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LOS ANGELES — Los Angeles police investigating the Sunset boulevard collision that killed a Grammy-winning art director riding in an exotic car driven by actress Salma Hayek's 40-year-old brother said Sami Hayek may have been speeding.
Ian Cuttler Sala of New York City, who was riding in the passenger seat of the 2006 Ford GT, was killed when the eastbound car went out of control near Mapleton Drive and collided with a westbound Toyota Tacoma about 4:50 p.m. Sunday.
Sala's side of the high-performance car sustained the brunt of the collision.
Sami Hayek, a furniture designer, suffered broken ribs and a cut on the head, and the Tacoma driver, 20-year-old Alvin Javier Gomez, suffered a possibly broken foot and other injuries. Gomez tweeted that he was alive
Sala, declared dead on the spot and identified by the coroner's office, was a former Sony Music art director and photographer who designed a Grammy- winning music box set for "Johnny Cash: The Legend."
Los Angeles police will turn the results of their traffic investigation over to prosecutors with the District Attorney's Office, who will decide if any charges are filed in the deadly accident.
The Ford GT is a limited production, 500-horsepower-plus street legal two-seater. Police said it was registered to a limited liability corporation, but declined to name it.
Sala's photography client list that included Converse, Gillette, Sony BMG, 7UP and Axe, according to his website. His parents reportedly flew to Los Angeles from Mexico soon after they were notified of their son's death.

subset: commoncrawl


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1. Thousands of orange trees in the fields
2. Ria Formosa, sand and water paradise for birds
3. Tasty fresh fish of the Atlantic Coast
4. Vast fields of vegetable crops
5. Tavira- the most typical town in the Algarve
6. The limpid and clear water of the sea and the birds
7. Cape S. Vicente - the birds and the sunset into the Atlantic Ocean
8. Sagres - the south-westernmost point of Continental Europe
9. The gorgeous beaches and beautiful coast of the Algarve region
10. Lagos - the cosmopolitan and the oldest town in the Algarve
This is a landscape tour that takes place along the south coast of Portugal. You will start in Sagres, which is the place from where our brave forefathers sailed on their caravels seeking new peoples and continents. Cape S. Vicente is the start point, the south-westernmost point in Continental Europe � the place where the land ends and the sea begins. And you will always ride eastwards towards the Spanish border.
You will visit some of the beaches of our famous Algarve including the cosmopolitan city of Lagos. This is one of the oldest towns in the Algarve. We can still see evidence of the wall surrounding the town for protection. Lagos also has an old fort and its former Slave Market is now an art gallery. You will ride along the world-famous Algarve coast where you can see some amazing Golf resorts and very beautiful beaches.
You will visit Albufeira and Vilamoura, very fancy touristic places, the old quarters in Faro (the city capital of the Algarve), the typical city of Tavira with Moorish influence with its countless buildings and monuments and the amazing Roman bridge over Gil�o river in the historic centre. You will ride along the Natural Park of Ria Formosa, a lagoon system that extends itself over 60km of coast and which is a passing area for the migrating fauna from Europe to North of Africa and it is also the 'winter resort' for many birds from North and Central Europe.
The tour ends in Vila Real Santo Antonio at the border line with Spain. You will notice the differences along the Algarve region: the centre is very developed for tourism and the west and the east still maintain many evidences of the old Portuguese ways and traditions
Day 1: Arrival - Welcome at Faro airport. 1H30 drive to Sagres, briefing about the tour followed by dinner. Lodging in a 4* new hotel with swimming-pool, surrounded by stunning deserted beaches and the wild nature of an unforgettable beauty.
Day 2: The wild Algarve Coast � 43km (27mi), level 3 ( Beach). After breakfast we ride into the SW Alentejo Natural Park where we visit Cape S. Vicente, the south-westernmost point in Continental Europe, with its amazing views on the cliffs. Picnic on the way. Dinner with the group. Lodging in a 4* hotel with swimming-pool.
Day 3: The famous beaches in the west of the Algarve � 44km (27mi), level 3 ( Beach). After breakfast we continue riding eastwards, we visit the famous Rocha Beach. Picnic on the way. Dinner with the group. Lodging in a 4* hotel very near to the beach.
Day 4: The wild flamingos near the Sea � 30km (19mi), level 2 ( Beach). After breakfast we pass Ferragudo, a picturesque fisherman's village and we continue along beautiful sceneries where we can see flamingos. Picnic on the way. Dinner with the group. Lodging in a 4* hotel very near to the beach.
Day 5: The most known city in the Algarve and the Golf courses � 51km (32mi), level 3 ( Beach). After breakfast we ride into the Algarve area which is the most developed area in terms of tourism with vast golf courses: Albufeira, Vilamoura, Quinta do Lago. Picnic on the way. The day ends in Faro, the capital of the Algarve. Dinner with the group. Lodging in a 4* hotel located down town, near the historical and commercial centre in Faro.
Day 6: The birds and the Ria Formosa Natural Park � 42km (26mi), level 2 ( Beach). After breakfast we ride towards another natural paradise: Ria Formosa Natural Park where we can see flamingos and many other birds. Picnic on the way. We pass Tavira, the most typical city in the Algarve. Visit to the tuna fishing museum. Dinner with the group. Lodging in a 4* Eco-hotel whose building was once a typical old tuna fish market.
Day 7: Departure - After breakfast transfer to Faro airport. 1H00 drive to the airport.
Technical Data
Type: Hybrid bike tour
Class: LANDSCAPE TOUR
Version: Guided or Self-Guided
Region of Portugal: Algarve (coast)
Duration: 7 days / 6 nights / 5 days cycling
Begin: Sagres (Algarve)
End: Tavira (Algarve)
Difficulty level (1-5): 1 2 3 4 5
Distance: 212km (131mi)
Average: 42km/day (26mi/day)
Trails: 73% asphalt + 27% dirt roads
The price includes:
- 7-day Hybrid Bike Tour with a Guide (*)
- Transfers from and to Faro Airport
- Accommodations (6 nights): 6 four* Hotels (three Hotels front to the ocean, two cosy Hotels and one Eco-Hotel in a natural preserved area). Double bedroom occupancy.
- 6 Breakfasts
- 5 nourishing and energetic picnics (*)
- 6 Dinners (including our famous wines, our amazing cheeses and lovely desserts) (*)
- Daily energy-bars and water (*)
- Luggage transport from Hotel to Hotel
- Documentation about PortugalBike Tour
- Liability Insurance
- Personal Accident Insurance
- Techno-Mechanical Assistance (*)
- First-Aid assistance on location (*)
- Permanent Backup Vehicle (*)
(*) Not included in Self-Guided Tours
=> Prices per person, double bedroom occupancy, 4* quality Hotel.
=> If you want a different date, ask us about prices and availability.
HYBRID BIKE: SCOTT Sportster 20 Solution
Frame: Alloy 6061 Double Butted
Fork: Front suspension Suntour, 63mm travel with lock
Brakes: Shimano hydraulic disc brakes
Gears: Shimano Deore, 30 speeds (44x32x24 with 11-34)
Pedals: Normal (with cages or not) or Shimano SPD
Tires: Hybrid 700x40 (28"x1.6)
Weight: 12kg (26 pounds)
Other: Man or woman seat, 2,5 liter front bag on the handlebar and 1,6 liter seat bag.
(please see picture #26)
2. If you wish a different date, ask us for prices and availability.
3. You can join two Portugalbike tours and have a 2-week program (10% discount on the second tour).
4. If you wish to rent a bicycle for this Tour add Euro 100.
5. You can change your Hybrid Bicycle: on Hybrid Bike Tours you can also opt for riding a mountain bike, if you prefer.
6. E-Bikes - Don't feel bad for being the last one: you can also opt for riding an electric-bicycle. See more info here.
7. Prices per Person, double bedroom occupancy, usually 4* quality hotel.
8. Groups: Discount for Groups with 4 or more people.
|Map Legend
|Portugal Bike - The Amazing Algarve Coast
|October 13
|per person/week


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Don't Make An App That Shows You 'Drinking' Liquid From Your Phone, Or One Company Might Sue You
from the drink-up deptA few years back, we wrote about how indie iPhone app developer Hottrix had sued beer giant Coors for making a competing beer app. Hottrix, of course, makes various gimmicky apps that make your iPhone look like it is full of some sort of liquid that "drains out" as you tilt the device to make it look like you're "drinking" from the phone. They're pretty silly, but some people have liked them and were actually willing to give Hottrix money for them. One of Hottrix's apps was iBeer. Coors created their own beer drinking app, called iPint, and offered it for free. That's when Hottrix sued. I can't find any information on what happened to that lawsuit. After it was filed nothing much seems to have happened. Perhaps it was settled out of court?
Either way, Hottrix seems to have learned a simple lesson: if some big company makes any sort of "drinking app," be sure to sue. The latest target is chocolate giant Hershey, which made a chocolate milk drinking app which wasn't even a "clone" of Hottrix's app. After Hottrix threatened to sue, Hershey sued first for declaratory judgment and Hottrix counter-sued. Hershey reasonably asked the court to dump Hottrix's lawsuit, but the court has refused. I'm having trouble understanding why. It is true that Hershey had first reached out to Hottrix about having it make a similar app for Hershey, but even after Hershey went to another developer instead, it's hard to see what is "protectable" under copyright that Hershey copied here. As has been pointed out over and over again, copyright doesn't protect the idea, just the expression, and this appears to be an entirely different expression, even if it is based on the same idea.
The case might still turn out in Hershey's favor, but the judge is claiming that a full trial is necessary, as Hottrix has sufficiently pled its case, though I'm still trying to figure out how that's possible. As you read the details of the case, you realize that Hershey's app is actually quite different than Hottrix's. Yes, both involve the basic idea of drinking, but Hershey's app has different features. You don't "drink" out of the corner of the app, but out of a "straw" that you add to the app. The Hershey's app includes (not surprisingly) the ability to add chocolate syrup to the milk -- which Hottrix's app does not have. The court argues that because Hershey had obviously seen the original app, and that its own app is similar enough that this issue needs to go to trial. However, given the fact that it's difficult to see what's protectable, this seems like a huge waste of court resources. Hopefully the court realizes this eventually, but it seems like a waste of time to have to go through a full trial to make the obvious point that Hottrix doesn't deserve a total monopoly on "drinking" apps.
Filed Under: apps, copyright, drinking
Companies: hershey, hottrix


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Happy Birthday Clarence Ward! (2000)
|Barbara Prior dusts off a model of a Greek temple made with Anchor Blocks from Clarence Ward's collection. An architect himself, Ward constructed models of many buildings with the blocks, beginning when he was a child and continuing through his teaching career. Adam Smith, a senior from Almonte, Ontario, constructed this model.
MARCH 10, 2000 -- He's been gone more than 25 years, but Clarence Ward will be remembered big time today as the art library hosts the first annual birthday-party remembrance of the Allen Memorial Art Museum's first director.
Ward (1884-1973) came to Oberlin in 1917, when he also founded Oberlin's art library and began chairing the art department. He retired in 1949. During his College tenure he and his staff regularly celebrated his birthdays.
With help from the College archives, art librarian Barbara Prior has assembled in the art library an exhibit of artifacts associated with Ward's life--including a unique birthday card. The high point of the festivities--with refreshments and party favors (see photo on today's front page)--will come at 3:00 in the Allen Art Building Student Lounge.
|Reminders of Ward's birthday are throughout the library. The library staff (besides Prior and student workers, there's Paula Baymiller, administrative assistant in the art library, who's at the computer in the photo) sent notices of the celebration to 250 alumni and faculty, but everyone is welcome at the party, says Prior.
|The birthday card in the display is from 1947. It's signed "Paolo della Robbia." Hmm . . . Paolo . . . Paul . . . Paul in the art department . . . could it be Emeritus Professor of Art Paul Arnold?


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The Crystal Room Bistro
The Crystal Room Bistro is located in Gallucci Hall on Grant Street (off Exchange) in Akron, Ohio. The Bistro is operated by Hospitality Management students and is supervised by highly skilled faculty and staff of UA's Hospitality Management Program.
Our menu offers a wide variety of excellent choices including wings, quesadillas, homemade soups, salads, specialty sandwiches, wraps, panini and daily lunch specials prepared and served by our students. Delicious! Carry-out orders are also available when you're running the fast pace.
Our students study and work under the direct supervision of certified chefs. The Bistro offers a professional and comfortable "come as you are" atmosphere for everyone. The Bistro is also available for special events or meetings — large or small. Let us be your event planner!


text:
Forty Under 40
Michael Deemer, 36
Vice President, Business Development and Legal Services, Downtown Cleveland Alliance
Michael Deemer is one of those lawyers whose legal training is almost incidental to the work he does. Mr. Deemer, 36, sees his career as more about building communities than trying cases in court.
These days he's doing the former at Downtown Cleveland Alliance, the nonprofit financed by downtown property owners that is working to rebuild the center city. As the organization's director of business development, it's his job to attract jobs and residents downtown.
"Being an attorney, and my legal background, is helpful in everything I do," he said. "It's certainly helpful in trying to negotiate real estate deals and interact with commercial real estate brokers and attorneys that are active in the downtown market."
A graduate of Ohio University and Ohio State University's Moritz College of Law, Mr. Deemer came to Cleveland from Columbus earlier this year. He was following his wife, Vanessa Coterel, who had taken a job here last year as an attorney with the U.S. Department of Education's Office of Civil Rights.
In more than a decade in Columbus Mr. Deemer had worked for a state senator and the Ohio Poverty Law Center before becoming chief deputy to Ohio Attorney General Marc Dann and then an economic development policy adviser for Gov. Ted Strickland.
"Given his experience working directly with businesses on behalf of the state of Ohio and his broad understanding of economic development, we thought he'd be a great choice to help us create our new business development center," said Joseph Marinucci, president and CEO of the alliance.
Mr. Deemer shuttled back and forth along Interstate 71 until the Downtown Cleveland Alliance job came along.
"I was looking for an opportunity that would allow me to draw on my work in economic development, my interest in urban development and my interest in law and public policy," he said. "It just so happened that DCA was starting a business development office."
The alliance sees the office in the Old Arcade as the place to help site selectors learn about downtown and the changes on its horizon, especially the new casino and convention center.
"It's a tremendously exciting time to have $2 billion in development," Mr. Deemer said. "As I talk to businesses that are locating downtown or growing and looking for additional space, they're excited in a way I don't think they have been for a while."


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Fictional Biaspost by thomblake · 2012-04-02T02:10:20.559Z · score: 0 (79 votes) · LW · GW · Legacy · 55 comments
As rationalists, we are trained to maintain constant vigilance against common errors in our own thinking. Still, we must be especially careful of biases that are unusually common amongst our kind.
Consider the following scenario: Frodo Baggins is buying pants. Which of these is he most likely to buy:
(a) 32/30
(b) 48/32
(c) 30/20
If you're like me, your answer is (c). Frodo, as we know, is about 4' tall, so his inseam is much more likely 20'' than 30''.
But like me, you'd be wrong. Since there aren't *actually* any hobbits, all we know is that we're talking about a person named Frodo Baggins, who is male. And the most common pants size is 32/30, so the correct answer, given our actual state of knowledge about the real world, is (a).
This is what researchers call Fictional Bias, and there is evidence that it affects virtually every domain of decision-making. The mistake is using information from fictional sources in real contexts. It is the more-pernicious cousin of generalizing from fictional evidence - instead of merely generalizing, we treat real objects and persons as though they are the specific fictional entities they resemble.
We're of course familiar with particularly egregious examples of people confusing fiction with reality. For example in the 1930's, there were multiple cases where someone was killed for having the same name as the serial killer of children from the movie M. But these could be written off as merely disturbed individuals. But as it turns out, we're affected by this bias in our daily lives.
Examples abound in the literature, though the name "fictional bias" is not always used. A 1984 study by Dr. Sidney Zweibel and Dr. Emilio Lizardo asked subjects to trust someone with an unusual name. Subjects were 70% less likely to trust when the person had the same name as a fictional villain. A 1989 study by Dr. Wayne Szalinski established that subjects were 89% more likely to agree to take an experimental drug, when it was named after a fictional drug (for example Ephemerol).
The moral? It stands to reason that we need to be careful where our intuitive inferences come from. For a group that consumes so much science fiction and fantasy, we must be especially on our guard. (Also, this post was an April Fools prank; the effect may or may not be real, and all citations are either irrelevant or fictional.) It might even behoove us to discourage the reading of fiction amongst aspiring rationalists.
Kahneman, D. and Frederick, S. 2002. Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment. Pp 49-81 in Gilovich, T., Griffin, D. and Kahneman, D., eds. Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Szalinski, W. 1989. Recollection of fictional medication. Journal of Cognitive Minification, 67: 173-186.
Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. 1982. Judgments of and by representativeness. Pp 84-98 in Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., and Tversky, A., eds. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. 1983. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. Psychological Review, 90: 293-315.
Zweibel, S. and Lizardo, E. 1985. Fictional bias in interpersonal trust. Cross-Dimensional Neurosurgery, 45: 307-324.
55 comments
Comments sorted by top scores.
The initial example is inane. I believe XKCD has an appropriate comment on the matter.
In more detail: While strictly speaking "Frodo Baggins" may not be a unique identifier, there is a fictional person people will understand it to mean without additional context; as such, without that additional context, it must be taken as the usual meaning of "Frodo Baggins". Hence we get it "wrong" only because you used the name "Frodo Baggins" with a meaning other than its usual one. (Analogous to the comic.)
If you did something to indicate that it need not be the usual Frodo Baggins -- for instance, opening it with "Someone named Frodo Baggins", and the effect still (or rather actually) occurred, that would be an example.
Edit: Oh, hell. Just took a look at the references. I had actually thought this was intended seriously...
It's a standard conversational shorthand to just say "Frodo Baggins" instead of "Frodo Baggins from the Lord of the Rings". Going "ha ha! I didn't really mean THAT Frodo!" is a sophomoric word game, and completely unrelated to the topic of fictional evidence.
I agree with your point, but all you really do is describe the idea. http://lesswrong.com/lw/1lw/fictional_evidence_vs_fictional_insight links to two other posts on this topic already, one of which is part of the Sequences, and this post doesn't really seem to add anything new.
You might find some of Gerd Gigerenzer's work interesting (just google his name, he has a lot of it online). He has a similar opinion of many of the classic experiments in heuristics and biases.
I really, really dislike April Fool's jokes like this. Somebody will stumble onto this post at a later date, read it quickly, and come away misinformed.
I'll grant that the obviously horrible "Frodo Baggins" example should leave a bad taste in rationalists' mouths, but a glance at the comments shows that several readers initially took the post seriously, even on April 1st.
I agree completely. If you didn't read the references or notice the date, the article seems completely legitimate. It makes a couple weird claims (fictional drugs?), but if you didn't know the literature they wouldn't necessarily seem any stranger than the actual things people do (like anchoring their estimate of a car's value to their social security number). Remember that the absurdity heuristic is not a very good mode of reasoning!
So this means that while people who know Less Wrong can have a little inside joke, people who are new to rationalism and behavioral sciences could easily be fooled.
but if you didn't know the literature they wouldn't necessarily seem any stranger than the actual things people do (like anchoring their estimate of a car's value to their social security number)
Funny you should mention that. When I first had the idea for this post back in January or February, I specifically wanted to think up a fictional bias where the examples would be stranger than anchoring, and about as relevant to everyday life if true. I could not think of one. I finally ended up writing this at the last minute when I realized "fictional bias" was a pun and decided to write the post around that title.
What I'd really like to know, is whether anyone saw my tweets or facebook posts about trying to think up a nonexistent bias, and was still fooled by the post.
The post's own title describes the bias as fictional. It is tagged "aprilfools". All of the citations are, even at a glance, either made up or about different biases. The post is peppered with weasel words in place of real references, like "As it turns out". The comments mention it's an April Fool's gag, and point to related real articles. The examples are completely absurd - and while the absurdity heuristic isn't perfect, "even though appearances can be misleading, they're usually not."
And the effect probably does really exist!
There are several lessons in there...
And yet, I was still fooled.
You have taught me not to change my mind so easily.
Grognor, I don't think it's fair to insinuate that you may have learned a wrong lesson here. If it's wrong (I actually doubt that it is), then it's up to you to try to resist learning it.
As regards walking readers into a trap to teach them lessons, one of my all-time favorite LW posts does exactly this, but is very forthcoming about it. By contrast, I think thomblake overestimates the absurdity of the examples here: I thought they seemed plausible, and that "Frodo Baggins" was just poor reasoning. The comments show I'm not alone here. This level of subtlety may be appropriate on April 1st, but by April 3rd, it's dated. I would recommend editing in a final line after the conclusion but before the references indicating that this post was an April Fool's joke.
I would recommend editing in a final line after the conclusion but before the references indicating that this post was an April Fool's joke.
Done, with appropriate subtlety.
I'm not so sure the lesson is wrong. I'm very confused by this particular meta level, and I don't think this confusion will ever actually be resolved.
Edit: but you're right, I implied that this was a bad lesson to learn and shouldn't have done that.
I would have believed everything you said if I hadn't read the comments. Now I'm going to subconsciously remember this article and use it as fictional evidence about the danger of fictional evidence.
A little subtle for my taste...
I understood the introductory question as "Frodo Baggins from the Lord of the Rings is buying pants. Which of these is he most likely to buy?", and correctly answered (c). I suggest rephrasing your question to ensure that it actually tests the reader's fictional bias. Also, Szalinski in Journal of Cognitive Minification is a nice one.
Shame it's a fictional study, as the effect is almost certainly absolutely real and measurable. Study after study suggests that any association that pops up in your mind affects your behavior - I see no reason why fictional associations would be any less effective than all the other logically inapplicable associations which have been shown to have this kind of an effect. Here's an essentially randomly picked study on such things - it was just the first one I found googling for this kind of effect. The stereotype effect
For those who haven't seen thomblake's previous masterpiece. :)
Nice link. I was surprised to find that I'd upvoted this two years ago. I guess I don't remember most moments, in the long run.
Me too--I only remembered that it existed because it was the second LW post that I'd ever read.
Am I the only one who didn't fall for it, and actually said "Wait, they didn't say it was THE Frodo, so really it's probably just some dude named Frodo and he probably wears a size 32/30."? I think it's actually a result of what we might call the "Ackbar effect" (it's a trap!); when presented with something that you expect to be an optical illusion, lateral-thinking puzzle, evidence of bias, etc. you immediately question your intuitive response or even force yourself into answering differently from your intuition. "I know those lines don't look parallel... but it's an optical illusion, so they must be." (You could then fool such people by giving them "illusions" that aren't; e.g. the lines don't look parallel because they really aren't parallel.)
There are such illusions that aren't: link (via Ironic Sans). These illusions appeared in the April 1971 issue of New Scientist magazine.
Of course they'd be in the APRIL issue.
This deserves some time in the penalty box.
This shows up as April 02 in my browser.
Hazards of living in Asia... it can be the morning of April 2nd where you live, and in the Western Hemisphere they're STILL playing April Fool's jokes.
I think that's the edit date - I posted it originally just after midnight April 1, EDT.
Well, it is the case that people are biased by fiction. I'm thinking this fiction is going to bias some people into thinking people are not biased by fiction, and perhaps some other people, other way around.
Dr. Sidney Zweibel and Dr. Emilio Lizardo
I don't know if i can trust a paper written by people with names like those... but then again, i'm probably just being irrational, just like you've explained.
(Try Googling those names.)
I take a look at the date and I wonder...
I should have remembered what day it was...
Look at the reference for the Szalinski paper. I'll bet it has a really small circulation...
Lesson learned: actually read the citations.
The journal that published Zweibel and Lizardo's paper's gotta be awesome...
I never even had a chance; it was March when I read it. :/ Guess I'll remove my downvote.
No, keep it down voted! The time stamp from where I'm sitting is April 2nd, and this is on the front page. Sowing random confusion as an "April 1st prank" is just senseless if you're not at least going to make sure the post is marked as such, and I honestly don't think such is appropriate here to begin with.
I actually think it's pretty useful for Less Wrong to have occasionally wrong articles that force us to maintain constant vigilance. I do think they should be labeled as such somewhere, but not obtrusively, to give people time to be "tested."
I was embarrassed that I failed the test (I tend to skim articles and say "yeah, sounds plausible", and I appreciated the "reality check."
While I agree with you in principle...
http://xkcd.com/169/ - I know people who actually feel that it is amazingly clever to say things like this, and a lot of them self-identify as Rationalists. I don't feel that there is much benefit from determining whether I am dealing with someone who truly thinks like this, or merely a troll.
... so I really don't think this article qualifies as such a useful test. Why would I bother reading the citations if the article is already clearly bunk? It doesn't matter if he can back up his assertions, because the article is useless/wrong with or without that additional proof. If he'd made it a bit more obvious, perhaps, but this is pretty much indistinguishable from what I'd actually expect to see posted here occasionally (albeit normally under "Discussion" or at least not Promoted)
I appreciated it in part because there have been a few Less Wrong posts that HAD citations (or at least a bunch of links going to articles that looked fairly legit) which I took at face value, and I lazily threw the links at people without having read them thoroughly, only to find that they didn't say what I thought they said, or the evidence wasn't nearly as compelling.
It was a wake up call that you can't to outsource your rationality to someone else, even a community of rationalists. So essentially I try to always treat Lesswrong articles as if they are an April Fool's prank, either doublechecking them or not flagging them as "obvious truth" until I've read more background material.
I think having an occasional article that explicitly reminds of this is useful.
Hmmm, you make a fair point! I might not have valued the post, but that doesn't mean it wasn't valuable to others.
I expect that this 'bias' probably DOES have a real effect on people's thoughts and opinions, admittedly not as strong of one as in the 'evidence' provided by the article. Perhaps not for drugs, because fictional drugs tend to be bad instead of good in my experience and I don't think anybody names real drugs after fictional ones.
However, being named after a character in a popular work of fiction probably could change others' first impressions of you.
and I don't think anybody names real drugs after fictional ones.
A terrible 'marijuana substitute' is broadly marketed under the name "spice". [ D:< How dare they! ]
Pfft. And here I was hoping that I would harvest some good citations for the part of my essay which deals with exactly this subject - the pernicious distorting effect of fiction on our beliefs.
I read the first few sentences and was about to start formulating my enraged response, but then I looked at the date. Well played, my friend. Well played.
sorry if this is a random thought but i wonder whether this 'fictional bias' has guided the development of technology - as in seeing it in science fiction makes it seem more credible/real/potential/even needed and therefore scientists go out and make the technology to meet the fiction. realise this is not an exact match to the definition but it relates no? so if science fiction had come up with different technology would we have concentrated our efforts elsewhere and not be using mobile phones today for example.
I didn't fall for it either.
I assumed he just grabbed the name "Frodo Baggins" to represent a hypothetical male, unrelated to Lord of the Rings.
I got the answer right.... just because 30 is very small and 48 is very large, both seeming to represent smaller portions of society. I figured it was the 32 just based on probability of 'average size'.
For that matter, I couldn't stop my mind throwing up objections like "Frodo buys off-the-rack clothes? From where exactly? Surely he'd have tailor made? Wouldn't he be translated into British English as saying 'trousers'? Hobbit feet are big and hairy for Hobbits, but how big are they compared to human feet -- are their feet and inches 2/3 the size?"
It didn't occur to me until I'd read past the first two paragraphs that we were even theoretically supposed to ACTUALLY guess what size Frodo would wear. And I'm still unsure if the badness of the Frodo example was supposed to be part of the joke or not -- I mean, it's fairly funny if it is, but it's the sort of mistake (a bad example for a good point) I'd expect to see even made by intelligent, competent writers.
And I mean, I'm fairly sure that the fictional bias effect is real :)
But these could be written off as merely disturbed individuals. But as it turns out, we're affected by this bias in our daily lives.
Isn't that how it always is? Disturbed individuals have exaggerated biases relative to normal people, not entirely new ones.
Good joke. The references are especially good.
This looks like a particularly concrete and insidious instantiation of the narrative fallacy.


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I am new to WordPress plugins. I have installed "Now Reading Reloaded" Plugin. My objective is to display bunch of books which i am reading or referring on a separate page : Books.
I have installed, Activated, Also registered the Amazon Web Services Access Key ID.
How to set the Plugin to the Books Page and make the list of books to display on that page?


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Image by Bring back Buck
How hard is it to defend yourself against someone really? I mean, seriously, if you have trained for a matter of years with the intent to defend yourself against an attacker, surely, you are ready by now? Do you think a possible attacker trains as much as you do? I doubt it very much. So why train for more than a few years?
Are you Wasting Your Time?
If you havn't gotten yourself up to a suitable standard over a time frame of years than really, you are never gonna get there. You might as well give up and walk along looking at your feet. Years and years of training is a long time.
It is important that we step back and take a look at what it is we do when we train for many years with the intent to defend ourselves against a likely attack. It is important that we acknowledge that a likely attacker is not out there training the way we are.
The Likely Attack
Take the example of someone who has been training for five years with the intent of being able to defend him or herself or friends against a likely attack. The most likely attack will probably be a case of assault and possibly robbery (These odds have been discussed here in more detail elsewhere. Look at the sidebar to the right for more info on this).
Anyone who has persisted to train for five years is very very unlikely to be the initiator of assault and even more unlikely to be the initiator of robbery. These type of people would have quit long ago or would not have even started as they would likely assume that they are already awesome fighters. It takes a certain amount of humbleness and nobility to accept we do not know all we can, so we go out and search for someone to teach us.
A LOT Can be Learnt in Just Five Years
Take comfort in the fact that a likely attacker has inferior skills to you after training for five years. Five years is a long time to train. Someone can earn a degree in five years. A trade can be earnt in five years. A child can be born and be at school in five years. So why do people continue to train after five years?
I think a lot of people through whatever cause, give the likely attacker far too much credit and under appreciate their own skills. I mean seriously, if after five whole years you are still not confident in being able to stop an attack that you really need to stop, step back and have a look at what you have been doing for the last five years of your life.
Again, the Alpha Male and the Predator
A likely Alpha Male attacker will generally be intoxicated which will mean his co-ordination will be quite poor and he will be quick to fatigue, he will be suffering from tunnel vision and all the other effects of adrenal stress which you will be and most likely he will be less trained than you are. Be confident in these details!
A likely Predatory attack will be reliant on the element of surprise, will probably be poorly trained in close combat, will likely be drunk or a drug addict and/or be physically malnourished and again, you will probably be more highly trained. Be confident in these details!
Work the Basics, Hard and Realistically! Its That Simple!
Defending against a likely attack is really quite simple. Train often doing gross motor techniques which professional fighters can apply in the combat sports such as punches, elbows, low kicks and kness as well as standing and ground grappling. Learn how to use impact and edged weapons such as sticks and knives as these are the most common weapons used today.
The emphasis? Work on the basics over and over again and work them hard! Do not get fancy, ever. A good basic framework is kickboxing or Muay Thai type training, Greco Roman or freestyle wrestling or BJJ or other stand up and ground grappling type training and also some Filipino weapon training.
Destroy the Enemy, he is Probably a Deadshit
You do not have to be at the elite level in these systems, just have a good grasp of the basics. A few years doing this will see you absolutely destroy most types of potential attacks.
Remember, a likely attacker is not a highly trained assassin! He is generally just a deadshit!
There is one other thing which you can and should do every single day of your life. Be aware of your surroundings. Notice when you are in a higher threat area and maintain 360 degree awareness and look for likely threats. This is free and you do not need to spend any money to do it. This is your first level of defence.
Deny an Attacker the Element of Surprise
If you maintain that first level of defence, you can never be caught by surprise. If you are never caught by surprise, I would say your ability to defend yourself has just gone up 500%. The element of surprise really is THAT important in the successful outcome of an attack. Deny that element and you massively turn the odds in your favour. Its that easy.
So what should you do if you HAVE been training for over five years? Hang up the gloves and retire? Not exactly. I guess the point I am trying to make is don't use up your valuable time on this earth with spending an unnecessarily high amount of your time training. Once you have spent a solid few years training, you can back it off a little. Go out and live your life. After all, that is why you want to protect your life isn't it? So you can live it? So get out there and live it!!!
Intensity and Realism - The Simple Solution
Its like an athlete who is training for an event. They train hard, then back off or taper. Once a high level is achieved it can maintained at a higher level with much less work than it takes if you want to increase to a higher level.
The secret to maintaining a high standard with less time spent is this. You need to maintain a high level of intesity for those times you DO train. A really good idea is to do those short Reality Based Self Defence (RBSD) courses such as FAST Defense and Senshido and other high level and realistic seminars.
It isnt really that hard. Train the basics often and hard and realistically for a few years and then just back off the number of sessions done per month but maintain or even increase the intensity. Remember, a likely attacker is a deadshit, don't forget that! Have confidence in yourself and your training.
The Caveat
There is one caveat to all of this. The trained opponent. There is always the outside chance of facing a trained opponent. There are no final solutions in life, or in self defence. There are very highly skilled and able people out there, make no mistake about it. There are combat sport athletes, 100% committed martial artists, hardened criminals, military personel, security professionals and more. These people are out there.
These people are another level altogether. But how likely do you think it is to find one of these people attacking you for no reason? I would say it is very very unlikely. Even the hardened criminal will not want to attack someone on the street. Why? He has other shitheads to do his dirty work for him. He doesn't need the unneccesasary risk of such petty shit.
Walking the Path...
To train to be able to go up against the high end of the combative world is different to be able to defend yourself against likely attackers on the street. This type of skill is beyond the scope of this post. To do this is to walk the warriors path. This involves time and commitment. Often, a very big time commitment as well.This is a different subject altogether.
Once more, it is very very unlikely that these level of warriors will attack you for no reason. This is perhaps further incentive to be nice and not pick fights with people. After all, how well do you really know the person you have chosen???
Live Your Life
The people who attack others are generally deadshits. Do not forget this. It really isnt that hard. Have confidence in your training. Go out there and live your life, that is why you strive to protect it don't you?


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Jump to navigation Jump to search
Actual Cost of Work Performed (ACWP) (Project Management) The total direct and indirect costs of accomplishing work completed to date. It usually refers either to a given time period or to a completed project phase, activity, or task. Some management techniques compare it to a budget to determine a variance or status. In other cases, when it is usually called earned value, ACWP may be used to determine interim payments to a contractor.


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Sundance Selects has picked up North American rights from Protagonist Pictures to Clio Barnard's Directors' Fortnight entry The Selfish Giant starring Conner Chapman, Shaun Thomas and Sean Gilder.
Tracy O' Riordan produced with the backing of British Film Institute and Film4.
Barnard's drama centres on two outsider teenage friends who encounter a scrap dealer with tragic consequences.
Sundance Selects previously acquired at the festival François Ozon's competition title Young & Beautiful, Abdellatif Kechiche's Blue Is The Warmest Color, and Jean-Pierre and Luc Dardenne's Two Days, One Night.


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Mugz (Out Of Montreal, Canada) - Life I Chose [Label Submitted]
"LIFE I CHOSE -- PRODUCED BY RICOBEATS *4th SINGLE OF THE MIXTAPE "I CO-SIGN MYSELF" available on datpiff.com*"
Please click the "Report" button below if the video on this page is not working properly.
Comments will only be displayed by verified emails. No Spamming or Racism.


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PHILADELPHIA, Pa. – At the end of day one, three Crimson student-athletes remain alive at the CSA Individual Championships. On the men's side, Ali Farag advanced on in the Pool Trophy, while Amanda Sobhy and Haley Mendez moved on and will face each other in the quarterfinals of the Ramsey Cup.
Farag, looking for his second national championship title, opened the day with a 3-0 victory over Christopher Jung of Dartmouth. In the second round, the Cairo, Egypt, native knocked off Princeton's Dylan Ward, 11-4, 11-9, 11-8. The senior will play Samuel Kang of Princeton Saturday at 11:30 a.m.
The defending national champion, Sobhy made quick work of Princeton's Alexandra Sawin in the opening round. The junior surrounded just seven points in a 3-0 win in the opening round. The Sea Cliff, N.Y., native took down Anna Porras of George Washington in the second round, 11-3, 11-4, 11-3, to earn a trip to the quarterfinals.
Mendez met Madeleine Gill of Stanford in the first round where the junior posted a 13-11, 11-8, 11-4 to move alive. In the next round, the Brooklyn, N.Y., native downed Princeton's Elizabeth Eyre, 11-9, 11-8, 11-6. Mendez moves onto the quarterfinals for the first time of her collegiate career.
Brandon McLaughlin advanced to the round of 16 where he fell to Kang of Princeton, 3-1. McLaughlin toppled Charles Cuttler of Franklin & Marshall, 13-11, 12-10, 11-5 in the opening round.
Senior Nigel Koh was knocked off by Abhishek Pradhan, 3-2. N. Koh won the first two matches, giving up only eight points, before Pradhan came back to win 2-11, 6-11, 11-7, 11-5, 11-7. Rookie Bryan Koh fell to Cornell's Nicholas Sachvie, 11-5, 11-9, 11-6.


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| The new Waze Wiki, aka Wazeopedia, is now live at Wazeopedia.waze.com! While this legacy wiki will remain accessible for the time being, it is no longer updated by the community. For the most up-to-date guidance, please visit your local Wazeopedia.
Please do not make any more updates to these legacy wiki pages, all future updates should be made in your country's local Wazeopedia.
Difference between revisions of "Translate waze (client text) to your local language"
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For the third tab "groups_text" and the fourth tab "ticker_text" use the same process as for the first tab "client_text"
For the third tab "groups_text" and the fourth tab "ticker_text" use the same process as for the first tab "client_text"
'''Step 5'''
'''Step 5'''
Revision as of 10:31, 28 July 2011
Help us make Waze better in your native tongue!
Step 1 Download the current complete translation file - an Excel spreadsheet. Last update: Jun 16th.
Note that the file contains 4 tabs. The first one is large. The other 3 are small but still important.
Important note before getting started: before you translate or work on the following languages, please check with the support team at email@example.com - Italian, German, Spanish (any type of Spanish), French and Portuguese. These translations are done mainly in-house.
Step 2 Starting with the first tab, "client_text", Look for your language in the first row. If you're sure it is not there, you can start a new column for your language. .
Step 3 It is important that you do not edit the spreadsheet file you downloaded. Instead start a new spreadsheet file and only include your additions. That way it is easy for Waze to merge in your changes. For the same reason, use a different new file for each tab you work on.
If you believe there should be corrections to existing translations, please make them in a separate file also and note them as corrections when you submit them by email so Waze can review them more closely.
Step 4 Starting with the first, "client_text" tab, here is how to identify the text that still needs translating.
- Delete from column D to the language column you are working on, just to get them out of the way. So for example, if you are working on Swedish translation in column H, delete columns D-G. This will put your working language in column D. If you're a polyglot you may wish to put multiple languages in E, F, etc if you're going to translate them all as a group.
- Do not sort the original order of the English text. Youc an search for cells in your language (if the column already exists) that have 0 or #N/A - thouse can be deleted and filled out with the proper translation. Also look for the empty cells, and fill those out as well.
- Click and drag to highlight the rectangle of each of these 3 groups in turn, including columns B, C and D. Choose Edit/Copy and then in a new spreadsheet Edit/Paste. Paste each group at the end of the preceding one.
- You now have a spreadsheet with 3 columns. Column A (originally B) contains the English text to be translated in the original order. Column B (originally C) contains any additional comments to help in the translation, but is not to be translated itself. Column C is where you put the translation and will either be blank or have some #N/A or 0. Move on to Step 5 - doing the translation.
For the second tab "scoreboard_text", use the same process, except the English text to translate starts in column D, and the explanation starts in column C.
For the third tab "groups_text" and the fourth tab "ticker_text" use the same process as for the first tab "client_text" Please notice that we have a problem currently to upload new strings or update existing one for both GROUPS and DASHBOARD. You can send the translations and/or corrections and we will update our files accordingly, but we will not be able to upload it to the client for the time being. We apologize for the temporary inconvenience.
Step 5 Translate the English text in your new file in column A, and type it in column C. Column B will explain the text in column A more clearly but is not to be translated. It is for reference only.
Translation tip - make it short. Since the same text is used on all client devices, some of which have small screens, it is best to keep everything as short as possible. Use abbreviations.
For the fourth tab "ticker_text" make your translations short. 30 character maximum.
Step 6 Email your new spreadsheet file as an attachment to email@example.com with the message subject Translation
Because the language files are held on the Waze server you can see your updates in the client once Waze has processed them. You don't need to wait for a new version of the app.
Step 7 Come back later and check if you can help some more. Or you can email firstname.lastname@example.com and ask to be notified by email when there are new lines of text to be translated.
Every new version of the Waze app has new features with new text that require translating. So even if a language is completed, check back in later to see if we need new translations. If you see English being used in the app, mixed in with another language it's because we don't have a translation for those phrases yet.
Note that these translations are for written text in the client device app. Audio prompts such as "in 200 meters turn right" are not part of this process.
|Nearly complete
|Require more work


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Hana Rug - Charcoal
$2995 Regular
$1499 Final Sale
$1199 Member
Loose blossoms and arching vines transform a historic Oushak design into a streamlined floral. Exceptionally lush and naturally lustrous, the rug is masterfully knotted by hand from smooth wool yarns and sheared to a long, luxuriant pile. Our rugs are artisan crafted with meticulous care. Each rug is an original and no two are exactly alike. Given their handwoven nature, slight variations in shading and size are inherent to the design and unique to each rug. Imported. 100% wool.


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The Nutcracker is one of the great holiday traditions. Almost every city in America has more Nutcracker performances every holiday season than any other single piece of music the rest of the year. In some big cities, the productions run from late-November to January without stop. For information about the Symphony's performance with Arts San Antonio, click here.
The Nutcracker has always been important in my life. My mother has been a subscriber to the New York City Ballet for decades and took my brother and me to their Nutcracker when we were quite young. I remember being completely captivated by the spectacle and the music. My brother was perhaps a tad too young for this two-hour production. He had a cold that day, and we sat directly under an air duct. He got pneumonia from that evening and for years, whenever my mother tried to get us to another dance production, he claimed ballet caused pneumonia! My brother played trumpet in high school and I played the double bass. This was a huge disappointment to my mother, as she had great hopes that one of us would go into ballet.
When my daughter was three-years old, I eagerly took her to The Nutcracker. The production we was saw was very dramatic and the battle between the mice and the soldiers scared her. But by the following holiday season, she had matured enough to really love it.
The Nutcracker is at the Municipal Auditorium and the schedule is:
Friday, November 27, 2009 at 7:30 p.m.
Saturday, November 28 at 2:00 p.m.
Saturday, November 28 at 7:30 p.m.
Sunday, November 29 at 2:00 p.m.
Friday, December 4 at 7:30 p.m.
Saturday, December 5 at 2:00 p.m.
Saturday, December 5 at 7:30 p.m.
Sunday, December 6 at 2:00 p.m.
Performed by Metropolitan Classical Ballet
Paul Mejia and Alexander Vetrov, Artistic Directors
In association with San Antonio Metropolitan Ballet
Susan Connally, Artistic Director
Music performed by the San Antonio Symphony
Conducted by Bernard Rubenstein, Music Director of Metropolitan Classical Ballet
Music composed by Peter I. Tchaikovsky
Choreography by Alexander Vetrov
Lighting by Tony Tucci
Municipal Auditorium
100 Auditorium Circle, San Antonio
VIP Valet Parking Service is provided with the Premium-Class Arts San Antonio subscription packages.
For tickets to The Nutcracker call (210) 226-2891 or visit http://www.artssanantonio.com/.
Tickets are also available from Ticketmaster at www.ticketmaster.com.
The San Antonio Symphony is also presenting our annual Holiday Pops on December 18 & 19, the Family Holiday concert on Sunday, December 20 and Handel's Messiah on December 4, 5 & 6. For tickets to the Holiday Pops or Messiah call (210) 554-1010 or visit www.sasymphony.org.
Jack Fishman
Email: email@example.com
Web: www.sasymphony.org
Twitter @SASym
Facebook: San Antonio Symphony
For more blogs by Jack Fishman visit: www.sasymphony.org/blog


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First and foremost, allow me to say how happy I am to be here today at the prestigious Johns Hopkins University to share with you a reflection on the Timorese experience in its transition from conflict to development. It is a great honour for me to address such a distinguished audience, knowing of your keen interest to know a little more about the Timorese process and our goals for the future. I would like to thank you for coming here today, and to acknowledge the Southeast Asian Studies program at SAIS and Asia Society Washington, DC, for organising this event and our Embassy for its support.
Since we began our struggle for self-determination and freedom, the pages of our History have been filled with massacres and hardships; but also with heroic deeds, victories and successes achieved by our People seeking to attain their right to Independence. To talk about Timor-Leste is to talk about perseverance, hope, determination and courage. For more recent times, it is also to talk about advances and setbacks, errors and lessons learned, conflicts and recovery. It is to talk about enormous challenges!
In sharing our experience, in terms of transition and change, I do so with an open mind, without trying to impose any type of model or political lesson. Indeed, as an LDC (Least Developed Country), our story is similar to that of many other countries throughout the world, with similar backgrounds and difficulties, and we know that we are not the only ones undergoing continuous Peace building and State building efforts after emerging from a situation of long conflict. I said that because there is no success formula that can be transferred from one country to the other, if we think that it will accelerate the transition towards development. On the contrary, it is necessary to respect the specific circumstances and timings of the reality of every country.
Every program, project or political decision must be objectively adapted to the cultural, social and economic context of each society. They must correspond to the needs and aspirations of the People, and be accepted by them. Ignoring these facts is often the reason why international assistance to LDCs undergoing transition always fails.
Allow me to start by talking about ourselves as People. Allow me to talk about what we were, what we are and what we want to be. Timor-Leste is half of a small island, with the other half belonging to Indonesia. As such, we are located between two giants, Indonesia and Australia. In addition to its ethnical, cultural and linguistic diversity, Timor-Leste underwent centuries of administration by foreign countries, in an endless, conflicting co-existence, starting with the Portuguese colonial domination, which caused several struggles for independence, promoted by the various Timorese kingdoms. The last one was in 1912, and next year, 2012, will mark its 100 anniversary. While still recovering from that war, we were occupied by the Japanese from 1941 to 1945. Although this occupation was short-lived, it covered the entire territory and caused great suffering to the Timorese, with dozens of thousands of deaths.
In 1963, as a result of the Cold War era, it was thought and may have been decided that the integration of Timor-Leste to Indonesia would be the best solution for World Peace. And, so, it came to pass that in the fatal year of 1975 we started a new war. But this war would not have lasted 24 years, if other countries had not supplied weapons, tanks, aircraft and training to the Indonesian military in order to improve their fighting skills and therefore annihilate the resistance of the small Timorese guerrilla army.
As such, we can say that our past, for centuries, in terms of conflict, was not one of conflicts between Timorese kingdoms or ethnicities. Instead, the war was between the Timorese and all those who came from the other side of the sea, the foreigners. Evidently, having endured and fought alone for over two long decades, without any external military support, the Timorese people were scarred and developed a contesting nature that can propel them, easily, from peaceful demands into violent acts, without thinking about the consequences of their actions. To make matters worse, the violence and the physical destruction that followed the Referendum in 1999 deepened the already frail psychological and political situation, and worsened the already miserable living situation of the people. On the brink of independence, the People of Timor-Leste struggled to even survive.
Still, the People of Timor-Leste made another display of their great spirit by telling their Indonesian brothers and sisters that it was just our common past in fighting for freedom, and assuming a commitment to cooperate in solidarity and live in fraternity. The People of Timor-Leste also began an arduous period of State building.
With the arrival of the United Nations mission and, together with the international community, we began to build from scratch the foundations for our democratic institutions.
When, on 20 May 2002, we became the masters of our fate as a State that was finally independent and sovereign, the expectations were that we Timorese might decide the future of our Nation. Naturally we believed that this future in freedom was promising. But I would like to remind that there were some factors that seriously threatened this ideal, namely:
- Lack of prepared and qualified human capital;
- Lack of political experience in democratic governance, a system that was completely new to our society;
- Lack of basic infrastructure and other essential equipment; and, most importantly
- Lack of financial resources of the Country itself.
Nevertheless, our people began with dignity to strive for a new life and for the better living conditions that they dreamed about. This led to a demanding society, both individually and in terms of social groups, which expected immediate results, as if they would be the simple and logical outcome of emancipation. Unfortunately, democracy does not triumph easily in a Country that is mostly poor and psychologically traumatised.
For a family that starves both in times of war and of peace, that lives in precarious conditions and lacks access to health or education, democracy is a concept too erudite and abstract to be well absorbed. Concepts such as tolerance, mutual respect, dialogue and even justice cannot be assimilated in a day as a direct consequence of the rights and duties inherent in freedom.
The truth is that there are no shortcuts for consolidating democracy and development. It is necessary to walk a long and arduous path, in order to change the mindset of our society and to transform the so-called democratic values into realities that every citizen can feel. And is this not what we call Development? Yes, I know, it's only one of the aspects, but an important one! This is why eight years of Independence are not enough to build a strong State, much less a developed society. It is natural that our young and fragile Nation had to contend with the resurgence of a few conflicts during this period.
The first social disturbance took place immediately after the euphoria of the celebrations of 20 May 2002. Then, we had further disturbances every two years, as if Timor-Leste was condemned to a vicious cycle of violence. In 2006, we had a serious political crisis that caused an atmosphere of insecurity in the Country, and various other problems that eventually led to confrontations between the Police and the Military, resulting in hundreds of thousands of internally displaced people and countless damage to the State.
From these crises, we learned our first major lesson: we urgently needed to learn to deal with the fragility of our State, which resided in the inability to address the root causes of problems, resulting in a trend to avoid problems rather than seeking proper solutions. We also needed to grow politically, that is, to impose a political will within State institutions to cooperate among themselves in the search for solutions, rather than focusing on the political dimensions of every situation and, in doing so, losing the judgement required to handle and solve crises.
Today, leading a five-party Coalition Government that, when it came to office in August 2007, vowed to effectively introduce the necessary changes, we have achieved remarkable progress through a principle that is as simple as it is essential: to govern in dialogue! We focused our efforts on establishing peace and stability, as well as solving the most critical problems of the Country, knowing that, without addressing the problem of stability and internal security, any development effort would be wasted. It was through permanent dialogue and genuine cooperation between all Bodies of Sovereignty and Civil Society, together with the introduction of social justice measures, comprehensive reforms and public investment, that we managed to break the vicious cycle of conflict. In the end, we reorganized and, in a more coordinated manner, looked for the way that was right for Timor-Leste. We succeeded in:
- solving the problem of the 150,000 IDPs in two years, while we were told it would take decades to resolve, like the experiences brought from several countries;
- reforming core institutions for national security and stability, namely the Police and the Military, which began a new stage of cooperation and solidarity and, in doing so, they started to regain the trust of the people.
- starting a bold program to acknowledge our national heroes, the National Liberation Combatants, who were living in extreme poverty.
- introducing other social justice measures, namely, the payment of pensions to the elderly, the disabled, widows and orphans who sacrificed so much so that Timor-Leste could be independent, and supporting other vulnerable groups, such as women, children and youths, who make strong contributions to the stability and development of the Country.
From these initiatives, with their direct impact on the lives of the population, there was greater participation and confidence by all Timorese People towards the resolution of conflict and the consolidation of National Unity and Stability. This awareness resulted in the adoption of a new motto for our Nation, adopted in 2009, on the 10th anniversary of the Referendum: 'Goodbye Conflict, Welcome Development'.
Today, we are prepared to greet this new decade, from 2011 to 2020, with optimism, and to lay the foundations for bold national development. And what is it that gives us the confidence to face this next challenge without fear? It is being free from the instability and conflict that has for so long diverted our energies from building the country — wasting time as well as human and financial resources which are so much needed to be invested in the productive sectors of the country. On the contrary we are now implementing institutional and structural reforms that are vital for development and economic growth.
We have started the reform in the defence and security sector, by improving training programs to ensure their professionalism, competence, ethics and discipline. We have professionalised the public sector and introduced State management reform, to enable better service delivery to the people, including in our rural areas. On the other hand, we have been working to promote transparency and good governance, with the creation of the Civil Service Commission, the Anti-Corruption Commission and Public Finance Management reform, which will soon provide data on State expenditure, in real time, and available for public viewing through our website.
"Together with national stability and the reform of our tax system, to provide attractive rates for national and foreign investors, our country also offers great investment potential in nearly every sector."
We also started building the capacity of our private sector, which was practically embryonic, promoting criteria for competence, professional honesty and technical capability, in regard to the cost-effectiveness of projects. We believe that our private sector should become a true partner of the Government in this vital period of Country building.
Together with national stability and the reform of our tax system, to provide attractive rates for national and foreign investors, our country also offers great investment potential in nearly every sector. Business opportunities are on the rise and one needs only to look at commerce, industry, construction and tourism to see that they are growing and that our economy is emerging. The current situation in Timor-Leste speaks for itself. Even with the serious world financial crisis, Timor-Leste had two-digit economic growth rates for the past three years. In 2009 we had an economic growth rate of 13 per cent — this was not only the highest growth rate in the region, but also one of the ten highest in the entire world. This growth resulted in a nine per cent decrease of poverty, enabling around 96,000 people to escape from a situation of extreme poverty. The 2010 United Nations Human Development Index had Timor-Leste move up 14 positions, while the Millennium Development Indicators were met in regard to child mortality rates and other health indicators. We managed to create strong and dynamic growth, able to fight unemployment not only in the Country's capital but also in the countryside, by way of funding a decentralised private sector building fund.
In addition, Timor-Leste also became only the third country in the world to be granted full compliance with the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative. The Revenue Watch Institute and Transparency International ranked Timor-Leste in 2010 as being in the group of the countries with the most transparency in regard to revenue.
We have a Country blessed with great natural wealth and our Petroleum Fund currently stands at approximately 7.2 billion dollars. This amount is expected to increase to more than $20 billion over the next ten years. And this revenue is from the Bayu Undan field only!
As a result of our experience in the long Liberation Struggle, we are accustomed to meeting great challenges. This means that, today, the people of Timor-Leste are determined to achieve sustainable growth and to free themselves from misery. And so, after thoroughly reviewing our needs, we are currently drafting the Strategic Development Plan, which will include a lengthy public investment program for developing our human capital and the infrastructure required for sustaining a strong and growing economy.
What does Timor-Leste want to be in 20 years? Undoubtedly, it wants to be a country focused on the hydrocarbon industry, a country with dynamic urban centres and consolidation of rural areas to ensure that basic services reach every citizen. For this to be possible, we must, first and foremost, accelerate the extension, diversification and modernisation of agriculture. In the meantime, we will need to focus on a new paradigm of production and productive employment opportunities through the enhancement of industry and tourism, social service delivery and human capital development. If the needs of the country require fast and sustainable economic growth, we need to invest in basic infrastructure to be able to diversify the economy. We cannot and we do not want to be eternally and excessively dependent on oil revenues. But, Ladies and Gentlemen, we need to use oil revenues to develop the Nation. As a development strategy, we want to make good use of our natural wealth and we want to be the legitimate part of their exploitation.
As such, Timor-Leste is strongly committed to building a petroleum industrial base, which includes the construction of a pipeline from the Greater Sunrise field to Timor-Leste's onshore. We have been discussing these development plans with the Australian company, Woodside, and we believe that a pipeline from Greater Sunrise to Timor-Leste is the only way to transform these sovereign resources into a benefit for Timor-Leste. We have been conducting technical and feasibility studies with international companies and, in addition to being feasible, the Timor-Leste option represents an equitable distribution of benefit for Australia and Timor-Leste, and for their respective people. This is why it is an imperative for our joint development. In view of this, we will start to develop the Southern Coast of our country, establishing a Supply Base, a Refinery and an LNG plant, as well as necessary infrastructure such as port, airport and roads.
We Timorese are ready for this tough battle towards development! And we know that we will achieve our dreams, because our People have always responded when our Homeland calls on them to act! And, what is important is that the current state of the Nation requires that all Leaders of the Country assume their historic responsibility and to be courageous in making decisions towards a brighter future for the People of Timor-Leste!
"Timor-Leste is fortunate to be part of a region of the world that drives todays global economy."
Before I conclude, I would like to state that Timor-Leste is fortunate to be part of a region of the world that drives todays global economy. Our closest neighbours, Australia and Indonesia, are both regional economic powerhouses: Australian growth is fuelled by China and its demand for resources and Indonesia is becoming a remarkable success story.
We are integrating our economy in our East Asian region, which includes Japan, China and South Korea, as well as the major economies of ASEAN, Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines and Vietnam. We are currently formalising our membership application for ASEAN to be made during the Indonesian presidency of this regional forum. We believe that having Timor-Leste join ASEAN during the Indonesian presidency is of great symbolic value, not only for Timor-Leste and Indonesia, but also for all the members of this Association.
Timor-Leste also had the honour of being invited to preside over the g7+ group, which enables fragile and affected-by-conflict countries to gather and to speak with a common voice, making use of the wisdom and shared experiences of a group representing 350 million people, from seventeen member countries in Africa, Asia, the Caribbean and the Pacific.
This invitation happened as a result of Timor-Leste hosting, in April 2010, in Díli, the International Dialogue on Peacebuilding and Statebuilding, which was chaired by Timor-Leste and the United Kingdom, with the participation of the LDCs from the g7+. The general goal of the g7+ is to awaken leaders and peoples so that they may reacquire ownership of their processes, viewed within a long-term perspective, without losing sight of the characteristics of each country and their priorities, and without forgetting to focus also on the need for a better control and adjustment over outside help, requiring greater transparency by donors and beneficiaries, so that the real impact of that support can be seen in the development of the countries.
As a Nation, we have received the generous assistance of the International Community; which we hope to be able to reciprocate in a genuine manner and within the same spirit of solidarity by sharing experiences, both sweet and bitter, with other fragile countries throughout the world.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Finally, and in conclusion, I must mention that one of the key aspects that enabled our Country to move away from conflict, hopefully forever, was the fact that our leaders and our People accepted in a consensual manner that there was a deep need in our society to practice Forgiveness and Reconciliation. In view of the complexity of our history, there is no better way to progress as a Nation than to cultivate forgiveness and social harmony within our society. As Prime Minister of the young Timorese Nation, I am proud and moved to acknowledge the nobility and dignity of our People who, despite decades of suffering and living in Poverty, remain steadfast and hopeful, working tirelessly in order to develop the Nation.
In conclusion, Ladies and Gentlemen, there is no development without democracy. But there is also no democracy without development. Democracy is not an end; it is a process that makes people hold on to the commitment of values and principles of humanity. Thus, democracy cannot be imposed. Societies and peoples will always have the exact moment to defend the values that constitute their individual and collective fundamental rights. It has happened in the past, and it is happening in the present.
There are no models of democracy or of development. The values are what we have in common and each country and its people are the ones who will know the path to take!


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Home Based Travel Advisors – Nationwide UK ONLY
- Recruiter
- Freedom Personal Travel Advisors
- Location
- Homeworking
- Salary
- Uncapped
- Posted
- 01 Sep 2019
- Closes
- 25 Sep 2019
- Sector
- Travel Agency
- Job function
- Home Working
- Contract Type
- Permanent
Are you an experienced travel professional looking for a better work life balance with uncapped earning potential? The Freedom Personal Travel Advisors are one of the largest Travel Homeworking divisions in the UK. We are looking for committed, customer focused, travel sales professionals to join are ever expanding family. You will have the backing and support of one of largest travel companies and brand behind you.
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IRRC No. 867
This issue deals with historical, legal, social, psychological and political questions relating to torture. It includes a discussion on the legal interpretations of the notion of torture, cruel or inhuman treatment and psychological torture, and analyses the context in which torture occurs and has occurred in the past. While looking at torture from the victims' and society's point of view, it also considers it from the perpetrator's perspective by trying to explain what brings a person to inflict torture. The issue further reflects the torture debate in the United States, particularly after the Abu Ghraib incident.
Table of contents
Editorial: Torture
For slaves in Roman times, torture was the rule in courts. Their testimonies were admissible only if they had been extracted by torture, for it was believed that slaves could not be trusted to reveal the truth voluntarily. Torture by the Inquisition in and after medieval times was infamous and, even into the eighteenth century, the infliction of acute suffering on a defenceless person was a legitimate means of obtaining testimonies and confessions from suspects or accused for use in judicial inquiries and trials. There were few qualms about it; people generally assumed that no innocent person would be prosecuted and that anybody appearing in the torture chamber ultimately merited his or her chastisement.
Interview with Dr Abdel Hamid Afana
Dr Abdel Hamid Afana, MA, PhD, is the President of the International Rehabilitation Council for Torture Victims, Director of the Training and Research Department at the Gaza Community Mental Health Programme and President of the Board of Directors of the Jesoor Organization.
"In truth the leitmotiv": the prohibition of torture and other forms of ill-treatment in international humanitarian law
The principle of humane treatment, as Jean Pictet wrote in 1958, is in truth the leitmotiv of the four Geneva Conventions of 1949. It includes the prohibition of torture, cruel or inhuman treatment and outrages upon personal dignity. This article examines the interpretation of these notions by referring to the existing instruments and jurisprudence on the prohibition of ill-treatment.
Torture of terrorists? Use of torture in a "war against terrorism": justifications, methods and effects: the case of France in Algeria, 1954–1962
During its war against the armed nationalist movement fighting for Algerian independence (1954-1962), France made extensive use of torture. This article challenges the main justification given for doing so, namely the terrorist methods employed by the National Liberation Front, and sheds light on the way torture took effect in the war.
Black letter abuse: the US legal response to torture since 9/11
The use of torture by the US armed forces and the CIA was not limited to "a few bad apples" at Abu Ghraib. This article explores the various legal avenues pursued by the administration to justify and maintain its coercive interrogation programme, and the response by Congress and the courts.
The worst scars are in the mind: psychological torture
Torture often includes methods that entail severe psychological distress and profoundly disrupt the senses and personality. This article describes how psychological methods which do not amount to ill-treatment when considered in isolation can amount to torture through their accumulation over time and their integration into the whole torture process.
Civilization and torture: beyond the medical and psychiatric approach
The author argues that torture not only affects its victim, but is an endemic illness of civilization which has the effect of shattering the social network that makes us human. If we are to dare look at the oppressive order which destroys victims of torture, we must listen to their agonized groaning and understand them.
Physicians and torture: Lessons from Nazi doctors
How is such a thing possible? What are the personal, professional and political contexts and the psychological characteristics that allow doctors to use their skills to torture and kill rather than heal? This paper examines case studies from Nazi Germany in an attempt to answer these questions.
Jungle justice: passing sentence on the equality of belligerents in non-international armed conflict
A special challenge posed by the IHL principle of equality of belligerents in the context of non-international armed conflict is the capacity of armed opposition groups to pass sentences on individuals for acts related to the hostilities.
Transitional justice and the International Criminal Court – in "the interests of justice"?
Transitional justice encompasses a number of mechanisms that seek to allow post-conflict societies to deal with past atrocities in circumstances of radical change. However, two of these mechanisms, i.e. truth commissions and criminal processes, might clash if the former are combined with amnesties. This article examines the possibility of employing the Rome Statute's article 53 so as to allow these two mechanisms to operate in a complementary manner.
International humanitarian law and the challenges of contemporary armed conflicts
Document prepared by the International Committee of the Red Cross for the 30th International Conference of the Red Cross and Red Crescent, Geneva, Switzerland, 26–30 November 2007
National implementation of international humanitarian law – Biannual update, January to June 2007
Biannual update on national legislation and case law, January – June 2007
Books and articles (Autumn 2007)
Recent acquisitions of the Library & Research Service.


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