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Roman Quinn takes the #2 spot, Tyson Gillies has been added to the poll for #3.
179 thoughts on "Reader Top 30 #3 – Adam Morgan"
After much deliberation between him and Joseph, I went with Franco. I'm choosing to get excited about the big second half. I like Joseph, and I'll vote for him next. I'm still not as excited about his upside as I am about Franco's. By all accounts, he has big time power potential, and it's been a whole since we've had that at 3B.
I've said this a couple times before, but I feel like power has become such a rare commodity in the majors of late that I'm willing to give bonus points for to any legit prospect that shows slugging potential.
Speaking of power, I vote for LGJr to be added to the list next (certainly over Cozens, whose name was mentioned in the last thread).
I am generally a Franco guy too, but one has to be wary of strong second halves sometimes. The good minor leaguers get promoted halfway through a season meaning that those who are left are usually not as good. Hence Franco probably had some success in the second half against players who were not as good as those he faced in the first half.
Then again, he is young and could have just gotten better. Hard to know! There are certainly worse picks than Franco at #3.
Young players may also be more prone to late season fatigue. So those that are better prepared for a full season could expect a bump in production.
Going with Maikel Franco again. On my own list I had Morgan 3rd.
I posted this on the #2 thread, so sorry for re-posting, but if anyone's interested:
My Top 30:
1. LHP Jesse Biddle – Very refined delivery, easy mechanics that generate solid velocity, which I also think he's holding back a tad at the Phillies request to work on his command, and if that's truly the case, and he adds a few more ticks to his fastball, already possessing a plus curveball and a change/slider that shows flashes as well, we're looking at a guy with high end #2 upside. Biddle's not a bonafide blue-chipper, but he's a solid bet to be in the Phillies rotation for years to come.
2. SS Roman Quinn – This was a tough one, I had two guys that could go either way, Quinn or Joseph, but I went with the guy who already has a truly plus-plus tool, and that's Quinn's speed. He already has a very high walk rate, and is JUST learning to hit left-handed, which I think is amazing, and I think some people severely underrate. If he can cut down on his strikeouts a tad, and stick at SS, we're looking at a true blue-chip prospect.
3. C Tommy Joseph – Acquired in the Hunter Pence trade, Joseph was raved about by scouts, though his scouting report didn't necessarily translate to results in his first time around at Reading, I think he just wore down towards the end of the season, coming to a new team and adjusting to a new pitching staff. I think Joseph has a strong 2013, and will be the guy in Philly for years to come. I love his arm, and his plus power potential, you gotta remember the guy's quite young to be in AA, and by all accounts is a true leader and has great makeup. I'd take Joseph at catcher all day in my system, I really think this guy has Mike Napoli offensive upside assuming he can stick at catcher (which I think he will).
4. LHP Adam Morgan – Morgan opened eyes in 2012, mine included, I always liked Morgan's delivery, really free and easy, but I always thought his stuff lacked to truly be any more than a low end #3, high #4, but hearing all these comps to Cliff Lee has me really excited, especially with his sudden uptick in velocity. Morgan doesn't have any particular devastating pitch, but I think his command and control will compensate for his lack of truly elite stuff. I think Morgan will be the first of the pitching prospects aside from Pettibone to make it to the bigs.
5. RHP Ethan Martin – Acquired in the Victorino trade, Martin has a pretty solid pedigree, but was sort of overlooked for lack of command. Martin has a nasty slider, that is truly a plus pitch along with a hard but mostly straight fastball that he can get up to 95-96 mph, if Martin can ever harness his raw stuff, I think he could truly challenge Biddle to be the #1 prospect in the system. Which I'm encouraged will happen, because his BB/9 decreased in the last 3 years from 6.5 to 4.1 for 2012 which is still pretty high but is a solid decrease for a 3 year period, while also increasing his K/BB ratio up to 1.94. Unfortunately his K/9 has also decreased the last 3 years, though I think it might be due to coaching telling him to pull his velocity back a little bit to work on his control. If he can stay around an 8.0 K/9 with a 3-3.5 BB/9, Martin will be damn good, possible #2 upside.
6. 3B Maikel Franco – Some people might say Franco is a little high, but I love the guy's bat, and he's pretty young for his league at only 20 years old. This guy has truly plus raw power, and by all accounts a pretty solid glove at 3B, so if he sticks, I see a guy with a higher upside than Asche, even though I like Asche a lot, he doesn't have the possible game-changing power that Franco has. His ETA is fairly far away, so he could just as easily flame out, but a solid 3B prospect with power, I feel, should be high on anyone's list.
7. OF Carlos Tocci – This guy is the most intriguing guy in the system in my eyes. He's so far away, that it's possible he burns out before he even sees AA, but man is he fun to dream on. The guy's got solid baseball instincts, a fantastic outfielder with a cannon arm, and a good eye at the plate. The debate is really whether he'll ever develop power, or just be a speedster with a fantastic glove. I personally think he falls somewhere in between power-wise. He's the ultimate boom or bust prospect, with superstar potential or total flameout possibility.
8. OF/1B Darin Ruf – The most discussed thing on PhuturePhillies the last couple months or so is what to do with, or how to judge Darin Ruf. At first I was extremely skeptical, ala LarryM, but I've became a believer over the last few months, after seeing Ruf's minor league clips, and watching him in his 2012 cameo in Philly, I really believe in the bat. He came out of nowhere, and yes, he's not a prospect with a pedigree, and was old for his league, but he can rake. And seeing how the Phillies have had a history of slugging, slow-footed LF's, I think Ruf gets his shot in LF for the Phils, and realistically I could see Ruf hitting somewhere between .275-.280, and slugging around .500+ with 25+ homers. Some will say I'm a bit optimistic, but in my eyes, Ruf deserves a shot, and I think he'll run with it. I realize I could very easily be eating my words come June, but that's a risk I'm willing to take, because guys with his kind of power don't grow on trees.
9. 3B Cody Asche – Asche is a fun guy to follow, and I love how he always seems to prove scouts and haters alike wrong. I also love his ability to adjust to higher levels, which translates into possible big league success. I don't think Asche will ever be a superstar, but a solid everyday regular is not out of the question, especially if his crazy work ethic is true, I'd take a guy like Asche any day on my team. The glove worries me a bit, but the scouting reports have been improving, and I love his swing, really effortless, and if he develops any more power, he'll rank even higher on the list.
10. RHP Jonathan Pettibone – Pettibone could rank anywhere from as high as 7 or as low as 15 to me, I love his command and overall mound presence, but by all accounts, the only pitch he has that could possibly be plus is his sinker, and having no true out pitch, he'll almost have to be perfect with his command, or he'll get hit around. His proximity, and safe bet to eat innings while keeping his walks down makes him a nice low end #3, high end #4, which is nothing to sneeze at. I'm a Pettibone fan, and I hope he can develop a solid out pitch, because that could be what he's lacking to truly hold down a major league job. I would love for him to beat the odds and be more than that, but I'm tempering my expectations for now.
11. RHP Shane Watson – I'm going out on a limb here, and basing this ranking on pretty much scouting reports alone, being that I haven't really seen much of Watson. He has a solid fastball, and a plus curve already for a young age, so that's a great thing to have going forward. He's far, far away, but I like his potential, especially if the scouts like him so much.
12. CF Tyson Gillies – I might get berated here a little bit, but I'm still a Gillies believer, injuries be damned! There's just something special about this guy to me, I love his patience, and overall effort, he goes all out, and although he relies on his speed, he has surprising pop at a premium defensive position. I know injuries should be taken into account, especially for a guy whose speed is probably his greatest asset, but I try to not take being injury prone into my prospect rankings as much. And anyway as far as pure CF's in the system, who on talent and proximity alone is better than Gillies, you could make a case for Tocci, but as promising as he is, he's still VERY far away. See what I mean?
13. LHP Austin Wright – The 4th of the solid pitching prospects the Phils are churning out lately, Wright has a solid fastball, that sits 91-92, and occasionally touches 94, and pairs it with a devastating overhand curveball, kind of reminds me of a poor man's Barry Zito. He's a little far away, and needs one more true out pitch, but this guy has the tools to be a starter, and while Sickels and BA have him possibly being converted to a power reliever, I think the Phils give him every chance to prove he can start before they move him to the 'pen.
14. OF/1B Larry Greene Jr. – Greene's a bit raw, considering he was set to play football at Alabama before ultimately signing with the Phillies. People will have to give this guy time, he's adjusting to a new sport, but has a fantastic eye, and prodigious power, though it hasn't been shown in games quite yet, he still mashed a few doubles, and once he learns to actually drive a pitch he's looking for instead of just taking pitches to take, he'll become even more deadly. This guy's an athlete, give him some time to get used to baseball and let his natural instincts take over and we'll have a solid prospect on our hands.
15. CF Zach Collier – Injuries and lost time aside, I still think Collier has a very high upside, and even though he seems like he's been in the system for years, the guy's still only 22 years old, and could possibly be bumped to Reading where he'll be more age appropriate. A nice AFL showing, and scouting reports about his improving defense have me hopeful Collier can still put it together, sometimes these toolsy guys tend to take a little longer than most. If he can stick in CF, I'll feel comfortable ranking him here, but if he has to move to a corner OF spot, he'll fall down the list, because he doesn't have the bat to be a corner OF.
16. RHP Mitch Gueller – Again, between him and Watson, all I really know is what scouting reports show me, and seeing that they're high on both guys, I feel like I should include him in the top 20. He's not quite as refined as Watson, but they say he's the better athlete, and possibly has more upside. As for now though, he has just a solid fastball, with improving secondary offerings, very high upside though.
17. RF Kelly Dugan – I personally feel Dugan's a bit underrated, yes he has his flaws, but the guy knows how to take a walk, has pretty decent plate discipline, and surprising pop. He's not the best outfielder in the world, but does have a pretty good arm. Now that he's gave up switch hitting, I think he can really consolidate his focus, and will be better for it. The strikeouts worry me a bit, but as long as he can take walks like he has in his short career, he should be fine. Needs to move through the system quicker though.
18. RHP Phillippe Aumont – One of my personal favorites, Aumont has hands down, the best stuff in the system, with a filthy sinking fastball the can get up to 98-99, while sitting at 95. And a plus plus curveball that has huge strikeout potential. Aumont's problem has been and always will be command, he can either make hitters look silly, or embarass himself by walking the bases loaded. I fear Aumont will always be an enigma, but I still hold out hope that he can put it all together and become a devastating late inning arm. Should get the trial by fire in Philly this year.
19. RF Jose Pujols – This is another guy I don't know much about, other than vague scouting reports and a short video of him tracking down balls and firing home, and taking some BP. Pujols looks to have a cannon arm, and a wiry frame that could possibly add muscle and power. I also really like his swing, short and compact and creates great loft without too much uppercut. Complete lottery ticket being so far away, but is pretty much Domingo Santana 2.0, they even look and have scouting reports that are eerily similar.
20. LHP Jake Diekman – This one might be a bit controversial to some too, but I really like Diekman, with his fastball velocity and filthy sidearm delivery, he's an absolute nightmare for lefties, and while he was hit around a bit in the majors, and struggled with command, I still have faith that he can be a very effective late inning guy, mostly used as a LOOGY, but able to handle an entire inning if needed as well. I have a good feeling about Diek and I think he'll be a fixture in the pen for a while.
21. C Sebastian Valle – Valle's stock has fallen a lot in a year, and while I was never a huge believer in Valle to start with because of his atrocious walk rate, scouting reports about Valle's defense, and his pop should get him some time in the majors, but I can't see him any more as a full time starter, his free swinging mentality will be exposed in the majors. He's still very young and in AAA, so it's still possible he learns to be more patient and work the count, but the odds aren't on his side in my opinion, especially with Joseph, and the other catchers in the system nipping at his heels.
22. RHP Justin De Fratus – De Fratus has a live arm, with a fastball that can touch 96, but sits in the 93-94 range, and nasty slider, he's the ideal 7th/8th inning guy. The signing of Mike Adams makes me wonder about De Fratus' spot on the 25 man, but live arms like his don't grow on trees, and I think if he doesn't start in the majors, he'll see time there soon if he's tearing it up in AAA. I'd love to see the Brad Lidge comps come to fruition.
23. OF Dylan Cozens – Cozens put up impressive numbers in the GCL, and while there are questions about his makeup, I like his bat and his athleticism. The Phillies seem to think he has really raw power as well. He put on quite a show at the Bank when the Phils worked him out. Him and LGJ compare favorably, although Greene was in the tougher league, I still like Cozens and am excited to see how he progresses next year.
24. RHP Kenny Giles – Best fastball in the system, and an improving slider, Giles runs it up to triple digits, apparently without going full out either, from what I've seen, his mechanics are fairly solid, and he doesn't look like he puts a lot of strain on the arm, really uses his legs to generate velocity, kind of reminds of Joe Blanton strangely enough from the stretch. Quick riser through the system, I wouldn't be surprised to see a jump to AA if there was a spot available.
25. 3B Mitch Walding – Although he didn't have the year he, or any of us were expecting, the guy still oozes with athleticism, and he has a lot of tools to dream on. He was fairly raw when drafted, and is still learning to man 3B, but I like his bat, and athletes can turn it around quicker than players that aren't athletic. I have faith for now, it's way too early too give up on him, but another year like 2012, and he'll be dropping down the list.
26. RHP Kevin Brady – That K/BB ratio alone warrants this guy a spot in the top 30, freaking fantastic no matter what league you're in. Brady's a college guy, so he's probably overmatching some of the younger guys in his league, but this guy could rise through the system pretty fast, as he's already a fairly polished pitcher. Would rank him higher but I feel he'll be a reliever, and is farther away than any of the other relievers in the system.
27. LHP Franklyn Vargas – While we don't have much on this guy, a LH that can throw in the mid 90′s is a nice luxury to have. Small sample size to go on but I love that K/9, and he apparently has a free and easy delivery. Unclear how the Phillies are planning on using him, but if he's a starter, by this time next year, he could be even higher. Check back in 2014.
28. RHP Tyler Cloyd – Cloyd is one of those guys who seems to outperform his peripherals, always has a nice ERA, but his FIP and xFIP don't really see it that way. He does have a very good BB rate, but also a pretty poor K rate. He doesn't have good velocity either, and relies on movement and trickery to get outs. I admire the hell out of the guy for making it to the majors with a somewhat lacking arsenal, but I fear he'll be exposed when teams start to really get to see him. He has a solid K/BB ratio, and he keeps the ball in the ball park (0.7 HR/9 in 632 2/3 professional IP) though so he has that going for him. Will have to constantly prove himself.
29. OF Brian Pointer – Pointer's got one of the smoothest swings in the system, and after tearing it up early in his career, he's struggled as of late. He's still young, and has time to figure it out, and having success early on, hopefully he can get back to that. Still like his athletic ability, and hoping he can put it all together.
30. RHP Brody Colvin – Still gotta show Brody some love, we all know 2012 was a horrible year for him, I don't think anyone would argue that, but there was a lot of bad luck in Colvin's season as well. He's had his mechanics tinkered with, and been sent up and down the minor league ladder, but this guy still has big league stuff, and a good pedigree. The Phillies are probably getting a little antsy after doling out a huge signing bonus for Colvin, but their's still hope because he's fairly young. I see 2013 as his last chance to start, and if that doesn't work out, I think he will be either converted to a reliever permanently, or released. Make or break year for Brody.
I'm more of an upside over proximity kind of guy, so I think my list kind of reflects that.
Thanks for reading!
After I put together a a little spreadsheet of my own, trying to objectively rate these guys, I came up with some surprises in my top 30:
I have Lino ahead of Rupp, at #22, which I think is way different than most.
I have Bielski in the Top 30, who I had never heard of before I started.
I'm probably lower on Dugan than most, who I have near the end of the top 30.
I'd be interested in the criteria for your objective evaluations. What do you know about Bielski? Jake Kaplan calls him a power arm but he is not as tall as most power arms. He also had a pretty unimpressive debut, and he wasn't a particularly high draft pick. I am not criticizing your placement of him but I am wondering if you know something we don't.
Bielski went to Servite HS in Ca. A private school, very nice, very kind and gentle. He was the number two guy there behind a lefty, who I will not name, who is considered soft by a lot of fellow guys out here. So to put him at 30 might be a stretch although Bielski is young.
Cole Irvin?
I didn't mention any names but that's a pretty good guess.
I just used Matt's last write-ups by position, and it sounded like he had a big arm and could stick as a starter. I definitely don't know anything the rest of you don't; I never even heard of him until I went through the low minor pitching post.
Other than the Bielski ranking, I agree with you. I wouldn't rank Bielski yet, because they used him exclusively as a Bullpen pitcher and didn't give him multiple innings. That leads me to believe they have at least 5 HS or Latin pitchers that age better than him. If he would have gotten some starts, I could go along.
Like you, I have Lino ahead of Rupp, and Kelly Dugan at the end of my top 30.
Gotta leave some room for Rupp, dude is probably a solid major league backup catcher for a decade.
Originally I had Morgan second and Franco third. I'll go with Morgan again to be consistent.
A few months ago my list looked entirely different and I had Adam Morgan at No. 5, had no problem putting him at No. 3 tonight. I remember charting one of his starts against State College two years ago and he topped out at 94 but only hit 90 on two other pitches. While I liked the command and the mound presence and especially the change-up, I just didn't think it'd play up on higher levels if he was barely hitting 90. Now that he's sitting low-90s, coupled with the success at two stops last year, I think he's become a pitcher who has forced you to pay attention. He's less than a hit per inning in his career and a pretty much 1.0 WHIP guy. I know he won't continue to be a 10 Ks/9 guy, but he's shown the ability to miss bats. Quality guy to have at No. 3 on my list.
Mitch, I really appreciate you posting your thoughts and info on this site. You are a great resource!
I rank Pettibone ahead of Morgan. They essentially had the same FIP in equally small sample sizes at the end of last year, but Pettibone was in AAA and Morgan was in AA. Morgan has better strikeout rates on the whole, but it was not all that much better for him in AA (7.3/9). Pettibone is younger. Pettibone has had better walk rates at comparable levels (though there are sample size issues here, and his walk rate in AAA was poor). They throw equally hard. It is close but I prefer Pettibone.
I can't argue that at all, BP. Five months ago when we did the media rankings of the Phillies' system, I had Pettibone at No. 2 on my top 15 list and Quinn around 10. Studying the reports and the numbers more, that's how much things change. Five months from now everything could change again. The different perspectives it what makes this so enjoyable.
I agree with Boston Phan. I like pitchers command and control to go along with a low 90 fastball.
ToJo for me again. Proximity- check. Positive scouting reports- another check. Age appropriate- double check. Good positional value- Triple check. He's got all the checks you could want in a prospect.
If only the performance lined up with everything you've said.
I think we are perhaps underrating ToJo a bit because he is not "our prospect". If we had drafted him, we would all know far more about him. As a 20 and 21 yr old he had a wRC+ of 93 and 107 in AA. He has some pop. He does not have a history of striking out too much, though it was a problem in Reading. He is a catcher who can apparently stay behind the plate. I think this guy is great.
One point if comparison, when D'Arnaud was 21 he had a wRC+ of 107, but in A+. He had an absolute monster year the next year in AA, and I'm not saying ToJo will do the same, but at the same age, ToJo compared favorably to Travis.
"But as of now, what do you see as being so positive about his 2012 hitting results"
Compare Joseph's bat to Mitch Walding and Tommy Joseph looks better than Buster Posey.
Well, the big check he doesn't get from me is actual positive hitting results. He was very young for AA, but his bat was, at best, only average among the AAers. That just doesn't scream #3 prospect to me, although he may stand out in 2013 when he repeats AA. But as of now, what do you see as being so positive about his 2012 hitting results, or doesn't that matter to your grading?
It matters, but a .715 OPS (.747 in Reading) is not at all bad for a 21 yo catcher in AA. As I said in an earlier thread, out of all qualifying catchers, only 1 guy in all 3 of the AA leagues had a better OPS than Joseph and he was 3 or 4 years older. He might not have torn the cover off the ball, but he definitely held his own. Compared to other top catching prospects, Joseph's stats also hold their own against all but the most upper tier guys.
Sebastian Valle had an OPS of .716 in AA in 329 plate appearances. I suppose he does not qualify for the AA leader. Defensively Valle is supposedly better than Joseph with no talk of not sticking at catcher, which I hold against Joseph for now. But Joseph is younger than Valle, so I agree he is a slightly better prospect. I rank Joseph #6 and Valle #9, both behind Franco, Pettibone, Morgan, and of course everybody's top 2 and my #1, Ruf.
Actually I actually have Joseph #7 just behind Quinn, so I should have written behind … everybody's #1, Biddle.
You have Quinn at #6 ?!?!?!
Fair, but I think Valle's lack of plate discipline will be his undoing in the majors. More advanced stats than OPS weigh OBP more than slugging, which would indicate that Joseph was a better offensive player. And to me the age difference is a big deal. I've got Valle around 20th on my list.
Roman Quinn is so fast he is going to be #2 and #3 on the list.
I think he just stole 2nd, 3rd, Home and 1st… in the prospect rankings. Plus Plus Speed haha
Thought about going with Roman Quinn again for #3, he deserves it. Instead I went with Franco as I see him as more valuable than Morgan (tons of pitchers) and I see him having a huge year next year. Mark my words. Franco will have a breakout year in 2013. Also thought about Tommy Joseph but I need to see that power return.
Plus Morgan kind of came out of nowhere last year.
"Plus Morgan kind of came out of nowhere last year."
Unlike Roman Quinn who has been tearing it up in full season leagues for years.
Quinn got #2 right?
I am so surprised people are voting for Franco already. I definitely agree he will have a breakout year, but it looks like he may only end being a 1B. He has no speed at all. Does that matter at 3B? You really want someone at 3B like Pablo Sandoval? Giants already moved him to 1B I think.
You don't have to move real far to field balls at 3B. Quickness is more important, so I don't think his speed should hurt him much there. Most scouts seem to think he could be an above average 3B.
Franco has better defensive reports at 3rd base than Asche.
How fast was Polanco? He is a two time gold glover
You're the only one talking about Franco to first. That's ridiculous.
Franco's supposed to have a plus arm at third. I also don't remember seeing anything about a limited range.
Needed to hammer home your point with a 2nd screen name, huh.
Hey, what happened to Darin Ruf???
I wondered the same thing.
I think Matt accidentally left Roman Quinn on the poll who should have been replaced by Gillies but he accidentally knocked Ruf off to accomplish that?
Joseph here…but thinking I have Franco and Morgan to low..I love doubting myself…luckily will only happen 27 more times….3 Joseph 4 Martin 5 Franco 6 Morgan
One big problem with the appreciation of Franco : he is a "slug" on the bases. On the 20-80 scale Re: running, he earned a complete "20.
Now, if you keep hitting the ball out of the park, nobody would notice. Since that ain't gonna happen, we should note this negativity.
I've moved Joseph down on my list since, until he actually lives up to his billing, he gets an "incomplete." Both Gillies and Asche beat him out, for me.
Hopefully someday, Franco's future numbers in the majors comes somewhat close to another 'slug' in baseball, Cabrera from the Tigers.
Miguel Cabrera is 6′ 4″ 240 lb
At age 19 he played in the Florida State League (Clearwater's league).
.754 OPS (with 43 doubles in a harder to hit HR league than the Sally).
Unlike The smaller Franco who is a Dominican, Cabrera hails from Venezuela. Players from Hugo's country are believed to be their stated age.
Tommy Joseph. I believe, many are not giving enough significance to the fact that Joseph played the most difficult position on the field, at age 20, while in Double A ball. At age 20, Travis D'arnaud, was in low class A, Lakewood. At age 20, Sebastian Valle was in high A, Clearwater. Tommy Joseph's numbers are comparable to both players at age 20, except he was playing at the higher level.
I think the fact that Tommy Joseph is playing the most difficult position (catcher) almost two (2) years/levels ahead of his peers, while more than holding his own, is enough to justify #3.
Tommy Joseph, Adam Morgan then M Franco.
I have no problem with your argument. He's young. He plays a premier position and he has hitting skills. I have him rated above Quinn but I also had to cut him down a notch for the time he spent with the Phils last year. He gets traded to Reading, which is a hitters park, and he has hitting trouble. Then he goes to AFL and he continues to have trouble. Maybe he was tired. Maybe he got discombobulated. For now, he's looking like a #4 or #5. A good year in AA with a finish in AAA, could launch him to #1 or #2. but other guys on the list will have a say in the matter. Plus we'll have a high draft choice this year and he might take a top #5 spot. I personally downgrade the short-season guys but others voting here don't.
Tough crowd. So at an age where his peers are either Sophomores in college or playing in the SALLY, this guy is in Double A, throwing out 40% of SB attempts and hitting (OPS) over 700, as a catcher… and that still isn't good enough.
ToJo had a wRC+ of 107 in Reading. That means he was 7% better than the average hitter in the Eastern League. I don't think he had any hitting problems. He was also 21 and a catcher. He is a very valuable prospect.
7% better than the average EL hitter is not a huge vote of confidence for a guy to be our #3 prospect, although I know you have to adjust for age. Most of the hitters in the EL will never get even a cup of coffee in the major leagues and just a small percentage will become major league starting position players. Your wRC+ confirms my impression that he was about average with the bat among EL players.
Wow 7% percent better than avg. Are you for or against?
Tommy Joseph gets my vote here, mainly because his value was established in the Pence trade. As a catcher he rates high in positional value and I think he handled switching orgs as well as could be expected. Nothing about his season threw up red flags or diminished his value, despite his slow finish with the bat. Catchers have a lot of work to do in learning a new pitching staff and I think he'll have an easier time focusing on hitting going forward.
Went Morgan at no.2 so he again gets my vote.
I don't necessarily have any issue with Quinn at no. 2 since he would have landed at 4 or 5 on my list anyway. I do think it's a bit of a stretch though and I'm not particularly fond of the argument that he's the only guy in the system with an 80 tool. Anyway, with a no. 2 rank comes lofty expectations – I'm hoping for at least .280 avg, .350 ops and 45 steals in his first full season
If he has a healthy season, he will easily pass 45 steals. Mike Newman over at fangraphs things he'll be the next minor leaguer to swipe 100
"I'm hoping for at least .280 avg, .350 ops"
You want a .350 OPS from Roman Quinn? He might even slightly exceed your expectations.
I won't mind admitting I am wrong if and when the time comes but I'm not buying the Joseph hype. He is 12 on my list. The same thing many of you kill Valle for is also prevalent in Josephs game. And I'm not buying age/level.
Your hit tool is your hit tool and a special offensive player will be able to demonstrate that almost from day 1.
People criticize Valle for his inability to take a walk. In AA Valle had a BB/9 of 3.3%. ToJo had a BB/9 of 7.7%. I don't think that Valle and ToJo are comparable.
I must say that your description below of an ideal catcher sounds very much like Joseph.
"I must say that your description below of an ideal catcher sounds very much like Joseph."
Except for the blocking balls in the dirt. This is a big deal for a catcher and hopefully ToJo can improve it or his value takes a serious hit.
When I think about Joseph, David Ross comes to mind. That might not be a fair comp, but it's representative of my expectations for him – a very good backup or a mediocre starter.
I agree that I'm not thrilled about his hit tool. He looks like a contributor but not a star.
The Ross comp is an interesting one. Joseph of course advanced much more quickly through the minors, and also seems to have significantly better contact skills. OTOH it remains to be seen if he can match Ross in other respects. Still, given age/level, while it's not a bad comp by any means, I'd say Joseph's ceiling is higher.
But assume for a moment that Joseph essentially turns into David Ross. One thing about Ross – and maybe there is an obvious answer here that I am unaware of as I haven't followed Ross that closely – looking at his performance, the question is this: why hasn't he had more of a chance to be a regular? Given a full time job, that's a league average catcher. No, actually, Ross, on a per PA basis, is a BETTER than average major league catcher.
The only thing I can think of is that maybe Ross is a worse defensive catcher than the metrics suggest (catching metrics are notoriously inaccurate). But his reputation is consistent with the metrics. In fact, if anything, his defensive reputation is better than the metrics (and the metrics miss entirely his excellence at framing pitches).
Ross is a bit of a puzzle. The Reds were hesitant to cut him loose and for whatever reason, he went to Atlanta as a free agent where McCann blocked him. Could be a personal/physical preference for a lighter playing load? All I can do is speculate as he's clearly no worse than an average starter.
DMAR, the short answer is that he HAS demonstrated his hit tool. Obviously there is still a gap between his performance and scouting reports, but, especially considering age/level and his position, his hitting has been fine.
I haven't been commenting lately on this site, but I really want to say that I think that many of Joseph's advocates, let alone his critics, have been selling his performance – as opposed to potential – short. One critic wants him to hit 30 HR in Reading next year to prove that he has some pop! That's an absurd expectation. At his age/position, and given his other skills, if he hit 30 HR he would be one of the top 5 prospects in baseball. Heck, 20 HR in Reading (and at least maintaining his performance otherwise, and bringing his K rate back down to his career norms) would make him a top 50 prospect in baseball.
Let's break Joseph's hitting performance down:
(1) He is making consistent strides forward in plate discipline. Still room for growth, but last season's 7.6% BB rate was decent and a career high. Unlike (for example) Valle, the trend line is in the right direction. (And to compare him with Valle in this regard is silly – his BB rate in 2012 was more than double Valle's rate).
(2) For a guy who has some pop – and is projected to have more – his contact rate has been fine – except for 114 PA in Reading. We'll talk more about Reading in a minute.
(3) People act like his power is all scouting projection at this point, but (a) you can't throw out 22 HR and a .198 ISO in high A as a 20 year old in 2011, and (b) last year was a little better in that regard than acknowledged – one factor not mentioned is that the bulk of his PA occurred in a poor hitting environment (Richmond). Of course Reading is the opposite, but his power did tick up in Reading. Maybe not as much as people hoped (but see below), but a .170 ISO is pretty darn good. Not as a final destination, but he did show some pop in Reading.
(4) Putting it all together, using wRC+, he was roughly an average hitter for his league in 2012. For a 21 year old catcher in AA, that's excellent.
Now, Reading. His BB rate was fine; as stated, his ISO ticked up. The one black mark was his K rate, which spiked. Here's where I admit to a lack of certain knowledge – I seem to recall that the Phillies were tinkering with his swing, which could explain the spike in his K rate. But even if this is not the case, I'm not inclined to put much weight on such a small sample size. His K rate in Richmond was fine.
There are no sure things with prospects. But of the Philies position players in the upper minors, he seems to have, at the same time, the highest ceiling and quite possibly even the highest floor (Asche gives him a run for the money there). In terms of proximity, he's behind only Ruf. I think he is an easy choice for #3.
Things get tougher starting with #4, with a group of 4 or 5 prospects all having decent arguments.
Its good to hear from you Larry. I'll defer on Joseph to those that know better. I just feel top 5 is a little aggressive for him.
Larry, Why you say only Ruf is ahead of Joseph In terms of proximity? What about DeFratus, Aumont, Pettibone, Cloyd, Hernanez, and Valle? All are older than Joseph and all played in Philly or Lehigh Valley. Valle is better defensively than Joseph, which may be the first thing the Phillies would look for in calling up a catcher. Also, what about Martin, Morgan, Asche, and Gillies? All of those AA players are older than Joseph and are likely to reach MLB and even AAA ahead of Joseph.
Jimmy Rollins at Reading at age 20:
Tommy Joseph age 21 same league:
Rollins went to AAA the following year and posted a .798 OPS and got a call up in September. We need to see something from Joseph's bat this year. He'll be repeating AA unless Amaro gives Valle away to the Astros for 100 pounds of hot dogs.
FreeAEC speaks.
Voted for Morgan again under the assumption the gains in his velocity will be sustained.
I'm on the fence with Joseph. He's young, but he's not that young for a good prospect in AA. If he was born three weeks earlier, he'd be listed as 21 on baseball-reference. He's basically 6-9 months younger than your typical high end prospect. He finished 78th in the EL in OPS, one spot behind Valle. I think there's enough questions where he's behind Biddle, Quinn, and Morgan, but enough positives where he's ahead of everyone else.
I'm going with Ruf in this spot. There are plausible scenarios in which Ruf hits 30 bombs for the big club this season. I think putting Revere in center allows Ruf to continue the glorious left field legacy of Burrell/Ibanez. He didn't follow the typical trajectory of a great prospect – but what he is now is a guy with a reasonable chance of being an impact player in the major leagues. His success in his short stint last year tells me that it is possible, if not probable. At some point, a guy who can mash is just a guy who can mash, regardless of his age, draft position, etc.
PLAUSIBLE scenarios? I will agree with "Scenarios" but wouldn't use the word "Plausible".
If he is allowed to be the regular LF this season, I think it quite plausible that he hits 30 HR this year. The question is, will it be a Dave Kingman type approach with low BA or will he have a decent BA. The power most definitely is there.
Agreed. I'm not even too worried about the BA. My biggest fear is that he's so bad in LF that he gives most of his value back with his poor fielding.
I'm skeptical of Ruf's chances of being a major league regular, but nothing about his minor league numbers suggests he's likely to turn into Dave Kingman. He doesn't have tape-measure power and he doesn't strike out a ton. His career BA is .305 and his career OBP is .386. I think the likely concern is that the power, a far more recent development, deserts him.
I agree with you aluden! If that would happen,(and there is a very decent chance) he could be rookie of the year,how foolish would we look, if his pre-season ranking wouldn' even be in the top three?
Now of course it may not happen,but the ones ranked ahead of him,those projections may not happen either!
If Ruf's ceiling is Matt Holiday, he has to be in the top 5 and it is shaping up that way so we are good.
Ruf is nowhere close to Matt Holliday. Holliday played his first full MLB season at age 24. When Ruf was 24 he was playing in Clearwater.
Dissuade yourself of the notion that Darin Ruf is anything like Matt Holliday. I think the best case for Ruf would be a player like Brian Daubach.
"…player like Brian Daubach"
Not bad. Decent comp, except was LH batter, which gave him a greater opportunity to get close to full-time abs. Even with that advantage over Ruf, Daubach was only good for 3 years.
"If Ruf's ceiling is Matt Holiday"
Quinn at 2 was easy, I've got Morgan at 3. Morgan and Ruf are the two guys that advanced the most in 2012. I've heard RAJ mention Morgan's name several times when naming pitchers that have impressed him and who are close. I've had Pettibone in my top 5 for 3 years now and I'll keep him there but I moved Morgan ahead of him due to what I think is a slightly higher upside. I think both could pitch in Philly this year before its over.
It's interesting that I'm held up as the prime example of Ruf skepticism. I think I've actually been more positive that most with regard to him. Certainly true with regard to his hitting. I've just been very vocal as to disagreeing with some of his more extreme advocates.
The fact that the team hasn't signed an impact corner outfielder – IMO a mistake, but that ship has sailed, for this season anyway – indicates to me an intention to give Ruf a shot at a full time job. If given that shot, (a) I still have serious questions about his defense, and (b) I think his BA (and BB rate to a lesser extent) is probably going to disappoint some of his biggest fans. But given 600 PA – "plausible," though not certain – is 30 HR a reasonable expectation? Yes, it is. Not certain by any means, but certainly "plausible."
Does not IMO make him the team's third best prospect, though.
Once again he is not going to get 600 ab's. He will be replaced late in games if it is a problem.
Darin Ruf,Okay I admit that I love power hitters,especially when they hit for decent average,and don't strike out excessively and use all fields.(Like Ryan Howard does lately) Afterall what do we watch on espn highlights?
And if he would get close to some of the projections on here 30 Hrs,etc. This year,how many players have done that in their rookie season,in the last five years? Ten years?(and make sure that their batting average was no less than .265!
And also how many of the (toolsy) outfielders have panned out for the phillies in the last five years?
None,Why? Because they can't hit good enough!
Regarding a common Ruf comp, Michael Morse, not actually a good comp IMO but one you see a lot, as I've said before, the hope for Ruf fans is that he is BETTER than that. I don't think much of Morse. And the conventional wisdom seems to agree with me. For a year of team control at a reasonable salary, speculation is that he's going to net Washington no more than a relief pitcher.
I get the rules why Ruf is on the ballot but personally I won't be voting him, Aumont or any of the others that were called up last season.
In my mind they move off the ballot once they have played any amount of time in the bigs whether they stay up or not. I think the goal of each seasons pre-season top 30 is to move guys up or move them out.
Guys like Ruf, Cloyed, DeFratus, Aumont, Rosenberg, Galvis etc… are in some weird graduate prospect apprentice category you could say…
Your the only one!
Well, none of them are established major leaguers. They're all still developing just as the guys in the minors are, and their futures are uncertain.
Morgan here.
Then: 4: Pettibone, 5: Asche, 6: Gillies.
THEN Joseph at # 7.
Where's Franco? Morgan then Joseph then Franco for me.
Yikes, Jon Singleton gets 50 games suspension for weed.
Not a big deal in mind since it wasn't a PED. It's a mistake and he's young.
missing almost half the season is a pretty big deal
2nd suspension correct?
I didn't mean the 50 games wasn't a big deal. I was talking about the weed
It's just crazy that a guy in his position would do that. He has so much riding on the next couple years, seems insane to risk it for a little weed.
YEAH that makes sense bud. weed = ped
Singleton smokes weed and still hits like that?
And did you see what Domingo Santana did?
I wonder if Amaro knew of Singelton's first failed drug test and it influenced him trading him.
Went Joseph over Franco here. Like Franco's upside and the age/level on both of them, but had to go with the catcher this time.
Franco next, he keeps winning me back with his great second halfs. At his age I think I will stay with him steady now. As much as I keep trying to disprove him he settles down and fights back.
Went Morgan here and will probably go Franco and Joseph after. Morgan because of the reports of increased velocity and improved secondary offerings to go along with excellent results, Franco for his great second half, being able to make adjustments as the year goes on and sticking at 3rd, and Joseph for his improving defense and offensive potential. Though if Joseph has a breakout year with the bat I think he easily jumps both guys.
A lot's been made of Ruf's age (26), so I did a quick Google search for 26-year-old baseball rookies. Todd Frazier was third in the 1012 NL ROY voting. Yoenis Céspedes was 2nd for 2012 AL ROY. But the best comp for Ruf might be Dan Uggla who was 3rd for the 2006 NL ROY. Like Ruf, Uggla has never played a game in AAA.
Comments are closed.


text:
Does anyone recognise this film? I can only remember two scenes from it and the vague plot:
I watched it about 20 years ago on TV in the UK. It is an American film, set in America. I would guess it was made in the '60s.
A young girl is friends with a mute, white haired man, who is accused of murder.
Over dinner the girl asks her father, who is a lawyer, to help her friend when he goes to trial as she is sure he is innocent. When she has gone to bed the father tells his wife he is going to help - the dialog is something like:
Husband: "We have always told her to come to us if she needs help. She has come to us so I am going to help."
It goes to court and they take the decision to place the young girl on the stand as a witness. The prosecuting lawyer tears into her and shouts something about the man sexually abusing her. The court goes mad. People start shouting and throwing things, the defendent charges across the room to assault the lawyer, the girl runs from the stand in tears, her father runs to pick her up, police officers are running around trying to figure out who to arrest first as the judge shouts for order and bangs his hammer.
The defendant ends up on the stand but has to write all of his answers to the questions for the bailiff to read out. One question was:
"Did you kill name removed from my memory?"
"No, he was my friend."
I know it is not much to go on - does it jog anyone's memory?

subset: commoncrawl


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Kopp's standout senior season now includes ICSA All-Academic honors, the ICSA announced today (Gil Talbot).
CAMBRIDGE, Mass. – Brendan Kopp '12 and Alexandra Jumper '12, two Harvard sailing alumni, have been named to the 2012 Intercollegiate Sailing Association (ICSA) All-Academic Sailing First Team for their achievements during 2011-12 academic year.
To qualify for this honor, student-athletes must be a junior or senior with a minimum cumulative GPA of 3.5 on a 4.0 scale and a key starter or reserve on an institution's sailing team.
Kopp, a government concentrator, was a team co-captain and All-American skipper in 2012. The Fairfield, Conn., native notched a first-place finish in the A division as Harvard won its first New England Championship in 11 years. In the final regatta of his collegiate career, he skippered the Crimson to a second-place finish in the A division at the 2012 ICSA/Gill Dinghy Coed National Championship to help Harvard finish fifth overall. He also garnered Academic All-Ivy recognition.
Like Kopp, Jumper was named Academic All-Ivy. The history concentrator notched 15 single-digit finishes in 17 races in the B division at the ICSA New England Women's Championship, where Harvard placed seventh overall. She also contributed to the crew of the B division and an eighth-place overall finish at the ISCA Women's National Championship.


text:
10th December 2012
Get to know El Gordo Spanish Christmas Lottery and watch the television spot
It is no secret that the Spanish Lottery 'El Gordo' is the one that gives out more money in prizes in the world. This year 2012, for instance, the amount ascends up to 2,520 millions of Euros in prizes of which 720 millions go for 'The Fat One'!!!! These will be distributed in 1,764 prizes. "Christmas' Fat One" (El Gordo de Navidad, in Spanish) brings 4,000,000 Euros per series winner, that is to say 400,000 Euros per 'a lottery tenth'. For the second series gives out 1,250,000 Euros, and 500,000 Euros for the third. These prizes are not subject to […]


text:
The Cassini Spacecraft's final moments
Clip: Season 46 Episode 15 | 2m 16s
NASA's Cassini explored Saturn for over a decade, making incredible discoveries about its rings, storms, and moons. Here are the spacecraft's final moments.
Aired: 08/07/19
Buy Now:
Problems Playing Video?
National corporate funding for NOVA is provided by Draper. Major funding for NOVA is provided by the David H. Koch Fund for Science, the Corporation for Public Broadcasting and PBS viewers.


text:
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text:
In her first job after finishing social work school, at a place that helped mentally ill people live independently, Amanda Newstetter met Steven Pratt, whose job she would be taking over. It was the fall of 1984 and he was leaving to go start the social services department at the San Francisco AIDS Foundation (SFAF).
"Steven and I had an immediate connection and felt like we'd known each other our whole lives," Amanda recounted. "He trained me on how to do his job and said, when I get my department together, I will come back and hire you to work at the AIDS Foundation." Amanda didn't believe he would return for her, but was interested in the position as her friend Eric, who had attended school with her, had been diagnosed with AIDS the summer before and died the following fall. But to her surprise, Steven did come back for her and hired her as one of four social workers.
Amanda was in that position for about 18 months. "I couldn't handle the grief that accumulated," she explained. "I was responsible for about 100 clients who had either AIDS or what was called AIDS-related [complex] (or ARC), and every one of those clients died, and most died before receiving their Social Security Disability." She describes having gone to funerals every week. "Many of the staff died, including my boss, and my other fellow social worker, Tristano." Her role at that time was to help identify which patients at San Francisco General Hospital might be eligible for housing within the two houses for people with AIDS set up by SFAF.
After leaving SFAF, she worked for the UCSF AIDS Health Project (now called Alliance Health Project) giving HIV results once the HIV test became available. "I worked at the anonymous test site in the Castro (then known as Health Center #1) giving four to six positive results each night," she recalled. "Most of those folks were dead six months later and I truly felt like I'd been through a war." And similar to many veterans of war, Amanda didn't realize how much of this part of her life and the grief were lodged inside of her until she rode for the first time in the AIDS/LifeCycle (ALC).
"This was my first ALC and I have wanted to do this ride for 10 years or more, but it's not well timed for people who have kids. I waited for my daughter to go off to college to do the ride." Her daughter was waiting for her at the finish line in Los Angeles. This year was also Amanda's 30th anniversary of working in the HIV field and so it was only fitting she make this the year she challenged herself to do the ride for the first time.
Amanda is currently the training manager for the UCSF AIDS Education and Training Center, which provides training and education for medical and social service providers serving clients with HIV from San Mateo up to the Oregon border. At 58 years old, Amanda welcomed the opportunity to honor her work, patients, friends and journey by participating. "I was not a big bike rider before the ride, but I trained with many wonderful and supportive people in Northern California and had a magnificent ride," she said. "I feel like I can do whatever I want in life after completing that ride!"
AIDS/LifeCycle is a fully supported, seven-day bike ride from San Francisco to Los Angeles. It's a life-changing ride -- not a race -- through some of California's most beautiful countryside. AIDS/LifeCycle is coproduced by the Los Angeles LGBT Center and the San Francisco AIDS Foundation and is designed to advance their shared mission to reduce new HIV infections and improve the quality of life for people living with HIV/AIDS. This year, over 3,000 cyclists and volunteer roadies raised just over $15 million.


text:
stainless steel service trolley
|product name
|stainless steel side table
|Item NO
|stainless steel and glass
|Container Capacity
|Delivery time
|Trial order lead time: 10-15 days
|Formal order lead time: 15-20 days
|Payment terms
|T/T or L/C.30% deposit before production,the balance be paid before delivery
|Laoding port
Company Info
FOSHAN DIANJU FURNITURE CO.LTD.in located in Foshan city,our company mainly producing
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Trade Imformation
1.Trade terms: EXW.FOB.CIF.
2.Sample: sample is availble for you to check the quality.
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a. Before shipment ,we will check the quality of each product thoroughly.
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DIANJU furniture CO.LTD.In the Front 4 Seats in the Front Row 1, The Southern District, International City of Lecong, Shunde, Foshan.Guangdong China.
Mobile:86 - 757 - 27888096
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text:
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An ambush on a police patrol in northern Burkina Faso left four people dead
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We neglect primary HIV prevention at our peril
Novo Nordisk to offer free, one-time supply of insulin to people in immediate need
Psychedelic drug pioneer, Ram Dass dies
FDA approves lead drug of Intra-Cellular Therapies Inc to treat schizophrenia
Health Article
Roughly 10.8 million American adults currently use e-cigarettes, study suggests
Telenor Group gets a spot on Fortune's annual 'Change the World' list
Sodium reduction programmes may only be appropriate for communities with very high salt intake
Ruman Sana emerges as breakthrough athlete
Bangladesh Under-19 team to be accorded heros welcome at home
Nike reveals new footwear for sprints, distance events
IOC sanctions three boxers for betting during Rio 2016
Former Kenyan sports officials charged with theft, fraud
Olympic champion Puig sets sights on grand slam victory
Bangladesh Under-19 team to be accorded heros welcome at home
Hardik Pandya out of Indian Test team against New Zealand
Bangladesh should win the series in Pakistan: Shakib
ICC Cricket World Cup 2019
'Sloppy' Man City must learn despite reaching League Cup final
Chinese Football Association postpones 2020 season due to Coronavirus
Harry Potter and the magic of the FA Cup
FIFA World Cup 2018
US Open champion Andreescu feted in hometown
Serena says her poor effort 'inexcusable' in US Open final
Qualifier Townsend finds US Open last-16 run 'insane'
Ruman Sana emerges as breakthrough athlete
World-beating hurdler Pearson retires over injuries
US runner Gabriele Grunewald dies at 32 after losing battle with cancer
Qantas warned of financial impact due to coronavirus
Singapore Airlines starts Airbus A350-900 flights in Dhaka
Aeon Co Ltd aims to start selling eco-certified sushi this year
Tourists are flocking to the Chernobyl disaster site after HBO miniseries
World Tulip Festival is scheduled to start at the Korea Flower Park in Taean
Disney raises prices of some U.S. theme park tickets
Le Méridien Dhaka to celebrate Victory Day of Bangladesh with Bijoy Mela, traditional haat, photography
MGM to sell Bellagio and Circus Circus resorts in Las Vegas in separate deals
Unmarried foreign couples to be allowed to rent hotel rooms together in Saudi Arabia
Qantas warned of financial impact due to coronavirus
Singapore Airlines starts Airbus A350-900 flights in Dhaka
Air France-KLM proposes to buy 49% shares of Malaysia Airlines
Everest 'traffic jam' survivor calls for tougher rules
Four things to know about Hungary
Mizanul Azam, champion of nations biggest MTB challenge victory day "Tour De CHT"
Aeon Co Ltd aims to start selling eco-certified sushi this year
Le Méridien Dhaka brings Pitha Fest
People eating a vegan diet need to make sure they get enough B12
Breaking News:
Trudeau's Liberals win Canada vote, will form minority govt
Russell Domingo appointed Tigers head coach
Hong Kong airport reopens amid warnings over pro-democracy protests
Convict Panama ex-president in criminal graft case
Volcano near Tokyo explodes, prompting warnings
February 29, 2020
Deepika Padukone's head price Rs. 10 Crore, says BJP official
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
The vitriol over Bollywood film Padmavati went up a notch as a BJP office bearer from Haryana said he would double the bounty on the heads of actor Deepika Padukone and filmmaker Sanjay...
Delhi half marathon goes ahead despite smog, health warnings
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
Tens of thousands of runners braved smoggy conditions for the Delhi half marathon on Sunday despite dire health warnings from doctors who wanted the race postponed in the heavily-polluted capital. Around 35,000 people...
Mugabe fired as ruling party leader
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
Zimbabwe President Robert Mugabe was fired as leader of the ruling ZANU-PF party on Sunday and replaced by Emmerson Mnangagwa, the deputy he sacked this month, sources at a special ZANU-PF meeting to...
Saudi Arabia, Arab allies to hold Cairo talks on Iran, Hezbollah
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
Saudi Arabia and other Arab foreign ministers will hold an emergency meeting in Cairo on Sunday to discuss confronting Iran and its Lebanese Shi'ite ally Hezbollah, who the Arab allies say are interfering...
Defiant Hun Sen tells U.S. to cut all aid to Cambodia
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen challenged the United States on Sunday to cut all aid after it announced it was ending funding for a general election next year in response to the dissolution...
After Macron meeting, Hariri says will clarify position in Lebanon
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
Saad al-Hariri, who resigned as Lebanon's prime minister this month while in Saudi Arabia, said on Saturday he would clarify his position when he returns to Beirut next week. Hariri's resignation on Nov....
Palestinians say they won't be blackmailed by U.S. move to close PLO office
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
Palestinian officials expressed surprise on Saturday at a U.S. decision to close the Palestine Liberation Organization office in Washington unless the group enters peace negotiations with Israel, and said they would not surrender...
Zimbabwe ruling party to kick out Mugabe today
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
Zimbabwe's ruling ZANU-PF party will remove 93-year-old President Robert Mugabe as its leader at a special meeting of its central committee on Sunday and kick him out, the head of the powerful liberation...
BJP official announced 10 crore rupee for heads of Sanjay Leela Bhansali and Deepika Padukone
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
The vitriol over Bollywood film Padmavati went up a notch as a BJP office-bearer from Haryana said he would double the bounty on the heads of actor Deepika Padukone and filmmaker Sanjay Leela...
Anti drug awareness campaign kicked off in Dhaka
News Hour Correspondent
Nov 19, 2017
A press conference was held on 15th November, at the premises of Prottoy Medical Clinic ltd. to launch a nationwide anti-drug awareness campaign with the slogan "Ar madok noy, ei hok prottoy" (To be...
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Human Development and the Shift to Better Citizen Security
The Caribbean Human Development Report reviews the current state of crime as well as national and regional policies and programmes to address the problem in seven English- and Dutch-speaking Caribbean countries: Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, Guyana, Jamaica, Saint Lucia, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago. The new study recommends that Caribbean governments implement youth crime prevention through education, as well as provide employment opportunities that target the marginalized urban poor. A shift in focus is needed it says, from a state protection approach to one that focuses on citizen security and participation, promoting law enforcement that is fair, accountable, and more respectful of human rights.


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It be Tuesday…
Leigh talks about an epic realisation about his friend 'George' has a secret naughty Twitter account: Two examples of the 'safer' photos on the account [image
A clown has died in a macys day parade.
Police in Tennessee have arrested the manager of a discount store for assault after a customer tried to use an extreme amount of coupons.
Alleged Wal-Mart shoplifter after confrontation with store employees.
A man from Ireland is offering Pope John-Paul II's popemobile up for rent to party-goers.


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(CNN) - The latest campaign ad released by a Republican senator running for reelection shows him shaking hands with a Democrat most GOP candidates are running against: President Barack Obama.
"Good job," Obama is seen saying in the spot, which was produced by Sen. Scott Brown of Massachusetts.
- Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker
- Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.
Brown, who is seeking reelection in Massachusetts, is one of a few Republicans nationwide who has campaigned in part on his independence and willingness to work across the aisle.
In his latest spot, called "Insider Trading," Obama greets Brown after signing into law the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge, or STOCK, Act. Brown was behind a Senate version of the law which outlaws insider trading among members of Congress plus their spouses and staff.
"If you did that, you'd go to jail," Brown says to the camera in the ad. Although Obama can be seen on screen, he makes no verbal mention of the president.
Brown's on-camera lines are delivered from the driver's seat of his pickup truck, which became one of his icons in his successful 2010 bid for the seat. He was filling the seat held for years by the late Sen. Ted Kennedy.
Brown's Democratic opponent this year, Elizabeth Warren, was given prominent primetime billing at the Democratic National Convention last week. The Harvard University professor, who was Obama's pick for a consumer advocacy board, spoke shortly before the remarks of former President Bill Clinton.
As recently as June, Obama encouraged Massachusetts voters to back Warren, saying at an event in Boston, "She is going to be an outstanding senator for Massachusetts, and everybody here has got to turn out for her."
Perhaps as much as she has criticized Brown, Warren has focused her fire on former GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney, who was formerly governor of Massachusetts.
In her latest ad, she criticizes Washington, D.C., as "rigged for the big guys" who retain lobbyists that small businesses cannot.
Both candidates have raised millions and attracted the interest of national political groups - enough to ensure their ads make it to Bay State television.
- CNN's Steve Brusk and Ashley Killough contributed to this report
Scott Brown knows who is leading in the presidential race and will win Massachusetts decisively. It is not the former Massachusetts governor. Today, the famously Republican-leaning Rasmussen poll shows that Obama leads Romney in the presidential race by 4 points, 49% to 45%. More importantly, it shows that Obama has a 52% job approval rating, the highest it has reached in the Rasmussen poll this year.
Scott Brown so wants the citizens of MA to forget he's a republican. Since he votes republican 90% of the time, he should be showing ads with Romney but that'll never happen.


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Prince Harry is making the most of his American tour.
While we haven't seen any wild shindigs a la his naked Las Vegas incident last year, the red-headed royal did let loose a little bit Saturday evening after attending the Warrior Games in Colorado Springs, Colo.
PHOTOS: Take a look at Prince Harry's White House tea party style!
U.S. & World
Stories that affect your life across the U.S. and around the world.
The prince was spotted walking out of the British-themed Golden Bee Pub after arriving about an hour earlier in his eight-car motorcade around 6 p.m.
Although the event was closed to the public, a few residents showed up outside the establishment to get a glimpse of Prince Harry when they heard he was there.
Inside, Prince Harry mixed and mingled with about 40 guests, who were all served Pinot Grigio and Pinor Noir.
NEWS: Prince Harry hits Denver, serenades Olympian Missy Franklin
So, what's up next for the Prince of Wales?
Prince Harry will continue his stay in Colorado Springs today to watch a cycling competition at the US Air Force Academy, and will travel to New Jersey tomorrow to visit some of the areas hit hard by Superstorm Sandy last year.
PHOTOS: Take a look at more shots of Prince Harry in America!


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College hockey growing in Connecticut
When Eric Boguniecki of West Haven was a prep-school hockey star in the early 1990s, his in-state college options were, well, Yale. He went to play four years at the University of New Hampshire.
"For me, coming up, it was Hockey East," said Boguniecki, now an assistant coach with the Bridgeport Sound Tigers after a long pro career.
Quinnipiac, Fairfield (which dropped its varsity program in 2003) and Sacred Heart were Division III programs at the time. He looked at the Boston schools, at Maine.
Two decades later, it's a different picture.
Yale is in the midst of its most successful stretch in school history. Quinnipiac, ascendant, is the No. 2 college hockey team in the country after a long stretch at No. 1.
UConn is a couple of years away from joining Hockey East, one of the power conferences. The Huskies' current cohort in Atlantic Hockey, Sacred Heart, had a rough season but is only three years removed from an appearance in the conference final.
"It's an unbelievable scene," Sacred Heart coach C.J. Marottolo said. "Sacred Heart, Yale, Quinnipiac, 25, 30 minutes away. An hour up the road, there's UConn. It's a pretty nice packet of schools. It's great for the hockey fan in Connecticut."
Yale's two meetings with Quinnipiac sold out, first at Ingalls Rink and then at the TD Bank Sports Center in Hamden.
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"Rivalry is probably one of the most important parts of sports," Quinnipiac athletic director Jack McDonald said. "Yankees-Red Sox. Ohio State-Michigan. USC-UCLA. Cubs-Cardinals. You can go on and on with the great rivalries of sports.
"Quinnipiac and Yale was the hottest ticket in the whole state of Connecticut. Deference to the other local colleges, but for in-state rivalry, there's nothing better."
Particularly with UConn's impending jump, coming up for the 2014-15 season, Connecticut's Division I hockey presence has never been stronger. What remains to be seen is how that may affect the game at other levels in the state.
Sticking around
The online rosters of this year's 59 NCAA Division I teams included 32 players with Connecticut hometowns.
Their histories varied. Quinnipiac's lone home-state player, Jordan Samuels-Thomas of West Hartford, began his college career at Bowling Green.
Some went through prep schools; some through junior. Pat Busillo, a sophomore forward at UMass, has one of the more unique trips: He played four years at Sheehan, a Division III CIAC program, before going to the Hartford Junior Wolf Pack and on to Amherst.
There were three Connecticut players on Sacred Heart's roster (one, goalie Alex Vazzano of Trumbull, sat out this year after transferring from Vermont). Boston College was the only other school with three, including Milford's Colin Sullivan, a Montreal draft pick who was once committed to Yale.
There were also three Nutmeggers in the conferences that are mostly based in the Midwest and beyond, the Western Collegiate Hockey Association and the Central Collegiate Hockey Association. The rest are fairly evenly split among Hockey East, Atlantic Hockey and the ECAC.
A major shift out west was part of the reason UConn is on the move. Penn State's move up to Division I led the Big 10 to sponsor a hockey conference. The remaining WCHA and CCHA teams realigned themselves, with Notre Dame moving to Hockey East. UConn was chosen to join them, set to face the likes of Boston College and Boston University.
Had the Huskies been a Hockey East program in 1993, might Boguniecki have looked there instead of two states away?
"No question," Boguniecki said. "I think for all players, if they can stay close to home, play in their backyard, it's definitely intriguing."
The Huskies were in the Atlantic Hockey semifinals Friday night in Rochester, potentially two wins away from the NCAA tournament. They'll have some building to do to compete with the top schools.
McDonald said UConn was particularly supportive of Quinnipiac when the Bobcats moved to Division I in 1998 (the same year as Sacred Heart), and then up from Atlantic Hockey to the ECAC in 2005. The Bobcats are ready to return the favor.
"As they've proved with basketball and football," McDonald said, "UConn can be very successful."
Rising tide?
The state's college hockey isn't necessarily a zero-sum game. Competition from Yale pushes Quinnipiac to get better; Sacred Heart wants to follow in their footsteps. And a successful UConn program could boost interest even further.
"Kids are going to want to go there," said Sean Backman of Greenwich, who played at Yale and is now a Sound Tiger.
And when it comes to competition, Marottolo looks to Boston and sees one possible future for Connecticut hockey.
For 61 years, the four big Boston schools -- Boston College, Boston University, Northeastern and Harvard -- have played the Beanpot. The semifinal matchups change every year in front of a sold-out TD Garden. They play the final a week later in front of another sellout.
What if UConn, Quinnipiac, Yale and Sacred Heart did the same thing every year?
"I think it'd be a tremendous event in Connecticut," Marottolo said. "Connecticut is a hockey state.
"Call it the Connecticut Cup, for lack of a better word. If a kid goes for five, six, seven, eight, 10 years? `I want to go to one of those schools.' That's what happens with the kids in Boston."
What's next
Sacred Heart suffered through a 2-30-4 season, though Marottolo is hopeful for the future. They're the one state program without their own arena -- they play mostly out of Milford Ice Pavilion, with several games at Webster Bank Arena.
"The first step for us is we have to start competing at a better level within our league," Marottolo said. "We're canvassing North America for the best possible student-athletes to Sacred Heart."
As a member of the staff at Yale for over a decade, he saw first-hand how the facilities can help a program.
A major renovation to Ingalls Rink, he said, was part of Yale's rise to where it has qualified for three of the past four NCAA tournaments and won two ECAC tournaments since 2009.
It's not so much the public experience at Ingalls; there, it's still bench seating, with the same unique Eero Saarinen geometry. The transformation is underground, the team's facilities and weight room.
"It really sells the kids: `You're going to get better here,' " Marottolo said. "`You're not sharing a weight room.' It's their space. That sells kids. The lifeline of any hockey program is recruiting. We were very fortunate enough to get some kids who made an unbelievable difference."
They've helped create a competitive culture on Sachem Street. So, too, have the Bobcats, a town away.
"It's been a very steady progression by doing it the right way," McDonald said. "It has not been too fast."
ECAC coach of the year Rand Pecknold and the administration have, McDonald said, "developed a solid program, a good name, a good schedule, most recently good facilities (the 6-year-old TD Bank Sports Center), and, most importantly, strong academics."
And UConn's rise lurks behind all of them. The Huskies' on-campus Freitas Ice Forum has a capacity under 2,000, so they plan to play conference games at Hartford's XL Center.
"If you're a hockey player, you go to games, you're seeing that college atmosphere: It's a goal," Boguniecki said.
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The $1989$ Tour was won by Greg Lemond (USA, $1961$ - ), who beat Laurent Fignon (France, $1960$ - $2010$) by $8''$. Yes, eight seconds! The closest tour in history.
Let me recall a few rules concerning the time measurement. At each stage, a measurement is made for every group of riders (for safety reasons, riders arriving together should not fight for winning seconds). Each time is a natural number of seconds. Therefore, each measurement involves a round-off and can be viewed as the integral part (closest integer) of a real (random) variable. For instance, if a rider arrives alone and $X$ is his real time, then his official time is the integer $n$ such that $X\in(n-1/2,n+1/2]$. At the end of the race, each rider has a total official time $T$, and his real time (which nobody knows) belongs to the interval $(T-m/2,T+m/2]$ with $m$ the number of stages ($21$ in $1989$).
When comparing two riders (say Greg and Laurent), we should only consider the stages where they arrived in different groups (they are not suppose to fight at the end of the irrelevant stages otherwise). This happened $11$ times to Greg and Laurent. Disregarding the irrelevant stages, we can say that the real time of Greg belongs to $(T_g-11/2,T_g+11/2]$ and that of Laurent belongs to $(T_\ell-11/2,T_\ell+11/2]$. With $T_\ell=T_g+8$, we see that these intervals overlap! There is thus a possibility that Laurent rode faster than Greg but lost because of the round-offs. Of course, this has a very tiny probability, because the event needs that the round-offs be close to maximal at each stage and always in favor of Greg. Unlikely, but
What is the probability that Greg won just because of round-offs ?
Let us assume that the round-offs are independent random variables, uniformly distributed over $(-1/2,1/2]$.
By the way, I am not chauvinist, and I admire Greg.


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With the release of Windows XP Service Pack 2 (SP2), Microsoft latest and most reliable corporate desktop operating system now provides better protection against viruses, worms, and malicious hackers. SP2 includes Windows Firewall, Pop-up Blocker forMoreWith the release of Windows XP Service Pack 2 (SP2), Microsoft latest and most reliable corporate desktop operating system now provides better protection against viruses, worms, and malicious hackers.
SP2 includes Windows Firewall, Pop-up Blocker for Internet Explorer, and the new Windows Security Center. But it still comes without a single page of printed instructions.This superbly written guide fills the gap. Coauthored by David Pogue, New York Times technology columnist and Missing Manuals creator, Windows XP Pro: The Missing Manual uses wit, technical insight, and scrupulous objectivity to light the way for first-time and intermediate network and standalone PC users.
In fact, this jargon-free book explains XPs features so clearly revealing which work well and which dont that it should have been in the box in the first place.The book reveals which features work well and which dont, such as the Remote Desktop software that enables people to connect to the office from home, the encryption file system that protects sensitive information, and the Windows Messenger that enables real-time text, voice and video communication. Contents include:Getting started. The books early chapters cover using menus, finding lost files, reducing window clutter, and taming the new, multi-column Start menu.Mastering the network.
Special chapters help you navigate the corporate network, dial in from the road, and even set up your own small-office (peer-to-peer) network, step by step.Understanding security. User accounts, file encryption, and the NTFS file system keep your private files private, while still offering network access to coworkers you specify.Flying the Net. This book demystifies Outlook Express 6 for email, Internet Explorer 6 for Web browsing, and the new Windows Messenger for voice, chat, and video conferencing.Windows XP Pro: The Missing Manual isnt for system administrators or OS theory geeks- its for the novice or budding power user who wants to master the machine and get down to work.
Yet, anyone who uses XP Pro (including hardcore techies) will find this new system much easier-- and more fun--to digest with this new Missing Manual.
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Your Account
Physics for Game Developers
by David M. Bourg, Bryan Bywalec, Kenneth Humphreys
Second Edition April 2013
Print: $49.99
Ebook: $42.99
Excel Scientific and Engineering Cookbook
by David M. Bourg
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AI for Game Developers
by David M. Bourg, Glenn Seemann
July 2004
Print: $39.95
Ebook: $31.99
Physics for Game Developers
by David M. Bourg
November 2001
"If you are a game programmer that is serious about the craft, this book is worth checking out! "
--Paul Milbourne, Flash the District
"This is a great reference book to people in the scientific and engineering community who have used Excel, but would like to dig a little deeper and be able to better utilize more of Excel's capability. I've used Excel for over a decade, and still found this book to be a good reference. The author covers a wide variety of subjects such as: importing data into Excel, VBA, Statistical Analysis and Curve Fitting/Regression Testing, Solving Differential Equations, etc. The cookbook approach, along with a decent
index make it easy to locate a relevant function/recipe that a person is looking for. Excel 2003 is covered (although older versions are also referred to). I recommend the book to anybody using Excel and wanting to further explore its capabilities."
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"Smile" reads the sign over the ramshackle shopping centre, where racks of highly flammable vest tops rub shoulders with vats of hair relaxer. "You're in Matonge."
Tucked incongruously between the plate-glass and concrete of European Union institutions on one side and the high-end boutiques of the Avenue Louise on the other, the African quarter of Brussels hasn't always had the best reputation. Scruffy and anarchic, it has been a frequent flashpoint for conflict, particularly in 2011 following the Congolese elections, but it's emerging as one of the most exciting, creative parts of the city.
Named after a lively area of Kinshasa, capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Matonge took shape in the wake of the country's independence in 1960, though the area already had African associations. The following year, as more Congolese citizens moved to Belgium to study, an aristocratic philanthropist called Monique Van der Straten founded "Maisaf" (La Maison Africaine), a hostel for these students, on rue Alsace-Lorraine, in the heart of today's Matonge.
A community – with nightclubs, bars and shops – grew up in the network of streets south of Chaussée de Wavre, and other African immigrants followed in the wake of the Congolese pioneers.
At the Kuumba cultural centre, which organises excellent walking tours of the area with local guides, Jeroen Marckelbach explains that, after that first wave of students, Matonge has not been a place where Africans lived (the area has been too expensive for poor migrants for decades), but a meeting place: somewhere to shop, eat and party.
Walk down Chaussée de Wavre at night and you'll see batik shops, hairdressers and exotic grocers all open late, packed with groups of all ages gossiping and hanging out. In the pedestrian rue Longue Vie, restaurants such as Le Soleil d'Afrique serve cheap, delicious chicken mafé, a Senegalese dish with peanut sauce, and dubious cocktails with names like Viagra to customers at packed communal tables, lanyard-draped Eurocrats sitting elbow-to-elbow with Congolese students.
The European Union institutions grew up alongside Matonge, just a few hundred metres to the east but, until recently, the two communities largely kept a cautious distance. Initiatives such as last summer's Matonge-Europe football tournament, are working to bring them together.
And Matonge has more to offer than wigs, nails and dried fish: it's a fascinating place to soak up a mix of African culture, bobo (the much-derided bourgeois-bohème) hangouts and historic Brussels.
Afrikamäli – the word means "African treasures" in Swahili – is a community project that set out to show another side to the area: in a bright, appealing shop on rue Ernest Solvay, Magali Sylvestre sells fair traded and ethical crafts from across sub-Saharan Africa, assisted by long-term unemployed locals, for whom the shop is a springboard into work.
The central location and relatively forgiving business rents have allowed other small creative entrepreneurs to move in, giving Matonge a more varied texture: places like Le Petit Boudoir, which sells delicate, quirky accessories, or Les Midinettes (30 rue Ernest Solvay, lesmidinettes.be), a sewing atelier, cafe and clothes shop promoting young Belgian designers. There are cavernous vintage shops, second-hand bookstores, cool neighbourhood bars like Stam Café (1 rue Bouré, facebook.com/stam1050) and an excellent art house cinema, the Vendôme.
On the western edge of Matonge, on rue du Berger, is another extraordinary slice of Brussels history. Hôtel le Berger is a former hôtel de rendez-vous, renting rooms by the hour to well-to-do Brussels residents for discreet liaisons. It has kept its louche 1930s charm while adding a few 21st-century comforts.
In the south of Matonge, rue St Boniface is another kind of meeting place, crammed with restaurants and bars, from Japanese ramen to Belgian mussels and all points between. It's a magnet for young Belgians and expats, and responsible for coaxing a younger, richer public into the area.
From the beautiful Comptoir Florian cafe at number 17, owner Vincent has watched the area evolve. "When I opened 19 years ago, all my friends thought I was mad. There was nothing here. But I knew the area and its history and I loved it. I like how mixed it is." His customers reflect that: out on the terrace a group of middle-aged African men are laughing over cheesecake, while inside students, galleristas and locals drink Japanese brown rice tea and flick through the piles of interiors magazines.
"Mixed" is a word you hear a lot from the residents of Matonge: that's a huge part of its appeal. From 78-year-old Bartholomé and his parrot Chirac, still mending shoes on rue de l'Athénée, to the kids checking each other out in the fried chicken shops, all human life is there.
Looking back over a year since they opened, Elisabeth and Sinem of Unico, a tiny Italian wine bar and restaurant have embraced the area in all its contradictions. "It can seem scary," says Sinem, "but it's been wonderful."
Isabelle and Mathilde of Les Midinettes add a reminder to look up above the bustle and the chaos to discover the wonderful façades and glorious art nouveau details that are everywhere in Matonge's streets. "Every day, I discover something new" says Isabelle, which would certainly give you something to smile about.
• Eurostar (eurostar.com) trains from London St Pancras to Brussels take under two hours, from £69pp return//
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Small, dark heron with a blue-green back, rusty-colored neck and dark cap. Usually in a crouched position, partly concealed in vegetation, waiting patiently for prey. In flight, looks like an awkward crow with broad wings, neck tucked in, and legs extending just beyond the tail. Often vocal when flushed; gives a sharp "skeiw!"
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Where does the summer go?! I know we are smack dab in the middle of it, but I swear it was just April yesterday. Usually summers move a bit slower at work for me, so that seems to roll over into moving slowly in general, but this summer has not been typical. Work's been crazy busy, so it seems the days are flying by way too quickly.
I took this picture of my girls in Boca Grande last week and wonder how the heck they got to be nearly nine years old already. And how the heck did they get so tall so quickly? Time is truly elusive, isn't it? I have a stack of reports to write at work, a gazillion photos to edit here at home, jewelry waiting to be designed and an art journal that is severely neglected (and a sentence with terrible parallelism), and all I really want to do is just sit on the back porch swing and enjoy the breeze with my babies for hours on end. Think I'll head that way now. How's your summer going?