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A number of Northeast states are considering adding or expanding early voting, according to a story in The Hill.
I hope that administrators and legislators in the states make sure they make a decision based on comprehensive and accurate information and not rely on anecdote.
Most importantly, early voting has a complicated relationship to overall voter turnout. Most studies show a small but positive relationship, though one prominent study reports a negative relationship. If you put in more early voting locations, more citizens vote early (but it's not clear if more voters overall cast a ballot).
Jan Leighley and Jonathan Nagler put it best in a recent blog posting (in the context of voter registration laws): higher turnout depends mostly on parties and candidates, not on changes to voting laws.
The point? New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner is quoted in the story and his statement reflects many common misconceptions about early voting:
"We're seeing turnout nationally go down in each of the last three elections even as more and more states rush to make it easier to vote by having early voting,"
Misconception 1: there has been no "rush" to add early voting options since 2008. The rate of states adding early voting provisions has slowed substantially as we get down the final 13 holdouts (according to the National Conference of State Legislatures, 37 states plus DC offered some form of early voting in 2016, compared to 36 plus DC in 2012, and 34 in 2008).
Misconception 2: turnout has not declined for the last three cycles. Final totals in 2016 appear to be slightly up from 2012 and about 2% lower than 2008.
Misconception 3: national turnout is the best way to understand the impact of state and local laws. National totals disguise enormous variation in turnout between and within states, competitiveness in statewide races, and differences in rules and laws. There is also some scattered evidence that early voting benefits some subpopulations more than others, and this can be overlooked in national and even statewide totals.
The second point in the article is harder to address: the costs of early voting. Michael McDonald suggests that there is resistance to early voting in the Northeast because most of these states administer elections at the township level. McDonald is right to highlight the importance of providing sufficient funding to jurisdictions to conduct elections, regardless of what options are offered (budgets were the most common point of discussion at a recent NCSL gathering).
All I'd add here is that we don't have a clear sense of how much early voting costs, and whether cost savings can be obtained by strategically reallocating resources between early voting and election day voting (though mis-forecasts of voting turnout can turn disastrous).
The takeaway is that states considering adding early voting options should consider them mostly on the grounds of voter convenience, on how well the options can be adapted to the conditions faced by local jurisdictions, and only lastly on how they may increase overall turnout.
Nate Silver's posted a quick analysis today that purports to show that "education, not income, predicted who would vote for Trump." This is a pretty important finding, if true, because it stands in contrast to a lot of post-election analysis that claims that Democratic abandonment of the white working class played a large role in Clinton's defeat.
It would also be an impressive finding before the major academic surveys, such as the National Election Study and the Cooperative Congressional Election Study are released, since they are the gold standard in terms of helping us understand how individual demographic and attitudes predict vote choice.
Silver takes a smart cut at the income and education relationship by partitioning up counties by their median income and percent college degree, and then comparing the 2016 Clinton vote to the 2012 Obama vote. Here he can show in some of the educated counties, Clinton did remarkably well.
He acknowledges that income and education are highly correlated, however, so he takes a different cut at the data, looking at a set of counties with relatively high educational levels and only moderate income levels.
Silver describes one of these counties, Ingham County, MI, where he grew up, as
…home to Michigan State University and the state capital of Lansing, along with a lot of auto manufacturing jobs (though fewer than there used to be). The university and government jobs attract an educated workforce, but there aren't a lot of rich people in Ingham County.
Clinton, he notes, did quite well there, even though incomes aren't that high. In most places that fit this description, according to Silver, Clinton did quite well. This is evidence, he argues, that education, not income, was the driving force in the 2016 election.
This table is reproduced here.
Anyone who is familiar with higher education should immediately recognize this list. If you don't, you will in a moment.
Silver notes that "many of the counties on the list are home to major colleges or universities, although there are some exceptions." He notes Davidson County, TN and Buncombe County, NC as not "really college towns."
Not exactly. Below I list the major universities in each of these counties. Silver hit the jackpot with his list: every single one is home to a large university, in most cases, a huge university.
It's true that college students as a percentage of total residents is pretty small in Davidson, TN and Buncombe, NC, but I'd be pretty skeptical to generalize anything from the homes of country music, bluegrass music–what Silver calls "cultural havens" (Missoula MT and New Hanover NC fit into that category as well).
But the rest? Almost all are college counties. Most are home to huge institutions that are the dominant cultural and economic force in those counties. Of course they have a combination of high education levels and modest income levels. That's life as a student and employee of a university! It's no wonder that Clinton did relatively better in those counties.
This list may be indicative of the kind of cultural divide that Silver speculates about at the end of the essay. I'm far less certain that this reveals anything systematic about the relationship of income and education and vote choice more broadly.
I posted on my Reed College introductory politics class "Moodle". I shared this on Facebook and getting a lot of requests to share more broadly. Any questions about the class readings and other references below, please email email@example.com.
I've spent the day trying to absorb and understand the election results, and I thought it might help to provide a list of resources where I am going to try to reason through this. I certainly don't mind, and I'm sure Chris would not mind, if people want to talk, or rant, or celebrate, or protest.
We are not suggesting that you should be dispassionate or apolitical about the election outcome. I handle unexpected political changes by doing by best to deconstruct it and understand it. That's my makeup. It need not be yours. Do what you will with below.
1) The 50,000 Foot Look:
I still think the best place to look and reflect is at a site that allows you to drill down to the county level, and compare vote changes from 2012. I prefer the NY Times, but I list a number of other sites below. Click through at these sites to see the various maps.
The best interactive maps in my opinion at the NY Times: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/president
Great mix of maps and exit polls at BBC: http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37889032
USA Today does a better job displaying change in support http://www.usatoday.com/…/intera…/how-the-election-unfolded/
CNN has a different look and feel, not my choice but has very nice individual state results http://www.cnn.com/election/results
2) This election is a game changer and this election is a realignment
Most of the evidence is that this election reinforced the existing divisions between the two parties. What was surprising to many observers was that more Republicans did not abandon their party standard bearer, given a lack of endorsements and many leaders distancing themselves from Trump. If you are able to ignore that for a moment, Trump's support coalition looks nearly identical to Romney's. Clinton underperformed Obama, especially among African Americans and Latinos. That's the election in a nutshell.
Larry Bartels at the Monkey Cage examines election 2016 https://www.washingtonpost.com/…/2016-was-an-ordinary-elec…/
3) What about race, ethnicity, gender? Didn't the horrible things Trump said make a difference?
You know from our class that voters decide based on a wide variety of things–partisanship most importantly, then issues (mostly the economy), and then finally candidate characteristics. It has never been the case that candidate characteristics are the most important consideration. And it is often the case that attitudes about particular "single issues" can overwhelm everything else. While the things Trump said may matter a lot to you, you can't expect that those same things matter to other people, who may believe in very different things and have very different life experiences. We won't be able to answer this question in detail for a few months, but I suspect we are going to find not that many Trump voters did not completely ignore the things he said, but they heavily discounted them because of other concerns. And for another big chunk, race and ethnicity in particular get bound up with fear and discontent. That, unfortunately, is very common in the human condition.
This graphic from the NY Times summarizes Trump and Clinton support, compared to elections back to 2004, among key demographics. You may want to look at this first before following up on the links below.http://www.nytimes.com/…/…/elections/exit-poll-analysis.html
3a) On Gender: Clinton simply did not benefit much from her gender, at least that's what the evidence indicates. Gender identity is very different from racial solidarity, so expecting the gender effect in 2016 to function like the race effect in 2012 and 2008 was probably wishful thinking, no matter how much gender identity may matter to you.
Michael Tesler at the Monkey Cage, with extensive citations to past work on the comparative weakness of gender identity.https://www.washingtonpost.com/…/why-the-gender-gap-doomed…/
3b) On Ethnicity (primarily Latinos): Evidence is far more mixed. The finding you are seeing in the press is that Trump received 29% of the Latino vote, which exceeds Romney's margin by 9%. However, others are disputing this finding, critiquing the way the exit polls are conducted. This one will be debated for a while.
Matt Barreto of UCLA and Latino Decisions (and older brother of a recent Reed alum in political science) runs down why he thinks the exit polls overestimate Trump support among Latinos http://www.latinodecisions.com/…/the-rundown-on-latino-vot…/ (UPDATE: Nice article at the Monkey Cage.)
3c) On African American support: Clinton did not do as well as Obama among African Americans. If the 88% number holds, that's down 5% from 2012. But what appears to have been more damaging is lower turnout overall, and this really hurt in states like Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
Politico story on the number of African Americans in Florida who voted early in 2012 and did not in 2016, citing the work of political scientist Daniel Smith of University of Florida. http://www.politico.com/…/clinton-campaign-struggles-in-get…
Analysis of the exit poll data by political scientists Stanley Feldman and Melissa Herrman http://www.cbsnews.com/…/cbs-news-exit-polls-how-donald-tr…/
4) What about the polls and the forecasts? Does this indicate that polling and statistical forecasting is junk?
It may not surprise that my answer is "no." There was a systematic miss for the polls, and consequently the forecasts, and the misses were all in red states. If the models were junk, they would have missed in the blue states as well. That means there was something going on in the red states that was missed by the political observers and political scientists who obviously need to scrutinize what they are doing. But your own fundamentals based forecasts predicted Clinton's vote almost precisely, as did at least two of the forecasts in PS. Something is seriously amiss about Trump support, but there's no evidence (yet) that there is something seriously amiss about the fundamental underpinnings of election science.
Andrew Gelman does a nice job showing the consistent miss in red states http://andrewgelman.com/…/polls-just-fine-blue-states-blew…/
Gelman shows how a comparatively small yet systematic 2% shift in support toward Trump appears to explain virtually all the "misses."http://andrewgelman.com/…/11/09/explanations-shocking-2-sh…/
See also Nate Silver http://fivethirtyeight.com/…/what-a-difference-2-percentag…/
Silver reminds us (as you read in his book) that there is a tendency among people to refuse to acknowledge the meaning of uncertainty and probability. He's to blame as much as anyone for producing these seemingly precise forecasts, but he's not to blame for reporters and citizens not understanding uncertainty.
Election day is all about ballot cast at the polling place, right?
In fact, millions of absentee ballots will be arriving today at county elections offices. These ballots may have been delivered right on time by the postal service, or dropped off at a drop box, or hand carried into the local elections office.
In so called "postmark" states (Alaska, California, Illinois, Maryland, New York, North Dakota, Utah, Washington, and Utah), ballots need only be postmarked by November 8th (oddly enough, November 7th in Utah) and can arrive a few days to two weeks later.
Finally, in a few states, such as Arizona, Montana and California, you can even drop off your absentee ballot at the local polling place. (Editor's Note: If anyone knows a comprehensive list of these states, I'd appreciate a link.)
These late arriving ballots can easily make the difference in close races.
In Multnomah County, OR, elections director Tim Scott estimates that anywhere from 110,000 to 150,000 ballots will arrive today–that's more than 20% of the total registered voters in the county, so likely more than 30% of the final tally! Statewide, assuming total turnout of 80%, nearly 500,000 ballots that will be making their way into county offices today.
In Maricopa County, AZ, the second largest election jurisdiction in the country, over 100,000 ballots are typically dropped off on election day, according to Tammy Patrick of the Bipartisan Policy Center who worked in Maricopa for a number of years.
What happens to these absentee ballots? Are they counted immediately or are they counted at the close of polls? What about the absentee ballots that arrived prior to Election Day? I've received a flurry of questions about this today.
The quick answer is that in most states, absentee ballots are processed as they arrive. The ballots are scanned but not counted, and tallying doesn't occur until Election Day (in some states, at the start of the business day, in some states, after the polls close. The "scanning" vs."tallying" distinction is important–election officials can't just walk into a room and glance at vote totals–because no totals exist. Totals are only calculated when a particular form or report is created.
This means that in most states, the first results will include absentee ballots that arrived prior to Election Day, but will almost certainly not include ballots that arrived on Election Day.
The late arriving ballots will generally not even begin to be processed until Wednesday. While this may frustrate politicians, their supporters, and Americans who want to see an announcement of the final results, the delay is necessary to assure the security and integrity of our elections system.
First, in many states, absentee ballots cannot be processed before the close of the polls because election officials have to check to make sure that no one has voted twice, once by absentee ballot and a second time at a polling place. This is the kind of security measure that exists in the American election system and is often ignored by those making unsubstantiated charges of "rigging."
Next, the absentee ballots need to be processed. This involves a multistep
- Signatures need to be verified
- Ballots need to be separated from the outside envelope
- In some states, ballots need to be inspected (and potentially "remade") so they can be read by the machines.
After all these steps are completed, the ballots can be scanned and the votes counted.
In most states, none of this will happen on election night, when election officials have already worked a very long and arduous day. Election officials need their beauty sleep, just like the rest of us!
And they'll be working hard to provide full and accurate results for days and weeks after November 8th.
We have nearly final figures on the early voting totals in each state, and the ballot return rates continue to force us to reconsider many of our previous assumptions about who votes early and where early voting is most popular.
Early voting as a percent of the 2012 early vote, as shown in the first map, is blowing old totals out of the water. Charles Stewart has reported on the pace of early voting in North Carolina and Daniel Smith has been doing the same for Florida. Other states with extraordinarily high numbers compared to 2012 include Arizona (106%), Georgia (124%), Maryland (167%), and Nevada (109%). As I noted in an early posting, the Massachusetts and Minnesota numbers are misleading because they have relaxed their early voting laws.
These numbers are more impressive when viewed as a proportion of the total 2012 vote. This indicates higher turnout overall, or an electorate that is switching wholesale to early voting. In either case, it means that in the states that rank high on this list (Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Oregon, Tennessee, and Washington), it's not going to be enough any more to have an election day GOTV operation.
Election day is rapidly becoming election week(s) in many parts of the country.
(This post co-written by Paul Gronke and Brian Hamel, Department of Political Science, UCLA)
Even the prospects of ghosts, goblins, Russian hackers, and Wikileaked emails don't seem to be able to stem the tide of early voters in 2016. It's truly a historically early early vote total nationwide. (Take that sentence, Doug!)
Five days ago, we reported that in a number of key battleground states, close to 50% of all early votes cast in 2012 had already been cast in 2016. With less than a week till Election Day, these numbers continue to climb
The highest rate is in Louisiana, where the total early votes cast this cycle have already exceeded the total cast in 2012 over six more days of balloting. Sec'y Tom Schedler talked about this last week at the Bipartisan Policy Center. This may be a result of good election planning. After all, if the Tigers beat 'Bama this Saturday, there could be a few folks who won't wake up until after Election Day! Something unique is happening in the Bayou State.
Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee are also showing very high ballot return numbers, at or exceeding 80% of the 2012 totals.
Overall, twenty-nine states have racked up more than half as many early votes as were cast over the full early voting period. For many states last week, these totals only included no-excuse, vote by mail ballots, but now millions of more voters are heading to early in-person voting locations in most major battleground states.
Out of Politico's eleven battleground states, in fact, only New Hampshire and Pennsylvania don't report more than half of the early vote has already been cast (if we use 2012 as a baseline). This is going to create a huge problem for Donald Trump if, as some sources report, his early vote targeting operation lags Hillary Clinton's.
The numbers look even more forbidding for Trump if you look at the early vote totals as a percentage of the total 2012 vote. These numbers have to be viewed with a bit of caution; state registration totals will have grown and shrunk during this period, and 2012 voter turnout is obviously an imperfect predictor of 2016 total. However, these numbers aren't going to have moved that much, and more importantly, the relative position of states will have changed even less.
In Florida, nearly a requirement for a Trump victory, early votes exceed 44% of all votes cast in 2012. In Nevada, not a key to a Trump victory, but a state that Harry Reid wants to deliver for Clinton, 45% of the 2012 total has already been cast. In Tennessee, things are looking brighter for Trump–over half of the 2012 totals are in the books, although we have no data on the partisan breakdown of these ballots.
Michael McDonald notes that only in Nevada do the party ballot return totals indicate a clear Democratic advantage, and the election electorate will break for Trump (it has to if more Democratic votes are cast early). Still, this may mean that Clinton can redeploy her targeting resources in Florida and other states in a way that Trump may not be able to.
These stunning figures could be the result of a number of factors, including voters simply responding to the convenience of early voting, the intensity of the campaign, the distinctiveness of the candidates, increased attention from the campaigns and parties on early voting mobilization, or any combination of the three. What is clear, however, is that early voting could be a key indicator of who is winning the horse race.
Data courtesy of Michael McDonald and the United States Election project.
(This is a guest posting from Brian Hamel, PhD student in the Department of Political Science at UCLA)
Early ballots are flowing in rapidly to local election officials throughout the country. As of October 26, according to Michael McDonald of the United States Election Project, over 12 million ballots have been processed.
This is a stunning figure, given that we are 13 days away from Election Day and 10 days before a number of key battleground states end early in-person voting. (You can find the whole early voting "schedule" on our Early Voting Calendar)
Even more surprising is how many early votes have already been cast as a percentage of all early votes cast in 2012. To illustrate this, we used McDonald's data and display early voting rates (darker red indicate a larger percentage of early ballots cast in 2016 as a percentage of all early ballots cast four years ago).
As shown, in a number of states, these figures approach or even exceed 50%. This is particularly true of a number of key battleground states. For example, in Florida, Iowa, and Virginia, 42.5%, 49.9%, and 49.2%, respectively, of 2012 early ballots have already been cast in 2016. We also see one of the largest shares in Arizona (50.7%), a traditionally red state where Clinton and Trump are in a statistical dead heat and where Clinton recently placed a $2 million ad buy .
These figures suggest that early voting is becoming an increasingly important aspect of American elections. Observers have long noted the sheer convenience of early voting, and the trend over just four years suggests that voters are responding to the convenience of these options.
Indeed, these trends are likely to structure campaign strategy over the final few weeks, as campaigns look to early voting returns—and the partisan breakdown of these returns—before deploying their resources. Stay tuned for more data and commentary on early voting in 2016!
Journalists are hungry at this point for any information that might give them some special insight into the eventual outcome in November, and early voting seems particularly valuable because, unlike a poll, early voting reflects, obviously, actual voting. What's much less clear is what we can conclude from early turnout at this juncture. As Michael McDonald warns routinely in his blog posts, these are early indicators, and may reflect changes in campaign mobilization, changes in state and local practices, along with voter interest and enthusiasm.
We have, for example, no research that I know of that correlates absentee ballot requests, returns, and eventual vote totals in a state. Comparisons between 2016, 2012, and 2008 seldom take into account in a systematic way spending rates and mobilization efforts by campaigns. Speculation about these things may make for good copy, but I don't spend a lot of time poring over these numbers.
I am quite willing to speak to reporters, however, on the topic of "voter regret," and whether early voting is "bad" because of the dynamic nature of "this year's campaign." These questions come in predictably just about this time, when the early vote totals really start to pile up, and reporters are on full alert, filing multiple stories about the campaign.
Here's the basic math: only a relatively small percentage of total votes have been cast at this point (two weeks out from Election Day). And a relatively small percentage of registered voters (and an even smaller number of likely voters) are truly undecided at this late stage. This translates into a tiny theoretical percentage of voters who will cast an early vote and who are likely to change their vote, ignoring in that calculation lots of research indicating that most early voters are decided voters who are not going to be swayed by information provided over the next two weeks.
The best estimate we have of the total numbers of ballots cast at this point is 6.5 million. This is take from McDonald's daily update on twitter.
This sounds like a big number, but we expect over 130 million ballots to be cast in 2016. The early vote totals to date are about 5% of the total expected. Three days ago (October 21), it was less than 4%. Five days ago, the total was under 2%. That bears repeating: 20 days before the election, less than 2% of ballots were cast early.
Now, let's see how many voters are really likely to be undecided at this stage of the campaign. According to Lynn Vavreck, a YouGov conducted three weeks ago found just 8% of registered voters were undecided. These undecided "… are less interested in politics and the news, less partisan, and less likely to hold opinions on issues dominating campaign discussions. Essentially, they think less about politics." A HuffPollster study conducted a week ago found a somewhat higher percentage of undecided, 14%, yet Natalie Jackson found little space for movement within this segment.
Now we can put everything together. Who are these "early" early voters? Are they voters who will change their minds? All the evidence we have accumulated from past elections says "no." Few early voters report that they regretted their choice, and most early voters report that they made up their minds relatively early. They tended to be more ideological and partisan than the average voter. Now, we have never had a study that samples early voters on the fly, after they cast their ballot, and follow up later on. Instead, we have to rely on post-election reports, and there may be some rationalization going on.
Nonetheless, as much as it may disappoint reporters, for the vast majority of citizens, the campaign is essentially over. It's possible that there may be a late breaking scandal, or late breaking information, or a late breaking event that could move millions of citizens to reevaluate these two candidates who have been in the klieg lights for nine months. Every reporter is dying to break this year's October surprise. But those surprises almost never occur, and given how strongly voters feel about these two candidates, there is very little that will move voters at this point.
Election "day" has begun! Enjoy the ride.
Very important posting by Rick Hasen, pulling together many links and stories debunking the "vote rigging" claims coming out of the Trump campaign. Rick deserves all the credit for assembling this valuable list of resources; I am posting here only so that there is a permanent link for reporters, advocates, and academics.
A Silver Lining from Trump Vote Rigging Claim: Republicans Repudiating Voter Fraud Myth
Posted on October 18, 2016 9:06 am by Rick Hasen
Here's Jennifer Rubin in today's WaPo:
Claims of massive fraud and efforts to discredit the election system are preposterous on their face, but injurious to our democratic system. Long before Trump arrived on the scene Republicans helped manufacture an environment in which the talk show/Breitbart/Sean Hannity set actually thinks massive fraud is possible. Republicans insistent on ensuring the integrity of the election system with voter ID requirements (which are overwhelmingly popular with voters) too often made it sound as if impersonation and double voting are commonplace. They are not. For example, in Florida in 2014 the Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections Susan Bucher turned over 14 names of people who possibly voted twice. Roughly 400,000 people voted in the county that year.
As the Associated Press reported, a 2012 study found millions of out of date voter registrations or people registered in multiple states, but "the report cited no evidence that those errors had contributed to any significant voter fraud. Instead, it pointed to estimates that at least 51 million U.S. citizens are eligible but not registered to vote." (If you've moved from one state to another you likely did not "unregister" in your former state of residence; that's not fraud.) Contrary to Trump's latest hysteria, "Most experts say voter fraud is extremely rare in the U.S., with one study by a Loyola Law School professor finding just 31 known cases of impersonation fraud out of 1 billion votes cast in U.S. elections between 2000 and 2014."
When I was on the News Hour yesterday, Al Cardenas of the Republican Party of Florida was adamant that massive voter fraud is not a problem.
There have been responsible Republicans on this for years, and more coming on line now, like Mark Braden, John Fortier, Chris Ashby, Rob Kelner, Ohio SOS John Husted, and others.
And then there's the path of Mike Roman, Hans von Spakovsky, Kris Kobach, and others. That is the road that should not be taken.
Let's hope after this election we see a turning point for the GOP, which can start with recognizing that voter fraud is an isolated problem not a massive one, and end with a repudiation of laws, such as very strict state voter identification laws, which make it harder to vote but do nothing to prevent fraud or instill voter confidence. Doing so is not only the right thing for Republicans to do, it is in their self-interest. Expanding and appealing to an electorate which is not old and white is the only way for GOP survival on a national scale.
Posted in campaigns, fraudulent fraud squad, The Voting Wars
"Controversial Republican Mike Roman to run Donald Trump's 'election protection'"
Posted on October 18, 2016 9:04 am by Rick Hasen
Must-read from Ben Jacobs of The Guardian:
Donald Trump's "election protection" effort will be run by Mike Roman, a Republican operative best known for promoting a video of apparent voter intimidation by the New Black Panthers outside a polling place in 2008.
Roman is to oversee poll-watching efforts as Trump undertakes an unprecedented effort by a major party nominee by calling into question the legitimacy of the popular vote weeks before election day….
Multiple sources have confirmed to the Guardian that Roman, who also previously ran the Koch network's now defunct internal intelligence agency, will oversee the Trump campaign's efforts to monitor polling places for any signs of voter fraud.
Roman is best known for his role in promoting a video that showed two members of the New Black Panthers – a fringe group that claims descent from the 1960s radicals – standing outside a Philadelphia polling place dressed in uniforms, with one carrying a nightstick. Police are called and the two men leave.
Posted in chicanery, fraudulent fraud squad, The Voting Wars
"Donald Trump says the election is 'rigged.' Here's what his supporters think that means.
Posted on October 18, 2016 9:00 am by Rick Hasen
At a campaign rally here Monday evening, Dave Radtke, 66, said he expects Democrats will load people on buses in Chicago and bring them to Wisconsin to vote, where legal residents are allowed to register on Election Day. Josh Eilers, 22, said he expects Democrats will go to Chicago and pay homeless people to vote for Hillary Clinton, something that he says happens "way too much." Sue Rosenthal, 74, said "something seems off" with early voting programs in large cities that she says allow a stream of people to have access to voting machines ahead of Election Day. Gene A. Wheaton, 68, said the Democrats will use "any means necessary" to win, so he worries about "the stealth thing that they can do electronically or some other way to really either erase somebody's valid vote or get a bunch of people in secretly voting to load it up for the other side."
Trump supporters were insistent that such fraud is rampant and that major media outlets are conspiring to hide the issue. While many said they are glad that Wisconsin now requires an identification to vote, they said polls need more security measures.
Posted in campaigns, chicanery, fraudulent fraud squad
"Election officials brace for fallout from Trump's claims of a 'rigged' vote"
Posted on October 18, 2016 8:58 am by Rick Hasen
Donald Trump's escalating effort to undermine the presidential election as "rigged" has alarmed government officials administering the vote as well as Democratic and Republican leaders, who are anxiously preparing for the possibility of unrest or even violence on Election Day and for an extended battle over the integrity of the outcome.
Hillary Clinton's advisers are privately worried that Trump's calls for his supporters to stand watch at polling places in cities such as Philadelphia for any hint of fraud will result in intimidation tactics that might threaten her supporters and suppress the votes of African Americans and other minorities.
The Democratic nominee's campaign is recruiting and training hundreds of lawyers to fan out across the country, protecting people's right to vote and documenting any signs of foul play, according to several people with knowledge of the plans.
Posted in campaigns, chicanery, fraudulent fraud squad, The Voting Wars
"Election Law Expert: Rigged Election 'Extraordinarily Unlikely"
Posted on October 18, 2016 8:56 am by Rick Hasen
Ned Foley on NPR.
Posted in election administration, The Voting Wars
"McConnell, denounce Trump's 'rigged election' comments"
Posted on October 18, 2016 8:53 am by Rick Hasen
Josh Douglas for CNN.
Posted in campaigns, chicanery
"Trump's Claims of 'Rigged' Election Could Hurt His Own Campaign, Research Shows"
Posted on October 18, 2016 8:52 am by Rick Hasen
Byron Tau for the WSJ:
But his rhetoric could also have the impact of hurting his own campaign, according to some of the latest research into the topic.
In one experiment conducted by Adam Seth Levine of Cornell University and Robyn L. Stiles of Louisiana State University's Manship School of Mass Communication, different groups of voters were given different messages in an online ad touting voter registration — including "Registering is quick, easy, & free," "Wealthy buying elections," or "The system is rigged."
Researchers found that the negative messages like "Wealthy buying elections" and "The system is rigged" were less effective in generating clicks than a more positive message like "registering is quick, easy, and free."
This is also why in recent days we have seen the Clinton team pivoting to a message that voting is easy from one talking about Republicans trying to make it more difficult to vote.
Posted in campaigns
"Trump poses an unprecedented threat to the peaceful transition of power"
Posted on October 18, 2016 8:39 am by Rick Hasen
WaPo editorial:
Now, for the first time in modern history, a major-party candidate rejects both sides of that equation. If he loses, Donald Trump says, it will be due to cheating that makes the result illegitimate. If he wins, he will imprison his defeated opponent.
Many Americans may not have given much thought to what a breathtaking departure this represents, because until now we have had the luxury of never having to think about such things. We have been able to take for granted the quadrennial peaceful transition of power. We watch from a distance when political parties in one foreign country or another take up arms after losing an election. We look, as at something that could never happen here, when a foreign leader sends an opponent to jail or into exile. This can happen in Zimbabwe, we think, or Russia, or Cambodia, but not here. Not in the United States.
Posted in campaigns, chicanery
"Shameful Silence on Donald Trump's Lies About Vote-Rigging"
Posted on October 18, 2016 8:36 am by Rick Hasen
NYT editorial:
Instead of disavowing this absurdity outright, Republican leaders sit by in spineless silence. Mitch McConnell, the Senate majority leader, and Paul Ryan, the speaker of the House, are the two most powerful Republicans in the country and should be willing to put the national interest above their own. Both know full well that there is no "rigging," and yet between them they have managed one tepid response to Mr. Trump's outrageous accusations: "Our democracy relies on confidence in election results," Mr. Ryan's spokeswoman said, "and the speaker is fully confident the states will carry out this election with integrity."
This is like standing back while an arsonist pours gasoline all over your house, then expressing confidence that the fire department will get there in time.
Posted in campaigns, chicanery
PBS News Hour Interview with Me and Al Cardenas on Trump Vote-Rigging Claims
Posted on October 17, 2016 7:19 pm by Rick Hasen
Posted in chicanery, election administration, fraudulent fraud squad, The Voting Wars
"Election officials, Clinton team brace for fallout from Trump's 'rigged' claims"
Posted on October 17, 2016 4:31 pm by Rick Hasen
WaPo reports.
Posted in campaigns, chicanery, fraudulent fraud squad, The Voting Wars
"Donald Trump's 'Rigged Election' Claims Raise Historical Alarms"
Posted on October 17, 2016 4:27 pm by Rick Hasen
Zack Roth for NBC News.
Posted in chicanery, fraudulent fraud squad, The Voting Wars
"Trump claims without evidence that the election is rigged, but officials say that's not how voting works"
Posted on October 17, 2016 4:19 pm by Rick Hasen
The LA Times reports.
Posted in Uncategorized
"Voter Fraud; It would be literally insane to try to steal an election in the way Donald Trump is alleging."
Posted on October 17, 2016 3:16 pm by Rick Hasen
I have written this piece for Slate. It begins:
In recent days, Donald Trump has been aggressively pushing the idea that the election is about to be stolen from him through voter fraud and dirty tricks. The Republican candidate, though, has not been a paragon of clarity when it comes to how the election is being rigged against him—Monday morning he tweeted that Hillary Clinton allegedly being fed questions before a Democratic primary debate was a kind of "voter fraud!" Here's what we know, though, about what he's said and why his claims that the election is being stolen have no basis whatsoever in reality.
It concludes:
Finally, vote-counting at county offices and elsewhere is a transparent act, with Republicans, Democrats, and good government groups watching the counting. When voting anomalies occur, generally because of human error, they are quickly caught and publicized on Twitter, and then corrected. Most election administrators doing the tabulating and reporting are dedicated public servants who want the process to be as transparent as possible to promote public confidence—not a cadre of Clinton-backing globalists who have secretly infiltrated the most local level of Democratic participation for just this moment.As the Columbus Dispatch reported of the prospect of rigging Ohio's elections: " 'It would take Mission Impossible,' said Terry Casey, a Republican consultant in Columbus who sat on the Franklin County Board of Elections for 14 years and is a former chairman of the Ohio Board of Voting Machine Examiners."
None of this of course will convince die-hard Trump supporters and some Republican voters who have been primed to believe Democrats are regularly stealing elections. I hope they won't get violent or intimidate voters on Election Day, as is seeming increasingly—and frighteningly—likely. For those of us living on planet Earth, we should dismiss Trump's claims of vote-rigging as the rantings of someone who is either too stupid to know how voting works or too disingenuous to tell the truth.
Posted in election administration, The Voting Wars
"Donald Trump's Pants on Fire claim of 'large scale voter fraud'"
Posted on October 17, 2016 3:11 pm by Rick Hasen
Politifact reports.
Posted in Uncategorized
"'No justification for concern about widespread voter fraud,' Jon Husted says"
Posted on October 17, 2016 2:54 pm by Rick Hasen
The Columbus Dispatch reports.
Posted in Uncategorized
"Election officials scoff at Trump's claim of 'rigged' vote"
Posted on October 17, 2016 2:54 pm by Rick Hasen
Reid Wilson reports for The Hill.
Posted in Uncategorized
"Trump says the election could be rigged. Here's why it won't be."
Posted on October 17, 2016 12:04 pm by Rick Hasen
I spoke with Alex Cohen of KPCC's Take Two.
Posted in campaigns, chicanery, fraudulent fraud squad
There He Goes Again Dep't; A Collection of My Responses to Trump's Irresponsible Vote Rigging Rhetoric
Posted on October 17, 2016 8:49 am by Rick Hasen
This morning Donald Trump tweeted the following:
Donald J. Trump
Of course there is large scale voter fraud happening on and before election day. Why do Republican leaders deny what is going on? So naive!
I responded with a 15-tweet tweetstorm.
Some of my earlier posts and articles on this topic:
(Literally) Waking Up to the Danger of Trump's Vote Rigging Comments to Democracy
Trump's Irresponsible Vote-Rigging Statements Literally Putting Our Democracy at RiskDonald Trump's Dangerous Vote Rigging Comments Follow Years of Republican Voter Fraud Hysteria (TPM)
If you're worried about rigged elections, look at Trump's tactics first
Posted in chicanery, fraudulent fraud squad, The Voting Wars


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Sit up and take notice! Looking shy & sweet, plush Bear is ready to be baby's first buddy. Pull his knot tail, tug his ears, shake him up and hear the rattle…He's one tough but tender Teddy!
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aFe Power 49-44061-B Rebel Series Cat-Back Exhaust System
aFe Power 49-44061-B Rebel Series Cat-Back Exhaust System 3 in. SS Tubing - Single Passenger Side Exit - Incl SS Muffler - Dual 3.5 in. Black SS Tips - +9 hp. 10 ft.\lbs. Torque
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aFe Power - Rebel Series Cat-Back Exhaust System P/N 49-44061-B Features:
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Advanced Flow Engineering, Inc. (aFe) produces high flow, high performance air filters & intake systems for the automotive industry. Founded in April, 1999, aFe was created to address an obvious need in the automotive aftermarket industry: a lack of choice for a high performance aftermarket air filter. We are a team of engineers, machinists, production and sales people who believe in the product we design. We each have years of experience in our respective positions and together work to ensure that we have the best product on the market. Our purpose was not just to be another vendor that offers air filters, we chose to pay attention to those finer details that set an aFe filter apart from the competition. We currently offer aftermarket air filters for passenger cars, light trucks and SUV's. We also have many applications for round racing and universal clamp-on filters. To find your particular application, please use our new search engines. If you do not see your particular application listed, please contact us.
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text:
My guess is that it's not easy. First Look is obviously trying to establish
itself as a link between growers and breeders, but I think that's going to take
a few years. Beyond that, if you havn't established a "name" for yourself as a
breeder, and don't have an avenue to get your plant noticed, I think it would
be hard to find someone to sell it for you.
When I introduced Satisfaction, nobody paid any attention to it because they
had never heard of me. The best offer I could get was to give it to someone to
tc and they would give me a tray of plants free. I was selling them for $200
each and they were offering me plants worth $2-300 at most. Tony Avent was the
first person who recognized how good it was and helped me get it beyond my
limited market, but it's still not well known. Shady Oaks is doing it now and
it probably won't be long before a lot of people are selling it. If I hadn't
been able to sell it myself, I can't see how I could have made much on it.
There are a number of people who are always looking for good new plants, Naylor
Creek, Green Hill, Tony, and others, but I suspect they are very picky and they
probably have a lot of people offering them plants to choose from. People talk
a lot about how many new plants are introduced these days, but I suspect that
they are spending more time reading the new registrations than actually trying
to find the plants. Most of the new plants never see widespread distribution.
Ray W wrote:
> Everybody commenting seems to be in the nursery business, except Bill which
> I am not sure of. What outlets do the hybridizers (not in the business) use
> to get a return on their plants. There are a good handful of breeders on
> this listserve whom would probably like a little direction here (myself
> included).
> Ray
> Bob wrote:
> > Chick wrote:
> > but I'm not
> > > going to whine about other people making a buck off my plants when
> > > that's how I've been making a living for all these years.
> >
> > Hi everyone
> > This is exactly what I have been saying. Unless someone who sells
> > hostas or sold hostas for years sent a payment to Mildred and Aden and
> > others it is pretty hard to gripe now. I do think things have to change
> > though or the sellers of hostas except maybe walmart and probably even
> > the hybridizers aren't going to be around much longer if there are no
> > decent returns on their labors.
> > --
> > Bye
> > Bob Bob Axmear 208 2nd St Ne Waukon, Ia 52172
> > Hostasonline http://hostasonline.com/
> > Gardensights Websites http://gardensights.com/
> > Hosta Library http://hostalibrary.org/
> > ---------------------------------------------------------------------
> > To sign-off this list, send email to email@example.com with the
> > message text UNSUBSCRIBE HOSTA-OPEN
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------
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text:
Möchtest du als deine Standardwährung festlegen oder nur für diese Sitzung behalten?
The breakfast is good, but very expensive if you do not have it included in your room price. Food and beverages are very expensive - even for a resort. Cheaper to rent a car and drive into town to eat. One of our biggest issues is that 4 mornings in a row we were locked out of our room and had to wait for security to let us in. Twice we were told they were going to replace the mechanism on the door, but we do not believe it ever happened. This was very maddening as we had to wait a long time and almost missed two excursions we had booked. The same thing happened to the people in the room next to us. Also - they charged our card many times for things not ours - still disputing some things on our card. I do not recommend this place.


text:
1. Are you both connecting to the same ISP, through the same connection?
2. what are the speed differences in your processors?
3. Are you downloading from the same locations?
4. What are the sizes of downloads and how much time total does it take for an identical download of the same file from the same location?
Answer these and we may be able to give you a reason.
Also, downloaders may only appear to give you a speed boost. Depends upon the system overhead, the connection and the program.
i cant find any
i get a lousy speed while my friend w/ windows 7 and idm (internet download manager) gets a much better download speed
whyy ??!!


text:
Reviews for Budget Hotel Tourist InnAddress: Spuistraat 52, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Rooms from: US$ 112.27
Ratings Explained
(Hostelworld.com and Affiliate sites)
The following reviews were submitted by customers who booked through our sister site, Hostelworld.com, in the last 12 months.
The ratings in the rating box are based on all-time feedback for the property and are the opinions of the customers who submitted them; they do not express the opinions of Hostelworld.com or our affiliate sites.
Overall Rating (48 Ratings)
Customer Reviews for Budget Hotel Tourist Inn
kschlosser373, from USA ~ 10th Jul 2016
cesquivel7471, from USA ~ 18th Jun 2016
yaninochka8989, from Russia ~ 29th Feb 2016
heltonritter7896, from Brazil ~ 15th Jun 2016
Rebbyrebrebs, from Australia ~ 21st May 2016
grimaldoabraham6882, from USA ~ 9th Jun 2016
brontehoward7458, from Australia ~ 17th Jun 2016
patrickoexle2842, from USA ~ 14th Jun 2016
JesusG, from Paraguay ~ 8th Jun 2016
michaelvourdoumpas7959, from Australia ~ 8th Jun 2016


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All Topics » Justice and Law Enforcement » Law enforcement
Law enforcement (101 - 110 of 787 items)
Drug Control: Better Coordination with the Department of Homeland Security and an Updated Accountability Framework can Further Enhance DEA's Efforts to Meet Post-9/11 Responsibilities
GAO-09-63: Published: Mar 20, 2009. Publicly Released: Apr 20, 2009.
Given the global context of the war on drugs--coupled with growing recognition since September 11, 2001 (9/11), of the nexus between drug trafficking and terrorism--the mission of the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) and efforts to forge effective interagency partnerships and coordination are increasingly important. GAO was asked to examine, in the context of the post-9/11 environment, DEA's...
Immigration Enforcement: Better Controls Needed over Program Authorizing State and Local Enforcement of Federal Immigration Laws
GAO-09-109: Published: Jan 30, 2009. Publicly Released: Mar 4, 2009.
Section 287(g) of the Immigration and Nationality Act, as amended, authorizes the federal government to enter into agreements with state and local law enforcement agencies to train officers to assist in identifying those individuals who are in the country illegally. U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is responsible for supervising state and local officers under this program. GAO was as...
Immigration Enforcement: Controls over Program Authorizing State and Local Enforcement of Federal Immigration Laws Should Be Strengthened
GAO-09-381T: Published: Mar 4, 2009. Publicly Released: Mar 4, 2009.
This testimony discusses the Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement's (ICE) management of the 287(g) program. Recent reports indicate that the total population of unauthorized aliens residing in the United States is about 12 million. Some of these aliens have committed one or more crimes, although the exact number of aliens that have committed crimes is un...
Crime Victims' Rights Act: Increasing Awareness, Modifying the Complaint Process, and Enhancing Compliance Monitoring Will Improve Implementation of the Act
GAO-09-54: Published: Dec 15, 2008. Publicly Released: Dec 15, 2008.
On October 30, 2004, the Crime Victims' Rights Act (CVRA) was enacted, establishing eight rights for federal crime victims and two mechanisms to enforce those rights. The legislation also directed GAO to evaluate the implementation of the CVRA. To address this mandate, GAO reviewed: (1) efforts made to implement the CVRA, (2) mechanisms in place to ensure adherence to the CVRA, (3) methods the Dep...
Plan Colombia: Drug Reduction Goals Were Not Fully Met, but Security Has Improved; U.S. Agencies Need More Detailed Plans for Reducing Assistance
GAO-09-71: Published: Oct 6, 2008. Publicly Released: Nov 5, 2008.
In September 1999, the government of Colombia announced a strategy, known as "Plan Colombia," to (1) reduce the production of illicit drugs (primarily cocaine) by 50 percent in 6 years and (2) improve security in Colombia by re-claiming control of areas held by illegal armed groups. Since fiscal year 2000, the United States has provided over $6 billion to support Plan Colombia. The Departments of...
USA Patriot Act: Better Interagency Coordination and Implementing Guidance for Section 311 Could Improve U.S. Anti-Money Laundering Efforts
GAO-08-1058: Published: Sep 30, 2008. Publicly Released: Oct 30, 2008.
Since September 11, 2001, the United States has established tools to address the threat to the U.S. financial system of money laundering and terrorist financing. One such tool is Section 311 of the USA PATRIOT Act of 2001, which authorizes the Secretary of the Treasury (Treasury) to prohibit U.S. financial institutions from maintaining certain accounts for foreign banks if they involve foreign jur...
Drug Control: Cooperation with Many Major Drug Transit Countries Has Improved, but Better Performance Reporting and Sustainability Plans Are Needed
GAO-08-784: Published: Jul 15, 2008. Publicly Released: Aug 14, 2008.
Each year, criminal organizations transport hundreds of tons of illegal drugs from South America to the United States through a 6 million square mile "transit zone" including Central America, the Caribbean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the eastern Pacific Ocean. Since fiscal year 2003, the United States has provided over $950 million to support counternarcotics efforts in transit zone countries, which...
International Marriage Broker Regulation Act of 2005: Agencies Have Implemented Some, but Not All of the Act's Requirements
GAO-08-862: Published: Aug 8, 2008. Publicly Released: Aug 8, 2008.
The International Marriage Broker Regulation Act of 2005 (IMBRA) was enacted to address issues of domestic violence and abuse against noncitizens (beneficiaries) married or engaged to U.S. citizens (petitioners) who have petitioned for them to immigrate to the U.S., including those who met through an international marriage broker (IMB). IMBRA mandated that GAO study the act's impact on the visa pr...
U.S. Capitol Police: Progress Made in Addressing Prior GAO Recommendations on Administrative and Management Operations
GAO-08-1000T: Published: Jul 16, 2008. Publicly Released: Jul 16, 2008.
The United States Capitol Police (USCP) is responsible for securing the 276-acre Capitol Complex, including protecting Members of Congress, congressional facilities, national treasures, and visitors. In response to heightened security concerns, various requests, and legislative mandates over the years, GAO has reported on management control problems in five key areas: (1) establishing an accountab...
Intellectual Property: Leadership and Accountability Needed to Strengthen Federal Protection and Enforcement
GAO-08-921T: Published: Jun 17, 2008. Publicly Released: Jun 17, 2008.
U.S. government efforts to protect and enforce intellectual property (IP) rights domestically and overseas are crucial to preventing billions of dollars in losses to U.S. industry and IP rights owners. The illegal importation and distribution of IP-infringing goods also poses a threat to the health and safety of U.S. citizens. However, the challenges involved in IP protection are significant and r...


text:
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Steven By Steve Madden P-staar Pink Pumps
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Size: 6.5 Regular (M, B)
Price: $40.60
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A girly girl shoe!! Pink & yellow rhinestones!!! Need I say more ?! ;) sparkly party shoes or night on the town shoes. Vegas anyone?!
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text:
Jorge Santiago Perednik (1952-2011) was born in Buenos Aires, Argentina. An influential poet and literary critic, he was also a publisher and a translator of English and American poetry. He founded several literary journals, two of the most influential being XUL and Deriva. The former was an important poetry journal that started publishing during Argentina's last military dictatorship in 1980; it continued until 1997 with the printing of its 12th issue. As a journal, XUL provided regular compilations of some the most innovative poetry of its time. The journal was also one of Argentina's best sources of new critical writing. It was dedicated to publishing the most diverse poetics within the experimental tradition. Perednik's work as a poet and editor reflected his interest in many of the poetics included in the journal: visual poetry; John Cage's mesostics; sound and performative texts--along with the most serious experimental works in Spanish American poetry. Perednik's writing was primarily associated with his always expanding interest in exploring language and its relation to poetry rather than with any particular literary school.
The Journal of EPSIANS
The journal's title EPSIANS derives from EPSI, i.e., English Poetry Studies Institute of Sun Yat-sen University (P. R. China). The journal is international in scope, open to Chinese and English-speaking scholars, and is mainly devoted to poetry studies with occasional contributions on other related topics. The first issue was published in September of 2011, and can be downloaded here. Papers submitted to the journal should be sent to: epsians2011--@--gmail.com. Deadline for contribution to the third issue is June 1, 2012.
[free PDFs of issue 1 and 2 here]
PennSound has replaced the low-res version of these tapes, so now possible to see in full-screen. The program took place at the Whitney's Philip Morris space, across from Grand Central terminal in New York.
read the E-Ratio interview


text:
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. Kids can use their creativity and imagination to create interesting and colorful structures.
Product NotesView All Kids Adventure View All Toys & Books
List: $49.99
|24pc Beginner Jumbo Block Set
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All Entries Tagged With: "Airbender 2.0"
New Trent Unveils Airbender 2.0 – Protective Bluetooth Keyboard Case for iPad 5
Posted by Mary Ann Neder | Oct 23, 2013 | Comments 0The New Trent Airbender 2.0 is a durable, hard clam shell case with a detachable Bluetooth keyboard ideal for home or office use. The Airbender 2.0 provides protection and added functionality to the iPad 5 with its 360 degree rotating case for landscape or portrait viewing angles and user friendly Bluetooth keyboard.
Read More


text:
Riviera Maya: Cobá, Tulum e Tankach-Ha Cenote
Duração: 1 dia
We share the passion of traveling. Our passion is deliver the best experiences with a local touch, authentic, and professional guides. We are proud of the beauty of the destinations that host us; and our main mission is share with you our expertise and provide a unforgettable holiday.


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1-4 heads red or white or mixed
Recipe Directions
1.remove some of the outer leaves from the cabbage heads and set them aside
2. run the rest through juicer with blank plate
3. in a large bowl, press cabbage down, as far as it will go, and top with saved leaves and press it down again
4. put a layer of plastic wrap on top, and press it all down again.
5. put a weight on it, like a bag of water or un-opened lentils that fit the shape of the bowl well.
6. cover with a towel and place somewhere you don't go often, because it really stinks
7. check in 3 days to see if you have kraut. it should smell pickled and be translucent .
Print This Recipe (PDF)
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Russia look to 'Marushka' Sharapova in Fed Cup final
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editors' picks
November 13, 2015
Donald Trump tells 10-year-old that 'space is terrific' but potholes are more
Donald Trump speaks while Sen. "That's really nice of you". "Every day, another one goes out". Ann Marie Banfield, education specialist with the conservative policy group N.H.
November 13, 2015
Syrian Media Claims Israeli Planes Hit Targets in Damascus
Notably, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was in Washington, D.C., where he was having a meeting with U.S. However, Syrian opposition groups quoted on Israeli television said the target was a Hezbollah weapons shipment.
November 13, 2015
Paul sidelined again for groin; Redick out, too
The Los Angeles Clippers are averaging 105.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 101.4 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Booker was on the floor for a whopping 16 seconds before a head collision with Weems left him with a large, bloody cut.
November 13, 2015
Spotify app now recommends concerts based on user preferences
Spotify users can now receive notifications about upcoming concerts relevant to their music preferences. A new update promises Spotify listeners will never miss their favorite bands whenever they're in town.
November 13, 2015
Bloodied Gerald Green punched man in his apartment lobby
Green issued a statement following his suspension: "I want to apologize to my family, fans and the Heat organization", said Green. Green has averaged 10.3 points in his three appearances with Miami, with whom he signed as a free agent in July.
November 13, 2015
London to host World Tour Finals for three more years
All the matches are tough ones against him, but I feel good, I feel fresh and, hopefully, I can play a few good tennis this week. Rather unusually, we arrive at the World Tour Finals without the Bryan brothers having sown up the top ranking.
November 13, 2015
'Love the Coopers' Review: Holly and Folly
Their daughter Eleanor (Olivia Wilde) lingers at the airport bar, trying to prolong returning home to her family right away. Wilde plays a reckless playwright with self-destructive romantic tendencies; and Lacy, a stoic, heroic conservative.
November 13, 2015
NPA Welcomes FDA Efforts Toward "Natural" Definition
The Natural Products Association (NPA) responded yesterday, welcoming FDA efforts toward defining " natural ". Here's where you can go to submit comments about the use of the term "natural" on food labels .
November 13, 2015
Jets-Bills uniforms a nightmare for color blind people
NY Jets quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, top left, prepares for... "Then I realised all 22 players just looked like they played for the same team".
November 13, 2015
Salvation Army of Marietta to host Red Kettle Kick-Off
Last year, it fell a bit short of its goal, raising $279,000. "I hope you never need our services", she says. Money raised from the campaign is used to bolster the Army's charities throughout the year, Welch said.


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Hi, I'm Joshua
I'm a Creative Design Professional specializing in web, graphic, audio & video production!
Things I can do for you
Web Design
Is your brand being effectively projected online yet? Web presence is key to brand awareness with your audience and I specialize in building aesthetically beautiful, effective web designs.
Graphic Design
While web presence is key to brand awareness, effective graphic design ensures people remember your brand. From event promotional material, to site photography needs, I always provide affordable, top quality work.
Audio & Video Production
From informational videos to radio or television ad solutions, I am confident that I can provide you with a high quality solution for your project needs!
Marketing & Social Media Management
Whether you're a small business owner or the CEO of a large retail chain, you are here because you understand the value of marketing through new media. New media marketing is something I specialize in and offer affordable solutions for you to get an amazing value plus an amazing return.
Why you should hire me
For over 10 years, I've either been employed as an in-house professional creative specialist or freelancing as one. Specifically, I am experienced in small to large scale retail marketing solutions ranging from video production services for mom & pop shops all the way up to designing and implementing print and digital ad campaigns for multi-million dollar companies. Contact me today @ 512-777-1463 and let's utilize my experience for your creative needs!
Affordable High Quality
I am beyond proud of my portfolio and am even more proud to offer high quality solutions at affordable prices. How do I keep my prices affordable? I create tailor-made, exact solutions for companies so that you receive what you want without any fluff or bloat. I am also a huge proponent of bartering and have been able to provide small businesses (even those with the most minimal of budgets) the ability to hire me with exchange of goods or services rather than dollars. Ask me more about my pricing by calling 512-777-1463!
Some of My Work
Here are some of my most recent projects! Follow me on social media to see older projects or just ask me about it: email@example.com or 512-777-1463
You can also follow my blog to keep up with current design projects, the things that inspire me, and a hodgepodge of gobbledygook!
Interested in hiring me for your creative needs?
Retail Promotional Audio Production
Pizza Classics Radio Ad Spot
Retail Web, Graphic, Audio & Video Production
What my clients say
"I've worked with Joshua on a number of ads, web designs, direct mail campaigns, informational videos, and he even produces a podcast for my company. He always delivers high quality content and I'll continue to collaborate with him for a long time!"Todd Burns |Owner of Kegconnection.com & CMBecker International
"Hiring Joshua proved crucial in the relaunching of my brand and website. I cannot recommend Joshua highly enough!"CJ Legare | Founder, Functional Girl


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"Undisputed Bad Boy of Comedy," Andrew Dice Clay is up close and in your face. He keeps the audience entertained without losing any bit of what has made him famous.
Cirque du Soleil Shows
Best Selling Shows
Production Shows
Magic Shows
Adult Shows
Headliner Shows and Concerts
Comedy Shows
Tribute Shows
Hypnosis, Mind Reading & Psychic Shows
10 p.m. on Jan. 5 -7, Feb. 2 - 4 and 17 - 19, 2017.
Andrew Dice Clay, made a living during the '80s and '90s with his vulgar take on nursery rhymes and the treatment of women in his routine.
After all the success he garnered at the height of his career, it would have been easy for the Diceman to simply fade away into obscurity, but that just wouldn't be his style.
Clay is still taking his shots at women, talking about masturbation and even excites fans with his many nursery rhymes. Only now that the comedian is more than 50 years old, there are other things in his life worth noting, like his disconnect with modern technology and his aging body.
While you may think that Clay's style is something in the past, he manages to keep the audience entertained without losing any bit of what has made him famous. Perhaps the only real change to his routine is that he no longer smokes, he just hangs on to an unlit cigarette.
On the night that we saw him, Clay explained that he bought two shredders from Staples for the office he doesn't have. And after his kids realized that all the family pictures and DVDs in the house were gone, he simply said, "What? I didn't do it, the shredder did."
The Diceman is known for picking on the members of the audience seated closest to him, often referring to them as "jerk-offs" and regularly aggravates them so much that they end up getting thrown out. On this night, he shifted gears a bit and referred to one man in the audience as "Joey" and acted as if they were longtime friends.
And of course it wouldn't be an Andrew Dice Clay routine without some of his trademark nursery rhymes to close the show. The audience, many of whom were old enough to remember the Diceman in his heyday, spouted off the lines along with him, and then he stopped for one more crack at the crowd, "What? Like I don't know my own stuff?"
Don't miss your chance to add some laughs to your Vegas vacation.
3801 S. Las Vegas Blvd., Las Vegas, NV 89109


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Agent Ratings for Dave Uhlman
Dave Uhlman CalBRE #01795420
(25 reviews) Overall star rating: 5.0
Past 3 months: N/A
Closed clients: 5.0
Past 3 months: N/A
Closed clients: 5.0
Ratings Breakdown:
5 stars(25)
4 stars(0)
3 stars(0)
2 stars(0)
1 stars(0)
Showing All Reviews (25) Show only: 5 stars| 4 stars| 3 stars| 2 stars| 1 star| show all
Michael W.
Home buyer in Palm Springs
Dave is diligent, informative, and possesses a can do attitude. He knows what he is doing and has a valid answer for each question. He is very upbeat and brings a great attitude to each interaction. He's the tops.
Previous review from Michael W.
Dave was great. Attentive. Answered all my questions. He made this whole process very easy.
Ongel D.
Home buyer in Palm Desert
Dave has been my Agent for just about one year. I recently completed the purchase of my Home on May 2, 2016. Dave has been extraordinary in his Knowledge of the Palm Springs/Palm Desert areas, his professionalism to the Real Estate uncertainties, his attention to every deadline/date, and signature to be completed. Dave communicated every detail of my Home Purchase and negotiated a Fair and Honest Purchase for myself and the Seller.Most Impressive is Dave's Work Ethic. Although I became discouraged during my quest to find a new Home, Dave never gave up on finding just the "Right" house for me, and continuously displayed a true dedication to meet all my needs as a Buyer. Dave's Salesmanship is impeccable. I was very fortunate to have Dave as my Realtor. I would recommend Dave Uhlman to represent you for your next Real Estate Transaction. He will make your Home Purchase an Enjoyable Journey.
Previous review from Ongel D.
Dave has been an Excellent source for me during my quest to find the perfect house in Palm Springs. Dave is extremely knowledgable about the different neighborhoods and history of Palm Springs. Dave has been a great comfort. I would highly recommend Dave to anyone seeking Real Estate in the Desert. It has been a pleasure to work with Dave.
Matthew G.
Condo buyer in Palm Springs
Dave is amazing! Nothing was to much trouble! Considering we were out of town buyers he went above and beyond to help us! Thank you for all your hard work! Definitely work with Dave next property we buy!
Kristin S.
I have been working with Dave for awhile now. He has always answered my questions and he has been very helpful while I look for the perfect house.
Alex G.
Condo buyer in Palm Springs
We tapped Dave's expertise to find a home in a very popular area of South Palm Springs. Dave was absolutely superb in carefully listening to our needs, moving quickly to identify several possible properties and finally negotiating a very solid deal. He is exceptionally responsive by phone or email and I could not recommend anyone more highly.
John O.
You'll be in good hands with Dave. He's patient and has your best interests at heart.
Lorne C.
Dave was extremely helpful and was able to answer all the questions I asked him. He met me when he said he would and spent a lot of time showing me a variety of places. He was able to explain things clearly and precisely in a friendly manner. I very much enjoyed the time i spent with him and learned a lot more about the real estate in greater Palm Springs.
Bob P.
Dave has been very helpful to my wife and I as we are looking at homes in Indian Wells. The information that he has provided has given us an overview of what is available in the market should our home sell in the near future. We look forward to working with him if we decide to remain in the desert. Outstanding professional agent. bob & lilli patterson
John E.
I am happy to write this review because we had a very positive experience meeting and working with Dave Uhlman. We found Dave Uhlman through Zip Realty's website. Even before we met him he was able to help us over emails with with some mortgage questions and sorting out properties. In person he is positive and personable. Because we were new to the area, we were fortunate to find an agent who was knowledgeable both about the area and about the options of buying a home in California. He was able to suggest some buying options that we would not have occurred to us on our own. I would recommend Dave to anyone looking for an agent.
Bill W.
Dave is so very easy to deal with. No pressure, no stress, he listens to what your needs are and deals with you in the best possible manner. We would have no hesitation in recommending him to other people as your 'go to' realtor.
Jack T.
Dave shows us exactly what we've asked to see,unlike many'many realtors.He willingly shares his knowledge of the valley which is very helpful and time saving.Although we are from out of town it only took a few days to zero right in on what we wanted-price,location ,style,amenities etc.
Nicole S.
I have been casually looking for a home to purchase in my area for the past 6mo or so. Dave couldnt be more helpful! He is always on top of sending me new listings and always takes the time to listen to what specifics i am looking for and makes the needed adjusments to the search criteria. Although i have only met him on one occasion he is the most helpful and patient realtor i have worked with. As a first time home buyer, i couldnt have asked for more! thanks dave!!
Ron H.
Rachel O.
Dave has been awesome. We are from out of town and we are interested in purchasing a condo in Palm Desert. We haven't found our perfect place yet, but Dave has helped navigate the area and helped us determine exactly what we are looking for. Hopefully the right place will come up soon. I would refer Dave to anyone I know looking for a place in the Coachella valley!
Anthony B.
We started working with Dave and he hit it right away showing us exactly the kind of properties we asked for Previous real estate agents seemed to have their own agenda but Dave was awesome
Kathy O.
Condo buyer in Cathedral City
Dave has fabulous patience and was just great to work with. He showed us umpteen properties and always was in good spirits in spite of my "pickiness". When we found the property we have just purchased, he was so good about meeting inspectors and going back to check things and letting us back in to measure things. It was a terrific experience and I highly recommend Dave Uhlman!!
Response from Dave
Thanks Kathy & Paul - what a great couple to work with and our perseverance paid off! You got a great place at a great price!
Previous review from Kathy O.
Dave's working hard to find just the right condo for me. Very personable.
Response from Dave
Thanks Kathy - I've enjoyed working with you and Paul! Only 2 more days and we'll close escrow and it will be all yours! D.
Larry T.
If you are looking for an honest, hard working, straight forward Real Estate agent, look no further. You found him in Dave Uhlman.
Response from Dave
Thanks Larry & Linda - I'll be ready when you are!
Mark J.
My wife and I are very particular in locating a house to buy. Dave has done a wonderful job in understanding and listening to our needs and supporting us 100%. Dave is the very best at looking out for his clients interest. He is patient and understanding for what it takes us to wait for exactly find the right house. He is vastly knowledgeable about the Palm Springs areas. Dave is great communicator and a wonderful person to deal with. Highly recommended!
Response from Dave
We're going to find you just the right home Mark & Celia! D.
Tom B.
Excellent knowledge of plam spring very professional Excellent service and Dave and ZipRealty are highly recommended Thank you very much ex job Tom
Response from Dave
Looking forward to our next visits - we'll go see Brava!
Les D.
Home buyer in La Quinta
Dave was very professional and helpful. He did everything possible to go the extra mile. We got the best home for the best price. Can't say enough in his favor! Would recommend him in a heartbeat.
Response from Dave
Welcome to the desert Les & Lynn! I know you'll enjoy your new home. D.
Devon G.
Dave Uhlman has a great combination of knowledge & efficiency, with a relaxed demeanor. It was a pleasure to work with him in our search for a home in the Palm Springs area. His ability to understand my very specific taste in mid-century properties was impressive and resulted in the purchase of an extraordinary property. He is a straight-shooter who is willing to do the work and go the extra mile. I would highly recommend working with Dave.
Lori G.
Home buyer in Desert Hot Springs
Dave was wonderful. We were in no hurry to purchase but were actively looking for our retirement home. Dave was always responsive to our needs, was always available and was very knowledgable with regards to market conditions, short sales and foreclosures. While we didn't end up buying in the original area we were looking in, we did buy close by and with Dave's help, the transaction went very smoothly, especially given that this was a short sale. We have referred a friend to Dave and I am sure he will give him the same professional and friendly service we received.
Mark C.
Condo buyer in Rancho Mirage
Dave really listened to us and showed great patience. He was very good at staying neutral - he never pressured us, and he was aware of both of our needs. Although we were hung up on a certain area Dave helped guide us to broaden our scope by sharing other properties online and staying checked in with us throughout this process. We were guided through purchasing process and he was very good and educating us on what next steps would happen. We would hightly recommended Dave to our friends in finding their winter/vacation home. We are thrilled with our purchase! Thanks for everything Dave, Gay & Mark
Response from Dave
Thanks Gay & Mark! It makes my job easy when I work with great people like you two! I know you'll enjoy your winter home for years to come. D.


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Jerry Jeanmard Creates Collages From Society's Paper Debris
Moody Gallery
Jerry Jeanmard has an eye.
The longtime Houston resident has worked as an interior designer for nearly 30 years for the firm Wells Design/Jerry Jeanmard. He's also made his name as an illustrator; his claim to fame is one of his earliest jobs -- the Blue Bell Ice Cream logo (you know the one -- the silhouette of a little girl leading a cow for milking).
For the past five years, Jeanmard has turned his eye to a less public endeavor -- creating collages out of envelopes, bills and other scraps of paper. These pieces usually didn't see the light of day, going into storage upon completion or being sold to select clients. But lucky for us, the artist has his first solo show in an exhibition of 17 collages currently up at Moody Gallery.
The collages were born out of Jeanmard's fascination with paper, and he's not discriminating. What would normally be seen as pieces of garbage to most are treasured items to Jeanmard. Once combined, the resulting conglomerations are clean and sharp, even where the paper is uneven, torn or creased. There's a nice continuity to the show, too -- all of the works are done on the same size of paper, and all of the collages are enveloped by a significant amount of white space, which helps the somewhat muted colors stand out.
Upcoming Events
Beaumont Civic Ballet 2016-2017 Season Present "Alice In Wonderland"
TicketsSun., Feb. 26, 3:00pm
Bill Maher
TicketsSat., Mar. 4, 8:00pm
Je'Caryous Johnson's "Married But Single Too"
TicketsFri., Mar. 10, 8:00pm
The Illusionists - Live From Broadway (Touring)
TicketsSat., Mar. 11, 4:00pm
The King and I (Touring)
TicketsTue., Mar. 14, 7:30pm
It's tempting to try to draw some sort of meaning out of the items used in the collages, from text to recognizable forms such as stamps and maps. But, as the phrase goes, they are what they are. In fact, none of the pieces on display are even titled. ("Broken Hearted," the lone titled work, sold and has since been replaced by an untitled piece.) If anything, these pieces are mostly about the appreciation of the paper. There can be beauty (or, more so the case here, a strong pleasantness) even in the most unlikely places, a lesson which can always bear repeating.
"Jerry Jeanmard: Collages" at Moody Gallery, 2815 Colquitt Street, runs now through January 5. For more information, call 713-526-9911 or visit www.moodygallery.com.
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- Pics: And Oscar goes to...Amitabh Bachchan walks fashion ramp for charityRani Mukerji confirms comeback with 'Hichki'Priyanka Chopra looks divine at Oscars 2017Dev Patel attends Oscars with motherAsghar Farhadi's 'The Salesman' wins Best Foreign Language Film'Zootopia' wins Oscar for Best Animated FilmCan't tolerate bullying: Kangana RanautAbRam gets magic in SRK's lifeUnknown facts about Shahid Kapoor
American tennis player Serena Williams led the Women's Tennis Association (WTA) world rank
Politicians, businessmen, Bollywood at Balasaheb Thackeray's funeral Last Updated : 18 Nov 2012 06:58:56 PM IST Bollywood actor Amitabh Bachchan with Industrialist Anil Ambani arrives at the funeral of Shiv Sena Chief Balasaheb Thackeray in Mumbai on Sunday.
A stream of eminent personalities from politics, films and corporate world reached the historic Shivaji Park ground in Mumbai to attend the last rites of Shiv Sena supremo Bal Thackeray.
NCP chief and Union Minister Sharad Pawar, BJP veteran L K Advani, Leader of Opposition in Lok Sabha Sushma Swaraj, megastar Amitabh Bachchan and industrialist Anil Ambani arrived at the sprawling ground in Dadar, which is a few metres away from the Sena headquarters.
BJP president Nitin Gadkari, Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, BJP leaders Maneka Gandhi and Shahnawaz Hussain, senior Congress leader Dr D Y Patil and Leader of Opposition in Maharashtra Legislative Assembly Eknath Khadse too were present at the funeral venue.
Union Minister Praful Patel, senior BJP leader Arun Jaitely, VHP leader Pravin Togadia, Congress leader Rajiv Shukla and Maharashtra PWD Minister Chhagan Bhujbal were also present.
Bollywood actor Nana Patekar alongside actor-director Mahesh Manjrekar and Riteish Deshmukh were also present.
The cortege of the Sena patriarch reached the Shivaji Park ground after over six hours long journey in the presence of lakhs of Shiv Sainiks and his followers.
Sena MLA cherishes rare gift from Sena supremo Bal Thackeray:
Vasai's Shiv Sena MLA and chief of the Shramajivi Sanghatana, Vivek Pandit has a prized possession -- a gift which he claims nobody ever received from Shiv Sena Supremo Bal Thackeray who passed away in Mumbai yesterday.
"Do you know? I got a very important gift from Balasaheb which nobody gets," he said, showing a ball pen which was gifted to him by Balasaheb Thackeray, when Pandit met him after his victory in the assembly elections.
The Sena supremo gave him a ball pen and told him, "This is a special sword I am giving you to fight evils in society. Make the maximum use of it," Pandit said.
Today when he remembers that special day, Pandit has tears in his eyes and feels that he received the best gift from the Sena supremo.
Talking to media persons, Pandit remembered the day when the Jaitapur agitation was on when the Sena supremo expressed his inability to particiapte in it, as he was 85 and not in good health.
"Had my health been better, I would have surely created a havoc for the sake of Jaitapur today, he said. Ultimately, he was a source of inspiration for us to carry on agitations," Pandit said.
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A record number of wins by black stars, a Muslim actor winning for the first time, the vic
- Amitabh Bachchan walks fashion ramp for charity
- Oscars 2017 celebrate diversity, marred by goof-ups
- Rani Mukerji confirms comeback with 'Hichki'
- Oscars 2017: Oops! Moment
- Priyanka Chopra looks divine at Oscars 2017
- Dev Patel attends Oscars with mother
- Om Puri honoured at Oscars 2017
- Asghar Farhadi's 'The Salesman' wins Best Foreign Language Film
If you are living in a neighbourhood surrounded by trees and shrubs, with birds chirping
Chinese smartphone maker Gionee on Monday launched a new line up of A series smartphones -