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The Big Conversation
Episode 93: Can stocks rally if yields rise?
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ROGER [00:00:00] After an initially tepid reaction to last week's FOMC meeting in which the Fed outlined a very basic strategy for a tapering of asset purchases, US and global bond yields have now jumped higher. In this week's Big Conversation, we look at whether this is a sign of economic strength, a readjustment of yields in anticipation of the reduction in bond purchases by the Fed, or a belated reaction to the ongoing concerns about inflation.
ROGER [00:00:28] For much of the summer months, bonds were remarkably well behaved with the US 10-year yield bouncing between 1.10 percent and 1.40 percent yields. In the last few sessions, it shot up to a high of 1.55 percent, prompting the usual cries of 'what is the bond market know that we don't?' In reality, very little so far. We're still within the range that's been set this year, which peaked around 1.75 percent. And when we look back at the long bond ETF, the TLT, we can see that the current price action is not unusual over a 20-year timeframe. Yes, yields have moved in a relatively sprightly pace by recent standards, but this is all taking place within existing tolerance limits. If we compare bond prices to spot inflation levels, then yields remain remarkably subdued with the difference between inflation and yields, the real yield, still deep into negative territory. There's a long way to go for yields to close that gap to current inflation levels. The bears will note that there's a reverse head and shoulders pattern forming. If the neckline is broken, that implies we could test the pre-pandemic highs and see yields move in excess of 3.25 percent. Now that number is derived as the mirror image of the differential between the neckline and the lows in yield. But it's very unlikely that we'll achieve those sorts of levels in the short term. Economic growth is not sufficient to sustain the current levels of debt at significantly higher levels of yields. Financial markets, especially in the US and Europe, have generally preferred weak economic growth, aligned with active monetary policy, rather than strong economic growth and higher interest rates. Now, back in 2018, there were two occasions where surging yields destabilised the equity market. The first was in the early part of that year, when growth expectations picked up, yields moved higher and equity volatility started to rise with the rising equity market. This eventually unbalanced markets leading to the 'volmageddon' event in early February that saw a short, sharp pullback in the US equity market and the explosion in the volatility of volatility. Now that event soon passed, but it was a foretaste of what was coming later in the year. As yields approached 3.25 percent, the US equity market also peaked and then it fell 10 percent before the Fed then raised interest rates again, in what turned out to be the last hike of that cycle. The markets couldn't cope with the rate increase. The S&P fell another 10 percent before the Fed had to reassure investors that they were done with tightening. Today, overall debt levels have increased. The economy will struggle if yields get anywhere near the levels of 2018. And obviously today we're used to policymakers providing more accommodation. But currently we're talking about them removing the punch bowl, not refilling it, even though right now QE is still at full blast. And even the famous taper tantrum of 2013 was relatively short-lived. At least there was widespread belief in growth back then. Today, very few believe that the economy is strong. Current levels of inflation are leading many investors to think that stagflation is likely. And that's certainly the concern sweeping the United Kingdom. But should we fear yields? The biggest risk for the bond market is a VAR shock in which the yields suddenly surge. Flash crashes and rallies have become increasingly familiar, such as a sudden drop in yields in 2014. And we can easily envisage an event in which investors suddenly head for the exit at the same time. A VAR shock in the bond market, however, would lead to a risk-off event across other assets like stocks. Therefore higher yields under that scenario would be very short-lived. And furthermore, the Fed will probably invoke yield curve control and target a cap on those yields. Another indication that the current move in yields will be short-lived is the response from the front end of the rates curve. Now if the Fed is going to taper, then the expectation is that rate hikes would soon follow. On Monday, the US 2-year yield finally broke out of its range, but this part of the curve is not yet showing many signs of life. The front end doesn't really believe the tapering, tightening narrative. If the Fed were really serious, then the front end should be much more aggressive in pricing for rate hikes. But even when we look at the relatively freely floating Eurodollar futures curve, we can see that the December 2023 contract hasn't even broken the levels achieved earlier in the year. Again, the market appears to be reluctant to push too hard on the rate hike narrative. Now, some of this may be due to the influence of the oil market. Over the long run, the US 10-year bond yields have generally followed the gyration of crude oil. The year-on-year change in the 10-year yield has followed a very similar path to the smooth year-on-year change in WTI crude oil prices. Crude oil has broken out in recent weeks, in part due to the global pressure on broad-based energy supply chains, which is particularly acute in Europe and the U.K. It may be that oil prices can squeeze higher still, given that the European benchmark Brent is testing a long-term downtrend. But unlike the period from 2009 to 2013, when higher oil prices led to huge investments in global energy infrastructure and a massive capex cycle, today's high prices are not being accompanied by investment and job growth. Therefore, higher oil prices today are a drag on the diversity of consumption. The ratio of the European Energy sector versus the European Basic Resource sector is an indication that this move in energy is not being accompanied by a move in other cyclical and growth-related names. Commodity prices may have been going up across the board, but volumes have been relatively poor. Recently, the European industrials sector, which has been one of the best performing in Europe, has also been on the back foot. Higher yields today are not reflecting higher growth. We've also noted recently that China is no longer playing the same hand in global demand that she has during much of the last two decades. There's also a possibility that something far less exciting than growth or inflation is at work in the bond market today. Quarter end asset allocation may be having a significant impact on bond yields. The end of September is one of the quarterly rebalancing periods for asset allocators. We've noted before that this year's high-end bond yields was achieved on March the 31st, which was also coinciding with the end of Japan's financial year, as well as the end of the first quarter. Japanese asset allocators were part of the driving force behind yields rising into the end of that month and then declining during much of the summer period. Today, yields are rising just as we approach the final stages of the third quarter. Now we'd need to see higher yields show significant follow through to be sure that this wasn't just the impact of asset allocation rather than a repricing of inflation or growth. So overall, the recent move in yields doesn't feel like it's a delayed reaction to inflation. Yields could and should have reacted a long time ago unless you believe all bond market participants had swallowed that transient narrative. The move could have been a late reaction to the Fed's September meeting, where a vague outline for tapering was discussed. But we all know that the Fed will reverse course at the first sign of trouble. If anything, a taper should take some of the inflation expectations out of the market. Whilst the recent resignation of two key FOMC members should have made the Fed's voting committee slightly more dovish. And Bonds are certainly not reacting to a sudden spurt in growth. If anything, growth is probably peaking. The year-on-year performance of FedEx versus the ISM New Orders Index suggests that a slowdown is coming, whilst currently high energy prices could be an additional strain during the winter months. And for many regions, energy prices have been surging due to a shortfall in natural gas. In the next section Wayne Bryan Refinitiv's Director of European Gas Research, outlines the key issues Europe is experiencing in the gas market and runs through the factors that could define whether prices remain painfully elevated through those winter months.
ROGER [00:08:09] The U.K. power market has been experiencing a series of significant disruptions in recent weeks, perhaps the biggest issue has been the soaring price of natural gas. For the UK it's had a knock-on effect across other major industries and these issues have been grabbing the headlines. But the problems in the gas market are not confined to the UK. Europe and many parts of Asia are also struggling.
Wayne [00:08:31] Well, at the moment, the U.K. gas market is experiencing a lot of issues, prices along the front month contract, which is for delivery in October, are at levels we've never seen before. Even today, it's up another about 12 percent. The main thing, what we've got here this year compared to last year, it's a complete paradox really is, main thing is storage. European gas storages are at multi-year lows at the bottom of the five-year range. Typically, we go into the winter with storages at an ample level. For example, this time last year, total EU storages were around 94 percent. At the moment, they're about 73. So you can see already a big 20 percent difference. Now, what that does, it creates a lot of risk if we have a very cold winter, normally we have the buffer of storages that will help us, you know, get through a particularly cold winter. On the back of that as well, we've also got problems with in terms of supply into Europe. At the moment, LNG supply, we're in competition with Asia. Asia also have a lot of concerns in terms of big growth in Chinese gas demand, huge demand in general in Asia and South America. They're competing for these LNG cargoes. This is dragging prices even higher. Last winter, we had an extreme cold snap in China and in Asia, and we also had some cold weather in Europe. What that did in November, December and to some degree middle of January was drag away all the LNG cargoes that should have come to North West Europe, went to Asia. That then lifted the prices. We started using our storages even more, as we got to the start of this summer, which is the first of April, in terms of the gas season, European storages are at multi-year lows. This was compounded by exceptionally cold weather in the end of March and April, which saw us drain storages even more. This summer we've had extensive maintenance work in the UK and in Norway, who one of the largest gas suppliers. This maintenance has basically meant gas wasn't flowing as much as usual this summer. Now, just the reason why that was is because in Covid-19 restrictions last summer, they couldn't do all the maintenance, so they rolled it over to the summer. So that meant even less supply. I think people are a bit scared of getting caught out like they did last winter, so we saw Asian restocking start earlier. We also saw huge demand from South America, notably Brazil. Main reason there is that they've had hydro reserves drought, so they've had to import additional gas to generate electricity. So that's added another twist to it. And then there's Russian supply. I mean, it's been in the news quite a lot. But the main thing with Russia is we've got this Nord Stream 2 pipeline. This pipeline is now being complete. It was actually completed and all documents sent to the regulator on September the 8th. Gazprom obviously want to get commercial flows going through this pipeline as soon as possible. Europe needs the gas, the problem is now, this is now with the German regulator. The German regulator, with some input from the EU Commission, this process could take up to six months now, way longer than people were expecting, which means the likelihood of any start-up of commercial flows by Nord Stream 2 are very limited in terms of Q4 this year. So we've got this huge now sort of supply concern going into the winter, and it's exacerbated by this situation with Nord Stream 2.
ROGER [00:11:49] Now, there's been a confluence of factors that have created these bottlenecks. Some of these are expected to dissipate, but there's still significant concern that these issues could persist well into winter, where many of these factors will be beyond the control of governments.
Wayne [00:12:01] The first thing to think about here is the cold scenario. If we have a cold winter in both Asian, Asia and Europe, so the Atlantic and Pacific basins, if we have a very cold winter, we're going to be in trouble. Today's price will look cheap. If we have a cold winter with no additional supply, we've already got obviously a good supply from Norway, we've got a good supply hopefully from Qatar with LNG. But what the main problem will be, is if we have an exceptionally cold winter, the competition will intensify between Asia and between Europe to attract these cargoes, which is what we've seen in the last couple of days, Asian prices have gone through the roof the last few days and European prices have followed. So an exceptionally cold winter puts us in severe problems. I wouldn't even want to hazard a guess how high these prices go, because it depends how cold the weather is and how strong the heating demand is. So that's scenario 1. Scenario, 2, if, for example, we did have a milder winter and got some gas via Nord Stream in this quarter, so by the end of the year, that would have a real downside effect on prices. The main concern of people here, storages are so low, how cold will it be, how much demand will there be? Could we run out of gas? I don't think we're going to run out of gas, but we're going to push it very close. If it was a 'beast from the east' scenario, then I would even be a lot more concerned. But the main thing is a mild winter with some additional flows from Russia would see prices start to soften. Prices today are now trading at multi-year highs. We've gone past the highs we saw last week. This also translates into the power market as well. Input fuels for power are very high. You've got gas is really high. We've actually maxed out gas. We're now using a lot of coal, which isn't good for the environment. So coal fired generation, if you look at the four curves, it's maxed out for the winter, which is, which is a real, real concern environmentally. Also as well, another thing we need to think about this winter is renewables. Renewables have been very weak. We all talk about renewables are great. They're intermittent. The wind doesn't blow every day. The sun doesn't shine every day. We've seen that this year with gas for power generation is really, really, really increased due to lower renewables. So renewables strength as well will be key this winter. So we really are in a, in a sticky spot at the moment in terms of, it's hard to forecast because we're waiting for the weather. Longer-term forecast kind of tell you what's going to be mildish, but we all know longer-term forecast don't really hold too much weight. If you look at what happened last year, cold weather came, no one really predicted it. It was very cold in the Pacific and Atlantic basins. This market got a bit complacent. They didn't have enough gas in storage in Asia. Their storage capacity is limited as well. They didn't buy enough, so they just started bidding, bidding, bidding. Prices went through the roof. Absolutely through the roof. We saw record prices for Asian LNG and now we're creeping up towards them levels again, which kind of indicates how nervous the market is. We're talking about big percentages on consumers bills. We're talking about businesses stopping production. We've seen Yara, a huge zinc producer stop producing. We saw the fertiliser in the UK two the largest fertiliser producers, or sorry two plants, they stopped producing. And that had a by product of ammonia, which fed into quite a few concerns which the UK government stepped in to top up. We've also seen several small suppliers go under. These small suppliers typically buy gas a lot closer to delivery, so they'll probably be buying for the next six months. Prices got so high they were always going to go out of business. The Big Six are a bit more insulated because they actually hedged their domestic consumption probably by two or three years in advance. So these effects of this rippling throughout Europe, and this is why we're seeing not only gas prices at multi-year highs, power prices are breaking records. Carbon is also at yearly high, and the coal market is also at really multi-year highs. So it's like a commodities boom at the moment, driven by uncertainty and gas. We've created a perfect storm. And the only way out of that is, is if we see these flows from Gazprom either this quarter or very early in Q1 22 or we see a very mild winter. If not, we will be facing these problems again next year for sure.
ROGER [00:16:16] Many factors are behind the problems in the global gas market, including regulation, redirection of investments and the impact of the pandemic. Some of these were bad luck and some were bad decisions. A few of the structural issues can be resolved relatively easily, but Europe will be hoping that the winter weather remains mild in order to prevent the gas crisis from extending into next year and piling up the costs for consumers. And as ever if you have any questions about today's episode, or about the economy or financial markets in general, please put your questions in the comments section or send them to email@example.com


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An exceptional example of the Jaeger-LeCoultre Jumbo Memovox.
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How common is Loeys-Dietz syndrome?
What are the features of Loeys-Dietz syndrome?
How will I be treated for Loeys-Dietz syndrome?
Will I have any limitations on the exercise I can do?
How does Loeys-Dietz syndrome affect my ability to start a family?
What are the signs of an acute aortic event? What should I do if I experience one?
Where can I learn more about Loeys-Dietz syndrome?
Loeys-Dietz syndrome (LDS) is a rare genetic condition that affects the body's connective tissue. This can alter many parts of the body including the aorta, heart, arteries, skin, and bones. When there is significant enlargement of the artery (an aneurysm), there is a risk of the artery wall tearing (aortic dissection) which can be life-threatening. Many different genetic mutations can cause people to develop LDS. These mutations can occur in any of the following genes: TGFBR1, TGFBR2, SMAD3, TGFB2, TGFB3, SMAD2.
LDS can either be inherited from a parent with the genetic defect or it may be due to a new genetic change (spontaneous mutation) in an individual. Spontaneous mutation occurs in about 3 out of 4 (75%) people who have LDS.
Doctors classify LDS into different subtypes depending on which gene is affected:
There is a lot of overlap in the clinical features of the different LDS subtypes. Since many of these genes were only recently discovered, we are still learning a lot about how they differ. Most of the information about LDS comes from the most common types, LDS1 and LDS2. In the very first cases described, it was common to see very aggressive aortic and arterial disease. More recently, we have found that there is more variation in the severity of the disease. This is because, with more widespread genetic testing and better recognition of the features of the condition, we can identify people with even mild LDS. Also, the prognosis for people with LDS has improved over the years because of better recognition and preventative aortic surgery for enlargement of the aorta and branches.
LDS3 has many of the typical features of LDS, but also has more arthritis of the spine, knees, and ankles. LDS3 is also called Aneurysms-Osteoarthritis syndrome (AOS). LDS4 has some overlapping features of LDS and Marfan syndrome. There is very little information about LDS5 or LDS6.
Figure 5 - CT angiogram demonstrating tortuosity of the abdominal aorta (arrows)
Figure 8 - Bifid Uvula
Figure 6 - Aortic root aneurysm and aortic dissection. The arrow denotes the tear (dissection) in the dilated aortic root
(from Setty R, et al. Int J Surg Case Reports: 2018; 63: 113-117.)
Figure 9 - Soft, translucent skin with visible veins in a person with Loeys-Dietz syndrome
Figure 7 - Facial features of Loeys-Dietz syndrome may include wide-set eyes (hypertelorism), blue/grey sclera, prominent forehead, flat cheekbones and a recessed chin
Figure 10 - Facial Milia
It is recommended that you be evaluated by doctors who are familiar with the features of connective tissue disorders like LDS. During the first visit, a detailed family and medical history will be taken and a complete physical exam will take place to look for the typical features in people with LDS. It is helpful to gather information before the visit about any family member who may have LDS, who had an aneurysm, or who had an aortic dissection (tear in the wall of the aorta).
Because one of the major features of LDS is an enlargement of the aorta, it is necessary for the doctor to get an image of your heart with an echocardiogram (Figure 11) (imaging using soundwaves). An echocardiogram is recommended at least every year depending on the size and rate of growth of the aorta.
Figure 11 - Echocardiogram of large aortic aneurysm.
(from Narayanapillai J. Heart Views. Apr-Jun 2017;18(2):64-65. doi: 10.4103/1995-705X.208668. Copyright : © 2017 Heart Views)
Recommendations are also made for additional imaging of your arteries throughout the body from your head to your hips. This typically involves ordering a CTA (computed tomography angiogram which uses x-rays to image- Figure 2) or an MRA (magnetic resonance angiogram which uses a magnetic field to generate images). The frequency of MRA or CTA imaging of the entire aorta and other blood vessels depends on how much your other vessels are involved, but it may be at least every two years.
Three-dimensional (3D) reconstruction of the CTA or MRA imaging is recommended to check for the presence of arterial tortuosity in your neck (Figure 3, above). The cervical (neck) spine may be abnormal in LDS, so x-rays of your cervical spine are recommended to determine if there is a problem. If they find significant abnormalities, it is recommended that you consult with an orthopaedist (bone doctor) or neurosurgeon (brain surgeon).
Genetic testing for a mutation within one of the six genes (TGFBR1, TGFBR2, SMAD3, TGFB2, TGFB3 and SMAD2) causing LDS is available and should be performed when you have features of LDS. When LDS is found in an individual, evaluation of other family members is necessary. If a gene mutation causing LDS is found in a child, it is typically recommended to test the parents for the same mutation. This is to see if there is a risk of having another child with LDS. If you have LDS, each child you have has a 50% chance of also getting LDS. Additionally, genetic testing of the children and siblings of an adult diagnosed with LDS is recommended.
While LDS is a disorder that cannot be cured, survival can be greatly improved with proper treatment and management. The severity of this condition varies greatly from person to person. For most people, management will consist of daily heart medications and some physical activity restrictions. You will also have routine doctor appointments and imaging tests. These may be yearly or more frequent, depending on the size of your aorta and the severity of your other symptoms.
Medications: In an effort to slow the rate of aortic growth, you will be given some medications. The medications typically used are often the same ones used to treat people with high blood pressure:
It is recommended that individuals with LDS remain on their medications even if they have surgery to fix an aneurysm. The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) also recently warned that people with LDS and other aortic aneurysm conditions should avoid commonly used antibiotics called fluoroquinolones (includes Avelox, Cipro, Factive, Levaquin, and Ofloxacin). The reason for this recommendation is that recent medical studies have shown that people who have taken a fluoroquinolone are twice as likely to have an aortic aneurysm or dissection than those who have not taken one of these drugs.
Surgery: Depending on the size or rate of growth of an aneurysm or artery (usually the aorta), surgery may be recommended to reduce the risk of dissection or vessel rupture. If you have a family history of early aortic dissection, or if your LDS is caused by certain mutations, your care provider may recommend surgery earlier than usual and at an aortic diameter smaller than is recommended for people with Marfan syndrome. In general, preventative aortic root replacement for LDS due to mutations in TGFBR1 and 2 is typically recommended when the aortic root diameter reaches 4.0 to 4.5 cm, depending upon the gene mutated, age, sex, family history, rate of aortic growth, and other features of the condition. For instance, women with TGFBR2 mutations and more severe features of LDS may be at higher risk and surgery at a smaller aortic diameter may be recommended. There is not a lot of information about timing of surgery in the other types of LDS, and a shared decision with your cardiologist, geneticist, and cardiac surgeon is required. Aortic root replacement is the most common aortic surgery for people with LDS, and it is highly successful in centers that have surgeons experienced with their surgery in people with connective tissue conditions. It is likely more successful when you have the surgery electively (for prevention) as opposed to needing the surgery in the case of an emergency (such as with an aortic dissection). In most cases, the valve separating your heart and the aorta can be left in place during an aortic root replacement (so called valve sparing root replacement- Figure 12). This means you won't have to take warfarin (a blood thinner) which is used for people who have a mechanical aortic valve. In some cases, the valve will have to be replaced (composite valve graft- Figure 13) and a blood thinner is required.
Figure 12 - Valve sparing root replacement procedure. A. aortic root aneurysm (arrow); B. the aneurysm is removed; C. The aortic valve is reimplanted within the surgical graft; D. the graft is sewn to the normal aorta distally (courtesy of Craig Miller, MD)
Figure 13. Composite aortic valve and root replacement (Bentall procedure). A mechanical aortic valve prosthesis (arrow) is at the proximal end of the graft and the coronary arteries are reattached to the graft (courtesy of Mayo Clinic)
Most people with LDS can and should be physically active; however, they should not exercise to the point of becoming exhausted. You should focus on low-intensity (aerobic) and low-impact activities. Nearly every physical activity can be done at different intensity levels. You need to discuss physical activities and activity levels with your physician before beginning any exercise program. As you get older, you should keep talking with your doctor about exercise as your health may change.
Overall, a heart-healthy lifestyle should be followed. You should avoid smoking and illicit drug use, and traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as high cholesterol or high blood pressure should be aggressively managed.
Women with LDS have an increased risk of aortic dissection during pregnancy and the time right after delivery. For this reason, it is recommended that you have a consultation with a cardiologist and high-risk obstetrical or maternal-fetal medicine specialist before considering pregnancy. If there is significant aortic enlargement, the risk of aortic dissection is higher. If an aortic aneurysm is present, your cardiologist may recommend against becoming pregnant. Effective birth control methods should be discussed with your doctors to avoid an unplanned pregnancy. For women who carry the gene changes found in LDS but who have less of the common features, the risk of an aortic dissection related to pregnancy may be lower.
In addition, the associated risks of pregnancy may also vary depending on your LDS subtype. Having had an aortic aneurysm surgery in the past doesn't necessarily reduce the risks of pregnancy in LDS. There are also reports of uterine rupture in LDS. More frequent aortic imaging follow-up during pregnancy and immediately after delivery is necessary. Medications may need to be adjusted before pregnancy because coumadin and angiotensin receptor blocker medications (ARBs, such as losartan) may harm the developing baby.
In addition to careful assessment of the risk for women contemplating pregnancies, couples in whom the underlying genetic defect is known may consider prenatal or pre-implantation diagnostics.
In both cases, knowledge of the pathogenic variant is an absolute requirement. Dedicated pre-conceptual counseling is also necessary.
Aortic dissection (a tear in the wall of the aorta) is very dangerous and must be treated as soon as possible.
We think there are probably 5,000-10,000 dissections a year in the United States. However, it is likely that many dissections are reported as a "heart attack" or "sudden death," when the cause is actually a dissection.
If you have Loeys-Dietz syndrome, you are at much greater risk for an aortic dissection than the general population. There are differences in risks for aortic dissection based on the genes causing LDS. It is important to know the signs of an aortic dissection and what to do.
Signs and symptoms of acute aortic dissection may include:
Chest pain can have many causes, but when you have LDS, it is very important to check for aortic dissection. If you have symptoms that could be due to an aortic dissection, calling 911 and getting to an emergency room right away is necessary. Knowing that you have LDS will help if you have unexplained chest, back, or abdominal pain. Other causes for acute chest pain or shortness of breath in individuals with LDS include a spontaneous collapsed lung (pneumothorax).
Since emergency rooms may be very busy and most likely don't know a lot about LDS, you and your family should plan to advocate for yourself if you have these symptoms and end up in an ER. Tell the doctors and nurses at the hospital what you know about your condition. By telling your doctors, nurses, and emergency personnel that you have LDS and are concerned about the symptoms related to an aortic dissection, you can be more quickly evaluated for the condition.
A medical alert bracelet can alert emergency personnel right away that you are at risk for a life-threatening dissection.
The Loeys-Dietz Syndrome Foundation at http://www.loeysdietz.org/
The Marfan Foundation -- related disorders page at https://www.marfan.org/loeys-dietz
Genetic Aortic Disorders Association of Canada http://www.gadacanada.ca/loeys-dietz-syndrome
The National Center for Biotechnology Information https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK1133/


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Mon, Mar 06|
Tasting Room
Service Industry Nights (1)
Do you work in hospitality or as a first responder? Then we would like to dedicate this day to you! Stop in on any Monday, show us the service industry you work in, and receive 25% off beverages. (excludes limited and rare products)
Time & Location
Mar 06, 11:00 AM – 11:00 PM
Tasting Room, 800 W Broadway, Monona, WI 53713, USA
About the Event
Service Industry Nights are every Monday at the Tasting Room. For any individual with proof of their current status working in hospitality or as a first responder, they will receive 25% off beverages. (This excludes items which are limited/rare)
Our little way of saying thank you! You have earned some rest and relaxation.
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Everyone knows someone who was involved in a car wreck, and most know people who were seriously injured or killed in a car crash. This is not surprising.
According to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) there are 3 million injuries in US car crashes each year. These result in 100 deaths per day. The costs of medical care and the loss of productivity caused by these crashes is almost $100 BILLION per year.
Car crashes cause damage. The most obvious damage is to the vehicles involved; however, such crashes can cause bodily injury that is not always immediately visible.
Soft Tissue Injuries
The most common injuries caused by car crashes are soft tissue injuries. These are defined as injuries other than broken bones, to the "soft tissues" of the body.
Bruising and Contusions
Often seat belts or air bags can cause these conditions. While these generally heal without long term issues, they can be indicative of more serious, long term injuries.
A "Whiplash" Injury
While the term refers to the mechanism of the injury, a forward and back whiplash of the spine, it often is a term for the type of injuries sustained, such as strained or sprained muscles, tendons and ligaments of the spine. The whiplash motion can cause serious long-term injuries such as concussion and spinal disc injuries. Treatment options may include physical therapy, chiropractic adjustments, massage and in some cases may lead to spinal surgery to repair disc injuries. This treatment can be very expensive, and disrupting. Even with appropriate care, these injuries may result in lifetime problems and treatment modalities.
Concussion and Traumatic Brain Injuries
Some crashes may cause serious brain injuries. Many people sustained concussions from striking their head or simply from the whiplash mechanism that may stress the soft tissues of the brain. You do not need to sustain a discrete period of loss of consciousness to be diagnosed with a brain injury. Many people have no memory of the crash and have other symptoms of concussion. It is very important to get immediate treatment if there is a suspicion of a concussion. Such injuries can change the way your brain functions, which may result in lifelong problems.
Broken Bones
The impact of a crash can caused your body to strike the interior of your vehicle, resulting in serious and painful injuries. Even with modern safety features such as seatbelts and airbags, there are many ways to stress your bones such that they are fractured in a crash. Treatment for broken bones may require surgery to set the bones and often the use of hardware to help the bones heal. This treatment can be very expensive, time consuming and painful.
Avoiding Serious Injury
While there is often no way to avoid a crash, there are common sense methods to protect yourself from serious injuries. These include wearing the seatbelt in your car. The CDC found that 61% of fatality victims were not wearing their seat belts. While some may find them uncomfortable or inconvenient ,the seat belt is a proven life saver.
If you have young children, you should leave them in approved booster seats as long as required. These are proven to provide great safety to a child. Again, regular use may be inconvenient, but they are an invaluable tool to keep kids safe,
Low Impact Crashes
Even low speed crashes can cause serious injuries. While most such crashes cause long term injuries, factors such as the type of vehicles involved, the mechanics of the crash and the pre accident condition of the victims can lead to serious long-term injuries. There have been many scientific studies the show the forces in a low speed crash may result in long term damage.
If you are injured in a car crash, whether a high speed or low speed crash, you should seek the services of an experienced person injury lawyer. A board-certified civil trial lawyer has much experience in dealing with these cases and can give you the advice you need.
Joe Zarzaur is a Board Certified Civil Trial Attorney whose firm is dedicated to promoting community safety since 2007. ZARZAUR LAW'S AREAS OF PRACTICE: Serious Personal Injury, Product Defect, Auto Accidents, Cycling Accidents, Motor Vehicle Accidents, Products Liability, Wrongful Death, Community Safety, Boat and Jet Ski Accidents, Slip and Fall Injuries, and more. Licensed in Alabama and Florida.
If you've been the victim of an accident, it's important that you don't make any rash decisions. Put yourself in the best possible position to receive the justice you deserve. It is also important to consult with a Board Certified Trial lawyer who has the knowledge and experience to help you. We know accidents can be stressful and want to make the process as easy as possible for you. Call Zarzaur Law, P.A. today at (855) Hire-Joe for a free legal consultation or visit www.zarzaurlaw.com.


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Original Soviet soldiers belt with metal buckle, military style. Belt width 4.5cm (1.75 inch). Made on USSR military factory, never used. A wide and comfortable strap brown color is suitable for most equipment: holster, flashlight, knife, water flask, etc. The belt is conveniently regulated under the right size and firmly fixed on the waist.


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If you've noticed that your portable Mac sometimes claims that it's "Not Charging" you aren't alone. In fact, it's happening to enough people for Apple to share a new support document about the situation.
The situation seems to be related to macOS 10.15.5's new Battery Health Management feature that will mean the Mac stops charging its battery in an attempt to try and ensure that it lasts longer in the long run.
Depending on its settings, your Mac might temporarily pause charging to help calibrate battery health management, a feature designed to improve the lifespan of your battery.
If you notice that your battery isn't charging, it's nothing to worry about. Apple also notes that you can expect the normal recharging behavior to return eventually, with timescales depending on the usage of the Mac in question.
When battery health management is turned on, you might occasionally see "Not Charging" in the battery status menu of your Mac, and your battery's maximum charge level might be lowered temporarily. This is normal, and it's how battery health management optimizes charging. Your Mac resumes charging to 100 percent depending on your usage.
Apple is trying to ensure that the built-in batteries inside Macs live to a ripe old age before they need to be replaced. Part of doing that is the new feature that will try to prevent a battery spending too long at maximum capacity – something that's known to cause premature aging. However, while Battery Health Management is enabled by default, it can be disabled. We'd suggest leaving it well alone, however.
(Source: Apple)
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You can follow us on Twitter, or Instagram, and even like our Facebook page to keep yourself updated on all the latest from Microsoft, Google, Apple, and the Web.


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In this post, you will learn everything about an adverb phrase in detail. There is a video lesson attached at the end of the post; you can directly scroll down to it and watch it.
What is an adverb clause in English?
Adverb clause definition: An adverb clause, also known as an adverbial clause, is a dependent clause that works as an adverb in a sentence. It modifies the main verb and tells us WHY, WHEN, WHERE, and HOW an action happens. Since it is a dependent clause, it starts with a subordinating conjunction.
Here's a list of subordinating conjunctions that are used in adverb clauses when they answer the following questions:
|as if, provided, like
|since, as, because, so, because of, now that, given that, so that, that
|when, whenever, after, before, since, until, while, as soon as, by the time, once
|where, anywhere, everywhere
Note that an adverb clause is commonly known as an adverbial clause as it is not a regular adverb but functions as an adverb in a sentence.
- She left the job because she was unhappy with the new management.
(The adverb clause 'because she was unhappy with the new management' answers WHY the action happened: she left the job.)
- They will meet us where we used to play cricket.
(The adverb clause 'where we used to play cricket' answers WHERE the action will happen.)
- The kids can watch TV after they finish their homework.
(The adverb clause 'after they finish the homework' answers WHEN the action can happen.)
- They were kissing in the park as if nobody was there.
(The adverb clause 'as if nobody was there' answers HOW the action was happening: kissing.)
- We will let him play if he passes the fitness test.
- (The adverb clause 'If he passes the fitness test" tells us in what condition the main verb happens.)
Types of adverb clauses
- Adverb clause of place
- Adverb clause of time
- Adverb clause of reason/purpose
- Adverb clause of contrast
- Adverb clause of condition
Adverb Clause of Place
An adverb clause of place answers the question WHERE; it tells us the place of an action.
Conjunctions used: where, anywhere, everywhere
- He will meet us where we used to party back in the day.
- You can park your car anywhere you want.
- I see you everywhere I go.
- It's my house. You can sleep anywhere you want.
- My dog koto follows me wherever I go.
Adverb Clause of Time
An adverb clause of time modifies a verb and tells us WHEN it takes place.
Conjunctions used: after, before, until, by the time, as soon as, when, whenever, since
- I will call you after the meeting gets over.
- Make sure you come back to your seat before the boss arrives here.
- Everyone started crying as soon as I gave my resignation.
- She gets mad whenever I call her Poopoo.
- I haven't seen my friend Ronny since we had an argument at a party.
- We will have left by the time you come back home.
Adverb Clause of Reason/Purpose
An adverb clause of reason/purpose modifies a verb and tells us WHY the action happens. It tells us the reason or the purpose of the action.
Conjunctions used: Because, since, as, so, so that, that
- Jon quit the job because he was not happy with his salary.
- We didn't celebrate his birthday as one of our friends had a brutal accident.
- Since it was pouring down rain, we did not move out.
- He is working day and night so that his family can live happily.
- She was happy that we came out to support her.
Adverb Clause of Contrast
An adverb clause of contrast modifies a verb by giving contrasting information.
Conjunctions used: Though, although, even though
- Though he had a high fever, he continued working.
- The beggar gave me the only burger he had although he was hungry.
- Even though she is famous and beautiful, I'll not marry her.
- The company didn't consider his application though he performed better than all the other candidates for the job.
- We were thrown out of the hall though we all had entry passes.
Adverb Clause of Condition
An adverb clause of condition modifies a verb by telling in what condition it happens.
Conjunctions used: If, only if, unless
- If you apologize to her, I will let you work here.
- They will not return your car unless you pay the loan.
- My father promised to buy me a bike if I pass the upcoming test.
- If it rains today, we will go out and dance.
Composition of an adverb clause
We need the following three components, at least, to form an adverb clause:
- Subordinating conjunction (from the above list)
- Subject (noun/pronoun)
- Verb
I'll call you when I get free.
Subordinating conjunction = when
Subject = I
Verb = get
Compliment = free
If a dependent clause consisting any of the above subordinating conjunctions and a subject-verb combination modifies a verb by telling its place, time, reason, concession, and condition, it is called an adverb or adverbial clause as it works just like an adverb.
How to find an adverb clause in a sentence?
If any part in a sentence (consisting a subordinating conjunction and a subject-verb combination) gives information about the main verb of the sentence, it's an adverb clause or adverbial clause.
To be more specific, if a clause tells us about the time, place, reason, purpose, condition, or concession of the main verb, it's an adverb clause.
Try finding out the adverb clauses in the following examples, if any:
- I'll return his money as soon as I get my salary credited.
- She will get married when she is ready.
- If they really love you, they'll come here to see you.
- He failed the test though he had prepared well.
- My mother comes with me wherever I go.
Adverbs clauses:
- As soon as I get my salary credited (talking about the time when the main verb "return" happens)
- When she is ready (modifying the main verb by telling us the time when it happens)
- If they really love you (giving information about the main verb in terms of a condition)
- Though he had prepared well (modifying the main verb by giving contrasting information about it)
- Wherever I go (modifying the main verb and telling where the main verb happens)
NOTE: ask "when/where/why/how" to the main verb to find out the adverb clause.
An adverb clause also modifies an adjective
An adverb clause generally modifies a verb, but it can also modify an adjective. Study the following examples:
- He was sad that he couldn't come to my birthday party. (modifying the adjective 'sad')
- The teacher was angry that we didn't perform well in the exam. (modifying the adjective 'angry')
Adverb clauses and commas
When adverb clauses come at the beginning of a sentence, it is best to use a comma after it. The comma makes it clear where the adverb clause is ending. study the following examples:
- After the match ends, we will have a party.
- If he becomes the team leader, everyone will be happy.
But when adverb clauses come at the end of a sentence, there's no need to use a comma.
- We will have a party after the match ends.
- Everyone will be happy if he becomes the team leader.
Important points to note:
1. Adverb clauses start with subordinating conjunctions such as when, after, before, if, as as soon as, though, because…
2. Adverb clauses modify the main verbs by telling us WHEN, WHERE, HOW, & WHY the action happens.
3. Adverb clauses are also called adverbial clauses as they function adverbially.
Now, we know everything about an adverb clause and its types. Feel free to share your question, doubt, or feedback in the comment section, and also, share the post with the people that need it.
For one-on-one classes, contact me at [email protected].


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Last Updated on March 20, 2022 by ellen
Check out my Nancy Drew Labyrinth of Lies review and learn more about this popular Nancy Drew video game and where to get it.
Posts may be sponsored. This post contains affiliate links, which means I will make a commission at no extra cost to you should you click through and make a purchase. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases.
When I was growing up, one of my favorite book series was Nancy Drew. I swear I had just about every single book in the series. I remember vividly putting them in my bookcase in numeric order so that I could find my favorites easily. Of course, when I learned that there were Nancy Drew computer games, I knew I had to try those too!
Nancy Drew Labyrinth of Lies Review
Nancy Drew: Labyrinth of Lies is a mystery adventure game from Her Interactive. It's for mystery fans ages ten to adult. In this game, a museum curator hires you to help with the most anticipated event of the year. Unfortunately, artifacts from the exhibit are mysteriously disappearing. You need to find out if these disappearances are related to the amphitheater's upcoming performance or an unseen villain behind the scenes.
If you've played other Nancy Drew games, you'll find that this follows the same format. You talk to people by clicking on them and then listen to / read the dialogue as it happens. You investigate things by clicking on them and can add things to your inventory when a hand appears to grab the item. Finally, you use your mouse to move in different directions and explore the game.
As you explore, you will find areas that are locked or that you cannot pass until you have found an item or solved a puzzle. As you unlock more and more clues, you will be able to advance further into the game and gather even more clues.
I really enjoyed playing Nancy Drew Labyrinth of Lies. I've always been interested in Greek mythology and I learned quite a bit about the different Greek gods by playing the game. It was really easy to get into the game and I definitely found it a challenge.
Nancy Drew Labyrinth of Lies Easter Eggs
Ok so if you want a few Easter eggs in this game, here goes.
- When you are at the fruit tree near the pool, click on it a few times and you will get a surprise.
- Look for something when you use the blacklight on Charon's lantern.
- Spell Athena on the door in the secret passageway for a surprise.
If you're looking for a fun new game to play, I definitely recommend Nancy Drew Labyrinth of Lies.
Ellen is a busy mom of a 24-year-old son and 29-year-old daughter. She is Grandma to one adorable baby girl. She owns six blogs and is addicted to social media. In what little spare time she has, she loves to read, watch movies, and play games. If you'd like to work together, email firstname.lastname@example.com to chat.


text: Many of us have lots of stuff and as we age, we tend to gather even more. It can be hard to let it go. Occasionally the need to hold onto our stuff develops into a mental health condition called compulsive hoarding. Compulsive hoarding is the excessive and compulsive collecting of items along with the inability to get rid of any of them, regardless of their state. Extreme hoarding can create such cramped living spaces for individuals that they can no longer access certain parts of their home or they only have pathways of clear spots in their homes to walk along.If you feel your elderly parent is a hoarder, you may have tried to speak to him about the number of items in his home. Your elderly care provider may have also expressed her concerns. Many senior hoarders have a hard time letting go of the items they've collected and say that they won't get rid of them because of reasons that sound like this:"I might need it someday, or you might need it someday.""It's too important to me and reminds me of a special memory.""It was such a great deal (or I got it free!) so I can't simply throw or give it away."While hoarding often indicates other mental health issues occurring such as anxiety, depression and obsessive-compulsive disorder, it can also create serious health risks for your parent attempting to live independently. The dangers that come with hoarding can be life threatening as well as isolating.FallingWith so many objects cluttering his home, hoarding increases the likelihood of your parent falling while he tries to maneuver around the items in his residence. For some hoarders, they literally have to climb over piles of items to reach the next room or get to the door, creating a very unstable walking surface for them. With items stacked to the ceilings, the risk of something falling into the walkway and not being seen by your parent is likely.Restricting VisitsMany people are uncomfortable in the home of a hoarder. It creates an uneasy and tense environment. You might find family has stopped visiting or your elderly care provider may not be able to come inside the home to perform the duties you've asked her to do. This only compounds your parent's feeling of loneliness and isolation.Unsanitary EnvironmentWhen hoarding behaviors have taken over, your parent may find himself unable to throw away even unsanitary items such as garbage, soiled linens, or pet feces. Having these unsanitary items stay in the home then invites other pests to enter the home and search out the items left out. Your parent may have an insect infestation such as ants or cockroaches or may have other critters such as mice in his home that he's unable to get rid of because of the unsanitary conditions of his hoarding.Fire hazardsAn excessive amount of papers piled up can create a fire hazard and might cause a small flame to quickly engulf the entire home. It can also make it hard for your parent to escape the home if a fire were to break out.If you feel your parent is struggling with excessive hoarding, seek professional help to get him on the path of healing. If you or an aging loved one are considering non-medical in-home care in Manhattan, NY, call Griswold Home Care and speak to one of our caring staff members today. Call (212) 845-9854 Categories Elderly Care Falls Home Safety


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If you can get past the flat, brittle production on Dirty Looks (try cranking it up loud), you'll find this Staten Island, New York trio (singer-guitarist Patrick Barnes, bassist Marco Sin and drummer Peter Parker) playing power pop with a vengeance. Chief assets: good melodic instincts coupled with tight, lean drive, like an adolescent Cheap Trick gone new wave. Moodily ranging through taut reggae ("Disappearing"), crazed quasi-rockabilly ("Drop That Tan"), even an emotionally masochistic ballad ("Lie to Me"), they may seem to let their depression run away with them, but when Dirty Looks soar, you might even be convinced that "rock'n'roll is still the best drug" (from the memorable "Let Go").
What a shock, then, to hear the trio descend into mediocrity on their second LP, despite production by Motor Nick Garvey. Halfbaked, full of misguided ideas and sputtering when it should smoke, Turn It Up slithers all too slickly.
The group did demos for an unreleased third album called Unsung Heroes in 1983; four tracks from it were included on 12 O'Clock High, an Italian career retrospective compilation, in 2002.
In the late '80s, an unrelated metal band surfaced calling itself Dirty Looks. Sin, whose real name was Marcus Robert Weissmann, died of drug-related heart problems in 1995.


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This page demonstrates some relatively new capabilities in Jmol relating to
incommensurately modulated structures
(msCIF data). Some interesting features highlighted include easy manipulation of data arrays for tabulation, the animated GIFS created using the CAPTURE command, the dynamic measurements, and a few more goodies that you can find in
. Oh -- and the modulations being visualized as phased "vibrations." See
-- Bob Hanson Dec 12, 2013


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Working principle:
The ultraviolet sterilization band is mainly between 200 and 300nm, and the sterilization ability of 253.7nm is strong. When all kinds of bacterial viruses in water or air pass through the ultraviolet (253.7nm wavelength) irradiation area, ultraviolet rays penetrate the cell membrane and nucleus of microorganisms, destroy the molecular bond of nucleic acid (DNA or RNA), make it lose the ability of replication or activity and die, so as to kill all bacterial viruses without using any chemical drugs.The sterilization lamp does not need to be converted into visible light, and the wavelength of 100-200nm can play a good role in sterilization. This is because there is a rule in the absorption spectrum of the light wave of the cell, which has a large absorption of 100-200nm ultraviolet rays. The absorbed ultraviolet rays actually act on the cell genetic material, namely DNA, which plays a photochemical role. The energy of ultraviolet photons is absorbed by the base pairs in DNA, causing The variation of genetic material causes the bacteria to die or not to reproduce immediately, so as to achieve the goal of sterilization.
Advantages of UV disinfection technology:
The disinfection effect of ultraviolet disinfection technology on bacteria, virus and other pathogenic bodies has been recognized all over the world, and it has the incomparable sterilization efficiency of other technologies. The bactericidal effect of ultraviolet on bacteria and virus is generally within one second. For the traditional chlorine and ozone methods, it usually takes 20 to 50 minutes to achieve the sterilization effect of ultraviolet. It has many advantages, such as high-efficiency sterilization, wide spectrum, no secondary pollution, safe and reasonable design, safe and reliable operation, simple operation and maintenance, low cost, small occupation space, no noise, continuous large number of sterilization, wide application field and so on.
The medical ozone disinfector, which is based on the principle that oxygen in the air is produced by high frequency and high voltage electric shock, has high ozone output, fast sterilization and disinfection speed, no residue and secondary pollution, and low price and operation cost. It is used in the clean environment of food production, hospital, electronic and other industries, which requires aseptic operation, instead of ultraviolet irradiation and chemical fumigation, without residual pollution.
The working principal of ozone:
Ozone is a highly effective disinfectant, which has a strong killing power to bacteria, bacteria, fungi, fungal spores, viruses and other microorganisms. As ozone is a diffuse gas, there is no dead angle in disinfection, so the disinfection and sterilization effect is good. Ozone sterilization is also different from general fungicides, because the excess ozone can be quickly decomposed into oxygen, so there is no secondary pollution problem.
Ozone can effectively remove toxic gases, such as C0, S02, mustard gas, etc. Ozone dissolved in water can be oxidized and decomposed to effectively remove toxic substances in water, such as heavy metal ions, organic poisons, cyanide, sulfide, dichlorvos, Omethoate, marasulfuric acid and other pesticides.
Due to the strong killing effect of ozone on bacteria and microorganisms, the treatment of meat and other foods with ozone water can achieve the effect of antisepsis, odor elimination and fresh-keeping. Studies have shown that ozone can prolong the storage period of food, beverage, fruits and vegetables by 3-10 times.
Ozone can deodorize and remove peculiar smell. The main components causing odor and putrefaction in nature are ammonia, hydrogen sulfide, methylmercaptan, dimethylsulfide, dimethyldisulfide, etc. ozone can react with them to oxidize them into non-toxic and odorless substances, so as to achieve deodorization effect.
Equipmement main dimensions:
- Full Length:2000mm
- UV working area:1000mm
- Feeding operation area:500mm
- Discharge operation area:500mm
- Entrance and exit:200mm(ajustable)
- Entrance and exit width:500mm
- Conveyor belt height from ground:750±50mm
Sterilization device:
- The length of ultraviolet light source tube is 600mm.
- There are 16 UV tubes * 20W, which are set inside up and down, left and right.
Protective device:
- Overvoltage and overcurrent protection
- Fault alarm prompt
- Equipment overload protection
Stainless steel for the whole machine
Air conveying system: one forced air blower
Conveyor belt: Teflon
Balancing device: flat water foot cup
Electrical equipment
Main switch: 15A
Total power: 1.5W
Inorganic speed regulation range of mesh belt: 0-5m / min
Transport motor: 800W
Working voltage: 220V
Three wire system: 50Hz
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Geoffrey S. Berman, the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York, announced that PETER GALBRAITH KELLY JR., a former executive at Competitive Power Ventures ("CPV"), was sentenced to 14 months in prison for defrauding CPV by misrepresenting that the former Executive Deputy Secretary to the Governor, Joseph Percoco, had obtained state ethics approval for his wife to work at CPV. Co-defendants Percoco and Steven Aiello were convicted of charges relating to bribery on March 13, 2018, after an eight-week jury trial. The jury was deadlocked on the charges against KELLY. Joseph Gerardi, who was acquitted of all charges at the trial with Percoco, was convicted of all charges in a related trial earlier this year. KELLY pled guilty on May 11, 2018, to one count of conspiracy to commit wire fraud before U.S. District Judge Valerie E. Caproni, who imposed today's sentence.
U.S. Attorney Geoffrey Berman said: "Braith Kelly admitted to giving the spouse of one of the most powerful men in Albany, Joseph Percoco, a low-show job at his company in order to ingratiate himself and his company with Percoco. Many consider this type of behavior to be 'the way things are done' in government. But our Office does not, and neither does the court."
In imposing today's sentence, Judge Caproni stated: "I hope the sentence will be heard in government affairs offices everywhere…you have to play by the rules."
According to the evidence introduced at trial, other proceedings in this case, and documents previously filed in Manhattan federal court:
KELLY hired Percoco's wife to a low-show job at CPV, and ran monthly payments to Percoco and his wife through a consultant who worked for CPV in order to disguise the source of the payments. KELLY also made sure that Percoco's wife's photograph and full name were not included in promotional materials for CPV, and he falsely told his superiors at CPV – on two separate occasions – that Percoco had obtained an ethics opinion from the Governor's Office approving of Percoco's wife's employment with CPV, when in fact no such opinion existed.
* * *
In addition to the prison term, KELLY, 55, of Canterbury, Connecticut, was sentenced to three years of supervised release. He was also ordered to pay $247,000 in restitution to CPV.
On September 20, 2018, Judge Caproni sentenced Percoco to six years in prison. Aiello is scheduled to be sentenced on November 29, 2018. Gerardi is scheduled to be sentenced on December 6, 2018.
U.S. Attorney Berman praised the work of the Buffalo Field Office of the Federal Bureau of Investigation and New York Office of the Internal Revenue Service-Criminal Investigation, which jointly conducted this investigation with special agents from the U.S. Attorney's Office.
This case is being prosecuted by the Office's Public Corruption Unit. Assistant U.S. Attorneys Janis Echenberg, Robert Boone, David Zhou, and Matthew Podolsky are in charge of the prosecution.


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Jean Dujardin and Bérénice Bejo in The Artist
Jean Dujardin can't win 'em all. For his (in my humble opinion brilliant) performance as a fading silent film star in Michel Hazanavicius' The Artist, he was voted Best Actor at the Cannes Film Festival, the British Academy Awards, the SAG Awards, the Golden Globes, and the Australian Film Institute Awards (as Best International Actor). He was also chosen as the Best Actor of 2011 by both the London Film Critics Circle and the Academy of French Film Journalists. (See further below the full list of César winners and nominees.)
Earlier this evening, however, Dujardin lost the Best Actor César du Cinéma. The 2012 French equivalent of the Oscars went instead to comedian Omar Sy, who co-stars with François Cluzet in the feel-good box office blockbuster The Intouchables / The Intouchables. Perhaps enough members of the French Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Crafts were envious of Dujardin's international success and/or felt he had already won too many awards. Or perhaps they decided it was time to give a Best Actor César to a black man – Sy is the first to win in that category. Or it could even be that enough French Academy members felt Sy, who interrupted his acceptance speech to offer a quick onstage dance (?) performance, was more deserving.
In any case, Sy's victory was the only one for The Intouchables. The Artist, on the other hand, won a total of six Césars: Best Film, Best Director, Best Actress (Bérénice Bejo as ascending dawn-of-the-sound era star Peppy Miller), Best Cinematography (Guillaume Schiffman), Best Art Direction (Laurence Bennett), and Best Music (Ludovic Bource).
Among this year's other César winners were veteran Michel Blanc for The Minister, which also won awards for Best Sound and Best Original Screenplay for writer-director Pierre Schöller (defeating The Artist's Hazanavicius); former Pedro Almodóvar muse Carmen Maura for Philippe Le Guay's comedy The Women on the 6th Floor; and Christian Rouaud and Clémence Latour's documentary Tous au Larzac / Leader-Sheep, about how a group of farmers took on the French government in the '70s.
For co-writing with playwright Yasmina Reza the movie adaptation of Gods of Carnage, more concisely retitled as Carnage, Roman Polanski won his sixth César – his first in the writing categories. Polanski had previously won as Best Director for Tess (1979), The Pianist (2002), and The Ghost Writer (2010), besides taking home Best Picture Césars for the aforementioned first two films. One of Carnage's stars, Kate Winslet, was this year's Honorary César recipient.
And finally, out of its 13 nods – seven of which in the acting categories – Maïwenn's Polisse won a single César: Best Film Editing for Laure Gardette and Yann Dedet.
Jean Dujardin/Bérénice Bejo/The Artist pic: The Weinstein Company.
Best Film
La guerre est déclarée / Declaration of War produced by Edouard Weil, directed by Valérie Donzelli
Le Havre produced by Fabienne Vonier, directed by Aki Kaurismäki
* The Artist produced by Thomas Langmann, directed by Michel Hazanavicius
The Intouchables / The Intouchables produced by Denis Freyd, directed by Éric Toledano, Olivier Nakache
L'exercice de l'État / The Minister produced by Nicolas Duval Adassovsky, Yann Zenou, Laurent Zeitoun, directed by Pierre Schöller
Pater produced by Michel Seydoux, directed by Alain Cavalier
Polisse produced by Alain Attal, directed by Maïwenn
Best Foreign Film
Drive (United States) directed by Nicolas Winding Refn
Black Swan (United States) directed by Darren Aronofsky
Incendies (Canada) directed by Denis Villeneuve
Melancholia (Denmark / Sweden / France / Germany) directed by Lars von Trier
* A Separation (Iran) directed by Asghar Farhadi
The King's Speech (United Kingdom) directed by Tom Hooper
Le gamin au vélo / The Kid with a Bike (Belgium) directed by Jean-Pierre Dardenne, Luc Dardenne
Best Debut
My Little Princess directed by Eva Ionesco
* Le cochon de Gaza / When Pigs Have Wings directed by Sylvain Estibal
17 filles / 17 Girls directed by Delphine Coulin, Muriel Coulin
Angèle et Tony / Angèle and Tony directed by Alix Delaporte
La Délicatesse / Delicacy directed by David Foenkinos, Stéphane Foenkinos
Best Director
Alain Cavalier, Pater
Valérie Donzelli, La guerre est déclarée / Declaration of War
* Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Aki Kaurismäki, Le Havre
Maïwenn, Polisse
Pierre Schöller, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Éric Toledano and Olivier Nakache, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Best Cinematography
Pierre Aïm, Polisse
Josée Deshaies, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
Julien Hirsch, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
* Guillaume Schiffman, The Artist
Mathieu Vadepied, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Best Editing
Anne-Sophie Bion, Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Laurence Briaud, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Pauline Gaillard, La guerre est déclarée / Declaration of War
* Laure Gardette, Yann Dedet, Polisse
Dorian Rigal Ansous, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Best Original Score
Alex Beaupain, Les bien-aimés
Bertand Bonello, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
Matthieu Chedid a.k.a. -M-, Patrice Renson, Monstre à Paris / A Monster in Paris
* Ludovic Bource, The Artist
Philippe Schoeller, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Best Production Design
* Laurence Bennett, The Artist
Alain Guffroy, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
Pierre-François Limbosch, Les femmes du 6ème étage / The Women on the 6th Floor
Jean-Marc Tran Tan Ba, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Wouter Zoon, Le Havre
Best Costume Design
Catherine Baba, My Little Princess
Mark Bridges, The Artist
Christian Gasc, Les femmes du 6ème étage / The Women on the 6th Floor
Viorica Petrovici, La Source des femmes / The Source
* Anaïs Romand, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
Best Sound
Pascal Armant, Jean Goudier, Jean-Paul Hurier, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Jean-Pierre Duret, Nicolas Moreau, Jean-Pierre Laforce, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
* Olivier Hespel, Julie Brenta, Jean-Pierre Laforce, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Nicolas Provost, Rym Debbarh-Mounir, Emmanuel Croset, Polisse
André Rigaut, Sébastien Savine, Laurent Gabiot, La guerre est déclarée / Declaration of War
Jean Dujardin/Missi Pyle/The Artist photo: The Weinstein Company
Best Actor
Sami Bouajila, Omar m'a tuer / Omar Killed Me
François Cluzet, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Olivier Gourmet, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Denis Podalydes, La conquête / The Conquest
* Omar Sy, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Philippe Torreton, Présumé coupable / Guilty
Best Actress
Ariane Asquaride, Les neiges du Kilimanjaro / The Snows of Kilimanjaro
* Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Leila Bekhti, La Source des femmes / The Source
Valérie Donzelli, La guerre est déclarée / Declaration of War
Marina Foïs, Polisse
Marie Gilain, Toutes nos envies / All Our Desires
Karin Viard, Polisse
Best Supporting Actor
* Michel Blanc, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Nicolas Duvauchelle, Polisse
Joey Starr, Polisse
Bernard Lecoq, La conquête / The Conquest
Frédéric Pierrot, Polisse
Best Supporting Actress
Zabou Breitman, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Anne Le Ny, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Noémie Lvovsky, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
* Carmen Maura, Les femmes du 6e étage / The Women on the 6th Floor
Karole Rocher, Polisse
Most Promising Actor
Nicolas Bridet, Tu seras mon fils / You Will Be My Son
* Grégory Gadebois, Angèle et Tony / Angèle and Tony
Guillaume Bouix, Jimmy Rivière
Pierre Minet, J'aime regarder les filles / I Love Watching Girls
Dimitri Storoge, Les Lyonnais
Most Promising Actress (tie)
* Naidra Ayadi, Polisse
Adele Haenel, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
Céline Salette, L'Apollonide, souvenirs de la maison close / House of Tolerance
* Clotilde Hesme, Angèle et Tony / Angèle and Tony
Christa Theret, La brindille / Twiggy
Best Original Screenplay
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Valérie Donzelli, Jérémie Elkaïm, La guerre est déclarée / Declaration of War
Éric Toledano, Olivier Nakache, The Intouchables / The Intouchables
Maïwenn, Emmanuelle Bercot, Polisse
* Pierre Schöller, L'exercice de l'État / The Minister
Best Adapted Screenplay
David Foenkinos, La Délicatesse / Delicacy
Vincent Garenq, Présumé coupable / Guilty
Olivier Gorce, Roschdy Zem, Rachid Bouchareb, Olivier Lorelle, Omar m'a tuer / Omar Killed Me
Mathieu Kassovitz, Pierre Geller, Benoît Jaubert, L'ordre et la morale / Rebellion
* Yasmina Reza, Roman Polanski, Carnage
Best Documentary
Le Bal des menteurs / The Liars' Ball directed by Daniel Leconte
Crazy Horse directed by Frederick Wiseman
Ici on noie les algériens / Here We Drown Algerians directed by Yasmina Adi
* Tous au Larzac / Leader-Sheep directed by Christian Rouaud, Clémence Latour
Michel Petrucciani directed by Michael Radford
Best Short Film
* L'accordeur / The Piano Tuner directed by Olivier Treiner
La France qui se lève tôt / Early Rising France directed by Hugo Chesnard
J'aurais pu être une pute / I Could've Been a Whore directed by Baya Kasmi
Je pourrais être votre grand-mère / I Could Be Your Grandmother directed by Bernard Tanguy
Un monde sans femmes / A World Without Women directed by Guillaume Brac
Best Animated Feature
Le Tableau / The Painting directed by Jean-François Laguionie
Le Cirque / The Circus directed by Nicolas Brault
* Le Chat du rabbin / The Rabbi's Cat directed by Joann Sfar, Antoine Delesvaux
Monstre à Paris / A Monster in Paris directed by Bibo Bergeron
La Queue de la souris / A Mouse's Tale directed by Benjamin Renner
Honorary César
Kate Winslet
Acclaimed Iranian Drama & Gay Romance Actor: International Cinephile Society Awards
Asghar Farhadi's A Separation, Margaret's Anna Paquin (photo), Weekend's Tom Cullen, and The Tree of Life's Terrence Malick and Brad Pitt were some of the winners of the 2012 International Cinephile Society Awards. The honors are announced by "an online group made up of approximately 80 accredited journalists, film scholars, historians and other industry professionals who cover film festivals and events on five continents." And cinephiles they clearly are; some of their choices would put the U.S.-based National Society of Film Critics to shame. (See further below the full list of International Cinephile Society winners and runners-ups.)
Writer-director Farhadi's Iranian family drama A Separation, which is up for the Best Foreign Language Film and Best Original Screenplay Academy Awards, won as Best Picture of 2011, in addition to Best Film Not in the English Language, Best Original Screenplay, and Best Ensemble (including Best Actor and Best Supporting Actress runners-up Peyman Moaadi and Shahab Hosseini). Farhadi was also the runner-up for Best Director.
Paquin was the Best Actress winner for her performance in Kenneth Lonergan's much-praised but little-seen psychological drama Margaret, while Tom Cullen was voted Best Actor for his enamored gay man in Andrew Haigh's Weekend.
Terrence Malick was the Best Director for the cosmic family drama The Tree of Life, which also earned citations for Best Supporting Actor Brad Pitt, Best Cinematography (Emmanuel Lubezki), and Best Film Editing (Hank Corwin, Jay Rabinowitz, Daniel Rezende, Billy Weber, Mark Yoshikawa). The Best Supporting Actress was Margaret's J. Smith-Cameron.
Among the other ICS winners were Mysteries of Lisbon's Carlos Saboga and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy's Bridget O'Connor and Peter Straughan, who tied for the Best Adapted Screenplay Award; Gore Verbinski's animated feature Rango; and Andrei Ujica's The Autobiography of Nicolae Ceausescu.
Anna Paquin/Margaret photo: Myles Aronowitz / Fox Searchlight.
01. A Separation
02. The Tree of Life
03. Mysteries of Lisbon
04. Certified Copy
05. Weekend
06. Margaret
07. Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives
08. Drive
09. Meek's Cutoff
10. Hugo
11. Melancholia
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Runner-up: Asghar Farhadi – A Separation
01. A Separation
02. Mysteries of Lisbon
03. Certified Copy
04. Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives
05. The Skin I Live In
06. Poetry
07. House of Pleasures
08. Le Havre
09. Le Quattro Volte
10. Of Gods and Men
Tom Cullen – Weekend
Runner-up: Peyman Moaadi – A Separation
Anna Paquin – Margaret
Runner-up: Juliette Binoche – Certified Copy
Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
Runner-up: Shahab Hosseini – A Separation
J. Smith-Cameron – Margaret
Runner-up: Jessica Chastain – Take Shelter
A Separation – Asghar Farhadi
Runner-up: Weekend – Andrew Haigh
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY (tie)
Mysteries of Lisbon – Carlos Saboga, and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Bridget O'Connor, Peter Straughan
Runner-up: The Skin I Live In – Agustín Almodóvar, Pedro Almodóvar
The Tree of Life – Emmanuel Lubezki
Runner-up: Mysteries of Lisbon – André Szankowski
The Tree of Life – Hank Corwin, Jay Rabinowitz, Daniel Rezende, Billy Weber, Mark Yoshikawa
Runner-up: Drive – Matthew Newman
The Mill and the Cross – Marcel Slawinski, Katarzyna Sobanska-Strzalkowska
Runner-up: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Maria Djurkovic
Drive – Cliff Martinez
Runners-up: Mysteries of Lisbon – Jorge Arriagada and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Alberto Iglesias
A Separation
Runner-up: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Rango by Gore Verbinski
Runner-up: Winnie the Pooh
The Autobiography of Nicolae Ceausescu directed by Andrei Ujica
Runner-up: Nostalgia for the Light
• Alps
• Century of Birthing
• Declaration of War
• The Deep Blue Sea
• Elena
• Faust
• The Kid with a Bike
• Once Upon a Time in Anatolia
• This Is Not a Film
• The Turin Horse
Chris New, Tom Cullen/Weekend photo: Glendale Picture Company / Sundance Selects.
Bérénice Bejo/The Artist photo: The Weinstein Company


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The Pittsburgh Steelers are out of Latrobe and back at the UPMC Rooney Sports Complex, also referred to as the South Side Facility. We are already into the regular season, where everything is magnified and, you know, actually counts. The team is working through the highs and lows and dramas that go through a typical Steelers season.
How are the rookies performing? What about the players that the team signed in free agency? Who is missing time with injuries, and when are they going to be back? What are the coaches saying about what they are going to do this season that might be different from how it was a year ago?
These are the sorts of questions among many others that we have been exploring on a daily basis and will continue to do so. Football has become a year-round pastime and there is always a question to be asked, though there is rarely a concrete answer, as I've learned in my years of doing this.
Question: Will the Steelers place the transition tag on Le'Veon Bell?
Just when you think it's over, right? Apparently, the Steelers are giving legitimate consideration to the possibility of placing the transition tag on running back Le'Veon Bell, who is (finally) scheduled to become an unrestricted free agent after skipping out on the 2018 season on the franchise tag.
According to reports, the Steelers are considering this possibility with the intention of quickly flipping him, trading him to another team that would like to come calling for him. There are many hurdles involved in this plan, however, starting with a negotiation of what the value of the transition tag would even be.
Following that, we have to assume that Bell can be on-board with the plan, which would require something of a handshake agreement. In order for it to work, a team would have to inform the Steelers and Bell of their intention to sign him and what they would be willing to offer him.
He would have to then be agreeable to that deal, sign the Steelers' tag, and then the Steelers would trade him to that team on the tag, who would then sign him to the new deal. This isn't entirely unfeasible, as post-trade deals are fairly common. Washington signed Alex Smith to a new deal that was pre-arranged before he was traded last offseason.
But what is the incentive for the trading team? They could just put the offer out there and acquire Bell that way if he wants the contract. The only arrow in the Steelers' quiver is the right of first refusal to match the deal, and we know they're not going to do that, as do the teams potentially trading for him.