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Artist Spotlight: Sonny Dumarsais— November 28, 2017
ABOUT IN THE SPOTLIGHT Encore: In The Spotlight, highlights emerging and established Gospel & Christian music artists. "In The Spotlight"…
Chattanooga based Singer, Songwriter, Producer, Trent Williams, was born and raised in Florida into a family of skilled singers and musicians. His family collectively found a place of refuge and solace in music, more specifically gospel music. He was raised and taught early in life that music has a power to transcend any obstacle or problem. At age 10, he became his churches musician and started his own community choir. By age 12 and 13 he was a sought after musician. During his High school career, he excelled as a classical singer, a jazz pianist, and a skilled ensemble member on any instrument he picked up. In college, he received a scholarship to study vocal performance/music education and played in almost every musical ensemble the university offered whether Christian, Jazz, or classical.
Now an accomplished singer, musician, and music director, Trent is using his gifts to change the world one heart at a time. He brings an electrifying and authentic style that creates an unforgettable experience. He Currently serves as Minister of Music at New Monumental Baptist Church in Chattanooga, Tennessee. Trent recorded his first live album "Vertical" in 2013 and released "Momentum: The Vertical Prelude" In 2016. During that time, he has added another aspect to his music career by becoming a sought after songwriter & Producer garnering nearly 10 album placements in less than 2 years. Trent has also recently started his own jazz/soul group "The Menagerie. Off Broadway productions, worship conferences, Operas, jazz shows, & Sunday morning worship services are all within the scope of this multi-talented musician. He is poised and ready to take his powerful music and message to the world.
Trent Williams is thrilled to announce the release of "Momentum- The Vertical Prelude" which is available now on all digital media outlets. Recently stepping from behind the scenes as a producer, songwriter, and church music director, Momentum is Trent's first EP as a solo artist and is a preview of his upcoming Freshman Album "Vertical."
Momentum is a Christian/Gospel EP with 3 original tracks written & produced by Trent himself, with the aid of his production team. These three tracks were created to reach people of all ethnicities and walks of life and contain his previously released single "For Your Grace." Songs on the album have already been in rotation during worship services at churches across the Southeastern United States before the album was released.
Trent originally recorded "Vertical" live in Chattanooga four years ago. With a demanding schedule as a working musician, Trent finally decided last year to dive head first in to making his own music and presenting his own concerts. Leading the charge as the artist, songwriter, & lead producer on this album, Trent is excited to share his new music with the world and is already in the works of planning a promotional tour for "Momentum."
Meraki Arts Group
Trent Williams
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Dota2 Reviewed: Should You Play?
Dota2 has massive online game play as wells as highly structured communication but can it handle the review I give it. I will take you through the game even if you have never played it. As well to tell you whether this is a game for you or not. At the end I give my final review and tell you why this game rocks or sucks.

subset: commoncrawl


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Brand Label: Roberto Coin
Available for Purchase Online at Lane Crawford US for $1600.00Pin It
Roberto Coin's intricate craftsmanship meets contemporary geometry in this ring. Boasting a square design, the centre stone is outlined by a twisted frame - a signature detail nodding to the New Barocco collection.
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Lane Crawford US Note: This vendor may charge a fee of $10.00 for shipping and handling of this item. See website for further details and/or any volume discounts.
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A brilliantly and thoroughly researched account of the plights of five different Italian Jewish families during WW2. Alexander Stille, the author, has interviewed surviving members of each of the families and presents a narrative history pulsing with riveting and profoundly moving anecdotes.
The families live in different cities – Turin, Ferrara, Rome and Genoa. There are several truly memorable characters. There's Ettore Ovazzi who is a militant fascist and remains so even after the anti-Semitic racial laws are introduced. He runs a newspaper which condemns unpatriotic Jews. There's the writer Pittigrilli who works for OVRA, the Italian secret police and informs on the activities of all his Jewish friends, including the writer Carlo Levi. There's Franco Schonheit from Ferrara who together with his father survives Buchenwald and Franco's mother Gina who often stands up to the SS and miraculously survives Ravensbruck. There are the men and women of the Di Veroli family in the Jewish ghetto in Rome who are the poorest of Italian Jews and their narrative includes the moving story of how many Catholics donated gold and money when the Jewish leadership was ordered to supply a ransom of fifty kilos of gold. And there's Massimo Teglio, an aviator, who comes across as a Schindler character, instrumental in saving many lives and greatly helped by the bravery of members of the Catholic clergy.
It really is a tale of benevolence and betrayal and highly recommended for anyone interested in the subject matter.


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Greenpeace activists arrested at Kimberly-Clark in New Milford
Published 1:00 am, Tuesday, June 10, 2008
The three were among about a half-dozen members of
who demonstrated outside the plant and handed out leaflets accusing the company of using fiber from old forests, including the boreal forest region in Canada, for many of its products.
When the three sat down in a driveway and chained themselves to a fence and each other, effectively blocking traffic from entering the plant, then refused to leave, the police were called, a company spokesman said.
The officers cut the chains and charged the three -- Adam Edmondson , 23, of Philadelphia; Andrea LeClair , 22, of Amesbury, Mass.; and Scott Cardiff , 31, of Washington, D.C. -- with obstructing free passage. All were released on promises to appear June 23 in Superior Court in Bantam.
"We are asking them to use more responsible logging practices," Cardiff said after being released from custody. "Right now they are supporting the destruction of ancient forests for products that are used once and thrown away. We also want them to increase the amount of recycled fiber in their products."
Greenpeace spokesman Daniel Kessler said although Kimberly-Clark claims to be environmentally conscious, it obtains a substantial amount of the fiber used in its tissues from trees in the boreal region, which is more than 10,000 years old and one of the largest intact ancient forests remaining on the planet.
Kimberly-Clark spokesman David Dickson said the boreal wood the company uses doesn't come from the parts of the forest that are under government protection.
"We don't own or manage any forest land, and we don't knowingly use any fiber from forest areas that are protected," Dickson said.
"We're very proud of our record on corporate responsibility. It's one of the most progressive of its kind in the tissue industry."


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Dudes — this guy died in a spinning auger… wow!
ASPEN, Colo. – Authorities say a 39-year-old Minnesota man has died at a construction site near Aspen after his safety cord got tangled in a hard-rock construction drill and pulled him in to the spinning auger.
The man's name, hometown and name of the Denver construction company that employed him weren't released.
Pitkin County sheriff's spokeswoman Renee Rayton told The Denver Post ( http://bit.ly/pioLq5) the accident happened Thursday afternoon in front of several co-workers. Rayton says the man was dead by the time co-workers could stop the geological drilling rig.
Information from: The Denver Post, http://www.denverpost.com
Filed under: Current Events |


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Date: 2010-12-24
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Memorial service: Martin Kavey
A memorial service for Martin Kavey is scheduled for Friday, July 21 at the Stuart-Fortune-Keough Funeral Home in Tupper Lake. Family will receive friends from 1 to 2 p.m. followed by a funeral service at 2 p.m. at the funeral home. Burial will follow in Holy Name Cemetery in Tupper Lake.


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Spice-Rubbed Pork Tenderloin with Mango Sambal
Photo by Randy Mayor
- ½ teaspoon salt
- 2 teaspoons fish sauce
- 1 teaspoon brown sugar
- Cooking spray
- 1 (1-pound) pork tenderloin, trimmed
- Sambal:
- Pork:
- + 10 more ingredients
- 1 cup chopped peeled mango(about 1 mango)
- ½ teaspoon ground cumin
- ¾ teaspoon chili powder
- ½ teaspoon onion powder
- ¼ teaspoon garlic powder
- 2 teaspoons rice wine vinegar
- 1 serrano chile, seeded and finely chopped
- ¼ teaspoon dried thyme
- 1 ½ teaspoons sugar
- ¾ teaspoon paprika
Preheat oven to 425°.To prepare pork, combine first 8 ingredients in a small bowl. Rub pork tenderloin with spice mixture; refrigerate for 20 minutes.Place pork on a broiler pan coated with cooking spray. Bake at 425° for 20 minutes or until meat thermometer registers 160°. Let stand 5 minutes; c...
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Set of 180 Warm Clear White LED G30 Globe Christmas Lights - Green Wire
Supplier Details
Verified Supplier (2016)
[ Buffalo, New York, United States ]
Business Type: Manufacturer, Wholesaler
Supplier has 24,617 products
Product Description
Product Features: Color: warm white / green wire "Warm clear" also known as "warm white" has a nice natural warm incandescent like glow Number of bulbs on string: 180 Bulb size: G30 globe (1" diameter) Spacing between each bulb: 4" Lighted length: 60' Total length: 76.5?xF3?xE9xBC?xE4xF3 16.5' green lead cord Additional Product Features: LED lights use 90% less energy Durable plastic non-replaceable non-removable bulbs Cool to the touch UL listed for indoor or outdoor use If one bulb burns out the rest will stay lit Contains UL listed rainproof AC adapter Power unit input: 120V AC 60Hz Power unit output: 24V / 10.8VA
Basic Information
About Us
Northlight is a manufacturing, importing and wholesale division of the family owned and operated Gordon Companies Inc.
Northlight, which has showrooms in Atlanta, GA, Las Vegas, NV, and Buffalo, NY, offers an extensive variety of seasonal and gift decor. This includes holiday accessories, patio furniture, lawn and garden necessities, and pool and spa equipment.
Northlight-branded items can be found in boutique retailers across the U.S. As a family-owned company, we have nearly 40 years of retail and wholesale experience. We take pride in offering the highest quality products at the lowest possible prices.
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text:
As we all know, Disney Channel is filled with beautiful princesses with beautiful hair and beautiful gowns. As little girls these women were who we aspired to be. We wanted to look like them, dress like them, we had all of their movies, and we even had games that were based off of these "women". But what we failed to realize at this time was that these were not women that we should have aspired to be. In fact, these were not real women at all, and as I look back and realize that if our parents would have been more educated on the topic of feminism our idealization of these princesses would be nonexistent.
Disney Princesses had a few things in common: they were beautiful, they were submissive, some of them paid little attention to knowledge, and most importantly they waited on a man to save them. Which is something that we should never want our daughters to be.
So lets give a run down on a few of the Disney Princesses the stupid qualities they possessed.
Cinderella is a young woman who is dealing with the death of her mother, and living with her father who remarries soon after. When her father remarries, she is stuck in the house not only taking care of her father, but after her evil stepmother and her stepsisters instead. The main problem with what I just stated is THE FACT THAT SHE IS WORKING AND TAKING CARE OF HER FATHER. As a man, he was supposed to work and take care of her. Not the opposite. Cinderella was submissive to her father and he should have done anything to protect her after mother passed away. Cinderella does have goals, dreams and aspirations, but she never has a chance to accomplish them because she is always locked away. But instead of working hard to get out of her situation, she waited on a man to find her to do so. Her only happiness in life came from her "Prince Charming". Which is not an ideal role model for growing girls in the world.
Basically all Ariel dreams of is being a human. She wants nothing more but to talk and walk and breathe above water like the rest of civilization. She doesn't really realize how much of a beautiful creature she is, she just wants more because in my opinion she was kind of ungrateful. Although her father bans her from the human world, ariel takes it upon herself to leave the sea and go anyway. Ariel was then placed in the position of sacrificing. She would have to chose her family, or her being a human. Of course she chose being human over her father and sisters. Ariel then becomes human, loses her mermaid physique, loses her voice, and gets a man. I don't think I need to state what the problem is with her because it it think its pretty plain and clear.
Sleeping Beauty
Sleeping Beauty has to be the worst out of the Princesses because honestly, what does she have to offer? She has no knowledge and she is very gullible. She believes any and everything, which is how she got herself in the situation she was in. When the spell was cast on her she spent 90% of the movie sleeping. She literally did nothing but talk to animals and SLEEP. Why would we ever want our daughters to want to be anything like this. She did not wake up until a man kissed her. Meaning that she had no purpose until a man came around and made her worth something. Now I rest my case with the Princess Sleeping Beauty.
Disney is not a bad entertainment company. I personally do not believe that they meant for their movies to come across the way that many feminist viewed it. With that, Disney has made many efforts to up the submissiveness and the dumbness of their characters with princesses like Tiana, Pocahontas, and some might even say Belle. They really stepped their game up when Queen Elsa and her sister Ana was introduced to us in 2013. After this, I had hope that disney would make more empowering characters.
That is all on my views on Disney Channel and feminism. I hope whoever reads this leaves feedback and comment what you think is right or wrong about my post.
See you next time
- Torri Griffith
- Twitter: @tlgriffith19


text:
Making the World a Better Place to Paddle! Since 1880
2017 SEIC Discipline Committee Elections
Every two years, the ACA's Safety Education & Instruction Council (SEIC) Board as well as the SEIC's Discipline Committees request nominations and elect voting members who are committed to volunteering their skills and expertise to the continued development of ACA's education and instructional programs.
During the fall of 2017, the ACA National Office collected nominations and is now conducting a formal vote for the positions/committees listed below; those elected to these positions will serve for the 2018-2019 term (January 1, 2018 - December 31, 2019).
The deadline to vote online is December 22nd.
All Instructors, Trainers and Educators are invited to vote for At-Large members and International Representatives.
4/20/2018Kauai Canoe Clubs in Hawaii need your help!
4/18/2018ACA at the Charleston, SC Outdoor Festival
4/16/2018Youth Olympic Games - Team USA results
4/21/2018 » 4/22/2018Gig Harbor Paddlers Cup
4/21/2018Upper Occoquan River clean-up
4/21/2018 » 4/22/2018Charleston Outdoor Festival
Founded in 1880, The American Canoe Association (ACA) is a national nonprofit organization serving the broader paddling public by providing education related
to all aspects of paddling; stewardship support to help protect paddling environments; and sanctioning of programs and events to promote paddlesport
competition, exploration and recreation.


text:
M is for Mahna Mahna from the Muppet Show
guaranteed to stick to your brain like a bowl of mac n cheese on your thighs
Sesame Street and the Muppet Show sealed my fate. Through countless episodes, (thankfully, I was blessed with three younger sisters and a mom who loved the silliness as much as I did-so watching as a teen wasn't so unusual..), I realized that my obsession with make believe wasn't "so" off the mark; there is a place for the creative, the off-beat and odd. I would be okay afterall. Although my grades in school were good to excellent – I was far from smart (test taking is different than comprehension, and I continue to struggle with anything math or science related…oh who I am kidding, anything logical is beyond me.
Those silly episodes showed me that Art was a viable option. There is a NEED for creativity and weirdness in the world. I veered from that path here and there…taking "regular" jobs and trying my best to be "normal" to fit into some acceptable mold….but I am at my best and happiest when doing the most unusual careers. I've been a muralist, a creative writing teacher, worked in a modeling agency (hated that), welded and taught puppetry…now I write and teach a bit. Granted freelance writing isn't so weird… but the freedom lets me focus on my own writing and artwork. Assignments that make me think and study, can be alternated with creative lesson plans and bizarre sculptures. I teach Creativity Explosion! classes, lovin' the mayhem and mess that ensues.
For this, and Mahna Mahna, I thank you Jim Henson.


text:
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Available in sizes 38 to 43 and a range of colours to match almost any ensemble!
Shipped worldwide and wholesale accounts are available!


text:
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text:
Upgrading VxVM
upgrading VxVM quick and easy
Rather than using encapsulated rootdisk, take a look at the
possibility of a deencapsulating rootdisk and skip to Gene Trantham,
section 2). This methodology is tried and true and with fewer side
effects and better recovery options. If you still wish to have
encapsulated rootdisk, see below.
Contributed by various people:
1. If the root disk is encapsulated by veritas volume manager
1. Break any root volume mirror (remove/detach mirror plex
from rootvol. This way, you can simply boot back off of this mirror
plex if you need to get back quickly).
2. Save a copy of your /etc/system file
1. Comment out any "rootdevice" lines in the
/etc/system file (remember to use '*' as the comment character!)
3. save your VxVM volumes in vfstab (by copying the current
vfstab to another file, and copy the vfstab.prevm as vfstab; or
comment out the Veritas volumes in the vfstab file)
4. remove any patches you may have applied to VxVM
5. reboot to single-user mode or multi-user mode to boot of
non-veritas initialized volumes.
6. remove (pkgrm) the current Veritas (SEVM=SUNW... or
Veritas=VRTS...) packages
7. reboot
8. add (pkgadd) new packages from the Volume Manager cdrom
9. Run vxinstall
1. Do a custom install. ONLY encapsulate root disk into
array - choose 4 to leave all other disks on all other controllers
alone (or use an exclude file for the other disks)
2. copy back your original (saved above) vfstab file as
/etc/vfstab (or uncomment the volumes if applicable).
3. Let it do its reboots
10. Done: when it reboots, you should see the volumes listed
in vfstab (if you have them in a diskgroup other than rootdg. If you
had them in rootdg, you're going to get warnings about rootdg numbers
not being the same.)
2. If the root disk is not encapsulated by veritas volume manager
1. Save your VxVM volumes in vfstab (just in case -- by
copying the current vfstab to another file e.g. /etc/vfstab.bak)
2. Remove any patches you may have applied to VxVM
3. remove (pkgrm) the current Veritas (SEVM=SUNW... or
Veritas=VRTS...) packages
4. pkgadd the new Veritas (SEVM=SUNW... or Veritas=VRTS...) packages
5. remove the '/etc/vx/reconfig.d/state.d/install-db' file
(to tell Veritas it's not a fresh install).
6. Apply any new patches that may be required
7. reboot
Also please note that the above will work for any/all versions of
volume manager (2.x and 3.x) but the package names may differ. For
SEVM the package names began with 'SUNW'; example: SUNWvmdev,
SUNWvxvm, etc. For versions 3.x and higher or versions < 3.X bought
directly from Veritas and not through Sun, the package names begin
with 'VRTS'; example: VRTSvmdev, VRTSvxvm, etc. See this link for a
version cross reference.
Gene Trantham writes, in his Best Practices Paper, about making the
rootdg unencapsulated. When asked if this made upgrades to VxVM
tricky, he responded:
The officially supported method of upgrading either VxVM or VxVM+OS is
to run upgrade-start (located on the VxVM media). This script writes a
new VTOC according to the geometry of the core OS volumes, whether the
disk is encapsulated or not. In fact, it computes slice start,offset
values at run time -- NOT from any saved VTOC or from the underlying
slices which may be present on an encapsulated disk.
So, to answer your question, the method that I propose does not make
it any harder to upgrade VxVM. But -- and this is a pet peeve of mine
-- VxVM shouldn't have to be this hard to upgrade anyway. Consider a
patch for SEVM. That does not require the
unencapsulate,remove,replace,re-encapsulate procedure, so why should a
software upgrade? The only difference is the revision number of the
I have successfully upgraded VxVM using two alternate approaches:
1. Manipulate the /var/sadm/install/contents file and the package
database such that the VRTSvxvm and related packages are 'officially'
not installed (yet the binaries are still in place). You may then
pkgadd your new VRTSvxvm, overwriting the existing binaries.
This is unlikely to ever be suported by either Veritas or Sun as
an acceptable method for upgrade, so should not be attempted in the
2. If you have a clone OS disk or the ability to boot from a
network boot image and still operate VxVM (such as with MR and
JumpStart), you may upgrade like so:
* boot from alternate media w/ VxVM drivers loaded
* mount rootvol and friends on /a
* chroot /a pkgrm VRTSvxvm
* cd /net/whereever/new/vxvm/is
* pkgadd -R /a . VRTSvxvm
This second method will be discussed with a little more detail in an
upcoming BluePrint article (August [2000], I believe).
Here is a more explicit expansion of method 1. used when the rootdisk
is deencapsulated following the guideliness of the best practices
paper above:
1. pkgrm VRTSvmsa VRTSvmman VRTSvmdev
2. pkgrm.sh VRTSvxvm
3. cd /net/wherever/new/vxvm/is
4. pkgadd VRTSvxvm
(reply 'y' to the overwrite question)
5. Apply any patches for new VxVM that may be available
6. Reboot ASAP
1. Upgrading VxVM only. No OS upgrade
2. Little or no error trapping in the script. Could mangle the
patch and package database (but only a little bit :-)


text:
[ ... ]A while back, on a couple of occasions, I posted a query about some bad behavior on my mail server. For the past several months, it has been either crashing/reboot or just rebooting. It's ALWAYS triggered by a SSH login, but at random and ONLY at the "su" to root -- usually the most time before reboot is about 2+ weeks and then contrasted by 2 in a row right after the reboot -- actually no pattern. It has never happened directly at the console.
There are no indications of anything in the logs, and no core dumps. It just stops and reboots, and any random time it pick. Only a couple of times it has crashed without the remote login.
These two paragraphs contradict each other, at least in part. :-)
You're seeing frequent crashes, which seem to be strongly correlated with logging in as root, but you've also noticed crashes "without the remote login", too? You should build a debug kernel, and enable dumping the system to swap upon a panic ("man crash"), so that you have more information about the crash.
One tip was that I might have stale NFS mountabs -- cleared them out, but problem persisted.
The above tip was suggested when I mentioned that on a couple or more of the occurrences, I managed to get to the console quickly enough to see (in bright bold) "lockmgr locking against myself" -- or close to that. My google of that error does mention stale mounts, but mostly about esoteric code stuff. No fix found anywhere.
Hmm. Are you performing local mail delivery to NFS volumes?
Normally (or historically, anyway), NFS locking problems cause rpc.lockd to crash or wedge, thus resulting in NFS locking not working and possibly grim results to file consistency for anything being changed by two or more processes at the same time.
However, NFS locking problems generally do not result in a system panic.
[ ... ]
http://sageweb/tmp/1-lsof.txt http://sageweb/tmp/2-lsof.txt
These URLs aren't fully-qualified hostnames. Please try again. :-)
-- -Chuck
_______________________________________________ [EMAIL PROTECTED] mailing list http://lists.freebsd.org/mailman/listinfo/freebsd-questions To unsubscribe, send any mail to "[EMAIL PROTECTED]"


text: At Seward Mitsubishi we have a range of cars to suit all budgets and all needs. Browse through our class leading vehicles ranging from 4x4s, to 7-seat family SUVs, to elegant city crossovers and super-minis. On our site you'll find everything you're looking for on our vehicles as well as information about us.


text:
Missouri curators approve 1.7 percent tuition increase
For those college-bound students heading to a Missouri public university in the fall, it'll cost you a bit more for tuition next year.
The Board of Curators approved a 1.7 percent tuition increase for undergraduates who are state residents, KSDK reports. The 2013-2014 tuition increase in slightly less than earlier estimates of a 2 percent increase. Annual in-state tuition at the system's flagship campus, the University of Missouri-Columbia, will rise to $9,343, up $158.
Out-of-state residents will see similar increase at campuses in Columbia and Kansas City, but pay 4.4 percent more at Rolla and 6.8 percent more in St. Louis.


text:
This is a classic case of finding another use for something that has become practically obsolete. Herm found this antique spittoon or cuspidor – a receptacle for the saliva created from chewing tobacco – in Dad's basement. I don't know where or when Dad got it, and he can't recall.
Thinking that I would like it, Herman brought it upstairs. I washed it thoroughly, and I do mean thoroughly, and plopped my kitchen utensils in it. It served me well while we lived with Dad. I love that wonderful, mellow, ocher color.
When we moved back home, I asked Dad if I could keep it and he said, "Sure." As you can see, now it holds my pens, pencils, scissors, markers and even a small screwdriver and a magnifying glass – a far better use for it than its original purpose.


text:
CINCINNATI — They were not heartbroken. They'd been through injuries of every kind. They'd played in some of the toughest games in the NCAA tournament. They could take a lump from Tennessee.
The Lady Vols have been to the Final Four 10 of the last 16 years. They have won four national championships. They are the defending national champions.


text:
Do you have an eye condition that needs to be treated with laser eye surgery? Any reputable eye specialist will ask you to come in for a consultation, or at least speak to you via the phone or skype to determine your suitability for the procedure.
You may not know what to expect from a consultation, so this guide will explain the various aspects that determine whether laser eye surgery will be good for you.
Medical History
Your consultant will ask you to give a background of your medical history, particularly in relation to your vision. Any previous diagnosis, treatments or procedures should be discussed, as they could affect your ability to have laser eye surgery.
Any medical issues involving anaesthetic should also be disclosed, though it's important to note that laser eye surgery is most often completed while the patient is awake.
Eye Examination
You will have a number of tests during your consultation, which may include mapping and measuring your corneas, pupil dilation and refraction. Again this is to understand your eye issues fully and to offer the correct mode of surgery or treatment for your condition.
Risks and Benefits
An integral part of any consultation is to talk about the risks and benefits of the surgery. However, it's also nice for a patient to see how laser eye surgery changes the lives of people in a positive way, regardless of your condition. Your consultant may show you testimonials and statistics and will happily answer any questions you may have about laser eye surgery.
A consultation is nothing to fear, and should put any potential laser eye surgery candidate's mind at ease. It is designed to help you make an informed decision.


text:
The Bower House – Home 225861 Cottage
- 1 bedroom
- 2 sleeps
- min stay varies
The Bower House – Home 225861
- Cottage
- 1 bedroom
- sleeps 2
- min stay varies
Top Review
Cottage / 1 bedroom / 1 bathroom / sleeps 2
Key Info
- Nearest beach 60 km
- Not suitable for children
- Car essential
- Pet friendly
Description from owner
Bed & bathroom
- Beds in other rooms: Double Bed
- 1 En suite
- Wi-Fi available
- Jacuzzi or hot tub
- Mountain Views
- Shared garden
- Balcony or terrace
- Bicycles available
- Internet access
- Central heating
- Fireplace
- Pool or snooker table
- Cooker
- Fridge
- Freezer
- Microwave
- Toaster
- Kettle
- Dishwasher
- Washing machine
- Clothes dryer
- Iron
- Satellite TV
- Video player
- DVD player
- CD player
- Hair dryer
- Linen provided
- Towels provided
More Less
- Parking
- Accessible for wheelchair users — please contact the owner for details before booking
- Check in time:15:00, Check out time:10:00
- If you have any questions about check-in or check-out times, please contact the owner/manager.
- Payment
- This owner does not use online booking. Please contact them and they will be able to offer you a secure way to pay for your stay. Never pay for your holiday rental by wire transfer (such as Western Union or Moneygram) as this type of payment is untraceable.
- Smoking
- No smoking at this property
- Cancellation policy
View Policy
About the owner
Freddy M.
- Response rate:
- 90%
- Calendar updated::
- 23 Apr 2018
- Years listed:
- 6
- Based in:
- United Kingdom
- Overall rating:
Languages spoken: English
This Cottage has 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and sleeps 2. It's been listed on Holiday Lettings since 18 Jun 2012. Located in Cumbria, it has 20 reviews with an overall rating of 5. The average weekly rate varies from £295 to £700.
The Owner has a response rate of 90% and the property's calendar was last updated on 23 Apr 2018.
Map and how to get there
Guest reviews
– based on 20 reviews
20 reviews
- Excellent
- 16
- Very Good
- 3
- Average
- 1
- Poor
- 0
- Terrible
- 0
This place is just wonderful, Freddie and his wife greeted us with smiles and helpful tour of the cottage and provided an extensive array of local information and walks, the cottage was a converted barn and was just perfect for our stay. The locality was perfect for our needs and we travelled around and the views where lovely from the huge window over looking the hills, Freddie was on hand if we needed him and we felt safe and secure in the cottage. Would recommend this quiet place to stay to anyone who needs a country retreat. Also the pizzas in the village are Devine but BOOK!!!!!!!! Free wifi was a little temperamental but worked ok Thanks Freddie for a wonderful stay really appreciate it :)
"perfect location, lovely cottage"
The Bower House sits in the very pretty village of Morland . It is a small cottage that looks out onto the surrounding fields and hills with a beautiful picture window for optimum views and outdoor patio seating area. The cottage is well appointed and very comfortable with the advantage of having a log wood burner for those chilly evenings which made the cottage very cosy. My husband our German shepherd and i spent 3 nights at the Bower House and it was lovely we wished we had booked a few more nights!! Freddy the owner was very helpful and on hand if you needed anything. We will definitely book The Bower House again.
Build your perfect trip, with Holiday Lettings & TripAdvisor
Real opinions, real reviews
Genuine guest feedback from 100,000+ reviews
Quick response times
Know where you're staying within 24 hours
Also consider
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This advert is created and maintained by the advertiser; we can only publish adverts in good faith as we don't own, manage or inspect any of the properties. We advise you to familiarise yourself with our terms of use.


text:
Web Stats and Analysis for Prawicarzeczypospolitej - prawicarzeczypospolitej.org
Sponsored Links
3.00 Rating by ClearWebStats
prawicarzeczypospolitej.org has registered 1 decade 11 months ago. This website has a #4,253,436 rank in global traffic. It has a .org as an domain extension. This website has a Google PageRank of 5 out of 10. This domain is estimated value of $ 240.00 and has a daily earning of $ 1.00. While no active threats were reported recently by users, prawicarzeczypospolitej.org is SAFE to browse.
Traffic Report for prawicarzeczypospolitej.org
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Bandon OR Hotel | Hotel in Bandon | Bandon Inn
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Located on a bluff, Bandon Inn overlooks Old Town Bandon, marina, Coquille River and the Pacific Ocean beyond. Miles of stunning beaches and ocean breezes, panoramic views,...
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Carn's Theatre Passion is passionate about theatre & new writing. Love New Writing & Off West End productions. With a team of reviewers, we love to support


text:
Below is a group product of Simple Watch.
Chinese Watch Manufacturer Mens Water Resistant Leather Strap OEM Quartz Watches
FOB Price: US $25-60 / Piece Min. Order: 100 Pieces
Watch, Smart Watch, Stainless Steel Watch manufacturer / supplier in China, offering Waterproof Men Sports Wristband Fashion Watch Call Message Reminder Healthy Smart Sport Watches, Outdoor Waterproof 50m Sports Watch Digital SIM Card 3G Bluetooth Smart Watch for Android/Ios Phone, Sport Watch Beautiful Design IP67 Waterproof Smart Watches with Pedometer and Sleep Monitor and so on.


text:
Beautiful unobstructed views of the Gulf from this spacious beach front home in South Seas Plantation. This freestanding home also features a huge covered lanai which could incorporate a 3rd bedroom if desired. Offered turnkey as viewed with fresh Florida decorating. Enjoy spectacular sunsets from nearly every room. The Beach Homes also offers community pools, tennis and grill area. Alterations to the structure for a second story are possible with board approval. Not currently in a rental program. CaptivaGulfFront.com
Additional Property Details


text:
Friday. I feel so dull today. Sore throat.
Just finished my long, almost overdue assignment. Feels good. Can't wait for my stuff to be published.
Been craving to eat Kinalas, only to find out that it's Friday today (Lenten season). Gonna look for some "fishy" alternative. Sushi perhaps, or sashimi. Hungry.
As an assignment I was asked to do a book review. There's only roughly 20 pages to go (started reading yesterday), but I'm too tired to finish it. Though the book is interesting (will not divulge it publicly yet since it's something… academic), there are some, well, let's say holes in it. Should I be honest? Or should I turn to euphemisms? I'll soon find out tonight as I write a three-page review.
Again, sore throat. Hate it.
Been looking at pics of Bikol at Tumblr. I really love my region, quirks included. Though I believe we still have a lot of shit to clean up.
Listen to the church bell overlapping the sound of the air-conditioner overlapping the sound of my head's soundless nonsense.
Too tired to write a review. Too tired to even worry.


text: Therefore, if anyone is in Christ, he is a new creation. The old has passed away; behold, the new has come (2 Cor 5:17)~~ Butterflies are beautiful creatures. From the design on their wings to all the colors they display, they are spectacular. Before any butterfly can be a magnificent creature, however, it must begin its life as a caterpillar, which is quite ugly. Caterpillars transform into butterflies through a process called metamorphosis. Their old nature passes away, and they turn into a completely new creature. Just as caterpillars are changed into butterflies, we, too, are changed into new creatures with new identities through faith and deeply rooted in Christ. Our old identities … Apart from Christ… are "passed away"..We transform from ugly sinners in the world's point of view to beautiful saints in Christ's point of view! This newness is however also different from the butterfly…it's more than an outward reformation; though the same as man, we are changed in character and conduct. We act upon new principles, by new rules, with new ends, and in new company. Our heart is not merely set right, but a new heart is given to us. We are the workmanship of God, created in Christ Jesus unto good works. We who formerly saw no beauty in the Savior that we should desire Him, now love Him above all things. Be ye transformed!


text:
Regular Member
Dues: $140
You may choose either digital access or the Print JASIST Option to also receive a hardcopy of JASIST by mail. All members have access to our Digital Library.
- The prestigious Journal of ASIS&T (JASIST) and the Bulletin
- Free webinars
- Online membership directory
- Membership in a local chapter
- Membership in as many Special Interest Groups as you wish
- Discounts on all ASIS&T meetings, programs, and publications
- Find or post a job through Career Center and the ASIS&T Placement Service
- Voting rights
- Eligible to hold office
- Eligible to join the group insurance program
Retired Member
Dues: $70
Available to those who have been a member of ASIS&T for the past five years and have retired from active work. Retired members enjoy the same benefits as a regular member.
Student Member
Dues: $40
Student memberships are for individuals enrolled as full-time or part-time students and certified by their faculty advisors. There is a limit of 6 consecutive years that one may be a student member. Students enjoy the same benefits as a regular member with electronic access to our Digital Library. Students also get membership in their school's student chapter.
Special Group Discount: Student memberships only cost $35 each when 10 or more join. Click here for details!
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This membership is available to individuals who have been student members or are new and transitioning information professionals. Entry / Transitional Professionals enjoy all the benefits of regular members. Students typically upgrade the year after graduation. There is a 3 year limit to this membership.
Developing Nations
Student Dues: $20
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Our family's annual trip to Yosemite is just around the corner. It's a time that kids and adults alike look forward to throughout the year. When I tell people that I tent-camp for a week every year, they are pretty surprised. When I tell them that I've been doing it for almost 12 years with my kids when one was eight months and when the other was two months, they are shocked.
But the secret is that I actually have it really easy. My mother and father-in-law really know how to set-up a campsite with all the bells and whistles. They have tried and true methods to make sure everyone feels comfortable. From welcome mats at the tents to area rugs for kiddos to stretch out on, there are touches of thoughtful convenience that feel less like "roughing it" and more like "glamping" at a 5 star resort complete with blended drinks at a daily cocktail hour.
Each year we head out for a week filled with nature and with about thirty family members and countless Yosemite friends. My mother-in-law has been to Yosemite every year of her life. Throughout that time she and her siblings made friends with several families that also made Yosemite their annual vacation. They still have those friends and they all still go to Yosemite, only now with their kids and grandkids and great grandkids.
We make new memories while we hear stories about fire falls, camp dances, marriage proposals, that time the squirrel snuck into the cabin and the year it rained every day. We learn how to play new card games and forget all about TV shows and apps. We rave about the fresh air, the way the morning sun glitters on the granite cliffs, and the way the breeze sounds when it blows through the trees. Though my husband may have seen close to everything Yosemite has to offer, when exploring with the kids it's like he's seeing it all for the first time.
Make plans to explore nature and make memories of your own, whether it's a day trip for a hike, a weekend in a tent, or a whole week of roughing it. You'll have memories that last a lifetime.


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The sun seems a hazy memory. A heart burns with envy and ice from the coldest of mountain tops. Soon hope seems lost and faith is as the sun, fading with the swiftness of the wind over rushing waters. Suddenly a once hot and beating heart becomes a cold and rusty stone. Thick and heavy. No longer a protective shell, but a solid mass of sand and all the elements of defeat.
A once soft and loving soul now sits under water drowning and hidden from the light, the warmth an the love that has left it tortured. Alone. Because in the end, that is all we are.


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Wrapped up three nights of PA duties in the Jungle this week for IUPUI Jaguars volleyball. They went 1-2 this week, dropping a heartbreaking match to IPFW in five sets on Tuesday, followed by a three-set blowout vs. Oral freakin' Roberts Friday night. But last night, the Jags rebounded and held off a spirited Southern Utah squad in three very evenly matched sets.
I'm hardly a natural at volleyball announcing, but I'd say my comfort level with the sport is miles ahead of where I was a year ago. Understanding the rules? Well, getting there. The one rule I really and truly do NOT understand is no one—and I mean NO ONE—is allowed to see the starting lineups until one minute before the match begins. Some officials are such schoolmarms about it they were actually blocking my view of the lineups as they were being submitted by the coaches. They tell me it's a "point of emphasis" with the NCAA.
To the NCAA I say: This is one of the dumbest rules ever.
Given my role with the program, I'm not an official scorekeeper, but I'm part of the "table crew." I'm not some blogger or some random fan or spy trying to get an edge. MY job, madam and monsieur officials, is to keep the trains running on time. Given my role in the mix, the sooner I get these lineups, the better so we can keep things on schedule. But if you want to be the most conscientious hall monitor ever, fine. Whatever. But then we start late. If you have a problem with that, take it up with yourself and your dumb, little rule. And yes, it is a dumb, little rule. Rules for the sake of being omnipotent are extraneous and wasteful.
And only in volleyball are we so austere. In soccer, the lineups are usually up to the press box about 10 – 15 minutes prior to kickoff. Basketball? Five minutes is the cutoff. In both cases, it gives stat crews and other personnel to get the information locked into the books so we can keep accurate stats and information. But volleyball? One minute.
I'd love for an NCAA official to explain to me the logic behind that rule.


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So I last left this story with us hitting the road from Portland headed to Strawberry Fields/Robins Bay, where we'd made arrangements to meet Sata and Peter when we were there the day before.
I fee like I should clarify something. There is no Strawberry Fields on any map I have seen. There is a RESORT with that name very near where we were, and there is a town called Robins Bay just down the road. Google map shows the bay where the Robins Bay hotel is located as "Mahoe Bay". The Esso road map shows that bay's edge as "Don Cristophers Point", and the nearest town is labeled Green Castle. There is a Green Castle estate pretty close to the turnoff (and i am told it is a lovely place to stay), but it's not by the coast. When I asked Sata what he called the community he lives in, he said "Strawberry Fields". So that is what I call it.
Here's the area as it appears on the Esso map. The road we were on was not significant enough to make that map but we were in the area between what is labeled "Green Castle" and "Salt Bay". As near as I can tell, Salt Bay is just west of the black sand beach we went to by boat. But i get ahead of myself.
One day, when I have a high clearance 4WD vehicle, I may try the "back way" from Port Maria. But as it was, we took the turnoff that on this map leads to Green Castle, but kept going along the coast.
Nene had been watching me drive all this time and asked if she might try it. The road to S-Fields is rough but it is Q-U-I-E-T – we passed maybe one car each way out by the coast. So I said sure and she drove the last bit.
When we arrived at Sata's, he and Peter had made lunch…and what a lunch it was. Fish, fry chicken, breadfruit, plantains, nutty sweet things, some veggies….we all sat down and joined by Charlie (the fisherman in the photo from part one), we finished almost all of it. I didn't take any photos but we had this lunch at a table under an open roof maybe 10 feet from the edge of a cliff down to the sea. It is a breathtaking setting.
Full and ready for some adventure, we walked as a group along the road and on down to the beach to wait for Lion. Their beach has these awesome bamboo swings on it….
And we waited for Lion to get his boat ready. (Sata had reached him the evening before when he returned from fishing, so he was ready for us).
As you can see, the beaches are dark here and have lots of shells and little pebbles and driftwood. It's a change from the manicured beach at Frenchman's we were at that morning – not better or worse, just different and beautiful in its way.
You can see one of Sata's cottages in this photo, at the end of the cliff, with the red roof.
Maybe you get a sense of what this place is like from these photos. I didn't take as many as I'd have liked, or video…when I return i will try. There are people living here, and some houses, and farms, but by and large the coast is natural and wild. That's what i hoped to experience here, and I got it.
But where we were going by boat…now THAT would be wild…
We set off in some pretty wavy seas that made us squeal…bouncing in big surf is FUN 🙂
We picked up one more person…while Charlie, Sata, Peter, Nene and I would hike to the falls, Lion and the guy in this photo (name forgotten, maybe Nene remembers…) would be fishing. In fact we all fished on the way over, Nene and I even held lines…but we didn't catch anything.
Here is a shot from our half hour or so ride….Nene took this (and many of the photos I include in this part of the report, actually), I was scared to get out my camera because we were getting pretty wet from the waves.
After a bit, we arrive at the black sand beach where we will get off the boat and begin our hike.
I assure you, it was even prettier in person. Calm water, a dark blue because of the black sand, no rocks, no people.
Sata says they sometimes cook out and chill here for a whole day…I could totally do that when I return, this trip we just didn't have much time.
Lion said goodbye, he'd be fishing out a ways and watch for us to arrive back at the beach when we were ready to be picked up. Watching him pull away I remember thinking here we are, no people around, no roads, no houses, no nothing but us and our new friends…and I was fine with it.
We splashed around a little bit but I wanted to get up to the falls so we set off. Sata took the lead and he is FAST. I'm in pretty good shape and so is Nene, but hiking in the stream, following the river up, having done it since he was little he said…I guess he was just better at it. Plus he's really tall, long legs help 🙂 It was still VERY buggy, and we didn't stop much on the hike up because the mosquitoes were fierce. Sata said they just came two days before. We had bug juice and it helped some, but it was still best to keep moving.
When I come back, maybe it won't be a buggy time and I can stop and appreciate the hike more…because it WAS beautiful.
Nene took this one photo of a tree that Sata wanted us to photograph along the trail, because it is so big. I assume it's a cottonwood, I've never seen any other kind get huge like that. Very cool.
We hiked sometimes on a trail, sometimes in the river itself, which was fairly low. At one point in the hike, Sata, Peter and I continued up the river on a route that took us chest deep in the water while Charlie took Nene up and around on a path through the jungle as she didn't want to go through the deep part…they arrived at the falls maybe 5 minutes after we did.
And here is Kwame Falls.
and here I am looking back down the river that we hiked through to get here.
There were still a lot of mosquitoes around so I got in the water ASAP…I love to swim anyhow, if you've read this blog at all you know i live to be in water, no matter where or what kind 🙂
Nene can swim but she is, as she puts it, "not a strong swimmer". The guys got the idea to grab a big piece of old bamboo to make a floaty for her so she could come out into the deep part. It worked perfectly…when she held on, anyhow 😉
Here is Charlie helping her out…
We swam and hung out for a couple of hours. We were, of course, the only people around. I am told Strawberry Fields resort does an ATV trip up here using the trails from there to near here, and while that sounds cool, I am glad we did it this way (and didn't run into them).
When I knew we had to, we hiked back down to the beach and waited just a couple of minutes before Lion's boat came into view. I know he was watching for us from where he was fishing, though we all had cell phones too, if needed. You'd think there'd be some issue with cell phone reception in a remote area like this but no….my Digicel phone worked just fine. I find it works in the Blue Mountains too…funny.
One last look around at the beach where I WILL return and spend a lot more time….
Many thanks to Sata, Peter and Charlie, and Lion too for sharing their favorite places with us and showing us such a great time.We had a GREAT day and look forward to returning soon.
(Before we left I asked Sata if I could put my story and photos about our day on the internet, and he was fine with it. I also asked him if anyone wanted to reach him to go on this trip or camp at his place, if I could give them his number, and he also said yes. So comment here if you'd like to reach him and I'll get you in touch. Update 2013: Sata's Reef yard has a Facebook page! )
An update: a few months after I was here, a group of photographers who live in Jamaica took a trip here. They hiked, didn't take a boat, and apparently it was quite the trip 🙂 I think it's expressed best in this blog by Ryan Lue-Clark. Don't miss his video, it is hilarious!
Continue reading this series:
Catcha Falling Star Gardens in Negril (April 2010)


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Have Hypothyroidism and low vitamin D. Why am I still tired and exhausted? Sleep apnea? HIgh RBC. Why?
Hi, I have Hypothyroidism and low vitamin d . I have been on thryoid meds for two years and it has leveled out and been steading with a reading around 0.8-1.3. My vitamin d was as low as 17 when i was diagnosed and since has risen to about 44. Even with all these getting better, i am still super tired and exhausted all the time. I never feel refreshed after sleeping. I have been tested for Sleep Apnea and am ok on that respect. I had slightly high levels of creatinine , normal cholosteral levels, higher than normal red blood cells but not too high that the doc was concerned. I have developed acne like when i was a teenager but its on my chest and back mostly. My back aches all the time as well as my joints. I have headaches frequently and i am depressed or what the doc thinks anyways. I have been taking ciprolax 20 and recently he added wellbuterin xl 150. My mind set has gotten better but my physical ailments just never seem to get any better and seem worse at times. The doctor is stumped and pretty much just says its depression , but i dont think that is what it is as i have never been depressed this long before and it only occurred after feeling so horrible for so long. I have been off work since February due to the exhaution and the stress of my job. Could this be related to my thyroid still? Or could it be some other hormone issue? Or Gland issue? I also have developed lumps in my armpits that get so sore and then burst pus etc. which leave a gaping hole that takes awhile to heal up properly. Any ideas or suggestions? Should i get the doc to refer me to a Endocrinologist for further testing?
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Hello I am a junior resident working in endocrinology department kerala india. Your symptoms seems to be of long duration. further queries
any loss of chest/sexual hair?
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what is your
and FreeT4 values and their normal range?
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are you diabetic if yes values?
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Hello I am a junior resident working in endocrinology department kerala india. Your symptoms seems to be of long duration. further queriesany loss of chest/sexual hair?do you have headache- associated nausea vomiting or vision loss?any history decreased sodium/hypotension?what is your TSH and FreeT4 values and their normal range?do you have increased urine output/ thigh or arm muscle weakness?are you diabetic if yes values?any history of renal stones or any abdominal tumour?
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The strength of the delayed response depends on the size of θ. However, the mood of each person is not likely to be perfectly measured. Our simulations also demonstrated this bias, and showed large absolute errors and importantly, very poor coverage rates for the AR effect when measurement error is disregarded, regardless of sample size. "[Show We also examine a pseudolikelihood method based on normality assumptions and computed using the Kalman filter. http://edvinfo.com/measurement-error/measurement-error-in-linear-autoregressive-models.html
Classical examples of measurement error, which are moment-specific, are making an error while filling in a questionnaire, or accidentally pressing a (wrong) button during an experiment (e.g., Gilden, 2001). Think you should have access to this item via your institution? Comm. Centering the time variable creates uncorrelated estimates of the linear and quadratic terms in the model. https://www.jstor.org/stable/27590617
Complete: Journals that are no longer published or that have been combined with another title. ISSN: 01621459 Subjects: Science & Mathematics, Statistics × Close Overlay Article Tools Cite this Item DiscussionIn this paper we demonstrate that it is important to take measurement error into account in AR modeling. We find that, depending on the person, approximately 30–50% of the total variance was due to measurement error, and that disregarding this measurement error results in a substantial underestimation of the Finally, we illustrate the effect of disregarding measurement error in an AR(1) model by means of an empirical application on mood data in women.
For this example, the R estimate of the model is Step 4: Model diagnostics, (not shown here), suggested that the model fit well. Ecol. 80, 1269–1277 (2011)CrossRefKoons, B.K., Foutz, R.V.: Estimating moving average parameters in the presence of measurement error. J. Wiley, New York (2008)MATHMorris, W.F., Doak, D.F.: Quantitative Conservation Biology: Theory and Practice of Population Variability Analysis.
In that case, the AR(1)+WN model is no longer identified, which is problematic for estimating the model parameters. On a certain day, the person has a shameful experience, resulting in a strong boost (e.g., an innovation or perturbation) in introverted behavior. For most of the eight individuals, the baseline mood is estimated to be around 60–70, which indicates that on average they are in moderately good spirits. http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-1-4614-6871-4_3 For a smaller sample size of 100 observations the Bayesian procedure outperforms the frequentist ML procedure.
Ecololgy 91, 858–871 (2010)CrossRefJungbacker, B., Koopman, S.J.: Monte Carlo estimation for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. Access your personal account or get JSTOR access through your library or other institution: login Log in to your personal account or through your institution. White noise is a series of random variables that are identically and independently distributed (Chatfield, 2004). Neerl. 55, 182–199 (2001)MathSciNetMATHCrossRefHarvey, A.C.: Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models, and the Kalman Filter.
Conserv. 17, 3417–3429 (2008)CrossRefIves, A.R., Dennis, B., Cottingham, K.L., Carpenter, S.R.: Estimating community stability and ecological interactions from time-series data. https://onlinecourses.science.psu.edu/stat510/node/72 Coverage: 1922-2010 (Vol. 18, No. 137 - Vol. 105, No. 492) Moving Wall Moving Wall: 5 years (What is the moving wall?) Moving Wall The "moving wall" represents the time period Hence, in this sense the (empirical) identification of the AR(1)+WN model may be seen as dimensional rather than dichotomous, ranging from unidentified when ϕ is zero, to maximally empirically identified when For this part of the study σϵ2, σω2, and ϕ were fixed to 0.5, implying a proportion of measurement error variance to the total variance of 0.43.We judge the performance of
Ignoring this contribution will result in biased parameter estimates. http://edvinfo.com/measurement-error/measurement-error-models-methods-and-applications-pdf.html Selecting between an AR(1)+WN model and an ARMA(1,1) model will also be problematic using standard information criteria, because the AR(1)+WN model may be considered a restricted (simpler) version of the ARMA(1,1) Ecol. Finally, the Bayesian estimation procedures are not dependent on large sample asymptotics like the frequentist procedures, and may therefore perform better for smaller samples (Dunson, 2001; Lee and Wagenmakers, 2005).
Therefore, a positive AR parameter reflects the inertia, or resistance to change, of a process (Suls et al., 1998). If we multiply all elements of the equation by \(\Phi(B)\), we get \[\Phi(B)y_t = \Phi(B)\beta_0 +\beta_1\Phi(B)x_t + w_t\] Let \(y^{*}_{t} =\Phi(B)y_{t} = y_{t} - \phi_{1}y_{t-1} - \cdots - \phi_{p}y_{t-p}\) Let \(x^{*}_{t} As can be seen from the top-left panel of Figure Figure3,3, for μ all the models perform very similarly in terms of bias, absolute errors, and coverage rates. have a peek at these guys Simulation study resultsIn this section we present the results of the simulation study.
Stat. Example 2: Simulated The following plot shows the relationship between a simulated predictor x and response y for 100 annual observations. Biol. 70, 322–335 (2006)MATHCrossRefBuonaccorsi J,P., Staudenmayer, J.: Statistical methods to correct for observation error in a density-independent population model.
More applied than most books on measurement error, it describes basic models and methods, their uses in a range of application areas, and the associated terminology. Προεπισκόπηση αυτού του βιβλίου » J. However, any unobserved effect of which the influence is not carried over to the next measurement occasion may also be considered as measurement error, rather than dynamic error. We present an empirical application concerning the daily mood of eight women, in order to further illustrate the consequences of disregarding measurement error in practice, and we end with a discussion.2.
Ann. Participant 8 has an AR effect near zero in both the AR(1) model and the AR(1)+WN model, so that for her, everyday seems to be a "new day": How she felt Furthermore, we will compare the performance of the Bayesian and frequentist estimation of these models.3.1. check my blog Appl.


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Change Can be Hard
For the past several years, my wife Teri and I have been thinking, discussing, and studying the idea of finding several acres of property outside of town. We've coupled that with plan of downsizing (again) our abode. We did that once when she retired from her...read more