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The Mayo Clinic has been a member of the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) for 37 years. This application is submitted to request funding via the U10 mechanism to continue as a main institution member of the ECOG. Mayo Clinic faculty and affiliated institutions have participated in key scientific roles including clinical and translational studies. The Mayo Clinic is an NCI-designated Comprehensive Cancer Center that has been continuously funded since 1973. Historically, the major strengths of the Mayo Clinic Cancer Center (MCCC) have been in high quality clinical research, practice-defining clinical trials, multidisciplinary translational studies, and biostatistics. Between 1/1/04 and 12/3/08, 4,114 patients were accrued to ECOG studies by the main institution, CGOPs, and secondary CCOPs. 98 full-length manuscripts were published with Mayo or Mayo affiliate authors and 89 abstracts were presented versus 55 papers and 58 abstracts in the previous grant cycle. Major accomplishments include the following. Mayo principal investigator authorship occurred on two trials with new agents that lead to FDA-approved indications (rituximab in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (E4494 Dr. TM Habermann) and thalidomide in multiple myeloma (E1A04 Dr. SV Rajkumar). The thrombotic risks of high-dose dexamethasone changed the practice in myeloma (E4A03 Dr SV Rajkumar). In leukemia, Dr. GW Dewald as Chair of the Cytogenetics Committee, reported that a complex karyotype confers a poor prognosis with increased risk of treatment failure in acute lymphocytic leukemia. In multiple myeloma, new biologic insights were reported in the clinical implications of t(11,14) and tumor suppressor pl6 methylation by Dr. R. Fonseca and colleagues.
The specific aims are 1.) to contribute to accrual to ECOG studies as a main institution, and through CGOP programs and secondary CCOP programs, 2.) to provide clinical scientific leadership and resources to the ECOG consistent with the ECOG mission of reducing malignancy-related morbidity and mortality, 3.) to provide basic and translational scientific leadership and resources for the advancement of knowledge of the biology of malignant diseases with particular emphasis on disease-oriented expertise and/or programs unique to the Mayo Clinic, and 4.) to provide an administrative role in ECOG to support the Group's mission and goals.
Participation and contributions in this mechanism have lead to new therapeutic approaches that have changed the natural history of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and multiple myeloma improving patient survival. Biologic observations are predicting outcomes and moving to new therapeutic approaches in patients with outcomes as predicted by their presenting biology.
|Ganjoo, Kristen; Hong, Fangxin; Horning, Sandra J et al. (2014) Bevacizumab and cyclosphosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine and prednisone in combination for patients with peripheral T-cell or natural killer cell neoplasms: an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group study (E2404). Leuk Lymphoma 55:768-72
|Winter, Jane N; Li, Shuli; Aurora, Vikas et al. (2010) Expression of p21 protein predicts clinical outcome in DLBCL patients older than 60 years treated with R-CHOP but not CHOP: a prospective ECOG and Southwest Oncology Group correlative study on E4494. Clin Cancer Res 16:2435-42
|Wolff, Antonio C; Wang, Molin; Li, Hailun et al. (2010) Phase II trial of pegylated liposomal doxorubicin plus docetaxel with and without trastuzumab in metastatic breast cancer: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group trial E3198. Breast Cancer Res Treat 121:111-20
|Kumar, S; Zhang, L; Dispenzieri, A et al. (2010) Relationship between elevated immunoglobulin free light chain and the presence of IgH translocations in multiple myeloma. Leukemia 24:1498-505
|Litzow, Mark R; Othus, Megan; Cripe, Larry D et al. (2010) Failure of three novel regimens to improve outcome for patients with relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukaemia: a report from the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group. Br J Haematol 148:217-25
|Rajkumar, S Vincent; Jacobus, Susanna; Callander, Natalie S et al. (2010) Lenalidomide plus high-dose dexamethasone versus lenalidomide plus low-dose dexamethasone as initial therapy for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma: an open-label randomised controlled trial. Lancet Oncol 11:29-37
|Cripe, Larry D; Uno, Hajime; Paietta, Elisabeth M et al. (2010) Zosuquidar, a novel modulator of P-glycoprotein, does not improve the outcome of older patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia: a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group 3999. Blood 116:4077-85
|Advani, Ranjana H; Chen, Haiyan; Habermann, Thomas M et al. (2010) Comparison of conventional prognostic indices in patients older than 60 years with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma treated with R-CHOP in the US Intergroup Study (ECOG 4494, CALGB 9793): consideration of age greater than 70 years in an elderly prognostic in Br J Haematol 151:143-51
|Horning, Sandra J; Juweid, Malik E; Schoder, Heiko et al. (2010) Interim positron emission tomography scans in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: an independent expert nuclear medicine evaluation of the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group E3404 study. Blood 115:775-7; quiz 918
|Dhodapkar, Madhav V; Hoering, Antje; Gertz, Morie A et al. (2009) Long-term survival in Waldenstrom macroglobulinemia: 10-year follow-up of Southwest Oncology Group-directed intergroup trial S9003. Blood 113:793-6
Showing the most recent 10 out of 104 publications


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Eye Balm; gently envelops the area around the eyes. Suitable for all skin conditions, it offers protective care with intense effects. The delicate area around the eyes is much thinner than other parts of the body because it does not have subcutaneous fatty tissue, which makes it particularly sensitive and prone to wrinkles. Formulation: Carrot, calendula and anthyllis soothe delicate skin while apricot kernel oil, jojoba oil and beeswax moisturise, soften and smooth dry skin and fine lines. Skin Condition : For all skin conditions. Formerly : Dr Hauschka Eye Contour Day Balm;
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Corkbin Wine App for iPhone and Android
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Shawna F.
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one year ago
Love this Rose! Reasonably priced and nice and crisp. Perfect for summer
one year ago
lacks flavor....the cork was extremely hard to pull out and wine had slight fizz, may be bad bottle
one year ago
Rioja at picnicking
one year ago
Austin. Uichicko
one year ago
Belle Pente Pinot Noir 2011
2 years ago
Lower 48 with Nick and Jodie. Very soft tannens, versatile. "I'll drink that shit like water".
Leese Fitch Pinot Noir 2010
4 years ago
Medium-bodied. Slightly spicy for a Pinot.
Au Bon Climat
4 years ago
Light, fruity and not sweet. $65 at farallon. Santa Barbara. Look for "la bauge au-dessus".
Oak Grove Merlot Reserve 2010
4 years ago
Very good merlot. Nick and Jodie.
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An elegant and practical walking umbrella. Ideal if you need a bit of extra support but a standard walking stick isn't quite your style. This umbrella has a supportive Derby handle, light but strong aluminium shaft and a non-slip rubber ferrule. Truly stylish and functional.
Practical and stylish accessory
Walking umbrella in black with Derby handle
Product Code: SC02170
Practical and stylish accessory
Do you like the security of something to lean on when out walking? Stride out with confidence and keep dry at the same t... Read moreSee details


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"The bill must benefit consumers by making the broadest array of financial services available at the lowest possible price, ... If it doesn't do that, then it's not worth having."
Related quotes
"Is protecting the City of London from EU financial services regulations the same as protecting the interests of the people of the UK? Wonder. Wonder."
"We do take very seriously how to find efficiencies so we can provide the lowest possible prices to our customers for the part of the business we control. If that's perceived as being more hard-nosed than we were in the past, I'm not quite sure. I think our approach has been professional and positive."
"The best we can do in Florida, to make sure we have the lowest rates possible, is to continue to improve the wind resistance of our homes. We think $500 million is more like it."
"It brings sometimes higher prices, sometimes lower prices. It takes away that egalitarian, lowest common denominator for prices."


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A Park View, Iowa, man has been identified as one of two people killed in a head-on collision Sunday afternoon in Minnesota.
Travis Bellin, 22, was a passenger in a 2005 Chevrolet Silverado that burst into flames after it collided with a 2005 Ford Super Duty pickup driven by Dorothy Hovland, 75, of Shakopee, Minn., according to a Minnesota Department of Public Safety crash report.
The driver of the Silverado, David Lundgren, 55, of Bloomington, Minn., also died, the report states.
The accident happened in on state Minnesota 7 in Prinsburg.
Hovland is in critical condition at a local hospital. Her passenger was treated for non-life-threatening injuries.
According to Bellin's mother, Wendy Bellin, her son and Lundgren, his uncle, were traveling home from a fishing trip in South Dakota.
"He loved the outdoors," she said. "He loved fishing, hunting and trapping."
Bellin graduated from North Scott High School in 2007 and from Vermilion Community College in Ely, Minn., in 2009.
Wendy Bellin said he was set to graduate from the University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point with a degree in wilderness management.
"He was just an incredible young man," his mother said. "He had two jobs lined up for this summer."
She said Lundgren was like a second father to her son and the two went on many fishing trips together.
"They hunted and fished and did everything together," she said. "And they died together."
A memorial service is
11 a.m. Friday at Mount Olivet Lutheran Church in Minneapolis.


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Logo for mobile solutions company
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buick grand National & gnx # 302
Grand National and GNX History (part 2 of 3)
Buick quietly re-entered the supercar wars in the late eighties with a turbocharged 3.8 liter V6 engine in an all black Regal. The car was so outrageously fast that its now among the most collectible cars of all time.
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Plattville Township, Mills County, Iowa
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Plattville Township is a township in Mills County, Iowa, USA.
Early county records are incomplete. Plattville Township was organized in the early 1850s.[1]
- ^ History of Mills County, Iowa: Containing a History of the County, Its Cities, Towns, Etc. State Historical Company. 1881. p. 502.
Coordinates: 41°02′23″N 95°49′57″W / 41.0397°N 95.8325°W
|This article about the geography of Mills County, Iowa is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.


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The Virginia Supreme Court recently issued a very troubling opinion for Virginia-based policyholders. In AES Corp. v. Steadfast Insurance Co.,1 the court held that when a lawsuit alleges that a company engaged in an intentional or volitional act where (i) it subjectively intended or anticipated the result, or (ii) the result was a natural or probable consequence of the intentional act, that company is not entitled to a defense or indemnity under its commercial general liability insurance coverage because a covered "occurrence" has not been alleged.
The AES decision arises from litigation since dismissed by the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California—litigation developed and funded by a group of high-profile plaintiffs' lawyers to establish a cause of action for property damage caused by climate change. In Native Vill. of Kivalina v. ExxonMobil Corp.2, the plaintiffs, a group of Inupiat Eskimos who were forced to abandon their seaside village north of the Arctic Circle due to excessive erosion allegedly caused by sea level rise due to global warming, brought suit against AES and other power companies alleged to be the largest carbon dioxide emitters. AES tendered the suit to Steadfast, which accepted the defense subject to a reservation of rights and then filed a declaratory judgment action against AES in the Circuit Court for Arlington, Virginia. After both sides moved for summary judgment, the trial court ruled that Steadfast had no duty to defend AES because the Kivalina plaintiffs' complaint did not include allegations falling within the applicable CGL policies' definition of "occurrence." AES petitioned for, and was granted, an appeal to the Virginia Supreme Court.
Notwithstanding the underlying complaint's specific allegations of negligence by AES, the Supreme Court concluded that "[e]ven if AES were negligent and did not intend to cause the damage that occurred, the gravamen of Kivalina's nuisance claim is that the damages it sustained were the natural and probable consequences of AES's intentional emissions." The court concluded that "[i]f an insured knew or should have known that certain results would follow from his acts or omissions, there is no 'occurrence' within the meaning of a comprehensive general liability policy." Thus, the trial court's ruling was affirmed.
AES then petitioned for rehearing, arguing that each of the authorities on which the Supreme Court relied stated that no occurrence would exist only where it was alleged that the insured knew to a "substantial certainty" or "substantial probability" that injury would occur. AES asserted that the standard actually applied by the Supreme Court was very different from the standard applied by the cited authorities, which required knowledge of the resulting harm "to a substantial certainty." As the Kivalina plaintiffs made no such "substantial certainty" allegation, AES argued that the court's holding was in error. The Supreme Court granted AES' petition for rehearing, entertained oral argument, and then issued its April 20 decision.
The April 20 decision, however, was almost a verbatim replication of the Supreme Court's earlier decision. There is no discussion of "substantial certainty" or "substantial probability," although the court once again relied on the same authorities. Virginia law, according to the court, is as follows:
For coverage to be precluded under a CGL policy because there was no occurrence, it must be alleged that the result of an insured's intentional act was more than a possibility; it must be alleged that the insured subjectively intended or anticipated the result of its intentional act or that objectively, the result was a natural or probable consequence of the intentional act.
The Kivalina plaintiffs did not allege that AES intended the erosion of the spit, so the underlying complaint must have been read by the Supreme Court as alleging that the erosion in Alaska was a natural or probable consequence of the emissions of carbon dioxide from plants of AES located somewhere other than Alaska. This interpretation is most troubling, as there were no allegations in the underlying complaint that the alleged damage in Alaska was a "substantial certainty" or a "natural or probable consequence." Moreover, the Supreme Court ignored the wide body of Virginia case law stating that an insurer must defend its insured unless there is no possibility of coverage. The Supreme Court stood that jurisprudence on its head, ignoring the Kivalina plaintiffs' allegations that, if proved, would have obligated Steadfast to indemnify AES. Most courts agree that under the standard "occurrence" definition, an unnatural or improbable consequence of an intentional act can be "accidental." See, e.g., State Farm Fire & Cas. Co. v. Superior Court, 164 Cal. App. 4th 317 (Cal. Ct. App. 2008) (insured intended to throw claimant into swimming pool, but was unaware of a step, and therefore injury from landing on step was accidental and thus an "occurrence.").3
This decision will have major implications on Virginia policyholders, at least until it is clarified through subsequent decisions. We anticipate insurers raising the lack of an "occurrence" as a basis to deny a wide range of claims, including product defect and product liability claims based on allegations that a claimant's damages were a "natural or probable consequence" even if the defendant did not know of the inherent harm when it sold its product. This could create a gap in policyholders' commercial general liability and other such third-party coverages, at least until this issue is clarified through subsequent decisions or legislative action. Until then, we recommend that policyholders undertake one or more of the following options:
Occurrence means (i) an accident, including continuous or repeated exposure to substantially the same general harmful conditions; or (ii) an intentional act from which "bodily injury"or "property damage" arises, unless the insured subjectively intended the resulting "bodily injury" or "property damage."
1 No. 100764, 2012 Va. Lexis 81 (Va. April 20, 2012).
2 663 F. Supp.2d 863 (N.D Cal. 2009).
3 Interestingly, the federal district court in which the Kivalina lawsuit was filed dismissed the case in response to AES' motion to dismiss, finding that the plaintiffs could not link their alleged damages to AES' emissions. Yet the Virginia Supreme Court concluded that the exact same allegations of damages were a "natural or probable consequence" of AES' emissions.
See more »
DISCLAIMER: Because of the generality of this update, the information provided herein may not be applicable in all situations and should not be acted upon without specific legal advice based on particular situations.
© Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP
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s2000 and RSX Type S vs the world
-2001 Honda S2000- invidia Exhaust, invidia test pipe, dc header, k&n intake, clutch and flywheel -2003 Acura RSX-S- Injen sri, DC sport catback, img, reflash #4 -Foxbody 5.0- headers, exhuast -2006- Red SI- Throttle body spacer, injen cai, skunk2 catback, pullies -2008- Black SI- Throttle body spacer, intake, Exhaust, header -2009- Red SI- Stock (fast for some reason???) -1994- Trans Am- LT1 V8, longtubes, Exhaust -F250- 7.3, intake, tuner, stack -2008 Accent- Cold air intake, Exhaust
RSX Stock Exhaust vs. Greddy Ti-C Exhaust
Video of my base RSX before and after (Stock vs Greddy Ti-C) catback Exhaust. The only other performance mod is a Fujita SRI.
2005 Acura RSX-S vs. MazdaSpeed 3
Mods are listed in the video, but I'll list them again. The RSX-S has an Injen CAI, Kidd Racing RH, Greddy 70mm Exhaust, RBC Intake and tuned on KPRO by Xenocron. The Mazdaspeed 3 has an Injen CAI and 3" Catback Exhaust (iirc Cobb).....these were 2nd gear pulls, a few were from 30mph, a few were 35-40mph. We switched the camera man after the first set of runs to see the difference and make it fair. On the last run RSX gave the MS3 the hit....no excuses tho, I can't hit 5th, lol.
RSX 0-100 w/ Mom hilarious!!!
0-100 of my 2004 rsx type s mods: k&n short ram intake buddy club race header skunk2 megapower r 70mm Exhaust kpro magnesium street tuned hondata IMG CC stage 4 clutch lightweight fly and quaffie lsd my mom was camcording haha


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Location: France, Abbans Dessous, Mairie
Un Centre Communal d
Le Centre Communal D
2008 Xerox Corporation. All rights reserved. XEROX®, WorkCentre® and the
sphere of connectivity design are trademarks of Xerox Corporation in the U.S. ...
École Supérieure en Travail Éducatif et Social (Educational and Social Work ...
Administrative officer in the Centre Communal d
The money will go to the town's social services agency, the Centre Communal d'Action Social (CCAS), to fund emergency services. At the Sunday auction the city disposed of half of its stock of bottles set aside for …
Funds raised by the auction, which attracted bidders phoning from France and abroad, will go to Dijon's social services agency, the Centre Communal d'Action Social. Around 84pc of the auction's profits will be spent on Dijon's emergency services ...
This event was preceded by a period of Communal strife, brought ... At the 2005 general elections, the MLP led Alliance Sociale coalition won ...
socialism , followed by Communism , where property would be communally owned. ... The Annales d'histoire économique et Sociale journal was ...
Category: Retirement Community
Address: 74 Cours Saint-Louis, Bordeaux, France
Phone: +33 5 57 89 39 39
"Fromage congeler poulet trop cuit et frite congelé pas bon "
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Los Arcos de Quejana
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Travel Blogs from Quejana
Day 7 -- Zenarruza to Eskerika -- 30 km
We went through our usual morning routine, up early, packing and getting ready outside, and we were off and walking in the moonlight with our headlamps. It proved a little more difficult as much of the beginning was forested, so even with our head lamps it was a challenge to navigate our footing.
My journal says:
"no coffee, no breakfast."
So you get a sense of how we might have felt. ...
The Crossing
... Gilbert's world is excellent).
Passports checked, tickets shown we were further delayed by Security who wanted to search our bags!!! FFS!!
Anyway I slightly smirked when the Security man was rummaging through my bag to see him grab and move my previously worn and sweaty underwear as I hadn't yet created a dirty washing bag.
After that we went to the front of a queue to await instructions ...
The coast, wine country, Guernica and Bilbao
Today we left the resort town of San Sebastián and headed down the coast towards a Basque wine region which on the hillsides just above the ocean. They say that the salty mist, flavors their wine in away that other grapes cannot match. Tastes like wine to me. But it's a good story . . . We followed the coast line and witnessed giant waves from the Atlantic pounding the rocks. We've seen large waves during high surf warnings in Santa Cruz, but these guys were way larger and ...
Estoy en otro país.
... but Castilian. He outlawed a lot of stuff as he was a dictator. Anyway, he outlawed these other languages. But in Basque Country if you were caught speaking Basque on the street, you would be shot. It is unfortunate that older people in this area tend not to be able to speak their regional language, which, I was told, is the oldest living language in Europe. It is being taught in schools now, so the younger generations speak it. But I digress, back to Franco. It seemed ...
Yoko, there is a fly on my nipple
... night shots of which there were plenty. Just after midnight, Battery boy finally said to Video Girl, ' Enough, Video Girl, enough, it is time for bed.'
Has Battery Boy mentioned that Video Girl is rather enjoying photography and that he has accepted her as his first pupil in training.


text: There's Eight 2015 Challenger Trims But They Forgot The SuperchargerJason Torchinsky4/16/14 8:54pmFiled to: New York Auto ShowDodge Challenger3106EditPromoteShare to KinjaToggle Conversation toolsGo to permalink We're seeing Dodge's 2015 Challengers a bit earlier than expected, and there's actually eight of them. They mostly differ based on engines, some suspension and brake tweaks, and their hood designs, which are clearly inspired by the '71 Challenger's hoods. The new looks include the famous twin nostril hood and the fun shaker hoods. Advertisement That's shaker as in a modern take on the Incredible Quivering Cold Air Grabber, and not a reference to the celibate Christian sect or those sweaters everyone wore in the '80s. The new Challenger variants are as follows: SXT, SXT Plus, R/T, R/T Plus, R/T Shaker, R/T Plus Shaker, 6.4-liter Scat Pack and 392 Hemi Scat Pack Shaker. The SXTs get the base 305 HP Pentastar V6, the R/Ts get a 5.7L Hemi V8 making 375 HP/410 lb-ft, and the big boys get the 6.4L Hemi V8 making a healthy and very symmetrical 470 HP and 470 kb-ft of twisties. A new 8-speed automatic is now available, which sounds nice and modern even if it's name, TorqueFlite, still sounds like it came right out of 1966, and speaking of 6s, happily the 6-speed manual is still standard. Advertisement The interior's been gussied up a bit, and the easiest way to tell the '15s at a glance is by the revised taillights, LED running lights up front, and a new split grille.The most notable absence is a model with a supercharged Hemi, which has been expected for a while; it may still be announced before the show's over, but I guess we'll just have to wait and see.Reply310 repliesLeave a reply


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Glossary of statistical terms
Chi-Square Test:
Chi-square test (or -test) is a statistical test for testing the null hypothesis that the distribution of a discrete random variable coincides with a given distribution. It is one of the most popular goodness-of-fit tests .
For example, in a supermarket, relative frequencies of purchasing 4 brands of tee have been 0.1, 0.4, 0.2, and 0.3 during the last year; during the last week the number of packets sold have been 31, 41, 22, 18 for the 4 brands, respectively. Has the preference changed - i.e. probabilities of purchasing now differs from the last year average preferences, or the deviations in the observed relative frequencies is caused by chance alone?
The chi-square test, besides discrete variables, is often applied to problems involving continuous random variables . In this case, the values of a continuous variable are transformed to a discrete variable with a finite number of values - e.g. the whole range of possible values is split into a finite number of intervals, and every such interval is considered as a discrete value (e.g. age groups "20...29", "30...39", etc). Then the chi-square test is applied to the new discrete variable.
For small samples, the classical chi-square test is not very accurate - because the sampling distribution of the statistic of the test differs from the chi-square distribution . In such cases, Monte Carlo simulation is a more reasonable approach. In many cases such simulation can be carried out by creating an artificial sample with the given proportion of values and applying a resampling procedure to this sample. Besides the one-sample chi-square test, there are variants of the test for comparison of the distribution of two or several samples. For these variants, a permutation version of the test is more accurate when at least one sample is small. See more on the use of resampling and permutation in short online courses
and in the online book Resampling: The New Statistics
The chi-square test is typically used in categorical data analysis , e.g. to check if two such variables are independent random variables ).
The chi-square test is based on the chi-square statistic .
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This course will cover the analysis of contingency table data (tabular data in which the cell entries represent counts of subjects or items falling into certain categories). Topics include tests for independence (comparing proportions as well as chi-square), exact methods, and treatment of ordered data. Both 2-way and 3-way tables are covered.
Promoting better understanding of statistics throughout the worldTo celebrate the International Year of Statistics in 2013, we started a program to provide a statistical term every week, delivered directly to your inbox. The Word of the Week program proved to be quite popular, and continues. The Institute for Statistics Education offers an extensive glossary of statistical terms, available to all for reference and research. Make it your New Year's resolution to improve your own statistical knowledge! Sign up here. Rather not have more email? Simply bookmark our home page and check our "Stats Word of the Week" feature.
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It's Party Time with the BeerTender
I'm not a craft beer connoisseur or brew junkie by any means, but while searching for ways to make hosting a holiday party a little easier this year, I came across this sleek looking beauty: The Krups B100 BeerTender.
With the holiday season going full throttle now, why not stand out among the endless sea of mulled wine and eggnog offerings? The BeerTender allows you to enjoy your party without stressing over pouring drinks or keeping them at the proper temperature (it maintains your beer at the optimal serving temperature: 37.4° F). It's just as sleek as that $500 cappuccino machine I'm lusting after, includes an LED temperature indicator, and can be cleaned in a cinch in my dishwasher.
It dispenses Heineken, Heineken Premium Light and Newcastle Brown Ale, and costs less than a week of Happy Hours on the town: $149.99. My beer aficionado pals will certainly be toasting to that! Cheers!
Read more: 13 Ways to Cook with Beer »
Thanks! You're on our list.
And your life's about to get more interesting.
Some people like to travel by train because it combines the slowness of a car with the cramped public exposure of an airplane.
Dennis Miller
I think my pilot was a little inexperienced. We were sitting on the runway, and he said, "OK, folks, we're gonna be taking off in a just few—whoa! Here we go."
Kevin Nealon
"I can't wait until your vacation is over." —Everyone following you on Instagram
A man knocked on my door and asked for a donation toward the local swimming pool. So I gave him a glass of water.
Comedian Greg Davies
Just found the worst page in the entire dictionary. What I saw was disgraceful, disgusting, dishonest, and disingenuous.
Client: We need you to log in to the YouTube and make all our company videos viral.
From clientsfromhell.net
My cat just walked up to the paper shredder and said, "Teach me everything you know."
"Just because you can't dance doesn't mean you shouldn't dance." —Alcohol
@yoyoha (Josh Hara)
My parents didn't want to move to Florida, but they turned 60 and that's the law.
—Jerry Seinfeld
Q: What do you call an Amish guy with his hand in a horse's mouth?
A: A mechanic.


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Saturday, November 13, 2010 |
In 1984 William Gibson published his groundbreaking first novel, Neuromancer, and revolutionalized the world of science fiction. Widely considered "the archetypal cyberpunk work," it brought Gibson mainstream recognition, as well as accolades and awards from his sci fi peers, and popularized the term "cyberspace."
Gibson grew up in Wytheville, Virginia, before finding his way to Toronto and eventually Vancouver, British Columbia, where he currently lives. The man known as the "noir prophet" of cyberpunk turned to writing in 1977, when he became a new father. Since then, Gibson has gone on to publish 10 best-selling novels, a number of short stories and poetry.
His 2003 book Pattern Recognition is the uncannily prescient story of a marketing consultant sensitive to corporate branding, and explores aspects of North American society including consumer habits and post-9/11 culture. Pattern Recognition peaked at #3 on the Globe and Mail bestsellers list and was shortlisted for the Arthur C. Clarke Award and the British Science Fiction Association Award.
Pitch Canada your novel in three lines or less.
A speculative novel of the now not-so-recent past. An attempt to find the real turn of the past century into this one, if indeed there is such a thing.
Which Top 10 book would you want to defend on Canada Reads (other than your own!)?
The Book of Negroes.
What's your favourite bookish place in Canada?
Any good used bookstore.
Which Canadian author (alive or dead) would you most like to meet?
Leonard Cohen
Who is your favourite fictional character and why?
Sherlock Holmes. He was the first great fictional character I encountered.
What did you want to be growing up?
At age 12 or so, a science fiction writer. But then I outgrew it.
What would you be if you weren't a writer?
Unfulfilled, possibly bitter.
What's your favourite encounter with a reader or most memorable fan moment?
Whatever the most recent most recent one happens to have been, usually. They're more enjoyable outside of book-tour season. At some level I continue to be amazed that I actually have readers.
What book has moved or affected you most in the past year?
Burning Your Boats, the collected short fiction of Angela Carter.
Which Canadian personality do you want to have defend your book?
Margaret Atwood.
Pattern Recognition was published by Penguin Canada in 2003. It is available at fine independent bookstores across the country.


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Scotland coach Scott Johnson believes the presence of Vern Cotter with the squad can only be a positive moving forward to 2015.
Scotland boss Scott Johnson reckons this week's presence of Vern Cotter with the squad can only be a positive for the team moving forward to 2015.
Australian Johnson will oversee Scotland's November campaign, which also includes matches against South Africa and the Wallabies and the Six Nations before 'going upstairs' to a director of rugby role and handing over coaching of the national side to Cotter in June 2014.
Currently in charge of French club Clermont, Cotter has joined Scotland's backroom staff this week to have a look at the set-up ahead of the Japan match at Murrayfield.
"Of course it is good to have Vern here. He is part of the plan for going forward and he's part of the process," said Johnson when asked on the matter.
"We're in this together for these next 22 months ahead of the (2015) World Cup and it's important that he is here and it is important that the squad sees that he's here," Johnson added.
"He will have conversations with me but he won't have any involvement with the players out on the training pitch.
"We are all big men and this is the right thing to do. Vern doesn't technically start until next year and he has another master right now. But it's important that he understands where the squad is and gets to know the players.
"It allows for a smooth transition."


text:
Published on
What happens when bullies use social media?
What happens when a kid (bully or bullied) shoots a video and posts it to YouTube?
And why is she smiling?
Slides to support a conversation with educators & students about bullying issues in and out of school in an increasingly digital environment. Building Learning Communities Conference, Boston, MA. 20 July 2012.


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The immediate past National Publicity Secretary of the People's Democratic Party (PDP), Chief Olisa Metuh has begged EFCC.
His please came on Thursday (30th June, 2016) as he stated he was ready and willing to return his share of Dasukigate.
Read Also: Different court rulings tears PDP into factions.
Olisa Metuh got N400million out of the $2.1billion cash earmarked for arms purchase.
The money was ostensibly sidetracked for political purposes by the Office of the National Security Adviser (ONSA).
The entire cash largess and official graft happened under the tenure of ex-National Security Adviser, Colonel Dasuki Sambo, rtd.
Metuh, who has been on trial in the past few months, said he has had enough of legal travails.
He stated that he had entered into a plea bargain with the Ministry of Justice, the EFCC and other concerned bodies bodies on how to refund the money and resolve the issue amicably.
Olisa Metuh came up with the plea bargain through his legal counsel, Onyechi Ikpeazu (SAN).
According to him, although the cash was released to him by former President Goodluck Jonathan, he was not aware of the source as at the time.
He said since the EFCC presented a document on the source of the money in court, he had made up his mind to willingly refund the N400million.
Hear him: "It was however while in court that a document was brought regarding the source of the money.
"Since then, our Client has made manifest his willingness to refund the money and has indeed approached his family, friends and associates to mobilize funds.
Read Also: You will lose your seat for defecting to APC.
"He plans to refund the entire N400 million to the government regardless of the fact that the money had been expended based on the directives of the former President.
"However, part of the money had been recovered from one of the prosecution witnesses," his legal counsel stated.


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Monday, August 22, 2005
The Chaco Whitewash
(Photo of Pueblo Bonito by Elisa Drucker)
I've just returned from a weekend road trip to Chaco Canyon, the ruined center of the Chacoan civilization. Impressive ruins. Fantastic scenery. Complete whitewash by the National Park Service...
Chaco is of interest for many reasons, but for me it is perhaps most interesting as a very powerful example of civilizational collapse. It's a learning laboratory for how commodity redistribution can form political networks, how dependence leads to subservience, the role of ritual and astrology in political formation, and a variety of other fascinating topics. It's also only 8 hours from my house... If you've read Joseph Tainter's "Collapse of Complex Societies", then you know a fair amount about Chaco. If not, I highly recommend the book.
Chaco seems relevant to today for so many reasons that I made the trip to see it first hand. I even sat down to watch the movie in the park's visitor center. It was a complete whitewash--and I quickly began to realize that the entire NPS treatment of Chaco was a whitewash. The word collapse, or any reference to the whole concept of collapse, is not mentioned in the movie. It is not in any of the museum displays, informational booklets, nowhere. Instead, fluffy explanations about Chaco's ruined status abound: "the Pueblo people's spirituality means that we are like the clouds, always changing. After some time, the Pueblo people decided to move on." No, what actually happened is that the Chaco civilization collapsed because of diminishing marginal returns, environmental stress and an ever-intensifying hierarchy and aristocracy. But we wouldn't want to scare people...
Back up: driving the last 100 miles to Chaco we passed through the Farmington, New Mexico area. This is the center of Southwest oil and gas... isolated trailer shantys, strip mall "puebloesque" development and oil and gas wells and industry pock mark the scrub brush landscape as far as the eye can see. Despite--or in spite of--New Mexico's natural beauty, we're doing a pretty good job making the place ugly. Chaco canyon is a parable for our peak oil times. Too bad it isn't being told...
Fortunately, there was a silver lining to my Chaco trip: I found a book at their bookstore, "The Chaco Meridian" by Stephen H. Lekson. Very interesting discussion of Chaco in a broader historical context, but even more interesting was discussion of the political mechanics embodied by the Chacoan (and, as he asserts, by the Aztec (the ruin in NM, not the Mexican civilization) and Paquime societies). Lekson discusses the competing organizational models at the time of the collapse of Chaco--namely kachina ceremonialism: "The new kachina ceremonialism promised prosperity without government...[n]ew ritual patterns cemented both the southern region and the burgeoning towns within it, without hierarchies or government." (p.159)
Is it possible that as the chaos of the chacoan collapse ensued, the Pueblo people found a rhizome replacement to Chaco's hierarchy? I find this possibility fascinating: Chacoan and Mississipian civilizations tend to be overlooked when studying the processes of state formation and possibilities for modes of political organization. How much do they have to teach us?
If anyone has enough knowledge of kachina to comment on Lekson's theory, please get in touch with me--I'll be doing my own research and (time permitting) have something on the topic here in the near future...
Written by Jeff Vail
2 comments:
- Jason Godesky said...
I'll be visiting Cahokia Oct. 1, so between the two of us we'll have them both covered!
- Jason Godesky said...
The Fall of Great Cahokia, a companion piece of sorts, you might say.
Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)


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Metro Hotel
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British Airways Club World: London - Mexico City
... 1077; 90;ся переш 72;гиват& #1100; через спяще 75;о пасса 78;ира, приче 84; не через того, кто сидит ...
London- Day 2
... had our fill of the market, we returned to St James park as yesterday we went around it, but didn't go thru it. Like all parks in London it was a peaceful place and amusing people watching :) Overall, I have to say that regent park is still my favorite of the parks we have seen... We wrapped up the afternoon by heading back to the hostel to relax a bit and get ready for our travel to Paris, France ...
London Museums
... boasting a catwalk for above the scenes views, and an animated T-rex that is very scary indeed. Because the museum was so crowded with children on school field trips, we didn't spend as much time as would have otherwise, but this is one we may go back to see again. It was obviously the most popular of the three museums.
We also took in the Science Museum next door. The main floor display of Watt's giant steam engines was interesting ...
York to London
... and some other strange things. Di n I would appreciate some sort of lifting device to get out of the bean bags. Check out the area; hmmm its sorta like Richmond used to be before it became trendy. Lots of what looks like public housing and a bit of a run down, down market feel. The good part is that it is only 20 mins by bus into central London.
London Is Calling
As we have both spent time in London, we didn't have much on our itinerary today except that Gela wanted to go on the London Eye. After a nice breakfast and chat with Catherine we made our way over the Tower of London Bridge along the river to the eye.
Once again we got to another "line" dilemma.. at least 200 people waiting for the eye and we weren't prepared to stand for over an hour and a half! S
We made our way to Clapham Station where ...


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Krambach Accommodation, Hotels, Tours & Information
Places nearby Krambach
- Arakoon
- Argents Hill
- Arrawarra
- Arrawarra Headland
- Austral Eden
- Bagnoo
- Ballengarra
- Barrington
- Batar
- Bayldon
- Beechwood
- Belbora
- Bellangry
- Bellbrook
- Bellimbopinni
- Bellingen
- Bellwood
- Berrico
- Billys Creek
- Birdwood
- Blaxlands Flat
- Boambee
- Bobin
- Bohnock
- Bonny Hills
- Bonville
- Boomerang Beach
- Boorganna
- Booti Booti
- Bostobrick
- Bowraville
- Brackendale
- Bretti
- Brierfield
- Brinawa
- Brombin
- Brooklana
- Bulby Brush
- Bulliac
- Bundook
- Bungwahl
- Burnt Bridge
- Burrapine
- Burrell Creek
- Byabarra
- Caffreys Flat
- Camden Haven
- Caparra
- Carcolla
- Cascade
- Charity Creek
- Chatham
- Clybucca
- Coffs Harbour
- Collombatti
- Comara
- Comboyne
- Coomba
- Copeland
- Coramba
- Corangula
- Corindi Beach
- Corroboree Flat
- Crescent Head
- Croki
- Crowdy Head
- Cundletown
- Dairyville
- Deer Vale
- Diamond Beach
- Diamond Head
- Dondingalong
- Doon Ayre
- Dorrigo
- Dorrigo North
- Dumaresq Island
- Dunbogan
- Dundurrabin
- Dyers Crossing
- Elands
- Elizabeth Beach
- Ellenborough
- Emerald Beach
- Eungai Creek
- Eungai Rail
- Euroka
- Fernbrook
- Fernmount
- Firefly
- Five Day Creek
- Forbesdale
- Frederickton
- Gangat
- Georges Creek
- Ghinni Ghinni
- Gillieston Heights
- Giro
- Girvan
- Gladstone
- Gleniffer
- Glenreagh
- Glenthorne
- Gloucester
- Grassy Head
- Gum Scrub
- Hannam Vale
- Hat Head
- Herons Creek
- Hibbard
- Hickeys Creek
- Hillville
- Hollisdale
- Hyland Park
- Innes View
- Jerseyville
- Johns River
- Johnsons Creek
- Jones Island
- Kalang
- Karangi
- Kempsey
- Kempsey East
- Kendall
- Kew
- Killabakh
- Killawarra
- Kimbriki
- Kinchela
- Kinchela Creek
- Kindee
- Knorrit Flat
- Koorainghat
- Korora
- Kundabung
- Kundle Kundle
- Lake Cathie
- Langley Vale
- Laurieton
- Leigh
- Long Flat
- Lorne
- Lowanna
- Lower Bucca
- Lower Creek
- Macksville
- Markwell
- Marlee
- Maudville
- Megan
- Melinga
- Millbank
- Missabotti
- Mitchells Island
- Moleton
- Mooneba
- Moonee
- Moonee Beach
- Mooral Creek
- Moorland
- Moparrabah
- Mortons Creek
- Mount George
- Mount Seaview
- Mountain Top
- Mullaway
- Mungay Creek
- Mylestom
- Nabiac
- Nambucca Heads
- Nana Glen
- North Haven
- North Shore
- Nowendoc
- Number One
- Nymboida
- Pappinbarra
- Pembroke
- Pembrooke
- Pioneer Park
- Pipers Bay
- Point Plomer
- Possum Brush
- Purfleet
- Rainbow Flat
- Raleigh
- Rawdon Island
- Rawdon Vale
- Red Head
- Red Hill
- Redbank
- Repton
- Riamukka
- Rocks Crossing
- Rollands Plains
- Rookhurst
- Rosewood
- Rossglen
- Safety Beach
- Sandy Beach
- Sapphire Beach
- Sawtell
- Scotts Head
- Sherwood
- Skillion Flat
- Smiths Lake
- Smithtown
- South Kempsey
- South West Rocks
- Stuarts Point
- Talarm
- Tamban
- Tamboy
- Taylors Arm
- Telegraph Point
- Temagog
- The Branch
- Thora
- Tibbuc
- Tiona
- Toms Creek
- Toormina
- Toorooka
- Tugrabakh
- Turners Flat
- Tyringham
- Ulong
- Upper Bowman
- Upper Orara
- Upper Pappinbarra
- Upper Rollands Plains
- Urunga
- Utungun
- Valery
- Valla
- Valla Beach
- Wallabi Point
- Wallanbah
- Wapra
- Warrell Creek
- Wauchope
- Waukivory
- West Haven
- West Kempsey
- Wherrol Flat
- Whoota
- Willawarrin
- Wittitrin
- Woodside
- Woolgoolga
- Yarrahapinni
Krambach is a small village located halfway between Taree and Gloucester. The 9 hole Krambach Golf Course is available for social play or competition. There is also the Commercial Hotel, with its friendly atmosphere; the Krambach Cottage where morning and afternoon teas are available and the Krambach Gardens and Blueberry Farm - group bookings only. Krambach Markets are held monthly on the 3rd Sunday at the School of Arts Hall, Bucketts Way Krambach.
Great deals on hotels in Krambach...
Aga Reef Resort - Upolu, Lalomanu Aleipata
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Return to Paradise Resort - Upolu
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Tasvillas Pass - Regional TAS
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The Remote Resort - Nukuni
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Krambach: Where To Go / Sightseeing
Kings Creek Saddle Club
They promote balance and co-ordination, patience, perseverance and interaction with the animals allowing you to form an understanding of basic horse behaviour and personality. The three lovely school horses, 'Tallulah', 'Felicity' and 'Skeeter' were bred, started and educated by Carla and Spud.
Kings Creek Saddle Club provide riding lessons for riders of all stages of development. Various types of private lessons are available - ridden, ground play, in the arena and along forest trails. They also cover the non-riding aspects of horses such as handling, natural behaviour and tack fitting which will help the rider develop a deeper understanding and form a firm bond with their horse.
84 Kings Creek Road
Krambach, NSW, 2429
Located 2.8K from Krambach
Honeycomb Valley Farm
Honeycomb Valley Farm boasts the biggest solar oven in Australia and has an inspiring five acre garden where each plant is either edible or can be use for a medicinal purposes. Learn all about Australian native bees at Australia's first sanctuary for these amazing little creatures and visit their unique bee motel. There is also plenty of friendly farm animals to pat.
Beautiful hand made goats milk soap, herbal teas and honey are available to purchase at one the regions many farmers markets.
Please note, they are only open for group bookings and on certain days of each school holidays.
3736 Wallanbah Road,
enter via Tenants Road
Nabiac, NSW, 2312
Located 11.5K from Krambach
Clarendon Forest Retreat Horse Riding
At Clarendon they prize their horse riding for being fun and exciting. The trail horses are responsive and quiet and they offer options for every experience level.
The many different trails into the surrounding forest valleys will allow you to experience the magic of the State forests and reserves, sometimes alive with fascinating animal and birdlife. Many of these tracks allow long canters for experienced riders, gentle walking rides will be appreciated by others.
Long pants, and joggers are the minimum requirements, long sleeved shirts are suggested. A weight limit of 100 kilograms applies.
Horse trail rides must have a minimum of two riders.
Riding lessons are available outside of school holidays by appointment (enquire about availability).
Couples are able to have a two hour guided, private, escorted ride on request.
150 Coates Road
Possum Brush, NSW, 2430
Located 16.7K from Krambach
Tinonee Orchid Nursery
Cultural talks and morning tea facilities are available. Wheelchair accessible, with buses and club groups welcome. Free monthly growing classes and advice. Free catalogue and cultural notes are available on request.
During the year an open day is held which includes potting demonstrations and advice from experienced growers. Light refreshments and food are available.
768 Tinonee Road
Tinonee, NSW, 2430
Located 19.7K from Krambach
Tinonee Museum
The purpose of the Tinonee Historical Society Museum is to preserve the past for current and future generations. It is a place for learning, remembrance and to honour the pioneers and founders of our local area, Tinonee.
Tinonee Historical Society Museum is a small unique museum where you can research the history of the area. Experience the local history with an inspection of the original Gaol Cell which is located inside the Museum.
32 Manchester Street
Tinonee, NSW, 2430
Located 19.8K from Krambach
Krambach: Events
Krambach Markets
16th Apr
21st May
18th Jun
Buckets Way
Krambach, NSW, 2429
Located 2.2K from Krambach
Krambach Markets
16th Apr
21st May
18th Jun
Buckets Way
Krambach, NSW, 2429
Located 2.2K from Krambach
Nabiac Farmers Market
Stock up on seedlings for your vegetable patch and meet your local growers and producers who make such a variety of gourmet goodies available for you. Taste the organic coffee, new gluten free bakery with freshly baked biscuits and cakes, honey, goats milk beauty products, sourdough bread, nuts, gingerbread, fresh cut flowers, confectionery, regional wines, freshly laid eggs, seedlings, beef products direct from the producer, delicious cakes, fruit and vegetables, olives, local artisans and music to entertain you while you browse!
So come to Nabiac, be early for the best pick, have a coffee and sample the barbecue too.
25th Mar
29th Apr
Nabiac Street
Nabiac, NSW, 2312
Located 14.0K from Krambach
Mount George Markets
25th Mar
22nd Apr
Nowendoc Road
Mount George, NSW, 2424
Located 19.0K from Krambach
Tinonee Orchid Nursery Annual Open Day and Show
9th Jul
768 Tinonee Road,
Tinonee Orchids
Tinonee, NSW, 2430
Located 19.8K from Krambach


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Flower-Inducing Potency of Different Kinds of Leaves in Soybean, Glycine max (L.) Merr.
S. Shanmugasundaram and M. S. Lee
Botanical Gazette
Vol. 142, No. 1 (Mar., 1981), pp. 36-39
Published by: The University of Chicago Press
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2474784
Page Count: 4
Topics: Plants, Leaves, Flowers, Cotyledons, Photoperiod, Soybeans, Flowering, Branches, Seed pods, Seeds
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The flower-inducing potencies of different kinds of leaves were studied in 10-h and 16-h photoperiods with two soybean cultivars (Glycine max [L] Merr.), photoperiod-sensitive accession G 2120 and day-neutral accession G 215. Regardless of photoperiod, the day-neutral cultivar produced flowers, pods, and seeds where cotyledon(s) alone, unifoliolate(s) alone, cotyledons and unifoliolates together, or trifoliolate(s) alone were exposed to photoperiodic treatment. Cotyledonary and unifoliolate leaves alone are evidently capable of producing sufficient flower-inducing stimulus and photosynthate to saturate the flowering response of the day-neutral plant. However, the number of pods and seeds produced was greatest in plants having all trifoliolate leaves. The photoperiod-sensitive cultivar did not produce flowers without trifoliolate leaves even under 10-h photoperiods. This cultivar thus has an obligate vegetative phase, i.e., the period from emergence until the first trifoliolate leaf is fully unfolded.
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Fresh Signals
The last Quarterfinal match in the Tournament of Books is a big one, the odds-on favorite The Goldfinch versus upstart The People in the Trees. Judged by Roxane Gay. Will this one blow up some brackets? Semis start Monday! -jc.03.21.14 #
A post from the daily flow of linkage called Fresh Signals, at Coudal.com.


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BBQ in Fort Ebey State Park
I want to go for a day trip and have BBQ in Fort Ebey State Park. Are there BBQ facilities? Can I have BBQ in the parks on the island?
We are planning on staying at the Cozy Harbor Cottage in September. Is there bus or taxi service so that one can catch a ride into Coupville or Oak Harbor?
Travel guide to purchase?
I woule like a book, travel guide type book. My son, daughter-on-law and adult grandson will be out in July while my son will be teaching at NAS. I would like to purchase a book to give them that would aid in planning their stay.
Traveling to Whidbey Island in December
Hi, my mom is here visiting from the east coast. Is it too cold to visit Whidbey during this time of the year? Any suggestions on where to go that doesn't include skiing and snowboarding?
Thank you!
Commutting from Clinton to Bothell
How can you utilize the public system best to commute M-F from the Clinton ferry terminal to Bothell; off of 405? Can this be done?
Bicycles on buses
Do the Island Transit buses on Whidbey Island carry bicycles? I am interested in Routes 1 and 6, i.e. the connection between Clinton and Fort Casey ferry terminals.
captains Galley, Coupeville
I finallygot the info. I needed, on the place I worked yrs. ago. Captains Galley. in Coupeville. My question is would anyone know of any hotel /motel on the main drag up on a side st. I remember it was a bar with rooms to rent seperate from the bar and in walking distance from captains galley. And does anyone know where or how i can pull up a picture of these places?
Captains or cap's- Bar,restaruant ( Old Friends etc.)
I worked at a bar, restaraunt named captain,s or something like that? on whidbey island a few years ago probably in the late 90's.I stayed with my nephew John Bartell. I was wondering if anyone i worked there with would remember me and e-mail me to let me know how you all are. and whats new there. My name is Richard Stegman.I would like to hear from some of my friends and aquaintances there in whidbey island !
Questions about Whidbey Island
Hi,I'm moving to Whidbey Island April 15th and I need some advice. I found a small home on Goss Lake in Freeland with a dock. I also found a small home in Clinton by the ferry Which town is better for jobs,lifestyle,etc... Any other info you might have about Whidbey would be greatly appreciated.Thanks,Matt.
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text:
About Blizzard92
Ph.D. Student - Earth System Science (UC Irvine), B.Sc. - Atmospheric Sciences (Cornell University)
By: Zachary Labe , 9:43 PM GMT on January 31, 2010
Another significant storm threat is headed towards areas east of the Mississippi River in the Friday to Sunday time frame. Recent guidance suggests an anomalous trough with accompanying shortwave causing the allowance of an increased chance of cyclogenesis along the eastern seaboard. But unlike the previous event, the polar vortex and 50/50 low remain slightly dislocated from a favorable position therefore allowing for effects to be reached farther inland. While this threat remains nearly 5-7 days in advance, this blog attempts to outlook the scenarios highlighting the highest threats at this point. Variability is likely throughout the week courtesy of a much more volatile H5 jet, which will allow for a much more difficult and complex forecast.
Lets dive right into the thick of things highlighting the favorable synoptic setup. MREF guidance using GFS ensembles, indicate spaghetti plots to have relatively high confidence in a disturbance located along the eastern seaboard with an anomalous trough.
The GEFS mean plot produces the polar vortex northeast towards Nova Scotia favoring a more southwest to northeast orientated jet streak, unlike the previous west to east suppressed flow. KU analogs suggest this to be a relatively favorable plot for at least 4-5 indirect matches. A relatively stagnant negative NAO will allow for continued blocking towards the Hudson Bay through Greenland, but a high amplitude ridge in the western Atlantic will be the catalyst for allowing confluence in New England to remain slightly disjointed.
0utc ECMWF 1/31 showed a few concerning factors that remain highly subjective in terms of snowfall potential.
First of critical note is the anomalous trough negative tilted orientation towards the Mississippi Valley. This is slightly farther west than favorable analogs therefore favoring phasing to occur a bit earlier than one might expect for a typical Miller A storm system. Origins are definitely out of the Gulf of Mexico, but with the 50/50 low dislocated (as highlighted above) to the northeast, the primary low may transverse towards the Tennessee Valley. The ECMWF remains the western outlier, but highlights a few critical concerns that the southeast biased GFS may be lacking. Also of importance, note the increasing amplitude in the western Atlantic ridge. If this increases in any more gains in northern amplitude, it may try to cut of all confluence in northern New England and southern Canada courtesy of the high pressure slightly disjointed towards western Newfoundland. But the ECMWF does support weak blocking upstream and a large negative EPO western ridge therefore supportive of an increasing threat of cyclogenesis and a widespread precipitation event across the eastern United States from Florida to Maine. More recently the 1/31 12utc ECMWF radically shifted farther south and east with the primary courtesy of 50/50 relocating more favorably towards 50N/50W. While this pattern remains highly subjective, guidance in this medium range is definitely diverging on a few solutions. The solution as listed above with several unfavorable factors fits the 'near miss' KU category favoring west Virginia up through western and central Pennsylvania up towards Albany, New York. In that scenario rain would be likely into areas east of the mountains at some point. Also of critical note is the closed 500mb low the ECMWF is highlighting in the 0z run up towards Kentucky, which is a good rule of thumb for precipitation type issues east of the Blue Ridge.
Despite the warmer, inland storm, the UKMET and GGEM remain steadfast on another very interesting scenario.
The 12utc GGEM 1/31 cycle indicates a more favorable scenario fitting the threshold for widespread significant snowfall over the eastern seaboard. The trough turns negatively tilted towards the southeast favoring rapid cyclogenesis as the low approaches Hatteras. There also remains more confluence to the north around northern New England to Nova Scotia, but make a critical note that the high pressure remains in a slightly unfavorable location. Lastly note the impressive 100knot jet streak along the east coast bringing +2SD moisture up the coastline from the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean.
Looking at teleconnections, they remain supportive of east coast cyclogenesis with a negative NAO and positive PNA. Also favorable is the phase 7-8 MJO, which has finally remerged after a benign pattern most of January.
The MJO phases of 7,8, & 1 remain favorable for high amplitude in western United States ridging and anomalous east coast troughing. The benign MJO is part to blame for the zonal Pacific airmass January most of the United States record, so now we are in a pattern closer in relation to that of December 2009. The active subtropical jet remains the culprit for the shortwave over the southeast later this week that will ride along the eastern periphery of the trough; wherever that may be. All of this coupled with a significant statosphere warming event and near record negative AO, will keep confidence high in a major winter weather event towards the weekend.
Finally the 1/31 12utc GFS operational shows another scenario with some relation to the double barrel low feature on the 0z ECMWF.
The primary low tracks up through the Tennessee Valley with redevelopment near Hatteras before the PV kicks this system eastward before it can gain latitude. A critical note of 4-7 medium range guidance is for PV positions to be progged too far to the south and west. So taken in account the southeast bias of this current prognostic, this system would likely be allowed for more widespread impacts north of 40N. Phasing of the northern and southern stream will be critical with a more phased approach allowing for this low pressure to track closer towards the coast with a strong primary back through the Tennessee Valley and into Kentucky.
With all of this in mind, my mean solution at this point highlights some very critical features. First off the blocking and confluence seems very disjointed to classic nor'easter tracks with widespread snowfall. In fact the H5 pattern resembles that more of an Appalachian snowstorm than a suppressed event. Also some guidance is suggesting a weak S/W across the Great Lakes region, which in most past instances typically is not favorable for an east coast track with widespread snowfall. But that being said spaghetti plots are very indicative of a heavy precipitation event across the east coast in the Friday through Sunday time frame with potential high impacts especially as one gains latitude. Also of one concern is the trend of guidance suggesting a stronger initial catalyst shortwave out of the Rockies, which would therefore allowing phasing to occur sooner with an Ohio Valley track. Therefore with a steep trough and lack of significant blocking I put suppression with this system at less than 30%. For those steadily watching model runs, expect radical changes in each cycle throughout the week as the pattern is highly volatile. This will cause many forecasting headaches. As for recent model verification the GGEM leads the pack in the medium and short range for the synoptic cyclogenesis events this winter along the east coast, but still the ECMWF leads the way in medium range 500mb verification. The GFS remains poor, typically with a southeast cold bias. Looking in conclusion I am concerned for precipitation type issues from the Blue Ridge up through Pennsylvania on eastward, but especially from I-95 on eastward. And I still would not be surprised for this system to track along the coastal plain with heavy snow thrown back into the Appalachians. 12utc model cycle trends were encouraging as for the 50/50 low placement straying away from an Ohio Valley storm system. Keep in mind with many days of the week ahead, any solution remains on the table, but I hope I highlighted several of the more favorable scenarios to make tracking this storm threat a bit more simpler. As far as analogs I have highlighted March of 1959, February of 1964, and January of 1978 with slight synoptic similarities. But generally I would not focus too much on analogs considering the fragile pattern in which a good deal can go wrong for those southeast of Hagerstown-Harrisburg-Allentown. Have a wonderful day!!!
"Here northeast of Harrisburg 2009-2010 winter statistics"
(Snow Stats)
Current Snow Cover- 3.75in
Monthly Total- 3.75in
Seasonal Total- 21.85in
October Total- 0.0in
November Total- Trace
December Total- 16.0in
January Total- 2.1in
February Total- 3.75in
Winter Weather Advisories- 5
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 2
Winter Storm Watches- 1
(Temperature Stats)
Lowest High Temperature- 18.8F
Lowest Low Temperature- 11.7F
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
(Winter Storms Stats)
Dec 5 - 1.5in - First accumulating snow of season
Dec 8-9 - 2.5in - Snow changed to plain rain
Dec 13 - .1in - Freezing rain
Dec 19 - 9.0in - Heavy snow, higher amounts to south
Dec 31 - 3.0in - 2.5hr warm air advection event
Dec 31 #2 - .2in - Freezing rain/sleet later in day
Jan 8 - 1.5in - Light snow associated with clipper
Feb 2 - 3.75in - Weak coastal storm
Regional Radar...
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.
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Once, Twice, Three Times an IE Patch
Microsoft is forced to reissue a cumulative IE patch for a third time to cover a 10th remote code vulnerability that was missed in the original releases.Microsofts Patch Tuesday on Sep. 12 brought three bulletins covering a three software flaws, but the day will be remembered most for an Internet Explorer mega-patch that is being re-rereleased to address a 10th vulnerability that was missed by the software maker. Just weeks after re-issuing the cumulative browser update amidst a round of verbal jousting with a private security research company, Microsoft has again refreshed the patch to cover another code execution bug that could cause PC takeover attacks. The flaw, which exists in the way IE handles long URLs when visiting Web sites using HTTP 1.1 protocol and compression, was flagged by eEye Digital Security, the same company that had its name zapped from the flaw credits when the update shipped for a second time on Aug. 24.
"We found another problem that they missed, even with the rerelease," said Marc Maiffret, chief hacking officer at eEye, in Aliso Viejo, Calif.
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Video: Players after rout of Rebels
Tiger Blitz Top Stories
LSU beats Hofstra behind Hess' strong outingBehind five shutout innings from LSU starter Zack Hess and strong performances from relievers, the Tigers beat Hofstra 8-1 on Wednesday night at The Box.
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I'm trying to plan a trip to South Africa for about 3-4 weeks with a departure date at the end of this month (March 2012). I know its extremely short notice. For safety and convenience, I would like to opt for a guided tour package and needed some help.
The initerary listed by Southern Eagle Tours (http://www.southern-eagle.com/southafrica/fet/fet23vfwioc.html) covers all the places that we would like to see but their pricing ($8k pp) is out of our budget range ($5k pp).
Does anyone have any experience with any other local providers that can put together a quality package on such short notice and still offer reasonable rates?
Recent ActivityView all Africa & the Middle East activity »
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Last Minute Trip to South Africa (ie. This Month!)
I'm trying to plan a trip to South Africa for about 3-4 weeks with a departure date at the end of this month (March 2012). I know its extremely short notice. For safety and convenience, I would like to opt for a guided tour package and needed some help.
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The link doesn't work. What's your itinerary?
$5000 pp for 3 weeks is tough, esp with air to Zim/Zam. We did a self drive, almost all on safari in S Africa, with no high end camps and some national parks last year for that. Doable if you spend time in Cape Town and Vic Falls to keep costs down, but still difficult.
We need more details in order to assist.
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The below link should work:
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It would take me three different trips to do all that!! Too much travel, and not enough quality. Pick two of the regions plus Cape Town so you can experience it, not just drive through. The private game reserve in Kruger is not what I would choose.
I would contact wild-wings.co.za. They might be able to put something together for you. Get back, and we'll let you know what we think!
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For flights to Livingstone, Zambia to see Victoria Falls, check out 1 time airline. The flights from Johannesburg are under 100$!
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I agree with Christabir - too much moving around. While the tour includes stops at some great places, it spends a very short time at each place - 1.5 days in Kruger for example.
This itinerary would leave me very frustrated - I would not be staying at any one place long enough to enjoy it. You need to decide what your priorities are - safari, hiking, Vic Falls etc - and then pick an itinerary to match. The "private game reserve/private game lodge" makes me nervous - I would want details. Didima and Hilltop Camps are both great. CR
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canadian_robin - in the fine print it says:
We make use of a number of smaller and more intimate game lodges in one of the private game reserves that lie directly west of the Kruger National Park. The specific game lodge used will depend on availability, but should be one of the following: Serondella Game Lodge, Monwana Game Lodge, Waterbuck Game Lodge, Jackalberry Game Lodge, Chapungu Luxury Tented Lodge, Kapama River Lodge, Kapama Buffalo Camp or Gomo Gomo Game Lodge
A few of them are great, but others are in fenced camps with upwards of 100 beds. I would not be happy with that.
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Ah - missed that! I wouldn't be happy with >100 beds either. At the very least then Smartkid, I would specify what size of camp/lodge (in terms of the # of people/rooms) you are willing to tolerate!
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