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Info-gap management of public health Policy for TB with HIV-prevalence and epidemiological uncertainty
Health policies, systems and management
Formulation and evaluation of public health policy commonly employs science-based mathematical models. For instance, epidemiological dynamics of TB is dominated, in general, by flow between actively and latently infected populations. Thus modelling is central in planning public health intervention. However, models are highly uncertain because they are based on observations that are geographically and temporally distinct from the population to which they are applied.
We aim to demonstrate the advantages of info-gap theory, a non-probabilistic approach to severe uncertainty when worst cases cannot be reliably identified and probability distributions are unreliable or unavailable. Info-gap is applied here to mathematical modelling of epidemics and analysis of public health decision-making.
Applying info-gap robustness analysis to tuberculosis/HIV (TB/HIV) epidemics, we illustrate the critical role of incorporating uncertainty in formulating recommendations for interventions. Robustness is assessed as the magnitude of uncertainty that can be tolerated by a given intervention. We illustrate the methodology by exploring interventions that alter the rates of diagnosis, cure, relapse and HIV infection.
We demonstrate several policy implications. Equivalence among alternative rates of diagnosis and relapse are identified. The impact of initial TB and HIV prevalence on the robustness to uncertainty is quantified. In some configurations, increased aggressiveness of intervention improves the predicted outcome but also reduces the robustness to uncertainty. Similarly, predicted outcomes may be better at larger target times, but may also be more vulnerable to model error.
The info-gap framework is useful for managing model uncertainty and is attractive when uncertainties on model parameters are extreme. When a public health model underlies guidelines, info-gap decision theory provides valuable insight into the confidence of achieving agreed-upon goals.
Public health policies affect millions of people and determine the allocation of health care funds. However, selecting an intervention for a given population at a given time is highly uncertain. Data supporting public health decisions are scarce, of poor quality, not fully generalizable and lack appropriate controls
Science-based mathematical models commonly support public health decisions
Despite severe uncertainty in public health decision-making, actions must be timely and cost-effective. Analysis of uncertainty is central in responsible decision making using uncertain data and models.
Information-gap (info-gap) theory
We develop a framework for the practical use of info-gap theory in public health for controlling infectious diseases. We focus on tuberculosis (TB) in the context of pandemic HIV as an example.
Epidemiological background
The World Health Organization reported 9.4 million incident TB cases and 1.7 million TB deaths in 2009 and estimated that only 63% of annual incident TB cases were detected and reported; of these, 86% were successfully treated
The HIV-AIDS pandemic is the major worldwide challenge to TB control
Many different epidemiological models have been used to evaluate treatment strategies. Deterministic compartment models are the most common, and we use a slightly modified version of the widely used Murray-Salomon model
Info-gap theory
The robustness function is the basic decision-support tool in an info-gap analysis. If our dynamic model were accurate we could evaluate any proposed intervention in terms of the outcome of that intervention that is predicted by the model. An intervention with low predicted TB prevalence is preferred over an intervention with higher predicted prevalence.
The problem is great model uncertainty. This means that predicted outcomes are unreliable and it is unrealistic to prioritize interventions in terms of their predicted outcomes. Using the model to find the intervention whose predicted outcome is best, is not suited to planning with highly uncertain models.
Model-based predictions are useful, but when deciding which public health intervention to implement, we should also ask: how wrong could the model be, and an acceptable outcome is still guaranteed? For any specified intervention we ask: what is the largest error in the model, up to which all realizations of the model would yield acceptable outcomes? Equivalently, what outcomes can reliably be anticipated from this intervention, given the unknown disparity between the model and reality? Answers to these questions lie in the robustness function, specified in Appendix "Definition of robustness" section. The robustness is dimensionless, and equals the greatest fractional error in the model parameters that is consistent with a specified outcome requirement. We use the robustness function to prioritize the interventions in terms of their robustness against uncertainty for achieving the required outcome.
We summarize here the main attributes of the info-gap robustness function: a plot of robustness-to-uncertainty versus required performance. This is the basic info-gap tool for prioritizing available options.
Robustness trades off against performance
More demanding performance requirements are less robust against uncertainty than less demanding requirements. This trade off is quantified and expressed graphically by the monotonic robustness curve.
Model predictions have zero robustness against uncertainty
When models are highly uncertain, it is unrealistic to prioritize one's options based on predicted outcomes of those options, because those predictions have no robustness to errors in the underlying models. Options must be evaluated in terms of the level of performance that can be reliably achieved; this is expressed by robustness.
Combining the trade off and zeroing properties yields realistic prioritization of options.
Prioritization of options depends on performance requirements
Prioritization of options may change as requirements change. This is called "preference reversal" and is expressed by the intersection of the robustness curves of different options. Preference reversal provides insight to anomalous behavior such as the Ellsberg and Allais paradoxes in human decision making
Info-gap models of uncertainty are non-probabilistic
Info-gap robustness analysis is implementable even when probability distributions are unknown, and thus is suited to severe uncertainty. In contrast, Monte Carlo simulation, Bayesian analysis, or probabilistic risk assessment require knowledge of probabilities. Other non-probabilistic tools include interval analysis, fuzzy set theory
Info-gap is operationally distinct from the min-max or worst-case decision strategy
Info-gap robustness does not require knowledge of a worst case. When even typical scenarios are poorly characterized, it is usually impractical to characterize worst cases, which is required by the min-max strategy. Info-gap theory does require specifying acceptable outcomes. Thus it is well suited to policy making, because preferences on outcomes are the driving force.
Info-gap robustness may proxy for the probability of satisfying the performance requirement
A more robust option is often more likely to achieve the required outcome. By prioritizing the options using info-gap robustness, one maximizes the probability of satisfying the requirement, without knowing probability distributions. The proxy property is central to understanding survival in economic
Info-gap implementation
Info-gap methodology requires three main elements: a
The system model in our example is summarized in two functions.
The public health practitioner wishes to control the total number of TB cases: the fewer the better. However, trying to minimize this prevalence depends on model predictions that are highly uncertain. The performance requirement is to keep the total fraction of TB cases at a specified time,
A dominant uncertainty in TB dynamics with HIV prevalence is in model parameter values, though HIV causes significant uncertainties in model structure. Structural uncertainty refers to missing terms in the equations, missing equations, or unknown nonlinearities. Structural uncertainty is dealt with much less frequently than parameter uncertainty because of technical challenges. We focus on parameter uncertainty in this paper because of its importance and to facilitate the presentation of this first application of info-gap theory to public health.
We use info-gap theory
We aim to achieve the performance requirement by judicious choice of control variables, defined in Appendix "Control variables" section. Eligible control variables are any coefficients of the dynamic model that can be influenced by public health or related medical intervention. We use the diagnosis rate, cure rate, relapse rate, and HIV infection rate. We define an intervention in terms of the values of these variables
Results: robustness and policy evaluation
We use the info-gap robustness function to evaluate alternative interventions aimed at controlling the relative TB prevalence,
Interpreting robustness curves: trade off and zeroing
All info-gap robustness curves have two properties, mentioned earlier: trade off between performance and robustness, and zeroing of the robustness curve. These properties are central in using robustness curves to evaluate public health policy.
The coefficients of the epidemiological models are specified in Tables
Figure 1
Robustness of relative TB prevalence
Robustness of relative TB prevalence. Run 8.
Figure 2
Relative TB prevalence vs. time
Relative TB prevalence vs. time. Run 8.
Figure 3
Relative relapses vs. time
Relative relapses vs. time. Run 8.
Trade off
Key to understanding the trade off expressed by the robustness curve is the concept of satisficing. In contrast to optimizing, satisficing asks for an outcome that meets minimal needs but may not be the best imaginable. The satisficing strategy is not merely "accepting second best." Satisficing is aspirational, setting a goal just like optimization, but also requiring robustness to uncertainty. The satisficing strategy induces a trade off between the aspiration for good outcome and the robustness against uncertainty in attaining that outcome.
The robustness curve in Figure
We can interpret the numerical values along the robustness curve as follows. The prevalence,
The public health practitioner may feel that robustness to 10% uncertainty in the model parameters is rather small, given the substantial uncertainty in the epidemiological dynamics of TB with HIV prevalence. If we want robustness to, say, 25% uncertainty in the model parameters we must accept a larger final case load, namely,
We note that the robustness curve in Figure
It is not surprising that the predicted outcome is extremely vulnerable to error in the model upon which the prediction is based. However, the zero-robustness of predicted outcomes has an important implication for policy selection.
The robustness curve in Figure
Equivalent interventions
Different combinations of interventions can yield essentially equivalent results, as in Figure
Figure 4
Equivalent robustness for two interventions
Equivalent robustness for two interventions. Run 8: —, run 15: – –.
Figure 5
Robustness curves at 10, 20 and 30 years
Robustness curves at 10, 20 and 30 years. Run 8: —, run 27: – –, run 28: ·–.
Figure 6
Nominal equivalence of two interventions
Nominal equivalence of two interventions. Run12: —, run 38: – –.
However, the epidemiological model is highly uncertain, and the robustness curves in Figure
Impact of initial TB and HIV prevalence
We now consider higher initial prevalences. The overall shape of the dynamic response is very similar in each case, except that the prevalence increases significantly as the initial prevalence increases. As in Figures
Figure 7
Robustness curves for low, medium and high initial TB and HIV prevalence
Robustness curves for low, medium and high initial TB and HIV prevalence. Run 8: —, run 19: – – run 20: ·–.
Intervention aggressiveness
Figure 8
Robustness with varying aggressiveness
Robustness with varying aggressiveness. Run 8: —, run 9: – –, run 10:·–, run 12: ⋯.
The progression from solid to dash to dot-dash in Figure
The top curve in Figure
Different target times
Most of the results discussed so far evaluated the robustness for a target time 10 years after initiation. We now consider the implications of different target times.
The predicted prevalence decreases as the target time increases, as shown by the horizontal intercepts in Figure
From Figure
The practitioner may feel that even 12% robustness against model-coefficient error is rather small, given the severe uncertainty of TB epidemiology in the context of epidemic HIV. This means that, even at a 30-year horizon, this intervention cannot reliably achieve a relative prevalence as low as 2%.
Suppose we are willing to aim at a final TB prevalence of 3.7%. We see from Figure
Results like Figure
Impact of HIV mortality
Figure 9
Robustness for various HIV infection rates
Robustness for various HIV infection rates. Run 8: —, run 31: – –, run 30: ·–, run 29: ⋯.
We demonstrated a generic info-gap framework for managing model uncertainty in public health decision making. By applying it to a mathematical model of TB/HIV epidemics, we illustrated specific recommendations for interventions in the control of TB with HIV in various settings.
The complicated multi-dimensional epidemiological dynamics are dominated by the flow back and forth between the actively and latently infected TB populations and the different rates of progression of different subpopulations between these compartments. Counter-intuitively, the total TB case load even decades after initiation can increase as a result of increased diagnosis and cure rates, and it can increase as the control of HIV becomes more aggressive. These findings highlight the critical importance of modeling in the assessment and planning of public health intervention. Model predictions are often used to choose interventions. However, model predictions must be interpreted in light of model uncertainties. Predicted outcomes have zero robustness to model error. Only worse-than-predicted outcomes (higher relative prevalence) have positive robustness against model error. This means that predicted outcomes are not reliable for prioritizing the interventions. The trade off between robustness and outcome is quantified by the info-gap model analysis and is a critical component of the decision-making process.
We explore the performance of interventions that alter the rate constants of diagnosis, cure, relapse and HIV infection. Some interventions have quite similar predicted outcomes and robustness curves. This enables the policy maker to choose between these interventions based on additional criteria, such as ease or cost of implementation. It is not true, however, that interventions with the same estimated outcomes necessarily have the same robustness against model error.
We demonstrate the policy implications of initial TB and HIV prevalence, of HIV mortality, of degree of treatment aggressiveness, and of the target time at which outcomes are evaluated. Public health policies are evaluated in terms of confidence—expressed as robustness to modeling error—in achieving specified TB prevalence at the target time. Predicted outcomes have zero robustness and thus are not reliable for evaluating and comparing interventions. Instead, interventions must be prioritized in terms of their capacity for achieving specified outcomes, with robustness to uncertainty. Failure to quantify the uncertainty inherent in public health interventions leads to disappointment from unrealized expectations, and failed policy. Where a public health model underlies guidelines, info-gap decision theory provides valuable insight into the confidence of achieving agreed-upon goals.
The Murray-Salomon model
The Murray-Salomon (M-S) model
The basic Murray-Salomon model: No HIV
The basic M-S model is the following 19 differential equations (eqs.(6) and (7) occur in 6 different forms each) appearing on pp.19–20 of Murray and Salomon
The term '±
It should be noted in the equations for
However, the 'vice versa' is a mistake. The correct equations for
Eq.(10) states that smear-negative individuals join the smear-positive population at rate
The instantaneous rate of infection,
The HIV-Extended model
Individuals move from each category in the HIV-negative sub-model to the corresponding category in the HIV-positive sub-model at the HIV infection rate, which varies over time. Because the effects of HIV on immune function are not marked with respect to tuberculosis until the CD4 count has dropped below 500, we actually move individuals from the HIV-negative to the HIV-positive sub-model after they have been infected with HIV for 3 years. The two sub-models are also linked through the annual risk of infection, as HIV-negative tuberculosis cases can infect HIV-positive individuals, and vice versa
Our model does not delay transfer from the HIV-negative sub-model.
Let us denote the HIV-negative state variables as before, and the HIV-positive state variables with the same letters but with an over-bar. For compactness we represent these two sets of variables with two vectors:
The model parameters listed in Tables
Eqs.(1)–(9) are 1st-order linear inhomogeneous differential equations. Only eq.(1) has an inhomogeneous term:
The term '−
M-S introduce further highly structured coupling between eqs.(17) and (18) through the TB infection rate,
Many uncertainties accompany the dynamic model. We concentrate on uncertainty in the values of some of the model parameters, as this is the dominant impact of HIV prevalence. We use info-gap theory to model and manage these uncertainties
The dominant uncertain parameters are:
Let us denote uncertain variables generically as
For each uncertain parameter,
More precisely, the fractional error of the estimate,
But this must be further refined to reflect the fact that the uncertain parameters are 1st-order removal-rate constantsb, which means that they cannot be negative. Thus we adjoin these constraints to the inequality as:
Finally, we write our info-gap model of uncertainty as a family of nested sets of uncertain vectors:
In some situations one may not be able to estimate error weights,
Robustness: formulation
Performance requirements
We will consider an aggregated variable for monitoring the TB status of the population. Our goal is to keep the value of this variable acceptably small. The variable we consider is the total number of cases, untreated and treated, HIV-positive and HIV-negative, as a fraction of the initial population:
There are other variables that one could consider. For instance, one could consider the total number of relapses, fast and slow, HIV-positive and HIV-negative, as a fraction of the initial population:
One could also consider the instantaneous or the average rates of change of
Returning to the aggregate prevalence,
A relation such as eq.(25) is called a "satisficing" requirement, as opposed to an optimization requirement. We do not aim to minimize the aggregate prevalence,
Control variables
We aim to achieve this goal by judicious choice of control variables that we denote generically as
We define an intervention in terms of the values of these variables. None of these control variables corresponds directly to any of the standard performance measures such as the incidence, prevalence, and death rates associated with TB. For instance, the coefficients
Definition of robustness
An intervention is specified by specifying the values of the control variables,
The problem is that the dynamic model is highly uncertain. This means that it is unrealistic to prioritize interventions in terms of their predicted outcomes. Since those predictions are highly uncertain, it is unwise to evaluate interventions only in terms of their model-based predictions.
The model-based predictions are useful, but we also ask: how wrong could the model be, and the predicted outcome is still acceptable? That is, for any specified intervention,
The robustness function for the performance requirement in eq.(25) is:
We can "read" this relation from left to right as follows. The robustness,
aFootnote 1 in the full online version, pp. 20–21.bThis means that these parameters are the coefficients in equations such as
AIDS: Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; HIV: Human immunodeficiency virus; RDM: Robust Decision Making.
Competing interests
The authors have no competing interests.
Authors' contributions
YB-H formulated the decision analysis and implemented the calculations. CD and NZ formulated the medical model. All authors had access to all data, participated in interpreting the results of the analysis, contributed to writing the manuscript and approved the last version of the manuscript.
Financial Support: This work was supported in part by NIH grant R01AI097045. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
One author (NMZ) is in debt to the University of Pennsylvania CFAR Developmental and International Cores (NIH grant P30AI45008, Penn Center for AIDS Research) for their continuous support in this and other related studies.
Modeling HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis coinfection
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Tuberculosis transmission model with chemoprophylaxis and treatment
Using models to explore whole-body metabolism and accessing models through a model library
Cornerstones to shape modeling for the 21st century: introducing the AKA-Glucose project
Markers of disease evolution: the case of tuberculosis
Systems biology of persistent infection: tuberculosis as a case study
Heterogeneous Uncertainties in cholesterol management
Global epidemiology of tuberculosis
The growing burden of tuberculosis: global trends and interactions with the HIV epidemic
Global incidence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis
Tuberculosis control in the era of HIV
Targets for global tuberculosis control
HIV infection, antiretroviral therapy, and CD4+ cell count distributions in African populations
The impact of HIV/AIDS on the control of tuberculosis in India
Modeling the impact of global tuberculosis control strategies
Using Mathematical Models to Evaluate Global Tuberculosis Control Strategies
Expanding the WHO tuberculosis control strategy: rethinking the role of active case-finding
Statistical decision functions which minimize the maximum risk
Robust solutions of uncertain linear programs
Robust rationality and decisions under severe uncertainty
Robustness, fidelity and prediction-looseness of models
Info-gap decision theory for engineering design
Info-gap robust-satisficing model of foraging behavior: Do foragers optimize or satisfice?
Robust climate policies under uncertainty: a comparison of robust decision making and info-gap methods
Info-gap forecasting and the advantage of sub-optimal models
Robust satisficing and the probability of survival
Uncertainty in estimates of HIV/AIDS: the estimation and application of plausibility bounds
Exogenous re-infection and the dynamics of tuberculosis epidemics: local effects in a network model of transmission
Prospects for worldwide tuberculosis control under the WHO DOTS strategy. Directly observed short-course therapy
Beneficial and perverse effects of isoniazid preventive therapy for latent tuberculosis infection in HIV-tuberculosis coinfected populations
Viability and effectiveness of large-scale HIV treatment initiatives in sub-Saharan Africa: experience from western Kenya
The effect of age and study duration on the relationship between 'clustering' of DNA fingerprint patterns and the proportion of tuberculosis disease attributable to recent transmission
The natural history of tuberculosis: the implications of age-dependent risks of disease and the role of reinfection
Limited impact of tuberculosis control in Hong Kong: attributable to high risks of reactivation disease
Rate of reinfection tuberculosis after successful treatment is higher than rate of new tuberculosis
Pre-publication history
The pre-publication history for this paper can be accessed here:


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So I'm not sure why the forward slash is being URL encoded when it is a WordPress dynamically generated URL within the WP Dashboard / admin area. This plugin should not be URL encoding other plugins admin options or any other URLs in any admin areas at all IMO. URL encoding should only be allowed for external URLs in the public front end of the site.
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So this plugin looks good otherwise, just needs these coding corrections. Thanks.
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"Now forty five years on from its first introduction, the Bristol 27 can be considered as well proven as a blue water boat can get. Although the boat was intended more for coastal sailing, the design is inherently seaworthy; well prepped boats are easily capable of offshore work." ~ Blue Water Boats January 14, 2014
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For Sale by Front Street Shipyard: Contact JB Turner at (207) 930.3740 or by email at firstname.lastname@example.com .
The Bristol 27 is a product of an early collaboration between Clint Pearson of Bristol, Rhode Island, and designer Carl Alberg. The stamp of both men is clearly evident in this solid-as-a-rock traditionally styled small cruiser.
Pearson, with his cousin Everett Pearson, was a founder of the original Pearson Yachts in 1955 and a pioneer in the mass production of fiberglass yachts. The boat that brought the company to prominence was the 28-foot Triton, drawn by Alberg, who at the time was still in the U.S. Coast Guard and designing boats on the side. Clint Pearson recalled recently that the Triton and subsequent Alberg designs were so successful that the firm found it cheaper to hire a full-time naval architect (Bill Shaw) than to work with Alberg on a royalty basis. (Alberg died in 1983.)
But when Clint Pearson left Pearson Yachts in the early 1960s, after Grumman Allied Industries bought the company, he quickly turned to Alberg for help with his new line of semi-custom boats. "The Triton had been very popular," Pearson said, "and Carl had been a nice guy to work with." Alberg drew the lines for a 27-footer to complement Bristol Yachts' only other model, a 19-footer, and the first Bristol 27 was built in the spring of 1965.
At this point, no one is sure exactly how many of the 27s were built. An early Bristol Yachts brochure says that more than 300 were sold in the first three years. The best guess is that 400 or more were built between 1965 and the mid-1970s. Because of their rugged construction, it's safe to say that most of them are still plying the waters somewhere today.
The Bristol 27 is a product of its era and of the traditional bent of Alberg's thinking—that is, a combination cruiser and club racer. At 6,600 pounds displacement with 2,575 pounds of internal lead ballast in its full keel, the boat is fairly heavy by contemporary standards. Fast enough on its own merits, it has an average PHRF rating of 234. By comparison, the lighter Catalina 27 with fin keel and spade rudder has a PHRF rating of about 210, and the Cal 27, also with a divided underbody, a rating of 192 to 200. Clearly, the Bristol was designed to be seaworthy rather than swift.
With its narrow beam (just eight feet), fair sheer line and generous overhangs, the 27 is pleasing to the eye. Unfortunately, the exaggerated stepped cabin top, which towers over the deck, is out of proportion to the height of the topsides. (A dodger helps camouflage its ungainly appearance. The boat has a short waterline of only 19' 9", which is typical of boats designed under the old Cruising Club of America racing rule. The idea was to save rating with a short waterline; once heeled, however, part of the long overhangs become immersed and effective sailing length increases by several feet. Thus, it's displacement/ length ratio of 382 is deceiving. Assuming a sailing length of 22 feet, the number drops to 276. Still, these are good numbers for a traditional cruising sailboat.
The keel, though full, has a gently curving forefoot to aid in maneuvering. The lead ballast is encapsulated inside the keel and the rudder is hung on the trailing edge, where it is well protected from grounding.
The 27 was produced in three models: the Weekender, which features an eight-foot cockpit, but less room below, and two versions of the standard cruising model, with a 6' 2" cockpit. One has opposing settees in the main cabin and a split galley aft; the other has the galley to starboard and a convertible dinette to port. The dinette model, with the galley and a table to port, proved the most popular, despite the loss of the starboard sea berth. The table was no doubt part of its appeal, and the galley is easier to work at, though the sink is a bit far off the centerline and may not drain when the boat is heeled far over.
Some owners of the settee version complained that no provision had been made for a table.
Some of the earliest models featured a bridgedeck, which added to the seamanlike appearance, but was later dropped in favor of a low sill. The bridgedeck is safer, but the sill is easier to step over when going below.
The Bristol 27, like most Bristol yachts, was built like a brick lighthouse. The hull is solid hand-laid fiberglass, "largely woven roving," according to company literature. "We probably overdid it on the fiberglass work" because of the relative unfamiliarity of the new material, said Eddie Medeiros, a longtime Bristol Yachts employee who is now vice president for operations. He estimates the hull is 1/2-inch thick below the waterline and 3/8-inch thick above.
The deck, deckhouse and cockpit are integrally molded; the hull-deck joint is through-bolted and caulked. In reviewing Practical Sailor survey responses on the 27, we found a number of owners who complained of hull-deck leaking. Deck and walkways are coated with Dexoleum, a non-skid coating that, on the boat we sailed, is beginning to show wear. There's a teak cap rail and teak grab rails (as well as teak hand rails in the companionway and main cabin).
The masthead rig is a 31' 9" anodized aluminum extrusion of Bristol's design, with a 12-foot boom equipped with a spring-type roller reefing gooseneck. Shrouds are 7/32-inch stainless steel wire and the 7/16-inch turnbuckles are chrome-plated Monel. Hardware and equipment are of good quality— Lewmar #8 winches, for example. (The molded-rein winch supports on the 27 we looked at were beginning to show some crazing.) Pulpits and lifelines were standard equipment.
Early models had an outboard well, but most of the boats we've seen are inboard-powered, either with an Atomic 4 or the optional Westerbeke Pilot 10 diesel. The inboards add some weight (as reflected in the PHRF rating) but greatly enhance performance under power, according to owners. Many owners of outboard models said there was insufficient power to make good progress motoring to windward, and that the prop is prone to cavitation when hobbyhorsing in a following sea or motoring to windward in a chop. These factors, plus the difficulty in raising the outboard (drag and corrosion problems) and the tendency of the well to flood prompt us to strongly recommend the inboard model.
A number of owners who responded to our survey, and some we talked to, complained that the boat was initially very tender. One owner said he added 500 pounds of ballast. Some said they routinely reefed the mainsail in any wind over about 12 knots to keep the boat under control and the helm balanced. Others, including the owner of hull #156, the Nancy Jane out of Newport, indicated no problems with excessive heeling or tenderness. We decided to find out for ourselves on a late summer day that began with small craft advisories and settled into a steady 15-mph
northwesterly punctuated by occasional puffs.
Under a full main and a working jib, the boat experienced no difficulty. It does heel over—then digs in and stays there. "It hangs tough," is Clint Pearson's expression. This initial tenderness—almost too strong a term for the 15 or 20 degrees of heel—belies its ultimate stability. We've heard of few knockdowns of Bristol 27s, even among those who routinely go offshore.
Gusts caused the boat to dig in a bit further and to round up slightly on its own; the stronger the wind, the higher it pointed. Except for a hint of weather helm caused by the relatively large main and small foretriangle—no problem for an afternoon sail but potentially tiring on a longer passage—the boat handled easily on all points of sail. The sensation of excessive helm is easily solved by a reef in the main or the use of a larger jib; with a 150-percent genoa, the owner of our test boat said the Bristol 27 balances perfectly. Despite the boat's bulk and the extra windage created by the stepped cabin, the boat is nimble, tacking neatly and jibing with hardly a jar. The overall feeling is one of solidity, not stodginess.
Down below, the traditional styling (one owner rein ferred to it as "old-fashioned") continues, with lessroom than you'd expect to find on a newer, beamier 27-footer. Here one can be grateful for the raised cabin top that provides plenty of standing headroom in the main cabin. There's a fiberglass liner that hides the overhead, but just enough Philippine mahogany in the trim and bulkheads for warmth. The one sour note is some jarring 60s-style coloring— mustard or pea-green—for the laminated plastic veneers. Four fixed ports in the main cabin, four smaller ports in the head and forward cabin (one opening in each), and a translucent forward hatch provide lots of light. Some owners we know have added a Dorade vent farther forward, over the chain locker, for extra ventilation.
The alternative cruising model has a second transom berth in place of the galley, with the galley components installed along the aft bulkhead on either side of the companionway. There is ample storage space, including a hanging locker.
Inboard engine access is simple—either open a hatch below the companionway or remove the steps completely. The cruising models have an enclosed head forward of the port berth, with 5' 10" of headroom, and two 6' 6" forward berths. On deck, there are several storage options—port and starboard lockers and a roomy lazarette aft of the tiller. The interior might be a bit snug, but Bristol Yachts managed to fit in the basics. It's definitely a Plain Jane below, but this is one area where owners can easily customize to suit their taste.
The Company offers the details of this vessel in good faith but cannot guarantee or warrant the accuracy of this information nor warrant the condition of the vessel. A buyer should instruct his agents, or his surveyors, to investigate such details as the buyer desires validated. This vessel is offered subject to prior sale, price change, or withdrawal without notice.
44 Bayview Street
Camden, ME 04843
United States


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Men's Sports
Women's Sports
Men's Sports
Women's Sports
March 3, 2013
Follow @WCChoops | WCC on Facebook | WCC on YouTube | WCC on Instagram
SAN BRUNO, Calif. -- The West Coast Conference has announced the brackets and game times for the 2013 WCC Basketball Championships at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. The tournament will begin with a women's first round match-up at 3:00 p.m. PST on Wednesday, March 6 and continue through the men's championship game on Monday, March 11.
Ranked No. 2 nationally, Gonzaga won its 12th WCC men's regular season title in the last 13 years, becoming the first West Coast Conference team to post a perfect 16-0 conference mark. The Bulldogs and the second seed Saint Mary's Gaels earn byes into the conference semifinals on Saturday evening. BYU, the third seed, and No. 4 Santa Clara each earn a bye to the quarterfinals and will take the floor on Friday night. San Francisco and San Diego finished with identical conference marks, split the head-to-head series, and had the exact same record against each WCC opponent. The Dons have earned the five seed due to the RPI tiebreaker, making San Diego the six. Pepperdine (seven), Portland (eight), and Loyola Marymount (nine) wrap up the men's bracket.
On the women's side, Gonzaga posted a 15-1 conference mark, capturing its ninth straight WCC regular season crown. The Bulldogs will occupy the top seed. With a 12-4 WCC record, San Diego finished in second place, and will open play in Saturday's semifinals. Saint Mary's and BYU are seeded third and fourth respectively, opening in Friday's quarterfinal round. Loyola Marymount earned the fifth seed, with Santa Clara in the sixth spot. Portland (seven), San Francisco (eight), and Pepperdine (nine) round out the women's bracket.
The 2013 West Coast Conference Basketball Championships get underway at 3:00 p.m. on Wednesday with a pair of opening round games. Women's action tips off the tournament as No. 8 San Francisco faces ninth seed Pepperdine. At 6 p.m., the men's tournament begins when No. 8 Portland battles No. 9 Loyola Marymount.
For the first time, all 16 games from the 2013 West Coast Conference Championships will be nationally televised. Wednesday's opening round and Thursday's second round men's and women's action will be televised live on BYUtv. Available in well over 60 million homes nationwide via cable and satellite, BYUtv will also televise the women's quarterfinals and semifinals. BYUtv is also available in HD via live streaming and video on-demand, smart phone apps, and Roku or Google TV devices.
The men's quarterfinals will be once again televised on ESPNU, with the men's semis airing nationally on ESPN2. On Monday, the women's championship game will be shown nationwide at 1 p.m. on ESPNU. Later that evening, at 6 p.m., the West Coast Conference men's championship game will air live on ESPN.
The men's and women's winners of the 2013 West Coast Conference Basketball Championships will each receive an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.
© Copyright 2017 West Coast Conference. All Rights Reserved.


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Freshman Drake Martinez, the brother of former Husker quarterback Taylor Martinez, has decided to transfer from Nebraska. The news was confirmed by a University Spokesman on Saturday.
Martinez, who dealt with an injury in the spring, was projected by Big Red Report has a possible two-deep player at safety this fall.
Earlier in the week, Big Red Report was informed by a source that Martinez was "home sick" and could be possibly leaving the program.


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BERLIN – Three distinct timelines are shaping developments in the Middle East: the short-term timeline of daily struggles and politics; the medium-term timeline of geopolitical shifts, which is measured in decades; and the long-term timeline of sociocultural transformation, or what the historian Fernand Braudel called the longue durée. Understanding each is essential to craft an effective strategy in the region.
The first timeline certainly receives the most attention. The media report relentlessly on the latest round of fighting between Israel and Hamas; recent negotiations over Iran's nuclear program; ongoing opposition activity and political repression in Egypt and Bahrain; and the slaughter and humanitarian tragedies unfolding in Syria and Iraq.
But political thinking in the Middle East is often linked to the second timeline. Indeed, it is impossible to grasp the region's contemporary history and politics without understanding the emergence of the regional state system after World War I and the demise of the Ottoman Empire.
For example, there are the constant reminders that external powers – most notably, the United Kingdom and France – established the existing borders. Resistance against the so-called Sykes-Picot order nurtured the founding myths of many states and political movements in the region.


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Admire the most beautiful places of Montemesola and add them to your basket. YAMGU will create your trip considering distances, opening hours and weather.
The Spada Collection emerged from the passion of Dr. Francesco Spada, a haematologist and antiques and music lover who, in the span of about twenty-five years, bought 750 pieces, from local street markets and antique shops. The collection is divided into fourteen families, has been studied, photographed, catalogued and restored. In particular, for each instrument an organological study was made to determine the historical and geographical period from which it derived, also taking into account the physical and textual features of the materials used and of the subsequent operations made in order


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Winner of the "Master Tassel Twirl" competition at 2014's Canadian Regional Burlypicks, and second runner up at the Miss Pinup Canada Pageant 2014. Esther De Ville is Toronto's vintage vixen, plucked off the screen of 1940's film noir. With her long wavy hair and sumptuous hips, she is sure to tantalize and titillate any audience. Specializing in glove and stocking teases, Esther combines the sex appeal of Tempest Storm with the glamour of Lili St Cyr! She will instantly capture any audience as she struts across the stage letting go of all her inhibitions and clothing!
Esther De Ville has shared the stage with many legends such as Dirty Martini, Jo Boobs, Roxi D'Lite, Perle Noir, and Toronto's own Coco Framboise. Esther De Ville has many years experience acting on both stage and screen, and an extensive background in costuming. She has entertained for clients such as Holt Renfrew, Jezebel Burlesque, This Is London, Tattoo Rock Parlour and Uniun nightclub. Esther has also had the honour of performing at The Toronto Burlesque Festival, Edmonton Burlesque Festival, and The Great Boston Burlesque Exposition.
For specific show times, booth number, and other contact information please see the below chart.


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Anthony Hamilton - Do You Feel Me MP3
Anthony Hamilton American Gangster.
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Hold On, I'm Coming Don't you ever, be sad Lean on me, hen times get bad When the day come, and you know your down In a river of trouble, your bout to ...
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2007-Starring : Denzel Washington, Russel Crowe, Chiwetel Eljiofor, Cuba Gooding Jr., Josh Brolin, RZA Directed By: Ridley Scott.
Anthony Hamilton - Do You Feel Me (Official Music Video) MP3
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Amazing song from amazing movie American gangster.
American Gangster - Heart of the City MP3
Cut short version American Gangster - Heart of the City.
Hank Shocklee - railroad (american gangster soundtrack) MP3
This is other song by Hank Shocklee from this great movie. This is ''railroad'', enjoy it.
Anthony Hamilton - Do You Feel Me MP3
My fav Anthony Hamilton joint -- off the American Gangster soundtrack.
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American Gangster soundtrack - 'Frank Lucas' by Marc Streitenfeld. The video contains pictures from the movie. The movie was released in 2007 and was ...
Hold On, I'm Comin' (Sam & Dave) "American Gangster" Movie Soundtrack HD MP3
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Tag Archives: Operation Crusader
Casualties of War – Sami Goes to WWII – 1
Chapter 1: Sami joins the Army "War is a severe doctor; but it sometimes heals grievances." Edward Counsel, Maxims. It is night-time in an open war field somewhere near the Mediterranean Sea, in the mid of December of 1941. Soldiers were … Continue reading


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Replay Publishing
Replay Publishing is a game company based in Ohiopyle, Pennsylvania, that develops and publishes sports simulation games for the tabletop and computer. They currently produce Replay Baseball, Replay Basketball, and PC Replay Baseball. Competitors past and present include APBA, Strat-O-Matic, Big League Manager, Design Depot, Negamco, Pursue the Pennant and Statis Pro Baseball.
|Peter Ventura
|Replay Publishing
|Setup time
|Playing time
|30 minutes
|Random chance
|Medium (dice rolling, luck)
Replay Baseball was first developed by Norm Roth and John Brodak, and first published in 1973 by Replay Games of Carmichaels, Pennsylvania.[1] They continued publishing the game until 1991, when they moved on to other pursuits due to the rising financial cost due to licensing with the Major League Baseball Players Association.[2] In 1998, Pete Ventura and Replay Publishing resurrected the franchise with the release of their first yearbook for Replay Baseball. A brand new Replay Basketball was released in 2003, and PC Replay Baseball was created for computer play and released in 2009.
In August 2007, the company held Replay Retreat 2007 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.[3] In July 2014, another Replay Retreat was held in Pittsburgh. Replayers from all over the nation came for a weekend of fellowship and gaming. A tournament was held and Michigan teacher Jim Woods emerged as champion in a thrilling extra inning comeback that will never be forgotten by those that watched the final in person.
Replay Baseball[edit]
Replay Baseball is played using three dice (red, white, and blue), and a Chart Book. Play is controlled by rolling three dice (red/white/blue), and using the numbers to obtain results by referencing the pitcher and batter cards, as well as the chart book. The Chart Book is offered in two formats, the Current Chart Book being valid for the new yearbook format and for original seasons produced after 1987, and the White/Classic Chart Book being valid for original seasons produced before 1987. Playtime can be as little as 15–20 minutes per game, according to TableTop-Sports administrator Jeff Downey.[4]
Replay fans are known to play co-op games that are coordinated in their online forum, which builds a sense of community around the game. In an interview[5] with The Stateline Observer, player Craig Pillow noted:
Replay Baseball offers a number of past seasons, in both a yearbook (precut cards) and team book (eBook only) format. In addition, there are still copies of the original game (Replay Classic) and seasons available.
Replay Baseball has been mentioned in two books to-date,[6] with one providing a four-paragraph write-up concerning the game.[7]
In 2004, Replay published a yearbook of the 1923 Negro National League, using full statistical data not yet published elsewhere but provided by the researcher. The data published in the yearbook remains the most complete for a single Negro League season, and is currently still the only source for that season's official statistics. Company owner Pete Ventura donated a portion of his profits to a Negro Leagues Widows fund, helping out pensionless widows of Negro Leaguers.[8]
The company also donated games to Walter Reed Medical Center in 2006 and 2007 for convalescing soldiers.[citation needed]
Replay Basketball[edit]
Replay Basketball is offered in both the original dice version, and a new card-only version.
The game offers a number of past seasons in both a yearbook (precut cards or perforated card sheets) and team book (eBook only) format.
This game was independently and comprehensively reviewed by a customer and game designer, Brien Martin, on his fan site, Replay Hoops Central. Based on comments found at the company's official on-line forum, a number of potential customers have used this comprehensive review to assess their potential interest in the game.
Second Season Pro Football[edit]
Originally the creation of Keith Avallone of Plaay Games (Plaay Games), the right to publish Second Season was granted to Replay Publishing. The game is played using two dice (one black, one white) and a game book. Play begins by selecting two teams, which will face one another in the simulated game. Following kickoff, the offensive team selects a play and a target player, while the defense is chosen by a roll of a die (for solo play). Once the play and defense are determined, the two dice are rolled, and read together.[9] For example, a black 4 and a white 3 would be read as '43' (similar to other games, such as APBA Football).
This number is then used to reference the game book, which will produce a result for the play called by the offensive coach. An example of the game book can be seen at right.
Second Season has a number of past season sets available, offered in the yearbook format. In addition, a How-To guide is also produced which allows players to create their own teams from past football seasons.
On January 20, 2010, Pete Ventura of Replay Publishing announced that Second Season Football was returning to the Plaay Games fold, who would be publishing the game beginning Summer 2010.[10]
- ^ "About Replay Publishing"
- ^ "Replay Baseball Game History, by Al Arthurs"
- ^ "Replay Retreat 2007, Pictures"
- ^ "Replay Baseball Game review, by Jeff Downey"
- ^ Green (2007-10-31). "Craig Pillow: Replay simulation baseball 10.31.2007".
- ^ Guzzo, Glenn (2005). Strat-O-Matic Fanatics: The Unlikely Success Story Of A Game That Became An American Passion. Chicago: ACTA Sports. ISBN 0-87946-280-9
- ^ Carroll, B., Thorn, J., Reuther, D. (1990) The Whole Baseball Catalogue. New York: Simon & Schuster. ISBN 0-671-68347-0
- ^ Second Season How-To
- ^ http://forums.delphiforums.com/replayball/start


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Vietnam Cambodia Laos & Northern Thailand - Laos (PDF Chapter)
This is the Laos chapter from Lonely Planet's Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos & Northern Thailand guidebook.
The 'Land of a Million Elephants' oozes magic the moment you spot a Hmong tribeswoman looming from the mist, trek through a glimmering rice paddy, or hear the sonorous call of one of the country's endangered gibbons. Be it flying along mountain zip-lines, elephant riding, exploring subterranean caves or traversing the jungle via dirt-bike, Laos will indelibly burn itself into your memory.
- explore the fabled city of Luang Prabang to find French cuisine, Buddhist temples, colonial villas, stunning river views and some of the best boutique accommodation in Southeast Asia
- maps
- take a boat ride through the exhilarating yet spooky 7.5km Tham Kong Lo, home to fist-sized spiders and stalactite woods, whilst tackling the three-day 'Loop' by dirt-bike
- transport
- zip through the treetops and sleep among the wild things in a cosy jungle tree house on the Gibbon Experience in Huay Xai, Laos' premier eco adventure
- restaurants & accommodation
Coverage includes: Vientiane, Around Vientiane, Phu Khao Khuay National Protected Area, Vang Vieng, Northern Laos, Luang Prabang, Around Luang Prabang, Luang Prabang Province, Xieng Khuang Province, Huah Phan Province, Udomxai Province, Luang Namtha Province, Bokeo Province, Central & Southern Laos, Bolikhamsai & Khammuan Provinces, Savannakhet Province, Champasak Province, Si Phan Don (Four Thousand Islands), Bolaven Plateau, Tat Lo, Understand Laos, Laos Today, History, People & Culture, Food & Drink, Environment, Survival Guide.
Formats: EPUB, MOBI, PDF
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Modern apartment with 3+1 beds located on the second floor with a balcony whith magnficent view on the sea. New air conditioner. Fully equipped kitchen in dinning room with sofa bed (1 person) and bedroom (double bed and one extra bed for 3 persons) and a bathroom with shower.
Included Air conditioner, Free WiFi, TV, towels, bed linen, parking, garden & barbecue and fully equiped kitchen. Use of air conditioner, final cleaning and tourist tax included in the price.
|From 27/05 to 17/06
|From 17/06 to 01/07
|From 01/07 to 08/07
|From 08/07 to 15/07
|From 15/07 to 19/08
|From 19/08 to 26/08
|From 26/08 to 02/09
|From 02/09 to 14/10
Reservation fee is 25% of total price and should be payed on host bank account. Guests will pay the rest of the price in cash upon arrival on the first day of stay.
Check-in time is Saturday after 14:00 h ( 2 p.m.) and check-out time is at Saturday before 10:00 a.m.
Smoking is allowed on balcony and in dining/living room, Please do not smoke in bedrooms.
Smaller pets are allowed (pls. contact us for details)


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- Doctors
- New Mexico
- Santa Fe
- Acupuncturists
- Dr. Janet (Peggy) Creelman
You may also like
Ratings for Dr. Janet (Peggy) Creelman
Dr. Creelman has been treating me for 4 months and my life has completely changed! I can finally function and am getting better every day. I drive over an hour to see her and it is well worth it. No doctor could ever tell me what is wrong with me, Peggy took an hour with me and told me exactly what was wrong. I have been sick for 17 years and now I am getting better. Her methods are very different than main stream medicine, but it is working a miracle in my life!!
Peggy has no staff so I rated that in the middle because it didn't seem fair to rate it "Poor". There should be a "n/a" option. Peggy is very thoughtful and thorough. She's very "to the point" and doesn't spend a lot of time or energy on the warm-and-fuzzy behavior that some people want from practicioners, but I have no problem with that. She seems to know what she's doing and understand the field very well. I've read a few comments that say she is rude and short with people which certainly was not my experience. I do see though that some people are looking for more softness and she seems really practical. The muscle testing and subsequent acupuncture and supplements almost completely did away with my substantial allergies this spring. I would definitely see her again.
Dr. Creelman is extremely dedicated to finding the cause of illnesses and doing everything in her power to ease the patient's suffering. She is well versed in Chinese acupuncture and very adept at muscle testing. Lyme disease is one of her fortes, and she has been very helpful to many people on that count.
Dr. Janet (Peggy) Creelman's Credentials
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Pune Bomb Blast | USsPost.com
February 13, 2010 by Post Team
Pune B0mb Bl@st | USsPost.com:According to sources in an explosion at a bakery in the western Indian city of Pune at least eight people have been kil1ed. In the incident which happened on Saturday 33 people injured. Joint police commissioner for the city, Rajendra Sonawane, said its not confirm but we believe that the blast in Pune's Koregaon Park neighbourhood was from a bomb. According to initial report a cooking gas cylinder exploded at the bakery. Chandra Lyengar, who is Home Secretary for Maharashtra State, told that an anti-t*rror*sm squad is also assisting in the investigation. But he didn't confirm the blast as a terror attack. This bakery is near Osho Ashram which is a commune founded by the late Indian guru Bhagwan Shree Rajneesh. According to another report Maharashtras Deputy Chief Minister Chhagan Bhujbal late on Saturday evening admitted that there were some intelligence reports regarding the probability of terror incident.
Source : http://news.puggal.com/pune-bomb-blast-23217/
Please feel free to send if you have any questions regarding this post , you can contact on
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this site are that of the authors and not necessarily that of U.S.S.POST.


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|15 Guyon urethral sounds, storage case
|Does Not Include
|Latex, Phthalates
|Washing Instructions
|Autoclave, or boil to sterilise and wipe with alcohol to clean. Only use sterile lubricant
|Stainless Steel
|Customer Review Summary
|5 Reviews (5)
- Intense
I have been sounding for quite a while and thought i felt all that sounding had too offer.
I have a set of hegers, rosebuds and pratts so when i saw on uberkinky for the first time i knew i had some. Well after finally scraping the money together i took the plunge, ordered and they arrived this morning.
So immediately i opened and sterilised them proceeded to play. At first i thought curve is all wrong and just at the moment it readjusted it's self into position and sliding in. The feeling was intense and i could have cum there and then but it had nowhere to go and the sound was locked firmly into place on my prostate. I found i had to fight the urge to cum,so i had to relax and go soft before i could remove the guyon sound.
To sum it up. Great sounds, much more of a challenge and i need more much more practice. Happy days
- Excellent
Excellent matte sounds. The sensation is really hot, especially with the sturdiest ones. A must, recommended for advanced sounders.
- urethral sound guyons type
Wow what a toy to play with. Had some fun with them when they arrived. Like them
- Excellent
Definitely for experienced sounders.
These offer highly intense prostate and urethral pleasure, which will give you a very intense orgasm.
The handles on the ends of these, especially on the wider ones can cause soreness on your penis end if used to rigorously, so the narrower ones are more user friendly.
All in all I would highly recommend these for Urethral play.
Don't forget the lube though...
Happy Days
- Awesome tools
I ordered these late on a Wednesday and they arrived on the first day of normal delivery
I had been thinking about buying these for some time so you can imagine my excitement when they arrived. I could not wait to feel these babies sliding into my cock . So with out further ado I cleaned them then went to work starting with 16fr ( if you need to start any smaller I don't think you are ready for this set ) . I have used larger Pratt sounds allowing them to slide through my prostate into my bladder but the sensation of Guyon is much more intense


text: when i play a game i like to tell others what i think about the game. and i'm not the pro gamer so i guess my thougts are diffrent from other gamers? anyway, i like to blog even if i don't have anything to say, but now i do have something to say. so i started a blog called: playsomegames.blogg.se and i'm trying to write in english. i just wanted to tell that i guess?


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PHOENIX — It doesn't look like Arizonans are going to be able to bring their guns into public buildings.
On a 15-14 vote, the Senate voted Monday to kill House-passed legislation that would allow those with state-issued permits to carry concealed weapons to ignore "no guns" signs that government agencies post.
With three Republicans and all Democrats in opposition, the chances of resurrecting this in the last days of the session are slim.
Monday's vote came over the objections of supporters who said the signs are no real deterrent.
"The bad guys laugh at the sign as they walk in with their weapon," said Sen. John Kavanagh, R-Fountain Hills. Only law-abiding citizens check their weapons, meaning they are unarmed and unable to protect themselves, he said.
The failure of HB 2320 leaves the law as it has been for years.
Individuals are presumed to be allowed to carry weapons into public buildings. But the law says they can be blocked if the operator of the building posts a sign at each entrance and makes lockers available so people can check their weapons and not have to leave them home or in their vehicles.
This legislation was designed to benefit the more than 232,000 Arizonans who have obtained state-issued permits to carry concealed weapons.
While a permit is not required — a 2011 law lets any adult have a concealed weapon — those with the permits get special privileges, such as being allowed to bring their guns into bars if they agree not to drink.
HB 2320 would have extended that to public buildings unless the operators put metal detectors and guards at each public entrance.
That led to complaints by cities of what they said were unnecessary costs, with some estimates putting the figure in excess of $100,000 per entrance per year. But Sen. Debbie Lesko, R-Peoria, said those financial concerns are unwarranted.
She said they could simply allow permit holders to bring in their guns, which wouldn't cost them anything.
"I feel much safer if CCW carriers (carrying a concealed weapon) are in that building to protect us and other law-abiding citizens," Lesko said.
Kavanagh echoed that theme, saying, "This is simply about letting honest, decent people who we don't have to fear have weapons in public buildings so that if ... one of the criminals that disregards the sign begins to shoot, they'll be able to protect themselves."


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Don't be surprised if you hear of Priyanka Chopra toying with the idea of launching a signature perfume.
Ever since her recent appearances on American chat shows (Live With Kelly and Michael, and Jimmy Kimmel Live) promoting her TV series, 'Quantico', she has been asked how she smells so fantastic. PeeCee's witty reply has been that she wakes up like this every morning.
Considering what fragrance she is wearing is being debated on international television, those in the know say PC might just create a fragrance in her name so that the Ameri-cans, and the rest of the world, get a whiff of it (for a price).


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It's time to shine your wingtips and throw on a girdle: The Academy Awards are handed out Sunday. And while I have a feeling this may be one of the most predictable ceremonies to date (early congrats, Jeff Bridges and Christoph Waltz), let's hope a few unscripted moments will have us talking Monday morning.
Here are five things I hope to see during the telecast, which starts at 8 ET on ABC:
1. Kathryn Bigelow wins for best director. Bigelow is the favorite to take home the trophy, and I hope she does for a few reasons: a) The Hurt Locker is a tight flick, and she deserves to win; b) no woman has ever won in this category; c) Avatar wasn't bad, but James Cameron's acceptance speeches are rather painful to witness.
2. Quentin Tarantino wins for best original screenplay. The night won't be complete without QT at the mic. And really, how can anyone else in that category -- including critical darlings the Coen brothers -- compete with Inglourious Basterds?
3. Steve Martin and Alec Baldwin are hysterically, monumentally funny. I don't think this one will be too difficult to achieve, though there's always the possibility they'll down a fifth of whiskey beforehand and just mail it in. I want clever banter, I want banjos, I want to not fall asleep by 10:30. Help me out, guys.
4. Fantastic Mr. Fox beats Up for best animated film. I liked Up, I just liked Fox more. There, I said it.
5. The whole shebang ENDS ON TIME. Oscar, you cut the musical performances. You're installing a backstage "thank-you cam" to keep speeches short. So you know what that means, right? There's absolutely no excuse for a super-long show. Get me to bed at a decent hour, and I'll be thrilled. Fill your saved time with worthless montages and salutes to prairie animals in the movies, and, come Monday, someone's gonna lose a toe.
Whitney has been writing about pop culture for USA TODAY since 1999, when Pop Candy began as a weekly column. Her interests include music festivals, mustaches, Lost, comic books and Andy Warhol. She lives in New York City. More about Whitney | E-mail Whitney


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French Coffee Press (Black) - 34 oz Coffee Maker with Triple Filters Plunger
Regular price
|BREWS 1 LITER: 8 coffee cups or about 4 coffee mugs, 34 oz. of the best tasting delicious coffee. Perfect to use as a French press coffee maker or Tea Press. The carafe is made of durable, heat-resistant borosilicate glass. The white BPA free plastic liner attached to the lid keeps the lid from getting too hot so you will not get burned pouring your coffee. The smart design ensures "no plastic" will touch your coffee during brewing and when pouring DURABLE: 34-ounce durable borosilicate glass carafe beaker sits in stylish frame with feet to prevent wobbling. The white plastic liner attached to the lid keeps the lid from getting too hot. Therefore you will not get hurt during brewing and when pouring your coffee. Not just a great cup of coffee - quality you can count on and style you deserve. Replace your drip coffee machine, teapot or percolator appliance with this coffeemaker. Great for the outdoor camping trip or office! EASY TO HANDLE AND MANAGE: Easier to use than a drip coffeemaker; brews within minutes and no soggy filters to deal with. A glass coffeepress carafe; with 3-part extra fine stainless steel mesh filter keeps grounds out of your cup; disassembles for cleaning; quality, dishwasher-safe parts.
On Jul-05-16 at 01:58:32 PDT, seller added the following information:


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Community NewsMore
October 27 – Posted By Adam
RIP to one of theO's Finest, Desbreko (1988-2016)
September 07 – Posted By Adam
House Cleaning: eCards & Mobile Wallpapers Retire
Featured Works
What Is Lost ~misachan83
WALLPAPER | Kuroshitsuji
0068 ~Yrovel
FAN ART | Renkin 3 kyuu Magical Pokahn
Major Arcana XVII ~Pleiades Rising
FAN ART | Other Anime and Manga
Green Blaze. ~toyotami kun
FAN ART | Original Anime and Manga
Sleepy Knives ~tsubasachro
WALLPAPER | Trigun
- Which one of my UTAU OCs are you most like?
- Who Would You Be If Dragon Age Was Real? (Part 1)
- What is Your True Xiaolin Element?
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By Larry Olmsted, Special for USA TODAY
This Christmas, Wyoming's famed Jackson Hole ski resort is giving its guests a very special present: the new $10 million Bridger Restaurant Complex, which includes the mountain's first foray into evening fine dining.
"We have world-class skiing, but the mountain did not offer any kind of high-quality dining experience," spokeswoman Anna Olson says. "I think people love the idea of riding a lift to dinner. We've never had that before, and it is something you just can't do at home."
READ MORE: Ski boot camp takes amateurs swiftly down the next level
The mountain, which is famous for its steep expert runs and deep snowfalls, is hoping to gain a gourmet reputation, as well. All across the West, on-mountain dining, once infamous for foil-wrapped burgers sitting under heat lamps and cardboard cups of overpriced fries, is enjoying a culinary revolution. Mountains are not just rolling out the white tablecloths, they are drawing a discerning dinner crowd back onto the slopes long after the last lifts have closed.
Not so long ago, the ski industry thought that a sleigh or gondola ride and scenic view were enough to lure customers. "It's like night and day from a few years ago," says Robert Pedrero, a San Francisco resident and longtime skier.
Three years ago, he and his wife were at a major Colorado resort with friends visiting from Norway, and they found that the resort had a mountaintop Scandinavian restaurant. They rode the scenic gondola up for the experience. Then his guests ordered aquavit, the most traditional Scandinavian liquor.
"The bartender was like, 'What's aquavit?' " Pedrero says. "The place had this fake Scandinavian décor, but it was just another mediocre restaurant that had been stuck up on the mountain as a gimmick."
Getting there may still be half the fun. Options range from skis to snowcats, the big machines on treads used to groom slopes at night, but today the food is increasingly the draw.
Last winter, Pedrero and his friends again gambled on mountain dining, this time at Colorado's posh Beaver Creek Resort and its Zach's Cabin, reached via an open-air sleigh ride from the Ritz-Carlton hotel in Bachelor Gulch Village.
"As soon as I got on the sleigh and they handed out blankets, I thought, 'Here we go again with the gimmicks,' " Pedrero says. "But the food was excellent, and the sommelier was as good as the ones at top restaurants in San Francisco."
There are several reasons for the trend. Growth in mountainside communities such as Jackson's Teton Village and Bachelor Gulch at Beaver Creek has raised the competitive bar. Interest in food and gourmet cuisine in general continues to be strong. In addition, on-slope private clubs have become increasingly common at large Western ski resorts, allowing members to ski in and out of fancy lunches without returning to base areas. But members rarely use these facilities at night, so many have turned to serving public dinners.
This is the case with Beaver Creek's two on-mountain fine-dining restaurants, Zach's and Beano's Cabin, as well as the vaunted Game Creek Club at Vail, which is reached by a combination of gondola and customized luxury snowcat. This winter a massive development opens at the Northstar ski resort in Lake Tahoe, including Schaffer's Camp, a members-only high-end lunch restaurant on the slopes at 7,800 feet, accessed by a gondola.
"Schaffer's Camp will be Lake Tahoe's first five-star mountaintop restaurant," says Debbie Casey, general manager of the Tahoe Mountain Club. Starting next summer, it will be open to the public for dinner year-round, the latest salvo in the high-mountain dining craze.
"Our guests and homeowners are savvy travelers and diners," says Beaver Creek's Christina Schleicher. "They will not settle for anything less."
The trend spans the USA and Canada and shares a few commonalities. While avid winter-sports enthusiasts can snowshoe, hike or cross-country ski to many of the high-mountain restaurants, most visitors arrive by gondola, sleigh or snowcat. And the cuisine tends toward either Swiss Alpine or Rocky Mountain gourmet.
Couloir, Jackson's first on-mountain dinner restaurant, in the Bridger complex, offers regional dishes such as slow-roasted prime rib of buffalo and porcini, and cornmeal-dusted Snake River trout. Buffalo or elk is on almost every menu, unless the eatery goes for fondue, such as the Crystal Hut atop Canada's Blackcomb Mountain, or elaborate European dishes such as those at the Cloud Nine Bistro atop Aspen Highlands.
Whatever the fare, skiers rarely leave hungry.


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So I have now been to Body Details 3 times for laser hair removal from my underarms and the process is definitely working! I am happy to report so much less hair growth and what does grow is super thin and sparse! I have barely been having to shave at all and just went back for my third session!
Body Details was founded in 2005 in Coral Gables, Florida and created to advance cosmetic medicine in the areas of Laser Hair Removal & Laser Tattoo Removal. Since then Body Details has consistently focused its efforts and its resources on one mission and one purpose only: offering the most effective treatment for the safe and permanent removal of unwanted hair & tattoos. Now, years later, that approach has placed Body Details at the forefront of patient care in our industry in areas such as effectiveness, safety, research, & consumer education. With locations throughout South Florida, Body Details has evolved from one location to the largest provider of laser hair & tattoo removal in South Florida with plans to offer our services on a national level in the coming years. If you are considering laser hair removal or laser tattoo removal we invite you to learn more about us here on our website or in person during a free consultation at any of our facilities. You will find renowned medical expertise utilizing the most sophisticated technology available for the two procedures we specialize in.
I had set my third appointment on a Friday evening which was perfect for me. Body Details has great hours so you'll be sure to have a convenient time to go. The facility is so clean and warm and inviting. The people working there are always so nice and pleasant and I received a reminder call before this appointment. I
I had the same technician this time that did my previous treatments. She went over my treatment last time and I showed her how well it had worked. The hair under my arms is thinner and less noticeable and there is a lot less of it!She told me we would be doing the same thing today and at each appointment there would be less hair except that sometimes around the third or fourth treatment there may be more hair but that's just because the hair is being stopped at the roots and less is growing now.
I love how clean the facility is and how comfortable they make you. I just lay on the chaise, put the protective eyewear on and watch a few minutes of TV! My sessions only last about 5 minutes so I don't even get to relax! It's over before I can even process what is happening! I imagine if you got your legs done or had more than one area treated you would be there for longer and the TV would really come in handy!
I'm happy to report I again didn't have any issues after and am enjoying my underarms with less hair! The technician put aloe on my underarms and I was told to not put on deodorant for a day or two. I have no marks, burning or pain at all. There will be several more treatments needed to get the area completely hair free but Body Details offers a true lifetime guarantee on their service so you don't pay per treatment! You just pay once and your service is guaranteed. I love this part!
I'll report back to you after my next treatment about my progress towards hair-free underarms!
I received laser hair removal to facilitate this series of posts. All opinions are my own.
Check out HOT Amazon deals on your favorite items!


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Best Uses
Reviewed by 17 customers
By Witchen from Seattle
Comments about Shop NWF - D2C for Dr. JB's Hummingbird Feeder:
Product Comments: Head and shoulders over any other feeder.
Bottom Line Yes, I would recommend this to a friend
Was this review helpful?
By Jacfrom Portland
Product Comments: Easy to take apart; only three parts; easy to clean.
By Crowhoundfrom Columbus, OH
Product Comments: I have four of these now, that's how good they are. I plan to use two and always have two on hand to fill with new nectar and swap them out. The 16 oz size is great for folks like me who have 3 hummingbirds. They couldn't consume the nectar any faster, and you don't want it sitting out for more than 3 or 4 days in the summertime. I had some trouble last year when I didn't clean the feeder often enough. Discovered that you can even pop the little flowers out of the feeding holes and everything cleans up in the dishwasher. I'm so glad that a visiting friend saw the hummers in a neighbors' garden--it got me to get my first feed out of the box and start really enjoying my new little friends. Better than cable. Get a feeder, fill it, set it out, and prepare to have some satisfying engagement with wildlife!
By LOLTSfrom Tennessee
Product Comments: I bought two feeders with small jars, but appreciate being able to order larger jars to fit the bases if more hummers show up later in the year. Haven't cleaned the feeders yet, but followed instructions to figure out how the base sections snap apart. Between the wide jar mouth that sits flat for refilling and the base design, it will be super easy to clean and refill my feeders every few days as is best for the hummers. The bee excluding feature is another plus, as lots of bumble bees and a neighbor's honey bees are interested in my old feeders.
By Berylsfrom Blanchard, OK
Product Comments: Feeder is well made and really easy to clean. Had some trouble detaching the bottom, but eventually got the hang of it. Can't tell yet about bees, still too cold here. Would like to be able to get the different size jars for this.
Service Comments: Delivery was fast and received in excellent condition.
By hummer loverfrom Arizona
Product Comments: We have used Dr. JB's feeders for a few years and love them. They are easy to fill, and clean. The hummers seem to love them and use them throughout the day. They beat all the other feeders we have tried. We received our order just three days after placing it on line.
By Shawnmb1962from Waterbury, CT
Product Comments: Arrived in perfect condition & expertly packaged for shipping. Very easy to clean & seems quite sturdy... :)
By Rosefrom Cleveland, Ohio
Product Comments: This Hummingbird feeder is preferred by the Hummers that visit my yard. It is extremely easy to keep clean between filling, and the products material holds up well to Cleveland weather.
By Happy Bird Loverfrom Wisconsin Lake Country
Product Comments: Love this feeder! We have it hanging right next to a living room window and are able to watch the multiple birds who feed there regularly. We have never been able to see hummingbirds perch for extended periods to feed. Our grandchildren are wild with wonder! I have ordered two more. Thanks for a great design!
By Patfrom Vista, CA
Product Comments: I've had several different types of hummer feeders and this one is the best for ease of use and ease for the birds to use as well!
Our customer service team is ready to answer your questions!
3 question(s) | 4 answer(s)
1 answer(s)


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NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -TheStreet Ratings' stock model upgraded Philips Electronics ( PHG) to 'Buy' from 'Hold'. This consumer products company outperformed expectations in the second quarter as soccer fanatics worldwide purchased new, wide-screen television sets ahead of the 2010 World Cup. TheStreet Ratings released rating changes on 14 additional U.S. common stocks for July 23, 2010. In total, just three stocks were downgraded and 12 stocks have been upgraded by our stock model. The stock model's generally bullish trend continues for second quarter earnings season. The net income at Philips Electronics increased by 500% when compared to the same quarter one year prior. Over the same period, revenues rose by 12% to $7.9 billion. Shares in this company have responded climbing 48.5% in one year. Also being upgraded by our stock model to 'Buy' from 'Hold' is Data I/O Corp ( DAIO). This device programming company reported a 69% increase in quarterly sales over the second quarter of 2009 with net income jumping by 226%.
-- Reported by Kevin Baker in Jupiter, Fla. For additional Investment Research check out our Ratings Research Center.


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We're a total DHCP shop with the exception of servers, printers and wireless routers right now and I seem to keep a lot of disconnected devices in the inventory - probably due to lease expirations. Is there any way to have the system drop disconnected devices in order to allow me to just see what's active at any given moment? Thanks.
This topic was created during version 4.5.
The latest version is 7.5.00101.
2 Replies
Feb 5, 2010 at 3:50 UTC
akp982 is an IT service provider.
If a machine changes IP spiceworks will link the new IP up to the machine, sounds like you have alot of people coming onto your network while with a employee for visit or something.
To clear them up, create a group with the rule of last scaned before x date, look at that group in the inventory few, edit, delete, delete all at the bottom
Feb 5, 2010 at 9:26 UTC
Niagara Technology Group (NTG) is an IT service provider.
If SW did that you would lose the ability to detect offline devices vs. devices that it dropped.
This discussion has been inactive for over a year.
You may get a better answer to your question by starting a new discussion.


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The Vortext is the blog of Alexandra Moss, a native New Yorker now wandering the planet. She posts her photos on flickr, mostly because she likes to tag things. That's also why she shares her bookmarks at del.icio.us and keeps track of all the books she's read and movies she's watched on all consuming. She's only slightly obsessive about things like that.
Alexandra has worked for Nightline, Schmap, Let's Go, and Dissent Magazine, along with other companies without websites (crazy, she knows). Her writing has appeared in City Weekend, The Asian Review of Books, The Boston Phoenix, Book Magazine, Young Money, The Harvard Crimson, and The Harvard Book Review. She has also edited the Let's Go travel guide to Spain and Portugal and written a guide to Hangzhou, a city southwest of Shanghai.
She can be contacted at: ali at thevortext dot com. Her professional portfolio is located at: alexandramoss.net.