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Food prices to rise faster than salaries until 2018: Fresh produce could become a rare treat for poorer families
Food prices are predicted to rise faster than incomes every year until 2018, with meat and fresh fruit and vegetables becoming only an occasional treat for some.
The cost of putting food on the table is forecast to rise by 3.8 per cent next year and still further in 2015, according to industry experts.
They also say the cost of eating out in restaurants and pubs has increased by seven per cent in the past six months.
Report from Prestige Purchasing, which supplies the restaurant trade, said lower harvests as a result of volatile weather, and high demand for meat from the growing middle classes in countries such as China and India have resulted in a 'perfect storm' to push up costs.
Fruit prices rose by 10.2 per cent in the past year, vegetables by 5.4 per cent, meat by 5.2 per cent and fish by 4.9 per cent.
Evidence from government studies shows that many UK households, particularly those on low incomes, have consumed less fruit, vegetables and meat since the cost-of- living squeeze began five years ago.
They have switched to less healthy, processed food, while fresh meat and produce are increasingly seen as a treat.
Prestige said the horsemeat scandal earlier this year, coupled with high costs of production and rising demand is keeping the price of beef high.

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It is not the chuck that's slipping - I can hold the whole body of the chuck still.
Is this a common problem, and is the solution easy/hard/buy a new one?
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How Simplicity Is A Death Wish
How Simplicity Is A Death Wish
Wednesday, October 26th 2016
"Too many men exhibit simplicity and are therefore ensued by their hunger for instant gratification, that those deceitful individuals, will always find others whom will happily allow themselves to be deceived." -Brett Booker
Before I start, I want to discuss the fact that, that you're probably contemplating if I actually wrote this quote or not, but I can assure you these are my words, Google it and you'll see. Now that we have that covered, I want to break this quote down, to further examine this conundrum. Essentially, I'm saying that the people around me are too simple and dumb down by society, and can't wait to earn or receive things. Rather, they have to acquire them as soon as their heart desires it. Therefore, they will happily allow themselves to be deceived, by the individuals who have the patience for long term achievements and success. This hunger for instant gratification couldn't be more prevalent than it is in county jail, where I also reside. Without trying to sound glib, its quite pathetic, but an unfortunate truth in our society.
[shc_shortcode class="shc_mybox"]
There is one stark example that comes to mind in here, which is no other than the infamous 2 for 1. You see, because we only get commissary once a week, have a $50 limit on over priced items, some people choose to stockpile commissary, so they can open up a store. Everyone's business model seems to be based off the 2 for 1, in which you buy one item for a payment of two items on the next commissary day. For example, you'll pay two honey buns for one right now. Given a soup already cost $1.30, after the 2 for 1 you're paying $2.60 for one ramen soup. Insane right? People will become ensued in this vicious cycle, owing $50, $60, $70 plus dollars a week, on a mere $30 worth of store. They can't wait a few days to enjoy double the amount of store by purchasing it themselves. All the while, the patient store man, has $500 worth of junk food over flowing in his cell from every property bag and laundry sac.
Then there is the archaic example of greed. For thousands of years, people have been plagued by greed, desiring insurmountably amounts of wealth without working hard for it. They'll do whatever it takes to acquire this type of wealth, which has led to the demise of many, including myself. I had the capacity like many others, to be patient in my quest for wealth and achievement, but I too, expressed simplicity, and happily opened the flood gates to be arrested and prosecuted for short term enjoyment and success. This majority of the people around me can relate to this, as they've been arrested for burglary, robbery, embezzlement, money laundering, larceny and drug distribution. These individuals also had the capacity to be successful legally, but once again, their hunger for instant gratification completely ensued them.
In today's society, everyone has become extremely materialistic. They want to think they have more status, wealth and success, than face the reality of their place in the world or to put in the hard work to achieve it. Just take one look at the presence of credit card debt in the average American household. As more and more bills keep pilling up, many struggle to uphold an appearance that doesn't exist. It's a sad reality and social media only makes it worse. What you see about people on Facebook, for example, is hardly the truth, its fabricated, with the intent to appear to have more status, wealth and success. If only we, as a society, could be more patient in our lives, our career and our other endeavors, we could be much happier and satisfied with our achievements.


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A Coraopolis, Pa., dealer who alleges that DaimlerChrysler Corp. did him wrong by authorizing a competing "Alpha" dealership to open about 5 miles away, has lost a second round in his legal battle for damages. An Alpha dealership sells Chrysler, Dodge and Jeep vehicles under one roof.
The Third Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals unanimously refused to reinstate fraud, breach of contract and Automobile Dealers' Day in Court Act claims in a lawsuit by William Cutrone and his Chrysler-Jeep West store.
Cutrone became a Chrysler and Plymouth dealer in 1990, the court said. In 1999, he acquired a local Jeep franchise for about $2 million and moved it into his store. The suit alleged that DaimlerChrysler acted in bad faith by pressuring him to buy the franchise in light of plans to discontinue the Plymouth line.
The suit claimed that DaimlerChrysler assured Cutrone that the Jeep franchise would replace his lost Plymouth business and "eliminate competition" from his market area. However, a DaimlerChrysler policy change in 1999 allowed the creation of Alpha dealerships that would be allowed to sell Dodge, Chrysler and Jeep vehicles under the same roof.
One such new dealership was located in nearby Robinson Township.
"I was told that was my territory," Cutrone told Automotive News. But 90 days after acquiring the Jeep franchise, Cutrone said, he attended a meeting at the Chrysler zone office in Pittsburgh, where he learned about the new competitor.
"It has had a dramatic impact on my dealership, to say the least," he said.
A lower-court judge dismissed the suit without trial.
In unanimously upholding that decision, a three-member appeals court panel found no evidence of "coercion or intimidation or any activity on the part of DaimlerChrysler" that would prove lack of good faith under the federal dealer law.
The panel also rejected the fraud allegation based on a new franchise agreement the two sides negotiated in 2000, which was after the allegedly fraudulent representations were made.
Finally, the panel said that "sales locality" under the franchise agreement is nonexclusive and that the plaintiffs failed to offer proof of any specific contract violations.
In a statement, DaimlerChrysler spokesman Michael Palese said the company declined to comment because the period for a possible further appeal was still open.
Plaintiff Cutrone said there will be no further appeal.


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Important team sheet features two coveted rarities1912 Cincinnati Reds Team Signed Sheet with Hank O'Day & Eddie Grant. Bronze plaques make the two key signatures on this early team sheet a true treasure of baseball history. Hank O'Day's plaque hangs on the wall at Cooperstown, an honor bestowed just this year as the long-serving National League umpire joins Yankees owner Jacob Ruppert and nineteenth century star third baseman Deacon White in posthumous induction. Grant's plaque is no longer on public display, but held residence for decades in the deepest recesses of the Polo Grounds' center field, honoring the only Major Leaguer killed in World War I combat. The former third baseman for the Reds and Giants lost his life to an exploding shell in the Argonne Forest as he led an expedition in a four-day search for The Lost Battallion.
Each signs to voice his support of a gentleman named George Hoskins as team trainer for Cincinnati upon this single page of team letterhead directed to Reds president August Herrmann. The full roster of signers:
Chas. McDonald, Bob Bescher, Geo. Suggs, JC Benton, Arthur Fromme, Armando Marsans, John B. McLean, Henry O'Day, RC Hoblitzell, Frank Harter, John Batets, Jas. Esmond, Arthur Phelan, Eugene Moore, Henry Peitz, Thomas A. Clarke, RJ Egan, MF Mitchell, Edw. L. Grant, Henry Severeid.
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We're tackling depression head on with awesomeness! Inspiration then information around asking for help regarding depression.
Across a State for State of Mind
Walking across the State of Colorado whilst raising funds for mental health awareness.
August/September this year will see me walk across the state of Colorado, USA ~ 800km in a search for much needed headspace. Through my work at The Paper Rain Project, we already support Live More Awesome and it's quest to raise the conversation - and lessen the stigma - around mental health. It has become apparent, through sales of product which help to support this very cause, that every customer we sell to, has a connection to this cause.
I'm doing this self-funded walk because I want to, because I need to, for my own headspace. However, I don't see why my efforts for my own state of mind can't help others'. Mental health is something we all need to think and talk more about more. I want to join and support Live More Awesome to support, inspire, encourage & connect people to the help they need. That's it. Simple goals with massive effect.
I believe being outside has huge positive effects on mental health. Nature is where it's at. I will be walking all day, every day for over a month across the mountains of Colorado. Please consider sponsoring per mile completed, or just a little for the whole trip ~ 100% of proceeds going towards Live More Awesome and mental health support. We all need it.
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Live More Awesome support increased conversation around mental health ~ I want to support this via my walk across Colorado in a seeking for much needed headspace.
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2016-10-26 22:45:23 (This post was last modified: 2016-10-26 22:49:33 by Isokissa3inator. Edit Reason: additions. )
(2016-10-26 22:42:48)_duam_ Wrote:Honestly, we've already established that you haven't even attempted to do it and have said it was hard so as to make it look less desirable. Now you actually admit that you haven't even attempted to? Your credibility dropped to below even considering. You'll never have to do that map, however, unless it becomes a campaign map, as I will never have to do yours, either, simply said.(2016-10-26 22:35:51)Tebbeinator Wrote:(2016-10-26 22:28:20)_duam_ Wrote: What I say it's pretty easy to understand, I can't finish ur level, I don't know where need to go and some parts maybe are hard .-."Maybe hard parts"
You probably quit when no prize once you saw level 1 and were like "screw this, not worth it to actually think in a pr3 level, by no means!"
Just today me and Vliroo did it, and both with 30 30 30 or so. (idk his stats, but hes level 40 too so i'd assume some equivalent of 30 30 30).
Tell me when I need to go and maybe I can pass it (need to try-will take time-), if not, I can't...Simple
WryChaos: it wouldve taken him 2m if he knew the way
WryChaos: honestly
WryChaos: and then duam goes on forum and says its too hard for him then says he didnt even try it later on
Vliroo: it took me like 30 secs to find out what to do
WryChaos: ^
Need I say more?
WryChaos: last 2-3 pages are mostly me criticizing dangy
Duam101: well
Duam101: you're an great idiot
Duam101: gratz
Duam101: i understand now the reason about u have no friends
I said more. ^


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Posts Tagged 'Facing Future'
What are your "GO TO" songs?
Monday, April 16, 2012
Here's a question for YOU:
What are your "Go To" songs?
Know what I mean? Those songs that you love so much–either to sing 'em or to play 'em or both!
Those songs that when you pick up your instrument, you automatically sing 'em because they make you feel good. Or maybe it's because they sound really good. Or maybe they are a real workout for you and you use 'em like a warm-up to get you loose and limber.
What are your "GO TO" songs?
For example: When I first tune up the ʻukulele, I often strum/sing the Israel Kamakawiwoʻole arrangement of KA PUA UʻI that he sings on his album, Facing Future. The song's chord progression allows me to hear the ʻukulele in all of its glory–and I can quickly tell if I'm in tune!
When someone asks me to sing a Hawaiian song, I usually ask 'em if they want a fast(er) song or slow(er) song.
If they choose fast(er), I'll often strum/sing Aunty Edith Kanakaʻole's KA ULUWEHI O KE KAI. It's fun to listen to. It tells a story and it's not toooo vocally demanding so that I can have fun singing it.
If they chose a slow(er) song, I'll often strum/sing something like the hula classic, ALOHA KAUAʻI. I think the song allows for a lot of cool crooner-isms and I love exploring it. Simple and challenging all at the same time.
And when I'm at a party and someone asks me to share a song in a song-circle, I usually call out Rev. Dennis Kamakahi's WAHINE ʻILIKEA. It acts as an immediate touchstone for me. It takes me to the island of Molokai in my mind. Takes me to Hālawa Valley. It grounds me. And it instantly takes away any nervousness that I may be feeling.
What do YOU sing and/or strum when you're asked to share a song? What songs do YOU sing in the shower or in the privacy of your car (with/without the windows rolled up!)
The Crooner's Weekly "TOP 5″ (12.21.11)
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Aloha kākou!
I always have my iPod with me. It's my personal jukebox.
Living in New York City, I spend a lot of time traveling underground via subway–and those rides can be long and boring! But having a collection of great music with me at all times keeps me from losing my mind. I can escape to a tropical isle with the push of a button. Portable paradise!
Here are the TOP 5 SONGS from my iPod this week:
1. Mahina O Hoku (Dennis Pavao's recording on the album Keiki Kupuna)
One of my favorite songs (a crooner classic!) recorded by one of my favorite singers. Kind of a perfect combination, wouldn't you say?
This song, attributed to Lilian Awa, talks about the night before the full moon. Two lovers. A secluded beach. (Dot…dot…dot…)
In this version, Uncle Dennis presents the song with his beautiful leo kiʻekiʻe (falsetto) in a soothing way. And he presents each verse two times–a hula dancer's dream. Note: He doesn't sing the third verse that's sometimes included.
I love the golden crooning of Uncle Dennis Pavao. I'm so glad we have his recordings–we can still thrill to his voice.
•Please click HERE to see a tribute page to Uncle Dennis Pavao.
2. Hiʻilawe (Ernie Tevares' recording on the album Hukilau Hulas)
I was on the treadmill at the gym the other day and this version of the classic song, Hiʻilawe, came on. It was different from others that I was familiar with. Bouncier. I loved it. I loved it so much that I had to look to see who recorded it. (Note to self: Stop the treadmill before attempting to read anything. I practically wiped out!)
Only after I got home and searched the internet did I learn about the amazing musician, Ernie Tevares. I'm blown away by what I read about him. Coming from a classical "conservatory background", I'm always so humbled when I learn about self-taught musicians that are so talented they'd make the best "conservatory trained" musicians bow down to their abilities. I wish I could be like that!
This is a great recording and one I will go back to again and again. And it's bouncy tempo made for some great listening time while I was running!
*Please click HERE to read a little bit about Ernie Tevares and his brother, Freddie.
3. Panini Puakea (Israel Kamakwiwoʻole's recording on the album Facing Future)
Ah! This recording brings back such memories!
Like so many folks, Facing Future was one of my very first Hawaiian albums. I remember listening to it–and THIS SONG in particular!–in my tiny studio apartment in NYC's Lower East Side. Ok… it was really more like a closet. But when this song played, it felt like the whole space opened up. Even a gloomy NYC winter's day became sunny.
Long before I had dreams of even visiting Hawaii, I loved this song. And the healing sounds of Braddah IZ's voice and ʻukulele.
The song, attributed to John K. Almeida, talks about a favorite flower. And I think it would be easy for one to see the similarities between the flower and a beloved. But that's just my take on it…
Magical, indeed.
*Please click HERE to visit IZ's official website.
4. Falling (Keahiwai's recording on the album Satisfied)
Listening to Keahiwai takes me back to the first time I went to Hawaiʻi. I'd gone to Oʻahu for a friend's wedding. We were cruising around Waikīkī and I heard their music a lot on the radio. My hula/ʻukulele friends and I had been listening to their debut album, Local Girls, a lot. But the sound made so much sense when I got to Oʻahu and breathed the same air, saw the same sights, tasted the same tastes, heard the same sounds.
(It was on that trip that I also learned a lot of the music that made sense to my ears in NYC seemed loud and grossly out of place in Hawaiʻi!)
Simple. Sweet. Awesome. (Makes me wanna close my eyes and sway.)
*Please click HERE to visit the Keahiwai's official website. (And let 'em know we miss them and want more music!)
5. Keʻala's Mele (Leonard Kwan's recording on the album Hawaiian Slack Key Masters Vol. 1)
This album served as my introduction to kī hōʻalu (slack key guitar) and I still love it. What a great collection of so many amazingly talented musicians!
This track, recorded by the incredibly gifted Mr. Leonard Kwan, is pretty close to heaven. I mean, I imagine this is what heaven must sound like. The guitar is "honeyed' and golden and sparkles. The way light might dance along the water.
Love it. And I love the way it makes me feel… (So thankful for recordings like this!)
*Please click HERE to read Leonard's bio from Dancing Cat Records.
**Christmas Bonus Song: Do You Hear What I Hear (Keola Beamer's recording on the album Kī Hōʻalu Christmas)
This "traditional" Christmas song is magical. And Keola's recording captures the magic and mystery of Christmas for me. It brings to mind all sorts pictures–wise men following a star. A deep blue-indigo night. If something could be called perfect, this is it.
(**Crooner Note: The whole album is fantastic! This is something that plays all season in our home!)
*Please click HERE to visit Keola's website.
What are YOU listening to? Drop me a line and let me know!
And, as always, a giant MAHALO to Puna and the gang at www.mele.com for being an awesome Hawaiian music resource. You all make the world a better place! I'm DEFINITELY thankful for that!
**Wanna be the first to know when Crooner News/Updates are posted? You can subscribe by clicking HERE!**


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When House Republicans go home at the end of this week for the month-long summer recess, they will be greeted by immigration reform supporters who will be "turning up the heat" on their efforts to push for reform.
Members of the Alliance for Citizenship, a coalition of groups pushing for immigration reform, held a press conference Wednesday to announce that they will be targeting 52 congressional districts — a majority of them led by Republicans. At these districts, they've organized 360 events aimed at pushing House Republicans to take action on immigration reform.
"This is the beginning of a long, hot summer for a lot of the representatives," said Eliseo Medina, secretary-treasurer of the SEIU.
"Speaker [John] Boehner and Republicans in the House are in for a big surprise during the August recess because we are ready to welcome them when they come home."
The planned events include everything from phone banking and rallies to registering people to vote and attending town hall meetings where congressional leaders will be asked to publicly support immigration reform legislation with a path to citizenship. It also includes a caravan in California that will target House Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy, whom advocates see as a "key person" who could influence other House Republicans to stand behind immigration reform.
By the time the summer recess is over and House members return to Capitol Hill, they will be greeted with 500,000 petitions that will be calling on them to take action on immigration reform. So far, the House has taken a slower, piecemeal approach on the issue.
"We will be pounding the drums for immigration reform," Medina said.
Broad group of immigration reform supporters
Clarissa Martinez, director of civic engagement and immigration for the National Council of La Raza, said she is confident their efforts will lead House members to take action on immigration reform.
She said that confidence stems from knowing that immigration reform supporters come from diverse sectors, including the faith community, business and labor — all of whom plan to double their efforts to push for reform during the August recess.
"Among all the forces that make up the Alliance for Citizenship and the broader set of efforts around this issue, we know we can touch every district out there — rural, urban, north, south, east and west — and that's why we feel confident," Martinez said.
"You can't look at the forces pushing for reform and not notice that every sector of the American society is represented there," she added.
Martinez said members of the NCLR will target 26 congressional districts, where they'll be organizing roundtable discussions, in-district visits and phone banking events. She added that more groups will also be mobilizing during the summer recess.
Faith-based leaders mobilize for immigration reform
Among the broad coalition of immigration reform supporters planning events for the August recess are faith-based leaders.
One of those groups is the Interfaith Immigration Coalition. The group has plans for a bus tour, prayer vigils and letter campaigns — all of which are meant to let members of Congress know where the faith-based community stands on immigration reform.
"The message is simple, we have not forgotten our families' paths to citizenship and neither should you. Action on immigration is not generosity — it is justice," said Rabbi Jack Moline, a member of the Interfaith Immigration Coalition.
PICO National Network — the nation's largest grassroots, faith-based group — has events planned in 30 congressional districts located in 12 different states, with more than 100,000 voters who plan to participate in these events.
Eddie Carmona, campaign manager for PICO's Campaign for Citizenship, said his group will be "making sure [House members] hear from all the immigrant Americans in their districts and from their families, friends, neighbors and faith communities who are citizens planning to vote in the 2014 election."
"From Ohio to Colorado and from California to Florida, members of the House who haven't publicly expressed support for a path to citizenship for all 11 million aspiring Americans will feel the heat from us until they do," Carmona added.
Originally published on VOXXI as Immigration reform supporters to 'turn up the heat'


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All posts tagged "Microsoft"
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Dear Hetalji,© Your Prayers to Sai Baba in Shirdi
By Baba's grace after 3 years i am going to Shirdi in January and i shall be very happy to carry prayers of all devotees. Please post it in your blog if you find it suitable. Devotees can send me their e-mail on firstname.lastname@example.com.
I am one of such devotees whose prayers were carried to Shirdi and by His grace after 3 years of wait He has called me to Shirdi.
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A Road trip to Spiti Valley – Get Set Happy getsethappy.com
If looking out for an enthralling adventure trip, then what better place to choose than Spiti Valley. It is popularly known as trekking paradise among travelers across the globe. Located in the north-eastern part of Indian State of Himachal Pradesh is this Middle land between India and Tibet. This desert terrain has unbound beauty with its ancient monasteries, snow cladded mountains, dense forests, and crystal-clear rivers. The alluring part of this untouched and hidden valley is the route leading here. It is one of the top-rated road trips after Leh-Ladakh. Having said it, begin my journey towards exploring this unexplored beauty on my own.
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Old flames return and new sparks continue to fly this week — all while Juliette and Alex appear to be burning out.
You know you're in for a treat when the blissful voice of ignorance starts off a "Siesta Key" episode.
Our guest columnist for the week, local "Siesta Key" superfan Sofie Wachtmeister, said it best: "He sounds dumb."
If that wasn't blunt enough, the King of Siesta Key himself narrates this episode, and I kind of sort of totally hated every moment of it. No offense, Alex, but your voice sounds like it's still wired shut (we were all better off when it was … there, I said it).
Anyway, this episode starts off with one of my favorite lines of narration in "Siesta Key" history: "I never thought I would say this, but I was the good guy."
The saddest part about this Mona Lisa of sentences is that it's actually true. Sort of.
Let's review the current situations of our SK men.
Brandon: Just cheated on his girlfriend the first time he was without her for more than a day in five months. #SeparationAnxietyGoneHorriblyWrong
Garrett: Picked up a girl at a charity event and then planned a date with her after washing her car shirtless (her raffle prize from said charity event). OK so this one isn't really bad because we all were blessed with an ab shot, but I'm still grossed out.
Pauly: He's just Pauly. Need I say more?
Everyone else is sort of irrelevant and Carson is still a Greek god so let's move on.
The point here is that Alex hasn't really done anything wrong lately except for pick a few small fights with Hannah, and let's be real she's also being annoying so everyone needs to take a chill pill.
Anyway, the first scene shows Kelsey and Madisson enjoying some gal time (beachside, of course) and we find out that an old flame from college just happens to have a job interview for some real estate company on their humble little barrier island. What a coincidence! I have no idea what's going to happen next!
The best part is that he just happens to call in the middle of Madisson and Kelsey's conversation about being over Brandon. Wow, the stars always seem to align for these guys! LOL.
Next we see a parallel BFFs-talking-about-relationship-probs scene between Carson and Brandon during which I roll my eyes a lot, and we learn Brandon wants to write a song about Madisson (because that's totally obviously a marvelous method of getting a girl you cheated on back).
Soon it's time for a much-anticipated follow-up to Canvas and Paige's last steamy encounter, and this one is filled with just as much tension of a very sensual sort. There's even some brief hand holding —gasp (JK this is 2018 live your life, everyone).
Paige admits to never dating a girl before, and both women reveal that they have feelings for each other. But one question remains. What will Madisson think about this?
Next is some whiny valley girl scene with Juliette and Hannah in which one of the only notes I wrote was "Do you ever go to school, Juliette?"
As predicted, the "best friends" fight over Hannah's disapproval of Juliette and Alex's relationship and my fellow co-writers and I agreed that Hannah most definitely fake cries before storming out of LéLu Coffee Lounge.
Next up is a ridiculously staged scene in which someone who may or may not be a real record producer is somehow giving rapper BG the time of day in his recording studio (oh, I'm sorry, in "Brandon's Recording Studio," as we're told).
Many painfully horrid lyrics later, music man basically tells Brandon he needs to make this song good or he won't get his girl back, and I am disgusted until I picture what will hopefully be the repulsed look on Madisson's face when she hears this terrible song and proceeds to laugh at him in public. A girl can dream.
Then, we have an interesting date scene between Madisson and her ex-beau who just happens to be in town. Our guest columnist does a better job of summarizing this lovely interaction than I do, so please see her poetic hot take.
Next we find Juliette "helping" (carrying one, maybe two boxes) Alex move into his ridiculously nice house in Tampa (complete with a chandelier that I really hope comes crashing down "Phantom of the Opera"-style in the middle of a party). Naturally, conflict ensues when the subject of Hannah comes up, and Juliette says the best thing since her geography quote a couple episodes ago: "Two rights don't make a wrong."
You know there's something seriously wrong with your language skills when Alex Kompothecras has to correct your idiom usage.
Moving on. Chloe finally appears, and while working out with Garrett, charity event girl Nicole coincidentally calls him to see if they're going to go out again. He says yes, then proceeds to make zero concrete plans with her. Smooth, brah.
Next is the scene I've been trying not to nervously bite my nails over: Paige's big confession. Madisson does not take it well. Shocker. She is initially confused but when it sinks in that Paige wants to hang out with Canvas as more than a friend, she storms out (but no fear, everyone. Madisson just tweeted after the episode that her and her big sister are still tight. Not all relationships are doomed on this island).
Finally, we get to the climax of the episode: a big housewarming party at Alex's new Tampa abode that everyone drove at least an hour for. Good thing they can all afford that far of an Uber ride.
This party is basically the same as every other not-so-chill-but-trying-to-be-chill bonfire soiree on the show.
Tensions run high. Madisson shows up with Ben. They're flirty. Brandon looks like a sad puppy dog. Pauly makes a series of hilariously irrelevant comments. Hannah and Alex fight. Juliette gets mad. Chloe tells Kelsey to be honest with Garrett (Kelsey still has feelings for him). Tarik tells Brandon to back off. Brandon gets mad. Ben and Madisson get cozy in a corner. Then Madisson disappears just in time for Ben to decide it's a good idea to approach Brandon. They have a very macho man conversation that wasn't worth our time.
Or is it? We'll have to find out next week on the — wait for it — SEASON FINALE.
I know, guys. I will have to fill that empty void in my heart somehow as well (sadly).
— Niki Kottmann


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Youtube Video: Mysteries of the Heart
At the Institute of HeartMath Research Center, research has been conducted on the physiology of the heart and what role emotions, perceptions, health, and information processing has on our lives. During embryonic development, the heart develops before the brain. In fact, there are about 40,000 neurons within the hearts own neurological system. This system communicates to the brain. There are three types of hormones produced in the heart making the heart a biochemical gland. The heart secrets just as much of the hormone (and others) Oxytocin, a hormone secreted during orgasm, as the brain does. This biophysical organ is 60 times higher in force than the brain. Generates an electromagnetic field 5,000 times stronger than the brain, and emits about an 8 foot field.
Youtube Video: Mysteries of the Heart
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Sherri Aikin
Sherri Aikin is a Fellow of Integrative Medicine, Nurse Practitioner, Sex Counselor, Mindfulness Facilitator, and Life Coach.
November 2016


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World Changer: MamaSaidTees
On a regular basis, we receive inquiries from people about donating to The Random Acts of Kindness Foundation. As a privately funded non-profit, we're unable to accept donations but want to point people towards some amazing companies, organizations, and people who are doing awesome things in the name of Kindness. This is one entry in an ongoing series of posts about some amazing World Changers telling you about their missions in their own words:
Meet MamaSaidTees.
1) Tell us about you/your company
Our company was born because of our mutual love for stylish, trendy, children's apparel and because we both knew in our hearts that we could do something different and special with our tees to REALLY start a love/kindness campaign.
2) Tell us your "Why?" What is your company's mission/message?
You know how your parents always told you when you were growing up, 'When you have a baby someday, you'll understand.' Well... that couldn't ring more true when it comes to making sense of why we are doing what we are doing. My oldest is almost 3 and has been in 'school' since he was 11 months. Every single day I ask the teachers the same questions. 1) Was Ryan kind today? 2) Was he a good friend? 3) Did he share? Not necessarily in that order, but you get the idea. As parents, all we want is for our children to love and be loved. That starts with teaching them how to be kind to others and to themselves! A child is NEVER too young to learn and appreciate the value of love and kindness. Colleen and I want nothing more for our children, and for the children of our friends, followers and beyond. We dream big. But if you don't dare to dream, what else is there? We really believe we can make a difference by spreading our message and teaching children that it's OK to be different. It's OK to wish and hope and dream. It's OK to be YOU! But most importantly, it's better than OK to love one another and be kind to everyone.
3) What inspires you in your work?
Our children. Our families. The impact our work has already HAD in such a short time! The visions we see and the goals we wish to achieve. We also inspire one another :)
4) Tell us about 1 act of kindness that YOU have experienced that stands out in your mind.
Recently, my husband and I bought a house in my hometown of Carmel, IN. We had our inspection last week and wrote our check to the company, Cornerstone Inspection Services. Upon receiving the check, the owner VOIDED the check and returned it to us with a very touching note. You see, my sister was very tragically killed this summer, and her two sons were left parentless. My husband and I are very excited to adopt them and for Ryan and Maddie to gain 2 brothers! But there is a LOT that has to happen first. We have to sell our house in St. Louis, my husband has to get a job, and then we GET to move and add 2 children to our family! The kind man knew about our situation and simply stated that he could not accept the check. He said we should put it toward Connor & Danny's future. This rather large act of kindness blew my family away. I cried and cried just thinking about the Christmas presents I can buy the boys with that money! Meanwhile, my husband says it's going straight to the bank. Either way, to him it may have been small, but to me, it was everything I needed that day to prove once again that there is good in this world!
5) Finish the sentence: "Kindness is…"
love personified. <3
Other posts you might like to read:
In a world where insults and criticism seem only a tweet away, compassion is more important than ever, and there is research to prove it works.Read More
While I tend to be a 'behind the scenes' kind of guy, I felt the need to say a few words about our revised social-emotional learning (SEL) curriculum, Kindness in the Classroom®.Read More
Help us to honor people who make kindness a way of life. It's time we recognize people for the good they do through their every day small acts of kindness. People who...Read More
I teach special education in an inclusive setting at a Head Start center in San Antonio Independent School District. A few years ago I saw an idea for a painted rock garden...Read More


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CS Colloquium: Jianzhu Ma, Project Scientist, Dept. of Medicine, UC San Diego
The School of Informatics, Computing, and Engineering (SICE) CS Colloquium Series
Speaker: Jianzhu Ma, Project Scientist, Dept. of Medicine, UC San Diego
Where: Luddy Hall, Rm. 3166 (Executive Conference Room)
When: Wednesday, February 20, 2019, 10:00 am
Topic: Interpreting genetic variants using network models of a cell
Abstract: Machine learning in biology faces two challenges: First, most of the models are still "black boxes" and difficult to interpret. Although accurate, they provide no meaningful insights about how their decisions are made and are insufficient in disease studies for which clinicians need to understand the mechanisms underlying the predictions. Second, it is often hard to generalize findings from basic biological contexts, where data are abundant, to clinical contexts, where data are few. In the first part of my talk, I will mainly describe how to build a new generation of interpretable deep learning frameworks by coupling the structure of the neural network with the internal workings of cell. In the second part, I will talk about how to adopt the meta-learning framework to learn a general representation of the molecular features which are more adaptable across variable contexts.
Biography: Jianzhu Ma is a Project Scientist in the Department of Medicine at UC San Diego. He received Bachelor's and Master's degrees from Peking University in Computer Science Department, and his Ph.D. from Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago under the supervision of Prof. Jinbo Xu. From 2010 and 2015, while working with Xu, his research direction was to predict protein 3D structures by using machine learning approaches. He developed an integrated protein modelling server called RaptorX (http://raptorx.uchicago.edu/). As of 2018, RaptorX has 50,186 registered users and successfully processed 374,684 tasks. Since Nov 2015, Jianzhu Ma joined Prof. Trey Ideker's lab at UC San Diego as a Project Scientist and focused on developing interpretable and transferable deep learning models for various biological applications, such as therapeutic response of tumor cells, signaling pathway and yeast genetics.
- Start
- Wednesday February 20, 2019 10:00 AM
- End
- Wednesday February 20, 2019 11:00 AM
- Location
- Luddy Hall
- Contact
- Yuzhen Ye
- Website
- https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=AATzYuAAAAAJ&hl=en
- Contact Email
- email@example.com


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Registration is now open! When you register for the school, you can also:
- Give a talk: You can present your work, or simply your favourite fact from mathematics, in a short talk in our Gong Show.
- Reserve a room: We can reserve a hotel room in Göttingen for you! By default, these will be single rooms. If you would prefer to share a double room with someone, let us know and include your roommates' name. Hotel reservations can only be made if you register until 31 July 2019.
- If you book your hotel room yourself, we accept registrations until 31 August 2019. (That's about one month before the school starts.)
To register, just send us an email to office (AT) mathematik (DOT) uni-goettingen (DOT) de and include the following information:
- your name,
- your gender and title,
- your date of birth,
- your address,
- your university or other institution,
- your date of arrival and departure,
- if you would like to give a short talk,
- if we should reserve a hotel room for you,
- and if you apply for financial support.


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Priyanka Chopra has so far been staying at her parent's house on Yari Road in Mumbai Image: Facebook
After soaring sartorial heights and making a mark on foreign and Indian shores, looks like actor Priyanka Chopra is finally ready to settle down in her new sea-facing home at Juhu in maximum city. So far, Pee Cee has been living with her mother and brother at Raj Classic, a posh building on Yari Road. (Photo gallery: Baby Ahil has a cosy encounter with Priyanka Chopra)
A lil birdie privy to the deals of the upper crusty circuit in Juhu tells us that mademoiselle Pee Cee's plush five-bedroom apartment is walking distance from Amitabh Bachchan, Hritik Roshan and Rani Mukherjee's home. Speaking to a leading Mumbai tabloid, Priyanka said, "Mom is going... The umbilical cord is finally getting cut." Often seen spending time with her mother while shooting for her projects abroad, Priyanka depended on her mom to find her new home.
(Read: Attagirl! Priyanka Chopra shuts down the armpit debate and how)
The busy-yet-leafy lanes of Juhu are home to many Bollywood celebrities like Abhishek Bachchan, Aishwarya Rai, Akshay Kumar, Alia Bhatt, Ameesha Patel, Amitabh Bachchan, Anil Kapoor, Anupam Kher, Bobby Deol, Dharmendra, Dimple Kapadia, Fardeen Khan, Govinda, Hema Malini, Hritik Roshan and Mahesh Bhatt, among others.
FYI, this star-studded locality is also infested with mosquitoes and potholes during the monsoons. We hope Piggy Chops squeezes out some time from her tight schedule to take her malaria and dengue shots regularly.
Buzz is that Priyanka will continue to expand her career in the West, a la contemporaries Sonam Kapoor and Deepika Padukone, and divide her time between Los Angeles and Mumbai (now Juhu). After all home is where the heart is!


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┌── Wilbur Montgomery Hinshaw │ 1860-1911 ┌── Harold H. Hinshaw ───┤ │ 1904-1991 │ │ └── May Lacey │ 1872-1951 Joyce Marie Hinshaw ───┤ B: 1926 │ ┌── Emil Goltz D: 1983 │ │ └── Helen Louise Goltz ──┤ 1906-1987 │ └── Anna N. - M: Myron F. Nielson
|Joyce Marie Hinshaw [ID 11078]
|Click here to switch to Ahnentafel view:
Born Nov 1 1926, Washington.1,2,3
She married Myron F. Nielson, Jun 5 1945, Bellingham, Washington.4,5 Myron, son of Fredrick Nielson & Nellie Whitley, was born Jul 30 1922, Hamilton, Washington.5,6
In 1983 Joyce was living in/near Sedro Woolley, Skagit County, Washington.3
Joyce Marie Hinshaw died Dec 23 1983, Mt. Vernon, Skagit County, Washington; age 57.3,4,7
In 1993-2005 Myron was still resides in Sedro Woolley, Washington.8,9
Myron died Oct 9 2013, Skagit Valley Hospital, Mount Vernon, Washington; age 91.10
Myron's obituary was published in the "Skagit Valley Herald" on October 13, 2013:5
Myron F. Nielson, 91, a lifelong Skagit County resident, passed away on Wednesday, October 9, 2013 at Skagit Valley Hospital in Mount Vernon.
He was born on Sunday, July 30, 1922 in Hamilton, WA, the son of Fredrick & Nellie (Whitley) Nielson. Myron was raised and attended school in Hamilton and graduated from Hamilton High School with the class of 1941.
On April 20, 1944 he enlisted into the U.S. Navy and served his country in the South Pacific as an airplane mechanic during WW II. He received his honorable discharge on February 24, 1946.
On July 5, 1945 he was united in marriage to Joyce Marie Hinshaw in Bellingham and after his discharge they made their home and raised their family just east of Hamilton and where Myron has made his home for the past 65 years.
Myron worked as a millwright for many years, with much of that for Hanson Lumber Company. He also worked for 15 years at Mount Baker Hardware in Sedro-Woolley and then as a maintenance supervisor for the Washington State Parks for 15 years until his retirement in 1985.
Leisure time found Myron fishing, boating or traveling and many fond memories were from when he was a character with the Wild Women of Woolley during the 4th of July. He also enjoyed helping out friends and neighbors and being with his family.
Myron is survived by his children and their spouses, Randy & Sharon Nielson of Birdsview and Kim & Bill Stiles, III of Sedro-Woolley; his 5 grandchildren, Shawn Nielson, Cameron Nielson, Avery Stiles, IV (Kellee), Melanie Brown (Jacob) and Brendan Stiles; 3 great-grandchildren, Madeleine Stiles and Josie and Lincoln Brown.
He was preceded in death by his parents; his wife, Joyce; 3 sisters, Ora Nielson, Vernice Mullen and Ruth Harrington and special friend, Virginia Burress.
The family request that contributions be made to a charity of your choice in memory of Myron.
A Graveside Service with Military Honors will be held on Thursday, October 17, 2013 at 1:00 PM at the Hamilton Cemetery with Pastor Eric Wangen-Hoch officiating. A fellowship gathering will follow at the Sedro-Woolley Eagles.
Visitation will be available at and services under the direction of Lemley Chapel, Sedro-Woolley. Share memories of Myron and sign the online guest register at www.lemleychapel.com
Photo: Myron F. Nielson 5
Social Security information for Joyce Marie Hinshaw: 538-26-4800
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Zombie Survival Archery
Sunday, March 17 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm
|Recurring Event (See all)
One event on March 17, 2019 at 12:00pm
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Whether you're a Walking Dead fan, wonder if you can survive the zombie apocalypse, or are just looking for a different style of archery class, this is the archery class for you! Join us as we learn the steps of shooting with practice shooting paper zombie targets. Students will leave with a zombie apocalypse survival certificate they can hang with pride at home. All equipment is provided.
Preregistration is required.


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- Home
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- Reviews
Album reviews
Two Paths
- September 14, 2017
The kippis! Ah yes, those poor fins. They are always sorted, when the scandinavian countries pride themselves on their great accomplishments. They ma...
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Less black, more goth, folk and rock. Myrkur go new ways, but still with a completely magical voice Trve kvlt-people crawling out from the hide I...
Codex Omega
- September 13, 2017
Greek for beginners I have previously reviewed Greek bands and struggled to pull anything other than feta, Hygnos and the western civilization is the...
- September 11, 2017
Hold shit, so I don't get! Belphegor has always been a band I have been a little hard to take seriously, with their sometimes too overdrevene perve...
Legends Of The Shires
- September 11, 2017
The most ambitious Level to date? May This is the first double album from the Threshold, and for fans of the band, there are quite a few expectations...
The Cicada Tree
- September 11, 2017
Technique for the house of confusion sake? When you get stuck a plate When I got this disc to review, I got to know that it was a thrash. But as a...
Smoke On This...
- September 07, 2017
Half-hearted cosiness-rock from the legend A quiet man kæfter up The number of lines, it is necessary to introduce Rex Brown, bassist from leg...
- September 06, 2017
21st Century Schizoid Metal What do you get when you pair All That Remains, Dream Theater, U2, Toto and Linkin Park? A serious game of musical schizo...
Will to Power
- September 06, 2017
Girl power Will to Power is Arch Enemys tenth studio album but only the second album with Alissa White-Gluz, who replaced Angela Gossow in 2014. But...
- September 04, 2017
Italian band welcome to an angry world VEINS are a metal band from Italy, which seems to be churning out one band after the other in the moment. This...
- September 01, 2017
Absolute top condition Canadian Comeback Kid is one of those bands that just gets better and better for each album, they spit out. Now they reached t...
The Optimist
- September 01, 2017
The old boys. And woman. As most of you know, is Anathema, a band with a few years old now. For each album they make, you can clearly feel this exper...
- August 31, 2017
A trip down the nostalgiens dødsmetalliske path Detest... the good old Detest! A band, who for many years has been tucked well away in my metal memor...
Brendon Small's Galaktikon II: Become the Storm
- August 30, 2017
Deth without clocking If you do not know who Brendon Small, Dethklok or Metalocalypse is, you need to put you over in the corner and be ashamed. So,...
Under The Wings Of The Aquila
- August 29, 2017
Russia offers check A direct translation of the name of the band shows a relationship to black metal. That added up to depressive thoughts stored in...
- August 29, 2017
On the hunt for the unique sound Progressive metal can for many, be a difficult nut to crack. A sea of bands can – and rightly – blamed to be too na...
The Solace System
- August 28, 2017
The Holographic Principle – Part II It is always with a degree of skepticism, one puts ones ears to a new release with the 'outtakes' or 'leftovers'...
Covered In Black
- August 25, 2017
Yet another masterpiece from the Danish prog-kings! Denmark is very much set on the prog-map In 2014 released the Anubis Gate the formidable alb...
- August 25, 2017
I know well, which Korea it remind you of Swedish Korea has committed their third album in 14 years, and with seven years since their last one could...
- August 25, 2017
Finally!!! Finally, is The Petulant out with their, in my world, the long-awaited debutskive, which has received the title of the Dictum, which can b...
Barbara The Witch
- August 23, 2017
A horror-album about the Nordic region The Norwegian thrash metal band Critical Solution has come up with yet another horror-concept album, Barbara...
Death Ordinance
- August 23, 2017
Solid skrigekoncert Death Ordinace is the first slice from the newzealeandske Heresiach. Heresiach was formed in 2008 and has since created a name fo...
Black Nova
- August 23, 2017
Fear Factory will battle to the line More from the French goodie French Dagoba is now a permanent fixture on the european industrial scene. The ba...
- August 23, 2017
From Arescet to the Sunken Sunken is a Danish black metal band that has arisen from the cylinders of the band Arescet, who released the demo "The Cra...
- August 21, 2017
The good surprise The hands that you have to drag itself through an album that just needs to get over with. The hands, however, also times that you m...
The Immortal Wars
- August 21, 2017
Carthage call to battle There is good news for everyone who likes historical heavymusik, such as Amon Amarth, Sabaton and Arkona. We have expanded th...
Strength In Numbers
- August 20, 2017
Melo-death, thrash and grooves in the secure style from the Swedish veterans Never ever give up What do you do when three longtime members more or...
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- August 18, 2017
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- August 17, 2017
Epic folk metal from the cold north Dark and permafrost, but all too little Sons of Crom is a Swedish/Finnish duo that plays epic folk metal with...
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- August 17, 2017
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- Price$224,900
- Beds4
- Baths2
- SQ. Feet2,834
- Acres0.29
- Built1977
1960 Bear View Dr, Apopka
Short Sale. 3rd Party Approval Required. Quality constructed concrete block pool home on large corner lot in Seminole County with no HOA. Fenced private yard with covered lanai and pool deck. Large detached 2 car garage. Long wide driveway for plenty of parking. Top rated public schools; Lake Brantley High, Teague Middle and Bear Lake Elementary. Access to Bear Lake boat ramp (additional fees). Recently remodeled kitchen and master bath. Silestone quartz counters, stainless appliances. Wood burning fireplace. Formal living room, formal dining room and family room. New AC in 2013, electrical panel updated in 2004, New plumbing in 2013, Pool resurfaced in 2010. 6 x 22 foot reinforced concrete Hurricane room off of the family room. Indoor laundry. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment. Conveniently located near major highways. Minutes to Maitland Blvd and I-4.
Essential Information
- Price$224,900
- Bedrooms4
- Bathrooms2.00
- Full Baths2
- Square Footage2,834
- Acres0.29
- Year Built1977
- TypeResidential
- Sub-TypeSingle Family Home
- StyleContemporary
- StatusPending
- UtilitiesCable Available
- FeaturesOptional Additional Fees, Community Boat Ramp, Water Access
- ParkingBoat
- # of Garages2
- ViewCorner Lot/Unit, In County, Street Paved
- Has PoolYes
- PoolGunite, In Ground
- ExteriorBlock, Stucco
- Exterior FeaturesFenced, Mature Landscaping, Patio/Porch Covered
- Lot Description1/4 Acre to 21779 Sq. Ft.
- WindowsBlinds, Window Treatments
- RoofShingle
- FoundationSlab
Additional Information
- Days on Market211
- ZoningR-1AA
- Short SaleYes
Community Information
- Address1960 Bear View Dr
- AreaApopka
- SubdivisionBear Lake Estates
- CityApopka
- CountySeminole County
- StateFL
- Zip Code32703
- InteriorCarpet, Ceramic Tile, Concrete, Laminate
- Interior FeaturesCeiling Fans(s), Master Bedroom Downstairs, Solid Wood Cabinets, Split Bedroom, Stone Counters, Window Treatments
- AppliancesBuilt-In Oven, Dishwasher, Disposal, Dryer, Electric Water Heater, Microwave, Oven, Range, Refrigerator, Washer
- HeatingCentral
- CoolingCentral Air
- FireplaceYes
- FireplacesWood Burning
- StoriesOne Story
School Information
- ElementaryBear Lake Elementary
- MiddleTeague Middle
- HighLake Brantley High
Listing Details
- Listing OfficeRe/max Central Realty
Price Change History for 1960 Bear View Dr, Apopka, FL (MLS® #O5500160)
|Price Reduced
|$20,100 (8.20%)
|Price Reduced
|$4,000 (1.61%)
|Price Reduced
|$15,900 (6.00%)
|Price Reduced
|$15,900 (6.00%)
|Price Increased
|$15,900 (6.39%)
|Show More (1)
|Price Reduced (from $274,900)
|$10,000 (3.64%)
All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and should be independently verified through personal inspection by appropriate professionals. Listings displayed on this website may be subject to prior sale or removal from sale; availability of any listing should always be independently verified.
Listing information is provided for consumer personal, non-commercial use, solely to identify potential properties for potential purchase; all other use is strictly prohibited and may violate relevant federal and state law.
Listing data comes from My Florida Regional MLS.
Listing information last updated on May 27th, 2019 at 9:00am EDT.


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The Pacific Northwest Regional Council of Carpenters is a representational democracy where elected officials from each Local Union vote on Executive Committee members and an Executive Secretary Treasurer who are collectively responsible for the governing of the Regional Council.
Executive Secretary-Treasurer Evelyn Shapiro
The Executive Secretary Treasurer is an elected position which serves four year terms. She is responsible for the business side of the organization, including all Regional Council staff. The EST is responsible for the day to day operations of Regional Council business.
President- Joe Cadwell
The President is responsible for presiding over quarterly Council meetings, and monthly Executive Committee meetings. The President appoints all standing committees that work on segments of Council functions.
Regional Council Executive Committee
Evelyn Shapiro, LU 30, Executive Secretary-Treasurer Pro tem
Joe Cadwell, LU 196, President
Vacant, Vice President
Edwin Marston, LU 96, Warden
Mike Petrish, LU 70, Conductor
Ryan Hyke, LU 196, Trustee & At-large
Scott Hansen, LU 1281, Trustee & At-large
Ken Ervin, LU 129, Trustee & At-large
Steven Abel, LU 2520
Josh Bolton, LU 1243
Pedro Espinoza, LU 816
Scott Flannery, LU 2403
David Hahm, LU 146
Vacant, LU 41
John Hoyrup, LU 808
Jeremiah Johnson, LU 96
Stephen Kramer, LU 635
Mario Martinez, LU 82
David Milton, LU 59
Sam Murillo, LU 271
Miguel Perry, LU 70
Jason Sheckler, LU 1503
Rodney Williams, LU 30
Regional Council Delegates
Jay Baldwin
Ronald Bauman
Anders Black
Cynthia Gaudio
JR Harrington
Eric Isaacson
Jacob Lamb
Reginald Mayo
Ron Phillips
David Quinn
Bernard Reynolds
Linda Romanovitch
Dustin Ross
Steve Ross
Ken Royal
James Saenz
Evelyn Shapiro-O'Connor
Jeff Skillman
Dawn Steinwright
Aspen Swartz
Allan Titus
Clint Webb
Rodney Williams
Noe Castillo
David Chumney
Anthony Edwards
Ruperto Gomez
Jimmy Haun
Tim Hurley
Dan Johnson
Terry Johnson
Jose Juarez
Derrick Keene
Matthew Kurvink
David Leon
Jimmy Matta Jr.
David Sanchez
Nick Shultz
Sergio Solis
Robert Susee
James Thompson
Antonio Acosta
Sloan Duncan
Barton Freitag
Kevin Hitchcock
Earnest McKinney
David Milton
John Roberts
Danny Robbins
Jim Wallace
Greg Brady
George Galovin
Dan Hutchins
John Lehman Jr.
Lisa Marx
Miguel Perry
Michael Petrish
Rick Poitras
Eric Torset
Fidencio Velasco
Joseph Weeks
Derek Hitt
Mario Martinez
Mary Alice McMurray
Joel Worth
Robert Bersuch
Chris Clement
Jeremiah Johnson
Mitchell Kelly
Edwin Marston
Justin McClendon
Jason Coburn
Kristine Cole
Michael Dean
Cory Elliot
Ken Ervin
Chuck Gotcher
Dave Howard
Scott Jones
Karl Krein
Christopher Lambert
Jimmy Osborne
Richard Taylor
Doug Tweedy
Joshua Berry
Norman Curry
Bruce Epstein
David Hahm
Stanly Harlan
Jeff Hartung
Chuck Hendrix
Kadie Jimenez
Daniel Mady
Darron Moore
Ronald Robbins
Donald Stover
Jason Atkins
Russell Burns
Joseph Cadwell
Robert Howard
Ryan Hyke
David McIvor
Jeffrey Thorson
Jeff Harms
James Jones
Jeff Kihn
Brian Lemke
Eric Morgan
David Mork
Samuel Murillo
Phillip Stickney
Antonio Garibay
Ricardo Garibay
Steve Kramer
Raymond Sheppard
John Hoyrup
Richard Lewis
Ray Mack
Pedro Espinoza
Luis Talavera
Alfonzo Villarreal
Josh Bolton
Ed Pugliese
Arthur Sutton
Chris Dimond
Jonathan Dunbar
Scott Hansen
Daniel Matthews
Joe Pugliese
Julie Schnyder
Aaron Schuerger
Ben Basom
Michael Brassell
Michael Burch
Betsy Crist
John Desmond
Dale Dvorak
Krista Farmer
Joe Figueroa
Grady Gadbow
Frank Kimmel
Bill Lewis
James Lopez
Amber McCoy
Paul Richter
Jason Sheckler
Michael Stiles
Tom Tegner
Tony Vasquez
Michael Wallace
Scott Flannery
Steven Maiuri
Stephen Abel
Kevin Mackey
Joanna Maker


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Outlook for equity markets: the February update
In a nutshell, we maintain a bullish stance for the medium term but expect the path to new highs to be volatile.
We are fully in line with the consensus. So what are we missing?
We believe that the Goldilocks environment should prevail, that central banks will shift their policies gradually, that earnings growth will stay solid, that valuations can stay elevated, that the best stock market opportunities lie in the pro-cyclical stock markets. There is nothing original here. These are views that are extremely widely shared. Precisely because they are so widely shared, we are concerned that we may miss something. As the saying goes, "what is obvious is obviously wrong"… We are trying hard to see what we might be missing but we nevertheless find no reason to change our stance. Our checklist of issues to follow closely leaves us with the conclusion that we should stay with the consensus.
Why we remain fundamentally bullish
The factors that lie at the core of our positive medium-term stance are the synchronous character of the current period of expansion and the favourable global trend in capital expenditure, which leads to a virtuous economic cycle. These trends feed the expectation that earnings growth of 10% on a worldwide basis is a reasonable forecast, thanks to operational leverage (and the contribution of tax cuts in the US). The icing on the cake is the contribution of share buybacks to the bottom line. Because central banks are in the process of shifting their policies to less accommodative stances, our core scenario is that global equities rise in 2018 at a pace close to that followed by earnings. This means that stock markets have already achieved a substantial part of the expected upside. There is still enough progression to be expected to remain positive. One should also not dismiss the possibility that sentiment leads markets beyond our expectations as we are in a late stage of the bull market.
Why we expect volatility to rise
We have been expecting markets to go through a phase of consolidation for a large part of 2017, with a preferred path being a move down to the 200-day moving average (most of the time 7% lower than spot prices). Hence, we continuously retained a short-term neutral stance within a medium-term positive opinion. Since the creation of the Standard & Poor's in 1927, there has never been a period such as the current one when the market rose for so long – 400 days and counting -without the occurrence at some point of a decline of at least 5%. Because markets are heavily overbought, bullishness has reached high levels, central bank policies are shifting and leading indicators are peaking, we retain our short-term neutral stance. 2018 should see the return of volatility.
Where are the key risks?
With valuations reaching high to very high levels, a focus on where negative surprises are the most likely to come from is required. Our main concern is a rise in bond yields that is faster than we expect, either because of inflation surprises, faster tightening by central banks or investor requirements for a higher risk premia. The concern coming next is if China growth were to decelerate faster than we envisage. The third concern is if global economic indicators were to cool more significantly and faster than we expect. Finally, we pay attention to the risks of protectionism and to geopolitics.
Although equity markets are in a late stage of the bull market and find themselves in heavily overbought territory, we retain a positive stance. The path is likely to be volatile but worth being followed given the good visibility on the economic background.