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Customers of Sam's Bakery generally review the cakes positively for value and quality. Sam's Bakery is the in-house bakery at Sam's Club, a members-only discount purchasing club.
Customer reviews on the Sam's Club website are generally positive for cakes made at the bakery, with an average of four to five out of five stars given to cakes, as of January 2016. The highest rated cake is the lemon crunch Bundt cake.
Reviewers of Sam's Bakery on Yelp.com describe the cakes as being unbeatable in terms of price and quality, with specific praise for the cake, filling and cake designs. With respect to cake designs, customers are generally pleased with the variety of options to customize cakes and cupcakes. Negative reviews for Sam's Bakery on Yelp generally relate to customer service at a particular location, not to the baked goods.


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I've not been to Barcelona in about 10 years. On that trip, I fell head over heels with Cal Pep and had several stupendous lunches and dinners there. I've read, however, that the food is perhaps not as it was and that the restaurant is patronized mostly by tourists.
Where else can I go to have that experience--sitting at the bar, eating fabulous, simply prepared seafood?
I will have a week in the city, beginning in early March. I will travel with a friend whose budget will not allow 100 euro dinners. This is what I have planned so far for dinners:
Sunday night: Paco Meralgo
Tuesday night: Hisop
Wednesday night: Tickets (this will be the night after the opening)
Friday night: I hope to book Cinq Sentits
So, I have three nights remaining and am seeking the (usually excellent) advice of Hounds here..I like the experience of eating at the bar but would like to be able to book ahead. I am willing to eat early by Barcelona standards--8pm is fine.
Places on my possible list include Tapac 24, Can Ravall, Quimet Quimet, Lolita and Taverna del Clinic...
One lunchtime I would like to travel out of the city for calcots. I did not get much response about this on another thread, but have compiled a few names of restaurants including one in Vilanova i La Geltru (Cal Xarli) that sounds good.. And another near Sant Cugat.
I also planned a couple of early lunches at La Boqueria. I've read reams of reviews, but I would love to hear comments here on the various eating spots within the market and what to order at these.
I am a big fan of seafood, and of artichokes, but basically eat almost anything. (Should I try those sea cucumbers/espardeneyes that seem so gruesome in Chinese restaurants in the US?) Particularly love clams, berberechos, and any kind of shrimp or prawn.
Should I really cross Cal Pep off my list?
I am considering a dinner at Passadis del Pep; could we just have the parade of seafood tapas and forego the main course? (Again, I do not want the meal for two to get into the 200 euro range)
Mil gracias...

subset: commoncrawl


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This new blog will be completely different from our old ones. More of an emphasis on the esoteric, over heard conversations, snatches of the past and any current obsessions we may have.
My current obsession is Victorian Gardening and I've decided that from a social history point of view, I'd like to collect images of people in gardens or people with plants. I'm just starting out, so I thought I'd keep you entertained with a previous collection. Dogs - and people with dogs.
No set style, just whatever took my fancy
From "The Leisure Hour 1898"
Miss Vesta Tilley - the famous music hall male impersonator
Noble beast


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eGo's fleet boasts an average fuel efficiency of 33.7 mpg, compared to the national average of only 20.3 mpg. Not only are fewer miles being driven, but the miles driven are in much more fuel-efficient vehicles, a huge win for air quality.
We also choose to keep mileage and hourly charges separate. It all comes back to our mission to reduce the impact of single occupancy car driving on the community and the environment. By keeping the mileage separate, we incentivize people to work, shop, and play as locally as possible. There is a real cost to the environment (air pollution, CO2 emissions) and community (traffic, wear and tear to roads) for every mile driven so we encourage people to consider their impact.


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Ex-Rutgers Student Gets 30 Days For Spying On Roomate
Dharun Ravi was sentenced to 30 days in jail. for a bias crime.
"I do not believe he hated Tyler Clementi," Judge Glenn Berman told the court. "He had no reason to, but I do believe he acted out of colossal insensitivity…
"I heard this jury say, 'guilty' 288 times–24 questions, 12 jurors. That's the multiplication," Berman said. "I haven't heard you apologize once."
The prosecution, which sought a significant prison term, indicated it will appeal the judge's sentence.Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2012 Liberaland
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Kathy Jordan thinks this is interesting:
The Initial Cut: What is the Process?
At some point during the scoping process, you will need to work up a good overview of the existing or As-Is process. Most teams begin by asking management about the nature of the process. What is it called, for example? Let's assume, for the purposes of our discussion, that the management of a pizza company, with several different stores, asks you to help improve their pizza delivery process. From the very beginning, you assume that the process being discussed is the Pizza Delivery process. (It is usually best to define a process with a verb-noun phrase, so we mentally turn "Pizza Delivery" pro...
- Chapter 8: Understanding and Scoping Process Problems
- from Business Process Change, 2nd Edition
- Publisher: Morgan Kaufmann
- Released: July 2010
To analyze a process, you need a detailed overview of the existing process. Learn what should be included in a process description, such as what triggers the beginning of the process, major steps in the process, what results indicate that the process has been completed.
Share this highlighthttp://www.safaribooksonline.com/a/business-process-change/121031/


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Based on Nick Hornby's novel, the upcoming dramedy A Long Way Down stars Aaron Paul, Pierce Brosnan, Toni Collette, and Imogen Poots as four individuals – a failed musician, a former TV personality, a single mother, and a troubled teen – who meet on top of a London skyscraper on New Year's Eve. After talking themselves out of committing suicide, they "form a surrogate family to help one another weather the difficulties of their lives."
The entertainment industry seems to have taken a liking to Nick Hornby's novels, having already adapted About a Boy, Fever Pitch, and High Fidelity. There's even an upcoming About a Boy TV series, starring David Walton, Minnie Driver, and Benjamin Stockham, that will premiere on NBC following the 2014 Winter Olympics.
The Guardian's Joanna Briscoe gave Hornby's book a mostly favorable review, saying:
"A Long Way Down" is a good novel struggling to find a way out of the limitations of its own gimmick, but ultimately the conceit is so off-beam that one can almost ignore it and flow with the farce. This is an enjoyably readable, bumpy ride of a book, paradoxically both dangerously contrived and genuinely moving. [The Guardian]
Rosamund Pike and Sam Neill also star, with Pascal Chaumeil directing.
A Long Way Down premieres in the U.K. on March 21, 2014.


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Cybrary, the free, forever cyber security training website, has released their Android mobile app on the Google Play Store (Download it here: Cybrary App). This app is designed to allow someone to watch Cybrary's training classes on the go. In other words, you do not need to be connected to the internet to watch the videos.
Cybrary has been talked about here on this blog several times in the past, because its the first place ever to receive legit, concise training classes for hacking, forensics and cybersecurity online, for free. Where some other companies like Pluralsight, Lynda and Skillsoft offer some standard security classes, like Security+ and CISSP, Cybrary has those classes and then goes well beyond that with advanced classes such as Python for Security Professionals, Malware Analysis, Post Exploitation Hacking and Advanced Penetration Testing. In addition to training on Cybrary, individuals can apply for jobs in the security field.
The Cybrary Android App is free, just like the training they offer. The reviews for Cybrary's classes have been quite strong, and we have had the chance to take some of them, they definitely are as good as anything else you could pay for, and it always beats paying $5000 per week to SANS and the like. So far, the app store has about 600 reviews for Cybrary's app, and it seems to be very well received. Again, get the Cybrary App here.


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Fast forward 18 months, a lot of emails between Steve & I, a couple of meetings and here I am having just returned from my first weeks training for the Clipper Race which starts in a few months. I'm exhausted both mentally and physically after a week of serious training and living on the yacht itself but I'm also extremely grateful and excited to be involved.
10 of us will be taking part in the race, each person has been directly effected by transplant and the aim is to raise awareness for organ donation around the world and show what an amazing difference to one's life a transplant can make.
I will be using this blog to document my Clipper journey...for the past year I have been posting elsewhere as quite simply my life post transplant has been going so well that I haven't felt the need to write on here.
I set off for my level 2 of training next week and I can't wait. It's an amazing feeling to be able to take part in something so huge as the Clipper Round the World race, especially as only a couple of years ago there's no way I'd be able to do this...spending 3 nights a week in hospital on dialysis, battling renal bone disease, anemia and a load of other joyous presents which come alongside kidney failure...I can't even begin to to explain the difference in me and my body. Anyway, thanks for reading and here are some photos from last week...


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Not inferior to another fashion makeup, Fashion Eyes Makeup was also popular today. Catwalk model, actress, and entertainer always use it for beautify their eyes. And no wonder, people follow their fashion and use it too.
Kind of Fashion Eyes Makeup
There are many kind of Fashion Eyes Makeup, for example: Contact Lens, Eye-shadow, Eye-Liner, False Eyelashes, Mascara, and Eyebrow Pencil. Contact Lens is the only one makeup that be used inside eyes. It can be alternate of glasses, because it can have optical lens. Contact lens also has various color and design which make eyes look more beautiful.
Fashion Eyes Makeup actually can used to many purpose. Mostly women used it to attend party, celebration or other formal events to make their eyes beautifully and even hide their wrinkle. But commonly, in entertainment and movie maker world, it used to strengthen movie character.
Usually, women used Fashion Eyes Makeup for Narrow Eyes. With this makeup, narrow eyes can look bigger. Use Eye-shadow that has dark color. Then, use mascara 2 times. Your eyes will look different.
Caution inFashion Eyes Makeup
Right fashion eyes make up applications will make you different. You would look more beautiful, younger, and energetic. That the reason many makeup tutorial class which held by some cosmetic corporations always followed by hundred women in different age and social status. You can also read Christmas Sweaters and Why They're Ugly.
Remember! Choose safe Fashion Eyes Makeup 2012. Don't use makeup that has danger ingredient or expired. And use makeup just when you have special event, because makeup makes you be aging quickly, including Fashion Eyes Makeup.


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A degree in hacking
The University of Advancing Technology (UAT) in Phoenix, Ariz., is marketing its new Network Security program as a way to get a degree in hacking. The school is drawing the interest of geeks who use Windows, Linux, and Macintosh, according to UAT's IT manager Raymond Todd Blackwood, and even a few who want to go to the dark side of network security.
Hackerdegree.com's Web page looks like a non-Windows desktop with a few terminals open, inviting the curious to learn more about fighting "cybercrime," "cybertheft," and even "cyberterrorism." It serves as an advertisement and info site that links to the main site at uat.edu. However, the site works only with Internet Explorer, and won't display anything but the Flash animated masthead if you're using any other browser. "That's an old site," Blackwood says. "We're working on redesigning now and we're investing a ton of money into building an amazing Web site" that will work with all browsers. NewsForge | A degree in hacking
Back to: PC Security, privacy news


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16.9 oz double wall 18/8 stainless steel thermal tumbler with vacuum insulation, threaded one-touch push-button lid, and locking mechanism; Hand wash recommended; Do not microwave; 10-3/8 h x 3-1/8 w ; 500mL ; 6 hours hot, 12 hours cold.
Promote proper hydration and your brand with the Alta series water bottle! This BPA free, Tritan™ water bottle features a colorful neoprene sleeve, which keeps your drink cool and hands dry. Holding up to 24 ounces of liquid, the tumbler also includes a convenient twist-on, spill-resistant, flip up spout with straw and a hinged carry strap with clasp. With an imprint of your company name or logo, it's a great promotional tool to use at tradeshows, conventions, marketing events and much more!
11 oz stoneware: glossy color out / glossy color in; Hand wash recommended; Microwave safe with non-metallic imprint; 3-3/4 h x 3-1/4 (4-7/8 w/handle) w ; 325mL.
16 oz double wall stainless steel tumbler with vacuum insulation, easy-clean threaded lid with locking mechanism and patented AUTOSEAL push-button; Hand wash recommended; Do not microwave; 7-7/8 h x 3-1/2 w ; 473mL ; 6 hours hot, 12 hours cold.
25 oz single wall (BPA free) PET bottle with threaded push/pull lid proudly made in the U.S.A.; Hand wash recommended; Do not microwave; 9-3/4 h x 2-7/8 w ; 739mL.
24 oz single wall aluminum water bottle with threaded lid, carabiner, and key ring, carabiner and key ring, polybagged inside bottle; for cold beverages; Hand wash recommended; Do not microwave; 9-7/8 h x 2-3/4 w ; 710mL.
Pour yourself a hot cup of marketing success every day using the Hampton Collection Mug! Measuring 3.75" tall, this 11 oz. mug supplies plenty of room for your favorite brew. It's a great choice for cafes, restaurants, corporate events, tradeshow giveaways and much more! With an imprint of your logo, company name, or advertising message, this white coffee mug is sure to generate the brand recognition you deserve!
14 oz double wall 18/8 stainless steel tumbler with foam insulation, acrylic accent, and push-on swivel lid - patent #D502,844; Hand wash recommended; Do not microwave; 8-1/2 h x 3-1/4 w ; 414mL ; 3 hours hot, 6 hours cold
16 oz mixing glass; Hand wash recommended; Microwave safe with non-metallic imprint; 5-3/4 h x 3-1/2 w ; 473mL.
The Steel City Supernova Collection Travel Cup features a super sleek design for the discerning customer. The speckled finish acrylic coating toward the top of the tumbler adds glam to the double wall stainless steel exterior. The stainless steel extends to the interior and the mug features with a push-on / slide-open chrome lid. It measures 7.25" and has a 14 oz. capacity. Make your clients' morning commutes sparkle!


text: How to scroll automaticly down on my page ? I want wen the people click on the link of a page, that they see the page they just clicked in the middle of the page... Does somebody can find of has the html code for me ? Thanks anyway! It's on Wordpress BTW


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- Alaina MargaretMargaret Fletcher
- 3 years ago
- Views:
1 HOW COMPLICATED DOES THE MODEL HAVE TO BE? PAUL KRUGMAN Princeton University Simple macroeconomic models based on IS-LM have become unfashionable because of their lack of microfoundations, and are in danger of being effectively forgotten by the profession. Yet while thinking about micro-foundations is a productive enterprise, complex models based on such foundations are not necessarily more accurate than simple, ad-hoc models. Three decades of attempts to base aggregate supply on rational behaviour have not displaced the Phillips curve; inter-temporal models of consumption do not offer reliable predictions about aggregate demand. Meanwhile, the ease of use of small models makes them superior for many practical applications. So we should not allow them to be driven out of circulation. I. A VANISHING ART Two years before writing this piece I was assigned by my then department to teach Macroeconomics I for graduate students. Ordinarily this course is taught by someone who specializes in macroeconomics; and whatever topics my popular writings may cover, my professional specialities are international trade and finance, not general macroeconomic theory. However, MIT had a temporary staffing problem, which is itself revealing of the current state of macro, and I was called in to fill the gap. The problem was this: MIT s first macro segment is a half-semester course, which is supposed to cover the workhorse models of the field the standard approaches that everyone is supposed to know, the models that underlie discussion at, say, the Fed, Treasury, and the IMF. In particular, it is supposed to provide an overview of such items as the IS-LM model of monetary and fiscal policy, the AS-AD approach to short-run versus long-run analysis, and so on. By the standards of modern macro theory, this is crude and simplistic stuff, so you might think that any trained macroeconomist could teach it. But it turns out that that isn t true OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS AND THE OXFORD REVIEW OF ECONOMIC POLICY LIMITED 33
2 You see, younger macroeconomists say, those under 40 or so by and large don t know this stuff. Their teachers regarded such constructs as the IS- LM model as too ad hoc, too simplistic, even to be worth teaching after all, they could not serve as the basis for a dissertation. Now MIT s younger macro people are certainly very smart, and could learn the material in order to teach it but they would find it strange, even repugnant. So in order to teach this course MIT has relied, for as long as I can remember, on economists who learned old-fashioned macro before it came to be regarded with contempt. For a variety of reasons, however, MIT couldn t turn to the usual suspects that year, and I had to fill the gap. Now you might say, if this stuff is so out of fashion, shouldn t it be dropped from the curriculum? But the funny thing is that while old-fashioned macro has increasingly been pushed out of graduate programmes it takes up only a few pages in either the Blanchard Fischer (1989) or Romer (1996) textbooks that I assigned, and none at all in many other tracts out there in the real world it continues to be the main basis for serious discussion. After 25 years of rational expectations, equilibrium business cycles, growth and new growth, and so on, when the talk turns to the next move by the Fed, the European Central Bank, or the Bank of Japan, when one tries to see a way out of Argentina s dilemma, or ask why Brazil s devaluation turned out relatively well, one almost inevitably turns to the sort of old-fashioned, small-model macro that I taught that spring. Why does the old-fashioned stuff persist in this way? I don t think the answer is intellectual conservatism. Economists, in fact, are in general neophiles, always looking for something radical and different. Anyway, I have seen over and over again how young economists, trained to regard IS-LM and all that with contempt if they even know what it is, find themselves turning to it after a few years in Washington or New York. There s something about primeval macro that pulls us back to it; if Hicks hadn t invented IS-LM in 1937, we would end up inventing it all over again. But what is it that makes old-fashioned macro so compelling? The answer, I would argue, is that we need small, ad-hoc models as part of our intellectual tool-box. Since the 1970s, macroeconomic theory has been driven in large part by an attempt to get rid of the adhockery. The most prominent and divisive aspect of that drive has been the effort to provide microfoundations for aggregate supply. But efforts to provide micro-foundations for aggregate demand by grounding individual decisions in intertemporal optimization have been almost equally determined. The result has been a turning away from simple, adhoc models of the IS-LM genre. What I would argue is that this tendency has gone too far. Of course we should do the more complicated models; of course we should strive for a synthesis that puts macroeconomics on a firmer micro-foundation. But for now, and for the foreseeable future, the little models retain a vital place in the discipline. To make this point, let me first revisit where the little models come from in the first place. II. HOW THE HOC GOT ADDED Aficionados know that much of what we now think of as Keynesian economics actually comes from John Hicks, whose Mr Keynes and the Classics (Hicks, 1937) introduced the IS-LM model, a concise statement of an argument that may or may not have been what Keynes meant to say, but has certainly ended up defining what the world thinks he said. But how did Hicks come up with that concise statement? To answer that question we need only look at the book he himself was writing at the time, Value and Capital, which has in a low-key way been as influential as Keynes s General Theory. Value and Capital may be thought of as an extended answer to the question, How do we think coherently about the interrelationships among markets about the impact of the price of hogs on that of corn and vice versa? How does the whole system fit together? Economists had long understood how to think about a single market in 34
3 P. Krugman Figure 1 P Y /P Z X Z Y Z Y X P X /P Z isolation that s what supply-and-demand is all about. And in some areas notably international trade they had thought through how things fitted together in an economy producing two goods. But what about economies with three or more goods, where some pairs of goods might be substitutes, others complements, and so on? This is not the place to go at length into the way that Hicks (and others working at the same time) put the story of general equilibrium together. But to understand where IS-LM came from and why it continues to reappear it helps to think about the simplest case in which something more than supply and demand curves becomes necessary: a three-good economy. Let us simply call the goods X, Y, and Z and let Z be the numeraire. Now equilibrium in a three-good model can be represented by drawing curves that indicate combinations of prices for which each of the three markets is in equilibrium. Thus in Figure 1 the prices of X and Y, both in terms of Z, are shown on the axes. The line labelled X shows price combinations for which demand and supply of X are equal; similarly with Y and Z. Although there are three curves, Walras s Law tells us that they have a common intersection, which defines equilibrium prices for the economy as a whole. The slopes of the curves are drawn on the assumption that own-price effects are negative, cross-price effects positive thus an increase in the price of X increases demand for Y, driving the price of Y up, and vice versa; it is also, of course, possible to introduce complementarity into such a framework, which was one of its main points. This diagram is simply standard, uncontroversial microeconomics. What does it have to do with macro? Well, suppose you wanted a first-pass framework for thinking coherently about macro-type issues, such as the interest rate and the price level. At minimum such a framework would require consideration of the supply and demand for goods, so that it could be used to discuss the price level; the supply and demand for bonds, so that it could be used to discuss the interest rate; and, of course, the supply and demand for money. What, then, could be more natural than to think of goods in general, bonds, and money as if they were the three goods of Figure 1? Put the price of goods aka the general price level on one axis, and the price of bonds on the other; and you have something like Figure 2 or, more conventionally putting the interest rate instead of the price of bonds on the vertical axis, something like Figure 3. And already we have a picture that is essentially Patinkin s flexible-price version of IS-LM. 35
4 Price of bonds Figure 2 Goods Bonds Money Price of goods Figure 3 Interest rate Money Bonds Goods Price level If you try to read pre-keynesian monetary theory, or for that matter talk about such matters either with modern laymen or with modern graduate students who haven t seen this sort of thing, you quickly realize that this seemingly trivial formulation is actually a powerful tool for clarifying thought, precisely because it is a general-equilibrium framework that takes the interactions of markets into account. (I have heard the story of a famed general-equilibrium theorist who, late in a very distinguished career, saw an IS-LM diagram and asked who came up with that brilliant idea.) Here are some of the things it suddenly makes clear. (i) What Determines Interest Rates? Before Keynes Hicks and even to some extent after there has seemed to be a conflict between 36
5 P. Krugman the idea that the interest rate adjusts to make savings and investment equal, and that it is determined by the choice between bonds and money. Which is it? The answer, of course but it is only of course once you ve approached the issue the right way is both: we re talking general equilibrium here, and the interest rate and price level are jointly determined in both markets. (ii) How Can an Investment Boom Cause Inflation (and an Investment Slump Cause Deflation)? Before Keynes this was a subject of vast confusion, with all sorts of murky stuff about lengthening periods of production, forced saving, and so on. But once you are thinking three-good general equilibrium, it becomes a simple matter. When investment (or consumer) demand is high when people are eager to borrow to buy real goods they are in effect trying to shift from bonds to goods. So both the bond-market and goods-market equilibrium schedules, but not the money-market schedule, shift; and the result is both inflation and a rise in the interest rate. (iii) How Can We Distinguish between Monetary and Fiscal Policy? Well, in a fiscal expansion the government sells bonds and buys goods producing the same shifts in schedules as an investment boom. In a monetary expansion it buys bonds and sells newly printed money, shifting the bonds and money (but not goods) schedules. Of course, this is all still a theory of money, interest, and prices (Patinkin s title), not employment, interest, and money (Keynes s). To make the transition we must introduce some kind of pricestickiness, so that incipient deflation is at least partly translated into output decline; and then we must consider the multiplier impacts of that output decline, and so on. But the basic form of the analysis still comes from the idea of a three-good generalequilibrium model in which the three goods are goods in general, bonds, and money. Sixty years on, the intellectual problems with doing macro this way are well known. First of all, the idea of treating money as an ordinary good begs many questions: surely money plays a special sort of role in the economy. (For some reason, however, this objection has not played a big role in changing the face of macro.) Second, almost all the decisions that presumably underlie the schedules here involve choices over time: this is true of investment, consumption, even money demand. So there is something not quite right about pretending that prices and interest rates are determined by a static equilibrium problem. (Of course, Hicks knew about that, and was quite self-conscious about the limitations of his temporary equilibrium method.) Finally, sticky prices play a crucial role in converting this into a theory of real economic fluctuations; while I regard the evidence for such stickiness as overwhelming, the assumption of at least temporarily rigid nominal prices is one of those things that works beautifully in practice but very badly in theory. But step back from the controversies, and put yourself in the position of someone who must reach a judgement about the likely impact of a change in monetary policy, or an investment slump, or a fiscal expansion. It would be cumbersome to try, every time, to write out an intertemporal-maximization framework, with micro-foundations for money and price behaviour, and try to map that into the limited data available. Surely you will find yourself trying to keep track of as few things as possible, to devise a working model a scratch-pad for your thoughts that respects the essential adding-up constraints, that represents the motives and behaviour of individuals in a sensible way, yet has no superfluous moving parts. And that is what the quasi-static, goods bonds money model is and that is why old-fashioned macro, which is basically about that model, remains so popular a tool for practical policy analysis. Of course, if we knew really knew that one got much more reliable results by doing the things that ad-hoc macro does not, it would be a tool to be used only for the most preliminary examination of issues. But do we know that? Let me turn briefly to the two main areas of contention, the two main areas in which the search for micro-foundations has been most aggressively pursued: aggregate supply and intertemporal spending decisions. In each case I want to ask: how sure are we that the microfounded version is really better? 37
6 What I would argue is that in each case the first efforts to derive some micro-foundation had a big pay-off. That is, in each case a preliminary, rough application of the idea that there was a deeper structure underneath the quasi-static model produced a result that was both compelling and empirically confirmed. But in each case, also, the subsequent work, the elaboration of the micro-foundations, has produced little if any gain in predictive power. Thinking about micro-foundations does you a lot of good; taking care to put them into the model all the time, it seems, does not. III. AGGREGATE SUPPLY The story of the aggregate supply wars is familiar to most economists, though everyone tells it a bit differently. Let me give my own version. As I see it, the effort to put micro-foundations beneath aggregate supply went through four stages. (i) The Natural-rate Hypothesis When macroeconomists first began thinking seriously about why nominal shocks really have real effects, they were led into a variety of models in which imperfect information might cause a confusion between real and nominal shocks. The famous Phelps volume (1970) included many of these models. The key implication of these models was some version of the principle that you can t fool all of the people all of the time, suggesting not just that prices would be flexible in the long run, but that persistent inflation would get built into expectations too. Thus was the natural-rate hypothesis born. While there was some resistance to the natural-rate idea and some sophisticated challenges have been posed in recent years it was an idea that most economists found compelling. And its empirical predictions were soon seen to be roughly true. The Phillips curve did turn out to be unstable; for the USA, at least, a time series of inflation and unemployment seemed to go through clockwise spirals, just as you would have expected. (European data have never fitted very well, but that was easily explained away as the result of a secular upward trend in the natural rate.) Better yet, the natural-rate hypothesis in effect predicted stagflation in advance, a victory that gave huge credibility to the whole enterprise of microfounded macro. It therefore created a favourable environment for the second stage. (ii) The Lucas Project Few ideas in economics have been so influential, yet left so little lasting impact, as the idea that nominal shocks have real effects because of rational confusion. When I was in graduate school the Lucas supply curve, with its lovely metaphors about islands and signal processing, but its alas very unlovely formal apparatus, was the central development in macroeconomics. But hardly anyone seems to think it a useful tool today. What went wrong? Analytically, it all comes down to the case of the economic agent who knew too much. In the real world recessions last far too long for us to believe that people are voluntarily withholding labour because they believe they are facing idiosyncratic shocks. And in theoretical models, even if we somehow imagine that agents cannot read about the ongoing recession in the Financial Times, just about any sort of financial market will, in conjunction with individual experience, eliminate the confusion that Lucas-type models rely on. Empirically, the main supporting evidence for the signal-processing aspect of the Lucas-type approach was the observation that the short-run aggregate supply curve appears steeper in countries with highly unstable inflation rates. But as Ball et al. (1988) pointed out, countries with very unstable inflation rates are also countries with high inflation rates, and one can think of many models in which high inflation would in effect reduce money illusion. In short, the Lucas project which tried to build an aggregate supply curve in which nominal shocks had real effects on genuine micro-foundations failed. There were two responses to this. (iii) The Great Schism At the risk of a great oversimplification, in the 1980s macroeconomists reacted to the failure of the Lucas project in two ways. One reaction was to say that 38
7 P. Krugman because we had not managed to find a microfoundation for non-neutrality of money, money must be neutral after all; it might look to you as if the Fed has power to affect the real economy, but that must be a statistical illusion. And that led in the direction of real business-cycle theory. The other reaction was to say that we need some other explanation of apparent non-neutrality, resting in something like menu costs or bounded rationality. And that led in the direction of New Keynesian theory. Each of these approaches had something to commend it, but surely at this point we can say that neither approach really succeeded. I could go through the analytical and empirical objections to real business cycle theory at some length, but perhaps the crucial point to make is that the evidence for price stickiness has stubbornly refused to go away. My personal impression was that the tide really began to turn against equilibrium business-cycle models with the accumulation of data about co-movement of nominal and real exchange rates. As inflation rates in advanced countries fell during the 1980s, while nominal exchange rates continued to fluctuate wildly, it became more or less impossible to ignore the startling extent to which price levels remained stable even while large swings in the exchange rate took place. It is no accident that Obstfeld and Rogoff (1996) which arguably is the defining book for the state of modern macro basically uses exchange-rate evidence as the main basis for arguing that prices are, sure enough, sticky and hence that nominal shocks have real effects. But if prices are sticky, why? New Keynesian macro offered an intellectually almost-satisfying answer. Suppose that there are distortions in labour and product markets, which give price-setters some monopoly or monopsony power. Then the loss to an individual price-setter from not reducing its price in the face of a fall in aggregate demand would be second-order in the size of the decline but the cost to the economy as a whole of such price stickiness would be first-order. All that one needs, then, is some fairly trivial reason not to change prices menu costs, bounded rationality, or something and one can justify the kind of price inflexibility that makes recessions possible. It s a terrific insight; I remember being thrilled when I realized that we finally had a way other than confusion to reconcile sticky prices with more or less rational behaviour. But what does one do, exactly, with that insight? Fifteen years after the publication of the original menu-cost papers of Mankiw (1985) and Akerlof and Yellen (1985), it seems that this line of thought has produced not so much a micro-foundation for macro as a micro-excuse. That is, one can now explain how price stickiness could happen. But useful predictions about when it happens and when it does not, or models that build from menu costs to a realistic Phillips curve, just don t seem to be forthcoming. (iv) Undeclared Peace So where are we now? The passion seems to have gone out of the aggregate supply wars. The typical modelling trick, now used by both sides, is to suppose that prices must for some reason be set one period ahead. This assumption is somewhat problematic empirically, since there is considerable evidence for inflation inertia that goes beyond preset prices. But what I want to emphasize here is that the end result of the whole attempt to provide rational foundations for aggregate supply has ended up with something that is almost as ad hoc as the original assumption of sticky prices. Notice the pattern. We got a big pay-off the natural-rate hypothesis from the first, crude, application of rational modelling. The subsequent elaboration, the stuff that makes the models so complicated, has added to our understanding of the intellectual issues, but not noticeably to our ability to match the phenomena. IV. AGGREGATE DEMAND While there has been considerable theorizing and empirical work over other components of aggregate demand, consumption spending has clearly been the centre of research and debate. The history of this debate is almost, though not quite, as familiar as that 39
8 of the aggregate supply wars; let me again give my own version. It began, of course, with the Keynesian consumption function, with consumption simply a function of disposable income. But this consumption function ran into empirical paradoxes and a forecasting débâcle almost as soon as it was formulated. The forecasting débâcle was the failure of consumption functions based on inter-war data to predict the post-war consumption boom. Indeed, consumption functions from the 1930s with a marginal propensity to consume much less than the average propensity seemed to lend plausibility to the secular stagnation hypothesis, with its suggestion that it would be persistently difficult to get the public to spend enough to use the economy s growing capacity. Happily, it didn t work out that way. More broadly, the stylized facts on consumption didn t fit together if you tried to explain them with a consumption function of the form C = C(Y). The way I teach undergrads is to describe three facts: the procyclicality of the savings rate; the fact that high-income households have higher savings rates than low-income households; and the constancy of the savings rate over the very long run. The first two facts seem to suggest a marginal propensity to consume substantially less than the average propensity. But the third fact seems to imply a marginal propensity to consume that is more or less the same as the average propensity. Rational behaviour came to the rescue. The permanent-income / life-cycle approach pointed out that a rational individual bases his consumption on his wealth, including the present discounted value of expected future income, not just on current income. And all the stylized facts immediately fell into place: cyclical income gets saved because it is temporary, high-income families save more because they are also typically families with unusually high income for their own life cycle, but the long-term upward trend in income, because it is permanent, does not get reflected in a higher savings rate. As with the natural-rate hypothesis, then, the first application of rational behaviour to the model produced a big pay-off. And then? As originally used, the permanent-income/life-cycle approach was a bit loose; it was used to suggest variables that might proxy for wealth, rather than be taken literally. But from the 1970s on it became much more hard-edged: we were supposed to abandon ad-hoc consumption functions and base everything on intertemporal maximization. What that meant, above all, was that the little macro models I described earlier were no longer allowable. Quite aside from the sticky-price issue, such models were now condemned as attempts to shoehorn an essentially dynamic, forward-looking problem into a quasi-static framework. And at one level this is certainly right. In international macroeconomics, there are some issues, notably current account determination, where you really want to have an intertemporal view otherwise it is just very hard to get any good bearings. But should we rule out the use of the simple, ad-hoc, quasi-static models altogether? If fully fledged intertemporal consumption models were simply radically better at describing consumption behaviour, there would be a case for doing away with the ad-hoc models. But after a rousing initial start in Hall s (1978) famous random walk paper, the evidence seems to have become distinctly mixed. The basic point seems to be that predictable changes in income should not lead to changes in consumption they should already be incorporated in the current level of consumption, just as predictable changes in profits are supposed to be reflected in the current stock price. But as the survey in Romer (1996) points out, there is considerable evidence that in fact such predictable changes in income have substantial effects, though not as much as a crude Keynesian consumption function would have predicted. And evidence for the strong implications of intertemporal consumption optimization, like Ricardian equivalence when it comes to budget deficits, is at best questionable. Why the disappointing results? Arguments similar to those used in New Keynesian models of aggregate supply also apply to aggregate demand. A consumer who uses a sensible rule of thumb will typically suffer only a small loss in lifetime utility compared with an obsessively perfect optimizer. If there are 40
9 P. Krugman some costs to gathering and processing information, the rule of thumb may well be a better choice. Yet the implied consumption behaviour may be very different from that of a full optimizer. On the other hand, like new Keynesian price rigidity, this serves more as a micro-excuse than a micro-foundation for whatever we actually assume about spending. In short, a careful intertemporal approach to aggregate demand does not turn out to be all that helpful. It does not, it turns out, offer a clear improvement in predictive power over that of simpler, ad-hoc approaches. So the history of aggregate demand theorizing is in a fundamental sense very similar to that of aggregate supply. Introducing a whiff of rational behaviour into the model greatly improves its ability to reflect reality. Going the rest of the way, to use a fully specified model of rational choices over time, is at best an ambiguous improvement; it produces a model that is more satisfying intellectually, but not necessarily better in terms of accuracy. V. IN DEFENCE OF LITTLE MODELS We now come to the moral of the sermon: the case for little, simple models. That means IS-LM or some variant for domestic macro, with an adaptive-expectations Phillips curve; it means a slightly souped up version of Mundell Fleming for international macro, with some kind of regressive expectations on the real exchange rate to avoid the conclusion that all countries must have the same interest rate. The point is not that these models are accurate or complete, or that they should be the only models used. Clearly they are incomplete, quite inadequate to examining some questions, and remain as full of hoc as ever. But they are easy to use, particularly on real-world policy questions, and often seem to give more or less the right answer. The alternative is to use models that are less ad hoc, that are careful to derive as much as possible from individual maximization. Nobody can seriously say that such models should be banned from discourse; where they confirm the insights of the simpler models they are reassuring, and where they contradict those results they serve as a warning sign. But what we know pretty well, from decades of trying to give micro-foundations to macro, is that logical completeness and intellectual satisfaction are not necessarily indications that a model will actually do a better of job of tracking what really happens. For many purposes the small, ad-hoc models are as good as or better than the carefully specified, maximizing intertemporal model. Let me discuss an exception that proves the rule. One of the most influential macro models of the 1990s, and deservedly so, is the revisitation of Mundell Fleming Dornbusch by Obstfeld and Rogoff (1995). It s a beautiful piece of work, integrating a new Keynesian approach to price stickiness (albeit with the ad-hoc assumption that prices are set for only one period) with a full intertemporal approach to aggregate demand; it addresses the classic question of the effect of a monetary shock on output, interest rates, and the exchange rate. It s also pretty hard work: as restated in their 1996 book, the model and its analysis take 76 equations to describe, even though the authors restrict themselves to a special case, and to log-linearized analysis around a steady state. The big pay-off to all this is a gorgeous welfare result, which says that the benefits of a monetary expansion accrue equally to both countries, wherever the monetary expansion takes place a result that is immediately understandable in terms of the welfare economics of monopoly in general. But ask two questions. First, is this model actually any better at predicting the impact of monetary expansions in the real world than a three- or fourequation, back-of-the-envelope Mundell Fleming model? The authors give us no reason to think so. Second, do you really believe that welfare result? Certainly not indeed, it is driven to an important extent by the details of the model, and can quite easily be undone. The result offers a tremendous clarification of the issues; it s not at all clear that it offers a comparable insight into what really happens. None of this should be taken as a critique of the new open-economy macroeconomics, which is wonderful stuff. The point is that while I can and will use this approach along with the old ad-hoc models, I am not going to give up those old models. And when 41
10 I write my next popular piece on international macro, it will probably be based on ad-hoc macro, not models with proper micro-foundations. In the long run, what this says is that we haven t really got the right models. The small models haven t gotten any better over the past couple of decades; what has happened is that the bigger, more microfounded models have not lived up to their promise. The core of my argument isn t that simple models are good, it s that complicated models aren t all they were supposed to be. But pending the arrival, someday, of models that really do perform much better than anything we now have, the point is that the small, ad-hoc models are still useful. What that means, in turn, is that we need to keep them alive. It would be a shame if IS-LM and all that vanish from the curriculum because they were thought to be insufficiently rigorous, replaced with models that are indeed more rigorous but not demonstrably better. REFERENCES Akerlof, G., and Yellen, J. (1985), A Near-rational Model of the Business Cycle, with Wage and Price Inertia, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 100, Ball, L., Mankiw, G., and Romer, D. (1988), The New Keynesian Economics and the Output Inflation Tradeoff, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, Blanchard, O., and Fischer, S. (1989), Lectures on Macroeconomics, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press. Hall, R. (1978), Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle Permanent Income Hypothesis, Journal of Political Economy, 86(December), Hicks, J. R. (1937), Mr Keynes and the Classics, Econometrica, 5(April), Mankiw, N. G. (1985), Small Menu Costs and Large Business Cycles: A Macroeconomic Model of Monopoly, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 100, Obstfeld, M., and Rogoff, K. (1995), Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux, Journal of Political Economy, 103, (1996), Foundations of International Macroeconomics, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press. Phelps, E. (ed.) (1970), Microeconomic Foundations of Employment and Inflation Theory, Norton. Romer, D. (1996), Advanced Macroeconomics, New York, McGraw-Hill. 42
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Country-Specific Mortality and Growth Failure in Infancy and Yound Children and
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Use interactive graphics and maps to view and sort country-specific infant and early
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Golden Goose Sneakers Sale else to
Le 4 August 2017, 09:08 dans Humeurs • 0
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Recent visitors
For those of you who have recently stumbled into my site from search results...
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Did you know, "Retention Process" is related to "Successful Marriage"? The relation of "Employer-Employee" is like a marriage.
Sourcing and Selecting the Candidate – Wooing the Girl
Retention doesn't start from the day person join your organization. Retention starts from the "Interview Process".
1. The way you carry the interview
2. The practices and processes you use to interview candidates
3. The selection tools that you use
4. The communication process that you adept to interact with the candidate
5. The steps involved in the selection process
6. Number of hours you made this person to wait
7. Time you take to issue the offer letter
8. Hassles and problems you create to give the offer and appointment letter
9. The credibility of the information that you have provided to this person at the time of interview about the company and about the job.
10. You need to convince the person as what your company is having that others are not having? What is your competitive edge? What type of future or growth that person will get if he decides to join your company?
Each of these factors decides the time this person will stay with your organization.
So, you need to adopt the same process and practices as you do to woo a girl. Be prepared. Be your best. Present a good but true picture of the company. Share the growth prospects and growth plans. Always be on time, maintain your commitment, start the interview on time, don't let the candidate wait and if you are late and say sorry. Let there be less hassles.
You need to convince your partner, how you are different from other boys or girls? What type of future that person will get if he/she decides to marry you.
Orientation and Induction – Your Engagement
Now, it means that the girl has said YES to you, is interested in you and now you are engaged
After sourcing and selection process the next important thing that might affect the "Retention Process" is the Orientation Process (It generally continues for 30 days). Remember, you are still in courtship.
1. The way you welcome your new employee.
2. The way his team members treat him.
3. The information you provide to him.
4. Which senior managers interact with him?
5. Setting the clear expectations.
6. Criteria to measure the performance.
7. In brief, job description, KRA's; Performance Criteria; Performance Management System; Performance Evaluation; Reward System; Career Planning
8. In total, the comfort level that you extent to this person.
Just like your engagement, where it is important to decide as what is expected from each other.
1. If both of them will work or not
2. If both are working then how they will share the household responsibilities…who will take care of cooking, cleaning, washing; who will take care of kids, their homework, their school commitments, who will keep the track of their growth in school; who will take care of grocery and other day-to-day expenses; who will take decisions related to other investments, house, car, holidays etc etc etc
3. What is expected and what are the things to be avoided?
4. If both are working…then they should not have any other commitment for the weekend.
5. If they will be staying in a joint family or separately
1. (I think, usually these are things we share.)
On Job – Now you are married
Now, at last you got married and have decided to stay together for the rest of your life. Getting married doesn't assure you that you will have a successful marriage. You have probation period, which in companies is usually for 6 months to one year and in married life is 5 years. If you have been successfully married for 5 years and the ship of your marriage is smoothly sailing in the ocean of life then it will take something like Tsunami to happen to rock you ship.
Similarly, if an employee has successfully spent 5 years in your organization then it should take something really big to happen to break that relation.
1. Breach of trust
2. Bankruptcy
3. Enormously huge salary package or a jump of 2-3 level in designation, ill-health.
In short, a big accident.
Agreed that the things are not exactly in the same way…same manner as were promised to you, so now there is a need to make some adjustments, some compromises. Once you get married to your employer then you realize that the information that has been given to you is not 100% correct, your team members and other colleagues in the office don't like you; the work environment is not very cordial; there are some misunderstandings; miscommunication; the promises that were made before the employment…the boss is not willing to keep all promises. But you still like to stay in the relation and want to give your best. Adjustment and compromise is required. Once you are married, keeping the trust and faith is important, proper communication is very crucial, feedback is the backbone and motivation, regular but genuine appreciation is a tonic.
I think if we take care of these things…employee will stay with the company for a long time. Do you like to add anything in this?
Just look at the employer-employee relation in this perspective. Your boss is your spouse. Your Team Members are your in-laws. Other Colleagues in the organization are your relatives. Doesn't matter what others talk about you…it is important what your boss…your spouse think and talk about you. Before making cordial relation with your relatives…it is important to have positive relations with your team-members. As you know people don't leave organizations…they leave bosses. Similarly, if marriage is not working…people go for divorce because their partners are not good. No one go for divorce because of the reason that their in-laws are not good…or their relatives don't like them.


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SWOSU Mind Games Team Searching for Competitors
Southwestern Oklahoma State University will again participate in the Mind Games competition on KSBI-TV against other Oklahoma colleges and universities.
Mind Games is a buzzer-quiz game comparable to Quiz Bowl or Jeopardy. SWOSU is looking for interested students to compete on the team during the fall semester. Last spring, SWOSU won the competition and players earned thousands of dollars in scholarships.
This semester's tryout will be held Tuesday, August 28, from 6 to 9 p.m. in the Old Science Building, Room 100. Questions for the competition come from all academic fields. All Any students are invited to tryout.
Interested students and those looking for more information should contact Dr. Fred Gates at email@example.com or 580.774.3278.


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Small Business Marketing Blog.
Michael Trow Atlanta based sales and marketing coach, consultant and trainer to service businesses share valuable tips and insights on this weekly blog.
You will find interviews with talented experts, how to articles and a variety of resources for service businesses.
Download the free e-books at www.michaeltrow.com


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Sunderland full-back Kieran Richardson is in talks with Fulham after the two clubs agreed a fee for his transfer.
Black Cats boss Martin O'Neill confirmed that the Wearsiders have accepted an offer for the 27-year-old, but did not disclose the club.
However, Press Association Sport understands it is the Londoners who have firmed up their interest.
Copyright (c) PA Sport 2012, All Rights Reserved.


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We tested two Handspring PDA/phones that share the same design: the Handspring Treo 270, which operates on T-Mobile's GSM/GPRS network, and the Treo 300, which works on the Sprint PCS CDMA 1xRTT network (each one is $499 list). A two-thumb QWERTY keyboard and a very powerful speakerphone make them both suitable for meetings.
The Treo 270 and 300 are competent phones and capable Palm-based PDAs, but you'll have to make compromises in both departments. They run an older version of Palm OS (version 3.5.2H), and they don't offer an expansion slot, a voice recorder, or audio capability. As phones, their size makes them awkward to hold up to your ear. In addition, the numeric keypad in the tiny keyboard is difficult to decipher, and the on-screen keypad doesn't give you tactile feedback.
Tiny buttons at the bottom of the case work to your advantage when the flip cover is down. Through the transparent cover you can see the display, launch applications, and navigate using the scroll buttons on the front panel and the jog dial on the left side. But the PDA launch and navigation controls aren't directly beneath the display.
Though a bit dated, the Handspring Treo 270 and 300 are still functional devices with the undeniable convenience of an integrated keyboard.


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Suntwist villa is detached and facing south, with a private pool and in close proximity to fantastic local facilities. Located right next door to an exclusive resort, this villa is perfect for families with children! Beautifully set in spacious parkland, it's also a walk away from the best shops and restaurants. And feel connected with reliable wireless internet (wi-fi); free U.S. And canada-wide phone calls. Amenities includes private pool and golf nearby. Ideal for a single family - 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, sleeps 8 people, with wifi access.
Davenport Florida Vacation Rentals – Luxurious Villa
- Villa1459 sq. ft.
- Sleeps: 10
- Bedrooms: 2
- Bathrooms: 1
- Min Stay: 2 nights
Davenport Florida Vacation Rentals – Luxurious Villa
Wendy Seetahal
- Speaks:
- english
- Calendar last updated:
- Nov 28, 2018
About Wendy Seetahal
Vacation Rental Owner/Manager Name: Wendy Seetahal Availability: Check Our Calendar
Why Wendy Seetahal chose Highlands Reserve
With these great amenities and features, Suntwist Villa distinctly stands out, close to the exclusive Regal Palms Resort at Highlands Reserve, less than 15 minutes from Disneyworld and just a half hour drive from the airport or Universal Studios. Feeling green? You're just 100 yards away from a beautiful golf course overlooking the resort. If you're looking to cool off, our Suntwist Villa boasts its own heated, always sunny, south-facing private pool. Set among the 554 lakes of Polk County at Highlands Reserve, this prime location is part of Florida's major national conservation woodlands; a fully protected nature reserve with the community settled in the rolling countryside, highlighted naturally by pine trees and orange groves. The professional golf course comes complete with a snack bar, driving range, practice area and putting green. Take advantage of the free WiFi access. Suntwist Villa is an ideal base for families, golfers, and theme park visitors alike!
What makes this Villa unique
Suntwist villa houses two double bedrooms, two twin bedrooms and two bathrooms, so up to 8 people can enjoy this luxurious south facing villa, with a roomy 530 square feet open space living area. When you're looking to unwind and relax from the crowded atmosphere, remember you have your own private pool with patio table, chairs, sun loungers, and a child safety fence. Bring your whole family, leave your worries behind, and live it up! Suntwist villa – a true home away from home!
- Air Conditioning
- Children Welcome
- Washer & Dryer
- Heater
- Internet
- Swimming pool
- Parking
- 1 Bathroom
- Bathroom 2toilet, combination tub/shower
- Guests provide their own meals
- TelephoneLocal Calls
- Air Conditioning
- Heating
- Washing Machine
- Clothes Dryer
- Parking
- Garage
- Internet
- Towels Provided
- Living Room
- Dishwasher
- Refrigerator
- Stove
- Oven
- Microwave
- Coffee Maker
- Toaster
- Dishes & Utensils
- Kitchen
- Dining Room
- Dining
- Television
- DVD Player
- GamesBoard Games
Pool / Spa
- Heated Pool
- Private Pool
- Amenities include private pool and golf nearby. Ideal for a single family - 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, sleeps 8 people, with wifi access.
8 Reviews
Good property, good location
This property is a good basic deal for the price in a good location to have fun in Central Florida. No problems.
Not entirely as advertised
We were lead to believe that we would have access to the resort area due to the pictures in the ad. When we arrived, we learned that this had changed and we would not be allowed to have access. We had some difficultly with check in. When we arrived at the resort to check in, we were told that they no longer handled the property and were unable to help us. This was resolved very quickly by the owner returning our phone call.
- House was clean and in good working order
- Pool area was clean
- Yard was clean
- Good communication once we arrived
- Queen beds are comfortable
- Neighborhood the house is in is quiet and clean
- Close to all of the parks. Restaurants, CVS and Walmart close by
- Pool heat isn't free. $25 a night with a 4 day minimum. Takes 24 hours to heat and isn't "guaranteed" according to the notes on the fridge. Fridge door sticks
- Note on the thermostat: If you turn the air down below 72 degrees the unit will freeze and you will be charged a $125.00 maintenance fee
- Note also states you will be charged for dishwasher or toilet overflow
- There were only 4 towels provided for our family of 4
- There were no dish sponges, paper towels or dish soap, no shampoo
- You are only provided one trash bag and one roll of cheap toilet paper per bathroom.
We ended up cutting our stay short and going home a day early, since the kids couldn't swim anyway because the pool was too cold. We would not stay here again and learned a valuable lesson about VRBOs in general.
The house is very cute and has everything we needed, very close to shopping and markets. We had a great time
Great House, Loved the Pool!
The house was great. Pool was perfect. House was clean and met every expectation. I wish there was a little better communication, but that may have been partly my fault since I have never rented with VRBO before.
As expected but not Luxurious. Great for Families!!
Overall, this property is as advertised correctly and there are no hidden costs if you read the ad properly. There were pros and cons and I will try and list our experience and opinion.
- Price compared to other rentals is affordable.
- house was clean
- pool area was clean
- There WAS a BBQ on the pool deck which had full propane, which I was not expecting due to a previous review
- only 20 mins to Disney
- Owner was very quick to respond to inquiries
- Access to Regal Palms Resort was great and was literally across the street, we spent many hours there every day.
- Very child/infant friendly house and resort
- 2 families can stay here comfortably
- Washer and Dryer
- No issues with shower water temperature as mentioned in a previous review
- nice park in the neighborhood for the kids
- safe and pretty area to walk
- Close enough to walk to the stores for groceries, etc
- Easy check-in/check out
- Cable tv with DVD player
- Long distance phone line included no charge
- Free WiFi
- Lots of towels
- Pool heat pump was broken so we didn't get to have the pool heated for a couple days as requested (however, response by owner when notified was fast and she was working on the problem for us. It was too close to the end of our trip so we decided to cancel the pool heating and a refund was provided to us with no issues)
- No dish detergent provided for either the sink or dishwasher. It would have been nice to have at least 1 dishwasher tablet provided to use halfway through our stay instead of having to buy a whole box I wouldn't get to use.
- fridge door did stick, which is minor, but it did become somewhat annoying.
- No dishtowels or cloths provided for dishes
- The house was a bit dated which is why I stated in the title that it is not "luxurious". With a few hundred dollars, it can be updated to make it feel less dated.
The rental is exactly as pictured in the pictures provided with the exception of one picture of the front door which is not for this property. There is an extra resort fee that is mandatory, but well worth it either way as its a fairly cheap price to pay for a family day of fun use. When you add this daily cost to the price of the rental it is still an affordable rate. I spoke to others staying in the neighborhood who did not have resort access and they seemed envious.
I'm running out of space, so, bottom line......I RECOMMEND THIS RENTAL TO OTHERS and will return as well.
An ECONOMY vacation villa...
My family stayed at this villa in January of 2016. Nothing went wrong, nothing was bad, but it was not the best vacation experience for us. Then again, these things are very personal. It may be the exact RIGHT vacation place for you, so let me lay out the pros and cons and you can decide.
•Responsive owner
•Excellent location (probably the closet private home to the Regal Palms resort pool, right across the street: a 4-minute walk) (right near a grocery store and CVS) (a 25-minute easy drive to Disney)
•Clean home
•Web site photos are accurate
•Friendly and responsive maintenance crew
•Friendly (if overworked) resort staff
•24-hour check-in at the resort across the street
•Nice above-the-counter kitchen radio
•Villa is in a pretty, walkable neighborhood
•I would not say this villa is luxurious. It's an economy villa that is pretty dated.
•No shower-head in master bath
•Very little hot water (and I was the first one up in the mornings to shower)
•Very poorly outfitted kitchen (I am not a gourmet chef, but I need more than a plastic CVS cutting board)
•Bottom-of-the line appliances (fridge door kept sticking)
•Bottom-of-the-line linens, bedclothes, pillows and towels
•Decor and interiors had a very impersonal "motel" feeling. Signs everywhere. Bad art. Plastic flowers.
•No outdoor grill
•No yard to speak of
•The pool had several dead and living worms in it, the enclosed patio had several dead bugs and moths. That may have been a function of the villa staying empty for a while. Not that big a deal. But when my daughter saw the worms, that was it for the pool.
•I was fairly annoyed that although the villa had a pool, if you wanted to HEAT the pool, that meant a large extra fee. I do not recall the pool-heating fee mentioned on the home's web site description. That should have been made transparent.
•I was also charged a large resort fee when I checked in. I'm used to giving a credit card at a hotel "just in case," but they actually charged me the fee. The fee was reinstated the midnight after I checked out, but my credit card company didn't give me access to those funds for 3 business days. That was another charge I wish would have been explained before-hand.
•Lastly, Resort Palms is a B-/C+ resort. It feels like it has seen better days.
In conclusion, many of these cons may not seem like cons to other guests, and if so, that's great. Just wanted to give a honest accounting of my experience.
Luxury orlando villa rental with private pool.
All year we offer year round low prices. Executive rental villa near orlando, florida, convenient for disney world and theme parks,
Private heated pool, luxury interior, in villa high speed internet, highland reserve public golf course.
An orlando villa rental direct from the owners is guaranteed hassle free. You get exactly what you booked, not a random villa resort, as we are chosen by the tour operator.
Rates & Availability
Additional information about rental rates
There is a maximum permissible legal occupancy of ten(10) people for this villa in Polk County. These rental rates include tax. A fee of $12.95 (+12% tax) per day is payable to the Regal Palm Resort for the use of there amenities. This covers everyone in your group, and must be paid at check in, whether or not you use the resort. The rental can commence and finish any day of the month. A non refundable fee of 15% payable on reservation will be withheld for any cancellation. Additional cleaning fees of $95.00 for stays of 5 nights or less. Pool Heating is $88.00 for a four(4) day minimum or $154/week(tax included). If you arrange pool heat at the resort it will cost $175 per week(tax included). Bar B Que Grill is available for additional cost $85 per stay.


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The Rover Group Classic MG Rover 800 Cars Parts 2
ป้ายกำกับ: Classic MG Car , Classic MG Cars , Mg Classic Car , Mg Classic Cars , Mg Rover 800
The Rover Group MG Rover 800 Classic Cars
Picture Of Mg Classic cars Rover 800
The Rover 800 was designed as a replacement for the Rover SD1. Development of the car began in 1981 as parts of a venture with Honda under the XX codename. MG Classic Cars is a former MG British sports car manufacturer. The Rover Group plc was the name given in 1986 to the British state-owned vehicle manufacturer previously known as British Leyland or BL.
Mg Rover 800
Picture Of Mg Classic cars Rover 800
The basic versions of the 800 used three naturally aspirated 2.0 L 16-valve developments of British Leyland's stalwart O-Series engine, dubbed M-Series. The 820, with single carburettor, the 820se, with single point injection, and the 820i with multi-point injection, i.e. 4 injectors. The top versions (827) used a Honda designed V6 unit in 2.7 L capacity. Initially, only a saloon body was offered; a liftback version — referred to as a fastback — became available in 1988.
Later, a diesel version of the car was launched in 1990 using a 2498 cc engine from Italian company VM Motori, which was related to the slightly smaller engine used in the 2400 SD Turbo model of the Rover SD1, and Range Rover Turbo D.
The Sterling badge was used in Europe and most global markets to denote the top saloon luxury version and the Vitesse badge used to denote the top fastback sporting version. The Vitesse became available at the same time as the 2675 cc Honda V6. Both of these top of the range models were initially only available in the UK with the V6. In some European markets, in particular Italy, the 2.0 litre petrol was badged as Sterling and later available (in turbo form) as Vitesse to avoid the punishing duties that made engines over 2.0 litres unviable for volume sales.
Towards the end of Mark 1 production the Vitesse had nearly as many "luxury" features as the Sterling (for example, electric seats). There was also a brief run of just over 500 820 Turbo 16v cars using a turbocharged version of the M-Series developed with help from Tickford, leading to this model often being referred to as the "Tickford Turbo". Utilising such enhancements as sodium-filled exhaust valves and Mahle forged pistons the car produced 180 bhp (134 kW), although there is much speculation about this figure being severely held back by the electronics as not to step on the toes of the 177 bhp (132 kW) V6 engined Vitesse model as well as to preserve the reliability of the gearbox. In reality the engine was capable of 250+hp while still preserving the realiability and drivability.
A Car With Initials MG Parts 1
The British Motor Corporation (BMC) Parts 1
The Rover Group Classic MG Cars Parts 1