text:
Monday, April 18, 2011
Portfolio change
763 comments:
What is the rationale for selling more silver when you still believe the weekly cycle in silver has not topped, Gary?ReplyDelete
Thank you.
Today is a good example why to dump under-performing stocks. They get massacred on a market drop.ReplyDelete
Because we are now overdue for a correction and I may decide to deploy that capital into DITM calls to juice returns above and beyond AGQ.ReplyDelete
Hey we only get a C-wave finale about every 2-3 years so one has to play it for all it's worth :)
Ok Gary, that's it! I am going to ask my husband to take care of the kids for few days so that I can come to Vegas and learn about cycles!!ReplyDelete
Actually the better names (AG and EXK) are now getting hit vs. the laggards, but your statement is typically the case.
If gold continues down to closing, what number must it reach for cycle high to have been formed?ReplyDelete
HUI getting murdered...back to the trendline that it broke out of ...ReplyDelete
See I think stopping price just a hair under those big targets (1500 and 300 AGQ) was fascinating. Everyone was expecting those levels to take profits and now folks are staring at huge reversal candles wondering what to do.ReplyDelete
MR Miyagi,ReplyDelete
Gold made a new high today...can't form a swing high today..we're set up for one tomm
This is going to be a real ugly intraday reversal if we close down. Will be a great buying opportunity in a few days though. Congrats to those who sold the news this morning.ReplyDelete
You still have a core in silver or AGQ?
Nike Boy2008,ReplyDelete
Thanks, I went and re-read terminoligy.
Once again, a bull market will have only one correction that exceeds 10%. We had that correction last summer in the S&P 500. So unless we go below 1209ish, the market is just making a new base for the next move higher. We don't even have a lower low below 1249 yet and folks are calling for a bear market. Especially after some were calling for new highs just a few days ago. Talk about getting control of one's emotions. I don't trade fundamentals BTW. :)ReplyDelete
Gary and others,ReplyDelete
If one is looking to juice returns for the C wave, wouldn't silver futures be a choice?
DITM? Educate me please Gary.ReplyDelete
DITM = deep in the money...ReplyDelete
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Any targets on where SLV could bottom out at on a correction here?ReplyDelete
Are people feeling like a deer in headlights here?ReplyDelete
Just want to get the convo flowing as to what people are planning to do at this point?
Still holding old turk? Or unloading some and booking profits before the low?
Gary, can you elaborate as to why you wait for 5 min prior to close?
On my IB stock watchlist i see notice on AG "short sale restriction in effect from ..." and the date.ReplyDelete
Seen that on other miners on big down moves before. Is this some automatic stock market rule or how that happens?
New York: I did a lot of trimming last week (maybe more than I should have). Am now "eagerly" awaiting a correction so I can put all my money at risk. :)ReplyDelete
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What holds true for equities (topping on good news) will also hold for other assets(PMs). Gary, the question right now is when to get back in??ReplyDelete
One thing which might happen now is that the Congress will start making the right noises.
The US$ index is acting like a senile old geezer.ReplyDelete
Gary, why are you wating until a few minutes before the close today to make your move? Just like to hear your reasoning.ReplyDelete
PC: Yes still long. I only own AGQ now (sold virtually all my miners and SLW a good while ago into strength---got a little lucky to catch the highs) I have been afraid that we might be in the final blow-off stage and am so far ahead I thought I'd sit with about 30-40% of where I want to be in AGQ. Looking forward to the coming bottom.ReplyDelete
Gary is still expecting that we haven't seen the top of this cycle yet. The target was $1,500 on $Gold, maybe a little higher. That's why he is waiting to see if today's action is for real or a fake out. That's the way I interpret his thinking.ReplyDelete
To buy or not to buy...ReplyDelete
Patience, squirrel-san...ReplyDelete
not to buy of course.ReplyDelete
A big reversal in silver would likely mark the top. We won't know if we have actually reversed lower until we close. I will probably lighten up a little further as well. I think that's a fine thing for people to do IF they are willing to buy on strength if they/we miss the bottom. And IF they won;t get scared and fail to add at the bottom waiting for a "little but more of a decline." If you might balk at either of these, don't get so light that you will kick yourself if they take off again without you.ReplyDelete
Mr. Miyagi you crack me up..ReplyDelete
The weakness expected will be quite shallow, since the lower BB is rising fast, and the dollar is rallying hard as is... should be over by week's end, and will probably bottom in the 1440-1450 range.ReplyDelete
Long 6x. No changes.ReplyDelete
I still believe good chance we are in the runaway phase and that this week will end up strong.
slw pretty beaten up but AGQ is holding betterReplyDelete
If that's a dead-kitty bounce on the US$ index, it's going to need a cathedral ceiling.ReplyDelete
If you had read the weekend report you would know that the coil pattern should reverse to make a new high. It has failed. That's a bad sign.
If the market drops below the Japan bottom we will have a left translated a failed intermediate cycle. That is a sign of a bull market top.
This is why I don't depend on charts and why cycles work so much better. I will have spotted the bear market long before your charts tell you that you are in trouble.
The market has broken below the half cycle low. That is a bad sign. If I had money in the stock market (I don't) in an IRA I wouldn't be waiting around any longer.
We are now in the timing band for the secular bear to return. It's too risky to continue to hold this far into a cyclical bull market. The potential upside is too small and the downside risk to great especially with the market not acting like it should be if it were going higher.
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 7:56 AM
selling further into this small intraday bounce in the gold minersReplyDelete
For those who asked I have to wait till the end of day before I will know if the metals actually do form a reversal candle.ReplyDelete
Both SNP and HUI on target for a BB trade if this holds up!ReplyDelete
/DX screamin higher but no PM drop...?ReplyDelete
I am getting close to a buy signal on SLW. One more bad day ought to do it. If it comes anywhere near the timing band for a gold bottom I will be forced to buy it (can you see the gun at my head?) Heck, even on a reversion to mean basis it ought to rally having been so trashed. By the time something shows up on my buy screen it is very seriously overdone on the downside. It will bounce, I'll put in my break-even stop, and we'll see if it can get legs. For you option guys interested in taking a shot, it'd probably be a good call play. I will post if I get the buy on it.ReplyDelete
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I was looking at SLW and thinking along the same lines wanting to top off a couple of calls.
Mr. M---not yet though, I don't think.ReplyDelete
I would appreciate that signal. Thanks
No, my sacrificial trade has not been made yet! My finger is poised on the trigger though. It will be a very small amount of my equity if/when it is made.
Ideally, silver's weakness grows throughout today. I'll see where we are at the close.
DG, I am thinking $40 should hold on SLW. If it holds till the EOD, I am buying.ReplyDelete
The SPX essentially went straight up for 5 1/2 months. So far, all we are seeing is a healthy correction of that powerful move. The market is acting like it should. For us to continue higher, the market needs to load the bear boat again. I am mostly flat equities and will wait for confirmation the correction is over before entering new swing long positions. Selling pressure has not increased and buying pressure has also been muted. Classic sideways consolidation. Again, if we were to enter a bear here, critical levels will be broken and I would be ready to short the first powerful retrace. I absolutely will never front run a bear market. That's suicide.
Last time SLW went below 40$ was a month ago.ReplyDelete
Thanks again for your great, helpful posts. I enjoying following your trades and the reasons behind them, you are providing all of us with a great education.
Same goes for TZ, Alex, Poly and the other experienced traders.
You input, combined with Gary's premium content, has helped me to dramatically improve my PM investing returns over the past month.
March 18th to be exact.ReplyDelete
is GDX in a coil pattern?ReplyDelete
Gary: Unless I am misunderstanding something, when you say something like you said this morning: "The dollar cannot have bottomed yet because it hasn't formed swing low" you mean it hasn't finished the bottom formation series of prints. By definition the actual low must be lower then the point at which swing low is established because it's a rally that establishes the swing low. The dollar bottomed this past Thursday (that is, if you call the low the bottom). Today, I suppose, confirms it in retrospect. For myself, I'm glad I didn't wait to buy EUO. I have found I am usually not buying at the swing low signal and instead buying when I see what looks like an actual low print to me.ReplyDelete
DG or Mr miyagi,ReplyDelete
Would either of you wait for a swing high in gold before entering a position in SLW? Would a swing low be the final confirmation of a buy signal?
Silver seems pretty healthy ... despite stronger dollar and lower oil...what a market!!ReplyDelete
Michael: I myself usually don't pick prices. I find it is better to let the market tell me what to do. Gary is right, the obvious prices are usually violated to run the stops, get a little panic going, and then reverse higher. 40 of course could hold, but it may bottom at 41 or 39 just as easily in my view. If I had to pick a price I'd pick 38---the March bottom and where my buy would likely hit. If I get the buy and we are at 38 I will definitely buy it, but without my buy for me it's just a guess and not worth betting on.ReplyDelete
Gotta: My pleasure. Mail checks to...
Waiting for a little closer entry to the silver swing low, the final wave.
Can't time it perfectly but that's reality.
yes we have a swing on the dollar now so it is possible to have the bottom.
The market should not violate the half cycle low. If it violates the Japan bottom then this bull market is toast.
I think Beanie is out refinancing his house so he can keep holding his favorite group of semiconductor stocks. Man, I was short SMH at the top (36.50) but wasn't convinced enough to just hold it. Next time I might take fading Beanie more seriously. Dow 30,000 here we come! If we really are toast I look forward to shorting, but my primary attention and capital now is on getting the next gold daily cycle low. Once the C-wave ends we're going to have fun on the downside. Alex, I'm gonna get you short, my friend! They go down a lot faster than they go up.ReplyDelete
I think the bottom on the miners may be in. Could see a retest of those lows on further metal weakness.ReplyDelete
Love how Gary's triangle pattern is behaving. Intra-day dip under it but a close over 574 would be nice.
That dip also looked like a tag of the 50% retracement off the March to recent top move.
SIL resting on it's 50%. Zone under looks like good support.
SLW hit it's 78.6% number. Extremely oversold.
I'm starting to think about adding 1/2 my mining positions here and 1/2 at the confirmed low.
Those who play the miners I would love feedback
Not Beanie! Don't try to change the subject. :-)ReplyDelete
What would you look at to confirm the dollar's swing low making a bottom? This would modify the expectation of a touch/break of the prior low, right?
Thank you
You said earlier today that the stock market has broken below the half cycle low. Why couldn't today's low end up being the half cycle low? (And the 4/14 low was just one of several lows on the way down to the half cycle low.) Or, if we go lower tomorrow, then tomorrow's low could turn out to be the half cycle low?
Seems like we can't know for sure until we see what the market does from here. If today's low holds, then today's low will turn out to be the half cycle low, right?
Jayhawk, SLW could well be putting in an exhaustion candle right now. I am tempted to buy some calls here.ReplyDelete
In Demark land today, DXY is responding to its 1-4 Bar Buy Setup on Day #4. Kevin Depew in "Five Things you need to know: US Credit Downgraded by S&P" sez: "After all, did the S&P futures not just drop 10 points on 'news' of the S&P downgrade? Sure, but the long-term patterns of markets reveal in time that such apparent exogenous factors are a bit like gnats biting a buffalo. In my DeMark analysis, the US dollar needs a new low, below 72, and possibly even a move below 70, crossing the round to help foster more dire headlines and warnings. After that , it will be over."ReplyDelete
So, it appears that Depew is lining up more with Gary's chart from his weekend report, so DXY 72.5 may not be such a line in the sand after all. However, I don't agree with Gary's chart that DXY will probably not go back much more over 80 - if we're looking at the return of the bear, DXY pushed 90 two times in the last 3 years - at least give it that...
Depew also looks at silver again in his "market notes" of the Buzz and Banter. Not much new, but here goes:
DAILY: Minimum requirement for wave 5 up has been met, but we are only on Bar 4 of potential Sequential 13 Sell (minimum of 9 days) Next TD Absolute Retracement target up at 45.32
WEEKLY: Weekly has met minimum requirement for Wave 3 up as well. TD Sequential 13 Sell signal occurred the week of April 1, but the upward momentum continues.
MONTHLY: This month is bar 12 up of a potential TD Sequential SELL signal
QUARTERLY: This quarter is bar 8 up of a Sell Setup and bar 10 of a Sequential 13.
YEARLY: This is bar 9 of a Sell Setup which will record - 1-4 year downside reaction forthcoming
Depew reiterates that he is making sales this year because he believes the long period of metal outperformance is ending, but remains a long-term silver bull, especially versus gold.
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 8:58 AM
Please excuse me i may be missing some fundamental pont here, but if the dollar has posted a half cycle low and is now turning up shouldnt that put additional pressur eon spot gold which in turn would result in increased selling pressure on gold miners particularly those with the greatest spot exposureReplyDelete
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 9:03 AM
classic full moon action!ReplyDelete
nice drop in euro and stock market and copper, nice ramp by grains and precious
on April 19-20 in history: — Start of Revolutionary War
— Battle of San Jacinto
— Start of Civil War
— Start of Mexican-American War
— Start of Spanish-American War
— America abandoning the Gold Standard (not the Nixon one)
— Failure of Bay of Pigs Invasion
— End of Viet Nam War
— Largest battle of warships since WW II
— Explosion on USS Iowa
— The BP Oil Spill in Gulf of Mexico
ahain: I agree with you. I do not believe the miners have bottomed yet. Heck, silver has been down for only three hours! We ought to have at least a couple of days where the metal and the miners are both down, but we'll soon see.ReplyDelete
I thought that Gary was expecting 3$-6$ selloff on Silver, not 0.5$ selloff...If so, why is everybody trying to buy today??ReplyDelete
Shouldn't we wait for the daily cycle low in gold to form? If the miners hold their current lows while the metals dip down, that would be a positive divergence and a sign to get back in. Of course, they could always drop lower.
I don't think any here are adding SLV or GLD.
I am not buying! (yet :-)
I don't get the impression that folks are buying just yet. Some have looked at the miners and are salivating a bit.
I have to wonder about the metals, though. What will cause them to go down for more than a few hours (other than the climax top of the parabolic move)? So I wonder whether we will get a recognizable daily cycle low at all.
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 9:09 AM
DG, im waiting for the fear factor to kick in, it still looks a little too comfortable to be on the long side right now. Probably a good time to look for some cheap mining stocks. The question is given the C - wave, it would probably be better to pick outperformers rather than underperformers. If we were at teh start of teh move my preference would be underperformers, but at this late stage surely we have to stick with the Silver Wheatons. What do you think?ReplyDelete
I must have read something about strong support for SLW somewhere then...Thanks Miyagi-san, it makes more sense to me...ReplyDelete
I'm re-establishing my positions in the miners, I'm buying strong sell off days all the way down.ReplyDelete
SLW is way over sold.
Miners may have sniffed out the daily cycle top and they may sniff out the low. I'm looking for a very strong rebound the final daily cycle in the miners and for them to lead up out of the correction.
I see limited downside here for many of the tickers I follow so I added a % of my target allocation.
got it PC! thanksReplyDelete
One issue that was on the table in August's runup, yet has not been mentioned here at all by Gary, is the potential of a runaway move developing.ReplyDelete
I am not touching anything...Tried a small long on NSQ and barely broke even, so will wait for another day to touch anything of my positionReplyDelete
Gary what are DITM calls??ReplyDelete
Deep In The Money calls.ReplyDelete
Sophia: I have no idea why people are buying today, but I assure you it's not "everybody." SB waits for weakness as do I. I bet neither Poly nor Alex are buying today either. One of the great things about this board is that you slowly find the people you want to emulate. Poly's SPY purchase last week helped nudge me into buying as well. [I hope he sold when I did though ;-) ]ReplyDelete
dumamae - if you have to ask, you're not ready to buy options.ReplyDelete
that said, it's never too late to learn. there are many free options tutorials available out there. gary also discusses his particular options strategies on the subscriber site.
As in the stock is 50$ and you buy 42$ calls. A 48/49$ call would be in the money. A 51$ call is out of the money. A 60$ call expiring within a month is a lottery.ReplyDelete
I agree with you that considering the price action, I would not touch it, but there are so many comments talking about itchy fingers that it makes me wonder...ReplyDelete
ahain: For myself I am sticking with AGQ and SLW if I get my buy on it. I will post other names if/when they show up on my screen. The which is better, and underperformer or overperformer is a good question. I'm afraid it's one of those things I do by feel at the time. Either can work well.ReplyDelete
I'm not buying yet either. However I do remember Jayhawk was among the few who bought AGQ not to long ago at 130 as it bounced off the 150dma. I know enough to know I really am not good at this so I will just wait for Gary to add his options on SLV, that will be close enough to the bottom for me.
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 9:28 AM
DG. Effective Volume may help with the stock picking. More here www.effectivevolume.eu Im not plugging its not my site and they charge however at monest.net http://www.monest.net/charts/ they have a free charting package they have a free online charting tool where you can select these EV indicators. Fundamentals, relative strength dont work, the EV tool helps me to see where big money (big volume) is placing their bets.ReplyDelete
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 9:31 AM
Just to add, right now the Large Players EV indicator is diverging with GLD, showing large players have been selling since 11 AprilReplyDelete
ahain: Thanks. I have been meaning to put more energy into studying volume, but I keep not doing it so I guess I am not interested in opening up a new area of study for myself. Too old I guess. I mostly spend time looking for my dentures. (That's a joke, by the way. I played eight hours of volleyball this weekend, so no wheel chair for me quite yet.)ReplyDelete
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 9:40 AM
Wow, 8 hours. I spent 8 hrs digging a trench for hedging. Luckily my fingers are the only part of my body i can still move without too much discomfort.ReplyDelete
Just as a side note, Goldmans report tomorrow, some of teh financials are looking strong. We could see the equities take off here led by financials which could add to the gold argument (weakness)
ps Goldmans looks like its being bought
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 9:42 AM
So on a gap down tomorrow would be a good buying point. (ill go back into my hole now)ReplyDelete
What miners are you buying?
I see AG and EXK are both up 5-6% from today's low.
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that monest.net charting site is pretty nifty, thanks for the link!ReplyDelete
still long SPY, would have to see a close below the march 23rd pivot (/es 1278) to dissuade me.
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 9:57 AM
St D. You're welcomeReplyDelete
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 10:09 AM
St. L, nice to see ya. Good trip?ReplyDelete
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Check out the latest post on a subject most do not appreciate
A peak under the hood,ReplyDelete
Wasn't this story reported a few days ago on ZH? I remember reading it
Those 2 and SLW I picked up today. But remember I was looking to build back a position after over scaling out. Of course we will go down further and I will just keep averaging in on the way down this daily cycle low. I can't afford to be hand sitting if this thing decides to do what TZ thinks. (runaway)
This kind of reminds me of the QE2 announcement day on Nov 3rd. Deep into the intermediate cycle, gold and silver looked very stretched, people calling for a corrections, "sell the news", was going on. The day looked like a sell the news event, but the reversed the losses and then we went on to launch to new highs over the coming days/weeks.
I'm holding SLV and SLW cals, just waiting for the drop to finalize purchases.
If it doesn't materialize for some unprecedented reason, I'm placed to make money.
Today's action started off great but is getting a little frustrating. Sure hope we finish down otherwise this could very well be a runaway move and we simply continue higher tomorrow.ReplyDelete
May be forced to buy back what I sold early this morning.
Shalom Bernanke (and he should correct me if I'm wrong) said he was looking to buy miners if the .HUI got down to 565. Well, it bounced smartly off 566 this morning.ReplyDelete
I'm not messing with miners much (90% AGQ with some NUGT and SLW calls) but those who are should be interested in that.
I thought this is all about the $, which looks like it's putting in a solid swing low today. Or are we still concerned about PM decoupling w/ $??ReplyDelete
nice tails on everything todayReplyDelete
fake bounce or bottom (runaway move). this week promises to be very interesting :)
thank you for willing to post the SLW buy signal when you get it
I was thinking of buying some SLW warrants at the daily cycle low. Have you had any experience with warrants?
1294 low on spx is 50% of 1249-1339ReplyDelete
also left shoulder is also 1294.
now right shoulder also 1294.
I know this blog hardly cares for spx. but i think we get good PM results when spx up or at least not down much.
I wish more people like TZ were calling for a runaway move..hahaReplyDelete
when everyone out there is expecting a correction (despite the sentiment),a run-away move sure seems possible (like TZ was mentioning) followed by a 25% drop in one day
wish Gary was the only one expecting a correction...unfortunately, the whole blogosphere is looking for one
The argument has been that a rising dollar should bring down the PM but as we can see, in the past 2 days the PMs have risen alongside the dollar so it isn't perfectly negatively correlated. Plus in the past, the two have risen together for extended periods of time. Only time will tell as always....ReplyDelete
I too am looking at PM's seeming strength in the face of hearty increase in $$.ReplyDelete
Is it too soon to say the inverse relationship is looking suspect?
Rob L,ReplyDelete
No, I try to keep it simple, stocks and options. I rarely short as well.
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Miners and metals got rocked in Jan in the face of a falling dollar.ReplyDelete
If a three year low is in front of us on the dollar, we could see a sideways correction in gold and silver and then huge launch.
if SLW closes flat or green, I will buy at EOD (for a quick trade)...SLW has one LONG tail to ignoreReplyDelete
Picture perfect tag of SLW 78.6 level with a HUGE tail in that hammer. Also that 40 EMA looks to be holding!ReplyDelete
BOy AGQ has been volatile today. Easy to see why Gary is waiting until the close to make a determination.ReplyDelete
You're correct, that level sounds good, but remember price levels are secondary to price action (direction) in my trading.
What I mean is that when miners were acting well and in tandem with the metals, I would jump all over the 565 HUI level, as well as not selling anything. However, last week forced me to dump my positions because of the divergence, with my holdings exhibiting relative weakness except for 2 positions.
Today is showing this again, with silver up and most miners getting hit. I'd be happy with these prices, but only if miners can get in gear with the metals. Since I'd like to see this happen for a few days, I have not jumped in as yet.
I'll be back in the miners no doubt, but it'll also be for shorter hold times (like 1-2 weeks per trade) now that we're later in the C-wave and I'm seeing sloppy divergences.
I'll be sure to post when and what I buy, but for now am waiting for clarity.
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I know this is usually not how cycles work, but what do people expect as a catalyst to get some sellers in the PM market? I know that Gary always talks about overbought conditions and sentiment, but what do you think it will take to get some selling momentum in PMs this time. I assumed an agressive move in the dollar would encourage some selling, but it looks like investors are still holding strong and there are plenty of buyers stepping in at these levels. Is this a rotation from institutional to weaker retail hands, which is forming a base for panic selling if/when prices start to move lower?
gold silver troll,ReplyDelete
Could you explain what a tail is?
Thank you.
That means buyer are coming in strong on that dip.
This strength in the metals is quite something. Each dip is being bought. Gold is forming another micro ascending triangle which if it breaks out will take it to the 1518 range.ReplyDelete
However the sentiment here can be described as nervously bearish for the very short term as it has been since last Monday.
The question still is - are we on day 24 or day 4 or a runaway move?
While, we can still have a 28 day cycle with a decline in the next 4 days, everyone here seems to have already sold and are antsy to buy back. So we are early as we expect to be, but with everyone wanting to buy back, I doubt we will get that multi day dramatic decline. 36 seems way too far from here.
Were you guys expecting S&P to downgrade the United States today? I sure wasn't and I'm a hard core PM guy who reads and listens to everything. Now think about how the market is going to digest this news...Go long USD or bonds? Long stocks? Where's the money gonna go?ReplyDelete
Hint-one is yellow, one is white.
If the miners close near the highs of the day and form long tails today, its very bullish. However, I doubt they will go up in front of a decline in metals.ReplyDelete
Either this is just a head fake in the miners, or they are indicating metals will continue to go up.
Best strategy is hold a bunch and keep some cash for the dip.ReplyDelete
The rotation into metals today makes sense to me. What surprises me is the strength in the dollar.
I was thinking that we'd get the dollar bounce this week, and that would be the "catalyst" for the smart money to take profits. That's why I'm wondering if people jumping on board now are the weaker hands which will be dumping at the first sign of a move down.
I agree with Gary's early point that the likely top will come when everyone can't stand the pain of being out, so I'm wondering if this is the final panic into the market. Judging by some of the comments on the board today, it seems like even the "informed" group here is being tempted to jump back in.
The FED could have been ready for this announcement ahead of time and they could be the ones buying dollars bending the scenes to prevent a panic sell off.ReplyDelete
I think that the dollar strength today is more a function of euro weakness, so we're currently the tallest....um, "little person" in the room. I should have clarified and stated that I'm surprised by the corresponding dollar and PM strength together. I guess that I was hopeful that the dollar bounce would be the catalyst for the anticipated correction in the metals. I guess a little more patience is warranted to see how this thing plays out over the next week or so.ReplyDelete
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 12:10 PM
I am seeing a lot of bear flags on the miners that have broken down today; SIL, SLW, GDXJ, AG, GDX.ReplyDelete
I would imagine more downward pressure to come this week.
Usually these moves like we see with SLV this "porpoise nose" pattern is smart money exiting. I hedged further today.ReplyDelete
james r,ReplyDelete
I see a break down from a bear flag in GDXJ, but no bear flag in GDX.
To your earlier comment, courtesy of ZH:
The Reason For Geithner's Weekend Media Whirlwind Tour: White House Learned About S&P Downgrade On Friday
And for the most unsurprising news of the day, Reuters reports that the White House has admitted it knew about the S&P rating action on Friday. Which means that all the key bond buyers (or sellers are the case may be, Pimco), knew at roughly the same time what the key market catalyst on Monday would be (we can't wait to get a declassified glimpse of Larry Meyer's phone log over the weekend one day in the future). Which also means that today's action was a strawman in which the big boys merely waited for an opportunity to buy bonds are lower prices, which the ongoing European collapse merely facilitated.
Bob" What's a "porpoise nose" chart pattern?ReplyDelete
Are you saying the system is corrupt? Unpossible.
>The FED could have been ready for this announcement ahead of time and they could be the ones buying dollars bending the scenes to prevent a panic sell off.ReplyDelete
The white house admitted of knowing about the downgrade on friday. Which means the fed and all the 'boys' in NY knew it as well.
They were ready and slammed down everything afterward (as well as Moody's coming out and saying they thought everything was fine and the US was is good fiscal shape.)
Same manipulation games.
(You can track the stories on zerohedge if you want.)
You guys wanna see a hammer formation? Check out ABX.ReplyDelete
Hanging man on AGQ...
Huge Silver Volume day. Second highest this year anyway.ReplyDelete
DG, it is when you get a first hour spike on a position and then it rolls over lower, tracing out a porpoise nose. Typically signals weakness in coming days.ReplyDelete
essentially a credit downgrade means that our nation is (in the eyes of S&Ps) one step closer to default. a nation defaulting on it's debt is one of the most deflationary events that can happen. it is a massive collapse in the supply of money and credit, and we know that fewer dollars chasing the same amount of goods = lower prices and thus the market buying dollars on a day like today make sense. simple as supply falls, demand rises.
however, when you have the fed trying to fight this cycle by infusing the banks with cash, you first get all this debt washed away by default, followed by hyperinflation almost over night.
this currently is the path we are on, which why metals in the long run are the smartest choice. however dollar waves of dollar strength does play nicely into my theory.
Too funny CMT.ReplyDelete
If you look at Pimpco's holdings prior to Fed announcements, they have perfectly frontrun both QE1 (bought MBS) and QE2 (bought 2-10yr. treasuries). They did so with considerable leverage to, which Pimco usually doesn't do. It's too bad that they have 45 days to file their SEC documents, or you'd be able know exactly what the Fed was planning to do in advance.
The buying is relentless.ReplyDelete
Can you imagine the panic selling with a 3$ drop?
After that, you have to wonder how many will have cold feet to jump back in and how many more will pour cash in because they're convinced it will climb forever.
If it is the smart money trying to exit, they have an overhang in the 1496-1498 range. Thats the top of the ascending triangle I mentioned earlier. It continues toward its apex with 5 attempts and an ongoing march for a sixth attempt. With so many attempts, its likely to overcome that resistance and go above 1500 toward 1518.
If it does break out, I am not sure its smart money thats selling here. They make come in later though. Also no GLD on SoS list, SLV is #6 with 9.8M and 6.7M block trades.
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 12:26 PM
AGQ way up on the BBReplyDelete
1) This is week # 5- highest probability for a cycle top.ReplyDelete
2) Also April 26th (next Tuesday) is Metals Options Expiration. Furthermore, my understanding is that it may till Thursday of next week for options to clear out (per James Turk mentioning during last month's expiration).
So we have quite a while for volatility to calm down...top may not be this week necessarily
YLD, you may be right, but I have a lot of profitable options that I am protecting / taking profit on. The last daily cycle low ripped the premiums from the options, and with us so late in the cycle on a low volume week, my suspicion is smart money is selling today to enjoy their Seders and Easter breaks.ReplyDelete
High volume today, as well.
AGQ charts and action are meaningless. Its merely a follower to SLV. You need to look at SLV charts and action even if you are trading AGQ.ReplyDelete
I am starting to think about these two possibilities:ReplyDelete
1) We have a runaway move in gold and silver, or
2) The daily cycle low already came and went, and it occurred on April 12.
If #2 is in play, then we are only on day 5 of the new cycle.
The reason I came up with those possibilities is that today would have been a perfect day to begin the move down into the daily cycle low. Strong dollar rally and we're very late in the cycle.ReplyDelete
Because it has not happened--instead gold and silver look like they will close on their highs--that leads me to believe it's not going to happen.
In that case, BLH, I agree with your action. I don't like the drops in the premiums either and got out of all options over the past three weeks. I am now scaling in with futures only.ReplyDelete
Bob: Thanks. I'd have thought a close at the highs would invalidate the reversal from the first hour spike.ReplyDelete
Re gold: Interesting. Another decent up day tomorrow and I will probably get a sell on gold. The only other one I have gotten this year was on 4/8---the day of the recent high before that pretty stiff two day drop. (the previous one was at the top in November) This would also fit with gold poking its nose about 1500. Maybe today's recovery will suck in the last of the "it's never going down again" crowd. Waiting...waiting...
It is possible......
I just rolled over the 50% ytd return mark... thanks Gary!ReplyDelete
Thank you for the link.
There's one other possibility:ReplyDelete
Next week is Last Notice Day for gold and silver futures (April 27). Seems like every month around this day gold and silver get hammered. So maybe the take down will happen early next week.
But the behavior today would suggest that whatever move down we get next week (if any), it won't be much.
I agree that its a higher probability (60%?) that a runaway move or a new cycle is underway and have been saying it the past 3 days. However, as I posted earlier today, we still have 4 days in which to have a decline. It may not be a large decline, but the daily cycle low can still happen this week. I leave it up to cycle specialists to call it when they see it.
I know we have seen day after day after day of gains on gold & silver but my gut tells me that it will go down. Unlike my gut, which needs a few situps and some cycling to retreat.ReplyDelete
what about the possible-portfolio-change Gary?ReplyDelete
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 12:52 PM
These hammers are most amateurish. Infact closes in the green only reinforces the selling on strength that my tape reading is confirming. Even a gap up tomorrow would be a great point to exit longs.ReplyDelete
So we are just about to the point where Gary said he might sell some ... Do we have the indicator he was looking for? I don't know enough about the charts to see for myself.ReplyDelete
A "tail" refers to the way a candle on a candlestick chart looks on a day like today. If you look at today's candle or gold, silver, or some of the miners, you'll see the body of the candle near the top and it's small. Below the body is a long wick or "tail".
(Not sure where the "tail" terminology came from but it's widely used. They are candlestick, so the part outside the body--above and below--should be called wicks. But few people call them that.)
Gotta: No. We needed to close down for Gary to sell a little more and we aren't going to.ReplyDelete
I doubt very much Gary will be selling. We don't have a reversal candle on the daily.
I don't have live charts - so anyone, please, indicate if we do in fact have that reading Gary indicated!ReplyDelete
All: I am away again for a couple of days, but I will try to post if/when I get that sell in gold.ReplyDelete
We will miss you!
Please keep us posted, I like to follow your trades.
Your much more experienced at this than am I, but isn't this the type of action that you would be expecting before a "scary" correction. If we need to have overbought conditions and extreme bullish sentiment, then I would think that we'd need this final "it's not going down" sentiment. Judging by the comments on this board, people were far too complacent and willing to wait last week, while now people are getting concerned that it's running away without us. My gut says that once everyone here concludes that we have a runaway market, well that's about the time it will roll over.
Oh, never mind - I just read the last posts. Goodnight from England lads and lassesReplyDelete
SLV is on the SoS list today, but not a huge number and the number in the block trades column is less than half of the total.
What's missing from the SoS list is GLD and miners.
Can someone please elaborate what the reliability of reversal candle may be & how Gary's play: selling 10 pcnt more AGQ and replacing those with DITM calls ( in what?) would juice his returns? This must be overly tricky / risky/ complicated or all of those, for newbies.....? Would same logic hold: lighten up on AGQ and buy back more after dip? THANK$ReplyDelete
I did my small "sacrificial" AGQ purchase a minute ago. Now we can maybe awake to a healthy gap down...heh heh.
This comment has been removed by the author.ReplyDelete
Makes sense. Maybe next week will let enough time pass to get everyone on board the not-gonna-get-a-correction bus and then we tank, just in time for Last Notice Day.
Silver back near all time highs, but no breakout for Gold from the ascending triangle...we have to wait to see the result after regular hours. Very low volumes compared to the first third of the trading session though.ReplyDelete
Matrix, my guess is Gary has discovered as I did that a big AGQ position takes a lot of capital and you can invest just as heavily with calls for a lot less money in SLV or maybe another instrument.ReplyDelete
Gary is unloading AGQ because;
1) He's made a ton of profit on it and
2) The volatility and spread as we get closer to the C-Wave burst will be quite high.
It is my understanding that he will purchase SLV calls.
Some brokers give you live data if you have an account with them. Think or Swim does. I use TOS and I'm very happy with their charting package.
The ideal would be to sell AGQ and then buy SLV calls with silver at a lower price than where it was when you sold AGQ.
For the same money that you spend on 100 shares of AGQ, you can buy 30 DITM SLV calls! Talk about leverage!!
I would be surprised if Gary goes anywhere near that kind of leverage. But with his small reduction in his AGQ position, he might take those funds and lever it 10 to 1 in SLV. AGQ is 2 to 1 over SLV, so having a small part of his AGQ funds working at 10 to 1 (or some number greater than 2 to 1) will give him a little more leverage without having to increase his margin.
I'm just playing devils advocate here, and concede that your two scenarios are very possible...even probable. I'm just hopeful that we aren't seeing the final run.
Thanks Catbird,ReplyDelete
I've been waiting patiently, the last few days for you to do this...
- AnonymousApril 18, 2011 at 1:23 PM
thanks, i dont follow those WSJ numbers, but i appreciate the angle. Could be one to watch in the future.
I guess that the market is playing with us...Once we will stop looking for a correction it will hit us....ReplyDelete
nope - didn't buy SLW. I wanted it to close flat/greenReplyDelete
What indicators do you use that tell you distribution in GLD and SLV is taking place?
I keep trying to figure out price levels that would freak out weak hands. Since gold is the driver of the whole PM sector, this chart by Dan Norcini is appropos:ReplyDelete
Seems to me if gold dipped down below $1480 it would run a lot of stops. It wouldn't bounce off 1480, of course, it would probably get to $1474 or something, just to really make people nervous.
Then we could see it rocket to $1500 in the overnight, and the final leg of the C wave would be underway. Skeptics would think "oh, well, it broke $1500, a nice round number, so that's the top." Or maybe "oh, it finally broke $1500, it needs to take a breather for a few weeks." But it would just go vertical from there, leaving them to chase.
Just one narrative.
Thank you, Catbird!ReplyDelete
I tried to do my part by following Jayhawk into miners -- 20% total -- but just couldn't bring myself to sidle up next to AGQ at highs of the day.
(I did dream of descending elevators last night. Seemed only to hold for a few hours, though. Perhaps I can work toward skydiving tonight?)
Hilson Indicator update. (My PM buddy who flips out near bottoms and starts sending me irate emails. The strongest I've seen this indicator is when he is ready to sell all his metals as well. I'll keep you abreast.) :)ReplyDelete
Just got these 2 emails from him-
1. selling half of SIL at 30
have had enough with "stocks"
totally f-ing rigged.......
2. it's so unbelievably obvious that the pig bankers are shorting
the mining etfs and not the individual stocks!!
SIL down more than SLW and SVM
You enjoy spending time with this guy?
He's a business partner, I've never met him live, but actually a good guy. Just a bit emotional, East Coast high strung type!ReplyDelete
Anyone know how to get a long term futures chart in IB that strings the expiring contracts? So, for example, a two year chart for GC or SIReplyDelete
LOL!! That is amazing, dude.
Thats funny. Time to buy SIL, I guess. And hey, you did buy miners today.
Added just a handful of SLW, thought about GDX but in the end I was playing a video game and let it slide.ReplyDelete
Que sera sera, down day tomorrow I will buy, up day, I got other stuff.
If this is a runaway move then we've only got a few days to a couple weeks before the D-wave hits IMO. I will be looking for entry points for shorts within a week if we keep storming higher like this, with a top somewhere just under 50.ReplyDelete
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subset: commoncrawl


text:
Let the wasteland rejoice and bloom'
We begin our Lenten journey on ASH WEDNESDAY by having our heads marked with ashes made from the burned palm crosses blessed the year before.
Ashes are a sign of our penance, the sorrow for our sins and a commitment to believe the gospel, praying that the same Spirit who led Jesus into the desert will lead us through Lent. Marked with a cross of ashes may we come to the tree of glory.
We prune our lives of all that is unnecessary: embracing fasting, that through the fruits of our sacrifice we will bring comfort and aid to others.
May the prophecy of Isaiah be true for us: "Let the desert and the dry lands be glad, let the wasteland rejoice and bloom, let it burst into flower, let it rejoice and sing for joy' (Isaiah 35:1-2)
As we begin our Lenten journey we turn to the Lord in a corporate act of penitence, acknowledging our need for his forgiveness and love, his grace and strength.
As we set our faces toward the paschal celebration of Christ's saving death and resurrection, we pray that we may use the season of Lent as a favourable time of preparation, a time of sacrifice and fasting, a time of reconciliation and service of our neighbour, so that reconciled with God and one another, we may embrace the gospel of Christ and rejoice in his Passover Feast.
Turn away from sin and be faithful to the Gospel
It is a custom, known from as early as the tenth century, that ashes are used as a sign or mark of our repentance: a physical, symbolic gesture of sorrow for our sins and our need for God's loving forgiveness. The ashes used today come from the branches blessed the preceding year for Palm Sunday.
In the Bible, when people turn away from sin there is that mention of 'sackcloth and ashes. ' Ashes are a sign of penitence and purification. It may seem a rather absurd thing to do—to place ashes on our head. Most people would prefer to apply some kind of substance that beautifies or makes us look younger! The ashes remind us both of the ugliness of sin, and is a commitment to the gospel of Christ.


text:
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text:
Monday, February 1, 2010
It's been three days- come on!
Yes.. all sarcasm, ooh's, and cheekiness included!
But that's what I experienced a couple of evenings ago. Life has been busier with impending deadline at work! So stress aside, i was really enjoying any moment away from the computer! Which also turned up implying... no facebook? Besides going on FB from my blackberry during the elevator in between meetings or nature calls! I just did not have the time!
At home, my limited evenings were spent with V and daily stuff and then I wanted to be the farthest away from a thing called: Computer/Laptop/Netbook/iPad and all variations of technology. TV is fine, thank you very much!
The fourth day... however, I wanted to relax, read a few of favorite blogs, comment, check up the latest shoes, stories and the like! And oh yes, by all means check FB! But to get a computer at home, meant engaging two grown up men in the war of "Give me the laptop! You have been on it for XXX" With two laptops and three adults active on the lovely machine, well.. besides snatching it away.. there is little you could do! As I put forth all lame arguments to the "machine hoggers"...every thing fell on deaf ears.. and then I used the 'bhramastra'..or the magic words: "I haven't checked FB in THREE days, come on!"
A fit of laughter ensued, a couple of disapproving head nods, and the looks exchange between the boys! And I was red faced! These two guys- mind you.. are not FB people! One is on FB but barely logging on.....and other refuses to acknowledge its existence!
But with this, I finally got the machine! Super excited, since I thought I would be on it for at least a couple of hours! It's been 3 days, come on!
But... all my checking, replying to my wall, updating others.. and re-connecting and seeing tagged pictures and albums.. and ensuring "All Izz Well" was done.. I was done in 15 minutes! Here goes my couple of hours plan. I thought!
Of course, I was in no mood to return the laptop to the machine hogs.. so I wrote this blog! ;-) In the process, I made a realization.
If I did have the time during the week- I would have been on FB everyday say, for 15 minutes... So for four days = 60 minutes. But I got the same stuff accomplished in 15 minutes. Implies in one fourth the time!
Now, Only IF I could use a similar formula to make my work for impending deadline get accomplished in 1/4th of the time and effort~
Anyways, I said to myself.. let go a little! Let me cure myself of this addiction - the FB kind of addiction! And 'Live a little'. All the self assurances lasted one full day- 24 hours!
I just got my own swanky machine (Yippiee!)... so now we have three adults, three machines and well no more arguing over whose task is more important. Last night, as I on my new superfast machine, checked news, and other stuff.. I kept trying not to type 'www.facebook.com' But alas, my fingers were not listening to my mind! It was really not my fault, before I knew it, I was back on it! Damn... so now I ask for help.. "FB anonymous" anyone? Hello......... Any takers??
PS: It just might be a good business proposition as well... VC's any one wants to invest in 'FB Anonymous" ?
5 comments:
- rashmi said...
I m the only creature left on this planet earth..who doesnt have account on FB..I m trying my level best to keep myself away from it.blogging itself is so time consuming :-)
One more addiction mean.i need to resign from jon :-) :-) :-)
Congrats for new machine :-)
- February 5, 2010 at 8:10 AM
- Priyanka Rajkhowa said...
LOL...good one :-))...can so completely identify with your statement about making a resolution not to type www.facebook.com for a while...and breaking it the very next moment...a serious addiction it surely is and a time consuming one at that :-((!!!
- February 5, 2010 at 12:55 PM
- Lakshmi said...
Your math makes perfect sense...Our laptop is in service for a week now, and in fact I am spending my time more efficiently ;)
- February 6, 2010 at 9:59 PM
- GNSD said...
@Rashmi... come on.. get with it. FB is great for re-connection.. and really bad for addiction!
@ Priyank.... partners in crime what can i say.. but considering how much you are snowed in.. enjoy FB.. :-)
@ Lakshmi...now wonder your posts were infrequent.. get the machine back already now! Missing your writing.
- February 8, 2010 at 9:58 AM
- Prutha said...
fyi, i think there already is a fb anonymous...but its on fb!! ... lol
- February 9, 2010 at 11:23 PM


text:
How wonderful it is to know that as we celebrate the birth of our Lord Jesus Christ, we still worship the Living Lord, our Saviour, Jesus!
This same Jesus is still impacting the lives of men, women and children.
The Church of Christ, Bribie Island, wishes you the joy and blessings of the Christmas Season.


text:
Michel Platini has confirmed that he is abandoning his bid to become the next FIFA president.
This comes weeks after the Frenchman was banned from the game for eight years alongside Sepp Blatter by FIFA's ethics committee over a conflict of interest regarding a £1.35million payment.
"I withdraw my candidacy," Platini told French newspaper L'Equipe.
"I can no longer (go through with it). I have neither the time, nor the means to go and see the voters, to meet people, and to fight with others."
Platini, the head of UEFA, is appealing the ban, insisting he has done no wrong, but has conceded that the February 26 deadline for the FIFA presidential elections is too close and therefore renders his candidacy impossible.
The 60-year-old said he had originally received 150 declarations of support when he announced his candidacy.
The former Juventus man announced his appeal against the eight-year ban last month .
"The decision is no surprise to me: the procedure initiated against me by FIFA's ethics committee is a pure masquerade," he said in a statement.
"It has been rigged to tarnish my name by bodies I know well and who for me are bereft of all credibility or legitimacy.
"I will fight this to the end."


text:
SEATTLE — For a while, junior forward Dominic Green was lost in the Washington men's basketball team's resurgence.
Green was granted minutes early in the season with first-year basketball coach Mike Hopkins still getting a feel for his roster. By December, it appeared Green was going to be the odd man out. He went from averaging 22 minutes in UW's first seven games to playing less than 11 minutes while also being benched for two contests over a six-game period by late December.
Then the Huskies (15-6, 5-3 Pac-12) began conference play.
Green has played more than 11 minutes in all but two of the Huskies' conference games. He's become a dead-eye 3-point shooter who uses his slender 6-foot-6, 190-pound frame to be the linchpin of Hopkins' 2-3 zone when called upon.
"I think it just helps bring momentum to the game. That's what I try to do when I come in," Green said. "Somebody told me once, 'You only get one chance to make one,' so, I just go by that every time I come in.
"Sometimes, when I see that we're in a scoring drought, I come off the bench and try to have a spark and try to help out the team."
Hopkins and UW saw what Green could do against Pac-12 opponents in a conference-opening 88-81 win Dec. 29 at USC.
Green went 6-for-7 from the field and 4-for-5 from 3 for 16 points in 23 minutes.
The last four games have reinforced why Green plays an important part in the Huskies' setup. He's hitting 43 percent of his 3-pointers all while averaging more than 20 minutes in that span.
In UW's last game, a 80-62 win over Washington State, Green hit three consecutive 3-pointers near the end of the first half that helped put the game out of reach.
As a whole, Green is shooting a blistering 53.8 percent from 3-point range in Pac-12 play.
"You can see it in our opponents faces," Huskies junior guard Matisse Thybulle said. "When he starts (making) 3s, they just get deflated. Like, 'What are we supposed to do?' It just seems like you can't stop it."
Green's offense is welcomed given there have been times when the Huskies have struggled to score.
His defensive contributions, as Hopkins and Thybulle each pointed out, are also valuable.
The defensive-minded former Syracuse assistant said Green was the team's best defensive forward when the year began.
"He kind of got away from that," Hopkins said. "But he's active, he works hard, he's got great length. Part of that is not just defending the 3-pointer but its also rebounding. It's been a focus for us.
"Those are areas I think he's been showing improvement in."
Green gets around 2.3 rebounds per game but does more than just occupy the paint when called upon.
Part of UW's success this season has come from how it can slow an opposing offense in the second half.
A year ago, teams were shooting 41.9 percent in the final half against the Huskies. It might not sound high, but it was in the lower fifth of college basketball.
Washington is limiting teams to 37.5 percent in the second half and that's good enough for 148th out of 351 Division I programs.
In the last three games alone, opponents are shooting 34 percent against the Huskies.
Green might not have Thybulle's defensive statistics, but he possess an unsung yet extremely important role within the zone.
"If you look at every game and every position that he's in, he's either moving the most or talking the most," said Thybulle, who is third nationally with an average of 3.0 steals per game. "Those are among the most valuable traits of anyone on defense. I know he helps me a lot when I'm on top of the zone just because I cannot see what is going on behind me.
"But I got him telling me everything that's going on."
Green, who is from Renton, initially signed with Arizona State out of high school. A few months after he signed, Green was released from his letter of intent after the Sun Devils fired then-coach Herb Sendek.
The former three-star prospect chose to return home and play for the Huskies.
In that time, Green went from from averaging 11.3 minutes and shooting 27.7 percent from 3-point range in his first season to becoming one of the Huskies' most versatile options off the bench.
"I think from (the start of this season) I was over-thinking everything. I was doing too much," Green said. "But now? I'm just doing what I do best and that's keeping it simple."


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"Black Mass is a 2015 American biographical crime drama film directed by Scott Cooper and written by Mark Mallouk and Jez Butterworth, based on the 2001 book Black Mass: The True Story of an Unholy Alliance Between the FBI and the Irish Mob by Dick Lehr and Gerard O'Neill. The film has an ensemble cast including Johnny Depp, Joel Edgerton, Benedict Cumberbatch, Kevin Bacon, Jesse Plemons, Peter Sarsgaard, Rory Cochrane, Adam Scott, Dakota Johnson, and Corey Stoll.
The film follows the criminal career of infamous Irish-American mobster Whitey Bulger (Depp). Principal photography of the film began on May 19, 2014 in Boston, and wrapped on August 1, 2014. It had its world premiere at the 72nd Venice International Film Festival. The film was released by Warner Bros. worldwide on September 18, 2015."
The film follows the criminal career of infamous Irish-American mobster Whitey Bulger (Depp). Principal photography of the film began on May 19, 2014 in Boston, and wrapped on August 1, 2014. It had its world premiere at the 72nd Venice International Film Festival. The film was released by Warner Bros. worldwide on September 18, 2015."
Sinopsis / Summary / Plot / Resensi / Ringkasan Cerita / Reviu:
"In 1975, James ""Whitey"" Bulger, leader of the Irish-American Winter Hill Gang, controls most organized crime within South Boston, along with his right-hand man Stephen Flemmi, newcomer Kevin Weeks, and callous hitman Johnny Martorano. Bulger lives with common-law wife Lindsey Cyr and their young son Douglas.
Bulger's supremacy is challenged by the North End Angiulo Brothers, a rival gang, part of the New England Mafia family. FBI agent John Connolly returns to the area – he grew up in South Boston as a friend of Whitey and his brother William ""Billy"" Bulger, the Massachusetts State Senate President. Connolly tries infiltrating the Angiulo Brothers, and attempts to get Whitey to work with the FBI. Although Whitey hates the idea of being a rat, he understands the protection he would have for himself, his gang, and his family. When the Angiulo Brothers murder a Winter Hill member, Whitey becomes an informant.
Although Connolly is supported by his co-worker John Morris, their boss, Charles McGuire, is suspicious. Whitey increasingly exploits the FBI informant relationship, using Connolly's ""protection"" as a cover for his crimes. Connolly demands information on the Angiulos' racketeering locations. Finally, Whitey gets pictures of the rival gang's hideouts, allowing the FBI to wiretap the Angiulos. The FBI arrests them, thus eliminating underground opposition to Whitey's power. Connolly, blinded by his past, grows closer to Whitey and the gang, even inviting them to his house for a cookout. His wife, Marianne, sees negative changes in her husband as his agent-informant relationship with Whitey grows.
Cut out of an embezzlement scheme from World Jai Alai, Whitey orders Martorano to murder his rivals Roger Wheeler and John Callahan. An associate, Brian Halloran, goes to the FBI to report Whitey's involvement, much to Connolly's displeasure, who then tells Whitey of Halloran's accusation, thereby resulting in the murders of Halloran and an unnamed accomplice. Due to Whitey's increasingly violent and unpredictable behavior, his informant relationship deteriorates.
A ""bulldog"" prosecutor, Fred Wyshak, becomes an assistant U. S. Attorney in Boston. Connolly attempts to make friends and to perhaps divert his attention from Bulger, but Wyshak bluntly refuses, demanding that the FBI arrest Whitey. John McIntyre, an informant within the Winter Hill Gang, informs on an attempt by Whitey to smuggle weapons for the IRA. Connolly tells Whitey, who murders McIntyre. Wyshak and McGuire investigate Connolly's management of Whitey's informant role. They discover that most of what Connolly called Whitey's tips were already obtained from other sources. Morris tells the Boston Globe about Connolly's and Whitey's relationship and a front-page story exposes the FBI's links to organised crime.
In the final scenes, Connolly, Flemmi, Weeks, and Martorano are arrested. Whitey goes on the run, but not before giving Billy a final goodbye from a pay phone. Morris turns state's evidence and testifies against Connolly in return for immunity. Connolly's and the other characters' sentences are listed, and a concluding sequence shows a now-elderly Whitey being caught by the FBI in 2011."
Official Movie Trailer:
Information about the Movie:
Black Mass [2015 USA]
Durasi: 123 Minutes Genre: Biography, Crime, Drama Rating IMDB: 7,1 dari 10
IMDB: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1355683/?ref_=nv_sr_1
Director: Scott Cooper
[Click To See Others Movies Directed By Scott Cooper]
Casts: Johnny Depp, Benedict Cumberbatch, Dakota Johnson, Joel Edgerton
[Click To Find Others Movies starring : Johnny Depp]
[Click To Find Others Movies starring : Benedict Cumberbatch]
[Click To Find Others Movies starring : Dakota Johnson]
[Click To Find Others Movies starring : Joel Edgerton]
SCREEN SHOTS Black Mass [2015] [West] [USA] [Bluray 720p] [ShAaNiG] [998MB] [Google Drive]
Information about the File:
Black Mass [2015] [West] [USA] [Bluray 720p] [ShAaNiG] [998MB] [Google Drive]
Link Download Google Drive / Google Docs : Click Here
If Link is Not Found or Error or anything, please leave a comment below.
Need not to extract, rename .RAR/.ZIP/.7z to .MKV | Nggak perlu ekstrak, rename .RAR/.ZIP/.7z menjadi .MKV
Quality: Bluray 720p Size: 998 MB
Audio: English
Password if Needed: AdMaioremDeiGloriam
IMPORTANT : Please Help | Tolong Donasi | Transfer | Pulsa
Ad Maiorem Dei Gloriam
Ad Maiora Natus Sum


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What else could we be good at?
A photographer captured the look on Alia's face in the pool when she realised that not only had she won the race, but she had equalled the 100m breaststroke world record. The look of sheer surprise warmed my heart.
Sure, you believe in your abilities, but nothing beats that moment when you have outdone your wildest expectations, and you have floated to the top and the world acknowledges that you are the best. Alia Atkinson had been putting in the work. And all the hard work has continually made her, her family and her country proud.
As an island nation, one would think that swimming would come second nature to Jamaicans. Not so. It's actually estimated that the number of Jamaicans who cannot swim far outnumbers the number of those who can. Those who have considered swimming competitively are a drop in the bucket.
For so long, Alia has been that quiet, steady voice in the pool advocating for others to join her.
Her journey has often been lonely. Only a year ago did she get her first corporate endorsement in GraceKennedy Money Services, and her success has come at great personal sacrifice of time and money.
As a country, we've been a little myopic. Our efforts (and finances) have been placed behind four sports: athletics, football, cricket, and, to a lesser extent, netball. These are the sports we are exposed to in secondary school and these are the sports with structured national programmes, so it stands to reason that these are the sports we excel in. All to the detriment of and exclusion of other potential Jamaican successes.
I swell with pride upon seeing the international press start their stories: 'Jamaican swimmer Ali Atkinson'. Is there anything we aren't good at? Thinking about Alia's success in the pool and other unlikely Jamaican sporting success - bobsleigh, equestrian, tennis, etc. - I visited the official Olympic site to identify low-hanging fruit - sports Jamaicans could consider participating in at the next Olympic games.
Here are my suggestions ... and my rationale for choosing them.
Gymnastics: Have you ever seen those girls in the dancehall? The acrobatics required to do today's dance moves surely are the same stuff that make for a great gymnast.
Beach volleyball: We're a shoo-in for that. We at least have home-court advantage since we can practise on the sands that surround our island.
Boxing: If Axeman is any indicator, we might really shine in this sport. Besides, it would probably be healthy to channel the aggression of some of our youth in this direction and rediscover the glory of yesteryear.
Shooting: I'll just put that there. Enough said.
Trampoline: Serious, you can win an Olympic trampoline medal. I saw a man raid my lychee tree and scale a 10-foot wall unaided. Imagine what he could do with a trampoline?
Weightlifting: Every male Jamaican dancehall act can enter this. A mandatory inclusion in all stage shows is the artiste lifting 'fatty'. Weightlifting wouldn't be a far stretch for them.
Some of these, I say in jest, but in honesty, I believe that there are real opportunities for Jamaicans to excel in far more diverse sports. Sports have been an outlet for so many - both in Jamaica and around the world - and there is some latent talent that can be awakened and can spell benefit for Jamaica and Jamaicans.
Patria-Kaye Aarons is a television presenter and confectioner. Email feedback to email@example.com and firstname.lastname@example.com, or tweet @findpatria.


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Hi ya'll!This is gonna be short because I can only type with one hand right now. I'm sure you all know by now through Facebook that I was attacked by a pitbull on Friday. I got 32 stitches and I'm okay. A little shooken up, but it'll be okay. The ward down here is amazing and all these woman are like my mom.
Monday, April 20, 2015
Train your dog to be a lover not a fighter
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text:
ReadyNAS RN31843E-100NES is a 1U rackmount 12TB (4x3TB Enterprise) NAS with capacity up to 32TB. It has a powerful quad-core Intel 2.4GHz processor and 4GB of DRAM. It features four Gigabit Ethernet ports. It runs the latest ReadyNAS OS 6.4, which enables a wide set of business features including five levels of data protection that are unique to NETGEAR ReadyNAS. In addition, ReadyNAS lets you to do more than you ever thought you could afford - pairing the latest in performance with innovative efficiency technologies such as unlimited snapshots, thin provisioning and cloud-managed replication. Designed for the unique needs of SMB, the ReadyNAS Rackmount Series combines advanced features with simple, efficient management.
All ReadyNAS 3138 Series is now vSphere 6 certified. This means seamless interoperability of the NETGEAR high performance, 1U-Rackmount System with the latest VMware environments. The new vSphere 6 extends customers ability to virtualize scale-up and scale-out applications, redefine availability, and simplify their virtual data center.
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Fewer is more. The inspiration for the Sentry 38 Leather has risen from the recent trend, to make smaller watches look great. The slightly smaller watch has a flashy dail and a prominent look packed in a modest size.
"Team-designed, custom-built accessories for a life well lived". That pretty much sums it up! Born out of the frustration of the lack of quality watches that enhanced the experience of athletes and explorers, Nixon decided to take matters into their own hands. Creating beautiful products for adventure hungry individuals the world over, they have earned a special place in our hearts.


text:
SANTA CLARA, Calif. (CBS.MW) -- Shares of Healtheon surged 25 percent Thursday after the company formally announced that indeed it is merging with privately held WebMD.
Healtheon HLTH, -2.22% shares swelled 20 3/8 to 100 5/8, a more than two-fold increase since the start of last week when word of an imminent deal began to leak out.
Based on the average trading price of Healtheon since the start of last week, the merger is valued at $5.3 billion.
The deal is to be structured as a merger of equals, with both sides owning 50 percent of the combined company. WebMD shareholders are to receive 1.815 Healtheon shares for each share they own.
Win-win remedy
The post-merger company, to be called Healtheon WebMD, aims to become the first end-to-end Internet-based health-care and e-commerce company. WebMD will be the portal site.
"This is a great deal for both companies that creates a strong one-stop vendor of Internet services to physicians," said Daren Marhula, an Internet analyst at U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray who follows health-care-related online firms.
The combination enables "key players," such as patients, doctors and insurers, "to share information," said Healtheon co-founder James Clark on a conference call discussing the merger.
Clark will serve as a member of the newly constituted company's board, and W. Michael Long, currently chief executive of Healtheon, will become chairman of the new company.
Microsoft MSFT, +1.50% is the largest investor in the $360 million of pooled investments from partners including Covad Communications covd Excite xcit Intel INTC, +1.49% and Softbank, a Japan-based media conglomerate that invests in Internet companies. See related story.
Microsoft's quarter of a billion dollar stake will be used, partly, to underwrite doctor subscription commitments over a five-year period, in the company's bid to enroll more doctors.
In a separate deal to broaden its doctor relationships, Healtheon said it would partner with Medic Computer Systems, a unit of Misys PLC, a U.K.-based software company.
"This is important because it provides Healtheon with 65,000 physicians' desktops, which allows them to easily leverage their new Internet-based services to these installed physicians," said Piper Jaffray's Marhula. "It's the same strategic reason Synetic sntc bought Medical Manager MMGR, +1.78% " That deal was announced Monday.
Installed doctors
The Healtheon-WebMD deal, once again, set off takeover speculation fireworks.
A lot of transactions that happen in a doctor's office, such as submitting claims, referrals or pre-authorizations, lends itself to the Net," said Bruce Hochstadt, a health-care information technology analyst at Everen Securities. "As such," he said, "these simple transactions are the lowest-hanging fruit."
As investors combed through the sector, A.D.A.M. Software ADAM, +29.63% surged 3, or 12.6 percent, to 26 3/4. But it had been up as much as 68 percent in early trading. OnHealth onhn meanwhile, closed with a modest 1/16 gain to 14 1/4 after investors drove that stock 29 percent earlier in the day. See related StockWatch column.
IDX Systems idxc added 1 5/8, or 6.8 percent, 25 5/8. IDX develops software targeted to doctors.
"IDX is the only physician company with a large installed base of 110,000 doctors that has yet to partner with an Internet-based company," Marhula noted.
IDX would be a "trophy" for companies -- such as IBM IBM, +1.33% Computer Sciences CSC, -2.23% or Perot Systems PER, +2.24% -- seeking to get into health-care information technology, Hochstadt said.


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The Annual Enrollment period for the 2019 plan year will begin on Monday, October 15, 2018 and end on Friday, November 2, 2018.
Process for Annual Enrollment:
All employees will need to log in to both, the Flexible Benefits and State Health Benefit Plan enrollment portals to complete their full enrollment process. There will be a Web portal-landing page: http://team.georgia.gov/my-benefits/ for employees to access Flexible Benefits and Health Benefits information.
Employees may visit www.gabreeze.ga.gov to access Flexible Benefits directly, or www.myshbpga.adp.com to access Health Benefits directly. The GaBreeze and SHBP websites will be open from 12:00 a.m. on Monday, October 15 – 11:59 p.m. on Friday, November 2, 2018.
Please remember to keep your confirmation numbers or print the confirmation page from BOTH websites. Check your payroll deduction to verify that the correct deductions are being made. You must notify HR immediately if there are any errors or problems with your elected deductions.
2019 Annual Enrollment Kickoff Letter
2019 Annual Enrollment Presentation
2019 Flexible Benefits Rate Sheet
2019 Flexible Benefits At-A-Glance
2019 Flexible Benefits Enrollment Booklet
2019 SHBP Active Employee Decision Guide
2019 SHBP Active Employee Rate Sheet
2019 SHBP Tricare Supplement Rate Sheet
2019 SHBP Benefit Fair Schedule
For more information about the HR and Payroll Departments, please contact:
Fredrell Evans (Accounting Manager)
(770) 282-6292
Haydee R. Jones (HR)
Shigel Smith (HR)


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Nyko's got a great add-on peripheral for those who like playing the Game Boy Color, but just need to feel something a bit more in their hands: the Shock'n'Rock. This unit is a battery-pack, sound-enhancer, rumble-pack, and system-enlarger all-in-one. It's a heck of a package, and a well-built unit to boot.
The Shock'n'Rock adds a bit of heft to your system ¿ it extends the system a half inch to the left, right and rear, and a good inch at the bottom. It nearly doubles the weight of the system, due to all the plastic, rubber, batteries, and circuits inside. But even so, if you're looking to add a few good functions to the Game Boy Color, this is a great item to have.
Docking your Game Boy Color to the Shock'n'Rock is literally a snap. Remove the battery door from the back of the Game Boy Color, put the hinges of the Shock'n'Rock into the slots of the battery compartment, push the system into place until it "clicks," locking the battery compartment closed. The yellow tab in the front will slide up and lock the unit into place ¿ it also pushes the headphone contact into place so the external speakers will connect. That's it. Your system is now Shock'n'Rock-ized.
Yes, there are a lot of features. First, the obvious: it's a rechargable battery pack. On a full charge you can get around 10 hours of game time out of it. The unit comes packaged with an AC adapter, so you've got that feature as well. The Game Boy Color system isn't exactly a battery hog, but it's nice to save on the cost of AA batteries.
The unit also has two speakers that are controlled by the Game Boy Color's standard volume control. These speakers are a lot louder and of richer quality than the standard speaker of the system. The speakers get their power from the internal rechargable batteries that the system also uses. There's a switch on the right side of the unit that turns on and off the speakers.
The unit will also vibrate. It's not interactive feedback, like the Rumble Cartridge that Pokémon Pinball uses ¿ the vibration function just matches what sound comes out of the speakers. If the audio hits a certain frequency, the rumble turns on. It isn't very interactive, and in fact it gets a bit on the annoying side for many games. Take, for example, Mario Golf ¿ the thing'll vibrate just because there's music playing in the background. Thankfully, you can turn this feature off. It's nice for a while, but it just doesn't suit most games. Or, you can adjust the vibration intensity with the dial on the bottom.
Finally, the added bulk makes the Game Boy Color a lot meatier than it used to be. Like the Pelican's Power Grip peripheral, a Shock'n'Rock-ized system is a lot more comfortable to hold. The unit has rubber grips and curved corners ¿ and the added weight makes you feel like you've got something significant in your hands. The added bulk is perfect for big-handed gamers such as myself.
The Shock'n'Rock is a great peripheral, but it costs nearly half of what a Game Boy Color system runs. Still, for what it does, it's worth the investment. Only the rumble function is the gimmick ¿ the rest of the unit's abilities are superb.
-- Craig Harris


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Are you looking for an opportunity to progress as an Underwriter at a leading UK general Insurer?
The company have grown to become a leading UK general Insurer and financial services organisations, focusing on those people who live and work in the countryside. Their success and outstanding customer service is something they are aiming to grow at their York office. You'll analyse risk, propose and negotiate policy terms, including appropriate limitations and endorsements. You'll review and check insurance quote submissions, referrals and amendments, talking to the relevant agent to establish material facts to ensure new business and policy changes meet underwriting criteria. Our client is seeking someone whose instinct is how to make something happen. You need to be the sort of person who'll look and think beyond the obvious to find a solution that will work for the customer and for the business. You need plenty of common sense and you're thorough too, eagled-eye, never-miss-a-detail thorough. You're also great at building strong working relationships.
Of course, underwriting experience would be great as would previous experience in the insurance industry. But more than anything, its outlook and personality that matter. Like everyone at the organisation, you take the time to do things properly, to put the customer first to help them achieve what they want to achieve.
At the organisation you get more support, more career development, more rewards and more job satisfaction. Their generous benefits package includes a contributory pension scheme, annual company performance-related bonus, 25 day's holiday and discounts on their insurance products. They've a wealth of training programmes open to you and will help you develop your career in the direction that you want it to go. They'll also help you to gain recognised insurance qualifications and you will receive a bonus when you pass them.
This is an excellent opportunity to progress your career within a leading organisation. Send across your CV and we will be in touch with more information.
Please visit the IDEX Consulting Ltd website for further opportunities. If your application is successful we will contact you to discuss the opportunity in more detail within 2 working days of receiving your application. If your application is unsuccessful, the information supplied may still be retained for use in connection with future vacancies. Due to the overwhelming application response we receive through various sources, should you not hear from us within one week then please assume your application has been unsuccessful.