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Negotiating conflict settlements: Lessons learnt and challenges
- Jody Anthony
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1 Berghof Project Resistance/Liberation Movements and Transitions to Politics: Building a Network of Experience ( ) Véronique Dudouet Negotiating conflict settlements: Lessons learnt and challenges Roundtable Meeting Report 7-9 March 2008, Schwanenwerder, Berlin, Germany
2 1. Introduction 1. Summary Background information Meeting purposes Meeting format Coming to the negotiation table 1. Parties willingness to explore negotiated alternatives to conflict Windows of opportunity arising from the internal and international environment Importance of pre-negotiation talks about talks Rules of engagement during peace negotiations 1. Ensuring an inclusive process Maintaining internal cohesion through broad-based consultation Achieving power parity at the bargaining table Keeping armed forces on alert Unconditionality of engagement Multi-track negotiation channels Constructive forms of third-party facilitation Negotiating the implementation of peace agreements 1. Monitoring mechanisms and guarantees for implementation Reframing the debate on security management Open questions...20 Annex 1: List of participants...22 Annex 2: Publications produced within the project Resistance/Liberation Movements and Transitions to Politics... 28
3 1. Introduction 1. Summary The purpose of this report is to present the content of the discussions and main lessonslearnt from an international roundtable meeting organised in Berlin on March 7-9, 2008, on the role of a key set of actors in peace negotiations and agreement implementation: resistance and liberation movements. It is addressed to a wide range of audiences, including members of resistance/liberation movements and their interlocutors, such as governmental, non-governmental and international actors (e.g. policy-makers, donors, academics, governments and intermediaries) interested in constructive conflict transformation support. Besides the groups which were represented at the conference (ANC, CPN-Maoist, GAM, LTTE, M-19, Sinn Fein, SPLM/A, URNG), it is hoped that other resistance/liberation movements which find themselves in negotiation or post-negotiation situations might gain some ideas and inspiration for their own settings. The purpose of this report is not to design a universal set of rules for successful peace negotiations, agreements and implementation, nor to teach lessons on what to do in each participant s context, but rather to present some self-reflections on successes and failures in peacemaking and peacebuilding across various settings, by key conflict stakeholders, which might inspire their peers in other contexts. As argued by one of the participants, hearing about comparable experiences elsewhere might help to become more objective about one s own context. The conflict transformation community might also gain a lot of insights from this report, by better understanding the processes and challenges of preparing and conducting peace negotiations and implementing peace accords from the perspective of national insurgency movements. The conference participants also drew some specific recommendations for national and international policy-makers, which are highlighted in separate boxes in each section. These lessons-learnt were either explicitly suggested by the participants, or inferred from the discussion and subsequently reformulated by the author of this report. The report starts with a short description of the overall project within which the Berlin conference took place, the meeting s specific purposes, and its format. It then describes three sets of lessons-learned and open questions on the dynamics of conflict transformation, namely: Coming to the negotiation table. All the invited groups have had some direct experience of peace talks, and they offered some self-reflections on the key factors which allowed them to move forward towards negotiation, such as: a willingness to take 5
4 risks and initiatives, building alliances with civil society and other political forces to pressure the government into dialogue, mobilising international support, and engaging in pre-negotiation talks about talks and other confidence-building measures. Rules of engagement during peace negotiations: Acknowledging that the course of peace processes is often extremely long and chaotic, the conference participants discussed a number of key factors for successful negotiations, such as inclusivity, internal cohesion and consultation, power parity at the table, unconditional dialogue, multi-track channels of engagement, and constructive, non-directive third-party facilitation. Negotiating the implementation of peace agreements: All participating groups (with the exception of the LTTE) presently find themselves in post-agreement phases of peace implementation, with many state- and peace-building issues still unresolved. They called for stronger international support to monitor, guarantee and enforce the implementation of signed agreements, especially in the domains of security management (e.g. reintegration and security sector reform), political capacity-building, or reconciliation and dealing with the past. 2. Background information The conference Negotiating Conflict Settlements: Lessons Learnt and Challenges took place within the framework of the Berghof project Resistance/liberation movements and transition to politics. This project aims to gather, analyse and make available to others the experience of political groups which have emerged within armed resistance or liberation struggles and engaged in a conflict transformation process to acquire political power in post-war societies. It does so (a) by building a network of people representing such experience, who engage in information-exchange and peer-advice; and (b) by disseminating the results of that engagement as both academic analysis and policy advice. It is managed by the Berghof Research Center for Constructive Conflict Management (BRC) and the Berghof Foundation for Peace Support (BFPS) in Berlin, Germany, in cooperation with the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation (IJR) in Cape Town, South Africa. Funding currently comes from the International Development Research Center (IDRC), Ottawa, Canada, and until March 2008 by the Ford Foundation, New York City, USA. In a first research phase (January-December 2007), this project aimed to document the experience of war-to-politics transitions by resistance/liberation movements, by assisting local research teams, made up of leading members from these groups, in some cases assisted by a local researcher, to produce a case study of their movement s experience (see Annex 2 for the publications list). The following movements were involved in this information-gathering process: the African National Congress (ANC, South Africa), the 6
5 Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist (CPN-M, Nepal), the Free Aceh Movement (Gerakan Achech Merdeka, GAM, Aceh), the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE, Sri Lanka), the Movimiento 19 de Abril (M-19, Colombia), and Sinn Fein (Ireland). Most project participants were brought together in August 2007 for a first roundtable meeting in Cape Town, South Africa, to exchange information and experience, based on the case study findings. 3. Meeting purposes The purpose of the Berlin international roundtable meeting was three-fold: 1. To facilitate peer-advice and sharing of lessons-learnt on one cross-cutting issue arising from the case study reports and previous roundtable discussions: negotiating conflict settlements. 2. To widen the network of experience by inviting, along with participants from earlier rounds of exchange, new representatives with relevant expertise and interest, from Sudan (Sudan People Liberation Movement/Army, SPLM/A) and Guatemala (Unidad Revolucionaria Nacional Guatemalteca, URNG). 3. To disseminate the discussion outcomes by publishing a report drawing relevant policy recommendations. For armed resistance/liberation movements, political transition necessarily involves an engagement with state representatives or other political players through dialogue or other forms of inter-party bargaining. All the organisations involved in this project have had some direct experience of this challenging process. Therefore, in the light of the case study reports produced by the project participants, as well as the discussion and feedback rounds during the August 2007 meeting, the overall theme selected for this second roundtable meeting was the challenge of peace negotiation, both during peace processes and in the implementation of signed agreements: first, how to design good negotiation processes, and second, how to deal with the challenges of implementing what has been negotiated. The various movements represented at the meeting find themselves in very different stages of military/political engagement. Therefore some of the participants were more interested in sharing lessons from their own involvement in peace negotiations. Others were more interested in learning from other contexts how to better prepare for, design and conduct successful negotiations, how to ensure their implementation, and how to maintain intraparty cohesion throughout fragile peace processes. 4. Meeting format The roundtable meeting took place over the course of 2.5 days, with a dual format: Plenary sessions with individual presentations on negotiation followed by questions and comments from the floor: 7
6 o by participants from resistance/liberation movements not covered during the previous round of exchange (SPLM/A and URNG), o also by two speakers representing alternative perspectives: the former UN Special Representative for Afghanistan Tom Koenig spoke about negotiating with the Taliban from the international community s point of view, and Roelf Meyer presented some general lessons on peace negotiations from his direct experience as South African government chief negotiator and as a third-party advisor in other contexts. Working group sessions, offering a space for the participants to brainstorm on some of the issues which they found most relevant to their conflict: o the first group, Coming to the negotiations table, provided a platform for informal exchange on the timing and format of inter-party peace negotiations, o the second group, Post-agreement negotiations, turned its attention to the implementation challenges which follow the signature of peace accords. Some of the movements sent representatives to both working groups while others preferred to focus their attention on the group most relevant to their current challenges. The sessions were moderated by two internationally renowned practitioners: the Lebanese-American conflict resolution professional Randa M. Slim (Vice President of the International Institute for Sustained Dialogue, Dayton, USA), and Roelf Meyer (see above). This report documents the content of the discussions, as well as the main lessons-learnt for policy engagement by or with resistance/liberation movements. 8
7 2. Coming to the negotiation table What compels conflict parties (both governments and resistance/liberation movements) to shift from a military mindset to a compromise mindset and decide to open the negotiations track? Several possible factors enhancing negotiation ripeness were discussed during the meeting. 1. Parties willingness to explore negotiated alternatives to conflict Accepting the limits of military strategies o In most conflict contexts represented at the meeting, both the government and insurgency forces appear to have reached that conclusion around the same time, allowing them to move forward towards negotiations. o However, general assumptions around hurting stalemates, when both sides realise that the costs for continuing the conflict are too high, were strongly challenged for their inadequacy. For instance, they fail to account for the fact that national insurgencies have time on their side : most participants argued that at the time when they decided to engage in peace talks, their forces were strong, united and in a very good position to continue the armed struggle for several more years, if not indefinitely. o If they dismissed the elements of war fatigue as enabling factors for negotiations, some participants nevertheless agreed that in their social bases, there might have been a sense of exhaustion and desire for alternative strategies. This was especially the case where the state used the civilian population as a target for their counter-insurgency policies. Taking the initiative o The decision by resistance/liberation movements to opt for negotiations is based on more positive, dynamic factors than a realisation of the limits of armed struggle. o Participants reframed it as a willingness to take bold initiatives and engage proactively. It requires indeed a lot of courage to make decisions which might be perceived as a sign of weakness by the adversary, but it can also be interpreted as a sign of ambitious and proactive leadership. This was the case, for instance, for both Mandela and De Klerk in South Africa, who realised that negotiations were inevitable and that their proactive engagement would enable them to lead this process. 9
8 o This factor highlights the role of leaders in conflict transformation. The opening of inter-party dialogue resulted in many cases from an individual strategic decision, based on a shrewd assessment of current power relationships: this was particularly the case in Colombia where the decision to open negotiations with the government by M-19 leader Pizarro was described as a personal step of political audacity. Leadership change was also mentioned as a possible enabling factor for negotiations (especially on the governmental side). Paradigm shifts o On the governmental side, entering negotiations with opposition forces requires a recognition that the status-quo is not sustainable and that a peace agreement will necessarily entail some structural reforms to accommodate some of the insurgents demands. Therefore, the opening of peace talks is sometimes preconditioned by a paradigm shift on the part of the elite, leading to their acceptance of regime change, power-sharing or secession. o In particular, when policy changes are operated by leaders perceived as conservatives or hardliners within their own camp, it facilitates the rallying of extremist forces (this was the case for instance for Paisley in the North of Ireland or De Klerk in South Africa). o Paradigm shifts might not necessarily happen before the start of negotiations, but only later on (or they might not occur at all): in this case, leaders act more out of pragmatism than through a change of convictions. 2. Windows of opportunity arising from the internal and international environment What can resistance/liberation movements do when the government is not ready to accept that it cannot win the war? This question, raised by one participant, gave the impetus for a discussion on the different ways to entice the adversary to turn to negotiations, or to raise the legitimacy of the insurgency group to the point where the ruling party becomes obliged to engage with them. This was also framed as altering the power balance, which can be pursued both internally (e.g. on the battlefield and in the political arena) and externally (e.g. through international political and economic sanctions against the government). Alliance-building with civil society and other political forces o Several participants stressed the role of civil society actors and diaspora organisations who mobilised to pressure the government into talks with resistance/liberation movements, for instance by highlighting human rights abuses by the regime and its security forces. 10
9 o The role of the business community was also highlighted for its useful scenarioplanning role, anticipating the disastrous economic effects of continuous warfare. o Other political forces, such as conventional opposition parties, also helped by providing a platform for parties who could not (yet) negotiate to present their views. In Nepal, the CPN-M seized the opportunity offered by an alteration of the internal political environment (a coup d Etat by King Gyanendra in February 2005) to reach out to the democratic parliamentary parties and sign a historic alliance which significantly altered the balance of power between the monarchy and oppositional forces. o By acting on multiple fighting fronts and supporting societal activism (by political parties, trade unions, solidarity committees, human rights groups) in parallel to their armed struggle, insurgency movements succeeded in reaching power parity with the state. Mobilising international support o Conflict parties must also be able to seize windows of opportunity created by the regional/international environment to enter negotiations at the most opportune moment. The regional balance of power became more favourable for the URNG to open dialogue with the Guatemalan government in the late 1980s, all the more so as the Esquipulas peace accord in Central America created a favourable climate for negotiations. The September 11, 2001 attacks in the US and the subsequent war on terror were also important triggers for negotiations in Sri Lanka, Sudan and Nepal. o Resistance/liberation movements can also actively contribute to mobilising international public opinion and foreign governments against repressive state policies, thus paving the way for the government s acceptance of a negotiated solution. The role of foreign diplomatic missions was mentioned by both the SPLM and the ANC. US President Clinton s decision to grant Sinn Fein leader Gerry Adams a visa to meet the Irish diaspora was also described as an important step in the development of a peace strategy by the Irish Republicans. 3. Importance of pre-negotiation talks about talks o As highlighted above, entering negotiations represents a very big step for conflict parties, neither side knowing what will come out of the process. There need to be some preliminary confidence-building measures in order to reassure each party that the other side will not use negotiations as a pretext to continue the war by other means, and that the outcome of the bargaining process will meet their needs and grievances. 11
10 o Such legitimate fears can be addressed through pre-negotiation inter-party engagement, in the form of informal, secret talks where parties can identify negotiation issues and prepare the agenda to be put on the table. These talks about talks were very important in Guatemala, as well as in the North of Ireland, where the Irish government served as a back-channel between the Republicans and the British government. o Such informal forms of engagement also helped to increase inter-party trust ahead of the official peace process by forging personal relationships between would-be negotiators. Lessons-learnt for national and international policy-makers: The discussion highlighted the fact that state actors always tend to brand leaders from resistance/liberation movements as illegitimate interlocutors. On the contrary, they should accept that they cannot choose who they want to talk to: they will necessarily have to negotiate with their enemy. Likewise, international policy-makers need to look more closely at the structural roots and political causes behind national insurgencies, rather than applying uniform categories of terrorist organisations requiring military forms of engagement. Most insurgency movements cannot be defeated by force, and must be included as primary stakeholders in any negotiation or state-building process. The conference participants strongly criticised simplistic approaches to negotiation ripeness, and invited prospective third-party interveners to look more closely into the complex set of variables which lead conflict parties to enter negotiations, including the role of leaders and their proactive sense of initiative. Such actors should also become more aware of the high levels of risk and uncertainty entailed in the decision to start peace talks, and the prospective role of hardliners in rallying extremist forces to the negotiation table. Power parity is another crucial factor in enhancing insurgency movements readiness to enter negotiations. Given the current international legal system favouring state actors over non-state armed groups in internal conflicts, the international community should strive to treat all conflict parties even-handedly, and even raise the legitimacy of resistance/liberation movements to compel governments to treat them as equal negotiation partners. This is the only way to ensure fair outcomes in peace processes. Finally, the insistence on pre-negotiation back channels by conference participants suggests that potential negotiation sponsors should also reassert the importance of informal talks-about-talks and other preliminary confidencebuilding measures. 12
11 3. Rules of engagement during peace negotiations The range of conflicts and negotiation experiences represented at the meeting highlighted one basic fact: the course of most peace processes is extremely long, arduous and nonlinear, often interrupted by periods of renewed violence. It took ten years of dialogue and negotiations for the URNG and Guatemalan government to come to a final peace agreement, and the SPLM/A had been conducting peace talks with successive Sudanese governments since 1994 until the 2005 signature of a Comprehensive Peace Agreement. In fact, in both cases, only in the last few months of negotiations did the parties reach a mental point of no-return or stage of irreversibility when they realised that no turning back was possible, and that reaching a joint agreement on the major conflict issues was the only way forward. While insisting that every conflict situation is unique, the meeting participants identified and discussed a number of factors for successful negotiations which were relevant in their own contexts, and might be usefully transferred to other groups currently contemplating or engaged in peace talks with governments or other pro status-quo forces. 1. Ensuring an inclusive process o Participants stressed the need to invite the widest possible spectrum of parties to the negotiation table, in order to enable all conflict stakeholders to become part of the solution, and bring their respective constituencies with them. In South Africa, the multi-party format adopted for the constitutional negotiation process allowed smaller political groupings to voice their perspectives and help shape agreements. This increased their sense of ownership of the process, thereby promoting longterm stability. o However, it was also argued that not all relevant parties should necessarily be involved at once, and that some situations might require incremental and step-bystep negotiation strategies. The assertion that negotiation settings should be as inclusive as possible was also contested, as one participant pointed that offering marginal groups parity at the negotiation table where they couldn t get it through the ballot box might turn out to be both anti-democratic and inefficient (by slowing down the pace of the peace process). 2. Maintaining internal cohesion through broad-based consultation o Intra-party unity should be preserved at all stages of the negotiations, in order to prevent internal contestation of the outcomes or even the formation of dissident, rejectionist factions who might later on disrupt the peacebuilding and reconstruction process. 13
12 o Internal cohesion can be best ensured by maintaining constant dialogue and consultation between the negotiating team and the rest of the movement, between and during negotiation rounds, by organising various briefings and caucus meetings at the various echelons of decision-making. In Guatemala, some major compromises which the URNG conceded in the human rights and socio-economic sectors (i.e. on land and agrarian reform issues) were highly contested within its social base, which partly explains the subsequent popular rejection of the implementation of the peace accords through referendum. o Consulting the broader public and keeping the media informed at all stages of the peace process might also help to build a national consensus in favour of the peace agreements, although some participants also argued that an excessive degree of transparency might harm peace processes and that the most sensitive decisions need to be taken behind closed doors. 3. Achieving power parity at the bargaining table o It is generally assumed that peace agreements reflect the state of power relationships between the signatory parties, and that negotiation outcomes are more sustainable if there is relative power parity around the table. Otherwise, the imbalance is likely to continue and even increase during the implementation phase, and the dominant party will not feel obliged to abide by its commitments. o Although resistance/liberation movements often come to the negotiation table with fewer material or structural resources than the government, they compensate this asymmetric situation with other forms of power, such as skilful negotiators and advisors, greater continuity in leadership, better preparation for the talks, technical and logistical backup from the diaspora, external sources of support, or the strength of their commitment and proactive initiatives. Therefore, none of the participants felt that they had been in a situation of strategic or technical imbalance with the governmental side during the negotiations. 4. Keeping armed forces on alert o All too often, the leaders of resistance/liberation movements felt that governments had been using negotiations for deceptive purposes, either as a delaying tactic to prepare a new military offensive, or as a divide and rule tactic to weaken them. Therefore, participants agreed that when a party comes to the negotiation table, it needs to keep its armed forces mobilised in the event of military attacks. o However, such arguments also raised the following question: is it possible to negotiate in good faith while continuing the armed struggle? In Sudan, the SPLM/A made the decision not to agree on any ceasefire until there were enough powersharing guarantees agreed during the negotiation process. In Guatemala also, the 14
13 ceasefire accord was only agreed during the last few weeks of the decade-long peace process. o Although state leaders often go into negotiations to buy time and continue the war by other means, during the course of the peace process they might change their views to endorse a genuinely conflict resolution-oriented mindset. 5. Unconditionality of engagement o The absence of prerequisites on each side, and seriousness in the will to engage in dialogue, were also described as crucial conditions for successful negotiations. During the talks, the parties need to be open-minded and ready to discuss all possible scenarios and negotiation outcomes. In South Africa, all options could be proposed and put on the table, as long as they met sufficient consensus, vaguely defined as decisions which do not prevent the process from continuing. o However, in Aceh, the Indonesian government only agreed to open peace talks with the GAM movement because the mediating party, the Finnish NGO Crisis Management Initiative (CMI), had set some negotiation boundaries, restricted to discussing autonomy as a starting point. For GAM, this was also an acceptable condition, as long as everything was open until finally agreed. But other meeting participants argued that they would have deemed such a precondition as intolerable. In fact, most resistance/liberation movements originally accept to enter negotiations because they think the outcome will be favourable to them. 6. Multi-track negotiation channels o Peace processes generally operate simultaneously on multiple, complementary levels. Besides direct (or mediated) official negotiations between the top party leaders, which might in fact only occur during the last few weeks preceding peace agreements, there are many other arenas of bi- or multilateral engagement. o These parallel dialogue tracks might take the form of informal talks and political platforms to formulate, prepare and bring issues to the actual negotiation table where the official teams would eventually have to deal with them. o During periods of lull or breakdown in the official negotiations and renewed military or popular offensives, these informal channels of inter-party engagement help to maintain a continuous line of direct communication, and contribute to the confidence-building process by forging personal relationships between the respective back-up teams of technicians. 15
14 7. Constructive forms of third-party facilitation o How to ensure that external intervention in conflict areas does not become part of the problem instead of part of the solution? To this end, various forms of constructive third-party assistance during negotiations were discussed and analysed by the meeting participants. o Firstly, they insisted on the principle of ownership of the peace process by the primary parties, which can be enforced by declining international involvement as much as possible, setting their own timeframes, prioritising joint decision-making and a spirit of problem-solving. In South Africa, Colombia and Nepal, peace negotiations were primarily internally-led and organic processes. o In cases where third-party facilitation is required, there are no generic rules regarding the most appropriate and constructive form of assistance and each situation is different. For instance, in Guatemala, negotiations were first mediated through the soft-handed approach of an internal facilitator from the Catholic Church, and later on by a UN Special Representative carrying enough power and resources to persuade the parties to address the substantive conflict issues. In Sudan, regional mediation by a Kenyan General played a catalysing role, as well as the pressure exerted by the US Congress and administration against the Khartoum regime. However, it was felt that in Sri Lanka, the international community had gone beyond its mandate, by trying to force the outcome of negotiations between the LTTE and the government, and applying sanctions and incentives one-sidedly. On the contrary, the EU policy of conditional assistance for reconstruction and development in the North of Ireland was applied fairly and even-handedly. o Finally, in second-track diplomacy, non-official external actors, individuals and NGOs might also play a useful complementary role through smaller-scale but targeted assistance in areas where the official international community cannot/will not intervene. Lessons-learnt for national and international policy-makers: The participants argued that divide and rule strategies which are often adopted by governments to foster internal splits within liberation movements are detrimental to successful negotiation outcomes: their effectiveness is conditional on intra-party unity and cohesion. They furthermore suggested that international actors (e.g. UN, its member-states or non-state agencies) can support peace processes by facilitating talks or offering material and financial assistance, but negotiations should be run and led by the conflict parties themselves. Conflict resolution must come primarily from within, and the crucial question for foreign brokers should be how to support this organic process. 16
15 The following rules of engagement for external interveners were spelt out: as a prelude to their peace support interventions, such actors should first ask what the conflict parties want, and where their assistance is most needed. Once they agree to get involved, they must accept their part of responsibility and abide by it, but they should not go beyond their mandate of process facilitation to try and force an outcome. Finally, third-party facilitators must exit the negotiation process as soon as the parties take ownership of it. Finally, given that bargaining outcomes are influenced by the power relations between the parties, third-parties could also assist the formulation of sustainable and just solutions by offering technical assistance (e.g. training, capacity development) to conflict actors during negotiations. 17
16 4. Negotiating the implementation of peace agreements Peace and justice do not automatically arise from the signature of peace agreements, and as pointed out by one participant, the devil is in [their] implementation. Most movements which were represented at the conference find themselves in post-agreement transitional phases of peace- and democracy-building, with many political, security, structural and internal issues still unresolved. Here are the main themes and recommendations which arose from the discussion on peace implementation challenges: 1. Monitoring mechanisms and guarantees for implementation o Why? Peace agreements create great expectations for parties seeking to transform their country, but they are often used by pro status-quo forces as tactical means to end violence. The meeting participants therefore strongly insisted on the need for binding mechanisms to guarantee the enforcement of peace agreements, monitor the parties compliance with their signed engagements, address implementation violations and settle disputes in the post-agreement phases. In Sudan, once the content of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement had been agreed by the SPLM and the government, it took them six further months to negotiate its implementation modalities, because they were conscious of the challenges awaiting them in the post-settlement phase of peace- and democracy-building. o By whom? Monitoring peace implementation must be performed by an independent body, with enough capacity to impose sanctions against agreement violations or non-compliance moral authority is not enough. Although some possible support roles for the international community were suggested (see below), it was also stressed that peace implementation must be made accountable to home-grown guarantees and monitoring mechanisms, with democratic foundations (jointly agreed by the parties), and with important civil society involvement. In Guatemala for instance, these functions were performed by a multiparty Peace Accords Accompaniment Commission made up of the government, the URNG, members of civil society and the UN (MINUGUA). In Sudan, this role is also partly performed by the two armies in one country framework (national army and SPLA), which acts as a deterrent force encouraging CPA compliance. The ultimate guarantee mechanism for any implementation process is also democratic legitimacy through free and fair elections, as well as an independent judiciary. o When? Participants from Aceh deplored the lack of comprehensive follow-up verification and enforcement mechanisms for implementing the 2005 Memorandum of Understanding, beyond the EU-led Aceh Monitoring Mission (AMM), which ran until December Therefore, it was suggested to design longer-term frameworks divided into two main phases: a transitional stage with appropriate transitional 18
17 mechanisms, in which the parties play a central role, but also supported by international involvement in situations of deep inter-party mistrust; and a consolidation stage with further monitoring carried out by a joint body, or a constitutionally-created permanent mechanism (as in South Africa) to ensure longterm stability and a just peace. 2. Reframing the debate on security management This topic was given a special emphasis during the meeting, as it was stressed that in most contemporary post-war situations the issues of disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration (DDR) and security sector reform have still not been addressed successfully, even fifteen years after peace agreements like in Colombia and South Africa. The participants insisted that if security management is not given serious enough consideration in peace agreements and in the immediate post-war period, they could become a future time bomb. The following questions and proposals were put forward: o Sequencing and timeframe: Should political and security peacebuilding processes be pursued simultaneously or sequentially, and if so in which order? Are security arrangements a precondition or backbone to building trust? How can DDR processes be implemented, e.g. by demobilising the insurgency troops, when the key strategic questions have still not been solved (as is the case in Sudan)? No real conclusions were reached on these points. It was argued, in the case of South Africa, that restructuring the army only after the 1994 election, and having generals of the old regime s army swear in to President Mandela, was a strong symbolic gesture in the transitional state-building period. The need for precise DDR timeframes, regular reassessment and possible renegotiations was also highlighted. o Security is political: It is too artificial to separate these two spheres, as they are closely interconnected and mutually dependent. Security management is not merely a military mechanism but also a political process, as its application is often highly politicised: for instance, the Nepali Army still refuses to integrate Maoist People s Liberation Army units as stipulated by the peace accords. Moreover, establishing statutory forces is not enough to deal with the reintegration of ex-combatants; it must be accompanied by legal reforms, economic measures and other complementary processes to address the root causes of the conflict. In the North of Ireland for instance, DDR mechanisms include reforming policing structures or the ongoing criminal justice review. o Increasing the ownership of DDR processes: Demobilising war veterans and building state capacities requires a lot of training and a supportive economic environment, and the international community can play a very useful role in both of these spheres. However, here again, it was reiterated that peacebuilding processes must be primarily led and owned by internal actors, including former insurgency forces. The statement made by the IRA in 2005, announcing the end of the armed Irish Republican struggle and asking its militants to move forward by peaceful 19
18 means, provided a strong message in this direction: it indicated that its supporters still had important roles to play in running their country and furthering their movement s objectives, albeit by peaceful means. Lessons-learnt for national and international policy-makers: The participants strongly denounced the fact that foreign actors don t give you any more money once you have reached an agreement, and asserted that international actors can and should support peace implementation, especially during the early stages of post-settlement reconstruction and security management. They suggested that international organisations and foreign states might play a constructive role as record-keepers, endorsers and guarantors of peace agreements. For instance, a special UN department could be created where such agreements can be deposited and stored. It was also stressed that international actors should assist implementation enforcement by offering economic or diplomatic incentives for those who comply with the agreement, or imposing targeted sanctions against implementation violations. Finally, it appeared from the discussion that more international resources should be invested into state-building and security sector reform processes, for instance by offering training and technical resources to the new administrative apparatus and police force. 3. Open questions A number of other peacebuilding challenges for resistance/liberation movements were mentioned during the meeting as requiring further analysis and concrete proposals, since they remain stumbling blocks to long-term peace and democracy consolidation in many post-war situations. o Building political capacity: Some of the groups represented at the meeting are still facing crucial internal challenges in their transformation from armed movement to political party. Their ability to run the newly democratic country and implement the necessary structural reforms is dependent on their successful management of the transition from the battleground to the electoral arena. It was argued for instance that the effectiveness of the URNG in carrying out its struggle for a full implementation of the peace accords is impeded by the marginal political role that this party plays in contemporary Guatemala. Such movements also run a danger of being co-opted if they do not succeed in forming a strong and independent post-war political party. 20
19 o Maintaining internal cohesion: If the peace agreement has not realised the resistance/liberation movement s primary objective(s), there might be a risk of internal disputes and eventual split, weakening the movement and resulting in conflict re-escalation. A return to violence in the post-agreement phase might also be induced by the appearance of new contentious issues or new conflict stakeholders (e.g. Madeshi ethnic minorities in Nepal). o Maintaining strong political will: Once peace agreements have been signed, all signatory parties must maintain strong political will to overcome oppositional forces, especially in view of frequent leadership changes: the new state leaders might not feel committed to implementing agreements signed by their predecessors. This was the case in Aceh, and also in Guatemala, where many structural reforms have not been carried out due to a combined lack of political will by the government, weakness of civil society leaders, political parties and the URNG, and firm opposition by determined pro status-quo groups (oligarchy and army). o Reconciliation and dealing with the past: The challenges of building an inclusive society as well as dealing with rectifications for past human rights abuses (regarding both perpetrators and victims/survivors) were stressed by some of the participants. Moreover, in countries like Colombia, where some insurgency movements (most prominently the M-19) have signed peace agreements while others continued to fight, it would be particularly interesting to explore ways to build a culture of peace in the midst of an ongoing conflict. 21
20 Annex 1: List of participants Aceh (Indonesia): Tgk. Nashiruddin Ahmad is a member of Gerakan Achech Merdeka (Free Aceh Movement GAM). He was part of the negotiation team during the 2002 peace process with the Indonesian government, leading to a Cessation of Hostilities Agreement (CoHA). Following the 2005 Memorandum of Understanding, he was a GAM candidate for the post of governor in the 2006 elections. In 2007, he worked for the organisation Interpeace, and founded his own NGO, Aceh Society Development, involved in community economic development. July Zulkarnain (aka Dolly) is a member of Gerakan Achech Merdeka (Free Aceh Movement GAM). Originally from the north of Aceh, he worked on security-related issues for the Henry Dunant Centre during the early stages of the peace process (2000-1), and later on as an interpreter for international journalists visiting the rebel-controlled areas. In he worked for the EU-led Aceh Monitoring Mission as GAM Representative in North Aceh, Lhokseumawe. He is currently working for its local follow-up mechanism, the Communication and Coordination Forum for Peace in Aceh (Forum Komunikasi dan Koordinasi Damai Aceh, FKK). Aguswandi [case study researcher] is a human rights and peace activist in Banda Aceh. He studied constitutional law in Banda Aceh, and has an M.A. in international relations from London Metropolitan University. As a leading student activist during the 1990s, he went on hunger strike to demand the end of martial law in Aceh. In 1998, he spearheaded a campaign to boycott the Indonesian general elections, and co-organised massive nonviolent demonstrations in August He was declared enemy of the state in From 2000 to 2001, he coordinated the Aceh office of the nation-wide Commission for Disappearances and Victims of Aceh (Kontras Aceh). He is currently working as a consultant and senior program officer for the Aceh Peace Resource Center, an USAID-funded project to support the Aceh Reintegration Board (BRA). He is also the founder of the Aceh s People Party (PRA), the first local political party in Aceh. Colombia: Otty Patiño, an architect with an MA in political science, was a co-founder of M-19 in 1972, one of its commanders, and negotiator with the Colombian government of the peace agreement and the reintegration process. He was a member of the Constituent Assembly which drafted the new constitution of the country in He has also been a member of the NGO Observatory for Peace, and a columnist for the main Colombian newspaper, El Tiempo. He is currently working with the mayor of Bogota on cultural issues. 22
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Building on our recent "Best Places to Work" success, we are thrilled to announce that O3 World has been named one of the "Best Entrepreneurial Companies" by Entrepreneur Magazine's inaugural Entrepreneur360™ Performance Index. This study, forged by Entrepreneur, set out to identify companies that exemplify growth, not just in top and bottom lines, but in sustainability and ability to achieve lasting success. O3 World was recognized as one of 15 Classics, companies that rely on input from clients and employees to continue to grow and succeed, according to Entrepreneur.
This is high praise for our agency. While beautiful design and seamless development are two of O3 World's areas of expertise, we also pride ourselves on our ability to treat our employees and our clients as true partners. Internally, we've achieved this by creating and nurturing an empowered agency culture marked by an entrepreneurial spirit. Externally, this same energy has helped us design and develop innovative, revenue-generating digital solutions to our clients' most pressing business problems.
"Those honored [in the E360 Index] have identified a problem, come up with a unique solution, and bravely built their enterprises around it," says Ryan Shea, president of Entrepreneur Media. "They've accomplished new ways of producing sustainable growth and are an inspiration to others who want to fulfill their own entrepreneurial goals."
O3 World is proud to be part of this prestigious inaugural list.

subset: commoncrawl


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AUGUSTA | Education Commissioner Stephen Bowen said Monday that he is open to exploring new ways to fund charter schools as long as legislators aren't intent on a future consisting of "death by 1,000 cuts" for the less than one-year-old system. Bowen's comments came during a marathon hearing Monday …
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About Us
Based in Shannon, Crimmins Howard Solicitors provide legal services for our clients in Clare and Limerick, as well as the greater Mid-West region. As solicitors, we provide a wide range of legal services to both private and commercial clients in the following areas.
Please contact us or call us on 061 361088 to discuss any legal questions which you might have without obligation, in the strictest of confidence.
Our Services
We provide services and have successfully litigated in the areas of
This post is also available in: Polish


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Wednesday, December 3, 2008
noa noa
How fierce is this winter collection? Stunning styling - I like the photography. (Noa Noa and Noa Noa Miniatures shown above)
4 comments:
i love the angelic but gothic/victorian type of photography!ReplyDelete
isn't it amazing!ReplyDelete
- AnonymousNovember 10, 2009 at 10:04 AM
Who does the photography for Noa Noa?ReplyDelete
- AnonymousAugust 21, 2010 at 7:26 PM
Franck Muller can afford to keep it high and out of reach of most people to keep the exclusivity and appeal in place. These aspects of price and appeal raise the demand and thus widen the Franck Muller Watches market. Replica Franck Muller are just a substitute but they do appeal to the ego and status of a person who cannot afford an original.This timeless appeal of a Replica Franck Muller Watches is often an excellent investment.ReplyDelete
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Chirogenics & Wellness Therapies
Dr. Michael R Joseph D.C., D.A.C.B.N., C.C.N., N.M.D., R.T.P. has prepared an extensive health services menu encompassing the latest in beauty, health technology, physical therapy and alternative medicine. Non-surgical, non-pharmaceutical, and all-natural.
Nutritional Evaluation and Recommendations
Complete review of your bodies systems and assess the need for changes to improve your health. Using kinesiology with appropriate history we determine the cause of imbalances and correct them through diet, supplementation, exercise and lifestyle changes. Laboratory testing is additional.
Initial Visit $150 Follow Up $75
Chirogenics Therapeutic Massage
Full body traction massage by Dr. Michael Joseph D.C., D.A.C.B.N, N.M.D. This is a deep therapeutic massage includes a Chirogenics manipulation to realign the body and alleviate pain in your joints.
50 min $200
Postural Alignment Therapy
We begin with a comprehensive test of all muscles and nerves to determine postural imbalances. Specific exercises are prescribed to balance and strengthen the biomechanics of the body which relieves stress, fatigue and pain. Great intervention for adults with chronic postural problems or children with scoliosis. Learn how to help yourself from our master bio-mechanic and relieve existing aches and pains.
Initial Exam $150 Follow up $75
Chirogenics Therapy
Eliminate acute joint or spinal pain with a combination of Trigenics and biomechanical alignment. Distress from chronic pain associated with long hours of desk work or heavy sports activities.
Initial exam $125 Follow up treatments $50
A Tempting Suggestion
Gluteus Facial
News & Info
Lifting your Mood with AromatherapyJanuary 21, 2013
Healthy Pregnancy and Therapeutic TreatmentsJanuary 18, 2013
Natural Spray Tans for your Inner GoddessJanuary 15, 2013
How to control holiday weight gainJanuary 11, 2013
5 Benefits of DetoxingJanuary 5, 2013


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Alessandro Gavello
Glenelg, South Australia
Alessandro Gavello. Circus & Theatre performer by passion, Artistic Director by skill, Teacher by nature, Actor by trade, Practitioner of Commedia dell'Arte based in South Australia by fate, Sport Pioneer by Choice.
Born in Italy in 1974. Practiced Martial Arts (Ju tai jutsu) for several years, then, during his studies in becoming a PE Teacher and a Hit Ball coach, he decided to explore a little further the Arts.
Berlin Gymnaestrada in 1995 as an acrobat, Argentinean Tango performance on stilts to celebrate the New Millennium in Torino (31-12-1999), as a student at the Moscow Circus school in 2002, Physical Theatre studies (Lecoq method) for 3yrs (2001-2004), and the "International School of Comic Acting & Commedia dell'Arte" with A. Fava in 2004.
Landed in Australia in 2005, performed and taught Circus and Commedia to more than 10,000 audience members since then.
Based in Adelaide, South Australia, working and living doing what he likes the most and has a passion for; has been called now for 3yrs in a row to be a lecturer at the Italian University in Movement Science in subjects related to the Performing Arts, movement and body awareness.
In his last adventure he is introducing a new Sport to Australian sports lovers. It's called Hit Ball and it's just arrived, from one of the most inventive minds on the Planet, directly from Italy, where it built a solid reputation in the last few years!
hitball.com.au up and running!!


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For our "Design & Desire" series, I wanted to hear photographer Henrik Purienne on eroticism and design. I met him at his house in the Hollywood Hills and joined him poolside for a nice, plunging view of Los Angeles. The sun sunk over the hills as Henrik's girlfriends made their plans for the night, one of them stepping out of an idle conversation to pour me a cucumber and vodka cocktail in a rich carved glass. I felt like a professor on a mission for a forgotten museum and they were like stepping out of a dream. Once I turned the recorder on, everyone left us alone. I sank down in my chair and turned my attention to the sky, focusing solely on Henrik as he discussed his upcoming book, how textures and colors impress mood in his photographs and his love of design and nudes.
Where did you grow up?
I grew up in Worcester, a small mountain an hour or two outside of Cape Town, South Africa. This town is known for two things, one of which is the school for the handicapped, the deaf, and the blind (where my dad worked). The second is the Hugo Naude Art Centre. A lot of famous South African artists formed it and studied there. I took most of my subjects at the art center. I had an Italian art teacher for two years who was quite an inspiration.
I was about 15 or 16 years old, and he made us watch "Altered States"—it's about sensory deprivation research under the influence of psychedelic drugs— kind of trippy. The idea being that these states could be as real as "reality." It also had a super cool soundtrack by John Corigliano. I guess at that age this shaped my thinking in some way. He was studying rock art but he was always encouraging us to just take photos. So I would walk around a lot and take photos in my hometown.
"Even if I have a job, I turn it into a holiday."
What did you like to capture?
I loved finding compositions, in colors, shapes, and light with an old 35mm manual camera. I guess I was always taking pictures. Lost dogs. Bags blowing in the wind. I always set out to shoot things you would not notice if not looking for it. Anyway, then I studied film, directing and writing. I worked in documentary filmmaking, short films and stuff like that for a while.
Documentary films?
Yeah, broadcast in South Africa. I was working as a documentary filmmaker there for about 10 years before I started shooting. I literally would just shoot my girlfriends, often on holiday as well. Just as a hobby, I've always taken pictures. Then with the Internet people would start seeing your work. I started getting job offers for shooting photography and I thought, "this seems like a fun way to make money compared to film," which is a slow process, especially in documentary film. This was just an easy way to travel and take photos. Even now, I shoot my friends for editorials. My last Vogue editorial was done with Delilah [Parillo], my girlfriend, on holiday in Cape Town.
What topics were you interested in back then?
People. People who live on the edge of society. Africa has a lot of weirdoes and interesting people with interesting stories. But I fell into photography by shooting my friends.
When did you realize that you had a particular approach that you wanted to develop more?
I have selective vision, I can only do the one thing. I can only photograph when everything comes together... when all the elements line up. It's more of a documentary approach. Walking the streets of my town; that's what I had access to. Then later when I did the documentaries the things I had access to became my subjects. Same with my fashion photography, as my environment changed I just kept documenting my new environment in the simplest, possible way.
"I have selective vision."
Your first book includes a few centerfolds...
Actually, it had about 12 centerfolds. Forced you to rotate the book. Seems clever at the time, but now I think it was just silly. You live. You learn...
Your second book is a different approach?
I would say the second book is a refined version of the first book. In the first book, I was documenting more freely. I wanted to buy a copy of my book for a friend, but the cheapest copy online was like $300. Up to $2000. That's nuts. The second book I think I've realized what, more specifically, the elements I would like to focus on, and refinement. But it's still the same approach. A lot of it is just snapshots from holidays or travels, or hanging out with friends.
Nice travels…
Even if I have a job, I turn it into a holiday. I just spend the whole budget. I somehow manage to turn most jobs into holidays. I would rather spent my rate on improving the outcome.
Your first book is a trap. It's a trap you want to enter the book, know about it. It drove me here actually.
I think most people buy the book based on the cover. I'm guilty of that myself. I'll often buy a book or magazine because I like the cover, but I realized if people actually flip through that book, even for 5 seconds, they'd want to see more. We printed a couple thousand copies and it sold out. It's become a bit of a collectible item.
Tell us a bit about your publication, Mirage?
We're doing the 5th issue now. We are an annual "print only" publication. I always call it my "scrapbook for my superficial interests" like girls, cars and architecture. It's set against a summer backdrop but the focus is on design. It served its purpose. Often something you create, something you love, will eat itself and you have to keep re-inventing it. It's just about the type of design I like. It's really just a picture-book of an imaginary lifestyle. Well, I guess for most it is. It's about an aesthetic. That is consistent. In terms of seductive design, nothing is more alluring than a girl who is consistent in her taste.
Have you heard about the "Playboy's Progress," the map Playboy edited in an issue of 1954? It's about the Playboy's den and how he creates an environment to attract a female acquaintance. Do you think it's still relevant today? Do you think it's purely a male thing?
That's funny because I think a lot of guys look to me for this kind of input but the reality is that my environment is always just a result of my personal taste. It's difficult for me to say if guys decorate a pad to attract a female, like birds. It sounds like a scene from "Blue Planet." I guess it's like the same as most human rituals, like dancing. It's almost like a show. For me, it's just an extension of my taste, my shoots, everything I do, like my interiors. If you were to ask me, "What's the trick?" I would say the trick is not having a trick. The most interesting girls are confident, yet nonchalant. I don't know if girls do the same thing, it depends on aesthetics. I would sometimes be skeptical about someone's personality if I see their environment and it's in contrast to their personality, one way or another. I guess, yeah, I think girls focus more on fashion than the nest, in terms of attracting a mate.
I've never been on a date in my life. I've never tried to deliberately impress a girl in a short period of time. I think that's called a date, right? I've always just met people casually so I don't have real input on this subject, and it's kind of absurd. I think once you start to think about these things, you're already in the wrong position. If you have to follow steps for constructing an environment, you're on the wrong track.
"My ideal way of living would be completely self-sufficient. Perhaps even isolated."
Back to your photography, either I see nude photography as very safe or I see it as very aggressive. Yours is the tension between the two. It's never pornographic but it's also very loaded with desire, somehow.
I think it's probably that way because it's real. If I work for brands, it's a reconstruction of my reality. When I shoot my friends, when I shoot in my house, when I shoot my cars, it's a reconstruction of my reality and it's kind of absurd. It's still a fun way to make a living but often my personal work, stuff you'll see in my books or in Mirage or whatever, is more improvised, shoots with friends or on holiday, where I'm literally like paparazzi capturing moments. I don't like to pose subjects. My favorite approach is just to be an observer. There's a bit of a familiarity and I think the familiarity makes it more real. Anything that feels more real or within reach, feels more erotic than something totally just a fantasy.
There are so many fabricated attitudes today. I think the difference is REALITY. Something really happening. A moment captured rather than a moment constructed. It's become quite a trend to be provocative and sexual to the point where it's become cheap. If you're just constructing this reality it's not going to have the same impact.
How would you describe the world you would love to live in?
I think my ideal way of living would be completely self-sufficient. Perhaps even isolated. I would just function in a small circle of creativity where what you produce is to sustain yourself. A kind of Altered State. I think it's important not to dream too big.
"Often something you create, something you love, will eat itself and you have to keep re-inventing it"
There's a vintage feel to your photography too. Maybe it's the colors? Would you say your photos have nostalgia too?
I shoot natural light on film. You say vintage I say timeless. The nostalgia may be more related to the girls, the simplicity.
Finding or refining?
Yeah, refining your aesthetic to the point where you know exactly which glass you like, which chair you like, so it's not a chore. It's instinctive. So I haven't set out exactly to have a vintage feel, but my design preferences are selected over seventy or eighty years. It's not a specific attempt at a style, rather a curation of design that appeals to me, that puts my mind at ease.


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Snow & Ice Removal
Some of you viewers may remember me from a lawn service ad over the summer & fall. We all know how Michigan storms can be a pain to shovel, so I will also be doing snow removel through the winter.
- I will beat any other snow removel price, working at your rate and shoveled at your time.
-Accept checks & cash only
-will spread salt if you have your own supply or for an extra 5$ charge
-If you leave me your address, expect me to be over early enless you'd like it done another time during the day.
-I also remove debris such as wood, bricks, drywall etc for a price of 20-30$ a truck load.
Give Brendan a call.


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Monday 25 July 1904
It was Monday, under the sign of Leo. The US president was Theodore Roosevelt (Republican).
Los políticos, directed by Eugene Py, was one of the most viewed movies released in 1904
But much more happened that day: find out below..
You can also have a look at the whole 1904 or at July 25 across the years.
Old Newspapers
Have a look at the old newspapers from 25 July 1904 and get them!
Which were the most popular movies released in the last 30 days ?
Find out your future
Get a FREE Numerology report based on the digits of 25 July 1904!
Wish him/her..
Historical Events
Which were the important events of 25 July 1904 ?
- St. Thea
- Roman festivals - Furinalia
- Cuba - Eve of Revolution Day
- Mexico - Anniversary of the Foundation of Santiago de QuerTtaro
- Puerto Rico - Constitution Day (1952)
- Tunisia - Republic Day (1957)
- Virgin Islands - Hurricane Supplication Day
- Inca - festival in honor of Ilyap'a
- Ebernoe Horn Fair, Sussex, England
- St. Valentine
- St. Paul
- St. Nissen
- St. Cucufas/Cougat
- St. Christopher
- Costa Rica - Anniversary of the Annexation of Guanacaste Province
- Galiza - National Day (Dia da Patria Galega).
- Roman Catholicism - the feasts of at least 7 saints: St. Saint James the Great, the patron saint of Spain.
Famous Birthdays:See famous people born on 25 July
Music Charts
Which were the top hits in that special week of July 1904 ?
Top #1 songs in the USA
- Meet Me in St. Louis, Louis - Billy Murray
Search For Your Ancestors
Subscribe to our Newsletter
Don't miss our monthly news, no spam guarantee Click here to Subscribe
...and if 25 July 1904 was your Birth Date then Join our Birthday Club!
Make this date unforgettable
Genealogy: find out your family heritage
Magazine Covers
What news were making the headlines those days in July 1904?
Which were the most popular books released in the last weeks ?
Remember when
What videogames would you be playing back in the days ?


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Ever wished you could learn C from a book? Head First C provides a complete learning experience for C and structured imperative programming. With a unique method that goes beyond syntax and how-to manuals, this guide not only teaches you the language, it helps you understand how to be a great programmer. You'll learn key areas such as language basics, pointers and pointer arithmetic, and dynamic memory management. Advanced topics include multi-threading and network programming—topics typically covered on a college-level course.
This book also features labs: in-depth projects intended to stretch your abilities, test your new skills, and build confidence. Head First C mimics the style of college-level C courses, making it ideal as an accessible textbook for students.
We think your time is too valuable to waste struggling with new concepts. Using the latest research in cognitive science and learning theory to craft a multi-sensory learning experience, Head First C uses a visually rich format designed for the way your brain works, not a text-heavy approach that puts you to sleep.
Memory and Pointers What are you pointing at?
Strings String theory
Creating Small Tools Do one thing and do it well
Using Multiple Source Files Break it down build it up
Structs Unions and Bitfields Roll your own structures
Data Structures and Dynamic Memory Building bridges
Advanced Functions Turn your functions up to 11
Static and Dynamic Libraries Hotswappable code
Processes and System Calls Breaking boundaries
Interprocess Communication Its good to talk
Sockets and Networking Theres no place like 127001
Threads Its a parallel world
Leftovers The top ten things we didnt cover
C Topics Revision roundup
Dave Kitabjian / Vince Milner
1st Edition
1449335659 | 9781449335656