text:
Popular Now
Popular Now
Popular Now
Popular Now
01803 865913
+44 1803 865913
By: Noel Rowe
263 pages, 500 col photos, 16 illus, 235 range maps
This major work is an extensively illustrated field guide covering 234 species of primate, including all prosimians, monkeys and apes. Each species is illustrated with colour photographs, plus basic information and a range map. Following the taxonomy of Colin Groves, it includes many new species which have been described during the last decade. The book also has a strong conservation message, and provides information on each species' conservation status and threats. Includes a foreword by Jane Goodall, and an introduction by Russell Mittermeier.
'...a superb book, attractive, insightful and highly useful. It will surely remain a basic reference source for many years.' George Schaller
There are currently no reviews for this book. Be the first to review this book!
Your orders support book donation projects
I ordered a book from NHBS, it reached India within 7 days by standard shipping! Wonderful packing.
Search and browse over 110,000 wildlife and science products
Multi-currency. Secure worldwide shipping
Wildlife, science and conservation since 1985


text:
Sal Tamburo, Blank Rome, Chair
Telephone: 202-420-5164
The Program Committee in responsible for organizing a wide range of events of general interest to BABA's business members, including breakfasts with dynamic guest speakers; "Business After Hours" discussion programs on topical issues; and BABA's social activities, such as our annual Gala Christmas Luncheon and Golf Tournament.
Some recent events set up by the BABA Program Committee include:
- "To Be or Not to Be...The EU Referendum": This was a topical, informative, well-attended and lively interactive discussion addressing the upcoming (at the time) Brexit referendum. The program was monitored by Jon Sopel, North American Editor, BBC. Speakers included James Kariuki, Counsellor, Head of Global and Economic Policy Group, British Embassy, Dan Ikenson, Director, Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies, CATO Institute, and John Dickerman, Head of Washington Office, Confederation of British Industry, (The CBI).
- CEO Speaker Series Event with guest speaker Craig Kreeger, Chief Executive, Virgin Atlantic Airways: This was the most recent installment of our CEO Speaker Series. Mr. Kreeger provided his insights into maintaining a successful corporate culture at Virgin, among other topics of general interest.
- Innovation & European Networking Evening: With guest speaker, Alan Gregerman, author of "The Necessity of Strangers", the intriguing truth about INSIGHT, INNOVATION, and SUCCESS. The evening was co-sponsored with the American-Danish Business Council, Finnish-American Chamber of Commerce, French-American Chamber of Commerce, Netherlands American Chamber of Commerce and the Swedish-American Chamber of Commerce.
- Member Appreciation Reception and Annual General Meeting and election of Directors - Sponsored by Airbus, this is a terrific networking opportunity to meet all of our members both before and after the general meeting.
- International Rooftop Networking to Support Friendship Place: With British, French, and Swedish bi-lateral associations
The current members of the Program Committee are as follows:
|British Embasy
|Kate Greer
|Dahl-Morrow International
|Andy Steinem
|Nora Carrol
|Nora Carrol
|Dept. of Labor
|Marueen Degnan
|Indigo DNA Corporation
|Tom Harrell
|New Couture
|Alvin Thompson
|New Horizon Wines
|Chris Parker
|Hilary Fordwich
|Takemori Law Firm
|Gina Takemori
|WorldTravelService (Ret)
|Margot Lebow

subset: commoncrawl


text:
Shamrock 2015 24m
Happy St. Patrick's Day! Year three taking pictures for the Shamrock run. For those that have not been to our picture page. They are 100% free and without watermarks. The pictures are a larger format so you can blow them up cut and crop to your heart's content. We are unable to offer search by bib# due to copyright. We always appreciate social media tags and if you like what we are doing please come see us. We currently have Specialized Clothing marked down 30% and Endura Clothing Marked down 20%. See you soon! WBRead More


text:
St Columba's Hospice (Edinburgh)
Registered Charity Number: SC003634
St Columba's Hospice provides care for people with advanced illness. It primarily supports people suffering from malignant diseases and works to improve the quality of their lives, and supporting their relatives.
Contact Us
St Columba's Hospice (Edinburgh)
15 Boswall Road
Phone: 0131 551 1381
Fax: 0131 551 2771
Charity Choice Directory Listings
St Columba's Hospice (Edinburgh): Upgrade to a premium charity profile
- a customised microsite - add your charity's logo, strapline and colours
- appearing higher up in our directory listings
- Your logo featuring on the profiles of thousands of free related charity microsites
- Your microsite will not feature any other charities advertising
Free Charity Report
Find out more about St Columba's Hospice (Edinburgh) including what their money is spent on, amount raised for every £1 spent on fundraising, 5 year financial information and how your donation helps.
Other Users Found These Links Useful
Find out more
Need further information on St Columba's Hospice (Edinburgh)? Order a detailed financial report from Charity Financials.


text:
Cruelty Free International. Leaping Bunny Programme. Awake Organics Cruelty Free Cosmetics.
We make products for people who love naturals, want quality, and are avoiding controversial chemicals, like parabens, and synthetic fragrance. Our signature formulas are infused with food grade UK Hemp oil, Wild-crafted Frankincense, and food grade Carrot Seed. All wonderful for keeping your skin supple, and boosting your mood. Melissa x


text: Play these shades from soft to bold and create your own exotic look wildly. Estee Lauder presents this new extravagant gold palette to complement your modern and classy make up. Available in 5 interesting shades from matte, satin to shimmer and metallic, they surely will make your peepers come alive! US$42.


text:
Legal Status
Proposed Rule
Document Details
Published Document
Coast Guard, DOT.
Notice of proposed rulemaking.
The Coast Guard proposes to revise the operating regulation governing the U.S. 23 bridge at mile 0.9 over Cheboygan River in Cheboygan, Michigan. The proposed rule would revise the advance notice requirement for vessels during winter months. Currently, vessels provide 24-hour notice between December 15 and March 15. The proposed schedule would require vessels to provide 12-hour advance notice between December 15 and April 1 each year. This schedule would relieve the bridge owner from maintaining operators during periods of no vessel traffic each year, while still providing for bridge openings.
Comments must be received on or before May 29, 2001.
Comments may be mailed or delivered to: Commander (obr), Ninth Coast Guard District, 1240 East Ninth Street, Room 2019, Cleveland, OH, 44199-2060 between 6:30 a.m. and 3 p.m., Monday through Friday, except Federal holidays. The telephone number is (216) 902-6084.Start Further Info
Mr. Scot M. Striffler, Project Manager, Ninth Coast Guard District Bridge Branch, at (216) 902-6084. Start Printed Page 16896End Further Info End Preamble Start Supplemental Information
Request for Comments
The Coast Guard encourages interested persons to participate in this rulemaking by submitting written data, views or arguments for or against this rule. Persons submitting comments should include names and addresses, identify the rulemaking [CGD09-01-008] and the specific section of this proposal to which each comment applies, and give the reason(s) for each comment. Please submit all comments and attachments in an unbound format, no larger than 81/2 by 11 inches, suitable for copying and electronic filing. Persons wanting acknowledgement of receipt of comments should enclose a stamped, self-addressed postcard or envelope.
The Coast Guard plans no public hearing. Individuals may request a public hearing by writing to the address under ADDRESSES. The request should include the reasons why a hearing would be beneficial. If the Coast Guard determines that the opportunity for oral presentation will aid this rulemaking, we will hold a public hearing at a time and place announced by a later notice in the Federal Register.
Background and Purpose
The owner of the U.S. 23 bridge, Michigan Department of Transportation (MDOT), requested the Coast Guard approve a modified schedule for the winter operations of the bridge. MDOT requested vessels provide 12-hour advance notice between December 15 and April 15 each year. Commander, Ninth Coast Guard District, determined that this schedule would not serve the reasonable needs of navigation, and specifically, would adversely affect a ferry service company with established routes between Cheboygan and other island communities. The ferry service resumes its scheduled transits as early as weather permits in the spring. The ferry service is also used as an occasional platform for transporting emergency medical personnel between the communities. For this reason, and from information gathered from bridge opening logs submitted by MDOT, the Coast Guard agreed to propose a 12-hour advance notice requirement for vessels between December 15 and April 1.
Discussion of Proposed Rule
The current operating schedule for the U.S. 23 bridge is governed by 33 CFR. Under this proposed rule, only the dates and advance notice time would be revised during winter months. Since the focus of this proposed change would primarily affect the dates that the bridge should be attended in the spring, the following bridge opening data concerns openings for vessels between March 15 and April 15 for the past 3 years: In 1998, there were no openings between March 15 and April 1, and 17 openings between April 2 and April 15. All of these openings were for the ferry vessel mentioned in Background and Purpose. In 1999, there were no openings between March 15 and April 1, with 3 openings between April 2 and April 15. Two of the three openings were for the ferry vessel.
In 2000, there were no openings between March 15 and April 15. In the winter and spring of 2000, the ferry vessel was drydocked for maintenance and repairs, and scheduled to return to service around April 15. The current regulation requires the bridge to open as soon as possible at all times for commercial vessels and vessels used for public safety. There would be no revision to that requirement.
Regulatory Evaluation
This proposed rule is not a significant regulatory action under section 3(f) of Executive Order 12866 and does not require an assessment of potential costs and benefits under section 6(a)(3) of that order. The Office of Management and Budget has not reviewed it under that Order. It is not significant under the regulatory policies and procedures of the Department of Transportation (DOT) (44 FR 11040; February 26, 1979). The Coast Guard expects the economic impact of this rule to be so minimal that a full Regulatory Evaluation under paragraph 10e of the regulatory policies and procedures of DOT is unnecessary.
This determination is based on the relatively minor adjustment to the operating schedule near the end of the winter navigation season, the only documented vessel that would require openings has been identified and accommodated, and the bridge would still open for vessels once the advance notice is provided.
Small Entities
Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.), the Coast Guard must consider whether this proposed rule will have a significant impact on a substantial number of small entities. "Small entities" may include small businesses and not-for-profit organizations that are independently owned and operated and are not dominant in their fields, and governmental jurisdictions with populations of less than 50,000 people.
The 12-hour advance notice requirement during winter months is a standard practice on the Great Lakes and still provides for bridge openings with advance notice from vessel operators. No identified entities would be unable to pass the bridge, as needed.
Therefore, the Coast Guard certifies under 5 U.S.C 605(b) that this proposed rule will not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities.
If you think that your business, organization, or governmental jurisdiction qualifies as a small entity and that this proposed rule would have a significant economic impact on it, please submit a comment (see ADDRESSES) explaining why you think it qualifies and how and to what degree this proposed rule would economically affect it.
Collection of Information
This proposed rule would call for no new collection of information requirement under the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.).
The Coast Guard has analyzed this proposed rule under the principles and criteria contained in Executive Order 13132, and determined that this rule does not have federalism implications under that Order.
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
The Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (2 U.S.C. 1531-1538) governs the issuance of federal regulations that require unfunded mandates. An unfunded mandate is a regulation that requires a state, local, or tribal government or the private sector to incur direct costs without the federal government having first provided the funds to pay those unfunded mandate costs. This proposed rule will not impose an unfunded mandate.
Taking of Private Property
This proposed rule will not effect a taking of private property or otherwise have taking implications under E.O. 12630, Governmental Actions and Interference with Constitutionally Protected Property Rights.
Civil Justice Reform
This proposed rule meets applicable standards in sections 3(a) and 3(b)(2) of E.O. 12988, Civil Justice Reform, to minimize litigation, eliminate ambiguity, and reduce burden.
Protection of Children
We have analyzed this proposed rule under E.O. 13045, Protection of Children from Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks. This rule is not an economically significant rule and does not concern an environmental risk Start Printed Page 16897to health or risk to safety that may disproportionately affect children.
The Coast Guard considered the environmental impact of this proposed rule and concluded that, under figure 2-1, paragraph 34(g) of Commandant Instruction M16475.lC, this rule is categorically excluded from further environmental documentation. This proposed rule changes a drawbridge regulation which has been found not to have a significant effect on the environment. A "Categorical Exclusion Determination" is not required.Start List of Subjects
List of Subjects in 33 CFR Part 117
- Bridges
For reasons set out in the preamble, the Coast Guard proposes to revise Part 117 of Title 33, Code of Federal Regulations, as follows:Start Part
1. The authority citation for Part 117 continues to read as follows:
2. In § 117.627, paragraphs (a), (b) and (c) are revised to read as follows:
(a) From April 1 through May 15 and from September 16 through December 14, the draw shall open on signal.
(b) From May 16 through September 15—
(1) Between the hours of 6 p.m. and 6 a.m., seven days a week, the draw shall open on signal.
(2) Between the hours of 6 a.m. and 6 p.m., seven days a week, the draw need open only from three minutes before to three minutes after the quarter-hour and three-quarter hour.
(c) From December 15 through March 31, no bridgetender is required to be at the bridge and the draw need not open unless a request to open the draw is given at least 12-hours in advance of a vessel's intended time of passage through the draw.
Dated: March 12, 2001.
James D. Hull,
Rear Admiral, U.S. Coast Guard, Commander, Ninth Coast Guard District.
[FR Doc. 01-7623 Filed 3-27-01; 8:45 am]


text:
Tuesday, 9 October 2012
MAC's Impassioned Lipstick
11 comments
gorgeous gorgeous gorgeous :D xoxoReplyDeleteReplies
Thanks babes xxxDelete
This looks lovely, the colour really suits you!!ReplyDelete
Jesss xoReplies
Thanks lovely xxDelete
This is one of my all-time favourites too, I've yet to meet someone it doesn't suit! Just a shame that MAC lipsticks are so pricey now, I received mine when they were under £13! XxReplyDeleteReplies
I wish they were still under £13 I think they should be! I think this would suit everyone its just beautiful xxDelete
I'm more of a red girl but I do have All About Me from Topshop and it's a really nice bright pink AND lasts so long. Such a good formulation, I really recommend it.ReplyDeleteReplies
I love Topshop lipsticks but not heard too much about All About Me, think I am going to have a look, thanks for the recomendation lovely xxDelete
I love love love this colour!ReplyDelete
such a gorgeous color !ReplyDelete
- Anonymous6 February 2013 at 15:54
I've learn some good stuff here. Definitely worth bookmarking for revisiting. I wonder how so much effort you put to create one of these great informative site.ReplyDelete
Also visit my website grumpy cat


text:
Of all people, you would think that farmers would have more respect for livestock than most people. Well, it isn't true. A heartless farmer in India left a newborn calf on the side of the road. Why? It isn't uncommon for male calves to be taken from their mothers soon after birth so the farmer can have the milk.
The male calf he left on the roadside was found soon after he was dumped and was quickly taken to Animal Aid's sanctuary for care. The staff at Animal Aid named the calf Dil (which, in Hindi, means "heart"). Dil got the proper care and a lot of love. He grew stronger every day.
Take a look at this video!
Click in adverts to see video !!


text:
torsdag den 5. marts 2015
Winter Nails
I simply had to try my custom stamping plate from FigTreeJewellery:
I've bought new plates with snowflakes, which I truly love. Here I have stamped with a cheap blue stamping polish upon a light blue polish without name from Essence:
Here my custom plade is in use again. I've made a hero-theme with Modesty Blaise, my childhood heroine, and Indiana Jones, my all time hero:
Here I've tried the puzzle from MoYou, which I have wanted for long:
Since it was long ago I've used tape, I thought I had to make a tape mani for a change. And then I could finally use some of my Nail Vinyls (the lightning on my ring finger):
I am not into Valentine's Day, which we don't celebrate in Denmark, but I did make some romantic nails:
MoYou and the kiss is from a Konad plate. The pink polish is Misa Fleeting Hibiscus and the red one is an old OPI mini without name.
I found the snowmen years ago on Pinterest, and this winter I finally remembered to try them:
Since I really like grey polishes, I thought OPI's Fifty Shades mini collection was a good buy:
And I had to try on all six colours at the same time:
6 kommentarer:
Love them all! So crazy and beautiful! I wish you a darling day, doll!SvarSletSvar
Thank you so much, Annie. And same over to you. :)Slet
Your manis are always so smile inducingly awesome!!! This time around, it's the snowflake and snowmen that stole my heart most all. Hmmm, perhaps I'm not quite as ready to give up winters as I've been proclaiming lately! :DSvarSlet
Big hugs & many sincere thanks for all of your wonderful recent blog comments,
♥ JessicaSvar
Thank you so much, Jess. I am a huge fan of snowflake and winter themed nails too, although I am really longing for spring now. Have a lovely day, dear. :)Slet
You have such fabulous nails! I love how creative you get with your nail art as well. I'm a bit jealous, my just break once they get a bit past my fingertips.SvarSlet
Jessica, Zella MaybeSvar
Thank you so much, Jessica. The best thing I have ever done for my nails are using nail oil once a day, do try it. I use CND right now, but other brands make some good ones too. Have a lovely day. :)Slet


text:
SOURCE: Advanced Micro Devices
January 23, 2013 16:15 ET
SUNNYVALE, CA--(Marketwire - Jan 23, 2013) - AMD (NYSE: AMD) today announced that senior vice president and chief sales officer John Byrne will present at the Goldman Sachs Technology and Internet Conference at 10:20 a.m. PST on Tuesday, February 12, 2013 in San Francisco.
A real-time audio webcast of the presentation can be accessed on the Investor Relations homepage: http://ir.amd.com.
A replay of the webcast can be accessed approximately 2 hours after the conclusion of the live event and will be available for 30 days after the conference.
About AMD
AMD (NYSE: AMD) is a semiconductor design innovator leading the next era of vivid digital experiences with its ground-breaking AMD Accelerated Processing Units (APUs) that power a wide range of computing devices. AMD's server computing products are focused on driving industry-leading cloud computing and virtualization environments. AMD's superior graphics technologies are found in a variety of solutions ranging from game consoles, PCs to supercomputers. For more information, visit http://www.amd.com.
AMD, the AMD Arrow logo, and combinations thereof are trademarks of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Other names are for informational purposes only and may be trademarks of their respective owners.
Drew Prairie
AMD Public Relations
(512) email@example.com Cotter
AMD Investor Relations
(408) email@example.com
Drew Prairie
AMD Public Relations
(512) firstname.lastname@example.com Cotter
AMD Investor Relations
(408) firstname.lastname@example.com
See all RSS Newsfeeds


text:
Holly Willoughby Shows Off Her Sexy Side For Cosmo UK
Bang Tidy! The Voice host has gone wild in a shoot for the mag...
Holly Willoughbyhas ditched theThe Voice, alongside Reggie Yates, stating she's "really excited" about fronting the programme.
Willoughby revealed: "I'd watched all the press unfold about the American version – how well it had done, and the incredible coaches – and as soon as there was talk of it coming to the UK, I thought, 'Wow, that' is absolutely something I would love to do.'""Obviously I'm used to live TV with This Morning, but entering into any new show is scary and I'll definitely be nervous on the first live show.
"It really helps that I'm doing it with Reggie – we started at CBBC together, although this is the first time we've actually worked together."
The full interview appears in the April issue of Cosmopolitan, on sale Thursday 1st March or over at www.cosmopolitan.co.uk
Pictures courtesy of Cosmopolitan UK: Photographer Ben Riggott


text:
<< -- 3 -- Jennifer I Paull HIGH JINX AND HAUTE COUTURE
Cathy Berberian's philosophy was that any music (not just blind acceptance of the stereotypical 'great' composers and rejection of the 'lesser') could be good or bad. Words and their meaning(s) remain paramount and must be put before the beauty of the voice even at the cost of a perfect tone quality. 'After all, singing words implies that you have to portray their sense, not just glory in the top notes, aiming for them at the expense of what you are actually pronouncing as you sing! Not everything is or has to be beautiful!' she used to argue. As Julia MIgenes illustrates so well in her one-woman show, heroines dying of consumption whilst belting out top notes fortissimo are plain ridiculous. Diction, and logic, are so often cast to the winds!
For Cathy to have been a serious singer maintaining her own philosophy was tough. To have been a comedienne who switched from the Proust recital to an avant-garde marathon (Recital I for Cathy -- Berio) within the space of a year (1971/2), put her into yet another category as a versatility trailblazer. As such, she more or less filled a Guinness Book of Records by herself (or an 'encyclodictionalmanacapedia', of course).
'Recital I (for Cathy)' by Luciano Berio - the original LP cover for the present CD. Photo courtesy of Cristina Berio
Comedienne: A woman professional entertainer who tells jokes or performs various other comic acts. Cathy was just so much more!
Cathy Berberian laid claim to the title 'clown'. She became her own character, a subtle amalgam of the aristocratic distinction of the White Clown, and the clumsy, mislead naïveté of Coco. Through derision and auto-derision, she gently undermined the very foundations and convictions that had become establishmental straightjackets. Cathy Berberian's humour-bubbles effervesced to a multitude of nestling places. They were so light yet packed with meaning. Always seemingly effortless and off-the-cuff, her satire, radiating from inspired self-assurance without a trace of long-winded pretentiousness, became her signature. -- Marie Christine Vila, taken from the résumé of her lecture given at the ASCA International Conference; Cathy Berberian: Pioneer of Contemporary Vocality and Performance, University of Amsterdam, 26/7 April 2006, and translated by the author at the request of Mme Vila for the conference
Cathy allowed her razor sharp wit to creep into her performance in many unexpected ways. I am reminded of Tit-Willow (Proust recital), the very popular and utterly word-challenged aria from The Mikado, by that most British of braces, Gilbert and Sullivan (librettist W S Gilbert [1836-1911] and composer Arthur Sullivan [1842-1900] collaborated in fourteen such works between 1871 and 1896).
In her interpretation of Tit-Willow, Cathy sprinkled an overabundant quantity of 'shalls' (replacing several more grammatically correct 'wills') over the text in an attempt to sound upper crust British. She rounded off with the following poetic pearls,
He sobbed and he sighed, and a gurgle he gave
Then he plunged himself into the billowy wave
And an echo arose from the suicide's grave
'Oh, willow, titwillow, titwillow'
pronouncing suicide's as 'see-oo-ee-cide's'. Her coup de grace was to actually sing a 'mountain echo' repeated syllable (hand cupped to ear listening for it in the hills at a shooting party after the 'glorious twelfth', no doubt). Cathy brought the literal sense of the word into being.
Cathy Berberian. Photo © 1971 Pavel Sticha. 'Oh WILLOW-willow, TIT-WILLOW-willow, TIT-WILLOW-willow'
Anna Russell was born to an upper middle-class (posh) musical English family. Her father had been a great admirer of these British Operettas. (It is worth noting en passant that How to Write Your Own Gilbert and Sullivan Opera is another of Russell's recorded gems). He had been an excellent pianist and her great-aunt, an opera singer. She it was who took the twelve-year-old Anna to the première of Walton's Façade in 1923. Anna instantly fell in love with Edith Sitwell's nonsense poems.
As Cathy was neither a product of the twin-set and pearls background of Anna Russell (or Joyce Grenfell), nor born to the former's very Mayfair accent, one has to admire her valiant attempts at capturing the entire British upper class in caricature. Her préambule to My Grandfather's Clock (Henry Clay Work 1832-1884) was a lamentation of the difficulties of finding reliable domestic staff. Cathy had been a houseguest of Lord Harewood (the Queen's cousin) at his home Harewood House near Harrogate, after all! I wonder if Cathy knew of Work's first song (1853) entitled We Are Coming, Sister Mary? She did know of a church anthem published by Novello (where Basil Ramsey and I were colleagues at the time she was compiling the Proust recital), but decided against arranging it. Just as we were trying to locate a possible copy for her, she changed her mind saying that she doubted (even) she would get away with it (Behold, the Bridegroom Commeth in The Middle of The Night).
Cathy, as Anna, adored the Sitwell nonsense poems and performed several (breaking the four-minute articulation mile), in Façade 2 (dedicated to her by its composer, William Walton). There is a stunning recording of her performance of this work, and a filmed television presentation by the Swiss Italian Television (TSI) [Details of all available recordings are at cathyberberian.com]. Walton died just forty-eight hours after Cathy in early March 1983. I feel they must be very busy.
Filming of 'Façade 2' at the TSI, Lugano. Photo courtesy of Cristina Berio
Continue >>


text:
I recently read a tweet from a particular agent which began with #agenttip: and then a piece of advice for writers when it comes to submissions. One of the replies used the same hashtag to tell agents to actually read their submissions because they might find something decent. Unprofessional enough, you might think, but when the agent replied to say 95% of their authors came from the submission pile and that agents couldn't sell to publishers without them, the author replied with this stunner:
You don't sell books, publishers do. Those who can, write; those who can't become agents.
I had no skin left after reading that. It all crawled away and curled up in embarrassment. Here's the thing: writing is a frustrating business. You slave over a book; you polish it until you can quote the entire thing and you're sick of the sight of it. Then you send it off into the world in the hope someone will give you a few quid for it and you'll become a professional writer. Sometimes, you hear precisely jack in reply. Not even a wow, this book was a massive bag of crap. Never darken my inbox again, you total wanker. Other times, you get back the standard form reply you know has gone to another hundred people on the same day. I know that as well as any writer. Ask me how many submissions I've sent to publishers and agents over the last fifteen years and I honestly couldn't tell you. Hundreds. Thousands, maybe. But so what? The publishing world doesn't give a monkey's. Why should it? I've proved I can write a book someone wants to publish and others want to read. I've proved I've got the drive to write another one and then another, but I say again - so what? Why should the publishing world give a shit? They want a book from me that will make them sit up and take notice just like they want one from the snarky author quoted above. If the author here doesn't get that and thinks being a dick in public to an agent will win him any friends, he's very wrong.
All this doesn't mean writers should bow and scrape before agents like they're Victorian noblemen about to shove our children up their chimneys. It simply means this: be professional. You want people to treat your work with respect and take time out of their day or weekend or evening to read it, right? Well, what makes you think you'll get anywhere by not being professional? I've said it before and I'll say it again - publishing is a business. We're all professional in our working lives or when dealing with people we don't know. Why would interacting on Twitter be any different? It could well be the author doesn't want representation and that's cool. Not every writer does, but they'd do well to remember how we present ourselves in the flesh is how we should present ourselves online.
Otherwise, you're just being an arsehole. And nobody likes an arsehole.


text:
Exterior: Painting • Screened Porches • Custom Decks • Gutter Covers • Pressure Washing • Gutter Cleaning • Siding • Hardie Plank • Concrete Driveways • Interior: Painting • Wallpaper • Faux Finishes • Kitchen Remodeling • Countertops • Bathroom Remodeling
Welcome to
With over 30 years of experience our team of specialists offers extensive expertise and knowledge of home improvment. Ask about April's specialty services that provide home solutions for clients that are economical and efficient. Our company emphasizes long-term relationships with our clients so we can serve your home improvement needs today and tomorrow.
"We do more than Paint" - Quality First -
It's our motto - Let us make it yours.


text:
I'm over at the lovely C L Taylor's place today, answering questions about Beautiful Words and about being on my deathbed.
Also, there's a COMPETITION. Go here to be in with a chance of winning your very own copy.
Category: Uncategorized
Join 82 other subscribers
Email Address
RSS - Posts
RSS - Comments
Copyright © 2018 · All Rights Reserved ·
Portfolio Theme v5 from Organic Themes · RSS Feed · Log in


text:
(SOLD) This impressive 1965 Jaguar 4.2L E-Type Series I OTS is a very original, matching numbers, benefited from a comprehensive documented total restoration. During the restoration process the car was taken to bare metal, metal worked and finished and repainted to its original colors. All mechanical systems were gone through and rebuilt to specification and all brite work was re-plated to show quality. The new interior complete with new top were fitted and completed to its original color combination. It has been very well maintained and cared for since restoration. Complete with its' original Blauplunk AM/FM Soft Wave, armrest, center console, covered headlights, toggle switches and a full synchronized transmission. Custom California plates, chrome wire wheels. At Show Driver level, it would make for a strong contender for Concours showing.
left-hand-drive 1965 jaguar 4200cc series-1 e-type ots silver restored british
Full address not on website
Oceanside, California
United States
Aug 24, 2018
Jun 29, 2017


text:
- Home
- Calendar
- Town Council
- Boards & Committees
- Departments
- Safety & Services
- Maps
- Documents
- Visit
- More...
Calendar of Events
Community Events
GENERAL ELECTIONS, 6am-9pmNovember 7, 2017
POLLS OPEN 6am - 9pm
The following offices are to be voted on in the Town of Ulysses:
Town Supervisor
Town Clerk
Town Councliperson (2)
Highway Superintendent
View a sample ballot for the Town of Ulysses at http://www.tompkinscountyny.gov/files2/boe/2017/Sample_Ballots/2025.pdf
Curious about those proposals on the back of the ballot– including the Constitutional Convention (aka ConCon)? Find the full text of the proposals, including very helpful explanations about each ("abstracts"), at the New York State Board of Elections site: https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/Elections/2017/proposals/2017CertificationofBallotProposals.pdf
The Rockefeller Institute of Government also has a wealth of information about the ConCon: http://www.rockinst.org/nys_concon2017/
Find your voting place at https://voterlookup.elections.state.ny.us/votersearch.aspx or
Town of Ulysses, NYIf you have questions please contact Carissa Parlato or call (607) 387-5767.
Mailing address:
10 Elm St.
Trumansburg, NY 14886
Fax: (607) 387-5843
© 2018 Town of Ulysses, NY
Sign Up for News & Info
Thank You!
You have been added to our mailing list.
You have been added to our mailing list.


text:
Reasonable people can disagree about the nature and extent of climate change. But no one should sally forth into this hostile territory without reason and reflection.
"Some scientists make 'period, end of story' claims," writes biologist and naturalist Daniel Botkin in the Wall Street Journal, "that human-induced global warming definitely, absolutely either is or isn't happening."
These scientists, as well as the network of activists and cronies their science supports, I will refer to as the Climate Orthodoxy. These are the folks who urge, generally, that (a) global warming is occurring, (b) it is almost entirely man-made, and (c) it is occurring at a rate and severity that makes it an impending planetary emergency requiring political action. A Climate Agnostic questions at least one of those premises.
Trying to point out the problems of the Climate Orthodoxy to its adherents is like trying to talk the Archbishop of Canterbury into questioning the existence of God. In that green temple, many climatologists and climate activists have become one in the same: fueled both by government grants and zealous fervor.
Room for debate
But the debate must go on, even as the atmosphere for dialogue gets increasingly polluted. The sacralization of climate is being used as a great loophole in the rule of law, an apology for bad science (and even worse economics), and an excuse to do anything and everything to have and keep power.
Those with a reasoned agnosticism about the claims of the Climate Orthodoxy will find themselves in debate. It's April 22nd — Earth Day. So I want to offer 22 ways to think about the climate-change debate. I hope these points will give those willing to question man-made climate change some aid and comfort.
1. Consider the whole enchilada
First, let's zoom out a few orders of magnitude to look at the Climate Orthodoxy as a series of dots that must be connected, or better, a series of premises that must be accepted in their totality.
That is a lot to swallow. And yet, it appears that the Climate Orthodoxy requires we accept all of it. Otherwise, why would the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) publish a document called "Summary for Policymakers"?
- The earth is warming.
- The earth is warming primarily due to the influence of human beings engaged in production and energy use.
- Scientists are able to limn most of the important phenomena associated with a warming climate, disentangling the human from the natural influence, extending backward well into the past.
- Scientists are able then to simulate most of the phenomena associated with a warming earth and make reasonable predictions, within the range of a degree or two, into the future about 100 years.
- Other kinds of scientists are able to repackage this information and make certain kinds of global predictions about the dangers a couple of degrees will make over that hundred years.
- Economists are able to repackage those predictions and make yet further predictions about the economic costs and benefits that accompany those global predictions.
- Other economists then make further predictions based on what the world might be like if the first set of economists is right in its predictions (which were based on the other scientists' predictions, and so on) — and then they propose what the world might look like if certain policies were implemented.
- Policymakers are able to take those economists' predictions and set policies that will ensure what is best for the people and the planet on net.
- Those policies are implemented in such a way that they work. They have global unanimity, no defections, no corruption, and a lessoning of carbon-dioxide output that has a real effect on the rate of climate change — enough to pull the world out of danger.
- Those policies are worth the costs they will impose on the peoples of the world, especially the poorest.
2. Models are not evidence
The problem with models is that they are not reality. Whenever we try to model complex systems like the climate, we're only getting a simulacrum of a system, designed to represent projected scenarios. So when a climatologist presents a model as evidence, he is playing a kind of game. He wants you to think, by dint of computer wizardry, that he has drawn for you a picture of the world as it is. But he hasn't. And if observation of surface temperatures over the last 18 years has shown one thing, it's that climate models have been inadequate tools for forecasting complex natural phenomena.
3. Forecast is not observation
In the first IPCC assessment of 1992, the authors wrote, "Scenarios are not predictions of the future and should not be used as such." Whether one views the models as predictions or as scenarios, the evidence is barely within the most conservative of these in the most recent assessment, which is essentially designed to hide good news.
When one attempts to forecast — that is, to tell the future — one is not engaging in observation. That is not to claim that prediction isn't a part of the scientific enterprise; it's simply to say that when one's predictions (or scenarios) are off, one's theory is suspect, and it must be modified and tested again. Any theory, and any forecast scenarios on which it's based, have to be tested in the crucible of observation. The Climate Orthodoxy has thus far failed that test.
4. Climate systems are complex
As I alluded to above, climate systems are complex systems. And complex systems are notoriously immune to certain types of prediction and forecast. As Edward Lorenz famously taught us when he coined the term "butterfly effect," the slightest changes in initial conditions can give rise to wild, unpredictable outcomes in the system. It's no different for a simulation. "I realized," said Lorenz of his findings, "that any physical system that behaved non-periodically would be unpredictable." Now, those concerned about climate change will try to use this perspective to suggest changes to the atmosphere could cause wild, unpredictable climatic catastrophes. And that might turn out to be true. (But it might not. We'll discuss Pascal's Climate Wager later.) What we should be concerned about for now is how easy it is for a single tiny error (or purposeful fudge) in a climate model to generate ranges that, though they can feed hysteria, are out of touch with reality.
5. Garbage in equals garbage out
Complex systems also make modeling difficult to undertake because a model is a kind of simulation whose success turns on the accuracy of inputs. Computer scientists have an apt saying for such simulations: "Garbage in, garbage out." If any of your variables are in error, your results are suspect. And the more variables you introduce, the more likely you are to introduce errors. But for the model to resemble reality, you have to be more granular by including more and more variables that represent causal relationships in the world. As more variables get introduced, the likelihood of introducing false inputs goes up proportionally. And those errors compound. In The Black Swan, Nicolas Nassim Taleb writes:
Simply, we are facing nonlinearities and magnifications of errors coming from the so-called butterfly effects ... actually discovered by Lorenz using weather forecasting models. Small changes in input, coming from measurement error, can lead to massively divergent projections — and that generously assumes we have the right equations.
In other words, the lower "res" the model, the less it conforms to reality's details. The higher "res" the model, the more likely it is to be infected with errors. This is one of the great paradoxes of modeling.
6. Data can be detached
The problem with numbers is that they're sometimes detached from the phenomena they're meant to describe. If we see a record of a person's body temperature from 1969 — at 99.1 degrees — we might assume he had a fever. But knowing the context of that measurement may lead us to tell a different story about what caused his temperature at that time: for example, that the man had been sitting in a hot tub. Climate data from the past can offer even less context, clarity, and accuracy.
But let's suppose all the world's thermometers — both satellite and land — have neither heat-island effects nor any other distortions, and that they offer an accurate description of the earth's temperature. Let us also assume that the temperature readings over the last hundred years are completely accurate and represent the planet as a whole, and that the temperature data derived from inferential methods such as ice core samples and tree rings also paint an accurate picture of surface temperatures well into the past, which is doubtful.
We are still left with a problem: We cannot simply look at the outputs of the climate system (temperature), because they are linked to all-important inputs — that is, those factors that caused any changes in temperature. The inability for climate scientists to tell a more conclusive causal story about factors in past warming is another reason to remain agnostic about trends over longer timescales.
7. Decomposability is a virtual impossibility
Another serious problem with the theory of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is that, if it is a theory at all, it seems to be a cluster of interconnected theories and interconnected models. Let that settle for a moment. Consider that the IPCC, the central climate-science organization whose job is to give the definitive word on climate change, has to assemble the work of hundreds, maybe thousands, of scientists and weave it into a comprehensive report. But as Norgaard and Baer write in Bioscience, "Models developed and heretofore interpreted within individual scientific communities are taken out of their hands, modified, and used with other models in ways over which the original scientific communities no longer have control."
Now, in stitching together the various individual theories, studies, and models of such a diverse and inevitably error-prone community, the problem goes deeper. Never mind that the IPCC central committee has deep incentives to interpret the data in a way that creates the impression of a single, uniform theory. Suppose that every climate scientist that gets picked by the IPCC for its report claims 95 percent confidence. Even if each scientist were 95 percent certain of his particular prediction or set of parameters, we can't be so certain about the agglomeration of 10 scientists' opinions about disparate phenomena, much less 50. Nor can any given scientist be 95 percent confident about the work of any other scientist.
8. Stats stand in for certainty
People crave certainty, and politicians want to provide it. So when we hear that a scientist is 95 percent confident about his or her conclusions, we feel like that's close enough, derived as it presumably is through some sort of statistical analysis. "Yet since things are ultimately uncertain," writes theoretical mathematician William Byers:
We satisfy this need by creating artificial islands of certainty. We create models of reality and then insist that the models are reality. It is not that science, mathematics, and statistics do not provide useful information about the real world. The problem lies in making excessive claims for the validity of these methods and models and believing them to be absolutely certain.
Byers's book The Blind Spot: Science and the Crisis of Uncertainty is a welcome antidote to this sort of scientific hubris.
Climatologist Judith Curry put matters a little differently. When a journalist asked her how the 95 percent number was determined, she replied, "The 95% is basically expert judgment, it is a negotiated figure among the authors. The increase from 90–95% means that they are more certain. How they can justify this is beyond me."
The reporter then asked if it was really all so subjective. Curry's reply: "As far as I know, this is what goes on. All this has never been documented."
9. AGW might not be a theory at all
What makes a scientific theory a theory at all? This has been debated among philosophers of science, but most people generally agree that a certain set of minimum criteria should be in place. Among them, at least, are these:
AGW is not testable in any laboratory sense, of course, but many natural phenomena are not. And yet we've already discussed the problems of testing models against available evidence — considering the models' hypotheses and seeing whether these track with what we can observe. One might argue that models stand for hypotheses, and suffice for a testability criterion. But this is unclear.
- Is the theory testable? Can we formulate hypotheses grounded in the theory, then figure out a way to test the hypotheses?
- Is the theory falsifiable? Is there evidence that could call the theory into question? What evidence would exclude the theory?
- Does the theory unify? Does the theory unify seemingly unrelated phenomena under a single explanatory framework?
Perhaps the most damning of the three for AGW is the falsifiability criterion. That is, the Orthodoxy has created a situation in which models play a major role in the theoretical framework. But when the models fail to track with observation, the Orthodoxy claims the timescales are not sufficient to determine a climate trend — for example, that discussing the pause of the last 18 years is "cherry picking." Fair enough. But then what sort of data would count to falsify the theory? And what, going forward, is a time scale sufficient to determine a climate trend? 100 years?
If we accept these longer timescales as sufficient to smooth out natural variability, we might reasonably ask the Orthodoxy to remain agnostic about AGW while another 70 years of data come in. (After all, they have had to rely on spurious proxies to "trick" temperature trends in the past.) But the Orthodoxy then changes tack and argues that's too long to wait! After all, we might be going through an emergency that requires immediate action. So, despite the insufficient timescale, they expect everyone to accept the climate consensus as the basis for policymakers' faith-based initiatives.
Finally, does AGW unify diverse phenomena under a single explanatory framework? AGW is meant to explain everything from ocean acidification to melting sea ice, to rising sea levels, to regional desertification. The trouble is with the explanatory part. When taken in isolation, each of these purported consequences of global warming either aren't happening as predicted, or, if they are, they can be explained by factors outside AGW theory. So it's not clear that AGW satisfies any unification criterion, either.
10. It's matter of degree
What if the Climate Orthodoxy is wrong and the "lukewarmists" like Judith Curry turn out to be right? If we look at the empirical data over the last 30 years or so, they might be. As Rational Optimist author writes, "I found myself persuaded by the middle-of-the-road, 'lukewarm' argument — that CO2-induced warming is likely but it won't be large, fast or damaging." The Climate Orthodoxy might have been hyperventilating over a degree of warming over a century. (And, of course, policies driven by hysteria could mean the poorest people might be prevented from joining the middle class for the sake of an almost imperceptible change.)
11. Pascal's Climate Wager
Suppose we all agreed that 100 years of accurate temperature data would be sufficient to determine a climate trend. The Climate Orthodoxy argues that we must act now to prevent climate change, in case they are right. People familiar with theology will recall this is the analogous to Pascal's Wager, in which 17th-century Christian philosopher Blaise Pascal tells us we'd better believe in God, Heaven, and Hell. If we believe and we're wrong, we haven't lost anything, according to Pascal. But if we disbelieve and we're wrong, we have eternity to suffer. Similarly, we must believe, suffer, and sacrifice now to stave off climate change.
There are a number of problems with this rationale, but the biggest one is rather ironic. There is no viable political climate solution currently on the table that is capable of mitigating any predicted warming. Taking the IPCC's own assumptions, Patrick Michaels and Paul "Chip" Knappenberger found that there is no winning "wager" here:
Assuming the IPCC's value for climate sensitivity (i.e., disregarding the recent scientific literature) and completely stopping all carbon dioxide emissions in the US between now and the year 2050 and keeping them at zero, will only reduce the amount of global warming by just over a tenth of a degree (out of a total projected rise of 2.619°C between 2010 and 2100).
If you think that a rise of 2.482°C is vastly preferable to a rise of 2.619°C then all you have to do is set the carbon tax large enough to drive U.S. emissions to zero by mid-century — oh yeah, and sell that tax to the American people.
So even if all the models turn out to be true, there is little we can do with policy at this point. So unlike Pascal's Wager, there is no amount of repenting and belief that could save us. We're either all going to climate hell, anyway, or something ain't right. The whole conversation about "climate action" appears to be moot at this point. Don't believe it? Check the Handy Dandy Climate Temperature Savings Calculator.
12. The debate is not over, and the science is not settled
Freeman Dyson, a brilliant theoretical physicist, is no man of the right. But he is intellectually honest enough to wear the mantel of "heretic." Here's why:
I am especially unimpressed by the claim that a prediction of rapid and dangerous warming is "settled science," as firm as evolution or gravity. How could it be? It is a prediction! No prediction, let alone in a multi-causal, chaotic and poorly understood system like the global climate, should ever be treated as gospel. With the exception of eclipses, there is virtually nothing scientists can say with certainty about the future. It is absurd to argue that one cannot disagree with a forecast. Is the Bank of England's inflation forecast infallible?
Indeed. And to say that the debate is over is not to say that those willing to debate have nothing to say. It is rather to say that you have turned off your curiosity, your humility, and your willingness to engage in discourse so that you can get what you want.
And what should we say about all this "consensus" talk? Science writer Ronald Bailey (no agnostic about climate change) wisely says:
One should always keep in mind that a scientific consensus crucially determines and limits the questions researchers ask. And one should always worry about to what degree supporters of any given scientific consensus risk succumbing to confirmation bias. In any case, the credibility of scientific research is not ultimately determined by how many researchers agree with it or how often it is cited by like-minded colleagues, but whether or not it conforms to reality.
13. Climate science isn't climate policy
One of the biggest problems with the Climate Orthodoxy is that one set of experts that is cocksure about the science really has no expertise in the economics of climate change or in climate-change policy. How in the world is an expert in albedo effects going to have anything meaningful to say about whether climate change is good or bad for the world today — much less 50 years into the future? This profound disconnect has never stopped scientists like James Hansen from advocating for certain types of policies.
Seeing this disconnect, however, the Orthodoxy has begun training up so-called specialists in the economics of climate change, led by such "experts" as Sir Nicholas Stern, whose models and predictions are the stuff of both speculation and spectacle. More tempered in his prognostications is Yale's William Nordhaus, but economists such as Robert Murphy offer very good reasons to question Nordhaus's almanac, as well.
If you think modeling the climate is hard, try modeling an economy. As economist Arnold Kling writes,
I think that if the press were aware of the intellectual history and lack of scientific standing of the models, it would cease rounding up these usual suspects. Macroeconometrics stands discredited among mainstream academic economists. Applying macroeconometric models to questions of fiscal policy is the equivalent of using pre-Copernican astronomy to launch a satellite or using bleeding to treat an infection.
Whatever the pedigree of the economist, his laurels, or his letters, mixing macrometeorology with macroeconomics is like trying to read tea leaves.
14. The climate orthodoxy is inherently corruptive
Here's the heretic Dyson again:
The politicians and the public expect science to provide answers to the problems. Scientific experts are paid and encouraged to provide answers. The public does not have much use for a scientist who says, "Sorry, but we don't know."
He's right. It is nearly impossible to inoculate science from the influence of those who pay the bills. As I wrote in "The Climate Complex Strikes Back" (Freeman, February 2015), "That government money shouldn't corrupt is just another application of the unicorn fallacy so common among well-meaning greens." And it's even tougher not to develop blind spots and biases when those who fund you claim to be on the side of the angels. That is why we must put our faith not in centralized hierarchies of experts but in the Republic of Science itself.
15. Reasoned agnosticism is not "denial"
Godwin's law surfaces quickly in the debates about global warming. Here's Botkin again:
For me, the extreme limit of this attitude was expressed by economist Paul Krugman, also a Nobel laureate, who wrote in his New York Times column in June, "Betraying the Planet" that "as I watched the deniers make their arguments, I couldn't help thinking that I was watching a form of treason — treason against the planet." What had begun as a true scientific question with possibly major practical implications had become accepted as an infallible belief (or if you're on the other side, an infallible disbelief), and any further questions were met, Joe-McCarthy style, "with me or agin me."
Of course, the term "denier" is meant to evoke Holocaust denial.
16. AGW might be beneficial on net
If Stern and Nordhaus (see #11) can engage in economic speculation, then we can, too. In fact, when we look back at warmer periods in the history of civilization, we see relative flourishing.
According to Matt Ridley, writing in the UK Spectator, Professor Richard Tol of Sussex University aggregated 14 major academic papers about the future effects of climate change. Tol determined that things look rosier than the Orthodoxy would have us believe:
Professor Tol calculated that climate change would be beneficial up to 2.2°C of warming from 2009 (when he wrote his paper). This means approximately 3°C from pre-industrial levels, since about 0.8°C of warming has happened in the last 150 years.
And in a more recent paper, Tol looks back over the last 100 years. He concludes that climate change raised human and environmental welfare during the 20th century:
By how much? He calculates by 1.4 per cent of global economic output, rising to 1.5 per cent by 2025. For some people, this means the difference between survival and starvation.
Sure, it's speculative, even looking back. But isn't it just as likely that there will be benefits as costs? It might turn out that if the planet does warm a couple of degrees, there will be new forms of flourishing.
17. One hundred years of certitude
One wonders what people in 1915 would have thought about our lives today. The pace of technological change has been staggering. And though a few people tried to make predictions, they were not cut out for the task. Likewise, we cannot readily say what forms of energy we'll use, and what technologies they will power. As Troy University economist Daniel Sutter reminds us,
A dynamic market economy will feature too much creative destruction to allow detailed planning for the distant future. Nothing is sure in a market economy ten years from now, much less 100 years, and discounting in cost-benefit analysis simply reflects this reality. The economic future becomes more predictable when government controls economic activity, but then stagnation results. Discounting in climate change economics tells us to create wealth to protect future generations. Economic freedom and the institutions of the market economy, not central planning of energy use, is the prudent policy approach to a changing climate.Inherent in our inability adequately to plan and predict is a recommendation that we adapt instead.
18. Adaptation as policy prescription
If the climate is warming some, and it might be, then what is the best policy? One can make a powerful case for adaptation. Adaptation is not about doing nothing. It means liberalizing the world on a number of dimensions of economic freedom to ensure that countries are rich enough to be resilient. A wealthy and adaptive people like the Dutch can figure out how to live with rising waters. A rich and resilient people like the Hong Kong Chinese can figure out how to build a city-state on a rock in 50 years. A rich and resilient citizenry of the world should be able to handle what a degree or two of change in average global temperature has in store for us — especially as we will undergo untold technological transformations over the next decade or two.
19. Climate policy has a defector problem
The problem with climate-change policies like carbon taxes is that they require near-global unanimity to work. That is, if the United States adopts a carbon tax, energy becomes more expensive for Americans. But if energy becomes more expensive here, it might be less expensive in other parts of the world. And, indeed, businesses and the energy industry will engage in energy arbitrage. Developing countries like India, China, Brazil, and Russia will welcome these energy arbitrageurs with open arms. They might develop even as we stagnate. And they should: they are lifting billions of people out of poverty. But there's a problem here for climate policy. Every signatory to a climate treaty has strong incentives to defect. And as defectors do their thing, carbon continues to pour into the atmosphere. Nothing changes to mitigate climate change; industry simply shifts around.
20. Climate policy has an efficacy problem
Suppose we don't accept Pascal's Climate Wager and we conclude that no climate policy under consideration will do much to mitigate warming. Those who claim that action is vital respond to this claim by saying, "We have to start somewhere!" But if you're conceding that no policy under consideration does very much, why would you start with a failed policy? It appears to be more empty rhetoric used to justify an unprecedented level of taxation designed to feed some of the most insatiable and predatory governments in the world.
21. Climate policy has a corruption problem
Earlier, I suggested that the Climate Orthodoxy has a corruptive influence on science. We shouldn't stop there. The "climate industrial complex" is large and growing. Scores of green energy companies are on the take, donating campaign contributions to politicians who control the purse strings at the Department of Energy. Legacy energy utilities lick their chops, seeing opportunities to game the system in a carbon-tax environment that is unfavorable to their competitors. Traders get in on energy credit schemes. Green NGOs play "Baptists" to all the corporate "bootleggers," and when you scrutinize it all — including the billions of dollars the federal government pours into the "science" — the whole things starts to smell like one festering pile of corruption.
22. The confidence game
If you're feeling uncertain, consider that the Climate Orthodoxy has to do everything it can to pull members of the public like you into assent. Here's one final nod to Dyson:
The public prefers to listen to scientists who give confident answers to questions and make confident predictions of what will happen as a result of human activities. So it happens that the experts who talk publicly about politically contentious questions tend to speak more clearly than they think. They make confident predictions about the future, and end up believing their own predictions. Their predictions become dogmas, which they do not question. The public is led to believe that the fashionable scientific dogmas are true, and it may sometimes happen that they are wrong. That is why heretics who question the dogmas are needed.
If you are a Climate Agnostic, that's okay. (You won't burn at the stake; you'll merely burn in the heat of a baking planet.)
Postscript: We are creative conservationists
As the world changes for this reason or that, we are growing richer, stronger, smarter, and more resilient. We are becoming more conscious about the environment and its natural treasures. On almost every environmental dimension — including air quality, water quality, the extent of forestland, and the return of wildlife — things are getting better. Whether you think most of these gains are a consequence of environmental regulations or improvements in market efficiencies, one thing is clear: wealthier is healthier. We should continue to cherish the beauty of the planet and continue to grow economically so we can afford to protect its wonders. Being agnostic about climate change does not require that we stop loving Planet Earth, it only means keeping a cool head and an open mind, even when the discourse overheats.
Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Earth Day: 22 Ways to Think about the Climate-Change Debate | Foundation for Economic Education
Earth Day: 22 Ways to Think about the Climate-Change Debate | Foundation for Economic Education
Posted by Karl at 22:03 No comments: Links to this post
Labels: climate change, environment, science
Sunday, September 20, 2015
Carly Fiorina: Planned Parenthood Debate Comments Spark Backlash | National Review Online
Carly Fiorina: Planned Parenthood Debate Comments Spark Backlash | National Review Online
The question is, "Who won last week's debate?"
The answer is, "Whoever's drawing the most fire from the drive-by media."
The question is, "Who won last week's debate?"
The answer is, "Whoever's drawing the most fire from the drive-by media."
Posted by Karl at 13:01 No comments: Links to this post
Labels: abortion, campaign 2016
Friday, September 18, 2015
The Truth About Wages in Right-to-Work States
Private sector wages are not reduced in right-to-work states as union advocates have argued, according to a new report released Tuesday by The Heritage Foundation.James Sherk, a research fellow in labor economics at The Heritage Foundation and the author of the study, cited an Economic Policy Institute paper that claimed right-to-work laws reduce wages by 3 percent.Sherk found the conclusions "fundamentally flawed" because the study only partially accounted for the cost of living differences across states. He said this is a problem because companies in states with higher costs of living pay their employees higher wages to account for steeper expenses.Every state with compelled union membership and Virginia, a right-to-work state, has living costs above the national average, which is how EPI arrived to its finding that right-to-work states have lower wages.Once cost of living was accounted for in the Heritage study, Sherk said EPI's results "disappeared" and right-to-work laws had no effect on private sector wages.
Sherk's study did find government employees make about 5 percent less in right-to-work states, but he attributed this to government unions' ability to affect wages by electing "political allies" who will give them "favorable contracts.""All of these arguments of right-to-work wages really evaporate when you look under the hood of all these studies," Sherk said.Though more than three-quarters of Americans believe union membership should be voluntary, 25 states still have compulsory unionization.
Posted by Karl at 15:30 No comments: Links to this post
Tuesday, September 15, 2015
In Economics, Good Outcomes Matter -- Not Intentions | National Review Online
In Economics, Good Outcomes Matter -- Not Intentions | National Review Online
News item: There is a new cholesterol-control drug on the market, Repatha, which is enormously beneficial to people who suffer serious side effects from the statins commonly used to control cholesterol or who derive no benefit from statins. Some 17 million Britons are potential beneficiaries of the drug, but they will not be able to use it, because the United Kingdom's version of Sarah Palin's death panel — which bears the pleasingly Orwellian name NICE, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence — says it is too expensive. The United Kingdom's single-payer health-care system is effectively a monopoly, and not an especially effective one: Cardiovascular-disease mortality rates in the United Kingdom are nearly 40 percent higher than in the United States. That's not nice. And it isn't what was supposed to happen. News item: Between raising its in-house minimum wage to $9 an hour and increasing its spending on training, Walmart took on an extra $1 billion in expenses and subsequently failed to meet its earnings expectations. As the back-to-school rush gives way to the buildup to Christmas, Walmart employees around the country are seeing their hours trimmed as the company tries to recoup some of the losses it imposed on itself. Employees say they are being sent home early from their shifts or told to take extra-long unpaid lunch breaks, and they say that individual stores have been ordered to cuts hundreds or even thousands of man-hours. That's not what was supposed to happen.
News item: "An unprecedented number of Californians left for other states during the last decade, according to new tax-return data from the Internal Revenue Service," the Sacramento Bee reports. "About 5 million Californians left between 2004 and 2013. Roughly 3.9 million people came here from other states during that period, for a net population loss of more than 1 million people." A quarter of that net loss was to Texas, where a state income-tax rate of 0.00 percent and low cost of housing stand in contrast with California. That's not what was supposed to happen.
It falls largely to persnickety, unpleasant eat-your-spinach types, and to certain happy souls blessedly liberated from the romance of politics by events and experience, to document that what is supposed to happen and what happens are not the same thing. Britons and Canadians and Americans can go on all they like about their "right" to health care, but calling something a right does not make it any less scarce (indeed, it is absolutely meaningless to proclaim a "right" to any scarce good), and whether you choose an anything-goes free market or an Anglo-Soviet single-payer monopoly model, there is going to be rationing, normally through the instrument of price. The only question is whether you get to make that decision for yourself or whether an Orwellian NICE guy makes it for you. You can raise wages at Walmart in the naïve expectation that there will be no consequences — in much the same way that all manner of bad decisions begin with the exhortation, "Here, hold my beer." But there will be consequences. You can loot California until the only people comfortable living there are too rich to care or too poor to care, but the people between those limits have cars, and they know where the local U-Haul office is.
In the social sciences, the term of art for these developments is "unintended consequences." Some unintended consequences are unforeseeable, but many are not. They are at least partly foreseeable, even if unintended, and our good intentions do not entitle us to blind ourselves to reality. Demand curves slope downward: When you raise the price of something — a ton of coal, an hour of labor — then the quantity demanded will be lower than it would have been at a lower price. The occasional intellectually honest progressive (an increasingly rare species, unhappily) will admit this, and will frankly accept that certain trade-offs, such as extending the power of labor unions or regulators or other political allies, are worth the price extracted, in this case the misery and privation of poor people denied work and a chance at self-sufficiency. Every schemer fancies himself a chess grandmaster, and if you are wondering which of the chessmen you are in his grand conception of the universe, count on it being one of the little round-headed ones in the front row.
That we can be reasonably sure that there will be unintended consequences does not mean that we know what they will be; these things are unpredictable by nature. Walmart might attempt to recoup some of its higher labor costs through reduced man-hours of labor, but it might as easily seek to shift costs onto vendors and suppliers, especially smaller firms that depend on Walmart for much or most of their distribution. (It is less likely that Walmart will attempt to pass on costs to customers through higher prices; lower prices are fundamental to its business model. The same is broadly true of fast-food companies.) Those firms will, in turn, try to shift costs to their own vendors, suppliers, customers, employees, etc. Taking a checkout clerk in Fontana, Kan., from $7.25 an hour to $9 an hour might, through roundabout cost-shifting, reduce the income of a logistics specialist in Fontana, Calif., or that of a hotelier in Fontana, Switzerland. What you can be sure of is that the experimental standard — ceteris paribus — will not apply. The world will not sit still while you adjust your favorite variable.
Posted by Karl at 14:12 No comments: Links to this post
Labels: economics, minimum wage
Friday, September 11, 2015
Victimhood Culture in America: Beyond Honor and Dignity - Hit & Run : Reason.com
In "Microaggression and Moral Cultures," the UCLA* California State University, Los Angeles sociologist Bradley Campbell and the West Virginia University sociologist Jason Manning identify a "culture of victimhood" that they distinguish from the "honor cultures" and "dignity cultures" of the past. In a victimhood culture, they write, "individuals and groups display high sensitivity to slight, have a tendency to handle conflicts through complaints to third parties, and seek to cultivate an image of being victims who deserve assistance."
Insightfully complementing their analysis is a new study by the St. Lawrence University economist Steven Horwitz, titled "Cooperation Over Coercion: The Importance of Unsupervised Childhood Play for Democracy and Liberalism." Horwitz makes the case that overprotective childrearing is undermining the "ability to engage in group problem solving and settle disputes without the intervention of outsiders," a capacity he calls "a key part of the liberal order." In other words, both studies find that Americans increasingly want and expect adult supervision.
In honor cultures, men maintain their honor by responding to insults, slights, and violations of rights by self-help violence. "Cultures of honor tend to arise in places where legal authority is weak or non-existent, and where a reputation for toughness is perhaps the only effective deterrent against predation or attack," write Campbell and Manning. They note that honor cultures still exist in the Arab world and among street gangs in Western societies.
During the 19th century, most Western societies began the moral transition toward dignity cultures in which all citizens are legally endowed with equal rights. Dignity does not depend upon reputation but exists as unalienable rights that do not depend on what other people think of one's bravery. Having a thick skin and shrugging off slights become virtues because they help maintain social peace. The aphorism that "sticks and stones may break my bones, but words will never hurt me," is practically the motto of dignity cultures.
Of course, serious conflicts cannot always be resolved privately. In dignity cultures persons, property, and rights are then defended as a last resort by recourse to third parties, such as courts and police, that if necessary wield violence on their behalf. Still, dignity cultures practice tolerance and are much more peaceful than honor cultures.
Horwitz is all about defending the culture of dignity. He points out that daily social interaction is full annoying or obnoxious small-scale behavior such as failing to refill the copier, taking some else's parking space, or hearing a tasteless joke. "When one seriously considers all the moments in a typical day that have potential for conflict that get resolved through conversation and negotiation, or just plain tolerance, it is actually somewhat astounding how smooth social life is," Horwitz observes. In fact, the vast majority of conflicts in modern Western societies are resolved without recourse to external authorities or direct coercion.
Horwitz makes a strong case that unsupervised and unstructured play among children teaches them private, noncoercive ways to resolve conflicts and generate cooperation, lessons that are very important to how they conduct themselves when they become adults. Supervised play, by contrast, trains children to expect adults to step in to adjudicate disputes and apply coercion. Horwitz fears this is flipping the social default setting from "figure out how to solve this conflict on your own" to "invoke force and/or third parties whenever conflict arises." He suggests that the recent upsurge in conflicts around sexual consent on campus may arise in part because so many young adults never acquired the social skills developed through unstructured play, such as "ensuring that all involved continue to consent to the rules and to the game being played."
Like Campbell and Manning, Horwitz notes that Americans are turning increasingly to third-party coercion to resolve what would in earlier days have been considered minor conflicts. He worries that without "the skills necessary to solve conflicts cooperatively, it is not hard to imagine that people will quickly turn either to external authorities like the state to resolve them, or would demand an exhaustive list of explicit rules" as to what constitutes permissible conduct. His concern mirrors that of Alexis de Tocqueville who in Democracy in America (1835) prophesied that democracy would generate an "immense and tutelary power" whose authority is "absolute, minute, regular, provident, and mild. It would be like the authority of a parent if, like that authority, its object was to prepare men for manhood; but it seeks, on the contrary, to keep them in perpetual childhood." Ultimately, Horwitz fears that the result of ceding ever more power to state authorities to resolve conflicts "will be the destruction of liberalism and democracy."
A victimhood culture combines an honor culture's quickness to take offense with an overdependence on the coercive institutions that serve as a dignity culture's last resort. If Campbell, Manning, and Horwitz are right about the direction American society is taking, that's really terrible news. A victimhood culture will spawn social conflict, which in turn will produce an ever larger and more coercive government tasked with trying to suppress it.
Posted by Karl at 15:24 No comments: Links to this post
Labels: culture war, victimhood
Expel People Who Demand Trigger Warnings
Expel People Who Demand Trigger Warnings
I don't bring this up for pity. I bring it up because I know what it is to be triggered, and to have to fight your way past a psychological gag reflex that you never wanted, but that the dual cruelties of fate and another person's mental illness imposed on you.
It is because I know this that I must write this article. In the past few years, I have seen the markers of a disorder I have learned to live with cynically twisted into a political cudgel by the radical Left, as well as a number of people I can only believe are still too deluded by their own continued suffering to realize what a mockery and an insult their cause is to their fellow sufferers. I don't know which of these categories Myers fits into, but, frankly, it doesn't matter. A snake-oil salesman is a snake-oil salesman, even if she believes the snake oil works.
Leave College If You Can't Take It
Let's get back to Myers' "just let the poor traumatized kids get the degrees they paid for" argument. No, don't let them get those degrees. The whole point of those degrees is to signify their bearers possess qualities beyond merely the credit rating to take out vast amounts of student loans. The entire reason college degrees are supposed to be valuable is that they signify a capacity to absorb and process specialized knowledge beyond what non-degree-holders have. This is, in fact, the whole purpose of education generally.
This means if some troubled or weak students have allowed their mental illness to preclude them from absorbing such knowledge, the fault lies not with the college, but with them. Such people are as ineducable as an illiterate English major. The solution is not to expel knowledge from the classroom that is disagreeable to these feeble and fragile minds. It is to expel them. Their place is in a psych ward, not a school, and their money (or, more likely, their parents') is better spent seeking treatment there than spoiling education for everyone else.
I am not exaggerating when I say that the stigma attached to mental illness exists at least partially because "sufferers" exhibit these sorts of cognitive glass jaws. Why should you be willing to spend time around someone prone to breaking down and blaming you at any moment, let alone take responsibility for them as an employer, supervisor, or especially the sort of educator-cum-substitute-parent that many college administrations try to be? In our lawsuit-happy culture, there is no reason for any rational being to want anyone who is mentally ill nearby if their most visible "advocates" are so fragile they want to see a Shakespeare play labeled like a pack of cigarettes.
Posted by Karl at 12:53 No comments: Links to this post
Labels: academia, victimhood
Wednesday, September 09, 2015
The Rise of the Culture of Victimhood Explained - Hit & Run : Reason.com
In honor cultures, people (men) maintained their honor by responding to insults, slights, violations of rights by self-help violence. Generally honor cultures exist where the rule of law is weak. In honor cultures, people protected themselves, their families, and property through having a reputation for swift violence. During the 19th century, most Western societies began the moral transition toward dignity cultures in which all citizens were legally endowed with equal rights. In such societies, persons, property, and rights are defended by recourse to third parties, usually courts, police, and so forth, that, if necessary, wield violence on their behalf. Dignity cultures practice tolerance and are much more peaceful than honor cultures.
Sociologists Bradley Campbell and Jason Manning are arguing that the U.S. is now transitioning to a victimhood culture that combines both the honor culture's quickness to take offense with the dignity culture's use of third parties to police and punish transgressions. The result is people are encouraged to think of themselves as weak, marginalized, and oppressed. This is nothing less than demoralizing and polarizing as everybody seeks to become a "victim."
To give readers some idea of what is being argued, I include below a couple of sections highlighted by Haidt. Bracketed comments are by Haidt.
A) Microaggression as OverstratificationAccording to Black (2011), as noted above, changes in stratification, intimacy, and diversity cause conflict. Microaggression complaints are largely about changes in stratification. They document actions said to increase the level of inequality in a social relationship – actions Black refers to as "overstratification." Overstratification offenses occur whenever anyone rises above or falls below others in status. [Therefore…] a morality that privileges equality and condemns oppression is most likely to arise precisely in settings that already have relatively high degrees of equality… In modern Western societies, egalitarian ethics have developed alongside actual political and economic equality.As women moved into the workforce in large numbers, became increasingly educated, made inroads into highly paid professions such as law and medicine, and became increasingly prominent in local, state, and national politics, sexism became increasingly deviant. The taboo has grown so strong that making racist statements, even in private, might jeopardize the careers of celebrities or the assets of businessmen (e.g., Fenno, Christensen, and Rainey 2014; Lynch 2013). [p.706-707] [In other words, as progress is made toward a more equal and humane society, it takes a smaller and smaller offense to trigger a high level of outrage. The goalposts shift, allowing participants to maintain a constant level of anger and constant level of perceived victimization.]B) Microaggression as underdiversityMicroaggression offenses also tend to involve what Black calls "underdiversity" – the rejection of a culture. Large acts of underdiversity include things like genocide or political oppression, while smaller acts include ethnic jokes or insults. The publicizers of microaggressions are concerned with the latter, as well as more subtle, perhaps inadvertent, cultural slights…. Just as overstratification conflict varies inversely with stratification, underdiversity conflict varies directly with diversity (Black 2011:139). Attempts to increase stratification, we saw, are more deviant where stratification is at a minimum; likewise, attempts to decrease diversity are more deviant where diversity is at a maximum. In modern Western societies, an ethic of cultural tolerance – and often incompatibly, intolerance of intolerance – has developed in tandem with increasing diversity. Since microaggression offenses normally involve overstratification and underdiversity, intense concern about such offenses occurs at the intersection of the social conditions conducive to the seriousness of each. It is in egalitarian and diverse settings – such as at modern American universities – that equality and diversity are most valued, and it is in these settings that perceived offenses against these values are most deviant. [p.707]. [Again, the paradox: places that make the most progress toward equality and diversity can expect to have the "lowest bar" for what counts as an offense against equality and inclusivity. Some colleges have lowered the bar so far that an innocent question, motivated by curiosity, such as "where are you from" is now branded as an act of aggression.]C) Victimhood as VirtueWhen the victims publicize microaggressions they call attention to what they see as the deviant behavior of the offenders. In doing so they also call attention to their own victimization. Indeed, many ways of attracting the attention and sympathy of third parties emphasize or exacerbate the low status of the aggrieved. People portray themselves as oppressed by the powerful – as damaged, disadvantaged, and needy. [They describe such practices going back to ancient Rome and India] … But why emphasize one's victimization? Certainly the distinction between offender and victim always has moral significance, lowering the offender's moral status. In the settings such as those that generate microaggression catalogs, though, where offenders are oppressors and victims are the oppressed, it also raises the moral status of the victims. This only increases the incentive to publicize grievances, and it means aggrieved parties are especially likely to highlight their identity as victims, emphasizing their own suffering and innocence. Their adversaries are privileged and blameworthy, but they themselves are pitiable and blameless. [p.707-708] [This is the great tragedy: the culture of victimization rewards people for taking on a personal identity as one who is damaged, weak, and aggrieved. This is a recipe for failure — and constant litigation — after students graduate from college and attempt to enter the workforce].
Posted by Karl at 14:31 No comments: Links to this post
Labels: crybullies, culture, victimhood
Saturday, September 05, 2015
Sad Puppies | The Liberty Zone
Sad Puppies | The Liberty Zone
If you hadn't heard, this year's Hugo Award nominations are out, and the Social Justice Whiner butthurt is EPIC!
First, let's recap. The Sad Puppies 4 campaign was run by three amazing women writers I am proud to call my friends: Kate Paulk, Sarah Hoyt, and Amanda Green – all bright, talented, creative, driven women writers (even if some morons do claim Sarah is somehow a white, Mormon male).
The Sad Puppies 4 campaign was open, transparent, and completely objective. Even the most ardent of Puppy Kickers had to admit this. And the list this year included some stellar works.
A friend noted the following on social media:
Anyone with half a brain, who had been following the controversy since last year could tell that the Sad Puppies campaign was not only a success once again this year, but it was open and non-political, no matter how much Steve Davidson tried to make it so.
- Best Novel: All 5 nominees were in the top 12 recommended by SP4, including 3 of the top 7 recommended by the fans.
- Best Novella: All top 4 SP4 recommendations were nominated, and all 5 nominees were in the top 8 slots SP4 compiled.
- Best Novellete: Only 3 of the nominees were on the SP4 list (all within the top 6 slots). 19 works were recommended by SP4 overall.
- Best Short Story: Only 2 of the nominees were on the list, both within the top 20 listed; 38 works were listed overall.
- Best Editor (Long Form): 2 of the 3 recommendees by SP4 made the nominee list. Sadly, politics will almost definitely keep the extremely deserving Toni Weisskopf, who is one of the most influential and successful women in publishing, from being recognized with an award.
- Campbell Nominees: All 5 of the works on the shortlist were recommended by SP4, including the top 3 selections agreed upon by the group. 19 total works were recommended overall.
But that's not good enough. It's never good enough for whining Social Justice Howler Monkeys. The usual horde of haters have crawled out from under their rocks to claim 1) the Sad Puppies nominated quality works, but the quality works Sad Puppies nominated were nominated despite the Sad Puppies 2) The Sad Puppies don't matter anyway, and 3) HUGOS WERE HIJACKED BY BAD BAD EVIL RIGHTWINGERS AGAIN THIS YEAR, AND I'M BUTTHURT ABOUT IT!
The first claim came from the cavernous hole of none other than the feminist dick cheese of science fiction, John Scalzi, who first had to remind us that rabid, arrogant howler monkeys "No Awarded" entire categories in last year's Hugo fiasco – all to keep the "wrong" kinds of writers and editors from getting the award, and then proceeded to talk about how luminaries such as Lois McMaster Bujold, Neil Gaiman, Brandon Sanderson and Stephen King were nominated by the Sad Puppies this year, but the Sad Puppies are dirty scum, whom he hates anyway, and these writers would have gotten nominated without them, because FUCK YOU, PUPPIES.
Here's what really happened.
The Sad Puppies did exactly what they said they would do: they nominated works they liked transparently, cleanly, without politics playing into it.
Kate, Sarah, and Amanda tallied the votes, and put forth a recommendation list of varied, diverse works readers felt were worthy of a Hugo.
Some authors, afraid to be associated with the "wrong" type of fans gnashed teeth, clutched pearls, and wet themselves.
A good number Sad Puppy recommendations made it on the Hugo nomination list.
Horrified that they didn't have reason to kick the Puppies around this year, quivering-lipped, arrogant, self-anointed arbiters of all that is good, just, and right in science fiction and fantasy, decided to kick the Puppies anyway. These ass weasels were so desperate for drama they couldn't wait to create sturm and drang where there was none, and most of us are chuckling at their pathetic efforts to once again denigrate a large group of fans in a vain attempt at relevance.
Grow up, you sad excuses for human beings! No one but a few frothing, deluded acolytes actually takes you seriously. You're nothing but an object of mockery and ridicule, which is occasionally entertaining, but ultimately just kind of sad – like an overweight, former prom queen at her 20-year high school reunion struggling to regain some semblance of her bubbly popularity.
Go write something worthy of reading, or something.
Posted by Karl at 19:04 No comments: Links to this post
Labels: culture war, Daisy Hill Hugo Farm
Thursday, September 03, 2015
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)


text:
Marks on support
Drawing is an expressive tool that I often use to fix ideas; there are sketches, schemas, plans, diagrams… There are on a side of the brain, a quiet training of shapes, colors, notes of all sorts. Sometimes I make the "well cared" one, with attention, to represent the object to make. It is narrative and always materially disconnected to what they represent: from pencil on paper to concrete and earth for example.
- 2010
Marks on support is an illustrative project that proposes series of free process to leave expressive marks. Active proposals for material sketches, with no other restrain than lying down material on a surface.


text:
Thursday, May 9, 2013
Workwear Leather Wristlets + Prudence Collars
Happy May! Spring is in full swing, and we have some brand new accessories for you to add to your collection! The Workwear Leather Wristlets are rigged so that the leather strap bends (no sizing or fitting necessary!!) and they also come as an UNrigged attachment in case rigged isn't your thing. The adorable Prudence Collars have (until now) only been available as an exclusive group gift, but today Anouk is releasing a new collection of patterns and lace with pearl accents that you're going to LOVE!
Don't forget to demo the wristlets to be sure they fit!
Visit us on Flickr and Plurk to stay up to date on all of our releases and promotions!
Check us out on the Marketplace where you can shop our entire collection!
Have a great day! :) ~ Anouk & Elie
6 comments:
The Workwear Leather Wristlets are extremely exotic.................ReplyDelete
John Phanchalad at JP Digital Tech have a
very good track record in digital media marketing. To follow John you can visit on
well doe very good comment :)ReplyDelete
DOES THIS STORE NOT EXSIST INWORLD ANYMORE? i CAN'T FIND ITReplyDelete
DOES THIS STORE NOT EXSIST INWORLD ANYMORE? i CAN'T FIND ITReplyDelete
ROBLOX is driven by an ever growing membership base of more than 300,000 creators who generate an infinite variety of highly immersive experiences.ReplyDelete
These experiences range from 3D games and contests, to interactive adventures where players can take on new identities to imagine what it's like to be a dinosaur, a miner in a quarry or an astronaut out in space.


text:
Removal of Mail Carrrier LJ Valdez
The undersigned wish to remove mail carrier LJ Valdez from the River Valley Ranch mail room. This woman has repeatedly treated RVR homeowners and their guests with disdain and disrespect. Her rude and sometimes bizarre behavior has become too much to bear. If you have had an incident with this woman or have been locked out of the mail room without cause please sign this petition to have her permanently removed from the RVR mail room and replaced by a normal person.
Sign in to comment
No signatures yet. Be the first one!


text:
For every action there's a reaction. Maybe this boob ought to seek advice from his agent before doing something so stupid. Well, not it'll be racist to not shower money on malcontent football player or something.
Brandon Marshall says he has no regrets. He doesn't regret kneeling for the national anthem ahead of the Broncos' season opener against the Panthers on Thursday. He doesn't regret his peaceful protest of racial inequity and police brutality. And he doesn't regret it all, even as the backlash and hatred pile on.
Marshall, a teammate of Colin Kaepernick's at the University of Nevada, said he had made the calculated decision to join the 49ers quarterback standing — or kneeling — for his beliefs, but expected pushback.
Friday, Marshall lost an endorsement with Air Academy Federal Credit Union. On Monday, Marshall lost another in CenturyLink, a company whose name is painted on the top of the Seattle Seahawks' stadium. (On Sunday, all 53 Seahawks players stood together for the anthem, with their arms linked as a show of unity.)
"We completely respect Brandon Marshall's personal decision and right to take an action to support something in which he strongly believes,"CenturyLink said in a statement. "America is anchored in the right of individuals to express their beliefs. While we acknowledge Brandon's right, we also believe that whatever issues we face, we also occasionally must stand together to show our allegiance to our common bond as a nation. In our view, the national anthem is one of those moments. For this reason, while we wish Brandon the best this season, we are politely terminating our agreement with him."
As Marshall and his teammates practiced at the Broncos' Dove Valley facility Monday morning, a man pulled up to the team's headquarters and set ablaze an orange T-shirt with Marshall's name written on it in ink.
Oh well. This whole episode has run its course and it's time to move on. Out of a league of some 1,600 players a handful of punks are acting likes babies. Time to ignore them and focus on those who actually love and respect their country.


text:
Boost your performance with your favourite beats! The Urbanista Rio are extra comfy sport stereo earphones with GoFit, a silicon wing design, ensuring a secure fit as well as deeper and more comprehensive sound that'll keep you motivated. With Rio, your music is directed in a way that makes you aware of your surroundings while still giving you the option to get in the zone with just your music. Mind the rain! The mesh coating and the earphones' unique construction make them water-resistant, sweat proof and easy to clean. Use the single button remote to control your music and calls and the built-in mic allows you to take your calls anywhere you go.
Key Features
*IPX5 – IP refers to the degree of protection against ingress of water, X5 means that it is protected against low pressure water streams from any angle for at least 3 minutes. The unit is not protected against water submersion.
Expert advice available weekdays 9am-4pm ET at (888) 674-4280
"My experience with you on this order has been excellent. My items have or are arriving as I type and the communication has been detailed and timely. Thank you!"
- Kevin
All prices in Canadian dollars. Products ship from Canada - no additional duties or fees.
Copyright © 1999-2018 Blueshop Canada. All rights reserved.
Privacy Policy.
Smartphone Accessories.
All trademarks acknowledged and accepted..


text:
Hi all, how can I repartitionize an existing linux installation?
My disk is now like:
sda1;/boot;45.4 Mb (72.5% used)
sdb1; /usr; 20.4 Gb (26.9% used)
sdb3;/home;10.4 Gb (5.5% used)
sdb5;/;370.7 Mb (97.8 % used) !!!!
sdb6;/var; 249.7 Mb (83.9 % used) !!!!
A guy maded this configuration two years ago. Now I should repartitionize the Pc without formatting (many configurations)
Thank you for any suggestion


text:
Here we are, part FOUR of my three-part Glengoyne vertical distillery review! Sigh. What is it they say about the best laid plans of mice and men? I didn't think I would be able to get my hands on this bottle, so I moved ahead with my Glengoyne reviews, and no sooner did I finish … Continue reading Whisky Musings – Glengoyne 15 Review
Tag: glengoyne distillery
Glengoyne 18 Year Old Review
Stupid summer schedule... It's taken far, far too long, but here at last is the third and final installment of my Glengoyne review trilogy! (I had a wee bit of technical difficulty with this one, so please forgive any sound/video hiccup) https://youtu.be/zk1rlN1uWU8 Glengoyne 18 Year Old (Highland) - 43% ABV - $169.40 CAD (LCBO) … Continue reading Glengoyne 18 Year Old Review
Glengoyne 12 Year Old Review
Here is part two of my Glengoyne review trilogy: The 12 Year Old! Did I enjoy it more than the 10? Well, yes.
Glengoyne 10 Year Old Review
Quick confession here… I'm a big fan of Glengoyne. To that end, I wanted to do three consecutive reviews of Glengoyne whiskies. This is the first: their entry level 10 year old.