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- Godec
- Registered User
Member for 5 years, 3 months, and 18 days
Last active Thu, Nov, 23 2017 11:09:06
- 0 Followers
- 685 Total Posts
- 138 Thanks
Jul 13, 2017Weren't Taz and Oloro supposed to roll over the format?Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
May 24, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 CommanderQuote from KiraKamika »Oh man, only Strip Mine, Dig and Cruise banned? That seems very loose. Baral/Tasiguir will be driving people away from the leagues and the whole format for the next 2-4 weeks.
July 5th will be the big change, this is a good temporary change.
May 15, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
The format's already better than DC and has evolved to have 5-7 decks. Not sure what you want except to see blue nerfed.
May 15, 2017Very cool to see Selvala and Radha. I wonder if anyone's scraped MODO data for a more complete list of 5-0s.Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
May 14, 2017Vial Kraum and Azusa make their first appearance today along with another for Sidisi.Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
May 14, 2017It seems like there's probably 6-8 viable generals, that seems like a pretty decent meta for 5-0s. I know there are people with trophies with different generals as well along with a host of 4-1s that we can't see. Sultai is clearly the strongest color combo, but I doubt it can choke everything else out like a lot of people here thought it and Oloro would. The MTGO hivemind probably evolved past anything the DC community ever did with 30 life in a few days considering the size and quality of it.Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
May 12, 2017They'll just go up daily along with the other leagues and Vintage Dailies. League lists should be better than anything paper could generate in a week or so due to the rapid advancements made online.Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
May 11, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 CommanderQuote from fsecco »So just to parse it out:
2 Leovold
1 Jace
1 Gitrog
1 Breya
1 Narset
1 Prossh
1 Nissa
1 Zurgo
1 Sidisi
No Oloro, Tasi or Vial. I always though Leovold had a lot of potential but never realized it could eclipse Tasigur as the BUG commander of choice. Weird how Oloro isn't there. I really thought the deck was pretty good. Maybe the card disadvantage is too much.
I think that's a really good point, is trading an extra card you can always have worth 2 life a turn compared to everyone else? Or trying to get to 6 mana then paying 1 a turn to generate real CA. Outside of Zurgo, 2 life a turn seems really irrelevant.
May 11, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 CommanderQuote from FearDReaper »Well I have to admit that seeing Zurgo and Gitrog gives me a fair bit of hope for 30 life. Otherwise it looks like what I expected. Lots of Green Tempo and Blue Control. The former two don't really fit into that mold though so that's certainly something to be praised. Let's hope it stays this way.
Mmm, I wouldn't call Sidisi much of a green tempo or blue control deck either. We'll see if it holds out, as there are going to be lots and lots more games than ever played of DC within a few weeks.
May 11, 2017First league results are up and they're all Oloro and Tasigur, just like everyone thought.Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
May 9, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
Vintage Super League, she was a competitor. Her stream and VSL are two things that are probably an order of magnitude more popular than Duel Commander.
May 6, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 CommanderQuote from rougegenial »The top8 may be diverse but if you look at the metagame of the latest Demonic Tournament (190 player I think) you have:
27 Zurgo, 17 Geist, 14 Baral, 13 Bruse Tarl & Reyhan. Then 8 Tymna & Thrasios 6 Titania, 6 Jace, 5 Radha and a bunch of 1/2-of.
Basically, aggro and Blue.
Have you played Modern? You would think Burn is unbeatable there by the numbers it shows up in. But while it's "Tier 1" it's been a very long while since it won anything.
Zurgo is not "everywhere" because it's unbeatable, it's "everywhere" because it's stupidly cheap. In fact if you swap Titania and Radha for the partners decks in that list, it's pretty much inverselly proportional to deck cost with Geist as the only outlier.
It doesn't matter how many Zurgos play, what matters is that other decks have a chance to win. I bet if we make a WotC list tournament with a single optimal Oloro, a single optimal Narset, a single optimal Vial/Kraum, a single optimal Jace, a single optimal Baral, a single optimal Maelstrom Wanderer and a single optimal Tasigur plus 500 rougue decks, the top 8 will be among the decks I just listed.
Quote from Godec »Pretty sure non WotC 1v1 formats are dead, unless you want to play French where there will be bannings every quarter and with 20 life instead of a regular 20 life constructed format.
I don't get this sentence, you seem to be describing DC as doing something wrong unlike regular constructed formats, but what you describe is done in regular constructed formats and considered possitive in all but Standard.
Then what would be the point of being EDH if it's just a bad version of most formats? There's Modern if you want low interactivity and blue cards banned into oblivion.
May 5, 2017Godec posted a message on Will you be switching to the new MTGO 1v1 rules?Will this also be the place to discuss brews for it? I'm really interested to see what everyone comes up with.Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
May 5, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 CommanderQuote from rougegenial »Well, if you want to use Wizards 1vs1 bandlist for paper games, you have to ban ante cards, dexterity cards and special cards (like the conspiracies) too.
Yeah....I don't think that's ever going to be an issue.
May 5, 2017Posted in: 1 vs 1 Commander
And again, 30lp may let you make more non-competitive funbrews and not worry so much about other underpowered decks. But the proof of what format is better is in the ammount of different decks in top8s, from the las 5 tournaments I could find results in either format:
DC: Vial+Kraum, Baral, Reyhan+Bruse, Akiri+Bruse, Geist, Thrasios+Vial, Breya, Gitrog, Nissa, Atraxa, Keranos, Zurgo, Nin, Jace, Titania, Clique, GAAIV.
Leviathan: Vial+Kraum, Maelstrom Wanderer, Narset, Titania, Geist, Jace/Teferi High Tide, Baral.
Even before the Vial&Breya ban, DC has had way more decks in the competition. And by the way, Leviathan has Necrotic Ooze, Yisan and Marath unbanned from the start but they still don't show up. Which makes me even more unwilling to believe the problem with the format's stagnation is the card pool, the problem is glaringly obvious: 30lp.
What good is a format that pretends to be diverse, if none of the diverse decks has any hopes of winning or even making tops?
As fsecco said, Leviathan is dead. The new deal is DC if you want a competitive experience with archetype variety, or WotC if you want to fool around with the most busted Oloro list ever played in non-RC banlist 1v1. Which may be a lot of fun, but isn't what I want to ever end up having to do if I want to win in a 1v1 competitive setting.
Pretty sure non WotC 1v1 formats are dead, unless you want to play French where there will be bannings every quarter and with 20 life instead of a regular 20 life constructed format.
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This beautiful Danish setting was made Fredericia Silver Workshop, Fredericia, Denmark. The pattern is called Hanne a girl's name in Denmark.
We have found that the quality of Danish silver plate cutlery is very high. The silver plating is thick and pieces wear extremely well. The patterns are timeless in their appeal and so different from other designs generally found in Australia. We just love them.
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The silver plate to these pieces is in lovely condition with only fine usage scratches. There is no wear of the silver plate to any of the pieces. There is a spot to the dinner forks where the plating has been missed to the edges. We believe from what we have learnt this is where the pieces are held in a rack during the plating process and sometimes this area receives no plating. It is small and seen to the edges of the fork necks. The two serving spoons and fork show more fine usage scratches than the other pieces.
This is a beautiful Danish setting and would grace any table with elegance and style.
Matching knives in the Hanne pattern can be purchased from Denmark for a price of 350Danish Kroner which is around Au$75 each.

subset: commoncrawl


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04-06-2017, 05:01 AM (This post was last modified: 04-06-2017, 05:01 AM by Johnny The NT Male model.)
Quote:Currently, researchers at Wuhan General Hospital in China are finishing up a study of 40 healthy men, who are taking either a placebo or a pill containing sildenafil (the active ingredient in Viagra) three times a day for a week. Their fat cells will ultimately be studied, and the men will undergo other tests, such as blood pressure monitoring. Trials of sildenafil and fat loss in humans are in their earliest stages, though the results of the Chinese study should be released later in 2015. Eventually, this study and studies like it could lead to novel ways of treating obesity in humans.
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We've started this blog to document the activity at the Osprey nest where we installed a video camera. The platform is in the West River Memorial Park near the Barnard Nature Center in New Haven.
The camera was installed in February and March 2016 just in time for the March 26 return of the Osprey pair that has nested on the platform for several years.
|The volunteers after the installation of the video camera.
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Thanks for the cooperation of the New Haven Department of Parks, Recreation, and Trees, the New Haven Board of Education, Barnard Nature Center, and Barnard Environmental Studies Magnet School.


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Until Faith comes along, she's named and before she passes out she tells Jamie her name, he's intrigue although begrudgingly, he wants to know more about this mysterious stranger, he thinks she's trouble knocking on his door but she's so much more.
Published June 7th by Zebra Books first published June 1st Just an all around good story. In fact, I'm saving up to buy a Tahiti ketch -- and spend the rest of my life cruising to the world's most exotic ports of call.
The following is a list of Playboy Playboy Playmates ofthe 10th anniversary year of the publication. Sex nude tape. Lori winston nude. I couldn't even finish it. Jun 06, Laurie rated it really liked it Shelves: Feb 08, Rachel Cron rated it it was amazing. I enjoye Different kind of book, an average read. Mar 18, Mandy rated it did not like it. As soon as Jamie saw Corey in person he knew she was his daughter. Retrieved April 13, I also figured how the "Big Secret" halfway through: Thankfully it does get better but damn that first bit is a doosey.
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I really enjoy all her men of honor books and undercover books and stuff like that I was very confused when I started this novel. Trivia About Jamie Visitation Increase your maximum bid:. But for Jamie, the unconscious redhead in his arms is an intruder, one who could bring him harm. I can imagine some people might like it. She's a determined woman and I can respect her for that but I did find her refusal to explain things very frustrating. Jamie realizes he can trust and have relationships and Faith realizes she must finally share her deepest secrets with him.
List of Playboy Playmates of Connected to: The side story of Alex and Scott throughout the series comes to a conclusion in this book as well and I think this relationship balances that of Jamie and Faith by adding some a little extra comedic relief.
But they have to wait out the storm, and in the meantime, Jamie has to deal with Faith, the woman who claims to know him from his past and wants his help, but refuses to tell him how or why or give him any other details.
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Published June 7th by Zebra Books first published June 1st In fact, I'm saving up to buy a Tahiti ketch -- and spend the rest of my life cruising to the world's most exotic ports of call. Asian milf sites. And even more frustrating, she can block her thoughts if she focuses.
Heart warming and a nice read. It reminded me of the Colter book from Maya Banks which is another one I found completely absurd from the start. I love the Visitation series by Lori Foster, but Jamie is my favorite. Retrieved February 4, The whole plot is that she needs Jamie's help and he just has to accept her without getting all the details or really any of the details. June Learn how and when to remove this template message.
Books by Lori Foster. Faith was so cool i loved her character right off the batOh my god Jamie's book was so awesome ,i love this series. I was very confused when I started this novel. I would have given two stars but I really did like it despite myself.
I guess I'll be off then. Big brother tv naked. Maybe I should just leave them alone as happy memories. Lori winston nude. Ironically the female's name is Faith. Usually I enjoy Lori Foster's stories, but I didn't enjoy this one.
I'm beginning to feel like a book grouch since I'm not overly impressed with much I've been reading lately. It seemed so convoluted.
List of Playboy Playmates of Connected to: Let's talk about the second most important female character in the book, Alyx Winston. There are more characters that I'd like to know what happens to so I'm hoping more spinoffs are in her future.
I like paranormal romances so I enjoyed that part. The first pages are so bizarre. No need to be noble at that point when he'd already stuck his fingers in her to find out if she was bugged. Noleen huge tits. Visitation is a town I'd love to buy a house on Main Street and watch it all play out from my front porch!
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This is a private listing and your identity will not be disclosed to anyone except the seller. Playboy Playboy Playmate of the Year. Jamie is socially awkward and uncomfortable with the idea of having friends after years of isolation due to his telepathic abilities. Carolina girls nude. Unlike so many others, she can block Jamie from reading her thoughts, and it's a good thing too, because she cannot share the truth with him until the time is right.
Listen to this article Thanks for reporting this video! This is the only book out of Lori Foster's Visitation series that I have read, so that may be why I didn't like it very much. To view it, click here. Lori winston nude. How about Faith being a virgin? As for Jamie and Faith, they spend a lot of time sitting around talking in his cabin.
Visitation, North Carolina 5. Retrieved January 17, Ironically the female's name is Faith.
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Book review Previous Next
Why Starting Solids Matters
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Sarah Palin is Still For Sale
A professional window dresser from West Hollywood was disappointed when the winning bidder from his eBay auction backed out of the transaction after he discovered that the Sarah Palin mannequin he had been bidding on had been hung in effigy this past Halloween. The winning bidder was a Sarah Palin fan and withdrew his bid of more than $2,200 when he discovered that the seller did not share his fondness for the former Vice Presidential candidate.
For the record we at the GTB do not support effigies in general (we hold the right to flip-flop on this subject if the effigies in question are in the likeness of Bill O'Reilly and/or The Queen of the Harpies Ann Coulter), and really the hanging of this effigy in particular is a side note. What really caught us about this story was the following:
1.) Somebody was going to pay $2,200 for a "Sarah Palin" mannequin? Why?? I ask you bidder, what was the plan? Fly around in a helicopter with it pretend you have the authority to shoot at wolves? Stand it in the room for moral support when you give your daughter a stern talking to about her unwanted teen pregnancy? Did you not see a picture of what you were buying? Which brings me to my next point...
2.) So you can just take a well-proportioned styrofoam body, put it in a fancy brown wig with some flashy glasses and a pretty red coat and call it a Vice Presidential candidate...oh wait, that sounds about right. I was about to call this the worst likeness I have ever seen, but I have seen the light. And finally...
3.) The guy selling this is a PROFESSIONAL WINDOW DRESSER. Take a look at this thing and ask yourself...FOR WHO?!? The Salvation Army? A used wig shop? Chico's? It doesn't say in the article, but I'll keep my eyes peeled the next time I'm walking through the hip shopping area of downtown East Berlin (before the wall came down).
Labels: Crazy, Sarah Palin


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Reviews (3)
- Right back to the 80's! This strain has an aroma that brings me right back to my youth. However the strenth is another thing, be careful it can be overwhelming. Cuz of the 80's aroma I also expected a 80's effect but no. It was fucking strong! Great strain! 5 Stars!!
- I also got these on pre-release and was very impressed with the smoke quality. Harvest quantity wasn't bad at all, I just upgraded to a 600 HPS and this variety responded well . One of the best varieties of 2017 for me
- So these seeds are a bit more expensive than the rest of them from Seed Stockers, but IMO they are a good variety, coming out better than the local 'elite' cuttings of an alleged super skunk. I got these seeds on pre-release, give them 4 week in veg and 8-9 in bloom. Great quality buds, resin centraal, yields better than average.


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Mostly Kababs
(Versova, Bombay)
With a name like that, you wouldn't expect ashi Chettinad cuisine. Check the spiced-out Chettinad chicken and Kosha mangsho (mutton). Sired by a Dadar eatery, Only Fish's success, Mostly Kababs has its fundamentals right: go cosmo, keep the menu small and swear to keep the flavours authentic. Yes, some exciting kababs such as chicken wrapped in meat.
Odd Ends
Water Lilies
(Exclusive Gallery; Bombay)
Nature lover Shreya Dalal and daughter Mamta bring the outdoor colours and smells into the living room, combining Ikebana, shell-painting, collage-making, carpentry and miniature landscaping on fibre-glass.


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Cards as Weapons
SOLD OUTInquire
- Author/Editor: Ricky Jay
- Publisher: New York: Darien House Inc.
- Date: 1977
- Condition: near fine
Hard cover first edition of this popular title. Yellow cloth hard cover with black lettering, pictorial dust jacket. Well illustrated, 96 pages. Near fine condition with only mild wear to extremities of boards and jacket.
SOLD OUTInquire


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Out Of Stock
GoCycle Front Pannier Rod Kit
GoCycle Front Pannier Rod Kit
Allows for the fixing of a bags and panniers to the handlebar stem for added load transportation. Does not include pannier.
Accessory Specs
- Length 25cm
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5 Stars based on 6 reviews.


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This vacancy has now expired.
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As the Registered Manager, you will be managing a close-knit team and Fostering Service covering Shropshire, Staffordshire and parts of Wales.
This Independent Fostering Agency are well-thought of and striving to be "Outstanding" rated by Ofsted. You will need to have significant experience of being a successful and qualified manager within Fostering and ideally with another Independent Fostering Agency. This is a full-time and office-based position.
What is on offer for the Registered Manager:
Duties and Responsibilities for the Registered Manager:
Requirements of the Registered Manager:
Location: Outside of Telford Salary: Up to £50,000
Please follow the instructions on this website, or alternatively contact Jamil Olweny on 0118 948 5555 or email@example.com for further details and please do be sure to leave your contact details If this position isn't what you are looking for, but you are looking to make a move within Social Work, get in touch, as we have many other opportunities!
All of my Jobs
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ERX Pro is a rip-off, and they will charge you for something you didn't receive. Try to find out about the refund, and you get a call center in LumPucaRoo. Don't buy this crap if you want to get ripped off.
Bottom Line: No, I would not recommend this to a friend
6 people found it helpfulLink to this Review


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They say that 3′s a crowd but in the lineup that number is welcomed. To paddle out to the peak and take any wave you want is worth more than gold. Others will paddle out on you at some point, but until then, you're in paradise.
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Journals / Title: Trying to Conceive after Tubal ReversalAuthor: Navygrrl
About me: I am a mom to three great kids, boy 15, boy 13, and girl 10, all from my first marriage. I had a tubal ligation after the birth of my daughter, thinking I was finished. I am now remarried and my husband and I would like to have a child together. I had tubal reversal surgery on May 6, 2013, and we have been trying to conceive since then.
Months trying to conceive: 4 months
My story: Before choosing to have tubal reversal surgery, my husband and I underwent fertility testing. I discovered that I have diminished ovarian reserve and that my husband has low motility. The RE told us that our chances with IVF would be very low since we have fertility issues on both sides. He also told us that having a tubal reversal would be our best bet since that would give us multiple chances each year. We had initially thought that IVF would be our best shot, but with this news we chose tubal reversal surgery. My surgery was successful and I ended up with 9cm on both tubes. The doctor said we could start trying as soon as we felt up to it, so we have been trying since then. I also discovered that I have a luteal phase defect and poor ovulation, so I am rather discouraged. I started clomid last cycle, which helped lengthen my luteal phase to a normal length, but the cycle was unsuccessful. This is my second month on clomid, and the ultrasound today showed a 20mm follicle on my right side, so at least the clomid is doing its job. If not successful this cycle, my doctor will be adding an ovidrel trigger.
My emotions: I am starting to get discouraged about trying to conceive. With my age and our fertility issues, I don't know if this will ever happen for us. I am grateful for the children I already have, and we would be just fine if we didn't have any more, but it's still difficult.
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Media Partners
doc-market is the European marketplace for buying and selling used medical equipment and instruments. doc-market connects buyers and sellers in a transparent manner. Relevant users comprise not only office based doctors, dental doctors, veterinarians, pharmacists, hospitals or clinics, but also medical equipment dealers and repair and maintenance companies. Thanks to this online marketplace the buyers are sure to get the most relevant and top-quality products at the best possible price. From infusion equipment, pain reliever pumps to incubators, electrocardiograms, CT scanners, wheelchairs, practice furniture, lighting And diagnostic equipment - doc-market covers all equipment types in an unlimited range of therapeutic areas, including medical, dental or veterinary tools.


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Director of Policy, Audubon Pennsylvania
National Audubon Society
Harrisburg, PA
Now in its second century, Audubon is dedicated to protecting birds and other wildlife and the habitat that supports them. Audubon's mission is engaging people in bird conservation on a hemispheric scale through science, policy, education and on-the-ground conservation action. By mobilizing and aligning its network of Chapters, Centers, State and Important Bird Area programs in the four major migratory flyways in the Americas, the organization will bring the full power of Audubon to bear on protecting common and threatened bird species and the critical habitat they need to survive. And as part of BirdLife International, Audubon will join people in over 100 in-country organizations all working to protect a network of Important Bird Areas around the world, leveraging the impact of actions they take at a local level. What defines Audubon's unique value is a powerful grassroots network of nearly 500 local chapters, 23 state offices, 41 Audubon Centers, Important Bird Area Programs in 50 states, and 700 staff across the country. Audubon is a federal contractor and an Equal Opportunity Employer (EOE).
Position Summary
The Director of Policy will define and lead policy efforts and overall governmental affairs functions to advance Audubon's mission and conservation objectives in Pennsylvania. Reporting to the Vice President and Executive Director and as part of Audubon Pennsylvania's (APA) senior leadership team, they will collaborate with the Executive Director and senior conservation policy, fundraising, and engagement leads at APA and across National Audubon to develop and execute a policy agenda to advance both state and federal priorities. The Director is responsible for coordinating and implementing policy efforts with staff across National Audubon and APA's programs, sanctuaries and/or centers. This includes engaging grassroots and partners, proactively communicating issues and positions through earned and social media, and helping attract contributions to execute successful policy campaigns and conservation outcomes.
The ideal candidate will be a skilled, experienced manager and a strategic thinker, and have a background working in Pennsylvania conservation, environmental, and/or energy policy.
Candidates should also submit a cover letter when applying to this position.
Essential Functions
- Develop a policy agenda and execute advocacy and issue campaigns that accomplish Audubon's strategic conservation outcomes in coordination with APA and NAS leadership.
- Manage and lead Audubon Pennsylvania's advocacy with the Pennsylvania Legislature, state agencies, relevant federal decision makers and coalition partners to advance short and long-term Audubon policy and appropriations priorities.
- Engage with national and APA policy, science and conservation teams to identify opportunities and strategies to advance conservation priorities.
- Coordinate the efforts of all state staff working on state, regional and local policy initiatives.
- Work with Audubon's national policy office to coordinate advocacy to Congress and federal agencies and to execute federal policy priorities in Pennsylvania.
- Collaborate with Audubon national and state-based network, policy, communications and marketing teams to develop and execute issue campaigns that engage and expand APA's network of individual volunteer advocates, chapters and allies.
- Work with communications and policy staff to plan and implement a communications program in support of Audubon Pennsylvania conservation priorities and policy campaigns to include writing public policy position documents, fact sheets, articles, newsletters and press releases and social media tools.
- Work with the Executive Director and development staff as needed to support APA's policy work.
- Act as a primary spokesperson for Audubon on state policy issues.
Qualifications and Experience
- Bachelor's Degree in public policy, natural resources or related field (Master's degree strongly preferred) and 7-10 years' progressive professional experience, to include 5+ years working on policy and government relations related to wildlife conservation in business, government or the non-profit arena. An equivalent combination of education and experience will be considered.
- Demonstrated expertise with conservation and environmental policy at the state or federal level using bipartisan, solutions-oriented approaches.
- Successful track record working in federal, state, and local governmental processes especially with Governors' offices, state and federal agencies, and legislative committees.
- Experience working to advance grassroots issue-based advocacy campaigns is preferred.
- Strong understanding of current policy trends in wildlife, energy, environmental protection, and land conservation in Pennsylvania, and experience applying this knowledge to policy advocacy and implementation strongly preferred.
- Demonstrated success with fundraising, in particular with major donors, foundations, corporations, and government funders.
- Experience overseeing complex or multiple projects through to success, including meeting financial goals, project deadlines, and coordinating the work of key staff and partners.
- Tech-savviness, with proficiency in MS Office applications, campaign/advocacy tools and other online software. Comfort with donor management systems such as Salesforce is ideal, but not required.
- Excellent verbal and written communication skills, with the ability synthesize and interpret technical information for various audiences, including the grassroots network, decision makers and the news media.
- Superior interpersonal skills – a leader that is effective organizational ambassador in order to build coalitions and cultivate relationships with partners, government officials, donors, and the public.
- Willingness and ability to travel regularly across the state and elsewhere as needed, some weekends and evenings required.
- Knowledge of and deep interest in conservation and the mission of the National Audubon Society.
Please submit your interest by visiting the URL below:
Job posted: 2018-11-28


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What Jobless Claims, Google Searches And Escort Services Can Tell Us About The Stock Market
Uncertainty returned to the market yesterday as the major indices closed with their biggest loss since before November. There has been plenty of speculation that such a downturn was inevitable, including economist and editor with Moneyball Economics Andrew Zatlin.
On Tuesday's edition of Benzinga's PreMarket Prep morning show, Zatlin explained how he arrived at his conclusion without the traditional bellwethers of economic health and market stability.
"We hear consumer sentiment index...or we get those consumer confidence-type indices. Those are garbage indices," said Zatlin. "They're picking up the phone and literally talking to 400 people once a month. That's meaningless"
Why Jobless Claims Is A Reliable Indicator
Instead, Zatlin turns to jobless claims, which he explained reveal a contemporary and comprehensive picture of the health of the economy, more so than the backward looking jobs numbers released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Zatlin said of jobless claims, "They're comprehensive, it looks at everyone in the country who stepped up and said I don't have a job this week, and it's real time, so you get a real finger on the pulse of what businesses are doing in terms of their hiring and firing."
The key insight the jobless claims provide, according to Zatlin, is the historical correlation between that data and changes in the market.
"You take, the S&P 500 year-over-year, you take jobless claims year-over year—but you flip it—you will find a correlation of almost 90 percent. They move at the same pace in the same way. And it makes sense because the stock market is responding to the exact same signals that the jobless claims are responding to, and that's business activity," Zatlin said.
What Zatlin saw in the recent market rally was a clear divergence of about 5 percent between the number of claims and the price of the S&P. From that, he expected a correction from the market based on how the market has reacted in the past.
"Which line blinks first? When they do get out of sync and they do diverge...the one that blinks is the stock market. It always mean reverts to the jobless claims level," Said Zatlin. "It's a simple metric and it works every single time."
The Vice Index
Zatlin also expanded on his own ad hoc methods in determining consumer confidence, and it doesn't involve retail sales.
"I have been able to quantify luxury spending in a way that cuts across every socioeconomic and demographic grouping in the US We're talking [tens of] millions of transactions per month. Basically it's alcohol, it's pot smoking, it's prostitution and gambling."
One of those businesses, let's call it the escort service sector, Zatlin found was was especially opportunistic as economic optimism swelled post-election, as that industry raised its prices.
"And they raised it significantly," he said. "We're talking 10, 15 percent, and this was not a result of something like inflation."
And Zatlin said that "consumers" were not turned off by the markup. In fact, despite several headwinds—like social unrest and rising gas prices—facing consumers between the end of 2016 and the first few months of 2017, households remained undaunted in their spending.
"The latest data incorporates the things like, 'Hey, I've got less mad money in my pocket because I've got to spend more of it on electricity and gas.' Zatlin said. "At the same time there was that hopeful sentiment that something is going to happen in terms of better wages and so forth. What happened is the latter won out, people are spending money."
Good Signs from Google
Another resource Zatlin pays close attention to in gauging consumer sentiment is Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) search term history. Specifically terms that include things like "jobs," "salary," and "inflation."
What Zatlin has noticed with searches regarding these relevant terms is that Americans are mostly happy with their personal finances.
"What we've seen is over the past couple years, it goes back a decade or so, you can see this steady trend that says: look, people feel good," Zatlin said. "They feel good about their jobs, based on what they are looking at. They feel good about their household finances, based on what they are looking at."
Another upside Zatlin gathered from the Google data is that, beyond feeling secure with their budget, Americans are also eager to remain informed if events take a turn.
"The Google data was very interesting, there is a very strong awareness of things in the economy. Recently, over the past couple of months there has been a fear that the market is entering a bubble. There's a concern about things like interest rates and inflation. I like seeing that uptick in interest in those kind of concerns because it says that the US household is also not blind."
To hear the full conversation with Andrew Zatlin tune in at 35:00 mark in the track below.
PreMarket Prep is a daily trading ideas show that focuses on technical analysis and actionable short term trades. You can listen to the show live every morning from 8-9 a.m. ET here, or catch the podcast here.
Posted-In: Psychology Econ #s Economics Markets Tech Media Interview General Best of Benzinga
© 2019 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


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Mecca, CA Dental Clinics
Mecca, CA Free Dental (Also Affordable, Sliding Scale Dental, etc)
We also now display low cost, affordable clinics for the needy. Yes, our website name is FreeDental.org, but we now provide more.
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All of us have those dogs that know simple commands. They've done them over and over and over and yet still they test us when it's showtime. For mine, it's "down". Easiest thing ever, yet I somehow have to repeat it, like 7 times before they might actually look at the floor and think about it. This is why, when I met Spirit today, he completed me. I don't make a point of using commands during a shoot but for some shots it's helpful. Well, Spirit had a "down" like no other. He would drop immediately, despite his large breed size and gangly limbs. This is why I got carried away. As soon as I saw that reaction, I couldn't get enough of the novelty and got whisked away to "down" town. I knew that I would probably never see this again -especially from mine- so I probably said "down" about 150 times in my excitement (sorry Melissa, it's the little things.) "Erica, I told you he can ride a tricycle while twirling a hula hoop around his neck". "Yeah, but he does that "down" thing so well, I think I'll stick with that". That's pretty much how I felt so I thought I'd write some silly paragraph about it. Overall, Spirit was an absolute pleasure: A snugglebug, a lizard hunter and an incredibly endearing fellow with looks to boot!
Spirit the Weimaraner April 23, 2007
2 Responses to "Spirit the Weimaraner"
It is great that you have started a blog. Maggie and Buster where fortunate to have you as their "personal photographer" last fall. You were just great with both of them, even after Buster tried to escape from the ball field. Thanks for sharing your "dog" story on your blog. Keep us posted on your "dog world". Sherry


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A woman buys many gallons of milk from the milkman one day.
"Why do you need so much milk?" the mailman asks.
The lady replies, "I heard that taking baths in milk makes you healthier and prettier."
The milkman asks, "Would you like the milk pasteurized?"
She answers, "No, just up to the neck".
I sometimes just make my coffee with Red Bull instead of water...
Ironically when I do, I get halfway to work before I realize I left my car at home.
What do you get when you cross a dog and a lion?
You get a really scared mailman!
A local barber in my area just got arrested for selling drugs...
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Home > Copper Minerals II – September 8 > MS1119 Cyanochroite
Cyanochroite - Sold
- Mount Vesuvius
- (eruption of 1902)
- Campania
- Italy
- 0.6 cm – Gelatin capsule size (<1 cm)
Cyanochroite is a hydrated potassium copper sulfate, and a member of the picromerite group. The mineral is water soluble. Guarini et al. (1855) originally named this mineral cianocroma, but Dana and Brush (1868) renamed the mineral cyanochroite in the Fifth edition of Dana's System of Mineralogy. The mineral name denotes the cyan color. There are four loose crystals, gemmy and somewhat rounded, to 6 mm in a plastic box.
This item was part of the personal collection of Ralph Merrill, proprietor of the prolific mail order business Minerals Unlimited. The specimen also carries a J.B. Nichols label, a collection Merrill purchased in 1953. Merrill's collection card and label also ship with the specimen.


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December 2017
In July 2014, Westpower submitted an application for concessions from the Minister of Conservation to enable the proposed scheme to progress. In September 2016, DOC publicly notified its intention to grant a lease, licence and easement concession and a public hearing was held in early December 2016. A final decision on the application is yet to be made by DOC however it is believed to be imminent.
Your feedback
Westpower welcomes your feedback on the Scheme at any stage during the process.
Please send your feedback to
firstname.lastname@example.com or to
PO Box 375,


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Thu, Apr 11, 2019, 09:00 AM - Fri, Apr 12, 2019, 05:00 PM
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Mon 23-Sep-2019
Mon 27-May-2019


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Offsite construction refers to the completion of elements of a construction project at a location different from where it will be installed. As a result, this involves the planning, design and build of the project under controlled conditions. The project is then transported to site before installation.
Many question that offsite construction cannot compare with the quality of an onsite traditional build. However, as buildings are constructed under controlled conditions, factors such as weather conditions that can affect the quality of a building is completely eliminated. Therefore, investing in a offsite construction results in a higher quality building that is not only relocatable but flexible.
SmartBuild is an offsite construction process. The SmartBuild construction process consists of a consultation session with one of our leading SmartBuild consultants. Secondly, our designers will draw up a building with your exact size, style and requirements. This is then followed by our fixed fee to secure a build slot within our factory (this gets your building into the queue – first come, first serve). Next, you will agree on the internal and external finishes for your SmartBuild.
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Though the darker moments in our lives can be extremely scary and painful, they are also filled with opportunities of growth and learning.
It is inevitable that we will all fall upon major challenges in our lives that are somewhat out of our control. However, what is within our control is our commitment to show up to the dark times with an open mindset towards self-compassion, and to make meaning out of our struggles.
We cannot be lulled into believing that "Positive Vibes Only" is the goal. It in fact can be one of the most dangerous mantras for sustainable health and healing.
It brings me all the vibes to share with you my first time taking the TEDx stage. My hope is that we can all learn to make room for our pain, honour it, and also transform from it.
Let's honour the dark, so we may revel in our light.


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Hypertension (high blood pressure) For breakfast, you want to do something that's quick, easy, tasty, and of course – gives you leftovers. I suggest starting day 1 on a weekend. This way, you can make something that will last you for the entire week. The first week is all about simplicity. Nobody wants to be making breakfast before work, and we're not going to be doing that either!
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Our delicious eggs are produced by happy hens, turkeys and guinea fowl who spend their days scratching the pasture for goodies. You'll taste the difference!
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Content Count19
About apratt
Cool Cruiser
About Me
United States, Arkansas
reading, wine, food, weight lifting, comedy
Favorite Cruise Line(s)
Royal Caribbean
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I'm not sure...I did make certain both had primary medical instead of secondary.
No, they just gave quotes on their own website.
I did, but the same policy there was $25 more than on insuremytrip.com for whatever reason.
Follow up...thanks for all of the advice. I was able to get a refund on the insurance I purchased through RC and I got a Travelex Travel Select policy from insuremytrip.com to replace it. It was $36 cheaper and has 4x the coverage.
How long do I have to renew my passport?
apratt replied to apratt's topic in First Time CruisersFollowing up on this....my lazy butt called the passport agency and asked. In case anyone else needs to know, you have 5 years after the expiration date to renew. It says on their website 15 years, but that takes into account the 10 years since you first got it. I have to idea why they told me one year at the post office. They need to brush up on their knowledge!
How long do I have to renew my passport?
apratt posted a topic in First Time CruisersI am getting ready to go on a cruise and I need to renew my passport. I looked at it the other day and it expired in April 2017. I am confused because at the post office they said you only have 1 year to renew & then on travel.state.gov's website they say you have 15 years and when I Googled it I read something that said 5 years! Has anyone recently renewed that knows the actual time limit? I need to know which paperwork to fill out.
Oh yes....I have been behind a parent at the post office that didn't know that...it was quite unpleasant!!!
We are going to Honduras, Belize and Mexico. My husband and I are in our 30's and we will be traveling with our 8 & 5 year old kids. We are pretty healthy (knock on wood), but if we ran up a huge medical bill it would be devestating for our young family. I always try to plan for the worst then pray it doesn't happen! Traveling with kids is making me super nervous.
Do I need additional insurance?
apratt posted a topic in Cruise/Travel InsuranceI have booked a cruise for April and I purchased Royal Caribbean's "vacation protection plan". I want to make sure I am covered in case of a medical emergency & for medical evac if necessary. I can't even find the details of the plan I purchased now and I'm getting nervous about that. Does anyone know what this plan covers or what a good alternative would be, that is if Royal Caribbean will refund the cost of what they sold me?
We booked a cruise and bought Royal Caribbean's "vacation protection plan", but now I am wondering if we need to buy more insurance in addition to that. I worry about the cost of medical care and what would happen if we had to be air lifted or something.
After reading all of the helpful comments and reading in the news about a fellow Arkansan stuck in Cancun after suffering from acute appendicitis and being denied treatment at a local hospital....I think I'm going to spend the extra $$$ and get passports for the whole family. I do have another question that stemmed from a comment.....where do you get travel insurance and do I need that for a cruise? We have vacation insurance offered through RC, but I don't remember being offered travel insurance. Thanks for the help.
My main worry is if there is a medical emergency and we have to fly out. I wish those worked for that! It would be much cheaper.
I total get what they were saying about 2 year olds not looking the same as 12 year olds, but sure would be nice if they cut the cost in half since it it only good for half as long! Lol we can dream.... We have insurance we purchased when we bought the cruise, but is the travelers insurance that y'all are talking about something different?
I am going to renew mine and it is still $110 plus other fees 😞
Yep, we will have to pull them out of school/daycare and both take off work. I have seen people get real mad at the post office when they wouldn't keep their passport appointment because one parent was late! They don't play around about that.


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Vintage Metal "Brocante" Sign found in Northern France
Sourced in Northern France, this charming, hand-lettered metal sign reads Brocante which translates to "Flea Market" in French. The metal is a rustic aubergine color which mimics rust mixed with deep purple. The edges of this sign are a bit bent and distorted, as you would expect given the age. The lettering is done in a pale yellow/ivory paint color and there is some surface wear visible, as seen in the attached images. We envision a piece like this on a mantle or layered with other art on a ledge. No hanging hardware is present.
Sign measures 37 1/2"W x 17 1/2"H x 1 1/8"D. Shipping for this piece will include insurance and expert packing as we want to ensure the piece is not warped further.
is back-ordered. We will ship it separately in 10 to 15 days.


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