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From the heart of Washington wine country, in tough times, we continue the search for good, inexpensive wines.
For this month's Five Under Fifteen, I thought I would write a bit about labels. For many, wine is as much about what is on the outside of the bottle as what is inside it. This is especially true for wines in the value category. Wineries look for a variety of ways to catch people's attention with label design. However, what I am always interested to see is what wineries put on the back label. Many wineries use the back of the bottle to try to express something about the wine or the winery. Here are a few examples of different types of back-of-bottle approaches from this month's wines.
The first wine comes from L'Ecole No. 41. L'Ecole is located in Lowden, Washington, a short distance from Walla Walla. The winery building is iconic, located in a 1915 schoolhouse whose image adorns their labels. The wine sampled here is a 2009 Chenin Blanc from Willard Family Farms in the Rattlesnake Hills. I picked up a bottle of this wine at the winery on the way in to Walla Walla for Spring Release yesterday. This is a delicious wine that offers excellent value at this price point. The back of the 2009 Chenin Blanc reads: "L'Ecole No. 41 has been producing premium varietal wines in the Walla Walla Valley since 1983 in the cellars of the historic Frenchtown School depicted on our label. 'Walla Voila' is a trademark of L'Ecole No. 41 and captures the fresh and frivolous character of this tart, lightly sweet and delightfully fruity Chenin Blanc."
The next wine comes from the NW Vine Project (NWVineProject.com is listed on the bottle, although the website was not active when I checked). This is a collection of value priced wines made for an Oregon distributor by an top-notch group of winemakers including David O'Reilly (Owen Roe), Andrew Rich (Andrew Rich Wines), and James Mantone (Syncline). This wine, the 2008 Red Splendor, is a Mourvedre, Grenache, and Syrah blend. The wine is made by Rich, using fruit from the Horse Heaven Hills although the wine is labeled Columbia Valley.
The Red Splendor bottle contains an elaborate description which runs diagonally along the side of the label. This description reads: "This great jewel, blessed with the wisdom of the ages and the splendors of the Northwest is made from grapes well endowed to the point of obscene. Born from the tumult of volcanic eruptions of the Cascade Range and the great Missoula floods of 15,000 years ago as the last ice age ended, bringing unimaginable walls of water and a largish chunk of Montana to the Pacific Northwest, carving out the Columbia Gorge, and with a massive surge of water and glacier and earth, blanketing the Willamette Valley with microscopic magnificence, and, pacified only by the vastness of the ocean, melted, perhaps with the very concept of what had been done. My Lord, do you know what you hold in your hand?" It goes on to say a "A full-bodied Columbia Valley Red Wine." Wow!
The next wine comes from Charles Smith who also makes K Vintners and Magnificent Wine Company wines. This wine is part of Smith's 'Modernist project.' The goal is to create wines made for immediate consumption that still show both typicity and location. The 2009 Kung Fu Girl Riesling hails from Evergreen Vineyard, which is located in a region currently seeking American Viticultural Area (AVA) status. The back of the bottle of the Kung Fu Girl Riesling reads simply, "Land to Hand. Vineyard to bottle." It also contains a picture of a rice bowl with chopsticks. This wine was our April Virtual tasting wine. Several people on Twitter noted very tiny bubbles in the wine. I did not. Overall, I found this to be a very enjoyable wine although not quite as impressive as the previous vintage.
Olsen Estates is a family winery located in Prosser, Washington. Olsen Estates makes a wide variety of wines across a range of price points. Their 2007 Heritage wine was the runner-up in our 2009 Reader Survey Wine of the Year. Their 2007 Chardonnay and Petit Verdot were among my favorite wines from last year. This is Olsen Estates' entry-level red wine. The back of the Olsen Estates bottle reads, "From bud break to bottle, our Vineyard Manager and Winemaker work closely together to produce wines that reflect the terroir of carefully chosen sites our family has planted, best suited for each varietal. Perfect climate and ideal soils combined with sustainable viticulture and careful monitoring in the cellar produce distinctive varietal characters in each of our wines."
Next is a Haystack Needle wine made by Clubhouse Cellars. The following is on the back label. "Haystack Needle…Treasures lost…and Found! Great overlooked wines at prices you'll love. It takes a lot of searching…but it's Worth It!"
While I have enjoyed some of the previous offerings from the Haystack Needle line, I found this wine to be subpar. While not technically flawed, I am unable to give it a dot ('.') rating as it is not representative of other solidly made wines in this category. I am therefore listing the wine with a rating of minus ('-') and amending my rating system to include this wine and similar wines as either 'Flawed' or 'Not Recommended.' Subsequent wines will be listed as 'Flawed/Not Recommended.'
L'Ecole No. 41 Chenin Blanc Columbia Valley 2009 $14
Rating: * (Excellent) Light lemon yellow in color. A very pretty, aromatic nose with honeysuckle, mineral, straw, and floral notes. The palate brings a lot of fruit while remaining very crisp with a slight citric tinge and a touch of sweetness toward the finish. 100% Chenin Blanc. Willard Family Farms, Rattlesnake Hills. 13.5% alcohol. 1% Residual Sugar. 2,536 cases produced.
NW Vine Project Red Splendor Columbia Valley 2008 $13
Rating: + (Good) A fun, appealing nose with some funk (in a good way), lots of white pepper, blueberries, and light floral notes. On the palate, flows evenly with restrained, tart fruit. Finish has a slight bite on an otherwise enjoyable wine with a great nose. A bit lean by itself but pairs well with food. 44% Mourvedre, 36% Syrah, and 20% Grenache. 14.1% alcohol.
Charles Smith Kung Fu Girl Riesling Washington State 2009 $13
Rating: + (Good) Very pale lemon yellow. A pleasing nose with a cornucopia of fruit including apple, melon, and pear. As the wine opens up peaches also emerge. On the palate, a lot of fruit, especially lime, while remaining very dry with a puckering zing of acidity. Finish comes up a bit short on an otherwise very enjoyable wine. Needs food to balance out the acidity. 100% Riesling. Evergreen Vineyard. Aged in stainless steel. 1.41% Residual Sugar. 12.5% alcohol.
Olsen Estates Red Wine Yakima Valley 2007 $10
Rating: . (Decent) Lots of black cherry aromas along with spice, mocha, and wood. Shows a lot of sweet components on the nose as well. Taste is straightforward and pleasant but gets a bit sharp in the middle. 14.2% alcohol.
Clubhouse Cellars Haystack Needle Syrah Columbia Valley NV $10
Rating: - (Flawed/Not Recommended) Volatile aromas, licorice, green notes, and lemon juice along with oak aromas on an off-putting nose. Taste is considerably better but lacks balance. Not flawed but far enough down the scale that I can't list it higher. 13.9% alcohol.
Five Under Fifteen - April
12 comments
But Sean!, how can you contradict what Esquin is promoting, using another's weak wine blog that gave it a glistening "92 Points" with "the finish timed out...at a lazy 28 seconds"?
So many readers expect you to "kiss up the rectum" of wineries that "pay to play" like what goes on with other old-boy wine writer.
Was the coffee that bad? Took a bath in the Yakima River at Mabton? Still holding a grudge against Cayuse's release-date change?
What gives? :P ~Wawineman
Chris Says:
Sean, I've tasted three of these and have a fourth on the way from Paul Z. I thought Olsen's Red Table Wine was a more than decent everyday drinker, maybe I drank it at a different temperature :). They recently were running a sale on cases for $90 (i think); if my cellar wasn't already out of control I would have bought a full case. As it was we tricked them into breaking a case and selling us just a few.
BTW, when was the last time a wine was so bad you changed your rating scale to cover it?
Chris, thanks for the comment. I enjoyed Olsen's Estate Red Wine for $10. I had it on a previous occasion when it show a bit less wood but overall a very solidly made, enjoyable value priced wine. I'd buy it again.
Suffice to say I've used my rating scale for more than seven years without change.
Hi Sean, I picked up the Haystack Needle Syrah from Esquin and found the wine flawed. Obvious VA aromas and undrinkable. I found your review afterward (rats!) and realized it was not just a bad bottle.
I did mention it to Esquin and they indicated they saw your note, retasted and did not find any flaws.
So anyway, there appears to be significant bottle variation here and your note was very helpful.
Hi Tom, Indeed, it looks like there is some significant bottle variation afoot with this wine. I tried two separate bottles from different locations before posting my review. However, a number of people have had good things to say about this wine as well. Very strange. Thanks for the comment and glad to hear the review was helpful.
Steve Says:
I sell the Haystack Needle at our shop in Pike Place and it has been one of the best and most consistent wines in its price range I have ever come across. I think there's a lot of outright snobbery and preconceived perception involved in tasting wines that sell for under $20. It doesn't cost a lot, therefore it HAS to be crap. What facile nonsense. I arranged a tasting of WA Syrah with three wine industry friends and slipped the Haystack into it. All of the other three retail for over $30. The Haystack was the unanimous favorite.
Bottom line is that it's a solid, chewy, well-made WA Syrah for a ridiculously low price. If you don't like the wine, sayso and be done with it but the specious criticisms of it here are, frankly, beneath anyone who approaches wine with ANY objectivity.
Steve, thanks for the comment. I have talked to other people who have found the Haystack Needle Syrah to be an excellent value as well, including a number of people I respect. Unfortunately I did not find this wine to be of acceptable quality. I tried the wine on two different occasions, purchasing it from different locations, out of my own pocket I should add, and found it to be of very low quality. I therefore wrote the above review. I stand by it. I should say that I take no pleasure in writing a negative review of a wine. Additionally, I have no vested interest in writing anything - positive or negative - about a wine.
Regarding your comment about "snobbery and preconceived perception" involving wines under a certain price range, I believe if you spend time reading this blog you will find this comment - at least as it pertains to this space - to be misplaced. I have rated highly and recommended numerous wines in this price range - just not this one. You say, "If you don't like the wine, sayso and be done with it but the specious criticisms of it here are, frankly, beneath anyone who approaches wine with ANY objectivity." I did not like the wine. I did say so. I do not believe there is anything that would qualify as 'specious' or 'beneath anyone' in stating my opinion. Thanks again for your thoughts.
Back for a revisit to one of my favorite reviews...
On occasion, it is imperative that a wine blogger expose a gross underperformer as a public service to steer readers who are comfortable with the author's palate, AWAY FROM a questionable wine that he PAID FOR (twice!).
Those of you who defend that syrah...your palate must suck.
And btw, I don't see you closet-critics blogging regularly about Washington wines, probably cuz your palate really must suck.
I drank the Haystack Needle and found it to smell of Turpentine and with off flavors ,,,I would say more than flawed...when trying it the next day it was even worse...
BTW,,,did you know the Blog writer at the PI online that gave it the high rating...wait for it....is involved with the wine making and is a partial owner....waht better way to make a profit but by lying about your wine!
Anon 8/31, sorry to hear about the bad bottle. I did see that the (unaffiliated) blogger in the PI on-line has done work for the winery. Makes it all the more surprising to see the review of the wine mentioned in wine shops all over town and emailed about.
Olsen Estates Winery is now out of business, They are staying with grape growing . You should see it in stores over the next year plus and they deplete a pretty good size inventory. Link
Anon 1/25/11, was very sad to learn that Olsen Estates was closing. Great people making great wines. I would definitely keep an eye out for the wines as they wind down as they are of very high quality.


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subset: commoncrawl


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cippe - Zhenwei Petroleum Exhibition
March 19 - 21, 2014
Location: Beijing, China
Venue: New China International Exhibition Center
Booth number: W1315E, W12337, W1763
Short description of event:
China International Petroleum & Petrochemical Technology and Equipment Exhibition (cippe), is a regular gathering in petroleum and petrochemical industry. With a magnificent exhibition over 90,000 sqm, cippe Beijing has successfully attracted 1,600 exhibitors from 65 nations and regions, 15 international pavilions and 60,000 professional visitors. cippe has become the largest petroleum exhibition in the world.


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COE Faculty and Staff > Institute for Teacher Education > Ivy Yeung
Ivy Yeung
Program Manager, TTTAP Samoa Project
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2008 BBA International Business, Finance and HRM Shidler College of Business
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2013 MPA Masters in Public Administration College of Social Sciences, UHM
2017 JD (expected) Juris Doctorate William Richardson School of Law
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Ivy Yeung has over eight years of experience on various educational grants as well as expertise in international relations, event planning, human resource management/retention, and Federal/State of Hawaii/UH/RCUH policies and procedures.
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Curriculum Vitae


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Featured News - Current News - Archived News - News Categories
The popular Lewiston Village Pub and Restaurant will soon have a new owner or owners.
Ken Scibetta and Ed Webster, proprietors of the restaurant/bar, released this statement on Facebook Wednesday:
"To Our Wonderful Friends:
"It is with a tremendously heavy heart that we have decided to sell the Lewiston Village Pub; our last day will be Sunday, February 9th, 2014.
"This decision was not an easy one, and came after months of deliberation and reflection. Over the past six years, we have made some incredible memories...from our Cinco de Mayo fiesta with donkeys to Lobsterfest to Wing Night to Club Pub and of course to our favorite and craziest holiday, St. Patrick's Day, it's been a fantastic and crazy ride.
"There are so many memories that can never be replaced. So many of you have been a part of our journey and have seen our growth from a small pub to what is now known as The Pub. We are thankful for our time involved and participation in our community with such organizations as the Lions Club, Kiwanis, Niagara River Region Chamber of Commerce, Lewiston Historical Society, Heart to Heart, Niagara University, Jazzfest and so many other fundraisers throughout the years. We hope you feel that we served you well.
"We will truly miss the Village of Lewiston and the friends and guests who have become like family to us over the years. We are grateful you've allowed us to be part of your lives these many years. However, the support & loyalty of such a close-knit community is what we will miss the most. Lewiston let us realize our dream and for that, we will be forever grateful. We sincerely hope that you will continue our journey with us as we move on to bigger things and we look forward to seeing all of you at the Griffon.
"Stay tuned for future announcements as to the surprise location of our newest endeavor. As one door closes, so many more will open, as this is only the end of one chapter in the novel we call PubLife.
"With our sincerest gratitude and thanks,
"Ken Scibetta and Ed Webster."
The Pub's owners had recently decided to close at 11 p.m. due to difficulties arising from some younger patrons and their interaction with the Lewiston Police Department.
In 2013, Scibetta and Webster opened The Griffon Pub at 2470 Military Road, Niagara Falls. In just a few months, the eatery has netted rave reviews from local and national news outlets. The building formerly housed Auggie's Diner.
In 2007, the duo bought the restaurant business at 840 Center St. It, too, had previous incarnations, most recently as a bar and a pizzeria. On Jan. 19, 2008, Scibetta and Webster opened The Lewiston Village Pub and Wing Company.
The eatery has since morphed into more of a gastropub-meets-fine-dining location.
On Thursday, after 24 hours of reactions to this news, Scibetta said, "I've been in this business 21 years. I have seen hundreds of bars and restaurants close. Never in my career have I seen such an outpouring/amount of support, gratitude, loyalty and press on one restaurant closing. ... It is truly humbling."
Scibetta and Webster are in the process of selling The Pub. Local businessman Jeff Williams owns the building, and will have to approve the new leaseholder. It's not yet known who that person or business is, or if the new management will keep the restaurant name.
Joshua Maloni contributed to this report.


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NEW YORK (Reuters) - A former executive of Bank of America's (>> Bank of America Corp) Countrywide unit told a federal jury on Tuesday that she did not knowingly sell toxic mortgages to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the run-up to the financial crisis.
Rebecca Mairone, a former chief operating officer of Countrywide's Full Spectrum Lending Division, is the lone individual defendant in the lawsuit brought by the U.S. government against the bank, which acquired Countrywide in 2008.
The trial, now in its fourth week in U.S. District Court in Manhattan, is centered on the government's allegations that Countrywide defrauded Fannie Mae (>> Federal National Mortgage Association) and Freddie Mac (>> Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp), the government-sponsored mortgage finance companies, by selling them thousands of defective mortgages. Countrywide sped up approvals to unqualified lenders in a process it called the "high-speed swim lane" (HSSL), or "Hustle."
Mairone, who oversaw the process, is one of only a handful of individual defendants in lawsuits the government has filed against major financial institutions over improper mortgage practices since the housing market meltdown. The Countrywide case is the first such case to reach trial.
At the start of Mairone's testimony, her lawyer, Marc Mukasey, asked a series of questions about whether she had deliberately sold substandard mortgages to Fannie and Freddie.
"No, never," she replied.
She said she believed HSSL would actually improve loan quality and that the company had controls in place to manage risks. Mairone, 46, is now a managing director at JPMorgan Chase & Co (>> JPMorgan Chase & Co).
During cross-examination, Assistant U.S. Attorney Jaimie Nawaday questioned Mairone about compensation plans for loan specialists and others, which included bonuses for funding a certain number of mortgages each month.
The government has accused Mairone and Countrywide of trading quality for volume by removing underwriters from the review process and paying employees based on the number of loans they produced.
Nawaday will continue questioning Mairone on Wednesday.
The case stems from a whistleblower lawsuit filed by former Countrywide executive Edward O'Donnell.
The government estimates the mortgage finance companies had a gross loss of $848.2 million on Countrywide's "Hustle" loans. The net loss on loans that were materially defective was $131.2 million, according to prosecutors.
In several hours of testimony on Tuesday, Mairone said she and other Countrywide employees were deeply committed to making sure the loans they sold were low risk.
"Loan quality was the foundation of what we did every day," she said. "That was the culture."
She also emphasized that decisions about how to design and manage HSSL, as well as steps taken to remedy flaws, were not unilaterally made but were the product of discussions with several company leaders.
The case is U.S. ex rel. O'Donnell v. Bank of America Corp et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No. 12-01422.
(Reporting by Joseph Ax; Editing by Leslie Adler)
By Joseph Ax


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camping - story tellers
Regular price
or make 4 interest-free payments of $4.25 AUD fortnightly with More info
This 10 piece story teller set is made from 5cm wide wooden discs themed with colourful images of a camping scenario. The images are transferred onto the timber by hand - not stamped! All of our sets come in a stamped drawstring bag for safe keeping.
Story telling enhances imagination and vocabulary in children and our story tellers are great idea starters and creative aides.
May your stories be fun and adventurous!
All sets are made to order. Production time is 3-10 business days. This does not include shipping time and must be considered before purchasing. If you need a set urgently or have any further questions, please head to my contact page.
*Please note that these sets are suited for children over the age of 3 years and are a choking hazard to children under 3 years and not intended as teething toys*


text:
Meet at noon at the Parkfield Cafe, right in the middle of Parkfield, CA. 4 hour's ride from SF, Sacramento, or LA. If we can get 15 to 20 riders or so, we can get a burger bar for $14.94/person.
Meet at noon at the Parkfield Cafe, right in the middle of Parkfield, CA. 4 hour's ride from SF, Sacramento, or LA. If we can get 15 to 20 riders or so, we can get a burger bar for $14.94/person.
If Poker's a sport, so's this.
Exciting news!
Look forward to seeing everyone there!
Please post reply by the day after Thanks Giving so we can let them know rough numbers.
Recently Spoke with Kaarin, the current president. She is planning to be there. George, the new Rally Master will be sending some announcements about the 2016 Rally. Kaarin, has ok'd the raffling of a free entry into the '16 Rally!
Last edited by El Tigre Negro; November 14th, 2015 at 01:41 PM. Reason: More info
What would happen if a Scooter showed up? Mini burgers? Tentative for the Duck.
Said Duck piloted scooter will be welcomed and teased as mercilessly as everyone else.
If that ain't good enough, we can't help you.
I am in
although have to be back home by 4 as have my company Christmas party to go that evening.
When Jerry suggests meeting in Gilroy, I assume he means my house, which everyone is always welcome to come meet up at.
Anyone been on Parkfield grade (off 198) recently? know what kind of shape it is in?
2nd Jerry's comment - hope el Nino cooperates, at least holds off for that day.
Dave B.
p.s. is there a bigger broadcast, say on ldrider? don't see that many responses.
HI Dave,
I posted to LD Rider, FJR Forum, Concours forum, BARF and a SoCal riders forum. I asked Mike to post to Busa forum, and Jodie to post to BMWRT forums that she is a part of. If you know any others that I missed, please feel free to share.
I'm sure that will do Kaarin
Dave B
It is on!
Anything short of a hurricane and we will be there!
I hope to see everybody there!
Enjoyed seeing the "Cal24-ista's". Seeing multiple years of Cal24 shirts, Iron Butt hats and bikes with techno wizardry was not intimidating at all. ... yeah right. Winning the raffle.... priceless or rigged to sucker the newbie. Beatty, NV. in June? Whiskey Tango Foxtrot.
Congrats, Duck Dogers!
We had someone complete the Rally in 2015 on a scooter, so not impossible...
We all had fun. 20151205_122955.jpg


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Newlans COO Divi Gupta and his small entourage recently stopped by the Digitimes office to talk up the company's reconfigurable CMOS analog designs targeting ultra-broadband handsets and chat about band fragmentation, which Qualcomm recently called "the biggest obstacle to designing global LTE devices."
When it comes to mobile handsets, it's all about power and space. One challenge that LTE handset makers face is that different markets, or even different carriers within with same market, will be making use of more than 40 cellular radio bands worldwide to deliver their respective LTE services (compared to less than 10 for 3G). So while semiconductor designers are integrating more and more functions into smaller and cheaper chips, the handset makers are faced with the choice of using larger, more expensive, RF front-end modules (FEMs) to support the various LTE bands, or be forced to implement different FEMs in different markets, which in addition to the supply chain management issues, suggests a whole new level of customer support issues for world travelers.
Gupta said he expects that by 2015 most major players will go with the choice of offering a global FEM in their LTE devices, with the module probably featuring multiple duplexers and two LTE power amplifiers (PA), as well as various other components bringing the part count to more than 20. Newlans' solution, in comparison, will have two parts (a programmable duplexer and wideband PA) that would be tunable to cover any band in the 700MHz-2700Mhz range. Gupta claimed the Newlans solution would reduce BOM costs by more than US$1 and reduce the FEM area by one-third. In addition, the power consumption would be in the range of 5mW.
The company expects to have a prototype this summer and a working sample in the first half of 2014.
If Newlans can deliver on its promise there is definitely customer interest but in the meanwhile other players in the market are addressing the same issue. On February 21, Qualcomm introduced its Qualcomm RF360 Front End Solution, which is designed to support all seven cellular modes (LTE-FDD, LTE-TDD, WCDMA, EV-DO, CDMA 1x, TD-SCDMA and GSM/EDGE). According to the company's press release the RF 360 has a dynamic antenna matching tuner, an integrated power amplifier-antenna switch, and a 3D-RF packaging solution incorporating key front end components. Qualcomm says its solution will reduce the RF front end footprint inside of a smartphone by up to 50%, while reducing complexity and development costs.
Divi Gupta, COO Newlans
Photo: Michael McManus


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I feel delight in my new-found individuality, because it expresses purity of purpose and moral strength. Paul Bragg
This Blog is moderated. It is created to be informative, inspiring and uplifting. Our positive philosophy at Bragg is to communicate with love and respect. As Paul and Patricia Bragg teach, in expressing your thoughts and opinions to others, ask yourself: "Is it good, is it kind, is it necessary?" All comments that do not fit this philosophy will not be posted.
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This report was sent to subscribers on 1/28/10 6:00 p.m. Chicago time to be used for trading on 1/29/10. Everything is done by Howard Tyllas, no program or black box.
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March Soybeans
After the close on 1/29/10: My pivot acted as resistance and was 9.32, .04 3/4 from the actual high, and my support was 9.16 1/2, just .02 3/4 from the actual low.
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9.47 1/2 FG -------------9.32 Pivot 9.16 1/2 9.10 1/4 Use the same numbers as used on 1/28/10 Trend 5 day chart.…...Down (from last week same day) Daily chart …….…Sideways Weekly chart …….. Sideways Monthly chart …Sideways $9.88 is the 200 DMA ATR 20 Oversold 15%
I continue to say "Bracket line is first resistance (red), steep downtrend line is pivotal now, bears eye Octobers low".
-------------9.32 Pivot
9.16 1/2
9.10 1/4
Use the same numbers as used on 1/28/10
5 day chart.…...Down (from last week same day)
Daily chart …….…Sideways
Weekly chart …….. Sideways
Monthly chart …Sideways $9.88 is the 200 DMA
ATR 20 Oversold 15%
In charting, when a resistance is hurdled it becomes support, and when the support is broken it becomes resistance.
In my daily numbers on Thursday my pivot acted as resistance and was .05 1/2 from the actual high; my support was .04 1/2 from the actual low. Daily Numbers service actual results for 1/29/10 were:
Grains: My resistance was $.04 3/4 from the actual high and my support was $.02 3/4 from the low in soybeans, and my resistance was $.01 3/4 from the actual high and my support was $.01 from the low in corn.
Crude Oil: My resistance was 0.44 from the actual high; my support was 0.02 from the actual low.
S&P: My resistance was 6.00 from the actual high; my support was 4.25 from the actual low.
Gold: My resistance was $4.90 from the actual high; my support was $1.30 from the actual low.
Euro: My resistance was 0.04 from the actual high; my support was 0.40 from the actual low.
Bonds: My resistance was the EXACT actual high; my support was 3 from the actual low.
Natural Gas: My resistance was .027 from the actual high; my support was .034 from the actual low.
Cattle: My resistance was .07 from the actual high; my support was .22 from the actual low.
for 1/29/10 Grains: Accurate corn and soybean numbers. Market looks and feels pathetic. No action to the upside. Option premiums could change quickly, but for now there are little odds for a rally. Example: March corn closed on Thursday at $3.61 3/4 , you can have the right to be long March corn from a price of $3.70 for just under $350 (6 7/8 cents) and the expiration of these calls for March is in 3 weeks from today. The most you can lose is what you paid, no margin ever needed, and if they do rally, it is no different than a futures contract above $3.70.
Even being bearish I am disappointed in the inability of the bulls to show any willingness to add to their longs at this level. I would like to see a corrective rally near resistance for my newly arrived producers to be willing to sell, and us speculators a good place to enter a sell. I would continue to have a small "core" short position for a long term trade, but I would enter more at resistances. I would use a buy stop above one of the gaps, depending on what I was willing to make if right. I have no problem to take a sell at resistance for a day trade, but would be more comfortable if they were trading at higher levels.
I still like buying December corn (CZ) and selling November soybeans (SX) as a spread, and I have also liked for some time is buying MPLS or KC wheat and selling Chicago wheat. I have the same thoughts as yesterday going into the weekend. I think we can work lower next week.
March Soybeans for 1/28/10
Numbers results for 1/27/10 were:
Grains: My resistance was $.02 1/4 from the actual high and my support was $.04 from the low in soybeans, and my resistance was $.01 3/4 from the actual high and my support was $.04 from the low in corn.
Crude Oil: My resistance was 0.17 from the actual high; my support was 0.20 from the actual low.
S&P: My resistance was 2.75 from the actual high; my support was 2.00 from the actual low.
Gold: My resistance was $2.40 from the actual high; my support was $1.10 from the actual low.
Euro: My resistance was 0.23 from the actual high; my support was 0.16 from the actual low.
Bonds: My resistance was 3 from the actual high; my support was the EXACT actual low.
Natural Gas: My resistance was .046 from the actual high; my support was .039 from the actual low.
Cattle: My resistance was .35 from the actual high; my support was .30 from the actual low.
Grains: Markets breathe, and for now the bears have run out of breath and need to inhale after exhaling all the way to my longer term support levels. The corn and soybean markets are at maximum oversold conditions which tell me a corrective bounce is near in a day or two. But after coming down as much as they have and the market barely has enough strength to trade above the pivot resistance let alone the actual resistance, let alone to a bigger picture resistance, tells me the market is feeling the reality of the relative high prices for grain and are starting to exit their long grain positions.
Everyone and everything can get carried away with the perception of what something is worth. Look at your statement and one thing that is certain is the settlement price. No matter what anyone thinks, THAT is the true price that something is valued at in that point in time. From there you are gambling from that price going forward, NOT where or when you entered your position.
I am looking at some sort of correction but it does not look like it will encourage bulls, and will lead to more erosion in price once the extreme technicals subside. I would think the "commodity fund bulls and speculators" will be more selective in what they will invest in and at what price does each commodity have "value", rather than the shotgun spray hitting most commodities.
Bottom Line: I want to sell with both hands if they could rally to a resistance level at any gap. I do not mind to sell at resistance for a day trade, just use a buy stop to protect. The max oversold condition makes it harder to sell at these near term support levels, but the market feels so heavy. I still feel we are going lower, maybe much lower, the question is can we get a strong bounce first so un-hedged farmers can sell?
Un-hedged producers should ask themselves if they sold at current prices will they have a very profitable year compared with their average earnings, and if so I would lock in those profits. Now you are truly "out of the market" and it does not matter if the farmer next door or speculators sell it for more anytime after. If they made more money they earned it and were risking money to do so. What matters is that you stopped being a gambler with the farm, and now you took the gamble out of the farm. No longer being a gambler, but a business man who took profits, and now frees to do what you do best, produce the most with what you have to work with. By not hedging your income it no longer depends on your production, but at what price you finally sell it at. Hedging a profit takes the gamble out of farm operations. How you hedge could make the difference in greatly improving returns, and it is my opinion that my service is second to none, and allows just you the protection needed, and still have the potential unlimited upside. Lastly, you can at any time adjust your position bullish or bearish, or get out of any part when you want to reflect your thoughts.
March Soybeans for 1/27/10
Numbers results for 1/26/10 were:
Grains: My resistance was $.04 from the actual high and my support was $.02 1/2 from the low in soybeans, and my resistance was $.00 1/2 from the actual high and my support was $.01 3/4 from the low in corn.
Crude Oil: My resistance was 0.13 from the actual high; my support was 0.19 from the actual low.
S&P: My resistance was 6.75 from the actual high, my support was 0.50 (2 ticks) from the actual low.
Gold: My resistance was $0.80 from the actual high; my support was $3.30 from the actual low.
Euro: My resistance was 0.51 from the actual high; my support was 0.33 from the actual low.
Bonds: My resistance was 2 from the actual high; my support was 3 from the actual low.
Natural Gas: My resistance was .021 from the actual high; my support was .046 from the actual low.
Cattle: My resistance was .02 from the actual high, my support was .25 from the actual low.
Grains: Spot on corn and soybean numbers. In 3 weeks March soybeans broke $1.30 and have yet to produce a bounce of any significance. My call for grains to erode until maybe the first or second week of February still holds true.
Why I am such a bear and what will turn me? I have said this year the dollar would be strong, favorable US subsoil moisture and weather, investments in 2010 for inflation driven commodities is not starting out as planned, PRC trying to slow its economy, fund and farmer long positions, and comfortable stocks going forward. I will change my mind in a heartbeat if there is any adversity in production. Then I will use my knowledge and experience to try and take advantage of the price swings. I was never concerned with the 2009 planting noting they would get it in the ground. I pointed out then that it was an opportunity to sell at bracket levels, and would be a good trade idea because at that price the proof was on the bulls.
Bottom Line for Producers: You have a good idea of how much income you will earn if you sell your 2009 and or 2010 crops at the current price levels. Ask yourself, at what price higher will I actually sell my grain, and how much will I risk getting that? If you do not sell lower if wrong the same amount, you are in jeopardy of losing all your profits, and you had a known profit in hand. Ask yourself, how much will I earn if I sell here, and what am I risking if wrong, and why does the farm have to gamble on my idea of where the market may go? I say to you market your grain, and use some of the money to gamble long or short. If you do not sell your grain, your main job is not producing, but gambling, because it will not matter how well and efficient your can run your operation, your income will depend on when you finally sell your crop. How you sell it really matters and cash for futures is really a small basis to gain, compared with the opportunities using options.
I believe that until there is a major weather event somewhere with true loss of production, we will not see the highs seen in 2009 for quite some time, let alone 2008 highs. I published "food for thought" in 2007 calling for record grain prices in 2008, I called for accurate ranges for grains in 2009, and I call for the settlements from 1/11/10 before the report as being strong resistance, and the high for 2010 are already in. The question is the low. I laid out my support already and that should not change.
March Soybeans for 1/26/10
Grains: Spot on soybean and corn numbers. Extremely oversold for days. Soybeans took out last week's lows, and corn and wheat should do the same this week. Backdrop of bearish fundamentals I have outlined is catching up to the market and is getting a hold of them. I am still bearish and want to sell any rally near resistances.
March Soybeans for 1/25/10
I talked recently about price and time, so everyone is aware that anything can and will happen in time. In my life I live for today and plan for the future, and for me in trading is always the today, and plan for the future. It does not matter what happens in the future, it is today that matters. The Cubs might one day win the World Series, but it will not matter to me if it is after I am dead. Same in trading, it does not matter if what you thought in the future does happen, if you are bankrupt first. This is what happens when what you thought does not happen at first, and you take losses that are either unsustainable, or the time it takes for it to happen does not make it worthwhile. Take gold in January 1980 when you bought it at $850 thinking that one day gold would go to $1200. It only took 29 years to do so, but you also had years in the 1990's when you could have bought it for under $300. Was it worth holding for 29 years and not even get your money back for 28 years? Was it worth the $350 profit when in actuality at one time you were losing over $550?
98% of all the new members who threw in the towel within 6 months were doomed from the start because they had the wrong mindset. Of all the people who speculate on a position, no matter futures, stocks, opening a store, buying real estate, if they do not look at it as a business, they will either make a lot less if successful, or speed the closing. If they have a chance to exit that business and use that money for the next business idea but do not sell, they will be working for someone else when the business is forced to sell leaving no money.
98% of those who go down with the ship all say the same things "I thought this" and "I thought that", but they thought wrong. When you put all your money on one thought, you have one only chance to be right. No matter speculator, hedger, or end user, you must treat it as a business, and the risk side of the business or trade should be kept at a minimum.
You are always long or short from settlement each day, not where you got in. I am always looking at what my objective is going forward from each settlement and ask myself, what is my profit if I am right and the market gets to my objective, and what I am going to lose from here if wrong. If the answer is anything less than even money, I will exit the position. It does not matter if I am up $4000 on the trade, if I would take profits of $1000 from here but am risking $2000 to do so, I just get out. Why? Because I do not want to lose $2000 to make $1000. The wrong mindset is to think if you are up $4000 and if you lose $2000 you are still $2000 ahead. If I had $4000 in my hand and I lost $2000 to make $2000 is one thing, but to lose $2000 to make another $1000 is not a winning mindset.
Settlement is where you could have closed your position and the money would be waiting for your next investment, so what happens from there if not closed out is a new "wager", and the risk/reward should always be worth it. Lastly, keeping your trade losses to a minimum in relation to your account size allows you to not act emotionally, and protects you from one idea costing you a significant loss of income, or having to close your account (or business).
A perfect example of the wrong mindset is a person who or is losing let's say $10,000 on a trade and spreads it off to the next month, they think and say that since the trade is not closed out, it is not a loss yet. Look at your net liquidation account value that shows you are losing $10,000, that is the proof that no matter when you get in or out, at settlement, the loss is there even though the position is still open on the book. Now if the first trade makes back $5000, it is still losing $5000, but the spread trade side is now losing $5000, still a total of $10,000. Reality to the bottom line is by spreading it off it is like getting out, except your account executive has another commission. Now you have a spread, some could move, some not, but you are no longer outright long or short, you are spread. It became a spread trade.
Another example is the person who does a "special offset" to show a profit, and will "work their way out" of the losers. This is self denial; the bottom line on your account value will remain exactly the same no matter what trade is offset. If you are either of these examples, please do not open an account at my firm, because you are wasting my time and your money, you will be like the many traders who are smart, but do not have the right mindset and will not be around for long.
Grains: Spot on corn numbers, also spot on soybean resistance and accurate support. Exports were strong once again to help support, and oversold conditions, but did little to help improve prices. Corn is holding the bracket line support, beans trying to hold the panic selling low.
Nothing has changed since last week. So I will wrap up my thoughts on the grain market. My numbers are "for today" and my charts are my roadmaps for the "future". Last week I discussed how the market has had wide quick swings and the parameters were laid out. The market will rally and challenge their all time highs if we have a Noah's Ark type of raining for 40 days and 40 nights when we are planting, hot dry weather during pollination, and an early freeze. Any one of those things will cause a rally that is significant. Nobody can predict what will occur. You can take a "bet" on it happening, and with some option knowledge it is easy to read the "odds board" and place the wager that suits your risk appetite. If it happens you will cash in, if not with the right strategy you will have a known risk if wrong and it should not affect your account value past the limit set. Un-hedged producers are long and should not "bet the farm" on that occurring, but rather a small bet that if wrong does not change their profit margin by too much. That is their "gamble" to the upside, and my service makes it clear on what it is costing for whatever upside they are looking for.
On the other hand, Argentina is expecting a record soybean crop and a huge corn crop, Brazil is almost finished planting and is having good growing conditions. The dollar is getting the legs to make a run higher, and the funds still have huge long positions. Farmers are still holding huge long positions by NOT being hedged. Subsoil moisture is best I have seen going into a growing season here. Instead of bad weather causing a rally, the weather could cooperate and we could produce a bumper crop. The equity market could turn south, and the global picture could struggle, and that is not good for grains. If livestock producers have a hard time to rally prices, or feed does not get cheaper, they will reduce their inventory and less feed will be used. If crude oil comes tumbling down, or just gasoline, ethanol usage will be hurt. Lastly, and this is a big one, what if the funds decide to abandon their positions and even worse turn to sell grains?
Place your bets, use the roadmap for a good location, and we will see what happens. For me, I will trade day by day, for now I want to sell rallies at good locations with a reasonable small risk if wrong, and a good profit if right. I want to stand aside with no positions at times, and the only way a producer can do that is by hedging his crop. Only then can a speculator or producer wait for an opportunity to play from either side of the market. When you are out of a position it does not matter what happens in the market, because there is no risk or reward. There was nothing you wanted to do and that is why you had no position, and if you say I coulda, woulda, or shouda done something, that means you are not doing what you were supposed to do, or another way of saying it is that you cannot execute your strategy and game plans.
March Soybeans for 1/22/10
Grains: Accurate numbers for corn and helpful soybeans. I expected an up day but I would be disappointed if I was a bull. When you consider how much these markets have just went down and the corrective action so far, Friday better produce some follow through for bulls who are trying to hold onto a position that looks more like a wager on adversity in 2010 production, than the reality of current supply/demand fundamentals.
The options have increased "premium" as seen on Wednesday when December $4 calls settled up 2 1/2 cents, and the $4 puts settled up 3 3/4 cents, on a day the market settled at $4.02 3/4 down 1 1/4 cents on the day. This increase in cost for the same right to be long or short corn at $4 usually occurs on a market that is rallying, but in this case I think it is because the market is just as worried about the downside.
I want to make it clear, I am bearish grains and believe we could easily trade $8 soybeans and $3.25 corn if I am right in the long run, versus $9.94 or $10.60 soybeans and $4.26 corn if I am totally wrong.
To be more specific, March soybeans (SH) in the near term, the chart shows good support at $8.90 (the low on 10/5/09) just 3 months ago. In December 2008 front month soybeans posted a low of $7.77 (777 but no jackpot). Let me remind you, we traded $5.40 1/2 in 10/2006.
March corn has strong support at the gap at $3.54 1/4, then the lows in 9/2009 holding $3.20. Corn has had huge support since the low in 12/2008 when it posted lows of $2.90, as well as a $3 low in 2009. Corn was at $2.61 3/4 low in 10/2006. In December 2005 it posted a low of $1.86.
Time will tell what will be, as with everything in life, things can turn around on a heartbeat. As long as I see the whole picture the way I do, I will continue to have a bearish bias. When an event or price level is reached that changes my bias, I will change. I am not married to an opinion, I am married to my beautiful wife who is forever. Certainly after being a floor trader for handfuls of years, I cannot count the number of times I have been a bull or bear in the grain markets, for a day, week, month, or months.
I needed to write this because I want my producers and speculators to know the downside is alive and well. I want you to not be herded into the "does what the funds are doing" mentality. Yes, that is great when I am on their side, but I have no problem "fading" them with caution, realizing that if they abandon their longs it should also trigger fund selling, and then we will see my objective of $7.75 SX and $3.37 CZ
Corn should be coming into the pipeline that would not be if storability was not an issue. PRC slowing their economy, 2010 record US yields, Palmer index (drought index) shows plenty of subsoil moisture for 2010, and farmers tend to plant more with their profits, while Wall St. spends their bonus. Speaking of which, if Obama declared war on Wall St. this issue of separating banks from their trading groups, could lead to commodity liquidation by them.
Bottom Line: Hedgers should find places to finish off marketing their 2010 crops and leave the gamble to others. Profits should be locked in, and try to pick up an extra $.10 to $.25 when possible. Try and take as much risk off the table, and gamble when you really think the market is going up, but not the farm, but with a trading account limited to 5% of last year's income. If in 2 or 3 years your trading account grows, then you can think about gambling professionally, until then, do not try to do that with your farm. Keep gambling and marketing your farm separate.
I want you to ask yourself, not me, at what price will I sell if they go higher, and what will I do if they go down? If you do not have a solid answer, then you are a deer on the highway and the Mack truck has you in its headlights! Do not risk more (gamble) then you are willing to make if right. Remember, YOU ARE LONG UNTIL YOU HEDGE. When you sell you are not going short, you are getting out of the market and have NO position.
March Soybeans for 1/21/10
Grains: Spot on corn and accurate soybean numbers. Extremely oversold for days has yet to produce a rejection of these price levels. Bracket line support was perfect in corn and we will see if it can hold and provide a corrective rally to retest the gap at $3.81 which I would consider an excellent selling opportunity. Soybeans have support at $9.35 and I thought this area might hold for a corrective rally towards resistance and alleviate the extremely overbought condition, then a retest of support. Buy corn sell beans and wheat is working. If the dollar stays strong though, I still think soybeans will erode for another 2 weeks.
Interesting to note the British Meteorological Office is now forecasting that 2010 will prove to be the warmest year on record, succeeding 1998 and putting the temperature series back on its clear upward trend, aligned with the steady increase of human-caused CO2.
March Soybeans for 1/20/10
Grains: Accurate corn numbers and helpful soybean. I want to sell a rally at $9.94 area in SH March soybeans, $3.80 CH March corn. I might be dreaming though. Grains are having trouble to rally in extremely oversold conditions. Maximum oversold conditions in soybeans could last another day or two, but should see a corrective bounce. It is hard to sell under these conditions, but it is even harder to buy. Being under the bracket line (green) makes it a little easier though (to sell). My parameters for shorting (selling) grain have been clearly stated, and any rally is an opportunity to sell.
You know I like buying corn selling wheat, but I am more in favor of buying December 2010 corn and selling November 2010 soybeans. Long time subscribers know when the ratios is near 3 to 1 beans over corn that beans are expensive relative to corn, 1.8 to 1 is really cheap soybeans in relation to corn. We are about 2.3 to 1 now and I am looking for a ratio of 2 to 1 (price of soybeans versus corn).
I think that we are at about 1/3 of carry charge in soybeans, but with S.A. bringing soybeans online in April there will be plenty of soybeans around and a carry charge will come back in play. Producers would be more inclined to store if they were near carry, but that is the function of the tight carry as to induce farmer selling. I think the old/new crop (SN/SX) can be bullish though.
We are going to have the largest soybean harvest in history (in S. America) the way the weather looks the next 2 weeks. End users should be backing off not worried as much about tight supplies that have been seen for over a year. I want to remind you again at the progress in yields which looks like it is outpacing the ethanol mandates. Was it the cool wet weather, the gigantic farm equipment that is fast and minimizes loss, or the seed companies who think their triple stack corn is the reason? Pro Farmer says that US corn yields are advancing 2.5 bushels per acre a year which equates to let's say 90 million acres X 2.5 or 225 million more bushels for 2010.
I am bearish and want to be a seller on rallies, long term core position I would remain short with a buy stop close only above $9.94 in March Soybeans, and $3.82 buy stop close only to make me want to exit (corn). I have no problem selling at these levels, but I would rather wait for less oversold conditions.
With all that said, I am aware that Reuters ran a story which included: Burnt by the financial crisis of the last two years, money managers are now raising sharply the amount of money allocated to raw materials such as oil, gold, copper, sugar and coffee. The value of commodity funds looks set to grow by a third this year, or by as much as $100 billion. Barclays Capital figures show commodity investments in passive, long-only commodities funds increased by $93 billion last year to $255 billion with $67 billion in fresh inflows hitting the market. Fund managers estimate that inflows this year will match or even exceed 2009. It went on and on, but what caught my eye was: Hilary Till, principal at Chicago-based proprietary trading firm Premia Capital, says this has led to huge demand for some commodities as hedges against potential dollar depreciation.
If I am right and the dollar is strong this year, would the funds abandon their positions? Trend funds have no problem selling.
Bottom line: When trading I like to trade the side of the fundamentals and that is bearish grains. I also know that the funds are the drivers as long as they have their foot on the pedal, but in the end many have actually crashed and burned. The charts are bearish, and I think we will remain under pressure for the next few weeks, and then we could see corrective action as row crops compete for acreage. At this time the upside is cheap for grain options as at this time it should be, but ANY hint of a problem even via weather forecast will cause the shorts to scramble, and funds will be the steamroller if they can maintain soybeans at these levels. If they do get hammered (go down $.50 or $1) their ability to add to such a losing position should be limited.
My battle plan before stepping into the ring is play it from the short side and look to hit more times than I get hit.
Producers who still have this and or next year's crop to hedge leaves them in a "long" position no different than the speculator who bought, you are both long. In my service no matter what market I have always been insistent on not risking more if your thinking is wrong, than what you would make if right. For both of you as the market goes down must ask yourself, what am I thinking? You will always be faced with more loss if it goes down, and recoup money if it goes up. The problem is, if for whatever reason the market would continue down the result would be the same, you will lose your account, or everything you own. And what would you have sold it for if it went how much higher? You will never win on a professional poker table. There is no difference in gambling, money management is just one key to successful trading or marketing grain. You might get lucky in the short run year or two, but in time you will wind up with the short end of the wishbone.
March Soybeans for 1/19/10
All numbers and charts have been updated for 1/19/10, my comments will be sent in less than 3 hours from now, and here are some comments.
Make note that the charts are showing the exact same range of the Monday session, so disregard the "shadow bar" (last bar on the right), but the previous bar is correct for Monday's session.
Grains: Tuesday night update: Tonight's volume is extremely light and I would not make too much of it. Only 2123 contracts of March soybeans and 3923 in March corn as 7:10 just before I sent this.
As you can see the soybean and corn market held their pivot and looks firm tonight. Markets are extremely oversold and a corrective bounce was in order. How much we correct can be helped by outside help if a weaker dollar, and higher commodities, but I think it really depends internally on farmer selling and willingness for the shorts to cover and take profits, at least for now. We did not trade on Monday and of course I feel the same tonight without an "event" in sight to change my numbers or opinion. I continue to call for selling at my resistances, and I would not press the short here in extremely oversold conditions and near short term supports that I feel in time will be taken out.
Nothing changed. Charts are clearly near support bracket lines, and I would like to sell a rally. I do not see a run to buy grains on this light volume. Looks more like people who do not mind paying up to cover shorts rather than a surge in new buying. The funds were adding to their positions last week with the commitment of traders report showing: The index trader's net long across the 12 reported commodities increased 56,500 contracts during the latest week. Changes during the two previous weeks were down 2,360 and up 10,970, respectively.
Brazil's soybean crop is coming up beautiful and set to produce excellent yields.
March Soybeans for 1/18/10
On Thursday 1/15/10 my numbers were:
Grains: My resistance was $.05 from the actual high and my support was $.03 1/2 from the low in soybeans, and my resistance was $.03 from the actual high and my support was $.01 1/2 from the low in corn.
Crude Oil: My resistance was 0.21 from the actual high; my support was 0.06 from the actual low.
S&P: My resistance was 0.75 from the actual high, my support was 0.50 (2 ticks) from the actual low.
Gold: My resistance was $5.30 from the actual high; my support was $4.20 from the actual low.
Euro: My resistance was 0.18 from the actual high; my support was 0.37 from the actual low.
Bonds: My resistance was 21 from the actual high; my support was 1 from the actual low.
Natural Gas: My resistance was .009 from the actual high; my support was .036 from the actual low.
Cattle: My resistance was .20 from the actual high, my support was .40 from the actual low.
Grains: You have known for months I have said that producers should hedge 100% of their crop, and speculators should play it from the short side. I have not wavered from my view, and told my producers to sell more of the upside when they were rallying to $10.60 in soybeans (collecting $.25 now for a $1 spread above the market in the future), and near $4.20 in corn. I was fully aware of the power of the funds and thought the opportunity to sell at these levels were handed to producers and speculators alike as a gift, to sell at levels that would not have been seen without them. I also have told you how to play each trade using a stop, so you would lose small when wrong, and very profitable because of the location when right. I have told you about bracket line supports that produced rallies back to resistance bracket lines. I have told you that no matter if long or short, if you held for a few months you would have seen big profits and big losses come and go, and you are right back to where you started from. That is good for a producer because he is not in the market when hedged, but for a speculator the buy and hold or sell and hold never made sense to me. The buy or sell and then take profits or losses, and then look for the next trade, not continue or compare to the last trade.
Others would try to "pin the tail on the outside markets" such as weaker crude, stocks, and the dollar which is helpful, but I believe the fundamentals from the report justifies the plunge from lofty levels. Wheat down $.58, corn $.51, and beans $.48. All 3 closed within a hand full of cents from their lows after the report, are extremely oversold, but I still believe we will take out those lows and test my support numbers for Tuesday (no trading Monday) sometime this week, and second supports in the next 3 weeks.
Bottom Line: I want to continue to sell rallies near $9.94 in SH and $3.81 in CH, Looking for a test of my support numbers. Extremely oversold now but I think the longs that are underwater will look to abandon the long side soon. Producers have a wakeup call and when they look on the chart and see where they were a few months ago, they will be selling too. I also remember that 1000's of funds went broke in 2008, and just because they have money and can force the market their way in the short run, does not make them right in their perception and trade idea. What do you think corn would be priced at if it were not for the funds allocating money to this "asset class"?
Want to know what I think for tomorrow?
The 9 markets now covered daily are March soybeans, March corn, February crude oil, March S&P, March Euro FX, March 30 yr TBond, February gold, and February natural Gas and February cattle
My numbers usually are sent at least 12 hours (via your email) in advance of the next day open outcry session. Subscribers use them as best suited to their own needs and sometimes that involves the overnight trade.
Find out why my subscribers from Canada, China, Czech Republic, Germany, India, Lebanon, Switzerland, South Korea and the UK keep renewing this service.
HowardTyllas Daily Numbers & Trade Ideas cover 9 markets for less than $10 a day,
HowardTyllas Daily Numbers & Trade Ideas is designed to help you plan your trading strategies for the coming day.
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May Your Next Trade Be The Best
Howard Tyllas
Disclaimer: No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Futures trading involve risk. In no event should the content of this be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Howard Tyllas, that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. No such promises, guarantees or implications are given. Past results are no indication of future performance.


text:
Quincy, Massachusetts 1877
Publisher: E. Whitefield
Type(s): Bird's Eye View
Size: 33" wide x 20" high
Collection: Library of Congress
Atlas: Massachusetts Bird's Eye Views
Antique Maps (The authentic artifact!)
- We sell antique maps as well as fine art reproductions of the maps in our collection. Select "Authentic Antique Map" from the purchase options to purchase the real deal, an antique map produced years ago. Antique maps are available when we have them. The website will indicate sold out if the antique map is no longer available. Fine art reproductions of every map are always available.
Fine Art Prints (Reproduction Maps)
- Printing: We print in-house to control all aspects of print quality and consistency.
- Printers: We exclusively utilize Epson commercial-grade Ultrachrome printers and pigment inks.
- Papers: We print onto Epson Premium and Ultra-premium matte-finish papers engineered for Epson Ultrachrome printers.
- Quality: Our fine art prints are museum-quality, no-fade, color-stable, acid-free, and archival.
- Layout: All maps are printed as large as possible onto the selected paper size. The original proportions of the map are maintained. No stretching to fill the paper occurs. Given that the proportions of each map rarely matches that of the paper, there is always white space around the map. Maps are centered onto the paper as much as possible.
Custom/Archival: Custom/Archival frames are constructed from painted wood with UV-resistant glazing to protect an antique map from fading. Custom/Archival frames feature acid-free mat boards and backing boards that will not damage the antique map. Each Custom/Archival frame comes with professional paper backing, hanging wire installed, and even a hook and a nail (see photo below).
We offer four styles of Custom/Archival frames, each produced by a fine art framer in Cambridge, Massachusetts USA!
Custom/Archival Framing: Black Basic
Custom/Archival Framing: Black Stepped
Custom/Archival Framing: Cherry Finish
Custom/Archival Framing: Cherry Finish with Gold
Economy/Non-Archival Framing: Economy/Non-Archival frames are constructed from painted with with plate glass. They are perfect for our reproduction maps. Since our fine art prints are archival (made with archival inks and acid-free papers), UV-resistant glazing nor acid-free boards are required to protect the reproduction. To keep costs down and offer the highest quality at the lowest price, Economy/Non-Archival frames are available in one style, black with a square profile. Each frame comes with claw hanger on the back.
Studio/No-Matting Framing: Studio frames are the same as our Economy/Non-Archival frames except that they lack matting. Studio frames are available only in "Black" style and 11"x14" in size. To keep costs down and offer the highest quality at the lowest price, Economy/Non-Archival frames are available in one style, black with a square profile. Each frame comes with claw hanger on the back.
Shipping of Orders
- Maps/Prints: Small and Medium prints are shipped flat in plastic sleeves with rigid backing boards. Intermediate and larger prints are shipped rolled in rigid cardboard tubes with protective acid free paper linings.
- Antique Maps: Antique maps are typically shipped flat in plastic sleeves with rigid backing boards. We carefully package each antique map to ship the best way to maintain the integrity of the map.
- Gift Products: Gift products are packaged with care in boxes suitable for each shipment.
- Shipping Charges: Calculated rates are determined by the shipping carriers offered. Set rates and options are displayed during checkout.
- Shipping Carriers: Shipping via the USPS and UPS are offered.
- International Shipping: We do not offer international shipping.
Picking Up An Order
- When placing an order, you have the option to pick up your order in person from our retail store.
- Orders will not be ready until after we contact you to confirm that your order is ready. We will call or email to notify you when your order is ready to be picked up.
- We will hold orders for 90 days. We are not responsible for orders not picked-up within 90 days. After 90 days from day of purchase, unclaimed orders may be returned to stock and payment may not be refunded.
Returns & Defective Items
- All sales are final. We do not accept exchanges nor returns on properly fulfilled and non-defective orders.
- We will replace or provide a credit for any defective item within 30 days of receipt of item. Please contact us regarding defective items.
- We will rectify any improperly fulfilled order. Please contact us regarding improperly fulfilled orders.
- Items Damaged in Shipping: Though we use professional and robust packaging methods, damage of items in shipment is always a possibility. Hence, we typically ship items with shipping insurance at our cost. We will ask for a buyer's assistance in processing any claims against a shipper for items damaged in shipment. Once the claim has been resolved with the shipper, we will offer a replacement or credit to a buyer for the damaged item. If we did not ship with insurance, we will do our best to replace the item or issue a credit.
All purchases made with WardMaps LLC are processed securely by our third party shopping cart and credit card processors. WardMaps LLC is never privy to credit card data inputted on this site. WardMaps never shares the names, emails, nor any personal data about our customers with anyone.


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Straight from TD Randy Wylot, here are the layout maps and hole descriptions for Brengle Terrace Park (2 rounds on Saturday) and Kit Carson Park (1 round on Sunday). Many thanks to Max Nichols for preparing these documents and all his work seting up the courses.
Hole-by-hole description of Brengle Terrace Park DGC.
Hole-by-hole description of Kit Carson Park DGC.
There are still a few spots open for players who want to compete in the event. You must register online at DiscGolfU.com. Spectators are welcome both days, and spectators will have a chance to see some of the top disc golfers in the world competing on our local courses. David Feldberg (1038) and Nikko Locastro (1038) are in the top 10 of PDGA-rated players, with Paul Ulibarri (1029) and local favorite Micah Dorius (1028) not too far behind. Carlo Pelg (1008), Max Nichols (1004), Dan Duron (1000) and Kyle Eckmann (1000) are all 1,000-rated players who should be in the mix. And will the two players at the top of the SoCal Series show up? Although they're not registered at the time this post was written (7am, 10/15), don't be surprised to see Steve Rico (1029) and Philo Braithwaite (1022) on the course this weekend.
Volunteers are needed! If you volunteer for the weekend, you will receive a tournament-stamp disc, tournament-embroidered polo shirt and lunch on Saturday. Contact Randy Wylot (email@example.com).


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On June 4, the San Diego County Sheriff's Department unveiled a new "automatic license plate reader car" that will be based out of the department's Valley Center substation.
"This car has the ability to read several hundred license plates a minute on the move, whether you're going 80 miles an hour or 8 miles an hour," said Sgt. Robert Niderost, who wrote the grant request that resulted in the acquisition of funds for the car's purchase. Four cameras mounted under the light bars on the car's roof aim to the front and sides of the vehicle, picking up oncoming vehicles as well as those it passes.
Images captured by the cameras are stored up to six months, explained Lt. Michael McClain, head of the Valley Center substation.
Funding for the $78,000 Dodge Charger came from the Barona Band of Mission Indians, Sycuan Band of Kumeyaay Nation, and the Indian Gaming Local Community Benefit Committee.
While the department has several other cars outfitted with the same technology (a department spokesperson declined to disclose how many or where they are operated), the Valley Center cruiser is the first that will operate primarily in rural areas, including near local casinos.
"Our goal is to make our casino patrons as well as tribal members and other community members of the Valley Center and Pauma Valley area safer by providing a more proactive law-enforcement technique," said Niderost.
The initial purpose of the car will be to identify stolen vehicles or those driven by crime suspects, but that could expand as more patrol vehicles are equipped with the technology.
"For example, with sex offenders, we could use this system to help us identify people who have registered certain vehicles that are not supposed to be near schools," offered McClain.
More from SDReader
- More stories by Dave Rice
- The booted heel of a data state — June 18, 2015
- Wreckers' haul wrecks Wrex the Halls — Dec. 18, 2013
- Coronado Police Have Your [License Plate] Number — Aug. 19, 2011
- Meds Surrender — July 28, 2010
- Car vs. Car — May 14, 2010
Big Brother is watching you, and you, and you and . . .
My understanding is that meter maids (I mean parking enforcement officers) already have this technology - as they drive by, machine tracks and clocks license plates so when they drive by again, it automatically reports if the same care has been in the same place for longer than the legal limit. I'll look for verification.
That would be quite clever. Parking tickets are quite lucrative for the city I'd suppose, and making it easier and more fool-proof would increase revenue and keep the "maids" out of harm's way. (Forgive me for using fool-proof and the city in the same sentence.)
Beats marking tires.
Indian tribes fund law enforcement? Sounds like the Lone Ranger and Tonto are back together again. Wonder how the tribes will feel when the drones fly over the reservation?
I'm not sure what you mean by drones flying over tribal land but there are many reservations whose airspace IS legally classified as a flight free zone. For spiritual and cultural preservation purposes.
Do we have jurisdiction on trible land?
We? Non tribal law enforcement entities, do you mean? No, not usually as tribes are sovereign nations. But anything can be modified with an MOU and multi-jurisdictional partnerships do occur on reservations across the county. Not all casinos, however, are officially on tribal land.
Using cutting edge technology like this is one way that law enforcement can hope to cope with crime with limited man power. I am very interested in knowing how the cameras work, and why it can detect the car plate numbers so quickly. Is it really as good as it is made out to be? http://www.carid.com
It is a COMPUTER, it runs the plates like a Google search searches the internet-in miliseconds, the Temecula and San Clemente check pionts have had these camers (and video) for years now....................not "new" technology by any means.
A reason for rejoice for the people of San Diego Sheriff's for the invention. Indeed its quite commendable that now cars will able to detect stolen vehicle and crime suspects. Splendidly and superbly designed technology which can read and record hundreds of licensed number plates in one minute in one go. These are first of its kind of automatic license plate reader cars which have been invented so far. Long way to go technology ! Totally liked this article. link text
This system already captured so many plates in the U.S as well as lots of crimes has been solved. So this truly works and is really helpful. How about, installing this system in all U.S cops car? http://www.drautotech.com


text:
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ITZ Total Solutions is a 100% Mobile and Web Application Development Company, but comes to you with invaluable valued technology. At ITZ Total Solutions, quality is one of the biggest measurements when delivering the solutions for any of our services.


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Now [u]£250[/u] on Chain Reaction Cycles.
Ordered myself a black Campag set
There's no two ways about it: this is a really excellent set of wheels. They're light, they're well built from quality components and they're great value. On top of that the ride quality and stiffness are well up there with rival wheelsets – even some considerably more expensive ones – and if you don't like the silver polished ones (we do) you can have them in black instead. There's really not much to moan about here.
Pro-Lite make great play of the fact that all their wheels are hand built without machines, so it wasn't a great surprise to find an evenly tensioned, well trued set in the box. Picking them out the first thing that you notice is that they're light. Really light, for a £349 wheel. Ours didn't quite measure up to the claimed weight of 1482g for a set, but at 1501g (without skewers) they're the lightest sub-£400 wheels we've tested by a good margin.
The 27mm deep rims are mated with stainless flat bladed spokes (24 at the rear, 20 on the front) to some very slight-looking hubs. The front particularly is minimilast to the same point as something like an American Classic: there's enough metal to cover the two bearings but not much more. The rear is a slightly beefier affair that boasts five bearings (four standard and one angular contact) and both hubs, and the quiet freehub, were buttery smooth throughout the test. The one bit of weight saving I could probably do without is the alloy spoke nipples, for the two or three grams they save I'd prefer hardier stainless ones. The alloy freehub body needs a good firm hand too when you're tightening the cassette. It is possible to notch it under load, but it's harder than others I've tested.
Out on the open road the Braccianos are everything you'd want a wheel to be; responsive, comfortable, stiff and quiet. I didn't manage to eke any brake rub out of front or rear; in the workshop testing the 4mm deflection of the rim for a 15kg lateral load is about average for the money, on the tarmac they never felt flexy.
Acceleration is excellent, and you certainly feel the lack of heft on the climbs too. On the descents the bike felt a little more nervous than with the Fulcrum 3s I was running before the test, but I find that's a common side-effect of a light wheelset. You have to take care when sprinting too, as it's easier to throw the bike from side to side. I took the Braccianos out on a couple of long rides sporting the Conti Force/Attack combo tyres I've been riding on other wheelsets, and they certainly weren't any less comfortable than comparably-priced (and more expensive) wheelsets on the same setup, even after four of five hours in the saddle.
Anything not to like? No, not really. You'll have to pay a lot more than £349 to get a similarly light wheelset from the likes of Shimano, Mavic or Fulcrum – nearly twice as much in two of those cases – and there's nothing in the quality of components or construction, or the ride experience, to suggest that these Pro-Lite wheels won't give you comparable performance over time. Effectively you're getting race wheel weight and function for training wheel money. And that has to be a good thing.
If you're thinking of buying this product using a cashback deal why not use the road.cc Top Cashback page and get some top cashback while helping to support your favourite independent cycling website
Make and model: Pro-Lite Bracciano wheelset
Size tested: 700c
Tell us what the product is for, and who it's aimed at. What do the manufacturers say about it? How does that compare to your own feelings about it?
Lightweight alloy 700c wheelset aimed at mid-market racers and Sportive riders
Tell us some more about the technical aspects of the product?
Super light Alloy 6066 material, Flash Welding.
27 mm profile for superior aerodynamic performance.
2 in front hub, 5 in rear hub angular contact bearing (Japanese EZO)
Available for Campagnolo or Shimano freehub bodies
20 Spoke Front, 24 Spoke Rear.
PRO-LITE double butted stainless aero spoke.
Alloy T73 nipple.
100% built by hand.
True both laterally and radially on arrival (and they'd come from another test), smooth hubs and quiet freehub
Can't fault the performance at this price
Not the longest test we've ever done but there were no problems on test and nothing to suggest any flaws in the design
For the money, spot on
Really easy rolling wheels, never felt harsh
For £349 they're a steal. Pro-Lite tell us they've currently run out, and we're not surprised
Tell us how the product performed overall when used for its designed purpose
Excellent performance all round
Tell us what you particularly liked about the product
Pretty much everything: the build, the weight, the ride feel
Tell us what you particularly disliked about the product
I'm not a fan of alloy spoke nipples
Did you enjoy using the product? Yes
Would you consider buying the product? Definitely
Would you recommend the product to a friend? Definitely
Anything further to say about the product in conclusion?
Probably the best bang for buck wheelset we've seen this year.
Age: 36 Height: 190cm Weight: 98kg
I usually ride: Schwinn Moab, urbanised with 700cs My best bike is: Trek 1.5 with upgrades
I've been riding for: 10-20 years I ride: Every day I would class myself as: Experienced
I regularly do the following types of riding: time trialling, commuting, sportives, general fitness riding, fixed/singlespeed, mtb, Mountain Bike Bog Snorkelling, track
Dave is a founding father of road.cc, having previously worked on Cycling Plus and What Mountain Bike magazines back in the day. He also writes about e-bikes for our sister publication ebiketips. He's won three mountain bike bog snorkelling World Championships, and races at the back of the third cats.
Now [u]£250[/u] on Chain Reaction Cycles.
Ordered myself a black Campag set


text:
Evan Turner scored 22 points and Thaddeus Young had 20 to lead the Philadelphia 76ers to a 100-98 win over the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday night.
Jrue Holiday had 18 points and seven assists for the Sixers, who snapped a six-game losing streak to Dallas.
The Sixers shot 6 of 14 on 3-pointers and won their second straight game.
Chris Kaman scored 20 points, and Elton Brand and Shawn Marion had 17 apiece for the Mavericks. Vince Carter added 15 and was clutch in the fourth quarter in trying to bring Dallas back from a 10-point hole.
The 76ers finally created some space in a back-and-forth game when they snapped a tie with a 10-0 run midway through the fourth.


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PHOENIXVILLE - The late Orioles manager Denise Kuleski was remembered during a special ceremony as the Phoenixville Babe Ruth League opened the 2013 season on Saturday, April 20, at deSanno Field, located at Wheatland and Mason streets.
Kuleski, who died during the offseason after a bout with pancreatic cancer, spent 16 years working at PBRL managing the Orioles and also all-star teams at the circuit. She also served as league secretary. A lifelong Phoenixville resident, Kuleski worked fulltime as a teacher in the Pottstown School District. She passed away on Saturday, July 28, 2012.
A sign with Kuleski's uniform number 22 was retired and unveiled on the left field fence as a tribute to her memory. The name Denise 'Dee' Kuleski is on the banner. Orioles players will also wear black patches on their uniforms. Kuleski's jersey hung in the dugout as the Orioles met the Indians in the first game of a tripleheader to kick off the season.
Sister Sharon Kuleski and close friend Cheryl Kennedy threw out the ceremonial first pitches to former Orioles players Joe Little Jr. and Ryan Yenchick.
Current Orioles players Josh Watson (number 11) and James Carnevale (number 2) took part in the banner ceremony in the outfield.
Orioles coaches Dr. Andy Timar, a chiropractor, and Joe Little Sr. spoke during the Kuleski tribute.
Dave White is commissioner of the PBRL.
Due to heavy rain last Friday, league volunteers had to work diligently from 7 a.m. on Saturday morning to make the field playable by 11 a.m.
Results of the games thus far: April 20-Orioles 7, Indians 2; Cardinals 8, Red Sox 6; Braves 11, Athletics 7; April 21-Cardinals 5, Athletics 2; Indians 4, Braves 2; Red Sox 10, Orioles 5.


text:
Connectors are sold individually.
Corning Cable Systems UniCam® High-Performance Connectors offer best-in-class optical performance in a fast, easy field-termination solution. These high-precision ceramic ferrule single-mode connectors guarantee a 0.2 dB typical/0.5 dB maximum insertion loss per connector pair for exceptional network performance. Installation of an LC, SC, or ST® Compatible Connector can be accomplished in about 45 seconds with the UniCam High-Performance Tool Kit. The lightweight, hand held installation tool and the high-performance cleaver virtually eliminate human variability from installation, ensuring terminations are right, the first time, every time. This kit was designed with consideration for the network installers, from the cleaver, with its integrated fiber scrap bin and dual-clamp precision hold, to the installation tool, with its immediate go/no-go feedback signal. Installation is as easy as strip, clean, cleave, cam and crimp, with exceptional optical performance guaranteed.
Every UniCam® connector is assured to meet the published specification at the time of installation or Corning will replace it.


text: Welcome to the Delaware Native Plant Society (DNPS). We are a volunteer-based, publicly supported, non-profit organization dedicated to the use, propagation, promotion, and conservation of native plants and their natural habitats through education, science, advocacy, and land stewardship. The Society was created on 18 March 1998 and we have made some great progress over the years in the realization of our vision statement. But we need the concerned public to maintain this trend as your membership strengthens the Society's role as the voice for our native plants. We encourage you to browse around this site, join the Society, attend some events, and truly get involved in one of only a handful of organizations in the Mid-Atlantic region that are dedicated to improving the natural habitats of Delaware, and your own backyard, through the use of native plants.


text:
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