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A few days ago and already a few months late, the Mariners made the announcement that Joe Saunders would not be starting another game this season. A relief to me at least, with one fewer game that I purposefully ignore, and a sure sign that we've made up some ground since the dog days of him, Harang, and Bonderman as 60% of the starting five. Ryan Divish made a tweet a few weeks ago to the effect of the Mariners going thirty seconds without being on the wrong side of things, with Joe giving up a leadoff home run on the first pitch. It felt about in line with my own sentiments. Joe Saunders has been terrible. Everyone who's been paying attention knows that. Some people have not been paying attention partly because of it.
There's also another Saunders we have, the more Canadian one, whom a lot of people probably regard as being also terrible this year. Because the Mariners have been awful for many years, and because Michael Saunders was a homegrown, young, and somewhat local player who had also been awful for many years, everyone started to rally around him when he started to turn in what was only an average offensive performance last season. Remember all those jokes we made about rubber bands and Josh Bard's brother and how we were going to hire them to be our hitting coach? It seems like only a year ago.
Trouble is that the Mariners field mentality for under the current field staff has been to play though any injury to the detriment of, I don't know, everything. Just rub some dirt on it, you'll be fine. Hultzen probably went to the team's doctors and they told him there wasn't enough dirt in his shoulder. And he was all like "that's not a real diagnosis!" and they were all like "you didn't go to med school, you only had that mysterious story universally reported about millions of dollars of inheritance money if you did, which was totally a lie." Why, Michael Morse rubbed some dirt on that busted finger of his and hell, he's hit more home runs since than he did before. Wait, he's actually hit fewer? And with almost twice as many plate appearances? Criminy.
Michael Saunders probably got sucked into that mentality too. Back in April, when there were still hopes of not finishing with a protected pick, Saunders smashed into an outfield wall and busted himself up but good. Eighteen days later, he was back on the field for the Mariners after a short rehab in Tacoma, playing at his presumably not-best. Up through the end of the first half, he had a 82 wRC+ and looked as bad as he'd previously been all these years. A number of people jumped up and declared his 2012 season to be not steps in the right direction, but wholly a mirage, and started to float the idea of him as a redundant piece and a potential non-tender candidate.
Others of us, who listen to games for want of evening radio programming, have remembered that he was also hurt and came back way too quickly. Let's look at some numbers for a moment.
2012 Saunders: 553 PA, .246/.306/.432, 7.8% BB, 23.9% K, 108 wRC+
2013 Saunders (1H): 265 PA, .225/.303/.364, 10.6% BB, 26.8% K, 82 wRC+
2013 Saunders (2H): 195 PA, .263/.364/.461, 13.3% BB, 22.6% K, 128 wRC+
To give some context to this, Saunders' first half wRC+ over the course of a season would put him in the company of Alexei Ramirez and the surprisingly not-good Elvis Andrus of late. Erick Aybar and Jose Altuve would have produced more. His second half similarly stretched would land him around the 34th highest wRC+ in baseball and would have him keeping company with guys like Justin Upton, Evan Longoria, and Prince Fielder (really?), and better than Chase Utley, Jason Kipnis, and various others. I'm not cherry-picking numbers either; month-to-month in the second half, his wRC+ has been 141 in July, 126 in August, and now 129 in September after last night's home run/walk combo. And that walk rate, extended to the length of this season, would land eighth for all of baseball, sandwiched between Miguel Cabrera and Dexter Fowler. Boy howdy.
The Good Saunders is looking at arbitration for the first time this offseason, which is expected him to make him marginally more expensive. But we're also expecting to see Endy Chavez and Franklin Gutierrez on the outs, along with Raul if we have enough sense [we probably don't]. There are only so many internal options after that, and only so many players on the free agent market that are going to be worth pursuing.
Michael Saunders isn't a great player or anything. His defense has some flaws, he's had some trouble with lefties this season, and he really doesn't seem like he uses his speed as much as he could. But he could be a good player, reasonably priced. Given that his second half has trumped even his previous breakout, I think that it stands to reason that he should be given his opportunities with the Mariners next season and we can see where things go from there.
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Name: KALAMAZOO COUNTY - SHERIFF'S DEPARTMENT - MOUNTED DIVISIONMailing Label: Sheriff's Mounted DivisionATTN: Kalamazoo County Sheriff's DepartmentLocation: 1500 LamontKalamazoo, MI 49048Mailing Address: 1500 LamontKalamazoo, MI 49048Phone: 269-365-5080Email: firstname.lastname@example.com(s): http://www.facebook.com/pages/Kalamazoo-County-Sheriff-Mounted-Division/116054098437734 Personnel: Dan Weston, Captain, Mounted Division, Contact, 269-365-5080.Goal: To provide volunteer support for Sheriff department/crowd management mounted patrols, searches, functions management, mounted security.Services: Crowd management; searches for fugitives and people who are missing; Volunteer Sheriff Deputies on horseback. Area Served: Kalamazoo County; statewide at direction of Sheriff.Eligibility: Must own and be able to transport your own horse; successfully complete sheriff's reserve academy (at your own expense); no criminal record; age 21 and over.Sources of support: Donations.Subjects: HORSES LAW ENFORCEMENT ANIMALS VOLUNTEERS Nonprofit Status: Other Established in: 1961Additional Info: nonprofit status: 170(c).Source of Info: Email 03/2015 per Dan Weston.

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Volunteer fire department looks to keep swimmers safe
It is not everyday you expect to see firefighters out on the water, but for the Federal Point Water Rescue Team, it's common practice. It is their job to patrol the coast from Carolina Beach to Kure Beach and everything in between. With temperatures rising and more and more people out on the water, a call for help is sure to happen.
"We can get four or five at one time, or go days without having anything. Generally in the summer time we average a few a week, at least," said Captain Jonathan Burton of Federal Point Water Rescue Team.
The team will usually assist lifeguards or the Coast Guard in rescues, or searches for those in distress. The fire department also has its own dive team, but for this patrol, it's just a team of two.
The water rescue team will typically spend the day up and down the coast, patrolling in case a call comes in where they'll need to spring into action. The truth is the water rescue team has to contend with much more on the water than fighting a fire. "They can range from a jellyfish sting to a vessel capsize, sinking or a drowning call," Burton said.
More than 20 volunteer firefighters work on the water rescue team. Each member spends months, and even years, in training to just volunteer their time to help those in need. Burton said, "I guess you could call it waiting on an accident to happen, but our main goal is to prevent that accident from happening by community awareness."
Spreading awareness is much easier than having to respond to a true emergency. That is why Captain Burton and others say they will continue their mission.
The Federal Point Volunteer Fire Department is always looking for volunteers. If you are interested in training call the department at 910-796-7203.
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Banished to satellite after getting a record indecency fine, he'll be on a Tampa station.
By ERIC DEGGANS, Times TV/Media Critic
Published December 11, 2007
Nearly four years ago, he was yanked off the radio airwaves in Tampa, fired by Clear Channel Radio after drawing what was then the largest single indecency fine in history.
Now, Bubba the Love Sponge Clem is poised to return to free commercial radio in Tampa and Jacksonville early next year after closing a seven-figure deal.
On Jan. 8, Clem will take over morning drive time at Cox radio stations WHPT-102.5 FM (the Bone) in Tampa and WFYV-104.5 FM in Jacksonville, hosting a show from 6 a.m. to 10 a.m.
Clem also will still host his national show for radio star Howard Stern's Hoard 101 channel on Sirius Satellite Radio from 3 p.m. to 7 p.m. weekdays.
Combined, the radio deals are worth more than $3-million annually for Clem's company, which will produce both shows from a studio in a Tampa office park.
"I have a lot of unfinished business in the market," said Clem, calling Monday from New York City, where he celebrated his new, one-year Sirius deal on Stern's show. "I never got to say goodbye to the fans. I was thrown off the air by Clear Channel ... which hung me out to dry."
Clear Channel Radio fired Clem, then Tampa's highest-rated morning personality, in February 2003 after he earned a record $755,000 fine from the Federal Communications Commission for broadcasting skits in which cartoon characters talked about sex and drugs.
Out of work for nearly two years, Clem's career was resuscitated in 2006 when Stern tapped him to work the drive-time shift on one of two channels Sirius was formatting around the self-styled King of All Media.
Now, after ratings in October showing the Howard 101 channel is the second most-listened-to-channel on satellite radio - behind Stern's mother ship Howard 100 channel, of course - Clem has negotiated a return to free "terrestrial" radio.
"I gotta stay away from the sex stuff, basically," Clem said. He often features graphic appearances by strippers on his satellite radio show, which is not bound by government radio indecency rules. "If I get fired again on regular radio, I'm a one-trick Willie ... and I know I'm coming back with a huge target on my back."
Douglas Vanderlaan, the Jacksonville scientist whose 2001 complaint to the FCC brought Clem's record fine, said he's withholding judgment until he hears the new show.
"There's no point in getting upset about a program when I don't know the content," said Vanderlaan. He couldn't say if he would adopt the tactics of advocacy groups such as the Florida Family Association in Tampa, which already has said it will record and monitor Clem's new broadcasts for FCC violations.
While on terrestrial radio in Tampa, Clem was fined for broadcasting a simulation of someone receiving a milk enema. Later, he was tried for animal cruelty after broadcasting the castration and slaughtering of a pig (he was found not guilty).
And he's raised the stakes on satellite: In one stunt, a man's shaved genitals were sprayed with carburetor cleaner.
So the question falls to Cox Radio executives: Why hire a guy who earned a $755,000 fine last time he was on free radio?
"I think Bubba is more concerned about this than I am," said Jay O'Connor, regional vice president and Tampa market manager for Cox Radio. A friend of Clem's who attended his Jan. 13 wedding, O'Connor spent months negotiating the three-year deal. O'Connor says Cox has a strict indecency policy that prohibits graphic talk about sex acts, among other things. Clem's show will operate with a 10-second delay, with pretaped skits screened by executives and advance notice required for controversial bits.
And if Clem crosses the line, drawing another FCC fine?
"Depending on the nature of the utterance, that probably means we would discontinue the program," O'Connor said. "The stakes are high. And Bubba knows the stakes."
Other industry experts were skeptical Clem could switch gears between the unfettered world of satellite and the more regulated terrestrial radio scene - an industry that has tightened content rules since his firing.
"It's like the sailor who gets off the boat and goes home to see mom," said Charlie Ochs, senior vice president and Tampa Bay market manager for CBS Radio, noting Cox Radio's reputation as a conservative broadcaster. "I don't think there will be any pigs killed in the parking lot at Cox."
WFLZ-93.3 FM morning personality Todd "M.J." Schnitt, whom Clem openly challenged during an interview Monday with the St. Petersburg Times, shrugged off news of the competition, saying his audience is more female and upscale.
"I've been in this market for 14 years. I've seen a lot of people come and go," said Schnitt, who worked for Clear Channel at WFLZ when Clem was on WXTB 97.9 FM (98 Rock). "I'm flattered that I'm on his radar ...but I've been steady as a board for 14 years."
Born Todd Clem in Warsaw, Ind., Bubba the Love Sponge Clem took his radio handle as his legal name long ago. Now at 41, he's married with a son and stepdaughter, and disavows his most notorious prank, saying he would not air the pig castration he once defended in court.
"It wasn't illegal, but it was distasteful," Clem said. "After having done it and saw how much of a grotesque act it was, I don't want to see it. It offended me, too."
[Last modified December 10, 2007, 23:38:38]
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The woe of a casual guild, a friend of a raider got brought in. He's not like 20k terrible, but he's definitely not up to par with the rest of the group. I know part of it is raid awareness (dies to stupid shit), but I don't know enough about DK's to really critique his gear or play. I have logs and an armory link - with a warforged weapon and a warforged eye he should be pretty competitive I'd think, but he's not up to snuff yet. Any help you guys could give would be appreciated.
Thanks again!
***Ignore his over the hit-cap, I'm yelling at him to fix that up as soon as I see him tomorrow.


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Infinity problems more complex than first thought
The company canceled two sailings on Infinity last week -- a Feb. 2 sailing from Ensenada, Mexico, to Hawaii and a return trip Feb. 13 -- to make needed repairs. It also shortened a Jan.19 cruise.
At that time, Jack Williams, president and chief operating officer of Celebrity Cruises commented that "The thrust-bearing failure in one of the ship's propulsion systems developed very quickly, and while the ship continues to operate safely, its speed has had to be reduced.Unfortunately, this has resulted in us having to take the ship to an unscheduled drydock. I want to personally apologize of all our guests whose vacation plans have been disrupted due to this disappointing event."
Yesterday, following a thorough examination of the ship's propulsion equipment Celebrity Cruises announced that repairs will take longer than estimated earlier, and will result in one additional sailing - - on Feb. 23 -- being cancelled. Infinity is expected to resume service March 9. The company said that the ship was in transit to Newport News.
Infinity is fitted with the Mermaid podded drive propulsion system.


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That is all.
That is all.
It'd be nice... but it's wishful thinking. Broken have an entirely different skeleton not just a different skin. They also can't wield The Light.
If they were ever added it'd be as an entirely new race.
well they're going to be adding extra customisations in the future.
- They're still deciding whether they'll do it in a big way by introducng them as sub-races, so you'll be able to select say mag'har orcs and dragonmaw orcs alongside Durotar orcs in character creation with their own different class selections and even racial, high elves as a blood elf, human or night elf sub race, wild hammer dwarves as a dwarf minor race, forest troll models etc as races linked to their major race. In that setting they may actually launch them as expansion races/ sub-races rather, maybe even give them a phsed 1-6 starting zone of an existing area (i don't think they'll design a new zone for them), might even go as far as new voice regardings, even alter animations slightly, likely slightly different racials tot he main race, probably just 1 racial different.
In this scenario, it is very likely you'd see the broken/corrupted draenei added at some point along the way as a draenei sub-race..however bear in mind, that unlike mag'har orcs, or taunka or high evlves or wildhammer dwarves and most race factions (sub-racs as they've been dubbed), broken draenei are a different model altoogether, so that may take time.
- The other alternative they can do this as is the less glamarous way, and just add extra skins and features on the sliders, and leave it up to your imagination based on your knowledge of wow lore to decide whether you're playing a mag'har orc or dragonmaw or a wildhammer etc because they'll be nothing in character creation to indicate that, just the skins. It may be easier to do this than the introduce them as sub-races but if they do, they will be significantly diminishing the value of their lore, cos player will be picking these options and have no clue whatsoever, that that's actually a dark iron dwarf, or that's a mag'har orc, as the'y'd be no indciation in starting zone or quest or anything telling that, and whiles they may meet Mag'har orcs in Nagrand, they'd be so many players and npcs with taht skin, no one will know that actaully brown skin means your mag'har., or non-glowy green or blue eyes is actually high elf etc, and once again all the detail and depth in your universe will be wasted for a quick fix, it just waters down your product. Migth be quicker to code in, but the more you get people excited and into your lore, the more you benefit cos they last longer, explore more and buy more stuff like books, films comics etc.
i prefer the first scenario, i think presenting the extra customisations as "Expansion Feature: New playable sub-races" is a far bigger eye catch, than just saying, "Expansion Feature "New race customizations", especially if you do something like introdcue them in phased zones, evein if it's only level 1-6, another alternative is that you give them as advanced races, that start at the level zone you first encounnter them in the game. e.g. Taunka will start in Northrend-Borean Tundra/West Dragonblight - so this race will start at level 72 if you pick it or if you unlock it. - they could decide at a later date once a race is unlock you can start form level 1 with it ..or if you unlock it by completing Taunka faction related quests only, you can either start a new taunka character at hat stae, or convert your exsiting character to taunka.
other e.g include.
Wildhammer dwarf @ Level 84 in Twilight Highlands
Gilgoblin at level 82 i Vashj
Human forsaken at level 15 in Silverpine Forest
Mag'har Orc at level 64 in Nagrand
Highbourne at level 35 in Feralas Eldre'thalas (Dire Maul)
Leper Gnome - Level 3 Gnomeragan
Cyborg Gnome - either Borean Tundra level 71 or Stompeak @ level 77
Dragonmaw Orc - LEvel 84 Twilight Highlands
Forsaken Elf - Level 25 - Tarren Mill
San'layan Blood Elf - Eastern Plaguelands Level 40
Broken - Level 62 Zangermarsh or 64 Nagrand
Yungol - Level 87 Pandaria
High Elf - Level 65 - Crystal Song Forest/Dalaran - Northrend
Forest Troll - Level 32 Raventusk Village Hinterlands
the list can go on a long way, depend son how many customisations you make for sub races - most are really just the original race with extra or unique features, or some minor but noticeable difference, some though are a different model altogther like Broken or Yungol Tauren.
Last edited by ravenmoon; 2014-07-07 at 09:22 AM.
I expect Sub Race skins to be monetized. Look at what they are doing for Heroes of the Storm. While MOBAs are in fact different, I see them applying that model to WoW for extra customizations. Some may be obtainable in game or unlocked with an expansion, but I see many more options being cash shop stuff.
Broken will not appear in the AU, so you likely won't see them updated. They often focus on updates that are needed to fill out the expansion content.
Dragonmaw orcs are never happening. As of SoO they're back to being an enemy faction, 100% of the effort spent in TH wasted utterly. They went and joined the Iron Horde, and their leader is a 5 man boss. I see them mentioned in every sub race suggestion. It sickens me.
I think almost every race except night elves, worgen and gnomes have members of their biological race that are enemies to them. Undead also in a sense, but they have enemies in ALL the scourge undead still around which are the same race, but not really the same. They deal with their rebels well.
Blood elves have the High elves
Orcs - have so many clans still enemy to the Azeroth horde.
Humans - lots of rogue factions wastewander gang of tanaris, Alterac humans, The Syndicate etc
Dwarves - Iron dwarve - Dark irons use to be enemies but are no longer
Tauren - Grimtotem and Yungol
Trolls - ALL trolls except for Raventusk and Shatterspear tribes
Goblins - Gilgoblins, coal goblins
Draenei - Ma'nari (Eredar) i.e. all the burning legion lords
Broken are a subrace. Blizzard doesn't add subrace skins in. They're definitely not adding subrace variant models.
Also, the Broken are not "corrupted". In the draenic genocide, the Orcs co-opted a chemical weapon from the Legion known as the Red Mist. Using this on the Draenei caused their connection to the Light to be severed completely. From there, the Draenei's bodies slowly degenerated over time. Those who clung to their sanity became Broken, whereas those who were driven insane became Lost Ones. To put it in the simplest of terms, they're not corrupted, just ugly fuckin' Draenei without the ability to wield the Light.
A large number of Orcs/Goblins were an enemy in SoO, and yet you can still play as Orcs/Goblins.
The only real difference that SoO might make , in-game on the world wise, is 2nd revamp or removal of RFC
something like this would be saved for a future expansion. Unlikely to come about now or the next one.
Broken are too visually different from Draenei, and lore-wise are not the same group of Draenei.
IMO they wouldn't be a good idea for a "subrace". Anything beyond simple clan-like differences (eg, Dragonmaw Orcs, Wildhammer Dwarves) should be true races or not available at all.
You know, I don't really like the idea of subraces. The way WoW is built a race is a big deal and it comes with a specific starting zone, they are all strongly distinct from each other in look and origin. The structure of the game until now just doesn't support the idea of shitloads of available races, with various lore justifications and origins. Subraces are a rather awkward way of getting around that.
The playable Draenei are Draenei that traveled with Velen on the Exodar to escape Draenor. The Broken Draenei are specifically a part of the Draenei that stayed on Draenor. They are -not- part of the Alliance. I'm all for Dark Irons and browns orcs and so on, but the Broken do not make sense as a playable race, this is furthered by the fact that the Broken are -not relevant- in WoD, because at this point in time the Broken did not yet exist.
- - - Updated - - -
The broken aren't going to be in WoD so why update them?
Broken, Taunka, Forest Trolls, Ice Trolls, Yaungol and Skeletons are models, not skins. They'd be far more unlikely be added as playable.
Look at what they are doing for Heroes of the Storm.
Last edited by bondshai; 2014-07-07 at 08:31 AM.
but I suspect if sub-races ever came they would not have completely different animations, i suspect some sub-races will have a few animations that might be different, but I suspect they will mix up. e.g. high elves in game use night elf emotes, and sound like night elves, they just don't say anything to do with Elune.
i.e. they will do things like or could:
High Elf = uses NIght elf model and animations, just adapted to blood elf heigh, blood elf skin tones, blood elf hair colours , blood facial hair features, blood elf ears, normal human eyes - but it would be night elf animations.
highbourne = one way they could make highbourne visually distinct from night elves, is rather than create whole new animations, they use the blood elf skeleton instead, but give it night elf height, night elf ears, night elf silver eyes (no gold for highbourne) - but it would be blood elf animations, I'm not sure if they'll record new emotes, but if they don't, they could use the blood elf voices minus anything that says sin'dorei.
Broken = uses Tauren skeleton i.e. the borken will have tauren animations with possibly a few unique feature specific animations like if they decide they'll animate the tentacles., but it would be broken skin , broken height on the model
Cyborg Gnome = now this is a sub-race while not currently in lore, could easily be - cyborg gnome is a half mecha-gnome, gnomes who were experimentin g with the process that converts them to mecha gnomes to agument themselves or mecha-gnomes who are inflicted with the so called curse of flesh. For these though, they could use make a whole new set of animations, but I would use the goblin skeleton.
Forsaken Humans = blood elf models customised to human. these don't exist currently in game either, but I suggested them last year from the basis that the best way to make both factions equal without having to push the horde in the lore, quests and pvp so much was to give them humans that looked like us. Cos while forsaken undead are human, they're zombies and look different, so concoct a story that has some forskaen undead regain their flesh again, so you get a sub-group of forsaken that are fully human. Don't use the human model though, use the blood elf model for them, just give the blood elf model normal eyes, human ears, human eyebrows, and add some dark skin tones, even some affro hairstyles.
Lorderon humans should kinda look different from stormwind humans anyway and it would be clear quite visually that forsaken humans are not alliance human, because they look like human versions of blood elves.
Most of the other sub-races though would be based on the existing major race. The reason it would be a good idea for highbourne to use blood elf skeletons, is because there is no distincitve visual difference between highbourne and other night elves except perhaps for dress sense. Unlike Mag'har orcs, which are orcs but with brown skin, tribal feathers and other unique features, Wildhammers who are dwarves but paler, slightly taller and have tattoos etc
Most of the sub-races would fall into the category. Some will be easy like Mag'har orcs, some harder like Taunka who require animating a different face, and broken who though animated like tauren, would need some unique animations.


text: Hi Linus,> In article <firstname.lastname@example.com> you write:> >Something strange is going on with the speed of graphics display> >operations in 2.1.132-pre4, compared to pre-2 (never did try pre-3,> >I'm afraid).> > The frame buffer devices were updated. Could you please try to compile> your kernel without CONFIG_FB, and see if the problem goes away. If it> does, we know where the bug is.Your guess was correct - the problem goes away when disablingCONFIG_FB. When I get some time between Christmas duties, I'll playsome more with the various options for the Matrix fb driver and see ifthat changes anything.And a merry christmas to everyone.-- Henrik Storner Praeterea censeo, Microsoftem esse delendam!-To unsubscribe from this list: send the line "unsubscribe linux-kernel" inthe body of a message to firstname.lastname@example.com read the FAQ at http://www.tux.org/lkml/


text:
Data Providers>ACADEMIC>UNH/EOS
International Partnerships in Ice Core SciencesEntry ID: twickler_0401116
Abstract: Society would benefit greatly from the ability to efficiently allocate
resources to minimize disruptions caused by climate change. This requires the
ability to predict the response of future climate to natural and anthropogenic
forcing on time scales of months to centuries. To do so we need to understand
how the sun, ocean, land, atmosphere, and cryosphere interact to ... create the
climate that controls so many aspects of our daily lives. One of the ways the
science community develops this understanding is to study the earth's climate
history. By learning how and why the climate changed in the past, we will be
able to make better predictions of how the climate will change in the future.
Ice sheets and glaciers contain well-ordered accumulations of ancient ice that
fell as snow years to millions of years ago. The dust particles, soluble
chemicals, and gases trapped in the ice are routinely used to study how the
climate system operated in the past, and how it will operate in the future. To
sample this ice, an international community of scientists and engineers drill
into ice and collect ice cores. The information from ice core programs helps
explain how climate changes occur throughout the world, not just at the site at
which the core was drilled. This is possible because most of the material in
the core, such as dust and gases, is representative of large regions. Ice
coring projects range in size from a single investigator working for a single
field season, to multi-national, multi-year efforts. Investigations using ice
cores have documented how climate varied naturally before anthropogenic
influences, and have shown there is a tight link between temperature and the
atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.
Ice core data have become central to our understanding of past climate change,
and to assessments of possible future climate change. Ice core investigations
are now a major branch of climate research, and the complexity of ice core
projects has increased accordingly. To meet the expectations of the climate
research community, increasingly complex future ice coring projects will
require international collaboration. In March 2004, representatives from the
international ice coring research community convened a workshop to develop
concepts for the projects that are needed to predict both natural and
anthropogenic climate change. The International Partnerships in Ice Core
Sciences (IPICS) Workshop was supported by the U.S National Science Foundation.
Fifty-five scientists, engineers, and funding agency representatives from
Australia, Canada, China, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia,
Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States attended the workshop.
The major recommendations of the workshop are:
-Continue the Dialogue. Representatives of the international ice coring
community should meet in 2005 to discuss implementation of current plans, and
then continue to have regular meetings that include the exchange of information
on ice core science and drilling that will be helpful to future and
ongoing projects. Heinz Miller, on behalf of the European Polar Board, stated
that Europe would like to host a follow-up IPICS meeting during 2005.
-Retrieve Longest Possible Antarctic Ice Core Climate Record. A program should
be initiated to collect an Antarctic ice core climate record longer than 1.2
million years. This program will provide insights into the way future climate
will respond to changes in the distribution of solar heating, by examining how
natural changes, driven by changes in the earths orbit, evolved over this long
time frame. Initially this will require a multi-year effort to locate the
optimal drilling locations for the collection of cores to address this topic.
Ice cores should be collected from at least two locations in East Antarctica.
The site selection work should be initiated during the International Polar
Year. Additional workshops should be held to develop a framework for this
-Longest Possible Arctic Ice Core Climate Record. A program should be
initiated to collect the longest possible Arctic ice core climate record, with
the specific goal of completely penetrating ice deposited the last time the
earth was in a warm (interglacial) state like today. This program will provide
critical insights into the natural variability of our current climate and, by
elucidating how the last warm period ended, may yield information on how the
current warm period will end. The optimal location for this project has been
narrowed down to a small area in northwest Greenland. A minor amount of
additional site selection work, which could occur early in the International
Polar Year, is required before drilling can proceed. Preparations for the
drilling could be completed by the end of the International Polar Year.
Additional workshops should be held to develop a detailed plan for this
-Spatial Array of Ice Cores. A program should be initiated to collect a
spatial array of ice cores on time scales ranging from centuries to millennia.
Many climate questions can only be answered if there is a well-designed spatial
array to investigate how hemisphere-scale climate phenomena interact to create
climate, and a coordinated effort is required to develop such an array. The
individual coring projects that make up the array should be facilitated, but
not directed, at the international level. This program would include polar
sites with records extending into the last glacial period, and a worldwide
distribution of sites with higher time resolution records extending through the
last millennium. Some of the smaller individual projects that make up this
program could be completed during the International Polar Year. The site
selection for some of the larger individual projects that make up this program
could be initiated during the International Polar Year. Additional workshops
should be held to develop a planning document for an international body to
facilitate the development of this global array.
-Improve Ice Coring Methods. An ongoing international effort to improve ice
coring methods should be initiated. This effort would focus on improving
drilling fluids, core quality, drilling efficiency, and replicate coring
methods. This effort could be facilitated with annual workshops and
international exchanges of drilling staff. To reach the objective of being able
to predict future climate variations, a new international approach to ice
coring is required. Implementing these recommendations is a necessary step
towards reaching that objective.
To view the full report, please see:
Related URL
Geographic Coverage
Spatial coordinates
Location Keywords
Science Keywords
ISO Topic Category
Ancillary Keywords
Data Set Progress
Originating Center
Data Center
Role: INVESTIGATOR
Phone: (603) 862-1991
Fax: 603-862-1915
Email: mark.twickler at unh.edu
Contact Address:
Climate Change Research Center Institute for the Study of Earth and Ocean Sciences University of New Hampshire
City: Durham
Province or State: NH
Postal Code: 03264
Country: USA
Role: DIF AUTHOR
Phone: 303-492-2378
Fax: 303-492-2468
Email: bauer at nsidc.org
Contact Address:
University of Colorado Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences CIRES 449 UCB
City: Boulder
Province or State: CO
Postal Code: 80309
Country: USA
Bamber, J.L., S. Ekholm, W.B. Krabill, A new, high-resolution digital elevation
model of Greenland fully validated with airborne laser altimeter data, J.
Geophys. Res., 106 (B4), 6733-6745, 2001.
Bromwich, D.H., A.N. Rogers, P. Lallberg, R.I. Cullather, J.W.C. White, K.J.
Kreutz, ECMWF analyses and reanalyses depiction of ENSO signals in Antarctic
... precipitation, J. Clim., 13, 1406-1420, 2000.
Butkovitch, T.R., Density of single crystals of ice from a temperate glacier,
U.S. Army SIPRE Research Report 7, 1954.
Curran M., T.D. van Ommen, V.I. Morgan, K.L Phillips, A.S. Palmer, Ice core
evidence for Antarctic sea ice decline since the 1950s, Science 302 (5648),
1203-1206, 2003.
Epifanov, V.P., M.A Faustov, Method for studying structural-changes in
viscoelastic bodies under compression, Industrial Laboratory, 50 (11),
1119-1121, 1984.
Etheridge, D.M., L.P. Steele, R.L. Langenfelds, R.J. Francey, J.-M. Barnola,
V.I. Morgan, Natural and anthropogenic changes in atmospheric CO2 over the last
1000 years from air in Antarctic ice and firn, J.Geophys. Res., 101(D2),
4115-4128, 1996.
Etheridge, D.M., L.P. Steele, R.J. Francey, R.L. Langenfelds, Atmospheric
methane between 1000 A.D. and present: Evidence of anthropogenic emissions and
climatic variability, J. Geophys. Res., 103 (D13), 15979-15994, 1998.
Fletcher, N.H., The Chemical Physics of Ice, Cambridge, Cambridge University
Press, 271 pp., 1970.
Francey, R.J., M.R. Manning, C.E. Allison, S.A. Coram, D.M. Etheridge, R.L.
Langenfelds, D.C. Lowe, L.P. Steele, A history of ∂13C in atmospheric CH4
from the Cape Grim Air Archive and Antarctic firn air, J. Geophys. Res., 104
Frezzotti M., and 12 others, Geophysical survey at Talos Dôme (East
Antarctica): The search for a new deep-drilling site, Ann. Glaciol., 39, in
press, 2005.
Hansson, M.E., The Renland ice core. A Northern Hemisphere record of aerosol
composition over 120,000 years, Tellus, 46B, 390-418, 1994.
Hammer, C.U., S.J. Johnsen, H.B. Clausen, D. Dahl-Jensen, N. Gundestrup, J.P.
Steffensen, The paleoclimatic record from a 345m long ice core from the Hans
Tausen Iskappe, Meddelelser om Grønland, Geoscience, 39, 87-95, 2001.
Johnsen, S.J., H.B. Clausen, W. Dansgaard, N.S. Gundestrup, M. Hansson, P.
Jonsson, J.P. Steffensen, A.E. Sveinbjörnsdottir, A "deep" ice core from East
Greenland, Meddelelser om Grønland, Geoscience, 29, 1-22, 1992.
Kreutz, K.J., P.A. Mayewski, M.S. Twickler, S.I. Whitlow, J.W.C. White, C.A.
Shuman, C.F. Raymond, H. Conway, N.A. Nereson, J. McConnell, K. Taylor,
Seasonal variations of glaciochemical, isotopic, and stratigraphic properties
in Siple Dome, Antarctica, surface snow, Ann. Glaciol., 38-44, 1999.
Morgan V., M. Delmotte, T. van Ommen, J. Jouzel, J. Chappellaz, S. Woon, V.
Masson-Delmotte, D. Raynaud, Relative timing of deglacial climate events in
Antarctica and Greenland, Science 297 (5588), 1862-1864, 2002.
Stenni B., M. Proposito, R. Gragnani, O. Flora, J. Jouzel, S. Falourd, M.
Frezzotti, Eight centuries of volcanic signal and climate change at Talos Dome
(East Antarctica), J. Geophys. Res, 10, 1-13, 2002.
Trudinger, C.M., I.G. Enting, D.M. Etheridge, R.J. Francey, V.A. Levchenko,
L.P. Steele, D. Raynaud, L. Arnaud, Modeling air movement and bubble trapping
in firn, J. Geophys. Res., 102 (D6), 6747-6764, 1997.
Trudinger C.M., D.M. Etheridge, P.J. Rayner, I.G. Enting, G.A. Sturrock, R.L.
Langenfelds, Reconstructing atmospheric histories from measurements of air
composition in firn, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (D24), 4780, 2002.
Turrock G.A., D.M. Etheridge, C.M. Trudinger, P.J. Fraser, A.M. Smith,
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Montreal Protocol species, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (D24), 4765, 2002.
Extended Metadata Properties
(Click to view more)
Creation and Review Dates
DIF Creation Date: 2006-01-13
Last DIF Revision Date: 2017-08-23


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Cars > mrheiner2647's Garage > Blog > Car investing turning into a passion
Blog Categories
mrheiner2647's Blog Posts 1 – 2 of 2
- Meeting our 67' Nova
- Fri Jul 16, 2010 | 3 comments
- Car investing turning into a passion
- Mon Jul 12, 2010 | comment
Car investing turning into a passion
Jul 12, 2010 | Views: 273
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What I have learned is that no matter how you get into this sort of thing, cars are addicting. I am one who really likes to learn, but I am a hands on learner. Giving me a shop manual isn't gonna help much, but talking to people and working on the car with them is how I learn. And danged if folks were not correct: these old cars you can actually work on!
So after years of never really knowing much about cars, all of the sudden I find myself at the cars 101 level talking about POSI, under systems, transmissions, tri-power set up, and all sorts of things. I couldn't tell you what it means to bore something out, but I'm really excited about learning.
Admittedly there are advantages and disadvantages to my approach with this. I will never be as good on my cars as guys who have been doing it forever, but with eight kids I don't have the time anyway. But I do have the resources to have one car I need to keep matching, and one car that I can keep beautifully modified. And in both cases I can keep them nice and make improvements, but I'm not in a position where I have the time or space to actually do the work myself.
But I am grateful that in this world of car investing and restoration, it doesn't seem to matter how you get into this. If you are humble, like to learn, and polite with others, there are GREAT people out who are ever so willing to talk cars and who will answer even the dumbest of questions!
Welcome to the world of cars!
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Cars > mrheiner2647's Garage > Blog > Car investing turning into a passion


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Make Your Own Christmas Gifts: Bath Salts and Bath Time TreatsWorkshop
13 November 19:00 - 22:00
Book your space on this course led by Medical Herbalist Bill Cleeve making unique gifts that everyone will love. Each class you will make a collection of Chrsitmas girfts or stocking stuffers that are ideals for friends and family.
Second in a series of three Make Your Own Gifts courses.
Price: £10 per class or £24 for all three.
Please note spaces are limited and are allocated on a first come, first served basis.
To book your space, go online to www.woodlandherbs.co.uk call 0141 564 3184, or visit the shop.


text:
|( 5 upvotes )
|( 24 upvotes )
|thatz horrible how can you say that's funny?!
|One of the greats!
|But more hilarious.
|This is horrible and hilarious.
|My sense of humor is on, and working according to specs. If you need help with yours let me know.
|How could you find this funny?
|Yup - definitely a 5 lion moment!
|Omg that is so mean
|Yeah, wot the Guiness swiller said! 5. Great.
|Touchingly harsh. 5L
|( 20 upvotes )
|Me? I like the sticky puns.....mmmmmm
|I love the puns. 5
|thanks guys...it's beer time!
|Nice play on words and concepts. 5.
|This is a great work of original motifake art, boosted by it's simplicity.
|Mucho thanks moooooooooooooooooooooo
|I thought it was pretty good.
|Don't expect everyone to get it...sorry you feel that way
|extreme fail
|( 15 upvotes )
|( 24 upvotes )
|What was the last war america won on it's own? The war of tax evasion? (Indepedence). And that was only because it was too far away for britain to keep it up.
|If you aint rubbing you aint racing! And if you aint cheating you aint trying.
|There's no cheating when "All fair in love and war"
Misc info


text:
Brad Cleveland
| Published: October 29, 2009 | Comments
A budget can be defined as "a summary of proposed or agreed upon expenditures for a given period of time, for specified purposes." Simple enough. But the process of putting a budget together is often seen by managers as tedious, time-consuming and, some say, distracting from "more important management responsibilities." The best managed call centers remember, however, the outcome of this least favorite activity: the funding the call center has with which to accomplish its purpose.
Call centers that get the funding they need give budgeting the care and respect it is due. In analyzing many of these organizations, we've noticed that seven principles are at work.
The first is that an effective budgeting process is based on a solid understanding of the call center's importance and value. Those who are involved in proposing and approving the budget have a good sense of the call center's importance in today's economy (see Trait 1: They Produce High Levels of Value). When all involved agree on the call center's contribution to customer satisfaction and loyalty, improved quality and innovation, focused marketing, efficient delivery of services and, if applicable, sales, then the requirement for funding will get the attention it deserves.
The budgeting process must also be driven by the customer access strategy. When you define who your customers are, when and how they desire to reach you, the means by which you will identify, route, handle, and track those contacts, and how you will leverage the information that comes from them, you make the customer access strategy the de facto blueprint for the budget (see Trait 2: They Have a Supporting Culture).
At a more tactical level, an effective budgeting process is a seamless extension of resource planning. Call centers are planning-intensive, and forecasting, staffing and scheduling activities are ongoing responsibilities (see Trait 5: They Have an Established, Collaborative Planning Process). While the budget must look beyond the here and now to anticipate future staffing, technology and organizational requirements, the best managed centers use the day-to-day planning activities they are already doing to take the budgeting process most of the way toward completion.An effective process also identifies resource/results tradeoffs. Good management teams ask predictable questions: What happens if you provide a better level of service? Lower the level of service? How much would you save/spend if...? Once the budget for expected workload is established, along with recommended resources, it is fairly straightforward to rerun scenarios. These illustrations will contribute enormously to good budgeting decisions (and will score points with the CFO!).
An effective budget also maximizes cross-functional resources. This powerful principle brings together objectives and budgets from across the organization. For example, corporate lawyers are increasingly going to bat for email and text message management systems, which can enable the legal team to help the call center create consistent and legally defensible responses to customer interactions. IT managers are underscoring the need for well-trained call center staff to ensure that customer relationship technologies and Web-based services are successful. And marketing managers are increasingly willing to provide budget to capture and study call center interactions for clues to consumer demands and behavior.
An effective budgeting process also builds understanding of the call center environment. Top management and other executives involved in the process make the best decisions when they understand the basics of random call arrival, occupancy, schedule adherence and other call center realities. They must also appreciate the reasons that call center budgets may need to grow, such as more channels of access, increasing complexity, elasticity in demand, and higher customer expectations.
Finally, the budgeting process must be honest, responsible and visible. It must be realistic about the recent past and whether or not the call center has been meeting its objectives. It must put that in context with customer and agent satisfaction, and with the objectives and funding being proposed. It must support the mission of the organization and dovetail with the roles and requirements of other areas. And it must be visible to those involved in the approval process as well as key managers from across the organization.
Brad Cleveland is a sought-after speaker and consultant who has worked across 45 states and in over 60 countries for organizations such as American Express, Apple, Coca-Cola, USAA, HP and others. His books and articles have been translated into more than a dozen languages, and he's appeared in media ranging from the Wall Street Journal to the New York Times, and on CNBC, ABC, Fox and elsewhere. Brad was a founding partner in and former President/CEO of ICMI; he currently serves as Senior Advisor, and can be reached at email@example.com.
Connect with Brad:Twitter: @bradclevelandEmail: firstname.lastname@example.com: www.linkedin.com/in/bradcleveland1Blog: www.bradcleveland.com/blog
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text:
Clinical Guitar Coaching
Skills to take directly into your clinical music therapy work.
In my conversations with music therapists, educators, and students, it's become quite clear that many don't feel as confident on guitar as they would like.
Have you ever:
...wished you new more chords so you could make a song more interesting?
...felt silly arpeggiating really basic chords for minutes on end?
...been intimidated by barre chords?
...had a client who could play better than you?
If so, don't worry. I know these feelings are unpleasant, but it's not your fault. Sometimes music therapy professionals and students don't have access to high quality guitar instruction. Some music therapy programs may not have the best support when it comes to learning these clinical guitar skills. There are a number of reasons why you may not have had the best guitar-learning experience.
But now, with technological advancements and professionals who know and understand these problems, there are more avenues for learning.
I would love to be your guitar coach. Please contact me HERE for prices and information.
What will help YOU feel more confident in sessions?
- Play barre chords with ease
- Increase your chord repertoire
- Spice up songs and sound like a pro
- Play new styles and keep up with trends
- Write and implement beautiful chord progressions for relaxation
- Be confident with guitar theory
- Transition between chords smoothly
- Play chords and melody at the same time
- Memorize songs easier to focus more on interactions


text:
This information is provided for your convenience and may no longer be valid.
Know more about this business than we do? Cool! Please submit any corrections or missing details you may have.Help us make it right
Be the first AL.com user to add photos or videos of Back Draft Ministries
Back Draft Ministries is located at 2239 Third Ave, Dothan, AL. This business specializes in Religion & Spirituality.
Back Draft Ministries was founded in 2009, and is located at 2239 Third Ave in Dothan. It employs 2 employees and is generating approximately $76,000.00 in annual revenue.


text: On Sun, Feb 15, 2004 at 08:43:32PM +0100, Matthias Urlichs wrote: > Hi, > > Mathieu Roy: > > Matthias Urlichs: > > > IME, whether you see a difference between those phrases depends mostly on > > > whether your parents and/or teachers did. > > > > I'm not sure to understand what you mean. By no way "acting" is equal > > to "being". > > I didn't say it's equal. I said that you may not be aware of the > difference between the two phrases, emotionally, if/when somebody says > one of them to you. > > I know that from personal experience. :-/ The again, as those lost in their own minds will tell you, to act "as if" and "to be" are the same. If you can't be it, act like it -- and you will be it. Merely to make the sign of the cross before leaping over a gorge that could lead to your death will have physiological effects, to quicken your pulse and stiffen your muscles, which will make you more likely to jump farther. The results are equivalent "as if" there were a God there to answer your prayer -- and thus some say God exists when we think of him. I call it Karma or "my neat, neat mind" instead -- the results are the same.


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While Marty Bell may have violated campaign law, we're not sure he can be disqualified. Fining him seems more appropriate. [C-J/AKN]
Take a look at that view: Jerry Abramson, Greg Fischer and Larry Clark. Possibility City or all that's wrong with politics? [WLKY]
A judge in Louisville has decided to open files in a juvenile case that led to a teenager who was sexually assaulted being accused of contempt for tweeting information about the case. [WLEX18]
Every summer for the past four years, the National Organization for Marriage's (NOM) Ruth Institute has invited college students from across the country to participate in its weekend-long "It Takes A Family To Raise A Village" (ITAF) conference in San Diego, CA. According to NOM, the conference is meant to prepare college students to defend "natural marriage" on their campuses by introducing them to a number of prominent anti-gay speakers and activists. [Equality Matters]
Sexytime Karen Sypher's attorney, James Earhart, is going to represent Barbara Shanklin during the ethics shenanigans. [WDRB]
Everybody in Lexington is still freaking out about rising gas prices. Because, you know, they haven't been rising everywhere else or anything. [H-L]
A homeless man claimed someone set him on fire while he was sleeping Sunday night. [WAVE3]
Take a look at these ten urban projects that could change city landscapes for the better. Don't worry, Louisville isn't part of this. [Fast Company]
The latest in a string of bogus headlines: Mayor Fischer assists in lowering euthanization rates in healthy animals. Wow. [WHAS11]
Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn vetoed a bill to allow expanded gambling in the state, where Churchill Downs Inc. had hoped to add slot or video poker machines at two of its properties. [Business First]
News that Lexmark will lay off hundreds of local workers has Lexington city cfficials(sic) assessing how it will impact tax revenues. [WFPL]


text:
Welcome To freegames4u.biz
When there is a desire to play free arcade games, you would always wish to be showered with options of different forms. Whether you have the classic games in mind or wish to get innovative with different adventurous or racing games, you would always wish to try out something different. And this is where freegames4u.biz serves you with a helping hand. We allow you to play free arcade games at sites, where variety and opportunity join hands to provide you with a deadly combination. Again, you also have the scope of finding out sites, where people of any age can play free arcade games for long, without having the fear of getting bored.
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Click on as many objects as possible to get the song to play nicely
Another Mini Golf game that can be play on your desktop
Shoot from cannon to cannon in this rapid fire puzzle/skill game!
The object is to get all the people across the river. There are rules to be obey
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EA Ceramics are a local company established in 1982 who are specialists in the supply of glazed, full body and polished porcelain tiles as well as red and white bodied ceramic tiles. We have a 10,000 sq ft showroom which you are welcome to visit and see at liberty the vast choice we have chosen to suit all tastes and budget. Here you will also find our experienced and knowledgeable staff who are always on hand to assist you on all aspects of tiling, whether it be for domestic or commercial use.
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One of Iowa's only Aquaponics facilities is marketing locally grown, chemical free vegetables and fish raised in a sustainable manner and available year round. All Seasons Harvest is located just north of Cedar Falls and grows lettuce, kale, herbs and Tilapia fish in a six thousand square foot greenhouse.
Fish and fresh veggies make an appealing paring for dinner, but they can also be a great duo in the greenhouse. Host Charity Nebbe discusses aquaponics, which is the growing of crops with nutrient rich waste water from fish farming. Iowa State University Extension fisheries specialist Allen Pattillo and horticulturist Richard Jauron join the program.


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You have to go back nearly a decade, to 2005, to rediscover a time when the forthcoming year looked as if it would be a prosperous one. Little did most people know back then that a steroidal housing boom would peak in 2006 and enter a savage, six-year bust, followed by a financial panic and the worst economic downturn since the 1930s.
Forecasters are once again cautiously optimistic about the next 12 months. "All in all, the outlook appears balanced and better," economists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch wrote in a recent preview of 2014. "For the first time in several years, we approach the new year with no major cloud on the horizon."
A lot, for once, seems to be going right, or at least not going wrong. U.S. employers are slowly but consistently adding jobs, housing is picking up, Europe's debt woes finally seem contained, the stock market has soared and there's even a budget deal of sorts in the madhouse known as Washington, D.C. There's still too much debt in the global economy, and other wounds need to heal, but the stage seems set for calm markets and modest growth in 2014.
The most dangerous risks are the ones nobody foresees, however, which could make complacency the biggest enemy of all in 2014. Here are a few things that could go wrong during the next 12 months:
A fumbled "policy handoff" in Washington. Depending on what happens with the economy going forward, the Federal Reserve will likely continue to wind down the huge bond-buying program known as quantitative easing, which it recently pared back by $10 billion, to $75 billion in bond purchases a month. What's harder to prepare for is a double-whammy that could occur if the Fed is reducing its aid to the economy at the same time that another smackdown erupts in Congress over the federal borrowing limit (which could happen as early as March) or there's some other shock to the economy. "Exogenous shocks have a much bigger impact if they happen while you're tightening monetary policy," says Peter Fisher of investing firm BlackRock. "You don't notice it as much as when monetary conditions are easing."
Investors lose confidence in central banks. As in, REALLY lose confidence, rather than just wondering if risky quantitative easing policies in the United States, Europe and Japan will help stimulate growth and create jobs, as intended. If global QE flops, the most likely consequence would be rising interest rates, which would exacerbate public debt problems in all three regions and perhaps force politicians to raise taxes or take other unpopular steps. The biggest risk may be an excessive comfort level with QE, which could turn out to be far less benign than investors have begun to believe.
Hostilities in Asia. China and Japan, traditional rivals, are jostling over a strip of uninhabited islands in the East China Sea, along with the fishing rights, energy reserves and strategic positioning that go with them. China's declaration of a new "air-defense identification zone" in November escalated the dispute, with both the United States and Japan recently challenging China's claim of sovereignty over the airspace. In North Korea, meanwhile, the recent execution of a high-level apparatchik seems to indicate doughboy leader Kim Jong Un feels a new level of confidence — or is it insecurity? If he's acting out because he feels threatened, it could presage more skullduggery in a regime that's either surprisingly stable or alarmingly brittle.
These Asian powers, plus South Korea, have jabbed at each other for years, while mostly avoiding outright hostilities. And peace is in everybody's interest. But if rising nationalism in any or all of these countries leads to a fight, markets will quake, and trade between many of the world's largest economies will be disrupted.
The usual Middle East meltdown. The danger of an oil shock that could arise from Middle East turmoil is a perennial risk, with a few new wrinkles to add to the usual scenarios. The ongoing civil war in Syria hasn't affected oil prices so far, but it has turned into a kind of proxy war between Saudi Arabia, which backs several rebel groups, and Iran, which supports Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. What will happen if the rebels win?
The potential rapprochement between Iran and the United States, meanwhile, could alienate Saudi Arabia, which is fighting a long cold war with Iran for dominance in the region. This sort of intrigue in the Middle East is nothing new, of course. But it would rattle markets if it caused instability in Saudi Arabia or other big oil-producing nations.
An unforeseen new bust in Europe. There seems to be a real-estate bubble in Sweden, believe it or not. After all the bursting bubbles of the past five years, one more, in an economy as small as Sweden's (GPD: about $525 billion, or 3% the size of the U.S. economy) probably seems inconsequential. But small events can sometimes trigger much bigger ones — especially if nobody's expecting trouble--and it's always possible some pebble of a problem will set off another financial slide in Greece, Italy, Spain or other overindebted nations.
Twelve months from now, we might look back on a blessedly unremarkable year in which most parts of the economy got better and nothing terrible happened. It does happen every now and then. The unmistakable lesson of modern times, however, is: Don't count on it.
Rick Newman's latest book is Rebounders: How Winners Pivot From Setback To Success. Follow him on Twitter: @rickjnewman.


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Erika Dohan (née Winter) was born in 1931 in Trnava, Czechoslovakia. Her parents were Viola and Leo Winter, and she had one brother. At the end of August 1944, the Germans invaded Slovakia and Erika and her family went into hiding with a Christian family. They were caught by the Gestapo in October 1944, after a neighbor gave them away, and they were sent to the Sered labor camp in Slovakia. On 1 November 1944, the family was sent to Auschwitz-Birkenau.
There was no selection when they arrived at the camp, despite the fact that the transport was full of children and old people. Erika and her brother were eventually separated from their parents after about a week. Erika and her brother were liberated by the Red Army on 27 January 1945. (Her brother is not in the photograph).
In June 1949, Erika emigrated to Israel, where she later worked as a medical librarian. Today she lives in Haifa. A widow, she is the mother of one, and has three grandchildren.


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SHI Annual Tournament
The annual SHI tournament brings together teams from across North America and Europe once a year for a major gathering, attracting more than 70 teams. This tournament traditionally alternates between a Canadian and American City, but has also been hosted in London, England. The SHI tournament is sanctioned by the host team's governing body (ie Hockey Canada, USA Hockey, or other IIHF affiliated governing body) but it is not a traditional tournament. Special hockey is non-contact and non-competitive. There are no elimination rounds, no one team is crowned champion. In our eyes they are all champions. Every team plays 4 games and every player on every team plays equally.
Although the players do play their hardest and they are all trying to win, the spirit of this tournament is not about competition. It is about participation and fair play. If one team can't field a full roster another team will lend them players. If a team's only goalie is hurt or otherwise unable to play, another team will lend them one. Words alone cannot describe it. You have to see it to truly understand and you will never feel the same again about the developmentally challenged or even about hockey.
But this tournament is about more than just hockey. For these athletes it is like their own mini Olympics. And just like the Olympics, they have their own opening ceremonies complete with the parade of athletes. And like the Olympics the social aspects of this tournament are also important. Starting with the opening "Meet and Greet" and ending the tournament banquet.
At the "Meet and Greet" everyone gets together to see old friends and to make new ones. From across the continent they come together to catch up on they have been doing the past year and discuss plans for the future. The players mingle, get re-acquainted with old friends and make new ones. And talk hockey.
The opening ceremonies provide a bit of pageantry and grandeur. Civic dignitaries are usually on hand to open the event along with a sports celebrity or two. The National Guard or RCMP colour guard may be on hand adding even more spectacle. And then, with their heads held high, the athletes march in. holding their team banner and turning to have their pictures taken, smiling from ear to ear.
Then after the last game is played and those aromatic hockey bags finally put away, it is time for the tournament banquet. Dinner is eaten, medals are presented to every single athlete and then it is party time. Just like at the Olympics, the closing event is informal. And if you think that these athletes are tired from two days of hockey, think again. They are dancing and partying all night. They still have the energy and they still have the desire.


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L.A. Lakers Can Only Come Together with Brutal HonestyMarch 23, 2013
Los Angeles Lakers head coach Mike D'Antoni resorted to some brutal—if not overly dramatic and somewhat misdirected—honesty after his team's embarrassing loss to the Washington Wizards on March 22, and even though the tirade came off like some kind of desperate spectacle, a little bit of frank talk might be the only way for the Lakers to finally come together.
After all, they've tried just about everything else.
Lineup tinkering didn't work. Neither did shifting Kobe Bryant into the role of the facilitator, while taking Steve Nash away from the ball.
Sure, some of the tweaks have shown temporary benefits. But the Lakers now seem to be right back where they started: losing games they shouldn't and searching for answers.
The reasons for L.A.'s cyclical rises and falls this season are pretty simple, and D'Antoni pegged them in his over-the-top rant: L.A doesn't defend with purpose and Bryant's penchant for "Hero Ball" keeps cropping up at the worst times.
Per Dave McMenamin of ESPN, D'Antoni said:
What happened was we didn't play hard enough. We think we can just figure stuff out. Trevor Ariza's got 12 attempts at 3s and he's wide open. That's inexcusable. It's just a matter of lapses or gambling or, 'I'm not going to play hard tonight because we'll just outscore them.' That why we dug ourselves a hole in the first part of the year and now we're digging it again.
Taking the Wizards game as an example, it's abundantly clear that those two issues are at the heart of the Lakers' latest disappointing stretch.
Rotations were late or nonexistent, opposing three-point shooters were often ignored and, in one-on-one situations, the Lakers played without any fight at all. And that was just on defense.
Bryant's 4-of-10 performance in the final period marked a notable shift from the team's dominant offensive performance in the first quarter. L.A. piled up 35 points in the opening 12 minutes against the Wizards, using 10 assists to get there.
Contrast that with the isolation-heavy sets the Lakers turned to in the late stages, and it's no wonder things fell apart.
And here's where honesty is supposed to come in. Though to hear Antawn Jamison tell it, it already has. The Lakers forward told ESPN's Max and Marcellus Show that Bryant actually implores his teammates to speak frankly to him about his tunnel vision at the end of games:
He's like, 'Look, you guys as my teammates, yell at me. Let me know that you're open because I'm so programmed,' and this guy has told me this, 'I see nothing but that basket. You could be open, there could be three guys on me, but the only thing I see is that basket so you have to tell me, Look, I was open. Or yell at me mid-play. That doesn't affect me at all and I respect that.'
It's worth noting that this revelation from Jamison took place on March 20, which was two days before the Lakers' loss to Washington.
Apparently, Bryant's teammates either stayed silent or they failed to get his attention.
That shouldn't really be a surprise, though, as the most honest moments of the Lakers' season haven't amounted to much. That could be because a lot of the team's blunt discussions have been tinged with machismo or hidden behind the veil of subtle sniping.
Remember the "alpha-dog" discussion between Howard and Bryant earlier this year? How about Bryant's not-so-subtle dig at his teammate's unwillingness to play in pain?
Those could technically be considered efforts at honesty, albeit petty and counterproductive ones.
Honesty is going to be important for the Lakers over the season's final few weeks. But what D'Antoni might be overlooking is the fact that he might be the one who needs to take a long look at what's going wrong.
When there's a systemic failure of motivation and no discernible scheme in place to fix it, shouldn't the coach be the one to blame?
The truth hurts, and for the Lakers coach, a painfully honest look at himself might be the only way to help the Lakers come together before it's too late.


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Former Chelsea boss Guus Hiddink has urged his old club to rethink their stand over Frank Lampard's contract.
The Dutchman is unwilling to criticise Chelsea for not offering Lampard a new deal, but is adamant the 34-year-old could continue be a key player.
"That's up to the club, but most clubs have someone who protects the culture of the club and, at Chelsea, Frank is one of those guys," Hiddink said.
"And although Frank is 34, he's still fit, still treats himself well. When I asked him once in training to stay off the pitch today and not play tomorrow because he was injured, he said 'No, boss, please, please, please'. So he's eager and looks after himself very well."


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In today's Academic Minute, the University of Texas at Austin's Chris Kirk describes what the eyes of early mammals have to say about their nocturnal lifestyle. Kirk is an associate professor of anthropology at UT-Austin. Find out more about him here. [1] A transcript of this podcast can be found here [2].
Academic Minute [3]