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Texto muito interessante de John Mauldin:
(...) let me give you a counter for the statistics from last week from Raoul Pal of Spain. And of course, there are other statistics that can be brought in to make almost any case you want. But I found these to be very thought-provoking.
"(...) In its simplest terms a healthcare system is there to extend the longevity of live of the population. It is the single best and simplest way to judge it because we can all find examples of where one country is better than another but the longevity stats don't lie. When we use that framework the picture is incredibly different. The US has many of the best doctors and medical care in the world but it doesn't work for the population as a whole and therein lies the problem.
"According to the Economist the total US spend on healthcare is 15.4% of GDP including both state and private . With that it gets 2.6 doctors per 1,000 people, 3.3 hospital beds and its people live to an average age of 78.2
"UK - spends 8.1% of GDP, gets 2.3 doctors, 4.2 hospital beds and live to an average age of 79.4. So for roughly half the cost their citizens overall get about the same benefit in terms of longevity of life.
"Canada - spends 9.8% of GDP on healthcare, gets 2.1 doctors, 3.6 hospital beds and live until they are 80.6 yrs
"Now if we look at the more social model in Europe the results become even more surprising:
"France - spends 10.5%, 3.4 docs, 7.5 beds and live until they are 80.6
"Spain - spends 8.1% , 3.3 docs , 3.8 beds and live until they are 81
"As a whole Europe spends 9.6% of GDP on healthcare, has 3.9 doctors per 1,000 people, 6.6 hospital beds and live until they are 81.15 years old.
"The list goes on. The truth is that in many cases as is pointed out the healthcare system is better in the US than in some other countries BUT US citizens must therefore get ill more often than any other country in the West in order to achieve the truly appalling statistic that they are the 41 longest living nation on earth with France, Spain, Norway, Switzerland, Italy, Austria, Andorra, Holland, Greece and Sweden all featuring in the top 20 longest living nations and the UK and Germany at 22.
"This is the big failure of the US system. It is unforgivable. You may get a better chance of recovering from certain diseases but as a whole you will die younger in the US than most developed countries. ... Something is severely broken."
I had many letters from all over the world on this issue both pro and con. And some very lively discussions with health professionals. One pointed out to me that the uninsured in the US when they need a doctor often go to an emergency room for what should be a $50 office visit and end up with a $5,000 bill, which does not get paid and runs up insurance costs for those who do have it. As Dr. Mike Roizen points out in his many books, simply eating right, exercising and other common sense things would cut out much of our health care costs. When one-third of children in elementary schools are overweight, we need to get a grip on what we are doing to the next generation."
quarta-feira, 17 de junho de 2009
A Different Perspective on Health Care
Texto muito interessante de John Mauldin:
2 comentários:
- grao_de_po disse...
é engraçado quando as estatísticas corroboram o senso comum...
- 17 de junho de 2009 às 17:12
- Pedro Gomes disse...
Os states gastam uma porrada de dinheiro em programas como o Medicaid e o Medicare, com resultados no mínimo desatrosos...
- 19 de junho de 2009 às 17:31


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How to look for the Load capability for a Trailer AxlePosted on
Driving a truck might seem like an easy task to the majority of people but it is a very intense and complex experience. Truck driving presents itself with numerous challenges and as a driver or vehicle owner you have to be knowledgeable when it comes to the ability of the truck and its particular trailer. One of the areas you'll want to know about is how much cargo your trailer and axle are designed for.
Before you set off on your own journey, you need to determine force capacity for your truck, trailer and trailer axle. It really is imperative that you get this right once the consequences may be serious and you could damage your vehicle and trailer or perhaps you could cause any sort of accident.
First of all you will need discover what could be the maximum vehicle weight rating that is gross. This is one way …

subset: commoncrawl


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PITTSBURGH (KDKA) — ModCloth, a trendy online retailer of vintage women's clothing employing nearly 250 in Pittsburgh, has been sold to Jet.com, which was recently acquired by Walmart.
"We decided that the best opportunity for ModCloth to go forward is to be part of a larger organization," ModCloth CEO Matthew Kaness told employees on Wednesday morning.
In a video conference with Pittsburgh employees, Kaness told local employees the news, saying it would be made public on Friday.
In an audio of the meeting obtained by KDKA-TV, Kaness tried to reassure employees:
"Nothing changes, so everybody is in the same role, with the same base salary, title, reporting etc."
ModCloth was founded by Carnegie Mellon University graduates Susan Koger and her husband, Eric; although, they are no longer part of the company leadership.
The company has been known for its hip clothing for women of all sizes and its homey work environment that includes a pet-friendly workplace with dogs.
Kaness said the purchase by Jet and Walmart positions ModCloth to compete on a larger scale.
"The team at Jet is expecting us to build on the opportunity as a stand-alone business," Kaness told employees.
"They want to compete and win against Amazon online, which is really exciting that we'll be a part of that," he said.
Join The Conversation On The KDKA Facebook Page
Stay Up To Date, Follow KDKA On Twitter
While some employees have expressed their concerns privately about the Walmart connection — worrying about lower pay, alleged gender bias, and poor working conditions — Kaness was upbeat.
"I think over time this is going to become an incredible marriage," he said.


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The Beginning Band is made up of students who are in their first year of playing. Beginning Band students perform in both the winter and spring concerts, along with having the opportunity to perform at the annual Celebrate the Arts and Music in the Parks.
All updated Intermediate Band assignments are posted on Schoology.
Listening links for Beginning Band
Avengers: https://www.jwpepper.com/The-Avengers/10681431.item#.Wr-PhdMbOu4
Autumn Fanfare: https://www.jwpepper.com/Autumn-Fanfare/10312612.item#.Wr-PfNMbOu4
Furioso: https://www.jwpepper.com/Furioso/2700051.item#/
Beginning Band Supplies 2017-2018
*Instrument in working order
*Instrument cleaning supplies (see list below)
*Band folder (will be provided in September)
*Essential Elements 2000 Book 1 for your instrument
*Concert attire: black dress pants, black dress shoes, and band concert polo (will be available for purchase in September)
*Note for Beginning Band- You will not need your instrument until the second week of school. Music and Arts, a reputable instrument rental company, will be hosting a rental night on Monday, September 11 at the school. You may rent through them, or obtain an instrument on your own (see Mrs. Lawson for a list of recommended instrument brands if you choose to do that). Music and Arts will also have cleaning kits with the supplies below in them and the Essential Elements book available for sale that evening. If you have not selected your instrument yet, Mrs. Lawson will be setting up more instrument try out times before school starts in August.
Cleaning supplies
Flute accessories: Bandana or cloth to use with cleaning rod
Oboe accessories: Drop cloth
Clarinet accessories: Drop cloth, cork grease, mouthpiece brush
Alto Saxophone accessories: Drop cloth, cork grease, mouthpiece brush
Trumpet accessories: Valve/slide oil, cleaning snake, mouthpiece brush
French horn accessories: Valve/rotor oil
Trombone accessories: Slide grease, cleaning snake, mouthpiece brush
Baritone accessories: Valve/slide oil, cleaning snake, mouthpiece brush
Tuba accessories: No cleaning supplies needed for tubaPercussion accessories: No cleaning supplies needed for percussion


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Tuesday, August 14, 2007
Zrrd Hosting
Posted by Haris Nadeem at 6:44 AM
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Subscriptions begin the same week you sign up! Your papercomes in the mail. In Hoke County, that's Thursday! If you subscribe, you're also entitled to the PDF version by email free of additional charge.
(If you are a deployed soldier,
we'll send you a free PDF version each week.
To sign up, go here)


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Looking at the pump and the hoses clamped to it (thanks so much for the picture!!), I removed only the screw clamp like 'tlowesocal', and was able to pull out all Removed the hose to drain all the water, then removed the clamps. Help this question get an answer by entering the correct category or product below. What could the problem be? his comment is here
http://www.justanswer.com/questions/1ndx... Too many suds ( too much detergent or wrong kind) 5. But the washer is running right now! Reading about how much trouble people had getting the other clamps off and back on, I opted try just remove the easiest clamp.
Please post back for any further assistance. Does it just pop off? How do I get the front panel off? Now check for the pump on the right side and remove hoses from it.
Here is a link that might be useful: Blog about E20 code Like Bookmark March 14, 2011 at 10:23PM Thank you for reporting this comment. I had my ex husband fix the problem last year and the coin trap was loaded with ****.... I first took off the drain hose leading from our washer to the drain pipe on the wall, cleaned it out and replaced it. Frigidaire Dishwasher Error Code 20 I took the rubber hose off, and found 3 all in one washer/dryer sheets stuck in the washer drain.
I pulled out my daughter's Cinderella sock (missing for 18 months!) and some change. Contributor 1 Answer Re: Frigidaire front load washer (LTF600ES1) Error E20 I'd like to say a huge thanks to everyone who has already posted here - the information was invaluable, and Bill Newberry 691,394 views 10:43 Frigidaire Affinity Front-Load Washer Disassembly – Washing Machine Repair Help - Duration: 3:31. Put it all back and testing the hot & cold water hook ups for leaks.
Also, since you've likely thrown the error and not finished the cycle, there will be water in your machine. Error Code E20 Frigidaire Dishwasher I got size 1"--2 and 1/4" Posted on Nov 09, 2008 Helpful 4 Not Helpful Comment Flag You can't post conmments that contain an email address. × Comment Anonymously Video Images Sign in to make your opinion count. I'LL BE WAITING A COUPLE MORE DAYS FOR MY NEW VISA TO ARRIVE IN THE MAIL..
Cannot remove coin trap from bottom, trap has a flange at top. Took some time but trying to get one clamp tightened again seemed much easier than dealing with all the clamps. E20 Error On Washing Machine Electrolux The really hard part was getting the coin catcher out. Error Codes For Frigidaire Front Load Washer Sign in 211 41 Don't like this video?
catlillie 65,269 views 2:02 How to Identify an Error Code on a Bosch Washing Machine - Duration: 5:02. this content My hands are shredded and I just now read the post about the nasty infection from the black sludge. NEVER AGAIN will I purchace anything FRIGIDAIRE. Drain hose is kinked or household drain is clogged. E20 Error On Simpson Washing Machine
Loading... This washer was new in May of 06, so I don't want to screw this one up. We push start it will run for aprox. 3-4 minutes and then flash E20 again. http://jamisonsoftware.com/error-code/frigidaire-front-load-washer-e47-error-code.php Hello - The error code "E20" typically means the water is not draining properly or not pumping out fast enough.
Mayor: An expert whose answer got voted for 2 times. What Does E20 Mean On A Frigidaire Washer It probably saved me over 200 bucks. I READ THE 1ST ONE WITH THE PICTURE FIRST AND ATTEMPTED TO GO TAKE OFF THE BOTTOM FRONT PANEL..
The washer is only a year old however i have 5 dogs and wasn't suprised to find dog hair clogging the coin trap. The machine spins and drains properly but is leaking. If you would like instruction to do it still and are up for the challenge let me know and I will tell you how to get the front off. What Does E20 Mean On My Simpson Washing Machine Remove pump from machine then remove whatever is there in the pump.
Back To Top PM Quote Reply Posted: Mon Dec 10th, 2007 01:18 am PM Quote Reply 5th Post jeffiepoo Senior Apprentice Appliantologist Joined:Fri May 12th, 2006 Location:Canton, Ohio USA Posts:48 It comes up within 10 minutes of the wash cycle. Here is a few possible causes of an E20 error code: 1. check over here Those pinch clamps are hell!
Disconnect that from the drum with a screw driver (pliers work well on the first 2 claimps, not this one) Pull the rubber hose off the drum and reach in and Also, have a little WD-40 tospray on the hose connection areas so they will slide back on easy. If not, I would suspect a clogged pump...Catriver. Worked like a charm!
You will likely need some form of plyer or clamp to get these off. Now check for the pump on the right side and remove hoses from it. Also, have a little WD-40 to spray on the hose connection areas so they will slide back on easy. or just call someone else to fix the dang things.
My unit is only 2 years old. Sign in Share More Report Need to report the video? It took me 30-45 minutes just to put them on! Please note that error e20 can also occur when the drain pump is not pumping fast enough or when the pump fails.
You can now move the access panel out ofthe way.#3 - You will now see what is shown in the picture in the post above. I know I will have to do this myself as my husband won't bother with it. Credentials confirmed by a Fortune 500 verification firm. Whoever decided the use razor sharp metal to edge all access areas was a sadist.
I have no idea what this means Anonymous Dec 19, 2008 e 20 and I've cleaned the hoses........just won't go away e 20 and I've cleaned the hoses........just won't go away Thanks to all who shared, saved me $69 just to have it diagnosed and $35 a half hour for any work so potentially $150 bill! Catriver's solution was PERFECT, except for one thing. i have the same problem error code with my fridgidaire affinity washer,why now at christmas,i did notice that it works fine for about the first 20 mins then its stops and


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I'm working my way back to Lazy Lady. I want to thank all my readers, friends and family for their support and understanding. I'm not going to go into too much detail about the things happening in my personal life right now, but just know that for now I'm back. Some things going on might make it hard for me to keep a true, regular schedule, but I'm going to plan and write like I would if things were "normal" in my life.
This time away from the blog has given me a chance to think about some things. I'm going to be trying out some new things here. Nothing drastic, just some different interpretations of my already established categories. Probably the biggest change will be on Tuesday's Reading is Sexy posts. You'll just have to come back tomorrow to see what I mean. 🙂
I've been doing some brainstorming about post topics, as well. I have some good posts (in theory, anyway) coming up; but I want to hear from you. Is there anything you'd like to know about that the Lazy Lady can provide?


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tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8743509395529179949.post3629815467631004474..comments2015-02-16T09:41:45.925-08:00Comments on Rose Works Jewelry: Elfsisters' Art Adventure - Circles and Spirals - Week 3Live, Love, Laugh, Write!http://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-8743509395529179949.post-79279328075878030942011-05-19T17:41:52.753-07:002011-05-19T17:41:52.753-07:00Love the journal Ruthie! I've been so busy I ...Love the journal Ruthie! I've been so busy I haven't had a chance to do much with the journal I bought. I keep looking at it but that's not getting anything done! Your knots look great! I have a book you would love, it's called Mandalas of the Celts. I love coloring mandalas and this is a coloring book of mandalas containing celtic knots! Looking forward to seeing more!Mandyhttps://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-8743509395529179949.post-43913252049096943752011-05-18T20:53:20.301-07:002011-05-18T20:53:20.301-07:00I'm really loving that last Celtic knot there....I'm really loving that last Celtic knot there. The colors go really well together and the design is really neat.Melissahttps://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-8743509395529179949.post-1918915417307742432011-05-18T20:29:36.579-07:002011-05-18T20:29:36.579-07:00I love that because of you, I now see green and pu...I love that because of you, I now see green and purple as an awesome color combination. :D And I do find it very amusing that your alias is Marri, which means it looks and sounds almost like mine. Yay, elfsisters! XD

Loving that left hand side doodle! Very pretty, and at first glance I thought it was Celtic- so good timing with that! And yay, lots of colors. :) I really need to start using crayons. I keep forgetting I have those.

The Celtic knots look great! See, no reason to be scared. They're really easy to do once you start drawing them a lot. And the last one is neat- love the bright colors and how it's three different kinds of shapes. Definitely modern, but Celtic, too, of course.Meri Greenleafhttps://email@example.com


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That Good Stuff
Life is uncertain, have some music first.
Monday, April 11, 2011
Jamiroquai is a jazz/acid jazz band that formed in the 1990's
the music is none the less still amazing.
funky tunes, astonishing vocals, amazing vibes, you simply cant not bob your head to the beats.
Jamiroquai is sort of like a combinations of black soul music with modern funk.
best tracks:
- Blow your mind
- Little L
Jamiraquai - Emergency on Planet Earth (1993)
Jamiraquai - Travelling without Moving (1996)
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A nicely upholstered piece of furniture can be difficult to replace. Whether it is an antique piece of furniture, or simply a set that you can't bear to part with, stained or aging upholstery is no reason to kick them to the curb. Top Quality Upholstery Cleaning in Magnolia, TX. is a great solution and will leave your furniture looking brand new.
Above and Beyond Carpet Cleaning offers upholstery cleaning services at an affordable cost. We have worked with all types of upholstery materials, including leather, polyester blends, cotton blends, and even valuable antiques. We treat each piece that we work with as if it is our own. The cleaning products that we use are safe on your furniture and contain ingredients that can even extend the life of your furniture. These cleaners are also non-toxic, so they are perfectly safe to use in homes with pets and small children.
Whether your upholstery is dingy or yellowing due to years of regular wear and tear, or heavy soiled with coffee, food or juice, we at Above and Beyond Carpet Cleaning have what it takes to get your furniture looking like new.
Worried about the cost of upholstery cleaning? Quality upholstery cleaning is much less expensive than reupholstering the furniture or having to buy a new set all together.
So, before you give up on your current set of furniture, give us a call and one of our cleaning professionals would be happy to talk with you about the services that we offer and our rates. Compared to other cleaning services in the market, we offer the best quality and services for the best price. We provide each of our customers with Top Quality Upholstery Cleaning in Magnolia, TX. and will make sure to keep your upholstery looking great and lasting for years to come.


text: Governor Langdon House host an Artist Panel DiscussionName: Governor Langdon House host an Artist Panel DiscussionDate: July 6, 2017Time: 5:30 PM - 6:30 PM EDTWebsite: http://www.historicnewengland.orgEvent Description:Historic New England presents a panel discussion with featured artists from the current exhibition, Sea to Shore: Sculpture Inspired by the New England Seacoast on Thursday, July 6 at 5:30 p.m. at Governor John Langdon House, 143 Pleasant Street in Portsmouth. The exhibition will be open for viewing from 5-5:30 p.m., and immediately following the program from 6:30-7:00 p.m. The panel will feature sculptors Susan Neet Goodwin, Lindley and Jeff Briggs, and Jeffrey Cooper. Susan Neet Goodwin has traveled extensively and many of her sculptures focus on people from the far corners of the world including Senegal, Australia, and Mexico. In this exhibit, her subjects are closer to home — an Eastport Cannery Worker in Maine and a Pastry Chef. Husband and wife Jeff and Lindley Briggs work collaboratively and on their own sculptures. Jeff created the animals for The Greenway Carousel on the Rose F. Kennedy Greenway in Boston. Jeff's Lobster is a replica of the one that he created for the Carousel. Lindley's Sirena & Consorts in a Sea of Shells and Colossal Shell Goddess evoke the beauty of women and our connection to the sea. Jeffrey Cooper's interests lie in the healing beauty of the natural world. His sculpture Fragrant Flow is also a magnificently carved bench for relaxing and meditating. Admission to the panel presentation is $5. Members of Historic New England and New England Sculptors Association are free. Call 603-436-3205 to register or visit www.historicnewengland.org.


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Whether you're monetizing a hobby or sharing your skills with the world, taking steps to start a business can be overwhelming. Steven M. Vogt, C.P.A., has the financial expertise to guide you through the process. For more than 20 years, he's been helping clients in Chandler, AZ, launch their businesses. Below, he outlines five tasks you need to complete as you build your company.
Choose an Accounting Method
There are two basic accounting methods: cash and accrual. Burgeoning small businesses tend to use the cash method, which records income and expenses as the money is received and spent. Larger, more established businesses use the accrual method, which records income and expenses as they are incurred, even if the money hasn't changed hands yet.
Track Your Expenses
When you start a business, it seems like expenses add up quickly. Taking advantage of a reliable bookkeeping service is the best way to ensure every dollar is accounted for, so you get the most accurate refund when you file your taxes.
Apply for a Home License
Depending on the industry, the nature of your work, and your financial situation, you may be able to operate your business from home. You may be eligible for a license that allows you to deduct space usage and utilities as business expenses. Research these qualifications, so you understand the benefits of licensing and know how to complete your application.
Establish a Business Structure
From sole proprietorship to an LLC, there are several ways you can legally form your business. It all depends on the nature of your work and the industry. For example, independent graphic designers may find a sole proprietorship works best for them because the liabilities involved are personal—when tax season rolls around, they'll file everything on their own return.
Get an Employer Identification Number (EIN)
There are many benefits to applying for an EIN, but hiring employees and protecting your Social Security Number are the biggest for new business owners. Having this number also helps you keep your personal and business identities separate, which can make your next tax filing easier.
If you're ready to start a business, Steven M. Vogt, C.P.A., hopes this primer was useful. If you'd like to learn more about his firm's accounting and financial services, visit him online or call (480) 732-9898.


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Mentoring for 16-17 year olds
Mentoring for 16-17 year olds
16 or 17? What's next?
Get in touch about employment, education or training opportunities.
Deciding and navigating your way to further training, education or employment after school can be tricky. We understand this and are here to support you. Our super friendly team can work with you on career choices, finding the right education or training, CV writing and assistance with job seeking, as well as being there to inspire and motivate you to be all that you can be!
Get in touch if you are 16 or 17, you are living or studying in Central Auckland, North Shore or Rodney AND IF YOU:
- have struggled to achieve or stay in school
- have low NCEA results
- are thinking leaving school, or have left
If you have any questions, or want to speak to us:
To find out more about Youth Service nationally visit: http://www.youthservice.govt.nz
Need to talk to someone?
Kia ora - tamariki ma
Contact us, we are here to help!


text: Speaking at the U.S. News STEM Solutions National Leadership Conference in Baltimore on May 20, Lisa Stickney, associate professor in the University of Baltimore's Merrick School of Business, said it is crucial for today's college students to receive a cohesive message when it comes to developing "soft skills"—those professional attributes that reside outside of education and training, such as writing a cogent memo or following the rules of etiquette at a business gathering.At UB, Stickney said, students receive consistent, curriculum-based communications about these skills: they are important; they are not self-evident; they can affect a student's success regardless of his or her chosen field."We infuse things so that students are getting the repetition: They're getting the same message, and they're getting it from the College of Arts and Sciences, they're getting it from the School of Business," Stickney said. "Even basic things, it doesn't dawn on them—you don't order spaghetti when you're at a business lunch. Make it something easy to eat and talk at the same time."The conference, now in its fifth year, "brings together the brightest minds in business, academia and government not only to contribute key insights to the nationwide STEM debate; but also to ensure that STEM's hard-won momentum is channeled into practical, self-sustaining strategies for inspiring, educating and hiring the diverse STEM workforce of tomorrow," according to the conference's website.Learn more about Stickney and her fellow panelists' discussion on developing and assessing soft skills at the STEM Solutions National Leadership Conference.


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Rated 5 out of 5 by mainetaine86 from Just what I wanted! I wanted the higher amount Timberlands, but I settled for the lower price ones because I needed to get two pair, and the price was unbeatable. The boots look real good and they feel good on my feet. Nice and comfortable!
Date published: 2017-12-10
Rated 5 out of 5 by Bubbalou1 from Timberlands Mens Waterproof Hiking Boots I bought these boots a week ago and I must say Timberland has live up to name, Very comfortable & Waterproof
Date published: 2017-11-02
Rated 4 out of 5 by GeorgeHL from Terrific Shoe Shoe is very soft, easy to put on. Have not tested the waterproof feature, but they do make feet sweat.
Date published: 2017-03-13
Rated 5 out of 5 by Berta neon from Good quality Found these to be a good buy . Very comfortable, feet stay dry and the size is a perfect match
Date published: 2017-03-09
Rated 5 out of 5 by b watts from Great looking, comfortable boots! I ordered these a few weeks ago- the delivery was prompt (about 4 business days!) and I've been extremely happy with the comfort and ankle support of these boots. I'm a delivery manager for a company that manufactures and ships construction materials so I am on my feet all day in ALL types of weather- mud etc. These boots have been a great investment so far!
Date published: 2017-03-04
Rated 5 out of 5 by lala83 from Great shoe. This is a great shoe. Very comfortable. Very durable also.
Date published: 2017-02-27
Rated 4 out of 5 by BTF08 from Good Boot Comfortable boot that's good in cold weather. Like the casual styling.
Date published: 2017-02-25
Rated 5 out of 5 by Rafamanya from Great Boots! These boots are very affordable and hold up very well in the snow and rain. They were comfortable right out of the box and require very little time to break in. They seem to be quite durable so far and the construction is great. These are very good looking boots and are one of my favorites in my collection. Highly recommended
Date published: 2017-02-08


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(43 mins) In this episode, hosts Katherine Cody, Psy.D. and Becca Lory, CAS, BCCS celebrate Autism month by going guest-less to delve deep into the topic of diagnosis. When do you get one? What happens during it? How do I know the one I got was properly performed? Becca and Kate explore all these and more.
Look for us on your favorite podcast provider: iTunes | Stitcher | SoundCloud
Spectrumly Speaking is the podcast dedicated to women on the autism spectrum, produced by Different Brains®. Every two weeks join our hosts Becca Lory, CAS, BCCS (a Life Coach, Certified Autism Specialist, and Autism advocate that is herself on the spectrum) and Katherine Cody, Psy.D. (a licensed clinical psychologist specializing in people on the autism spectrum) as they discuss topics and news stories, share personal stories, and interview some of the most fascinating voices from the autism community.
Have a question or story for us? E-mail us at email@example.com
BECCA LORY, CAS, BCCS was diagnosed on the autism spectrum as an adult and has since become an active advocate and life coach for individuals on the autism spectrum. Ms. Lory has published multiple articles along with speaking publicly about life on the autism spectrum with the goal of spreading awareness, understanding, and encouraging self-advocacy. Having spent four years supporting the autism community through non-profit work, Ms. Lory decided to branch into autism consulting, in-service trainings, and life coaching as a solo venture while developing improvisational workshops to assist adults on the spectrum with the practice of independent living skills.
For more about Becca, check out her website: beccalory.com And look for her on Facebook: facebook.com/BeccaLoryCAS
KATHERINE CODY, PSY. D. is a licensed clinical psychologist in New York State and Connecticut. She earned her doctorate from the American School of Professional Psychology at Argosy University in Washington, DC. She is currently in full-time private practice and maintains offices at Spectrum Services in NYC and in southern Connecticut. Dr. Cody offers psychological and neuropsychological evaluations including Adult Asperger's Assessments. She also provides individual and family psychotherapy services, specializing in an individualized and integrated approach to treatment to meet each person's unique needs. She offers psychotherapy services using Cognitive-Behavioral Therapy (CBT) approaches integrated with social skills training, and family psychotherapy as needed. Dr. Cody offers particular expertise in therapy for individuals with ASD and co-occurring mental health conditions (i.e. anxiety, depression, etc.). She has a breadth of experience working with children, adolescents and adults with ASDs. Dr. Cody also provides training and supervision to externs and interns in educational and clinical psychology.
For more information about Dr. Cody, visit: spectrumpsychservices.com


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The Australian sharemarket closed slightly lower today as Crimeans voted to join Russia, in line with expectations, while investors also watched a large outflow in United States treasuries from the Federal Reserve's custody.
At the 4.15pm (AEDT) market close, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 index fell 11.8 points, or 0.22%, to 5,317.6, while the broader All Ordinaries index lost 11.9 points, or 0.22%, to 5,335.2.
Early results showed 95.5% of Crimea residents voted to break away from Ukraine and join Russia, according to local officials.
IG chief market strategist Chris Weston said there were limited moves in gold and US futures as the Crimea vote went as expected.
He noted speculation that the $104.5 billion fall in the Fed's foreign holdings of US treasuries was Russia transferring its position to a third party.
"Naturally we don't actually know who transferred their holdings, but if it was Russia then it makes sense to take this proactive action," Mr Weston said.
"Despite the US treasury market having extremely deep liquidity pools, a sale of $105 billion would scare the life out of the buyers."


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Stories about "Civic engagement"
Q&A: Psychologist Amy Bradfield Douglass on eyewitness identifications
Thursday, November 2, 2017 10:20 am
Audience questions added some new angles to a talk by Bates College psychologist Amy Bradfield Douglass about eyewitness identifications.
Q&A: Francesco Duina explains why Americans who have the least love the U.S. the most
Monday, October 2, 2017 3:57 pm
Broke and Patriotic, the latest book by Bates College sociologist Francesco Duina, explains why the poorest Americans are also the most patriotic.
Honors to Nathaniel Boone '52, pioneering U.S. Marine, highlight Back-to-Bates awards
Friday, September 29, 2017 12:08 pm
Nathaniel Boone '52, who "persevered in the face of prejudice" to become a U.S. Marine, received the Alumni Community Service Award at Back to Bates.
Look What We Found: Chip Ross' colorful 1990s fractal poster
Tuesday, September 19, 2017 4:51 pm
Bates mathematician Chip Ross won't toss a 20-year old coloring project. "This was a labor of love for me. I put my heart and soul into it."
How Bates helps Lewiston firefighters do their dangerous jobs safer and better
Thursday, August 3, 2017 11:48 am
Like a cadaver heading to a medical school, the empty Bates building still had something to give. And in this case, the beneficiary is the city of Lewiston.
Dean Reese's advice and Bates stories at Baccalaureate
Thursday, June 8, 2017 4:13 pm
The longtime dean delivered a tour de force, chronicling history and stories of generations of Bates people.
$10,000 grant helps Gift Pola Kiti '18 bring clinic to Kenyan village
Wednesday, June 7, 2017 9:15 am
The 2017 Davis Projects for Peace grant will help Kiti to complete the establishment of a health clinic in an impoverished village in Kenya.
2017 is another banner year for Fulbright and Bates
Thursday, May 11, 2017 9:56 am
The Fulbright U.S. Student program has offered 2016–17 grants to 25 Bates College seniors and young alumni.
"Astronomy Extravaganza" gives Lewiston schoolchildren the star treatment
Thursday, April 13, 2017 11:20 am
How many little kids can Bates entertain and educate about astronomy and science in one night?
Q&A: Claire Brown '17 measures the effectiveness of Maine's adult drug court
Wednesday, April 12, 2017 10:14 am
In her honors thesis, Brown compares adult drug court to more traditional forms of incarceration and criminal justice in Maine.


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Brown Cardboard Boxes
Hurrah! Found my way back again.
Moving House Is Bad For You.
That is (highly unlikely) the last thing I will say on the matter.
Dum de dum de de.
See, can't help myself, it's got to get out somehow. I DON'T LIKE MOVING HOUSE.
Forgive me if I am a little fraught, I've just moved house you see. It took 10 days, due to a glorious cross over of tennancies. This a) cost lots and b) created the false sense of security that we had moved, when in actual fact we had not.
It took: 10 days; countless midnight brown cardboard box commando missions; two pairs of Marigolds; a done in back; several rows; a few near misses on deadlines; oh, and I forgot how to log on to my blog. So I am glad to be back, and despite the chinese puzzle of brown cardboard boxes, the fog is slowly lifting and I remembered how to sign in.
Where does the mind go? Presume it got lost in one of the brown cardboard boxes that was in the old house whilst I was here. Happily now re united, it feels like I've been holding my breath for two weeks. Ah, it's good to breathe again.
So this brown card board box puzzle is a curious thing. You know those [big breath] "little puzzles that you got when you were little the ones with the little tiles that moved around to make a picture if you could figure the right order".
Yes. It's a bit like that.


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Cream Cheese Pancakes and Lemon Curd
August 15, 2011 § 1 Comment
I made pancakes on Sunday. These pancakes, to be precise. Or, basically anyway. The stores are closed on Sunday and really I was in no mood to leave the house, so I omitted the lemon and blueberries (blueberries are also $1 a berry here). Of course, there is no buttermilk to be had in the northern reaches of Hokkaido. I substituted half whole milk and half heavy cream. Honestly, I will substitute heavy cream for any liquid, in any recipe.
I used a pastry blender to incorporate the cream cheese. It shouldn't be completely blended, you want little pockets of cream cheese in the finished product. A bite into these perfectly fat little pancakes rewards with silky mouthfuls of cream cheese. These are thick and fluffy and really really rich. I ate two, and two was too many. Really, when considering making these (meaning my heavy cream-filled version), you just need to ask yourself what kind of pancake girl, man, or horse you are. I like the thick, creamy, but not overly dense variety (yogurt pancakes being my favorite), so these suited me.
I think a nice, tart strawberry reduction and some crisp bacon would have provided the appropriate balance and cut through the richness, but they're more than satisfying with warm maple syrup and a pat of sweet Hokkaido butter (don't think about skipping the butter, I'm watching you…. is fattly an adverb? Can it be? It's so much more sinister and obese than fattily). I cooked the rest of the pancakes and dolloped some of my leftover lemon curd in the middle, They're in the freezer, waiting. Fattly, if you will.
The many uses of lemon curd. Generally, to be put upon a spoon and inserted into the mouth. I like this recipe a lot, Alton Brown generally being my go-to for everything, from carrot cakes to being a psychic wizard. I've actually made this recipe a lot and, like the people in the comments, never had the curd thicken properly (although honestly this isn't a problem, it will thicken fine when it cools). This time it actually thickened when it was supposed to. This may or may not be beneficial, but I think the difference was using a metal bowl and also properly whisking it the entire time instead of just stirring. Worth a try!
a birthday cake for gingerbread
July 23, 2011 § Leave a comment
People are always really sympathetic about me making my own birthday cakes. I find this bizarre. To those concerned sirs and ladies, have a fur bath, calm your eyeballs. I love baking, especially when it takes all day. But cakes, being the cream-filled, artisanal chocolate-slathered delights that I expect them to be, damage the shit out of my bank account. They require occasion and multiple cake-thirsty mouths. This is where birthdays come in, my ultimate cake scapegoat.
For my birthday this year, I decided to challenge rural Hokkaido grocery stores to a death match and embark on my first baking venture in my new kitchen. I decided on David Lebovitz's German Chocolate Cake, which I made for a friend's birthday last November. I think it's a pretty perfect little cake.
Last weekend I finally got a chance to go to the grocery store (hey I live in the boonies), where I bought the one and only baking chocolate available. This morning when I was preparing my ingredients I cut off a sliver to taste and almost instantly aborted my cake plans. It was unpleasantly sweet and waxy, violating one of my most important baking rules (baking rule #1: Use the best-tasting, highest-quality ingredients or your product is going to taste like shit. Also, stop sucking). But I had already spent ¥1,500 on this chocolate. Also Hokkaido was watching me and I was not about to lose to Hokkaido.
The offending chocolate. I ended up adding some natural cocoa powder to the batter and omitting about 1/4 cup of sugar in hopes of remedying the miscreant 'HOME MADE CAKE CHOCOLATE' situation.
Next issue, threat level orange, no coconut. Why didn't I just make a damn lemon cake and be done with it? I think sliced almond might have been a reasonable substitution in terms of texture, but I couldn't find any of those either. I decided to use crushed cookies to bulk up the rest of the filling. I actually managed to find these 'coconut sables' which were hilariously the only thing in the store that had coconut in them. When I got them home and stuck one in my mouth I realized how foolish I had been for entertaining the idea that they might possibly taste something like coconut. I have to admit, they're nice with tea.
Improvised flour sifter (tea ball). Also, improvised flour. There are two main kinds of flour you can get in Japan (at least rural Japan), high gluten flour (bread flour) and low gluten flour (cake flour). I thought about trying a combination of the two, but ended up just substituting straight cake flour for AP.
My other need-based substitutions: sour cream and yogurt for buttermilk (which doesn't exist here), maple syrup for corn syrup (added a kind of nice flavor to the frosting, slightly overpowering), and walnuts instead of pecans. Converting things from oz to grams was also pretty haphazard and I wasn't as exact as I would like to have been.
I only had one cake pan so before adding the egg whites I split the batter in two, stuck half of it in the refrigerator and beat half of the egg whites. After the first layer was cooked, I beat the second half of the whites, and added them to the reserved cake mix. The second layer rose as well as the first, which is to say not very well at all.
Finally, I had no serrated knife (ok, this one's not Japan's fault).
Oh dental floss you dirty two-timer. I took the point of a sharp knife and scored around the cake at the halfway point, then wrapped the floss around, fitting it into the grooves, and finally pulled it tight. Works perfectly. I googled this and apparently you're supposed to use unflavored floss but I only had mint. If you're in a similar situation, no worries babies, I detected no mint-taste in this cake.
So hey, even with my substitutions this is a tasty cake. The crumb was a little too delicate (use AP if you can), but it's moist, the frosting is smooth and chocolatey, and the filling is gooey nutty-buttery. I missed the coconut and high quality chocolate (which I think help cut the cake's richness), but all in all, a cake worth eating on my birthday (and, considering this cake is going down no mouth-hole but my own, I'll probably still be eating it by then).


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FAQ about Buses from Kannur to Karunagappally
How many buses are running between Kannur to Karunagappally on the daily basis?
4 buses are running between Kannur to Karunagappally. Out of which 5 are sleeper buses, 5 are AC buses.
What is the ticket price for different types of buses on the Kannur to Karunagappally bus route?
The minimum fare for , AC bus is ₹958, Sleeper bus is ₹958 and ₹798 for AC Volvo on Kannur to Karunagappally bus route.
How many seats are available for different types of buses on the Kannur Karunagappally bus route?
, 29 seats for AC and 73 seats for Volvo buses are available for today's booking.
When does the first Kannur to Karunagappally bus leaves for the day?
The first bus for Kannur to Karunagappally bus route leaves at 19:00. It is a volvo bus and fare for this bus is ₹798.
When does the last bus leaves for Karunagappally from Kannur?
The last bus for Kannur to Karunagappally route leaves at 19:45. The ticket price for this mercedes bus is ₹840.
Who are the popular operators on the Kannur to Karunagappally bus route?
Top operators on the Kannur to Karunagappally bus route are Kallada Travels (Suresh Kallada) , Madhavi Travels and Golden Travels .
How many buses are GPS enabled?
Total 4 buses are GPS enabled on this route so that anyone can track his bus.
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Good morning,
The Albuquerque Police Department and the Bernalillo County Sheriff's Department will be hosting a memorial service to honor those officers and deputies who have made the ultimate sacrifice in the line of duty.
The memorial service will be held on Tuesday, May 3, 2016 at Noon at the Harry E. Kinney Civic Plaza (One Civic Plaza NW).
Families, friends and citizens are invited to attend.


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Renault to Produce Electric Vehicles in China
Renault, a French automaker is pushing a bid to produce electric cars in China. The bid is also for selling its luxury cars in China considered as the world's largest auto market. The French car company is on its bid to improve its sales that has been logging behind other car makes of its class.
With this development, Renault is pinned to bring in electric cars in China and at the same time have a fair share for its luxury cars. The company has posted a small fraction of sales in China with 24,000 units sold. Renault is bent on increasing its relatively fair market share in the market that has the biggest slice of the global market.
Renault is pushing their luxury cars alongside with the green cars with a big enthusiasm for their 2014 renewed fleet. The French automaker is slating their high end line in China in the soonest time.
Renault is teaming up with China's Local car factory Dongfeng somewhere in the Central Wuhan State. Dongfeng is currently having car -making agreement with Nissan. It is a practice that foreign companies must have partnership with a local company before any on-going agreement can be materialized.
Renault on the other hand is not divulging any details to avoid speculations that may affect the negotiations and closely in saying the deal could be signed this year and the production to start in 2014 in China.
During the past years, Renault has built partnerships with different automakers to achieve its zero-emission products. It has entered partnership deals with different countries such as Denmark, Portugal, Israel and latest with Japan for its Nissan partnership.
Renault is one of the leading and pioneering in electric car building. The automaker is also famous for its formula 1 and luxury cars. Renault owns the Renault Samsung Motors and Automobile Dacia, Korean and Romanian car companies respectively. Renault also has alliances with Daimler AG and acquired 1.55% of Daimler shares. Renault has successfully helped AutoVaz with partnership agreement, lending its technology in modernizing AutoVaz vehicles. Carlos Ghosn leads as Chairman and CEO for the company.
Carlos Ghosn is optimistic that the deal with China will bring the results as the company expected and perceived. He stated that in the past years, Renault has achieved its goal of bringing new leash of life to automakers and this time, the China deal will bring a renewed interest for Renault vehicles and other products.
Tags: Carlos Ghosn, electric cars, Nissan, Renault


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New Delhi: Bollywood star Ranveer Singh is back in news and not for any of his film but for another controversy. His latest ad in which he is looking totally smashing has received a lot of flak from animal lovers and PETA.
Reacting to the issue raised by People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (PETA) over a Rupa Frontline advertisement featuring actor Ranveer Singh thrashing a shark, the brand's spokesperson said that the visuals were not intended to offend anyone, and added that a disclaimer would soon be attached to the commercial.
The recent advertisement garnered negative response due to visuals showing Ranveer taking a dive into an ocean to save a girl from a shark and beating up a shark to portray his masculinity.
"This is to clarify that the shark shown in the latest Rupa commercial featuring Ranveer Singh is a rubber toy, no animal was used in the shoot. It is not our intention to hurt anyone's sentiment. We will be adding a disclaimer to the ad to this effect," said Mukesh Agarwal, whole-time director, Rupa & Co. Ltd. brand's spokesperson, in a statement.
While condemning the advertisement, the animal rights organisation raised concerns and said it plans to take the matter forward by writing to the actor and the brand.
In a statement issued on Wednesday, Poorva Joshipura, PETA India CEO, said: "PETA will be writing to Rupa Frontline and Ranveer Singh to share our concerns on behalf of sharks and today's socially aware youth."
In the advertisement, the 'Gunday' actor can be seen trying to impress a girl and diving into the ocean to save her from a shark. He is later seen thrashing the shark.
The animal rights organisation also condemned the gesture of using an animal to woo someone.
"By recruiting Ranveer Singh, Rupa Frontline is desperately trying to attract youth, but nothing shows how utterly out of touch with youngsters the company actually is than its depiction of cruelty to animals in its advertisement. There is nothing sexy about pretending to beat up an animal, and nothing that may disgust a girl more."
"The 'ruthless killers' in the human-shark relationship are actually the humans. Recent studies indicate that up to 73 million sharks are killed each year, mainly for their fins, which are put in soups and eaten mostly in Asia. India is the second largest shark fishing nation in the world," Joshipura added.
This is not the first time Ranveer has courted controversy. The actor's recent brush with an issue was when he took part in the controversial 'AIB Roast'.
With inputs from IANS


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Education Committee
The main goal for the Education Committee is to be in charge of overseeing and improving your education
The HHUS Education Committee work to uphold the quality of our education at Umeå School of Business and Economics (Handelshögskolan vid Umeå Universitet). A vital part of the Education Committee is the student representatives which are present in all classes!
It is you, the student, who can influence your own, and your colleaguesâ, study time by highlighting your opinions. Your voice is imperative for the Education Committee. To enable the committee to significantly improve the quality and value of your education, you must ensure that YOUR voice heard. Remember to use Shout It Out, complete course evaluations at the completion of courses, and turn to your class representatives or ANY member of the Education Committee.
Please do not hesitate to contact the committee if you have any questions about the Education Committeeâs work or questions regarding your education!
Who are we?
Menal Suliman
Head of Education
E-mail:Â firstname.lastname@example.com
Phone:Â 072-713 33 74
The Head of Education position involves many different strategic tasks. These include strategic work within the committee, attending faculty and institutional meetings, participation on the HHUS board, participation on the USBE board, as well as participation in the U9 network.
The head of education also coordinates the committee and together they ensure the quality of the education. With these tools and a strong co-operation with Umeå Studentkår, the Head of the Education Committee works strategically to ensure the quality of the education at USBE.
Josefin Fagerlund
Vice Head of Education
E-mail:Â email@example.com
Phone: 070-767 24 63
The Vice Head of Education works alongside the Head of Education, with a focus on the operative work within the committee. This includes leading the committees to work in organizing events and lectures, as well as attending meetings of a more operative type. The Vice Head of Education is a support network for the Education Monitors to provide them the opportunity to complete their work. The Vice Head of Education is also a SAMO (Student Environment Agent) that handles environmental questions within HHUS and is a member of the Vice Club (Viceklubben).
Anna Henriksson
Education Monitor SM
E-mail:Â firstname.lastname@example.com
Phone: 070-293 55 76
The Education Monitors have the power to change and improve the education by working closely with the student representatives and USBE faculty. They are a support network for the students and a direct link to each classroom. The Education Monitors also get to create events and lectures for the members and gain great contacts from our university by sitting in meetings with USBE.
Eva Mörtsell
Education Monitor IBPÂ
E-mail:Â firstname.lastname@example.com
Phone: 076-141 84 69
The Education Monitors have the power to change and improve the education by working closely with the student representatives and USBE faculty. They are a support network for the students and a direct link to each classroom. The Education Monitors also get to create events and lectures for the members and gain great contacts from our university by sitting in meetings with USBE.
Linn Hasselgren
Education Monitor CEP
E-mail:Â email@example.com
Phone: 076-291 74 67
The Education Monitors have the power to change and improve the education by working closely with the student representatives and USBE faculty. They are a support network for the students and a direct link to each classroom. The Education Monitors also get to create events and lectures for the members and gain great contacts from our university by sitting in meetings with USBE.
Josefin Wikström
Education Monitor HLP
E-mail:Â email@example.com
Phone: 070-388 01 88
The Education Monitors have the power to change and improve the education by working closely with the student representatives and USBE faculty. They are a support network for the students and a direct link to each classroom. The Education Monitors also get to create events and lectures for the members and gain great contacts from our university by sitting in meetings with USBE.


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19/04/2018 | Congratulations to CEPLAS Alumni Berkley Walker who starts as assistant professor at Michigan State University.
17/04/2018 | Watch a great video about this old-fashioned love story in our new Planter's Punch!
26/03/2018 | Flavin Monooxygenase-Generated N-Hydroxypipecolic Acid Is a Critical Element of Plant Systemic Immunity
27/04/2018, 14:00 | Event | Cologne Biocenter | Speakers: Prof. Dr. Joachim Schiemann (Julius-Kühn-Institut), Dr. Catalin Voiniciuc (HHU)
14/05/2018, 19:00 | Public Event | Cologne Biocenter | Public lecture by Prof. Dr. Stanislav Kopriva (Botanical Institute) and Dr. Lars Niehaus (Humanities), UoC
25/05/2018, 14:00 | Event | HHU, Düsseldorf | Speakers: Dr. Nozomi Kawamoto (HHU), Dr. Hanna Rövenich (UoC)
The Cluster of Excellence on Plant Sciences (CEPLAS) is a joint initiative of Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf (HHU), University of Cologne (UoC), Max Planck Institute for Plant Breeding Research Cologne (MPIPZ) and Forschungszentrum Jülich (FZJ). In CEPLAS scientists are developing innovative strategies for sustainable plant production and the promotion of early career researchers.


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The responsibility of the Committee on Preparation for Ministry (CPM) is to provide oversight, care and supervision of Inquirers and Candidates for ordered ministry; as such they exist in fulfillment of the Book of Order G-2.06. The membership of this Committee shall be nine persons.
Committee on Preparation for Ministry (CPM)
Chair: Will Radford
Class of 2018
Leigh Bonner (TE), Woodland, Nashville
Will Radford (CLP), The Village Church, Madison
Diane Stark (RE), Second, Nashville
Class of 2019
Bobby Harding (TE), First, Murfreesboro
Andrew Smith (CLP), First United/Blue Springs, Sparta
Mike Wilson (TE), Downtown, Nashville
Class of 2020
Paul Casner (TE), Donelson, Nashville
Tom McDow (RE), Westminster, Nashville
Pam Shampain (RE), First, Nashville


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Articles by Faraggi, D. Krzanowski is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Exeter and Senior Research Investigator at Imperial College. The blood samples were obtained every month on the same day of each female's menstrual cycle and every month on the same calendar day for each male. F. http://edvinfo.com/measurement-error/measurement-bias-example.html
Therefore the closer the ROC curve is to the upper left corner, the higher the overall accuracy of the test (Zweig & Campbell, 1993). Preventive Veterinary Medicine 45:23-41. [Abstract]Griner PF, Mayewski RJ, Mushlin AI, Greenland P (1981) Selection and interpretation of diagnostic tests and procedures. From the reliability study, we obtain the following: where is obtained by substituting estimates for the parameters in the formula for R. In the context of ROC curves, Coffin and Sukhatme (9, 10) provided a bias correction approximation for the point estimator of A under random measurement error in both parametric and nonparametric http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16161800
Random-number seed: this is the seed for the random number generator. CrossRefMedlineWeb of Science 13.↵ Miller RG Jr. Academic Radiology 4:49-58. [Abstract]Hanley JA, McNeil BJ (1982) The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Further building on the theory, the authors present statistical tests for ROC curves and their summary statistics. However, for small R, the coverage tends to be conservative for A < 0.7 and low for A ≥ 0.7. All of the above indicate that for a wide range of sample sizes and parameter values, equation 2 provides an effective confidence interval for the area under the ROC curve. Zhou XH, Obuchowski NA, McClish DK (2002) Statistical methods in diagnostic medicine.
Include all observed criterion values: When you select this option, the program will list sensitivity and specificity for all possible threshold values. specificity) it gives the threshold value (criterion value) with the highest specificity (resp. Read, highlight, and take notes, across web, tablet, and phone.Go to Google Play Now »ROC Curves for Continuous DataWojtek J. http://scholarworks.umass.edu/math_faculty_pubs/192/ The system returned: (22) Invalid argument The remote host or network may be down.
We evaluated the sensitivity of our method to deviations from distributional assumptions. Previous SectionNext Section APPENDIX 1 In the measurement error case, xi and yj are independent normal random variables with means and variances μX, σX2 + σε2 and μY, σY2 + σε2. When we consider the situation of an unequal number of cases and controls, dealing with an extreme case of nX = 900 and nY = 50, the results are very similar A point estimate and a confidence interval procedure for the area under the ROC curve, which corrects for random measurement error, were presented.
Generated Wed, 19 Oct 2016 00:47:59 GMT by s_ac4 (squid/3.5.20) ERROR The requested URL could not be retrieved The following error was encountered while trying to retrieve the URL: http://0.0.0.10/ Connection Wiley-Interscience. FPc: the cost of a false positive decision. Whenever negative variance estimates occur, we replace Sx2 by or Sy2 by .
A thiobarbituric acid reaction substance (TBARS) is a biomarker that measures subproducts of lipid peroxidation and has been proposed as a discriminating measurement between cardiovascular disease cases and healthy controls. http://edvinfo.com/measurement-error/classical-measurement-error.html If the source of the error is technical, for example, laboratory equipment, several approaches to reduce random measurement error are available. Confidence intervals are BCa bootstrapped 95% confidence intervals (Efron, 1987; Efron & Tibshirani, 1993). By using our services, you agree to our use of cookies.Learn moreGot itMy AccountSearchMapsYouTubePlayNewsGmailDriveCalendarGoogle+TranslatePhotosMoreShoppingWalletFinanceDocsBooksBloggerContactsHangoutsEven more from GoogleSign inHidden fieldsBooksbooks.google.com - Since ROC curves have become ubiquitous in many application areas, the various
Currently president of the Royal Statistical Society, Dr. Instead of simulating the wij, was obtained directly as , where χnf2 is a chi-square variate with nf df. Ignoring measurement error will underestimate A and will therefore understate the effectiveness of biomarkers in discriminating between cases and controls. http://edvinfo.com/measurement-error/non-classical-measurement-error.html Journal of the American Statistical Association 82:171-185.
Then for FNc you enter 2, for FPc enter 1 and enter 0 for both TPc and TNc.Because the slope S must be a positive number: FPc cannot be equal Optimal criterion This panel is only displayed when disease prevalence and cost parameters are known. more...
Applying equation 3 to equation 2 results in the approximate confidence interval for this case. It has gained popularity in laboratory medicine over the past 30 years as a tool for evaluating test performance. Estimating the life cycle of complex modeled system. check my blog Krzanowski, David J.
The lack of good estimates of this variance can limit the usefulness of the correction. In addition, so that We use the Delta method (13) to obtain the approximate variance of , noting the independence of and . . Binomial exact Confidence Interval for the AUC: calculate an exact Binomial Confidence Interval for the Area Under the Curve (recommended). Note that after the transformation, the marker values for the cases become smaller than those for controls, and consequently, when estimating A, the sign on the estimator of δ needs to
The ROC curve is a fundamental tool for diagnostic test evaluation. On the other hand the false positive fraction will also increase, and therefore the true negative fraction and specificity will decrease. Our simulation study indicates that this method has good coverage properties for a wide range of situations. Mount Prospect, IL: Institute of Environmental Science, 1980:87–96. 5.↵ Reiser B, Guttman I.
As sample sizes increase, the percentage of negative variance estimates decreases, and for very large sample sizes, it becomes negligible. HandNo preview available - 2009Common terms and phrasesaccuracy adjustment allocation anagrams applications approach appropriate assessment assigned assume assumption asymptotic AUC values axis Bayesian bias binary binormal model biomarkers chance diagonal Chapter New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, 1998. « Previous | Next Article » Table of Contents This Article Am. A test with perfect discrimination (no overlap in the two distributions) has a ROC curve that passes through the upper left corner (100% sensitivity, 100% specificity).
In addition, the bias of was computed for all the simulations. When you do select the option Include all observed criterion values, the program will list sensitivity and specificity for all possible threshold values. Third ed. The fundamental theory of ROC curvesThe book first discusses the relationship between the ROC curve and numerous performance measures and then extends the theory into practice by describing how ROC curves
Previous SectionNext Section DISCUSSION In this paper, we have shown that an approximate confidence interval for the area under the ROC curve, which takes measurement error into account through a reliability The results for the 90 percent confidence interval were very similar and are omitted for the sake of brevity. We examined all combinations of (nx, ny, nf) 5 (50, 50, 19), (100, 100, 49), (900, 50, 49), (1,000, 1,000, 199); with A = 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 0.95; R = CrossRefMedlineWeb of Science 10.↵ Coffin M, Sukhatme S.


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Insight Compact Guide Cancun & the Yucatan (Cancun and the Yucatan, 1st Ed)
Compact Guide Cancun and the Yucatan includes a chapter detailing the region's history and culture, 10 tours and excursions taking in sights ranging from tours of the Mayan Ruins to snorkeling under the sea , leisure-time suggestions, and a comprehensive information section packed with essential contact addresses and numbers. Plus many quality photographs and maps.
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We.....well ok.....I....decided to go pick, and cut down our Christmas tree this year. No....I didn't sneak into someone's yard in the middle of the night and cut down their tree.....we went to a tree farm. Clarissa loved it so much she didn't want to leave. They had a great set up! There were lots of trees of all different types and sizes. They had a big fire burning so you could warm up....and you could get free hot chocolate after you got your tree. They also had reindeers....I think that they flew in from the North Pole. Anyhow, we picked out a great tree and I cut it down!!!
I have more to add....but gotta run right now....more later.


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I told Scooter it is not polite to stick his tongue out at others. But, he was annoyed with me, he smelled a strange horse on my coveralls.
The sorrel I rode on Tuesday was about as Spooky as chickens when the fox visits the hen house. This gelding jumped and started at so many imaginary ghosts, I nicknamed him "The Ghost Whisperer." (TGW)
It did not help that it was about 33 degrees all day. I was like an icecube by the end of the day..no my fat *ss probably resembled an ice berg instead of a tiny ice cube now that I think about it.
It took all of my patience to not get frustrated. TGW most likely had not been ridden much out of a round pen, so he knows nothing about being ridden on the trail. I kept repeating that mantra to myself. Also, he had on brand new shoes and seemed a bit awkward at first.
We eventually fell into a good rhythm and about halfway finished with our fence markings, TGW started to get tired and that helped with his jumpiness.
Honestly, he is a good little horse, he just needs experienced. He has a soft mouth and listened to most of my leg cues. Not at all cranky acting. I had anticipated a bit of broncy behavior from him but TGW showed none of that, not once gave me the inkling he might buck.
The first time I took out the tape to mark the fence where it needed the wire tightened so a calf or small sized steer wouldnt slip through, TGW jumped backwards, snorting and wide eyed. I allowed him to check it out(we went thru this with the little notebook and pen I wrote down the fence markings on-I was afraid the tape might blow off or get removed somehow, so I covered my *ss by writing them down). TGW was not too impressed with any of it after a couple of loud sniffs but seemed to accept that the tape and strange stuff was going to be with us along for the day.
Suprisingly, TGW did not do much dancing around when I mounted and dismounted. By the time the day was over, he accepted me mounting from both sides without so much as a taking a step.
All in all it was a good day. Something about riding out in the wide open prairie made me feel like the only human on this planet. It was refreshing and calming (despite my spooky horse and the bone numbing cold).
It is not supposed to snow all winter in Oklahoma. I think I have woken up in the wrong state. I am going to check my address again.
Tuesday evening, I told my 13 yo to stack the rest of wood on the wood pile at the back yard fence because we do not need it up here close to the house. He only did 1/2 of it. He left to go check a gas compressor with hubby about dark. I asked son #1 this morning why he did not finish stacking the wood out back and he informed me his father told him he did not have to because he was going to have another fire in the fireplace again soon. Oh no he is NOT .


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Published on November 21, 2017
"Tere Mere Phere" Video Song | Feat. Riya Sen, Vinay Pathak Video DownloadPresenting the song "Tere Mere Phere" from the upcoming Bollywood movie starring Riya Sen, Vinay Pathak, Anup Jalota and Jagrat Desai. The song is sung by Shivangi R. Kashyap and Subhash.
Movie: Tere Mere Phere
Song: Tere Mere Phere
Singer: Shivangi R. Kashyap and Subhash
Cast: Riya Sen, Vinay Pathak, Anup Jalota, Jagrat Desai & others
Music Label: T-Series
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http://www.twitter.com/Tseries2:5456339292011-09-23 10:45:24


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History of Saudi Arabia and Stock Market of Arab
Media reports from Arab Arabia fuck indicated that female athletes might be sent to the Summer Athletics in Author to vie in riflery or horseback sport. Conclusion period, the meet was given a itemize of Saudi women who power participate, to be deliberate by the IOC to determine the preparation of the athletes. A conventional offering is expected in May. "The IOC is positive that Arab Arabia is excavation to allow women athletes and officials at the Olympic Games in Writer in giving with the Foreign Federations' rules," the meet wrote in a evidence on its website Weekday. In element, a Arab person sports commentator and inexpert football manager, Reema Abdullah, will be one of the 8,000 group to stockpile the Olympic mullein, the Associated Cast reported Wed.


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A dissapointment
Carnival Victory Cruise Review to Canada, New England, New York
Sail Date: June 19, 2008
Ship: Carnival Victory
Cabin Type: Inside
Traveled As: Family (older children)
Reviewed: 9 years ago
Review SummaryOur crusie was not what i expected from the very beginning. the customer service at Bj's never got back to me... they also did not resve our table. We got on the ship to find that we had 2 seperate tables with 2 seperate waiters.. we were close together but the waiter was very unfriendly and as a robot.. one table was done before the other even got our food. the room steward wetn thru the motions once a day.. never got personal and left us a towel animal twice on a 4 nighter. WEe had to beg for clean towels... long lines for food and way too crowded. the pools were very cold and could not swim.
Ship Experiences
Food and Dining
Children's Programs
Service and Staff
Ship Quality
Cabin / Stateroom
Ports of Call
Pros: The food was very good
Cons: Customer service from BJ's and also the room steward and waiter service was terrible
Recommends Carnival Victory? No.
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