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State budget coffers holding $57.5 million surplus
Arkansas revenue collections in October continued a steady upward path in October as rising payrolls and strong sales tax collections boosted state budget coffers ahead of the all-important holiday shopping season and upcoming 2019 legislative session.
"The revenue report reflects more good news overall and the 4th consecutive month above forecast in fiscal 2019 in the July to October period," state Department of Finance and Administration (DFA) economist John Shelnutt told Talk Business & Politics.
Through the first four months of the fiscal year beginning July 1, 2018, net available general revenues totaled $1.908 billion, up 6.4% or $114.6 million from a year ago, which is $57.5 million or 3.1% ahead of the state's forecast. On a monthly basis, general revenue collections were $435.4 million, which is 5% or $20.9 million above year ago levels and $24.1 million or 5.9% above forecast.
Yearly gross general collections, a broader economic indicator that includes collections from all available categories, increased by $87 million to $2.166 billion, up nearly 4.2% compared with the same period of fiscal 2018, and $33.9 million or 1.6% above the general forecast.
The stable October revenue report comes as Arkansas legislators conduct joint budget hearings at the State Capitol ahead of the upcoming legislative session that begins in mid-January. Gov. Asa Hutchinson is expected to release details of his fiscal 2020 revenue and budget plan on Nov. 14, with tax cuts and reform, higher teacher salaries and government downsizing as key priorities in his agenda.
Gov. Hutchinson said the upward trend bodes well for boosting teacher pay.
"The October revenue report shows we have exceeded our revenue forecast for four consecutive months. This demonstrates the continued consumer confidence in the Arkansas economy. The fact that both sales tax and individual income tax collections exceed expectations for the year to date puts us in a strong position to boost teacher pay and meet our other priorities in 2019," the governor said in a statement that followed Friday's (Nov. 2) revenue report.
Hutchinson's proposed budget for fiscal year 2019 forecasted net available revenues to reach $5.69 billion, an increase of $237 million or 4.3% above fiscal year 2018. At the end of the biennial fiscal session in March, Hutchinson signed off on a $5.6 billion budget for fiscal 2019, a modest 2.8% increase in general revenues.
Four months ago, Arkansas closed out the year with a surplus of $41.7 million. That trend of strong, across-the-board tax collections has continued into the 2019 fiscal year, said Shelnutt. With only two months before the 2019 session begins, the DFA economist said there will likely be extra revenue to consider once the 92nd General Assembly convenes.
"The year-to-date (YTD) position of $57.5 million above forecast after four months gives us some cushion going forward in FY 2019 to deal with volatility or other unexpected events in corporate income tax filings and the next Individual Income tax filing season starting in late January through the April filing deadline," said the state chief economic forecaster.
Shelnutt said two components of the monthly revenue report – payroll withholding and sales tax revenue – are the "main economic story indicators" in fiscal 2019. On the rising number of Arkansas workers on state payrolls, Shelnutt called the two-month growth rate of 5.6% in September and October a "peak-of-cycle type performance in comparison to the best years of past economic cycles in past decades." He said the growth in in sale tax revenues was in line with robust income growth.
"The concurrent gains in consumer- and business-oriented sectors of sales tax are interesting but limited at this point for making significant conclusions about the breadth of this expansion," he said.
Statewide, general revenues are primarily driven by individual and corporate income tax collections, sales taxes and other tax collections by the state. Among the major categories, Shelnutt said individual income tax collections were slightly lower primarily due to payroll timing differences.
Besides the strong general revenue collections for the month, gross monthly revenues grew by $9.4 million to $510 million, which is 1.9% compared to year ago results. October income tax collections totaled $252.4 million, as noted, were down $2 million or 0.1% from a year ago and $3.7 million or 1.5% above forecast. Corporate income tax collections totaled $21.4 million, an increase of $100,000 million from a year ago and $1.5 million or -6.5% below forecast.
Sales and use tax collections, another key revenue component, rose to $199.7 million, which is $8.8 million or 4.6% ahead of October 2018. Collections, however, were $2.4 million or 1.2% below projections due in part to lower utility tax inflows, state budget forecasters said.
Year-to-date, individual income tax collections rose $35.5 million or 3.6% to $1,019 billion from a year ago, which is $13.4 million or 1.3% above forecast. Sales and use tax revenue for fiscal 2019 grew to $828.9 million, up $38.6 million or 4.9% from a year ago and fractionally above forecast.
Alcoholic beverage
July-October 2019: $19.4 million
July-October 2018: $19 million
Games of skill
July-October 2019: $22.1 million
July-October 2018: $20.7 million
July-October 2019: $74.5 million
July-October 2018: $74.5 million
July-October 2019: $23.1 million
July-October 2018: $22.3 million


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As any developer who dives into a project quickly realizes, there is a difference between understanding a framework or a library or even a programming language and knowing the best way to put those tools to work to create an application. This chapter provides some common tips for creating components and structuring an application with Flex 3, the Flex Builder IDE, and the Flash CS3 IDE. These recipes run the gamut—from tips to help you develop a component to structure an application, to using the Cairngorm framework. Although some recipes cover items within the Flex SDK (such as the Flex Component Kit), most focus on how to integrate the Flash IDE and other tools to help you develop components, or how to use other frameworks (such as PureMVC and the Cairngorm framework) to help you develop applications.
You want to integrate content from the Flash IDE into your Flex application
Install the Flex Component Kit into the Flash CS3 IDE. Then create a symbol and convert it into a component by using the Convert to Flex Component command. Publish the movie as a SWC file and add it to a Flex project.
You can load Flash content into a Flex application by using
SWFLoader class or
flash.loader class. After these
objects are loaded into the application, however, you can far more
easily control them by using the Flex Component Kit. The Flex Component Kit extension simplifies the ...
No credit card required

subset: commoncrawl


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art educational maze puzzles
home > fun puzzles > the einstein quiz
The Einstein Quiz
Maze puzzle of Baker Library, Dartmouth College, where Einstein once spoke.
Einstein allegedly said that 98% of people in the world cannot solve the following puzzle. And Einstein was usually right (that's why he's Einstein.) There is some controversy whether Einstein himself actually created this puzzle, but in any event it has now become known as the "Einstein Quiz" all over the internet. Here it is:
Can you determine who keeps fish?
Can You Solve the Einstein Quiz?
It looks complicated, doesn't it? If you can't figure it out, try searching on google for the "Einstein Quiz" and see how other people have solved it.
But watch out: Einstein was right, most people can't solve the puzzle correctly. In fact, when I first posted this in 2004 I could not find any reference to what I consider the correct solution to the Einstein Quiz anywhere on the web. Here is the real answer to the Einstein Quiz (warning: spoiler)
What People are Saying
THANK YOU sooooooo much for sharing your mazes. My art students get more acquainted with artworks while they make an effort to solve the maze. The kids love these!"
—Stephanie, Grosse Pointe
You can win a free book. It's true.
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text: ALUMNI NEWS Columbia Winemakers Collective's Top Picks for Thanksgiving By Ken Catandella November 16, 2018 Want to add a little Lion to your Turkey Day? The CAA's Ken Catandella, founder of the Columbia Alumni Winemakers Collective, curated a list of wines—made or distributed by your fellow alumni—that are sure to brighten your holiday and satisfy your palate. Read on, and don't miss out on upcoming Winemakers Collective news and events! Follow the group on Facebook and Instagram. ------- Whites 2017 Cannonball Sauvignon Blanc (Yoav Gilat '06BUS; Founder and CEO: Share a Splash Wine Co.) 2016 13th and Third "Lily" (Julie Rothberg '01BUS; Director of Fine Wine Portfolio: Deutsch Family Wine & Spirits) 2017 Le Mistral Viognier (Greg Ahn '05BUS; President & CEO: Folktale Winery and Vineyards) Reds 2015 Tres Sabores Zinfandel Rutherford Estates (Julie Johnson '79NRS; owner: Tres Sabores) 2014 Fogline Old Vine Zinfandel "Mattei Road" (Brent Bessire '91CC; co-owner: Fogline Vineyards) 2015 Mistral "Joseph's Blend" (Greg Ahn '05BUS; President & CEO: Folktale Winery and Vineyards)2015 Maison L'Envoyé Fleurie Beaujolais Cru (Mark Tarlov '77LAW; Founder: Maison L'Envoyé) Rosés 2017 Angels & Cowboys Rosé (Yoav Gilat '06BUS; Founder and CEO: Share a Splash Wine Co.)2017 Tres Sabores "Ingrid & Julia" (Julie Johnson '79NRS; owner: Tres Sabores) Sparkling Altaneve Prosecco (David Noto '11BUS; Owner: Altaneve)NV Alit Grand Cru Champagne (Mark Tarlov '77LAW; Founder: Maison L'Envoyé) Post "Turkey Trot" Cans The Drop Red, White and Rosé (Alexis Beechen '15BUS; Co-founder and CEO: The Drop Wine)


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Author Archives: Ken Krause
Fixing Timing Problems In Live Hitting
Tell me if you've seen (or personally experienced) this before. A hitter looks great on the tee. All her mechanics are correct and her movements are correctly sequenced. She's pounding the ball so hard you're afraid it's going to break the back of the cage.
Then you move her into a live hitting situation – doesn't have to be a full pitch, it could be easy front toss from a short distance – and suddenly that potential game-winning swing all falls apart.
Instead of driving the ball, the hitter is popping up, especially to the opposite field, or hitting weak dribblers back to the pitcher. What the heck happened?
Odds are she's late getting to the bat to the ball. And no matter how soon she starts, she continues to be late.
You've probably heard it said on many occasions that hitting is all about timing. Well, that's true, but not always in the way you think.
It's not just about the start time. It's really about where the hitter's front foot is when it's time to swing.
The front foot landing should be the trigger for the swing (i.e., the launch of the hips) to begin. Which means it has to be down on time. If it's not, there's no time to execute the rest of the swing and what you'll end up with is essentially an arm swing, with the body following afterwards.
Ok, you understand this can help when the hitter doesn't get going on time. But your hitter, if anything, was early and yet she still was behind the actual pitch.
I call this syndrome "early to be late." What happens is the hitter sees the pitcher go into her motion and she begins her load. Then she realizes she started too early, so she stays back in the loaded position and waits for the pitcher to release the ball.
At that point it's game over, advantage pitcher. There is simply not going to be enough time to stride/weight shift properly, launch the hips (without the shoulders), turn the shoulders, and bring the bat to the ball.
Getting stuck on the back side during the load is deadly to hitters. What they need to do instead is "bounce off" of it. In other words, they need to "load and go" right away rather than sitting and waiting for the pitch to be thrown.
Ideally, they will adjust their start time to make that happen. But if they can't break the habit of being early they should learn to eat up the time difference by striding/weight shifting slower to be sure the front foot is down on time so the rest of the swing can be executed.
I've personally seen the difference this seemingly slight change makes. Rather than struggling to get to the ball (and feeling overwhelmed, which leads to arm swings), hitters suddenly feel more in command.
They get to that "oh yeah moment," where the ball looks like a beach ball and they're ready to jump on it, more consistently. And avoid that "oh crap moment" where they realize right before the swing that nothing good is going to happen.
How do you get there? Same way you get to Carnegie Hall.
Ok, seriously, hitters have to train themselves to overcome their basic instincts to wait on the pitch and start striding/weight shifting, even if they feel like it's too soon. Once they can get to that point, and see the results, they'll be more inclined to replace the old habit with a new one.
On the tee, or even at home in a bedroom, have hitters consciously work on their "load and go" mindset. Then do front toss and look for that hesitation.
If they still can't break the habit, stand in front of them without the ball and go through the motion, encouraging them to get off that back side and start their forward movement at the right time. Then go back to front toss, and finally to full-length pitching.
It may take some time – the mind is a powerful thing, and once it latches onto something it doesn't always like to let go. But sooner or later a willing hitter can overcome it.
Once she does, she'll be well on her way to becoming the hitter she wants to be. And that you want her to be.
Put A Little Swagger In Your Swing
Baseball legend Ted Williams once said that hitting a baseball is the hardest thing to do in sports. I think it's safe to say that not only does that statement extend to fastpitch softball, but it may apply even more given that the actual time to read, react to, and hit a pitch is comparable, but the pitchers stand closer and the ball can move both up and down through the zone (where a baseball is always traveling on a downward plane).
The point here, however, isn't to argue that one is tougher than the other. It's more to acknowledge that they're both extremely difficult (as anyone who has ever done it can attest), which means any given at bat can be both exhilarating and frustrating.
That's the reason why hitters (and their coaches) spend so much time studying the swing, and working on the swing, and sweating all the details. The goal is to create mechanics that enable hitters to get to the ball on time and hit it well and effortlessly when they do make contact.
Yet here's the thing: while better mechanics definitely help you get to the ball more powerfully and efficiently, mechanics alone are not enough. After all, there are no style points in fastpitch softball. A beautiful swing and miss in a game is still a strike. An ugly swing that results in a fair ball no one catches is still a hit.
So yes, it takes more than good (or great) swing mechanics to be a successful hitter. You also have to have the right mental approach – one than enables you to walk to the plate with cool confidence, knowing that you are prepared to win the battle between the pitcher and you. I like to call it the "gunslinger mentality."
And what better example of that mindset is there than Val Kilmer's portrayal of Doc Holliday in the movie Tombstone? In the most tension-ridden situations he brings a sense of cool calm that not only helps him prepare for a possible gunfight but also helps avert the crisis by striking fear into the heart of his adversary.
If you haven't seen the movie (or if you have and just want to enjoy it again), here's a good example of Doc at his "I've got this situation under control" best:
And yes, the man with the rifle really is a very young (and a bit heavier) Billy Bob Thornton.
Here's another fun example:
The movie is filled with them. In each you see that it isn't just his reputed skill with a gun but his attitude that carries the day.
(In reality, incidentally, it's generally believed that while Doc did have a fast draw he wasn't exactly an accurate shot. He also killed far fewer men than he let on, probably so he wouldn't actually have to be tested in a gunfight. But I digress.)
The key takeaway here is the swagger he brings when he walks into a tense situation, like the potential showdown with Johnny Ringo in the second clip. His "I've got this" attitude helps him prepare for whatever comes next.
That's the kind of attitude hitters need to bring to the plate. Rather than worrying about the situation, or how good the pitcher is supposed to be, or whether coaches/parents/teammates will be mad at her if she fails, or any of the other doubts that can creep in when one steps into the batter's box, hitters instead need to believe in themselves and their abilities.
If they've put in the work to develop their swings and learn how to see the ball well, it's not them who should be worried. It's the other team.
If you know (or are) a hitter who's great in the cage but struggles in games, I recommend watching Tombstone, or at least the Doc Holliday clips on YouTube, to see what cool confidence looks like. (The whole movie is great, even if you don't particularly care for Westerns, so it will be time well spent.)
Then encourage them to adopt a similar attitude as they step into the batter's box. Stare down that pitcher. Give her a little smile. And finally, swing like they have everything under control. You'll be amazed at the difference a little swagger can make.
5 Common Softball Injuries & How to Prevent Them
Guest post by Chris Salise
Everyone likes a good game of fastpitch softball, but no one likes to be taken out of it prematurely due to an avoidable injury. Unfortunately, whether it's due to improper stretching and calisthenics, or faulty equipment, too many people find themselves laid up before they can round the corner to home.
Don't let it happen to you. What follows is a list of the 5 most common softball injuries and how to avoid them. A little preparation and a good dose of common sense are all you need to keep you in the game and playing at your best.
Tendinitis is most commonly associated with wrist injuries, but in its most literal form, it's simply an inflammation of a tendon. This means that pretty much any part of your body where bones connect to muscles is vulnerable to tendinitis. For softball players, that mostly means the wrist, shoulder, and elbow.
Tendinitis can most easily be avoided by doing the proper stretches before a game. Increasing the endurance of your muscles through strength training can also lower the odds of straining your tendons. But in both cases, make sure you're doing your exercises in proper form—stretching and lifting out of whack can cause tendinitis all by itself!
Ankle Sprains
Ankle sprains are annoyingly common and a big risk for softball players. This is because whether you're running the bases or trying to catch a pop fly, softball requires a lot of sudden stops and starts in your lower extremities. This puts sudden strain and weight on your ankle joints and can cause them to buckle without warning.
It may surprise you to learn that one of the main causes of ankle sprains in softball, however, is sliding into bases. As such, observing proper sliding techniques can heavily decrease your chances of spraining your ankle. And, of course, don't forget to stretch!
Rotator Cuff Injuries
The rotator cuff is a series of muscles between the shoulder blade and the upper arm bone. Injuries to this part of the arm are common in fastpitch softball players because the overhand throwing motion puts a lot of stress and pressure here. Most rotator cuff injuries are one-time deals, but they can chronically weaken your shoulder if not treated properly.
To avoid these types of injuries, it's important to learn and maintain good form, warm up before each game, and always make time for rest and recovery between sessions. Good conditioning is also essential, so don't neglect your exercise, training, and practice. These simple habits won't just help prevent shoulder injuries; they'll improve your game as well!
Hamstring Injuries
Hamstring tears are already pretty common among the general population, but even more so for sports players and especially softball athletes. If you're dehydrated, if you don't stretch properly or if you're wearing shoes that aren't catered to the shape of your feet, all of these will contribute to the chances of you tearing a hamstring before you even make it to first.
Besides keeping hydrated and stretching, a big help for reducing the chances of tearing your hamstring is to make sure both your hamstring and quadriceps have the same level of strength. Ensuring that each part of your leg is as strong as the other will make it so that one muscle doesn't have to take on more of a burden than the other. You don't know how right they are when they tell you not to skip leg day at the gym!
ACL Tears
These thankfully aren't quite as common in softball as in sports such as soccer, volleyball, and basketball, but they do tend to occur more frequently in female athletes than their male counterparts, largely due to differences in the angle at which the hips connect to the thigh bones (aka Q angle). Still, they can be terrible to deal with when they do happen.
Tears in your ACL most often occur when you rapidly shift directions while running. These injuries are extremely painful and can cause long-term damage.
You can help prevent ACL tears by training with plyometric exercises to get your body more used to bursts of activity. It's also a good idea to train with a wobble board to improve your balance. Endurance and coordination are the keys to not falling prey to an ACL injury.
You also might want to avoid injury by taking shorter practice sessions and making sure your goals and exercises are evenly paced. Softball injuries happen all the time, but they don't have to be a fact of life.
Chris Scalise is a freelance writer and fitness enthusiast from Los Angeles, California who writes about sports and health topics for a wide range of publications and brands, including SportsBraces.com.
Eating the Elephant
A question I will often pose to my fastpitch softball students is "How do you eat an elephant?" Regardless of age, the first time they hear it they tend to look at me as if I have completely lost my mind.
The correct answer, of course, is "One bite at a time."* That's a critical lesson for anyone trying to learn a new skill, or even make improvements to existing skills.
What it means in realistic terms is you don't have to learn (or master) the skill all in one big gulp. You're far more likely to have success (and far less likely to give up too soon) if you give yourself permission to learn whatever you're trying to learn a little bit at a time.
This is particularly true of complex skills such as hitting and pitching that have a lot of moving parts. Trying to learn all the mechanics (or fix all the problems) at once is going to be extremely difficult if not impossible. Our brains simply don't function that way.
But breaking the skill into smaller components, prioritizing them so you know what to work on first, and then focusing on each of those areas in order will enable you to create a progression where success builds on success.
For example, when I'm working with a new pitching student I like to use a technique called "backward chaining." That's a more sophisticated way of saying you start at the end of the skill and work your way backwards, because if you don't get the end right nothing else you've done up until then matters.
So for pitchers we'll work on starting the ball overhead, palm facing the catcher, bringing the upper arm down until it contacts the ribcage, and pulling the ball through into the release zone so the lower arm whips and the wrist snaps itself. (That's a simplified version of what goes on and what I look for, but will suffice for now.)
Most young pitchers will tend to want to bring the entire arm through at once, get behind the ball too early, and push it through the release zone. Heck, some have even been taught to turn the ball backwards and push it down the back side of the circle, which is definitely what you don't want to do.
So it takes a bit for them to learn to relax and let the arm work in two pieces. That's why we focus on helping them get that feel, because it will serve them well as they get into the full pitch.
But if we tried to do that, plus get a proper launch, plus worry about getting into the right position at each point during the motion, etc. the odds are they wouldn't learn anything. Especially how to whip the ball through.
The other element that enters this discussion, of course, is the impatience of players themselves. It's understandable.
They are growing up in a world where they have instant access to everything – information (via smartphones and the Internet), food (microwave and fast food meals), transportation (no need to walk, we'll drive you!) and so forth. The idea of having to wait for something they want is often foreign to them.
So, they try to eat the elephant like a python – unhinge the jaw and try to swallow it whole.
Again, it doesn't work that way. As a result, realistic expectations have to be set.
They have to understand that doing this drill or taking a couple of lessons here and there won't turn them into instant superstars who are mechanically perfect. Progress will come incrementally. Sometimes in increments so small it's hard to tell it's being made.
But if they keep working at it, the cumulative effect will take hold and eventually that big ol' elephant will be gone.
The lesson for coaches (and parents) is don't try to fix everything at once. It's been tried. It doesn't work.
Focus on one thing at a time, adding each new piece to what you've already done, and you'll save a lot of heartache for you and the player.
For players, the lesson is to be patient and, as Bobby Simpson says, get a little better each day. Remember if you want to walk a mile you just need to start putting one foot in front of the other. Eventually you'll get there.
So grab a fork and dig in! The sooner you get started, the sooner you'll reach your goals.
*Please don't leave me nasty comments. I am not advocating eating, or causing any other harm to, actual elephants. They are beautiful, magnificent creatures. It's simply a metaphor.
The Numbers Don't Always Tell the Whole Story
While I was tooling around on the Internet I came across this video that I thought was worth sharing. While again it isn't specific to fastpitch softball (second week in a row, I know) it tells a great story – and one that is particularly timely these days.
Thanks to the ready access to all sorts of measurement devices, our sport is becoming increasingly obsessed with numbers. I get why that is; in theory, having objective measurements of throwing speeds, ball exit speeds, spin rates, grip strength and a lot of other parameters make it easy to compare one player to another.
Basing decisions on the numbers feels "safe." You take all the personal opinions and favoritism out of it, and just evaluate everyone on the basis of the numbers they produce as measured by the machines.
Unfortunately, the numbers don't always tell the whole story. There's also something to be said for having game sense. For example, player A has a home-to-first time of 2.7 seconds, while player B has a home-to-first time of 3.1 seconds.
The natural conclusion? Player A is more desirable, because her speed will make her the better base runner. What those numbers don't show is that Player A has no idea how to read a pitch, or defense, and take advantage of opportunities while Player B does.
So in an actual game, Player A will run station-to-station very quickly, while Player B will take advantage of a defensive miscue or a fielder who isn't paying attention to take an extra base when the opportunity arises. She also won't run herself into trouble, even if the third based coach is "encouraging" her to. Now which one would you prefer?
A lot of those "game smarts" qualities don't show up in a tryout, because in softball tryouts are primarily about looking at skills. They also don't show up against a stopwatch or a radar gun. But when the game is on the line, again who would you rather have? The pitcher with the highest speed/spin rates, or the pitcher who knows how to get hitters out?
Don't get me wrong. I'm not anti-measurement. Taking those readings is important, especially when measuring a player's progress. There's also something satisfying about achieving a goal you set for yourself, like a pitcher reaching 50 or 60 mph, a runner going home to first in less than 3 seconds, a hitter reaching a new high for bat speed or ball exit speed, etc. But the empirical number itself is not the be-all and end-all of who will add the most value to your team.
Which brings us back to the video, which is well worth watching. It talks about the 2000 NFL draft (some of you now know where this is going, I'm sure, but read on anyway).
There was a lanky, skinny quarterback at the NFL Combine who produced terrible scores. (If you're not familiar with it, the Combine is where they do all these types of speed and performance measurements for football to help teams with their draft selections.)
For example, in the 40 yard dash the kid ran a 5-something. For perspective, between 5 and 5.5 is now considered the norm for an offensive lineman. For a quarterback, it's ugly.
He didn't have great arm strength either – average at best. Not much of a vertical leap. In the video they said it looked like he had never seen a weight room. So pretty much by any measure, this was a guy who wasn't much of a prospect to become a backup in the NFL, much less a starter worth spending a draft choice on. Oh, and by the way, the word was his college team (Michigan) had spent his whole senior year trying to put someone in the lineup who they thought would perform better – probably a better athlete.
Still, the quarterback was hopeful. His wish was to play for his hometown team, the San Francisco 49ers, but they passed on him in the third round to take another player with better numbers. Who it was doesn't matter because that guy was ultimately gone pretty quickly.
Finally, in the sixth round, with the 199th pick, the New England Patriots figured what the heck and selected Tom Brady. You know the rest of the story.
So while the numbers and measurables can tell you some things about a player, they can't tell you everything. If you're a player who maybe doesn't throw the hardest, or hit the farthest, or run the fastest, that's ok.
Accept that you will have to prove yourself in every new situation, embrace the challenge, and get out there and show everyone what you can do. And remember that the two essential qualities a radar gun or a stopwatch or a strength machine can't measure are your smarts and your heart.
Just ask Tom Brady.
Keeping the Joy in Youth Sports
By now I'm sure many of you have seen this video (below) that went viral after last weekend (January 2019 for those reading this much later). It's UCLA gymnast Katelyn Ohashi scoring a perfect 10 on her floor routine during a competition.
If you haven't, stop right now and watch this video. You will be glad you did.
While the sheer athleticism and artistry of her performance are incredible, that's not what drew me to writing about it. After all, this is a fastpitch softball blog, so not much of what she does applies to hitting or throwing a softball.
But if you didn't notice it the first time, go back and watch it again. Only this time watch her face and see how much fun she is having. (And how much fun her teammates seem to be having watching her.)
That is an element that seems to be missing from a lot of youth and school sports these days – fun. Everyone is so focused on winning, and improving their rankings, and securing the almighty scholarship, and all the other things that seem to go with "getting to the next level" that they forget to be in the moment.
That all-consuming drive to win (or for coaches to prove that they're better than everyone else) is a lot of what causes the yelling and screaming that takes place on fields all across the country at every level – even with the youngest players. It's what causes coaches to belittle and humiliate their players in the middle of a game, not to mention the postgame speech.
As I've quoted many times, softball is a game, and games are supposed to be fun. But it's kind of hard to have fun if you're trying your best only to be told you're not good enough, or talented enough, or smart enough, or whatever enough.
And who is someone who knows that feeling all too well? Katelyn Ohashi herself. The other side of this feelgood story is that she almost quit gymnastics entirely.
She was on a path to go to the Olympics, but the pressure from her coaches, and the negativity from fans and observers, simply sucked all of the enjoyment out of it. Fortunately for all of us, getting off the Olympic path, and going to UCLA, helped revitalize her love for her sport, culminating in a gift to all of us.
Studies have shown that the #1 reason players quit youth sports is that it isn't fun anymore. In fact, a poll from the National Youth Sports Alliance says 70 percent quit by age 13 for that very reason.
That doesn't mean practices and games have to be a "birthday party without the cake" as one of my former players once described her high school practice. Working hard toward a common goal with people you value can be fun. Working hard to improve yourself so you can perform better than you did before can be fun.
There is a lot of personal satisfaction in setting a goal and then achieving it.
What's not fun, however, is working hard and never getting on the field. What's not fun is constantly feeling like you need to look over your shoulder because if you make one mistake you're done for the game, and maybe the day.
What's not fun is receiving a constant barrage of criticism over everything you do, even when you're giving your best effort. What's not fun is being embarrassed in front of your friends, teammates, family, etc.
Players need encouragement and support. They need to feel like they can stretch themselves to the edge of their abilities someone constantly coming down on them, even if they fail.
Most importantly, they need the opportunity to get out on the field and try, even if their skills aren't quite as good as the player next to them yet. Because that's the reason they signed up in the first place.
When you think about what participating in a sport should look like, remember this video of Katelyn Ohashi. She is the definition of taking joy in what you're doing. And oh by the way, she was rewarded with an almost impossible to achieve perfect 10 for her efforts.
Then look at your own team. If you're not seeing the same look from everyone there maybe it's time to start thinking about how you can make it the kind of experience everyone there – players, coaches, parents, family, and fans – will cherish forever.
Every Expert Was Once a Beginner
One of the most intimidating things we can do as human beings is start something new. Especially when that something has been around for a while like, say, fastpitch softball.
We look at ourselves and see how ill-prepared we are. Then we look at others and see how much better they are – some are even experts – and we wonder how we're ever going to survive.
The good news we all have to remember is that no matter how great others are at something, every single one of them was once a beginner. Just like us.
Arizona coach Mike Candrea didn't start out with 1,500+ wins. He started with one, and probably felt fortunate to get it.
So if you're a brand new head coach taking a team onto the field for the first time, remember you share that experience with one of the winningest fastpitch softball coaches ever.
If you're a pitcher (or the parent of a pitcher) who is just trying to learn how to get her arms and legs going in the same direction and get the ball over the plate with arcing (or putting anyone around you in danger) take heart. Some of the game's best pitchers ever had their struggles as well.
If you're a hitter who is providing more on-field air conditioning than excitement with her bat, or a fielder who seems like she wouldn't be able to pick up a ground ball in a game even if it had a handle…
Well, you get the idea.
Everyone has to start somewhere. The ones who go places, however, are the ones who don't give up, even when learning takes a little longer, or it feels like others have more natural ability, or have a head start because they started at a younger age.
After all, it isn't where you start the race. It's where you finish that counts.
I remember as a beginning coach thinking how much better I would (hopefully) be in five years, when I had some experience and had learned more. But that thought didn't do my first team much good.
So I buckled down, did the best I could, contributed where I knew things, and just faked the rest.
I was once amazed that other coaches could come up with the drills or explanations i would use. To know so much that you could think that way seemed like a hill too great for me to climb. Now, 800 blog posts and roughly 20 years of coaching later I come up with different ideas all the time.
So to all of you beginners and first-timers out there, I say don't be intimidated. Don't be concerned about your lack of experience, or get overwhelmed thinking about how much you don't know.
Just buckle down, get after it, and remember every expert was once a beginner. But it's only the dedicated beginners who become an expert.
New Year, New You
I know the headline sounds like an ad for a diet product or a health club, but there really is something to taking advantage of the turn of the calendar to start making improvements in our lives.
As humans we tend to like to have a clean break from the old when we start something new. The most obvious example is most people like to take a little time off between the time they end their old jobs and the time they start new ones. That little space in-between, even if it's just a couple of days, helps us decompress and let go of the past so we can focus on the present – and the future.
That's what's often magical about the start of a new year. While in reality it's just another day on the calendar, it feels like the start of something different.
So how can you take advantage of this artificially imposed fresh start? By (dare I say it?) resolving to do one or more things differently this year.
If you're a coach, spend some time studying new techniques or approaches to the game. Challenge yourself by looking into information that conflicts with your current beliefs – especially if you've held those beliefs for a while.
Attend a coaching clinic with an open mind. Watch a current video or read a new book. Not just on fastpitch softball specifically, but also on coaching principles in general. In short, look for ways to be better than you are now.
If you're a player, think about what a great year would be for you, then think about whether you can get there with what you're doing now. A good way to do that is to write a letter to your future self describing the awesome season you just had.
If the season you want to have isn't achievable with your current approach, figure out what you need to change to make it achievable. It could be something as simple as practicing for five more minutes during a session, or finding ways to sneak in an extra 5-10 minutes of practice per week when you can't get to a field.
It could also mean being willing to change something you've been doing for a long time to see if the new way will work better. After all, no one ever created an innovation by continuing to do the same old thing.
If you're a parent, think about how you can be more supportive, both to your player and to the team. Hopefully you're already one who cheers in a positive way. But if you're not sure, maybe set up a video camera and record yourself during your child's next game to see what you think. Would you want to sit next to you? Or be with you on the ride home?
You might even want to do the same for someone else you may know, assuming they would take the information in the spirit it is intended. Learning to relax and enjoy the game makes it a lot more pleasurable for everyone – including the person who usually gets so upset.
You can also try watching a game where you have no stake to see what you think of how the spectators are reacting. The compare that to how you feel during your child's game. It can be an interesting perspective.
One other thing you can do as a parent is to educate yourself on what the latest thinking is regarding various skills and see if that matches up with what your player is being taught. Don't just assume a coach or instructor knows what he/she is doing, or is keeping up with the sport. Learn what to look for so you know whether you're investing your hard-earned money in the best way possible.
It's a new year. Why settle for the same old same old?
Take advantage of the energy that comes with a fresh start and use it to create a new, even better you. Best of luck for the upcoming year!
Practice Doesn't Always Have to Mean Going to a Field or Facility
When someone says "it's time to practice" what's the first thing that springs to mind? For most of us involved in fastpitch softball the answer is probably grabbing some equipment, running out to a field or facility, and then spending the next 30, 60, or more minutes hard at work (as Paige is doing in the photo above).
While that approach is generally a good thing, it also has a downside (doesn't everything?). When we're in that mindset, we tend to think if we can't do those things (get to a field or facility, spend 30-60 minutes) then we are unable to practice. In fact, "practice" kind of becomes an activity unto itself that requires special effort.
That's unfortunate because for some players it could mean going a week or more without making any progress to get better. For others, especially those who are trying to learn new skills, it could even mean they get worse, or regress all the way back to step one.
It doesn't have to be that way, however. Practice doesn't have to involve going somewhere or making a special effort. And it certainly doesn't have to be tied to a set amount of time.
Working on fastpitch softball skills anytime, anywhere, for any length of time can help players get better (or at least maintain their gains) versus doing nothing at all. The key is for players to know what they need to focus on and work those movements.
Take pitching, for example. Perhaps a player is having a tough time learning to relax the arm in the circle so she can whip the hand through at the end. In a full practice session with a catcher, she may be too focused on throwing strikes – double if the catcher is her dad. in that case she may continue to lock out the elbow and "guide" the ball to the plate.
But at home in her bedroom, or standing outside waiting for the bus, or marching through the house she can make arm circles and focus on staying relaxed throughout. No ball, field, facility, or catcher required. Learning to make the proper arm movement will help her know what it feels like when she's actually pitching so she can carry the improvement forward there.
She doesn't need to spend a half hour doing it either. If she takes 5 or 10 minutes it will help. Do that three random times during the day and she'll have put in 15-30 minutes without even realizing it.
The same goes for hitters. Maybe the hitter is having trouble learning to lead with her hips, or is having a problem with barring out her front arm during the swing. She can practice the correct movements wherever she happens to be standing, whenever she has the chance.
The more she makes those movements the more natural they will become – and the easier they will be to execute when she's actually up to bat.
Practicing in small increments may even have some benefits over longer sessions, especially if the longer sessions are focused on one thing. It's similar to block practice v randomized practice.
In block practice you focus on one thing for a long time. With randomized practice you don't linger on a single skill for any length of time. You essentially go from skill to skill. Studies have shown that the skills transfer better in game situations when practice is more randomized, at least in part because you get too used to doing the same thing over and over – an opportunity you don't have in a game.
The other benefit to the shorter sessions in random locations is it lets players concentrate on the specific movements they need to improve on rather than the outcomes of those movements. And as we all know, in the end if you do the right things in the right way the outcomes will take care of themselves.
This isn't to say longer, more formal practice sessions aren't necessary. They absolutely are. But they're not the only way to practice.
Taking advantage of whatever time and space is available is a great way to ensure players continue to improve. And it definitely beats using "I don't have the time/I can't get to the field or gym" as an excuse to do nothing.
Product Review: Jugs Short T Comes Up Big for Working on the Low Pitch
Most fastpitch softball (and baseball for that matter) hitting coaches agree that tee work is one of the most valuable ways hitters can spend their time. By taking the element of a moving ball out of the equation hitters can focus on developing the mechanics that will enable them to hit the ball harder, farther, at better launch angle, and with more consistency rather than simply trying to "make contact."
The typical tee is great for simulating pitches from just above the knees up to the armpits on all but those on the most extreme ends of the height spectrum. But what about those extra low pitches that umpire strike zones sometimes dictate hitters must be able to cover?
Without understanding the adjustments that need to be made on shin-high, or just-below-the-knee pitches, hitters will be more likely to swing over the top of the ball resulting in a sinking line drive or a weak grounder. Which, of course, is exactly the result pitchers (and whoever is calling pitches) are hoping for when they throw it there in the first place.
This is where the Jugs Short T is such a great addition to your hitting toolbox. Built with the same durable construction and materials as the regular Jugs T, which was previously reviewed here, the Short T makes it easy to get quality reps going after those pesky low pitches.
Getting down to it
The advantage of the Short T is that it can go as low as 16 inches off the ground, then extend up to 23 inches. (The standard Jugs T starts at 24 inches high.) That should cover the bottom of the zone (and then some) for just about any hitter.
The base is the same as that used for the standard Jugs T, which means if you're tight on space and don't mind putting in a little extra effort you can carry one base and two tee heights. They also sell a combo kit with both heights if you are so inclined.
The base itself is heavy enough to keep from getting knocked over even by strong hitters who swing under the ball – no need to carry an extra weight around. It also has a convenient carrying handle built in, making it easy to move from a shed, locker, car, etc. to wherever you plan to hit.
The tee section itself is solid enough to hold its height even after repeated use, yet still slides up and down easily. I've had my standard Jugs T for several years now and it holds as well as it did the day I got it – unlike some tees that eventually start sinking the minute you put a ball on them.
You can use it with multiple hitters, day after day, with no worries that it will lose its solid performance over time.
Greater versatility
While the primary reason anyone would purchase the Short T is to work on low pitches, it can also be used to address another issue that is common with fastpitch softball hitters – the desire to stand up straight as they make contact.
Part of that habit, I'm sure, is driven by well-meaning but poorly informed coaches who instruct their hitters to "swing level" or "keep your shoulders level." That's just not how good hitters hit. Instead, they tend to have a shoulder angle that tilts in toward the ball.
Or it could just be that they got into the habit of standing up straight and never learned anything different. No matter the cause, the desire to finish standing up with shoulders level is a problem.
When you think about how little surface of the bat and ball contact each other, even a deviation of an inch – say from starting to stand up, which pulls the bat up – can have a significant effect on the outcome of the swing. Demonstrate you can't hit the low pitch well and you will see a steady diet of dropballs and low fastballs for the rest of the game – especially if you're a big hitter.
A phrase I like to use is "get on it and stay on it." In other words, adjust to the pitch and then stay there. The Jugs Short T helps train that behavior by forcing hitters to go lower and stay down. If they try to stand up as they swing they will either miss completely or just tap the ball.
That's what Grace Bradley, a powerful hitter in her own right, is working on in this video.
She is building a pattern where she can go down and dig the ball out to get the kind of launch angle that helps create her high OPS.
After a few practice swings on the Jugs Short T we switched to front toss and she was digging out even the ankle-high stuff for line drives that move base runners and let her trot rather than sprint around the bases.
That's bad news for pitchers too. Because if they can't throw you high, and they can't throw you low, you're going to be an awfully tough out.
Worth the money
Whether you (or your team if you're a coach) is struggling with the low pitch or you just want to train your hitters to adjust better overall, at $75 to $80 retail the Jugs Short T is a great investment. It will help you create better hitters this year. And for many years to come.


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Honda to launch next fuel cell-powered vehicle in 2015by Ronan Glon
Honda\'s CEO hinted that the hydrogen drivetrain will be linked to an electric motor.
Takanobu Ito, Honda's CEO and president, revealed at a press conference late last week that his company will launch a brand new fuel cell-powered vehicle in 2015 at the earliest.
Designed to be sold in the United States, Europe and Japan, the yet-unnamed car will take the form of a four-door sedan or a big five-door hatchback. It is currently being developed at Honda of America's Research & Development Center in Liberty, Ohio.
Honda has been constantly making improvements to its hydrogen-burning drivetrain since it launched a limited run of the FCX Clarity in 2008. The brand's engineers are taking a close look at the data gathered by the pilot program as they develop the upcoming hydrogen-powered car.
Precise technical details are not currently available but Ito hinted that the hydrogen drivetrain will work in conjunction with at least one electric motor, creating the world's first mass-produced hydrogen-electric hybrid.
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Repaint — exteriors especially — before visible signs of wear appear, Bancroft says. Don't wait until you see peeling or flaking paint. "If I have to spend 40 hours preparing the surface before we can paint, that time is going to result in a lot of extra costs. But if I can spend 10 hours preparing the surfaces to be painted, you're going to save money," Freeman says.
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If you decide to paint multiple rooms in your home, choose colors that relate to one another without being completely the same -- unless uniformity is your goal, of course. Costs may vary based on differences in color, gloss and room size. However, each room will flow depending on the trim's color -- which should all be white or neutral -- so they look connected. A whole-house color scheme presents the same cost factors as painting multiple rooms individually: colors you choose, the gloss, the size of the rooms and time/labor. You can choose to use the same color throughout your entire home to save on money, or you can use a color scheme with the same gloss throughout, though this isn't recommended for selling purposes.
Before we start, you will have to choose your color. If you would like to replicate a color already on your wall, you can use an old can of paint for reference, or you can take a chip to the paint store. We can help you identify the color, the finish, and type of paint with our visualizer tools, and we also offer a Color Consulting Service if you need help coming to a decision.
A textured wall will need more paint than a smooth wall. The texture adds more surface area, even though it doesn't increase square footage. Determining the additional surface area depends on how much texture there is. Painters will probably estimate about 300 to 350 additional square feet of paint to account for texture. Factor additional surface area into your square footage calculations when seeking professional estimates.
Sand the trim with a fine-grit sanding sponge. Sponges get into crevices where sandpaper can't go and let you apply even pressure. Then apply the first coat of paint, let it dry at least 24 hours, lightly sand it again for a completely smooth surface, and apply the second coat. After each sanding, vacuum the trim, then wipe it down with a tack cloth to remove the dust.
Journalist Martin Aston passed on a tape that Mark Eitzel had given to him. Never before or since had I received a demo that was 90 minutes long! In fact, it was quite some time before I actually listened to the whole thing all the way through. Every morning and evening, driving to and from work, I would start at the beginning, "24" (I know, I know, what more do you need to hear, right? What a song.), but only get about half way through that and whatever the second song on the tape was before arriving home/at 4AD. When I finally did listen to the full 90 minutes I called young Mark K. and left him a message. I learned later he was sitting in the bath listening to me talk. It was a perfect time for me to hear that brilliant band.
The speed with which a painter can complete the job will determine its final cost, but time is difficult to estimate. Some painters have more experience and cover a wall faster, but some are more methodical and take more time. Most painters should be able to cover about 100 to 120 square feet of flat surface in an hour, unless they are working on a very large wall. Wood or plaster might reduce that amount to 80 to 100 square feet. You should also consider the time required for a first coat to dry before a second coat may be applied. This will add time as well -- anywhere from one to 48 hours depending on the paint.
4AD would release the best-of package, Retrospective, in July 1999. Kozelek subsequently contributed to the AIDS benefit album The Shanti Project Collection, and organized and appeared on Take Me Home: A Tribute to John Denver, a John Denver tribute album (along with like-minded artists like Bonnie 'Prince' Billy, Low, and The Innocence Mission). He also dabbled in acting, playing small parts in the Cameron Crowe films Almost Famous and Vanilla Sky, as well as appearing more prominently as a rock musician alongside Jason Schwartzman in the 2005 Steve Martin vehicle Shopgirl.[5]
Back to the article. You can add water to all latex based paints / thinner to oil based paint. The tinting base has absolutely nothing to do with it. Say you are working outside and throughout the day you have to add a little water to keep the same consistency. If somebody really tried to add 20% to 50% water they no longer would be painting they'd be performing a whitewash or pickle finish.
When the homeowner is at the point of hiring a painter, they generally will have colors selected or at the very least a color in mind. I always ask for the colors before I bid a job. Dark colors, high sheen colors and specialty finishes require more labor, this drives price. If its not a color change or I'm going over a similar color I give the pricing option of one or two coats. The best advise I can give based on 25 years in the business is to put it all in writing,colors, brands of paint preferred, when the work can be done, who moves furniture and how payment will be handled. I never get up front money. BTW you most definitely get what you pay for with paint. Higher quality products results in and better looking job. Don't be a cheapskate when it comes to paint or the painting contractor.
When coverage is difficult to estimate, add more rather than less when doing DIY wall painting. You can always pour the leftover back into cans. For large jobs, use the bucket and a roller screen rather than a roller tray. It's much faster to load your roller with the screen than to use a roller pan. Simply dunk the roller into the paint bucket, then roll it along the screen until it stops dripping.
To solidify this response, we have been in business for over 30 years as a painting contractor. We didn't just paint a couple of houses 25 or 30 years ago, we paint approximately 900-1000 painting jobs per year and operate with 40 professional painters doing commercial, residential and industrial painting. This article on behalf of Angie's List is totally asinine! I was under the impression Angie's List was only carrying "legitimate" contractors with established reputations. This article written is primarily referring to bottom feeding, one man band operations, trying to hustle for a paycheck.
This is an area that interior painters can easily cut short to save time. Most contracts don't state the extent of the wall repairs included, so it's up to the painter's discretion how much they will do. If it seems like too much work, they'll usually point out the repairs but don't include it in the bid. They'll then ask you if you'd like it fixed after they start your project and let you know how much more it will cost.
Day-to-day tasks can consume too much time when there is little or no automation. Countless cloud-based productivity tools are available to streamline and automate your tasks. These tools can usually be put into place with little disruption to your current practices. Ultimately, integrating new automation tools will increase productivity and help you make the most […]
Your home is your most important asset and maintaining it is vital in upholding and increasing its value. As a full-service painting company, Home Works Painting will provide you with a superior professional painting experience. Our services include interior/exterior painting, drywall repair/installation, wood replacement, pressure washing, and color consulting. We stand behind our work by offering a six year warranty.
This was very helpful. I wonder if i would really follow through and check to see if my painter was cheating me. I used a painter I found on Angie's List. This was 5 years ago. He did a great job. I know he did patching only for about a day and a half. We decided on the kind of paint before he started. that is what he used. I don't know if I could stay on top of him and watch him open every can of paint.
A fresh coat of paint makes everything it touches seem brand new. But such new beginnings cost real money. Professional painters charge around $4,000 for labor and materials to paint the exterior of a 2,500-square-foot, two-story home and roughly $5,500 for the interior. Painters' rates may range from $20 to $60 an hour, but around $40 is typical in urban areas.
This article with comments was terrific - it was so informative. I found the advice useful. It addressed specifics like the condition of the dry wall surfaces, any additional repairs such. pin holes, chalking, smoothing of wall surfaces, absorption of paint and number of coats that may be needed. It should also include insurance coverage, and reflect the clean-up afterwards. Having a written contract with the company's letterhead is a must.


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text:
Moore, M.V. (1996) Letter. Improving the detection of psychological disorders. British Journal of General Practice, 46 (413), 755-756. (PMID:8995865)
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By Richard A. Lippa
Publish 12 months note: initially released in 2001 (first edition)
This attractive textual content offers the most recent medical findings on gender alterations, similarities, and variations--in sexuality, cognitive skills, occupational personal tastes, character, and social behaviors. The impression of nature and nurture on gender is tested from the views of genetics, molecular biology, evolutionary thought, neuroanatomy, sociology, and psychology. the result's a balanced, fair-minded synthesis of numerous issues of view. Dr. Lippa's textual content sympathetically summarizes either side of the nature-nurture debate, and in a witty imagined dialog among a personified "nature" and "nurture," he identifies weaknesses within the arguments provided through either side. His evaluation defines gender, summarizes study on gender adjustments, examines the character of masculinity and femininity, describes theories of gender, and provides a "cascade model," which argues that nature and nurture weave jointly to shape the advanced tapestry referred to as gender.
Gender, Nature, and Nurture, moment Edition features:
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• new sections on non-hormonal direct genetic results on sexual differentiation; hormones and maternal habit; and on gender, paintings, and pay; and
• multiplied money owed of intercourse transformations in children's play and job degrees; social studying theories of gender, and social constructionist perspectives of gender.
This full of life "primer" is a perfect e-book for classes on gender stories, the psychology of ladies, or of fellows, and gender roles. Its wealth of up-to-date details will stimulate the pro reader, and its obtainable type will captivate the scholar and basic reader.
Read Online or Download Gender, Nature, and Nurture (2nd Edition) PDF
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Additional info for Gender, Nature, and Nurture (2nd Edition)
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How much more fruitful and meaningful my work would have been. I was groping for feminist theories in order to make sense of, structure, simply HOLD the ideas struggling in my head. If my recollection is right, it simply was not on the agenda. My MA was written and taught by men. I do not recall feminism—or even women writers —being discussed at all. I may, of course, be mistaken in this recollection. I am sure that other MA students at the university were engaging with feminist theory. Somehow we simply did not connect.
Eds) Gender and Stratification, Cambridge, Polity. LYNCH, KATHLEEN (1995) 'The Limits of Liberalism for the Promotion of Equality in Education', keynote address at the Association for Teacher Education in Europe 20th Annual Conference, Oslo, 3–8 September. LYNCH, KATHLEEN and O'NEILL, CATHLEEN (1994) The Colonisation of Social Class in Education', British Journal of Sociology of Education, 15, 3, pp. 307–24. OPPENHEIM, CAREY and HARKER, L. (1996) Poverty: The Facts, London, Child Poverty Action Group.
191) Kathleen Casey writes that for the black child to become educated is 'to contradict the whole system of racist signification' (Casey, 1993, p. 123). In the same way to become educated as a working-class person is to refute the whole system of class signification. However, as Scates asserts, it is a far more contradictory and compromising process. Casey writes that 'to succeed at studying "white" knowledge is to undo the system itself, to refute its (re) production of black inferiority materially and symbolically'.


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Jim Cramer and Larry Summers are wrong.
Cramer, Summers, and the mainstream media, are telling us that what has happened in Japan is good for their economy, good for the world economy. Cramer said on CNBC:
This is the largest economic stimulus that we have come across. And while Japan obviously has a lot of debt, and we know that the Japanese balance sheet is the worst, they will come up with ways to be able to rebuild this country. And they are going to have to use all the coal, all the excess natural gas, all the excess wood, aluminum, metals, that's out there. Because they have to rebuild and rebuilt fast. So, you know, again, terrible tragedy, but they're going to rebuild, and rebuild with mostly American materials.
He gave us this insight as well:
If you're assuming it will take the Japanese ages to recover from this disaster, I think you are severely underrating their ability to bounce back quickly.
This week, Michael Semblas, the terrific Chief Investment Officer at J.P. Morgan came out with a great note about the power of reconstruction. He quoted philosopher, John Stuart Mill, saying, "What has so often excited wonder is the great rapidity with which countries recover from a state of devastation. The disappearance in a short time of all traces of mischief done by earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, and the ravages of war. An enemy lays waste a country by fire and sword, and destroys or carries away nearly all removable wealth existing in it. All the inhabitants are ruined. And yet, in a few years, everything is much as it was before." And Mill was saying that in 1844, before we had modern technology to help us get back on our feet… or sell programs to knock stocks down either.
Bam. Get long. It's all good again. "BUY BUY BUY".
Larry Summers, President Emeritus of Harvard University, tells us:
This is a human tragedy for the people who have lost their lives…and we need to recognize that is the most profound and important thing about an event like this. If you look, this will clearly add complexity to Japan's challenge of economic recovery. It may lead to temporary increments, ironically, to GDP, as a process of rebuilding takes place.
To Maria Bartiromo, he said:
I think this eventually will be, ironically, stimulative for their economy. In the short term, yes, there is great destruction of wealth. But if you go back and look at great natural disasters, earthquakes, hurricanes, if they are severe enough, you actually do get rebuilding, which ironically does help the economy.
Again – this loss of life and destruction of capital is a good thing, economically, of course. Because they know that its a tragedy. That will create profit. But only if they are severe enough. Imagine how great Godzilla would be for their economy!
This is illogical.
So in response to Cramer's and John Stuart Mill's excited wonder, I offer the
philosopher economist Bastiat and the Fallacy of the Broken Window:
Have you ever witnessed the anger of the good shopkeeper, James Goodfellow, when his careless son happened to break a pane of glass? If you have been present at such a scene, you will most assuredly bear witness to the fact that every one of the spectators, were there even thirty of them, by common consent apparently, offered the unfortunate owner this invariable consolation—"It is an ill wind that blows nobody good. Everybody must live, and what would become of the glaziers if panes of glass were never broken?"
Now, this form of condolence contains an entire theory, which it will be well to show up in this simple case, seeing that it is precisely the same as that which, unhappily, regulates the greater part of our economical institutions.
Suppose it cost six francs to repair the damage, and you say that the accident brings six francs to the glazier's trade—that it encourages that trade to the amount of six francs—I grant it; I have not a word to say against it; you reason justly. The glazier comes, performs his task, receives his six francs, rubs his hands, and, in his heart, blesses the careless child. All this is that which is seen.
But if, on the other hand, you come to the conclusion, as is too often the case, that it is a good thing to break windows, that it causes money to circulate, and that the encouragement of industry in general will be the result of it, you will oblige me to call out, "Stop there! Your theory is confined to that which is seen; it takes no account of that which is not seen." It is not seen that as our shopkeeper has spent six francs upon one thing, he cannot spend them upon another.
It is not seen that if he had not had a window to replace, he would, perhaps, have replaced his old shoes, or added another book to his library. In short, he would have employed his six francs in some way, which this accident has prevented.
According to Cramer and Summers, we can make money and improve the economy by randomly destroying our goods and capital. Bulldoze a home. Level an office building. Trash Cramer's television studio.
But alas, we can not be so lucky.
Destruction is never a boon for economic growth. You are taking capital and savings away from what could have been new production, new innovation, and using it to replace things that you already had.
So if we were to follow this logic, a the best thing a homeowner could do would be to bulldoze his own home. Because you will have to rebuild it, and that will spur productivity. But all he will have, is a home. Which he already had. But it will have taken him time and money to restore what was already in place.
If it is illogical for the individual, then it must be illogical for society. Because society is the collection of individuals.
Larry Summers is the President of Harvard. Jim Cramer has the prime time show Mad Money on CNBC. Do people listen to them because they analyze situations, and conclude things we cannot conclude? How does breaking things make us better off? It is this fancy think that bamboozles and awe's the public. Harvard. CNBC. Credentials. They must be smarter than me. As they twist and contort, the public gets lost. And becomes deceived. Either they are stupid or they are liars. But they are not reliable.
Less optimistic, I realize, but here are some facts about Japan:
- Current death toll is 7,300 people with nearly 11,000 others missing (as of 3.19.2011). This means there are fewer in the work force.
- A quarter of Japan's population is over 65 years old, and the elderly "bore the brunt of the initial impact of the quake and tsunami, with many of them unable to flee to higher ground."
- The nuclear power plant is not contained, let alone fixed. There are radioactive plumes in the air, headed towards Tokyo, reaching the west coast of the US. We don't know the extent of the problem even now. What are the long term health consequences of this?
- Japan's Debt to GDP is 196.40%
- Japan as a nation is the second largest owner of US Treasury debt (after China.) They own $885.9 billion of US debt, or 19.9% of our total outstanding debt.
- The BOJ offered a combined 15 trillion yen ($183 billion) into the banking system on Monday March 14.
- An additional 3 trillion yen ($36.6 billion) will be used to buy government bonds. This is Quantitative Easing.
- BOJ will underwrite a ¥10 trillion in earthquake recovery bonds. More debt.
- Congressional Budget Office Projects $9.5 Trillion In Deficits By 2021, $2.3 Trillion More Than Obama's Estimate. And we will borrow from who, Japan?
- Japan is selling US bonds, and selling our dollars to repatriate their capital to Yen. This is bearish for US bonds, which would be bullish for interest rates. Isn't keeping interest rates low the objective of the Federal Reserve and Ben Bernanke with Quantitative Easing 2?
- The printing of additional yen, the buying of their own debt, the issuance of more "eqrthquake recovery" bonds, are all inflationary. This means that commodity prices will continue to rise. This will impair Japan's ability to recover.
But according to Cramer and Summers, the Japanese Earthquake = WINNING. "Duh, it's how you perceive it."
Except, it's really what you would think: earthquake = losing. Japan, the United States, and the world are much, much worse off.
Even if the Charlie Sheens of economics tell us otherwise.