text:
Technical Analyses
Real People
Becoming Successful Traders
Murray A. Ruggiero, Jr.
Adrienne Laris Toghraie
Foreword by Alpesh B. Patel - author of Mind of a Trader
On Target Press
100 Lavewood Lane
Cary, North Carolina 27511
A Division of Trading on Target
Ruggiero Press
18 Oregon Avenue
East Haven, CT 06512
A Division of Ruggiero Associates
First Published in the United States January 1999
Second Printing July 1999
Trading on Target
Ruggiero Associates
The right of Adrienne Laris Toghraie and Murray Ruggiero to be identified
as authors of this work has been asserted by them in accordance
with the Copyright, Design and Patents Act.
All rights reserved: no part of this publication, unless
indicated may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or
transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,
photocopying, recording, or otherwise without either the prior written
permission of the Publishers or a license permitting restricted
copying in the United States issued by the
Copyright Licensing Agency Ltd.
This book may not be lent, resold, hired out or otherwise disposed of by way
of trade in any form of binding or cover, without the prior consent of the
MURRAY A. RUGGIERO, JR., is president of Ruggiero
Associates in East Haven, Conn., a firm which specializes in the
development and testing of market timing applications using state-
of-the-art computer technologies.
One of the world's foremost experts on using intermarket and trend
analysis to locate and confirm developing price moves in the
markets, Murray has been called "The Einstein of Wall Street" by
those who know the value of his amazing work.
Some say Murray comes by his analytical abilities naturally, having
been raised around the research laboratories of Yale University by a
father who held 29 patents. Whether that tale is true or not, Murray
is one of those rare individuals who loves dealing with statistics and
mathematical data, and he thoroughly enjoys the challenge of using
that data to help solve real-world trading problems.
Murray's personal and work history reflects his attraction to
mathematics. In college, he earned his degree in Astrophysics
hardly a major for the mathematically challenged.
After college, Murray began working on neural net and Artificial
Intelligence (AI) systems for applications in the investment arena.
As a result of that work, Murray's reputation as a system developer
quickly grew, and it wasn't long before some of the most powerful
names in the investment world came to him for help.
John J. Murphy, the "Father of Intermarket Analysis," noticed
Murray's work early on, and on several occasions invited the young
analyst to appear as a guest on his CNBC television show. Murphy
remains one of Murray's staunch supporters, openly applauding the
practical applications of his work.
Business Week magazine recently featured Murray as one of the
nation's leading experts on using neural networks in finance and
Dozens of high-profile traders and professional money managers
seem to agree; they come to Murray for analysis and systems
development work on a regular basis.
Unlike many in the ego-driven investment world, Murray has no
desire to keep his research results only for himself. He has published
more than 50 articles on Intermarket Analysis and other subjects
over the years, in Futures magazine, Omega magazine and several
other prestigious periodicals.
Murray's first book, Cybernetic Trading, revealed details of his
market analysis and systems testing at a level seldom seen in the
investment world. Reviewers were universal in their praise of the
book, and it became a "best seller" among systems traders, analysts
and money managers alike.
In addition to his other published works, Murray's own bi-monthly
Inside Advantage newsletter includes not only the results of his
analysis and system testing, but also the computer code that allows
readers to input his systems into their own computers. Murray's
willingness to openly share "proprietary" information is like a
magnet to traders, attracting thousands of subscribers worldwide.
ADRIENNE LARIS TOGHRAIE, MNLP, MCH, is a traders
coach, an internationally recognized authority in the field of human
development and a master practitioner of Neuro-Linguistic Program-
ming (NLP) for the financial and business communities. She is the
founder and president of Trading on Target and Enriching Life
Seminars, two companies dedicated to helping traders, sales people,
and other high achievers to dramatically increase profits and success
in all areas of life. Using her 20 years of study in the science of
Modeling Excellence, Neuro-Linguistic Programming (NLP) and
numerous other forms of psychological development, Ms. Toghraie
has helped her clients to push through their self-imposed limitations
to extraordinary and documented new levels of success.
Over the past nine years, Adrienne Toghraie has interviewed and
coached the most successful people around the world: What makes
these great people unique? What makes them so successful? The
answers to these and other questions are explored in her seminars,
books, and tapes, which form the core of Ms. Toghraie's Modeling
Exccllence work with professionals who want to reach higher levels
of success. Ms. Toghraie's public seminars and private counseling
have achieved a wide level of recognition and popularity, as well as
her television appearances on CNBC and keynote addresses at most
of the major industry conferences.
Adrienne's articles and interviews have been featured in most of the
major financial trade magazines and newspapers throughout the
world. She has authored Get A Life: Treasure Diary for Creating
Wealth and Happiness, The Winning Edge 2: Traders' and
Investors' Psychological Coach in a Book, and Dear Coach Potty
Training for Traders, Brokers & Investors, and co-authored The
Winning Edge: How to Use Your Personal Psychological Power in
Trading and Investing with Jake Bernstein.
Table of Contents
About the Authors
Modeling Overview
Where do you go from here?
Resources and Services
Chapter 1:
Chapter 2:
Chapter 3:
Chapter 4:
Chapter 5:
Chapter 6:
Yousef Hashmi
The Canadian Don Quixote
Interviewed June 1998
Glen Ring
A jack of all traders
Interviewed March 1998
Herb Drechsler
Never too old
Interviewed January 1998
Sheldon Knight
A knight in technical armor
Interviewed March 1998
Stelios Christakos
A gifted Greek
Interviewed June 1998
Bob Watson
The Zen trading warrior
Interviewed August 1998
Chapter 7:
Chapter 8:
Chapter 9:
Chapter 10:
Chapter 11 :
Chapter 12:
Chapter 13:
Chapter 14:
Ed Pomeranz
Caviar to schnitzel
Interviewed September 1998
Neal Dietz
The "Systems Man"
Interviewed February 1998
John Fritz
Born to be special
Interviewed March 1998
Alta Wood
Living the real bull market
Interviewed August 1998
Al Gerebizza
His own genie in a bottle
Interviewed May 1998
Mike Battle
Sticking to his guns
Interviewed July 1998
Scott Krieger
West meets East
Interviewed February 1998
Tom Bierovic
On the road again
Interviewed February 1998
Dedicated to:
Our Clients
Acknowledgments to:
The team efforts of these extraordinary people
made this book possible:
Roger Reimer
Chief Editor
Wendy Clouse
Antonia Weeks
James Geuder
Final Editor
and especially to the real traders in this book.
Alpesh B Patel
author of
The Mind of a Trader: Lessons in trading strategy from the
world's leading traders (FT Pitman 1998)
Trading Online: A step-by-step guide to cyberprofits
(FT Pitman 1999)
Traders' Secrets passes the two requirements for any book to become
a classic - it combines crystal clarity with original, insightful detail.
Each chapter describes the methods of its interviewee in precise
detail. It further provides a psychological profile and context. Too
often trading books provide minimal generalizations about trading
strategies and systems, and worse yet, negligible detail about all
important trading psychology. Consequently, Traders' Secrets is a
fresh, original and valuable break from the norm in trading books.
The interviewees in this book have been tremendously helpful and
generous in describing their methods, systems, backgrounds and
years of research. They come from a variety of backgrounds -
fundamentalists, intuitive, technical analysts, stock, futures, com-
modities traders. There is something for all traders in here. Modeling
oneself on the success of others is probably the best way to success
for oneself. Why wait to learn from your own mistakes when you can
learn from the years of mistakes and successes of others?
A feature of the book I found particularly valuable was the inter-
viewee profiles based on analysis and psychology. These ensure that
no one should finish a chapter feeling they did not 'suck the marrow'
from it and learn every single valuable lesson contained therein. This
feature of the book also amplifies its clarity and means the reader can
test the systems for themselves and see what suits their own person-
ality. It's about time more trading books were written with a similar
concern for the leader.
The subtitle Real People Becoming Successful Traders only mod-
estly hints at a vital feature of the book, namely that these inter-
viewees are 'real', 'normal' traders who have proved successful. They
are traders with whom the reader can more readily relate than if they
were the Soros's or Buffet's of the world. And this is very important
yet novel. The traders in this book probably make far better trading
models than the big institutional traders or fund managers who
employ whole research departments and Nobel Laureates to form
their systems. (Although, I understand that Nobel Laureates can be a
distinct trading disadvantage.) The interviewees in this book, unlike
some trading 'wizards' will not baffle the reader with fuzzy logic,
artificial intelligence or undisclosed black box systems. The analysis
used by these successful traders is open to all.
In researching my own books, probably the most important lesson I
have learnt from meeting and interviewing some of the world's best
traders is that there is no substitute for hard work, planning and self-
discipline. Trading appears deceptively easy, especially in a world of
Internet brokers where online accounts can readily be opened. If you
want trading success, your path will be shorter and more direct if you
read this book.
Adrienne Laris Toghraie
A year ago, Murray called to say that he had a great idea for a book
that he would like to write with me about people who came into
trading from other professions and how they eventually made their
living trading. Murray said that these traders would not necessarily
be "market wizards" because he wanted the book to be about people
to whom the average person could relate. While I thought the idea
was an excellent one, initially I declined. I remembered a conver-
sation with Jack Schwager, who wrote Market Wizards, in which he
told me that an interview book was much harder to write than a book
in your own words. Well, obviously, Murray talked me into it
because he was right - it was an excellent idea.
And Jack Schwager was right too. The most difficult part of writing
an interview book is turning conversational language into readable
language while maintaining the individual flavor of each personality.
After the first four editings, we sent the chapters to our traders for
any additions or deletions they might want to make. Some were
prolific writers and made dramatic changes, while others hardly
changed a word. Because we wanted this book to be about the
people we interviewed (and not about us), we did not attempt to
impose a consistent structure on the book. Each individual we inter-
viewed is unique. While we worked with an outline, we allowed
each person to share his life and trading methods with you, the
reader, as much he was willing to do. For that reason, some of the
chapters are significantly longer than others, some chapters do not
have charts, and some traders tell you precisely how they trade,
while are unable to put their trading technique into precise words.
As Murray and I worked on this book, we realized that we could
create a modeling study from the material on each trader. Again, we
went beyond the original interview and asked each trader to make
additions to the study. When we found that many of the same
statements applied to each individual, we decided to include the
most salient points, the qualities that we thought stood out, plus the
qualities which our traders thought should be added.
Then Murray and I took the book one step further. We felt that our
own unique backgrounds gave us each a perspective on our subjects,
which we could also share with you, our readers. The result is the
technical analysis provided by Murray and the psychological
analysis provided by me. In my psychological analysis, I chose one
quality of each person to model as most of the traders had most of
the qualities.
Having worked with hundreds of rookie and veteran traders who
wanted to become better, Murray and I knew about the invaluable
trading knowledge that could be gained from the experiences of real
people coming from a variety of professions to become traders. In
the following pages, we are proud to offer real life trading exper-
iences that can provide insight, inspiration, guidance, and possible
solutions for all traders as they work to become "Masters of the
Note: We have included the interview dates because references
were made to particular trades or specific time periods.
Yousef Hashmi
The Canadian Don Quixote - How a successful broker, money
manager and private trader used psychology to trade his account
from $100 thousand to $3 million in 1998.
Tell us about your family and where you were born?
I was born April 16, 1961, in Canada in the small town of Moncton,
New Brunswick. My father had grown up in Pakistan and immigrated
to Canada in 1957, and then he met my mother. He worked as a civil
engineer for the Canadian National Railway until 1985. I have one
brother and one sister.
As a boy, I loved sports, mostly hockey and basketball. Later, in
grade eleven and twelve, I began playing golf. Now I play golf
competitively. The other activity that filled my free time was reading
books about personal development, such as Anthony Robbins "Peak
Performance Strategies and Modeling," and following the market. I
started following the market when I was in grade nine or ten.
Did your Mom work?
Initially, she worked out of the home. But, basically, she was a stay-
at-home mom. When I came home from school, she was always there.
My childhood was spent in a very traditional type of setting, "Leave it
to Beaver" type stuff.
Tell us about the time period of high school?
I was an average "C" student. I liked economics, psychology and
history courses.
During the time that my Dad was an engineer, he bought a small
corner store with gas pumps. A few years later, he bought a couple of
motels. My Dad and Mom stayed at one motel while my brother and I
operated the other while we were in high school. It was a neat
experience to learn many different skills at such a young age. It was
also very beneficial to be on my own because going off to the
university was not such a big adjustment.
What university did you go to and what did you study?
I attended the University of Prince Edward Island in Charlottetown,
Prince Edward Island in Canada, which is where I reside today. I
started studying business, but I did not like accounting. So, I switched
to economics and graduated in 1985 with a Bachelors Degree in
When you were attending the university, did you run the motel?
No. I worked odd jobs such as painting, and I worked at golf courses
in the summer months. I liked to party, play golf, and socialize in my
free time.
You got interested in the markets at a very young age. Would you
tell us how that happened?
I became interested in the markets when I was in grade 10 because my
father knew "absolutely zero" about the market. One of his colleagues
gave him a "hot tip" to buy Brunswick Mining, which was a silver
mining company.
When did this happen?
Somewhere in the 1975 to 1978 time frame, which was when the
silver markets started moving. The silver and gold markets had big
moves in 1980. The mining company stock peaked out at $44 per
share. I started following it every day because my father owned a
$ 1,000 worth of this stock. Curiosity increased my interest in the stock
market, because I wanted to know why he did not make a profit when
he could have.
In high school, I wrote a report on the market. From that time on, I
knew that I wanted to become a stockbroker/trader. Through my
father's little bit of exposure to the markets, my eyes were opened to
the opportunities and away I went with it.
In what activities did you participate in college?
During college I began to play golf competitively. I refereed hockey
games and also worked as a campus police officer, which made it
easier to get into social events.
What did you do directly after college?
In the fall of 1985, I tried to get a job as a broker all the way from
Toronto down the East Coast, but there were no openings for a
beginner. So, I painted houses until I finally got a job on January 4,
1987, as a broker in Halifax, Nova Scotia. I stayed there until the
summer of 1988. I went through the Crash in October 1987, and the
brokerage firm went through restructuring, which put me out of work
at the age of 25. Without being properly trained as a broker, I went
with another firm selling tax shelters for nine months. This firm
eventually went bankrupt. At that point in time, I started my own
business distributing industrial lubricants to heavy equipment oper-
ators and contractors.
In 1992, I reentered the brokerage business when a friend told me that
ScotiaMcLeod in Charlottetown needed someone, a brokerage where I
had contacts! I have been with ScotiaMcLeod ever since.
Do you consider yourself a broker? A trader? A money manager?
Or all of the above?
All of the above. My clients accept my advice on what to do with
their investment decisions. Most brokers focus on selling product, but
I view myself as managing people's money for them.
How much money do you manage now?
I manage over twenty million dollars, and growing.
Do you trade equities only?
Sixty percent of my business is options on U.S. stocks. The rest is
stocks and bonds. I do trade OEX during the week of expiration for
How did you do?
I started trading my own account very unsuccessfully with two
thousand dollars in the summer of 1993.
What is your definition of unsuccessful?
Roller coaster syndrome would be a good description. I was not
actively trading because I was building a client base as a broker at the
same time. I really did not get into trading actively until March of
So the problem was that trading was not a priority in your life
back then?
No, and since it was not a priority, I was not successful.
As a broker, I was looking at fundamental analysis, which did not
pinpoint a way to make money. The manager of the office introduced
me to technical analysis of the markets. I found technical analysis
really worked because price action is more important than the
fundamental analysis. While fundamental analysis was great reading,
it did not make money.
What education led you to technical analysis?
The first book that I read on technical analysis was William O'Neil's
book, How to Make Money in Stocks. His strategy is coined as
So, are you a 'CANSLIM guy'?
Yes, I am a 'CANSLIM guy' with modifications. I do not like small
cap stocks. It is not good for the options market either.
I combined both technical analysis and fundamental analysis, which
works for me. I use CANSLIM, basic charting patterns, double tops
and bottoms and trend lines. I consider myself a trend follower.
I also read Martin Pring's book, Technical Analysis Explained. After
applying technical analysis, I was able to take $4,000 and build it the
next three months to $15,000 by March of 1995. Then it up and
dropped down to about $10,000. I continued to be on this yo-yo
With that small account you probably were not using what you
would consider sane money management practices today?
No, because my minimal contract size was about 10. Based on my
present money management skills, I was betting 25% to 30% of my
equity on each trade. While I seemed to be getting technical analysis
down, I did not know anything about money management. Back then
I had a hard time finding any books on money management.
In 1995, there was a technical analysis seminar presented by the
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts in Toronto. There were four
speakers to be presented - Ralph Acampora, Ed Seykota, Mark
Douglas, and one other speaker. After meeting Mark Douglas, I read
his book The Disciplined Trader, and attended a two day seminar he
was giving in Toronto. My account went to $25,000 in about one
month, and kept on moving until it peaked at $75,000. Then, there
was a drawdown to about $40,000. Now I was still yo-yoing the
account, but at a higher level.
Were you trading other people's money, too?
In the options department, yes.
And how are you doing for them?
I have many accounts that were up 400% in a year, but the accounts
were only $6,000 to $10,000 U.S. Now, I will not take an account of
less than $50,000 U.S.
Why did the drawdowns get so high?
By this time, I was trading 100 to 200 contracts and making all kinds
of money. Then the market started getting choppy and moved against
me. I tend to trade more from the long side. I was buying too large of
a position in volatile markets that were expiring worthless. If you buy
100 contracts at two dollars, which equals twenty thousand dollars, it
does not take long for the equity to drawdown quickly.
Were you overtrading?
Absolutely. I was trading a minimum of 40 to 50 contracts and would
not back down. That is why the equity levels would drop so rapidly.
Since the positions were too large, did you have a problem of
holding on to a loser a little too long?
Yes, because once you start thinking about the capital involved, it
becomes more difficult to take a loss. When you start hoping and
wishing about a trade that the market will come back, you know you
are done.
If you are long the market, you tend to focus on the uptick, as opposed
to the downtick. You are not focusing on the information that the
market is telling you at that moment. It took some time to learn that,
but with the help of the Mark Douglas Program, I learned to interpret
market information much better.
In the summer of 1997, I moved the account back up to $75,000 and
made $200,000 in the months of June and July buying stock options
on Micron Technology. I called it the 'Micron Effect' because I made
$200,000 on trading one position. I kept pyramiding the position with
the options. When I closed the position out, I had made about
$250,000. The problem is that I felt so powerful, on top of the world.
It was an exciting ride to make a windfall of that size by following the
market and getting each tick. I was flowing with this stock. Something
like this can be the worst thing that can happen to a trader because
rules tend to be forgotten in a situation like this. My contract size
went up to 300 contracts because I was pyramiding the position up.
The market can humble a trader quickly.
Do you think about reducing risk by cutting down size and
actually risking 5% of capital?
That started happening after the 'Micron Effect.' After that trade, I
went to Las Vegas and met Adrienne at the Dow-Jones Telerate
Conference and went to her presentation. Now, I am conscious about
what I do, and how I do it. If I am not flowing with the markets, I
reduce the contract size of my position and will buy in five or ten lots.
Before I thought trading lots under 50 to 100 contracts was a waste of
Tell us about how much you have made since I saw you?
My capital had gone from $250,000 down to $100,000, which
represents a 60% drawdown. Since I worked with you, in this last year
my trading capital has gone up to 2.7 million.
So, you have made about twenty five times the amount you
started with since you began working with Adrienne?
Yes. And this has been accomplished in fairly difficult markets for
what I trade. In the month of July, August, and September, my
account was down only 10% when the S & P was down 20%. If I had
not been to see Adrienne, the account would have fallen. I would
have had at least a 50% drawdown during the same period. Filling out
Adrienne's Business Plan for Trader's helped me to clarify how to
improve my profits and not take as much risk.
Did you have goals as to what type of return you were looking
No, I did not have goals on a specific rate of return, but I have a figure
for ultimate trading capital that I want to have.
Does your perception of returns have some effect on the amount
of risk that you are willing to accept? I am asking this question
because it has a big effect on your risk level. We have had
interviews with traders who risk a very small percentage of their
capital while other traders claim that you are not risking enough
to make money unless you have 40% drawdowns.
The standard rule-of-thumb about taking drawdowns is a trader who
takes a 10% drawdown while averaging 30% per year return is
regarded as extremely good. If a trader is taking 35% to 40%
drawdowns and is making 200% plus on his money and is
comfortable with that drawdown characteristic, I say it is okay to trade
that way. The only problem with that much drawdown is that clients
cannot handle the drawdown psychologically.
5% on $100,000 is only $5,000. 40% on $1,000,000 is a lot more. As
you get more trading capital, your drawdown percentage-wise must
become smaller.
Does it also depend upon how you view the money, whether it is
your money or the house's money? If you are up 100% for the
year, you must be more willing to take a 40% drawdown?
To some degree that may be true, but it is still your money even
though you are taking it out of the market. If you are up 100% for the
year and factor in a drawdown of 40%, you still finish the year up
60%, which I would consider to be a good year. If you lose 10% or
15% from the highs, I would consider that a pretty good year. I look
.at the peak of capital as opposed to starting capital, which is the
classic definition of drawdown. At one time, I was comfortable taking
30% to 40% drawdown; now I am not comfortable with that level
because my trading capital base is larger. Now that I have more
trading capital, I take less risk as a percentage.
But, on the other hand, if you took $5,000 to start an account, you
must be willing to let that account go down until they tell you that
you cannot trade?
If someone gave me $5,000 and told me to build the account up again,
I would go back to the original plan. I would trade in small amounts
and take a little bit out of the market at a time.
Even with a $5,000 account?
In order to take a $5,000 account and build it up to $100,000 or
$1,000,000, there are certain basic fundamentals that must be adhered
to. Suppose there is a contest and someone gives you $5,000 to trade.
You have to stick to the strategy and enjoy the process so you can stay
in the game. I am not going to put $5,000 on one trade because I will
get blown out of the water. I am going to take that $5,000 and try for
small gains and losses. That way you are able, over a function of
time, to grow the account. It has to. So, I still believe that in order to
build from $5,000 to $1,000,000, you must have the basic
fundamentals intact.
Talk about the caution sign that I gave to you.
It works really well for me. The caution sign came about when
Adrienne and I got together because of the 'Micron effect.' We found
that there was a very consistent pattern I had with "yo-yoing" my
account. Right after a large win in the market, I would start losing
capital. Adrienne said to me, "After huge wins, take out your caution
flag, look at it, and then reduce your contract size."
How do you determine when you want to put a trade on?
I give a percentage probability to each type of chart pattern.
How do you calculate that probability? Did you actually use
statistics or is it discretionary?
Some statistical work is involved, but the process also has
discretionary elements. I find that certain patterns have a higher
probability of success than other patterns.
Do you print the charts and segregate them on the floor: this is
pattern one, this is pattern two, etc.?
Yes. For example, the chart pattern that has a smile at you or a gap. I
have found that gaps in price continue to move in the same direction,
93% of the time. I did a statistical study on this observation and found
90% to 93% continuation of the move on the gap in that direction. By
using seven or eight patterns, I have placed a probability percentage to
each pattern.
Since this is not stock trading, do you require the real open of the
stock in order to do your gap analysis?
I look mostly at daily charts, but sometimes I look at weekly
charts. From there, I run a tick chart of the day. The tick charts are
only used in intraday analysis that I do on the S&P 500 and the stocks
that I might have options on. I follow the S&P on a tick chart and
what I like to see is that my positions have a higher relative strength
than the markets. If you are following a stock, of course, you would
like the S&P to be on your side. When I decide I am going to buy an
option on a particular stock, I want to see that the daily chart looks
good. The chart that looks better will have a larger position.
Do you give a rating to charts?
I just know in my mind that this chart looks better than another
one. What I look for are the basic patterns of technical analysis,
nothing fancy. I see the chart unfolding and look for the momentum
building to the upside before I put on a number of contracts. The size
of the position is based on the energy or velocity of that market.
Are you defining the rating based upon how much risk you think
is in the trade? Do you have your risk defined so that you are
wrong if the stock goes below a certain price level?
Yes, I have defined my risk to a point. Actually, I have come up with
a new rule because I got banged up recently on one trade. On the
downside, if the stock price takes out the low of the previous day, I am
What does "velocity" mean to you?
Energy. If you get into a trade and the stock is acting anemically, you
get out of it. The trade is not going in your direction.
Will you re-enter a trade if you get stopped out?
Absolutely, I am not married to anything. I do not have any emotional
attachment. I have lost money in Intel and a certain number of other
stocks. But that does not prevent me from re-entering the trade if the
market reverses and if the chart looks good. I do not have a problem
if it reverses and goes north; I am going with it. I know that with
certain patterns I have a higher consistency of making money and
certain stocks, too. If you look at a listing of my trades, some stocks
will have a success rate of 50% and other stocks will have a success
rate in excess of 90%.
What stocks are the ones in excess of 90%?
Bank of America, Microsoft, and Dell. If you look at a corn chart or
any commodity chart, there are times when the markets get very active
or volatile. Think of the individual type of personalities that are
trading those markets as opposed to someone who is buying
Microsoft. You have different personality types for different markets.
For example, trading the Internet stocks, such as Yahoo or Amazon,
can be very volatile. There are different types of traders who are
trading Yahoo as opposed to Microsoft. I have noticed the difference
in certain stocks and in certain markets. That is why I stay away from
currency markets and stuff like that. What I look for is energy and
velocity in a particular market. That is extremely beneficial to me
when looking at a successful trade. If I see a lot of velocity in a stock,
there is a higher probability of a success in that trade.
What does that 90% really mean? Do these scores equate to
probability or do they equate to something else?
90% means that based on history or past movement, that markets keep
going in your direction. These scores equate to probability of a chart
pattern having a higher probability of winning than other chart
So, you actually believe in some ways in seasonality?
To some degree, depending upon which market or market sector that
is being looked at. An example of seasonality would he technology
stocks that tend to do well in the fourth quarter.
Something that really made a difference in your trading was your
money management. Would you tell us about that?
When I was working with Adrienne, she found that there was a
consistent pattern of huge winners followed by periods where I would
give the profits back because I did not vary my contract size. One rule
that has made a big difference in my trading is that three losses in a
row serve as a signal to reduce my position size down to five or ten
contracts. I was trading 500 at a time; but now, my position size is
way down because of the volatility in the market. This is one of the
ways that Adrienne has helped me with my trading. And, of course,
the yellow caution flag after big wins. Last month, I had a big winner,
took out the caution flag, and did not get chopped up in the markets,
as I would have in the past. She has also convinced me to reduce my
core equity at risk.
Another thing that I have found through working with Adrienne is that
handling your emotional issues and taking the emotion out of trading
makes it become very easy. In the month of April, I made $150,000
in one day. When I closed out the trade, it was not a big deal. It would
not have mattered if it were $5,000 or $150,000.
You try to keep your emotions even, even if you get beaten up?
Yes, absolutely. That is the key because you are focusing on what the
market is telling you instead of what you are trying to tell the market.
Could you provide us with a few charts and go through a couple
of trade sequences? Maybe a couple of trades that worked out
and one that blew up on you and how you got out of it without
getting hurt?
Yes, sure. The best trade that I have ever seen is back in April with
What we are looking for is an example of your methodology and
what type of analysis you are doing. Then we can include some of
your charts in the book.
I am fairly discretionary in my trading.
I am not as mechanical as I used to be either. Adrienne will tell
you that.
I enjoy sitting in front of a screen. I always enjoyed watching TV as a
kid. I think that is an attribute for being a trader who is not an
emotional type of individual.
It sounds like you are aware of the statistics for indicators that
you are looking at on the charts.
Oh, absolutely.
So, it is not like you are really discretionary. You do not trade
because you get a warm feeling in your chest.
Actually, Adrienne and I went through that in our work together. If I
get a real good-looking trade, I get the feeling in my head. If a trade is
going against me, or I should be out of it, I feel pain in my chest. I do
listen to that.
Do you use statistics?
I cannot get into the mathematical side of trading. I do not use a lot of
statistical work. If a chart looks good, I go with it. If the chart looks
ugly, I stay away from it.
Shall we go back to the personal side of your life? Did you get
married? Do you have children?
Yes. This is my second marriage. I was separated in October 1992,
when I was a broker moving from one province to another. I found
that my first wife was having an affair. I say this because it was an
extreme learning experience for me. I learned that there is a bigger
picture and that this experience is not the end of the world. No matter
what happens, I am responsible for me and my actions. My belief is
that you as a person are more important than anything.
So, even though she made the choice, you took responsibility for it
as something that was not entirely her fault?
I was somewhat responsible for it because she felt alone as I did not
come home enough for her. However, she is responsible for her
actions, not me. Leading up to that choice, I am sure that I was not the
proper husband in her mind.
Were you working a lot?
Working a lot in that I was moving out of province so that I was not
getting home as much. I was trying to build my clientele.
So, then you got married again?
Yes, four years later, I remarried. Julie is quieter and more compatible
for me than my first wife. My wife was working out of the home, but
is now staying at home because we just had our first child July 1
, a
little girl named Kayla.
Where do you want to go from here with regard to your life, your
We would like to have one more child. I would like to continue to do
what I am doing. I would do this job for nothing. All I have to do is
to watch the screen, make some trades, and make some money. It is a
fairly simple business. The markets are just a collective thought and
when you allow yourself to be part of that collective thought you
make money. In terms of my trading equity, my ultimate goal is 100
million dollars.
What is your number one tool for doing your analysis?
I look at Investor's Business Daily where I see the daily charts and
fundamental information, such as earnings, growth, etc.
Do you think someone could make money just buying Investor's
Business Daily and following CANSLIM?
Yes, absolutely. The only difficulty has been in the last three
years. The small cap market, which his strategy really focuses on, has
been brutal. I do not think any of those guys are making money.
What I have done is to use CANSLIM with some modifications
because when I first started using CANSLIM, I did not make any
money with his strategy because of the high stop-out rate. I would
rather be stopped-out the least amount of time. I find that small cap
funds have liquidity problems. You may have one or two huge
winners for the year. So, I took CANSLIM and modified it to look for
more liquid names and stocks that had options. I buy breakouts and
high probability patterns.
Yousef experienced growing up in a middle class family in a
small town of New Brunswick, Canada
Father entrepreneurial
Tony Robbins material
The Disciplined Trader by Mark Douglas
The Islanders
Stable home environment
Supportive wife
Bachelor of Arts Degree in Economics and a minor in
INTERESTS -Skills - Abilities -Honors
Read non-fiction
9-10 years old followed markets
Economics history and human behavior
Competitive golf
Reads everything on trading
Is always willing to do what it takes to improve his ability
Does not have emotional attachment to positions
Loves trading
Loves to watch screen
Managed motel for his father while in high school
Painted houses
Beginning stock broker
Sold tax shelters
Owned business selling industrial lubricants
There is a bigger picture out there. I take responsibility foi
everything that happens.
You as a person are more important than anything
Do not let ego get in the way of your progress
Money Manager
Stocks and Options
Technical base with intuitive action
How to Make Money in Stocks by William O'Neil
The Disciplined Trader by Mark Douglas
The Business Plan for Traders - Adrienne Toghraie
Investors Business Daily
Technical Analysis Program of Ralph Acampora, CMT
Makes money for clients
One more child, $100 million dollars and improve my golf
TRADER GEMS - Fundamental - Intuitive - Psychological
When you start hoping and wishing a trade will come back,
you know you are done
If you are long, you tend to focus on the up-tick and not on
what the market is telling you
When you feel too powerful because of a windfall, you tend to
forget about rules
As you get more trading capital, your drawdowns must
become smaller as a percentage
Uses a caution flag to reduce contract size when after a huge
Assigns a rating to charts based on the probability of their
chances of winning
When you keep your emotional issues out of the market you
are focusing on what the market is telling you and not what
you are telling the market
Certain personality types trade specific markets and create
high energy (high velocity) which is useful in making money
when you use it
TRADER GEMS - Mechanical - Analytical - Technical
Yousef is a CANSLIM stock trader with certain modific-
ations to suit his personal trading style. The CANSLIM
methodology for trading was developed by William O'Neil,
publisher of Investors' Business Daily. Yousef got his start
in using these methods by reading his book How to Make
Money In Stocks. We will explain the basics of this method
in the analysis section.
Yousef combines CANSLIM chart patterns, double tops and
trend lines.
Yousef pyramids into his positions as he develops profits.
This aggressive method of money management is how he has
produced his amazing returns as a trend follower.
Drawdowns should be based on a percentage of your
expected returns.
40% returns with a 5% drawdown is good, but 35%
to 40% drawdown with a 200%+ returns is also good.
When you trade with a large sum of money you should cut
risk as a percentage
Yousef studies chart patterns using a combination of discre-
tion and statistics. He printed charts, hand-sorted them, and
then performed the statistical analysis based on the human
expert selected categories
Murray's Analytical Modeling Study
Trade Methodology Analysis
Mechanical--Objective: Use of CANSLIM charting methodology
Mechanical--Automatic: Charting of indicators and stocks plus use
of information from Investors' Business Daily
Discretionary: Combines these items into the analysis of a portfolio
of stocks
Analysis of Yousef's Methodology
This is a quick overview of the CANSLIM methodology. William
O'Neil's stock picking method is outlined in Market Wizards by
Jack Schwager from pages 219 to 235 and in How to Make Money in
Stocks by William O'Neil from pages 2 to78.
CANSLIM means:
C= Current quarterly earning per share--Up at least 18%
A= Annual Earning per share--Good for at least five years
N= New product, management, industry conditions, or new stock
price highs
S= Supply and Demand--Small number of shares outstanding--
Volume increases with price
L= Leader--Buy only market leaders
I = Institutional sponsorship--Stock is owned by a few funds with
good track records
M= General Market Conditions
When these elements all set up, Yousef likes to see the stock break
out of a basing pattern. Some of the common names of these patterns
are "cup with a handle," "saucer with a handle," "double bottoms,"
and "flat bases."
In addition to this, Investors' Business Daily publishes a set of
indicators for stocks every day. These are detailed in the box above
the stock listing in the paper.
Earning Per Share--1 low to 99 high percentile
Relative Price Strength--1 low to 99 high percentile
Industry Group--"A" high to "E" low
Sales + Profit Margins + ROE--"A" high to "E" low
Accumulation / Distribution--"A" high to "E" low
O'Neil claims to have computer backtested this methodology over
the last 100 years and uses an 8% stop loss on any given trade.
Adrienne's Psychological Modeling Study
The Achievement Model
Yousef Hashmi approaches trading like a golfer approaches
improving his handicap, by always thinking about how he can
improve his score. Yousef is the consummate achiever. While he
enjoys the comforts of money and the acknowledgment of success,
the achievement of getting to each new level of success is his
ultimate reward. He identifies areas and obstacles as welcome
challenges, because he sees them as opportunities to improve his
handicap, i.e., opportunities to achieve and he does this by seeking
out new mentors.
Yousef's father was his first mentor model. Yousef watched his
father's development from a civil engineer to an entrepreneur. The
question for many people who want to be an entrepreneur is "How
can you become successful in a business?" For Yousef that was a
given. His question was "How do I improve the business?"
Yousef is drawn to motivational mentors to help him recognize the
barriers and overcome them. First, Anthony Robbins led him to
become a more successful person and businessman. Mark Douglas
identified some of his disciplinary problems and was responsible for
helping him to improve his handicap as a trader / broker. I was able
to assist him in money management by overcoming psychological
issues, which eliminated more barriers.
Although Yousef is probably not aware of it consciously, one of the
important influences in developing his Achievement Model was his
competitive golf play in college. Because golf is not a team sport,
the emphasis in competitive play is on improving individual
achievement. In this environment, small and achievable goals are
set and met on a continuing basis, or you are out of the sport. This
environment is a very good breeding ground for the Achievement
Model to grow.
On the way toward his achievements, Yousef believed that no job
was too small or too big; it was all part of being an achiever -- from
taking out the garbage in a motel to being a house painter while
waiting for his opportunity as a broker and trader. His stint painting
houses is another place for individual achievement to take root. In
many careers, your progress toward a goal is difficult to trace. How-
ever, the monotony of painting a house is made bearable, even
unfelt, if you concentrate on the very visible progress you are
making toward the achievement of your goal. Brokers are also very
achievement directed. Every month they bring home only what they
earned that month. This monthly feedback is reinforced by constant
motivational efforts with a focus on your results.
One of Yousef's strengths is that he does not let his ego get in the
way of progress. He takes responsibility for everything that happens
to him. Yousef is one of the few brokers who approaches being a
broker as being a money manager, and, therefore, consistently makes
money for his clients.
As a result of Yousef's Achievement Model, he wanted to break the
barrier that had prevented him from reaching his trading goals and
sought me out as a mentor. When we discovered the pattern that
was responsible for his giving back his earnings to the market,
Yousef applied himself to breaking through his barrier, without ego,
without excuses, and with stunning results.
Glen Ring
A jack of all traders - How a highly regarded analyst, teacher,
writer and mentor to farmers overcame great adversity to maintain
himself as a trader over a long career.
Tell us about your upbringing?
I was born to a poor farm family in Murdo, South Dakota, in 1955. I
got off to an interesting start because I was born in an inn. There
was a measles outbreak in the area and the hospital was quarantined.
For that reason, the top floor of a local hotel was turned into a
maternity ward. I was delivered for a $25 bill.
Did you have brothers and sisters?
I was the youngest of three children. I have a brother who is eight
years older, and a sister who is four years older than I am. Our
family lived in a farming region that was next to the Badlands in
South Dakota. It was quite a desolate and rough area where people
had to be survivors. It did not take "The Great Depression" to cause
tough times in this area; there were always tough times.
I bet you learned to be resourceful.
You had to learn resourcefulness out there because it was 80 miles
to the nearest town. If you had something break down, it was not
easy to run to town to pick up parts.
What did your father farm and were you able to make ends
We farmed primarily wheat with some cattle and hogs.
My father was sick with juvenile diabetes for 26 years, which put a
strain on our family. We were far from poverty stricken, because I
believe that is a state of mind, but economically we were "tight to
the vest." My mother worked as a teacher, and my dad took care of
us during the school year when I was young which made us very
The care of diabetes during that time was no where near the science
that it is today. When my dad died at the age of 51, the autopsy on
him reported that he had the body of a 75-year old.
My father was very respected in the community. Our house had the
coffeepot on to welcome visitors at all times. Dad had gone to a
special high school in the late 1930's in conjunction with the South
Dakota College of Agriculture. That was enough "higher education"
to make him respected as an authority in the community.
Would you tell us about your school days?
I went to a country school where all eight grades were taught in one
room. As a country school, ours was considered large with 20 kids.
In my grade, there were 3 kids and we competed with each other.
This helped in pushing us well ahead of the curriculum.
What were the activities that you enjoyed growing up?
I enjoyed spending time with my dad and helping with the farm
work. The first time I drove a truck was when I was four. My dad
was feeding cows off the back of a flatbed truck, and he needed the
truck to move along in the pasture as he fed the cows. All I had to
do was let the clutch out slowly, but I let it out all at once. I still
remember the image of him, the hay, and the pitchfork all flying in
the air as we unloaded the truck in one spot. Needless to say, it was
at least two years before I drove again.
My grandfather and I would make a game of guessing weights of
livestock and calculating their value in dollars per head at the winter
auctions. One of my father's favorite stories is the time I asked him
why he did not raise his hand like the other guys. Of course, they
were bidding on the cattle, but he apparently did not give me a
satisfactory answer because later I raised his hand for him. He
ended up buying the cattle even though he had not wanted to bid.
As it turned out, he said it was one of the best buys that he ever
My brother and I loved to build things together. We once built a
canoe out of 55-gallon drums, which sank, of course.
When I got older, I played baseball. I did not really consider myself
a good athlete, although I ended up doing quite well in athletics. It
was not because of my physical ability, but because of my thinking
What position did you play in baseball?
I pitched all three years that I played in the league. Playing in the
league taught me an important memory lesson for later in life. I read
an article in Sports Illustrated by Ted Williams, who was the last
person to bat .400 in the major leagues, about the science of hitting.
He explained in the article that the actual hitting was the art of the
application of the science. I raised my batting average by .160 the
next season after applying what I had read in that article and led the
league in hitting. The application of that lesson made me appreciate
both the science and the art of doing things and made me realize that
they can be different, but they can also be very compatible.
How many acres was your farm?
Just short of 1500 acres, which may seem large to some people, but
it was a relatively small farm for that area. A farm double that size
would have been sizable.
I spent a lot of time learning to do things by myself. You could
walk to parts of the farm and never know whether the year was 1997
or 1797, because you could not see anything modern. There was
total isolation and you could really get in touch with your senses.
What were you like in high school?
High school did not leave me fond memories because I became such
a loner. My parents had very strong values and my high school was
very bad in terms of alcohol use. During those years, I really
respected authority and the high school situation made it uncom-
fortable. Nevertheless, I made some good friends in high school. At
that age, I was having a lot of internal struggle.
As a boy of seven or eight, I remember being unable to sleep at night
because of the internal dialogue that would never stop.
What was that dialogue like?
I remember focusing on my inadequacies and on the mistakes that I
made. I had aunts and uncles who lived in the area that were very
critical of people. The voices did not quit and they haunted me for
many years. They actually prevented my accomplishing many
things at that time. I am not sure when I became a fighter and
survivor, but when I plan things now, I get them done.
Tell us about college?
I went to South Dakota State and earned degrees in Animal Science
and Agronomy. Agriculture was what I really loved.
Did you play any sports in college?
I played hockey in college. A lesson I learned in playing hockey
was that repetition has a lot of value when you want to master
something. I had practiced shooting backhand until it became
automatic. There was one goalie that we played against that I could
never beat. On one occasion, I had a breakaway opportunity against
him. He came out of the net to challenge me and was not expecting
my backhand shot. I scored a goal, and we went on to win the game,
and the championship. I use the lesson of repetition today in my
trading and analysis. If you want to learn to follow a rule, you
practice it the same way over, and over, and over again.
Did you return to farming?
My father died when I was 19 and a sophomore in college. I
remember my mother asking me if I could run the farm. I told her
that I was going to finish college, but that I could run it. I hired my
brother, who had no interest in farming, to care for the livestock, and
I arranged my schedule at college so that I had Friday or Monday
off. I would drive the 300 miles home after class on Thursday, get
on a tractor, and farm all night. I would farm for a 3-day weekend,
get 6 or 8 hours of sleep, and drive back to school in time for class
on Monday morning. For two years, this was how I got the crops in
during spring and harvested them in fall. We also planted wheat in
the fall.
When did you decide to leave the farm?
We had the explosion in grain prices in the early 1970's. By the late
1970's, the expenses involved in farming had risen dramatically
while prices had fallen to much lower levels. It was very hard to
make farming work by that time.
When did you start learning about the markets?
I learned about markets while I was in high school. We were raising
hogs and I remember reading an article in Successful Farming about
something called a "hog cycle." After I read it, I realized there was
something to the article because every time prices were low, we had
a lot of hogs and every time they were high, we did not have very
What lessons did you learn?
It was 1980, and I was standing in a grain elevator buying feed for
the hogs that we were raising. As I stood there waiting, 3 or 4
farmers came in asking what the price of wheat was. It was $3.96
and each farmer said the same thing as they came through, "When it
gets to $4.00, call me and I'll sell you some." I had not sold my
wheat either, and it finally clicked in my head, $3.96, and we are all
waiting for $4.00. I sold my wheat on the spot and it never reached
$4.00 at that elevator. I had been studying cycles through the
1970's, but that was the first time I really started appreciating the
behavior of the masses.
Tell us about the transition from working on the farm to not
working on the farm?
I met my wife in college, a Minnesota gal, and brought her out to
what some call "God Forsaken" country. She worked in a 12-bed
hospital and commuted 54 miles each way. Sometimes, she would
work double-shifts because of the drive. When we got married, I
promised her that she would only have to put up with this for five
years. As fate turned out, when the five years were up, I was ready
to move on.
In 1980, while observing the parabolic shaped rallies in the gold and
silver markets, I decided that the formations in the agricultural sector
fit the description of a multi-generational cycle peak. I recognized
that if farming does not work when prices are at their peak, things
would be terrible when the peak was behind us. Armed with this
observation, I spent the next two years preparing to get out of
Another reason I moved from the farm is that I was in love with the
markets and wanted to be an analyst. That is really what started the
transition from the farm. As I began winding the farm down, I
watched livestock cycles and was able to liquidate our livestock at
fairly good prices. After finishing the 1982 season, I walked away
from the farm with nothing, which was better than ending up in
bankruptcy like so many others at that time.
How did you start in business?
I started as a commodities broker. I moved to Watertown, South
Dakota, which is from one corner of the state to the other, and
opened a branch office for a firm. I was the office owner and
manager for one year. Not many months later, the bull market of
1983 imprinted on me how easily things could go up. I spent many
years looking for that next grain bull market. That was how I got
my start and where I learned about sleeping like a baby. You sleep
for an hour, you wake up and cry for an hour, and by morning the
bed is wet. That was how I felt.
The stress bothered me. Coming from an impoverished region, the
money that we were getting into trading accounts was not that big,
but it was bigger than I was used to dealing with. Having it disap-
pear into the markets really bothered me.
It sounds like you were personally involved with your clients?
I cared so much and took their losing money personally. The voices
I had at night as a kid were back in full force, and I became shell-
shocked. Because of that, I could not make market calls. I believed
that if I was not always right, I was a failure.
Were you trading the grain markets?
The grain markets, silver, bonds, and the meats. I became fairly
proficient in my early years with the hog market.
I closed my office and moved to the main office in Aberdeen, South
Dakota until 1984. I was doing some seminars at the time, and I
really loved teaching about the markets.
Did your economic situation improve?
No. By this time, we had two children. I had to walk away from the
commodities markets in early 1984. I felt like a failure.
What did you do then?
I sold insurance. Talk about jumping from the frying pan into the
fire when self-esteem and self-worth are an issue. But, the insurance
company offered a $1200 per month draw.
Were you successful in getting customers?
It was said that I probably had the most unique insurance marketing
strategy ever. After selling insurance for six months with little
success, I started holding commodities seminars for farmers.
Afterwards, I would prospect them for insurance. My meetings were
free, and I was sincere and believed in what I was doing. I was
fairly successful at selling insurance this way. Later, when I started
charging for the seminars, more people came to them. They actually
started paying me to prospect them for insurance. My general agent
came one day to hear my presentation and told me I did not belong
in insurance sales; I needed to be in the markets. I quit selling
insurance in 1985, and made the recommitment to the markets.
What do you believe about the markets?
I believe that the markets are living, breathing organisms and have
personalities. They are reflections of behavior and have an anatomy,
a physiology, a structure, and a life cycle.
Did you have what was necessary to make it in the markets?
No. I was not properly capitalized to trade and I did not know the
first thing about trading. I knew a great deal about markets, but
trading is an entirely different business than analysis. They can be
complementary, but they can also be competitive and counter-
Were you still struggling? What did you do then?
Boy, were we ever. One day in August of 1985, my wife asked how
we could buy groceries. We were expecting our third child, and I
had taken our last $25 to buy a roll of stamps. On credit, I rented a
meeting room and printed 100 invitations to a free meeting. At that
meeting, I announced that I was beginning the publication of a
market newsletter in October. Of the 20 people in attendance, I got
a 100% response. The $1100 that I collected that day looked like a
fortune to people with no groceries.
Over the years, I have leveraged that $1100 into where I am today.
Where did you go next?
I kept doing meetings. I started offering three and five night
seminars. The first evening was free and the next meeting they paid.
I would return to the same town weekly for the next three or five
weeks. I kept raising the price, and the crowds kept getting bigger.
In 1985 and 1986, I did over 150 presentations. I learned to be an
entertaining speaker on what some people would consider a boring
subject. I got over the hump when 44 people came and I made
$4,000 from one meeting. Suddenly, things started mushrooming
and I was running meetings five nights per week.
From there, I started a service helping farmers market their
production. I picked up a partner to handle the bookkeeping and
detail part of the business. We would meet with the farmers, make
out marketing plans, and charge a per unit fee for our service.
Sounds like you were pushing yourself to the limit.
Yes, that is true. I was driving up to 200 miles to do these evening
meetings. Phone calls would often start at 5 A.M., and would
continue until 1 A.M. It also turned out that I was doing these
meetings on a broken foot that the doctor said must have been at
least three months old from the amount of healing.
At this time were you making it financially?
In 1986, after our son was born, things were going fairly well. The
marketing business was making money, and I had leveraged the
initial $1100. One afternoon, my wife took our ten-month old son to
a neurosurgeon and found that he needed surgery to correct a fluid
buildup on his brain. I had no insurance, so we were cleaned out.
The concern was that he might be impacted mentally, but that we
would not know for several years.
Fortunately, he is as sharp as a tack, but he did end up with some
physical challenges. Until he was 12, we did not know if he would
survive or not.
What effect did that situation have on you?
Security suddenly had an entirely different meaning to me. While I
was building a good business, I told my partner that I could not take
the risk. My family needed insurance coverage because of my son's
condition. Since then, he has had seven more surgeries.
In 1987, I made the decision to get a job. That is when I got the job
with the company that owned Futures Magazine and Pro Farmer.
How did you manage to do that?
When I was a broker, I met a floor commentator that I had kept in
touch with as I studied the markets.
I called him to see if he knew of any job openings for an analyst. He
called me back three weeks later and asked if I was willing to
relocate. A position had opened at Oster Communications. This
was no accident. There was divine intervention that directed the
opening for me.
In August 1987, I joined the staff of Oster Communications at Cedar
Falls, Iowa. My new job was to write the Commodity Closeup
newsletter. I was also given the title "Chief Technical Advisor" to
Do you believe you have had other spiritual or clairvoyant
My wife would constantly tell me that I was uncovering things that I
should not know as I would tell her things in premonitions. One
night I was pacing the floor saying something big was going to
happen. The next morning as I was on the phone to a customer, she
told me to turn on the television, something big had happened. The
space shuttle Challenger had blown up.
I do not know if markets and life have a destiny to them, but I feel
there is a tremendous unity of life force out there. I believed that
you could predict markets.
Do you still believe it?
Yes, but at the same time I have learned which beliefs are useful. It
does not mean that you are going to predict them all, but
analytically, markets have degrees of predictability.
From a trading standpoint, it is not useful to believe that you can
predict markets. I think that 99.9% of the people that go down the
road of trying to predict markets find that it is a dead end for them
because they want to trade their predictions.
I have learned to separate myself from my predictions. Now, I deal
in what the evidence says and develop scenarios. If the market gives
me a trading buy signal and my scenario is contrary to that signal, I
will buy the market.
Give us an example?
Lately, we have been in major downtrends in the grain markets.
Recently, I picked a buy signal on wheat and I bought it. It did not
go very far, but I made four or five cents. Then came a sell signal,
and I was able to reverse out and get back on the short side of the
market, which agreed with my initial scenario.
When did you start to learn to be a trader?
I went to do a seminar called Futures Magazine's Best Tools and
Trades in December of 1987, in Chicago. I did not know if I had
value to give to the audience when compared to the other speakers. I
still remember 5 of the people from that first seminar. There was
Dr. Gill, Jake Bernstein, Joe Granville, Jeff Elliott, and me. I
realized that this was The Jake Bernstein who was known
throughout farm country because of the seasonal work he had done.
I was the first speaker. So, I went out in my naive way, and gave my
predictions. After speaking to this crowd of 400 people, everyone
was crowding around me like I knew something. When I finished
listening to the rest of the speakers, I realized that I did know
something and gave value.


text:
WASHINGTON • It is easier to get into the Spotted Pig, a restaurant that has won multiple James Beard Awards, than the Spotted Cheetah, a restaurant that incorporates Cheetos into all of its dishes, including desserts.
The snack food brand's pop-up restaurant, helmed by Food Network star Anne Burrell, has more than 1,000 people on the waiting list for the eatery, which opened on Tuesday and closes on Thursday, local time (Aug 18, Singapore time).
The news that so many people are desperate to pay up to US$22 (S$30) for menu items such as Cheetos-crusted chicken Milanese is both confusing and unsurprising, which makes it like every other crazy thing that has happened so far this year.
The restaurant, at 211 West Broadway in New York, announced its opening last week.
Within six hours, all of the 300 spots were gone, reported The Wall Street Journal. Burrell, who was tasked with creating the menu (was Food Network star Guy Fieri too busy?), stacked it with Cheetos-infused comfort food favourites, such as Flamin' Hot and White Cheddar Mac n' Cheetos, Purrfectly Fried Green Tomatoes and White Cheddar Cheetos and Cheetos Sweetos Apple Crepes.
The mac n'Cheetos has been one of the most popular dishes so far, says Ms Joan Cetera, senior director of public relations for PepsiCo, the company that owns Frito-Lay, which manufactures Cheetos.
The restaurant has Cheetos-print wallpaper and paintings of Chester, the Cheetos mascot. No word on whether or not they hand out wet wipes for the orange dust.
Tuesday night's opening party featured an orange carpet, and singer Mariah Carey and actress-producer La La Anthony were among the celebrities who attended.
And, in an odd turn of events, fire trucks showed up at the restaurant, prompting Twitter jokes about how the Cheetos were "Dangerously Cheesy" and "too Flamin' Hot".
"The fire trucks were not a promotional stunt," said Ms Cetera. "All we were told was that they were responding to a call they'd received."
As the waiting list has grown, Frito-Lay has been rushing to meet the demand: It added an additional 10 seats at the bar, Ms Cetera said, which means 40 people were taken off the waiting list.
And the pop-up could be extended: "At this time, the Cheetos team is seeing how the remaining two days of the pop-up opening go and then they'll evaluate how the programme could continue," wrote Ms Cetera in an e-mail.
You are still probably not going to get a chance to eat at the Cheetos restaurant. And that is a fact that some people might find hard to swallow.
But Cheetos lovers who do not live in New York can still get a taste of Burrell's creations. Cheetos released a downloadable cookbook that includes 11 recipes - including those mac n'Cheetos.

subset: commoncrawl


text:
Hi There! Is this Your First Time?
Did you know if you Register you have access to free search tools including the ability to save listings and property searches? Did you know that you can bypass the search altogether and have listings sent directly to your email address? Check out our how-to page for more info.
- Price$509,000
- Beds2
- Baths2
- SQ. Feet1,223
- Built2006
15817 Front Beach 404, Panama City Beach
Want to own ''THE BEST'' 2 BR Condo in Calypso? This 4th Floor West Tower is THE BEST LOCATION as you have an almost dedicated elevator (serves floors 1-4) or walk down one floor to the garage walkover! It also features THE BEST all porcelain tile wood-plank flooring, THE BEST new designer kitchen/bath cabinets, THE BEST MASTER BATH with an all marble master tile shower, quartz countertops, and new vanities, plus new stainless steel appliances, tiled backsplash, mounted flat screen TV's, coastal decor furniture, designer rugs, new master pillow top mattress, new bunk mattress, and energy efficient black-out curtains. This is also THE BEST Calypso floorplan which SLEEPS 10. It features 2 full bedrooms, 2 full baths with a separate and private bunk room, modern and spacious kitchen
Essential Information
- Price$509,000
- Bedrooms2
- Bathrooms2.00
- Full Baths2
- Square Footage1,223
- Acres0.00
- Year Built2006
- TypeResidential
- Sub-TypeCondominiums
- StyleHigh-Rise
- StatusActive
- AmenitiesCommunity Pools, Exercise Room, Owner's Pets Allowed, Pool, TV Cable, Beach, Waterfront, Retail Shops
- UtilitiesElectric, Garbage, Public Water, Internet - Broadband Available
- Is WaterfrontYes
- WaterfrontGulf
- Lot DescriptionWaterfront
Additional Information
- Date ListedMay 23rd, 2019
- Days on Market32
- HOA FreqQuarterly
Community Information
- Address15817 Front Beach 404
- Area03 - Bay County - Beach
- SubdivisionCalypso Towers II
- CityPanama City Beach
- CountyBay
- StateFL
- Zip Code32413
- InteriorBath - Full, Bath - Master, Bedroom - Additional, Bedroom - Master, Bunk Room, Great Room, Kitchen
- Interior FeaturesBreakfast Bar, Floor Tile, Lighting Recessed, Window Treatment All, Renovated, Newly Painted, Wet Bar
- AppliancesDishwasher, Disposal, Dryer, Microwave, Oven Self Cleaning, Refrigerator W/IceMk, Smoke Detector, Smooth Stovetop Rnge, Washer
- # of Stories1
School Information
- ElementaryHutchison Beach
- MiddleSurfside
- HighArnold
Listing Details
- Listing OfficeThe Premier Property Group - Seacrest Beach office
Price Change History for 15817 Front Beach 404, Panama City Beach, FL (MLS® #683956)
|Price Reduced (from $518,000)
|$9,000 (1.74%)
DISCLAIMER: IDX information is provided exclusively for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Information Source: Bay County Association Of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service


text:
Improvable Skills Mod 1.13.2/1.12.2 boost player?s abilities as well as granting useful abilities using a single book of skill and your XP (and more). This is a complete re-write of old PlayerStats and PlayerStats 2 by Zeitheron and xMrVizzy, but using new Hammer Core.
Table of skills: (black ? normal, blue ? needs scroll, red ? not implemented)
XP Bank: This is technically not a skill, but none the less, it stores any amounts of XP you want!
Accelerated Furnace: This skill increases the melting speed.
Mining: This skill increases the speed of the mining pickaxe.
Digging: This skill increases the speed of the digging shovel.
Cutting: This skill increases the speed of the cutting axe.
Attack Speed: This skill increases the strike speed of any tool/weapon.
Leaper: This skill increases the height of the jumping player.
Soft Landing: This skill reduces the damage from the falling player.
Ladder King: This skill increases the speed, while climbing on ladders.
Strong Fist: This skill increases melee damage dealt to any entity.
PvP Protection: This skill decreases PvP-type damage taken.
Treasure Finder: This skill allows players to find precious resources, while mining.
Obsidian Skin: This skill reduces fire/lava damage taken.
Luck of The Sea: This skill lures fish to your fishing hook.
Extra Health: This skill boosts your max health up to +20 HP (10 hearts).
Fast Growth: This skill randomly applies bone meal to surrounding plants.
Alchemist: This skill boosts the speed of the brewing stand.
Dense Skin: This skill makes your skin tougher against enemies (adds extra armor points).
Treasure of the Sands: This skill allows to find treasures from sand.
Sharp Arrow: This skill increases ranged damage dealt to any entity.
Enchanter: This skill decreases the minimal level required to enchant an item.
Ender Manipulator: This skill reduces damage taken from ender pearl.
Experience Harvesting: This skill increases obtainable experience from mining, breeding animals, fishing and killing mobs.
Download link
Improvable Skills Mod 1.13.2/1.12.2 (Make Minecraft More Like A RPG)


text:
Chef De Partie- Stansted Airport
We are currently recruiting for Chef De Partie, to join one of the fast-paced restaurant making fresh made-to-order meals at Stansted Airport.
You will be joining a brand new site where you will be provided with competitive flexible hours, award winning training and fantastic development opportunities. You would ideally have previous experience as either as chef de partie or commis chef within a busy kitchen.
Duties & Responsibilities:
Candidate Requirements:
Full Training and uniform will be provided. Both full time and part time hours are available with immediate start for the right candidate.
This role is subject to a criminal record and 5-year employment check. The role will commence once checks are completed. Please apply today so we can begin the referencing process.
Logic 360 is acting as an Employment Business.


text:
Having one bottle of wine each week raises the risk of cancer by the same amount as smoking up to 10 cigarettes, scientists claim.
In the first study of its kind, academics managed to compare the known dangers of smoking to that of drinking too much.
They found the 'cigarette equivalent' of one bottle of wine – roughly 10 units – is five cigarettes for men or ten for women each week.
And the risk of cancer from downing three bottles of red or white wine each week, or 10 large glasses, is much higher.
Researchers at University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Bangor University and University of Southampton carried out the study.
Dr Theresa Hydes and team estimated 10 in 1,000 men would develop cancer at some point in their lives from drinking one bottle of wine each week.
However, for women this figure was 14 out of 1,000, according to the study published in the journal BioMedCentral Public Health.
Men were more likely to get gastrointestinal cancers from drinking, while the risk of breast cancer was greatest for women.
Times Bahati and daughter Mueni have shown us the magic of daddy-daughter goals
The risk was much higher for both men and women who drink three bottles of wine per week – more than double the recommended amount.
The study found 19 out of 1,000 men and 36 out of 1,000 women would eventually develop cancer if they drank this amount.
This carries the same risk as smoking eight cigarettes a week for men, or 23 a week for women, Dr Hydes and colleagues estimated.
The researchers did not estimate the risk of cancer from drinking beer because they went on units, not type of beverage.
Dr Hydes said: 'We must be absolutely clear that this study is not saying that drinking alcohol in moderation is in any way equivalent to smoking.
'Our finds relate to lifetime risk across the population. At an individual level, cancer risk represented by drinking or smoking will vary.
'And for many individuals, the impact of ten units of alcohol (one bottle of wine) or five to ten cigarettes may be very different.'
Dr Hydes said comparing the risks of alcohol to smoking could encourage adults to cut down on booze.
She said: 'It is well established that heavy drinking is linked to cancer of the mouth, throat, voice box, gullet, bowel, liver and breast.
'Yet, in contrast to smoking, this is not widely understood by the public.
'We hope by using cigarettes as the comparator we could communicate this message more effectively to help individuals make more informed lifestyle choices.'
The researchers used data available from Cancer Research UK and official statistic bodies used by nations in the UK, including ONS.
They were able to analyse what proportion of deaths can be attributed to smoking and alcohol, and then estimate the risk of cancer they both cause.
The NHS advise men and women not to drink more than 14 units a week on a regular basis – such as weekly.
Regularly consuming more than the recommended amount is known to raise the risk of cancer, liver disease and heart disease.
A large glass of wine contains around three units, while a bottle is closer to the 10 mark. A pint of beer is around 2.3.


text:
www.internetkeywords.org - Panda Internet Security 2016. As you see widespread threats to your computer's data security, Internet security probably hits the top score in your list. You surely want to enjoy online freedom in order to collaborate, communicate and browse the web, but it might protect your sensitive data against risk. Thus, while you use the internet, you need to maintain balance and ensure security by controlling the real Internet security threats. This article talks about the new age internet security issues and how Vipre Internet Security can help you in conquering those challenges.
Do you own or are you thinking of purchasing a laptop? Do you have limited options for Internet service? Read this quick guide on understanding how wireless Internet service works and where to find it.
The article offers an expansive guide for people who are looking for a good internet service provider. It informs them about the criterion that they should set while choosing an internet service provider that offers them Ethernet Services they need.
In today's world, Every other internet marketing company is claiming to be the best one. Well, it's obviously not true! with the help of this article, we will try and educate you more on how these internet marketing company's work and how they can make you believe that they are the best even though they are the worst!
We live in a world where we need to be connected all the time. Making sure that you have fast speed internet is extremely important. The question is, what is the best way to get fast speed internet?
What will it take to be successful in Internet Marketing? Let's look at four areas where you need to have some skills. You should be familiar with each of these four areas - and specialize in at least one area. Internet marketing is just like a traditional brick and mortar business, except you are on the Internet! Many people earn good money in the Internet Marketing Niche. But ALL of them use each of these skills at some point in their business. Panda Antivirus protects your PC, tablet and smartphone against all sorts of new malware, including ransomware. Make your digital life easier with Panda Security!
The wired world of ours has the Internet becoming an integral part of our life. However, the question if it is a boon or bane lurks as yet.
Internet access these days is just as mission critical as the rest of the company network. With this in mind, what methods are available to ensure a resilient connection to the Internet? This article examines the common, but often ignored, approach of multihoming ISP's. A high level discussion, seeking to explain the concepts and pitfalls without being overtly technical, the article is pitched at both technical and non technical readers, giving them the background to go forth and ask the right questions of their service providers.
The Internet has had an amazing impact on almost every facet of our lives, creating whole new worlds of communities and enabling us to access information and ideas on a scale we never dreamed of before. But what is the underlying structure of the internet, its nuts and bolts?
Don't you just hate it when the internet in your business is slow? Sure, there are many reasons for why it is this way.
Internet abuse is a fact of life in most large organizations today. Monitoring employee internet use is one way to limit employer liability and improve employee productivity.
Because the Internet is made up of a complex matrix of physical, business and international relationships, how these systems interact and collaborate is actually very important to the end user, as well as to those providing Internet services and content. The largest networks may use their size and dominance to hinder growth and innovation within the Internet-connect business community or impede free access to Internet-connected content sources, and with have the power and control which could present challenges to an open Internet environment.
The internet is rife with many facets of culture that crisscross international boundaries. Most people are restricted by physical movement, but the internet allows us all to interact in a platform that allows for seamless data transition and analysis. This is why culture change and creation is instantaneous and on going on the internet. Lets look at several ways internet culture has been embraced and what the future of internet looks like.
What is Satellite Internet? Getting high speed internet through satellite is called as satellite internet. Satellite internet is much faster than DSL or cable internet. This is often linked to Panda Internet Security 2016.
The use of internet nowadays has really upstaged all the habits in the world that we used to know. In fact, it already became a part of the daily routine for most people to the point that their day is incomplete without even checking their emails, updating Facebook status, browsing for the latest news and trends, or even playing a single online game. Indeed, it has greatly influenced today's lifestyles.
Gratis antivirus downloaden voor al uw Windows-, Mac- en Android-apparaten. Bescherm uw digitale leven tegen ransomware. Download nu!.. The Internet has taken on increasing importance in people's lives and in today's world anyone who is running a business needs to have the Internet. Not only that, but your business needs to have high speed Internet in order to be competitive in today's fast-paced, information-centric global economy. Why You Need High Speed Internet Your business needs high speed Internet for many reasons.
An Internet service provider (ISP) is a type of company that provides the capability to access the internet. There are different forms of Internet service provider or ISP such as commercial, community-owned and privately owned. It is necessary to carefully choose the type of Internet service that these companies offer. There are many ways from which you can connect to the internet but it depends whether it is available in your area. At present, most ISP's use dial-up or DSL, cable television line or satellite connection to connect to the internet.
We all know that there is nothing worse than having slow internet. You may have even on occasion wondered why your internet was particularly slow.
The concept of Internet jurisdiction can be complicated and unclear. What happens when a dispute arises over an item or service purchased from your business through the internet? Learn where your business can potentially be sued!
Have you ever asked the question; what exactly is the internet? Most of you already know how to use the internet, but cannot really explain how it works. What Exactly is The Internet?
Linked to Panda Internet Security 2016, Having fast internet service is one of the biggest demands of the world today. It is interesting to see countries excelling when it comes to providing internet service to their people and how some still lack the capabilities of doing so for their citizens.See Also: Medir Velocidade Da Internet
People are making money on the internet, we all know that, but how do you get started? This article will show you the different ways you can get started and how to move up the internet money ladder.
After the advent of internet, a lot of things have changed. They had to, because of the power internet had within. Internet has changed the very way we used to lead our lives 30 years ago. It has made our lives easier and the world smaller. It has hit almost all the cultures of the world both negatively and positively.
Possessing fast online support is among the largest demands of the planet these days. It's intriguing to find nations excelling when it has to do with supplying internet service for their own people and the number of still lack the capacities of doing this due to their taxpayers.


text:
marsupial [mɑːˈsuːpɪəl]
Showing results for marsupial. Search instead for marsupiales.
Copyright © Curiosity Media Inc.
A noun is a word referring to a person, animal, place, thing, feeling or idea (e.g. man, dog, house).
1. (type of animal)
a. el marsupial
(m) means that a noun is masculine. Spanish nouns have a gender, which is either feminine (like la mujer or la luna) or masculine (like el hombre or el sol).
Australia is home to a higher number of marsupials than any other continent.En Australia vive un mayor número de marsupiales que en ningún otro continente.
Collins Complete Spanish Electronic Dictionary © HarperCollins Publishers 2011
Velazquez® Spanish and English Dictionary. Copyright © 2007 by Velazquez® Press. All rights reserved.
marsupiales [mar-soo-pe-ah'-less]
article & noun, plural
1. The marsupial animals, such as opossums and kangaroos. (m)
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text:
Helukabel offers new industrial Ethernet plug-and-play solution
Apr. 27, 2018 - Helukabel now supplies pre-assembled data cables for industrial Ethernet systems. With molded M12 and RJ45 industrial connectors, the company says customers can modularly assemble any possible combination of cables and connectors to design a product for their exact needs.
In combination with high speed data cables with transmission rates of up to 10 GBit/s, the molded M12 and RJ45 connectors are described as delivering a "faster and more reliable" connection within control cabinets, machinery and in-the-field operations. The cable/connector combinations are directly related to the customer's intended application use – static, occasional movement, or continuous-flex, the company says. Helukabel's molded M12 connectors come in D- and X-coded versions, both male and female, for use with Category 5 and 6A cables, which cover data transmission rates of up to 10 GBit/s. Both the molded RJ45 and M12 plug-and-play solutions are UL/CSA approved.
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text:
A little garlic in your meals could mean a lot less weight around your middle. The results of a Korean study found that mice given a high-fat diet supplemented with garlic lost significantly more weight and abdominal fat than those who just ate fatty foods. Even better, they also improved their liver health, making it easier to stay healthy and burn off that excess fat in the long term. For more flavorful ways to make your food more enjoyable, turn to the 20 Spicy Recipes That Fire Up Your Metabolism and watch those pounds melt away.
Health.com is part of the Meredith Health Group. All rights reserved. The material in this site is intended to be of general informational use and is not intended to constitute medical advice, probable diagnosis, or recommended treatments. All products and services featured are selected by our editors. Health.com may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice. See the Terms of Servicethis link opens in a new tab and Privacy Policythis link opens in a new tab (Your California Rightsthis link opens in a new tab)for more information. Ad Choicesthis link opens in a new tab | EU Data Subject Requeststhis link opens in a new tab
Any molecules that don't dissolve in water — like fat molecules — are called lipids. Most fats we eat are made of triglycerides and, molecularly speaking, triglycerides are made of three fatty acids (the yellow squiggle) bound to one glycerol i.e., the "backbone" of all lipids (the green oval). Those fatty acids can be used directly as an energy source by most tissues in the body which means… they're important.
"Your body has been starving all night long, and it needs nutrients to rebuild itself," says Matarazzo. "If you just catch something quick on the run instead of eating a full meal, it negatively impacts your workout, and everything else you do during the day." Eat sufficient protein (30-40g), a complex carbohydrate, like oatmeal, and a piece of fruit to start your day off right. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhVzVfA-8Kc
"Your body has been starving all night long, and it needs nutrients to rebuild itself," says Matarazzo. "If you just catch something quick on the run instead of eating a full meal, it negatively impacts your workout, and everything else you do during the day." Eat sufficient protein (30-40g), a complex carbohydrate, like oatmeal, and a piece of fruit to start your day off right. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhVzVfA-8Kc
"Feeling stressed can wreak havoc on our bodies. It can cause our body to produce the steroid hormone cortisol, which can make you crave sugary foods that provide instant energy and pleasure. Short-term bursts of cortisol are necessary to help us cope with immediate danger, but our body will also release this hormone if we're feeling stressed or anxious. When our cortisol levels are high for a long amount of time, it can increase the amount of fat you hold in your belly."
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2. After the juice cleanse, drink plenty of water (room temperature is best as drinking iced water can be harsh for the digestive system) with a few slices of lemon, limes, (and in the summer you can add sliced cucumbers) to keep body hydrated, your skin radiant and to keep your stomach filled. Also, most often than not, when you feel the sensation of being hungry it can be thirst. Have an 8oz glass of lemon water before eating any food, wait 10 minutes, and if still hungry, eat your food. Leave at least two hours or more in between intakes of food so your body can have time to digest. Notes: Make sure the lemon water is homemade, lemonade sold in stores is packed with sugar. Also, when making your own lemon water, make sure you do not add any sugar.
In addition, eat healthy foods throughout the day to keep your glucose, which fuels your body, at a high level so that you feel energized and satisfied. You'll also be better able to resist cravings when you snack on nutritious choices like fruits and vegetables, low-fat yogurt, and whole-grain bread topped with a little peanut butter, according to a recent study that showed that eating consistently helps us control our impulses. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2t7GE9i2gLc