors and has more glove and speed than offensive production to this point; however, he has projectability in his ability to hit the ball. He would be a tremendous get for the Reds, though, they may have him spend some time in the minors to let his game even out a bit.
Miguel Almonte – Almonte doesn't have eye-popping numbers like some prospects have in the minors, but he would be a solid addition to the Reds rotation by mid-2016. He has three solid offerings, including a change that he can use as a punch-out pitch. He was ranked as the No.56 prospect in baseball by Baseball Prospectus prior to the 2015 season.
Scott Blewett – A 6'6″, 19-year-old right-hander, Blewett possesses electric stuff. He is only in the short season South Atlantic League, so he is a project, but he has the kind of fastball that would make him a nice additional piece in a possible deal including either of the two players above.
Jorge Bonifacio – This 22-year-old outfielder hasn't lived up to his potential to this point, but he has a dynamic arm for right field and plenty of power potential. He was rated as the No.90 prospect in baseball prior to the 2014 season, but saw his stock fall a bit due to some struggles in Double-A. Now repeating the level, Bonifacio has 18 doubles and 15 homers. Again, he isn't a centerpiece in a Cueto deal, but he would be a solid piece.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chris Anderson – The big (6'3″, 235 pounds) right-hander has the makings of an innings-eating, mid-rotation starter. He was a first round pick in 2013 out of Jacksonville University, and he would be someone who could help the Reds by the middle of the 2016 season, having already made 17 starts at Double-A. He has three potential above average pitches in his fastball, slider, and change.
Jose De Leon – The 22-year-old right-hander has catapulted himself into prospect watcher's eyes by striking out 251 batters in just 171 innings since the start of the 2015 season. Ranked as the No.7 prospect in the Dodger system by Baseball Prospectus prior to the season, he will give Julio Urias a run for the money in a race to Los Angeles, and may have performed his way out of becoming a piece in a trade.
Toronto Blue Jays
Daniel Norris – The 22-year-old left-hander jumped four level, all the way to Toronto, by dominating at every stop last season. His reward was five starts to begin April with the Blue Jays before being sent down to work on his craft. He hasn't dominated in Triple-A this season, but he has the stuff to be an asset in Cincinnati. He would be a tremendous addition, though his No.17 prospect ranking by MLB.com prior to the season could make him a long-shot.
Jairo Labourt – The 21-year-old lefty looked solid in the Futures Game. He has a fastball that can reach the mid-90's and can miss bats (9.8 K:9 last season), but he needs to work on his command (5.2 BB:9 this season). He would make for an interesting project.
Anthony Alford – After giving up football, Alford has taken off this season. In 20 games since being promoted to High-A Dunedin, he has a .349/.406/.523 triple-slash with 10 extra-base hits and six stolen bases. As a center fielder with tremendous athleticism, he could take over the gig if Billy Hamilton continues to lack the on-base skills necessary to utilize his speed in the near future.
Trade Deadline Doom and Boom
As we celebrate Independence Day in the United States, we feel that pounding in our chests from the explosions high above, while many of us listen or watch our favorite baseball teams and eat apple pie. It is the epitome of America in a single day, but many of us are reminded that our teams just aren't doing enough to win. Some of our favorite teams will be seeking help to improve their chances of winning, while others will begin dumping talent to build a winner next year. With less than four weeks remaining until the non-waiver trade deadline, where does your team stand? Does the additional Wild Card opportunity continue to lead to many clubs standing pat? Who needs what and who could be on the market?
The standings tell an interesting story. In the American League, there isn't a single team more than six games out of the Wild Card hunt. The Oakland Athletics feature a 38-46 record after some huge deals this winter haven't truly materialized as Billy Beane hoped; however, the A's are 13-7 over their last 20 games, so they may not be as willing to deal a Ben Zobrist or Scott Kazmir (both free agents after the 2015 season) to continue the club's unending rebuild and collection of controllable talent. With other woulda-coulda-shoulda-been contenders just ahead of Oakland in Seattle, Boston, and Chicago, the American League could see plenty of clubs reloading rather than rebuilding when the deadline approaches.
In the senior circuit, the National League has its share of contending teams, but they also have four clubs sitting 11 or more games under .500 (Miami, Colorado, Milwaukee, and Philadelphia). Another team that is on the border of Wild Card contention could be Cincinnati, who sits six games out in the Wild Card; however, with the St. Louis Cardinals leading the Reds by 15 games, the team may need to begin looking into dealing Johnny Cueto, Mike Leake, Aroldis Chapman, and/or Jay Bruce to get back on the same page as their NL Central foes. Even if the Reds aren't sellers, names like Cole Hamels, Aaron Harang, Carlos Gomez, Jean Segura, Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, Dan Haren, and Mat Latos will likely head elsewhere from the four bottom-feeding clubs.
So, where could these names end up? Who are the contenders likely to make deals or stand pat?
St. Louis Cardinals
It isn't an even year, so the Giants won't be taking the World Series championship. That leaves the Cardinals, who have the best record in baseball, locked-in and ready to seek another title, utilizing the "Cardinal Way", aka computer hacking, to make it happen. Though they continue to win games, St. Louis is without Matt Adams and Adam Wainwright for the entire season. With Jaime Garcia continuing to struggle to stay healthy, St. Louis could be in the market for another bat or arm. Stephen Piscotty could get a look if Mark Reynolds isn't the option at first, but the Cards would be wise to shore-up the rotation a bit – just in case another injury strikes. They're again loaded and talented, and they could take advantage of their strong farm to improve their chances once again.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays are just three games out in the AL East and 1.5 games out in the Wild Card. With their lineup featuring so many capable sluggers, they just need some pitching to get over the hump. Toronto continues to develop strong pitching prospects, so they could offer some of that talent to acquire an arm for a big push down the stretch. The Blue Jays' 4.59 starter ERA ranks 26th in MLB, and you have to wonder if Hamels, Kazmir, or Cueto could help the pitching staff enough to allow Jose Bautista, Josh Donaldson, and Edwin Encarnacion to do their thing with the bats.
New York Mets
The Mets' pitching staff is too good for the club to run out a lineup of Triple-A and MLB bench quality players on a nightly basis. While the club isn't going to deal their entire farm system and start from scratch, the Mets would be wise to deal some of their young pitching depth to acquire some semblance of an offensive weapon. The Troy Tulowitzki rumors were a big thing earlier this season, but that wouldn't be enough to help this lineup on its own, especially when he'd be replacing one of the Mets major producers, Wilmer Flores (11 2B, 10 HR, leads team with 34 RBI), at short.
Standing Pat
Chicago White Sox
Chicago would probably burn again if the White Sox trade Chris Sale. At just five games out in the Wild Card, the team isn't going to fold after spending big on Melky Cabrera, Adam LaRoche, and David Robertson in free agency this past winter, and they still have Avisail Garcia and Jose Abreu to produce in the lineup, along with a deep, strong rotation with Jeff Samardzija, Carlos Rodon, Jose Quintana, and John Danks joining Sale in the group. If the White Sox do anything, they could afford to get a second baseman, as the team has received a .193/.239/.232 from the keystone position this season, easily the worst in baseball.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays are somehow managing to compete in the AL East this season, even after dealing with many injuries to their rotation to start the season. When Alex Cobb, Matt Moore, Drew Smyly, and Jake Odorizzi are on the shelf at the same time, you, likely, wouldn't expect the Rays to still be just three games out in the division and 1.5 games out of the Wild Card. While Tampa Bay could make a few upgrades, they aren't really in a position to deal from their minor league system due to continued financial limitations, while they are likely to get production from a healthy Moore, Smyly, and Odorizzi in the second half, who will join Cy Young consideration worthy Chris Archer to squander the opposition and win plenty of games.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks already made some noise by dealing (giving away) a player whom they drafted last year, and signed for $2.7 million, Touki Toussaint, along with Bronson Arroyo's remaining contract, for 26-year-old utilityman Philip Gosselin. Even without Kevin Towers running things, no one knows what Arizona is thinking. Dave Stewart is now running things for Tony LaRussa out west, so Lord only knows what is going to happen here. However, this club has a superstar in Paul Goldschmidt, an underrated star in A.J. Pollock, and some very nice young pitching in Rubby De La Rosa, Chase Anderson, Robbie Ray, and Archie Bradley. They would be wise to see what this group would do and to not GIVE AWAY good young talent like the club has been doing for the last several years (see Trevor Bauer, Justin Upton, and Tyler Skaggs).
Philadelphia Philles
Whatever the club can manage to pry away to get rid of Ryan Howard and/or Chase Utley would be wise. This team is 27-55 entering play Saturday, well on their way to the first overall pick in the 2016 MLB Draft. It has to be a miracle that Ruben Amaro, Jr. is still employed. He may be a great guy, but he has ruined this franchise for years to come. If the club can deal Hamels and get great prospects WHILE dumping Hamels salary and allowing the team to start fresh next winter, it would be wise to do so. Dealing Jonathan Papelbon to a contender would also be a great move, as a highly-paid closer on a team that doesn't win games is an absolute waste of time and money.
Cincinnati Reds
I mentioned before that the Reds could stand pat, but they need to deal Cueto and get value out of him, as I wrote recently. Jay Bruce's production could make him hard to deal, but the club has Marlon Byrd under contract next year (vesting or team option at $8 million) with Jesse Winker showing he isn't over-matched in Double-A to fill in the spaces around Billy Hamilton. Perhaps there is a match with the White Sox with Brandon Phillips, though his contract is as steep as his age. The Reds are more likely to play on the moon than get a team to take on Joey Votto's contract, so they'll need some cheap, controllable pieces to collect and pray for production from. With a payroll that continues to be labeled "small-market", the Reds are in serious danger of being awful in the next couple of seasons without acquiring near-ready talent.
The Cueto Quandary
After Wednesday afternoon's eight-inning gem against the Minnesota Twins, Cincinnati Reds' right-hander Johnny Cueto is the proud owner of a dazzling 2.54 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 15 starts and 104.2 innings. Since the start of the 2014 season, he has a 2.43 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over 348.1 innings, winning 25 games and making the Reds and their fans wonder if they invested in the wrong arm when the club signed Homer Bailey to a six-year, $105 million deal in February 2014, especially with Bailey on the shelf after Tommy John surgery.
Now, the question becomes – where does he end up?
For fans who want him to stick around, it remains very unlikely for the club to re-sign their ace. After watching Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw cash-in, Cueto will be the second best option in free agency (3rd if Zack Greinke opts-out) to Tigers' left-hander David Price this winter. He should easily eclipse $25 million annually, as teams like the Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees, and Los Angeles Dodgers and Angels will be looking to fill holes and become more unreasonably deep (on paper) than their counterparts. If (or when) Cueto leaves through free agency, the Reds would receive a compensatory draft pick, which is no sure thing to develop into a star.
Therefore, trading Cueto for prospects continues to be the club's best option. The club would receive quality, close-to-ready prospects in return. While those players are no sure thing to develop, either, it would provide the club with talent that could be plugged in immediately, or sooner than later, to begin the organization's rebuilding process. While it seems painful to trade away a talent and watch him lead another team to success, it is even harder to see him walk out the door and leave fans and the club with nothing but a view of his backside. Imagine being a Cleveland Cavalier fan when LeBron James left for Miami and knowing that he wasn't coming back – as it isn't likely that Cueto would ever opt-out and sign for less to return to Cincinnati. The agony!
The Cueto Quandary has hurt Reds fans deeply because he is a homegrown talent. Signed in 2004 as an international free agent from the Dominican Republic, Cueto only spent 358.1 innings in the minors before making his debut, at the age of 22, in 2008. He gradually became more successful before injuries derailed his ability to rank right alongside the best pitchers in baseball. In 2011, he made the jump to ace-caliber production, only to have his season start and end with shoulder issues. He was healthy in 2012; however, he developed the same injury that he had to finish the 2011 season in 2013, which limited him to just 11 starts. Finally pitching a full season again in 2014, Cueto reached career-best numbers in innings (243.2), strikeouts (242), and hits per nine (6.2, which led MLB), while receiving his first All-Star game appearance and finishing 2nd in NL Cy Young voting. Since the start of the 2011 season, this is what Cueto has done:
58-30 (117 starts), 2.53 ERA (3.36 FIP, 153 ERA+), 1.05 WHIP, 782 IP, 667:199 K:BB, 7.1 H:9
Losing this kind of homegrown talent only reminds Cincinnati of how hard it has been for the club to develop their own arms. Outside of Mario Soto, the Reds haven't found much success when it comes to signing international free agents and developing them – unless you count Aroldis Chapman here. You have to go back nearly 50 years to get to Gary Nolan (drafted in the 1st round in 1966) and Jim Maloney (amateur free agent signee in 1959), to find pitchers who were signed and developed by the Reds and found as much success as Cueto has in his eight seasons with the Reds.
Perhaps that pain is why it is so hard for Bob Castellini and Walt Jocketty to pull the trigger on a deal. After the club shipped off right-handers Alfredo Simon and Mat Latos this winter, it shouldn't have been long before Cueto was dealt, as well. With the Reds toiling in mediocrity, 36-41 (six games out in both the NL Central and Wild Card), is now the right time? For a team whose longest winning streak (four games) occurred in the first four games of the season, there may not be a better time. Cueto is pitching well, he is healthy, and he continues to pitch himself out of the Cincinnati budget.
There may be another Cueto down the line in Cincinnati, but the Reds went from June 16, 1988 until April 3, 2008, all of 7,231 days, before Soto become Cueto, so expect another lengthy wait for the next real ace in Cincinnati. For a team that seems to be unable to develop their own pitching talent, the Cueto Quandary is a difficult dose of reality. Say your goodbyes and hope for a great return. "Johnny Beisbol" will be pitching for another team at some point this month.
2015 Season Previews: Cincinnati Reds
Over the next several weeks, The Baseball Haven will be creating season previews for all 30 MLB teams. You'll find their projected records (based on PECOTA records from Baseball Prospectus, as of 2/15/2015), each team's top three players (based on Steamer WAR projections from FanGraphs), and some valuable notes on each team, including likely bounce-back candidates, potential breakout players or fantasy sleepers, as well as a look back at offseason transactions which led to each team's projections. Stop back frequently to see where your favorite team ranks!
Cincinnati Reds
2015 Projected Record: 79-83 (5th in NL Central, 21st in MLB)
Manager: Bryan Price (76-86 in one season with Cincinnati)
Top Three Players: 1B Joey Votto (4.1), C Devin Mesoraco (2.9), RHP Johnny Cueto (2.7)
Bounce-back Player: 1B Joey Votto
Votto hasn't been the same player since his 2010 NL MVP, or so it seems. As a native of Cincinnati, all that I hear on talk radio is how Votto isn't worth the money and he doesn't swing enough. It is an argument that continues to play out, as Votto continues to walk and get on base, but he also continues to see his home run totals dip. For all of those who thought that last season was so awful, due to his .255 average, they forget that he got on-base at a .390 clip. As long as Votto is patient, fans and fantasy players should be, too. He is the most intelligent hitter to play in MLB since Tony Gwynn, and it is a matter of time before he stays on the field and finds his MVP-caliber stroke again. Those who take a chance on him will, likely, be rewarded. He isn't going to miss 100 games again. He's in shape, the Reds were cautious last season because they weren't competitive, and he instantly reclaims the title as the Reds best player when he suits up on Opening Day.
Fantasy Player to Watch: RHP Raisel Iglesias
Iglesias is a 24-year-old right-hander from Cuba whom the Reds signed to a seven-year, $27 million deal last June. Despite being just 5'11", the Reds seem likely to try the youngster as a starting pitcher, though his long-term role may be in the bullpen. Iglesias was a reliever in Cuba and had some pretty miserable statistics based on his control, but he has very good stuff, a four-pitch mix with a sweeping breaking ball that could be a strikeout pitch if he is able to gain some command. The Reds have a couple of things going for them in how they develop Iglesias – they've had success with short starters (see Johnny Cueto) and they've groomed relief pitchers into successful starters in recent years (see Tony Cingrani and Michael Lorenzen). Iglesias is more likely to open the season in the bullpen than the rotation, but he is certainly someone to watch based on his stuff and the Reds need for a strong set-up man after watching so many crash and burn in the role in 2014.
Offseason Overview: Cincinnati had a busy, yet, somewhat confusing offseason. They needed to trim some payroll after a miserable season that saw attendance drop, so they needed to move some talent to accommodate that need. They dealt RHP Mat Latos and RHP Alfredo Simon, acquiring affordable, young pitching in RHP Anthony DeSclafani and RHP Brandon Crawford, while adding solid depth in the infield by acquiring INF Eugenio Suarez. However, despite the sudden youth movement, the Reds then traded prospect RHP Ben Lively for OF Marlon Byrd. They finished off the winter by signing RHP Burke Badenhop, who had a fantastic season in Boston in 2014, to shore up the spotty bullpen. So…they got a little younger and cheaper, then got a little older by getting Byrd, who is under contract through 2016 and will turn 38 in August. They kept their core together and must assume that they will get more out of Bruce, 2B Brandon Phillips, and Votto in 2015, but they didn't truly address their rotation, which became quite slim after dealing away 40 percent of the 2014 rotation, only signing LHP Paul Maholm to address the losses.
Frazier, Phillips, Votto & Bailey discuss their goals in 2015: http://t.co/CeOtAbGzh6 pic.twitter.com/sOxreVzq5k
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) March 11, 2015
The Verdict: Walt Jocketty continues to make deals as the GM in Cincinnati, but he isn't making the additions necessary to get the team over the hump. After the 2013 season, Dusty Baker was fired, Shin-Soo Choo left via free agency, and the Reds gave Billy Hamilton the center field job – that about sums up their offseason last year. Sure, Jocketty moved payroll and acquired depth, but DeSclafani isn't going to replace the ability of Latos, and both he and Crawford are better suited for relief roles. Ownership and management is hoping for more of the same out of Todd Frazier and Devin Mesoraco, with improved offensive output from Bruce, Votto, Phillips, and Hamilton. If everything clicks offensively, they may be able to score enough to beat the opposition, but they can only count on Cueto, Mike Leake, and Homer Bailey on three of every five days. Someone will need to come out of nowhere to give the club 60 good starts in the No.4 and No.5 spots in the rotation, and that talent isn't on hand. It will be a long season in Cincinnati, and their projection by PECOTA, specifically last place in the NL Central, seems perfect.
- 2015 Season Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks (3/1/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Atlanta Braves (2/28/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Baltimore Orioles (3/4/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Chicago Cubs (4/1/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Chicago White Sox (3/4/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Cincinnati Reds (3/11/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Colorado Rockies (2/24/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Houston Astros (3/1/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Kansas City Royals (2/25/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Milwaukee Brewers (3/11/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Minnesota Twins (2/21/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: New York Mets (4/1/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Philadelphia Phillies (2/20/2015)
- 2015 Season Previews: Pittsburgh Pirates (3/22/2015)
- Season Previews: Miami Marlins (3/25/2015)
Where the Reds Stand
I like to say that I love baseball and that I don't have a favorite team, but the fact of the matter is that I was born and raised in Cincinnati and I can't help but hope for the best for my hometown Reds. It's hard to say that I'm disappointed in a team that won more than 90 games in three of the last five seasons, but a season without a championship isn't an absolute success, and the Reds haven't won the World Series since 1990. They, along with 28 other teams, get to look up at the San Francisco Giants until next Fall, but are the Reds in a position to contend in 2015?
The club finished with 76 wins in 2014, finishing 14 games out of the NL Central and in 4th place in the division. While the Cardinals reloaded by acquiring OF Jason Heyward from Atlanta, the Pirates continue to get better with experience and tremendous, young talent, and the Cubs finally opened their wallets and brought in LHP Jon Lester to anchor an incredibly gifted, young roster, the Reds were making changes in their own way. The Reds haven't been as desolate as they were last offseason, when they basically added Skip Schumaker to the mix after losing Shin-Soo Choo to the Rangers. There was some wheeling and dealing being done by GM Walt Jocketty, but the direction of those deals was a bit odd.
The addition of OF Marlon Byrd, who has 49 home runs and an .800 OPS over the last two seasons, is an improvement over what OF Ryan Ludwick had done over the same time period (11 home runs and a .666 OPS); however, he's 37 years old and his strikeout rate jumped to a career-high 29 percent while he posted an inflated .341 BABIP. The Byrd acquisition came after the club dealt Alfredo Simon to Detroit for RHP Jonathan Crawford and INF Eugenio Suarez, and RHP Mat Latos to the Marlins for C Chad Wallach and RHP Anthony DeSclafani. Both Simon and Latos were due to become free agents after the 2015 season, so the deals made sense for the Reds if they were heading into a rebuilding mode, but the deal for Byrd didn't make much sense for a rebuilding team, as they traded a solid, young arm in Ben Lively to the Phillies to acquire Byrd.
Personally, the deal with the Tigers appears to be a steal. Simon never pitched the way that he had in a starting role prior to the 2014 season, and his FIP (4.33) says much more about his performance than his 3.44 ERA and 15 wins show. The fact that the Reds received the Tigers 1st round pick from the 2013 MLB Draft, Crawford, was pretty impressive, but Suarez, who rose quickly through the Tigers system and looks like a solid middle infielder to build around, in addition to Crawford was a coup.
The deal with the Marlins was a little less impressive, in my opinion. Wallach looks like a catching-version of Kevin Youkilis, posting solid K:BB rates in the minors, but DeSclafani was solid throughout his minor league career (3.23 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 354.1 IP), but wasn't able to miss as many bats upon his promotion to the Marlins, when he had a 6.27 ERA (3.77 FIP) and allowed 10.9 H/9 IP. DeSclafani looks like a decent back-end starter, but you'd think Jocketty could have received more for Latos than that, given the insane money that will be thrown at pitchers on the free agent market.
Still, after the deals, the Reds are out in baseball purgatory. While they acquired a couple of arms in their trades, they still only have three starters worth trusting in the rotation: Johnny Cueto, Homer Bailey, and Mike Leake. Tony Cingrani is an option, but outside of the questions about his secondary stuff, you have to wonder if his shoulder will continue being an issue after it cost him some time in 2014. Outside of those four, the Reds have more question marks in the rotation, as David Holmberg, Dylan Axelrod, Daniel Corcino, and Cuban import Raisel Iglesias bring unknown skills and suspect resumes to a potentially lengthy Spring Training competition for the No.5 spot in the group.
In addition to the questions in the rotation, the Reds have to address their depth. Suarez is a very nice option to fill-in at second base and shortstop, likely a much better option than Ramon Santiago was when he was asked to take over for Brandon Phillips' lengthy DL stint in 2014. Brayan Pena was impressive when pushed into an unfamiliar role, filling in at first base when Joey Votto was out for so long with his knee injury, but he wasn't productive enough to offset the loss of the team's franchise player.
Speaking of the franchise player…who is it? Can Cincinnati count of Joey Votto? Is Jay Bruce ever going to find consistency? Is Johnny Cueto going to re-sign, and, can the Reds afford to sign him OR afford to let him leave? Is Devin Mesoraco the future of the franchise? Can Billy Hamilton hit enough to become a difference-maker to the franchise?
The Reds still have a lot of talent, but they have a lot of questions to answer, as well. Jocketty did a nice job in acquiring more arms and additional depth in his flurry of deals, but if 2015 is the last year that the team will have Cueto and a couple of other solid arms to pitch the club to a division title, did he do enough to win now? Are they trying to win now?
The offseason isn't quite over and there are still some starting pitchers who could be solid additions to the roster (RHP Chris Young, RHP Kyle Kendrick, LHP Paul Maholm, RHP Roberto Hernandez, LHP Franklin Morales), but they certainly aren't going to be in on RHPs Max Scherzer or James Shields.
If things break right, the Reds should be competitive enough to make a run in the NL Central, but there will be a lot of luck involved in those breaks. While Cincinnati was spoiled in the 1970's, it just hasn't been the same for those of us who were born after 1980. One title in a lifetime doesn't seem like a lot, but at least it hasn't been since 1908.
Will Trading Johnny Be Bad?
The Reds aren't good, finishing with a losing record while facing a fall from contention in 2014, nursing a prolonged absence from their superstar, Joey Votto. So, with this season lost and little room on the payroll, what will the team do to improve? Likely…nothing. Ownership clearly didn't have any intentions of improving the roster, at least not at the cost of…a cost. Last winter left a lot to be desired, as the loss of Shin-Soo Choo led to the promotion of Billy Hamilton, yet, there was little to nothing done to off-set the loss of offensive production between those two players, as the Reds can only take solace in the fact that Choo wasn't nearly as productive in 2014 with the Texas Rangers as he was in 2013 with Cincinnati. The addition of Skip Schumaker wasn't enough, and the loss of Choo on top of two trade deadline (2013 and 2014) with no movement whatsoever leaves the Reds in a situation that isn't favorable for the club's future.
Now, with Homer Bailey paid handsomely with his extension, the Reds are unlikely to see a large enough increase in payroll to allow the team to add an offensive weapon, and with Jay Bruce's horrific season and the questions surrounding Votto's health hovering over the future of the franchise, it appears time to sell off the pieces that the club can move and hope for the best with some young talent.
Enter Johnny Cueto.
Heading into Friday night, Cueto has made 100 starts since the start of the 2011 season. They have been very good:
While Cueto doesn't have the innings over the last four seasons that Mike Leake or Homer Bailey have, he has shown the consistency that neither have presented, and, while Mat Latos has top-of-the-rotation stuff, his injury history and ability to handle his emotions have played a role in his inability to become an elite pitcher in MLB. Cueto, however, continues to improve, and with another season with 200 innings (his second, 2012 being his other), the 28-year-old right-hander has done enough to emphasize his value to the rest of the league.
The Cincinnati Reds have a team option on Cueto for 2015, as they can pay him $10 million to keep him or $800,000 to buy him out. That option is an easy decision, but Cueto is the lone player on the Reds who has positive value in trades, as Votto and Bruce certainly aren't worth dealing considering the loss of market value and the remaining money on their contracts.
Cueto is a bargain. While $10 million seems like a lot of money, consider that Tim Lincecum will earn $18 million in 2015, Ubaldo Jimenez will earn $12.25 million in 2015, and Edwin Jackson will earn $11 million in 2015. Even a single year of control would have tremendous value for the Cincinnati Reds in a potential trade, and with so many question marks for the club offensively (as they rank 28th in MLB in runs scored), dealing from their strength, starting pitching, is necessary, and getting the most value out of their strength would force a trade of the club's ace, Cueto.
So, who would be interested?
Boston Red Sox: Piecing together a rotation, especially if they are unable to make a deal with Jon Lester in free agency. They also have plenty of outfield depth after signing Rusney Castillo and trading for Yoenis Cespedes. Mookie Betts or Jackie Bradley would be excellent pieces to start a deal, and acquiring a young arm, like Henry Owens or Anthony Ranaudo, or infield prospect from their loaded farm system could be very lucrative and beneficial to the future of the organization.
Chicago Cubs: The Cubs are loaded with offensive talent, but they don't have much pitching depth in their system, especially in the upper minors and the majors. Cueto would be an excellent piece to anchor the rotation, but it is fair to question if the Reds would trade Cueto in-division, as well as whether the Cubs can trust all of their existing young pieces enough to be competitive by adding Cueto.
Baltimore Orioles: The O's may be looking to get Cueto for one final push before the makeup of their current, AL East winning club begins to fall apart. After the 2015 season, both Chris Davis and Matt Wieters will be free agents, and it is fair to wonder if either would be non-tendered after the 2014 season, joining Nick Markakis in the land of confusion, as their right fielder is owed $17.5 million or a $2 million buyout (which appears to make his days in Baltimore numbered). If the Reds want pitching depth, the Orioles have it, but they could have some interest in Jonathan Schoop as a starting piece, as well.
It would be unfortunate to see Cueto leave Cincinnati. He has been fantastic during his career when he is healthy, which has been the leading factor in his ability to fly under the national radar. Cueto would certainly be missed in the Reds' rotation, but the club is in desperate need of offense, and after signing Bailey, they won't be able to extend their ace. Did they extend the wrong pitcher? In my opinion…absolutely. I'd much rather pay Cueto $20 to $22 million per season than to pay Bailey the $10 million that he will earn in 2015, let alone the $18 to $25 million he earns annually between 2016 and 2020. Cueto has proven to be capable of greatness, and his time in Cincinnati needs to come to an end so that the team can return to greatness at some point in the near future.
How the Cincinnati Reds Ruined Their Window
Over the last nine games of the season, the Cincinnati Reds were 2-7, including their National League Wild Card loss in Pittsburgh, which would be their fifth loss against the Pirates in the nine game span. Needless to say, after a disappointing collapse in the 2012 National League Division Series against the San Francisco Giants, the collapse at the end of the 2013 season wasn't pleasing to the fans, or the front office. Dusty Baker was canned shortly thereafter, replaced by pitching coach Bryan Price, who, in his first year as manager, has been dealt with the task of rebuilding a roster with a lot of question marks into a perennial power, all the while continuing to look up at the St. Louis Cardinals, who have built a system of winning from within.
Now, the Reds must replace their lead-off hitter, Shin-Soo Choo, who only managed a .423 on-base percentage and 107 runs scored while reaching base 305 times by hit, walk, or hit-by-pitch, after watching Choo run to the Texas Rangers in free agency for seven-years, $130 million.
Certainly, it wasn't within the budget to re-up with Choo at $18.7 million per year, not with Joey Votto, Jay Bruce, and Brandon Phillips combining to make $33 million in 2014, $38 million in 2015, and $45.5 million in 2016, that is, of course, if one of them isn't traded. The Reds have long had a payroll between $80 and $100 million under current owner Bob Castellini, but is it time to start questioning what the long-term goal of the franchise is, after sputtering around the free agent market while trying to replace their best lead-off hitter since Joe Morgan and Pete Rose were flapping and flopping around Riverfront Stadium. Whether television contracts and Major League Baseball Advanced Media revenue will allow the "small-market" Reds to increase their payroll further is a valid question, but with Matt Latos, Johnny Cueto, and Mike Leake under team-control through 2015, and Homer Bailey headed towards free agency after the 2014 season, how else can the team remain contenders, especially with St. Louis constantly reloading and the Chicago Cubs reaching their contention window, just as the Reds is becoming questionable?
This offseason was difficult, clearly. The Reds couldn't be in on Choo, Jacoby Ellsbury, or any other big-name free agent, but with very little money to spend, GM Walt Jocketty could have been more active in the trade market, or at least the minor league free agent route. Dick Williams, the VP of Baseball Operations, told me during the Reds' caravan that the club lost out on Grady Sizemore due to his relationship with one of Boston's trainers, who had been with Cleveland during his time there. While Sizemore wasn't a lock to produce, or stay healthy, he fit the bill as a low-cost centerfield option. He wasn't a leadoff hitter, though, at least he hadn't shown those skills since his last somewhat healthy season, 2009. Which left the club with little choice but to give their in-house candidate, Billy Hamilton, the job.
The issue with Hamilton, though, is that, though he has otherworldly speed, is he capable of thriving long-term in center, a position that he has been playing since the start of the 2012 season. His experience in Triple-A left a lot to be desired, as he posted a .256/.308/.343 triple-slash, stealing 75 bases and scoring 75 runs in 123 games for Louisville. We all know about his brief September audition, when Dusty Baker allowed him to receive all of 22 plate appearances, while Baker pinch-ran him often to allow the speedy Mississippian to accumulate 13 stolen bases in 14 tries.
In addition to plugging Hamilton into center, here is the laundry list of exciting moves that the Reds have made this winter:
October: Signed LHP Trevor Reckling and RHP Timothy Adleman to minor league contracts; signed OF Jason Bourgeois to a minor league contract and invited him to Spring Training;
November: Signed LHP Manny Parra, 2B Skip Schumaker, and C Brayan Pena to major league contracts; Signed OF Mike Wilson, LHP Nick Schmidt, and RHP Ross Ismail to minor league contracts; Signed C Max Ramirez, LHP Lee Hyde, and 3B Rey Navarro to minor league contracts and invited them to Spring Training;
December: Signed 3B Ruben Gotay and RHP Trevor Bell to minor league contracts; Invited non-roster RHP Jose Diaz and 2B Kristopher Negron to Spring Training; Signed RHP Chien-Ming Wang, C Corky Miller, and SS Argenis Diaz to minor league contracts and invited them to Spring Training; Acquired LHP David Holmberg from Arizona for Ryan Hanigan;
January: Sign RHP Bob Keppel, RHP Sean Black, OF Thomas Neal, LHP Jeff Francis, 2B John Tolisano, and 2B Hernan Iribarren to minor league contracts and invited them to Spring Training;
So, the club lost Shin-Soo Choo, Xavier Paul, and Derrick Robinson from last season's 90-72 squad, so why should fans feel like this offseason is a failure?
Well, Choo's production won't be replaced by Hamilton, speed or no speed. Even if Hamilton increases his on-base percentage to .340 over 600 plate appearances, he doesn't have the patient approach that Choo had, and, while he can move himself from base to base with his wheels, he just won't be on as often. If Choo's production is a clear downgrade, where are they upgrading?
Is Devin Mesoraco set for a breakout season, replacing the putrid production that Ryan Hanigan provided in 2013? Is Todd Frazier going to post an .829 OPS, as he did in 2012, or something similar to his .721 OPS from 2013? Is Zack Cozart even worth starting anymore, given his career .680 OPS over 1,256 plate appearances? Ryan Ludwick had a nice 2012 and his 2013 was ruined due to his Opening Day shoulder injury, but was he ever worth a two-year, $15 million extension, especially when you consider it was back-loaded with an option for 2015, making him guaranteed $13 million, including his 2015 buyout? Brandon Phillips, 103 RBI or not, saw his OPS fall to .705 in 2013. Joey Votto and Jay Bruce seem like locks for success, but Bruce continues to be one of the streakiest players in all of baseball, while Votto's patience seems to have overtaken his ability to actually produce at his 2010 MVP level ever again.
As far as the rotation, it remains pretty deep, but once you get past the top five, there are question marks. While that wouldn't be a huge deal for most clubs, you have to remember that Johnny Cueto only had one full season and he immediately got hurt in the first game of the 2012 playoffs. Bailey, Latos, and Leake are very good options, and Tony Cingrani was impressive, even with just one good pitch, but having Wang, Francis, and nothing else as fallback options is rough, which may lead to the club rushing top prospect Robert Stephenson if there was an injury in 2014, not to mention how the rotation is going to function if Bailey leaves via free agency or Cueto's 2015 option isn't picked up. Who will be starting games and why don't the Reds have options waiting like the Cardinals?
The bullpen is still built to dominate, as Aroldis Chapman is as shutdown as it gets. A full season of Sean Marshall, Jonathan Broxton, a former closer in his own right, serving as a setup man, and J.J. Hoover, Sam LeCure, Manny Parra, and Alfredo Simon rounding out the group helps the Reds bullpen look tremendous for another season…but a bullpen doesn't have a lot of value if they aren't protecting more leads than deficits.
The Reds haven't been active enough. The Reds haven't drafted enough high-ceiling talent. The Reds haven't had enough success on the international market.
The Reds are a lot like the Milwaukee Brewers, locking up talent for just a little while, and then watching that talent and the contention window fly way in the breeze. You see, the Brewers were a competitive team until Prince Fielder left. They traded a lot of good, young talent to acquire Zack Greinke and CC Sabathia to help them contend. They bought in to that window and went for it. It is hard for a small-market to commit a lot of money to talent like Greinke and Sabathia, only to watch them leave for big-markets once they hit free agency, but the revenue that comes with a playoff run or a World Series title would alleviate a lot of those dollars. The Brewers, then, went into quite a funk the last several seasons, and they have yet to recover, but the worst part is that their farm system is terrible. If Ryan Braun doesn't rebound, the club still has Carlos Gomez and Jean Segura, but the rest of the organization is quite barren.
The Reds are a lot like the Brewers because they haven't had many successful recent drafts. While a lot of the key names on the major league roster are homegrown, there isn't a whole lot of depth currently in the minor league system. The Reds did trade a couple of solid young players (Yasmani Grandal, Yonder Alonso, and Brad Boxberger) to acquire Mat Latos and Choo (Didi Gregorius and Drew Stubbs), but outside of Stephenson and Hamilton, much of the high-level talent was in Low-A or the Rookie levels last season, specifically Phillip Ervin, Jesse Winker, and Nick Travieso.
So, what will happen when 2015 rolls around without an Oscar Taveras waiting to take over left field for Ludwick? Who fills the rotation without a Gerrit Cole or Jameson Taillon ready to step in for A.J. Burnett? Who will push Todd Frazier at third base without a Kris Bryant or Javier Baez?
While the Reds and Brewers have weaker farm systems and question marks at several spots, the Cubs, Cardinals, and Pirates have done it right. They have managed to stay active and have taken risks with draft picks to make sure that they are getting the talent necessary to maintain solid depth within their organization. Sure, the Pirates and Cubs have had higher picks due to their lack of success over the years, but the Cardinals have a lot of talent and they haven't had a season below .500 since 2007, while making the playoffs in 11 of the last 18 seasons, including four World Series and two titles.
The conservative nature of the current regime in Cincinnati may not look awful as the Reds compete in 2014, but when Chicago, Pittsburgh, and St. Louis have their high-level minor league talent stepping in within the next two to three seasons, Reds fans will forget about the nightmares that Albert Pujols used to bring, and will instead be kept awake by Javier Baez, Kris Bryant, Albert Almora, Gregory Polanco, Oscar Taveras, and others who will make their names in the depths of the thriving systems in the rest of the National League Central. Meanwhile, the Brewers and Reds will continue to cry small-market when they have, instead, chosen to be smarter at the right times.
There are still names on the free agent market that can help the Reds contend, but none of them will make them as good as they were last season, in 2012, or in 2010, when Cincinnati has reached the playoffs. It doesn't make a whole lot of sense at this point to scrap what has been built. Instead, run out there with what you have and hope for the best, which, apparently, was Walt Jocketty and Bob Castellini's plan all offseason.
Pitchers Who Won't Come Up Short
Too small, too fat, too slow, too skinny. These are just a few of the labels that players are given to create an industry-wide opinion as to who will, won't, can, or can't achieve success in Major League Baseball. However, when you consider that Chicago Cubs' scout Duffy Dyer said that Greg Maddux wasn't "strong enough to be a starter" in his scouting report in 1985, it would become quite easy to question those so-called brilliant minds within baseball's organizations. We all know now that Maddux would go on to win 355 games in his career, becoming a first-ballot Hall of Fame member in the Baseball Writers Association of America's vote from earlier this month.
After spending some time collecting easily attainable data, it became evident that scouts are still on a warpath when it comes to the ideal body of a major league pitcher, thinking that the strong, 6'4″, 205 to 235 pound frame that came along with Roger Clemens, is the "norm" for all starting pitchers. How soon scouts forget the apparent aid that Clemens was receiving to maintain his large trunk-like legs and tremendous fastball into his 40's, while assuming that there aren't pitchers hovering around the 6′, 170 pounds that Maddux took to the mound during his career. Pitchers continue to look more like small forwards and shooting guards in the NBA, possessing enough size to make Spud Webb run in fear, while going eye-to-eye with LeBron James.
But, why does the philosophy of monster starting pitchers continue to be such an industry-wide ideal when you consider the data that is out there and the names who have proven that bigger isn't always better?
When taking a look at the most valuable starting pitchers in the history of baseball (based on Baseball Reference WAR), you can see, below, that the average height and weight of the top 25 pitchers in baseball history is 72.68 inches (6'0″) and 186.96 pounds.
Comparatively, the top 25 starting pitchers from 2011 through the 2013 season look like this:
Certainly, the philosophies that have big, strong pitchers has driven the average height and weight of starting pitchers from the long-term success, Hall of Fame caliber 6′, 187 pounds to the nearly 6'4″, 218 pound forces who toe the rubber today.
The innings, number of pitches, and dominant strikeout totals are clearly different today, but the dominant, powerful arms weren't just limited to today, and certainly not to those who stand approximately 76 inches tall. Year round training, supplements (legal and illegal), and the millions made playing baseball allow today's athlete the opportunity to focus on their bodies and their long-term success and care, but are they truly better off than those who came before them?
Bob Feller was 6′, 185 pounds and possessed an impressive fastball, posting a Fifty Foot Equivalent of 107.6 miles per hour, the second fastest fastball ever. Having missed three seasons due to serving in World War II, Feller still accumulated 266 wins and over 2,500 strikeouts while missing his age-23 through age-25 seasons. If you take away the nine starts that Feller had in 1945, upon his return from war, and the three seasons that he missed while fighting, from 1938 through 1951, ten full seasons, Feller posted a 211-118 record, pitched in 403 games, logged 2,896 innings, and tossed 224 complete games for the Cleveland Indians. Feller's career derailed shortly thereafter, as he never reached 200 innings after his age-32 season (1951), and he retired in 1956 at the age of 37.
One could argue that with today's monitoring of pitcher workloads, Feller may have held onto his stuff, strikeout rates, and career a bit longer. But another argument is that Feller never would have been in the majors at the age of 17, as he was in 1936, and that he may have been a bullpen arm due to his small stature.
After all, when pitchers have electric stuff, like an Aroldis Chapman's fastball, isn't it presumed that it is quite unlikely that said pitcher's stuff could hold up over 100 pitches and 200 innings, which is why Aroldis Chapman is pitching in relief still? Chapman, after all, is 6'4″, 205 pounds, nearly the epitome of an ideally built staff ace.
But I digress.
For so long, labels have been slapped on pitchers to say that they are bullpen bound, not durable enough to start, or unable to repeat mechanics due to unorthodox deliveries or release points. With Whitey Ford (5'10", 236 wins, 1974 Hall of Fame) and Pedro Martinez (5'11", 219 wins, on the 2015 Hall of Fame ballot) leading the ranks of "tiny", dominant arms, there will be others following current shorties like Tim Lincecum (5'11", two-time Cy Young winner), Craig Kimbrel (5'11", 138 saves and 341 strikeouts over his last 206.2 innings), Kris Medlen (5'10", 30-13, 2.96 ERA in 61 starts), and Johnny Cueto (5'11", 33-16, 2.61 ERA over his last 68 starts and 433.2 innings).
Here are some short future stars to keep an eye on in coming seasons:
Carlos Martinez, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
Yordano Ventura, RHP, Kansas City Royals: 5'11", 180 pounds
Marcus Stroman, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays: 5'9″, 185 pounds
Julio Urias, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers: 5'11", 160 pounds (he's only 17)
Rafael Montero, RHP, New York Mets: 6'0″, 170 pounds
Jose Berrios, RHP, Minnesota Twins: 6'0″, 187 pounds
J.R. Graham, RHP, Atlanta Braves: 5'10", 190 pounds
Victor Sanchez, RHP, Seattle Mariners: 6'0″, 255 pounds
C.J. Edwards, RHP, Chicago Cubs: 6'2″, 155 pounds (already has the too skinny label, but he can blow it by everyone in the minors)
For more information on short starting pitchers and their tall impact on baseball, visit these links:


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296 vehicles matched;
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Listed by Streetside Classics - Tampa
This is the most interesting 1969 Chevrolet Camaro convertible you will ever see. Outside is a well restores ragtop;
Listed by Private Seller
1969 RS/SS with 396 big block. Winters aluminum heads. Winters dual plane intake. Quick Fuel 750 cfm carburetor, Comp cams
Listed by Hanksters Muscle Cars
12 bolt POSI. 396 CID. Bucket Seats. Console. Custom Paint - Blue Metallic. Custom Wheels. Date Coded
Listed by Hanksters Muscle Cars
10 bolt rear. 402 cid Big Block. Bright Gold paint. Factory black interior. Factory dash and
Listed by Happy Days Dream Cars
Even though this car underwent a comprehensive soup to nuts restoration it is still very original in many ways! Just
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1969 Chevrolet Camaro SS X66 trim code SS 396 cid Camaro coupe Believed to be 93000 Actual miles 396 cid motor,
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1969 Camaro From the Ardell Brown Collection. Built by Barry's Speed shop in Corona California. For the TV series Wrecks to Riches. Car
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This 1969 Camaro comes with the original Protecto-o-Plate and the Dealer Invoice and an interesting documented history. It just
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1969 Camaro RS Restomod
Complete frame-off rotisserie restoration completed in 2007. All new sheet metal, truck, floors, radiator support,
Listed by Streetside Classics - Atlanta
Camaro guys, this one's a treat. It's just the way you'd do it for yourself, complete with a strong 383

subset: commoncrawl


text:
The 32-year-old Australian, who is in his 10th season of Super League after previous spells with Huddersfield and Bradford, was taken to hospital in a neck brace after being hurt in the Reds' 28-7 defeat by Bradford last Friday.
He was released later that evening after being cleared of any major injury but Salford coach Brian Noble says the club are determined to get to the bottom of the on-going problem before allowing him back on the field.
Nero, who sustained the injury in a clash of heads with team-mate Wayne Godwin, will sit out Sunday's game against Widnes, which will kick off the action on day two of the Magic Weekend at the Etihad Stadium, and is not guaranteed to play again.
"The great news is that Chris is fine and we're delighted about that but we have to take some serious decisions on his future," Noble said.
"When something like this happens, you have to examine the reasons for it.
"The medical people have to give us the right information and then we can sit down with Chris and discuss it.
"If he can play next week, he will, however, we don't take chances."
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BDDC is now hosted on Github! get updates there or fork the source there: http://github.com/flowolf/bddc The source code here is no longer updated... ---- bddc is a bash script that keeps track of your dynamic IP-address. it offers different options to retrieve te current external IP, such as reading it from ifconfig, a remote website or a local router. update IP with afraid.org, dyndns.org and no-ip.com1 weekly downloads
Job Jar
The Job Jar is a simple batch queuing system for Unix. Its main distinguishing feature is that there is no central daemon. Instead, an arbitrary set of workers cooperatively claim jobs from a central directory. A job is any Unix executable file.1 weekly downloads
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A shell script to transcode any video to a format suitable for cellular phones and other embedded devices. The video file is converted in mp4 format with MPEG-4 video and AAC audio, the parameters are extensively tweakable.1 weekly downloads
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A program to draw (and save the results to files) a diagramm that shows the execution time of a programm, which does some floating point calculations, in dependency of the number of used threads. It saves the result as a gnuplot file and a CSV file.1 weekly downloads
Vistigator is a website analyzer, which allows CEO's, CTO's, and users to view info about their website. Vistigator is integrated with Apache 2 HTTP Server, allowing Vistigator to display website stats graphically & easily about specific IP Addresses.1 weekly downloads


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Sweet and Spicy Salmon
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- 1 tsp onion powder
- 1 tsp garlic powder
- 1 tbsp chipotle chile powder
- 1 tsp seasoned salt
- 2 tbsp packed brown sugar
- 4 (6 oz each) salmon fillets
Instructions:Preheat oven to 350 degrees. In a large resealable bag, combine onion powder, garlic powder, chile powder, seasoned salt and brown sugar.
Add fillets to the bag. Shake to evenly coat. Place in refrigerator for 20 minutes.
Line a baking sheet with aluminum foil. Place fillets on foil. Bake for 11-14 minutes or until fish easily flakes.
This recipe was submitted by one of our readers and has not been tested by our food editors. We are not responsible for errors in this recipe, but if you find one, please let us know.
Updated Friday, May 12th, 2006
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is this finally the end of this joke company???
unfortunately just a couple of trades at that level---the pig lives
I work for Jarden and I know you are talking out of your *ss. We are on pace to beat our 3rd quarter earnings estimate and more than likely will increase our 2009 guidance. That is per the monthly financial update cc this morning.
You're an idiot.
Just watch as the corruption comes to light and management takes the perp walk


text:
Feb 1 (Reuters) - Brazil playmaker Willian left Shakhtar Donetsk for wealthy Russian team Anzhi Makhachkala on Friday for a fee of 35 million euros ($47.94 million), the Ukrainian club said on their website (www.shakhtar.com).
"FC Shakhtar and FC Anji reached an agreement regarding Willian's move to the Russian club in a transfer worth 35 million euros," Shakhtar said in a statement.
"We wish our former player success in his new team."
Big-spending Anzhi are second in the Russian top-flight, two points behind leaders CSKA Moscow.
($1 = 0.7301 euros) (Editing by Tony Jimenez)


text:
Sending a letter to a judge means using the correct formal form of address. Whether the judge is a man or woman, the way you address the letter is the same. On the letter and the envelope, start the recipient's address line with "The Honorable" and the judge's first and last name. If the judge typically goes by a nickname for the first name, such as "Tom," it's acceptable to use the nickname. List the formal name of the court over which the judge presides as the second line of the address, followed by the mailing address.
Salutation and Within the Letter
In the salutation line of the letter, address the judge as "Judge" and his last name, such as "Judge Smith." If you want to use the judge's name again in the letter copy, use the same style as the salutation rather than "The Honorable" and his full name.
Exception to the Rule
The only time you use a different style to address a judge is when that judge is actually a justice of a state or federal Supreme Court. At the federal level, address the letter to "Justice" and her last name, and treat the salutation the same way. Address a letter to the chief justice as "The Chief Justice of the United States." The salutation should read "Dear Chief Justice."
At the state level, use "The Honorable" and her full name in the address, but use "Justice" and her last name in the salutation.
- Photo Credit Stockbyte/Stockbyte/Getty Images
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OSI-Approved Open Source (7)
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Portable Linux
Portable Ubuntu Linux for Scientific Computing20 weekly downloads
FreeOS/1 is a Free, Open Source, FreeDOS based Free and Open Source Alternative OS, with open source Microsoft Windows compatibility using HXDOSExtender KernelEx,and ReactOS source code. FreeOS/1 will include new technologies and will be easy to use1 weekly downloads
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Sakura is a Knowledge Navigator and User Interface for UNIX, which implements HyperMedia and its own windowing and packing system, both in the main program and in an extensive API for Tcl and other languages.1 weekly downloads
Artificial-life and robotics development environment and simulator involving neural networks, 3D physics, vision, and evolutionary programming.
New Linux Based OS primarily for smart devices and PDA's, laptops, and eventually desktops. It offers an alternative to the "embedded" approach. All OS versions and applications will be hosted and then made available to the subscribers of cloud svs
Eternity Space Sim
Eternity is a open source galaxy simulation. Features include realistic physics, extensive user interactivity and interoperability with external services such as the internet. Star locations are accurate to real life. Visit http://projecteternity.net
TV Streaming like Slingbox or ORB. Its around 150mb, so it can fit in a USB dongle or CF card. You can stream live tv/video, record (like an PVR/Tivo), has a tv guide and its a network router with firewall,UPNP and bandwidth control. HTTP config.


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FRITCH - More than 1,500 people are expected to take part in this year's Texas River and Lakeshore Cleanup effort at Lake Meredith National Recreation Area from 9 a.m. to 3 p.m. Saturday, according to a National Park Service news release.
The spring clean-up prepares the park for the heavy recreational use from May through September.
Local businesses will donate food and door prizes for the volunteers. A hot dog lunch with ice cream and soft drinks will be served to all volunteers at noon.
To pre-register for the event, call Susan Spurlock-Rawlins at 857-9138. On-site registration begins at 8:30 a.m. Saturday, with safety briefings and area assignments. Supplies and equipment will be issued by National Park Service coordinators. Work will begin at 9:30 a.m.
WHEELER - Wheeler Independent School District announced four finalists for the superintendent position Thursday, according to Wheeler ISD spokeswoman Donna Walker.
Todd Burleson of Van Horn, Fred Belcher of Friona, Bill Hood of Three Way and Brooks Symank of Meridian will be considered for the spot left vacant by Glyndol Holland after 10 years.
The four come from a field of 40 applicants. They were selected as finalists at a Wednesday school board meeting.
Holland retired from the Texas education system and moved to Turpin, Okla., for a superintendent position there, Walker said.
The school board has yet to schedule the next round of interviews, Walker said.
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text:
Dispatches from the Tank: Final week of the season provides key matchup for Jazz, Lakers
The Bucks have lost six straight games, including a loss to the Indiana Pacers, a game in which Indiana rested its starters. With the Bucks still playing their starters, they managed to lose the game, and continue their quest for the top pick — a goal that seems very probable at this point in the season.
In the final week of the season, Milwaukee seems to be in a perfect position to end with the worst record. They start out by playing the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday, followed by three current playoff teams in the Washington Wizards, Toronto Raptors and Atlanta Hawks.
Unless their upcoming opponents decide to rest their starters before the playoffs, the Bucks will have a great opportunity to lose every remaining game on their schedule.
- Oldest first
- Newest first
- Most recommended
Professional Basketball would do well to remedy this situation of losing to win
in the lottery. Professional? At what, making money? With all the money in
the NBA, surely they have an idea of how to bring an honest effort into every
game, considering the players per game pay, and not reward "tanking"
even a single game with a top lottery pick or anything else. My guess is that
for some reason they like this current system, again, for financial reasons, and
that is why no remedy has been forthcoming.
All that being said, who could blame any time for "tanking" if its in their best interest, if financial gain is the real long term prize? Jazz have established ample reason or excuse to just play the subs, even "rest" the Coach, see how an assistant might coach them differently.
- 12:45 p.m. April 11, 2014
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This list turned my stomach.
- 12:51 p.m. April 11, 2014
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Why don't you just show the list? Annoying to have to click through every county.
- 11:08 p.m. April 12, 2014
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text:
Family Ties for Rep. Bob Gibbs (R-Ohio, 7th)
|In Office
Alternate Name: Robert Brian Gibbs
Below we show financial and other ties of note between this member of Congress and his or her family members. Much or all of the data was made possible with the exhaustive research by Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington.
Back to LegiStorm's Family Ties home
Back to LegiStorm's Family Ties home
Rep. Bob Gibbs Family
Rep. Bob Gibbs (self)
Gibbs for Congress (Ohio) (Campaign Committee) paid Rep. Bob Gibbs
$11,707, travel, car signs, meals and other unspecified expenses, 2010 (reimbursement) election cycle
Amy Gibbs (daughter)
Gibbs for Congress (Ohio) (Campaign Committee) paid Amy Gibbs
$497, campaign T-shirts, 2010 (reimbursement) election cycle


text:
Every time I try to add a product to cart, even when the the size has been selected and there is a given price, I get the message "Please choose product options…"
Any idea how to fix this?
Every time I try to add a product to cart, even when the the size has been selected and there is a given price, I get the message "Please choose product options…"
Any idea how to fix this?
Double check you have added a price for the variations, not the product itself. You will see a faint message telling you that "price is required" in the price field of the variations. Without setting it, in the frontend you will only see the dropdown to select an option and nothing else.
I tried adding prices to each variation, still no luck.
Here's were I'm testing it.
Well for you, you have JS errors on your site...correct that first.
How exactly can I get go about finding what errors I have?
Sorry I can't help you there...But if you look at your console with any dev tool, it will tell you what errors your site is seeing.
Could you suggest a good dev tool to use?
You can use either firebug for firefox or the built in chrome tools for chrome.
There is a very high possibility that one of the existing plugin on your site is conflicting. Disable all plugins except woocommerce and then try.
I've tried disabling all plug-ins and all JS libraries, same issue always occurs.
Also, at one point every product worked, not sure what I could have done to mess this up :(
The problem is in your theme, not the plugins, specifically that it isn't loading the jQuery plugin "mobileMenu". In chrome the error is being reported on line 8 of
Uncaught TypeError: Object [object Object] has no method 'mobileMenu'
jQuery('#nav .menu').mobileMenu({
defaultText: 'Navigate to...',
className: 'select-menu',
subMenuDash: ' –'
Comment this out and (assuming there aren't further errors) you should see the add to cart button.
Thanks! I just checked it out and realized there is nothing I even need in the
custom.js file so I just deleted it and the script that was looking for it in the header so there are no more errors, yet I still get my original problem.
Any word on this?
Have you check if it isn't your theme issue? Switch to 2012 theme and see.
Just tried it, same issue
Switch it again and leave it so I can see...
Alright, you can check it now. It looses connection to the .css but you can still test the shop and see the problem
No, if that happens you have other issues...If you switch it, it should be normal 2012 theme...Turn off all plugins...especially if you have caching plugin...clear your cache and save your permalinks again.
Well I know what the issue is, it's looking for a header that doesn't exist in the theme
Why would it not exist if you switch to 2012 theme unless that theme was modified?
Again, if you want help, please follow exactly as I say. Turn off ALL plugins except WooCommerce.
The theme I am using is modified a lot from it's original download
All plugins are turned off
....I am asking you to switch to 2012 theme that is not modified...the default theme.
The 2012 theme is not modified. The files in Woocommerce are looking for a header file that is only in my custom theme.
Why would it do that? Did you modify the woocommerce plugin? Did you goto permalinks and click on SAVE as I asked?
I said I knew what the issue was and I fixed it.
Ok so it was your theme yes? You should state that so it can help others...and please mark your topic resolved.
...I mean the issue why the .css wasn't loading. I changed it to locate the default header. Now the 2012 theme is fully functioning and I was able to add a product to the cart.
Now I just need to know how to fix my theme to work properly and I'm not sure what to do. Hence my initial question.
This topic has been closed to new replies.


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E-Passport System in India - Application and Documents Check List 2016
The Gover...
The Gover...
Greater H...
Following ...
Now it is ...
New Distri...
The Govern...
Hello traffic violates, beware of these revised fines for violation of various traffic rules in Hyderabad. The increased amount of penalty as per the GO 108 will come into force from Saturday, 20th August 2011. The Hyderabad Traffic Police are implementing e-challan procedure for violation of traffic rules. Department of Road Transport Authority (RTA, Hyderabad), Govt. of Andhra Pradesh has installed cameras at various junctions and also equipped the traffic police with advanced material to register traffic violations. You can also check fines / penalties on your two / four wheeler through http://www.htp.gov.in/ . The Hyderabad Traffic police has also launched new dedicated website for all traffic related issues at htp.gov.in . You can check the e-challan status for your vehicle at http://www.htp.gov.in/Redirect-eChallan.htm OR http://184.108.40.206:8080/publicview . Following are some of the important violations and latest penalties:
1) Traveling without pass or ticket, driver's refusal to ply a contract carriage on hire: Rs. 500
2) Disobedience of orders, obstruction to the checking officer in discharge of duties and refusal of information: Rs. 500
3) Allowing unauthorized persons to drive vehicles: Rs. 1000
4) Driving by under – aged persons: Rs. 500
5) Driving at excessive speed: Rs. 400
6) Driving dangerously, attending phone calls while driving and jumping signal: Rs. 1000
7) Using vehicle in unsafe condition at public place by violating road safety, control of noise and air pollution, wrong and dangerous parking: Rs. 1000
8) Not registering vehicle, not renewing registration or driving without fitness certificate: Rs. 2000 to a maximum of Rs. 5000
9) Refusing to stop and submit the vehicle for weighing: Rs. 3000
10) Not having insurance certificate for vehicle: Rs. 1000
Other common violations are: 1) Driving any vehicle without active license, renewed insurance and latest pollution under control (PUC) certificate. If you do not have driving licence, apply for LLR (Learner's License) immediately. Now, you can write LLR exam in Hindi and Telugu also. 2) Not using the helmet while driving a two wheeler 3) Using a fancy number plate 4) Not using the seat belt if driving a car 5) Triple riding in case of a two wheeler and Over Speed 6) Parking any vehicle in 'No Parking' area illegally on a public road.
Update on 1st March 2012: The Govt. of India has come heavy on traffic rules violators. The new penalties for various traffic violations will come into effect after its ratification in Parliament. The proposed Motor Vehicle Act 2012 will also impose imprisonment along with hefty fines for traffic violations such as drunken driving, red signal jump, driving without seat belt / helmet, using mobile while driving etc.
So, don't violate traffic rules and be safe…!
longer days i find the echallan status online my vehicle and other my friends vehicle but result shown is all vehicles 0 please any assistance to give me the correct information. because iam affraid challans i obey the rules and regulations but some time ican also mistake like signal jumping its coming very traffic in hyderabad signals not show timedisplay. how iam guessing my vehicle cross before redlight coming.
My vehicle no is AP 10 N 699 two wheeler, are there any challans against this vehicle
longer days i find the echallan status online my vehicle and other my friends vehicle but result shown is all vehicles 0 please any assistance to give me the correct information. because iam affraid challans i obey the rules and regulations but some time i can also mistake like signal jumping its coming very traffic in hyderabad signals not show time display. how iam guessing my vehicle cross before red light coming.
How to check penality of vehicle
how many challan in this namber
Sir, I had paid the penalty for traffic violations on behalf of my friends. However, the violations are still shown along with the penalty and the payments are not shown. Please clarify.
My bike chalan rta AP 29G1872
Please follow traffic rules and be safe
its online system its not correct sir immediately we did not get the challan receipt. you show the photos also in the system. pleas do it sir like above said matter sir please clarify
sir, i want to know my bike challan my bike no is ap23aa6095
I want to buy a secondhand car Esteem No : AP 9 S 6161 , are there any challans pending, if so let me know, so that I can deduct those charges and pay him the balance and pay challans to police station.
how to check penality of two wheeler online
please tell my two wheeler penality on on bikes AP 28 BQ 6522 AND AP 28 BC 9955
dear sir,
i want to know my bike challan my bike no is AP29AJ3758
how many challan on this number AP 37 AR 1044
i want to know my bike challan my bike no is AP10 am 4866.
ap11ak0843 challan
AP/29/BL/7217 May i know how many challans has been up to now?
sir as per your statement my one challan is pending challan NO 2011ap241940 I WISH TO KNOW WHERE I VOILATED TRAFFIC RULE PLS INTIMATE ON MY EMAIL ADDRESS
this is Sampath Reddy.Nalla
my vehicle no is ap01s7478
how much penalty is there.
This is N.Praveen Kumar
My Vehicle no is AP09AU4951
How much Penalty i have to pay
My name is krishna reddy. My vehicle number is AP 10 Q 7124. Please send me the challan status through mail.
thanks and regards
Im not able to check the status, can you please help me to know the filne amount I have to pay.
Reg: AP28DC9913(Unicorn-2 Wheeler)
Please send the details to my mail ID: firstname.lastname@example.com
my vehicle no ap28bf0758
how much penality i have to pay
let me know the violation fee if any ap29au 0464
how to pay my penaulty through online netbanking?
pls advise how to check if there are any violations for vehicle no:AP13s 9933
please tel me how many challans do i have on my bike no. AP13AA 7861 &
i would like to know the challan status of my bike passion plus ap09br4382
sir, two years back my vehicle was stolen. the vehicle was fully not insured. informed to the police station. the vehicle was not traced. i think it was gone under scrab. the rc of the vehicle is my name. still now any challans or complaints against the vehicle were not traced. furthere i don't know what steps should be taken from my side. if you don't mind pl guide me.
Iam unable to check the status, can you please help me to know the fine amount I have to pay.
Reg: AP09BN5938(Unicorn-2 Wheeler)
dear sir,
I want to know my bike challan my bike no is AP 28 BA 709


text:
Thanks to a second-half flourish, Barron's stock selections finished 2012 comfortably ahead of the market.
Shares of the 121 companies that were the subject of favorable articles during 2012 rose an average of 9%, more than double the 4.1% gain in their benchmark indexes, measured from the Friday before publication through year end. Including dividends, the bullish picks increased 9.8%, versus a 5.1% rise in the indexes.
Our bullish calls were faring badly at midyear ("Nothing to Write Home About," July 16, 2012), when they collectively were about six percentage points behind the market, but some big second-half winners, including Phillips 66 PSX -0.24918032786885247% Phillips 66 U.S.: NYSE USD76.06 -0.19 -0.24918032786885247% /Date(1469826178889-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 5454341 AFTER HOURS USD76 -0.06 -0.07888509071785432% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 94419 P/E Ratio 13.227826086956522 Market Cap 39975689094.0405 Dividend Yield 3.3131738101498818% Rev. per Employee 5215070 More quote details and news » (ticker: PSX), Time Warner TWX -1.249677918062355% Time Warner Inc. U.S.: NYSE USD76.65 -0.97 -1.249677918062355% /Date(1469826218856-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 4123432 AFTER HOURS USD76.65 % Volume (Delayed 15m) : 150537 P/E Ratio 15.392184425077312 Market Cap 60277099915.152 Dividend Yield 2.1004566210045663% Rev. per Employee 1141090 More quote details and news » (TWX), German steel maker ThyssenKrupp TKA.XE 4.849884526558891% Thyssenkrupp AG ADR U.S.: OTC USD22.7 1.05 4.849884526558891% /Date(1469830803000-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 1000 P/E Ratio 46.43076293720597 Market Cap 12973632165.3277 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 292912 More quote details and news » (TKA.Germany), and biotech outfit Sarepta Therapeutics SRPT 2.5141930251419304% Sarepta Therapeutics Inc. U.S.: Nasdaq USD25.28 0.62 2.5141930251419304% /Date(1469826000421-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 2024178 AFTER HOURS USD24.9 -0.38 -1.5031645569620253% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 45115 P/E Ratio N/A Market Cap 1211569279.73434 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 4640.74 More quote details and news » (SRPT), enabled us to pull ahead nicely. A few of our biggest gainers were smaller companies, such as coffee distributor Farmer Bros. farm 1.4555077737347006% Farmer Bros. Co. U.S.: Nasdaq USD30.67 0.44 1.4555077737347006% /Date(1469826000041-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 20446 AFTER HOURS USD30.6639 -0.0061 -0.019889142484512554% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 1137 P/E Ratio 146.04761904761904 Market Cap 514305203.668137 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 304261 More quote details and news » (FARM) and Big 5 Sporting Goods BGFV 1.0526315789473684% Big 5 Sporting Goods Corp. U.S.: Nasdaq USD10.56 0.11 1.0526315789473684% /Date(1469826000199-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 148050 AFTER HOURS USD10.56 % Volume (Delayed 15m) : 7699 P/E Ratio 19.2 Market Cap 232562896.814461 Dividend Yield 4.734848484848484% Rev. per Employee 113341 More quote details and news » (BGFV), written about by our small-cap maven, David Englander.
The strong 2012 follows a disappointing 2011, in which our 97 bullish stock selections fell an average of 6.9% -- 4.5 percentage points behind the performance of the market. Our favorable picks beat the market in 2009 and 2010. We've been doing these tallies annually since 2003. The updated, real-time performance of our stock picks and pans from 2007 through 2012 is available here. And here is a full listing of the 2012 picks and pans, including total-return calculations.
Our 23 negative stories from last year also beat their benchmarks, declining an average of 4%, versus a 5.3% rise in the indexes. We scored with bearish calls on ITT Educational Services ESI 2.727272727272727% ITT Educational Services Inc. U.S.: NYSE USD2.26 0.06 2.727272727272727% /Date(1469826123553-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 600003 AFTER HOURS USD2.34 0.08 3.5398230088495577% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 6700 P/E Ratio 2.627906976744186 Market Cap 54212881.7368698 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 92076.6 More quote details and news » (ESI), Caesars Entertainment CZR -1.9886363636363635% Caesars Entertainment Corp. U.S.: Nasdaq USD6.9 -0.14 -1.9886363636363635% /Date(1469826000278-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 481117 AFTER HOURS USD6.9 % Volume (Delayed 15m) : 25200 P/E Ratio N/A Market Cap 1013692831.69861 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 138455 More quote details and news » (CZR), J.C. Penney JCP 1.791359325605901% J.C. Penney Co. Inc. U.S.: NYSE USD9.66 0.17 1.791359325605901% /Date(1469826338811-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 9852984 AFTER HOURS USD9.63 -0.03 -0.3105590062111801% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 89136 P/E Ratio N/A Market Cap 2969870376.67236 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 119800 More quote details and news » (JCP), Herbalife hlf 1.507462686567164% Herbalife Ltd. U.S.: NYSE USD68.01 1.01 1.507462686567164% /Date(1469826195748-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 1512576 AFTER HOURS USD67.8 -0.21 -0.30877812086457873% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 14475 P/E Ratio 16.348557692307693 Market Cap 6311328405.79224 Dividend Yield 1.76444640494045% Rev. per Employee 560400 More quote details and news » (HLF), and Facebook FB -0.848% Facebook Inc. Cl A U.S.: Nasdaq USD123.94 -1.06 -0.848% /Date(1469826000325-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 34623376 AFTER HOURS USD123.56 -0.38 -0.3065999677263192% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 435427 P/E Ratio 59.58653846153846 Market Cap 354506136207.313 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 1746120 More quote details and news » (FB). We measure only returns from the initial article on a company, not subsequent stories, so as not to double count. That's why we use our original bearish call on Facebook shortly before its initial public offering in May, rather than our less prescient cover story in September, when the stock was at about $23. Our worst bearish calls were Radian Group RDN 1.4150943396226414% Radian Group Inc. U.S.: NYSE USD12.9 0.18 1.4150943396226414% /Date(1469826187263-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 3132282 AFTER HOURS USD12.898 -0.002 -0.015503875968992248% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 80401 P/E Ratio 9.660750393170074 Market Cap 2764263474.16535 Dividend Yield 0.07751937984496124% Rev. per Employee 646089 More quote details and news » (RDN) and Medifast med 1.8802429852473244% Medifast Inc. U.S.: NYSE USD35.22 0.65 1.8802429852473244% /Date(1469826124270-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 123411 AFTER HOURS USD35.22 % Volume (Delayed 15m) : 1261 P/E Ratio 21.289971589191804 Market Cap 417180923.863983 Dividend Yield 2.8392958546280522% Rev. per Employee 639421 More quote details and news » (MED).
Our tally includes company-specific articles in Barron's and excludes broad industry stories that touch on many companies. It also doesn't reflect the stock picks and pans of our many columnists, who do their own report cards.
We measure stocks against relevant benchmarks, using the Standard & Poor's 500 index for large companies, the S&P MidCap 400 for midsize companies, and the Russell 2000 for small stocks. We also benchmark foreign stocks against the S&P 500. In our weekly follow-up section, we sometimes declare victory on a successful bullish or bearish call, or admit defeat. When that happens, we run the return calculation through the follow-up date, not year end.
The biggest winner among bullish articles, Sarepta Therapeutics, released favorable results in October from a clinical trial for a drug designed to stimulate the missing protein in boys suffering from Duchenne muscular dystrophy, a fatal muscle-wasting disease. Those results have raised expectations that the Sarepta drug will gain regulatory approval and generate significant revenue for the formerly obscure company. Our worst bullish calls were Cliffs Natural Resources CLF -2.2249690976514214% Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. U.S.: NYSE USD7.91 -0.18 -2.2249690976514214% /Date(1469826292738-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 13626334 AFTER HOURS USD7.93 0.02 0.2528445006321112% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 380974 P/E Ratio 38.01057184046132 Market Cap 1454411633.32062 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 705004 More quote details and news » (CLF), the iron-ore producer; Deckers Outdoor deck 4.067475957748699% Deckers Outdoor Corp. U.S.: NYSE USD66.01 2.58 4.067475957748699% /Date(1469826119190-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 1512150 AFTER HOURS USD66.01 % Volume (Delayed 15m) : 24654 P/E Ratio 19.882530120481928 Market Cap 2114630408.36182 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 524992 More quote details and news » (DECK), the maker of Ugg boots; and toy maker Jakks Pacific jakk -0.4319654427645788% JAKKS Pacific Inc. U.S.: Nasdaq USD9.22 -0.04 -0.4319654427645788% /Date(1469826000261-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 259791 AFTER HOURS USD9.2182 -0.0018 -0.019522776572668113% Volume (Delayed 15m) : 11002 P/E Ratio N/A Market Cap 188770294.048996 Dividend Yield N/A Rev. per Employee 951252 More quote details and news » (JAKK).
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