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Manga Name:NANA TO KAORU
Alternative: ナナとカオル; 奈奈与薫的SM日记; Nana and Kaoru; Nana and Kaoru's SM diary
NANA TO KAORU Manga Summary:
Kaoru is a 17-year old virgin who has a SM fetish. He always dreams about a SM relationship with his childhood friend Nana. One day Kaoru's mom decides to hide all his SM toys so he'll study for a change, by asking Nana to hide his toys. Nana finds the leather one-piece that Kaoru bought and tries it on but she accidentally locks it and doesn't have the key!
Tips: You're reading Nana to Kaoru 45, please read Nana to Kaoru 45 english scan online from left to right. You can use left and right keyboard keys or click on the Nana to Kaoru 45 image to browse between Nana to Kaoru 45 pages.
Previous Chapter: Nana to Kaoru 44
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1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
Magical Girl Sho Saeki-kun ni tsunagatchau! A Doting Marriage Dropped from the Clouds Omoi ga Omoi Omoi-san Yotsuya Kaidan! Thirty Years Old
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PRIVACY POLiCY


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Tbilisi mayor Kakha Kaladze says that individuals and companies (legal entities) pay almost similar fees for waste management 'which is unfair,' stating that the issue will be revisited.
Kaladze instructed his deputies to study the situation in developed, foreign states in this regard to come up with a more fair and environmental friendly approach.
Kaladze said that 'significant steps are being taken' towards waste management in Tbilisi and the decision regarding legal entities and their waste fees should be in line with the new waste management system.
The Lilo landfill polygon is being renovated. The first thing to do is to arrange a gas collector. A tender has been opened and we will have a winning company in the near future. The next stage is the placement of a refinery. Waste can generate electricity, which is very important for our city. At the same time, we have begun separating waste and placing underground bins, which is a novelty for Tbilisi," Kaladze said.
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Interview with Ahmed Bin Sulayem - Executive Chairman and CEO of DMCC


text:
Benchmarking judgmentally adjusted forecasts
Many publicly available macroeconomic forecasts are judgmentally-adjusted model-based forecasts. In practice usually only a single final forecast is available, and not the underlying econometric model, nor are the size and reason for adjustment known. Hence, the relative weights given to the model forecasts and to the judgment are usually unknown to the analyst.
This paper proposes a methodology to evaluate the quality of such final forecasts, also to allow learning from past errors. To do so, the analyst needs benchmark forecasts. We propose two such benchmarks. The first is the simple no-change forecast, which is the bottom line forecast that an expert should be able to improve. The second benchmark is an estimated model based forecast, which is found as the best forecast given the realizations and the final forecasts. We illustrate this methodology for two sets of GDP growth forecasts, one for the US and for the Netherlands. These applications tell us that adjustment appears most effective in periods of first recovery from a recession.
|Additional Metadata
|forecast decomposition, expert adjustment, total least squares
|Econometric Methods: Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General (jel C20), Model Construction and Estimation (jel C51)
|Persistent URL
|Econometric Institute Research Papers
Franses, Ph.H.B.F, & de Bruijn, L.P. (2015). Benchmarking judgmentally adjusted forecasts (No. EI2015-36). Econometric Institute Research Papers. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1765/79222