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Northeastern Ontario under air quality advisories due to forest fires
Smoke plumes from Quebec are affecting air quality in northern Ontario, Environment Canada said Saturday.
Air quality advisories have been issued across northeastern Ontario, including areas around Greater Sudbury, Timmins, Sault Ste. Marie and North Bay.
'High levels of air pollution have developed due to smoke from forest fires," the weather forecaster said in a special air quality statement.
"Smoke plumes from forest fires over Quebec will result in deteriorated air quality today. Poor air quality may persist into tonight for some areas."
More information can be found here.
"Wildfire smoke can be harmful to everyone's health even at low concentrations," Environment Canada said.
Especially at risk are people with lung disease (such as asthma) or heart disease, older adults, children, pregnant people, and people who work outdoors are at higher risk of experiencing health effects caused by wildfire smoke.
"Stop or reduce your activity level if breathing becomes uncomfortable or you or someone in your care feel unwell," the statement said.
"Be sure to check on people in your care and those around you who may be more susceptible to smoke."
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"Because Your Life is Worth it!"
5 Ways to Rebuild Trust After It's Broken
- Dr. Bill Cloke
- October 16, 2012
Read more: http://www.care2.com/greenliving/5-ways-to-rebuild-trust-after-its-broken.html#ixzz2bIA27SD7
"I'm not upset that you lied to me, I'm upset that from now on I can't believe you." — Friedrich Nietzsche
Laurie and Frank were high school sweethearts. They married young because Laurie became pregnant and, being Catholic, any other choice was out of the question, so he decided to do the right thing. It wasn't that he didn't love her—he did, but as with all things high school and unfinished, over time, Frank longed for his lost youth. You can see where this is going and it's not good. Laurie worked full-time to put Frank through college and law school. He worked long hours and she stayed home with the kids. As his success rose, they began to lead separate lives. He and his buddies would routinely frequent strip clubs after work and occasionally bust out for a Vegas trip which inevitably did not stay in there. One night after Frank arrived home drunk and passed out on the sofa, Laurie came across text messages from one of the girls wanting to hook up and that was the start of their particular fandango.
At first, he denied it, and then he became indignant, and finally contrite, sad and terrified that he would lose her. Frank realized what she meant to him, but Laurie worried incessantly every time he went out and would give him the third and fourth degree when he arrived home. Inevitably, a huge row would ensue, only to end in an icy standoff that would last for days. Laurie's trust in Frank was shattered, and there was no turning back. They were lost in a sea of suspicion and secrecy.
Trust is the bedrock of what makes relationships work. It is the fundamental process of love and intimacy. When trust goes, what goes with it are safety, security, respect, love and friendship, replaced by anger, insecurity, anxiety, fear; the aggrieved person becomes like the police, the FBI, and/or the CIA. Distrust causes spouses to look through cell phones, check emails, and ask endless questions about "Where have you been and who were you talking to?" Life becomes laced with arguments, large and small, about what is really going on, rather than taking what is said at face value. In the intervening thirty or so years of doing therapy, there is not a thornier issue than the loss of trust, in whatever form it may take.
Trust can be lost through lies, rage, violence, drug and alcohol abuse, and, most prominently, sexual infidelity. Once it's lost, there is usually a Humpty Dumpty effect: hard to put it back together again. Usually the behaviors that created the distrust are difficult to change, because they are complex and convoluted. These little critters skip and jump through our system like ciphers popping up in unexpected places, while giving our mind the best of reasons to be doing whatever it is that our bodies are pushing for.
The body certainly does vote, and when it comes to sex, nothing is more powerful. I have seen very wealthy and powerful people literally spending millions of dollars on sex, drugs, and rock and roll—all the while being in the midst of a marriage with children. The level of guilt is staggering enough to kill a herd of horses, but it generally does not stop the offender. The reasons why men or women cheat are multifaceted. They can range from loneliness, poor self-esteem, cultural entitlement, arrogance and/or sexual issues within the marriage or relationship. Our society is also rife with willing males and females who know full well that a roll in the hay will quintuple what they could otherwise earn, not to mention shoes, jewelry, apartments and cars. It says something about our world and the steady decline of moral imperatives. That being said, it's trust that is the biggest loser.
Once trust has been lost, what can we do to get it back—if anything?
1. Coming clean does work—but not completely clean. Denial only leads to more distrust, so the truth has to come out along with the willingness to take responsibility for your actions. However, detailed truth can sometimes make the hurt even worse and compound the pain, and therefore the healing process. Couples can spend tons of time on details while losing the thread of what needs to be done to correct the misconduct.
2. Being defensive, righteous or casual about the problem never works. There must be a sincere effort to work out the issues, or the wall will never come down. The angrier you are, the less you are able to hear what the aggrieved one has to say, and the worse what they feel will get.
3. Talk about what made you do it. Opening up about your own struggle, the need to get help, and the awareness of what got you there in the first place will help to prevent further infractions. If there is a sexual addiction problem, you must be willing to attend SA (sexual addiction) meetings or do what is necessary to make it better. If there is loneliness in the marriage, take the initiative to make an appointment with a counselor. Talking about your feelings of alienation is the best way to connect again.
4. Be an open book. That means open your cell phone, email, and appointment book for a period of time. This is usually the hardest part, because any person who has lived that clandestine underground life of secrecy likes it that way. They feel entitled to privacy, and they become righteous and indignant. At this point, you will need to take a moment and ask yourself what is really important: your relationship or your privacy? It really comes down to that.
5. Renew your vows. Whether married or not, there is a need to discuss values about living life and what that entails. This may be the most important part of the process. Take time to talk about what you want, what got you into this mess, and what needs to happen moving forward. Write it all down and make a ceremony out of it. Invite your friends and family. Tell the world what you are going to do and mean it.
For Laurie and Frank, it was too late. Frank had gone too far, with too many areas to correct what had gone wrong. Had they talked about it sooner, there may have been a reckoning, but too much water had gone under their relationship to make it work. I think Frank did learn a tremendous amount about how to live with another person and about who he wanted to be. For Laurie, the wounds were deep and it will take time for her to trust anyone again. A word here to all those people out there who are contemplating something strange: there are a lot of people who are hurt by the actions of destroying trust.
Renewing trust is not just a decision—it's a lifestyle change. It's about coming home to yourself and your mate, and making it work. Keeping a relationship clear and open is a valuable process. When we lie, cheat, steal and do bad things to ourselves or others, we pay the ultimate price, and we lose what is most precious to us. If you need help, get it. If you need a change, then make it. Creating trust is a big deal, so treat it that way. There are many facets and turns in this very delicate and daunting process of trust. If it's not dealt with properly, then it will torch your relationship until what remains are ashes and regret. If you can look at the restoring of trust as a learning process that will hopefully bring with it greater intimacy and love, then go ahead on. If not, then make other plans.

subset: commoncrawl


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- #: architecture around the World
- #: architecture & raw concrete
- #: venice in b&w
- #: Geometry, shadows and people
- #: the chimneys of new york
- #: Interaction with Arts
- #: Tokyo and its yokochos
- #: Kyoto & fall colors
- #: focused visual expression
- #: Paris & Passage Couverts
- #: Snow in New York
- #: A day at the tsukiji market
- Contact Me
the chimneys of new york : a city under steam
New York City has 105 miles of steam pipes that run beneath the streets of the city. This steam system in Manhattan is the largest in the world and provides 2,000 buildings for heating and cooling. Sometimes, there can be condensation rising from manholes and those orange and white "Chimneys" are being installed. Those chimneys are sort part of urban-scape of Manhattan and this series documents the day to day scene in all weather conditions.Read More


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Well, what does this techno-babble expression mean, anyway? It means that the Fed has brought the cost of money (interest rates) to zero - and as any micro-economics professor will tell you, when the price of anything is zero demand goes to infinity (in theory, anyway).
As I am fond of saying: "Money for nothing, chicks for free". The Fed is in Dire Straits, indeed.
Two thoughts:
- The Fed is desperately trying to arrest what it sees as a runaway train of deflation from smashing into the entire economy. But which economy is it trying to protect? Obviously, the Permagrowth economy which - in my opinion, at least - is completely past due its expiration date. It would be far more constructive to re-think the entire concept and come up with a radically different economic paradigm: the Sustainable Economy. In such a case, quantitative easing is completely and unequivocally the wrong thing to do.
- Even if the Fed is determined to keep going as it is, we must seriously think of the consequences down the road. The Fed's presumed plan is to prevent future hyperinflation by soaking up the excess liquidity immediately once deflation is reversed. Easier said than done; it's like taking a shower with water of only two possible temperatures: scalding hot or frezing cold. Good luck with that...
May the year ahead prove eventful - or, even better, historic. That's pretty much a curse, I'm afraid...
(*) Protean: versatile, flexible, adaptable.


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Well this ought to fulfill your geek quota for the week. Here's Joss Whedon answering the question who would win in a fight between Buffy or Black Widow (via):
"Buffy would go easy at first, but as soon as Natasha popped her with a Widow Sting, she'd start bringing some slayer brawn to the fray. Natasha's fast, but a couple of good connects and she's wobbling, possibly something broken — she whips out her glock and now Buffy's dodging — right where Natasha wants her. Natasha shoots the cable holding the steel barrels and they tumble onto Buffy, nearly burying her — Buffy just arcs out of the way, grabbing the splintered cable and swinging directly onto Natasha, a bullet grazing her cheek as her feet land hard on the Russian's shoulders, sending her back flat — crack! — on the floor, Buffy wrenching the gun away and tossing it, fist ready for the final strike. Natasha, struggling to stay conscious, says the fight's over. Buffy agrees, but Natasha explains: She poisoned Buffy hours ago. That waitress that brought her salad …? Natasha smiles. The poison is dormant — 'til it's activated by adrenaline. Buffy's eyes narrow. "Too bad I didn't use any." Wham! Natasha's out for the count, and Buffy's heading — slowly — to Willow for a mystical cleanse."


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Transfer of Credit Appeal Procedures
The Montana Board of Regents' policy establishing an appeals process to review decisions concerning the transfer of credits is Policy 301.5, Section F.
Once a campus in the Montana University System has completed its review of a student's transfer coursework, and shared those decisions with the student, the student may choose to appeal some of those decisions. The campus is required to tell students about their appeal rights at the time the analysis of transfer credits is given to students.
Students can appeal the decision on any or all of their transfer credits if they think that the transfer coursework should have been accepted, or should have been accepted for a particular use or purpose in their degree program.
The appeal process will vary from campus to campus due to differences in institutional size and organizational structure. The following common points are part of the process on each campus.
If the appeal concerns the use of transfer coursework in a student's major, minor, option or certificate program, the appeal will begin with the academic program that offers the major, minor, option or certificate.
- The administrator who manages that program will handle the initial review. (Usually
the department chair; but on the smaller campuses, it may be someone else.)
- If the student is not satisfied with the initial review and decision, the student
can appeal the decision to the next level in the academic organizational structure.
On many campuses, that person would be known as the Dean, who manages the college
or school where the program is located.
- The final review is conducted by the Chief Academic Officer on the campus. That person is usually called Provost, Vice President for Academic Affairs, Associate Dean of Academic Affairs, Dean of Instructional Services, and so on. The decision of the Chief Academic Officer is final, and no further appeal is possible.
If the appeal concerns the use of transfer coursework in a student's general education program , the appeal will begin with a faculty committee. The name of that faculty committee will vary from campus to campus in the System, but students who choose to exercise their appeal rights will be directed to the appropriate group.
- If the student is not satisfied with the initial review and decision, the student can appeal to the Chief Academic Officer on the campus. The decision of the Chief Academic Officer is final, and no further appeal is possible.
If the appeal concerns the use of transfer coursework as free electives in a degree program, the appeal procedures are identical to a decision concerning general education coursework, described above.
TWO DEADLINES are important in this appeal process:
- The campus must complete the appeal by the start of the pre-registration period for
classes in the next academic term (i.e., if a student files an appeal during Fall
Semester, that appeal must be completed before the date when students can pre-register
for classes in the upcoming Spring Semester.)
- Students must initiate their appeal rights in a timely manner. For example, if a student receives the campus analysis of his/her transfer coursework in early September, and doesn't initiate the appeal process until early November, the student is not entitled to a decision by the pre-registration deadline.


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View Climate Information by City
In accordance with the World Health Organization's guidelines, the air quality in Qatar is considered unsafe. The most recent data indicates the country's annual mean concentration of PM2.5 is 91 µg/m3 which exceeds the recommended maximum of 10 µg/m3.
Contributors to poor air quality in Qatar include dust storms, vehicle emissions, and industrial emissions. Available data indicates that Doha has consistently high levels of air pollution.
Outdoor air pollution is a mix of chemicals, particulate matter, and biological materials that react with each other to form tiny hazardous particles. It contributes to breathing problems, chronic diseases, increased hospitalization, and premature mortality.
The concentration of particulate matter (PM) is a key air quality indicator since it is the most common air pollutant that affects short term and long term health. Two sizes of particulate matter are used to analyze air quality; fine particles with a diameter of less than 2.5 µm or PM2.5 and coarse particles with a diameter of less than 10 µm or PM10. PM2.5 particles are more concerning because their small size allows them to travel deeper into the cardiopulmonary system.
The World Health Organization's air quality guidelines recommend that the annual mean concentrations of PM2.5 should not exceed 10 µg/m3 and 20 µg/m3 for PM10.
Cities and rural areas worldwide are affected by air pollution. When planning a trip, consider health status, age, destination, length of trip and season to mitigate the effects of air pollution.
Short term symptoms resulting from exposure to air pollution include itchy eyes, nose and throat, wheezing, coughing, shortness of breath, chest pain, headaches, nausea, and upper respiratory infections (bronchitis and pneumonia). It also exacerbates asthma and emphysema. Long term effects include lung cancer, cardiovascular disease, chronic respiratory illness, and developing allergies. Air pollution is also associated with heart attacks and strokes.
Information last updated: February 23, 2021.


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Unitrack R381-30 N Scale Curved Track Ground Level, 4 Pack (Kato Radius 6th), integral ballasted roadbed. Kato Precision Railroad Models, Japan & Usa, N scale Unitrack track system. Kato Curved track 20-140 Unitrack Radius R381mm at 30 degrees - R15 inches at 30 degrees. The system is Ready for DCC if a Digital railway layout is required. The Kato Unitrack 9mm N scale roadbed track is a unique rail system from Japan oozing with quality and stability. Made from robust materials and boasting Nickel-Silver rails, the N scale Unitrack from Kato precision railroad models, is designed in such a way it can be used with other brands of N gauge railway track. and is becoming increasingly popular with railway modeller, and is simple, convenient & reliable. Points and Crossings are already pre wired with point motors installed concealed in roadbed, so all are operable at the flick of a switch, eliminating the need to mount point motors under the table, which are hard to install and adjust. Kato Precision Railroad Models, Sekisui Kinzoku Co Ltd, is a Japanese manufacturer of model railroad equipment. Kato was established in 1957 & is based in Tokyo, Japan and in 1986 Kato USA was established. Kato manufactures models based on Japanese, North American prototypes & European high speed trains. Kato's Unitrack modular track system takes very little time to put together whether permanent or temporary, always the same result, an almost instant sturdy operational model railway enabling you more time for modelling n scale scenery and buildings. Having the Unitrack ballasted, with an integral roadbed, allows for the possibility to create scenic boards, as any of your chosen model railway displays will always be the same shape each time created, giving flexibility and choice along with easier storage if your creation has to be put away. Because the Kato Unitrack system is already ballasted it has great stability along with superior connectivity thanks to their Unijoiner concept. The Unijoiners allow sections to be snapped together quickly and securely, time and time again. Simple plug and play for all N scale modelers young or old. In a nut shell, no more faffing around with buckled warped rusty conventional track, soldering joints to avoid poor conductivity and hold the old track together. Kato recommends using a plastic compatible liquid cleaner. For stubborn spots, paint or glue on the rails it is recommended a soft rubberized abrasive eraser is used or a track cleaning car. A constant use of abrasives is NOT recommended which also includes sandpaper, steel wool & cleaning pads, any liquid that is not compatible with plastic or is of a caustic chemical compound. The Kato Unitrack precision model railway system is immense, with every conceivable railway layout catered for, including ground level concrete & Wood sleeper track sections, Risers, Viaducts, Bridges, Twin Rail, Banked Curves and much more ! The Kato Unitrack model railway system is compatible with all other N gauge Usa, European and Japanese N scale locomotives and train rolling stock such as Fleischmann, Minitrix, Peco, Graham Farish and Dapol. Kato Precision Railroad Scale Models, N Gauge. R381-30 Curved Track Ground Level Kato Unitrack 20-140.
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< Features
Provide open-source Security Content Automation Protocol (SCAP) framework, basic set of applications and OVAL/XCCDF security content for Fedora 14.
- Name: Peter Vrabec
- Email: email@example.com
Current status
- Targeted release: Fedora 14
- Last updated: 14-Sep-2010
- Percentage of completion: 100%
Detailed Description
SCAP is a line of standards managed by NIST. It was created to provide a standardized approach to maintaining the security of systems, such as automatically verifying the presence of patches, checking system security configuration settings, and examining systems for signs of compromise.
The SCAP suite contains multiple complex data exchange formats that are to be used to transmit important vulnerability, configuration, and other security data. Historically, there have been few tools that provide a way to query this data in the needed format. This lack of tools makes the barrier to entry very high and discourages adoption of these protocols by the community. It's a goal of OpenSCAP project to create a framework of libraries to improve the accessibility of SCAP and enhance the usability of the information it represents.
The tools based on OpenSCAP library which are included in this Fedora feature are:
- oscap-scan - command line scanner driven by OVAL/XCCDF content
- secstate - tool that attempts to streamline the Certification and Accreditation (C&A) process of Linux systems by providing a mechanism to verify, validate, and provide remediation to security relevant configuration items.
- firstaidkit-plugin-openscap - Plugin for FirstAidKit which allows user to perform basic automated security audit and evaluate the results in text or graphical environment.
The last part of this feature a is an OVAL/XCCDF content that represent secure and consistent configuration of Fedora operating system. This content can be by any SCAP enabled tool.
Benefit to Fedora
- open-source framework for SCAP developers
- security scanning/remediation tool(s) that are capable of handling with SCAP content
- OVAL/XCCDF security content
This feature will be delivered in several packages: openscap, secstate, firstaidkit-plugin-openscap,... .
- OpenSCAP library
- all parts of library support SCAP 1.0 on Linux platform
- stable high level API
- documentation and tutorials available online
- oscap-scan
- import xccdf and oval content
- select profile
- scan a system and output a xccdf results in html/xml format
- initscript and cron job script for oscap-scan are available
- secstate
- import xccdf and oval content
- select and de-select rules and groups
- scan a system and output a xccdf results schema
- remediate problems using specially constructed Puppet content
- firstaidkit-plugin-openscap
- plugin package is build
- Fist aid kit GUI supports showing details of SCAP results
- Fedora SCAP content
- repository for content is created
- content is written
How To Test
- Install the system
- Scan the system by many different ways
- Check results and see the system is in compliance
- Change the system settings
- Scan again
- See the system is not in compliance
User Experience
- User can use different ways to perform automatic scan of his system and make sure the system is in compliance with defined security configuration. The user is enabled to automatically remediate the system.
Contingency Plan
The are not any dependencies on this feature, therefore no contingency plan is needed.
- http://www.open-scap.org/page/Documentation
- http://www.open-scap.org/doc/
- https://fedorahosted.org/secstate/
- https://fedoraproject.org/wiki/Features/FirstAidKit
Release Notes
Fedora 14 brings in support of the Security Content Automation Protocol (SCAP). A library called OpenSCAP that provides development framework and several SCAP scanning tools are included in the distribution. OVAL and XCCDF contents specific for fedora that can be used for automated system configuration checking are also provided
Comments and Discussion


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LG's public image problem: It doesn't have one
Will the Optimus G succeed where past phones have failed? LG is promising its largest TV campaign of the year.
LG must feel like it's shouting into the wind when it comes to smartphones.
The company today showed off the
The question is: will anyone care?
There lies LG's biggest dilemma in the smartphone market. It's not the lack of any particular feature or specification that has hurt the company, but the virtual non-presence it has had for the past few years. LG was late to the smartphone game and has continued to pay for it with minimal consumer awareness and lackluster carrier support.
"This industry changes very quickly and vendors that miss those changes do tend to fade quickly from the public eye," said Hugues de la Vergne, an analyst at Gartner.
It's not like LG hasn't tried its hardest to drum up attention for its smartphones, particularly in the brutally competitive U.S. market. But there seemingly aren't enough parties or fancy launch events to generate any sustainable buzz for the company or its phones. From the
LG is clearly sitting in the also-ran section of handset makers, ranked seventh in the world with 3.8 percent of the global market in the second quarter, according to a Gartner study. That's actually worse than a year ago, when it was sixth with 4.6 percent.
The brand has taken an even more dramatic hit. The LG name is on average worth roughly $391,000, down by more than half from its year-ago average value of $887,860, according to market research firm General Sentiment. The figure illustrates the drop in online discussion about the company, according to General Sentiment analyst Chelsea Morgan.
The weakness in the mobile devices business is especially glaring when considering that many of its other businesses continue to hum along. It's either in the top position or close to that in televisions, as well as appliances such as washers and dryers and refrigerators.
Still, LG is hoping to change its fortunes with the Optimus G. James Fishler, head of marketing for LG's U.S. operations, told CNET that the company is planning its largest TV campaign in mobile to promote the phone.
Feeling the squeeze
LG wasn't always in this position. When the basic phone was still dominant, LG was gunning for a top position in the mobile device food chain. In the U.S., it had a particularly strong ally in Verizon Wireless with hit franchises such as its Chocolate line of phones.
But as the industry began to move to smartphones powered by the more advanced Android operating system, LG was slow to make the transition. HTC and Motorola Mobility, which bet on Android early, slipped into Verizon's good graces, displacing LG. Motorola continues to share a tight relationship with several high-profile launches with Verizon, and enjoys significant marketing support from the carrier.
At AT&T, LG made a big bet on 3D technology with the
Carrier support is a lingering issue for LG. Despite an array of smartphones, the company has largely had to generate its own awareness for its product, to mixed results. The company's strategy has been to introduce more 4G LTE-enabled handsets to entice the carriers, but it isn't an especially novel plan.
While LG said the Optimus G would be heading to the U.S. in the fourth quarter, it didn't mention a carrier partner. When pressed by CNET on potential partnerships, Fischler, head of marketing for LG's U.S. operations, would only say "stay tuned."
Waving the flagship: A glance at the LG Optimus G (pictures)See all photos
With so many smartphones flooding the market, carrier support is crucial to the visibility of a product. Korean rival Samsung Electronics was similarly late to the smartphone game, but tapped into its carrier relationships and pushed its Galaxy S brand, creating the powerhouse
In comparison, some of LG's better phones launched overseas never make it to the U.S., or come much later. The ones that do arrive receive little attention, including the jumbo Optimus Vu, which quietly launched last week as the Intuition for Verizon, or the midrange Optimus L7, sold as the Splendor at U.S. Cellular. The Optimus G was actually unveiled a day ago in South Korea.
A few years ago, when LG finally started to make the push into smartphones, it opted not for a high-end smartphone, but for products that were affordable and targeted first-time smartphone buyers. It was a sound strategy, but one that got it little attention at a time when companies such as Motorola were making waves with their flagship products.
While LG's decision to go the low-cost route has given it a stronger position at prepaid carriers such as MetroPCS, it increasingly faces the threat of lower cost providers such as Huawei and ZTE.
With the Optimus G, LG is figuring to get itself back into the high-end game, but is it too late?
The company is only poised to see further weakness, stuck between the Galaxy S III and Apple's
Recapturing the buzz
LG was a major player in the handset business, and it can be again.
The Optimus G is a nice start. It's a phone with eye-catching power, packing all of the specs that an Android fanboy could ask for. It features Qualcomm's first quad-core processor, allowing it to handle multiple apps on the screen simultaneously. But specs aren't everything.
"Despite good specs, it's very easy to get lost in the shuffle," said Ross Rubin, an analyst for Reticule Research.
But the phone really is just a start. Just like Samsung, LG needs heavy promotion and carrier support. It needs a major player such as Verizon to back it the way it backs Motorola and its Droid franchise. LG and Verizon once had a tight relationship, and LG needs to tap into that legacy.
Fishler said he believes the Optimus G will get an adequate push appropriate to the quality of the phone.
"They will be excited about this phone," he said.
LG will also explore "non-traditional means" of promoting the device, although he declined to get too specific. He mentioned that the event in New York, a more intimate breakfast event to show off the capabilities of the phone, represented one example of its different tact. Social would also play into the promotion, he added.
Previously, LG had a good relationship with T-Mobile USA, which carried its
LG, however, failed to build upon that interest level, leaving it where it is today: a company that's starved for attention.
Corrected at 1:45 p.m. PT: LG executive James Fishler said the company is planning its largest TV campaign, as opposed to the largest seen in the industry.
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SNAPTUBE VIP-v188.8.131.5252910 BUILD 4552910
Monday, February 4, 2019 Add Comment
SnapTube-YouTube Downloader is a simple tool to download any video from YouTube in an easy, fast and convenient way so you can play it later without an internet connection. It's important to note that Youtube downloads are restricted from within USA and China.
This app has several search options, including a catalog with 11 subcategories, a section for popular videos, a section for videos with the most views, plus daily recommendations.
Browsing is as simple as clicking any category or video or typing the name of the artist or song in the search bar. Once you find what you're looking for, you can play the video or download it directly to your device.
You can choose the quality of the download to save space on your phone's memory. You can also choose to download only the audio, which is useful when you just want to save a song or an album. Recent updates also allow the download of Facebook and Instagram videos.
In addition to downloading audio and video, you can use SnapTube-YouTube Downloader to manage your channel just like on the YouTube app, meaning you can use this app instead of the official one while downloading videos
SNAPTUBE VIP-v22.214.171.12452910 BUILD 4552910


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Thomas T. Ryan, 82, Was Executive and Teacher
Thomas T. Ryan, a former chairman of the Association of National Advertisers and vice president of advertising for The Gillette Company, died of cancer Wednesday in Edgartown. He was 82.
After serving three years with the 339 Fighter Squadron in the South Pacific during World War II, Mr. Ryan joined McCann Erickson Advertising in New York in 1945. As a vice president and account supervisor with McCann managing many key account relationships, he resigned in 1961 to join Cunningham and Walsh in New York as senior vice president. He later joined its board of directors and ran the agency's account management division.
In 1968 he left Cunningham and Walsh to join Gillette as vice president of Gillette North America in a newly created position to modernize its advertising and marketing of all the Gillette brands. Over the next 17 years with Gillette, he built the company's in-house advertising operations and coordinated the activities of each brand's individual agency.
He became a strong voice in the industry through his involvement with the Association of National Advertisers, which he also served as chairman. In this position, he was instrumental in the planning and developing the new Nielsen television audience measurement system, called the People Meter, as the arrival of cable television in the 1980s changed viewing habits. He also urged members of the ANA to resist the growth of gratuitous sex and violence on television throughout the 1980s.
After his retirement from Gillette in 1986, he went on to teach advertising and marketing for seven years at the Boston University School of Communication and for two more years at the Budapest University of Marketing Science in Budapest, Hungary. He also served as chairman of the board of the Oldfields School in Glencoe Maryland for three years.
Mr. Ryan was born in Bronxville, N.Y., where he was graduated form the Bronxville School and went on to earn a BA in English from Brown University in 1942. His 1951 marriage to Mary O'Brien of Ardsley-On-Hudson ended in divorce in 1977. He married Jane Sebring Herrick in 1997, and she survives him. His two children of his first marriage, Ted Ryan of Great Falls, VA and Mary L. Ryan of New York City, also survive him.


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Currently we compute portfolio risk and return via our own C# program. Historical data is stored in a SQL database. We want to compute the risk and return parameters - given a portfolio (i.e. not computing the efficient frontier). It's the R syntax that we're not familiar with (Vs the theory of computing the risk-return).
So, how would one go about computing portfolio risk-return in R?


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- PhoneinfoBD
- Alcatel
- Alcatel 3x (2019)
Alcatel 3x (2019)
Alcatel 3x (2019) - Specifications
Network Status
|Network Type
|Network Technology
|GPRS GPRS (General Packet Radio Service) is a packet-switching technology that enables data transfers through cellular networks.
|EDGE EDGE (also known as Enhanced GPRS or EGPRS) is a data system used on top of GSM networks.
|Announced Status
|2019, September
|Launch Status
|Available. Released 2019, Q4
Body Status
|Dimensions It's the size of the phone in format (H x L x W) and the volume of the phone where available.
|164.9 x 75.8 x 8.4 mm (6.49 x 2.98 x 0.33 in)
|178 g (6.28 oz)
|Build Describes the construction materials, methods and finishes used by the manufacturer when building a phone.
|Glass front, plastic back, plastic frame
|SIM Slot Type A subscriber identity module or subscriber identification module, widely known as a SIM Card.
|Single SIM (Nano-SIM) or Dual SIM (Nano-SIM, dual stand-by)
|Water Resistant
Display Status
|Display Type
|Single SIM (Nano-SIM) or Dual SIM (Nano-SIM, dual stand-by)
|Display Size
|6.52 inches, 102.6 cm2 (~82.1% screen-to-body ratio)
|Display Resolution Display Resolution is the measuring way of how much pixels does a display contains.
|720 x 1600 pixels, 20:9 ratio (~269 ppi density)
|Multitouch Screens Multi-touch refers to the capability of a touchscreen (or a touchpad) to recognize two or more points of contact on the surface concurrently.
|Always-on display
|OS Operating System (OS) is the basic structural software that helps other application software to install/run/execute on it.
|Android 9.0 (Pie)
|Chipset It's the mobile system, a chipset is a set of electronic components in an integrated circuit.
|Mediatek MT6763V Helio P23 (16 nm)
|CPU CPU (Central Processing Unit) - otherwise known as a processor is an electronic circuit that can execute mobile phone programs.
|Octa-core (4x2.0 GHz Cortex-A53 & 4x1.5 GHz Cortex-A53)
|GPU GPU (Graphics Processing Unit) which does the graphical calculation of the processor.
|Mali-G71 MP2
Memory Status
|Extarnal Memory A special slot for inserting a memory card to expanding your storage.
|microSDXC (dedicated slot)
|Internal Memory Internal memory is the memory available onboard (chip or motherboard) which is given while manufacturing at the factory.
|RAM Random-access memory (RAM) is a form of computer data storage that stores data and machine code currently being used.
Main Camera
|Total Primary Camera
|Triple Camera
|Main Camera Type
16 MP, f/1.8, 27mm (wide), 1/2.8", 1.12µm, PDAF
8 MP, f/2.2, 17mm (ultrawide), 1/4.0", 1.12µm
5 MP, f/2.4, (depth)
|Main Camera Features
|Dual-LED dual-tone flash, HDR, panorama
|Main Camera Videos
Selfie camera
|Total Selfie Camera
|Single Camera
|Selfie Camera Type
|8 MP, f/2.0, 25mm (wide), 1/4", 1.12µm
|Selfie Camera Features
|Selfie Camera Videos
Sound Status
|Sound Types
|Vibration, MP3, WAV ringtones
|Sound Loudspeaker Loudspeaker is a small sound driver fitted within a mobile phone, which is used to produce sound.
|Yes, With Speakers
|Sound Features
|32-bit/384kHz Audio, Active noise cancellation mic
|Sound 3.5mm jack A common connector for plugging in audio output or input.
|WLAN Wireless Local Area Network (WLAN) is a method of distributing data wirelessly to a local area network practically to the internet.
|Wi-Fi 802.11 b/g/n, Wi-Fi Direct, hotspot
|Bluetooth Bluetooth is a wireless technology standard for exchanging data over short distances from fixed and mobile devices.
|GPS GPS (Global Positioning System) originally Navstar GPS, is a satellite-based radio navigation system.
|Yes, with A-GPS
|USB Types USB is a standard for a wired connection between two electronic devices, including a mobile phone and a desktop computer.
|2.0, Type-C 1.0 reversible connector
|FM Radio FM broadcasting is a method of radio broadcasting using frequency modulation technology.
|Infrared port IrDA (Infrared Data Association) is an old data sharing technology in the means of Infrared Port.
|NFC NFC (Near Field Communication) is a shorter range of high-frequency data transferring technology.
|Sensors A sensor is a device, module, or subsystem whose purpose is to detect events or changes in its environment and send the information to other electronics.
|Fingerprint (rear-mounted), accelerometer, proximity
|Java JAVA is a Runtime Environment or platform of application where particular apps can run it.
|Browser A web browser is a software application for accessing the information on the world wide web.
|Messaging SMS (short message service) is a text messaging service component of most telephone, internet, and mobile-device systems.
|SMS,MMS,Email,Push Email,IM
Battery Status
|Battery Capacity The unit of capacity is milliamp hours (mAh), which means 3000mAh can be put on the battery to discharge it in one hour.
|4000 mAh
|Battery Types A Lithium Polymer (Li-Po) battery has a polymer cathode and a solid electrolyte, while Lithium-Ion (Li-Ion) has a carbon cathode and a liquid electrolyte.
|Non-removable Li-Po
|Battery Charging Status
|Standard charging 10W
|Wireless Charging
|Reverse wireless charging
Colors Status
|Colors Types
|Jewelry Black, Jewelry Green, Jewelry Rose
We obtain not guarantee that the reference of this page is 100% accurate and familiar. We attempt to share the latest reference upon mobile phone price, specifications, news, reviews and showroom locations in Bangladesh. latest updated Alcatel 3x (2019) Official Price in Bangladesh Full Specifications, Rating and Reviews.
The current price of Alcatel 3x (2019) is BDT 15,000. Alcatel 3x (2019) smartphone comes following 6.52 inches, 102.6 cm2 (~82.1% screen-to-body ratio), IPS LCD capacitive touchscreen, 16M colors display and get is 720 x 1600 pixels, 20:9 ratio (~269 ppi density). Alcatel 3x (2019) the stage Octa-core (42.0 GHz Cortex-A53 & 41.5 GHz Cortex-A53), Mediatek MT6763V Helio P23 (16 nm) processor. It has 4 GB of RAM and 64 GB internal storage, which can be expanded to 128 GB furthermore outside storage. This stylish device has a 16 MP, 8 MP, 5 MP in the guidance happening and a 8 MP camera upon the belly side. It was powered by a enough 4000 mAh Li-polymer battery.


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On June 26, 1956, author C.S. Lewis responded to a fan letter from Joan Lancaster, a young Chronicles of Narnia enthusiast.
In a personalized thank-you letter, the writer imparted some simple and valuable stylistic advice for budding prose writers. Behold, how to write like Aslan.
Lewis began his correspondence by provided pointers on literary matters both existential...
If you become a writer you'll be trying to describe the thing all your life: and lucky if, out of dozens of books, one or two sentences, just for a moment, come near to getting it across.
...and grammatical.
There are no right or wrong answers about language in the sense in which there are right and wrong answers in Arithmetic. "Good English" is whatever educated people talk; so that what is good in one place or time would not be so in another [...] Don't take any notice of teachers and textbooks in such matters. Nor of logic.
But the true pith of the letter came when the author offered five easy tips:
1. Always try to use the language so as to make quite clear what you mean and make sure your sentence couldn't mean anything else.
2. Always prefer the plain direct word to the long, vague one. Don't implement promises, but keep them.
3. Never use abstract nouns when concrete ones will do. If you mean "More people died" don't say "Mortality rose."
4. In writing. Don't use adjectives which merely tell us how you want us to feel about the thing you are describing. I mean, instead of telling us a thing was "terrible," describe it so that we'll be terrified. Don't say it was "delightful"; make us say "delightful" when we've read the description. You see, all those words (horrifying, wonderful, hideous, exquisite) are only like saying to your readers, "Please will you do my job for me."
5. Don't use words too big for the subject. Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite.
Now scoot off to your Narnia-themed imaginarium and pen your Hugo Award-winning tour de force, The Sexy Adventures of Mr. Tumnus and Charles Xavier. For more tips from titans of prose, here are some pointers from Kurt Vonnegut.
[Via Letters of Note]


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Hi, all, I m just helping friend to share on a crash course in creative writing esp for Y6. Some international schools are having hols and some parents requested for this course.
Checkpoint Crash Course in Creative Writing on Tuesday 10/4 from 9am-1pm with Miss Sally
During this short holiday, some parents requested help to teach Y6 (just before Checkpoint) how to write better.
Will be teaching the students techniques and getting a good storyline. Interested please whatsapp at 016-211 7290
Venue: to be advised for successful candidates. ( in Kota Kemuning)
Date: 10th April (Tuesday)
Time: 9am-1pm
Cost: RM185
English Creative Writing with Miss Sally
Shah Alam, Malaysia
Disclaimer: miss sally is really good. That is the reason i share her crash course. I have no personal monetary benefit by promoting her course. Thank you.


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I hadn't intended on doing a tutorial on this so there aren't any great tutorial photos. But I got so many nice complements from yall that I thought it'd be good to at least tell you how I put it together.
I bought the barrel already cut in half at Cooper City Antique Mall.
When I flipped the barrel over to attach the casters, I noticed there was a lip. So I headed over to Home Depot and rummaged their miss-cut section. I got lucky and found some square blocks.
I drilled the blocks on the barrel then drilled the casters on the blocks. I used washers since the caster holes were too big for my screw head. I took a picture of the washers because I had intended on doing a post on what NOT to do. You see, during this entire master bedroom makeover, little things like this slowed down my progress. I already told you about about the nail-in-molding incident with the dresser. Oh, and Sun Kissed Husband throwing my chandelier parts away. Ok, moving on, moving on. This washer ended up working but I had to place it VERY carefully. If it had moved a hair while I was drilling then it would have fallen in and not do it's intended job.
Here's a close up of the casters in place and Cooper inspecting the new rolling thing coming into the house.
I wanted to still be able to store things in a somewhat organized manner (not just thrown into the barrel) so I kept one of the drawers of the previous nightstand and placed it inside. I gently pushed it down so it would be snug and not wobble.
Sun Kissed Husband uses a CPAP machine. The cut-out intended for a cork worked perfect for the cord and tubing.
I had bought the big clock from Target and it worked for about an hour. I meant to exchange it but didn't get to it right away and if you've ever returned anything at Target, you probably know that they have the worst return policy in the world. (Target, I love shopping at your store but your return policy is not customer friendly AT ALL!)
I have a problem letting things go (especially things I like) so I hung on to it for a while. Turned out it was the perfect circumference as the barrel.
The cut out for the pendulum works great to be able to turn the CPAP machine on and off.
Before I moved it to the bedroom, I paired it with the loveseat to see how it would look as side table in a living room setting. Nice! As a coffee table would look cool too.
via 3sunkissedboys


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Jason Aldean Sends a Strong Message to His 'Haters'
There's a well-known slogan down south: "Don't Mess With Texas." Well you know what? Don't mess with Jason Aldean, either! Aldean has been cranking out hit after hit — scoring five consecutive No. 1 singles, to be exact — over the past several years, bringing many non-country music fans into the format with his rocker edge and electrifying presence.
But over the weekend, Aldean felt it was time to speak up to those naysayers who never seem to have anything nice to say about him, his music, his style or his attitude. "To all u haters … If u don't like what I do or think I'm 'ruining' country music, feel free to unfollow me," he wrote to his nearly 500,000 followers on Twitter. "Nobody is forcing u to listen!"
With another tweet, Aldean praised those who have supported him from the beginning, or at least in recent years. The loving and loyal fans who have had his back no matter what. "I play music for the fans who like what I do," he wrote. "Those are the ones I focus on and the ones I am thankful for."
And the fans certainly do like what he's doing. Just this past weekend, Aldean played two back-to-back sold out shows in Atlanta on the latest leg of his My Kinda Party tour. When the second night's show sold out in a matter of hours, Aldean became the first country music artist in the venue's history to sell out the arena that quickly.
If that's not a sign of popularity, we don't know what is.


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Councilman Reverend Ricky Burgess
Rev. Burgess is currently serving his second term on Pittsburgh's City Council representing the neighborhoods of Homewood, Larimer, North Point Breeze, East Hills, Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar, East Liberty, Garfield, Stanton Heights and Friendship. During his tenure he has been constantly advocating for the rights of low-moderate income people by creating legislation that empowers the community to be a part of the government process.
Councilman Rev. Ricky Burgess is guided a strong belief in the community of Pittsburgh and in the greater community he serves. For the past 30 years, Rev. Burgess has been pastor of the Nazarene Baptist Church.
In that capacity, Rev. Burgess has served with faithful distinction with a firm belief in the greater power that guides and offers hope for us all. Over the last 23 years, he also served as a Professor of Communications at Community College of Allegheny County.
Rev. Burgess is a member of the Board of Commissioners for the Housing Authority for City of Pittsburgh. He has worked to establish clean safe affordable housing for the residents of Pittsburgh. Rev. Burgess has also been an active Board Member of the Pittsburgh Pastoral Institute, Allegheny Union Baptist Association and Homewood Community Ministries.
Rev. Burgess graduated from Central Catholic High School and then LaSalle University and has earned a Masters from Eastern Michigan University. He has also studied at Penn State University and the Pittsburgh Theological University.
Married to Carlotta K. Burgess for the past 30 years, Rev. Burgess has helped to raise three sons, Richard, John and William, as well as one daughter, Candace.


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A Healthy Back to School: Easy-to-Craft Lunch Recipes
This blog does not intend to provide diagnosis...
In this article:
- What are the Benefits of Packing a School Lunch?
- Almond Butter, Banana and Orange Marmalade Lunch Sandwiches
- Healthy Blueberry Lemon Energy Bars
- Easy Chia and Oats Pudding
- Quinoa Macaroni Salad Recipe
When it comes to the back-to-school season, some parents struggle to find ways to create healthy meals for their kids without boring them. To help school-aged kids learn the value of healthy eating be sure to:
- Pack the appropriate portion sizes
- Include healthy vegetables and fruit
- Choose foods that are going to give kids the energy they need for the day
- Consider that children need more vitamins and minerals for growth
What are the Benefits of Packing a School Lunch?
There are several reasons to consider packing a school lunch rather than having a child eat the prepared lunches provided at many schools. One of the first reasons is allergies. Sometimes, lunches prepared at the school can contain allergens. While most school districts have fairly stringent policies about going nut-free or having dairy-free selections, this can still limit a child's options. For this reason, parents of children with allergies often make lunches for their kids that they can take with them to school.
Another reason some parents opt to prepare their children's own lunches for them is proper nutrition. When it comes to vitamins, school lunches do have a tendency to pack in an adequate amount for a child, but in many cases, there isn't a lot of attention paid to things like sugar content and carbs. For those looking to keep these aspects of a child's diet balanced, it's a good idea to pack lunches so that children can enjoy their meals without dealing with an excess of unhealthy ingredients.
These kid-approved recipes put a new spin on old classics. They're also quick to make, delicious and pack in some real nutrition.
Almond Butter, Banana and Orange Marmalade Lunch Sandwiches
This recipe is a bit of a variation on an old lunchtime classic. The chief difference is that this is much healthier than a traditional peanut butter and jelly sandwich - the almonds in the almond butter provide healthy fats, bananas are loaded with potassium and marmalade is a little less sugary than jellies. Marmalade also has vitamin C, which is great for energy and helping to reduce free radicals.
- 1 peeled banana
- 2 Tbs. almond butter
- 2 slices wholemeal bread
- 3 Tbs. orange marmalade
- To start, take the peeled banana and slice it so that the slices are about a quarter-inch thick. Set aside.
- Using the bread, spread the almond butter on one side, making sure that the entire slice is covered in the butter. Use extra almond butter if needed. Note that some almond butter is a little stiff. If this is the case, make sure that all of the oil is stirred well into the butter using a knife or spoon.
- Next, dollop the marmalade onto the other slice of bread and spread it evenly over the surface with a knife.
- Before combining slices, place the banana slices atop the almond butter.
- Combine the slices together and pack for lunch.
Healthy Blueberry Lemon Energy Bars
Preferably, with this recipe, use no-sugar-added dried blueberries. Other dried fruit alternatives can also be used as well.
- 3 ounces freeze-dried organic blueberries
- 3 ounces dried lemon
- 1 cup organic unsweetened coconut flakes
- 1/3 cup melted coconut oil, preferably virgin
- 1 Tbs. honey
- 1½ cups macadamia nuts
- 1 Tbs. chia seeds
- 1 tsp. kosher salt
- 1 Tbs. honey
- In a food processor, pulse the lemon and blueberries together so that they are well-blended. Once blended well, add in the nuts and continue to blend until the nuts are chopped finely.
- Add in the coconut flakes, salt, chia seeds, coconut oil and honey. Pulse for a few minutes until the mixture forms a fairly coarse puree.
- Onto a cookie sheet that has been lined with wax paper, spread the blueberry and lemon mixture so that it's even and about a half-inch thick. Top the puree mixture with a layer of plastic wrap.
- Place the cookie sheet into the fridge for about one hour. This will give the bars a chance to harden into a chewy consistency.
- Once they've hardened, use a knife or pizza cutter to slice the mixture into bars. Pack them in an insulated lunch bag so that the coconut oil doesn't cause the bars to lose consistency and soften up.
Easy Chia and Oats Pudding
Chia definitely provides a lot of benefits for growing kids. These tiny seeds are loaded with omega-3 fatty acids and are great for those trying to add antioxidants in order to fight free radicals. This is also a recipe that is completely gluten-free and packs in a ton of vitamins.
- 6 Tbs. chia seeds
- 3 cups of almond milk
- 1 Tbs. honey
- 1/2 tsp. vanilla extract
- 2 tsp. rolled oats
- Dried or fresh fruit for the topping
- In a bowl, combine the chia seeds, rolled oats, vanilla extract, honey and almond milk. For this step, a mason jar can also be used. Mix together all of the ingredients until they are well-blended.
- Let the whole mixture sit for about five minutes; this will cause it to set slightly. Next, with a spoon, stir the mixture so that there aren't any clumps caused by the oats or chia seeds.
- Using plastic wrap or the mason jar lid, cover the chia pudding mixture and set it in the refrigerator. Let this sit inside the fridge for about an hour or two. To tell if it's done, gently shake the chia pudding; if it wiggles, it's the right consistency. If it's a bit runny, throw in more chia seeds or oats and let the mixture sit in the refrigerator for another half hour or so.
- Top this mixture with fresh or dried fruit. More rolled oats can also be added to the top for a bit more crunch.
- When packing the pudding for lunch, divide the mixture into smaller portions and serve in bowls or lunchbox containers with lids. The pudding should be kept relatively cold so that it has the right consistency for lunchtime.
Quinoa Macaroni Salad Recipe
This is an easy meal that keeps well in the fridge, so it's possible to make a batch early in the week and send the kids to school with some on their lunch every day.
- 4 cups organic quinoa macaroni
- 1 cup mayonnaise with avocado oil
- 2½ Tbs. organic yellow mustard
- 2 stalks celery
- 1/3 cup organic coconut vinegar
- 1 onion
- 1/2 tsp. ground black pepper
- 1½ tsp. salt
- To start, slice the onion and celery until they are finely chopped. Set aside.
- In a large pot, bring about eight cups of water to a boil. Once it has reached a rolling boil, toss in the organic quinoa macaroni and cook to the desired degree of firmness. For quinoa macaroni, this should take about 10 minutes for al dente and about 15 minutes if the kids want a softer noodle. Add salt to taste.
- Once boiled, drain the noodles completely. Rinse the cooked noodles under cold water.
- In a bowl, mix together the mayonnaise, coconut vinegar, salt, pepper and mustard. Once this is mixed well, add in the vegetables that were cut up earlier. Once combined, pour in the cooked noodles and mix well so that all of the ingredients are coated. Place the bowl of macaroni salad inside the refrigerator and let chill for about four hours. Pack it for lunch to be used as a side or as a main course for a child's school lunch.


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This post was provoked by a recent blog at the New Yorker by Gary Marcus and Ernest Davis. The topic of their blog was a criticism of Nate Silver's book, The Signal and the Noise. In the course of their critique, Marcus and Davis go through a case of the standard textbook example, involving diagnosis of breast cancer. They assume, for purposes of the example, that there is a well-known prior probability of breast cancer. They say,
A Bayesian approach is particularly useful when predicting outcome probabilities in cases where one has strong prior knowledge of a situation. ... But the Bayesian approach is much less helpful when there is no consensus about what the prior probabilities should be.I think that the second sentence above is exactly wrong. The Bayesian approach is also helpful, perhaps uniquely helpful, when there is uncertainty in the prior. All we have to do is express the uncertainty in a mathematical model, and then let Bayesian inference tell us how to re-allocate uncertainty given the data. The present blog post is an explicit illustration of one way to do this.
Please note that this post is not defending or criticizing Nate Silver's book. This post is about what Marcus and Davis say about Bayesian methods, illustrated specifically by the case of disease diagnosis. This post is not about anything Silver does or doesn't say about Bayesian or non-Bayesian methods. My goal is to clarify what Bayesian methods can do, and specifically one way for expressing uncertainty in the case of disease diagnosis.
First, the standard textbook example, as provided by Marcus and Davis in their blog:
Suppose, for instance (borrowing an old example that Silver revives), that a woman in her forties goes for a mammogram and receives bad news: a "positive" mammogram. However, since not every positive result is real, what is the probability that she actually has breast cancer? To calculate this, we need to know four numbers. The fraction of women in their forties who have breast cancer is 0.014 [bold added], which is about one in seventy. The fraction who do not have breast cancer is therefore 1 - 0.014 = 0.986. These fractions are known as the prior probabilities. The probability that a woman who has breast cancer will get a positive result on a mammogram is 0.75. The probability that a woman who does not have breast cancer will get a false positive on a mammogram is 0.1. These are known as the conditional probabilities. Applying Bayes's theorem, we can conclude that, among women who get a positive result, the fraction who actually have breast cancer is (0.014 x 0.75) / ((0.014 x 0.75) + (0.986 x 0.1)) = 0.1, approximately. That is, once we have seen the test result, the chance is about ninety per cent that it is a false positive.In the case above, the prior probability (emphasized by bold font), is assumed to be exactly 0.014. This probability presumably came from some gigantic previous survey of women, using some extremely accurate assay of the disease, so that the prior probability is conceived as having no uncertainty.
But what if there is uncertainty about the prior probability of the disease? What if, instead a gigantic previous survey, there was only a small survey, or no previous survey at all? Bayesian methods handle this situation well. I've got to introduce a little mathematical notation here, but the ideas are straightforward. Let's denote the true probability of the disease in the population as the symbol θ (Greek letter theta). The standard example above stated that θ=0.014. But in Bayesian methods, we can put a distribution of relative credibility across the entire range of θ values from 0 to 1. Instead of assuming we believe only in the exact value θ=0.014, we say there is a spectrum of possibilities, and the prior knowledge expresses how certain we are in the various possible values of θ. The distribution across the range of θ values could be very broad --- that's how we express uncertainty. Or, the distribution could be sharply peaked over θ=0.014 --- that's how we express certainty.
Here is the standard example in which there is high certainty that θ=0.014, with the positive test result denoted mathematically as y=1.
We can use Bayesian inference seamlessly when the prior is less certain. Suppose, for example, that the previous survey involved only 20 women. Then the prior is a broader distribution over possible underlying probabilities of the disease, and the result looks like this:
We can use Bayesian inference seamlessly even when the prior is hugely uncertain. Suppose that the previous survey involved only 2 women, which abstractly means merely that we know the disease can happen, but that's all we know. Then the prior distribution looks like this:
In this post I've tried to show that Bayesian inference is seamlessly useful regardless of how much uncertainty there is in prior knowledge. The simplistic framing of the standard textbook example should not be construed as the only way to do Bayesian analysis. Indeed, the whole point of Bayesian inference is to express uncertainty and then re-allocate credibility when given new knowledge. If there is lack of consensus in prior knowledge, then the prior should express the lack of consensus, for example with a broad prior distribution as illustrated in the examples above. If different camps have different strong priors, then Bayesian analysis can tell each camp how they should re-allocate their idiosyncratic beliefs. With enough data, the idiosyncratic posterior distributions will converge, despite starting with different priors.
By the way, I am not aware of the sort of analysis I've provided above appearing elsewhere in the literature. But it's straightforward, and I imagine it must be "out there" somewhere. If any of you can point me to it, I'd appreciate it.


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John and Lyn Breck 250 pp.
Taking the reader through the stages of life from conception to resurrection, the authors plumb the vital wisdom of the Christian tradition, coupled with pastoral training and an awareness of medical and scientific data, to address ethical and moral issues. Among the topics covered are marriage and sexuality, embryos and stem-cell research, newborns and disabilities, addictions and family systems, and end-of-life care.
Students and scholars alike, especially those interested in gaining an Orthodox perspective on a range of some of the most important contemporary ethical topics, should read this insightful book.


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Set of 8 Green & Blue
Add beauty to your fridge or file cabinet with these strong ceramic magnets. This set of 8 magnets feature 4 stunning Chiyogami patterns and measure 7/8" in diameter.
Each magnet is handmade and unique; therefore the paper placement may vary slightly from the photos.


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Around Our Country - Talbingo and Surrounds.
It is part of the around our country series by Wagga Wagga based photographer Darryl Gibbs of Darryl's Photography.
Darryl can be booked for packages covering your region.
Want to buy this print?
Would you like to book some photos of your town, event or business?
Contact Darryl via FB or firstname.lastname@example.com
Wagga photography


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Spring Wreath
I needed some new wreaths for spring and found this boxwood wreath on sale at Target. I bought a flowering garland at 50% off at Hobby Lobby and bought plastic eggs and wire for a dollar each at Dollar Tree.
I just love how pretty, colourful, and festive this looks! Spring is here... yay!
Thanks for the great tutorial.
Wishing you a lovely day.
This is so cute and simple! Thanks for sharing!ReplyDelete
So pretty!! love how you mixed it up with the white flowers! Thank you for sharing at One More Time Events…TammyReplyDelete
This is very cute! So Spring-y! :)
Thanks again for joining the Link Up this week!
I love this - what a cute wreath.ReplyDelete
That is so darling! The boxwood base is perfect!ReplyDelete
This is such a cute wreath. I need to update the wreath on my door. Thanks for sharing
Pinned. Thanks for linking up at the Bloggers Brags Weekly Pinterest Party
Love this wreath! It is so beautiful! thank you so much for linking up to Handmade Tuesdays @ Ladybug Blessings. www.ladybug-blessings.comReplyDelete
I love that you used a boxwood wreath for this! The whole thing just sings Spring!!ReplyDelete
The wreath turned out beautiful.
I think I'm back at your site every week through one link party or another. This week it's via All Things Thursday. Thanks for such great, and clever ideas!ReplyDelete
Thanks for visiting Anne! :)Delete
Love it! I found you through Thrifty Thursday! I love quick easy projects that turn out so pretty!ReplyDelete
Wow! It looks amazing! I will definitely have to try this. Thanks for sharing!ReplyDelete
Thanks for the tutorial, I'm going to try this, looks so nice:)ReplyDelete
Your wreath is beautiful and fresh! Thanks for sharing how you made it. :-)
Kim @ Curtain Queen Creates
I found you on the Friday Pin Fest. I love how gorgeous your wreath is! You should join us on the TGIF Blog/Instagram Hop. :)ReplyDelete
What a pretty spring wreath Bonnie!ReplyDelete
Your spring wreath turned out great! Thanks for sharing it at the party. Makes me want to head over to Target today & make one. Therea @DearCreativesReplyDelete
This is very cute!ReplyDelete
Love it! This spring wreath is so pretty :) I would love for you to share this at my Friday T.G.I.F. linky party :) Have a great day!!ReplyDelete
Thanks so much for sharing your project on our #PARABlogCrew link party. Lovely wreath!!!ReplyDelete
What an adorable spring wreath.......you are very creative.
Thank you for sharing with the Clever Chicks Blog Hop! I hope you'll join us again next week!
Kathy Shea Mormino
The Chicken Chick
Your awesome Spring Bench is being featuring this weekend at Show-Licious Craft & Recipe Party! Thank you so much for sharing your creativity with us! Hope you join us again!
~ Ashley
I have so many extra Easter eggs from the kids' hunts that I don't know what to do with them. This is a great option for repurposing! Thanks for sharing with Countdown in Style.ReplyDelete
That is beautiful!! I'll have to do it with a different type of wreath, though - can't find one like that up where I live. :(ReplyDelete
Very cute Spring wreath! Thanks for sharing!! #SCBH2015ReplyDelete
Wow, that's lovely. I'll have to keep my eye out for a wreath like that as I love the look of the green leafy background. #SCBH2015ReplyDelete


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Plenty of mild chili, cold beer and warm fun went into the 22nd annual WMVY Chili Contest last Saturday. The fundraiser raised approximately $21,000 for the Island's charitable organization, the Red Stocking Fund, more than last year's event.
A huge tent covered the parking lot and gave shelter at the Portuguese-American Club in Oak Bluffs. Live and piped music was almost continuous. Bands played simultaneously, one in the tent and the other inside the PA club. World-rocking music came from a Vineyard favorite, Entrain, while a Mariachi band performed south of the border music.
"We had our usual great time," said Kerry Alley, co-chairman of the Red Stocking Fund. Asked about this year's increased success, Mr. Alley responded, "We had a bigger tent."
Attendance easily was in the hundreds. And while it was cold outside, the interior tent was warm. Chili enthusiasts from the Cape and Islands participated. Off-Island contestants came from as far away as Carver and as close as Woods Hole.
Winners in the professional category were: 1, Corner Five Surf Shop of Vineyard Haven; 2, Little Red Smokehouse, of South Carver; 3, West Falmouth Market.
Amateur category: 1, Bob Costello; 2, Brian Athearn; 3, Maura Long.
MVY Awards: best veggie chili, Leeside; best presentation, Little Red Smokehouse; hottest chili, Steve Jordan; is it really chili, The Lookout.
Barbara Sylvia, treasurer for the Red Stocking Fund, said that the event raised somewhere between $3,000 and $4,000 more than last year. "It was a grand event. It went so smoothly," she said.
Admission was $25 per person.
The money raised by the contest will be put to use in March, Mr. Alley said. For many of the Island's disadvantaged, March is a difficult month.
Mr. Alley said that the fund plans on spending $10,000 for food vouchers. People in need will get vouchers valued at a minimum of $50. Families will get considerably more.
While the Red Stocking Fund is mostly known for providing clothing and gifts to children during the December holiday season, Mr. Alley said the organization passes out money and gifts throughout the year.
"At times we get desperate calls even in the middle of the summer. We will get calls from Department of Social Services or Martha's Vineyard Community Services about families in need," he said. Remaining funds otherwise will be used as seed money at the end of this year.


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|MH-226 Radioinactive & Antimc - Free Kamal
Free Kamal from Radioinactive and Antimc, is a forward thinking hip-hop album of twelve songs that run the gamut of modern pop music. It is the culmination of years of growth by both artists. Incomparable wordplay, jaunting delivery, and the ability to craft tracks with positive thinking as their central theme are traits that endear Radioinactive to indie hip-hop fans worldwide. Co-conspirator Antimc is a man on a mission. His combination of expert sampling and drum programming, mixed with an impressive display of live playing, provide the foundation for the album. In all of its fits and starts, its tension and release, Free Kamal is the perfect summer record: a catchy, hook-laden album that captures the Southern California experience.
|Reviews Summary
|Gives your brain the same kind of workout that a Sunday morning crossword does - Exclaim! / Right on! - Rockpile / Two words that should be immediately said about this album: amazing beats. - Metro.Pop / Intelligent and fun - Dusted


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In 1870 Cornelius Hicks, great-grandfather of the current owner, built the big barn at 856 Hampden Street, Holyoke, MA. He ran a very successful work-horse business. Farmers, horse traders, and anyone using big horses before there were tractors, came to the weekly auctions to buy Clydesdales, Belgiums, Percherons, and other breeds. Cornelius's son Job, grandfather of the current owner, continued the horse business until his passing in 1954! Horses were "in his blood," so he spent all of the wealth he had created in his early years to keep the barn doors open. During the 1920's and 1930's, the auditorium adjoining the barn was used for political rallies. If you ran for local office in those days, it would do you well to see Job Hicks for a place to air your views.
We hope you visit us!
Job and Peter Hicks
Store Hours – Monday through Saturday - 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM
Sunday: Sometimes 1 pm to 5 pm Call Ahead


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Defined Contribution and Private Health Exchanges Enable Client Retention
Small employers are increasingly canceling group health benefits for 2012. Zane Benefits, Inc. is partnering with local brokers to offer these clients defined contribution solutions with new private health exchange technology.-Health Insurance Premium Reimbursement
Overview of the Private Health Exchange Market
Approximately 50% of U.S. small businesses with less than 50 employees do not offer group health insurance to their employees. This figure is expected to greatly increase in 2012 due to:
1. Employer Contribution Requirements – Insurance companies require a minimum percentage of the premium for each employee that must be paid by the employer, or the entire plan is cancelled;
2. Employee Participation Requirements – Insurance companies require a minimum percentage of employees join the group plan, or the entire plan is cancelled; and
3. Cost per Participant – Group health plans for 2012 are facing the greatest increase in the history of U.S. health benefits, due to increasing health care costs and new coverage requirements imposed by ACA (Health Care Reform).
Zane's Private Health Exchange technology platform directly addresses each of these issues.
With the Zane defined contribution platform, there is:
1. No Employer Contribution Requirement – The company sets a fixed dollar amount that it wishes to contribute to each class of employee.
2. No Employee Participation Requirement – The company sets its own eligibility and participation requirements. The plan can be active even if only 1 employee participates.
3. Much Lower Cost Per Participant with No Employer Minimum Premium Contribution – Individual health policies typically cost less than half the cost of equivalent group coverage for healthy employees, and new options, such as PCIP, are now available for employees who don't qualify due to pre-existing medical conditions.
A defined contribution program must include all legal documentation to ensure compliance with applicable regulations. Zane Benefits provides an IRS, ERISA, and HIPAA-compliant platform that includes electronic plan document creation and employee election processes.
"What makes the Zane program unique is that once an employer determines the defined contributions, the employees work with the broker to select an individual health plan," says Sam Clarke of Zane Benefits. "The employer's role is limited to reimbursing employees using their existing payroll system, which typically takes less than 3-5 minutes per month.
"One of the more exciting features of the Zane platform is its seamless integration and compliance with up-and-coming health reform ideas. There will be massive financial incentives in the upcoming years for employers to switch to defined contribution platforms, and Zane Benefits is at the forefront of providing this solution."
About Zane Benefits, Inc. Private Health Exchange
Zane Benefits is a national leader helping solve one of our nation's major problems—getting employees better health benefits at lower cost. Zane Benefits accomplishes this by providing employers an online SaaS platform that allows employees to make all their own spending decisions. The company is particularly poised to benefit from Health Care Reform and was recently featured on the front page of The Wall Street Journal.
Employers - Click here to learn more.
The Zane Benefits affiliate program provides a unique solution to the biggest challenge facing most insurance agents – policy cancellations. The Zane Affiliate Program gives agents the ability to retain clients who are cancelling group health insurance policies due to high cost or low participation.
Insurance Professionals - Click here to learn more.


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Lake Tahoe studios take yoga to the shore, the sand and the SUP
Special to Tahoe Magazine
Editor's note: This story originally appeared in the summer edition of Tahoe Magazine, available now throughout the Lake Tahoe and Truckee region.
Yogis around Tahoe are trading the unrolling of mats for the laying out of towels as more and more yoga classes move out of studios and onto the sand.
Beach yoga brings a new perspective to yoga, and we don't just mean the breathtaking views of the lake. Sand alters balance and makes some poses easier, like headstands, and others much harder, like balance, said Jenay Aiksnoras of Lake Tahoe Yoga in Zephyr Cove.
Taking the balance challenge even further are the studios offering stand-up paddleboard yoga right on the lake. Beginning in July and August, the classes invite yogis to test their balance and also enjoy the occasional fall into Lake Tahoe's cool water.
With all the playing going on this summer, recovery and healing will be just a part of the fun.
Below are some studios around Lake Tahoe and Truckee that offer cool new programs to enjoy the heat of the day, the blue of the lake and a centering practice of yoga among the mountains.
1. Mountain Lotus Yoga
Location: 760 North Lake Blvd., Tahoe City
Phone: 530-583-7500
Website: mountainlotusyoga.com
After a 30-minute warm up in the studio, Mountain Lotus in Tahoe City takes students out on paddleboards for a full one hour of SUP yoga on the lake. And if the sun isn't hot enough, this studio offers hot yoga as well — 26 poses in 90 minutes in a room heated to 100 degrees Fahrenheit or Vinyasa classes at a comparatively cooler 80 degrees. Mountain Lotus is located right on the lake in Tahoe City, so whether you're on your SUP or in the studio, you'll be able to breathe deeply and soak in the spirit of the lake.
2. Tahoe Yoga and Wellness Center
Location: 10770 Donner Pass Road, Truckee
Phone: 530-550-8333
Website: tahoeyoga.com
Local AcroYoga guru Laura Green offers partner yoga classes at Tahoe Yoga and Wellness Center for those looking to share their practice with a friend. Often called the "Yoga of Trust," this style mixes aspects of acrobatics, healing arts and yoga and lends itself to deep stretching, a sense of give and take and belly laughs. This early evening Acro class has become a great place for yogis to meet before heading to Truckee Thursdays. And for those looking to start a day of biking, hiking or outdoor play with full, expanded lungs, instructor Priya Hunter offers an early morning breathing course at the wellness center.
3. Lake Tahoe Yoga Studio, School & Retreats
Location: 100 McFaul Way, Zephyr Cove
Phone: 775-588-8607
Website: laketahoeyoga.com
The soft sand on the South Shore offers great new balancing challenges for yogis as well as an easier way to practice inversions such as the headstand or shoulder stand. And even bigger challenges to balance come on the stand-up paddleboards out on the water at Zephyr Cove. Jenay Aiksnoras of Lake Tahoe Yoga Studio offers beach and SUP yoga starting in June and stretching through September. Group packages for bridal and bachelorette parties, birthday parties and girl weekend getaways are available throughout the summer. But since private classes book up quickly, the studio recommends reserving three to four months in advance.
4. Tahoe Wellness Center
Location: 695 Wolf St. # 2979, Kings Beach
Phone: 530-546-8201
Website: laketahoewellnesscenter.com
Founded by a couple dedicated to spreading wellness, Tahoe Wellness Center is a healing center housing chiropractics, yoga, tai chi, massage and acupuncture. Dr. Lily Kuehne and her husband Mark know the healing nature of nature and hold many yoga classes in the center's sand garden during summer months. While breathing into your downward dog or balancing in tree pose, you can enjoy the soothing sounds from Griff Creek as it runs through the property and adds another relaxing element to the outdoor class. During July and August Tahoe Wellness Center takes classes off the sand and onto the water for their SUP yoga at Kings Beach.
5. Wanderlust Yoga Squaw Valley
Location: The Village at Squaw Valley, Olympic Valley
Phone: 530-452-4338
Website: squaw.wanderlustfestival.com
An annual must-do for many yogis of many levels is Squaw Valley's Wanderlust Festival. This four-day festival of music, art, meditation and celebration is hosted by Squaw's home studio by the same name. This year's Wanderlust takes place July 17-20 and brings big names in yoga such as Rod Stryker, Gabrielle Bernstein and local teacher Holly Hust. Musicians Manic Focus, DJ Krush and Reno-born group the Mark Sexton Band are a few of the musicians scheduled to play while practitioners pose against the backdrop of Granite Chief Peak or Broken Arrow.
6. High Altitude Fitness
Location: 880 Northwood Blvd., Incline Village
Phone: 775-831-4212
Website: highaltitudefit.net
In an effort to bring the fitness aspects of the gym to the outdoors, High Altitude Fitness added an outdoor park last summer so locals and visitors could get a good sweat in the sun. Being such a hub for climbers, the fitness center also offers yoga classes geared specially toward the sore shoulders, arms and wrists, so many granite-hungry climbers can ease their pain. The gym also offers a free community class Friday mornings at 8 a.m. behind Adrift Tahoe in Kings Beach. The Vino and Vinyasa event and Yoga in the Park with local DJs are some summer events that have become popular with locals and tourists alike.
7. The Yoga Co-Op
Location: 13406 Donner Pass Rd., Truckee
Phone: 719-293-4937
Website: yogacooptahoe.com
Hold your half-moon pose while watching water skiers skim the shore or paddleboarders glide by with ease. The newest place to practice is the Yoga Co-op on Donner Lake. The Co-op hosts yoga on the docks and hikes on Donner as well. Experienced instructors Kate Leist and Kathy Albers opened the co-op in March with the concept that all instructors rent the space together, allowing a financial benefit for teachers and lower prices for students. Drop in classes are offered for $10, and weekly community classes cost 5. The space doubles as space for nutrition and wellness discussions that align with the co-op's philosophies.
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Forget phone numbers and email addresses. The era of the Internet handle is emerging.
Instead of having to remember a phone number or an email address, in a few short years we might simply find somebody remotely over the Internet via his or her handle, another word for an Internet nickname.
It would be similar to the way handles are used in instant messaging or Skype, except that the handle would apply to all modes of getting in touch, including a phone number or email address (or several of each). In my case, my Skype handle, "MattaboyBoston," could become the way you would reach me.
"People will no longer seek each other's phone numbers or email address[es] when establishing personal or working relationships," wrote Gartner analyst Adib Ghubril in a report on mobile predictions for 2012 and beyond. "Instead, they will ask each other, 'What's your handle?' "
Ghubril said that handles will have a huge advantage. They could remain unchanged for a long time, if not for life.
However, to use the handle format, everyone will need a personal Web page that can be reached via a person's Internet handle. On that Web page, the user would store personal phone numbers and email addresses and keep them up to date. All of those phone numbers and addresses would be unseen by outsiders who would have the user's handle stored in their own contacts directory, Ghubril said.
For businesses, a contact manager application could be designed for a workplace or organization. These apps would manage a directory of Internet handles that would read Web-based or cloud-based information about the one being contacted. It would also provide rules for communications (such as not calling at certain times).
Application developers would need to build new contact manager apps to allow directories in smartphones and tablets to synchronize with remote social networking sites to allow the broader exchange of Internet handles, Ghubril said.
Ghubril said the emergence of Internet handles is "not that far off." He predicted that by 2016, 20% of cell phone numbers will be displaced by Internet handles. His prediction is fueled by the fact that smartphones and other wireless devices are exploding in use, with a greater dependency on messaging and applications such as video chat than on traditional voice communications.
Ghubril said social networks are already making Internet handles more of a necessity, since users already go to networks such as LinkedIn to find other people's photos and contact information. "What I see [the handles connecting to] is a kind of LinkedIn connected with video chat," he said.
The notion of everyone having a handle could create opportunities for branding experts to develop into "persona consultants," who will help professionals pick appropriate handles, he said.
"It could be my brand with my name, so I could be Adibarooni or Adibanalyzethis," he said. "If I'm into soccer, it might be Adibstriker."
The value of a handle could become so important in coming years that parents might consider adding the handle to a child's birth certificate, he said.
Ghubril's forecast for Internet handles was one of a number of mobile and wireless forecasts that various analysts have made to prepare for 2012 and beyond.
Other Gartner predictions included:
- By 2016, at least half of enterprise email users will rely mainly on a browser, tablet or mobile client for email access, instead of a desktop client.
- By 2015, mobile application development projects designed for smartphones and tablets will outnumber native PC projects by a ratio of 4-to-1. Today they are on par with each other.
- By 2013, 35% of smartphone wireless data traffic will run over Wi-Fi in private and public locations.
Matt Hamblen covers mobile and wireless, smartphones and other handhelds, and wireless networking for Computerworld. Follow Matt on Twitter at @matthamblen or subscribe to Matt's RSS feed. His e-mail address is firstname.lastname@example.com.


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Our success is in part, down to the excellent relationships with have with suppliers around the world. They make sure we know about the latest products so we can let our clients know.
Who are we and what do we do?
Looking for a job in IT, see if we are recruiting.
Who we work with around the world.
Some examples of the type of work we do.
Riverbed Technology, Inc. is an American company founded in 2002 with the goal of reducing the latency and bandwidth constraints in delivering applications via wide area networks (WANs) to multiple locations across long distances. Riverbed is known primarily for pioneering WAN Optimization with Riverbed SteelHead, which first shipped in 2004 and continues to lead the market with over 50% market share.
As information technology has evolved over the past decade and begun to move to the cloud, Riverbed has also evolved: Businesses increasingly rely on applications and data that run both in on-premises data centers as well as in the cloud, delivered to users over a mix of private networks and public networks. This is the hybrid enterprise, and Riverbed offers a platform to give enterprises visibility to deliver, control, and optimize IT resources across this hybrid enterprise.
MCWare IT Solutions are an official Riverbed partner in Tees Valley.