text:
Stock Ranking Based on Pattern Recognition: Returns up to 43.53% in 14 Days
Stock Ranking
This Options forecast is part of the Options Package, as one of I Know First's algorithmic trading tools. The full Top 10 Options forecast includes daily predictions for the best options to buy for a total of 20 stocks with bullish and bearish signals:
- Top 10 Call Options
- Top 10 Put Options
Package Name: Options
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 14 Days (05/02/2017 – 05/16/2017)
I Know First Average: 7.66%
9 out of 10 option prices in this forecast for the Options Package moved as predicted by the algorithm. The highest trade return came from DDD, at 43.53%. The suggested trades for SSYS and MGM also had notable 14 Days yields of 20.14% and 3.97%, respectively. The overall average return in this Options package was 7.66%, providing investors with a 7.14% premium over the S&P 500's return of 0.52% during the same period.
3D Systems Corporation (DDD), through its subsidiaries, provides 3D printing products and services worldwide. The companys 3D printers transform data input generated by 3D design software, CAD software, or other 3D design tools into printed parts using a range of print materials, including plastic, metal, nylon, rubber, wax, and composite materials. It offers various 3D printing technologies, such as stereolithography, selective laser sintering, direct metal printing, multijet printing, colorjet printing, and plasticjet printing. The company also develops, blends, and markets various print materials, such as plastic, nylon, metal, composite, elastomeric, wax, and Class IV bio-compatible materials. It offers its printers under the Accura, DuraForm, LaserForm, CastForm, and VisiJet brand names. In addition, the company provides digital design tools, including software, scanners, and haptic devices, as well as products for product design, mold and die design, 3D scan-to-print, reverse engineering, and production machining and inspection. Further, it offers proprietary software and drivers that provide part preparation, part placement, support placement, build platform management, and print queue management; and 3D virtual reality simulators and simulator modules for medical applications, as well as digitizing scanners for medical and mechanical applications. Additionally, the company provides warranty, maintenance, and training services. It primarily serves companies and small and midsize businesses in a range of industries, including automotive, aerospace, government, defense, technology, electronics, education, consumer goods, energy, and healthcare. The company sells its products and services through its direct sales force, resellers, and channel partners and distributors. 3D Systems Corporation (DDD) was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Rock Hill, South Carolina.
Algorithmic traders utilize these daily forecasts by the I Know First market prediction system as a tool to enhance portfolio performance, verify their own analysis and act on market opportunities faster. This forecast was sent to current I Know First subscribers.
How to interpret this diagram
Please note-for trading decisions use the most recent forecast. Get today's forecast and Top stock picks.


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Jobs in our country are like a golden deer. Workers in this country are much more than job creation, so we have a lot of jobs in this country. In the interest of this we have created this web site to reach this valuable news to all of us.
Customer Service Executive
Feximco Inc. Sister Concern of M/S Mitali International
- 38
Job Context
- NB: Don`t apply if you can`t speak in English fluently and very smartly.
- We are looking for results oriented NO EXCUSES TELEMARKETING NINJA.
Job Description / Responsibility
- Customer Relation Executive (CRE) needs to make outbound calls to US/ CANADA/UK/AUS to sell our product or services.
- Applicant needs to work for Night Shift (8PM-5AM or 9PM-6AM Bangladesh Local Time)
- Receiving calls & customers enquirers and selling services/ products over telephone as per the instruction provided
Job Nature
- Full-time, Intern
Educational Requirements
- Educational background doesn't really matter for this sector, if you can speak (Good English) than you are the right person we are looking for and if you are like a native English speaker you will be given double salary than the normal.
- So way of English speaking and smartness is the main thinks we are looking for.
Job Requirements
- Age At least 18 year(s)
- Please do not apply if don't have international Call Center Experience.
- Candidate with American Accent are highly encouraged to apply.
- Experience in International Call Center (MCA Projects) will get first priority with best offer.
Job Location
- Dhaka Division
Salary Range
- Tk. 15000 – 20000
Other Benefits
- Guaranteed on time payment.
- Free Food after completion of 3 months employment.
- Transportation allowance BDT-1000 after 6 months completion of employment.
- Year End Bonus (Half of Monthly Salary)
- Guaranteed on time payment on 10th of Every Month will be provided.
- Find the ground breaking career and build yourself as an asset for the country to build our economy..
Job Source
- Online
Applicant must enclose his/her Photograph with CV.
Application Deadline : Aug 26, 2017
Company Information
Feximco Inc. Sister Concern of M/S Mitali International
Address : Sector#10, Road#13 Ranabola Ave, House#55, 3rd Floor ,Uttara Model Town, Dhaka-1230. Bangladesh,
Web : www.mitaliint.info , http://www.feximco.com
Business : We are established to provide offshore BPO services and call center services. Our objective, is to provide best possible services to our client and attain maximum client satisfaction. The services offered by us are widely acclaimed for its timely execution.
এক ক্লিকেই চাকুরীর খবর
➲ ডাউনলোড করুন আর পেয়ে যান সকল চাকরির খবর আপনার মোবাইলের Notification এ। ডাউনলোড করুন অথবা আরো বিস্তারিত জানতে নিচের Google Play Store লিঙ্ক এ visit করুন।
➨ Play Store লিঙ্ক- Download
➨ APK ডাউনলোড লিঙ্ক- Download

subset: commoncrawl


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WASHINGTON, Ind. (WTHI) - A Daviess County man is behind bars facing meth charges.
On Monday, officers from the Washington Police Department arrested 49-year-old Charles Jones.
Jones had a warrant out for his arrest for dealing meth.
When officers served the warrant at 807 Meridian Street they report finding more meth, digital scales, ammunition, and Schedule IV pills.
Jones was arrested on charges of dealing, maintaining a common nuisance, and possession of a controlled substance.
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you investigate the goo.
as you follow the goo, it gradually begins to get deeper. soon, it's up to your ankles. t
it's then you realize it's not only slithering but pulsating- to the beat of your own heart.
normally, something like this would be disconcerting, but for whatever reason the goo makes you feel calm. maybe even docile.
you just can't take your eyes off of it. you're lost in the now endless pink ocean of slime.
you're tired, but you can't stop yet. you swear you're being pushed forward. your steps now match that of the goo's pulse.
the sunlight glistens atop the goo like that of an open sea.
wait. sunlgiht?
snap out of it


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I have a write-up on this: You will find three businesses at this link. One other possibility would be to request your resort to e book it for yourself. It should Price close to 20TL for each particular person for that shuttle as of summer months 2015.
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Card Night
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Party Tableware for Casino and Poker Night Parties
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Welcome to the Border Terrier Club of Ontario website.
We have put together several pages that will hopefully help you to understand the Border Terrier a little better. If you are a member of the BTCO, check out the "Members Only" section to view the Members List, use PayPal to pay your annual membership dues, review AGM minutes and archived newsletters. If you would like to become a member, click on the "Membership" link and it will take you to our Membership Information section. To view club information, click on one of the links below.
About Us
The Border Terrier Club of Ontario is a non-profit organization located in Ontario Canada, has been in existence since 1996 and has endeavoured to touch the many facets of the dog world, hopefully fulfilling the expectations of our membership as a whole.
Upcoming Events
Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – B.T.C.O. Specialty and Sweepstakes- Long Sault, ON – details to follow
Past Events
Grooming Day - February 17th, 2019 – click here for follow-up report
BTCO 2018 Specialty June 2nd, 2018 - click for follow-up report
Grooming Day - February 11th 2018- click for follow up report
BTCO Specialty 2017 - August 27, 2017 click for follow up report
BTCO 2017 FunDay - click for follow up report
Pay Pal available for Membership dues. Go to the Members Only section to view.
Trophy Sponsorships!


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Coffee began to replace the common breakfast drink beverages of the time — beer and wine. Those who drank coffee instead of alcohol began the day alert and energized, and not surprisingly, the quality of their work was greatly improved. (We like to think of this a precursor to the modern office coffee …
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Download my free ebook showing how you can create your path out of the law. And also receive my free video career coaching series on how you can transition into your dream life and career.
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Step 4: Pass the Hospice and Palliative Nurses Certification Exam. There are some hospice care facilities that do not require the certification of Hospice and Palliative Nurses but it would be best to get one even if you are already working in a hospice care facility.
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Ingredients. 1 ВЅ pounds red potatoes, scrubbed clean and dried (the ones that are kinda a little circle shape, and could easily be cut into 4 pieces)
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Australian Capital Territory: Kowen ACT, Barton ACT, Coree ACT, Stirling ACT, Gilmore ACT, ACT Australia 2672
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|Copyright AUTO Insurance Quotes. All rights reserved.
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HOME > Exhibit > Booth & Additional Facilities
Booth & Additional Facilities
Shell Stand
Booth Size - 3m × 3m
|Assemble of plastic pannels
|1m(width)x 2.4(height)
|Set up aluminium coffer per 1m(1mxm)
|Company Sign
|Name of Co. +Booth No.
|1 fluorenscent lamp(40W)+4Spot lights(100W)
|Electrical equipment
|1 outlet (220V/60Hz/Single phase 5Amp)
|Exhibit Floor
|Py-tex Carpet
|Front desk
|Regardless of booth scale (1 Info desk + 3 Chair)
Space only
Booth Size - 3m X 3m
- - Booth Size - 3m X 3m
- - Exhibitors are build their own booth.
- - Organizers provides only space for booth.
- - Only the authorized subcontractors are allowes to perform installation works for space only
Booth allocation
- Booth will be allocated following the application deadline, taking into consideration the APPLICATION PAYMENT and date, scale, and record of past participation.
Reserve Your Booth Now
- - Booth will be distributed on a first come first served basis.
- - Apply early to ensure the best booth in the most advantageous exhibition location.
- - Please fill in the stand application form and return the signed registration by mail or fax to Seoul Int'l Seafood Show 2015 Secretariat


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Ipratropium Bromide
Ipratropium bromide, sold under the trade name Atrovent among others, is a medication which opens up the medium and large airways in the lungs. It is used to treat the symptoms of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma. It is used by inhaler or nebulizer. Onset of action is typically within 15 to 30 minutes and lasts for three to five hours. Ipratropium bromide was developed in Germany in 1976. (source)
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All Guilds Meeting - February 2016
Editor's Note: We have replaced the raw chatlog with a more complete version courtesy of Tai'lahr.
2016 continues, and the All Guilds Meeting for February had its share of big news and events! Along with the usual raw and cleansed chatlogs, we have this handy summary of what happened.
Guild of Writers
Hoikas starting things off by mentioning the latest version of Korman (0.03) has been released. He promised that version 0.04 would not be far behind. He also hinted at a "Rapid Korman Kontest", similar to the Rapid Age Development contests from years ago, in the near future.
Not only that, but the Guild also released version 24 of Gehn Shard, just in time for the Great Zero "Hacktivation" party that took place after the meeting!
All Guilds Network
Korov'ev made an announcement for Zeke365 about the All Guilds Network. Its intended function would be to add another layer of intercommunication between explorers and the existing Guilds. More on this as it develops!
Gehn Shard Great Zero Activation Event!
As was mentioned at the last All Guilds Meeting, explorers visiting Gehn Shard have been hard at work calibrating that version of the Great Zero. It's been such a success, that Victor Haxman feels it's ready to activate fully!
As such, the Guild of Writers has invited explorers to gather at the Great Zero to witness this impressive piece of D'ni machinery go online. Note that, if you want to be down on the "main floor" for the event (and not watch it from the small window of the observation deck), you will need to gather your green and red markers to gain entrance to the main chamber via the Nexus.
The planned event will be held on Saturday, February 6th on Gehn Shard immediately following the All Guilds Meeting on the MOULa shard.
Hoikas himself will be hosting a music feed. You can listen at http://hoikas.com:8000/gehn.ogg
For those that missed out on this occasion back during the Gametap era, now is the time to see this rare occurence for yourself!
If you have not set up Gehn Shard yet, you can view details on how to do so at this link. If there's any troubles, you can discuss it in that section of the GoW forums.
JayRho Presents: Glenn Frey Tribute
Shorah, fellow cavern-folk!
JayRho has recently anounced he will be streaming a musical tribute to the late Glenn Frey of the Eagles. The event will be on this Friday, the 22nd of January, starting at 17:30 KI time in the courtyard of Ae'gura. Plans are to have a program lasting about two-and-a-half hours.
The music will feature a lot of the songs by the Eagles where Glenn Frey sang lead, plus many tunes from his solo career. This will also include some tracks from an early duo with J. D. Souther called Longbranch Pennywhistle (if a copy can be located).
Interested explorers are able to connect to the music stream by going to UruTunes and clicking on Scenes From A Relto. Drop down to the cavern if you can, and possibly discover a song or two you've never heard before!
JayRho looks forward to seeing everyone there!
Friday Night Dance Party
Great news, fellow explorers!
The Friday Night Dance Party is alive and well, with a sizable turnout both in mid-December and for the New Year's Day Dance Party. Many of the cavern's citizens had a great time, with quite a few staying later for the post-dance music.
There has been a special request for where the next dance party could be held, and JayRho has chosen to honor that request. The next party will be on January 15th, with music starting at 16:00 KI Time. Future parties will be every two weeks after that date.
There will be both pre-event feed music starting at 15:00, and things will finish up with some post-dance tunes at 17:00.
The events will usually be held in Atrus' former prison room of the public instance of K'veer (accessible via the Nexus); each event will be announced in the forum thread. As usual, you will be able to connect to the music by going to UruTunes and clicking on the "Scenes From A Relto" link.
JayRho also wishes to extend a huge thanks to all who continue to support this event and make it a success.
Hope to see you there!!!
Memory Lane - Part 3 Event Game
Zesty and Kirk of Xeniphers, with the help of Mister Magic, have organized part 3 of the Memory Lane event-game, called "Mission Im-Possible".
If you are interested in playing, you can send Zesty or Kirk a KI message in-game or post in the MYST forum.
Event Info:
Date: Saturday, 23rd January 2016
Time: 12:00 - 13:00 KI
Starting point: Kirel, community room
- Ability to see markers, all ages finished, normal client or skydiving client. no combo or double jumps required (suitable for new players who have taken all green and red markers).
- Using internal clients or Magic Bots is NOT allowed!
- Playing in teams is allowed and even encouraged, but with a maximum of 4 players. If you wish to play in a team, please provide all your teammates' KI numbers and avatar names.
Five minutes before 12:00, the game will be distributed to all participants, who will then open it at exactly 12:00 KI, and when the word is given, everyone will start.
This is a simple game; everything that you need to know is written on the markers. Players will have one hour to finish the game and send a private message to Zesty.
NOTE: All those that played the 'Memory Lane Quest, Part 1' and are still playing Part 2 are warmly encouraged to participate. If you haven't played Part 1 and/or Part 2, don't worry - you can still play Part 3; they are not strictly connected. Those that have played the first 2 parts will have no advantage over those that haven't. Read more


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وظائف شاغرة
وظيفة شاغرة – موظف استقبال – جمعية نطوف للبيئة وتنمية المجتمع – غزة
وظيفة شاغرة – موظف استقبال – جمعية نطوف للبيئة وتنمية المجتمع – غزة
Job Opportunity in Natuf For Environment and Community Development "Receptionist"
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Job Duties :
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Diploma in Secretarial / Administration / Office Automation.
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– CV including Professional References (minimum of three, with complete contact information).
Applications should be submitted to e-mail: email@example.com
Deadline to apply:19/4/2014 no later than 2:00 PM Please make sure to mention in the subject this Job title. The selection committee will review all applications as they are received. All applicants must meet the minimum requirements described above, and those unable to meet these requirements will not be considered.
Only short listed candidates will be contacted.


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It sounds like a backhanded compliment to call the new ABN Amro Plaza a first-rate second-rate building, but it is a compliment. Even if it isn't going to wind up in the art history books, this sleek, trapezoid-shaped office building, which flaunts a towering empty space at its most prominent corner, offers fresh evidence of how Chicago architects excel at turning daunting functional problems into good design.
Perhaps it's no surprise that the 31-story, $387 million building, located at 540 W. Madison St. and housing office space for the Netherlands-based parent company of Chicago's LaSalle Bank, came out as well as it did. Its design team -- John Albright, Jim DeStefano, Ray Clark and Joe Hollingsworth of DeStefano + Partners -- are all alumni of the Chicago office of Skidmore, Owings & Merrill, which has been turning out handsome, high-quality office buildings for decades.
Still, the DeStefano shop has produced some clunkers, such as the hulking River East Center mixed-use complex at Illinois Street and Columbus Drive. So the outcome at ABN Amro is a relief, considering that the building sits west of Helmut Jahn's Citicorp Center and the Chicago & North Western passenger concourse. Consolidating bank employees from several Chicago locations, it is a positive addition to a district that forms a gateway to downtown.
The building is the first phase of twin-towered project on the block bounded by Madison, Jefferson, Washington and Clinton Streets. The second phase of a two-part projects often doesn't get built because rosy economic projections fail to materialize. Yet that should not deter us from exploring how Albright, the chief designer, and his colleagues solved the problem of gracefully putting two buildings housing 2.5 million square feet of office space on a single block.
Client's request
They could have followed their client's initial request for a "plain vanilla box," which could have been as visually deadening as the nearby Presidential Towers.
Instead, they crafted a plan for twin trapezoids that would be interconnected at the base: the new building, facing Clinton and Madison, and the second phase, which will orient toward Washington and Jefferson. The towers will overlap in the middle of block, meaning they will interrupt each other's views somewhat. But by slicing off one corner of each building, the architects cut the overlap to 120 feet from 240 feet, thereby granting better views to more office workers.
Sharp-eyed architecture buffs will instantly recognize a similarity between ABN Amro's trapezoidal geometry and Kenzo Tange's 515 N. State St., home of the American Medical Association, which has a four-story cutout near its summit. Another example of the twin-towered trend, 515 N. State was supposed to get a near-identical companion after it went up in 1990. But that building has yet to appear.
In any event, the architects faced other challenges. They needed to accommodate various light industrial and back-office uses, such as check-processing machines and data-storing computers, that have heavier-than-normal floor loads and require extra space and ventilation. The bank also wanted massive electric generators, each as big as a trailer home, that would guarantee it a source of power in the event of a blackout.
The architects' solution is clearly influenced by Tange's trapezoidal AMA building, but modifies it. At AMA, the building's prow-like geometry created small, pie-shaped offices in the corner of the tower, which was fine for a high-profile headquarters building with other tenants. But at ABN Amro, which is occupied solely by the bank, the brief was for flexible, open-plan office space. Albright and his team therefore made the entire corner of ABN Amro an empty space that extends a jaw-dropping 453 feet from the building's top to the sidewalk.
This space is framed with a single corner column and beams that extend from the building's internal structural grid to the column every third floor. Both are clad in stainless steel. Together, they create a step-like form that suggests a ladder.
Given the impact this building has on its surroundings, the tradeoff -- the loss of a small amount of floor space for a bold architectural image -- is well worth it. Along with another flourish at the tower's summit -- a parallelogram-shaped cornice, supported by exposed, Y-shaped steel columns -- the corner lends the tower an almost sculptural presence.
At the same time, the corner helps the tower be a good neighbor, revealing pleasing views of Jahn's Citicorp Center and its cascading glass walls.
Structural expressionism
Fortunately, the corner is not a one-liner. Its structural expressionism informs the rest of the design, and the building's detailing and the proportions are handled with skill and ingenuity.
Stainless steel bands, or spandrels, streak across the facade every third floor, avoiding a monotonous grid and giving the building a powerful urban scale.
Instead of marring the facade with ugly louvers that would supply air to the data center, check-processing machines and other mechanical equipment, the architects devised handsome glass panels that jog in and out like the edge of a jigsaw puzzle piece.
The panels let air slip through openings between them. Because they are set back from the facade, they break up its mass both at the summit and in the tower's lower reaches. There, they are outlined by a muscular frame of right-angled stainless steel that expresses the mechanical floors and extends the corner's structural bravura.
Urban design is also well handled. A six-story base that houses check-processing machines and the data center provides a wall-like sense of enclosure along Madison and is set back from the sidewalk to make way for an entry plaza. The plaza is filled with planter boxes with ledges where people can sit. With more people walking downtown from lofts and other housing to the west, these pedestrian-friendly features matter.
The three-story, glass-enclosed lobby packs its own visual punch. Columns and beams at the base of the tower cut boldly through the space. You take escalators to the main elevator lobby, a handsomely proportioned, two-story space located on the main lobby's second level. It subtly continues the tradition of the old LaSalle Street banking temples, where one ascended from the street to the main banking hall.
Typical office floors are well done, too. Several features are worth mentioning: A raised-floor air distribution system allows ABN Amro to easily rearrange work stations; floor-to-ceiling glass (and perforated blinds) lets in lots of natural light; and odd-shaped conference rooms provide striking views of the empty corner.
To be sure, there are faults. The big corner column is too bulky in relation to the cornice, and the column slams down to the sidewalk without making any attempt to accommodate to the pedestrian's scale. The cornice's parallelogram shape fails to fill out the top of the trapezoid-shaped tower, making it appear incomplete from the north. The lobby, for all its spaciousness, is chilly, lacking the seating that brightens the sidewalk outside.
Still, Albright and his colleagues deserve credit for making a strong piece of architecture. With its intelligent site planning, its dramatization of structure and its precise details, ABN Amro Plaza is a model for uplifting the plain vanilla box.


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Property Details
Property Location
Located in Tacoma, Hotel Murano is just steps from Greater Tacoma Convention and Trade Center and 6 minutes by foot from Pantages Theater. This 4.5-star hotel is 0.8 mi (1.3 km) from Museum of Glass and 1 mi (1.5 km) from Tacoma Art Museum.Rooms
Make yourself at home in one of the 319 air-conditioned rooms featuring iPod docking stations and minibars. 40-inch LCD televisions with cable programming provide entertainment, while complimentary wireless Internet access keeps you connected. Private bathrooms with shower/tub combinations feature designer toiletries and hair dryers. Conveniences include phones, as well as laptop-compatible safes and desks.Amenities
Relax at the full-service spa, where you can enjoy massages, body treatments, and facials. This hotel also features complimentary wireless Internet access, concierge services, and gift shops/newsstands.Dining
Grab a bite to eat at Bite, a restaurant which features a bar, or stay in and take advantage of the 24-hour room service. Full breakfasts are served on weekdays from 6:00 AM to 10:00 AM and on weekends from 7:00 AM to 11:00 AM for a fee.Business, Other Amenities
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Distances are displayed to the nearest 0.1 mile and kilometer.
Greater Tacoma Convention and Trade Center - 0.2 km / 0.1 mi
Children's Museum of Tacoma - 0.4 km / 0.3 mi
Court House Square - 0.5 km / 0.3 mi
Broadway Center for the Performing Arts - 0.5 km / 0.3 mi
Pantages Theater - 0.5 km / 0.3 mi
Tacoma Art Museum - 0.6 km / 0.4 mi
Tacoma Union Station Rotunda - 0.7 km / 0.4 mi
University of Washington Tacoma - 0.7 km / 0.4 mi
Washington State History Museum - 0.8 km / 0.5 mi
Museum of Glass - 1.1 km / 0.7 mi
Karpeles Manuscript Museum - 1.4 km / 0.9 mi
Foss Waterway Seaport - 1.5 km / 0.9 mi
Wright Park - 1.5 km / 0.9 mi
W.W. Seymour Botanical Conservatory - 1.5 km / 0.9 mi
MultiCare Tacoma General Hospital - 2 km / 1.2 mi
The nearest airports are:
Seattle, WA (SEA-Seattle - Tacoma Intl.) - 41 km / 25.5 mi
Renton, WA (RNT-Renton Municipal) - 41.2 km / 25.6 mi
Seattle, WA (BFI-Boeing Field) - 45 km / 27.9 mi
Seattle, WA (LKE-Lake Union) - 55.7 km / 34.6 mi
Olympia, WA (OLM-Olympia Regional) - 56.4 km / 35.1 mi
The preferred airport for Hotel Murano is Seattle, WA (SEA-Seattle - Tacoma Intl.).
Property Policies
Extra-person charges may apply and vary depending on property policy.
Government-issued photo identification and a credit card are required at check-in for incidental charges.
Special requests are subject to availability upon check-in and may incur additional charges. Special requests cannot be guaranteed.
- Please note that cultural norms and guest policies may differ by country and by property. The policies listed are provided by the property.
Important Information
Please note, there is important information about this property to know before you arrive.
- The property has connecting/adjoining rooms, which are subject to availability and can be requested by contacting the property using the number on the booking confirmation.
The following fees and deposits are charged by the property at time of service, check-in, or check-out.
- Breakfast fee: between USD 8 and USD 18 for adults, USD 5 and USD 10 for children (approximately)
- Self parking fee: USD 16 per day (in/out privileges)
- Valet parking fee: USD 20 per day (in/out privileges)
- Pet deposit: USD 45.00 per stay
- Pet fee: USD 45 per accommodation, per stay
- Rollaway bed fee: USD 15 per night
The above list may not be comprehensive. Fees and deposits may not include tax and are subject to change.
- -Fireplace in lobby
- -24-hour fitness facilities
- -24-hour business center
- -In-room accessibility
- -Roll-in shower
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- -ATM/banking
- -Hair salon
- -Elevator/lift
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- -Free newspapers in lobby
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- -Spa treatment room(s)
- -Limo or Town Car service available
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- -Full-service spa
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- -Number of floors - 26
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The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials
There was a paper a short while back, "Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results", by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows.
Krauss says, "RCTs face a range of strong assumptions, biases and limitations that have not yet all been thoroughly discussed in the literature."
His critics says, "Oh yes they have."
Krauss says that the "10 most cited RCTs worldwide" "shows that [RCT] trials inevitably produce bias."
His critics say, "Oh no they don't."
Krauss says, "Trials involve complex processes — from randomising, blinding and controlling, to implementing treatments, monitoring participants etc. — that require many decisions and steps at different levels that bring their own assumptions and degree of bias to results."
His critics say, "No kidding, genius."
Those critics—Andrew Althouse, Kaleab Abebe, Gary Collins, and Frank E Harrell—were none too happy with Krauss, charging him with not doing his homework.
The critics have the upper hand here. But I disagree with them on a point or two, about which more below.
The piece states that the simple-treatment-at-the-individual-level limitation is a constraint of RCTs not yet thoroughly discussed and notes that randomization is infeasible for many scientific questions. This, however, is not relevant to the claim that all RCTs produce biased results; it merely suggests that we should not use randomized controlled trials for questions where they are not applicable. Furthermore, the piece states that randomized trials cannot generally be conducted in cases with multiple and complex treatments or outcomes simultaneously that often reflect the reality of medical situations. This statement ignores a great deal of innovation in trial designs, including some very agile and adaptable designs capable of evaluating multiple complex treatments and/or outcomes across variable populations.
They go on to note some of these wonders. Then they come to one of the two key points: "there is no requirement for baseline balance in all covariates to have a valid statistical inference from [a statistical] trial", calling such a belief a "myth", meaning (as moderns do) a falsity.
It is false, too. Balance is not necessary. Who cares if the patients in group A used to own just as many marbles as the patients in group B when they were all six? And, of course, you can go on an on like that practically ad infinitum, which brings the realization that "randomization" never brings balance.
Control is what counts. But control is, like probability itself, conditional on the premises we bring to the problem. The goal of all experimentation is to discover, to the closest possible extent, the cause of the thing studied. If we knew the cause, we would not need to do the study. If we do not know the cause, a study may enlighten us, as long as we are measuring things in what I call the "causal path" of the item of interest. Also see this, for the hippest most modern-year analysis ever!
We con't control for past marble ownership in most clinical trials, nor do we wish to, because we cannot bring ourselves to believe the premise that marble ownership is in the causal path of the thing under study. If we knew, really knew, the exact cause, we could run an experiment with perfect controls, since what should be controlled is a known part of the cause.
That we know so little, except in the grossest sense, about the right and proper controls, is why we have to do these trials, which are correlational. We extract, in our minds, the usable, and sometimes false, essences in these correlations and improve our understanding of cause.
Another reason balance isn't needed: probability conditions on the totality of our beliefs about the proposition of interest (models, on the other hand, condition on a tiny formal fraction). Balance doesn't provide any special insight, unless the proposition of interest itself involves balance.
Notice that medical trials are not run like physics experiments, even though the goals of both are the same, and the nature of evidence is identical in both setups, too. Both control, and physics controls better, because physical knowledge of of vastly simpler systems, so knowledge of cause is greater.
The differences are "randomization" and, sometimes, "blinding".
Krauss's critics "It is important to remember that the fundamental goal of randomization in clinical trials is preventing selection bias".
Indeed, it is not just the fundamental, but the only goal. The reason "randomization" is used is the same reason referees flip the coin at the start of ballgames and not a player or coach or fan from one of the sides. "Randomization" provides the exact same control—yes, the word is control—that blinding performs. Both make it harder to cheat.
There is nothing so dishonest as a human being. The simplest of most frequent victim of his mendacity is himself. Every scientist believes in confirmation bias, just as every scientist believes it happens to the other guy.
"Randomization" and "blinding" move the control from the interested scientist to a disinterested device. It is the disinterestedness that counts here, not the "randomness". If we had a panel of angelic judges watching over our experiment and control assignments, and angels (the good kind) finding impossible to lie, well, we would not need "randomness" nor blinding.
The problem some (not all) have with "randomization" is that they believe it induces a kind of mystical condition where certain measurements "take on" or are imbued with probability, which things can do because (to them) things "have" probability. And that if it weren't for "randomization", the things wouldn't have the proper probability. Randomization, then, is alchemy.
Probability doesn't exist, and "random" only means unknown (or unknown cause), so adding "unknownness" to an experiment does nothing for you, epistemologically speaking.
There are some interesting technical details about complex experiments in the critics' response that are also worth reading, incidentally.
5 thoughts on "The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials" Leave a comment ›
Many thanks for that, Dr. Briggs.
Many thanks for that, Dr. Briggs.
Many thanks for that, Dr. Briggs.
I am reminded of a man who learned that 73% of fatal traffic accidents occur within 2 miles of home, so he moved.
This post, and today being election day, brings to mind a recent episode involving an independent candidate running for the office of governor of my state who trails badly in the published polls. He just released the results of his own internal polling showing him within striking distance of the other two candidates. His method? Sending his campaign workers out to shopping malls and other public places to ask people approached "randomly" who they would be voting for. The workers did not identify themselves as affiliated with the candidate. They may even have tried some protocol like asking every fifth person encountered; we don't know. Critics of the candidate were not impressed and scoffed at the effort. He is supremely confident his maverick image will rule the day and that his poll is correct. We will see tonight how badly he has fooled himself.
The candidate fooled himself quite badly. His poll said 31%; he got less than 5% of the vote. Besides the flawed method, the poll premises that the respondents were telling the truth and would stick with their reported choice are shadowed with doubt.


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Well, then we will consider the main advantages of laser tag.the
Tag is absolutely safe and very interesting game
In this game, the opponents "fighting" using a specially designed weapon that shoots infrared laser beam. If this beam touches the equipment, which is wearing an opposing player, it automatically disables it for a short time removes the player from the game. Those infrared laser beams are absolutely harmless, so no one gets hurt during the game (unlike paintball, you don't need to wear a helmet).the
laser tag can be played both indoors and outdoors
Game laser tag is very versatile and suitable for a variety of battlefields. For example, if the weather is bad, you and your kids can just go inside the room where there is a Playground, and continue the game there. Well, when it's warm and the sun is shining - you can "fight" on the street!the
Tag is very useful for child's health
If you're worried about what your child every day too long sitting at the computer, the laser tag will help to remove it from the monitor. It provides the perfect combination between physical activity and fun shooters. Basically, when your child runs around the Playground, chasing enemies to shoot them, he performs cardio exercises that the result will improve his health will make it stronger and more resistant to the usual colds and flu.the
Tag will help to broaden your child's friends
Those who play laser tag are enemies only during the game, but after that, nothing prevents them to be friends. Basically, if you take your child to these games, he will become more sociable, it's easy to make more friends and become more confident in the long term.the
Tag improves teamwork skills
your child has a great opportunity to learn to be a team player and work together with your friends to achieve a common goal. In the long run of the game with laser tag can prevent your child to become selfish, and he will be asked to think about different strategies you igrica that you can practice with your friends.
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Team GBR
View Single Post
19 Jan 2009, 15:44 (Ref:2374647)
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 814
Originally Posted by
Which part is good news? Salvador Duran coming back?
As for Team GBR, if the decision not to race at Taupo is down to economics, I'm sure it's not just the cost of getting a driver there that is the problem.
But I agree with kerrmaningjarv. It's not enough just to say that GBR won't be there, even in a forum such as this. We would like to know why and if there is a link to a news story confirming the fact. There is no mention of GBR in the official preview
, which I suppose confirms the story in a way.
I shall be cheering for Adam Carroll, and hope that Salvador Duran and Narain Karthikeyan also do well.
I'm not sure - that post was moved by one of the mods from another thread into this one, so I dunno what good news Richard was talking about.
And as for GBR at Taupo - they are listed in the latest press release as participating in the PR activity before the event - so maybe they will be there after all. We'll see.
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You'd think that shareholders wouldn't tolerate the use of accounting sleight of hand to compensate executives while bypassing the traditional "selling, general, and administrative" line in the income statement.
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The tech bubble of the late 1990s was a time when top-notch engineers and programmers routinely demanded generous stock option packages as inducement to sign on with public companies.
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A review of Standard & Poor's Execu Comp data for 1,800 leading companies indicates that from Sept.
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The practice of backdating options is not illegal as long as it is disclosed to shareholders.
But are options really as great for all parties as many have assumed?
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17, 2001, through the end of the month, 511 top executives at 186 of these companies got stock option grants. They were worth about $325 million when granted, based on a standard method of valuing stock options."At Stryker Corp., a Michigan maker of orthopedic products, onetime stock option committee member John Lillard said he didn't regret the decision to award options nine days after the attack. 20, 2001, at the bottom of a sharp 'V' pattern in the share price."Mr.
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