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President's Corner
The year 2017 sees two important anniversaries for our Society. First, on January 3, 2017, Professor David J. Finney, our former President (1964-5) and Honorary Life Member (1985) turned 100 years old. There were several celebrations of this happy event with David's family, friends and former students and colleagues, and I had the good fortune to be present at one of these in Edinburgh in January and present good wishes and congratulations on behalf of IBS members worldwide. You can read more of David's long association with IBS and his contributions to Biometry elsewhere in this Bulletin.
Second, our Society itself turns 70 years old this year. Our official birthday is not until September 6, but the records show we had a five month period of gestation, starting on March 29, 1947 with much activity through that spring and summer. You can find the details of those communications in Lynne Billard's excellent article in Biometrics in 2014, which is also posted in the History section of our website. So we do not need to wait until September to celebrate but also to reflect on the image of Biometry in the broader world. Among the public sources of information, it seems that only the Merriam Webster Dictionary has our meaning of biometry as its number one definition: "the application of mathematical and statistical methods to the collection, analysis, and interpretation of biological data—called also biometrics". With biometrics linking straight back to "Definition of biometry: the statistical analysis of biological observations and phenomena." In this year of our 70th birthday, we should try to broaden awareness of our Biometry beyond the IBS. Maybe a few other websites can be persuaded to follow the excellent example of the Merriam Webster Dictionary.
The IBS is a Society of its Regions, and in this non-IBC year, it is a time to focus on the Regional activities worldwide. Under the now not-so-new governance structure, members of Representative Council (RC) are chosen directly by the Regions, and this July will see many new RC members starting their four year terms. The Regional Officers have recently been reminded of the RC program to fund new activities of the Networks and collaborations between Regions. Please make good use of this program; if you have ideas, work with your Regional Officers and RC members to make proposals. In other news of international activities, members of the Education Committee have been working very hard to get the proposed IBS webinar series up and running. A test session has already taken place, and the first webinar, open to all IBS members, is planned for late April. A big thank you goes out to the Education Committee members and others who have worked on this. Watch our website for more information.
Also in this non-IBC year, the focus is on the scientific meetings of our Networks and Regions. Being in Scotland for the first half of the year, I will miss the regional meetings of North and South America but am delighted to have the opportunity to participate in several in Europe. The Awards Fund Committee has just announced its 2017 Travel Award Program to assist members from developing countries in attending conferences sponsored by IBS Regions or Networks. We are hoping that, as with the RC program, members will make good use of this funding stream also.
Another important meeting this year is the 61st World Statistics Conference (WSC) of the ISI to be held in Marrakech in July, where another of our distinguished long-time members will be honored. Sir David Cox (IBS Honorary Life Member, 2001) is the inaugural recipient of the International Prize in Statistics. David has continued to be active in the IBS. Many will remember his memorable presentation of the Young Statistician Showcase awards at the 2014 IBC in Florence. The IBS is one of the five Statistical Societies supporting the Prize, and I look forward to seeing David honored at the WSC.
The partnership between IBS and ISI continues to thrive. This year we will again have the now well-established IBS invited session at WSC, with three speakers who represent our geographic and scientific diversity. Additionally, I will represent IBS at a session where presidents of several international statistical societies will give information about their goals and activities to (we hope) a broad audience. Also, in a new initiative, ISI and IBS are collaborating to fund younger members from each Society to participate in the other's international meeting. Although late getting off the ground, we hope to fund two younger members of IBS to attend the WSC this year, and we expect to see two younger members of ISI at IBC in Barcelona in 2018. This initiative is led by Kaye Basford and Jane Hutton who are, respectively, the liaisons appointed by ISI and by IBS for furthering collaboration between our two Societies.
Finally, no President's Corner piece is complete without looking forward to our next IBC. Even though it is still 18 months away, things are moving into higher gear. You will see the logo for Barcelona 2018 on the right-hand side of our homepage, and it will very soon link to the new conference website. We received a record number of submissions for invited sessions, even without any deadline extension. Thank you to all who submitted proposals and to members who have agreed to be a part of these proposals. The IPC, under the Chair Charmaine Dean, is beginning the difficult process of selection to create a diverse and excellent scientific programme. The deadline for short course proposals is in mid-March, and the Education Committee will then make its selections on that front. We expect all our traditional special sessions and activities and will again provide travel awards to some members from Developing Countries. This last programme is funded through the Regions, although all funds donated are matched centrally by IBS. At this time when worldwide connectivity of our science and of our Society is so important, please be generous in contributing to IBC travel awards through your Region.
I wish all the Regions and Networks the best for their meetings in 2017. Lynne Billard's 2014 Biometrics article shows the enthusiasm of our founding members to Biometric Science, and the rapid establishment of diverse Groups and Regions reflects their commitment to research and education in Biometry around the world. Let us show the same commitment and enthusiasm in our meetings in our 70th birthday year. At the other end of our history, special best wishes go to the 2017 IBS SUSAN Meeting which is to be hosted by our youngest Region, Malawi. This Region is just now celebrating its very first birthday. Congratulations Malawi!
Elizabeth Thompson
From the Editor
Dear Readers,
On 3 January 2017 David Finney celebrated his 100th birthday. We wish him many happy returns and good health. Among the positions David served in the Society was President of IBS (1964 – 1965). In this issue there is a short article written by Margaret Shotter, an ex-colleague who is in frequent contact with him, about David's contributions to Medical Statistics and to IBS.
In this issue we continue with the Meet the Regional Presidents of IBS – Part III (Belgian, Brazilian, Indian and Spanish Regions). In the section, Software Corner, Garth Tarr from the Australasian Region has written an article about Variable Selection in R, including very useful graphs. This issue also includes something new and fun – a Mathematical Riddle. I hope you will enjoy it. Let's see if you can solve it. Please send answers to firstname.lastname@example.com . The first five to answer correctly will be mentioned in the next issue of the Biometric Bulletin. I'll appreciate if you could email me any interesting riddles you encounter to be published in an upcoming issue.
Preparations for the Eastern Mediterranean Region and Italian Region conference this May in Thessaloniki, Greece are taking place, and I am very excited about this meeting which will include a two-day symposium honoring Professor Marvin Zelen. The symposium is being organized by Frontier Science Foundation-Hellas and is co-sponsored by all Frontier offices. Marvin was a pioneer in the field of Biostatistics, a professor and exceptional member of the Harvard School of Public Health community and founder of Frontier Science & Technology Research Foundation, Inc. (FSTRF), but above all he was a mentor for scientists working in medical statistics and research.
I will finish up with a short article published in U.S. News & World Report – Careers which ranked statisticians as #1 in Best Business Jobs. (Ref 1) 'Unlike most professions, statistics can be applied to a vast number of fields or issues, such as the environment, public safety, health care and sports. The Bureau of Labour Statistics expects this field to grow at a very fast rate of 34% from 2014 to 2024, resulting in 10,100 new jobs.' They found that a statistician's job is characterized by low stress level, good work-life balance, solid prospects to improve and opportunities to be promoted and earn a higher salary. I agree with all these strengths, except for the salary aspect (at least in Israel). I wonder if statisticians from other European countries or other continents also agree with what is written in this article, especially in terms of work conditions and salaries. I'll be happy to receive some short commentary from you on this related to your country and to publish one or two in the next issue.
Ref 1: U.S. News & World Report – Careers http://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/statistician.
Havi Murad
Twitter: @havimurad
XXIX International Biometric Conference
June 2017 Issue Highlights
The June Biometric Methodology section features a wide variety of papers, a sample includes "Inference in randomized trials with death and missingness," by Chenguang Wang, Daniel O. Scharfstein, Elizabeth Colantuoni, Timothy D. Girard, and Ying Yan; "A subgroup cluster based Bayesian adaptive design for precision medicine," by Wentian Guo, Yuan Ji, and Daniel V. T. Catenacci; "An adaptive Mantel-Haenszel test for sensitivity analysis in observational studies," by Paul R. Rosenbaum and Dylan S. Small; "Distance sampling detection functions: 2D or not 2D?" by D. L. Borchers and M. J. Cox; and "Integrative genetic risk prediction using nonparametric empirical Bayes classification," by Sihai Dave Zhao.
Among the papers in the Biometric Practice section are "A Bayesian hierarchical model for prediction of latent health states from multiple data sources with application to active surveillance of prostate cancer," by R. Yates Coley, Aaron J. Fisher, Mufaddal Mamawala, H. Ballentine Carter, Kenneth J. Pienta, and Scott L. Zeger; "Hierarchical group testing for multiple infections," by Peijie Hou, Joshua M. Tebbs, Christopher R. Bilder, and Christopher S. McMahan; "Estimation of the optimal regime in treatment of prostate cancer recurrence from observational data using flexible weighting models," by Jincheng Shen, Lu Wang, and Jeremy M. G. Taylor; "Bayesian variable selection for post-analytic interrogation of susceptibility loci," by Siying Chen, Sara Nunez, Muredach P. Reilly, and Andrea S. Foulkes' and "Alternating logistic regressions with improved finite sample properties," by Jamie Perin and John S. Preisser.
As always, lists of papers to appear can be found at the Biometrics website. Papers to appear in future issues may also be found under the "Early View" link at the Wiley website, which may be accessed by IBS members by visiting http://www.biometricsociety.org/, selecting "Biometrics" from the drop-down menu at the "Publications" link at the top of the page, and accessing the "Click here" link.
Report of the Editors Highlights
As usual, the March 2017 issue contains as the lead article the "Report of the Editors — 2016," which presents journal statistics for 2016. Some highlights from the Report:
- Biometrics received 617 new submissions to the Biometric Methodology and Biometric Practice sections of Biometrics in 2015, plus two Reader Reaction articles and one Letter to the Editors. This number of submissions to Methodology and Practice represents an increase over the 591 received in 2015 and 594 in 2014.
- Of the 617 submissions, 453 were to Biometric Methodology (73.4%) compared to 395 (66.8%) in 2015 and 396 (66.7%) in 2014.
- The 617 submissions came from 41 countries/districts (based on the country of the corresponding author). 56.6% were from the USA, 6.2% were from P.R. China, 4.7% were from Canada and 4.4% were from the United Kingdom.In 2016, Biometrics published 81 Biometric Methodology papers and 53 Biometric Practice papers.
More information is available in the full Report.
Editorial Board News
Co-editor (CE) Mike Daniel's term will end 31 December 2017. According to geographic convention, the new CE should reside in North America. A search committee has been appointed; the members are Marie Davidian, Biometrics Executive Editor, Chair (ENAR), Malka Gorfine, Biometrics CE (EMR), Stijn Vansteelandt, Biometrics CE (Belgian Region), Mike Daniels, Biometrics CE (ENAR), Esa Läärä, EAC Chair (Nordic Baltic Region), Ming Tan, EAC Member (ENAR), and Peter Njuho, EAC Member (South African Region). The result of the search will be reported in a future column.
Executive Editor (EE) Marie Davidian's term will also end 31 December 2017 and is not renewable. A search committee has been formed to identify Marie's successor, who will serve up to four consecutive three-year terms. The search committee was constituted to include two members from the IBS Executive Board and two members (who have served on the Biometrics Editorial Board) chosen by the IBS Editorial Advisory Committee. The members are James Carpenter, Chair, former IBS Secretary/Treasurer (BIR), IBS Executive Board members Joel Greenhouse (ENAR) and Freedom Gumedze (South African Region), and Tom Louis (ENAR, former Biometrics CE) and Rachel Fewster (Australasian, current Biometrics AE). In addition to these five voting members, there will be two non-voting (ex-officio) members: Marie Davidian (current EE) and Ann Hanhart (Editorial Manager of Biometrics).
Associate Editors (AEs) for Biometrics serve two-year, renewable terms that start on 1 July of each year. Each year, roughly half of the AEs have terms ending on 30 June; accordingly, each Spring, the CEs review the expertise of the current AEs and submission trends with an eye toward possibly bringing on new AEs with expertise that is underrepresented or may be lost by AE retirements. The CEs welcome suggestions at any time from the IBS membership regarding individuals who may be excellent choices to serve as AEs. Please send suggestions, along with a CV or URL where the individual's qualifications may be found, to the Journal Editorial Manager, Ms. Ann Hanhart, at firstname.lastname@example.com. Self-nominations will be considered.
Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics (JABES)
The editorial team has been making good progress with speeding up the review process. A summary of review times by six-month period is shown in Table 1. Not all papers submitted in the second half of 2016 have completed the process, and so this period is not included. The role of my assistant Cornelia Oedekoven in bringing review times down cannot be underestimated. Her personal and polite reminders to reviewers and associate editors usually have the desired effect!
The December issue included the following papers: "Assessing the Correlation Structure in Cow Udder Quarter Infection Times Through Extensions of the Correlated Frailty Model" by E. Kuhn, K. Goethals, C. El-Nouty and L. Duchateau; "Extending Ordinal Regression with a Latent Zero-Augmented Beta Distribution" by K.M. Irvine, T.J. Rodhouse and I.N. Keren; "Bayesian Semiparametric Model for Pathway-Based Analysis with Zero-Inflated Clinical Outcomes" by L. Cheng, I. Kim and H. Pang; "Optimal Design of Dilution Experiments Under Volume Constraints" by M. Zolghadr and S. Zuyev; "A Reference Population-Based Conformance Proportion" by H.-I. Lee, H, Chen, H. Kishino and C.-T. Liao; and "Exact-Permutation-Based Sign Tests for Clustered Binary Data Via Weighted and Unweighted Test Statistics" by J. McDonald, P.D. Gerard, C.S. McMahan and W.R. Schucany. There is also a review written by A.N. Hendrix of the book "Applied Hierarchical Modeling in Ecology Volume 1" by M. Kéry and A.J. Royle.
There has been excellent progress towards the next Special Issue, which will feature Animal Movement Modeling, with Mevin Hooten, Ruth King and Roland Langrock as Guest Editors. Eight papers are currently going through the review process.
We are keen to publish papers that summarize the state of methodological development in subject areas for which technological advances are generating a demand for new statistical approaches. If such papers also speculate on likely future developments, so much the better. If you feel that you could offer such a paper or can suggest a topic together with possible authors, I would be very pleased to hear from you.
For more information on upcoming issues, the editorial board, and the aim and scope of the journal, please visit our website http://link.springer.com/journal/13253. We also accept submissions of books to review in the upcoming issues of JABES; to submit a book for review, please see the above website (click on "Editorial Board"), or contact Ken Newman (email@example.com).
Steve Buckland
Editor in Chief
David Finney Centenary
David Finney has celebrated his 100th birthday!
Congratulations to Professor David Finney who celebrated his 100th birthday on 3 January 2017. The photographs were taken in January at a special celebration organized by former colleagues who worked with him in Edinburgh. The serially balanced design for the cake, as shown in the first picture below, was inspired by experimental designs developed by David himself over sixty years ago. (Ref 1) Another picture shows Professor Elizabeth Thompson, the current IBS President, conveying special 100th birthday greetings from the Society. David has a long association with the Society, including serving as a Member of Council for many years in the 1950s and 1960s, Secretary of the British Region from 1947 to 1952, Regional President in 1956 and 1957 and President in 1964 and 1965. He became an Honorary Life Member in 1985.
David's talent for mathematics was recognized during his schooldays in Cheshire, England, and he won a scholarship to study mathematics at the University of Cambridge. He encountered mathematical statistics for the first time by attending a course given by Dr. John Wishart. David became interested in applying statistics to practical problems in biology, and so began his lifelong fascination with biostatistics. This led to a postgraduate scholarship to work on statistical problems in human genetics with R. A. Fisher at the Galton Laboratory, University College London. Fisher became both his mentor and friend and influenced his subsequent career. In 1939 David was approached by Frank Yates and invited to join a small group of statisticians who were designing and analyzing agricultural field trials. This was at a time when it was important to improve food production in wartime Britain.
In 1945 the University of Oxford appointed David Finney to a new position as Lecturer in the Design and Analysis of Scientific Experiment. The duties were to provide instruction in statistics and to be available for consultation on statistical methods in biology. At both Rothamsted and Oxford David worked closely with biologists and other scientists as a statistical advisor, and he saw the need for well written textbooks. This led to his book on 'Probit Analysis: A Statistical Treatment of the Sigmoid Response Curve' published by Cambridge University Press in 1947. Also, stimulated by collaboration with researchers in the Department of Pharmacology at Oxford, David became an expert on biological assay and gave a number of lectures on the topic. His own research and his lecture notes were the basis of David's second book 'Statistical Methods in Biological Assays' published in 1952. Both these books were very influential, particularly before extensive computing facilities were available for the analysis of data sets.
In 1952-53 David spent a year working with agricultural scientists in India. The report that he wrote, with Frank Yates as Co-author, led to the establishment of the Indian Institute of Agricultural Research Statistics and to many return visits to India over the years. Back in the UK, David was approached by the Agricultural Research Council (ARC) to set up a statistical unit at the University of Aberdeen. He combined a Readership at the University of Aberdeen with the post of Director of the ARC Unit of Statistics. In 1966 David and the ARC Unit moved to Edinburgh; once again David combined this with an academic appointment as Professor of Statistics at the University of Edinburgh.
David has made important contributions to medical statistics, especially in the area now known as pharmacovigilance. He became interested in monitoring adverse effects of medicines during a sabbatical year at Harvard in 1962-63. Professor David Rutstein, from the Department of Preventive Medicine, discussed the tragedy of thalidomide with David Finney and challenged him to develop statistical methods to prevent similar harm in the future if new medicines had adverse effects. When David returned to the UK in the summer of 1963 he found that the medical authorities were in the process of setting up a Committee on Safety of Drugs under the leadership of Professor Derrick Dunlop, Professor of Medical Therapeutics at the University of Edinburgh. David was asked to join a subcommittee on adverse reactions and he published a paper with the title 'The Design and Logic of a Monitor of Drug Use'. (Ref 2) It was at this time that the Yellow Card system began, and a rudimentary scheme for collecting and assessing evidence of adverse effects in the UK was developed by Dr. Bill Inman and others. David Finney remained a friend and advisor to Bill Inman, who set up the independent Drug Safety Research Unit at the University of Southampton in 1980. (Ref 3) Dr. Inman put into practice a cohort monitoring scheme known as Prescription-Event Monitoring which studied groups of 10.000 or more patients treated with new drugs.
David was an early advocate of international monitoring of new medicines. Long after formal retirement from the University, he continued to contribute ideas and advice both in the UK and for the WHO Programme for International Drug Monitoring. In recognition, in 2006 the Uppsala Monitoring Centre published 'Writings on Pharmacovigilance: selected articles by David J Finney'. It contains twenty-three articles on pharmacovigilance originally published between 1963 and 2003. (Ref 4) In March 2015 David was an invited guest at the Yellow Card 50th Anniversary Scientific Conference, organised by the MHRA and held in Edinburgh.
David continues to live in Edinburgh where he enjoys reading, listening to music and conversations with family and friends.
Ref 1: Finney, DJ & Outhwaite, AD (1956). Serially balanced sequences in bioassay. Proceedings of the Royal Society, B, 145, 493-507.
Ref 2: Finney, D J (1965).The design and logic on a monitor of drug use, J Chronic Dis., 18: 77-98.
Ref 3: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/obituaries/1501625/Professor-Bill-Inman.html.
Ref 4: 'Writings on Pharmacovigilance: selected articles by David J Finney' 2006. Uppsala Monitoring Centre, ISBN 91-97475-4-1.
Software Corner
Model Selection in R
by Garth Tarr
Statistical model building is a fundamental part of many statistical analyses. The aim is to use the data and, if available, information about its generating process, to construct statistical models which parsimoniously describe relevant and important features of the data.
Stepwise methods
Arguably, the most widely used method for selecting variables is to minimize either Akaike's information criterion (AIC) or the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and their variants. One common approach to model selection is to use the step() function. Starting from either the full model, or the null model, the step function moves through the model space one considering all models one dimension larger or smaller than the currently selected model and selecting the "best" model based on specified information criteria (the AIC by default). Stepwise methods only explore a subset of the model space so are inherently susceptible to local minima in the information criterion.
Exhaustive searches
An alternative to stepwise procedures is to perform exhaustive searches of the model space. The leaps package performs this quickly and efficiently for linear models using a branch-and-bound algorithm. For generalized linear models, the bestglm and glmulti packages can also perform exhaustive searches over the model space, however the computing time required makes searches infeasible even for moderate dimensions.
Regularized estimation
AIC and BIC are not the only criteria of interest for the optimal selection of models. A major advance in the field is the Lasso and other related recent methods that use regularization. The Lasso and its extensions can handle data that involve more predictor variables than observations, the 'large p, small n' problem. The least angle regression algorithm and corresponding lars package makes solving the lasso very quick. More recently, the glmnet package implements efficient procedures for fitting the entire lasso or elastic-net regularization path for linear regression, logistic and multinomial regression models, Poisson regression, Cox models, multiple-response Gaussian, and grouped multinomial models.
Model stability
The stability of selected components is paramount for reliable predictive final model(s). A common issue with stepwise and regularised methods is their instability, that is, the tendency for small changes in the data to lead to the selection of different models. The mplot package provides an easy to use implementation of model stability and variable inclusion plots as well as the adaptive for linear and generalised linear models. These methods use bootstrap resampling to give an indication of the stability of selecting a given model or variable. Figures 1 and 2 give an example of the type of output provided by the vis() function from the mplot package using the following code:
install.packages("mplot") library(mplot) lm1 = lm(y ~ ., data = artificialeg) v1 = vis(lm1, B=200) mplot(lm1, v1)
The plots are interactive using the googleVis package, with tool-tips providing additional information and the ability to zoom.
In Figure 1, each bubble represents a model, the colour of the bubble indicates whether or not that model includes a particular variable (in the above example, x8) and the size of the bubble corresponds to the empirical selection probability within models of the same size. The larger a model's bubble, the more dominant it is within a given model size over the bootstrap resamples. In models of size k=2, one model is always chosen, the simple linear regression with x8 as an explanatory variable. In models of size k=9 there is also a dominant model that is selected in 36% of bootstrap resamples, the bubble highlighted with a tool-tip.
In Figure 2, the "best" model is determined by the generalised information criterion, -2*Log-likelihood + kl where k is the model size and the penalty parameter, l, is allowed to vary from 0 (no penalisation) to 2log(n). The special cases of the AIC (l=2) and BIC (l=log(n)) are highlighted with a vertical line. The interactive tool-tip shown indicates that that line represents variable x4, and when l=4.9, x4 is included in 37% of "best" models. When l=0, there is no penalisation and all variables are included in the best model. As the penalty increases the inclusion probability for most variables decreases, i.e. there is a tendency to choose a more parsimonious model. In this data set x8 has an initial drop, i.e. it tends to be picked less often than other variables in larger models where the penalty is low, but then x8 returns to be included in almost all best models when l>2. This agrees with Figure 1, where the one dominant model in models of size 2 is the simple linear regression with x8 and the majority of the bubbles are coloured red indicating that they contain x8. In models of size 9, the dominant model does not include x8, reflecting the initial drop in the variable inclusion plot.
References: Tarr, Müller and Welsh AH (2017). mplot: An R package for graphical model stability and variable selection procedures. Journal of Statistical Software. arxiv.org/abs/1509.07583
Mathematical Riddle
Let's see if you can solve this riddle. Please send answers to firstname.lastname@example.com . The first five people to answer correctly will be mentioned in the next issue of the Biometric Bulletin. Please also email interesting riddles to be published in one of the next issues.
Meet the Regional Presidents of IBS (Part III)
Belgian Region (RBe)
110 regular members
2 retired members
4 student members
Total: 116 members
President: An Vandebosch – EU Head of the Statistical Modelling and Methodology Group at Janssen, Beerse, Belgium.
Research interests:
- Causal inference
- Clinical trial design and (early) decision-making in clinical trials
- Actively contributing with methodological expertise to various development programs for treatments (e.g. Hepatitis C, Tuberculosis) and vaccines (e.g. Ebola)
IBS related activities:
Invited session at the Annual Meetings of the Belgian Statistical Society (Michael Rosenblum 2015, Thomas Burzykowski 2016)
Bayes Pharma Workshop (21 – 25 May 2016, Leuven)
IBS Channel Network Meeting, Hasselt University (24 – 26 April 2017)
Brazilian Region (RBras)
143 regular members
7 retired members
58 student members
1 supporting member (from ENAR)
Total: 209 members
President: Alessandro Dal'Col Lúcio (2016–2018)
– Federal University of Santa Maria, Rural Science Center, Crop Science Department, Santa Maria, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.
Research interests:
Probability and Statistics, with emphasis on experimental design, experimental precision, sampling and variability
IBS related activities:
- He has participated in the IBCs.
- He been involved and has supported the Organizing Committees of the RBras Annual Meetings.
- He has promoted activities to disseminate the Society and stimulate affiliations.
- He has worked to bring about recognition and accreditation of RBras among the agencies from the Brazilian Government in charge of strategic planning and development of science in the country.
Indian Region (IR)
35 regular members
14 retired members
31 student members
Total: 80 members
President: P. Venkatesan (2015 – 2017) Professor (Research), Department of Community Medicine, Sri Ramachandra University, Chennai.
Research interests:
- Survival Analysis
- Bayesian Inference
- Causal Inference
- Bioinformatics Algorithms
- Computational Biology
- Machine Learning
- Pattern Recognition
- High Dimensional Data analysis
- Reliability
- Disease Modelling
IBS related activities:
- He is the Elected Fellow of the Indian Society for Medical Statistics, served as General Secretary for several years and was the Editor of the ISMS Bulletin.
Spanish Region (REsp)
80 regular members
92 student members
Total: 172 members
President: Inmaculada Arostegui (2016 – 2017) – Professor of Statistics, Department of Applied Mathematics, Statistics and Operations Research, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Spain. Immaculada is the principal investigator of the Biostatistics Research Group – Biostit. She serves as collaborator at the Basque Center for Applied Mathematics (BCAM) and as statistical consultant at the Galdakao Hospital from the Basque Health Service – Osakidetza.
Research interests:
- Development and validation of clinical prediction models
- Modeling patient-reported outcomes, in particular health-related quality of life
- Statistical software and applications development
IBS related activities:
- She has been involved on the Council of the IBS-REsp since 2012 and was Vice-president in 2015.
- She was President of the Organizing Committee of the XVth Spanish Biometric Conference and the Vth Ibero-American Biometric Meeting (CEB-EIB2015) held in Bilbao. She is also involved in the organization of the next Spanish Biometric Conference (CEB2017) to be held in Sevilla, as well as the 2018 International Biometric Conference (IBC2018) to be held in Barcelona.
- She supports activities organized by the IBS-REsp, such as courses and training programs for young statisticians. In particular, she supported the organization of the II Students' Scientific Workshop of the Spanish Biometric Society last September in Barcelona; moreover, she promoted the recently signed agreement between the Biometric Society and the Epidemiology Society in Spain.
Region News
Australasian Region (AR)
Australasian Regional Conference
The next regional conference of the Australasian Region titled "Biometrics by the Border" is to be held at the Mantra on Salt Beach, Kingscliff, which is located just south of the Gold Coast in Australia. It is a 20 minute drive from the Gold Coast International Airport and a 1hr 45mins drive from the Brisbane International Airport. The dates of the conference are 26-30 November 2017, which is the last week of Spring in the great south land. At that time of the year, Kingscliff's average daily minimum is around 19C with a maximum of 27C and with daily sunshine averaging between 8.5 to 9 hours.
The Science Program Committee is finalizing keynote speakers, but we already have confirmed Drs. Jean Yang and Rachel Fewster, leading experts in bioinformatics and statistical ecology, respectively.
The venue provides a range of accommodation types and budgets. It is adjacent to a great surf beach which is patrolled during that period.
Mantra on Salt Beach (Gold Coast, Australia), the venue of "Biometrics by the Border."
The Local Organizing and Program Committees are working hard to make this a conference you will appreciate attending from both a social and science perspective.
Further information is available on our regional website: http://www.biometricsociety.org.au/.
Save the Date! Annual Conference of ISCB and Biennial ASC
On behalf of the International Society for Clinical Biostatistics (ISCB) and the Statistical Society of Australia (SSA), we are delighted to announce that the 2018 Annual Conference of ISCB and Biennial Australian Statistical Conference (ASC) will take place in Melbourne 26 – 30 August 2018. Please save the date! We are very excited at the prospect of bringing the ISCB Conference to a location outside of Europe and North America for the first time in its 39 year history. We hope that this joint conference will bring together a broad range of statistical researchers from a variety of research areas for the international exchange of theory, methods and applications.
For up to date information, please visit our conference website www.iscbasc2018.com. You can also register your interest at our website or via email to firstname.lastname@example.com.
We look forward to welcoming you to Melbourne!
-Local Organizing Committee, ISCB ASC 2018
Vanessa Cave
Brazilian Region (RBras)
2017 Meeting
The 62nd Annual Meeting of the Brazilian Region (RBras 2017), jointly with the Symposium of Statistics Applied to Experimention in Agriculture, will be held in Lavras 24 – 28 July 2017. Lavras, situated in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais, is located at about 250km, 300km and 430km from Belo Horizonte, São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, respectively, all three cities served by international airports.
The meeting will happen in one of the oldest Brazilian universities, the Federal University of Lavras (UFLA), a traditional research institution for agricultural sciences.
This year the theme is "Recurrent challenges of applied statistics: making sense of big data".
Similar to past RBras meetings the organizers are putting together several short courses, invited and contributed sessions. The scientific program will certainly be outstanding. Among the invited speakers will be John Hinde (NUI-Galway, Ireland); Dipak Dey (UConn, USA); Kerrie Mengersen (QUT, Australia); Timothy Gregoire (Yale University, USA); Harold Burkhart (VTU, USA); John Paul McTague (NCSU, USA); Ricardo Ventura (University of Guelph, Canada); Gota Morota (University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA); Kalliopi Mylona (King's College London, UK); Pi-Wen Tsai (NTNU, Taiwan); Martin Otava (Janssen Pharmaceutical, NV); Zhenke Wu (University of Michigan, USA) and Juan Pedro Steibel (Michigan State University, USA).
The program and further information are being updated at http://www.rbras.org.br/rbras62.
Our colleagues in Lavras are very well known for their expertise in conference organization and hospitality. It will be their fourth RBras meeting, and we look forward to sharing and enjoying this great and expected experience.
While in Lavras you may take advantage and get to know its beautiful neighborhood. Tiradentes, a charming baroque-style town, is located at about 100km from Lavras and is very worth visiting.
Its colonial cobble-stoned streets, 18th-century churches and preserved town homes, which houses restaurants, inns, antiques and handicraft shops, surrounded by the beautiful Serra de São José, grant an enchanting setting, which has served as a location for several movies.
RBras will be very pleased to welcome you in Lavras this year!
Luzia Trinca
Central American – Caribbean Region (RCAC)
RCAC Members in Action in 2017 – Promoting Statistical Methodology
The members of the IBS RCAC will again be actively involved in planning and preparing for two major scientific meetings in the region in 2017. These events provide valuable opportunities for sharing of expertise in statistical methodology, networking among colleagues and continuing education.
The Jamaica Statistics Symposium and Pre-conference Workshop Series 2017
Novie Younger-Coleman, Correspondent for the Biometric Bulletin for the IBS RCAC and President of the Jamaica Statistical Society, is also Co-chair of the Organizing Committee for the Jamaica Statistics Symposium and Pre-conference Workshop Series 2017. The Jamaica Statistical Society will be staging this event, which is the Third Biennial Jamaica Statistics Symposium and Pre-conference Workshop Series, 24 – 27 October 2017, in Kingston, Jamaica, under the theme "Statistics for Success: Ethics, Data Quality and Security". The symposium and pre-conference workshops will showcase the work of experts in use of guidelines for ethics and best practices for data analysis; in development of data management and data security plans; and in safeguarding data quality in research. The workshop series will feature training in use of MS Excel and R for data management and analysis and use of ethical guidelines for data analysis. For more information on the meeting and on submission of abstracts for oral and poster presentations for this meeting, please email firstname.lastname@example.com.
Sixth Iberoamerican Biometrical Meeting
Raúl E. Macchiavelli (IBS RCAC member) and Luis Alberto López (IBS RCAC President) are members of the Scientific Committee for the 6th Iberoamerican Biometrical Meeting. This meeting will be held, through collaboration between the Universidad de las Fuerzas Armadas and the IBS Ecuadorian Region, 15 – 17 November 2017 on the campus of the Universidad de las Fuerzas Armadas. Presentations at the meeting will feature methods for the analysis of categorical, time series, longitudinal, survival and spatial data, as well as the application of statistical methodology to biology, epidemiology, the environmental sciences and genetics.
Novie Younger-Coleman
Dutch Region (ANed)
Biostatistics for the Future
In order to have an even more diverse public than usual for our Annual Winter Meeting, we selected the interesting theme, Biostatistics for the Future, and four interesting keynote speakers. Indeed, more junior members showed up, and both senior and junior statisticians enjoyed the afternoon. Together with the interesting talks, this made the meeting a very rewarding and successful one, which took place on Friday, 20 January 2017at VUmc Amsterdam.
Keynote speakers were:
- Hendriek Boshuizen (Measurement error: an ignored source of bias, Wageningen UR),
- Mark van de Wiel (Empirical Bayes learning from co-data in high-dimensional prediction settings, VUmc),
- Michel Hof (Record linkage with survival data, UvA), and
- Aysun Yavuz (A flexible frailty model for interval-censored data using Bayesian p-splines, Danone Natricia).
We are looking forward to the Spring Meeting!
Joanna in 't Hout
Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR)
9th EMR-IBS and Italian Region Conference
The 9th Eastern Mediterranean Region – International Biometric Society Conference, with the Italian Region, will be held in Thessaloniki, Greece on 8 – 12 May 2017. As always, we aim at bringing together researchers from around the world in this beautiful place. Just like the last EMR meeting, sessions from other regions of IBS, student travel awards, invited lectures and some pre-conference courses are being planned. Thessaloniki is perhaps the best city to spread the message of EMR being an international city, crossroads of different civilizations, with a long history related to all country members of EMR. Thessaloniki is also a beautiful city, combining a lot of different activities and sightseeing. The venue of the meeting will be the MET Hotel, located in the heart of the city.
The entire meeting is devoted to the memory of Prof. Marvin Zelen (Harvard University), a keen supporter of EMR, who passed away in November 2014.
Among others we have verified sessions on the following topics: missing data, modern missing data problems, high dimensional data, STRATOS initiative, novel statistical methods for complex neuroimaging data, underdispersion, surrogate markers, innovative clinical trial designs, advanced survival models and causal methods and high dimensional data.
On Monday, 8 May 2017 we've planned the following short courses:
Jarek Harezlak & Matt Wand – "Semiparametric Regression with R".
Dimitris Rizopoulos – "An Introduction to Joint Models for Longitudinal and Survival Data, with Applications in R".
Details about the meeting are already available at the website of the meeting:
http://stat-athens.aueb.gr/~emribs/page/emr2017.html. Please visit the site for updated information, and note that before the conference there will be a symposium honoring Marvin Zelen in the same location.
Registration to the conference is through EMR. Please note that EMR decided during a previous meeting that there is an option to pay the subscription fees for IBS (only for regular membership) through the registration to the conference. By this procedure the LOC will pay the fees to IBS directly. To choose this option you have to choose 'IBS member' when registering for the conference, and tick 'IBS membership' option (additional 60 Euro).
Symposium Honoring Prof. Marvin Zelen
Frontier Science Foundation Hellas (FSFH), a non-profit organization, is organizing a symposium to honor Marvin Zelen, Co-founder of FSFH. The symposium will take place 7 – 8 May 2017 and is attached to the 9th EMR-IBS Conference. FSTRF and Frontier Science Scotland (FSS) are co-sponsoring this symposium. The venue will be the same as the conference. Details will be posted here: www.frontier-science.gr.
School of Public Health Sackler Faculty of Health Tel-Aviv University
6th Annual Summer School of Advanced Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, in collaboration with Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
*Course Topic and Dates: Bayesian Methods in Clinical Research, July 9 – 13, 2017.
*Course Instructor: Prof. Emmanuel Lesaffre, Professor of Statistics, University of Leuven and Hasselt, Belgium; Chair, Biostatistics Department, Erasmus University, Netherlands; Founding Chair, Statistical Modelling Society; President, International Society for Clinical Biostatistics.
*Course Description: The aim of this course is to smoothly introduce the participants into Bayesian Statistical Methods, from basic concepts to hierarchical models, model building and model testing. Numerous biostatistical examples will illustrate the theoretical concepts. The course is scheduled with classroom teaching and computer exercises and uses the software packages Win BUGS and OpenBUGS and their interfaces with R.
*Credits: Two (Non-credit participants are not required to take the exam.)
*Prerequisites: Knowledge of various regression models (linear regression, logistic/probit regression, survival models and if possible hierarchical models). Familiarity with R is also required.
Israeli Statistical Association Conference
The Annual Meeting of the Israel Statistical Association will be held 25 May 2017 at Ben Gurion University, Beer-Sheba, Israel. The program includes a plenary talk titled "Design and initial analysis of a largish omics studies" by Prof. Terry Speed, from the Bioinformatics Division at WEHI in Melbourne and Professor Emeritus at UC Berkeley. Also included are invited and contributed talks, a poster session, a panel discussion "Surveys – Statistical Challenges" being moderated by Prof. Zvi Gilula and an Awards Ceremony for the best MSc and PhD dissertations.
Giota Touloumi
German Region (DR)
From the Working Groups of the German Region
The working group "Bayes Methods" organized a workshop on "Errors in variables", that took place at the University of Mainz on December 2, 2016. The invited speaker was Stefanie Muff (University of Zürich), who gave a presentation on "Errors and uncertainty in variables – when to worry and when to Bayes?" For abstracts and slides of all presentations, check out the working group's website: http://www.biometrische-gesellschaft.de/arbeitsgruppen/bayes-methodik/workshops/2016-mainz.html.
Axel Benner
Italian Region (IR)
9th EMR-IBS and Italian Region Conference
The 9th Eastern Mediterranean Region – International Biometric Society Conference, with the Italian Region, will be held in Thessaloniki, Greece on 8 – 12 May 2017. As always, we aim at bringing together researchers from around the world in this beautiful place. Just like the last EMR meeting, sessions from other regions of IBS, student travel awards, invited lectures and some pre-conference courses are being planned. Thessaloniki is perhaps the best city to spread the message of EMR being an international city, crossroads of different civilizations, with a long history related to all country members of EMR. Thessaloniki is also a beautiful city, combining a lot of different activities and sightseeing. The venue of the meeting will be the MET Hotel, located in the heart of the city.
Livio Finos
Japanese Region (JR)
The 2016 Biometric Seminar
The Biometric Seminar entitled "New statistical challenges on ICH E17 guideline" was held on the afternoon of December 7, 2016 at the Life Science Building in Tokyo. Ninety-seven people attended the seminar. Dr. Komiyama (Pfizer Japan) gave a brief review of the history from the bridging concept to the multi-regional clinical trials (MRCT) from the viewpoints of pharmaceutical companies. From the regulatory view point, Dr. Uyama (Pharmaceuticals and Medical Device Agency) pointed out that bridging studies have contributed to shortening the period of drug development but have not resolved the drug-lag issues. Dr. Koyama (Daiichi Sankyo Company) pointed several statistical issues out, including how to determine consistency of efficacy and safety among regions, and accordingly how to allocate sample size to each region. Dr. Yamamoto (Chugai Pharmaceuticals) gave an overview of ICH E17 guideline. Dr. Hirakawa (Nagoya University) gave a review of recent advances in statistical methods on MRCT.
The 2017 Annual Meeting of the Biometric Society of Japan
The 2017 Annual Meeting of the Biometric Society of Japan was held on 16 – 17 March 2017 at Chuo University, Tokyo, Japan. An invited session was organized and included a discussion on how biostatisticians and epidemiologists efficiently collaborate. Eighteen oral and twelve poster presentations were scheduled. A tutorial seminar was also held on causal inference in observational studies.
Satoshi Hattori
Western North American Region (WNAR)
2017 WNAR Election Results
Congratulations to Tomi Mori from Oregon Health and Science University, WNAR President-elect; Mary Redman from the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, WNAR Treasurer; Dongseok Choi from Oregon Health and Science University, WNAR Program Coordinator; and Marco Carone from the University of Washington and Miguel Marino from Oregon Health and Science University, WNAR Regional Committee Representatives.
Special thanks go out to outgoing WNAR Past-president Kate Crespi and outgoing Regional Committee Representatives Barb Bailey and Brandie Wagner for their efforts and dedication to WNAR.
We would like to thank all the WNAR members who volunteered to be candidates for these offices. WNAR is fortunate to have so many talented members willing to dedicate their time and energy to WNAR, which makes each election a choice among outstanding individuals.
2017 WNAR/IMS Meeting
The 2017 WNAR/IMS Meeting will be in Santa Fe, New Mexico from 25-28 June hosted by University of New Mexico and will be held at the Eldorado Hotel and Spa. Santa Fe, New Mexico's capital city, is at the foot of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. It is known for its Pueblo-style architecture and for being a center for multicultural arts. There are many recreational activities available around Santa Fe, including hiking, mountain biking and river rafting. The local organizer is Christina Murray-Krezen. Details about the meeting will be posted on the WNAR web page www.wnar.org as they become available.
2017 WNAR Student Paper Competition
WNAR sponsors students who enter the student paper competition. All entrants receive their registration fees and banquet dinner ticket for free. Monetary prizes will be awarded to the best papers in written and oral competitions. Information on the 2017 WNAR Student Paper Competition, registration information, and program details for the meeting will be posted as they become available: http://www.wnar.org. We look forward to seeing you there.
Megan Othus
IBS Announces New Journal Club
The International Biometric Society (IBS) Journal Club is a new initiative set up under the Education Committee to help members and others network and discuss recent papers published in IBS journals.
Date and Time of the first Journal Club: Thursday, 20 April 2017 at 15:00 GMT
Organizer and Chair: Jim Todd (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)
Venue: This online session will include both audio and video content. Instructions for access will be made available to all confirmed participants.
Audience: The first Journal Club will be open to all IBS members worldwide (not limited to English-speaking natives). Eventually the Journal Club may be open to non-members, but we first plan to evaluate the Club and the views of IBS members.
Registration Fees:
*IBS Member – Free
*Non-member – N/A
Purpose and Plan: The purpose is to widen the scope for understanding papers and to provide a new networking opportunity for IBS members through a regular internet forum.
The IBS Education Committee will choose a recent paper published in the Biometrics journal. The paper may highlight an interesting application or a new methodology or development in biometrics, biostatistics or biomathematics. The papers will be chosen by the Education Committee, in coordination with Biometrics Co-editors and shall be of wide interest amongst members.
The author of the paper will be asked to make a 20 minute presentation on the paper and its importance. A discussant will also be identified to highlight the main points and raise some relevant questions for a maximum of approximately 10 minutes. The discussion will be opened up to participants for comments, questions and responses to the paper, under the direction of the Chair. IBS members may want to email and request an opportunity to speak about the paper, but the wider audience will be able to contribute to the discussion.
For more information, please contact IBS Education Committee Members Jim Todd (firstname.lastname@example.com) or Jaakko Nevalainen (email@example.com).
IBC2016 Awards Fund Reports
One of the IBS Awards Fund Committee's newest programs assists members from developing countries to attend Regional IBS-sponsored conferences. Most of the travel funds awarded allowed members to attend conferences in different Regions, satisfying one of the impetuses for the program: enabling members to collaborate with colleagues from another part of the world.
The reports below are from members who attended the 2016 International Biometric Conference in Victoria, BC, Canada from July 10 – 15, 2016.
Conference Summary: International Biometric Conferences have been sponsored by the International Biometric Society (IBS) since 1947 and represent one of the major activities of the IBS. The Society organizes a major international conference every two years. The XXVIII International Biometric Conference was held in July 2016 Victoria conventional Centre in Canada. The society promotes the development and application of statistical and mathematical theory and methods in the biosciences.
Conference Objectives: To promote the development and application of statistical and mathematical methods in biosciences.
Lessons Learned: As a young statistician, the conference exposed me to various statistical experiments presented by various presenters, this widened my research knowledge base which will help me add innovations on various research areas
in Uganda.
The opportunity of Interaction with different people/researchers indeed added me more confidence and courage to think more in creating great ideas and solutions to problems facing my country.
Title of Paper/Presentation: Grain demand and consumption in selected districts of Uganda, the case of maize, beans, G-nuts and rice.
Additional Comments/Future Considerations: I really appreciate the travel grant that was given to attend the conference, it was indeed my first time for such a great opportunity, but my humble appeal to the IBS organizers is to improve on the communication channel with the embassies were we acquire visas, especially we people coming from third world countries, we find difficulties in acquiring visa due to inadequate travel information, travelling from low developed country to developed country for the first time, requires a good number of travel history and a good financial standing, such qualities are not possessed of which can lead to wastage of resources in visa application and sometimes disqualification for a visa. I therefore kindly request the IBS grants committee to always liaise with embassies immediately after offering travel grants to IBS members i.e. looping in the embassies, the grantees information and upcoming events to attend, this will simplify and save resources for visa applications.
Kiriko Abdallah
At the outset I am thanking all the Members and Executive Members of Biometric Society awarding USD $2,145.00 as my traveling support for attending the XXVIIIth International Biometric Conference held on July 10 – 15, 2016 at Victoria Conference Centre, B.C. Victoria, Canada. I am a regular member of IBS-IR since 1998. I have received first time this award attending conference outside India. I have started my journey from Guwahati, Assam, India on July 9, 2016 for New Delhi, India to attend the above mentioned Conference at Victoria. Next I started from New Delhi on July 10, 2016 for Victoria, Canada via Toronto, Canada. Reached Victoria, Canada on July 10, 2016 and stayed at University of Victoria Residence Houses, Victoria, Canada from July 10, 2016 to July 16, 2016. Every day I have attended the Session of interest from morning to evening. I have enjoyed the sessions and found interest in some presentations during the sessions. I have gathered many new ideas from the presentations which will help my future work. Moreover, interaction with people from various countries gave me many new thoughts of different areas in Statistics and its applications. In the off day many of us have visited the sea side of Victoria, which was very interesting and memorable. Victoria is a beautiful city. I have enjoyed my visit to Victoria.
My presentation was scheduled in the Contributed Epidemiology 4 Session, which was held on July 14, 2016 from 2:30 pm to 4:00 pm. I have presented a paper entitled "Study of the Occurrence of Seasonal Diseases: A Circular Statistical Approach" (Co-author Sahana Bhattacharjee) which was held at Salon A, Carson Hall, Victoria Conference Centre. I have answered the questions from the audience.
I have departed from Victoria, Canada on July 16, 2016 morning for Guwahati, Assam, India. I reached Guwahati, Assam, India on July 18, 2016 morning.
I am thankful to the organizer for arranging such a beautiful program successfully. It has inspired me to attend IBS conferences in future.
Kishore Kumar Das
I thank International Biometric Society for the opportunity they gave me by financially supporting my travel to participate in the XXVIIIth IBC 2016.
It was an awesome opportunity to spent time in Victoria Canada and I had professional and cultural experiences. The very interactive sessions started with the short courses where I attended the "statistical approaches to machine learning" course and learned various algorithms using R software. I was privileged to to give an oral presentation of the paper Spatio-temporal Analysis of Maize Trends in Kenya, to participate in the ISI invited session and to have the opportunity to meet the IBS President (Elizabeth Thompson), the outgoing president (John Hinde), the IBS administrative team and other regional network leaders and members. I learned a lot through the many presentations and posters in the intensive scientific program. I appreciated historical culture and artifacts of Victoria presented using Totem poles and raven monuments. I learned a lot during the Gala Night at the BC Royal Museum.
I once again thank you for giving me this rare opportunity to meet and interact with the IBC participants and to experience the atmosphere of beautiful Victoria County.
Abraham K. Lagat
I wish to thank the Awards Committee of the IBC for their contribution towards the costs incurred during my attendance of the IBC in Victoria in July 2016. High travel costs and the weakening of the South African Rand against the dollar does make attendance in international conferences very expensive.
As always I enjoyed the IBC in Victoria. The main benefit of any conference is to learn about the latest things that people are working on in your area. I recall specifically, the many talks on the current approaches to variable selection or model building that includes extensive support by simulation. Other sessions of particular interest to me were the ones that included talks on joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes, since this is an area that I am currently working in. I also attended session on the analysis of brain imaging data, another area where I currently do some work.
Since I am a member of the Conference Advisory Committee, I was of course also able to attend the meeting of the CAC where we were presented with the two excellent bids from China and Korea and could give my input into the final decision as to whom should host the 2020 IBC.
Conferences are also places for meeting people and networking. This aspect was more difficult in Victoria due to the lack of catering for lunches. People went off in their groups of known friends to find lunch elsewhere as opposed to being together as a group in a foyer or dining hall.
I am already looking forward to the IBC in Barcelona in 2018. Many thanks, once again.
Francesca Little
I am honored to have been selected as the recipient of the International Biometric Society (IBS) travel grant. I thank IBC committee for their generosity, which allowed me to attend Victoria BC, Canada IBC 2016. The travel grant enabled me to present a poster which generated more valuable inputs from different statisticians.
I presented my poster entitled, "A Smooth Test of Goodness-of-fit for the Weibull distribution: An Application of HIV Retention Data". During the presentation, there were several questions fielded. These questions ranged from the methodological implementation of the smooth hypothesis procedure and model formulation to the design and model validation including real life application. In response to the methodological design and model validation, the initial discussions took us back in 1998 when Pena formulated Neyman's idea to cover survival data. The whole generalization idea of smooth tests and proper fundamental changes to cater for survival data as required in formulation of smooth tests of goodness of fit.
At the end of the presentation, I was able to gain some of the on-going research that relates to the smooth tests in clinical trials project. These include the relevance of the first event in recurrent events (i.e. the first event usually have a major bearing on the gap time of preceding events), the concept of informative censoring in recurrent events (i.e. How gap-time is affected in this environment) and the situation when gap-times are dependent.
Thank you again for your thoughtful and generous gift.
Collins Odhiambo
My name is Julio Pereira. I am a lecturer in statistics and a researcher at the Federal University of Sao Carlos in Brazil.
In 2016 I was one of the winners of the award funds that were offered to members from developing countries to attend the International Biometric Conference (IBC) in Victoria, Canada, by the International Biometric Society (IBS).
I am truly grateful to the IBS directory for understanding how problematic it is for IBS members from developing countries to attend a conference abroad, and for offering this award, which allowed me and others the invaluable opportunity in attending this important conference. The main difficulty in attending such events is clearly due to the high cost of travel and accommodation compared to the relative income of researchers from our countries. However the funds offered by the IBS were sufficient to cover all expenses I incurred during my stay in Victoria, including return flights from Brazil.
With regards to the conference itself, it was an amazing experience. Only at the IBC could I have the opportunity of hearing and meeting many of the most influential authors in my area of research. Throughout the conference I could attend talks and had the rare opportunity of interacting with names I was familiar with from their published works, and my own contemporary studies. It was amazing to be able to ask questions and to discuss their paper with them after their talks. Furthermore I had the opportunity to present some results of my own research in a specialized section, which was attended by people with interests in this area. It was invaluable to hear their questions and comments regarding my work.
Many thanks again to the IBS directory for giving me the means to attend this wonderful conference, and my congratulations to the IBC organizing committee for their excellent job in providing an educational and enjoyable experience.
Julio Cesar Pereira
24 – 26 April
2017 Channel Network Conference of the International Biometric Society (IBS)
Hasselt University, Campus Diepenbeek, Belgium
6 – 7 May
Symposium Honoring Prof. Marvin Zelen
Thessaloniki, Greece
8 – 12 May
9th EMR-IBS Conference
Thessaloniki, Greece
25 May
The Annual Meeting of the Israel Statistical Association
Ben Gurion University
Beer-Sheba, Israel
5 – 7 June
14th Graybill Conference on Statistical Genetics and Genomics
Colorado State University
Fort Collins, CO, USA
7 – 10 June
23rd International Scientific Symposium on Biometrics (BIOSTAT2017)
Sibenik, Croatia
19 – 21 June
Nordic Baltic Region Biometric Conference (NBBC17)
University of Copenhagen, Denmark
24 – 28 June
62nd Renuião Annual da RBras e 17° SEAGRO
Lavras, MG, Brazil
25 – 28 June
2017 WNAR/IMS Meeting
Santa Fe, NM, USA
3 – 7 July
International Conference on Robust Statistics (ICORS) 2017
University of Wollongong, Australia
3 – 7 July
International Conference on Robust Statistics (ICORS) 2017
University of Wollongong, Australia
9 – 13 July
International Society for Clinical Biostatistics 38th Annual Conference
Vigo, Spain
9 – 13 July
Bayesian Methods in Clinical Research
Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
24 – 28 July
62nd RBras Meeting
Minas Gerais, Brazil
29 July – 3 August
Joint Statistical Meeting
Baltimore, MD, USA
Dionne Price (firstname.lastname@example.com)
22 – 25 August
IBS SUSAN Regional Conference hosted by the Malawi Region (GMAL)
Umodzi Park, Liongwe, Malawi
28 August – 1 September
Joint Conference of the Central European Network of the IBS& International Society of Biopharmaceutical Statistics (CEN ISBS)
Vienna, Austria
10 – 14 September
GPol 47th International Biometrical Colloquium
Kiry, Poland
24 – 27 October
The Jamaica Statistics Symposium and Pre-conference Workshop Series 2017 – Statistics for Success: Ethics, Data Quality and Security
Kingston, Jamaica
26 – 30 November
Australasian Regional Conference
Kingscliff, NSW, Australia
25 – 28 March
ENAR Spring Meeting
Atlanta, GA, USA
8 – 13 July
XXIXth International Biometric Conference
Barcelona, Spain
July 28 – August 2
Joint Statistical Modeling
Vancouver, BC, Canada
26 – 30 August
Annual Conference of ISCB and Biennial ASC
Melbourne, Australia


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GC Capital Ideas Top Stories: April, 2015
1. Chart: Global Property Catastrophe ROL Index 1990 to 2015: The Guy Carpenter Global Property Catastrophe Rate on Line (ROL) index is presented for 1990 through 2015.
2. Reinsurance Versus Subordinate Debt: Which Is Best for Solvency Capital?: In recent months a number of market commentators have opined on the merits of proportional reinsurance versus subordinated debt (sub debt), some favoring reinsurance solutions and some favoring sub debt, but generally finding results in line with the products their companies offered. Guy Carpenter feels reinsurance or sub debt alone is unlikely to provide the best solution to meet solvency capital requirements. Instead, a blended approach should be considered.
3. Risk Profile, Appetite, and Tolerance: Fundamental Concepts in Risk Management and Reinsurance Effectiveness: Prior to the recent turbulence in the financial markets, insurers and reinsurers were increasing their use of enterprise risk management (ERM) to make risk and capital management decisions. While this was driven in part by rating agencies and regulators, many carriers began to recognize the value of metric-based frameworks and capital models in evaluating their portfolios.
4. Guy Carpenter Launches New Public Sector Specialty Practice: Guy Carpenter announced the launch of the Public Sector Specialty Practice. This global team is focused exclusively on the unique risk management needs of governmental agencies and entities.
5. Chart: Return On Equity For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2014: Chart presents return on equity for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through year end 2014.
6. Chart: Source Of Earnings For Guy Carpenter Reinsurance Composite, YE 2014: Chart presents source of earnings for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite for the year end, 2014 compared to year end, 2013.
7. January 1, 2015 Renewals See Lower Pricing and Broader Coverage for Clients: Guy Carpenter reports reinsurance pricing fell at the January 1, 2015 renewals in many segments, affecting almost all lines of business and geographies, continuing recent renewal trends.
8. Chart: Regional Property Catastrophe ROL Index, 1990 to 2015: The chart shows the indexes for United States, United Kingdom, Asia Pacific and Europe.
9. Chart: Combined Ratio For Guy Carpenter Composite, YE 2014: Chart presents combined ratio for the Guy Carpenter Global Reinsurance Composite, 2004 through year end 2014.
10. Evolving Role of Reinsurance in Public Sector Risk: Here we review the evolving role of reinsurance in mitigating public sector risk through the expanding deployment of reinsurance and capital market solutions.
Click here to register to receive e-mail updates >>

subset: commoncrawl


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Giants win the World Series!!!
And yet, here they are, winning the World Series against a Detroit team known for its thunderous hitting. For sweeping the Yankees! For Fielder and Cabrera. C'mon!!!
But that team didn't show up. They didn't hit. And that was the key. In fact, the Tigers led the Giants for one inning. Until they didn't. The rest of the time our pitching and defense did it all. Oh except for when we were hitting when it mattered, playing small ball when it counted, and homering when it really counted.
That was pretty much the story throughout the series. Giant dominance. It was odd for this Giants fan to witness, as we are a tight knit group accustomed to a great deal of Torture. But there was Zito, doing what he's never done before (a World Series win). And Bumgartner, redeeming his late season lack of presence. Even Lincecum, who stepped up and filled in for his fellow above mentioned fallers-from-grace. It was theater. It was fun to watch, and it was Giants baseball like we are very unaccustomed to. Each getting it done as if it was an every day thing. Like they'd been doing it all season.
But they hadn't. It was ugly mid-season. Before the All-star break I don't know one Giant's fan who'd thought they were going all the way. Well, except George, who perpetually bets the Giants to win with money from his 2010 lucky bet.
Yes, I could analyze forever, but ultimately this site is about music. So I will finally segue to something remotely approaching musical. Because as much as I hated the entire broadcast handled by McCarver and Buck, I appreciated seeing the highlights of the Giants broadcast to the sounds of The Who. Somehow, I think FOX was able to nail the sound of the Giants in this post-season. Big brash chords to accompany a big brash achievement. Never say die. Never give up. And then make it hurt when you have the chance.
I can hear people cheering in the night out the window as I type. I hope they remember not to destroy this great city as they celebrate their teams great achievement. Because in the end it is a game. But certainly I feel their adrenaline - and I understand it. The Giants lived up to their name in this series. And I think The Who captured the sentiment perfectly for me:
Posted by Recliner Blog
1 comment:
Re 2012 Giants mid season slump: We won't get fooled again. :). Martin L
- October 28, 2012 at 11:57 PM
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2019 Call for Papers:
Current Trends in Translation Teaching and Learning E (CTTL E) is a double-blind refereed open access journal that explores a variety of issues related to translation teaching and learning. We seek qualitative and quantitative research articles that are relevant to this subject. The publication is indexed in the ESCI of the Web of Science and is available via EBSCO and is free online via our website. The length of papers should be around 2500 to 6000 words. The deadline for submission of articles is March 1, 2019.
Submit your paper or inquiries to mikel.garant [ @ ] cgt.bitzh.edu.cn
Publication: December 2019
Authors for the 2019 edition should use the articles in the 2015 and 2016 edition as style-sheet models.
CTTL review form available here
Mailing address:
Professor Mikel Garant
Editor in Chief
Current Trends in Translation Teaching and Learning E
Docent, University of Helsinki
Professor, Beijing Institute of Technology
Beijing Institute of Technology in Zhuhai
No.6 Jinfeng Rd. Tangjiawan, Zhuhai. Guangdong Province, P.R.C.
Tel +86 131 1231 7770
Wechat: USAFinn
EU mailing Address:
Ruusankatu 26, 00250 Helsinki, Finland


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The wealthiest nation globe world along with the most technological advanced nation can be said in order to the States of America. Yet this country is even the one within the world offers one for the largest involving obese customers. This is due to the sort of lifestyle adopted by those of america.
Being a diabetic, I am required to count my carbs. I realize first hand how difficult it is usually. In fact, I eat drinks . thing for breakfast every morning because I am aware how many carbs are having oatmeal. I am always near the go for don't include the time or patience for counting carb supply.
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Born: April 15th 1954 / Aries
Birth Place: Radford, VA, US United States
Gender: Female
Ethnicity: Caucasian
Height: 5ft 10in
Breast Size: 34D
Submit/Correct Star Bio
Seka's Porn Star Biography
Classic actress Seka had, in her words, "a plain, normal childhood" in Radford, Virginia. A classic beauty, Seka won her high school beauty pageant and was named Miss Southside Virginia. She got married when she was 18, but divorced before her porn career began. Prior to working in adult films, Seka worked for Reynolds Metals Company, and then later became a clerk at an adult bookstore and began dating the married owner. She moved on from bookstore clerk to bookstore owner, eventually owning 7 stores. When asked how she got into the adult industry, Seka replied, "I had seven adult bookstores in Virginia and Maryland that I owned. In the back of the stores at that time, you had the movies and you would have to loop the movies. So I would have to fix the movies when they broke and of course, I ended up watching a lot of movies. Well, I saw these ladies doing Adult Films back then and felt that was a nasty representation of women. I thought to myself that I can do it and do it better than that. That is how I came into the industry."
Studios & Notable Films
Seka make her porn debut in 1977 and appeared in 2 films that year, Love Notes (Alpha Blue Archives) and Teenage Desires (Gourmet Video Collection). From there, Seka went on to perform in more than 200 films for various production companies, including Western Visuals, Arrow Productions, Metro, Essex Video / Electric Hollywood, and many more. She performed in various niches, such as anal, double penetration, lesbian content, solo masturbation scenes, and more. Movies like Any Time Any Place (VCX), My Sister Seka (Caballero Home Video), and Exhausted (Excite-DVD.com) are notable titles for Seka's career before she took a hiatus from porn in 1982. She stopped shooting movies, claiming they wouldn't pay her what she wanted, and she began stripping, posing nude for various outlets, and running her fan club. By the early 90s, Seka returned to the porn industry to perform in a few final movies, her last being American Garter. Other notable titles after her comeback include Annette Haven's Tag Teamers (Western Visuals), Marathon (Fat Dog), Seka Special (Odyssey), and Sure Thing (Fat Dog).
Mainstream AppearancesSeka dated comedian Sam Kinison for about 3 years in the 80s and made an appearance on an episode of Saturday Night Live that he hosted. She also appeared on television with Oprah, Montel Williams, Larry King, Phil Donahue and others. In 1997, Seka hosted a radio talk show in Chicago, Let's Talk About Sex. Seka also appeared in the 2010 documentary After Porn Ends, a film about life after porn stardom.
Porn Awards
- AVN Hall of Fame Inductee
- XRCO Hall of Fame Inductee
Check out HotMoviesForHer.com's interview with Seka here.
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25 Porn Star Legends 2
Date Added: 2019-05-05
In order to be a porn star legend, you have to be comprised of sexual exuberance . . .
Best Of Inside Seka Part 3
Seka is giving her boyfriend a blowjob, Al, at the warehouse where he works, when . . .
Stars: Seka, George Payne, Marc Valentine, Ron Jeremy, Roy Stuart, More...Studio: Alpha Beta Media
Dracula Sucks
Premium Title
The legendary vampire takes over a sanatorium and attempts to make a young woman . . .
Stars: Annette Haven, Irene Best, Kay Parker, Nancy Hoffman, Pat Manning, More...Studio: Vinegar Syndrome
Swedish Erotica 242 - Afternoon Snacks
Release Year: 1979
Number 242 from Swedish Erotica
Sweet Alice has her good friend Desiree. . .
Stars: Desiree Cousteau, Seka, Ken Yontz, Paul ThomasStudio: Alpha Beta Media
The Sensuous Caterer
"Ooh La Carte!"
You are invited to attend a Valentine's party with erotic. . .
Stars: Jill Munroe, Kelly Stewart, Leslie Bovee, Seka, Serena, More...Studio: Alpha Blue Archives
Sweet Tits Of Classic Porn
If you're a fan of gorgeous women with big, mouth-watering mammaries, then this is . . .
Oriental Ecstasy
Release Year: 1984
The secrets of Ecstasy are finally revealed when these little darlings play out their . . .
Stars: Beth Ruberman, China Wong, Jennifer Wong, Jodi Thorpe, Kyoto Sunn, More...Studio: Gourmet Video
Swedish Erotica 448 - Seka's Kinky Party
Release Year: 1981
Stars: Seka, Sophia Solana, Herschel Savage, Michael MorrisonStudio: HotOldmovies
Swedish Erotica 240 - Sweet Alice
Stars: Seka, John HolmesStudio: HotOldmovies
Swedish Erotica 237 - Aunt Peg's Big Interview
Stars: Juliet Anderson, Seka, Jamie GillisStudio: HotOldmovies
Swedish Erotica 453 - Lusty Lovers
Release Year: 1982
Stars: Cris Cassidy, Seka, Randy WestStudio: HotOldmovies
Erotic World Of Seka 505 - Female Love
Cum take a walk on the wild side and get a blast from the past with the "platinum . . .
Stars: Seka, Sofia SolanaStudio: Alpha Beta Media


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The South-East Asia IPR SME Helpdesk is a European Union co-funded project that provide European SMEs with free, practical, business advice relating to IPR in South-East Asia.
To learn about any aspect of intellectual property rights in South-East Asia, including protecting your copyrights in the creative sector, visit their online portal at www.southeastasia-iprhelpdesk.eu.
For free expert advice on South-East Asia IPR for your business, e-mail your questions to: email@example.com.
You will receive a reply from one of the Helpdesk experts within three working days.


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The botanical name for daylilies, Hemerocallis, means " blooms for a day." As a rule, daylilies open for only a brief period and then the delicate flowers fade. For enthusiastic daylily lovers, the prospect of a daylily that blooms for longer is enticing. Everblooming varieties are now available that bloom from late spring until the first frost.
Walter Jablonski developed the everblooming Stella De Oro in the 1970s. This daylily is the first to bloom each season and the last to stop flowering. The dwarf-sized daylily grows in a compact pattern that does not become leggy like other daylilies. The flowers are yellow as are most of the everblooming varieties. The hardy plant tolerates a variety of conditions. It can achieve a second round of blooming after summer if the fall is mild. Ruby Stella is a red variety of this everbloomer, and Mini Stella is an even smaller version.
Happy Ever Appster is the first line of everblooming daylilies. Developed by Dr. Darrell Apps, the first cultivar was Happy Returns, a yellow hybrid that bloomed from spring until autumn. The daylilies participated in numerous trials that show them to bloom continuously for 105 days. Following Happy Returns were several derivations in dwarf form and different colors. Apricot Sparkles is a fluted-edged flower of a soft orange color. Red Hot Returns was the result of experimentation upon 350,000 seedlings and 15 years of work. The result was a red hemerocallis that had everblooming capacity and a stunning color that hadn't been previously achieved. Rosy Returns is a splendid pink daylily from the same stock.
Everblooming Doll is a yellow daylily with large flowers about 3 1/2 inches wide. The flowers open for one day but the plant repeat blooms all season. Forsyth Lemon Drop is a continuous blooming, sunny-yellow flower that opens in the evening. Lemon Lollipop, Yellow Lollipop, Lavender Mist and Lemon Cap are all considered continuous bloomers. Each daylily has different bloom times, heights and flower sizes. The unassuming foliage makes them less appealing when not in bloom but they serve as excellent companion plants in perennial borders.


text: Related Information for Beatriz Luengo Beatriz Luengo (born December 23, 1982 in Madrid) is a Spanish actress, latin pop/R&B singer and dancer. In television, she appeared in episodes of Spanish soap operas such as Robles Investigador Privado, Policías, Periodistas and El Comisario. In 2001, Beatriz was chosen to star in Un paso adelante, along with actors like Mónica Cruz, Silvia Marty, Pablo Puyol, Dafne Fernández or Lola Herrera, which made her very well-known in Spain, Europe and some South American countries; it wa.. read more


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Full Circle Cape
I made this sweet cape from an off white wool blend. It had great texture that I loved straight away...but not while I was sewing it! It kept stretching out of shape and fraying. I don't know why I don't stick to 100% cotton which is so simple to sew with, haha! The cape has a satin lining and does up at the front with a big button around a satin loop.
I grabbed this pattern from a free tutorial from Simple Simon and Co. It really is a great big circle with a peter pan collar. I added the slits for her arms to go through because I lengthed the cape and made it an outfit by itself, rather than something small over her shoulders.
It has been a very mild Autumn so she hasn't had a chance to wear it, so it is nice we had a wedding to attend where the cape suited the occassion perfectly.
L & C Mitchell
26/5/2012 10:23:08 pm
We have looked at all the outfits you have made for your kids and they are inspiring! The cape is particularly gorgeous.
9/9/2014 03:53:37 am
How do you make the arm slits?
Leave a Reply.


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L.A. Shanti L.A. Shanti
Here's a sample of our volunteer opportunities:VIEW AS
Mission Statement
L.A. Shanti is a non profit organization dedicated to provideing support to those affected by a life threatening illness, with promary focus on this affected by HIV/AIDS. Shanti service include education and emotional support through group and individual counseling. These services are extended to those diagnosed with a life threatening illness, their loved ones, concerned others and care givers. All services are free of charge and accessible to all. Shanti believes that each person can find his or her own solution to issues that arise when living with a life threatening illness. Shanti provides its services as tools to be used by its clients in resolving those issues.
L.A. Shanti is an AIDS Service Organization located on Los Angeles California. Our services include weekend seminars ("Positive Living For US", "Vidas Positivas", "Women For Positive Living") prevention outreach, couples workshops, relationship skills building workshops and emotional support groups. All our services are facilitated by professionally trained volunteers.
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April 11, 2010
FRAMINGHAM, MA-Framingham State's Brittany MacLean scored the tie-breaking goal with 21:57 remaining in the second half and the Rams went on to defeat the University of Massachusetts Dartmouth's women's lacrosse team, 16-13, in a non-conference match at Maple Street Field Saturday.
The Corsairs, who trailed 8-5 at halftime, rallied to tie the score at 12-12 on a goal by junior attacker Gillian Carey (Waltham, MA/Waltham HS/UMass) before the Rams went on top for good.
Senior midfielder Allison Trearchis (Tyngsboro, MA/Ty6ngsboro HS) led the Corsairs with four goals and two assists, Carey added four goals and one assist, freshman attacker Brittney Enos (East Falmouth, MA/East Falmouth HS) added two goals and one assist, junior attacker Samantha Wonson (Lowell, MA/Lowell HS) added a goal and three assists, senior defender Andrea Russo (Tyngsboro, MA/Tyngsboro HS) scored a goal and two assists, while senior midfielder Liz Stapleton (Wakefield, MA/Wakefield HS) and freshman midfielder Heather Masse (Billerica, MA/Shawsheen HS) each scored once.
FSC out shot UMass Dartmouth, 35-26. Senior goalkeeper Liz Miller (Littleton, MA/Westford Academy) New Hampshire) played the first half for UMass Dartmouth and made six saves, while freshman Angelina Donovan (Medford, MA/Medford HS) played the second half and made 10 saves.
"We hit the crossbar seven times, we scored an own goal, and we just didn't have it today," said UMass Dartmouth Head Coach Jerry Jennings. "We just did not take advantage of our opportunities, and we didn't play well."
The Corsairs dropped to 3-3 with the defeat, while the Rams improved to 3-2 with the victory. UMass Dartmouth will return to action when they host Fitchburg State Thursday.


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Mukesh & Associates, an ISO 9001:2015 certified multidisciplinary consultancy firm is based in Salem (Tamil Nadu), India, with a spread of branch offices at Chennai, Delhi, Bangalore and project offices at Mumbai, Ratnagiri, Bhopal, Kanpur, Gwalior, Bareilly and Trivandrum. The firm offers multidisciplinary consultancy services for multi-sectoral projects across India.
Established in 1986, it has a talent base of over three hundred and twenty five employees comprising of architects, engineers and professionals in various other disciplines. The firm's clients include Central & State Governments in India, Indian corporate sector, fortune five hundred companies and multilateral agencies (ADB, WB, UNDP, DFID, UNOPS, UNICEF etc.). The firm has tie-up with leading consultancy firms across the globe in USA, UK, Malaysia, Singapore, Japan and Saudi Arabia for highly specialized disciplines.
New :
1. Urgent Opening Highway Design Engineer (IMMEDIATE PLACEMENT)


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They have only been in the entertainment industry for less than four years yet they have attracted a huge number of fans. Chainsmokers came into the industry in 2015 when they caught the attention of the world with their song Roses. After their breakthrough song, they could be stopped by anyone. Chainsmokers is comprised of two producers Drew Taggart and Alex Pall. The two pop stars have gone ahead to produce other hits which have also done well among them; Don't Let Me Down, Something Just Like This, as well as Paris.
It has not been easy for the two producers and pop stars to maintain their success in the industry, a success that has come within a short period of time. Drew and Alex success in the entertainment industry have put them under pressure to write and produce songs which will do well than their previous songs. However, the pop starts have taken a different turn they are now venturing into the darker world.
Pall and Taggart have not their fans behind however they have gone with them in the world while most of their supporters are already in the darker territory. The two are referred to as electronic super-stars and recently they released their new single known as "sick boy". The song is the first phase in their new world.
The electronic artists were recently invited to perform at the Hilton and American Express Special Card event, and before going to the stage an interview was conducted and they were asked about their new single sick boy. According to the two producers, they have already grown in the industry as well as individuals, and as for now they know what they want and what their fans want.
For them, the new song is the beginning of their life in the entertainment sector. Chainsmokers is an American DJ as well as production. The music group consisting of two producers include Alex Pall and Andrew Taggart. Alex Pall was born and raised in Westchester County, New York, while Andrew Taggart was born and raised in Freeport, Maine to after who sold prosthetics while his mother was a teacher. The two have found success in their electronic music.


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Con: Commuting
The cool thing about Santa Monica is that you've got pretty much everything you need in your immediate proximity. The not-so-cool thing, though, is that everyone knows that, and it seems like everyone's always driving. If you've got a lengthy commute to a job at which you work normal hours, you're going to have to learn how to deal with the sometimes crippling traffic.
Pro: Proximity to the Beach
If you're living in Santa Monica, at least you don't have to drive to the beach, so you don't have to worry about that traffic or parking. This is something that citizens of inner LA can't really say for themselves — as a matter of fact, those residents seem to sometimes forget they live on a coast. Being out on the edge, Santa Monica gets pretty quiet compared to LA, too, which a lot of people see as a positive thing.
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Rikki Lambert firmly believes the conservative Schubert electorate should "rightfully" be in the hands of the Australian Conservatives Party.
Cory Bernardi's chief of staff told The Barossa Herald that's just one of the many reasons he's has recently announced challenge to current Liberal seat holder Stephan Knoll.
Hot on Lambert's agenda is addressing private land rights, with full support for Robert Brokenshire's Right to Farm Legislation.
Having lived near vines and now within walking distance to more, Mr Lambert is keen to support all farmers including one nearby whose property sits adjacent a land development.
He said he feels for the landholder who has spent "his own time and money" to erect notice signs which clearly alert potential dwellers to the operations of a vineyard, including noise and sprays.
"This should not be necessary for vineyard owners, they face enough challenges, but they are fearful they may be subject to complaints about doing things which are part and parcel to the Barossa life."
Cost of living is another issue the Conservative Party will address.
Mr Lambert said energy costs were "ridiculously high" and renewable energy should not come at the sacrifice of natural landscapes when referring to the Keyneton Wind Farm.
Also on the list for response is abolishing $3 billion of annual state taxes with full removal of stamp duty, land tax, payroll tax, NRM Levy and the Emergency Services Levy.
He challenged Stephan Knoll's recent announcement to cut the payroll tax to support small regional businesses, saying the Conservatives will remove it all together.
And how would this all be achieved?
"$3 billion – we'll have a smaller government, reducing the spending we deemed not necessary and a waste to the party," he said.
The party will pursue its Nuclear Fuel Cycle bill announced in November 2017, which seeks to lift a ban on nuclear power plants and enrichment which Mr Lambert felt it necessary for the community to know a consideration the Liberals back away from.
Meanwhile, health will be looked at with better met palliative care services with the roll out of $24 million to focus on regions.
An additional $100 million will be spent on health across the state, including regional hospitals.
While he is aware of the aged Tanunda and Angaston hospitals and the imminent closure of obstetrics at Tanunda, his concerns also rest on the overall delivery of health in the region.
"Angaston Oval becomes a helipad (during emergencies) and living nearby we see it often. We need to have at least some emergency support, that does not require going higher, and should be dealt locally," he said.
There's also a Royalties for Regions program, which has been estimated to provide millions per annum back to electorates like Schubert to fund health services, roads, plus infrastructure, with the potential to generate up to $88 million.
Mr Lambert, who moved to the Barossa two years ago, said he's familiar with his surrounds through his wife's family the Albrechts, and he's the nephew of Nuriootpa sporting duo Ross and Cathy Lambert.
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