text: Our founders Allen & April Slaughter will be attending the DarknessRadio/TAPS event held at the Stanley Hotel in Estes Park, Colorado in November! As a staff writer for TAPS Paramagazine, April will be there as a representative for the publication. Both April and Allen will be attending as representatives for The Paranormal Source, Inc. as well and they look forward to meeting and spending time with everyone attending! Will YOU be at the Stanley for this event? Leave a comment and let us know!


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100 women told us which shorts, shirts, and shoes you should be sporting for your workouts.
There's an excellent chance you're not putting the same amount of thought into how to dress for the gym as you do for a job interview, a wedding, even an average day at work. And why would you? You're going to work out to, well, work out. Your primary goal is sweat like a pig and lift as many heavy weights as you can until exhaustion (and the development of swole muscles and six packs, of course).
But consider this: if you're a single guy looking to meet a lady, the gym is as good a place as any to do it (do not underestimate how sexy women find a man doing pushups). And even if you're already attached, a stylish man should want to be well-dressed no matter where he goes—even while doing lat pulldowns. Unfortunately, gym clothes run the gamut from should-be-thrown-out tees to futuristic performance gear designed for pro athletes, but worn with conviction by that guy on the stair climber. So how do you, a regular man, pick something that'll make you look hot, feel comfortable, and avoid looking like you care more about your kicks than you do about your pecs?
We can point out famous guys like David Beckham, Charlie Hunnam, and Jonah Hill who do it right, but those examples are nothing compared to the unfiltered opinions of 100 real-life women. So we reached out to them to find out what everyday women really think about your preference for tank tops and compression tights. Their answers will hopefully help you and men everywhere gain some new style insight and who knows, body confidence. One thing's for sure: these women wouldn't mind seeing some more skin fellas.
The Shorts or Pants She Wants You to Wear
It's a tie! Women liked the style of tapered sweatpants and the practicality (and coverage) of mesh shorts. There were however some hold outs for the shorter running shorts.
What Women Liked (and Really Didn't Like) About These Bottoms:
"While mesh shorts are very practical, they often make guys look like....a tool? a doofus? a college student? probably that last one."
"I love a jogger pant on guys, I don't know why but they are sexy. It says, hey I'm a casual dude who can rock a sweat but I also recognize that no one wants to see me in week old sweats that I dropped nachos on while watching the game. The tapered sweat offers just the right mix of mystery and intrigue as to what is going on under there."
"Because tapered sweatpants look good on everyone. The rest of these items do not."
"As for not choosing the short shorts... I've been on the stretch mat. Some things I can't unsee."
"Stylish without having to see a dude's inner thigh or worse, a ball slip."
"Tapered sweatpants look great for your lifestyle, but are men who wear them to the gym actually working out?"
"His junk won't fall out and you don't see awkward sweat stains."
"Sporty and long enough where not too much thigh is exposed."
"Most men would look okay in these. I am picking what I can stomach on men of all types and ages."
"Although I like tapered sweatpants, I think shorts would be a more reasonable choice for sweaty gym activities."
These women are very down with short shorts:
"Hey, if you're objectifying my body in my yoga pants, I should get to have a little fun too."
"Always more thigh!!!"
"Gams ...sexy sexy gams"
"They look good on dudes with nice runner's legs. And built-in underwear is a jogger's (penis's) friend."
The Shirt She Wants You to Wear
Most women chose the workout-ready sweat-wicking T-shirt not only because it means less stink and visible sweating, but also because they prefer a plain old tee. That said, a number of them chose it for the muscle definition in the photo. Translation: trade your oversized tees for one that's more fitted.
What Women Liked and Really Didn't Like About These Shirts:
"It was the only T-shirt option. I just really hate dudes in a tank tops and especially a muscle tee. Maybe I have Nick Viall PTS from this past season of The Bachelor, but the tank just doesn't do it for me. The long sleeve-r would actually be fine too, but the t-shirt is the winner for me."
"A high performance wicking tee hides gross armpit hair and male side boob, while looking sleek and "professional"."
"Probably smells the least."
"Just go for a plain tank or t-shirt unless you're, like, running a marathon, or doing something which ACTUALLY REQUIRES YOU TO WEAR PERFORMANCE CLOTHING."
"When I see someone wearing long sleeves at the gym, it makes me so uncomfortable — how are you not dying?? But a dude in a sleeveless top — no thanks."
"Can't we just have a regular short-sleeve tee as an option? I do not want to see armpit hair EVER so please don't bring 2 or 3 near a gym—or my line of sight."
"No sweat stains. Also, muscle shirts that show nipple are a no."
"All of these are ok, but the long sleeve shirt has the most swag."
"You can see the body definition better."
"I don't particularly care about the moisture wicking, I just like the muscle definition."
"I'm pretty fine with any of these (save the muscle tee. Just...why?), but the long sleeve / short shorts combo gets my motor running for some reason."
"I love a good muscle tee under the right circumstances but a t-shirt is appropriate for post-gym activities and just as flattering."
"Because arms <3"
The Post-Workout Layer She Wants You to Wear
The hooded sweatshirt took a whopping 61% of the vote. According to the women polled, it's sexy, looks chill and cozy, and is the thing she most wants to steal from your closet. Unsurprisingly women want you to wear something that feels good to hug.
What Women Liked and Really Didn't Like About These Layers:
"I literally saw this option [sweatshirt] and said "mmmmm daddy"."
"I don't honestly have a strong opinion here...they're all fine. I would just most want to steal the sweatshirt so that's my pick."
"Track jackets are classic!"
"Hoodies are peak sexy utilitarianism."
"Sweet and simple. But on a side note is anyone actually comfortable wearing a sweatshirt at the gym?"
"You can't go wrong with a cozy hoody."
"No vests ever."
"Again, technical apparel is very attractive because other fabrics get so heavy with sweat. Plus, the gym is an activity where it should be all about you and your performance--not looking good for other people. Whatever makes you most comfortable!"
"All of these are ok, but the sweatshirt is the most low key."
"Sucker for college hoodies-- nice talking point to start conversation."
"All guys look hot with a hoodie."
"¯_(ツ)_/¯ in general, but vests are horrible on principle."
"Don't be a vest guy. Save that for retirement. Also, I'm not here at the gym to see your hip threads: keep your gym clothes clean for sure, but the point isn't to show off how much you spent on something you're going to sweat in."
The Sneakers She Wants You to Wear
The majority of women we surveyed were more concerned with your ankle support than how your sneakers look. Which accounts for the narrow lead Brooks has over Adidas here. But in the end, the Nike heritage sneakers were the best combination of form and function.
What Women Liked and Really Didn't Like About These Sneakers:
"If you're running, wear running shoes. If you're lifting, don't wear running shoes. Jordans are hot if you're actually playing basketball. I'd be more turned off by a guy wearing inappropriate footwear than a guy wearing mildly dorky footwear."
"It takes a certain kind of guy to pull off an Air Jordan so I don't want him to wear them if he can't own them."
"The Ultraboost matches what I like to see guys in on the street."
"Old-school trainers look fly with that track jacket..."
"Throwback shoes are the coolest, but you should wear whatever makes your feet feel the best."
"Actually have little preference here. A lot depends on what activity he's doing. I definitely judge when I see dudes lifting weights in running shoes."
"Whatever is best for your activity! Shoes are a personal thing. The Adidas look fly, though."
"I am a runner, so I like seeing people wearing legit running shoes and not just what looks the coolest."
"They are pretty and least clunky."
"They would offer the most support/they are the right equipment."
"Not #3 because my dad wears those to walk the dog."
"I'm always a little impressed by someone who goes beyond the typical navy/black/white sneaker in a way that's cute and stylish, not garish."
The Gym Socks She Wants You to Wear
Never underestimate women's opinions about everything you put on—including socks. Most of our survey responders preferred the choice that is both unpretentious and functional. (Also: women find ankles sexy apparently)
What Women Liked and Really Didn't Like About These Socks:
"Oh god, i mean, if you're wearing Vêtements socks at the actual gym, I will get mad at you. Regular socks are fine! Tube socks are kinda hot? I don't really care as long as they're clean. No second day socks."
"Serve me those calf socks daddy."
"The no-shows look the best with tapered sweatpants."
"Ankle socks mean business and comfort without distracting from your awesome kicks."
"I honestly couldn't care less what socks he works out in as long as they're not black."
"Men's socks are usually gross, the less you see of them the better. No shows aren't really practical for working out though."
"White gym socks are ugly. The less that's visible, the better."
"No show socks makes me think you're not wearing socks in your sweaty tennis shoes, and that grosses me out."
"High top socks are so fratty."
"Ankles are hot."
"I don't get the calf sock trend. Makes me think of a dad wearing socks and sandals"
"I don't really Care. But ankle socks are weird."
"Some men don't have the calf muscle to keep the socks up!"
"I hate high socks! Such a bro look."
"Obviously any dude wearing Vêtements socks is fashion savvy, but not stupid enough to spend a grand on Vêtements sweats. Respect."
"Your socks don't need to be fancy at the gym."
"My dad rocked calf socks, the affinity is beyond my control."
"Short shorts, calf socks, long sleeves, is it apparent that I have a thing for soccer players yet?"
The Gym Bag She Wants You to Carry
If you already own a simple black backpack, you are in luck. The clear winner isn't technically a gym bag. Still, this North Face backpack looks nice and can be thrown in the wash to avoid smelling up your apartment. The leather duffle was by far the most contentious though. Women are not here for your fancy bag at the gym.
What Women Liked and Really Didn't Like About These Bags:
"Love a dude with backpack. The others are ok but who uses a leather gym bag? That's just weird. It's like you're trying to do double duty with your briefcase and that's a no go. Number 4 is a really ugly color. I hate everything about this bag. I don't know why I'm having such a visceral reaction to it."
"I like a guy that keeps it simple for the gym and isn't trying too hard. We all know how gym clothes smell. Don't put them in your man purse."
"Oh, that's classy as hell. But, is that a sanitary option? I don't know."
"While a leather duffle is nice for the distinguished gentleman at the country club, hit the gym with a smart nylon duffle; it's easier to fold in tiny lockers."
"You MUST be able to wash your gym bag. Save the leather for carrying things that aren't drenched in sweat."
"Cool, sleek and functional."
"I think my husband has that exact bag <3"
"Live your life with this one, bro."
"I love a book bag."
"I'm a sucker for the finance bro duffle..."
"From old to young, fat to fit this bag feels like it could work."
"Seems the cleanest, like he might actually wash it once in awhile and it's not breeding foot fungi."
"I like it and would want to borrow it."
"Then the hands are free to help carry my stuff ;)"
"Why would you bring leather to the gym? And 4 is a very sad bag."
"There's no need for the ostentatious leather bag, nor should you go in the opposite direction with the farmer's market tote. A simple sleek backpack—or a simple, two-tone duffle—is perfectly suitable for a gym look."
The Winning Outfit
Sweat pants: Nike, $60, buy now at store.nike.com
Shorts: Champion, $25, urbanoutfitters.com
Sneakers: Nike for J.Crew, $70, buy now at jcrew.com
Socks: Adidas, $14, buy now at adidas.com
T-Shirt: Under Armour, $18.74, underarmour.com Hoodie: Todd Snyder, $178, buy now at toddsnyder.com
Backpack: The North Face, $79, buy now at endclothing.com

subset: commoncrawl


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JBL Acclimol Stress Reducer - 100ml
Click Image for Gallery
- Reduces stress when new fish are acclimatising.
- Increases the resistance of all fish species.
- Facilitates fish keeping.
- Aloe Vera protects mucous membranes.
- Multivitamin complexes with vitamin C and inosite strengthen the immune system.
- An iodine complex prevents iodine deficiency symptoms.
- For up to 400 litres
Your fish need because:
JBL Acclimol 100ml contains high quality vitamins and plant extracts that allow aquarium fish to acclimatise to their new enviroment without problems and stress. Stress caused by catching and handling is quickly overcome and your fish soon feel completely at ease in their new surroundings. Acclimol will also help prevent new associated diseases from forming in the aquarium due to stress.


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This is just a short announcement, I'll be away for the upcoming week. I'm going skiing and snowboarding and hopefully not hurting myself along the way. I am not such a hero on a snowboard, so let's not repeat what I did last year and fall on my arm, which led me not being able to write without hurting myself for weeks. Oops.
Anyway, I'll be back next Sunday! I have some posts scheduled for the coming week so I won't be absent. I will probably don't have wifi (or really bad wifi), so won't be able to reply to messages, comments, emails, and everything else. I will not be able to keep up to date with all your blog posts so sorry in advance.
I will not be able to keep up to date with all your blog posts so sorry in advance. If you tag me in any posts please link back to one of my posts so I'll get a notification, or send me a message/comment, then I will take a look at it when I'm back.
My monthly wrap-up will come after I return!
Have a wonderful week everybody!


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Denim shorts: Levi vintage
Nails: Rimmel Pro Wear in Aqua Blue (I loveloveLOVE this shade)
Floral headband: New Look
Thank you for your lovely comment! x
love the shorts and the flower headband! i need a headband like that baaadly! ^_^
Maria xx
Oh, my pleasure! ^.^ Thankyou so much - I love the petals for summer! :) xDelete
you look lovely my dear! very beautifuL picks! hOpe you're having a great day!
Andrea xx
Awh thankyou so much - the same back to you! :) xDelete
Your flower headband is so sweet!
Looking lovely in the floral crown! xReplyDelete
love your floral headband
Inspirations Have I None
You're so pretty! And I adore that nail varnish :)
Thanks for checking out my blog, I'll follow you on GFC & Bloglovin <3
Oh bless you, thankyou so much! xDelete
I absolutely love your look!
following xx
Thankyou so much ^.^ xDelete
Very cute outfit!
-Maddy @ www.BeautyBanterBlog.com
Cool top and headband!
Thanks so much for visiting my blog; I'm following you with Bloglovin :).
Ah, thankyou so much! ^.^ xDelete
Gorgeous outfit! Love the headband!
Good luck on your upcoming graduation (:
Now following you on BL (:
Fashion Ganache.
Ee thankyouthankyou!! :D xDelete
I love your outfit, the headband is gorgeous (:
Thanks so much ^.^ xDelete
wow love your blog design! :) outfit is really cute, love the added headband :) x
Awh, thankyou so much! That means an awful lot xDelete
I love your headband! I was looking for one like that, now I know where to shop!
The Aqua Blue shade is so pretty! xx
Martyna | NEON MIZZLE
Awh, glad I could help!! ^.^ xDelete
Love the flower headpiece!x


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Thanks to my lovely family & relative & friends for all the surprises!
Lemon cake from Sharon
< Massage from Wannie (in Perlis), My present is on the way by mail.
Finally arrival my Birthday gift from Wannie.>
Something difference. Strong M "initial & I LIKE it too.
Special calendar from my princess Yannie. Very usefull & love it very much.
Bento make by Kelvin - First time cook rice & well done & mum so proud to be your No 1. MUM
Gift from Susan Gift fm Sharon
Avocado Cake from Agnes Yong
Mince chicken with Tau Kang
Steamed Fish with soya sauce
Lamb with Coffee Sauce


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There are many support services and resources available in the community that you can access directly, depending on the issues. The contact details listed below were accurate at the time of printing, but may change over time. If you find an error or a link not working do please let us know.
Sometimes it is easier to talk to an anonymous person, and/or you may feel the need for some immediate support, without having to go out to obtain it. There is a range of different telephone support services available, such as:
CAAT Team (Community Assessment & Treatment Team)
This is the 24 hour crisis emergency number for Community Mental Health if you or someone you know is experiencing an emotional crisis and may harm themselves or others.
Phone: (Wellington to Kapiti) 04 494 9169
Phone: (Hutt Valley) 04 566 6999
Lifeline 24-hour counselling.
Free Phone: 0800 543 354
MAMTA (Asian women supporting Asian women).
Phone: 04 478 6213
National Healthline
Free Phone: 0800 611 116
Free Phone: 0800 933 922
Pregnancy Counselling Services
Free Phone: 0800 633 328
Samaritans offer a free telephone counselling service for a wide variety of issues.
Phone: 04 473 9739
SIDS (Sudden Infant Death Syndrome) offer a 24-hour phone support line for parents bereaved by cot death.
Free Phone: 0800 164 455
Other helping agencies can be found in the Local Government Community Directories or the Yellow Pages under Community Services.
Hutt City Community Directory
Kapiti Community Directory
Porirua Community Directory
Upper Hutt Community Directory
Wellington City Community Directory
(formerly known at Schizophrenia Fellowship Wgtn) is a Wellington based Mental Health organization that provides services for people who experience mental illness and their family and whanau throughout the Wellington region including the Hutt Valley, Porirua & the Kapiti Coast.
Phone 04 499 1049
Barnados offer support and information to NZ families and whanau on any issue relating to families, and services to families.
Phone: 04 385 7560
Birth Power
Rebbeca Carr is a Qualified Childbirth Educator and Breastfeeding Counsellor and has been supporting parents in the Hutt Valley for the last 2 years through antenatal classes and offering breastfeeding support. Birth Power aims to offer new parents a little knowledge to help them feel empowered and excited by what they are about to achieve. Birth Power aims to offer a fun and interactive environment. Birth Power not only offers antenatal classes but also takes the next step by offering support classes for parents after their baby has been born. Check out some of the other courses offered.
Phone 04 976 8719
Care NZ
Care NZ offers a range of services for drug and alcohol addiction, including counselling, support groups, and referrals to residential treatment centres.
Phone 04 385 1517
Catholic Social Services
Catholic Social Services offer a koha counselling service.
Phone: 04 385 8642
Eating Disorder Services
Eating Disorder Services offer residential treatment, a day programme, and outpatient therapy for people suffering from anorexia nervosa or bulimia nervosa.
Phone: 04 461 6528
Hora Te Pai Health Services
Hora Te Pai Health Services offer free iwi health services eg. pregnancy care and tests, contraceptive advice, baby health. Based in Paraparaumu.
Phone: 04 902 7095
Kahungunu Ki Poneke
Kahungunu Ki Poneke offer advocacy and counselling support programmes, including Maori parenting programmes.
Phone: 04 384 6252
Kokiri Marae
Kokiri Marae offers a range of health services including clinics, counselling, and support to Maori women and their families.
Phone: 04 939 4630
Lifeworks is a free 12 month home-based Open Polytechnic programme designed to help you make positive changes in your life (work, health, finances, relationships).
Free Phone: 0508 543 396
Mental Health Commisssion
Mental Health Commisssion of NZ – has many useful and up to date free publications available, in addition to information about accessing a range of services.
Ministry of Social Development
Information on support for parents from the Ministry of Social Development. They also publish a number of practical strategy booklets for parents on a range of topics related to parenting.
Alternative website: www.familyservices.govt.nz/skip
Alternative website: www.familyservices.govt.nz/directory/
Miscarriage Support Group
Miscarriage Support Group offers support and information to women who have experienced miscarriage.
Phone: 04 384 4272
Mothers Alone
Mothers Alone supports women who are pregnant or parenting on their own. City and Island Bay groups.
Phone: 04 385 0505
Mothers Network
Mothers Network organizes discussion groups for mothers of young children.
Phone: 04 383 8255
Multiple Birth Group
Multiple Birth Group offers support to women and their families who are parents of multiples.
Phone: 04 479 4529
NET (Naku Enei Tamariki) is a community based network which aims to help new mothers in stressful circumstances, in order to promote healthy development of their families, whanau, aiga. Allied with PAFT (Parents as First Teachers) and Family Start, they take self-referrals for women in the Hutt Valley.
Phone: 04 567 9251 or Email: firstname.lastname@example.com — Pakeha and Administration Sections
Phone: 04 577 3386 or Email: firstname.lastname@example.com — Pacific Island Section
Phone: 04 939 4640 or Email: email@example.com — Maori Section
Out of the Blue/Kia Marama
Out of the Blue/Kia Marama is a NZ Mental Health Foundation initiative. This site provides information about recognizing signs of depression, and where to go for help.
Pacific Health Services
Pacific Health Services offer support to Pacific Island families for a range of health issues.
Phone: Hutt Valley 04 577 0394 | Porirua 04 237 9824 | Wellington 04 388 2154
Parent Help
Parent Help – for parent help and family support – offer 24-hour telephone support, counselling, and an anger change group for women.
Phone: 04 499 9994
Parent to Parent
Parent to Parent is an information and support network for parents of babies and children needing special care.
Phone: 04 569 9398
Parents as First Teachers -PAFT
Phone: 04 567 7035
Parents Centre Head Office
Phone: 04 233 2022
Plunket is a free service to assist families with advice for children under five, including individual well-child checks, parenting education groups, and PIN groups for women to meet others in their local area.
National office: 04 471 0177
Porirua Living Without Violence Group
Porirua Living Without Violence Group offers groups and 1:1 counselling when required to women in violent/abusive relationships.
Phone: 04 237 6009
Presbyterian Social Support
Presbyterian Social Support offers in-home family support, counselling, and parent education.
Phone: 04 439 4900
Refugees as Survivors
Refugees as Survivors offer community-based support to assist refugees to settle in NZ.
Phone: 04 384 7279
Relationship Services
Relationship Services offers relationship counselling throughout the Wellington region.
Free Phone: 0800 735 283
SANDS (Still Birth and Neonatal Death Support Group) support women and families who have experienced the grief of stillbirth and neo-natal death.
Phone: 04 478 0895 or 04 478 9307
Sexual Abuse Healing Centre
Sexual Abuse Healing Centre – a free service for all ages.
Phone: Hutt Valley 04 566 5517 | Wellington 04 499 7532
Skylight works with children and young people and their families who have been significantly affected by change, loss and grief.
Free Phone: 0800 299 100
Phone: 04 939 6767
The Family Court
The Family Court offers a range of services eg. referrals for free relationship counselling, or to support programmes for adults and children with a Protection Order under the Domestic Violence Act. Contact your local Family Court, or go to www.justice.govt.nz
Through Blue
ThroughBlue is a Wellington based support group for women with experience of depression. Go to www.throughblue.org.nz
WEAV (Wellington Ending Abuse and Violence) run groups for women who are or have been in abusive relationships. These groups run both daytime and evening, attendance is free, and childcare is provided for the day groups.
Phone: 04 384 8275
Wellington City Mission
Wellington City Mission offer a range of services to families, including home-based parenting education and home-making support, free individual counselling and family therapy, community resource agency information.
Phone: 04 389 2033
Womens' Centres
Womens' Centres offer a range of services, and can provide up to date information on local community resources and supports.
Phone: Kapiti 04 902 6222 | Lower Hutt 04 569 2711 | Upper Hutt 04 527 0017
Wellington Womens Health Collective
Wellington Womens Health Collective offers information on many health concerns for women.
Phone: 04 499 7709
WINZ (Work and Income New Zealand) can provide information on financial benefits available for families.
Free Phone: 0800 559 009
General Links
Baby Web NZ
Free information directory created by a Mum, Midwife and Childbirth Educator.
Online store and resource for mothers.
Crying Over Spilt Milk
For infant and child gastric reflux support in New Zealand.
Free Phone: 0800 380 517
Father and Child
Created by fathers, for fathers. Networking and Support for fathers.
A website for young people in Auckland, all over New Zealand, as well as their families and schools. Everybody needs to find some headspace when life gets stressful and we hope we can help.
A tool that allows doctors, patients and caregivers to access local information about what to expect prior to, during and following a referral to secondary/tertiary medical healthcare services. The information about a service is approved, regularly reviewed and updated by clinicians from that individual service.
Kiwi Families
The essential guide to raising children in New Zealand, covering pregnancy, babies, and toddlers to teens. Expert parenting advice, help and information as well as support from other NZ parents.
La Leche League
Our mission is to help mothers to breastfeed through mother-to-mother support, education, information, and encouragement and to promote a better understanding of breastfeeding as an important element in the healthy development of the baby and mother.
Ministry of Health
The Ministry of Health's role is to improve, promote and protect the health of New Zealanders. Website contains information on the health system and information on health topics as well as other things.
Miscarriage Support
We are a team of volunteers of various ages who have all experienced the loss of our own babies and would like to provide emotional support and information for women and their families during and after miscarriage and subsequent pregnancies.
Mothers Matter
Postnatal Depression – Family/Whanau New Zealand Trust. Set up as a Charitable Trust in 2006 to improve awareness and understanding of postnatal depression (PND) and related mental illnesses in pregnancy and after childbirth. Members of the Trust include women who have experienced PND, family members, health professionals, and other interested people. Our hope is that women in the community and their families/whanau will feel less isolated and be more able to access help by using this information.
Out of the Blue
Features personal stories that have been written by individuals who have had experience of depression, and who want to share their experiences as a way to support others. We hope that this site will provide useful information that will show you where to go for help as well as how to recognize the signs of depression.
Post Natal Psychosis Support Group
Offers support and information to women suffering from Post Natal Psychosis either during pregnancy or after birth of their baby.
Phone: 09 449 1011
Ruth De Souza
Postnatal depression and more. Ruth is the Co-ordinator/Senior Research Fellow at AUT University's Centre for Asian and Migrant Health Research (CAMHR) and Coordinator Grad Cert/Dip Addictions, Community Health Development. She has worked as an educator and mental health professional with broad experience in the fields of teaching, nursing and counselling.
Susan Goldstiver
Counsellor & Psychotherapist in Auckland. Susan has a wonderful website and recently presented at the PND Wellington Seminar Day. She has a specialist interest in PND which is a term used to describe ante and post natal depression, anxiety, post traumatic stress after childbirth, attachment difficulties and adjustments to parenthood.
The Trauma and Birth Stress Support Group (including Post Traumatic Stress Disorder), offers support to women and their families who have been through traumatic pregnancy or birth experiences. Email:email@example.com
The Brainwave Trust
By engaging with and educating each other about the importance of the first three years, we give all New Zealand children the opportunity to reach their potential. A baby's brain is unique and precious. The way it develops will determine who he or she will become. Genes may establish a child's potential, however it is day-to-day experiences that will help the child to fulfil that potential.
The Centre for Attachment
A New Zealand-based agency dedicated to providing support, education and training for families, organisations and communities on optimal child development and attachment.
ThroughBlue runs an ongoing weekly support group for discussion, support and weekly topics relating to depression.
There are many many websites around the world that can be of help, here are just a few of the many available:
Australian Post and Ante-natal Depression Association (Panda) has a comprehensive range of fact sheets and other documents available for downloading.
Beyond Blue
An Australian site with comprehensive information about depression, including a special section on post-natal depression.
Meet a Mum Association (MAMA) – has a number of printable documents about many aspects of post-natal distress (eg. PND, post-natal psychosis, panic attacks, relaxation, notes for carers, self-help) available to anyone, and an online forum for registered users.
Offers a free online CBT (Cognitive Behavioural Therapy) modular programme for preventing depression. It is designed for you to work on independently, or in conjunction with your regular therapist – easy to use, practical, and well-researched.
This UK Post-Natal Illness support site, including a range of information and resources, personal stories, online forum and chat facility, run by women with experience of post-natal illness (their term).
Built on the foundation of providing support to families. You are not alone. You are not to blame. We are here to help. If you or someone you know might be experiencing symptoms of prenatal or postpartum mood or anxiety disorder, know that it is treatable and you've taken a very important first step.
Post-Natal Depression Support Association South Africa
Includes a self-analysis scale, and a range of information and advice.
The Marce Society
Offers mental health support for babies and and their mothers. The principal aim of the society is to promote, facilitate and communicate about research into all aspects of the mental health of women, their infants and partners around the time of childbirth. This involves a broad range of research activities ranging from basic science through to health services research.
An online resource for women and their families designed to offer support and resources on a number of issues related to the emotional challenges specifically related to their reproductive cycle.
If you find a website that is especially useful please email us the URL


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We've welcomed Physiotherapist Darren Austin back to the Alphington Sports Medicine Clinic team!
He's returned to us after being on tour with the Volleyball Team Australia Men Volleyroos as Head Physiotherapist and working in the U.K. as well as taking some time off to travel.
Check out his bio and availability at: http://www.alphingtonsportsmed.com.au/practitioners#darren-austin
And call us on 03 9481 5744 to make an appointment.


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Sr. User Experience Researcher
Do you want to help eliminate barriers between ideas and business outcomes? We want you to bring your unique experiences and creative ideas to the table. CA Technologies provides software and solutions that help our customers to develop, manage, and secure complex IT environments to increase productivity and enhance competitiveness in their businesses. It's our aim to encourage global collaboration and results-oriented innovation, while supporting and developing our talented people and our communities. CA Technologies will empower you to drive authentic success, for both the business and yourself in the application economy.
CA Agile Central, formerly known as Rally Software, is creating a cutting edge, scalable, and service oriented SaaS product using a broad range of technologies. Our product helps you speed up value delivery, align development with your portfolio's highest priorities, and make responsiveness the backbone of your business through agile methodologies. We are growing rapidly and globally, so the problems we tackle are big and getting bigger. We practice continuous deployment, dedicate time to hackathons to support innovations, and encourage our teams to blog and participate in local technology meetups. We take walks, have fresh kegs of local brews, play foosball, host potlucks and work on jigsaw puzzles to give our brains a break.
We are actively seeking a senior user experience researcher to deliver actionable quantitative and quantitative insights from our users to shape the future of the Agile Central product experience. You will partner with product managers, engineers, sales, support, and user experience designers to influence all stages of development, from new opportunities to validation and refinement of delivered features. You are a self-starter, an expert facilitator, a stickler for details, coach, and constant learner.
Key Responsibilities - What You'll be Doing:
- Plan and execute user research throughout the design and development lifecycle, from early strategic direction through post-release validation
- Collect and analyze user behavior through contextual inquiry, participatory design workshops, interviews, formative and summative usability testing, surveys, ethnography, usage analytics, and support tickets.
- Work with extended team to prioritize research opportunities in a fast-paced, rapidly changing environment.
- Understand and incorporate complex technical and business requirements into research.
- Share research findings with diverse audiences in creative ways to increase user empathy, including posters, workshops, demo videos, and in-person presentations.
- Coach jr. researchers and designers through the planning and execution of a wide range of research activities.
- Proactively involve the product team in the research process
What You Bring to the Table
- Excellent critical thinking and analysis skills.
- Insatiable curiosity and an obsession with enterprise software design.
- Excellent communication skills including experience speaking to technical (engineering, architects) and business (product managers) audiences and gain consensus.
- The ability to collaborate at all levels of the organization through workshops, written, and verbal communications.
- Experience training and mentoring others in UX research methodologies and best practices
- Experience with Agile software development methodologies, preferable.
- Ability to juggle – metaphorically and perhaps physically.
- Ability to act independently with guidance from the UX Manager
- Must be able to provide work samples showcasing UX prowess, creativity, and depth of thought, coupled with fluency in best practices for quantitative and qualitative research activities.
Minimum Qualifications
- BA/BS degree in Psychology, Human Factors, Anthropology, HCI or other related fields or equivalent practical experience
- 5+ years of related work experience. UX research experience must include an established, heavily trafficked, enterprise product.
More About Working at CA:
CA has earned scores of Workplace Excellence awards in the last few years – and there's a reason for that. Here you'll have the opportunity to eliminate barriers for our customers, and earn a competitive compensation and total rewards package – all while pushing the boundaries of what's possible by collaborating with a diverse team of global innovators. In short, CA's fun, diverse, and fast-paced culture has put us on the map as one of the best employers in Information Technology.
We offer competitive salary, company-sponsored premium Medical/Prescription & Dental Plans, company-paid Holidays, Vacation, Anniversary Service and Sick Days, 401(k) Plan, Education/Training Reimbursement, Charitable Gift Program, Adoption Assistance Program.
Learn more about CA Technologies and this opportunity now at http://ca.com/careers
We and all of our subsidiaries are equal opportunity employers. As such, it is our corporate policy to fill positions with qualified candidates regardless of the candidate's race, color, sex, age, religion, ancestry, national origin, citizenship status, marital status, sexual orientation, gender identity, genetic information, disability, pregnancy, military status, veteran status or any other protected group status.
Note to Recruiters and Placement Agencies: We do not accept unsolicited agency resumes. Please do not forward unsolicited agency resumes to our website or to any of our employees. We will not pay fees to any third party agency or firm and will not be responsible for any agency fees associated with unsolicited resumes. Unsolicited resumes received will be considered our property and will be processed accordingly.


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In partnership with parents
Xavier Catholic College encourages a strong and integrated relationship between students, parents and staff. The partnership between the family and the school is a great tradition in Catholic education. The success of a student reaching their potential is a unique combination of the high standards expected from each student at the College and the support and encouragement from home.
Parent Group
Meetings are very informal and don't involve any commitment from parents. That's right – no fundraising, nor will you be asked to be Treasurer or President or Publicity Officer. The Principal, Michael Vella, and Assistant Principal, Yvonne Head, attend each meeting and give an outline of things happening at the College. Department head teachers also make regular appearances to present information about new initiatives for professional development and programs for teaching and learning. It's a great way to learn more about what is happening at the school.
If you are a new parent to the school the Parent Group is a great way to meet other parents.
The meetings are held on the second Thursday of the month from 6:30-7:30pm.


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LYNN RADEKA has traveled and photographed the American landscape extensively since the late 1960s, making the nation's West and Southwest his forte. His photographic images, both color and black-and-white, have been featured in a variety of media. During the early 1990s, he published five full-color books: Ghost Towns of the Old West, Historic Towns of America, Forts and Battlefields of the Old West, Legendary Towns of the Old West and Great American Hotels. One of his recent projects includes the printing of the photographs for the black and white book Master of Light: Ansel Adams and His Influences. Radeka's photographs have been also published as fine art duotone posters for Arches, Canyonlands, Capitol Reef, Death Valley, Grand Canyon and Zion National Parks. His photographic expertise has been shared in numerous technical articles in magazines. Additionally, his original prints are on display in several private, corporate and museum collections, and galleries throughout the country. Please view a selection of his work at www.radekaphotography.com.
Printed from Cerise Press: http://www.cerisepress.com
Permalink URL: http://www.cerisepress.com/03/07/ghost-towns
Abayomi Animashaun
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BY Jeffrey Angles
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BY Branka Cubrilo
Tina Carr AND Annemarie Schöne
David Daniels
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Larry Louie
Lynn Radeka
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Cara Benson
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Jessica Rae HahnAND Linwood Rumney
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Michael Stein
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"Best of Magazines 2009"
Best of the Web 2010Dzanc Books


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Monster Trucks Blu-ray
Starring Lucas Till, Jane Levy, Danny Glover, Thomas Lennon, Holt McCallany, Rob Lowe, Amy Ryan, Barry Pepper, Frank Whaley, Chad Willett
Directed by Chris Wedge
Children's action adventure directed by Chris Wedge.
Desperate to escape life in small-town America, high school student Tripp (Lucas Till) begins to build a monster truck from pieces of scrapped cars as his ticket to bigger and better things.
His creation gets an unexpected upgrade when a strange subterranean creature is let loose by an accident at a local oil-drilling site and takes up residence in his truck.
After discovering his unlikely companion has a serious taste for speed, Tripp and his friend Meredith (Jane Levy) realise they may just have found the escape route they were looking for.
The cast also includes Amy Ryan, Barry Pepper and Danny Glover.
- Format: Blu-ray
- Region: A,B,C
- Certification: (PG)
- Catalogue number: 8310938
- Studio: Paramount Home Entertainment
- Release date: 08/05/2017
- Genre: Action/Adventure
- Colour: Colour
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Get a Start on College Budget Worksheets
Don't Rely on Student Loans to Pay for College
Congratulations are definitely in order if you are a family that has successfully negotiated the college application and financial aid process. It is a difficult road to travel, and nobody would really blame you if you felt like taking a few months off to rest. After all, it feels the final decision day in May is a long way off, and the actual college attendance is even further in the future, so why worry? Although it might be nice to let up on the accelerator pedal just a little, the truth is that there are several steps you can take now that could make a big difference to your financial future.
One crucial step, of course, is to continue the search for college scholarships. These are available year-round and some can really put a nice dent in the amount of money you will have to pay for college. Another step is to check your student loan options. Try to borrow as little as possible, but if you do need to borrow be smart about it. Which brings us to the final task — create a college budget worksheet.
This may feel like a dreary way of spending your spring months, but the time invested could pay off in many unexpected ways. You may be surprised to see how much it costs to have a child in college when you sit down and actually crunch some numbers. Your child has been living at home for about 18 years, and most of those costs have just been absorbed into the family budget. In addition, it might be the first time your child has independent control over money, so you want to make sure proper restrictions are in place.
When you separate your children's out-of-pocket expenses from the family, it might uncover some lapses in cash flow availability. Budgeting early can still leave time to research ways to cut expenses or to earn additional money over the summer to cover the shortfall.
The College Board conducts a yearly survey which reveals the estimated budget requirements at various types of educational institutions. This is a good place to start for a general idea of costs, and then you can work out a specific budget for your individual circumstances. The goal is to use your own money, and borrow as little as possible. Here are some tips for getting started on creating a college budget worksheet:
- Find a template: There are many quality free budgeting templates online that can help you with the college budgeting process. Find one that is compatible with your student's specific situation, and made adaptations as necessary.
- Start out slowly: It might be a good idea to start with a budget for just a month or two to make sure you understand the concept completely, and haven't omitted any items. Carefully keep track of income and expenses so you can make adjustments as you expand to a longer budget for a semester or the entire school year.
- Review each item individually: You want to make sure that the numbers you use are realistic, but you also want to see if there are any cuts that can be made. Look at cost options between new and used textbooks, check out data plans, and look for travel budget savers such as sharing rides with other students.
- Don't forget the unexpected: Allow a little bit of room in each month's budget to put aside some money for emergency purposes. You never know when the car will need a repair, a medical emergency might arise, or something else might happen. If you have the money to cover it you will be glad you planned for this possibility.
Finally, it is crucial to involve your student in the planning process. This is a great exercise in learning about handling money, and lets your child know what the expectations are right from the start. Make it known that you will not serve as the Bank of Mom and Dad while your child enjoys a carefree campus life. You are all in this together, and need to plan accordingly.


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Metaltech 300mm Manual Sheet Metal Roller is a leader in its class. It can easily roll mild steel sheets up to 1.6mm in thickness. The unit conveniently clamps into any bench vice giving absolute versatility. The top roller is able to be adjusted to different heights. It can also be removed for different types of tasks. Two of the rollers feature five different sizes of wire grooves.
MTSP610 - 610mm Manual Sheet Metal Slip Roll ()
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Title: LOWRY-LESS RAPTORS ARE SLIPPING AND SEARCHING FOR ANSWERS
Date: March 17, 2017
Original Source: Vice
Synopsis: For my latest at Vice, I looked at what a players-only meeting says about the Raptors' tenuous success with Kyle Lowry injured.
Russell Westbrook's John Wick tour of the NBA claimed another victim on Thursday, as the Oklahoma City Thunder star bulldozed into—and through—the Air Canada Centre, sending the Toronto Raptors careening behind closed doors. After Westbrook's latest triple-double concluded midway through the third quarter, game in hand, the Raptors listlessly played out the stretch run, ultimately falling 123-102 and leading head coach Dwane Casey to make a public statement of regret to the fan base.
"That exhibition of basketball was unacceptable," he said, a full 38 minutes following the final buzzer. "I want to apologize to our fans, everybody, for the way we played tonight. The effort, the competitive spirit wasn't there."
Casey's comments were delayed because the dispiriting loss was the impetus for a closed-doors meeting in the locker room. At first, only players were allowed in, with DeMar DeRozan revealing that multiple voices spoke up in what sounds like was a passionate session. Coaches filtered in later, and Casey made it clear that the staff will start searching for any combination of players "who are going to compete."


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Toner Cartridges for Ricoh Pro C901s Printers in PRO Series
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Your Ricoh Pro C901s takes the following Toner Cartridges / Accessories: 828265-828268 Black, 828265-828268 Yellow, 828265-828268 Magenta, 828265-828268 Cyan.
Printer for display only - not held in stock
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All the standard disclaimers apply. These are my personal opinions only and do not have any official status. Feel free to e-mail any comments to <cdoswell#earthlink.net> (Use the hyperlink or cut and paste the address, substituting @ for #)
It's essential to begin this with some assumptions that may seem simple and obvious, but which are heavily freighted with implications, as I'm going to try to show. The primary assumption is that we begin with a concern for forecast quality. In order fully to appreciate what this means, I recommend reading Murphy (1993); by quality I mean the degree of correspondence between the forecasts and the observations. Presumably, the greater the degree of correspondence between forecasts and observations, the higher the quality of those forecasts.
There are other aspects of the forecasts that might well be of some concern. For instance, grammatical, spelling, and punctuation errors certainly can be argued to be important parts of the "quality" of those forecasts. Some part of product "quality control" properly should be devoted to making the forecast's grammar, spelling, and punctuation as good as possible. However, for my purposes, such issues are irrelevant in my definition of quality. This appears to be an item of some difference between my priorities and those of the National Weather Service (NWS) these days.
A second assumption is that the purpose of verification is to assess quantitatively the quality of the forecasts. An immediate consequence of this assumption is that a forecast not verified is one about which we can have only qualitative assessments of its quality. Without verification, then, we have only flimsy evidence at best concerning forecast quality.
This suggests that anyone who cares about forecast quality must necessarily be heavily committed to verification. To the extent that the NWS is only now beginning to consider a revision to its long-deficient national forecast verification system, it certainly can be argued that the NWS seems to be saying that it doesn't care very much about the quality of its forecasts. The resources allocated to creating a meaningful national forecast verification system are rather meager. Naturally, it always can be argued that resources for the NWS are meager across the board; I'd be among the last to dispute that. Nevertheless, resource allocation is indeed a reasonably accurate measure of priorities and the conclusion seems inescapable. Please note: I mean no disservice to those who've worked tirelessly in obscurity to attempt to do something about the problem of minimal resources for verification work. In fact, I'm proud of those whose sacrifices on behalf of verification have given us inspiration to continue to try to do something to change the situation.
Another aspect of verification that follows from this assumption is that verification must account fully for the correspondence between forecasts and observations. That is, a verification system that's superficial and one-dimensional is correspondingly incapable of providing forecasters and managers with appropriate feedback regarding the correspondence between forecasts and observations. Again, the writings of Murphy (e.g., Murphy and Winkler 1987) come quickly to mind. Forecast verification is a multidimensional problem and inevitably resists compression into single numbers, no matter how much the bureaucrats want everything to be reduced to the level of simplicity that they can comprehend.
An often-overlooked aspect of verification is that the observations must coincide with the forecasts. Suppose we're forecasting thunderstorms ... a substitution of radar data for the "observations" of thunderstorms would be inappropriate, because there's no one-for-one relationship between radar reflectivity and the occurrence of lightning/thunder. Lightning ground strike location information, on the other hand, would be an appropriate substitution for hearing thunder, since every lightning strike is inevitably associated with thunder (although not all thunderstorms produce cloud-to-ground [CG] lightning, and not all CGs are detected). This may appear to be obvious ... the observed data must fit the forecast ... but it often seems that obvious things need to be stated.
Much has been written elsewhere about verification, by me (including Doswell 1996, or Brooks and Doswell 1996) and many, many others. I'm attempting to convince my readers that they must resist the temptation to reduce forecast quality assessment to some sort of "pecking order" ranking system based on some sort of single measure. I have no intention of repeating very much of the arguments here (see the references). Suffice it to say that the present national verification system comes nowhere even remotely close to reflecting the true dimensions of the forecast verification task. Until this gap between the need and the system can be closed, I can't take the national verification program very seriously.
A third assumption I'm going to make is that the first and foremost reason for knowing the quality of forecasts is to improve that quality. Naturally, there might well be other objectives in knowing forecast quality, including knowing whether or not the forecasts offer value to the users of the forecast. [I've written about forecast value elsewhere, as have Roebber and Bosart (1996), for example ... in fact there's a whole book about the topic (Katz and Murphy 1997) now ... so I'm not about to delve into that topic at this time. Most forecasters aren't very concerned about the real value of their forecasts (see Doswell and Brooks 1998); they're more occupied with the meteorology than the question of forecast value.]
Disregarding other objectives for verification, then, in order to improve upon their forecasts, it becomes critical to provide rapid feedback to forecasters. There are at least two distinct aspects to forecast improvements based on that verification feedback.
The first concerns what might be termed calibration of the forecasts. As noted in Brooks and Doswell (1996), a comprehensive verification can bring to light many peculiar aspects of how forecasters distribute their forecasts relative to the events. They may have various kinds of biases they are not even cognizant of, and would change readily if they simply knew about them. Such changes would improve their verification in the complete absence of any new meteorological insight. Changing forecasting behaviors that inadvertently reduce the correspondence between forecasts and observations is simply common sense, but first you have to be aware that you are engaging in such counterproductive tactics.
Second, once you've calibrated your forecasts properly, you can turn your attention to the meteorological aspects of the events for which you have done badly (and those for which you have performed exceptionally well, also). Clearly, the idea is to benefit from both your mistakes and your successes. This process, so often not done, is what I've termed loop-closing ... the idea is that you try to develop new strategies to deal with your problem forecasts. This only makes sense after you've finished the calibration step, since many bad forecasts could simply be addressed by recalibration.
There are, in turn, two types of meteorologically-related forecast problems: 1) problems for which answers exist and you simply haven't been using the existing knowledge or not using it properly, and 2) problems for which answers simply don't exist. The former is a training problem, the latter is a research problem. I'll return to this shortly, but I must address another important issue, first.
Once your attention has been turned to verification, a critical aspect of the problem becomes apparent. You must have appropriate data with which to verify your forecasts. I have addressed some of this elsewhere. The item that concerns me the most at the moment is severe weather occurrence data. The history of these data is long and complex but I want to point out some important aspects of the data:
a. The data are very inhomogeneous. Both the quality and quantity of these data depend on the resources devoted to the task of collecting and sifting through them, the degree of enthusiasm of the collector(s), various political pressures (e.g., for purely economic reasons, some states historically have pressured the collectors of the data to downplay the occurrence of tornadoes), the education and training of the spotters and the data collectors, etc. Factors such as population density, typical visibilities, etc. all have an impact on the reported occurrences of severe weather. When tornadoes develop, it often happens that reports of severe hail and wind diminish in frequency. As the emphasis on local warning verification has developed since the early 1980s, the occurrence frequencies of severe thunderstorm events have undergone a substantial increase. Even before that, the development of the watch/warning program (with its associated storm spotter network) also contributed to an increase in reports.
b. If a miracle occurred, and everything I asked for were suddenly granted, it would be at least 20 years before we had enough data to begin some of the serious work that needs to be done. The nature of this process means that some of the real value of any investment in the database won't become apparent for many years. Is there sufficient public will to support substantive change over a span of decades before the big payoffs begin? I wonder. Of course, there would be short-term payoffs, especially to forecast verification!
c. These data, with all their flaws and problems are the basis for performing verification. To the extent that these data are flawed, so necessarily is any verification based upon them. This certainly suggests that doing something like, say, basing insurance rates on the data would be questionable ... yet this sort of application is going on and the pressure for it is increasing.
d. At present, we're in a "fox guarding the chickenhouse" mode, where the same NWS people that issued the severe weather warnings are those responsible for the collection and documentation of the data used to verify the warnings. It's clear to me that various forms of abuse of this are occurring, pious public denials notwithstanding. It may be as simple as working very hard to find that single 3/4 inch hailstone in a sea of much smaller hail, and only doing probing calls in counties for which warnings were issued, or it can be as devious as changing the reported occurrence times to after the warning issuance times, asking leading questions ["You did see hail at least as large as nickels, didn't you?"] during probing calls, or tilting ambiguous observations to the side most favorable to the warnings:
- "marble-sized" hail is an "agate" (less than 3/4 inch diameter) when outside a warning and a "shooter" (greater than 3/4 inch) when inside the warning
- winds reported as "55-60 mph" are recorded as 55 mph (sub-severe) when not in a warning and 60 mph (severe) when in a warning.
I know beyond any doubt that this is going on, although by no means everywhere, by everyone, all the time. In some ways, if it was uniformly done, it might even be better for the science, since we could simply ignore the marginal reports.
e. It needs to be recognized that the reports (and non-reports) of severe weather need not be treated as dichotomous (they either occurred or they didn't). The fact is that all reports and non-reports have varying degrees of confidence associated with them. If I get a report of a tornado via a phone call from Al Moller or Gene Moore (famous storm chasers!!), I'm vastly more confident of that actually being a tornado than a tornado report arising from a situation where a wall fell on a bunch of people in New York state during a thunderstorm and there was considerable political pressure to call it a tornado.
If we actually followed the recommendation that Don Burgess and I made 10 years ago (Doswell and Burgess 1988) to put the SOURCE of severe reports into the database ... [Why has this been so hard to do? - (Update - this may have changed, finally, in August of 2007)] ... we could assign probabilities to the reports, as well as to the forecasts. Where this has a potentially huge impact is in the non-occurrence of events. Consider the following scenarios, all of which are associated with a non-report of severe weather:
- A storm with all the radar and satellite signatures of a tornadic storm moves across an unpopulated area.
- A storm with marginal radar and satellite signatures of a severe storm moves across an unpopulated area.
- A storm with no radar and satellite signatures of severity moves across an unpopulated area.
- A storm is seen via satellite to move across an unpopulated area, but it is too far from any radar to be analyzed. The CG lightning flash detection network shows a few lightning flashes in the area.
- A cloud is seen via satellite to move across an unpopulated area, and the CG lightning flash detection network detects no lightning. No radar data are available.
- No clouds and no radar echoes are seen over an unpopulated area.
The non-report in each of these cases has a different probability of being a valid instance of a tornado non-occurrence. I'll leave it up to you to imagine other issues and scenarios that would alter the probability of reports and non-reports being valid. We have the tools to accomplish the transformation of our severe storm data base in this way, but it would take a major effort to put the pieces together properly and, to date, we have trouble getting the resources for an occasional decent scientific survey after a major tornado event! Until there's a will to provide a database with scientific integrity, trying to improve our severe weather forecasts is nearly hopeless!!
As I've reviewed the data, it's become clear that it's nearly impossible to make much use of them for verification. The data are so biased, so inhomogeneous, so non-stationary, that I cannot recommend a very detailed verification. Interpreting these data literally is sheer folly. Too much of this has become a game we're playing with numbers, and the science of meteorology as well as the forecasting based on that science is inevitably going to suffer from this. Subverting the data for short-term gain in verification statistics is a manifestation of scientific misconduct and no person having any scrap of scientific integrity should engage in such activities. Failing to support an effort to upgrade and update the severe weather occurrence data is fatal to the science based on the data. Yet it goes on.
Let me review this so far, in order to make this perfectly clear:
Failure to understand the importance of the verifying data in the process of short-sighted verification "games" negates the long-term process of forecast improvement. No one who cares about the long-term outcome of the total process can tolerate anything less than our absolute best verification data. This means (a) recognition of its importance by providing sufficient resources to the task to ensure the highest possible quality, and (b) development of a "zero tolerance" at all levels throughout the system for any activity that compromises the integrity of the data.
I make no claim to knowing how to get around the "fox guarding the chickenhouse " problem. I'm not convinced some sort of independent verification team is the answer, though. [Update: now I am convinced of it!] The NWS forecasters are in the best possible position to know meteorological events happened and where to look for occurrence reports, but they must somehow be rededicated to the integrity of the results, rather than seeking to maximize personal verification statistics, or those of the office via various forms of manipulation of the reports. Further, it's clear that when verification is an additional duty of forecasters, added to their already excessive workload, it's unlikely that a really serious effort can be sustained (except in rare cases of major disasters). Many reports slip through the cracks within such a leaky system.
Management continues to adopt a less than satisfactory position with respect to this issue. Their main concern, and perhaps even arguably so, is the continued production of forecasts in a timely manner to serve the customers. Verification tends to take a back seat and its importance to the long-term effort of forecast quality improvement seems not to be recognized at high enough levels to make any real difference in the resource allocation. Nor is there any indication that scientific misconduct is seen as a serious problem in the offices, since the offices that engage in such things have the "best verification statistics." It seems that management has created a monster from the well-intentioned effort to verify the warnings and forecasts. Thus, the process of verification has been subverted to serve purely short-range ends and its long-term goals are thwarted. I can only surmise that my assumption #1 is being violated at high levels in the management chain: it seems there's not a very serious commitment to forecast quality!
Yet another issue plagues us, at the moment. Let's assume for the sake of argument that somehow we are able to obtain verifying severe weather reports of sufficient quality to do an adequate verification. I've already described the two ways that this feeds back to forecast quality improvement: calibration and loop-closing.
Loop-closing necessarily entails going back and taking a look at the meteorology of the events and how the forecasters handled that meteorology. The object is not always to find fault; it can be just as useful and important to know what was done right . At the present time, unfortunately, it's difficult if not impossible for this to take place, simply because there's no commitment to develop, maintain, and make available to forecasters any archive of the vast amount of information that flows through their systems on a daily basis. In order to develop the probabilistic severe weather database I've described above, we need:
At the SPC, I'm told the daily data throughput is on the order of 4-5 gigabytes (probably more) of surface and upper air observations, lightning detection network data, model output, satellite images, profiler and WSR-88D radar data, etc. Most of this torrent of information passes through the systems and spills out into ... nowhere (the "bit bucket"). Without saving this, we're effectively blocking our ability to make use of it later. The taxpayers paid for the data and, apparently, must pay for it again in order to make use of it for anything other than daily forecast preparation. In this day and age, 4-5 Gbytes sounds like a lot, but it really is well within our technical ability with off-the-shelf hardware.
If we were to commit to save these data, along with keystroke information (to know what was actually looked at during the course of the forecast day), it wouldn't require a great technical leap to do so. Basically, software needs to be written to spool the data to an archive and then to recapture it. Hardware acquisition would probably be the cheapest and easiest part.
If we had such information, not only would the opportunities for loop-closing open up tremendously, but the value of such information for training would be enormous. "Displaced real-time" training exercises, where the data would become available exactly as they were received in real time would be enormously successful in a real training program. Of course, no such substantive training program, with simulated real-world environments, is currently available, nor is any such program even in the planning. But without saving the data, it's virtually impossible even to consider developing it. This is something that's within our grasp, if the will were there to seize upon the opportunity.
Moreover, the loop-closing data would be tremendously valuable for research aimed at closing the gaps between our goals and what we are currently able to do with today's meteorological understanding. A true partnership between research and operations is possible, as some researchers (including yours truly!) might well view the access to this volume of data as a real research opportunity. As with the other aspects of applying these data sets, a lack of commitment to this goal is really all that is lacking. The resources necessary to make this a reality simply aren't that large ... this isn't some pie-in-the-sky, impractical dream. I find it astonishing, in fact, that archiving this flood of data is not already being done!
There does not seem to be any evidence of any real commitment to quality. We have become so caught up in the technical details of the so-called NWS Modernization that we have not really taken advantage of the opportunities that the technological changes have presented. We have implemented technology in ways that have minimized its overall value to forecasting. I hate to say it, but I can only interpret the lack of commitment to meaningful verification, to high quality verification data, and to substantive training as being preoccupied with facets of weather forecasting that have little or no intersection with forecast quality.
Although the relationship between forecast quality and value is a complicated one, this does not change the fact that we are not doing very much to improve forecast quality, again discounting pious pronouncements with little substance behind them. I'm of the opinion that a commitment to quality starts at the top and I believe that the current "atmosphere" at the top is focused on issues far removed from forecast quality. As is normal, decisions seem to be driven by politics and economics, not the scientific and technical issues. Provided that isn't changed by someone at high enough levels, it's unlikely to change at the local level, where the products that serve the weather forecast customers are created. To the extent that local managers are doing some or all of the right things to improve forecast quality (i.e., meaningful verification, loop-closing, substantive training, etc.), that's a tribute to their personal integrity rather than a reflection of any systemic commitment.
(most publications with me as an author are available here)
Brooks, H.E., and C.A. Doswell III, 1996: A comparison of measures-oriented and distributions-oriented approaches to forecast verification. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 288-303.
Doswell, C.A. III, 1996: Verification of Forecasts of Convection: Uses, Abuses, and Requirements. Preprints, 5th Australian Severe Thunderstorm Conference (Avoca Beach, NSW, Australia), Bureau of Meteorology, 191-196.
______, and D.W. Burgess, 1988: On some issues of United States tornado climatology. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 495-501.
______, and H.E. Brooks, 1998: Budget-cutting and the value of weather services. Wea. Forecasting, [in press].
Katz, R.W., and A.H. Murphy, 1997: Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts. Cambridge University Press, 222 pp.
Murphy, A. H., 1993: What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 8, 281-293.
_____, and R. L. Winkler, 1987: A general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1330-1338.
Roebber, P.J., and L.F. Bosart, 1996: The complex relationship between forecast skill and forecast value. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 544-559.


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MADEmini is an Auckland based online store owned and operated by us, Brooke and Elise - Twin sisters and is inspired by the mini's in our life Chase and Cora.


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Our Shakespeare in Love (in the '90s) Feb Movie Monday series ends on a classy note tonight with a screening of Branaugh's 1993 adaptation of Much Ado About Nothing. Guest selector Maya Rudolph makes this case:
Kenneth Branaugh's period rendition of Shakespeare's buoyant battles of the sexes is a true charmer, thanks in part to Emma Thompson's performance as the plucky heroine Beatrice and her Hepburn-and-Tracy-shaming high-octane banter with Branaugh's Benedic. I've always loved this movie for being a pretty low-key adaptation that sort of incidentally happens to have crazy star-studded cast: Denzel Washington, Michael Keaton, Kate Beckinsale. Oh, and Keanu. Kenau as the arbitrarily evil brother of Denzel Washington (huh.)'s Prince. Keanu is good at Shakespeare, bro.
As always: Dada, no cover, starts 9pm, free popcorn.
Reminder: This is the last Movie Monday for the horse year. We won't have anything next Monday, Feb 23, but we'll be back on March 2 with a new theme to be decided over lunch today probably.
Movie Monday: 'Much Ado About Nothing' Tonight @ Dada
By Josh Feola Feb 16, 2015 2015-02-16 Nightlife
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2 in the Same Boat + 1 S2 #5 – Special Guests Some Kind of Nightmare!
Mojoe, Vincent and Shaynna take you down the primrose path of the paranormal, bizarre, and unusual!
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LISTEN TO THE EPISODE HERE: Season 2 Episode 5
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International law firm Integrites held workshop on "The Practice of Antitrust Regulation in Structuring of Ukrainian Business". The event took place on 23 February 2012 at Integrites office in Kiev
Speakers of the workshop - Oleksandr Aleksyeyenko, Partner, and Gennadiy Atamanyuk, consultant of Integrites Antitrust practice – presented their views on compliance of Ukrainian companies' corporate structure with the legislation on protection of economic competition, and also shared their recommendations regarding efficient liaison with the regulator on matters of obtaining the Antimonopoly Committee of Ukraine (AMCU) permission for concentration.
In his presentation, Oleksandr Aleksyeyenko pointed to a number of aspects that are relevant for many clients trying to obtain the permission for concentration. It was also mentioned that clients applying for the AMCU permission are required to provide a substantial information package. At the same time, Mr Aleksyeyenko explained cases when clients can address the AMCU with a request to wave some requirements as regards the information package. Mr Aleksyeyenko also mentioned examples of fine impositions for concentrations carried out without the AMCU's permission.
Gennadiy Atamanyuk invited the participants to consider the situation from the regulator's point of view. Building on his experience, Mr Atamanyuk draw attention to factors that generally influence a penalty rate for antitrust violations: local markets, time frame of violation, occurrence of violation in the past, liaison with the AMCU, admission of violation, and other.
Participants of the workshop included representatives of Procter & Gamble Ukraine, MTS Ukraine, Bayer AG, PJSC Concern Galnaftogaz, MTI, Auchan, Olimp, Myronivsky Hliboproduct, Mriya Agro Holding, Lactalis Ukraine, and Farlep-Invest.
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It was an early birthday present from Nick and it's become my little project to take it on special days out and really think about when I'm going to take that ONE photo of the day. It's nice to get back to grips with "the value of a frame" and focus on quality rather than quantity, and it's helped me cut back on my incessant snap snap snap that's all too common nowadays with digital photography.
I'm by no means great, but each photo I take with this camera has so much more meaning, as well as increasing quality on a much steeper curve than my digital photos have. I actually have to think and concentrate because damn that film is expensive.
I bought some Shavet pens, which are like a thick paint/gel pen, so I can write and draw on them in all sorts of cute colours and remember what I was doing, on what day, and with whom. There's just something so much more personal about doodling all over a photo and really personalising it that I'm really enjoying. I'm sure I'll look at these a lot more than the thousands of photos I have sitting on hard drives at home.
I bought a little Instax photo album and there's just enough pockets to use up all the film Nick bought me, and it should take me a while to fill it. I'm excited to reach the end and see what adventures I've been on!
Now, all of this stuff was taking up an awful lot of space and was generally really messy to have floating around on tables or in whatever bag I happen to be using, so I went out and bought a cheap little bag specifically for holding my Instax kit. I got this wonderful bright yellow beauty in the underground market for 10,000원 and it's almost perfect!
Because of all this yellow I seem to have amassed, I called the camera Sunny, because I'm the sort of weird person that gives proper names to inanimate objects. Here's to 50+ little adventures in the future!


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End of the article, click here to go back to previous page, or alternatively go back to 8 Pixels Design Blog homepage.


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Click here to be taken to the government's statute website where you can read this section in full. This section has been repealed. Similar provision is now to be found in the Education and Inspections Act 2006.
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Executive in Residence: "People are seeing that their money doesn't have to be sent to a landfill."
If somebody told you that it was possible for the trash in your city to be cut in half, all while generating billions in financial impact, would you believe them?
You should. And William & Mary alumni Mark Dancy, MBA '93 and John Campbell, MBA '93 explained why during a recent alumni webinar.
A 20-year friendship forged at W&M led to their starting the now successful and forward-thinking B Corporation, WasteZero. Dancy and Campbell, president and chairman of the board, respectively, have since built the company into the leading waste reduction group in the United States, serving more than 800 cities in 41 states.
How, exactly, did they manage this when the majority of Americans have access to recycling, Dancy said, and yet "we're still sending 59 billion pounds of recyclable paper, 63 billion pounds of plastic and six billion pounds of aluminum to our landfills."
They call it the Pay As You Throw (PAYT) program.
Considered revolutionary, WasteZero's PAYT reverses how most municipalities manage trash collection. Instead of paying for trash through taxes, WasteZero gets municipalities to switch from their current landfill and trash models (most trash collection and landfill fees are paid as a flat rate by cities and towns and managed through taxes) to selling pre-paid trash bags to residents. The model turns trash collection into a metered utility, much like the way residents pay for electricity or water consumption. They pay for what they actually use.
The results? Trash has been cut nearly in half in the cities and towns that have implemented the program.
And in the process, WasteZero also thrives.
WasteZero's model is, quite simply, a win-win-win solution for all involved. The environment wins given the reduction in trash and increase in recycling. Municipalities win because they can redirect previous funds used for trash to education, transportation and other human services. And WasteZero wins by growing into a thriving, more sustainable, business.
It's a proven model, former Portland, Maine Mayor George Campbell, said in the webinar. Campbell, no relation to John, implemented WasteZero's PAYT program during his tenure.
"We've had a 100 percent customer retention rate for the programs we designed and managed," said Campbell, also an Executive Advisor of WasteZero. "People are seeing that their money doesn't have to be sent to a landfill. If people can make the policy change, it's impactful enough to cut waste in half (and) that redirects millions of dollars to schools, roads and parks."
At William & Mary, alumni-hosted webinars a great way to stay plugged in to the Tribe community and in touch with W&M alumni. Stay tuned to the Raymond A. Mason School of Business website, Facebook and Twitter for a list and any news about upcoming webinars.


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By now, you know I'm accenting Mac's Flip 3 with teal. I love the modern and retro vibe it brings. From the curtain pillows to the front door to the retro wallpaper art to the kitchen bling, I've been tastefully incorporating the teal in different parts of the house.
While on a recent weekend getaway, I was browsing some flea markets and junk shops (of course), and stumbled on two little items I've been on the hunt for! I love it when the thriftin' stars align, and I find what I'm looking for.
Since I don't have TONS of countertop space, I've been wanting to replace my countertop paper towel holder with a cabinet mounted one. I was expecting to find a cheap white one at a thrift store some where, but I got even luckier!
I found a teal paper towel holder. I know that seems so insignificant (because it is), but I was just a tad giddy that I found a paper towel holder to free up some counter space and it was the exact color I've been accenting with. [That metal thing? Stay tuned for a future post!]
Using a couple leftover screws I had, I attached the towel holder under the cabinet near the sink. I was really only looking for something to give me more countertop space, but I just love this unexpected additional nod to the retro era!
And does it hurt that it identically matches my retro-inspired cabinet pulls? Nope, not at all!
I spent $6 on this little accent, and that's probably more than I would have normally spent…but teal? Oh, they had me at teal!


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So, there is a new street person I keep seeing around Redding. I shouldn't say he's new though, because I have been seeing him for months. But I spotted him again the other day, and figured he needed to be documented here.
Much like "Beard No Beard" this guy is almost always seen riding a bike, and he also has a pretty nice beard. He always has a white jumpsuit type of outfit on, (no matter what the weather is), an orange safety vest, his head covered with a hood, sunglasses, and a Breathe Right nasal strip over the bridge of his nose. He looks kind of similar to the famous sketch of the unabomber.
At the moment, I have nothing more to report. He does seem to be a pretty determined biker (also like Beard No Beard) though.
Anyone else seen this guy? Do we have a name yet?


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Jennifer Marko of Jacksonville, Florida writes:
"I represent a luxury high-rise community, which is almost sold out, but we don't want to lose momentum on our publicity efforts about the community itself. Our target market is retired or almost-retired empty nesters looking to downsize their lifestyle so they can travel. The 12-story building is on the St. Johns River. It has 64 units that start at about $1 million. The website is at http://www.villariva.com
"What tips do your Hounds have for how we can create even more publicity for this development?"


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