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With the midterm election three-quarters of a year away, the political press is understandably focusing on the races with the biggest personalities and most dramatic storylines. But just because a race makes for great copy in February doesn't mean it's going to be all that compelling in November.
Take, for instance, this observation from ABC News: "No doubt about it: The Kentucky Senate race will be the most watched 2014 contest of them all, and the stakes could not be higher."
Story Continued Below
Almost everyone appears to agree, to judge by the coverage so far. There's been a sizable amount of ink spilled on the Kentucky contest because of its seemingly titanic implications: Could Mitch McConnell, in a year when he might otherwise become majority leader, actually be toppled in the Republican primary by an upstart Tea Party type, Matt Bevin? Or lose to the Democrat, Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes, in the general election?
Right now, Kentucky undoubtedly is the "most watched" Senate race in the country. But does it deserve all that loving attention? Almost certainly not.
The odds of McConnell, even with his weak approval ratings, losing either the primary or general election are not impressive. In the primary, McConnell has a gigantic money advantage and sizable polling edge over Bevin, and for all the hype surrounding the "Establishment vs. Tea Party" narrative in Republican primaries, we need to be mindful of history.
Since 1946, only 5 percent of all sitting senators running for reelection have been defeated in a primary (as have only 2 percent of all House members running for reelection in the same time period). And despite banner headlines every time an incumbent falls, the proportion has not been steadily increasing—only eight of those 46 primary defeats have happened in the last 30 years. Yes, incumbent Republican senators Robert Bennett of Utah, Richard Lugar of Indiana, and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska lost primaries over the past two cycles, but there were extenuating circumstances beyond the Establishment-Tea Party divide: Bennett was surprised in a restrictive nominating convention of conservative ultra-activists and thus didn't advance to a primary that he likely would have won; Lugar had basically abandoned Indiana as his residence and was overconfident and ill-equipped for Richard Mourdock's challenge; and Murkowski remains in the Senate after winning a remarkable write-in race against the fatally flawed GOP primary winner, Joe Miller. While the 2010 Tea Party insurgencies were notable, one year does not a trend make. (For more on this topic, we highly recommend Clark University political scientist Robert Boatright's Getting Primaried.)
Unlike Bennett, Murkowski and Lugar, McConnell has not been napping. He understands his character is chilly and his personal appeal is limited, and that he is not going to be re-nominated and reelected on a tide of voter love and gratitude—the egotistical assumption of many Senate old bulls. With blunt anti-President Obama issue positioning on health care and most other things, McConnell has left as little ground as possible for Bevin to till; McConnell and his aides have made it abundantly clear that they're watching as state bigwigs choose sides, and names of supporters and opponents are being carefully noted by a man with a long memory.
Assuming, as we do, that McConnell makes it to the general election, he faces an appealing foe in Grimes, who (with the help of her father, a former state Democratic Party chairman) knows her way around the Bluegrass State. In the right year, under the most favorable circumstances, one could conceive of Grimes ending McConnell's career. But 2014 is not that year, with a Democratic president on the ropes in the red states. Even factoring in "McConnell fatigue" after his five terms, is it really reasonable to expect the Republican Senate nominee to lose an election where Obama's 2013 approval rating ( according to Gallup) was only 35 percent, among the lowest in the country? Always possible, but not especially plausible.
This is all to say that while the Kentucky Senate race might be the most-watched contest right now, it probably shouldn't be by the fall. Control of the Senate will likely be decided elsewhere. For example, we suspect the side that wins two of the following three currently Democratic-held seats—Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina—will capture control of the Senate.
(Just to illustrate the amount of undue coverage the Kentucky race is getting, we used the LexisNexis Academic database and found 135 newspaper stories mentioning McConnell and Grimes since the start of last year; that's more than the combined number of stories—128—featuring the top candidates in those key Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina races, which are the only Senate races in the country that our Crystal Ball election ratings call "Toss-ups." Our rating for the Kentucky Senate race is "Likely Republican.")
When it comes to governors, it's arguable given recent coverage that someone just tuning into the 2014 election would think the biggest race in the country is going on in the nation's second-most populous state, Texas, where Wendy Davis, a Democratic state senator—she of the now-famous (or infamous, depending on your political persuasion) abortion-rights filibuster—is running against state Attorney General Greg Abbott to succeed Gov. Rick Perry, his fellow Republican.
At first, Davis basked in the glow of media coverage so favorable it would have made Hollywood star-makers envious. Lately, Davis has received a good deal of unflattering attention for inconsistencies in her biography, and that's certainly justifiable. Politicians need to be held accountable for their own narrative.


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The fire broke out in the north end, allowing rescuers the chance to retrieve the photos and artifacts located in the south end. Mayor Garry Wolosinka, who was one of the first on the site of the fire, stated, "Buildings can be replaced, but memorabilia can't be replaced." He vowed the rink would be rebuilt but was uncertain whether it could be erected in time to salvage any of this upcoming hockey season.
As is the case with most communities like Viking, the arena serves as the hub of the town's social activities. "It's quite a loss," admitted Viking's town administrator Rod Krips. "[The arena] is the focal point of any community."
The Stanley Cup arrived in Red Deer at 4 pm on Wednesday, July 13. Brian Sutter, most recently coach of the Chicago Blackhawks, greeted the Cup and escorted the trophy to a huge banquet room in the Black Knight Inn.
Brian, at 48, the eldest of the Sutters to play in the NHL, made his debut in 1976-77 with the St. Louis Blues and played 12 seasons in Missouri. Darryl, 46, played eight seasons with the Chicago Blackhawks starting in 1979-80 and is currently coach of the Calgary Flames. Duane, born in 1960, joined the New York Islanders in 1979-80, just in time to win the first of four consecutive Stanley Cup championships. After retiring with Chicago after the 1989-90 season, Duane went into management and is now the director of player development for the Florida Panthers. Brent, now 42, is the general manager/coach of the Red Deer Rebels of the Western Hockey League. As a player, he debuted with the Islanders in 1980-81 and shared Stanley Cup championships with Duane in 1982 and 1983. Brent's 17-season NHL career concluded with Chicago in 1997-98. The youngest, Rich and Ron, were born in 1963. Rich, who was unable to participate in the golf tournament because of a prior engagement, started his career with Pittsburgh in 1982-83 and followed it for 13 seasons to Philadelphia, Vancouver, St. Louis, Chicago, Tampa and Toronto. Ron, the twin in attendance, played with Philadelphia in 1982-83 and spent a productive 19-season NHL career paying in St. Louis, Quebec, with the Islanders, Bruins, Sharks and Flames. Rich scouts for the Minnesota Wild; Ron with the Flames.
Guests lined up to get their picture taken with the Stanley Cup. Over the course of six hours, more than 1,000 got their photo taken beside Lord Stanley's cherished mug. While waiting in line, a pregnant woman nearing her delivery date had her water break. "Excuse me," she stammered as her husband punched numbers into his cellphone. "Do you mind if we move to the front of the line so we can get our picture taken before we go to the hospital?" The line parted just like the Red Sea did for Moses, and the young lady, clearly in great discomfort, waddled up beside the Cup. "Thank you. Thank you all very much," she grimaced through clenched teeth. A quick photo and faster than Brent on a breakaway, the couple made the dash to the delivery room.
The brothers mingled readily through the room, greeting old friends and making new acquaintances. "Hey Brian," shouted one man clad in a cowboy Stetson."Ya happy tha NHL is goin' back?" Brian glared for a moment, then grinned. "Sure I am, but I'm more happy that they've opened the U.S. border to our cattle!"
Thursday morning, July 14, the Sutter Fund Charity Golf Classic took place. Brian rolled in ready for the big day. "Did ya get y'r hay baled, Brian," asked one golfer. "No," blurted Brian in frustration. "An hour and a half sleep doesn't allow much time for balin' hay."
It was a great day for the Sutter boys, who enjoyed the annual camaraderie and were pleased to play host to the Stanley Cup. The Viking boys added another $100,000 to the Sutter Fund through this year's golf tournament, bringing the total amount raised to well over $600,000. And on a different note, there's a newborn baby out there who someday will boast to friends that the Sutter brothers came close to playing the role of midwife in her delivery.
Tuesday, Stanley Cup Journal invites you to spend the day with 95-year old Lorne Carr, followed by a day of celebration with Hall of Fame goalkeeper Glenn Hall. You'll want to catch up with both great stories!
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subset: commoncrawl


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Sales statistics—the number of no's you have to hear before getting to yes—can be kind of grim. Is it possible to succeed at it, while also having a good time?
According to Morris Sims, the head of New York Life's advisor training, having a good time may actually be the key condition to succeeding at sales.
That is because an advisor doesn't get good at his job until he can finally reframe what he's doing from trying to impose a sale on a reluctant prospect to nobly helping people take care of their vital financial needs.
Sims is in a position to know, having spent nearly 30 years at New York Life, 17 of them as head of NYLIC (New York Life Insurance Co.) University, whose robust advisor education has earned the firm recognition by Training Magazine as one of the top corporate trainers, and not for the first time.
The New York Life exec has both personal and professional experience in the importance of proper motivation.
"I was trained to be an engineer, but after doing it for five years, I wasn't liking it, I wasn't having any fun," the former chemical engineer told ThinkAdvisor in a phone interview.
Sims found selling life insurance to be much more fun, and has also found that success awaits his field agents — who also sell mutual funds and variable annuities, among other investment products — who ultimately make that same discovery.
He cites the example of one agent who had no previous sales or financial services experience, having been an elementary school teacher.
"She was kind of a slow start — in fact a very slow start," Sims recalls.
"After about four months, she was questioning whether it was the right thing to do to stay in this business," he continues. "But when she focused on how it was really about meeting with people and helping them with their problems … her business flourished."
She started reaching out to the network of affluent people she knew in her community, and reached her firm's chairman's council multiple times as well as being named her office's Agent of the Year in a ceremony to which Sims accompanied her.
The breakthrough this agent made was the realization that "it all comes down to relationships," as Sims puts it.
"If you don't like meeting new people every day, then chances are you're not going to be successful doing it," he says. "You've got to like helping people meet their needs for future financial success. It's not the easiest thing in the world because folks today are a little more cautious talking about their finances."
Indeed, those grim sales statistics mentioned earlier are a daily reality. Sims, who interestingly notes that each of New York Life's 119 nationwide offices has varying ratios, offers something of a composite:
"If you talk to 70 people on the telephone, I'd be really happy if 10 gave me a face to face appointment. Of those 10, I'm going to get to make a recommendation to six to eight of them. A closing ratio of 50% should make about three sales for a new rep. If you're an established agent chances are they're going to go with your recommendation."
Numbers like that mean that an advisor will face a fair amount of rejection, but Sims emphasizes that nearly all the rejection comes in the in that first conversation an advisor has with a prospect. It's downhill from there.
"If I can sit down and have a conversation with you and you're willing to share your hopes and dreams and where your assets are today and you trust me to tell you those things, then when I come up with a recommendation, chances are you're going to listen to my counsel," he says.
Since, as Sims puts it, "people aren't going to wake up on a Saturday morning and say 'Gee, I think it's a great day to go buy some life insurance or plan for retirement,'" the advisor performs a vital task of initiating a conversation about finances, and must see it through that framework rather than focus on the inevitable resistance.
And that's where New York Life's training comes in — to provide the relationship skills and product knowledge needed to engage in these sensitive conversations.
"You have to have the skills and knowledge to say "Tell me all about your hopes and your dreams"; then you have to have the analytic skills to determine how to help him get where he wants to be," says Sims, whose title at New York Life is chief learning officer.
"Our training is geared to taking someone who doesn't have investment experience and making them a qualified registered rep," he says. "Then once we do that, the strategy is to continue their training throughout their time with New York Life to make sure they are very well prepared with respect to our product line."
"It's not a baptismal, it's not dumping them in water and expecting them to get religion," he says of NYLIC's ongoing training sessions. But the efficacy of that training, which is heavily though not exclusively computer-based, has a lot to do with the homework.
"When we get them live on line, we talk about 'this is how you provide [advice to] a suitable prospect who has this need'; Then they have to do it."
So if the topic is mutual funds that accumulate money for retirement, then the assignment between then and the next class — usually about two weeks later — is to have a conversation with a client or prospect about how this product might help them meet their retirement needs.
"We're trying to help people make good solid suitable decisions about their finances," Sims says. "What is their problem? What is it that they need? Then we show them solutions and help them choose the suitable option."
It's not so hard, Sims concludes, when one recognizes that "everybody is in sales" in some way, noting that this writer needed to convince New York Life that this interview was worthwhile.
But "while almost anyone can be trained to do it, if you don't like it," you're not going to be good at it, says the former engineer who says he "fell in love" with helping advisors improve their performance.


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Our Sunday Worship Services occur each Sunday at 10:00 am. Each service lasts approximately 75-90 minutes and includes teaching and preaching of the Word and responding in worship. Childcare is provided for newborns to grade 5 through our nursery and children's programs.
Back to All Events
Earlier Event: July 28Sunday Worship Service
Later Event: August 7INVERT


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Did you look for someone to stuff your ballot on election night? You're not alone. During stressful times, many people relieve the anxiety with intimate relations. It's actually a pretty healthy way to get out all the craziness inside, right? Just bring all that election angst into the bedroom and work those sexxxxy moves, you freaky deaky politico. I mean, according to internet trend pieces, election night is a logical and great time to meet Mr. Right, so hey? Maybe some of you experienced even more of a win last night.
To that end, LA Weekly explored some of the greatest election day Missed Connections and Casual Encounters. Apparently a lot of people were looking to vote on that ass (?) and assist last minute voters in finding the polling places (between their thighs) (SO THAT'S WHERE IT WAS!). Craigslist, you dirty suffragette.
I wonder how many people are currently headed to Walgreens for Morning After pills? Well, thankfully we can still get those, GOBAMA.
Did anyone out there get down and dirty on election night? Please share all the gory details below. Or, you know, the for-polite-society details, if you're nasty.
Angelenos Focus on the Important Issues on Election Day: Trying to Hook Up [LA Weekly]


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"An anti-gun owner initiative considered in Washington could lead to massive civil disobedience and a severe domestic crisis," John M. Snyder said today.
"According to confidential information," he continued, "forces linked with the administration suggest the government classify semiautomatic firearms and multiple capacity ammunition feeding devices as Title 2 National Firearms Act items under the Gun Control Act of 1968.
"Under this scenario, semiautomatics and high capacity magazines could be acquired only with great difficulty and at great expense by America's estimated 100 million law-abiding firearms owners."
"The Obama gang probably realizes it would have a possibly insurmountable difficulty getting a semi auto ban, such as that considered by Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) and others, through Congress," Snyder noted. "Congressional Second Amendment supporters already are preparing for such a battle. During the Clinton years, Congress enacted a partial, temporary semiauto ban but allowed it to sunset after 10 years because of its lack of significant negative impact on crime. The Obama administration now may order the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives to take the classification step. Some gun-grabbers view the designation of Street Sweeper shotguns as Title 2 items during the Clinton administration as precedent for such a move.
"For several years, various groups and individuals have discussed the anti-gun owner proclivities of the administration. Obama anti-gun owner activities have involved the promulgation of anti-gun federal regulations, the appointment of anti-gun judges to the federal courts, including the Supreme Court, and the appointment of anti-gun personnel to other high federal positions, including the attorney generalship of the United States."
"It's been under this attorney generalship that the infamous Fast and Furious federal gun running scandal involving ATF has occurred," Snyder stated. "The administration may feel that a replacement in that office could facilitate a ratcheting-up of its anti-gun activities with announcement and inauguration of the proposed semiautomatic classification/ban.
"Such a move surely would galvanize the law-abiding grass roots gun-owning American public into opposition as it never has before. At the very least, it would lead to an action in the U.S. House of Representatives to defund if not eliminate entirely the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives. To what it would lead at the very most is anyone's guess."


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Monday, December 3, 2012
I Hate Christmas. That's My Truth.
4 comments:
- Victoria Hunt said...
Thank you for this post....and someone finally saying what I feel! I want Solstice time, the time to enjoy what nature has to offer us at this time of year. That is my priority.
I am in nature daily, but to look forward to having the opportunity to bless what this time of year is truly about -- the return/rebirth of the sun -- is a beautiful opportunity for me.
Thanks again:)
- December 3, 2012 at 5:50 PM
- wildcraft diva said...
How refreshing!!!
- December 4, 2012 at 12:37 AM
- Sidney Trobairitz Barthell said...
One year I hiked with friends into the woods. There was a light carpet of snow. We stopped to eat apples and the trees, which had been covered in ice, became covered suddenly with glistening diamond water droplets, all shot through with sunlight, the most magical christmas lights I have ever seen, and more than making up for all of the artifice of the town. Mankind's christmas is exhausting. Nature's Christmas is true to the heart.
- December 5, 2012 at 1:43 AM
- Karen said...
I know how you feel , I feel exactly the same :-)
- December 9, 2012 at 3:10 AM


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The Raiders on Tuesday signed veteran offensive tackle Alex Barron, marking their first foray into bolstering the offensive side of the ball since the 2012 season ended.
Barron, 30, last played in the NFL in 2010, as a member of the Dallas Cowboys. He missed the 2011 season with a knee injury and failed to make it past training camp with the Seattle Seahawks in 2012.
Barron, 6-foot-7 and 320 pounds, has started 75 of the 87 games he appeared in during his six-year NFL career. He is versatile enough to play on the left or right side of the offensive line.


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Latest News
Shafik? Aboul Fotouh? Morsi? Who knows? Egyptian outcome really is uncertain
Egypt has experienced many historic moments since Hosni Mubarak was toppled from the presidency 446 days ago, but Wednesday marks a true first – the first presidential election in Egypt's history where voters don't already know who the winner will be before they cast their ballots.
The air of uncertainty here is both unnerving and exhilarating, after three decades that saw Mubarak returned to office with nearly unanimous – and rigged – vote totals.
"We are afraid of what's coming," said Ahmed Hussein, 26, as he stood outside the Church of the Virgin Mary in Cairo's Imaba neighborhood. One year ago, bearded men charged through the sanctuary and set the church ablaze, and since then Egypt's Coptic Christians have felt besieged.
Hussein's friend, Rami Ahmed, 25, a taxi driver, said he felt just the opposite. "We spent 30 years silenced and afraid to speak," he proclaimed. "Why should we feel afraid now?"
Voters will find 13 names on their ballots when they go to vote Wednesday and Thursday. But who will emerge as No. 1 and No. 2 and headed to a runoff in June is anybody's guess. So far, there have been four frontrunners since the election cycle began nearly two months ago, according to the various unscientific polls that have been published here. Their political platforms are wildly different, from Islamists promising shariah to unabashed proponents of the Mubarak order.
It's not just the election outcome that's unclear. So is whether the military council that rules the nation now will hand over power to a president. The president's duties are also unclear since Egypt has yet to approve a new constitution. And there are few internal monitors to assess the validity of the polling, opening the door to charges of vote rigging.
Part of the uncertainty is that there are no proper polls conducted here. Various unscientific surveys conducted over the past month by groups like the government-owned Al Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies and newspapers like the independent Al Masry al Youm have concluded that various candidates are in the lead. Each campaign also claims to have polls putting their nominee in the lead.
The latest al Ahram poll, released Sunday, put Amr Moussa, the former secretary general of the Arab League, in first place with 31.7 percent, an 8 percent drop from his standing a month ago.
Ahmed Shafik, Mubarak's prime minister, came in second place at 22.6 percent, up 2.6 percent from a week ago. Such a finish would put two candidates who once held posts in Mubarak's government in the runoff.
Another poll conducted by Al Masry al Youm during the same period put Shafik in the lead with 19.3 percent of the vote. And the Egyptian Cabinet's Information and Decision Support Centre (IDSC), a government based organization, gave the lead to Shafik by 12 percent in a poll released May 15. But given that many believe that Shafik is a government-favored candidate, many Egyptians are dubious about its findings.
The al Ahram poll put Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohammed Morsi in third place, moving up from fifth early in the campaign and gaining 5 percent in one week. That would still have him miss the runoff, but the backing of the Brotherhood, Egypt's largest political organization, makes predicting the outcome impossible. The Brotherhood is thought able to mobilize hundreds of thousands of voters.
The one-time favorite, Islamist moderate Abdel Moneim Aboul Fotouh, was in fourth place, the continuation of a two-week polling drop.
Meanwhile, Hamdeen Sabbahi, a one-time unknown figure in the election who espouses the Arab nationalist philosophy of the late Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser, rose to 11.7 percent, the poll found, putting him in fifth.
Adding to the mix, the government has released returns from balloting by Egyptians living outside the country. In those early returns, Aboul Fotouh is in the lead, largely through Egyptians living in Western countries. But that may reflect as well the delayed response of Egyptians outside the country to whatever is driving voter opinion here. The al Ahram polls suggest that Aboul Fotouh's peak came in mid April, shortly after Omar Suleiman, the former head of intelligence, and Muslim Brotherhood candidate Khairat al Shater were disqualified, Suleiman for falling short of petition signatures to qualify and Shater because of a criminal conviction during the Mubarak years.
Voters' wants, too, have evolved, contributing to the uncertainty. Where many said early on they wanted major change, some now say stability is their priority. And as others listened to various television interviews and the one presidential debate, they said they increasingly became disillusioned.
Hami Gaber, 40, who is in charge of security at the Virgin Mary Church and had stepped away for a bite to eat when the attack began a year ago, said he supports Shafik because he is the only candidate that can bring order to the country.
"He knows the military. He has clean hands and there is no evidence he is corrupt," Gaber said.
At a women's clothing shop a few doors down, the employees there said they fear that a Shafik win will lead revolutionaries back into the streets, outraged that a former Mubarak cabinet minister was in charge of the country. Still, they said they planned to vote for him, saying the prospect of wide-scale violence is better than Islamists like the Brotherhood, who now control the parliament, controlling the presidency as well.
"If Ahmed Shafik wins, there will be a revolution," said Fadi al Emad, 24. "But he is the best choice because he isn't a civilian controlled by a party. We need a military man."
Mohammed Hassam, 61, a clothing merchant who sat a nearby coffee shop said he was voting for Moussa because he was the least bad option at a time when the nation needs an experienced leader.
"He is the only one who will know how to manage the country," Hassam said. "We can't afford to have someone who needs to learn on the job."
For parliamentary elections last year, which the Brotherhood dominated, there were 128 local and international groups who monitored what took place at the polls; only 49 local groups and three international ones registered to monitor the presidential balloting, according to Supreme Presidential Election commission. Some monitoring groups have complained that they will only have 30 minutes in each polling station.
Journalists, too, face new restrictions. Last fall, reporters could interview any of the election workers; this time they can only speak to the judge in charge of each poll station.
Perhaps most unsettling for Egyptians is that whatever the outcome, the election does not assure them of any immediate stability.
"What happened here was we destroyed a system that stood for years," explains Menal Kamal, an 18-year-old law school student at the clothing shop. "It will take years to get security back."


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Narendra Modi on Tuesday denied having violated the Model Code of Conduct in his reply to the Election Commission notice over his "khooni panja" remark made during poll campaign in Chhattisgarh.
In his nine-page reply filed Tuesday evening before the Commission, a day ahead of the deadline, Modi said he has only exercised his right of free speech by criticising the policies and work of Congress and thus has not violated the Model Code.
"I am of the clear opinion that I have not violated the said provision," he said.
Modi said even though he has himself been subjected to much criticism, including use of abuses against him, he has maintained the diginity of political discourse and has not made personal attacks on any of his opponents.
Though Modi has sent a reply to the EC, a delegation of senior BJP leaders led by party vice president Mukhtar Abbas Naqvi will meet Chief Election Commissioner V S Sampath and two other Election Commissioners on Wednesday to hand over a copy of Modi's reply officially.
The BJP leaders will also complain against Congress leaders, including its vice president Rahul Gandhi, accusing them of continuously violating the Model Code by making all kinds of statements and allegations against Modi and BJP.
Modi has said he has not made any wild allegation against the Congress and its leaders and whatever said by him is not unverified and is very much in public domain.
He said criticism of an opponent is inevitable in an election and the 'khooni panja' (bloody claw) and 'zalim haath' (ruthless hand) remarks are popular Hindi expressions used only figuratively.
"It is used as a colloquial metaphor," he said. The Election Commission had asked Modi to reply to its notice over his "khooni panja" remark by November 20.
The EC had issued a notice to Modi on November 13 to reply as to why action should not be initiated against him for his "khooni panja" remarks, allegedly in reference to the Congress poll symbol, which is a picture of a hand.
The Congress had complained to the Commission, which had got a copy of the video CD of Modi's speech of November 7 in Dongargarh Rajnandgaon of Chhattisgarh along with the remarks of the Returning Officer before the notice was served on the BJP prime ministerial candidate.
Modi while campaigning in Chhattisgarh had said, "When Atal Behari Vajpayee formed Chhattisgarh, whose hands did it first go into...Do you want such a "khooni panja" gain... Brothers and sisters, don't commit that mistake again. Even by mistake, don't ever let Chhattisgarh go into the hands of a 'Zalim Panja'."
"Whereas, it has been, prima facie, observed that by making the aforesaid statements, you have violated the provisions of the Model Code of Conduct," the EC notice had said.


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The Bible talks about the senses in ways that teach us more about Jesus and God's Word.
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Answers in Genesis is an apologetics ministry, dedicated to helping Christians defend their faith and proclaim the gospel of Jesus Christ.


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The music was playing. The players were dancing. The trophy was being passed around and, inevitably, some backroom staff were being given a celebratory soaking. It was amid these scenes of joyous celebration in the futsal world champions' dressing room that Brazil's goalscoring heroes drew breath and shared their emotions with FIFA.com.
Neto, winner of the adidas Golden Ball and scorer of A Seleção's last-gasp winner, joined long-time talisman Falcao in assessing this fifth world title, their own roles in securing it, and the future for their team.
FIFA.com: Neto, a simple question to start: is this the best day of your life? Neto: I'd say so! Ever since 2004, I have been reaching for this title, and when I was injured in 2008 and couldn't take part, I wondered if it might never happen. My family, everyone close to me, will know just how important this day is. It's exactly what I've been fighting for.
Falcao, you have already achieved so much in your career. But where does this one rank? Falcao: It ranks very highly mainly because of my history in this World Cup, and the fact that I honestly thought it was over for me. The fact I recovered from injury and was able to make a contribution, even without playing as many minutes, makes it very special. It's my last World Cup, after all, so I really wanted this title a lot.
It wasn't looking good for us at that stage... But it was like a star came down from the sky and I reached up to grab it.
Is that a certainty? Is there no chance of you playing in 2016? *Falcao: *As far as I'm concerned, this is my last World Cup. But I would consider playing in 2016 if it felt right because, in futsal, you can come in and out of the game, so it's easier than in football to play on to an older age. It will be difficult, of course, and my plan is not to play in 2016. But who knows?
Neto, tell us about your winning goal. What was going through your head at that moment? And how did you find the energy with 19 seconds to go? *Neto: *Honestly, that was the last bit of energy I had! I think that both teams were already mentally preparing for penalty kicks, but I thought, 'Why not have one last go at getting something?' Thank God it worked out. When the ball went in, I was so emotional, and so tired, I actually didn't know what to do. But then I saw my wife in the crowd and, in that moment, all I wanted to do was to celebrate with her.
And, Falcao, what about your goal? *Falcao: *It wasn't looking good for us at that stage; we were down in the match with not long to go. But it was like a star came down from the sky and I reached up to grab it. It was an important goal too because we became much more confident for the rest of the game.
The final was a tremendous advert for futsal, and the mutual respect between the teams was obvious. Neto: Absolutely. I respect Spain a lot, we all do, and we knew that the match would likely be decided by a very minor detail. The fact is, these two teams are the two greatest futsal powers, and I think the rivalry – and the respect - will always be there.
Falcao:It's always this way when we play Spain. When I think back to all the matches we've played, the last ten or 12 at least, I can't think of either team winning by more than one goal. Every match between us is played at such a high standard.
When anyone thinks of futsal and Brazil, they think of Falcao. But what about the future for this team? Is there a new Falcao, or a few of them, ready to fill the breach?
Neto: We hope so. At the moment though, I don't think we have another player as skilful as Falcao. But Brazil is a big country and there are a lot of good young players coming through the national team, so hopefully the future is bright.
*Falcao: *We definitely have a lot of good young players. But at the moment, I don't see one who is ready to become the big idol in Brazil. But as Neto said, Brazil is a very large country and it's possible that in the next few years we'll see another Falcao coming through.
Have you been able to speak to your families yet? Falcao: I have a lot of people to talk to. My wife and mother were here supporting Brazil, but I can't wait to call my kids and speak to my family about what happened today.
*Neto: *Just with my wife. She was with the supporters in the stand, so I needed to climb the barriers to get up to see her. But she's already at the airport now, so it will be a while before I'm able to see her again. I've not spoken to my family yet, but the first thing I'll be doing when I get back to the hotel is giving them a call. We have a lot to talk about!


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I just finished watching a documentary, "The Union, the business behind getting high", on Netflix (Netflix is my addiction). Damning as far as setting forth an argument against prohibition, showing the societal costs of prohibition as opposed to lack of known negatives. To be transparent about my own situation, I used as a teenager, thought better of it after getting some heroin-tainted product (which was too amazing), and never used again. Didn't like getting high anyway. I don't smoke, almost never drink, and it took a major disc problem before I was willing to take vicodin, and then only very briefly. I really hate what oxycodone has done to our medical system and to management of pain in the susceptible, addictive-prone populations. Purdue-Pharma has destroyed many lives, and made megabux, on oxycontin. But I certainly don't care if other people use marijuana.
The documentary set forth arguments for medical benefits in certain settings. In some ways, they sound like "cure-all" benefits of other herbs, vitamins, and "natural products". The costs of prohibition are significant, including infrastructure, outlays for employment of enforcing personnel, adding to distrust of government, and restriction of individual freedoms for little reason.
Costs of prohibition:
High incarceration rate.
Diversion of resources from other needs.
Miseducation of the public.
Deprives citizens of a generally safe product for entertainment and palliation.
Benefits of prohibition:
Certain industries benefit - private prisons, employment of prison guards, pharmaceutical industries.
Certain politicians benefit. Plus, they're afraid that if they support repeal of prohibition, they'll lose the next election.
Parents get to have a soothing, false sense of security that their kids aren't using weed. Just ocycontin and heroin.
It bothers me that marijuana is promoted as medicinal. Even with certain benefits, the doctor is currently put in the impossible position of either being a 'go-to' person for "marijuana cards" - potentially putting their license at risk, and swamping their practice with people who want it for their 'headaches', 'back pain', and other real or not-real symptoms. In addition, with increasing issues of oxycodone and other narcotic diversion, the DEA requires drug testing of some pain patients and if marijuana is present, their legal narcotic prescriptions must sometimes be cancelled. With no quality control, safety regulation, dose management, it's impossible for the doctor to know what they are prescribing, or if it is safe or effective. Not to mention, there is no training in use of marijuana and it doesnt come with long, lawyer-written disclaimers about the zillions of potential side effects that you get with, say, your cholesterol or blood pressure pills.
Really, medical marijuana seems like a 'back-door' route to legalization. But it's no more honest than people who want it illegal to "limit use", since it certainly hasn't eliminated use.
The primary use of marijuana is and should be recreational. As for actual scientific trials of marijuana - I'm not sure there are any, or many, good clinical trials. If someone wants to use it "medicinally", it should be in the same category as naturopathy or herbalism, unless controlled trials are able to demonstrate specific benefits in specific medical scenarios. What is so bad about people having some fun? It's safer than booze. It's already illegal to drive while intoxicated, wehther with ethanol or marijuana.
What would happen if we eliminated the prohibition?
1 - Monsanto would make genetically engineered marijuana, and drive small players out of the market. The Monsanto product would be Roundup-Ready, contain B. thuringensis as a pesticide, and contain zero (as opposed to almost zero) THC. This would be a better renewable product than some of our other fiber and paper products. (That being said, most of the hemp clothes that I have seen are really scratchy - maybe Ive just seen the wrond ones). The tobacco companies, with existing manufacturing and marketing infrastructure, might dominate the market.
2 - Large scale use of hemp as an agricultural commodity, for fabric, fiber, and other uses, would make available billions of acres of plant material, and swamp the market with fake marijuana, resulting in sales of non-intoxicating hemp as bogus marijuana. The only way for people to be sure that their weed is good, will be development of brand name products.
3 - Companies like Marboro would get into the recreational marijuana industry, developing trusted brand names so that people could be reassured that they are buying "the real deal" instead of hemp intended for T-shirt manufacture or paper. Some people would grow their own. The plants do look pretty.
Where is the nonsense in discussion of marijuana?
-claiming It's incredibly harmful.
-claiming Dire consequences would occur if prohibition ended.
-claiming It's a cure-all for anything that ails you.
-claiming It's a medicinal product and should be treated as medicine.
So that's my 2¢
Views: 982
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text:
|Contract Unit
|5,000 bushels
|Price Quotation
|U.S. cents per bushel
|Trading Hours
|Sunday – Friday, 7:00 p.m. – 7:45 a.m. CT and
Monday – Friday, 8:30 a.m. – 1:20 p.m. CT
|Minimum Price Fluctuation
|1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50
|Product Code
|CME Globex: ZCCME ClearPort: CClearing: CTAS: ZCT
|Listed Contracts
|9 monthly contracts of Mar, May and Sep listed annually and 8 monthly contracts of Jul and Dec listed annually
|Settlement Method
|Termination Of Trading
|Trading terminates on business day before the 15th day of the contract month.
|Trade At Marker Or Trade At Settlement Rules
|Trading at settlement is available for the first 5 contract months and calendar spreads between all the contract months and are subject to the existing TAS rules. The Last Trade Date for CBOT Grain and Oilseed TAS products will be the First Position Day (FPD) of the front-month contract (FPD is the second to last business day in the month prior to the nearby contract month).
Trading in all CBOT Grain TAS products will be 19:00-07:45 and 08:30-13:15 Chicago time. All resting TAS orders at 07:45 will remain in the book for the 08:30 opening, unless cancelled.
TAS products will trade a total of four ticks above and below the settlement price in ticks of the corresponding futures contract (0.0025), off of a "Base Price" of 0 to create a differential (plus or minus 4 ticks) versus settlement in the underlying product on a 1 to 1 basis. A trade done at the Base Price of 0 will correspond to a "traditional" TAS trade which will clear exactly at the final settlement price of the day.
|Settlement Procedures
|Corn Settlement Procedures
|Position Limits
|CBOT Position Limits
|Exchange Rulebook
|Block Minimum
|Block Minimum Thresholds
|Price Limit Or Circuit
|Price Limits
|Vendor Codes
|Quote Vendor Symbols Listing
|Last Delivery Date
|Second business day following the last trading day of the delivery month.
|Grade And Quality
|Through December 2018: #2 Yellow at contract Price, #1 Yellow at a 1.5 cent/bushel premium, #3 Yellow at a 1.5 cent/bushel discount. As of March 2019: #2 Yellow at contract Price, #1 Yellow at a 1.5 cent/bushel premium, #3 Yellow at a discount between 2 and 4 cents/bushel depending on broken corn and foreign material and damage grade factors.
Whether you are a new trader looking to get started in futures or an experienced trader looking to hedge your risk in the agricultural markets, Corn futures provide you with the opportunity you need.


text:
The post-Sandy ' we told you so' stories are starting to appear, often coupled with warnings about global warming and the frequency of record breaking storms. There are dire warnings everywhere and calls for enhanced protections for the New York mtropolitan area, of the kind found in New Orleans and in London.
But should we make the effort? I asked my Dad, who got to experience New York disaster recovery first hand as an assistant to the mayor during the New York City blackouts of 1977, when he barely slept for four days. He was also involved in disaster recovery planning as EPA commissioner, and again as a government liason from the heavy construction industry. As EPA commissioner, he was actually one of the people in charge of reviewing previous similar proposals. Here's what he sent back:
There are some basic facts that should guide our thinking in this regard. The first has to do with the notion of the '100 year event'. The concept does not mean that there will only be one occurrence in one hundred years and that once an event has taken place there is no need to worry for another 99 years; it's just a probability distribution. It may well be that we have a new pattern emerging. But we need more than two storms in close proximity ( Sandy and Irene) to decide that. After all the Philadelphia paper was reporting that no hurricane had made landfall in New Jersey since 1903, and while there have been close misses there is no recent record of a hurricane coming ashore in New York harbor. We simply do not know yet the meaning of the weather changes we perceive. While Nicholas Kristof reports that we have had three of the top ften flood events in the last three years, others are noting that we are well overdue for Category 3 hurricanes, which have been far fewer than expected. Who should we listen to at this point?
The second set of facts to consider is that New York City and its infrastructure managers have known for many years that New York City is vulnerable to flooding! Stormwater damage and flooding are not concepts that have just been invented! This misreading of a tide table in the 30s led to the building of the FDR Drive below the East River's high water mark, which led to the persistent flooding episodes that lasted through the mid-80s (until the road was rebuilt). In the postwar era the borough planners granted extensive grade waivers that allowed houses to be built below ' legal grade'--i.e., the grade that had been set in order to avoid flooding in most circumstances. The results of that policy are still observable in the City and in the annual tv footage displays of flooded houses and basements. The problems in southeast Queens, in Springfield Gardens, are still beling worked on to this day, six decades after development was inappropriately allowed. Coney Island was developed in ways that demand continuous pumping of both storm and sanitary flows, which was criticized well before any thought of global warming. The City is vulnerable to flooding and has proved to be vulnerable many times in the past.
The 1968 hurricane that missed the city but flooded much of the south shore of Staten Island was a wake up call to what could happen. Fortunately there was little of the housing development that we see there now and so the damage was not as extensive as that we see today. But that event did trigger a Corps of Engineers study on what could be done and what should be done to protect Staten Island. Not unexpectedly, the Corps proposed a New Orleans-type barrier-and-pump system, one that would have cost billions to implement at that time. The City's storm water management professionals rejected the proposal.
Why would the professionals reject the solution? They started with the certain knowledge that whatever you did would be relied on by others and encourage development in the areas behind the flood walls. Their second thought was that the City would be then left dependent on mechanical systems that had to function only during times of emergency. If they failed--and there's no way to guarantee that they'll work until they're tested--they would leave many to suffer and the City exposed to legal liability for the consequences. That's why New York City infrastrucure managers have been reluctant to recommend active systems where passive systems will do. Active systems can and do fail. Just look at the emergency power generation systems at both NYU and at Bellevue Hospital.
The City's infrastructure is designed and panned wherever it can be around the laws of nature. The City's water supply system is almost all managed with gravity ("it's not just a good idea,it's the law"). Drinking water is only extensively pumped in three limited areas of the City. The sewer system runs on gravity as much as it can, with the major pumping done at the sewage treatment plants themselves. Reliance on active mechanical systems has proven hazardous, as storm damage to power supplies has left Coney Island (in the area where the drainage and sewer systems have to be continuously pumped to avoid backups) vulnerable on several occasions. Backup power solutions are only as useful as their ability to function, and few entities that rely on backup power perform the weekly operation-under-load routines that are recommended. The longer you go without an emergency, the harder it is to get people to feel the proper sense of urgency about safety testing.
The third set of facts to keep in mind is that whatever you would like to do, the current environmental law framework means that the costlier the project, the longer the time for the design development and approval stage. Imagine that George Bush had made the protection of New Orleans his highest priority on the day he took office in 2001. It is highly unlikely that any of the structures that he wanted to build would have even reached the construction stage by the time that Katrina struck. Reviews and approvals just take enormous amounts of time when you are using federal funds, and the grander the scale of the project, the grander the scale of the review. Trying to build large protective structures in the New York City area--structures that will have long term effects on the ecosystem of the harbor area--will require extensive data gathering and analysis and the resolution of many court cases. If we were to start today on the implementation of some of the major structural proposals that are envisioned, it is unlikely that construction would commence for more than a decade, at the very, very earliest.
All of these factoids have to be kept in mind as one reads about the dire warnings and the recommended major structural ' solutions'. For example, there is a recommendation that the City create three surge barriers to protect the inner harbor litoral, one at the Throgs Neck bridge between the Bronx and Queens, one at the Verranzano bridge between Brooklyn and Staten Island, and one at the mouth of the Arthur Kill between Staten Island and New Jersey. The barriers would be modeled on the Thames barrage that protects London.The barriers would rise during storm surge and protect the areas from flooding by holding back the weight of the ocean.
The problems of this proposal are cost and dependability. How long will it take to get approvals to build such systems? Who will bear the many-multi-billion dollar cost for the system? How will such systems be built in such an active harbor?The predictions of a $ 10 billion dollar cost are probably far under the mark; for comparison's sake, note that it will cost that amount just to replace one bridge over the Hudson. And, of course, like the construction of new subway routes, the benefits of the system will only be realized when the very last piece is finished and tested. You can't just stop at the $10 billion dollar point, because there's no benefit unless the system is completed. My guess is that the creation of such moveable structures will cost at least ten times as much as is currently estimated and would have major impacts on the maritime economy during construction.
Then they have to be powered and tested periodically in an active harbor! Who will bear that cost? And who will be responsible when there is a failure that shuts down much of our maritime commerce? If one were a conspiracy theorist, one might believe that the proud sponsors of enabling federal legislation would be those Senators that represent the ports of Norfolk and Savannah! It is one thing to create such a system for the Thames in response to horrible storm surge, as the active port is now south of the barrier at Tilbury. But New York Harbor?
And, of course, it is not clear what happens to all of the water that doesn't get into New York Harbor when the barriers are activated. It will go somewhere. And the adverse ecological impact will be huge as well, large enough to make the building of such a system a very long and drawn-out proposition.
Keep in mind that we could do a lot with that $ 100 billion to protect what we have now. We could install more tunnel pumping capacity and pump to the ocean more easily. We could make sure that ConEd better protects its systems at 14th street and create alternatives to the excessive reliance on that one plant for both steam generation and electrical switchgear. There are so many things we could do with that money that would arguably much better serve New Yorkers. As we are seeing today, most of what is driving New Yorks crazy is relatively easily remedied. Can't we find small engine units to power our gas pumps when the power is out? Or small generators? Shouldn't the City has a well-tested plan to substitute an an adequate number of busses for the subways if ever they are out for any reason?
In my view, that's what we should focus on. We need to be prudent; in an era of budget constraint, I think it will turn out that little fixes will have the greatest payoff. It is hard to see that the feds will have the amounts of money needed to fully protect New York City any time soon ,even if that were the right way to go. So in this case we should play small ball and really learn from what went right and what went wrong in this event-of-the-century.


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Growth model for categorical outcome
Mplus Discussion
Growth Modeling of Longitudinal Data
patrick sturgis
posted on Thursday, January 11, 2007 - 11:50 am
I am estimating an LGC model in which the repeated measure (3 time points) is ordinal (6 categories). Using delta parameterization I am specifying the model
Bollen and Curran (2006 p240-242) describe, where the first two thresholds of the categorical repeated measure are constratined to 0/1 respectively and the remaining thresholds are estimated but constrained to equality over time.
This allows an estimate of the mean of the intercept and slope growth parameters for the underlying continuous variable (the default in MPlus constrains slope mean to zero). However, the plot function will permit only plots of the probability of membership of each category at each time point.
Is it possible to obtain a plot for the estiamted growth parameters (i.e. a single line)? thanks,
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Thursday, January 11, 2007 - 12:00 pm
The Mplus growth model default for categorical outcomes is to hold the thresholds equal across time, fix the intercept growth factor mean to zero, and estimate the slope growth factor mean. You can change this default parameterization to have the intercept growth factor mean free and fix a threshold, for example, the first threshold, to zero at each time point. You will obtain the same model fit. This is just a reparameterization of the model. In both cases you can produce the plot you wanted, using the estimated probit or logit mean values underlying the categorical responses. A plot of these is not automated in Mplus but is easily done by plotting the function i + x_t*s, where for linear probit/logit growth i is the intercept growth factor mean, x_t is the time score at time point t, and s is the slope growth factor mean.
The Bollen-Curran reference is on a somewhat different topic, where, in line with Joreskog, the latent response variable underlying the categorical item is given a mean and a variance at each time point by fixing 2 of the thresholds at each time point. Unlike the two parameterizations described above, the approach cannot be used for binary items.
patrick sturgis
posted on Thursday, January 11, 2007 - 12:39 pm
Dear Linda
thanks very much for your swift response. so, I can fit the plot in excel or similar using the simple method you describe. one additional question - how should the scale of the y axis be interpreted? that is, what is the scale of the underlying continuous variable? If it is the logit scale, can we interpret the units as being changes in the log odds of being in the next highest category or some such? Many thanks
Bengt O. Muthen
posted on Friday, January 12, 2007 - 9:47 am
Well, this calls for more words - which is one reason we plot the more down-to-earth probabilities instead.
With logit link the scale is in logits, which with ordered polytomous response is the log odds of being in the highest (or 2 highest, etc) category vs the lower one(s). So for example, with 3 categories (u=0,1,2) and linear logit growth
logit_t = i + s*x_t
where i and s are growth factors and x_t are the time scores, this time-specific logit translates into time- and category-specific logits by the usual proportional-odds model as
logit(P(u=2)) = -tau2 + logit_t
logit(P(u=2 or 1) = -tau1 +logit_t
where as usual logit(y) = log(y/(1-y). I don't think I have seen this type of presentation of the logit growth model sdo it may not be very commonplace - anyone?
patrick sturgis
posted on Monday, February 12, 2007 - 7:27 am
I am estimating a growth model over three time points with an ordered categorical variable as the outcome. I am using the knownclasses command. following is the model commands:
VARIABLE: NAMES ARE gender zscf0 zscf10 zsc26 zsc30 zscf16;
USEVARIABLES ARE zscf10-zsc30;
ANALYSIS: type=MIXTURE missing ;
i s |
i s ;
i with s;
i s ;
i with s;
SERIES=zscf10 (10) zsc26 (26) zsc30 (30);
OUTPUT: standardized sampstat tech1;
when I run this model, I obtain the growth parameters in logit scale but no predicted probabilities (as I do when just using ML rather than mixture). How can I get Mplus to display these (I know they are there somewhere because I can plot them using the PLOT command). thanks,
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Monday, February 12, 2007 - 9:12 am
I'm having a hard time figuring the difference in your two runs. Can you send the two outputs, with and without probability values, and your license number to
so I can see what you mean?
patrick sturgis
posted on Monday, June 18, 2007 - 2:30 am
Dear Bengt & Linda
I am having trouble with a reviewer who wants a precise account of the interpretation of the growth parameters I present in my paper where I have a linear growth model with 3 time points and the outcome is ordinal. My approach in the paper is to present the growth parameters without too much interpretation and to get the substantive implications across by moving pretty quickly to the predicted probability plots. I have formulated my statement of the interpretation of the growth parameters as follows:
"Where the ordinal regression approach is used, Beta_i in equation (1) (my addition - this is just the standard linear growth model notation) is interpreted as the expected change in the log of the odds that individual i is in category j, or higher, of the ordinal outcome y, for a unit change in t. A more intuitive expression of these model parameters can be obtained in the form of predicted probabilities of membership in each category of y, at each point in time".
I would be grateful if you could let me know if I have mis-represented your approach in this statement! best wishes,
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Monday, June 18, 2007 - 7:45 am
Your statement is correct if you used maximum likelihood estimation and the default logit link. Note that this is not a special Mplus approach. It is logistic regression applied to a random effect growth model for which there are several good references among them the book by Fitzmaurice et al.
patrick sturgis
posted on Thursday, June 21, 2007 - 8:43 am
Thanks Linda.
Karin Landolt
posted on Friday, July 06, 2007 - 9:17 am
Dear Linda and Bengt
I am estimating a latent growth model with categorical data. Some models require THETA parameterization.
Using different parameterizations, the slope parameter and the thresholds changed considerably (about three times higher with THETA). We thought that this was due to our data, but also using the data file of Example 6.4 (Users Guide), the slope was -0.407 with DELTA and 0.543 with THETA.
Could you please explain me why this difference occurs and how a high difference can be interpreted?
Linda K. Muthen
posted on Friday, July 06, 2007 - 10:31 am
The metric is not the same. This will affect that parameter estimates and standard errors but the ratio of the two should be close to the same. This is discussed in Web Note 4.
John Woo
posted on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 - 9:24 am
Hi Dr. Muthens,
When doing LCM with categorical outcome variable, it is mentioned that y* (latent continuous variable) is used to link y (categorical variable).
is y* = logit y?
That is, if y* = a + b*time, then is
logit y = a + b*time ?
Thank you..
Bengt O. Muthen
posted on Wednesday, August 24, 2011 - 12:25 pm
In logit/probit regression
y* = a + b*x + e,
where e is the residual. The logit is a + b*x, so no residual. The expected y* is the logit because E(e)=0.
anonymous Z
posted on Thursday, August 10, 2017 - 8:00 am
Dear Dr. Muthen,
I looked at the figure of growth modeling with the outcome variable being the categorical variable (e.g., example 6.16 two-part modeling, example 6.19). I noticed the figure indicates that the measurement errors are not estimated. Is it because the reason you mentioned above?
In logit/probit regression
y* = a + b*x + e,
where e is the residual. The logit is a + b*x, so no residual. The expected y* is the logit because E(e)=0.
Thanks so much!
Bengt O. Muthen
posted on Thursday, August 10, 2017 - 4:37 pm
It is because no measurement error variance parameter is estimated.
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CALGARY – The fact that organizers managed to pull off the 2013 installment of the Calgary Stampede is cited as one of the massive achievements of Alberta's recovery from last year's flooding.
But Warren Connell, vice president of park development with Stampede, said many don't realize just how close they came to not being able to throw open the gates.
"If the flood had been two days later, we wouldn't have been open in time," Connell said in an interview with The Canadian Press ahead of the 2014 Stampede, which kicks off this week.
"We probably had as much luck going with us as you could possibly hope."
The Stampede grounds was one of the areas hardest hit when floodwater swamped downtown Calgary at the end of June 2013, only two weeks from the July 5 parade to mark the opening of the city's marquee summer event.
READ MORE: Calgary marks flood anniversary with special commemoration ceremony
The water was about three metres deep in the rodeo infield and could be seen lapping at the tops of the barns. Contaminated sludge left by the flooding was up to a metre deep in some areas. The Saddledome, home of the NHL's Calgary Flames, was flooded up to the eighth row of seats.
Connell said Stampede officials were on the phone the night the water peaked, attempting to get companies to fly into Calgary with their equipment and personnel.
But with so much devastation throughout Alberta, he said it was "critical" not to take away resources from other places that needed help.
"We had crews come down that were actually constructing the new (Calgary airport) runway," he recalled. "The province of Alberta had eight different highway projects shut down and all of those contractors and equipment came down to help us."
READ MORE: 20 compelling images of Calgary during the 2013 flood
A temporary dike was manned around the clock to keep the water from destroying the power substation that provides electricity to the main buildings at the site. Two large generators were brought in — one from Europe and the other from Fort McMurray — to provide electricity.
"If we had lost the substation we would have lost all of the power that feeds all of the facilities. If we had lost the main feeds we wouldn't have been up and running," said Connell.
Crews pumped millions of litres of water from the rodeo grounds, scraped mud, tore out and replaced drywall and sanitized surfaces as the days ticked down to the opening parade.
"Probably 4,000 yards of sludge that had come off the river was in Stampede park and had to be trucked out."
Food preparation areas were contaminated so industrial kitchens in trailers were brought in.
READ MORE: Staff work to shore up Saddledome ahead of flood season
The damage to the Saddledome was too severe and the headlining concerts needed to be cancelled.
There was fear was that the rodeo infield and racetrack would not be ready in time, but it was.
"We removed hundreds of dump trucks full of sludge," Connell said. "We had 10,000 yards of material taken out and brought back in just to re-do the racetrack."
READ MORE: The Calgary Stampede wraps up, weeks after devastating flooding
The total bill for the damage was more $50 million. Many of the buildings on the ground were still running on temporary power until March of this year.
Connell gives credit to a core group of staff that remained on site during the crisis.
He estimates the Stampede opened at about 70 per cent of its normal capacity.
To stay closed was unthinkable.
"I think it became a beacon of hope and so it would have been very deflating I think if we had failed."
"I don't think any of us have taken a look at what it would have meant economically. It was more about city pride, volunteer pride and the iconic event for the city of Calgary," Connell said.
— Follow @BillGraveland on Twitter


text:
Cixutumumab and Doxorubicin Hydrochloride in Treating Patients With Unresectable, Locally Advanced, or Metastatic Soft Tissue Sarcoma
|The safety and scientific validity of this study is the responsibility of the study sponsor and investigators. Listing a study does not mean it has been evaluated by the U.S. Federal Government. Read our disclaimer for details.
|ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00720174
Recruitment Status : Completed
First Posted : July 22, 2008
Last Update Posted : May 17, 2016
- Study Details
- Tabular View
- No Results Posted
- Disclaimer
- How to Read a Study Record
|Condition or disease
|Adult Angiosarcoma Adult Desmoplastic Small Round Cell Tumor Adult Epithelioid Sarcoma Adult Extraskeletal Myxoid Chondrosarcoma Adult Extraskeletal Osteosarcoma Adult Fibrosarcoma Adult Leiomyosarcoma Adult Liposarcoma Adult Malignant Mesenchymoma Adult Malignant Peripheral Nerve Sheath Tumor Adult Rhabdomyosarcoma Adult Synovial Sarcoma Adult Undifferentiated High Grade Pleomorphic Sarcoma of Bone Childhood Angiosarcoma Childhood Desmoplastic Small Round Cell Tumor Childhood Epithelioid Sarcoma Childhood Fibrosarcoma Childhood Leiomyosarcoma Childhood Liposarcoma Childhood Malignant Mesenchymoma Childhood Malignant Peripheral Nerve Sheath Tumor Childhood Pleomorphic Rhabdomyosarcoma Childhood Rhabdomyosarcoma With Mixed Embryonal and Alveolar Features Childhood Synovial Sarcoma Dermatofibrosarcoma Protuberans Malignant Adult Hemangiopericytoma Malignant Childhood Hemangiopericytoma Metastatic Childhood Soft Tissue Sarcoma Previously Treated Childhood Rhabdomyosarcoma Recurrent Adult Soft Tissue Sarcoma Recurrent Childhood Rhabdomyosarcoma Recurrent Childhood Soft Tissue Sarcoma Stage III Adult Soft Tissue Sarcoma Stage IV Adult Soft Tissue Sarcoma Untreated Childhood Rhabdomyosarcoma
|Biological: Cixutumumab Drug: Doxorubicin Hydrochloride Other: Laboratory Biomarker Analysis
|Phase 1
I. To collect safety data about the combination of doxorubicin and Cixitumumab and determine if they can be combined with acceptable toxicity at full doses.
I. To assess the confirmed response rate (CR + PR as defined by RECIST) of patients with locally advanced or metastatic soft tissue sarcoma when treated with combination doxorubicin and Cixitumumab II. To assess the 3 and 6 month progression free survival rate of patients treated with doxorubicin and Cixitumumab.
III. To assess the progression free survival and overall survival of patients treated with doxorubicin and Cixitumumab.
IV. To evaluate changes in left ventricular ejection fraction assessed by MUGA scan after 2, 4 and 6 cycles of therapy compared to baseline.
OUTLINE: This is a multicenter, dose-escalation study of anti-IGF-1R recombinant monoclonal antibody cixutumumab.
Patients receive cixutumumab intravenously (IV) over 1 hour on days 1, 8, and 15 and doxorubicin hydrochloride IV continuously over 44-52 hours beginning on day 1. Treatment repeats every 21 days for up to 6 courses in the absence of disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. Patients with stable or responding disease may continue to receive cixutumumab in the absence of disease progression or unacceptable toxicity.
|Study Type :
|Interventional (Clinical Trial)
|Actual Enrollment :
|30 participants
|Intervention Model:
|Single Group Assignment
|None (Open Label)
|Primary Purpose:
|Official Title:
|A Phase 1 Study of Doxorubicin and A12 in Advanced Soft Tissue Sarcoma
|Study Start Date :
|June 2008
|Actual Primary Completion Date :
|January 2013
Experimental: Treatment (cixutumumab and doxorubicin hydrochloride)
Patients receive cixutumumab IV over 1 hour on days 1, 8, and 15 and doxorubicin hydrochloride IV continuously over 44-52 hours beginning on day 1. Treatment repeats every 21 days for up to 6 courses in the absence of disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. Patients with stable or responding disease may continue to receive cixutumumab in the absence of disease progression or unacceptable toxicity.
Biological: Cixutumumab
Given IV
Other Names:
Drug: Doxorubicin Hydrochloride
Given IV
Other Names:
Other: Laboratory Biomarker Analysis
Correlative studies
- Maximally tolerated dose (MTD) of cixitumumab when administered in a combination regimen with fixed dose doxorubicin hydrochloride, in patients with locally advanced or metastatic soft tissue sarcoma [ Time Frame: Up to 2 courses of treatment ]The MTD is defined as the dose of Cixitumumab that induces dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) in no more than 20% of patients.
- Changes in cardiac function as measured by MUGA scans of the left ventricular ejection fraction [ Time Frame: Baseline to 6 courses of treatment ]
- Confirmed response rate (CR + PR) for comparison with doxorubicin treatment in similar historical patient populations [ Time Frame: Up to 6 months ]The mean response probability with 90% credible interval will be reported for those patients treated at the dose of cixitumumab found to be the MTD.
- Overall survival [ Time Frame: Until death due to any cause, or loss to follow-up, assessed up to 6 months ]Will be estimated using the product-limit method Kaplan and Meier. With point-wise estimates for the 3 and 6-month survival proportions reported with 95% confidence intervals using Greenwood's formula for calculation of the variance.
- Progression-free survival [ Time Frame: Until documented disease progression or death or loss-to-follow-up, assessed up to 6 months ]Will be estimated using the product-limit method Kaplan and Meier. With point-wise estimates for the 3 and 6-month progression-free survival proportions reported with 95% confidence intervals using Greenwood's formula for calculation of the variance.
Choosing to participate in a study is an important personal decision. Talk with your doctor and family members or friends about deciding to join a study. To learn more about this study, you or your doctor may contact the study research staff using the contacts provided below. For general information, Learn About Clinical Studies.
|Ages Eligible for Study:
|16 Years and older (Child, Adult, Older Adult)
|Sexes Eligible for Study:
|Accepts Healthy Volunteers:
Inclusion Criteria:
Histologically or cytologically confirmed soft tissue sarcoma
- Unresectable disease
- Locally advanced or metastatic disease
The following tumor types are not allowed:
- Embryonal and alveolar rhabdomyosarcoma
- Gastrointestinal stromal tumor
- Alveolar soft part sarcoma
- Clear cell sarcoma
- Measurable disease, defined as ≥ 1 unidimensionally measurable lesion ≥ 20 mm by conventional techniques or ≥ 10 mm by spiral CT scan
- No more than 1 prior therapy for sarcoma
- No known brain metastases
- ECOG performance status (PS) 0-2 OR Karnofsky PS 60-100%
- ANC ≥ 1,500/µL
- Platelet count ≥ 100,000/µL
- Leukocytes ≥ 3,000/µL
- Total bilirubin ≤ upper limit of normal(ULN)
- AST and ALT ≤ 2.5 times ULN
- Creatinine ≤ 1.5 times ULN OR creatinine clearance ≥ 60 mL/min
- Fasting serum glucose < 120 mg/dL OR below ULN
- LVEF ≥ 50% by MUGA scan
- Not pregnant or nursing
- Negative pregnancy test
- Fertile patients must use effective contraception during and for 3 months after the last dose of anti-IGF-1R recombinant monoclonal antibody IMC-A12
- No history of allergic reactions attributed to compounds of similar chemical or biological composition to anti-IGF-1R recombinant monoclonal antibody IMC-A12
No poorly controlled diabetes mellitus
- Patients with a history of diabetes mellitus are eligible provided their blood glucose is within normal range and they are on a stable dietary or therapeutic regimen for this condition
No concurrent uncontrolled illness including, but not limited to, any of the following:
- Ongoing or active infection
- Symptomatic congestive heart failure
- Unstable angina pectoris
- Cardiac arrhythmia
- Psychiatric illness or social situation that would preclude compliance with study requirements
- No other concurrent investigational or commercial agents or therapies
- Recovered from all prior therapy
- More than 4 weeks since prior chemotherapy (6 weeks for nitrosoureas or mitomycin C)
More than 4 weeks since prior major surgery, hormonal therapy (other than replacement), or hormonal therapy
- No prior radiotherapy to the heart, mediastinum, or chest wall
- No prior anthracycline therapy or anti-IGF-1R therapy
To learn more about this study, you or your doctor may contact the study research staff using the contact information provided by the sponsor.
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier (NCT number): NCT00720174
|United States, Illinois
|University of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center
|Chicago, Illinois, United States, 60637
|Decatur Memorial Hospital
|Decatur, Illinois, United States, 62526
|NorthShore University HealthSystem-Evanston Hospital
|Evanston, Illinois, United States, 60201
|Ingalls Memorial Hospital
|Harvey, Illinois, United States, 60426
|Joliet Oncology-Hematology Associates Limited
|Joliet, Illinois, United States, 60435
|Loyola University Medical Center
|Maywood, Illinois, United States, 60153
|Illinois CancerCare-Peoria
|Peoria, Illinois, United States, 61615
|Central Illinois Hematology Oncology Center
|Springfield, Illinois, United States, 62702
|United States, Indiana
|Fort Wayne Medical Oncology and Hematology Inc-Parkview
|Fort Wayne, Indiana, United States, 46845
|United States, Maryland
|University of Maryland/Greenebaum Cancer Center
|Baltimore, Maryland, United States, 21201
|United States, Michigan
|University of Michigan Comprehensive Cancer Center
|Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States, 48109
|United States, Missouri
|Mercy Hospital Saint Louis
|Saint Louis, Missouri, United States, 63141
|United States, Wisconsin
|Froedtert and the Medical College of Wisconsin
|Milwaukee, Wisconsin, United States, 53226
|Principal Investigator:
|Rashmi Chugh
|University of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center
|Responsible Party:
|National Cancer Institute (NCI)
|ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:
|NCT00720174 History of Changes
|Other Study ID Numbers:
NCI-2009-00285 ( Registry Identifier: CTRP (Clinical Trial Reporting Program) )
16227A ( Other Identifier: University of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center )
8131 ( Other Identifier: CTEP )
N01CM00071 ( U.S. NIH Grant/Contract )
P30CA014599 ( U.S. NIH Grant/Contract )
|First Posted:
|July 22, 2008 Key Record Dates
|Last Update Posted:
|May 17, 2016
|Last Verified:
|May 2016
Liposomal doxorubicin
Rhabdomyosarcoma, Embryonal
Sarcoma, Synovial
Nerve Sheath Neoplasms
Desmoplastic Small Round Cell Tumor
Histiocytoma, Malignant Fibrous
Neoplasms, Connective and Soft Tissue
Neoplasms by Histologic Type
Neoplasms, Bone Tissue
Neoplasms, Connective Tissue
Neoplasms, Muscle Tissue
Neoplasms, Adipose Tissue
Neoplasms, Vascular Tissue
Neoplasms, Nerve Tissue
Peripheral Nervous System Neoplasms


text:
September 5, 2013, KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Seattle Mariners Executive Vice President & General Manager Jack Zduriencik announced today the additon of RHP Erasmo Ramirez, LHP James Paxton, RHP Chance Ruffin, RHP Hector Noesi and INF Carlos Triunfel to the team today.
• RHP Erasmo Ramirez recalled from AAA Tacoma (starting tonight)
• LHP James Paxton selected from AAA Tacoma
• RHP Chance Ruffin recalled from AAA Tacoma
• RHP Hector Noesi recalled from AAA Tacoma
• INF Carlos Triunfel recalled from AAA Tacoma
• Coach Howard Johnson added to staff for September (AAA hitting coach)
Ramirez (#50) will be the starting pitcher in tonight's game against the Kansas City Royals (7:10 pm CT/5:10 pm PT). Paxton (#65), Ruffin (#57), Noesi (#45) and Triunfel (#1) will also be in uniform for tonight's game. Johnson (#10) was the Tacoma Rainiers hitting coach and will join the staff for the month of September.
Ramirez, 23, earned the win in his last start Aug. 29 at Houston (5.2 IP, 5 H, 2 R/ER, 2 BB, 7 SO) to improve to 5-1 on the season. He was optioned to AAA Tacoma following the start, but remained with the team. In 9 appearances/8 starts, Ramirez is 5-1 with a 5.18 ERA (28 ER, 48.2 IP).
Paxton, 24, will be making his Major League debut with his first appearance. The left-hander went 8-11 with a 4.45 ERA (72 ER, 145.2 IP) in 28 appearances/26 starts. He struck out 131 batters and averaged 8.09 strikeouts per 9.0 innings. Paxton held left-handed batters to a .222 (30×135) batting average and did not allow a home run. Paxton was selected by Seattle in the 4th round of the 2010 June Draft after pitching collegiately at the University of Kentucky.
Ruffin, 24, returns to the Major Leagues for the first time since 2011. The right-hander split the minor league season between AA Jackson and AAA Tacoma, combining to go 5-6 with a 3.91 ERA (49 ER, 112.2 IP) in 31 appearances, 18 starts. In 13 relief appearances with the Rainiers he posted a 1.74 ERA (4 ER, 20.2 IP) while striking out 19 and walking only 3 batters.
Noesi, 26, will be in his fourth stint with the Mariners this season (4/18-5/17 & 5/27-6/5, 7/12-26, 9/3-current). In 9 appearances with the Mariners he is 0-1 with a 5.64 ERA (14 ER, 22.1 IP). In his most recent stint with Tacoma he went 1-2, 4.62 ERA (19 ER, 37.0 IP) in 7 starts. Overall with the Rainiers he went 3-3, 5.83 ERA in 15 games, 11 starts. Noesi was acquired by Seattle from the New York Yankees on Jan. 23, 2012.
Triunfel, 23, appeared in 9 games with the Mariners over two stints before the All-Star break (.083/2×24, RBI). In 100 games with the Rainiers he hit .282 (108×383) with 55 runs scored, 22 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 31 RBI. Triunfel ended the AAA season with hits in 8 of the last 10 games (.282/11×39). Triunfel was originally signed by the Mariners as a non-drafted free agent on Sept. 23, 2006. He made his MLB debut Sept. 7, 2012 vs. Oakland.
Johnson, 52, just completed his first season as a coach in the Mariners organization serving as the hitting coach for the Tacoma Rainiers. Under his tutelage the Rainiers finished 2nd in the Pacific Coast League with 146 home runs, including at least one homer by 26 different players. Johnson also served as a coach for the USA team in the annual Futures Game. Johnson enjoyed a 14-season Major League career with the Tigers, Mets, Rockies and Cubs, and was a two-time All-Star.
The Mariners active roster currently includes 32 players. With the addition of Paxton to the 40-man roster, the Mariners 40-man roster is now full at 40 players, with RHP Stephen Pryor on the 60-day disabled list and DH/1B Jesus Montero on the restricted list.


text:
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text:
Welcome to Watch List, where we identify five things on TV to watch while you stay at home and watch all those Chilean miners get freed from their underground prison. Meanwhile, you voluntarily haven't left your basement in five months. That's great hustle! LET'S GO!
DAILY SHOW – 11:00PM (Comedy Central) Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice comes on the show to promote her new book, "A Memoir of My Extraordinary, Ordinary Family and Me." Holy smokes, that is an awful title for a book. It's even worse than "Rice Cookin'!" which I presume was the original working title. Expect Jon Stewart to ask Rice lots of touch questions about Iraq, and for the audience to clap at those questions.
I love Jon Stewart, and I love Stephen Colbert, but I'm counting down the days until their joint Washington rally is finally over. Every night, both hosts bring up the rally, and then the audience claps, and I am decidedly NOT entertained. I'd rather be dragged through a field of ninja stars then attend a rally. ANY rally. People who go to rallies are inherently annoying and all too enthusiastic about doomed causes. They should have just rented out a room at the Omni and given out free beer. ANTICIPATION: LIBERALY!
GOD IN AMERICA – 9:00PM (PBS) Tonight is the exciting conclusion of PBS's six-hour series about God in America. I can't wait to see what happens and to have all my existential questions finally cleared up. Inner peace awaits in the exciting wrapup. ANTICIPATION: CONTROVERSIAL!
TOP CHEF: JUST DESSERTS – 10:00PM (Bravo – an NBC/Universal network) The pastry chefs are charged with creating fashion-themed desserts tonight. I assume the winning dessert will be half an After Eight mint and a bag for regurgitation. ANTICIPATION: SKINNY COW ICE CREAM SANDWICH!
SURVIVOR – 8:00PM (CBS) The tribes get regrouped tonight. That means no more oldies versus youngies. NO! Don't force the young ones to live with the old folks! They smell! And they get tired too early! ANTICIPATION: FEISTY!


text:
I would like to use linuxsampler on my MAC but the lack of documentation ist quite an obstacle!
as I open Fantasia I'm getting this message: "failed to lounge backend".
As I open Qsampler: "could not start server"
is anybody knowing how to install linuxsampler on a Mac?
anybody knowing wich OS is supported
I'm using OS 10.6 and I'm missing a comprehensive documentation!


text:
WASHINGTON - Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel told Air Force members Friday there is "no room for error" within America's nuclear forces, commenting publicly for the first time on what he called "troubling lapses" in professionalism within the ranks.
Speaking at the headquarters of the military's nuclear war-fighting command in Omaha, Neb., Hagel alluded to a series of missteps revealed by The Associated Press, including lapses among those who operate and support the Air Force's nuclear missile force. Last month, two senior nuclear commanders were fired amid misconduct investigations, and in August, service members working at a nuclear-missile base in Montana failed a safety and security inspection.
"You have chosen a profession where there is no room for error," Hagel said, directing his remarks to the hundreds gathered at U.S. Strategic Command for a change-of-command ceremony. "That's what the American people expect from you, from all of us. And you must deliver."
Hagel said the failures had been exposed by what he called "close scrutiny" and the Pentagon's most rigorous evaluations. But while he credited the retiring head of the command, Gen. Robert Kehler, for enforcing tough standards, he also insisted that "perfection must be the standard of our nuclear forces."
Hagel and Gen. Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, were at Offutt Air Force Base for the ceremony, as Kehler steps down and Navy Adm. Cecil D. Haney takes the helm.
Last month, Maj. Gen. Michael Carey was fired as commander of 20th Air Force, which is responsible for all 450 of the Air Force's Minuteman 3 nuclear missiles. Carey was fired for behavior that officials have said is linked to alcohol abuse.
His firing and the removal of a Navy admiral for alleged misconduct related to gambling came amid a series of disclosures by the AP about serious security and leadership lapses, morale problems, training flaws, and an assertion by one midlevel nuclear officer that he had found "rot" inside his nuclear missile unit at Minot Air Force Base, N.D.
Air Force and Pentagon officials insist that despite these issues, the nation's nuclear arsenal is being operated and maintained safely.
Associated Press writer Lolita C. Baldor contributed to this report.


text:
Commercial, Products
By Staff Writer | April 26, 2012
Send Feedback
Eurocopter has selected Pratt & Whitney Canada's PW210 as the powerplant for the X4. The development helicopter will receive power from P&WC's latest line of turboshaft engines. Eurocopter expects the X4, touted as a replacement for the AS365/EC155 Dauphin, to enter service in 2017.Related: Engine News


text:
There are over 2000 products online, for you to order from.
No duplication is permitted of this site graphically or conceptually unless requested and approved in writing.
All Rights Reserved Worldwide. Copyright © 2004 Bins and Bins and Northshore Developments.
For technical issues regarding this site please contact the site developers: Northshore Developments


text:
This website is owned and operated on behalf of the client by Bandstores, a trading name of Completely Independent Distribution Limited. Our business address, and our registered address, is:
1 Brook Street
Leicester LE8 6LA
United Kingdom
Co. Reg No: 08083910. Registered in England and Wales. Our VAT registration is: GB144042057.


text:
notebuyer necesitaba un nuevo diseño de logotipo y lanzó un concurso de diseño en 99designs.
Un ganador ha sido elegido entre 536 diseños de 127 diseñadores freelance.
Park Tree Investments
I'm a distressed debt hedge fund manager looking for a logo that speaks to what we really are – a company that is working loan-by-loan to help put borrowers back onto their feet, one house at a time. We're creating a brand new investment approach to non-performing mortgages – educating our borrowers and helping them tackle their mortgage challenges, all-the-while making good returns for our investors. It's a simple enough concept, and it's taken us 4 years to develop and to refine. And now, we need to bring our brand in line with our company – and for that we need the best creative minds we can find.
I'm looking for you to innovate on this design.
The investment world is viewed as a sophisticated and buttoned down industry. We need to come across as solid, trustworthy, incredibly dependable. And yet, we'd like to think that we're different than everyone else. We aspire to a unique blend of social instinct and solid investment-management. Our logo needs to lead the charge in demonstrating that.
This is an investment company providing a website, eventually multi-media courses, trainings and tools to three target markets:
Banks: they want to sell their loans. They're looking for investment firms they can trust. Ones that won't kick people out of their homes, cut corners to make a quick buck, foreclose willy-nilly. They want viable business partners they can hold up to the media as counterparties who are helping them to rebuild the American household, mortgage by mortgage.
Investors: they want a place to invest their money. Park Tree funds want to be the highest-yielding, socially-responsible investment funds in the marketplace focused on residential mortgage debt.
Borrowers: these are our clients. They should see our logo and feel an immediate sense of trust and cooperation.
I'm looking for a simple, professional logo (image) with our company name. It should be clean but bold, simple but reassuring.
We will brand our website, print materials and other digital content with this logo.
The logo should include the following:
- Professional (clean, recognizable image, contemporary, but more than just a simple shape)
- Need to convey a safe, reliable, trustworthy firm
- No cartoons or gifs – keep the style professional
- Modern/professional and possibly contemporary
- No script or calligraphy
- Bold and clear
- Contrasting color in font from icon for emphasis
- Greens - this has been our traditional color (see http://www.parktreeinvestments.com)
- Blues- could take over the existing green and splash a new look altogether
- Golds / greys (not sure about these – black and white might work)
- No clip art, no frills, no fancy logos – keep it professional
Descubre cómo funciona un concurso de diseño u obtén más información sobre nuestros servicios de diseño de logo.


text:
Sin the Saint - Eye Candy [Prestige Film Works Submitted]
@sinthesaintdmv is back with yet another WSHH video, this time showing love to all the beautiful ladies, Enjoy his latest single EYE CANDY! Be sure to follow and support @sinthesaintDMV and check out www.sinthesaint.com
Directed by: Alex Acosta (@alezzyworld)
www.prestigefilmworks.com 917-609-9708
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