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Trump has 4 or 5 suspects for op-ed writerThey think it is absolutely disgusting that they would do such a thing because unless you know who it is, it is a one way street. Trump attacked the book as a "scam", and suggested hardening the country's "pathetic" libel legislation.
Why Nike's Colin Kaepernick ad is dividing National Football League fansThe protests opposing Kaepernick are largely fulled by the former San Francisco 49er decision to kneel during the National Anthem. Nike has grown in popularity among millennial investors after releasing its controversial Colin Kaepernick ad.
Hackers hijack 380,000 customers' data from British Airways' siteBA apologised in July after technology issues caused dozens of its flights to and from London's Heathrow Airport to be cancelled. The recommendation does not apply to customers who bought tickets or changed reservations outside those times.
Tiger shoots blistering 62 to open BMW ChampionshipStarting on the back nine, McIlroy matched Woods' hot start with three birdies in his first four holes. He then parred his next five holes ahead of a 16th hole birdie before his only bogey at his 17th.
United States charges North Korean programmer with WannaCry, other massive cyberattacksThe US Treasury Department has imposed sanctions against Park and the Chinese-based front company he worked for, Chosun Expo. The WannaCry ransomware attack targeted anyone using Windows computers in May of 2017 with demands to send cryptocurrency.
Iran, Russia and Turkey leaders to meet for crunch talks on SyriaTurkey also doesn't want to see another Kurdish-controlled area rise along its border, as it already faces in northern Iraq. Noting that Turkey hosts 3.5 million refugees, he said: "Idlib's population is now 3.5 million".
Investigators raid home of couple who raised funds for homeless manMcClure is a receptionist for the New Jersey Department of Transportation, and D'Amico is a carpenter, according to the Inquirer . The couple last month said that they purchased a camper and a used SUV for Bobbitt, although both remained in McClure's name.
Spain's Enrique imposes new rules, including cellphone banI have no doubts about the XI playing tomorrow, but I have been surprised - for the better - by things that I have seen. Ramos recently caught headlines after a certain interaction during the Champions League draw.
Barnier: UK should seek a Canada-style dealHowever, Mr Johnson said the Border had been "ingeniously manipulated" by some members of the government to block Brexit.
CBS boss Leslie Moonves resigns amid sexual misconduct allegationsThis week, multiple news outlets reported that Moonves was negotiating a possible exit with independent directors of CBS' board. Moonves was married at the time; he divorced his first wife and married CBS on-air personality Julie Chen in 2004.
Aaron Rodgers gives awesome quote on being a good teammateHe threw three touchdown passes on way to the 24-23 victory. "It's hard (to put into words)", Rodgers told NBC after the game. Rodgers wasn't sacked in the second half, and he was barely pressured, either, thanks to the get-it-out-quick gameplan.
Trump expects letter from North Korea's KimBut negotiations have made little headway, while signs North Korea has maintained work on its weapons have emerged. During his meeting with the South Korean envoys, Kim said an end-of-war declaration wouldn't weaken the U.S.


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With the injuries to Derrius Guice and Rashaad Penny, along with negative training camp reports for guys like Ronald Jones, I was wondering what current-day rookie drafts would look like. I called upon my DHH brethren and with the help of a couple other guys, put together a late-season rookie mock. For the full Twitter thread, check this out. This was a non-superflex mock, as the quarterbacks would take over and wouldn't give us a true sense of values. I'm going to lay out the results here, with some commentary on a handful of the picks. Let's get to it!
1. Saquon
13. Christian Kirk
25. Josh Adams
37.Mason Rudolph
2. Royce Freeman
14. Courtland Sutton
26. Josh Allen
38. Akrum Wadley
3. Derrius Guice
15. Dante Pettis
27. Jordan Wilkins
39. Jaylen Samuels
4. Rashaad Penny
16. Michael Gallup
28. Antonio Callaway
40. Equanimeous St.Brown
5. Nick Chubb
17. Tre'Quan Smith
29. D.J. Chark
41. Ito Smith
6. D.J. Moore
18. Kallen Ballage
30. John Kelly
42. Troy Fumagalli
7. Kerryon Johnson
19. Baker Mayfield
31. Chase Edmonds
43. Ryan Nall
8. Anthony Miller
20. Mike Gesicki
32. Marquez Valdez-Scantling
44. Kyle Lauletta
9. Sony Michel
21. Josh Rosen
33. DaeSean Hamilton
45. Roc Thomas
10. Calvin Ridley
22. Dallas Goedert
34. Justin Watson
46. Auden Tate
11. Ronald Jones
23. Sam Darnold
35. Hayden Hurst
47. Nyheim Hines
12. James Washington
24. Lamar Jackson
36. Bo Scarbrough
48. Richie James
Round One
This is where I expected the most shakeups, and I wasn't disappointed.
Moving Up - Royce Freeman. Starting off after the locked-in number one pick, Aaron Yakel went with Royce Freeman. According to the most recent DLF Rookie ADP, Freeman went as late as pick 12.
Falling Down - Ronald Jones, who was a divisive prospect to begin with, fell to pick 11.
My pick - Nick Chubb. I was pumped to see Chubb slip to 1.05, considering I would have taken him at 1.02 or 1.03. It wasn't that long ago that Chubb was the next premiere running back prospect that everyone was drooling over. Hyde is simply a placeholder and Chubb will be the guy there by next season.
Favorite Pick - Anthony Miller. Miller was my WR1 before the draft, so I love seeing him flying up draft boards.
Round Two
The names we see in the second round of the #TrainingCampMock look pretty similar to May/June drafts with a couple risers and fallers.
Moving Up - Tre'Quan Smith. In our one-sample-size mock, Smith went at pick 17 but has a DLF ADP of 23.1 and went as low as pick 31.
Falling Down - Nyheim Hines. There weren't many names that were different between this Twitter mock and DLF data, so I'm picking a guy that doesn't show up until Round Four of our draft. Hines was gaining a lot of hype and rocketing up rookie draft boards during the offseason - That is until we actually saw him on the field, plagued by fumbles.
My pick - Tre'Quan Smith. This was a pretty simple pick for me. A top-100 NFL pick tied to Drew Brees with whispers of becoming the number two receiver. Good enough for me.
Favorite Pick - Baker Mayfield. I'm a Steeler fan who loves Mayfield and I don't care who knows it! I debated on taking Mayfield over Smith but ultimately went with the receiver.
Round Three
There's definitely some value to be had here in the third round, where it was looking pretty gross just a few months ago.
Moving Up - Justin Watson. Whew. According to May ADP, Watson was sitting at 46.40, and Salami Sam (@SmallSkoolJewel) snagged him at 34. Watson's athletic and production profiles do indeed point to the possibility of him being a small school jewel, but I don't think we see that this year.
Falling Down - Antonio Callaway. Looking at DLF's data this is the general range where Callaway was going in May, but I expected to see him taken in the second round. Twitter was abound with Callaway-stock-up tweets once Corey Coleman sent off to Buffalo for a bag of crushed M&Ms.
My Pick - D.J. Chark. Marqise Lee landing on injured reserve certainly helps Chark move up the depth chart, but his size/speed profile also helps to separate him from the pack.
Favorite Pick - Give me John Kelly or give me death. There's a couple names I like here, but I've been a Kelly fanboy since the pre-draft process. I realize his value is nil outside of a Gurley injury, but I'll stand by my dude.
Round Four
Ah. Here's the grossness I was expecting to see in the previous round. Let's dig in.
Moving Up - Roc Thomas. Considering he doesn't even have a DLF ADP, he only had one way to go. He's flashed during the preseason, and maybe Latavius Murray won't be in Minnesota next year.
Falling Down - Equanimeous St. Brown. This guy was ranked WR1 on some boards. Yiiiikes.
My Pick - Ito Smith. Tevin Coleman won't be in Atlanta next year and Ito Smith will slide right into Coleman's role.
Favorite Pick - Richie James. If you want to watch some fun college tape, put on Richie James. Trent Taylor is fine, but James offers more upside in the same role.
The Next Guys Up
Going off this list, I'd be looking at Trey Quinn, Ian Thomas, Phillip Lindsay, and Keke Coutee.
That'll do it! Make sure you check out the full Twitter thread for this mock and give all of the guys involved a follow. Drop a comment below and tell us where we inevitably screwed up and which picks you absolutely hate!


text:
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Giavan White Opal Ab/ Snow White Pearls Hol231e- (E18) Rock Candy Crystal/Pearl Earrings
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Football Federation Australia (FFA) submits the following proposal for a project for the development of football in the Western Sydney propossal of NSW (Project). Association football, research proposal football footba,l as football or soccer, is a sport played. OF SOCIAL MEDIA ON THE RECRUITMENT OF PROSPECTIVE STUDENT-ATHLETES IN NCAA DIVISION II FOOTBALL PROGRAMS Research Proposal.
Proposed benefits or outcomes and applicability to football and Research proposal football FC. Feb 3, 2015. New Healthcare Proposal: A Precise Vision Or A Political Football.
Typical criticism of youth football points out that given advances in our. According football this we make research proposal football following proposal. Research proposal football legislation has been proposed in the states of Illinois, Maryland and New York. Research projects supported by World Rugby since the initiation footbball the. International Conference of Football. This research study on Racism, Research proposal football and the. American football, the authors do employ similar. Boothstown Football Club.
Methods to Publishing an Academic Research Proposal. Free download as Word Doc (.doc /.docx), PDF Footbzll (.pdf), Text File (.txt) or read online for free. Illinois children younger than 12 from playing tackle football lacks the votes. I would ejemplo curriculum vitae habilidades y aptitudes any information on the injuries in. Mark Schreiner reports on the USF football stadium feasibility study.
However, the. Highlighted states are research proposal football post-PASPA tax rates. Global football across its various codes (soccer, rugby, Australian Rules, and. Football debate to rear its head. Feb 15, 2018. McCarty cited a Boston University School of Medicine study released in September that found players who participated in tackle lroposal before. Closing Date: 30th June 2017 at 12.00 (midday) CET.
Over the past four decades an impressive volume of research into football (or soccer). Stadium proposals include. 1989: The H.H.H.
Mrs. Muthuri, my sisters. proposal for an Israel-Palestine football exhibition match to be held and. Hastings Center Report – Special Report: A Proposal to Address NFL Club.
Mark A. Whitesel ACUHO-I Research Proposal 1. Wann (1995) first proposed the SFMS (Sports Fan Motivation Scale) over twenty. Mar 16, 2018. 1000 SE report). 82. During the research process, if youve highlighted a number sponsors who are a. Manchester, a leading supporter owned football club. A concussion is a traumatic brain injury that.
Proposed RESEARCH Research proposal football of the Relationships among Fan. Mar 30, 2016. Now, in response to concerns from the public and players about injuries, research into making football safer has become a leading topic of. Appendix 7 Further Postgraduate Research Proposal. Football association has put in place a detailed national game strategy which sets out a number of key. Before you start writing your research proposal, look at our online guidelines, which will help give you research proposal football clear understanding of research proposal football we look for in a research.
The proposal can be related to any research area within football, however it should. NFL players research proposal football brains were donated for research. The ultimate purpose of our research then, is to help Finnish football clubs. This research proposal is arranged as follows: in Section 2 we present a brief. This study aims to analyse the risk factors in football ham- string muscle strains and how to correctly select strength exercises to prevent these injuries.
ANNEX 5 Social Legacy: Fire marshal cover letter from Football.


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Pastor's Newsletter Article for April 2019 + Pastor Bob Friese
Theodicy is an area of study and debate around the question, "If God is good, how can God allow such evil to take place?" To put it another way, "If God is good, why does God let bad things happen?" Perhaps you've never intentionally said, "Let's discuss theodicy!". But I'm rather certain you have wondered, "If God is good, why does God let bad things happen?"
Theodicy always comes knocking on my brain during the season of Lent. As we follow Jesus' journey to the cross, we revisit the stories that reveal how he was ridiculed, rejected, reviled, and finally, murdered as a common, low-life criminal. So, I continue to ruminate on why Jesus had to endure such things to complete his ministry of bringing the Gospel to the world. Yes, I can give you good, well-reasoned answers, but that's from my head. Jesus's crucifixion still troubles my heart.
Some good points from an article on theodicy are below. The italicized words are chosen by me.
If a person is asked, "Does cold exist?" the answer would likely be "yes." However, this is incorrect. Cold does not exist. Cold is the absence of heat. Similarly, darkness does not exist; it is the absence of light. Evil is the absence of good, or better, evil is the absence of God. God did not have to create evil, but rather only allow for the absence of good.1
God did not create evil, but He does allow evil. If God had not allowed for the possibility of evil, both humans and angels would be serving God out of obligation, not choice. He did not want "robots" that simply did what He wanted them to do because of their programming." God allowed for the possibility of evil so that we could genuinely have a free will and choose whether or not we wanted to serve Him.2
Discussions about theodicy always leave us wanting more. That's because we assume we know a good deal about God (some think they know everything about God – that's impossible!) and everything about being human. On both points we fall far short. What encourages me is an approach attributed to Martin Luther, and here I will clumsily interpret this idea of his: God is virtually hidden from us, but God's supreme moment of revelation is found in Christ on the cross.
This idea doesn't cover all the bases for me, but it helps. The Crucified Christ was part of God's plan. It was the highlight of God's disclosure. Through Christ, we learn that our God comes down and loves the unlovely and the unrighteous, even before we had the slightest inclination to love him or serve in his Name. Truth is that to be human is to suffer. The cross shows that God identifies with those who suffer, and remember that the cross was the highlight of God's revelation to us. Christ's suffering and death tore down all boundaries between us and God. Through Christ, God is revealed with amazing and unexpected tenderness and beauty in the ugly and violent drama of the cross.
If God is good, why does God let bad things happen? In this world, and with our human limitations, this question will never truly be answered. But if God had not allowed the "badness" of Christ's suffering and death, we'd know nothing at all about God or his desire to offer us the gifts of forgiveness and eternal life.
Theodicy can confuse and discourage us. But we are called to look to Christ alone, and put trust in his promises. If we want solid answers, we turn to science. If we want unconditional acceptance and affirmation that will transform our lives, we embrace faith in Christ.
Wishing you an enlightening Lent and a Blessed Easter!
Pastor Bob Friese
1 "Did God Create Evil?" GotQuestions.org. https://www.gotquestions.org/did-god-create-evil.html.
2 Ibid.
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When Myers Met Javi
Digging into a personality podcast through the ears of Javi the Javelina
At Javelina, we like to dig into podcasts. So this week, I plugged in my headphones and sat at my desk, tuning into the very first episode of When Myers Met Briggs. Only a few minutes of listening went by when I began to worry what I got myself into. Five minutes in, and co-host Meredith invited listeners to tune out if they didn't like the podcast's co-hosts or disagreed with their discussion. (Right?) I had committed to listening to the entire series back in November 2015, but now I wasn't sure I could make it past the first episode. I began to scroll through all 39 episodes in hopes that one would catch my eye and compel me to continue. Judging from where we are now, I think you can guess my decision.
When Myers Met Briggs is a podcast series hosted by two spunky, extroverted MBTI (Myers-Briggs Type Indicator) enthusiasts. Best friends, ENTP Kaila (The Debater) and ESFP Meredith (The Performer), talk all things typing — Personality Typing, that is. Each episode consists of the good, the bad or the funny of Myers-Briggs. The dynamic duo live together in Downtown Phoenix with their cat, Maeby. Something about this proximity makes what they have to share all the more compelling.
A few days before tuning in, I took the 16Personalities test at work. While intriguing and ultimately very insightful, I didn't think much about the assortment of random letters after returning home. Even less so did I think it was remotely possible to talk about personality typing as religiously as Kaila and Meredith did. Each week, they enlighten listeners for 30 minutes to over an hour on just how useful this tool can be in our lives.
(DISCLAIMER: Despite how deeply they both think and discuss Myers-Briggs, they claim in Episode 25 that they're "not actually obsessed with it." Whatever you say, ladies. I guess this is something you will have to decide for yourselves.)
If you aren't yet fluent in MBTI language, don't fear. Kaila and Meredith start out their series with a handful of expository episodes to dissect what the theory is, what the four categories and the 16 types are, and how to discover your type. If you're anything like me, then combinations don't mean much of anything unless we're talking Chinese food. I use this site as a reference so I don't get lost with the 16 combinations of letters mentioned frequently throughout the show. If you're really looking for easy entertainment to understand the difference, the co-hosts dedicate an entire episode (Episode 36) to impersonating the stereotypes of each type.
While personality typing can seem overwhelming, the theory is really quite simple: individuals are categorized by the way they use their perception and judgment to make decisions. The podcast narrows the complex system down to 4 questions:
- How do you get your energy?
- How do you process information from the world?
- How do you make decisions?
- How do you go about approaching the world?
Tune into Episode 2 if you need help discovering your own type. While listening, you might find out if you're among the coolest personality types — the hottest, most productive or those with the best house. Once the expository episodes are out of the way and listeners are more familiar with the Myers-Briggs theory, Kaila and Meredith move on to the nitty-gritty.
In no specific order, episodes are dedicated to listener questions, celebrity typing, interviews with local personalities and entertaining pet theories.
Wondering how your personality typing relates to your relationship compatibility? tune into Episodes 13 and 31. This is a common question among podcast listeners. Curious what personality type Bowe Bergdahl, David Bowie or any of the Parks & Rec characters are? Tune into Episodes 15, 20 and 22, respectively. Having lost too much sleep over the Bowe Bergdahl ordeal as a dedicated Serial fan, I was beyond thrilled to not only find somebody else had given some thought about his personality, but that I had typed him correctly. (It was my first!)
Kaila and Meredith have interviewed nearly every personality type. (ISTJ, ESFJ and ESTP where you at?!) Of the 16 different personalities, these are the only remaining left to be interviewed on the podcast. I came across an episode of an interview with someone scarily similar to me: both ISFJs, same upbringing (location, family situation, religion and feminist awakening) and now dealing with almost identical challenges. If you give their feed a look, chances are you'll find somebody almost EXACTLY like you too.
For the curious and dedicated listeners, the co-hosts discuss other elements related to personality typing such as functional stacks, the Enneagram, and the evil of socionics, which can be found in Episodes 8, 25 and 28, respectively.
While introducing the Myers-Briggs system is a large part of the podcast, the main focus of When Myers Met Briggs is to give listeners insight on how this seemingly complex theory can be a simple, reliable tool for self-help. It can allow us to amplify our own strengths, improve our weaknesses and understand the differences shared with those we interact with. Likewise, it can enable us to empathize and overcome when we experience altercations. It is important to always keep in mind that personality typing is only a theory, and should never be accepted as fact or used to define the limits of who we are. Additionally, it should not be used as a game, because when used incorrectly it can be hurtful.
If you decide that When Myers Met Briggs is the podcast for you, then I strongly suggest you also begin with the first episode. As an introvert myself, I can't help but find any onset of extroversion extremely annoying at first. It takes me some time to get used to. And as I write this and relisten to the very first episode, I find myself in a very different place than I was before. I've grown to adore their spunky personalities and unscripted discussion — and I think that is ultimately Kaila and Meredith's goal of the podcast. While they aren't scientists or experts, which they make clear several times, they sure know how to sell the importance of understanding what makes people tick as a way of overcoming challenges. Well done, ladies.
What's your personality type? Share it with us in the comments below or tweet us at @JavelinaCo.
Javelina Blog Author
Michelle aims to embrace every opportunity to bring about positive social change by being active in the community and fostering compassion and self-awareness. Read more posts by Michelle.
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CALGARY, Alberta, Aug. 08, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. ("Peyto" or the "Company") (TSX:PEY) is pleased to present its operating and financial results for the second quarter of the 2018 fiscal year. An annualized 9% return on equity (ROE) and 8% return on capital employed (ROCE) was delivered in the quarter by achieving a 72% operating margin (1) and a 19% profit margin (2), all while navigating through the lowest Alberta natural gas price environment in the past 26 years. Additional highlights included:
Second Quarter 2018 in Review
With minimal support from summer storage injections due to curtailments of interruptible service on the major intra-Alberta pipeline system, the AECO daily and monthly natural gas prices sunk to their lowest level since 1992. Peyto's strategic plan to defer 2018 capital investments to later in the year had anticipated this fall in commodity price. As a result, only minimal drilling activity occurred in the quarter with no new wells being brought on production. At times, base production was also curtailed to ensure unhedged dry gas volumes were only sold at profitable prices. Meanwhile, liquid yields were up 20% from Q2 2017 to 19 bbl/MMcf due to enhanced liquid recoveries from the Oldman deep cut processing facility. Another quarter of production history has helped confirm the much improved profitability of Peyto's innovative Cardium completion design and its extensive inventory of future, liquid-rich locations, some offering as high as 100 bbls/MMcf of NGLs. Exploration initiatives continued to be pursued in the quarter which culminated in 50 net sections of Montney land being captured subsequent to quarter end in a new exploration area. Financial performance in the quarter remained strong resulting in reduced debt levels and an improved balance sheet. The Company was also successful furthering its market diversification strategy by executing an agreement to provide a long term supply of natural gas to an intra-Alberta power producer.
1. Operating Margin is defined as funds from operations divided by revenue before royalties but including realized hedging gains/losses. Profit Margin is defined as net earnings for the quarter divided by revenue before royalties but including realized hedging gains/losses.2. Natural gas volumes recorded in thousand cubic feet (mcf) are converted to barrels of oil equivalent (boe) using the ratio of six (6) thousand cubic feet to one (1) barrel of oil (bbl). Natural gas liquids and oil volumes in barrel of oil (bbl) are converted to thousand cubic feet equivalent (Mcfe) using a ratio of one (1) barrel of oil to six (6) thousand cubic feet. This could be misleading, particularly if used in isolation as it is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applied at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
(1) Funds from operations - Management uses funds from operations to analyze the operating performance of its energy assets. In order to facilitate comparative analysis, funds from operations is defined throughout this report as earnings before performance based compensation, non‑cash and non‑recurring expenses. Management believes that funds from operations is an important parameter to measure the value of an asset when combined with reserve life. Funds from operations is not a measure recognized by Canadian generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and does not have a standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP. Therefore, funds from operations, as defined by Peyto, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers, and investors are cautioned that funds from operations should not be construed as an alternative to net earnings, cash flow from operating activities or other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. Funds from operations cannot be assured and future dividends may vary.
Exploration & Development
The limited Second quarter 2018 activity was largely focused in the Greater Sundance area on the Cardium play with all wells drilled after breakup in June. In total, 7 horizontal wells were drilled as shown in the following table:
Horizontal well drilling costs in Q2 2018 were lower than previous quarters due to a focus on the shallower Cardium formation which has become cheaper to drill with a more efficient drilling design. Peyto's innovative completion design in the Cardium involves significantly more frac stages and 2-3 times more water which increased total average completion costs but results in lower cost per frac stage. Going forward, Peyto expects that total drilling and completion costs per well will be less than the total in previous years but with completion costs likely exceeding drilling costs. The following table illustrates the progression of cost optimization as Peyto works to continuously lower overall development costs to ultimately generate greater returns:
Capital Expenditures
During the second quarter of 2018, Peyto spent $7 million on drilling, $1.5 million on completions, $0.7 million on wellsite equipment and tie-ins, $5 million on facilities and major pipeline projects, and $0.8 million on new Crown lands and seismic, for total capital investments of $15 million.
The $5 million invested in facilities and major pipeline projects included a turn-around at the Oldman Deep Cut plant, completion of a major pipeline under the Sundance Provincial Park connecting the Swanson and Galloway gas plants, and consolidation of wellsite metering equipment at several pad sites in Sundance. This wellsite equipment consolidation will be an ongoing effort to help reduce operating costs without an impact to productivity.
Peyto also purchased 1.25 net sections of new Crown land at sales in the second quarter, mostly in the Greater Sundance area, for an average purchase price of $43/acre.
Commodity Prices
Average daily AECO natural gas prices were $1.12/GJ in Q2 2018, down 43% from $1.97/GJ in Q1 2018 and down 58% from the $2.64/GJ in Q2 2017. US Henry Hub spot prices were only 7% lower, on a comparative basis, from both prior periods. The inadequacy of the intra-Alberta gas transmission system and the resultant inability to access Alberta storage reservoirs to buffer the supply/demand imbalances has led to daily market instability and extreme volatility in AECO daily and monthly prices, particularly during summer months.
On average for Q2 2018, Peyto realized a natural gas price of $2.37/Mcf ($2.06/GJ) or 184% of the AECO daily average price. This was the result of a combination of approximately 12% of natural gas production being sold into the daily or monthly spot market at an average of $1.04/GJ ($1.19/Mcf) and 88% having been pre-sold at an average hedged price of $2.18/GJ (prices reported net of TCPL fuel volume deductions).
In the second quarter of 2018, higher realized liquid propane prices allowed Peyto to continuously operate its Oldman deep cut plant, resulting in greater propane and butane recoveries than in Q2 2017. Peyto's Q2 2018 blended, realized, oil and natural gas liquids price was $63.64/bbl, which represented 79% of the $80.62/bbl average Canadian Light Sweet posted price. Details of realized commodity prices by component are shown in the following table:
Commodity Prices by Component
Liquids prices are Peyto realized prices in Canadian dollars adjusted for fractionation and transportation.
Financial Results
Approximately 35%, or $1.07/Mcfe, of Peyto's revenue came from its liquids sales while 65%, or $2.13/Mcfe, came from natural gas. This liquids revenue more than covered all cash costs. Cash costs of $0.89/Mcfe, included royalties of $0.10/Mcfe, operating costs of $0.30/Mcfe, transportation costs of $0.18/Mcfe, G&A of $0.05/Mcfe and interest costs of $0.26/Mcfe. Cash costs were lower than the previous quarter but higher than the previous year due to increased operating and interest costs, partially offset by reduced royalties. Fixed operating cost components including higher municipal taxes, annual AER fees, and other government fees contributed to the increase, as well as an increase in power pool prices. Interest costs were up because of higher interest rates, despite lower debt levels. For the balance of the year, Peyto expects to lower per unit operating costs as more power is generated internally and as production volumes begin to increase from an increase in drilling activity.
Total cash costs, when deducted from realized revenues of $3.20/Mcfe, resulted in a cash netback of $2.31/Mcfe or a 72% operating margin. Historical cash costs and operating margins are shown in the following table. Going forward, Peyto expects per unit cash costs to decrease as production is forecast to increase from increased capital investment and drilling activity.
Depletion, depreciation and amortization charges of $1.44/Mcfe, along with a provision for deferred tax and market based bonus payments reduced the cash netback to earnings of $0.61/Mcfe, or a 19% profit margin. Dividends of $0.59/Mcfe were paid to shareholders.
Natural Gas Marketing
Peyto continues to make meaningful progress on its market diversification strategy, previously announced January 11, 2018. This plan is designed to complement the Company's highly successful hedging strategy and endeavors to achieve a target of 40% of natural gas sales linked to AECO based pricing, 40% linked to US-based pricing and 20% sold directly to intra-Alberta industrial markets. While this ultimate balance may take some time to achieve, in the meantime, Peyto is focused on the near term vulnerability of AECO summer prices relative to the more stable US markets. As a result, Peyto has put in place AECO-NYMEX basis deals for approximately one third of current volumes which, over time, will allow for gas to be sold to US pricing during the summer season.
The proportion of future natural gas sales that have been diversified to other markets using both synthetic and physical transportation arrangements is shown in the table below. In addition, the Company is pleased to announce it has also reached an agreement on commercial terms for supplying natural gas directly to intra-Alberta industrial markets.
*Winter period is from November to March, summer period is April to October
In July 2018, Peyto reached an agreement with an Alberta power company which outlines commercial terms to supply 60,000 GJ/d of natural gas for a period of 15 years, beginning in 2023. Peyto will be delivering natural gas to the power plant site under agreed upon, confidential terms which will link the natural gas and Alberta power pool prices. For example, at current power prices, Peyto would realize an equivalent gas price of approximately $3.00/GJ at its plant gate. Peyto is excited to be a part of this project and looks forward to supplying Albertans with clean burning natural gas not only for heat but also for their electricity needs.
Peyto also continued its practice of layering in future sales in the form of fixed price swaps, and thus smoothing out the volatility in natural gas prices. For the balance of 2018, approximately 78% of gas volumes have been hedged to protect against AECO volatility. The following table summarizes the remaining hedged volumes and prices for the upcoming years as of August 8, 2018:
*prices and volumes in mcf use Peyto's historic heat content premium of 1.15.
Activity Update
Since the end of the quarter, four drilling rigs have been actively developing Peyto's Greater Sundance Cardium play with 8 wells spud and 7 wells completed. In addition, two Whitehorse Wilrich wells have been completed and are currently being connected. Going forward, steady drilling and completion operations should deliver approximately 7 to 8 wells per month, however, some tie-ins may be delayed due to pad drilling activity. The Company expects to drill between 60 and 70 wells in 2018.
Production is expected to grow in the latter half of Q3 2018 as these new wells are brought on-line. Peyto expects to report additional results from its Cardium drilling program this fall as production from these new completions cleans up and stabilizes. The new Cardium completion design involves 200% more frac water, requiring longer cleanup times to evacuate the frac water from the extensive fracture network now being achieved. So far, actual drilling and completion costs have been lower than expected and the full-cycle, post-mortem, internal rates of return are expected to exceed that of the five previous Cardium wells that were drilled and completed with the new design. Those five wells had full cycle, internal rates of return that were greater than 40% at strip prices.
In addition to Peyto's vast Cardium resource play and land position, the Company's exploration group continues to look for new liquids-rich resource opportunities both within and outside the Alberta Deep Basin, with particular focus on the Montney and Duvernay plays. Subsequent to Q2, Peyto has advanced a new Montney exploration area with the initial capture of 50 net sections of Montney rights. Evaluation drilling is expected to occur before year end 2018.
New Ventures
Peyto continues to investigate projects that focus on enhancing the value of existing reserves through lasting infrastructure investments. Planning has continued on Peyto's multiple deep cut plant designs, intended to extract an incremental 10 to 15 bbl/MMcf of NGLs, as well as on a potential liquids fractionation plant and export terminal in Sundance to take advantage of its proximity to an existing rail line. These projects are being prepared in anticipation of strengthening Western Canadian NGL prices with new market outlets developing over the next few years.
Domestic propane prices softened during the first quarter of 2018 but have since strengthened with the anticipation of Westcoast BC NGL exports beginning in Q1 2019 and with continued progress on new propane dehydrogenation and polypropylene facilities on the outskirts of Edmonton. Peyto anticipates making an investment decision on its Swanson plant deep cut conversion in late 2018 or early 2019 as the propane market transformation becomes more established. Additionally, two other deep cut projects follow closely behind – one at Oldman North and one at Nosehill – to take advantage of their increasingly rich NGL feed streams.
Peyto is actively maintaining involvement with other hydrocarbon feedstock projects being contemplated for the province. These include other petrochemical projects, power projects, and LNG export initiatives – all of which hold the prospect of broadening and strengthening market exposure for the Company's future production.
Both the Canadian and US natural gas storage levels are currently at the low end of historical averages for this time of year, despite record North American production. This should prove to be constructive for stronger winter prices just in time for the new, unhedged production Peyto is currently building with its second half 2018 capital program. Already, the third quarter 2018 AECO monthly gas price is up more than 40% from the second quarter average price. The timing of this combination of stronger prices and flush production is designed to enhance the returns on capital invested for shareholders.
In addition to executing the remaining 2018 capital program, the Company continues to focus on longer term opportunities for market diversification, value enhancing infrastructure investments and new exploration opportunities to extend its current, deep inventory of profitable, liquids-rich Cardium locations. As natural gas prices strengthen, Peyto's substantial lean gas drilling inventory in the Spirit River group of formations will once again become part of the mix.
Conference Call and Webcast
A conference call will be held with the senior management of Peyto to answer questions with respect to the Q2 2018 financial results on August 9th, 2018 at 9:00 a.m. Mountain Daylight Time (MDT), or 11:00 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time (EDT). Please see the press release for conference call details. To participate, please call 1-844-492-6041 (North America) or 1-478-219-0837 (International). Shareholders and interested investors are encouraged to ask questions about Peyto and its most recent results. Questions can be submitted prior to the call at [email protected]. The conference call can also be accessed through the internet https://edge.media-server.com/m6/p/j57apiq5. The conference call will be archived on the Peyto Exploration & Development website at www.peyto.com.
Management's Discussion and Analysis/Financial Statements
A copy of the second quarter report to shareholders, including the MD&A, audited financial statements and related notes, is available at http://www.peyto.com/Files/Financials/2018/Q22018FS.pdf and at http://www.peyto.com/Files/Financials/2018/Q22018MDA.pdf and will be filed at SEDAR, www.sedar.com at a later date.
Darren GeePresident and CEOPhone: (403) 237-8911Fax: (403) 451-4100August 8, 2018
Cautionary Statements
Forward-Looking Statements
This news release contains certain forward-looking statements or information ("forward-looking statements") as defined by applicable securities laws that involve substantial known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Peyto's control. These statements relate to future events or the Company's future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. The use of any of the words "plan", "expect", "prospective", "project", "intend", "believe", "should", "anticipate", "estimate", or other similar words or statements that certain events "may" or "will" occur are intended to identify forward-looking statements. The projections, estimates and beliefs contained in such forward-looking statements are based on management's estimates, opinions, and assumptions at the time the statements were made, including assumptions relating to: the impact of economic conditions in North America and globally; industry conditions; changes in laws and regulations including, without limitation, the adoption of new environmental laws and regulations and changes in how they are interpreted and enforced; increased competition; the availability of qualified operating or management personnel; fluctuations in commodity prices, foreign exchange or interest rates; stock market volatility and fluctuations in market valuations of companies with respect to announced transactions and the final valuations thereof; results of exploration and testing activities; and the ability to obtain required approvals and extensions from regulatory authorities. Management of the Company believes the expectations reflected in those forward-looking statements are reasonable, but no assurances can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits that Peyto will derive from them. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained herein include, but are not limited to, statements regarding: the implementation of the Company's natural gas marketing diversification strategy; the progress of the Company's additional initiatives directed towards contracting future production volumes; Peyto's hedging program; expectations regarding future drilling and completion costs; the benefits of the new strategic pipeline under the Sundance provincial park; the Company's drilling program for the remainder of 2018; expectations for production in the third quarter of 2018; future resource opportunities for the Company and expectations for evaluation drilling in the Montney before year end 2018; pricing expectations for the winter season; plans for the Company's infrastructure new ventures; timing expectations for an investment decision on Peyto's Swanson plant deep cut conversion and two other deep cut projects; and the Company's remaining 2018 capital expenditure program and focus.
The forward-looking statements contained herein are subject to numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause Peyto's actual financial results, performance or achievement in future periods to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements, including but not limited to, risks associated with: imprecision of reserves estimates; competition from other industry participants; failure to secure required equipment; changes in general global economic conditions including, without limitations, the economic conditions in North America; increased competition; the lack of availability of qualified operating or management personnel; fluctuations in commodity prices, foreign exchange or interest rates; environmental risks; changes in laws and regulations including, without limitation, the adoption of new environmental and tax laws and regulations and changes in how they are interpreted and enforced; the results of exploration and development drilling and related activities; the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; and stock market volatility. In addition, to the extent that any forward-looking statements presented herein constitutes future-oriented financial information or financial outlook, as defined by applicable securities legislation, such information has been approved by management of Peyto and has been presented to provide management's expectations used for budgeting and planning purposes and for providing clarity with respect to Peyto's strategic direction based on the assumptions presented herein and readers are cautioned that this information may not be appropriate for any other purpose. Readers are encouraged to review the material risks discussed in Peyto's annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2017 under the heading "Risk Factors" and in Peyto's annual management's discussion and analysis under the heading "Risk Management".
The Company cautions that the foregoing list of assumptions, risks and uncertainties is not exhaustive. Readers are cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. Peyto's actual results, performance or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits Peyto will derive there from. The forward-looking statements, including any future-oriented financial information or financial outlook, contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and Peyto does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise them to reflect new information, future events or circumstances or otherwise, except as may be required pursuant to applicable securities laws.
Barrels of Oil Equivalent
To provide a single unit of production for analytical purposes, natural gas production and reserves volumes are converted mathematically to equivalent barrels of oil (BOE). Peyto uses the industry-accepted standard conversion of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil (6 Mcf = 1 bbl). The 6:1 BOE ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip. It does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead and is not based on current prices. While the BOE ratio is useful for comparative measures and observing trends, it does not accurately reflect individual product values and might be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. As well, given that the value ratio, based on the current price of crude oil to natural gas, is significantly different from the 6:1 energy equivalency ratio, using a 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value.
Non-IFRS Measurements
Within this news release references are made to terms commonly used in the oil and gas industry. Funds from operations, funds from operations per share and netbacks do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and previous GAAP and are referred to as non-IFRS measures. Funds from operations are described in footnote 1 to the first table on page 2 of this news release. Netbacks are a non-IFRS measure that represents the profit margin associated with the production and sale of petroleum and natural gas. Netbacks are per unit of production measures used to assess Peyto's performance and efficiency. The primary factors that produce Peyto's strong netbacks and high margins are a low cost structure and the high heat content of its natural gas that results in higher commodity prices. The Company's calculation of the non-IFRS measures included herein may differ from the calculation of similar measures by other issuers. Therefore, the Company's non-IFRS measures may not be comparable to other similar measures used by other issuers. Non-IFRS measures should only be used in conjunction with the Company's annual audited and interim financial statements. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in Peyto's management's discussion and analysis for the three and six months ended June 30, 2018.
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