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To celebrate National Acupuncture and Oriental Medicine Day, Maryland University of Integrative Health, the first accredited acupuncture school in the U.S., is eager to provide free acupuncture treatments to as many people as possible.
Our annual ACUTHON will take place during lunch and the early evening hours of Wednesday, October 25. In a relaxing setting, you will receive a very simple yet effective acupuncture treatment. Whether you have experienced acupuncture before or are a beginner, you are welcome and can expect to leave feeling relaxed, tended, and refreshed. Participants must be at least 18 years of age and must register in advance.
Free acupuncture treatments—really! No money, no obligation, no solicitation.
Note: This experience is enhanced when shared with a friend.
Maryland University of Integrative Health
7750 Montpelier Road, Laurel, MD, 20723
A compassionate and highly competent care team of licensed acupuncturists and graduate student interns will provide the treatments.
REGISTER by clicking on one of the following time slots for Oct. 25:
12:00 - 2:00 p.m. <-click here
4:00 - 7:00 p.m. <-click here
Actual treatment time is 20-25 minutes.
Because acupuncture works, because we love supporting our clinical interns, and because…wouldn't it be wonderful to do something nice for yourself and those you care about?


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Hialeah is the actual or alternate city name associated with 10 ZIP Codes by the US Postal Service.
Select a particular Hialeah ZIP Code to view a more detailed map and the number of Business, Residential, and PO Box addresses for that ZIP Code. The Residential addresses are segmented by both Single and Multi-family addessses.
Each individual Hialeah ZIP Code profile also includes Demographic Data including Population, Housing, Income, Households, and Growth Rates.Photos of the local Hialeah, FL area
|Hialeah, FL - Standard ZIP Codes
|33010 33012 33013 33014 33015 33016 33018
|Hialeah, FL - PO Box ZIP Codes (NO DEMOGRAPHIC DATA)
|33002 33011 33017
The Hialeah ZIP Code maps and basic ZIP Code information such as the number of Business, Residential and PO Box addresses in the ZIP Code are updated 4 times per year. Last update: August 1, 2018.
The DEMOGRAPHIC DATA for each Hialeah ZIP Code is updated annually. The last update was on July 1, 2018 and includes:

subset: commoncrawl


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Your secret to a high-gleam gaze & the richest, most vibrant eyeshadow you've ever seen – the mirror-effect pressed pigment melts instantly & stays put for hours.
What it does:
Dazzles with a spectacular mirrored metallic effect that has the high sheen of a cream or gloss but the easy wear & application of a powder, with over 80% pure pearl pigments. It's as easy to use as finger paints – no brushes necessary! The warmth of your fingers makes the formula to melt into skin without a need for primer.
tarteist™ tip: try layering your favorite powder eyeshadows on top of this longwearing formula – it'll make your look pop & last all night.


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India on Monday launched its satellite-based air navigation services, thereby joining a select league comprising the US, Europe Union (EU) and Japan which have similar systems.
Civil Aviation Minister Ashok Gajapati Raju dedicated the services to the nation in a ceremony here.
The system -- known as Gagan or global positioning system (GPS) aided geo-augmented navigation system -- is intended to provide accurate navigation services over the Bay of Bengal, southeast Asia, Indian Ocean, Middle East and African regions.
Gagan works by augmenting and relaying data from GPS satellites with the help of two augmentation satellites and 15 earth-based reference stations.
The process corrects any anomalies in the position data and gives accurate routes, landing guidance and time saving information to the pilots.
Gagan also fills a vital gap between EU's "European Geostationary Navigation Overlay Service" (EGNOS) and Japan's "Multi-functional Satellite Augmentation System" (MSAS) coverage areas.
"It took 15 years to achieve this feat. When Indians work as a team they deliver. Now the need is to spread the word about the potential uses of this system," Raju said.
"We will reach out to the end users, other government departments and even the neighbouring countries which can use this system."
GNSS.asia project is funded by the European Union within the Seventh Framework Programme under grant agreement no 287244.


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Apparently Sega COO Bernie Stolar's retail push has been going a bit too well for Sega's production schedule to handle. In an interview with The Dow Jones, Sega president Shoichiro Irimajiri claimed that the company has received over 2.4 million retail orders for the system and due to a limited production process for semi-conductors, the company will only be able to produce 1.5 million units by next March.
Irimajari also stated that the company anticipates anywhere between 350,000 and 500,000 pre-orders from consumers prior to the system launch here in the states. With this level of consumer interest in the early going, Sega will have their work cut out for them during the holiday rush in terms of meeting consumer demand. Whether or not this situation will result in a shortage, however, remains to be seen. We'll keep you posted.


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It can be hard to keep track of policy changes and legislative reforms that affect you and the person that you are caring for.
Services and supports
There are a variety of support systems available through the government and other organisations, that can assist you in your caring role. Contact our knowledgeable, friendly team for advice specific to your situation.
Get Some Advice
National Disability Insurance Scheme
The National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) is a new system to provide support and services to people with significant and permanent disability. It has been described as the most significant government initiative since Medicare. It is anticipated that 460,000 people will benefit from the NDIS by 2019 at a cost of $22 billion.
The NDIS is about giving the funding control to the person with disability (the participants). Participants will be able to choose what services they need and how, when and where they are provided. These services are provided to develop their skills and confidence.
Carers cannot get an NDIS plan or funding package in their own right. However, some supports for carers can be funded in a plan if they directly relate to the person with disability. Carers are also likely to benefit from the support the person they care for receives. The role of carers in assisting the person they care for to access the NDIS and develop the support plan is very important.
Carers SA can offer a range of tools and supports to help you and the person you care for to navigate the NDIS process.
To find out what it could mean for the person you care for, download our Carers SA NDIS fact sheet or visit the NDIS website:
You can also call NDIS contact centre from 8am to 11pm, Monday to Friday on 1800 800 110.
Aged Care
The Australian government's My Aged Care contact centre and website is your starting point for accessing a range of aged care services. People aged 65 years and over are eligible for aged care services, or for people of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander background the age of eligibility starts at 50 years.
My aged care Website
Finding out about the range of services available for you, and the older person that you are caring for, before you need them may help you to make well-informed decisions.
The services offered under My Aged Care depend on the individual's situation – people requiring a higher level of care may be eligible for a home care package of supports, while others may just need some basic home supports in order to be able to remain at home. The level of supports that you or the person you care for can access will be determined by an assessment which can be arranged through contacting the My Aged Care line on 1800 200 422 from 8am – 8pm Monday to Friday and 10am – 2pm on Saturday.
New Integrated Plan for Carer Support Services
In recognition of the need to support and sustain the vital work of unpaid carers, in 2015 the Australian Government committed $33.7 million over four years to design a new way of funding and delivering services called the Integrated Plan for Carer Support Services (The Plan). The Plan is being developed to reflect the Australian Government's priorities for carers, and outlines actions to improve access to information and services specifically for carers.
Over the past 18 months the Department of Social Services (DSS) has worked with the sector and carers to co-design a service model which will provide more services to more carers, with the aim to reach carers earlier in their caring journey in order to sustain them by providing supports that build their capacity, reduce strain, enable increased participation in education and the workforce and ultimately improve wellbeing.
In November and December 2016 a draft of this service delivery model was made available for consultation, the consultation period has now closed and DSS has provided a summary of the feedback received.
At present the roll out of this new system is set for 1 July 2018. In preparation for this rollout the Federal Government has created a Carer Gateway website which provides practical information and resources to support carers.
Policy Challenges
1 in 8 South Australians are carers. About one quarter of the population are affected by government decisions and policies that impact on carers. Carers are entitled to services in their own right, even though their needs are inextricably linked with those of the care recipients.
Carers are entitled to the same rights, choices and opportunities as other South Australians. They require particular measures to be part of this social inclusion vision: flexible and responsive assistance to meet their diverse needs to sustain their caring responsibilities, maintain health and participate in community life.
We have have a wide range of publications, including factsheets and policy submissions which you may find useful.
The Voice of Carers
We are the voice of carers, so that their contribution to the South Australian community and economy is recognised. We provide opportunities for the general public, professionals, students, employers and services in the government and community sector to hear what's important to carers and their families.
Carers SA represents South Australian family carers' interests and protects and advances their identified needs based on research and evidence.
We will raise awareness in the community so as to reach hidden family carers, in the community and the workplace so as to increase their self-recognition and knowledge of available services.
Have your say, and add strength to our collective voice, by becoming a member of Carers SA for only $10 for individuals and $70 for organisations.
Visit members area


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Ugh I didn't do so well yesterday. I spent half the day looking for my tablet stylus. >:\ I ended up using an old one that kept falling apart, so I only managed to paint one background ;(
Gotta focus! I hope I will do better today, I think I might fix a level.
I ended up finding my stylus in my bed covers xD I must have slept with it the night before.


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Daytona Beach is puzzling over the slow start to its summer season, fretting over hot competition from other Florida cities and stressing a need to improve its image to lure back visitors.
Volusia County's revenue from resort-tax collections dipped to $230,403 in May, down 19.8 percent, while nearby Orange, Osceola and Lake counties had healthy increases. The 2 percent tax is paid by visitors to hotels, motels and campgrounds.


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NovioSpin delivers innovative biomaterials for tissue regeneration.
The company focuses on novel functional guided tissue regeneration membranes for dental applications, which are produced from natural based and smart biomaterials. The vision of NovioSpin is to become the preferred provider of healthy and durable biomaterials for global customers.
We are proud to announce that NovioSpin received the proof-of-principle fund from the "Limburg Business Development Fonds (LBDF)". This fund launches NovioSpin into the next development phase of its first product and also enables us to stay on schedule for the delivery of our prototype.
Since this month, NovioSpin relocated to the "Blue Innovation Center" in Venlo in order to improve customer and stakeholder relations. The official visiting and correspondence address is:
NovioSpin B.V.
Noorderpoort 45
5916 PJ Venlo


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Parkpoom WongpoomFilmmaker
Parkpoom Wongpoom is a Thai filmmaker and screenwriter who had his debut short film Luang Ta (2001) which won the Best Director and Best Thai Short Film awards at the Bangkok Film Festival. He also co-directed and co-wrote horror film Alone (2007) with Banjong Pisanthnakun. The movie was a box-office hit and played at many film festivals including 2007 Bangkok International Film Festival where it competed for Best ASEAN Film.
Before fame
Parkpoom Wongpoom graduated from the Department of Film and Video, Faculty of Communication Arts at Rangsit University in 2000. In 2001, he produced his first short film titled Luang Ta (Old Monk) which lasts 8 minutes.
Personal life
Parkpoom has never said much about his personal life on mass media.
Social site


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Folkestone Moves is an interdisciplinary project that Gemma produced in 2014 with support from Arts Council England. The work brought together a filmmaker, a choreographer and a sound artist to collaborate with Folkestone residents to produce a new multi-screen film work that work part of the 2014 Folkestone Fringe.
More information on the work can be found here.
Folkestone Moves is an interdisciplinary project developed by three Artists: A Sound Artist (JJ Maurage), a Choreographer (Laura Murphy) and a Filmmaker (Gemma Riggs). It has been funded by Arts Council England with additional support from the University for the Creative Arts.


text: Easily discover the best of what Indianapolis has to offer! From the most popular live music venues to the best local destinations for a weekend family hike, our Things to Do app provides you with top recommendations to get out and experience the best events and experiences occurring in and around the city! * Our expert editors and reporters from The Indianapolis Star have done the homework for you. Their "best of" recommendations will inspire you to make the most of your free time. * Enjoy curated lists providing top food and dining options, complete with descriptions and photographs. * Discover some of the best places in town to visit for a weekend getaway. * Check out our expert's recommendations for family-friendly activities, and so much more!


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Hi Everyone! I hope you all had a great weekend! Most of my weekend was spent playing outside with the kids and doing yard work. The weather has been perfect lately and I'm so glad there's finally a bit of a chill in the air at night. Here is one of my looks I wore over the weekend. I am loving these new Frenchi faux leather leggings. They are so comfortable and easy to wear. Paired with a silk tank top, a denim shirt on top and a pair of leather booties it made the perfect weekend outfit.
Top: Rubbish via Nordstrom | Tank: Rubbish via Nordstrom | Bottom: Frenchi via Nordstrom | Shoes: Unisa via DSW | Bag: Phillip Lim for Target | Watch: Michael Kors via Nordstrom | Glasses: Betsy Johnson (old)
Have a great day!


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Water damage information
7/11/2017 (Permalink)
SERVPRO of Centreville, Marion and Selma is available 24 hours a day for water emergencies, large or small. When you are dealing with water damage, immediate action is crucial. A delay of just a few hours can greatly increase the severity of the water damage.
We received a call at 3 pm from a local school that had excessive rain water backing up into several buildings on campus . One buildings basement was flooded with over a foot of water. We worked that night until 7 pm extracting water. Then set up drying equipment. We came back the next morning on Saturday and finished tearing out damaged material and extracted the rest of the water. Job completion time including dry out was 3 days. Please remember to call SERVPRO of Centreville, Marion and Selma for all your cleanup needs.


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2018 Australian Masters and World Cup
- Details
- Category: Competition
- Published: Tuesday, 12 December 2017 16:38
- Hits: 478
The 2018 Australian Masters and World Cup will be hosted in Victoria on the 9th, 10th, 11th & 12th of March 2018. The venue will be P&DARCS at Pakenham, Victoria. The APA is once again super excited about this event as we have a lot of interest from international pilots.
On this page you'll find all the latest information for this special, not to be missed event.
This event is proudly supported by: The 2017 Australian Masters and World Cup received fantastic support from our sponsors. If you would like to support the 2018 Australian Masters and World Cup then please contact the Secretary via the contacts page.
Entries are NOW open!
APA Members register here. You must login to the website to register.
Non-APA Members register here.
Online entries will open for APA members on the 1st of January 2018. Entries for non APA members will open on the 15th of January 2018. Entries will close at 5pm AEST on the 4th of March 2018.
Bulletin 1: HERE
Final Bulletin : HERE
FAI Database Information form here.
30 Fowler Rd, Cardinia
URL: http://www.pdarcs.com.au
|Expert (A18)
|Tony Sheppard
|Michael Rutledge
|David Carkeek
|Scott Kay
|Sean Galloway (J)
|Anton Bate (J)
|John Brann
|Norm Morish
|Michael Smith
|Daniel Wheeler
|David Creed
|Peter Pennisi
|Mario Schembri
|James McAllen
|Mike Ralph
|Tom Collinge
|David Marriner
|Chris Henry
|Brian Dooley
|Ted Knowles
|Henry Hutchinson
|Tom Bloodworth
|Ewan Galloway
|Richard Hirst
|Roland Poidevin
|Russell Edwards
| Artur Uzieblo
|Colin Briede
| Phil Spence
|John Tonks
|Joseph Costa
|Jeff Boyd
|Andrew Palmer
|Hamish Galloway
|Rod Bailey
|Aaron Garle
|Durwin Dharmaraj
| Jason Arnold
|Geoff Healey
|Glenn Orchard
|Shayne Lysaght


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May 16, 2017
Local law enforcement agencies across the country opposes their role in the US. government's drive to ban "sanctuary cities." Sheriffs in particular don't want to involve themselves in the duties of the Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agency (ICE).
2. Jul 31, 2018
Pair of colliding stars spill radioactive molecules into space
3. Jul 27, 2018
Targeting headaches and tumors with nano-submarines
4. Jul 26, 2018
Researchers develop a new method to detect nucleation


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Genre: Sci-fi Adventure (Keyboard/Mouse)
Release date: July 25, 2015
You can make the most gorgeous game in the world. It can have breathtaking visuals, an intriguing story, imaginative characters, wonderful music and great ambience. But a poor control scheme and limited gameplay options can greatly overshadow a game's positive aspects.
Welcome to Cradle, an enigmatic sci-fi adventure I followed with interest during its development. When I was asked to write a review, I went for it.
Shortly after I started playing the game, my predominant feeling was: Oh no. What have they done? But I stuck with it. I gave it a chance. I hoped my feelings would change.
Well, some did...and some didn't.
Cradle's story is far from simple, and it probably won't appeal to everyone. It takes place in a dystopian future and concerns the relationship between a young protagonist named Enebish (you) and a cybernetic female called Ida.
As the game begins, you awaken in a yurt in Mongolian steppe country. You have no memory.
Ida is there, too, in a non-functional state. After you repair her ability to communicate, you discover that she is actually human consciousness housed in an artificial body. Her memory is also missing.
The game has two other characters: a gorgeous golden eagle which, unfortunately, you get to see only briefly; and a rather eccentric, curmudgeonly maglev tram operator named Tabaha. They are both cybernetic as well.
The only other structure in Cradle is a nearby run-down entertainment park housed within a huge tent. It's actually...well...sort of creepy.
With Ida's help and occasional assistance from Tabaha, you spend the bulk of the game piecing together clues concerning your and Ida's identities and histories, and go about unraveling the entertainment park's dark past. Your overriding question is: Who Am I?
There's much reading to be done in Cradle. The yurt is littered with scraps of paper, notes, books, magazines, letters and newspapers as well as photographs. Most are accessible and can have a bearing on the story, as does information you get from Ida.
Some of the info -- depending on when you come across it -- might not seem pertinent or make sense until further along in the narrative. It is, therefore, necessary to pay attention and keep your brain engaged, as the game doesn't spoon-feed you.
On the surface, the story had me saying such things as Huh? and WTF? But by forging ahead and applying some heavy-duty thinking, things gradually started falling into place. Cradle's story is so complex and includes so many unfamiliar elements that I still haven't figured out all of it. As a result, the game practically screams the need for multiple playthroughs if you really want to understand it.
The beautiful, detailed graphics of Cradle work well to impart a feeling of actually being in the game's environment. Emotion display technology is used to incorporate videos of the eyes of actual actors in both Ida and Tabaha. This effectively enables the two characters to have convincing, lifelike facial expressions.
The game's music and ambient sounds provide enhancement without being obtrusive, but the voice acting is a mixed bag. I have no complaints about Ida or Tabaha. But Enebish sounds more like an all-American midwestern college kid than a Mongolian. His delivery is also somewhat flat, particularly considering what's going on around him.
Cradle's physics are imprecise and can be difficult to negotiate. For example: try to place an item on a table and it could end up on the floor; set down a container into which you must put something and it could repeatedly flip over; place something on the floor and it might bounce across the room.
During the game's very first activity, I had to take something from a shelf in the yurt, use it and return it to the shelf. The game explicitly says it must go back to its original location. The problem is that it won't go back. Instead, it collides with other objects and knocks them on the floor. I fiddled with it and fiddled with it to no avail. All I got was an increasingly cluttered floor. Ultimately, I dropped the item in question on the floor as well and went outside for awhile.
When I returned to the yurt, everything was back on the shelf where it belonged. There had been no need for me to spend time trying to do something which, as far as I'm able to tell, is impossible. Why would Flying Café do this? I'm baffled.
Another bafflement is the inclusion of five or six mandatory mini-games that appear throughout the game (I lost count after the first few). They all yield items that are essential to the continuation the game.
These mini-games are practically identical and involve tossing bright, multicolored blocks around in a specific way. Their appearance is so aesthetically different from the rest of the game that I found them a bit jarring. They also pulled me out of the story.
Later on, I discovered that the mini-games do relate to the story in a very tangential way. In my opinion, however, this connection is not sufficiently strong to warrant their inclusion in Cradle's narrative to such a degree.
I lost the first mini-game -- which seemed to go on and on -- and was given a choice of either replaying the thing or skipping it. No need to ask twice; I skipped it. Later, I discovered this holds true for all of them: just lose and choose.
I'm now going to admit doing something that probably no self-respecting gamer should admit: rather than devoting any more time to an activity at which I was almost certain to fail repeatedly, I lost the rest of the mini-games on purpose. If I hadn't, I'd probably still be trying to beat the first one. Interestingly, the ante-chamber of each mini-game resembles a padded cell. I can certainly understand why.
Losing each mini-game took me approximately 15 minutes. Ironically, each one yields the same payoff whether you win or lose. So what's the point?
Why didn't Flying Café make the mini-games optional, I wonder? If this had only been the case, I could have used the 90 minutes I spent in pursuit of losses to better advantage elsewhere.
Technically, Cradle is a mess.
There are no player-initiated saves. Instead, the game has pre-determined save points. Leaving the game between save points, whether voluntarily or as the result of a crash -- I had several -- causes you to lose all progress subsequent to the last save. This makes it necessary to go back through parts of the game you've already played, sometimes repeatedly.
The game's limited FOV, which can cause certain people to experience such things as dizziness, headaches and nausea, is non-adjustable.
Key bindings are hard-wired and can't be remapped. As a left-hander, I'm used to using arrow keys for forward, backward, left and right, with my left hand controlling the mouse.
Cradle employs WASD keys. Period. I've never had to use these keys, as I've always been able to reassign their functions to the arrow keys.
This time I had no choice but to use them. Keys for most of the game's other functions are unchangeable as well.
From force of habit, I found myself automatically reaching for the arrow keys. Then I'd remember the game doesn't use those, after which I'd need a moment to think about which key I was supposed to use. (By accident, I discovered that the left and right arrow keys make you spin around real fast.)
Try operating a mouse with your left hand while mashing W+Shift+Space Bar with your right. It's quite awkward. I kept hitting E (inventory) and the Windows key by accident.
I also had difficulty negotiating moves requiring precision, the worst being a daunting jump sequence that takes place on a highly elevated walkway attached to a structure in the entertainment park tent. I fell and fell and fell. Then I fell some more. Each time, I either lost consciousness or came close to it.
Thanks to the absence of user-initiated saves, even if I made it to the very last jump before I screwed up, I'd have to do all of them again. This became very tiresome. To add insult to injury, I was on this very path in order to reach one of the mini-games. What a double-whammy.
On August 11th, I wrote to Flying Café about the limited FOV and key bindings, and asked if they planned to release patches for either. It's now August 20th and I've received no reply.
I did find the following regarding FOV posted by Flying Café in the game's discussion area on Steam (exact quote): Sorry. We set the optimal FOV that more conviniant for Cradle world. You can not change FOV.
So if low FOV is a problem for you, you might want to avoid Cradle.
The game's framerates are all over the map. They don't seem tied to where you are, what you're doing or what's happening around you. They just speed up and slow down for no apparent reason.
The mouse pointer lags even with all game settings at their lowest levels. Further, mouse sensitivity is disproportionate and there is no way to turn off acceleration. These things combine to make the mouse rather difficult to control.
Cradle has an intricate sci-fi narrative, and great visuals, music, sounds and ambience.
Unfortunately, these good points are marred by the lack of gameplay options, numerous technical difficulties and mind-numbing mini-games. In particular, people who are FOV-sensitive and/or left-handed could have trouble playing the game.
It pains me to say this, but despite everything it has going for it, I'm unable to recommend Cradle. I would be less critical if Flying Café were to address the game's more serious problems, but unfortunately, it appears as though this isn't going to happen.
+ Fascinating, intricate sci-fi narrative
+ Great visuals, music, sounds and ambience
- Imprecise physics
- Limited gameplay options
- Non-adjustable FOV, hard-wired key bindings, inconsistent framerates, laggy mouse that's difficult to control
- Obtrusive and basically incongruent mini-games


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T-bar sandal in red satin decorated on the toe with a tonal arrow motif. Adjustable ankle strap fastened with a small side buckle. Flawlessly finished with a stiletto heel and glittered outsole.
Tapered-toe court shoes crafted from black karung leather with delicate strap in satin with rhinestone detailing that coils around the ankle and flaunts the instep. High stiletto heel and glittered outsole.


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Do you want your Review about Vritomartis to be posted in our blog? Do you want your photos and videos from your naturist holidays to be published in our blog? Do you want to take part in our photo competitions that give big prizes every year? Then the only thing you have to do is send an email to firstname.lastname@example.com or fill out the following contact form.
2 thoughts on "Contact Us"
I would like to receive information .I want to get you through Amarillo.
me and my wife


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Probability Theory and Concepts
What are the odds - http://realestate.msn.com/insurance/Article.aspx?cp-documentid=67278>1=7403
What is Probability?
A probability is a measure of the likelihood that an event in the future will happen. We assume a probability between 0 and 1 (or Zero Percent and 100 Percent).
Basic relationships of probability: According to the text, the terms probability, chance, and likelihood are often used interchangeably (Lind, 2002).
Two types of probability are objective and subjective probability.
OBJECTIVE PROBABILITY: Classical vs. EmpiricalObjective probability can be broken down into a) classical probability and b) empirical probability.
Classical vs. Empirical Differ:
Three important concepts:
Examples of subjective probability give in the book are:
Rules Related to Probability of Events
Special Rule of Addition: the formula for mutually exclusive events is:
P(A or B) =
If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, the special rule of addition states that the probability of A or B occurring equals the sum of their respective probabilities.
2). Complement Rule: The Complement Rule is used to determine the probability of an event occurring by subtracting the probability of the same event NOT occurring from 1. For example, Bill Hall says there is a 40% chance of rain today. Using the complement rule, we would subtract the chance of it NOT raining today (60%) from 1.
1 - .60 = .40 (Bill's forecast).
If P(A) is the probability of event A and P(~A) is the complement of A, then
Here is a Venn diagram illustrating the complement rule:
3). The General Rule of Addition:
The Special Rule of Addition illustrated above will
always work because the outcomes must be mutually exclusive.
If one event occurs, none of the others can occur simultaneously.
Therefore, it is possible to isolate the probability of one specific
event or combination of events from the probability that this event will NOT
If A and B are two events that are not mutually exclusive, then P(A or B) is given by the following formula:
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
Here is a Venn diagram illustrating the general rule of addition:
4). Joint Probability
A joint probability measures the likelihood that two or more events will happen concurrently. An example given in our class (based on text) was the event that a student has both a stereo and TV in his or her dorm room.
5). The Special Rule of Multiplication
The special rule of multiplication requires that two events A and B are independent. Two events A and B are independent if the occurrence of one has no effect on the probability of the occurrence of the other. Then:
P(A and B) = P(A)P(B)
6). Conditional Probability
A conditional probability is the probability of a particular event occurring, given that another event has occurred. The probability of the event A given that the event B has occurred is written
Conditional probability applies when one is attempting
to predict the probability of a specific event, given that another event has
occurred. For example, if you are
running 20 minutes late for work, what are the odds that you will get stopped by
the police for speeding?
P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A)
7). General Rule of Multiplication
The general rule of multiplication is used to find the joint probability that two events will occur. For two events A and B, the joint probability that both events will happen is found by multiplying the probability that event A will happen by the conditional probability of B given that A has occurred.
P(A and B) = P(A)P(B/A)
P(A and B) = P(B)P(A/B)
8). Decision Tree Diagrams
A tree diagram is useful for portraying conditional, joint probabilities, and for analyzing business decisions involving several stages. Uses statically values to show the different route one can take.
9). Bayes' Theorem
Is a method for revising a probability given additional information.
10). The multiplication formula
Indicates that if there are m ways of doing one thing and n ways of doing another thing, there are m x n ways of doing both.
11). Permutations
A permutation is any arrangement of r objects selected from n possible objects and the order of arrangement is important. Think of a combination lock...the combination lock is a dirty lie. It should be called a permutation lock. Because order of the numbers is important.
12). Combinations:
A combination is the number of ways to choose r objects from a group of n objects without regard to order. Think money...if I give you ones and twenties it does not mater which ones I give you first...as long as I always give you the same number of ones and twenties. Think of a combination lock...the combination lock is a dirty lie. It should be called a permutation lock.
Lind, et al. (2002). Statistical Techniques
in Business & Economics (11th ed).


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Posts Tagged 'government spending'
GE is looking to cut the cost of solar panel installations in half by engineering a system that would make it possible to roofers and contractors to perform the installation as opposed to higher costed specialized labor. They want to get the total cost down to roughly $21,600 (from roughly $35,000).
Here's how our Federal government can quickly solve energy problems as well as stimulate the economy in a real manner. We all know that Obama and Congress love spending money. Heck, throw W into the spending mix too, and you have the largest deficits and national debt in the history of the world! Unlike most spending our Federal government does, this spending would actually bring about some real value to America.
Our Government Just Prints More Money Anyway
Spend another $700 billion dollars to install the $21,600 systems on homes in America. Now, the first argument might be that we need to evaluate whether there is enough sun coming in to make this worthwhile. Well, good news, someone has already done that! There is plenty of sun hitting the majority of the United States to make this worthwhile.
The $700 billion investment would put solar systems on approximately 32,407,407 houses. Now, that's not taking into consideration economies of scale. Manufacturing that many solar panels and performing that many installations would considerably drop the costs associated with the installations. We could easily see a 20-30% drop in total cost, but I'll stick with the 32.4 million installations for easy math. That's roughly 24.93% of the estimated 130 million houses in America. With these solar panel systems producing an average of 85% of the house's energy needs, that means a drop in existing energy consumption by 21.19%
What would happen if our need for energy from existing sources dropped by 1/5??? Well, simple economics would shift the price of energy down. For global warming worriers, it would mean production of 1/5 of our energy now comes from solar. Of course, it wouldn't really mean a drop in household energy cost by 20 percent. Production from other sources would decline to keep prices from plummeting by 20 percent, but there would be a substantial decline in the cost of energy for the end consumer. Even if it was a 10% decline, I'll show you at the end just how substantial this could be!
True Trickle Down Economics
Now, let's get into the worker value! Solar panel production would skyrocket. Solar panel producers would need to hire more employees, put more people to work, order more materials from their suppliers… It's true trickle down economics. But that's just the production side of things! There's the installation side as well. Thousands of workers would be put to work making good, hard-working money! These workers would be driving, eating, buying clothes for their families, etc. True trickle down economics. Local economies around the US would greatly benefit from this massive rise in employment and their subsequent spending!
Now, let's talk about the true economic savings as energy costs in the United States drop by 20% I've mentioned in Energy Based Inflation that rising energy costs have an impact on EVERYTHING. There's no escaping the cost of energy in our current economy. Every company and every job requires energy. For some companies and some families, energy is a massive expense! For someone like me with a house but no kids, my electric bills are very low. Still, my house could produce enough energy for me and half of what the family that lives across the street from me needs!
But wait! There's more!!!
Electric cars will become viable global warming worrier alternative energy vehicles. Currently, electric cars don't really save much (if at all) in greenhouse gas emissions because of the fact that America gets so much energy from coal… This solar panel plan would make electric cars much cleaner than gasoline cars, since American would not be getting 21.19% of our energy from solar. Greenies rejoices!
So, what would the ROI be for our Federal government to print another $700 billion dollars? Well, we can start with the amount that Americans spend on electricity (Retail Electricity): $350,438,000,000. Yes, that's $350 billion Americans spent on energy in 2009. Now, earlier I reasoned that while there is a 20% energy savings, our costs would only drop by maybe 10% because production from other sources would adjust to compensate for the sudden massive increase in energy production by solar. Even at just 10% that means Americans will be saving $35 billion (yes, BILLION with a B) in energy costs/year.
Collectively, we can go spend that money on other things, save it, invest it in retirement funds/stock market/kitchen remodel, etc. The savings for $35 billion dollars would significantly stimulate the economy because we aren't just going to sit on that $35 billion. We'll spend/invest it! We, the people will stimulate the economy from a legitimate and long-term value add from our Federal government. Much better than a couple of $600 "stimulus" checks we got from W! Or the great W/Obama bank/auto bailout.
I hear the cries of the supposed 99% (OCCUPY) folks. I'm in the 53%, the group of Americans that pays Federal and State income taxes. On top of that (like many Americans), I pay property taxes, gasoline taxes, sales taxes, and countless other government fees (including those 9/11 security fees on plane tickets). There are taxes upon taxes that I'm paying… and more taxes on top of all that.
While I think we should be on a bond-only system for funding our government programs, there's an interim solution to getting there. One that wouldn't be so radical: opt-out taxes. I'm not talking about being able to opt-out of Federal income taxes like my friend Jimbosway is likely to support. I'm talking about giving tax payers the right to opt-out of funding Federal programs with their tax dollars.
Where The Money Goes
This doesn't mean you get a tax refund right away and the government losses all it's money because nobody is going to want to fund any program. It just means that your tax dollars don't get spent on something you don't want them spent on. For example, if someone wants to not fund farm subsides for sugar in Florida, they opt-out of that program. If someone doesn't want to fund NPR, opt-out. Etcetera.
We could even take it a step further and allow someone to change their funding from say sugar subsides to NASA, so NASA would have additional funding. You'd have to lock in your choices for a year at a time. This way, each program will know what it's budget is for the coming year.
Now, what happens to the opt-out money? Well, let's just face it. That's a problem we're not going to have to worry about for another $1+ trillion dollars. However, eventually, there could be a budget surplus as government programs are defunded. There's nothing wrong with a government surplus. When that happens, and if it runs surplus long enough then the government will know how much money each taxpayer should receive back. That's pretty simple and fair.
This will also put a tremendous amount of accountability onto the shoulders of US (that's an emphasized us, not United States – well, United States citizens…) If we don't want to support programs like TARP and bailout programs, we don't fund them. Now, people will say things like: TARP was an emergency. We couldn't wait a year to get that funding. I'll just laugh at that argument. Unless you were John McCain, you saw it coming!
Another HUGE benefit of this is that it would give us massive government transparency. Rather than transparency being a punchline in an Obama speech, it becomes a reality! We'll know what programs are receiving how much funding, and more importantly we'll know what the hell the programs are! If someone is spending your hard earned money, don't you think you should know where it's spent? It's not like the government agencies need to send us postcards or pictures of the kids we're helping like a charity does. But we will at least know that our money isn't going to fund a program that we don't support.
Technology has advanced significantly over the last few decades. Yet, our political system and taxes are way behind on utilizing technology to better themselves. We can create and easily maintain massive databases that would house this information and allow our budgeting to be based upon democratic taxation.
Other Ways the Government Can Still Steal Our Money
And Congress members who love to spend money like it's going out of style need not fret. They can still work on pork belly programs! Pass whatever spending they want with the existing methods they now have. Fund it just like they do now. If we the people decide to provide them with the funding, the program can continue on. If we don't, the program dies.
Congress could also go about imposing "fees" instead of using income tax dollars. Just look at your cell phone bills or airplane tickets to see examples of those. They could go about imposing other use taxes (perhaps a national sales tax, since they're already talking about it anyway).
None of these worry me because if we did have an opt-out system in place and Congress did try to go about stealing more money from our pockets, we'd be more educated about what is going on with our government on a greater scale than we do know. We'd have a much greater vested interest in where our money is being spent/wasted. The second Congress tried to implement a national sales tax or additional fees, we'd put a stop to it.
More Accountability
I also think that our greater involvement with the spending of our taxes dollars would turn the tables on today's political thinking. Right now, Congress can just go pass any spending bill they want without much accountability to their constituents. With an opt-out system in place, Congress is going to have to go back to the people they serve and ask them to support their decisions. Congress is going to have to explain why they're voting yes on spending more money. Opt-out make Congress accountable to the people they serve!
American capitalism is dead.
I'm sensationalizing a bit with the first sentence, but the reality is that American capitalism is on life support. We're propping up a facade of capitalism and millions of people are blaming "deregulation" (to slander the ideals of capitalism) on this long drawn out "recession". I'm using a lot of "quotes" here because "deregulation" is a misnomer and the "recession" is really a depression masked by bogus inflation numbers and massive government deficit spending and a decline in the value of the US Dollar. That last sentence was a mouthful, so let's start with these myths…
Deregulation is defined as the act of freeing from regulation, particularly government regulation. The idea that the federal government deregulated the banks is much like the idea that The Constitution clearly uses the words "separation of church and state". Deregulation, in the sense that is being used to slander capitalism, was merely a change in the regulations by the government that created holes that thousands of bankers and millions of consumers took advantage of.
Nobody can take a loan out for 125% of the value of their home and honest think there is nothing wrong with that. Just like nobody can offer a loan at 125% of the value of a home and not think there is nothing wrong with that. Just like nobody in the Federal government can pickup a newspaper from 10 years ago about 125% loans and not think there is something wrong. If you can, you're exactly why we are in the banking mess we are today.
Recession is defined as a decline in GDP, employment, and trading lasting a period of six months to a year. Earlier, I referred to bogus inflation numbers and massive government deficit spending and a decline in the value of the USD. First, the inflation numbers don't require a rocket scientist (because supposed economists clearly aren't capable of the math) to figure out that they are false.
Simply take a look at what goes into calculating the Consumer Price Index (CPI). You will find few line items where the government is not heavily subsidizing/regulating that industry. Given that the federal government is more than $14 trillion in debt, it's pretty clear that inflation numbers are considerably underestimated. If you didn't follow that last part, I'll help explain: if is costs you $3.15 for a gallon of milk at the grocery store but the federal government is providing subsidizes to milk producers to the tune of $0.50/gallon, the true cost of a gallon of milk for you is actually $3.65. I'll admit that I haven't done the research to find out the exact $/gallon of milk the subsidizes equate to, but you can get the point. Now, count this over the hundreds of entitlement programs the Federal government spends money on, and you have a real problem with the calculation of the CPI (inflation).
To further exacerbate the national debt issue, people don't really consider the buildup of interest on the national debt as part of the total problem. This isn't that unusual. A lot of people in business often forget about how borrowing money from a bank or investors requires payments that impact the actual bottom line of the company. Here's a simple way to think about it: when the Federal government was over budget by $455 billion in 2008, the total increase in national debt was actually more than $1 trillion.
This all compounds!
When you include the devaluation of the USD abroad and the fact that we purchase so much product from overseas and that it takes 6+ months for that devaluation to ripple its way into our prices, you get rest assured that there are much higher prices coming to a store near you very soon…
Now, let's get back to capitalism. At the beginning of this article, I needed to dismiss the myth of low inflation over the last decade so that we could really see that this "recession" is indeed a depression (I'm betting that decades from now, we will finally admit in our history textbooks that the numbers were wrong and that this is a depression).
Capitalism has been slandered by the myth of deregulation. Deregulation was a change in regulation that anyone sane and honorable would have realized had massive holes that were being taken advantage of. Nobody wanted to halt the good times, so our governments (which could have done something about it) did nothing for years! That's NOT deregulation. It wasn't an act of capitalism. Plenty of people warned for years about pending doom, and they were dismissed as pessimistic and bearish.
However, these aren't the true measure of capitalism's comatose state. The true measure is that we look to our politicians to "create jobs" and provide "bailouts". What is capitalistic about bailouts? NOTHING! What is capitalistic about too big to fail? NOTHING! The funniest part about "too big to fail" is that the giant banks that were too big to fail were merged with existing banks, making those new banks too bigger to fail! Why weren't the banks broken up into smaller pieces with the non-profitable sections written off and offset by "bailout" money? But I digress, and that's for another sub-1000 word blog.
The Capitalist mindset in this economy would be this: What can I improve, change, or invent that would make a profit, provide jobs, and improve our economy. Instead, we are waiting for Obama to create more Federal jobs, and the "Republicans" are spewing forth their usual taxes rhetoric. Even Sarah Palin is talking about how can the federal government create jobs and stimulate the economy. What would best stimulate the economy would be a strong USD position, 10% reduction in all federal government spending and an increase in taxes. Of course, anyone will say I'm crazy and it wouldn't work. Because it obviously didn't work in the 90s when Clinton did it, right?
I know I'm about to piss off just about every college student in America, but they really aren't to blame for cuts to the government spending at state universities. It's the students before them that are the issue.
The entire concept of the state government providing funding to the state universities is pretty simple: the universities provide an education that allows students to attain higher paying jobs and create businesses that in tern hire more people.
With unemployment at record highs and income a lower levels than a decade ago, clearly the universities have not produced the results the state government was hoping for. The state government pays for most everything with tax dollars. If unemployment is high and business isn't booming, the universities haven't produced students who can grow the economy. Their funding should get cut. It's pretty simple.
Of course, the state governments should be providing the universities with any funding. If anything, they state governments should issue grants and loans to prospective students only. On top of that, the state governments should not rely on taxes for those funds at all. Instead, states should issue bonds to raise money for the grants they issue to students. This would eliminate "budget cut" woes for universities. A university would stand purely on its own merit and ability to compete for quality students. All of this would allow universities to actually compete for students instead of having state mandated tuition fees. Generally speaking, competition generates lower prices as cost is quite often one of the most important factors for any purchasing decisions.
Here's an idea for the government bailout program that the vast majority of Americans don't support. Give us an opt out clause on our taxes for the next 10 years.
Now, I'm not talking about opting out of our taxes. Those of us who don't support the bailout will still have to pay our taxes as usual. However, we can opt out of our tax dollars being used to fund this ridiculous scam.
If you limit the government's availability of funds, they can't be as spendthrift as they have been. If they want to come up with $700 billion to spend on some useless bailout, they will need to get it from some other source than the American taxpayer.
Years ago, this would not have been possible. However, with technology today, this is entirely possible. In fact, we could give taxpayers the ability to opt out of any irresponsible government spending. It would really make it simple for the government to determine how much they can waste on pointless bailouts like the automobile industry bailout. If 60% of Americans don't support the automobile bailout then they will only have access to 40% of the taxpayer funds.
This would make budgeting for the government much easier! Taxpayers don't support something, Congress can't just go spend the money whenever and wherever they want. I suspect that we could balance the budget within 4-5 years and keep it balanced indefinitely with a bailout opt out clause. In fact, I suspect the government would end up with considerable surpluses as government waste would now have a true checks and balance system in place. The total tax dollars collected would be the same, but the ability for Congress to spend would drop considerably.
Now, some might argue that this would create serious problems with because the funding for the bailout is something that is "necessary" to avoid a greater economic downturn or because it is something the public doesn't understand the importance of. I have two words December 2007.


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I don't know if you have heard, but pure pumpkin is REALLY healthy. Half a cup of this orange goop only has 40 calories and half a gram of fat, 9 g carbs, 4 g sugar and 2 g protein…and not to mention ALL the vitamin A you could want. I love pumpkin pie made with granulated sugar with a can of evaporated milk and that flaky pie crust is just the best.
In my new mission to cook healthy food that still taste good, I tried making a Protein Pumpkin Pie I found on a the t-nation.com message board. My sweet tooth is sabotaging my weight loss goals, so I thought I would give this a shot.
Crustless Protein Pumpkin Pie
1 cup cottage cheese (fat free)
1 scoop vanilla protein powder for added protein (optional)
11 T Splenda, divided
1 can (15 oz) solid pumpkin
7 egg whites
Ground cinnamon
Ground cloves
Ground ginger
Ground nutmeg
Directions say to blend cottage cheese until smooth and creamy. I put a cup in the food processor and blended on high speed until completely creamy. I've never thought to do this before, but I liked the texture a lot! Then the direction say to pour this into a bowl and add 4 T Splenda, pumpkin and spices. I actually just added the splenda, pumpkin and spice into my cuisinart and blended it really good with the cottage cheese cream I made. Notice the ingredients do not specify how much of the spices to add, so I just made it up as I went, adding more cinnamon than the others because I like cinnamon flavors more than nutmeg and cloves. The cloves in my opinion make it a bit bitter, so I only put in a heavy pinch.
Then my lovely friend Allyson came over and she just got her hair cut so we spent a few minutes talking about how fabulous she looks. We opened a bottle of California table white wine called Middle Sister (crisp, fresh and easy to drink) and she joined me in the kitchen to continue the pie adventure.
Next, you need to separate your egg whites (I bought a small carton of egg whites to make this step easier) and put into mixing bowl. Mix at high speed, gradually adding 7 T of Splenda. I'd like to interrupt here and say I don't have a handy dandy mixer, but expect to register for one when I get married. I used a hand mixer…maybe that was the beginning of the end for me.
Mix these egg whites until they are "firm." I think the definition of firm is forming soft peaks…anyone? Anyone? Okay, so this is where I screwed up a little (maybe) I forgot to add the 7 T of splenda and beat the living hell out of these egg whites. When my arm got tired of holding the mixer Allyson and I agreed we should just start "folding" the egg whites into my pumpkin mixture but it never really got blended. Oh no.
This is when I stopped chatting and looked back at the recipe and realized I forgot the splenda. So I just added it to my bowl of mess and started beating all of it together instead of "folding." At this point it looks really big, lots of liquid and I'm worried it's not going to fit into my pie plate. We sprayed my glass pie plate with Pam and poured all the contents of my mixing bowl in. Now, bake at 425 for 15 minutes. After 15 minutes the top is starting to brown and it looks like a regular pumpkin pie. Then turn down heat and bake at 350 for another 40 minutes. When I took it out, it was huge! It never overflowed but stood three inches higher than the pie plate. I let it cool for 10 minutes and it deflated to resemble a pie.
We were supposed to let it cool before cutting, but after all this work we wanted the reward! It was very warm when we sliced it, but all the ingredients held together well and the consistency of the pie was great. You could taste the pumpkin flavor and all the spices. You couldn't tell at all there was a cup of cottage cheese in it. You could definitely taste the egg, but I wasn't bothered by it.
If you are trying to lose weight and have a sweet tooth like I do, this is a great alternative to the real deal. Add a squirt of fat free whipped topping, and you got a guiltless dessert!
This morning I tried a sliver of the pie after it had chilled in the fridge overnight. DELISH! It is much better served cold in my humble opinion.


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MBTA crews were out in the field clearing snow and ice and making repairs during and after each storm. Check out our photo gallery to see our teams at work!
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Doing a wonderful job Megan and to all you mums out there �
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Highly recommend shopping from this page over any other! Fantastic service, quick responses to product questions I had and great answers leading me to buying three products! A teething ring, necklace and key ring. All have been a huge help to me whilst my boy experiences the process of teething. Also because I lived local the page owner personally dropped these products off to me! Such commitment to helping me personally out receiving my products as fast as possible. I could not ask for a better service and will DEFINATELY be shopping here again. Thank you mama Megan you are a gem �
Megan at September Baby is super easy to talk to and makes shopping a breeze! I also enjoy her mumma of the week articles.
I just love my silicone necklace and so does Hunter I also loved the friendly service and help when I had questions regarding the necklace
I also love this page after reading other mummies stories and experience you don't feel alone lol so thank you September baby for such a useful page
$10 SHIPPING - AUSTRALIA WIDE - AFTERPAY IT! Dismiss


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I had a dollhouse as a little girl that I thought was beyond amazing. My daddy made it in our basement secretly for Christmas over several months when I was about 9. It was a two story Victorian style with a big porch and even the tiny mailbox had tiny lettering that he carefully hand painted our address on- 227 (and 1/2) Stone St. I spent so many hours at the table playing with my dollhouse, stocking the attic with marshmallow pumpkins pretending it was Laura Ingalls and family storing up for the big winter, rearranging furniture, and of course planning out my future home. After I had my own little girl something in me just cried out that a dollhouse was a necessary part of childhood so I set out to find a used one that I could fix up for
myself us, I was lucky enough to find a solid and structurally sound one on a local sell site for $30 and all it needed was a little TLC. I really wanted a "Fixer Upper" look for the dollhouse but on a budget, miniatures can be very expensive so I wanted to save where I could. I started with the floors on the bottom level with this DIY Dollhouse Popsicle Stick Floor.
Here is what you will need to make your own…
sturdy scissors or this craft cutter
Stain or walnut ink
sanding block or sand paper
The first thing you want to do is cut off each of the rounded ends of your Popsicle sticks, just before where the curve begins.You can use scissors like I did but 1. your hands will be sore by the time you are done and 2. you will go through 2 pair of perfectly good scissors cutting the Popsicle sticks. I wasn't sure how many I was going to need so I did about 25 at a time until I had an idea of how many I would need.
Cut several of your "boards" in half, as you lay your floor you want to stagger every other board where it starts against one wall with a full length and then a half size board.
Squeeze a line of wood glue down the floor in the first couple rows beginning in the furthest corner. Press a full length popsicle stick into the corner, lay several more down the row then move to the next row, starting with a half piece. Push the first row against the wall as you lay the second row. When you get to the end of each row simply measure and cut the size you need. Continue working a couple rows at a time until you are at the end of the flooring. Wipe away excess glue as you go with a damp rag.
At the doorway use a straight edge blade to cut a bit of your trim away so the boards slide up underneath it if you are trying to salvage the trim, otherwise cut it away first.
Place heavy books or other objects on your floor all the way across to keep boards from curling up and allow to dry for several hours.
To create molding around the floor I trimmed small flat dowels to size and glued them in place. Tape off edges with painters tape so that you can stain without getting it on the walls.
Run a sanding block or fine sand paper over your flooring to smooth and help remove any glue residue that is left.
You can apply your stain with a rag or a paint brush, I gave it a heavy coat with the paintbrush a small section at a time…
Then quickly wiped it away because I wanted a lighter, worn and aged look.
Run the sanding block over the surface again.
The final step is to seal your floor, use a gloss or flat modge podge depending on the finish you want. I did mine with a flat because it's what I had on hand but I think I will go back later with a gloss. Brush a coat across the flooring, once dry repeat with a second coat.
Here is an overall look at the finished product, I was a little impatient and started hanging things on the walls already. I used kraft paper to make a mock up of how I wanted the photos on the wall to hang.
After your floor is completely dry you can begin to move in your furniture, start with permanent fixtures like cabinets, refrigerator, etc… I used double sided foam tape to hold the cabinets and stove in place.
I am still working on gathering and making furniture for our dollhouse and will have more to show you each Monday in what my daughter and I are calling "Miniature Mondays". Each week we will show you a different tutorial as we work on our fixer upper dollhouse.


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Nic Roome's madeleines have become my latest edible obsession. As far as I can gather, he runs a small operation out of his house and is a recent convert to the world of artisan food production, having left a career at Burberry to pursue baking. I was first introduced to Roome's madeleines by my friend Kitty Travers, my official London food guru, at Monmouth Coffee's Bermondsey location. Since it is only open on Saturdays, I sort of panicked at the thought of having limited access to these golden scallops of ground almond and lemon zest cake. I later found that these morsels are available at Monmouth Coffee's Covent Garden and Borough Market shops, though only on Thursdays. For now, Roome's madeleines are far too scarce for comfort, but they sure are worth the wait.
Nic Roome's Madeleines at Monmouth Coffee
6 Comments
OMG. Those madelines are A.M.A.Z.I.N.G.
It's 7:30 and now all I want for breakfast are these madeleines!
[…] creamy, and delicious. 99.9% of the time they are also fried (the other .1% of the time they are Nic Roome's madeleines. Such is the case for St John's custard donuts. The pockets of sugar-crystal coated dough are […]
Oooo! I eat these a lot (Monmouth Coffee is an obession of mine!), never knew how special they were!
[…] Nic Roome back in February while researching a piece on Maltby Street for The Atlantic. I tasted his legendary madeleines, perfect renditions of the French favorite, made in his London kitchen. I nibbled one while waiting […]


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Welcome dear friends!
I am a professional wedding and lifestyle photographer from small Slovakia who is currently living, and working, in even smaller Luxembourg.
If you are a young couple in love, desperately looking for a wedding photographer for one of the biggest day in your lives, please spend a minute by checking my wedding and engagement portfolio and reading a few words about the wedding investment.
You know, our lives bring us good, great but also terrible moments. They leave footprints in our souls and faces. The time is one of things which we can't buy, and which we can't return. For that simple fact, the value of our memories is tremendous. Since I'm a father, the time doubled its speed. You can believe me; had I the power I would stop the time and save some moments forever.
Unfortunately I'm not a good wizard. As a husband I can just add a gallery dedicated to my wife and son. These pictures are my memories. Sharper and with more vibrant colors than 'ghosts' in my head. For me they are real memories. I love them.
I mentioned young ones so it's the best time to show you children and baby photographs.
At the moment, I'm a bit more into weddings and adult portraits, but as you can see, I love children with all my heart. My friends and clients honour me in allowing me to capture images of their cute angels and loved devils. Have a look into their souls; the entrance are adorable eyes.
For me, children are so pure that sometimes I ask myself if I can and if it is really possible to capture their happiness in one strong shoot.
Photo-editors, creative directors or agents the following gallery is for you. In my editorial portfolio you can find some very famous people next to unknown ones.
And finally, if you came here as a photographer please check my blog. Between the assignments, sessions, workshops and life I try to share my knowledge and ideas with other creatives. I apologise if it isn't frequent enough – I simply do my best.
Your questions are helpful to it so please feel free to ask me questions. There are no secrets or magic formulas. Just hard invisible work behind the camera. Personally, I've learn a big bunch of stuff online. Now it's my turn to give it back.
My name is Marian Majik and I'm a professional photographer.
Once I saw great pictures at web and suddenly I wanted to know more. Who is a photographer, where he lives, why he picks the camera, what does he love and what hate… simply details and with a bit of luck also story. The guy was Zack Arias.
My family
I'm a proud father of two amazing children. Sometimes they change into devils but won't I love them anyway forever?
What I love/hate?
Traveling, food, white vine, smiles and feeling after good work…
How did I become a professional photographer?
I liked photography for a long time. But when we moved to Luxembourg I got a real opportunity to start. I started to take business and editorial portraits for agencies, first family and senior portrait sessions and of course weddings. I like them the most.
Not for obvious things but because I'm natural observer, I like to steal moments, find details and tell small stories in frames. I try to capture moments which will never come back. With emotions they are real value of my work. And to be honest, during years I've become a collector…
Each picture has its own story. Some, clearly visible, shout to us and others hidden in our back mind stay calm and quite until we give them space. Pictures in this page are from both categories and they are sharper, colorful and after years the prettiest part of my memories. Yes, as many of you, I'm also family photographer. I save my memories with that same love as you. Now, I'd like to show them. You know, in ten – twenty years, the price of these moments will be higher than gold or diamonds. Fortunately, they stay in our hart, no matter which world crisis and to be honest I don't care about technical quality… they mean LOVE to me.


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White quartz worktops can make your kitchen and bathroom look stunning. However, it is quite a problem when the worktop starts getting dirty. The color won't be white anymore. Instead, it will be a yellowish or brownish quartz worktop. You surely do not want to let this thing happen, right? So, check these tips on how to maintain your worktops.
Maintaining White Quartz Worktops
- Do a regular cleaning
To prevent your white quartz worktops from being yellowish or brownish, you should do a regular cleaning to it. Simply clean it with a soft cloth and warm water every day, whether it is dirty or not. Similarly, if you accidentally spill up colorful liquids on it, clean it immediately. This simple action is effective to avoid sticky stains coming to your worktop. The longer you keep the dirt, the harder it is to clean.
- Cover the worktop with an anti-scratch product
Perhaps you have already known that white quartz worktops contain the hardest materials on earth. Thus, they won't easily get chipped or scratched. However, preventing is always better than fixing. That is why you need an anti-scratch cover in a certain area of your worktop, especially in the area that you regularly use for cutting meat, vegetables, or any other cooking materials. For worktops in the bathroom, this anti-scratch product should cover the area where you usually put the razor or shaver.
- Clean the stains immediately
As mentioned above, spills on the white quartz worktops should be washed directly. Otherwise, it will leave stains that are hard to clean. To clean the spills, you can use household vinegar with a non-bleach and non-abrasive liquid cleaner. Wash until the spills have gone, and rinse with clean water. After that, dry the worktop with a soft towel or cloth. Meanwhile, if you or your kids accidentally write something with permanent markers on the quartz worktop, the way to clean it is simply by immediately wiping the ink and washes it with plenty of water.
However, if you are too busy to clean the dirt and stains immediately, then you can clean them later with recommended worktop cleanser products. When choosing the cleansers, make sure they do not contain strong chemical products like caustic soda, paint stripper, or even hydrochloric acid. These bleach products can bring harm to your quartz worktop. Since quartz worktops are protected with a sealant, the bleach liquids can eventually break it. If it happens, your worktop could easily be damaged.
- Choose the right washing cloth
To clean and maintain quartz worktops, you are suggested to use non-abrasive and microfiber cloths. That's because those materials are capable of wiping clearly and effectively. Therefore, you won't need to push an extra energy when cleaning worktops. Besides, those types of cloth can easily dry by themselves.
Those are the tips on how to maintain white quartz worktops. The better the maintenance, the longer your quartz worktop can stay good. As household items are investment, so keeping them good and clean is a must.


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|The Cairos!
This week we turn away from the incredible, gargantuan sound created by the Inland Sea and focus on the superbly polished and remarkably tight music of future indie stars, The Cairos. This Brisbane based four-piece has come a long way since their early days winning battle of the bands competitions. Now with two stellar EP's to their name, the Lost at Sea EP and 2011's Summer Catalogue EP, it looks like they're ready to to enter the mainstream's consciousness with the soon to be released Colours Like Features EP. A couple of weeks ago the band released the video for new single, 'We All Buy Stars,' a jam that will have you fist pumping with joy to the energetic chorus.
There's a lot to like about a group this young that seems to have everything together. Alistar Richardson's voice conveys that he's ready to be one of the exciting leading men the Australian music scene so desperately needs. Don't believe me? Listen to 'Batman' from the Lost at Sea EP. Richardson has that same attitude in his voice that comes through in many of Alex Kapranos' (Franz Ferdinand) performances. That's a winning attitude. The band appears to be a well oiled machine, there's little you could find to fault in their performance for, like I said, The Cairos' sound is remarkably tight. You'd think they had been doing this for well over a decade.
What do you need to do now? Have a listen to their EP's, listen to 'We All Buy Stars,' fall in love with their music, buy Colours Like Features EP when it's released and then, if you just so happen to be in a city they tour through... go see them live and support Australian music! Want to know where they're playing? Head to ReverbNation!


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It's the New Year, which means it's time for reflection and resolutions by people and by companies too. At Curious Chef, we've thought about new ways to engage your little chefs' curiosity and new products to assist their culinary creativity. If spending more quality time with your kids and eating healthier are on your personal list of resolutions for this year, you will be happy to learn that our resolutions align with yours. Enjoy the New Year and these new ways to cook up fun and learning with your little chefs!
The Perfect Workbook for Little Chefs
While experimenting in the kitchen can be fun, it's important to teach little chefs how to read and follow a recipe. Doing so not only provides them a culinary foundation, but it also helps them develop into stronger readers who can comprehend step-by-step instructions. With those concepts in mind, we've created an engaging, learning-based cookbook to help little chefs take ownership over their culinary creations. Cooking with Curious Chef provides little chefs with recipes, cooking activities, shopping checklists, facts about foods, and places to take notes about their experience making each recipe. While the book can be purchased by itself, we've also created many bundles with our other products that are cheaper than buying products individually. Our packages that include the book range from the 30 piece Caddy Collection down to much smaller sets like the 4 piece Textile Set bundle that allow you to choose the products your little chef needs.
Let's Start with the Basics
We can't leave off the list our very best kit for starters: our 25 piece Kitchen Basics Set. Little chefs can be introduced to the culinary world with these simple, useful tools that are especially designed for young hands. The silicon knives are safe for the youngest of chefs and allow them to learn to cut ingredients without worry of cutting themselves. The kit has everything your little chef needs to measure, mix, and prep their favorite recipe and an apron to keep them clean while they do.
Our New Denim Apron
While we have offered 100% cotton aprons in an assortment of colors, our new denim apron is a more stylish, hardier option. Made out of 100% denim, it will hold up to the trials of cooking by little chefs and to the tumbling of your washing machine. The orange piping adds a playful element, but little chefs will likely be most enamored of the handy-dandy pockets. These pockets run along the front and function as perfect places for their favorite Curious Chef tools which come with the 11 Piece Denim Chef's Kit. The bundle includes practical tools such as a whisk, a large silicone spatula, a poly spoon, and a 6-piece measuring spoon set. Playfully, it also includes a star cookie cutter. As always, the tools are designed to be ergonomically comfortable for little hands and color coded so young minds can differentiate between amounts.
Our New Kit Perfect for Little Bakers
If your little chef enjoys baking, there's no better set than our 38 piece Cookie and Cupcake Kit. This kit has everything from measuring cups and spoons, to the tools to tools to mix and serve, as well as a 7 piece decorator set. Most home chefs don't even own a nylon pastry wheel or pastry brush. Little chefs can use the five different cookie cutters for making cookies, of course, but these cutters can also be used to make fun shapes out of bread, cheese, or large slices of fruit such as cantaloupe or watermelon. Little chefs will be proud of the special treats they can make with these tools, perfect for any baking occasion.


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Callen-Lorde Community Health Center
Position Title: Manager -Medical Billing
Position Location:
356 West 18 Street
New York, NY 10011
County: New York (Manhattan)
Contact Name: Edgar Abad
Contact Email:
Contact Phone: 212-271-7279
Contact Fax: 212-271-7237
CHCANYS Member Info: Member - Organizational
Position Description:
Callen-Lorde Community Health Center provides sensitive, quality health care to the lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender communities — in all their diversity — regardless of ability to pay.
Manager, Medical Billing
Position Summary:
Callen-Lorde Community Health Center is looking for a dedicated, organized and detail oriented individual to join our team as the Manager of our Patient Accounts Department (MPA). The Manager will work directly with the Director of Patient Accounts to oversee the operation and supervise a growing team in the Patient Accounts department. In this role, responsibilities will include overseeing the billing, reconciliation, and collections for all patient visits at Callen-Lorde. The Manager will work collaboratively with the Director of Patient Accounts to develop, implement and monitor operational practices in the department. The Manager will also hire, train, coach and monitor employee performance while maintaining compliance with federal, state and local privacy laws. This person will also facilitate documentation, performance improvement, and quality improvement initiatives.
Work Schedule/Salary:
This is a full-time position with normal business hours (Monday-Friday, 8:00am-5:00pm) located at our offsite administrative office in Chelsea. Salary will be accompanied by a comprehensive benefits package including an exceptional no cost medical plan option for you, your spouse/domestic partner and/or your family, dental insurance, vision insurance, no cost life insurance, short- and long-term disability insurance, Flexible Spending Account, TransitChek, Tuition Assistance Plan, generous paid time off plan, and a 403B retirement savings plan.
Special Instructions:
Email cover letter, resume and salary requirements to:
Email: firstname.lastname@example.com
Subject: Billing Manager
Fax: (212) 271-7237
Callen-Lorde Community Health Center
356 West 18th Street, New York, NY 10011
Callen-Lorde is an Equal Opportunity Employer, people of color, people of transgender experience, lesbians, and people living with HIV/AIDS are encouraged to apply.
Compensation Type: Salary
Travel Desired: No Travel
Job Type: Administration_Management
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This is an official version.
Copyright © 2015: Queens Printer,
Important Information
Official Administrator for the Town of
(Filed December 11, 2015)
Under the authority of section 6 of the Municipal Affairs Act , I make the following Order.
Dated at
Keith Hutchings
Official administrator appointed
Mr. Daniel Hynes is appointed as official administrator to manage and conduct the affairs of the Town of
NLR 28/06 Rep.
The Official Administrator for the Town of Seal Cove
, 2006,
Newfoundland and Labrador 28/06, is repealed.
©Queen's Printer


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NAEFS data in GRIB2 format
This page describes the North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) data available in GRIB2 format on the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC) HTTP data server.
The data is available using the HTTP protocol and resides in a directory that is plainly accessible to a web browser. Visiting that directory with an interactive browser will yield a raw listing of links, each link being a downloadable GRIB2 file. In practice, we recommend writing your own script to automate the downloading of the desired data (using wget or equivalent). If you are unsure of how to proceed, you might like to take a look at our brief wget usage guide.
The data can be accessed at the following URLs:
- raw: is a constant string indicating model data is raw (not processed)
- HH: model run start, in UTC [00,12]
- hhh: forecast hour [000,006,012,...,378,384] and [000,006,012,...762,768] each Thursday at 000UTC
File name nomenclature
The file names have the following nomenclature:
- CMC_naefs-geps-raw: constant string indicating that the data is from the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC), the dataset (naefs), the model used (geps: Global Ensemble Prediction System) and the data type (raw).
- Resolution: Constant string indicating the data resolution (1p0x1p0, 0p5x0p5)
- Variable: Variable type included in this file. To consult a complete list, refer to the variables section.
- LevelType: Level type. To consult a complete list, refer to the variables section.
- Level: Level value. To consult a complete list, refer to the variables section.
- YYYYMMDD: Year, month and day of the beginning of the forecast.
- HH: UTC run time [00,12]
- Phhh: P is a constant character. hhh is the forecast hour [000,006,012,..,378,384], or [000,006,012,…,762,768] each Thursday at 000UTC
- allmbrs: constant string indicating that all the members of the ensemble are inluded in this file
- grib2: constant string indicating the GRIB2 format is used
Example of file name:
This file originates from the Canadian Meteorological Center (CMC) and contains the raw (raw) data of the Global Ensemble Prognostic System data for the North American Ensemble Forecast System (naefs-geps). The data in the file start on September 1st 2010 at 00Z (2010090100). It contains the U-component wind (UGRD) at the isobaric level 925 mb (ISBL_0925) for the forecast hour 78 (P078), for all members (allmbrs) in GRIB2 format (.grib2).
Resolution 1.0 x 1.0 degree
The models forming the ensembles run at the source on an uniform grid at 0.5 degree. The fields included in the series of GRIB2 data are available on the NAEFS latitude-longitude grid of 360 x 181 points, covering the Earth surface at a resolution of 1.0 x 1.0 degree, which corresponds roughly to 100 km between grid points.
|Grid Parameter
|Value of Parameter
|360 points
|181 points
|1 degree
|first grid point coordinate
Resolution 0.5 x 0.5 degree
The models forming the ensembles run at the source on an uniform grid at 0.5 degree. The fields included in the series of GRIB2 data are available on the NAEFS latitude-longitude grid of 720 x 361 points, covering the Earth surface at a resolution of 0.5 x 0.5 degree, which corresponds roughly to 50 km between grid points.
|Grid Parameter
|Value of Parameter
|720 points
|361 points
|0.5 degree
|first grid point coordinate
Models and variables description
Links in the first column below (Ensemble models (members)), provide details on each of the models in the CMC ensemble system.
Links in the second column below (Forecast hour), provide information on which variables are included in each of the CMC NAEFS GRIB2 files, along with detailed information on sections 0-6 for each of the records in these GRIB2 files.
For all models, the number of variables (or records) in the 0-hour forecast files is less than the number of variables (or records) in the non-zero forecast hours because some variables are not produced at forecast hour = 0.
|Ensemble models (members)
|Forecast hour
|Control model (member 0)
|0-hour forecast
|Non-zero forecast hours
|Perturbed models or members
|0-hour forecast
|Non-zero forecast hours
What we are doing
Weather Forecasts
Weather Alerts
Weather Resources
UV Index and sun protection
Play it safe!
Extreme Heat Protection
Be weather wise!
Lightning Safety
When thunder roars, GO INDOORS!
- Date modified:


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Salut, salam, how do you do?
While wary of stating the obvious; I am indeed Chloe and I am indeed a writer.
I'm not one to blow my own trumpet, nor do I place too high a value on artistic integrity – in fact, I'm quite willing to pimp out my intellectual heavyweight talent/genius creativity/god-given gifts for the right price.
Get in touch.