text:
I've been looking at the trending of polling over the last two years using RealClearPolitics average of surveys among various pollsters as my base of polls to include. I've been screening out Registered Voter polls in favor of likely voter polls, as likely voters are more likely to vote, and therefore their opinion is more likely to matter come voting day. Likely voter models do contain a risk in that they can fine tune results too finely and skew results. But for 30 years they have generally proven more predictive than Registered Voter polls.
In looking at those polls there is a clear trend towards Trump in September. But my most recent Excel refresh suddenly shifted back towards Clinton - even my weighted average model, which sums voters across polls so polls with larger populations have a higher impact on my results than smaller polls. Granted, different pollsters could be calling the same voter and I could be double counting, but the risk of that is miniscule and even if it were the case, any attempt at averaging the polls would be impacted by the issue. So I'm willing to overlook the problem.
What I was not able to overlook was a reverse shift. So I dug into the polls and the most recent NBC/SurveyMonkey poll caught my attention immediately. It polls 13,320 likely voters and has a margin of error of a mere 1.2%. The poll, stands athwart all other recent polls has Hillary Clinton ahead by 5%. Wow! What could account for such a dramatic shift? A major Trump gaffe? His son's Skittles comment? People coming to their senses?
Well, first we have to take a look at the poll's particulars - crosstabs, methodology, etc. My first concern is that they have scrubbed out very few Registered voters, claiming their Registered Voters polling is pretty close to likely voters already;
The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll screens for adults who say they are registered to vote, and we weight the data to reflect the demographic composition of registered voters (by age, race, sex, education and region) using the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey. Demographically, our results closely mimic the population of registered voters.In addition, we also believe that the method used by SurveyMonkey to recruit respondents into the weekly tracking poll selects the most likely voters from among the population of people taking SurveyMonkey surveys. Our respondents are selected from the nearly 3 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. To do so, for a random sample of those taking a survey, SurveyMonkey displays a map of past election results colored in gradations of red, blue and purple and they ask those individuals to "help us predict the 2016 elections." Because individuals choose whether or not they want to help predict the election, those individuals choosing to participate are arguably more likely to be politically interested and likely to vote than respondents who see the same invitation and decline to participate.
That's a pretty strong assumption. People take polls for a number of reasons - financial gain, the opportunity to influence public opinion or to pretend to be an adult all are possible. Yes, there is some validity in their point but it is not necessarily an overarching correlation to likely voter-hood. Which brings me to another point.
After reviewing the previous research and available evidence in our own data, NBC News and SurveyMonkey have concluded that the best approach for our tracking survey data is a "likely voter model" that makes only modest adjustments to our self-reported "registered voter" results.
The survey is an online survey. Identifying who is completing the survey is impossible, it's blind. In addition there is no indication of whether all self-reported volunteers were included or how many or whom was excluded. The crosstabs were not provided in a robust way. I'm not convinced that this survey would pass scientific rigor despite it's large sample size. There have been 5 recent Likely Voter polls including this one. 3 have Trump ahead. 1 is a tie. This poll is clearly the outlier among the polls, not only showing Clinton leading but by a wide margin that does not approach any of the other polls.
In fact since June 1st, only 14 polls have had Hillary at 50% or more support and 4 of them have been by NBC/SM. If we look at only like voter models the total of Clinton >50% drops to 5 surveys; PPP (a Democratic pollster) in July, Bloomberg and Quinnipiac in August when Clinton did seem to be surging. In September this NBC/SM poll and a Washington Post/ABC poll from September 8th. If more polls come out in the next few days, I'd be more inclined to believe this one. But for now, not so much.


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European Championship Classics – Ireland, 1988
Just as we did two years ago with the World Cup kit-tracker, we will be charting the kits worn in each game at Euro 2020.
And, just as we built up to the World Cup with full retrospective trackers for two previous editions – 1970 and 1990 – we shall do the same for the upcoming competition. In addition, each Monday will feature a kit from a finals that we are not tracking, like the World Cup Classics series did.
So we begin with the strip worn by the Republic of Ireland at Euro 88, the first time the country had reached a major finals. This was the country's first properly new kit since the one adidas had given them at the beginning of their partnership in 1986, but that previous strip hadn't been untouched.
Initially, it had the classic crest, before 1987 saw the addition of the new (but actually not new) orange roundel and the last game of that year, a friendly against Israel, saw orange trim added to the neck and cuffs. Previously, O'Neills had used a shade of yellowy-gold but this was the first time that the 'third' colour of the Irish flag – representing unionism – had appeared on the kit.
The new 1988 offering retained the growing orange presence, though with a wrapover neck, now joined with a collar, while two white panels adorned each sleeve, the top one made of mesh.
The shorts and socks remained unchanged from before (they would also continue to be used when the next new kit launched in 1990). The new kit's first game was in the first game of 1988, the home friendly against Romania.
However, by the time of the European Championship in June, there had been a small change to the kit. As well as the shorts numbers – the first time they had appeared on an Ireland strip – the socks were plain, devoid of both the adidas trefoil and the three stripes.
On his blog Pyro on The Pitch, Joey Smith makes the point that other adidas teams had three-striped socks with no logo, so presumably Uefa didn't allow the latter, for whatever reason, and Ireland were seemingly only made aware of this too late.
Goalkeeper Packie Bonner was in yellow – the 1986 geometric design, but with the pattern less visible than most other versions – with his shorts having green stripes and his socks the same as his team-mates. His shorts number matched the style on the back of the shirts whereas the outfielders had a blocky style.
Ireland famously beat England 1-0 in Stuttgart in their opener and then played brilliantly against the USSR before conceding a second-half equaliser. Qualification for the semi-finals was still in their hands as they faced the Netherlands in their final game but a controversial late winner from Wim Kieft sent them out.
Nevertheless, a foundation had been laid and the team would go on to reach the 1990 World Cup finals after an impressive qualifying campaign.
The normal adidas socks returned to the home kit, though the away game against Northern Ireland necessitated the first use of the new change strip and the green-topped white socks were presumably what would have been used if Ireland had had to change at Euro 88.

subset: commoncrawl


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This was going to be part of a new series which we're running this year in the build-up to every grand prix this season. But, even though the first four races have been either cancelled or postponed (with more disruption to potentially come), we're gonna run with it anyway.
The concept is simple. For each race, we go back through and create a championship table using the results from every race that's taken place at that circuit. So, in this case, we're only counting the Australian GPs held at Albert Park – not the ones from Adelaide.
The points system we're using will be the one that was in force when the track first appeared on the calendar. Albert Park first hosted a race in 1996, so every race uses the 10-6-4-3-2-1 allocation. And to keep tables small(ish), we're not including the results of any drivers who failed to score any points in a race and more generally speaking.
It's a bit of fun which hopefully should throw up some interesting observations about how drivers performed at a certain track beyond the usual figures of most wins, or most pole positions.
So, anyway – let's get stuck in with the numbers from Albert Park.
A little surprising to see Lewis Hamilton as the champion? Perhaps – after all, he famously has many, many pole positions at Albert Park (eight to be exact) but just the two wins. And in a points system which heavily rewards winning, I was expecting Michael Schumacher to take this one. And while he does indeed have the most wins with four, his tally is harmed by six retirements, dropping him to third behind Sebastian Vettel and only just keeping him ahead of Fernando Alonso, who only has the one win at Albert Park.
Actually, Alonso is an interesting one. Impressively, given the wide range of both good and bad cars he drove throughout his time in F1, he managed 11 consecutive top-five finishes between 2004 and 2014. 11! The next highest number of consecutive finishes is five, which is more what you'd expect from what is both a punishing circuit and a race that typically kicks off the year (which also explains the six disqualifications).
Other surprises? Well, Felipe Massa never seemed to go well at Albert Park, but just the one podium and a few other points finishes leaves him way down in 18th, which doesn't reflect how strong he was towards in the second half of the 2000s. Jarno Trulli is a bit of shock, too – only three drivers have more starts than him, yet he only managed six points.
This also highlights the plight of Australian drivers in their home race – between them, Mark Webber and Daniel Ricciardo have seven retirements, four non-scoring finishes, a best result of fourth, and a disqualification (from when Ricciardo finished second in 2014) from their combined 20 starts.
At the end of the season, we'll combine the results of all of these 'track championships' into one big, ultra, mega championship. Of course, given that we're using circuits currently on the calendar, this format does favour current drivers over other legends like Ayrton Senna and Jim Clark, who mostly raced on circuits no longer used by F1.
But still, it's a fun little experiment, and we hope you enjoy it as the year progresses! Who knows – the way things are going at the moment, it might be the only chance we have of seeing Hamilton and Vettel fight for a championship…


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Hogzilla's Inspired Barbeque wants to feed you, South Beach, so tonight at its grand opening party, the chow is on the house. From to 7 to 11 p.m. guests can enjoy bites and signature cocktails with just a simple RSVP to [email protected].
The man behind the restaurant is Ron Garcia (formerly of SushiSamba Dromo and Burger & Beer Joint), who, along with local barbecue guru Raul Rodriguez and executive chef Eli Jackson, is bringing smoky-flavored comfort food to Miami Beach. But Garcia admits that unlike his previous stints, the barbecue fare might be more challenging due to different styles and preferences.
"People seem to have different levels of acceptance when it comes to burgers," Garcia tells Short Order. "People would never compare their favorite burger to McDonald's. But when it comes to barbecue, you are bordering on the lines of a religion. They get fiery about it the same way they would about a sports team. You are dealing with different camps and regions."
So what team does Hogzilla's root for: Texas, Tennessee, Kansas City?
"We set ourselves to think outside of the box. If we want to combine different styles, we go for it. If we want to blend in some international flavors, we do so. We go outside the normal conventions any purist will throw at us."
Sounds risky to us, but we're intrigued. Guess everyone can find out for themselves tonight if Hogzilla's globetrotting barbecue is a winner.
Follow Short Order on Facebook and Twitter @Short_Order.


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I added a torrent for download about a month ago which is in .rar format. Unfortunately, it doesn't seem to proceed any further than 91.01% due to unavailability of seeders.
Whenever I try to open or extract the torrent I get the following error:
An error occurred while loading the archive.
Command Line output:
??? - the file header is corrupt.
I am using archive manager to extract the file. Is there any possibility of extracting the file using any method?


text:
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It's been a long year, and you've been looking forward to a nice, relaxing vacation at the Grand Hotel Abaddon. But what started out as a quiet retreat has become something else entirely. Strange things have been happening all around you. Could ghosts be behind these mysterious incidents, as the other guests and hotel staff seem to believe, or is there a more rational explanation?
The Grand Hotel Abaddon is a cooperative adventure game, played over three chapters. During the game, the choices you make determine what happens next. Explore the hotel, question guests, investigate rooms, and wander hidden passageways. Each player takes on a different role, cooperating to uncover hidden secrets. Only by working together will you be able to solve the mystery of the Grand Hotel Abaddon. With multiple possible endings, your choices will decide how the story ends!
+ Similar to a PC adventure game, players have to explore spaces, combine items, find clues, talk to people and make the right choices to win the game.
+ A cooperative board game with simple rules played in three chapters for players 12 years and up.
+ Approximately 5 hours of play time
Product Information
Ages: 12+
Author: Phil Walker-Harding, Matthew Dunstan & Ute Wielandt
Number of Players: 1 to 4
Length of Play: 3 x 90 minutes (playable over multiple sessions)
Manual Pages: 16
Product Dimensions: 5.1 x 7.1 x 1.7 in.
Product Weight: 1 lb
Manual Dimensions: 4.7 x 6.7 in.
Batteries Required: N/A
Country of Origin: Germany
Year Released: 2021
Kosmos Helper App
Would you prefer to have the rules of this game explained to you instead of reading the rulebook? If so, download the Kosmos Helper App. In the app, you can find animated explanations of the instructions and other helpful features for a selection of Kosmos games. Available on iOS and Android devices, find the app by searching "Kosmos Helper App" in the iOS App Store or in Google Play.
Download Helper App:


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Lab log: April 2, 2010
It's very good to be back at the Unit. I enjoyed the work (and play!) in Italy, but five weeks is too long to be away. Here's what I've been researching this week:
Particle beam physics. I have an idea for a novel, compact accelerator design. I still have much to learn about particle acceleration, so I've been digging in and reading Stanley Humpries' Principles of Charged Particle Acceleration. I highly recommend it (and his companion book on Charged Particle Beams). Much of the physics is a review for me, but there are a lot of new concepts too. And while the math is getting more familiar, it isn't getting any easier. Yet. Relativity twists my brain meats.
Making a nixie tube HV probe. My gigohm resistors arrived just before the trip, and I'm itching to use them. I'd like to use one to make a voltage divider for an Arduino-based voltmeter that drives nixie tubes for the display (via an Arduinix shield). I intend to use this with the coin shrinker for additional safety (nixies are much easier to read in the dark than an LCD!). And nothing says style like great big flashing Russian neon tubes. The code is pretty much worked out, so now it's just down to assembly and tweaking.
Listening to the voices in other people's heads. No, seriously. Ages ago I ran an icecast stream that I called "Laugh Out Loud". It scraped the most recent posts from Live Journal and would read the first sentence of each post in a randomized TTS voice, mixed over some ambient electronica. It was hauntingly disturbing to listen to, and provided a background whispering zeitgeist full of LJ angst. Anyway, I've decided to resurrect it in the form of random voices reading my Twitter feed. No public code (or audio) yet, but stay tuned.


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Jennie Marts--It Started with a Cowboy
"Chemistry so electric it flies off the page."—RT Book Reviews 4 stars for Caught Up in a Cowboy
IT STARTED WITH A COWBOY by Jennie Marts.
Colt James is back home on the family ranch, and he's done taking risks. A car accident ruined his shot at a professional hockey career and messed up his love life, and he's not taking a chance on anything that seems too good to be true. Especially not on Chloe Bishop, his nephew's irresistibly charming teacher and the one woman he can't stop thinking about…
It Started with a Cowboy
by: Jennie Marts
Publication Date: 4/30/2019
What will this cowboy risk for love?
Colt James is back home on the family ranch, and he's done taking risks. A car accident ruined his shot at a professional hockey career and messed up his love life, and he's not taking a chance on anything that seems too good to be true. Especially not on Chloe Bishop, his nephew's irresistibly charming teacher and the one woman he can't stop thinking about.
Chloe Bishop liked her life the way it was—orderly, structured and safe. Life goes from managed to messy when Colt talks her into helping him coach a hockey team of rowdy eight-year-olds. Being this close to the cowboy she's crushing on is dangerous territory. But when a real enemy threatens Chloe, Colt will do anything to protect her. Even if it means risking himself—and his heart.
Purchase Links:
- Amazon: https://amzn.to/2E0kxQ4
- B&N: http://bit.ly/2E0nGiS
- Apple: https://apple.co/2Gk6fMA
- Kobo: http://bit.ly/2IvnMmo
- Indiebound: http://bit.ly/2Gxq82b
- BAM: http://bit.ly/2tdwtYT
He passed her the towel, then turned his back. He should leave, he knew he should, but he couldn't get his feet to move.
He heard the splash of water as she stood and stepped out of the tub. His eyes cut to the big mirror on the wall just in time to catch a quick glimpse of her wet, glistening body before she wrapped the towel around herself.
"You can turn around now," she said, her voice timid and soft.
He slowly pivoted until he faced her again. It felt like something was happening here, and he didn't want to ruin this chance. He opened his mouth to say something, anything. I like you. You're beautiful. You have a great smile. I think you're funny. Maybe best not to mention her sense of humor while she was standing practically naked in front of him.
Before Colt could think of the best thing to say to dazzle her with his wit and charm, his eyes fell on the top half of her arm and the row of purple bruises there. "Holy shit." He crossed the bathroom and gingerly lifted her arm to examine the marks. Flares of rage sparked through him, and he wanted to kill Rank Johnson. "I will never let that bastard put his hands on you again," he said through gritted teeth.
"I'm okay. They don't hurt that bad. And it could have been worse. Much worse."
She was right. Rank was as mean as they came, and she was lucky he hadn't done worse to her or the kids. "He shouldn't have touched you at all."
"I know," she whispered.
The scent of her skin surrounded him, and he was caught between wanting to wrap her in a blanket to protect her and wanting to pick her up and carry her to his bed. At this point, either option would work for him.
He lifted his hand, raising it to cup the side of her face. Tendrils of her hair tickled the back of his hand. "I'm so sorry this happened to you."
She shook her head, just the slightest movement. Then she placed her hand on top of his and leaned her cheek into his palm. "I'm not. If it hadn't happened, I wouldn't be here with you now."
This woman was going to flat–out kill him. He ached for her clear to the marrow of his bones. He leaned in, fully intent on capturing that pretty little mouth in a kiss, but he couldn't bring himself to do it. He pulled back, shaking his head. "I like you, Chloe, but…"
Her face fell. Colt saw it and knew instantly that he'd blown it. Her shoulders shrank in, and she wrapped her arms around herself as if trying to cover the towel. "But not like that," she finished for him. "I know. I get it."
He shook his head. "No, I don't think you do. I do like you, exactly like that. You're all I've thought about for the past several months. And now you're finally here, standing right in front of me, and I can't do a damn thing."
Her eyes widened, and she looked like she didn't know if she should stay still or run—-like a dang deer caught in the headlights. A beautiful deer. He knew he was screwing this up. Of all the ways he'd imagined this moment would go, this hadn't been one of them. He had to do something to save himself. As his dad used to say, it was time to fish or cut bait.
"Chloe, just listen. It's not that I don't want to…that I don't want you. I do. And it's killing me to say this, because I want you so bad, it freaking hurts. I want to kiss you and touch you. I want to take you to my bed and spend the whole day exploring every inch of your gorgeous body." He let out a breath, his brows drawn together as if saying the words actually pained him. "But you've just been through this whole traumatic ordeal, and I want to give you time to heal. Someone hurt you, and I don't want to be a jerk by not giving you the space you need. The last thing I want to do is make you feel uncomfortable. And I don't want to take advantage of you."
Chloe stood perfectly still, as if her feet were glued to the tile floor. A cool drop of water dripped from a tendril of her hair and trickled down the front of her neck and into the terry cloth of the towel. Her skin was so hot that she wouldn't have been surprised if the drop had evaporated into steam.
She tried to take in everything Colt had just said. She wasn't sure she'd heard it all over the rushing in her ears that sounded after he'd said he liked her exactly like that and had been thinking about her for months. Then why had he pulled away when she'd kissed him at the rink? Why hadn't he kissed her back?
Oh, for flint's sake, what the French toast was she doing wasting time analyzing what happened a few days ago? It didn't matter now. What mattered were the crystal–blue intensity of Colt's eyes and the passion behind his words. He'd said he wanted her, said he liked her.
His words touched her, and she could appreciate the sentiment, and the chivalry, behind them. But she wasn't a victim. She wasn't a poor, helpless woman who needed space. A flaming–hot cowboy had just told her that he wanted to take her to his bed and explore her body. That was what she needed. Not space, not coddling. Despite the chill of the wet towel, her body was on fire and she wanted him, needed him.
Something inside her snapped, the deep part of her that had been fantasizing about this moment. The part that had been dreaming this could come true. And she knew in her heart this was the moment she'd been waiting for—-her chance to risk something, to be daring and fearless. She'd never wanted anything as much as she wanted Colt James, and this was her chance to grab him. No guts, no glory.
I can do this. I just need to pretend to be someone else. Someone who is brave and daring.
Her eye caught the swish of Agatha's tail from where she lay next to the vanity, and Chloe knew that was the answer. She needed to think like a cat. Cats were bold and didn't care what other people thought. They took what they wanted; they were adventurous and playful. She wrenched up her inner feline, brought her to life, and steeled herself to play.
I am woman, hear me roar. Or at least meow very courageously.
She reached for the knot securing the towel around her chest as she raised her chin and offered him her most seductive stare. "I like you too. And I love that you don't want to push me, that you want to give me space, but I don't need space. I need you. And I want you to take advantage of me. Right now." She inhaled a breath as she took a step back and released the towel, letting it drop to the floor.
Cowboys of Creedence series:
Caught Up in a Cowboy (Book 1)
You Had Me at Cowboy (Book 2)
It Started With a Cowboy (Book 3)
Praise for Caught Up in a Cowboy:
"Funny, complicated, and irresistible. Sometimes a cowboy isn't perfect but you got to love him anyway." —JODI THOMAS, New York Times bestselling author
"Full of exquisite heat and passion…an enthralling combination of intense moments, playful banter and great depth of emotion."—Harlequin Junkie
"An appealing story of love rediscovered…enjoy this tender tale."—Publishers Weekly
Author Website: https://jenniemarts.com/
Rafflecopter Giveaway:


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I struggled for quite a bit this evening trying to transfer my Quicken 2007 over to my Vista workstation and get it up and running. I encountered two issues that several other people have also encountered, but the solutions were not always exact or correct.
The two main problems I encountered were:
1. After installing Quicken, every time I would start it up it would give me a pop up window with the error message: "Quicken is unable to complete the unlock process". The popup window kept appearing no matter how many times you closed it, and eventually I had to go into Task manager to close Quicken
2. After restoring my Quicken data from backup, I noticed that my Price History for Stocks was missing
The solutions are as follows:
1. First, a reminder: make sure you install Quicken by right clicking on the downloaded Quicken .exe installation file, and select to 'run as administrator
2. As to the "unable to complete the unlock process", the solution that worked for me was to open up IE7 and select to delete cookies. Trust me, I tried everything, including uninstalling and reinstalling Quicken four times before this trick solved the problem.
3. As to the missing price history data? When doing a backup within Quicken, the price history is stored in a separate (.qph) backup file. The tricky thing is that the 'date last modified' for the .qph file is not set to today's date (when you did your backup), but rather it's set to the date you last edited or updated any stock price history. In my case that was about a week earlier.
So when I went to copy over the Quicken backup files to my Vista workstation, I only selected those Q files with today's date, thus missing the .qph file.
Hope this helps someone else down the road!


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Designed for a family of four, the Wadia Residence is a 3,000-square-foot duplex loft located in the Flatiron District in Manhattan. The white, light-filled space was designed by Resolution: 4 Architecture (RES4) to be kid-friendly, despite its clean, contemporary appearance. The client kept their hands in the design process, even designing the dining room table and creating the artwork found in the main bedroom, powder room, and some in the kids' bedrooms.
The white surfaces bounce natural light that enters in through the walls of windows on the south and east sides. The living room and dining room remain bright with muted furnishings and light woods, as well as plenty of open space for play. Cleverly hidden storage is tucked away in a wall-mounted bench that runs the length of the south wall.
Down the sculptural spiral staircase is an open play space for the kids with a wall of concealed storage closets for all of the family's things. In addition to the playroom, the bedrooms can be found on the lower level.
Some all-white spaces can feel stark and clinical, but not here. This bedroom, for instance, is given personality via a wall of brightly colored artwork by the homeowner.
The two kids' bedrooms are also white but definitely not boring as each is given a signature color of red or blue.
Photos by Resolution: 4 Architecture (RES4).


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Mobile apps that gobble up data are a big problem, causing customers to blow through bandwidth and quickly use up precious battery life.
One of the challenges, though, is that while customers often pay the price, they have little way to know what the apps they install are doing.
The key is to get those writing the programs to do a better job from the outset. AT&T is trying an interesting bit of reverse psychology to get developers to pay a bit more attention to the issue.
"Have customers been complaining about your app running too fast?" AT&T asks on a flyer handed out to mobile programmers who attended the developer summit held at last week's CES.
AT&T then suggests some ways of slowing things down such as using uncompressed images, turning off caching and using lots of redirects. The carrier also touts a cross-platform "application resource optimizer" tool it offers to help make apps more responsive and less hungry for data and power.
This article originally appeared on Recode.net.


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A tweet by President Donald Trump threatening to put an "end" to Iran sharply escalated the war crisis in the Persian Gulf, even as US warships launched a series of provocative military exercises in close proximity to Iranian shores.
"If Iran wants to fight, that will be the official end of Iran," Trump tweeted. "Never threaten the United States again!"
It is by no means clear what "threat" Trump had in mind. The tweet came just hours after a Katyusha rocket fell in Baghdad's Green Zone near the statue of the Unknown Soldier, approximately a third of a mile north of the US Embassy, causing no injuries.
While National Security Adviser John Bolton, who has long called for the bombing of Iran and regime change, went to the White House to brief the president on the incident, there were indications that Trump was responding not to this event but rather to commentary on Fox News, having tweeted just before in apparent response to a segment on immigration and then tweeting his threat to put and "end" to Iran following a Fox News segment on Iran.
The errant rocket fired into the Green Zone, one of the most heavily fortified enclaves on the planet, was immediately attributed by the US media to Iran or its "proxies," even though no one has claimed responsibility for the incident and there are a multitude of factions and people in the country who have every reason to want to lob a missile at the US embassy, or for that matter, at the seat of Iraq's corrupt bourgeois government.
Earlier "threats" from Iran have emanated from the leadership of the country's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, which has warned Washington that it is not intimidated by the massive military deployment in the Persian Gulf, and that US warships constitute as much of a target as they do a threat.
Washington earlier this month fast-tracked the deployment of a carrier battle group, led by the USS Abraham Lincoln, to the region, and sent in a bomber task force, including nuclear-capable B-52s, to conduct over-flights off the Iranian coast. This has been followed by the dispatch to the region of amphibious assault warships carrying US Marines, warplanes and landing craft, as well a Patriot missile battery.
The Pentagon, meanwhile, has drawn up war plans calling for the shipping of as many as 120,000 US troops to the region—a similar number to the force deployed to the region prior to the invasion of Iraq—in apparent preparation for an all-out war with Iran.
The US Navy's 5th Fleet reported on Monday that the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group and the USS Kearsarge Amphibious Ready Group, carrying the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit onboard, are conducting a series of exercises in the Arabian Sea.
The Lincoln strike group's commander, Rear Adm. John Wade, said that the maneuvers were "aimed towards increasing our lethality and agility to respond to threats, and deterring destabilizing actions in this important region."
The real "destabilizing actions in this important region" have been carried out uninterruptedly by US imperialism, which has waged war for more than a quarter-century, claiming the lives of over a million Iraqis, Libyans and Syrians and shattering entire societies. There is every indication that Washington is preparing to eclipse these massive war crimes with an even greater bloodbath in the form of a war against Iran, a country with more than twice the population and nearly four times the land mass of Iraq.
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif denounced Trump's threat as a "genocidal tweet" and warned him that history had shown that "Iranians have stood tall for millennia while aggressors are gone. Economic terrorism and genocidal taunts won't end Iran." He added, "Try respect—it works."
One year ago the US unilaterally abrogated the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) reached in 2015 between Iran, the US, the European powers, Russia and China. Since then, Washington has imposed what it describes as "maximum pressure" on Tehran, including unilateral economic sanctions designed to cripple the country's economy that are tantamount to an act of war.
These have included a sweeping embargo on Iranian oil sales, including the threat to punish third countries, including erstwhile US allies, if they continue to trade with Tehran. Earlier this month, Washington terminated waivers allowing China, South Korea, Japan, India and Turkey to continue buying Iranian oil. The country's oil exports have been cut by nearly two-thirds, from 2.8 million barrels per day (BPD) to 1 million BPD. They are expected to fall again to as low as 500,000 BPD this month. Washington has stated that its aim is to cut Iranian oil exports to zero.
Those paying the price for this state of siege against the Iranian economy are the masses of the country's working people, who are confronted with rising inflation, growing unemployment and shortages of vital goods including medicines needed to keep those who are ill alive.
The Trump administration has made it clear that it is banking on this deprivation to trigger popular upheavals that will topple Iran's bourgeois nationalist regime. It is more likely, however, to fuel nationalist hatred of US imperialism, and the prospect of a US war of aggression installing a reliable puppet regime in Tehran is even more unlikely than it was in Baghdad, Tripoli and Damascus. The more likely scenario is a war that drags in the entire Middle East and Washington's "great power" rivals, including nuclear-armed Russia and China.
In addition to the unsubstantiated claims about Iranian responsibility for the missile attack in Baghdad, the alleged sabotage of oil tankers off the coast of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and a drone attack launched by Yemen's Houthi rebels on Saudi oil facilities in retaliation for the near genocidal US-backed, Saudi-led war against Yemen, the US is wielding Iran's nuclear program as a prospective pretext for US aggression.
In response to Washington's ripping up of the nuclear accord and its escalating aggression, Tehran has suspended for 60 days its commitments to cap its production of enriched uranium and heavy water in an attempt to pressure the European powers to make good on their promises to launch an Instrument in Support of Trade Exchanges (INSTEX) to circumvent US sanctions by facilitating non-dollar trade with Iran.
The spokesman for the Atomic Energy Organization for Iran (AEOI) announced on Monday that the country is quadrupling its production rate of uranium to 3.67 percent. While Iran's action still leaves it in compliance with the JCPOA, the increased production rate would soon cause it to exceed the cap of 300 kilograms of stockpiled low-enriched uranium. Under the JCPOA, Tehran is supposed to sell off any enriched uranium above this level on the international markets, although the US sanctions regime makes this virtually impossible.
While the European powers have expressed misgivings about Washington's increasingly bellicose threats against Iran, this is entirely bound up with their own predatory interest in exploiting Iranian oil and markets. They have taken no serious actions to counter Washington's economic siege or military threats against the country.
The British government, which last week expressed concern about "the risk of a conflict happening by accident with an escalation that is unintended on either side," on Monday issued a warning to Tehran not to defy Washington. "I would say to the Iranians: Do not underestimate the resolve on the US side," UK Foreign Minister Jeremy Hunt told reporters in Geneva on Monday. "They don't want a war with Iran. But if American interests are attacked, they will retaliate. And that is something that the Iranians need to think about very, very carefully."
Hunt's warning came amid reports that the UK had secretly sent troops to the Persian Gulf to back US aggression against Iran.
The Sunday Express reported that British special forces had been to sent to aid the US strike group in the Persian Gulf. The report said this included elements of the special boat service (SBS) that have been deployed to monitor military activity around the island of Qeshm, where Iran has stationed naval gunboats.
Trump's threat to put an "end" to Iran is not original. It should be recalled that in 2008, when she was a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination, Hillary Clinton threatened Iran with "obliteration." Involved is the recklessness and criminality of not only the current occupant of the White House, but rather that of a US ruling class that is determined to reverse the erosion of its global economic hegemony by military means.


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WARNING: DO NOT apply for credit cards just because the credit card salesman won't stop pestering you to fill up the form and cancel later. What kind of sales tactic is that? A trap to a consumer, most likely. Especially a consumer who was stuck manning a booth next to a credit card sales booth (read: ME). This posting is to illustrate why you should not rampantly apply for credit cards.
Last Friday, I took a day off to pay a visit to several banks and settle a few banking issues. Three banks to be exact. Sigh. It's really tiresome to be this rich :p
Bank #1
Firstly, there's this problem with one local bank of which I applied for personal loan to settle our house's MRTA and legal fees totalling nearly RM10,000. Since RM10,000 is too dear to part with, (there's a lot of things to do with that amount of money - we can buy two kitchen cabinets from IKEA for an instance, or we can go to Kota Kinabalu for our Mount Kinabalu ascension trip next year) we decided to get our aunty a bank to lend us the ringgits.
I was confident that the I will get instant approval because I honestly think I do not have bad financial track record. WRONG! I received a shocking call from the bank to inform that my application has been rejected due to a non-payment of my HSBC credit card. Wait a minute. I cancelled my credit card application before I even got the cards, how can I be charged for it?
Bank #2
So I called HSBC's customer service call centre to check this allegation. They confirmed that the cards had been cancelled, but it was only this year because I had not paid the annual charges. How can I pay the annual charges, I cancelled the cards and therefore, never received any statement! The CSA at the call centre was not very helpful. She kept asking for my previous home address when I was in JB and then told me to personally go to the nearest branch to settle the payment.
Bank #3
Before I lost more money to pay for non-existing cards, and because Suami Terchenta would not stop bugging me to save extra money this month to go to our first new house (dammit, I feel like cancelling the house purchase with all this financial hey-pening) I stopped by my bank to deposit half of my salary (bye-bye Bali anniversary getaway! Uwaaa!!) into ASB.
Back to why HSBC is the best when it comes to customer service...
HSBC Bukit Bintang branch is in Menara Genesis. To reach there, stop at Monorail Bukit Bintang station and walk a few metres and cross the road to a building with a big, hard-to-be-missed HSBC signboard. The bank occupied 5 levels (if not mistaken) and customer service is at Level 3. I like the way the bank makes everything personalized. Each CSA has their own desk which is kept sparsely from each other, so customers can have the privacy to air their banking problem.
I met with the Customer Service Manager himself, and he was ever so helpful. After giving a short recount of my problem, he immediately picked up the phone to contact the credit centre and checked the amount that is still accredited to my so-called closed account. In total, I was supposed to pay RM240+ before I can bid adieu to my problem. I bit my bottom lip and immediately switched mode to the rarely used 'damsel in distress' expression. It usually works. Including in this situation.
A few minutes later, he delivered the good news - my account has been cleared and all payment waived! No more blacklist from the bank! I can now go to as many aunties as I want to borrow money! Yippee!
I thanked the Customer Service Manager profusely and asked for a confirmation letter to show to Bank #1 that I have solved the credit card problem. Now, that's what I called 'First Class Service'. Kudos to HSBC Customer Service division! :)


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Prez and I have big birthday plans that didn't include going out last night, but then we found out our friend Fear-of-Fish was going to be in town. This was a big deal because Fish is hardly ever in the country, let alone in San Diego. In fact, just last week Fish was in the Phillippines! And since she's missing our big birthday bash, Prez thought we should get together for a little birthday celebrating last night.
We went to Piatti, which both Prez and I love. Because we both have great taste. But I don't see Fish very often. In fact, I haven't seen her in a couple of years I think...we tried to figure that out last night. And while Prez is used to me busting my camera out while we eat, I didn't know how Fish would deal with it. So no pictures. Instead, I'll illustrate.
But I'm not a good draw-er. So bear with me.
First we spent a lot of time pouring over the menu.
Then Fish filled us in on her most recent travels.
And then the food came and there was no talking.
Then there was more talking. A lot more talking. And then Thatboy called, asking if I knew it was 10pm - and didn't I have to work the next day? So we headed back to Prez's place for some cupcakes.
And then Fish realized she still had to drive waaaaaaaaaaaaay back to her hotel. So we called it a night.
The end.
Poor Thatboy was stuck at home by himself, to fend. He's got more of that ahead of him. Usually I like to leave him with something that is easily heat-up-able. Like lasagna. Or soup. Things that he can put in the microwave. We both love split pea soup- but much like me not being a good draw-er, I'm not very good at making split pea soup look appetizing. So this is another one you'll have to take my word for. It's good. Really good. Good enough to keep Thatboy from making a Taco Bell run last night.
1 1/2 cups dried split peas
2 inch cube salt pork
1 onion, chopped
3 Tbsp butter
2 Tbsp flour
2 cups milk
ground pepper
- Soak the peas overnight in water to cover.
- Add enough water to the soaking liquid to make 2 1/2 quarts.
- Put the peas and liquid in a large soup pot and the salt pork and onion.
- Bring to a boil, reduce heat, and simmer, partially covered for 1 1/2 -2 hours or until the peas are soft. Discard the salt pork
- Put through a strainer or vegetable mill or puree the soup in a blender or food processor. Melt the butter in a small saucepan, stir in the flour, and cook over low heat for a few minutes.
- Add the milk, stirring constantly, and cook until smooth and thickened. Stir this sauce into the soup and add salt and pepper to taste.


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Photos of captured from my window seat
I was cleaning up the photos on my phone the other day and noticed I've snapped some pretty cool aerial photos over the past few months. I love it when the weather cooperates on a flight, especially when I have the window seat.
I've already shared some of these images on our Instagram and Facebook pages, but I thought I'd share a few of these window seat photos on the blog as well.
On our flight from Vancouver to Dublin a few months ago, we passed over Greenland and the Arctic. The views we witnessed on that flight were incredible! Take a look…
Massive glacier flowing into the Arctic Ocean.
Pure wilderness in Greenland. Not a road or sign of man anywhere.
Remote and isolated mountains in Greenland.
Clouds spilling into the mountain valley – somewhere in Greenland.
The endless Tundra. Somewhere in the Arctic in Northern Canada.
Thousands of icebergs floating in the Arctic. Somewhere between Greenland and Canada.
Forest fires burning in remote Northern Alberta.
Suburbs of Dublin, Ireland.
Read next – 25 Photos that will make you want to visit Dublin, Ireland
Somewhere in central Ireland, captured a few minutes after departing Dublin.
Coastal mountains in British Columbia. I think that's the Fraser River in the backdrop.
Somewhere in central British Columbia. I think that's the south end of Okanagan Lake?
Snow-capped Canadian Rockies – somewhere near Banff National Park.
Urban sprawl – Vancouver and the Fraser Valley.
Howe Sound and the North Shore Mountains.
Howe Sound and BC's South Coast.
Read next – Further proof that British Columbia is ridiculously beautiful
Downtown Vancouver – views from a seaplane.
Pillow clouds over central Florida.
Fort Lauderdale Harbor Inlet.
Fort Lauderdale coast.
South Florida coastline. Fort Lauderdale to Pompano Beach.
Soft pastel sunset over the Prairies in central Canada.
Read next – Icebergs and Glaciers: Photos of Greenland


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McLaren locked out the front row of the grid for the European Grand Prix at Valencia with Lewis Hamilton leading Heikki Kovalainen.
But it could have been the other way around if Kovalainen hadn't blown his final shot at a time.
But Ferrari's Luca Badoer will start tomorrow's race from last on the grid having been one and a half seconds slower than everyone else.
Brawn looked to have rediscovered their former pace in practice – which was at least partly thanks to the hot temperatures at Valencia. Qualifying began under clear skies with track temperatures in the mid-40s.
Kovalainen went fastest to begin with, using the long wheelbase version of the MP4/24 which was theoretically 0.2s slower per lap than Hamilton's new short wheelbase version. Hamilton took until halfway through the session to do his first lap, and when he did he briefly went quickest of all, with a 1'39.198.
But he was immediately pegged back by Rubens Barrichello, whose 1'39.019 was further proof of Brawn's return to front-running pace.
At the opposite end of the grid newcomers Romain Grosjean (Renault) and Luca Badoer (Ferrari) were trying to avoid being eliminated in the first session. Badoer's struggle from practice continued – he was 19th and 1.8s down on Raikkonen's best effort with five minutes remaining. Grosjean, however, posted a 1'39.322 just one minute after Alonso had done a 1'39.603.
As the session drew to a close there were some surprising names hovering around the drop zone – Jenson Button was 15th and Mark Webber 16th. But Kazuki Nakajima in 13th stopped on the track, leaving him highly vulnerable to dropping out of qualifying. Sure enough, as Webber and Button improved, Nakajima was eliminated.
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While Sebastien Buemi made a late leap to third place, team mate Alguersuari was eliminated and takes up the back row of the grid along with Badoer. Jarno Trulli's Toyota was also knocked out while team mate Timo Glock scraped through. Nakajima and Fisichella were the other two drivers that failed to reach Q2.
Drivers eliminated in Q1
16. Giancarlo Fisichella, Force India-Mercedes – 1'39.531
17. Kazuki Nakajima, Williams-Toyota – 1'39.795
18. Jarno Trulli, Toyota – 1'39.807
19. Jaime Alguersuari, Toro Rosso-Ferrari – 1'39.925
20. Luca Badoer, Ferrari – 1'41.413
The McLaren-Brawn battle at the top of the times continued in Q2, with the Red Bulls struggling to get a look in. Hamilton took up the early running ahead of Barrichello and Kovalainen.
As in the first session, Alonso waited a long time to set his first lap – leaving the pits for the first time with just six minutes left on the clock. His first effort – a 1'38.853 – was not quick enough to get him in the top ten, leaving him 11th and 0.2s faster than Grosjean.
Hamilton elected not to join the rush to set a final lap time at the end of the session, sitting on top of the times with a 1'38.182 and saving a set of super-soft tyres that would come in handy later. The only driver to beat his time was Barrichello, improving on it by one tenth of a second.
The difference between reaching Q3 and missing out was razor-thin. Fernando Alonso made a late improvement to grab eighth, but was only one tenth quicker than Nick Heidfeld, 11th. Just 0.04s separated Heidfeld from Raikkonen, who scraped into Q3. Also knocked out were Sutil, Glock, Grosjean and Buemi.
Drivers eliminated in Q2
11. Nick Heidfeld, BMW – 1'38.826
12. Adrian Sutil, Force India-Mercedes – 1'38.846
13. Timo Glock, Toyota – 1'38.991
14. Romain Grosjean, Renault – 1'39.040
15. Sebastien Buemi, Toro Rosso-Ferrari – 1'39.514
Hamilton went straight back to the top of the times with his first lap, his 1'39.498 putting him half a second clear of Button, using new super-soft tyres.
Webber, Vettel and Barrichello all opted to do a single lap each. Barrichello's first effort gave him second – but only until Kovalainen came through and took the place off him, 0.03s slower than team mate Hamilton.
Kovalainen carried on for a second lap and nailed the first two sectors, quicker than anyone else. But he took too much kerb in the bend approaching the final corner and ran wide. That mistake cost him what looked set to be a pole-winning lap, although Hamilton was on course to set a better time, but aborted once the Kovalainen threat was gone.
Tomorrow the championship battle will be played out behind the McLarens – with Webber down in ninth place and facing a challenge to get ahead of Button.
Update: Fuel weights published – Strategy could hand Barrichello an advantage (European Grand Prix fuel weights)
Top ten drivers in Q3
1. Lewis Hamilton, McLaren-Mercedes – 1'39.498
2. Heikki Kovalainen, McLaren-Mercedes – 1'39.532
3. Rubens Barrichello, Brawn-Mercedes – 1'39.563
4. Sebastian Vettel, Red Bull-Renault – 1'39.789
5. Jenson Button, Brawn-Mercedes – 1'39.821
6. Kimi Raikkonen, Ferrari – 1'40.144
7. Nico Rosberg, Williams-Toyota – 1'40.185
8. Fernando Alonso, Renault – 1'40.236
9. Mark Webber, Red Bull-Renault – 1'40.239
10. Robert Kubica, BMW – 1'40.512


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3 reasons: 1) Greater awareness of depression and acceptance of treating it, in society 2) Quantitative advancements in treatment options (psychological, pharmaceutical, physiological, homeopathic) 3) Societal disconnect on basic human body-based interactions, juxtaposed with increased electronic connection
1) Without looking up any statistics, I am guessing depression rates have not changed dramatically in the last decade or longer. However, attitudes have changed dramatically over time. Previously it was not recognized as the illness that it is, and was not qualified as valid. A broken leg is obvious, painful, and treatable. A depressed psyche can be 'written off' in a host of ways: "Oh he's just lazy", "Quit feeling sorry for yourself!", "hey snap out of it, we're all having fun!", etc. While these harsh sentiments can still exist I think more and more people are aware of what depression is and thus families encourage treatment when it arises.
2) On the treatment side I need not dive too deep but compare ECT and sending people to the funny farm of 60 years ago with today's more sophisticated comprehension of multiple psychologies, brain-scans, brain chemistry, environmental factors, etc. I do think however that our comprehension and manipulation of brain chemistry is rather infantile in the scope of neuro-function. But it has still come a long way over the years.
3) In our modern world (specifically countries where you would see antidepressants advertised), I would posit that many people's lives have become paradoxically more fragmented and more connected. We can click to order a pizza, send the news to our parents that we got a job or got engaged, ask someone out over email, and stay in touch with a grade school friend without hearing there voice in decades. While such connectivity is great, there has also been a marketed decline in the types of daily interactions where one would find a sense of community and connection with humanity. Obviously this sense of community still exists and is available to people as it exists somewhat to the degree one creates it in their life, however, to some degree it is 'work' to call the pizza place instead of ordering online. It is easier to send a txt than to call, easier to check your groceries yourself, etc. Also, spending time with friends in person is very different, emotionally, than being on a computer with someone 1000 or 1 mile away--there is a body-detachment with technology--you are using an external non-human tool for the interaction. Because feelings (depression) are body based, I do not think it serves feelings well to use technology almost to the exclusion of simple body-based interactions (as in, walking up to a friend and patting them on the back to say 'whats up? good to see you, as opposed to sending a text).
3 reasons: 1) Greater awareness of depression and acceptance of treating it, in society 2) Quantitative advancements in treatment options (psychological, pharmaceutical, physiological,...... (more)
Not an expert but I would suggest teen depression can be due to low self esteem due to having acne. Basically the opposite of your question. Chances of teen depression probably increase if a teen has acne.
While there is a mind-body connection to nearly all things in life, I do not think acne alone which is a demonstrated result of the increase of hormones and body changes of puberty, can be caused by depression alone. Just as I would never suggest someone gets cancer entirely because of a mental or emotional state they are in, there is no doubt that continually being in a depressed emotional, clinically negative mental, or high anxiety/stress situations will result in a weakening of the immune system, which could let any disease manifest easier.
Not an expert but I would suggest teen depression can be due to low self esteem due to having acne. Basically the opposite of your question. Chances of teen depression probably increase if a teen...... (more)
Some people are on more medicines than you'd like to even imagine--for all sorts of pain, chronic conditions, etc. All medications have various side effects, but the more medications, the more possibility they can start to step on one another's toes, with their wide range of side effects, so to speak.
While your doctor is the authority on your health, and not anyone online, I do wonder, were you prescribed adderall for ADHD? As a stimulant, I wonder about the interaction between adderall and an anti-anxiety medication, and the addition of an anti-depressant. I am not an expert and do wonder the difficulty in treating multiple issues. As I have found, sometimes low level anxiety and depression can be one and of the same--a low level depression can yield anxiety to keep one from dealing with the depression (un or subconsciously, of course), or the consistent anxiety leads one to feel somewhat depressed, due to the chronic anxiety that subtly debilitates them from being at their fullest/best.
So, for some people, yes, it may normal to be on 5 different types of medications for their mood or personality, and for others none. Ultimately how you feel and if you are able to function with hope and draw enjoyment from life is the ultimate measuring bar of what is normal (for you)--if that means 5 different medications, then so be it, if it means 1, 2, or 3, that is okay too.
Some people are on more medicines than you'd like to even imagine--for all sorts of pain, chronic conditions, etc. All medications have various side effects, but the more medications, the more...... (more)
I think properly guided or practiced meditation can aid, along with sleep, exercise, diet, rituals, herbal supplements, professional help, and if necessary, possibly prescription drugs (though I would personally only advocate their use in a 'stepping-stone' fashion, in conjunction with other action, on limited term basis. ie: don't use anti-depressants alone, in a permanent fashion).
Meditation can be used to focus your mind, quiet the 'chatter', and observe your own thought process, if done properly. Done incorrectly, it could cause you to amplify the depressive cognitive self-talk, overly focus on it, and lead to more entrenched depression. Depression, by it's nature, lends to a clouded view of the world and oneself, and I would posit meditation asks one to set one's entire ego-self aside, which is one of the biggest difficulties of depression--one's own thoughts and emotions are negatively locked into themselves when depressed.
My experience has been when you first start meditating, working on developing full and focused awareness (such as on a candle flame, breathing technique, visualization of a process) while the stream of thoughts (chatter) goes on is what you do. Over time you will build a capacity and repository of awareness, so to speak, so that you may relax from focusing on something so specific, and can instead simply maintain awareness and actively observe the stream of thoughts from a place in consciousness outside of your immediate ego. At this juncture, that the opportunity to identify negative self-talk and constraining thought-patterns may occur, which has the possibility for you to yield major or minor breakthroughs in self-awareness and altering your cognitive patterns to be a happier person. Working with an expert in the field of meditation, or preferably a mental health specialist who has such credentials or background would be ideal.
I think properly guided or practiced meditation can aid, along with sleep, exercise, diet, rituals, herbal supplements, professional help, and if necessary, possibly prescription drugs (though I would...... (more)


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Here They are -The Family
If you're going to get to know me, you'll have to know my family
also as they are the biggest part of my life. Let's start with my husband Mr. Wonderful. He makes me laugh and is absolutely the most kind, gentle-soul-of-a-man that God could ever give me. He's also a great dad and so without further ado…
Oh yeah – did I forget to mention he's pretty nice to look at too? Well, he is…nuff said!
Here are my girls…they're loony, beautiful and as of late, have loved to be in the kitchen with me – Tori & Kayla
Didn't I tell you they're beautiful? And don't forget loony! It's just the way we are! They learned it from their mom….
And here's Conner, my youngest. He is 15 and thinks he knows WAY more than me…he doesn't know it yet but HE DOESN'T! Moms, don't you just have a special place in your heart for your boys? Even if they think they know more (which he doesn't!!)…?
Young girls stay back! (He's already taken right now!!) Did I mention moms are also pretty protective of their boys where women are concerned? We are!
I also have 3 beautiful step-kids too! Chris, Lyndsay, and Jason (in that order)…they all have significant others which I will show you later. They are wonderful kids! I love them…here they are!
And I can't forget Jade, our beautiful GORGEOUS new grandbaby…would you just look at this precious baby? There is not a baby more precious in this world…and I'll fight anyone who says otherwise!
Am I blessed or what? Someone remind me I said that next weekend after I've cooked for ALL of them about 4 times!


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A trio of female Chronicloids were lucky enough to bump into the former super-walk-on duo of Chris Current and Brad Gianiny at Keeneland last weekend, and they snapped this photo. Safe to say that Brad's doing pretty well for himself. And that he stole my Derby outfit.
I hate saying things like this after a kid commits because it's become almost a cliche for fan bases spurned by 17 and 18-year-olds, but Kevin Ware picking Central Florida truly is not that big of a deal. Ware's a talented kid, there's no doubt about that, but he received far more attention than he would have under ordinary circumstances because he was essentially the only name in the Cardinal recruiting world over the past couple of weeks.
The thing about Ware - and you have to think that this played a large part in his decision - is that he wasn't going to come in and play very much. There was zero chance of him cutting into Chris Smith or Wayne Blackshear's minutes at the two, and then even if he didn't have to deal with either of those guys as a sophomore, he still would have been left competing for minutes with (fingers crossed) Rodney Purvis.
Ware is advertised as being highly athletic, but turnover prone and lacking a consistent jump shot. Basically, he would have fit in perfectly at Tennessee under Bruce Pearl. I think he could have been a good player here with a combination of hard work and patience, but you can't blame him for pursuing another opportunity. He'll be a nice player at UCF.
The bigger story, at least in the eyes of Louisville fans, is that Ware committed to UCF just a day after an in-house visit from Rick Pitino. Given recent events, it's easy to get flustered and take a half-hearted shot at Pitino here, but more likely than the kid not being impressed by what Louisville's head coach had to offer is him simply not liking the reality Pitino laid out for him.
There were not going to be significant minutes immediately available for Kevin Ware at Louisville, and my assumption is that Rick Pitino in some way made the young man aware of this. It would explain the seemingly odd timing of the decision, as Ware will be in town playing in the Derby Classic this weekend.
It's like breaking up with a girlfriend four days before the wedding of two close, mutual friends. Except this is way creepier. And there's dunking.
A guy who would help right away is Wake Forest transfer Tony Woods, who is apparently rethinking the idea of suiting up for the Cardinals now that Tim Fuller is being employed by Missouri.
I was vehemently against taking Woods when the news first broke in October, and definitely wouldn't shed a tear if he chose to take his game and backstory elsewhere now. That being said, there's no question that Woods would help next year's team right away. You can also multiply any significance he would have by three or four if Terrence Jennings opts not to return for his senior season, which is still a very real possibility.
Even if the primary reason he came to Louisville was Fuller, Woods has to know that he had a hall-of-fame coach stick his neck out pretty significantly for him, and the fact that the young man is even considering other options at the moment seems pretty disrespectful.
For every Nate Harris there's a Willie Williams. Who knows on which end of the spectrum Woods will end up falling, but he's not exactly giving us any great reason for optimism right now.
Some quick recognition for our four Down the Stretch/Spring Game contest winners:
uofldynasty (overall champion)
Car. Den. All.
Thanks to everyone who played and congrats to the winners. I look forward to having blacked out conversations about Art Carmody with you in a few weeks.
Seneca defensive lineman Tyrone Pearson has (again) decommitted from Louisville and is now moving to Indianapolis for his senior season. Safe to say the kid's got some things he needs to get straightened out before he's ready to be a contribute on a Division-I college football team.
Charlie Strong on Vic Anderson:
"Vic's had an unbelievable, unbelievable spring. The way he worked all spring. He was healthy. He practiced every day. Guys just watched him work, and it was just amazing for guys to watch him come out and go to work."
Despite Jeremy Wright's tremendous freshman season, I think Vic is clearly heading into fall camp as your starting tailback. If he can reel of 1,000 yards as a senior, the 2008 Big East Rookie of the Year would become the first Cardinal to post multiple 1,000-yard seasons since Calvin Prince (1976, '77). Considering the backs this program has had come through in recent years, that would be quite the achievement.
I mentioned this on Twitter, but my first final exam is next Monday, so don't expect a whole lot from me over the next couple of weeks. I'd also prefer it if you referred to me as "Jake Brigance" between now and then. It's a psyche thing.
Wayne Blackshear will miss this weekend's Derby Classic (and accompanying festivities) because of the shoulder injury he suffered during practice for the McDonald's All-American game.
"I am really disappointed," Blackshear told The Courier-Journal. "I really wanted to be there. It's in the new arena and all the fans are coming out to see us play.
"I'm disappointed but I'll be OK. They cleaned it out and it's going to be fine. I'll be 100 percent once I go through rehabilitation."
And finally, we'll leave you with a laugh as Yahoo's Jason King says Texas Tech's hiring of Billy Gillispie was the best in college basketball.
In a related tidbit, this post was the catalyst behind the first death threat I ever received. It seems pretty prescient now.
Enjoy your Tuesday, and remember that until we can see each other as equals, justice is never going to be even-handed. It will remain nothing more than a reflection of our own prejudices.


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The Brand New Twitter 2011: Comprehending the Changes
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- Twitter's new home page has tweets around the right rather than the left and new symbols at the very top.
- © Twitter 2011 Twitter introduced an exciting-new feel and look to the social texting service that's possibly the greatest transformation because the founding from the global short-texting system in the year 2006.
- The brand new Twitter 2011 home page design is targeted at bringing in more first-time customers and relationship marketers by which makes it simpler to know and user friendly to marketing messages. However it's not even close to obvious how effective these Twitter changes is going to be on either front.
You can reap the benefits, starting today
- Designers Had Area Day with New Twitter Twitter designers visited town making wholesale changes towards the feel and look from the social texting service. The refurbished Twitter interface had been progressively folded to customers in mid-December 2011 it consists of new features in addition to cosmetic changes.
- This Year's design is much more radical in the level of Twitter changes than was the final large transformation towards the service, which happened in mid-2010.
- Cosmetic changes incorporate a new quill icon assigning the button for writing tweets along with a tweet box that now states "Compose new Tweet" rather than "What is happening?Inch
- Here is a comprehensive consider the Twitter changes and the things they're doing:
- New Twitter Navigation Bar with Symbols Around the black horizontal menu bar across the top Twitter's webpage, three new symbols–for Home, @Connect and –switch the four labeled tabs that accustomed to appear there. Formerly, the 4 tabs were Home, Profile, Messages, and Who to follow along with.
- The profile tab has gone to live in the far directly on the navigation bar, inside a drop-lower menu beneath a mind-and-shoulders silhouette icon designed to signfiy "me" for every user.
- Let us review each one of the four primary products within the new navigation bar.
- Home — The brand new Twitter home page has mostly the same things as before, but it is been moved around and given new features and functions. The key to the home page–the "timeline" or feed of tweets from people who each user follows–accustomed to come in a column around the left side since tweet stream timeline continues to be gone to live in a column around the right side from the page. A large "Tweets" label seems at the very top. The stream of tweets or Twitter "timeline" has transformed, too. It consists of pics and vids that individuals have tweeted, which now appear directly within the timeline. Before, people needed to contact each tweet within the right sidebar to be able to see related media. Furthermore, whenever you click a tweet, you are able to rapidly see much more about it, including that has retweeted or responded. As before, there's still a listing of subjects trending on Twitter and recommendations for who to follow along with around the home page. They accustomed to appear in a tiny sidebar around the at this time they are around the left.
- @Connect — The @Connect menu button results in a page that contains what Twitter calls "conversations," including when others repost or retweet your messages or mention your user title. The concept would be to rapidly show a person what's being stated about her or him in tweets by other customers. Connect can also be designed is the portal or access point in which you goes to locate people and firms to follow along with.
- — The tab is possibly the greatest Twitter change because it's not only cosmetic or relabeling. It calls for new functionality which might not be apparent towards the casual viewer–this is an automated news feed resembling Facebook's news ticker. It is so new it's not entirely obvious just how much Twitter uses this automated content stream to promote or backed content, and just how much could be more helpful, personalized content using their company Twitter customers. The hashtag (#) before should really help new customers understand the objective of hashtags, which would be to help people discover messages on particular subjects or key phrases. Uncover goes to some page that contains updates and tweets about people you do not follow on Twitter. It's essentially a stream of tweets and activities including other Twitter customers, known as "Tales" and "Activities." Automatically, the thing is the "Tales" feed first it's produced with different recognition formula that Twitter produced which considers what you've tweeted about previously, what type of people and firms you follow and favorite, and other alike behavior analysis. You are able to click on the "Activities" tab for any different stream, to determine the other Twitter customers do and who they are following and favoriting.
- Me/Profile Silhouette Tab — You have access to your Twitter profile by hitting the little arrow right from the shadowy icon of the person. Your Twitter title can look towards the top of a drop-lower menu list. Click "view my profile page" alongside your title within the dropdown list to gain access to your Twitter profile. The refurbished profile page includes a bigger horizontal box over the top. The profile design seems made to make more room at the very top for businesses and marketers to determine their brands through large banner images. The majority of the key Twitter configurations for profiles are unchanged, though. They're still utilized in the same pull-lower menu under each user's title and virtually perform the same factor as before.
- The Brand New Twitter Includes Other Changes: Embeddable Tweets : Tweets could be embedded more fully in other websites now by using special embed code. The code can be obtained around the permalink page for each tweet. Once that code is embedded on, say, your blog or any other website, visitors can communicate with the tweet by clicking to retweet or favorite it around the place, without coming back to Twitter. Twitter described the embeddable tweet feature inside a blog publish.
- Brand Pages — Included in the redesign, Twitter introduced new, marketer-friendly brand profile pages that provide enhanced features and much more room for corporate ad banners, logos and marketing texting. Companies will have the ability to move selected tweets to the peak of the profile pages, too. Twitter described how these "brand" profile pages are made to help companies in your blog publish.
- New Twitter for Mobile Screens — Simultaneously it remodeled the net home page, Twitter refurbished its official applications for Android and Apple iOS phones. Twitter also made the brand new design on its Web-based mobile portal: mobile.twitter.com . The brand new Twitter mobile applications folded to everybody all at one time, as the Web-based redesign folded in stages.
- New Tweetdeck — Twitter remodeled the most popular Tweetdeck management tool for reading through and posting tweets so it bought in May 2011. The refurbished Tweetdeck reflects the net redesign changes. Unclear is exactly what change up the 2011 redesign may have on other popular Twitter clients.
No strings attached
- Zippier Texting — Included in the transformation, Twitter introduced it made technical tweaks to the system which will accelerate the entire texting system for everybody, so messages get sent faster and there is less lag time before others discover their whereabouts.
- More Consistency — Much more welcome, Twitter stated tweet streams/timelines will end up more consistent over the various Twitter platforms. Which means the timeline or stream of tweets in the people you follow, for instance, need to look exactly the same no matter whether you are viewing it in your mobile phone, out of your Tweetdeck account or from a classic Home windows computer in a public library somewhere.
- More Simplicity — Twitter professionals acknowledged the special Twitter language can baffle new customers. They stressed the 2011 changes should simplify and p-geek the texting service so more and more people uses it.


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Spring means installs, and for some of us this year that includes new suspension. While the springs were good and I liked having them, I always knew I'd replace them with coilovers and recently that happened.
This couldn't have been done without help however, so I have to say thanks first; Rebel Devil Customs sponsored the coilovers which I am grateful for, and when it came time to install them a small army showed up and we did it in one night. Dave, Jacob, Mario, and Derrick all helped out and stayed late to get this done; because we began in the evening it was after one in the morning when the Focus was finally back together.
The reason for the title of this post (which you may be wondering about) is that while my car is staying static, someone else is going the air route (you'll see who soon). It'll be interesting to compare the two installs and finished results and see how they match up.
Obviously the static versus air debate is a big one, but I don't pick sides or prefer one over the other. The way I see it, simply pick whichever system works better for your individual application and go for it. Frankly, I'd like air for the sedan but the price is keeping that on the wish list for now.
After a lot of research and debate, I opted to go with ST coilovers. I had been looking at the KW V1s but decided to save some money and get the STs since they're made by KW and are more or less V1s anyway.
The install wasn't too bad overall, but there were a few times we got stuck (mainly due to something not wanting to come off of the car). Eventually everything was swapped over and the car was sitting much closer to the ground.
Since we had to check the fitment anyway and make sure nothing would contact, the Tarmacs were installed the same night. Normally I wouldn't be on summer wheels so early but since I don't have to rely on the Focus every day, it's not an issue.
Mario suggested we leave out the collars in the rear to get that much more drop out of the coilovers, and I'm glad we did. The back is perfect! We stared off with the front coilovers having about 1.5″ of thread left and I have wound them down a bit since then. Eventually I want the front to be at this height as well but since the car just got aligned, I'll leave it where it is for a bit.
So far I am beyond happy with how the car feels now and even with the much more aggressive drop, I have yet to scrape on anything.
The next installments in Static vs Air will show the sedan with its new stance, and reveal who is going with bags.