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Disturbances Frequent — Soon After a Disturbance Disturbance Large
FIGURE 7.3 Graph of the intermediate disturbance hypothesis which suggests that the maximum diversity occurs when the disturbance level is moderate. (Adapted from Connell, J. H., 1978. Science. 199:1302-1310.)
Disturbances Frequent — Soon After a Disturbance Disturbance Large
FIGURE 7.3 Graph of the intermediate disturbance hypothesis which suggests that the maximum diversity occurs when the disturbance level is moderate. (Adapted from Connell, J. H., 1978. Science. 199:1302-1310.)
species is reduced. This is a promising focus to take for understanding exotic invasions, especially due to the well-developed theory of disturbance in ecology (Clark, 1989; Connell, 1978; Levin and Paine, 1974; Petraitis et al., 1989; Pickett and White, 1985; Pickett et al., 1989; Reice, 2001; Sousa, 1984; Walker, 1999). This theory states that species can adapt to natural disturbances, and in some cases they even use the disturbance as an energy source. As examples, energy from disturbances can be used for accelerating nutrient cycling or dispersing propagules. Connell's (1978) study, which showed that the maximum diversity was found at intermediate levels of disturbance (Figure 7.3), became a benchmark in documenting the important role of disturbance in ecology. The hump-shaped pattern arises for several reasons. At low levels of disturbance, the most adapted species outcompete all of the other species (for example, those that are "K-selected," see Chapter 5), which lowers diversity. At high levels of disturbance, only a few species can adapt to the environmental conditions that change so often (for example, those that are "r-selected"), which also lowers diversity. The highest diversity occurs at intermediate levels of disturbance because some species adapted to the entire disturbance spectrum are supported. Energy theory provides an alternative explanation: the intermediate levels of disturbance provide the most energy subsidy to the ecosystem, while low levels of disturbances provide less energy subsidy and high levels of disturbance act as stress rather than subsidy (E. P. Odum et al., 1979). Disturbance theory has led ecologists to emphasize nonequilibrium concepts of ecosystems over the earlier ideas of more static "balance-of-nature" concepts. The theory of island biogeography (see Chapters 4 and 5) is an example of an equilibrium model for explaining species diversity. Under equilibrium conditions competitive exclusion can run its course, eliminating inferior competitors and selecting for the species best adapted to a site. However, under nonequilibrium conditions the environment changes frequently enough that competitive exclusion cannot run its course and thus more species are supported on the site. Nonequilibrium theory was first used by Hutchinson (1961)
to explain the "paradox of the plankton" or why so many species of phytoplankton are found to coexist in the epilimnion or upper layer of a lake. The epilimnion seemed to offer only one niche for phytoplankton since it was uniformly mixed with constant light intensity. Under these conditions the competitive exclusion principle (see Chapter 1) dictated that only one species of phytoplankton should be found at equilibrium. Yet many species are found there. Hutchinson solved this paradox by suggesting that environmental conditions (such as temperature and nutrient concentrations) actually change with sufficient frequency to preclude the onset of competitive equilibrium, thus allowing many species to coexist. Huston (1979) elaborated and generalized Hutchinson's nonequilibrium concept of species diversity in an important paper published one year after Connell's classic. Since the 1970s non-equilibrium and disturbance theory have become dominant in ecology (Chesson and Case, 1986; DeAngleis and Waterhouse, 1987; Reice, 1994; Wiens, 1984). The shift in emphasis from equilibrium to nonequilibrium perspectives is critically important in ecology, but it does not necessarily imply that the field is without order or predictability. Rather, as noted by Wu and Loucks (1996), "harmony is embedded in the patterns of fluctuation, and ecological persistence is 'order within disorder'."
It is not enough to simply correlate exotic invasion with disturbances caused by humans. Much research is needed for understanding how the various kinds of human disturbances act. Frequency, intensity, and duration have been found to be good descriptors of natural disturbances. Work is needed to quantitatively derive similar descriptors of human disturbances in relation to exotic invasions. For example, no simple relation was found between urbanization as a form of disturbance and degree of exotic invasion by Zinecker (1997) for riparian forest plant species in northern Virginia. The approach of Reeves et al. (1995) in developing "a new human-influenced disturbance regime" might be a good model for the disturbances that facilitate invasion of exotic species.
Relatively less attention has been given to the factor of increased dispersal by humans as the cause of exotic invasions, although it is usually acknowledged as being important. In fact, invasions can occur in systems that are not necessarily disturbed by humans, as long as an invader can reach the system. The invasion of isolated oceanic islands, such as the introduction of goats by explorers in the 1700s, is an example of this situation. However, increased disturbance and dispersal usually occur simultaneously, making it difficult to separate the two factors in most case studies. Increased dispersal of species from one biogeographic province to another is occurring due to increased rates of travel and trade within the global economy. Total amounts of dispersal are seldom known because only successful introductions are recorded (Simberloff, 1981, 1989; Welcomme, 1984). Ship ballast, as a form of increased dispersal for aquatic organisms, is a good example of a well-studied mechanism (Carlton, 1985; Williams, 1988) and has potential for regulation (National Research Council [NRC], 1996a). New syntheses of dispersal by exotic organisms must be based on detailed species-specific studies, such as Carlton's (1993) work on zebra mussels (Dreissena polymorpha), which are only now starting to accumulate in the literature. Studies of the dispersal of native species (Bullock et al., 2002; Clobert et al., 2001; Gunn and Dennis, 1976; Howe and Smallwood, 1982; van der Pijl, 1972; Wolfenbarger, 1975) can be models for the syntheses, but there will probably be new elements of preadaptation that help explain increased dispersal rates by exotic organisms.
The final component of the equation given earlier in this section is the concept of new systems with mixes of natives and exotics. Mooney and Drake (1989) emphasize the idea that these are "new," which is a different perspective than one gets from reading most literature on exotics. Rather than thinking of these as natural systems that have been degraded by the introduction of exotic species, they can be seen as new systems that have been reorganized from the old "natural" systems. The value of this perspective is that it allows thinking to be freed from biases to consider new forms of organization (see Chapter 9).
Humans are creating a tremendous number of new habitats that in turn create opportunities for new mixes of species. Cohen and Carlton (1998) describe the San Francisco Bay and Delta ecosystem as having perhaps the highest exotic species diversity of any estuary because the bay is a focal point for transport and, therefore, increased dispersal and because of extensive human disturbance (Nichols et al., 1986; Pestrong, 1974). In another example, Ewel (1986a) describes the new soil conditions of South Florida as being an important factor in the exotic invasion of terrestrial systems in the following quote:
Substrate modification, such as rock plowing, diking, strip-mining, and bedding, has created soils and topographic features heretofore unknown to Florida. These human-created soils, or anthrosols, are likely to support new ecosystems in which exotic species play dominant roles. The Hole-in-the-Doughnut in Everglades National Park exemplifies this situation. Despite efforts by the National Park Service to restore native vegetation to this rock plowed land, a peppertree/wax myrtle/saltbush ecosystem persists there.
The story of invasion of Gatun Lake in Panama by cichlid fish species (Swartzmann and Zaret, 1983; Zaret, 1975; Zaret and Paine, 1973) offers another view of new systems. This is an example that is often used to illustrate the severity of changes that exotic introductions can have on an ecosystem. In this case the cichlid is a voracious predator that was introduced into the lake. Changes in the lake's food web over time, which included dramatic reductions in native species and a simplification of the structure of the food web, were documented (Figure 7.4). While this is often used as an example of how much change an exotic can make in a native food web, in fact it may be better explained as an example of a reorganization of a new system because Gatun Lake is a reservoir formed as part of the Panama Canal rather than a natural lake. The original natural system was a river that was subsequently turned into a reservoir when the canal was built. This change in hydrology must have played a significant role in the changes in the food web that Zaret and Paine described. This interpretation is not intended to diminish the importance of Gatun Lake as an example of exotic invasion but rather to highlight the context of the example as a reorganized new system rather than a degraded natural system.
One way to think of the new systems is as examples of alternative stable states. In this concept if a system is perturbed beyond some threshold of resilience, the system may change through succession to a new organization or stable state and not
FIGURE 7.4 Comparison of food webs in Gatun Lake, Panama, with and without an exotic fish predator. (A) Tarpon atlanticus. (B) Chlidonias niger. (C) Several species of herons and kingfishers. (D) Gobiomorus dormitor. (E) Melaniris chagresi. (F) Characinidae, including four common species. (G) Poeciliidae, including two common species; on exclusively herbivorous, Poecilia mexicana, and one exclusively insectivorous, Gambusia nicaraguagensis. (H) Cichla-soma maculicauda. (I) Zooplankton. (J) Terrestrial insects. (K) Nannophtoplankton. (L) Filamentous green algae. (M) Adult Cichla ocellaris. (N) young Cichla. (From Zaret, T.M. and R. T. Paine. 1973. Science. 182:449-455. With permission.)
FIGURE 7.4 Comparison of food webs in Gatun Lake, Panama, with and without an exotic fish predator. (A) Tarpon atlanticus. (B) Chlidonias niger. (C) Several species of herons and kingfishers. (D) Gobiomorus dormitor. (E) Melaniris chagresi. (F) Characinidae, including four common species. (G) Poeciliidae, including two common species; on exclusively herbivorous, Poecilia mexicana, and one exclusively insectivorous, Gambusia nicaraguagensis. (H) Cichla-soma maculicauda. (I) Zooplankton. (J) Terrestrial insects. (K) Nannophtoplankton. (L) Filamentous green algae. (M) Adult Cichla ocellaris. (N) young Cichla. (From Zaret, T.M. and R. T. Paine. 1973. Science. 182:449-455. With permission.)
revert back to the old organization (Holling, 1973; May, 1977). Thus, some form of disturbance may push a natural system into a new domain of stability with an entirely new set of species (Figure 7.5). Alternative stable states have been discussed for a number of ecosystems including coral reefs (Done, 1992; Hughes, 1994; Knowlton, 1992), grazing systems (Augustine et al., 1998; Dublin et al., 1990; Laycock, 1991; Rietkerk and Van de Koppel, 1997), mud flats (Van de Koppel et al., 2001), and lakes (Blindow et al., 1993; Scheffer and Jeppesen, 1998). The concept remains controversial but seems to be generally applicable (Carpenter, 2001; Law and Morton, 1993; Sutherland, 1974). Introduction of exotic species can be thought of as an impact that causes the system to change from one stable state to a new one with a reorganized ecosystem structure and function. For example, the invasion of zebra mussels into the Great Lakes has been suggested to cause a shift from a pelagic stable state to a benthic stable state because of the zebra mussels' ability to strip sediments and algae from the water column through suspension feeding (Kay and Regier, 1999; MacIsaac, 1996). With increased dispersal by humans many new mixes
Domain c Original Sys
Domain c Original Sys
FIGURE 7.5 Theory of alternative stable states in ecology. An ecosystem can be pushed between alternative domains by major disturbances. (Adopted from Bradbury, R.H. et al. 1984. Australasian Science. 14(11-12):323-325.)
FIGURE 7.5 Theory of alternative stable states in ecology. An ecosystem can be pushed between alternative domains by major disturbances. (Adopted from Bradbury, R.H. et al. 1984. Australasian Science. 14(11-12):323-325.)
of species may come together on a site and allow for the creation of new alternative stable states. Perhaps the number of possible alternative stable states is much greater with the accelerated seeding rates of human introductions as compared with what is possible under the old natural conditions. In a sense, genetics is a limiting factor to ecosystem development in natural systems and may be overcome by exotic invasions that add species to the system.
The new order created by exotic invasions is both a challenge and a stimulus for learning about ecology. Marston Bates (1961) made this connection in a relatively early reference:
The animals and plants that have been accidentally or purposefully introduced into various parts of the world in the past offer many opportunities for study that have hardly been utilized. They can, in a way, be considered as gigantic, though unplanned, experiments in ecology, geography, and evolution, and surely we can learn much from them.
This was also stated by Allee et al. (1949) in their classic text on animal ecology:
The concept of biotic barriers may be tested by introducing animals and plants from foreign associations and observing the results. In most instances such tests have not been performed consciously. With the advent of modern transportation, many organisms are inadvertently introduced into ancient balanced communities. These unwitting experiments may be studied with profit.
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I would like to know if anyone was invited to the 'public workshop' last Saturday regarding Sainsburys in Dorridge.
I live in Dorridge and only had the leaflet on Tuesday, July 13. Sainsbury's sent an extra leaflet apologizing for the late delivery (hmm) and extended the deadline for request to attend the workshop to the Wednesday, July 14 rather than Monday July 12. I telephoned to show my interest and asked where the workshop was to be held.
Surprise, surprise! I was told they had not decided on a venue and when I enquired as to how anyone would know of the details of where and when, I was informed that a 'cross section of the community' would be selected and informed by phone'. However, I have not met anyone who has attended the workshop,or heard any news either of the meeting or the outcome.
The suspicion now, is that was this workshop kept a secret so that only those who approved of the existing plan would be invited so that the quote could read "there was an overall approval of the new plans"? I hope that Solihull Planning Dept.do not close their eyes to this.
I am not against Sainsburys in Dorridge, but I am not in favour of the size. Before huge out of town stores were built, Dorridge was a thriving village with a diversity of small shops. If Sainsbury wish to put something back into village community, a smaller supermarket plus a variety of independent shops would be the ideal.
M.Hawe Dorridge
Signs of chaos
I note from the SMBC advert on page 63 in the Solihull News this week that speed limits of 50 mph on various roads comes into force on July 30, 2010.
For the Solihull Bypass dual carriageway section it says :- "This section of the bypass is currently unrestricted..." It says something similar for the other roads affected.
Are the 50 mph signs now erected illegal? Why were they put up too early? Is this not a waste of police and court time if they stop and book a motorist legally doing the higher limit your notice says is currently in force?
I think an inquiry should be carried out. If these 50 mph limits, on some roads where it is patently stupid, for 'road safety' why are roads like Field Lane in Catherine de Barnes still de-restricted? (Field Lane is a short single track road, with no passing places, where 30mph would be too fast!)
Richard Taylor via e-mail
Ward confusion
REGARDING the travellers camp off Monks Path Hall Road, I read with great amusement that a nearby resident 'phoned Lorely Burt with the news. Is this person so politically illiterate that they do not know their MP is Caroline Spelman and they live in the Meriden Ward? No wonder the country is in the mess.
Linda Brown
Devitts Close, Shirley
Academy fears
It was agreed by Liberal Democrat and Labour members at last Full Council that concern over the Academies and Free Schools Bill, and the impact it may have on education for children in Solihull, be expressed to the Secretary of State, the Local Authority Leaders Board and the borough's two MPs.
It was accepted that, in Solihull, whilst we do have a very good standard of education provision, there is still a wide gap in attainment across the borough which has not been narrowed much by the present Academy programme in Solihull, and that the new proposals could widen the gap further.
Members of the Liberal Democrat and Labour groups expressed concerns about a possible lack of democracy, transparency and accountability in the new Academies and Free Schools Bill.
They were worried about the legal and financial implications for volunteer governors of new Academies - suddenly faced with the responsibility not just for their school but for the land it stands on. Concerns were expressed about the admissions policies and also the needs of Solihull's most vulnerable children.
Ensuring public money is equitably shared in these difficult times is paramount.
As we know now the Bill has been rushed through Parliament and agreed, although expressions of concern have been raised in the Lords very similar to those expressed by the Lib/Dem and Labour groups in Solihull and following the debate, the Lords have agreed that a number of amendments be put before parliament.
In line with their policy of encouraging more community engagement, Liberal Democrats are committed to giving whole school communities the opportunity to debate whether theirs should register for academy status in an open and transparent way.
I firmly believe this bill needed closer scrutiny because I subscribe totally to the Council's policy that 'Every Child Matters'.
Coun Jean Hamilton
Chair of Education Children and Young People Scrutiny Board

subset: commoncrawl


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Big River Clean sees volunteers clear up the Cleddau catchment
Black Friday campaign raises over £9,000 for the Pembrokeshire Coast National Park Trust's Make More Meadows appeal
National Park Authority outlines response to climate emergency
Lifetime achievement award for National Park volunteer stalwart with over half a century of service
Shop local and beat the Black Friday blues at the National Park Authority's three Christmas crackers
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Do slasher films glorify sex and violence toward women? What is the "final girl" archetype, and what can we learn from other slasher film tropes? Join Caroline and Cristen as they delve into the evolution of the slasher film genre.
Topics in this Podcast: Halloween, Film, female characters, representations of gender, violence


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Curious to hear the new Norah Jones? All you have to do is click right here to buy "Thinking About You" for a whole 99 cents -- and the best part is, you can do whatever you want with it after you buy it. None of that iTunes bullshit where it won't play on anything but your iPod. Buy it, and you actually own it. Novel concept. (Little down on Apple today; my iPod crashed and is back at the factory, cleared of all 2,743 songs on its 30g hard drive. Yeah, I know. Boo-friggin'-hoo.)
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This is the first single from Jones' third studio release, Not Too Late, which is out January 30. --Robert Wilonsky


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What a creepy little shit.
oh shit i didnt even notice
You are doomed.
Fixed oppai loli
She looks better.
I want this meme to die already
You fags never told me that it can be fun to fap to small chested girls.
When they're lolis yeah it's fun.
When they're teenagers or adults, no.
worst plugsuit
>he needs to be told what he can or cannot fap to
What a gay
Is Japan ever going to grow out of their delusion that low framerates look better and can compensate for their incompetent animation?
Because there isn't a single case where a smooth framerate wouldn't look better, even in well-animated cases like Orange's work.
You're talking about 3D CG, right?
Why wouldn't I? Limited 2d animation is due to time. Choppy 3d is due to deliberately reducing frames. They aren't that starved for rendering time.
New Trogger cartoon when?
What's wrong lulubro?
Luluco a slut
It's been five years since the anime aired, and we have a new season announced for next year. Recently catched up with the manga, pretty generic but it was really great, opinions?
>pretty generic
it wasn't generic but it was boring as hell
first season was pretty standard shonen shit, I expect much of the same from the second.
I'll still watch it of course.
I disagree, it really wasn't all that great for me. I could predict the outcome of every episode within the first 5 minutes, none of the characters were really all that likeable/interesting, and although I really tried to be engaged, I couldn't get into it.
She's an adult, isn't she
best gril
She's best fembro
why does worst girl always win?
She is obviously a bujoshit
Fuck you. You already know me. And fuck you jihad. Dumb fuck raghead cunt.
I'll get to the point. This is the end. End of the road.
Just as we've kindled fire, we fucking argued.
We reasoned. We fucking argued with reason.
We loved. We fucking argued with a logical reason and an accepting reason.
Now we're smart enough to talk the final age. The true age....
Comment too long. Click here to view the full text.
>The original Diaboromon is going back to where it all started. I started on 4chan in 2008. Call me newfag etc, but I am now an oldfag and I'm old enough and wise enough to bitchslap you with Transcendent Sword if you get in my way! I don't know when it all started with my Dad. He won't talk to me about it. I will carry his gun, though.
His gun is his weapon. His tool. His views and beliefs and opinions that he has fought for. For 35 years. He needs to go back to where it started. He needs to help me kill off where I started,...
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Conflict resolution techniques are applied in the military. The conflict is with a father and son. Inner conflict from the father (PTSD), inner conflict from the son (Schizophrenia)
As the father is suffering and the son is suffering, they must meet and resolve their conflict. Their inner turmoil.
We must talk peace now. Love is a part of peace. Peace is tranquility. Peace is security.
Peace is the end.
The end of all your anger, your hate, your intelligence, your love.
The end can also be called Death.
Peace of Death. Peace of Mind.
Who could kill him? I want to see how many people /a/ can come up with.
Let's just get the boring and obvious out of the way.
Just watched Spirited Away and all i gotta say is wow. I hope someone here shares my enthusiasm about this movie. Also General Discussion thread.
Studio Ghibli is good at making feels
The amount of creativity in this movie alone makes it a worthwhile watch.
You're 10 years late even for normie standards.
What is Goku doing to Cell /a/ ?
i don't know you tell me
He's teaching him that even though his tail has become a vestigial stinger, he still has an alternate route for people to go inside him.
giving him the daily dose
thanks doc
So, I just finished reading "Oyasumi Punpun".
I... I don't know how to feel. Should I kill myself?
Try jerking off.
I can't
You retard, wasn't that the entire point of the manga? That after all that, he was ok?
>introduces a great premise that could lead to a meta discussion about government and corruption.
>ends up being a moeshit show with brain washing hamsters.
Anyone else pissed off at this shit?
No, the first greentext would've lead to something completely garbage.
>a meta discussion about government and corruption
Sounds like pretentious shit, no thanks.
I'm pissed that they added plot to what could have been a comfy daily life on boats.
so, finally got around to ergo proxy; just finished episode 1 and did not understand half of what was happening. will it become more clear?
Yes. But it's still nothing to write home about. A passable watch all the same
I dropped it at episode 1. None of it was interesting enough to even pay attention to half of the incoherent drivel. Maybe it does clear up, but fuck me.
Kind of. There's one episode that explains some of the the backstory of the world, but it's definitely a show that makes much more sense on a second viewing.
traps? pls
which trap made you realize there was no turning back for you?
no that's gay


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Blackstone raising $10 billion for new distressed real estate fund
Bloomberg News is reporting that the New York-based asset management firm Blackstone Group has already raised $6 billion for a new $10 billion real estate fund that will focus on distressed assets.
JLL's Jim Postweiler (left), a Managing Director of the firm's Office Investment Sales Group, says he anticipates that Blackstone will likely consider a variety of opportunities in Chicago and in several other secondary Midwestern markets:
"They're savvy buyers who like opportunities where their purchasing power or contrarian approach make them the preferred candidate. They'll look at a wide array of options but it won't be smaller one-off deals. You can't get your money deployed that way. They'll definitely be looking at larger-scale portfolios."
You can read the full story from Bloomberg here.


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No Blog
So sorry I've been away. Life has consumed me!
I will try and get back soon as Gage is getting his G-tube next week.
Guess I'll be adding that to my everyday blog topics.
I'll be back soon! With some big new too!
2 Comments »
I came across your blog while looking for recipes for my daughter who is primarily tube fed and had been for 3years now. If you haven't already heard of it, check out http://www.feedingtubeawareness.org and the Feeding Tube Awareness Foundation on facebook. It's a great support system for parents of tubies! I hope everything went well with the surgery!
Comment by Brandis | January 6, 2013 |


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Friends of Hollywood Cemetery is a 501(c)3 organization that was founded in 2007 in order to meet the cemetery's growing need for private philanthropy. Friends' primary goal is the restoration and conservation of monuments, sculptures, and ironwork within the cemetery. They handle development programs for the cemetery, community outreach efforts and cemetery events, including tours, picnics and guest speakers.
With the aid of conservation consultants, Friends of Hollywood has identified and ranked monuments and ornamentation most in need of repair and enhancement. The cemetery's current income and endowment, however, is not enough to cover all the care and conservation needed to preserve this historic site.
Hollywood depends on the generous support of donors in order to ensure the long-term care of the cemetery. These donations are essential to the preservation of this historic cemetery for future generations.
There are several volunteer opportunities available at Hollywood Cemetery. Through volunteer work, the cemetery is able to preserve the unique landscape of Hollywood. For details on future volunteer opportunities, please visit our Events Calendar.
Officers and Directors
- Kelly Jones Wilbanks, Executive Director
- Nancy B. Rowe, Development Associate
- Edward M. Farley, IV - Chair
- David L. Gilliam - Secretary
- William R. Claiborne - Treasurer
- Mary Lynn Bayliss, PhD
- Elizabeth Rawles Cronly
- Joseph R. Herbert
- E. Bryson Powell
- Elizabeth Wilkins Talley
- Peter C. Toms


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The oil-dependency burden
Ecuador faces downside risks due to constrained export and fiscal revenues, as a consequence of rebounded-but-still-low crude oil prices. Oil accounts for around 30% of government revenues. After sinking by -1.5% in 2016 - the first recession in almost 2 decades - real GDP growth will return to positive territory in the forecast horizon, as uncertainties driven by the political cycle ease. EH expects the Ecuadorian economy to grow by a modest +0.6% in 2017 and +1.4% in 2018, far below the 2010-2014 average of +5.2%.


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Best vlogging camera under 300
Are you seeking for affordable vlogging cameras? Still have some questions that you cannot find answers to? If you have flexible budget, you may have lots of choices to select from. However, if you have fixed budget, you may narrow the brands and types of cameras that you want to buy. In this article, you will be guided how to choose best vlogging camera under 300 dollars/bucks. Actually, you can get the good ones, but you may face with some limitations in features and functions; and the quality can't be perfect.
If you are addicted and ready with vlogging channel, you can have a look at the following list of popular cameras that every famous vloggers and beginners are using to record videos. If you read newspaper or magazines, you must find some famous guys who are earnings lots of money from doing vlogging. You may wonder how to start your own channels. Below is one of the most important factors that you should equip yourself before starting to do vlogging.
There is not reason to hold you back with your hobbies or your addiction in vlogging. Some famous vloggers can also use smartphones or basic cameras to capture great scenes. So what you need to do is to learn techniques. Below are some cameras that you need to have a hard look at when you decide to do vlogging.
Below are top 5 vlogging cameras under $300 that you can discover:
1. Panasonic Lumix ZS50 Camera
One of the best cameras that can use for vlogging with affordable price is the Panasonic Lumix ZS50. This camera has its famous brands with full features. It has great combination with camera lenses. This camera has good weight of 0.53lbs. You can hold it in your hands neatly. The hand grip is also well shaped so it is easy to use with ease of adjustment.
This Lumix ZS50 can produce clear videos in both wide angle and being zoomed in. Recording and filming with this camera can deliver good quality videos thanks to the combination of Leica optics. In addition, it has great performance in sensor with lower light to produce HD video.
Overall: This camera has affordable price with good quality to record videos. It is suitable to produce high quality videos for vlogging channel with clear video and nice audio.
2. Canon PowerShot SX610 HS
With affordable price range, the Canon PowerShot SX610 HS can be considered one of the most popular cameras that you should possess. This camera has a wide angle capability of 25mm while the zoom lens have size of 18X. In other words, this camera is small, but it has great video functions so that you can record great videos at good quality.
The Intelligent IS is one of the great features that this camera has. You can be free from worry about quality since it can automatically turn into correct stabilization mode to capture objects. This is video mode which is best suited for many vloggers. Besides, it has lots of different IS modes that you can choose from. Each mode gives different functions and results. So you can have flexible choice to make when using this camera.
With this camera, you can wirelessly transfer image and video files easily by sharing with your friends and family.
Overall: This camera can be one of the best choices for you to make when it provides good functions and features at affordable prices. You can share your all files easily and quickly since it supports for wireless transfer.
3. Nikon COOLPIX L340
This camera seems to be bigger with size and heavier with weight. However, this camera is still handy. It has good hand grip. This camera has 28X zoom lens. This camera has the built in miscrophone while it is not as good as an external mic. However, it is good for the type of camera with affordable price.
Overall: This camera is good for those who are looking for built-in miscrophone.
4. Canon PowerShot SX530 HS
The Canon PowerShot SX530 HS can be another good camera that you can consider if you want to add good camera to your list. This camera has 50X optical zoom and 1080P HD video which can help users to record good videos. One of other great features is "Zoom Framing Assist". Although this camera is larger, it is still handy.
Overall: Price is ok with some great features.
5. Nikon COOLPIX B500 Digital Camera
Finally, the Nikon COOLPIX B500 Digital Camera is another good camera. This camera has 40X optical zoom lenses.
The sound quality is good with a large screen HD-TV.
Overall: This is one of the best cameras that you should add to your best cameras to buy.


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Marg Theriault
How has adoption changed your life?
It is okay to speak about my experience in being adopted. It is nothing to be ashamed of or to hide.
What is a lesson from your adoption experience that would be life changing for all families?
Listen to an Adoptee and let them share those feelings
What changes would you like to see made in adoption?
Issues we have are taken seriously.


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Program Empowers Families in the Developing World to Build New Futures
San Diego, CA—PCI (Project Concern International) President & CEO George Guimaraes discussed a "neighborhood approach" to tackle the growing problem of urban slums around world while speaking today at the Clinton Global Initiative (CGI) Annual Meeting. "Sustainable Cities and Communities" is the 11th Sustainable Development Goal being discussed during the UN General Assembly last week.
Building on PCI's commitment at CGI to transform urban slums in the developing world into resilient neighborhoods, PCI is partnering with Build Change, CEMEX, and Cordaid in developing countries to empower poor and vulnerable populations with tools and supplies to create better housing and communities.
"The world will add an equivalent of 250 more New York Cities by the year 2050 as urban populations in developing countries continue to skyrocket," said PCI President and CEO George Guimaraes. "Many of the neighborhoods in these growing cities are unsafe informal slums with deplorable economic and social conditions. By bringing the private and public sector together and providing people with the opportunity and tools to improve the lives of their families, these slums can become thriving neighborhoods."
"Everyone has the right to a safe house that can protect them from natural disasters, including earthquakes, typhoons, and wind storms," said Elizabeth Hausler Strand, Founder and CEO of Build Change. "Working with engineers and partners on the ground to build better housing with designs that meet the needs of local households is key to saving lives and creating lasting change."
First piloted following the Haiti earthquake in 2010 with USAID's Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA), PCI and its partners transformed the Ravine Pintade neighborhood of Port-au-Prince, building homes for 2,000 families. This neighborhood included improved water and sanitation, roads and walkways, as well as retaining walls, adequate drainage and other measures to reduce the risks from future disasters.
PCI is currently working in Guatemala with USAID in five cities to transform high-risk communities into resilient, safe and productive communities.
The first pilot country partnership with CEMEX will be in Tijuana, Mexico, in the next year, transforming and upgrading communities at risk for flooding and earthquakes. PCI is working with CEMEX and CGI to expand to new countries in Asia and Africa. PCI is also engaging with a broader range of public and private partners, including banks, to improve and scale the approach.
In this unique partnership, PCI will convene local community groups on the ground with its experience in building healthy, safe neighborhoods around the world, and CEMEX will participate by early 2015 through PIAC, its award-winning Assisted Self-Construction Integrated Program with the objective to improve the quality of life of at least 80,000 people.
This strategic approach includes building strong local capabilities by providing access to tools, know-how and financing that will not only generate new employment opportunities, but also provide high quality and affordable products and services to self-home builders. In addition, governments have a very important role to play, and this strategy will align with local public polices and facilitate public-private partnerships with successful proven models.
Together with partners, PCI is also developing new innovative approaches to the social and economic empowerment of women. PCI is half way to reaching its 2014 CGI commitment, now equipping 425,000 women around the world through its Women Empowered (WE) initiative with the tools, training, and opportunities they need to improve their lives and communities. There are over 31,000 WE groups with accumulated savings of more than $3.4 million.
About PCI
PCI is a global development organization that drives innovation from the ground up to enhance health, end hunger and overcome hardship—resulting in meaningful and measureable change in people's lives. PCI envisions a world where communities are able to provide for the health and well-being of their members, and children and families can achieve lives of hope, good health and self-sufficiency. For more information, visit www.pciglobal.org.
About Build Change
Build Change saves lives in earthquakes and windstorms by empowering people in emerging nations to build homes and schools that will protect their families and children. Build Change works to strengthen buildings before and after disasters strike in Colombia, Guatemala, Haiti, Indonesia, Nepal, and the Philippines. More than 23,000 people in Bhutan, China, Colombia, Guatemala, Haiti, Indonesia, and the Philippines have been trained in disaster‐resistant design and construction techniques and, in turn, have built over 47,000 safer homes, impacting 235,000 people. Visit www.buildchange.org.
About CEMEX
CEMEX is a global building materials company that provides high-quality products and reliable services to customers and communities in more than 50 countries. CEMEX has a rich history of improving the well-being of those it serves through innovative building solutions, efficiency advancements, and efforts to promote a sustainable future.
About Cordaid
Cordaid creates opportunities for the world's poorest, most vulnerable and excluded people. Cordaid works in health, emergency relief and investments. We are a social investor and invest in microfinance institutions and funds that offer loans, guarantees and capital stock to small- and medium-sized entrepreneurs, farmers, developers of housing projects and health clinics and other businesses that have limited other options. We do so in regions that involve a greater risk than other investors are willing to take.
About the Clinton Global Initiative
Established in 2005 by President Bill Clinton, the Clinton Global Initiative (CGI), an initiative of the Clinton Foundation, convenes global leaders to create and implement solutions to the world's most pressing challenges. CGI Annual Meetings have brought together 190 sitting and former heads of state, more than 20 Nobel Prize laureates, and hundreds of leading CEOs, heads of foundations and NGOs, major philanthropists, and members of the media. To date, members of the CGI community have made more than 3,200 Commitments to Action, which have improved the lives of over 430 million people in more than 180 countries.
In addition to the Annual Meeting, CGI convenes CGI America, a meeting focused on collaborative solutions to economic recovery in the United States; and CGI University (CGI U), which brings together undergraduate and graduate students to address pressing challenges in their community or around the world. This year, CGI also convened CGI Middle East and Africa, which brought together leaders across sectors to take action on pressing social, economic and environmental challenges.
For more information, visit clintonglobalinitiative.org and follow on Twitter @ClintonGlobal and Facebook at facebook.com/clintonglobalinitiative.


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After this I promise to chill with the meta-criticism, I promise. Today's Quotes of quotes of quotes of quotes (not to be confused with Quote of the day) comes from Scanners' Jim Emerson, and it deals with a problem that, as you may or may not know, has loomed heavy in my consciousness recently: how to get paid to do what I love.
For the first seven years of [writing film criticism] (in alternative weeklies, monthlies and on radio), if I got paid at all it was $10-$20 per review or article. I bring this up only to emphasize what both the writers above are saying: The ideas have to come first, then the writing. Anything after that is gravy. In the past, the biggest problem was how get your stuff to an outlet where it could be published. Now you can publish yourself worldwide on the Internet, and the remaining problems are still the same as they've always been: How to get readers to notice it, and how to make money doing it.
While movies have always been a popular form of entertainment, film criticism has always addressed only a tiny fraction of that audience — people who want to read about or think about or discuss movies with someone other than their immediate family and friends. That hasn't changed.
Hopefully there'll be a cushy spot in the socioeconomic food-chain for us film bloggers in, say, a little under three months. The future's so bright I gotta wear shades—but will I be able to afford them? Stay tuned.
Tags: critic-on-critic, Jim Emerson, quotation


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Search Menu
Family Court of Western Australia
Main Menu
Minor changes have been made to the following forms/kits to correct inaccuracies, refer to correct legislation, and reflect eFiling procedures:-
Form 11 Application for Consent Orders
Form NP1 Family Dispute Resolution – Exemption Form
Form NP10 Request for Refund of Court Fees
Superannuation Information Kit
Electronic copies of these forms are available the Forms and Resources page of this website.
All contents copyright © Government of Western Australia. All rights reserved.


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June 8, 2010
It is night outside, the light shines in from the street lamp across the road. The moon is full, and if all were quiet you could swear it was humming… But all is not quiet. They're at my window, eating the bars. Ugly little bastards aren't they? That awful gut-wrenching stench of dried blood and that haunting cry, like cats getting raped. I think I might have a milkshake.
Two minutes later, sipping at my chocolate milkshake I ponder on how I got myself into this ridiculously absurd situation. Soon the conclusion dawns on me, that this all occurred, because I was in dire need of a blow-job.
8:32am that morning I wake with an erection. After having a glorious tug I get out of bed and proceed to make a coffee. Caramel latte. Three sugars. Sipping my coffee I stare around at the cesspool that is my house. I should really clean it…. I frown and shake that depressing thought from my head, I guzzle the last of my coffee, pack my suitcase and leave for work.
9:23am- I sit impatiently in my car. I drum on the steering wheel to a Guns 'N Roses tune. I twitch now and again with annoyance. I'm going to be late for work… I'm going to be late… late…. fuck. I beep at the traffic ahead and throw myself around the car like a sped with bees up his ass. I'm going to be late for work. FUCK.
10:30am- My face is red with rage. My heart is pounding, my teeth gritting. I've been coping it from my boss for the last twenty minutes. I can't concentrate on anything but my anger and stress. I daydream of vicious Velociraptors tearing my co-workers to shreds, blood splattering the office floor as they scream, being torn limp from limp apart while alive, meanwhile I am in a toilet cubicle getting laid by the sexy receptionist.
11:59am- Bored with graphs and statistics I change screens on my computer and log onto MSN. No one is online. Suddenly 'SxcRecipe' signs in. It's the receptionist from my fantasy, we've been flirting for days. Suddenly I feel myself go hard. Dreams and fantasies fill my mind again. So I open a convo, and begin to chat.
1:02pm- I'm sculling my sixth coffee. For the last hour I've been dreaming of raptors. Killing everyone. The screams of my co-workers makes me smile. I picture the big claw on their foot cutting through that sexy, slutty face of the receptionist. That god damn dumb bitch. I finish my coffee and throw the cup across the room at the wall. My colleagues stare at me and I flip them off. I go into the toilet cubicle and pray for raptors. I beg God, Satan, Steven Spielberg, anyone I can pray to. That receptionist I talked about? She's black mailing me. FUCK. I should have never asked for a blow-job!
8:43- This is about where you came in. A still silent night besides the constant cries of these hideous beasts, screeching, hissing, snorting. They really are foul. I begin drinking my milkshake panicky. My hands get sweaty and I feel dizzy. How did it get to this? Truthfully I don't know. I was at the supermarket, and then I watched, starring in disbelief as the check-out chicks turned into blood thirsty Velociraptors, ripping customers into bloody shreds before my eyes. Hell. I still don't believe it. And now, they're outside my house and soon they'll be inside my house. Ripping me to shreds. Soon I'll be dead.
I finish my milkshake. With a sigh, I sit down on the couch, and I wait.
March 21, 2010
The essence of cum fills my nose as I scream.
I cannot stop him. This man is stronger than me…
He holds me down, and forcibly shoves his penis down my throat. I scream, it's disgusting, I want to die. Soon soft, bitter splooge fills my mouth as I try to spit only for him to hold my mouth shut forcing me to swallow his disgusting fluids.
Soon he turns me over, taking off my pants and grabbing a tight hold of my testicles, I am forced to let him enter my rectum for fear of my balls becoming mash. In and out he goes, fast and furious. It hurts and I scream in agony, and yet I have an erection. I know I am not enjoying it and that it is a natural reaction but I can't help but feel disgusted in myself as I grab my penis tightly pushing it down.
"Oh, liking it are you?!" The man screams in my ear.
Slowly pulling his wet, sloppy, cum covered penis out of my ass, he turns me on my back and begins sucking me off. I don't want this, it's gross, wrong and humiliating. But yet he is good, and I can't hold back my moaning and eventual release of semen. He smiles widely, cum dripping out of his mouth as he starts kissing me. I am so sick, as I taste my own cum the man gets dressed and leaves as I lay, naked on the floor crying. With a quick impulse due to my disgust I pull out a knife and attempt to cut off my own penis… but I can't do it… I enjoyed it… I know I did. It was wrong, and that's what made it good. As I stare at my half erect penis I begin to remember the taste of my own sperm… it was… interesting… I slowly bend down and begin to lick the semen off the tip of my penis… still curious, I manage to fit the whole thing in my mouth and begin sucking myself off…. oh this is good. Slowly I move two fingers to my anus and begin moving them in and out… they go in easy due to the wet sperm in my anus acting as lubrication… eventually I splooge all through my mouth and swallow. As I lay on the ground in a mass naked splooge covered heap, I laugh. And slowly, but calmly. I slit my wrists and watch as the blood flows out my body…
Today has been a 'very' interesting day….


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For their last Zip Trip of the summer on Friday, August 31, John and Anthony visit zip code 01930 in Gloucester, Massachusetts.
John McGeough, Anthony Lamacchia, Sarah Chaisson, and Adam Pasciscia were at the Stage Fort Park and Welcoming Center on Hough Street in Gloucester, with the newscasters from FOX25 Morning News.
John and Anthony discussed 3 homes for sale in Gloucester.
Watch video:
[toggle_content title="John and Anthony Discuss Homes for Sale in Gloucester"]
Welcome back to Gloucester as we continue on our final Zip Trip of the season it's time to check out what's on the market here with my friends Anthony Lamacchia and John McGeough of Lamacchia Realty . Are we a little sad this morning?
We are, we were talking it was a tough ride out here, very emotional
Very emotional, last Zip Trip of the season last time we're going to see you guys out here, kind of fun we appreciate you guys coming, all right let's talk about Gloucester, tell me about it.
Average price for a single family might surprise people it's only $436,000, so a lot of multimillion dollar homes up here and you wouldn't even at first thought you'd think it was higher than that but it's $436,000 and condos at $279,000, and the population is about 29,000.
Maybe a nice condo– all right let's talk about our first place
No shortage of beautiful homes obviously in Gloucester first one is 7 Forest Lane it's a beautiful cape, fully renovated, 3 beds, 2 full baths, slightly under 2000 square feet, and great kitchen, high end cabinets, you've got the stainless steel, granite, also has pond views, it abuts a pond, you know anywhere in Gloucester a lot of times you're going to get views of the water so this is a prime example of that. This one is on for $457,000, so very similar to as Anthony said the average single family price.
That kitchen looks very recently renovated.
Very nice, no island but still it's a beautiful kitchen
You know I love myself an island, all right let's talk about the second one
We wanted to get some higher end homes this week since Gloucester has a lot of great ones to offer, 2 Ships Bell Road in Gloucester it's on for $935,000, 3,600 square feet contemporary, this is a very unique home, 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, has great ocean views, a whole wall of glass in the sunroom, literally the whole entire wall is glass, it's got a pond, a waterfall, a lot of nice features.
It's got deeded quarry rights.
It's on a quarry?
It has a lot of granite, you've got a lot of rocks up here, so you have this actual, your own little quarry that I think they have and some other folks share.
You wouldn't think from looking at the pictures that it's 3600 square feet, but it is.Nice big place, great ocean views and it has its own little pond.
Definitely a little different. All right let's talk about– this one's a whopper let's talk about this last one.
Yes you could fit all of our families and then some it's on 16 Fuller Street, it's on for $1,900,000, it's 11,000 square feet, it's actually 6 beds 7 and a half baths, 9 fireplaces, it's got some history to it, I guess Teddy Roosevelt, William Taft, and even Gerry Garcia spent some time in there so a pretty diverse group of people. And this one actually has an elevator up to the third floor which has its own private suite which has actually ahs 2 additional baths, obviously you have harbor views, indoor pool.
It is beautiful we have to leave it at that we could talk about this house I think for a good deal of time so we'll leave it at that, gentlemen thank you very much, thanks for a good zip trip season, we appreciate you guys we'll see you soon.
About Gloucester Massachusetts
The city of Gloucester is located in Essex County on Cape Ann. Gloucester is about a 45 minute drive to Boston, and also has 2 stops on the Newburyport/Rockport commuter rail. The population of Gloucester is 28,789.
What makes Gloucester a great city to live in?
Gloucester is a seacoast city known for its beaches, seafood, fishing, whale watching, and rich history. Gloucester has a working waterfront and is home to several lighthouses including the Annisquam lighthouse, built in 1801.
There are several beaches in Gloucester. Cressey's Beach is a quaint sandy beach near Stage Fort Park where children can run in the field, play baseball, or climb on the jungle gym. Niles Beach has a view of Boston and offers swim lessons as part of the Gloucester Summer Recreation program. Long Beach offers views of twin lighthouses on Thacher's Island.
Gloucester is best known as one of the top places in the world for whale watching. This is because Gloucester is in close proximity to two major feeding areas for the great whales. Whale watching is a popular activity in Gloucester, and there are several tours available including the 7 Seas Whale Watch, which features a large-screen GPS display on the ship allowing you to track the vessel's speed, position, heading, and changes in ocean depth.
Gloucester is also home to Hammond Castle, a medieval-style castle built in the 1920s. Visitors can enjoy the beauty of the castle grounds as well as the view of the Atlantic shore line while strolling through the gardens. Ravenswood Park on route 127 has 10 miles of trails and over 600 acres where visitors can picnic, bird watch, walk, cross-country ski, and enjoy the outdoors.
There are plenty of great restaurants in Gloucester that serve fresh local seafood. The Gloucester House, open since 1958, is the first restaurant to popularize fried calamari and is known for its fresh lobster and seafood specialties as well as grape nut custard, a traditional New England dessert. Diners can also go to The Rudder, located on Rocky Neck and is one of the few restaurants in Gloucester where you can arrive by boat. They have a fully heated harbor side deck and offer a creative yet affordable menu.
The Gloucester Public School District serves more than 3,400 students. Students can attend Gloucester high school, O'Maley middle school, or one of 5 elementary schools.
The average sale price for a single-family home in Gloucester is $436,225 and $279,454 for a condo.
Do you live in Gloucester?
Tell us what you like most about Gloucester or send us your photos!
Email us at email@example.com
Interested in moving to Gloucester?
Search for homes in Gloucester.


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Thursday, January 22, 2009
"Cat nap" - original watercolor by Gretchen Kelly
15" x 20" - watercolor, gouache, graphite on paper
This painting continues in the vein of vintage looking boudoir imagery. My black cat, Beardsley, poses with my model.
SOLD to a collector in Ca.
1 comment:
- Joanne said...
Hi Gretchen,
Lovely composition. You definitely captured the feel of this moment.
I just came across your blog. I like how free you are with a brush and how you capture the flow of watercolors.
I will be back!
- January 23, 2009 9:27 PM
Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)


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Written by WhatsApp Inc.
If you want to install and use the WhatsApp Desktop app on your PC or Mac, you will need to download and install a Desktop App emulator for your computer. We have worked diligently to help you understand how to use WhatsApp Desktop for your computer in 4 simple steps below:
Ok. First things first. If you want to use the application on your computer, first visit the Mac store or Windows AppStore and search for either the Bluestacks app or the Nox App . Most of the tutorials on the web recommends the Bluestacks app and I might be tempted to recommend it too, because you are more likely to easily find solutions online if you have trouble using the Bluestacks application on your computer. You can download the Bluestacks Pc or Mac software here .
Now that you have downloaded the emulator of your choice, go to the Downloads folder on your computer to locate the emulator or Bluestacks application.
Once you have found it, click it to install the application or exe on your PC or Mac computer.
Now click Next to accept the license agreement.
Follow the on screen directives in order to install the application properly.
If you do the above correctly, the Emulator app will be successfully installed.
Now, open the Emulator application you have installed and look for its search bar. Once you found it, type WhatsApp Desktop in the search bar and press Search. Click on WhatsApp Desktop application icon. A window of WhatsApp Desktop on the Play Store or the app store will open and it will display the Store in your emulator application. Now, press the Install button and like on an iPhone or Android device, your application will start downloading. Now we are all done.
You will see an icon called "All Apps".
Click on it and it will take you to a page containing all your installed applications.
You should see the WhatsApp Desktop icon. Click on it and start using the application.
Hi. Mac user!
The steps to use WhatsApp Desktop for Mac are exactly like the ones for Windows OS above. All you need to do is install the Nox Application Emulator or Bluestack on your Macintosh. You can get here .
With WhatsApp on the desktop, you can seamlessly sync all of your chats to your computer so that you can chat on whatever device is most convenient for you.
Great it works well
Whatsapp audio and video call
Video and Audio call feature
Good, but...
Video/audio and STICKERS
Total Sync
no video and audio call
Add video call and audio call


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Region: Italy | Provincia di Pavia
Grape Varietal: Pinot Grigio
Pairs Well With: seafood hors d'oeuvre, Salad, Grilled Chicken White Cheese Pizza
IL Roccolo is great wine for the price. It greets you with a fruit forward nose of peach, pear, some almond and some floral notes. It is a very refreshingly light and crisp white wine with lemon zest, peach, and orange tastes. A great wine for the warm weather.


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Plane PAK TA
80 units of the new heavy aircraft entered service with Russia to 2024 years. This was stated at a regular meeting of the Military-Industrial Commission. Aircraft Project developers PAK TA voiced some tactical and technical performance of its unique creations.
PAK TA, flying at hypersonic speeds, able to reach any point on the Earth for 7 hours. According to statements, the aircraft can fly at a speed of 2 thousand. Km / h at a distance of flight 7 thousand. Km and a lift in the air cargo in 200 tons. If necessary, a fleet of these aircraft will be able to carry out rapid transfer of "armored fist" of four modern "Armata" tanks, and with full ammo and all the necessary accompanying services.
PAK TA will transport equipment and personnel in the area where they are needed at the moment. The main cargo is to provide anti-aircraft missile systems, multiple rocket launchers, installation launching missiles, self-propelled guns, tanks "Armata" and the machine type, "Sprut-SD". Weight of sophisticated tanks T-14 «Armata" is still completely unknown, but according to official data provided by it will be no more than 50 tons. It turns out that the PAK TA is able to transport up to four tanks at a time.
PAK TA aircraft can carry four "Armata" tank
Freight compartments will be on several levels and have the possibility of automatic loading / unloading. Moreover, the system assumes the descent supplies and personnel by parachute.
According to the project work of official information has been underway for several years. In this modern technical specifications are quite different from those that have been adopted at the beginning of creation PAK TA. According to the first specifications of the next generation of aircraft could fly at speeds of 900 km per hour with a flight range of 4,5 thousand. Km.
Finally it is worth noting that under the PAK TA program is planned to create not only a transport aircraft, but also a variety of other aerial vehicles with carrying capacity of up to 80 200 tons. They gradually displace the production of transport aircraft Ilyushin and Antonov Design Bureau.
The development of military aircraft PAK TA, most likely, will belong to aviation complex skill them. SV Ilyushin, and the basis for a new project, according to many experts, may be a IL-106 project, which is characterized by carrying capacity in tons 80 and won the tender at the end of 1980-ies, but after the collapse of the USSR was abandoned.
On 2020 plan to resume production of TU-160 ..... About which PAK TA is it? ... WHERE FROM money?
Fortunately now computer vek.Mozhno noodles to hang as you like.))))) Perhaps prokanaet.))))
why are you telling our secrets to the whole world ... yap ... let them think
2000 km / h - 2 maha and where hyper- here?
This is the aircraft of the future!
Fake same.
Do not fake, and the imagination. Jet itself still does not exist.


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From: ASAP
BioShield Technologies, Inc. (BULLETIN BOARD: BSTI) ; (http://www.bioshield.com/ ) announced today that Higgins Industries, Inc. (http://www.bfxtextiles.com ) has signed a licensing agreement to use BioShield's patented Antimicrobial technology in their successful BFX line of 100% cotton products as well as those blended with LYCRA. Additionally Higgins Industries has opened an industrial chemical division to market, sell and distribute BioShield's antimicrobial products.
"This agreement opens a new line of products to our clients including governmental and industrial entities which never before had the technology to eliminate pathogens microorganisms contaminating the environment, ...it further enhances our business to have an alliance with BioShield on such great new technology that goes beyond the world of textiles," said Tom Higgins, President of Higgins Industries, Inc.
"This product represents another step toward our goal of ensuring antimicrobial inhibition and control in our projects to supply and enhance the well being and safety of our armed forces and environment," said Evan Singer, Director of the Governmental Affairs division of Higgins Industries.
Dr. Marcelo D. Villahoz, Vice President of Sales BioShield, stated, "Our business development partnership with Higgins Industries is the result of discussions that began some 13 months ago between our two firms and is a small demonstration of BioShield's commitment to enhancing shareholder value by focusing on licensing-out our core technology."
Higgins Industries, Inc. is a manufacturer of primarily knitted apparel products that include tees, polo shirts, active apparel and sweatshirts. The BioShield products are consistent with Higgins Industries commitment to environmentally sound technology. In 1990 they were honored at the United Nations by UNEP and the Fashion Guild, and received acknowledgement in 1997 from the President's Council on Sustainable Development for their development of environmentally sound textile chemicals. Higgins introduced a UV sun protective clothing process called "BFX". Certified and tested by International UV Testing Laboratories at Auburn University, this BFX process has received a 50+UPF rating, the highest International rating level available. It is estimated this year that in the United States, Melanoma cases will reach 47,700 with deaths of 7,700. It is the fastest growing of all cancers, and among all accidental deaths it has experienced the largest percentage of increase from 1986 -1996, 22%. Textiles treated with the BFX protection block 98%-99% of the sun's harmful UVA & UVB rays.
BioShield Technologies, Inc., is a Norcross Georgia based emerging growth company focused in biotechnology and antimicrobial products. Its core business is committed to the discovery, development, marketing and sale of surface-modifying antimicrobial and biostatic products. The company's antimicrobial technology is a revolutionary alternative to conventional sanitizers, disinfectants, bleaches, biocides or preservatives primarily because it kills bacteria, including HIV, on contact and can remain active for extended time periods. To date BioShield has received three US patents and eight EPA registrations, including the first U.S. germ killer and disinfectant against Salmonella cholerasuis, Staphylococcus aureus and other microorganisms. The company has developed several alliances in different industries, such as healthcare, textiles and storm water.
Thank you for taking the time to read this fashion industry news on the Apparel Search website.
ASAP Fashion News Fast - Fashion news for the apparel industry
and consumers to learn more about the clothing business. Apparel Search
ASAP News
ASAP Fashion News Fast - Fashion news for the apparel industry and consumers to learn more about the clothing business.
Apparel Search ASAP News[borders/disc4aftr.htm]


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11 July, 2018
IField Energy "Akshay Swachh Jal" family extends a warm welcome to , 'Naisargik Solutions ', as newly appointed Channel Partner at Indore, the commercial capital of M.P.
Naisargik Solutions is established by Ayushi Khare ( Founder ) and Swapnil Shrivasatva ( Co- Founder).
Ayushi Khare an M.tech in Environmental Science and Engineering (Gold Medalist) from I.I.T Mumbai She has worked on various research projects on water and waste water treatment..
Swapnil Shrivastava, an MBA From IBMR, IPS Academy Indore with specialization in Finance and Marketing has wide experience in Sales, Marketing, Business Development, Corporate Sales and Channel Sales
Together IField Energy and Naisargik Solutions embark on a journey of Socio - Economic achievable aims for the betterment of the community at Indore and its neighbouring cities.
Want to Join Us...?
2016-2019 © Akshay Swachh JalDeveloped by Pixel Web Technologies


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Successful small companies can quickly fail if they lack cash. Similarly, unprofitable unprof small businesses can be kept afloat for a very long time if they have a good cash balance. Simply puts, money is the life blood of American small businesses.
Small Business Loans in Wattsville, Alabama
Naturally, when times are tough, inability to acquire capital to pay day-to-day operating expenses frequently ends up being a source of worry, stress and anxiety and interruption for small company owners.
In these cases, lots of small business owners think about seeking short-term financing.
Small Business Loans in Wattsville, Alabama
Regrettably, the majority of huge city and small town conventional lenders have stiff and strict requirements that their clients need to meet.
Because of this, there is four specific features that are required by those looking for business funding.
Easy credit approval:
Services have a separate credit score from business owner. Even if the business owner has a high credit rating, business may not have a recognized credit rating (specifically if newly established). For that reason, prospective lenders need to use services with that take the business owner's personal credit into consideration and that accepts candidates with less than best credit.
Fast Financing Time:
Normally, when a service is seeking out a loan, they have operating costs that they need to have the ability to pay within the next 7-14 days (such as payroll and suppliers). As such, loans that take weeks to be approved and financial resources simply aren't appropriate to most businesses needs
No Red Tape:
Many standard loan providers requires months of bank declarations and years of income tax return to be able to process a loan application. While this might not be a big deal to a well-established organisation, it's not really valuable for a brand-new business that has beened around for 6 months to a year
Small Company Friendly:
Oftentimes, brick and mortar loan providers just service businesses doing 20k or more in month-to-month profits. This disqualifies smaller sized organisations doing 10k-15k in monthly profits.
Because of the strict previously mentioned credentials criteria enforced by standard lending institutions, more and more business owners are relying on the myriad of online lending services now available to small business owners in Wattsville, Alabama.
GoTorro Small Business Loans offers rapid funding in just 48 hours, of quantities varying from $10,000 – $500,000 to debtors that satisfy the following fundamental certification criteria:
500+ FICO Score
6+ Months in Business
10k+ Monthly Revenue
No collateral, No bank statements, No Financials, No Tax Returns, and no credit references are required.
Click here to instantly find out how much financing your small business qualifies for


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Webmaster Comments: 17.05.28
Tomorrow America will observe Memorial Day. For many it is the unofficial start of summer, with family gatherings and barbecues. But we can never lose sight of the true significance of Memorial Day.
Memorial Day is when America honors the men and women who DIED while serving in our country's armed forces.
This should not be confused with Veterans Day when we pay tribute to all who served in the armed forces.
Take time tomorrow to remember America's fallen heroes who made the ultimate sacrifice in the different periods of conflicts in our history.
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Thursday, February 7, 2013
Berlinale 2013: Hugh Grant, Jane Fonda and Tim Robbins, the first Hollywood stars to arrive
For ten days, Berlin becomes, with permission from Los Angeles, the Mecca of international cinema with the 63rd edition of the Berlinale. If this afternoon presented the jury to give the Golden Bear for the best films of the festival, the stars are beginning to reach the German capital. The first, an impeccable and always smiling Hugh Grant.
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Ashton Drake Pretty In Pink Realistic Baby Doll 21 Inch. Realistic Baby Doll Salutes Quarter-Century of Doll-Making Excellence by Ashton-Drake Galleries - To mark The Ashton-Drake Galleries' milestone 25th anniversary, Master Doll Artist Waltraud Hanl was commissioned to create a collectible realistic baby doll that is both beautiful and festive. Pretty in pink, this baby doll arrives in a fancy dress decorated with ruffles, embroidered flowers, silvery beads and lace, plus a matching embroidered bonnet. The glittering silvery trim throughout her costume adds a special "silver anniversary" touch!
You'll be tinkled pink by this soft RealTouch(TM) vinyl baby doll, an Ashton-Drake Galleries exclusive. This realistic baby doll is expertly hand-painted for lifelike and expressive sculpting, with true-to-life features including hand-rooted hair, eyelashes, and naturally designed fingernails and toenails. Strong demand is expected for this perfectly pink bundle of joy, winner of the 2010 DOTY Award! Doll features hand-rooted hair, hand-painted features, delicate fingernails, rosy cheeks, a gentle smile and bright blue eyes. Outfitted in a beautiful pink dress adorned with rows of ruffles, delicately embroidered flowers, silvery beads and lavish lace trim; to add to the "silver" celebration, dress is trimmed with shimmering silvery trim.
Doll also comes with a pink hair bow, lace and ribbon-edged socks, and coordinating embroidered bonnet. Premiere issue in the All Dolled Up Doll Collection. Measures 21 L; 53.3 cm L. The item "21'' Ashton Drake Pretty In Pink Realistic Baby Doll new" is in sale since Thursday, August 30, 2018. This item is in the category "Dolls & Bears\Dolls\By Brand, Company, Character\Ashton Drake\So Truly Real".
The seller is "ger-dolls" and is located in Chatsworth, Georgia. This item can be shipped to United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Australia, South africa, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, Singapore, United arab emirates, Malaysia.


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Season 1 Episode 2 | 27m 4s
Chance could mean possibilities, risk or opportunity: Rodrigue seeks asylum from the Congo, Korean-American Eson is held at gunpoint in her family's store and Christine donates a kidney to a stranger. Three storytellers, three interpretations of CHANCE, hosted by Wes Hazard.
Aired: 10/16/17Video has closed captioning.
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Stories from the Stage is a collaboration of WORLD Channel, WGBH Events, and Massmouth.


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C# 7 – Simplify and Improve Your Code in 2017
C# can be developed and run on more and more platforms, and thanks to the "Roslyn" language engine you can increasingly make your own tooling for it. C# 7 embraces several new features for working better with data, such as tuples and pattern matching. Come see how you can start using C# 7 today!
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More episodes in this series
Introducing .NET Core 2.0
Related episodes
The future of C#
The future of C#
Languages with Mads, Dustin, Phillip and Anthony
The Power of Roslyn: Improving Your Productivity with Live Code Analyzers
The Future of C#
The Future of C#
The Future of .NET Languages
All Things Roslyn
All Things VB
C# and Visual Basic Code-Focused Development with Microsoft Visual Studio 2015
The Discussion
Nice features!! When destructuring wouldnt it be better if one can only specified the name of the value that u want without even writing the underscore for the values that dont matter. Like Typescript.
I see you pick the scrollbars with your mouse pointer when you wanna scroll up or down in your visual studio, does the two finger scrolling works on your visual studio? it doesn't in mine and that is something annoying.
@name: Two finger scrolling *does* work in VS, but when I tried it before the talk, it wasn't working smoothly on my Mac over Parallels. So, I had to use click the scrollbar.
@dcampbell thx for this interesting screencast.
I can't find the extension with the binary refactoring. Which one contains it?
@destinchfield:Loaded Preview 1, now I get everything. d'oh
Great presentation and cool features! Thanks!


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ITALY: Fiat demands union deal for EUR20bn investment
Fiat says unless it secures agreement with its unions for restructuring, its massive investment plans in Italy will be at risk.
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Want a define and fuller lips?
Lip liners to the rescue!
Rimmel Exaggerate Full Colour Lip Liner Definer
- Super pay-off colours
- Soft
- Mechanical, just twist for more product.
- Thin packaging, doesn't takes up lots of space in the bag.
- Pencil size.
- RM15.90 retail
Left to right: 030 Natural, 063 Eastend Snob, 024 Red Diva
I like that the colour pay off is great and the packaging comes with a slanted tip, makes it easier to fill in the lips. Do moisture your lips before applying as it can be a bit drying, thus application will be harder. Do not twist up too much at once as it might cause breaking while applying.
Be bold with perfect lips


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At a time when the economy is struggling and companies are downsizing, Fluid Innovation is creating opportunities for individuals out of work or looking to improve their financial situation
Austin, TX (PRWEB) January 14, 2009
Fluid Innovation (http://www.fluidinnovation.com), the leading provider of software commercialization services , today announced the launch of its Referral and Finders' Fee Programs, offering an opportunity for individuals familiar with software commercialization, intellectual property practices and/or new product development to earn significant supplemental income.
As companies search for new low cost, low risk growth strategies, they are increasingly turning to open innovation and software commercialization. Fortune 1000 companies value the ability to generate new revenue streams from internally developed applications that are not core to their business. And independent software vendors (ISVs) are recognizing the benefits of licensing these applications, getting to market faster with proven solutions that require less upfront costs.
Members of the Fluid Innovation Referral and Finders' Fee Programs have the opportunity to help these companies as well as themselves. Whether they just want to introduce Fluid to an individual or company who may be interested in an application listed on the Fluid Marketplace or they want to get more involved in nurturing and closing the deal, Fluid Innovation offers an opportunity for them.
"At a time when the economy is struggling and companies are downsizing, Fluid Innovation is creating opportunities for individuals out of work or looking to improve their financial situation," said Chris McKinzie, CEO for Fluid Innovation.
For more information on Fluid Innovation programs, contact Linda Kish or visit our Referral and Finders' Fee Programs Web page.
About Fluid Innovation
Fluid Innovation, founded in 2005, is architecting the weightless economy through technology, processes, and community. Fluid helps Fortune 1000 enterprises generate revenue by discovering, assessing, and licensing their internally-developed technologies to companies that commercialize and market them.
Fluid is considered one of three "Cool Vendors in Intellectual Property, 2008" as reported by Gartner Research.


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Termination of nondeterministic probabilistic programs
H. Fu, K. Chatterjee, 11388 (2019) 468–490.
No fulltext has been uploaded. References only!
Conference Paper | Published | English
Fu, Hongfei ; Chatterjee, KrishnenduIST Austria
Enea, Constantin ; Piskac, Ruzica
Series Title
We study the termination problem for nondeterministic probabilistic programs. We consider the bounded termination problem that asks whether the supremum of the expected termination time over all schedulers is bounded. First, we show that ranking supermartingales (RSMs) are both sound and complete for proving bounded termination over nondeterministic probabilistic programs. For nondeterministic probabilistic programs a previous result claimed that RSMs are not complete for bounded termination, whereas our result corrects the previous flaw and establishes completeness with a rigorous proof. Second, we present the first sound approach to establish lower bounds on expected termination time through RSMs.
Publishing Year
Date Published
Verification, Model Checking, and Abstract Interpretation, VMCAI
Conference Location
Cascais, Portugal
Conference Date
2019-01-13 – 2019-01-15
Cite this
Fu H, Chatterjee K. Termination of nondeterministic probabilistic programs. Enea C, Piskac R, eds. 2019;11388:468-490. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-11245-5_22
Fu, H., & Chatterjee, K. (2019). Termination of nondeterministic probabilistic programs. (C. Enea & R. Piskac, Eds.). Presented at the Verification, Model Checking, and Abstract Interpretation, VMCAI, Cascais, Portugal: Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-11245-5_22
Fu, Hongfei, and Krishnendu Chatterjee. "Termination of Nondeterministic Probabilistic Programs." Edited by Constantin Enea and Ruzica Piskac. Lecture Notes in Computer Science. Springer, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-11245-5_22.
H. Fu and K. Chatterjee, "Termination of nondeterministic probabilistic programs," vol. 11388. Springer, pp. 468–490, 2019.
Fu H, Chatterjee K. 2019. Termination of nondeterministic probabilistic programs (eds. C. Enea & R. Piskac). 11388, 468–490.
Fu, Hongfei, and Krishnendu Chatterjee. Termination of Nondeterministic Probabilistic Programs. Edited by Constantin Enea and Ruzica Piskac, vol. 11388, Springer, 2019, pp. 468–90, doi:10.1007/978-3-030-11245-5_22.
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text: September 25, 2016 Authority of GOD Preacher: Winston Waters Series: Community Hour, Good News Passage: Galatians 1:1-8 Service Type: Community Hour 3 Grace and peace to you from God our Father and the Lord Jesus Christ,4 who gave himself for our sins to rescue us from the present evil age,according to the will of our God and Father, 5 to whom be glory for ever and ever. Amen. « Power Of God Tares among Wheat »


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Stone and Wire Critters, Set of 3
You Save $22.18 (40%)
You Save $22.18 (40%)
Our three Stone and Wire Critters have character to spare and will be a charming addition to a garden or perhaps on a coffee table or desktop. Handcrafted from found stones and wire, each one will be unique. Your set includes one fish, one turtle and one crab with extended pincers that might be useful for holding a photograph. Their whimsical design is sure to raise a smile whether visitors discover their unexpected presence amid flowers or in a rock garden, or if you display them prominently on a mantel or bookshelf. Create a mini-menagerie by displaying them together or spread them around your décor for a little dash of whimsy in multiple locations. Wind & Weather Exclusive Design.
- Set of three rock and wire critters
- Handcrafted from found rocks and welded wire
- Set includes one turtle, one fish and one crab
- Equally charming on a desktop or in a garden bed
- A lighthearted gift for any animal lover
Approx. 6"L
Turtle 6"L x 4¼"W x 2¾"H
Crab 7¾"L x 6¾"W x 2¼"H
Fish 6"L x 3"W x 6"H


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Passage of the initiative proposing to eliminate Glendale's UUT finding would cut $17.5 million from public services and result in increased 9-1-1 emergency response times, the elimination of over 50 police officers and nearly 40 firefighters, the closure of the equivalent of two fire stations, and other cuts.
City of GlendaleMeasure N Ordinance - Majority Approval Required
Shall the City's longstanding utility users tax be repealed, eliminating approximately 9.5% of the revenues in the City's general fund annually ($17.5 million this year) that is used to pay for city services such as police, fire, 9-1-1 emergency response, libraries, parks and senior services?
What is this proposal?
Measure Details — Official information about this measure
YES vote means
NO vote means
A no vote would preserve Glendale's $17.5 million for fiscal year 2015-16 and annually thereafter, in UUT funding that has been in place since 1969. This would maintain current 9-1-1 emergency response times, police patrols and investigations, on-duty firefighters and other services.
Impartial analysis / Proposal
CITY ATTORNEY'S IMPARTIAL ANALYSIS OF MEASURE "N" REPEAL OF CITY'S UTILITY USERS TAX Residents of Glendale currently pay a Utility Users Tax (UUT) for water, gas and electricity service. The current rate is 7%. The UUT is a general tax, meaning that UUT revenues are paid into the City's General Fund. General Fund revenues are budgeted by the City Council annually for general City services, such as police and fire protection, 9-1-1 emergency response, parks, libraries, and street maintenance and repairs. If approved by a majority of Glendale voters, Measure "N" would amend the City's Municipal Code by repealing the UUT on gas, electric and water service in its entirety. This measure is on the ballot because a number of residents circulated a petition and obtained sufficient signatures to qualify for the ballot under California Elections law. Therefore, the City Council placed this Measure on the ballot. If the measure is approved, the General Fund will no longer receive UUT revenues resulting in a loss of approximately $17,500,000 per year. The UUT is the City's third largest source of General Fund revenue (9.5%) after property and sales taxes. If the UUT is repealed, there would be a significant impact on the City's ability to provide services and programs at current levels. The City Council will have to decide, as part of the budgeting process, whether alternative revenues are available, or whether City services and programs will have to be reduced or eliminated. Current options being considered to offset this potential revenue loss are to: eliminate 53 full-time sworn police officer positions; eliminate 37 firefighter positions; close the equivalent of two fire stations; eliminate the Police Department's DNA Crime Lab; reduce the number of on-duty paramedics; eliminate the Specialized Fire Department Emergency Service personnel, including the emergency preparedness unit, the arson investigator, the hazardous materials response team and the search and rescue team; eliminate youth anti-gang and anti-drug prevention programs; reduce pothole repair and maintenance of city streets, storm drains and other critical city facilities and infrastructure, and; close most libraries in Glendale and eliminate librarians and library staff. For a more detailed discussion of the potential impacts of Measure "N", we refer you via the hyperlinks below to the Staff's impartial reports to the City Council. December 8, 2015 Report: http://www.ci.glendale.ca.us/government/council packets/Reports 120815/CC 8a 120815.pdf March 1, 2016 Supplemental Report: http://www.ci.glendale.ca.us/government/council packets/Reports 030116/CC 8a 030116.pdf Measure "N" requires simple majority approval of the voters to pass. A "Yes" vote on Measure "N" will repeal the Utility Users Tax A "No" vote on Measure "N" will not repeal the Utility Users Tax. - c::::I a-. =& ):IO> ;:c .,, :IC r .. -...... 0 -1 -< (") r- m :.J jilt THE ABOVE STATEMENT IS AN IMPARTIAL ANALYSIS OF MEASURE N. IF YOU DESIRE A COPY OF THE MEASURE, THE PROPOSED ORDINANCE, OR THE EXISTING CODE, PLEASE CALL THE CITY CLERK'S OFFICE AT (818) 548-2090, AND A COPY WILL BE MAILED AT NO COST TO YOU. /s/ MICHAEL J. GARCIA City Attorney
Financial effect
Eliminating $17.5 million in annual UUT funding would require deep cuts to all city services, including police, fire and 9-1-1 emergency response services that protect Glendale residents. More specifically, eliminating UUT funding would:
· Increase 9-1-1 emergency response times due to a reduction in police, firefighter and paramedic staffing levels.
· Eliminate 53 full-time sworn police officer positions
· Eliminate 37 firefighter positions
· Close the equivalent of two Fire Stations
· Eliminate the Police Department's DNA Crime Lab
· Reduce the number of on-duty paramedics
· Eliminate specialized Fire Department Emergency Service personnel, including the emergency preparedness unit, the arson investigator, hazardous materials response team and the search and rescue team
· Eliminate youth anti-gang and anti-drug prevention programs
· Reduce pothole repair and maintenance of city streets, storm drains and other critical city facilities and infrastructure
· Close most libraries in Glendale and eliminate librarians and library staff


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The Dallas Market Center has opened up submissions for entries for the second Gourmet Gold Housewares Awards, to be held at the Dallas Market Center during the Dallas Total Housewares & Gourmet Market, which will be held January 17 to 23, 2018. Entries are open through November 3.
The Gourmet Gold Housewares Awards will present awards in eight categories with a special Best in Class award selected from among the category recipients. These categories include cookware and bakeware, kitchen electrics, kitchen tools and gadgets, kitchen textiles, tabletop and serveware, cutlery, barware and beverageware.
Housewares product entries will be judged based on innovation, user-friendliness and visual appeal. Participation is limited to current Dallas Market Center permanent or temporary housewares exhibitors and products must be introduced to the market between February 28, 2017, and January 2018.
The entry fee is $50 per entry or three entries for $100. The first six exhibitors to enter three submissions will be featured on a special Gourmet Gold Housewares Shelf Talk Page in GOURMET INSIDER magazine, sister publication to HOMEWORLD BUSINESS®.
The award winners will be revealed during an awards ceremony and cocktail reception on Thursday, January 18 at the Dallas Market Center at 6 p.m.
To enter the Gourmet Gold Housewares Awards, visit Dallasmarketcenter.com/gourmetgold.


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Three key market trends every investor should know about in 2020, from Mike Larson....
Join Jeffrey Hirsch LIVE at The MoneyShow Orlando!
Join Jeffrey Hirsch LIVE at The MoneyShow Orlando!
Seasonal Timing Expert Eyes Treasuries
04/22/2019 5:00 am EST
Focus: MARKETS
The long bond tends to bottom sometime during Q2, typically around the time the stock market reaches its highs, and then enjoys a solid run of strength into Q3 and beyond in some years, explains seasonal trading expert and market timer Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of Stock Trader's Almanac.
Bonds are also a relatively safe place to park capital during the "Worst Six Months" of the year, May through October.
When investors and/or traders feel threatened with a potential decline in the stock market, they often allocate more money into bonds. This is often referred to as the "flight to safety" trade. Investors and traders will also allocate more money to bonds when they believe the yield is more attractive than other shorter-term investment options.
By going long, the September 30-year Treasury bond on or about April 25, and exiting the position on or about August 20, we discovered in the last 41 years a respectable 70.7% success rate. This trade has a history of 29 wins with 12 losses; the largest win was $20,250 in 2011, and the largest loss was $17,031 in 2013.
The trade's track record over the last 30 years (shaded in grey in table below) is even better with 23 gains and a success rate of 76.7%. Even last year when the market was rising, and the Fed was tightening, the 30-year bond enjoyed a modest rally.
Now that the Fed has signaled it is holding off on rate hikes (and is most likely done with the current tightening cycle) this trade could perform better than historical averages.
Two key reason why are; first the Fed did not officially announce they are done raising rates which suggest there could still be traders and investors looking for even higher rates (and correspondingly lower prices).
Should the Fed make it official there could still be additional demand that jumps into the market. The second reason for more gains is the fact that our 30-year bond yield remains rather attractive to foreign buyers.
Our 30-year Treasury bond yielding just under 3.0% does compare quite favorable to Germany's 0.63% or Japan's 0.51%. Growth and inflation expectations also remain subdued which could make a nearly 3% yield all that more appealing.
Stock traders may consider the exchange-traded fund, iShares 20+ Year Bond (TLT), as a replacement for the futures contract.
TLT has a little more than $10.6 billion in assets, typically trades more than 7 million shares per day and has a reasonably deep and liquid options chain available. TLT's expense ratio of just 0.15% is very reasonable and its most recent distribution yield was respectable at 2.64%.
Stochastic, MACD and relative strength indicators applied to TLT are tepid and heading lower as its price has slipped from recent highs and into a narrow range over the last several trading sessions. TLT would be attractive on dips below $123.55.
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