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January 31, 2016 / fappersecondposter
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Microsoft Dynamics 365 for Customer Insights Developer Guide
[This topic is pre-release documentation and is subject to change.]
Welcome to the Developer's Guide for Microsoft Dynamics 365 for Customer Insights. As the name implies, this guide provides the information and others resources to assist developers to automate, integrate with, and extend Customer Insights. This guide is divided into the following sections:
- Customer Insights Architecture - High-level component architecture of this Azure service.
- About Customer Insights Web Services - Introduction to the programming model and standard web interfaces for Customer Insights.
- Working with Data in Customer Insights - Introduction to the data model and data processing pipeline, including optional functionality.
- Customer Insights Programming Reference - Reference for the various public entity types and Web APIs of Customer Insights.

subset: commoncrawl


text:
Autos sin Marca
autor: RAMIRO QUESADA
técnica: mixta y fotografía toma directa
post: sole
On February 05 2012 (sent by pegarcopiar) 89 Views
1714 Photos
This is a group fotolog for your best and brightest photos of the omnipresent traffic cones, orange or otherwise. We`ve all got 'em. Let`s see 'em.
Lights_on is a group log dedicated to
images of lamps and lights and light fixutres. All kinds of lights/lamps are welcome, old, new, indoor/outdoor, weird, abstract and minimal shots especially welcome as long as they are not Photoshop generated. Not to be confused with a night shot, lights_on is more about the closer detail of the light itself.


text:
What is included with this book?
|p. vii
|p. xi
|The Making of a Revolutionary
|p. 1
|The Impress of the Past
|p. 3
|Don Daniel's Son
|p. 17
|Becoming a Sandinista
|p. 26
|A Few More Murderers Among Murderers
|p. 39
|p. 46
|The FSLN Languishes
|p. 57
|Two Seismic Events
|p. 65
|The Battle Within and Without
|p. 71
|Making the Revolution
|p. 73
|Private Demons
|p. 86
|Managing the Popular Insurrection
|p. 95
|Governing an Embattled Republic
|p. 113
|Governing Tensions
|p. 117
|The Stampede of the Buffaloes
|p. 131
|Ronald Reagan's Dark Hobby
|p. 137
|EI Presidente
|p. 149
|The Indirect Invasion
|p. 159
|Governing from Below
|p. 167
|The Challenge of the Chamorro Administration
|p. 169
|The 1996 Election
|p. 181
|EI Pacto
|p. 186
|Political Values
|p. 192
|Two Final Pacts
|p. 197
|Toward a Dynasty of the Left
|p. 201
|Governing from Above
|p. 207
|The 2008 Elections
|p. 218
|Ideologies and Actions
|p. 227
|The Challenge to Daniel Ortega's Nicaragua
|p. 234
|p. 247
|Selected Bibliography
|p. 269
|p. 273
|Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.


text:
Zillow Prices IPO Between $12 And $14 Per Share With Nearly $400 Million Valuation
Real estate listings site Zillow has just filed additional documents with the SEC indicating the initial range for the company's ip coming IPO. Zillow's range will start at $12 to $14 per share, giving the company a $378 million valuation. The company aims to raise as much as $55.7 million in the IPO. Zillow will begin trading under the symbol "Z" on the NASDAQ.
Zillow, which initially filed its S-1 in April, currently lists over 100 million U.S. homes, including homes for sale, homes for rent and homes not currently on the market. Zillow launched a mortgage marketplace in 2008, and subsequently expanded into rentals and mobile.
The company's traffic to its web and mobile sites is up 100 percent year-over-year and in May 2011, Zillow was used on a mobile device more than 8.8 million times, with more than 1.7 million homes viewed on mobile devices each day.
For the years ended December 31, 2008, 2009 and 2010, the company generated revenues of $10.6 million, $17.5 million and $30.5 million, representing year-over-year growth of 49%, 65% and 74%, respectively. And during the three months ended March 31, 2011, Zillow generated revenue of $11.3 million, as compared to $5.3 million in the three months ended March 31, 2010, an increase of 111%. Unfortunately, in terms of income, Zillow has been taking a loss for the past three years.
The company lost $12.8 million in 2009, and lost roughly half of that ($6.7 million) in 2010. The company, which launched to the public in 2006, also revealed that as of December 31, 2010, it has an accumulated deficit of $78.7 million. In the three months ended March 31, Zillow lost $826,000.
According to Experian Hitwise, Zillow.com is the third most visited Real Estate site in the U.S and received 5.36% of Real Estate visits in March 2011, which is a 53% increase compared to March 2010.
Source: Zillow Prices IPO Between $12 And $14 Per Share With Nearly $400 Million Valuation


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Hi, my name is Zoe Elmore and I'm a recovering "Drama Queen". There, I said it!
If you know me at all, you will know how grateful I am that God blessed Tom and me with two sons and one AMAZING daughter-in-law (who is the farthest thing from a drama queen. I don't even think she knows what that is). Boys and spiritually mature women are so easy and they have taught me so much about the reasons why I don't want to be a "Drama Queen" anymore.
Because I'm a recovering "Drama Queen" I can easily recognize and have little tolerance for "Drama Queen" behavior these days.
Sadly, it has taken a lifetime, but thankfully, I have outgrown the need for a "Me" centered universe. Instead, I have tried to become a Jesus girl who is kind, compassionate, considerate, low-maintenance, thick skinned and drama free. Yes, I do meltdown from time to time, and even step back into the "drama zone" but I don't want the story of my life to be about me! I want it to be about Jesus and how HE has changed my life, redeemed my life and empowered my life.
That's why I'm saddened and shocked when I see and hear adult women fussing, fuming, whispering about one another and throwing temper tantrums.
Friends, life on this side of heaven is too short and the world is too lost for beautiful and blessed Jesus girls to act like 4th graders.
As believers in Christ we must choose how we live our lives.
If you recognize yourself in any of these behaviors, I would encourage you to take a breath, confess your sin of "self idolatry", then kneel before the ONE who gave HIS life so that you and I could testify to HIS amazing grace in our lives.
Are you guilty of:
1. Whining
2. Discontent - Always wanting "What she has"
3. Refusing to grow up and get over it
4 Being Catty and making snide remarks
5. A Critical attitude, but can't take constructive criticism.
6. Being a Snob
7. Jealousy
8. Manipulating Others to get what you want
9. Gossiping
10. Breaking confidences
11. Constant neediness and demand for attention
12. Being Easily offended
13. Forcing others to walk on eggshells
14. Moodiness (other than the monthly hormonal ritual)
15. Being Dishonest
16. Refusing to listen more than you speak
If you answered yes to any of these I would encourage you to step away from your former sinful life and call on Jesus. When we do that, through the power of the Holy Spirit HE enables us to live a life that builds up others, spiritually, emotionally, mentally and physically, leaving the drama far behind us.
I'm encouraging you to get over yourself and rise above your former self in order to let your life testify to the redeeming and transforming power of Jesus Christ. I'm encouraging you to live your life above yourself and for Jesus.
To encourage you, remember that you are NOT alone in this. Jesus and His most trusted disciple friends had to work through some drama of their own. Peter had a very short fuse. James and John grew up with a mother who was pushy and insisted on having her own way. Thomas had a negative outlook and Matthew had a past. Not one of Jesus' beloved friends could stay awake when Jesus needed them most. But in the end, they invited and allowed the power of the Holy Spirit to change them from the inside out and they changed the world forever.
If that's not an encouragement to put away the drama.....Maybe it should be.
Now it's your turn.


text:
A cross-discipline team from Gateley has advised on a deal that saw mid-market private equity firm LDC complete a significant investment to support the £30m acquisition of Prism UK Medical from Toronto-based TSX Venture Exchange listed business Prism Medical.
The Gateley team, led by corporate partner Simon Gill and supported by banking and finance, commerce, technology and media, employment and tax lawyers, acted as legal adviser to LDC on all aspects of the deal. The transaction was completed with support from a number of Midlands-based advisers and funders, including Deloitte, which provided financial due diligence to LDC.
The deal with Prism forms part of LDC's continuing strategy of investing in leading mid-market businesses and represents its sixth new investment of 2014.


text:
Everyone who worries that Shaq will be a bulldog in his elder years, refusing to admit that he's no longer the Sheriff, should take a peek at what he tweeted after the Lakers took the 'chip last night. He congratulated everyone that he has a relationship with on his former squad. But most importantly, he gave Kobe the respect that he deserves – and poked fun at himself too.
"Congratualtions kobe, u deserve it. You played great . Enjoy it my man enjoy it. And I know what yur sayin rt now "Shaq how my ass taste "
That's not the only gem. He gives love to the Zen Master, while sticking it to his other ex-boss, Stan Van Gundy too.
* "Congrats to you to phil jackson. When the general doesn't panic the troops don't panic. You are the greatest now."
* "Congrats to u to d fish, big shots the other day. Enjoy my man enjoy."
* "Congrats in spanish pau gasol, muchas gracias pappacito."
* "Congrats to you to, mbengaaaaaaaa"
* "Its nice to see the greatest big man ever on stage, smilin havin a good time. I love bill russell"
* "O yea congrats to u to adam morrison"
Source: THE_REAL_SHAQ on Twitter


text: >Does anyone know what it would take to support these guys? Is there >a standard format for the compression used? It would require info from Microshaft or some form of reverse engineering. I'm certainl the latter would get one into trouble since MS is sue-happy these days. --Michael -- Michael Graff <firstname.lastname@example.com> 1304 Florida #3 (515) 296-2735 Ames, IA 50014 PGP key on a server near YOU! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------


text:
In a new op-ed piece for The New York Times, actress Angelina Jolie revealed that she recently underwent a double mastectomy in order to prevent what she describes as an 87% risk of breast cancer."I am writing about it now because I hope that other women can benefit from my experience," she explained.The Oscar-winning actress completed the preventative mastectomies on April 27 after doctors identified a âfaultyâ gene, BRCA1, which sharply increased her chances of developing the life-threatening disease.
Jolie's mother, Marcheline Bertrand, died from cancer at the age of 56.
"We often speak of 'Mommy's mommy'," Jolie wrote of her mother, "and I find myself trying to explain the illness that took her away from us.""Once I knew that this was my reality, I decided to be proactive and to minimize the risk as much I could."


text:
제품 설명
제품 설명
Product name: Valve castings
Type of product: We can provide many kinds of valve castings.
Size: DN15-4000mm
The standard: ANSI, API, DIN, JIS, BS, GB etc. The metearials: WCB, LCB, CF8 304, CF8M 316, CF3 304L, CF3M 316L, WC1, WC6, WC9, CN7M, etc.
Pressure: Class 150LB to Class2500LB
We are a manufacturer specialized in producing kinds of valves and valve bodies. Such as butterfly valves, check valves, ball valves, diaphragm valves, sample valves, stop reversing valves, relief valves, bends, tees, reducers, unions, ferrules, etc.


text:
Renato F. Vieira da Costa, Fernando Santos Osório, Suzana V. Schönwald, Günther J. L. Gerhardt.
This paper describes our work focused on eye-movement detection using an Artificial Neural Network to recognize it. Firstly, we try to use a Web- Cam to detect eye-movement from captured images and after that we moved towards the use of EOG (Eletro-Oculogram), measuring electrical signals from near eye placed electrodes. Our preliminary results showed our approach can lead to the recognition of a set of simple eye moviments.
http://www.lbd.dcc.ufmg.br/colecoes/enia/2005/028.pdfCaso o link acima esteja inválido, faça uma busca pelo texto completo na Web: Buscar na Web


text:
Temperatures soared to a sweltering 26 degrees Celsius in parts of Mid Ulster on Tuesday.
And it looks as if the heatwave is set to continue for the next few days, with the Met Office forecasting 23 degrees Celsius for Wednesday and Thursday, with more unsettled weather predicted for the weekend.
However, the night time temperatures will remain in the mid teens, feeling humid.
Send your weather pictures on our new upload tool on the right side of this story.


text:
En español | Subscribe: RSS Search
public transport
Transportation for Older Adults Requires a Tapestry of Funding Sources
"We desperately need that service in our community, but how do we fund it?" is a common complaint I hear across the country as communities try to meet the growing demand for transportation services. A recent publication, Weaving It Together: A Tapestry of Transportation Funding for Older Adults, addresses this important question. The report by the AARP Public Policy Institute highlights seven case studies that show how transportation providers in diverse communities combine federal grants with state, local and private-sector …


text:
Friday, 14 June 2013
Flowers in Malaga
Before I came to Malaga, I'd only known it's airport as the gateway to "Brits Abroad".
However, it's very Spanish in it's own respect. While there are more tourists here than say, Cordoba, there's way less than along the coast. Although I originally came to watch James Bond in English, it was a pleasant surprise to find out that my initial impression of the south coast of Spain was wrong.
Posted by Danielle Lam at 15:25
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text:
"Every Man Dies, Not Every Man Really Lives."
Not every man really lives forever on another man's leg AS A BLUE AND BLOODY SYMBOL OF THE ENDLESS WAR AGAINST BRITISH OPPRESSION. Or something.
Submitter's note: "In my defense, I created offspring with him BEFORE he got his "Mel Gibson as Braveheart" tattoo."
- Reposted by


text:
Huda Nassar, our Director for the Middle East, is in Syria right now, leading Little Heroes programmes for hundreds of displaced children across the country. You can read more about this programme here.
Our Little Heroes programme gives displaced children a new hope and a new energy to live their life without fear. This enables them to build new bridges of respect and understanding with children of other faiths that they meet in their new homes and schools. In a very meaningful way, these children have become little Peacemakers.
THANK YOU to all whose generosity has made this programme possible this year.
Huda will be reporting 'live' from Syria as the programme continues, and as she attends further Little Heroes programmes in July and August across Syria.
LATTAKIA - Follow-up Programme on "God the Father"
We welcomed more than 160 displaced children to our second Little Heroes programme in Lattakia, on the Mediterranean coast of Syria. Thank God for our Ambassadors for Peace who had helped me to plan and organise the event, and who gave up their time to help lead the programme with me.
Many of the children who attended our first programme came back, plus we were joined by a good number of newcomers. As this was a special follow-up event, we chose a theme that would help the children move on in their faith; for many of children, the phrase 'Allahu Akbar', which is just Arabic for 'God is the greatest', has left them fearful of God the Father; they associate the name of God with sectarian acts of violence, cruelty and destruction.
Over three days, we worked with the children through Bible study, hymns, stories, games and crafts. Each day had its own theme. The first day was God the Creator, day two was the God of love, and the final day focussed on God the Merciful. Each day, the leaders began with prayers, and we finished each day with an evaluation - both to see how the children were doing, and to support our many volunteers. The feedback we received was wonderful. One of our volunteers said that the children were smiling again, and another reported that the children had thanked him for helping them to get to know God the Father as a friend again.
At the end of the Little Heroes programme, we were joined by the Church Scouts band for a celebration (please see above, middle). On the right, you can see some our Little Heroes standing in front of their banner. The three days went really, really well, and we were very happy with the results. The children left us enlightened in every sense of the word, their faith reinvigorated, and a new sense of positivity and hope clear for all to see.
(Above: (top) the children say goodbye; (bottom) Huda and all of the volunteers who worked so hard to make the Lattakia Little Heroes such a success)
Now I have half a day off before we prepare to go to begin new Little Heroes programmes with more than 300 displaced children, aged 9 to 12, in the Tartous province of Syria. Please keep us all in your prayers.


text:
Now we know. Or at least we know more than we did about what happened at Benghazi, and, even more telling, what happened afterward. And there's doubtless more to come. With each congressional hearing, with each appearance by another whistleblower, the picture becomes more complete. And it's not pretty. It's more like that Portrait of Dorian Gray hidden away in the attic that, when it is finally uncovered, shows every dirty deception, every scabrous half-truth that is even worse than a lie, all of it detailed in those emails that are today's equivalent of the Nixon Tapes. It could be the 1970s again.
The Portrait of Benghazi painted by this administration now begins to reveal every crack and flaw, every rhetorical sleight-of-word used to cover, first, its feckless incompetence when it came to protecting our diplomats and then, much worse, its attempts to cover its tracks even as the true heroes of Benghazi were being brought home in coffins.


text:
Read 1st Chapter Excerpt
Binding: Softcover
Page Count: 416
Trim Size: 6 x 9
CPC Sub Category:
Release Date: November 2004
The best-selling Left Behind series has captured the attention of millions of readers, and it has changed lives. It has brought millions of believers the motivation to examine their hearts. Are you ready to embrace eternity? Live each moment as if it could be your last?
Your future is more important than your past. Where you are going matters more than where you have been. What you do from this day forward means much more than what you have already done. You may be affected by your past, but you are not defined by it. Not in the eyes of God.
What does it mean to embrace eternity? It means grasping each breath as if it could be your last, living life moment by precious moment with your feet planted firmly on earth but your heart aimed squarely at heaven. It means learning to embrace the role of dual citizenship—living in one world while belonging to another. It is a lifestyle of living like there's no tomorrow and then dying so that your real life can finally begin!
This 365-day devotional explores the themes introduced in the Left Behind series—themes of salvation, grace, obedience, and faith. New believers as well as mature believers will find a message of faith that will inspire and motivate daily.


text:
Have you ever been on a trolly?
Printable View
Have you ever been on a trolly?
Have you ever been on an "el" (elevated subway)?
I rode one into Disneyworld, does that count?
Have you ever been in a tunnel?
Yes. I hate tunnels and the worst was the Chesepeake Bay tunnel where you travel underwater for two miles :eek
Have you ever been to a cavern?
Yes, I can't say I care for them.
Have you ever been to the Smokeys?
The Smokey Mountains? If so, Yes..Beautiful
Have you ever been stranded in an elevator that broke?
Yes.....at my son's school. We were in there for about 15 minutes. :wow
Have you ever judged someone before you got to know them?
Have you ever had a waitress forget your order?
A waitress..no..but I was at KFC many years ago, ordered their hot wings. They gave me a time frame that was about 10 minutes because they had to fry them. Apparently, they totally forgot about the order. I got the piping hot, fresh order at no charge.
Have you ever gotten dressed in the dark and not put on what you thought you put on?? :lol
Have you ever followed an a fire truck?


text:
Stephen Joseph Cupcake Lunch Box
Who could possibly resist this gorgeous cupcake lunch box designed by Stephen Joseph?
Its bright colours and fashionable design make it a real hit with little girls.
Meanwhile parents will be impressed by the well-thought-out design features it offers.
The lunch box is fully lined and insulated to keep food fresh and there's space for a drinks bottle with a Velcro strap to hold it securely in place.Read more
Additional information
A pocket for an ice pack is a useful addition as is the extra zippable pocket on the front.
The large handle and zip are perfect for little ones and the bag is really easy to clean - simply wipe with a damp cloth.
The approximate size of this girl's lunch box is 10" x 7.5" x 3".
Customers who bought this also looked at
Bugzz Pony Lunch Bag£8.99
Stephen Joseph Ballet Lunch Box£12.99


text:
Obesity is a global health issue that requires drastic solutions. Consumers are taking steps to manage their weight, often cutting back on some of their favorite foods; but while they are looking for healthier options, taste is still one of the most important decision factors when purchasing products.1
STA-LITE® Polydextrose is an ideal bulking agent and dietary fibre for sugar replacement and reduced-calorie formulations, offering widespread application potential and health benefits.
- Helps reduce calories by rebalancing bulk, viscosity and mouthfeel in reduced-sugar/fat products
- Allows for healthy blood glucose levels, producing a lower blood glucose rise after consumption compared to sugar-sweetened foods and beverages2
- Exhibiting prebiotic properties and a low glycaemic response, enables possible nutrition claims including 'source of fibre' or 'high in fibre'
- Enables EFSA health claims for lower post prandial glycaemic response and maintaining tooth mineralisation
- Appropriate for 'no-sugar-added' or 'sugar-free' foods and beverages (dependent on use levels)
Functional benefits
Read more

Around the world, STA-LITE® is often used for fibre fortification. It is a well-known soluble fibre with many desirable attributes, including exceptional process stability and excellent solubility.

Exceptional process stability: Ideal in elevated temperatures and low pH systems, enabling fibre content to be maintained through a range of production processes

Soluble: Available in dry and liquid forms, its excellent solubility enables fibre fortification without creating a chalky or grainy texture

Provides 90% polydextrose without sacrificing taste, colour or texture

Is easy to use in a wide range of prepared foods and beverages

Excellent digestive tolerance, allowing for possible higher inclusion levels

Available in liquid and powder

Read more

You can easily formulate with STA-LITE® Polydextrose in any application where sugar sweeteners are used.

Beverages

Confections

Cereal coating

Bars

Yoghurt

Ice cream

Bakery

Dressings and sauces


text:
The four members of Polish metal band Decapitated, named Michal Lysejko, Waclaw Kieltyka, Rafal Piotrowski, and Hubert Wiecek, were arrested in Los Angeles on charges of first-degree kidnapping on Saturday, Sept. 9.
The arrest was following an incident that allegedly took place after their Aug. 31 show at the Pin in Spokane, Wash.
READ MORE: Kid Rock delivers political speech during Detroit concert amid protest
A woman claimed she was held against her will, leading the Spokane Police Department to coordinate with the Los Angeles County Sheriff's office to place the band members in custody.
The four men were on tour in the United States at the time. The Spokesman-Review reports that the woman says in court documents that the band gang-raped her on their tour bus.
According to court documents, the woman says the band members invited her and a friend on their bus after the show and while on the bus, the woman alleges she was groped by Lysejko and then followed into the bathroom by lead singer Piotrowski.
READ MORE: Usher responds to lawsuit alleging he exposed people to herpes
The court documents say she "attempted to push Piotrowski away but he grabbed her arm and spun her around to where she was facing the sink and mirror in the bathroom," after which the band members took turns raping her.
The friend was allegedly asked by Piotrowski to perform oral sex on him and when she refused, she was reportedly "pushed to the ground and received bruises to her knees and shins."
The friend left the tour bus without the woman and drove away, later being pulled over on suspicion of driving under the influence.
READ MORE: Rebel Wilson awarded over $4M in defamation case
The documents say the women spent an "unknown amount of time" on the bus before being carried out by Kieltyka and another male.
She called 911 and was picked up by police about three kilometres from the venue. When the police went to the Pin to investigate, the tour bus had apparently already left.
Police noted that the woman had "significant bruising to her upper arms consistent with being restrained" as well as "small abrasions to her knuckles that were scabbed over" when she was picked up.
The court documents say that the members of Decapitated gave varying accounts as to what happened on the night of Aug. 31.
READ MORE: Woman arrested, accused of trying to break into Prince George's school
Lysejko "made no comment other than he did not know who the girls were" when shown photos of the women. He refused to speak without a translator.
Kieltyka told authorities "both Piotrowski and Wiecek engaged in sex acts" with the woman, while Piotrowski and Wiecek said the women had been on the bus but were unclear as to what exactly happened. They both declined to give a DNA sample.
Steve Graham, the defence lawyer representing Decapitated, said "Decapitated plan to fully fight the allegations that are brought against them, and we are fully confident that the other side of this story will be heard."


text:
LightLane, 2009
Rigorous experimentation with new materials and production techniques was behind Evan Gant and Alex Tee's concept for LightLane, an ingenious design made in response to the dangers of cycling on city streets that are not equipped with bicycle lanes. "One of the biggest benefits that a bike lane provides is a common boundary that both drivers and bikers respect," these avid cyclists assert. A series of brainstorming sessions resulted in a range of ideas, some more guerilla-style such as attaching a can of spray paint to the side of a bicycle so that cyclists could paint their own lane as they rode along, while other ideas were more threatening, such as suspending a key from the side of the bike that would warn drivers not to get too close ("keying a car" being a common form of vandalism). Realizing the inherent problems, however, with these more hazardous solutions, Gant and Tee began to investigate ways in which they could establish a boundary that wasn't physically attached to the bike, ultimately conceiving of a projected boundary using green lasers that are visible even in ambient light. The prototype design, currently being developed for industrial production, can be clipped to the post of a bicycle seat, creating what the partners refer to as an "on-demand bike lane."
GANT/TEE. LightLane, 2009. Courtesy of GANT/TEE.


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Past Beers
These are beers that we have brewed in the past but are not currently available. Most we will make again, but some were one time experiments.
Analog Amber
Aussie IPA
Belgian Dark Strong
Black IPA
Blood Orange Double IPA
Blood Orange IPA
Chiller's Revenge
Creepy Dwarf
Dark Wheat
American Dark Wheat Ale | 65.2% ABV | 13 IBUs
Coming from our Experimental Small Batch Beer Series is the American take on a Dunkelweizen. At first glance this is a very very dark beer with a tightly laced strikingly white head. The first aroma is the presence of wheat with a light touch of the roasted malts. As it hits your tongue the first thing you will notice is the very light mouth feel. Again the wheat leads the way with the roasted malt following soon behind. The 5.2% ABV gives a very sessionable beer that you can drink all night long.
Double IPA (DIPA)
Imperial IPA | 9.1% ABV | 100 IBUs
WARNING: This is not your standard Double IPA. You may want start with some small sippa's of this big DIPA (9.1%, 100IBU). This beer is a true malt forward hop bomb; with an all-malt base (read as no sugars added) and hops added every 10 minutes makes this a delicate and tough brew. The mild amber color is followed by a sweet and citrusy aroma. Upon first sip you get an immediate sweet sensation that is followed by a bitterness that remains on the tongue for the duration of your drinking experience.
Elderberry Wheat
American Wheat Ale | 6.0% ABV | 30 IBUs
A summer Wheat brewed with Chamomile and Elderberries.
Much like the father in the famous quote "Your mother was a hamster and your father smelt of elderberries!" this beer smells like elderberries. Pouring a straw golden color with a creamy white head and delicate elderberry aroma.
English Mild
English Mild Ale | 3.0% ABV | IBUs
Don't let the black color fool you. This is a smooth stout-like session beer with dark roasted malts in the fore front.
Mother Cluster
Creme Ale | 6.2% ABV | 22 IBUs
This is one angry Mother Cluster (6.2%, 21.7 IBU). She is upset with her kids giving the yellow fizzy beer style a bad rap. This straw colored cream ale is a tribute to the history of American beers. With a sweet light body and a crisp finish makes this a beer to drink all day and night (in moderation for course).
Ninja Chicken
American Pale Ale | 6.3% ABV | 44 IBUs
The tastiness of this beer sneaks upon you with ninja like powers. A light aroma of caramel and hops slowly roundhouse kick you in the face with your first sip. Utilizing the power of dry hopping this brew will surprise you with the intense hop flavor, some may even feel the need to call it an IPA but that is just how Ninja's work. Please note no chickens were harmed in the making of this beer (nor were any ninjas but they cannot be harmed, DUH).
Pale Rider
Double American Pale Ale 8% ABV
Poco Cocoa
Porter | 6.7% ABV | 46 IBUs
Don't let the "little" confuse you, Poco Cocoa (6.7%, 46.1 IBU) is a heavy hitter of flavor. This wonderful porter will change during your drinking experience. This chocolate porter pours a wonderful deep brown color with a tight laced creamy head. The bitter chocolate aroma will delight your olfactory senses while you taste a light bitter chocolate on the back of your tongue. As it warms you slowly get a wonderful full bouquet of chocolate flavors to tantalize your taste buds.
Rye My Donkey
Suburban Home IPA
India Pale Ale | 7.5% ABV | 75 IBUs
Feeling its roots from California, Suburban Home embodies the West Coast style of an IPA. Pouring a deep golden color with a clean white head and aromas of citrus and grapefruit. The citrus notes carry through this highly quaffable beverage. The bitterness sneaks up as you you enjoy the beverage and slowly linger and fade over time.
Summer Ale
Blonde Ale 6% ABV
Vampire Bunnies
Blonde Ale | 5.5% ABV | 27 IBUs
Made with Michigan Cherries


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The process connecting Floating Hose for Oil Fuel transfer... Watch It Now!
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Gen. Joseph Dunford, head of all U.S. forces in country, ordered the inquiry into whether an Afghan member of the American special forces teams in Wardak province tortured and killed 17 civilians there, according to coalition spokeswoman Col. Jane Crichton.
In February, Afghan President Hamid Karzai ordered U.S. special forces to leave the province, alleging American troops had committed torture and abducted civilians during their time in the province.
The team's expulsion from Wardak was the result of a lack of control by Kabul over Afghan forces operating in Wardak and a misunderstanding of the political nuances of the hotly contested province, Maj. Gen. Tony Thomas, head of Special Operations Joint Task Force-Afghanistan, said in May.
Afghan officials arrested Zakaria Kandahari, the Afghan interpreter working with U.S. special forces in Wardak, in June on charges he was responsible for the 17 murders in the province.
Kandahari was reportedly caught on tape torturing one of the 17 alleged victims in the Nerkh district of Wardak.
However, Kandahari allegedly told Afghan investigators that he only assisted U.S. special forces teams in capturing civilians, adding that each civilan captured by Kandahari and his team were handed over to American forces alive.
Afghan officials are looking to question three U.S. special forces team members who were stationed in Wardak at the time of the incidents, according to Reuters.
That said, "All of [the accusations] were investigated pretty extensively," Thompson told reporters at the Pentagon in May.
"None were found to be substantiated," he said at the time, adding, "there are no unilateral coalition and [special operations forces] maneuver operations on the ground."


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Seems I remember that FragranceNet sent 3 or 4 samples with my purchases.
Hey Basenote users,
I was wondering if there are any ONLINE retailers that send FREE samples along with an ONLINE purchase? Also any INSTORE retailers (if you know any)? From my experience, Perfumania never gave me samples with my instore purchase and I've noticed Macy's does not give them even with a instore purchase anymore. What's up with that? And I'm just talking about small, simple carded samples too... Thanks in advance!
Seems I remember that FragranceNet sent 3 or 4 samples with my purchases.
Support your local Leonberger rescue.
I've got endless free samples from B&M stores like Macy's, Saks, Nieman Marcus, and Sephora. Sephora even decants them from big bottles. Not sure about online.
Getting samples in-store is something of an art form. The worst thing you can do is simply go up to a SA and ask for them. Shmooze with the SAs, flirt, sample many things, etc... just make sure they know you are a collector and you buy lots of bottles. I'll generally drop the hint that "I only buy once I've worn a fragrance." The problem is that there are just too many people who get free samples to resell them on eBay and otherwise have no intention of ever coming back to buy a bottle - in which case it's not in the SAs interest to give you a sample, especially if it means running out for the customers that will buy bottles. A friend of mine is a Macy's SA and she said they have far less samples then they used to, but with new releases they'll get a box or two.
Nordstroms in store will always make samples on request, btw.
Online Luckyscent, Aedes, and Beautyhabit give samples with purchase. Sephora does as well but they usually suck.
sends 3 samples with each purchase. ordered twice already and got the ff.
Azzaro Visit
Some Azzaro for women, gave it away
another women's sample, no idea what, gave to my sister
Paul Smith Story
Versace Man (2)
Escada Silver Light
comes in 1ml vials or 2 ml spray vials.
Seller is legit too, good prices on a lot of their frags.
LF: CAP/LID for Creed Original vetiver and Creed Millesime Imperiale, 75ml. Please pm me.. Thanks!
beauty encounter has a window when you go to your shopping bag, which can be EASILY missed! It reads: Don't miss free samples! Click here! (or something like that) and I have gotten the nicest samples! Helmut Lang, Creed, Caron!
Beauty Encounter looks like a good choice. Thanks hillaire. The ebay site looks really good. nice timothyx. I'm sort of interested in gucci pour homme II and they have it at an unbelievable price but I'm usually weary of ebay products. something always off about them. I don't recognize any of the luckyscent products 8 ( . I have to look into fragrancenet as well. I'm off to try some samples today at the mall. Wish me luck. If guys know of any others sites with free samples let me know!
http://www.ausliebezumduft.de/index.php?language=en sends three samples of your choice wihe each purchase of a FB
I've ordered from that ebayer twice without a hitch, their frags are legit.
LF: CAP/LID for Creed Original vetiver and Creed Millesime Imperiale, 75ml. Please pm me.. Thanks!
Sephora on-line - if you sign up to be a Beauty Insider.
Please feel free to check out my Swap Thread - Patou pour Homme, L'Instant de Guerlain PH Extreme, Dior Homme Intense, Pure Malt, Pure Coffee and many more! Click Here For My Swap Thread
If you order SL from theperfumeshoppe.com, you get a 5ml SL mini and 5 samples of anything they carry. If you're buying SL, I don't think you can beat it.
"I don't know what the different scents is. I just know what I like." -- Sephora SA
It really depends on the friendliness of the salesperson, and how friendly you are to them.
Online? I don't know. It's hit and miss. I think Luckyscent is pretty good. I once received about 10 really good samples from a random Ebay purchase. Also, your fellow Basenoters tend to be generous if you buy from the sale board.
Last edited by LiveJazz; 12th October 2009 at 06:37 PM.
"It's not what you look like when you're doing what you're doing; it's what you're doing when you're doing what you look like you're doing."
Always have gotten free samples from Luckyscent.
Aedes will let you -choose- 7 free samples with any order.
I don`t know if Ormonde Jayne, Divine or Le Jardin Retrouve are online retailers (better described by term online shops of brands) - but all of them adds samples with any purchase from their sites.
usually it makes me want to buy again!
Vetiver The Great!!!
FYI- I contacted Scentiments.com and they said that IF the shipping department has any available sample they will include it in every package. 8 )
Perfumania online sends about 3 samples per order. My last two orders I got B United by Benetton x2, Cartier roadster, Jessica McClintok, burberry brit, and armani diamonds (for women).
Ddara, but not always.
+1 for Lucky Scent. You can sometimes specify at the time of the checkout.
"The sunset is deeper and longer. The scent of the jasmine is stronger." Miracles. Pet Shop Boys
"Thick dome of jasmine
(Under the dense canopy where the white jasmine),
Blends with the rose,
(That blends with the rose),"
"The Flower Duet," Lakme by Leo Delibes, 1881
Sephora and Fragrancenet for me. Sephora has an option to choose which samples too.
fragrancenet always sends something you dont want.


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World cup riots
Kiev Travel Blog› entry 9 of 658 › view all entries
People i met here who contributed to, and improved my trip: Stale (Norway), Nata (Ukraine)
I arrived in Kiev after a 10 hour train ride, still hung over from Lviv! To make matters worse the hostel i went to was full, but luckily they fitted me in to the other HI in town. I spent a week in Kiev taking in the sites, sampling the bars and watching the football.
Stale arrived in time for the quarter final game between Ukraine and Italy, which we watched in Independence Square. Eastern European football fans have a reputation for getting a little irate if things are not going to plan and losing 3-0 certainly fell into this category! The first incident occured around half time as a guy lit a huge flare, threw it on the ground and it actually began to melt the floor! As a huge black ploom of smoke filled the Square the riot police came flying in, followed seconds later by a posse of camera crews and photographers.
Later in the night, Stale and i ran into a gentleman we christened 'The touching Russian'. He befriended us in a sports bar and explained he was on business from Russia. Within minutes he was hugging Stale and stroking him on every occassion possible. As we left the bar he joined us and proceeded to lay his hands all over me as we progressed down the street. As Stale and i exchanged bewildered glances we struggled to comprehend what the hell he was doing! As we reached another bar he preoceeded to stroke the bouncer who to our surprise had no problems with these actions.
The following night England lost to Portugal on penalties (again) and all of a sudden i wished i had a flair. My release however, came by seeing the bottom of several empty tequila glasses. Been our last night in Kiev, we decided to finish in style and found a pretty cool club at Artema 30 (i believe was the address) near our hostel. We had walked past many nights, but it looked like a chinese restaurant... little did we know this was merely where the post clubbers were dining at 5am! The night went off with a bang as did my head the following morning at check out.
My last day in Kiev was spent trying to stomach some soup and a beer in the scorching heat before catching the night train to Krakow with a reheated 'meat' sandwich. This really disagreed with my body and i was only grateful to have my compatment to myself on the 19 hour journey!


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Railroad says no spilled fuel in river
ANCHORAGE -- Water samples taken last week from the Susitna River showed no sign of fuel contamination from a train derailment north of Talkeetna last December.
The results of the tests came only days after state environmental officials said a small amount of fuel showed up in a water sample taken June 30. Samples have been taken regularly since more than 120,000 gallons of jet fuel was spilled during the Dec. 22 derailment. Crews recovered 16,570 gallons, or about 14 percent of the total.
Ernie Piper, the Alaska Railroad's vice president for safety and environmental compliance, said he began questioning the results of the June 30 test when he saw a laboratory report breaking down the fuel components found in the samples. The chemical fingerprint didn't match the fingerprint for the fuel that spilled, Piper said. He speculated that the positive findings could have come from an organic material with fuel characteristics, such as peat.
Leslie Pearson, DEC's onsite coordinator, said she hadn't yet seen the results of the samples taken Wednesday. However, she said a trench dug last week to prevent any fuel from reaching the Susitna could simply be working as it's supposed to.
The Alaska Railroad, which has spent about $9 million so far on the cleanup, completed the 450-foot-long trench Thursday, Piper said. Plans also call for placing several hundred feet of boom in the water.
State rejects residency ballot challenge
KENAI -- The state Division of Elections has ruled Senate candidate Mike Szymanski of Anchorage can appear on the Aug. 22 primary election ballot, despite a challenge to his residency.
George Martin of Soldotna challenged Szymanski's candidacy last month, saying the Democrat was not an Alaska resident, nor a resident of District E, which includes Kenai, Nikiski and a portion of Anchorage.
But in a letter July 6, elections director Janet Kowalski cleared Szymanski to appear on the primary ballot, saying, ``... the preponderance of the evidence supports the eligibility of this candidate.'' Kowalski said she reviewed the state's election records and found Szymanski has voted in the state for at least the past 10 years.
In a letter challenging Szymanski, Martin claimed the former lawmaker lived in Seattle and was not an Alaska resident.
Szymanski served two terms in the Alaska House before representing South Anchorage and Nikiski in the state Senate for one term. He retired from the Legislature in 1990. Kenai was not a part of that Senate district at the time.
Szymanski said he has resided in District E since December 1998, making him eligible to run in that district.
``Except for cancer treatment, occasional business trips and a vacation, I have never been away from home for any extended period of time,'' Szymanski told Kowalski in a letter. Szymanski said he recently overcame a yearlong battle against colon cancer.
Pipeline `pig' snags piece of valve
ANCHORAGE -- A piece of a valve from the trans-Alaska oil pipeline has been carried down the pipeline by a ``pig'' sent through the line, Alyeska Pipeline Service Co. said.
The pig, a device used to gather data from the inside the pipeline, arrived in Valdez on Friday morning carrying a large steel ring from a valve somewhere in the pipeline. Alyeska Pipeline employees were inspecting the pipeline to determine which valve lost the ring, said Alyeska spokesman Curtis Thomas.
The pig was put into the pipeline June 26 at Pump Station 4, about 18 miles north of Atigun Pass in the Brooks Range, to move south with the flow of oil. Workers discovered the ring when the pig was removed.
Between the pump station and Valdez, there are 38 check valves - valves designed to close automatically when oil flow stops or runs backward in the pipe, Thomas said. All the valves will be inspected for leaks or other damage, he said.
Alyeska officials say there is little immediate risk of a leak from the 800-mile pipeline, and the pipeline will not be shut down.
`Bookmobile' floats into fish camp
BETHEL - Classes may be suspended for the summer, but that doesn't mean learning has to end.
The Lower Kuskokwim School District is sponsoring what it calls the ``Kusko Book Express'' for the third consecutive year. It's something of a floating bookmobile, and visits fish camps up and down the Kuskokwim River.
``I realized that the kids weren't reading in the summer and they were losing too much time,'' said Lenora Arnold, the school district's migrant education specialist.
She earlier had given kids some books to read over the summer, but they weren't getting much use.
She pitched the idea of a summer book program that visits outlying fish camps. The school administration got behind it. ``We went out and visited the fish camps and took the books out there and would follow up,'' Arnold told the Delta Discovery.
The Kusko Book Express has spurred an interest in reading along with interest in the statewide Battle of the Books program, she said. ``At fish camp, they don't have TV and their days are real long. They get bored, and after the first few weeks, they chase us down the beaches for books.''
She says some of the kids at the fish camps have read all 12 books required in the Battle of the Books program.
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TX: 46% Perry, 39% White (Blum 9/15-22)
Emily Swanson | September 26, 2010
Topics: poll , Texas
Blum & Weprin for Texas Newspapers
9/15-22/10; 692 likely voters, 3.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Dallas Morning News release)
2010 Governor
46% Perry (R), 39% White (D), 4% Glass (L), 1% Shafto (G) (chart)
By Emily Swanson | September 26, 2010 8:06 PM | Permalink | Comments (30) | TrackBacks (0)
Perry's got this one in the bag. There was an article in the Houston Chronicle today about the geographic vote breakdown.......They're neck and neck in the city of Houston & San Antonio, White's winning Austin and Perry's killing him in DFW. Perry's winning by huge margins in the suburban and rural areas. Of course White will win El Paso and the Valley but that won't be enough. The only reason it's so close now is because people in this state are sick of three term Perry.....including me....but We'll take him over White any day of the week.
"The only reason it's so close now is because people in this state are sick of three term Perry"
Or it could also be that White is competitive because of slow demographic shifts that will eventually help Democrats. The last I checked Perry wasn't particularly enthusiastic about the arizona law. I wonder why.
An incumbent under 50 isn't in the bag.
Although if White isn't leading by at least 7 points in Houston, he can't win. You probably saw the same article I did.
One problem with this poll: Perry leading White among women 50-40, but among men only 42-39. I find that hard to believe. Perry should be leading more strongly among men. If he wins women by 10 points he will win with over 60%. In 2008 the female vote in Texas was 52-47 McCain, and the male vote was 59-39.
Perry leading among whites 55-31. A little less than I'd expect. They went 73-26 McCain in 2008. White leads among blacks 89-2, and hispanics 54-24. Essentially the breakdowns are the same as 2008, except for the male/female result. I find it hard to believe Perry and White are neck and neck in San Antonio if White's leading among hispanics by 30 points.
Hispanics seem to make up a large portion of the undecided. Even if they break for Perry 2-1, White would still get above 60% in that demo, indicating they are not moving significantly toward republicans. In 2008 Obama got 63% of TX hispanics. So Melvin will be happy based on the demographic breakdown of this poll.
"The last I checked Perry wasn't particularly enthusiastic about the arizona law. I wonder why."
The Arizona law is "unnecessary" in TX according to Perry. His overall silence on the illegal immigration issue is deafening. He is big on border security. Dealing with illegal immigrants not so much.
You know.............I hear so many dems talking about how the demographic changes in Texas will mean democrat control in 10, 15 or 20 years. There was another article in the Houston Chronicle (last year as I recall) discussing why this may not happen. For one, Hispanics in Texas are much more conservative than they are in most other states. Secondly , they're dynamic. I live in Katy.....upper middle class suburban Houston. I have a numbe of Hispanic neighbors and they are very conservative and often Republican voters. They are small business owners and upwardly mobile. As usual most dems think that a general underclass stays that way but it just isn't the case. This helps explain why the voting patterns in this state haven't shifted much at all over the last six years.
aaron - As many people on this site have pointed out to you, its lame to compare 2008 with potential 2010 turnout. You keep assming 2008 was a standard style election....it was an anomoly. It was an exception, not a rule. 2004 was a more typical type election and Bush did very well among hispanics...getting over 40 percent.
This race will not be that close on election day. White will be lucky if he can get above the standard Dem performance in TX of the low 40's.
2008 turn out was absolutely a one time thing. Look at all the things that fell in place.
1. Traditionally a party does not occupy the WH more than 8 straight years.
2. Bush became highly unpopular.
3. a very nasy recession occured and a stock market crash less than two months before the election.
4. The excitement factor of electing the first balck president.
5. Large sympathy vote for Barry who lost his grandmother right before the election.
6. Depressed conservative enthusiasm for Mccain who is seen as wishy washy.
How often do those types of things fall into place liek that? Once every 50+ years you see everything fall into place like that?
Not only is Whtie unable to even poll at 40 here...but in most polls he does not do better than a normal D perfromance in TX. Perry ia also having to fight off the anti incumbant mood out there....He will iwn this race easily.
Anyone who expects 2008 type turnout this year or in the near future is just loony toons.
To compare data with such an unusual cycle like 2008 is simply improper. I mean for all the hype about Barry being different...he isn't...just look at his approval...down in the low-mid 40's. Most polls show most people don't want him re-elected...he even loses to a broing R like Huckabee in a lot of polls. He's not superman....he's just antoher president. His EV performance in 2012 will almsot certianly decline as states like OH and very quickly turne dthe other direction.
So you Dems need to stop thinking this is still 2008...its 2010....
Since June this year Whites highest poll # is 43 and that was from PPP, a Dem freindly pollster. Perry's highest is 50. White is simply stuck down in normal D territory for a Dem in TX, low 40's. Barry pushed it it to 44, but thats pretty much as good as it gets in TX for the Dems....
aaron - another thing...just using pres numbers going back to 1988.
Dems got the following results
88 Dukakis - 43 percent
92 Clinton - 37 percent
96 Clinton - 44 percent
00 Gore - 38 percent
04 Kerry - 38 percent
08 Barry - 44 percent
And if you look at the guvna
90 Richards - 49 percent
94 Richards - 46 percent
95 Mauro - 31 percent
02 Sanchez - 40 percent
06 bell - 30 percent (indy in race thsi year)
10 White - Average polling 40 percent
So where is this supposed huge shift in TX? barry didn't do anything Duakakis and Clinton did in 88 or 96. And as far as guvna, if anythign the state has trended away from Dems. Whit eis performing totally as expected.
You lefties keep doing all this talk about this and that changing....yet looking abck 20 years or so for btoh Pres and guvna, nothing has changed. Not even for Barry in his super year of 2008. So again, you guys keep blabbing about all this stuff, but the data does not back up anything your claiming!!!!!
"There was another article in the Houston Chronicle (last year as I recall) discussing why this may not happen."
Hispanics have never voted majority republican since we've started tracking them. George W. Bush was by far the best performer among them in the low 40s. The average hispanic R percentage since 1972 is something like 33%. So why should we assume they will change? They've been culturally conservative that whole time, have they not?
The young hispanics in 2008 were about 10 points more democratic than hispanics overall - something like 75/25. That's why most people find it unlikely republicans will ever get a majority among them in the next 20-30 years. The gap will likely close, but probably not 30-40 points anytime soon. If this poll is to be believed then it has closed marginally if at all.
I have hispanic friends that are republican too. I also have democratic friends that are white; the anecdotes don't mean anything.
"why the voting patterns in this state haven't shifted much at all over the last six years."
Yes they have. They've actually shifted in important ways. Look at Gore's map vs. Obama's map. Very different.
In 2000 Gore only won the border region and a few remnants of the democratic counties in east TX. None of the major cities except El Paso. Bush even won in Austin. In 2004, Kerry won in Austin. In 2008, Obama added San Antonio, Dallas, and Houston, and reduced the margin in the suburbs. Western and eastern areas of the state moved away from the democrats at the same time.
Harris and Dallas counties used to be republican strongholds. Now they aren't. Harris cty was the political base of George H.W. Bush.
If you want to talk about trends, Fort Bend county, where part of Katy is, voted 38% for Gore in 2000, 42% for Kerry in 2004 (bucked the trend, most of the state voted more strongly for Bush), and 48% for Obama in 2008. It's trending democrat. Harris county, where the rest of Katy is, also swung towards Obama in 2008. I expect it will swing back somewhat this year.
Stillow, the topline numbers just happen to be equalizing out, probably because once democratic strongholds have so dramatically turned against them. The county shifts are what's important, and there's continuity there that's been discernible since 2000. It wasn't a one time thing with Obama since Kerry experienced some of it too.
Look at where Carter, the last democrat to win TX at the presidential level, won in 1976. It's a complete reversal. The cities voted for Ford, particularly Houston/Dallas, rural areas for Carter. Now democrats have the cities.
I'd take the cities, seeing as how the rural eastern and western counties are declining rapidly and all the growth is in the DFW-Hou-SA triangle, and also in the border region.
"To compare data with such an unusual cycle like 2008 is simply improper"
Than what do you compare it to? I could just as easily say 2004 was unusual because it had higher than normal evangelical turnout.
aaron - You are ignoring the data. I posted the data since the post Reagan era. Dems peak out at 44 percent. they did it in 88 and 96. Porbably owuld ahve in 92 if not for the perot factor. Dems slightly underperormed in 00 and 04 cus W was a popular TX governor so that was to be expected. after W was gone TX went right back to its normal 44 percent it gives to Dems.
as for Governor, about 40 percent is nromal i nthe post richards era.
Data does nto lie....and for the past 20 years some things may have moved around and counties shifted slightly in diffetrnt ways, but the numbers have stayed almsot exactly the same...especially for president.
So there is absolutely no fundamental change or surge to the Dems in TX, its simply not happening...the numbers prove that. And current polling proves that.
Seriously, you guys can claim anything you want, but the raw data simply contradicts all your claims of some magical shift taking place.
There is no fundamental shift going on....just the nromal movement of regional voting patterns over time, but overall the numbers are exactly where they hav ealways been with the exception of a possible slight trend AWAY from Dem governors.....................! Sorry, but numbers are numbers.
aaron - My freind if you want to think 2010 or 2012 turnout will look like 2008 then by all means go full steam ahead with that!
You're also oversimplifying things, especially if you compare 2010 to 2006.
Perry only got 39% in 2006. Strayhorn got 18% mostly moderate/conservatives, but she's from Austin and a former mayor, and also got endorsed by the teachers association, who usually endorses democrats, so she may have pulled a few normally democratic votes. Kinky got undoubtedly what would have been mostly democratic votes. Just Bell + Kinky was 42%. Add Strayhorn's liberal vote and that's probably at least 2-3% added to that.
White will do better than 40%. I predict he will get at least 45% and perhaps 46-48%.
"You are ignoring the data."
No I'm not, I'm using more microdata than you. I'm looking at counties. In 1988 Dukakis got 43.35% winning 87 counties. In 2008 Obama got 43.63% winning 28 counties.
You can't say a shift has not taken place. You can say that the shifts in some areas have equalized out because of the shifts in other areas.
If you don't think it's significant that dems get a similar percentage while getting a fraction of the number of counties they used to get... well, you go on thinking whatever you want.
aaron - Its nto oversimplifying...the numbers have reamined steady for a long time. Like i said, looking at the actual numbers and not just opinion, if there's any movement at all its away from Dems for governor. White will not exceed 44 percent on election day.
Had Barry gotten say 46 or 47 percent you could argue there was a trend taking place....if Whtie had average polling above 40.5 percent, maybe you could argue there was a trend taking place....but the fact is neither of thsoe things is happening.
Again, making claims of this or that is simple to do, but there comes a poitnt, as in this case now, where the data just makes your claims look, well foolsih at best.
To much wishful thinking on your part aaron, it'd be great if the numbers supported your claims, but they just do not.
Aaron - "If you don't think it's significant that dems get a similar percentage while getting a fraction of the number of counties they used to get... well, you go on thinking whatever you want."
Like I said and like everyone knows, counties, cities, they all shift around...but if growth or improvement in one area is simply washed out by doing worse in another area, then the shift means nothing.
right now I can "claim" a shift is tkaing place in Vermont, they are moving to the GOP.....its easy to make that claim and perhaps I could even spin some data to make it look some what plausible, but the reality is thats not shifting.
On this issue your letting your wishful tinking cloud logic.
"Everyone" knos things shift around, but to get a trend you have to get more positive shifts than negative ones...in the state of TX, absolutley ntohing has changed o nthe presidnetial level since 1988. Had any other GOPer been pres in 00 and 04 TX probably would ahve given its standard 44 percent tothe Dem.
When your claims actually start manifesting thesmelves in actual election results, that is when they will be given the validity they deserve...until that happens...and current polling doesn't indicate that at all.....its all just your wishful thinking.
aaron - an example of a claim that would actually be supported by the numbers would be if you were to say since 1988 (post Reagan era) West Virginia has been shifting and trending to the GOP.
88 Dukakis - 52 percent
92 Clinton - 48 percent
96 Clinton - 52 percent
00 W - 52 percent
04 W - 56 percent
08 McCain - 56 percent
That woudl be a case where you oculd backup a claim with actual facts and numbers. You can see a clear shift in the numbers from one aprty to antoher and how the shift holds for a chain of election cycles.
That is what is seen as a real shift...what you and others on the left claim is happening in TX has absolutely no foundation in fact...sinc ethe numbers have remained consistent since 1988.
"but if growth or improvement in one area is simply washed out by doing worse in another area,"
I guess you think geography is a useless subject, since there are people that study this kind of data for a living.
It's used in marketing quite a bit. You want to know who is moving where so you know where to place stores and advertisements.
There have been dramatic changes on both sides. Ie: Nolan county in west TX used to vote 50-48 dem in 1988. In 2008 it voted 68-30 for McCain. Dallas country voted 58-40 for Bush, in 2008, it was 57-42 for Obama. That's remarkable if you ask me.
Here's the problem - Nolan county has not grown, it has declined. It's total vote in 1988 was 5609. It's total vote in 2008 was 5063. Dallas county posted 594538 votes in 1988, and 740074 in 2008.
See the long term problem for republicans here? Most of the places they put up huge numbers are like Nolan county. Republicans have been able to compensate for losing more populated regions by racking up larger margins in the smaller areas. But as those counties decline relative to the cities, that will cease to be as important.
The same thing happened in CA, Stillow, come on.
Ay yi yi yi....hopeless. Again you cite one year, 2008, which by most peoples observations, even a lot of liberals was an exception year due to all the things that fell into place for Obama. Despite all this, he still did exactly what Dukakis and Clinton did years before him....
We will ahve to continue this conversation in November after White loses with around 40-44 percent of the vote and you can once again explain how TX is shifiting.....even though the numbers will yet again prove toherwise.
As Yoda might say, a trend one election makes not. You have to duplicate soemthing for several cycles. And you are in for a sore awakening if you think 2008 was a normal cycle that will be duplicated.
Everything your claiming is refuted by the actual numbers. Like i said, when your claims are actually supported by election results, then you will have a point...until then your claim of TX changing and y claims of Vermont chaning will have to be just that, claims without basis.
God speed, goodnight.
I think we're arguing past each other here, since I'm taking into account internal population changes, you're not. That means this is all useless.
WV isn't really a fair comparison since it hasn't had the kind of growth TX has. WV's raw vote has grown about 10% since 1988. TX's raw vote growth has been about 50% in the same period.
"Everything your claiming is refuted by the actual numbers."
I cited you very specific numbers. You're really not getting my point.
"Again you cite one year, 2008,"
I would argue 2008 was not a unique cycle in TX's case. Neither campaign paid attention to it, except for about a 1-2 week ad buy by the Obama camp in early October. Neither candidate visited the state post-primaries, and Obama's organization told its Texas people to travel to New Mexico to GOTV there.
"You have to duplicate soemthing for several cycles."
What I've been saying IS a trend over several cycles, actually a trend over several decades.
I have found this debate about the future of Texas voting trends very interesting here because I have followed it for years as it's such an integral GOP state. And Stillow and Rightward have made some very good points on Texas voting trends how that the pro-Democrat trend so touted by many analysts has really failed to materialize.
Aaron in TX churns out the usual liberal doomsday message for the GOP but he fails to understand some key points. Quoting what happened in 2000 and 2004 is simply only marginally relevant because Texas was George W. Bush's home state and that definitely skewed his margins to his favor there, so that he took 59% in 2000 and 61% in 2004. But I think that it's very remarkable that Senator McCain did as well as he did in 2008. Consider that Virginia and North Carolina (neither of which have anywhere near the Hispanic vote that Texas has) voted for Obama in 2008 and traditionally rock-ribbed Republican states like Georgia and South Carolina gave McCain only 52% and 54% respectively. But the fact that McCain carried Texas with nearly 56% of the vote is quite remarkable in my book, considering all the counterintuitive trends at work.
Additionally, there's another factor at work in Texas which a lot of the analysts seem to miss and that is the fact that there is the issue of a certain number of Hispanics being counted as whites, either intentonally ur unintentionally because they identify themselves as such - and also because there is also more racial mixing than with other races. That could help explain why McCain did very well in a minority heavy state like Texas when Obama was doing so well in other strong minority states.
Stillow and Rightward also make a good point that the 2008 Texas electorate was pretty unique in its large minority turnout (black turnout was up from 2004 and McCain's percentage of the black vote was almost nil), yet it still somehow tilted strongly Republican overall. The Democrats are very unlikely to forward another minority candidate after Obama so this minority excitement element is likely to fade.
Aaron in TX makes a critical mistake by comparing Texas to California, because he fails to identify that the Republican problem in California isn't Hispanics - it's whites. The GOP routinely wins between 60% and 80% of the Texas white vote but in California, they're fortunate to get 50%. And if you must talk the Hispanic vote, consider that Texas Hispanics are much more likely to vote Republican than their California counterparts. (For instance, McCain got 35% of the TX Hispanic vote compared to 23% in CA).
So finally, will Texas become more competitive in the future? Possibly. But people are making a huge mistake if they think that it will cease to be a GOP state in the near future. The state is fundamentally conservative and can't be likened to California or most other Hispanic heavy states.
The more important question is why are Stillow and Aaron having that great debate (and thanks to SC guy for some additional info) at 3AM!?!?
If you were to slice off the eastern half of Texas (Wichita Falls down to San Antonio and over to Corpus Christi) there you have approximately 20 million people or 75%-80% of the state population. Harris County is about 50/50 and trending democratic. Dallas County along with Travis (Austin) and Bexar (San Antonio) are more solidly dem. However, primary population growth over the last twenty years has not been in these counties, it is in the Houston, Dallas (and to a lesser extent Austin and San Antonio) "collar" counties. Counties such as Collin, Denton, Rockwall, Montgomery, Fort Bend, Williamson........guess how these counties vote????? 65% to 80%+ Republican. That's where the Republicans win elections in Texas and it will take a long time to change considering how deeply conservative these areas are.
"Collin, Denton, Rockwall, Montgomery, Fort Bend, Williamson........guess how these counties vote????? 65% to 80%+ Republican. "
Fort Bend voted about 50/50 in 2008. Collin and Denton have both seen significant increase in their democratic share.
Rockwall and Montgomery are moving the other way.
Probably the highest percentage growth has occurred in the border region.
Actually I looked at all those counties you mentioned, Rightward, and found the democratic share of the vote increased in all of them in every election 2000-2008, and in some cases increased from 1996.
If trends continue (no way to know if they will, but the growth is continuing along the same patterns), Fort Bend will be the first to go, followed by Williamson.
And after all the normal population changes and this country trending this way and that country trending that way, lets take a quick peak at the changes over the past 20 years.
Bush - 55.95%
Dukakis - 43.35%
McCain - 55.39%
Obama - 43.63%
Crap, look at that huge shift to the Dems the past 20 years. At thsi rate TX will indeed be blue in about 300 years.
Fact is TX simply has a R majoirty that is entrenched and is not going anywhere. Aaron and other libs can try to spin numbers to make themselves feel good about what they hope will happen....but there is absolutely ZERO change in TX going on. It is as red as its been since Reagan left and there is no proof its changing anytime soon....unless you cosnider Whites average poll numbers at 40.5 percent to be some amazing sign of a huge shift to the Dems.
There's an old but classic saying aaron, when your in a hole, stop digging.
TX is red and staying red....all the changes the past 20 years in population growth, etc have netted us zero change...the state remains exactly as it was 20 years ago.
Sometimes you are an F***ing idiot.
You have a problem with not reading what people say, instead putting words in their mouths and attacking that. You do that to basically all liberals on here.
Yes, the percentage is about the same. I was not saying TX has shifted into a democratic state since 1988. I'm saying the voter distribution has significantly reconstituted. Yes Dukakis got about the same percentage as Obama, but the way he did it was totally different.
The election of 1896 was very similar to 2004, except that the northeast/west coast went to republicans while the south/midwest went to democrats. Should we say that "there has been no change, it doesn't mean anything," like you do?
"At thsi rate TX will indeed be blue in about 300 years."
Wrong. IF the trends continue... the democratic vote share continues to grow in those suburban counties cited above even if a dem does not win them outright, the cities continue to favor democrats (they all do except Fort Worth, which has also seen its democratic share grow, and the rural counties that vote ~75% republican continue to decline in population, it will shift in 16-20 years.
Please note that I am not positive that these trends WILL continue. We don't know. IF White gets better than 44% that will be an indication. I think he's going to do marginally better. If he doesn't, and particularly if he does worse than that, well, then I will be wrong.
I think you need to understand what "raw data" is. What I've been citing IS raw data - county vote totals and population numbers. What you're citing are topline percentages which I am not trying to make my point with.
All of this is useless, since you will not respond to what I say, but rather what you think I'm saying.


text:
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Porttime.com - you can view by ship or by port.


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A man is fighting for his life after he was stabbed inside of an Inwood apartment yesterday following a fight over a woman, police sources said.
The 39-year old victim was stabbed on the sixth floor of an apartment building on Thayer Street by the jealous boyfriend of the girl he was dating, sources said.
The wounded man then fled from the building and out onto the street – leaving a trail of blood behind him, sources added.
"There was blood on the staircase," said Alvin Fernandez, 18, who lives on the fifth floor. "It started on the sixth floor and went all the way down."
He was found on the corner Nagle Avenue and Thayer Street at approximately 7:45 p.m. with stab wounds to his stomach, authorities said.
"He had one cut to each side [of his stomach]," said Danny Estrella, 36, who works in a barbershop across the street from where the victim collapsed.
The victim was rushed to Harlem Hospital in serious condition, police said.
No arrests have been made.


text:
Matching family tree profiles for Dennis Sperry
Immediate Family
About Dennis Sperry
- * Born: Abt 1627, England
- * Christened: Monkleigh, Devonshire, England
- * Marriage: Richard Sperry on Aug 28, 1647 in New Haven, New Haven, CT
- * Died: 1707, New Haven, New Haven, CT about age 80
Dennis ___ was born 9 May 1624 in Monkleigh, DEV, ENG
2nd Wife of Richard Sperry, Regicide supporter, Immigrant:û
- + +(SPERRY), Dennis, Immigrant b: 09 May 1624 Monkleigh, DEV, ENG
- d: ~01 Mar 1706/07 New Haven, New Haven, CT #: SPER53
- m: 28 Aug 1647 New Haven, New Haven, CT
It is certain that Richard Sperry's wife was named Dennis, but there is no concrete evidence that she was a daughter of Gov. Stephen Goodyear -- or even a GOODYEAR at all.
Richard Sperry and Dennis Goodyear who married in 1647 at New Haven, CT had 7 children:
- 1. John Sperry, b. 1649
- 2. Mary Sperry, b. 14 March 1650, d. 1735. m. Benjamin Peck
- 3. Richard Sperry, b. 1652
- 4. Esther Sperry, b. 1654 m. 1st Stephen Pierson, m. 2nd Daniel Hotchkiss
- 5. Nathaniel Sperry, b. 1656
- 6. Thomas Sperry, b. 1658
- 7. Ebenezer Sperry, b. 1663, d. 1738. m. Abigail Dickerman
5) Dennis
,(possibly GOODYEAR or FREEMAN or HONEYMAN) occ. housewife, b. 1625 (?), d. 1707 in New Haven, New Haven Co., CT.
Families of Ancient New Haven by Donald Lines Jacobus, pg. 1665
Note About D. by William Speary http://www.speary.com/ghtout/np12.htm
Richard Sperry's wife Dennis (also spelled Dennes or Denis) absolutely has to be one of the most sought after mystery ladies of all time. Just going by the notes I have in front of me, one can see that people have been trying to figure out who she was for at least 40 years - several HUNDRED people Yet nobody has ever shown one concrete piece of evidence to prove who this lady was.
One thing is for sure: Donald Lines Jacobus - a professional genealogist who is responsible for " Families of Ancient New Haven" (FANH) shows Richard Sperry married to Dennis in New Haven. However there is no surname provided for Dennis. "Families of Ancient New Haven" is taken directly from New Haven Vital Records and is credited as being so complete & thorough that no update will ever be needed. If you've ever seen just one page of it you would be inclined to agree.
That one blank line where her surname should be has created many theories over time:
Theory #1 states that Dennis was the daughter of Stephen Goodyear - the Deputy Governor & the man that Richard Sperry was gardener/farmer for. However, Dennis is NOT listed in FANH as a child of Stephen Goodyear. She is also not listed in Grace Goodyear Kirkman's "Genealogy of the Goodyear Family" nor is Dennis listed in any other Goodyear family tree.
Theory #2 states that Dennis may have been the orphaned niece of Stephen Goodyear - but, again, there is no source, no listing in any published book or Goodyear family tree. So far I have seen her as his brother John's child, his brother William's child and have seen an Andrew listed as a possible brother to Stephen but AGAIN with no further information provided.
Theory #3 states that Dennis was an illegitimate "love child" of Stephen Goodyear. Somehow, I find it IMPOSSIBLE to believe she would have been given his surname & been raised & recognized as his child in a PURITAN society. I also doubt he would have become the respected public figure he was with a skeleton like that rattling around in his closet.
Theory #4 states that Dennis was an amnesia victim , possibly from a ship wreck (the ship being from France) who was 'taken in' by Stephen Goodyear. Again, no proof, no source, no documentation.
Dennis is even listed as Dennis Goodyear in "The Ancestry and the Descendants of Abel Sperry (Richard's grandson)" by L. Steele printed in 1912. Richard's Will lists her only as "My wife Dennis" and Dennis Sperry's will was proved in March of 1707. Records give her age at death as both 78 years of age & 80 years of age.
Now, I can't possibly be the only person who finds it strange that the daughter/orphaned niece/ship wreck victim adopted child of the Deputy Governor would be marrying her father/uncle/whatever's farm overseer.
Some accounts show Dennis Goodyear born1627 in England - possible, but no proof except other people's undocumented LDS files. Other accounts show her born 1627 in New Haven - impossible since New Haven didn't exist until 1638 and again with no sources. Others show her Baptism as 1624 in England. Well, that's 3 years before most people say she was born - enough said.
Recently I found 2 people looking for our Dennis under the surname Richard. One states that New Haven vital records shows a marriage of Richard Sperry to Dennis Richard. However, I do not have a copy of this record so it must be verified. Families of Ancient New Haven DOES NOT note a date or source for Richard & Dennis' marriage NOR do they note birth dates for either of them. One can assume they married at least in the early part of 1647/48 (if not earlier) as their son John is on record as being born in January of 1648/49.
A second, unrelated person, researching totally unrelated families also posed a question requesting information on a Dennis Richard who married & was widowed by a man named Goodyear and who later married a man by the name of Sperry & had at least two sons - Daniel & Thomas Sperry. Both of whom are recorded, documented sons of Richard Sperry & Dennis ?. Upon contacting this man he checked his database only to find he does not have the source of this information in his database. HOWEVER, he assures me that he has it "on paper" in his filing cabinet "somewhere" & promises to find it ASAP. I sure hope he does as a maiden name other than Goodyear & a first marriage to a man named Goodyear could certainly explain why several hundred people have been unable - for all these years - to find one bit of documentation on our mystery lady.
One more bit of info regarding Dennis. The book "Molly & the Regicides" Crandell, 1968 which includes Richard Sperry in at least 11 chapter's names Richard's wife as Hepzibah. All other names in the book are factual. It even refers to Richard Jr. as "Dicky". The book was derived from records collected in 1700s by President Stiles of Yale University (who wrote History of Judges's), Governor Hitchenson's History of Massachusetts and stories handed down by word of mouth. My questions now are: Who is Hepzibah Sperry? Is this name based on fact or fiction?
Dennis Sperry's Timeline
May 9, 1624
Monkleigh, Devon, England, (Present UK)
May 9, 1624
Monkleigh, Devonshire, England
January 9, 1649
Age 24
New Haven, New Haven Colony, (Present Connecticut)
March 14, 1650
Age 25
New Haven, New Haven, CT
January 20, 1652
Age 27
New Haven, New Haven, Ct
September 16, 1654
Age 30
New Haven, New Haven Colony
August 13, 1656
Age 32
New Haven, Connecticut Colony
August 13, 1658
Age 34
New Haven, New Haven County, Connecticut, United States
August 16, 1661
Age 37
New Haven, New Haven, Connecticut, USA