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Macro News
Global: The risk-on environment continues globally after Governor Powell delivered a more dovish than already expected conference last week, stating that the current pace of monetary policy is 'appropriate' and that a decision of another rate hike will depend on future data points. Overall, the conference was not very informative, neither on the balance sheet process nor on the policy rates trajectory, but it seems that the US equity market performance is an important component of the Fed's reaction function. Powell comments on interest rates switched from 'a long way' from neutral in his October speech to 'appropriate' currently standing within the range of estimates. Like Draghi, Powell also mentioned that the persistence of global uncertainty in addition to idiosyncratic risks such as the slowdown in China and in the Euro area, the uncertainty on Brexit negotiations as well as the government shutdown could affect US policymakers' forecasts this year. According to the EuroDollar futures market, the Dec20-Dec19 ST yield curve is currently trading at -15bps, implying that the Fed's tightening cycle is now done, and we could see a potential rate cut in 2020. The 2Y10Y yield curve has been steepening since its low last month, currently trading at 20bps (according to Eikon Reuters), while the 5Y30Y is now standing at a 1-year high on the back of a sharp drop in the 5Y yield in the past quarter.
US: The suspension of the debt ceiling signed by Trump in February 2018 is set to expire next month and therefore will deprive the US Treasury of issuing new notes. As a result, the US Treasury will have to use its cash buffer ahead of March 1st, which would therefore increase liquidity in the market. In order to meet the debt limit in the beginning of next month, the US Treasury will need to reduce its cash balance by USD 200bn, which could potentially weaken the US dollar in the coming weeks.
UK: As we mentioned in one of our previous articles on the UK economic outlook, business investment has been decreasing drastically in the past two years due to the elevated uncertainty around Brexit, with the Bank of England slashing its forecasts to zero for 2018. In addition, productivity growth has significantly underperformed other developed nations (to the exception of Italy) and remains the major problem for the UK in the medium term. Bank of England meets this week and is expected to maintain its Official Bank rate at 0.75%.
Figure 1
US Labor Market
US Unemployment rate: Non-Farm Payrolls came in much stronger than expected at 304K (vs. 165K) in January, which eases concerns over some of the surveys pricing in a significant slowdown in the economic activity. However, we notice an interesting development when we look at the YoY change in the unemployment rate U6, a broader measure of the official unemployment rate that includes part-time workers. The annual change has slowly been converging to zero, and a switch back to positive territory could actually be perceived as negative.
Figure 2
FX Positioning
EURUSD: The pair still oscillates within a 300-pip range between 1.1250 and 1.1550. We did not manage to take profit on our long position as EURUSD lost a bit of momentum above 1.15 and is now trading back below 1.1450 (50% Fibo retracement of the 1.0440 – 1.2550 range). We still think the euro should get some support below 1.14 in this risk-on environment.
Figure 3
GBPUSD: As we expected, Cable showed some signs of 'fatigue' above the 1.32 level, which corresponds to the 50% Fibo retracement of the 1.20 – 1.4340. Traders benefit from the significant jump in January to take profit last week and GBPUSD has been consolidating in the past few days, currently flirting at the 1.30 level. Next support stands at 1.29 (100D SMA and 61.8% Fibo), where we should see some technical support.
EURGBP: As in mid-November last year, the pair got strong support below 0.8650 and is now back in its LT range of 0.8690 – 0.9070, which are the 61.8% and 23.6% Fibo retracement of the 0.8310 – 0.93 range. We did not buy the dips; however, any sell-off bringing the pair back towards 0.8650 should be considered as a good buying opportunity.
Figure 4
USDJPY: We took profit on our long position at 110 as the slight increase in US LT yields has pushed the US dollar higher. However, we remain skeptical on the January rally in stocks and would wait for higher levels of USDJPY and AUDJPY to consider going short those pairs. We do not see any imminent threat for the stock market, however, we think it is more interesting to be long Japanese yen after the recent rally in equities.
USDCHF: The pair is approaching the high of its long-term range of 0.9250–1.0330. We would take the opportunity to go short above 1.0080 for a first ST target at 0.9920 with a stop at 1.0180.
Figure 5
Chart of the Week
As in many other developed nations such as Australia, Canada or the UK, economists have been questioning the sustainability of property prices, especially in major cities such as New York and San Francisco where the house-to-annual-income ratios have reached unprecedented highs. In addition, we saw that the housing affordability index (HAI) has been trending down for the past 6 years, from over 200 to 144 (November 2018), implying that the household income was roughly 44% above the necessary income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a typical home at the national level. In addition, some surveys and leading indicators such as the 30Y fixed rate have been pricing in a slowdown in the US housing market in the coming months. For instance, our excess liquidity indicator, computed as the difference between real money growth and industrial production, has been contracting sharply over the past two years and therefore suggest we should see a slowdown in the US housing market in the coming months. Should we worry?
Figure 6
Source: Eikon Reuters, RR
Disclosure: I am/we are long EURUSD. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


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ASEC is led by Drs Gareth Thomson and Jane Andrews both of who have worked in the STEM Education Research field for a number of years.
Gareth has a BEng Mechanical Engineering and a PhD in Laser Materials Processing from the University of Dundee. He is actively involved in the development of new approaches to engineering education and is an active collaborator in the global CDIO initiative. Gareth is currently head of the Mechanical Engineering family of undergradaute programmes at Aston as well as co-Director for the Aston STEM Education Centre.
Jane Andrews has a PhD in Voluntary Sector Management from Aston University. She spent 20 years working in the Public & Voluntary Sectors before returning to education as a mature undergraduate student in 1998. Jane completed her PhD in 2006 and joined Aston University as a Research Fellow in Education. She joined the School of Engineering & Applied Science in 2010 and is currently one of only a handful of Social Scientists in Europe to hold a Senior Lectureship in Engineering.
ASEC is located within the School of Engineering & Applied Science at Aston University. Details of how to find the University may be found at: http://www.aston.ac.uk/about/directions/
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Marketing to Startups: The Case for Business-to-Consumer Tactics in a Business-to-Business World
May 10, 2018
Justworks shared ideas for marketing to small businesses.
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French tennis player Benoit Paire channelled his inner John McEnroe at the Citi Open on Tuesday.
An otherwise leisurely first round of the Citi Open in Washington D.C. took an intense turn on Tuesday, when French player Benoit Paire threw a temper tantrum following a missed overhead in the third set.
At one set apiece and trailing in the final frame to Marcos Baghdatis, the world's No. 55 player dropped the fifth game of the set and promptly let his feelings fly for the entire crowd to see. The Frenchman ended up losing 6-3, 3-6, 6-2.
Watch Paire's eruption below.
A meltdown of epic proportions from Benoit Paire 🎾🎾— Emily Benammar (@EmilyBenammar) August 1, 2018
Full video here https://t.co/Zgz1FTZLie pic.twitter.com/KIStWzrXht
Two smashed rackets and one tanked game later, and Paire's evening was done, blowing kisses to a swarm of boos as he left the court. All in a first round match.


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What's In a Brand? (Spoiler Alert: Everything!)
Your brand is your business's operating system. It's the framework on which every decision hangs–or, at least, should hang.
But what happens when your brand is damaged? (Windows Vista, anyone?)
What happens when your position in the marketplace changes–and so does your supporters' perception of you? (Take a look at Southwest Airlines, no longer a challenger brand, but number 1 in the United States.)
What happens when the people on the front lines–the ones interacting the most with the customer–don't agree with the direction in which leadership is taking the brand? What happens when an organization's leader can't stay on the brand message?
It's a lot to think about–and that's exactly what Bizability Group executives were doing on Feb. 28, at the KPCC Forum presented by Claremont Graduate University's Drucker School and 89.3 KPCC. Laurence Vincent, author of Brand Real, and KPCC business and economics reporter Matt DeBord conversed about major brands and fielded questions about branding for smaller companies.
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At a town hall in Bedford, New Hampshire, Jeb was moved by the courage of a Syrian-American woman named Nora who helped fourteen of her family members flee ISIS and Assad.
Her story is a powerful reminder of why American leadership is so desperately needed right now. "I wish Jeb were president now," said Nora in a CNN interview where she explained she's supporting Jeb because of his detailed strategy for defeating ISIS and Assad. We cannot sit back and accept this slaughter of innocents and allow Russia and Iran to exert their influence in the region.
Source: https://jeb2016.com/nora/?lang=en


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My fellow lecturers won't say it in public, but students today are moaning, illiterate snowflakes
When I tell people who have had nothing to do with universities recently that I've taught British undergraduates who are simply incapable of writing a correct sentence in English, most smirk in disbelief. Perhaps because I'm a writer of fiction they assume I'm indulging in some dramatic exaggeration. When I raise this with fellow lecturers, however, they nod mournfully.
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There's an "everyone must pass" attitude, which is compounded by the "sick note" epidemic. The student who is currently suing Oxford University because...
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The formation of antibody to human serum albumin (HSA) in rats was greatly enhanced when the protein was linked covalently to E. coli lipopolysaccharide (LPS). The response was less when HSA and LPS were only mixed before injection and nil when they were injected at separate sites subcutaneously. In rats the adjuvant effect of coupling LPS to HSA was comparable to that of using Freund's adjuvant or alum precipitation. In rabbits Freund's adjuvant was significantly the more effective. By the use of two qualitatively different detoxified derivatives, an adjuvant effect approximately equal to that of LPS was obtained with 1000-fold less pyrogenicity. The data suggest that LPS enhances antibody formation by acting directly upon the cells which respond to antigen, and possibly at the antigen-sensitive sites. In this effect both the lipid and polysaceharide portions of LPS appear to play a role, with lipid being the more important.
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Just finished tearing through the house for the 5th time since reading your post.
I collected wool from all of my current sheep this year to have tested. I put them in a box, waiting for the wool of 2 new sheep I was getting. Can't find it anywhere!! =(
Yeah, the registries all promote the historical micron size and the iffy use as orchard cleanup. Most Babydolls no longer have the fine wool, they became a pet breed and meat to some, so the wool was forgotten about. And many orchard owners have gotten upset out west with the sheep, since they assumed the sheep simply would not eat the leaves or stand on their hind legs, etc. Many people can keep them in orchards, but there's rules and guidelines to it.
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Mid-day Memo - Episode 5
At the top of the hour, Hannah Owczar reports live on location from Festival du Voyageur, now in its 50thyear of celebrating Franco-Manitoban culture. How has the annual winter festival thrived for so many years during some of our city's coldest weeks? What's new and exciting this year? Feature reporter Kelsey Marcotte brings us a story on treaties in Manitoba, talking to Indigenous elder Harry Bone about the spirit and intent of the historic agreements, and how they still impact us today. The it's Jonathan Wade, who has a rant about the big business behind the consumer-centric day of romance – Valentine's Day. Later in the show, Christina Burridge provides some commentary one of this week's most talked-about political issues, and Sydney Small brings you some pre-Oscars coverage. And of course, all our regular features: news, sports, entertainment and more!
February 15, 2019
Mid-day Memo Episode 3
In the lastest edition of the Mid-day Memo, we talk about Niigaan Sinclair's recent segment on CBC Radio where he spoke to Rosanna Deerchild about integrating indigenous content into Canada's education system. We also have Jeremy Morantz reporting live from one of Ciao Magazine's Dine About Winnipeg special culinary events. Host Graeme Houssin sits down with Ezi Raizen to chat about Slunt Factory, a drag group that Raizen started with some other friends. Raizen performs as Stara David and was recently featured in this Vice article about the Winnipeg drag scene. All this and more on the Mid-day Memo!
February 1, 2019
Mid-day Memo, Episode 2
In-the-field correspondent Kelsey Marcotte is at The Forks to tell us about the Pavillon Sub Zero amphitheatre, specifically Norwegian artist and multi-instrumentalist Terje Isungset's performance there Saturday evening. Cassidy Dankochik fills us in on the UN's Year of Indigenous Languages, while entertainment reporter Graeme Houssin's chats with Jeremy Haywood-Smith of Winnipeg's JayWood about Saturday's performance at Big Fun Festival with Apollo Suns and Silence Kit. Host Hannah Owczar speaks with a counselor about mindfulness and self-care, and Jeremy Morantz educates us all on Overdose Awareness.
January 25, 2019
Mid-day Memo, Episode 1
Host Christina Burridge speaks with a concerned parent about online threats aimed at several Transcona middle schools. Jonathan Wade goes on a literal wild goose chase. Feature reporter (and VICE photographer) Graeme Houssin gives a report on Queer Bingo. JJeremy Morantz rants against the Academy. Kayla Buehler talks about Canada's Food Guide, and Cassidy Dankochik is all about the sports (as usual!) All this and Hannah Owczar at the news desk on the premiere episode of the Mid-day Memo!
January 18, 2019
Up and Anthem - Episode 8
Will, Laurel and Aidan celebrate Halloween in Anthem studios.
November 7, 2018
Anthem's War of the Worlds 80th Anniversary Special
On October 30, 1938, Orson Welles and the Mercury Theatre on the Air performed H.G. Wells' sci-fi classic War of the Worlds live on CBS Radio. The broadcast changed media history as people tuning in mid-program heard realistic-sounding news reports "live" from a spaceship crash site, and continued listening as the apparent martian invasion continued over the next hour. The station was flooded with calls from terrified listeners who were convinced that the broadcast was real. Join Red River College's Creative Communications students as they take you through the original War of the Worlds broadcast with commentary, fun facts and analysis. Happy Halloween!
October 31, 2018
Up and Anthem - Episode 6
Hosts Harris and Sam, along with Engineer David celebrate Legalization Day in Canada! They also mourn the end of Pete Davidson's engagement to Ariana Grande and debate how many people are in The Arcade Fire.
October 17, 2018
Up and Anthem - Episode 5
This week's hosts Katherine, Samantha and Skye take you through the morning news in between those awesome bangers from the past.
October 17, 2018
Up and Anthem - Episode 4
Aidan, Kelly and Ophelie talk you through the morning with all the news and views you can use!
October 9, 2018
Up and Anthem Episode 3
Sarain, Josh and Laurel talk about Gritty, Dunkin' Donuts, and saving the Santa Claus Parade.
October 2, 2018
Up and Anthem Episode 2
Hosts Kiersten, Hayley and David take you through the week's pop culture news, discuss the Winnipeg Jets' new third jerseys and much more.
September 21, 2018
Up and Anthem - Episode 1
Hosts Harris, Maddy and Will talk about the Banjo Bowl, the Emmys, and take a trip back to 2004 on the 1st Up and Anthem morning show.
September 14, 2018
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text:
The-N "Rock & Role Premiere Night"
Client: The-N
The-N's "Rock and Role Premiere Night" is a tentpole event where viewers
watch the line-up of shows on the premiere night, while answering questions to win various prizes, including a walk-on role on the show "Instant-Star".
Eneri created visuals for the campaign, including teaser spots, tune-in spots, intermittent graphics and bumpers at commercial breaks...etc., from concept, design and animation.
Credits: Scripts, video, audio and photography provided by The-N.